Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 1470 Scott Adams： Hidin' Biden's Botched War, China Badness, and Persuasion Fun

00:00:00.660 Well, what a mess I am today.

00:00:04.060 Let's get everything working here.

00:00:08.640 I'm seeing a question on the Locals platform as I signed on.

00:00:13.280 It says, if Scott is a simplifier,

00:00:15.800 why is it so complicated to do this live stream?

00:00:19.840 And the answer is, it avoids simplification

00:00:23.140 like nothing I've ever seen.

00:00:25.080 I'm up to something like 17 steps on a checklist

00:00:29.280 just to turn this on.

00:00:31.300 And do you think that I can ever do 17 steps

00:00:33.740 on a checklist the same?

00:00:35.840 Nope. Nope.

00:00:38.980 So, sometimes this is the best you can get.

00:00:42.400 But you know, if you'd like to make everything better,

00:00:46.480 and I think you would,

00:00:47.920 what do you need?

00:00:48.680 Oh, well, all you need is a cup or mug or a glass,

00:00:51.120 a tank or chalice, a canteen jug, a flask,

00:00:53.020 a vessel of any kind, fill it with your favorite liquid.

00:00:55.320 I like coffee.

00:00:56.740 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure,

00:00:59.000 the dopamine here in the day,

00:01:00.020 the thing that makes everything better.

00:01:01.820 Everything except Afghanistan. 0.94

00:01:04.540 It's called the Simultaneous Zip,

00:01:05.920 and it happens now.

00:01:07.980 No.

00:01:12.340 Ah, that's so good.

00:01:15.840 So, so good.

00:01:17.420 Well, let me summarize all of the news. 1.00

00:01:22.820 China sucks. 1.00

00:01:25.940 That's it. 1.00

00:01:26.620 That's the whole news.

00:01:27.580 Now, there are details. 0.99

00:01:29.080 I'll tell you all the ways that China sucks 0.99

00:01:31.380 or is dangerous to us. 0.99

00:01:33.280 But it's all just that. 1.00

00:01:35.280 China sucks. 1.00

00:01:36.940 And there are lots of ways to express it. 1.00

00:01:38.600 Well, let's start first with Larry Elder

00:01:42.220 running for governor of California.

00:01:43.820 And I've been trying out some persuasive slogans

00:01:48.700 that he could use.

00:01:50.440 So here are two I tested today.

00:01:52.500 Somebody, not me, came up with this.

00:01:55.280 It's on some signs in Southern California.

00:01:58.000 It says,

00:01:58.580 we have a state to save.

00:02:00.340 So that's one choice

00:02:01.240 for Larry Elder running for governor

00:02:03.340 in the recall election.

00:02:05.320 We have a state to save.

00:02:07.060 Or,

00:02:08.280 make California livable.

00:02:11.360 Make California livable.

00:02:13.860 So we have a state to save, 52%.

00:02:16.600 And make California livable, 48%.

00:02:19.580 So people like both of those.

00:02:21.580 But we have a state to save.

00:02:24.620 Got a little bit more.

00:02:26.140 And it's not bad.

00:02:29.400 It's not bad.

00:02:31.020 Somebody says,

00:02:31.780 I vote neither.

00:02:33.160 Well,

00:02:33.720 come up with a better one.

00:02:35.980 So,

00:02:36.760 A-B testing is all about,

00:02:38.700 if you have a better idea,

00:02:40.200 let's test it.

00:02:42.080 All right.

00:02:43.420 I feel as if

00:02:44.580 I need a new category.

00:02:47.440 I'm going to call it

00:02:48.480 non-surprising news.

00:02:51.960 Non-surprising news.

00:02:54.780 Things which are news,

00:02:56.720 but since you knew

00:02:57.480 they were going to happen,

00:02:59.320 why are they news, really?

00:03:03.420 So,

00:03:04.180 keep California alive.

00:03:08.100 I'm seeing some

00:03:08.660 suggestions here.

00:03:10.600 Save our state.

00:03:12.700 About time for better.

00:03:14.420 Yeah, those are all

00:03:14.980 pretty good, actually.

00:03:16.860 Our golden opportunity.

00:03:18.260 Free California.

00:03:19.560 Got some good ideas here.

00:03:21.180 All right.

00:03:25.440 So,

00:03:25.880 here in

00:03:26.300 non-surprising news,

00:03:28.900 the infrastructure bill's in trouble.

00:03:30.640 is it just the same news

00:03:35.800 every day?

00:03:36.280 Let me make a prediction

00:03:39.020 for the news

00:03:41.060 any day next week.

00:03:42.500 Pick a day next week.

00:03:44.140 Tuesday.

00:03:45.220 Tuesday next week.

00:03:47.360 Prediction,

00:03:48.920 the infrastructure bill

00:03:51.060 will be in trouble.

00:03:52.280 Let's just see if I'm right.

00:03:55.000 I mean,

00:03:56.420 wilder things have happened.

00:03:59.000 But,

00:03:59.280 this time,

00:04:00.040 apparently,

00:04:00.600 the Republicans

00:04:01.500 are going to propose

00:04:02.620 a bunch of

00:04:03.500 amendments

00:04:04.760 that are politically

00:04:06.000 embarrassing

00:04:06.680 for the Democrats.

00:04:08.760 Okay.

00:04:09.020 Meanwhile,

00:04:11.820 Joe Biden

00:04:12.320 continues to

00:04:13.480 decompose

00:04:14.320 as Afghanistan

00:04:15.320 falls apart.

00:04:17.940 Jake Sullivan

00:04:18.780 is reporting

00:04:19.440 that

00:04:19.820 Biden

00:04:20.820 didn't think

00:04:21.440 it was,

00:04:22.060 quote,

00:04:22.180 inevitable

00:04:22.680 that the Taliban 0.98

00:04:24.160 would take control.

00:04:26.940 Joe Biden

00:04:27.760 didn't think

00:04:29.100 it was inevitable

00:04:29.940 that the Taliban 0.98

00:04:32.240 would take control.

00:04:34.020 Is that true?

00:04:35.200 You know,

00:04:36.840 if

00:04:37.040 I had seen

00:04:38.240 this report

00:04:39.000 and

00:04:40.280 they had said

00:04:41.440 it about Trump,

00:04:42.660 I would tell you

00:04:43.600 it wasn't true.

00:04:46.420 Right?

00:04:47.540 I mean,

00:04:48.140 if you've watched me

00:04:48.980 long enough,

00:04:49.460 you know I'd say,

00:04:50.180 I don't think

00:04:50.820 that happened.

00:04:51.860 You know,

00:04:52.060 unless you hear it

00:04:53.360 with your own ears.

00:04:54.920 You know,

00:04:55.140 do you think

00:04:55.500 Trump would ever

00:04:56.100 say that?

00:04:57.040 But,

00:04:58.460 do you think

00:04:59.620 Biden would

00:05:00.200 actually say that?

00:05:02.760 He said it

00:05:03.500 in a video.

00:05:04.640 Oh.

00:05:05.480 So we do have

00:05:06.220 a record of it?

00:05:08.240 It's on a video

00:05:10.840 from July.

00:05:12.860 Wow.

00:05:13.700 Well,

00:05:14.120 July,

00:05:14.540 of course,

00:05:14.840 was a little

00:05:15.820 different.

00:05:16.520 I mean,

00:05:16.940 things change

00:05:17.740 quickly.

00:05:18.720 But,

00:05:19.140 it's almost

00:05:20.620 unbelievable,

00:05:21.760 except that he

00:05:22.420 said it on a video,

00:05:23.280 apparently,

00:05:23.720 I'm being told.

00:05:26.240 If it had not

00:05:27.140 been on a video,

00:05:27.920 I don't know

00:05:28.280 if I'd believe it.

00:05:29.700 It's so,

00:05:30.600 it's so crazy.

00:05:32.820 I'll bet

00:05:33.060 there's not

00:05:33.460 one person here

00:05:34.580 who didn't know it.

00:05:36.780 I mean,

00:05:37.520 it was reported

00:05:38.160 as inevitable,

00:05:39.100 wasn't it?

00:05:40.140 Didn't the news

00:05:41.440 sort of say

00:05:42.880 it was inevitable?

00:05:44.100 I mean,

00:05:44.340 I don't know

00:05:44.700 anybody who said

00:05:45.300 it wasn't.

00:05:46.580 Was he really

00:05:47.380 the only person

00:05:48.020 who thought that?

00:05:49.960 Well,

00:05:50.440 here's the other

00:05:50.900 possibility.

00:05:52.180 The other possibility

00:05:53.240 is he was lying.

00:05:55.580 Right?

00:05:56.160 Remember,

00:05:56.800 Biden ran for

00:05:57.700 president so he'd

00:05:58.700 be the honest one?

00:06:00.740 Do you think

00:06:01.460 he was being honest

00:06:02.480 when he said

00:06:02.980 it's not inevitable

00:06:03.860 that the Taliban 0.98

00:06:04.620 would take over?

00:06:05.400 I doubt it.

00:06:08.620 Because if he knew

00:06:09.700 it was inevitable,

00:06:11.220 he couldn't leave.

00:06:13.480 So I think

00:06:13.980 he has to,

00:06:15.560 I think he had

00:06:17.360 to lie.

00:06:19.180 And maybe

00:06:20.620 Trump would have

00:06:21.220 too.

