00:02:02.440He's in the first two to shore up Sullivan in the Senate race.
00:02:09.580He's having difficulty, I guess, with his congressman.
00:02:12.020They got this weird ranked choice voting.
00:02:13.820And the gimmicks the Democrats are using, they got another guy named Dan Sullivan that's also on the ballot in the first round.
00:02:20.700Bullhead City is for the entire Arizona ticket, for the entire Arizona ticket, and then Kalispell, Montana, this afternoon, which is for a congressional seat.
00:02:30.500That's Commander Zinke's old seat in western Montana, more up near Glacier National Park, Kalispell, one of the most beautiful places in the United States.
00:02:42.380He's there to shore up Canada because they've had a huge influx of Bay Area folks into that area to shore up the house seat, of which Zinke's stepping down.
00:02:54.680The point, the president is going around on a barnstorming extravaganza.
00:03:00.500Virtually every available spot that he can get, he's going to take, whether it's for House seats and for Senate seats.
00:03:08.680And there's some reality check news coming on this House, which everyone's going to be hand-to-hand combat.
00:07:58.840And by the way, with an unknown and coming out of the, they had a very tough and nasty primary.0.70
00:08:06.680One of the unspoken truths of what's happening here, both in Michigan, but particularly in Texas, is that black men are not excited about James Tallarico.0.65
00:08:15.420Remember, Texas, the Lone Star State, massive football program.
00:08:19.480It's a way for the young men to, you know, to get into great universities, get a great education, if not play pro football, which is a very small portion, at least to get to know people, become part of alumni association, get good jobs and careers.
00:08:33.940It's a way to basically, you know, bootstrap yourself up.
00:08:38.040Black men, Hispanic men, white working class are not going to support James Tallarico, who wants to put their boys in a dress.
00:08:45.920OK, it's just not going to happen.0.99
00:08:47.400the guy is a wimp and it showed i think so what has been so emblematic of this is what is he doing
00:08:55.180about his cold he had he's not pushing it he's not coming out and saying hey i had a cold here's a0.64
00:08:59.980doctor i was down hard that's why you know the guys the alamo held up for as many days as i was
00:09:05.220off sick uh without a doctor's note he doesn't have a doctor's note they're trying to tap dance
00:09:10.200away from that they showed the new york times some footage oh yeah that we we were there but
00:09:14.440they're not trying to sell this that, Hey, he was sick, diabetes. The reason is it's a bald
00:09:19.520face lie and they know it. And people in Texas are sitting there, none of whom get 13 days off
00:09:24.640for a head cold, ma'am. True. And I think it is worth, let's say he really was homesick with a
00:09:32.120head cold for 13 days. I think that's worse. Like that just shows to Texans how weak you are. Like
00:09:37.840you're in the home stretch where you're supposed to be fighting for your life, fighting for the
00:09:42.040the most sacred thing that, uh, a Texas citizen could give you, which is their vote.
00:09:47.400You didn't fight for it at all. You were just at your excuses. I was just at home with the
00:09:51.620sniffles. And so that's why I think he's not like leaning in too hard on saying you guys are liars.
