Real Coffee with Scott Adams - March 15, 2022


Episode 1683 Scott Adams： Putin's Health, The Next Governor of California, Lots More


Episode Stats

Length

53 minutes

Words per Minute

141.33072

Word Count

7,513

Sentence Count

593

Misogynist Sentences

9

Hate Speech Sentences

26


Summary

In this episode of Coffee with Scott Adams, we discuss the latest news in the world, including the Chinese government shut down, the Chernobyl disaster, and the Russian invasion of Ukraine. Plus, we talk about a new drug that can make you drowsy.


Transcript

00:00:00.000 Good morning, everybody, and welcome to the best thing that's ever happened to you, pretty, pretty sure.
00:00:09.200 It's called Coffee with Scott Adams, and aren't you lucky to be here?
00:00:13.100 You are. You're lucky, you're sexy, you're smart, and damn it, you know it, and you should.
00:00:20.480 But if you'd like to take it up a notch and enjoy the camaraderie, the fellowship,
00:00:26.260 and other words that sound weirdly sexist, for some reason,
00:00:30.680 all you need is a cup or mug or a glass or tank or a chalice or stein,
00:00:34.820 a canteen jug or flask, a vessel of any kind.
00:00:38.220 Fill it with your favorite liquid.
00:00:42.060 Oh, yeah, and we're going to Salisbury Hill.
00:00:44.620 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure.
00:00:48.700 It's the dopamine the other day, and it's the thing that will make everything better.
00:00:51.960 It's called the Simultaneous Sip. Go.
00:00:56.260 Oh, yeah. Yeah.
00:01:01.520 Coursing through every corp bustle in my body.
00:01:06.480 Powering up.
00:01:08.040 All right, full power now.
00:01:09.860 You don't know what you're going to get now.
00:01:12.860 Well, let's see what's going on in the world.
00:01:16.140 China's pretty much screwed.
00:01:18.140 They're shutting down things because of COVID.
00:01:20.200 They've shut down life in Shenzhen and Shanghai,
00:01:24.260 and the Foxconn company that makes iPhones
00:01:28.040 is having to move their business to other locations.
00:01:31.020 And, well, it's looking kind of ugly.
00:01:34.080 And here's my question.
00:01:36.000 Number one, do you remember I've been warning you
00:01:39.300 that China's pandemic is ahead of them?
00:01:42.960 I did that, right?
00:01:44.040 Can somebody confirm that I've been telling you
00:01:47.160 that China's pandemic is ahead of them, not behind them?
00:01:50.600 Yeah, okay.
00:01:51.240 I'm seeing in the comments you remember I said that.
00:01:53.480 Now, I don't remember anybody else saying that in public.
00:01:57.200 Do you?
00:01:58.860 Do you remember?
00:01:59.900 Do you remember anybody else saying,
00:02:01.640 uh, I think China's problem is ahead of them?
00:02:05.080 Certainly when Omicron came.
00:02:06.740 Because the idea was that the virus was going to be around forever,
00:02:09.500 and the vaccinations don't stop it,
00:02:12.580 and the Chinese vaccinations especially don't stop it.
00:02:16.340 So, uh, well, it looks like Sweden's pandemic is behind them, yeah.
00:02:20.800 I think the West has largely conquered this thing.
00:02:25.940 I hope so.
00:02:27.720 But, um, why is it that every single thing that happens in the news
00:02:32.200 has a supply chain impact?
00:02:36.060 This can't be a coincidence, is it?
00:02:37.980 Just everything has a supply chain impact.
00:02:41.840 Whereas two years ago, nothing did.
00:02:44.900 Am I right?
00:02:46.260 It just went from everything affects the...
00:02:48.180 Nothing affects it to everything affects it?
00:02:50.660 There's something going on
00:02:52.020 that doesn't look completely organic to me.
00:02:55.960 I don't know what it is.
00:02:58.060 Uh, could be that we're in a simulation
00:02:59.580 and we're testing supply chains.
00:03:01.040 It could be weird coincidence, I guess.
00:03:03.500 Um, Zelensky has picked up on my persuasion.
00:03:10.780 Not specifically my persuasion, but let me explain.
00:03:16.400 Um, so Zelensky is now trying to talk directly
00:03:20.920 to the Russian conscripts that are in the Russian invading army.
00:03:25.280 Now, I don't imagine his message can reach them too easily.
00:03:29.220 Seems like they would be protected from any outside messages.
00:03:33.400 But, he said, if you surrender to our forces...
00:03:36.780 So he's actually talking about the Russian military
00:03:38.760 being defeated militarily
00:03:40.920 and surrendering.
00:03:43.540 And what he says is, if you surrender to our forces,
00:03:47.820 uh, that your people will be treated
00:03:50.180 the way they're supposed to be treated,
00:03:52.140 as people, decently,
00:03:54.280 in a way you were not treated in your army.
00:03:58.740 Literally, Zelensky is telling the Russian army people
00:04:01.960 that they would be treated better as prisoners of Ukraine
00:04:05.720 than as military members of their army.
00:04:10.900 And you know what?
00:04:12.020 He might be right.
00:04:16.200 Doesn't that ring true?
00:04:18.140 Because I think the Russian transcripts
00:04:20.040 are really being treated as cannon fodder.
00:04:22.940 They're being treated as cannon fodder
00:04:24.780 for no gain to them, or their country, really.
00:04:28.900 No gain.
00:04:30.320 The Russian army wants to kill these guys
00:04:33.260 or put them in harm's way.
00:04:34.780 They'll be damaged for life, even if they survive.
00:04:37.320 You know, there'll be PTSD and everything else.
00:04:39.440 So the Russian army is absolutely abusing
00:04:42.120 their own, uh, conscripts.
00:04:44.900 And I do think that the Ukrainians
00:04:48.340 might treat them better as prisoners of war.
00:04:52.020 That's actually literally true.
00:04:54.320 That's the damnedest thing, isn't it?
00:04:56.780 Has anybody ever told, uh, an invading army
00:04:59.640 we'll treat you better as prisoners
00:05:01.140 than you're being treated by your overlords right now?
00:05:03.360 And actually, and actually could sell that.
00:05:07.620 You can sell it because it's true.
00:05:10.480 I think.
00:05:12.100 I think it's actually true.
00:05:14.240 Well, here's the part I wanted to point out.
00:05:17.160 Well, we've all been impressed
00:05:19.480 at how persuasive Zelensky has been.
00:05:22.920 But then I look for a specific technique.
00:05:28.000 If you see technique, then you say to yourself,
00:05:31.840 where did he learn that?
00:05:34.420 Who taught him that?
00:05:37.020 And if he's just sort of randomly persuasive,
00:05:39.640 then you think, oh, maybe he's just some kind of a natural
00:05:41.520 or has something to do with the situation he's in.
00:05:44.440 It just is automatic.
00:05:45.160 But here's the technique.
00:05:47.600 This is what I've been waiting for.
00:05:49.960 Have you ever heard of a thing called
00:05:51.560 making you think past the sale?
00:05:53.840 I talk about it all the time.
00:05:56.180 It was Trump's main trick.
00:05:58.940 He would make you think about how things would be
00:06:00.780 after you'd made the decision,
00:06:02.720 as if the decision is already made.
00:06:05.720 And when he talks to the Russian conscripts,
00:06:10.500 to the extent that he can actually get his message to them,
00:06:13.420 he talks about how they'll be treated after they surrender.
00:06:20.140 Do you see it?
00:06:21.380 Do you see the technique?
00:06:22.980 Here's how you'll be treated after you surrender.
00:06:27.080 That's exactly the right way to say it.
00:06:29.820 Rather than saying, you know, you're in trouble,
00:06:33.940 your masters are cheating you poorly,
00:06:36.580 he talks about what will happen after they've surrendered.
00:06:41.980 That, ladies and gentlemen,
00:06:44.540 is a tell for professional advice.
00:06:48.720 He is being advised by somebody who knows what the hell they're doing.
00:06:56.800 I don't know that he knows this stuff by himself.
00:07:00.840 You know, there's no information we have
00:07:03.840 that he had some kind of training in persuasion or something.
00:07:07.240 Maybe he did.
00:07:08.580 You know, we know he's a good actor.
00:07:10.480 We know that he presents well.
00:07:11.940 But that's a very small part of persuasion,
00:07:14.340 just presenting well and speaking well.
00:07:16.140 You have to know the technique.
00:07:19.060 This latest thing he's doing,
00:07:21.360 which does two things.
00:07:23.800 Well, actually, it makes you think past two separate sails.
00:07:27.660 Two completely different sails.
00:07:28.980 One sail is imagining that you've surrendered.
00:07:34.600 And the other sail is that Zelensky is predicting victory,
00:07:38.060 direct military victory over Russian troops.
00:07:40.780 Not survival.
00:07:42.800 Not survival.
00:07:44.500 Not a deal.
