Episode 1089 Scott Adams： Kamala Harris it is. Boom.
Episode Stats
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Summary
In 2018, I predicted that Joe Biden would be the Democratic presidential nominee. Two years later, I was correct. And guess what? It was the best prediction I've ever made, and I'm here to tell you why.
Transcript
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Bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum dum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum
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For those of you who don't know the backstory, let me fill you in.
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So as some of you know, in 2018, just about exactly two years from today, I was sitting
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And the president says to me, two years ago, who do you think is going to be the nominee?
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And then when Kamala Harris dropped out of the race, I doubled down.
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You don't call somebody to be the nominee, the head of the ticket, if they've dropped out
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of the race, unless the head of the ticket is a hollowed-down puppet.
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But in which case, getting the vice presidential nomination might make you the nominee in a practical
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So I'm not going to say this is the greatest prediction I've ever made.
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Because if you remember how much of a risk I took, most of you do, back in 2015 when I
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said Trump would win it all, do you have any idea how much of a reputational risk that
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That was a very, very unlikely outcome in 2015.
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In 2018, I may have called the nominee out of, what, 100 possibilities?
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I gotta say, you're never going to hear the end of this.
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How many of you thought I was a frickin' idiot for the last, well, probably year?
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How many thought I was the dumbest frickin' guy?
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For those of you who are joining in late, this is my finest prediction.
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And I should just, I should never make another prediction.
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I should just, I should never make another prediction.
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Now, let me remind you of my other very contrarian predictions.
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And by the way, I'm not going to claim I get all of them right, right?
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I got the vice presidential pick wrong for Trump, for example.
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But when I hit one that's really unusual, I like to call it out.
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And I'll remind you that when the Vegas shooter was killing people in Vegas, the mass shooting there,
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And after ISIS took credit for it, I said, no, it's not ISIS.
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When the Cuban embassy was attacked by the sonic weapon, what did I say?
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Only person in the world, as far as I know, only person in the world who said,
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Oh, they can look pretty hard, but they're not going to find a sonic weapon.
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And if you're hoping that that little smudge that you think was an alien spaceship
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that was moving really fast on video from the cockpit, you know, the military aircraft,
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So, let me predict that that was not an alien spaceship closer to some kind of reflection.
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I was technically wrong about Kamala being the top pick.
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Now, whether or not Joe Biden literally steps aside,
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I don't think there's anybody watching this who thinks that he will be in control.
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And when you pick a strong vice president, and one that was legitimately in the running for
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being the, you know, the president the normal way, when you pick somebody that strong,
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you're kind of picking the person who's running the country.
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But one thing that wouldn't hurt Joe Biden at all would be to have a tough-on-crime person-of-color woman.
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Yeah, so I've often said that the perfect vice president pick is somebody who's, you know,
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a grade lower in persona and magnetism and, you know, ability even maybe compared to who's on top.
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Because you want to very clearly see, oh, yeah, you know, Trump is technicolor.
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I'm very pro-Pence in terms of his capabilities and the job that he's done as vice president.
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I would say Pence is one of the most underrated civil servants.
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Because he has a job where you just are supposed to not make mistakes.
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But in this one specific case, you, because the head of the ticket is a little wobbly, shall we say?
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If you had somebody who was below Joe Biden, you would have the problem that they would be two levels watered down.
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Because remember, Biden is still the same Biden who didn't look good compared to Obama, right?
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Obama picked a perfect vice president, didn't cause trouble, and definitely didn't look as interesting, appealing as Obama did, as a person, as a politician, as anything, really.
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So if you start with Obama as, you know, somebody who could solidly win, and you say, well, his vice president's not, he's no Obama, he's a level below, which was perfect for being a vice president.
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And if he picks somebody that's below him, now you're two levels below Obama, your vice president's going to look like what?
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I think people are going to be texting me to note my accurate pick.
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But if you had a vice president pick who was two levels below Biden, who the hell would that be?
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It wouldn't even be, you'd have to go sub-mammal.
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You'd have to say, Joe, we've been looking for somebody who's, you know, a level below you, and we've exhausted all of our mammalian possibilities.
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We're thinking of extending our search into the rest of the animal kingdom.
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He needed a stronger vice president than he is as a candidate, and Kamala gives you that because she's got the senator experience.
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It would have been a huge mistake to go Karen Bass.
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I think he was the one who said if the Democrats had won, God, was it him or was it somebody else?
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Somebody help me on the, because it was just on TV the other day.
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But if the Democrats had run two women on the, basically, the anniversary of suffrage and getting the vote, it would be a home run.
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And I think to myself, oh, yeah, that would be.
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A double woman ticket would be really hard for Trump.
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And if Biden drops out, well, if Biden did drop out before the election, you've got yourself a double woman ticket.
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Just because a double woman ticket almost just guarantees you get pretty much all the women.
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Somebody's mentioning George Conway in an unflattering way.
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But I didn't feel like I could not share this moment in public.
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Do you know how long I've waited to get the final answer?
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There just weren't a lot of people agreeing with me until recently.
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She was leading in the betting until very recently.
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So at least maybe a quarter of the people agreed with me.
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Oh, I'm getting the, well, some saying it was Greg Guffield.
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I think it might have been Greg Guffield said it on the day that Trey Gowdy was on the show on The Five.
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Well, anyway, it was a very insightful comment because it would be a killer ticket.
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And it does, however, ruin the pun I had all, you know, all queued up.
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Obviously, if Biden had picked Bass as his vice president and somebody accused her of lying, because eventually every politician gets accused of lying.
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I have no reason to believe that she lies because I don't know much about her, so I won't make that claim.
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I'm just saying, if you're running for president, you might get accused of a lie.
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I stopped it on my end, but I think the comments are going by at your end.
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If there are children in the room, you should send them away.
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There's a parting joke courtesy of geo-payments.
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And his joke is that the ticket will be Joe Blow.
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This is a serious statement, even though I'm laughing when I say it.
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I don't approve of any of the Kamala Harris sexual insults about her past.
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I don't like, you know, any kind of mocking people for their sexual preference.
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And I don't like it when women especially are being piled on for, you know, whatever experiences they've had in the past.
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That said, all of that said, and I mean it sincerely, it's not a place that I think is appropriate for joking.
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That said, Joe Blow 2020 is one of the best jokes ever.
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If you're laughing at that, you're a terrible person, just like me.
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I just saw George Takei, who's a big Trump critic, who said that whoever the vice presidential candidate is,
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that they should stop piling on each other as Democrats because, you know, as soon as that person is selected,
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George Takei said that Trump and his goons would be coming after her.
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And I tweeted back to him and said, we prefer to be called deplorables, but it would be a great band name.
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All right, I'm not going to tweet that because I'm quite serious about I don't think it's a fair line of attack.
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You know, when Bill Clinton was in office and he was having his stuff, I was adamant that we shouldn't care.
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It's just not my business and it shouldn't have an effect on them doing the job.