Real Coffee with Scott Adams - March 17, 2022


Episode 1685 Scott Adams： Let's Talk About All The Fake News. There's Lots Of It


Episode Stats


Length

46 minutes

Words per minute

137.26285

Word count

6,321

Sentence count

516

Harmful content

Misogyny

15

sentences flagged

Toxicity

44

sentences flagged

Hate speech

25

sentences flagged


Summary

Summaries generated with gmurro/bart-large-finetuned-filtered-spotify-podcast-summ .

Kanye West and Pete Davidson get a tattoo of each other's name on their bodies. Kim Kardashian and Kanye have a beef. Pete Davidson gets a tattoo with his ex-wife's name and name tattooed on his body.

Transcript

Transcript generated with Whisper (turbo).
Misogyny classifications generated with MilaNLProc/bert-base-uncased-ear-misogyny .
Toxicity classifications generated with s-nlp/roberta_toxicity_classifier .
Hate speech classifications generated with facebook/roberta-hate-speech-dynabench-r4-target .
00:00:00.000 Well, ladies and gentlemen, if I were prepared and my printer were working, I would be looking
00:00:12.260 at my notes right now.
00:00:13.940 But despite my best efforts to make that printer produce something, it does not.
00:00:21.760 Did I say the sound is bad?
00:00:30.000 Chuck that printer. 0.94
00:00:32.860 Yes, I might.
00:00:34.860 Let's see what's going on.
00:00:35.960 Whoa.
00:00:36.680 Hold on.
00:00:57.420 Sometimes you just have to scare them.
00:01:00.000 Is it my imagination or did that work?
00:01:12.360 I think it's starting to print.
00:01:13.820 I'm watching this with great excitement because there's a really good chance if this doesn't
00:01:25.280 print, I'm going to smash it on the tile floor.
00:01:28.900 So this is kind of exciting. 0.82
00:01:33.620 If this doesn't print, how much would you like to see me raise it above my head and smash
00:01:39.880 it on my floor on camera?
00:01:41.140 I did it with my last printer.
00:01:44.860 I'll do it with as many printers as it takes.
00:01:48.860 Uh-oh.
00:01:49.960 Let's see what message it has.
00:01:52.240 This will determine if it lives or dies.
00:01:54.140 You know, if I were inventing a printer,
00:02:15.140 I would invent it so it told me when it was on the paper, just before I smashed it on the
00:02:28.080 ground.
00:02:28.340 Oh, it looks like we'll have a show today.
00:02:32.540 Could happen.
00:02:33.960 Hold on.
00:02:43.600 All right.
00:02:45.080 My God.
00:02:49.180 Could I be less organized?
00:02:52.120 Could I be?
00:02:52.820 Let's pretend none of this has ever happened.
00:02:58.360 Rewind.
00:03:09.400 Rewind.
00:03:14.880 Good morning, everybody, and welcome to the best thing that ever happened to you.
00:03:21.380 Now, it was close.
00:03:24.800 We almost had a situation here.
00:03:27.500 But apparently my printer doesn't tell me when it's out of paper the first time.
00:03:31.640 You've got to beat it up a little bit, and then it reveals its secrets.
00:03:35.660 I just shook that printer and made it work.
00:03:38.200 You saw that with your own eyes, right?
00:03:41.100 Did you all see that?
00:03:42.540 I just picked it up and shook it and scared it.
00:03:46.320 It started giving me information.
00:03:48.260 Anyway, if you'd like your day to be great, all you need is a cup or a mug or a glass of
00:03:54.320 tank or chelsea, stein, the canteen, drink a flask of a vessel of any kind, fill it with
00:03:57.000 you for any of the liquid.
00:03:57.680 I like coffee.
00:03:59.040 You enjoy me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine of the day.
00:04:01.820 I think it makes everything better.
00:04:02.760 It's called the subtlety.
00:04:03.520 It's sips and it happens now.
00:04:04.340 Go.
00:04:10.200 Now everything's better.
00:04:11.520 Apparently, I was a little under-caffeinated.
00:04:15.700 Problem solved.
00:04:17.360 Well, let's talk about all of the things.
00:04:21.460 Mostly fake news today.
00:04:23.740 Pete Davidson, who, as you know, is dating Kim Kardashian, much to the displeasure of Kanye.
00:04:31.040 And Kanye has now mocked Pete Davidson to the point where Pete Davidson got a tattoo.
00:04:41.940 I guess he got some tattoos with Kim Kardashian's name on them.
00:04:45.420 But also he branded her name on his skin.
00:04:48.780 He branded.
00:04:50.440 He actually branded himself with her name.
00:04:55.300 Now, I'm not sure that this was Kanye's plan.
00:05:01.040 Kanye's pretty smart.
00:05:04.580 I feel like Kanye pushed him until he branded himself.
00:05:07.640 Am I wrong?
00:05:09.420 Because if you're trying to get back at Kanye, here's a way not to do it.
00:05:15.520 Put Kanye's wife's name on your body with a brand.
00:05:20.320 And then change girlfriends probably any day now.
00:05:23.260 The fun part will be Pete Davidson explaining the brand on his body to his next girlfriend.
00:05:33.760 Kanye, if you're watching this, I don't know if you can stop laughing.
00:05:40.100 Because I'm just going to go out on a limb and say that Kim Kardashian is not going to marry Pete Davidson.
00:05:48.660 Anybody want to take the other side of that bet?
00:05:50.700 I think they're not getting married.
00:05:53.720 And so, there's a good chance that Pete Davidson is going to be making love to his future love.
00:05:59.940 And she's going to say, you know what bothers me?
00:06:03.260 You didn't get my name branded on you.
00:06:06.940 And Pete Davidson will now have to brand every woman he wants to have a relationship with.
00:06:13.700 He's going to have to get a brand on him.
00:06:15.040 He's going to look like a cow they used to practice branding. 0.99
00:06:22.120 Now, I wonder what kind of a sex cult he's in. 0.99
00:06:26.220 Because if there's one thing that the news has taught us,
00:06:29.400 if somebody voluntarily gets a brand, they are in a sex cult.
00:06:34.720 Am I right?
00:06:35.400 So, I think that Kim Kardashian should probably go to jail for many years,
00:06:40.080 just like the founder of NXIVM, who had his little subgroup there who branded each other.
00:06:49.040 Same thing. 0.92
00:06:49.960 Must be a sex cult. 0.99
00:06:51.100 I think Kim Kardashian probably needs to go to jail for many years for running a sex cult. 1.00
00:06:56.580 And convincing Pete Davidson to put a brand on him.
00:07:00.040 Oh, oh, wait.
00:07:01.980 Wait.
00:07:03.540 Pete Davidson is male.
00:07:05.720 Am I right?
00:07:06.920 He's male.
00:07:08.040 So, if a man decides to voluntarily brand himself,
00:07:13.800 that's not coercion.
00:07:17.300 Do you know why?
00:07:19.120 Because he's a man.
00:07:21.600 He's a man.
00:07:22.420 But if a woman gets a brand, voluntarily, she's a member of a cult, 1.00
00:07:29.580 she couldn't possibly have had any free will,
00:07:32.220 and she's been forced to do this against her will.
00:07:35.280 Why?
00:07:36.260 Because she's a woman. 0.93
00:07:39.060 The logic is inescapable.
00:07:41.840 Men have free will and women don't, 1.00
00:07:43.520 according to everything that I've been told in the last few years.
00:07:47.100 Am I right?
00:07:48.600 Woman gets a brand, she must be in a cult. 1.00
00:07:50.780 Man gets a brand.
00:07:52.200 Oh, he just wanted to get a brand.
00:07:54.500 It's pretty sexist.
00:07:56.860 Pretty sexist.
00:07:59.240 All right.
00:08:00.580 Here's some more fake news.
00:08:02.760 There's a woman who is going to be opening with Steely Dan, 0.97
00:08:07.140 or opening for Steely Dan this summer,
00:08:09.520 named Amy Mann.
00:08:11.960 And she believes she was dropped from the show because she's a woman.
