WarRoom Battleground EP 97: Florida, Missouri & Arizona: The BattleGround; Baris Breaks Down How To Win Midterms
Episode Stats
Words per Minute
164.71933
Summary
In the first half of the show, we discuss the current state and local races in the 2020 election, the role of the media, and the need to get engaged in order to defeat the authoritarians in 2020.
Transcript
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this is what you're fighting for i mean every day you're out there what they're doing is blowing
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people off if you continue to look the other way and shut up then the oppressors the authoritarians
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get total control and total power because this is just like in arizona this is just like in georgia
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it's another element that backs them into a quarter and shows their lies and misrepresentations
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is why this audience is going to have to get engaged as we've told you this is the fight
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all this nonsense all this spin they can't handle the truth war room battleground here's your host
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stephen k bannon peter k navarro in for stephen k bannon today war room battleground and um
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at some point that musical stop but it's kind of nice music there we go yeah all right we're good
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uh look um this uh this shows a different cat from from the the other war room show for good reason
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what i love about this show is its granularity uh the the the mission the mission right now
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uh of everyone who's considered to be themselves a trump deplorable as i am uh a war room uh action
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action action oriented person um we have we have one mission uh for 2022 and that is
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to take back the house of representatives from um the democrats and do it in the name of
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mega do it in the name of trump republicanism not rhino republicanism and at the same time
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we're pursuing that mission uh we also must must win races across this great country
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um key races in secretaries of state which are basically the election officials
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in states like michigan pennsylvania arizona uh which who were responsible for uh the steal of the
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2020 election we had soros backed people in michigan and pennsylvania in particular
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and they did incredible damage to this republic uh by facilitating illegal ballots uh contaminating
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uh the ballot box so there's that and then there's also issues like school boards um boards of supervisors
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i mean these school boards right now every parent in america who is concerned about preparing their
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children for a highly competitive world wants their schools to focus on reading writing
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arithmetic calculus physics uh stem science technology engineering math um and just as the u.s military
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is is is focused now not on military preparedness and developing the next generations of defense weapons to fight off
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things like hypersonic vehicles from the friggin chinese and russians um our school boards are focused
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not on teaching our children well and preparing them well for what we face uh but instead um have been
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just engulfed by this woke democrat progressive party which teaches everything but what our children need
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in order to be prepared for a competitive world in a very very tough global economic environment and what this show does
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is provide the opportunity to give you windows into these state and local races um so that you understand
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boots on the ground what's going on and sometimes you'll find a race that you might want to contribute to
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or give to or be interested in and what's beautiful about steve bannon in the war room is that
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he sees the big picture but he does it in a way it's like a pointillism painting right it's like there's all
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these little dots out there school boards uh congressional districts secretaries of state
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races down ballot races um but when you when you put it all together it becomes a pattern of power and who
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has it and right now um we are relatively powerless to defend ourselves against the policies of a president
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and a congress and a congress and some state legislatures and governors who are doing everything in their power and
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a lot of times they don't even understand it um to destroy our economy uh to erode the fabric
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of our society and our culture and our american ideals and shred the constitution
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in the process i you know this war room is broadcast deep in the swamp i point this direction
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and i could literally throw a baseball and hit the supreme court wouldn't do that don't come arrest me
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been arrested once in leg hours that's that's once is enough but my point is that we're here
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in the swamp and we see this bad decisions get made every day i mean look it's like congress spends
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virtually all of its time now on everything but solving the problems that you out there deplorable land
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care about your major concern right now is the price of gasoline and the price of food and whether
