Real Coffee with Scott Adams - March 01, 2022


Episode 1669 Scott Adams： The Endgame in Ukraine Might Not Go The Way You Think


Episode Stats

Length

38 minutes

Words per Minute

137.31194

Word Count

5,272

Sentence Count

365

Misogynist Sentences

1

Hate Speech Sentences

21


Summary

Scott Adams is back with another episode of Coffee with Scott Adams, and this time, he's talking about the best thing that's happening in the whole damn world, and it's not even close to being as good as it is right now.


Transcript

00:00:00.560 Ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the only positive thing that's happening in the whole
00:00:06.720 damn world.
00:00:07.520 It's called Coffee with Scott Adams, and aren't the people who are not here missing it?
00:00:14.260 Probably.
00:00:15.700 People who are, you know, say on airplanes or whatever, for whatever reason, they couldn't
00:00:19.620 make you here, imagine how bad they feel, but not you.
00:00:24.080 You're a winner.
00:00:24.780 Today, you made it in time for the simultaneous sip, possibly in a recorded version.
00:00:30.840 Won't matter to you at all.
00:00:33.180 And now, can you join me in taking it up a notch, and all you need is a cup or mug or a glass
00:00:41.120 or a tank or a gel, a cyanide canteen jug or a flask, a vessel of any kind, fill it with
00:00:48.100 your favorite beverage, I like coffee, and join me now for the unparalleled pleasure
00:00:54.760 and the dopamine of the day thing that makes everything better.
00:00:57.040 It's called the simultaneous sip.
00:01:00.720 Go.
00:01:05.880 You know, no joke, this was one of the finest sips I've ever enjoyed in my entire life.
00:01:13.300 You would think to yourself, you know, there can't be one sip of coffee that's the best
00:01:20.200 one you've ever had, but then you enjoy it, and then suddenly you realize, I've been wrong
00:01:25.960 all of these years.
00:01:27.620 There would be one sip that would be the sip that bound them all.
00:01:32.800 The sip of all sips, the siptastic.
00:01:36.200 That's right.
00:01:37.520 And that was it.
00:01:38.200 I'm glad you could be here for it.
00:01:41.620 Well, did any of you see the, there's a clip from Saturday Night Live in which the cast
00:01:47.680 is sort of, I can't say mocking and masking within the same paragraph.
00:01:56.480 They're too close.
00:01:58.080 They were mocking the masking.
00:02:01.020 Yes, they were mocking masking.
00:02:02.200 It was a lot of masking mocking, as well as a booster, booster booing.
00:02:09.240 So there was booster booing, and although they weren't really booing them, they were
00:02:13.500 basically making fun of the social conundrum that people have when they just try to have
00:02:19.160 a social, a social event and somebody brings up any of the pandemic stuff.
00:02:24.240 And it was really good.
00:02:26.480 I have to, I have to commend them.
00:02:28.340 It was actually some of the best work.
00:02:29.920 Honestly, it was some of the best work I've seen on Saturday Night Live in their entire
00:02:35.480 run.
00:02:36.060 So take a look at that if you get a chance.
00:02:39.580 Did anybody notice any cyber attacks on any American-used websites today?
00:02:47.240 Or was it just my Wi-Fi was bad?
00:02:50.680 I was having troubles with Amazon.
00:02:54.060 No, no trouble.
00:02:56.060 I might have just had a local problem.
00:02:58.260 Okay.
00:02:59.220 Just me.
00:03:00.540 Just me.
00:03:01.720 Never mind.
00:03:03.620 Just, just rewind and forget that.
00:03:08.900 Amazon's working, but it was really slow this morning.
00:03:11.660 I wondered if it had some kind of denial of service problem.
00:03:14.540 But I guess we're all good.
00:03:16.120 So, yay.
00:03:17.220 California, and I guess a few other states like California, are going to lift their school
00:03:25.160 mask requirement after March 11th.
00:03:30.100 Because, as you know, I think there's at least one district in California that'll keep masking, and some of the schools, I think, can still decide to do it or not.
00:03:44.220 But for those of you who were worried we'd always be masked, and I think there were some, is there anybody who thought we would always be masked, just perpetually?
00:03:57.880 Did any of you?
00:03:59.940 Did any of you, some of you did, right?
00:04:01.900 Or at least you were worried about it.
00:04:03.880 I was never worried about that.
00:04:05.520 But, but I can actually see how you would be.
00:04:10.980 You know, in retrospect, in hindsight, as the masking does disappear, it's going to feel a little bit ridiculous that you ever thought it would be permanent.
00:04:23.180 On the other hand, to support your view, almost everything that's happened in the last two years has been ridiculous.
00:04:31.540 Am I right?
00:04:32.080 So when you say something that sounds ridiculous to my ears, which is that masks will be permanent even after the pandemic's over, to my ears, that just sounds ridiculous.
00:04:44.340 But you know what else sounds ridiculous?
00:04:46.720 Everything that happened in the last two years.
00:04:49.400 So there's just nothing that's too ridiculous anymore.
00:04:52.340 There's just nothing that's over the line.
00:04:54.720 You know, Putin going into Ukraine?
00:04:57.520 I didn't see it coming.
00:04:58.720 I mean, two years ago, that would seem a little ridiculous, I think.
00:05:03.840 Not to smart people.
00:05:05.080 Smart people saw it coming for 15 years.
00:05:07.540 But I was not among the smart on that topic, as it turns out.
00:05:11.620 Surprise.
00:05:13.440 All right.
00:05:14.740 Biden's going to give a State of the Union tonight.
00:05:16.860 What are we expecting from that?
00:05:20.000 Probably.
00:05:21.940 I don't want to get ahead of things, but
00:05:24.940 oratory genius, perhaps.
00:05:34.240 Soaring rhetoric.
00:05:39.400 Inspirational.
00:05:39.960 You know, I feel as if when I watch Biden speaking tonight,
00:05:46.140 my mind's eye will see eagles flying and freedom breaking out everywhere.
00:05:51.300 Because he's exactly the kind of leader you need in anxious times.
00:05:57.660 The kind of leader who inspires confidence.
00:06:00.800 In fact, one of the ways that you can know
00:06:02.880 that the man is squarely in charge of things is body language.
