Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 1682 Scott Adams： The Nature of Reality Has Revealed Itself Again. Let's Talk About Ukraine And More

00:00:00.000 Good morning everybody and congratulations on another successful morning and this is

00:00:17.040 Coffee with Scott Adams, the highlight of civilization and wouldn't you like to take

00:00:22.600 it to the next level? Next level, that's right. All you need is a cover of Margaret

00:00:28.400 a glass of tank of chalice, a stein, a canteen jug, a flask, a vessel of any kind. Fill it with your

00:00:34.220 favorite liquid. Who likes coffee? I do. And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure. Unparalleled

00:00:42.320 I say. It's the dopamine of the day thing that makes everything better and watch how your day

00:00:47.960 goes from who knows what, the way you started, to way better than that after the simultaneous sip.

00:00:54.820 It happens almost instantly. Go.

00:00:58.400 Checking. Yep. Yep. It worked again. I don't know how it does it. Really. Well, I had an

00:01:11.720 interesting spiritual experience yesterday that lasted half of the day. It was the damnedest thing.

00:01:19.480 I'm going to tell you about it. I'm going to tell you about it. But I'm completely aware

00:01:26.340 that you might not care at all. I'm still going to tell you. Because there's something in here that

00:01:34.060 might be useful to you. Like really useful. Like really, really, really useful. There's a reframe

00:01:41.640 in here. Now some of you might know that my pandemic's been a little difficult. I'm going

00:01:49.760 through a divorce. I've got a cat with cancer who's going to be checking out probably in a

00:01:55.120 few weeks. I've got a dog who's passed her expiration date. She's healthy, but she might have another

00:02:01.780 year. And things are a little difficult at the moment. And yesterday I was driving along and

00:02:12.520 actually I was taking a walk in the nice sunshine and felt really good. And I randomly was listening

00:02:20.660 to some music in my headphones and a song by Peter Gabriel came on. Salisbury Hill. And

00:02:28.700 apparently he wrote this song when he had a spiritual, he calls it, a spiritual experience.

00:02:37.700 He went on top of this hill called Salisbury Hill. And he doesn't say if he was taking any

00:02:43.480 hallucinogens, but I'm thinking maybe. And I'm going to give you the lyrics of the song. And

00:02:50.160 I'm going to tell you the reframe that happened with me at the same time. Every once in a while,

00:02:55.180 you know how a song will hit you at exactly the time that you need it. And maybe it's

00:03:00.520 just the way you interpret it. So I'm going to read these lyrics and I want to see how

00:03:05.940 you interpret them. Because some interpret them as something about God. Other people interpreted

00:03:13.460 it as something else. I know that when I heard it, I cried and I didn't even know why. And

00:03:20.220 I had to go look up the lyrics. And it took me a while to like piece together what was

00:03:24.280 going on. And here's what he said. So here are the lyrics from his spiritual experience.

00:03:33.560 Climbing up on Salisbury Hill, I could see the city light. Wind was blowing, time stood

00:03:38.820 still. Eagle flew out of the night. He was something to observe, came in close. I heard a voice.

00:03:45.300 Standing, stretching every nerve, had to listen, had no choice.

00:03:47.960 I did not believe the information. Just had to trust imagination. My heart going,

00:03:54.780 boom, boom, boom, son, he said, grab your things. I've come to take you home. To keep in silence,

00:04:01.380 I resigned. My friends would think I was a nut. Turning water into wine, open doors would soon

00:04:06.620 be shut. So I went from day to day, though my life was in a rut, till I thought of what I'd say,

00:04:13.040 which connection I should cut. I was feeling part of the scenery.

00:04:24.860 I walked right out of the machinery.

00:04:30.860 My heart going, boom, boom, boom. Hey, he said, grab your things. I've come to take you home.

00:04:42.160 I back home. When illusion, spin her net.

00:04:47.240 I'm never where I want to be, and liberty, she pirouette. When I think I am free, watch my empty

00:04:57.760 silhouettes, who close their eyes but still can see. No one taught them etiquette. I will show them

00:05:05.160 another me. Today, I don't need a replacement. I'll tell them that the smile on my face meant my

00:05:13.920 harp going, boom, boom, boom. Hey, I said, you can keep my things. They've come to take me home.

00:05:22.060 So, here's the reframe.

00:05:27.320 You're probably thinking

00:05:28.440 that you're seeing tears of sadness.

00:05:34.120 But actually, you're not.

00:05:36.320 You're seeing tears of joy, which is what I experienced yesterday.

00:05:40.300 I didn't think it would happen when I reread that. That kind of caught me by surprise.

00:05:43.920 But here's the reframe.

00:05:48.340 Everything ends poorly.

00:05:52.480 That's it.

00:05:54.080 Everything ends poorly.

00:05:56.120 If you fell in love and stayed together your whole life,

00:05:59.980 one of you is going to die

00:06:01.540 first, and then the other one will die.

00:06:05.500 You don't really have the option of things ending well.

00:06:09.320 Things could be longer,

00:06:10.320 they could be shorter, but they don't end well.

00:06:12.620 Well, never.

00:06:15.380 And once you realize that,

00:06:17.580 it can help you put things into

00:06:19.120 a better perspective.

00:06:20.960 And here's the reframe.

00:06:23.940 If it was ever good,

00:06:26.560 it was worth doing.

00:06:28.300 And here's the way to

00:06:29.400 ask yourself

00:06:32.260 if you regret it.

00:06:33.900 If you had a choice of going back

00:06:36.860 and you could remove the memory

00:06:39.080 and all the pain,

00:06:41.920 your whole memory of it could be gone.

00:06:44.000 All the pain, all the memory of it.

00:06:46.660 But

00:06:47.060 in order to do that,

00:06:50.140 the deal would be

00:06:51.060 you'd have to forget the good stuff.

00:06:53.540 Whatever it was that you liked about it

00:06:55.180 at one point.

00:06:55.920 So you couldn't

00:06:58.160 you couldn't get rid of the bad memories

00:07:01.480 unless you got rid of the good ones.

00:07:03.420 And here's the question.

00:07:05.160 Would you do it?

00:07:07.200 Would you get rid of the bad memories

00:07:09.140 at the expense of the good ones?

00:07:12.100 If your answer is no,

00:07:14.680 then you didn't lose anything.

00:07:18.380 You didn't lose anything.

00:07:19.460 And what happened to me

00:07:23.640 when somehow the

00:07:25.460 the

00:07:26.420 accidental connection of that song

00:07:28.980 which has very

00:07:30.340 let's say ambiguous meaning

00:07:31.980 you probably all

00:07:32.920 read something into it

00:07:34.320 that was different.

00:07:35.600 But you know,

00:07:36.720 I have this

00:07:37.240 this feeling that

00:07:38.420 I live in a simulation

00:07:40.260 and that

00:07:42.380 the model that makes most sense to me

00:07:44.520 the one that seems to explain

00:07:45.960 my

00:07:46.420 situation

00:07:47.500 is that there seemed to be

00:07:49.260 levels like a game

00:07:50.700 and that you can't go to the next level

00:07:53.680 until you solve a problem

00:07:55.940 that is thrown at you

00:07:58.080 continuously at your current level.

00:08:01.280 And have you noticed that

00:08:02.580 some problems just seem to repeat

00:08:04.300 until you solve them

00:08:05.460 like the supply chain problems

00:08:06.980 are going on right now?

00:08:08.500 But also in your personal life

00:08:10.080 it seems like you get the same problem

00:08:12.260 over and over again.

00:08:14.240 And

00:08:14.680 as I was thinking about this reframe

00:08:17.360 and thinking to myself

00:08:18.480 wouldn't I be better off

00:08:20.920 to have had this

00:08:21.920 with a poor ending

00:08:23.480 than to have never had it?

00:08:25.740 And

00:08:26.120 a lot of people

00:08:28.360 had been giving me

00:08:29.380 you know

00:08:29.800 sympathy and empathy

00:08:30.920 for going through a divorce.

00:08:33.120 But the truth is

00:08:34.400 that for much of the time

00:08:36.860 that I was

00:08:37.420 you know married

00:08:38.020 or with Christina

00:08:39.020 that my average day was

00:08:41.320 even my bad day

00:08:43.200 was better than your best day.

00:08:44.580 how do I feel bad

00:08:47.060 about that?

00:08:49.000 Like how do I feel bad

00:08:50.020 that I went through a period

00:08:51.160 where

00:08:51.580 on some days

00:08:53.220 things were so good

00:08:54.140 I couldn't even explain it.

00:08:55.620 It was like beyond

00:08:56.500 explanation.

00:08:58.760 But everything ends.

00:09:01.020 And then

00:09:01.380 something will begin.

00:09:03.140 And I'll tell you what

00:09:03.960 I felt

00:09:04.620 which is

00:09:06.700 that in order to get

00:09:07.740 to the next level

00:09:08.640 which feels like

00:09:10.540 what happened

00:09:11.080 I mean

00:09:11.840 at least in

00:09:12.640 some mental model way

00:09:14.140 I had to get

00:09:16.480 to forgiveness.

00:09:19.160 Right?

00:09:19.760 Whenever

00:09:20.040 there's a relationship

00:09:21.320 everybody's blaming

00:09:23.660 everybody for everything

00:09:24.600 you know

00:09:25.460 you get to that point.

00:09:26.760 But until you get

00:09:27.800 to forgiveness

00:09:28.380 it feels like

00:09:30.500 you're locked

00:09:31.020 into some kind of

00:09:32.160 hell.

00:09:34.000 And yesterday

00:09:34.660 as I was listening

00:09:35.480 to the song

00:09:35.960 I was thinking about

00:09:36.820 why am I

00:09:38.020 like why am I

00:09:38.920 having bad thoughts

00:09:39.820 about something

00:09:40.340 that was amazing

00:09:41.380 for so long.

00:09:43.940 My first

00:09:44.660 marriage

00:09:45.460 the same thing.

00:09:47.080 Like I wouldn't

00:09:47.500 trade it for anything

00:09:48.220 even though it didn't

00:09:49.000 end well.

00:09:50.540 But I wouldn't trade it

00:09:51.520 because I'd have to

00:09:52.740 get rid of the good memories.

