Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 1877 Scott Adams： The FBI Is Robbing Banks, The Anti-Woke Are Rising, The News Is Fun Today

00:00:00.000 Good morning, everybody, and welcome to Coffee with Scott Adams, often called the highlight

00:00:19.600 of civilization, reportedly.

00:00:22.520 And today, not only do we have two separate live streams going, but do you see what's

00:00:30.900 behind me?

00:00:32.160 Do you see that?

00:00:33.960 That's right.

00:00:34.860 It's a whiteboard.

00:00:36.380 It's a whiteboard and special iPad visuals.

00:00:42.760 It's like everything today.

00:00:44.700 Everything.

00:00:45.780 Well, there's one thing I haven't mentioned.

00:00:47.680 The one thing that will take it up to levels unheard of.

00:00:53.520 And all you need for that is a cup or mug or a glass of tanker gel, so sign a canteen

00:00:57.560 jug or flask, a vessel of any kind.

00:01:00.600 Fill it with your favorite liquid.

00:01:03.680 I like coffee.

00:01:05.400 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine to the day, the thing that

00:01:10.080 makes everything better.

00:01:12.640 It's called the simultaneous sip.

00:01:15.480 Go.

00:01:22.520 Ah, yeah.

00:01:25.380 It's good.

00:01:27.560 Yeah, it's good.

00:01:29.100 So if you noticed anything in the news lately, anything interesting, yes, all of it.

00:01:37.560 This is like the best news day ever.

00:01:41.740 You don't want to miss one second of today's live stream.

00:01:45.920 It's going to be so good.

00:01:47.600 Starting with, do you remember the Canadian teacher who is identifying now as a female,

00:01:53.180 but looks exactly like, and I don't mean to be unkind, a middle-aged man with a blonde

00:02:00.180 wig and beach ball-sized prosthetic breasts.

00:02:05.300 Now, some people had speculated that this person was maybe playing a long prank.

00:02:11.100 Other people have said, no, no, this person is just identifying and might have a different

00:02:20.040 preference for her breast size than maybe you did, and her preference is this big.

00:02:29.260 Okay.

00:02:30.320 People are different.

00:02:32.480 Well, today we learned that, now this is from 4chan, all right?

00:02:37.380 Now, 4chan can go either way, right?

00:02:41.100 4chan can either be a prank itself, or they can uncover a prank.

00:02:50.320 So 4chan is a little tricky, because you never know when they're joking or they're, you know,

00:02:55.560 they're uncovering somebody.

00:02:57.540 But according to at least one person on 4chan who knows somebody who was in this teacher's

00:03:02.800 class before the transition, and that person reports the said teacher was very, very, very,

00:03:11.080 anti-woke, had a big problem with all the wokeness, and that maybe it was becoming kind of a

00:03:21.200 problem, kind of a problem in his job.

00:03:25.340 Now, her.

00:03:26.180 Now, any questions?

00:03:30.860 I don't think we can know 100% what's going on here, but this is exactly the hypothesis that fits all the data.

00:03:46.960 Because she looks exactly like he playing a long prank and is very committed to it.

00:03:58.500 Now, remember what I said.

00:04:00.500 I said there were two possibilities, there are probably more, but two big ones.

00:04:04.900 One is that it's a prank.

00:04:06.220 And if that's true, if this gets confirmed, hero.

00:04:11.940 He's my hero.

00:04:14.080 And if it's not a prank, still a hero.

00:04:17.840 I just love that somebody would live their life and not care what anybody else thought.

00:04:24.320 I just like that.

00:04:26.100 I generally like anybody who's non-standard.

00:04:29.900 I don't know if you've noticed that.

00:04:32.540 Many of you automatically rebel against the non-standard.

00:04:36.780 You know, the more non-standard they are, the more you rebel.

00:04:39.600 And I have the opposite instinct, which is as soon as I see somebody violating all of your expectations,

00:04:48.200 I think, you have my attention.

00:04:51.540 We could be friends.

00:04:53.420 Yeah, we could be friends.

00:04:54.460 So I always like the people who are non-standard, no matter what it is, right, just generally speaking.

00:05:00.340 So I'm loving this person.

00:05:02.780 But I feel we need to take this another level.

00:05:07.540 Don't you?

00:05:09.060 I feel like this is almost perfect if it's a prank.