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you're you're going to have a job at a decent wage tomorrow when you go in and and and and do your
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punch card or however it is you check in for your work and there's serious issues afoot so that that's
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the big preamble and and true to that spirit in the first half hour of the show today we thank frank
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speech uh for for for hosting this among others um that um we're going to talk to um a series of
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candidates uh for various offices so um if if i'm correct the first person we want to go to
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um is a gentleman named anthony sabatini i believe it's the 34th district in the great state of florida
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i want to welcome anthony to the war room and um i want to just talk um start out anthony um if you
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can um describe your district where it is in florida i'm an old floridian so you can be as as specific
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as you can tell us um when the primary is when absentee ballots starting who your opponents are and why
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you're the guy hey well dr navarro thanks for having me on it's great to be back on i think i
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did 20 20 appearances in the last year it's been great keeping everybody in the war room
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posse up to date on what's happening in florida i'm currently in the florida state house which has
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been the honor of a lifetime been there fighting with desantis against the radical left for the last
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four years but now i'm running for an open federal congressional seat it's actually one of the
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seats that emerged when steve and the war room posse started beating the drum and making sure
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that we put pressure on the state legislature to pass a strong constitutional map that was going to
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provide good wins for constitutional conservatives so a new republican seat emerged and that's what i'm
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running in it's district seven it's the area between orlando and daytona beach it's a strong
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conservative area so the real battle is actually the primary it's me the america first populist choice
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who believes in constitutional liberty who's been fighting alongside governor desantis for the last
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four years and following in trump's footsteps trying to make the country great again uh against some
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swamp creatures you know those affiliated with the old bush wing of the republican party which wants
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to roll back the gains and the posture and the issues that animate the republican party today and so
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that's really the the race in a nutshell is republican primary between the new america first movement
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and the old bush wing and when uh when's the primary when's absentee ballot uh start
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so in florida we have very late primaries it's august 23rd but the absentee ballot voting
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which we call mail-in uh vote-by-mail voting uh started three days ago so saturday uh folks are
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uh mailing their ballots in we've been working the phones on that and then early voting will start
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uh august 13th open primary uh where the dems can vote in your primary or is this a closed primary
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where only registered republicans vote thank goodness it is a true uh closed republican primary
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no npas no non-party affiliates no democrats yeah good that's good and um the metrics uh usually in in
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these uh races are uh how much money have you raised relative to your rivals and uh what's the latest poll
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say well the latest poll has me up plus seven so i'm number one in the race which is great that came
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out literally today rasmussen um and we've raised 1.1 million dollars and every last penny of it from
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grassroots patriots across the state and across the country who appreciated the fight that i put up
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during covet against tyrannical local governments and against uh woke uh institutions that are trying
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to push wokeism in our schools etc disney was a big fight uh that gained me a lot of support in this
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race people know who the real fighter is are you seeing uh any uh any of the dark money the the rhino
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money uh going into your rivals yes a bleep very slowly it started to come in slowly i have one
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opponent uh who's uh very very strongly affiliated with dan crenshaw endorsed by dan crenshaw and so
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that dark money is coming in i think it's going to come in a flood in the next few uh weeks but in
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the beginning it's just sort of been trickling in the good news is that a lot of his money has been
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grifted away by the grifters that animate uh that way in the republican party yeah it's mostly gone
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and then uh i guess i guess um um is um is de santis uh or donald trump um are they both staying on the
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sidelines in this race right now they're on the sidelines it's very good chance de santis stays
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out he's actually never endorsed in a normal uh congressional primary uh but i definitely i'm
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hoping for and somewhat expect the trump endorsement i've met with him several times i've been the
