Human Events Daily with Jack Posobiec - November 27, 2024


MULTIPLE MEMBERS OF TRUMP TEAM SWATTED - MAGA MUST STAY FROSTY

Topics
Hosted by
Mentioned
Blue Sky Liberals Call For Trump to Be Assassinated THE UNHMANS THANKSGIVING SPECIAL

Episode Stats


Length

50 minutes

Words per minute

173.56

Word count

8,705

Sentence count

526

Harmful content

Misogyny

4

sentences flagged

Toxicity

23

sentences flagged

Hate speech

9

sentences flagged


Summary

Summaries generated with gmurro/bart-large-finetuned-filtered-spotify-podcast-summ .

The election is over, and Donald Trump has won in a historic landslide. Now we are throwing a conservative conference to celebrate victory but also to plan the work ahead for the road to come. A major development in the Middle East, the ceasefire between Israel and Hezbollah may have already been breached within hours, and several of President Trump s cabinet nominees have been targeted in violent, un-American threats.

Transcript

Transcript generated with Whisper (turbo).
Misogyny classifications generated with MilaNLProc/bert-base-uncased-ear-misogyny .
Toxicity classifications generated with s-nlp/roberta_toxicity_classifier .
Hate speech classifications generated with facebook/roberta-hate-speech-dynabench-r4-target .
Topics generated with Qwen2.5-3B-Instruct.
Hosts, guests, and mentioned names generated with spaCy (en_core_web_sm), reconciled against Wikidata.
00:00:00.000 All right, folks, the election is over and Donald Trump has won in a historic landslide.
00:00:08.280 Now we are throwing the conservative conference to celebrate victory, but also to plan the
00:00:15.500 work ahead for the road to come.
00:00:19.460 So if you want to come, you've got to get your tickets, secure them immediately for
00:00:24.160 America Fest and Fest 2024, Phoenix, Arizona, December 19th.
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00:00:36.040 Make sure that you are there to hear from dozens of the nation's top leaders with Turning Point
00:00:42.200 USA and Turning Point Action.
00:00:44.660 You've got Charlie Kirk, Jack Posobiec, Tucker Carlson, Donald J.
00:00:48.660 Trump, Matt Gaetz, potentially our next new attorney general, Dr.
00:00:54.020 Ben Carson, Senator Hawley, and so many more.
00:00:57.400 Tickets are going fast.
00:00:58.920 So lock yours in now.
00:01:01.060 You don't want to be in the overflow a lot like people at the Trump rallies when they
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00:01:26.660 This is what happens when the fourth turning meets fifth generation warfare.
00:01:35.800 A commentator, international social media sensation, and former Navy intelligence veteran.
00:01:47.060 This is Human Events with your host, Jack Posobiec.
00:01:50.060 Christ is king.
00:01:51.400 It's a major development in the Middle East. 0.96
00:01:53.240 The ceasefire between Israel and Hezbollah took effect overnight.
00:01:56.940 The Israel War Room is saying that ceasefire may have already technically been breached within hours.
00:02:03.820 The page stating, quote,
00:02:04.960 The IDF reports multiple vehicles carrying suspected terrorists entered a restricted area in southern Lebanon, violating the agreement.
00:02:13.780 Clearly, Putin has a type.
00:02:17.260 He likes narcissists and egomaniacs that he knows as a case officer he could easily pander to and manipulate to do his dirty work.
00:02:25.020 We are under attack.
00:02:26.040 Russia has been using different levers, whether that's corruption networks, in this case, it's influencers like Donald Trump, like Elon Musk, to really kind of sow discord.
00:02:39.080 President-elect Trump's threat to impose tariffs on America's neighbors already prompting a growing fight with Mexico and Canada.
00:02:47.720 Mexico's new president threatening to retaliate with tariffs of their own if Trump follows through on his pledge to impose 25 percent across-the-board tariffs on both countries.
00:02:59.140 According to a nationwide poll by the website 538, Vice President Kamala Harris does lead former President Donald Trump.
00:03:05.420 How deep was the hole that she had to climb out of?
00:03:07.740 I mean, I think it surprised people because there was these public polls that came out in late September, early October, showing us with leads that we never saw.
00:03:16.280 I just have to remind you, don't you ever let anybody take your power from you.
00:03:22.340 You have the same power that you did before November 5th.
00:03:26.840 The Trump-Vance transition team saying that some members or potential members of the incoming administration are facing serious threats.
00:03:36.140 The team issuing this statement, quote,
00:03:38.840 Last night and this morning, several of President Trump's cabinet nominees and administration appointees were targeted in violent, un-American threats to their lives and those who live with them.
00:03:52.280 These attacks range from bomb threats to swatting.
00:03:56.480 Ladies and gentlemen, welcome aboard today's edition of Human Events Daily here live where the Mar-a-Lago editions continue on Human Events Daily.
00:04:03.740 Today is November 27th.
00:04:06.140 2024, Anno, Dominic.
00:04:09.000 Yesterday, I sat in this chair, sat right here yesterday, and I told you that more threats were coming for the left.
00:04:15.380 We, in fact, did the entire program on it yesterday.
00:04:19.620 This, Sean, I was talking about when prophecy fails.
00:04:23.540 I gave you all homework, and I hope that people actually went out and read the book.
00:04:27.480 Maybe even read a summary of it because I told you that they would be getting more feral, and I told you that they would be getting worse.
00:04:34.880 Now we know that Lee Zeldin and a number of other Trump nominees, what I've gotten, I've gotten a bunch of names, and I'll just say these are families with children, all right?
00:04:45.920 I'm not going to put the names out, but these are families with children.
00:04:48.680 They're at home, and they've been swatted.
00:04:51.480 Well, what is swatting, boys and girls?
00:04:54.460 It's what happened to my family last year, specifically my parents.
00:04:59.640 And I'll just say the ones that came after my parents last year and tried to rain this on them, they were dealt with.
00:05:06.780 And they thought that being overseas at the time would save them.
00:05:12.200 It did.
00:05:14.440 So what are we hearing now, folks?
00:05:17.020 The harsh truth is that swatting is not some harmless game.
00:05:20.420 It's a tactic deployed by radical elements within these left-wing cults designed and emboldened over the years to provoke a law enforcement response, putting lives at risk.
00:05:32.700 It's a game of Russian roulette with real bullets.
00:05:36.840 We remember the two assassination attempts on President Trump this year.
00:05:41.500 That was this year.
00:05:43.920 This pattern is cut from the same plot, the same violent cult mentality.
00:05:51.020 Go read Unhuman.
00:05:52.500 The same hatred, the same refusal to accept the outcome that is driving these acts.
00:05:58.120 The targeted harassment, the echoes of violence, the left's actual war on the status quo in our country.
00:06:06.220 And when you can't win at the polls, you attack the players.
00:06:09.300 This is a strategy born out of desperation and a belief that their right to power overrides the basic rules of law and basic human decency.
00:06:19.700 Look, they were swatting my family last year.
00:06:22.560 Now they're swatting members of the incoming Trump administration, and they know they can't get them at, say, Mar-a-Lago or West Palm Beach Golf Course or the transition office.
00:06:33.060 So what are they going to do?
00:06:34.080 Oh, now they're going to go after your home.
00:06:36.700 Now they're going after your family.
00:06:38.560 Now they're going after your children.
00:06:40.500 This is a wake-up call.
00:06:43.360 The left's violent cult mentality has been unchecked for too long.
00:06:47.440 They've gone from words to actions, from protests to riots to swatting, and from that to outright assassination attempts.
00:06:56.080 So right now, we need to demand justice.
00:06:59.540 Because justice is the only thing that's actually going to change anything here.
00:07:05.460 This is about preserving the peace and safety that all Americans, tell us what side of the aisle on, you deserve.
00:07:11.440 And when justice comes, it will come and swing down as an angle of hammer.
00:07:18.920 This was an act of terrorism, and it will be dealt with.
00:07:23.360 Be right.
00:07:26.720 You know, they talk about influences.
00:07:29.000 These are influences.