00:05:16.660 And if it's not a prank, I have the same recommendation.

00:05:21.060 I stole this, by the way.

00:05:22.200 It's so good, I had to steal it.

00:05:25.020 I feel we should create a movement to get this teacher on the cover of Sports Illustrated or Victoria's Secrets.

00:05:35.020 Do you see any reason not to?

00:05:38.820 Seriously.

00:05:40.020 Is there anybody here who sees any reason, any reason at all,

00:05:44.840 that this teacher should not be on the cover of Sports Illustrated?

00:05:48.000 Because I think we have a brave, body-positive role model.

00:05:56.420 I mean, right.

00:05:58.460 Looks like a role model.

00:05:59.380 So I think we should maybe put together some kind of a petition or a push to get this teacher on the cover of Sports Illustrated

00:06:07.840 so that we can show the world that, unlike some people who are closed-minded, we're not like that.

00:06:15.020 We're not.

00:06:15.720 We are open-minded.

00:06:17.740 And we like people who express their individuality.

00:06:19.680 And if this teacher wants to identify as female, I'm all for it.

00:06:25.140 And let us celebrate it.

00:06:27.440 Celebrate it, really.

00:06:29.660 All right.

00:06:31.020 So there's a big storm heading toward Florida.

00:06:33.100 Florida, I like states that I can live in year-round.

00:06:46.660 That's my problem with Florida.

00:06:49.580 You can move into Florida, but sooner or later, somebody's going to tap you on the shoulder and say,

00:06:55.320 no, you really need to get out of this state the next day.

00:06:58.420 You better pack your car.

00:07:00.340 Get the pets.

00:07:01.600 You better get out of this state.

00:07:04.220 I don't like that.

00:07:08.000 California, all the California emergencies, you can usually stay in your house.

00:07:15.120 Yeah, we have lots of smoke, but I stay in my house.

00:07:20.700 Earthquakes, no problem.

00:07:22.840 I'm very earthquake-proof, and I did not build on a fault line.

00:07:27.220 Planned that ahead.

00:07:28.040 So, yeah, I built my house to be extra safe.

00:07:37.000 So it's almost impossible for my house to even catch on fire.

00:07:40.980 I know.

00:07:41.780 I'm probably jinxing myself.

00:07:44.640 But it's built so...

00:07:46.380 Oh, God.

00:07:47.800 Fucking damn it.

00:07:48.980 Sorry.

00:07:49.340 We've got a problem with my locals' feed today, because I had a little hardware problem.

00:07:56.080 I'm using my phone, and it's timing out now and then.

00:07:59.500 All right.

00:08:00.620 Anyway, I'm just teasing Florida.

00:08:02.260 Florida's a great state.

00:08:03.820 But I should note that you're not going to beat my weather.

00:08:08.740 All right?

00:08:08.940 I will acknowledge to you that Florida is a well-managed state.

00:08:17.600 I'll give you that.

00:08:19.300 Lots of advantages in Florida.

00:08:21.440 But you're not going to beat my weather.

00:08:23.680 You're not going to beat my weather.

00:08:25.160 Sorry.

00:08:26.800 All right.

00:08:27.180 Well, today the Dilbert comic came out, and I want to read it to you.

00:08:32.380 And what you're going to discover is it's not funny.

00:08:39.020 And you might ask yourself, well, why is this not funny this time?

00:08:44.180 Now, some of you, the NPCs...

00:08:47.020 Go ahead.

00:08:47.800 What do the NPCs say?

00:08:50.680 Please?

00:08:51.720 NPCs, would you like...

00:08:52.680 I'll give you your own time.

00:08:54.720 The NPCs say, well, it was never funny, Garfield.

00:09:00.720 Right?

00:09:01.020 Are you done with that?

00:09:02.700 Are we good?

00:09:03.720 Have you said the thing that you have to say?

00:09:06.380 And you can't prevent it.

00:09:09.040 You have to say it.

00:09:10.540 Okay.

00:09:10.760 Now you've said it.

00:09:12.000 Now, there's a story to this.

00:09:13.700 So I'm going to read to you the Dilbert comic.

00:09:16.040 You're going to see it's not funny.

00:09:17.820 And then I'm going to tell you what it originally was

00:09:20.380 before I was asked to change it.

00:09:24.900 Okay?

