Real Coffee with Scott Adams - August 11, 2020


Episode 1089 Scott Adams： Kamala Harris it is. Boom.


Episode Stats

Length

17 minutes

Words per Minute

126.677635

Word Count

2,259

Sentence Count

194

Misogynist Sentences

7

Hate Speech Sentences

6


Summary


Transcript

00:00:00.000 Bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum dum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum
00:00:25.160 BELL RINGS
00:00:55.140 I did predict this one.
00:00:57.820 Let's see how much money I made on predicted.
00:01:05.700 You're never going to hear the end of this.
00:01:09.800 All right.
00:01:10.520 For those of you who don't know the backstory, let me fill you in.
00:01:15.200 So as some of you know, in 2018, just about exactly two years from today, I was sitting
00:01:27.660 in President Trump's office.
00:01:30.780 I just sort of absorbed this.
00:01:33.840 It's 2018.
00:01:36.120 Two years ago.
00:01:37.660 I'm sitting in Trump's office.
00:01:41.000 Literally, I'm in the Oval Office.
00:01:43.720 And the president says to me, two years ago, who do you think is going to be the nominee?
00:01:51.400 I said, Kamala Harris.
00:01:53.500 And he said, Joe Biden.
00:02:00.480 And I gave, you know, my argument.
00:02:04.300 And then when Kamala Harris dropped out of the race, I doubled down.
00:02:11.100 The dumbest thing anybody ever did.
00:02:15.060 Right?
00:02:16.120 You don't call somebody to be the nominee, the head of the ticket, if they've dropped out
00:02:23.680 of the race, unless the head of the ticket is a hollowed-down puppet.
00:02:32.460 But in which case, getting the vice presidential nomination might make you the nominee in a practical
00:02:45.200 sense.
00:02:47.800 So I'm not going to say this is the greatest prediction I've ever made.
00:02:52.860 I'm going to shout.
00:02:56.900 It's the best prediction I've ever made.
00:03:00.160 Because if you remember how much of a risk I took, most of you do, back in 2015 when I
00:03:08.500 said Trump would win it all, do you have any idea how much of a reputational risk that
00:03:14.760 was?
00:03:15.840 That was a very, very unlikely outcome in 2015.
00:03:19.920 In 2018, I may have called the nominee out of, what, 100 possibilities?
00:03:33.320 I gotta say, you're never going to hear the end of this.
00:03:38.620 How many of you thought I was a frickin' idiot for the last, well, probably year?
00:03:44.760 How many thought I was the dumbest frickin' guy?
00:03:49.920 That ever made a prediction?
00:03:52.160 You didn't believe me, did you?
00:03:55.420 You didn't believe me.
00:03:58.580 So, here we are.
00:04:00.360 Hey, Eric.
00:04:01.640 Glad you could join us.
00:04:03.240 I'm just here gloating.
00:04:04.720 For those of you who are joining in late, this is my finest prediction.
00:04:11.120 And I should just, I should never make another prediction.
00:04:13.980 I should just, I should never make another prediction.
00:04:17.900 If I go out with this one.
00:04:21.460 Now, let me remind you of my other very contrarian predictions.
00:04:26.100 And by the way, I'm not going to claim I get all of them right, right?
00:04:29.220 I got the vice presidential pick wrong for Trump, for example.
00:04:34.260 So, I get plenty wrong.
00:04:35.720 But when I hit one that's really unusual, I like to call it out.
00:04:40.980 And I'll remind you that when the Vegas shooter was killing people in Vegas, the mass shooting there,
00:04:47.840 that I said it would not be ISIS.
00:04:52.400 And then ISIS took credit for it.
00:04:54.840 And after ISIS took credit for it, I said, no, it's not ISIS.
00:05:01.980 It wasn't ISIS.
00:05:03.960 When the Cuban embassy was attacked by the sonic weapon, what did I say?
00:05:12.080 Only person in the world, as far as I know, only person in the world who said,