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strongest pro-trump mega fighter in the state legislature uh for the last four years so i'm
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expecting uh something positive to happen in that realm uh all right we uh anthony we we wish you the
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best um if um you're watching the war room from anthony's district absentee ballots have begun um you know
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what to do um it's so critical uh that we get uh pro-trump folks back i i'm assuming you're uh
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you're solid on the uh the the pro-trump mega agenda the way i describe it is secure southern borders
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uh fair not free trade including uh tough tariffs on china um and an end to endless wars uh are we on
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the same page there anthony 100 percent uh got to save the american industry and bring it back and
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we need to close the border and we need to be doing deportations those are that's the heart of
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the movement and and anybody that differs from us on that is not not maggot whatsoever
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let me ask you the the last question is going to be the tough one uh i don't mean to leave it to
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the end but um if you get elected are you going to vote for kevin mccarthy for speaker
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no never never in fact i'm the only candidate in the race that's pledged not to vote for kevin
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mccarthy under any circumstances he's a weak leader uh he can't be trusted and we think we need to be
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looking at somebody more like an andy bigg somebody filling with the freedom caucus who has a command of
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the issues but also the courage that's needed and that's totally absent in the old guard uh that
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courage is necessary to bring the republican party to a great period and i'm sorry but mccarthy don't have
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it uh i'm so glad to hear that uh folks in the uh the war room know uh my views as well as steve's
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use on kevin mccarthy he is part of the rhino wing of the republican party along with mitch mcconnell
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in the senate and um if we take back the house and senate in 2022 for the republican party and those
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two of the leaders uh we will not have fulfilled the mission so let's uh let's get anthony sabatini
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um in there and um thank you uh for your time sir i'll let you uh get out there and shake some hands
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and uh knock on some doors good luck to you sir you're a hero good to meet you good to talk with
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you again take care my brother you take care man all right um again what i love about this show is
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as we go right to the grassroots um let's move now to the great state of missouri and um
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kyle my buddy i see it's kyle right kyle labrew yes kyle like a uh all right say it again so
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everybody knows who you are kyle labrew brew all right my brother so um tell us now
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um about the fourth district of missouri where is it in the state um do you have a uh a republican
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only primary how many opponents do you have how much money have you raised and who's endorsed you
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you can run through that checklist okay so uh the fourth district is massive it runs all the way up
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just below kansas city and all the way down just above uh springfield missouri and all the way over
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to the kansas border uh the a uh absentee ballot has already started to they've already started to go
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out and our uh primary is august 2nd so uh if anybody's watching this please consider voting for me
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i am the only candidate in the race that is an american businessman i built my business from the
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ground up i built houses i started that in 2008 so i certainly know what it means like to what it's
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like to reinvent yourself and and to work through trials and issues um i have raised uh very little
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funds because i'm i'm funding this myself actually i don't want to owe anybody i don't want to be part of
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the swamp i just want to be somebody that can say no and needs to be said no and say yes when it should
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when it's best for america and uh what i'm seeing as i'm out here we're knocking about 1200 doors a day
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is what we're hitting we're doing the old old school grassroots way uh looking at people's eyeballs let
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them know what we're about and what people are telling me is that they're tired of the same as as
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usual everybody stalemate and get nothing done and um i'm the type of guy that picks up an issue
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and gets it done one at a time and that's that's what i'll be doing
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have you um ever been uh in electoral politics before i mean what motivated you to run for office
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because it's it's it's not um it's a labor of love i you know i've done it myself um you put a lot
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a lot on the line a lot of your times you in your case your own money um i did that myself if you
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had talked to me before your race i would have told you never to do that go out and raise money
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uh but it's too late now um but what what what what got you going on this kyle well i look at the
