00:16:17.780desires regime change in iran i mean they said it like cats and netanyahu and a bunch of them
00:16:24.720in their cabinet have all said that openly yeah yeah and then and netanyahu is not popular within
00:16:30.800this country uh there's forces agitating for change in there something of a coup d'etat that's
00:16:36.540gonna happen just in time for october 7th of course um and would i put it past netanyahu to
00:16:44.660allow some catastrophe to to befall israel that strengthens his position no i don't i think he
00:16:51.800would do that in an instant so anyway point being that the forces that cause this conflict still
00:16:58.200persist and even though nothing changed there's a temporary ceasefire like make no mistake this is
00:17:04.040not peace however there's also that within that nucleus it's the what it's the truth that i think
00:17:11.600iran knows which is that if israel was ever legitimately threatened or existentially
00:17:17.600threatened they would ignite the samson option and declare a thermonuclear war on the whole planet
00:17:24.080so like i'm trying to look at this from a neorealist position i'm like this was this could
00:17:28.940never be the war we wanted it to be yeah it seems like so much of it was theater we're hearing that
00:17:37.140and i guess we'll take his word for it trump was saying that oh the attacks from iran were
00:17:43.100with the consent and coordination of america like oh we'll clear people out of our base then you
00:17:50.680attack at this time wait what no way that's that's pure bullshit there's no way that's true
00:17:56.780that's i mean he's such a no i'm not saying he didn't say it i'm saying he's fucking lying
00:18:01.540of course he would say that he's like the most notorious liar on earth this fucking faggot
00:18:05.960but there's no way that's true i'm trying to see if i was hoodwinked um well it does sound like
00:18:14.700something trump would say okay here says i'm looking at cbs news trump says iran gave quote
00:18:20.300early notice about counter-strikes on u.s base in qatar so and when he's that's no
00:18:27.200president trump said monday the iran government offered early notice of a series of missile
00:18:31.820strikes that targeted u.s uh al udid airbase in qatar uh and here's the quote i want to thank
00:18:38.220iran for giving us early notice which made it possible for no lives were lost and nobody to be
00:18:43.340injured and he's saying this to the press in his own bombastic style so i hear that i say oh this
00:18:47.980is like you're just telling us this is a show none of this matters it's just well you gotta bomb
00:18:52.300something we have what you can't not bomb something symbolically so then you know you look at this say
00:18:59.020how much of this is just like a contract being signed if it were true if it were true strategically
00:19:06.480he should not say it but the iranians should because you know what i mean that's that's a
00:19:11.460good point it makes no fucking sense they didn't claim that they did that they told him that but
00:19:15.780he is claiming it i don't know why he's claiming it but i don't i don't think it's true and
00:19:20.360throughout the entire process during the peace the the uh the ceasefire and all of this other
00:19:25.280there was so much bullshit going on all of these claims even now they're saying that fordo was
00:19:30.360destroyed i don't know man i i kind of don't we nobody knows but there's come there's conflicting
00:19:35.960reports right now whether that was even fucking damaged aside from the entrance in one of the
00:19:40.040halls so uh we're gonna find out in the next few months whether this thing flares back up again but
00:19:45.220trump to me aside from the fact that i'm finding out for sure then being vindicated that trump is
00:19:51.100a warmongering fucking lunatic at neocon aside from that it's so so crystal clear how much of
00:19:57.740a liar he is we all knew he was a liar but the amount of bullshit just in the past week where
00:20:02.800he goes live and just makes up the most insane and it's all on twitter like he's he's trying to
00:20:08.520run the globe on twitter it's a lot of the trump fans were saying that aha you guys got fooled
00:20:13.780because you were talking about boots on the ground nukes and whatnot and this was all out of the deal
00:20:19.440the fucking goal post because he he was using tomahawks and gbu what is it gbu 57s in a foreign
00:20:25.440country without congress declaring war and you're moving the goals you get up but there's no boots
00:20:29.680in your own off that was a war that i don't know what like you can't just change the anyways
00:20:35.200anybody who still believes in trump is a faggot turn off the turn off the computer go listen to
00:20:39.440something else if you like trump go away everyone was freaking out because trump was openly talking
00:20:45.440about regime change in iran he used the term and everyone said that's just art of the deal
00:20:50.640and i said you can't just say everything he does president you can't also the threat doesn't work
00:20:57.100unless there's strength to do that you know i mean like constantly showing off and lying and
00:21:04.240blustering and doing all this bullshit and yeah you want to say oh it's art of the deal art of
00:21:07.600the deal like i just call it what it is man he's he's just lying and being a fucking idiot
00:21:13.980yeah and you could say you could say how much of a lap dog is he for israel but unreal unreal and
00:21:21.740then like him glazing netanyahu today as well yes saying he should he could just say nothing
00:21:27.500if you really didn't like netanyahu you could just hands up and said no this this is a great man
00:21:32.720who defended israel which is precisely the narrative that he wants anyway uh the point i
00:21:39.760was trying to make ironically was i don't even want to talk about this i mean just because i
00:21:45.180don't think a single this was like the early days of the war in ukraine there's there's nothing
00:21:49.580known at this point honestly almost everything that we've got is propaganda from one side or
00:21:54.060the other so i don't think anybody knows shit right now you know it's interesting we're talking
00:21:58.320about this in our community the other day because i noticed some people who were very very pro trump
00:22:04.160And I hear lots of people say that they've got insiders in the White House or they're being fed information about like Trump's intentions or real backroom deals.
00:22:15.340Certain people are privy to things and they're reaching out to people like us.
00:22:19.900And we're just laughing at this in the community because I was thinking that wouldn't you trust those people less?
00:22:26.820now let's start by saying that a white house insider is a pretty broad definition like does
00:22:34.860that include an intern does that include a secretary or is that someone who's in the oval
00:22:40.340office if they're in the oval office consider that they're putting their entire career on the line
00:22:46.660to give information to podcasters like you or i that seems unrealistic unless you really know
00:22:54.660that person or or unless their career there is not that valuable because they actually just like
00:22:59.540change ink in the printer yeah or more likely that if they indeed are all these things they
00:23:06.800would be feeding you propaganda that would be part of their job is to feed you yes wrong information
00:23:11.900and then see how that propagates and just keep everyone confused why why wouldn't that be the
00:23:19.100first thing top of mind that you would assume any credible source is that's associated at all
00:23:26.080with that administration you know i mean so like why would you should trust insiders less and it
00:23:33.320was so if with that in mind you know how are we vetting something that is true and i was reminded
00:23:40.420of um it's bad to laugh at this but there was this really great show called fash the nation
00:23:46.360on the right stuff.biz hosted by jazz hands mcfeels and there are many iterations of that
00:23:53.540show with different co-hosts a lot of people love the first one but near the end uh he i forget who
00:23:59.140the co-host maybe it was james alsup but he was he claimed that he had insiders he claimed that he
00:24:07.020had a couple guys from the community who were feeding him like real top secret classified type
00:24:12.940stuff and it turned out that this person was making it all up just lying bullshitting making
00:24:21.580up facts saying you know doctoring whatever we don't know what he passed out but this it would
00:24:26.720make it into the show and he would very infamously say a bunch of wrong shit that everyone laughed at
00:24:32.500him about but that's always colored my perspective because that means anytime i hear someone's got a
00:24:38.200guy on the inside i'm like i don't know are they pranking you are they fucking with you
00:24:44.640why would they fuck with me i i can answer that it's funny why do i why do i fuck with people
00:24:51.520i fuck with people all the time i make shit up i just lie i spent when we were living in toronto
00:24:58.200i kept telling people that you know japanese people don't know how to turn left i would just
00:25:03.500make up racism like all the time when we were younger fresh just just see how it goes and then
00:25:09.560hopefully that manifests in the real world as something they can now not do maybe one day
00:25:16.440we go to japan and there's no left hand turns at all and then you know you look up in the sky and
00:31:34.760I think they're more, you know, cunning and intelligent.
00:31:38.360And, you know, if this is indeed all theater, it was only to prevent that, the second Samson option, one that was not present in Afghanistan and not present in Iraq.
00:31:52.800I actually think Iran holds more cards, way more cards than people think.
00:31:57.160They're not even they're not even comparable.
00:32:00.180Like Iraq and Afghanistan have not been functional nations in decades.
00:32:05.660and like yeah iran is past its peak but iran is not iran like i don't know there's so many people
00:32:12.000who treat iran like it's some fucking backwater it is not it's a serious fucking country like if
00:32:17.980you look at the technology that they have and like they're even saying the amount of missiles that
00:32:22.820were available were not even a not even a tiny fraction of them were fired and like it's just
00:32:28.380i don't know it's crazy the way that people downplay the actual power of iran yeah and
00:32:33.340And that's what I was concerned about early on when I said, oh, Iran is gaining a reputation of someone that can be fucked with by Israel or fucked with by the international community.
