00:00:00.000Well, so I grew up not far from where El-Sayed is from, and one of the factors in this race
00:00:06.560that is really worth paying closer attention to are the number of Democrats, lifelong Jewish
00:00:13.640Democrats, especially in the Detroit suburbs, who are saying for the first time in their lives
00:00:19.140they're voting Republican. That's a big deal. I don't know of any other marquee race in the
00:00:26.140country right now where the Republican candidate is converting Democrats. I mean, given the overall
00:00:32.220environment for Trump, the economy, prices, the war, gas, gas, all that, like it's very unusual
00:00:40.640and really quite striking that there are Democrats who are so concerned about their party's nominee
00:00:47.200that they're willing to vote for the candidate who's aligned with Donald Trump. Now, there are
00:00:54.060there's a lot of money going in to court those voters to get them to turn out because they're
00:01:01.620obviously not going to be incredibly motivated to pull the lever, as it were, for a Republican
00:01:07.940candidate. But what's interesting is the polling may not be picking that up because polling,
00:01:13.680there's been a lot of concern that some of the polls in Michigan are oversampling college
00:01:18.220educated voters, which would overstate El Saeed's support. But people also, from what I'm hearing,
00:01:25.620are somewhat reluctant to tell a pollster that they're going to be voting for a Republican for
00:01:31.020the first time in their lives. So I'm not saying that I think that Rogers is going to walk away
00:01:34.740with this. Look, this is going to be an incredibly close, close race. It's Michigan, after all.
00:01:39.820Um, but I don't know beyond helping, uh, AOC this trip up to the upper peninsula, which is only 3% of Michigan's population. Like it's a, it's, it's a large mass of land, but it's a tiny, tiny percentage of the overall population.
00:01:56.980I think it helps AOC and her national brand, given the tension there with progressive Democrats and some saying that she's sold out.
00:02:07.040It certainly helps her build some goodwill, but I don't know how much it helps El Saeed.
00:02:12.480Jeremy, it's interesting what you say, because when I was up in Michigan over the weekend,
00:02:15.440the areas where I saw El Saeed campaigning were also very kind of sparsely populated rural areas.
00:02:23.300I know he's going to go down there with Barack Obama.
00:02:26.720And one of the things I was hearing from Democrats who have the same concerns that you have is that he's not doing enough to reach out into those urban, more African-American areas of the city.
00:02:38.620He did tell me that he'd changed as a candidate.
00:02:41.300He'd become more patient, but also that he'd become less interested in trying to persuade and change people.
00:02:49.660He's just not that interested in trying to build a broad coalition.
00:02:53.180He's more interested in trying to reach the pockets of the electorate where he knows he already has support.
00:03:00.240Are you picking up some of that as well?
00:03:02.700That is exactly what I've heard, Cady.
00:03:05.460And I think it's been difficult to see a path.
00:03:10.640Some Democrats think this anyway, that it's difficult to see a path to victory when you're running up the score in rural areas and college towns.
00:03:20.300I mean, that is a way to win a Democratic primary, of course, which he did by a squeaker.
00:03:27.500But it's not a way to win in Michigan.
00:03:30.520Reverend Sharpton and I were talking about this off air.
00:03:33.940El Saeed has had a real problem in the city of Detroit with black voters.
00:03:37.700And if you don't run up your numbers in Detroit, if you don't have enough support there,
00:03:43.640What you do in Ann Arbor and in small college towns in the Upper Peninsula of Michigan is, at the end of the day, probably not going to carry you over the finish line.
00:03:54.260It's Wednesday, 21 October, year of our Lord, 2026.
00:03:57.280OK, I want to say right away, that is not script.
00:04:00.760That script was not written by Steve Cortez.
00:04:06.940You see their faces and you had Caddy.
00:04:08.940You had Caddy Kay from the BBC agreeing with him.
00:04:11.920Now, one of the reasons Jeremy, I'm sure, was in shock when he went up there because the New York Times polling system, I've got Cortez going to come in.