00:09:25.480 The only place you can see the original is on the locals' platform.

00:09:28.440 Anyway, Dilbert and the boss are looking out the window.

00:09:33.960 And the boss says, a protest is forming outside our headquarters

00:09:36.760 because we designed our new robot to be too handsome.

00:09:41.840 Husbands aren't comfortable leaving them home with their wives.

00:09:44.740 And Dilbert says, what now?

00:09:48.440 And the boss says, marketing thinks we need to make them look like total losers.

00:09:53.140 How do we do that?

00:09:56.020 And the boss says, they suggested making it look and talk exactly like you, meaning Dilbert.

00:10:01.420 And Dilbert says, marketing said that?

00:10:04.260 And the boss says, I might have primed the pump.

00:10:06.360 And then one month later, Dilbert says, how are sales?

00:10:10.140 And the boss says, still zero.

00:10:12.780 Now, it's sort of a joke.

00:10:17.480 But it's a little flat, isn't it?

00:10:19.700 It feels like it's definitely missing something, isn't it?

00:10:23.580 Well, that's because I was on deadline.

00:10:26.780 And when my editor talked me on a publishing, the one that I'm going to read to you in a moment,

00:10:31.740 I didn't have time to change the art.

00:10:35.180 So I actually rewrote the words in an existing comic.

00:10:41.600 So it didn't exactly work, but I had to hit deadline.

00:10:45.980 So here's the first draft.

00:10:48.680 And I'll tell you what it originally said.

00:10:50.540 Are you ready for this?

00:10:52.020 Here's what it originally said.

00:10:54.620 The boss says, our protest is forming outside our headquarters

00:10:58.040 because we designed our new robot to be an attractive female.

00:11:03.820 People are saying we're sexist for making us slim.

00:11:07.100 They want us to plump it up.

00:11:09.760 Dilbert says, how plump?

00:11:11.720 And the boss says, marketing thinks something on the low end of obesity is the sweet spot.

00:11:18.180 And Dilbert says, okay, anything else?

00:11:20.760 And then the boss says, the robots also need to complain a lot

00:11:24.640 so husbands won't fall in love with them.

00:11:26.980 And Dilbert says, marketing said that?

00:11:29.820 And the boss says, no, that's common sense.

00:11:33.140 One month later, how are sales?

00:11:35.960 Still zero.

00:11:39.380 Better?

00:11:41.420 Right?

00:11:42.660 That was better.

00:11:45.120 Now let me tell you the real story about this.

00:11:47.120 All right, the story is, so I have an editor that works for the syndication company

00:11:55.380 that sends it out to newspapers.

00:11:57.900 So the first editor I have to get through is my own editor,

00:12:01.240 the one that works with me.

00:12:03.520 After that, it has to get through the newspaper's editors also.

00:12:07.380 So there are two places that can be stopped.

00:12:09.120 My editor is on my side.

00:12:14.300 So I was on the creator's side.

00:12:16.420 So when my editor says, I don't think you should do that, that's for my benefit.

00:12:22.800 And in this case, I took his advice.

00:12:25.700 And his advice was based on not there was anything wrong with this comic,

00:12:29.540 you know, relative to other comics.

00:12:31.940 It would have caused trouble, but that wasn't the problem.

00:12:35.500 The problem was that it was embedded with a whole bunch of other comics

00:12:39.860 that were also controversial.

00:12:41.480 In other words, in that two-week period, there were too many controversies from me.

00:12:46.380 And you didn't want the editors to just have, you know, controversy fatigue

00:12:50.440 and say, you know, you don't want an editor to say,

00:12:54.120 you just cause it to be too much work.

00:12:56.280 Everybody's complaining, and it's just too much work.

00:12:59.000 So it was basically a workload client management decision.

00:13:04.500 It wasn't censorship, per se, but just so you know.

00:13:08.600 All right.

00:13:09.180 So that's what happened there.

00:13:14.780 I would like to blow one person's mind today, if you don't mind,

00:13:21.300 if you would indulge me.

00:13:24.320 I'm going to say something here that doesn't mean anything to anybody

00:13:27.520 except one person.

00:13:30.940 You ready?

00:13:31.300 Ready?

00:13:31.360 Baked turbo flash.

00:13:38.780 Baked turbo flash.

00:13:42.260 That's it.

