Real Coffee with Scott Adams - March 18, 2022


Episode 1686 Scott Adams: Let's Talk About Hunter's Laptop And All The Fake News About The Fake News


Episode Stats


Length

59 minutes

Words per minute

147.38097

Word count

8,742

Sentence count

597

Harmful content

Misogyny

6

sentences flagged

Hate speech

39

sentences flagged


Summary

Summaries generated with gmurro/bart-large-finetuned-filtered-spotify-podcast-summ .

Scott Adams talks Iran, the midterms, and whether or not he thinks Hunter's laptop is actually a laptop. Plus, he talks about what it's like to be pregnant, and why he doesn't think he's going to be a dad.

Transcript

Transcript generated with Whisper (turbo).
Misogyny classifications generated with MilaNLProc/bert-base-uncased-ear-misogyny .
Hate speech classifications generated with facebook/roberta-hate-speech-dynabench-r4-target .
00:00:00.000 Good morning, everybody, and welcome to the best thing in civilization.
00:00:06.940 It's called Coffee with Scott Adams.
00:00:08.860 Gets better every day, you've probably noticed.
00:00:11.060 And how would you like to take it up a notch?
00:00:13.260 Because we're going to be talking about Hunter's laptop and all kinds of stuff.
00:00:20.120 And somebody in the comments just said, I think I'm pregnant.
00:00:24.320 Okay.
00:00:26.000 Congratulations.
00:00:27.040 Maybe.
00:00:27.440 But if you'd like to take it up a notch, all you do is a cup or a mug or a glass, a tank or a chalice of dine, a canteen jug or a flask, a vessel of any kind.
00:00:35.620 Why don't you put your different liquid into it?
00:00:40.860 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure.
00:00:44.080 It's the dopamine hit of the day.
00:00:45.900 It's the thing that makes everything better.
00:00:48.440 It's called the simultaneous sip.
00:00:51.440 Some call it the sultry sip.
00:00:53.920 But no, it's the simultaneous sip.
00:00:56.100 Go.
00:00:57.440 What's a binger?
00:01:09.360 Somebody's going to do a simultaneous binger?
00:01:12.520 Is that like a, well, I can't even imagine.
00:01:14.560 Well, according to Rasmussen, Republicans have an 11-point lead against a generic Democrat on the congressional ballot, with only 235 days left before the midterms.
00:01:28.920 And if the election were held today, 50% of likely U.S. voters would vote for the Republican, while only 39% would vote for the Democrat.
00:01:40.120 Does that tell you that the Republicans are going to win everything?
00:01:44.260 The trouble with this kind of a survey is that while it accurately captures what people are thinking, it doesn't accurately capture how they act.
00:01:54.700 Because how they act is they say, yeah, all these politicians are terrible.
00:01:59.960 Well, except mine.
00:02:01.620 Mine is good.
00:02:02.960 But all those other ones in the other states, they're bad.
00:02:06.060 So as long as people vote for their own incumbent, which they typically do, I don't know that it's going to make that much difference that there's a big generic lead.
00:02:17.060 Because nobody votes for a generic candidate.
00:02:21.560 So I'm going to say this is highly encouraging for Republicans, but I don't think it's predictive in sort of a straight line.
00:02:31.080 I mean, you could have individual match-ups that are more important than the generic feeling of things.
00:02:37.460 If all the candidates who run are, you know, the best Democrat candidate against a second-tier quality Republican, then the Democrats would win everything.
00:02:49.060 I don't think the polls are going to tell you that.
00:02:52.440 Well, apparently the U.S. is getting close to announcing some kind of Iran deal, which the experts say is worse than the last one.
00:03:02.340 Do you believe it?
00:03:04.660 Maybe.
00:03:05.220 I mean, it's easy to believe things got worse just because we have such, you know, bad attitudes about our government.
00:03:11.480 So that's easy to believe.
00:03:13.200 But I don't think we know anything about it.
00:03:17.120 The Iran deal isn't going to be another one of those big confusing black boxes where everybody will think they know something about it, but they don't.
00:03:24.940 They don't know what's going to happen.
00:03:26.180 They don't know if it'll work.
00:03:27.300 They don't know what the details are.
00:03:31.540 But I can't see lifting their terrorist designation.
00:03:35.220 As long as they're still doing terrorist-y things.
00:03:39.880 How in the world can the sanctions be lifted?
00:03:46.260 And how can we not call them a terrorist organization if they act like it?
00:03:50.620 Or are they not acting like it?
00:03:52.180 Has anything changed in Iran, or by Iran's behavior, since Soleimani was killed?
00:04:03.640 I haven't heard anything of you.
00:04:05.500 So I haven't seen any news stories that says, you know, Iran used to do a lot of adventurous stuff, and they still do.
00:04:12.580 I haven't heard that story.
00:04:15.800 But I also haven't heard the story that they stopped doing it.
00:04:22.100 Is it possible that Soleimani was the terrorist part of it?
00:04:27.500 And maybe we just took him out?
00:04:29.060 And maybe the rest of the government wasn't so big on helping other people do stuff in other countries.
00:04:37.700 Maybe.
00:04:39.020 But have you seen any kind of news either way?
00:04:42.180 Because I can't tell you in the last...
00:04:44.980 They bombed our embassy.
00:04:46.200 Do you believe that?
00:04:46.860 Do you believe that?
00:04:51.180 Do you believe that Iran bombed our embassy?
00:04:54.140 Or, I don't think it was an embassy.
00:04:55.880 It was some sort of official structure, though.
00:04:59.320 Do you believe that they bombed our embassy and we just kept talking to them about this deal?
00:05:04.800 I don't.
00:05:06.660 I don't believe that at all.
00:05:08.800 I don't believe that the U.S. knows they bombed our consulate, I guess it was.
00:05:13.280 You believe that they know Iran bombed our consulate and we're just still talking to them about this deal?
00:05:20.360 That doesn't make sense.
00:05:22.500 Does it?
00:05:24.140 You do believe that.
00:05:25.040 All right.
00:05:25.320 A lot of people say yes.
00:05:26.840 That even though they bombed the consulate, we're still talking to them.
00:05:30.900 I mean, it's possible.
00:05:32.400 It's not impossible.
00:05:34.780 But it seems to me that the first thing they would have done is said,
00:05:37.480 let's back off and this isn't the right time.
00:05:44.020 I mean, I think at the very least they would have said,
00:05:46.240 we're going to wait a month before we get serious about this to see if you can stop doing this sort of thing.
00:05:53.380 You can ask your friend.
00:05:54.800 He's right there.
00:05:57.740 Iran said they did it?
00:06:01.260 Well, probably there's a lot about this story we don't understand.
00:06:04.860 Do you think?
00:06:07.720 In fact, I don't think we know enough about the whole Iranian negotiations, or maybe nobody does,
00:06:13.620 to even have a good opinion on it.
00:06:15.800 Because I don't know what Iran's been doing lately.
00:06:18.080 I don't believe the news, just in general.
00:06:22.000 Do you believe the news?
00:06:23.040 If the news told you that Iran bombed the consulate,
00:06:27.240 do you believe it because it was in the news?
00:06:29.060 I mean, it might be true.
00:06:32.000 But I wouldn't believe it because it's in the news.
00:06:35.300 This is exactly the kind of thing that's not true.
00:06:38.540 If you're going to put it in a category,
00:06:40.720 is it in the category of things that usually pan out to be true?
00:06:44.520 Or is it in the general category of things that later you find out,
00:06:47.720 well, that wasn't exactly right.
00:06:49.660 There was more to it.
00:06:51.000 Might have been a military facility there.
00:06:53.520 Who knows?
00:06:54.020 Might have been an accident.
00:06:56.880 Who knows?
00:06:58.640 Yeah, maybe it's true this time.
00:07:00.980 Maybe this is the one.
00:07:02.060 Maybe this is the first true story we got this year.
00:07:04.840 Could be.
00:07:06.400 Could be.
00:07:11.180 So China is apparently doing this balancing act
00:07:14.620 where they're trying to be friendly to Russia
00:07:17.200 but not help them too overtly.
00:07:19.980 And apparently China's done some things
00:07:22.100 which were not exactly good for Russia.
00:07:26.220 But it looks like China's deal is going to be consistent.
00:07:29.640 And I have to say I respect it.
00:07:32.360 I've got to say that the way China handles, 1.00
00:07:36.200 you know, the way they talk about their relations with other countries,
00:07:39.860 they do that well.
00:07:41.380 And they do it consistently.
00:07:43.220 And their message is always the same.
00:07:45.660 We don't want war.
00:07:46.860 We want to be in business.
00:07:47.900 No war. 0.70
00:07:50.520 More trade.
00:07:52.140 And am I wrong that China is very consistent about that?
00:07:55.480 It's like, no, we don't want to be involved in this.
00:07:57.200 We just want to sell you stuff and buy stuff.
00:07:58.960 That's it.
00:08:00.240 So I think that they did the usual China good job of saying,
00:08:05.940 hey, don't get us involved.
00:08:07.360 You know, this isn't our fight.
00:08:09.840 But did you think that China was ever going to
00:08:14.340 actually directly help Russia in the war?
00:08:16.520 How many of you thought China was because our news told us
00:08:20.740 that they were thinking about it, right?
00:08:22.840 Now, how did the news know that they were thinking about it?
00:08:25.500 Was it dozens of intel sources?
00:08:29.800 Is that how we heard?
00:08:31.580 Was it all of our intel sources?
00:08:33.480 I never believed that China was thinking of directly helping militarily
00:08:40.040 or even directly backstopping them to the point where it would be effectively a military assistance.
00:08:48.420 And apparently they're not.
00:08:50.160 The indications are that they're not going to do anything too special for Russia.
00:08:54.620 Now, this might explain why.
00:08:59.120 Even though Russia and China do a lot of business,
00:09:04.400 the total amount of business that China does with Russia is about 2% of China's business.
00:09:10.720 So 2% of China's trade is with Russia.
00:09:13.080 A lot of it is with America and the European Union.
00:09:18.380 So what's good for China is to stay friends with whoever is buying most of their stuff
00:09:23.320 and to maybe be a little ambiguous with somebody who's only a 2% impact.
00:09:29.120 So if you ever thought that China would bet its entire economy
00:09:34.240 to help Russia beat Ukraine, which is not even worth doing,
00:09:40.040 at least from China's point of view, it has no benefit,