00:04:22.380He's going to nail this about what we've been talking about this.
00:04:25.220And now the lead political reporter that covers conservatives for The New York Times and a super regressive, Jeremy Peters, on his exit interview because he goes to India next week, dropped a bomb right there on Morning Joe.
00:04:41.580You should have seen their faces. They were in shock because that network has been nothing but doing Abdul promotions.
00:04:48.920One of the reasons is the fake polling. Correct me if I'm wrong, Rich Barris.
00:04:55.160Doesn't The New York Times and all these things that rely upon these guys, Nate Silver and these guys, don't they include this fake polling that took out McMorrow?
00:05:03.020They took her out on purpose to get Abdul to be the candidate. Let me be blunt.
00:05:09.040They took her out. They had been the farm team of raising her up forever.
00:05:15.700They took her out because the dark elements around Abdul wanted Abdul to win.
00:05:21.960And the only way he could win is to take her out. And that's what they did.
00:05:25.360And now they include that psychopath that did it is included in their polls to depress the to make Abdul look better and make the MAGA candidates throughout the country look worse.
00:05:39.040Yeah, this is what pisses me off so much about this story.
00:05:43.400I spent, and you know this, Steve, I spent over a decade of my career.
00:05:47.720Who wants to be a public figure for real unless you, you know?
00:05:50.560I spent over a decade of my career because that is what media and university polling was all about until the People's Pundit and others came on the scene.
00:06:00.980Yeah, we had methodological problems, but we had ethical problems.
00:06:04.520And for Nate Silver, by the way, who claims to be the guru of polling, who claims to be the arbiter, who is real and who is not, to be humiliated like this, he had that poll weighted more influential in his polling average than the New York Times poll itself, Steve.
00:06:23.880This is what he does that others like RCP do not.
00:06:27.260And actually, others do it too, so I'm not going to let other averages get out.
00:06:31.080This is why I always do favor the RCP average.
00:06:33.560They have an average. They do not toy with the weights. They say you are a valid pollster. You're a credible pollster. You're reliable. I'll put you in. And we simply do basic math and average out the results of these polls. Nate thinks he's smarter than everybody. Nate thinks he's better than everybody. So Nate goes in there and says, I think this poll is more more credible than that poll. I think this poll is better than this one. I think these right wing pollsters are fake pollsters. And I think these left wing pollsters are great.
00:07:01.060He weighted Wedgwood, which was a fake firm.
00:07:05.140He weighted them higher than the New York Times, then higher than Qantas, higher than Mark Mitchell.
00:11:27.440But Abdul is the most—he's actually more created than—or constructed than AOC was, Omar, or Tallarico, which are all totally constructed.
00:11:40.980This is why they're having a tough time in general elections, because people are saying, who are these freaks?
00:11:45.520I've never heard of these people, and who are supporting them?
00:11:47.360But Abdul brings it all together, not was he just getting 90 percent of the vote.0.90
00:11:51.520They're turning out, because these Islamic senators are like Ford operating bases.0.96
00:11:58.480They know in McMorrow they have a legitimate challenger that has been on MSMEC for years.0.94
00:12:04.480She was the first woman in, I guess, the legislature.
00:12:06.340Remember, she stood up to Trump, and she was smack-talking Trump all the time in MAGA, and they made her a hero, right, like they've done to other individuals in other states.
00:12:15.040This pollster comes out and takes her out.
00:12:18.860She's up on Twitter yesterday saying the whole campaign collapsed, right?
00:12:25.920We had staff that didn't have a job because this came out of nowhere and it was totally opposite what our internal polls said.
00:12:33.060And Abdul had to run against a woman that, let's say this, was not the most charismatic Steve Cortez and didn't have the greatest campaign skills.
00:12:47.440And again, he would not have won without, you're exactly right, not just, you know, almost unanimous support from the Muslim community, but also almost full turnout.