00:32:43.140And then they prove they can't be fucked with, which is what they're supposed to be doing.
00:55:05.320where these eugenic influences can actually propagate because you know why should because
00:55:13.740we talked about survival of the fittest right uh you made a good point there when people hear
00:55:17.740survival of the fittest they think oh the most physically dominant not necessarily if the system
00:55:24.340if the environment is selecting for let's say meek individuals meek and not even particularly
00:55:31.920intelligent but with a high verbal iq and cunning you know their survival is based on how they can
00:55:38.900thrive in a bureaucracy there could be a negative correlation between that and physical fitness so
00:55:44.960yes you are you are thriving and you that's the survival of your genes and maybe you even have
00:55:51.800more kids than the who we also think is is the apex predator of that system the you know seven
00:56:00.880foot chat or whatever that guy just withers on the vine so you need us and you would be foolish
00:56:07.900to try not excel in that system that's why people are going to school because i want to sell
00:56:12.600so and there's no alternative so you just need a space where excelling at those things those
00:56:19.500virtues those skills actually have a relationship to economic sovereignty right because one of the
00:56:27.600problems is that if we pursue a lot of the values that we think are important which would be
00:56:33.060self-sufficiency physical fitness whatever it might be you can still end up a broke loser and
00:56:39.100that's a hard sell for a lot of people you're always going to be a minority just doing that
00:56:44.800unless you have some space where these people can not only exist but propagate and raise their kids
00:56:51.460and then that becomes an argument for positive birth rate because then you want each one of
00:56:55.380those guys to have seven kids and that you want to raise them and then it's a numbers game it's
00:57:01.620hard to make a case for a numbers game within this system because everyone's thinking why do
00:57:06.240i want to birth so many people into the system that sucks that's just punishing that's going to
00:57:10.480you know lead them astray that's gonna this whole system makes my kids retarded and trans and maybe
00:57:16.240they're ripped away from me by my crazy wife whatever so there's a lot of even social forces
00:57:21.900that make people not want to have kids but you see a space where you know you can the the the
00:57:28.920the strategy of a positive birth rate and an extremely positive birth rate makes sense a bit
00:57:36.400more exactly is anything i'm saying track there yeah yeah it does it does and and then i i read
00:57:43.080that and then i was looking at this just a dumb tweet um this is by john de la rose don't know who
00:57:51.740that is um he's responding to a um a tweet here from someone named steven circ circarelli says
00:58:00.940it's really it's a really a guy with a very italian name that is not an italian looking man
00:58:06.720um italians shouldn't have beards right out of here if i don't even like seeing a lot of
00:58:13.060europeans with beards got an english beard this guy british men with beards doesn't make sense
00:58:18.800to me this is more of a sponsored by the shadow government really this that's our thing he says
00:58:25.700i just failed a student for submitting an ai written research paper and she said i mean
00:58:30.240obviously ai written email apologizing asking if there is anything she can do to improve her grade
00:58:36.100we are through the looking glass here folks i'm sure there's stories like that countless stories
00:58:42.240like that that's very brown coded i want to say but there's no doubt many there's guys i know
00:58:50.800many white guys i know who are like i'm getting in on this i'm gonna get the ai just why not get
00:58:55.980the ai just do all this shit right this is the time to do it where the the institutions haven't
00:59:01.760caught up yet so of course that's gonna probably what are your thoughts on that so far okay so
00:59:06.360first of all i never use ai to write my emails uh i always write my emails in my own voice and i
00:59:15.080include common canadian misspellings intentionally when dealing with american clients and that is one
00:59:21.820facet of the reason that i am poor and unfit for this society yeah if you want to excel in this
00:59:31.780society this is just what we're talking about yeah you need to be scamming with ai which is
00:59:36.740making you stupider and let's remember that the the ai is just it's essentially i'm gonna get in
00:59:44.280trouble look it's averaging let's just call this it's averaging the the the the data the data pile
00:59:51.440or the the fucking data right it's averaging the data if the data is linkedin emails and those
00:59:57.860linkedin emails were written by real people because those real people are a bunch of fucking
01:00:01.900gay fags because we have a work culture a bunch of dumb gay fags then when another genuine gay fag
01:00:09.080runs you a write to a genuine gay fag email yeah it's gonna sound like chat gbt but it's it's
01:00:15.580possible that that guy sounds like that because you idiots have been training people for 30 years
01:00:20.760to write emails like that how do you know this is that john del a rose guy who i was just talking
01:00:27.360about he hears him reacting to that tweet he says here's the hard truth your student is using the
01:00:34.160future of tech to perform and is probably learning more useful future skills by getting better at ai
01:00:40.640prompts than anything you're teaching and here's here's the thing we might recoil and disgust at
01:00:47.680that but there is if you just step back from it there's something true to that i think it's
01:00:52.480It's dysgenic, though, and that's the inverse of what we're – the ideal we're talking about.
01:00:57.080What do you mean by dysgenic there, though?
01:00:58.880Do you mean it makes people unfit or it makes people have fewer children?
01:01:01.600I think it makes them stupider, and I think on a long enough timeline, if people are – here's a good point.
01:01:08.840You did just point out that using these LLMs regresses people to the dumb faggot mean of society, which only becomes lower IQ as more brown people are fit into it.
01:01:21.840i was saying that these people before ai existed the dumb faggots already were the majority
01:01:27.040and the ai is trained on them so the ai is mimicking them not the other way no that's
01:01:31.040what i'm saying and it's it's actually dragging us down into that if we are d yeah if the more
01:01:37.280it's averaging us all yeah or the more we surrender our communication skills to the ai
01:01:42.960as many if these students are doing that if there's white students doing that they are
01:01:49.120surrendering their voice to just a retarded brown mass and excelling as that so you can talk if this
01:01:56.880continues generationally the iq is going to get dragged down to that mean eventually um and so
01:02:04.160that's why i was saying that that's sort of a communicative dysgenics but that's one aspect
01:02:10.720of what i was just talking about like what is it what are these forces that are truly dragging
01:02:17.360the white genetics down because it's you could say it's miscegenation but it's it's something
01:02:22.080almost more it's political and social it's also metaphysical well what if what if the future and
01:02:26.960i think this is what john is getting at what if the future is so saturated in ai that the only
01:02:32.240people who survive it and reproduce are not people who are intelligent it's people who shut down whole
01:02:38.560regions of their brain in order to plug into prompt life prompt slop life maybe those people
01:02:46.480not only have the most kids but they also make the most money 50 years from now and people like
01:02:51.600people like you and i who don't refuse to do this and are thrilled at our own you know adequacy
01:02:59.440are actually going to die poor of some novel disease yeah i remember the tweet by arthur
01:03:06.560chu and we discussed we mentioned this at one point in the past but he was saying that the
01:03:12.240future is going to be held by people like me yes i'm fat and short and ugly and i like slop and
01:03:22.320i'm emotional but there's more people like me like he was making the argument of you know it was if
01:03:28.720the camp of the saints was written by the other end so we have strength in numbers yes we are a
01:03:34.640virus and we will spread like a virus and i look at that and i'm like and that that if left to its
01:03:43.120own devices the system will amplify those people because it will be up to people not just us but
01:03:50.320people like us if if you're the type of person who has noticed this and you don't like it this will
01:03:58.000be the reality that you live in unless there's hmm hmm unless there's hmm i can only you know
01:04:07.020what unless there's um hmm because i was i was loading four or five rounds into the tube on what
01:04:13.560i was gonna say and i think we're gonna leave it at hmm that's good i was opening the box making
01:04:19.100sure all the wires are connected setting the timer on it of that idea of my point
01:04:27.340but it's like if if you like this is what they're saying and i do think they mean it i do think that
01:04:33.260actually is true that that the cancer will metastasize um and and here's just one example
01:04:38.860of it being forwarded by artificial intelligence and people are seeing it's it's like this cool
01:04:44.140exciting thing but you know i don't think it gets any better from here i just think it keeps i want
01:04:50.860to point out too it's really the pot calling the kettle black when you have people in academia
01:04:56.460complaining about this like you have steve ciccarelli is apparently i guess he's a prof