00:09:56.560I was just homesick because I just think that makes him look so unbelievably weak because he0.98
00:10:00.660is so unbelievably weak and Hispanic and black voters see that they know that they, you know,0.97
00:10:06.760nobody hates this woke trans ideology BS more than Hispanics who are, you know, they're Catholic1.00
00:10:12.640and say, are you guys nuts? And African-American voters who think you guys are crazy for thinking1.00
00:10:17.660we should be dressing up our boys as girls and girls as boys. And so they, right now, I think
00:10:22.940the ads that are being brought against Tallarico are very effective because they are just running
00:10:27.160ads of Tallarico's own words. He came to fame in Texas politics on the Democrat side,
00:10:33.960writing this woke BS. He was preaching in churches about how inclusive we need to be. I mean,
00:10:39.840the amount of insane things that have come out of his mouth regarding six, 10, 12 genders is
00:10:45.800endless. And they're putting a lot of money behind that on television ads. And it is clearly working
00:10:50.160because nobody knew who Tallarico was before this. They still really don't know. But when you're
00:10:54.560seeing this, you're thinking this guy must be insane. Let's talk about that. They made a bet0.91
00:11:00.380early on and the rest of it's kind of been a con they made a bet early on that nobody knew this guy
00:11:05.060and they went to a very nasty um primary in which they didn't show jasmine crockett or her people0.90
00:11:11.320any respect whatsoever this is why there's never been really much enthusiasm from the black
00:11:16.020community down there which is a cornerstone of the democratic party and particularly black men
00:11:21.100but knowing that they had to kind of rehab this guy they put all this money up front and that's
00:11:26.320why at one point in time, he probably did have a five or six point lead just because they were
00:11:30.700carpet bombing and Paxson, there hadn't been an agreement among anybody about what's the strategy
00:11:35.240going to be here, but money was held in reserve. At that time, Caroline, remind me, I don't think
00:11:42.500Tallarico was looking for a debate, right? He wasn't banging the table saying, we need a debate,
00:11:48.540you need to debate me. It's when they ran out of money and they're still trying to do this con,
00:11:53.420hey, it's competitive, it's close, we're there, we just need a few more dollars,
00:11:57.320it's when they started to sink that now all of a sudden the biggest thing they've got
00:12:23.360He's going to get a spread here, right, to help down tickets.
00:12:26.700So there's no reason right now for Ken Paxton to do anything but just campaign hard, keep putting up these ads, and the grassroots just going door-to-door and pounding.
00:12:35.800Because the more people see of James Talafrico, the less they see him as a United States senator from Texas, ma'am.
00:12:46.540Yeah, you know, I was sort of on the fence about should Paxton debate or not.
00:12:50.340Until I saw Karl Rove squawking on Fox News yesterday, yelling about how he thinks Ken Paxton needs to and should, has a moral obligation to debate James Tallarico.
00:13:00.340So I now think that Ken Paxton should not debate James Tallarico because typically anything that Karl Rove thinks is a strategy, I am the opposite.
00:13:08.160So that helped seal the deal for me there.
00:13:09.920And look, if you are winning, if you are up, you're not begging to debate your opponent.
00:13:13.720That is not the sign of a winning campaign.
00:13:16.880I think there's about $800,000 left on his TV reservations.
00:13:21.880And so he has no other choice than to be met.
00:13:24.180But if you were that desperate for earned media and a debate so you could somehow be on television, get attention to your campaign and your race, then why were you missing for 13 days?
00:13:35.220Those were 13 days that you could have been hammering, calling for a debate, going on every single national news outlet saying, my opponent will not debate me.
00:13:43.120And instead, he was in bed with the sniffles.0.99
00:13:45.020Like it's it just speaks to how pathetic.1.00
00:13:51.600She froze. We're going to get her unfrozen here in a moment.1.00
00:13:54.200We're going to take a short commercial break.
00:16:46.300Also, Brian Harrison is going to speak to a Grassroots Get Out the Vote.
00:16:51.800The Get Out the Vote apparatus, as you saw last night from the show,
00:16:54.680talking in Michigan and Iowa, it is revved up full bore.
00:16:59.440I mean, people are hitting. It's really, really impressive how the grassroots is really turned to here and understand that, hey, things may not be perfect.
00:17:08.240Right. Not saying it is. But if you look at the opposition, that is a dark specter over the country.
00:17:14.680I just want to before we leave Texas and here's what you're seeing in Texas.
00:17:17.540It's the gravitational pull of doing these voter registrations and all the pick and shovel work that people do.
00:17:24.140Also, the redistricting. Right. People have worked hard on that, particularly in Texas and in Florida.