00:12:55.220I mean, full turnout. And by the way, that also speaks to, remember this, and this is so important
00:12:59.480about Islam, it's not really a religion. It is an ideology, and in many ways, a political takeover
00:13:05.780ideology. And because of that, the adherents of Islam, they are incredibly motivated to vote,0.93
00:13:12.160because it is very clear in their ideology that they are to use whatever means necessary,0.99
00:13:17.140whether it's voting or force, to take political power and then inflict Sharia law upon the whole
00:13:22.640of society. They've done it in many countries around the world, particularly the Mideast,0.93
00:13:26.600of course. They are increasingly able to do it in Europe. They want to do it here in the
00:13:31.200United States. But yeah, getting back to the electoral politics here, here's the opening
00:13:35.920for Republicans. Mike Rogers, I believe, is going to win this race. Clearly, the momentum
00:13:40.680is on his side. The Democrats have lost their key constituencies. And I think this is important.
00:13:46.360It's not only in Michigan. This isn't just a Michigan issue. As a matter of fact, on the
00:13:50.720northern flank what i'm calling the three m's the three states that i believe we're going to win
00:13:55.180the dems thought they had in their category maine michigan minnesota all three of those one
00:14:00.780republican hold in maine two republican flips in the other two in the upper midwest the great
00:14:05.720big 10 primary we're going to win these states on this muslim issue on this issue
00:14:11.220okay short break i'm going to get to that we're going to do the northern flank there's good news
00:14:18.980up there because people are focused and african-american citizens it's not sellable to
00:14:24.960them and that's why abdul does not go to detroit he's waiting for obama to take him to detroit
00:14:31.860and he had to apologize to obama because all he did was smack talk obama and steve's got an update
00:14:38.780in arizona short commercial break less than two weeks in these midterms but the action is now
00:14:47.400now now short break back in the warm in a moment
00:14:51.060we're a couple of months out but the midterms are fast approaching and make no mistake if the
00:15:06.500house flips to the democrats it's a big deal for our economy that uncertainty is one of the reasons
00:15:13.520to diversify with gold from Birch Gold Group.
00:15:17.120In the three months leading up to the 2024 presidential election,
00:15:21.260the spot price of gold jumped over 12%.
00:17:42.820The widely watched Cook Political Report moves this race out of the likely Dem category, meaning it's going to be a photo finish in Minnesota.0.82
00:17:54.740Now, Michelle, she is a dynamic, common-sense candidate with unmatched media skills combined with Midwestern values.1.00
00:18:04.540Her opponent, in contrast, Peggy Flanagan, she's an extremist nut who wants open borders and loves cosplaying in hijabs1.00
00:18:13.800while she facilitates migrants wholesale looting her state for billions of dollars.1.00
00:18:21.340So let's sprint to the finish and make it Senator Tafoya.0.99
00:18:30.780Let me do some pattern recognition with you, Cortez, because all your polling and your videos, and we know the viral nature of these.
00:18:37.340If I look at Minnesota and then I got the governor's race with Tiffany and I've got Michigan with the current situation, I go all the way over to Maine.
00:18:48.500And this issue keeps popping up over and over again.