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world today and i just i see people making awful decisions for my children every single day
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and i'm tired of standing by waiting for something to do what's right and i just decided
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to get involved and you're absolutely 100 right you don't have any idea how much it takes
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to be able to get your money up on a race like this until you get in it and you start to appreciate
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the people that are there trying to fight for what's right because you realize that it is a
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sacrifice and i'm you know i'm sacrificing family time i'm sacrificing money and i'm sacrificing
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some of the other opportunities that are around me because i believe that america is the greatest
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country in the world and i'm just tired of watching uh one bad decision after the other
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i mean you look at even the the uh ads for today they're telling they're telling people just to
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suck it up that it'll get better on this on this gas prices thing well you know we got single moms
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we got dads that are just being pressed down farther and farther trying to get to work and uh you know
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we got farmers that are trying to stay afloat in this economy that we have and it seems like our
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president is so far disconnected that he doesn't even realize um what the american people need
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and then then you see people that are in congress just going oh it's not that bad
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because they're all millionaires you know they're not the people that are in the grassroots here in
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missouri just trying to get by you know they don't really understand what the average american is
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dealing with and i guess that's what i want to bring uh to congress is i want to bring the voice
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of the people and get rid of all this uh political go ahead is there an incumbent in this race
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is there an incumbent in this race no incumbents but it's a it's a full primary there's there's a
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there's quite a few people running it it's an open seat yes yes it is what's the uh as they say in the
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trade is it is it plus seven democrat plus seven republican plus two what is it considered to be is this
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a contestable seat this is this is trump country so uh i think it's an r25 okay
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they all are 25 so whoever wins the primary it's done right so so how many um candidates do you have
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uh that you're uh tilting against here well there's five serious candidates and i'd say that there's a
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couple there's a couple more that i don't really know what they're doing a couple of them have a
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website so um but is it you know is it a winner take all primary or is it the a runoff uh with the
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top two to get 50 percent it's a winner take all and so i'm running so that gives you a chance
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that gives you a chance you could win this with 20 of the vote that's correct yeah i i uh that is
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correct and anybody in america that's willing to work has a chance and i'll outwork anybody i promise you
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that is um is president trump uh endorsed anybody in the race he hasn't endorsed anybody
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in the race and it's looking like he's probably not going to just because it's you know it's not
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one of the the more it's a toss-up yeah toss-up districts but it's it whoever wins the primary is
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is going to is going to win and uh they're going to be the representative of the fourth district and so
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i'm excited to bring uh who i am as a business owner and as a father to to congress to try to
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represent these people you know i think it's has uh has kevin mccarthy uh reached out to you or is
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he endorsed anybody in this race is he's funneling money in because you know that's what he does he
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tries to he tries to buy buy votes so that he stays in power what's what's the status of kevin these
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days he's not reaching out to me but he i'm sure he's involved there are some some rhinos in this
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area and uh as you can tell by our legislator vote times um and i you know there's just there's
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rhino money here trying to press hard on on that senate position and other things and uh for me i'm
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just i'm just sick and tired of people not getting things done you know missouri is the show me state
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so we're ready for people to actually do something and uh you know we can get it done one voice and one
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vote at a time if you uh all right sir you seem like a a good man and a capable man uh let people
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know how they can help with your campaign and then uh we're going to bid you farewell here and good
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luck that's kyle labrew.com i'm on facebook i'm on twitter i'm on getter and as of recent i'm even
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on tiktok so check me out uh and we'll get some things done i appreciate you guys and uh appreciate
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everything you and steve do for all right brother good luck to you out there uh in the trenches uh