00:05:17.560 they're not going to find a sonic weapon.
00:05:20.160 Oh, they can look pretty hard, but they're not going to find a sonic weapon.
00:05:24.840 And if you're hoping that that little smudge that you think was an alien spaceship
00:05:30.280 that was moving really fast on video from the cockpit, you know, the military aircraft,
00:05:37.540 nope.
00:05:40.640 I'm afraid you're not going to see any aliens.
00:05:43.600 So, let me predict that that was not an alien spaceship closer to some kind of reflection.
00:05:50.560 Now, somebody says I was wrong.
00:05:53.560 I was technically wrong about Kamala being the top pick.
00:06:01.920 Or was I?
00:06:05.320 We're not done yet, right?
00:06:07.320 Is it election day?
00:06:08.720 Let me check the dates.
00:06:11.740 Nope.
00:06:13.100 It's not election day.
00:06:15.000 Is it the convention?
00:06:16.940 Has the convention already happened?
00:06:18.580 Um, nope.
00:06:21.860 It hasn't.
00:06:23.500 Now, whether or not Joe Biden literally steps aside,
00:06:28.940 I don't think there's anybody watching this who thinks that he will be in control.
00:06:34.140 And when you pick a strong vice president, and one that was legitimately in the running for
00:06:41.460 being the, you know, the president the normal way, when you pick somebody that strong,
00:06:47.820 you're kind of picking the person who's running the country.
00:06:51.580 And I got news for you.
00:06:56.140 She helps the ticket a lot.
00:06:59.440 I know it doesn't seem like that.
00:07:01.520 But one thing that wouldn't hurt Joe Biden at all would be to have a tough-on-crime person-of-color woman.
00:07:12.440 Pretty strong choice.
00:07:14.720 Somebody says, am I CIA?
00:07:19.600 If I am, they're not paying me.
00:07:22.220 So, you know, I want a paycheck if I am.
00:07:28.280 Is she not better than Biden, though?
00:07:30.620 And the ticket is unbalanced.
00:07:32.660 Yeah, so I've often said that the perfect vice president pick is somebody who's, you know,
00:07:38.220 a grade lower in persona and magnetism and, you know, ability even maybe compared to who's on top.
00:07:47.160 Because you want to very clearly see, oh, yeah, you know, Trump is technicolor.
00:07:53.420 You know, Trump is 1,000 watts all the time.
00:07:56.620 And Mike Pence is a 60-watt bulb.
00:07:59.240 A really good one.
00:08:00.640 I'm very pro-Pence in terms of his capabilities and the job that he's done as vice president.
00:08:06.380 I think he's the most underrated.
00:08:08.840 I would say Pence is one of the most underrated civil servants.
00:08:13.180 Because he has a job where you just are supposed to not make mistakes.
00:08:17.160 And he does that really well.
00:08:19.320 He does that really well.
00:08:20.560 He doesn't cause trouble.
00:08:22.040 And he's just a solid, solid person.
00:08:24.120 But in this one specific case, you, because the head of the ticket is a little wobbly, shall we say?
00:08:32.160 Shall we say he's a little wobbly?
00:08:35.040 If you had somebody who was below Joe Biden, you would have the problem that they would be two levels watered down.
00:08:42.240 Because remember, Biden is still the same Biden who didn't look good compared to Obama, right?
00:08:49.800 Obama picked a perfect vice president, didn't cause trouble, and definitely didn't look as interesting, appealing as Obama did, as a person, as a politician, as anything, really.
00:09:02.640 So if you start with Obama as, you know, somebody who could solidly win, and you say, well, his vice president's not, he's no Obama, he's a level below, which was perfect for being a vice president.
00:09:15.600 And if he picks somebody that's below him, now you're two levels below Obama, your vice president's going to look like what?
00:09:27.840 Like what would be one level?