00:18:52.800This issue, whether it's with Somalis or with Flanagan and all the theft that's going on, you now got Omar in the headlines.0.87
00:19:00.940In Michigan, we know they had to gun deck a fake poll.0.54
00:19:05.840I mean, the company is a total scam, a fake poll to take out a fairly legitimate candidate for Abdul across the board.0.55
00:19:13.360And this also plays into your polling in Arizona about this issue with Islam.0.81
00:19:20.800Connect all the dots there and show me the pattern recognition of what we're dealing with with less than two weeks to go.0.56
00:20:08.22016% are positive on Muslim migration. And the intensity matters here. The last number that the0.99
00:20:13.500audience can see there, I ask about the intensity. So very positive on Muslim migration, only 7%.1.00
00:20:19.900Very negative, 38%. So a better than 5 to 1 ratio of intensity of people saying they are very
00:20:29.220negative on Muslim migration to the United States versus a tiny cadre of far left open borders
00:20:35.680freaks who are very positive on Muslim migration. So that's from Arizona, but it's reflective of
00:20:40.840the same polling that I have gotten in Maine, in Michigan, Wisconsin, and Minnesota, all along
00:20:46.540this northern flank. And by the way, I'm glad you mentioned Tom Tiffany, because I'm mostly
00:20:49.720focusing on Senate races in this appearance with you. But of course, Tom Tiffany is also going to
00:20:53.480win the governor's race, key part of that northern flank. But there is a common theme here from
00:20:58.600Lewiston, Maine, to Dearborn, Michigan, to the Somali community that is scamming at scale the1.00
00:21:04.100good taxpayers of Minnesota. All of these states have a significant issue with migrants generally1.00
00:21:10.160scamming them, hurting their people, stealing their wages away, and particularly with Muslim1.00
00:21:16.580mass migration. And we are no longer whispering about this, Steve. My polling proves it, by the1.00
00:21:21.880way. We need to give people a permission structure. So if you are out there and you're a citizen and
00:21:26.740you feel like, oh, I shouldn't speak my mind. I'm going to sound like I'm somehow prejudicial. No,
00:21:30.940This is a toxic ideology that is anti-American and that would undermine our country if we let it.
00:21:37.220And if you don't believe me, take a look at the horrific clips from France to find out what can happen to a once great society,0.99
00:21:43.340a once great Christian Catholic society that has been absolutely upended by mass third world migration.1.00
00:21:49.440It can happen here. It will happen here if we're not vigilant.1.00
00:21:53.200And we absolutely have to defeat Peggy Flanagan and we have to defeat El Syed and we have to defeat Troy Jackson.
00:22:00.280Those are the Senate races. And then, of course, at the gubernatorial level, we must defeat David
00:22:04.300Crowley, who is also an open borders radical. And of course, that matters. This isn't just a
00:22:08.820federal issue. We need state and local cooperation. Don't have it in Wisconsin because of the
00:22:13.180Democrats. We'll get it with Tom Tiffany, who is as strong on immigration as any politician
00:22:17.920in America. So yes, this is the connective tissue across that northern flank. And it's why, Steve,
00:22:24.000I think, even in a tough environment, right, midterms are tough. Let's face it. We know this.
00:22:28.380These are these are all tough races. There are other tough races, but it's why I believe that we are going to win these races.
00:22:33.980The more we expose the radicalism and the extremism of our opponents, the more we talk about and reveal how unimpressive they are as individuals,0.92
00:22:42.460how radicalized they are as far as their agenda and how they will prioritize foreigners and especially Muslim foreigners who come to this country with the worst of intentions.0.85
00:22:56.200This is shocking because we're supposed to have a tsunami, a blue tsunami.
00:22:59.960Then we're going to have a blue wave and then we're going to have a red undertone.
00:23:04.220The northern flank shows you it's not going to happen and not happening.
00:23:07.620These are all going to come down in dead heats, right?
00:23:10.420So the future has been written that we're going to win them all.
00:23:12.460We believe we can see now the shift, even Cook can see the shift in Minnesota.
00:23:17.040And the common theme, remember, Tiffany is a guy that had the guts
00:23:20.840to go down to the Darien Gap in a kayak in a canoe with with Ben Burkwam and that team to learn more
00:23:28.360about immigration and what was happening in this mass migration. Why? Because it would come on the
00:23:33.320show. I said, hey, Wisconsin's a border state. You know, Madison, Wisconsin, Milwaukee are border
00:23:38.980towns. I want to find out about it. Now he's running for governor and that's resonating with
00:23:42.560people. The other part of this, too, is the freaks that they're running. Flanagan is a freak in
00:23:48.000minnesota abdul is a freak in in michigan right you've got these people that are in tala rico you
00:23:54.600had today the bush you know neil bush came out steve we had it up in the first block not just
00:24:01.060with talking about how much they can't stand uh ken paxton and maga and you know everything we've
00:24:06.960done to destroy the republican party then he tried to give permission structure by saying what a
00:24:11.740devout Christian and how ethical and how humble Talafrico is. We've got this transgender pamphlet0.96
00:24:20.900that's gone to every school kid in the state of Texas, mailed to them, not their parents. And one
00:24:26.940of the things that sits in here, the very first thing he says, what if you want to be emancipated
00:24:31.760and talk about the legal process they could charge their parents with to become emancipated.