00:07:45.220 Not survival.
00:07:46.440 Victory.
00:07:48.880 Do you think he can sell that story?
00:07:52.440 Do you think there's anybody who will believe the story
00:07:54.800 that Ukraine is actually winning or could win?
00:08:00.880 And the answer is,
00:08:03.520 yes.
00:08:06.440 In my opinion,
00:08:08.300 half of Putin's army might,
00:08:10.620 I'll put a might in there
00:08:11.520 because we don't know what's happening for sure.
00:08:13.020 I think half of Putin's army is trapped.
00:08:16.940 And I think that between NATO communication,
00:08:21.780 coordination,
00:08:22.640 and satellite spotting,
00:08:23.960 and weaponry,
00:08:24.780 and even training,
00:08:26.480 the Ukraine's special forces
00:08:28.280 are really, really trained.
00:08:30.900 I'm being asked if I'm high amazingly.
00:08:35.860 No.
00:08:36.220 By the way,
00:08:38.480 I won't ever lie to you about that.
00:08:40.400 If I tell you I'm not high,
00:08:42.120 I'm not high.
00:08:43.620 I don't really have any reason to tell you I'm not.
00:08:47.080 If I tell you I am,
00:08:48.280 I certainly would tell you what I'm not.
00:08:50.120 But I'm not.
00:08:50.620 In case you wondered.
00:08:55.180 Somebody says,
00:08:55.960 good time for China to invade Russia.
00:08:58.700 I don't think so.
00:09:00.300 Well,
00:09:00.780 I'm going to say that Zelensky's got some persuasion at help,
00:09:06.080 probably from somebody in a foreign intelligence agency,
00:09:09.960 maybe one of ours,
00:09:11.760 for example.
00:09:12.460 And let me ask you this.
00:09:19.580 Who did you hear talking about Ukraine winning militarily besides me?
00:09:28.140 Anybody?
00:09:29.660 Who was the first person you heard say,
00:09:32.620 you know,
00:09:33.520 I think Ukraine might actually win militarily?
00:09:37.460 Or at least give them such a black nose that they have to leave.
00:09:42.460 Somebody says,
00:09:43.560 you did.
00:09:44.920 Somebody says,
00:09:45.780 none really.
00:09:46.920 Somebody says the entire MSN.
00:09:48.500 That's not true.
00:09:50.060 The mainstream media thinks that Ukraine should have been swallowed in two days.
00:09:58.020 All right.
00:09:59.100 Yeah.
00:09:59.860 Now here's what I wonder.
00:10:01.580 I think I've told you that on some topics I might be persuading and not just predicting.
00:10:07.320 I think the CIA has picked up on,
00:10:10.380 and I'm not saying that they're copying me.
00:10:13.100 That would be a claim with no evidence whatsoever.
00:10:16.420 But people who know how to persuade know how to persuade.
00:10:21.060 If I were Zelensky,
00:10:22.400 I would be talking about an outright victory over Russian troops,
00:10:27.120 even if I didn't necessarily believe it was going to happen.
00:10:30.280 I'd still be talking about it,
00:10:31.960 because you want to put that in their heads, right?
00:10:34.200 You want at least,
00:10:35.160 you want the people who are giving you weapons and support to believe they could actually win.
00:10:41.040 Otherwise,
00:10:41.480 why would they give you weapons if you're just going to lose anyway?
00:10:44.600 So if I had Ben Zelensky,
00:10:47.640 I would be handling this part of it exactly this way.
00:10:53.300 Like,
00:10:53.540 exactly.
00:10:54.580 And it's the,
00:10:56.140 I guess it's the precision of this persuasion that makes it look professional.
00:11:02.480 There's a certain precision of the perfectness of his message right now
00:11:06.400 that just doesn't look organic.
00:11:08.660 I mean,
00:11:09.120 it looks like smart people who know how to do this are telling him what to do,
00:11:12.980 and he's good enough to be able to do it.
00:11:17.380 Yeah,
00:11:17.860 ask if anything about Zelensky is true.
00:11:19.980 The only thing I'm sure is true is that he's persuasive.
00:11:25.220 I'm sure that's true.
00:11:26.940 Everything else about Ukraine,
00:11:28.920 I don't believe.
00:11:30.680 I don't believe anything else I'm hearing about Ukraine.
00:11:33.780 We'll talk about some of those.
00:11:35.560 Well,
00:11:35.980 here's a good example.
00:11:36.920 The news was saying today that more than 140,000 Ukrainians,
00:11:40.680 mostly men,
00:11:41.220 have returned from Europe to fight for Ukraine.
00:11:45.240 Do you believe that number?
00:11:46.800 Do you believe that 140,000 people and people are being turned away?
00:11:52.620 Apparently they're being turned away because there's quote,
00:11:54.640 no room.
00:11:56.700 Like Ukraine is all,
00:11:58.100 is all filled up with people.
00:11:59.440 There's no room left for more foreign fighters to come in.
00:12:02.780 Apparently the news says there are 20,000 appeals from foreigners who are ready
00:12:07.360 to come.
00:12:07.820 So people who are not even Ukrainian by,
00:12:10.400 by any ethnic connection,
00:12:13.940 people with no ethnic connection to Ukraine,
00:12:16.700 20,000 of them have already signed up to come fight because they want to fight
00:12:20.420 against the Russian Nazis on the Ukrainian side.
00:12:26.000 I don't believe any of that.
00:12:28.320 Do you?
00:12:32.420 Do you really?
00:12:33.880 Right.
00:12:34.580 No.
00:12:35.340 Somebody says yes.
00:12:36.800 But on locals,
00:12:37.780 it's all no's.
00:12:39.120 So the part I don't believe is 140,000.
00:12:41.180 If you told me that 10,000 came,
00:12:44.720 I'd say that could be.
00:12:46.600 If you'd heard the number was 10,000,
00:12:49.420 would you believe it?
00:12:51.380 I think I'd believe 10,000.
00:12:54.440 I mean,
00:12:54.780 even that sounds high.
00:12:56.820 But I'd lean toward believing it.
00:12:59.660 At 140,000?
00:13:01.100 No way.
00:13:02.460 No way.
00:13:03.040 The entire Russian army is 150,000 people.
00:13:08.260 Am I right?
00:13:09.380 I mean,
00:13:09.760 the entire invading army,
00:13:11.080 not the entire Russian army,
00:13:12.640 but the entire invading Russian army is 150,000 people.
00:13:16.220 And you think that 140,000 foreign living Ukrainian associated people
00:13:22.120 signed up and actually came to Ukraine to fight?
00:13:25.420 No.
00:13:25.900 What's not correct?
00:13:31.960 There are 44 million in the country,
00:13:33.800 so somebody says they can believe it.
00:13:35.320 No,
00:13:35.540 I don't believe it.
00:13:36.620 Not going to buy it.
00:13:38.580 All right.
00:13:39.240 Elon Musk tweeted an offer to fight Putin one-on-one
00:13:43.540 with the winner getting Ukraine.
00:13:47.900 Perfectly normal day.
00:13:49.840 Let's see what's happening in the news.
00:13:51.660 Let's see.
00:13:52.360 Richest man in the world.
00:13:54.480 Oh,
00:13:54.920 okay.
00:13:55.220 He's offering to be the champion fighter for the Ukrainian people,
00:14:00.600 and he wants to actually have a physical fight with Putin,
00:14:04.260 and then they'll decide who wins.
00:14:08.440 What is Musk up to?
00:14:11.500 Why do you do this?
00:14:13.560 This is real,
00:14:14.260 by the way.
00:14:15.220 In case you thought I made this up,
00:14:17.980 he literally did this,
00:14:19.460 Musk did,
00:14:20.320 literally offered to fight Putin one-on-one as a champion.
00:14:24.240 The winner gets Ukraine.
00:14:27.200 He really said it.
00:14:28.540 And then when somebody asked him if he was serious,
00:14:30.400 he said yes.
00:14:32.620 Why'd he do it?
00:14:35.120 Why'd he do it?
00:14:36.360 Tell me why.
00:14:38.940 You say publicity's done?
00:14:40.520 Everything that Elon does probably has more than one benefit or purpose.
00:14:47.220 So publicity is part of it.
00:14:49.040 But publicity is not what I'm looking for.
00:14:50.680 He's always looking for publicity.
00:14:52.000 That's just a given,
00:14:53.240 because he doesn't have a marketing department at Tesla.
00:14:57.280 Somebody says high ground maneuver.
00:15:00.460 Close.
00:15:00.900 Close.
00:15:02.020 Close.
00:15:04.240 Here's what I think it is.
00:15:06.700 Number one,
00:15:08.120 Elon Musk is not like us.
00:15:11.460 Will you accept the first premise?
00:15:14.220 Elon Musk,
00:15:14.900 he's not like us.
00:15:16.760 I don't know what he's like,
00:15:17.940 but he's not like us.
00:15:19.600 He's better than us.
00:15:22.180 I hate to say it,
00:15:23.320 but he's better than us.
00:15:24.500 I mean,
00:15:24.960 it's not an accident that he's the richest man in the world.
00:15:27.080 He's smarter.
00:15:30.900 One of the parts of his talent stack,
00:15:34.260 which he never gets credit for,
00:15:36.400 because he's so engineering-centric,
00:15:41.000 that you think of him that way.
00:15:43.440 But he's one of the best persuaders of all time.
00:15:48.700 Of all time.
00:15:50.260 Maybe.
00:15:51.360 Maybe the best.
00:15:52.940 I mean,
00:15:53.160 it's hard to measure that kind of thing exactly.