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look um a man like that america should be proud of uh he's putting it on the line and in the name
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of democracy and uh we need more folks like that um rather than less um all right and as i promised
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we're going to continue around this great country next uh we're going to arizona and who we seeing
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okay um all right so got a few minutes left we're going to try to get uh uh our arizona
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candidate back in the meantime let me just um try to put uh put this uh in perspective here and let me
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let me let me uh let me brazenly uh do a pitch for my uh taking back trump's america book here and the
00:22:50.360
reason why i bring it up um is because this book is a blueprint and a battle cry essentially uh for
00:23:02.460
taking back trump's america in in two stages really um stage one has to be it absolutely has to be
00:23:11.440
uh removing uh removing nancy pelosi from the house of representatives um as speaker of the house
00:23:19.600
um as i as i talk about in the taking back trump's america book um the
00:23:26.300
ascendance of pelosi in 2018 was um a contributing factor
00:23:36.640
um to donald trump's loss in 2020 um the whole theme of the taking back trump's america book
00:23:45.620
on amazon by the way um is a takeoff on ronald reagan's personnel is policy phrasing uh where
00:23:54.460
um i take a more granular view of bad personnel um is bad policy is bad politics
00:24:02.700
and um the problem we had i tell the story in taking back trump's america about how um in the
00:24:13.340
white house decisions were made to focus more on the senate rather than the house in the 28 18 races
00:24:20.700
and despite my warnings and warnings of others like steve we let that house slip away and the ensuing
00:24:28.500
chaos uh and attacks from the likes of pelosi shift raskin and others took their toll on donald trump
00:24:37.100
um in the 2020 election um all right we have um our next guest back uh matt we uh excuse me cameron
00:24:45.160
who do we have it sherry spire i'm so delighted sherry to welcome you to the war room uh you are from
00:24:53.120
the great state of arizona i believe and tell us uh what you're running for and why sure i'm running
00:25:00.840
for superintendent of public instruction in most states it's actually an appointed position but here
00:25:07.040
in arizona it is elected which is probably a good thing we need to make sure that we have the will of
00:25:12.240
the people in every key position and this is the person who is the chief education officer in the state
00:25:18.100
so um that's what i'm running for to bring some sense into the department of education we have a
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very progressive liberal superintendent right now that we must take out of office comes november
00:25:29.440
we've only got a minute i apologize that but we had some technical difficulties what's the worst thing
00:25:36.120
that the person is doing right now in that position and how would you stop it
00:25:41.940
you know she's obsessed with uh lgbtq and gender ideology so the sexualizing and the grooming of our
00:25:49.540
children is real i can't explain and convey how bad it is actually in all uh in all levels i mean from
00:25:57.540
kindergarten on they are talking to our children about things that they should not be talking to
00:26:02.020
them about and here you're showing one of those uh pages that we just posted this is in a human
00:26:07.420
geography ap class in vale arizona and i don't know what this has to do with geography i understand
00:26:14.140
the cultural uh shifts and movements uh of humans around the the universe and earth but they're talking about
00:26:22.460
lgbtq agenda in every in every textbook in every assignment it seems like in everything and it's a problem
00:26:30.460
look um i we we appreciate uh people stepping up and speaking their minds and running for office so
00:26:41.100
we wish you uh well sorry we didn't have more time quickly how can people get a hold of you on social media
00:26:47.100
or a website sure my website is sapiraz.com s-a-p-i-r-a-z.com and on twitter
00:26:54.780
all right good luck to you madam and uh we'll be talking in the future take care
00:27:18.140
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taking back trump's america provides a critical mega blueprint to put trump back in the white house in
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2024 by taking back trump's america on amazon today if they can put peter navarro in prison
00:29:59.180
they can come for all of us war room battleground with stephen k bannon
00:30:08.940
hey peter k navarro in for stephen k bannon um and um i want to uh i want to bring on one of the
00:30:17.980
favorite guys i like to talk to um one of the most astute guys and he's always perfect
00:30:23.260
for the battleground show because what we're about here is granularity and one of the things
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that had been that's been weighing on my mind since the the georgia and we'll call it what it is fiasco
00:30:36.300
where where we lost jody heiss in the secretary of state race that would have been a good replacement
00:30:43.420
said we're stuck with raffensperger there um and um you know vernon jones got his head handed to him
00:30:50.860
there and um you know it's like i there's something about georgia where this rhino wing of the republican
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party they're deep pocketed they seem to have good ground game they kind of know how to like like hit
00:31:08.460
above their weight when it comes to battling trump and i'm worried deeply worried that something like
00:31:14.700
that might be going on in arizona as i'm watching uh uh carrie lake struggle against the the billionaire
00:31:23.420
money of of robeson fighting against her uh i know that they're going to go after fincham every way
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which loose his secretary of state race and of course there's the blake masters race so let's bring
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in richard now i just i love the color of your t-shirt richard i think i might get one of those
00:31:41.420
myself uh nice and uh and so if you could why don't we um why don't we start with arizona and
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there's some other issues i want to do but but tell me uh boots on the ground how do you how do you see
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a any kind of a repeat of georgia fiasco in arizona in your polling and and have i read that wrong
00:32:03.980
well tell me what you what you're thinking what you're seeing yeah yeah we we actually did stay
