Real Coffee with Scott Adams - September 01, 2021


Episode 1486 Scott Adams： Possibly the Most Entertaining and Informative Live Stream in the History of the Universe


Episode Stats

Length

52 minutes

Words per Minute

152.01147

Word Count

8,022

Sentence Count

184

Misogynist Sentences

18

Hate Speech Sentences

30


Summary

How bad are things in California? How bad has Governor Gavin Newsom screwed the pooch? Well, let me just give you a little clue about how badly California is managed at the moment, and how bad things are getting.


Transcript

00:00:00.000 Pum, pum, pum, pum, pum.
00:00:03.120 Good morning, everybody.
00:00:05.440 What a glorious day.
00:00:07.560 It might be one of the best days of all time.
00:00:10.980 Maybe. Maybe. Don't know.
00:00:14.460 And I see that one of the commenters
00:00:16.560 has already gotten ahead of things and said,
00:00:18.860 Scott, Scott, Scott, you're wrong.
00:00:22.320 That's exactly the kind of insightful commentary
00:00:24.760 I've come to expect.
00:00:26.160 Because I spend time on social media.
00:00:30.000 And that's a pretty good comment on social media.
00:00:33.520 But let's say, let's say today wasn't good enough.
00:00:39.400 Let's say there was a little bit of joy
00:00:42.020 you could still squeeze out of this day
00:00:44.220 and you don't have it yet.
00:00:45.560 What would you do?
00:00:47.060 Hmm. Maybe the simultaneous sip.
00:00:50.240 Yeah, it could be the only thing you don't have right now.
00:00:52.740 And all you need is a cup or a mug or a glass,
00:00:54.500 a tank or a chalice or a canteen, a jug or a flask,
00:00:57.380 a vessel of any kind.
00:01:00.000 Fill it with your favorite liquid.
00:01:02.180 I like coffee.
00:01:04.280 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure.
00:01:07.880 The dopamine here of the day,
00:01:08.960 the thing that makes everything better.
00:01:11.220 It's called the simultaneous sip.
00:01:13.260 And it rocks you around the world.
00:01:15.620 Go.
00:01:15.820 Oh, I see there are some conscientious objectors.
00:01:25.100 Somebody here in the comments says,
00:01:27.000 I'll sip when I want to sip.
00:01:29.580 Yeah.
00:01:30.680 That's what everybody says in the beginning.
00:01:33.520 But over time, you'll notice that the sippers are happier,
00:01:38.300 better looking,
00:01:39.780 a lot healthier,
00:01:40.760 and dare I say sexier.
00:01:43.940 Now, you could keep holding out.
00:01:45.840 And it's a free country.
00:01:47.360 And I wouldn't discourage you from being your own person,
00:01:51.340 dancing to your own beat,
00:01:52.720 and having it your way.
00:01:55.640 It turns out that your way will be less awesome than the other way.
00:01:59.360 But certainly you have that option.
00:02:01.400 And I hope you express it perfectly.
00:02:05.280 Well, here's an update on California.
00:02:08.220 I can't go to the gym
00:02:09.680 because I don't want to work out with a mask.
00:02:12.680 A lot of people can't go to work still.
00:02:16.680 I can't take a walk
00:02:18.060 because the air quality is too low
00:02:20.280 because of all the forest fires.
00:02:22.460 But there is one thing that we can do in Northern California
00:02:25.820 that other people don't have access to.
00:02:28.200 So no matter how bad things are,
00:02:30.240 right where you live,
00:02:31.880 there might be needles on the street
00:02:33.920 and there might be homeless.
00:02:35.640 You know, you might have any number of problems,
00:02:37.460 including not being able to breathe when you go outside.
00:02:39.760 But we do have this asset in Northern California
00:02:43.240 called Lake Tahoe.
00:02:45.660 Now, if you're not familiar with it,
00:02:46.980 Lake Tahoe is a super clear lake
00:02:49.760 and a vacation, even gambling, destination.
00:02:54.180 And it's a three- or four-hour drive
00:02:56.700 depending on where you live in Northern California.
00:02:58.700 So it's kind of perfect for the getaway.
00:03:01.840 So Lake Tahoe, you know,
00:03:04.300 everything else is going to hell in California,
00:03:06.440 but at least we have Lake Tahoe.
00:03:09.600 Hold on.
00:03:11.340 I'm getting an update.
00:03:14.080 Lake Tahoe is on fire.
00:03:17.120 And all 22,000 residents have been told to get out.
00:03:20.820 Okay, like I was saying,
00:03:24.000 we don't really have Lake Tahoe to go to,
00:03:27.000 but I'm sure we have other things.
00:03:30.560 I'm sure there are other things.
00:03:32.720 But how's your state doing?
00:03:36.280 How's your state doing?
00:03:37.080 Is your state running low on water, electricity,
00:03:41.320 and breathable air and unburnt homes?
00:03:43.540 Because we're running low on that stuff here in California.
00:03:47.420 And don't tell me, Florida, about your zero taxes.
00:03:51.080 That just makes me feel terrible.
00:03:53.020 It really does.
00:03:54.780 Now, how bad are things in California?
00:03:58.720 How bad has Governor Newsom screwed the pooch?
00:04:02.840 Well, let me just give you a little clue
00:04:06.640 about how badly California is managed at the moment.
00:04:11.160 So badly that we have to make up new vocabulary words.
00:04:16.680 Well, we don't make them up,
00:04:17.880 but we have to introduce entirely new words
00:04:21.220 for how bad things are.
00:04:23.000 I'm not making this up, by the way.
00:04:25.460 As of today, California came up with a new word
00:04:30.180 to describe what's happening.
00:04:31.900 Apparently, the Tahoe Fire is so bad
00:04:34.660 that it's creating what are called pyrocumulus clouds,
00:04:40.180 which are more than just menacing looking.
00:04:42.740 Oh, yes, they're more than menacing.
00:04:44.540 These pyrocumulus clouds are so intense
00:04:48.680 that NASA has dubbed them
00:04:50.680 the fire-breathing dragons of clouds
00:04:53.760 due to its sheer intensity.
00:04:57.100 That's right.
00:04:58.500 Things are so bad in California
00:05:00.940 that super clouds have formed.
00:05:03.700 Super clouds have formed.
00:05:05.380 Super clouds.
00:05:06.900 Super clouds of death have formed over the state.
00:05:11.760 Now, we're having a recall election,
00:05:15.200 and if Larry Elder can't beat a sitting governor
00:05:20.080 who is being possibly recalled
00:05:21.820 because things are so bad
00:05:25.040 that death clouds are forming over the state,
00:05:29.100 and we have to come up with new names for it
00:05:31.000 because we haven't even heard of anything so bad before.
00:05:34.580 How do you lose?
00:05:36.460 If you're running against him
00:05:39.340 and you're leading in the polls like Larry Elder,
00:05:41.780 how do you lose?
00:05:43.100 How is that possible?
00:05:45.960 I mean, anything could happen.
00:05:47.420 I'm not going to make a prediction about the election,
00:05:49.620 except that I think the recall
00:05:53.200 will probably be polling lower
00:05:55.380 than it will actually turn out.
00:05:56.960 Here's a propaganda news.
00:06:02.440 Propaganda news.
00:06:07.060 Carpe Dunctum says,
00:06:08.400 South Park was right.
00:06:09.680 Smog is real.
00:06:11.480 Yes.
00:06:12.720 David Smith tweeted,
00:06:15.240 a Reuters headline,
00:06:18.340 that this is how Reuters describes this news.
00:06:22.540 So Reuters says,
00:06:24.420 analysis.
00:06:25.860 U.S. liberals see dwindling legal options
00:06:28.600 to challenge voting curbs.
00:06:31.480 Voting curbs?
00:06:33.820 Who's trying to put on voting curbs?
00:06:37.140 Anybody?
00:06:38.300 Anybody?
00:06:39.160 Well, apparently,
00:06:40.100 according to this Reuters headline,
00:06:43.020 trying to stop election fraud
00:06:45.460 is voting curbs.
00:06:48.300 Yeah, voting curbs.
00:06:50.000 It's not trying to stop election fraud.
00:06:53.360 It's trying to stop voting.
00:06:55.980 Now, let me confess
00:06:58.760 that whether it's a Democrat or a Republican
00:07:02.420 who's trying to change any rules about voting,
00:07:06.100 it doesn't matter if it's a Democrat or a Republican.
00:07:08.660 The real reason is, right?
00:07:11.860 I mean, it doesn't matter who's doing it.
00:07:13.380 The Republicans are doing it at the moment.
00:07:15.340 And of course they're trying to change the rules
00:07:17.580 so they can win.
00:07:18.380 And of course it's not 100%
00:07:21.180 about reducing fraud.
00:07:24.900 Conveniently,
00:07:25.880 it probably would reduce fraud.
00:07:27.940 Conveniently.
00:07:28.920 But that's not why they do it.
00:07:30.740 If the fraud worked in their favor,
00:07:32.620 they wouldn't be doing it.
00:07:34.100 Right?
