Real Coffee with Scott Adams - March 14, 2022


Episode 1682 Scott Adams： The Nature of Reality Has Revealed Itself Again. Let's Talk About Ukraine And More


Episode Stats

Length

46 minutes

Words per Minute

144.021

Word Count

6,694

Sentence Count

451

Misogynist Sentences

4

Hate Speech Sentences

26


Summary

Scott Adams talks about a spiritual experience and the lyrics from Peter Gabriel's song 'Salisbury hill' and why you should be grateful you have the reframe you need to get through your day. And why you don't want to miss it.


Transcript

00:00:00.000 Good morning everybody and congratulations on another successful morning and this is
00:00:17.040 Coffee with Scott Adams, the highlight of civilization and wouldn't you like to take
00:00:22.600 it to the next level? Next level, that's right. All you need is a cover of Margaret
00:00:28.400 a glass of tank of chalice, a stein, a canteen jug, a flask, a vessel of any kind. Fill it with your
00:00:34.220 favorite liquid. Who likes coffee? I do. And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure. Unparalleled
00:00:42.320 I say. It's the dopamine of the day thing that makes everything better and watch how your day
00:00:47.960 goes from who knows what, the way you started, to way better than that after the simultaneous sip.
00:00:54.820 It happens almost instantly. Go.
00:00:58.400 Checking. Yep. Yep. It worked again. I don't know how it does it. Really. Well, I had an
00:01:11.720 interesting spiritual experience yesterday that lasted half of the day. It was the damnedest thing.
00:01:19.480 I'm going to tell you about it. I'm going to tell you about it. But I'm completely aware
00:01:26.340 that you might not care at all. I'm still going to tell you. Because there's something in here that
00:01:34.060 might be useful to you. Like really useful. Like really, really, really useful. There's a reframe
00:01:41.640 in here. Now some of you might know that my pandemic's been a little difficult. I'm going
00:01:49.760 through a divorce. I've got a cat with cancer who's going to be checking out probably in a
00:01:55.120 few weeks. I've got a dog who's passed her expiration date. She's healthy, but she might have another
00:02:01.780 year. And things are a little difficult at the moment. And yesterday I was driving along and
00:02:12.520 actually I was taking a walk in the nice sunshine and felt really good. And I randomly was listening
00:02:20.660 to some music in my headphones and a song by Peter Gabriel came on. Salisbury Hill. And
00:02:28.700 apparently he wrote this song when he had a spiritual, he calls it, a spiritual experience.
00:02:37.700 He went on top of this hill called Salisbury Hill. And he doesn't say if he was taking any
00:02:43.480 hallucinogens, but I'm thinking maybe. And I'm going to give you the lyrics of the song. And
00:02:50.160 I'm going to tell you the reframe that happened with me at the same time. Every once in a while,
00:02:55.180 you know how a song will hit you at exactly the time that you need it. And maybe it's
00:03:00.520 just the way you interpret it. So I'm going to read these lyrics and I want to see how
00:03:05.940 you interpret them. Because some interpret them as something about God. Other people interpreted
00:03:13.460 it as something else. I know that when I heard it, I cried and I didn't even know why. And
00:03:20.220 I had to go look up the lyrics. And it took me a while to like piece together what was
00:03:24.280 going on. And here's what he said. So here are the lyrics from his spiritual experience.
00:03:33.560 Climbing up on Salisbury Hill, I could see the city light. Wind was blowing, time stood
00:03:38.820 still. Eagle flew out of the night. He was something to observe, came in close. I heard a voice.
00:03:45.300 Standing, stretching every nerve, had to listen, had no choice.
00:03:47.960 I did not believe the information. Just had to trust imagination. My heart going,
00:03:54.780 boom, boom, boom, son, he said, grab your things. I've come to take you home. To keep in silence,
00:04:01.380 I resigned. My friends would think I was a nut. Turning water into wine, open doors would soon
00:04:06.620 be shut. So I went from day to day, though my life was in a rut, till I thought of what I'd say,
00:04:13.040 which connection I should cut. I was feeling part of the scenery.
00:04:24.860 I walked right out of the machinery.
00:04:30.860 My heart going, boom, boom, boom. Hey, he said, grab your things. I've come to take you home.
00:04:42.160 I back home. When illusion, spin her net.
00:04:47.240 I'm never where I want to be, and liberty, she pirouette. When I think I am free, watch my empty
00:04:57.760 silhouettes, who close their eyes but still can see. No one taught them etiquette. I will show them
00:05:05.160 another me. Today, I don't need a replacement. I'll tell them that the smile on my face meant my
00:05:13.920 harp going, boom, boom, boom. Hey, I said, you can keep my things. They've come to take me home.
00:05:22.060 So, here's the reframe.
00:05:27.320 You're probably thinking
00:05:28.440 that you're seeing tears of sadness.
00:05:34.120 But actually, you're not.
00:05:36.320 You're seeing tears of joy, which is what I experienced yesterday.
00:05:40.300 I didn't think it would happen when I reread that. That kind of caught me by surprise.
00:05:43.920 But here's the reframe.
00:05:48.340 Everything ends poorly.
00:05:52.480 That's it.
00:05:54.080 Everything ends poorly.
00:05:56.120 If you fell in love and stayed together your whole life,
00:05:59.980 one of you is going to die
00:06:01.540 first, and then the other one will die.
00:06:05.500 You don't really have the option of things ending well.
00:06:09.320 Things could be longer,
00:06:10.320 they could be shorter, but they don't end well.
00:06:12.620 Well, never.
00:06:15.380 And once you realize that,
00:06:17.580 it can help you put things into
00:06:19.120 a better perspective.
00:06:20.960 And here's the reframe.
00:06:23.940 If it was ever good,
00:06:26.560 it was worth doing.
00:06:28.300 And here's the way to
00:06:29.400 ask yourself
00:06:32.260 if you regret it.
00:06:33.900 If you had a choice of going back
00:06:36.860 and you could remove the memory
00:06:39.080 and all the pain,
00:06:41.920 your whole memory of it could be gone.
00:06:44.000 All the pain, all the memory of it.
00:06:46.660 But
00:06:47.060 in order to do that,
00:06:50.140 the deal would be
00:06:51.060 you'd have to forget the good stuff.
00:06:53.540 Whatever it was that you liked about it
00:06:55.180 at one point.
00:06:55.920 So you couldn't
00:06:58.160 you couldn't get rid of the bad memories
00:07:01.480 unless you got rid of the good ones.
00:07:03.420 And here's the question.
00:07:05.160 Would you do it?
00:07:07.200 Would you get rid of the bad memories
00:07:09.140 at the expense of the good ones?
00:07:12.100 If your answer is no,
00:07:14.680 then you didn't lose anything.
00:07:18.380 You didn't lose anything.
00:07:19.460 And what happened to me
00:07:23.640 when somehow the
00:07:25.460 the
00:07:26.420 accidental connection of that song
00:07:28.980 which has very
00:07:30.340 let's say ambiguous meaning
00:07:31.980 you probably all
00:07:32.920 read something into it
00:07:34.320 that was different.
00:07:35.600 But you know,
00:07:36.720 I have this
00:07:37.240 this feeling that
00:07:38.420 I live in a simulation
00:07:40.260 and that
00:07:42.380 the model that makes most sense to me
00:07:44.520 the one that seems to explain
00:07:45.960 my
00:07:46.420 situation
00:07:47.500 is that there seemed to be
00:07:49.260 levels like a game
00:07:50.700 and that you can't go to the next level
00:07:53.680 until you solve a problem
00:07:55.940 that is thrown at you
00:07:58.080 continuously at your current level.
00:08:01.280 And have you noticed that
00:08:02.580 some problems just seem to repeat
00:08:04.300 until you solve them
00:08:05.460 like the supply chain problems
00:08:06.980 are going on right now?
00:08:08.500 But also in your personal life
00:08:10.080 it seems like you get the same problem
00:08:12.260 over and over again.
00:08:14.240 And
00:08:14.680 as I was thinking about this reframe
00:08:17.360 and thinking to myself
00:08:18.480 wouldn't I be better off
00:08:20.920 to have had this
00:08:21.920 with a poor ending
00:08:23.480 than to have never had it?
00:08:25.740 And
00:08:26.120 a lot of people
00:08:28.360 had been giving me
00:08:29.380 you know
00:08:29.800 sympathy and empathy
00:08:30.920 for going through a divorce.
00:08:33.120 But the truth is