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in the field for another day peter to make sure uh we didn't miss anything with mike pence and doug
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do see um but the fact is carrie lake we just and people can go check it out on uh creative
00:32:21.340
destruction media.com or just cdm.press the poll was just released there uh the senate's coming out
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the secretary of state it'll be out within minutes um carrie lake is doing something that david
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purdue just never could do and jody heist never could do uh which is dominating and we aren't
00:32:39.260
talking about two totally different electorates one is really heavily hispanic even in a republican
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primary there's going to be a good chunk of hispanic voters uh and and the former president is popular
00:32:52.540
in the state of arizona so the i would be i think it's fair to say the endorsement in arizona
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carries more weight than it does in some of these southern uppity old school rhinos with the word uh
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you know republican states yeah yeah i mean carrie lake's got a big lead here 43 to 29 and it started
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for 43 robeson is the uh robeson's the 29 she is is this a closed primary republicans only is it can
00:33:24.300
the democrats come in and and make mischief yeah you can i mean there is a little bit of mischief
00:33:29.740
making you can do that uh but the fact is it's it's not significant you know what is the percentage of
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voters who are typically call themselves independents who uh intend to vote on the republican side versus
00:33:42.220
the democratic side so looking at it right now independent and third party voters we asked in
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which part primary do you intend to participate 62 percent almost 61.6 percent of these voters
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said i'm voting in the republican primary and they're going for lake and masters by the way they're going
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for lake and mass all right so here's an here's a question well we'll get to masters um what percentage
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of the voters i'm sure you must ask this um already know that that lake has the trump endorsement and and
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that's influencing their decision that you know that's a good question because in georgia 60 percent
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of voters told us in the state of georgia that they didn't they couldn't accurately tell us who uh
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the president endorsed which was to me uh crazy uh this is not the case here about 25 percent don't
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know about the trump endorsement totally different ballgame so uh it is there's without a doubt peter it's
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helping and honestly before if i don't want to leave arizona too soon but without saying this
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it's a state that really underscores how important illustrates how important this fight for the party
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is um if you look at and donald trump did so much better than mxalli uh among these groups of voters
00:34:56.540
that are the future of the country not just the state of arizona so all of if i i tweeted before
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folks look at the crosstabs look at age look at race and look at generation because we asked by are you
00:35:07.820
first second third generation what state were you born in the people who are making up the surge in
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the population in this country like america first they don't like republican establishment candidates
00:35:19.980
so this is why donald trump outperformed and this includes yeah and this includes hispanics more and
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more oh there's a big is that part of the equation kerry kerry lake is thrashing robeson
00:35:34.700
with hispanics blake masters has about a 15 point lead these guys see i was on with charlie kirk
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before and i was trying to explain the demographic and he said they're the joe rogan voters they're
00:35:44.860
just hispanic hispanic joe rogan voters yeah working working you know folks family folks
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uh definitely the hispanic vote is going to play a huge role going forward and that's why arizona is
00:35:56.140
not going to turn into georgia because georgia's 30 plus sometimes uh african-american and there's a
00:36:02.700
lot of yuppie whites peter you know there's no better remember we called them yuppies in the 80s
00:36:06.540
and 90s right that's who they are overly educated you know um that's not the case outside of phoenix
00:36:13.580
in arizona you know so i i was concerned that it is a horrible tragedy i mean um uh trump's um
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ex-wife uh ivana that died and that that um yeah made made the trip that trump was going to take
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on behalf of of lake and and and masters to arizona that got canceled i was told that
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the yeah the absentee ballots were already rolling in um so i guess what you're saying is now that you've
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been in the field um she's okay without that and and masters is also let's turn to masters go ahead
00:36:54.940
yeah uh well i was just gonna say uh carrie you know the situation with carrie lake's race is that
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it isn't as crowded and there's a lot less undecideds now governor races tend to decide a
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little bit quicker on some of these senate like really hype senate battles uh but we did ask about
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likelihood to vote but also have you voted already do you plan to vote before election day
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or are you going to vote on election day uh robson leads by a poultry one point among those are already
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voted 42.5 to 41.9 kerry lake leads with the voters who haven't voted yet but intend to vote early before
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election day 41.7 to 25.8 and then on election day it's just a bloodbath 46.7 to 20.5 but
00:37:41.340
