Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 1685 Scott Adams： Let's Talk About All The Fake News. There's Lots Of It

00:00:00.000 Well, ladies and gentlemen, if I were prepared and my printer were working, I would be looking

00:00:12.260 at my notes right now.

00:00:13.940 But despite my best efforts to make that printer produce something, it does not.

00:00:21.760 Did I say the sound is bad?

00:00:30.000 Chuck that printer.

00:00:32.860 Yes, I might.

00:00:34.860 Let's see what's going on.

00:00:35.960 Whoa.

00:00:36.680 Hold on.

00:00:57.420 Sometimes you just have to scare them.

00:01:00.000 Is it my imagination or did that work?

00:01:12.360 I think it's starting to print.

00:01:13.820 I'm watching this with great excitement because there's a really good chance if this doesn't

00:01:25.280 print, I'm going to smash it on the tile floor.

00:01:28.900 So this is kind of exciting.

00:01:33.620 If this doesn't print, how much would you like to see me raise it above my head and smash

00:01:39.880 it on my floor on camera?

00:01:41.140 I did it with my last printer.

00:01:44.860 I'll do it with as many printers as it takes.

00:01:48.860 Uh-oh.

00:01:49.960 Let's see what message it has.

00:01:52.240 This will determine if it lives or dies.

00:01:54.140 You know, if I were inventing a printer,

00:02:15.140 I would invent it so it told me when it was on the paper, just before I smashed it on the

00:02:28.080 ground.

00:02:28.340 Oh, it looks like we'll have a show today.

00:02:32.540 Could happen.

00:02:33.960 Hold on.

00:02:43.600 All right.

00:02:45.080 My God.

00:02:49.180 Could I be less organized?

00:02:52.120 Could I be?

00:02:52.820 Let's pretend none of this has ever happened.

00:02:58.360 Rewind.

00:03:09.400 Rewind.

00:03:14.880 Good morning, everybody, and welcome to the best thing that ever happened to you.

00:03:21.380 Now, it was close.

00:03:24.800 We almost had a situation here.

00:03:27.500 But apparently my printer doesn't tell me when it's out of paper the first time.

00:03:31.640 You've got to beat it up a little bit, and then it reveals its secrets.

00:03:35.660 I just shook that printer and made it work.

00:03:38.200 You saw that with your own eyes, right?

00:03:41.100 Did you all see that?

00:03:42.540 I just picked it up and shook it and scared it.

00:03:46.320 It started giving me information.

00:03:48.260 Anyway, if you'd like your day to be great, all you need is a cup or a mug or a glass of

00:03:54.320 tank or chelsea, stein, the canteen, drink a flask of a vessel of any kind, fill it with

00:03:57.000 you for any of the liquid.

00:03:57.680 I like coffee.

00:03:59.040 You enjoy me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine of the day.

00:04:01.820 I think it makes everything better.

00:04:02.760 It's called the subtlety.

00:04:03.520 It's sips and it happens now.

00:04:04.340 Go.

00:04:10.200 Now everything's better.

00:04:11.520 Apparently, I was a little under-caffeinated.

00:04:15.700 Problem solved.

00:04:17.360 Well, let's talk about all of the things.

00:04:21.460 Mostly fake news today.

00:04:23.740 Pete Davidson, who, as you know, is dating Kim Kardashian, much to the displeasure of Kanye.

00:04:31.040 And Kanye has now mocked Pete Davidson to the point where Pete Davidson got a tattoo.

00:04:41.940 I guess he got some tattoos with Kim Kardashian's name on them.

00:04:45.420 But also he branded her name on his skin.

00:04:48.780 He branded.

00:04:50.440 He actually branded himself with her name.

00:04:55.300 Now, I'm not sure that this was Kanye's plan.

00:05:01.040 Kanye's pretty smart.

00:05:04.580 I feel like Kanye pushed him until he branded himself.

00:05:07.640 Am I wrong?

00:05:09.420 Because if you're trying to get back at Kanye, here's a way not to do it.

00:05:15.520 Put Kanye's wife's name on your body with a brand.

00:05:20.320 And then change girlfriends probably any day now.

00:05:23.260 The fun part will be Pete Davidson explaining the brand on his body to his next girlfriend.

00:05:33.760 Kanye, if you're watching this, I don't know if you can stop laughing.

00:05:40.100 Because I'm just going to go out on a limb and say that Kim Kardashian is not going to marry Pete Davidson.

00:05:48.660 Anybody want to take the other side of that bet?

00:05:50.700 I think they're not getting married.

00:05:53.720 And so, there's a good chance that Pete Davidson is going to be making love to his future love.

00:05:59.940 And she's going to say, you know what bothers me?

00:06:03.260 You didn't get my name branded on you.

00:06:06.940 And Pete Davidson will now have to brand every woman he wants to have a relationship with.

00:06:13.700 He's going to have to get a brand on him.

00:06:15.040 He's going to look like a cow they used to practice branding.

00:06:22.120 Now, I wonder what kind of a sex cult he's in.

00:06:26.220 Because if there's one thing that the news has taught us,

00:06:29.400 if somebody voluntarily gets a brand, they are in a sex cult.

00:06:34.720 Am I right?

00:06:35.400 So, I think that Kim Kardashian should probably go to jail for many years,

00:06:40.080 just like the founder of NXIVM, who had his little subgroup there who branded each other.

00:06:49.040 Same thing.

00:06:49.960 Must be a sex cult.

00:06:51.100 I think Kim Kardashian probably needs to go to jail for many years for running a sex cult.

00:06:56.580 And convincing Pete Davidson to put a brand on him.

00:07:00.040 Oh, oh, wait.

00:07:01.980 Wait.

00:07:03.540 Pete Davidson is male.

00:07:05.720 Am I right?

00:07:06.920 He's male.

00:07:08.040 So, if a man decides to voluntarily brand himself,

00:07:13.800 that's not coercion.

00:07:17.300 Do you know why?

00:07:19.120 Because he's a man.

00:07:21.600 He's a man.

00:07:22.420 But if a woman gets a brand, voluntarily, she's a member of a cult,

00:07:29.580 she couldn't possibly have had any free will,

00:07:32.220 and she's been forced to do this against her will.

00:07:35.280 Why?

00:07:36.260 Because she's a woman.

00:07:39.060 The logic is inescapable.

00:07:41.840 Men have free will and women don't,

00:07:43.520 according to everything that I've been told in the last few years.

00:07:47.100 Am I right?

00:07:48.600 Woman gets a brand, she must be in a cult.

00:07:50.780 Man gets a brand.

00:07:52.200 Oh, he just wanted to get a brand.

00:07:54.500 It's pretty sexist.

00:07:56.860 Pretty sexist.

00:07:59.240 All right.

00:08:00.580 Here's some more fake news.

00:08:02.760 There's a woman who is going to be opening with Steely Dan,

00:08:07.140 or opening for Steely Dan this summer,

00:08:09.520 named Amy Mann.

00:08:11.960 And she believes she was dropped from the show because she's a woman.

00:08:16.460 And she believes, without evidence,

00:08:19.760 that Steely Dan thought their audience wouldn't like a female singer-songwriter.

00:08:24.740 To which I say,

00:08:26.780 what?

00:08:29.380 What?

00:08:30.800 Now, it would be one thing if somebody actually said that,

00:08:34.660 but nobody actually said that.

00:08:38.000 Do you think that in the year 2022,

00:08:42.200 that Steely Dan,

00:08:43.840 or anybody,

00:08:45.080 would say,

00:08:45.620 you know,

00:08:46.320 I don't think an audience is going to watch a woman sing.

00:08:49.740 That would be crazy.

00:08:52.860 Now,

00:08:53.580 the simulation has given us another

00:08:55.500 entertainment here.

00:08:58.640 And that her name

00:08:59.640 is Amy Mann.

00:09:02.340 She's actually aiming to be a man,

00:09:04.780 according to her name.

00:09:05.620 But she was dropped

00:09:08.000 because she thinks

00:09:08.880 it's because she was a female singer-songwriter.

00:09:12.100 Now,

00:09:12.760 that looks like

00:09:14.080 fake news.

00:09:17.380 Just to stir things up,

00:09:19.080 did you see that Dave Rubin

00:09:20.320 and his

00:09:20.980 partner-slash-husband,

00:09:22.760 I'm not sure what the proper terms are,

00:09:24.960 are having two babies?

00:09:27.740 Two babies,

00:09:28.800 both with surrogates.

00:09:30.820 Different surrogates,

00:09:31.980 and I think

00:09:32.620 I think different

00:09:34.380 sperm and egg.

00:09:37.100 I think they,

00:09:38.580 I'm just guessing.

00:09:39.640 If you could have two babies

00:09:40.640 at about the same time,

00:09:42.040 you'd probably have one baby

00:09:43.700 from one father

00:09:44.820 and the other from the other.