00:08:34.400 that for much of the time
00:08:36.860 that I was
00:08:37.420 you know married
00:08:38.020 or with Christina
00:08:39.020 that my average day was
00:08:41.320 even my bad day
00:08:43.200 was better than your best day.
00:08:44.580 how do I feel bad
00:08:47.060 about that?
00:08:49.000 Like how do I feel bad
00:08:50.020 that I went through a period
00:08:51.160 where
00:08:51.580 on some days
00:08:53.220 things were so good
00:08:54.140 I couldn't even explain it.
00:08:55.620 It was like beyond
00:08:56.500 explanation.
00:08:58.760 But everything ends.
00:09:01.020 And then
00:09:01.380 something will begin.
00:09:03.140 And I'll tell you what
00:09:03.960 I felt
00:09:04.620 which is
00:09:06.700 that in order to get
00:09:07.740 to the next level
00:09:08.640 which feels like
00:09:10.540 what happened
00:09:11.080 I mean
00:09:11.840 at least in
00:09:12.640 some mental model way
00:09:14.140 I had to get
00:09:16.480 to forgiveness.
00:09:19.160 Right?
00:09:19.760 Whenever
00:09:20.040 there's a relationship
00:09:21.320 everybody's blaming
00:09:23.660 everybody for everything
00:09:24.600 you know
00:09:25.460 you get to that point.
00:09:26.760 But until you get
00:09:27.800 to forgiveness
00:09:28.380 it feels like
00:09:30.500 you're locked
00:09:31.020 into some kind of
00:09:32.160 hell.
00:09:34.000 And yesterday
00:09:34.660 as I was listening
00:09:35.480 to the song
00:09:35.960 I was thinking about
00:09:36.820 why am I
00:09:38.020 like why am I
00:09:38.920 having bad thoughts
00:09:39.820 about something
00:09:40.340 that was amazing
00:09:41.380 for so long.
00:09:43.940 My first
00:09:44.660 marriage
00:09:45.460 the same thing.
00:09:47.080 Like I wouldn't
00:09:47.500 trade it for anything
00:09:48.220 even though it didn't
00:09:49.000 end well.
00:09:50.540 But I wouldn't trade it
00:09:51.520 because I'd have to
00:09:52.740 get rid of the good memories.
00:09:54.620 And so
00:09:55.040 I felt this
00:09:56.300 overwhelming feeling
00:09:57.180 of forgiveness
00:09:57.800 which freed me
00:10:00.280 from some kind
00:10:02.560 of a prison
00:10:03.080 that I
00:10:04.060 maybe I didn't
00:10:05.000 even know I was in.
00:10:06.740 And
00:10:07.060 so that happened
00:10:07.880 to me yesterday.
00:10:08.440 And if it helps
00:10:09.820 to think of that
00:10:11.180 reframe
00:10:11.620 which will probably
00:10:12.160 be in a book
00:10:12.580 I'm writing
00:10:13.000 as part of the book
00:10:14.220 then I offer
00:10:16.940 that to you.
00:10:17.940 So I offer you
00:10:18.620 my experience
00:10:19.500 as
00:10:21.300 one that
00:10:22.160 maybe
00:10:22.540 maybe you can
00:10:23.300 have as well.
00:10:24.620 But
00:10:24.800 when you
00:10:25.920 when you find
00:10:27.620 yourself in a
00:10:28.180 tough time
00:10:28.740 you know
00:10:29.460 it's the end
00:10:30.020 of something good
00:10:30.860 something that you
00:10:32.260 you know
00:10:32.880 had a lot of value in.
00:10:34.320 Even life.
00:10:35.040 my stepson
00:10:37.020 died of an
00:10:37.680 overdose a few
00:10:38.240 years ago.
00:10:39.300 So even
00:10:39.860 even those
00:10:40.600 tragic things
00:10:41.300 you can say
00:10:41.760 you know
00:10:42.060 I wouldn't
00:10:43.000 I wouldn't
00:10:43.400 trade the good
00:10:43.920 parts.
00:10:46.920 So I'll give you
00:10:47.740 that to start.
00:10:49.600 Well
00:10:50.080 this is
00:10:52.740 coincidentally
00:10:53.360 related in a
00:10:54.200 weird way.
00:10:55.580 Apparently
00:10:56.060 Pete Davidson
00:10:56.820 is in
00:10:58.260 discussions
00:10:58.760 with Jeff Bezos
00:10:59.680 rocket company
00:11:00.560 Blue Origin
00:11:01.880 to go up
00:11:02.460 in space.
00:11:03.000 Now
00:11:04.380 the other
00:11:04.860 thing that
00:11:05.260 Pete Davidson
00:11:06.140 is getting
00:11:07.280 a lot of
00:11:07.640 attention for
00:11:08.260 is dating
00:11:08.780 Kim Kardashian
00:11:10.340 which apparently
00:11:11.320 Kanye West
00:11:12.180 who I call
00:11:13.380 Ye
00:11:13.740 doesn't like
00:11:15.220 that too much
00:11:15.820 so you've
00:11:16.320 probably seen
00:11:16.700 that in the
00:11:17.060 news
00:11:17.300 and back
00:11:17.720 and forth.
00:11:18.940 But
00:11:19.120 I wondered
00:11:21.680 if Kanye
00:11:22.420 West
00:11:22.940 has had
00:11:24.500 his
00:11:24.900 moment of
00:11:26.240 forgiveness
00:11:26.580 yet
00:11:27.000 or if
00:11:27.480 he'll be
00:11:27.800 hoping that
00:11:28.340 that rocket
00:11:29.600 blows up
00:11:30.340 with Pete
00:11:30.780 Davidson
00:11:31.160 and I
00:11:33.680 was thinking
00:11:34.080 to myself
00:11:34.580 a week
00:11:36.100 ago
00:11:36.460 I would
00:11:38.400 have been
00:11:39.320 hoping for
00:11:41.780 the rocket
00:11:42.160 to blow
00:11:42.640 up
00:11:42.920 just to
00:11:43.620 get
00:11:43.780 Pete Davidson
00:11:44.340 even if
00:11:44.860 it killed
00:11:45.160 like five
00:11:45.800 innocent
00:11:46.840 people.
00:11:49.860 You go
00:11:50.640 through your
00:11:51.040 dark thoughts
00:11:52.840 and you're
00:11:54.020 thinking of
00:11:54.320 the worst
00:11:54.600 possible thing.
00:11:55.900 Well I think
00:11:56.340 Kanye has not
00:11:57.100 quite worked
00:11:57.820 through his
00:11:58.540 trauma and
00:12:01.020 I can't
00:12:01.400 imagine the
00:12:02.040 thoughts that
00:12:02.520 would be
00:12:02.780 going through
00:12:03.280 his head
00:12:03.700 as Pete
00:12:04.720 Davidson is
00:12:05.380 not only
00:12:06.000 sleeping with
00:12:07.780 the mother
00:12:08.100 of his
00:12:08.460 children but
00:12:09.700 is also
00:12:10.200 getting all
00:12:10.620 this attention
00:12:11.120 for going
00:12:11.560 into space.
00:12:13.060 I think if
00:12:14.020 I were in
00:12:14.620 Kanye's
00:12:15.160 head space
00:12:15.760 I would
00:12:16.540 actually be
00:12:17.160 hoping for
00:12:17.720 that thing
00:12:18.060 to explode
00:12:18.720 and I
00:12:21.320 don't know
00:12:21.580 it's a weird
00:12:22.060 situation.
00:12:23.060 Tom Brady
00:12:23.560 decided he's
00:12:24.360 not going to
00:12:24.880 retire after
00:12:25.520 all.
00:12:26.060 He's coming
00:12:26.500 back for
00:12:26.940 another season
00:12:27.520 at least.
00:12:28.540 Which is
00:12:29.400 interesting
00:12:29.860 because as
00:12:30.600 Jeff Pilkington
00:12:32.040 pointed out
00:12:32.680 in Twitter
00:12:33.360 somebody paid
00:12:35.060 $518,000
00:12:36.460 for the last
00:12:37.440 touchdown football
00:12:38.860 that Tom Brady
00:12:39.540 threw.
00:12:40.500 Well I don't
00:12:41.800 know if the
00:12:42.300 value of the
00:12:43.000 last football
00:12:43.820 is going to
00:12:44.980 go down a
00:12:45.520 little bit
00:12:45.820 when it's
00:12:46.160 no longer
00:12:46.580 the last
00:12:47.020 football.
00:12:48.320 But I was
00:12:49.980 wondering how
00:12:50.400 anybody was
00:12:50.960 going to
00:12:51.140 handle that
00:12:51.620 situation and
00:12:52.980 I thought
00:12:53.220 there's a
00:12:53.580 perfect solution.
00:12:55.260 He should
00:12:55.620 take his
00:12:56.040 football that
00:12:57.380 he bought
00:12:57.700 for $518,000
00:12:59.440 and he
00:13:00.520 should see
00:13:00.820 if Tom
00:13:01.240 Brady will
00:13:01.760 just take
00:13:02.880 a sharpie
00:13:03.480 and write
00:13:04.540 on the
00:13:04.820 football
00:13:05.200 oops or
00:13:07.640 sorry and
00:13:09.800 just that.
00:13:10.660 Just oops and
00:13:12.180 I think it
00:13:12.660 would double
00:13:13.020 its value to
00:13:13.700 a million
00:13:14.000 dollars.
00:13:16.120 Let's talk
00:13:16.840 about all the
00:13:17.420 probable fake
00:13:18.400 news.
00:13:19.080 I'll start
00:13:19.400 with probable
00:13:20.700 fake news
00:13:21.480 that Russia
00:13:21.960 asked China
00:13:22.700 for military
00:13:23.320 support.
00:13:25.520 Anybody?
00:13:26.800 Do you
00:13:27.520 think Russia
00:13:28.140 asked China
00:13:29.020 for military
00:13:29.780 support?
00:13:32.740 The examples
00:13:33.940 given were
00:13:34.640 financial support
00:13:35.820 which you
00:13:37.160 could argue
00:13:37.700 is military
00:13:38.320 support given
00:13:39.920 that the
00:13:41.140 war caused
00:13:41.960 the sanctions
00:13:42.460 which caused
00:13:43.100 the need
00:13:44.080 for it.
00:13:45.540 Then they're
00:13:46.120 also talking
00:13:46.640 to him about
00:13:47.160 drones.
00:13:48.720 Do you
00:13:48.940 believe that?
00:13:50.160 Do you
00:13:50.420 think Russia
00:13:50.880 is talking
00:13:51.340 about buying
00:13:51.840 drones from
00:13:52.400 China?
00:13:54.240 I feel
00:13:55.120 like no.