00:09:43.380 why would China risk its own economy?
00:09:46.140 Because they know that the sanctions would start to move into anti-China stuff if they do that.
00:09:52.580 Why would they do that?
00:09:53.820 To help Russia conquer Ukraine, of all things. 0.84
00:09:57.620 They couldn't have less interest than that.
00:10:01.460 So I think that was always fake news,
00:10:04.480 and I'm going to say that the intel, if you can call it that,
00:10:08.560 that said that China was going to help Russia,
00:10:11.020 probably was just fake intel again.
00:10:15.160 How many times have you seen that?
00:10:18.540 All right.
00:10:21.820 So the New York Times has confirmed that Hunter's laptop is real.
00:10:27.620 I was a little surprised that that's still a story.
00:10:34.480 I thought everybody knew it was real, but I guess not.
00:10:39.480 Is it really a story that the New York Times says is real?
00:10:42.220 Because I wasn't aware, I mean, obviously, you know, Jen Psaki and Biden and everybody
00:10:49.080 said it was Russian disinformation, but we know Democrats lie,
00:10:53.100 and we know politicians lie.
00:10:55.600 But didn't the public already know this was real?
00:10:58.580 I haven't seen a poll, but was there anybody in the public who thought it wasn't real?
00:11:06.840 I thought they all knew it was real.
00:11:09.060 But maybe I'm surprised.
00:11:10.740 Maybe the mainstream news was so strong with their brainwashing
00:11:15.020 that they actually convinced the public it wasn't real.
00:11:17.660 Did that happen?
00:11:22.020 Yeah, there is a phenomenon, which is that the news doesn't become real
00:11:28.600 until the New York Times says it's real.
00:11:31.220 That's the thing, by the way.
00:11:32.700 If you don't know how the media landscape works,
00:11:36.960 the paper of record, as they like to call it, is in the New York Times.
00:11:41.700 So when the paper of record says it's true,
00:11:44.420 then everybody else can comfortably say it's true.
00:11:47.420 Well, the paper of record says it's true,
00:11:49.980 so that's basically like a fact check.
00:11:53.600 So now they've said it's true.
00:11:57.500 Yeah, and the story was blocked by Facebook, Twitter, and Google.
00:12:02.720 Everything about this story is everything that's wrong with the world,
00:12:06.320 or the country, maybe.
00:12:07.720 Maybe let's just say the country.
00:12:11.700 Let me deal with the...
00:12:17.340 There's a good comment there I wanted to deal with.
00:12:21.140 But remind me to talk about prednisone
00:12:24.780 after I talk about Hunter's laptop.
00:12:28.600 Now, of course, as we look back
00:12:30.560 on how this was presented to the public,
00:12:33.420 we were told that dozens of former Intel officials,
00:12:36.260 I think 50 of them signed a document
00:12:38.100 saying that it was Russian disinformation
00:12:40.760 and rather obviously so.
00:12:43.080 Rather obviously.
00:12:44.660 According to these 50 people who didn't look at it.
00:12:49.020 And now Richard Grinnell tweeted this.
00:12:52.780 A Republican Senate must, in all caps,
00:12:55.860 a good use of all caps in this case,
00:12:58.220 a Republican Senate must hold hearings 0.73
00:13:00.640 with all 50 of the people who signed that letter
00:13:03.600 three weeks before the 2020 campaign.
00:13:06.960 Because the timing...
00:13:08.060 They all said Hunter Biden's laptop was Russian disinformation,
00:13:11.940 and they didn't have a single piece of intel to suggest it.
00:13:16.640 That is correct.
00:13:18.240 I do believe that the Republican Senate
00:13:20.660 should talk to every one of those intel people
00:13:23.000 and say,
00:13:24.420 why did you say this with no information?
00:13:27.240 Was this purely to influence the election?
00:13:30.000 Because it looks like it was purely to influence the election,
00:13:33.440 which would mean that the 2020...
00:13:35.760 or the...
00:13:37.140 Yeah, which would mean the 2020 campaign was rigged
00:13:39.620 by our own intel.
00:13:43.320 Is that too...
00:13:44.560 Is that...
00:13:45.240 Is rigged the wrong word?
00:13:48.680 Because it's corruption.
00:13:49.820 I mean, based on what we could tell,
00:13:53.660 I mean, we...
00:13:54.200 You know, maybe if they testify,
00:13:55.980 they've got some story that is not obvious to any of us,
00:13:59.920 that would suggest that maybe they were legitimately fooled.
00:14:04.820 Legitimately fooled.
00:14:06.680 Do you think they could make that case?
00:14:12.040 What is the definition of rigged?
00:14:14.620 Let me look it up right now.
00:14:17.100 Rigged.
00:14:19.820 Rigged.
00:14:22.160 Because I'm not sure if misinformation gets into that.
00:14:29.380 Okay.
00:14:30.140 To rig, as in crime.
00:14:32.380 Okay.
00:14:33.400 To manage or conduct something fraudulently
00:14:36.080 so as to produce a result of a situation
00:14:38.280 that is advantageous to a particular person.
00:14:42.360 So did somebody manage or conduct
00:14:44.540 something fraudulently?
00:14:49.180 Yes.
00:14:49.820 The news.
00:14:52.640 Yes, the news
00:14:53.780 was managed fraudulently
00:14:57.080 right in front of us
00:14:58.200 to create a situation
00:15:00.860 favorable for one candidate,
00:15:03.320 an advantage,
00:15:04.580 in an election which had great consequences.
00:15:08.160 So yeah,
00:15:09.080 actually, according to the New York Times,
00:15:11.700 the 2020 election was rigged.
00:15:13.320 That's kind of big.
00:15:16.260 Trump was right. 0.50
00:15:16.860 Trump was right. 0.50
00:15:19.800 Now, he wasn't talking about only this.
00:15:23.300 I mean, he had other allegations,
00:15:24.960 which we'll have to wait on some of those,
00:15:27.960 or maybe we'll never know.
00:15:29.020 But if 50 intel people lied to change the result of an election,
00:15:37.040 or at least that would be the presumed intention of that,
00:15:40.760 the 2020 election was rigged,
00:15:44.920 and the paper of record just confirmed it.
00:15:51.300 What do you think of that?
00:15:52.300 But the way I just said it will not be the way the public hears it, right?
00:15:59.080 They're never going to hear that.
00:16:01.880 They're just going to hear
00:16:02.980 with their own team all the time.
00:16:06.120 But yeah, wow.
00:16:07.700 The New York Times confirms that the 2020 election
00:16:10.100 was rigged
00:16:11.080 by the intel,
00:16:13.040 the intel's community.
00:16:17.580 Amazing.
00:16:19.320 But we're so numb to bad behavior
00:16:21.640 at this point,
00:16:22.180 it won't make any difference.
00:16:23.040 Do you remember,
00:16:26.740 speaking of Russian disinformation,
00:16:28.820 or the United States
00:16:30.080 creating disinformation
00:16:31.900 about Russian disinformation,
00:16:34.640 do you remember when Russia
00:16:35.900 spent almost nothing
00:16:37.560 to make a bunch of memes
00:16:40.420 for Facebook
00:16:41.140 that if you saw the memes,
00:16:43.300 and I have,
00:16:44.560 you'd know two things.
00:16:45.720 Number one,
00:16:47.320 you don't know anybody who saw them.
00:16:49.500 They weren't memes you've ever seen.
00:16:51.560 Number two,
00:16:52.100 they looked like were developed
00:16:53.360 by a high school project,
00:16:55.580 meaning that there was nothing
00:16:56.660 about the memes
00:16:57.400 that suggested
00:16:58.100 any kind of persuasion skill whatsoever.
00:17:01.380 Trust me on that.
00:17:02.680 Right?
00:17:02.880 That's sort of my domain.
00:17:04.520 There was no persuasion quality
00:17:06.080 to them whatsoever.
00:17:07.480 And they spent, what,
00:17:08.320 $100,000?
00:17:10.360 Which is nothing.
00:17:12.560 So the whole story
00:17:13.680 about Russian election interference
00:17:15.420 was technically true,
00:17:17.940 but the part they leave out
00:17:19.600 is that it's a little bit
00:17:21.020 like pissing in the ocean.
00:17:23.060 Did Russia piss in the ocean? 0.52
00:17:25.440 True.
00:17:27.240 Did the shoreline show any difference?
00:17:33.020 Not so much.
00:17:34.460 No, not so much.
00:17:36.560 Did the sea level rise
00:17:39.820 when Russia pissed in the ocean? 0.68
00:17:42.300 Technically, yes.
00:17:45.100 Not enough that you could measure.
00:17:47.980 So that's sort of what
00:17:48.980 the Russian election
00:17:49.720 interference was then.
00:17:50.720 And how do we know
00:17:52.400 there was so much
00:17:52.960 Russian interference then?
00:17:55.540 Well, I believe we heard that
00:17:57.020 from plenty of current
00:17:58.340 and former intel officials.
00:18:00.080 Am I right?
00:18:01.360 Current and past intel officials.
00:18:05.300 So pretty much everything
00:18:07.420 we've heard about Russia
00:18:08.380 is disinformation
00:18:09.680 from our own side,
00:18:11.900 often disinformation
00:18:13.060 about their disinformation.
00:18:15.720 Just to complete the picture.
00:18:18.180 So spot the pattern.
00:18:19.860 It's pretty clear
00:18:20.580 that the United States
00:18:21.520 is now completely
00:18:23.080 controlled by its own intel agencies.
00:18:29.980 I just said that
00:18:31.120 like as a matter of fact.
00:18:32.400 Did you like how I did that?
00:18:35.580 I just said the most provocative thing
00:18:37.280 that's ever been said
00:18:38.080 in the United States.
00:18:39.480 But I said it like a matter of fact.
00:18:41.180 And you just said,
00:18:41.780 yeah, that's true.
00:18:43.700 That the United States government
00:18:45.380 is captured by our intel.
00:18:48.000 Now, I have a theory
00:18:49.000 that all governments
00:18:49.900 eventually are captured
00:18:51.140 by their own intelligence agencies.
00:18:53.760 Because it has to happen.
00:18:55.880 Am I wrong?
00:18:58.520 Am I wrong?
00:19:00.180 That if you just take
00:19:01.600 any situation
00:19:02.400 where there's a strong
00:19:03.320 intelligence entity,
00:19:06.520 that if you wait long enough,
00:19:08.620 that intelligence entity
00:19:09.840 will control the government
00:19:11.100 that hired it.
00:19:12.720 Right?
00:19:13.240 I mean, it can't really
00:19:13.960 go any other way.
00:19:15.580 I mean, there's a reason
00:19:16.280 that Putin's in charge
00:19:17.240 of Russia, right?
00:19:20.300 Going from the intel agency
00:19:21.980 to running the country
00:19:22.960 is a pretty direct path
00:19:24.600 in a dictatorship, for sure.
00:19:26.980 Yeah.
00:19:30.760 Yeah, at this point,
00:19:32.160 it does look like
00:19:33.000 the U.S. government
00:19:35.120 is essentially
00:19:36.020 an intelligence agency
00:19:38.100 cutout,
00:19:39.760 or just a puppet.
00:19:41.860 That's what it looks like.
00:19:43.660 Now, I probably get kicked
00:19:45.640 off of social media
00:19:46.440 if I say,
00:19:47.040 I have proof.
00:19:48.340 That's what it is.
00:19:49.360 I'm just saying that
00:19:50.120 based on everything