00:06:22.020 Maybe any

00:06:22.580 president would

00:06:23.180 have.

00:06:23.700 Because the only

00:06:24.320 place,

00:06:24.820 the only way to

00:06:25.440 get from here

00:06:25.900 to there

00:06:26.320 was lying.

00:06:29.360 Suppose he

00:06:29.860 told the truth.

00:06:31.580 The truth

00:06:32.300 would have been

00:06:32.780 we're going to

00:06:33.220 pull out of

00:06:33.780 Afghanistan

00:06:34.360 and leave

00:06:35.120 our allies

00:06:35.740 to be 1.00

00:06:36.100 slaughtered. 1.00

00:06:38.200 Could he

00:06:38.720 say that?

00:06:39.940 Yeah,

00:06:40.320 you know,

00:06:41.000 it's really

00:06:41.800 tragic.

00:06:42.800 Our allies

00:06:43.300 will be 0.99

00:06:43.660 slaughtered. 1.00

00:06:44.160 The country 0.58

00:06:44.520 will go to 0.94

00:06:44.960 hell. 1.00

00:06:45.220 We've wasted

00:06:45.700 20 years

00:06:46.340 and a trillion

00:06:46.860 dollars.

00:06:47.300 But I'm

00:06:48.340 going to pull

00:06:48.620 out anyway

00:06:49.060 because it's

00:06:50.200 good for

00:06:50.560 America.

00:06:52.060 That was the

00:06:52.700 truth,

00:06:53.480 right?

00:06:54.420 He just

00:06:54.920 couldn't say

00:06:55.420 it.

00:06:56.760 So the

00:06:58.120 whole point

00:06:59.080 of hiring

00:06:59.860 an honest

00:07:00.680 president,

00:07:01.340 which is what

00:07:01.780 the Democrats

00:07:02.520 believed they

00:07:03.100 were doing?

00:07:03.640 Well,

00:07:03.840 that didn't

00:07:04.140 work out.

00:07:05.980 He's

00:07:06.380 obviously,

00:07:07.080 I would say

00:07:07.760 this is an

00:07:08.280 obvious lie

00:07:09.040 because I

00:07:10.640 don't believe

00:07:11.400 that Joe

00:07:12.640 Biden didn't

00:07:13.900 know it was

00:07:14.420 going to be

00:07:14.760 inevitable.

00:07:15.960 Do you?

00:07:17.380 How many of

00:07:18.060 you believe

00:07:18.420 that?

00:07:19.620 If you had

00:07:20.220 to choose

00:07:20.720 between those

00:07:21.300 two hypotheses,

00:07:22.800 he was lying

00:07:23.600 because it

00:07:24.060 was the only

00:07:24.360 way to get

00:07:24.740 it done,

00:07:25.540 just the only

00:07:26.040 way to get

00:07:26.420 it done

00:07:26.760 politically,

00:07:27.740 or he

00:07:28.680 actually was

00:07:29.320 the only

00:07:29.620 person in

00:07:30.120 America who

00:07:30.580 didn't know

00:07:30.920 it was

00:07:31.080 inevitable.

00:07:31.460 Which one

00:07:32.540 of those

00:07:32.820 do you

00:07:33.000 think is

00:07:33.320 true?

00:07:34.640 I would

00:07:35.180 go for

00:07:35.480 the lie.

00:07:37.040 Yeah.

00:07:39.620 But weirdly,

00:07:40.780 I don't

00:07:41.220 criticize him.

00:07:42.960 Isn't that

00:07:43.340 weird?

00:07:44.380 I'm not

00:07:45.000 criticizing him

00:07:45.740 for lying.

00:07:47.180 You know,

00:07:47.700 we hire

00:07:48.280 leaders and

00:07:49.600 we put them

00:07:50.080 in these

00:07:50.380 positions where

00:07:51.220 sometimes they

00:07:52.620 have to lie

00:07:53.100 to give us

00:07:53.520 what we

00:07:53.840 want.

00:07:55.380 Sometimes

00:07:55.820 they have

00:07:56.840 to lie

00:07:57.360 to give

00:07:58.460 us what

00:07:58.780 we're asking

00:07:59.220 for.

00:08:00.180 And this

00:08:00.440 was an

00:08:00.740 example.

00:08:01.460 They had

00:08:01.860 to lie

00:08:02.200 to us

00:08:02.640 to make

00:08:03.720 us feel

00:08:04.140 okay doing

00:08:04.720 this because

00:08:05.580 it was

00:08:05.820 going to

00:08:05.980 be horrible

00:08:06.440 to our

00:08:06.820 allies.

00:08:08.740 Okay.

00:08:09.560 I call

00:08:10.220 that an

00:08:10.580 acceptable

00:08:11.020 lie.

00:08:13.820 CNN has

00:08:14.660 turned on

00:08:15.100 Biden and

00:08:17.020 actually used

00:08:17.840 the term

00:08:18.340 botched about

00:08:19.900 the Afghanistan

00:08:20.620 withdrawal.

00:08:22.040 Now, I feel

00:08:22.720 like that's

00:08:23.200 something we

00:08:23.680 can all

00:08:24.000 agree on.

00:08:25.160 This would

00:08:25.640 be the one

00:08:26.060 time that the

00:08:26.620 country could

00:08:27.140 completely come

00:08:27.960 together.

00:08:29.060 This was

00:08:29.540 botched.

00:08:30.040 It was

00:08:31.180 botched.

00:08:32.100 And I

00:08:32.360 would say

00:08:32.620 the same

00:08:32.960 thing, no

00:08:33.440 matter who

00:08:33.800 the president

00:08:34.220 was.

00:08:34.600 This is as

00:08:35.200 botched as

00:08:36.000 you can get.

00:08:37.660 And I

00:08:38.680 don't know

00:08:38.980 who's to

00:08:39.380 blame, but

00:08:40.020 it looks

00:08:40.340 pretty bad.

00:08:42.320 Now,

00:08:42.480 apparently,

00:08:42.860 Biden said

00:08:43.440 ahead of time

00:08:43.940 he wanted

00:08:44.300 to avoid a

00:08:45.100 Vietnam-like 0.69

00:08:45.960 scene with

00:08:47.020 helicopters taking

00:08:48.660 people off a

00:08:49.340 roof.

00:08:50.200 Well, he did

00:08:50.940 not do that.

00:08:52.600 It's worse

00:08:53.320 than that.

00:08:53.860 I don't know

00:08:55.480 if you've

00:08:55.800 seen it

00:08:56.160 yet, but

00:08:57.780 there's a

00:08:58.200 video that's

00:09:00.740 really bad.

00:09:02.240 There's a

00:09:02.620 video of a

00:09:03.840 U.S.

00:09:04.200 plane taking

00:09:04.820 off from

00:09:05.820 Kabul.

00:09:06.860 The airport

00:09:07.380 is swarming

00:09:08.440 with people

00:09:08.900 who are

00:09:09.120 trying to

00:09:09.500 escape the

00:09:10.000 country.

00:09:11.380 And some

00:09:12.240 people held

00:09:12.800 on to the

00:09:13.380 outside of

00:09:14.000 the plane.

00:09:16.080 Let me say

00:09:16.840 that again.

00:09:17.740 Some people

00:09:18.280 held on to

00:09:18.960 the outside

00:09:19.360 of the plane

00:09:19.900 and it

00:09:21.060 took off.

00:09:22.720 And you

00:09:23.120 could actually

00:09:23.520 see one of

00:09:24.360 the bodies

00:09:24.700 falling.

00:09:26.500 I don't

00:09:26.900 know how

00:09:27.140 many there

00:09:27.480 were.

00:09:27.720 I could see

00:09:28.260 one clearly.

00:09:30.160 They wanted

00:09:30.860 to get out

00:09:31.260 of there so

00:09:31.680 badly, they

00:09:33.200 held on to

00:09:33.760 the plane

00:09:34.160 after it

00:09:34.560 took off.

00:09:36.300 I mean, just

00:09:36.620 think about

00:09:37.000 that.

00:09:37.840 That's a

00:09:38.420 level of

00:09:38.860 desperation

00:09:39.460 that's hard

00:09:41.280 to comprehend.

00:09:43.060 You can't

00:09:43.760 even, it's

00:09:44.360 hard to wrap

00:09:44.780 your brain

00:09:45.120 around that.

00:09:46.180 And that's

00:09:46.480 just so

00:09:46.820 horrible.

00:09:48.440 But, do

00:09:50.780 you remember

00:09:51.120 General Milley

00:09:52.400 when he was

00:09:52.840 talking about

00:09:53.380 all the

00:09:53.940 wokeness in

00:09:55.520 the military

00:09:56.020 that he

00:09:56.420 likes?

00:09:57.020 He likes

00:09:57.440 that wokeness.

00:09:59.120 And, do

00:10:00.980 you remember

00:10:01.260 what I said

00:10:01.900 about him

00:10:02.460 when he got

00:10:03.220 a little TV

00:10:03.760 time?

00:10:05.220 Does anybody

00:10:05.720 remember me

00:10:06.540 telling you that

00:10:07.220 General Milley

00:10:07.880 looked like 1.00

00:10:09.520 the dumbest 1.00

00:10:10.040 person in 1.00

00:10:10.540 the world?

00:10:12.740 He looked

00:10:13.420 like the 1.00

00:10:13.760 dumbest person 1.00

00:10:14.460 in the world. 1.00

00:10:15.240 And, I was

00:10:16.900 talking about

00:10:17.440 a different

00:10:17.800 topic.

