00:02:10.700He's got 90% of his investments in the U.S.
00:02:13.920But you know who can't wait another two and a half years?
00:02:16.580The auto workers that I meet regularly with in Windsor.
00:02:20.780The small business owners, the aluminum recruiters who are worried they're going to have countless layoffs, the 800 Quebecers who are losing their jobs every day, they can't afford to wait another two and a half years for Mark Carney to keep his promise to get a great deal with the United States.
00:02:41.360All this comes as Americans go to the polls. Our guest today is Matt Mercer with Breitbart News. Welcome, Matt.
00:02:49.420Hey, Mark, good to be back on with you.
00:02:52.040Coming to us from Raleigh, North Carolina, which, as I understand, it will be particularly
00:02:56.420challenging for the Republicans in the midterms.
00:02:59.460What's your sense of how things look now on the cusp of that election for the GOP?
00:03:05.540Yes, certainly, at least here in North Carolina, Democrats have done a good job to their credit
00:07:14.360That's the complaints, that's the nature of the complaints that I've heard here
00:07:18.480in Florida amongst my friends, Americans, who, some of whom were thinking of not
00:07:22.780bothering to vote. But finally, I think that they were pushed to the polls, essentially, by hearing
00:07:29.320some of the crazy things that were coming out of the Democrat Party and seeing some of the
00:07:34.960possibilities. I mean, do you go back to open borders? Do you go back to the green, the net
00:07:40.800zero grift that we've had in Canada for all these years? I mean, I keep warning Americans that carbon
00:07:45.920taxes could be coming here, depending on who you vote for. They don't even know what carbon taxes
00:07:50.040are that's sort of thing that you have in canada and in europe and other places like that so we'll
00:07:55.320have to see how it all turns out what's your sense of the trump factor i mean he's been very active
00:08:03.400and you know he gets a lot of people out gets people pumped up i mean will he and his uh
00:08:11.240appearances before tens of thousands of americans over the campaign will that turn the tide for the
00:08:17.640Republicans, do you think? Yeah, I think for President Trump's case and Vice President Vance
00:08:23.680as well, President Trump has done 29 rallies since October 1st, just continuing to do what he's done
00:08:30.340in every election since he came onto the national scene here in the U.S. a decade ago. And I think
00:08:35.840it's only due to him and the energy that he brings is that it's even this close for Republicans. He
00:08:41.340is making the case for why Republicans should maintain control of Congress better than a lot
00:08:46.560of the candidates themselves, which is an indictment of, I think, a lot of the current
00:08:50.340elected officials that they think they can just rely on President Trump to do everything for them.
00:08:55.780That's not the case. President Trump has taken this midterm a lot more serious than I think
00:09:00.300other presidents have over the course of the last several decades, which is, to his credit,
00:09:04.720he wants to see his party win and do well. But ultimately, he can't do it himself. He needs
00:09:09.620candidates who are carrying that same message. And I think some have been more effective than
00:09:13.820others and how that shakes out you know i think we'll see on election day um from a canadian
00:09:19.140canadian perspective obviously that's concerned about the trade deal and we've had a prime
00:09:24.520minister says well i can wait you know if if i can't get a deal with a trump then i'll have to
00:09:30.420wait for the next president and so they're talking again at least on the phone and we're getting an
00:09:36.640inclination but it's hard to tell because we've been here before so many times you know it's just
00:09:41.240been on again off again in terms of talks and of course the last uh discussion broke down in august
00:09:48.360where it looked like there was a deal on the table and mark carney walked away from it um how do you
00:09:53.640see that as moving forward after the midterms yeah i certainly think it's no coincidence that
00:10:00.680prime minister carney talks about re reengaging and talks with the u.s after the eu put him in
00:10:06.360the friend zone and said, we like you as a friend, but not to do anything more. I think it's no
00:10:11.620coincidence that Prime Minister Carney now, as the midterm is days away, looks to re-engage what
00:10:17.940he thinks will be a strength in hand thanks to his DNC operatives and his government. And I think
00:10:23.040what you're seeing is that President Trump's administration was proven correct and that the
00:10:27.440current trajectory since he walked away from the deal was unsustainable for Canadians and President
00:10:33.360Trump is still willing to come back to the table and make a deal. And that I think is something
00:10:37.260that may not have gotten the play that it needed to, is that no one feels angry at the Canadian
00:10:43.860people. I think we're angry at Carney's government for how he's conducted himself. But everyone wants
00:10:49.860to continue to trade and not be put in a position of cheesing the U.S. or Canada. I think a deal is
00:10:55.740good for everyone. And that's all President Trump has been saying. And it's up to Prime Minister
00:11:00.600Kearney to actually come back and make that deal final. Is there any unease around the coziness
00:11:07.940that Kearney seems to have with Democrat Party people, politicians, people like Obama, for
00:11:15.300instance? Clinton, Bill Clinton came out recently and called Kearney a friend and somebody known
00:11:21.300for a number of years. The fact that Kearney has appointed an American, Maya Johnson, to be
00:11:27.680a key advisor. Is there any sense that this guy is playing favorites, that he's already thrown in
00:11:34.500with the Democrats and maybe doing everything he can to try and, you know, push the balance,
00:11:41.100tip the balance over to the Democrat side in the midterms?
00:11:46.300Yeah, I think the people who know that and who hear that message get rightly upset by it.