00:19:50.760 we've seen
00:19:51.320 just in the public domain,
00:19:53.140 that would be
00:19:53.800 the reasonable interpretation.
00:19:57.180 Am I wrong?
00:19:59.340 Who disagrees with me?
00:20:00.900 It's a reasonable interpretation
00:20:02.460 based on public information,
00:20:04.420 no special research needed,
00:20:05.980 that our intel agencies
00:20:08.000 are running the government.
00:20:10.080 Effectively.
00:20:10.920 You know,
00:20:11.120 on anything important.
00:20:13.080 Certainly on anything
00:20:14.060 that involves foreign countries.
00:20:15.800 Maybe far less
00:20:16.820 for domestic stuff.
00:20:18.080 Yeah, let me modify that.
00:20:19.460 I doubt our intel agencies
00:20:20.800 are having much impact,
00:20:22.260 if any,
00:20:22.600 on any domestic policy.
00:20:25.160 Because they don't care.
00:20:27.200 But I think they have
00:20:27.900 a lot of impact,
00:20:28.820 maybe it's the only impact,
00:20:30.620 on foreign relations.
00:20:33.440 So that's my take.
00:20:35.760 All right.
00:20:37.880 So,
00:20:38.740 Trump is right again.
00:20:42.820 Starting to become
00:20:44.060 my best prediction
00:20:44.920 that Trump would look better
00:20:46.140 every day he was out of office.
00:20:48.380 Do you all believe it yet?
00:20:50.160 How many believed me
00:20:51.000 when I said it?
00:20:51.740 Do you remember
00:20:52.840 when I said it
00:20:53.480 in the beginning?
00:20:54.400 I said he would look better
00:20:55.320 every day he's out of office.
00:20:57.760 I'll bet you didn't believe it, right?
00:20:59.920 All right.
00:21:00.340 Let me talk about Predizone.
00:21:03.240 There was a Mike Cernovich tweet today
00:21:05.720 that said,
00:21:06.620 among other things,
00:21:07.800 that Putin has a world view.
00:21:10.340 So if you're just looking at him
00:21:12.420 as a crazy person,
00:21:14.500 you may have been hypnotized
00:21:16.340 or brainwashed by the media.
00:21:17.860 I'm adding that last part.
00:21:19.380 But the point being
00:21:22.280 that listening to Putin,
00:21:26.900 you don't get the sense
00:21:28.120 that he's insane necessarily.
00:21:30.280 He was obviously stressed.
00:21:31.500 But he has a world view
00:21:33.960 that holds together
00:21:35.300 even if you disagree with it.
00:21:37.600 And therefore,
00:21:38.320 he's not operating from insanity.
00:21:40.420 He's operating from
00:21:41.560 a different set of priorities
00:21:43.360 or, you know,
00:21:45.000 a sense of what's important.
00:21:47.960 Now,
00:21:48.640 when Mike Cernovich said
00:21:50.620 in that tweet,
00:21:51.560 he said that
00:21:52.160 if you're thinking
00:21:53.020 that prednisone
00:21:53.840 is the explanation,
00:21:55.600 then you're not
00:21:56.280 a serious person.
00:21:57.620 And I've said
00:21:58.960 that he looks like somebody
00:22:00.040 who could be
00:22:00.640 on some kind of drug
00:22:02.480 and that prednisone
00:22:03.640 would be a good guess.
00:22:06.400 Because prednisone,
00:22:07.780 my experience with it
00:22:08.980 is because I took
00:22:09.860 too much of it
00:22:10.560 in 20,
00:22:11.820 whatever,
00:22:12.500 19.
00:22:13.440 And it just changed
00:22:16.380 my personality.
00:22:17.940 I mean,
00:22:18.160 I could feel it
00:22:18.840 in real time.
00:22:19.780 Those of you
00:22:20.360 who are watching me
00:22:21.020 on live stream,
00:22:21.740 can you confirm,
00:22:23.080 I think you can,
00:22:24.260 can you confirm
00:22:25.020 that when you knew
00:22:25.720 I was on prednisone,
00:22:26.700 because I told you
00:22:27.260 publicly,
00:22:27.620 that I was more
00:22:29.120 aggressive?
00:22:31.500 Can you confirm
00:22:32.920 that?
00:22:34.340 Based on just
00:22:35.040 observation.
00:22:36.100 I mean,
00:22:36.340 you don't know
00:22:36.700 what I'm thinking.
00:22:38.640 But I want to,
00:22:39.280 you know,
00:22:39.460 I know a number
00:22:39.960 of you are going
00:22:40.320 to say yes,
00:22:40.820 but I want those
00:22:41.780 of you who didn't
00:22:42.680 witness it
00:22:43.380 to hear from
00:22:44.660 the ones who did.
00:22:46.020 You saw me every day
00:22:47.320 and you saw me
00:22:47.940 on prednisone
00:22:48.700 and you saw me off
00:22:49.540 and I don't think
00:22:50.500 you could miss
00:22:51.820 the difference.
00:22:53.520 Am I right?
00:22:54.620 The difference
00:22:55.200 wasn't small,
00:22:57.620 the difference
00:22:59.300 was striking
00:23:00.040 and I could feel
00:23:02.240 it in myself.
00:23:03.100 So while you were
00:23:04.200 observing I was
00:23:05.700 different,
00:23:06.320 I could feel it too.
00:23:07.940 I felt it maybe
00:23:09.080 even more strongly
00:23:09.880 than you could
00:23:10.420 observe it.
00:23:11.440 I felt fundamentally
00:23:12.760 like a different
00:23:13.480 person.
00:23:14.420 In other words,
00:23:15.320 even,
00:23:16.960 you know,
00:23:17.180 if I always had
00:23:18.220 that personality
00:23:19.040 that I had
00:23:20.000 under prednisone,
00:23:20.780 I would think
00:23:21.160 I was a different
00:23:21.680 person.
00:23:22.040 But of course,
00:23:24.140 the prednisone
00:23:24.740 goes away
00:23:25.260 and I go back
00:23:26.060 to my normal
00:23:26.700 situation.
00:23:28.920 So I'm going
00:23:30.280 to agree
00:23:32.060 with Cernovich,
00:23:34.400 but I'm going
00:23:36.760 to say this.
00:23:37.940 If you think
00:23:38.740 the entire story
00:23:39.980 is prednisone,
00:23:41.080 you're wrong. 0.83
00:23:42.400 So I agree
00:23:42.920 with him on that.
00:23:44.300 It's not the
00:23:44.880 entire story.
00:23:46.660 You know,
00:23:46.960 I'm not saying
00:23:47.440 that he doesn't
00:23:48.000 have,
00:23:48.760 or that Russia
00:23:49.240 doesn't have
00:23:49.760 some historical
00:23:50.520 claim,
00:23:52.020 you know,
00:23:53.380 claim or interest
00:23:54.500 to Ukraine.
00:23:55.180 That's true.
00:23:55.800 They do.
00:23:56.680 And I'm not going
00:23:57.300 to say that they
00:23:57.800 don't have any
00:23:58.540 military or defense
00:24:00.100 incentive,
00:24:02.100 because they do.
00:24:03.920 Right?
00:24:04.300 I mean,
00:24:04.660 you could,
00:24:05.220 if you were to
00:24:05.880 write on paper,
00:24:07.320 write an essay,
00:24:09.100 try to write it
00:24:10.200 from Putin's
00:24:10.900 point of view,
00:24:12.460 does he have
00:24:13.000 good reasons
00:24:13.700 or just reasons
00:24:14.500 to do what he's
00:24:15.600 doing?
00:24:15.820 I think you could
00:24:17.260 make a case for it.
00:24:18.180 You could make
00:24:19.440 a non-crazy case
00:24:21.180 for what he's
00:24:21.660 doing.
00:24:22.400 It's not working
00:24:23.220 out,
00:24:23.820 so you could say
00:24:24.860 that he's failing.
00:24:25.780 That's a separate
00:24:26.480 question.
00:24:27.460 But he had a reason.
00:24:30.180 Here's the question.
00:24:32.720 If you have a reason
00:24:34.040 to punch somebody,
00:24:35.860 do you always do it?
00:24:38.620 If you have a reason
00:24:39.940 to punch somebody,
00:24:41.440 do you always do it?
00:24:43.300 The answer is no.
00:24:45.220 Now I put you
00:24:46.180 on prednisone,
00:24:46.980 and I give you
00:24:47.980 too much of it.
00:24:49.580 Now you still have
00:24:50.320 the same reason
00:24:50.920 to punch somebody.
00:24:51.680 There's no change.
00:24:53.200 You had the same
00:24:53.840 reason to punch somebody.
00:24:55.400 Now do you take
00:24:55.980 the punch?
00:24:57.940 Maybe.
00:24:59.340 Maybe you do.
00:25:00.980 So definitely
00:25:01.960 I agree with
00:25:03.380 Cernovich that you
00:25:04.320 can't say this is
00:25:05.160 a prednisone only
00:25:07.060 or any drug.
00:25:08.100 You can't say
00:25:08.620 it's a drug only
00:25:09.720 situation.
00:25:10.360 It's not,
00:25:10.920 of course.
00:25:12.200 It's Russia 0.99
00:25:13.320 has a good point.
00:25:15.280 Ukraine has 0.72
00:25:15.900 a good point.
00:25:16.640 That's why
00:25:17.040 there's a war.
00:25:18.220 If they didn't
00:25:19.360 both have
00:25:19.920 a good point,
00:25:21.400 it wouldn't
00:25:22.300 look like this.
00:25:23.680 Now I'm not saying
00:25:24.460 I agree with
00:25:25.120 Russia's point 0.96
00:25:25.800 or agree with
00:25:26.500 Ukraine's.
00:25:27.100 I'm saying that
00:25:27.540 from their
00:25:27.940 points of view,
00:25:29.120 they can make
00:25:29.700 an argument
00:25:30.100 that holds
00:25:30.600 together on paper.
00:25:32.460 Not everybody
00:25:33.160 can do that.
00:25:34.760 I'm just saying
00:25:35.640 that if you add
00:25:36.440 prednisone to
00:25:37.200 any situation
00:25:38.020 that's already
00:25:38.640 tense,
00:25:39.580 it's going to
00:25:40.460 get tenser.
00:25:41.760 It's not going to
00:25:42.580 get more relaxed.
00:25:44.380 So it is
00:25:45.460 possible,
00:25:46.440 but there is
00:25:47.560 no direct
00:25:50.080 evidence that
00:25:50.720 I've seen,
00:25:52.380 it's possible
00:25:53.220 that prednisone
00:25:53.900 is a variable.
00:25:56.040 I would go
00:25:57.200 as high as
00:25:58.280 20%
00:25:59.520 possibility
00:26:00.440 that it's
00:26:01.940 either prednisone
00:26:02.780 or some
00:26:03.500 medication
00:26:04.620 is changing
00:26:06.420 Putin's 0.59
00:26:07.140 personality
00:26:08.860 in his judgment.
00:26:09.960 I'd give
00:26:10.720 it a 20%
00:26:11.440 chance.
00:26:12.720 But I'll tell
00:26:13.420 you,
00:26:13.560 he looks like
00:26:14.240 he's a guy
00:26:14.820 who's different.
00:26:18.480 Yeah,
00:26:18.960 he looks like
00:26:19.860 a guy who's
00:26:20.460 changed.
00:26:21.140 Now,
00:26:21.380 when I say
00:26:22.020 that,
00:26:22.480 I'm not
00:26:22.920 saying that,
00:26:23.620 well,
00:26:24.240 let me be
00:26:25.100 as careful
00:26:25.740 as I can
00:26:26.160 with my
00:26:26.500 words.
00:26:27.140 I'm not
00:26:27.880 intentionally
00:26:28.700 telling you
00:26:30.720 something
00:26:31.080 that I don't
00:26:32.120 believe to be
00:26:32.680 true.
00:26:34.760 In other
00:26:35.360 words,
00:26:35.640 I could be
00:26:36.140 wrong that
00:26:36.860 Putin is on
00:26:37.520 some kind
00:26:37.920 of drug.
00:26:38.360 I could easily
00:26:38.860 be wrong.
00:26:39.960 But I honestly
00:26:40.980 think he is.
00:26:42.500 And I have a
00:26:43.240 strong feeling
00:26:43.880 about it.
00:26:44.880 I have a
00:26:45.240 strong feeling
00:26:46.200 that he's
00:26:47.340 on drugs
00:26:47.920 of some
00:26:48.300 kind that's
00:26:49.360 affecting his
00:26:49.980 behavior and
00:26:51.320 that I can
00:26:51.800 identify it
00:26:52.880 just by his
00:26:53.780 mannerisms and
00:26:54.560 his look.
00:26:55.920 Now,
00:26:56.400 you know that
00:26:56.780 there's a lot
00:26:57.180 of science
00:26:57.760 that says that
00:26:59.500 people can
00:26:59.940 identify people
00:27:00.820 who are sick