00:07:34.300 So certainly the reason is political,
00:07:38.140 even if the outcome is something
00:07:40.380 that you would ask for,
00:07:41.480 for our election.
00:07:43.340 Here's some more fake news,
00:07:44.880 this time on social media.
00:07:46.240 I don't think any of the news networks
00:07:48.000 picked this up.
00:07:49.460 But on social media,
00:07:51.180 there's a clip that got over 400,000 views
00:07:55.440 of what appears to be House Speaker Pelosi saying
00:07:59.640 after sort of a hot mic situation,
00:08:02.820 am I on?
00:08:03.980 No, we don't want him to talk,
00:08:05.680 talking about Biden.
00:08:07.120 So it's a fake video, fake news.
00:08:10.480 So if you think that Nancy Pelosi said on a hot mic,
00:08:14.340 no, we don't want Biden to talk,
00:08:17.180 that didn't happen.
00:08:17.980 All right.
00:08:19.680 Here's anecdotal persuasion of the day.
00:08:22.620 Remember I told you CNN will do one story per day,
00:08:26.140 and it's kind of funny watching it
00:08:27.580 because I have to reach to get that one story,
00:08:29.980 about the non-vaccinated person
00:08:32.900 who regrets it now,
00:08:35.140 regrets it now,
00:08:36.480 and here's today.
00:08:39.340 So this is on CNN's page.
00:08:43.300 Friend shares conservative vaccine deniers.
00:08:46.940 Last words to her.
00:08:49.580 So Anderson Cooper 360.
00:08:50.940 I said there's a growing list of conservatives
00:08:54.120 who have used their platform
00:08:55.560 to discourage people from getting a vaccine,
00:08:58.160 but they did not live long enough
00:08:59.900 to tell them how they regret it,
00:09:02.140 CNN's Sarah Sidner reports.
00:09:04.500 So watch this.
00:09:05.320 Once a day,
00:09:06.500 CNN will do an anecdotal persuasion report
00:09:09.500 about the conservative
00:09:11.580 who was against vaccinations and died.
00:09:14.840 Now let me think.
00:09:15.760 Are there any other large identifiable groups
00:09:22.240 that are also low on the vaccination rates?
00:09:26.420 Who could it be?
00:09:27.720 Who could it be?
00:09:29.280 Black America?
00:09:31.940 I'm waiting for the stories on CNN
00:09:34.140 in which they say black Americans
00:09:36.840 are regretting that they didn't get vaccinated
00:09:40.060 and they're dying from COVID.
00:09:41.820 But no,
00:09:43.280 it seems like all the anecdotes they pick
00:09:45.380 are of white fat conservatives.
00:09:51.240 So that's news?
00:09:53.120 Is this news or is this propaganda?
00:09:55.500 It's propaganda.
00:09:56.840 It's pure,
00:09:58.000 unadulterated propaganda.
00:10:01.000 Now you could argue that it's good for you.
00:10:03.500 Right?
00:10:03.740 The people who think vaccinations are good.
00:10:05.460 And I'm in the camp that got a vaccination.
00:10:09.020 So I would be in that camp.
00:10:10.480 I don't care what you do.
00:10:12.180 Let's get that clear.
00:10:13.560 I don't care what you do.
00:10:15.380 I just want to get my own vaccination.
00:10:17.240 You do you.
00:10:18.100 I'll do me.
00:10:19.200 And we'll all be good.
00:10:23.300 Here's some more fake news.
00:10:26.700 We talked about this.
00:10:27.940 I predicted that the video
00:10:30.420 that was going around the internet
00:10:31.640 of what appeared to be a Taliban
00:10:34.420 in a helicopter
00:10:35.920 hanging somebody
00:10:37.100 dangling from the helicopter.
00:10:39.500 I predicted that that was fake news
00:10:41.840 and that that was not actually
00:10:43.040 a video of a hanging.
00:10:44.440 Or if it was,
00:10:45.920 it wasn't the context
00:10:47.220 that we thought it was.
00:10:48.600 And it turns out
00:10:49.420 that a respected journalist
00:10:51.200 in that area
00:10:52.040 is personally acquainted
00:10:54.860 with the pilot of that helicopter
00:10:56.320 and knows that it was actually
00:10:58.580 a guy in a harness
00:10:59.460 who was attempting to install
00:11:01.460 the Taliban flag from the area
00:11:02.980 but it didn't work in the end.
00:11:04.240 So you didn't see any flag stuff
00:11:05.900 because whatever they were trying to do
00:11:07.060 didn't work out.
00:11:08.440 But you could see his arms moving.
00:11:13.020 Couldn't you?
00:11:14.660 Couldn't you see his arms moving?
00:11:16.580 Nobody hangs somebody
00:11:17.880 without tying their arms.
00:11:20.040 If you don't tie somebody's arms
00:11:21.780 behind their back
00:11:22.540 and you hang them,
00:11:23.800 they just reach up
00:11:24.600 and grab the rope.
00:11:26.320 And then it takes forever
00:11:27.420 for them to die
00:11:28.280 because they'll just be hanging there
00:11:29.260 like...
00:11:29.880 And you'll be looking at your watch
00:11:32.920 like Joe Biden.
00:11:33.900 You're like...
00:11:34.500 I don't know how strong he is
00:11:37.680 but he's been hanging there
00:11:38.720 a good 20 minutes.
00:11:40.200 We do have lunch plans.
00:11:42.400 Can we maybe next time
00:11:44.120 tie his hands behind his back?
00:11:45.760 This is not a good way
00:11:47.080 to hang somebody.
00:11:48.880 Now, here's the persuasion angle on this.
00:11:52.560 If you saw the video
00:11:54.520 after somebody tweeted
00:11:56.160 that it was an example
00:11:57.700 of the Taliban
00:11:58.320 hanging somebody,
00:11:59.800 that's what you saw.
00:12:01.660 If you read a tweet
00:12:02.940 that said it was
00:12:03.840 somebody hanging
00:12:05.080 from a helicopter,
00:12:06.960 you saw hanging.
00:12:08.920 I know I did
00:12:09.620 because I read
00:12:11.200 the priming sentence first
00:12:13.200 and then I looked at it
00:12:14.040 and I thought,
00:12:14.320 oh my God,
00:12:15.480 that does look like
00:12:16.380 somebody hanging
00:12:16.940 from a Taliban helicopter.
00:12:19.700 But then I thought about it
00:12:21.040 for five seconds
00:12:21.820 and I thought,
00:12:22.740 probably not.
00:12:23.920 it's a little bit
00:12:25.400 too on the nose,
00:12:27.780 if you know what I mean.
00:12:28.700 A little bit too on the nose.
00:12:29.860 It's exactly what you expected.
00:12:32.600 So when you get
00:12:33.500 exactly what you expect,
00:12:35.840 all your flags
00:12:36.560 should go up, right?
00:12:37.420 Sometimes you do get
00:12:38.320 exactly what you expect.
00:12:40.080 That's not unusual.
00:12:41.780 But always,
00:12:43.040 always be a little cautious
00:12:44.220 of getting exactly
00:12:45.460 the news story
00:12:46.400 everybody said
00:12:47.120 was going to happen.
00:12:49.200 Now, obviously,
00:12:50.080 the Taliban is doing
00:12:50.900 some bad stuff over there.
00:12:52.520 But this was so showy
00:12:55.180 that it was a little bit
00:12:56.660 too much on the nose.
00:12:58.760 All right.
00:13:00.380 Yossi Gestetner
00:13:01.700 on Twitter.
00:13:02.980 I haven't seen
00:13:03.480 much of him lately.
00:13:04.280 I wonder what happened to him.
00:13:05.840 He used to be very active,
00:13:07.180 but I don't know
00:13:07.780 if I'm just being
00:13:08.620 banned from seeing him,
00:13:10.680 but I haven't seen
00:13:11.200 a tweet from him
00:13:11.900 forever,
00:13:12.780 it seems like.
00:13:15.140 He said,
00:13:15.820 there are seven incidents
00:13:17.180 in the last three days
00:13:18.760 with the Biden administration
00:13:19.820 that would have been
00:13:21.660 days-long scandals
00:13:23.340 if the big media
00:13:24.540 had decided
00:13:25.100 to make it that way.
00:13:26.760 So this is
00:13:27.660 a reasonably independent voice
00:13:30.060 if you don't know
00:13:30.880 who Yossi is.
00:13:32.600 I've seen him
00:13:33.380 take positions
00:13:33.980 that seem at least
00:13:35.120 reasonably independent,
00:13:36.460 doesn't seem to be
00:13:37.240 exactly a team-only player.
00:13:40.360 I think he's a team player
00:13:41.280 like most people,
00:13:42.080 but he does seem
00:13:43.100 to be able to be
00:13:43.780 a little bit independent.
00:13:45.380 Fact-check me on that
00:13:46.320 if I'm wrong about that,
00:13:47.320 but that's what
00:13:47.920 my memory serves me.
00:13:49.820 And he's saying,
00:13:52.540 he's pointing out
00:13:53.400 that there would have been
00:13:54.200 seven gigantic stories
00:13:57.220 about the Biden administration
00:13:59.300 recently,
00:14:00.100 you know,
00:14:00.260 bad stories,
00:14:00.980 scandals,
00:14:01.660 and they just decided
00:14:02.920 not to.
00:14:04.600 So I guess it's just
00:14:06.340 one scandal
00:14:07.080 about people left behind
00:14:08.260 in Afghanistan
00:14:08.960 and of course
00:14:10.380 the Marines
00:14:10.860 get killed
00:14:11.360 at the last few days.
00:14:13.440 But,
00:14:13.860 and Yossi
