Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 1660 Scott Adams： Guessing What Putin Will Do, And Lots of Other Fun Stories Today

00:00:01.000 Good morning, everybody, and welcome to the finest moment of your entire existence.

00:00:07.680 It's called the beginning of Coffee with Scott Adams.

00:00:10.260 There's no better time, and nothing could be more important.

00:00:15.020 And this is where we decide all world events.

00:00:17.740 You don't know this, but a lot of the simulation is authored right here by us.

00:00:23.180 So let's go author us up a better world.

00:00:26.200 But first, we'll need a little fortification.

00:00:28.180 A little thing we call caffeine, or possibly the beverage of your choice.

00:00:33.240 And all you need is a cup or mug or a glass, a tank or a chelsea, a canteen, a jug or a flask, a vessel of any kind.

00:00:38.140 Fill it with your favorite liquid. I like coffee.

00:00:41.980 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine the other day, the thing that makes everything better.

00:00:47.260 It's called the simultaneous sip.

00:00:50.200 Famous across the world, especially in South Africa, where I believe there are some people watching right now.

00:00:56.900 I think it's 5 p.m.

00:00:59.460 So to my South African viewers, this one's for you and also for everybody else.

00:01:05.180 Go.

00:01:09.340 Ah.

00:01:11.200 Yeah.

00:01:12.160 Yeah.

00:01:13.240 Yeah, that's good.

00:01:15.360 Just as good as I thought it would be.

00:01:16.720 Well, what's happening today?

00:01:20.540 Lots of things.

00:01:24.040 An MSNBC reporter was just on the air recently saying that it's going to be tough to get Democrats to unmask,

00:01:32.640 even as the governors are starting to be in favor of it, the blue states.

00:01:37.240 And even as the science is clearly indicating that masks have, you know, vanishingly small benefit at this point.

00:01:47.320 So what's the problem with the Democrats, the actual voters and the citizens who don't want to give up masks?

00:01:53.840 Well, this MSNBC reporter says he thinks it has to do with a liberal identity, that once your identity gets wrapped up in mask wearing,

00:02:04.680 like the mask people are the good people and you want to be the good people.

00:02:08.560 And I would say that this MSNBC reporter probably is right.

00:02:16.440 This does look like an identity problem.

00:02:19.460 Now, do you remember how the Democrats always follow the science?

00:02:23.620 Oh, not you Republicans.

00:02:25.640 Oh, no, no.

00:02:29.180 Only Democrats can follow the science.

00:02:31.980 So where did they follow it?

00:02:33.480 But if they were following the science, wouldn't they take their masks off?

00:02:40.560 Because science just said it's okay.

00:02:43.160 I'm pretty sure.

00:02:44.700 I mean, I don't think the CDC has said it yet.

00:02:48.440 But the science is pretty clear.

00:02:51.500 I mean, at this point, if your Omicron is 100% of the infections, which I think it is.

00:02:56.800 I think Omicron is now basically 100%, the variants within Omicron.

00:03:01.620 So I think this proves that the Democrats were never following the science.

00:03:10.220 Can I say that?

00:03:12.020 If Democrats won't take their masks off when the science changes, that's proof.

00:03:18.320 Right?

00:03:19.100 That's proof that they weren't following the science from the beginning.

00:03:21.740 They were following their fear, and they were following their identity.

00:03:26.520 And it turns out their fear and their identity took them to the same place.

00:03:30.100 Surprise.

00:03:31.620 Here's a mystery that was solved, that apparently was already solved.

00:03:39.480 But it's more solved than it was.

00:03:42.000 Apparently, we have a pretty good idea who was behind Q now.

00:03:46.300 Now, it's the same names that have been bandied about for a long time.

00:03:49.980 So a lot of people thought that these individuals, Paul Ferber, a South African software developer, and Ron Watkins, an American tech guy also, I think.

00:04:01.060 And they were long rumored to be the ones behind Q, they both deny it, but the New York Times has a story about a software analysis of the writing styles.

00:04:14.280 So they analyzed their writing styles of Q, compared it to the tweets that we know about from those two individuals, and they say they can even identify when one of them left and the other took over.

00:04:25.480 So I guess the fingerprint, if you will, the fingerprint of how you write, is so clear that they can't even tell when the transition happened.

00:04:35.880 Now, do you believe it?

00:04:38.280 How many of you believe that, let's say, if somebody tweeted enough on their own, you could identify their writing in another context?

00:04:45.980 I'm saying almost all no's.

00:04:51.540 Interesting.

00:04:52.200 A few yeses, but on the locals platform, almost all are saying no.

00:04:56.260 What about you, YouTubes?

00:04:58.400 YouTubers?

00:05:00.400 I see probably more yeses.

00:05:03.960 Why is that?

00:05:04.820 Oh, now we're changing to more yeses on locals.

00:05:08.180 All right, let me give you my opinion as a professional writer.

00:05:11.260 I'll tell you one of the things that I've been doing for 30 years, I guess.

00:05:18.120 Since the dawn of email, when I first started publishing Dilbert, a few years into it, I started getting 1,000 emails a day or something from fans.

00:05:30.000 And I would read them quickly, but I'd try to read them all, actually.

00:05:33.580 And I would guess, before I saw the name, so I wouldn't know who the email was from, just some random fan, I would guess the gender based on how the letter was written.

00:05:47.880 And I found that I could guess the gender just with uncanny accuracy.

00:05:53.440 You know, well over 90% of the time, you can guess the gender just by reading it.

00:05:57.060 Did you know that?

00:05:59.820 Now, this is anecdotal.

00:06:01.380 I didn't go through a rigorous scientific process.

00:06:04.400 But I think it's actually pretty easy to identify gender.

00:06:08.280 Now, this is in the context of somebody voluntarily writing something in which they're not trying to heighten their gender.

00:06:15.960 Right?

00:06:16.180 So if they're voluntarily writing something, it's just easy.

00:06:19.040 You can just see it in the writing.

00:06:20.020 Now, can you take that further and identify an individual?

00:06:27.620 And I will tell you from all of my experience as a writer, yes.

00:06:34.520 Yes.

00:06:35.280 Do you know why I don't have a ghostwriter for Dilbert?

00:06:39.620 Anybody?

00:06:40.720 Does anybody know why after all these years, when I could easily, easily hire a writer and hire another artist

00:06:47.940 and then just go to vacation all day and never write Dilbert again?

00:06:51.960 So why do I do it?

00:06:54.800 The reason is there's literally no one else who can do it.

00:06:58.920 Literally.

00:07:00.180 If somebody else could write in my style, they would have already done it.

00:07:04.880 There would already be, you know, some other comic called Dilbert just, you know, drawn differently.

00:07:10.820 But you really can't write in the style of other people.

00:07:14.340 What about Shakespeare?

00:07:15.400 Well, I guess there's some people who think that that might have been a group effort, so that's a bad example.

00:07:21.080 But take whoever's your best writer in the world, whoever you think that is.

00:07:28.520 Who wrote Harry Potter?

00:07:31.080 I can never, I blank on that author's name all the time.

00:07:34.480 The Harry Potter author, J.K. Rowlings.

00:07:36.120 In my humble opinion, J.K. Rowlings is one of the best writers of all time.

00:07:43.480 Not just successful, obviously, but just in terms of being able to form a sentence.

00:07:49.560 Oh my God, that woman can form a sentence, like just crazy.

00:07:54.380 Peggy Noonan, Peggy Noonan, another great example, of somebody who's not just successful,

00:07:59.580 but, oh my God, can write a sentence that you just will read over and over again.

00:08:05.340 If somebody can write a sentence that you'll read more than once,

00:08:09.180 like you'll stop at the end of the sentence and say, I've got to do that one again.

00:08:12.980 And you go to the beginning of the sentence just to read it again.

00:08:16.720 Like those two writers I mentioned can do that.

00:08:18.960 George Will, another one, yeah.

00:08:20.280 So, you really can't reproduce other people's writing.

00:08:27.600 You think you can, because you think, oh, I'll do an impression.

00:08:31.600 Yeah, you think you could do an impression of Trump's writing.

00:08:33.860 I'll bet you can't.

00:08:35.280 I'll bet you can't.

00:08:36.220 Now, I'm not going to say you couldn't in a limited case.

00:08:40.380 You definitely could write one tweet that looked exactly like a Trump tweet.

00:08:47.640 You could definitely do that.

00:08:48.680 But you couldn't do a body of work that looked just like Trump.

00:08:53.360 You just couldn't do it.

00:08:54.200 It's not doable.

00:08:56.040 And I think it's as distinct as a fingerprint.

00:09:00.660 So, while the two names of the alleged Q writers were known for a long time,

00:09:10.120 this analysis seemed to confirm it.

00:09:13.480 So, there you go.

00:09:15.100 Somebody says, any CIA agent?

00:09:17.500 Well, we do not know if either of these people have any connections to any intelligence agencies.

00:09:23.860 I'd say that is not in evidence.

00:09:28.100 Let's talk about Ukraine.

00:09:30.480 Do you think anybody knows anything about Ukraine?

00:09:32.800 You know, yesterday I got a few comments from people who knew what they were talking about,

00:09:40.140 you know, who understand world politics and Russia stuff better than I do,

00:09:44.400 which is a lot of people.

00:09:46.500 And they had comments along the lines of,

00:09:48.740 people like me should stay out of it because boomers are stupid and we don't know what's going on.

00:09:54.740 And, you know, nobody understands Putin like they do, I guess.

00:09:58.260 And I realized that my comments on Russia are misleading.

00:10:06.680 And I feel like I need to confess something publicly.

00:10:11.380 You want to, is anybody ready for a confession?

00:10:13.460 And it goes like this.

00:10:19.300 When I talk about a topic on these live streams and when I'm tweeting,

00:10:24.240 I like to, I like to be as honest as any human can be.

00:10:30.260 Because that's the business model.

00:10:32.220 Like if I lied to you, it doesn't really work.

00:10:35.900 Like there wouldn't be a purpose to it because, you know, how do you make money on that?

00:10:39.000 People would know it and then it would just be nothing.

00:10:42.600 So, as much as I like to tell the truth,

00:10:46.920 when you talk about Russia at the moment,

00:10:50.620 you are actually influencing the events.

00:10:54.260 And that's my problem.

00:10:56.820 Now, you might say to yourself,

00:10:58.220 Scott, you're not influencing any events.

00:11:01.240 To which I say, everybody who has a sizable audience is.

00:11:05.660 Because if the only people we're influencing

00:11:07.520 are other people within our ecosystem,

00:11:10.620 you know, the people who follow me, etc.

00:11:12.400 Well, they are also boosting messages,

00:11:15.320 being influenced, influencing other people.

00:11:17.620 So, you can't really look at the size of my audience

00:11:20.040 to determine what impact

00:11:22.540 anything I say would say.

00:11:24.600 Because I only have to influence one person, right?

00:11:27.440 A different person.

00:11:28.920 Each time, perhaps.

00:11:30.240 But let's say I influence

00:11:31.900 one person who followed me

00:11:33.260 who happened to be influential themselves.

00:11:35.060 Do you think anybody who follows me

00:11:37.640 who is also influential?

00:11:39.960 Yeah.

00:11:40.480 I mean, there's a number of members of Congress

00:11:43.120 follow me on Twitter.

00:11:46.100 So, at least there are people

00:11:47.660 who are influential within America

00:11:49.220 who would, you know, hear what I say.

00:11:54.120 So, here's the question.

00:11:57.940 Do I have an obligation

00:11:59.460 to just tell you

00:12:01.300 the cleanest version of the truth

00:12:04.520 as I say it?

00:12:06.700 Or is my obligation to persuade?

00:12:10.080 Because remember,

00:12:10.980 this is life and death.

00:12:12.940 This is a war.

00:12:15.120 This would be the biggest land war in Europe

00:12:17.580 since World War II.

00:12:19.060 Do I have...

00:12:22.740 Am I cleared morally and ethically?

00:12:27.200 Can I avoid persuading in this case?

00:12:30.720 Let me put that into a direct question.

00:12:33.800 Let's say I imagined

00:12:35.140 I could make some difference.

00:12:37.460 I mean, that's a stretch.

00:12:38.900 I guess we'd all agree on that.

00:12:40.860 But suppose I imagined

00:12:42.640 I could have some influence.

00:12:44.280 What would be more ethical?

00:12:47.760 To try to persuade against war

00:12:50.660 or to be as clear and clean and honest

00:12:54.880 as I possibly can

00:12:55.960 and then let you make your decisions?

00:12:59.980 Right.

00:13:00.620 Not to lie.

00:13:01.860 Not to lie.

00:13:02.860 Right.

00:13:04.040 So, I won't lie.

00:13:06.320 So, I'm not asking you

00:13:07.740 whether I should lie.

00:13:09.720 That's important.

00:13:11.160 So, I'm not saying lying versus not lying.

00:13:13.200 I'm saying honest in both cases

00:13:16.500 but if you use hyperbole

00:13:19.020 that's not really lying

00:13:20.520 especially if you're predicting the future.

00:13:23.780 It's more like exaggerating

00:13:26.180 and people usually know it.

00:13:29.180 All right.

00:13:30.140 Here's what my critics

00:13:32.780 didn't understand about my opinions.

00:13:36.900 And this will come clear

00:13:38.280 as I talk about some of this Russia stuff.

00:13:40.180 Anyway, I guess I'm going to hold this opinion

00:13:43.380 until I give you a little more context

00:13:44.740 and then we'll circle back to it.

00:13:47.300 So, if we're trying to figure out

00:13:48.460 what is happening in Ukraine

00:13:49.840 here's some background.

00:13:53.800 You know that Ukraine gave up its nukes

00:13:56.940 at one point

00:13:57.620 but apparently they were Russia's nukes

00:13:59.500 and they were just getting them back.

00:14:01.640 But you hate the precedent

00:14:02.900 that a country gives up its nukes

00:14:05.220 and then is vulnerable.

00:14:06.100 So, it kind of looks like that

00:14:10.420 although they were Russian nukes

00:14:11.920 so maybe it's a different situation.

00:14:14.700 But that's one factor.

00:14:17.500 Zelensky says he wants to meet with Putin

00:14:19.200 because he doesn't know what Russia wants.

00:14:21.640 Do you believe that?

00:14:23.400 Do you believe that Zelensky literally

00:14:25.520 doesn't know what Putin wants?

00:14:27.860 Well, remember I said

00:14:33.800 if I could meet with Putin for an hour

00:14:36.760 I could clear this all up?

00:14:39.300 I think Zelensky thinks the same thing.

00:14:42.180 If he could find out

00:14:43.340 what is the number one most important thing

00:14:45.320 then there would be something to negotiate about.

00:14:48.780 But if you think there are several things

00:14:50.820 which Russia wants

00:14:51.900 and Putin doesn't tell you

00:14:54.280 which one is the big one

00:14:55.260 you can't negotiate.

00:14:56.840 There's nothing to negotiate

00:14:59.440 because you'd just be throwing things

00:15:01.100 at the problem

00:15:02.160 without any precision whatsoever.

00:15:04.640 But if you could get Putin to say

00:15:06.240 look, I like national defense

00:15:08.460 I like selling gas

00:15:09.600 I want strategic

00:15:10.580 I don't know

00:15:12.080 strategic advantage

00:15:13.200 whatever

00:15:13.740 if you figure out

00:15:14.960 what his top thing was

00:15:16.120 then you might find out

00:15:17.660 some kind of counter offer

00:15:18.820 for the most important thing

00:15:20.180 and then you'd have something to work with.

00:15:22.220 But he's not giving us anything to work with.

00:15:23.880 So I think Zelensky's instinct

00:15:26.780 to see if you could get him

00:15:28.600 to give up what his top priority is

00:15:30.460 I would do that.

00:15:34.440 I mean who knows if it's productive

00:15:35.720 but if you don't do it

00:15:37.380 you would feel like

00:15:38.280 you'd missed a step

00:15:40.080 I think.

00:15:41.960 So I asked in a Twitter poll

00:15:44.100 a bunch of mostly Americans

00:15:46.620 who follow me

00:15:47.420 what did you think

00:15:49.160 was Putin's main reason

00:15:50.340 for wanting Ukraine?

00:15:51.560 And I gave three choices

00:15:52.900 but maybe these are incomplete.

00:15:55.020 I said national defense

00:15:56.320 Russian glory

00:15:57.380 or economics.

00:15:59.740 Now of course

00:16:00.200 these are all connected

00:16:01.160 right?

00:16:01.920 You know defense

00:16:02.460 and economics

00:16:03.080 are connected pretty closely

00:16:04.600 but still you can think

00:16:06.020 of them separately

00:16:06.660 and your answers

00:16:08.120 were roughly even.

00:16:10.620 Roughly even.

00:16:11.980 So last I checked

00:16:12.940 it was like 28%

00:16:13.980 for national defense

00:16:15.100 34% for Russian glory

00:16:17.460 38% for economics.

00:16:19.260 Now if the reason

00:16:22.220 is economics

00:16:23.180 doesn't that mean

00:16:25.240 that capturing Ukraine

00:16:28.440 would be a positive

00:16:29.440 for the GDP of Russia

00:16:31.700 right?

00:16:32.900 So I asked Ian Bremmer

00:16:34.740 who by the way

00:16:35.620 you should be following

00:16:36.400 are you all following

00:16:37.740 Ian Bremmer?

00:16:40.200 On the Russia stuff

00:16:41.600 the China stuff

00:16:42.500 any of these

00:16:43.280 international relations stuff

00:16:44.620 you want to follow

00:16:46.400 Ian Bremmer?

00:16:47.460 Now you don't have to

00:16:48.180 agree with him

00:16:48.740 but in terms of

00:16:50.720 context and

00:16:51.740 being connected

00:16:53.020 to stuff

00:16:53.540 I would say

00:16:54.740 he's a must

00:16:55.380 yeah on Twitter.

00:16:57.000 So Ian Bremmer

00:16:57.780 make sure you follow him.

00:16:59.540 So I asked him

00:17:00.600 in some Twitter exchanges

00:17:03.420 if he thought

00:17:04.080 that Russia would

00:17:04.700 come out ahead

00:17:05.840 or behind economically.

00:17:08.040 What do you think?

00:17:09.640 I'll ask you.

00:17:11.180 Do you think

00:17:11.680 that Russia would

00:17:12.340 come out ahead

00:17:13.060 or behind

00:17:13.840 economically

00:17:14.720 if they

00:17:16.000 do a full invasion?

00:17:17.220 I'm seeing

00:17:19.180 mostly behind

00:17:20.360 a few aheads

00:17:21.940 but mostly behind

00:17:22.960 all right

00:17:24.500 so Ian

00:17:25.400 Ian's

00:17:26.400 prediction

00:17:28.180 was also

00:17:29.100 that they would

00:17:29.680 come out

00:17:30.060 behind

00:17:30.620 and that they

00:17:32.160 might even

00:17:32.540 go into a recession

00:17:33.380 based on the

00:17:34.340 well I suppose

00:17:36.140 not only the cost

00:17:37.160 of war

00:17:37.500 because it's

00:17:37.840 pretty expensive

00:17:38.380 but also

00:17:39.380 the sanctions.

00:17:41.560 Now

00:17:41.760 do you believe

00:17:42.740 that prediction?

00:17:45.200 Do you believe

00:17:45.920 that Russia

00:17:46.840 would suffer

00:17:47.560 a recession

00:17:48.360 which is not

00:17:49.760 permanent

00:17:50.200 and wouldn't

00:17:51.280 affect Putin

00:17:52.180 much himself?

00:17:54.420 Does that sound

00:17:55.340 about right?

00:17:55.980 That the worst

00:17:56.980 we could do

00:17:57.760 the worst thing

00:17:59.200 we could do to him

00:17:59.880 is a recession

00:18:00.500 and that wouldn't

00:18:01.260 probably last forever.

00:18:03.420 Everybody agree?

00:18:05.320 So would that

00:18:06.420 be enough

00:18:06.760 to stop him?

00:18:08.200 Now Ian Bremmer

00:18:09.040 I guess would say

00:18:10.440 no

00:18:10.740 that he would

00:18:12.280 accept that

00:18:13.040 I think he did

00:18:13.760 say that

00:18:14.140 Ian said that

00:18:15.060 that Putin

00:18:16.620 would accept

00:18:17.420 a recession

00:18:18.000 to gain

00:18:20.360 control of

00:18:21.240 Ukraine.

00:18:22.320 Now if that's

00:18:23.100 true

00:18:23.420 is it because

00:18:24.980 he thinks

00:18:25.480 in the long run

00:18:26.400 it will be

00:18:27.620 economically positive?

00:18:29.740 What do you

00:18:30.120 think?