00:13:57.740 Right?
00:13:58.560 First of all
00:13:59.220 would we
00:13:59.680 really know
00:14:00.260 that?
00:14:01.700 I mean I
00:14:02.260 know we
00:14:02.860 have spies
00:14:03.600 but would
00:14:05.040 we really
00:14:05.580 know that
00:14:06.580 that conversation
00:14:07.360 was going
00:14:07.860 on?
00:14:08.380 I don't
00:14:08.740 know.
00:14:09.620 I feel
00:14:10.160 not.
00:14:11.780 This feels
00:14:12.440 totally made
00:14:13.080 up to me.
00:14:19.160 Elon Musk
00:14:20.060 tweeted I
00:14:20.580 hereby
00:14:20.900 challenge
00:14:21.280 Vladimir Putin
00:14:22.020 to single
00:14:22.560 combat.
00:14:23.680 The stakes
00:14:24.120 are Ukraine.
00:14:25.800 What?
00:14:26.960 Did he
00:14:27.500 really tweet
00:14:27.940 that?
00:14:29.640 Elon Musk
00:14:30.320 actually
00:14:30.800 challenged
00:14:32.360 Putin to
00:14:32.920 a...
00:14:33.500 Oh I
00:14:38.440 hope that's
00:14:38.920 true.
00:14:40.800 Please be
00:14:41.640 true.
00:14:42.740 Please be
00:14:43.440 true.
00:14:43.660 Oh that
00:14:45.780 would be
00:14:46.000 amazing.
00:14:48.060 Can you
00:14:48.500 imagine the
00:14:48.960 paper view on
00:14:49.720 that?
00:14:50.000 I don't
00:14:51.360 even know
00:14:51.700 who I'd
00:14:52.080 bet on.
00:14:54.120 I don't
00:14:54.780 know.
00:14:55.920 Unless Elon
00:14:56.600 Musk is
00:14:57.060 taking some
00:14:57.780 karate classes
00:15:00.840 or something
00:15:01.260 we don't
00:15:01.640 know about.
00:15:03.240 He said
00:15:03.840 he's serious.
00:15:05.960 Well I
00:15:06.520 don't think
00:15:06.960 Ukraine is
00:15:08.740 going to
00:15:08.940 take that
00:15:09.320 bet.
00:15:10.620 Oh well.
00:15:12.160 So I'm
00:15:12.760 going to say
00:15:13.060 it's fake
00:15:13.580 that Russia
00:15:14.200 asked China
00:15:14.940 for military
00:15:15.580 support.
00:15:16.980 They might
00:15:17.380 have asked
00:15:17.720 them to
00:15:18.000 buy more
00:15:18.480 oil or
00:15:20.280 something.
00:15:21.860 Here's
00:15:22.420 another one.
00:15:22.940 You know
00:15:23.100 the story
00:15:23.500 about the
00:15:24.140 hospital that
00:15:26.820 was bombed
00:15:27.460 in Ukraine
00:15:28.280 and there
00:15:29.400 was a
00:15:29.740 pregnant woman
00:15:30.460 who was
00:15:31.500 taken away
00:15:31.960 in a
00:15:32.200 stretcher
00:15:32.580 and that
00:15:33.940 story looked
00:15:34.520 really really
00:15:35.400 fake.
00:15:36.720 Well now
00:15:38.900 we hear that
00:15:39.340 the pregnant
00:15:39.700 woman and
00:15:41.760 her baby
00:15:42.220 died but
00:15:44.400 nobody got
00:15:44.940 her name.
00:15:46.700 So pregnant
00:15:48.300 woman and
00:15:48.960 her baby
00:15:49.360 died but
00:15:50.920 nobody got
00:15:51.380 her name.
00:15:52.840 I'm not so
00:15:53.620 sure I
00:15:54.100 believe that
00:15:54.600 story.
00:15:56.460 Now I'm
00:15:56.860 not saying
00:15:57.300 that there
00:15:57.640 aren't horrible
00:15:58.460 tragic things
00:15:59.300 happening because
00:15:59.920 it looks like
00:16:00.560 there are a
00:16:00.940 lot of them.
00:16:01.800 So there's
00:16:02.360 no question
00:16:02.780 about the
00:16:03.140 horror and
00:16:03.660 the tragedy.
00:16:04.460 But this
00:16:04.860 specific story
00:16:05.800 is once
00:16:08.340 again a
00:16:09.440 little bit
00:16:09.960 too on the
00:16:10.520 nose.
00:16:11.420 A little
00:16:11.860 bit too
00:16:12.240 on the
00:16:12.600 nose.
00:16:13.440 I'm going
00:16:13.760 to say
00:16:13.960 no.
00:16:14.920 Probably.
00:16:15.780 I mean it
00:16:16.040 could be.
00:16:16.700 There's
00:16:17.040 nothing that
00:16:17.500 would rule
00:16:17.900 it out
00:16:18.260 from being
00:16:18.620 possible.
00:16:19.620 But it's
00:16:20.080 a little
00:16:20.420 too
00:16:20.860 propaganda-ish
00:16:22.380 purpose.
00:16:24.000 Or perfect.
00:16:26.500 Alright.
00:16:27.340 How about
00:16:27.720 the video?
00:16:28.400 Did you see
00:16:28.760 the video of
00:16:29.540 the Russian
00:16:29.940 tank firing
00:16:30.920 on a
00:16:31.620 residential
00:16:32.100 apartment
00:16:32.600 building?
00:16:34.260 How many
00:16:34.600 of you saw
00:16:34.980 that video
00:16:35.460 today?
00:16:36.360 A Russian
00:16:37.440 tank firing
00:16:38.160 on a
00:16:38.760 residential
00:16:39.520 building.
00:16:42.820 Do you
00:16:43.400 know what
00:16:43.640 was left
00:16:44.020 out of
00:16:44.300 the story?
00:16:46.140 The why.
00:16:48.800 Why were
00:16:49.500 they shooting
00:16:49.920 on a
00:16:50.220 residential
00:16:50.640 building?
00:16:51.800 Do you
00:16:52.060 think it
00:16:52.320 was just
00:16:52.680 a residence
00:16:53.700 full of
00:16:54.160 people minding
00:16:54.880 their own
00:16:55.160 business?
00:16:56.240 Well if you
00:16:56.920 see the
00:16:57.280 video you
00:16:58.460 can see that
00:16:58.980 this apartment
00:16:59.640 building is
00:17:00.220 the high
00:17:00.620 ground for
00:17:01.880 that entire
00:17:02.620 area.
00:17:03.020 So there's
00:17:04.120 a whole
00:17:04.280 bunch of
00:17:04.580 low
00:17:04.800 buildings
00:17:05.340 on the
00:17:06.420 approach
00:17:06.920 but then
00:17:07.760 there's
00:17:07.980 one
00:17:08.320 multi-story
00:17:10.100 building
00:17:10.500 that is
00:17:11.460 the obvious
00:17:12.100 place
00:17:12.780 for the
00:17:14.360 snipers
00:17:14.900 and the
00:17:15.540 people with
00:17:16.140 the anti-tank
00:17:16.800 weapons.
00:17:17.660 It's the
00:17:18.000 most obvious
00:17:18.520 place they
00:17:19.020 would be
00:17:19.420 because it's
00:17:19.980 the high
00:17:20.300 ground.
00:17:21.300 So it
00:17:21.560 looks to
00:17:21.940 me like
00:17:23.380 the Russian
00:17:23.940 tanks were
00:17:24.480 aiming at
00:17:24.980 specific
00:17:25.780 apartment
00:17:26.360 buildings
00:17:26.900 where they
00:17:28.040 probably saw
00:17:28.580 something or
00:17:29.140 saw some
00:17:29.520 gunfire or
00:17:30.100 something.
00:17:30.300 So to
00:17:31.380 me it
00:17:31.640 looked like
00:17:31.960 they were
00:17:32.220 shooting at
00:17:32.740 military
00:17:33.120 targets who
00:17:33.800 were hiding
00:17:34.620 in the most
00:17:35.060 obvious place
00:17:35.760 that you
00:17:36.040 would be
00:17:36.420 in the
00:17:37.180 high ground
00:17:37.800 where they
00:17:38.260 have the
00:17:39.060 view of the
00:17:39.500 field.
00:17:40.080 So that's
00:17:41.660 what it
00:17:41.860 looked like.
00:17:43.740 Yeah the
00:17:44.080 Ukrainian
00:17:44.480 soldiers are
00:17:45.120 mostly using
00:17:45.660 residential
00:17:46.140 buildings.
00:17:46.740 You'd think
00:17:47.100 they would
00:17:47.680 just because
00:17:48.700 of the
00:17:48.880 placement of
00:17:49.420 them.
00:17:50.500 So I'm
00:17:51.000 going to say
00:17:51.300 that's fake
00:17:52.180 news only
00:17:53.360 because the
00:17:54.140 context was
00:17:54.840 left out.
00:17:56.180 Now how
00:17:56.680 about that
00:17:56.980 big Russian
00:17:57.560 tank column?
00:17:58.420 Did you
00:18:00.020 hear the
00:18:00.320 news that
00:18:00.780 it had
00:18:01.020 dispersed?
00:18:03.440 That there
00:18:04.060 was a 40
00:18:04.620 mile tank
00:18:05.160 column and
00:18:05.620 it dispersed
00:18:06.100 and now it's
00:18:07.340 basically deployed
00:18:08.340 and ready to
00:18:09.080 attack and
00:18:10.120 that the
00:18:10.560 artillery has
00:18:11.380 gone into
00:18:12.420 positions in
00:18:13.220 the forest
00:18:13.820 where they
00:18:14.820 can attack
00:18:15.440 Kiev without
00:18:17.340 being seen
00:18:17.900 as easily.
00:18:19.900 Well I
00:18:20.280 saw a
00:18:20.840 I forgot
00:18:21.860 I wish I'd
00:18:22.600 written down
00:18:22.920 the name of
00:18:23.400 who said
00:18:23.700 it but
00:18:24.660 there's
00:18:25.220 somebody who
00:18:25.580 seemed to
00:18:25.840 know what
00:18:26.020 they were
00:18:26.160 talking about
00:18:26.680 who said
00:18:27.180 no nothing
00:18:28.120 was dispersed
00:18:29.120 they just
00:18:30.740 got off the
00:18:31.340 road because
00:18:31.900 they were
00:18:32.120 sitting ducks.
00:18:33.380 They're
00:18:33.640 basically hiding
00:18:34.500 on the side
00:18:35.720 of the road
00:18:36.180 so they're
00:18:36.560 not as
00:18:36.900 obvious targets
00:18:37.640 and that
00:18:39.640 there aren't
00:18:40.160 many tanks
00:18:40.960 in the
00:18:41.340 column.
00:18:42.720 Have you
00:18:43.320 ever heard
00:18:43.640 that?
00:18:45.640 I think I
00:18:46.460 need a
00:18:46.740 confirmation
00:18:47.100 of that.
00:18:48.480 But apparently
00:18:48.980 there aren't
00:18:49.440 many tanks
00:18:50.320 in the