01:05:00.940complaining about his students the reason that that is even possible for them to do that is
01:05:06.260because your system of which you are a part which you support has encouraged this behavior you've
01:05:12.200been encouraging students to write in a certain voice in a certain way to a certain style they
01:05:18.040literally have style guides and and and i'm sure i'm sure steve cittarelli is a totally upright guy
01:05:24.000but when i was in university most of the profs that i had you were essentially trying you had
01:05:28.220to write something that was going to suck their dick if you wanted to get a good mark and i think
01:05:31.300everybody who's been through academia has had that experience so if the objective is not to learn
01:05:36.080something and it hasn't been for a long time the objective is to suck the prof's dick to get a good
01:05:40.000mark so you can get a good job that's fitness and if the new fit mode the new you know lock in is to
01:05:47.100be better at writing prompts then who are you to complain you and i'm not saying this is good i'm
01:05:52.780saying it is cancer but you know what it's not cancer it's not cancer from a uh uh uh from the
01:06:00.100standpoint of survival of the fittest because it is it actually the best expression of survival
01:06:04.240of the fittest it's it's it's cancer from the standpoint of anybody who believes in objective
01:06:07.660truth and beauty yeah and this is the sort of attitude once again we're stepping back from this
01:06:14.260and not making a quality of judgment on it but this is the attitude behind crypto rug pulls
01:06:18.420which is that look i'm trying to excel in this system i'm smart enough to realize how to scam
01:06:25.040i can make a million dollars with a few tweets and a few greased palms to create this whole
01:06:32.560a new type of bitcoin that gets suckers involved and i take all their money and i make a million
01:06:38.740dollars and maybe and that's excelling in that's survival of the fittest in a sense but the system
01:06:45.560itself is so corrupt and rebelling against that system from the inside doesn't seem to help
01:06:52.240so there must be some kind of parallel system that filters for people like you that can rival
01:06:58.180that other system because you know accelerating that system and excelling in that system will
01:07:05.620just turn you into precisely what you don't want to be so with that in mind we've kind of taken us
01:07:14.400on a path through all the things that are wrong with society um this leads into an article we'll
01:07:22.220only discuss this very very briefly but i thought it was pretty interesting it was in military
01:07:27.480strategy magazine and it's by david betts uh from king's college london uh titled civil war
01:07:36.200comes to the west and this was published this is from 2023 okay um so you know it's not the
01:07:47.300i don't know if we're still caring about january 6 by the way but i think it's people people don't
01:07:53.980i think it's perennial i don't think it's ever been resolved and it's one of the more important
01:07:57.160things to deal with in a democracy but yeah i mean do people care about it no people don't
01:08:01.000care about it yeah i'm just going to read a couple excerpts here he says europe is a garden we've
01:08:08.680built a garden everything works it is the best combination of political freedom economic
01:08:12.600prosperity and social cohesion that humankind has been able to build the three things together
01:08:18.520most of the rest of the world is a jungle so said eu foreign affairs chief joseph burrell in bruges
01:08:26.040in october 2022 future dictionaries will use it as an example of the definition of hubris
01:08:33.320that is because the major threat to the security and prosperity of the west today emanates from
01:08:38.040its own dire social instability structural and economic decline cultural desiccation and in my
01:08:44.600view elite pusillanimity some academics have begun to sound the alarm notably barbara walters how's
01:08:53.640civil war start that barbara walters really i mean if we're quoting barbara walters maybe i don't like
01:09:01.600this essay the old bitch who just was on the view like that maybe there's another barbara walters0.99
01:09:09.580which is concerned primarily with the dwindling domestic stability of the united states0.99
01:09:14.280it does sound like something a woman would write a book about that everything seems
01:12:48.800In sociological terms, what this collapse of trust reflects is a plunge in the stock of, quote, social capital, which is both a kind of superglue, a factor of societal cohesion, as well as a lubricant that allows otherwise disparate groups in society to get along.
01:13:05.720That it is in decline is disputed by no one, and neither is anyone seriously unclear of the happy consequences.
01:13:13.500There's dispute over its causation, but no one's in disagreement that it is happening.
01:13:21.560Now, this is part one of a two-part essay.
01:13:24.740I'm just going to read the end here because I think we kind of see where he's getting with this.
01:13:27.700He says, the fact of the matter is that the tools of revolt in the form of various
01:13:31.800aperturances of modern life are just lying around.
01:13:37.040Knowledge of how to employ them is widespread.
01:13:38.820targets are obvious and undefended and more and more formally regular citizens
01:13:43.560seem minded to take the shot and this is something we talked about with revolt of
01:13:48.660the public that great book we've covered a great many books on the topic of
01:13:53.780revolt in the late 20th and early 21st century and that seems to be the case
01:14:02.240and i'm noticing what i'm noticing is that the word terrorism is falling out
01:14:07.760a favor have you noticed that like i still see but it's it's not like it once was and it seems
01:14:13.900like there's so many things that could formerly fall under terrorism that and and some people
01:14:21.860that endorse like luigi mangioni arguably could be terrorism right although people like that so
01:14:29.000it's something else now you know i mean like and and the more there's assassinations of course but
01:14:36.420there's parts of luigi which are like textbook terrorism the only thing i can think of is that
01:14:41.380he wasn't part of a group and it wasn't schemed in the same way like if it was if it was al-qaeda
01:14:46.600or something and they had a long-term goal and a and a and a plank policy or something whereas
01:14:52.060mangioni just said you know fuck insurance companies yeah i'm gonna do i'm gonna do this
01:14:56.640as a public act i'm gonna do this to send a message it seemed to be what he was doing as well
01:15:02.920like it could fall under the definition
01:15:05.140but it's just that that's the type of terrorism that people
01:15:07.320like yeah it's weird that they didn't actually
01:15:39.640But I think there's also an acceptance of terrorism.
01:15:43.160I think it's not spoken of, but I think for the general public, they've become A, desensitized to it, but B, they've seen instances where they endorse it.
01:15:55.580yeah i think the israeli-palestinian conflict i think the war in ukraine really pushed that
01:16:01.720over the edge because you saw you know formerly country club liberals like trading in videos of
01:16:09.380war atrocities and laughing at it or you know guys let's just be honest like there's a lot of
01:16:14.720terrible things on both sides that have emerged from the israeli-palestinian conflict like we
01:16:20.340said everyone's getting raped everyone's getting slaughtered i saw a fucking video everyone was
01:16:25.280like cheering on where it's like a bunch of guys in a tank get roasted alive and i'm like you know
01:16:31.200there seem to be atrocities being committed that people just like so what some people would say
01:16:37.900that any violent act that is being you know forwarded to cause grief and discombobulate
01:16:46.200the society is terrorism but we just consume that willingly now so maybe maybe we don't care
01:16:52.800about terrorism i think the two other things i would think of is that the belief in the
01:16:57.720functionality of the democracy is that breaks down right that people no longer have faith
01:17:02.640like it's it's a nice luxury when you when you live in a society that you believe works normally
01:17:09.440it's a nice luxury to say oh well i mean terrorism is awful it would never stoop to that and anybody
01:17:15.120who does that for any reason is awful but why can you say that it's because you live in a society
01:17:19.480where it's not necessary but when you start to notice that your elections don't matter your vote
01:17:24.700doesn't matter you have multi-tier justice you have no normative morality in your society and
01:17:31.720and the and at some point the only voice you may have is something that starts to look like
01:17:37.840terrorism and maybe not for you but you observe other people doing it in other countries and you
01:17:42.180say wow wow i wish we had that yeah and also i think there's more normal people who speak like
01:17:50.240we do which is i want these people terrorized i think there's a lot of like you have enemies
01:17:56.720real enemies now yeah like even a lot of maga people would say i want politicians terrorized
01:18:01.840i want to be afraid of me yeah i want everyone wants journalists afraid no one likes journalists
01:18:06.980they would at least like them scared constantly but i think just regular people think that like
01:18:12.460no i want i want them to be scared of me i think there's been moms and dads and store owners who've
01:18:18.260seen one too many trans school shooters and said no i want trans people to feel uncomfortable and
01:18:25.920they might not say that but they believe it or if they if they were to learn that trans people