00:14:15.780 warns us
00:14:17.000 that you have to watch
00:14:18.000 the dog
00:14:18.620 not barking,
00:14:19.420 basically.
00:14:20.280 You have to watch
00:14:20.960 for the fact
00:14:21.460 that the media
00:14:22.060 has decided
00:14:22.860 not to make
00:14:23.700 a story out of something
00:14:24.640 because that's
00:14:25.480 a story too.
00:14:26.860 When somebody decides
00:14:27.940 it's not a story,
00:14:29.720 they've made a very,
00:14:30.980 very big decision
00:14:31.860 for the rest
00:14:32.420 of the country.
00:14:33.900 So watch out
00:14:34.520 for that.
00:14:36.500 The Matt Gaetz story
00:14:38.040 is getting interesting.
00:14:40.600 So there were two parts
00:14:42.280 to the Matt Gaetz story.
00:14:44.260 Number one,
00:14:45.880 he was accused
00:14:46.580 of doing some
00:14:47.500 underage
00:14:48.260 sex trafficking thing
00:14:49.940 which we have seen
00:14:51.260 no alleged victim
00:14:52.880 come forward
00:14:54.100 and no evidence
00:14:56.100 that it really happened.
00:14:57.900 There are allegations
00:14:58.620 but we haven't seen
00:15:00.020 anything that looks
00:15:00.660 like evidence
00:15:01.220 that any of it
00:15:01.780 actually happened.
00:15:02.660 I'm not saying
00:15:03.220 it did or it didn't
00:15:04.060 because how would I know?
00:15:06.280 I'm just saying
00:15:06.820 that we haven't seen evidence.
00:15:08.420 So very similar
00:15:09.200 to how the Democrats
00:15:10.620 say well there's
00:15:11.540 no fraud in the election
00:15:13.240 because we haven't
00:15:13.940 seen any evidence
00:15:14.860 or at least proof
00:15:15.960 they would say.
00:15:17.460 I haven't seen
00:15:18.160 any evidence
00:15:18.760 and the longer
00:15:20.840 you wait
00:15:21.580 for evidence
00:15:23.880 of this allegation
00:15:24.960 the less likely
00:15:26.520 it's going to happen.
00:15:28.080 Now I give you
00:15:28.700 this rule all the time
00:15:29.860 and there are now
00:15:30.660 one, two, three, four,
00:15:31.600 here are five examples
00:15:32.920 and four of them
00:15:34.800 are still hot
00:15:35.580 meaning we're still
00:15:36.620 watching them.
00:15:37.660 So here are
00:15:38.240 five examples
00:15:39.340 of something
00:15:40.780 that demonstrates
00:15:42.200 this point
00:15:42.860 that the longer
00:15:43.700 you wait
00:15:44.440 to find out
00:15:45.940 that somebody
00:15:46.400 did something bad
00:15:47.420 the less likely
00:15:48.840 it's true
00:15:49.440 because you would
00:15:51.480 at least hear leaks
00:15:52.640 and stuff
00:15:53.660 so every day
00:15:54.920 that goes by
00:15:55.740 that an allegation
00:15:57.440 no matter what
00:15:58.020 the allegation is
00:15:58.740 is unproven
00:15:59.580 it's less likely
00:16:01.500 it'll ever be proven.
00:16:02.920 Now that's not true
00:16:03.600 in the first
00:16:04.100 two weeks or something
00:16:05.600 because nobody
00:16:06.180 has any information
00:16:06.960 but if you go
00:16:08.020 a year
00:16:08.520 or if you go
00:16:10.440 six months
00:16:11.600 that starts
00:16:13.160 to tell you
00:16:13.720 something
00:16:14.080 really six months
00:16:15.320 a year
00:16:16.320 you can't find
00:16:16.980 anything
00:16:17.320 after six months
00:16:18.760 of looking
00:16:19.100 nothing
00:16:20.120 probably indicates
00:16:22.180 there's nothing
00:16:22.620 there.
00:16:23.820 So here are the ones
00:16:24.400 that we're waiting
00:16:24.940 on
00:16:25.120 the sonic weapon
00:16:26.020 we keep waiting
00:16:27.580 for that confirmation
00:16:28.640 of that sonic weapon
00:16:30.060 that's hurting
00:16:30.480 the embassies
00:16:31.200 the longer we wait
00:16:32.960 the less likely
00:16:34.380 there's really
00:16:34.920 the sonic weapon
00:16:35.640 the Arizona audit
00:16:38.060 I know
00:16:39.000 you want the Arizona
00:16:39.920 to have the goods
00:16:40.820 you want
00:16:41.340 you want that audit
00:16:42.140 to really show you
00:16:42.920 something and surprise
00:16:43.780 you and be big news
00:16:45.040 it might be
00:16:46.100 it's possible
00:16:47.220 but the longer
00:16:48.800 you wait
00:16:49.520 less likely
00:16:51.380 how about all those
00:16:52.500 Trump financial crimes
00:16:54.300 you know
00:16:54.620 the ones that
00:16:55.180 Trump himself
00:16:55.840 would go to jail for
00:16:56.820 still waiting
00:16:58.060 still waiting
00:16:59.600 what about all the
00:17:00.360 problems with his
00:17:01.740 tax returns
00:17:02.640 still waiting
00:17:04.480 right
00:17:05.380 still waiting
00:17:06.100 Seth Rich
00:17:07.100 good example
00:17:07.740 the longer we wait
00:17:09.000 to find out
00:17:09.420 what happened
00:17:09.980 with Seth Rich
00:17:10.760 the longer
00:17:11.920 probably there's
00:17:12.960 nothing there
00:17:13.440 how about
00:17:15.020 Russia collusion
00:17:16.640 we waited
00:17:17.700 and waited
00:17:18.140 on Russia collusion
00:17:19.120 and sure enough
00:17:20.400 the longer we waited
00:17:21.440 the less likely
00:17:22.180 there would be any
00:17:22.840 and then we didn't
00:17:23.680 find any
00:17:24.080 it was predictive
00:17:25.780 and now the
00:17:26.360 Matt Gaetz allegations
00:17:27.360 the longer we wait
00:17:28.980 the less likely
00:17:30.640 that's going to
00:17:31.360 turn into anything
00:17:31.980 but there is a
00:17:32.760 big update
00:17:33.220 there were two
00:17:34.260 parts of this
00:17:34.880 story
00:17:35.260 one is that
00:17:36.000 Matt had
00:17:36.860 alleged that
00:17:38.140 there was a
00:17:38.560 blackmail attempt
00:17:39.600 against him
00:17:41.060 and his father
00:17:41.800 in which they
00:17:43.360 would try to
00:17:44.720 get him pardoned
00:17:45.680 for some kind
00:17:46.360 I guess these
00:17:47.160 allegations
00:17:47.660 in return for
00:17:50.000 25 million
00:17:50.900 part of it
00:17:51.980 would be used
00:17:52.760 for some
00:17:53.160 Iranian hostage
00:17:54.080 release
00:17:54.640 that may not
00:17:55.380 even be alive
00:17:56.180 every part of it
00:17:57.420 was sketchy
00:17:58.080 but apparently
00:17:59.740 the people involved
00:18:00.820 in that alleged
00:18:01.760 blackmail scheme
00:18:03.040 have been
00:18:03.900 indicted
00:18:04.320 so so so
00:18:06.920 far
00:18:07.260 Matt Gaetz
00:18:09.260 is looking
00:18:10.540 completely accurate
00:18:11.700 in his part
00:18:12.480 of the story
00:18:13.000 so far
00:18:14.580 don't know
00:18:15.960 what can happen
00:18:16.480 in the future
00:18:17.060 we're not magic
00:18:17.840 right
00:18:18.180 but so far
00:18:19.440 it's right on
00:18:20.840 plan
00:18:21.180 that the
00:18:22.800 allegations are
00:18:23.580 going to turn
00:18:23.960 out to be
00:18:24.420 bullshit
00:18:24.740 I can't
00:18:25.420 predict it
00:18:26.000 but that's
00:18:27.100 the way it's
00:18:27.420 headed
00:18:27.600 so if you
00:18:28.960 were going
00:18:29.420 to predict
00:18:29.940 I'd put
00:18:32.060 I'd say
00:18:33.380 I'd put
00:18:33.720 a solid
00:18:34.220 75%
00:18:35.620 chance
00:18:36.300 that the
00:18:37.600 Gaetz
00:18:38.040 allegations
00:18:38.620 turn into
00:18:39.320 nothing
00:18:39.680 now this
00:18:41.060 is independent
00:18:41.680 of whether
00:18:42.560 he did
00:18:42.960 or did
00:18:43.260 not do
00:18:43.660 anything
00:18:44.040 that part
00:18:44.940 I have
00:18:45.240 no idea
00:18:45.780 but whether
00:18:47.320 or not
00:18:47.580 the allegations
00:18:48.380 turn into
00:18:49.000 something
00:18:49.440 that becomes
00:18:49.920 a problem
00:18:50.580 I'd say
00:18:51.700 no more
00:18:52.100 than 25%
00:18:53.000 which is
00:18:53.940 different
00:18:54.240 from whether
00:18:54.680 he did
00:18:55.020 or did
00:18:55.340 not do
00:18:55.780 anything
00:18:56.100 let's talk
00:18:57.860 about
00:18:58.120 Piers Morgan
00:18:58.700 and I
00:18:59.600 warn you
00:19:00.280 there will
00:19:00.760 be some
00:19:01.160 swearing
00:19:01.760 in this
00:19:02.260 segment
00:19:02.600 it's
00:19:03.640 possible
00:19:04.040 that the
00:19:05.180 F-bomb
00:19:05.680 will be
00:19:06.060 dropped
00:19:06.380 and here's
00:19:07.740 the story
00:19:08.160 Piers Morgan
00:19:10.540 he was cleared
00:19:11.200 by
00:19:11.580 apparently
00:19:12.380 there's
00:19:12.760 this
00:19:12.980 British
00:19:13.720 media
00:19:15.580 watchdog
00:19:16.540 group
00:19:17.020 and they
00:19:18.580 take
00:19:19.340 complaints
00:19:19.840 I guess
00:19:20.200 there were
00:19:20.420 50,000
00:19:21.040 complaints
00:19:21.600 because
00:19:22.720 Piers Morgan
00:19:23.340 said that
00:19:24.020 he didn't