00:09:45.720 I just assume.

00:09:46.520 I don't know if that's the case.

00:09:48.120 But

00:09:48.360 this is really pushing the science.

00:09:55.100 Each throw in sperm,

00:09:56.640 and

00:09:56.660 oh,

00:09:56.960 same egg donor.

00:09:58.200 Really?

00:09:59.000 Same egg donor,

00:09:59.780 somebody said?

00:10:01.240 Interesting.

00:10:01.640 Okay.

00:10:02.900 Well,

00:10:03.460 I saw some conservatives

00:10:04.680 vomiting in their mouth

00:10:06.600 when they saw this news

00:10:07.800 and saying,

00:10:09.140 Dave Rubin,

00:10:09.900 how can you call yourself

00:10:11.120 a conservative?

00:10:14.580 Do you know how

00:10:15.460 Dave Rubin

00:10:16.120 can call himself

00:10:16.860 a conservative?

00:10:18.200 He doesn't.

00:10:19.620 He says he's a liberal

00:10:20.820 every time anybody asks.

00:10:22.220 Every time.

00:10:23.480 Every time.

00:10:24.600 A hundred percent of the time,

00:10:26.480 he says he's a liberal.

00:10:28.080 And then he acts like a liberal,

00:10:29.320 and people say,

00:10:29.820 how can you call yourself

00:10:31.660 a conservative?

00:10:33.080 No,

00:10:33.440 that didn't happen.

00:10:34.980 But apparently,

00:10:36.060 people believe that

00:10:37.260 Dave Rubin

00:10:38.820 and his husband

00:10:40.040 are violating

00:10:41.680 some kind of

00:10:42.700 Christianity,

00:10:44.000 biblical

00:10:44.540 rule.

00:10:47.700 To which I say,

00:10:49.560 let me check my Bible

00:10:50.700 for the part about

00:10:53.020 surrogacy,

00:10:55.200 science,

00:10:56.200 some test-tooth babies.

00:10:59.240 And what God said

00:11:00.440 about that

00:11:01.180 doesn't seem to be here.

00:11:04.440 It seems that the Bible

00:11:05.640 was silent on

00:11:06.620 surrogacy.

00:11:09.760 So how do we know

00:11:10.940 what the Bible wanted

00:11:12.060 or what God wanted?

00:11:14.320 Isn't that

00:11:15.120 a human interpretation?

00:11:17.940 I mean,

00:11:18.180 I realize the Bible

00:11:18.920 has to be interpreted.

00:11:19.740 but

00:11:20.860 if God

00:11:22.560 didn't say

00:11:23.080 anything about it

00:11:24.400 whatsoever,

00:11:26.500 how do you know

00:11:27.540 what he's thinking?

00:11:29.020 I mean,

00:11:29.220 it's bad enough

00:11:29.760 when we're...

00:11:32.660 Who's giving me

00:11:33.500 the snore over here?

00:11:34.900 You actually pay

00:11:35.580 for a subscription

00:11:36.420 and then yell

00:11:37.160 snore at me?

00:11:38.700 How about

00:11:39.100 we get rid of you?

00:11:42.820 Jesus.

00:11:44.640 So,

00:11:45.260 we will get rid of you.

00:11:47.100 Oh God,

00:11:47.740 my interface

00:11:48.360 doesn't let me do that.

00:11:49.480 All right,

00:11:49.780 I guess you'll just

00:11:50.320 have to say

00:11:50.740 that same word

00:11:51.400 over and over again.

00:11:55.900 Yeah.

00:11:57.940 Okay,

00:11:58.760 so,

00:11:59.740 Dave Rubin

00:12:00.480 making things

00:12:02.180 interesting again.

00:12:04.680 How about

00:12:05.280 that Florida law

00:12:06.280 that I've been

00:12:06.880 refusing to talk about

00:12:08.000 for really good reasons?

00:12:10.340 So here's

00:12:10.820 the Florida law

00:12:12.000 about teaching

00:12:14.000 gender orientation

00:12:15.680 stuff

00:12:16.180 in school.

00:12:17.580 and it says

00:12:20.100 this is the actual

00:12:20.840 language in the law

00:12:23.660 that before grade three

00:12:25.420 no sexual orientation

00:12:26.700 lessons that are

00:12:27.780 not age appropriate

00:12:28.920 or developmentally

00:12:30.760 appropriate

00:12:31.340 can be taught.

00:12:33.200 To which I say

00:12:34.240 this is the most

00:12:35.020 bullshit law

00:12:35.780 I've ever seen

00:12:36.280 in my life.

00:12:37.700 What a bullshit law.

00:12:39.660 Forget about

00:12:40.420 conservative,

00:12:42.020 liberal,

00:12:42.540 forget about

00:12:43.340 gender,

00:12:44.460 forget about everything.

00:12:45.180 Who the fuck

00:12:46.580 wants a law

00:12:47.360 that says

00:12:47.960 that the lesson

00:12:49.260 has to be appropriate?

00:12:51.140 Who gets to decide

00:12:52.020 what's appropriate?

00:12:53.940 Don't make laws

00:12:55.240 about something

00:12:56.240 being age appropriate.

00:12:58.540 That's not a standard.

00:13:00.500 You can't make a standard

00:13:01.860 you can't make a standard

00:13:04.620 that's subjective.

00:13:05.700 really?

00:13:10.500 We just lost

00:13:10.980 the sound.

00:13:17.020 Did we lose

00:13:19.820 the sound?

00:13:21.420 No,

00:13:21.800 I think we're okay.

00:13:26.160 Oh,

00:13:26.540 somebody's playing

00:13:27.100 a prank.

00:13:27.560 It's a pretty good one.

00:13:28.460 All right.

00:13:30.020 That's a pretty good

00:13:30.700 prank.

00:13:31.180 All right.

00:13:31.480 so here's

00:13:34.420 what I say.

00:13:37.540 Forget about

00:13:38.300 what you think

00:13:38.940 about teaching

00:13:39.540 children.

00:13:40.240 You can't make

00:13:40.760 a law like this.

00:13:42.420 You can't make

00:13:43.120 a law like this.

00:13:45.880 Right?

00:13:46.380 You can't make

00:13:47.160 a law that says

00:13:47.940 something has to be

00:13:48.960 age appropriate

00:13:49.780 or developmentally

00:13:50.940 appropriate

00:13:51.400 without any standard

00:13:52.960 for who decides

00:13:53.800 what that is

00:13:54.540 or for who.

00:13:55.160 And I would imagine

00:13:55.900 it would be different

00:13:56.520 for different people.

00:13:58.740 Right?

00:13:59.540 Imagine if you were

00:14:00.440 a kid and you grew

00:14:01.320 up in a household

00:14:02.700 where, you know,

00:14:05.400 something non-traditional

00:14:06.920 was going on.

00:14:08.280 Maybe you should

00:14:08.900 see it sooner

00:14:09.480 because it would be

00:14:11.280 relevant to your

00:14:11.980 actual life.

00:14:13.000 So I just have

00:14:14.940 a real problem

00:14:15.520 with the law

00:14:16.260 that's this vague.

00:14:19.460 You just can't

00:14:20.100 have vague laws.

00:14:21.340 I mean,

00:14:21.540 maybe you do need

00:14:22.140 some kind of law,

00:14:23.340 but not this one.

00:14:24.720 So I would vote

00:14:25.380 against this

00:14:26.000 based on vagueness

00:14:27.460 and having nothing

00:14:28.360 to do with the

00:14:28.920 issue itself.

00:14:30.440 All right.

00:14:32.300 China says its

00:14:33.260 COVID cases are

00:14:34.200 reducing.

00:14:35.300 I'm going to call

00:14:35.960 that fake news.

00:14:37.480 What do you think?

00:14:38.800 Do you think China

00:14:39.640 is experiencing

00:14:41.040 a reduction

00:14:41.860 in cases

00:14:43.740 of Omicron?

00:14:46.540 How?

00:14:46.920 Do you think

00:14:48.040 their lockdowns

00:14:48.760 are that good?

00:14:51.940 What's this?

00:14:54.220 Does not look

00:14:55.080 like a troll.

00:14:56.120 Well,

00:14:56.840 trolling makes you

00:14:57.780 a troll.

00:14:58.080 So I guess

00:15:01.120 the mainstream

00:15:02.280 media has decided

00:15:03.200 that calling

00:15:04.240 our inflation

00:15:05.920 a Putin price hike

00:15:07.100 is good branding.

00:15:09.060 And even Chuck Todd

00:15:09.940 said that.

00:15:12.040 And Andrea Mitchell

00:15:13.480 agreed that Putin's

00:15:14.480 price hike

00:15:14.940 was a great way

00:15:15.760 to message the issue.