00:10:18.360 I wasn't

00:10:18.640 talking about

00:10:19.120 Afghanistan.

00:10:19.680 but, is

00:10:21.680 this the

00:10:22.080 guy who

00:10:22.400 is responsible

00:10:23.000 for that?

00:10:24.600 Is he the

00:10:25.300 one responsible

00:10:25.980 for this?

00:10:27.020 Because it

00:10:27.380 looks like it.

00:10:28.660 It looks like

00:10:29.280 the guy who

00:10:29.800 looked like 1.00

00:10:30.400 the dumbest 1.00

00:10:30.920 person in 1.00

00:10:31.440 the world

00:10:31.760 actually was.

00:10:34.360 He is as 1.00

00:10:35.400 dumb as he 1.00

00:10:35.920 looked. 1.00

00:10:37.600 Right?

00:10:38.120 I mean, you

00:10:39.040 remember I

00:10:39.600 called that out,

00:10:40.420 that he just

00:10:41.000 looked low IQ.

00:10:43.420 Now, I don't

00:10:43.900 say that about

00:10:44.500 people I

00:10:45.040 dislike politically.

00:10:46.540 Right?

00:10:47.560 Have you ever

00:10:48.040 heard me say

00:10:48.540 that?

00:10:48.900 I mean, Biden

00:10:50.120 is a special

00:10:50.660 case because

00:10:51.280 of his age

00:10:51.760 and stuff.

00:10:52.600 But, you

00:10:52.940 don't hear me

00:10:53.480 saying that

00:10:54.520 the people I

00:10:55.120 disagree with 1.00

00:10:55.800 are stupid. 1.00

00:10:57.300 I don't do 1.00

00:10:58.020 that.

00:10:59.080 Lots of

00:10:59.440 times they're

00:10:59.800 brilliant.

00:11:00.880 AOC, for

00:11:01.480 example, I

00:11:01.980 think is

00:11:02.240 brilliant.

00:11:03.120 I just

00:11:03.480 disagree with

00:11:04.100 her on a

00:11:04.400 lot of

00:11:04.600 stuff.

00:11:05.580 But, this

00:11:06.420 General Milley,

00:11:07.280 he just

00:11:07.620 actually did 0.99

00:11:08.260 look dumb. 0.99

00:11:09.580 I mean, he 1.00

00:11:09.960 just oozed 1.00

00:11:10.520 the dumbness. 1.00

00:11:12.320 And, it 0.99

00:11:12.780 looks like maybe

00:11:13.500 he's responsible.

00:11:14.440 I don't know.

00:11:15.140 Now, we've

00:11:15.540 got a lot of

00:11:16.000 blame to spread

00:11:16.960 around.

00:11:17.460 Biden, of

00:11:17.940 course.

00:11:18.540 the joint

00:11:19.320 chiefs, our

00:11:21.020 intelligence

00:11:21.640 people, the

00:11:22.880 politicians, a

00:11:24.100 lot of blame.

00:11:25.500 But, I feel

00:11:26.040 like this guy

00:11:27.300 might have

00:11:27.720 most of it.

00:11:30.200 Well, China 0.94

00:11:31.020 is already

00:11:31.580 announcing that

00:11:32.560 it wants to

00:11:33.020 work with the

00:11:33.480 Taliban and

00:11:35.000 help them

00:11:35.460 develop

00:11:35.980 Afghanistan.

00:11:36.740 A question

00:11:39.080 you might ask

00:11:39.800 yourself is,

00:11:41.540 hmm, has

00:11:43.360 the Taliban

00:11:43.940 heard about

00:11:44.740 the Uyghurs? 1.00

00:11:47.160 Or, do

00:11:48.880 they even

00:11:49.240 care?

00:11:50.400 You know, is

00:11:50.780 the Taliban

00:11:51.260 a genuine

00:11:52.600 organization,

00:11:53.900 meaning that

00:11:54.440 it's really

00:11:55.240 about their

00:11:56.440 beliefs?

00:11:57.740 Or, is it

00:11:58.440 just another

00:11:58.860 political group

00:12:00.200 that wants

00:12:00.580 power, and

00:12:01.300 they're just

00:12:01.620 using their

00:12:02.100 beliefs to

00:12:02.540 get it?

00:12:02.840 Well, they're

00:12:05.020 working with

00:12:05.580 China, and

00:12:06.560 China is 0.85

00:12:07.020 putting people

00:12:07.600 who believe

00:12:08.120 what they

00:12:08.440 believe in

00:12:09.000 prison camps.

00:12:09.740 So, they're

00:12:11.880 not operating

00:12:12.600 on principle,

00:12:14.300 clearly.

00:12:15.440 They're operating

00:12:16.040 on some

00:12:16.920 kind of

00:12:17.320 self-interest

00:12:18.100 model.

00:12:20.260 But, I'm

00:12:21.420 wondering if

00:12:21.900 this isn't

00:12:22.500 Biden's secret

00:12:23.380 plan to

00:12:23.900 destroy China. 0.99

00:12:26.320 Because, can 0.90

00:12:28.160 somebody give

00:12:28.640 me a history

00:12:29.140 lesson here?

00:12:30.640 Is it true, or

00:12:31.560 just one of

00:12:31.960 these fake

00:12:32.740 news kinds

00:12:33.360 of things,

00:12:34.420 when people

00:12:34.900 say that the

00:12:35.660 Soviet Union

00:12:36.620 fell in part

00:12:37.780 because of

00:12:38.480 Afghanistan?

00:12:39.740 Is that

00:12:40.120 true, or

00:12:41.140 is that

00:12:41.340 just bad

00:12:41.940 history?

00:12:43.200 Somebody give

00:12:43.740 me a quick

00:12:45.260 history lesson

00:12:46.100 on this.

00:12:49.080 Only true

00:12:49.820 for the

00:12:50.140 armies, you're

00:12:50.880 saying.

00:12:51.700 But, did

00:12:52.120 Afghanistan

00:12:53.860 contribute to

00:12:55.060 the fall of

00:12:55.760 the Soviet

00:12:56.820 Union in

00:12:58.280 any significant

00:12:58.940 way?

00:12:59.540 I'm seeing

00:13:00.100 some truths,

00:13:01.540 but I always

00:13:02.200 wonder if

00:13:02.620 that's like

00:13:03.060 fake news,

00:13:04.960 or maybe

00:13:05.500 it was

00:13:06.020 exaggerated,

00:13:07.200 how much

00:13:07.600 impact that

00:13:08.160 had.

00:13:08.380 how could

00:13:10.100 it not?

00:13:11.020 Yeah, I

00:13:11.320 mean, it

00:13:11.520 was expensive,

00:13:12.380 so that

00:13:12.680 alone.

00:13:13.900 Yeah, so

00:13:14.260 I'm seeing

00:13:15.780 some no's.

00:13:17.800 I'm not

00:13:18.360 entirely

00:13:19.340 convinced that

00:13:20.500 that was the

00:13:21.080 biggest part of

00:13:21.780 why the

00:13:22.140 Soviet Union

00:13:22.740 fell, but

00:13:23.200 maybe it was

00:13:23.660 part.

00:13:24.520 So here's

00:13:25.260 the good

00:13:25.620 news.

00:13:28.280 China,

00:13:28.880 working with

00:13:29.300 the Taliban,

00:13:29.960 it's not

00:13:30.260 going to be

00:13:30.560 easy.

00:13:30.880 And, of

00:13:34.380 course, China

00:13:35.480 is going to

00:13:35.920 need to

00:13:36.240 dominate them

00:13:36.980 because it

00:13:37.940 tries to

00:13:38.360 dominate

00:13:38.640 everything.

00:13:39.880 And, of

00:13:40.400 course, the

00:13:40.760 Taliban is 0.99

00:13:41.360 going to

00:13:41.580 want to

00:13:41.860 dominate, too.

00:13:42.660 So how

00:13:43.560 in the

00:13:43.820 world do

00:13:44.200 they get,

00:13:44.640 how do

00:13:44.840 they work

00:13:45.180 together?

00:13:46.540 How in

00:13:46.980 the world

00:13:47.300 could that

00:13:47.660 work?

00:13:49.380 Maybe.

00:13:51.240 But it

00:13:51.820 looks like a

00:13:52.320 secret plan to

00:13:53.040 destroy China 0.94

00:13:53.860 by letting

00:13:54.780 them work

00:13:55.280 with the

00:13:55.560 Taliban.

00:13:55.880 Now, of

00:13:58.960 course, as

00:13:59.680 many of you

00:14:00.060 know, China's

00:14:00.720 interest is

00:14:01.460 probably further

00:14:03.640 cornering of

00:14:04.500 the rare

00:14:04.960 minerals market.

00:14:06.620 How many of

00:14:07.300 you know that

00:14:07.980 Afghanistan is

00:14:09.380 probably about

00:14:10.180 the rare

00:14:10.580 minerals?

00:14:12.020 They seem to

00:14:13.040 have a lot

00:14:13.380 of them.

00:14:14.320 And China

00:14:14.920 has cornered

00:14:16.140 the market on

00:14:16.840 a lot of

00:14:17.320 the rare

00:14:17.640 minerals that

00:14:19.240 the United

00:14:19.640 States needs.