00:09:54.620 And so

00:09:55.040 I felt this

00:09:56.300 overwhelming feeling

00:09:57.180 of forgiveness

00:09:57.800 which freed me

00:10:00.280 from some kind

00:10:02.560 of a prison

00:10:03.080 that I

00:10:04.060 maybe I didn't

00:10:05.000 even know I was in.

00:10:06.740 And

00:10:07.060 so that happened

00:10:07.880 to me yesterday.

00:10:08.440 And if it helps

00:10:09.820 to think of that

00:10:11.180 reframe

00:10:11.620 which will probably

00:10:12.160 be in a book

00:10:12.580 I'm writing

00:10:13.000 as part of the book

00:10:14.220 then I offer

00:10:16.940 that to you.

00:10:17.940 So I offer you

00:10:18.620 my experience

00:10:19.500 as

00:10:21.300 one that

00:10:22.160 maybe

00:10:22.540 maybe you can

00:10:23.300 have as well.

00:10:24.620 But

00:10:24.800 when you

00:10:25.920 when you find

00:10:27.620 yourself in a

00:10:28.180 tough time

00:10:28.740 you know

00:10:29.460 it's the end

00:10:30.020 of something good

00:10:30.860 something that you

00:10:32.260 you know

00:10:32.880 had a lot of value in.

00:10:34.320 Even life.

00:10:35.040 my stepson

00:10:37.020 died of an

00:10:37.680 overdose a few

00:10:38.240 years ago.

00:10:39.300 So even

00:10:39.860 even those

00:10:40.600 tragic things

00:10:41.300 you can say

00:10:41.760 you know

00:10:42.060 I wouldn't

00:10:43.000 I wouldn't

00:10:43.400 trade the good

00:10:43.920 parts.

00:10:46.920 So I'll give you

00:10:47.740 that to start.

00:10:49.600 Well

00:10:50.080 this is

00:10:52.740 coincidentally

00:10:53.360 related in a

00:10:54.200 weird way.

00:10:55.580 Apparently

00:10:56.060 Pete Davidson

00:10:56.820 is in

00:10:58.260 discussions

00:10:58.760 with Jeff Bezos

00:10:59.680 rocket company

00:11:00.560 Blue Origin

00:11:01.880 to go up

00:11:02.460 in space.

00:11:03.000 Now

00:11:04.380 the other

00:11:04.860 thing that

00:11:05.260 Pete Davidson

00:11:06.140 is getting

00:11:07.280 a lot of

00:11:07.640 attention for

00:11:08.260 is dating

00:11:08.780 Kim Kardashian

00:11:10.340 which apparently

00:11:11.320 Kanye West

00:11:12.180 who I call

00:11:13.380 Ye

00:11:13.740 doesn't like

00:11:15.220 that too much

00:11:15.820 so you've

00:11:16.320 probably seen

00:11:16.700 that in the

00:11:17.060 news

00:11:17.300 and back

00:11:17.720 and forth.

00:11:18.940 But

00:11:19.120 I wondered

00:11:21.680 if Kanye

00:11:22.420 West

00:11:22.940 has had

00:11:24.500 his

00:11:24.900 moment of

00:11:26.240 forgiveness

00:11:26.580 yet

00:11:27.000 or if

00:11:27.480 he'll be

00:11:27.800 hoping that

00:11:28.340 that rocket

00:11:29.600 blows up

00:11:30.340 with Pete

00:11:30.780 Davidson

00:11:31.160 and I

00:11:33.680 was thinking

00:11:34.080 to myself

00:11:34.580 a week

00:11:36.100 ago

00:11:36.460 I would

00:11:38.400 have been

00:11:39.320 hoping for

00:11:41.780 the rocket

00:11:42.160 to blow 0.56

00:11:42.640 up

00:11:42.920 just to

00:11:43.620 get

00:11:43.780 Pete Davidson

00:11:44.340 even if

00:11:44.860 it killed

00:11:45.160 like five

00:11:45.800 innocent

00:11:46.840 people.

00:11:49.860 You go

00:11:50.640 through your

00:11:51.040 dark thoughts

00:11:52.840 and you're

00:11:54.020 thinking of

00:11:54.320 the worst

00:11:54.600 possible thing.

00:11:55.900 Well I think

00:11:56.340 Kanye has not

00:11:57.100 quite worked

00:11:57.820 through his

00:11:58.540 trauma and

00:12:01.020 I can't

00:12:01.400 imagine the

00:12:02.040 thoughts that

00:12:02.520 would be

00:12:02.780 going through

00:12:03.280 his head

00:12:03.700 as Pete

00:12:04.720 Davidson is

00:12:05.380 not only

00:12:06.000 sleeping with

00:12:07.780 the mother

00:12:08.100 of his

00:12:08.460 children but

00:12:09.700 is also

00:12:10.200 getting all

00:12:10.620 this attention

00:12:11.120 for going

00:12:11.560 into space.

00:12:13.060 I think if

00:12:14.020 I were in

00:12:14.620 Kanye's

00:12:15.160 head space

00:12:15.760 I would

00:12:16.540 actually be

00:12:17.160 hoping for

00:12:17.720 that thing

00:12:18.060 to explode

00:12:18.720 and I

00:12:21.320 don't know

00:12:21.580 it's a weird

00:12:22.060 situation.

00:12:23.060 Tom Brady

00:12:23.560 decided he's

00:12:24.360 not going to

00:12:24.880 retire after

00:12:25.520 all.

00:12:26.060 He's coming

00:12:26.500 back for

00:12:26.940 another season

00:12:27.520 at least.

00:12:28.540 Which is

00:12:29.400 interesting

00:12:29.860 because as

00:12:30.600 Jeff Pilkington

00:12:32.040 pointed out

00:12:32.680 in Twitter

00:12:33.360 somebody paid

00:12:35.060 $518,000

00:12:36.460 for the last

00:12:37.440 touchdown football

00:12:38.860 that Tom Brady

00:12:39.540 threw.

00:12:40.500 Well I don't

00:12:41.800 know if the

00:12:42.300 value of the

00:12:43.000 last football

00:12:43.820 is going to

00:12:44.980 go down a

00:12:45.520 little bit

00:12:45.820 when it's

00:12:46.160 no longer

00:12:46.580 the last

00:12:47.020 football.

00:12:48.320 But I was

00:12:49.980 wondering how

00:12:50.400 anybody was

00:12:50.960 going to

00:12:51.140 handle that

00:12:51.620 situation and

00:12:52.980 I thought

00:12:53.220 there's a

00:12:53.580 perfect solution.

00:12:55.260 He should

00:12:55.620 take his

00:12:56.040 football that

00:12:57.380 he bought

00:12:57.700 for $518,000

00:12:59.440 and he

00:13:00.520 should see

00:13:00.820 if Tom

00:13:01.240 Brady will

00:13:01.760 just take

00:13:02.880 a sharpie

00:13:03.480 and write

00:13:04.540 on the

00:13:04.820 football

00:13:05.200 oops or

00:13:07.640 sorry and

00:13:09.800 just that.

00:13:10.660 Just oops and 0.91

00:13:12.180 I think it

00:13:12.660 would double

00:13:13.020 its value to

00:13:13.700 a million

00:13:14.000 dollars.

00:13:16.120 Let's talk

00:13:16.840 about all the

00:13:17.420 probable fake

00:13:18.400 news.

00:13:19.080 I'll start

00:13:19.400 with probable

00:13:20.700 fake news

00:13:21.480 that Russia 0.72

00:13:21.960 asked China

00:13:22.700 for military

00:13:23.320 support.

00:13:25.520 Anybody?

00:13:26.800 Do you

00:13:27.520 think Russia

00:13:28.140 asked China

00:13:29.020 for military

00:13:29.780 support?

00:13:32.740 The examples

00:13:33.940 given were

00:13:34.640 financial support

00:13:35.820 which you

00:13:37.160 could argue

00:13:37.700 is military

00:13:38.320 support given

00:13:39.920 that the

00:13:41.140 war caused 0.77

00:13:41.960 the sanctions

00:13:42.460 which caused

00:13:43.100 the need

00:13:44.080 for it.

00:13:45.540 Then they're

00:13:46.120 also talking

00:13:46.640 to him about

00:13:47.160 drones.

00:13:48.720 Do you

00:13:48.940 believe that?

00:13:50.160 Do you

00:13:50.420 think Russia

00:13:50.880 is talking

00:13:51.340 about buying

00:13:51.840 drones from

00:13:52.400 China? 0.73

00:13:54.240 I feel

00:13:55.120 like no.

00:13:57.740 Right?

00:13:58.560 First of all

00:13:59.220 would we

00:13:59.680 really know

00:14:00.260 that?

00:14:01.700 I mean I

00:14:02.260 know we

00:14:02.860 have spies

00:14:03.600 but would

00:14:05.040 we really

00:14:05.580 know that

00:14:06.580 that conversation

00:14:07.360 was going

00:14:07.860 on?

00:14:08.380 I don't

00:14:08.740 know.

00:14:09.620 I feel

00:14:10.160 not.

00:14:11.780 This feels

00:14:12.440 totally made

00:14:13.080 up to me.

00:14:19.160 Elon Musk

00:14:20.060 tweeted I

00:14:20.580 hereby

00:14:20.900 challenge

00:14:21.280 Vladimir Putin

00:14:22.020 to single

00:14:22.560 combat.

00:14:23.680 The stakes

00:14:24.120 are Ukraine.

00:14:25.800 What?

00:14:26.960 Did he

00:14:27.500 really tweet

00:14:27.940 that?

00:14:29.640 Elon Musk

00:14:30.320 actually

00:14:30.800 challenged

00:14:32.360 Putin to

00:14:32.920 a...

00:14:33.500 Oh I

00:14:38.440 hope that's

00:14:38.920 true.

00:14:40.800 Please be

00:14:41.640 true.

00:14:42.740 Please be

00:14:43.440 true.

00:14:43.660 Oh that

00:14:45.780 would be

00:14:46.000 amazing.

00:14:48.060 Can you

00:14:48.500 imagine the

00:14:48.960 paper view on

00:14:49.720 that?

00:14:50.000 I don't

00:14:51.360 even know

00:14:51.700 who I'd

00:14:52.080 bet on.

00:14:54.120 I don't

00:14:54.780 know.

00:14:55.920 Unless Elon

00:14:56.600 Musk is 0.98

00:14:57.060 taking some

00:14:57.780 karate classes

00:15:00.840 or something

00:15:01.260 we don't

00:15:01.640 know about.