00:17:29.440this audience particularly. You're seeing people start to come home. It's particularly when
00:17:35.840the Democrat strategy of putting up all these negative ads early on starts to fade and they
00:17:43.100run out of money. And now they're running around trying to get additional money. Some of the big
00:17:47.220money donors, though, it's interesting, the Democratic Party, Caroline, have said, look,
00:17:51.660you've run this playbook on me before. I've had this. You've done this to me before. I've written
00:17:56.900huge checks and you don't have any wins and it looks like abdul in in michigan which also has0.79
00:18:03.400an african-american male problem from detroit they don't want their health care taken right
00:18:07.880these people are patriots uh they are into uh they are into football right and their sons play
00:18:14.700football and they don't see a guy like abdul uh you know crater to the uh the transgender left0.92
00:18:20.460which is in back of all this and put their sons in skirts that's just not going to happen these0.58
00:18:24.380people are culturally quite conservative the hispanic community and the black community it's
00:18:29.180just not going to happen but in texas it's starting to shift and it's usually the second
00:18:34.020week of october starting to shift you're starting to see this shift particularly when something like
00:18:38.720maris says talla rico's down four from where they were last time and you see it also in the money
00:18:44.680just walk people through particularly in the last couple weeks of a campaign these tv ads and the
00:18:49.980booking of TV ads? What does Tallarico's, what does the math from Tallarico's campaign show us?
00:18:55.340And what does the math in Paxson's campaign show us?
00:18:59.720The Democrats have tremendously less money than they have historically. Usually Democrats have
00:19:04.540always outspent Republicans, but the Democratic donors rightfully, you know, said after 2024,
00:19:10.880look, we gave you tons of money. You lost us the presidency, the House, the Senate, like we gave
00:19:15.400you billions of dollars and you lost all that. So we're not going to continue funding you. And the
00:19:19.760last time that they did that was really after 2004, when Bush had won the House, Senate and
00:19:25.140presidency there. And so right now you're seeing that moment. Then on top of that, the Trump
00:19:29.360administration has done a very good job of investigating the, what I say, well, there was
00:19:33.400a lot of fraud within the Democratic financing base. There was a lot of this money was run
00:19:37.440through nonprofits that are not allowed to be playing in political races. You know, the
00:19:41.440Arabelle advisors, which we've talked about forever in your show, had to shut down. Then also
00:19:46.220So the investigation into ActBlue, which is where, you know, ActBlue, I think, is the largest money laundering operation short of the Somali funds coming to this country.
00:19:55.760And so ActBlue has had to really be on watch.
00:19:58.260They're being bombarded with subpoenas.
00:20:00.020So a combination of those things has really stopped the funding on the Democrat side.
00:20:04.740And this late in the game, it's very hard.
00:20:06.180Even with buying television ads, the persuasion is largely over.
00:20:10.020And that's why I think that Republicans are in such a good spot.
00:20:12.420Look, Ken Paxton took a barrage of negative ads against him in the primary.
00:20:17.500It was about $150 million that SLF and Karl Rove and Thune ran against Ken Paxton.
00:20:31.000But now that means with Cal Rico trying to run these attack ads with very little money against Ken Paxton, it's stuff the voters already know.
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00:30:07.020Texas, as you know, Steve, we have become sort of the epicenter of the political universe in America right now.
00:30:12.660And I'm on my way to an Ellis County GOP get-out-the-vote rally at our Ellis County Historic Courthouse
00:30:19.380with our Republican nominee for Agriculture Commissioner, Nate Sheets, because we've got
00:30:25.020all of our local elections, our state-level elections, but all of our statewide, the
00:30:30.120Democrats are gunning for. They're taking nothing for granted, and Republican voters have to take
00:30:36.240nothing for granted as well. We've got to be as motivated as the Democrats are, and I hate to say
00:30:41.080it, Steve. I've never seen the Democrats this organized or this motivated. They think they
00:30:45.220smell blood in the water in Texas, and Republicans have got to remember we've got two and a half
00:30:49.160weeks. We've got to bring this home. Every Republican voter's got to do everything they
00:30:53.920can for the next two and a half weeks to make sure the radical leftists do not flip Texas blue.
00:30:58.820Let's talk about that for a second. I want to talk about how organized they are and how focused
00:31:02.640they are. These people are not going to give up without a fight. We've seen that all year. We
00:31:06.560were there back in January with Senate District 9. These people are organized, they got money,
00:31:12.200and they're going to fight. This is not air game. This is ground game. Walk me through that for a
00:31:16.260moment. What are we up against? They smell blood, but they're highly organized, correct?