00:19:24.580 believe a
00:19:24.960 word
00:19:25.160 that
00:19:25.340 Meghan
00:19:25.580 Markle
00:19:26.100 said
00:19:26.680 and he
00:19:28.220 even
00:19:28.440 doubted
00:19:28.880 her
00:19:29.220 feelings
00:19:29.820 about
00:19:30.080 feeling
00:19:30.480 suicidal
00:19:31.200 I guess
00:19:31.960 she said
00:19:32.320 that
00:19:32.580 on
00:19:32.900 Oprah
00:19:33.340 and
00:19:34.680 he
00:19:36.280 walked
00:19:38.140 off
00:19:38.400 the job
00:19:39.040 and I
00:19:39.440 don't know
00:19:39.960 if he
00:19:40.140 got fired
00:19:40.620 or walked
00:19:41.040 off
00:19:41.280 or what
00:19:41.520 it was
00:19:42.200 looks like
00:19:42.620 some kind
00:19:43.080 of combination
00:19:43.640 there
00:19:43.900 and
00:19:45.280 so
00:19:46.560 apparently
00:19:46.980 there's
00:19:47.580 some
00:19:47.820 media
00:19:48.360 watchdog
00:19:49.160 entity
00:19:49.680 that gets
00:19:51.020 to decide
00:19:51.800 whether
00:19:53.100 his
00:19:54.600 opinion
00:19:55.120 let me
00:19:57.200 say this
00:19:57.540 again
00:19:57.820 there's
00:19:58.860 a group
00:19:59.360 in
00:19:59.660 Great
00:19:59.940 Britain
00:20:00.280 that gets
00:20:01.780 to decide
00:20:02.560 if somebody's
00:20:04.280 opinion
00:20:04.980 should get
00:20:06.480 them kicked
00:20:06.900 off the air
00:20:07.460 not fake
00:20:08.400 news
00:20:08.880 it's not
00:20:09.860 about
00:20:10.300 spreading
00:20:12.140 fake
00:20:12.700 data
00:20:13.580 right
00:20:15.040 it's about
00:20:16.000 his opinion
00:20:17.120 his opinion
00:20:19.020 of somebody
00:20:19.720 he knows
00:20:20.220 personally
00:20:20.960 and thinks
00:20:22.980 that she
00:20:23.380 is not
00:20:23.740 credible
00:20:24.200 and a liar
00:20:24.860 a person
00:20:26.660 he knows
00:20:27.280 personally
00:20:27.920 right
00:20:29.280 that's like
00:20:30.540 the best
00:20:30.960 opinion
00:20:31.280 you could
00:20:31.700 have
00:20:32.080 it's one
00:20:33.000 thing
00:20:33.220 that we
00:20:33.480 all have
00:20:33.780 opinions
00:20:34.220 about
00:20:34.500 you know
00:20:34.860 global
00:20:35.740 affairs
00:20:36.200 and we
00:20:36.660 don't know
00:20:36.980 much
00:20:37.200 about it
00:20:37.700 and we're
00:20:37.980 not there
00:20:38.500 but to
00:20:39.400 have an
00:20:39.680 opinion
00:20:39.920 about
00:20:40.200 somebody
00:20:40.520 you know
00:20:40.920 personally
00:20:41.440 you've
00:20:42.380 spent time
00:20:42.840 with
00:20:43.140 I mean
00:20:44.280 that's
00:20:44.560 a fair
00:20:45.480 opinion
00:20:45.900 even if
00:20:46.380 you don't
00:20:46.620 agree
00:20:46.840 with it
00:20:47.120 it's
00:20:47.200 certainly
00:20:47.400 a fair
00:20:47.740 opinion
00:20:48.020 so
00:20:48.920 here's
00:20:49.500 the
00:20:49.860 cursing
00:20:51.460 part
00:20:51.780 what
00:20:55.840 kind
00:20:56.100 of
00:20:56.260 shit
00:20:56.500 whole
00:20:56.740 country
00:20:57.240 drives
00:20:58.240 an
00:20:58.420 opinion
00:20:58.820 guy
00:20:59.200 out
00:20:59.460 of
00:20:59.580 an
00:20:59.720 opinion
00:21:00.100 job
00:21:00.620 for
00:21:00.820 an
00:21:00.940 opinion
00:21:01.280 what
00:21:02.900 the
00:21:03.240 fuck
00:21:03.840 is
00:21:04.120 wrong
00:21:04.500 with
00:21:04.780 Great
00:21:05.060 Britain
00:21:05.380 I
00:21:06.720 had
00:21:06.960 no
00:21:07.220 idea
00:21:07.580 you
00:21:07.800 guys
00:21:08.060 were
00:21:08.240 so
00:21:08.480 fucked
00:21:08.800 up
00:21:09.140 are
00:21:10.160 you
00:21:10.420 serious
00:21:11.060 are
00:21:11.640 you
00:21:11.880 fucking
00:21:12.440 kidding
00:21:12.800 me
00:21:13.660 the
00:21:14.140 Pierce
00:21:14.600 Morgan
00:21:15.280 could
00:21:16.100 lose
00:21:16.460 a
00:21:16.680 career
00:21:17.080 over
00:21:17.840 a
00:21:18.120 fucking
00:21:18.580 opinion
00:21:19.020 on a
00:21:19.580 fucking
00:21:19.960 opinion
00:21:20.400 show
00:21:20.760 now I
00:21:21.300 know they
00:21:21.520 have news
00:21:21.940 and other
00:21:22.260 stuff
00:21:22.580 but it's
00:21:24.080 clearly an
00:21:24.720 opinion
00:21:25.140 and
00:21:26.660 probably
00:21:27.740 fucking
00:21:28.240 right
00:21:28.740 right
00:21:30.600 I mean
00:21:31.140 I don't know
00:21:31.700 that for sure
00:21:32.220 but it's not
00:21:33.440 only just an
00:21:34.300 opinion but it's
00:21:35.260 an informed
00:21:35.920 opinion and
00:21:36.680 probably
00:21:37.060 fucking
00:21:37.500 right
00:21:37.900 and he's
00:21:39.360 going to
00:21:39.560 lose his
00:21:39.960 job over
00:21:40.420 that
00:21:40.660 what the
00:21:41.520 hell is
00:21:41.960 wrong with
00:21:42.320 your
00:21:42.480 shithole
00:21:42.860 country
00:21:43.240 Great
00:21:43.540 Britain
00:21:43.800 seriously
00:21:45.400 I'm glad
00:21:46.860 we had a
00:21:47.340 revolution to
00:21:48.020 get the
00:21:48.300 fuck away
00:21:48.880 from that
00:21:49.460 holy
00:21:51.740 shit
00:21:52.620 I had no
00:21:53.880 idea that
00:21:54.360 was really
00:21:54.780 a thing
00:21:55.240 but I
00:21:56.640 guess it
00:21:56.920 is
00:21:57.360 F
00:21:59.020 bombs
00:21:59.500 off
00:22:00.280 for the
00:22:01.160 rest of
00:22:01.480 this
00:22:01.640 program
00:22:02.000 there will
00:22:02.500 be no
00:22:03.000 inappropriate
00:22:03.980 cursing
00:22:04.640 oh
00:22:06.220 except at
00:22:06.740 home
00:22:07.020 you're going
00:22:07.500 to do a
00:22:07.820 little
00:22:07.980 inappropriate
00:22:08.640 cursing
00:22:09.180 now
00:22:09.460 I hate
00:22:12.920 to do
00:22:13.160 this to
00:22:13.500 you
00:22:13.680 all right
00:22:15.200 this is a
00:22:15.740 question for
00:22:16.240 those of
00:22:16.620 you who
00:22:16.840 have not
00:22:17.220 followed this
00:22:17.860 news item
00:22:18.520 that is
00:22:19.020 new today
00:22:20.140 there was a
00:22:22.500 randomized
00:22:22.960 controlled trial
00:22:24.460 you recognize
00:22:26.080 those words as
00:22:27.020 being the gold
00:22:27.800 standard of a
00:22:28.620 trial and a
00:22:29.160 very large
00:22:29.680 number of
00:22:30.040 people
00:22:30.280 350,000
00:22:31.480 people were
00:22:32.040 studied
00:22:32.420 randomized
00:22:33.640 controlled
00:22:35.180 trial
00:22:35.600 this is the
00:22:36.080 good stuff
00:22:36.640 we're not
00:22:37.600 talking about
00:22:38.040 these
00:22:38.260 observational
00:22:39.140 studies
00:22:39.700 we're not
00:22:40.620 talking about
00:22:41.040 looking at
00:22:41.440 what happened
00:22:42.000 and trying to
00:22:42.720 make a study
00:22:43.240 out of that
00:22:43.880 no those
00:22:44.700 are the
00:22:44.960 low quality
00:22:45.580 studies
00:22:46.100 we're not
00:22:46.760 talking about
00:22:47.140 a small
00:22:47.540 group of
00:22:47.960 people
00:22:48.180 that's low
00:22:48.640 quality
00:22:49.000 we're talking
00:22:49.960 about a
00:22:50.460 really large
00:22:51.160 group
00:22:51.560 randomized
00:22:52.760 controlled
00:22:53.840 double blind
00:22:55.980 I think it
00:22:56.480 was
00:22:56.760 trial
00:22:57.600 that's what
00:22:58.120 the controlled
00:22:58.540 part means
00:22:59.060 on masks
00:23:02.440 what do you
00:23:04.640 think you
00:23:04.860 found
00:23:05.160 now again
00:23:07.000 this is not
00:23:08.020 about my
00:23:08.440 opinion
00:23:08.820 I'm asking
00:23:10.560 you if you
00:23:11.160 saw the
00:23:11.540 news
00:23:11.900 or actually
00:23:12.400 if you
00:23:12.640 didn't see
00:23:13.000 the news
00:23:13.400 so this is
00:23:14.460 better if you
00:23:15.100 didn't see
00:23:15.600 the news
00:23:16.100 but you have
00:23:16.620 a strong
00:23:16.960 opinion on
00:23:17.480 it we
00:23:18.100 finally have
00:23:18.760 good science
00:23:19.500 did the
00:23:21.540 masks work
00:23:22.260 or not
00:23:22.920 go
00:23:23.500 don't look
00:23:24.200 it up
00:23:24.600 don't look
00:23:25.740 it up
00:23:26.160 tell me
00:23:27.160 what the
00:23:27.580 randomized
00:23:29.300 control
00:23:30.060 trial said
00:23:30.980 when they
00:23:32.240 really had
00:23:32.800 some good
00:23:33.280 data
00:23:33.640 what do
00:23:34.300 you
00:23:34.380 think
00:23:34.620 looking at
00:23:37.420 the comments
00:23:38.040 on locals
00:23:38.760 and on
00:23:40.080 YouTube
00:23:40.820 and almost
00:23:42.220 all of you
00:23:42.760 say that
00:23:43.200 masks
00:23:43.640 that it
00:23:44.240 would say
00:23:44.520 masks
00:23:44.800 don't work
00:23:45.340 there are
00:23:45.800 some people
00:23:46.180 who say
00:23:46.440 it's helpful
00:23:46.880 and others
00:23:48.080 saying
00:23:48.360 it doesn't
00:23:48.660 work
00:23:48.980 okay
00:23:52.340 remember
00:23:52.740 this is not
00:23:53.340 my opinion