00:15:03.240 He said

00:15:03.840 he's serious.

00:15:05.960 Well I

00:15:06.520 don't think

00:15:06.960 Ukraine is

00:15:08.740 going to

00:15:08.940 take that

00:15:09.320 bet.

00:15:10.620 Oh well.

00:15:12.160 So I'm

00:15:12.760 going to say

00:15:13.060 it's fake

00:15:13.580 that Russia 0.72

00:15:14.200 asked China

00:15:14.940 for military

00:15:15.580 support.

00:15:16.980 They might

00:15:17.380 have asked

00:15:17.720 them to

00:15:18.000 buy more

00:15:18.480 oil or

00:15:20.280 something.

00:15:21.860 Here's

00:15:22.420 another one.

00:15:22.940 You know

00:15:23.100 the story

00:15:23.500 about the

00:15:24.140 hospital that

00:15:26.820 was bombed

00:15:27.460 in Ukraine

00:15:28.280 and there

00:15:29.400 was a

00:15:29.740 pregnant woman 0.99

00:15:30.460 who was

00:15:31.500 taken away

00:15:31.960 in a

00:15:32.200 stretcher

00:15:32.580 and that

00:15:33.940 story looked

00:15:34.520 really really

00:15:35.400 fake.

00:15:36.720 Well now

00:15:38.900 we hear that

00:15:39.340 the pregnant 0.92

00:15:39.700 woman and

00:15:41.760 her baby

00:15:42.220 died but

00:15:44.400 nobody got

00:15:44.940 her name.

00:15:46.700 So pregnant 0.97

00:15:48.300 woman and

00:15:48.960 her baby

00:15:49.360 died but

00:15:50.920 nobody got

00:15:51.380 her name.

00:15:52.840 I'm not so

00:15:53.620 sure I

00:15:54.100 believe that

00:15:54.600 story.

00:15:56.460 Now I'm

00:15:56.860 not saying

00:15:57.300 that there

00:15:57.640 aren't horrible

00:15:58.460 tragic things

00:15:59.300 happening because

00:15:59.920 it looks like

00:16:00.560 there are a

00:16:00.940 lot of them.

00:16:01.800 So there's

00:16:02.360 no question

00:16:02.780 about the

00:16:03.140 horror and

00:16:03.660 the tragedy.

00:16:04.460 But this

00:16:04.860 specific story

00:16:05.800 is once

00:16:08.340 again a

00:16:09.440 little bit

00:16:09.960 too on the

00:16:10.520 nose.

00:16:11.420 A little

00:16:11.860 bit too

00:16:12.240 on the

00:16:12.600 nose.

00:16:13.440 I'm going

00:16:13.760 to say

00:16:13.960 no.

00:16:14.920 Probably.

00:16:15.780 I mean it

00:16:16.040 could be.

00:16:16.700 There's

00:16:17.040 nothing that

00:16:17.500 would rule

00:16:17.900 it out

00:16:18.260 from being

00:16:18.620 possible.

00:16:19.620 But it's

00:16:20.080 a little

00:16:20.420 too

00:16:20.860 propaganda-ish

00:16:22.380 purpose.

00:16:24.000 Or perfect.

00:16:26.500 Alright.

00:16:27.340 How about

00:16:27.720 the video?

00:16:28.400 Did you see

00:16:28.760 the video of

00:16:29.540 the Russian

00:16:29.940 tank firing

00:16:30.920 on a

00:16:31.620 residential

00:16:32.100 apartment

00:16:32.600 building?

00:16:34.260 How many

00:16:34.600 of you saw

00:16:34.980 that video

00:16:35.460 today?

00:16:36.360 A Russian 0.99

00:16:37.440 tank firing

00:16:38.160 on a

00:16:38.760 residential

00:16:39.520 building.

00:16:42.820 Do you

00:16:43.400 know what

00:16:43.640 was left

00:16:44.020 out of

00:16:44.300 the story?

00:16:46.140 The why.

00:16:48.800 Why were

00:16:49.500 they shooting

00:16:49.920 on a

00:16:50.220 residential

00:16:50.640 building?

00:16:51.800 Do you

00:16:52.060 think it

00:16:52.320 was just

00:16:52.680 a residence

00:16:53.700 full of

00:16:54.160 people minding

00:16:54.880 their own

00:16:55.160 business?

00:16:56.240 Well if you

00:16:56.920 see the

00:16:57.280 video you

00:16:58.460 can see that

00:16:58.980 this apartment

00:16:59.640 building is

00:17:00.220 the high

00:17:00.620 ground for

00:17:01.880 that entire

00:17:02.620 area.

00:17:03.020 So there's

00:17:04.120 a whole

00:17:04.280 bunch of

00:17:04.580 low

00:17:04.800 buildings

00:17:05.340 on the

00:17:06.420 approach

00:17:06.920 but then

00:17:07.760 there's

00:17:07.980 one

00:17:08.320 multi-story

00:17:10.100 building

00:17:10.500 that is

00:17:11.460 the obvious

00:17:12.100 place

00:17:12.780 for the

00:17:14.360 snipers

00:17:14.900 and the

00:17:15.540 people with

00:17:16.140 the anti-tank

00:17:16.800 weapons.

00:17:17.660 It's the

00:17:18.000 most obvious

00:17:18.520 place they

00:17:19.020 would be

00:17:19.420 because it's

00:17:19.980 the high

00:17:20.300 ground.

00:17:21.300 So it

00:17:21.560 looks to

00:17:21.940 me like

00:17:23.380 the Russian

00:17:23.940 tanks were

00:17:24.480 aiming at

00:17:24.980 specific

00:17:25.780 apartment

00:17:26.360 buildings

00:17:26.900 where they

00:17:28.040 probably saw

00:17:28.580 something or

00:17:29.140 saw some

00:17:29.520 gunfire or

00:17:30.100 something.

00:17:30.300 So to

00:17:31.380 me it

00:17:31.640 looked like

00:17:31.960 they were

00:17:32.220 shooting at

00:17:32.740 military

00:17:33.120 targets who

00:17:33.800 were hiding

00:17:34.620 in the most

00:17:35.060 obvious place

00:17:35.760 that you

00:17:36.040 would be

00:17:36.420 in the

00:17:37.180 high ground

00:17:37.800 where they

00:17:38.260 have the

00:17:39.060 view of the

00:17:39.500 field.

00:17:40.080 So that's

00:17:41.660 what it

00:17:41.860 looked like.

00:17:43.740 Yeah the

00:17:44.080 Ukrainian

00:17:44.480 soldiers are

00:17:45.120 mostly using

00:17:45.660 residential

00:17:46.140 buildings.

00:17:46.740 You'd think

00:17:47.100 they would

00:17:47.680 just because

00:17:48.700 of the

00:17:48.880 placement of

00:17:49.420 them.

00:17:50.500 So I'm

00:17:51.000 going to say

00:17:51.300 that's fake

00:17:52.180 news only

00:17:53.360 because the

00:17:54.140 context was

00:17:54.840 left out.

00:17:56.180 Now how

00:17:56.680 about that

00:17:56.980 big Russian

00:17:57.560 tank column?

00:17:58.420 Did you

00:18:00.020 hear the

00:18:00.320 news that

00:18:00.780 it had

00:18:01.020 dispersed?

00:18:03.440 That there

00:18:04.060 was a 40

00:18:04.620 mile tank

00:18:05.160 column and

00:18:05.620 it dispersed

00:18:06.100 and now it's

00:18:07.340 basically deployed

00:18:08.340 and ready to

00:18:09.080 attack and

00:18:10.120 that the

00:18:10.560 artillery has

00:18:11.380 gone into

00:18:12.420 positions in

00:18:13.220 the forest

00:18:13.820 where they

00:18:14.820 can attack

00:18:15.440 Kiev without

00:18:17.340 being seen

00:18:17.900 as easily.

00:18:19.900 Well I

00:18:20.280 saw a

00:18:20.840 I forgot

00:18:21.860 I wish I'd

00:18:22.600 written down

00:18:22.920 the name of

00:18:23.400 who said

00:18:23.700 it but

00:18:24.660 there's

00:18:25.220 somebody who

00:18:25.580 seemed to

00:18:25.840 know what

00:18:26.020 they were

00:18:26.160 talking about

00:18:26.680 who said

00:18:27.180 no nothing

00:18:28.120 was dispersed

00:18:29.120 they just

00:18:30.740 got off the

00:18:31.340 road because

00:18:31.900 they were

00:18:32.120 sitting ducks.

00:18:33.380 They're

00:18:33.640 basically hiding

00:18:34.500 on the side

00:18:35.720 of the road

00:18:36.180 so they're

00:18:36.560 not as

00:18:36.900 obvious targets

00:18:37.640 and that

00:18:39.640 there aren't

00:18:40.160 many tanks

00:18:40.960 in the

00:18:41.340 column.

00:18:42.720 Have you

00:18:43.320 ever heard

00:18:43.640 that?

00:18:45.640 I think I

00:18:46.460 need a

00:18:46.740 confirmation

00:18:47.100 of that.

00:18:48.480 But apparently

00:18:48.980 there aren't

00:18:49.440 many tanks

00:18:50.320 in the

00:18:50.720 column and

00:18:51.640 that the

00:18:51.960 column is a

00:18:52.680 resupply column

00:18:53.600 primarily.

00:18:55.980 And that

00:18:56.800 it had some

00:18:57.620 tanks to

00:18:58.080 protect it.

00:18:59.120 But that

00:18:59.520 the Ukrainians

00:19:00.520 realizing it

00:19:01.820 was a

00:19:02.120 resupply column

00:19:03.020 and here's

00:19:03.960 something I

00:19:04.420 learned.

00:19:05.720 For a

00:19:06.440 military operation

00:19:07.440 of this size

00:19:08.480 if they were

00:19:09.060 actually shooting

00:19:10.600 they would

00:19:11.840 need to be

00:19:12.320 resupplied

00:19:13.020 every day

00:19:14.280 to two days

00:19:15.200 or they'd be

00:19:16.260 out of ammo.

00:19:16.820 So they can

00:19:18.380 only shoot

00:19:18.740 for about

00:19:19.280 a day-ish

00:19:20.440 before they

00:19:22.100 run out of

00:19:22.660 all the ammo

00:19:23.120 that they carry

00:19:23.700 with them.