00:07:30.860 And they're friends of mine.
00:07:33.260 Jack Persovic.
00:07:34.740 Where's Jack?
00:07:35.700 Jack.
00:07:36.680 He's done a great job.
00:07:38.140 All right, Jack Persovic back here at Live Human Events Daily.
00:07:43.460 The Mar-a-Lago editions continue.
00:07:45.780 It was over at Mar-a-Lago last night.
00:07:48.160 Got to see the president.
00:07:50.500 Got to see some other members of the incoming administration.
00:07:54.900 And I just have to say, it's so impressive.
00:07:57.800 So impressive seeing the operation that they've put together, the people that they're bringing together,
00:08:02.940 the in-depth process that is going on in terms of vet people.
00:08:07.580 Hats off to everyone that's involved in the transition, that's everyone that's there.
00:08:11.040 Sergio Gore, of course, who is, you know, really kind of the referee in charge of all of it.
00:08:15.480 Absolutely top-notch operation.
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00:09:45.980 So, folks, look at what we're dealing with.
00:09:53.820 Look at what is going on in this country.
00:09:57.020 The threats against our lawmakers.
00:09:58.980 The threats against the nominees.
00:10:00.700 The threats against their families. 1.00
00:10:03.140 This is ridiculous. 0.70
00:10:04.020 Now, Kenny, I know you've got your big piece up about the confirmation process. 0.74
00:10:12.840 Can you give us a little response about how the left reacted to the latest?
00:10:18.180 And it's an attack, and I'm just going to call it.
00:10:19.980 This was a terrorist attack on the Trump.
00:10:24.420 Well, it absolutely is.
00:10:25.700 And I think that's the entire point.
00:10:27.460 You know, it actually connects to the article in part.
00:10:29.700 You know, this is the reason why they need to be confirmed, is these nominees pose a threat to the cultural Marxist left.
00:10:35.820 It poses a threat to those who want to commit terrorism against us.
00:10:38.700 And this shows how much of a threat they actually are.
00:10:41.320 And we're not just talking about, like, the firebrands like Tulsi Gabbard, Pete Hegseth, and Robert Kennedy,
00:10:45.680 but people like Lee Zeldin who have been targeted.
00:10:48.300 Somebody who is, you know, mostly universally loved by the GOP and by the New York State
00:10:52.840 when he almost beat Kathy Hockle in the governor's race there.
00:10:55.520 So they view not only the ones they're deeming as radical, like Kennedy, Gabbard, and Hegseth,
00:11:01.620 the ones they want to target the most, they are targeting even establishment picks
00:11:05.600 and even those who are favored among even the most moderate Republicans.
00:11:09.620 They're, like, people like Zeldin, like I just referred to.
00:11:12.540 If they think Lee Zeldin is a threat, imagine what they think about Pete Hegseth, Tulsi Gabbard, Robert Kennedy,
00:11:18.620 the new NIH director, those Trump administration officials that he's going to have around him,
00:11:24.000 people like Stephen Miller, imagine what threat that they posed to the cultural left
00:11:30.120 that has now targeted us through terror attacks.
00:11:32.680 This just proves that it doesn't really matter who you are, if you are vocal,
00:11:36.900 if you are just vocally MAGA, firebrand, you know, fire-breathing conservatives,
00:11:41.600 or you're just somebody who is willing to help out the administration.
00:11:45.400 This just proves if you align with Donald Trump and you align with the GOP,
00:11:48.980 they view you as an extremist rot threat, a Republican threat to democracy.
00:11:54.900 And when they are really the ones who are threatening democracy at this standpoint,
00:11:59.300 they're the ones who are conducting terrorist attacks and evil actions against us.
00:12:03.420 So we have to be willing to address that and call it what it is, which is domestic terrorism.
00:12:07.620 Now, it clearly is an act of domestic terrorism.
00:12:11.800 I certainly hope that it's investigated, prosecuted, and the people who conducted this are convicted
00:12:17.020 immediately and given swift justice.
00:12:20.140 Kenny, walk us through, though, and you're right, it does tie back to your article
00:12:23.960 about why the GOP must confirm Trump's nominees.
00:12:28.800 You mentioned Tulsi Gabbard, RFK, Jay Bhattacharya, a guy who actually went and signed the Great
00:12:36.200 Barrington Declaration, who came out totally against Fauci.
00:12:41.660 It was like Fauci's arch-nemesis is now getting Fauci—well, the job of Fauci's boss would have
00:12:47.220 been his boss, Francis Collins, as director of the NIH.
00:12:51.980 So, Kenny, talk to us about this situation where we're really getting in sort of the inverse
00:12:57.920 of the government we had before.
00:13:00.560 Well, I think that's the entire purpose, and that's what the American people have demanded,
00:13:03.400 is we are getting the inverse of the Biden administration and the Kamala Harris administration.
00:13:07.460 These picks are a complete rejection of the deep state, a complete rejection of the establishment,
00:13:12.520 and a complete rejection of prior administrations past.
00:13:15.800 And that's why they need to be confirmed.
00:13:17.060 Do you really think that the same people who are going to vote against Hexeth, Gabbard,
00:13:22.440 or Kennedy would have really, you know, had a conscience and said,
00:13:26.300 hey, you know, these Democratic picks that Biden and Point put up are not qualified,
00:13:30.960 or they have had allegations against them in the past, the same way Republicans like
00:13:34.560 Susan Collins and others are doing right now.
00:13:36.800 Republicans finally need to be party-lined.
00:13:39.220 We've got to step up and confirm our president's nominee because the American people have mandated it.
00:13:43.800 This is not something where a popular vote has been lost, a narrow electoral victory,
00:13:48.140 or what have you, where we can afford to say, hey, this person has false allegations,
00:13:52.980 or this person has been on a no-fly list, or, you know, Robert Kennedy has said crazy things on a podcast,
00:13:58.760 whatever, they need to step up and actually confirm the mandate that has been proposed by the American people.
00:14:04.500 These people do not, it is no time to be centrist, it is no time to be moderate,
00:14:08.960 it is no time to be electorally viable.
00:14:11.040 It is time to confirm President Trump's nominees for the administration that he has got a mandate by the American people for.
00:14:18.280 There was not a popular vote loss, this was not an electoral slide-by, a narrow electoral margin,
00:14:24.660 this was a mandate by the American people that carried the Senate over, that carried the House over,
00:14:30.380 and gave Donald Trump back the White House.
00:14:32.340 So if we really want to make an impact and reject the very administration
00:14:35.740 that has imposed authoritarian threats to democracy and to the Republican Party,
00:14:40.440 we need to confirm these nominations in large.
00:14:44.160 There shouldn't be one deflection, there shouldn't be one defraction,
00:14:47.720 and we should be able to confirm these nominees easily,
00:14:50.100 and I hope we see that from the Senate GOP,
00:14:52.300 because we need to see that the mandate is proposed and confirmed.
00:14:56.540 Look, I agree with that completely.
00:14:58.520 We have to build a very simple, and it's a very simple proposition.
00:15:06.680 The idea is the American people have chosen this.
00:15:10.100 And yes, I'll certainly agree that these are unorthodox nominees.
00:15:15.840 Pete Hegseth, Tulsi Gabbard, Bobby Kennedy, Jay Bhattacharya, people who are former Democrats,
00:15:22.200 people who aren't necessarily part of the system.
00:15:25.220 But America chose people who were unconventional.
00:15:29.000 America chose this unconventional team of outsiders,
00:15:33.580 of a broad coalition of people from across the ideological spectrum,
00:15:38.040 because they all shared one belief,
00:15:40.540 that Washington is broken,
00:15:42.240 and that the Beltway bandits in there have been stealing dollars 0.98
00:15:46.140 and stealing sucker from the taxpayers.
00:15:48.900 Why is it that the richest counties in America are all situated around Washington, D.C.?
00:15:55.620 Shouldn't that money exist out elsewhere in the country?
00:15:59.360 Shouldn't that money that was taken from the people of the United States
00:16:03.500 belong to the people of the United States?
00:16:06.160 Understand, this goes back to what Michael Moore said all those years ago,