00:18:50.720 column and
00:18:51.640 that the
00:18:51.960 column is a
00:18:52.680 resupply column
00:18:53.600 primarily.
00:18:55.980 And that
00:18:56.800 it had some
00:18:57.620 tanks to
00:18:58.080 protect it.
00:18:59.120 But that
00:18:59.520 the Ukrainians
00:19:00.520 realizing it
00:19:01.820 was a
00:19:02.120 resupply column
00:19:03.020 and here's
00:19:03.960 something I
00:19:04.420 learned.
00:19:05.720 For a
00:19:06.440 military operation
00:19:07.440 of this size
00:19:08.480 if they were
00:19:09.060 actually shooting
00:19:10.600 they would
00:19:11.840 need to be
00:19:12.320 resupplied
00:19:13.020 every day
00:19:14.280 to two days
00:19:15.200 or they'd be
00:19:16.260 out of ammo.
00:19:16.820 So they can
00:19:18.380 only shoot
00:19:18.740 for about
00:19:19.280 a day-ish
00:19:20.440 before they
00:19:22.100 run out of
00:19:22.660 all the ammo
00:19:23.120 that they carry
00:19:23.700 with them.
00:19:24.080 And then
00:19:25.020 after that
00:19:25.540 it's got to
00:19:26.200 be daily
00:19:26.780 supply runs
00:19:27.520 all the way
00:19:27.880 back to
00:19:28.300 post.
00:19:29.740 And so
00:19:32.480 the question
00:19:33.060 is did
00:19:35.120 the Ukrainians
00:19:36.340 take advantage
00:19:37.760 of a Russian
00:19:38.420 blunder by
00:19:39.600 getting in that
00:19:40.180 long column
00:19:40.840 by taking out
00:19:42.100 the front and
00:19:42.600 the back?
00:19:43.860 And that's
00:19:44.200 all you had
00:19:44.540 to do.
00:19:44.940 They didn't
00:19:45.240 need to kill
00:19:45.700 anybody because
00:19:47.080 they're stranded
00:19:47.640 because they
00:19:48.540 don't have a lot
00:19:49.080 of weapons
00:19:49.660 except these
00:19:51.320 I guess they
00:19:51.840 do have
00:19:52.100 some artillery
00:19:52.840 but it looks
00:19:54.260 like they
00:19:54.600 basically
00:19:55.080 Ukrainians are
00:19:56.500 going to
00:19:56.840 defeat the
00:19:57.560 Russian army
00:19:58.440 in the north.
00:20:00.400 Maybe.
00:20:02.040 Now is it
00:20:03.300 my imagination
00:20:03.860 or have you
00:20:04.700 started to see
00:20:05.760 the beginning
00:20:07.280 of that opinion?
00:20:08.880 Because I think
00:20:09.680 I was the only
00:20:10.380 one who said
00:20:10.980 Ukraine is
00:20:11.800 going to
00:20:12.040 surprise on
00:20:12.660 the upside.
00:20:13.820 Early on
00:20:14.520 everybody else
00:20:15.660 was 48 hours
00:20:16.820 it's over
00:20:17.240 and I kept
00:20:18.180 saying you
00:20:18.520 know you're
00:20:19.060 not counting
00:20:19.520 the weapons
00:20:20.100 because they're
00:20:20.820 going to have
00:20:21.120 good weapons.
00:20:22.760 They're not
00:20:22.940 going to have
00:20:23.540 the bad stuff
00:20:24.280 and that that
00:20:25.460 would probably
00:20:25.760 make a difference.
00:20:26.420 It looks like
00:20:26.840 it is making
00:20:27.260 a difference
00:20:27.660 that with
00:20:28.200 the Russian
00:20:28.620 blunders.
00:20:30.760 And so
00:20:32.560 there could be
00:20:34.780 70,000 soldiers
00:20:36.080 in the north
00:20:36.960 and about the
00:20:38.220 same amount
00:20:38.740 in the south
00:20:39.620 and the east
00:20:41.040 or the west
00:20:42.620 east and west
00:20:44.360 I guess.
00:20:45.500 And
00:20:45.800 it could be
00:20:48.960 that if the
00:20:49.520 Ukrainians
00:20:50.180 essentially
00:20:50.800 defeat the
00:20:51.540 northern army
00:20:52.200 it's half
00:20:52.680 of Russia's
00:20:53.340 invading force.
00:20:56.240 What happens?
00:20:57.300 Does the south
00:20:57.940 keep going?
00:20:59.140 Or do the
00:20:59.680 Ukrainians just
00:21:00.480 take that
00:21:01.000 victory
00:21:02.200 and then
00:21:03.380 redeploy
00:21:03.980 forces to
00:21:05.140 the south
00:21:05.620 have more
00:21:06.780 anti-tank
00:21:07.380 weapons
00:21:07.780 and more
00:21:08.160 drones
00:21:08.500 than ever
00:21:08.880 before
00:21:09.360 and actually
00:21:10.760 start beating
00:21:11.340 the Russians
00:21:11.780 back in the
00:21:12.360 south
00:21:12.640 or at least
00:21:13.660 back to
00:21:14.740 Crimea or
00:21:15.520 something.
00:21:15.760 Russia does
00:21:19.340 have the
00:21:19.640 problem
00:21:20.000 that it
00:21:21.180 can't go
00:21:21.660 too severely
00:21:22.700 on the
00:21:23.200 civilian
00:21:23.560 population
00:21:24.280 even though
00:21:24.900 all the
00:21:25.380 so-called
00:21:26.160 experts are
00:21:26.740 saying they'll
00:21:27.140 do exactly
00:21:27.700 that.
00:21:31.300 Yeah.
00:21:34.500 All right.
00:21:35.280 so keep an
00:21:38.640 eye on that
00:21:39.200 but here's
00:21:39.800 what I would
00:21:40.140 be looking
00:21:40.460 for which
00:21:41.380 is more
00:21:42.000 analysts
00:21:42.520 saying you
00:21:43.060 know
00:21:43.340 you know
00:21:44.680 Ukraine might
00:21:46.620 actually win
00:21:47.180 this war.
00:21:49.020 You're going
00:21:49.560 to start
00:21:49.860 seeing it.
00:21:51.240 Doesn't mean
00:21:51.880 they will but
00:21:52.500 I think people
00:21:52.980 will start
00:21:53.280 talking about
00:21:53.900 it at least
00:21:54.740 as a
00:21:55.060 possibility.
00:21:55.480 well back
00:21:57.740 to COVID
00:21:58.240 South Korea's
00:21:59.280 infections are
00:22:00.020 through the
00:22:00.800 roof or
00:22:01.680 at least in
00:22:02.700 terms of
00:22:03.160 percentage
00:22:03.600 increase
00:22:04.100 and there's
00:22:06.420 concern now
00:22:07.020 that all
00:22:07.640 those countries
00:22:08.220 that did
00:22:08.580 really well
00:22:09.200 during COVID
00:22:10.140 are just
00:22:11.020 going to get
00:22:11.460 slammed by
00:22:12.660 Omicron.
00:22:14.320 So South
00:22:15.620 Korea is having
00:22:16.160 their problems.
00:22:16.700 China's got
00:22:17.200 these problems.
00:22:19.500 New Zealand
00:22:19.980 will probably
00:22:20.500 have a problem
00:22:20.980 they don't yet
00:22:21.560 but I saw
00:22:22.900 some video
00:22:23.280 of these
00:22:23.600 China quarantine
00:22:24.620 camps.
00:22:26.360 Where apparently
00:22:26.880 China is
00:22:27.480 cranking out
00:22:28.540 all these
00:22:28.900 little
00:22:29.220 standalone
00:22:31.120 it's about
00:22:33.340 the size
00:22:33.760 of two
00:22:34.660 dumpsters
00:22:35.180 I guess
00:22:35.520 and they'll
00:22:37.540 put somebody
00:22:38.000 in there
00:22:38.300 and it's got
00:22:38.600 a little
00:22:38.880 toilet room
00:22:39.960 and a
00:22:40.380 bed
00:22:40.640 and a
00:22:41.580 table
00:22:41.840 and they
00:22:43.200 just stick
00:22:43.600 them in
00:22:43.820 there and
00:22:44.060 they can't
00:22:44.360 leave for
00:22:45.340 two weeks
00:22:45.880 or whatever
00:22:46.200 it is.
00:22:47.400 It looks
00:22:47.740 really
00:22:48.100 inhuman
00:22:51.420 and you
00:22:53.380 know
00:22:53.480 somebody said
00:22:54.000 that there
00:22:54.280 are millions
00:22:54.740 of them
00:22:55.060 I doubt
00:22:55.380 there are
00:22:55.640 millions
00:22:55.920 of them
00:22:56.360 but is
00:22:57.420 there any
00:22:57.780 chance
00:22:58.180 that these
00:22:58.680 countries
00:22:59.080 that weren't
00:22:59.680 infected
00:23:00.120 early
00:23:00.680 are going
00:23:01.740 to get
00:23:02.000 away
00:23:02.240 with it?
00:23:04.200 It looks
00:23:04.940 like they're
00:23:05.300 going to
00:23:05.420 have major
00:23:05.980 problems
00:23:06.420 and again
00:23:06.940 what would
00:23:07.780 be the
00:23:08.080 impact
00:23:08.560 if Asia
00:23:10.400 gets
00:23:11.520 just hit
00:23:12.540 hard with
00:23:13.000 Omicron
00:23:13.500 and they're
00:23:13.980 trying to
00:23:14.420 kill it
00:23:15.220 by shutting
00:23:15.660 down
00:23:15.940 everything?
00:23:17.480 It's the
00:23:17.940 supply chain
00:23:18.580 again.
00:23:20.120 Is it a
00:23:20.740 coincidence
00:23:21.100 that we're
00:23:21.940 seeing one
00:23:22.780 after another
00:23:23.460 supply chain
00:23:24.300 problems
00:23:24.840 when we've
00:23:27.600 never really
00:23:28.080 had them
00:23:28.420 before and
00:23:29.260 then suddenly
00:23:29.660 it's just
00:23:30.000 all supply
00:23:30.540 chain
00:23:30.800 supply chain?
00:23:32.160 I don't know.
00:23:33.620 Looks like
00:23:34.140 something's being
00:23:34.800 tested here.
00:23:35.380 So our
00:23:39.400 reality of
00:23:40.040 course is
00:23:40.440 split into
00:23:40.980 two worlds.
00:23:42.120 You're
00:23:42.280 familiar with
00:23:42.940 the Johns
00:23:44.260 Hopkins study
00:23:45.080 that said
00:23:45.520 masks and
00:23:46.380 social distancing
00:23:47.320 didn't make
00:23:47.900 any difference
00:23:48.440 and I guess
00:23:50.460 Rand Paul is