01:18:30.440were living in fear they don't give a shit and and that's again across the board across
01:18:36.900so that is look even the trans shooters themselves are terrorists that's the reason they don't
01:18:41.960release a lot of the manifestos because their whole point is to make a political statement
01:18:45.600against whites against christianity so so that's so forget all the economic pressures that lead
01:18:54.000to civil war let's say people are generally anesthetized to the sort of violent collective
01:19:02.000action that would be so common in the 19th and 20th century there's other forces that make
01:19:06.940these flashpoints more likely i think i just want to tie it back momentarily to survival of the
01:19:12.720fittest um terrorism works terrorism is actually effective not always i wouldn't even say a
01:19:21.840majority of the time but terrorism is more effective on a per person basis than voting
01:19:28.880right or than political organization there is more that you can do for your society and i'm just
01:19:34.860talking about i've read two books on this recently actually but just talking about historical
01:19:39.280precedent terrorism actually is more likely to succeed you know to to actually reach your goal
01:23:48.160as he should be but this pairs very well with the last book we covered on this topic which was
01:23:56.820building a ruin and that was about the decline and fall of the soviet union and the economic
01:24:05.020system of the soviet union and i'm reading one book right now that will cap this off it's called
01:24:11.720why the west can't win and it's written from the multi-polarity advocates position and it's you
01:24:19.240know it is what it sounds like it's saying why the western world america the anglosphere is going to
01:24:23.840fail and why bricks is going to win and we say bricks we don't mean brazil russia i used to think
01:24:31.100it was india but it's iran um china and south africa which is wild that south africa is in
01:24:38.000there but whatever but really it's just the main three russia china and iran they were saying one
01:24:44.220of the mythologies in my view at least is that the soviet union was not allowed to thrive because of
01:24:54.040pressures from the outside world that we were just bullying them by not accepting their production
01:25:01.740their productive um capacity like they we wouldn't accept their exports of their natural
01:25:08.560resources um and i don't believe that to be true because no of course not as we talked about in
01:25:14.540building a ruin it's like the entire time post during the cold war post world war ii there was
01:25:20.600internal struggle going on about what type of economy it should be and we discussed the idea
01:25:25.600of the middle income trap um for those who haven't and we'll get to that more in this book i'm just
01:25:31.420setting this up the middle income trap which we discussed on that last book which is what china
01:25:37.480was dealing with for a long time that yes when a nation begins to rapidly industrialize and
01:25:44.880generate a lot of wealth and distribute it to the workers and the people of the country
01:25:49.360they got more money maybe more money than they ever had before then what happens well unless
01:25:56.320there's an outlet for that money unless there's a market where people can spend the money it turns
01:26:00.940that what they do is they just hoard it and then the money doesn't go anywhere and people just
01:26:06.540keep it reserved that's kind of a natural thing for people to do unless there's ways to spend
01:26:10.700money you just hold on to it because what you want to just give it back to the government
01:26:14.780no one does that not even in communist countries and that was the problem so they said well to
01:26:20.140escape the middle income trap we need more of a service economy we need stuff for people to buy
01:26:25.020to circulate that money back into the economy and um in russia and soviet union discovered that all
01:26:32.400too late china apparently has discovered that over the course of the 20th century and that's
01:26:37.420one of the reasons that they're i don't want to say succeeding right now but why they're surviving
01:26:42.880at least but the way that the reason the soviet union failed was because they adopted that too
01:26:50.020late was the point and this is the economic theory explaining that which i never really
01:26:57.300heard described before but i've heard it described as the circuit theory of money and i'm curious to
01:27:04.400hear what you think about this and maybe just based on what i'm saying maybe you have some
01:27:08.980thoughts but it's this idea that the money always needs to keep flowing because if the money is
01:27:13.940static and by money we just mean you know salaries and wages paid to people if that money is static
01:27:21.360and just held on to then the economy really suffers and dies it just ends up with this
01:27:25.060glut so you need money to keep moving the the economy kind of almost by definition is not the
01:27:31.320money itself it's the movement of the money like there is there is no price right you have objects
01:27:37.080but none of the objects or services have any price if money isn't moving because it's through
01:27:41.660the movement of money that you discover price so yeah it's interesting to hear described like that
01:27:45.660too because when i hear marx's talk about it it's more reductive which is that there's labor and
01:27:51.600labor equals wage and then you get the wage and that's the only transaction that matters
01:27:56.360you trade this for that and then you have it but that was so reductive because what yes yes you can
01:28:03.780center that transaction but then your economy stagnates and when you're a great power as the
01:28:10.620soviet union was and you're on a global stage you don't want to be seen as stagnant and the claim
01:28:16.080was that the soviet union was boxed out of the international trade network and i'm like
01:28:21.120laughable there's there's some truth like there's sanctions of course but they were they were were
01:28:28.220they buying american goods the whole idea of the soviet project was you wouldn't necessarily need
01:28:33.440that either and your empire was expanding very clearly yeah they're moving the goalposts there
01:28:38.820Yeah. So it's like, why did that matter? Why couldn't, why, why is it now the case that it's America was unfair in not buying your stuff? That shouldn't have mattered. Like that's a very capitalist problem that I thought you were going to solve.
01:28:54.800It could be, it should have been an internal ecosystem, but it wasn't.
01:28:59.000So I'm just going to start reading from this because, you know, it was written in a pretty dense way.
01:29:06.480Outside the academic journals that dominate monetary economics, two schools of thought have emerged,
01:29:12.320each claiming to secure a firmer grasp on monetary circulation in our economies.
01:29:17.420One of them has sought to focus on money and credit around the principle of stock flow consistency.
01:29:23.400Its limitation for the analysis of monetary circulation is that the principle is usually presented as a system for the whole economy
01:29:30.560that becomes too complex to be entirely tractable as soon as one breaks it down into transactions.
01:29:36.740The other school of thought is the French-Italian-Canadian group of economists,
01:29:40.680I was kind of surprised to see Canadian in there,
01:29:42.940who have sought to reconcile the monetary theories of Marx and Keynes by examining stylized, quote, circuits of money.
01:29:50.080So that's really what he's talking about here, the circuit of money, the idea that it's always got to keep going.
01:29:54.980He gives one interesting example that I wonder if you're going to love it or hate it.
01:30:03.120The American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009, okay, so this was the big fiscal stimulus that took place after the financial crisis.
01:30:13.040And so her question was, okay, but how much is this really helping the people that directly need the help?
01:30:18.560And so, in order to answer that question, even though she's a post-Keynesian type person,
01:45:06.080which is a theory of oligopolistic markup pricing.
01:45:10.540That in turn determines the distribution of income,
01:45:14.060of the functional distribution between wages and profits.
01:45:17.100That, in turn, affects the elements of aggregate demand, consumption, investment, and net exports in open economy models, which in turn affects macroeconomic outcomes, such as the utilization rate, employment, growth.
01:45:34.900And then there are feedbacks of all kinds to productivity growth, for example, and back to the ability of firms to set markups at the income distribution.
01:45:46.600So it's not really a one-way chain of causality, but it's a dynamic, evolving process.
01:46:05.600This picture of the activities of the quote-unquote pure entrepreneur is, to put it mildly, unrealistic.
01:46:11.600The most important prerequisite for becoming an entrepreneur is the ownership of capital.
01:46:17.520Capital, it should be noted here, refers to the monetary resources spent in the course of production and investment,
01:46:22.660monetary resources that then return as profits, income to capitalists.
01:46:26.720Therefore, the starting point for Kalecki's monetary theory is not the abstract properties or functions of money
01:46:33.060or the suppliers of that money, whether bankers or the state,
01:46:36.480but the possession of money by capitalists or firms.
01:46:39.580The financial system of a capitalist economy is a comprehensive credit cooperative of capitalists for those capitalists with monetary reserves.
01:46:47.900I thought that was an interesting starting point.
01:46:51.600This is sort of the mythology of, you know, the American economy, American for sure, but also in Canada, is of the lone entrepreneurs starting a business.