00:24:36.780That ain't going to play. And people say, well, where did this come from? Where did this come
00:24:40.160from? Hey, wherever it came from, this is James Tallarico's position on transgender. That's what
00:24:46.580you've got to suck on. And now it's been exposed into the to the homes of folks in Texas. And as0.99
00:24:52.720you know, black men in the warrior culture of football in places like Michigan and places like
00:24:59.860in places like Texas, where you've got a way to get out and go to a great school,0.57
00:25:04.800they're not going to come out and vote for people who are going to put their boys in skirts.
00:25:09.020Steve Cortez thoughts. Amen. And also same thing for Hispanic men for the bad hombres. OK,
00:25:15.100you know, this is a culture of masculinity and boxing, not a not a culture of James Tallarico,0.78
00:25:21.080who is a creep. All right. Let's just call this what it is. People who want to talk to other
00:25:25.500people's children about matters of sex, that those people are rightly considered to be creeps. And
00:25:32.320that's who James Tallarico is. And that's who the Bushes are backing, by the way. And I'm actually
00:25:36.820glad that the Bushes are being public about this because they are further revealing who they are.
00:25:41.880All right. They are the first family of failure. That's who the Bushes are. For decades,
00:25:46.980unfortunately, they have inflicted pain upon this country. Between the generations of the Bush
00:25:52.380family, they have been some of the foremost architects of the punishing agenda of invade
00:25:57.760the world and then invite the world into the United States. And it works out just fine for0.58
00:26:02.000the Bushes, right, because they can escape to Walker Point and Kennebunkport in Maine,1.00
00:26:05.820And they don't have to deal with the reality of Lewiston, Maine, right, a place that has been absolutely overrun by Somali migrants who do not assimilate and who scam the state of Maine at scale.0.98
00:26:16.640They don't have to deal with the reality of what Ilhan Omar and her cohorts are doing in Minnesota.0.99
00:26:21.960They don't have to mourn with the families in Wisconsin who have had their loved ones killed in preventable crimes because the Democrats in Madison, Wisconsin, have protected illegal alien criminals, known thugs who are allowed to hide in plain sight instead of protecting the citizens of Michigan.
00:26:40.300By the way, I'm so glad you mentioned again that he went to the Darien Gap for his congressional trip.
00:26:43.960You know, folks, these congressional trips, these congressional delegation, they're called CODELs.
00:26:48.560These are normally just paid vacations that you pay for, by the way, for the congressmen on their breaks to go to places like Paris and Rome and get wined and dined.
00:26:59.240He went in a canoe and took on personal danger to go to the Darien Gap full of mosquitoes and cartels to find out, hey, why are these illegals ending up in my district in northern Wisconsin?
00:27:09.860That's the kind of man Tom Tiffany is, the kind of governor he's going to be.
00:27:13.480So look, all these, you're right, all these races are tight.
00:27:15.960I'm not being cocky, but they're all winnable, and I think we're going to win them.
00:28:01.540That will take as much time as possible
00:28:03.320to walk you through why gold is a hedge
00:28:05.840during times of financial instability.
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00:29:49.760Once again, bond markets and turbulence, stock market, you have to watch get whipsawed by these things.
00:30:03.500When a company goes public and then takes off $500 billion as they're hurtling towards an IPO.
00:30:11.580And as soon as we get time to breathe here, we're going to have more.
