Bannon's War Room - Episode 5748： Fight For Texas： Early Voting Continues

00:00:00.000 It comes as Texans began casting their ballots yesterday for the start of early voting.

00:00:06.180 Some areas of the state saw record turnout, such as nearly 80,000 people casting a ballot in Dallas

00:00:12.520 County, an increase of nearly 20,000 from the first day of voting in 2024. In El Paso, more

00:00:20.620 than 20,000 people voted early. That's 90 percent more than at the same point in the 2022 midterm

00:00:28.600 election. I think a lot of Republicans will look back at what could have been and what could have

00:00:34.560 been after 2024 was you were forging a new formidable coalition, Joe, if you were a Republican

00:00:41.940 that would have broken the back of the Democratic Party. If you can convert working class black 0.66

00:00:48.420 voters, Hispanic voters, Asian voters, along with the white voters you've already brought over, 0.92

00:00:52.860 there is no path for Democrats to find 270 electoral votes.

00:00:57.400 There is no path for Democrats to find 51 Senate seats.

00:01:00.460 They're going to be on their heels in the House.

00:01:03.560 And Trump frittering that away, I think, will be one of the most significant stories of our lifetime

00:01:11.980 in terms of what could have been, because those trends were looking more and more dire for the Republicans

00:01:18.020 until the Hispanic vote swung over in 24.

00:01:20.340 And then to give that away like they did entirely on their own is such an indictment of the Trump project and such an indictment of the folks around him who were obviously just not focused on trying to sustain his support because they were never in it for the party or for the movement.

00:01:38.340 You know, it's all about the momentary win for Trump.

00:01:41.740 But boy, is it a incredible what if to have been able to convert a lot of those folks in the Rio Grande Valley, you know, generational Democrats.

00:01:51.280 And then to just give them back two years later, I think we will look back on 20 years from now, 30 years from now.

00:01:58.000 It's a seminal moment in American politics.

00:02:01.220 Tuesday, 20 October, the year of our Lord, 2026, a lot there.

00:02:06.920 and we're going to discuss that over the next couple of days, obviously.

00:02:10.940 Right now we're focused on, you can't talk about what if and what happened.

00:02:14.680 You've got to focus on victory because we can't go in reverse,

00:02:18.740 and there's a possibility we could go in reverse.

00:02:20.620 People know that.

00:02:21.160 That's what people are turning to and working nonstop

00:02:24.060 in two weeks from the night, game day.

00:02:27.040 Luke Macias joins us.

00:02:29.040 As you know, over the last several years,

00:02:30.960 whether it is the impeachment of Ken Paxton and Dade Phelan,

00:02:35.220 the guys in the House kind of dropping it out on Memorial Day weekend and then the Senate picking

00:02:39.260 it up, or the redistricting, the massive redistricting fights we went through. Every

00:02:44.380 time we have something about Texas, whether it's 22 campaign, 24, we turn to Luke Macias. Now, Luke,

00:02:53.000 as we've told everybody it was going to happen, the eyes of the world, not just the eyes of Texas,

00:02:57.720 the eyes of the world are on Texas right now, because as Texas goes, so goes the nation. Now,

00:03:03.500 we've had the first day of early in-person voting. You're the guy I turn to all the time to make the

00:03:09.360 numbers make sense. So take your time and just walk us through because they're chest beating

00:03:13.460 on MSNBC throughout the day that it's, I think, one of the biggest turnouts of not the biggest

00:03:19.000 turnout for Democrats in Texas history. Walk us through this, sir. Yeah, so the good news is

00:03:26.380 a lot of Republicans voted yesterday, more Republicans than in any midterm election we've

00:03:31.980 ever seen on day one in the state of Texas. The bad news is a record number of Democrats also

00:03:37.100 voted yesterday. And we're just getting our hands around the actual data. So Steve, I will tell you

00:03:42.420 over the next day or two or three, I'll have a lot more analysis to break down for you. But let's

00:03:48.140 start here. What we saw in most of these counties was an 86 to 90% of what voted on the first day

00:03:56.760 of the 2024 presidential election, and that is massively historic.

00:04:01.060 Now, again, the good news is while Travis County had record turnout, very Democrat,

00:04:05.600 you also had Montgomery County, one of the deepest red, larger suburban counties out

00:04:09.840 there north of Houston that also had record turnout.

00:04:12.240 We are concerned that Democrats are banking so much of their high propensity vote early.

00:04:18.400 Now, again, Republicans are getting our people to the polls, but you have to understand

00:04:22.020 And Democrats had a massive amount of people from some of the early analysis.

00:04:26.560 A lot of those people are people that normally might have voted on election day.

00:04:30.860 Maybe they voted by mail in the past.

00:04:32.420 Maybe they voted in the second week.

00:04:33.760 And they're all just showing up now.

00:04:35.420 And what you know and I know is that early behavior tends to potentially indicate how

00:04:42.080 much energy they're going to have.

00:04:44.160 The question for Republicans is, can we right now bank as many votes as possible and then

00:04:49.020 start turning out, not only the people we know are going to vote. Okay, a lot of my friends that

00:04:53.780 voted yesterday with me in line, we might have normally been people that waited a week and we

00:04:58.560 just voted the first day. Now we have to go find all those people who don't always vote in midterm

00:05:03.840 elections. There's about 3 million patriots that routinely show up for presidential elections that

00:05:10.020 we cannot count on showing up in this midterm. If 70% of those, if two of the 3 million show up,

00:05:17.620 it's game, set, match for Republicans, and we will keep Texas dark red. The question is,

00:05:23.260 will they actually come? And it's many of the people that we know. It's not the people that

00:05:27.120 even watch this show. It's the people that everyone watching this show knows that go to

00:05:32.800 the church with them, that hang out with them in the coffee shop, that complain about politics,

00:05:37.500 that complain about the left, but don't actually show up and engage. And those are the people we

00:05:42.080 have to actually get to turn out. Let me just hit rewind for a second. When you say 86% of a

00:05:49.980 presidential cycle, you've been doing this for a while. Have you ever seen a first day of a midterm

00:05:56.480 of an off presidential cycle, like in 22 or in 18? Have you ever seen anything that compares to

00:06:03.020 what you've seen in the last 24 hours of the first day of the vote on both sides, but particularly

00:06:09.900 the Democrats? Yeah, so we've never seen it. 2022, 2018, which everybody remembers was the

00:06:16.420 year that Beto O'Rourke came within a couple percentage points of beating Ted Cruz. We did

00:06:20.460 not see Democrat turnout on day one like this. Here's what we saw yesterday. Ken Paxton was

00:06:25.180 doing rallies. Greg Abbott was doing rallies. Trump announced that he's coming back to Texas.