00:31:22.200No, absolutely. In fact, Democrats, something the Republicans did not even do, the Democrats
00:31:26.620found a candidate for every single state and federal office, state rep, state Senate, U.S.
00:31:33.000Congress, all of it. The Democrats feel, and they're running in 100% of the districts. And
00:31:37.960I'm going to tell you a statistic that's going to shock some of your listeners, but people need to
00:31:41.660know the truth right now. We're on the cusp. We're within a point, 1.2 points on a lot of our
00:31:47.460statewide in a state like Texas that went for Trump, about 14 points, guys. The ground has
00:31:53.140moved in the last two years. And let me tell you something a lot of folks don't know. More Democrats
00:31:57.760voted in our primary in March than Republicans. It was about 2.2 million to 2.3 million in the
00:32:05.720Democrats' favor. So if we have that same kind of voter turnout disparity, I'm going to say this
00:32:11.980again, where more Democrats went to the polls in our primary, guys, if that happens again in
00:32:17.160November, two and a half weeks from today, Texas is in very real risk of turning blue. And with it,
00:32:24.560the biggest electoral firewall we've got against the radical Marxist leftist progressives taking
00:32:30.300over our country. The stakes could not be higher. The Democrats are organized. They're more excited
00:32:35.320than I've seen them. And Republicans, I think they're waking up a little bit. And I know there's
00:32:40.440some apathy out there. I'm going to be really honest and really blunt, Steve. You know I am.
00:32:43.900I've been critical of a lot of the Republican leadership in the state of Texas. Some Republican
00:32:47.980voters have been a little dissatisfied, and I get that. Believe me. But listen, let me say this
00:32:52.240really clear. Whatever frustrations you may or may not have had with any Republican on the ballot,
00:32:57.480their Democrat opponent is 100 times worse, or their Democrat opponent is 1,000 times worse.
00:33:03.180And you will have the party of Nancy Pelosi and AOC trying to destroy the biggest red state in America.
00:33:09.740And we've got two and a half weeks to make sure that does not happen.
00:33:12.920Every Republican from the governor on down to your county commissioner has got to get reelected if we're going to save this Republican, save this state.
00:33:22.500Now, when you're going to a grassroots right now, we've been talking to the grassroots, having them up.
00:33:26.600They are definitely getting mobilized over these last couple of weeks.
00:33:29.900And you can see this in some of the polling, you know, Maris has got polling out today, shows Tallarico dropping, but also generic ballots now, first time favoring Republicans.
00:33:39.900Walk me through the grassroots and the people out there that really deliver on elections, because this is a turnout election.
00:34:44.320it's a real possibility that if things don't change, the Democrats, the Marxist progressive
00:34:51.200leftists could take over our beloved, the great state of Texas. So as those two things are
00:34:57.980happening, I think voters are realizing, okay, we cannot take freedom in Texas for granted.
00:35:03.440We can't take the fact that we elected Trump with 14 points for granted. We mentioned Steven
00:35:08.440In Tarrant County, my backyard here, we had a state Senate district that was heavily for Trump that a Democrat actually won.
00:35:17.460People are realizing this, and I think they're really starting to get motivated.
00:35:21.540So I will tell you, I have felt on the ground over the past two weeks, starting with how I was campaigning at a rally with Ken Paxton in Waco a week or two ago.
00:35:29.160I am starting to feel a shift on the ground in our direction.
00:36:24.060Brian E. Harrison on Twitter, or it's X now, at Brian E. Harrison.
00:36:29.060I will be posting updates on not just policy, but politics, the campaigns, how important folks are to remember the truth of what's going on on the ground and how vital Texas is.
00:36:40.160We're not just a battleground state right now.
00:36:42.560Texas is the battleground state, the biggest battleground state, because the left know if they can defeat, if they can flip Texas blue, we may never get a real Republican in the White House again.