00:19:24.080 And then

00:19:25.020 after that

00:19:25.540 it's got to

00:19:26.200 be daily

00:19:26.780 supply runs

00:19:27.520 all the way

00:19:27.880 back to

00:19:28.300 post.

00:19:29.740 And so

00:19:32.480 the question

00:19:33.060 is did

00:19:35.120 the Ukrainians

00:19:36.340 take advantage

00:19:37.760 of a Russian

00:19:38.420 blunder by

00:19:39.600 getting in that

00:19:40.180 long column

00:19:40.840 by taking out

00:19:42.100 the front and

00:19:42.600 the back?

00:19:43.860 And that's

00:19:44.200 all you had

00:19:44.540 to do.

00:19:44.940 They didn't

00:19:45.240 need to kill

00:19:45.700 anybody because

00:19:47.080 they're stranded

00:19:47.640 because they

00:19:48.540 don't have a lot

00:19:49.080 of weapons

00:19:49.660 except these

00:19:51.320 I guess they

00:19:51.840 do have

00:19:52.100 some artillery

00:19:52.840 but it looks

00:19:54.260 like they

00:19:54.600 basically

00:19:55.080 Ukrainians are 1.00

00:19:56.500 going to

00:19:56.840 defeat the

00:19:57.560 Russian army

00:19:58.440 in the north.

00:20:00.400 Maybe.

00:20:02.040 Now is it

00:20:03.300 my imagination

00:20:03.860 or have you

00:20:04.700 started to see

00:20:05.760 the beginning

00:20:07.280 of that opinion?

00:20:08.880 Because I think

00:20:09.680 I was the only

00:20:10.380 one who said

00:20:10.980 Ukraine is

00:20:11.800 going to

00:20:12.040 surprise on

00:20:12.660 the upside.

00:20:13.820 Early on

00:20:14.520 everybody else

00:20:15.660 was 48 hours

00:20:16.820 it's over

00:20:17.240 and I kept

00:20:18.180 saying you

00:20:18.520 know you're

00:20:19.060 not counting

00:20:19.520 the weapons

00:20:20.100 because they're

00:20:20.820 going to have

00:20:21.120 good weapons.

00:20:22.760 They're not

00:20:22.940 going to have

00:20:23.540 the bad stuff

00:20:24.280 and that that

00:20:25.460 would probably

00:20:25.760 make a difference.

00:20:26.420 It looks like

00:20:26.840 it is making

00:20:27.260 a difference

00:20:27.660 that with

00:20:28.200 the Russian

00:20:28.620 blunders.

00:20:30.760 And so

00:20:32.560 there could be

00:20:34.780 70,000 soldiers

00:20:36.080 in the north

00:20:36.960 and about the

00:20:38.220 same amount

00:20:38.740 in the south

00:20:39.620 and the east

00:20:41.040 or the west

00:20:42.620 east and west

00:20:44.360 I guess.

00:20:45.500 And

00:20:45.800 it could be

00:20:48.960 that if the

00:20:49.520 Ukrainians

00:20:50.180 essentially

00:20:50.800 defeat the

00:20:51.540 northern army

00:20:52.200 it's half

00:20:52.680 of Russia's

00:20:53.340 invading force.

00:20:56.240 What happens?

00:20:57.300 Does the south

00:20:57.940 keep going?

00:20:59.140 Or do the

00:20:59.680 Ukrainians just 0.99

00:21:00.480 take that

00:21:01.000 victory

00:21:02.200 and then

00:21:03.380 redeploy

00:21:03.980 forces to

00:21:05.140 the south

00:21:05.620 have more

00:21:06.780 anti-tank

00:21:07.380 weapons

00:21:07.780 and more

00:21:08.160 drones

00:21:08.500 than ever

00:21:08.880 before

00:21:09.360 and actually

00:21:10.760 start beating

00:21:11.340 the Russians

00:21:11.780 back in the

00:21:12.360 south

00:21:12.640 or at least

00:21:13.660 back to

00:21:14.740 Crimea or

00:21:15.520 something.

00:21:15.760 Russia does 0.95

00:21:19.340 have the

00:21:19.640 problem

00:21:20.000 that it

00:21:21.180 can't go

00:21:21.660 too severely

00:21:22.700 on the

00:21:23.200 civilian

00:21:23.560 population

00:21:24.280 even though

00:21:24.900 all the

00:21:25.380 so-called

00:21:26.160 experts are

00:21:26.740 saying they'll

00:21:27.140 do exactly

00:21:27.700 that.

00:21:31.300 Yeah.

00:21:34.500 All right.

00:21:35.280 so keep an

00:21:38.640 eye on that

00:21:39.200 but here's

00:21:39.800 what I would

00:21:40.140 be looking

00:21:40.460 for which

00:21:41.380 is more

00:21:42.000 analysts

00:21:42.520 saying you

00:21:43.060 know

00:21:43.340 you know

00:21:44.680 Ukraine might

00:21:46.620 actually win

00:21:47.180 this war.

00:21:49.020 You're going

00:21:49.560 to start

00:21:49.860 seeing it.

00:21:51.240 Doesn't mean

00:21:51.880 they will but

00:21:52.500 I think people

00:21:52.980 will start

00:21:53.280 talking about

00:21:53.900 it at least

00:21:54.740 as a

00:21:55.060 possibility.

00:21:55.480 well back

00:21:57.740 to COVID

00:21:58.240 South Korea's

00:21:59.280 infections are

00:22:00.020 through the

00:22:00.800 roof or

00:22:01.680 at least in

00:22:02.700 terms of

00:22:03.160 percentage

00:22:03.600 increase

00:22:04.100 and there's

00:22:06.420 concern now

00:22:07.020 that all

00:22:07.640 those countries

00:22:08.220 that did

00:22:08.580 really well

00:22:09.200 during COVID

00:22:10.140 are just

00:22:11.020 going to get

00:22:11.460 slammed by

00:22:12.660 Omicron.

00:22:14.320 So South

00:22:15.620 Korea is having 0.99

00:22:16.160 their problems.

00:22:16.700 China's got 0.98

00:22:17.200 these problems.

00:22:19.500 New Zealand

00:22:19.980 will probably

00:22:20.500 have a problem

00:22:20.980 they don't yet

00:22:21.560 but I saw

00:22:22.900 some video

00:22:23.280 of these

00:22:23.600 China quarantine

00:22:24.620 camps.

00:22:26.360 Where apparently

00:22:26.880 China is 0.85

00:22:27.480 cranking out

00:22:28.540 all these

00:22:28.900 little

00:22:29.220 standalone

00:22:31.120 it's about

00:22:33.340 the size

00:22:33.760 of two

00:22:34.660 dumpsters

00:22:35.180 I guess

00:22:35.520 and they'll

00:22:37.540 put somebody

00:22:38.000 in there

00:22:38.300 and it's got

00:22:38.600 a little

00:22:38.880 toilet room

00:22:39.960 and a

00:22:40.380 bed

00:22:40.640 and a

00:22:41.580 table

00:22:41.840 and they

00:22:43.200 just stick

00:22:43.600 them in

00:22:43.820 there and

00:22:44.060 they can't

00:22:44.360 leave for

00:22:45.340 two weeks

00:22:45.880 or whatever

00:22:46.200 it is.

00:22:47.400 It looks

00:22:47.740 really

00:22:48.100 inhuman

00:22:51.420 and you

00:22:53.380 know

00:22:53.480 somebody said

00:22:54.000 that there

00:22:54.280 are millions

00:22:54.740 of them

00:22:55.060 I doubt

00:22:55.380 there are

00:22:55.640 millions

00:22:55.920 of them

00:22:56.360 but is

00:22:57.420 there any

00:22:57.780 chance

00:22:58.180 that these

00:22:58.680 countries

00:22:59.080 that weren't

00:22:59.680 infected

00:23:00.120 early

00:23:00.680 are going

00:23:01.740 to get

00:23:02.000 away

00:23:02.240 with it?

00:23:04.200 It looks

00:23:04.940 like they're

00:23:05.300 going to

00:23:05.420 have major

00:23:05.980 problems

00:23:06.420 and again

00:23:06.940 what would

00:23:07.780 be the

00:23:08.080 impact

00:23:08.560 if Asia 0.56

00:23:10.400 gets

00:23:11.520 just hit

00:23:12.540 hard with

00:23:13.000 Omicron

00:23:13.500 and they're

00:23:13.980 trying to

00:23:14.420 kill it

00:23:15.220 by shutting

00:23:15.660 down

00:23:15.940 everything?

00:23:17.480 It's the

00:23:17.940 supply chain

00:23:18.580 again.

00:23:20.120 Is it a

00:23:20.740 coincidence

00:23:21.100 that we're

00:23:21.940 seeing one

00:23:22.780 after another

00:23:23.460 supply chain

00:23:24.300 problems

00:23:24.840 when we've

00:23:27.600 never really

00:23:28.080 had them

00:23:28.420 before and

00:23:29.260 then suddenly

00:23:29.660 it's just

00:23:30.000 all supply

00:23:30.540 chain

00:23:30.800 supply chain?

00:23:32.160 I don't know.

00:23:33.620 Looks like

00:23:34.140 something's being

00:23:34.800 tested here.

00:23:35.380 So our

00:23:39.400 reality of

00:23:40.040 course is

00:23:40.440 split into

00:23:40.980 two worlds.

00:23:42.120 You're

00:23:42.280 familiar with

00:23:42.940 the Johns

00:23:44.260 Hopkins study

00:23:45.080 that said

00:23:45.520 masks and

00:23:46.380 social distancing

00:23:47.320 didn't make

00:23:47.900 any difference

00:23:48.440 and I guess

00:23:50.460 Rand Paul is

00:23:52.220 introducing

00:23:52.640 something that

00:23:53.260 would get rid

00:23:53.680 of Fauci's

00:23:54.300 position in

00:23:54.940 the future

00:23:55.340 and put it

00:23:56.140 in three

00:23:56.520 organizations

00:23:57.120 and according

00:23:59.020 to Rand Paul

00:23:59.680 and according

00:24:00.100 to the Johns

00:24:01.120 Hopkins study

00:24:01.900 masks and

00:24:03.880 all the

00:24:04.180 lockdown stuff

00:24:04.880 totally didn't

00:24:05.640 work.