00:23:52.220 introducing
00:23:52.640 something that
00:23:53.260 would get rid
00:23:53.680 of Fauci's
00:23:54.300 position in
00:23:54.940 the future
00:23:55.340 and put it
00:23:56.140 in three
00:23:56.520 organizations
00:23:57.120 and according
00:23:59.020 to Rand Paul
00:23:59.680 and according
00:24:00.100 to the Johns
00:24:01.120 Hopkins study
00:24:01.900 masks and
00:24:03.880 all the
00:24:04.180 lockdown stuff
00:24:04.880 totally didn't
00:24:05.640 work.
00:24:07.060 Now in the
00:24:07.700 other reality
00:24:08.500 that is just
00:24:10.200 as robust
00:24:10.980 just as
00:24:12.160 robust
00:24:12.640 if you go to
00:24:13.900 Huffington Post
00:24:14.660 they will tell
00:24:15.760 you just
00:24:16.080 matter-of-factly
00:24:17.040 that masks
00:24:18.100 and distancing
00:24:19.220 totally worked
00:24:20.100 and there's
00:24:20.940 all kinds of
00:24:21.500 science to
00:24:22.020 prove it
00:24:22.340 did.
00:24:25.400 What's
00:24:25.960 true?
00:24:27.260 I don't
00:24:27.660 know.
00:24:28.360 How did
00:24:28.840 Asia
00:24:29.920 manage to
00:24:31.360 escape
00:24:31.760 the worst
00:24:32.920 of it
00:24:33.280 if none
00:24:34.060 of that
00:24:34.320 stuff
00:24:34.580 worked?
00:24:34.880 Was it
00:24:36.020 just the
00:24:36.580 testing?
00:24:37.640 Was that
00:24:38.260 it?
00:24:38.980 Was it
00:24:39.380 the testing
00:24:39.960 alone that
00:24:41.620 allowed China
00:24:42.360 and South
00:24:43.540 Korea to
00:24:43.920 get away
00:24:44.240 with it?
00:24:45.260 Or is
00:24:47.020 it blindingly
00:24:48.380 obvious that
00:24:49.380 distance plus
00:24:50.180 masking must
00:24:51.220 have made a
00:24:51.600 big difference?
00:24:52.660 Because in
00:24:53.300 Asia they're
00:24:53.720 probably a
00:24:54.100 little more
00:24:54.440 fastidious about
00:24:55.420 wearing the
00:24:55.880 masks in
00:24:56.600 more places.
00:25:00.740 It works so
00:25:01.640 good it isn't
00:25:02.260 working now.
00:25:03.280 Well remember
00:25:04.080 the masks
00:25:05.380 everybody agrees
00:25:06.380 that they're
00:25:07.640 not going to
00:25:08.000 work that
00:25:08.400 much for
00:25:08.820 Omicron.
00:25:10.020 So the
00:25:10.740 possibility is
00:25:11.700 that they
00:25:12.060 worked great
00:25:12.760 for the
00:25:13.540 earlier versions
00:25:14.280 they don't
00:25:14.780 work at all
00:25:15.220 for Omicron
00:25:15.860 but it would
00:25:16.640 still say
00:25:17.020 they worked
00:25:17.580 up until
00:25:18.240 now.
00:25:20.120 So I
00:25:21.820 don't know
00:25:22.160 what do
00:25:22.700 you think?
00:25:26.100 Do you
00:25:27.100 think the
00:25:27.760 science is
00:25:28.380 totally in
00:25:29.920 and the
00:25:30.160 masks worked
00:25:30.700 or the
00:25:31.040 science is
00:25:31.500 totally in
00:25:31.980 and the
00:25:32.160 masks didn't
00:25:32.580 work?
00:25:33.580 I don't
00:25:33.840 know.
00:25:34.540 Beats me.
00:25:35.620 Doesn't matter
00:25:36.440 at this
00:25:37.980 point.
00:25:38.880 But that's
00:25:39.580 just one
00:25:39.920 example of
00:25:40.680 where our
00:25:41.080 reality is
00:25:42.180 really hard
00:25:44.680 to discern.
00:25:45.960 And here's
00:25:47.700 what's changed
00:25:49.040 in recent
00:25:49.500 years.
00:25:49.860 I did a
00:25:51.420 viral thread
00:25:52.080 on this.
00:25:53.960 And what
00:25:56.280 changed is
00:25:57.000 everybody
00:25:57.760 understands that
00:25:58.700 we've been
00:25:59.060 duped by all
00:25:59.900 the experts
00:26:00.460 all the
00:26:00.840 time.
00:26:02.540 It used
00:26:03.020 to be that
00:26:04.300 we thought
00:26:04.720 the other
00:26:05.220 team was
00:26:05.720 being duped
00:26:06.480 but our
00:26:07.720 team,
00:26:08.200 whatever our
00:26:08.700 team was
00:26:09.160 for you,
00:26:10.240 but that
00:26:10.560 your team
00:26:11.100 was not
00:26:12.080 being duped.
00:26:12.880 Only the
00:26:13.300 other guys.
00:26:14.040 They're
00:26:14.480 falling for
00:26:14.960 all kinds
00:26:15.320 of hoaxes.
00:26:16.580 What's
00:26:16.880 different is
00:26:18.360 I believe
00:26:18.800 that both
00:26:19.260 teams now
00:26:19.900 understand that
00:26:21.240 all we're
00:26:21.980 seeing is
00:26:22.360 fake news
00:26:22.940 from both
00:26:24.220 sides.
00:26:25.560 Because you
00:26:26.000 can see the
00:26:26.820 liberals waking
00:26:28.240 up to it
00:26:28.720 every day.
00:26:29.900 So would
00:26:30.420 you agree
00:26:30.800 that that
00:26:31.220 change has
00:26:31.760 happened,
00:26:32.200 that people
00:26:32.540 understand it's
00:26:33.880 not just the
00:26:34.600 other team
00:26:35.100 being hypnotized?
00:26:36.760 Right?
00:26:37.620 I'm not
00:26:38.200 imagining that.
00:26:39.060 We do know
00:26:39.780 that it's
00:26:40.240 happening to
00:26:40.700 us as well
00:26:41.440 as other
00:26:41.780 people.
00:26:43.660 Now in
00:26:44.240 that environment,
00:26:46.000 what the hell
00:26:46.400 do you do?
00:26:48.540 And as I
00:26:49.340 said in the
00:26:49.720 thread, there
00:26:50.420 are no trusted
00:26:51.340 truth tellers
00:26:52.420 anymore.
00:26:53.340 There's nobody
00:26:54.220 who's just a
00:26:54.940 person in any
00:26:56.760 kind of a job
00:26:57.620 that you
00:26:58.760 would say
00:26:59.020 to yourself,
00:26:59.460 well, they
00:27:00.440 might be wrong
00:27:01.100 about some
00:27:01.520 things, but
00:27:01.900 at least I
00:27:02.280 trust them.
00:27:03.340 They're not
00:27:03.640 going to lie
00:27:04.080 to me.
00:27:06.780 And I
00:27:07.680 would put
00:27:07.960 myself in
00:27:08.520 the non-credible
00:27:09.580 category with
00:27:10.380 everybody else.
00:27:12.320 Because we're
00:27:13.000 in a world
00:27:13.460 where even
00:27:14.080 if by some
00:27:16.880 miracle I was
00:27:17.740 the only person
00:27:18.300 who never
00:27:18.680 lied to you,
00:27:19.920 you wouldn't
00:27:20.860 know that.
00:27:21.460 even if
00:27:23.720 somebody was
00:27:25.000 the only
00:27:26.060 reliable truth
00:27:27.200 teller, and
00:27:28.160 maybe it could
00:27:28.660 be me, even
00:27:30.300 if it were
00:27:30.700 me, you
00:27:31.760 wouldn't know
00:27:32.260 it, because
00:27:34.040 somebody would
00:27:34.540 tell you I
00:27:34.960 wasn't.
00:27:36.220 In fact, right
00:27:37.000 now, I believe
00:27:38.200 I have the best
00:27:38.920 prediction record
00:27:39.920 in the country
00:27:40.720 by far, but
00:27:42.200 if you were to
00:27:42.680 read people's
00:27:43.300 comments about
00:27:44.000 me, they'd
00:27:45.000 say the
00:27:45.300 opposite.
00:27:46.920 So which is
00:27:47.500 true?
00:27:48.540 See, it
00:27:48.960 wouldn't even
00:27:49.320 matter if you
00:27:49.840 had a good
00:27:50.240 truth teller.
00:27:50.880 It wouldn't
00:27:52.000 matter if
00:27:52.660 somebody could
00:27:53.220 actually do
00:27:53.700 the job, because
00:27:54.320 nobody would
00:27:54.780 believe them.
00:27:55.920 So what are
00:27:56.520 you going to
00:27:56.700 do?
00:27:58.020 So I've
00:27:58.800 suggested that
00:27:59.440 there should be
00:27:59.880 something like
00:28:00.440 a supreme
00:28:01.020 court of
00:28:01.540 reality.
00:28:02.820 In other
00:28:03.100 words, actually
00:28:03.660 trying to
00:28:04.260 develop a
00:28:04.820 system that
00:28:06.420 maybe isn't
00:28:06.960 right all the
00:28:07.640 time, but
00:28:08.760 like a court
00:28:09.880 trial, you
00:28:11.280 come up with a
00:28:11.860 system to find
00:28:12.520 out what is
00:28:12.940 true and what
00:28:13.440 is false.
00:28:14.360 Won't work
00:28:14.920 every time, but
00:28:16.200 work way better
00:28:16.960 than whatever
00:28:17.460 we're doing.
00:28:18.500 Better than
00:28:19.140 guessing.
00:28:20.880 And I
00:28:23.020 saw Ross
00:28:23.660 Garber say
00:28:24.340 that maybe
00:28:24.860 it should be
00:28:25.220 more like a
00:28:25.760 regular trial as
00:28:26.800 opposed to a
00:28:27.400 supreme court
00:28:28.020 model.
00:28:28.760 But I do
00:28:29.400 think that one
00:28:30.080 of those
00:28:30.420 models or
00:28:31.100 some version
00:28:31.680 of it should
00:28:33.060 be employed so
00:28:34.660 that we have
00:28:35.340 something that the
00:28:36.440 public can look
00:28:37.140 at and say,
00:28:37.620 you know, maybe
00:28:38.960 they don't get
00:28:39.480 every one of
00:28:40.020 them right, but
00:28:41.420 the supreme
00:28:42.180 court of truth
00:28:43.040 did rule that
00:28:43.940 this is fake
00:28:44.500 news.
00:28:45.520 Or they did
00:28:46.180 rule that it's
00:28:46.800 out of context.
00:28:47.500 And then