00:27:01.380 just by looking
00:27:02.480 at their face.
00:27:03.720 Did you know
00:27:04.120 that?
00:27:05.200 That's an
00:27:05.700 actual thing.
00:27:06.260 It can be
00:27:06.600 tested.
00:27:07.440 Now,
00:27:07.640 people don't
00:27:08.000 get it right
00:27:08.360 every time.
00:27:08.960 But if you
00:27:10.340 showed two
00:27:10.840 faces and
00:27:11.520 one was
00:27:12.160 sick and
00:27:12.560 one wasn't,
00:27:13.860 the humans
00:27:14.820 can pick it
00:27:15.300 up like that
00:27:15.820 because we're
00:27:16.360 designed to
00:27:18.380 identify other
00:27:20.200 humans who are
00:27:20.780 good for
00:27:21.100 reproduction.
00:27:22.480 And you're
00:27:23.060 going to be
00:27:23.300 less likely to
00:27:24.400 want to
00:27:24.800 reproduce with
00:27:25.400 somebody who
00:27:25.760 looks sick
00:27:26.280 than someone
00:27:27.200 who looks
00:27:27.520 healthy.
00:27:27.940 So we
00:27:28.380 can pick
00:27:28.680 out healthy
00:27:29.120 just like
00:27:29.540 that.
00:27:30.140 We're
00:27:30.340 really good
00:27:30.720 at it.
00:27:31.480 And I
00:27:31.800 look at
00:27:32.180 Putin and
00:27:33.380 I say,
00:27:33.980 I don't see
00:27:34.880 health.
00:27:35.160 I see
00:27:36.440 bad
00:27:36.700 health.
00:27:38.380 Doesn't
00:27:38.900 mean I'm
00:27:39.180 right,
00:27:39.980 but humans
00:27:40.520 are good
00:27:40.860 at this.
00:27:41.980 That's the
00:27:42.660 only case
00:27:43.100 I'll make
00:27:43.460 is that we
00:27:44.260 are good
00:27:44.720 at it
00:27:45.160 and he
00:27:45.920 does look
00:27:46.380 sick or
00:27:47.520 something's
00:27:48.540 going on.
00:27:50.860 All right.
00:27:55.400 Why did
00:27:56.200 our intel
00:27:57.040 know that
00:27:57.560 Putin would
00:27:58.040 invade long
00:27:59.160 before he had
00:28:00.820 150,000 people
00:28:02.240 surrounding the
00:28:02.920 country?
00:28:03.540 At that point,
00:28:04.140 it was a
00:28:04.440 little more
00:28:04.740 obvious.
00:28:07.340 But how
00:28:08.820 did our
00:28:09.160 intel get
00:28:09.640 that one
00:28:09.980 so right
00:28:10.660 when they
00:28:11.840 got so
00:28:12.220 many other
00:28:12.600 things wrong?
00:28:14.280 What do
00:28:14.640 you think
00:28:14.820 that is?
00:28:16.600 Now,
00:28:17.280 you're going
00:28:17.940 to say it
00:28:18.620 wasn't hard
00:28:19.280 because Russia
00:28:20.360 had said
00:28:21.900 enough things
00:28:22.740 to indicate
00:28:23.300 it and they
00:28:23.920 had started
00:28:24.560 massing troops.
00:28:25.820 So really,
00:28:26.400 they were just
00:28:26.740 looking at what
00:28:27.220 was happening.
00:28:28.300 So it wasn't
00:28:28.800 that much of a
00:28:29.560 prediction.
00:28:30.880 But I want
00:28:32.000 to give you at
00:28:32.500 least one other
00:28:33.120 possibility.
00:28:34.140 Without
00:28:34.700 evidence,
00:28:36.360 so that there's
00:28:36.960 not any evidence
00:28:37.780 to what I'm
00:28:38.200 going to say,
00:28:39.100 it's just in
00:28:39.700 the possibility
00:28:40.420 set because we
00:28:41.500 don't know
00:28:41.840 what's going
00:28:42.220 on.
00:28:43.260 One of the
00:28:43.680 possibilities is
00:28:45.200 the reason our
00:28:45.880 intel people knew
00:28:46.900 that Russia was 0.63
00:28:47.780 going to invade is
00:28:48.660 that they caused
00:28:49.240 it.
00:28:49.440 Do you know
00:28:51.160 it's a lot
00:28:51.520 easier to predict
00:28:52.660 things that you
00:28:53.520 cause on your
00:28:54.220 own?
00:28:55.340 Have you ever
00:28:55.640 seen me do
00:28:56.120 that?
00:28:57.760 All right,
00:28:58.020 here's an
00:28:58.300 interesting question.
00:28:59.480 For those of you
00:29:00.160 who have been
00:29:00.380 watching me for a
00:29:01.160 long time,
00:29:01.680 have you ever
00:29:03.140 seen me predict
00:29:04.060 something?
00:29:05.640 And then after
00:29:06.200 it came true,
00:29:07.240 you said to
00:29:07.660 yourself,
00:29:08.660 wait a minute,
00:29:09.280 did he predict
00:29:09.880 that or did he
00:29:10.820 cause that to
00:29:11.420 happen?
00:29:12.720 And he knew he
00:29:13.460 was going to
00:29:13.840 cause it to
00:29:14.300 happen,
00:29:14.580 so he just
00:29:14.980 acted like he
00:29:15.520 was predicting
00:29:16.000 it.
00:29:16.780 Have you ever
00:29:17.100 seen me do
00:29:17.520 that?
00:29:21.020 I'm seeing
00:29:21.620 some yeses.
00:29:23.020 You know,
00:29:23.320 you can't be
00:29:23.780 sure,
00:29:24.160 right?
00:29:24.420 Because you'd
00:29:26.020 have to trust
00:29:26.580 me and,
00:29:28.500 you know,
00:29:28.680 you shouldn't
00:29:29.000 trust anybody
00:29:29.860 really.
00:29:31.460 As a general
00:29:32.260 rule,
00:29:32.940 just don't
00:29:33.460 trust anybody.
00:29:36.340 Okay,
00:29:37.020 so during the
00:29:37.600 2016 election
00:29:39.340 cycle,
00:29:40.780 there were
00:29:41.880 things that I
00:29:42.640 did attempt
00:29:43.240 to directly
00:29:43.980 change,
00:29:45.620 and I know
00:29:47.240 things went
00:29:47.700 my way,
00:29:48.640 but it's hard
00:29:49.060 to know how
00:29:49.480 much effect
00:29:49.920 you had.
00:29:51.960 All right,
00:29:52.540 true or
00:29:54.940 false,
00:29:55.640 Russia,
00:29:56.280 as Wall Street
00:29:57.040 Journal is
00:29:57.560 reporting,
00:29:58.440 is Russia,
00:29:59.740 or at least
00:30:00.920 Ukraine,
00:30:01.540 is it becoming
00:30:02.040 a graveyard for
00:30:02.980 Russian tanks?
00:30:04.820 Do you believe
00:30:05.840 the report that
00:30:06.940 400 Russian
00:30:08.260 tanks have been
00:30:09.000 stopped or
00:30:09.740 destroyed by
00:30:11.160 the Ukrainians?
00:30:12.540 Now,
00:30:13.200 400 is a lot
00:30:13.980 of tanks to
00:30:14.600 destroy.
00:30:16.700 We are told
00:30:17.700 that the Russian
00:30:18.660 military advance
00:30:19.580 has stopped in
00:30:20.740 the last day
00:30:21.560 or so.
00:30:22.540 Two days,
00:30:23.060 I think.
00:30:24.020 Now,
00:30:24.440 again,
00:30:24.860 I'm not even
00:30:25.400 sure if that's
00:30:25.940 true.
00:30:26.480 They could be
00:30:27.000 just regrouping.
00:30:28.220 Maybe they're
00:30:28.720 not bogged
00:30:29.200 down at all.
00:30:30.200 Could be
00:30:30.500 anything.
00:30:31.780 But,
00:30:32.840 so as a
00:30:33.760 general rule,
00:30:34.320 I don't believe
00:30:35.120 any of the
00:30:35.700 reports coming
00:30:36.500 out.
00:30:36.720 The only thing
00:30:37.140 you could
00:30:37.420 believe is
00:30:37.920 that Ukraine 0.91
00:30:38.560 is still
00:30:39.160 fighting.
00:30:40.580 Right?
00:30:40.900 They're very
00:30:41.460 basic things
00:30:42.160 you can believe.
00:30:43.200 Yeah,
00:30:43.720 they're still
00:30:44.240 fighting.
00:30:45.380 We know
00:30:45.780 that.
00:30:47.160 I would say
00:30:47.900 at this point
00:30:48.380 that Ukraine 0.91
00:30:48.880 is poised to
00:30:49.720 win the war.
00:30:50.260 And I'll
00:30:52.760 go back to
00:30:53.200 my original
00:30:53.780 prediction.
00:30:54.780 Remember,
00:30:55.260 my worst
00:30:55.740 prediction is,
00:30:57.340 and I kept
00:30:58.080 the prediction
00:30:58.640 long after it
00:30:59.640 was obvious it
00:31:00.940 wasn't going to
00:31:01.420 come true,
00:31:02.100 because I just
00:31:02.520 wanted to be
00:31:02.900 consistent.
00:31:03.320 but I
00:31:04.260 predicted that
00:31:04.920 Russia would 0.98
00:31:05.560 not invade
00:31:06.300 because it
00:31:07.440 would be
00:31:08.000 the worst
00:31:09.420 decision Putin
00:31:10.660 ever made,
00:31:11.280 and it was
00:31:11.580 obviously a
00:31:12.260 bad decision.
00:31:13.640 Now,
00:31:14.020 I believed it
00:31:14.760 because I
00:31:16.820 thought that
00:31:17.320 Russian tanks
00:31:18.020 couldn't survive
00:31:19.420 American technology,
00:31:22.360 meaning the
00:31:23.020 shoulder-mounted
00:31:24.080 stuff and
00:31:25.360 the drones and
00:31:26.280 whatever else we
00:31:27.300 have that you've
00:31:28.000 never even heard
00:31:28.480 of.
00:31:29.240 So I
00:31:29.820 believed that
00:31:30.460 Ukraine would 0.96
00:31:31.200 have enough of
00:31:31.940 the good
00:31:32.320 technology that
00:31:33.580 the Russian
00:31:34.100 tanks would be
00:31:35.400 stopped cold,
00:31:36.380 and that Russia
00:31:37.020 really can't hold
00:31:37.860 the country
00:31:38.260 without tanks.
00:31:39.840 So here are my
00:31:40.720 assumptions.
00:31:42.840 Ukraine would 0.96
00:31:43.740 have enough
00:31:44.380 modern technology,
00:31:45.960 so having enough
00:31:46.760 of it counts.
00:31:47.660 It appears that's
00:31:48.380 going to be the
00:31:48.780 case.
00:31:49.660 I said that their
00:31:51.140 technology to defeat
00:31:52.440 a tank would be 0.53
00:31:53.320 better than the
00:31:53.980 tank technology.
00:31:55.180 That appears to
00:31:56.060 be the case.
00:31:56.600 And I'm going
00:31:58.220 to add to
00:31:58.660 that, I
00:31:59.180 don't know if
00:31:59.500 I said this
00:31:59.940 originally, but
00:32:00.500 I'll add to
00:32:00.980 it, I don't
00:32:02.160 think you can
00:32:02.680 conquer a
00:32:03.160 country without
00:32:03.680 tanks.
00:32:05.420 So they need
00:32:06.480 tanks and
00:32:07.140 they're not
00:32:07.460 going to have
00:32:07.820 them.
00:32:09.880 That tells me
00:32:10.820 that the
00:32:11.200 Ukrainians will 0.98
00:32:11.980 eventually stall
00:32:12.900 their tanks and
00:32:15.740 start picking them
00:32:16.940 off until the
00:32:18.460 Russian army has
00:32:19.200 to dissolve or
00:32:21.540 disappear.
00:32:22.320 So I think
00:32:25.240 that the
00:32:25.840 Ukrainian strategy
00:32:27.760 of going for
00:32:28.460 supply routes and
00:32:30.160 tanks and
00:32:31.520 nothing else, I
00:32:32.580 mean basically you
00:32:33.320 could just go for
00:32:33.880 those, that would 0.79
00:32:35.000 be enough to win
00:32:35.600 the war.
00:32:36.980 So they have the
00:32:37.980 morale, they have
00:32:40.120 the strategy, they've
00:32:41.540 got the
00:32:41.880 communication, they've
00:32:43.380 got the
00:32:43.720 coordination, they've
00:32:45.040 got the satellite
00:32:45.640 view so they can
00:32:46.500 find stuff, they've
00:32:47.880 got the modern
00:32:48.460 equipment that's
00:32:49.200 better than the
00:32:49.820 tanks, in other
00:32:50.580 words they can
00:32:51.000 destroy the tanks,
00:32:52.320 what would ever
00:32:54.500 stop them from
00:32:56.640 losing, I mean
00:32:58.480 Russia from 0.51
00:32:58.960 losing?
00:32:59.740 How in the
00:33:00.240 world, so I'm
00:33:04.080 seeing Richard, I
00:33:06.140 call him Dick,
00:33:07.320 asking if I went
00:33:08.860 to West Point.
00:33:10.560 And I would like
00:33:11.580 to defend my
00:33:12.400 military opinions
00:33:14.760 this way.
00:33:18.060 Rock always beats
00:33:19.380 scissors.
00:33:19.940 scissors.