00:24:07.060 Now in the

00:24:07.700 other reality

00:24:08.500 that is just

00:24:10.200 as robust

00:24:10.980 just as

00:24:12.160 robust

00:24:12.640 if you go to

00:24:13.900 Huffington Post

00:24:14.660 they will tell

00:24:15.760 you just

00:24:16.080 matter-of-factly

00:24:17.040 that masks

00:24:18.100 and distancing

00:24:19.220 totally worked

00:24:20.100 and there's

00:24:20.940 all kinds of

00:24:21.500 science to

00:24:22.020 prove it

00:24:22.340 did.

00:24:25.400 What's

00:24:25.960 true?

00:24:27.260 I don't

00:24:27.660 know.

00:24:28.360 How did

00:24:28.840 Asia

00:24:29.920 manage to

00:24:31.360 escape

00:24:31.760 the worst

00:24:32.920 of it

00:24:33.280 if none

00:24:34.060 of that

00:24:34.320 stuff

00:24:34.580 worked?

00:24:34.880 Was it

00:24:36.020 just the

00:24:36.580 testing?

00:24:37.640 Was that

00:24:38.260 it?

00:24:38.980 Was it

00:24:39.380 the testing

00:24:39.960 alone that

00:24:41.620 allowed China

00:24:42.360 and South

00:24:43.540 Korea to

00:24:43.920 get away

00:24:44.240 with it?

00:24:45.260 Or is

00:24:47.020 it blindingly

00:24:48.380 obvious that

00:24:49.380 distance plus

00:24:50.180 masking must

00:24:51.220 have made a

00:24:51.600 big difference?

00:24:52.660 Because in

00:24:53.300 Asia they're 0.98

00:24:53.720 probably a

00:24:54.100 little more

00:24:54.440 fastidious about

00:24:55.420 wearing the

00:24:55.880 masks in

00:24:56.600 more places.

00:25:00.740 It works so

00:25:01.640 good it isn't

00:25:02.260 working now.

00:25:03.280 Well remember

00:25:04.080 the masks

00:25:05.380 everybody agrees

00:25:06.380 that they're

00:25:07.640 not going to

00:25:08.000 work that

00:25:08.400 much for

00:25:08.820 Omicron.

00:25:10.020 So the

00:25:10.740 possibility is

00:25:11.700 that they

00:25:12.060 worked great

00:25:12.760 for the

00:25:13.540 earlier versions

00:25:14.280 they don't

00:25:14.780 work at all

00:25:15.220 for Omicron

00:25:15.860 but it would

00:25:16.640 still say

00:25:17.020 they worked

00:25:17.580 up until

00:25:18.240 now.

00:25:20.120 So I

00:25:21.820 don't know

00:25:22.160 what do

00:25:22.700 you think?

00:25:26.100 Do you

00:25:27.100 think the

00:25:27.760 science is

00:25:28.380 totally in

00:25:29.920 and the

00:25:30.160 masks worked

00:25:30.700 or the

00:25:31.040 science is

00:25:31.500 totally in

00:25:31.980 and the

00:25:32.160 masks didn't

00:25:32.580 work?

00:25:33.580 I don't

00:25:33.840 know.

00:25:34.540 Beats me.

00:25:35.620 Doesn't matter

00:25:36.440 at this

00:25:37.980 point.

00:25:38.880 But that's

00:25:39.580 just one

00:25:39.920 example of

00:25:40.680 where our

00:25:41.080 reality is

00:25:42.180 really hard

00:25:44.680 to discern.

00:25:45.960 And here's

00:25:47.700 what's changed

00:25:49.040 in recent

00:25:49.500 years.

00:25:49.860 I did a

00:25:51.420 viral thread

00:25:52.080 on this.

00:25:53.960 And what

00:25:56.280 changed is

00:25:57.000 everybody

00:25:57.760 understands that

00:25:58.700 we've been

00:25:59.060 duped by all

00:25:59.900 the experts

00:26:00.460 all the

00:26:00.840 time.

00:26:02.540 It used

00:26:03.020 to be that

00:26:04.300 we thought

00:26:04.720 the other

00:26:05.220 team was

00:26:05.720 being duped

00:26:06.480 but our

00:26:07.720 team,

00:26:08.200 whatever our

00:26:08.700 team was

00:26:09.160 for you,

00:26:10.240 but that

00:26:10.560 your team

00:26:11.100 was not

00:26:12.080 being duped.

00:26:12.880 Only the

00:26:13.300 other guys.

00:26:14.040 They're

00:26:14.480 falling for

00:26:14.960 all kinds

00:26:15.320 of hoaxes.

00:26:16.580 What's

00:26:16.880 different is

00:26:18.360 I believe

00:26:18.800 that both

00:26:19.260 teams now

00:26:19.900 understand that

00:26:21.240 all we're

00:26:21.980 seeing is

00:26:22.360 fake news

00:26:22.940 from both

00:26:24.220 sides.

00:26:25.560 Because you

00:26:26.000 can see the

00:26:26.820 liberals waking

00:26:28.240 up to it

00:26:28.720 every day.

00:26:29.900 So would

00:26:30.420 you agree

00:26:30.800 that that

00:26:31.220 change has

00:26:31.760 happened,

00:26:32.200 that people

00:26:32.540 understand it's

00:26:33.880 not just the

00:26:34.600 other team

00:26:35.100 being hypnotized?

00:26:36.760 Right?

00:26:37.620 I'm not

00:26:38.200 imagining that.

00:26:39.060 We do know

00:26:39.780 that it's

00:26:40.240 happening to

00:26:40.700 us as well

00:26:41.440 as other

00:26:41.780 people.

00:26:43.660 Now in

00:26:44.240 that environment,

00:26:46.000 what the hell

00:26:46.400 do you do?

00:26:48.540 And as I

00:26:49.340 said in the

00:26:49.720 thread, there

00:26:50.420 are no trusted

00:26:51.340 truth tellers

00:26:52.420 anymore.

00:26:53.340 There's nobody

00:26:54.220 who's just a

00:26:54.940 person in any

00:26:56.760 kind of a job

00:26:57.620 that you

00:26:58.760 would say

00:26:59.020 to yourself,

00:26:59.460 well, they

00:27:00.440 might be wrong

00:27:01.100 about some

00:27:01.520 things, but

00:27:01.900 at least I

00:27:02.280 trust them.

00:27:03.340 They're not

00:27:03.640 going to lie

00:27:04.080 to me.

00:27:06.780 And I

00:27:07.680 would put

00:27:07.960 myself in

00:27:08.520 the non-credible

00:27:09.580 category with

00:27:10.380 everybody else.

00:27:12.320 Because we're

00:27:13.000 in a world

00:27:13.460 where even

00:27:14.080 if by some

00:27:16.880 miracle I was

00:27:17.740 the only person

00:27:18.300 who never

00:27:18.680 lied to you,

00:27:19.920 you wouldn't

00:27:20.860 know that.

00:27:21.460 even if

00:27:23.720 somebody was

00:27:25.000 the only

00:27:26.060 reliable truth

00:27:27.200 teller, and

00:27:28.160 maybe it could

00:27:28.660 be me, even

00:27:30.300 if it were

00:27:30.700 me, you

00:27:31.760 wouldn't know

00:27:32.260 it, because

00:27:34.040 somebody would

00:27:34.540 tell you I

00:27:34.960 wasn't.

00:27:36.220 In fact, right

00:27:37.000 now, I believe

00:27:38.200 I have the best

00:27:38.920 prediction record

00:27:39.920 in the country

00:27:40.720 by far, but

00:27:42.200 if you were to

00:27:42.680 read people's

00:27:43.300 comments about

00:27:44.000 me, they'd

00:27:45.000 say the

00:27:45.300 opposite.

00:27:46.920 So which is

00:27:47.500 true?

00:27:48.540 See, it

00:27:48.960 wouldn't even

00:27:49.320 matter if you

00:27:49.840 had a good

00:27:50.240 truth teller.

00:27:50.880 It wouldn't

00:27:52.000 matter if

00:27:52.660 somebody could

00:27:53.220 actually do

00:27:53.700 the job, because

00:27:54.320 nobody would

00:27:54.780 believe them.

00:27:55.920 So what are

00:27:56.520 you going to

00:27:56.700 do?

00:27:58.020 So I've

00:27:58.800 suggested that

00:27:59.440 there should be

00:27:59.880 something like

00:28:00.440 a supreme

00:28:01.020 court of

00:28:01.540 reality.

00:28:02.820 In other

00:28:03.100 words, actually

00:28:03.660 trying to

00:28:04.260 develop a

00:28:04.820 system that

00:28:06.420 maybe isn't

00:28:06.960 right all the

00:28:07.640 time, but

00:28:08.760 like a court

00:28:09.880 trial, you

00:28:11.280 come up with a

00:28:11.860 system to find

00:28:12.520 out what is

00:28:12.940 true and what

00:28:13.440 is false.

00:28:14.360 Won't work

00:28:14.920 every time, but

00:28:16.200 work way better

00:28:16.960 than whatever

00:28:17.460 we're doing.

00:28:18.500 Better than

00:28:19.140 guessing.

00:28:20.880 And I

00:28:23.020 saw Ross

00:28:23.660 Garber say

00:28:24.340 that maybe

00:28:24.860 it should be

00:28:25.220 more like a

00:28:25.760 regular trial as

00:28:26.800 opposed to a

00:28:27.400 supreme court

00:28:28.020 model.

00:28:28.760 But I do

00:28:29.400 think that one

00:28:30.080 of those

00:28:30.420 models or

00:28:31.100 some version

00:28:31.680 of it should

00:28:33.060 be employed so

00:28:34.660 that we have

00:28:35.340 something that the

00:28:36.440 public can look

00:28:37.140 at and say,

00:28:37.620 you know, maybe

00:28:38.960 they don't get

00:28:39.480 every one of

00:28:40.020 them right, but

00:28:41.420 the supreme

00:28:42.180 court of truth

00:28:43.040 did rule that

00:28:43.940 this is fake

00:28:44.500 news.

00:28:45.520 Or they did

00:28:46.180 rule that it's 0.60

00:28:46.800 out of context.

00:28:47.500 And then

00:28:48.680 there would be

00:28:52.560 a minority

00:28:53.100 opinion.

00:28:54.460 So you'd

00:28:55.180 always have

00:28:55.560 access to the

00:28:56.220 minority opinion,

00:28:57.960 just like with

00:28:59.060 the supreme

00:28:59.440 court.