00:18:30.900 I would say

00:18:31.360 short run

00:18:32.120 a recession

00:18:32.800 is largely

00:18:34.240 guaranteed

00:18:34.880 close to

00:18:37.280 guaranteed

00:18:37.620 nothing's

00:18:38.120 guaranteed

00:18:38.500 but in the

00:18:39.860 long run

00:18:40.500 do you think

00:18:41.300 if Putin

00:18:41.800 could reduce

00:18:43.120 his cost

00:18:43.780 of holding

00:18:44.220 Ukraine

00:18:44.680 so the

00:18:45.600 military cost

00:18:46.340 goes down

00:18:46.840 over time

00:18:47.400 finds a way

00:18:48.620 around these

00:18:49.160 sanctions

00:18:49.640 or maybe

00:18:50.140 the sanctions

00:18:50.700 drop off

00:18:51.460 after 10

00:18:52.800 years or

00:18:53.280 something

00:18:53.580 does he

00:18:54.680 end up

00:18:55.000 with a

00:18:55.320 long term

00:18:55.820 gain

00:18:56.300 because Ukraine

00:18:57.100 has resources

00:18:58.580 does he

00:18:59.660 end up

00:18:59.920 with a

00:19:00.160 long term

00:19:00.620 gain

00:19:00.940 that just

00:19:01.420 demolishes

00:19:02.620 his short

00:19:03.100 term cost

00:19:03.700 and would

00:19:05.240 Putin do

00:19:05.780 that

00:19:06.160 at his

00:19:07.100 current age

00:19:07.900 at Putin's

00:19:09.920 current age

00:19:10.800 would he

00:19:11.780 make a

00:19:12.140 20 year

00:19:12.580 bet

00:19:12.900 on Russia

00:19:14.340 I don't

00:19:16.300 know that

00:19:16.580 he would

00:19:17.000 a 20

00:19:18.560 year bet

00:19:19.140 I don't

00:19:20.680 know

00:19:20.940 maybe

00:19:21.880 maybe

00:19:23.160 because you

00:19:23.820 know

00:19:23.960 he could be

00:19:24.620 still in

00:19:25.060 charge

00:19:25.300 when he's

00:19:25.680 85 or

00:19:26.380 something

00:19:26.640 very possible

00:19:28.320 so I

00:19:31.820 would say

00:19:32.120 there's a

00:19:32.500 little bit

00:19:32.840 of a

00:19:33.080 mystery

00:19:33.440 about what's

00:19:34.820 going on

00:19:36.040 andres

00:19:37.160 back

00:19:37.660 house

00:19:38.000 thought that

00:19:39.360 if you

00:19:40.340 look at

00:19:40.660 Russia's

00:19:41.080 history

00:19:41.420 over the

00:19:41.780 last

00:19:41.980 300

00:19:42.380 years

00:19:42.860 they like

00:19:44.120 to conquer

00:19:44.820 weaker

00:19:45.260 neighbors

00:19:45.640 and so

00:19:46.920 maybe it's

00:19:47.380 nothing but

00:19:47.820 an impulse

00:19:48.320 to conquer

00:19:48.860 your weaker

00:19:49.360 neighbor

00:19:49.680 and that's

00:19:50.600 all it is

00:19:51.060 and everything

00:19:52.040 else is just

00:19:52.660 rationalizations

00:19:53.540 and stuff

00:19:54.080 like that

00:19:54.480 now I don't

00:19:55.340 think it's

00:19:55.620 that simple

00:19:56.080 but there

00:19:57.480 might be

00:19:57.800 some of

00:19:58.100 that in

00:19:58.400 there

00:19:58.580 there might

00:19:59.680 be a

00:19:59.920 little bit

00:20:00.300 of we

00:20:01.000 always conquer

00:20:01.660 our weaker

00:20:02.160 neighbors

00:20:02.560 because we

00:20:03.160 can

00:20:03.440 so it

00:20:04.660 creates a

00:20:05.180 little

00:20:05.300 buffer

00:20:05.680 zone

00:20:06.840 there

00:20:07.080 so I

00:20:08.000 think that's

00:20:08.380 in there

00:20:08.680 too

00:20:08.940 but here's

00:20:11.420 where I

00:20:12.200 get back

00:20:12.600 to having

00:20:13.640 an opinion

00:20:14.060 versus

00:20:14.680 persuading

00:20:15.500 if Putin

00:20:17.760 knows exactly

00:20:18.600 the costs

00:20:19.300 of attacking

00:20:20.800 I think he's

00:20:22.460 likely to do

00:20:23.200 it

00:20:23.440 if he knew

00:20:25.580 the costs

00:20:26.360 in other

00:20:27.080 words if he

00:20:27.560 knew that

00:20:28.500 the worst

00:20:28.940 thing that

00:20:29.220 would happen

00:20:29.580 is a

00:20:29.920 recession

00:20:30.320 that lasted

00:20:31.020 five to

00:20:32.400 ten years

00:20:32.980 I think

00:20:34.040 he would

00:20:34.260 go ahead

00:20:34.540 and attack

00:20:35.040 what do

00:20:36.260 you think

00:20:36.640 if he

00:20:37.840 knew that

00:20:38.320 was his

00:20:38.640 only price

00:20:39.360 do you

00:20:40.640 think he'd

00:20:41.020 attack

00:20:41.440 five to

00:20:42.040 ten years

00:20:42.380 of recession

00:20:42.840 I think

00:20:45.940 yes

00:20:46.360 more likely

00:20:47.420 yes than

00:20:47.900 no

00:20:48.120 now

00:20:49.480 how can

00:20:50.760 somebody

00:20:51.140 like me

00:20:51.800 who's

00:20:52.800 just a

00:20:53.140 person

00:20:53.400 talking

00:20:53.800 on a

00:20:54.040 live

00:20:54.260 screen

00:20:54.600 with a

00:20:55.060 limited

00:20:55.720 audience

00:20:57.080 how could

00:20:58.620 I change

00:20:59.200 the economic

00:20:59.860 equation

00:21:00.460 could I

00:21:01.300 do it

00:21:01.640 let me

00:21:02.740 ask you

00:21:03.080 could I

00:21:03.760 personally

00:21:04.280 personally

00:21:05.300 just me

00:21:06.100 with whatever

00:21:07.580 effect I

00:21:08.120 could have

00:21:08.400 could I

00:21:09.140 change the

00:21:09.780 cost of

00:21:10.460 invasion

00:21:10.920 the answer

00:21:14.160 is yes

00:21:14.620 yes

00:21:15.880 here's how

00:21:17.240 in economic

00:21:18.980 terms

00:21:19.560 uncertainty

00:21:20.280 is expensive

00:21:21.180 uncertainty

00:21:23.040 is expensive

00:21:24.340 so the

00:21:25.580 higher the

00:21:26.080 uncertainty

00:21:26.620 the more

00:21:27.820 expensive

00:21:28.200 in terms

00:21:29.720 of how

00:21:30.000 you

00:21:30.240 approach

00:21:30.700 the

00:21:30.920 decision

00:21:31.320 and we

00:21:31.780 know that

00:21:32.180 Putin is

00:21:32.580 a rational

00:21:33.160 player

00:21:33.520 right

00:21:33.820 Putin is

00:21:34.900 super

00:21:35.200 rational

00:21:35.620 and smart

00:21:37.760 so he is

00:21:39.260 going to

00:21:39.680 understand that

00:21:40.420 the higher

00:21:40.740 the risk

00:21:41.260 the higher

00:21:41.560 the price

00:21:42.060 so

00:21:43.640 when I

00:21:44.960 say things

00:21:45.540 like I

00:21:45.960 did on

00:21:46.540 Twitter

00:21:46.800 that Putin

00:21:48.420 might be a

00:21:48.960 week away

00:21:49.480 from having

00:21:50.060 North

00:21:50.440 economy

00:21:50.860 North Korea's

00:21:52.080 economy

00:21:52.700 people

00:21:54.480 criticized me

00:21:55.320 and said

00:21:55.780 Scott

00:21:56.120 Scott

00:21:56.380 you don't

00:21:58.620 know much

00:21:59.060 about

00:21:59.320 international

00:21:59.860 relations

00:22:00.600 because not

00:22:01.680 only does

00:22:02.160 Russia have

00:22:02.720 cash and

00:22:03.820 gold reserves

00:22:04.620 but they have

00:22:05.740 the most

00:22:06.060 important thing

00:22:06.700 to sell

00:22:07.200 that somebody

00:22:08.620 is definitely

00:22:09.160 going to buy

00:22:09.720 which is

00:22:10.300 energy

00:22:10.980 gas

00:22:11.560 and

00:22:12.540 if they

00:22:13.560 were to

00:22:13.820 cut off

00:22:14.160 gas to

00:22:14.640 Europe

00:22:14.840 they would

00:22:15.180 freeze

00:22:15.500 Europe

00:22:15.780 in the

00:22:16.060 winter

00:22:16.280 so that

00:22:16.700 Germany

00:22:17.420 is half

00:22:18.140 of its

00:22:18.480 I think

00:22:19.320 half of

00:22:19.760 its energy

00:22:20.320 comes from

00:22:20.820 Russia

00:22:21.160 so

00:22:22.700 Russia

00:22:24.440 basically

00:22:26.100 has a

00:22:26.560 lock

00:22:26.820 on

00:22:27.020 stuff

00:22:27.300 and

00:22:27.440 they

00:22:27.580 can

00:22:27.720 kind

00:22:28.000 of

00:22:28.080 do

00:22:28.200 what

00:22:28.340 they

00:22:28.460 want

00:22:28.700 because

00:22:28.920 they've

00:22:29.060 got

00:22:29.180 control

00:22:29.620 but

00:22:30.760 here's

00:22:31.980 how I

00:22:32.280 can

00:22:32.440 raise

00:22:32.920 the

00:22:33.200 price

00:22:33.640 for

00:22:34.440 Putin

00:22:34.740 by

00:22:35.960 increasing

00:22:36.460 his

00:22:36.800 uncertainty

00:22:37.280 now I

00:22:38.980 can't do

00:22:39.320 it

00:22:39.420 directly

00:22:39.800 because

00:22:40.360 one

00:22:40.580 assumes

00:22:40.940 that

00:22:41.220 Putin

00:22:41.540 is not

00:22:41.940 watching

00:22:42.240 this

00:22:42.460 live

00:22:42.700 stream

00:22:42.980 but

00:22:44.360 I

00:22:45.040 can

00:22:45.240 put

00:22:45.460 the

00:22:45.660 idea

00:22:46.000 into

00:22:46.260 the

00:22:46.460 public

00:22:46.840 that

00:22:47.720 Russia

00:22:48.000 doesn't

00:22:48.380 know

00:22:48.540 what's

00:22:48.760 coming

00:22:49.000 they

00:22:50.960 don't

00:22:51.180 know

00:22:51.320 what's

00:22:51.500 coming

00:22:51.740 militarily

00:22:52.420 remember

00:22:53.140 when I

00:22:53.500 said

00:22:53.780 what kind

00:22:56.820 of drone

00:22:57.260 attacks

00:22:57.860 what kind

00:22:58.480 of

00:22:58.700 anti-tank

00:23:00.500 weaponry

00:23:01.040 does

00:23:01.240 Ukraine

00:23:01.600 have

00:23:01.980 how hard

00:23:02.440 will

00:23:02.580 they

00:23:02.760 fight

00:23:03.120 what kind

00:23:04.560 of

00:23:04.700 secret

00:23:05.040 technology

00:23:05.720 as

00:23:06.260 NATO

00:23:06.620 and the

00:23:06.940 United

00:23:07.140 States

00:23:07.480 provided

00:23:08.160 to Ukraine

00:23:08.780 that nobody

00:23:09.700 knows

00:23:10.000 about

00:23:10.260 the

00:23:11.480 reason

00:23:11.800 that I

00:23:12.080 talk

00:23:12.320 about

00:23:12.660 how many

00:23:14.100 types

00:23:14.940 of exotic

00:23:15.580 weapons

00:23:16.060 Ukraine

00:23:16.500 could

00:23:16.800 have

00:23:17.220 is not

00:23:18.580 just

00:23:18.920 because

00:23:19.280 it's

00:23:19.520 totally

00:23:19.820 clear

00:23:20.240 and

00:23:20.480 true

00:23:20.700 right

00:23:21.920 it's

00:23:22.480 not

00:23:22.660 true

00:23:22.840 that I

00:23:23.100 know

00:23:23.260 what

00:23:23.400 they

00:23:23.520 have

00:23:23.800 it's

00:23:24.720 true

00:23:24.900 that we

00:23:25.180 don't

00:23:25.420 know

00:23:25.580 what

00:23:25.700 they

00:23:25.820 have

00:23:26.080 that is

00:23:26.820 clear

00:23:27.200 and

00:23:27.460 true

00:23:27.680 we

00:23:28.060 don't

00:23:28.260 know

00:23:28.360 what

00:23:28.500 they

00:23:28.620 have

00:23:28.920 and

00:23:29.640 therefore

00:23:30.080 Russia

00:23:31.180 doesn't

00:23:31.500 know

00:23:31.600 what

00:23:31.720 they

00:23:31.820 have

00:23:32.040 and

00:23:32.400 I

00:23:32.480 like

00:23:32.640 to

00:23:32.780 remind

00:23:33.100 them

00:23:33.360 and

00:23:34.260 if

00:23:34.400 I

00:23:34.520 can

00:23:34.680 say

00:23:34.840 that

00:23:35.020 point

00:23:35.280 enough

00:23:35.700 maybe

00:23:36.140 other

00:23:36.380 people

00:23:36.700 will

00:23:36.960 repeat

00:23:37.240 it

00:23:37.560 and

00:23:38.640 maybe

00:23:38.940 it

00:23:39.660 reaches

00:23:39.960 the

00:23:40.260 attention

00:23:40.560 of the

00:23:40.920 Russians

00:23:41.180 that

00:23:42.020 they

00:23:42.160 haven't

00:23:42.460 given

00:23:42.680 enough

00:23:43.060 thought

00:23:43.520 to

00:23:44.480 the

00:23:44.640 uncertainty

00:23:45.100 of this

00:23:45.600 particular

00:23:46.240 war

00:23:46.640 because

00:23:47.540 I

00:23:47.740 think

00:23:47.940 their

00:23:48.220 frame

00:23:49.200 of

00:23:49.380 reference

00:23:49.780 is

00:23:50.480 fighting

00:23:50.780 countries

00:23:51.280 that

00:23:51.520 have

00:23:51.980 a

00:23:52.120 lower

00:23:52.340 technical

00:23:52.980 capability

00:23:53.700 am I

00:23:55.340 right

00:23:55.600 if

00:23:57.280 you've

00:23:57.940 only

00:23:58.240 fought

00:23:58.580 countries

00:23:59.020 that

00:23:59.180 have

00:23:59.340 low

00:23:59.680 technical

00:24:00.280 capability

00:24:01.020 and

00:24:02.160 now

00:24:02.360 you

00:24:02.520 go up

00:24:02.820 against

00:24:03.100 Ukraine

00:24:03.540 which

00:24:03.860 individually

00:24:04.400 doesn't

00:24:04.760 have

00:24:04.940 high

00:24:05.140 technical

00:24:05.540 capability

00:24:06.240 but

00:24:06.980 they

00:24:07.160 have

00:24:07.400 friends

00:24:07.940 who

00:24:09.080 have

00:24:09.340 what

00:24:09.520 I

00:24:09.680 call

00:24:10.000 the

00:24:10.560 good

00:24:10.800 stuff

00:24:11.220 in

00:24:12.600 theory

00:24:13.020 every

00:24:14.000 American

00:24:14.560 weapons

00:24:15.080 manufacturer

00:24:15.880 should

00:24:16.780 have

00:24:16.920 already

00:24:17.300 stepped

00:24:17.700 up

00:24:18.060 and

00:24:18.740 said

00:24:19.060 can

00:24:19.460 you

00:24:19.620 test

00:24:19.920 our

00:24:20.100 new

00:24:20.300 thing

00:24:20.520 on

00:24:20.680 the

00:24:20.780 battlefield

00:24:21.140 can

00:24:22.660 you

00:24:22.800 test

00:24:23.080 the

00:24:23.260 new

00:24:23.460 thing

00:24:23.740 because

00:24:24.460 we

00:24:24.600 need

00:24:24.800 to

00:24:24.920 test

00:24:25.200 it

00:24:25.340 in

00:24:25.480 battle

00:24:25.800 nobody

00:24:26.700 has

00:24:26.900 seen

00:24:27.060 it

00:24:27.200 yet

00:24:27.420 and

00:24:27.660 we're

00:24:27.840 certainly

00:24:28.180 not

00:24:28.440 going

00:24:28.560 to

00:24:28.640 waste

00:24:28.860 it

00:24:29.020 in

00:24:29.140 Afghanistan

00:24:29.680 because

00:24:30.680 if

00:24:30.860 you

00:24:30.980 waste

00:24:31.280 it

00:24:31.440 in

00:24:31.580 Afghanistan

00:24:32.120 people

00:24:33.160 will

00:24:33.380 see

00:24:33.580 your

00:24:33.740 weapon

00:24:34.020 and

00:24:34.680 you

00:24:34.760 might

00:24:34.900 want

00:24:35.060 to

00:24:35.180 save

00:24:35.400 that

00:24:35.580 for

00:24:35.760 a

00:24:35.880 high

00:24:36.040 tech

00:24:36.260 fight

00:24:37.560 so

00:24:38.900 I

00:24:39.720 would

00:24:39.880 like

00:24:40.100 Russia

00:24:40.380 to

00:24:40.580 do

00:24:40.720 a

00:24:40.860 little

00:24:40.980 more

00:24:41.180 thinking

00:24:41.660 about

00:24:43.180 what

00:24:43.680 they

00:24:43.840 don't

00:24:44.140 know

00:24:44.460 and

00:24:45.500 what

00:24:45.680 they

00:24:45.840 don't

00:24:46.160 know

00:24:46.460 is

00:24:46.740 what

00:24:46.920 Ukraine

00:24:47.360 has

00:24:47.660 access

00:24:48.020 to

00:24:48.380 or

00:24:49.160 could

00:24:50.000 have

00:24:50.220 access

00:24:50.580 to

00:24:50.940 within

00:24:51.340 24

00:24:51.840 hours

00:24:52.300 of

00:24:52.700 an

00:24:53.360 attack

00:24:53.760 so

00:24:54.500 it

00:24:54.620 might

00:24:54.780 not

00:24:54.940 be

00:24:55.120 true

00:24:55.280 that

00:24:55.420 they

00:24:55.540 have

00:24:55.660 access

00:24:55.920 to

00:24:56.120 anything

00:24:56.360 good

00:24:56.660 right

00:24:56.840 now

00:24:57.100 but

00:24:58.260 I'll

00:24:58.440 bet

00:24:58.620 it's

00:24:58.800 nearby

00:24:59.300 I'll

00:25:00.720 bet

00:25:00.840 it's

00:25:01.100 staged

00:25:04.760 invented

00:25:05.220 and

00:25:05.580 never

00:25:05.820 tested

00:25:06.240 in

00:25:06.500 an

00:25:06.660 actual

00:25:06.920 battle

00:25:07.280 are

00:25:07.920 somewhere

00:25:08.340 near

00:25:08.780 that

00:25:09.100 theater

00:25:09.520 somewhere

00:25:11.200 in the

00:25:11.540 area

00:25:11.820 if you

00:25:12.100 know

00:25:12.220 what

00:25:12.320 I

00:25:12.420 mean

00:25:12.600 you

00:25:13.360 would

00:25:13.700 just

00:25:13.840 make

00:25:14.040 sure

00:25:14.240 you

00:25:14.420 were

00:25:14.600 ready

00:25:15.600 in

00:25:15.860 case

00:25:16.060 somebody

00:25:16.400 said

00:25:16.620 you

00:25:16.760 know

00:25:17.040 maybe

00:25:17.900 we

00:25:18.100 need

00:25:18.300 that

00:25:18.520 anti-tank

00:25:19.320 drone

00:25:19.860 after

00:25:20.180 all

00:25:20.500 can

00:25:21.080 you

00:25:21.200 fire

00:25:21.440 that

00:25:21.640 up

00:25:21.820 see

00:25:21.960 what

00:25:22.120 happens

00:25:22.420 so

00:25:24.540 do

00:25:25.260 you

00:25:25.360 see

00:25:25.520 the

00:25:25.700 distinction

00:25:26.160 when

00:25:27.420 I'm

00:25:28.060 talking

00:25:28.380 about

00:25:28.780 the

00:25:29.460 war

00:25:30.380 I

00:25:31.520 want

00:25:31.880 to

00:25:32.100 add

00:25:32.420 uncertainty

00:25:32.980 to it

00:25:33.460 for

00:25:33.720 the

00:25:33.900 Russian

00:25:34.120 side

00:25:34.540 without

00:25:35.460 lying

00:25:35.920 have

00:25:37.000 I

00:25:37.120 said

00:25:37.320 anything

00:25:37.620 that

00:25:37.820 sounds

00:25:38.040 like

00:25:38.260 a

00:25:38.420 lie

00:25:38.700 I

00:25:39.900 don't

00:25:40.040 think

00:25:40.240 so

00:25:40.500 because

00:25:41.100 I'm

00:25:41.400 not

00:25:41.560 lying

00:25:41.820 I'm

00:25:42.960 just

00:25:43.140 saying

00:25:43.380 that

00:25:43.560 they

00:25:43.700 should

00:25:43.840 spend

00:25:44.080 more

00:25:44.280 time

00:25:44.540 thinking

00:25:44.820 about

00:25:45.040 what's

00:25:45.260 under

00:25:45.420 the

00:25:45.580 bed

00:25:45.840 because

00:25:46.640 they

00:25:46.820 don't

00:25:47.060 know

00:25:47.400 Putin

00:25:48.640 doesn't

00:25:49.000 know

00:25:49.160 what's

00:25:49.400 under

00:25:49.560 the

00:25:49.720 bed

00:25:50.000 and

00:25:50.540 let

00:25:50.720 me

00:25:50.820 tell

00:25:51.020 you

00:25:51.180 I'm

00:25:52.080 sure

00:25:52.300 he

00:25:52.460 didn't

00:25:52.680 see

00:25:52.840 it

00:25:52.960 in

00:25:53.100 Syria

00:25:53.440 right

00:25:55.280 if

00:25:56.840 we

00:25:57.020 have

00:25:57.180 some

00:25:57.360 good

00:25:57.620 stuff

00:25:58.100 good

00:25:58.700 stuff

00:25:59.060 and

00:26:00.200 we've

00:26:00.420 made

00:26:00.580 it

00:26:00.720 available

00:26:01.040 to

00:26:01.280 Ukraine

00:26:01.740 he

00:26:02.400 hasn't

00:26:02.660 seen

00:26:02.880 it

00:26:03.000 yet

00:26:03.220 so

00:26:04.220 one

00:26:05.840 of the

00:26:06.080 reasons

00:26:06.380 that

00:26:06.620 Biden

00:26:06.880 might

00:26:07.240 be

00:26:07.620 calling

00:26:08.580 his

00:26:08.800 bluff

00:26:09.080 so to

00:26:09.420 speak

00:26:09.720 is

00:26:10.760 he

00:26:10.900 knows

00:26:11.200 that

00:26:11.500 a

00:26:12.520 major

00:26:12.940 invasion

00:26:13.680 would

00:26:14.040 be a

00:26:14.280 slaughter

00:26:14.620 possibly

00:26:16.040 a

00:26:16.660 slaughter

00:26:16.960 of the

00:26:17.320 invaders

00:26:17.760 it's

00:26:19.040 possible

00:26:19.540 that the

00:26:20.660 Russian

00:26:20.880 army

00:26:21.180 would be

00:26:21.580 wiped

00:26:21.820 out

00:26:22.140 it's

00:26:23.860 possible

00:26:24.320 I

00:26:25.000 don't

00:26:25.120 know

00:26:25.220 what

00:26:25.300 the

00:26:25.420 odds

00:26:25.660 are

00:26:25.920 if

00:26:27.000 you

00:26:27.140 if

00:26:27.320 you

00:26:27.420 said

00:26:27.580 what

00:26:27.720 are

00:26:27.780 the

00:26:27.880 odds

00:26:28.100 I'd

00:26:28.240 say

00:26:28.360 low

00:26:28.740 10%

00:26:31.420 would

00:26:33.280 Putin

00:26:33.580 take a

00:26:34.020 10%

00:26:34.500 chance

00:26:34.920 of

00:26:35.080 losing

00:26:35.440 this

00:26:35.720 war

00:26:35.960 what

00:26:37.420 do

00:26:37.500 you

00:26:37.600 think

00:26:37.880 maybe

00:26:39.700 maybe

00:26:40.440 a 10%

00:26:40.960 chance

00:26:41.340 would

00:26:41.820 he

00:26:41.940 take

00:26:42.140 a

00:26:42.260 20%

00:26:42.940 chance

00:26:43.360 of

00:26:43.540 losing

00:26:43.860 like

00:26:44.740 actually

00:26:45.120 just

00:26:45.360 losing

00:26:45.900 flat

00:26:46.360 out

00:26:46.560 losing

00:26:47.000 20%

00:26:48.640 chance

00:26:49.160 would

00:26:50.020 he

00:26:50.100 take

00:26:50.320 it

00:26:50.540 that's

00:26:51.460 about

00:26:51.700 where

00:26:52.880 the

00:26:53.040 risk

00:26:53.280 taking

00:26:53.580 breaks

00:26:53.900 down

00:26:54.220 isn't

00:26:54.480 it

00:26:54.680 for

00:26:55.860 a

00:26:56.640 military

00:26:57.600 battle

00:26:58.080 you

00:26:58.760 might

00:26:59.000 take

00:26:59.280 9 to

00:26:59.680 1

00:26:59.980 well

00:27:01.580 you're

00:27:01.740 not

00:27:01.900 going

00:27:02.020 to

00:27:02.080 take

00:27:02.280 4 to

00:27:03.060 1

00:27:03.300 I

00:27:05.700 don't

00:27:05.860 think

00:27:06.200 I'm

00:27:06.960 not a

00:27:07.200 military

00:27:07.500 guy

00:27:07.880 and

00:27:08.020 every

00:27:08.180 situation

00:27:08.600 is

00:27:08.780 different

00:27:09.040 you're

00:27:09.600 going

00:27:09.680 to

00:27:09.760 take

00:27:09.920 a

00:27:10.040 different

00:27:10.260 risk

00:27:10.600 for

00:27:10.780 different

00:27:11.100 opportunities

00:27:11.880 so

00:27:13.220 I

00:27:14.260 would

00:27:14.380 like

00:27:14.580 Russia

00:27:15.120 to

00:27:15.360 know

00:27:15.660 through

00:27:16.040 whoever

00:27:16.480 wants

00:27:16.820 to

00:27:16.980 remind

00:27:17.380 them

00:27:17.600 that

00:27:18.160 they

00:27:18.280 have

00:27:18.420 no

00:27:18.640 idea

00:27:18.960 what

00:27:19.200 kind

00:27:19.360 of

00:27:19.440 weapons

00:27:19.740 are

00:27:19.900 going

00:27:20.020 to

00:27:20.040 be

00:27:20.160 thrown

00:27:20.360 at

00:27:20.520 them

00:27:20.700 when

00:27:20.880 they

00:27:21.020 cross

00:27:21.300 that

00:27:21.480 border

00:27:21.740 and

00:27:22.040 they

00:27:22.160 have

00:27:22.280 no

00:27:22.440 way

00:27:22.620 to

00:27:22.760 know

00:27:22.940 there's

00:27:23.440 no

00:27:23.600 way

00:27:23.780 for

00:27:23.940 them

00:27:24.100 to

00:27:24.220 know

00:27:24.420 I

00:27:25.580 don't

00:27:26.300 think

00:27:26.480 their intel

00:27:26.880 would be

00:27:27.140 that

00:27:27.280 good

00:27:27.500 here's

00:27:29.720 another

00:27:29.920 factor

00:27:30.400 as

00:27:31.620 also

00:27:32.320 Ian

00:27:32.620 Bremmer

00:27:32.940 points

00:27:33.300 out

00:27:33.600 and

00:27:34.420 by

00:27:34.560 the

00:27:34.640 way

00:27:34.740 his

00:27:34.900 Twitter

00:27:35.160 feed

00:27:35.380 is

00:27:35.520 just

00:27:35.700 gold

00:27:36.080 for

00:27:36.400 this

00:27:36.660 topic

00:27:38.200 he

00:27:39.200 points

00:27:39.460 out

00:27:39.680 that

00:27:39.900 in

00:27:40.140 2008

00:27:41.220 Russia

00:27:41.740 moved

00:27:42.040 against

00:27:42.300 Georgia

00:27:42.780 in

00:27:43.080 2013

00:27:43.560 Russia

00:27:44.440 moved

00:27:45.580 in

00:27:45.800 Syria

00:27:46.200 nobody

00:27:47.720 stopped

00:27:48.720 them

00:27:48.940 2014

00:27:49.840 they

00:27:50.380 moved

00:27:50.580 again

00:27:50.840 in

00:27:50.980 Ukraine

00:27:51.280 nobody

00:27:51.740 stopped

00:27:52.140 them

00:27:52.360 then

00:27:52.640 2016

00:27:53.260 elections

00:27:53.860 according

00:27:54.320 to

00:27:54.540 Ian

00:27:54.760 they

00:27:55.720 meddled

00:27:56.360 with

00:27:56.580 those

00:27:56.980 and

00:27:57.240 didn't

00:27:57.900 really

00:27:58.080 pay

00:27:58.240 a price

00:27:58.580 for it

00:27:58.940 so

00:27:59.980 his

00:28:00.340 point

00:28:00.600 is

00:28:00.840 that

00:28:01.080 what

00:28:01.280 you're

00:28:01.460 seeing

00:28:01.700 today

00:28:02.120 is

00:28:02.440 just

00:28:02.660 an

00:28:02.860 extension

00:28:03.320 of

00:28:03.600 that

00:28:03.900 which

00:28:04.900 is

00:28:05.100 Russia

00:28:05.460 has

00:28:05.760 realized

00:28:06.160 that

00:28:06.400 they

00:28:06.580 can

00:28:06.840 just

00:28:07.200 take

00:28:07.460 stuff

00:28:07.760 and

00:28:08.740 keep

00:28:09.020 it

00:28:09.200 and

00:28:10.040 it

00:28:10.140 works

00:28:10.440 so

00:28:11.380 why

00:28:11.840 not

00:28:12.000 keep

00:28:12.160 doing

00:28:12.380 it

00:28:12.640 and

00:28:13.800 the

00:28:13.920 answer

00:28:14.180 is

00:28:14.480 that

00:28:14.860 the

00:28:16.140 risk

00:28:16.480 for

00:28:16.680 each

00:28:16.820 of

00:28:16.940 these

00:28:17.100 will

00:28:17.300 be

00:28:17.460 different

00:28:17.860 but

00:28:18.860 apparently

00:28:19.320 this

00:28:19.620 is

00:28:19.780 the

00:28:19.900 one

00:28:20.020 we

00:28:20.180 care

00:28:20.400 about

00:28:20.700 you

00:28:21.500 know

00:28:21.600 what

00:28:21.700 I

00:28:21.780 mean

00:28:21.940 this

00:28:23.160 is

00:28:23.320 the

00:28:23.420 one

00:28:23.520 we

00:28:23.680 care

00:28:23.900 about

00:28:24.200 I'm

00:28:24.980 not

00:28:25.100 sure

00:28:25.280 we

00:28:25.440 cared

00:28:25.720 so

00:28:26.120 much

00:28:26.440 about

00:28:26.700 the

00:28:26.860 other

00:28:27.020 ones

00:28:27.180 even

00:28:27.360 the

00:28:27.600 U.S.