00:28:48.680 there would be
00:28:52.560 a minority
00:28:53.100 opinion.
00:28:54.460 So you'd
00:28:55.180 always have
00:28:55.560 access to the
00:28:56.220 minority opinion,
00:28:57.960 just like with
00:28:59.060 the supreme
00:28:59.440 court.
00:29:00.120 So I don't
00:29:00.760 think it's
00:29:01.120 like the
00:29:01.600 supreme court
00:29:02.140 or like a
00:29:02.820 regular jury
00:29:03.440 trial, but
00:29:04.540 you might look
00:29:05.060 to them for
00:29:05.580 some elements
00:29:06.800 that you could
00:29:07.260 put together.
00:29:08.480 Now here's a
00:29:09.520 little story I
00:29:11.380 like to tell.
00:29:13.240 Whenever you
00:29:13.960 ask yourself,
00:29:14.960 is it even
00:29:15.460 possible to
00:29:16.580 design a
00:29:17.100 system that
00:29:17.660 would be
00:29:17.980 fair, given
00:29:19.240 human psychology?
00:29:22.260 And I always
00:29:22.960 give this example
00:29:23.720 as some of
00:29:24.600 you have
00:29:24.800 heard.
00:29:27.300 Suppose you
00:29:27.880 were a drug
00:29:28.400 dealer and
00:29:29.700 you were buying
00:29:30.720 some marijuana
00:29:31.380 and you wanted
00:29:32.840 to split it
00:29:33.400 with whoever
00:29:33.840 invested with
00:29:34.780 you.
00:29:35.680 So you've
00:29:36.060 got a big
00:29:36.320 pile of
00:29:36.760 marijuana and
00:29:37.300 you want to
00:29:37.600 split it, but
00:29:38.040 you don't have
00:29:38.460 a scale.
00:29:40.100 And even if
00:29:40.640 you did have
00:29:41.080 a scale, you'd
00:29:42.680 still argue about
00:29:43.420 who had the
00:29:43.800 better buds and
00:29:44.600 whatever.
00:29:45.260 So how
00:29:46.480 do you
00:29:46.680 divide it?
00:29:48.020 If the two
00:29:48.760 of you want
00:29:49.260 it to look
00:29:49.700 fair, so you
00:29:50.420 want to both
00:29:51.160 feel like it
00:29:51.720 was fair, but
00:29:53.260 you don't have
00:29:55.400 a way to
00:29:55.700 measure it.
00:29:57.200 Well, there
00:29:57.840 is, it turns
00:29:58.440 out, an easy
00:29:59.140 system.
00:30:00.160 And the
00:30:00.620 system is that
00:30:01.320 one person
00:30:01.940 divides up the
00:30:02.700 piles and
00:30:04.020 then the
00:30:04.400 other person
00:30:05.200 picks a
00:30:05.860 pile.
00:30:07.100 So the
00:30:07.680 cleverness of
00:30:08.360 the system is
00:30:09.040 it removes your
00:30:10.180 ability to
00:30:10.740 complain.
00:30:11.780 Because the
00:30:12.360 person who
00:30:12.760 divided the
00:30:13.320 piles in the
00:30:13.780 first place
00:30:14.240 can't complain,
00:30:15.180 they're the
00:30:15.500 one who
00:30:15.720 divided the
00:30:16.180 pile.
00:30:16.800 And the
00:30:17.260 one who
00:30:17.520 chooses one
00:30:18.160 of those
00:30:18.400 piles can't
00:30:19.000 complain,
00:30:19.820 because they
00:30:20.120 got their
00:30:20.400 choice.
00:30:21.580 And they
00:30:21.840 got to look
00:30:22.280 at them before
00:30:22.860 they chose.
00:30:24.080 So sometimes
00:30:25.260 you can be
00:30:25.880 surprised at
00:30:27.460 how an
00:30:28.140 unsolvable
00:30:29.520 looking problem
00:30:30.600 can be solved.
00:30:32.640 Before the
00:30:33.380 Constitution of
00:30:34.200 the United
00:30:34.520 States was
00:30:35.080 created, how
00:30:36.900 many people
00:30:37.420 thought you
00:30:37.820 couldn't do
00:30:38.280 it?
00:30:39.880 I don't know,
00:30:40.540 but I'm
00:30:41.320 guessing a lot
00:30:41.880 of people said,
00:30:42.400 you know, don't
00:30:42.780 even try.
00:30:43.600 It's just
00:30:43.980 going to be
00:30:44.320 dictators forever.
00:30:45.620 It's the only
00:30:46.100 thing that
00:30:46.460 works.
00:30:47.180 There's no
00:30:47.660 way you're
00:30:48.240 going to
00:30:48.320 build a
00:30:48.660 system that
00:30:49.960 gives you
00:30:50.380 fair outcomes
00:30:52.100 and everybody
00:30:52.940 agrees it's a
00:30:54.080 fair system.
00:30:55.680 But we did
00:30:56.600 it.
00:30:57.360 It worked.
00:30:58.680 We actually
00:30:59.100 built a system
00:31:00.540 which most
00:31:01.280 people think
00:31:02.080 is credible.
00:31:03.340 Now it's not
00:31:03.760 perfect.
00:31:04.760 It's not
00:31:05.340 perfect for
00:31:05.840 anything.
00:31:06.080 All right.
00:31:11.940 So how
00:31:12.580 would you
00:31:12.860 devise such
00:31:14.380 a thing?
00:31:15.340 The first
00:31:15.900 thing you do
00:31:16.400 is I don't
00:31:16.920 think you
00:31:17.280 could have
00:31:17.840 the same
00:31:19.200 people making
00:31:19.940 the decisions
00:31:20.660 all the time.
00:31:21.480 Would you
00:31:21.740 agree with
00:31:22.160 that?
00:31:23.340 So probably
00:31:23.900 you don't
00:31:24.400 want the
00:31:25.120 Supreme Court
00:31:25.800 model exactly
00:31:26.680 because you
00:31:27.620 don't want
00:31:27.920 people appointed
00:31:28.560 for life.
00:31:29.800 You wouldn't
00:31:30.060 trust them.
00:31:30.960 Right?
00:31:31.400 So the first
00:31:32.180 part of the
00:31:32.540 system is it's
00:31:33.200 got to be some
00:31:33.660 kind of a
00:31:34.080 rotating group.
00:31:34.740 The second
00:31:36.160 part of the
00:31:36.520 system is there
00:31:38.820 should be at
00:31:39.300 least some
00:31:41.200 experts involved
00:31:42.260 in their
00:31:44.240 decision.
00:31:45.340 So maybe
00:31:47.160 have a
00:31:47.500 different group
00:31:48.040 for every
00:31:48.440 category.
00:31:50.180 But you
00:31:50.820 should have
00:31:51.220 some people
00:31:51.720 who are
00:31:52.060 outside the
00:31:52.740 group and
00:31:53.740 have good
00:31:54.200 skills at
00:31:54.920 criticizing and
00:31:56.120 analyzing,
00:31:57.020 but also some
00:31:57.720 people who know
00:31:58.140 what they're
00:31:58.360 talking about,
00:31:59.040 plus some
00:31:59.400 other experts,
00:32:00.240 et cetera.
00:32:01.040 So I feel
00:32:01.780 like you could
00:32:02.300 come up with
00:32:02.780 a system where
00:32:03.920 you would at
00:32:04.480 least know
00:32:04.720 know that a
00:32:05.480 group of
00:32:06.860 people who
00:32:07.420 had been
00:32:07.700 selected just
00:32:08.580 for this
00:32:08.940 question had
00:32:10.060 looked into
00:32:10.620 it carefully
00:32:11.160 and that by
00:32:12.380 a majority
00:32:13.800 of nine to
00:32:14.880 three, the
00:32:16.280 group had
00:32:16.700 voted that
00:32:17.220 this is true
00:32:17.820 news or
00:32:18.680 fake news.
00:32:24.340 What do you
00:32:25.060 think?
00:32:26.640 Yeah, it
00:32:27.140 basically would
00:32:27.820 be a fake
00:32:28.780 news slash
00:32:29.640 reality committee.
00:32:31.900 But here's
00:32:33.300 the thing.
00:32:33.620 as long as
00:32:34.500 that group
00:32:35.080 rotates, you
00:32:36.740 could revisit
00:32:37.440 some things
00:32:38.160 that people
00:32:38.520 didn't like.
00:32:40.460 So let's
00:32:40.820 say day one,
00:32:42.660 the group
00:32:42.980 gets together
00:32:43.520 and says,
00:32:44.060 masks totally
00:32:44.980 work.
00:32:46.020 But then let's
00:32:46.860 say a new
00:32:47.200 study comes
00:32:47.760 out.
00:32:49.160 Maybe if
00:32:50.200 there's new
00:32:50.560 information,
00:32:51.200 they go back
00:32:51.600 and they rule
00:32:52.120 it again,
00:32:53.060 possibly with
00:32:53.780 a new team.
00:32:55.300 Possibly with
00:32:55.940 a new team.
00:32:57.240 And then you
00:32:57.700 would know
00:32:58.020 something you
00:32:58.480 didn't know,
00:32:59.120 right?
00:32:59.380 if the
00:33:00.620 reality team
00:33:01.440 had said
00:33:01.740 it's true
00:33:02.280 and then
00:33:02.960 later they
00:33:03.480 changed and
00:33:04.200 reversed and
00:33:04.740 said it's
00:33:05.060 false,
00:33:05.800 that tells
00:33:06.360 you something.
00:33:08.060 It either
00:33:08.420 tells you
00:33:08.820 the new
00:33:09.400 information is
00:33:10.040 important or
00:33:11.460 it tells you
00:33:11.920 that we
00:33:12.520 don't really
00:33:12.900 know on
00:33:13.280 this one.
00:33:13.760 It could go
00:33:14.160 either way.
00:33:14.580 I'm saying
00:33:20.300 that I was
00:33:21.320 approached by
00:33:21.820 a blockchain
00:33:22.460 system for
00:33:24.460 solving this.
00:33:25.380 Now, I would
00:33:26.000 need more than
00:33:26.600 that because
00:33:27.180 blockchain doesn't
00:33:27.980 tell me why
00:33:29.520 the system would
00:33:30.240 work.
00:33:31.260 So there has
00:33:31.700 to be some
00:33:32.060 balance of
00:33:32.700 interests and
00:33:33.720 transparency and
00:33:35.200 all that.
00:33:35.780 So I think it
00:33:36.360 could be done.
00:33:37.380 And I would
00:33:37.740 say,