00:16:12.140 that Donald Trump is a weapon that is being used by the people of this country,
00:16:16.700 that they are lobbing directly into the heart of Washington, D.C. on purpose,
00:16:21.640 like Russia and Putin firing a missile, politically speaking, into Washington, D.C.
00:16:27.960 Kenny, that's what's really going on, isn't it?
00:16:30.400 A hundred percent.
00:16:31.280 I mean, the blue card and working class of this country 1.00
00:16:33.560 are the ones that put Donald Trump back in office,
00:16:35.400 and they're the same people who want to see the supplemented change
00:16:38.680 that is going to happen from people like Kennedy, Gabbard,
00:16:41.160 the new NIH director, and Pete Hegsseff.
00:16:44.480 They may be unconventional,
00:16:46.120 but Donald Trump is an unconventional president.
00:16:48.560 The MAGA movement is an unconventional political strategy
00:16:51.680 and a political movement.
00:16:53.100 That's what the American people want.
00:16:54.520 They don't want establishment politics.
00:16:56.040 They don't want politics that caters to the upper class. 0.88
00:16:59.860 They don't want politics to contribute to the deep state. 0.94
00:17:02.960 They have voted in change.
00:17:04.880 They have voted in the inverse, as you said earlier,
00:17:07.720 of the prior administration and the way politics have been done
00:17:10.900 in Washington, D.C. for far too long.
00:17:12.920 And they even want an inverse of what 2016-17 through 2021 was with Donald Trump.
00:17:17.200 And Donald Trump knows that.
00:17:18.740 He is selecting people that he is not beholden to.
00:17:21.740 He is selecting those administration officials
00:17:24.200 that are actually going to facilitate change
00:17:25.940 instead of just keep the status quo.
00:17:28.500 This is a rejection of the normalization of the deep state.
00:17:32.460 They have been in control of Washington, D.C.
00:17:34.680 The Uniparty has been in control of Washington, D.C.
00:17:37.040 for far too long.
00:17:38.480 And it's time to put back in power
00:17:40.060 those who have been loyal to Donald Trump,
00:17:42.080 those who promise to facilitate change,
00:17:44.440 and that know what they're doing.
00:17:45.680 And these people are qualified.
00:17:47.080 Kennedy, Gabbard, Hegsseff, and others
00:17:48.460 are so qualified to be doing what they're doing.
00:17:50.460 And any kind of curve or path off of that
00:17:53.620 is simply a cave to put some of these people
00:17:57.000 that are refusing to confirm these nominees back in office.
00:18:01.460 For once, these people like Susan Collins,
00:18:03.260 Lisa Murkowski, and others should be willing
00:18:05.120 to put their necks on the line for the American people
00:18:07.980 because that is what they have been mandated to do.
00:18:10.460 We won the popular vote, the electoral college,
00:18:12.880 and put the Senate and House majorities
00:18:14.500 over the line and over the threshold.
00:18:16.640 And they have to vote to confirm these nominees
00:18:18.640 or are really not going to have the true change
00:18:20.500 that America needs.
00:18:22.920 Kenny's article is up at humanevents.com.
00:18:25.940 Kenny Cody, the GOP must confirm Trump's nominees,
00:18:31.020 that he is keeping his gold in his crosshairs.
00:18:32.980 And by the way, Kenny, I've seen,
00:18:34.720 a lot of people don't know this,
00:18:35.840 but I've seen down here at the transition office,
00:18:37.880 the nominees are involved in the actual interview process.
00:18:42.920 They're vetting people who might potentially come in with them.
00:18:46.120 I mean, this is just an incredible, incredible job
00:18:48.660 that they are doing.
00:18:49.820 Kenny, where can people go to follow you?
00:18:51.280 Where can they get more info on your writings?
00:18:54.140 They can go to at Katie Cody TN on Twitter
00:18:56.800 or X and True Social,
00:18:58.760 and they can find me on muckride.com
00:19:00.620 from my article on Cops.
00:19:01.900 Thank you, Jack, so much.
00:19:03.560 All right.
00:19:03.900 Happy Thanksgiving, brother.
00:19:04.820 Long hours.
00:19:14.060 I'm always listening to Human Events with Jack Posobiec.
00:19:17.740 All right, Jack Posobiec, back here,
00:19:19.920 live, Human Events Daily.
00:19:21.760 The Mar-a-Lago editions continue.
00:19:24.900 Having a great time down here at Mar-a-Lago,
00:19:27.940 but of course, going to be flying back
00:19:29.500 to Thanksgiving with the entire family,
00:19:32.460 Philadelphia area, here I come.
00:19:35.860 Folks, Donald J. Trump is president-elect,
00:19:38.500 and to make America great again,
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00:20:50.920 Richard Barris, the People's Pundit,
00:20:53.700 is our next guest here on Human Events Daily.
00:20:57.380 Richard Barris.
00:20:59.120 Richard Barris.
00:20:59.760 Now, this is a guy who so many people wanted to say,
00:21:03.180 all year, Rich, they want to say that you're wrong,
00:21:05.800 that you have no idea what's going on,
00:21:07.920 that you're completely out of it,
00:21:09.940 that you're making it up. 1.00
00:21:11.120 You're a fraud. 1.00
00:21:12.540 You're a nut job. 1.00
00:21:13.540 You know, your polls are all over the place. 0.99
00:21:16.300 And yet Poll Watch just came out last night.
00:21:19.860 Poll Watch 2020 came out last night and said,
00:21:24.060 drumroll please, folks,
00:21:25.740 top pollster ranking for the 2020 national popular vote.
00:21:32.760 Number three, Atlas Intel.
00:21:35.980 Number two, Wall Street Journal.
00:21:38.440 Number one, Richard Barris, the big data poll.
00:21:43.960 Only off by 0.1%.
00:21:48.420 A statistical, like, anomaly is the only bit you got off.
00:21:54.820 Rich, I don't understand.
00:21:56.300 How can you get named the top pollster for the national poll 0.88
00:21:59.360 when you're a complete fraud? 0.58
00:22:00.620 Please explain this to me.
00:22:02.360 Do you know what,
00:22:03.900 because I always laugh when I hear what you said at all.
00:22:06.440 We're a fraud.
00:22:07.460 He makes the numbers off of it.
00:22:08.980 Do you have any idea
00:22:10.560 how lucky somebody would have to be,
00:22:13.160 the odds,
00:22:14.300 to get as close as we got this year
00:22:16.400 and also in several of the key states in Pennsylvania?
00:22:20.460 Jack, we were Trump 50.3,
00:22:22.440 Harris 48.
00:22:23.640 You know, in North Carolina,
00:22:24.940 Trump 51.1,
00:22:26.360 Harris 47.1.
00:22:28.780 I mean, these are decimal points.
00:22:30.520 You got to, by the way,
00:22:31.280 you got to send me those numbers.
00:22:33.040 I want to put that all together
00:22:33.980 to see what your final numbers were
00:22:36.880 for each state as well.
00:22:38.400 Because, I mean,
00:22:39.460 guys, like, folks,
00:22:41.460 we have had Rich.
00:22:42.340 We have had Rich on this program
00:22:44.300 at least once a week,
00:22:46.560 the entire year round.
00:22:47.920 And you told us from the start
00:22:50.440 what was going on.
00:22:52.020 And I remember even when the great,
00:22:53.820 not to get super into it,
00:22:55.120 but when the great Ann Seltzer
00:22:56.420 put her poll out,
00:22:58.020 I could hear Rich Barris in my ear.
00:22:59.800 And I called you that night
00:23:00.860 and we had like a 40-minute conversation
00:23:02.920 about response bias
00:23:04.900 and all of these other issues.
00:23:06.700 And then she goes on Mark Halperin
00:23:08.300 the next morning
00:23:09.600 and she doesn't explain anything
00:23:11.360 regarding response bias
00:23:12.780 or she's not weighting it
00:23:14.260 based on people
00:23:14.920 who just really want to take her polls 1.00
00:23:16.820 or any of this.
00:23:18.140 So, Rich, kudos to you, man.
00:23:19.840 Congratulations.
00:23:20.900 And just walk us through, though,
00:23:22.480 a little bit
00:23:23.140 about what makes Big Data Poll
00:23:25.640 different
00:23:26.480 from all of these mainstream polls.
00:23:29.260 And we're going to talk about them
00:23:30.080 in a second as well.
00:23:31.580 You know, one thing,
00:23:32.880 and I think this is the foundation
00:23:34.120 of it all,
00:23:34.860 is that I was not born
00:23:35.920 with a silver spoon in my mouth.
00:23:37.520 My industry is dominated
00:23:39.080 by elitists
00:23:40.380 and wannabe elitists.
00:23:41.860 They lean heavily left.
00:23:43.900 And I know the people
00:23:46.300 that I'm talking to, Jack.
00:23:47.980 Like, I know the country.
00:23:50.140 I know I've been...
00:23:51.140 It's not that I've just traveled.
00:23:52.320 I've been on both sides
00:23:53.380 of the tracks,
00:23:54.560 I guess, you know,