00:28:27.880 elections

00:28:28.280 the

00:28:29.060 amount

00:28:29.400 of

00:28:29.600 meddling

00:28:29.860 they

00:28:30.060 did

00:28:30.280 was

00:28:30.580 so

00:28:31.000 trivial

00:28:31.380 it

00:28:31.580 didn't

00:28:31.720 make

00:28:31.900 any

00:28:32.060 difference

00:28:32.380 I

00:28:33.640 mean

00:28:33.820 if

00:28:34.480 you

00:28:34.580 looked

00:28:34.840 into

00:28:35.060 it

00:28:35.220 at

00:28:35.340 all

00:28:35.560 you

00:28:36.180 know

00:28:36.380 that

00:28:36.540 statement

00:28:36.860 is

00:28:37.040 true

00:28:37.220 it

00:28:37.440 didn't

00:28:37.620 make

00:28:37.800 any

00:28:37.980 difference

00:28:38.340 it

00:28:39.140 was

00:28:39.500 beyond

00:28:40.100 less

00:28:41.460 than

00:28:41.720 a

00:28:41.840 high

00:28:42.020 school

00:28:42.260 attempt

00:28:42.700 it

00:28:43.280 didn't

00:28:43.580 even

00:28:43.740 look

00:28:43.920 like

00:28:44.080 professionals

00:28:44.600 were

00:28:44.920 involved

00:28:45.260 at

00:28:45.440 all

00:28:45.800 like

00:28:46.620 literally

00:28:47.000 it

00:28:47.260 didn't

00:28:47.420 look

00:28:47.580 like

00:28:47.800 any

00:28:48.060 professionals

00:28:48.580 were

00:28:48.860 involved

00:28:49.300 in

00:28:49.800 meddling

00:28:50.060 in

00:28:50.220 the

00:28:50.320 election

00:28:50.640 now

00:28:52.060 the

00:28:52.260 hacking

00:28:57.880 I

00:28:58.400 as a

00:28:58.740 citizen

00:28:59.000 of

00:28:59.160 the

00:28:59.240 United

00:28:59.420 States

00:28:59.740 don't

00:29:00.040 believe

00:29:00.320 what

00:29:00.600 my

00:29:00.840 intelligence

00:29:01.220 agencies

00:29:01.740 say

00:29:02.040 about

00:29:02.260 anything

00:29:02.660 so

00:29:03.820 in

00:29:04.180 that

00:29:04.360 sense

00:29:04.620 it's

00:29:04.780 unproven

00:29:05.180 I

00:29:06.820 asked

00:29:08.860 this

00:29:09.080 question

00:29:09.500 how

00:29:10.820 long

00:29:11.100 do

00:29:11.260 Russia's

00:29:11.760 pipelines

00:29:12.320 to

00:29:12.860 anywhere

00:29:13.280 doesn't

00:29:14.000 matter

00:29:14.160 which

00:29:14.380 direction

00:29:14.820 how

00:29:15.420 long

00:29:15.680 do

00:29:15.800 they

00:29:15.920 last

00:29:16.260 if

00:29:16.440 war

00:29:16.660 breaks

00:29:16.920 down

00:29:17.140 if

00:29:17.380 all

00:29:17.560 out

00:29:17.720 war

00:29:17.920 breaks

00:29:18.160 down

00:29:18.340 in

00:29:18.440 Ukraine

00:29:18.820 how

00:29:19.740 long

00:29:20.220 will

00:29:20.440 the

00:29:20.580 Russian

00:29:20.880 pipelines

00:29:21.420 last

00:29:21.920 and

00:29:23.080 then

00:29:23.240 people

00:29:23.520 said

00:29:23.840 Scott

00:29:24.340 Scott

00:29:24.720 Scott

00:29:24.960 you

00:29:26.400 are

00:29:26.580 such

00:29:26.920 an

00:29:27.080 idiot

00:29:27.340 and

00:29:27.640 possibly

00:29:28.020 a

00:29:28.200 boomer

00:29:28.480 that

00:29:29.800 you

00:29:30.100 don't

00:29:30.420 understand

00:29:31.080 basic

00:29:32.100 things

00:29:32.500 about

00:29:32.740 this

00:29:32.940 situation

00:29:33.420 the

00:29:33.820 basic

00:29:34.100 thing

00:29:34.340 is

00:29:34.600 that

00:29:35.220 if

00:29:35.360 you

00:29:35.460 bomb

00:29:35.720 the

00:29:35.900 pipelines

00:29:36.440 Europe

00:29:37.980 would

00:29:38.220 freeze

00:29:38.580 so

00:29:40.360 basically

00:29:40.720 you

00:29:40.960 can't

00:29:41.200 do

00:29:41.320 it

00:29:41.520 you

00:29:41.780 can't

00:29:42.060 bomb

00:29:42.240 the

00:29:42.380 pipelines

00:29:42.820 because

00:29:43.620 Russia

00:29:43.920 would

00:29:44.100 freeze

00:29:44.460 what

00:29:45.540 do

00:29:45.660 you

00:29:45.720 say

00:29:46.180 I'm

00:29:46.500 sorry

00:29:46.660 that

00:29:46.880 Europe

00:29:47.260 would

00:29:47.480 freeze

00:29:47.740 what

00:29:48.680 do

00:29:48.760 you

00:29:48.840 say

00:29:48.980 to

00:29:49.100 that

00:29:49.360 do

00:29:49.980 you

00:29:50.080 say

00:29:50.260 that

00:29:50.440 the

00:29:50.580 pipelines

00:29:51.060 are

00:29:51.340 unassailable

00:29:52.040 because

00:29:53.760 the

00:29:54.860 cost

00:29:55.380 is

00:29:55.560 too

00:29:55.720 high

00:29:56.000 are

00:29:57.420 the

00:29:57.600 pipelines

00:29:58.080 unassailable

00:29:58.880 okay

00:30:01.720 point

00:30:03.100 number

00:30:03.380 one

00:30:03.720 it

00:30:04.880 doesn't

00:30:05.160 matter

00:30:05.360 if

00:30:05.540 they're

00:30:05.680 unassailable

00:30:06.220 let me

00:30:09.280 put it

00:30:09.540 this way

00:30:09.900 if

00:30:11.640 you're

00:30:11.860 in

00:30:12.000 Ukraine

00:30:12.460 and

00:30:13.900 your

00:30:14.080 country

00:30:14.400 gets

00:30:14.680 attacked

00:30:15.040 by a

00:30:15.440 foreign

00:30:15.700 invader

00:30:16.140 and

00:30:17.260 you

00:30:17.420 had

00:30:17.600 the

00:30:17.760 capability

00:30:18.300 now

00:30:18.660 this

00:30:18.840 is

00:30:18.960 a

00:30:19.060 big

00:30:19.220 if

00:30:19.460 you

00:30:20.140 had

00:30:20.300 the

00:30:20.460 capability

00:30:21.000 to

00:30:21.940 take

00:30:22.200 out

00:30:22.360 a

00:30:22.500 pipeline

00:30:23.000 in

00:30:23.420 Russia

00:30:23.760 but

00:30:25.060 of

00:30:25.220 course

00:30:25.440 the

00:30:25.700 impact

00:30:26.180 would

00:30:26.380 be

00:30:26.520 a

00:30:26.680 big

00:30:26.840 impact

00:30:27.200 on

00:30:27.420 European

00:30:27.820 countries

00:30:28.240 like

00:30:28.420 big

00:30:28.640 impact

00:30:29.020 people

00:30:29.400 would

00:30:29.600 die

00:30:29.840 lots

00:30:30.260 of

00:30:30.400 them

00:30:31.200 if

00:30:31.920 you

00:30:32.040 were

00:30:32.200 a

00:30:32.800 Ukrainian

00:30:33.240 and

00:30:34.100 Europe

00:30:34.380 had

00:30:34.580 not

00:30:34.780 protected

00:30:35.220 you

00:30:35.480 would

00:30:36.400 you

00:30:36.520 take

00:30:36.740 out

00:30:36.900 the

00:30:37.060 pipeline

00:30:37.440 I

00:30:38.740 would

00:30:38.980 I

00:30:40.420 would

00:30:40.640 yeah

00:30:42.400 let me

00:30:42.680 say that

00:30:43.240 as clearly

00:30:43.680 as

00:30:43.900 possible

00:30:44.280 if

00:30:45.220 I

00:30:45.420 were

00:30:45.560 a

00:30:45.720 Ukrainian

00:30:46.140 or

00:30:46.560 any

00:30:46.800 country

00:30:47.160 I'm

00:30:47.700 American

00:30:48.100 I'll

00:30:48.580 just

00:30:48.740 use

00:30:48.940 America

00:30:49.320 let's

00:30:50.180 say

00:30:50.300 there's

00:30:50.540 a

00:30:50.680 foreign

00:30:50.980 invader

00:30:51.440 pick

00:30:52.160 the

00:30:52.320 country

00:30:52.620 it

00:30:52.780 doesn't

00:30:53.020 matter

00:30:53.200 what

00:30:53.380 country

00:30:53.680 and

00:30:54.480 they

00:30:54.620 actually

00:30:54.900 put

00:30:55.160 boots

00:30:55.500 on

00:30:55.680 the

00:30:55.800 ground

00:30:56.140 in

00:30:56.620 my

00:30:56.820 country

00:30:57.200 boots

00:30:59.200 on

00:30:59.380 the

00:30:59.500 ground

00:30:59.820 in

00:31:00.080 my

00:31:00.320 country

00:31:00.680 you

00:31:01.460 think

00:31:01.680 I'm

00:31:01.840 not

00:31:01.980 going

00:31:02.100 to

00:31:02.180 take

00:31:02.360 out

00:31:02.500 their

00:31:02.660 pipeline

00:31:03.080 I'll

00:31:04.540 take

00:31:04.700 it

00:31:04.800 out

00:31:04.960 the

00:31:05.120 first

00:31:05.380 day

00:31:05.680 first

00:31:06.720 day

00:31:06.960 you

00:31:07.420 think

00:31:07.660 I

00:31:07.820 wouldn't

00:31:08.140 freeze

00:31:08.660 Europe

00:31:09.200 if

00:31:10.740 Europe

00:31:11.020 hadn't

00:31:11.320 helped

00:31:11.600 me

00:31:11.840 now

00:31:12.600 if

00:31:12.840 Europe

00:31:13.040 doesn't

00:31:13.360 help

00:31:13.540 me

00:31:13.660 I'm

00:31:13.880 freezing

00:31:14.160 their

00:31:14.400 asses

00:31:14.740 off

00:31:14.940 tomorrow

00:31:15.300 I'm

00:31:16.560 going

00:31:16.640 to

00:31:16.780 freeze

00:31:17.120 Germany's

00:31:17.680 balls

00:31:18.180 off

00:31:18.560 if

00:31:19.720 they

00:31:19.880 let

00:31:20.100 my

00:31:20.320 country

00:31:20.620 be

00:31:20.800 attacked

00:31:21.140 and

00:31:21.340 they

00:31:21.480 could

00:31:21.640 have

00:31:21.740 helped

00:31:21.960 and

00:31:22.120 they

00:31:22.240 didn't

00:31:23.040 now

00:31:23.260 the

00:31:23.460 big

00:31:23.860 if

00:31:24.080 is

00:31:24.240 they

00:31:24.400 could

00:31:24.560 have

00:31:24.660 helped

00:31:24.860 but

00:31:25.000 they

00:31:25.140 didn't

00:31:25.560 right

00:31:25.820 could

00:31:27.340 help

00:31:27.600 but

00:31:27.740 they

00:31:27.860 didn't

00:31:28.100 that's

00:31:28.380 that's

00:31:28.740 essential

00:31:29.140 yeah

00:31:30.780 now

00:31:31.380 it

00:31:31.620 doesn't

00:31:32.000 matter

00:31:32.320 if

00:31:33.400 you

00:31:33.620 and

00:31:33.780 I

00:31:33.940 think

00:31:34.220 it

00:31:34.340 would

00:31:34.440 be

00:31:34.560 the

00:31:34.720 worst

00:31:34.960 idea

00:31:35.260 in

00:31:35.400 the

00:31:35.500 world

00:31:35.660 to

00:31:35.840 attack

00:31:36.180 a

00:31:36.480 pipeline

00:31:36.860 am

00:31:38.080 I

00:31:38.200 right

00:31:38.380 it

00:31:38.560 doesn't

00:31:38.780 matter

00:31:38.920 what

00:31:39.100 we

00:31:39.280 think

00:31:39.600 I

00:31:40.480 don't

00:31:40.660 want

00:31:40.860 them

00:31:41.000 to

00:31:41.140 attack

00:31:41.400 a

00:31:41.540 pipeline

00:31:41.920 because

00:31:42.160 I

00:31:42.280 don't

00:31:42.400 want

00:31:42.580 Europe

00:31:42.780 to

00:31:42.980 freeze

00:31:43.300 Europe

00:31:44.300 doesn't

00:31:44.660 want

00:31:44.840 them

00:31:44.980 to

00:31:45.280 attack

00:31:45.880 a

00:31:46.040 pipeline

00:31:46.440 United

00:31:47.440 States

00:31:47.920 doesn't

00:31:48.280 want

00:31:48.440 them

00:31:48.540 to

00:31:48.660 attack

00:31:48.940 a

00:31:49.100 pipeline

00:31:49.400 I

00:31:49.760 don't

00:31:49.880 think

00:31:50.220 Russia

00:31:52.220 doesn't

00:31:52.620 China

00:31:52.920 doesn't

00:31:59.140 matter

00:31:59.620 is

00:32:00.760 if

00:32:00.900 they

00:32:01.060 can

00:32:01.400 I

00:32:02.800 think

00:32:02.960 that's

00:32:03.200 all

00:32:03.320 that

00:32:03.460 matters

00:32:03.780 if

00:32:04.560 they

00:32:04.700 can

00:32:04.940 they

00:32:05.120 will

00:32:05.400 I

00:32:06.180 would

00:32:06.440 I

00:32:07.300 mean

00:32:07.420 I

00:32:07.540 would

00:32:07.760 in

00:32:07.900 a

00:32:08.000 heartbeat

00:32:08.260 so

00:32:09.100 you

00:32:09.260 just

00:32:09.460 need

00:32:09.680 at

00:32:09.980 least

00:32:10.140 one

00:32:10.440 person

00:32:10.780 like

00:32:11.020 me

00:32:11.180 in

00:32:11.320 Ukraine

00:32:11.740 who

00:32:13.000 has

00:32:13.220 the

00:32:13.400 capability

00:32:13.860 you

00:32:14.440 just

00:32:14.620 need

00:32:14.800 one

00:32:15.120 what

00:32:17.200 would

00:32:17.340 it

00:32:17.460 take

00:32:17.680 to

00:32:17.880 take

00:32:18.100 out

00:32:18.360 a

00:32:18.820 pipeline

00:32:19.660 well

00:32:20.400 I

00:32:20.680 think

00:32:20.840 they're

00:32:20.960 probably

00:32:21.240 underground

00:32:22.040 for the

00:32:22.360 most part

00:32:22.780 so it's

00:32:23.080 not

00:32:23.280 easy

00:32:23.560 but

00:32:24.280 there

00:32:24.440 are

00:32:24.560 pumping

00:32:24.820 stations

00:32:25.340 if

00:32:26.180 you

00:32:29.140 you

00:32:29.940 don't

00:32:30.240 think

00:32:30.520 Ukraine

00:32:31.480 has

00:32:31.740 the

00:32:31.860 ability

00:32:32.140 to

00:32:32.320 drop

00:32:32.780 a

00:32:32.940 drone

00:32:33.300 on

00:32:33.580 a

00:32:33.840 pumping

00:32:34.560 station

00:32:34.960 now

00:32:36.720 presumably

00:32:37.860 there are

00:32:38.420 defenses

00:32:38.980 national

00:32:39.560 defenses

00:32:40.000 and stuff

00:32:40.400 but

00:32:40.840 you

00:32:40.940 don't

00:32:41.060 think

00:32:41.240 we

00:32:41.360 can

00:32:41.500 slip

00:32:41.760 a

00:32:41.920 drone

00:32:42.160 into

00:32:42.400 a

00:32:42.560 pumping

00:32:42.760 station

00:32:43.160 and

00:32:43.560 take

00:32:43.740 it

00:32:43.840 out

00:32:44.000 now

00:32:45.300 when

00:32:45.420 I

00:32:45.540 say

00:32:45.680 we

00:32:45.980 I

00:32:46.520 mean

00:32:46.680 American

00:32:47.100 technology

00:32:47.860 but

00:32:48.660 not

00:32:48.900 operated

00:32:49.300 by

00:32:49.520 Americans

00:32:49.980 in

00:32:50.140 this

00:32:50.320 case

00:32:50.600 if

00:32:51.520 we

00:32:51.700 provided

00:32:52.280 Ukraine

00:32:52.760 any

00:32:53.180 kind

00:32:53.440 of

00:32:53.560 a

00:32:53.700 weapon

00:32:53.980 that

00:32:55.200 can

00:32:55.420 travel

00:32:55.880 a

00:32:56.100 distance

00:32:56.520 and

00:32:56.840 take

00:32:57.060 out

00:32:57.280 a

00:32:57.500 specific

00:32:57.920 target

00:32:58.460 why

00:33:00.820 wouldn't

00:33:01.040 they

00:33:01.180 use

00:33:01.380 it

00:33:01.640 now

00:33:02.100 it

00:33:02.220 could

00:33:02.360 be

00:33:02.500 that

00:33:02.660 we'll

00:33:02.860 prevent

00:33:03.220 them

00:33:03.440 from

00:33:03.600 using

00:33:03.860 it

00:33:04.060 if

00:33:04.180 we

00:33:04.280 have

00:33:04.420 control

00:33:04.840 but

00:33:06.040 I

00:33:06.820 all right

00:33:07.540 so

00:33:07.800 backing

00:33:08.180 up to

00:33:08.460 my

00:33:08.600 original

00:33:08.940 point

00:33:09.380 when

00:33:11.880 I'm

00:33:12.060 talking

00:33:12.320 about

00:33:12.560 what

00:33:12.760 could

00:33:12.940 happen

00:33:13.200 in

00:33:13.380 Russia

00:33:13.640 I'm

00:33:14.540 not

00:33:14.820 just

00:33:15.380 trying

00:33:15.820 to

00:33:16.000 tell

00:33:16.180 you

00:33:16.340 what's

00:33:16.600 clear

00:33:16.960 and

00:33:17.180 true

00:33:17.440 I'm

00:33:18.680 trying

00:33:18.900 to

00:33:19.080 influence

00:33:19.540 and

00:33:21.160 I

00:33:21.320 want

00:33:21.720 Russia

00:33:22.640 to

00:33:22.860 know

00:33:23.140 and

00:33:24.520 this

00:33:24.680 is

00:33:24.820 very

00:33:25.020 important

00:33:25.380 for

00:33:25.800 negotiating

00:33:26.620 listen

00:33:27.840 to

00:33:28.320 this

00:33:28.520 part

00:33:28.780 clearly

00:33:29.400 if

00:33:32.600 you're

00:33:32.760 not

00:33:33.000 willing

00:33:33.380 to

00:33:33.840 plunge

00:33:35.880 Europe

00:33:36.340 into

00:33:36.860 ice

00:33:37.380 you

00:33:38.960 might

00:33:39.200 as

00:33:39.360 well

00:33:39.460 just

00:33:39.680 get

00:33:39.860 out

00:33:40.020 of

00:33:40.080 the

00:33:40.160 way

00:33:40.280 and

00:33:40.440 let

00:33:40.700 Russia

00:33:41.440 have

00:33:41.760 Ukraine

00:33:42.280 am

00:33:43.760 I

00:33:43.880 right

00:33:44.100 if

00:33:45.020 you're

00:33:45.220 not

00:33:45.500 willing

00:33:45.780 to

00:33:46.040 plunge

00:33:46.500 Europe

00:33:47.040 into

00:33:47.720 complete

00:33:48.240 destruction

00:33:48.780 if

00:33:50.200 you're

00:33:50.340 not

00:33:50.520 willing

00:33:50.720 to

00:33:50.880 do

00:33:51.020 that

00:33:51.260 don't

00:33:51.560 fight

00:33:51.920 you're

00:33:53.060 not

00:33:53.220 ready

00:33:53.500 if

00:33:54.900 you're

00:33:55.060 not

00:33:55.240 ready

00:33:55.480 to

00:33:55.680 fight

00:33:55.920 to

00:33:56.100 the

00:33:56.280 death

00:33:56.660 you're

00:33:56.980 not

00:33:57.120 ready

00:33:57.320 to