00:06:09.100 Body language says a lot.
00:06:12.080 A lot of people think body language is a pseudoscience, but not me.
00:06:16.160 Not me.
00:06:16.760 I can read into body language just like a fingerprint.
00:06:21.320 I can get certainty from body language.
00:06:24.080 In fact, yesterday there was a video that a lot of people were talking about
00:06:28.080 of Biden walking across the lawn to get to the helicopter.
00:06:33.740 And some people were making fun of the way he walked.
00:06:37.120 Now, I'm going to do an impression of the way he walked
00:06:39.520 just to show you that I think you're out of line a little bit.
00:06:44.000 It might be the simulation winking at us a little bit,
00:06:47.460 but nothing to worry about.
00:06:49.480 And now, without further ado,
00:06:53.620 I give you my impression of Biden walking.
00:06:57.200 If you'd like to be able to do this at home,
00:07:00.520 it's not very difficult.
00:07:03.040 What you want to do is you want to stretch first.
00:07:05.720 Stretch.
00:07:06.180 Stretching is important for everything,
00:07:07.780 not just Biden walking.
00:07:09.320 This, a little of that.
00:07:15.380 All right.
00:07:15.740 Now, you're ready for Biden walking.
00:07:17.800 You want to get into the mindset.
00:07:20.220 Okay?
00:07:20.700 Now, remember, Biden is thin and lanky.
00:07:24.660 So, get yourself into your thin and lanky.
00:07:28.620 Thin and lanky.
00:07:30.400 All right.
00:07:31.340 Now, you're stretched.
00:07:32.480 You've got your thin and lanky on.
00:07:33.900 Now, the last part is important.
00:07:35.260 Imagine that you're a marionette,
00:07:38.200 sort of like Pinocchio,
00:07:40.040 and you've got a string attached to your knees
00:07:42.360 and also to your arms.
00:07:45.320 And so, when you walk,
00:07:46.880 you want the string to be picking up your...
00:07:49.260 So, let's see.
00:07:52.500 The Biden walk.
00:07:54.580 Just imagine that you've got marionette strings.
00:07:56.720 And it goes like this.
00:08:05.920 Oh, oh, I didn't stretch enough.
00:08:08.960 Didn't stretch enough.
00:08:13.600 Okay, I'm okay now.
00:08:18.060 So, there's a name for that walk.
00:08:23.360 In the medical literature,
00:08:28.600 I think there are at least two different names for it
00:08:30.560 in the medical literature.
00:08:33.000 One of them is Inspires Confidence.
00:08:37.160 That's actually the medical name for it.
00:08:38.900 Inspires Confidence.
00:08:41.120 And Leadership.
00:08:43.800 Leadership.
00:08:46.500 All right.
00:08:46.940 So, here's a mystery,
00:08:51.100 which is probably because of the fog of war.
00:08:53.840 And the mystery has to do with Ukraine
00:08:55.520 and the Soviet...
00:08:58.280 Soviet.
00:08:59.780 Whoops.
00:09:01.240 Not Soviet.
00:09:02.840 The Russian invasion of Ukraine.
00:09:07.720 And how is it that there could be
00:09:09.580 a 40-mile-long convoy
00:09:12.700 of heavy military equipment and troops
00:09:15.540 40 miles long
00:09:17.420 on an unprotected highway
00:09:20.480 heading straight for Kiev?
00:09:25.220 How do you explain that?
00:09:27.020 Somebody says four miles,
00:09:28.360 but I did read 40.
00:09:30.200 I did read 40.
00:09:31.820 I'm sure of it.
00:09:34.700 Well, let me propose
00:09:37.260 two possibilities.
00:09:39.260 Number one,
00:09:42.100 Russia already has
00:09:43.280 complete air superiority
00:09:44.840 or almost complete.
00:09:47.500 You'd need that, right?
00:09:48.680 Otherwise, you would see
00:09:49.480 lots of attacks already
00:09:50.620 on the convoy.
00:09:51.780 Or at least they try to blow up
00:09:53.220 the front of the convoy.
00:09:55.760 At least slow them down, right?
00:09:56.980 But you're not even seeing
00:09:58.060 attacks on the front.
00:10:00.400 It's as if no attack is happening.
00:10:03.660 Now, how do you explain that?
00:10:06.180 Like I said,
00:10:06.780 the number one explanation
00:10:08.940 would be Russia already
00:10:10.040 has complete air superiority.
00:10:12.260 The convoy itself
00:10:13.340 has anti-aircraft capabilities.
00:10:17.180 They probably have
00:10:18.020 an umbrella of their own aircraft.
00:10:20.560 They've got radar.
00:10:21.860 They've got electronic jamming
00:10:23.220 for drones.
00:10:24.420 They probably have
00:10:25.200 everything you could possibly have
00:10:27.160 for defending itself.
00:10:29.760 And maybe that's all they needed.
00:10:32.820 And they can just go in
00:10:33.760 with impunity.
00:10:34.380 Because wherever you've seen
00:10:36.120 the losses,
00:10:37.760 wherever the Ukrainians
00:10:39.020 got some advantage,
00:10:40.600 they were usually
00:10:41.440 lightly, lightly armed, right?
00:10:44.240 They were up against
00:10:45.220 sort of sitting duck,
00:10:48.300 weak kind of forces,
00:10:50.660 low-end tanks.
00:10:52.340 So the Ukrainians got,
00:10:53.480 the Ukrainians' resistance
00:10:55.000 got, you know,
00:10:56.840 all kinds of, we think,
00:10:58.920 good results against
00:10:59.920 weak elements of the Russian army.
00:11:01.820 But if they pull it all together,
00:11:04.020 can they just completely
00:11:04.940 control the air
00:11:05.780 around where they are anyway?
00:11:08.260 Maybe.
00:11:09.320 I mean, it seems
00:11:09.940 reasonably likely, right?
00:11:11.940 So that's one explanation.
00:11:14.400 The other explanation
00:11:15.740 is way more interesting.
00:11:17.980 And I'll put this
00:11:18.720 in the context of
00:11:19.860 it doesn't seem like
00:11:21.780 anything predictable
00:11:22.640 ever happens anymore,
00:11:23.780 does it?
00:11:26.000 Well, let me say that again.
00:11:27.420 It doesn't seem as if
00:11:29.660 anything that's predictable
00:11:31.780 actually ever happens anymore.
00:11:33.900 It's like whatever
00:11:34.500 you can't predict
00:11:35.380 is the thing that happens.
00:11:37.420 So what would be a thing
00:11:38.600 that would be
00:11:40.320 not predictable,
00:11:42.700 yet consistent
00:11:44.680 with everything
00:11:46.220 we've seen up to now?
00:11:47.560 See, that's the trick.
00:11:48.960 Come up with something
00:11:49.940 that's not predictable,
00:11:51.600 but would also be
00:11:52.900 completely consistent
00:11:54.080 with everything we know