00:23:55.620 is the best place,
00:23:56.940 best way to state it.
00:23:58.220 And, you know,
00:23:59.500 I don't think anyone
00:24:00.360 in my industry
00:24:02.340 has stepped foot
00:24:03.320 in a ghetto, right?
00:24:04.520 Like an American ghetto. 0.78
00:24:05.740 So how would you know 0.93
00:24:06.640 what black men 0.96
00:24:07.900 in barbershops 0.74
00:24:08.680 were saying
00:24:09.480 throughout urban areas
00:24:10.480 around the country?
00:24:11.620 You have to know
00:24:12.620 not only people,
00:24:14.400 but also historical,
00:24:15.900 you know,
00:24:16.440 look,
00:24:17.060 you know,
00:24:17.540 the historical nature
00:24:18.580 and ethnicities
00:24:19.640 of this country.
00:24:21.120 And it's like,
00:24:22.060 I would ask,
00:24:22.800 I would tell people this.
00:24:24.120 How could you handicap 1.00
00:24:25.220 or how could you try
00:24:26.540 to predict the outcome
00:24:27.500 of the Super Bowl
00:24:28.380 if you don't really know
00:24:29.620 any of the players
00:24:30.320 on either of the teams,
00:24:31.680 right?
00:24:32.260 You don't know anything
00:24:33.060 about them.
00:24:33.760 You don't know about the,
00:24:34.740 you know,
00:24:34.940 what drives them,
00:24:35.780 what their strengths are,
00:24:36.640 what their weaknesses,
00:24:37.520 what their interests are.
00:24:38.560 You don't know anything
00:24:39.680 about them.
00:24:40.780 Maybe you know
00:24:41.220 a little bit about the game,
00:24:42.780 but how could you predict
00:24:43.840 the behavior of people
00:24:44.960 you don't understand?
00:24:46.620 And then,
00:24:47.300 you know,
00:24:47.560 that is the base,
00:24:48.620 the foundation of it all.
00:24:50.140 Because when you go
00:24:51.120 to build out your methodology
00:24:52.320 from there,
00:24:53.180 you have to know
00:24:54.140 when you see a response bias
00:24:56.200 and you have to be honest
00:24:57.180 with yourself,
00:24:57.960 whether it's one that,
00:24:59.200 look,
00:24:59.460 all pollsters have views,
00:25:00.900 right?
00:25:01.120 We pretend like we don't.
00:25:02.640 You have to just cast that aside.
00:25:04.780 Stop insulting the intelligence
00:25:06.140 of the American public
00:25:07.200 and the people who consume polls.
00:25:08.720 They know you either lean right
00:25:10.340 or you lean left.
00:25:11.460 Stop pretending that you're a robot
00:25:13.160 who's impartial in the middle.
00:25:14.920 You're not.
00:25:15.500 So your methodology
00:25:16.600 has to guard
00:25:17.460 against your own biases.
00:25:18.520 This doesn't happen
00:25:20.100 in this industry.
00:25:21.440 It simply does not,
00:25:23.080 unfortunately.
00:25:24.100 And I wish it did.
00:25:25.140 But some people,
00:25:27.000 at best,
00:25:27.920 were subjected
00:25:28.720 to that response bias
00:25:30.120 and I think is worse.
00:25:32.540 I think she got a response bias
00:25:34.360 and she allowed her own bias
00:25:36.060 to further inflate
00:25:37.660 the result of that poll.
00:25:39.120 She goes on Mark Halpern
00:25:40.360 and she's probably
00:25:41.140 one of the worst examples of this.
00:25:43.040 Her explanation, Jack,
00:25:44.520 did not actually make sense
00:25:46.700 to the criticisms
00:25:47.580 of the poll.
00:25:48.820 All right?
00:25:49.220 This idea,
00:25:49.980 she found all these educated
00:25:51.580 young women
00:25:52.360 who came out
00:25:53.780 for abortion.
00:25:55.440 Abortion wasn't even 0.98
00:25:56.320 the number one issue
00:25:57.180 in her poll, Jack.
00:25:58.140 Protecting democracy was.
00:25:59.420 I remember, Rich,
00:26:00.300 I remember you said,
00:26:01.120 you said that night
00:26:02.020 and you tweeted it
00:26:02.760 and you came on the show
00:26:03.480 the next day
00:26:03.920 and said it as well.
00:26:04.920 You said,
00:26:05.580 what did she interview?
00:26:06.620 The entire line
00:26:07.700 at the local Starbucks
00:26:08.940 or something?
00:26:09.960 This is not,
00:26:10.660 this is not reflective
00:26:13.420 of where people
00:26:14.820 in the mood
00:26:15.360 of the country are.
00:26:16.500 It's just not reflective.
00:26:18.200 And I remember hearing it as well
00:26:19.480 and I was saying,
00:26:20.800 look,
00:26:21.200 I'm not going to count out
00:26:22.420 abortion completely,
00:26:24.120 but the idea
00:26:25.440 that that was going to be
00:26:26.320 the sole driving factor
00:26:27.740 in a state like Iowa,
00:26:29.860 I remember we just kept saying,
00:26:31.480 why is it then
00:26:32.400 that they haven't deployed
00:26:33.480 Tim Walz to Iowa
00:26:34.460 when he's the governor
00:26:35.540 of the next state?
00:26:36.960 His state borders Iowa.
00:26:38.760 Wouldn't he be there?
00:26:40.200 He'd be camped there.
00:26:41.660 It doesn't make any sense.
00:26:42.840 It never did.
00:26:44.180 Especially since
00:26:45.200 he supposedly had
00:26:46.340 this regional working class
00:26:47.820 blue collar appeal.
00:26:49.820 Well,
00:26:49.900 why isn't he down there
00:26:51.020 getting it, right?
00:26:52.100 And I'm sure Politico
00:26:53.200 is going to write articles
00:26:54.060 about it too.
00:26:54.800 They're going to write
00:26:55.260 about his connection
00:26:56.040 with the worker class people
00:26:57.680 and veterans
00:26:58.320 and military members.
00:27:00.080 And you can go and look
00:27:00.820 at any of his
00:27:01.900 actual election data
00:27:03.960 and you would see
00:27:04.920 that that's not how
00:27:05.640 he polls at all.
00:27:06.780 He would get
00:27:07.280 the big blue urban centers
00:27:08.660 and that's it.
00:27:09.660 He's not connecting
00:27:10.500 with like the Mike Lindell voter
00:27:12.440 or the MyPillow employee
00:27:14.380 in Shakopee, Minnesota.
00:27:16.120 It's just not there.
00:27:18.580 Not even close.
00:27:19.980 And this is something
00:27:20.700 we,
00:27:21.100 we,
00:27:21.400 you and I actually talked about
00:27:22.920 on your show
00:27:23.680 when she chose him
00:27:24.420 as the nominee.
00:27:25.120 If you go and look
00:27:26.440 at who these voters were
00:27:27.720 who elected Shapiro
00:27:28.680 versus those
00:27:29.600 who elected Waltz,
00:27:30.900 you know,
00:27:31.120 Shapiro got nearly 20% 0.72
00:27:33.240 of voters
00:27:33.800 who backed Trump
00:27:34.540 in 2020.
00:27:35.640 And I'm not saying
00:27:36.260 they would have voted
00:27:36.760 for Shapiro
00:27:37.400 because of that.
00:27:39.040 There are,
00:27:39.440 there are Republicans
00:27:40.560 or Trumpers
00:27:41.160 who do vote like that
00:27:42.760 if they're not
00:27:43.320 like Democrats.
00:27:44.360 But Waltz,
00:27:44.900 very different,
00:27:45.520 very typical,
00:27:46.560 very left-wing
00:27:47.280 Democratic map,
00:27:48.560 relies on the
00:27:49.120 Twin City burbs,
00:27:50.360 relies on the,
00:27:51.020 the,
00:27:51.580 the,
00:27:51.940 I wouldn't even say
00:27:53.280 the word educated,
00:27:54.440 the credentialed,
00:27:55.380 professional,
00:27:56.200 fanatical class
00:27:57.500 that,
00:27:58.300 you know,
00:27:58.600 votes on ideology
00:27:59.900 in high numbers.
00:28:00.860 He didn't connect
00:28:01.400 with anyone
00:28:02.040 in the iron,
00:28:03.280 iron range.
00:28:04.020 He didn't connect
00:28:04.440 with anyone
00:28:05.120 in Olmst,
00:28:05.880 outside of Olmstead
00:28:06.900 in the southeastern
00:28:07.740 part of the state.
00:28:08.700 He was a very typical,
00:28:10.100 very generic
00:28:10.880 Democratic appeal
00:28:12.180 and that's it.
00:28:13.160 And I would just say
00:28:13.780 this too,
00:28:14.380 you know,
00:28:14.600 when it comes
00:28:14.980 to that Iowa poll,
00:28:16.540 again,
00:28:17.120 I mean,
00:28:17.380 this is a culmination
00:28:18.400 of some bad behavior
00:28:19.500 that we had seen
00:28:20.220 from Seltzer
00:28:20.840 going on now
00:28:22.020 for a couple of years.
00:28:23.580 I mean,
00:28:23.840 Jack,
00:28:24.260 I remember 2020
00:28:25.300 like it was yesterday,
00:28:26.720 September,
00:28:27.580 live polling
00:28:28.300 on my show.
00:28:29.900 It was never tied
00:28:30.840 in the state of Iowa
00:28:31.740 and yet she had
00:28:32.780 this race tied
00:28:33.640 between Biden and Trump
00:28:34.800 and of course
00:28:35.260 Trump ran away with it.
00:28:36.640 This time,
00:28:37.580 far,
00:28:38.080 far worse.
00:28:38.860 Ladies and gentlemen,
00:28:40.000 the last couple of weeks
00:28:41.240 I combined
00:28:41.940 all of our responses
00:28:43.040 from Iowa,
00:28:44.300 whether we were doing
00:28:44.940 the Rust Belt poll
00:28:45.700 or the national poll
00:28:46.700 and barely waiting,