00:06:29.380 We had record Republican turnout. We're almost trying to create our own wave to hit the blue

00:06:34.360 wave. Okay. I mean, blue wave just means a lot more people that are left or showing up than

00:06:40.240 normally show up. And what we're basically trying to do is match that energy. So when these two

00:06:44.620 waves collide, you end up with keeping Texas red. That's what I feel like in some ways we're

00:06:49.840 fighting for right now, because we cannot, we cannot discourage the Democrats anymore.

00:06:56.000 They are, they are on fire. They're mad. They want this state. They want this country back

00:07:02.120 and they're showing up like it. And the question is, can we take a lot of people,

00:07:06.200 some of whom are disenfranchised, some of whom are frustrated and go,

00:07:09.320 this is about preserving what we have in Texas so that we can continue to fight and be an example

00:07:14.740 for America. Let me go back and I want to get some concepts out there because we'll be talking

00:07:19.420 about these all the way through, I think the Friday, the 30th, the last day of early voting

00:07:24.580 in Texas, then there'll be a gap and then there'll be election day. We have this concept called

00:07:30.220 cannibalization. Do you believe right now that the Democrats are cannibalizing their votes?

00:07:36.780 So you're seeing a bunch of big numbers as they come out in the first couple of days,

00:07:40.360 but they're taking their, you know, they're taking their best crops and putting them in storage.

00:07:46.820 Or is this where you think they're doing this to then buy themselves some time

00:07:50.940 to go get, to go dig out their own low propensity and maybe no propensity,

00:07:56.040 because who in the hell knows where they get some of these votes from?

00:07:58.840 So the Democrat strategy, in your mind, is this cannibalization or is it something more well thought through?

00:08:07.660 So that is what some of the early data has indicated.

00:08:10.560 And like I said, Steve, I think in the next couple of days we'll get a lot better understanding of what that looks like.

00:08:17.000 We did cannibalize a lot of votes on both sides yesterday with the record turnout.

00:08:21.160 I mean, Wise County and Parker Counties, these really deep red counties, voting more people than they've ever voted in an election.

00:08:27.960 but a lot of those people were regular voters. On the Democrat side, we saw the same thing in

00:08:32.560 Dallas County and in Travis County. Dallas County had the highest turnout, which is the biggest

00:08:37.000 concern. 90% of the amount of people that voted in 2024 voted on the first day, okay? That is

00:08:43.200 very, very high in one of the deepest blue counties in Texas. Now, you saw places like

00:08:48.140 Montgomery County coming close to 70%, Bell County coming close to 70%. So Republicans were also

00:08:54.220 showing up. A lot of that vote gets cannibalized, but you hit on something, which is that the more

00:09:00.020 Democrats that show up in the first couple days, the more James Tallarico and Gina Hinojosa and

00:09:06.960 the national Democrats can actually spend their money now targeting low propensity Democrats that

00:09:11.720 don't often vote. And that's one reason why we often show up now. Republicans need to vote now

00:09:16.600 and then get their friends to vote now because every single vote that gets cast is money we can

00:09:21.400 stop spending on those people, and we can go down and find these less engaged patriots and pull them

00:09:26.700 out to the polls. A lot of it is early, just cannibalization. Hopefully what we're going to

00:09:30.740 see in Texas, which we don't know, but in Nevada, in Ohio, and in Florida, you see the Democrats

00:09:36.300 always start stronger, and then Republicans catch up over time. The same thing is in Arizona. I think

00:09:42.260 you and I spent some time in Arizona back when the governor's race was so close with Kerry Lake.

00:09:46.900 I mean, we witnessed the problems with Republicans constantly playing the catch-up game,

00:09:51.400 So, the earlier we can bank our votes, the better.

00:09:54.300 Democrats have cannibalized their vote to some extent.

00:09:57.000 They have had a bunch of their high-propensity people vote on day one.

00:10:00.100 That does give them an advantage.

00:10:02.240 What we now need to do as Republicans is the same thing they're doing in Nevada and Ohio and Florida, which is just gain Republican votes every single day.

00:10:10.380 I want to say, and we've probably spent by the end of the time, we'll probably have spent half the year in Texas starting in January.

00:10:17.260 I just want the audience to understand the intensity out here of the grassroots, the intensity of the canvassing, the door knocking.

00:10:25.020 Somebody told me the other day, gave me a statistic, 12 or 15 million doors may be knocked on Texas by the Republicans before this over.

00:10:33.140 You do this for a living and you're a Texan.

00:10:36.160 Talk to me about that, basically the outpouring of people going door to door, of talking to people, of making their list of 10.

00:10:43.940 People should know it's pretty intense, is it not?

00:10:46.520 It is. And I do think that what we've seen is that three months ago, Republicans had a 17 point gap in energy.

00:10:54.840 OK, so 17 percent of the Republicans were less than Democrats were disengaged in the electoral process just in the last week.

00:11:03.560 And I think this has happened with all of the work that so many people have done.

00:11:06.420 And when you have a conversation and that ripples on and ripples on and ripples on, we've seen that the Republican energy is either matching in the polling or just two or three points under.

00:11:15.200 So we've finally gotten to a point to where we've gotten more of our friends engaged, and now we have to get to a point to where we say, now let's go get a few more unengaged people and drag them to the polls.

00:11:26.040 It is true, though, that you're going to see, I believe, well over 12 million doors knocked by Republicans in the state of Texas to low propensity, mid propensity, high propensity, swing voters trying to move them over.