00:33:57.500 fight

00:33:57.800 you

00:33:58.800 don't

00:33:58.980 want

00:33:59.120 to

00:33:59.200 be

00:33:59.300 in

00:33:59.380 a

00:33:59.500 fight

00:33:59.660 if

00:33:59.800 you're

00:33:59.920 not

00:34:00.060 ready

00:34:00.280 to

00:34:00.440 fight

00:34:00.720 there's

00:34:01.560 only

00:34:01.760 one

00:34:02.080 way

00:34:02.260 to

00:34:02.420 fight

00:34:02.780 to

00:34:03.720 the

00:34:03.860 death

00:34:04.160 that's

00:34:06.440 it

00:34:06.680 there's

00:34:07.600 no

00:34:07.760 second

00:34:08.120 way

00:34:08.320 to

00:34:08.480 do

00:34:08.620 this

00:34:09.000 there's

00:34:10.840 no

00:34:11.000 second

00:34:11.320 way

00:34:11.620 so

00:34:15.720 think

00:34:16.620 of

00:34:16.820 my

00:34:17.160 comments

00:34:18.080 on

00:34:18.420 this

00:34:18.600 as

00:34:18.880 persuasion

00:34:19.600 to

00:34:20.460 increase

00:34:21.020 the

00:34:21.260 price

00:34:21.640 to

00:34:22.000 Russia

00:34:22.260 I

00:34:25.120 would

00:34:25.360 take

00:34:26.060 out

00:34:26.320 all

00:34:26.620 of

00:34:26.780 Europe's

00:34:27.180 gas

00:34:27.660 and

00:34:30.220 trust

00:34:31.940 me

00:34:32.180 I

00:34:32.880 don't

00:34:33.040 want

00:34:33.300 Europe

00:34:33.580 to

00:34:34.140 suffer

00:34:34.580 at

00:34:34.960 all

00:34:35.220 like

00:34:35.900 I'm

00:34:36.280 pro

00:34:36.500 Europe

00:34:36.860 I

00:34:37.860 like

00:34:38.120 Europe

00:34:38.420 I

00:34:38.900 like

00:34:39.140 Europe

00:34:39.340 to

00:34:39.500 do

00:34:39.620 great

00:34:39.980 pro

00:34:41.060 Europe

00:34:41.380 but

00:34:42.220 if

00:34:42.360 you

00:34:42.460 attack

00:34:42.740 my

00:34:42.980 country

00:34:43.440 and

00:34:45.160 Europe

00:34:45.440 could

00:34:45.680 have

00:34:45.800 stopped

00:34:46.100 it

00:34:46.280 and

00:34:46.500 didn't

00:34:46.860 well

00:34:47.540 you

00:34:47.720 can

00:34:47.840 all

00:34:48.000 fucking

00:34:48.280 freeze

00:34:48.640 you

00:34:50.000 know

00:34:50.160 that's

00:34:50.480 just

00:34:50.620 the

00:34:50.740 way

00:34:50.840 it's

00:34:50.980 going

00:34:51.080 to

00:34:51.140 be

00:34:51.360 war

00:34:52.100 is

00:34:52.220 war

00:34:52.460 right

00:34:52.840 war

00:34:53.240 is

00:34:53.360 war

00:34:53.580 you

00:34:54.300 are

00:34:54.420 going

00:34:54.460 to

00:34:54.520 do

00:34:54.620 what

00:34:54.760 you

00:34:54.840 have

00:34:54.980 to

00:34:55.080 do

00:34:55.300 so

00:34:56.700 will

00:34:58.640 the

00:34:58.840 sanctions

00:34:59.260 deter

00:34:59.700 Russia

00:35:00.140 do

00:35:03.300 they

00:35:03.500 know

00:35:03.740 how

00:35:03.920 bad

00:35:04.160 the

00:35:04.340 sanctions

00:35:04.700 could

00:35:05.080 be

00:35:05.360 now

00:35:06.820 I've

00:35:07.040 heard

00:35:07.560 it said

00:35:07.900 that

00:35:08.220 they're

00:35:08.880 somewhat

00:35:09.240 self

00:35:09.620 sufficient

00:35:10.080 and they

00:35:10.600 could

00:35:10.720 always

00:35:10.920 sell

00:35:11.660 more

00:35:11.880 stuff

00:35:12.160 to

00:35:12.340 China

00:35:12.660 I

00:35:12.960 don't

00:35:13.080 think

00:35:13.280 they

00:35:13.420 want

00:35:13.620 to

00:35:13.720 do

00:35:13.840 that

00:35:14.140 I

00:35:15.400 don't

00:35:15.600 think

00:35:15.860 Russia

00:35:16.260 wants

00:35:17.200 to

00:35:17.360 depend

00:35:17.680 on

00:35:17.940 one

00:35:18.380 big

00:35:18.680 customer

00:35:19.140 that's

00:35:19.440 a

00:35:19.760 bad

00:35:20.040 deal

00:35:20.360 they

00:35:21.460 want

00:35:21.660 to

00:35:21.780 sell

00:35:21.920 to

00:35:22.060 as

00:35:22.180 many

00:35:22.380 as

00:35:22.520 they

00:35:22.660 can

00:35:22.900 so

00:35:23.100 they

00:35:23.260 can

00:35:23.820 put

00:35:24.020 their

00:35:24.220 power

00:35:25.300 spread it

00:35:25.880 out

00:35:26.120 and

00:35:26.280 their

00:35:26.420 influence

00:35:26.860 and

00:35:27.320 also

00:35:27.720 not

00:35:27.960 be

00:35:28.140 susceptible

00:35:28.540 to

00:35:28.840 one

00:35:29.180 country

00:35:29.540 wanting

00:35:29.800 to

00:35:30.000 turn

00:35:30.180 them

00:35:30.340 off

00:35:30.560 so

00:35:31.860 I

00:35:33.720 don't

00:35:33.880 think

00:35:34.060 Russia

00:35:34.320 knows

00:35:34.600 how

00:35:34.760 bad

00:35:35.080 a

00:35:35.580 recession

00:35:36.000 will

00:35:36.540 be

00:35:36.780 now

00:35:38.060 apparently

00:35:38.900 one

00:35:39.280 of

00:35:39.420 our

00:35:39.660 weapons

00:35:40.200 we

00:35:40.420 have

00:35:40.680 is

00:35:40.940 denying

00:35:41.500 them

00:35:41.800 chips

00:35:42.280 I

00:35:43.440 don't

00:35:43.560 know

00:35:43.680 if

00:35:43.800 they

00:35:43.900 can

00:35:44.040 get

00:35:44.200 them

00:35:44.280 from

00:35:44.440 the

00:35:44.580 black

00:35:44.800 market

00:35:45.160 but

00:35:45.840 if

00:35:45.980 we

00:35:46.360 turn

00:35:46.600 their

00:35:46.780 economy

00:35:47.180 into

00:35:47.540 some

00:35:47.940 equivalent

00:35:48.420 of

00:35:48.760 Iran

00:35:49.200 and

00:35:49.900 I

00:35:50.020 guess

00:35:50.160 the

00:35:50.380 sanctions

00:35:50.720 wouldn't

00:35:51.040 even

00:35:51.240 be

00:35:51.440 as

00:35:51.580 bad

00:35:51.840 as

00:35:52.000 they

00:35:52.120 are

00:35:52.220 on

00:35:52.360 Iran

00:35:52.660 I

00:35:54.760 feel

00:35:55.220 like

00:35:55.420 we

00:35:55.560 can

00:35:55.700 make

00:35:55.860 this

00:35:56.060 economically

00:35:56.740 unpalatable

00:35:57.800 for

00:35:58.240 Putin

00:35:58.820 and

00:35:59.880 I

00:36:00.020 feel

00:36:00.260 like

00:36:00.460 you

00:36:00.600 wouldn't

00:36:00.860 attack

00:36:01.260 if

00:36:01.480 it's

00:36:01.640 uneconomical

00:36:02.460 now

00:36:04.260 I

00:36:04.380 know

00:36:04.540 that

00:36:04.780 people

00:36:05.200 smarter

00:36:05.640 than

00:36:05.840 I

00:36:05.980 am

00:36:06.160 would

00:36:06.320 disagree

00:36:06.720 because

00:36:07.180 there's

00:36:07.860 Russian

00:36:08.180 glory

00:36:08.660 and

00:36:08.960 there's

00:36:09.240 strategy

00:36:09.900 and

00:36:10.300 there's

00:36:10.580 history

00:36:11.660 and

00:36:12.080 there's

00:36:12.260 whatever

00:36:12.620 Hillary

00:36:13.240 Clinton

00:36:13.640 tried

00:36:14.040 to do

00:36:14.360 to

00:36:14.580 depose

00:36:15.160 Putin

00:36:16.140 and

00:36:16.560 there's

00:36:16.980 a million

00:36:19.820 psychological

00:36:20.540 reasons

00:36:21.080 but

00:36:22.460 here's

00:36:22.780 my

00:36:22.960 take

00:36:23.220 on

00:36:23.400 Russia

00:36:23.700 Russia

00:36:25.260 is

00:36:25.500 basically

00:36:25.980 a

00:36:26.720 business

00:36:27.540 with

00:36:28.620 the

00:36:28.740 military

00:36:29.120 it's

00:36:31.100 a

00:36:31.220 gas

00:36:31.460 company

00:36:31.800 with

00:36:32.000 nuclear

00:36:32.320 weapons

00:36:32.700 right

00:36:32.920 and

00:36:33.720 I

00:36:33.900 think

00:36:34.140 that

00:36:34.380 I

00:36:35.220 think

00:36:35.400 that's

00:36:35.640 exactly

00:36:36.040 how

00:36:36.260 they

00:36:36.400 run

00:36:36.620 it

00:36:36.840 I

00:36:37.860 think

00:36:38.040 they

00:36:38.200 run

00:36:38.420 it

00:36:38.540 as

00:36:38.720 a

00:36:38.900 business

00:36:39.360 with

00:36:39.720 the

00:36:39.840 military

00:36:40.260 and

00:36:41.400 so

00:36:41.560 in

00:36:41.700 my

00:36:41.880 opinion

00:36:42.220 Putin

00:36:42.720 won't

00:36:43.500 do

00:36:43.720 something

00:36:44.080 that's

00:36:44.400 massively

00:36:45.100 uneconomical

00:36:46.480 but

00:36:47.200 he

00:36:47.360 would

00:36:47.560 do

00:36:47.740 something

00:36:48.040 that's

00:36:48.320 temporarily

00:36:48.820 uneconomical

00:36:49.620 who

00:36:51.400 would

00:36:51.880 agree

00:36:52.120 with

00:36:52.320 me

00:36:52.460 there

00:36:52.720 that

00:36:54.060 he

00:36:54.320 would

00:36:54.480 do

00:36:54.640 something

00:36:54.960 temporarily

00:36:55.660 uneconomical

00:36:56.680 but

00:36:56.880 not

00:36:57.080 in

00:36:57.180 the

00:36:57.280 long

00:36:57.480 run

00:36:57.680 because

00:36:58.720 it's

00:36:58.880 a

00:36:58.980 business

00:36:59.340 so

00:37:01.540 the

00:37:01.700 question

00:37:02.000 is

00:37:02.320 can

00:37:02.700 the

00:37:02.820 United

00:37:03.100 States

00:37:03.520 and

00:37:04.500 the

00:37:04.660 allies

00:37:05.040 put up

00:37:06.320 a

00:37:06.520 credible

00:37:07.020 argument

00:37:07.520 that

00:37:08.460 this

00:37:08.680 couldn't

00:37:09.160 possibly

00:37:09.720 work

00:37:10.120 in

00:37:10.300 the

00:37:10.440 long

00:37:10.680 run

00:37:10.880 economically

00:37:11.620 could

00:37:13.160 we

00:37:13.380 credibly

00:37:13.900 make

00:37:14.220 sure

00:37:14.500 he

00:37:14.740 knows

00:37:15.120 it's

00:37:15.320 not

00:37:15.520 going

00:37:15.640 to

00:37:15.720 pay

00:37:15.880 off

00:37:16.160 now

00:37:17.360 you

00:37:17.580 might

00:37:17.760 say

00:37:17.920 to

00:37:18.000 yourself

00:37:18.240 but

00:37:18.440 Scott

00:37:18.680 it's

00:37:18.920 not

00:37:19.080 about

00:37:19.300 economics

00:37:19.780 it's

00:37:20.000 about

00:37:20.180 national

00:37:20.540 defense

00:37:21.120 same

00:37:22.360 thing

00:37:22.740 economics

00:37:24.240 and

00:37:24.480 national

00:37:24.840 defense

00:37:25.200 are

00:37:25.400 just

00:37:25.760 the

00:37:25.980 same

00:37:26.200 thing

00:37:26.500 because

00:37:27.480 you

00:37:27.600 can't

00:37:27.860 buy

00:37:28.000 weapons

00:37:28.420 without

00:37:28.700 money

00:37:29.420 etc

00:37:30.540 etc

00:37:30.900 so

00:37:32.020 I

00:37:35.080 don't

00:37:35.280 think

00:37:35.540 that

00:37:35.760 Biden

00:37:36.060 has

00:37:36.360 done

00:37:36.580 as

00:37:36.940 good

00:37:37.260 a

00:37:37.420 job

00:37:37.720 as

00:37:37.980 he

00:37:38.120 could

00:37:38.280 have

00:37:38.400 done

00:37:38.660 in

00:37:39.420 scaring

00:37:39.940 Putin

00:37:40.340 now

00:37:41.880 now

00:37:41.900 here's

00:37:42.220 where

00:37:42.380 we

00:37:42.560 ask

00:37:43.060 WW

00:37:44.880 TD

00:37:46.660 what

00:37:48.140 would

00:37:48.360 Trump

00:37:48.620 do

00:37:48.880 if

00:37:51.180 you

00:37:51.360 wanted

00:37:51.680 somebody

00:37:52.100 to

00:37:52.380 scare

00:37:53.000 a

00:37:53.420 leader

00:37:53.640 of

00:37:53.860 another

00:37:54.140 country

00:37:54.600 who

00:37:54.980 do

00:37:55.100 you

00:37:55.200 hire

00:37:55.540 Biden

00:37:56.680 or

00:37:57.660 Trump

00:37:58.060 it's

00:38:01.100 Trump

00:38:01.480 it's

00:38:02.340 Trump

00:38:02.580 every

00:38:02.840 time

00:38:03.200 now

00:38:03.640 you

00:38:03.780 could

00:38:03.940 argue

00:38:04.200 that

00:38:04.420 he

00:38:04.520 was

00:38:04.680 too

00:38:05.060 you

00:38:05.640 know

00:38:05.840 too

00:38:06.280 Russia

00:38:06.700 friendly

00:38:07.100 maybe

00:38:08.140 he'd

00:38:08.380 be

00:38:08.460 the

00:38:08.620 wrong

00:38:08.840 leader

00:38:09.140 in

00:38:09.340 some

00:38:09.540 other

00:38:09.820 way

00:38:10.120 but

00:38:10.940 if

00:38:11.060 you

00:38:11.160 just

00:38:11.360 narrow

00:38:11.680 it

00:38:11.860 to

00:38:11.980 just

00:38:12.180 this

00:38:12.360 one

00:38:12.700 narrow

00:38:13.460 question

00:38:13.920 who

00:38:15.000 could

00:38:15.300 scare

00:38:15.880 Putin

00:38:16.280 better

00:38:16.600 let me

00:38:18.900 give you

00:38:19.120 an

00:38:19.220 example

00:38:19.540 if

00:38:21.140 Biden

00:38:21.800 says

00:38:22.180 to

00:38:22.360 Putin

00:38:22.640 there

00:38:23.480 will

00:38:23.680 be

00:38:24.040 unspecified

00:38:25.380 sanctions

00:38:25.960 that

00:38:26.360 will

00:38:26.500 make

00:38:26.740 you

00:38:26.940 sorry

00:38:27.320 how

00:38:28.840 scared

00:38:29.240 is

00:38:29.460 Putin

00:38:29.760 unspecified

00:38:31.680 sanctions

00:38:32.240 that

00:38:33.180 will

00:38:33.320 make

00:38:33.560 you

00:38:33.800 sorry

00:38:34.140 and

00:38:35.960 a

00:38:36.580 military

00:38:37.020 aggression

00:38:37.520 would

00:38:37.980 be

00:38:38.240 a

00:38:38.640 great

00:38:38.880 cost

00:38:39.260 of

00:38:39.420 lives

00:38:39.840 oh

00:38:41.840 he's

00:38:42.100 scared

00:38:42.380 now

00:38:42.800 oh

00:38:43.880 Putin

00:38:44.800 is

00:38:44.900 shaking

00:38:45.120 in

00:38:45.320 his

00:38:45.460 boots

00:38:45.840 unspecified

00:38:47.260 sanctions

00:38:48.000 oh

00:38:48.720 now

00:38:50.540 imagine

00:38:50.940 Trump

00:38:51.420 now

00:38:52.040 as

00:38:52.600 we've

00:38:52.840 said

00:38:53.000 earlier

00:38:53.300 you

00:38:54.020 can't

00:38:54.300 write

00:38:54.540 in

00:38:54.720 Trump's

00:38:55.100 style

00:38:55.420 it's

00:38:55.940 impossible

00:38:56.440 but

00:38:57.560 imagine

00:38:57.940 imagine

00:39:00.440 Trump

00:39:00.780 handling

00:39:01.120 this

00:39:01.460 number

00:39:02.220 one

00:39:02.620 he

00:39:02.960 would

00:39:03.160 tell

00:39:03.440 he

00:39:03.820 would

00:39:04.000 tell

00:39:04.200 Russia

00:39:04.520 I'm

00:39:04.800 sure

00:39:05.620 of

00:39:05.800 this

00:39:06.060 I'm

00:39:06.800 sure

00:39:07.060 of

00:39:07.200 this

00:39:07.420 I'm

00:39:08.440 sure

00:39:08.700 that

00:39:09.180 Trump

00:39:09.720 would

00:39:09.900 have

00:39:10.020 said

00:39:10.300 if

00:39:11.020 you

00:39:11.180 invade

00:39:11.580 Ukraine

00:39:12.120 you

00:39:12.880 do

00:39:13.060 not

00:39:13.380 know

00:39:13.660 what

00:39:13.900 kind

00:39:14.160 of

00:39:14.320 hell

00:39:14.680 is

00:39:15.640 going

00:39:15.820 to

00:39:15.960 be

00:39:16.100 unleashed

00:39:16.580 on

00:39:16.800 your

00:39:16.980 soldiers

00:39:17.400 you

00:39:18.240 are

00:39:18.400 going

00:39:18.560 to

00:39:18.640 be

00:39:18.820 carrying

00:39:19.180 so

00:39:19.620 many

00:39:19.840 body

00:39:20.240 bags

00:39:20.600 back

00:39:20.880 to

00:39:21.080 Russia

00:39:21.440 because

00:39:22.900 you

00:39:23.160 don't

00:39:23.360 know

00:39:23.540 what's

00:39:23.780 waiting

00:39:24.020 for

00:39:24.280 you

00:39:24.500 and

00:39:25.220 we're

00:39:25.400 going

00:39:25.520 to

00:39:25.580 make

00:39:25.760 sure

00:39:26.020 that

00:39:26.660 this

00:39:27.020 never

00:39:27.420 happens

00:39:27.820 again

00:39:28.180 you're

00:39:29.480 going

00:39:29.580 to

00:39:29.620 be

00:39:29.780 burying

00:39:30.240 people

00:39:30.680 three

00:39:31.720 deep

00:39:32.120 so

00:39:33.660 you

00:39:33.760 see

00:39:33.900 what

00:39:34.060 I'm

00:39:34.160 doing

00:39:34.360 I'm

00:39:34.620 taking

00:39:34.860 the

00:39:35.080 general

00:39:35.600 threat

00:39:36.320 and

00:39:37.100 I'm

00:39:37.240 turning

00:39:37.460 it

00:39:37.640 into

00:39:37.800 bodies

00:39:38.480 I'm

00:39:39.020 turning

00:39:39.240 it

00:39:39.420 visual

00:39:39.820 and

00:39:41.020 I'm

00:39:41.180 making

00:39:41.440 it

00:39:41.620 personal

00:39:42.020 you

00:39:43.280 Putin

00:39:43.680 are

00:39:44.360 going

00:39:44.460 to

00:39:44.520 have

00:39:44.660 to

00:39:44.780 explain

00:39:45.240 why

00:39:45.500 you

00:39:45.640 sent

00:39:45.940 50,000

00:39:47.520 dead

00:39:47.840 soldiers

00:39:48.260 back

00:39:48.600 to

00:39:48.800 your