00:15:55.920 But you could make an argument
00:15:57.500 he's the best there's ever been.
00:15:59.800 Because his companies didn't become great companies
00:16:02.320 because he's a great engineer.
00:16:04.160 I heard somebody say that.
00:16:05.680 Somebody said that you should think of Elon
00:16:08.940 as a great engineer,
00:16:10.620 and that would explain why his companies are succeeding.
00:16:13.400 Nope.
00:16:14.500 Nope.
00:16:16.000 I think he might be a great engineer,
00:16:17.980 but that would just be part of his talent stack.
00:16:20.180 He's not an engineer, for one thing.
00:16:21.500 He's a physicist.
00:16:22.600 I think he picked up engineering as a side job or something.
00:16:27.160 Just something he figured out on his own.
00:16:30.780 Here's what I know that maybe you're not aware of.
00:16:33.880 The people who came from the PayPal mafia,
00:16:37.000 the so-called PayPal mafia,
00:16:39.080 it was the folks who were part of that first PayPal startup.
00:16:43.160 Elon Musk was one of them.
00:16:45.680 Peter Thiel was one of them.
00:16:46.980 Hoffman was part of them.
00:16:51.200 So they formed LinkedIn
00:16:52.300 and everything Peter Thiel did,
00:16:54.440 Facebook, Pantera,
00:16:56.180 and now Elon Musk.
00:16:58.320 They all came from that same little startup.
00:17:00.500 Is that a coincidence?
00:17:02.200 What do you think?
00:17:03.240 Is it a coincidence that three people
00:17:04.900 from that same startup
00:17:06.080 all went and did amazing things?
00:17:09.560 Do you know what all of those amazing things
00:17:11.420 had in common?
00:17:14.580 Persuasion.
00:17:14.980 Everything they did that worked,
00:17:18.120 you look at it and you say,
00:17:19.140 you know, I get how they could do the engineering,
00:17:22.620 but how do they get somebody to buy into it?
00:17:26.020 Let me ask you this.
00:17:27.840 How in the world
00:17:28.900 did a startup
00:17:31.160 get banks to agree with them
00:17:33.960 being like a little electronic bank
00:17:36.320 when PayPal was brand new?
00:17:38.440 Before PayPal,
00:17:39.520 people were not sending money
00:17:40.880 back and forth digitally
00:17:43.200 to each other.
00:17:47.240 Somehow,
00:17:47.900 somehow PayPal
00:17:49.160 convinced people
00:17:51.120 to do something
00:17:51.740 completely outside
00:17:52.780 of their trained nature
00:17:54.260 to trust an app
00:17:57.260 with their money.
00:17:58.340 That's really hard.
00:18:01.020 How'd they do it?
00:18:03.720 And then how did somebody
00:18:05.540 build LinkedIn?
00:18:07.640 LinkedIn was basically
00:18:09.780 just a resume online
00:18:11.240 with, you know,
00:18:12.060 some social aspects and stuff.
00:18:14.040 I don't think LinkedIn
00:18:14.980 was ever the greatest idea
00:18:16.400 or even an innovative idea.
00:18:18.860 But somehow,
00:18:20.020 everybody wanted to do it
00:18:21.220 and it became huge.
00:18:24.440 So,
00:18:25.060 if you look at the persuasion element
00:18:26.940 of PayPal,
00:18:28.860 LinkedIn,
00:18:30.120 Facebook,
00:18:31.440 and everything else
00:18:32.400 that these people do
00:18:34.300 from electric cars,
00:18:36.080 do you know how much persuasion
00:18:37.520 it takes to sell
00:18:38.480 an electric car
00:18:39.300 or to build
00:18:40.360 a rocket company
00:18:42.200 to go to Mars?
00:18:43.900 I mean,
00:18:44.180 you're talking about
00:18:44.960 unusual levels
00:18:47.340 of persuasion
00:18:48.140 to get any of that
00:18:48.940 to work.
00:18:49.520 Forget about the engineering,
00:18:51.220 which is super impressive.
00:18:53.960 How about Uber?
00:18:57.620 Uber didn't work
00:18:58.740 because guys
00:18:59.780 were really good
00:19:00.460 at making apps,
00:19:01.940 although the app
00:19:02.620 is really good.
00:19:04.120 Uber works
00:19:04.700 because somebody
00:19:05.400 was persuasive
00:19:06.280 as hell
00:19:07.000 and figured out
00:19:08.400 how to get past
00:19:09.840 all these local ordinances
00:19:11.100 and, oh my God,
00:19:12.840 a lot of persuasion.
00:19:14.240 So, the thing
00:19:14.820 that people miss
00:19:15.440 is the persuasive power
00:19:17.060 of successful people.
00:19:18.780 They didn't get there
00:19:19.620 just by being
00:19:20.320 good engineers,
00:19:21.520 ever.
00:19:22.380 It's always persuasion, too.
00:19:24.920 And,
00:19:25.420 that's what I see
00:19:26.920 when I see
00:19:27.560 Elon Musk
00:19:28.440 offering to fight
00:19:29.420 to Putin
00:19:29.860 one-on-one.
00:19:31.380 Here's my interpretation.
00:19:32.540 Now, of course,
00:19:34.740 I cannot read
00:19:35.560 Elon Musk's mind.
00:19:37.920 If I could,
00:19:39.180 I'd be building myself
00:19:40.260 some unicorn startups, too,
00:19:42.120 because I guess
00:19:43.000 I'd know how to do it
00:19:43.740 if I could read his mind.
00:19:45.540 But,
00:19:46.080 here's what I think.
00:19:48.700 When Elon Musk,
00:19:49.920 richest guy in the world,
00:19:50.940 knows he's going to get
00:19:51.660 lots of attention
00:19:52.400 when he says
00:19:53.060 something like this,
00:19:54.300 challenges Putin
00:19:55.320 to a one-on-one fight,
00:19:57.040 your brain says
00:19:57.920 two things.
00:19:59.100 Number one,
00:20:00.340 number one,
00:20:00.920 that is absurd.
00:20:03.400 Am I right?
00:20:04.100 That's the first thing
00:20:04.720 you think.
00:20:05.320 Okay, that's absurd.
00:20:07.040 What's the second thing
00:20:08.040 you do?
00:20:09.640 You compare it
00:20:10.680 to what we're doing
00:20:11.420 already.
00:20:14.380 And then what?
00:20:16.800 It's not so absurd
00:20:17.900 anymore, is it?
00:20:19.940 If you could
00:20:20.740 literally
00:20:21.620 fucking choose,
00:20:23.680 you don't have
00:20:24.440 that choice.
00:20:24.940 But if you could,
00:20:26.560 to have Ukraine
00:20:27.400 fight it out
00:20:28.060 the way they're
00:20:28.460 fighting it out,
00:20:29.080 men, women,
00:20:30.320 children being
00:20:30.900 slaughtered
00:20:31.500 and dismembered
00:20:33.440 every day.
00:20:34.600 Or,
00:20:35.520 you could settle
00:20:36.140 the whole thing
00:20:36.860 with Elon Musk
00:20:38.460 having a personal
00:20:39.300 fight with Putin.
00:20:40.340 And actually,
00:20:40.920 I don't know
00:20:41.260 who would win.
00:20:42.920 You know,
00:20:43.120 because Putin's,
00:20:43.800 I think,
00:20:44.200 Elon's got a size
00:20:45.480 and youth,
00:20:47.000 but Putin has Putin.
00:20:49.620 I'll tell you
00:20:50.340 who I wouldn't want
00:20:51.300 to ever get in
00:20:51.740 a fight with.
00:20:52.980 Putin.
00:20:53.860 All right,
00:20:54.120 Putin's basically
00:20:54.840 around my age
00:20:55.900 and about my size.
00:20:58.520 I feel like
00:20:59.420 I could handle
00:21:00.020 myself around
00:21:00.940 people my size
00:21:01.880 in general,
00:21:02.580 especially my age.
00:21:03.860 Like,
00:21:04.120 if I ever got
00:21:04.560 in a fight
00:21:04.900 with another
00:21:06.000 65-year-old guy
00:21:07.540 who was about
00:21:07.980 my age
00:21:08.500 or about my size,
00:21:09.960 I feel like
00:21:10.560 I could take him.
00:21:12.860 But I don't feel
00:21:14.140 like I could take
00:21:14.820 Putin.
00:21:16.500 I think Putin
00:21:17.280 would dismantle me.
00:21:18.940 I'm pretty sure.
00:21:21.120 Putin is 5'7",
00:21:22.560 somebody says,
00:21:23.080 yeah.
00:21:23.220 he would go
00:21:25.500 MacGyver on you.
00:21:26.980 All right,
00:21:27.240 so here's what I think
00:21:28.080 is Elon's play.
00:21:31.100 I think that he is
00:21:32.200 making a ridiculous
00:21:33.540 and absurd offer
00:21:34.740 but doing it seriously
00:21:36.520 so that your brain
00:21:38.160 will compare it
00:21:38.900 to what's actually
00:21:39.560 happening,
00:21:40.600 which is even more
00:21:41.760 fucking absurd
00:21:42.600 than what he's offering.
00:21:45.500 He's basically
00:21:46.520 juxtaposed
00:21:47.520 an unambiguously
00:21:49.120 absurd thing
00:21:50.020 with the actual news
00:21:52.160 and made you look
00:21:53.480 at the absurd thing
00:21:54.380 in the news
00:21:54.840 and say,
00:21:55.260 you know,
00:21:56.060 the absurd thing
00:21:56.920 doesn't look so stupid
00:21:57.860 anymore.
00:21:59.000 Because compared
00:21:59.760 to what we're doing,
00:22:00.700 actually,
00:22:02.240 literally,
00:22:03.740 no joke,
00:22:05.400 would be better
00:22:06.360 for everybody.
00:22:08.300 Maybe even Putin.
00:22:09.880 I don't know.
00:22:10.580 I mean,
00:22:10.820 he might even come
00:22:11.420 out of head.
00:22:11.800 Might not be so good
00:22:13.180 for Elon.
00:22:14.720 Elon might get killed.
00:22:17.440 But making us think
00:22:18.680 about how ridiculous
00:22:19.880 the war is,
00:22:20.820 how absurd it is.
00:22:22.480 I feel like that's