00:11:36.440 Just yesterday, 12 border sheriff Democrats, Democrat sheriffs endorsed Greg Abbott over

00:11:43.760 Gina Hinojosa because of her past position on the immigration issue.

00:11:48.080 And it's just a good reminder.

00:11:49.200 Hey, we still have some sanity here, but we've got to get that to these swing voters, move

00:11:53.980 them over in time, more so than persuade anybody.

00:11:57.660 You've talked about this a lot.

00:11:59.180 Steve, we're kind of almost past the point of persuasion.

00:12:01.460 We've persuaded who we can persuade.

00:12:03.480 Now we have to grab them to the polls.

00:12:05.800 Early indicators are that a lot of the turnout's cannibalization, but the reality is that it's a wake-up call.

00:12:11.960 Democrats are really, really excited, and now we have to match that.

00:12:16.320 Luke, before we have you back on the next couple of days, make us smart.

00:12:19.200 What is Luke Macias going to be looking for in the next couple of days to see if we can get some indication where this thing's headed?

00:12:26.580 I want to see the rural counties start to show up.

00:12:29.140 Rural counties historically vote much more on Election Day than early voting.

00:12:32.560 there's a lot less locations. So we've got to see those rural counties really start to show up in a

00:12:37.600 big way, which will give us a better outlook on the state of Texas. The rural counties also come

00:12:43.220 in late. And so the Secretary of State, when they're updating their statewide file, the last

00:12:47.400 bit of data they get in is from all those rural counties in the hinterlands. So in the next couple

00:12:51.540 days, we're hoping that rural Texas start showing up in a big way and that in these suburban counties

00:12:58.640 where Republicans have really been working on the mid and low propensity Republicans,

00:13:02.620 that we start seeing some of them actually show up to participate in the election. As long as we

00:13:07.040 can see some of them start to show up, we know that the last several months of work is actually

00:13:11.660 starting to bear fruit. And now the question is, can we just keep pouring gas on that fire

00:13:16.020 and drag more and more people? Those are probably some of the biggest data points that I'm looking

00:13:20.960 to track. As Luke said so brilliantly, the gap that we had for most of this year,

00:13:27.620 The gap we had even up to Labor Day, that 17-point gap in urgency, is now wiped out.

00:13:33.960 It's basically a dead heat, and this is all about grassroots political muscle on the left

00:13:38.680 and, of course, the MAGA movement, President Trump's movement, conservatives here in Texas.

00:13:43.700 Luke, where do people get your podcast, where do they get your social media, all the information

00:13:47.560 of all the great analytics you continue to put up, sir?

00:13:51.740 On X, it's Luke Macias, TX.

00:13:53.740 The Luke Messiah Show is on YouTube, Apple Podcasts, wherever you listen or watch your shows.

00:13:59.520 That's where you can find me.

00:14:01.280 Steve, I was going to share just one very quick story.

00:14:03.300 There's a guy in my life who I've known here for a while because he moved to Texas from New York to escape the tyranny of COVID that he was under.

00:14:10.220 If you asked him at any point in the last six years why he's in Texas, it would be because he was trying to move to a free state.

00:14:16.880 But two years ago, when I asked him if he had voted in any election since he had moved here, the answer was no.

00:14:23.040 and I would not have naturally thought that this guy was not participating in the electoral process

00:14:29.580 and thank God I talked to him a couple months before 2024 because we had time to make sure

00:14:34.160 he was registered to vote and actually got out to the polls him and his wife. Hang on I want to

00:14:37.860 finish this story but I want to finish it on the other side we got a commercial break hang on Luke

00:14:41.320 Macias a guy from New York about the pandemic now in the free state of Texas short break.

00:14:53.040 We're a couple of months out, but the midterms are fast approaching.

00:15:04.960 And make no mistake, if the House flips to the Democrats, it's a big deal for our economy.

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00:16:12.860 So, Luke, I want to make sure you've got some runway here because this story, I think, is emblematic of the issue we have before us, not simply in Texas, but in Michigan, in Iowa, everywhere.

00:16:28.680 Give me that story from the top.

00:16:31.080 So, a friend of mine moved here and got connected to several people that are really close to us when they moved here from New York.

00:16:38.200 And they did so in 2020.

00:16:39.880 So, we're in San Antonio.

00:16:40.980 They're in San Antonio.

00:16:41.820 They're talking about how they've just decided to, the straw the birth of Campbell's back

00:16:46.220 was COVID, the tyranny that was there.

00:16:48.000 They decided to pick Texas, which is the story that many of us in Texas know.

00:16:51.660 Our neighbors are from California and New York, and they're patriots that moved here

00:16:55.380 to be part of what we've done in Texas and to make Texas even more free.

00:17:00.060 But it was a couple months before the 2024 election that I just asked him, I just got

00:17:05.000 around to saying, hey, by the way, are you going to vote?

00:17:09.160 And he said, I think so.

00:17:10.100 I said, are you registered?

00:17:11.820 I think so. And I got really concerned because this guy didn't even know if he was registered.

00:17:15.760 I said, did you vote in the last election? I think so. Which also meant no, by the way,

00:17:19.980 if somebody says they think they voted two years ago, they didn't vote. So it was a great reminder

00:17:25.700 that this person that I had known for four years up until that point, who I would have assumed

00:17:31.780 was engaged in keeping Texas red, was not even registered to vote. And this was a couple months

00:17:36.700 before an election. That person got registered to vote. That person participated in the 2024

00:17:40.280 election. That person's voting early this week. And I say that story because we assume, in fact,

00:17:48.760 I think your listeners and viewers and I assume that the people that I know in my life that I

00:17:54.240 know care about Texas are engaged in the election. And that is not what the data says. The data says

00:17:59.820 millions of them, if James Tallarico wins by 1%, millions of patriotic Texans are going to wake up

00:18:06.300 the next day and say, what? If I had known that, I would have gotten out, and I would have gotten

00:18:10.760 my friends and family out. I went and polled the 3 million patriots in Texas that don't normally

00:18:17.000 vote in midterm elections, but we know are very conservative, and asked them who they think the

00:18:21.340 next U.S. senator is going to be. And 75% of them said they think Ken Paxton is going to win.