00:13:43.580 Moving on.

00:13:45.200 Somebody's mind just got blown clear off.

00:13:49.940 Well, the FBI robbed a bank.

00:13:55.440 What?

00:13:56.200 What?

00:14:00.420 Yes.

00:14:01.860 Apparently, the FBI got a warrant to go into a bunch of safe deposit boxes

00:14:07.860 in a high-end bank, I think in L.A.,

00:14:11.080 and emptied a lot of the boxes and took their shit.

00:14:15.420 Just took it.

00:14:17.480 Photographed it, you know, allegedly kept records,

00:14:20.280 but just took it all.

00:14:22.620 Looked through everything.

00:14:23.820 Looked through everybody's personal belongings.

00:14:25.840 Opened all the...

00:14:26.900 But they had a warrant.

00:14:29.260 Do you know what the warrant said?

00:14:32.500 Go open all these boxes.

00:14:35.500 I'm exaggerating, but it was like a general warrant.

00:14:38.920 Allegedly, they were looking for illegal criminal assets.

00:14:44.580 But I don't think they only opened the boxes of illegal criminals.

00:14:51.200 It looks like they just robbed the bank.

00:14:54.060 If your warrant is fake, so the warrant...

00:14:56.980 We know now that the warrant was fraudulent.

00:15:00.680 So it was either, you know, fraudulent might be too strong.

00:15:04.000 It was, let's say, inappropriate or, you know, against regulations

00:15:08.440 or didn't follow guidelines or something like that.

00:15:11.480 But anyway, it was an inappropriate warrant.

00:15:14.460 Clearly inappropriate.

00:15:15.740 It wasn't like a gray area.

00:15:17.460 It was very inappropriate.

00:15:19.520 And they went in and they took a bunch of people's possessions.

00:15:23.600 That's robbing the bank, isn't it?

00:15:26.420 If you go in under illegal, fraudulent means

00:15:30.280 and take other people's assets out of a bank

00:15:33.140 and don't give them back,

00:15:35.520 didn't you rob a bank?

00:15:38.900 Am I overinterpreting that?

00:15:40.620 I mean, it's not a normal bank robbery,

00:15:43.240 but they did literally, fraudulently rob the bank.

00:15:48.500 And do you know why you're not more upset about that?

00:15:53.500 Because there are too many outrages.

00:15:56.380 We have outrage fatigue.

00:15:59.800 The FBI robbed a bank

00:16:01.700 and you just looked at it and go,

00:16:03.800 eh, that's sort of baseline now.

00:16:07.360 Like, you don't even expect the FBI not to rob a bank.

00:16:11.580 If the FBI murdered somebody at this point,

00:16:14.320 you'd be like,

00:16:15.500 hmm, not ideal,

00:16:18.180 but what's for lunch?

00:16:20.120 Sounds like a normal day.

00:16:23.700 Well,

00:16:25.980 so, yeah,

00:16:27.120 this is just amazing.

00:16:29.660 How could the FBI be less credible at this point

00:16:32.560 to the public?

00:16:33.780 Well,

00:16:36.080 so the same thing that is keeping us

00:16:38.520 from being outraged about this bank robbery,

00:16:42.000 because there's just too much outrage going on,

00:16:46.080 I've decided to use that same technique

00:16:49.840 to my advantage.

00:16:51.820 You've heard of the OODA loop.

00:16:54.800 You know, the OODA loop.

00:16:56.660 If you're in a battle,

00:16:58.680 if you get the other,

00:16:59.500 if you get your opponent continuously reacting,

00:17:04.140 then they can never mount an offense

00:17:05.660 because they're just reacting all the time.

00:17:07.360 They're just overwhelmed with reacting

00:17:09.180 to whatever you're doing.

00:17:10.580 So if you can get them in that OODA loop

00:17:12.620 where they're just reacting,

00:17:14.240 then you basically own them

00:17:15.520 right away.

00:17:18.040 Now,

00:17:18.640 you may have noticed

00:17:19.340 I've done some provocative tweets

00:17:22.560 and comics lately.

00:17:23.880 Anybody notice?

00:17:25.580 Have you noticed

00:17:26.200 I've turned up the temperature?

00:17:30.520 And here's why

00:17:31.640 I haven't been canceled yet,

00:17:32.840 I think.