00:08:16.460 And she believes, without evidence,
00:08:19.760 that Steely Dan thought their audience wouldn't like a female singer-songwriter.
00:08:24.740 To which I say,
00:08:26.780 what?
00:08:29.380 What?
00:08:30.800 Now, it would be one thing if somebody actually said that,
00:08:34.660 but nobody actually said that.
00:08:38.000 Do you think that in the year 2022,
00:08:42.200 that Steely Dan,
00:08:43.840 or anybody,
00:08:45.080 would say,
00:08:45.620 you know,
00:08:46.320 I don't think an audience is going to watch a woman sing. 1.00
00:08:49.740 That would be crazy.
00:08:52.860 Now,
00:08:53.580 the simulation has given us another
00:08:55.500 entertainment here.
00:08:58.640 And that her name
00:08:59.640 is Amy Mann.
00:09:02.340 She's actually aiming to be a man,
00:09:04.780 according to her name.
00:09:05.620 But she was dropped
00:09:08.000 because she thinks
00:09:08.880 it's because she was a female singer-songwriter. 0.98
00:09:12.100 Now,
00:09:12.760 that looks like
00:09:14.080 fake news.
00:09:17.380 Just to stir things up,
00:09:19.080 did you see that Dave Rubin
00:09:20.320 and his
00:09:20.980 partner-slash-husband,
00:09:22.760 I'm not sure what the proper terms are,
00:09:24.960 are having two babies?
00:09:27.740 Two babies,
00:09:28.800 both with surrogates.
00:09:30.820 Different surrogates,
00:09:31.980 and I think
00:09:32.620 I think different
00:09:34.380 sperm and egg.
00:09:37.100 I think they,
00:09:38.580 I'm just guessing.
00:09:39.640 If you could have two babies
00:09:40.640 at about the same time,
00:09:42.040 you'd probably have one baby 0.98
00:09:43.700 from one father
00:09:44.820 and the other from the other.
00:09:45.720 I just assume.
00:09:46.520 I don't know if that's the case.
00:09:48.120 But
00:09:48.360 this is really pushing the science.
00:09:55.100 Each throw in sperm,
00:09:56.640 and
00:09:56.660 oh,
00:09:56.960 same egg donor.
00:09:58.200 Really?
00:09:59.000 Same egg donor,
00:09:59.780 somebody said?
00:10:01.240 Interesting.
00:10:01.640 Okay.
00:10:02.900 Well,
00:10:03.460 I saw some conservatives
00:10:04.680 vomiting in their mouth
00:10:06.600 when they saw this news
00:10:07.800 and saying,
00:10:09.140 Dave Rubin,
00:10:09.900 how can you call yourself
00:10:11.120 a conservative?
00:10:14.580 Do you know how
00:10:15.460 Dave Rubin
00:10:16.120 can call himself
00:10:16.860 a conservative?
00:10:18.200 He doesn't.
00:10:19.620 He says he's a liberal
00:10:20.820 every time anybody asks.
00:10:22.220 Every time.
00:10:23.480 Every time.
00:10:24.600 A hundred percent of the time,
00:10:26.480 he says he's a liberal.
00:10:28.080 And then he acts like a liberal,
00:10:29.320 and people say,
00:10:29.820 how can you call yourself
00:10:31.660 a conservative?
00:10:33.080 No,
00:10:33.440 that didn't happen.
00:10:34.980 But apparently,
00:10:36.060 people believe that
00:10:37.260 Dave Rubin
00:10:38.820 and his husband
00:10:40.040 are violating
00:10:41.680 some kind of
00:10:42.700 Christianity,
00:10:44.000 biblical
00:10:44.540 rule.
00:10:47.700 To which I say,
00:10:49.560 let me check my Bible
00:10:50.700 for the part about
00:10:53.020 surrogacy,
00:10:55.200 science,
00:10:56.200 some test-tooth babies.
00:10:59.240 And what God said
00:11:00.440 about that
00:11:01.180 doesn't seem to be here.
00:11:04.440 It seems that the Bible
00:11:05.640 was silent on
00:11:06.620 surrogacy.
00:11:09.760 So how do we know
00:11:10.940 what the Bible wanted
00:11:12.060 or what God wanted?
00:11:14.320 Isn't that
00:11:15.120 a human interpretation?
00:11:17.940 I mean,
00:11:18.180 I realize the Bible
00:11:18.920 has to be interpreted.
00:11:19.740 but
00:11:20.860 if God
00:11:22.560 didn't say
00:11:23.080 anything about it
00:11:24.400 whatsoever,
00:11:26.500 how do you know
00:11:27.540 what he's thinking?
00:11:29.020 I mean,
00:11:29.220 it's bad enough
00:11:29.760 when we're...
00:11:32.660 Who's giving me
00:11:33.500 the snore over here?
00:11:34.900 You actually pay
00:11:35.580 for a subscription
00:11:36.420 and then yell 0.97
00:11:37.160 snore at me?
00:11:38.700 How about 0.99
00:11:39.100 we get rid of you? 0.99
00:11:42.820 Jesus. 0.85
00:11:44.640 So, 0.99
00:11:45.260 we will get rid of you. 1.00
00:11:47.100 Oh God, 0.99
00:11:47.740 my interface
00:11:48.360 doesn't let me do that.
00:11:49.480 All right,
00:11:49.780 I guess you'll just
00:11:50.320 have to say
00:11:50.740 that same word
00:11:51.400 over and over again.
00:11:55.900 Yeah.
00:11:57.940 Okay,
00:11:58.760 so,
00:11:59.740 Dave Rubin
00:12:00.480 making things
00:12:02.180 interesting again.
00:12:04.680 How about
00:12:05.280 that Florida law
00:12:06.280 that I've been
00:12:06.880 refusing to talk about
00:12:08.000 for really good reasons?
00:12:10.340 So here's
00:12:10.820 the Florida law
00:12:12.000 about teaching
00:12:14.000 gender orientation
00:12:15.680 stuff
00:12:16.180 in school.
00:12:17.580 and it says
00:12:20.100 this is the actual
00:12:20.840 language in the law
00:12:23.660 that before grade three
00:12:25.420 no sexual orientation
00:12:26.700 lessons that are
00:12:27.780 not age appropriate
00:12:28.920 or developmentally
00:12:30.760 appropriate
00:12:31.340 can be taught.
00:12:33.200 To which I say
00:12:34.240 this is the most 1.00
00:12:35.020 bullshit law 1.00
00:12:35.780 I've ever seen 1.00
00:12:36.280 in my life. 1.00
00:12:37.700 What a bullshit law. 1.00
00:12:39.660 Forget about 1.00
00:12:40.420 conservative,
00:12:42.020 liberal,
00:12:42.540 forget about
00:12:43.340 gender,
00:12:44.460 forget about everything. 1.00
00:12:45.180 Who the fuck 0.99
00:12:46.580 wants a law 1.00
00:12:47.360 that says
00:12:47.960 that the lesson
00:12:49.260 has to be appropriate?
00:12:51.140 Who gets to decide
00:12:52.020 what's appropriate?
00:12:53.940 Don't make laws
00:12:55.240 about something
00:12:56.240 being age appropriate.
00:12:58.540 That's not a standard.
00:13:00.500 You can't make a standard
00:13:01.860 you can't make a standard
00:13:04.620 that's subjective.
00:13:05.700 really?
00:13:10.500 We just lost
00:13:10.980 the sound.
00:13:17.020 Did we lose
00:13:19.820 the sound?
00:13:21.420 No,
00:13:21.800 I think we're okay.
00:13:26.160 Oh,
00:13:26.540 somebody's playing
00:13:27.100 a prank.
00:13:27.560 It's a pretty good one.
00:13:28.460 All right.
00:13:30.020 That's a pretty good
00:13:30.700 prank.
00:13:31.180 All right.
00:13:31.480 so here's
00:13:34.420 what I say.
00:13:37.540 Forget about
00:13:38.300 what you think
00:13:38.940 about teaching
00:13:39.540 children.
00:13:40.240 You can't make
00:13:40.760 a law like this.
00:13:42.420 You can't make
00:13:43.120 a law like this.
00:13:45.880 Right?
00:13:46.380 You can't make
00:13:47.160 a law that says
00:13:47.940 something has to be
00:13:48.960 age appropriate
00:13:49.780 or developmentally
00:13:50.940 appropriate
00:13:51.400 without any standard
00:13:52.960 for who decides
00:13:53.800 what that is
00:13:54.540 or for who.
00:13:55.160 And I would imagine
00:13:55.900 it would be different
00:13:56.520 for different people.
00:13:58.740 Right?
00:13:59.540 Imagine if you were
00:14:00.440 a kid and you grew
00:14:01.320 up in a household
00:14:02.700 where, you know,
00:14:05.400 something non-traditional
00:14:06.920 was going on.
00:14:08.280 Maybe you should
00:14:08.900 see it sooner
00:14:09.480 because it would be
00:14:11.280 relevant to your
00:14:11.980 actual life.
00:14:13.000 So I just have
00:14:14.940 a real problem