00:22:23.580 productive.
00:22:25.240 Because it's easier
00:22:26.460 to stop doing something
00:22:27.500 that you know is absurd
00:22:28.640 and everybody else
00:22:29.460 knows it's absurd.
00:22:30.960 And that's what he did.
00:22:32.520 He just introduced
00:22:33.660 into the thinking
00:22:34.940 that war
00:22:36.720 is not just
00:22:38.800 a bad idea.
00:22:40.940 It can never be
00:22:42.000 a good idea.
00:22:42.940 It's just absurd.
00:22:45.160 And,
00:22:45.660 you know,
00:22:46.560 I see somebody
00:22:47.560 in the comments
00:22:48.320 saying he's trivializing it.
00:22:49.620 Now,
00:22:50.300 I don't think so.
00:22:51.960 I think he's trivializing it
00:22:53.700 as persuasion
00:22:54.860 successfully.
00:22:58.820 It's a weird little move
00:23:00.180 because it's like a,
00:23:01.200 it's a chess move
00:23:02.600 that's not a checkmate.
00:23:05.880 Do you see
00:23:06.220 what I'm saying?
00:23:07.320 He's just taking
00:23:08.200 the board
00:23:08.760 and he's just
00:23:09.760 shaking it a little bit.
00:23:11.360 Not a lot.
00:23:12.780 He just took
00:23:13.320 the chess board
00:23:13.880 and he's like,
00:23:14.320 just a little shake.
00:23:15.500 And a couple of the pieces
00:23:16.340 just moved
00:23:16.900 into another square,
00:23:17.780 but you don't see it yet.
00:23:20.180 He's basically
00:23:21.000 softening up the room
00:23:23.080 so that if
00:23:24.960 decisions need
00:23:26.140 to be made
00:23:26.720 that would normally
00:23:27.560 not be made,
00:23:29.200 maybe they can be there
00:23:30.220 because a couple
00:23:31.200 of the pieces
00:23:31.640 got moved.
00:23:32.660 It's a very small change
00:23:34.220 to how we think
00:23:36.420 about it,
00:23:37.060 but it's real.
00:23:38.620 It's real.
00:23:39.720 It does make you
00:23:40.680 give a little more
00:23:41.400 absurdity
00:23:42.060 to the current situation
00:23:43.200 and I'm not sure
00:23:44.720 that we had
00:23:45.160 enough absurdity
00:23:46.180 in our opinion
00:23:47.500 of it.
00:23:48.360 I feel like
00:23:49.000 we thought the war
00:23:49.800 was sort of,
00:23:51.120 we don't like it,
00:23:52.960 but that it made sense.
00:23:55.760 Am I right?
00:23:57.600 No matter what
00:23:58.380 you thought of the war,
00:23:59.340 who's wrong
00:24:00.100 or who's right,
00:24:01.140 on some level,
00:24:03.800 it sort of seemed
00:24:04.580 logical to you.
00:24:06.280 Like you don't like
00:24:07.340 how we got here,
00:24:08.980 but there's a logic
00:24:10.060 to it.
00:24:10.500 We poked the bear,
00:24:13.120 the bear poked back,
00:24:14.740 they've got strategic
00:24:15.860 historical reasons.
00:24:18.000 You can kind of make
00:24:18.760 it all make sense
00:24:19.500 in your head,
00:24:20.020 can't you?
00:24:20.340 You can talk yourself
00:24:21.480 into that we got here
00:24:23.300 logically.
00:24:24.700 What Elon has done
00:24:25.960 is just ripped
00:24:26.900 that all out
00:24:27.660 and just said,
00:24:28.640 maybe not.
00:24:30.240 Maybe we did not
00:24:31.120 get here logically
00:24:31.920 at all.
00:24:32.460 Maybe we just got here.
00:24:34.180 Maybe we're in
00:24:34.900 an absurd situation
00:24:36.320 and the only way out
00:24:38.380 is to recognize it.
00:24:40.500 The only way out
00:24:41.780 is to recognize it.
00:24:46.320 The only way out
00:24:47.840 is to recognize it.
00:24:54.000 Because the only way out
00:24:55.560 is to recognize it.
00:24:59.400 And Elon just did that
00:25:00.420 for you.
00:25:01.980 Now, I don't know.
00:25:03.360 I don't know how much
00:25:04.420 thinking he put into it.
00:25:05.940 Like, it may not be
00:25:07.120 even close to what
00:25:07.880 I'm saying.
00:25:08.300 Maybe it was just a joke.
00:25:09.260 Who knows?
00:25:10.580 But,
00:25:13.460 Ronnie says,
00:25:16.720 Scott hasn't taken
00:25:17.660 his hand off his lap
00:25:18.840 since he started
00:25:19.480 talking about Elon.
00:25:21.300 I'm not going to
00:25:22.140 hide the fact
00:25:22.800 that I think he's
00:25:24.240 one of our greatest
00:25:25.500 American patriots.
00:25:27.900 You know,
00:25:28.020 born in another country,
00:25:29.080 but in a way
00:25:30.580 that makes him
00:25:31.060 a perfect American.
00:25:31.940 Yeah,
00:25:33.580 I have complete respect
00:25:35.360 for Elon Musk.
00:25:36.560 So I'm not going
00:25:37.060 to hide that.
00:25:37.540 Yeah, he's
00:25:39.320 ridiculing
00:25:39.840 a ridiculous war.
00:25:41.040 I think Elon's frame
00:25:42.280 that it's ridiculous
00:25:43.300 is productive.
00:25:47.820 We'll see.
00:25:49.820 You all saw the story
00:25:50.860 about the Russian
00:25:51.640 on-air news personality
00:25:54.360 who ran out
00:25:55.040 with a protest sign
00:25:56.060 against the war.
00:25:57.360 You know,
00:25:57.560 don't believe
00:25:58.040 everything you say
00:25:58.840 about the war
00:26:00.420 or everything you hear.
00:26:01.480 and I guess
00:26:02.920 she disappeared.
00:26:05.220 So is that
00:26:06.760 the first time
00:26:07.600 that Russian viewers
00:26:08.680 would know
00:26:09.360 that there's
00:26:09.780 something wrong?
00:26:13.040 If you were
00:26:13.660 watching at home
00:26:14.380 or even if you
00:26:16.140 heard about it
00:26:16.720 and you saw
00:26:17.940 somebody run on TV
00:26:19.620 and basically
00:26:20.560 risked their life
00:26:21.400 because anybody
00:26:22.780 who saw it
00:26:23.320 knows that that person
00:26:24.100 risked their life
00:26:25.060 or at least their freedom.
00:26:26.900 Somebody risked
00:26:27.740 their life
00:26:28.180 to give you this message.
00:26:29.300 Would it wake you up?
00:26:30.060 Or would you say,
00:26:31.660 oh, that's weird,
00:26:32.320 crazy person.
00:26:34.400 I wonder if this matters.
00:26:36.700 Don't you?
00:26:38.120 It might matter.
00:26:39.940 It could be
00:26:40.660 that we'll look back
00:26:41.420 on this one brave woman
00:26:43.340 who literally
00:26:46.900 risked her life
00:26:48.040 to try to right a wrong
00:26:50.840 and, boy,
00:26:53.660 I have a lot of respect
00:26:54.280 for her.
00:26:56.320 Although I wouldn't
00:26:57.080 have done it.
00:26:57.740 I don't think
00:26:58.140 I would have done it.
00:27:00.060 Yeah, it's almost
00:27:02.380 out of a Hollywood movie.
00:27:08.120 All right.
00:27:10.940 There's another story
00:27:13.040 that I, you know,
00:27:17.380 when I see a story
00:27:19.040 that so perfectly
00:27:20.180 fits what people
00:27:22.800 on social media
00:27:23.740 were imagining,
00:27:26.660 I get real suspicious.
00:27:27.880 So I'm going to tell you
00:27:29.860 this story
00:27:30.420 and I want you to say,
00:27:32.500 does this look familiar?
00:27:34.860 Meaning that,
00:27:35.600 does the story
00:27:36.120 seem to match
00:27:36.840 exactly what
00:27:37.780 I had said on Twitter?
00:27:40.700 All right.
00:27:41.400 Now, I'm not going to tell you
00:27:42.480 that, like,
00:27:43.320 I'm the only person
00:27:44.060 who said this.
00:27:45.340 Sometimes I tell you that
00:27:46.360 because I think it's useful.
00:27:47.780 I think it's useful
00:27:48.640 to track
00:27:49.220 who predicts things
00:27:50.780 correctly first.
00:27:52.160 So I know it's annoying
00:27:53.200 when I say,
00:27:54.020 did I predict that?
00:27:55.560 Do you remember?
00:27:55.900 But I think it's useful
00:27:57.080 because you should have
00:27:59.240 the same, you know,
00:28:00.640 idea of how accurate
00:28:02.860 I am in order to,
00:28:05.580 you know,
00:28:06.040 enjoy this live stream.
00:28:07.740 So here's a story
00:28:10.580 from the New York Post.
00:28:13.240 And it says that,
00:28:14.320 citing sources
00:28:14.940 close to the Kremlin,
00:28:16.860 senior figures
00:28:17.560 in the Five Eyes
00:28:18.400 Intelligence Alliance
00:28:19.320 comprising,
00:28:20.320 oh, well, look at this,
00:28:21.760 using the word
00:28:22.360 comprising correctly
00:28:23.280 in a sentence.
00:28:23.860 I'm always impressed.
00:28:25.320 Comprising Australia,
00:28:26.460 Canada, New Zealand,
00:28:27.380 and the United Kingdom
00:28:28.540 and the United States
00:28:29.240 believe there is
00:28:30.520 a physiological explanation
00:28:32.260 for the Russian president's
00:28:33.780 globally reviled decision
00:28:35.480 to invade Ukraine.
00:28:37.880 So, of course,
00:28:38.840 a lot of people
00:28:39.260 haven't been talking about it,
00:28:40.420 but now we're seeing
00:28:41.100 a story that
00:28:41.700 the intelligence people
00:28:43.040 believe that there is
00:28:45.020 evidence
00:28:45.520 that the sources,
00:28:47.960 the unnamed sources,
00:28:49.840 highly, highly dependable
00:28:51.180 unnamed sources,
00:28:52.100 speculated that
00:28:54.180 Putin, who's 69,