00:23:53.880 and this is
00:23:54.580 not me
00:23:54.980 persuading
00:23:55.500 you
00:23:55.720 okay
00:23:55.960 I remind
00:23:56.960 you
00:23:57.180 that I'm
00:23:58.160 anti-mask
00:23:59.160 now
00:24:00.700 I'm
00:24:01.740 anti-mask
00:24:02.620 just hear
00:24:03.460 that first
00:24:04.120 right
00:24:04.620 I'm
00:24:05.200 anti-mask
00:24:06.060 if you're
00:24:06.420 vaccinated
00:24:06.820 anyway
00:24:07.280 now I
00:24:08.440 would still
00:24:09.000 wear a
00:24:09.460 mask
00:24:09.780 if I
00:24:10.120 were around
00:24:10.500 old people
00:24:11.180 you know
00:24:12.140 if I was
00:24:12.460 in a special
00:24:12.940 situation
00:24:13.580 I'll put
00:24:14.740 the mask
00:24:15.160 on if it's
00:24:15.720 a business
00:24:16.220 and I'm
00:24:16.620 not trying
00:24:16.920 to screw
00:24:17.360 the business
00:24:17.880 owner
00:24:18.180 right
00:24:18.780 it's not
00:24:19.080 about that
00:24:19.620 so I mean
00:24:21.000 I'll grudgingly
00:24:21.980 wear some
00:24:22.480 if I have
00:24:22.940 to but
00:24:23.300 I'm
00:24:23.680 anti
00:24:24.040 I'm
00:24:24.720 anti-mask
00:24:25.820 and we'll
00:24:28.060 talk about
00:24:28.480 the touching
00:24:28.920 the mask
00:24:29.540 thing too
00:24:30.240 so here's
00:24:31.720 what the
00:24:32.220 trial said
00:24:32.940 it works
00:24:33.540 the trial
00:24:34.660 said
00:24:35.040 pretty
00:24:35.480 unambiguously
00:24:36.360 that masks
00:24:38.140 work
00:24:38.560 the
00:24:39.880 the better
00:24:40.540 masks
00:24:40.900 the N95
00:24:41.520 work better
00:24:42.640 but the
00:24:43.900 other masks
00:24:44.700 also work
00:24:45.580 in a
00:24:45.940 substantial
00:24:46.400 way
00:24:46.800 substantial
00:24:47.720 being a
00:24:48.340 9%
00:24:48.820 reduction
00:24:49.480 now is
00:24:50.780 a 9%
00:24:51.500 reduction
00:24:52.100 substantial
00:24:53.000 yeah
00:24:54.360 yeah
00:24:55.600 it's pretty
00:24:56.360 substantial
00:24:56.840 now we're
00:24:57.920 hearing
00:24:58.140 by the way
00:24:58.880 the study
00:24:59.800 that I
00:25:00.960 saw
00:25:01.180 came to
00:25:01.640 us
00:25:01.820 from
00:25:02.100 Jason
00:25:02.520 Abeluk
00:25:03.300 professor
00:25:04.700 of economics
00:25:05.680 at Yale
00:25:06.200 professor
00:25:07.620 of what
00:25:08.240 virology
00:25:10.040 no
00:25:10.920 professor
00:25:12.280 of medicine
00:25:13.140 no
00:25:14.860 do you
00:25:16.100 want a
00:25:16.420 professor
00:25:16.740 of virology
00:25:17.640 or a
00:25:18.060 professor
00:25:18.380 of medicine
00:25:18.900 to do
00:25:19.300 this study
00:25:19.840 no you
00:25:21.600 don't
00:25:21.920 you don't
00:25:23.100 you want
00:25:23.880 them involved
00:25:24.620 but you
00:25:26.300 want some
00:25:26.660 economists
00:25:27.120 involved
00:25:27.720 right
00:25:28.240 what you
00:25:28.980 want
00:25:29.380 is a
00:25:30.080 professor
00:25:30.480 of economics
00:25:31.200 from Yale
00:25:31.740 that's who
00:25:33.120 you want
00:25:33.600 and people
00:25:34.460 like that
00:25:34.960 so when you
00:25:36.040 see a study
00:25:36.680 that was put
00:25:37.700 together at least
00:25:38.480 partially by
00:25:39.240 economists
00:25:40.200 highly
00:25:41.260 highly qualified
00:25:42.380 ones who can
00:25:42.980 do the math
00:25:43.580 and they know
00:25:43.980 what to compare
00:25:44.580 that's starting to get
00:25:47.180 pretty good
00:25:47.700 so anyway
00:25:48.820 there was a 9%
00:25:49.620 reduction in
00:25:50.360 serology I think
00:25:51.500 in other words
00:25:52.280 number of people
00:25:52.960 who had the
00:25:53.520 infections
00:25:54.000 whether they
00:25:54.580 knew it or
00:25:54.920 not
00:25:55.160 and
00:25:57.400 if people
00:25:59.520 wore the
00:25:59.860 better masks
00:26:00.440 there was an
00:26:00.880 even bigger
00:26:01.400 difference
00:26:01.880 all right
00:26:02.580 now you
00:26:03.960 ask yourself
00:26:04.720 but what
00:26:06.200 about all
00:26:07.020 of the other
00:26:07.560 factors that
00:26:08.240 go along
00:26:08.640 with wearing
00:26:09.080 masks
00:26:09.580 for example
00:26:10.720 people who
00:26:12.200 wear masks
00:26:12.840 probably have
00:26:13.540 other behaviors
00:26:14.540 that go with
00:26:16.000 it right
00:26:16.380 if you decide
00:26:17.520 to wear a
00:26:18.080 mask
00:26:18.460 you're probably
00:26:19.380 the same
00:26:19.860 person who
00:26:20.380 decided to
00:26:21.860 stay away
00:26:22.360 from people
00:26:22.880 right
00:26:23.560 so there
00:26:24.640 are other
00:26:24.980 behaviors that
00:26:25.780 might be just
00:26:26.220 correlated with
00:26:26.980 mask wearing
00:26:27.720 that would make
00:26:28.700 mask wearing
00:26:29.340 look like it's
00:26:29.920 working but
00:26:30.840 really it was
00:26:31.300 just the other
00:26:31.900 behaviors that
00:26:32.640 are correlated
00:26:33.180 with it
00:26:33.620 well they
00:26:34.920 tried to
00:26:35.580 control for
00:26:36.060 that and
00:26:36.460 they also
00:26:36.780 looked at
00:26:37.200 the difference
00:26:37.640 between the
00:26:38.160 good masks
00:26:38.740 and the lesser
00:26:39.400 good masks
00:26:40.160 and there was a
00:26:41.180 big difference
00:26:41.740 and if you
00:26:43.980 take all of that
00:26:44.760 together it
00:26:45.480 does it's a
00:26:46.640 pretty compelling
00:26:47.160 case for masks
00:26:48.120 now I have
00:26:50.840 been criticized
00:26:51.780 quite rightly
00:26:53.040 I like it
00:26:53.980 when people
00:26:54.360 criticize me
00:26:55.300 fairly and
00:26:56.380 accurately
00:26:56.860 I know it's
00:26:58.580 weird but
00:26:59.380 remember the
00:26:59.960 theme of
00:27:01.920 these live
00:27:02.460 streams is
00:27:03.680 finding your
00:27:04.460 blind spots
00:27:06.340 your psychological
00:27:07.340 blind spots
00:27:08.180 so anytime I
00:27:09.420 can find one
00:27:10.020 of mine and
00:27:11.320 do it in
00:27:11.720 public and
00:27:12.440 show you how
00:27:13.060 stupid I was
00:27:13.820 and how I
00:27:14.620 missed something
00:27:15.140 because I was
00:27:15.620 either primed or
00:27:16.460 confirmation bias or
00:27:17.540 something else
00:27:18.080 I'll do that
00:27:19.400 because that's
00:27:20.060 good for my
00:27:20.640 brand right to
00:27:21.680 show you that I
00:27:22.160 was wrong and
00:27:22.680 why so I'm not
00:27:25.220 gonna I'm not
00:27:26.160 gonna crow about
00:27:26.840 this one because I
00:27:27.840 was criticized
00:27:28.440 rightly for
00:27:30.900 emphasizing studies
00:27:32.620 that agree with
00:27:33.280 me have I ever
00:27:35.920 done that if I
00:27:37.200 ever emphasize the
00:27:38.120 studies that
00:27:38.620 coincidentally agree
00:27:39.480 with me yes
00:27:40.860 that is a valid
00:27:42.120 that is a valid
00:27:43.440 criticism and so
00:27:45.120 let me give the
00:27:46.500 same warning for
00:27:47.240 this randomized
00:27:47.980 controlled highly
00:27:49.760 qualified study I'm
00:27:51.680 not sure I I
00:27:52.740 believe any study
00:27:54.080 we're we're living
00:27:56.280 in a world where
00:27:56.980 basically every
00:27:57.980 study is
00:27:58.600 questionable right
00:27:59.680 so this one is
00:28:01.520 too but it does
00:28:04.140 look like more
00:28:05.360 than we've seen so
00:28:06.220 far so I'll just
00:28:07.600 put it up there and
00:28:08.260 you can do with it
00:28:08.800 what you want but I
00:28:10.020 don't care if you
00:28:10.540 wear a mask or not
00:28:11.320 so let's be clear
00:28:12.100 about that so
00:28:13.260 Biden did his press
00:28:14.180 conference about the
00:28:15.020 withdrawal and I'm
00:28:17.580 gonna give him this
00:28:18.340 credit he made good
00:28:20.640 on getting out he
00:28:23.680 did it was it a
00:28:25.800 messed up cluster F
00:28:27.500 yes does it look
00:28:30.180 like lots of elements
00:28:32.040 of it were botched
00:28:33.220 yes was it going to
00:28:36.220 be messy no matter
00:28:37.260 what because Biden
00:28:38.360 actually said that it
00:28:39.280 was gonna be messy no
00:28:40.180 matter what is that
00:28:40.800 true yes but did it
00:28:43.320 have to be this messy
00:28:44.360 probably not it
00:28:45.840 doesn't look like it
00:28:46.560 had to be so I
00:28:47.740 think most people are
00:28:48.620 agreeing that you
00:28:50.420 know he screwed the
00:28:51.520 pooch on that
00:28:52.100 here's a question so
00:28:57.500 there are lots I
00:28:58.440 guess a few hundred
00:28:59.140 Americans who didn't
00:29:00.700 get out and maybe
00:29:01.680 have expressed some
00:29:02.480 interest in getting