00:15:19.520 What do you think

00:15:20.340 about that?

00:15:20.880 Do you think

00:15:22.720 it's a Putin price hike?

00:15:23.780 It's actually

00:15:25.880 pretty good persuasion.

00:15:28.460 I mean,

00:15:29.320 it's only persuading

00:15:30.140 one side,

00:15:30.900 but that's usually

00:15:31.540 all anybody does

00:15:32.500 anymore.

00:15:33.620 So if Democrats

00:15:35.700 believe it,

00:15:37.120 and it looks like

00:15:38.080 they do,

00:15:38.720 because the Democrats

00:15:39.480 are not terribly

00:15:40.580 good at economics,

00:15:42.420 then it works.

00:15:44.280 So as persuasion,

00:15:46.820 it probably works.

00:15:47.660 Probably pretty good,

00:15:49.060 I've got to say.

00:15:49.640 If I'm just being

00:15:50.720 objective about

00:15:51.460 his technique,

00:15:52.660 it's probably

00:15:53.280 pretty good.

00:15:54.480 Now,

00:15:54.720 it's not true,

00:15:55.380 of course.

00:15:55.820 That's a separate

00:15:56.340 question.

00:15:59.120 So there was

00:16:00.120 an energy

00:16:00.700 independence bill

00:16:01.800 that was blocked

00:16:02.580 in a related story.

00:16:03.660 So the House

00:16:04.060 Democrats

00:16:04.660 blocked a bill

00:16:07.300 that was aimed

00:16:09.400 at saying

00:16:10.180 we wouldn't buy

00:16:10.760 any Russian oil

00:16:11.740 and we would

00:16:12.420 become energy

00:16:13.580 independent.

00:16:14.100 and the House

00:16:15.640 Democrats

00:16:16.120 blocked it.

00:16:17.660 So they're calling

00:16:18.580 the price hike

00:16:20.120 a Putin price hike

00:16:21.340 while they're

00:16:22.420 blocking

00:16:22.960 independent

00:16:25.140 drilling

00:16:25.940 and energy

00:16:26.640 in this country,

00:16:27.860 or at least

00:16:28.340 the expansion

00:16:29.260 of it.

00:16:30.760 So now the

00:16:31.420 Democrat messaging,

00:16:32.600 pulling these two

00:16:33.740 together,

00:16:34.140 this is what the

00:16:34.720 Democrats are

00:16:35.600 telling the country

00:16:36.420 collectively.

00:16:39.100 Right?

00:16:40.100 They're saying

00:16:40.820 that Putin is

00:16:41.500 the main cause

00:16:42.200 of higher energy

00:16:42.920 prices.

00:16:44.100 Would you agree?

00:16:44.920 That's what Biden

00:16:45.500 is saying.

00:16:46.340 And the mainstream

00:16:46.920 media are repeating

00:16:48.360 it.

00:16:49.560 So they're buying

00:16:50.180 into Putin as

00:16:50.900 the main cause

00:16:51.540 of higher energy

00:16:52.160 prices.

00:16:53.140 At the same time,

00:16:54.340 the Democrats

00:16:54.840 are saying that

00:16:55.340 we should not

00:16:56.880 increase our

00:16:57.460 domestic energy

00:16:58.340 production.

00:16:59.980 Do you know

00:17:00.480 why?

00:17:01.540 Apparently,

00:17:02.280 it's because

00:17:02.860 Russian fossil fuels

00:17:04.340 do not contribute

00:17:05.620 to climate change,

00:17:07.140 but American ones

00:17:08.380 do.

00:17:09.900 Now,

00:17:10.240 I'm reading

00:17:10.800 that into it,

00:17:11.580 but it's the only

00:17:12.140 thing that you

00:17:12.660 could conclude.

00:17:14.100 Because you're

00:17:15.580 going to use

00:17:15.960 the same amount

00:17:16.700 of energy no

00:17:17.400 matter where

00:17:17.800 you buy it

00:17:18.360 from,

00:17:18.680 right?

00:17:19.520 So if you

00:17:19.980 buy it from

00:17:20.560 Russia,

00:17:21.320 we have

00:17:21.860 problems.

00:17:23.040 If you buy

00:17:23.540 it from the

00:17:23.940 United States,

00:17:24.880 we have fewer

00:17:25.560 problems.

00:17:26.560 But in both

00:17:27.260 cases,

00:17:27.760 the climate

00:17:28.140 change is

00:17:29.860 exactly the

00:17:30.460 same.

00:17:32.340 So the

00:17:32.920 Democrats don't

00:17:33.560 even have a

00:17:34.060 message that

00:17:34.560 makes sense

00:17:35.020 on paper.

00:17:36.040 You couldn't

00:17:36.700 even write

00:17:37.180 down their

00:17:37.920 message.

00:17:38.960 If you wrote

00:17:39.420 it down,

00:17:39.700 you'd say,

00:17:40.180 well,

00:17:40.680 did you leave

00:17:41.740 that a

00:17:42.000 word or

00:17:42.420 something?

00:17:43.480 Like,

00:17:43.740 it wouldn't

00:17:43.980 even make

00:17:44.320 sense if

00:17:44.720 you looked

00:17:45.000 at it.

00:17:46.180 That the

00:17:46.820 problem is

00:17:47.320 Putin's

00:17:47.680 energy hike,

00:17:48.580 but we

00:17:49.200 don't want

00:17:49.620 to develop

00:17:50.960 more energy

00:17:51.540 ourselves because

00:17:52.840 of climate

00:17:53.340 change,

00:17:53.980 even though we

00:17:54.720 know it

00:17:55.620 doesn't have

00:17:55.980 any effect on

00:17:56.600 climate change

00:17:57.220 because we'll

00:17:57.880 just buy the

00:17:58.680 other energy.

00:17:59.240 Am I wrong?

00:18:03.060 I need a fact

00:18:04.380 check on this

00:18:04.920 because to me,

00:18:05.860 it looks obvious

00:18:07.080 that they're saying

00:18:07.720 two opposite things,

00:18:08.960 or two things

00:18:09.800 that are

00:18:10.020 incompatible

00:18:10.720 anyway,

00:18:11.480 right?

00:18:13.000 That's what I've

00:18:13.680 seen.

00:18:15.560 I mean,

00:18:16.100 it seems so

00:18:16.560 obvious that I

00:18:17.120 wondered if I

00:18:17.640 was seeing it

00:18:18.140 wrong.

00:18:19.980 Like,

00:18:20.340 my head was

00:18:21.220 just shaking.

00:18:21.700 I was like,

00:18:21.920 am I looking

00:18:22.340 at this right?

00:18:24.540 And I wonder,

00:18:25.320 how do Democrats

00:18:26.000 ever win another

00:18:26.940 election?

00:18:28.040 And of course,

00:18:28.600 I asked that on

00:18:29.240 Twitter and

00:18:29.620 everybody said,

00:18:30.660 they'll rig that

00:18:31.340 election.

00:18:32.660 Maybe they will.

00:18:33.900 Well,

00:18:34.180 Jussie Smollett

00:18:34.880 was ordered

00:18:35.380 released from jail

00:18:36.340 after serving

00:18:37.020 less than a week

00:18:37.800 of a five-month

00:18:38.740 sentence.

00:18:40.020 Why?

00:18:40.680 Because he's

00:18:41.380 pending appeal.

00:18:43.440 And I guess

00:18:44.120 it's not that

00:18:45.020 uncommon to let

00:18:45.980 people out when

00:18:46.640 you're pending

00:18:47.000 appeal.

00:18:48.160 Is that true?

00:18:50.460 Is he being

00:18:51.280 treated special?

00:18:52.280 The way the

00:18:52.940 news on the

00:18:53.600 right is

00:18:55.060 treating it is

00:18:55.880 that he's being

00:18:56.540 treated special.

00:18:58.840 Well,

00:18:59.160 I'm not sure

00:18:59.640 that it is

00:19:00.080 special anymore

00:19:00.860 because these

00:19:01.960 days everybody's

00:19:02.760 getting out on

00:19:03.380 bail, right?

00:19:04.300 And if you're

00:19:04.980 awaiting an

00:19:05.840 appeal, you can

00:19:06.640 be out on bail

00:19:07.380 if it's a

00:19:07.900 non-violent

00:19:08.420 crime.

00:19:11.460 Now, as

00:19:12.240 many of you

00:19:12.820 are correctly

00:19:13.680 noting, the

00:19:15.180 January 6th

00:19:15.940 people did not

00:19:16.700 seem to get

00:19:17.280 that consideration.

00:19:19.520 But I'm no

00:19:20.580 lawyer, but I'll

00:19:22.320 bet there is

00:19:22.860 something different

00:19:23.620 about the

00:19:24.120 January 6th

00:19:24.860 situation.