01:59:38.440Open market is where the central bank is allowed to go and actually just buy fucking equities, buy commodities, buy whatever the fuck they need,
01:59:45.640whatever they think they need to do in order to juice the economy and get things flowing again
01:59:50.200they do that and it's weird because even though the soviets tried it and it didn't work when we
01:59:55.100tried it doesn't work either the economy doesn't actually grow it bubbles up for a second and then
01:59:59.580it stops again and now we appear to have a new problem and the new problem happens to be that
02:00:05.400private businesses don't seem to want to undertake investments the same way that they did before we
02:00:12.020started the open market operations you know why idiot because before the open market operations
02:00:16.880the only way that you could make more money was by investing and select not just investing i should
02:00:23.540be very careful not just investing but being intelligent and competing to only select and
02:00:29.960invest in the very best option and the winner makes the money now when you have open market
02:00:35.180operations all you have to do is suck dick at the fed and you get a million dollars why on earth
02:00:40.280would anybody invest in anything why would you give a loan to a small business person when all
02:00:44.580you got to do is fill out a fucking form to get money from the federal reserve like of course
02:00:49.680of course they're not going to invest in businesses they're not going to invest in businesses
02:00:53.540ever again until you close the spigot yeah and you know what i i understand what you're saying
02:00:59.700too and this is uh congruent with something i was thinking of earlier because like i said i was
02:01:05.760reading this book called why the west can't win and one of the statistics they cite i won't go too
02:01:11.600deep into this because that's going to be a fun book to review but it was about how many stem
02:01:18.000graduates china produces and by stem we mean science technology engineering and mathematics
02:01:23.460so they produce i'm thinking of the graph in my head i don't know what the numbers are but it's
02:01:29.540like five times the amount of stem graduates than america does like something crazy right
02:01:35.900and they all live in little holes yeah yeah and they're saying like that's why you know they're
02:01:39.700going to win because they their government has said we need more stem and they they churned more
02:01:44.300out from the assembly line but if you've ever dealt with these countries you understand that
02:01:48.520their their understanding of what stem is is not the same as ours right and so but but that was
02:01:56.800like a central planning-esque solution to it which is that you know we want to beat america so get
02:02:03.040get more get more and so they just started lying on tests and cheating as an epidemic and the types
02:02:08.800of tests they run don't encourage any sort of creativity it's just rote memorization so even
02:02:15.580the quality of the stem graduates is low but i keep returning to this idea of why do we need
02:02:24.560total employment um and that's a utopian goal everyone should be employed but i would say
02:02:30.160but but why maybe some people should be unemployed and and that's just a matter of course like you
02:02:38.400said like there's too many programmers and we can try and play with the spigots and hope hope against
02:02:45.900hope that the market responds to that by just letting them coast into the sunset instead of
02:02:52.120causing all these reciprocating effects like where the academia says oh keep churning out
02:02:56.820programmers because employment's so high right so like we we can we can keep playing with that or
02:03:03.240we can kind of let the programming market crash which it seems like it's going to do in the next
02:03:08.380five to ten years anyway i had this is this analogy in the chamber and i didn't want to fire it because
02:03:14.900it was too autistic but i'll go for it in a in a mechanical system if you have a gearbox right
02:03:20.500you want your gears to mesh as closely as possible you want the time when one gear starts moving
02:03:26.620which is one job and then when it hits and the next gear starts moving which is when that person
02:03:31.560moves to another job uh you want that time to be as little as possible and we call that backlash
02:03:36.620or hysteresis in engineering where you have the time that it takes for one to hit the other when
02:03:41.420you have a lot of backlash that's a lot of unemployment it causes trouble because you
02:03:45.300have grinding and you have friction and you have noise and you have a higher maintenance schedule
02:03:49.740it's bad however if you have zero backlash because it's possible to make a system with
02:03:54.560virtually zero backlash if you spend all your time and money on that you have something that
02:03:59.120doesn't even fucking start because the backlash itself the ability to have a tiny just a very
02:04:05.100small gap uh we could say there's a peak in there in that graph somewhere there's not zero not five
02:04:11.520percent but like two percent there's a percentage where there's just enough gap that the thing can
02:04:16.520move but not so much gap that it causes a problem you have to have backlash you have to have some
02:04:22.600you've got to have some and and with unemployment what you're saying is a person loses their job
02:04:29.040and they start looking for a job if they find a job within one hour that's still unemployment
02:04:35.560because they were without an you know what i mean how are you measuring this actually and if they
02:04:39.660even if they find a job within an hour how good is that job actually how can you actually find a
02:04:45.060relevant job within an hour are you telling me that the absolute ideal perfect job for that
02:04:50.500that one specific guy happened just happened to exist at that moment give me a fucking break
02:04:56.740that's utopian yeah it's utopian and that's close to what the government's trying to do
02:05:03.400in the sense that they will try and reduce the number of unemployment and that should be their
02:05:09.340job i just think every strategy they've deployed has been the wrong strategy so when you talk about
02:05:16.080like what's the government doing to limit unemployment well they seem to be creating
02:05:19.220bullshit jobs a lot of people will remark that our society is full of bullshit jobs email jobs
02:05:24.920that don't matter um you know consulting positions that don't matter but you can say on the surface
02:05:31.080that unemployment is down but nothing's being produced nothing really matters it is true
02:05:36.160that money is circulating in this service economy yeah it's just the services are so
02:05:42.760kind of twisted and abstracted and decoupled from anything that matters you know there's the rare
02:05:49.440cases where you know you could have someone who like works two hours a day from home and they're
02:05:54.680making six figures you know like weird shit yeah um or even the fact that in canada about half of
02:06:01.300our economy is government right so it's people that are getting paid but they're not getting
02:06:05.400paid by the market nobody nobody decided to pay them instead of someone else they're paid at the
02:06:10.020point of a gun right if you don't pay them you go to prison for tax evasion and that's half of our
02:06:15.800economy and the thing is how are we ascending out of that you know at some you would think that okay
02:06:22.100that's how we keep us in stasis and at some point the economy will fix itself well it's not it just
02:06:27.720stays in that state stays in that sort of bureaucratic nightmare where okay half the people
02:06:33.400are kept in service of the government for the sake of the government nothing's being innovated
02:06:39.260nothing's being created and they just get paid and pay taxes back it's there's a circuit here
02:06:44.180this is very much what the canadian economy is the circuit exists money is being transferred
02:06:50.060but nothing is being produced at that scale yeah and it's important because that original example
02:06:56.860with the with the shtetl that you brought up at the beginning mentions that nothing is produced
02:07:01.800or created right it's all just clearing existing debt but what happens when people want to eat when
02:07:07.120they want to build houses when they need gas in their car right those things actually have to be
02:07:11.320produced yeah and there's so few options for private investment here in canada not even just
02:07:19.420compared to america but compared to other countries of canada's population it seems that
02:07:24.740your only recourse if you want investment is to go to the big banks or to go to the government
02:07:30.880um but there is no like mechanism for to get to get money for entrepreneurship any other way in
02:07:38.900canada right like what are your options there's there's like a couple billionaires millionaires
02:07:43.000but they're not very free with their money yeah basically that's it so in the mixed model that
02:07:49.480kaleski was talking about which is that okay it can't be the central bank just releasing money
02:07:54.240because like you said it bubbles up for a while but that doesn't that doesn't help long term and
02:07:59.340it seems that private firms the ones who own the capital are not forthcoming with their capital
02:08:06.060well then what right because he was saying well the government's got to fill in the gaps well it
02:08:11.000is and this is what we got and it doesn't seem to be progressing in any way yeah so all i was
02:08:18.500saying was that and it sounds darwinian i'm sure because i think okay let's say that all the
02:08:26.560programmers are made unemployed because of ai which realistically will happen especially for
02:08:31.460the type of programming that they were employed which was bullshit programming making right and
02:08:35.600apps and games and stuff the government should say okay what are we going to do with you
02:08:39.400because the government needs to figure out what to do with these unemployed people because if they
02:08:43.840don't they're going to start cutting off the heads of politicians that's where that comes in
02:08:48.280where it comes in is if you even in china where like what's the gender imbalance there there's like1.00
02:08:55.820Five men to every one woman like you have a civilizational glut of
02:09:02.240Psychopathic incels that might be only kept in check by their genetic predisposition of being bug men, right?
02:09:09.580Yeah, but if you got a bunch of white madmen doing that like people start dying things start blowing up
02:09:15.560You get what we were talking about earlier, which is if not a civil war than something by a different name
02:09:23.940You know people people getting shot and we think it's funny and we just fuck when I was in high school
02:09:29.520We used to trade gore videos because we were trying to like desensitize each other now
02:09:34.560That's something your mom does with fucking Ukraine videos0.97
02:09:37.800Like we're out of our fucking minds right now, and I think that's why I'm seeing articles
02:16:52.600basically formed the core of John Stewart liberalism.
02:16:58.520Like I'm a millennial. I think you're basically the same age as me. Like the liberal world, maybe mix in some other people, but it's very much Richard Hofstadter.
02:17:09.940Richard Hofstadter wrote about American gun culture, anti-intellectualism as like a conservative
02:17:19.440tendency. He wrote about famously, he won the Pulitzer Prize for his essay,
02:17:28.220The Paranoid Style in American Politics, which is like the OG anti-conspiracy polemic.
02:17:35.060Yeah, I remember you were on an interview recently where you're discussing
02:17:38.180that word specifically paranoid and i love that because just to interrupt you our on the show
02:17:45.120we've covered quite a few books from what we call the shit lib canon and i also discussed uh
02:17:51.740steven pinker's enlightenment now with my buddy prudentialist on our sideshow do you even read
02:17:56.540but i never really heard of hofstetter and a lot of people when they think of notable
02:18:02.000shit lit books would be you know francis fukuyama's uh end of history and the last man among others
02:18:09.560but uh you had pointed out correctly maybe we can get into this now how how integral hofstetter was
02:18:16.060and specifically um how you described it how do you describe it was him basically admitting the
02:18:24.100critiques from the right were valid but almost psychoanalyzing them to say they were paranoid
02:18:29.000and because they're paranoid, they should be dismissed.