00:29:03.140 out but as Biden
00:29:04.500 pointed out they've
00:29:05.340 had since March to
00:29:06.740 get out and we
00:29:08.620 don't know exactly
00:29:09.500 what is their
00:29:10.140 situation some of
00:29:11.220 them are dual
00:29:11.940 citizenship and
00:29:13.540 want to stay etc we
00:29:15.100 just don't know
00:29:15.820 exactly the situation
00:29:16.920 with these people
00:29:17.560 but I'm not sure I
00:29:20.900 care and it's that
00:29:25.420 we had until we
00:29:26.600 have since March to
00:29:27.600 get out problem
00:29:28.660 that's making me care
00:29:30.480 less now I care about
00:29:32.220 humans you know and
00:29:33.880 I care about anybody
00:29:34.720 who might be in a
00:29:35.620 bad situation and it
00:29:36.600 would be tragic but I
00:29:37.900 feel like they made
00:29:38.640 their own choice right
00:29:40.860 somebody says couldn't
00:29:42.440 give visas there might
00:29:44.120 be some of those and
00:29:44.880 that would be the most
00:29:45.680 tragic but I don't
00:29:48.960 know I'm until we know
00:29:50.680 more about this group
00:29:51.780 of people I'm going to
00:29:53.380 reserve my sympathy
00:29:54.580 because it looks like
00:29:55.660 they're choosing to
00:29:56.580 stay many of them now
00:29:58.500 even the ones who
00:29:59.240 couldn't give visas and
00:30:00.240 couldn't get out if
00:30:01.300 they're Americans they
00:30:02.980 did have since March to
00:30:04.740 try and I'd need to know
00:30:08.700 more so I guess I'm
00:30:10.600 open-minded that there's
00:30:12.680 a horror there and
00:30:13.820 people didn't get out
00:30:14.820 and they could become
00:30:15.640 you know I don't know
00:30:17.820 hostages or whatever so
00:30:19.040 I definitely have all the
00:30:20.480 fears that you have
00:30:21.520 same fears but I just
00:30:23.740 would need to know more
00:30:24.620 about why they're not
00:30:25.400 out because I don't know
00:30:27.880 if the level of sympathy
00:30:29.600 that we're giving them is
00:30:31.160 appropriate to their own
00:30:32.400 situation there may be
00:30:33.960 people who just haven't
00:30:35.080 decided and want to
00:30:36.100 take their chances of
00:30:36.920 staying I don't know
00:30:37.780 could be anything so we
00:30:44.220 did leave with dishonor
00:30:45.500 does anybody disagree with
00:30:47.720 the statement that we
00:30:49.340 left with dishonor really
00:30:51.680 the deepest dishonor you
00:30:53.440 can have so dishonor
00:30:55.960 comes two ways one is you
00:30:57.240 lose and we clearly lost
00:30:59.640 20 years of fighting we
00:31:01.040 just lost sure we you know
00:31:03.440 got rid of bin Laden in a
00:31:05.180 different country but
00:31:06.620 basically we lost so that's
00:31:10.000 one dishonor but I can't
00:31:12.000 think of a bigger dishonor
00:31:13.580 than leaving your allies
00:31:16.040 behind can you now it
00:31:19.640 certainly would be a big
00:31:20.740 dishonor to leave Americans
00:31:22.100 behind it would be a
00:31:23.440 dishonor to leave any of our
00:31:24.760 troops behind we'd all agree
00:31:26.400 with that but somehow it
00:31:29.380 feels like a bigger dishonor to
00:31:32.680 leave our allies who are not
00:31:34.400 American behind do you feel
00:31:37.220 that is it just me because
00:31:39.940 that's worse than you know
00:31:42.680 people in your own country are
00:31:44.520 making their own judgments and
00:31:46.040 risks and deciding they should
00:31:48.460 or should not have gotten out in
00:31:49.700 March and all that stuff but
00:31:51.920 leaving people who helped us fight
00:31:54.560 that feels like the deepest
00:31:57.540 dishonor I can even imagine I
00:31:59.400 mean it's bad enough if you left
00:32:00.540 troops there you left Americans
00:32:02.040 there that's terrible it's
00:32:03.700 terrible but leaving our allies
00:32:06.340 behind that's you know that's a
00:32:09.700 level of dishonor that I just I
00:32:14.200 don't know we could ever match
00:32:15.480 that with almost anything almost
00:32:18.080 anything and left it and left the
00:32:19.660 dogs there too yeah I mean a lot of
00:32:24.500 you have the same feeling which is
00:32:26.220 you felt worse about the dogs and
00:32:28.680 we we did all feel but pretty bad
00:32:30.520 about that all right so I don't
00:32:38.500 know I have mixed feelings about
00:32:39.840 Biden's performance believe it or
00:32:41.280 not there's no doubt that some
00:32:42.860 parts of this were botched but I'd
00:32:44.500 like to know if the lower level
00:32:46.560 people were really the cause of the
00:32:48.480 problem was it the generals until I
00:32:51.800 know that I'm gonna I'm gonna
00:32:53.380 withhold a little bit of criticism
00:32:55.100 from Biden not all of it I mean he
00:32:58.800 earned some criticism but I feel
00:33:01.220 like I need to know a little bit
00:33:02.600 more about what happened behind
00:33:04.040 closed doors and I think Biden may
00:33:06.820 have pushed through some resistance
00:33:08.480 which would be good leadership even
00:33:11.980 if people died because that's that's
00:33:14.720 the leadership decision right you're
00:33:16.580 taking calculated risks and they don't
00:33:18.540 always work out that's what the leader
00:33:20.460 has to do I feel like he might have
00:33:23.020 pushed through his generals and
00:33:24.880 taken a bad path because it was the
00:33:28.140 better of the two bad paths might have
00:33:30.480 been an even worse path I don't know
00:33:31.960 we'll wait to see but the weird thing
00:33:34.180 about this is it looks like we're going
00:33:35.620 to enter a phase in which we'll have to
00:33:39.920 give economic aid to the Taliban in
00:33:43.600 order for them to cooperate in getting
00:33:45.400 Americans and maybe our allies in the
00:33:47.700 country out and what's weird about this
00:33:50.480 is apparently we ended up blackmailing
00:33:52.740 ourselves and I think it goes like
00:33:56.840 this hey Taliban make you a deal we'll
00:33:59.900 give you some economic aid or at least
00:34:01.760 we won't block it if other people want
00:34:03.560 to give it to you but you've got to
00:34:06.700 help us get our people out and the
00:34:08.800 Taliban would say what yeah we'll give
00:34:12.140 you we'll make sure you get economic aid
00:34:13.980 either by not blocking it or giving it
00:34:15.700 to you you just have to let our people
00:34:17.620 get out and the Taliban would be like I'm
00:34:20.240 not sure I'm hearing this right but did
00:34:22.500 you just offer to blackmail yourself and
00:34:26.020 we'd say well we don't like to use those
00:34:27.820 words but yes we're going to offer to pay
00:34:30.520 for you to release people in your
00:34:32.960 country and the Taliban would be I don't
00:34:36.020 know that sounds exactly like blackmail and
00:34:39.960 it wasn't even our idea but thank you thank
00:34:43.500 you for that excellent idea is there any
00:34:46.080 you know can we participate in any way
00:34:49.220 in the blackmail no no we got this we'll
00:34:52.640 handle everything we'll get you the aid
00:34:54.740 and and then you'll do what you said you
00:34:58.280 were going to do anyway which is let the
00:34:59.560 Americans out and we'll call it good
00:35:02.080 Scott are we the baddies good movie quote
00:35:07.760 Rasmussen poll says that 52% of voters
00:35:14.180 think Biden should resign over Afghanistan
00:35:16.500 well looks like they picked up some
00:35:19.580 independents if not Democrats so that
00:35:22.720 would be pretty much all Republicans or
00:35:24.800 most of them and a smattering of others
00:35:27.700 and even worse only 38% say Kamala Harris is
00:35:38.280 very or somewhat qualified to take over
00:35:40.440 so even Democrats and or independents they
00:35:46.580 must be in there in big numbers don't
00:35:49.020 think Vice President Harris could take
00:35:50.680 over she's been a senator from the biggest
00:35:53.820 state why is it that a senator from
00:35:58.640 California is unqualified to be president
00:36:02.240 I mean that must be about her it's not
00:36:05.200 about job experience right I mean Kennedy
00:36:08.500 had about the same so and roughly 60% of
00:36:14.640 the respondents were leaning toward
00:36:17.220 impeachment what 60% of the public is
00:36:22.380 leaning toward impeachment did Trump ever
00:36:25.840 have a 60% can somebody do a fact check
00:36:29.500 on me maybe maybe maybe Rasmussen can
00:36:33.620 answer this question for me did Trump