00:19:26.760 Isn't there?

00:19:28.220 Because if

00:19:28.620 there's not

00:19:29.560 anything different,

00:19:31.000 well, then I do

00:19:31.660 have a problem

00:19:32.240 with it.

00:19:33.060 Now, there

00:19:33.580 could be

00:19:33.860 different jurisdictions,

00:19:34.780 and it could

00:19:35.700 be just that.

00:19:37.320 Do you think

00:19:37.740 it's just

00:19:38.040 race?

00:19:39.060 I don't know.

00:19:41.100 It looks more

00:19:41.820 like connections.

00:19:43.340 But I guess

00:19:43.780 here's the

00:19:44.420 general question.

00:19:45.840 If we didn't

00:19:46.520 look at the

00:19:47.040 January 6th

00:19:47.800 people, and

00:19:48.400 that does

00:19:48.740 look like a

00:19:49.380 political hit,

00:19:51.040 if you didn't

00:19:51.580 count the

00:19:51.900 January 6th,

00:19:52.620 which is a

00:19:53.060 special case,

00:19:54.540 is it unusual

00:19:55.360 that somebody

00:19:56.320 with Smollett's

00:19:57.540 crime, which

00:19:59.780 stands alone,

00:20:00.520 I don't think

00:20:00.940 he has a

00:20:01.280 criminal record,

00:20:01.860 it wasn't

00:20:02.320 violent, why

00:20:04.720 not?

00:20:06.280 I'm not sure

00:20:07.000 I have a

00:20:07.400 problem with

00:20:07.900 him having

00:20:08.620 bail, do you?

00:20:11.720 Isn't he

00:20:12.260 exactly the

00:20:12.900 guy who gets

00:20:13.340 bail?

00:20:14.220 Because they're

00:20:14.760 not saying

00:20:15.200 that he's

00:20:15.540 out of jail,

00:20:16.400 they're just

00:20:16.780 saying it's

00:20:17.180 pending the

00:20:17.660 appeal.

00:20:18.440 If the

00:20:18.780 appeal doesn't

00:20:19.300 work, he

00:20:19.640 goes back

00:20:20.020 to jail.

00:20:21.260 I would

00:20:21.840 think that

00:20:22.180 that would

00:20:22.400 be a

00:20:22.620 standard for

00:20:23.080 everybody.

00:20:24.580 Isn't it?

00:20:27.460 Does anybody

00:20:28.140 know?

00:20:29.260 Are there

00:20:29.600 lawyers here?

00:20:30.480 I feel like

00:20:31.100 the standard

00:20:31.600 would be the

00:20:32.340 first ever

00:20:33.520 crime, non-violent,

00:20:35.780 unlikely to be

00:20:36.560 repeated.

00:20:37.660 It's not

00:20:38.120 exactly the

00:20:38.720 kind of crime

00:20:39.700 you do twice.

00:20:41.140 It's not like

00:20:41.660 if you were a

00:20:42.620 burglar, you

00:20:43.240 might do it

00:20:43.660 again, or

00:20:44.220 you were

00:20:45.320 violent, you

00:20:45.840 might do it

00:20:46.220 again.

00:20:46.740 Who's going

00:20:47.280 to run

00:20:47.580 another

00:20:49.640 MAGA

00:20:50.660 hoax?

00:20:51.960 It's not

00:20:52.380 really a

00:20:52.840 crime you're

00:20:53.320 going to do

00:20:53.640 again.

00:20:55.140 So I

00:20:55.680 would think

00:20:55.960 in that case

00:20:56.440 you would

00:20:56.740 get bail.

00:20:57.860 I'm

00:20:58.260 completely in

00:20:58.840 favor of

00:20:59.240 him getting

00:20:59.560 bail.

00:20:59.840 I'm

00:21:01.340 not in

00:21:01.700 favor of

00:21:02.780 the

00:21:02.920 January 6th

00:21:03.600 people being

00:21:04.100 held, but

00:21:05.860 I don't have

00:21:06.240 a problem

00:21:06.520 with him

00:21:06.840 getting bail.

00:21:07.480 To me, that

00:21:08.220 seems like

00:21:08.620 exactly the

00:21:09.340 case you

00:21:09.660 should get

00:21:09.960 bail.

00:21:11.360 I'm not

00:21:11.980 minimizing the

00:21:12.720 crime.

00:21:13.220 He still

00:21:13.540 goes back

00:21:14.040 to jail if

00:21:14.660 his appeal

00:21:15.220 fails.

00:21:15.580 The Chris

00:21:18.120 Cuomo thing

00:21:18.740 with CNN is

00:21:19.380 really

00:21:19.620 interesting.

00:21:21.600 When you

00:21:22.060 watched, back

00:21:23.340 when Chris

00:21:23.780 Cuomo was

00:21:24.420 still employed

00:21:24.920 at CNN, and

00:21:25.960 you would

00:21:26.240 watch the

00:21:26.660 handoffs and

00:21:27.500 the chatter

00:21:28.220 between Don

00:21:28.940 Lemon and

00:21:29.360 Chris Cuomo,

00:21:30.020 if you could

00:21:30.400 stand it,

00:21:31.820 did that ever

00:21:32.460 look real to

00:21:33.220 you?

00:21:34.600 To me, that

00:21:35.440 looked so

00:21:36.640 amazingly fake.

00:21:38.720 The whole time

00:21:39.320 it was happening,

00:21:40.520 I never bought

00:21:41.260 that they were

00:21:41.700 really friends.

00:21:42.400 It looked

00:21:44.280 like it was

00:21:45.080 for the

00:21:45.380 camera.

00:21:46.440 That's what it

00:21:46.900 looked like.

00:21:47.700 Now, I think

00:21:48.160 they did hang

00:21:48.680 out.

00:21:49.020 They probably

00:21:49.340 did hang

00:21:49.800 out personally,

00:21:50.440 but I just

00:21:51.320 never really,

00:21:53.040 I didn't feel

00:21:53.720 the chemistry,

00:21:54.440 did you?

00:21:56.060 And it's not,

00:21:56.760 you know, it

00:21:56.980 has nothing to do

00:21:57.580 with black or

00:21:58.120 white.

00:21:58.580 I just didn't

00:21:58.980 feel any

00:21:59.340 chemistry between

00:22:00.060 those two

00:22:00.460 people.

00:22:01.460 I don't know.

00:22:02.260 But Chris

00:22:03.360 Cuomo was asking

00:22:04.000 for $125 million

00:22:05.200 and his argument

00:22:06.160 is that you

00:22:07.540 can't violate a

00:22:08.360 standard that

00:22:08.940 doesn't exist.

00:22:11.020 Meaning CNN

00:22:11.840 didn't have a

00:22:12.900 standard.

00:22:14.120 Or if they

00:22:14.600 did, everybody

00:22:15.340 was violating it

00:22:16.360 routinely, including

00:22:17.340 the boss.

00:22:18.600 Because apparently

00:22:19.600 the allegation

00:22:22.000 is that Zucker

00:22:22.780 himself and

00:22:23.880 Golust, I

00:22:25.280 guess that would

00:22:25.820 be Zucker's

00:22:26.520 girlfriend at

00:22:27.140 the time, if I

00:22:27.900 got that right.

00:22:29.100 Was that the

00:22:29.600 one he admitted

00:22:30.320 having, I don't

00:22:31.400 want to get that

00:22:31.880 wrong, had also

00:22:34.760 advised Governor

00:22:35.620 Cuomo.

00:22:37.520 They had also,

00:22:40.200 Zucker had also

00:22:41.500 encouraged him to

00:22:42.540 interview his

00:22:43.060 brother.

00:22:44.740 Here's my thing.

00:22:48.000 If your conflict

00:22:51.720 of interest is

00:22:53.480 overt and everybody

00:22:56.060 can see it, I

00:22:57.520 don't have a

00:22:57.960 problem with it.

00:22:59.680 Do you?

00:23:01.380 Well, I've always

00:23:02.780 been offended by

00:23:04.180 the notion that

00:23:05.100 somebody would not

00:23:05.880 let a brother give

00:23:07.500 advice to a brother

00:23:08.480 brother because

00:23:09.560 one of the

00:23:10.300 brothers had a

00:23:10.900 news job.

00:23:11.920 I'm not buying

00:23:12.560 that at all.

00:23:14.600 Your job doesn't

00:23:15.760 override your

00:23:16.440 family connection

00:23:17.400 ever.

00:23:19.460 And so there's

00:23:20.280 really, you

00:23:21.940 know, there's no

00:23:22.860 reason that that

00:23:23.620 should have been a

00:23:24.320 problem.