00:33:21.700 You don't have to
00:33:22.620 be a military
00:33:23.260 expert to know
00:33:25.080 that rock beats
00:33:25.800 scissors.
00:33:27.660 Right?
00:33:28.020 If one side had
00:33:29.120 nuclear weapons and
00:33:30.180 the other had
00:33:30.760 sticks and stones,
00:33:32.560 would you have to
00:33:33.240 be a military
00:33:33.840 expert to predict
00:33:35.360 who would win if,
00:33:36.540 let's say, they all
00:33:37.180 used all of their
00:33:37.860 weapons?
00:33:38.620 Probably not.
00:33:39.780 You don't have to
00:33:40.440 be a military
00:33:41.060 expert to know
00:33:42.600 that there is
00:33:43.480 some number of
00:33:44.640 handheld anti-tank
00:33:46.160 weapons that is
00:33:48.040 enough to defeat
00:33:49.480 a given quantity
00:33:50.920 of tanks.
00:33:51.840 Wouldn't you
00:33:52.200 agree with that?
00:33:54.080 That given a
00:33:54.840 certain number
00:33:56.000 of tanks,
00:33:57.040 it's only a
00:33:58.200 question of how
00:33:58.780 many people with
00:33:59.600 handheld shoulder
00:34:00.580 mounts there
00:34:01.780 are.
00:34:02.640 That's the only
00:34:03.180 question.
00:34:04.080 If there are
00:34:04.500 enough of them,
00:34:05.060 then the tanks
00:34:05.580 all go away. 0.88
00:34:07.140 Now, I've heard
00:34:08.180 much said about
00:34:09.060 the Russians' 0.98
00:34:09.920 lack of
00:34:10.660 coordination of
00:34:11.460 forces.
00:34:11.780 So, if you've
00:34:13.800 got a tank
00:34:14.560 formation, you
00:34:16.280 need to support
00:34:16.920 it with, what
00:34:19.360 do you call it,
00:34:19.700 infantry?
00:34:20.840 You need to
00:34:21.520 support it with
00:34:21.960 air cover.
00:34:22.640 And apparently
00:34:23.080 they're not doing
00:34:23.760 a good job of
00:34:24.560 supporting it.
00:34:26.220 I don't know
00:34:27.060 that that's going
00:34:27.720 to help them.
00:34:29.360 How much would
00:34:30.340 air support help
00:34:32.020 to stop two
00:34:33.980 Ukrainians with a 1.00
00:34:35.260 shoulder-mounted
00:34:35.960 rocket?
00:34:37.160 Do you stop that
00:34:38.180 with air support?
00:34:38.760 I can't imagine
00:34:42.380 that would be a
00:34:42.880 thing.
00:34:43.840 Can you find two
00:34:44.740 people in a
00:34:45.360 forest with air
00:34:47.060 support?
00:34:50.080 I mean, you can
00:34:50.840 hear the jet
00:34:51.320 coming, so you
00:34:52.060 just stand next to
00:34:52.960 a tree when it
00:34:53.540 goes over, right?
00:34:55.000 It just seems to
00:34:55.940 me that there are
00:34:57.260 some things that
00:34:57.860 are so plainly
00:34:58.600 obvious you don't
00:34:59.280 need to be a
00:34:59.800 military expert to
00:35:00.820 know.
00:35:01.940 If I said to
00:35:02.820 you, the United
00:35:04.020 States is going to
00:35:05.420 enter the war,
00:35:06.820 would you wonder
00:35:07.780 if our warthogs
00:35:10.820 could take out
00:35:11.460 the Russian
00:35:12.700 columns of, no,
00:35:15.020 you wouldn't
00:35:15.400 wonder that.
00:35:16.680 That's just rock
00:35:18.120 beats scissors,
00:35:19.660 right?
00:35:20.300 One weapon is
00:35:21.200 better than the
00:35:21.660 other weapon,
00:35:22.080 that's all it is.
00:35:23.300 So I don't think
00:35:24.180 you have to be
00:35:24.640 much of a
00:35:25.260 military genius to
00:35:26.380 know that rock
00:35:26.880 beats scissors
00:35:28.220 every time.
00:35:29.980 And I think
00:35:30.560 that's what we
00:35:31.060 have.
00:35:31.700 They need tanks, 0.74
00:35:33.480 they're not going
00:35:34.080 to have them.
00:35:35.660 Am I right?
00:35:36.140 Let's take it
00:35:37.820 down to that
00:35:38.600 level and see
00:35:39.460 if I'm wrong.
00:35:40.460 They can't
00:35:41.240 conquer the
00:35:42.460 cities and hold
00:35:43.440 them without
00:35:43.820 tanks, and
00:35:44.820 they won't have
00:35:45.360 them.
00:35:46.320 I think that's
00:35:47.140 it.
00:35:47.480 That's the end
00:35:47.920 of the war.
00:35:49.460 You know, as
00:35:50.160 long as the
00:35:50.640 Ukrainians have 1.00
00:35:51.200 food, and it
00:35:52.740 looks like that's
00:35:54.320 happening, I
00:35:55.660 think they just
00:35:57.280 keep fighting.
00:35:58.360 I think Russia's 0.99
00:35:59.060 got to figure out
00:35:59.720 how to get out
00:36:00.480 of there.
00:36:02.700 All right, there
00:36:03.580 was a deep fake
00:36:04.360 Putin.
00:36:04.740 Putin, I'm
00:36:05.620 wondering why
00:36:06.080 there haven't
00:36:06.360 been more of
00:36:06.860 those.
00:36:07.540 Apparently, the
00:36:08.280 deep fake Putin
00:36:10.340 was saying that
00:36:11.120 Russia surrenders 0.75
00:36:12.240 or something.
00:36:14.820 So we're not
00:36:15.560 quite at the
00:36:16.200 point where the
00:36:17.100 deep fake isn't
00:36:17.920 a little bit
00:36:18.460 obvious when you
00:36:19.080 look at it, but
00:36:21.040 it's really close.
00:36:23.000 And I would
00:36:23.460 guess that if our
00:36:25.120 government tried to
00:36:26.000 make a deep fake,
00:36:26.900 it would look just
00:36:27.500 like the real
00:36:28.000 thing.
00:36:28.880 Whereas some
00:36:29.980 person with a
00:36:31.080 computer tries to
00:36:31.860 make one, it's
00:36:32.640 still pretty good,
00:36:33.480 but it's not
00:36:35.340 like a
00:36:35.700 counterfeit bill.
00:36:36.920 The United
00:36:37.520 States can make
00:36:38.280 a $20 bill that's
00:36:41.140 got all the
00:36:41.560 technology in it and
00:36:42.720 it's hard to
00:36:43.360 counterfeit.
00:36:44.620 But a person can't
00:36:46.040 usually do that.
00:36:47.360 So what happens
00:36:47.940 when governments
00:36:48.600 get involved making
00:36:49.560 deep fakes?
00:36:51.420 Back in the
00:36:52.200 bin Laden times,
00:36:54.280 when I thought we
00:36:55.240 had enough technology
00:36:56.060 to do it, I
00:36:56.700 thought we should
00:36:57.380 be doing that
00:36:58.040 because nobody
00:36:58.920 knows where bin
00:36:59.760 Laden is.
00:37:00.320 everybody seems
00:37:01.600 to be taking
00:37:02.220 directions from
00:37:04.080 it.
00:37:04.760 We should create
00:37:05.480 a deep fake,
00:37:06.980 and so nobody
00:37:07.720 knows if they're
00:37:08.280 getting the real
00:37:08.780 bin Laden or 0.70
00:37:09.380 the deep fake.
00:37:10.660 In fact, we
00:37:11.180 should make more
00:37:11.660 deep fakes than
00:37:12.300 real ones, so
00:37:13.600 every time you
00:37:14.160 got some bin
00:37:15.120 Laden information,
00:37:16.040 you'd be like,
00:37:16.520 I don't know,
00:37:17.920 maybe, can't
00:37:19.660 tell.
00:37:22.340 That's what I
00:37:22.980 would have done,
00:37:23.680 but maybe the
00:37:24.200 technology wasn't
00:37:24.900 there.
00:37:26.700 Well, the
00:37:27.240 hacker group
00:37:27.740 anonymous, as a
00:37:29.320 you know, renewed
00:37:30.580 their call for
00:37:31.520 all hackers to
00:37:32.380 attack Russia 0.94
00:37:34.040 for their
00:37:34.600 inhumane war
00:37:35.860 on Ukraine.
00:37:37.640 Are you
00:37:38.440 wondering why
00:37:39.280 the lights are
00:37:40.020 still on in
00:37:40.740 Kiev, and
00:37:41.820 are you
00:37:43.160 wondering why
00:37:43.700 the Russian
00:37:44.380 so-called
00:37:45.300 their great
00:37:46.900 cyber capabilities
00:37:48.580 have made no
00:37:49.280 difference at
00:37:49.780 all?
00:37:50.860 Is it my
00:37:51.780 imagination, or
00:37:53.000 did the cyber
00:37:53.840 abilities of
00:37:54.780 Russia turn out 0.90
00:37:56.720 to be completely
00:37:57.620 irrelevant?
00:37:59.320 I think we
00:38:09.500 have a big
00:38:09.800 question mark
00:38:10.380 about all
00:38:10.780 those cyber
00:38:12.820 capabilities that
00:38:13.720 seem to
00:38:14.080 disappear.
00:38:15.920 All right,
00:38:16.420 I believe
00:38:19.620 that is all
00:38:20.540 the fun
00:38:20.900 news, and
00:38:23.220 did I miss
00:38:25.260 anything?
00:38:25.520 you know, I
00:38:27.860 looked at
00:38:28.280 CNN, as
00:38:29.000 soon as I
00:38:29.320 saw on
00:38:29.680 Twitter, all
00:38:30.620 the noise
00:38:31.560 about the
00:38:32.060 laptop being
00:38:32.880 confirmed, I
00:38:34.480 immediately went
00:38:35.080 to CNN to
00:38:36.860 see how they
00:38:37.420 covered the
00:38:38.280 fact that their
00:38:39.040 news had been
00:38:39.660 wrong for
00:38:40.860 years on a
00:38:42.380 really important
00:38:43.180 story.
00:38:45.060 I don't think
00:38:46.080 they mentioned
00:38:46.480 it.
00:38:48.160 Can you
00:38:48.580 confirm that?
00:38:49.500 Does anybody
00:38:49.940 have another
00:38:50.440 page open?
00:38:51.200 go look at
00:38:52.260 CNN.
00:38:54.960 I don't
00:38:55.820 believe that
00:38:57.520 they're even
00:38:57.960 mentioning that
00:38:58.640 the New York
00:38:59.000 Times confirmed
00:38:59.740 it's real.
00:39:04.820 There's a
00:39:05.440 Putin rally.
00:39:10.260 What do I
00:39:10.960 think will
00:39:11.280 happen with
00:39:11.720 the Hunter
00:39:12.020 situation?
00:39:13.120 I think the
00:39:13.780 Hunter situation
00:39:14.560 will be
00:39:15.440 investigated until
00:39:18.880 Joe Biden's
00:39:19.740 end of office.
00:39:21.200 So I think
00:39:21.800 the Biden
00:39:22.220 administration
00:39:22.860 as it stands
00:39:23.640 will never
00:39:24.140 have to
00:39:24.500 answer for
00:39:25.060 it.
00:39:26.760 And then
00:39:27.480 after he's
00:39:28.180 out of
00:39:28.440 office, he'll
00:39:29.140 still have
00:39:29.620 lots of
00:39:30.140 connections.
00:39:31.300 There'll be
00:39:31.640 some kind
00:39:32.280 of a
00:39:33.640 Jussie
00:39:34.720 Smollett
00:39:35.400 kind of a
00:39:36.540 situation
00:39:36.980 where maybe
00:39:38.780 justice acts
00:39:40.000 but when it's
00:39:41.540 done, Hunter
00:39:42.980 serves 10
00:39:43.600 days in jail
00:39:44.280 and suspended
00:39:46.080 sentence or
00:39:46.760 something.
00:39:47.480 I feel like
00:39:48.380 something will
00:39:49.740 happen that's
00:39:50.680 nothing.
00:39:51.920 Because they
00:39:52.460 can't do
00:39:52.780 nothing,
00:39:53.220 nothing.
00:39:53.920 They have to
00:39:54.540 do something.
00:39:55.520 But they
00:39:55.980 can't do
00:39:56.360 something that
00:39:56.880 matters, so
00:39:57.920 they have to
00:39:58.280 do something
00:39:58.740 that's nothing,
00:39:59.680 like with
00:40:00.140 Jussie.
00:40:01.320 Well, you're
00:40:02.500 going to jail.
00:40:03.060 Well, not
00:40:03.380 really going to
00:40:04.080 jail.
00:40:05.300 And by going
00:40:05.820 to jail, I
00:40:06.360 mean you'll
00:40:06.700 not go to
00:40:07.220 jail.
00:40:08.280 That sort of
00:40:08.980 thing.
00:40:09.980 Now, one of
00:40:10.720 the things that
00:40:11.180 Hunter apparently
00:40:11.900 did is he
00:40:13.500 paid a million
00:40:14.120 dollars of
00:40:14.640 taxes after it
00:40:16.440 was due.
00:40:16.820 But you
00:40:17.820 don't really