00:11:51.860I don't know that it's really penetrated through in a meaningful way. I think you still have,
00:11:56.120you know, the pre-Trump, pre-Trump-GOP conservative commentators who may not actually be
00:12:01.860conservative, who want to go back to the way things were before Trump came along. And they've
00:12:05.800actually sided with Prime Minister Carney and their government. I think someone like Eric Erickson
00:12:10.260here in the U.S. is one example of that, you know, talking about how President Trump should just take
00:12:14.860all the tariffs off, you know, despite him campaigning on and following through on his
00:12:19.340promise of rebalancing trade, of renew, of reviewing the USMCA deal. I think all the things
00:12:25.100president trump has wanted to do he's worked on getting done and it's not his fault the response
00:12:30.060he's gotten from it from it i think the two countries canada and china who have threw on
00:12:35.180the retaliatory tariffs have seen that it hasn't helped them near as much as they thought it would
00:12:39.580and i think other countries have made deals that have been good for them i think south korea is an
00:12:44.220example i think you look at several countries in europe as well who have made deals that have been
00:12:48.620beneficial for both sides because at the end that's all president trump wanted to do was do
00:12:53.980things that present things on a more favorable term for Americans, especially bringing back
00:12:59.380manufacturing in some of the key areas that we still need it. And I think the people most opposed
00:13:05.020to President Trump have never liked him anyway, have never supported his policies, and will look
00:13:09.260for any reason to continue behaving that way. I mean, the energy deal that he signed with Europe
00:13:14.360has proven to be very successful. I mean, all of a sudden, the U.S. is like a main supplier of
00:13:21.340energy to Europe, and I think that's something that Americans will benefit from for many decades
00:13:26.060ahead. Do you want to take a stab at guessing what's going to happen? I mean, obviously,
00:13:32.380you're not going to tell me to the seat, but do you think that the Republicans will hold on to,
00:13:38.220say, the Senate, or is this going to be a Democrat Congress?
00:13:44.460I think there's a very good chance Republicans will be able to maintain
00:13:47.660And I would even argue there is an example out there of essentially flipping the seats in North Carolina and Michigan and staying exactly at the current margins.
00:13:57.460I think Republicans will likely end up with 51 or 52 seats in the Senate.
00:14:02.340The House is a different story because those kind of do move more in synchronization with one another.
00:14:08.340And if you've got this shift towards Democrats, it's not going to be a lot because of the redistricting and everything else.
00:14:14.560I mean, you're probably looking at no more than probably 225 seats if Democrats do win on Tuesday night of maintaining that balance in the House.
00:14:24.380And that's not a very big margin at all.
00:14:27.300And I think people have forgotten that as with special elections, retirements and everything else, Republicans have essentially been operating with the two seat majority for the majority of the last two years.
00:14:37.720That's not a lot, especially when you have someone like Thomas Massey, who was kind of fixated on opposing everything President Trump wanted to do anyway.
00:14:45.760So now you're talking about a one seat majority.
00:14:48.060So it's flipping it from control is not going to take a lot of seats.
00:14:52.980You know, I would love to see Republicans be able to hold on because I think it's better governance for the country.
00:14:57.520But if it goes that way, I think you will deal with it the same way that President Trump did in his first term when he lost both when he lost the House and kept the Senate that time in 2018.
00:15:07.260Yeah, that was a big result for the Democrats, but we'll have to say this one.
00:15:10.840I mean, they all talked, all the polls suggest a blue wave, at least they did.
00:15:15.460But then I'm hearing like a lot of the early voting has been very positive for the Republicans.
00:15:25.860I imagine that the first day back, once the dust settles on the midterms,
00:15:31.400people will be talking about succession for the Republicans.
00:15:33.880I saw a poll today that had Rubio ahead by, I think, 10 points over J.D. Vance, which is a little bit of an eye-opener, but he certainly has acquitted himself very well as Secretary of State. Do you see the contest for succession immediately after the midterms?
00:15:52.800I think you will see it on the Democrat side. I think you'll see candidates within a couple days start announcing their intentions to go run. I think Democrats will probably end up with 20 to 25 candidates running at some point.
00:16:07.000I think the Republican field will take a little bit longer before you really start seeing those folks come out just based on conversations that I've had with people.
00:16:16.580I think you're going to look at a little bit longer time for that to happen.
00:16:19.020But for Democrats, they're going to have to jump through so many hoops with all of their competing factions and the DSA and really what shapes up there.
00:16:26.840And that's why I think they feel like the first people out there will want to state their position further to the left than the next person.
00:16:33.920And it's going to be a very interesting battle.
00:16:37.000Right. And you were guessing, man, would you say it's going to be a lame duck presidency? It's hard to imagine that with Trump in the White House. But what do you think?
00:16:45.320No, I don't think so. I think politics, you know, it does move and leaders do eventually move on. But President Trump has proven himself to be such a unique force in American politics that he will have a more active last couple years of his presidency than I think others have.
00:17:02.320And I think when you're talking about President Trump, there's certainly the he's looking for the legacy moments and the things that he can do, because, again, he did not have to run for president and do this job.
00:17:13.260He had a very comfortable life. He gave up before he did this.
00:17:16.120And so he's really looking at what he can do for the country, not just during his term, but for the longer term and really looking at what is going to make generational impact.
00:17:25.200And I think he will be able to find ways to do that, that I think a lot of people maybe haven't thought of that I haven't thought of or anyone else to really cement that and do things to carry on that America First banner that he has so proudly carried for so long.
00:17:39.640Matt, how do people follow you online?
00:17:42.540Yeah, I appreciate it. So on X, it's at Matt Mercer, M-A-T-T-M-E-R-C-E-R. And you can see my writing on Breitbart.com.
00:17:50.780Continued success at Breitbart. Thanks for coming on the show, Matt.