00:11:55.300 about the situation so far.
00:11:57.420 And it goes like this.
00:12:00.540 It's a trap.
00:12:02.460 And it's not just
00:12:03.620 a little trap.
00:12:05.220 It's a decapitation strike
00:12:07.040 against Putin.
00:12:09.780 And I think
00:12:10.780 that if you think
00:12:13.020 that Zelensky
00:12:13.860 is performing
00:12:16.760 better than you thought,
00:12:18.780 were you surprised?
00:12:20.600 And why were you surprised?
00:12:23.000 Because he did make it
00:12:24.220 to the, you know,
00:12:25.160 he made it to the presidency.
00:12:26.260 So you don't make it
00:12:27.580 to the presidency
00:12:28.180 without some skill, right?
00:12:30.100 Some intelligence.
00:12:31.800 But then you say to yourself,
00:12:32.900 well, but really
00:12:33.520 he's a humorist
00:12:35.220 and an entertainer.
00:12:36.680 And maybe that was
00:12:37.640 the only skill
00:12:38.240 that got him elected.
00:12:39.300 Maybe he doesn't
00:12:40.100 have any depth.
00:12:42.280 But did you know
00:12:44.280 it's not really easy
00:12:45.300 to succeed in entertainment?
00:12:47.300 I don't know
00:12:48.440 if anybody ever
00:12:49.040 told you that,
00:12:49.700 but if you look
00:12:52.200 at my profession,
00:12:53.080 for example,
00:12:54.380 there are a lot of people
00:12:55.060 who are cartoonists
00:12:56.020 who, if a cartoonist
00:12:58.100 speaks out
00:12:58.620 on any topic
00:12:59.640 that's not cartooning,
00:13:01.860 the public immediately
00:13:03.240 says,
00:13:03.820 well, cartoonist, right?
00:13:06.580 I mean, you've seen it
00:13:07.240 with me a million times.
00:13:08.560 But how many
00:13:10.260 of my cartoonist friends
00:13:11.480 have advanced degrees,
00:13:13.680 for example?
00:13:14.120 Some of the top cartoonists
00:13:16.300 are literally trained
00:13:18.660 in physics.
00:13:21.560 Some have law degrees
00:13:23.600 from top schools.
00:13:25.920 Some of them are,
00:13:27.200 you know,
00:13:27.600 Ivy League graduates,
00:13:29.280 et cetera.
00:13:30.500 I've got advanced degrees.
00:13:33.400 So it's actually
00:13:34.820 fairly common
00:13:35.680 for people in the
00:13:36.920 entertainment industry
00:13:38.140 to also be smart.
00:13:40.160 Not all of them.
00:13:41.640 I'm not saying
00:13:42.160 that cartoonists
00:13:42.920 are smarter than the average
00:13:43.980 or anything like that.
00:13:45.200 I'm just saying
00:13:45.900 that it's not unusual
00:13:47.120 for somebody to be
00:13:48.040 in the entertainment field
00:13:49.040 and also be bright.
00:13:51.140 It can happen.
00:13:52.460 I mean, it can happen.
00:13:53.820 But the bias
00:13:54.720 about anybody
00:13:56.080 in entertainment
00:13:56.720 is that they can't
00:13:58.160 go too deep.
00:13:59.520 Now, do a fact check
00:14:00.740 on me.
00:14:01.920 Wasn't Zelensky's father
00:14:03.820 a military guy?
00:14:06.080 Was he a general?
00:14:07.420 I may have that part wrong.
00:14:09.960 But his father
00:14:10.540 was a military guy, right?
00:14:11.840 And somebody
00:14:16.900 will confirm that
00:14:17.600 in a moment,
00:14:18.060 but I think he was.
00:14:19.980 Or a grandfather?
00:14:22.320 Somebody's saying colonel.
00:14:23.700 Anyway, he has
00:14:24.280 some military genes
00:14:27.080 and influence.
00:14:28.820 Now, were you surprised
00:14:30.980 that he's done
00:14:32.020 as well as he's done
00:14:33.080 so far?
00:14:34.600 Probably yes, right?
00:14:36.180 So in terms of the marks
00:14:38.160 he's getting from the world
00:14:39.460 in handling the attack,
00:14:42.400 he's getting pretty high marks.
00:14:49.020 All right.
00:14:50.340 So here's what could be happening.
00:14:54.580 And I'm going to do
00:14:55.560 some speculating here
00:14:56.600 and then people who know
00:14:57.540 what they're talking about
00:14:58.400 will correct me, okay?
00:14:59.380 What would be the easiest way
00:15:01.620 to attack a bunch of troops?
00:15:04.600 Like a full army,
00:15:06.500 an invasion army,
00:15:07.580 where would you have
00:15:09.380 the best advantage
00:15:10.380 for attacking them?
00:15:12.160 Well, it depends on
00:15:13.160 what weapons you have, right?
00:15:15.080 If you have lots of weapons,
00:15:17.080 maybe the best way
00:15:18.020 to attack them
00:15:18.700 is when they're in convoy form.
00:15:20.760 They're lined up.
00:15:22.160 In theory,
00:15:23.340 and I was hearing from people
00:15:25.000 who know more than I do
00:15:25.940 yesterday,
00:15:26.980 about how you would
00:15:27.800 attack a convoy.
00:15:29.640 Some people said
00:15:30.560 you attack the front
00:15:32.540 and that gets you
00:15:35.920 pretty much what you want
00:15:37.180 because it's hard
00:15:37.720 for them to back up.
00:15:39.180 Some people said
00:15:40.120 you attack the front
00:15:40.960 and the back
00:15:41.780 and then trap them
00:15:43.440 and then pick them off.
00:15:44.860 But that only works
00:15:46.160 if you have
00:15:47.460 really good weapons
00:15:48.980 on the other side.
00:15:51.780 If you're attacking
00:15:53.580 a big convoy
00:15:54.660 with not enough people
00:15:56.720 and weapons,
00:15:57.900 the convoy can still be you
00:15:59.440 because it's still bigger
00:16:00.260 than you are, right?
00:16:01.640 So the strategy you use
00:16:04.600 depends on what weapons
00:16:05.640 you have
00:16:06.100 and how big you are
00:16:08.200 and how capable
00:16:09.500 your military is
00:16:10.440 compared to the convoy.
00:16:11.940 Does that make sense?
00:16:13.180 So it's not like
00:16:13.920 there's one strategy.
00:16:15.740 There's a different strategy
00:16:17.200 depending on the terrain,
00:16:19.620 the strength of the convoy,
00:16:21.440 what they have there
00:16:22.320 compared to you,
00:16:23.320 the distance they're going
00:16:24.140 to travel,
00:16:24.780 you know,
00:16:24.960 all those variables.
00:16:27.860 The smartest person
00:16:29.280 who answered the question
00:16:30.380 based on the fact
00:16:31.920 that it sounded right to me.
00:16:33.760 That's the only way
00:16:34.540 I'd judge it.
00:16:35.580 The smartest person said
00:16:36.840 you just take out
00:16:38.220 the fuel trucks.
00:16:41.520 That's it.
00:16:42.840 You just take out
00:16:43.560 the fuel trucks
00:16:44.280 and let them run.