00:36:36.400 ever reach that level of people wanted to
00:36:39.560 impeach him I don't think so I don't
00:36:42.280 think he ever got out of the 50s or 40s
00:36:45.100 40s maybe does anybody have an idea was
00:36:48.000 it 40s or 50s but 60s out of control if
00:36:52.100 60% of the country wants you impeached you
00:36:55.080 need to leave today you need to leave
00:36:58.740 today you need to be packing your damn
00:37:01.600 bags I'm seeing somebody say 48% in the
00:37:05.180 comments we'll leave that for a fact check
00:37:07.440 so there's a vicious attack ad for the
00:37:18.160 newsome recall that says imagine having to
00:37:21.200 choose between taking a shower or doing
00:37:23.240 your laundry and then there's a visual of a
00:37:25.240 woman who's taking making that choice and I
00:37:28.980 guess there's some kind of I didn't know
00:37:30.540 about it some legislation that in 2025 you'll
00:37:33.300 be limited to 52 gallons of water or something I
00:37:36.100 don't know if that's household or per person or
00:37:38.280 what that is but that is really strong
00:37:42.480 persuasion really strong persuasion now
00:37:47.520 remember persuasion is not about what's
00:37:49.160 true persuasion is about what moves you and I
00:37:54.500 would say that this is some of the strongest
00:37:56.220 I've seen because it makes you think about
00:37:58.360 these two choices which aren't real choices
00:38:00.660 you know they're just sort of artificial
00:38:02.120 choices but it puts you so in the picture it's
00:38:06.820 one thing to say hey we're running low on water
00:38:09.300 because everybody knows that it's very
00:38:11.960 different to make you imagine choosing
00:38:14.740 between laundry and cleaning yourself
00:38:17.880 because that's gross right the the power of
00:38:23.920 this persuasion is that it hit your grossness
00:38:26.260 trigger because we all have a grossness
00:38:29.560 trigger some say conservatives have more
00:38:31.620 of one I don't know if that's true but if you
00:38:34.960 can go personal grossness in your persuasion
00:38:38.760 and you can make them think there's a false
00:38:41.400 choice because they just made up this
00:38:43.540 choice but you know it makes the point
00:38:45.160 and it can make you think past the the sale
00:38:48.960 that Newsom did a bad job it's really
00:38:53.600 powerful I actually felt like getting
00:38:56.340 standing up when I saw it like my body was
00:38:59.360 so activated by how persuasive this is I
00:39:02.940 immediately wanted to like get more active
00:39:04.700 in the campaign it's actually that good I
00:39:07.100 you don't see a campaign egg that's this
00:39:10.000 good this is like a 10 and you don't
00:39:14.200 usually see more than six or seven in the
00:39:16.940 campaign ads they're usually so obviously
00:39:18.780 partisan and and BS all right Texas has a
00:39:22.820 new abortion bill that is very creative so
00:39:27.660 it has to do with the heartbeat detected so
00:39:30.580 some number of weeks and I guess it would
00:39:34.400 ban 85% of abortions in a practical sense
00:39:37.460 because most people don't know that they're
00:39:39.440 pregnant in those first few weeks so people
00:39:42.040 don't even know they're pregnant until a
00:39:43.580 heartbeat can be detected that's not what
00:39:45.660 tells them but it's about the same time
00:39:47.400 so under this new law they did this clever
00:39:51.120 workaround where you can sue the the
00:39:55.380 practitioner I guess so an individual not not
00:39:59.400 the state but the an individual a private
00:40:02.300 citizen anywhere in the country can bring a
00:40:04.040 civil suit against anyone who assisted the
00:40:07.140 pregnant person who tried to get a an abortion
00:40:11.220 that would be against this ban what do you
00:40:15.980 think of that what's your opinion on that
00:40:19.320 let me start out by telling you my opinion on
00:40:22.900 abortion my opinion on abortion is that my
00:40:27.760 opinion on abortion should have carried no
00:40:30.060 weight whatsoever let me say it again my
00:40:34.760 opinion on abortion because of my penis
00:40:37.700 should carry no weight you should ignore it
00:40:42.040 and so you should ignore it so much I'm not
00:40:44.000 even bother telling you what it is because
00:40:45.880 basically I don't have one except that
00:40:47.820 women should make the decision why do I
00:40:50.880 have the opinion that women should make the
00:40:52.480 decision I will need one more permission
00:40:55.880 for the f-bomb can I have it can somebody
00:40:59.060 give me permission for one more f-bomb I
00:41:00.880 told you I wouldn't do it so I need
00:41:02.580 permission all right locals I see a yes I
00:41:06.000 need YouTube give me a yes give me some give
00:41:08.720 me permission for one more f-bomb and I'll
00:41:10.420 give it to you
00:41:11.180 granted thank you all right we have
00:41:15.220 permission for the f-bomb the reason that
00:41:19.600 I do not give you my opinion on abortion is
00:41:22.940 that if men were the only ones who could
00:41:25.520 have babies if men were the only ones who
00:41:29.500 could have babies and a woman gave me her
00:41:32.620 opinion about whether I should you know
00:41:34.560 have the right to get an abortion or not I
00:41:36.880 would say fuck you fuck your opinion and
00:41:40.560 fuck off because you don't have the ability
00:41:43.640 to have a baby people who have the ability
00:41:46.120 to have a baby can make the decision because
00:41:49.000 it's a life-and-death decision and the most
00:41:51.300 credible people to make it are women and
00:41:53.540 were the people who have the babies if it
00:41:55.240 were reversed and only men had babies
00:41:58.620 fuck off fuck off you're not part of the
00:42:02.980 decision at all I don't want to hear your
00:42:06.720 fucking opinion about the baby that I can
00:42:09.500 have and you can't have okay that's my
00:42:11.900 opinion now reverse it I can't have a baby
00:42:15.380 because I'm male women can women should
00:42:19.520 tell me fuck off I hope that's exactly the
00:42:24.740 right opinion the only opinion I want to
00:42:26.700 hear from women about abortion is that I
00:42:30.000 should fuck off I don't care what you do
00:42:32.700 again same with masks and vaccinations
00:42:35.780 what you do is your own decision right I'm
00:42:38.020 not trying to persuade you to adopt my
00:42:40.040 opinion I'm just saying that's mine
00:42:41.300 um but they found this workaround so I
00:42:46.400 guess it has a better chance of surviving
00:42:48.380 legal challenges despite roe versus wade
00:42:51.120 because it doesn't put the government in
00:42:54.460 the prosecuting business it puts private
00:42:57.980 citizens it gives them the right to sue
00:43:00.600 and I don't know what do you think about
00:43:04.700 this it's pretty creative very creative
00:43:07.680 so if you just talk about the creativity
00:43:13.020 of it it's good I guess in that sense that
00:43:16.720 narrow sense it would be good but what
00:43:19.460 would be the likely unintended consequence
00:43:23.380 what is the unintended consequence of
00:43:27.380 Texas getting away with this and it would
00:43:30.480 ban effectively 85% of it I can see two
00:43:35.960 two unintended consequences there are
00:43:39.620 probably lots of them but two I'll talk
00:43:41.020 about number one Texas just became less
00:43:44.760 competitive economically now again I'm
00:43:49.020 not saying good or bad about abortion I'm
00:43:51.700 just just predicting what will happen you
00:43:54.300 get to decide whether you like it or not
00:43:56.160 right if you are a 20 something person with
00:44:01.400 technical skills and you are thinking of
00:44:04.080 moving to Austin let's say to get out of
00:44:06.400 California and you just found out let's
00:44:09.000 say you're left-leaning or pro-abortion you
00:44:12.500 just found out that you wouldn't be able to
00:44:13.900 get one in Texas do you still go you're a
00:44:17.320 20 something female and you're left-leaning
00:44:21.220 would you ever move to Texas if you knew
00:44:24.960 you couldn't get an abortion there in a
00:44:27.380 practical sense you couldn't get it I don't
00:44:30.080 think so I think that that puts just a hard
00:44:33.500 stop on something like 40% of all the
00:44:37.260 potential technology workers that that
00:44:41.160 Texas could scoop up from other places so
00:44:44.120 I think it's gonna hurt them economically
00:44:45.800 will they notice I don't know their