00:28:56.060 could have dementia,
00:28:56.880 Parkinson's disease,
00:28:57.740 or, quote,
00:28:58.960 roid rage.
00:29:01.060 Roid rage.
00:29:03.480 From potential cancer
00:29:04.860 treatments that involve
00:29:05.720 heavy steroid use.
00:29:07.100 Do you know what?
00:29:07.540 I swear to God,
00:29:08.300 yesterday,
00:29:09.200 I was taking a walk
00:29:10.720 and I was thinking to myself,
00:29:12.280 huh,
00:29:12.940 I wonder if there are
00:29:14.060 any cancer treatments
00:29:15.500 that would give you
00:29:17.960 like anger issues.
00:29:20.100 It turns out there are.
00:29:23.260 Apparently,
00:29:24.500 steroids are
00:29:25.580 indicated for some
00:29:27.320 kinds of cancer treatments
00:29:28.520 and that could give you
00:29:31.240 roid rage
00:29:31.960 and actually explain
00:29:33.060 his entire behavior.
00:29:34.320 Would also explain
00:29:35.320 his puffy face.
00:29:37.840 His puffy face
00:29:39.220 and his change
00:29:40.200 in decision making.
00:29:42.560 It's all looking
00:29:43.800 a lot like
00:29:44.680 a chemical change
00:29:47.260 in his personality
00:29:48.000 because the people
00:29:48.840 who know him
00:29:49.340 say he's changed.
00:29:51.180 Yeah,
00:29:51.600 didn't I say that
00:29:52.360 on day one?
00:29:53.620 Steroids?
00:29:58.020 Give me a fact, Jack.
00:30:00.480 Was I,
00:30:01.300 I don't think
00:30:01.960 I was the first,
00:30:02.820 but I think
00:30:03.440 I was among the first
00:30:04.620 to say,
00:30:05.740 that looks like roids.
00:30:06.980 That looks like steroids.
00:30:08.000 Day one, right?
00:30:09.980 Yeah.
00:30:11.780 Oh, I did ask about it?
00:30:13.940 Oh, okay.
00:30:14.580 Oh, good.
00:30:14.860 Now, I'm not going
00:30:16.020 to claim that I had
00:30:16.820 like some,
00:30:17.760 you know,
00:30:18.140 the first in the world
00:30:19.020 to say that,
00:30:20.040 but I was there early.
00:30:21.440 I think that's worth it.
00:30:23.160 Now, here's my
00:30:24.440 fake news
00:30:25.820 analysis of this.
00:30:30.440 I thought it was true
00:30:31.640 until I saw it
00:30:32.360 in the news.
00:30:34.260 Do you know
00:30:34.820 what I mean?
00:30:36.340 I thought I was
00:30:37.280 pretty confident
00:30:38.000 in my opinion
00:30:38.720 that there's something
00:30:39.480 chemically different
00:30:40.320 about him,
00:30:41.420 but as soon as
00:30:42.420 I saw it in the news
00:30:43.560 and the news
00:30:45.040 looks exactly
00:30:45.740 like my tweets,
00:30:47.520 I stopped believing it.
00:30:52.320 Now, that's a hell
00:30:53.240 of a thing,
00:30:54.340 that I believed
00:30:55.260 my own opinion
00:30:56.040 until I saw it
00:30:57.100 being confirmed
00:30:58.840 in the news.
00:30:59.820 As soon as I saw
00:31:00.840 it confirmed
00:31:01.320 in the news,
00:31:01.920 I'm like,
00:31:02.200 oh, shit,
00:31:02.820 I'm wrong.
00:31:04.280 They confirmed it.
00:31:05.260 I must be wrong.
00:31:07.020 Because here's
00:31:07.740 my problem.
00:31:09.460 It looks exactly
00:31:10.520 like what an
00:31:11.260 intelligence agency
00:31:12.360 would want you
00:31:12.980 to think.
00:31:13.560 like a U.S.
00:31:14.700 intelligence agency,
00:31:16.280 like a Ukrainian
00:31:17.660 intelligence agency.
00:31:19.580 It looks a little
00:31:20.800 like our intelligence
00:31:24.300 agencies and other
00:31:25.820 countries may have
00:31:27.240 said, look,
00:31:27.980 they're going to
00:31:28.500 believe this anyway
00:31:29.300 because people are
00:31:30.440 chatting about it
00:31:31.200 on social media,
00:31:32.480 so let's just put it
00:31:33.400 out there like it's
00:31:34.120 probably true
00:31:34.900 because they're
00:31:35.760 already primed
00:31:36.520 to believe it.
00:31:37.900 They didn't have to
00:31:38.800 wonder if we would
00:31:39.660 believe it because
00:31:41.140 it had already
00:31:41.600 been tested.
00:31:42.200 You see what I'm
00:31:44.400 saying?
00:31:44.980 It had already
00:31:45.440 been tested.
00:31:46.760 They knew people
00:31:47.420 would believe it
00:31:48.040 because we already
00:31:48.860 believed it without
00:31:49.940 any evidence
00:31:50.680 whatsoever.
00:31:51.660 So they just gave
00:31:52.600 us some fake
00:31:53.280 evidence of,
00:31:54.220 you know,
00:31:54.380 people who are
00:31:54.940 sources,
00:31:55.560 say they think,
00:31:56.620 and then it goes
00:31:57.380 to the media and
00:31:58.280 then you think
00:31:58.720 there's really a
00:31:59.760 source.
00:32:00.780 And then,
00:32:01.400 so here's the
00:32:02.500 thing.
00:32:03.520 Could I have
00:32:04.260 caused this?
00:32:06.140 I'm not saying I
00:32:07.060 did.
00:32:07.280 but I worry
00:32:09.000 about it.
00:32:10.060 Is it possible
00:32:10.920 I caused this?
00:32:12.400 Let me tell you
00:32:13.100 what I know.
00:32:15.260 I do know that
00:32:16.280 intelligence agencies
00:32:17.260 watch me.
00:32:20.460 Do you accept
00:32:21.300 that?
00:32:22.960 Now,
00:32:23.440 I'm not going to
00:32:23.780 tell you how I
00:32:24.340 know,
00:32:25.220 but I know
00:32:25.800 because I've been
00:32:27.200 approached by people,
00:32:28.400 et cetera.
00:32:29.740 So I know that
00:32:31.240 there are at
00:32:31.840 least,
00:32:32.920 I know of at
00:32:33.820 least three
00:32:34.480 intelligence agencies
00:32:35.580 who do have their
00:32:36.600 eyes on me.
00:32:38.280 Four.
00:32:38.960 I know four.
00:32:41.380 If four
00:32:42.080 intelligence agencies
00:32:43.000 are watching me
00:32:43.860 and I've sort of
00:32:45.840 tested in advance
00:32:47.460 the idea that
00:32:48.400 Putin looks like
00:32:49.380 he's drugged,
00:32:51.900 do you think that
00:32:52.520 they could have
00:32:53.160 gotten the idea
00:32:53.780 to just amplify it?
00:32:55.580 I'm not saying
00:32:56.160 that this happened.
00:32:57.020 I just worry about it.
00:32:59.100 I worry that I'm
00:33:00.980 giving people ideas
00:33:02.100 without knowing it.
00:33:05.320 I have no reason
00:33:06.260 to think I did this.
00:33:07.280 I'm not making
00:33:07.960 that claim.
00:33:09.000 But I worry about it.
00:33:11.140 All right.
00:33:13.420 CNN has a story.
00:33:16.100 Oh,
00:33:16.480 let's talk more
00:33:17.200 about Putin.
00:33:18.240 So apparently
00:33:18.860 Putin is a known
00:33:19.820 hypochondriac.
00:33:20.960 Do you believe that?
00:33:22.540 Putin is a known
00:33:23.600 hypochondriac?
00:33:24.480 And they think that's
00:33:26.680 why he's so afraid
00:33:27.460 of COVID.
00:33:27.900 But somebody else
00:33:28.700 said, and I had
00:33:29.640 never said this
00:33:30.180 out loud, but I
00:33:30.940 believed it for a
00:33:31.600 while, that the
00:33:33.000 reason he's so
00:33:33.620 afraid of COVID
00:33:34.320 is that he has
00:33:37.400 comorbidities.
00:33:38.300 I think he's got
00:33:41.420 comorbidities, which
00:33:43.780 would suggest cancer
00:33:45.780 or something bad,
00:33:47.620 which would suggest
00:33:48.840 the steroid thing
00:33:50.260 is correct.
00:33:51.580 Because if you're
00:33:52.320 the head of a
00:33:52.760 country and you've
00:33:53.420 got some kind of
00:33:54.080 medical problem that's
00:33:54.880 going to slow you
00:33:55.500 down, they might
00:33:57.160 pump you full of
00:33:58.300 meth and steroids
00:34:00.580 to keep you going
00:34:02.280 because you can't
00:34:03.300 take a day off if
00:34:04.240 you're Putin, right?
00:34:05.540 Putin can't take a
00:34:06.420 day off.
00:34:07.620 I don't think Putin
00:34:08.300 takes sick days.
00:34:10.260 Am I right?
00:34:11.480 I don't think he
00:34:12.280 can take a sick day
00:34:13.040 because weakness
00:34:14.360 would be a big
00:34:17.180 risk for him
00:34:18.360 politically.
00:34:19.580 So I've got a
00:34:20.620 feeling that he's
00:34:21.160 pumped up with
00:34:21.980 whatever it takes to
00:34:22.980 make him look like
00:34:23.700 he's still functional
00:34:24.500 while he's rapidly
00:34:26.360 declining in some
00:34:27.440 kind of health
00:34:28.120 related problem.
00:34:29.140 So that's my
00:34:29.660 current analysis.
00:34:31.160 So I'm going to
00:34:32.500 say comorbidity
00:34:33.460 is why he's
00:34:34.380 afraid of COVID.
00:34:36.160 Comorbidities.
00:34:39.480 There's a new
00:34:40.280 threat in the
00:34:40.900 United States
00:34:41.460 according to CNN.
00:34:42.440 They've got a
00:34:42.800 story.
00:34:43.820 It's men who
00:34:44.700 are involuntarily
00:34:46.700 celibate.
00:34:48.820 Wait a minute.
00:34:53.140 Are incels
00:34:54.180 involuntarily
00:34:55.080 celibate?
00:34:56.200 I thought people
00:34:57.180 volunteered.
00:35:00.240 Don't they sort
00:35:01.100 volunteer because
00:35:02.000 they just gave
00:35:02.860 up on it?
00:35:04.520 I think it's