00:14:20.860 So if we

00:14:21.480 want to be a

00:14:22.260 technology power

00:14:23.360 in the future,

00:14:24.020 we need those

00:14:24.580 rare minerals,

00:14:26.100 and China is

00:14:26.820 going to

00:14:27.600 control them.

00:14:28.900 In Afghanistan

00:14:29.640 and everywhere

00:14:30.200 else.

00:14:31.880 Yeah, there's

00:14:32.480 one trillion

00:14:33.220 estimated to be

00:14:34.180 there in

00:14:35.280 REM, whatever

00:14:36.140 that is,

00:14:36.640 REM.

00:14:40.860 And their

00:14:41.540 minerals are

00:14:42.140 easily available.

00:14:43.440 Well, easily.

00:14:45.180 Meaning in

00:14:45.860 terms of

00:14:46.220 mining, it's

00:14:46.800 easy.

00:14:47.540 In terms of

00:14:48.360 bullets flying

00:14:49.120 around, not so

00:14:50.040 much.

00:14:51.080 So the rare

00:14:51.820 mineral question

00:14:52.680 is a big one.

00:14:53.360 Now, here's

00:14:53.760 Adam Dopamine

00:14:55.320 tweeted this

00:14:56.840 today, that

00:14:58.420 NASA is

00:14:59.560 studying an

00:15:00.820 asteroid that

00:15:02.060 also has rare

00:15:03.240 minerals in it.

00:15:04.640 So if we can

00:15:05.280 get to the

00:15:05.960 asteroid with

00:15:07.440 all of its

00:15:07.880 minerals, not

00:15:09.140 all of them are

00:15:09.740 rare, but some

00:15:11.280 of the good

00:15:11.600 ones are,

00:15:13.840 here's NASA's

00:15:15.500 estimate of the

00:15:16.500 value of this

00:15:17.440 one asteroid, if

00:15:18.640 we could get to

00:15:19.300 it.

00:15:19.520 700

00:15:21.220 quintillion

00:15:22.680 dollars.

00:15:25.580 That's the

00:15:26.300 mineral value of

00:15:27.520 one asteroid.

00:15:29.060 700

00:15:29.640 quintillion.

00:15:31.520 Do you

00:15:32.140 understand why

00:15:32.820 billionaires are

00:15:33.500 going to space?

00:15:36.780 Billionaires are

00:15:37.480 going to space

00:15:38.380 to become

00:15:39.980 quintillionaires.

00:15:42.140 That's right.

00:15:43.740 Probably somebody,

00:15:44.960 and it may be the

00:15:45.520 next generation of

00:15:46.400 billionaires, I

00:15:47.060 don't know if we

00:15:47.540 can get there in

00:15:48.200 the next generation,

00:15:49.520 but at some

00:15:50.660 point, some

00:15:52.660 billionaire is

00:15:53.300 going to land a

00:15:54.560 mining expedition

00:15:55.780 on an asteroid

00:15:56.620 and become a

00:15:59.680 quintillionaire.

00:16:02.940 A quintillionaire

00:16:04.260 would run the

00:16:04.840 world, wouldn't

00:16:05.980 they?

00:16:06.540 If you had a

00:16:07.360 quintillion dollars,

00:16:09.960 and of course

00:16:10.560 that's impossible

00:16:11.280 because you

00:16:11.700 couldn't add that

00:16:12.360 much to the

00:16:12.860 economy without

00:16:13.560 everything changing,

00:16:15.660 but there could

00:16:18.440 be a real rich

00:16:19.280 quintillionaire,

00:16:21.480 maybe a trillionaire.

00:16:24.660 So that's one of

00:16:26.020 those black swan,

00:16:27.740 you don't see it

00:16:28.340 coming, could

00:16:28.920 change everything

00:16:29.580 situations, but

00:16:31.140 it's not going to

00:16:31.900 help us in the

00:16:32.740 near term.

00:16:33.860 So we better

00:16:34.620 figure out how to

00:16:35.320 get some rare

00:16:36.180 earth minerals.

00:16:39.420 Biden's approval is

00:16:40.440 at its lowest

00:16:41.100 point, I guess,

00:16:42.560 according to

00:16:42.920 Rasmussen,

00:16:43.320 poll, but I

00:16:46.400 wonder if it

00:16:46.920 could go lower

00:16:47.700 because I don't

00:16:49.040 think it can.

00:16:51.220 Do you?

00:16:51.780 I don't think

00:16:53.140 there's anything

00:16:53.860 that Biden could

00:16:54.600 do that would

00:16:56.440 get him below

00:16:57.260 about what it is,

00:16:58.660 give or take a

00:16:59.380 point.

00:17:00.140 Because I feel

00:17:00.660 like the country

00:17:01.780 is so divided

00:17:03.020 that every

00:17:05.140 president has a

00:17:06.000 lower limit and

00:17:06.880 they just can't

00:17:07.380 go lower than

00:17:07.940 that because that

00:17:08.780 means their best

00:17:10.320 supporters would

00:17:11.340 change.

00:17:12.460 And you're

00:17:12.800 really only

00:17:13.200 getting a slice

00:17:15.080 of the

00:17:15.540 independence and

00:17:16.440 that's about it.

00:17:17.800 So I don't

00:17:18.560 think his

00:17:19.020 approval will go

00:17:20.900 lower than it

00:17:21.520 is.

00:17:22.200 It's as low as

00:17:23.340 anything he

00:17:23.800 can get.

00:17:24.920 This is a

00:17:25.740 Matt Walsh

00:17:26.600 tweet that I

00:17:27.920 thought summed

00:17:29.040 up Afghanistan

00:17:29.780 as well as I

00:17:30.760 could have ever

00:17:31.480 hoped to say it,

00:17:32.300 but he said it

00:17:32.860 better.

00:17:33.600 His tweet, he

00:17:34.220 said,

00:17:34.940 an Afghan army

00:17:35.820 of 300,000,

00:17:37.760 which had been

00:17:38.400 equipped and

00:17:39.100 trained by the

00:17:39.840 U.S. for 20

00:17:40.840 years,

00:17:41.340 fell in two

00:17:42.820 days to a

00:17:43.580 gang of 0.52

00:17:44.080 medieval terrorists

00:17:45.200 who they

00:17:46.160 outnumbered

00:17:46.800 three to one.

00:17:48.500 And then he

00:17:48.880 said, we can't

00:17:49.680 indefinitely

00:17:50.120 sustain a

00:17:50.800 country that

00:17:51.280 has absolutely

00:17:52.100 no will to

00:17:53.000 exist in the

00:17:53.780 first place.

00:17:56.660 Exactly.

00:17:58.100 Exactly.

00:17:58.800 You can't

00:17:59.240 help Afghanistan

00:18:00.300 if they don't

00:18:01.900 have the will

00:18:02.560 to fight for

00:18:04.000 their own

00:18:04.440 whatever.

00:18:05.580 Now, apparently

00:18:06.100 they have plenty

00:18:06.780 of will to be

00:18:07.360 Taliban.

00:18:08.640 Whatever the

00:18:09.380 Taliban is doing 0.99

00:18:10.260 is working.

00:18:11.340 Now, by the

00:18:11.940 way, do you

00:18:12.280 know, and I

00:18:13.300 haven't seen

00:18:13.660 any reporting

00:18:14.160 on this, but

00:18:15.400 are you aware

00:18:16.120 that the bad

00:18:17.920 guys, and

00:18:19.560 ISIS was the

00:18:20.440 famous one for

00:18:21.040 this, they

00:18:21.960 would take some

00:18:22.520 kind of drug

00:18:23.340 that would make

00:18:24.040 them fearless in

00:18:25.080 battle?

00:18:25.920 It was some

00:18:26.600 kind of, I

00:18:27.320 think it was a

00:18:27.720 narcotic?

00:18:28.160 drug, but they

00:18:29.800 commonly took

00:18:30.660 some kind of

00:18:31.480 drug that made

00:18:32.540 them, you 0.56

00:18:33.900 know, impervious

00:18:34.560 to fear, which

00:18:36.040 made them

00:18:36.480 impossible to

00:18:37.320 beat, because

00:18:38.800 you couldn't

00:18:39.300 make them

00:18:40.180 afraid by 1.00

00:18:40.780 killing a lot 1.00

00:18:41.720 of them. 1.00

00:18:42.320 They just

00:18:42.640 keep coming.

00:18:44.340 So I think

00:18:46.500 that drug is a

00:18:47.400 big part of the

00:18:48.140 story of why a

00:18:49.380 smaller force could

00:18:50.820 beat a bigger

00:18:51.340 force.

00:18:52.440 But yeah, why

00:18:53.160 were we in a

00:18:53.760 country that

00:18:54.280 didn't have the

00:18:54.820 will to sustain

00:18:55.940 itself?

00:18:56.300 It really

00:18:56.620 didn't.

00:18:57.140 It didn't have

00:18:57.620 any interest in

00:18:58.580 being its own

00:18:59.260 country, it

00:19:00.180 looked like.

00:19:02.840 Max Abrams had

00:19:04.040 a funny tweet

00:19:05.320 about this.

00:19:05.880 He said, I

00:19:06.220 think the CDC

00:19:07.080 was supplying

00:19:07.780 Biden with

00:19:09.040 intel about

00:19:09.840 Kabul.

00:19:10.260 Is there any

00:19:12.540 large organization,

00:19:14.360 public organization,

00:19:16.620 that is not

00:19:17.220 thoroughly

00:19:18.940 discredited?