00:39:48.940 country

00:39:49.320 back

00:39:50.040 to

00:39:50.220 every

00:39:50.520 part

00:39:51.040 of

00:39:51.160 the

00:39:51.260 country

00:39:51.560 and

00:39:52.160 they

00:39:52.320 saw

00:39:52.560 that

00:39:52.720 you

00:39:52.860 wasted

00:39:53.240 your

00:39:53.480 money

00:39:53.740 and

00:39:54.320 you

00:39:54.440 buried

00:39:54.840 their

00:39:55.080 children

00:39:55.420 if

00:39:58.500 Biden

00:39:58.900 had

00:39:59.160 ever

00:39:59.400 said

00:39:59.840 you're

00:40:00.720 going

00:40:00.820 to

00:40:02.940 bury

00:40:03.580 your

00:40:04.020 children

00:40:04.420 then

00:40:05.480 Trump

00:40:06.520 would

00:40:06.680 say

00:40:06.840 that

00:40:07.120 I

00:40:07.960 mean

00:40:08.100 something

00:40:08.460 like

00:40:08.820 it

00:40:08.980 not

00:40:09.180 that

00:40:09.400 exactly

00:40:09.780 but

00:40:10.280 you

00:40:10.400 don't

00:40:10.560 think

00:40:10.760 Trump

00:40:11.040 could

00:40:11.220 say

00:40:11.460 you

00:40:12.220 can

00:40:12.400 be

00:40:12.560 burying

00:40:13.120 your

00:40:13.360 children

00:40:13.680 for

00:40:13.940 a

00:40:14.100 decade

00:40:14.500 and

00:40:16.260 we

00:40:16.440 will

00:40:16.960 burn

00:40:17.300 them

00:40:17.560 as

00:40:17.740 they

00:40:17.900 cross

00:40:18.220 the

00:40:18.440 line

00:40:18.720 or

00:40:18.920 something

00:40:19.240 I'm

00:40:19.960 making

00:40:20.180 it

00:40:20.360 up

00:40:20.500 but

00:40:20.900 the

00:40:21.020 point

00:40:21.240 is

00:40:21.520 that

00:40:22.040 when

00:40:22.360 Trump

00:40:24.480 threatened

00:40:24.940 North

00:40:25.280 Korea

00:40:25.680 with

00:40:26.820 fire

00:40:27.180 and

00:40:27.380 fury

00:40:27.720 he

00:40:29.360 made

00:40:29.620 a

00:40:29.760 visual

00:40:30.080 the

00:40:30.520 fire

00:40:30.780 and

00:40:30.980 fury

00:40:31.240 was

00:40:31.780 that

00:40:31.940 the

00:40:32.080 was

00:40:32.900 it

00:40:33.040 fire

00:40:33.300 and

00:40:33.500 fury

00:40:33.740 is

00:40:34.000 that

00:40:34.120 the

00:40:34.260 quote

00:40:34.500 but

00:40:35.940 the

00:40:36.100 point

00:40:36.300 is

00:40:36.500 Biden

00:40:36.820 is

00:40:36.940 not

00:40:37.080 doing

00:40:37.320 that

00:40:37.480 Biden

00:40:37.740 is

00:40:37.860 treating

00:40:38.120 it

00:40:38.300 like

00:40:38.460 it's

00:40:38.600 a

00:40:38.700 business

00:40:39.020 meeting

00:40:39.360 Trump

00:40:40.460 wouldn't

00:40:40.720 treat

00:40:40.940 it

00:40:41.040 like

00:40:41.180 a

00:40:41.300 business

00:40:41.600 meeting

00:40:41.900 he

00:40:42.500 would

00:40:42.640 treat

00:40:42.840 it

00:40:42.940 like

00:40:43.100 a

00:40:43.220 threat

00:40:43.540 he

00:40:44.540 would

00:40:44.720 threaten

00:40:45.060 him

00:40:45.520 wouldn't

00:40:46.180 he

00:40:46.360 am

00:40:47.060 I

00:40:47.180 wrong

00:40:47.500 I

00:40:48.180 think

00:40:48.340 he

00:40:48.440 would

00:40:48.580 directly

00:40:49.000 threaten

00:40:49.400 him

00:40:49.640 and

00:40:50.660 say

00:40:50.940 you

00:40:51.540 know

00:40:51.700 this

00:40:52.400 is

00:40:52.560 going

00:40:52.700 to

00:40:52.760 be

00:41:00.520 into

00:41:00.820 or

00:41:01.420 worse

00:41:02.440 didn't

00:41:03.420 know

00:41:03.580 what

00:41:03.740 he

00:41:03.820 was

00:41:03.940 getting

00:41:04.120 into

00:41:04.380 yeah

00:41:07.320 so

00:41:08.720 we'll

00:41:09.260 always

00:41:09.460 have to

00:41:09.700 wonder

00:41:09.860 what

00:41:10.100 Trump

00:41:10.400 would

00:41:10.560 have

00:41:10.660 done

00:41:10.860 and

00:41:12.460 I

00:41:12.600 would

00:41:12.740 say

00:41:12.920 this

00:41:13.200 if

00:41:13.480 you

00:41:13.620 are

00:41:13.720 going

00:41:13.940 to

00:41:14.120 negotiate

00:41:14.600 with

00:41:14.980 somebody

00:41:15.420 you

00:41:15.900 have

00:41:16.160 to

00:41:16.320 be

00:41:16.480 willing

00:41:16.740 to

00:41:16.980 be

00:41:17.140 irrational

00:41:17.720 this

00:41:19.620 is

00:41:19.780 really

00:41:20.000 important

00:41:20.460 probably

00:41:21.340 one

00:41:21.560 of

00:41:21.660 the

00:41:21.780 best

00:41:22.140 negotiating

00:41:22.980 tricks

00:41:24.180 you'll

00:41:24.560 ever

00:41:24.760 hear

00:41:25.000 you

00:41:26.040 have

00:41:26.380 to

00:41:26.540 be

00:41:26.740 willing

00:41:27.020 to

00:41:27.320 be

00:41:27.540 irrational

00:41:28.160 that's

00:41:29.920 what

00:41:30.060 Putin's

00:41:30.500 doing

00:41:30.780 right

00:41:31.760 now

00:41:32.080 when

00:41:33.480 you

00:41:33.620 look

00:41:33.800 at

00:41:33.940 Putin

00:41:34.160 don't

00:41:34.440 you

00:41:34.580 say

00:41:35.000 to

00:41:35.120 yourself

00:41:35.420 my

00:41:36.140 god

00:41:36.520 this

00:41:37.260 seems

00:41:37.500 so

00:41:37.720 irrational

00:41:38.260 because

00:41:39.560 couldn't

00:41:40.000 you get

00:41:40.280 the same

00:41:40.680 benefits

00:41:41.080 with

00:41:41.400 negotiating

00:41:42.060 right

00:41:43.940 Putin

00:41:45.240 has

00:41:45.520 convinced

00:41:45.940 you

00:41:46.180 that

00:41:46.380 he's

00:41:46.600 irrational

00:41:47.160 in

00:41:48.060 the

00:41:48.220 sense

00:41:48.460 that

00:41:48.660 he

00:41:48.800 wants

00:41:49.460 something

00:41:49.800 so

00:41:50.060 badly

00:41:50.400 he's

00:41:51.120 not

00:41:51.320 going

00:41:51.440 to

00:41:51.540 listen

00:41:51.760 to

00:41:51.960 economics

00:41:52.540 or

00:41:52.840 threats

00:41:53.200 that

00:41:54.840 is

00:41:55.020 called

00:41:55.400 excellent

00:41:56.840 excellent

00:41:58.020 negotiating

00:41:58.700 technique

00:41:59.300 excellent

00:42:00.380 he's

00:42:01.460 literally

00:42:01.820 convinced

00:42:02.320 us

00:42:02.660 that

00:42:03.480 reason

00:42:04.060 won't

00:42:04.500 work

00:42:04.960 but

00:42:09.060 of course

00:42:09.420 he's

00:42:09.640 a

00:42:09.780 reasonable

00:42:10.080 guy

00:42:10.400 so

00:42:10.600 that's

00:42:10.820 just

00:42:10.980 an

00:42:11.160 illusion

00:42:11.460 what

00:42:13.260 have

00:42:13.420 we

00:42:13.580 done

00:42:13.800 in

00:42:13.940 return

00:42:14.300 because

00:42:15.020 we're

00:42:15.440 a

00:42:16.300 democratic

00:42:16.780 system

00:42:17.260 well

00:42:18.100 in

00:42:18.320 return

00:42:18.720 we've

00:42:20.320 said

00:42:20.620 that

00:42:21.060 we

00:42:21.340 should

00:42:21.820 be

00:42:22.000 very

00:42:22.240 rational

00:42:22.700 so

00:42:23.040 Tucker

00:42:23.360 Carlson

00:42:23.880 is

00:42:24.920 telling

00:42:25.180 his

00:42:25.500 people

00:42:26.080 quite

00:42:26.580 reasonably

00:42:26.980 that

00:42:28.100 we

00:42:28.280 should

00:42:28.520 not

00:42:29.000 want

00:42:29.200 to

00:42:29.300 get

00:42:29.400 involved

00:42:29.800 and

00:42:30.020 certainly

00:42:30.280 not

00:42:30.540 militarily

00:42:31.080 quite

00:42:33.280 reasonable

00:42:33.700 do

00:42:35.180 you

00:42:35.360 win

00:42:35.600 negotiations

00:42:36.260 by being

00:42:36.920 the

00:42:37.160 most

00:42:37.480 reasonable

00:42:37.980 one

00:42:38.360 in

00:42:38.540 the

00:42:38.680 room

00:42:38.900 never

00:42:40.640 never

00:42:41.700 so

00:42:42.480 basically

00:42:42.920 that's

00:42:43.280 surrender

00:42:43.640 so

00:42:45.400 the

00:42:46.060 people

00:42:46.440 who

00:42:46.620 are

00:42:46.740 tweeting

00:42:47.000 at

00:42:47.260 me

00:42:47.460 and

00:42:47.700 saying

00:42:48.040 you

00:42:48.680 know

00:42:48.860 Scott

00:42:49.140 you're

00:42:49.420 overblowing

00:42:50.100 how much

00:42:51.100 we should

00:42:51.460 care

00:42:51.800 okay

00:42:53.100 you know

00:42:54.500 Scott

00:42:54.900 Putin's

00:42:55.700 not

00:42:55.880 afraid

00:42:56.140 of

00:42:56.320 anything

00:42:56.720 he's

00:42:57.720 just

00:42:57.880 going

00:42:58.040 to

00:42:58.100 do

00:42:58.220 this

00:42:58.480 because

00:42:58.680 he

00:42:58.800 can

00:42:59.120 he

00:43:00.060 doesn't

00:43:00.300 care

00:43:00.500 about

00:43:00.700 a

00:43:00.820 little

00:43:00.940 recession

00:43:01.400 and

00:43:01.740 sanctions

00:43:02.180 he's

00:43:02.500 just

00:43:02.620 going

00:43:02.740 to

00:43:02.800 do

00:43:02.920 it

00:43:03.100 when

00:43:04.160 you

00:43:04.320 talk

00:43:04.640 like

00:43:04.840 that

00:43:05.160 you're

00:43:05.980 talking

00:43:06.260 completely

00:43:06.880 reasonably

00:43:07.440 very

00:43:08.680 reasonable

00:43:09.100 but

00:43:09.980 you've

00:43:10.280 also

00:43:10.720 signaled

00:43:11.920 to the

00:43:12.200 other

00:43:12.360 side

00:43:12.600 they

00:43:12.760 can

00:43:12.880 have

00:43:13.040 whatever

00:43:13.300 they

00:43:13.500 want

00:43:13.780 they

00:43:14.800 just

00:43:15.020 have

00:43:15.220 to

00:43:15.340 act

00:43:15.520 irrational

00:43:16.060 and

00:43:16.380 you'll

00:43:16.560 back

00:43:16.780 down

00:43:17.060 the

00:43:18.500 only

00:43:18.740 way

00:43:18.920 you

00:43:19.020 can

00:43:19.140 deal

00:43:19.300 with

00:43:19.480 an

00:43:19.660 irrational

00:43:20.140 player

00:43:20.540 is

00:43:20.780 with

00:43:20.960 an

00:43:21.120 irrational

00:43:21.600 response

00:43:22.280 do you

00:43:23.220 know

00:43:23.320 what

00:43:23.440 would

00:43:23.560 be

00:43:23.700 irrational

00:43:24.220 we're

00:43:26.580 going

00:43:26.660 to

00:43:26.780 bomb

00:43:27.020 your

00:43:27.220 fucking

00:43:27.540 pipelines

00:43:28.160 we're

00:43:29.100 going

00:43:29.200 to

00:43:29.440 freeze

00:43:30.180 our

00:43:30.780 allies

00:43:31.260 in

00:43:31.480 Europe

00:43:31.800 and

00:43:32.560 maybe

00:43:32.760 next

00:43:33.080 time

00:43:33.320 they'll

00:43:33.500 see

00:43:33.780 the

00:43:34.200 wisdom

00:43:34.540 of

00:43:34.760 being

00:43:34.940 on

00:43:35.100 our

00:43:35.260 side

00:43:35.600 crazy

00:43:37.740 right

00:43:38.080 that's

00:43:38.640 the

00:43:38.760 point

00:43:39.020 totally

00:43:40.000 irrational

00:43:40.460 but

00:43:41.920 if

00:43:42.060 you

00:43:42.220 can't

00:43:42.540 convince

00:43:42.920 if

00:43:43.600 you

00:43:43.760 can't

00:43:44.080 convince

00:43:44.400 Putin

00:43:44.740 that

00:43:45.380 you

00:43:45.580 would

00:43:45.760 bomb

00:43:46.060 Germany

00:43:46.640 you

00:43:47.960 know

00:43:48.080 you'd

00:43:48.440 bomb

00:43:48.620 Germany's

00:43:49.240 end

00:43:49.460 of

00:43:49.560 the

00:43:49.660 pipeline

00:43:50.000 to

00:43:50.260 stop

00:43:50.540 it

00:43:50.740 if

00:43:51.580 you're

00:43:51.740 not

00:43:51.920 willing

00:43:52.140 to

00:43:52.300 go

00:43:52.460 that

00:43:52.660 far

00:43:53.040 you're

00:43:54.620 not

00:43:54.800 negotiating

00:43:55.360 you're

00:43:56.560 surrendering

00:43:57.060 as long

00:43:59.280 as you're

00:43:59.620 willing to

00:43:59.980 be the

00:44:00.260 only one

00:44:00.680 who

00:44:00.800 acts

00:44:01.000 rational

00:44:01.480 surrender

00:44:02.800 is the

00:44:03.200 only

00:44:03.340 rational

00:44:03.740 thing

00:44:03.980 to do

00:44:04.320 so

00:44:05.300 let's

00:44:05.500 get

00:44:05.660 to

00:44:05.820 it

00:44:06.100 let's

00:44:07.340 get

00:44:07.500 to

00:44:07.660 it

00:44:07.900 we

00:44:08.380 should

00:44:08.580 either

00:44:08.840 act

00:44:09.240 rationally

00:44:09.780 and

00:44:10.000 surrender

00:44:10.400 so

00:44:11.240 there

00:44:11.400 are

00:44:11.500 no

00:44:11.660 deaths

00:44:12.040 you

00:44:12.300 know

00:44:12.400 just

00:44:12.580 let

00:44:12.800 Russia

00:44:13.040 have

00:44:13.300 Ukraine

00:44:13.760 or

00:44:15.100 we

00:44:16.220 should

00:44:16.420 finally

00:44:16.840 act

00:44:17.220 irrationally

00:44:18.000 which is

00:44:18.480 the only

00:44:18.760 rational

00:44:19.160 thing

00:44:19.420 to do

00:44:19.740 if you

00:44:20.600 want to

00:44:20.920 win

00:44:21.140 if you

00:44:22.220 want to

00:44:22.500 win

00:44:22.760 you have

00:44:23.600 to put

00:44:23.840 it all

00:44:24.340 on the

00:44:24.640 line

00:44:24.920 and that

00:44:25.700 means

00:44:26.080 sacrificing

00:44:26.840 Europe

00:44:27.220 now

00:44:29.800 how many

00:44:31.020 of you

00:44:31.300 are going

00:44:31.560 to hear

00:44:31.760 this and

00:44:32.160 say

00:44:32.400 the

00:44:33.020 cartoonist

00:44:33.600 said

00:44:33.820 we should

00:44:34.180 sacrifice

00:44:34.700 Europe

00:44:35.200 no

00:44:35.940 no

00:44:36.980 I'm not

00:44:38.060 saying we

00:44:38.400 should

00:44:38.540 sacrifice

00:44:39.000 Europe

00:44:39.440 no

00:44:40.560 I'm

00:44:41.720 saying we

00:44:42.120 have to

00:44:42.380 convince

00:44:42.700 Putin

00:44:43.140 we would

00:44:43.980 sacrifice

00:44:44.380 Europe

00:44:44.860 it's

00:44:46.000 not up

00:44:46.320 to

00:44:46.420 me

00:44:46.720 it's

00:44:47.720 not up

00:44:48.000 to

00:44:48.100 you

00:44:48.320 so

00:44:49.440 we

00:44:49.600 don't

00:44:49.720 get

00:44:49.860 a

00:44:49.980 vote

00:44:50.260 right

00:44:50.580 so

00:44:50.740 it

00:44:50.840 doesn't

00:44:51.020 matter

00:44:51.220 if

00:44:51.380 I

00:44:51.480 wanted

00:44:51.700 to

00:44:51.900 or

00:44:52.000 not

00:44:52.260 it's

00:44:52.480 irrelevant

00:44:52.860 I'm

00:44:54.140 saying

00:44:54.420 that

00:44:54.620 it's

00:44:54.840 not

00:44:55.060 negotiating

00:44:55.660 if

00:44:56.000 you

00:44:56.140 convince

00:44:56.500 the

00:44:56.680 other

00:44:56.840 side

00:44:57.080 you're

00:44:57.280 going

00:44:57.380 to

00:44:57.400 be

00:44:57.520 rational

00:44:57.920 and

00:44:58.820 I

00:44:58.980 think

00:44:59.260 that's

00:44:59.520 what

00:44:59.720 Biden

00:45:00.440 did

00:45:00.740 he

00:45:01.420 just

00:45:01.640 convinced

00:45:02.040 them

00:45:02.220 we're

00:45:02.400 going

00:45:02.500 to

00:45:02.540 be

00:45:02.640 really

00:45:02.900 rational

00:45:03.340 here

00:45:03.640 which

00:45:04.740 is

00:45:04.880 basically

00:45:05.300 giving

00:45:05.620 them

00:45:05.820 Ukraine

00:45:06.240 all

00:45:09.360 right

00:45:09.500 so

00:45:11.800 if

00:45:12.280 we

00:45:12.440 crank

00:45:13.460 up

00:45:13.700 the

00:45:13.980 fear

00:45:14.500 I

00:45:14.720 did

00:45:14.860 see

00:45:15.100 was

00:45:15.360 it

00:45:15.560 David

00:45:16.760 Petraeus

00:45:17.420 I

00:45:18.260 think

00:45:18.440 Ian

00:45:18.940 Bremer

00:45:19.180 was

00:45:19.500 interviewing

00:45:19.940 him

00:45:20.260 if

00:45:20.580 I'm

00:45:20.800 recalling

00:45:21.280 the

00:45:21.460 two

00:45:21.660 that

00:45:21.800 were

00:45:21.900 talking

00:45:22.200 and

00:45:23.240 I

00:45:23.520 think

00:45:23.680 Petraeus

00:45:24.140 was

00:45:24.320 saying

00:45:24.580 that

00:45:24.820 the

00:45:25.080 amount

00:45:25.960 of

00:45:26.200 casualties

00:45:26.700 that

00:45:27.200 Russia

00:45:27.580 would

00:45:27.920 have to

00:45:30.000 accept

00:45:30.360 to get

00:45:30.700 this

00:45:30.920 done

00:45:31.200 in

00:45:31.540 Ukraine

00:45:31.920 may be

00:45:33.400 surprisingly

00:45:34.000 high

00:45:34.420 those

00:45:35.600 are

00:45:35.720 my

00:45:35.920 words

00:45:36.240 but

00:45:36.560 Petraeus

00:45:37.200 did

00:45:37.460 think

00:45:37.680 that

00:45:37.860 the