02:18:59.120So he's like deliberately saying that he is abusing medical language, effectively, psychiatric language in a polemical way to smear, to disempower, basically what he called pseudoconservatism.
02:19:21.020And the thing that's funny to me is the really effective Jewish social scientists invariably have a fairly large kernel of truth that they are fastidiously coding with layers and layers of shit.
02:19:43.360um and and it's true when he talks about pseudo-conservatism um not have been that i mean
02:19:50.820we're young guys weren't alive and kicking in the 1950s and six have been
02:19:55.520obvious back then that the emerging strains of conservatism were sort of uh actual
02:20:04.600and and maybe serve really but if you look at the the the last 20-30 years political culture
02:20:13.080it's like clearly conservatism has gone off the rails um and in some ways like the MAGA
02:20:21.160movement is is kind of of the pseudo-conservatism that he was critiquing back in the 1960s
02:20:32.020but on the other side of it he's using this psychiatric language and and these
02:20:38.100neologisms that he's coining like pseudo-conservatism, basically to paint a very broad brush with
02:20:47.960which to damage, and I don't even want to say right-wing sensibilities per se, but the
02:20:56.220political concerns of whole America, which is to say hundreds of millions of just normal
02:21:03.040people, entrepreneurially minded people, civically minded people. The John Birch Society was one of
02:21:11.340the most effective and influential conservative organizations in this country's history. And I
02:21:18.080spend a lot of the first hundred pages of my new book basically critiquing the John Birch.
02:21:27.200If you were a patriotic, you know, lowercase C conservative American, that was where the action was at.
02:21:37.900And it was a lot of very serious, very competent people who were just trying to find a way to do something for.
02:21:49.280And the fact that the people at the head of the John Birch Society
02:21:54.720And even in general the anti-communist movement
02:21:57.520Were sort of compromised in one way or another
02:22:01.240Like Joseph McCarthy was wrapped up with Roy Cohn
02:22:04.920The John Birch Society famously ousted Revelo Oliver
02:26:32.600Sorry, Josh, I'm getting a couple of notes in the chat.
02:26:36.540Now, I'm not hearing this, but some people are saying that your audio is
02:26:40.380cutting out. It's not coming through on my end, but I do wonder, maybe
02:26:44.400something is happening during the broadcast. If you
02:26:48.120can quickly i don't know if on your side of the screen there's like a little gear
02:26:51.580icon open that up and see under the audio if there's a toggle for noise suppression or echo
02:26:58.800cancellation and see if you can turn those off if that helps at all um yeah so yeah i went ahead
02:27:09.400make any difference yeah it might um maybe i'll just keep chatting let me see do you have any
02:27:16.980headphones by the way let me see do you have any headphones by the way maybe hold on
02:27:25.060sorry everyone just trying to do with some um technical stuff here it wasn't uh occurring
02:27:34.080in the green room before this launch but i don't think it's an issue with the platform
02:27:39.300or if it is it might be one of the settings that we have but if it was a little bit of lag i think
02:27:45.460we could deal with it but i'm getting some notes that it's making it almost impossible to hear so
02:27:50.400um what we might do we'll get it fixed right now hopefully but what i probably will do later
02:27:55.700is take the live video down uh re-upload it because on my end i have the ability to separate
02:28:02.840the audio tracks in a more effective way and i can probably repackage this so you can hear
02:28:07.520much more clearly the first bit so we're going to give that we're going to see how this ends up but
02:28:13.580i'll have to listen to it later to see what it sounds like on your end
02:28:16.800uh also thank you for trying gentlemen see this is the type of comment i like to see everybody
02:28:23.320look at that it's short it's complimentary it's deferential and um let me just say hey josh how
02:28:31.840how you sound it right now so uh is this any better for you can you hear me at all yeah i
02:28:38.480can i can hear you let me just see if i can turn up your volume say something now
02:28:46.640test two three yeah i think maybe yeah i can kind of hear myself in the background a little bit
02:28:53.600coming through the speakers but um i think we might we're gonna keep going and uh people in
02:28:59.760in the chat let us know if the audio is improved at all um so yeah um where were we uh what were
02:29:08.260we just saying i totally ground this to a halt uh we're talking about hofstetter we were talking
02:29:13.860about post-work consensus um so continuing on with intolerance interpretations you begin with
02:29:21.760hofstetter um you spend it sounds like quite a fair bit amount of time on the beginning of it
02:29:26.800Where does that book lead us from Hofstetter?
02:29:31.840There's really, there's two, there's two halves to the book.
02:29:36.740The first half is sort of this examination of who I view as the most important of the post-war, not the most important, but part of the reason I chose them was in the case of, and there's Richard Hofstetter and Karl Popper.
02:29:56.800He's been a punching bag on the right for everyone from Glenn Beck to R.R. Reno.
02:30:05.400I mean, everyone writes about him, but I don't know that people necessarily dug into his writing and sort of like excavated choice arguments and excerpts to show really how bad the reason.
02:30:20.800You were saying this about Steven Pinkert. It's like, I can't believe you're a celebrated intellectual. These are very, very bad arguments.
02:30:39.720So hopefully I'm not blowing out anyone's eardrums.
02:30:42.540But I mean, George Soros' Karl Popper is an obvious example because the legacy of the open society and its enemies is it's not just academic.
02:30:54.100In the case of someone like George Soros, who's one of these right-foggy men, the Open Society Foundation has played a major, major role in transforming the world, the political culture globally, towards one, progressivism, open borders, anti-nativism, anti-nationalism.
02:31:20.200and Karl Popper himself mentored many important intellectual and political figures who all
02:31:29.660basically were like generals of the open society so and also Karl Karl Popper wrote a very famous
02:31:39.580essay an anti-conspiracy polemical essay called the conspiracy theory of society
02:31:49.600So on the one hand, he's sort of like the arch philosopher of liberal democracy.
02:31:55.760He's the arch philosopher of the great replacement.
02:31:58.300He says towards the end of the open society and its enemies that it may be a necessary result or an inevitable result of this sort of policy of liberal democracy through dramatic demographic change.
02:32:18.940text of liberal democracy is also not necessarily advocating, but sort of admitting
02:32:28.720that, you know, the great replacement is baked into the cake of liberal democracy.
02:32:35.660So it's like, okay, that's a good place to start. If you want to show that there is a longstanding
02:32:43.200tradition of demographic replacement as a sort of liberal political methodology well it's right
02:32:54.040there well it also sounds to me and you sort of touched on this very briefly there that they've
02:33:00.400always had an antagonistic view of maybe they had a different term for back then but conspiracy
02:33:06.840theorists and we go back to hofstetter psychoanalyzing the paranoid nature of their opponents
02:33:13.400but it seems that their their enemy has always been in their words the conspiracy theorist the
02:33:19.880person who's looking too deeply the person who they're trying to discredit by saying is is
02:33:25.160mentally ill because they have the wrong theories would that be a correct assessment
02:33:29.160Certainly in the case of Hofstadter, in the case of Karl Popper, he creates the conspiracy theory mentality to a sort of like Homeric view of the idea that there's sort of this pantheon of conspirators, effectively.
02:33:59.160that that if you're a conspiracy-minded person that you're sort of theistically minded and you are
02:34:08.840attributing to financial elites conspirators so on and so forth a godly-like quality
02:34:20.680and this is something you often hear people say when they want to critique
02:34:24.120um anyone that that that is is skeptical to for example uh jewish political privileged jewish
02:34:34.920uh parties they will say well you just think jews are like gods you think they are able to do
02:34:40.760everything and accomplish everything and this is carl poppy theorists that they attribute a sort
02:34:45.880of godly nature or or a godly power to this you know quote unquote shadowy elite of people
02:34:53.560people um which is like which is sort of like a farcical uh framework to put on it because
02:35:01.960you don't need to put on your theist hat to understand that people socially organize
02:35:10.460and they socially organize in to achieve some end this is one of the things that's sort of
02:35:18.120sort of very painful to confront over and over again in the open society.