00:16:46.120 And if you see
00:16:46.720 another fuel truck coming,
00:16:47.880 you take that one out.
00:16:49.520 Because if you take out
00:16:50.580 their fuel,
00:16:51.960 how long can a tank
00:16:54.460 go without fuel?
00:16:55.380 So if the distance
00:16:57.700 is long enough,
00:16:58.540 you just have to
00:16:59.040 take out their supply line
00:17:00.160 and just let them
00:17:01.340 bleed themselves
00:17:02.000 and then you attack
00:17:02.940 when they're out of fuel.
00:17:05.220 Now, again,
00:17:06.240 there are a million variables,
00:17:07.520 so there's no one
00:17:08.420 right answer.
00:17:09.800 But here's what I think.
00:17:12.620 If you have
00:17:13.640 limited size military
00:17:15.640 compared to your opponents,
00:17:19.260 and that's the case, right?
00:17:20.660 The Ukrainian resistance
00:17:21.760 is smallish
00:17:22.600 compared to the Russians.
00:17:23.980 But you had access
00:17:27.120 to the most advanced weapons.
00:17:31.040 Do you think Ukraine
00:17:32.080 has access to,
00:17:33.740 as of today,
00:17:35.960 the most advanced
00:17:37.080 normal weapons?
00:17:38.640 Obviously not nukes
00:17:39.840 or weapons of mass destruction.
00:17:41.540 But do you think
00:17:42.100 they have the most
00:17:42.800 advanced traditional weapons?
00:17:47.440 Probably.
00:17:48.700 Probably some NATO country
00:17:50.300 has said,
00:17:51.360 you know,
00:17:51.660 we wouldn't normally
00:17:53.040 sell you this stuff,
00:17:54.680 but we'll sell it
00:17:55.680 to you today.
00:17:59.020 So we don't know this.
00:18:00.760 And if you think
00:18:01.920 that we wouldn't provide
00:18:02.940 the weaponry
00:18:03.980 for lots of good reasons,
00:18:06.220 you might be right.
00:18:07.520 But let's just take this,
00:18:08.940 let's just game this out.
00:18:11.660 There is a kind of munitions,
00:18:14.040 and people who know
00:18:14.800 more than I do
00:18:15.500 can now fill in some blanks.
00:18:17.600 There is a kind of missile,
00:18:18.740 I believe,
00:18:20.200 I think it's a missile,
00:18:21.680 that you can shoo over
00:18:22.680 a battlefield
00:18:23.220 that's full of tanks.
00:18:25.260 So let's say the enemy
00:18:26.180 has amassed
00:18:26.960 a cluster of tanks.
00:18:29.140 There is one kind of missile
00:18:30.500 that can separate
00:18:33.480 above the tanks
00:18:34.640 into lots of different
00:18:36.620 kinetic elements
00:18:39.160 and just destroy
00:18:41.020 the entire battlefield
00:18:42.060 full of tanks
00:18:43.020 all at once
00:18:43.780 with one missile.
00:18:44.600 Now, would that be
00:18:46.780 as effective
00:18:47.540 on a convoy?
00:18:50.740 Well, it would do
00:18:51.540 a lot of damage
00:18:52.160 to a convoy,
00:18:53.500 but the convoy
00:18:54.220 is too spread out.
00:18:56.280 My assumption is
00:18:57.560 that they're going
00:18:58.240 to mass their forces
00:18:59.520 around Kiev.
00:19:01.840 So is it true
00:19:03.140 that at some point
00:19:03.980 the tanks will be clustered
00:19:05.440 or clustered-ish?
00:19:09.840 Maybe.
00:19:11.200 So it could be
00:19:12.160 that all that's happening
00:19:13.700 right now
00:19:14.200 is that Ukraine
00:19:16.000 is cleverly letting
00:19:17.240 their entire army in
00:19:18.540 until they cluster.
00:19:21.520 And then they just
00:19:22.280 take them all out
00:19:22.960 at once.
00:19:25.740 Now, question number one.
00:19:28.340 If the United States
00:19:29.520 was fighting this war
00:19:31.920 with our own military
00:19:32.880 and our own weapons,
00:19:34.420 would the United States
00:19:35.880 have weapons
00:19:37.180 that could take out
00:19:38.640 an entire battlefield
00:19:39.640 with the right kind
00:19:41.220 of missiles?
00:19:42.140 Yes or no?
00:19:42.800 Would the United States
00:19:44.460 have that weaponry
00:19:45.340 just for ourselves?
00:19:50.060 I'm seeing lots
00:19:50.980 of yeses, right?
00:19:52.400 Now, if you go to YouTube,
00:19:53.540 you can actually see
00:19:54.200 a demonstration
00:19:54.680 of the actual weapon.
00:19:56.420 I'm not inventing this.
00:19:59.580 I didn't make this up.
00:20:01.380 That's an actual missile,
00:20:03.140 right?
00:20:04.840 And there's a name for it.
00:20:06.740 Somebody will tell me
00:20:08.860 the name for it.
00:20:09.340 But basically,
00:20:10.200 it's one missile
00:20:10.820 that breaks into
00:20:11.660 a bunch of little missiles
00:20:13.100 that just spread havoc
00:20:15.260 and destroy tanks
00:20:16.400 for, you know,
00:20:17.640 a very large perimeter.
00:20:19.860 Now,
00:20:20.900 let's take it all the way.
00:20:22.500 If you thought
00:20:23.300 that Zelensky
00:20:24.880 was fighting
00:20:26.380 to not lose,
00:20:28.600 you should be ashamed
00:20:30.180 of yourself.
00:20:30.660 because has Zelensky
00:20:33.580 demonstrated
00:20:34.420 that he would fight
00:20:36.600 to not lose?
00:20:39.040 I don't think he has.
00:20:41.000 I think he's demonstrated
00:20:42.260 he fights to win.
00:20:44.000 And winning,
00:20:44.740 in this case,
00:20:45.280 is taking Putin out.
00:20:46.920 Winning is not surviving.
00:20:49.320 Winning is not surviving.
00:20:51.140 Winning is taking Putin out.
00:20:52.260 If,
00:20:54.840 if,
00:20:55.420 and this is a gigantic if,
00:20:57.840 because the most likely thing
00:20:59.540 is that Russia's army
00:21:00.600 is superior
00:21:01.500 and it's going to do
00:21:02.280 whatever it wants.
00:21:03.340 That's the most likely possibility.
00:21:05.720 But since we live
00:21:06.680 in an unlikely world,
00:21:08.000 I'm just going to put this out here.
00:21:09.860 If NATO has provided
00:21:11.500 certain types of weapons
00:21:12.800 to Ukraine,
00:21:15.260 those weapons
00:21:16.280 could largely destroy
00:21:18.020 the biggest part
00:21:19.860 of the Russian invasion army
00:21:21.260 in 48 hours.
00:21:25.040 And then what happens
00:21:26.240 to Putin?
00:21:28.940 Because at that point,
00:21:30.000 the Russian public says,
00:21:31.080 wait a minute,
00:21:31.960 you not only started a war,
00:21:33.440 but you lost it?
00:21:35.840 That's what it looked like.
00:21:37.280 You not only started a war,
00:21:39.180 because remember,
00:21:40.260 Putin is playing,
00:21:41.120 I think,