00:45:37.980 Ukrainian

00:45:38.380 military

00:45:39.880 would

00:45:40.120 put

00:45:40.260 up

00:45:40.400 a

00:45:40.520 serious

00:45:40.820 fight

00:45:41.200 so

00:45:42.400 we'll

00:45:43.400 see

00:45:43.680 let's

00:45:47.520 see

00:45:47.640 what

00:45:47.800 else

00:45:47.940 is

00:45:48.060 going

00:45:48.200 on

00:45:49.520 Israel

00:45:51.380 and

00:45:51.780 its

00:45:52.040 allies

00:45:52.740 in

00:45:52.980 the

00:45:53.080 region

00:45:53.340 we

00:45:53.520 don't

00:45:53.660 know

00:45:53.780 which

00:45:53.940 allies

00:45:54.340 but

00:45:54.700 some

00:45:55.200 of

00:45:55.280 the

00:45:55.360 Arab

00:45:55.560 countries

00:45:55.920 I

00:45:56.100 guess

00:45:56.280 are

00:45:58.620 developing

00:45:58.980 a

00:45:59.200 joint

00:45:59.440 defense

00:45:59.920 against

00:46:00.400 suicide

00:46:01.300 drones

00:46:01.800 so

00:46:03.480 if

00:46:04.060 a

00:46:04.220 country

00:46:04.500 sees

00:46:04.860 a

00:46:05.100 suicide

00:46:05.580 drone

00:46:05.980 take

00:46:06.260 off

00:46:06.600 and

00:46:06.940 they

00:46:07.100 spot

00:46:07.440 it

00:46:07.560 before

00:46:07.860 Israel

00:46:08.220 does

00:46:08.600 they

00:46:09.000 would

00:46:09.200 alert

00:46:09.560 Israel

00:46:10.020 and

00:46:10.740 vice

00:46:11.000 versa

00:46:11.260 so

00:46:12.360 they

00:46:12.500 would

00:46:12.620 have

00:46:12.800 a

00:46:13.140 mutual

00:46:13.540 alerting

00:46:15.080 system

00:46:15.500 which

00:46:16.620 does

00:46:16.880 tell

00:46:17.080 me

00:46:17.300 that

00:46:18.180 the

00:46:18.440 military

00:46:18.960 believes

00:46:19.700 that

00:46:19.940 suicide

00:46:20.360 drones

00:46:21.080 are

00:46:21.300 basically

00:46:21.720 going to

00:46:22.020 be

00:46:22.120 the

00:46:22.300 weapon

00:46:22.520 of

00:46:22.680 the

00:46:22.800 future

00:46:23.080 why

00:46:23.400 wouldn't

00:46:23.640 they

00:46:23.780 be

00:46:23.940 really

00:46:24.200 I

00:46:25.500 assume

00:46:25.940 they

00:46:26.080 will

00:46:26.240 be

00:46:26.440 and

00:46:29.940 then

00:46:30.080 I

00:46:30.240 ask

00:46:30.540 does

00:46:31.260 Ukraine

00:46:31.680 have

00:46:31.940 access

00:46:32.280 to

00:46:32.640 the

00:46:32.820 type

00:46:33.080 of

00:46:33.260 drones

00:46:33.640 that

00:46:33.980 could

00:46:34.140 take

00:46:34.360 on

00:46:34.520 a

00:46:34.620 pipeline

00:46:34.980 what

00:46:36.900 do

00:46:37.000 you

00:46:37.100 think

00:46:37.360 do

00:46:38.940 you

00:46:39.120 think

00:46:39.560 that

00:46:40.180 Ukraine

00:46:40.620 currently

00:46:41.260 has

00:46:41.720 or

00:46:41.900 could

00:46:42.100 rapidly

00:46:42.460 get

00:46:42.740 the

00:46:44.000 type

00:46:44.340 of

00:46:44.480 drones

00:46:44.840 that

00:46:45.360 could

00:46:45.520 take

00:46:45.740 out

00:46:45.940 a

00:46:46.100 pumping

00:46:46.340 station

00:46:46.800 and a

00:46:47.140 pipeline

00:46:47.460 and

00:46:50.200 would

00:46:50.620 the

00:46:50.800 Russians

00:46:51.140 have

00:46:51.480 capability

00:46:52.040 of

00:46:52.320 shooting

00:46:52.560 them

00:46:52.800 down

00:46:53.160 and

00:46:54.440 what

00:46:54.660 percentage

00:46:55.260 could

00:46:55.520 they

00:46:55.700 shoot

00:46:55.920 down

00:46:56.280 versus

00:46:56.620 what

00:46:56.920 percentage

00:46:57.320 could

00:46:57.560 get

00:46:57.740 through

00:46:57.980 any

00:46:58.240 defense

00:46:58.660 system

00:46:59.060 don't

00:47:01.740 I

00:47:01.840 have

00:47:01.960 a

00:47:02.060 water

00:47:02.240 leak

00:47:02.420 to

00:47:02.560 take

00:47:02.740 care

00:47:02.920 of

00:47:03.100 don't

00:47:04.620 jinx

00:47:04.900 me

00:47:05.120 they're

00:47:05.400 all

00:47:05.560 fixed

00:47:05.820 at

00:47:05.980 the

00:47:06.100 moment

00:47:06.380 70%

00:47:11.100 shot

00:47:11.400 down

00:47:11.680 so

00:47:12.880 you

00:47:13.040 send

00:47:13.640 three

00:47:14.460 or

00:47:14.640 four

00:47:14.900 and

00:47:15.100 you

00:47:15.200 get

00:47:15.300 a

00:47:15.400 good

00:47:15.520 chance

00:47:15.920 all

00:47:17.680 right

00:47:17.860 here's

00:47:23.280 an article

00:47:23.780 by Jack

00:47:24.400 Kelly

00:47:24.840 writing

00:47:25.760 for

00:47:26.020 Forbes

00:47:26.400 and

00:47:27.320 this

00:47:27.600 is

00:47:27.740 just

00:47:27.900 more

00:47:28.160 of

00:47:28.360 a

00:47:28.560 trend

00:47:28.820 that's

00:47:29.100 good

00:47:29.300 which

00:47:29.580 is

00:47:29.800 we're

00:47:31.180 finally

00:47:31.460 seeing

00:47:31.720 a

00:47:31.860 renaissance

00:47:32.340 this

00:47:32.640 is

00:47:32.740 what

00:47:32.920 Jack

00:47:33.140 says

00:47:33.400 renaissance

00:47:34.280 in

00:47:34.480 creating

00:47:34.780 psychedelic

00:47:35.460 drugs

00:47:35.740 to

00:47:35.900 help

00:47:36.060 treat

00:47:36.240 depression

00:47:36.720 PTSD

00:47:37.320 OCD

00:47:37.940 anxiety

00:47:38.580 and other

00:47:39.140 mental

00:47:39.480 issues

00:47:39.880 I'm

00:47:41.460 telling you

00:47:41.880 this is

00:47:42.260 big

00:47:42.560 if

00:47:44.140 only

00:47:44.420 two

00:47:44.740 things

00:47:45.080 happened

00:47:45.400 in the

00:47:45.700 future

00:47:46.000 we

00:47:47.220 got

00:47:47.440 fusion

00:47:47.940 energy

00:47:48.400 and

00:47:48.980 or

00:47:49.320 generation

00:47:50.460 four

00:47:50.880 you know

00:47:51.520 takes

00:47:52.100 off

00:47:52.380 as more

00:47:52.840 economical

00:47:53.320 if

00:47:54.060 we

00:47:54.160 get

00:47:54.380 nuclear

00:47:55.700 going

00:47:56.180 and

00:47:57.700 we

00:47:57.860 get

00:47:58.220 psychedelic

00:47:59.480 treatments

00:48:00.300 or

00:48:01.320 you know

00:48:01.600 some

00:48:01.840 version

00:48:02.180 of

00:48:02.340 the

00:48:02.460 psychedelics

00:48:03.020 for

00:48:03.840 all

00:48:04.080 of

00:48:04.200 these

00:48:04.360 mental

00:48:04.700 anxieties

00:48:05.260 the

00:48:07.300 earth

00:48:07.520 is

00:48:07.700 in

00:48:07.840 good

00:48:08.000 shape

00:48:08.360 because

00:48:09.400 if

00:48:10.260 you

00:48:10.400 can

00:48:10.540 get

00:48:10.680 enough

00:48:10.900 clean

00:48:11.440 energy

00:48:11.840 the

00:48:12.760 earth

00:48:13.020 is

00:48:13.180 going

00:48:13.300 to

00:48:13.340 have

00:48:13.460 a

00:48:13.580 much

00:48:13.720 better

00:48:14.020 time

00:48:14.700 with

00:48:14.940 everything

00:48:15.320 from

00:48:15.620 climate

00:48:16.000 change

00:48:16.400 to

00:48:16.680 economies

00:48:17.520 to

00:48:17.840 feeding

00:48:18.080 people

00:48:18.400 everything

00:48:18.740 and

00:48:19.700 if

00:48:19.860 you

00:48:19.980 can

00:48:20.160 get

00:48:20.320 rid

00:48:20.460 of

00:48:20.540 people's

00:48:20.920 inner

00:48:21.240 problems

00:48:21.720 you know

00:48:22.180 the

00:48:22.360 nuclear

00:48:23.580 power

00:48:23.880 takes

00:48:24.120 care

00:48:24.380 of

00:48:24.520 a

00:48:24.620 lot

00:48:24.760 of

00:48:24.860 the

00:48:24.960 external

00:48:25.360 problems

00:48:25.940 but

00:48:26.360 the

00:48:26.580 internal

00:48:27.780 problems

00:48:28.220 of

00:48:28.420 our

00:48:28.600 brain

00:48:29.000 maybe

00:48:30.200 we

00:48:30.380 can

00:48:30.540 solve

00:48:30.800 those

00:48:31.040 too

00:48:31.260 what

00:48:33.720 about

00:48:33.960 fentanyl

00:48:34.600 well

00:48:35.080 I

00:48:35.280 wouldn't

00:48:36.120 well

00:48:36.940 it

00:48:37.120 treats

00:48:37.340 addiction

00:48:37.680 so

00:48:38.160 one

00:48:39.000 of

00:48:39.100 the

00:48:39.140 things

00:48:39.320 it

00:48:39.440 could

00:48:39.540 do

00:48:40.340 is

00:48:40.460 stop

00:48:40.680 addiction

00:48:40.960 maybe

00:48:41.300 well

00:48:43.560 the

00:48:43.880 Omicron

00:48:45.060 Olympics

00:48:45.480 have

00:48:45.680 ended

00:48:46.000 and

00:48:47.500 reportedly

00:48:48.580 they were

00:48:49.020 a huge

00:48:49.380 success

00:48:49.900 within

00:48:50.660 China

00:48:51.080 so

00:48:53.040 the

00:48:53.200 Olympics

00:48:53.460 were

00:48:53.780 huge

00:48:54.160 domestically

00:48:54.820 and

00:48:55.320 it

00:48:55.680 looks

00:48:55.860 like

00:48:56.040 they

00:48:56.180 even

00:48:56.360 had

00:48:56.560 higher

00:48:56.880 viewership

00:48:57.480 than

00:48:57.660 before

00:48:58.040 because

00:48:58.960 the

00:48:59.380 Chinese

00:48:59.880 viewership

00:49:00.440 was so

00:49:00.800 high

00:49:01.160 it

00:49:01.900 compensated

00:49:02.560 for

00:49:02.800 much

00:49:03.080 lower

00:49:03.440 international

00:49:04.140 viewership

00:49:04.680 so

00:49:05.260 from

00:49:05.500 the

00:49:05.820 Chinese

00:49:06.560 perspective

00:49:07.500 of

00:49:08.140 can

00:49:09.380 they

00:49:09.520 put

00:49:09.700 on

00:49:09.840 a

00:49:09.940 major

00:49:10.180 event

00:49:10.580 they

00:49:11.020 managed

00:49:11.400 to

00:49:11.660 squash

00:49:12.040 the

00:49:12.240 Omicron

00:49:12.660 which

00:49:13.800 I

00:49:13.960 was

00:49:14.120 totally

00:49:14.400 wrong

00:49:14.720 about

00:49:15.020 for

00:49:17.540 those

00:49:17.820 of

00:49:17.960 you

00:49:18.060 who

00:49:18.200 like

00:49:18.400 me

00:49:18.560 to

00:49:18.720 admit

00:49:18.980 when

00:49:19.180 I'm

00:49:19.340 wrong

00:49:19.560 I

00:49:21.040 predicted

00:49:21.460 that

00:49:21.840 there

00:49:22.020 was

00:49:22.160 no

00:49:22.320 way

00:49:22.460 they

00:49:22.620 could

00:49:22.760 stop

00:49:23.020 the

00:49:23.180 Omicron

00:49:23.680 from

00:49:24.020 laying

00:49:24.520 waste

00:49:24.960 inside

00:49:25.500 their

00:49:25.740 perimeter

00:49:26.120 and they

00:49:27.360 did

00:49:27.640 they

00:49:29.120 did

00:49:29.440 there's

00:49:30.620 something

00:49:30.960 there's

00:49:32.020 something

00:49:32.240 I don't

00:49:32.620 understand

00:49:33.140 in the

00:49:33.480 story

00:49:33.820 because

00:49:35.020 there's

00:49:35.280 nothing

00:49:35.540 I know

00:49:35.940 about

00:49:36.180 Omicron

00:49:36.720 that tells

00:49:38.000 me

00:49:38.160 they could

00:49:38.660 have

00:49:38.980 or anybody

00:49:39.720 could have

00:49:40.200 squashed

00:49:41.160 it within

00:49:41.600 a perimeter

00:49:42.120 no matter

00:49:42.600 what you

00:49:42.960 do

00:49:43.220 like I

00:49:45.160 feel like

00:49:45.520 there's

00:49:45.700 part of

00:49:46.180 the story

00:49:46.560 missing

00:49:46.980 like how

00:49:48.020 they did

00:49:48.400 that

00:49:48.700 now I

00:49:49.480 get

00:49:49.760 I get

00:49:50.440 that they

00:49:50.700 were

00:49:50.820 extreme

00:49:51.300 but

00:49:52.400 all

00:49:52.540 the

00:49:52.660 extreme

00:49:53.020 stuff

00:49:53.320 they

00:49:53.480 did

00:49:53.660 are

00:49:53.840 things

00:49:54.340 we

00:49:54.540 know

00:49:54.740 how

00:49:54.880 to

00:49:54.980 do

00:49:55.160 right

00:49:55.440 quarantine

00:49:56.160 and test

00:49:56.880 and all

00:49:57.180 that

00:49:57.360 I

00:49:58.080 wonder

00:49:58.300 if it

00:49:58.520 was

00:49:58.640 the

00:49:58.800 testing

00:49:59.160 it

00:50:00.520 might

00:50:00.660 have

00:50:00.740 been

00:50:00.820 the

00:50:00.980 testing

00:50:01.340 because

00:50:02.960 this

00:50:04.280 gets

00:50:04.500 back

00:50:04.760 to

00:50:04.920 why

00:50:05.120 the

00:50:05.260 United

00:50:05.500 States

00:50:05.860 didn't

00:50:06.100 have

00:50:06.340 rapid

00:50:06.720 testing

00:50:07.100 in the

00:50:07.380 beginning

00:50:07.640 one

00:50:09.180 of the

00:50:09.460 biggest

00:50:09.940 reasons

00:50:10.560 that China

00:50:11.020 did

00:50:11.260 better

00:50:11.540 is

00:50:11.820 immediate

00:50:12.380 rapid

00:50:12.760 testing

00:50:13.100 they

00:50:13.260 could

00:50:13.420 test

00:50:13.640 a

00:50:13.760 whole

00:50:13.900 city

00:50:14.140 in

00:50:14.300 five

00:50:14.540 hours

00:50:14.900 did

00:50:15.900 you

00:50:16.020 know

00:50:16.180 that

00:50:16.400 they

00:50:17.460 could

00:50:17.620 rapid

00:50:18.000 test

00:50:18.420 an

00:50:18.640 entire

00:50:18.940 city

00:50:19.340 in

00:50:19.520 five

00:50:19.780 hours

00:50:20.140 that's

00:50:21.420 how many

00:50:21.660 tests

00:50:21.940 they

00:50:22.100 have

00:50:22.340 and how

00:50:23.100 quickly

00:50:23.420 they

00:50:23.660 can

00:50:23.880 implement

00:50:24.460 so

00:50:25.400 we

00:50:25.660 didn't

00:50:25.860 do

00:50:25.980 the

00:50:26.140 extreme

00:50:26.480 lockdowns

00:50:27.100 of this

00:50:27.340 country

00:50:27.660 so

00:50:28.100 you know

00:50:28.800 we would

00:50:29.220 have

00:50:29.300 gotten

00:50:29.480 a

00:50:29.600 different

00:50:29.820 result

00:50:30.260 but

00:50:31.060 wow

00:50:31.340 if we

00:50:31.720 could

00:50:31.880 have

00:50:32.020 tested

00:50:32.340 everybody

00:50:32.940 anytime

00:50:33.360 we

00:50:33.620 wanted

00:50:33.920 from

00:50:34.160 the

00:50:34.340 beginning

00:50:34.680 like

00:50:35.180 China

00:50:35.460 did

00:50:35.760 we

00:50:36.720 probably

00:50:37.080 would

00:50:37.280 have

00:50:37.380 saved

00:50:37.660 a

00:50:38.540 few

00:50:38.700 hundred

00:50:38.900 thousand

00:50:39.280 lives

00:50:39.760 and

00:50:41.360 whoever

00:50:42.800 at the

00:50:43.160 FDA

00:50:43.520 was

00:50:44.040 the

00:50:44.320 corrupt

00:50:44.640 one

00:50:44.920 I'm

00:50:45.160 just

00:50:45.340 guessing

00:50:45.680 there

00:50:45.840 was

00:50:45.940 somebody

00:50:46.180 corrupt

00:50:46.540 allegedly

00:50:47.460 probably

00:50:48.660 killed

00:50:48.920 a few

00:50:49.160 hundred

00:50:49.320 thousand

00:50:49.580 people

00:50:49.900 I think

00:50:50.680 that

00:50:50.840 really

00:50:51.060 happened

00:50:51.420 tragically

00:50:54.940 so

00:50:58.180 Canada

00:50:58.620 has made

00:50:59.120 protesting

00:50:59.700 illegal

00:51:00.200 and so

00:51:00.640 has the

00:51:00.860 United

00:51:01.080 States

00:51:01.600 so

00:51:03.080 that's

00:51:03.380 not

00:51:03.540 good

00:51:03.800 and

00:51:04.000 what I

00:51:04.280 mean

00:51:04.440 is

00:51:04.640 that

00:51:04.840 the

00:51:05.020 January

00:51:05.340 6

00:51:05.680 protests

00:51:06.260 were

00:51:07.080 basically

00:51:07.500 criminalized

00:51:08.620 and people

00:51:09.260 are being

00:51:09.580 hunted

00:51:09.880 down

00:51:10.220 to

00:51:10.460 pay

00:51:10.880 for

00:51:11.080 their

00:51:11.240 crimes

00:51:11.700 of

00:51:11.940 protesting

00:51:12.520 and

00:51:13.900 other

00:51:14.120 things

00:51:14.400 as well

00:51:14.700 of course

00:51:15.060 and

00:51:15.840 now

00:51:16.020 the

00:51:16.180 Ottawa

00:51:16.480 police

00:51:17.000 chief

00:51:17.240 says

00:51:17.560 that

00:51:17.720 even

00:51:17.920 if

00:51:18.120 protesters

00:51:18.720 retreat

00:51:19.460 and

00:51:19.680 go

00:51:19.820 home

00:51:20.060 they'll

00:51:20.260 be

00:51:20.400 hunted

00:51:20.660 and

00:51:21.040 punished

00:51:21.600 basically

00:51:22.080 so

00:51:22.860 they're

00:51:23.060 going to

00:51:23.220 look for

00:51:23.520 you

00:51:23.640 even

00:51:23.840 if

00:51:23.980 you

00:51:24.080 go

00:51:24.240 home

00:51:24.540 so

00:51:26.320 protesting

00:51:27.020 even

00:51:29.000 peacefully