00:23:25.540 Now, given the

00:23:26.900 fact that Cuomo

00:23:28.660 overtly, you know,

00:23:30.560 joked with his

00:23:31.400 brother on TV, is

00:23:32.760 there anybody who

00:23:33.500 would watch that

00:23:34.300 and not know that

00:23:36.640 it was a biased

00:23:37.560 brother-on-brother

00:23:38.620 interview?

00:23:39.480 I mean, I feel

00:23:40.200 like we're

00:23:41.260 sophisticated enough

00:23:42.420 to know people

00:23:42.980 don't throw their

00:23:43.620 brother under the

00:23:44.520 bus on live TV.

00:23:46.320 That doesn't

00:23:46.820 happen.

00:23:48.020 So, 25%,

00:23:49.340 somebody said.

00:23:51.520 So, I'm actually

00:23:52.800 weirdly on Chris

00:23:54.040 Cuomo's side on

00:23:55.140 this because I

00:23:57.700 think he makes a

00:23:58.460 case that the

00:23:59.120 standard was not

00:24:00.040 recognized.

00:24:00.480 and whatever

00:24:02.400 his alleged

00:24:04.200 indiscretions were

00:24:06.060 about advising

00:24:07.700 his brother, it

00:24:09.000 definitely was not

00:24:09.960 outside the norm

00:24:10.900 for the business.

00:24:12.840 Does anybody

00:24:13.300 disagree with

00:24:13.940 that?

00:24:15.320 Given what you

00:24:16.240 saw, and given

00:24:17.720 that it was all

00:24:18.220 overt, I mean, you

00:24:19.380 knew what Chris

00:24:19.980 Cuomo's job was, you

00:24:21.060 knew what his

00:24:21.440 brother's job was,

00:24:22.320 you knew that they

00:24:22.820 talked to each

00:24:23.340 other in public, of

00:24:24.660 course they talked

00:24:25.380 in private.

00:24:26.140 Of course.

00:24:27.980 Like, I don't

00:24:29.160 know.

00:24:29.320 But, to me, this

00:24:30.480 is a non-story, and

00:24:31.520 I think Chris

00:24:32.000 Cuomo has a pretty

00:24:32.780 good argument here.

00:24:34.920 He gives the

00:24:35.660 example of Don

00:24:36.380 Lemon being friends

00:24:37.520 with Jussie

00:24:38.440 Smollett, of

00:24:39.420 course.

00:24:40.080 I mean, that had

00:24:40.800 to be a source

00:24:41.840 of bias.

00:24:43.420 And there are

00:24:44.040 some other

00:24:44.400 examples, et

00:24:45.400 cetera.

00:24:46.620 Yeah, I'm

00:24:47.260 going to go with

00:24:47.680 Chris Cuomo on

00:24:48.440 this.

00:24:52.580 Did you hear

00:24:53.220 about the

00:24:53.780 Mariupol

00:24:54.660 Theater that

00:24:55.560 was bombed in

00:24:56.500 Ukraine?

00:24:56.940 And there

00:24:59.200 were allegedly

00:24:59.740 many civilians

00:25:00.780 hiding inside

00:25:01.480 from the bombs.

00:25:04.060 I'm going to

00:25:04.640 call that fake

00:25:05.200 news.

00:25:06.140 How many of you

00:25:06.700 believe that the

00:25:08.300 Mariupol Theater in

00:25:09.500 Ukraine was

00:25:10.960 bombed, causing

00:25:11.940 hundreds of

00:25:13.280 deaths?

00:25:16.900 Some believe it?

00:25:19.120 I believe it was

00:25:20.100 bombed.

00:25:20.520 I believe there

00:25:21.020 were deaths.

00:25:22.280 I don't believe

00:25:22.980 there were that

00:25:23.460 many people or

00:25:24.080 that many deaths,

00:25:24.820 because we're

00:25:26.160 not seeing

00:25:26.520 pictures, right?

00:25:29.140 Wouldn't we

00:25:29.580 see pictures of

00:25:30.440 just piles of

00:25:32.760 bodies?

00:25:33.640 Now, I know

00:25:34.080 it's in rubble,

00:25:35.560 but still, you'd

00:25:36.920 see a lot more

00:25:37.720 pictures.

00:25:39.740 Nobody said

00:25:40.360 hundreds?

00:25:40.920 There were

00:25:41.220 hundreds of

00:25:41.600 people inside,

00:25:43.240 and they were

00:25:43.680 talking about

00:25:44.240 maybe their

00:25:44.720 survivors, so I'm

00:25:45.780 guessing that

00:25:46.240 there were

00:25:46.460 hundreds of

00:25:47.840 alleged deaths.

00:25:49.340 Well, I'm just

00:25:49.960 going to say that

00:25:50.560 there may have

00:25:51.160 been a horrible

00:25:53.440 thing that

00:25:53.920 happened.

00:25:55.040 I'm not going

00:25:55.760 to doubt

00:25:56.040 that.

00:25:57.360 My guess,

00:25:58.060 though, is that

00:25:58.700 this has been

00:25:59.360 propagandized beyond

00:26:02.000 whatever the

00:26:02.620 original bad

00:26:03.540 behavior was.

00:26:04.840 So I don't

00:26:05.440 believe anything

00:26:05.880 about the

00:26:06.260 Mariupol Theater

00:26:06.940 except that

00:26:07.540 maybe somebody

00:26:08.600 died.

00:26:12.600 I think Ukraine

00:26:13.660 is winning the

00:26:14.260 war, as I've

00:26:15.600 been saying, and

00:26:16.740 I think they

00:26:17.120 actually will win

00:26:17.900 it.

00:26:18.160 I think they're

00:26:18.640 going to win

00:26:18.940 it outright.

00:26:19.880 They're just

00:26:20.200 going to win

00:26:20.520 the war.

00:26:20.860 And we're

00:26:22.580 seeing small

00:26:23.120 signs of that.

00:26:24.320 Now, here's

00:26:24.680 the setup.

00:26:25.580 If I told you

00:26:26.420 in advance this

00:26:27.300 is the

00:26:27.640 competition, you've

00:26:28.500 got, on one

00:26:29.560 side, you've got

00:26:30.120 Ukrainian

00:26:30.600 patriots, apparently

00:26:31.980 well-trained.

00:26:33.560 You've got, they're

00:26:34.820 using American

00:26:35.540 slash NATO

00:26:36.340 weaponry, so the

00:26:37.180 best weapons.

00:26:38.540 They've got the

00:26:39.180 home field

00:26:39.580 advantage, and

00:26:41.180 their enemy is

00:26:42.000 being put on

00:26:42.640 crippling economic

00:26:43.700 sanctions.

00:26:45.460 Right?

00:26:45.660 So that's what

00:26:46.100 they've got going

00:26:46.600 for them.

00:26:47.280 But the Russians,

00:26:48.140 of course, have,

00:26:48.620 you know, tons of

00:26:49.580 bombs that they can

00:26:50.620 deliver from a

00:26:51.360 distance.

00:26:52.060 But they also

00:26:52.580 have Russian

00:26:53.020 conscripts, Russian

00:26:54.820 equipment.

00:26:56.180 They're playing, you

00:26:57.160 know, an away game

00:26:57.980 on somebody else's

00:26:58.760 territory, and they

00:27:00.220 have now a totally

00:27:01.060 dysfunctional economy,

00:27:02.580 or they will soon.

00:27:04.700 Who wins?

00:27:05.400 Who wins?

00:27:07.940 Who wins with that

00:27:09.160 setup?

00:27:10.860 Now, smart people

00:27:13.060 say Russia wins

00:27:14.060 because they can just

00:27:15.280 keep bombing until

00:27:16.080 they win.

00:27:17.020 They just have to

00:27:17.940 want to, right?

00:27:18.840 Basically, they just

00:27:20.460 have to want to win.

00:27:22.140 But do you think

00:27:23.560 that Putin could

00:27:25.520 survive if he just

00:27:27.640 levels Ukraine?

00:27:29.900 I don't think so.

00:27:31.580 So if you think he

00:27:32.700 can do it physically,

00:27:33.920 you're right.

00:27:35.020 I agree with you.

00:27:36.180 From a physical

00:27:37.280 logistics perspective,

00:27:38.760 he could level

00:27:39.320 Ukraine.

00:27:40.660 But I don't think he

00:27:41.680 can do it and win.

00:27:43.240 And that's the

00:27:43.880 point, right?

00:27:44.940 Winning is the

00:27:45.620 point.

00:27:45.880 So I don't think

00:27:47.560 that path is

00:27:48.140 available.

00:27:49.620 While yes, it's

00:27:50.500 technically true he

00:27:51.340 could do it, it's

00:27:51.840 not really an

00:27:52.400 available path because

00:27:53.540 it goes directly to

00:27:54.720 failure, and the

00:27:55.840 whole point is to

00:27:56.500 win.