00:33:39.200 dumbest idea
00:33:40.240 ever in all
00:33:40.880 caps,
00:33:41.380 somebody says.
00:33:42.500 And I think
00:33:43.100 that the
00:33:43.800 constitution,
00:33:44.580 did not
00:33:46.220 foresee the
00:33:47.180 degree of
00:33:47.740 fake news
00:33:48.400 that we're
00:33:49.100 experiencing
00:33:49.620 today,
00:33:50.160 especially the
00:33:50.940 weaponized AI
00:33:52.860 search engine
00:33:53.780 kind of fake
00:33:54.420 news.
00:33:55.260 And that we
00:33:56.380 actually need
00:33:56.960 something like
00:33:57.700 another branch
00:33:59.400 of the
00:33:59.680 constitution.
00:34:02.060 Now, if you
00:34:02.960 could do it
00:34:03.400 without getting
00:34:04.040 the government
00:34:04.500 involved, that'd
00:34:05.240 be great.
00:34:06.320 But how does
00:34:07.000 that work?
00:34:08.520 Unfortunately,
00:34:09.400 the market
00:34:09.900 system, which
00:34:10.820 normally corrects
00:34:12.380 imbalances,
00:34:13.480 is creating
00:34:14.520 the imbalance.
00:34:15.880 Because as
00:34:16.340 long as the
00:34:16.840 psychology of
00:34:17.520 people is that
00:34:18.280 we'll look at
00:34:19.040 fake news before
00:34:19.980 we'll look at
00:34:20.500 real news, because
00:34:21.640 the fake news is
00:34:22.320 more interesting,
00:34:23.380 as long as
00:34:24.060 that's the
00:34:24.480 case, what
00:34:25.980 the hell are
00:34:26.460 you going to
00:34:26.740 do?
00:34:27.000 I'm seeing
00:34:33.900 lots of
00:34:34.460 divorce questions
00:34:36.980 on YouTube.
00:34:38.180 Let me just
00:34:38.680 say one thing.
00:34:39.380 I'm not going to
00:34:39.860 be talking about
00:34:40.420 my personal
00:34:41.060 situation beyond
00:34:42.500 the most general
00:34:43.560 statements.
00:34:45.320 But you should
00:34:46.220 assume that in
00:34:48.260 the world where
00:34:48.880 everything is fake,
00:34:51.180 that whatever
00:34:51.900 you're thinking or
00:34:52.820 assuming about my
00:34:53.700 personal situation,
00:34:54.660 situation, there's
00:34:55.500 no way you're
00:34:56.160 right.
00:34:57.900 Because if you're
00:34:58.620 thinking it falls
00:34:59.200 into some easy
00:35:00.140 category where you
00:35:01.060 say, well, that's
00:35:01.740 obviously one of
00:35:02.540 these or one of
00:35:03.080 those, no.
00:35:05.140 It's definitely
00:35:05.920 complicated.
00:35:07.520 So if there's one
00:35:08.640 thing I can tell
00:35:09.300 you, even I don't
00:35:10.700 know what went
00:35:11.220 wrong.
00:35:12.360 And that's
00:35:12.940 legitimately true.
00:35:14.120 I have no idea.
00:35:15.560 It's so complicated
00:35:16.520 that I don't think
00:35:18.520 the people involved
00:35:19.320 even know.
00:35:19.800 like I could give
00:35:21.780 you 12 reasons
00:35:22.760 why something
00:35:24.300 ended and I
00:35:26.100 wouldn't believe
00:35:26.560 any of them.
00:35:27.280 But they sound
00:35:27.900 pretty good.
00:35:29.380 And I think
00:35:30.200 that's always the
00:35:30.740 case.
00:35:31.180 I told you this
00:35:31.800 about movies.
00:35:33.240 One of the
00:35:33.780 smartest things I
00:35:34.440 heard about movies
00:35:35.180 is that when you
00:35:35.980 don't like a movie
00:35:36.700 it looks like every
00:35:37.420 part of it was bad.
00:35:39.240 Ah, that acting,
00:35:40.420 the casting, it
00:35:41.680 was all bad.
00:35:42.900 But when a movie
00:35:43.680 is good you think,
00:35:44.680 wow, every part of
00:35:45.420 that was good.
00:35:46.540 But neither of those
00:35:47.540 are true, usually.
00:35:49.800 So it's the same
00:35:51.700 with any kind of
00:35:52.360 complicated, any kind
00:35:54.200 of complicated
00:35:54.700 situation, whether
00:35:55.520 it's a relationship
00:35:56.220 or a movie.
00:35:58.040 Anyway, you really
00:35:59.640 don't know why
00:36:00.220 things went the way
00:36:00.860 they went.
00:36:03.800 Obama has COVID.
00:36:07.220 He's got a
00:36:07.800 scratchy throat.
00:36:10.760 It could be
00:36:11.760 because Michelle
00:36:13.180 changed her strap
00:36:14.180 on, maybe, I
00:36:15.560 don't know.
00:36:16.320 Or it could be
00:36:17.200 COVID.
00:36:17.460 I'm just
00:36:19.460 kidding.
00:36:20.880 I knew you'd
00:36:21.940 laugh at that
00:36:22.440 stupid joke.
00:36:24.600 Just kidding.
00:36:27.000 All right.
00:36:28.760 Well, here's the
00:36:29.800 best news for
00:36:30.920 California,
00:36:31.700 potentially.
00:36:32.740 Michael Schellenberger
00:36:33.620 is running for
00:36:34.320 governor of
00:36:35.460 California.
00:36:36.800 Now, I've spoken
00:36:37.840 of Michael many
00:36:38.580 times because he's
00:36:40.540 probably the most
00:36:41.420 productive, non-elected
00:36:43.680 person in the
00:36:44.360 country, meaning
00:36:46.560 that he's worked
00:36:48.100 hard on promoting
00:36:49.940 nuclear as a
00:36:51.460 solution for
00:36:52.560 everything from
00:36:53.480 clean energy to
00:36:54.460 climate change, and
00:36:55.620 now the world has
00:36:56.620 gone his way.
00:36:57.880 He turned his
00:36:59.200 focus and wrote a
00:37:00.520 huge best-selling
00:37:01.320 book, San
00:37:02.200 Francisco, about
00:37:04.400 the homeless and
00:37:05.540 the addiction
00:37:05.920 problem, dug into
00:37:07.540 what works and what
00:37:08.320 doesn't, and came up
00:37:09.720 with a set of, you
00:37:11.160 know, a
00:37:11.980 prescription for
00:37:12.840 fixing it that is
00:37:14.020 based on human
00:37:14.820 nature.
00:37:16.380 Surprise, right?
00:37:18.000 Because when the
00:37:18.720 Democrats are
00:37:19.320 involved, they
00:37:19.860 usually ignore human
00:37:21.640 nature when they
00:37:23.140 build their systems,
00:37:23.960 and then, of course,
00:37:24.560 they don't work.
00:37:26.200 But Michael
00:37:27.680 Schellenberger, who
00:37:28.460 had been a
00:37:29.600 registered Democrat
00:37:30.380 for most of his
00:37:31.100 life, decided to
00:37:32.220 become an
00:37:32.620 independent because
00:37:34.020 he didn't like what
00:37:34.700 he was seeing in
00:37:35.320 either party,
00:37:36.240 basically.
00:37:37.100 But he's laser
00:37:39.540 focused on looking
00:37:41.540 at systems that
00:37:43.260 work, not just
00:37:44.940 goals, but
00:37:46.280 systems.
00:37:47.600 And he's really,
00:37:49.500 really good at
00:37:50.300 finding out which
00:37:51.180 systems worked where
00:37:52.340 and why, and then
00:37:53.960 breaking it down to
00:37:54.820 their simple elements
00:37:55.680 to say we should do
00:37:57.160 this and not do
00:37:57.900 that.
00:37:58.600 So he's got
00:37:59.240 prescriptions from
00:38:00.600 everything from,
00:38:01.600 you know, addictions
00:38:02.360 to homeless to the
00:38:04.960 forest fires to
00:38:06.780 energy, and they're
00:38:08.840 all detailed.
00:38:11.780 They're very
00:38:12.540 detailed, very
00:38:14.080 specific, based on
00:38:15.320 things that work in
00:38:16.140 other places.
00:38:17.460 And how would you
00:38:18.400 pick the guy who's
00:38:19.140 done everything
00:38:19.740 wrong, Newsom?
00:38:23.080 I mean, all the
00:38:23.820 big issues he got
00:38:24.940 wrong, it looks
00:38:26.880 like.
00:38:29.740 So how do you
00:38:30.520 pick the person who
00:38:31.340 got, who has
00:38:32.580 detailed solutions
00:38:33.560 that look totally
00:38:34.440 practical?
00:38:35.920 Well, the problem
00:38:36.800 is if he runs as an
00:38:37.820 independent, he
00:38:38.600 doesn't have party
00:38:39.320 support.
00:38:40.860 But did you know
00:38:42.140 that there are
00:38:43.600 basically three
00:38:44.420 parties in California
00:38:45.420 if you count
00:38:46.100 independents?
00:38:47.620 And the
00:38:47.940 independents are the
00:38:48.640 biggest party.
00:38:50.020 So I think the
00:38:50.880 independents are
00:38:51.600 bigger than either
00:38:52.280 the Democrats or
00:38:53.160 the Republicans.
00:38:55.280 And he's running as
00:38:56.460 an independent.
00:38:57.440 Now, can he make
00:38:58.820 that work as an
00:38:59.600 independent?
00:39:00.120 Because that's the
00:39:00.920 tough thing, right?
00:39:02.160 It's hard to get
00:39:03.260 elected as an
00:39:04.620 independent.
00:39:05.540 But I don't know
00:39:06.360 if it's this hard
00:39:07.060 after California has
00:39:08.240 failed so badly on
00:39:09.520 so many big
00:39:11.080 issues.
00:39:12.540 So certainly the
00:39:13.840 door is open.
00:39:15.520 Now, the other
00:39:16.220 thing that Michael
00:39:16.820 Schellenberger has
00:39:17.800 going for him and
00:39:18.820 running for governor
00:39:19.460 is me and other