00:35:05.280 sort of a gray
00:35:06.960 area whether they
00:35:07.700 volunteered or
00:35:08.480 they didn't have
00:35:09.260 any choice.
00:35:10.800 But apparently
00:35:11.360 now the government
00:35:13.660 is worried that
00:35:14.520 these celibate
00:35:15.880 men who in
00:35:17.500 many cases have
00:35:18.240 bad feelings about
00:35:19.080 women will become
00:35:20.100 mass murderers of
00:35:21.620 women because they
00:35:23.140 are misogynists.
00:35:26.300 And well, yeah,
00:35:27.960 I get it.
00:35:28.320 I get it that
00:35:28.840 incel means
00:35:29.560 involuntary
00:35:30.360 celibate.
00:35:31.200 But when I've
00:35:31.780 seen it in actual
00:35:33.740 popular use, it
00:35:35.960 always seemed like
00:35:36.760 people were
00:35:37.540 voluntarily labeling
00:35:40.380 themselves involuntarily
00:35:42.420 celibate.
00:35:43.480 Does that make
00:35:43.800 sense?
00:35:45.080 I mean, it looked
00:35:45.680 like there was some
00:35:46.220 free will involved,
00:35:47.200 however you want to
00:35:47.900 define that.
00:35:49.180 Anyway, do you
00:35:50.940 think that's a big
00:35:51.520 problem for the
00:35:52.140 future?
00:35:53.600 Involuntarily
00:35:54.080 celibate men?
00:35:54.900 I think it is.
00:35:59.400 It sounds
00:36:00.500 ridiculous, right?
00:36:02.600 It sounds a little
00:36:03.200 absurd on the
00:36:03.880 surface, but I
00:36:05.200 feel like it is.
00:36:06.840 And I've often
00:36:07.720 speculated, much to
00:36:09.000 my destruction, that
00:36:11.780 a big problem in the
00:36:12.780 Middle East is too
00:36:13.740 many men and not
00:36:14.880 enough women.
00:36:15.960 Because if the
00:36:17.000 high-end rich men
00:36:18.780 in Middle Eastern
00:36:19.800 society have several
00:36:21.780 wives, necessarily
00:36:24.180 there won't be
00:36:24.900 enough left over
00:36:25.620 for the men, the
00:36:27.060 lower-ranked men.
00:36:28.900 So in theory, there
00:36:29.820 should be all these
00:36:30.300 extra men who have
00:36:31.280 nothing to do but
00:36:32.080 kill and be killed.
00:36:33.860 Because we turn into
00:36:34.860 killers when we're
00:36:35.980 not domesticated,
00:36:38.060 basically.
00:36:44.120 Ethan, why do you
00:36:45.280 need to say that?
00:36:47.100 Ethan has decided to
00:36:48.460 inform me that my
00:36:49.380 wife divorced me.
00:36:50.380 Ethan, you're probably
00:36:54.040 aware that I know
00:36:55.160 about this, right?
00:36:56.420 I'm kind of up to
00:36:57.240 date.
00:36:58.340 Ethan.
00:36:59.300 And Ethan, I
00:37:00.100 wonder, when you
00:37:01.900 wake up in the
00:37:02.480 morning and you
00:37:05.000 start your day, do
00:37:06.980 other people say,
00:37:08.060 I'm sure glad Ethan
00:37:09.240 is awake.
00:37:10.300 Because there's a guy
00:37:11.120 who brings light and
00:37:12.140 sunshine into our
00:37:13.020 lives.
00:37:14.340 Ethan is a person
00:37:15.240 who is always looking
00:37:16.100 on the bright side.
00:37:18.540 Ethan.
00:37:20.020 Some people would
00:37:21.220 say Ethan is a
00:37:22.480 worthless piece of
00:37:24.520 shit, a dingleberry on
00:37:26.940 the ass of life.
00:37:28.900 Some would say that.
00:37:29.980 Because his
00:37:30.540 contribution to our
00:37:31.640 conversation was so
00:37:34.580 mind-bogglingly useless
00:37:38.760 and negative that one
00:37:41.780 wonders if Ethan will
00:37:43.820 make it through life.
00:37:44.660 Or is Ethan an
00:37:46.500 incel who will soon
00:37:48.800 be killing a room
00:37:49.600 full of women?
00:37:50.560 I don't know.
00:37:51.740 I don't know,
00:37:52.320 Ethan.
00:37:53.080 But it's one of
00:37:53.700 those things.
00:37:55.640 All right.
00:37:59.620 What else is going
00:38:00.560 on?
00:38:02.800 Oh, lots of things.
00:38:04.080 Lots of things are
00:38:04.740 going on.
00:38:06.180 Oil went down 30%
00:38:07.720 because oil prices
00:38:10.340 are not real.
00:38:13.020 Oil is the only
00:38:13.960 thing that doesn't
00:38:14.700 depend on the
00:38:15.500 supply and demand.
00:38:17.440 Am I right?
00:38:19.840 Maybe there's
00:38:20.600 something else.
00:38:22.420 But I've been
00:38:23.520 watching oil prices
00:38:24.580 forever.
00:38:26.160 And one thing that
00:38:26.960 is a guarantee is
00:38:29.280 that supply and
00:38:30.020 demand doesn't make
00:38:30.700 any difference.
00:38:32.420 Talking about supply
00:38:33.740 and demand makes a
00:38:34.940 difference.
00:38:35.820 Talking about it.
00:38:37.120 But the actual
00:38:37.980 supply doesn't seem
00:38:40.320 to make any
00:38:40.840 difference.
00:38:41.220 it's just the
00:38:42.680 worrying about it
00:38:43.380 that changes it.
00:38:44.700 So every time
00:38:45.420 somebody worries
00:38:46.100 about it,
00:38:46.600 somebody else
00:38:47.100 raises the price.
00:38:48.960 If I write a story
00:38:49.960 and say,
00:38:50.920 I think X will
00:38:52.200 happen so oil
00:38:53.100 prices will go up,
00:38:55.240 why happens to
00:38:56.360 the price of oil
00:38:57.020 prices?
00:38:58.080 Or what oil price
00:38:59.040 goes up, right?
00:39:00.240 If people are
00:39:01.040 talking about it
00:39:01.840 going up, it goes
00:39:02.540 up.
00:39:03.480 If people are
00:39:04.180 talking about it
00:39:04.960 going down, it goes
00:39:05.680 down.
00:39:05.940 It's not even
00:39:07.960 related to the
00:39:09.320 supply.
00:39:10.660 Now, of course
00:39:12.280 I'm exaggerating.
00:39:13.900 Because of course,
00:39:14.980 in the long run,
00:39:15.820 the supply is all
00:39:16.540 the matters.
00:39:18.260 But that's never
00:39:19.260 what we see.
00:39:20.140 We see all these
00:39:20.900 short-term,
00:39:22.280 enormous swings.
00:39:24.520 And all of it's
00:39:25.840 just psychology-based.
00:39:27.800 So yeah, oil can
00:39:28.800 go up 30%,
00:39:29.860 it can go down
00:39:30.840 30% with no
00:39:31.880 change in demand
00:39:33.200 and no change
00:39:33.900 in supply.
00:39:34.360 So remember,
00:39:36.080 all of this is
00:39:36.640 bullshit.
00:39:38.060 All of the oil
00:39:38.920 changes are just
00:39:39.880 psychology about
00:39:42.320 what we expect and
00:39:43.340 nobody can predict
00:39:44.080 the future.
00:39:45.140 So there's more
00:39:45.700 uncertainty which
00:39:46.560 raises the price.
00:39:47.640 So uncertainty
00:39:48.280 does always increase
00:39:49.740 risk which
00:39:50.340 increases price.
00:39:53.880 But I don't see
00:39:54.920 any reason that it
00:39:55.660 can't plunge
00:39:56.380 just as fast as
00:40:00.020 it went up.
00:40:01.300 How fast does
00:40:02.280 it take
00:40:02.700 people to
00:40:05.320 open up
00:40:05.820 production facilities
00:40:06.880 that used to
00:40:08.100 be not
00:40:08.780 profitable but
00:40:09.740 because the
00:40:10.160 prices are so
00:40:10.800 high they are?
00:40:11.860 It doesn't take
00:40:12.860 that long to
00:40:13.580 reopen a well,
00:40:14.440 does it?
00:40:16.560 Somebody says
00:40:17.280 years.
00:40:17.860 It takes years
00:40:18.480 to reopen a
00:40:19.200 well that's
00:40:19.900 been capped.
00:40:22.200 I would think
00:40:22.980 a month,
00:40:24.180 without knowing
00:40:24.960 anything about
00:40:25.520 anything.
00:40:26.540 I would think
00:40:27.020 a month.
00:40:27.460 if oil were
00:40:30.600 $1,000 a
00:40:31.620 barrel, you
00:40:32.720 don't think
00:40:33.040 you could drill
00:40:33.500 me a fucking
00:40:34.040 well in a
00:40:34.560 month?
00:40:36.520 Really?
00:40:38.600 That's where
00:40:39.160 this comes in.
00:40:40.100 Really?
00:40:42.020 Let's say oil
00:40:43.140 is a million
00:40:43.800 dollars a
00:40:44.380 barrel.
00:40:45.500 You don't
00:40:45.820 think you
00:40:46.140 could drill
00:40:46.440 me some new
00:40:47.120 wells in a
00:40:47.780 month?
00:40:49.580 Yeah, you
00:40:50.220 could.
00:40:51.200 Yeah, you
00:40:51.840 could.
00:40:53.960 Somebody says
00:40:54.640 three months.
00:40:55.400 I'll take
00:40:55.720 three months.
00:40:56.220 But it
00:40:57.260 seems to me
00:40:57.760 we must
00:40:58.240 already be
00:40:59.000 massively
00:40:59.580 starting to
00:41:01.880 ramp up
00:41:02.260 production
00:41:02.640 everywhere in
00:41:03.200 the world,
00:41:03.640 I would
00:41:03.980 think.
00:41:05.020 So I
00:41:05.360 don't think
00:41:05.660 oil prices
00:41:06.600 could stay
00:41:07.060 high.
00:41:09.520 What do
00:41:10.120 you think
00:41:10.340 about the
00:41:10.720 news that
00:41:11.220 China is
00:41:11.720 helping Russia
00:41:12.420 or might
00:41:13.580 help them
00:41:14.020 militarily?
00:41:15.120 Joel Pollack
00:41:15.860 tweeted,
00:41:16.820 he said,
00:41:17.660 in my opinion,
00:41:19.020 the China
00:41:19.440 helping Russia
00:41:20.040 story is
00:41:20.540 largely fake
00:41:21.240 news narrative