00:27:58.940 Your facts and

00:27:59.860 basic premise are

00:28:00.760 wrong.

00:28:02.940 Perhaps a gentleman

00:28:04.600 yelling at me in

00:28:05.460 all capital letters

00:28:06.400 could quickly mention

00:28:08.880 some of the

00:28:09.680 assumptions that I

00:28:10.760 have wrong.

00:28:12.180 Use your words.

00:28:13.880 Use your words.

00:28:14.780 Gelman amnesia.

00:28:19.000 Use your words.

00:28:20.860 All capital letters

00:28:21.820 and vague statements

00:28:22.840 don't mean anything.

00:28:24.240 But I am listening.

00:28:25.160 I'm watching.

00:28:26.280 So if you give me

00:28:27.020 an assumption that I

00:28:28.300 got wrong, I will

00:28:29.520 take that.

00:28:30.580 Listen.

00:28:30.900 Okay.

00:28:31.400 Now it's just a

00:28:32.560 troll.

00:28:33.340 Listen to other

00:28:34.180 sources in all

00:28:35.640 caps.

00:28:37.120 All right.

00:28:37.480 We'll put user in

00:28:38.580 timeout.

00:28:40.780 Timeout.

00:28:42.620 Russian sources.

00:28:43.520 All right.

00:28:44.880 So here are some of

00:28:45.540 the things which

00:28:46.540 we're hearing of

00:28:47.320 which I don't think

00:28:48.860 any of them are

00:28:49.480 necessarily true.

00:28:51.960 Allegedly, there was

00:28:52.940 a two-day battle in a

00:28:54.540 Ukrainian city called

00:28:56.140 Vaznesenk in which

00:28:58.300 the Ukrainians actually

00:28:59.480 just defeated the

00:29:00.660 Russian invaders

00:29:01.320 outright.

00:29:01.700 They just killed

00:29:03.240 tons of them and

00:29:04.700 repelled them.

00:29:06.600 And, you know, the

00:29:07.080 hundred bodies and

00:29:08.260 stuff.

00:29:08.460 So do you believe

00:29:09.540 that?

00:29:10.160 Do you believe that

00:29:10.920 the Russian military

00:29:12.980 and the Ukraine

00:29:13.820 military met head

00:29:15.400 to head and the

00:29:16.120 Ukrainian military

00:29:16.920 just spanked them

00:29:17.680 hard?

00:29:20.020 I believe it could

00:29:21.180 be true.

00:29:22.480 Meaning that any

00:29:23.680 given group of

00:29:25.480 Russian military

00:29:26.260 might be stronger

00:29:27.320 or weaker.

00:29:28.920 And any given

00:29:29.980 group of Ukrainian

00:29:30.920 defenders might be

00:29:31.840 stronger or weaker.

00:29:32.620 So it could be a

00:29:33.660 case of the

00:29:34.160 strongest Ukrainian

00:29:35.160 fighters with a

00:29:37.480 weak, you know,

00:29:38.980 bad strategy,

00:29:40.660 Russian advance.

00:29:43.100 I can say it.

00:29:43.740 It could be true.

00:29:44.780 It could be true.

00:29:45.820 But I wouldn't

00:29:46.580 automatically think

00:29:47.560 it's true.

00:29:49.320 All right.

00:29:49.800 There's another

00:29:50.400 story, again, from

00:29:51.920 three independent

00:29:53.260 sources.

00:29:54.760 What is the

00:29:55.520 credibility of

00:29:56.460 three independent

00:29:57.380 sources that are

00:29:58.240 not named?

00:30:00.360 None.

00:30:01.700 All right.

00:30:02.040 So I'm going to

00:30:02.920 give you a story

00:30:03.540 that has no

00:30:04.180 credibility whatsoever.

00:30:05.920 Just something I

00:30:06.860 saw from a, let's

00:30:09.680 say, a source on

00:30:11.920 Twitter that one

00:30:14.300 of the generals has

00:30:15.120 been, you know,

00:30:15.820 detained for reasons

00:30:17.560 unknown by the

00:30:18.700 security service.

00:30:19.900 So this would be

00:30:20.760 yet another example

00:30:21.700 of somebody detained

00:30:22.740 by the intelligence

00:30:24.600 services.

00:30:27.600 Time is it.

00:30:28.420 I'm not sure if I

00:30:32.520 believe this story

00:30:33.300 because you can't

00:30:34.500 really verify it,

00:30:35.500 can you?

00:30:36.400 And isn't it,

00:30:37.100 isn't this,

00:30:39.480 isn't this one of

00:30:40.980 those stories that is

00:30:42.780 exactly what the

00:30:43.820 Ukrainians would want

00:30:44.780 you to believe?

00:30:45.280 I'm being accused of

00:30:54.360 making vague

00:30:55.520 statements so that

00:30:57.560 they can't be

00:30:58.060 wrong.

00:30:59.700 I don't know, I

00:31:00.220 think I make pretty

00:31:00.980 specific statements.

00:31:03.300 Ukraine will win.

00:31:05.800 Is that vague?

00:31:08.540 And they will win

00:31:09.920 because they have

00:31:10.660 better weapons.

00:31:11.220 So I gave you a

00:31:12.680 reason and a

00:31:13.360 specific outcome.

00:31:14.160 Yeah, I think I'd

00:31:16.960 do both.

00:31:17.860 But the ones you

00:31:18.700 should pay attention

00:31:19.340 to are the specific

00:31:20.220 ones.

00:31:20.640 I would agree with

00:31:21.260 that.

00:31:23.000 Well, over in

00:31:23.960 Great Britain,

00:31:25.140 there's a kleptocracy

00:31:27.660 unit that they

00:31:29.380 think Putin has

00:31:30.680 millions of pounds

00:31:31.800 of personal wealth

00:31:32.600 stashed in London

00:31:33.460 and they're going to

00:31:34.720 try to figure out

00:31:35.400 where it is and

00:31:36.160 capture it, I

00:31:37.300 guess.

00:31:38.360 So now Putin's

00:31:39.400 wealth that he

00:31:40.300 has presumably

00:31:41.380 stashed in places

00:31:42.700 around the world

00:31:43.480 world.

00:31:44.480 I assume he's

00:31:45.180 diversified where

00:31:45.940 he put it.

00:31:46.960 But the countries

00:31:47.660 may start looking

00:31:48.380 for it.

00:31:48.960 Maybe they will

00:31:49.460 find it.

00:31:50.660 I don't know, I

00:31:51.280 would guess he's

00:31:52.120 pretty good at

00:31:52.600 hiding.

00:31:53.160 It's probably in

00:31:53.800 Bitcoin by now.

00:31:55.860 All right.

00:31:58.560 So I don't believe

00:31:59.520 any of that stuff.

00:32:02.540 So the United

00:32:03.340 States agreed to

00:32:04.840 give a bunch of

00:32:05.400 drones to Ukraine,

00:32:07.200 but the number is

00:32:08.080 unspecified.

00:32:09.500 So we're giving

00:32:09.960 them an unspecified

00:32:10.980 number of U.S.-made

00:32:11.780 drones.

00:32:12.820 Now we're giving

00:32:13.340 them both the

00:32:13.960 big drones that

00:32:15.760 can carry munitions

00:32:17.720 and then come back

00:32:18.540 to base, but

00:32:19.720 apparently we're

00:32:20.580 also looking at

00:32:21.400 giving them these

00:32:22.180 little switchblade

00:32:23.360 drones, which are

00:32:24.940 smaller drones that

00:32:26.100 can hover over an

00:32:27.300 area for 30 minutes

00:32:28.460 and then when it

00:32:29.760 finds something and

00:32:30.400 wants to kill it, it

00:32:31.340 just does a suicide

00:32:32.200 dive and it kills it.

00:32:33.940 Yeah, switchblade is

00:32:34.860 the name of the

00:32:35.320 drones.

00:32:35.540 And I don't know

00:32:38.820 how many of those

00:32:39.560 we can make, but

00:32:41.760 couldn't they win

00:32:42.400 the whole war with

00:32:43.220 those?

00:32:45.040 I think.

00:32:47.760 Somebody says you're

00:32:48.580 falling for the fake

00:32:49.300 news.

00:32:49.980 Now what's the fake

00:32:50.760 news?

00:32:51.180 Because I don't know

00:32:51.760 the numbers.

00:32:54.440 And I'm guessing

00:32:55.540 that, oh, if you're

00:32:57.720 saying I'm falling for

00:32:58.480 the fake news because

00:32:59.260 I think they'll win,

00:33:00.520 that's not what I'm

00:33:01.840 based on.

00:33:02.240 So I'm not basing

00:33:04.020 my opinion that

00:33:04.780 they'll win on the

00:33:05.580 fake news.

00:33:07.120 I read it to you

00:33:08.140 because it's what's

00:33:09.340 happening.