00:18:27.760 But here's the sad thing. They're not all planning on participating in the election.

00:18:31.700 That's the irony of it. It's all these people at home saying Texas is red, Texas is always going to

00:18:36.160 be red. Texas is going to stay red. And they're not tuned into the fact that Texas is only as

00:18:42.040 red as the people who vote. So that's what the next two weeks is going to be about.

00:18:46.720 Luke, a podcast one more time. It's brilliant. And I want more people to go watch you, sir.

00:18:52.660 Yeah, the Luke Messiah show. I'm very original in my naming. We just couldn't do the war room.

00:18:58.360 I couldn't carry the name. It was too much to do. So we just talked with the name and then the word

00:19:03.520 show. It was safe. Luke Macias show. We talk once a week about everything going on in Texas,

00:19:08.360 policy, politics, and insider's perspective. Luke, thank you so much. We'll hope we get you

00:19:14.180 back in the next couple of days and go through the math. Thank you, sir. Thank you. Luke laid

00:19:19.080 it out there to set the three million. Okay. Let's, I got a, I got a clip. I got the Brian

00:19:23.240 Harrison's going to join us here in a moment. Let's play this clip and I want to bring Brian

00:19:26.240 has warned us about this for years. Now it's national news. It's all over. It's gone viral

00:19:31.920 because of CNN interview last night. Let's play it. I appreciate your time. OK, everyone is watching

00:19:37.760 Texas now. I mean, you know, my my algorithm is feeding me kind of county by county, hour by hour

00:19:44.320 vote tallies. Right. There's a level of granularity here I never expected to be a part of. But you say

00:19:50.560 that you will never vote for your fellow Republican Ken Paxton. Can you tell me why?

00:19:55.180 i i'm a lifelong first of all thank you for having me on your show i appreciate it i watch

00:20:02.620 you all the time i i um i'm a republican lifelong republican but just because i wear the same jersey

00:20:10.520 as ken paxton does not obligate me to vote for ken paxton if he does not align with my

00:20:16.420 moral and integrity um baseline as a candidate for office in the state of texas then i don't

00:20:24.460 I'm not inclined to vote for him.

00:20:26.320 I mean, I will skip that race, and I think there are a lot of Texans who feel like I feel to skip that race.

00:20:33.300 That's what happens when you nominate individuals who are not, in my personal opinion, share the values of a lot of Republican voters.

00:20:42.620 I've been a Republican my entire life.

00:20:45.900 Going back to 1994, when I graduated from high school, that was the last time Democrats won a statewide race in the state of Texas.

00:20:52.880 They're Democrats on the longest losing streak of any party currently in the state of Texas.

00:20:59.360 The Democrats are. And we can turn this state blue if we don't nominate the right Republicans.

00:21:06.260 And so I am not going to just vote for somebody because they wear the same jersey as I do.

00:21:11.040 And I don't think I'm alone in that regard.

00:21:14.640 Listen, I I'm a team player, but at some point I got to draw the line.

00:21:19.480 And Ken Paxson is a line I will draw.

00:21:22.180 OK, so let me let me try to get understand this a couple different ways, because you said you'll sit that line out.

00:21:27.700 In other words, you're going to vote and you're going to vote on other races, it sounds like.

00:21:31.000 But you may not. You may just leave this one blank.

00:21:33.420 So I guess is that what you're saying? Because I know you've lauded James Tallarico's campaign.

00:21:38.120 You call him a friend. Right. I know you've worked together. Right.

00:21:40.660 You think highly of him. But it sounds like you're not actually going to vote for him.

00:21:46.100 I'm skipping the right. There was a young man that warned us about this for the longest time.

00:21:51.400 Brian Harrison right there on national TV in the slot in the primetime slot on CNN.

00:21:58.460 And the buried lead is at the very beginning. He says, hey, I watch you every night.

00:22:03.560 Who watches Aaron Burnett every night? That's not lefty. Sir, Brian Harrison, the floor is yours, sir.

00:22:09.860 Unbelievable. This is just more dishonest than fake news from the mainstream liberal media.

00:22:14.940 What they're counting on, what CNN is counting on, and there's some reason for them to believe this,

00:22:19.880 is that most viewers in America, when you put on the Republican speaker of the Texas House,

00:22:25.240 people probably assume that person's a conservative fighter for liberty and freedom in America.

00:22:30.520 What they're counting on you not knowing is the absolute truth. And look, when I got done working

00:22:35.060 for President Trump in his first term and I got elected to the Texas legislature, nothing could

00:22:38.940 have prepared me for the shock of learning what might be the biggest scandal, underreported scandal

00:22:42.820 in America, and that's that the GOP-dominated Texas House is actually controlled, lock stock

00:22:48.860 and two smoking barrels by radical Democrats, including James Tallarico. That guy, my colleague,

00:22:54.780 Dade Phelan, what he didn't tell you and what CNN didn't tell you is that he was the Republican

00:22:58.880 Speaker that was elected by the House Democrat Caucus, including James Tallarico. What people

00:23:07.040 don't know, for almost 20 years, it's been the House Democrat Caucus that actually elects the

00:23:12.140 supposedly Republican Speaker. So that guy, Dade, he is not a conservative fighter. In fact, he was

00:23:17.980 the guy that was carrying the water for liberal Democrat policies during his years as a speaker

00:23:23.800 of the Texas House. So the fact is the Texas House is controlled by Democrats. Our current speaker

00:23:28.340 was elected by Democrats, including by James Tallarico. I'm going to say this one more time.