00:21:42.560 I think he's,
00:21:43.400 it's a life and death
00:21:44.440 game for him.
00:21:45.200 I think Putin knows
00:21:47.120 that if he loses the war,
00:21:48.820 which I imagine he thought
00:21:49.900 would be unthinkable,
00:21:51.260 if he loses,
00:21:52.840 I don't know if he can hold power.
00:21:56.140 You know,
00:21:56.560 I think some internal coup
00:21:58.660 would probably take him out
00:21:59.700 at that point.
00:22:01.240 So,
00:22:01.860 do not rule out
00:22:04.060 the possibility
00:22:04.800 that Zelensky
00:22:06.440 is playing the same game
00:22:08.240 Putin is,
00:22:08.940 which is a decapitation strike.
00:22:10.920 But the way Zelensky would do it
00:22:12.980 is surprisingly,
00:22:15.240 with unusually good weapons,
00:22:18.660 take out the entire
00:22:19.600 Russian invasion force
00:22:20.960 in 48 hours.
00:22:22.700 And that might happen this week.
00:22:26.360 Now,
00:22:26.760 again,
00:22:28.260 again,
00:22:29.800 it's not the most likely.
00:22:33.380 If we were just to game it out
00:22:34.940 based on common sense
00:22:36.080 and,
00:22:36.360 you know,
00:22:37.080 ordinary military assumptions,
00:22:38.960 you would just say,
00:22:39.640 well,
00:22:40.020 the gigantic army
00:22:41.600 is going to beat
00:22:42.140 the smaller army,
00:22:43.360 at least in Kiev.
00:22:45.160 I mean,
00:22:45.540 if the only thing
00:22:46.840 they're trying to do
00:22:47.460 is take over the capital,
00:22:49.460 you would bet on Russia
00:22:50.660 in the long run.
00:22:52.620 I mean,
00:22:52.880 they might level it
00:22:53.700 to do it,
00:22:54.320 but you'd bet on them.
00:22:56.360 Right?
00:22:56.540 And somebody's saying,
00:23:02.800 could we do
00:23:03.300 any of those things
00:23:03.960 without air superiority?
00:23:05.880 I would think
00:23:06.540 that those missiles
00:23:07.440 that destroy
00:23:08.240 all the tanks
00:23:09.020 in the zone,
00:23:11.120 probably,
00:23:12.480 if you shot enough of them,
00:23:14.740 it's going to get past
00:23:15.980 any air defense.
00:23:20.000 I would think.
00:23:21.660 All right,
00:23:21.980 so that's the biggest question to me.
00:23:23.640 At the very least,
00:23:25.220 our,
00:23:25.400 I guess the alternative
00:23:27.280 to that is that
00:23:28.400 the reporting
00:23:29.600 is all wrong
00:23:30.400 or at a date.
00:23:33.340 If,
00:23:34.060 wake up people,
00:23:35.820 Russia is defending itself,
00:23:37.560 says Chuck Haney.
00:23:40.900 Wake up people,
00:23:42.100 Russia is defending itself.
00:23:44.620 Okay,
00:23:44.960 that's what's happening.
00:23:46.660 Chuck.
00:23:48.380 All right.
00:23:51.980 Consider the success
00:23:53.160 of the colonies
00:23:53.840 against the British.
00:23:54.800 Yeah,
00:23:55.000 I mean,
00:23:55.400 every analogy fails
00:23:57.160 because that would be
00:23:58.120 the last war,
00:23:58.960 right?
00:23:59.640 We don't know
00:24:00.340 what's going to happen
00:24:00.880 in the next one
00:24:01.700 or even this one.
00:24:07.180 You know,
00:24:07.780 I keep thinking
00:24:08.400 that Putin
00:24:09.740 will someday
00:24:10.360 be called
00:24:10.820 the dumbass
00:24:13.120 of the Donbass.
00:24:14.560 I just feel like
00:24:15.380 somebody is going to be
00:24:16.120 called the dumbass
00:24:16.920 of the Donbass.
00:24:18.420 It doesn't quite make sense,
00:24:19.660 but I like how it sounds.
00:24:21.200 Well,
00:24:22.340 the financial restrictions
00:24:25.380 are in place
00:24:26.320 and Russia
00:24:27.600 is going to have
00:24:28.080 a tough time.
00:24:29.640 JP Morgan
00:24:30.200 thinks that their economy,
00:24:31.680 Russian economy,
00:24:32.360 might contract
00:24:33.000 20%
00:24:33.780 quarter over quarter.
00:24:34.840 But they also say
00:24:37.560 there's gigantic
00:24:38.380 variability.
00:24:39.660 It's not predictable.
00:24:42.100 So how would you like
00:24:43.260 to be a Russian citizen
00:24:44.380 who has been
00:24:45.680 completely cut off
00:24:46.740 from the news,
00:24:47.720 or at least
00:24:48.120 accurate news,
00:24:49.340 maybe just like us.
00:24:50.600 We don't know.
00:24:51.840 We don't know
00:24:52.480 if it's worse,
00:24:53.160 frankly.
00:24:55.960 And suddenly
00:24:56.780 your economy
00:24:57.500 is tanking,
00:24:58.660 and you do notice
00:24:59.480 that,
00:25:00.060 and you can't get
00:25:01.320 cash from your bank,
00:25:02.260 and you do notice
00:25:03.000 that.
00:25:04.520 Are you going to
00:25:05.360 start asking
00:25:06.000 some questions?
00:25:08.060 Will the Russian
00:25:09.220 public rapidly
00:25:10.720 educate itself?
00:25:12.700 Because they have
00:25:13.600 access, right?
00:25:14.720 They have access
00:25:15.340 to the internet.
00:25:16.240 Not everything
00:25:16.800 is banned.
00:25:19.140 So will the Russian
00:25:20.560 public figure out
00:25:21.420 what's going on here
00:25:22.220 like really quickly?
00:25:24.600 Because the only way
00:25:25.780 we can talk to the
00:25:26.840 public in Russia
00:25:27.640 is through the economy,
00:25:28.800 isn't it?
00:25:29.540 I feel like we found
00:25:30.820 a way to communicate
00:25:31.720 with the Russian
00:25:32.960 public through
00:25:34.720 interest rates
00:25:35.460 and inflation.
00:25:37.480 It's like,
00:25:37.860 hey,
00:25:38.880 read the inflation.
00:25:40.280 We're sending you
00:25:41.020 a little message here.
00:25:42.180 Hey,
00:25:42.520 why does my vodka
00:25:43.980 cost so much
00:25:44.700 this week?
00:25:45.780 Hmm?
00:25:46.160 Well,
00:25:46.600 maybe somebody's
00:25:47.320 sending you a message
00:25:48.140 because you can't
00:25:48.980 get it the normal way.
00:25:50.500 I also wonder,
00:25:52.680 in a world in which
00:25:53.880 everybody can communicate,
00:25:56.600 I'm not wrong
00:25:58.200 that I can pick up
00:25:59.020 a phone and call
00:25:59.840 anybody in Russia
00:26:00.760 that I want to,
00:26:01.440 right?
00:26:03.260 I'm not wrong
00:26:04.040 about that,
00:26:04.680 am I?
00:26:05.500 Don't phones
00:26:06.700 connect to Russia?
00:26:10.780 And it makes me wonder,
00:26:12.000 at what point
00:26:12.700 could people
00:26:14.360 in the United States
00:26:15.340 or Ukraine
00:26:16.580 or any place else
00:26:17.380 just start calling