00:19:21.740 Is anybody

00:19:22.520 left?

00:19:23.860 What would be

00:19:24.680 a major

00:19:25.460 American

00:19:26.920 organization,

00:19:28.500 let's say a

00:19:29.060 public organization,

00:19:30.860 that still has

00:19:31.680 any credibility?

00:19:34.460 I would say

00:19:35.580 the military

00:19:36.240 still does.

00:19:37.980 Would you

00:19:38.340 agree?

00:19:39.760 Our military

00:19:40.700 leaders got

00:19:42.520 some explaining

00:19:43.160 to do,

00:19:43.760 especially this

00:19:44.520 week.

00:19:45.160 But the

00:19:45.880 military itself,

00:19:48.040 I would say,

00:19:49.540 still credible.

00:19:51.980 Supreme Court,

00:19:53.100 we don't like

00:19:54.860 the decision

00:19:55.520 sometimes, but

00:19:56.400 I would say

00:19:56.980 it's still

00:19:57.340 credible.

00:19:58.980 So I think

00:19:59.600 the Supreme

00:20:00.180 Court and

00:20:01.820 the military

00:20:02.480 are holding

00:20:03.920 the country

00:20:04.380 together.

00:20:05.660 That's what I

00:20:06.580 think.

00:20:06.940 That's what it

00:20:07.440 feels like.

00:20:09.160 Well, the

00:20:09.780 police, yes.

00:20:10.820 I think the

00:20:12.060 police are still

00:20:12.640 credible, right?

00:20:14.380 Would you

00:20:15.820 agree?

00:20:16.580 I mean, you

00:20:16.960 could march

00:20:17.820 all you want

00:20:18.300 about individual

00:20:19.160 tragedies that

00:20:20.180 happen that

00:20:21.140 should never

00:20:21.560 have happened,

00:20:22.380 but I think

00:20:22.820 the police

00:20:23.280 are still

00:20:23.740 a credible

00:20:24.260 organization.

00:20:28.700 You aren't

00:20:29.480 credible if

00:20:30.300 half the

00:20:30.760 country doesn't

00:20:31.460 trust you.

00:20:33.480 Well, who

00:20:34.480 would that

00:20:34.800 refer to?

00:20:39.460 Not the

00:20:40.460 teachers' 0.80

00:20:40.980 unions, not

00:20:41.660 intel, not

00:20:42.400 the government,

00:20:43.020 not Congress,

00:20:44.120 not the CDC,

00:20:45.440 not the World

00:20:45.900 Health Organization.

00:20:48.460 Credibility is

00:20:49.340 pretty hard to

00:20:50.340 come by these

00:20:50.880 days.

00:20:51.560 Speaking of

00:20:53.560 credibility,

00:20:54.560 White House

00:20:54.940 Press Secretary,

00:20:56.080 I saw a

00:20:56.500 Joel Pollack

00:20:57.220 tweet on

00:20:58.360 this.

00:20:59.400 So Jen Psaki 1.00

00:21:00.140 is taking her

00:21:01.300 vacation at the

00:21:03.360 same time that

00:21:04.000 Biden's on

00:21:04.700 vacation, which

00:21:05.440 makes sense,

00:21:06.520 or doesn't?

00:21:07.720 Does it make

00:21:08.200 sense that the

00:21:09.060 spokesperson would

00:21:09.900 be on vacation

00:21:10.520 at the same

00:21:10.920 time as the

00:21:12.340 president?

00:21:13.700 I guess it

00:21:14.440 could go either

00:21:14.920 way.

00:21:17.460 But what

00:21:19.740 could be a

00:21:20.280 worst look

00:21:21.060 than the

00:21:21.940 worst botching

00:21:23.460 of international

00:21:24.740 anything we've

00:21:26.120 ever had in a

00:21:26.980 president who's on

00:21:27.680 vacation?

00:21:29.020 That's the worst

00:21:30.100 look.

00:21:30.980 Now, there's some

00:21:31.680 reporting that it's

00:21:33.720 Jill Biden who's

00:21:35.900 the one who kept

00:21:37.340 Joe Biden from

00:21:38.560 talking in public

00:21:40.140 sooner.

00:21:40.560 I wonder if that's

00:21:42.760 true.

00:21:43.500 Again, that's the

00:21:44.220 kind of news I don't

00:21:45.020 believe, you know,

00:21:46.000 just on the surface.

00:21:46.760 But who knows?

00:21:49.660 So have you ever

00:21:50.740 felt more

00:21:51.480 leaderless than

00:21:53.040 this?

00:21:54.040 Isn't this the most

00:21:55.100 leaderless you've

00:21:56.240 ever felt?

00:21:57.440 Like, I don't

00:21:57.960 really think anybody's

00:21:59.280 in charge right now.

00:22:01.180 Do you?

00:22:02.480 I mean, literally,

00:22:03.240 who's in charge?

00:22:05.040 Because nobody

00:22:06.320 really believes that

00:22:07.420 Biden has full

00:22:08.340 control of anything.

00:22:09.820 And when he's on

00:22:10.600 vacation, it just

00:22:11.480 sort of raises that

00:22:12.820 question.

00:22:13.280 Literally, who's in

00:22:14.220 charge?

00:22:14.520 I don't know who's

00:22:16.000 running the country

00:22:16.640 right now.

00:22:19.660 What would stop

00:22:20.540 China from taking 0.91

00:22:21.500 over Taiwan tomorrow?

00:22:24.100 Could you imagine

00:22:24.780 a better time to do

00:22:25.660 it?

00:22:26.760 Now, I don't think

00:22:27.700 it's going to happen

00:22:28.360 because, I mean,

00:22:30.340 that would get

00:22:30.960 pretty bloody

00:22:32.440 pretty fast.

00:22:33.760 But if they were

00:22:35.260 looking for an

00:22:35.860 opportunity to do

00:22:36.860 it, what's better

00:22:38.980 than this week?

00:22:40.720 Now, I don't think

00:22:41.540 it'll happen.

00:22:42.000 And it would be

00:22:43.560 horrible if it

00:22:45.160 did.

00:22:46.080 But we put

00:22:47.440 ourselves in a bad

00:22:48.200 situation here with

00:22:49.120 our allies.

00:22:50.640 So we do have to

00:22:52.580 worry about that.

00:22:54.360 Apparently, speaking

00:22:55.960 of how bad China 0.96

00:22:57.200 is, I guess they

00:22:59.080 work with the...

00:23:03.000 Oh, so in Dubai,

00:23:04.780 there's some

00:23:06.660 reporting that

00:23:07.280 there's a black

00:23:07.900 site that China 0.65

00:23:09.420 uses to capture

00:23:11.140 their dissidents

00:23:12.000 and interrogate

00:23:13.160 them and stuff

00:23:13.720 in other

00:23:14.760 countries.

00:23:16.280 So, of course,

00:23:16.900 China has its 0.80

00:23:17.520 own black sites 0.85

00:23:18.280 within its 0.55

00:23:18.860 country to

00:23:19.460 interrogate

00:23:20.120 people in the

00:23:21.320 worst possible

00:23:21.920 way.

00:23:22.480 But apparently

00:23:23.040 they have one

00:23:23.620 in Dubai,

00:23:25.760 or at least

00:23:26.540 in the country

00:23:27.020 there.

00:23:29.840 So, that's

00:23:31.500 pretty bad.

00:23:33.080 And why is it

00:23:33.900 that any Islamic 0.99

00:23:34.980 country would deal

00:23:35.920 with China?

00:23:37.240 What's up with

00:23:38.060 that?

00:23:38.360 Why would any

00:23:39.820 Islamic country

00:23:40.640 deal with them? 0.94

00:23:41.740 They are literally

00:23:42.500 trying to erase

00:23:43.420 Islam, at least 0.96

00:23:44.920 within China, and

00:23:46.240 anything that they

00:23:47.000 control.

00:23:48.360 Here's the weirdest

00:23:49.280 story.

00:23:51.020 Russia and China 0.56

00:23:51.860 did joint military

00:23:53.400 exercises.

00:23:55.340 Did you know

00:23:56.260 that Russia and

00:23:58.060 China had any 0.98

00:23:59.580 kind of military

00:24:00.500 coordination?

00:24:02.260 Did you know

00:24:03.120 about that?

00:24:03.580 clueless, Scott,

00:24:09.420 there's never any

00:24:10.140 infighting?

00:24:11.220 I understand.

00:24:12.860 No.

00:24:16.780 I'll tell you

00:24:17.560 that there's

00:24:19.140 nothing that

00:24:19.640 annoys me more

00:24:20.480 than somebody

00:24:21.180 telling me I

00:24:21.820 don't understand

00:24:22.580 something that

00:24:23.220 everybody understands.

00:24:24.880 A comment that

00:24:26.360 I'll get is,

00:24:27.720 Scott doesn't

00:24:28.620 understand that

00:24:30.060 rain clouds

00:24:30.820 create rain.

00:24:32.140 And I think

00:24:34.160 everybody understands

00:24:36.380 that.

00:24:37.480 Scott doesn't

00:24:38.240 understand that

00:24:39.460 if you run over

00:24:40.200 a squirrel with

00:24:41.640 a car, it's

00:24:42.880 going to hurt

00:24:43.340 the squirrel.

00:24:45.780 Actually, I do

00:24:46.640 understand that.