00:40:18.400 go to jail
00:40:19.060 too often,
00:40:20.540 even for not
00:40:21.260 paying taxes,
00:40:22.600 if you
00:40:23.020 voluntarily paid
00:40:24.020 them before
00:40:24.880 you got to
00:40:26.040 court.
00:40:27.240 So apparently
00:40:27.900 juries and
00:40:29.140 judges, they
00:40:30.440 look more
00:40:31.660 leniently on
00:40:32.520 somebody who
00:40:32.960 has paid their
00:40:33.500 bills.
00:40:34.600 If you
00:40:35.240 haven't paid
00:40:35.740 your bills,
00:40:36.220 then maybe
00:40:36.600 you go to
00:40:36.960 jail.
00:40:37.140 But if you
00:40:37.700 have paid
00:40:38.080 your bills,
00:40:38.800 you just
00:40:39.420 didn't do it
00:40:39.860 on time,
00:40:40.500 that's not
00:40:41.940 too different
00:40:42.900 than a lot
00:40:43.640 of America.
00:40:44.920 So if it
00:40:47.620 turned out his
00:40:48.180 only problem
00:40:48.880 was taxes,
00:40:50.080 he doesn't
00:40:50.580 have a
00:40:50.880 problem.
00:40:52.500 It's the
00:40:53.180 other stuff
00:40:53.740 that might
00:40:54.540 be the
00:40:54.780 problem.
00:40:55.880 And I
00:40:56.180 don't know
00:40:56.440 if there's
00:40:56.740 going to
00:40:56.900 be a
00:40:57.320 smoking gun.
00:40:59.800 Or would
00:41:00.140 you say
00:41:00.420 there's already
00:41:00.940 a smoking
00:41:01.500 gun?
00:41:03.120 I don't
00:41:03.380 know, it's
00:41:03.600 like a
00:41:03.940 pre-smoking
00:41:04.580 gun.
00:41:06.200 It's like I
00:41:06.700 can see how
00:41:07.380 it might be
00:41:08.020 a smoking
00:41:08.460 gun, but
00:41:08.960 it's not
00:41:09.220 quite a
00:41:09.680 smoking gun.
00:41:10.280 If you
00:41:10.580 know what
00:41:10.800 I mean.
00:41:11.680 Because the
00:41:12.260 stuff that
00:41:12.640 I've seen
00:41:13.120 from Hunter
00:41:14.260 is definitely
00:41:16.040 eyebrows go
00:41:17.700 all the way
00:41:18.060 up to your
00:41:18.360 forehead.
00:41:18.880 Like, what?
00:41:20.400 10% for the
00:41:21.440 big guy?
00:41:22.080 What?
00:41:23.240 I mean, it
00:41:23.640 sounds like
00:41:24.540 the worst
00:41:24.980 possible thing.
00:41:27.180 But we'll
00:41:28.100 find out.
00:41:28.960 Or we won't.
00:41:29.920 Maybe we'll
00:41:30.440 never find out.
00:41:32.400 But I'd
00:41:32.860 certainly like
00:41:33.340 to get to
00:41:36.120 the bottom
00:41:36.420 of it.
00:41:38.540 Now,
00:41:38.980 watching how
00:41:40.320 the news
00:41:40.940 handles the
00:41:42.120 fake news,
00:41:43.520 it's probably
00:41:45.300 the most
00:41:45.660 frustrating thing
00:41:46.500 I do.
00:41:47.900 Because if
00:41:49.140 they wait
00:41:49.580 long enough,
00:41:50.280 they can just
00:41:50.980 correct their
00:41:51.720 story, but
00:41:52.960 the story no
00:41:53.640 longer is
00:41:54.160 salient.
00:41:55.820 People have
00:41:56.240 just moved
00:41:56.660 on with what
00:41:57.340 they're interested
00:41:57.900 in.
00:41:58.620 So they can
00:41:59.400 just keep the
00:42:00.080 fake news
00:42:00.540 going for
00:42:01.080 years,
00:42:02.380 reverse it
00:42:02.980 whenever nobody's
00:42:03.980 paying much
00:42:04.520 attention,
00:42:04.940 and get
00:42:06.700 away with
00:42:07.060 it completely.
00:42:11.180 Accused of
00:42:11.720 money laundering.
00:42:12.720 Well, we'll
00:42:13.120 see if they
00:42:13.480 can prove
00:42:13.820 that.
00:42:14.880 You know,
00:42:15.060 remember,
00:42:16.000 for all we
00:42:17.460 want to
00:42:17.860 criticize Hunter
00:42:19.080 for,
00:42:20.460 he was
00:42:21.400 a Yale,
00:42:23.760 was he a
00:42:24.480 Yale-trained
00:42:25.780 lawyer?
00:42:27.020 Do I have
00:42:27.380 that right?
00:42:27.760 Yale?
00:42:29.580 Now, he
00:42:30.180 might have
00:42:30.960 gotten in
00:42:31.420 because his
00:42:31.900 father was
00:42:32.540 Joe Biden
00:42:33.580 or something,
00:42:34.340 but I
00:42:34.820 suspect that
00:42:35.700 Hunter Biden
00:42:36.180 is legitimately
00:42:36.980 quite smart.
00:42:38.880 Do you
00:42:39.400 think that's
00:42:39.760 not true?
00:42:40.420 I mean,
00:42:40.660 he's got his
00:42:41.080 issues,
00:42:42.040 no question,
00:42:43.140 but in
00:42:43.560 terms of
00:42:43.980 if you gave
00:42:44.680 him an IQ
00:42:45.200 test,
00:42:46.400 I think he'd
00:42:46.900 do really
00:42:47.260 well.
00:42:48.600 I think.
00:42:49.380 You don't
00:42:49.880 go to Yale
00:42:50.420 and get a
00:42:51.060 degree without
00:42:52.300 being a little
00:42:52.820 bit smart.
00:42:53.300 and he's
00:43:02.840 an artist
00:43:03.180 of sorts.
00:43:06.280 All right.
00:43:09.340 Anyway,
00:43:10.040 keep an eye
00:43:10.700 on that.
00:43:11.660 Keep an eye
00:43:12.200 on that.
00:43:12.740 All right,
00:43:12.960 here's my
00:43:13.300 favorite story
00:43:13.860 of the day.
00:43:14.700 Arnold,
00:43:15.460 did you see
00:43:16.000 Arnold Schwarzenegger's
00:43:17.040 video in which
00:43:18.040 he tried to
00:43:18.500 talk directly
00:43:19.040 to the Russian
00:43:19.520 people?
00:43:19.840 And I
00:43:21.440 gave it a
00:43:22.200 100% rating
00:43:24.280 for persuasion.
00:43:26.720 I'll tell you,
00:43:28.460 I've always
00:43:29.320 liked Arnold.
00:43:31.420 And Arnold
00:43:32.240 is one of the
00:43:33.020 best communicators,
00:43:34.700 which is ironic
00:43:35.600 because, you know,
00:43:36.280 he's got the
00:43:36.660 accent.
00:43:37.700 But Arnold
00:43:38.660 has been one
00:43:39.180 of the best
00:43:39.660 communicators
00:43:40.520 in political
00:43:42.440 or any life.
00:43:44.440 He's just
00:43:45.040 the best.
00:43:45.940 I mean,
00:43:46.260 really,
00:43:47.540 he's better
00:43:48.260 than Trump.
00:43:49.840 Now,
00:43:50.480 Trump's more
00:43:50.920 provocative,
00:43:51.700 so maybe he
00:43:52.160 can get more
00:43:52.560 attention.
00:43:53.320 But in terms
00:43:53.900 of actual
00:43:55.000 persuasion
00:43:55.720 skill,
00:43:57.740 yeah,
00:43:57.980 he's better
00:43:58.360 than Trump.
00:43:59.120 And I don't
00:43:59.480 say that lightly.
00:44:01.380 That's like
00:44:01.940 a big deal.
00:44:03.720 Here's what
00:44:04.280 he did right.
00:44:05.400 Now,
00:44:05.700 first of all,
00:44:06.180 let me acknowledge
00:44:07.000 I saw some
00:44:07.780 pushback on it
00:44:08.580 when I said
00:44:09.120 it was good.
00:44:10.240 A number
00:44:10.620 of people
00:44:10.920 said I
00:44:11.280 turned it
00:44:11.700 off when
00:44:12.740 he said
00:44:13.100 that the
00:44:13.500 January 6th
00:44:14.360 thing was
00:44:14.960 actually an
00:44:15.700 attempt to
00:44:16.200 overthrow the
00:44:16.700 government.
00:44:18.160 Now,
00:44:18.460 I don't
00:44:18.820 believe
00:44:19.200 January 6th
00:44:20.240 was an
00:44:20.640 attempt to
00:44:21.120 overthrow the
00:44:21.660 government.
00:44:22.320 To me,
00:44:22.640 that's obvious
00:44:23.240 fake news.
00:44:25.100 But Arnold
00:44:27.300 wasn't talking
00:44:28.080 to you.
00:44:29.480 He didn't
00:44:29.820 make the
00:44:30.160 video for
00:44:30.660 you.
00:44:31.840 Arnold made
00:44:32.360 a video in
00:44:33.120 which he
00:44:33.420 wanted to
00:44:34.020 demonstrate his
00:44:35.360 credibility
00:44:36.060 before he told
00:44:37.620 the Russian
00:44:38.020 people something
00:44:38.880 that was hard
00:44:39.780 to understand
00:44:40.600 and hear
00:44:41.080 based on the
00:44:42.440 propaganda
00:44:42.880 they've gotten
00:44:43.440 so far.
00:44:43.920 So what
00:44:45.380 Arnold did
00:44:46.140 was perfect
00:44:46.820 technique.
00:44:48.520 He showed
00:44:49.240 how much
00:44:49.580 he loves
00:44:50.120 the Russian
00:44:50.660 people and
00:44:51.260 is connected
00:44:51.840 to them
00:44:52.260 with a
00:44:52.580 personal
00:44:52.940 anecdote
00:44:53.360 of a
00:44:54.440 Russian
00:44:54.700 weightlifter
00:44:55.180 who changed
00:44:55.740 his life
00:44:56.220 and he
00:44:56.460 still drinks
00:44:56.920 out of the
00:44:57.240 same cup
00:44:57.720 of coffee
00:44:58.640 that this
00:44:59.100 guy gave
00:44:59.540 him years
00:44:59.880 ago.
00:45:00.400 And he
00:45:00.760 actually
00:45:00.980 shows you
00:45:01.440 the cup
00:45:01.780 of coffee,
00:45:02.680 the actual
00:45:03.040 cup.
00:45:04.560 And he
00:45:04.780 says,
00:45:05.000 I've been
00:45:05.200 drinking out
00:45:05.640 of this
00:45:05.820 for years
00:45:06.380 because it
00:45:07.160 was given
00:45:07.420 to me
00:45:07.760 by my
00:45:08.140 good friend.
00:45:08.640 And he
00:45:08.760 shows the
00:45:09.080 pictures of
00:45:09.560 the
00:45:09.660 weightlifter.
00:45:11.260 Have I
00:45:11.880 told you
00:45:12.360 that visual
00:45:13.500 persuasion
00:45:14.140 is the
00:45:14.600 good stuff?
00:45:16.000 Oh my
00:45:16.640 God.
00:45:17.960 Arnold took
00:45:18.680 the visual
00:45:19.220 persuasion
00:45:19.880 from actually
00:45:21.040 showing the
00:45:21.760 bodybuilder.
00:45:23.040 Then he
00:45:23.340 talked about
00:45:23.920 the fight
00:45:25.020 he had
00:45:25.320 with his
00:45:25.660 dad who
00:45:26.760 didn't like
00:45:27.240 Russians
00:45:27.580 because he'd
00:45:28.080 been in
00:45:28.340 World War II
00:45:28.860 and his
00:45:29.900 dad wanted
00:45:30.360 to take
00:45:30.820 the Russian
00:45:31.260 off the
00:45:31.600 wall when
00:45:31.980 Arnold was
00:45:32.880 a kid
00:45:33.140 and Arnold
00:45:33.920 refused.
00:45:35.540 Arnold was
00:45:36.360 going to
00:45:36.580 support the
00:45:37.100 Russian guy.
00:45:38.140 Now you've
00:45:38.400 got the
00:45:38.740 visual
00:45:39.560 of him
00:45:40.300 meeting the
00:45:41.420 bodybuilder
00:45:42.040 and he
00:45:42.240 shows the
00:45:42.600 picture.
00:45:43.620 You've got
00:45:43.980 the visual
00:45:44.600 in your
00:45:45.020 mind of
00:45:45.880 a young
00:45:46.320 Arnold
00:45:46.640 with a
00:45:47.220 poster on
00:45:47.680 the wall
00:45:47.980 and then
00:45:48.820 he ends
00:45:49.200 it with
00:45:49.480 the visual
00:45:49.980 of actually
00:45:50.620 holding the
00:45:51.560 coffee cup
00:45:52.100 that that
00:45:52.460 guy gave
00:45:52.920 him.
00:45:54.820 What do
00:45:55.420 I say
00:45:55.740 about visual
00:45:56.500 persuasion?
00:45:57.960 It's the
00:45:58.320 best.
00:45:58.980 I mean
00:45:59.140 fear is
00:45:59.600 the strongest.
00:46:01.060 If you
00:46:01.380 have fear
00:46:01.880 persuasion
00:46:02.360 you can't
00:46:02.760 beat that.
00:46:03.520 But without
00:46:04.000 that the
00:46:05.380 best one
00:46:05.960 is visual.
00:46:07.820 And man
00:46:08.460 did he
00:46:08.740 nail the
00:46:09.240 visual.
00:46:10.100 He nailed
00:46:10.660 it.
00:46:11.300 Here's the
00:46:11.660 other thing
00:46:12.000 I teach
00:46:12.360 you.
00:46:13.440 You have
00:46:13.900 to pace
00:46:14.480 people before
00:46:15.220 you can
00:46:15.640 lead them.
00:46:16.720 You have
00:46:17.280 to agree
00:46:17.740 with them