arizona is heavily mail-in so it's very key to both um lake and masters that they're winning that vote
00:37:49.500
of people who uh intend to cast their ballots before election day which so how do you i mean
00:37:54.300
i just don't know where robson's gonna find the vote how do you explain the the the dead heat uh for
00:38:01.020
that first tranche you described between robeson and lake you know i think you say you kind of said
00:38:07.580
i think you kind of said it uh before they they have a ground game in some of these states they
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really know how to use it a lot of people underestimated okay uh you know some of these
00:38:18.460
like camps they bank they bank them yeah uh the thing is that i i and i have noticed the president
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has you know tweeted in truth several times go out and vote get those early ballots in uh and then also
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i think it's a kind of voter you know the more skeptical voter doesn't want to hand their ballot in right
00:38:35.420
away we did hear about a couple of problems by the way people who wanted to go uh vote in person
00:38:41.180
said taking off the the uh permanent mailing ballot list and then yet we're still receiving ballots uh
00:38:47.660
that they didn't expect to receive if that happens to you and you plan to vote in person take the
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ballot they mailed to you uh with you when you go to vote in person make sure you bring it with you
00:38:58.540
don't fill it out just bring it with you yeah all right um because yeah it's a do you know what joe
00:39:03.660
peter yeah yeah did you ask the question uh uh did you do any match-ups of uh katie hobbs
00:39:11.820
on the democratic side that the disasters the secretary of state who who basically uh stole the election from
00:39:18.860
trump did you did you uh matt do a match-up with lake versus robeson we did we did uh you know it's not
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it's not out there yet but i will just tell you this uh you know we're gonna drop a bomb on people
00:39:31.180
if breaking news here yeah yeah lake is ahead of hobbs it's a small lead but it's a lead she's
00:39:37.980
winning independence she doesn't have bleeding and the crossover uh and masters is not that far
00:39:43.820
behind kelly at all it's very doable and the reason why is because masters wins a voter so does lake by
00:39:50.220
the way and and as um you know somebody like master i think a lot of these hispanic voters they
00:39:55.260
like the rough and tumble they like that so uh you know donald trump performs so much better among
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these voters mick sally with masters that's he doesn't have that problem so uh kelly is not
00:40:07.500
going to split these voters in your world is arizona a purple state now i mean if you're telling me that
00:40:15.980
that both the governor and the senate races are are dead heats effectively or within reach of the
00:40:21.820
republicans um that doesn't sound like a red state to me how do you square that circle i you know i
00:40:28.780
think over time we may see it swing back republican but the fact is i i wouldn't call it a red state
00:40:34.860
and this is somebody who calls florida a red state florida's it's done um democrats just hang it up
00:40:40.700
there i mean fundraising against ron desantis should be considered a fraud uh you're just taking people's
00:40:46.300
money uh but that took time and in arizona we we saw some stuff exactly it's basically on par with
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what we saw in florida some of these white educated voters went to the democratic side and republicans
00:40:59.180
took all of the new arrivals and newly naturalized first generation hispanic workers which is what i've
00:41:04.700
told people you know that that they they i hear a lot about well voters from california and voters from
00:41:10.460
the northeast the truth is peter we've pulled this if they're first generation arizona uh or floridian
00:41:17.420
they came from those blue areas and did not bring their politics with them or at least they didn't
00:41:21.580
bring their state politics they're leaving there because they can't stay in those states anymore
00:41:26.540
so you know ted cruz held on in texas because of that voter um and the same thing by the way is was
00:41:33.580
is going eventually i believe to be true in arizona so all republicans will lose some of those phoenix
00:41:39.740
area educated whites um again there's so much in this poll if you look by generation the story
00:41:47.180
jumps right out at you it jumps right out at you and we saw the same thing with donald trump as well
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we did which is why he did better than all those suggested talk to me down ballot now the the mark
00:41:59.820
fincham secretary of state race he's got a number of people he's running against he's the republican
00:42:05.580
he's on the war room all the time he's the guy who's been best on the uh the election integrity
00:42:11.500
issue on our side of the fence um where does he stand and on the dem side uh do they have a um
00:42:20.700
somebody who's got a lot of name id running with a lot of money or is that kind of a cipher race
00:42:25.980
we didn't yeah we didn't pull the secretary of state on the uh democratic side but we did we did
00:42:32.620
do the democratic primary with hobbs which was interesting uh very weak you know in the 50s
00:42:38.700
um and with uh one of the one of the gentlemen uh who aaron lieberman uh was running to be the first uh
00:42:46.220
jewish governor of arizona he withdrew but his name will still be on the ballot he still takes a chunk from
00:42:51.260
hobbs um and then marco's still taking about 15 so there's a huge number of undecideds on the
00:42:58.300
democratic side that are unhappy with their choices this year they don't like their they
00:43:02.860
like kelly better but they don't like the statewide uh candidates that are running so that
00:43:08.300
it shows you how hobbs is overstated she's overrated badly is is that an uh winner take all
00:43:15.900
racers will there be a runoff in the primaries um okay okay yes and there's a huge number of
00:43:28.540
undecided talking about 51 are are still undecided in the secretary of state's race but fincham does
00:43:36.300
have a lead he has about an eight point lead or nine excuse me nine he's got a nine point lead but uh
00:43:43.420
you know you're talking about 50 yeah i i think the 50 undecided is like 50 don't know who the hell's
00:43:51.900
running and probably won't won't vote in the uh down ballot right i mean that i don't know what the
00:43:56.940
drop-off is from governor and senator but i suspect that there's a lot of people who don't vote for
00:44:02.540
secretary of state a little bit a little bit of an undervote coming there folks yeah yeah uh and also