00:30:14.060I'll break down all this, what I call the three-card money of the situation with
00:30:20.320artificial intelligence, everywhere from the debt part of it to the equity part of it to
00:30:25.860these IPOs. I think it's pretty evident, I would say, that if Wall Street doesn't get the IPO
00:30:35.320of Anthropic out that it could lead to a ripple effect of very bad consequences,
00:30:44.420maybe to other equities and even debt, because right now we still don't even have a grasp of
00:30:49.280how much total debt's out there, how much interlocking debt, what they're doing with
00:30:53.000the GPUs. There's all types of very, very, I would say questionable financing of all of this
00:31:02.800And who's actually doing it? Are they doing advances? It's it's a very complicated system, not just what you see on the surface with people doing public offerings for equity or just doing even taking bank loans out or even junk bonds or whatever.
00:31:19.700There's it's it's getting as complicated as before the 2008 crisis.
00:31:24.220I think that's why some of the people are sitting there going, well, hang on for a second.
00:31:28.260This interlocked nature, what's going on here?
00:31:31.040Because remember, one of the things that happened in 2008, the collapse out, which really was the beginning of this tier of what we call today MAGA, started with the Tea Party movement, was that collapse and the bailout of the elites and the institutions bailed themselves out.
00:31:51.200That is what I believe part of this has been happening about the whole shift in this whole issue of liabilities and who's going to take it.
00:31:58.980It's one of the reasons I'm so adamantly opposed to letting these oligarchs just have this complete ability to do these types of things, you know, on their own.
00:32:11.000And so I want to get back to all that.
00:33:09.780But regardless of that, the facts are this is what Tallarico stands for.
00:33:14.900Why would – and you being a man of the cloth, is James Tallarico – he's embracing this progressive type of Christianity to, I think, fool people that he's really not a freak?
00:33:30.020In the war room, we're adamant. We think this guy is a weirdo, and he's using this to kind of protect himself and really run a campaign where normal Christians come out and get confused.
00:33:42.120And we put the bushes sitting there making a case, a positive case for him as a Christian man.0.77
00:33:48.840It gives permission structure for folks to do that. Your thoughts and observations.
00:33:53.820Well, Steve, thank you for letting me be on the show. My first thought is that's a dog shame.
00:33:58.900This is not progressive Christianity.0.97
00:34:03.680What Tallarico and anyone else that believes in transgenderism, abortion, men in women's bathrooms, boys in world sports, and a plethora of other left-wingist ideologies, they do not read the Bible.
00:34:25.260And pastors need to stand up and teach the truth and not be afraid of that, because if you have these big politicians and it's sad that the Bushes or anyone else would side with the left, and I don't mean just left, right, I mean evil lies against biblical truths versus being on the truth of that, it is a horrible shame, and it really is disgraceful.0.79
00:34:50.420when you look at texas and i i continue to say it's the crown jewel in the union and that's
00:34:57.820why they're attacking it both with the islamic invasion these other migration issues that you
00:35:03.860have but particularly guy like tala rico because and i think it's one of the reasons he's struggling
00:35:09.280in the black community among black men it's a it's a kind of a from its frontier days it's kind
00:35:14.560of a warrior's culture and the women obviously in texas are very strong they're actually the
00:35:19.220backbone of why Texas, why we had the frontier civilization we had, and why you had this1.00
00:35:25.040magnificent state that's got, what, the fifth or sixth biggest economy in the world.
00:35:29.000But how does something that appears so foreign to the traditions and the ethos of Texas and
00:35:36.020the underpinnings of its religious belief, remember, particularly religious belief,
00:35:41.320you had to weather the hardest parts of frontier existence and has been passed down as Texas,
00:35:47.980I believe is one of the most religious states and one of the most Christian states in the
00:43:00.640Paxton, who has made some failures in his family, or Calarico, who wants to totally crush our entire economy in Texas,
00:43:11.020destroy the families, transgender our children, mutilate them, reverse all the pro-life bills that we passed and laws here in the state of Texas.
00:43:30.640Very powerful, powerful message to everybody, including other pastors.
00:43:34.940Short commercial break here in the War Room.
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