00:46:18.200 before you
00:46:18.680 can change
00:46:19.100 their mind.
00:46:20.480 He did
00:46:20.900 it masterfully
00:46:21.880 including,
00:46:23.280 and I know
00:46:23.680 you don't
00:46:23.960 like this,
00:46:25.360 sorry,
00:46:26.720 the January
00:46:27.300 6th part.
00:46:28.780 If you
00:46:29.300 don't think
00:46:29.720 that was
00:46:30.160 good persuasion
00:46:30.980 because it's
00:46:32.280 untrue,
00:46:33.060 you're on
00:46:34.140 the wrong
00:46:34.460 conversation.
00:46:35.040 I'm not
00:46:36.100 saying he
00:46:36.500 was right.
00:46:37.760 I'm saying
00:46:38.240 that if he
00:46:38.800 was talking
00:46:39.160 to a
00:46:39.520 Russian
00:46:39.800 public and
00:46:41.300 he says,
00:46:41.720 look, you
00:46:42.360 can trust
00:46:42.820 me, I'll
00:46:43.620 be even
00:46:43.900 throwing my
00:46:44.400 own party
00:46:44.980 under the
00:46:45.340 bus.
00:46:45.860 Remember, he's
00:46:46.300 a Republican.
00:46:47.820 Arnold's a
00:46:48.300 Republican who's
00:46:49.920 throwing other
00:46:50.520 Republicans under
00:46:51.340 the bus.
00:46:52.160 He's saying,
00:46:52.580 look, I'm
00:46:53.540 throwing Republicans
00:46:54.340 under the bus,
00:46:55.080 you can see me
00:46:55.600 do it right
00:46:55.980 now.
00:46:56.180 Now, that
00:46:59.500 makes him
00:46:59.900 wrong about
00:47:00.500 January 6th,
00:47:01.500 in my opinion.
00:47:02.220 But it
00:47:03.720 does make
00:47:04.180 him a
00:47:04.840 really good
00:47:05.320 persuader.
00:47:06.520 Because he's
00:47:07.120 trying to
00:47:07.620 establish his
00:47:08.400 credibility.
00:47:10.160 And let
00:47:11.140 me ask you
00:47:11.480 another thing.
00:47:13.540 Is Arnold
00:47:14.280 Schwarzenegger
00:47:15.060 famous for
00:47:16.200 telling it
00:47:17.380 straight,
00:47:18.300 or is he
00:47:19.260 famous for
00:47:19.840 lying?
00:47:22.080 What do
00:47:22.820 you think?
00:47:23.540 Just your
00:47:24.080 own opinion.
00:47:25.460 Is Arnold
00:47:26.340 famous for
00:47:27.200 lying, or
00:47:28.560 famous for
00:47:29.140 being pretty
00:47:29.760 much a
00:47:30.080 straight shooter?
00:47:30.580 I think
00:47:32.600 he's famous
00:47:33.020 for being
00:47:33.380 a straight
00:47:33.720 shooter.
00:47:35.380 I mean,
00:47:35.720 maybe some
00:47:37.200 story I don't
00:47:37.820 know about,
00:47:38.800 but I don't
00:47:39.360 think he's
00:47:39.740 ever been
00:47:40.200 accused of
00:47:40.960 not giving
00:47:41.580 you his
00:47:41.900 honest opinion,
00:47:43.520 even if he
00:47:44.240 didn't like
00:47:44.660 it.
00:47:45.400 So even the
00:47:45.940 January 6th
00:47:46.600 stuff, I
00:47:46.960 kind of hate,
00:47:47.960 but I do
00:47:48.380 love his
00:47:48.780 transparency.
00:47:50.960 I love the
00:47:51.760 fact that his
00:47:52.240 opinion is
00:47:52.800 very clear,
00:47:54.200 and he said
00:47:54.960 it, and it
00:47:55.300 was against
00:47:55.680 the grain,
00:47:56.360 and, you
00:47:57.660 know, okay.
00:47:59.220 I don't agree
00:47:59.900 with it, but I
00:48:00.420 respect it
00:48:00.980 completely.
00:48:02.040 Now, I
00:48:02.680 think that
00:48:03.140 this is a
00:48:03.600 bigger deal
00:48:04.140 than maybe
00:48:04.900 you think,
00:48:06.160 because,
00:48:06.960 correct me if
00:48:07.440 I'm wrong,
00:48:07.880 but I'll bet
00:48:08.260 Arnold is
00:48:08.880 really popular
00:48:09.700 in the Russian
00:48:11.080 public, am
00:48:12.040 I right?
00:48:12.520 You know,
00:48:12.800 above a certain
00:48:13.460 age, and
00:48:13.980 that's probably
00:48:15.020 what he's
00:48:15.340 targeting.
00:48:17.240 I would
00:48:17.840 guess, because
00:48:18.540 he's made
00:48:19.000 movies with,
00:48:19.860 you know,
00:48:20.080 Russian elements
00:48:20.880 in it, I
00:48:21.260 think he's,
00:48:21.980 and he's an
00:48:22.380 action figure,
00:48:23.180 so those
00:48:23.520 always play
00:48:24.040 bigger overseas.
00:48:25.520 So I would
00:48:26.300 guess that Arnold
00:48:26.920 is maybe just
00:48:27.900 about the exact
00:48:28.780 perfect person,
00:48:29.860 because he's
00:48:30.420 not just a
00:48:31.140 star, he's
00:48:32.440 also a
00:48:33.120 legitimate
00:48:33.460 political figure
00:48:34.700 in America.
00:48:36.900 And when he
00:48:37.340 talked to the
00:48:37.940 Russian people,
00:48:39.000 he did a
00:48:39.640 really good
00:48:40.380 job of
00:48:41.060 establishing
00:48:41.620 his non-bias 0.79
00:48:44.000 and his
00:48:45.120 credibility, a
00:48:46.560 really good
00:48:47.200 job.
00:48:47.880 Some said it
00:48:48.540 lasted too
00:48:49.140 long, but he
00:48:51.000 made it
00:48:51.300 interesting the
00:48:51.920 whole time.
00:48:53.120 I'm not sure
00:48:53.700 if it lasted
00:48:54.220 too long, if
00:48:54.820 it's interesting
00:48:55.520 the whole time.
00:48:56.160 And he
00:48:56.860 made it
00:48:57.180 interesting,
00:48:57.620 because he's
00:48:57.960 a performer.
00:48:59.140 It was a
00:48:59.660 performance.
00:49:00.640 It wasn't a
00:49:01.320 speech, it was a
00:49:01.940 performance, and
00:49:02.620 it was a good
00:49:03.020 one.
00:49:03.780 And by the
00:49:04.140 way, anything
00:49:06.000 you ever thought
00:49:06.780 about Arnold's
00:49:07.620 acting ability?
00:49:09.780 Well, my
00:49:10.380 opinion of it
00:49:10.980 went up,
00:49:11.840 because this
00:49:13.140 was an act,
00:49:14.120 I mean,
00:49:14.920 overtly.
00:49:15.900 He was putting
00:49:16.860 on a show for
00:49:17.720 a purpose, to
00:49:18.540 persuade.
00:49:19.360 I think he
00:49:19.920 nailed it.
00:49:21.020 I mean, I
00:49:21.300 think it's, not
00:49:22.240 only is it
00:49:23.140 persuasion perfect,
00:49:25.100 even though you
00:49:25.780 don't like parts
00:49:26.420 of it, the
00:49:27.020 persuasion part's
00:49:27.720 perfect.
00:49:30.160 And he's the
00:49:30.840 right person at
00:49:31.440 the right time.
00:49:32.600 I think he
00:49:33.180 could actually
00:49:33.600 move the
00:49:34.020 dial.
00:49:34.820 Now, the
00:49:35.100 problem is,
00:49:36.160 will any
00:49:36.660 Russians actually
00:49:37.320 see it?
00:49:37.780 And by the
00:49:38.100 way, there
00:49:38.340 was a
00:49:38.660 translation that
00:49:39.460 came with
00:49:39.800 it, which
00:49:40.880 is good
00:49:41.360 technique.
00:49:45.160 We don't
00:49:45.740 care if he's
00:49:46.200 a rhino.
00:49:47.280 That's not the
00:49:47.960 question today.
00:49:48.660 I mean, you
00:49:48.980 could care about
00:49:49.520 it separately, but
00:49:51.060 it doesn't
00:49:51.400 matter to
00:49:51.860 today's topic.
00:49:52.880 Yeah, it
00:49:55.120 doesn't matter
00:49:55.500 what he did in
00:49:56.000 his personal
00:49:56.400 life, right?
00:50:00.160 Okay.
00:50:01.100 Well, from the
00:50:01.900 Russian perspective,
00:50:03.240 as long as they
00:50:04.300 think he's
00:50:04.940 Republican enough,
00:50:06.900 then it's good
00:50:07.900 persuasion.
00:50:08.500 That's the only
00:50:08.920 point.
00:50:13.880 You used to
00:50:14.780 admire him, but
00:50:15.500 now you don't.
00:50:16.920 Do you think he
00:50:17.540 actually wrote it?
00:50:20.500 That's a good
00:50:21.140 question.
00:50:22.340 It's so good
00:50:23.460 that I suspect
00:50:25.080 he might have.
00:50:26.760 So if he
00:50:27.260 didn't write it,
00:50:27.880 he was obviously
00:50:28.540 deeply involved in
00:50:29.560 editing it.
00:50:30.380 My guess is he
00:50:31.120 probably had a
00:50:31.600 little help, but
00:50:33.620 that there's no
00:50:34.540 word in there
00:50:35.120 that isn't one
00:50:36.520 he wants in
00:50:37.080 there.
00:50:38.020 My guess is that
00:50:38.940 Arnold isn't
00:50:39.460 going to take
00:50:39.820 somebody else's
00:50:40.480 thing and just
00:50:41.000 read it.
00:50:42.740 Is that your
00:50:43.400 take?
00:50:44.300 I mean, Arnold's
00:50:44.960 kind of hands-on,
00:50:45.840 right?
00:50:46.380 He's not going to
00:50:48.240 just say, oh,
00:50:49.060 just go on camera
00:50:49.940 and read this thing
00:50:50.620 and make it
00:50:51.040 convincing.
00:50:51.580 That's not
00:50:51.880 going to
00:50:52.020 happen.
00:50:52.560 It looks like
00:50:53.160 he wrote it.
00:50:54.040 I mean, he's
00:50:54.340 the only one
00:50:54.780 who knew about
00:50:55.340 his connection
00:50:56.880 to the Russian
00:50:57.640 weightlifter and
00:50:59.540 what happened
00:51:00.020 when he was a
00:51:00.520 kid and stuff.
00:51:01.800 So, I don't
00:51:02.440 know.
00:51:02.520 It just seems
00:51:02.960 to me that
00:51:03.500 seeing Hunter
00:51:07.580 Biden memes
00:51:08.200 go by.
00:51:13.540 Scott is
00:51:14.200 working to
00:51:14.700 get into a
00:51:15.200 different set
00:51:15.760 of clubs.
00:51:16.340 You know,
00:51:17.980 everybody who
00:51:18.720 goes tribal
00:51:20.780 on here
00:51:21.200 and your
00:51:23.420 comment is
00:51:24.240 what club
00:51:25.460 I'm trying
00:51:25.900 to join
00:51:26.380 or if I'm
00:51:27.760 trying to
00:51:28.140 make some
00:51:28.800 Democrats
00:51:29.260 happy or
00:51:30.000 sometimes you
00:51:30.900 say, I think
00:51:31.520 he wants to
00:51:31.980 sleep with
00:51:32.440 AOC.
00:51:33.920 All of those
00:51:34.720 comments are
00:51:35.220 the lowest
00:51:35.780 level of
00:51:36.440 analysis.
00:51:37.880 Really.
00:51:38.360 I mean, you're
00:51:39.640 welcome to
00:51:40.300 participate.
00:51:41.700 Of course, you're
00:51:42.180 all welcome.
00:51:43.380 But just know
00:51:44.960 when you say
00:51:45.360 that, that other
00:51:45.920 people read and
00:51:46.540 they're like,
00:51:47.000 if your only
00:51:49.280 take on this
00:51:49.920 is tribal,
00:51:51.400 about how
00:51:52.160 Republican is
00:51:53.300 Arnold, like
00:51:54.840 that's the thing
00:51:55.380 that mattered
00:51:55.700 to you.
00:51:56.800 And is Scott
00:51:57.880 always on the
00:51:58.680 side of the
00:51:59.220 same side?
00:52:00.440 Sometimes does
00:52:01.120 he agree with
00:52:01.580 the other?
00:52:01.900 If any of that
00:52:02.620 matters to you,
00:52:04.020 you're operating
00:52:04.680 at the lowest
00:52:05.480 level of
00:52:06.860 analysis.
00:52:08.360 And I'm,
00:52:12.480 you know, I'm
00:52:13.000 not saying that
00:52:13.700 tribal affiliations
00:52:15.860 don't matter,
00:52:16.580 they do.
00:52:17.700 But if that's
00:52:18.420 what you're
00:52:18.700 obsessed with,
00:52:20.320 you don't have
00:52:21.380 any value.
00:52:23.100 You have no
00:52:24.160 value.
00:52:25.960 Because everybody
00:52:26.860 knows that
00:52:27.780 things are
00:52:28.420 tribal.
00:52:29.400 Like, you're
00:52:29.980 not adding
00:52:30.560 anything.
00:52:37.240 The Russian
00:52:38.120 captions make
00:52:38.900 me think it
00:52:39.300 was produced
00:52:39.840 by a
00:52:40.280 propaganda
00:52:40.660 outfit.