00:24:48.100 So whatever it

00:24:48.800 is you think

00:24:49.280 about my opinion,

00:24:50.800 probably not

00:24:51.720 because of that.

00:24:53.280 So don't tell

00:24:54.060 me what I don't

00:24:54.700 understand, especially

00:24:55.960 when they're easy

00:24:56.800 things to understand.

00:24:57.840 So Russia and 0.75

00:25:00.320 China did this 0.99

00:25:00.980 joint military

00:25:02.080 exercise, which

00:25:03.640 experts say was

00:25:04.580 probably just a

00:25:05.260 complete waste of

00:25:06.020 time.

00:25:07.300 Because apparently

00:25:08.180 if you're doing

00:25:08.740 joint military

00:25:09.580 exercises, if you

00:25:11.540 do choreographed

00:25:13.260 stuff, it's sort

00:25:14.960 of just for

00:25:15.500 politics and show

00:25:16.680 and propaganda.

00:25:18.620 So you need what

00:25:19.500 they call the

00:25:20.440 free-range things

00:25:23.300 where the military

00:25:24.100 people can make

00:25:25.000 decisions and

00:25:26.280 then see what the

00:25:26.780 other people do

00:25:27.520 and then maybe

00:25:28.340 you learn something.

00:25:29.360 So it wasn't

00:25:29.900 that kind.

00:25:30.700 So it wasn't

00:25:31.180 the useful kind

00:25:32.460 of military

00:25:32.960 exercise.

00:25:33.860 It was more

00:25:34.200 for show.

00:25:35.380 But why in

00:25:36.840 the world are

00:25:38.400 Russia and

00:25:38.960 China coordinating?

00:25:40.800 On what?

00:25:42.100 On what

00:25:42.820 exactly?

00:25:44.240 Now, there

00:25:44.760 was some thinking

00:25:46.960 that it was

00:25:47.420 about terrorism.

00:25:50.200 But do they

00:25:51.160 really need to

00:25:51.880 coordinate military

00:25:53.600 for terrorism?

00:25:55.300 I mean, how

00:25:56.500 much terrorism is

00:25:57.420 going to happen

00:25:57.840 in either one

00:25:58.640 of those countries?

00:25:59.900 Seems like they

00:26:01.220 would just handle

00:26:01.760 it with their

00:26:02.160 own militaries

00:26:02.840 no matter what.

00:26:05.520 So it's probably

00:26:06.920 just good politics

00:26:08.220 that Russia and

00:26:09.640 China, because 1.00

00:26:10.220 they're neighbors,

00:26:11.760 that they work

00:26:12.280 together on as

00:26:13.080 many things as

00:26:13.780 they can figure

00:26:14.300 out to work

00:26:14.780 together.

00:26:15.280 It's probably

00:26:15.680 good for both

00:26:16.300 of them.

00:26:17.040 But here's my

00:26:18.260 take on all

00:26:19.000 of this.

00:26:19.400 Russia should 0.93

00:26:21.920 have been our

00:26:22.400 ally.

00:26:24.940 Russia should 0.93

00:26:27.280 be our ally

00:26:28.340 against China.

00:26:29.700 Now, that's

00:26:30.080 probably too hard

00:26:30.880 for them to do

00:26:31.500 because they're

00:26:31.840 right, you

00:26:32.460 know, they have

00:26:32.780 a border.

00:26:33.880 But we need

00:26:35.980 to find some

00:26:36.780 way that Russia 0.93

00:26:38.260 is on our side

00:26:39.100 militarily.

00:26:40.800 And it's hard

00:26:42.360 for me to believe

00:26:43.300 that there's so

00:26:44.240 many things that

00:26:45.140 Putin wants that

00:26:46.740 we don't want that

00:26:48.240 we couldn't find

00:26:48.840 some way that

00:26:49.480 we're both

00:26:49.900 better off.

00:26:51.380 Because I feel

00:26:52.380 like Russia, 0.62

00:26:53.120 they're deal

00:26:53.520 makers.

00:26:54.100 Now, maybe you

00:26:54.640 can't trust them.

00:26:55.380 That's a separate

00:26:55.920 issue, right?

00:26:56.760 Maybe they make

00:26:57.540 a deal and you

00:26:58.160 think they'll

00:26:58.520 break it.

00:26:59.460 But they're

00:27:00.720 deal makers.

00:27:02.180 And I can't

00:27:02.780 see any scenario

00:27:03.820 in which we're

00:27:04.580 not better off

00:27:06.080 working with

00:27:07.720 Russia instead 0.98

00:27:09.060 of against them.

00:27:09.980 Now, China is 0.95

00:27:10.580 a different story.

00:27:11.260 If we worked

00:27:12.780 with China for

00:27:14.720 the long run,

00:27:15.800 they would be

00:27:16.500 trying to

00:27:16.920 dominate us.

00:27:18.240 And it would

00:27:19.420 probably be 0.89

00:27:20.160 dumb to even 1.00

00:27:21.060 try. 1.00

00:27:22.460 But I think

00:27:24.240 Russia just has 0.99

00:27:25.180 interests that

00:27:26.200 are common with

00:27:27.240 ours, or could.

00:27:28.460 I mean, right

00:27:28.860 now we're spending

00:27:29.440 all our time with

00:27:30.180 these cyber

00:27:30.980 attacks against

00:27:31.640 each other.

00:27:32.640 Why?

00:27:34.160 Why?

00:27:34.940 It's because we're

00:27:35.840 trying to suppress

00:27:36.740 Russia.

00:27:38.140 Why?

00:27:39.080 Because we think

00:27:39.820 that they're trying

00:27:40.320 to do bad stuff

00:27:41.140 to us because

00:27:41.780 they are.

00:27:43.180 Why?

00:27:45.700 Basically,

00:27:46.180 any dispute

00:27:47.700 between Russia

00:27:48.440 and the United

00:27:48.960 States is

00:27:50.700 completely about

00:27:51.560 what the other

00:27:52.220 one did yesterday.

00:27:53.200 It has nothing

00:27:54.500 to do with our

00:27:55.120 strategic interests,

00:27:56.180 I don't think.

00:27:57.580 I don't think.

00:27:58.480 Because I don't

00:27:59.080 see Russia

00:28:00.140 wanting to

00:28:02.100 conquer

00:28:02.960 Europe.

00:28:05.040 Right?

00:28:05.680 I mean, there

00:28:06.260 are some disputes

00:28:06.960 about Russian-speaking

00:28:08.120 territories, and

00:28:09.160 you know,

00:28:10.380 we have to deal

00:28:11.000 with that.

00:28:11.700 But the bigger

00:28:12.400 picture, I just

00:28:13.480 think we don't

00:28:14.160 have enough

00:28:14.740 not in common.

00:28:17.100 So, that's

00:28:17.940 just my take

00:28:18.740 on that.

00:28:19.940 And then on

00:28:20.780 election fraud.

00:28:24.080 Let's talk

00:28:24.720 about election

00:28:25.260 fraud.

00:28:28.380 As I keep

00:28:29.160 telling you,

00:28:29.720 every day that

00:28:30.340 goes by

00:28:30.960 without

00:28:32.540 confirmation

00:28:37.640 of any kind

00:28:38.600 of election

00:28:39.120 fraud,

00:28:40.040 probably means

00:28:41.640 there's less

00:28:42.520 likelihood we'll

00:28:43.280 ever find it.

00:28:44.660 Do you agree

00:28:45.280 with that

00:28:45.760 general statement?

00:28:48.080 That the longer

00:28:49.120 we go without

00:28:50.000 finding any

00:28:50.680 fraud, the

00:28:52.740 less likely

00:28:53.740 it is there.

00:28:55.240 Would you agree?

00:28:55.860 Now, I know

00:28:56.220 there's some

00:28:56.580 things that they

00:28:57.240 can't look into,

00:28:58.180 there's some

00:28:58.500 stuff that can't

00:28:59.100 be audited,

00:28:59.840 et cetera.

00:29:01.060 But, or let

00:29:02.180 me put it a

00:29:02.980 different way.

00:29:03.700 Because, yeah,

00:29:04.380 you don't know

00:29:04.840 what you don't

00:29:05.260 know, so I

00:29:07.140 guess you could

00:29:07.560 never know that

00:29:08.200 there's something

00:29:08.620 hiding in there

00:29:09.300 because you can't

00:29:10.360 audit it all.

00:29:10.900 But, certainly

00:29:13.340 they haven't

00:29:13.780 found it yet.

00:29:15.700 How many

00:29:16.260 would disagree

00:29:16.840 with the

00:29:17.260 statement?

00:29:20.360 We would

00:29:21.040 know by now

00:29:21.880 if the audit

00:29:23.000 found the

00:29:23.720 goods.

00:29:24.700 We would

00:29:25.120 know by now,

00:29:25.860 even though

00:29:26.240 they haven't

00:29:26.640 officially announced

00:29:27.480 it.

00:29:28.140 How many

00:29:28.440 agree with

00:29:28.880 that?

00:29:29.120 We would

00:29:29.640 know by now

00:29:30.460 because of a

00:29:30.920 leak if they

00:29:32.220 had the

00:29:32.520 goods.

00:29:34.320 Almost all

00:29:35.160 of you are

00:29:35.540 disagreeing.

00:29:37.280 Oh, I like

00:29:37.980 this.

00:29:38.860 This is fun.