00:14:15.520 with the law
00:14:16.260 that's this vague.
00:14:19.460 You just can't
00:14:20.100 have vague laws.
00:14:21.340 I mean,
00:14:21.540 maybe you do need
00:14:22.140 some kind of law,
00:14:23.340 but not this one.
00:14:24.720 So I would vote
00:14:25.380 against this
00:14:26.000 based on vagueness
00:14:27.460 and having nothing
00:14:28.360 to do with the
00:14:28.920 issue itself.
00:14:30.440 All right.
00:14:32.300 China says its 0.91
00:14:33.260 COVID cases are
00:14:34.200 reducing.
00:14:35.300 I'm going to call
00:14:35.960 that fake news.
00:14:37.480 What do you think?
00:14:38.800 Do you think China
00:14:39.640 is experiencing
00:14:41.040 a reduction
00:14:41.860 in cases
00:14:43.740 of Omicron?
00:14:46.540 How?
00:14:46.920 Do you think
00:14:48.040 their lockdowns
00:14:48.760 are that good?
00:14:51.940 What's this?
00:14:54.220 Does not look
00:14:55.080 like a troll.
00:14:56.120 Well, 0.80
00:14:56.840 trolling makes you
00:14:57.780 a troll. 0.74
00:14:58.080 So I guess 0.88
00:15:01.120 the mainstream
00:15:02.280 media has decided
00:15:03.200 that calling
00:15:04.240 our inflation
00:15:05.920 a Putin price hike
00:15:07.100 is good branding.
00:15:09.060 And even Chuck Todd
00:15:09.940 said that.
00:15:12.040 And Andrea Mitchell
00:15:13.480 agreed that Putin's
00:15:14.480 price hike
00:15:14.940 was a great way
00:15:15.760 to message the issue.
00:15:19.520 What do you think
00:15:20.340 about that?
00:15:20.880 Do you think
00:15:22.720 it's a Putin price hike?
00:15:23.780 It's actually
00:15:25.880 pretty good persuasion.
00:15:28.460 I mean,
00:15:29.320 it's only persuading
00:15:30.140 one side,
00:15:30.900 but that's usually
00:15:31.540 all anybody does
00:15:32.500 anymore.
00:15:33.620 So if Democrats
00:15:35.700 believe it,
00:15:37.120 and it looks like
00:15:38.080 they do,
00:15:38.720 because the Democrats
00:15:39.480 are not terribly
00:15:40.580 good at economics,
00:15:42.420 then it works.
00:15:44.280 So as persuasion,
00:15:46.820 it probably works.
00:15:47.660 Probably pretty good,
00:15:49.060 I've got to say.
00:15:49.640 If I'm just being
00:15:50.720 objective about
00:15:51.460 his technique,
00:15:52.660 it's probably
00:15:53.280 pretty good.
00:15:54.480 Now,
00:15:54.720 it's not true,
00:15:55.380 of course.
00:15:55.820 That's a separate
00:15:56.340 question.
00:15:59.120 So there was
00:16:00.120 an energy
00:16:00.700 independence bill
00:16:01.800 that was blocked
00:16:02.580 in a related story.
00:16:03.660 So the House
00:16:04.060 Democrats
00:16:04.660 blocked a bill
00:16:07.300 that was aimed
00:16:09.400 at saying
00:16:10.180 we wouldn't buy
00:16:10.760 any Russian oil
00:16:11.740 and we would
00:16:12.420 become energy
00:16:13.580 independent.
00:16:14.100 and the House
00:16:15.640 Democrats
00:16:16.120 blocked it.
00:16:17.660 So they're calling
00:16:18.580 the price hike
00:16:20.120 a Putin price hike
00:16:21.340 while they're
00:16:22.420 blocking
00:16:22.960 independent
00:16:25.140 drilling
00:16:25.940 and energy
00:16:26.640 in this country,
00:16:27.860 or at least
00:16:28.340 the expansion
00:16:29.260 of it.
00:16:30.760 So now the
00:16:31.420 Democrat messaging,
00:16:32.600 pulling these two
00:16:33.740 together,
00:16:34.140 this is what the
00:16:34.720 Democrats are
00:16:35.600 telling the country
00:16:36.420 collectively.
00:16:39.100 Right?
00:16:40.100 They're saying
00:16:40.820 that Putin is
00:16:41.500 the main cause
00:16:42.200 of higher energy
00:16:42.920 prices.
00:16:44.100 Would you agree?
00:16:44.920 That's what Biden
00:16:45.500 is saying.
00:16:46.340 And the mainstream
00:16:46.920 media are repeating
00:16:48.360 it.
00:16:49.560 So they're buying
00:16:50.180 into Putin as
00:16:50.900 the main cause
00:16:51.540 of higher energy
00:16:52.160 prices.
00:16:53.140 At the same time,
00:16:54.340 the Democrats
00:16:54.840 are saying that
00:16:55.340 we should not
00:16:56.880 increase our
00:16:57.460 domestic energy
00:16:58.340 production.
00:16:59.980 Do you know
00:17:00.480 why?
00:17:01.540 Apparently,
00:17:02.280 it's because
00:17:02.860 Russian fossil fuels
00:17:04.340 do not contribute
00:17:05.620 to climate change,
00:17:07.140 but American ones
00:17:08.380 do.
00:17:09.900 Now,
00:17:10.240 I'm reading
00:17:10.800 that into it,
00:17:11.580 but it's the only
00:17:12.140 thing that you
00:17:12.660 could conclude.
00:17:14.100 Because you're
00:17:15.580 going to use
00:17:15.960 the same amount
00:17:16.700 of energy no
00:17:17.400 matter where
00:17:17.800 you buy it
00:17:18.360 from,
00:17:18.680 right?
00:17:19.520 So if you
00:17:19.980 buy it from
00:17:20.560 Russia,
00:17:21.320 we have
00:17:21.860 problems.
00:17:23.040 If you buy
00:17:23.540 it from the
00:17:23.940 United States,
00:17:24.880 we have fewer
00:17:25.560 problems.
00:17:26.560 But in both
00:17:27.260 cases,
00:17:27.760 the climate
00:17:28.140 change is
00:17:29.860 exactly the
00:17:30.460 same.
00:17:32.340 So the
00:17:32.920 Democrats don't
00:17:33.560 even have a
00:17:34.060 message that
00:17:34.560 makes sense
00:17:35.020 on paper.
00:17:36.040 You couldn't
00:17:36.700 even write
00:17:37.180 down their
00:17:37.920 message.
00:17:38.960 If you wrote
00:17:39.420 it down,
00:17:39.700 you'd say,
00:17:40.180 well,
00:17:40.680 did you leave
00:17:41.740 that a
00:17:42.000 word or
00:17:42.420 something?
00:17:43.480 Like,
00:17:43.740 it wouldn't
00:17:43.980 even make
00:17:44.320 sense if
00:17:44.720 you looked
00:17:45.000 at it.
00:17:46.180 That the
00:17:46.820 problem is
00:17:47.320 Putin's 0.59
00:17:47.680 energy hike,
00:17:48.580 but we
00:17:49.200 don't want
00:17:49.620 to develop
00:17:50.960 more energy
00:17:51.540 ourselves because
00:17:52.840 of climate
00:17:53.340 change,
00:17:53.980 even though we
00:17:54.720 know it
00:17:55.620 doesn't have
00:17:55.980 any effect on
00:17:56.600 climate change
00:17:57.220 because we'll
00:17:57.880 just buy the
00:17:58.680 other energy.
00:17:59.240 Am I wrong?
00:18:03.060 I need a fact
00:18:04.380 check on this
00:18:04.920 because to me,
00:18:05.860 it looks obvious
00:18:07.080 that they're saying
00:18:07.720 two opposite things,
00:18:08.960 or two things
00:18:09.800 that are
00:18:10.020 incompatible
00:18:10.720 anyway,
00:18:11.480 right?
00:18:13.000 That's what I've
00:18:13.680 seen.
00:18:15.560 I mean,
00:18:16.100 it seems so
00:18:16.560 obvious that I
00:18:17.120 wondered if I
00:18:17.640 was seeing it
00:18:18.140 wrong.
00:18:19.980 Like,
00:18:20.340 my head was
00:18:21.220 just shaking.
00:18:21.700 I was like,
00:18:21.920 am I looking
00:18:22.340 at this right?
00:18:24.540 And I wonder,
00:18:25.320 how do Democrats
00:18:26.000 ever win another
00:18:26.940 election?
00:18:28.040 And of course,
00:18:28.600 I asked that on
00:18:29.240 Twitter and
00:18:29.620 everybody said,
00:18:30.660 they'll rig that
00:18:31.340 election.
00:18:32.660 Maybe they will.
00:18:33.900 Well,
00:18:34.180 Jussie Smollett
00:18:34.880 was ordered
00:18:35.380 released from jail
00:18:36.340 after serving
00:18:37.020 less than a week
00:18:37.800 of a five-month
00:18:38.740 sentence.
00:18:40.020 Why?
00:18:40.680 Because he's
00:18:41.380 pending appeal.
00:18:43.440 And I guess
00:18:44.120 it's not that
00:18:45.020 uncommon to let
00:18:45.980 people out when
00:18:46.640 you're pending
00:18:47.000 appeal.
00:18:48.160 Is that true?
00:18:50.460 Is he being
00:18:51.280 treated special?
00:18:52.280 The way the