00:28:48.200 Jack,
00:28:48.460 just for simple gender,
00:28:50.360 right?
00:28:50.880 Very,
00:28:51.380 very light weighting variables
00:28:52.600 and it was almost
00:28:53.640 dead on to Trump's margin.
00:28:55.380 It was almost identical.
00:28:56.780 So I don't even believe
00:28:57.880 that she got a response
00:28:59.280 bias that dramatic here.
00:29:01.120 I think she got
00:29:01.760 a modest one
00:29:03.420 which she then created
00:29:04.920 and turned into
00:29:06.100 what she wanted
00:29:07.100 and this has got to stop
00:29:08.400 with this industry.
00:29:09.260 It's got to stop.
00:29:10.220 Now,
00:29:10.580 you know what?
00:29:11.180 If they want to continue
00:29:12.040 doing it,
00:29:12.740 they can't
00:29:13.580 because it's just,
00:29:14.420 you know,
00:29:14.920 bright days ahead
00:29:15.760 for people like me.
00:29:17.700 That's it.
00:29:18.720 And it's just,
00:29:20.440 it's something
00:29:20.880 where it's like,
00:29:21.900 I saw this post yesterday
00:29:23.440 and we talked about
00:29:23.960 on the show as well
00:29:24.680 but this business owner,
00:29:27.640 some guy,
00:29:28.140 I didn't even know,
00:29:28.440 I think it was a tech guy
00:29:29.300 and he was on X
00:29:30.100 and he said,
00:29:30.400 I canceled all my
00:29:31.100 mainstream media subscriptions
00:29:32.220 and he said,
00:29:32.780 why is that?
00:29:33.320 Do you disagree with them now?
00:29:34.320 He said,
00:29:34.500 no,
00:29:34.660 look,
00:29:34.980 my politics haven't changed
00:29:36.280 but these guys 0.98
00:29:37.260 are clearly incompetent. 0.86
00:29:38.960 The biggest political 0.63
00:29:40.660 tectonic plate shift
00:29:42.040 in his entire lifetime
00:29:43.900 and they all missed it
00:29:45.860 and this went over
00:29:47.140 into the polls as well.
00:29:49.500 Every single one of them
00:29:50.920 missed it.
00:29:51.500 Then they wanted to say
00:29:52.500 all along that the race
00:29:53.500 was closed.
00:29:53.960 We'll get into that
00:29:54.680 in the next segment
00:29:55.460 here in a second
00:29:56.280 but they all missed
00:29:57.780 what was going on
00:29:58.660 right in front of their eyes
00:29:59.840 and it's their job
00:30:01.340 to know what's going on
00:30:02.960 in the country.
00:30:04.520 That's it.
00:30:05.160 That's the divide.
00:30:06.480 That's part of the divide
00:30:07.240 that we have.
00:30:08.120 Again,
00:30:08.580 I don't know how you would expect
00:30:09.940 Nate Cohen
00:30:10.660 at the New York Times
00:30:11.640 who spends most of his life
00:30:12.940 in a New York City cubicle
00:30:14.320 to understand
00:30:15.460 how the voters
00:30:16.040 of Beaver County,
00:30:17.060 Pennsylvania
00:30:17.480 are going to vote.
00:30:18.420 All right.
00:30:18.820 I don't know how
00:30:19.900 we would expect him
00:30:20.920 to understand
00:30:21.840 how the Ohio River Valley
00:30:24.120 has shifted
00:30:24.740 in the last 10 years
00:30:25.820 or most certainly
00:30:26.880 in the Trump era.
00:30:28.000 Why would we expect him
00:30:29.220 to have the confidence
00:30:30.500 and the ability
00:30:31.200 to do that
00:30:31.820 because he's got
00:30:32.440 an Ivy League education
00:30:34.160 or like that is not
00:30:36.040 what it takes
00:30:36.760 to be successful
00:30:37.580 in this industry
00:30:38.440 and unfortunately
00:30:39.780 you do have to.
00:30:40.600 I mean,
00:30:40.940 we were always saying this
00:30:42.160 and it's forever true
00:30:43.660 and we haven't said it
00:30:45.400 enough recently
00:30:46.240 that polling is of course
00:30:47.900 part science
00:30:48.740 but it really is
00:30:49.520 part art form
00:30:50.920 and without what
00:30:51.940 I'm telling you,
00:30:52.980 you know,
00:30:53.200 this understanding
00:30:54.200 of the subject matter
00:30:55.780 and in this case,
00:30:57.000 it's people.
00:30:58.200 It's the American people
00:30:59.280 without an understanding
00:31:00.720 of them,
00:31:01.320 then you cannot do this
00:31:02.820 and frankly,
00:31:03.760 they have a hard time
00:31:05.040 listening to people.
00:31:06.520 You know,
00:31:06.660 I like to talk.
00:31:07.500 I'm a jabber jaw
00:31:08.200 but when I'm doing my job,
00:31:09.720 Jack, 0.96
00:31:09.960 it's time to shut up 1.00
00:31:10.860 and listen. 0.97
00:31:11.800 I may not like
00:31:12.680 what they're telling me
00:31:13.480 but that's not my job
00:31:14.800 is to shut up
00:31:15.920 and listen to what 0.97
00:31:16.780 they have to say.
00:31:17.560 They'll tell you
00:31:17.960 how they're going to vote.
00:31:18.740 And why?
00:31:19.520 Sounds simple.
00:31:20.400 It sounds simple
00:31:21.260 and yet too far
00:31:22.260 bridge too far
00:31:23.140 for so many
00:31:24.120 in corporate media.
00:31:25.520 Stay tuned.
00:31:25.980 We're going to be back
00:31:26.780 on more
00:31:27.380 with Richard Barris
00:31:28.820 to talk about
00:31:29.400 something that was
00:31:30.280 a little bit of a secret
00:31:31.360 but maybe not so much
00:31:32.620 in the 2024 election.
00:31:34.240 Jack,
00:31:39.620 where is Jack?
00:31:42.020 Where's Jack?
00:31:44.140 Where is he?
00:31:45.420 Jack,
00:31:45.880 I want to see you.
00:31:49.060 Great job,
00:31:50.120 Jack.
00:31:50.440 Thank you.
00:31:51.240 What a job you do.
00:31:52.660 You know,
00:31:52.900 we have an incredible thing.
00:31:54.020 We're always talking
00:31:54.620 about the fake news
00:31:55.640 and the bad
00:31:56.120 but we have guys
00:31:57.380 and these are the guys
00:31:58.760 who should be getting
00:31:59.320 policies.
00:32:01.100 All right,
00:32:01.940 Jack,
00:32:02.100 back live here,
00:32:03.280 Human Events Daily,
00:32:04.040 Mar-a-Lago Editions.
00:32:05.320 So,
00:32:06.600 I had been tweeting
00:32:08.520 and reporting
00:32:10.160 here on Human Events Daily
00:32:12.800 as well as
00:32:14.440 on X
00:32:15.860 and Truth Social
00:32:16.800 and Telegram
00:32:17.900 all year round
00:32:19.120 about Kamala's
00:32:20.520 internal polls.
00:32:22.640 Kamala's internal polls.
00:32:24.420 And I kept saying
00:32:25.440 Kamala's internal polls
00:32:26.720 are really bad.
00:32:28.700 And I said
00:32:29.380 they've never had her up.
00:32:31.000 They're never good.
00:32:32.420 Things are going
00:32:33.040 really poorly for her.
00:32:35.020 There were even
00:32:35.900 some times
00:32:36.560 where members
00:32:37.440 of Congress
00:32:38.040 would get caught
00:32:39.140 on Cam.
00:32:40.760 We've got some
00:32:41.260 of those tweets
00:32:41.740 right there
00:32:42.240 just from different
00:32:43.160 parts of the year
00:32:44.360 we were talking
00:32:44.960 about this.
00:32:46.160 And there were
00:32:47.240 even other Democrats
00:32:48.120 who came out publicly
00:32:49.240 running for Congress
00:32:50.480 who would say,
00:32:51.140 oh,
00:32:51.720 you know,
00:32:52.000 my internals
00:32:52.580 have Kamala
00:32:53.100 really behind.
00:32:54.180 My internals
00:32:54.740 are really bad
00:32:55.240 for Kamala.
00:32:56.400 And yet,
00:32:58.240 we were told
00:32:58.840 by the mainstream media
00:32:59.940 something else.
00:33:01.200 We were told
00:33:01.760 that it was a horse race,
00:33:03.120 that she was just ahead,
00:33:04.620 or that it was
00:33:05.280 neck and neck,
00:33:06.080 and that it was
00:33:06.500 going back and forth.
00:33:08.120 Well,
00:33:08.320 it turns out
00:33:09.020 that all of that
00:33:10.220 may have actually
00:33:11.220 been a lie.
00:33:13.660 And when I'm
00:33:15.320 going to play this clip,
00:33:16.160 I'm about to play
00:33:16.560 this clip of a guy
00:33:17.320 who was the campaign
00:33:18.240 manager for Barack Obama
00:33:19.720 and the senior advisor
00:33:20.600 for Kamala Harris.
00:33:22.380 And I want you
00:33:23.760 to take this clip
00:33:25.340 and show it
00:33:26.160 to every one
00:33:26.820 of your friends
00:33:27.560 who,
00:33:28.560 we all have that
00:33:29.200 one friend,
00:33:30.040 who's like the,
00:33:31.000 oh,
00:33:31.460 the latest poll
00:33:32.280 just came out.
00:33:33.040 I got to read
00:33:33.560 the latest poll.
00:33:34.560 I got to read
00:33:35.140 the latest poll.
00:33:36.160 I got to read
00:33:36.760 the latest Nate Silver.
00:33:38.120 He's the aggregator.
00:33:39.340 He knows what's going on.
00:33:41.180 All right, guys,
00:33:41.700 go ahead and play
00:33:42.240 this clip
00:33:42.740 from David Plough.
00:33:44.280 When we got in,
00:33:45.700 my recollection
00:33:46.400 is some of that
00:33:47.160 snapped back,
00:33:47.840 but, you know,
00:33:48.160 we were behind.
00:33:49.460 I mean,
00:33:49.640 I think it surprised