00:29:00.120 So I don't

00:29:00.760 think it's

00:29:01.120 like the

00:29:01.600 supreme court

00:29:02.140 or like a

00:29:02.820 regular jury

00:29:03.440 trial, but

00:29:04.540 you might look

00:29:05.060 to them for

00:29:05.580 some elements

00:29:06.800 that you could

00:29:07.260 put together.

00:29:08.480 Now here's a

00:29:09.520 little story I

00:29:11.380 like to tell.

00:29:13.240 Whenever you

00:29:13.960 ask yourself,

00:29:14.960 is it even

00:29:15.460 possible to

00:29:16.580 design a

00:29:17.100 system that

00:29:17.660 would be

00:29:17.980 fair, given

00:29:19.240 human psychology?

00:29:22.260 And I always

00:29:22.960 give this example

00:29:23.720 as some of

00:29:24.600 you have

00:29:24.800 heard.

00:29:27.300 Suppose you

00:29:27.880 were a drug

00:29:28.400 dealer and

00:29:29.700 you were buying

00:29:30.720 some marijuana

00:29:31.380 and you wanted

00:29:32.840 to split it

00:29:33.400 with whoever

00:29:33.840 invested with

00:29:34.780 you.

00:29:35.680 So you've

00:29:36.060 got a big

00:29:36.320 pile of

00:29:36.760 marijuana and

00:29:37.300 you want to

00:29:37.600 split it, but

00:29:38.040 you don't have

00:29:38.460 a scale.

00:29:40.100 And even if

00:29:40.640 you did have

00:29:41.080 a scale, you'd

00:29:42.680 still argue about

00:29:43.420 who had the

00:29:43.800 better buds and

00:29:44.600 whatever.

00:29:45.260 So how

00:29:46.480 do you

00:29:46.680 divide it?

00:29:48.020 If the two

00:29:48.760 of you want

00:29:49.260 it to look

00:29:49.700 fair, so you

00:29:50.420 want to both

00:29:51.160 feel like it

00:29:51.720 was fair, but

00:29:53.260 you don't have

00:29:55.400 a way to

00:29:55.700 measure it.

00:29:57.200 Well, there

00:29:57.840 is, it turns

00:29:58.440 out, an easy

00:29:59.140 system.

00:30:00.160 And the

00:30:00.620 system is that

00:30:01.320 one person

00:30:01.940 divides up the

00:30:02.700 piles and

00:30:04.020 then the

00:30:04.400 other person

00:30:05.200 picks a

00:30:05.860 pile.

00:30:07.100 So the

00:30:07.680 cleverness of

00:30:08.360 the system is

00:30:09.040 it removes your

00:30:10.180 ability to

00:30:10.740 complain.

00:30:11.780 Because the

00:30:12.360 person who

00:30:12.760 divided the

00:30:13.320 piles in the

00:30:13.780 first place

00:30:14.240 can't complain,

00:30:15.180 they're the

00:30:15.500 one who

00:30:15.720 divided the

00:30:16.180 pile.

00:30:16.800 And the

00:30:17.260 one who

00:30:17.520 chooses one

00:30:18.160 of those

00:30:18.400 piles can't

00:30:19.000 complain, 0.54

00:30:19.820 because they

00:30:20.120 got their

00:30:20.400 choice.

00:30:21.580 And they

00:30:21.840 got to look

00:30:22.280 at them before

00:30:22.860 they chose.

00:30:24.080 So sometimes

00:30:25.260 you can be

00:30:25.880 surprised at

00:30:27.460 how an

00:30:28.140 unsolvable

00:30:29.520 looking problem

00:30:30.600 can be solved.

00:30:32.640 Before the

00:30:33.380 Constitution of

00:30:34.200 the United

00:30:34.520 States was

00:30:35.080 created, how

00:30:36.900 many people

00:30:37.420 thought you

00:30:37.820 couldn't do

00:30:38.280 it?

00:30:39.880 I don't know,

00:30:40.540 but I'm

00:30:41.320 guessing a lot

00:30:41.880 of people said,

00:30:42.400 you know, don't

00:30:42.780 even try.

00:30:43.600 It's just

00:30:43.980 going to be

00:30:44.320 dictators forever.

00:30:45.620 It's the only

00:30:46.100 thing that

00:30:46.460 works.

00:30:47.180 There's no

00:30:47.660 way you're

00:30:48.240 going to

00:30:48.320 build a

00:30:48.660 system that

00:30:49.960 gives you

00:30:50.380 fair outcomes

00:30:52.100 and everybody

00:30:52.940 agrees it's a

00:30:54.080 fair system.

00:30:55.680 But we did

00:30:56.600 it.

00:30:57.360 It worked.

00:30:58.680 We actually

00:30:59.100 built a system

00:31:00.540 which most

00:31:01.280 people think

00:31:02.080 is credible.

00:31:03.340 Now it's not

00:31:03.760 perfect.

00:31:04.760 It's not

00:31:05.340 perfect for

00:31:05.840 anything.

00:31:06.080 All right.

00:31:11.940 So how

00:31:12.580 would you

00:31:12.860 devise such

00:31:14.380 a thing?

00:31:15.340 The first

00:31:15.900 thing you do

00:31:16.400 is I don't

00:31:16.920 think you

00:31:17.280 could have

00:31:17.840 the same

00:31:19.200 people making

00:31:19.940 the decisions

00:31:20.660 all the time.

00:31:21.480 Would you

00:31:21.740 agree with

00:31:22.160 that?

00:31:23.340 So probably

00:31:23.900 you don't

00:31:24.400 want the 0.55

00:31:25.120 Supreme Court

00:31:25.800 model exactly

00:31:26.680 because you

00:31:27.620 don't want

00:31:27.920 people appointed

00:31:28.560 for life.

00:31:29.800 You wouldn't

00:31:30.060 trust them.

00:31:30.960 Right?

00:31:31.400 So the first

00:31:32.180 part of the

00:31:32.540 system is it's

00:31:33.200 got to be some

00:31:33.660 kind of a

00:31:34.080 rotating group.

00:31:34.740 The second

00:31:36.160 part of the

00:31:36.520 system is there

00:31:38.820 should be at

00:31:39.300 least some

00:31:41.200 experts involved

00:31:42.260 in their

00:31:44.240 decision.

00:31:45.340 So maybe

00:31:47.160 have a

00:31:47.500 different group

00:31:48.040 for every

00:31:48.440 category.

00:31:50.180 But you

00:31:50.820 should have

00:31:51.220 some people

00:31:51.720 who are

00:31:52.060 outside the

00:31:52.740 group and

00:31:53.740 have good

00:31:54.200 skills at

00:31:54.920 criticizing and

00:31:56.120 analyzing,

00:31:57.020 but also some

00:31:57.720 people who know

00:31:58.140 what they're

00:31:58.360 talking about,

00:31:59.040 plus some

00:31:59.400 other experts,

00:32:00.240 et cetera.

00:32:01.040 So I feel

00:32:01.780 like you could

00:32:02.300 come up with

00:32:02.780 a system where

00:32:03.920 you would at

00:32:04.480 least know

00:32:04.720 know that a

00:32:05.480 group of

00:32:06.860 people who

00:32:07.420 had been

00:32:07.700 selected just

00:32:08.580 for this

00:32:08.940 question had

00:32:10.060 looked into

00:32:10.620 it carefully

00:32:11.160 and that by

00:32:12.380 a majority

00:32:13.800 of nine to

00:32:14.880 three, the

00:32:16.280 group had

00:32:16.700 voted that

00:32:17.220 this is true

00:32:17.820 news or

00:32:18.680 fake news.

00:32:24.340 What do you

00:32:25.060 think?

00:32:26.640 Yeah, it

00:32:27.140 basically would

00:32:27.820 be a fake

00:32:28.780 news slash

00:32:29.640 reality committee.

00:32:31.900 But here's

00:32:33.300 the thing.

00:32:33.620 as long as

00:32:34.500 that group

00:32:35.080 rotates, you

00:32:36.740 could revisit

00:32:37.440 some things

00:32:38.160 that people

00:32:38.520 didn't like.

00:32:40.460 So let's

00:32:40.820 say day one,

00:32:42.660 the group

00:32:42.980 gets together

00:32:43.520 and says,

00:32:44.060 masks totally

00:32:44.980 work.

00:32:46.020 But then let's

00:32:46.860 say a new

00:32:47.200 study comes

00:32:47.760 out.

00:32:49.160 Maybe if

00:32:50.200 there's new

00:32:50.560 information,

00:32:51.200 they go back

00:32:51.600 and they rule

00:32:52.120 it again,

00:32:53.060 possibly with

00:32:53.780 a new team.

00:32:55.300 Possibly with

00:32:55.940 a new team.

00:32:57.240 And then you

00:32:57.700 would know

00:32:58.020 something you

00:32:58.480 didn't know,

00:32:59.120 right?

00:32:59.380 if the

00:33:00.620 reality team

00:33:01.440 had said

00:33:01.740 it's true

00:33:02.280 and then

00:33:02.960 later they

00:33:03.480 changed and

00:33:04.200 reversed and

00:33:04.740 said it's

00:33:05.060 false,

00:33:05.800 that tells

00:33:06.360 you something.

00:33:08.060 It either

00:33:08.420 tells you

00:33:08.820 the new

00:33:09.400 information is

00:33:10.040 important or

00:33:11.460 it tells you

00:33:11.920 that we

00:33:12.520 don't really

00:33:12.900 know on

00:33:13.280 this one.

00:33:13.760 It could go

00:33:14.160 either way.

00:33:14.580 I'm saying

00:33:20.300 that I was

00:33:21.320 approached by

00:33:21.820 a blockchain

00:33:22.460 system for

00:33:24.460 solving this.

00:33:25.380 Now, I would

00:33:26.000 need more than

00:33:26.600 that because

00:33:27.180 blockchain doesn't

00:33:27.980 tell me why

00:33:29.520 the system would

00:33:30.240 work.

00:33:31.260 So there has

00:33:31.700 to be some

00:33:32.060 balance of

00:33:32.700 interests and

00:33:33.720 transparency and

00:33:35.200 all that.

00:33:35.780 So I think it

00:33:36.360 could be done.

00:33:37.380 And I would

00:33:37.740 say,

00:33:39.200 dumbest idea

00:33:40.240 ever in all

00:33:40.880 caps,

00:33:41.380 somebody says.