00:18:52.940 news on the
00:18:53.600 right is
00:18:55.060 treating it is
00:18:55.880 that he's being
00:18:56.540 treated special.
00:18:58.840 Well,
00:18:59.160 I'm not sure
00:18:59.640 that it is
00:19:00.080 special anymore
00:19:00.860 because these
00:19:01.960 days everybody's
00:19:02.760 getting out on
00:19:03.380 bail, right?
00:19:04.300 And if you're
00:19:04.980 awaiting an
00:19:05.840 appeal, you can
00:19:06.640 be out on bail
00:19:07.380 if it's a
00:19:07.900 non-violent
00:19:08.420 crime.
00:19:11.460 Now, as
00:19:12.240 many of you
00:19:12.820 are correctly
00:19:13.680 noting, the
00:19:15.180 January 6th
00:19:15.940 people did not
00:19:16.700 seem to get
00:19:17.280 that consideration.
00:19:19.520 But I'm no
00:19:20.580 lawyer, but I'll
00:19:22.320 bet there is
00:19:22.860 something different
00:19:23.620 about the
00:19:24.120 January 6th
00:19:24.860 situation.
00:19:26.760 Isn't there?
00:19:28.220 Because if
00:19:28.620 there's not
00:19:29.560 anything different,
00:19:31.000 well, then I do
00:19:31.660 have a problem
00:19:32.240 with it.
00:19:33.060 Now, there
00:19:33.580 could be
00:19:33.860 different jurisdictions,
00:19:34.780 and it could
00:19:35.700 be just that.
00:19:37.320 Do you think
00:19:37.740 it's just
00:19:38.040 race?
00:19:39.060 I don't know.
00:19:41.100 It looks more
00:19:41.820 like connections.
00:19:43.340 But I guess
00:19:43.780 here's the
00:19:44.420 general question.
00:19:45.840 If we didn't
00:19:46.520 look at the
00:19:47.040 January 6th
00:19:47.800 people, and
00:19:48.400 that does
00:19:48.740 look like a
00:19:49.380 political hit,
00:19:51.040 if you didn't
00:19:51.580 count the
00:19:51.900 January 6th,
00:19:52.620 which is a
00:19:53.060 special case,
00:19:54.540 is it unusual
00:19:55.360 that somebody
00:19:56.320 with Smollett's
00:19:57.540 crime, which
00:19:59.780 stands alone,
00:20:00.520 I don't think
00:20:00.940 he has a
00:20:01.280 criminal record,
00:20:01.860 it wasn't
00:20:02.320 violent, why
00:20:04.720 not?
00:20:06.280 I'm not sure
00:20:07.000 I have a
00:20:07.400 problem with
00:20:07.900 him having
00:20:08.620 bail, do you?
00:20:11.720 Isn't he
00:20:12.260 exactly the
00:20:12.900 guy who gets
00:20:13.340 bail?
00:20:14.220 Because they're
00:20:14.760 not saying
00:20:15.200 that he's
00:20:15.540 out of jail,
00:20:16.400 they're just
00:20:16.780 saying it's
00:20:17.180 pending the
00:20:17.660 appeal.
00:20:18.440 If the
00:20:18.780 appeal doesn't
00:20:19.300 work, he
00:20:19.640 goes back
00:20:20.020 to jail.
00:20:21.260 I would
00:20:21.840 think that
00:20:22.180 that would
00:20:22.400 be a
00:20:22.620 standard for
00:20:23.080 everybody.
00:20:24.580 Isn't it?
00:20:27.460 Does anybody
00:20:28.140 know?
00:20:29.260 Are there
00:20:29.600 lawyers here?
00:20:30.480 I feel like
00:20:31.100 the standard
00:20:31.600 would be the
00:20:32.340 first ever
00:20:33.520 crime, non-violent,
00:20:35.780 unlikely to be
00:20:36.560 repeated.
00:20:37.660 It's not
00:20:38.120 exactly the
00:20:38.720 kind of crime
00:20:39.700 you do twice.
00:20:41.140 It's not like
00:20:41.660 if you were a
00:20:42.620 burglar, you 0.94
00:20:43.240 might do it
00:20:43.660 again, or
00:20:44.220 you were
00:20:45.320 violent, you
00:20:45.840 might do it
00:20:46.220 again.
00:20:46.740 Who's going
00:20:47.280 to run
00:20:47.580 another
00:20:49.640 MAGA
00:20:50.660 hoax?
00:20:51.960 It's not
00:20:52.380 really a
00:20:52.840 crime you're
00:20:53.320 going to do
00:20:53.640 again.
00:20:55.140 So I
00:20:55.680 would think
00:20:55.960 in that case
00:20:56.440 you would
00:20:56.740 get bail.
00:20:57.860 I'm
00:20:58.260 completely in
00:20:58.840 favor of
00:20:59.240 him getting
00:20:59.560 bail.
00:20:59.840 I'm
00:21:01.340 not in
00:21:01.700 favor of
00:21:02.780 the
00:21:02.920 January 6th
00:21:03.600 people being
00:21:04.100 held, but
00:21:05.860 I don't have
00:21:06.240 a problem
00:21:06.520 with him
00:21:06.840 getting bail.
00:21:07.480 To me, that
00:21:08.220 seems like
00:21:08.620 exactly the
00:21:09.340 case you
00:21:09.660 should get
00:21:09.960 bail.
00:21:11.360 I'm not
00:21:11.980 minimizing the
00:21:12.720 crime.
00:21:13.220 He still
00:21:13.540 goes back
00:21:14.040 to jail if
00:21:14.660 his appeal
00:21:15.220 fails.
00:21:15.580 The Chris
00:21:18.120 Cuomo thing
00:21:18.740 with CNN is
00:21:19.380 really
00:21:19.620 interesting.
00:21:21.600 When you
00:21:22.060 watched, back
00:21:23.340 when Chris
00:21:23.780 Cuomo was
00:21:24.420 still employed
00:21:24.920 at CNN, and
00:21:25.960 you would
00:21:26.240 watch the
00:21:26.660 handoffs and
00:21:27.500 the chatter
00:21:28.220 between Don
00:21:28.940 Lemon and
00:21:29.360 Chris Cuomo,
00:21:30.020 if you could
00:21:30.400 stand it,
00:21:31.820 did that ever
00:21:32.460 look real to
00:21:33.220 you?
00:21:34.600 To me, that
00:21:35.440 looked so
00:21:36.640 amazingly fake.
00:21:38.720 The whole time
00:21:39.320 it was happening,
00:21:40.520 I never bought
00:21:41.260 that they were
00:21:41.700 really friends.
00:21:42.400 It looked
00:21:44.280 like it was
00:21:45.080 for the
00:21:45.380 camera.
00:21:46.440 That's what it
00:21:46.900 looked like.
00:21:47.700 Now, I think
00:21:48.160 they did hang
00:21:48.680 out.
00:21:49.020 They probably
00:21:49.340 did hang
00:21:49.800 out personally,
00:21:50.440 but I just
00:21:51.320 never really,
00:21:53.040 I didn't feel
00:21:53.720 the chemistry,
00:21:54.440 did you?
00:21:56.060 And it's not,
00:21:56.760 you know, it
00:21:56.980 has nothing to do
00:21:57.580 with black or
00:21:58.120 white.
00:21:58.580 I just didn't
00:21:58.980 feel any
00:21:59.340 chemistry between
00:22:00.060 those two
00:22:00.460 people.
00:22:01.460 I don't know.
00:22:02.260 But Chris
00:22:03.360 Cuomo was asking
00:22:04.000 for $125 million
00:22:05.200 and his argument
00:22:06.160 is that you
00:22:07.540 can't violate a
00:22:08.360 standard that
00:22:08.940 doesn't exist.
00:22:11.020 Meaning CNN
00:22:11.840 didn't have a
00:22:12.900 standard.
00:22:14.120 Or if they
00:22:14.600 did, everybody
00:22:15.340 was violating it
00:22:16.360 routinely, including
00:22:17.340 the boss.
00:22:18.600 Because apparently
00:22:19.600 the allegation
00:22:22.000 is that Zucker
00:22:22.780 himself and
00:22:23.880 Golust, I
00:22:25.280 guess that would
00:22:25.820 be Zucker's
00:22:26.520 girlfriend at
00:22:27.140 the time, if I
00:22:27.900 got that right.
00:22:29.100 Was that the
00:22:29.600 one he admitted
00:22:30.320 having, I don't
00:22:31.400 want to get that
00:22:31.880 wrong, had also
00:22:34.760 advised Governor
00:22:35.620 Cuomo.
00:22:37.520 They had also,
00:22:40.200 Zucker had also
00:22:41.500 encouraged him to
00:22:42.540 interview his
00:22:43.060 brother.
00:22:44.740 Here's my thing.
00:22:48.000 If your conflict
00:22:51.720 of interest is
00:22:53.480 overt and everybody
00:22:56.060 can see it, I
00:22:57.520 don't have a
00:22:57.960 problem with it.
00:22:59.680 Do you?
00:23:01.380 Well, I've always
00:23:02.780 been offended by
00:23:04.180 the notion that
00:23:05.100 somebody would not
00:23:05.880 let a brother give
00:23:07.500 advice to a brother
00:23:08.480 brother because
00:23:09.560 one of the
00:23:10.300 brothers had a
00:23:10.900 news job.
00:23:11.920 I'm not buying
00:23:12.560 that at all.
00:23:14.600 Your job doesn't
00:23:15.760 override your
00:23:16.440 family connection
00:23:17.400 ever.
00:23:19.460 And so there's