00:33:50.420 people because
00:33:51.040 there was these
00:33:51.560 public polls
00:33:52.760 that came out
00:33:53.420 in late September,
00:33:54.300 early October
00:33:54.980 showing us with leads
00:33:56.760 that we never saw.
00:33:58.120 You know,
00:33:58.320 I mean,
00:33:58.540 it was just basically
00:33:59.540 a race that in
00:34:00.260 the battlegrounds
00:34:01.000 was 46-47,
00:34:02.880 47-48.
00:34:03.920 So that's not
00:34:04.420 where we started.
00:34:05.300 We started behind.
00:34:07.160 She was able
00:34:07.700 to climb out.
00:34:08.780 I think even
00:34:09.320 after the debate,
00:34:10.100 we might have gained,
00:34:11.020 what,
00:34:11.340 0.51?
00:34:12.320 It wasn't a race
00:34:13.460 that moved a lot.
00:34:14.900 And so I think
00:34:16.000 when you think
00:34:16.580 about our own
00:34:17.180 internal analytics,
00:34:18.740 you know,
00:34:18.940 if you have
00:34:19.400 Wisconsin at 47-47
00:34:21.500 or Pennsylvania
00:34:23.460 48-47 Trump,
00:34:25.160 let's say,
00:34:25.740 which I think
00:34:26.200 is where we had
00:34:26.800 it at the end,
00:34:27.980 you know,
00:34:28.320 you've got to have
00:34:28.980 undecided,
00:34:29.640 break your way
00:34:30.240 more than your
00:34:30.900 opponents,
00:34:31.760 and you've got
00:34:32.180 to get a little
00:34:32.660 benefit from turnout,
00:34:33.900 which we weren't
00:34:34.320 able to do.
00:34:36.160 Rich Barris,
00:34:37.300 what's David Plough
00:34:38.440 saying right there?
00:34:39.980 What he's saying
00:34:40.880 is everything
00:34:41.580 that you were told
00:34:42.500 is a lie.
00:34:43.740 That's what he's saying.
00:34:45.100 All of the polling,
00:34:46.220 all of the headlines,
00:34:47.460 all of the Kamala
00:34:48.200 surge headlines,
00:34:49.480 all of the Kamala
00:34:50.120 surge narratives
00:34:51.000 were an absolute
00:34:52.260 fabrication
00:34:52.980 of bad media
00:34:54.220 pollsters
00:34:54.720 or media pollsters
00:34:56.560 who were fabricating
00:34:58.100 leads that she
00:34:58.980 did not have.
00:34:59.760 But here's why
00:35:00.760 it's so
00:35:01.240 there's levels
00:35:03.180 of disingenuousness
00:35:04.380 here, okay?
00:35:05.760 David Plough
00:35:06.520 after especially,
00:35:08.100 but he was
00:35:09.100 in the final stretch,
00:35:10.400 a voice who kept
00:35:11.120 telling,
00:35:11.680 and NBC
00:35:12.140 and everybody
00:35:12.940 ran with us,
00:35:14.000 a voice who kept
00:35:14.680 saying that our
00:35:15.420 internal data shows
00:35:16.540 that the late deciders
00:35:18.100 are breaking for Kamala
00:35:19.280 and it's given us
00:35:20.040 the lead and we're
00:35:20.720 going into this thing
00:35:21.660 with the momentum
00:35:22.900 and we're finishing
00:35:23.860 strong.
00:35:25.220 Jack,
00:35:25.820 they never asked him
00:35:27.360 for a data set,
00:35:28.340 they never asked
00:35:29.060 him for proof
00:35:29.720 and they just ran
00:35:30.520 those stories.
00:35:31.540 Mark Halpern
00:35:32.280 was then attacked
00:35:33.140 for saying,
00:35:34.040 where's the proof?
00:35:35.720 Because what I'm
00:35:36.500 hearing is the
00:35:37.140 exact opposite.
00:35:38.140 Our final national
00:35:39.160 poll that was so
00:35:39.880 active.
00:35:40.100 Wait, no, no,
00:35:40.760 wait, Dave,
00:35:41.180 this is the same
00:35:41.920 guy.
00:35:42.640 Wait, wait, no,
00:35:43.100 Rich, it wasn't
00:35:43.960 just, remember,
00:35:44.820 it wasn't just
00:35:45.500 the data set.
00:35:46.460 He was claiming
00:35:47.360 that late-breaking
00:35:48.520 voters were voting
00:35:50.200 for Kamala Harris
00:35:51.360 because of Kill
00:35:52.460 Tony and the
00:35:53.580 Puerto Rico joke
00:35:54.600 at Madison Square
00:35:55.500 Garden.
00:35:56.340 I talked to Halpern
00:35:57.500 about this and it
00:35:58.580 was just like,
00:35:59.520 how would you
00:36:00.220 possibly have data
00:36:01.600 on that?
00:36:02.760 Who's got that
00:36:03.860 level of data in
00:36:05.060 the entire universe
00:36:06.340 of anywhere and
00:36:07.760 yet all of these
00:36:08.580 people who,
00:36:09.760 your favorite guy,
00:36:10.940 Nate Silver,
00:36:11.680 you have a slightly
00:36:12.420 different name for
00:36:13.320 him, I believe,
00:36:14.600 and Nate Cohen
00:36:16.080 and the others,
00:36:16.740 they were all
00:36:17.320 running with it.
00:36:18.800 Nate Slimer was
00:36:20.660 literally a creation
00:36:22.080 of David Plouffe.
00:36:23.840 David Plouffe
00:36:24.540 gave him Obama's
00:36:25.880 polling data,
00:36:26.740 which he then
00:36:27.360 pretended was an
00:36:28.420 election model.
00:36:29.580 This is an open
00:36:30.380 secret.
00:36:31.260 Everybody knows
00:36:32.200 this is true.
00:36:33.160 He was blogging
00:36:34.040 under his little
00:36:34.700 pen name and
00:36:36.140 pretending as if
00:36:36.880 he was some kind
00:36:37.520 of polling guru.
00:36:39.160 It was all just
00:36:40.220 David Plouffe
00:36:40.980 giving him numbers
00:36:42.040 that he just
00:36:43.100 trusted.
00:36:43.800 He had nothing
00:36:44.580 to lose anyway
00:36:45.380 because he's a 0.51
00:36:46.100 failed sports
00:36:47.000 handicapper who
00:36:48.160 had no job.
00:36:49.520 So he really
00:36:50.260 had nothing else
00:36:51.220 to do but
00:36:52.080 pretend to be
00:36:53.080 a polling guru
00:36:53.980 and an election
00:36:55.060 forecaster.
00:36:56.240 And David Plouffe
00:36:57.000 and him were
00:36:57.560 tight buddies.
00:36:59.040 So there's no
00:36:59.780 way.
00:37:00.700 And think about
00:37:01.320 the article he
00:37:02.100 wrote about
00:37:02.900 internal polls
00:37:03.880 attacking Mark
00:37:04.860 Halpern.
00:37:05.640 Internal polls
00:37:06.480 aren't necessarily
00:37:07.560 as good as
00:37:08.320 public polls.
00:37:09.420 You remember
00:37:09.780 that article he
00:37:10.480 wrote?
00:37:10.800 Or it's not even
00:37:11.220 an article.
00:37:11.900 It's on his
00:37:12.220 .NET blog.
00:37:13.740 Do you remember
00:37:14.340 that?
00:37:14.820 Leading to a
00:37:15.560 narrative that
00:37:16.480 basically Mark
00:37:17.360 Halpern's making
00:37:18.240 this up?
00:37:20.260 Which makes
00:37:20.960 no sense because
00:37:21.720 by the way
00:37:22.560 internal polls
00:37:23.340 so what I
00:37:25.200 was just saying
00:37:25.620 before about
00:37:26.180 he knew about
00:37:27.620 these internal
00:37:28.400 polls.
00:37:29.240 I got them
00:37:30.240 Jack.
00:37:30.840 I gave them
00:37:31.600 to you sometimes.
00:37:32.800 I would say
00:37:33.120 hey look here's
00:37:34.140 Kamala Harris'
00:37:35.300 internal.
00:37:35.320 We're revealing
00:37:35.520 secrets now.
00:37:36.540 That's true.
00:37:37.240 This has
00:37:38.340 happened.
00:37:39.260 There have been
00:37:39.660 times where
00:37:40.720 Rich has gotten
00:37:42.300 the internals and
00:37:43.080 he's told me what
00:37:43.740 he's seeing and
00:37:44.760 it does not match
00:37:45.880 anything I'm seeing
00:37:46.740 in media anywhere.
00:37:48.340 Anywhere.
00:37:48.920 Steve Gruber and
00:37:49.680 I one day are
00:37:50.360 talking and we
00:37:51.000 talked about this
00:37:51.500 publicly.
00:37:51.920 He doesn't care.
00:37:52.560 We're looking at
00:37:53.420 her Michigan polls.
00:37:54.420 She's down in
00:37:55.360 Michigan and yet
00:37:56.260 there are all
00:37:56.980 these articles from
00:37:57.820 Nate Silver and
00:37:58.660 others talking about
00:37:59.580 how difficult it's
00:38:00.460 going to be for
00:38:01.020 Trump to really
00:38:01.680 carry these great
00:38:02.680 leg states.
00:38:03.360 It's incredible
00:38:04.180 because if I saw
00:38:05.340 it the people's
00:38:06.200 pundit who everyone
00:38:07.100 views on that side
00:38:08.680 as someone that
00:38:09.720 really can't be
00:38:11.220 let into their
00:38:11.780 little circle because
00:38:12.600 I'll tell their 0.60
00:38:13.260 secrets.
00:38:14.240 If I got it
00:38:15.080 believe me the
00:38:16.240 Nates got it
00:38:17.540 and yet they
00:38:18.260 went forward with
00:38:19.060 those narratives
00:38:19.720 anyway.
00:38:20.860 So that isn't
00:38:21.960 getting it wrong
00:38:23.020 Jack.
00:38:23.640 You understand
00:38:24.060 that that's not
00:38:24.720 getting it wrong.
00:38:25.900 That's not having
00:38:26.400 a mistake.
00:38:27.400 That's intentionally
00:38:28.280 misleading people
00:38:30.020 intentionally misleading
00:38:31.620 people.
00:38:32.340 And by the way
00:38:32.860 that time with
00:38:33.860 Gruber I mean he
00:38:35.620 conducted a poll
00:38:36.360 himself in Michigan.
00:38:37.720 All three polls
00:38:38.420 had Harris down