00:39:23.480 people helping him,
00:39:24.300 of course.
00:39:24.920 So he has a lot of
00:39:25.700 support from people
00:39:26.700 who have been
00:39:26.960 watching him for a
00:39:27.700 long time and know
00:39:28.900 that he can produce.
00:39:30.340 If he didn't know he
00:39:31.300 could produce, I
00:39:33.400 wouldn't be as
00:39:33.980 full-throated in my
00:39:35.220 endorsement.
00:39:36.200 But this is one
00:39:37.160 case where I can
00:39:38.500 say unambiguously,
00:39:40.140 this is really a
00:39:40.920 clean decision.
00:39:43.940 There's just no way
00:39:44.960 he's not the right
00:39:45.840 choice.
00:39:46.640 There's just no way.
00:39:47.740 This is really easy.
00:39:49.140 Doesn't mean he gets
00:39:50.020 elected.
00:39:51.300 But it would be an
00:39:52.180 easy decision for
00:39:53.260 people who looked
00:39:53.980 into it.
00:39:55.740 Well, Amazon has
00:39:56.740 decided to relocate
00:39:58.100 some of its offices
00:39:59.000 from downtown Seattle
00:40:00.460 because it's too
00:40:01.120 dangerous.
00:40:01.620 Seattle is so
00:40:04.240 crime-ridden in
00:40:05.700 parts of it because
00:40:06.900 of the defund the
00:40:08.420 police and whatnot
00:40:09.420 that even Amazon's
00:40:11.100 moving out.
00:40:11.840 There was a
00:40:12.160 McDonald's that
00:40:12.860 closed.
00:40:14.700 Frickin'
00:40:15.120 McDonald's closed.
00:40:16.300 How often does that
00:40:17.060 happen?
00:40:17.580 I think it happened
00:40:18.080 one other time.
00:40:19.700 So Seattle's a mess.
00:40:21.140 It's all in the park.
00:40:23.280 And I say to you,
00:40:28.160 people, people of the
00:40:30.260 world, if we could
00:40:31.980 get ourselves some
00:40:32.760 kind of a Supreme
00:40:34.180 Court of Truth, and
00:40:36.160 we could get
00:40:36.640 ourselves a Michael
00:40:37.780 Schellenberger governor
00:40:39.740 in California, and
00:40:42.240 we can get ourselves
00:40:43.760 out of the last
00:40:44.860 mandates of this
00:40:45.900 pandemic, and we
00:40:48.120 can put the pain on
00:40:50.080 Putin without a
00:40:51.740 nuclear war, and we
00:40:53.580 can use the Putin
00:40:56.700 situation as a way to
00:40:58.380 get more energy
00:40:59.200 independent.
00:41:01.460 I feel like it
00:41:04.120 might look like
00:41:04.800 things are going to
00:41:05.600 hell, but we're
00:41:08.100 really in a pretty
00:41:09.320 good situation except
00:41:10.700 for inflation.
00:41:12.700 I have one
00:41:13.920 remaining big
00:41:15.400 worry, and that's
00:41:18.560 inflation.
00:41:19.440 And I don't quite
00:41:20.180 know how that plays
00:41:22.020 out, except that I
00:41:23.260 guess it is a tax
00:41:24.540 without, I guess you
00:41:27.140 could say it's a
00:41:27.660 tax.
00:41:27.980 Now, the other
00:41:29.220 possibility is that
00:41:30.520 there is a transient
00:41:32.380 portion of this.
00:41:34.660 Well, there is a
00:41:35.360 transient portion.
00:41:36.300 So I think if you get
00:41:37.140 past the Ukraine
00:41:38.000 situation, you get
00:41:38.920 past COVID, if we
00:41:42.760 could get our supply
00:41:43.520 chain working, I
00:41:44.720 think we're fine.
00:41:46.880 I think we'll be in
00:41:47.880 good shape.
00:41:48.300 somebody's asking me a
00:41:54.020 question that I'm
00:41:55.060 going to give you a
00:41:55.520 generic answer.
00:41:56.520 I don't live with a
00:41:57.540 regret, and that's
00:41:59.140 part of the reframe.
00:42:00.660 If you ever enjoyed
00:42:02.100 it, then you got what
00:42:04.620 you wanted.
00:42:05.360 If it turns bad at the
00:42:06.720 end, everything does.
00:42:09.140 Every company goes out
00:42:10.060 of business.
00:42:11.080 It just takes a while.
00:42:12.520 Some companies might
00:42:13.520 take 300 years, but
00:42:14.560 they're going out of
00:42:15.240 business.
00:42:15.620 Oh, they're going out
00:42:16.940 of business.
00:42:18.520 And, you know, every
00:42:19.120 relationship ends because
00:42:20.260 people die.
00:42:21.100 At the very least, you're
00:42:22.060 going to die.
00:42:24.120 So don't ask about
00:42:26.660 regret.
00:42:27.620 I don't have any.
00:42:30.460 And let me put it in
00:42:32.000 the most stark terms.
00:42:35.040 Both of my marriages,
00:42:37.080 totally worth it.
00:42:38.840 Totally worth it.
00:42:39.740 I would do it again in a
00:42:40.580 heartbeat.
00:42:43.120 No matter how they end.
00:42:45.620 All right.
00:42:47.880 That, ladies and
00:42:49.100 gentlemen, is no doubt
00:42:52.340 the best thing you've
00:42:55.160 ever seen in your life.
00:42:58.100 And the news has
00:43:00.440 largely stopped because
00:43:01.880 there's nothing but
00:43:02.680 inflation in Ukraine and
00:43:04.180 the lingering COVID
00:43:06.280 issues.
00:43:07.220 And we talked about
00:43:09.200 those too much.
00:43:10.060 I think also that you're
00:43:15.380 going to see a huge
00:43:16.600 change in rare
00:43:19.720 minerals.
00:43:22.000 Do you believe that the
00:43:23.420 rare minerals only seem
00:43:25.040 to exist in the places
00:43:26.180 that are hard to get at
00:43:27.240 them?
00:43:28.380 Why is that?
00:43:30.220 Do you think we don't
00:43:31.280 have rare minerals anywhere
00:43:32.700 in the United States?
00:43:36.020 It's pollution based.
00:43:37.420 Is that the reason we
00:43:39.020 don't do it here?
00:43:39.700 Because it would be too
00:43:40.800 polluting?
00:43:42.300 Somebody says the U.S.
00:43:43.280 has plenty?
00:43:45.180 Yeah, ERA?
00:43:46.600 Maybe.
00:43:47.760 But, yeah, I think
00:43:49.020 those are technical
00:43:50.060 problems that are likely
00:43:51.080 to be solved.
00:43:56.340 Yeah, the dollar has
00:43:57.600 left its position as the
00:43:58.960 sole means of trade.
00:44:01.500 But let me ask you
00:44:02.580 this.
00:44:03.640 Would you rather have a
00:44:04.560 dollar or a
00:44:05.680 whatever, ruble?
00:44:08.980 I don't think it's
00:44:09.960 close yet, is it?
00:44:11.960 Wouldn't everybody still
00:44:13.100 rather have a dollar?
00:44:16.380 Oh, did Bill Maher
00:44:17.520 already go into
00:44:18.400 Ben Shapiro?
00:44:21.280 I'll go watch.
00:44:21.980 Oh, would it be the
00:44:22.920 one?
00:44:27.040 Why I told you
00:44:28.140 Ukraine will win
00:44:29.500 day two.
00:44:30.980 Why do Westerners
00:44:32.100 not believe in Ukraine?
00:44:33.380 Oh, okay.
00:44:35.080 Troll.
00:44:39.840 All right, I'll go
00:44:40.940 watch that Ben Shapiro
00:44:42.320 thing.
00:44:44.660 Did Shapiro use the
00:44:46.100 really frame with
00:44:46.920 Bill Maher?
00:44:48.680 Did he?
00:44:50.360 Did that actually
00:44:51.380 happen?
00:44:52.680 You know, the really
00:44:53.700 frame is where you go,
00:44:55.040 really?
00:44:56.320 Really?
00:44:58.280 Really?
00:44:58.800 Uh, yes, he did.
00:45:02.120 Oh, okay.
00:45:04.320 We'll have to watch
00:45:05.160 that just to see that.
00:45:08.180 Yeah, Shapiro is,
00:45:10.080 somebody says Ben Shapiro
00:45:11.600 is a genius.
00:45:12.540 But it's funny, that's
00:45:13.180 not like a compliment,
00:45:14.480 that's just a
00:45:15.000 description.
00:45:16.300 Because he's like
00:45:17.100 literally a genius.
00:45:20.640 So you think the
00:45:21.480 dollar is done soon?
00:45:22.580 I don't know.
00:45:23.260 I'm not betting
00:45:24.020 against the dollar.
00:45:25.340 If you bet against
00:45:26.020 the dollar, you're,
00:45:26.900 that's, that's a
00:45:29.540 pretty contrarian bet,
00:45:31.040 I think.
00:45:33.980 Yeah, the dollar,
00:45:34.820 the dollar only has
00:45:35.760 to be better than
00:45:36.360 the other ones.
00:45:38.220 That's, that's the
00:45:39.020 thing, right?
00:45:39.720 It only has to be
00:45:40.600 better than the
00:45:41.100 alternatives.
00:45:41.680 It doesn't have to
00:45:42.180 be great.
00:45:43.220 It could be degraded
00:45:44.200 by a lot.
00:45:45.360 It just has to be
00:45:45.960 better.
00:45:53.380 The frame used in
00:45:55.000 reference to Trump
00:45:56.060 Oh, the really
00:45:57.400 frame used in
00:45:58.060 preference to Trump
00:45:58.860 by, okay.
00:46:00.120 All right, I'll go
00:46:00.580 watch that.
00:46:01.280 All right, I got
00:46:01.720 nothing else for you
00:46:02.420 today.
00:46:03.360 No doubt, this was
00:46:04.460 the highlight of your
00:46:05.160 life.
00:46:05.780 And I'll see you
00:46:06.540 tomorrow.
00:46:07.500 All right.
00:46:08.420 Tomorrow it is.
00:46:09.100 We'll be here.
00:46:10.320 All right.
00:46:10.960 All right.
00:46:11.340 Let's do this.
00:46:19.900 Bye.
00:46:27.020 Bye.
00:46:27.940 Bye.
00:46:28.400 Yuri.