00:36:50.800And we'll keep posting about that every day at Brian E. Harrison on X and at Brian E. Harrison, Stephen.
00:36:56.100Appreciate you getting the word out as always.
00:36:59.060Thank you, sir. Appreciate it. Tell everybody down there.
00:37:00.980We got their back, and we're going to be doing this nonstop for the next three weeks, sir.
00:37:43.960That's when you get more energy in back of the grassroots.
00:37:46.660In fact, Burkwam's going to be up there with grassroots people in a little while.
00:37:50.180Continue on your assessment of these Senate seats, ma'am.
00:37:55.380You know, Minnesota is interesting. Fox just moved Minnesota Senate from a likely Democrat to a lean Democrat as the polling shows that the Republican there, Michelle DeFoya, is winning over independents.
00:38:06.580And look, she's running against the Democrat Lieutenant Governor Peggy Flanagan. And really what is driving that race is the fraud in Minnesota.
00:38:13.500And, you know, Lieutenant Governor Flanagan was just not some innocent bystander, you know, observing the fraud.
00:38:19.860She was in charge of overseeing it as a lieutenant governor. And the state, people in that state are very angry.
00:38:24.680It was so blatant what they were doing. And so they don't like Flanagan. The race continues to
00:38:29.440tighten. It's still an uphill battle because we're, you know, it's a battle on not our home
00:38:34.440turf. Republicans have not held a U.S. Senate seat in Minnesota since Norm Coleman 2009. But they feel
00:38:40.720good about their chances to end that streak. I think we've never had a better chance to. And so
00:38:44.760that race, you know, I think is very tight. And I think we have a real chance there. And there's1.00
00:38:49.300some real money coming in for her on the home stretch. In Michigan, you know, El Saeed is an
00:38:53.900arrogant prick. He's a con man that was or wasn't born in Egypt, that is or isn't a doctor. You1.00
00:39:00.240know, voters are realizing not only can they not trust this guy, they don't like him. You do not
00:39:05.200like him when he is doing the opposite of James Tallarico. He is campaigning extremely hard. I'll
00:39:10.900give him that. You see him everywhere. But I think it almost harms him. I think he should maybe do
00:39:15.380the basement strategy because the more you see of El Saeed, the less that you like this man.
00:39:20.140Mike Rogers is running a very good race and he's keeping it extremely tight.
00:39:25.420And so this is where I really think that we could pick up a seat in Michigan.
00:39:29.100And that means if we were to lose North Carolina, which, you know, I'm not going to go too far into there.
00:39:34.140North Carolina is looking like a pretty big stretch and that would be a pickup for the Democrats.
00:39:38.160We could really offset that with Michigan and maintain the 43 or sorry, 47.53 Republican Senate majority.
00:39:46.860What is your concern about that slate across Kansas, Nebraska, Iowa?
00:39:53.920My concern is diesel prices. That is it. Iowa we went into earlier. I think Ashley Henson's
00:39:59.140running a very strong race, and so I think Iowa's going to be fine. Kansas is a weird one, I will
00:40:05.080say. I am nervous about Kansas. It popped up late in the race. The Democrats have a fairly strong
00:40:12.180candidate. You know, he's a pastor of the largest church in the state, running essentially as a
00:40:16.920Republican. If you look at his ads and his interviews, he is not in any way a Republican.
00:40:21.760I will tell you he is a lifelong Democrat. And in the when you're voting in the Senate, it's like
00:40:27.000all you are is really a vote for the majority. Very rarely do senators vote against their
00:40:32.540majority. And so, you know, to Kansas voters, if you are for some reason upset with your Republican
00:40:38.700nominee there, please do not go and vote for the Democratic Party. You don't want a Democrat
00:40:42.900majority. I know Kansas does not want that. And so I think ultimately those voters will come home
00:40:47.880and that we will hold Kansas. But it's certainly a state that we're having to spend a lot of time
00:40:52.140and money in late in the stretch that nobody had expected that. But, you know, regarding the
00:40:56.580Midwest, it really just comes down to farmers being upset over the diesel prices. Alaska,
00:41:02.580he went last night to Wasala, big crowd, very enthusiastic. People now jacked up.