00:38:39.220 and morning consult
00:38:41.000 had Harris up by
00:38:41.880 11.
00:38:42.620 Remember that
00:38:43.240 11.
00:38:44.460 Yeah.
00:38:44.660 Come on.
00:38:45.160 And come on.
00:38:46.340 Give me a break.
00:38:47.560 And this is this
00:38:48.660 is my message.
00:38:49.580 And I got friends
00:38:50.220 who are like this.
00:38:51.160 They'll say they're
00:38:51.780 like I want to
00:38:52.640 believe the New York
00:38:53.320 Times.
00:38:53.900 I want to believe
00:38:54.800 the Nate Silvers
00:38:55.540 because they want to
00:38:56.400 believe in this in
00:38:57.500 this world where
00:38:58.580 anything you can go
00:38:59.840 they believe in the
00:39:01.180 written word.
00:39:02.020 They believe that
00:39:02.580 they want to be
00:39:03.060 informed.
00:39:03.640 They want to get
00:39:04.180 things right.
00:39:04.820 And it's like guys
00:39:05.580 even if you did have
00:39:07.100 trust in these
00:39:07.760 institutions they're
00:39:08.960 just wrong.
00:39:10.020 They're just wrong
00:39:10.860 and they're they
00:39:12.560 know they're wrong
00:39:13.960 and they're
00:39:15.020 working because
00:39:16.040 they're hoping
00:39:16.560 they could maybe
00:39:17.180 get some kind of
00:39:18.020 access in the
00:39:18.880 future or they
00:39:19.620 have their own
00:39:20.080 internal biases or
00:39:21.400 all of these
00:39:22.040 various things that
00:39:22.780 are going on but
00:39:23.660 they're just flat
00:39:24.420 wrong.
00:39:24.880 and this time
00:39:25.800 around whatever
00:39:26.820 COVID nonsense
00:39:28.620 that they were
00:39:29.360 able to put it
00:39:30.120 use to put their
00:39:31.540 finger on the scale
00:39:32.780 in 2020 didn't
00:39:34.240 exist.
00:39:35.420 And so instead
00:39:36.220 you got an
00:39:37.220 accurate reflection
00:39:38.160 of the voice of
00:39:39.340 the people on
00:39:40.240 election day and
00:39:41.320 when that happened
00:39:42.240 oh look everything
00:39:43.760 that they were
00:39:44.300 saying was wrong
00:39:44.920 and Rich this is
00:39:45.640 what they don't
00:39:46.120 get is that you
00:39:47.020 and I were not
00:39:48.220 trying to sit
00:39:48.880 here and wish
00:39:50.520 cast what we
00:39:51.680 thought was going
00:39:52.320 on around the
00:39:53.000 country.
00:39:53.360 We were actually
00:39:54.500 analyzing what was
00:39:56.200 going on around
00:39:57.000 the country.
00:39:58.100 We've been doing
00:39:58.920 this since like
00:40:00.340 some of the real
00:40:01.320 key points of
00:40:03.260 this election the
00:40:04.100 highlights the
00:40:04.780 stories the
00:40:05.360 headlines of this
00:40:06.120 election you and
00:40:06.860 I have been talking
00:40:07.500 about since before
00:40:08.320 the primary we
00:40:09.480 identified the
00:40:10.320 Trump or bus
00:40:10.960 voter I came on
00:40:12.140 your show we
00:40:12.620 talked about it
00:40:13.280 all the time the
00:40:13.940 swing with young
00:40:14.700 people Trump is
00:40:16.040 making it's like
00:40:17.180 cool to be a
00:40:17.780 Trump supporter if
00:40:18.560 you're young he's
00:40:19.200 making the Republican
00:40:19.980 party.
00:40:20.460 Wait by the way
00:40:21.200 Rich did you see
00:40:21.980 the new I know I
00:40:22.960 know you're not
00:40:23.340 I got to say it
00:40:24.800 before we get off
00:40:25.400 but I know you're
00:40:25.840 not a huge exit
00:40:27.360 poll guy but the
00:40:28.520 CNN exit poll that
00:40:29.840 just dropped
00:40:30.420 Pennsylvania first
00:40:32.680 time voters Trump
00:40:34.180 plus nine.
00:40:36.600 You're welcome.
00:40:38.040 I don't know
00:40:38.740 what to say.
00:40:39.480 Nine with first 0.83
00:40:40.940 time voters in
00:40:41.980 Pennsylvania.
00:40:42.920 What do we tell
00:40:43.640 you about low
00:40:44.320 prop voters and
00:40:45.560 no pro Rich
00:40:46.720 Barris is the guy
00:40:47.880 who came up with
00:40:49.120 the phrase no
00:40:50.140 prop voter a no
00:40:51.780 prop voter.
00:40:52.560 Someone who has
00:40:53.080 never voted before
00:40:54.140 despite being
00:40:54.960 eligible for
00:40:55.580 multiple cycles.
00:40:56.800 He was like the
00:40:57.300 no prop voters in
00:40:58.820 Pennsylvania are
00:40:59.600 going to go for
00:41:00.160 Trump and that's
00:41:01.240 why we did the
00:41:01.820 PHA the way we
00:41:02.740 did and Scott
00:41:03.580 Pressler and
00:41:04.460 everybody tailored
00:41:05.400 their outreach the
00:41:07.000 way that it was
00:41:07.640 and Trump force
00:41:08.280 47 tailored it to
00:41:09.980 reach these guys
00:41:10.900 because we we
00:41:12.000 identified that
00:41:13.220 someone who for
00:41:14.560 a variety of
00:41:15.280 reasons right for
00:41:16.000 a variety of
00:41:16.500 reasons but these
00:41:17.300 guys were Trump's
00:41:18.200 biggest pool.
00:41:19.400 Last minute to
00:41:19.860 you Richard Barris.
00:41:20.680 I just want to
00:41:21.820 bring up too that
00:41:22.720 the media smeared
00:41:23.800 those efforts right
00:41:25.020 you had Pressler
00:41:25.860 10x votes Trump
00:41:27.260 force all of them
00:41:28.360 had the strategy to
00:41:29.360 go after those 0.98
00:41:30.080 voters.
00:41:30.620 And turning point
00:41:31.220 and turning point
00:41:33.660 action and I'm
00:41:34.540 telling you when we
00:41:35.380 first started talking
00:41:36.200 about this over a
00:41:37.180 year ago I mean
00:41:38.200 everybody pretty much
00:41:39.200 laughs at the
00:41:39.820 concept of getting
00:41:40.660 these people to
00:41:41.280 vote because they
00:41:41.900 are so difficult to
00:41:42.960 turn out but I
00:41:43.880 will say this they
00:41:44.600 missed something and
00:41:45.360 it's research that we
00:41:46.280 did Donald Trump
00:41:47.760 the one person they
00:41:49.900 repeatedly told us
00:41:51.180 could motivate them
00:41:52.500 was Donald Trump.
00:41:54.240 I mean it all just
00:41:54.940 came together and
00:41:55.780 they all missed it and
00:41:57.360 it's unbelievable because
00:41:58.140 it was all there it was
00:41:59.320 right in front of them
00:42:00.000 the whole time Jack.
00:42:01.720 It was all there.
00:42:03.440 Give him a follow
00:42:04.060 folks.
00:42:04.600 Richard Barris the
00:42:05.300 People's Pundit the
00:42:06.620 number one pollster.
00:42:09.640 Jack is a great guy.
00:42:11.220 He's written that
00:42:11.700 fantastic book.
00:42:12.900 Everybody's talking
00:42:13.540 about it.
00:42:14.060 Go get it.
00:42:14.620 And he's been my
00:42:15.880 friend right from the
00:42:16.760 beginning of this
00:42:17.500 whole beautiful event
00:42:18.680 and we're going to
00:42:19.880 turn it around and
00:42:20.720 make our country
00:42:21.420 pray to you.
00:42:22.240 Amen.
00:42:25.820 All right Jack
00:42:26.660 Posobiec back live
00:42:27.880 here.
00:42:28.480 Human Events Daily.
00:42:29.740 Now I've mentioned
00:42:30.880 that I was going to
00:42:31.480 be going to
00:42:32.640 Thanksgiving here in
00:42:37.220 Pennsylvania and
00:42:39.280 there was a story
00:42:40.620 that came out of
00:42:41.500 Montgomery County
00:42:42.160 Pennsylvania earlier
00:42:43.240 this year and it's
00:42:44.340 an ongoing situation
00:42:45.460 particularly in an area
00:42:47.220 called Conchahokan
00:42:48.340 which is I mean right
00:42:49.500 next to my hometown
00:42:50.360 in Norristown where
00:42:52.360 people have now that
00:42:54.360 auto thieves have had
00:42:56.280 an influx of going
00:42:57.600 into cars using the
00:42:59.340 push to start feature
00:43:00.220 by actually cloning
00:43:02.200 their key fobs and
00:43:04.380 someone who's an
00:43:05.060 absolute expert on
00:43:06.180 this and as well as
00:43:07.260 ways to fight it is
00:43:08.640 Aaron's are of silent.
00:43:10.780 He joins us now Aaron
00:43:12.800 what can you tell us
00:43:14.100 about this this
00:43:15.500 wrath of car theft
00:43:17.640 and auto theft that's
00:43:18.660 going on because of
00:43:19.580 the cloning of key
00:43:20.520 fobs.
00:43:23.420 It's been a known
00:43:24.500 epidemic at least in
00:43:25.700 my world for many
00:43:26.700 many years.
00:43:28.420 Electronic theft is
00:43:29.660 the new crowbar and
00:43:32.100 no longer is your
00:43:33.960 your arguably your
00:43:35.900 most valuable asset
00:43:37.120 outside of your home
00:43:38.100 safe.
00:43:38.600 So by utilizing a
00:43:40.640 simple signal blocking
00:43:41.640 Faraday bag you could
00:43:42.800 protect that but it's
00:43:44.240 it's a really big issue
00:43:45.100 and it kind of rears
00:43:45.820 its head every so
00:43:47.180 often clearly what you
00:43:48.200 mentioned on the