00:09:30.680 I think people are going to be texting me to note my accurate pick.
00:09:36.220 But if you had a vice president pick who was two levels below Biden, who the hell would that be?
00:09:43.520 Right?
00:09:44.420 It wouldn't even be, you'd have to go sub-mammal.
00:09:47.820 You'd have to say, Joe, we've been looking for somebody who's, you know, a level below you, and we've exhausted all of our mammalian possibilities.
00:10:00.620 We're thinking of extending our search into the rest of the animal kingdom.
00:10:06.220 Maybe an anteater.
00:10:08.660 I don't know.
00:10:09.560 We've got to look around.
00:10:11.840 So Joe Biden was a special case.
00:10:14.520 He needed a stronger vice president than he is as a candidate, and Kamala gives you that because she's got the senator experience.
00:10:22.220 It would have been a huge mistake to go Karen Bass.
00:10:26.940 But, but, here's the scariest part.
00:10:32.700 And I can't remember who said this.
00:10:34.760 It was somebody smart.
00:10:37.500 Greg Goffeld?
00:10:38.560 It might have been Greg Goffeld who said this.
00:10:40.300 But I remember thinking, oh, God, that's true.
00:10:44.940 I think he was the one who said if the Democrats had won, God, was it him or was it somebody else?
00:10:50.540 Somebody help me on the, because it was just on TV the other day.
00:10:54.740 Help me with who said this.
00:10:55.940 But if the Democrats had run two women on the, basically, the anniversary of suffrage and getting the vote, it would be a home run.
00:11:05.740 Two women.
00:11:07.040 And I think to myself, oh, yeah, that would be.
00:11:10.600 A double woman ticket would be really hard for Trump.
00:11:16.060 It just, the matchup would be terrible.
00:11:18.540 It would be the worst case scenario.
00:11:20.560 And if Biden drops out, well, if Biden did drop out before the election, you've got yourself a double woman ticket.
00:11:31.160 And it would be a real problem.
00:11:34.100 It would be a real problem for Trump, I think.
00:11:36.500 Just because a double woman ticket almost just guarantees you get pretty much all the women.
00:11:42.540 And then they just got to get somebody else.
00:11:45.740 And they're done.
00:11:47.420 So not all the women.
00:11:48.960 But you know what I mean.
00:11:49.900 So there you go.
00:12:00.140 Somebody's mentioning George Conway in an unflattering way.
00:12:04.620 And I'm not too proud to say it made me laugh.
00:12:10.440 I really didn't have much to say.
00:12:13.340 But I didn't feel like I could not share this moment in public.
00:12:17.760 Do you know how long I've waited to get the final answer?
00:12:22.300 Because I was so far out there.
00:12:24.400 Like, you know, so far out on a plank.
00:12:27.200 There just weren't a lot of people agreeing with me until recently.
00:12:30.200 She was leading in the betting until very recently.
00:12:35.660 So at least maybe a quarter of the people agreed with me.
00:12:39.600 Oh, I'm getting the, well, some saying it was Greg Guffield.
00:12:47.760 Some said Trey Gowdy.
00:12:49.300 Well, it wasn't Trey Gowdy.
00:12:51.440 I think it might have been Greg Guffield said it on the day that Trey Gowdy was on the show on The Five.
00:12:57.520 I think that's what it was.
00:12:59.040 Well, anyway, it was a very insightful comment because it would be a killer ticket.
00:13:06.900 And it does, however, ruin the pun I had all, you know, all queued up.
00:13:18.260 Are you ready?
00:13:19.020 Obviously, if Biden had picked Bass as his vice president and somebody accused her of lying, because eventually every politician gets accused of lying.
00:13:32.080 I have no reason to believe that she lies because I don't know much about her, so I won't make that claim.