00:23:32.800 James Tallarico has been electing the last couple of Republican speakers of the Texas House. That's

00:23:39.420 how corrupt the institution of the Texas House is. And what he's not telling you, I guess he told a

00:23:44.320 little bit of truth there at the end. He said, oh, he got his feelings hurt when Ken Paxton was

00:23:48.040 campaigning against him in his district. Well, that is true. And I know it's true. How? Well,

00:23:52.940 I was with Ken Paxton in Dade Phelan's district in his primary campaigning to defeat him so that

00:23:58.660 we could try to get a real Republican in that seat. And what he's also not telling you and

00:24:01.800 what CNN didn't tell you is that Dade Phelan, our fake Republican speaker, just like our current

00:24:06.980 fake Republican speaker, voted to impeach Ken Paxton. So CNN is counting on people not knowing

00:24:14.020 that our Republican speakers are elected by Democrats like James Tallarico and that our

00:24:18.400 current speaker and our former speaker, Dade Phelan, actually led the fight to impeach Ken

00:24:23.340 Paxson. So it is the surprise to the surprise of absolutely nobody who's been following the real

00:24:29.340 inner workings of the corruption of the Texas government that our current or former speakers

00:24:33.380 are out there carrying water effectively for James Tallarico. I'm going to say this again,

00:24:37.320 if you're not voting for Ken Paxson, that's effectively a vote for James Tallarico and

00:24:41.240 the Democrat Socialists of America. You only have two options, either Ken Paxson or James Tallarico

00:24:46.000 is going to be the next United States senator from the state of Texas. And the last thing I want is

00:24:49.920 Texas's own version of Bernie Sanders representing 30 million patriotic Texans. Okay, you've got

00:24:56.220 Karl Rove, Cornyn, Phelan, you've got the entire Republicans. Seems like the established order

00:25:02.000 is absolutely apoplectic about Ken Paxson. One, what are we going to do about it? And do you see

00:25:09.040 itself manifesting already in the first day of early voting, sir? Well, they're being more

00:25:15.120 brazen than usual. My former speaker, my colleague who's leaving the House, maybe he feels a little

00:25:19.660 bit liberated and is able to wear his liberalism on his sleeve a little bit more. But this is the

00:25:24.280 dirty secret that I'm glad you've been exposing for years. I've been trying my best since I got

00:25:28.460 elected four years ago, is that there is an active, large element of people who consider

00:25:32.840 themselves Republicans in Texas that have actually been working to undermine the Republican agenda

00:25:37.680 and advance the Democrat Party priorities, which is why James Tallarico, again, as we speak right

00:25:43.360 now, still holds his positions in House leadership. So if you're a voter, especially if you're in

00:25:48.580 Texas, but honestly, this is true, whatever state you're in, you can either go to the ballot box

00:25:53.160 and make your voice be heard. You can choose a line in the sand. And if you're in Texas,

00:25:57.320 Texas is the line in the sand for liberty in America, or you can stay home. And if you stay

00:26:01.960 home, you're giving a vote to the Democrats. That's the same thing basically as casting a

00:26:06.120 vote for the Democrats, or you go to the ballot, but you only vote for one or two of the Republicans

00:26:10.560 on there and you just skip certain races. Guys, it's a binary choice. You can either elect the

00:26:16.100 party that believes in less taxes, more freedom, lower regulations, safe streets, secure borders,

00:26:21.420 or you can support the party. And by support the party, just not voting. You're supporting the

00:26:26.300 party of the radical socialist Marxist leftist Democrats that want to transgender indoctrinate 0.99

00:26:31.540 your kids, throw open the entire Southern border for millions of illegal aliens that want higher 0.94

00:26:36.020 taxes that want dangerous, violent, repeat criminals making our streets safer. That's the 0.97

00:26:40.740 choice in this election. And maybe you don't like either of the names, but guys, at the end of the

00:26:45.940 day, which do you want representing you? Somebody who values the principles that made Texas and

00:26:50.640 America great and is proud to call themselves a Republican. And if you don't vote for that person,

00:26:54.740 that's effectively the same thing as handing over your ballot to the Democrats, socialists of

00:26:58.780 America who are hell bent on destroying not just Texas, but America, and in doing so the future of

00:27:04.420 Western civilization. Mistakes could not be higher, Steve. Every Republican has got to get

00:27:08.060 off the couch, has got to take five minutes at their lunch break or work, before work, after

00:27:12.420 work. The polls are open today. They've got to go vote. Brian, there's three million low

00:27:18.500 propensity voters out there in Texas. I know you're going to try to dig them all out. Where

00:27:22.000 do people go right now to follow you, sir? Yeah, on X is probably the best place. We post many

00:27:27.240 times a day, including lots of truth, the mainstream media or the corrupt Austin

00:27:31.160 establishment don't want you to know at brian e harrison on x at brian e harrison on x at brian

00:27:38.300 e harrison on x please take 20 seconds go there like follow and share and including i just did a

00:27:43.080 whole rebuttal on what speaker feelings said and put the truth out there we will win if texans know

00:27:48.440 the truth about how high the stakes are in this election brian harrison warrior thank you so much

00:27:54.660 sir look forward to checking back in with you in the next couple days game on in texas game on in

00:28:00.760 Michigan, game on in Pennsylvania, game on across the country. Tiffany Justice next in the War Room.

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00:29:46.380 War Room. Here's your host, Stephen K. Mann.

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00:31:34.940 Tiffany Justice, Citizens Alliance.

00:31:37.540 I know some people that have volunteered and signed up for your system.

00:31:41.460 They currently have gone from Florida to districts that are very red and safe out to Arizona.

00:31:47.340 The experience, and it's tough.

00:31:49.800 I mean, every day you're banging on doors and going, but the feedback I've gotten is how rewarding it is.

00:31:57.080 And so you and Cliff and Citizens Alliance working with Turning Point Action has just been incredible.

00:32:03.600 I want to now focus, though, when I mention Cliff Maloney, I think Pennsylvania.

00:32:09.220 Pennsylvania is absolutely central to holding the House of Representatives.

00:32:13.720 Scott Press is up there.

00:32:14.880 He gives us reports every couple of days.

00:32:17.000 Give me your perspective.

00:32:18.220 Where do we actually stand in the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania?

00:32:21.720 And as you're seeing the voter early vote come in, as you're seeing a voter analysis,

00:32:26.420 where do you think we stand, ma'am?

00:32:28.560 The GOP returns are already higher than at this point in 2022.