00:43:49.500 the the news report is
00:43:51.860 highlighting a
00:43:52.640 significant issue that
00:43:54.220 bubbled to the top but
00:43:55.720 as far as law
00:43:56.420 enforcement is concerned
00:43:57.400 this is happening every
00:43:58.760 single day and it's an
00:44:01.340 easy way to to get
00:44:03.560 your most valuable asset
00:44:04.600 stolen.
00:44:05.300 So protect your key fob
00:44:07.460 it's as simple as that
00:44:08.420 signal blocking I'll
00:44:09.700 preach it till I'm dead
00:44:10.620 and we have a beautiful
00:44:12.260 product for that.
00:44:14.340 This is a bigger one for
00:44:15.560 a phone but all of our
00:44:17.240 products patented
00:44:18.100 closure drop in your
00:44:19.340 key fob your phone your
00:44:20.500 laptop whatever it may be
00:44:21.800 and it basically interrupts
00:44:23.400 that signal to and from
00:44:25.820 your car.
00:44:29.700 And so yeah actually even
00:44:31.000 in the article they talk
00:44:32.040 about how number one
00:44:33.500 they say in the first of
00:44:34.920 all it says the police are
00:44:36.040 giving out steering wheel
00:44:37.200 locks so it's like oh
00:44:38.180 great you want to go back
00:44:39.540 and and use the old
00:44:40.520 steering wheel locks like
00:44:41.640 we used to in the 1990s
00:44:43.040 ridiculous so I want to go 0.54
00:44:44.120 back to that to have to go 0.99
00:44:45.700 back to that with all the
00:44:46.600 tech that we have right
00:44:47.500 now but I think an actual
00:44:49.200 more elegant solution and
00:44:51.940 one that isn't you know
00:44:53.060 it's just not an eyesore
00:44:54.460 when you sit there and
00:44:55.700 have to put that on your
00:44:56.440 car every time it's you
00:44:58.140 can have and the a lot of
00:44:59.280 these Faraday cases and
00:45:00.440 sleeves that you guys have
00:45:01.560 it's something you can put
00:45:02.700 in your pocket you could
00:45:03.900 throw it in your bag or
00:45:05.300 sometimes your entire bag
00:45:06.800 itself that's probably the
00:45:07.780 easiest option is that
00:45:09.100 you've got a backpack put
00:45:10.560 it in the backpack boom you
00:45:12.220 don't have to worry about
00:45:13.140 it anymore.
00:45:15.860 Yeah that's it you know
00:45:17.520 and like you're I think
00:45:18.200 you're referring to the
00:45:18.920 club like the I'm
00:45:20.220 visualizing like the
00:45:21.160 yellow yeah remember
00:45:22.300 the club and while that
00:45:26.480 may be relevant today like
00:45:27.860 the beautiful thing about
00:45:28.760 silent products is they're
00:45:29.760 very simple they're they're
00:45:31.460 physical they're easy to
00:45:32.440 understand and it serves as
00:45:34.240 a barrier to your privacy
00:45:36.000 and security we're all
00:45:38.280 feeling this you know like
00:45:40.120 it's it's underneath the
00:45:42.780 surface and when when we
00:45:43.860 start to feel pain we
00:45:45.060 typically take action but
00:45:47.420 what we're all about is is
00:45:49.720 getting ahead of it and
00:45:51.020 having a bit of foresight
00:45:52.160 into the world we actually
00:45:53.260 live in how thieves are here
00:45:55.220 to manipulate and steal and
00:45:57.020 be opportunistic opportunistic
00:45:58.780 for you know car theft just
00:46:01.120 in itself is is a big issue
00:46:03.040 so we make a really sleek
00:46:04.880 small um carryable in your
00:46:08.400 purse in your pocket leave
00:46:09.780 it in your car and there's a
00:46:11.200 lot of use cases around what
00:46:12.800 is called relay attacks where
00:46:14.640 they're just mimicking uh the
00:46:17.480 frequency of your key fob like
00:46:19.220 as if it's next to your car
00:46:20.920 um another thing like a simple
00:46:23.280 tip is just to lock your car
00:46:25.460 manually rather than you know
00:46:27.180 pressing the key fob in public
00:46:28.920 um in case someone's there to
00:46:31.160 capture it in real time um but
00:46:34.080 that's just the tip of the
00:46:34.940 iceberg like if if if you adopt
00:46:37.380 that you're you're one step
00:46:38.680 ahead already so someone could
00:46:40.060 it should have you think like
00:46:41.520 what about myself someone what
00:46:43.740 about my laptop someone could do
00:46:44.720 this with your key fob if you're
00:46:46.860 just sitting there if they're
00:46:48.280 standing next to you and you're
00:46:49.480 not even at your car so they
00:46:51.080 can get it from the frequency
00:46:52.180 itself so they could be i don't
00:46:53.640 know sitting in their car for
00:46:54.800 example absolutely and like i
00:46:58.220 know some of these cases that
00:46:59.660 are like highlighted on the news
00:47:00.700 or in like parking lots or
00:47:01.840 airports but the one to really
00:47:03.980 think about is like at your home
00:47:05.480 if you're leaving your key fob
00:47:06.840 near your front door it's still in
00:47:09.420 constant communication with your
00:47:10.980 car it doesn't stop that's just
00:47:13.040 the way things work these days so
00:47:15.100 by utilizing a you know key fob
00:47:16.980 bag and a silent one you're
00:47:19.640 interrupting that signal so no
00:47:20.940 one's going to be able to access
00:47:21.800 your car unless they're they're
00:47:23.140 breaking windows and doing it
00:47:24.380 the old school way that's crazy
00:47:27.840 so i know of course you know here
00:47:29.440 we are i gotta i gotta ask by the
00:47:31.180 way so just a couple of minutes
00:47:32.800 left thanksgiving is coming up and
00:47:34.560 that of course means black friday
00:47:36.400 is coming up so you got to tell me
00:47:37.900 you got to give it to me do you
00:47:39.080 got any deals you got any black
00:47:40.360 friday you got any cyber monday
00:47:41.860 what's going on
00:47:42.560 we we got it all we have deals of
00:47:46.140 the day uh slnt.com we have up to
00:47:48.620 50 off all of our products so it's
00:47:51.180 really an awesome time to save and
00:47:53.220 stock up if you've been looking at
00:47:54.700 some of our backpacks our laptop
00:47:56.180 sleeves or our phone sleeves or key
00:47:58.800 fobs we have over a hundred
00:48:00.800 different products and we discounted
00:48:02.860 them pretty significantly so we could
00:48:04.600 you know transfer a useful tool that
00:48:08.300 people could actually use in their
00:48:09.580 life to have more peace of mind and
00:48:11.300 that's what it's really all about so
00:48:13.280 yeah slnt.com and you can find
00:48:17.700 something that's perfect for you or
00:48:19.280 perfect for a gift for a loved one
00:48:21.920 the deal the day today is uh our
00:48:24.700 waterproof faraday backpack with
00:48:26.460 insert it's really cool waterproof
00:48:29.080 signal proof take it anywhere feel
00:48:31.820 like james bond our products enhance
00:48:34.880 the human experience especially when we
00:48:37.260 live in this digital realm that we are
00:48:39.380 now
00:48:39.700 producer russ here on the program uh who
00:48:43.840 does so much for the show you know he
00:48:45.520 loves his backpack he's always using
00:48:47.880 it and if they look great by the way
00:48:49.760 they look absolutely great it's very
00:48:51.200 sleek it's got that black uh that black 1.00
00:48:53.720 finish you wouldn't you wouldn't know
00:48:55.020 that it's a faraday pack or anything
00:48:56.680 like that because you know it just it
00:48:58.820 just looks really cool so check it out
00:49:00.900 folks slnt.com slash post so aaron
00:49:04.480 where can people go to follow you
00:49:05.940 directly to get more info
00:49:07.240 i'm a bit of a mystery online but um you
00:49:12.200 could go to our our twitter at g-o-s-l-n-t
00:49:15.440 or instagram at go s-l-n-t and you want
00:49:19.900 to talk to me directly dm me and all right
00:49:23.720 go go silent happy thanksgiving man and
00:49:26.760 and thanks so much for coming on now uh
00:49:29.520 real quick you know folks today is of
00:49:31.560 course the birthday of the great
00:49:33.540 stephen k bannon himself and so i wanted
00:49:36.580 to play a quick clip saying thank you to
00:49:39.180 steve
00:49:39.500 the reality we know and this is my rant
00:49:44.540 last night that i think's got over two
00:49:45.920 many million hits is that the early when
00:49:48.960 you talk about the physicality of the
00:49:50.740 early vote the materiality of the early
00:49:52.820 vote
00:49:53.240 we're in so much better position than i
00:49:56.360 thought we'd be in
00:49:57.020 i thought uh my belief was that on the
00:50:02.140 sunday of the mass mobilization weekend
00:50:05.340 yet
00:50:06.900 e