00:29:40.900 I saw

00:29:41.600 probably, but

00:29:43.620 almost all of

00:29:44.580 you are

00:29:44.800 disagreeing.

00:29:45.800 Interesting.

00:29:47.760 All right.

00:29:48.340 Well, I like

00:29:49.740 that.

00:29:50.040 That's fun.

00:29:50.600 Because then

00:29:51.160 you can see,

00:29:51.880 you see how

00:29:52.600 good my

00:29:53.180 predicting is.

00:29:55.340 Okay?

00:29:55.960 So do we

00:29:56.500 have, can we

00:29:57.860 say that we

00:29:58.320 have opposing

00:29:59.260 predictions?

00:30:00.740 So my

00:30:01.340 prediction is

00:30:02.160 that no

00:30:04.080 election fraud

00:30:04.740 has been

00:30:05.360 found,

00:30:06.460 massive election

00:30:07.280 fraud, has

00:30:08.260 been found

00:30:08.760 yet.

00:30:09.120 So I'm

00:30:10.760 not talking

00:30:11.220 about whether

00:30:11.740 something is

00:30:12.340 found still

00:30:13.400 in the future.

00:30:15.180 I'm saying

00:30:15.880 that as of

00:30:16.480 right now,

00:30:17.760 my prediction

00:30:18.360 is that

00:30:19.600 nothing will

00:30:20.300 come to the

00:30:20.840 surface that

00:30:22.220 has been

00:30:23.380 found already

00:30:24.740 as of this

00:30:25.600 date.

00:30:26.580 Anybody want

00:30:27.520 to take the

00:30:27.880 other side of

00:30:28.300 that?

00:30:29.340 Who would

00:30:29.940 take the

00:30:30.240 other side of

00:30:30.700 that bet?

00:30:31.360 So my

00:30:31.760 bet is that

00:30:32.500 nothing has

00:30:33.180 been found

00:30:33.720 that's massive

00:30:34.560 fraud that

00:30:35.380 can be proven

00:30:35.960 so far.

00:30:37.340 Let's see

00:30:39.060 in your

00:30:39.300 comments.

00:30:40.780 It will

00:30:41.000 never be

00:30:41.400 enough,

00:30:42.120 correct,

00:30:43.060 probably

00:30:43.940 right,

00:30:44.720 agree,

00:30:45.920 not taking

00:30:46.520 that bet,

00:30:47.300 agreed.

00:30:48.840 I'm seeing

00:30:49.660 a little bit

00:30:50.280 of capitulation

00:30:52.360 here.

00:30:53.400 Have you ever

00:30:54.040 heard that

00:30:54.340 word capitulation

00:30:55.380 in terms of

00:30:56.560 the stock

00:30:57.600 market?

00:30:59.300 Yeah,

00:30:59.980 that's what

00:31:00.300 it looks

00:31:00.560 like.

00:31:01.180 It looks

00:31:01.660 like capitulation.

00:31:03.080 I feel as

00:31:03.860 if the

00:31:05.660 people who

00:31:06.260 were, let's

00:31:06.820 say optimistic

00:31:07.580 if you

00:31:08.140 could call

00:31:08.540 it that,

00:31:09.580 that the

00:31:10.040 audit would

00:31:10.440 find massive

00:31:11.360 fraud, I

00:31:12.500 feel like

00:31:13.040 you're losing

00:31:13.560 your optimism

00:31:14.160 now, right?

00:31:15.560 Now keep

00:31:15.980 in mind,

00:31:16.540 this was my

00:31:17.160 prediction.

00:31:18.240 Yeah.

00:31:19.020 You reframed

00:31:20.160 it.

00:31:21.100 Yeah, I did

00:31:21.920 change the

00:31:22.360 question, right?

00:31:24.960 Is he

00:31:25.540 reading locals

00:31:26.200 comments or

00:31:26.800 YouTube?

00:31:27.280 Both.

00:31:28.080 I can see

00:31:28.840 them both.

00:31:29.980 So I was

00:31:31.140 getting more

00:31:31.520 comments on

00:31:32.060 locals agreeing

00:31:34.820 with me.

00:31:35.260 There's a

00:31:36.740 timing difference.

00:31:37.820 If you do

00:31:38.140 a comment on

00:31:38.900 locals, I

00:31:39.540 see it almost

00:31:40.060 immediately.

00:31:41.420 If you do

00:31:41.960 a comment on

00:31:42.600 YouTube, I

00:31:43.840 think there's

00:31:44.320 maybe a 20

00:31:45.900 second delay

00:31:46.580 or something.

00:31:49.560 They have

00:31:50.240 found fraud,

00:31:51.080 but they need

00:31:51.560 the routers to

00:31:52.400 prove it.

00:31:52.860 Somebody says

00:31:53.400 no.

00:31:54.380 That would

00:31:54.780 be they

00:31:55.560 haven't found

00:31:56.160 fraud.

00:31:57.020 If you

00:31:57.360 still need

00:31:57.960 something to

00:31:58.560 prove it,

00:31:59.300 you haven't

00:31:59.720 found it.

00:32:01.120 We always

00:32:01.600 had suspicions.

00:32:02.940 There were

00:32:03.280 plenty of

00:32:03.660 things that

00:32:04.140 looked sketchy,

00:32:05.260 but if you

00:32:06.220 still need

00:32:06.740 something to

00:32:07.240 prove it,

00:32:07.640 you haven't

00:32:07.920 found it.

00:32:09.000 That's my

00:32:09.620 point.

00:32:10.480 Now, does

00:32:11.220 that mean it's

00:32:11.680 not there?

00:32:14.240 Let me say

00:32:15.100 again my

00:32:16.500 overall opinion

00:32:17.360 of the

00:32:18.000 election.

00:32:18.820 The election

00:32:19.340 is designed

00:32:20.320 to hide

00:32:21.800 fraud.

00:32:23.880 The election

00:32:24.740 is designed

00:32:25.660 to hide

00:32:27.200 fraud because

00:32:28.240 you can't

00:32:28.720 audit parts

00:32:29.860 of it with

00:32:30.440 the digital

00:32:31.180 part.

00:32:31.480 fraud.

00:32:32.060 That's a

00:32:32.740 design choice.

00:32:37.440 It's not

00:32:38.140 an accident.

00:32:42.340 So if you

00:32:43.200 design something

00:32:43.960 to hide

00:32:44.700 fraud, and

00:32:46.180 it's a high

00:32:46.680 value target,

00:32:47.720 and lots of

00:32:48.240 people are

00:32:48.600 going to try

00:32:49.140 because it's

00:32:49.780 a high value

00:32:50.300 target, the

00:32:51.540 one thing you

00:32:52.280 can say with

00:32:52.840 certainty is

00:32:53.620 that at some

00:32:55.020 point it will

00:32:56.800 be subject to

00:32:58.220 fraud.

00:32:58.460 you just

00:32:59.520 don't know

00:32:59.840 if it

00:33:00.040 happened

00:33:00.280 already.

00:33:01.220 The only

00:33:01.760 thing you

00:33:02.200 don't know

00:33:02.760 is if it

00:33:03.840 happened

00:33:04.160 already.

00:33:05.920 Now, that's

00:33:06.480 a mystery we

00:33:07.180 need to solve,

00:33:08.280 and it looks

00:33:09.100 like we're not

00:33:09.620 going to solve

00:33:10.140 it, at least

00:33:10.940 in terms of

00:33:11.460 not going to

00:33:11.880 find any

00:33:12.260 evidence.

00:33:15.320 Scott

00:33:15.680 apparently

00:33:16.020 doesn't

00:33:16.380 realize his

00:33:17.140 YouTube show

00:33:18.540 has an

00:33:18.940 inherent delay.

00:33:20.440 Now, you

00:33:21.120 may have

00:33:21.620 missed my

00:33:22.360 mocking from

00:33:23.200 just a moment

00:33:24.080 ago, in

00:33:25.840 which I said,

00:33:27.020 why do people

00:33:28.100 tell me what

00:33:28.740 I don't

00:33:29.120 know?

00:33:30.260 Scott

00:33:30.640 doesn't

00:33:30.940 know that

00:33:32.060 YouTube has

00:33:32.900 an inherent

00:33:33.320 delay.

00:33:34.740 Yeah, I

00:33:35.120 do know

00:33:35.460 that.

00:33:36.760 I do know

00:33:37.580 that.

00:33:38.480 Now, you

00:33:38.780 could call it

00:33:39.300 inherent or

00:33:40.220 any other

00:33:41.580 word, but I

00:33:42.580 know that the

00:33:43.120 system has a

00:33:43.780 delay.

00:33:49.680 Let's see.

00:33:52.940 I'm going to

00:33:53.640 have to run

00:33:54.400 it a little

00:33:54.740 bit.

00:33:55.080 I've got

00:33:55.340 something I

00:33:55.780 got to do.

00:33:57.300 But is

00:33:57.800 there any

00:33:58.300 news that

00:33:59.100 doesn't

00:33:59.440 involve China 0.97

00:34:00.220 being bad?

00:34:02.060 Do you

00:34:02.320 notice that?

00:34:03.900 How much

00:34:04.700 of our

00:34:04.980 news has

00:34:06.700 to do

00:34:07.020 with China?

00:34:09.520 A lot,

00:34:10.780 right?