00:41:21.960 cooked up by
00:41:22.740 anonymous,
00:41:24.000 quote,
00:41:24.300 anonymous source,
00:41:25.300 Jake Sullivan.
00:41:26.220 Who also
00:41:26.920 briefed the
00:41:27.760 media in
00:41:28.180 2016 about
00:41:29.260 Russia collusion.
00:41:30.900 He has a
00:41:31.320 demonstrated history
00:41:32.320 of lying to
00:41:33.040 the media to
00:41:34.240 the detriment
00:41:34.760 of national
00:41:35.460 security.
00:41:39.080 That's how I
00:41:39.880 see it.
00:41:40.960 Now, I don't
00:41:41.420 know anything
00:41:41.900 about Jake
00:41:42.840 Sullivan being
00:41:43.700 involved.
00:41:44.260 That's a
00:41:44.660 different question.
00:41:46.260 Certainly,
00:41:47.000 there's reason to
00:41:47.840 suspect that this
00:41:48.960 fits his
00:41:49.420 wheelhouse.
00:41:50.040 I agree with
00:41:50.540 Joel on that.
00:41:51.120 but I don't
00:41:54.660 think I
00:41:55.160 believe that
00:41:55.820 China is
00:41:56.300 helping Russia's
00:41:57.100 story exactly.
00:41:59.260 It makes sense
00:42:00.280 that Russia is
00:42:00.940 talking to
00:42:01.520 China, and it
00:42:02.820 makes sense that
00:42:03.480 because they have
00:42:04.200 this unlimited
00:42:05.040 partnership, that
00:42:06.660 China might step up
00:42:07.900 with a little extra
00:42:08.540 trade or something
00:42:09.760 like that.
00:42:11.080 But framing it as
00:42:12.680 China helping Russia
00:42:13.840 militarily, it's a
00:42:15.880 bit of a stretch,
00:42:16.680 and it has a
00:42:18.260 persuasion feel to
00:42:20.240 it as opposed to
00:42:21.100 a news feel to
00:42:22.300 it, wouldn't you
00:42:23.180 say?
00:42:24.180 Does it feel like
00:42:24.880 news, or does it
00:42:26.780 feel like redefining
00:42:28.700 news to make it
00:42:29.940 into something new?
00:42:31.840 It feels like
00:42:32.480 reframing the news.
00:42:34.580 It feels like
00:42:35.100 persuasion.
00:42:36.320 It feels like
00:42:36.820 bullshit.
00:42:38.160 But it could be
00:42:39.020 wrong.
00:42:39.380 We'll wait and
00:42:39.820 see.
00:42:42.460 I saw some people
00:42:43.680 following me today
00:42:44.900 on Twitter.
00:42:45.660 You know, Twitter
00:42:46.120 tells you who
00:42:46.660 followed you
00:42:47.240 recently.
00:42:48.400 And I believe
00:42:49.840 that at least
00:42:50.520 two of the
00:42:51.180 three had
00:42:52.000 followed me
00:42:52.680 forever, and
00:42:54.700 they had to
00:42:55.180 refollow me
00:42:55.900 today.
00:42:57.580 And somebody
00:42:58.320 else had said
00:42:58.800 the same thing.
00:42:59.920 And this had
00:43:00.640 gone away for
00:43:01.340 months and
00:43:01.840 months.
00:43:02.460 For a long
00:43:02.920 time, I had
00:43:03.440 not had this
00:43:03.960 issue of people
00:43:04.560 being automatically
00:43:05.420 unfollowed from
00:43:06.360 me.
00:43:06.980 Has anybody
00:43:07.460 been unfollowed
00:43:08.360 from me
00:43:08.700 automatically?
00:43:14.080 I'm just
00:43:14.700 watching the
00:43:15.120 comments.
00:43:15.440 I guess the
00:43:16.740 no's don't
00:43:17.280 tell me
00:43:17.600 anything,
00:43:17.940 because most
00:43:18.360 people would
00:43:18.820 be a no.
00:43:21.340 Somebody said,
00:43:22.460 yes, I have.
00:43:23.960 Last year, yes.
00:43:27.340 Had to
00:43:27.960 refollow when
00:43:28.640 you got a new
00:43:29.060 computer.
00:43:29.600 That's weird.
00:43:30.020 So people say,
00:43:35.840 yes.
00:43:37.380 Somebody was
00:43:38.020 two years ago.
00:43:40.940 Yes.
00:43:42.040 Now, there
00:43:44.000 are enough
00:43:44.580 yeses going
00:43:45.300 by that do
00:43:46.900 those look like
00:43:47.820 people are just
00:43:49.120 mistaken?
00:43:51.040 Because I
00:43:51.920 watched my
00:43:52.520 Twitter account
00:43:53.560 reach a certain
00:43:54.600 level and then
00:43:55.280 just plateaued.
00:43:56.620 It looks like
00:43:57.480 it's throttled.
00:43:58.120 It certainly
00:43:59.580 looks like
00:44:00.100 it.
00:44:00.960 I can't
00:44:01.440 guarantee it,
00:44:02.200 but it looks
00:44:02.960 for all
00:44:04.500 appearances, it
00:44:06.740 looks that
00:44:07.040 way.
00:44:09.240 Twice.
00:44:10.540 So somebody
00:44:11.320 had to
00:44:11.620 re-subscribe
00:44:12.100 to me twice.
00:44:13.480 Yeah, the
00:44:13.780 names that I
00:44:14.360 saw re-subscribing
00:44:15.500 to me are
00:44:16.000 ones that I've
00:44:16.560 known and
00:44:17.060 communicated with
00:44:18.040 for years on
00:44:20.460 Twitter.
00:44:21.520 And they had
00:44:21.960 to re-sign up
00:44:22.900 today.
00:44:23.400 Because the
00:44:23.940 thing that,
00:44:24.760 if it had been
00:44:25.280 random names that
00:44:26.400 I was not
00:44:26.840 familiar with,
00:44:28.280 I would have
00:44:28.700 thought, oh,
00:44:29.040 they got mad
00:44:29.520 at me someday
00:44:30.080 and blocked
00:44:31.200 me or
00:44:31.680 something, and
00:44:32.700 then they
00:44:32.960 changed their
00:44:33.420 mind.
00:44:34.060 But these
00:44:34.460 are people I've
00:44:34.920 had no bad
00:44:35.840 interaction with
00:44:36.640 that I'm
00:44:37.180 pretty sure
00:44:38.040 had just
00:44:38.580 always followed
00:44:39.280 me and
00:44:39.860 had to
00:44:40.140 re-follow.
00:44:46.420 Here's the
00:44:47.040 most interesting
00:44:47.640 thing that's
00:44:48.200 happening, in
00:44:48.820 my opinion.
00:44:50.240 Did you ever
00:44:50.780 wonder what
00:44:51.300 would happen
00:44:51.780 if a
00:44:52.940 lifelong
00:44:53.460 Democrat
00:44:54.160 ever figured
00:44:55.660 out how to
00:44:56.200 design systems
00:44:57.100 that took
00:44:57.520 into account
00:44:58.200 human
00:44:59.100 motivation,
00:45:00.860 economics,
00:45:02.580 and science?
00:45:04.840 What would
00:45:05.420 happen?
00:45:06.260 Well, the
00:45:07.200 Democrats have
00:45:07.880 a lot of
00:45:08.380 supporters, so
00:45:09.880 just being a
00:45:10.460 Democrat should
00:45:11.100 help you get
00:45:11.800 elected.
00:45:12.520 Like, half of
00:45:13.020 the time you
00:45:13.380 would win just
00:45:14.080 by being the
00:45:14.660 Democrat.
00:45:15.580 But what if
00:45:16.260 you had a
00:45:16.580 Democrat who
00:45:17.160 is not just
00:45:18.160 going to win
00:45:19.180 because there
00:45:19.640 are a lot of
00:45:20.020 Democrats?
00:45:21.240 What if the
00:45:21.720 Democrat found a
00:45:22.640 way to design
00:45:24.540 systems and
00:45:25.380 solutions that
00:45:27.220 are compatible
00:45:27.740 with all
00:45:28.640 Republican
00:45:29.760 thought?
00:45:33.280 Well, that
00:45:34.400 person exists
00:45:35.180 and is running
00:45:36.320 for governor of
00:45:37.080 California,
00:45:38.400 Michael
00:45:38.660 Schellenberger.
00:45:39.820 So Michael
00:45:40.540 Schellenberger was
00:45:41.220 a lifelong Democrat
00:45:42.180 who has turned
00:45:44.640 independent, and
00:45:46.920 there are actually
00:45:48.180 more people
00:45:49.060 registered independent
00:45:50.240 in California than
00:45:51.500 either Democrat
00:45:53.020 or Republican.
00:45:54.300 If you could
00:45:55.040 actually treat the
00:45:56.040 independents as
00:45:56.800 a party and
00:45:58.340 get them to
00:45:58.900 maybe see
00:45:59.440 themselves as a
00:46:00.300 team, they
00:46:01.680 would win every
00:46:02.340 election in
00:46:02.920 California.
00:46:03.900 It's the biggest
00:46:04.420 group.
00:46:05.740 Now, I don't
00:46:06.360 think that there
00:46:06.900 are real
00:46:07.220 independents.
00:46:08.680 I think people
00:46:09.280 are really
00:46:10.000 Republican but
00:46:10.800 don't want to
00:46:11.240 say so, that
00:46:11.960 sort of thing.
00:46:13.800 But there's
00:46:14.460 certainly a lane.
00:46:16.580 You know, if
00:46:16.960 you think it's
00:46:17.780 impossible, you're
00:46:18.620 way wrong.
00:46:19.340 It's very
00:46:19.740 possible.
00:46:20.440 He can win.
00:46:21.300 Very possible.
00:46:22.400 Because here's
00:46:22.860 what he's got
00:46:23.260 going for him.
00:46:25.140 He was a
00:46:25.660 lifelong Democrat
00:46:26.460 and as far as
00:46:28.040 I can tell,
00:46:28.660 let's say his
00:46:30.360 emotional empathy
00:46:32.760 are still exactly
00:46:34.140 in that world
00:46:35.140 of trying to
00:46:36.220 make sure
00:46:36.580 everybody has
00:46:37.100 a good chance
00:46:37.840 and a good
00:46:38.140 life.
00:46:39.320 But on top
00:46:40.260 of that, he's
00:46:40.760 the only person
00:46:41.300 I've ever seen
00:46:42.060 who put
00:46:43.440 tremendous years
00:46:45.040 of effort into
00:46:46.360 figuring out
00:46:46.980 what works.
00:46:48.880 You know, he's
00:46:49.720 done written
00:46:50.280 books on these
00:46:50.920 topics, so he
00:46:51.920 knows what
00:46:52.380 works with
00:46:52.860 homeless and