00:33:42.500 And I think

00:33:43.100 that the

00:33:43.800 constitution,

00:33:44.580 did not

00:33:46.220 foresee the

00:33:47.180 degree of

00:33:47.740 fake news

00:33:48.400 that we're

00:33:49.100 experiencing

00:33:49.620 today,

00:33:50.160 especially the

00:33:50.940 weaponized AI

00:33:52.860 search engine

00:33:53.780 kind of fake

00:33:54.420 news.

00:33:55.260 And that we

00:33:56.380 actually need

00:33:56.960 something like

00:33:57.700 another branch

00:33:59.400 of the

00:33:59.680 constitution.

00:34:02.060 Now, if you

00:34:02.960 could do it

00:34:03.400 without getting

00:34:04.040 the government

00:34:04.500 involved, that'd

00:34:05.240 be great.

00:34:06.320 But how does

00:34:07.000 that work?

00:34:08.520 Unfortunately,

00:34:09.400 the market

00:34:09.900 system, which

00:34:10.820 normally corrects

00:34:12.380 imbalances,

00:34:13.480 is creating

00:34:14.520 the imbalance.

00:34:15.880 Because as

00:34:16.340 long as the

00:34:16.840 psychology of

00:34:17.520 people is that

00:34:18.280 we'll look at

00:34:19.040 fake news before

00:34:19.980 we'll look at

00:34:20.500 real news, because

00:34:21.640 the fake news is

00:34:22.320 more interesting,

00:34:23.380 as long as

00:34:24.060 that's the

00:34:24.480 case, what

00:34:25.980 the hell are

00:34:26.460 you going to

00:34:26.740 do?

00:34:27.000 I'm seeing

00:34:33.900 lots of

00:34:34.460 divorce questions

00:34:36.980 on YouTube.

00:34:38.180 Let me just

00:34:38.680 say one thing.

00:34:39.380 I'm not going to

00:34:39.860 be talking about

00:34:40.420 my personal

00:34:41.060 situation beyond

00:34:42.500 the most general

00:34:43.560 statements.

00:34:45.320 But you should

00:34:46.220 assume that in

00:34:48.260 the world where

00:34:48.880 everything is fake,

00:34:51.180 that whatever

00:34:51.900 you're thinking or

00:34:52.820 assuming about my

00:34:53.700 personal situation,

00:34:54.660 situation, there's

00:34:55.500 no way you're

00:34:56.160 right.

00:34:57.900 Because if you're

00:34:58.620 thinking it falls

00:34:59.200 into some easy

00:35:00.140 category where you

00:35:01.060 say, well, that's

00:35:01.740 obviously one of

00:35:02.540 these or one of

00:35:03.080 those, no.

00:35:05.140 It's definitely

00:35:05.920 complicated.

00:35:07.520 So if there's one

00:35:08.640 thing I can tell

00:35:09.300 you, even I don't

00:35:10.700 know what went

00:35:11.220 wrong.

00:35:12.360 And that's

00:35:12.940 legitimately true.

00:35:14.120 I have no idea.

00:35:15.560 It's so complicated

00:35:16.520 that I don't think

00:35:18.520 the people involved

00:35:19.320 even know.

00:35:19.800 like I could give

00:35:21.780 you 12 reasons

00:35:22.760 why something

00:35:24.300 ended and I

00:35:26.100 wouldn't believe

00:35:26.560 any of them.

00:35:27.280 But they sound

00:35:27.900 pretty good.

00:35:29.380 And I think

00:35:30.200 that's always the

00:35:30.740 case.

00:35:31.180 I told you this

00:35:31.800 about movies.

00:35:33.240 One of the

00:35:33.780 smartest things I

00:35:34.440 heard about movies

00:35:35.180 is that when you

00:35:35.980 don't like a movie

00:35:36.700 it looks like every

00:35:37.420 part of it was bad.

00:35:39.240 Ah, that acting,

00:35:40.420 the casting, it

00:35:41.680 was all bad.

00:35:42.900 But when a movie

00:35:43.680 is good you think,

00:35:44.680 wow, every part of

00:35:45.420 that was good.

00:35:46.540 But neither of those

00:35:47.540 are true, usually.

00:35:49.800 So it's the same

00:35:51.700 with any kind of

00:35:52.360 complicated, any kind

00:35:54.200 of complicated

00:35:54.700 situation, whether

00:35:55.520 it's a relationship

00:35:56.220 or a movie.

00:35:58.040 Anyway, you really

00:35:59.640 don't know why

00:36:00.220 things went the way

00:36:00.860 they went.

00:36:03.800 Obama has COVID.

00:36:07.220 He's got a

00:36:07.800 scratchy throat.

00:36:10.760 It could be

00:36:11.760 because Michelle

00:36:13.180 changed her strap

00:36:14.180 on, maybe, I

00:36:15.560 don't know.

00:36:16.320 Or it could be

00:36:17.200 COVID.

00:36:17.460 I'm just

00:36:19.460 kidding.

00:36:20.880 I knew you'd

00:36:21.940 laugh at that

00:36:22.440 stupid joke.

00:36:24.600 Just kidding.

00:36:27.000 All right.

00:36:28.760 Well, here's the

00:36:29.800 best news for

00:36:30.920 California,

00:36:31.700 potentially.

00:36:32.740 Michael Schellenberger

00:36:33.620 is running for

00:36:34.320 governor of

00:36:35.460 California.

00:36:36.800 Now, I've spoken

00:36:37.840 of Michael many

00:36:38.580 times because he's

00:36:40.540 probably the most

00:36:41.420 productive, non-elected

00:36:43.680 person in the

00:36:44.360 country, meaning

00:36:46.560 that he's worked

00:36:48.100 hard on promoting

00:36:49.940 nuclear as a

00:36:51.460 solution for

00:36:52.560 everything from

00:36:53.480 clean energy to

00:36:54.460 climate change, and

00:36:55.620 now the world has

00:36:56.620 gone his way.

00:36:57.880 He turned his

00:36:59.200 focus and wrote a

00:37:00.520 huge best-selling

00:37:01.320 book, San

00:37:02.200 Francisco, about

00:37:04.400 the homeless and

00:37:05.540 the addiction

00:37:05.920 problem, dug into

00:37:07.540 what works and what

00:37:08.320 doesn't, and came up

00:37:09.720 with a set of, you

00:37:11.160 know, a

00:37:11.980 prescription for

00:37:12.840 fixing it that is

00:37:14.020 based on human

00:37:14.820 nature.

00:37:16.380 Surprise, right?

00:37:18.000 Because when the

00:37:18.720 Democrats are

00:37:19.320 involved, they

00:37:19.860 usually ignore human

00:37:21.640 nature when they

00:37:23.140 build their systems,

00:37:23.960 and then, of course,

00:37:24.560 they don't work.

00:37:26.200 But Michael

00:37:27.680 Schellenberger, who

00:37:28.460 had been a

00:37:29.600 registered Democrat

00:37:30.380 for most of his

00:37:31.100 life, decided to

00:37:32.220 become an

00:37:32.620 independent because

00:37:34.020 he didn't like what

00:37:34.700 he was seeing in

00:37:35.320 either party,

00:37:36.240 basically.

00:37:37.100 But he's laser

00:37:39.540 focused on looking

00:37:41.540 at systems that

00:37:43.260 work, not just

00:37:44.940 goals, but

00:37:46.280 systems.

00:37:47.600 And he's really,

00:37:49.500 really good at

00:37:50.300 finding out which

00:37:51.180 systems worked where

00:37:52.340 and why, and then

00:37:53.960 breaking it down to

00:37:54.820 their simple elements

00:37:55.680 to say we should do

00:37:57.160 this and not do

00:37:57.900 that.

00:37:58.600 So he's got

00:37:59.240 prescriptions from

00:38:00.600 everything from,

00:38:01.600 you know, addictions

00:38:02.360 to homeless to the

00:38:04.960 forest fires to

00:38:06.780 energy, and they're

00:38:08.840 all detailed.

00:38:11.780 They're very

00:38:12.540 detailed, very

00:38:14.080 specific, based on

00:38:15.320 things that work in

00:38:16.140 other places.

00:38:17.460 And how would you

00:38:18.400 pick the guy who's

00:38:19.140 done everything

00:38:19.740 wrong, Newsom?

00:38:23.080 I mean, all the

00:38:23.820 big issues he got

00:38:24.940 wrong, it looks

00:38:26.880 like.

00:38:29.740 So how do you

00:38:30.520 pick the person who

00:38:31.340 got, who has

00:38:32.580 detailed solutions

00:38:33.560 that look totally

00:38:34.440 practical?

00:38:35.920 Well, the problem

00:38:36.800 is if he runs as an

00:38:37.820 independent, he

00:38:38.600 doesn't have party

00:38:39.320 support.

00:38:40.860 But did you know

00:38:42.140 that there are

00:38:43.600 basically three

00:38:44.420 parties in California

00:38:45.420 if you count

00:38:46.100 independents?

00:38:47.620 And the

00:38:47.940 independents are the 0.69

00:38:48.640 biggest party.

00:38:50.020 So I think the

00:38:50.880 independents are 1.00

00:38:51.600 bigger than either

00:38:52.280 the Democrats or

00:38:53.160 the Republicans.

00:38:55.280 And he's running as

00:38:56.460 an independent.

00:38:57.440 Now, can he make

00:38:58.820 that work as an

00:38:59.600 independent?

00:39:00.120 Because that's the

00:39:00.920 tough thing, right?

00:39:02.160 It's hard to get

00:39:03.260 elected as an

00:39:04.620 independent.

00:39:05.540 But I don't know

00:39:06.360 if it's this hard

00:39:07.060 after California has

00:39:08.240 failed so badly on

00:39:09.520 so many big

00:39:11.080 issues.

00:39:12.540 So certainly the

00:39:13.840 door is open.

00:39:15.520 Now, the other

00:39:16.220 thing that Michael

00:39:16.820 Schellenberger has

00:39:17.800 going for him and

00:39:18.820 running for governor

00:39:19.460 is me and other

00:39:23.480 people helping him,

00:39:24.300 of course.

00:39:24.920 So he has a lot of

00:39:25.700 support from people

00:39:26.700 who have been

00:39:26.960 watching him for a

00:39:27.700 long time and know

00:39:28.900 that he can produce.