00:32:32.980 So the GOP share of return ballots has reached 25%.

00:32:38.100 As of August 19th in 2022, it was just 20%.

00:32:41.260 So things are looking really good in Pennsylvania.

00:32:44.100 I want to remind everyone, before 2024, there had never been any type of ballot chase program

00:32:50.060 that was happening on behalf of Republicans in Pennsylvania.

00:32:53.160 And in 2024, President Trump went to Charlie Kirk, Tyler Boyer, and said,

00:32:58.120 Pennsylvania is super important.

00:32:59.520 and Charlie and Tyler said, Cliff Maloney, Citizens Alliance, that's the group that can

00:33:03.860 do the work in Pennsylvania. They have been doing get out the vote in state races there,

00:33:07.440 and they switched their focus to federal races as well as state races in 2024. So we went from

00:33:12.380 zero doors knocked in 2020 to over 510,000 doors knocked in 2024. The turnout for Republicans in

00:33:21.180 early voting went from about 20% to 34.5%. And we won Pennsylvania for President Trump because of

00:33:28.480 the work of Citizens Alliance. So they're out there again. They've been knocking doors. I'll

00:33:32.860 tell you, commit 100. As of 1020, we've knocked one and a half million doors. And we're on track

00:33:38.140 to meet our goal of 1.85 million doors in Pennsylvania, Arizona, Nevada, New Hampshire.

00:33:43.120 So it's very, very exciting time. And Pennsylvania is looking good, but super important that we need

00:33:48.860 to keep dividing government in Pennsylvania. So working on the governor's race, obviously,

00:33:53.300 There are lots of people knocking doors out there, but keeping the state divide, having divided government, not letting the Democrats have a trifecta, super important for us to be able to win in twenty twenty eight.

00:34:03.800 OK, hang on for a second. I want to go back to that number. Give me the GOP number is is twenty five percent of what? Walk me through that.

00:34:11.960 Twenty five percent of the mail in. Hang on. Hang on. Hang on. Slow down. Twenty five percent of what versus twenty percent. So what is it?

00:34:20.940 So as of 2020, the GOP share of return ballots was 20% in 2022, excuse me. And as of right now, the GOP share of return ballots versus Democrats has reached 25% for Republicans in Pennsylvania.

00:34:37.900 So that's an extraordinary bump, correct? And that all comes from awareness and also voter engagement?

00:34:46.360 Yes. And meanwhile, Dems returns have dropped by nearly 100,000 from 312 in 2022 to 402 now. So this is real progress. The ground game is showing up and the gap is closing. But it's to be clear, 25% of the mail-in ballot share is still toss up territory. So it's really important that we need more returns to get to our win number.

00:35:09.100 And what your previous guest was talking about is incredibly important.

00:35:13.500 Knocking on doors is the way that you turn out low propensity voters.

00:35:17.540 Donald Green, and I shared this book before, but I'm going to tell all of your guests to get this book on page 172 and 73.

00:35:24.280 Donald Green and Alan Gerber talk about what the most effective thing is to do at this stage of an election, right?

00:35:30.720 In the last 90 days of an election, you have to go and talk to those low propensity voters.

00:35:35.800 Donald Green says that those voters need a warm welcome to come to the polls.

00:35:40.740 And so that gentleman talking to his friend from New York and not assuming that he was

00:35:45.240 registered to vote or that he had a plan to vote, that's super important.

00:35:48.860 We need to do that with all of our friends.

00:35:50.340 So my message to your viewers is, number one, first of all, thank you for showing up for

00:35:54.980 Commit 100.

00:35:55.820 There's still time to go and volunteer.

00:35:58.000 So if you want to go to commit100.org, you can sign up to volunteer.

00:36:01.140 We will pay for your air travel to get to the state, to Arizona, Nevada, New Hampshire, to come out and to knock doors.

00:36:09.360 New Hampshire, super important state.

00:36:10.860 They only have one day of voting, no early voting in New Hampshire for most people.

00:36:14.300 So the number one thing is commit 100.

00:36:17.340 If you want to sponsor door knockers, you can go to sponsoreddoors.com and you can sponsor a door knocker.

00:36:24.160 $175 sponsors a door knocker for the day.

00:36:26.720 And I want to say, Steve, once again, your viewers showed up.

00:36:30.060 We got so many donations the last time I was on to sponsor door knockers in those important swing states.

00:36:36.540 So thank you so much to all of your viewers for being so generous and for helping us to get out the vote.

00:36:42.480 The last thing is talk to your friends, talk to your dry cleaner, talk to people in the grocery store.

00:36:48.420 Do they have a plan to vote? Are they going to be voting?

00:36:51.120 It's so important that people understand that we need them to have their voice heard at the ballot box.

00:36:55.640 I want to go back to something because in Texas, you know, we had the first day of early vote in person, early voting, and the Democrats had 86 and I think in Dallas County, 90 percent of what would turn out in a presidential election year.

00:37:10.000 So they're highly motivated. The Texans, Luke Macias and Brian Harrison, broke it down that, hey, there are three million low propensity voters in Texas.

00:37:18.460 right there. And that is now that we're trying to bank all the all the high propensity voters

00:37:24.040 so the focus can be on them in in in Pennsylvania. Are we seeing that same intensity from the

00:37:31.280 Democrats? Are they turning out in in record numbers? I know we are, but are they turning

00:37:36.100 out in record numbers also? Their turnout is down compared to 2022, but we can't let up.