00:44:47.720 economy is pretty good they probably won't
00:44:49.260 even notice but it's it's gonna happen now
00:44:52.280 here's the other thing it almost guarantees
00:44:56.800 that the court is going to get packed right
00:45:01.840 because if the court does not find some
00:45:04.600 creative way to stop this and bring it back
00:45:07.460 in compliance I guess that would be the
00:45:09.520 right word with a reverse Wade I think
00:45:14.020 Democrats are going to push for court
00:45:15.400 packing so I feel like Texas just made
00:45:21.420 court packing almost guaranteed because the
00:45:25.200 abortion topic is the topic buster it's the
00:45:30.620 one thing that people will will act
00:45:33.600 differently about right there are lots of
00:45:35.420 things we just talk about but when it gets
00:45:37.660 to abortion they're going to act
00:45:38.880 differently right abortion makes you act
00:45:41.560 differently that topic does I know I think
00:45:45.240 we're going to get a packed court because of
00:45:47.540 this and Texas is going to take a hit in the
00:45:50.500 technology realm especially there was a story
00:45:55.300 about a valedictorian in Texas named by the name
00:45:59.880 of a girl named you say girl if she's 17 or 18
00:46:03.580 what what is the correct they I don't know a
00:46:08.720 girl slash woman let's say a young woman she
00:46:11.700 was the high school valedictorian so she gets
00:46:13.480 to do a speech but she did a switcheroo she did
00:46:17.580 not read the speech that she said she was
00:46:19.620 going to read instead did a
00:46:20.960 a takedown of the new Texas abortion
00:46:25.420 guidelines so what do you think about that
00:46:30.340 she thought they thought she was going to
00:46:32.640 give a speech about one thing and she gave a
00:46:34.960 speech about another thing
00:46:36.340 well I know somebody who's watching this
00:46:42.060 right now who's saying don't say it I will
00:46:49.200 just say that I did the same thing so I was
00:46:51.960 a valedictorian in my tiny little class in
00:46:55.240 Wyndham New York there were only I don't know
00:46:57.380 40 people in the class whatever it was so
00:47:01.160 it's not that hard to be a valedictorian if
00:47:02.860 there are only 40 people in the class but so I
00:47:05.960 got to give a speech and there was a rule in
00:47:09.060 place that you had to submit your speech ahead
00:47:12.520 of time do you know why there was a rule in
00:47:15.560 place that you had to submit your speech ahead
00:47:18.180 of time it was so you didn't do a speech that
00:47:22.440 would get you in trouble do you know why my
00:47:25.780 small school had that rule it's because my
00:47:29.120 brother gave a speech on graduation night and
00:47:32.880 he didn't give the speech they were expecting
00:47:35.120 let's just stop there let's just say he had an
00:47:39.860 objective that he accomplished that had
00:47:43.480 nothing to do with a graduation night speech
00:47:45.840 and it was the most ballsy thing I've ever
00:47:49.440 seen in my life honestly it was the most
00:47:52.040 epically ballsy thing I've ever seen period
00:47:56.940 and it caused them to change the rules they
00:48:01.000 said all right from now on we're going to
00:48:02.640 have to see that speech before you read it in
00:48:04.460 front of everybody in the town so when it was
00:48:06.840 my turn I don't think they were happy that
00:48:09.580 another Adams was going to do a speech on
00:48:12.080 graduation night because I had to that give
00:48:15.740 him some pause right oh god he's got a
00:48:17.720 brother and so I wrote two speeches one I
00:48:22.920 submitted that was just complete BS about oh
00:48:26.640 as we leave these hallowed halls and move on to
00:48:29.580 our lifetime and careers yada yada yada so I
00:48:32.920 literally wrote two speeches and I handed it
00:48:35.360 one for approval and they said this is a very
00:48:37.160 fine speech and I laughed because I had no
00:48:39.400 intention of reading it and then the speech I
00:48:41.300 did was just stand-up comedy so I just did a
00:48:46.140 stand-up comedy routine that I didn't think
00:48:48.180 they would appreciate and I threw away my speech
00:48:52.120 so that happened what else is happening North
00:49:01.560 Korea just said no thank you to the vaccinations
00:49:04.820 they were offered a whole bunch of free
00:49:06.280 vaccinations they said no thanks we don't have
00:49:08.140 any problem could it be that North Korea is the
00:49:11.320 first country to reach herd immunity
00:49:13.760 maybe it could be herd immunity I'd love to
00:49:19.620 know what's going on there Israel is going to
00:49:22.560 use rapid tests for school kids everybody every
00:49:25.900 kid will school kid will get a rapid test now
00:49:28.760 they're not 100% accurate but they're just
00:49:31.020 trying to get as many as they they can get
00:49:33.080 before they go to school why aren't we doing
00:49:36.480 that in the United States
00:49:37.480 because we're idiots or there's some
00:49:41.640 corruption let me go on record as saying
00:49:43.760 that someday we will learn that the reason
00:49:46.060 the United States did not go big on there
00:49:48.720 is so-called rapid tests which are a little
00:49:50.480 less accurate than the standard tests that
00:49:53.740 the reason we didn't do it was corruption I
00:49:56.880 think I think it's guaranteed at this point
00:49:58.940 because in the beginning you say well it
00:50:01.360 took a while or you know maybe we need to
00:50:03.200 understand it better or whatever but not
00:50:05.840 now at this point we can say with complete
00:50:08.820 certainty that there was some massive
00:50:10.420 corruption involved there's no other
00:50:12.540 explanation for why we don't have rapid
00:50:14.700 tests
00:50:15.020 Pew research found that Democrats think the
00:50:20.380 news is real at least by far bigger numbers
00:50:23.660 almost double than Republicans Republicans
00:50:26.240 seem to know that the news is not
00:50:28.920 real but Democrats actually think it was
00:50:31.840 is that our biggest problem what if you
00:50:37.300 had a big program to try to train
00:50:41.000 Democrats to follow the news correctly
00:50:43.920 because Democrats have a problem they
00:50:47.460 think the news is real that's a really
00:50:51.120 big problem in fact you could argue it's
00:50:53.820 the biggest problem in the country because
00:50:56.180 if they learned the news wasn't real
00:50:58.600 then they could analyze it very similarly to
00:51:02.100 how Republicans would it won't mean they're
00:51:04.000 on the same page but they'll be a lot
00:51:05.840 closer right be a lot closer you know if
00:51:09.900 Democrats knew that Trump had never
00:51:12.460 actually recommended drinking bleach they
00:51:16.300 might feel a little bit better about having
00:51:18.140 him as president but they think he'd be they
00:51:20.740 actually think that happened now there are
00:51:22.600 people watching this who are saying what I
00:51:26.200 watched it myself I I know he recommended
00:51:28.580 bleach no you didn't you think it's a mass a
00:51:35.020 mass hallucination there are millions of
00:51:37.520 people in this country who believe they
00:51:38.880 personally witnessed president Trump saying
00:51:42.300 you should inject bleach you've seen the
00:51:46.300 videos you've heard it you might have even
00:51:48.280 gone back to watch it a second time and
00:51:50.840 guess what never happened whatever you're
00:51:55.800 watching is the the edited one that's
00:51:58.540 misleading but the thing you think happened
00:52:00.680 never happened it literally never happened
00:52:03.200 not even close to happening there was
00:52:05.220 nothing that ambiguously happened nothing
00:52:07.060 close he was talking about light as a
00:52:09.480 disinfectant that was it
00:52:10.580 so poor Democrats think the news is real I
00:52:15.740 think they need an intervention and that is
00:52:18.740 the best live stream in the history of the
00:52:20.660 universe I think you'd all agree I've got
00:52:22.820 to go do something else right now
00:52:24.020 somebody says I watched it live you see
00:52:29.560 there are people on here who actually
00:52:31.220 think it happened because they saw it I
00:52:33.960 actually saw it people say no you didn't
00:52:37.140 no you didn't you actually did not see it
00:52:39.800 because it never happened all right that's
00:52:43.340 all for now YouTube