00:44:09.020
two could be huge if that rally come uh does happen because you know you're gonna have apparently
00:44:16.460
dueling brownies with mike pence wants to go out there and make trouble um you know if the president
00:44:21.580
does eventually go out there and give shout outs then those high turnout people they're gonna hear
00:44:26.380
that peter they're gonna i i don't i honestly i was as i'm polling and looking at these numbers
00:44:31.900
i don't know why the former vice president stepped up to embarrass himself here i don't
00:44:37.900
know why they did this they have to have the numbers we're seeing um you know to to enter you
00:44:43.820
know to get involved now with robeson they they're basically trying to master yano lake um it's not
00:44:50.140
going to work it's not going to work i'm telling you it's the georgia this is what i was worried about
00:44:56.300
it's the georgia formula and i think they could they could pull it off but but i i hope uh georgia
00:45:03.020
sui generis that it's just that it's just weird uh compared to some of these other areas um yeah
00:45:11.340
all right so we got we got about uh six minutes left here um what i'd like to do now is have you uh
00:45:19.420
take your best shots of of what you're seeing what's the latest breaking news um and and
00:45:26.380
also maybe comment on the ongoing uh soap opera on capitol hill is whether that's eroding uh trump
00:45:34.860
at all you know i i really don't i don't think it's touching him at all i mean people have to
00:45:41.740
understand you know a year ago two years ago let's say i would have been that guy and i was all through
00:45:47.820
2020 who simply said look the way that demographics are in this country now republicans are not going to
00:45:54.460
be able to win the popular vote so you know get ready to lean on the electoral college and that's
00:45:59.180
what it was put in place for by the way um but the fact is that the way that you know the census is
00:46:05.100
coming out it's going to back up what i'm saying it did the difference here is that the the former
00:46:11.020
president is winning voters that republicans didn't even have on the radar and he's changing the equation
00:46:17.100
so i'm stunned when i poll and he has these national leads folks that is not supposed to
00:46:22.780
happen for a republican candidate anymore and you know the truth is i think sometimes we forget
00:46:29.020
how uh the incredible feat that he pulled off winning michigan winning pennsylvania winning wisconsin
00:46:36.220
blowing out ohio and iowa that just never happens for republican it's just so we don't bury an
00:46:43.500
important yeah just so we don't bury an important point here what you're saying is that generally
00:46:49.100
people don't care about republicans win win republicans win the white house generally in the electoral
00:46:56.460
college by just the way that goes but they often lose a national vote what you're saying is trump's
00:47:02.940
winning the national vote as well yeah absolutely he would he would carry the popular vote at this point
00:47:09.740
which to me i would have told you two two years ago was impossible you know bush v gore wasn't a
00:47:15.340
fluke it wasn't a fluke it was part of a trend bush got lucky you know for and carried the popular vote
00:47:21.740
a little bit but that we were facing this disadvantage this built-in disadvantage but
00:47:27.260
that change in the hispanic vote peter is completely upending the equation it's it's you know and nobody
00:47:34.700
would have believed that demographics is destiny remember the blue emerging wall the emerging blue
00:47:39.100
majority sorry um that was supposed to be forever folks forever now let me put you let me uh let me
00:47:46.700
put you on the spot here um how many seats are the republicans gonna win net do you think in november
00:47:56.300
if any just in case you're you're you're pessimistic in the senate is it a gingrich thing
00:48:03.260
uh no in the house uh in the house is it um is it the 60 gingrich obama kind of kind of carnage is it
00:48:12.460
the 100 seat banning uh flood um is it is it 30 because of roe v wade uh what what what do you what's
00:48:21.580
your hand how you handicapping this um at this point in time yep historically republicans have a cap of
00:48:30.700
about 200 a little under 250 which is really i mean if you do the math it's 247 247 uh seats now
00:48:39.420
with redistricting you could push that cap a little bit so like 248 to 49 maybe 250 but you would have
00:48:46.540
to be running a good race and that's the problem peter that every time they look like they're going
00:48:51.740
to bust that cap they do something like sneaking amnesty and they they do something you know they're
00:48:57.020
dumb these are incredibly stupid people pass a gun bill i mean what people by the way when i said that
00:49:03.660
amnesty that that visa program was coming people thought i was like being a little hysterical and i
00:49:08.940
just know you know from hearing these guys and men girls all these years you know it when you hear
00:49:14.140
the whisper that they're about to do it they really are that dumb uh so you know they did uh it's just
00:49:20.620
incredible this is why i tell at this point you know i i'm not bearish i think that it's a foregone
00:49:27.180
conclusion that republicans are going to take the house i just think that all of the historical
00:49:31.820
indicators suggest a complete route something on you know on the level um of historic but that they're
00:49:40.300
not playing for that right now and i would i would argue and i've been saying this you know if the former
00:49:46.060
president doesn't intend to run again you should seriously consider waiting until after the midterm
00:49:51.260
because they're going to blame him peter if he announces a run in 2024 and they inevitably put
00:49:57.020
up mediocre numbers they're going to scapegoat in i've already heard several of them talk about that
00:50:02.780
genius genius you heard that from richard barris that is the smartest thing i've heard in a month
00:50:08.620
yep smartest thing i've heard in a month hey richard um i think i really thanks uh for for spending
00:50:13.740
a lot of time again in the war room it's always a a pleasure um i'm glad um my timing was good on my
00:50:20.300
arizona question because uh perfect you have the receipts we probably broke a little news here we kind
00:50:25.260
of led with those results uh tell people now we got uh 20 seconds tell them how they get to you and and
00:50:31.900
get your stuff oh go check out the crosstabs at cdm.press you'll see all the polls up there follow me on
00:50:38.940
social at people's pundit and people's pundit.locals.com all right my brother take care man love that
00:50:48.300
shirt all the all right peter k navarro hey my brother peter k navarro in for brother steven k
00:50:56.460
bannon our prayers you're with him and uh we are in the war room we'll see you tomorrow