00:23:20.280 really, you
00:23:21.940 know, there's no
00:23:22.860 reason that that
00:23:23.620 should have been a
00:23:24.320 problem.
00:23:25.540 Now, given the
00:23:26.900 fact that Cuomo
00:23:28.660 overtly, you know,
00:23:30.560 joked with his
00:23:31.400 brother on TV, is
00:23:32.760 there anybody who
00:23:33.500 would watch that
00:23:34.300 and not know that
00:23:36.640 it was a biased
00:23:37.560 brother-on-brother
00:23:38.620 interview?
00:23:39.480 I mean, I feel
00:23:40.200 like we're
00:23:41.260 sophisticated enough
00:23:42.420 to know people
00:23:42.980 don't throw their
00:23:43.620 brother under the
00:23:44.520 bus on live TV.
00:23:46.320 That doesn't
00:23:46.820 happen.
00:23:48.020 So, 25%,
00:23:49.340 somebody said.
00:23:51.520 So, I'm actually
00:23:52.800 weirdly on Chris
00:23:54.040 Cuomo's side on
00:23:55.140 this because I
00:23:57.700 think he makes a
00:23:58.460 case that the
00:23:59.120 standard was not
00:24:00.040 recognized.
00:24:00.480 and whatever
00:24:02.400 his alleged
00:24:04.200 indiscretions were
00:24:06.060 about advising
00:24:07.700 his brother, it
00:24:09.000 definitely was not
00:24:09.960 outside the norm
00:24:10.900 for the business.
00:24:12.840 Does anybody
00:24:13.300 disagree with
00:24:13.940 that?
00:24:15.320 Given what you
00:24:16.240 saw, and given
00:24:17.720 that it was all
00:24:18.220 overt, I mean, you
00:24:19.380 knew what Chris
00:24:19.980 Cuomo's job was, you
00:24:21.060 knew what his
00:24:21.440 brother's job was,
00:24:22.320 you knew that they
00:24:22.820 talked to each
00:24:23.340 other in public, of
00:24:24.660 course they talked
00:24:25.380 in private.
00:24:26.140 Of course.
00:24:27.980 Like, I don't
00:24:29.160 know.
00:24:29.320 But, to me, this
00:24:30.480 is a non-story, and
00:24:31.520 I think Chris
00:24:32.000 Cuomo has a pretty
00:24:32.780 good argument here.
00:24:34.920 He gives the
00:24:35.660 example of Don
00:24:36.380 Lemon being friends
00:24:37.520 with Jussie
00:24:38.440 Smollett, of
00:24:39.420 course.
00:24:40.080 I mean, that had
00:24:40.800 to be a source
00:24:41.840 of bias.
00:24:43.420 And there are
00:24:44.040 some other
00:24:44.400 examples, et
00:24:45.400 cetera.
00:24:46.620 Yeah, I'm
00:24:47.260 going to go with
00:24:47.680 Chris Cuomo on
00:24:48.440 this.
00:24:52.580 Did you hear
00:24:53.220 about the
00:24:53.780 Mariupol
00:24:54.660 Theater that
00:24:55.560 was bombed in
00:24:56.500 Ukraine?
00:24:56.940 And there
00:24:59.200 were allegedly
00:24:59.740 many civilians
00:25:00.780 hiding inside
00:25:01.480 from the bombs.
00:25:04.060 I'm going to
00:25:04.640 call that fake
00:25:05.200 news.
00:25:06.140 How many of you
00:25:06.700 believe that the
00:25:08.300 Mariupol Theater in
00:25:09.500 Ukraine was 0.87
00:25:10.960 bombed, causing
00:25:11.940 hundreds of
00:25:13.280 deaths?
00:25:16.900 Some believe it?
00:25:19.120 I believe it was
00:25:20.100 bombed.
00:25:20.520 I believe there
00:25:21.020 were deaths.
00:25:22.280 I don't believe
00:25:22.980 there were that
00:25:23.460 many people or
00:25:24.080 that many deaths,
00:25:24.820 because we're
00:25:26.160 not seeing
00:25:26.520 pictures, right?
00:25:29.140 Wouldn't we
00:25:29.580 see pictures of
00:25:30.440 just piles of
00:25:32.760 bodies?
00:25:33.640 Now, I know
00:25:34.080 it's in rubble,
00:25:35.560 but still, you'd
00:25:36.920 see a lot more
00:25:37.720 pictures.
00:25:39.740 Nobody said
00:25:40.360 hundreds?
00:25:40.920 There were
00:25:41.220 hundreds of
00:25:41.600 people inside,
00:25:43.240 and they were
00:25:43.680 talking about
00:25:44.240 maybe their
00:25:44.720 survivors, so I'm
00:25:45.780 guessing that
00:25:46.240 there were
00:25:46.460 hundreds of
00:25:47.840 alleged deaths.
00:25:49.340 Well, I'm just
00:25:49.960 going to say that
00:25:50.560 there may have
00:25:51.160 been a horrible
00:25:53.440 thing that
00:25:53.920 happened.
00:25:55.040 I'm not going
00:25:55.760 to doubt
00:25:56.040 that.
00:25:57.360 My guess,
00:25:58.060 though, is that
00:25:58.700 this has been
00:25:59.360 propagandized beyond
00:26:02.000 whatever the
00:26:02.620 original bad
00:26:03.540 behavior was.
00:26:04.840 So I don't
00:26:05.440 believe anything
00:26:05.880 about the
00:26:06.260 Mariupol Theater
00:26:06.940 except that
00:26:07.540 maybe somebody
00:26:08.600 died.
00:26:12.600 I think Ukraine
00:26:13.660 is winning the
00:26:14.260 war, as I've
00:26:15.600 been saying, and
00:26:16.740 I think they
00:26:17.120 actually will win
00:26:17.900 it.
00:26:18.160 I think they're
00:26:18.640 going to win
00:26:18.940 it outright.
00:26:19.880 They're just
00:26:20.200 going to win
00:26:20.520 the war.
00:26:20.860 And we're
00:26:22.580 seeing small
00:26:23.120 signs of that.
00:26:24.320 Now, here's
00:26:24.680 the setup.
00:26:25.580 If I told you
00:26:26.420 in advance this
00:26:27.300 is the
00:26:27.640 competition, you've
00:26:28.500 got, on one
00:26:29.560 side, you've got
00:26:30.120 Ukrainian
00:26:30.600 patriots, apparently
00:26:31.980 well-trained.
00:26:33.560 You've got, they're
00:26:34.820 using American
00:26:35.540 slash NATO
00:26:36.340 weaponry, so the
00:26:37.180 best weapons.
00:26:38.540 They've got the
00:26:39.180 home field
00:26:39.580 advantage, and
00:26:41.180 their enemy is
00:26:42.000 being put on
00:26:42.640 crippling economic 0.98
00:26:43.700 sanctions.
00:26:45.460 Right?
00:26:45.660 So that's what
00:26:46.100 they've got going
00:26:46.600 for them.
00:26:47.280 But the Russians, 0.94
00:26:48.140 of course, have,
00:26:48.620 you know, tons of
00:26:49.580 bombs that they can
00:26:50.620 deliver from a
00:26:51.360 distance.
00:26:52.060 But they also
00:26:52.580 have Russian
00:26:53.020 conscripts, Russian
00:26:54.820 equipment.
00:26:56.180 They're playing, you
00:26:57.160 know, an away game
00:26:57.980 on somebody else's
00:26:58.760 territory, and they
00:27:00.220 have now a totally
00:27:01.060 dysfunctional economy,
00:27:02.580 or they will soon.
00:27:04.700 Who wins?
00:27:05.400 Who wins?
00:27:07.940 Who wins with that
00:27:09.160 setup?
00:27:10.860 Now, smart people
00:27:13.060 say Russia wins 0.52
00:27:14.060 because they can just
00:27:15.280 keep bombing until
00:27:16.080 they win.
00:27:17.020 They just have to
00:27:17.940 want to, right?
00:27:18.840 Basically, they just
00:27:20.460 have to want to win.
00:27:22.140 But do you think
00:27:23.560 that Putin could
00:27:25.520 survive if he just
00:27:27.640 levels Ukraine?
00:27:29.900 I don't think so.
00:27:31.580 So if you think he
00:27:32.700 can do it physically,
00:27:33.920 you're right.
00:27:35.020 I agree with you.
00:27:36.180 From a physical
00:27:37.280 logistics perspective,
00:27:38.760 he could level
00:27:39.320 Ukraine.
00:27:40.660 But I don't think he
00:27:41.680 can do it and win.
00:27:43.240 And that's the
00:27:43.880 point, right?
00:27:44.940 Winning is the
00:27:45.620 point.
00:27:45.880 So I don't think
00:27:47.560 that path is
00:27:48.140 available.
00:27:49.620 While yes, it's
00:27:50.500 technically true he
00:27:51.340 could do it, it's
00:27:51.840 not really an
00:27:52.400 available path because
00:27:53.540 it goes directly to
00:27:54.720 failure, and the
00:27:55.840 whole point is to
00:27:56.500 win.
00:27:58.940 Your facts and
00:27:59.860 basic premise are
00:28:00.760 wrong.
00:28:02.940 Perhaps a gentleman
00:28:04.600 yelling at me in
00:28:05.460 all capital letters
00:28:06.400 could quickly mention