02:35:25.620He says that the purpose of democracy effectively is to not, is that it doesn't really have
02:35:34.780a goal or a that it wants to arrive upon. And that in fact, having a teleological view
02:35:42.040politically, socially, culturally, is like this very damning, oppressive, counterfactual thing
02:35:51.780to pursue. The open society does have a telos, and the open society is to abolish
02:36:00.540native sovereignty. It's to abolish local cultures. And he says this over and over and
02:36:10.280over again throughout the book but with regards to the your comment about you know if you're a
02:36:16.980conspiracy theorist mentally ill this is all throughout uh also you know this this uh meme
02:36:24.200that richard hanania puts out there of of elite human capital and low human capital that uh that
02:36:32.500has its roots in hofstadter's book the age of reform where he basically says um in in a chapter
02:36:39.780titled the conspiracy theory of history he says that populists are conspiratorial by nature
02:36:46.900and uh they're conspiratorial because they're poor they're stupid on the levers of power
02:36:55.700so because they are there's been hananias across time yes it's the multiverse of richard hananias
02:37:02.420um but so the the argument isn't really an argument it's a it's sort of a class anxiety
02:37:12.920that that gets played out richard hofstetter wants to align himself with the ascendant liberal elite
02:37:21.060um and he does this by basically taking up the whip and castigating uh for lack of a better way
02:37:29.060putting it, conservative America. So whereas Popper is not psychologizing his opposition,
02:37:38.860Richard Hofstadter does, Karl Popper is basically just crafting a series of non-sequiturs
02:37:46.740to demonstrate the illegitimacy of conspiratorial thinking. There's one important thing he says,
02:37:55.260One important thing he says in the essay, The Conspiracy Theory of Society, he basically argues that all of the things that happen in the world, which we don't like, economic depressions, military conflicts, whatever, social upheaval, social downturn, he says that these things are sort of like stochastic.
02:38:22.860They are the unintended and inevitable consequences of some other action that we have undertaken.
02:38:33.060So, I mean, this is actually in stark contrast to not just how we have classically understood history to work, but how history actually does work.
02:38:45.360And when you put him and Hofstadter together, you've got two people who are basically trying to overturn what the dominant view, especially in America with Hofstadter, Hofstadter gained his reputation as a consensus historian by critiquing Charles Beard, who Charles Beard was one of the most preeminent historians in America, World War II.
02:39:13.940And Charles Beard had a conflict model of history, not in a Marxist way per se, but he basically took the view that the major events that happened in history, in American history, are the result of conflict between different groups and societies.
02:39:35.180and Hofstadter comes in and while he's not really dismissing the idea that there's class conflict
02:39:44.300for example he acquires this this title as a consensus historian by basically trying to say
02:39:52.020well the way America is now it kind of has always been that way and so the things that are happening
02:39:59.340in the 1960s and the 1970s are sort of the inevitable uh unfurling of tendencies and
02:40:09.180aspects that were always part of the american experiment and again in a certain way we can say
02:40:17.340that that's true but that neglects the fact that it first off it just completely uh dismisses
02:40:25.260contingency that there are unique things happening at any time any moment in a given historical
02:40:33.420environment and that the things that inevitably did happen were not necessarily prescribed they
02:40:42.140didn't have to be that way any number of other things could have happened so but we ended up as
02:40:48.540as a liberal democracy we ended up as a racist society because well that was that was always the
02:40:55.460way it was ever yeah it's a very thick there's a strong undercurrent of inevitability that runs
02:41:02.200through that just like we were mentioning before francis fukiyama uh end of history and the last
02:41:06.600man and like we are saying people tend to dunk on fukiyama these days he's he's sort of
02:41:12.840of scorned in even liberal circles like i've seen so many speeches he gives where it feels like he's
02:41:20.600almost apologetic to the book and he's trying to answer his critics but i had found that uh
02:41:26.620end of history and the last man is a far more interesting book than a lot of these other ones
02:41:31.840and i'm thinking of enlightenment now by steven pinker where it's it's a lot of the same thing
02:41:38.460And the more of this stuff that you read, you realize that it's really just parroting the same stuff like Richard Hanania.
02:41:44.820There's zero interesting ideas in Richard Hanania's fucking ghoulish corpse skull.
02:41:53.440And the more you read, the more you understand the way he thinks, the more he seems like a copy of a copy of a copy where the original image was a man's ass on top of the Xerox machine.
02:42:05.620and then after a thousand copies it is now a chattering howling skull that's richard hadania
02:42:13.180but with stephen pinker it's interesting because he's he's also taking an adversarial tone against
02:42:19.820the critics against people who say that first of all they affirm the post-war consensus while
02:42:26.420simultaneously denying it they'll affirm it and say that anyone who disagrees with it is mentally
02:42:31.580ill or insane and we discussed this on the the second show i do with with mr prudentialist
02:42:38.780but like he starts off the book saying that everything's great now we're living in a secular
02:42:43.100humanist utopia you're stupid if you disagree and then he writes an entire book with cherry-picked
02:42:50.220data and very flimsy arguments to try and prove it but there's something in their soul in their
02:42:55.820essence that truly believes that there's something wrong with you if you disagree i'm reminded of
02:43:02.560this great book i've mentioned a few times called the therapeutic state by thomas zazz who was a
02:43:09.760luminary in the world of psychiatry and psychoanalytics i believe you have a background
02:48:39.720obviously ideologically motivated um really it's less politically motivated
02:48:46.520uh despite him now being sort of synonymous with uh like you know anti-woke idw type um
02:48:58.760culture war stuff he has always looked at specific issues and tried to examine those specific issues
02:49:07.640So he wrote a book about, or he's written essays basically looking at the problem of social media and the increased psychiatric dysfunction of teenagers.
02:49:27.040It's a specific problem. It's a problem. Everyone agrees. This is a problem. It's not really an anxious issue. Everyone understands that the young people have ever been. And everyone kind of understands that there's things about the social media culture that are really destructive. And I see you have it pulled up. The anxious generation is a good example of that.
02:49:51.320at the university system you've also got it pulled up there the coddling of the american mind
02:49:55.420so he's he's looking at the at the problems that are out there and he's putting actual
02:50:01.880empirical data behind those problems you know he has the you know bless his heart he has this sort
02:50:10.740of stereotypical liberal solution of what we just need to do liberalism harder that's kind of
02:50:19.460always his resolution or at the very least it's his resolution in the righteous mind he talks
02:50:25.900about how there's this massive problem of hyperpolarization and the solution to hyperpolarization
02:50:32.480is we just need to do more liberalism that's sort of incoherent and you know what it sounds
02:50:38.800like to me with height there's a bit more of a scientific or at least intellectual curiosity
02:50:46.180with him whereas in at least in what i've read with the likes of pinker and others it's very
02:50:52.460defensive it's they will say on one hand that we have the perfect system it's called secular
02:50:59.080humanist liberalism and all we must do is tweak it to make it perfect yes it's not perfect but
02:51:04.560we must tweak it but they're very vague about what tweaks they would do whereas at least height will
02:51:10.700say well here's the problems here's the problems everyone understands and here's what we would
02:51:15.160need to do to fix them whereas everyone else that I can see the only thing they would suggest
02:51:21.140tweaking is that there's too many people who are against liberalism so we should do something about
02:51:26.720them I'm not going to say what should be done but something should be done like they'll I mean I
02:51:31.720remember in Steven Pinker's book he was pretty upfront about it like he almost was advocating
02:51:36.160for education camps saying like we got to get these people out of here yeah yeah
02:51:45.160I'll say one thing, maybe, to grab this point at home.
02:51:51.560Jonathan Haidt, his model of cognition that he called the social intuitionist, his model basically is a defense of irrationalism.
02:52:08.400you want to contrast that with or a paul bloom paul bloom was a critic of jonathan heights
02:52:17.200um they are sort of these guys who are like yeah enlightenment uh reason is the only thing that
02:52:25.760exists and human emotions are sort of this proper with ever more exacting enlightenment reason tm
02:52:35.600you know trademark enlightenment reason and logic uh there's like stefan molyneux or ben shapiro
02:52:41.760tier like uh we need our capital l logic jonathan height basically says in the righteous mind and
02:52:49.440the righteous mind is really a culmination of his laboratory work so he's bringing his his
02:52:58.160laboratory work to a popular audience through this book the social intuitionist model says
02:53:04.080in only so many words that there's a set of evolutionarily informed uh axioms or intuitions
02:53:13.600that we have through which reason is trying to make sense of these deeply evolved that we
02:53:24.400have intuitions so his notion of the moral foundation theory is his way of defining
02:53:33.040basically the how many of these intuitions exist how what they are and
02:53:40.660how they operate so he says that there's the loyalty intuition the sanctity
02:53:45.700intuition the authority intuition the care intuition the fairness intuition
02:53:53.280the liberty intuition and that these are sort of kind of they're all in the mix
02:53:59.140and they may find themselves in conflict with one another.
02:54:02.980They may find themselves cooperating with one another.
02:54:06.220But invariably, reason tends to be a sort of post hoc justification.