00:37:42.520 We have to turn out those low propensity voters. So as far as state registration data at the end 1.00

00:37:46.780 of 2025 in Pennsylvania, there were about 3.8 million registered Democrats and about 3.6,

00:37:52.640 3.65, excuse me, registered Republicans statewide. Low propensity, let's define what that is. Those

00:37:59.720 are voters that have voted in zero or one of the last four general elections. That probably covers

00:38:05.200 about 15 to 25% of registered Republicans. So when you're looking at the numbers, it works out

00:38:10.260 to somewhere between 500 to 900,000 people. That would be considered low propensity voters. If you

00:38:16.040 look at a place like Michigan, there were 437,000 low propensity, unreliable conservative voters

00:38:23.120 that didn't vote in 2018 or 2022. Those are people that if we get them out to vote to the polls,

00:38:29.780 that's how you change the outcome of elections. I see a lot of ad buys right now, Steve,

00:38:34.940 for television. Television does not change the outcome of elections in the last 90 days. 30 years

00:38:40.100 of randomized control trial data tells us that. So there are a lot of people that are making money

00:38:44.720 off of TV. But the truth is, if you want to win elections in this last stretch, you have to go to

00:38:49.460 those voters and you have to talk to them. Now, in Pennsylvania, you can do mail-in voting, but you

00:38:55.360 have to request a ballot every year. We know who has requested ballots in Pennsylvania. So right

00:39:00.560 now, we're talking to those people to say, if you have a ballot in your home, please get it back in.

00:39:05.960 These are people that, you know, are just, they do not have a culture and habit of voting, but they

00:39:11.600 have a mail-in ballot at their house. So very important to talk to those people and to get

00:39:15.400 their vote in. Let's not bury the lead. And it's not to demotivate people. We got to press and

00:39:21.540 press and press in the Commonwealth. But all the PSYOP, because Luke Macias brought up a brilliant

00:39:28.440 point in the last or the first segment we had today. We had a, and the reason we've been doing

00:39:34.700 this and going all these battleground states and taking the show on the road and hammering this

00:39:38.280 every day. There was a noticeable intensity gap with Republicans, I think primarily because of

00:39:45.960 the war, but some other issues also, maybe not mass deportations, a whole host of things

00:39:50.100 people were not happy with. The Democrats smelling blood that they could get to Trump

00:39:55.300 and having these DSA and Working Family Party were absolutely hyper intense.

00:40:00.940 There was a 17 point gap, as he said, hey, all the tracking polling shows us right now,

00:40:05.740 it's essentially a dead heat. We have picked up our intensity and everybody's there.

00:40:10.400 In Pennsylvania, you're saying that the Democratic returns right now are down off of 2022?

00:40:17.420 Off of 2022, yes.

00:40:20.340 I mean, that's enormous. I mean, this is why all of a sudden these seats, which they've already

00:40:25.760 kind of seated, these congressional seats in the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania are absolutely

00:40:30.480 essential because this is Trump country for holding the House. Do you feel better if we

00:40:35.600 continue to get the vote out in the early vote, if we continue to get the low propensity voters,

00:40:40.760 we could actually hold those seats, ma'am? Yeah, I believe that we can. People need to

00:40:45.660 understand that their vote matters and their voice matters. I think a lot of people in certain areas

00:40:49.420 think, oh, you know, there's been a message that's been sent that your vote doesn't matter in certain

00:40:54.020 states. That is absolutely untrue. And in states like Pennsylvania, all of the races in that state

00:40:58.800 from the state races, the state Senate, the state House, the governor, all of those races are

00:41:03.840 incredibly important. You're right. We need to make sure that we hold Congress so President

00:41:07.580 Trump can get done what he promised he would get done with the American people. And Steve,

00:41:11.040 I'll be honest with you. I'll be one of the first people to say that, you know, the parental rights

00:41:15.600 movement, the Maha movement, incredibly important. I saw that gentleman that you had on the show

00:41:19.660 earlier, excuse me, that was, I think was on CNN that was talking about the fact that we haven't

00:41:24.140 held on to those voters. I think that's true to a certain extent, because we have to talk to our

00:41:28.440 customers about what they're seeing and what they want to see happen in the United States. But we

00:41:33.480 have to help President Trump to continue to get the amazing work done. Andrew Colvitt and Blake

00:41:38.500 Neff were on Charlie's show the other day, and they went through 20 commitments that President

00:41:42.660 Trump had made, promises to the American people, and he had kept 16 of those. He certainly has

00:41:48.020 kept a lot of the promises that he made to me and to parents around the country, protecting 1.00

00:41:51.920 parental rights, making sure that we stop this horrible trans agenda. So voters need to remember 1.00

00:41:57.360 how much the president has actually accomplished. I understand that there are a lot of different

00:42:01.520 things that the American people do not like right now, the war being one of them. But we need to

00:42:06.080 help the president to accomplish his goals. Let's talk a little bit about divided government and why

00:42:11.680 that's important in states like Pennsylvania and Michigan. When the Democrats get a trifecta,

00:42:16.760 like they did in Virginia in 2025, and that was because we did not invest properly as Republicans

00:42:21.700 in those state races. We did not invest in winning the state house, which would have stopped that

00:42:26.840 redistricting vote that they took. Now, thank goodness that the Supreme Court in Virginia

00:42:31.580 overturned that vote to redistrict. But that was a Hail Mary. That was not a strategy. And so we

00:42:37.320 need to ensure that we're investing in these races and in the state races and the governor's races,

00:42:42.460 when the Dems have a trifecta in Michigan, what do they do in 2022? They made misgendering someone 0.96

00:42:47.840 a felony. You could go to jail for misgendering someone. Craziness. If they win a trifecta in

00:42:53.300 Michigan and in Pennsylvania, it's going to make it incredibly difficult for us to win in 2028.

00:42:58.760 Why is that? Because races like, excuse me, elected positions like secretary of state,

00:43:03.680 like the AG, like the Supreme Court have a tremendous impact on elections. Jocelyn Benson

00:43:09.380 in Michigan has been involved in 69 election related lawsuits since she has been in office

00:43:15.540 as secretary of state. That is absolutely outrageous. And the reason that it's a problem

00:43:21.220 is because a lot of times she makes bad decisions

00:43:24.140 that go against the people of Michigan,

00:43:26.600 but things are not overturned.

00:43:29.060 Yeah, hang on one second.

00:43:31.000 We're gonna take a short commercial break.

00:43:32.660 Tiffany Jessup, we're talking about Michigan,

00:43:34.180 New Hampshire, Arizona.

00:43:35.840 The great Mike Howell is also with us.

00:43:38.260 We're packed all the way up to the president's speech

00:43:40.980 at seven o'clock, the rally speech in North Carolina.