00:39:30.340 If he didn't know he

00:39:31.300 could produce, I

00:39:33.400 wouldn't be as

00:39:33.980 full-throated in my

00:39:35.220 endorsement.

00:39:36.200 But this is one

00:39:37.160 case where I can

00:39:38.500 say unambiguously,

00:39:40.140 this is really a

00:39:40.920 clean decision.

00:39:43.940 There's just no way

00:39:44.960 he's not the right

00:39:45.840 choice.

00:39:46.640 There's just no way.

00:39:47.740 This is really easy.

00:39:49.140 Doesn't mean he gets

00:39:50.020 elected.

00:39:51.300 But it would be an

00:39:52.180 easy decision for

00:39:53.260 people who looked

00:39:53.980 into it.

00:39:55.740 Well, Amazon has

00:39:56.740 decided to relocate

00:39:58.100 some of its offices

00:39:59.000 from downtown Seattle

00:40:00.460 because it's too

00:40:01.120 dangerous.

00:40:01.620 Seattle is so

00:40:04.240 crime-ridden in

00:40:05.700 parts of it because

00:40:06.900 of the defund the

00:40:08.420 police and whatnot

00:40:09.420 that even Amazon's

00:40:11.100 moving out.

00:40:11.840 There was a

00:40:12.160 McDonald's that

00:40:12.860 closed.

00:40:14.700 Frickin'

00:40:15.120 McDonald's closed.

00:40:16.300 How often does that

00:40:17.060 happen?

00:40:17.580 I think it happened

00:40:18.080 one other time.

00:40:19.700 So Seattle's a mess.

00:40:21.140 It's all in the park.

00:40:23.280 And I say to you,

00:40:28.160 people, people of the

00:40:30.260 world, if we could

00:40:31.980 get ourselves some

00:40:32.760 kind of a Supreme

00:40:34.180 Court of Truth, and

00:40:36.160 we could get

00:40:36.640 ourselves a Michael

00:40:37.780 Schellenberger governor

00:40:39.740 in California, and

00:40:42.240 we can get ourselves

00:40:43.760 out of the last

00:40:44.860 mandates of this

00:40:45.900 pandemic, and we

00:40:48.120 can put the pain on

00:40:50.080 Putin without a

00:40:51.740 nuclear war, and we

00:40:53.580 can use the Putin 0.60

00:40:56.700 situation as a way to

00:40:58.380 get more energy

00:40:59.200 independent.

00:41:01.460 I feel like it

00:41:04.120 might look like

00:41:04.800 things are going to

00:41:05.600 hell, but we're

00:41:08.100 really in a pretty

00:41:09.320 good situation except

00:41:10.700 for inflation.

00:41:12.700 I have one

00:41:13.920 remaining big

00:41:15.400 worry, and that's

00:41:18.560 inflation.

00:41:19.440 And I don't quite

00:41:20.180 know how that plays

00:41:22.020 out, except that I

00:41:23.260 guess it is a tax

00:41:24.540 without, I guess you

00:41:27.140 could say it's a

00:41:27.660 tax.

00:41:27.980 Now, the other

00:41:29.220 possibility is that

00:41:30.520 there is a transient

00:41:32.380 portion of this.

00:41:34.660 Well, there is a

00:41:35.360 transient portion.

00:41:36.300 So I think if you get

00:41:37.140 past the Ukraine 0.62

00:41:38.000 situation, you get

00:41:38.920 past COVID, if we

00:41:42.760 could get our supply

00:41:43.520 chain working, I

00:41:44.720 think we're fine.

00:41:46.880 I think we'll be in

00:41:47.880 good shape.

00:41:48.300 somebody's asking me a

00:41:54.020 question that I'm

00:41:55.060 going to give you a

00:41:55.520 generic answer.

00:41:56.520 I don't live with a 1.00

00:41:57.540 regret, and that's

00:41:59.140 part of the reframe.

00:42:00.660 If you ever enjoyed

00:42:02.100 it, then you got what

00:42:04.620 you wanted.

00:42:05.360 If it turns bad at the

00:42:06.720 end, everything does.

00:42:09.140 Every company goes out

00:42:10.060 of business.

00:42:11.080 It just takes a while.

00:42:12.520 Some companies might

00:42:13.520 take 300 years, but

00:42:14.560 they're going out of

00:42:15.240 business.

00:42:15.620 Oh, they're going out

00:42:16.940 of business.

00:42:18.520 And, you know, every

00:42:19.120 relationship ends because

00:42:20.260 people die.

00:42:21.100 At the very least, you're

00:42:22.060 going to die. 0.95

00:42:24.120 So don't ask about

00:42:26.660 regret.

00:42:27.620 I don't have any.

00:42:30.460 And let me put it in

00:42:32.000 the most stark terms.

00:42:35.040 Both of my marriages,

00:42:37.080 totally worth it.

00:42:38.840 Totally worth it.

00:42:39.740 I would do it again in a

00:42:40.580 heartbeat.

00:42:43.120 No matter how they end.

00:42:45.620 All right.

00:42:47.880 That, ladies and

00:42:49.100 gentlemen, is no doubt

00:42:52.340 the best thing you've

00:42:55.160 ever seen in your life.

00:42:58.100 And the news has

00:43:00.440 largely stopped because

00:43:01.880 there's nothing but

00:43:02.680 inflation in Ukraine and

00:43:04.180 the lingering COVID

00:43:06.280 issues.

00:43:07.220 And we talked about

00:43:09.200 those too much.

00:43:10.060 I think also that you're

00:43:15.380 going to see a huge

00:43:16.600 change in rare

00:43:19.720 minerals.

00:43:22.000 Do you believe that the

00:43:23.420 rare minerals only seem

00:43:25.040 to exist in the places

00:43:26.180 that are hard to get at

00:43:27.240 them?

00:43:28.380 Why is that?

00:43:30.220 Do you think we don't

00:43:31.280 have rare minerals anywhere

00:43:32.700 in the United States?

00:43:36.020 It's pollution based.

00:43:37.420 Is that the reason we

00:43:39.020 don't do it here?

00:43:39.700 Because it would be too

00:43:40.800 polluting?

00:43:42.300 Somebody says the U.S.

00:43:43.280 has plenty?

00:43:45.180 Yeah, ERA?

00:43:46.600 Maybe.

00:43:47.760 But, yeah, I think

00:43:49.020 those are technical

00:43:50.060 problems that are likely

00:43:51.080 to be solved.

00:43:56.340 Yeah, the dollar has

00:43:57.600 left its position as the

00:43:58.960 sole means of trade.

00:44:01.500 But let me ask you

00:44:02.580 this.

00:44:03.640 Would you rather have a

00:44:04.560 dollar or a

00:44:05.680 whatever, ruble?

00:44:08.980 I don't think it's

00:44:09.960 close yet, is it?

00:44:11.960 Wouldn't everybody still

00:44:13.100 rather have a dollar?

00:44:16.380 Oh, did Bill Maher

00:44:17.520 already go into

00:44:18.400 Ben Shapiro?

00:44:21.280 I'll go watch.

00:44:21.980 Oh, would it be the

00:44:22.920 one?

00:44:27.040 Why I told you

00:44:28.140 Ukraine will win 0.99

00:44:29.500 day two.

00:44:30.980 Why do Westerners 0.99

00:44:32.100 not believe in Ukraine?

00:44:33.380 Oh, okay.

00:44:35.080 Troll.

00:44:39.840 All right, I'll go

00:44:40.940 watch that Ben Shapiro

00:44:42.320 thing.

00:44:44.660 Did Shapiro use the

00:44:46.100 really frame with

00:44:46.920 Bill Maher?

00:44:48.680 Did he?

00:44:50.360 Did that actually

00:44:51.380 happen?

00:44:52.680 You know, the really

00:44:53.700 frame is where you go,

00:44:55.040 really?

00:44:56.320 Really?

00:44:58.280 Really?

00:44:58.800 Uh, yes, he did.

00:45:02.120 Oh, okay.

00:45:04.320 We'll have to watch

00:45:05.160 that just to see that.

00:45:08.180 Yeah, Shapiro is,

00:45:10.080 somebody says Ben Shapiro

00:45:11.600 is a genius.

00:45:12.540 But it's funny, that's

00:45:13.180 not like a compliment,

00:45:14.480 that's just a

00:45:15.000 description.

00:45:16.300 Because he's like

00:45:17.100 literally a genius.

00:45:20.640 So you think the

00:45:21.480 dollar is done soon?

00:45:22.580 I don't know.

00:45:23.260 I'm not betting

00:45:24.020 against the dollar.

00:45:25.340 If you bet against

00:45:26.020 the dollar, you're,

00:45:26.900 that's, that's a

00:45:29.540 pretty contrarian bet,

00:45:31.040 I think.

00:45:33.980 Yeah, the dollar,

00:45:34.820 the dollar only has

00:45:35.760 to be better than

00:45:36.360 the other ones.

00:45:38.220 That's, that's the

00:45:39.020 thing, right?

00:45:39.720 It only has to be

00:45:40.600 better than the

00:45:41.100 alternatives.

00:45:41.680 It doesn't have to

00:45:42.180 be great.

00:45:43.220 It could be degraded

00:45:44.200 by a lot.

00:45:45.360 It just has to be

00:45:45.960 better.

00:45:53.380 The frame used in

00:45:55.000 reference to Trump

00:45:56.060 Oh, the really

00:45:57.400 frame used in

00:45:58.060 preference to Trump

00:45:58.860 by, okay.

00:46:00.120 All right, I'll go

00:46:00.580 watch that.

00:46:01.280 All right, I got

00:46:01.720 nothing else for you

00:46:02.420 today.

00:46:03.360 No doubt, this was

00:46:04.460 the highlight of your

00:46:05.160 life.

00:46:05.780 And I'll see you

00:46:06.540 tomorrow.

00:46:07.500 All right.

00:46:08.420 Tomorrow it is.

00:46:09.100 We'll be here.

00:46:10.320 All right.

00:46:10.960 All right.

00:46:11.340 Let's do this.

00:46:19.900 Bye.

00:46:27.020 Bye.

00:46:27.940 Bye.

00:46:28.400 Yuri.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - March 14, 2022

Episode 1682 Scott Adams： The Nature of Reality Has Revealed Itself Again. Let's Talk About Ukraine And More

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