00:26:18.940 Russian citizens?
00:26:20.980 You know,
00:26:21.180 I guess we can't
00:26:21.880 speak the language
00:26:22.480 so it would be
00:26:22.880 a problem.
00:26:23.740 But,
00:26:24.520 you know,
00:26:24.800 isn't the information
00:26:26.540 getting through
00:26:27.120 just by family members
00:26:28.760 who live in other countries?
00:26:29.940 I feel like
00:26:31.320 the information
00:26:31.880 would be getting
00:26:32.400 through by now.
00:26:33.920 And,
00:26:34.220 you know,
00:26:34.640 they wouldn't have
00:26:35.100 enough,
00:26:35.980 the Russian public
00:26:36.860 wouldn't care enough
00:26:37.980 until it starts
00:26:39.420 costing them money
00:26:40.400 and that started
00:26:41.580 today,
00:26:42.000 I guess.
00:26:44.060 Ish.
00:26:45.820 Shell Oil
00:26:46.540 is pulling out
00:26:47.200 of a Russia deal
00:26:47.940 with Gazprom.
00:26:49.800 Crypto is rising
00:26:50.900 because the Russians
00:26:51.800 are starting to put
00:26:52.700 money in crypto
00:26:53.360 to protect it.
00:26:54.480 their interest rates
00:26:57.060 are up.
00:26:58.240 So we don't know
00:26:59.180 how long we can
00:27:00.060 sustain this,
00:27:03.240 but
00:27:03.460 Putin really has
00:27:05.780 a timing problem
00:27:07.020 now,
00:27:07.340 doesn't he?
00:27:08.820 There is a theoretical
00:27:10.220 amount of time
00:27:11.340 that Ukraine
00:27:12.060 could hold out
00:27:13.720 that would end
00:27:15.800 Putin,
00:27:16.540 wouldn't it?
00:27:17.100 Because it would
00:27:17.640 just be too much
00:27:18.300 of a strain
00:27:18.760 on the Russian economy.
00:27:21.420 So it seems to me
00:27:22.520 that there's going
00:27:23.020 to be some Russian
00:27:23.800 leader who says,
00:27:24.880 look,
00:27:25.260 hey world,
00:27:26.140 if you'll take
00:27:26.780 the sanctions off,
00:27:28.660 we'll get rid of
00:27:29.420 Putin and we'll
00:27:31.300 get out of Ukraine.
00:27:32.920 There's probably,
00:27:34.080 I would bet you
00:27:34.940 there's some
00:27:35.580 oligarch
00:27:36.280 or Russian
00:27:37.840 military person
00:27:38.780 who's already
00:27:40.020 having conversations
00:27:41.000 with NATO
00:27:41.760 or the United States
00:27:42.900 saying,
00:27:44.260 hypothetically,
00:27:45.520 I'm just going
00:27:46.640 to float this idea.
00:27:48.800 If something
00:27:49.800 were to happen
00:27:50.560 to Putin,
00:27:52.200 say,
00:27:52.840 falling down
00:27:53.480 the stairs
00:27:53.980 and hypothetically,
00:27:57.360 my friend
00:27:58.800 Alex and I
00:28:01.560 became the new
00:28:02.940 heads of Russia,
00:28:04.500 just theoretically,
00:28:06.160 hypothetically,
00:28:07.220 just spitballing here,
00:28:08.820 would that work out
00:28:09.720 for you guys?
00:28:11.180 Would you drop
00:28:12.140 the sanctions?
00:28:13.420 I feel as if
00:28:14.380 somebody's going
00:28:15.020 to make that
00:28:15.440 conversation.
00:28:17.040 Because do you
00:28:18.460 think that Putin
00:28:19.080 is the only person
00:28:19.880 in Russia
00:28:20.240 who had ambitions
00:28:21.100 for power?
00:28:23.080 I doubt it.
00:28:24.560 There must be
00:28:25.140 a few people
00:28:25.660 over there
00:28:26.020 who want some
00:28:26.460 power.
00:28:27.920 All it would
00:28:28.560 take is one
00:28:29.220 of them
00:28:29.440 talking to
00:28:29.980 somebody
00:28:30.460 in the CIA
00:28:32.020 and saying,
00:28:33.440 look,
00:28:33.840 if you'll agree
00:28:34.760 to these things,
00:28:35.620 I'll agree
00:28:35.980 to take him out.
00:28:37.280 You've just
00:28:37.840 got to cover
00:28:38.320 my ass
00:28:38.940 once I take
00:28:40.280 him out
00:28:40.600 because all
00:28:40.980 hell's going
00:28:41.360 to break this.
00:28:43.220 You know
00:28:43.840 that conversation
00:28:44.540 is happening.
00:28:45.420 It's got to be.
00:28:45.960 All right.
00:28:51.500 If Putin
00:28:52.320 were to
00:28:53.040 hold Ukraine,
00:28:56.180 you know,
00:28:56.440 conquer it
00:28:57.020 and hold it
00:28:57.600 in some
00:28:58.140 purely military
00:28:59.560 fashion,
00:29:00.740 how long
00:29:01.920 could he do
00:29:02.360 it?
00:29:04.000 So imagine
00:29:05.600 the Russian
00:29:06.160 economy being
00:29:07.660 on the ropes
00:29:08.420 and then
00:29:09.600 in addition
00:29:10.360 to that,
00:29:11.460 he got himself
00:29:12.420 into a second
00:29:13.140 Afghanistan.
00:29:13.820 Yeah?
00:29:16.840 See,
00:29:17.420 here's the
00:29:17.800 problem.
00:29:19.160 Putin is
00:29:19.820 thinking about
00:29:20.900 the birth
00:29:24.300 of the
00:29:24.680 Soviet Union.
00:29:26.700 Putin is
00:29:27.500 thinking about
00:29:28.140 the part
00:29:29.160 of Russian
00:29:29.600 history,
00:29:30.520 sounds like
00:29:31.540 it's a little
00:29:31.860 bit cyclical,
00:29:33.200 where they're
00:29:33.780 gaining land
00:29:34.760 and influence.
00:29:37.200 What he
00:29:37.720 should be
00:29:38.160 thinking about
00:29:38.900 is that
00:29:40.000 Ukraine
00:29:40.420 is his
00:29:41.220 Afghanistan.
00:29:43.820 I'm sure
00:29:44.360 it's
00:29:44.540 occurred to
00:29:45.160 him.
00:29:45.680 But in
00:29:46.260 the way,
00:29:46.600 Afghanistan,
00:29:47.980 some say,
00:29:49.500 was one of
00:29:50.480 the reasons
00:29:50.900 that the
00:29:51.820 Soviet Union
00:29:52.460 fell,
00:29:52.880 right?
00:29:53.240 Do I have
00:29:53.640 that wrong?
00:29:54.720 Don't the
00:29:55.360 historians say
00:29:56.120 that Afghanistan
00:29:56.960 was some
00:29:59.140 big part of
00:30:00.120 why the
00:30:00.420 Soviet Union
00:30:01.100 fell apart?
00:30:02.620 Can you
00:30:03.120 give me a
00:30:03.440 confirmation on
00:30:04.080 that?
00:30:05.020 I see people
00:30:05.580 saying yes.
00:30:06.520 All right.
00:30:07.320 So that's
00:30:08.960 the idea you
00:30:10.000 want to put
00:30:10.400 in Putin's
00:30:10.900 head.
00:30:11.160 You want
00:30:12.120 to put
00:30:12.380 in his
00:30:12.680 head that
00:30:13.880 this is
00:30:14.300 his
00:30:14.500 Afghanistan.
00:30:16.240 And if
00:30:17.000 the Western
00:30:17.460 press just
00:30:18.160 started reporting
00:30:18.880 that, you
00:30:20.500 can make it
00:30:21.100 clear that
00:30:21.700 winning would
00:30:22.220 be losing.
00:30:23.980 You know
00:30:24.540 what I mean?