00:41:07.180this gimmick in the way they vote up there. They got this other Dan Sullivans on the ticket.
00:41:12.960What's your assessment? Sullivan has not been known as a great campaigner or a tireless
00:41:17.760campaigner. I think that's about to change in the next two and a half weeks, ma'am.
00:41:22.420Alaska is a weird state. It's similar to Maine. It's just, it's a weird state. And so you have
00:41:26.980Murkowski really not out there doing any favors for her colleague, Dan Sullivan. She's been
00:41:31.240pretty quiet in all of this, whereas you usually see a Republican, fellow Republican senator out
00:41:36.740really helping. She's not activated her, you know, sadly, this is the truth. There are Murkowski
00:41:41.560voters in Alaska. We saw that when she lost her primary and then literally won a write-in vote.0.95
00:41:47.140So to say there's not Murkowski voters in Alaska is just untrue. And she's not doing any favors for
00:41:51.800Dan Sullivan and not really activating those people to say, come on and get out and vote.0.80
00:41:56.180Mary Piltola is a, I would say, pretty decent candidate for the Democrats. She's a psychopath.1.00
00:42:02.240If you actually read, what was it, Wall Street Journal or New York Times profile about her.1.00
00:42:07.280She doesn't sound like a very fun, not someone I would want to go get a beer with at all.
00:42:11.360But Dan Sullivan is just he's been kind of a quiet member, but he's been a really rock solid Republican vote.
00:42:17.620I think he's done a lot to help his state. And so I certainly hope that we end up winning there.
00:42:22.360It's just one, you know, I it is I don't base anything off of public polling there.
00:42:27.440Public polling totally missed, you know, Murkowski's right in a win there.
00:42:31.640and they missed the primary loss there so i you know alaska's one where i just i don't know what
00:42:36.220is going to happen i'm least certain about what is going to happen there but i sure hope dan
00:42:40.060sullivan pulls it off and and the uh incumbent senator dan sullivan not the fake proxy dan
00:42:44.820sullivan the democrats funded and put onto the ballot to confuse their voters uh caroline where
00:42:50.100do people get you on social media where they go to follow bomber command sure it's at caroline
00:42:55.380on x truth social and getter uh real quickly south carolina are we going to be in trouble there
00:43:01.800is that going to is uh graham going to pull that out no graham will be fine there they they they
00:43:07.680had lindsey graham down you know six points to jamie harrison in 2020 and he won by 12 i don't
00:43:12.920buy it at all i think darlin i think it will be tighter just because the state is just now getting
00:43:17.660to know darlene graham uh but i if we lose south carolina that means it will be a full massive
00:43:24.000wipe out we also lose you know michigan minnesota iowa ohio and uh but i i don't see that happening
00:43:31.180yeah by the way great job in texas great job on talarico the tip of the tip of the spear
00:43:37.140caroline renn thank you man for joining us this morning short break
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00:44:56.000These people, Michael Kunzler and his team, are absolutely terrific.
00:51:17.020Real quickly, in the two Floridas that you guys are very close to, what's the enthusiasm and urgency meter?
00:51:25.820Are people finally aware that, hey, we've got to turn out, you've got to get your vote, particularly the MAGA base and the lower propensity MAGA base?
00:51:32.860Is that now finally dawned on people, or is it still a problem?
00:51:36.280Yeah, not only that, both of those are plus four R's.
00:51:38.800They're very close right now, so to come out to motors are important.
00:51:42.460But what we're doing is we're getting all the YRs out.
00:51:44.980They're going out and knocking on doors. They're getting people out. You can still get a mail-in1.00
00:51:50.320ballot here in Florida, which is important because some of these people can't go out.
00:51:53.840I think it's very close. We'll have more information for you next week.
00:51:57.960Scott Singer, terrific candidate. He was the mayor of Boca Raton. Casey Asgar, I listened to him for
00:52:03.560an hour. Phenomenal candidate. So let's get out there and vote. That's the most important thing.
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