00:33:10.280 But my opinion is

00:33:11.540 based on logic, not

00:33:13.520 the news.

00:33:14.740 And the logic is that

00:33:15.940 our weapons are going

00:33:17.120 to be really good.

00:33:18.700 We haven't seen them

00:33:19.520 used by trained people

00:33:20.760 in a situation like

00:33:22.100 this.

00:33:22.800 And I thought if you

00:33:23.780 give them enough

00:33:24.480 anti-tank, anti-aircraft,

00:33:27.680 enough drones, that

00:33:29.800 Ukraine wins.

00:33:30.880 So it's really just

00:33:32.460 the one with the

00:33:34.020 better hardware wins

00:33:35.040 and the home-court

00:33:35.860 advantage, basically.

00:33:38.720 How much training do

00:33:39.500 you need for drones?

00:33:40.660 And what is the range?

00:33:42.100 Well, even the small

00:33:42.980 switchblades have a

00:33:44.140 several-mile range.

00:33:45.340 So you can be pretty

00:33:46.120 far away from your

00:33:46.860 target.

00:33:48.160 And I don't think it

00:33:49.000 takes a ton of

00:33:50.120 training because all

00:33:51.600 they have to do is

00:33:52.140 fly it and then aim

00:33:53.180 it.

00:33:54.320 It can't be that much,

00:33:55.440 at least for the

00:33:55.920 little ones.

00:33:56.640 The big ones would

00:33:57.380 be more, of course.

00:33:59.100 I assume.

00:34:00.880 All right.

00:34:03.440 I'm not so sure that

00:34:04.520 we need to give

00:34:05.060 airplanes to Ukraine.

00:34:07.760 I mean, I'm not

00:34:08.300 against it.

00:34:09.480 But I think that if

00:34:10.640 we could give them

00:34:11.480 Buku drones, they'd

00:34:14.660 be better off.

00:34:16.040 Or at least as well

00:34:17.300 off.

00:34:18.220 So if we can give

00:34:19.340 them unlimited drones

00:34:21.020 without triggering

00:34:21.880 World War III, I'm not

00:34:25.460 sure there's a reason

00:34:26.100 to give them planes.

00:34:26.820 All right.

00:34:34.180 Here's how to make a

00:34:38.620 hoax.

00:34:39.560 If you're going to

00:34:40.180 play a hoax on

00:34:40.900 somebody, you want to

00:34:42.460 start with something

00:34:43.500 they already think is

00:34:44.800 true.

00:34:45.760 And then you add some

00:34:46.580 details to it and

00:34:47.320 they're going to

00:34:47.640 believe the details

00:34:48.360 because you're grafting

00:34:49.880 it on top of something

00:34:50.840 that you're primed to

00:34:53.240 believe.

00:34:53.660 So this is what

00:34:55.140 Putin is doing.

00:34:55.820 He's using that

00:34:56.420 technique.

00:34:57.160 It's something we're

00:34:57.820 primed to believe, but

00:35:00.820 probably isn't true.

00:35:02.240 So he's saying that

00:35:03.080 Putin has claimed that

00:35:05.380 the U.S. has a

00:35:06.160 network of secret

00:35:07.040 biowarfare labs in

00:35:08.660 Ukraine dedicated to

00:35:10.440 weaponizing pathogens

00:35:11.520 and coronaviruses.

00:35:13.360 Now, to me it seems

00:35:14.420 unlikely that's true, but

00:35:16.540 it's a really good

00:35:17.460 persuasion play because

00:35:19.340 he knows that American

00:35:20.320 public is primed to

00:35:22.900 believe that we have

00:35:23.640 weaponized virus labs

00:35:25.800 all over in bad

00:35:26.740 places.

00:35:28.000 So it's really good

00:35:28.700 technique.

00:35:30.180 If you just come up

00:35:31.260 with something that

00:35:31.880 wasn't already connected

00:35:33.180 to a belief, you just

00:35:35.120 say, ah, it's not

00:35:35.960 true.

00:35:36.660 But when you connect it

00:35:37.580 to something you

00:35:38.120 already thought was

00:35:39.040 true, then it just

00:35:41.040 brings a whole weight

00:35:42.220 to it.

00:35:42.520 So that's really good

00:35:43.160 technique.

00:35:45.780 Biden has called

00:35:46.700 Putin a war

00:35:47.380 criminal.

00:35:49.760 Also good technique.

00:35:51.060 Because if you call

00:35:53.940 somebody a war

00:35:54.680 criminal, what does

00:35:55.620 that say about the

00:35:57.060 future?

00:35:59.320 Because that's what

00:36:00.100 it's about.

00:36:00.600 It's not really about

00:36:01.180 the past, even though

00:36:02.280 that's the war crimes

00:36:03.580 were the past and

00:36:04.440 probably some more in

00:36:05.100 the future.

00:36:05.940 But it's about making

00:36:07.520 sure that he's dead as

00:36:09.100 a leader.

00:36:10.500 When the president of

00:36:12.020 the United States says

00:36:13.060 that the president of

00:36:13.820 Russia is a war

00:36:14.920 criminal, he says it

00:36:16.660 clearly and wants to

00:36:17.980 make sure you've heard

00:36:18.740 it clearly, which is

00:36:19.740 what Biden did, he's

00:36:21.960 saying we'll never

00:36:22.580 work with him again.

00:36:24.720 That's what I hear.

00:36:25.960 Do you hear that?

00:36:27.320 I think he's saying

00:36:28.080 we'll never work with

00:36:29.060 you again, never invite

00:36:30.080 you to a G anything,

00:36:32.160 and the rest of the

00:36:33.560 world probably won't

00:36:34.280 either.

00:36:35.240 I feel as though that's

00:36:37.560 part of the decapitation

00:36:38.840 strike that is being

00:36:40.820 planned on Putin.

00:36:42.220 It's part of the move

00:36:43.740 to get his own people to

00:36:45.600 take him out, basically.

00:36:47.120 If you just say, you

00:36:47.880 know, we're not going to

00:36:48.420 deal with a war criminal.

00:36:50.240 Now, could Putin just as

00:36:51.880 easily call any United

00:36:53.900 States president a war

00:36:55.080 criminal?

00:36:56.740 Probably.

00:36:57.800 So all that matters is

00:36:58.980 whether Biden can make

00:37:00.320 it stick.

00:37:01.700 And were you already

00:37:03.440 predisposed to thinking

00:37:05.140 that Putin was a war

00:37:06.180 criminal?

00:37:07.040 Yes, you were.

00:37:08.360 So again, Biden's

00:37:10.180 persuasion uses the same

00:37:11.580 technique.

00:37:12.640 He's telling you

00:37:13.300 something that you were

00:37:14.400 already ready to believe.

00:37:16.260 He just filled in the

00:37:17.200 blank for you.

00:37:17.740 He said, yes, true now.

00:37:21.020 So I watched Putin's

00:37:23.440 speech again, this time

00:37:25.040 with translation.

00:37:26.760 And I've got to say, he

00:37:28.800 looks mentally unstable to

00:37:30.360 me.

00:37:31.600 Now, I've told you that I'm

00:37:32.700 going to be, you can't

00:37:34.480 trust me to be unbiased

00:37:35.620 about Ukraine.

00:37:36.500 I might be trying to

00:37:38.480 persuade too much.

00:37:39.260 But I'll always promise you

00:37:43.200 that if I say this, it's

00:37:44.920 always true.

00:37:45.460 If I tell you, I'm telling

00:37:47.000 you the truth, like in

00:37:48.220 direct sentence, the

00:37:49.760 following thing I say is my

00:37:51.480 real opinion.

00:37:52.620 I'm never going to lie to

00:37:53.800 you about that.

00:37:55.240 Right?

00:37:55.860 If I just say it directly,

00:37:57.720 like look in your digital

00:37:59.120 eye and say, I'm not lying

00:38:00.980 about this, you can trust

00:38:02.920 it.

00:38:03.440 I don't think I've ever told

00:38:04.600 that kind of lie in my whole

00:38:05.700 life.

00:38:05.980 I mean, everybody's told a

00:38:08.480 lie of omission, but if I

00:38:10.160 tell you directly, it's

00:38:11.660 true.

00:38:13.060 I don't know how to lie

00:38:14.220 like that.

00:38:15.500 But in my opinion, he looks

00:38:17.380 mentally unstable.

00:38:19.120 Now, it could be just the

00:38:20.260 pressure of the situation.

00:38:22.000 It doesn't mean he's

00:38:22.820 organically or has a

00:38:24.100 sickness of any kind.

00:38:25.760 He looked like someone who

00:38:28.220 knew he'd lost.

00:38:30.260 And when I say lost, I

00:38:31.740 mean lost Russia, lost his

00:38:35.820 job, lost his standing,

00:38:37.440 lost everything.