00:30:25.580 The best
00:30:26.280 way for
00:30:26.660 Putin to
00:30:27.060 hold power
00:30:27.600 already is
00:30:29.760 to lose.
00:30:33.460 Is that
00:30:34.080 too far?
00:30:34.940 So let me
00:30:35.600 say that
00:30:35.920 again.
00:30:36.900 If you
00:30:37.500 were to
00:30:37.760 game it
00:30:38.160 out,
00:30:38.540 you're
00:30:38.760 Putin,
00:30:39.100 and you're
00:30:39.500 playing this
00:30:39.940 chess game,
00:30:41.160 and you're
00:30:41.680 starting from
00:30:42.240 today.
00:30:42.960 So the
00:30:43.400 history doesn't
00:30:44.080 exist.
00:30:44.560 You're
00:30:44.700 starting from
00:30:45.180 today.
00:30:46.600 What is
00:30:47.020 Putin's
00:30:47.400 best way
00:30:47.840 to hold
00:30:48.120 power?
00:30:49.060 If he
00:30:49.800 keeps
00:30:50.180 Ukraine
00:30:50.860 and wins
00:30:52.480 the war,
00:30:54.800 Ukraine
00:30:55.120 will bleed
00:30:55.860 him dry
00:30:56.480 and probably
00:30:57.340 end his
00:30:58.660 rule.
00:30:59.900 If he
00:31:00.720 loses,
00:31:01.080 he might
00:31:03.000 be able to
00:31:03.540 gracefully
00:31:04.140 lose,
00:31:05.540 keep a
00:31:06.460 couple of
00:31:06.860 provinces,
00:31:07.940 and claim
00:31:08.860 that something
00:31:09.420 good happened.
00:31:11.160 And maybe
00:31:11.620 hold power.
00:31:13.180 So I
00:31:13.560 think he's
00:31:13.960 already in
00:31:14.580 a position
00:31:15.020 where his
00:31:15.460 best play
00:31:15.960 is losing.
00:31:17.920 Because if
00:31:18.660 he wins,
00:31:19.160 he can't
00:31:19.520 hold it
00:31:20.040 without
00:31:20.800 bleeding
00:31:21.240 himself to
00:31:21.840 death and
00:31:22.320 turning it
00:31:23.780 into the
00:31:24.180 fall of the
00:31:24.640 Soviet Union
00:31:25.280 by analogy.
00:31:27.200 Well, here's
00:31:29.140 the weirdest
00:31:29.600 story.
00:31:32.800 How many of
00:31:33.680 you are
00:31:33.940 familiar with
00:31:34.680 Nick Fuentes?
00:31:35.440 I want to
00:31:38.220 see what
00:31:38.500 level of
00:31:39.240 awareness
00:31:39.920 his name
00:31:40.960 has.
00:31:43.280 Give me
00:31:43.820 not just
00:31:44.240 the yeses,
00:31:44.760 I want to
00:31:45.000 see the
00:31:45.260 noes.
00:31:45.760 How many
00:31:46.360 would say
00:31:46.720 no?
00:31:49.900 All right,
00:31:50.520 so it's a
00:31:51.000 mix of
00:31:51.600 yeses and
00:31:52.080 nos.
00:31:52.580 People who
00:31:53.160 are listening
00:31:53.540 to this
00:31:53.880 are probably
00:31:54.200 more keyed
00:31:54.780 into social
00:31:55.340 media and
00:31:55.780 stuff than
00:31:56.440 other people.
00:31:57.780 All right,
00:31:58.120 I'll just
00:31:58.440 tell you what
00:31:58.960 other people
00:31:59.460 say about
00:31:59.940 him,
00:32:00.240 which is
00:32:01.280 let's say
00:32:02.180 so this is
00:32:05.700 what the
00:32:06.020 press says
00:32:06.780 about him
00:32:07.140 and I
00:32:07.820 forget where
00:32:08.260 I read
00:32:08.520 this.
00:32:09.000 It might
00:32:09.100 have been
00:32:09.720 it was
00:32:10.920 either on
00:32:11.280 Fox or
00:32:11.740 CNN,
00:32:12.180 I forget
00:32:12.440 which one.
00:32:13.420 But they
00:32:14.620 say he
00:32:15.060 has been
00:32:15.500 labeled a
00:32:16.380 white
00:32:16.560 supremacist
00:32:17.300 by the
00:32:18.000 U.S.
00:32:18.320 Department
00:32:18.620 of Justice
00:32:19.160 and the
00:32:20.300 Anti-Defamation
00:32:21.060 League.
00:32:21.940 And he
00:32:22.420 has been
00:32:22.700 banned from
00:32:23.180 most major
00:32:23.640 social media
00:32:24.220 platforms for
00:32:25.400 his white
00:32:25.840 nationalist
00:32:26.380 rhetoric.
00:32:28.540 All right,
00:32:28.740 so the thing
00:32:29.200 you should know
00:32:29.620 about him
00:32:30.080 is that
00:32:31.780 that's his
00:32:34.420 reputation.
00:32:35.980 And he
00:32:36.400 organized this
00:32:37.520 gathering of
00:32:39.980 people on
00:32:40.980 the right,
00:32:41.400 I guess.
00:32:42.280 What was it
00:32:42.760 called?
00:32:43.200 Let's see,
00:32:44.800 America First
00:32:45.600 Political Action
00:32:46.500 Conference.
00:32:47.920 So Nick
00:32:48.320 Fuentes
00:32:48.640 organized that.
00:32:50.020 And he
00:32:50.320 actually got
00:32:50.920 representatives
00:32:51.820 Marjorie Taylor
00:32:52.680 Green and
00:32:54.540 Paul Gosar
00:32:55.400 to attend.
00:32:57.400 I think one
00:32:57.800 of them was
00:32:58.180 recorded.
00:33:00.080 And I'm
00:33:02.580 thinking,
00:33:02.980 and of
00:33:03.220 course,
00:33:03.980 you know,
00:33:04.200 the usual
00:33:06.300 elm cry
00:33:07.600 that you
00:33:08.220 would expect.
00:33:09.460 And I'm
00:33:11.220 wondering,
00:33:12.620 what exactly
00:33:15.160 were they
00:33:15.560 thinking?
00:33:17.780 What exactly
00:33:19.040 is going on
00:33:19.720 here?
00:33:19.920 I don't
00:33:21.480 even have
00:33:22.260 a commentary
00:33:24.040 about it.
00:33:24.760 my commentary
00:33:26.200 is,
00:33:27.140 what?
00:33:29.100 Is it
00:33:29.960 fake news?
00:33:31.860 Somebody
00:33:32.180 says they
00:33:32.620 weren't.
00:33:39.760 Chuck,
00:33:40.940 you believe
00:33:43.840 that I've got
00:33:46.840 most of my
00:33:47.620 comments are
00:33:48.140 for one
00:33:48.580 troll.
00:33:48.880 Oh,
00:33:51.400 yes,
00:33:51.980 and right,
00:33:52.960 and Fuentes
00:33:53.560 was,
00:33:54.880 last week he
00:33:56.000 wrote on the
00:33:56.700 messaging app
00:33:57.460 Telegram,
00:33:58.780 this is a
00:33:59.360 quote from
00:33:59.760 Nick Fuentes,
00:34:00.660 I am totally
00:34:01.300 rooting for
00:34:01.900 Russia,
00:34:03.020 while also
00:34:03.600 referring to
00:34:04.180 Putin as,
00:34:04.860 quote,
00:34:04.940 my czar.
00:34:06.260 Now,
00:34:08.100 I don't
00:34:11.920 know,
00:34:12.340 I don't
00:34:12.680 even know
00:34:12.920 what to
00:34:13.120 say about
00:34:13.460 this story.
00:34:15.940 Like,
00:34:16.540 this is one
00:34:17.080 of those
00:34:17.280 stories where
00:34:17.780 you just
00:34:18.060 read the
00:34:18.420 story and
00:34:18.920 you just
00:34:19.240 go,
00:34:19.860 I don't
00:34:20.360 know,
00:34:20.600 I don't
00:34:20.840 have anything
00:34:21.240 to add
00:34:21.580 to that.
00:34:22.860 That story
00:34:23.540 just sits
00:34:24.020 there like
00:34:24.480 just what
00:34:24.900 it is,