00:28:08.880 some of the
00:28:09.680 assumptions that I
00:28:10.760 have wrong.
00:28:12.180 Use your words.
00:28:13.880 Use your words.
00:28:14.780 Gelman amnesia.
00:28:19.000 Use your words.
00:28:20.860 All capital letters
00:28:21.820 and vague statements
00:28:22.840 don't mean anything.
00:28:24.240 But I am listening.
00:28:25.160 I'm watching.
00:28:26.280 So if you give me
00:28:27.020 an assumption that I
00:28:28.300 got wrong, I will
00:28:29.520 take that.
00:28:30.580 Listen.
00:28:30.900 Okay.
00:28:31.400 Now it's just a 0.57
00:28:32.560 troll.
00:28:33.340 Listen to other
00:28:34.180 sources in all
00:28:35.640 caps.
00:28:37.120 All right.
00:28:37.480 We'll put user in
00:28:38.580 timeout.
00:28:40.780 Timeout.
00:28:42.620 Russian sources.
00:28:43.520 All right.
00:28:44.880 So here are some of
00:28:45.540 the things which
00:28:46.540 we're hearing of
00:28:47.320 which I don't think
00:28:48.860 any of them are
00:28:49.480 necessarily true.
00:28:51.960 Allegedly, there was
00:28:52.940 a two-day battle in a
00:28:54.540 Ukrainian city called
00:28:56.140 Vaznesenk in which
00:28:58.300 the Ukrainians actually
00:28:59.480 just defeated the
00:29:00.660 Russian invaders 0.96
00:29:01.320 outright. 0.99
00:29:01.700 They just killed
00:29:03.240 tons of them and 0.99
00:29:04.700 repelled them.
00:29:06.600 And, you know, the
00:29:07.080 hundred bodies and
00:29:08.260 stuff.
00:29:08.460 So do you believe
00:29:09.540 that?
00:29:10.160 Do you believe that
00:29:10.920 the Russian military
00:29:12.980 and the Ukraine
00:29:13.820 military met head
00:29:15.400 to head and the
00:29:16.120 Ukrainian military
00:29:16.920 just spanked them 0.99
00:29:17.680 hard?
00:29:20.020 I believe it could
00:29:21.180 be true.
00:29:22.480 Meaning that any
00:29:23.680 given group of
00:29:25.480 Russian military
00:29:26.260 might be stronger
00:29:27.320 or weaker.
00:29:28.920 And any given
00:29:29.980 group of Ukrainian
00:29:30.920 defenders might be
00:29:31.840 stronger or weaker.
00:29:32.620 So it could be a
00:29:33.660 case of the
00:29:34.160 strongest Ukrainian
00:29:35.160 fighters with a
00:29:37.480 weak, you know,
00:29:38.980 bad strategy,
00:29:40.660 Russian advance.
00:29:43.100 I can say it.
00:29:43.740 It could be true.
00:29:44.780 It could be true.
00:29:45.820 But I wouldn't
00:29:46.580 automatically think
00:29:47.560 it's true.
00:29:49.320 All right.
00:29:49.800 There's another
00:29:50.400 story, again, from
00:29:51.920 three independent
00:29:53.260 sources.
00:29:54.760 What is the
00:29:55.520 credibility of
00:29:56.460 three independent
00:29:57.380 sources that are
00:29:58.240 not named?
00:30:00.360 None.
00:30:01.700 All right.
00:30:02.040 So I'm going to
00:30:02.920 give you a story
00:30:03.540 that has no
00:30:04.180 credibility whatsoever.
00:30:05.920 Just something I
00:30:06.860 saw from a, let's
00:30:09.680 say, a source on
00:30:11.920 Twitter that one
00:30:14.300 of the generals has
00:30:15.120 been, you know,
00:30:15.820 detained for reasons
00:30:17.560 unknown by the
00:30:18.700 security service.
00:30:19.900 So this would be
00:30:20.760 yet another example
00:30:21.700 of somebody detained
00:30:22.740 by the intelligence
00:30:24.600 services.
00:30:27.600 Time is it.
00:30:28.420 I'm not sure if I
00:30:32.520 believe this story
00:30:33.300 because you can't
00:30:34.500 really verify it,
00:30:35.500 can you?
00:30:36.400 And isn't it,
00:30:37.100 isn't this,
00:30:39.480 isn't this one of
00:30:40.980 those stories that is
00:30:42.780 exactly what the
00:30:43.820 Ukrainians would want 1.00
00:30:44.780 you to believe?
00:30:45.280 I'm being accused of
00:30:54.360 making vague
00:30:55.520 statements so that
00:30:57.560 they can't be
00:30:58.060 wrong.
00:30:59.700 I don't know, I
00:31:00.220 think I make pretty
00:31:00.980 specific statements.
00:31:03.300 Ukraine will win. 0.98
00:31:05.800 Is that vague?
00:31:08.540 And they will win
00:31:09.920 because they have
00:31:10.660 better weapons.
00:31:11.220 So I gave you a
00:31:12.680 reason and a
00:31:13.360 specific outcome.
00:31:14.160 Yeah, I think I'd
00:31:16.960 do both.
00:31:17.860 But the ones you
00:31:18.700 should pay attention
00:31:19.340 to are the specific
00:31:20.220 ones.
00:31:20.640 I would agree with
00:31:21.260 that.
00:31:23.000 Well, over in
00:31:23.960 Great Britain,
00:31:25.140 there's a kleptocracy 0.61
00:31:27.660 unit that they
00:31:29.380 think Putin has
00:31:30.680 millions of pounds
00:31:31.800 of personal wealth
00:31:32.600 stashed in London
00:31:33.460 and they're going to
00:31:34.720 try to figure out
00:31:35.400 where it is and
00:31:36.160 capture it, I
00:31:37.300 guess.
00:31:38.360 So now Putin's
00:31:39.400 wealth that he
00:31:40.300 has presumably
00:31:41.380 stashed in places
00:31:42.700 around the world
00:31:43.480 world.
00:31:44.480 I assume he's
00:31:45.180 diversified where
00:31:45.940 he put it.
00:31:46.960 But the countries
00:31:47.660 may start looking
00:31:48.380 for it.
00:31:48.960 Maybe they will
00:31:49.460 find it.
00:31:50.660 I don't know, I
00:31:51.280 would guess he's
00:31:52.120 pretty good at
00:31:52.600 hiding.
00:31:53.160 It's probably in
00:31:53.800 Bitcoin by now.
00:31:55.860 All right.
00:31:58.560 So I don't believe
00:31:59.520 any of that stuff.
00:32:02.540 So the United
00:32:03.340 States agreed to
00:32:04.840 give a bunch of
00:32:05.400 drones to Ukraine,
00:32:07.200 but the number is
00:32:08.080 unspecified.
00:32:09.500 So we're giving
00:32:09.960 them an unspecified
00:32:10.980 number of U.S.-made
00:32:11.780 drones.
00:32:12.820 Now we're giving
00:32:13.340 them both the
00:32:13.960 big drones that
00:32:15.760 can carry munitions
00:32:17.720 and then come back
00:32:18.540 to base, but
00:32:19.720 apparently we're
00:32:20.580 also looking at
00:32:21.400 giving them these
00:32:22.180 little switchblade
00:32:23.360 drones, which are
00:32:24.940 smaller drones that
00:32:26.100 can hover over an
00:32:27.300 area for 30 minutes
00:32:28.460 and then when it
00:32:29.760 finds something and 0.98
00:32:30.400 wants to kill it, it 0.99
00:32:31.340 just does a suicide 1.00
00:32:32.200 dive and it kills it. 0.99
00:32:33.940 Yeah, switchblade is
00:32:34.860 the name of the
00:32:35.320 drones.
00:32:35.540 And I don't know
00:32:38.820 how many of those
00:32:39.560 we can make, but
00:32:41.760 couldn't they win
00:32:42.400 the whole war with
00:32:43.220 those?
00:32:45.040 I think.
00:32:47.760 Somebody says you're
00:32:48.580 falling for the fake 0.70
00:32:49.300 news.
00:32:49.980 Now what's the fake
00:32:50.760 news?
00:32:51.180 Because I don't know
00:32:51.760 the numbers.
00:32:54.440 And I'm guessing
00:32:55.540 that, oh, if you're
00:32:57.720 saying I'm falling for
00:32:58.480 the fake news because
00:32:59.260 I think they'll win,
00:33:00.520 that's not what I'm
00:33:01.840 based on.
00:33:02.240 So I'm not basing
00:33:04.020 my opinion that
00:33:04.780 they'll win on the
00:33:05.580 fake news.
00:33:07.120 I read it to you
00:33:08.140 because it's what's
00:33:09.340 happening.
00:33:10.280 But my opinion is
00:33:11.540 based on logic, not
00:33:13.520 the news.
00:33:14.740 And the logic is that
00:33:15.940 our weapons are going
00:33:17.120 to be really good.
00:33:18.700 We haven't seen them
00:33:19.520 used by trained people
00:33:20.760 in a situation like
00:33:22.100 this.
00:33:22.800 And I thought if you
00:33:23.780 give them enough