00:38:38.860 He just looked like

00:38:40.260 somebody who's completely

00:38:41.380 destroyed mentally.

00:38:44.620 Now, yeah, he dropped

00:38:46.180 his baby face.

00:38:47.000 That's right.

00:38:47.640 He used to have this

00:38:48.560 weirdly incongruous face

00:38:52.060 that made you like him.

00:38:53.840 Like he always had this

00:38:54.740 likable smile about him,

00:38:56.700 even though presumably he's

00:38:58.180 always been a monster.

00:39:00.100 But he dropped the

00:39:01.200 likable smile.

00:39:02.480 Now, it could be he just

00:39:03.560 says wore face on, maybe.

00:39:05.220 But he looks puffy and

00:39:07.660 maybe drugged, maybe

00:39:11.220 drugged.

00:39:12.880 There's something going on

00:39:14.400 that's not just he's 69.

00:39:17.000 I'm positive.

00:39:18.480 If I had to bet on it, I'd

00:39:19.820 bet whatever.

00:39:21.480 I'm positive.

00:39:22.440 I don't know what it is.

00:39:24.220 Could be drugs.

00:39:25.300 Could be illness.

00:39:27.580 Could be just the stress of

00:39:28.700 the situation.

00:39:29.500 But he's not all there.

00:39:31.640 Now, I don't think that

00:39:32.800 means he's going to launch

00:39:33.960 a nuke.

00:39:35.720 You know, I'm not on that

00:39:36.620 worry bandwagon.

00:39:40.080 But I don't think he's

00:39:41.240 functioning at his best.

00:39:43.440 It wouldn't surprise me,

00:39:44.800 especially since what he

00:39:45.720 talked about was the...

00:39:48.240 I think he was talking

00:39:49.340 about the oligarchs and

00:39:51.600 some who don't even live

00:39:52.800 in Russia who may be

00:39:56.460 moving against him a little

00:39:57.880 bit.

00:39:59.020 So I think that Putin is

00:40:02.280 afraid of his own

00:40:03.040 oligarchs.

00:40:05.300 He's afraid of COVID.

00:40:08.380 He thinks he lost the war.

00:40:10.900 He might be afraid of his

00:40:12.040 own generals at this point

00:40:13.280 if he's detaining them.

00:40:15.880 He's in a world of trouble.

00:40:19.080 So that's my prediction is

00:40:21.340 that Ukraine will win

00:40:22.360 outright and that going on

00:40:23.960 offensive and with these new

00:40:25.280 weapons, I think they're going

00:40:27.580 to get it done.

00:40:29.560 Daniel Dale, who does the

00:40:31.320 fact-checking for CNN, did a

00:40:34.080 fact-check that is friendly

00:40:36.300 to a conservative.

00:40:38.940 I don't know how many times

00:40:40.600 he's done that, but I'll give

00:40:42.880 him credit for doing it this

00:40:44.000 time.

00:40:44.780 So there's a viral tweet saying

00:40:46.680 that Marjorie Taylor Greene

00:40:47.900 refused to applaud Zelensky.

00:40:51.960 And that's false.

00:40:54.340 Because if you looked at the

00:40:55.520 entire tape, you would see

00:40:56.580 that she applauded him four

00:40:58.840 times, but one of those times

00:41:00.420 she was reaching for a phone

00:41:01.480 or something.

00:41:02.000 And that's the part that they

00:41:02.900 that was the viral tweet.

00:41:06.100 And Daniel Dale says, she was

00:41:08.020 a pretty tepid clapper, but

00:41:09.500 full footage shows she clapped

00:41:11.040 four times, blah, blah.

00:41:12.820 So I found this interesting.

00:41:15.400 Daniel Dale gave a full-throated

00:41:18.020 fact-check to this and fact-check

00:41:20.560 that Marjorie Taylor Greene did not

00:41:23.080 make a mistake.

00:41:24.960 Interesting.

00:41:27.000 So, you know, it's also not a...

00:41:29.080 She's not running for office or

00:41:30.360 anything, so...

00:41:31.920 It's not the biggest thing in the

00:41:35.120 world.

00:41:38.340 Let's see.

00:41:39.540 I believe I've touched all of my

00:41:42.640 points.

00:41:45.660 After I'm done with the live stream

00:41:47.360 today, I'm going to do a little

00:41:49.140 micro lesson for the people on

00:41:50.660 locals, how to improve their

00:41:53.040 life.

00:41:54.100 I don't know what to do next to

00:41:55.880 improve it.

00:41:57.300 And I should be able to post that

00:41:58.580 before noon, I think, today.

00:42:05.700 Russian subcommanders get their

00:42:07.680 launch orders directly from Putin.

00:42:09.420 Interesting.

00:42:13.660 Do you think that a subcommander

00:42:15.180 would launch a nuke if that

00:42:17.340 subcommander had any information

00:42:19.000 about the outside world?

00:42:21.220 Do they?

00:42:22.300 All right, here's the question.

00:42:23.660 Would a subcommander who's actually,

00:42:26.660 you know, in the sub, do they have

00:42:28.880 access to the outside world, like

00:42:30.700 the Internet?

00:42:32.060 Would they have any idea what's

00:42:33.280 going on in the real world?

00:42:36.940 In the movies, they don't.

00:42:38.460 They do when they surface, as

00:42:40.360 somebody says.

00:42:44.880 Yeah.

00:42:45.540 So I just wonder if a subcommander

00:42:48.060 would obey that order.

00:42:52.160 So somebody says yes, and they were

00:42:53.980 a submariner.

00:42:54.920 So the submarine does know what's

00:42:56.500 happening in the outside world all

00:42:57.820 the time, right?

00:42:58.760 Yeah, I can't see them launching a

00:43:00.260 nuke, even if ordered.

00:43:01.400 They do drills to make sure nuke

00:43:08.820 controllers don't worry about the

00:43:10.220 outside world.

00:43:11.100 They are trained and checked.

00:43:12.200 Interesting.

00:43:13.180 So you're saying that they're

00:43:14.120 trained not to use their own

00:43:15.760 judgment about the outside world.

00:43:18.140 That doesn't surprise me.

00:43:21.000 They get the news from Russian

00:43:22.440 sources.

00:43:23.620 But, you know, before you launch a

00:43:25.260 nuke, I feel like you'd probably

00:43:27.320 check.

00:43:27.820 Major psychological testing?

00:43:31.900 Yeah, but they're still human.

00:43:35.020 I don't know.

00:43:36.780 I don't think it's zero risk, but I

00:43:38.620 think it's really low.

00:43:49.820 Must read the substory in the Cuba

00:43:52.360 crisis.

00:43:52.780 Well, I don't think the Cuban

00:43:54.140 crisis has any relevance to today

00:43:56.180 because of technology.

00:44:05.860 U.S. does the same training to see

00:44:10.000 if they will launch when ordered.

00:44:11.420 If not, they're removed.

00:44:16.400 Eddie says you don't have time to

00:44:18.060 check.

00:44:18.400 You get the order and proceed to

00:44:19.820 correct depth.

00:44:22.780 I don't know.

00:44:25.000 I guess I'm skeptical.

00:44:26.860 I hear what you're saying.

00:44:27.800 I hear that they would design the

00:44:29.120 system to get rid of that risk.

00:44:31.480 But I don't know that they would.

00:44:35.540 I don't know that they would.

00:44:46.800 Tim Pool getting swatted again.

00:44:49.140 Why does he keep getting swatted?

00:44:50.480 They haven't found anything yet.

00:44:54.500 Why would they swat him like five

00:44:56.420 times or something?

00:45:00.740 Russia subs used to need three

00:45:02.660 officers in agreement to fire,

00:45:04.760 somebody says.

00:45:13.700 Where's the nuclear football?

00:45:15.040 Did the crew of the Enola Gay question

00:45:19.380 orders?

00:45:21.880 No, but they also knew it was World

00:45:23.700 War II.

00:45:26.020 So I think in World War II,

00:45:27.500 nobody questioned an order to drop a

00:45:29.120 bomb of any kind.

00:45:33.760 Oh, there was a bomb threat, not a

00:45:35.240 SWAT.

00:45:39.860 He has a compound.

00:45:40.880 All right.

00:45:47.460 That, how to use your talent stack to

00:45:49.940 demonstrate that you are capable of

00:45:51.620 major career changes.

00:45:52.720 Oh, interesting.

00:45:56.060 All right, that's all for now, and I'll

00:45:57.360 talk to you on YouTube tomorrow.

00:45:58.840 Oh.

00:46:02.060 Oh.

00:46:02.540 Oh.

00:46:02.600 Oh.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - March 17, 2022

Episode 1685 Scott Adams： Let's Talk About All The Fake News. There's Lots Of It

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