00:43:43.740 Short break.

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00:47:12.220 Tiffany Justice, also this program.

00:47:14.000 I know a bunch of volunteers that have gone to Arizona.

00:47:17.080 One, it's been a kind of a life changing.

00:47:19.720 They really feel like they're so engaged in this election now.

00:47:22.340 They're knocking on doors.

00:47:23.560 And what's shocking them is that there's so many people when they knock on those doors

00:47:27.380 that because you guys do this highly sophisticated computerized system, data system, that they

00:47:34.060 are talking to like-minded conservatives, not walking into strangers.

00:47:37.540 And so many people go, they didn't even know about the election.

00:47:40.740 They want to support it.

00:47:41.920 They want to go.

00:47:42.460 But all of them sit there and go, they want to be helpful to the cause.

00:47:46.000 So walk me through Arizona. What are you seeing out of there in the first couple of days?

00:47:50.600 I just want to be clear. Early voting has just started. We're about two weeks in in Arizona for early voting.

00:47:56.340 So it turns out it's still pretty light. The data that I'm sharing on Pennsylvania is from I-360.

00:48:00.720 So that is on the ground, real time data coming out of I-360.

00:48:04.320 A lot of the Arizona data that I have is the data that you can find online,

00:48:08.580 which is that Republicans traditionally turn in their ballots later, the last week of early voting.

00:48:14.080 So right now, I think there's about 3.1 million ballots that have been requested.

00:48:20.500 So, you know, a lot of that early vote is still out and that the party split is pretty close.

00:48:26.060 Here's the thing about Arizona that I want people to understand.

00:48:28.800 I had the opportunity to go out to the Turning Point headquarters, which is in Arizona.

00:48:33.200 And you talked a little bit the last time I was on about Charlie's legacy.

00:48:36.880 And Arizona was an incredibly important state to Turning Point.

00:48:39.380 Tyler Boyer, who runs Turning Point Action, I think his family has been in Arizona for generations.

00:48:44.080 Turning Point is not losing that state. They are working very hard to get Andy Biggs elected.

00:48:49.260 Why is it important to have Andy Biggs as a governor in Arizona? I think Arizona has the

00:48:53.740 potential to be the next Florida. With Andy Biggs as governor, you can have amazing,

00:48:59.040 great policies that are going to improve the lives of the people of Arizona. What are some

00:49:03.600 examples of that? Well, first of all, Katie Hobbs has decided that she wasn't going to opt Arizona 1.00

00:49:08.180 families into the federal school choice program. So right there, you know Andy Biggs is absolutely

00:49:12.820 going to put school choice on rocket boosters in Arizona, which will be so amazing for the

00:49:18.480 families there. So Turning Point has people on the ground with Citizens Alliance with Commit 100.

00:49:23.540 If you have a couple days and you want to come out and volunteer with us, you go and knock doors.

00:49:27.880 We give you a very specific list of people to contact. That's Commit 100, 100 people for you

00:49:32.920 to contact. And voters are really happy to hear from you. A lot of the rural voters in Arizona

00:49:37.680 often don't hear from anyone. They don't get their doors knocked on. And so, you know, I'm

00:49:42.540 really hopeful about Arizona. I think you're going to see good things there. You know, it's amazing.

00:49:47.680 You guys have picked, what, New Hampshire, Arizona, and Pennsylvania. Obviously, Cliff is the axe in

00:49:53.380 the space. These house seats in Pennsylvania are absolutely, you have so many great house members

00:50:01.180 that you've got to, you know, we've got to dig in on this, including the general who's fantastic,

00:50:07.200 like scott perry so it's just been incredible tiffany where do people go now more than ever to

00:50:12.600 your social media where they go to citizens alliance to find out more information if they

00:50:17.340 want to support a door knocker or be a door knocker themselves where they go go to sponsored

00:50:22.820 doors.com you can go and sponsor a door knocker again you know knocking on doors is one of the

00:50:29.960 more expensive things to do the margins aren't really high sometimes people say well why isn't

00:50:33.700 everyone knocking doors. Well, it's hard to mobilize that many people. And it is expensive

00:50:37.580 to have people out on the ground and knocking doors. But it is the thing that we can do that

00:50:42.140 has the highest return on investment of any action that we can take to turn out those

00:50:46.260 incremental votes. Those are the game changers right now. So again, go to sponsoreddoors.com.

00:50:51.600 You can donate today. You should expect a big return on your investment. We're going to make

00:50:55.980 sure we get out those votes that matter. Go to commit100.org if you want to volunteer.

00:51:00.420 again steve i've said before you have the most amazing audience so thank you to all of the

00:51:05.200 viewers for always being so welcoming and when i hear people on the ground say oh we came out to

00:51:10.400 volunteer because we saw tiffany justice on bannon show it's just awesome so thank you steve for

00:51:15.300 always giving us the opportunity to talk to real americans thank you i've got the easiest job in

00:51:19.840 the world you guys got the hardest i want to thank that great audience tiffany justice go with god

00:51:25.080 we'll have you back on the next couple days for update doors win wars thanks steve

00:51:30.380 Doors win wars.

00:51:31.240 I'm going to tell you right now, you've got so many dedicated people in the great state of Texas, in Michigan, in Arizona, in New Hampshire, in Iowa, all over this great country.

00:51:41.460 They're absolutely completely dedicated.

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00:52:08.100 Okay, one of the top songs in the country

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00:52:13.360 May God bless America

00:52:15.960 Short break

00:52:17.480 Mike Howe is with us next

00:52:20.800 You don't want to miss this

00:52:21.740 You love it

00:52:28.680 But our idols have been clear

00:52:31.320 And it ends here

00:52:33.840 May God bless America

00:52:47.780 And bring us forward to the day

00:52:51.000 When every tear is wiped away

00:52:54.320 But until this perfect day

00:52:58.240 We should weep for our country, seek God on his behalf.

00:53:04.600 We may not have made a golden calf, but our idols have been cleared, and it ends here.

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Bannon's War Room - October 20, 2026

Episode 5748： Fight For Texas： Early Voting Continues

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