00:33:24.480 anti-tank, anti-aircraft,
00:33:27.680 enough drones, that 0.71
00:33:29.800 Ukraine wins.
00:33:30.880 So it's really just
00:33:32.460 the one with the
00:33:34.020 better hardware wins
00:33:35.040 and the home-court
00:33:35.860 advantage, basically.
00:33:38.720 How much training do
00:33:39.500 you need for drones? 0.98
00:33:40.660 And what is the range?
00:33:42.100 Well, even the small
00:33:42.980 switchblades have a
00:33:44.140 several-mile range.
00:33:45.340 So you can be pretty
00:33:46.120 far away from your
00:33:46.860 target.
00:33:48.160 And I don't think it
00:33:49.000 takes a ton of
00:33:50.120 training because all
00:33:51.600 they have to do is
00:33:52.140 fly it and then aim
00:33:53.180 it.
00:33:54.320 It can't be that much,
00:33:55.440 at least for the
00:33:55.920 little ones.
00:33:56.640 The big ones would
00:33:57.380 be more, of course.
00:33:59.100 I assume.
00:34:00.880 All right.
00:34:03.440 I'm not so sure that
00:34:04.520 we need to give
00:34:05.060 airplanes to Ukraine.
00:34:07.760 I mean, I'm not
00:34:08.300 against it.
00:34:09.480 But I think that if
00:34:10.640 we could give them
00:34:11.480 Buku drones, they'd 0.99
00:34:14.660 be better off.
00:34:16.040 Or at least as well
00:34:17.300 off.
00:34:18.220 So if we can give
00:34:19.340 them unlimited drones
00:34:21.020 without triggering
00:34:21.880 World War III, I'm not
00:34:25.460 sure there's a reason
00:34:26.100 to give them planes.
00:34:26.820 All right.
00:34:34.180 Here's how to make a
00:34:38.620 hoax.
00:34:39.560 If you're going to
00:34:40.180 play a hoax on
00:34:40.900 somebody, you want to
00:34:42.460 start with something
00:34:43.500 they already think is
00:34:44.800 true.
00:34:45.760 And then you add some
00:34:46.580 details to it and
00:34:47.320 they're going to
00:34:47.640 believe the details
00:34:48.360 because you're grafting
00:34:49.880 it on top of something
00:34:50.840 that you're primed to
00:34:53.240 believe.
00:34:53.660 So this is what
00:34:55.140 Putin is doing.
00:34:55.820 He's using that
00:34:56.420 technique.
00:34:57.160 It's something we're
00:34:57.820 primed to believe, but
00:35:00.820 probably isn't true.
00:35:02.240 So he's saying that
00:35:03.080 Putin has claimed that
00:35:05.380 the U.S. has a
00:35:06.160 network of secret
00:35:07.040 biowarfare labs in
00:35:08.660 Ukraine dedicated to
00:35:10.440 weaponizing pathogens
00:35:11.520 and coronaviruses.
00:35:13.360 Now, to me it seems
00:35:14.420 unlikely that's true, but
00:35:16.540 it's a really good
00:35:17.460 persuasion play because
00:35:19.340 he knows that American
00:35:20.320 public is primed to
00:35:22.900 believe that we have
00:35:23.640 weaponized virus labs
00:35:25.800 all over in bad
00:35:26.740 places.
00:35:28.000 So it's really good
00:35:28.700 technique.
00:35:30.180 If you just come up
00:35:31.260 with something that
00:35:31.880 wasn't already connected
00:35:33.180 to a belief, you just
00:35:35.120 say, ah, it's not
00:35:35.960 true.
00:35:36.660 But when you connect it
00:35:37.580 to something you
00:35:38.120 already thought was
00:35:39.040 true, then it just
00:35:41.040 brings a whole weight
00:35:42.220 to it.
00:35:42.520 So that's really good
00:35:43.160 technique.
00:35:45.780 Biden has called
00:35:46.700 Putin a war
00:35:47.380 criminal. 0.91
00:35:49.760 Also good technique.
00:35:51.060 Because if you call
00:35:53.940 somebody a war
00:35:54.680 criminal, what does
00:35:55.620 that say about the
00:35:57.060 future?
00:35:59.320 Because that's what
00:36:00.100 it's about.
00:36:00.600 It's not really about
00:36:01.180 the past, even though
00:36:02.280 that's the war crimes 0.78
00:36:03.580 were the past and
00:36:04.440 probably some more in
00:36:05.100 the future.
00:36:05.940 But it's about making 0.99
00:36:07.520 sure that he's dead as 0.99
00:36:09.100 a leader.
00:36:10.500 When the president of
00:36:12.020 the United States says
00:36:13.060 that the president of
00:36:13.820 Russia is a war 1.00
00:36:14.920 criminal, he says it 0.94
00:36:16.660 clearly and wants to
00:36:17.980 make sure you've heard
00:36:18.740 it clearly, which is
00:36:19.740 what Biden did, he's
00:36:21.960 saying we'll never
00:36:22.580 work with him again.
00:36:24.720 That's what I hear.
00:36:25.960 Do you hear that?
00:36:27.320 I think he's saying
00:36:28.080 we'll never work with
00:36:29.060 you again, never invite
00:36:30.080 you to a G anything,
00:36:32.160 and the rest of the
00:36:33.560 world probably won't
00:36:34.280 either.
00:36:35.240 I feel as though that's
00:36:37.560 part of the decapitation
00:36:38.840 strike that is being 0.85
00:36:40.820 planned on Putin.
00:36:42.220 It's part of the move
00:36:43.740 to get his own people to
00:36:45.600 take him out, basically.
00:36:47.120 If you just say, you
00:36:47.880 know, we're not going to
00:36:48.420 deal with a war criminal.
00:36:50.240 Now, could Putin just as
00:36:51.880 easily call any United
00:36:53.900 States president a war
00:36:55.080 criminal?
00:36:56.740 Probably.
00:36:57.800 So all that matters is
00:36:58.980 whether Biden can make
00:37:00.320 it stick.
00:37:01.700 And were you already
00:37:03.440 predisposed to thinking
00:37:05.140 that Putin was a war
00:37:06.180 criminal?
00:37:07.040 Yes, you were.
00:37:08.360 So again, Biden's
00:37:10.180 persuasion uses the same
00:37:11.580 technique.
00:37:12.640 He's telling you
00:37:13.300 something that you were
00:37:14.400 already ready to believe.
00:37:16.260 He just filled in the
00:37:17.200 blank for you.
00:37:17.740 He said, yes, true now.
00:37:21.020 So I watched Putin's
00:37:23.440 speech again, this time
00:37:25.040 with translation.
00:37:26.760 And I've got to say, he 0.96
00:37:28.800 looks mentally unstable to 0.97
00:37:30.360 me. 0.51
00:37:31.600 Now, I've told you that I'm
00:37:32.700 going to be, you can't
00:37:34.480 trust me to be unbiased
00:37:35.620 about Ukraine.
00:37:36.500 I might be trying to
00:37:38.480 persuade too much.
00:37:39.260 But I'll always promise you
00:37:43.200 that if I say this, it's
00:37:44.920 always true.
00:37:45.460 If I tell you, I'm telling
00:37:47.000 you the truth, like in
00:37:48.220 direct sentence, the
00:37:49.760 following thing I say is my
00:37:51.480 real opinion.
00:37:52.620 I'm never going to lie to
00:37:53.800 you about that.
00:37:55.240 Right?
00:37:55.860 If I just say it directly,
00:37:57.720 like look in your digital
00:37:59.120 eye and say, I'm not lying
00:38:00.980 about this, you can trust
00:38:02.920 it.
00:38:03.440 I don't think I've ever told
00:38:04.600 that kind of lie in my whole
00:38:05.700 life.
00:38:05.980 I mean, everybody's told a
00:38:08.480 lie of omission, but if I
00:38:10.160 tell you directly, it's
00:38:11.660 true.
00:38:13.060 I don't know how to lie
00:38:14.220 like that.
00:38:15.500 But in my opinion, he looks 0.98
00:38:17.380 mentally unstable.
00:38:19.120 Now, it could be just the
00:38:20.260 pressure of the situation.
00:38:22.000 It doesn't mean he's
00:38:22.820 organically or has a
00:38:24.100 sickness of any kind.
00:38:25.760 He looked like someone who
00:38:28.220 knew he'd lost.
00:38:30.260 And when I say lost, I
00:38:31.740 mean lost Russia, lost his
00:38:35.820 job, lost his standing,
00:38:37.440 lost everything.
00:38:38.860 He just looked like
00:38:40.260 somebody who's completely
00:38:41.380 destroyed mentally. 0.54
00:38:44.620 Now, yeah, he dropped
00:38:46.180 his baby face.