00:34:11.600 China is 0.85

00:34:12.280 either directly

00:34:13.020 or indirectly,

00:34:14.700 either by,

00:34:15.500 you know, we

00:34:15.760 have to

00:34:16.020 compete with

00:34:16.560 them, or

00:34:17.240 something about

00:34:18.260 climate change

00:34:19.420 is changing

00:34:19.900 our energy

00:34:20.500 policy, and

00:34:21.540 our fentanyl,

00:34:23.480 you know, our

00:34:23.820 homeless and

00:34:24.520 fentanyl, and

00:34:25.260 deaths is about

00:34:26.060 China, the 0.95

00:34:27.200 COVID is

00:34:27.820 about China,

00:34:28.800 the Afghanistan

00:34:29.600 is about

00:34:30.260 China.

00:34:31.160 It's all

00:34:31.860 about China.

00:34:34.460 Stop Asian 1.00

00:34:35.520 hate. 0.98

00:34:39.080 Stop Asian 1.00

00:34:40.160 hate?

00:34:42.440 Where did you

00:34:43.300 see Asian

00:34:43.860 hate?

00:34:45.480 Did you

00:34:46.060 imagine that

00:34:46.640 you saw some

00:34:47.140 of that there?

00:34:48.220 You know the

00:34:48.820 United States

00:34:49.600 has tons of

00:34:51.700 Asian Americans,

00:34:52.560 all patriots?

00:34:55.640 And you

00:34:56.980 know it has

00:34:57.320 nothing to do

00:34:57.880 with that,

00:34:58.420 right?

00:35:00.120 You know,

00:35:00.680 one of the

00:35:01.040 things about,

00:35:01.800 you might not

00:35:02.600 be American,

00:35:03.480 whoever said

00:35:04.020 that.

00:35:05.520 Yeah, that

00:35:05.980 could be a 0.97

00:35:06.340 China troll, 0.98

00:35:07.080 you're right. 0.96

00:35:07.780 But let me

00:35:08.320 explain America.

00:35:10.320 We're not

00:35:10.820 really about

00:35:11.280 that, in

00:35:12.660 terms of

00:35:13.300 our, you

00:35:14.320 know, our,

00:35:15.960 let's say,

00:35:16.680 our point of

00:35:17.080 view about the

00:35:17.620 outside world.

00:35:18.840 it's not

00:35:21.360 anti-Asian.

00:35:23.980 The United

00:35:24.900 States is a

00:35:26.220 bunch of 0.99

00:35:26.860 mutts.

00:35:27.820 We're just a

00:35:28.260 bunch of

00:35:28.700 stuff thrown

00:35:29.880 together.

00:35:30.920 Like, that's

00:35:31.640 not our deal

00:35:32.220 here.

00:35:32.920 It's about the

00:35:33.740 government.

00:35:35.420 The Chinese 0.89

00:35:35.860 people?

00:35:37.020 Tremendous

00:35:37.520 people.

00:35:38.840 How many

00:35:39.600 Chinese-American

00:35:40.940 friends, you

00:35:42.420 know, do you

00:35:42.800 have?

00:35:43.120 I've got lots.

00:35:44.840 Right?

00:35:45.500 Family members?

00:35:47.000 Family members

00:35:47.740 as well.

00:35:48.140 So, it's

00:35:50.420 definitely not

00:35:51.020 about Chinese

00:35:51.960 people.

00:35:52.940 Chinese people

00:35:53.500 are awesome.

00:35:55.200 Chinese

00:35:55.520 government?

00:35:56.900 Well, Chinese 1.00

00:35:58.060 government?

00:35:58.720 Not so

00:35:59.140 awesome.

00:36:00.000 And I think

00:36:00.560 the Chinese

00:36:01.020 people would

00:36:02.120 agree with

00:36:02.940 most of

00:36:03.400 that.

00:36:04.300 So, definitely

00:36:05.060 not about any

00:36:05.920 anti-Asian

00:36:07.620 anything.

00:36:08.220 We don't do

00:36:08.640 that here.

00:36:09.820 This is not

00:36:10.740 the live stream

00:36:11.480 where you're

00:36:11.800 going to see

00:36:12.080 anti-anything

00:36:14.200 like that.

00:36:15.820 Okay?

00:36:18.140 Somebody

00:36:18.900 says, same

00:36:19.400 with the

00:36:19.720 Iranians.

00:36:20.480 Love them,

00:36:21.160 but cannot

00:36:21.560 stand the

00:36:22.160 Ayatollah.

00:36:22.940 Yeah.

00:36:23.580 If you

00:36:23.920 spend, I

00:36:24.820 don't know

00:36:25.080 why you

00:36:25.360 state each

00:36:26.480 of you are

00:36:26.880 in, of

00:36:27.160 course, but

00:36:28.240 in California

00:36:29.060 you meet

00:36:29.720 tons of

00:36:30.540 Iranian-Americans.

00:36:32.520 And what

00:36:33.360 do they

00:36:33.740 mostly have in

00:36:34.600 common?

00:36:35.580 They're

00:36:35.840 awesome.

00:36:37.120 They're

00:36:37.600 awesome.

00:36:38.420 Maybe it's a

00:36:39.200 coincidence, but

00:36:40.260 it seems like

00:36:40.700 every time I

00:36:41.260 meet somebody

00:36:41.720 who has some

00:36:42.580 Iranian

00:36:43.140 background,

00:36:45.000 Persian if you

00:36:45.920 prefer, they're

00:36:47.320 pretty awesome.

00:36:49.180 I don't know.

00:36:49.520 It seems like a

00:36:50.320 pattern that I

00:36:51.020 recognize.

00:36:54.180 So it's

00:36:54.840 definitely not

00:36:55.280 about that.

00:36:57.940 All right.

00:37:00.040 Yeah, I'm

00:37:00.680 talking about

00:37:01.280 our government 0.87

00:37:04.860 is pretty crappy 0.90

00:37:05.620 these days.

00:37:06.600 You know, I

00:37:07.180 wonder, do you

00:37:08.600 think our

00:37:08.980 government is

00:37:09.600 actually crappier?

00:37:11.680 Oh, look at

00:37:12.120 this, a rapid

00:37:12.600 test device.

00:37:13.960 Or do you

00:37:14.360 think that we

00:37:14.880 just know it

00:37:15.500 now?

00:37:15.920 Because I

00:37:16.400 wonder if

00:37:16.880 anything's

00:37:17.500 ever been

00:37:17.900 better.

00:37:19.000 I'm seeing

00:37:19.380 on the

00:37:19.660 locals platform

00:37:20.440 where they

00:37:21.000 can paste

00:37:21.840 pictures into

00:37:22.560 the comments.

00:37:24.000 There's a

00:37:24.580 COVID-19 rapid

00:37:25.480 test device.

00:37:28.440 It looks like

00:37:29.260 Chinese lettering

00:37:30.280 on it.

00:37:31.300 Where's that

00:37:31.740 from?

00:37:33.280 I'd like to

00:37:34.000 know where

00:37:34.280 that comes

00:37:34.700 from.

00:37:38.240 All right.

00:37:42.720 Okay.

00:37:43.420 I don't know

00:37:43.900 what some of

00:37:44.320 these comments

00:37:44.740 are about.

00:37:45.120 But I'm

00:37:46.280 going to go

00:37:46.720 get ready to

00:37:47.400 do something

00:37:47.760 else.

00:37:48.660 And I'm

00:37:49.300 still working

00:37:49.780 on a

00:37:50.380 micro lesson

00:37:51.740 that I'll

00:37:52.100 post on

00:37:52.560 Locals about

00:37:53.700 managing your

00:37:55.140 ego and

00:37:56.900 embarrassment.

00:37:57.980 Now, I've

00:37:58.460 done this

00:37:58.820 topic before,

00:38:00.320 but there

00:38:01.160 seems to be a

00:38:02.340 hunger for it

00:38:03.100 because, in my

00:38:03.980 opinion, it's

00:38:04.540 the biggest

00:38:05.040 problem that

00:38:06.520 bothers you,

00:38:07.620 is your ego.

00:38:08.560 You just don't

00:38:09.180 know it.

00:38:09.540 So I'm

00:38:10.860 going to do

00:38:11.120 that fairly

00:38:13.420 soon.

00:38:14.300 And by the

00:38:14.760 way, part of

00:38:15.560 the reason that

00:38:16.060 my micro

00:38:16.980 lessons have

00:38:17.540 slowed down is

00:38:18.240 I'm having

00:38:18.680 house construction

00:38:19.700 and it's

00:38:20.960 noisy here most

00:38:21.860 of the day

00:38:22.180 after I finish

00:38:22.880 this, so it's

00:38:24.380 just not good

00:38:24.920 for filming

00:38:25.480 during the day

00:38:26.120 or live

00:38:27.040 streaming.

00:38:29.320 Any micro

00:38:30.120 lesson on the

00:38:30.720 imposter syndrome?

00:38:32.400 You know, I'll

00:38:33.280 work that in

00:38:33.860 there.

00:38:34.160 I'll work that

00:38:34.700 into the same

00:38:35.280 topic.

00:38:36.740 All right, that's

00:38:37.480 all I've got for

00:38:37.840 now.

00:38:38.680 I'll see you

00:38:39.100 tomorrow.

00:38:39.880 Thank you.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - August 16, 2021

Episode 1470 Scott Adams： Hidin' Biden's Botched War, China Badness, and Persuasion Fun

Episode Stats

Summary

Transcript