00:51:29.520 you're

00:51:31.880 still

00:51:32.060 going to

00:51:32.240 be

00:51:32.360 hunted

00:51:32.580 down

00:51:32.940 now

00:51:34.440 would

00:51:34.660 you

00:51:34.800 do

00:51:34.960 a

00:51:35.120 protest

00:51:35.540 in

00:51:35.800 Canada

00:51:36.140 or

00:51:36.360 the

00:51:36.500 United

00:51:36.740 States

00:51:37.200 like

00:51:38.940 one

00:51:39.380 you

00:51:39.520 really

00:51:39.740 cared

00:51:40.020 about

00:51:40.280 like

00:51:40.600 that

00:51:40.820 really

00:51:41.060 was

00:51:41.280 going

00:51:41.440 to

00:51:41.500 get

00:51:41.700 rambunctious

00:51:42.460 you

00:51:42.780 knew

00:51:42.940 it

00:51:47.140 would

00:51:47.440 happen

00:51:47.740 would

00:51:48.280 you

00:51:48.400 get

00:51:48.560 involved

00:51:49.100 knowing

00:51:50.060 what

00:51:50.280 happened

00:51:50.540 to

00:51:50.660 the

00:51:50.820 January

00:51:51.120 6

00:51:51.480 people

00:51:51.820 and

00:51:52.060 now

00:51:52.280 the

00:51:52.580 trucker

00:51:53.200 convoy

00:51:53.640 honestly

00:51:55.500 I

00:51:55.740 wouldn't

00:51:56.360 well

00:51:57.300 maybe

00:51:57.560 I'm

00:51:57.720 a

00:51:57.820 special

00:51:58.100 case

00:51:58.460 because

00:51:58.740 you

00:51:59.580 know

00:51:59.740 I've

00:51:59.980 got

00:52:00.080 F

00:52:00.300 you

00:52:00.440 money

00:52:00.700 so

00:52:00.940 I

00:52:01.120 could

00:52:01.440 survive

00:52:01.860 pretty

00:52:02.240 much

00:52:02.420 anything

00:52:02.700 but

00:52:03.680 if

00:52:03.820 I

00:52:03.940 were

00:52:04.040 a

00:52:04.180 normal

00:52:04.440 citizen

00:52:04.860 I

00:52:06.040 don't

00:52:06.220 think

00:52:06.420 I

00:52:06.580 would

00:52:06.780 participate

00:52:08.040 in

00:52:08.480 another

00:52:08.840 protest

00:52:09.380 how

00:52:10.440 many

00:52:10.600 of

00:52:10.720 you

00:52:10.800 think

00:52:11.000 the

00:52:11.180 same

00:52:11.400 for

00:52:12.280 normal

00:52:12.660 citizens

00:52:13.140 does it

00:52:13.600 make

00:52:13.780 sense

00:52:14.060 to

00:52:14.280 participate

00:52:15.200 in a

00:52:15.760 protest

00:52:16.220 in Canada

00:52:16.800 or the

00:52:17.180 United States

00:52:17.700 in the

00:52:18.020 future

00:52:18.300 I guess

00:52:20.680 it depends

00:52:21.080 what you're

00:52:21.380 protesting

00:52:21.820 if you're

00:52:22.240 protesting

00:52:22.680 racism

00:52:23.600 still good

00:52:24.500 if you're

00:52:25.980 protesting

00:52:26.520 the

00:52:26.820 government

00:52:27.280 apparently

00:52:28.580 not

00:52:29.080 apparently

00:52:30.320 you can't

00:52:30.780 protest

00:52:31.120 the

00:52:31.320 government

00:52:31.680 well

00:52:34.360 I

00:52:34.520 think

00:52:34.680 this

00:52:34.880 is a

00:52:35.140 huge

00:52:35.400 blow

00:52:35.720 to

00:52:36.040 freedom

00:52:36.840 of

00:52:37.040 speech

00:52:37.360 obviously

00:52:38.700 remember

00:52:40.540 I told

00:52:40.980 you

00:52:41.180 that

00:52:41.540 the

00:52:42.020 least

00:52:42.440 secure

00:52:45.580 way

00:52:46.180 to

00:52:46.360 communicate

00:52:46.960 the

00:52:47.800 least

00:52:48.320 secure

00:52:48.980 way

00:52:49.240 is

00:52:49.480 with

00:52:49.620 a

00:52:49.760 secure

00:52:50.100 app

00:52:50.480 have

00:52:51.640 I

00:52:51.740 ever

00:52:51.880 told

00:52:52.040 you

00:52:52.140 that

00:52:52.380 here's

00:52:53.580 another

00:52:53.800 story

00:52:54.160 to

00:52:54.340 prove

00:52:54.520 it

00:52:54.680 oath

00:52:54.960 keeper

00:52:55.260 leader

00:52:55.700 this

00:52:56.180 guy

00:52:56.360 Stuart

00:52:56.720 Rhodes

00:52:57.120 he's

00:52:58.600 being

00:52:58.800 held

00:52:59.100 in

00:52:59.340 jail

00:52:59.540 for

00:52:59.720 his

00:52:59.880 January

00:53:00.160 6

00:53:00.520 stuff

00:53:00.820 and

00:53:01.020 I

00:53:01.140 guess

00:53:01.280 he

00:53:01.420 was

00:53:01.800 calling

00:53:02.260 for

00:53:02.560 something

00:53:03.240 violent

00:53:05.680 allegedly

00:53:07.220 he was

00:53:08.680 calling

00:53:08.900 for

00:53:09.080 something

00:53:09.340 violent

00:53:09.760 or

00:53:11.340 let's

00:53:12.140 say

00:53:12.260 suggested

00:53:12.800 something

00:53:13.200 violent

00:53:13.600 but

00:53:15.280 the way

00:53:15.580 they

00:53:15.780 caught

00:53:16.100 him

00:53:16.380 and

00:53:16.560 the way

00:53:16.800 they're

00:53:17.020 prosecuting

00:53:17.540 him

00:53:17.760 is

00:53:18.020 because

00:53:18.320 they

00:53:18.560 have

00:53:18.720 access

00:53:19.040 to

00:53:19.340 his

00:53:19.500 messages

00:53:19.880 on

00:53:20.660 the

00:53:20.840 encrypted

00:53:21.300 app

00:53:21.900 called

00:53:22.280 Signal

00:53:22.720 the

00:53:24.080 signal

00:53:24.480 app

00:53:24.820 is

00:53:25.020 the

00:53:25.140 one

00:53:25.280 that

00:53:25.440 people

00:53:25.680 use

00:53:26.180 if

00:53:27.660 they're

00:53:27.820 really

00:53:28.060 trying

00:53:28.300 to

00:53:28.440 hide

00:53:28.620 their

00:53:28.800 stuff

00:53:29.120 but

00:53:30.620 the

00:53:30.760 government

00:53:31.060 has

00:53:31.380 it

00:53:31.600 how

00:53:33.160 hard

00:53:33.420 was it

00:53:33.760 for

00:53:34.360 the

00:53:34.540 government

00:53:34.880 to

00:53:35.140 get

00:53:35.340 his

00:53:35.620 encrypted

00:53:36.140 messages

00:53:36.600 from

00:53:36.900 an

00:53:37.060 encrypted

00:53:37.440 app

00:53:37.820 I

00:53:38.560 don't

00:53:38.740 know

00:53:39.080 but

00:53:40.320 they

00:53:40.480 have

00:53:40.720 them

00:53:40.920 now

00:53:42.200 they

00:53:42.360 may

00:53:42.540 have

00:53:42.660 gotten

00:53:42.920 them

00:53:43.100 from

00:53:43.380 the

00:53:43.640 recipient

00:53:44.020 of

00:53:44.340 the

00:53:44.440 messages

00:53:44.760 maybe

00:53:45.600 somebody

00:53:46.000 screen

00:53:46.460 printed

00:53:46.740 them

00:53:47.020 or

00:53:47.180 something

00:53:47.460 and

00:53:48.220 maybe

00:53:48.380 they

00:53:48.600 threatened

00:53:48.900 the

00:53:49.140 recipient

00:53:49.480 enough

00:53:49.920 that

00:53:50.140 the

00:53:50.300 recipient

00:53:50.640 gave

00:53:50.960 them

00:53:51.140 up

00:53:51.340 but

00:53:51.900 that's

00:53:52.140 always

00:53:52.320 the

00:53:52.500 risk

00:53:52.760 right

00:53:53.020 even

00:53:54.520 if

00:53:54.760 the

00:53:54.920 encrypted

00:53:55.300 app

00:53:55.700 did

00:53:56.220 its

00:53:56.400 job

00:53:56.720 and

00:53:56.880 encrypted

00:53:57.280 it

00:53:57.620 the

00:53:58.560 message

00:53:59.520 still

00:53:59.860 starts

00:54:00.260 somewhere

00:54:00.620 and ends

00:54:01.020 somewhere

00:54:01.340 and you

00:54:02.240 could pick

00:54:02.620 it up

00:54:02.860 at the

00:54:03.160 start

00:54:03.440 or you

00:54:03.780 could pick

00:54:04.080 it up

00:54:04.280 at the

00:54:04.480 end

00:54:04.740 so

00:54:06.580 as soon

00:54:07.020 as you

00:54:07.340 use

00:54:07.660 an

00:54:07.800 encrypted

00:54:08.180 app

00:54:08.580 you're

00:54:09.360 fucking

00:54:09.640 yourself

00:54:10.160 hard

00:54:12.360 let me

00:54:14.080 say it

00:54:14.340 again

00:54:14.600 don't

00:54:15.640 say

00:54:15.900 anything

00:54:16.420 in

00:54:17.980 an

00:54:18.160 encrypted

00:54:18.560 app

00:54:19.020 that

00:54:19.740 you

00:54:19.900 wouldn't

00:54:20.200 say

00:54:20.540 in

00:54:21.500 a

00:54:21.620 regular

00:54:21.900 app

00:54:22.240 and

00:54:24.000 don't

00:54:24.180 say

00:54:24.360 anything

00:54:24.640 in

00:54:24.760 a

00:54:24.860 regular

00:54:25.060 app

00:54:25.320 that's

00:54:25.520 going

00:54:25.640 to

00:54:25.680 get

00:54:25.820 you

00:54:25.920 in

00:54:26.000 trouble

00:54:26.260 because

00:54:27.100 it's

00:54:27.280 all

00:54:27.520 discoverable

00:54:28.180 always

00:54:28.920 all

00:54:29.280 the

00:54:29.440 time

00:54:29.760 right

00:54:30.660 do

00:54:32.420 not

00:54:32.740 use

00:54:33.260 you

00:54:34.020 know

00:54:34.160 Silk Road

00:54:35.040 technology

00:54:36.540 don't

00:54:37.580 think

00:54:37.840 that

00:54:38.060 crypto

00:54:38.440 is

00:54:38.680 going

00:54:38.820 to

00:54:38.920 hide

00:54:39.140 you

00:54:39.380 and

00:54:40.280 don't

00:54:40.560 believe

00:54:40.840 that

00:54:41.040 there

00:54:41.220 there's

00:54:41.580 any

00:54:41.800 app

00:54:42.140 that

00:54:42.300 can

00:54:42.440 keep

00:54:42.660 your

00:54:42.780 messages

00:54:43.160 private

00:54:43.600 now

00:54:44.400 as

00:54:44.700 you

00:54:44.840 know

00:54:45.100 one

00:54:46.420 from

00:54:46.600 the

00:54:46.760 signal

00:54:47.040 app

00:54:47.340 made

00:54:47.820 it

00:54:47.940 into

00:54:48.120 the

00:54:48.260 press

00:54:48.580 I

00:54:51.280 don't

00:54:51.400 know

00:54:51.540 exactly

00:54:51.900 how

00:54:52.100 that

00:54:52.260 happened

00:54:52.580 but

00:54:53.560 yeah

00:54:56.040 so

00:54:56.380 just

00:54:57.040 I

00:54:57.800 can't

00:54:58.340 say

00:54:58.520 this

00:54:58.740 strongly

00:54:59.160 enough

00:54:59.580 don't

00:55:00.460 put

00:55:00.640 anything

00:55:01.000 in

00:55:01.180 an

00:55:01.320 encrypted

00:55:01.660 app

00:55:02.060 anything

00:55:02.700 nothing

00:55:03.460 at

00:55:04.160 all

00:55:04.440 that

00:55:05.560 you

00:55:05.720 can't

00:55:06.060 survive

00:55:06.500 it

00:55:06.720 being

00:55:07.120 brought

00:55:07.500 to

00:55:07.680 light

00:55:07.920 now

00:55:08.740 that

00:55:08.900 doesn't

00:55:09.180 mean

00:55:09.380 that

00:55:09.580 we

00:55:09.720 don't

00:55:09.940 write

00:55:10.160 private

00:55:10.500 things

00:55:10.840 in

00:55:11.140 email

00:55:12.060 and

00:55:12.300 everything

00:55:12.520 else

00:55:12.800 because

00:55:12.960 we

00:55:13.120 do

00:55:13.300 but

00:55:13.860 make

00:55:14.060 sure

00:55:14.220 it's

00:55:14.360 not

00:55:14.500 something

00:55:14.780 that

00:55:15.000 will

00:55:15.120 just

00:55:15.300 end

00:55:15.660 you

00:55:15.860 nothing

00:55:16.980 that's

00:55:17.260 going

00:55:17.340 to

00:55:17.380 put

00:55:17.520 you

00:55:17.620 in

00:55:17.780 jail

00:55:18.060 don't

00:55:18.500 put

00:55:18.680 that

00:55:18.860 anywhere

00:55:19.340 all

00:55:21.380 right

00:55:21.560 be

00:55:23.000 careful

00:55:23.320 who

00:55:23.540 you

00:55:23.640 name

00:55:23.880 your

00:55:24.040 school

00:55:24.380 after

00:55:24.680 I

00:55:24.900 forget

00:55:25.420 who

00:55:25.620 said

00:55:25.820 this

00:55:26.020 yesterday

00:55:26.400 but

00:55:26.600 somebody

00:55:26.880 was

00:55:27.040 saying

00:55:27.280 it

00:55:27.920 would

00:55:28.060 be

00:55:28.200 smart

00:55:28.520 to

00:55:28.720 just

00:55:28.900 not

00:55:29.100 name

00:55:29.340 any

00:55:29.540 schools

00:55:30.020 or

00:55:30.480 buildings

00:55:30.860 after

00:55:31.180 humans

00:55:31.660 because

00:55:32.720 the

00:55:32.940 humans

00:55:33.200 turned

00:55:33.500 bad

00:55:33.800 after

00:55:34.040 time

00:55:34.380 you

00:55:35.160 know

00:55:35.280 whatever

00:55:35.740 those

00:55:36.120 humans

00:55:36.400 were

00:55:36.580 doing

00:55:36.800 200

00:55:37.100 years

00:55:37.420 ago

00:55:37.660 doesn't

00:55:38.520 look

00:55:38.720 so

00:55:38.920 good

00:55:39.160 today

00:55:39.580 here

00:55:40.980 is

00:55:41.220 the

00:55:41.420 chief

00:55:41.840 case

00:55:42.420 of

00:55:42.700 that

00:55:43.080 a

00:55:44.800 tweet

00:55:45.240 by

00:55:45.580 a tweet

00:55:46.080 thread

00:55:46.360 by

00:55:46.580 Jay

00:55:46.940 Perk

00:55:47.540 and

00:55:48.880 he

00:55:49.180 knows

00:55:49.600 something

00:55:49.860 about

00:55:50.120 history

00:55:50.460 Jay

00:55:50.700 does

00:55:51.020 and

00:55:51.160 he

00:55:51.300 tells

00:55:51.740 us

00:55:51.940 that

00:55:52.160 Thomas

00:55:52.480 Jefferson

00:55:53.420 was

00:55:54.380 44

00:55:54.980 years

00:55:55.760 old

00:55:55.980 when he

00:55:56.220 began

00:55:56.540 what

00:55:57.580 many

00:55:57.800 today

00:55:58.120 refer to

00:55:58.620 as a

00:55:58.980 romance

00:55:59.380 or affair

00:55:59.900 with

00:56:00.160 Sally

00:56:00.480 Hemings

00:56:00.920 a

00:56:01.920 romance

00:56:02.400 or

00:56:02.620 an

00:56:02.740 affair

00:56:03.040 he

00:56:04.000 was

00:56:04.160 44

00:56:04.600 years

00:56:04.980 old

00:56:05.280 and

00:56:06.100 Sally

00:56:06.400 Hemings

00:56:06.720 was

00:56:06.960 a

00:56:07.120 slave

00:56:07.500 here's

00:56:09.000 the

00:56:09.120 part

00:56:09.280 I

00:56:09.420 didn't

00:56:09.560 know

00:56:09.740 about

00:56:10.080 it

00:56:11.800 started

00:56:12.140 when

00:56:12.380 she

00:56:12.520 was

00:56:12.700 14

00:56:13.140 and

00:56:16.940 she

00:56:17.260 had

00:56:17.460 lots

00:56:17.760 of

00:56:17.900 his

00:56:18.040 babies

00:56:18.400 so

00:56:21.300 I

00:56:24.600 have

00:56:24.860 to

00:56:25.000 admit

00:56:25.200 I

00:56:25.420 didn't

00:56:25.640 see

00:56:25.820 this

00:56:26.020 coming

00:56:26.320 I

00:56:27.840 didn't

00:56:28.080 see

00:56:28.240 it

00:56:28.360 coming

00:56:28.560 I

00:56:28.720 knew

00:56:28.840 about

00:56:29.020 the

00:56:29.180 Sally

00:56:29.420 Hemings

00:56:29.720 thing

00:56:29.960 but

00:56:30.800 for

00:56:30.960 some

00:56:31.240 reason

00:56:31.460 I

00:56:31.640 didn't

00:56:31.820 know

00:56:31.960 about

00:56:32.160 the

00:56:32.340 14

00:56:32.940 thing

00:56:33.340 did

00:56:34.640 you

00:56:34.880 now

00:56:36.240 or

00:56:37.820 his

00:56:37.980 brother

00:56:38.240 I

00:56:38.460 guess

00:56:38.640 yeah

00:56:38.860 that's

00:56:39.160 part

00:56:39.340 of

00:56:39.400 the

00:56:39.500 rumor

00:56:39.660 and

00:56:41.560 now

00:56:42.980 of course

00:56:43.420 things

00:56:43.800 were

00:56:43.980 different

00:56:44.280 back

00:56:44.520 then

00:56:44.780 people

00:56:45.380 were

00:56:45.540 getting

00:56:45.740 married

00:56:46.020 at

00:56:46.200 14

00:56:46.560 so

00:56:47.340 you

00:56:48.280 know

00:56:48.340 you

00:56:48.560 can't

00:56:48.840 use

00:56:49.060 today's

00:56:49.520 filter

00:56:49.840 to

00:56:50.160 look

00:56:50.560 at

00:56:50.700 any

00:56:50.860 of

00:56:50.960 this

00:56:51.060 stuff

00:56:51.280 but

00:56:52.280 if

00:56:54.200 you

00:56:54.380 had

00:56:54.540 known

00:56:54.880 that

00:56:55.280 someday

00:56:55.600 you'd

00:56:55.900 be

00:56:56.020 talking

00:56:56.340 about

00:56:56.600 44

00:56:57.060 year

00:56:57.420 old

00:56:57.680 Jefferson

00:56:58.160 having

00:56:59.560 sex

00:56:59.920 with

00:57:00.100 his

00:57:00.260 14

00:57:00.640 year

00:57:00.800 old

00:57:00.980 slave

00:57:01.460 who

00:57:01.800 obviously

00:57:02.320 consent

00:57:03.160 was not

00:57:03.680 even an

00:57:04.620 issue

00:57:04.860 in that

00:57:06.080 context

00:57:06.680 you probably

00:57:08.920 would not

00:57:09.340 have named

00:57:09.700 your building

00:57:10.160 after him

00:57:10.720 and I'm a

00:57:12.380 giant

00:57:12.740 fan of

00:57:14.320 Jefferson

00:57:15.620 for his

00:57:16.100 political

00:57:16.660 stuff

00:57:17.080 but

00:57:18.060 honestly

00:57:18.720 you probably

00:57:19.600 would not

00:57:20.200 name your

00:57:21.420 school