00:13:37.120 I'm just saying, if you're running for president, you might get accused of a lie.
00:13:43.220 And I was going to break this out on Twitter.
00:13:46.560 Bass lies matter.
00:13:48.560 Come on.
00:13:49.220 That would have been pretty good.
00:13:52.540 Probably would have been canceled for it.
00:13:54.660 But totally worth it for a good pun.
00:13:57.180 Totally worth it.
00:13:59.100 Somebody says it's a hollow victory.
00:14:01.040 Is that a pun?
00:14:03.640 I can't tell.
00:14:06.780 All right.
00:14:08.000 That's enough gloating for me.
00:14:09.640 I'm going to get back to doing something else.
00:14:12.220 But somebody says great guess.
00:14:17.840 Great guess.
00:14:20.000 This is skill.
00:14:23.220 Oh, no.
00:14:25.140 Oh, no.
00:14:26.480 Oh, no.
00:14:27.140 I just saw a comment that I can't unsee.
00:14:30.220 All right.
00:14:31.040 I don't even want to say it, but geo-payments.
00:14:38.940 Can you all...
00:14:40.220 Is it too late?
00:14:41.300 I stopped it on my end, but I think the comments are going by at your end.
00:14:45.220 All right.
00:14:46.060 If there are children in the room, you should send them away.
00:14:51.020 Okay?
00:14:51.320 All the children, send them away.
00:14:55.480 There's a parting joke courtesy of geo-payments.
00:15:00.640 geo-payments at geo-payments.
00:15:04.100 Here's the...
00:15:04.820 This is just devilishly good.
00:15:10.500 And his joke is that the ticket will be Joe Blow.
00:15:21.760 Joe Blow 2020.
00:15:25.380 Joe Blow 2020.
00:15:31.240 All right.
00:15:31.820 Now, I have to be honest.
00:15:34.160 I do not approve.
00:15:35.940 And I mean this seriously.
00:15:37.160 This is a serious statement, even though I'm laughing when I say it.
00:15:40.440 I don't approve of any of the Kamala Harris sexual insults about her past.
00:15:47.920 I just don't like it.
00:15:49.260 I don't like fat shaming.
00:15:50.720 I don't like, you know, any kind of mocking people for their sexual preference.
00:15:55.720 I don't like any of that stuff.
00:15:57.180 And I don't like it when women especially are being piled on for, you know, whatever experiences they've had in the past.
00:16:04.500 That's their business, not mine.
00:16:06.420 That said, all of that said, and I mean it sincerely, it's not a place that I think is appropriate for joking.
00:16:15.540 That said, Joe Blow 2020 is one of the best jokes ever.
00:16:23.600 And that's not my fault.
00:16:25.500 It's not my fault that I laugh at that.
00:16:27.620 I'm a victim.
00:16:28.340 I'm a victim, just like you are.
00:16:31.440 If you're laughing at that, you're a terrible person, just like me.
00:16:36.080 You're deplorable.
00:16:37.780 I just saw George Takei, who's a big Trump critic, who said that whoever the vice presidential candidate is,
00:16:48.580 that they should stop piling on each other as Democrats because, you know, as soon as that person is selected,
00:16:54.500 George Takei said that Trump and his goons would be coming after her.
00:17:00.780 And I tweeted back to him and said, we prefer to be called deplorables, but it would be a great band name.
00:17:07.060 You know, Trump and his goons.
00:17:09.240 It would be a great band name.
00:17:11.020 But how in the world did we not see Joe Blow?
00:17:16.440 All right, I'm not going to tweet that because I'm quite serious about I don't think it's a fair line of attack.
00:17:26.000 You know, when Bill Clinton was in office and he was having his stuff, I was adamant that we shouldn't care.
00:17:34.200 I'm not going to change that as standard.
00:17:37.080 You know, I don't care what they do.
00:17:38.640 I don't care about the personal life.
00:17:40.180 It's just not my business and it shouldn't have an effect on them doing the job.
00:17:47.280 So that's all I have for now.
00:17:48.960 I'll talk to you later.