00:46:53.880 with drug
00:46:54.300 addiction, because
00:46:55.380 he looked at all
00:46:56.020 the things that
00:46:56.580 people have
00:46:56.980 tried, and he
00:46:58.520 knows that what
00:46:59.040 California is
00:46:59.680 doing is on the
00:47:00.900 category of things
00:47:01.660 which have been
00:47:02.160 tried and fail.
00:47:04.020 So he wants to
00:47:04.900 try things that are
00:47:05.540 in the category of
00:47:06.380 things that have
00:47:06.900 been tried and
00:47:07.600 were greatly
00:47:08.100 successful.
00:47:10.040 How crazy is
00:47:11.000 that?
00:47:11.280 So, this is
00:47:16.080 really interesting.
00:47:17.300 What happens if
00:47:18.020 somebody has the
00:47:18.900 total skill stack
00:47:20.580 from communication,
00:47:22.720 writing, political
00:47:24.700 knowledge, he's an
00:47:27.320 expert on now
00:47:28.140 addiction, an
00:47:29.060 expert on
00:47:29.560 homelessness, by
00:47:30.660 virtue of having
00:47:31.480 studied it for
00:47:32.220 writing books, an
00:47:34.100 expert on energy,
00:47:35.560 of nuclear power,
00:47:36.680 climate change, and
00:47:40.460 even forest
00:47:41.460 management.
00:47:43.240 So, there's not a
00:47:44.740 single topic that
00:47:46.240 matters in
00:47:46.780 California that
00:47:48.640 Michael Schellenberger
00:47:49.560 doesn't know twice as
00:47:50.760 much as the current
00:47:51.840 governor.
00:47:53.760 Think about that.
00:47:55.740 And this is a
00:47:56.620 demonstrated fact.
00:47:57.660 I'm not just
00:47:58.060 saying, oh, he's
00:47:58.720 smart, I think he's
00:48:00.140 just smart.
00:48:00.620 It's not that.
00:48:01.880 I'm saying you
00:48:02.420 could just look at
00:48:03.120 the documented
00:48:03.860 life of both
00:48:05.940 people, and you
00:48:07.400 can see that
00:48:07.880 Schellenberger's
00:48:08.560 done deep dives and
00:48:10.260 super productive
00:48:11.280 activist stuff, like
00:48:13.380 talk to Congress a
00:48:14.420 number of times, talk
00:48:15.360 to other governments.
00:48:17.200 I mean, he's
00:48:17.540 persuading governments
00:48:18.460 at the highest
00:48:19.020 level about things
00:48:22.420 that are deeply
00:48:23.940 important to the
00:48:24.940 world.
00:48:25.520 So, he's got his
00:48:26.260 priorities right.
00:48:27.460 He's got the skill
00:48:28.300 set that I've never
00:48:29.100 seen, honestly.
00:48:30.160 Let me say this.
00:48:31.840 I've never seen
00:48:32.700 anybody enter
00:48:33.960 politics with as
00:48:36.220 good a skill set as
00:48:37.620 he's bringing.
00:48:39.020 Like, the right
00:48:39.900 set of talents that
00:48:40.920 all stack just
00:48:42.600 right.
00:48:43.940 You take anybody.
00:48:44.940 You take Trump.
00:48:47.040 You know, I was
00:48:47.580 obviously pro-Trump.
00:48:50.020 But even Trump
00:48:51.120 doesn't have expertise
00:48:52.240 in all these
00:48:52.840 categories.
00:48:54.040 Right?
00:48:54.200 Imagine if he
00:48:54.800 did.
00:48:56.100 Imagine Trump with
00:48:57.520 his other skills,
00:48:58.720 but also having
00:49:00.560 all the, you
00:49:01.680 know, the deep
00:49:02.180 dive analytical
00:49:04.240 ability of a
00:49:05.180 Schellenberger.
00:49:05.960 I mean, that's an
00:49:07.880 endless possibility.
00:49:09.200 But you don't have
00:49:09.800 to imagine that.
00:49:11.860 Because you can
00:49:12.520 just look at
00:49:12.980 Schellenberger.
00:49:13.960 Because he actually
00:49:14.720 has those skills.
00:49:16.540 He has everything
00:49:17.460 from the persuasion
00:49:18.540 to the communication
00:49:19.500 to insanely high
00:49:22.180 energy.
00:49:22.680 I don't know how
00:49:23.040 he gets so much
00:49:23.680 done.
00:49:24.120 You need somebody
00:49:24.640 with high energy
00:49:25.220 in politics.
00:49:25.880 And he's got
00:49:27.600 good hair.
00:49:29.300 I always make
00:49:30.060 fun of that.
00:49:30.960 You can't really
00:49:31.480 get elected unless
00:49:32.200 you have good
00:49:32.600 hair.
00:49:33.220 He has great
00:49:34.100 hair.
00:49:35.360 Let's not
00:49:35.860 underestimate the
00:49:38.340 hair.
00:49:40.380 So there you go.
00:49:41.420 Keep an eye on
00:49:42.000 California.
00:49:42.760 We might be going
00:49:43.420 from a bad
00:49:44.000 situation to a
00:49:44.760 good situation.
00:49:46.160 And at least we
00:49:47.020 have a good
00:49:47.360 choice, which I
00:49:48.460 don't think we've
00:49:49.020 ever had before.
00:49:50.860 And you should
00:49:52.160 follow Michael
00:49:53.280 Schellenberger if
00:49:54.140 you want to know
00:49:54.720 any solutions
00:49:55.620 for anything
00:49:57.620 from drug
00:49:58.940 addiction to
00:49:59.600 homeless to
00:50:00.440 nuclear energy
00:50:02.160 to crime.
00:50:05.060 Basically all
00:50:05.780 of it.
00:50:06.620 He's done pretty
00:50:07.460 much a deep
00:50:08.000 dive on everything
00:50:09.000 that matters in
00:50:09.740 California.
00:50:11.880 So what do you
00:50:14.040 think?
00:50:14.280 Does he have a
00:50:14.720 chance?
00:50:15.720 He is going to
00:50:16.320 have some powerful
00:50:17.480 people behind
00:50:18.260 him.
00:50:19.500 I'm 100% behind
00:50:20.840 him.
00:50:21.040 anybody who
00:50:25.820 thinks he
00:50:26.180 doesn't have a
00:50:26.680 chance, I
00:50:27.460 think you're
00:50:27.860 coming from
00:50:28.420 the political
00:50:29.620 parties have
00:50:30.300 all the power
00:50:30.940 perspective.
00:50:34.160 You probably
00:50:34.800 didn't think
00:50:35.700 that he could
00:50:42.500 move the
00:50:42.940 dial on
00:50:43.780 nuclear power,
00:50:44.940 did you?
00:50:46.100 Did you think
00:50:46.780 anybody could do
00:50:47.460 that?
00:50:47.700 Do you think
00:50:48.840 anybody could
00:50:49.360 enter the
00:50:50.000 conversation and
00:50:51.120 just move the
00:50:51.720 dial on
00:50:52.920 nuclear power?
00:50:54.920 He did.
00:50:56.020 He did that.
00:50:56.880 I mean, you
00:50:57.120 watched it in
00:50:58.340 real time.
00:50:59.200 I did the
00:51:00.420 play-by-play for
00:51:01.320 years watching him
00:51:02.280 do his work,
00:51:03.040 and he did it.
00:51:06.600 Musk should
00:51:07.420 endorse
00:51:07.940 Schellenberger.
00:51:10.020 Oh, there's an
00:51:11.000 idea.
00:51:11.260 Yeah, imagine if
00:51:13.360 Elon Musk backed
00:51:14.600 Michael Schellenberger
00:51:15.680 and did it
00:51:16.220 publicly.
00:51:18.080 Wow.
00:51:19.480 Because I don't
00:51:20.100 think there would
00:51:20.580 be even one
00:51:21.880 speck of
00:51:23.020 difference between
00:51:23.920 Musk's opinion
00:51:25.100 on political
00:51:26.780 stuff and
00:51:28.280 Schellenberger's.
00:51:29.000 I'll bet they
00:51:29.780 don't have one
00:51:30.300 difference of
00:51:30.860 opinion.
00:51:32.160 Because at a
00:51:33.040 certain level of
00:51:34.020 awareness,
00:51:35.580 everybody has the
00:51:36.240 same opinion.
00:51:38.680 I hate to
00:51:39.620 tell you, but
00:51:40.860 at a certain
00:51:41.820 level of
00:51:42.380 understanding of
00:51:43.300 how the world
00:51:43.780 works, all the
00:51:45.120 opinions are the
00:51:45.780 same.
00:51:47.700 Trust me, they're
00:51:48.900 all the same at
00:51:50.000 a certain point.
00:51:54.160 Could Tesla come
00:51:55.760 back to
00:51:56.100 California?
00:51:56.680 Now, that's a
00:51:57.100 big ask, and I
00:51:59.480 think taxes will
00:52:00.320 be the big
00:52:01.500 problem there.
00:52:03.960 All right.
00:52:07.540 I am going to
00:52:08.940 go do something
00:52:09.920 else.
00:52:10.220 And I think
00:52:13.020 you'd agree, this
00:52:13.700 is the best
00:52:14.440 live stream of
00:52:15.720 all time, of
00:52:17.000 all time.
00:52:18.160 And it's just
00:52:18.820 getting better.
00:52:19.860 This is the only
00:52:20.560 live stream in
00:52:21.340 which we
00:52:22.280 intentionally try to
00:52:23.280 change the world
00:52:24.080 and succeed.
00:52:26.940 Okay, maybe
00:52:27.660 others do that
00:52:28.280 too.
00:52:28.920 But I don't
00:52:30.000 know about them,
00:52:30.780 and that's the
00:52:31.340 same thing.
00:52:32.880 So,
00:52:35.140 channeling
00:52:36.280 Muhammad Ali, I
00:52:37.260 don't know that
00:52:37.680 reference in this
00:52:39.040 context.
00:52:44.100 Number 666, my
00:52:45.760 episode 666 was
00:52:47.080 still the best.
00:52:47.940 I was normal
00:52:48.500 then, before I
00:52:50.300 became abnormal.
00:52:55.620 Oh, it'll be
00:52:56.320 better tomorrow.
00:52:59.200 Wait, you have a
00:52:59.940 question?
00:53:02.040 Yes, it's the
00:53:02.800 best ever.
00:53:03.720 The best ever.
00:53:04.840 All right, that's
00:53:05.280 it for now, and I
00:53:06.220 will talk to you
00:53:07.700 all tomorrow on
00:53:09.180 YouTube.
00:53:09.480 Thank you.