00:57:22.120 after

00:57:22.480 somebody

00:57:22.920 who

00:57:23.300 essentially

00:57:24.940 raped a

00:57:25.440 14

00:57:25.720 year old

00:57:26.020 slave

00:57:26.360 repeatedly

00:57:26.900 so

00:57:28.780 yeah

00:57:33.280 well

00:57:33.920 historically

00:57:34.820 I guess

00:57:35.220 the historians

00:57:35.740 think that's

00:57:36.340 true

00:57:36.540 and that

00:57:39.380 ladies and

00:57:39.880 gentlemen

00:57:40.160 is the

00:57:41.580 conclusion

00:57:42.000 of

00:57:42.540 the best

00:57:43.620 live stream

00:57:44.200 that has

00:57:45.120 ever existed

00:57:45.720 in the

00:57:46.620 history

00:57:46.980 of live

00:57:48.140 streams

00:57:48.460 I did

00:57:49.540 look at

00:57:49.940 the

00:57:50.180 project

00:57:51.000 Veritas

00:57:51.520 I didn't

00:57:52.080 listen to

00:57:52.460 the video

00:57:52.820 but I

00:57:53.240 saw a

00:57:55.120 write-up

00:57:55.500 of it

00:57:55.860 and I

00:57:57.540 didn't see

00:57:58.200 anything

00:57:58.640 in it

00:57:59.700 there was

00:58:00.340 nothing to

00:58:00.760 talk about

00:58:01.200 really

00:58:01.460 so it

00:58:03.680 looked like

00:58:04.100 it looked

00:58:04.780 like an

00:58:05.100 FDA

00:58:05.480 insider

00:58:06.580 believed

00:58:08.060 that the

00:58:08.920 administration

00:58:09.560 was making

00:58:10.260 money somehow

00:58:10.960 but didn't

00:58:11.640 have any

00:58:11.980 evidence

00:58:12.400 so

00:58:12.780 you know

00:58:13.700 allegations

00:58:14.220 without

00:58:14.600 evidence

00:58:15.040 don't

00:58:15.660 mean much

00:58:16.260 if there's

00:58:16.680 more to

00:58:17.020 it

00:58:17.260 let me

00:58:18.500 know

00:58:18.780 have I

00:58:23.060 ever been

00:58:23.480 invited to

00:58:24.220 an eyes

00:58:24.680 white

00:58:25.000 shut

00:58:25.260 style

00:58:25.620 party

00:58:26.000 have I

00:58:27.840 no I

00:58:29.360 don't

00:58:29.460 think I

00:58:29.700 have

00:58:29.880 your

00:58:33.060 overlords

00:58:33.680 told you

00:58:34.040 what to

00:58:34.280 say about

00:58:34.720 project

00:58:35.100 Veritas

00:58:35.560 is looking

00:58:39.260 backwards

00:58:39.660 and judging

00:58:40.200 worth it

00:58:41.000 well

00:58:41.700 the reason

00:58:42.940 you put

00:58:43.360 a real

00:58:44.500 person's

00:58:45.020 name on

00:58:45.420 your

00:58:45.560 building

00:58:45.920 is that

00:58:47.020 you think

00:58:47.380 the qualities

00:58:48.060 of that

00:58:48.620 real

00:58:48.840 person

00:58:49.260 are

00:58:50.900 admirable

00:58:52.100 that's why

00:58:53.340 you do

00:58:53.620 it

00:58:53.760 right

00:58:53.920 and if

00:58:54.840 you later

00:58:55.200 find out

00:58:55.660 that the

00:58:56.000 qualities

00:58:56.480 of that

00:58:56.880 person

00:58:57.160 were not

00:58:57.600 admirable

00:58:58.100 then the

00:58:58.620 reason for

00:58:59.120 using that

00:58:59.560 name

00:58:59.840 disappears

00:59:00.580 I'm not

00:59:02.580 sure that

00:59:02.940 it would

00:59:03.160 change them

00:59:03.740 at this

00:59:04.060 point

00:59:04.380 at this

00:59:05.700 point

00:59:05.900 maybe it's

00:59:06.320 just

00:59:06.620 better to

00:59:08.420 keep it

00:59:08.700 for historical

00:59:09.380 reasons

00:59:09.820 but

00:59:10.740 I could

00:59:12.380 imagine

00:59:12.760 if I

00:59:13.320 were a

00:59:13.520 member of

00:59:14.000 the

00:59:14.220 black

00:59:15.200 American

00:59:15.820 community

00:59:16.400 I would

00:59:17.480 say

00:59:17.800 let's

00:59:18.600 maybe not

00:59:19.460 keep this

00:59:20.060 maybe not

00:59:21.600 have this

00:59:22.100 insulting

00:59:22.960 stain on

00:59:25.140 our

00:59:25.360 republic

00:59:26.060 maybe not

00:59:27.340 I can see

00:59:28.140 that view

00:59:28.880 completely

00:59:29.680 how are the

00:59:30.860 drum lessons

00:59:31.340 going

00:59:31.780 I'm asked

00:59:32.480 I'll tell

00:59:33.440 you

00:59:33.700 is that a

00:59:37.620 coincidence

00:59:38.060 that somebody

00:59:38.840 asked me on

00:59:39.340 Locals about

00:59:40.060 my drum

00:59:40.520 lessons

00:59:40.880 and then

00:59:41.800 immediately

00:59:42.180 I looked

00:59:42.740 over at

00:59:43.280 YouTube

00:59:43.700 and there

00:59:44.240 was a

00:59:44.480 comment about

00:59:45.080 Dave Grohl

00:59:45.860 one of the

00:59:47.220 most famous

00:59:47.900 drummers

00:59:48.340 in the

00:59:48.560 world

00:59:48.780 that was

00:59:49.620 a coincidence

00:59:50.020 right

00:59:50.400 that was

00:59:50.900 weird

00:59:51.180 or was

00:59:53.000 the same

00:59:53.300 dude

00:59:53.560 I don't

00:59:55.580 know

00:59:55.720 anyway

00:59:56.040 looked like

00:59:56.660 a coincidence

00:59:57.080 so

00:59:59.520 the drumming

01:00:01.660 is fascinating

01:00:02.280 because one

01:00:02.840 of the reasons

01:00:03.200 I did it

01:00:03.700 is to

01:00:04.380 keep my

01:00:05.260 brain

01:00:05.520 active

01:00:05.880 you know

01:00:06.200 you reach

01:00:06.760 a certain

01:00:07.040 age and

01:00:07.440 you want

01:00:07.660 to keep

01:00:08.080 challenging

01:00:08.480 yourself

01:00:08.900 so that's

01:00:10.080 a big part

01:00:10.680 of it

01:00:11.360 but wow

01:00:13.220 I'm learning

01:00:13.780 a lot

01:00:14.580 about related

01:00:15.540 things

01:00:15.960 you know

01:00:16.260 I always

01:00:16.520 talk to you

01:00:16.880 about the

01:00:17.340 building a

01:00:17.900 talent stack

01:00:18.620 and if you

01:00:19.620 combine talents

01:00:20.560 that work well

01:00:21.260 with the other

01:00:21.740 talents

01:00:22.240 you come out

01:00:23.440 with more

01:00:23.840 than just

01:00:24.340 a group

01:00:25.240 of talents

01:00:25.820 they magnify

01:00:27.300 each other

01:00:27.760 and I was

01:00:29.320 looking for

01:00:29.960 whatever

01:00:30.720 like side

01:00:32.020 benefit

01:00:32.420 or

01:00:32.920 talent

01:00:34.400 you know

01:00:35.120 symbiosis

01:00:36.760 I could get

01:00:37.440 and I wasn't

01:00:37.940 sure what

01:00:38.300 I would find

01:00:39.920 but I'll tell

01:00:41.240 you drumming

01:00:41.860 and persuasion

01:00:42.960 are really

01:00:43.680 closely linked

01:00:44.820 because it's

01:00:46.580 the drum beat

01:00:47.200 that gets you

01:00:47.660 dancing

01:00:48.060 right

01:00:48.340 so literally

01:00:49.700 it makes you

01:00:50.160 move

01:00:50.520 that's persuasion

01:00:51.620 but also

01:00:52.720 why it persuades

01:00:53.700 is fascinating

01:00:54.440 the hell

01:00:54.800 enemy

01:00:55.080 you know

01:00:56.020 there's some

01:00:56.360 thought that

01:00:56.860 the drum beat

01:00:57.980 matches your

01:00:58.880 heartbeat

01:00:59.220 and so it

01:01:00.780 naturally just

01:01:01.560 you know

01:01:02.260 you just

01:01:03.040 tune to it

01:01:03.900 easily

01:01:04.320 I don't know

01:01:05.420 that that's the

01:01:05.980 reason

01:01:06.280 it might be

01:01:06.900 that might be

01:01:07.620 part of it

01:01:08.120 you know

01:01:12.820 it was really

01:01:13.200 weird

01:01:13.520 as I was

01:01:14.180 just thinking

01:01:14.740 yesterday

01:01:15.220 that a

01:01:16.600 an interesting

01:01:17.480 way to take

01:01:18.140 this podcast

01:01:18.960 because I was

01:01:19.660 thinking of

01:01:20.040 building a

01:01:20.760 professional

01:01:21.280 studio

01:01:21.820 you know

01:01:23.120 when I

01:01:23.360 when I

01:01:23.660 visited

01:01:23.980 and was

01:01:25.700 on Joe

01:01:26.100 Rogan's

01:01:26.500 show

01:01:26.660 before he

01:01:27.140 moved to

01:01:27.460 Austin

01:01:27.700 I was in

01:01:28.860 a professional

01:01:29.400 studio

01:01:29.840 that he

01:01:30.260 had built

01:01:30.640 and it

01:01:31.440 did make

01:01:31.820 me want

01:01:32.200 one

01:01:32.460 I have

01:01:32.920 to say

01:01:33.280 you know

01:01:33.600 I sat

01:01:33.860 there

01:01:33.980 and I

01:01:34.100 thought

01:01:34.200 you know

01:01:34.540 I wouldn't

01:01:35.540 mind having

01:01:36.060 a professional

01:01:36.740 studio

01:01:37.240 and I

01:01:38.280 thought

01:01:38.440 one of the

01:01:38.800 things to

01:01:39.180 do

01:01:39.460 would be

01:01:40.040 to have

01:01:40.880 a surprise

01:01:41.420 guest

01:01:42.000 right

01:01:43.440 so I

01:01:44.100 might

01:01:44.320 I was

01:01:45.560 I was

01:01:45.840 thinking of

01:01:46.140 this yesterday

01:01:46.580 which is

01:01:47.000 weird that

01:01:47.360 you mentioned

01:01:47.780 Dave Grohl

01:01:48.660 because I

01:01:49.520 thought to

01:01:49.820 myself

01:01:50.140 you know

01:01:50.820 I could

01:01:51.100 do a

01:01:51.680 do a

01:01:52.180 live stream

01:01:52.600 about drumming

01:01:53.420 about learning

01:01:54.240 to drum

01:01:54.760 and then I

01:01:55.780 say I got

01:01:56.320 a new

01:01:56.560 drumming

01:01:56.920 teacher

01:01:57.200 and then I

01:01:58.820 just introduce

01:01:59.440 him as

01:01:59.840 you know

01:02:00.200 my friend

01:02:01.200 Dave

01:02:01.600 and then

01:02:03.020 you just

01:02:03.580 have to know

01:02:04.040 it's Dave

01:02:04.500 Grohl

01:02:04.880 but I

01:02:05.700 would just

01:02:05.960 play it

01:02:06.300 off like

01:02:06.660 he's just

01:02:06.960 my drum

01:02:07.360 instructor

01:02:07.820 and it's

01:02:08.240 completely

01:02:08.660 normal

01:02:09.100 and then

01:02:11.300 when he

01:02:11.520 started

01:02:11.860 giving me

01:02:13.020 lessons

01:02:13.380 I'd be

01:02:13.720 like fighting

01:02:14.140 back and

01:02:14.640 telling him

01:02:14.960 he doesn't

01:02:15.280 know what

01:02:15.540 he's doing

01:02:15.940 so you

01:02:16.940 just play

01:02:17.400 it like

01:02:17.740 he's just

01:02:18.760 an instructor

01:02:19.360 but you

01:02:20.000 don't have

01:02:20.280 that much

01:02:20.640 respect for

01:02:21.240 him

01:02:21.480 I think

01:02:23.880 it would

01:02:24.060 be funny

01:02:24.480 now you

01:02:26.380 would have

01:02:26.640 to know

01:02:26.920 who he

01:02:27.260 is

01:02:27.600 and know

01:02:28.140 he's

01:02:28.520 America's

01:02:29.720 maybe top

01:02:30.540 drummer at

01:02:31.000 the moment

01:02:31.360 even though

01:02:32.940 he doesn't

01:02:33.300 drum which is

01:02:33.860 the funny

01:02:34.160 thing

01:02:34.420 considered

01:02:36.120 one of

01:02:36.440 the great

01:02:36.900 drummers in

01:02:37.380 America

01:02:37.700 so he

01:02:38.120 plays the

01:02:38.480 guitar

01:02:38.780 which is

01:02:41.020 baller

01:02:41.460 and it's

01:02:42.100 just by

01:02:42.860 itself

01:02:43.320 the fact

01:02:44.300 that you

01:02:44.560 could be

01:02:44.840 one of

01:02:45.100 the best

01:02:46.580 drummers of

01:02:47.180 all time

01:02:47.700 and then just

01:02:48.460 say you know

01:02:48.820 I think I'm a

01:02:49.420 guitar player

01:02:50.240 now

01:02:50.520 okay

01:02:51.280 all right

01:02:55.080 so I'll

01:02:56.480 tell you more

01:02:56.820 about drummer

01:02:57.320 drumming in

01:02:58.000 some late

01:02:58.600 night live

01:03:00.040 streams that

01:03:00.520 I do for

01:03:00.920 locals only

01:03:01.600 if you would

01:03:02.520 like to see

01:03:02.940 my occasional

01:03:03.800 late night

01:03:05.240 live streams

01:03:06.240 from the

01:03:06.700 man cave

01:03:07.200 that's what

01:03:08.100 the local

01:03:09.040 subscribers only

01:03:10.100 see

01:03:10.420 yes I said

01:03:12.180 baller

01:03:12.620 you don't

01:03:14.080 think he's a

01:03:14.560 top drummer

01:03:15.060 well everybody

01:03:17.000 else does

01:03:17.560 you know the

01:03:25.340 other thing

01:03:25.900 that just

01:03:26.520 happened

01:03:27.040 with

01:03:28.920 one of the

01:03:30.360 things that

01:03:30.660 fascinates me

01:03:31.260 about drumming

01:03:31.900 is how to

01:03:32.520 learn

01:03:32.800 so whenever

01:03:34.100 I'm learning

01:03:34.560 something I'm

01:03:35.240 always very

01:03:35.760 conscious about

01:03:36.560 how one

01:03:37.720 learns

01:03:38.180 and the

01:03:39.720 thing that

01:03:40.200 I couldn't

01:03:41.760 figure out

01:03:42.220 is how to

01:03:42.680 get like

01:03:43.880 four beats

01:03:44.640 in a row

01:03:45.200 versus six

01:03:46.940 versus eight

01:03:47.760 versus three

01:03:48.600 and to do

01:03:49.720 it without

01:03:50.080 counting

01:03:50.580 so to

01:03:52.460 to hit a

01:03:53.580 drum four

01:03:54.080 times quickly

01:03:54.820 without counting

01:03:56.300 the beats

01:03:56.780 but also to

01:03:58.160 be able to

01:03:58.520 do six

01:03:59.180 without counting

01:04:00.160 is like a

01:04:01.900 skill that you

01:04:02.600 just have to

01:04:03.080 hear it so

01:04:03.780 many times

01:04:04.500 that you know

01:04:05.740 it's four

01:04:06.240 without counting

01:04:07.020 and I only

01:04:08.540 just this week

01:04:09.920 reached that

01:04:10.440 point

01:04:10.800 just this week

01:04:12.600 for the first

01:04:13.120 time I can

01:04:14.360 say to myself

01:04:15.040 I want it to

01:04:15.800 be four

01:04:16.260 and then my

01:04:17.180 hands go

01:04:17.600 and it was

01:04:18.820 four

01:04:19.100 and there's

01:04:20.640 not a

01:04:21.220 conscious

01:04:21.580 counting

01:04:22.160 and then I

01:04:23.400 can play it

01:04:23.860 back and

01:04:24.280 sure enough

01:04:24.600 it was

01:04:24.840 four

01:04:25.080 so until

01:04:26.660 you get

01:04:26.980 to that

01:04:27.520 where your

01:04:28.260 brain is

01:04:28.760 counting

01:04:29.180 automatically

01:04:29.840 you can't

01:04:31.940 do a lot

01:04:32.380 of stuff

01:04:32.780 and I

01:04:33.600 didn't know

01:04:34.060 I didn't

01:04:35.300 know should

01:04:35.680 I be doing

01:04:36.280 a one

01:04:37.120 eanda

01:04:37.500 two eanda

01:04:38.200 which is the

01:04:38.700 way you

01:04:39.300 count when

01:04:39.660 you're learning

01:04:40.000 music

01:04:40.380 or should

01:04:41.420 you just

01:04:41.920 sort of

01:04:42.560 remember the

01:04:43.340 song and

01:04:44.080 do it from

01:04:44.480 memory or

01:04:45.820 is there

01:04:46.100 some other

01:04:46.460 trick or

01:04:46.980 is it the

01:04:47.280 way you're

01:04:47.820 you're beating

01:04:48.800 your your

01:04:49.900 foot or

01:04:51.700 what is it

01:04:52.820 okay and

01:05:01.400 we're good

01:05:01.840 and that is

01:05:04.920 all I have

01:05:05.460 for today

01:05:05.860 and I

01:05:08.520 think you'd

01:05:08.940 agree this

01:05:10.320 is probably

01:05:10.840 the best

01:05:11.240 live stream

01:05:11.860 you've ever

01:05:13.140 had and

01:05:14.900 you know

01:05:16.060 it's amazing

01:05:16.560 tomorrow

01:05:18.260 it's going

01:05:19.480 to be better

01:05:19.960 I know

01:05:20.920 I know

01:05:21.680 it's hard

01:05:22.160 to believe

01:05:22.540 but true

01:05:23.060 and we'll

01:05:25.180 see you

01:05:25.640 YouTube

01:05:26.000 tomorrow

01:05:26.760 you

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - February 20, 2022

Episode 1660 Scott Adams： Guessing What Putin Will Do, And Lots of Other Fun Stories Today

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