00:38:47.000 That's right.
00:38:47.640 He used to have this
00:38:48.560 weirdly incongruous face
00:38:52.060 that made you like him.
00:38:53.840 Like he always had this
00:38:54.740 likable smile about him,
00:38:56.700 even though presumably he's 0.92
00:38:58.180 always been a monster. 0.92
00:39:00.100 But he dropped the 0.97
00:39:01.200 likable smile.
00:39:02.480 Now, it could be he just
00:39:03.560 says wore face on, maybe.
00:39:05.220 But he looks puffy and
00:39:07.660 maybe drugged, maybe
00:39:11.220 drugged.
00:39:12.880 There's something going on
00:39:14.400 that's not just he's 69.
00:39:17.000 I'm positive.
00:39:18.480 If I had to bet on it, I'd
00:39:19.820 bet whatever.
00:39:21.480 I'm positive.
00:39:22.440 I don't know what it is.
00:39:24.220 Could be drugs.
00:39:25.300 Could be illness.
00:39:27.580 Could be just the stress of
00:39:28.700 the situation.
00:39:29.500 But he's not all there.
00:39:31.640 Now, I don't think that
00:39:32.800 means he's going to launch
00:39:33.960 a nuke.
00:39:35.720 You know, I'm not on that
00:39:36.620 worry bandwagon.
00:39:40.080 But I don't think he's
00:39:41.240 functioning at his best.
00:39:43.440 It wouldn't surprise me,
00:39:44.800 especially since what he
00:39:45.720 talked about was the...
00:39:48.240 I think he was talking
00:39:49.340 about the oligarchs and
00:39:51.600 some who don't even live
00:39:52.800 in Russia who may be
00:39:56.460 moving against him a little
00:39:57.880 bit.
00:39:59.020 So I think that Putin is
00:40:02.280 afraid of his own
00:40:03.040 oligarchs. 0.98
00:40:05.300 He's afraid of COVID.
00:40:08.380 He thinks he lost the war.
00:40:10.900 He might be afraid of his
00:40:12.040 own generals at this point
00:40:13.280 if he's detaining them.
00:40:15.880 He's in a world of trouble.
00:40:19.080 So that's my prediction is
00:40:21.340 that Ukraine will win 0.96
00:40:22.360 outright and that going on
00:40:23.960 offensive and with these new
00:40:25.280 weapons, I think they're going
00:40:27.580 to get it done.
00:40:29.560 Daniel Dale, who does the
00:40:31.320 fact-checking for CNN, did a
00:40:34.080 fact-check that is friendly
00:40:36.300 to a conservative.
00:40:38.940 I don't know how many times
00:40:40.600 he's done that, but I'll give
00:40:42.880 him credit for doing it this
00:40:44.000 time.
00:40:44.780 So there's a viral tweet saying
00:40:46.680 that Marjorie Taylor Greene
00:40:47.900 refused to applaud Zelensky.
00:40:51.960 And that's false.
00:40:54.340 Because if you looked at the
00:40:55.520 entire tape, you would see
00:40:56.580 that she applauded him four
00:40:58.840 times, but one of those times
00:41:00.420 she was reaching for a phone
00:41:01.480 or something.
00:41:02.000 And that's the part that they
00:41:02.900 that was the viral tweet.
00:41:06.100 And Daniel Dale says, she was
00:41:08.020 a pretty tepid clapper, but
00:41:09.500 full footage shows she clapped
00:41:11.040 four times, blah, blah.
00:41:12.820 So I found this interesting.
00:41:15.400 Daniel Dale gave a full-throated
00:41:18.020 fact-check to this and fact-check
00:41:20.560 that Marjorie Taylor Greene did not
00:41:23.080 make a mistake.
00:41:24.960 Interesting.
00:41:27.000 So, you know, it's also not a...
00:41:29.080 She's not running for office or
00:41:30.360 anything, so...
00:41:31.920 It's not the biggest thing in the
00:41:35.120 world.
00:41:38.340 Let's see.
00:41:39.540 I believe I've touched all of my
00:41:42.640 points.
00:41:45.660 After I'm done with the live stream
00:41:47.360 today, I'm going to do a little
00:41:49.140 micro lesson for the people on
00:41:50.660 locals, how to improve their
00:41:53.040 life.
00:41:54.100 I don't know what to do next to
00:41:55.880 improve it.
00:41:57.300 And I should be able to post that
00:41:58.580 before noon, I think, today.
00:42:05.700 Russian subcommanders get their 0.80
00:42:07.680 launch orders directly from Putin.
00:42:09.420 Interesting.
00:42:13.660 Do you think that a subcommander
00:42:15.180 would launch a nuke if that
00:42:17.340 subcommander had any information
00:42:19.000 about the outside world?
00:42:21.220 Do they?
00:42:22.300 All right, here's the question.
00:42:23.660 Would a subcommander who's actually,
00:42:26.660 you know, in the sub, do they have
00:42:28.880 access to the outside world, like
00:42:30.700 the Internet?
00:42:32.060 Would they have any idea what's
00:42:33.280 going on in the real world?
00:42:36.940 In the movies, they don't.
00:42:38.460 They do when they surface, as
00:42:40.360 somebody says.
00:42:44.880 Yeah.
00:42:45.540 So I just wonder if a subcommander
00:42:48.060 would obey that order.
00:42:52.160 So somebody says yes, and they were
00:42:53.980 a submariner.
00:42:54.920 So the submarine does know what's
00:42:56.500 happening in the outside world all
00:42:57.820 the time, right?
00:42:58.760 Yeah, I can't see them launching a
00:43:00.260 nuke, even if ordered.
00:43:01.400 They do drills to make sure nuke
00:43:08.820 controllers don't worry about the
00:43:10.220 outside world.
00:43:11.100 They are trained and checked.
00:43:12.200 Interesting.
00:43:13.180 So you're saying that they're
00:43:14.120 trained not to use their own
00:43:15.760 judgment about the outside world.
00:43:18.140 That doesn't surprise me.
00:43:21.000 They get the news from Russian 0.75
00:43:22.440 sources.
00:43:23.620 But, you know, before you launch a
00:43:25.260 nuke, I feel like you'd probably
00:43:27.320 check.
00:43:27.820 Major psychological testing?
00:43:31.900 Yeah, but they're still human.
00:43:35.020 I don't know.
00:43:36.780 I don't think it's zero risk, but I
00:43:38.620 think it's really low.
00:43:49.820 Must read the substory in the Cuba
00:43:52.360 crisis.
00:43:52.780 Well, I don't think the Cuban 1.00
00:43:54.140 crisis has any relevance to today
00:43:56.180 because of technology.
00:44:05.860 U.S. does the same training to see
00:44:10.000 if they will launch when ordered.
00:44:11.420 If not, they're removed.
00:44:16.400 Eddie says you don't have time to
00:44:18.060 check.
00:44:18.400 You get the order and proceed to
00:44:19.820 correct depth.
00:44:22.780 I don't know.
00:44:25.000 I guess I'm skeptical.
00:44:26.860 I hear what you're saying.
00:44:27.800 I hear that they would design the
00:44:29.120 system to get rid of that risk.
00:44:31.480 But I don't know that they would.
00:44:35.540 I don't know that they would.
00:44:46.800 Tim Pool getting swatted again.
00:44:49.140 Why does he keep getting swatted?
00:44:50.480 They haven't found anything yet.
00:44:54.500 Why would they swat him like five
00:44:56.420 times or something?
00:45:00.740 Russia subs used to need three
00:45:02.660 officers in agreement to fire,
00:45:04.760 somebody says.
00:45:13.700 Where's the nuclear football?
00:45:15.040 Did the crew of the Enola Gay question 0.88
00:45:19.380 orders?
00:45:21.880 No, but they also knew it was World
00:45:23.700 War II.
00:45:26.020 So I think in World War II,
00:45:27.500 nobody questioned an order to drop a
00:45:29.120 bomb of any kind.
00:45:33.760 Oh, there was a bomb threat, not a
00:45:35.240 SWAT.
00:45:39.860 He has a compound.
00:45:40.880 All right.
00:45:47.460 That, how to use your talent stack to
00:45:49.940 demonstrate that you are capable of
00:45:51.620 major career changes.
00:45:52.720 Oh, interesting.
00:45:56.060 All right, that's all for now, and I'll
00:45:57.360 talk to you on YouTube tomorrow.
00:45:58.840 Oh.
00:46:02.060 Oh.
00:46:02.540 Oh.
00:46:02.600 Oh.