00:34:25.920 and you
00:34:26.460 just use
00:34:26.960 your own
00:34:27.260 opinion on
00:34:27.740 it.
00:34:29.720 I don't
00:34:30.440 even know
00:34:30.620 what to
00:34:30.820 say about
00:34:31.220 it.
00:34:32.960 What is
00:34:33.520 the simulation
00:34:34.140 telling us
00:34:34.840 with Ukraine?
00:34:35.660 Well,
00:34:36.020 the simulation
00:34:36.580 loves a
00:34:37.300 three-act
00:34:38.520 movie.
00:34:40.360 The siege
00:34:41.400 of Ukraine,
00:34:42.240 in theory,
00:34:42.960 should be
00:34:43.460 the third
00:34:43.940 act,
00:34:44.640 if we
00:34:46.120 haven't already
00:34:46.560 seen it.
00:34:47.020 And the
00:34:48.300 third act,
00:34:49.920 if it's
00:34:50.360 like a
00:34:50.660 movie,
00:34:51.400 which would
00:34:51.880 indicate that
00:34:52.660 the simulation
00:34:53.260 likes three-act
00:34:54.300 plays,
00:34:54.820 which I
00:34:55.140 think it
00:34:55.400 does,
00:34:56.960 then somehow
00:35:00.100 Ukraine would
00:35:01.280 survive the
00:35:02.460 siege by the
00:35:03.260 entire Russian
00:35:03.980 military.
00:35:04.940 And it
00:35:05.260 could be
00:35:05.580 because the
00:35:06.700 real story is
00:35:07.400 that there
00:35:07.700 might be some
00:35:08.220 weapons that
00:35:08.800 are already
00:35:09.160 there,
00:35:09.880 or some
00:35:10.640 weapons showing
00:35:11.280 up.
00:35:13.000 But I
00:35:15.800 have a
00:35:16.480 tough time
00:35:17.660 believing that
00:35:19.620 the Russian
00:35:20.080 army is
00:35:22.180 not going to
00:35:22.800 suffer some
00:35:23.500 insane
00:35:24.260 casualties,
00:35:25.720 no matter
00:35:26.400 what,
00:35:27.020 regardless of
00:35:27.580 what kind of
00:35:27.940 weapons there
00:35:28.360 are.
00:35:30.180 All right.
00:35:34.040 Has the
00:35:34.700 Biden
00:35:34.900 administration
00:35:35.440 done anything
00:35:35.940 to instill
00:35:36.500 confidence they
00:35:37.380 are capable of
00:35:38.140 winning?
00:35:39.260 Well,
00:35:39.700 we're not in
00:35:40.320 it.
00:35:41.320 The Biden
00:35:42.000 administration
00:35:42.620 can't win
00:35:43.240 this war.
00:35:43.820 We're not
00:35:44.140 in that war.
00:35:46.260 They can't
00:35:46.920 win the war
00:35:47.340 they're not
00:35:47.700 in.
00:35:51.460 All right.
00:35:53.900 Everybody's
00:35:54.300 in this war,
00:35:54.900 in a sense,
00:35:55.780 yes.
00:35:57.580 All right.
00:35:58.000 The State
00:35:59.360 of the Union
00:35:59.800 today,
00:36:01.080 I think they're
00:36:02.100 writing and
00:36:02.600 rewriting it.
00:36:05.720 I don't know
00:36:06.460 what they have
00:36:07.100 to talk about.
00:36:07.800 do you think
00:36:08.640 they're going
00:36:08.920 to go to
00:36:09.400 the Trump
00:36:12.800 as a racist
00:36:14.140 well?
00:36:15.780 Because I
00:36:16.320 feel like
00:36:16.620 that's all
00:36:16.960 he has
00:36:17.320 lately.
00:36:18.580 That's all
00:36:19.160 Biden has.
00:36:20.580 It's just
00:36:21.020 his old
00:36:21.500 talking points
00:36:22.780 that have
00:36:23.040 been discredited.
00:36:27.760 All right.
00:36:28.760 So,
00:36:29.300 there's nothing
00:36:29.740 going on
00:36:30.180 except Ukraine
00:36:30.860 and there's
00:36:31.340 no news
00:36:32.060 about Ukraine
00:36:32.680 that you can
00:36:33.120 trust,
00:36:33.560 so it's a
00:36:33.880 little hard
00:36:34.160 to talk
00:36:34.480 about the
00:36:34.820 news
00:36:35.180 like that.
00:36:36.960 Now,
00:36:38.240 a lot of
00:36:39.120 people are
00:36:39.440 saying,
00:36:39.880 why is it
00:36:40.280 that COVID
00:36:41.120 went away
00:36:41.820 at the same
00:36:43.460 time that this
00:36:44.160 war started?
00:36:44.980 Does it mean
00:36:45.540 that all of
00:36:46.240 our big
00:36:46.560 problems are
00:36:47.140 artificial?
00:36:48.180 And the
00:36:48.740 answer is
00:36:49.360 somewhat.
00:36:52.340 The way the
00:36:53.340 news covers
00:36:53.960 things is
00:36:54.540 certainly
00:36:54.880 artificial,
00:36:55.620 because it's
00:36:56.020 driven by the
00:36:56.800 business model
00:36:57.980 of the news,
00:36:58.620 it's not
00:36:59.060 driven by
00:36:59.540 events per
00:37:00.300 se.
00:37:01.740 So,
00:37:02.700 yeah,
00:37:04.020 it can look
00:37:04.980 like we
00:37:06.420 go from one
00:37:07.040 emergency to
00:37:07.840 another and
00:37:09.260 that they're
00:37:09.620 almost timed
00:37:10.280 or scheduled.
00:37:11.720 But it is
00:37:12.400 true that we
00:37:12.940 simply stopped
00:37:13.660 talking about
00:37:14.280 the last thing
00:37:15.080 because it was
00:37:15.620 boring and the
00:37:16.720 new thing was
00:37:17.220 more interesting
00:37:17.800 because finally
00:37:18.400 it was something
00:37:18.920 new and it
00:37:19.900 wasn't damn
00:37:20.500 masks.
00:37:21.660 And, you
00:37:22.200 know, I
00:37:22.460 certainly
00:37:22.800 understand
00:37:23.500 everybody who
00:37:25.160 is tired of
00:37:25.720 the topic.
00:37:26.140 I get it,
00:37:29.320 but it was
00:37:30.100 the topic,
00:37:30.740 so.
00:37:34.600 China is
00:37:35.420 sanction-proof?
00:37:37.160 They don't
00:37:37.800 have to be
00:37:38.260 sanction-proof to
00:37:39.100 keep them away
00:37:39.680 from Taiwan.
00:37:40.560 That was the
00:37:41.120 comment I was
00:37:41.700 just reading.
00:37:43.320 I think Taiwan
00:37:45.140 just might be
00:37:45.920 unconquerable
00:37:46.760 because of
00:37:48.800 being an
00:37:49.580 island and
00:37:50.700 modern
00:37:51.220 equipment.
00:37:53.600 But we'll
00:37:54.300 find out.
00:37:54.820 we may
00:37:56.180 find out.
00:37:59.880 All right,
00:38:00.380 that's all I
00:38:00.720 got for today
00:38:01.220 and I don't
00:38:01.700 want to
00:38:02.120 blabber on
00:38:03.860 as you know
00:38:04.320 I can.
00:38:05.320 Unless you
00:38:05.860 have any
00:38:06.220 cool questions
00:38:06.900 for me,
00:38:07.440 it's going
00:38:08.000 to be a
00:38:08.220 short one
00:38:08.500 today.
00:38:11.500 Explain why
00:38:12.140 we aren't
00:38:12.520 drilling.
00:38:13.820 Good question.
00:38:16.760 But it has
00:38:17.380 to do with
00:38:17.660 money and
00:38:18.220 politics and
00:38:18.960 that's all
00:38:19.280 it is.
00:38:20.400 So that's
00:38:21.060 all for now
00:38:21.440 and I will
00:38:21.960 talk to you
00:38:22.520 tomorrow.