02:54:19.840If you want to put this in terms of Daniel Kahneman's model,
02:54:22.760Daniel Kahn proposes that human cognition has sort of two modes, hence the title Thinking Fast and Thinking Slow, that there's a sort of gut, intuition, fast, snap judgment that we make, and it's not really effective, and it's not particularly rational, it's very prejudicial.
02:54:46.980and then we have a more of a slow burn system uh and this is the reason if you want to say
02:54:56.800reason tm logic tm uh so most of the most of the popular psychology books that have been
02:55:05.240published over the last few decades are taking up this kind of fact of human irrationality
02:55:12.080and using it to beat. There's a famous book, You're Not So Smart, that was published in the 2010s,
02:55:19.360or Dan Ariely, who published Predictably Irrational. There are many of the, Daniel
02:55:26.420Kahneman being another example, Thinking Fast and Slow, there are many of these books published
02:55:30.240since the turn of the century that all highlight the fact that humans are sort of dumb,
02:55:36.040uh emotional irrational um and and that they use it to undermine the the reader's confidence in
02:55:47.580themselves as a thinking person whereas jonathan height turns around says actually no
02:55:51.960the fact that we have these deeply evolutionarily informed intuitions is a fact we have to
02:56:02.240like affirm yeah it's not a bug it's a feature right um and just uh just to explain that a little
02:56:12.260bit um there is um when you explain it like that this is something i've noticed with these people
02:56:18.760they'll say humans are irrational they're basically trying to say humans are stupid
02:56:23.020it's only the james lindsays of the world that will say the quiet part out loud because they're
02:56:28.240so frantic about we everyone's stupid which is to say that their plan was perfect it's only the
02:56:34.560people that are wrong if you ever worked with it people they say this all the time so they were
02:56:40.540forced to say this when their schemes and schematics were proven not to be effective
02:56:46.620so i'd say well i guess my plan needs to be as stupid as you are which always seemed very petty
02:56:52.500to me it's like no you you failed your ideas were wrong it's not the people you deployed
02:56:59.620them upon it's not their fault that that's that's a sign of someone who doesn't understand
02:57:09.940what leadership is actually about it's like a good who understands that when things go wrong
02:57:16.420it is always you know even if it's specifically their fault the role of a leader an authority
02:57:26.520figure is effectively in in a not insignificant way is to be the person i don't mean this in like
02:57:34.740a girard figures but in a certain way like a good leader is someone who is the first person to say
02:57:41.240say yes this was a fuck up they are the first person to own uh personal weakness shortcomings
02:57:50.980because somebody has to be the first person to step out of that egotistical frame
02:57:55.740so that you can bring group solidarity together right um and so when you have a james lindsey
02:58:02.360type like who's bitter that he was rejected by the peasants it's like you don't understand
02:58:08.760what it actually is to be an authority figure um yeah and the problem also is that james lindsey
02:58:16.360wants to be cool because he couldn't cut it as being boring and stuffy it requires a bit of
02:58:22.400gravitas to be truly boring and effective which he does not have so he said oh i know what i'll do
02:58:28.440i'm gonna be like a funny witty guy and he's awful at that i've one of the great there's so
02:58:35.660so few pleasures in life as you know one of my few pleasures is watching james lindsey just bomb
02:58:42.280in front of an audience telling a joke that goes nowhere complete misfire a misfire of a joke a
02:58:47.760misfire of a man so to me james lindsey is this very special entity because i mean he hasn't
03:02:26.980Where he started is explaining why and what should be done to ameliorate those differences. I would say that we shouldn't be seeking to ameliorate those differences. We need to exacerbate them to the extreme point of view.
03:11:52.600You know, I'm reminded of Peter Thiel, and we did a pretty big deep dive on Peter Thiel
03:11:59.080on our paywall show, Real Secret Coffee Hours.
03:12:02.700If you actually spend some time listening to what these people say, they are true believers
03:12:07.220in, you know, for example, transhumanism.
03:12:09.780um his particular brand of christianity that he's talked about in interviews which is basically the
03:12:16.540type of christianity that you would expect from like an insane gay transhumanist which is that
03:12:22.320you know jesus would like insane gay transhumanism you know it's the type of christianity you'd
03:12:26.660expect from a guy who looks like he just stands naked in a soundless white room for two hours a
03:12:32.780day and we can never understand why that is you know i mean so a guy who was like in shape but
03:12:38.500took Ozempic anyway. Just weird things, weird things that I don't even want to know about.
03:12:44.960But these people are more, you know, even with Stalin, when people say Stalin is this great
03:12:51.620Machiavellian figure, in my reading, and Stalin's war is a great example of this.
03:12:59.080I know I'm not the first guy to say this, but there was nothing about what Stalin did that
03:13:03.320indicated he wasn't a true believer in the bolshevik revolution and in marxism he wasn't
03:13:09.400some machiavellian cynical power grab thug like people say like and to the point where i'd said
03:13:16.120i don't think lenin would have behaved any differently had he survived like the i don't
03:13:23.000think marx would disagree with anything stalin had done so i i think there's this misconception
03:13:29.640that's like oh they only just say these things to the plebs but i'm also like you know they can
03:13:35.160elites can also be insane and stupid too there's enough evidence of that throughout history they're
03:13:40.240not just beyond spirituality or prejudices or i don't know fucking syphilis some of them were
03:13:47.800born syphilis like there's a whole history of this shit anyway we're getting off topic here but
03:13:51.600that's why just when it comes to the cynicism with which we can view that that to me is almost
03:13:58.100you want to cast the elites as something other than human which is something very plebeian
03:14:07.080you know i mean like a lot of people who are into elite theory i think
03:14:10.260view themselves as elite adjacent but you know what one thing that aristocrats don't do it spend
03:14:16.820all fucking day talking about aristocrats that's just the thought anyway that's this is one big
03:14:22.280fat ass tangent i'm on right now well you know what to kind of split the difference
03:14:29.200um it seems uh nema's critique sounds more true in the era of the post-war consensus
03:14:38.680if you wanted to talk about the or even the american revolutionaries these were people who
03:14:45.460were working diligently to create not just a justification, but an actual system and worldview
03:14:53.400for what they were trying to do. So maybe it's not something you can say that is universally true
03:14:59.480of every ruling class everywhere around the world that has ever lived. But I think when people
03:15:04.260listen to like Chuck Schumer or Nancy Pelosi or Paul Ryan, and they say things, you're like,
03:15:11.820I think you're just BS-ing me, but insofar as why did I bring up Peter Slaughter Dyke,
03:15:18.740your question was, is conspiracy theory an expressly right-wing phenomenon?
03:15:26.140I would say no, but it is an expressly American phenomenon,
03:15:31.400and that is for a handful of very, I think, obvious reasons.
03:15:36.560America was founded in a clandestine fashion.
03:15:41.820It was founded as basically the first major New World civilization amidst the backdrop of not only other existing civilizations, but decayed the process of being sort of swallowed up by like secret societies like Freemasonry, like international finance,
03:16:10.720like uh like the the international jewish element um so americans are conspiratorial
03:16:22.100i think because americans understand the conspiratorial nature of
03:16:29.300world historical events which is to say people socially organize to bring about some thing
03:16:37.960and the more dramatic the change they're bringing apart
03:16:42.580or the more dangerous the change they're bringing apart,
03:16:45.280they often have to do it in a sort of clandestine.
03:17:31.000you have literally the American Communist Party,
03:17:33.480You have all of these sort of left-wing coded social movements that were effectively engaging in their own transparency, and they were also propagating conspiracy about the powers that were oppressed.
03:17:53.440i was bringing up slaughtered before was you know when if you look at the contemporary conspiracy
03:17:59.760culture on the left these are the things rich are legitimate ideologies and not actual conspiracy
03:18:08.160theories um you like blm uh the the trans oppression all these kinds of things are sort of
03:18:18.480of conspiratorial in the way that slaughtered like this idea of cynicism, sort of verbal
03:18:27.440trapping that does not have a logical or intellectual substance, but really is just a mask for a
03:18:40.040will to power so um and the kind of collapse of a liberal or left-wing conspiracy theorizing
03:18:49.540from my point of view that happened when the left basically became
03:18:57.460sort of an unquestionable hegemonic power let me say why the reason i brought this up is because
03:19:05.940and I should qualify what I mean by conspiracy theories
03:19:08.820because I'm painting with a broad brush here.
03:19:31.100and how a lot of their conspiracy theories
03:19:34.960And even Occupy Wall Street, I mean, the story of Occupy Wall Street is actually pretty interesting.
03:19:40.100Like, I think it became like a left wing movement, but kind of like the counterculture of the 60s, it began as something else and was co-opted.