00:52:41.960 Well, here's
00:52:43.900 my question.
00:52:44.800 Do you think
00:52:45.160 the government
00:52:45.680 asked Arnold
00:52:47.180 to do it?
00:52:48.220 Or do you
00:52:48.680 think Arnold
00:52:49.080 just came up
00:52:49.700 with the idea
00:52:50.200 on his own?
00:52:53.560 The existence
00:52:54.400 of the high
00:52:55.940 quality Russian
00:52:56.800 translation that
00:52:57.780 accompanied it
00:52:58.540 suggests he
00:52:59.880 had some
00:53:00.680 help.
00:53:02.900 I mean, I
00:53:03.380 don't think he
00:53:03.820 put the Russian 0.99
00:53:04.360 translation on
00:53:05.140 there himself.
00:53:08.600 So I would
00:53:09.460 guess that
00:53:10.060 somebody in
00:53:12.660 the administration
00:53:13.700 may have
00:53:14.820 reached him
00:53:15.260 or in
00:53:15.640 intelligence.
00:53:16.720 Because it
00:53:17.120 looks like a
00:53:17.980 combination of
00:53:18.920 government
00:53:20.660 level and
00:53:23.200 Arnold level.
00:53:24.020 It looks like
00:53:24.480 a combo.
00:53:27.000 My perception
00:53:27.860 is that Scott
00:53:28.520 has been got
00:53:29.260 to over
00:53:29.920 Ukraine
00:53:30.460 persuasion.
00:53:33.280 Is there
00:53:34.240 anybody who
00:53:34.700 thinks that
00:53:35.160 the Ukrainians
00:53:35.940 have persuaded
00:53:36.680 me and
00:53:39.000 that I'm
00:53:40.340 believing
00:53:40.700 their propaganda?
00:53:43.520 Who thinks?
00:53:44.880 So he says,
00:53:45.600 yes, clearly.
00:53:47.340 All right,
00:53:47.680 well, let me
00:53:48.220 say as clearly
00:53:48.800 as possible.
00:53:50.220 You shouldn't
00:53:50.740 believe anything
00:53:51.340 that Ukraine 0.91
00:53:51.860 says.
00:53:54.060 Is that
00:53:54.740 clear enough?
00:53:55.780 If you believe
00:53:56.760 even one
00:53:57.480 fucking word
00:53:58.340 that the
00:53:59.280 Ukrainians are 1.00
00:54:00.080 saying during
00:54:00.680 a war of
00:54:01.480 survival?
00:54:04.180 Why?
00:54:05.560 And why
00:54:06.260 would you
00:54:06.540 think I
00:54:06.900 would believe
00:54:07.320 Ukraine?
00:54:08.480 Ukraine is
00:54:09.320 the most
00:54:09.700 corrupt,
00:54:10.380 one of the
00:54:10.840 most corrupt
00:54:11.340 governments
00:54:11.940 involved in
00:54:13.540 a war.
00:54:15.960 You can't
00:54:16.720 believe anything
00:54:17.240 they say.
00:54:19.100 Somebody says
00:54:19.640 I'm a
00:54:19.940 Zelensky
00:54:20.460 apologist.
00:54:21.680 I've told you
00:54:22.200 an apologist
00:54:22.620 is a sign
00:54:24.020 for you
00:54:24.360 having
00:54:24.620 cognitive
00:54:25.200 dissonance,
00:54:25.800 right?
00:54:25.960 So why
00:54:28.880 do you
00:54:29.100 think that
00:54:29.540 I'm
00:54:29.840 pro-Ukrainian
00:54:31.760 or I'm
00:54:33.740 believing
00:54:34.040 their propaganda
00:54:34.900 when I
00:54:35.700 tell you
00:54:35.960 I don't
00:54:36.180 believe any
00:54:36.580 of it,
00:54:37.140 like zero
00:54:37.580 of it,
00:54:38.680 none of
00:54:39.060 it?
00:54:39.640 And I
00:54:40.160 strongly
00:54:41.100 recommend
00:54:41.700 that you
00:54:42.620 don't
00:54:42.800 believe any
00:54:43.200 of it.
00:54:44.560 The only
00:54:45.080 things you
00:54:45.420 can believe
00:54:45.800 are the
00:54:46.060 things that
00:54:46.360 are sort
00:54:46.640 of obvious.
00:54:47.560 There's a
00:54:48.000 war,
00:54:48.740 it's in
00:54:49.520 Ukraine,
00:54:50.600 just basic
00:54:51.320 stuff,
00:54:51.660 that's all
00:54:51.960 you know.
00:54:52.760 And otherwise
00:54:53.340 we're all
00:54:53.760 just sort
00:54:54.120 of guessing
00:54:54.500 because the
00:54:56.000 news is
00:54:56.480 fake and
00:54:58.000 everybody's
00:54:58.480 lying.
00:54:59.620 So if you
00:55:00.340 don't start
00:55:00.800 from the
00:55:01.160 premise that
00:55:01.640 all the
00:55:02.040 news is
00:55:02.420 fake and
00:55:02.760 everybody's
00:55:03.220 lying,
00:55:04.540 then everything's
00:55:05.340 confusing to
00:55:06.060 you.
00:55:07.000 So when you
00:55:07.840 say that I
00:55:08.620 have been
00:55:08.920 co-opted by
00:55:09.720 propaganda,
00:55:10.920 how exactly
00:55:11.700 do you get
00:55:12.200 co-opted by
00:55:13.400 propaganda that
00:55:14.480 you are
00:55:14.820 absolutely sure
00:55:15.640 is false?
00:55:17.600 I mean,
00:55:17.940 I suppose it
00:55:18.480 could,
00:55:18.880 but if I
00:55:21.560 talk about
00:55:22.200 Ukraine winning
00:55:23.280 the war,
00:55:24.360 it's not
00:55:24.760 because I
00:55:26.960 even,
00:55:27.480 I'm not
00:55:27.860 even sure
00:55:28.240 I'm that
00:55:28.600 invested,
00:55:29.360 honestly.
00:55:30.520 I don't
00:55:31.100 know if I'm
00:55:31.500 that invested
00:55:32.100 because,
00:55:34.740 I don't
00:55:35.720 know,
00:55:36.740 Ukrainians
00:55:37.340 had some
00:55:37.720 issues.
00:55:38.860 I'm not
00:55:39.340 sure that it
00:55:39.880 matters to
00:55:40.480 the United
00:55:40.860 States who
00:55:41.360 owns Ukraine.
00:55:42.660 I just
00:55:43.020 don't know
00:55:43.320 that it
00:55:43.580 matters to
00:55:43.980 us.
00:55:44.700 So I
00:55:45.240 don't think
00:55:45.780 I have
00:55:45.980 that,
00:55:46.200 the personal
00:55:48.060 interest in
00:55:48.660 it.
00:55:49.340 I do have
00:55:49.980 an interest
00:55:50.420 that dictators 0.92
00:55:51.440 can't conquer
00:55:52.280 countries.
00:55:54.200 Like,
00:55:54.480 I have an
00:55:54.740 interest in
00:55:55.120 that.
00:55:55.560 Because that,
00:55:56.380 in some ways,
00:55:57.260 you could look
00:55:57.660 at the
00:55:58.000 Ukraine situation
00:55:59.140 as being
00:56:01.820 entirely about
00:56:02.740 China.
00:56:03.700 Have you
00:56:03.980 ever thought
00:56:04.340 of that?
00:56:05.960 Have you
00:56:06.260 ever thought
00:56:06.640 that the
00:56:06.980 situation in
00:56:07.680 Ukraine is
00:56:08.440 not even
00:56:09.080 about Russia?
00:56:10.320 It's just
00:56:10.740 about China?
00:56:12.220 Because whatever
00:56:13.100 happens here is
00:56:14.040 going to tell
00:56:14.500 China what they 1.00
00:56:15.200 can get away
00:56:15.700 with, right?
00:56:17.320 So if Ukraine 0.58
00:56:18.340 doesn't go well
00:56:19.280 for Russia,
00:56:21.420 Taiwan is safer,
00:56:22.280 right?
00:56:23.000 Remember I
00:56:23.580 told you
00:56:23.980 that if you
00:56:25.980 were to arm
00:56:26.540 the Taiwan
00:56:27.340 population with
00:56:30.240 these same
00:56:30.620 weapons, and
00:56:32.520 China had to 0.96
00:56:33.440 get there by
00:56:34.020 sea, for the
00:56:35.780 most part?
00:56:36.780 I don't know.
00:56:37.820 I'm not even
00:56:38.320 sure China could
00:56:39.020 conquer Taiwan 0.99
00:56:39.920 without destroying
00:56:40.680 it totally, and
00:56:41.600 I'm not sure
00:56:42.160 that they could
00:56:42.600 do that.
00:56:44.160 So I do
00:56:46.720 think that
00:56:47.120 Ukraine might
00:56:47.680 be entirely
00:56:48.280 about China.
00:56:55.320 Oh, Akira
00:56:56.420 the Don has
00:56:57.040 started up his
00:56:57.680 live streams
00:56:58.280 again, I
00:56:58.640 hear.
00:56:59.100 So check
00:56:59.960 out Akira
00:57:00.560 the Don.
00:57:04.520 What's a
00:57:05.100 corrupted Scott
00:57:05.820 going to do?
00:57:06.340 China gets 0.96
00:57:14.740 both Ukraine.
00:57:15.620 Yeah, you
00:57:16.460 know, China
00:57:18.420 might get
00:57:19.300 Ukraine.
00:57:20.320 I heard
00:57:20.820 somebody say
00:57:21.360 that there's
00:57:22.660 no way that
00:57:23.300 Russia's going 0.97
00:57:23.920 to starve
00:57:24.440 their army
00:57:25.100 because it's
00:57:26.840 the grain
00:57:27.560 basket of
00:57:28.180 the world.
00:57:29.620 So they're
00:57:30.260 not going to
00:57:30.640 run out of
00:57:31.220 bread because
00:57:32.000 it's the
00:57:33.040 bread basket
00:57:33.500 of the world.
00:57:33.980 to which I
00:57:35.420 say, have
00:57:37.600 you ever
00:57:37.820 tried to
00:57:38.160 eat wheat?
00:57:41.820 What do
00:57:42.620 you do?
00:57:42.920 Just grab a
00:57:43.880 handful in
00:57:45.580 the field?
00:57:47.840 How much
00:57:48.460 wheat is
00:57:48.840 growing in
00:57:49.220 the winter?
00:57:50.780 Where is it
00:57:51.280 stored?
00:57:52.780 Do you
00:57:53.000 think it's
00:57:53.300 just stored
00:57:54.000 where they
00:57:54.340 can go get
00:57:54.840 it and
00:57:55.040 make some
00:57:55.340 bread?
00:57:56.560 I don't
00:57:57.060 think it's
00:57:57.360 that easy
00:57:57.780 to turn
00:57:58.240 the wheat
00:57:58.660 in the
00:57:59.000 field into
00:57:59.540 food.
00:58:01.240 You know,
00:58:01.640 if you're
00:58:02.140 in a country
00:58:02.540 where anything
00:58:03.260 that's a
00:58:03.700 factory is
00:58:04.220 going to
00:58:04.420 get destroyed, 0.98
00:58:06.100 how do
00:58:07.000 you turn
00:58:07.280 it into
00:58:07.600 food?
00:58:08.980 It can't
00:58:09.580 be that
00:58:09.860 easy.
00:58:15.720 Yes,
00:58:16.160 we do
00:58:16.420 need
00:58:16.660 fertilizer.
00:58:17.420 Fertilizer is
00:58:17.900 a good
00:58:18.320 question.
00:58:19.660 You've got
00:58:19.940 to mill it.
00:58:20.860 That's right,
00:58:21.240 you've got to
00:58:21.620 mill it.
00:58:24.280 The 13
00:58:25.040 dead on a
00:58:25.660 Ukrainian
00:58:26.060 island was
00:58:26.680 a lie.
00:58:27.000 Yeah,
00:58:27.160 most of
00:58:28.000 what we've
00:58:28.580 heard is
00:58:28.860 a lie or
00:58:29.760 out of
00:58:30.060 context or
00:58:30.680 something.
00:58:32.360 So,
00:58:32.780 anyway,
00:58:33.700 I say
00:58:35.060 Arnold
00:58:35.420 good,
00:58:37.760 Russia
00:58:38.080 bad,
00:58:39.180 and that
00:58:39.980 is your
00:58:40.380 show for
00:58:40.780 today.
00:58:41.640 Possibly the
00:58:42.260 best thing
00:58:42.600 you've ever
00:58:42.900 seen.
00:58:43.720 If you
00:58:44.320 were a
00:58:44.580 subscriber to
00:58:45.500 Locals,
00:58:45.980 you would
00:58:46.280 have seen
00:58:46.580 my micro
00:58:47.460 lesson on
00:58:48.340 how to
00:58:48.940 control all
00:58:49.800 the things
00:58:50.200 you can
00:58:51.140 control.
00:58:52.940 And
00:58:53.420 you can
00:58:57.100 get a
00:58:57.400 countertop
00:58:57.960 and milling
00:58:58.480 machine.
00:58:58.800 well,
00:58:59.680 I agree
00:59:00.420 that you
00:59:00.780 can mill
00:59:01.260 the wheat,
00:59:02.480 but I
00:59:03.020 don't know
00:59:03.260 if you
00:59:03.480 can mill
00:59:03.840 it fast
00:59:04.380 enough and
00:59:04.880 efficiently
00:59:05.320 enough to
00:59:05.820 feed an
00:59:06.200 army,
00:59:07.000 and if
00:59:07.500 your army
00:59:07.860 is eating
00:59:08.220 only bread
00:59:08.900 and melted
00:59:11.040 snow,
00:59:12.000 I don't
00:59:12.300 know.
00:59:13.400 It doesn't
00:59:13.740 seem like a
00:59:14.220 good situation.
00:59:15.900 That's all
00:59:16.400 for now,
00:59:16.860 and I'll
00:59:17.160 talk to you
00:59:17.700 tomorrow.
00:59:18.800 tomorrow.