00:17:34.040 Because I did too much of it.

00:17:36.360 So right now,

00:17:37.700 people are mad at me

00:17:38.980 for

00:17:39.340 several different tweets

00:17:42.800 on different areas,

00:17:44.340 several different comics

00:17:45.380 in different areas,

00:17:47.000 a whole bunch of different things

00:17:48.320 I've said in the past.

00:17:50.120 All kinds of stuff.

00:17:51.160 I don't think people can get

00:17:53.160 like a good beat on me

00:17:54.800 because they're so outraged

00:17:56.480 about so many things

00:17:57.760 it's hard to really

00:17:59.900 like,

00:18:01.380 you know,

00:18:01.580 really grab onto one.

00:18:02.940 So I'm basically doing

00:18:04.300 the Trump method

00:18:06.040 where I'm going to outrage you

00:18:08.760 in a way that would normally

00:18:09.940 get me canceled,

00:18:11.200 but before you can even react,

00:18:13.020 I'm going to give you two more.

00:18:16.040 I'm going to so outrage you.

00:18:17.980 And let me tell you

00:18:18.720 what I did today

00:18:19.620 that I could probably

00:18:21.600 only do

00:18:22.660 inside my own

00:18:24.800 OODA loop

00:18:26.280 protection scheme.

00:18:28.100 You ready for this?

00:18:29.600 This is something

00:18:30.440 I tweeted today

00:18:31.420 that has not gotten

00:18:35.000 me canceled yet.

00:18:38.260 And it was a response

00:18:39.820 to Lamont Thompson,

00:18:41.460 who's an actor,

00:18:44.320 and

00:18:44.880 he was commenting

00:18:47.480 on my comments

00:18:48.700 to Ida Bay-Wells

00:18:50.320 on the question

00:18:51.240 of whether

00:18:51.680 it's about racism

00:18:54.480 and employment.

00:18:55.920 And I noted

00:18:56.460 that I had been

00:18:57.280 lost some jobs

00:18:58.660 for being a white male.

00:19:00.280 Now,

00:19:00.480 Ida Bay-Wells

00:19:01.260 said I was lying

00:19:02.380 directly.

00:19:04.340 Said,

00:19:04.800 you are lying

00:19:05.580 in public.

00:19:08.080 I'm lying?

00:19:09.300 Why would I lie

00:19:09.980 about that?

00:19:11.320 I mean,

00:19:11.680 I suppose people

00:19:12.400 will lie about anything,

00:19:13.300 but it would be

00:19:13.700 a weird kind of a lie.

00:19:15.040 No,

00:19:15.340 it wasn't a lie.

00:19:15.940 But anyway,

00:19:18.360 Lamont got in there

00:19:19.360 and he said,

00:19:20.160 he said something,

00:19:21.540 blah, blah, blah.

00:19:22.600 And here's the part

00:19:23.480 that caught me.

00:19:24.540 He said about me,

00:19:25.820 he said,

00:19:26.240 the problem

00:19:26.740 Scott has is common.

00:19:29.980 He and his ilk,

00:19:32.500 my ilk,

00:19:34.320 think it's impossible

00:19:35.980 to be mediocre,

00:19:37.800 undesirable,

00:19:38.680 or viewed as just

00:19:39.600 not very good

00:19:40.480 at what they do.

00:19:42.000 And what he's saying

00:19:42.860 is my ilk

00:19:43.760 are white men.

00:19:46.280 So he's saying

00:19:47.120 that white men

00:19:47.860 think that they're

00:19:49.500 being discriminated

00:19:50.560 against

00:19:51.000 and that other people

00:19:53.060 are getting favoritism,

00:19:54.360 but possibly

00:19:55.300 the real problem here,

00:19:57.320 as Lamont points out,

00:19:58.880 is that maybe

00:19:59.360 people like me,

00:20:00.960 specifically me,

00:20:02.580 we don't realize

00:20:03.580 how mediocre we are.

00:20:04.860 so let me first

00:20:11.100 give you a little bit

00:20:11.940 of a response to that

00:20:14.420 and then I'll tell you

00:20:15.900 the tweet I sent later.

00:20:17.020 So this is not a tweet,

00:20:18.140 this is just my response

00:20:19.220 to you.

00:20:20.820 Okay?

00:20:21.460 So let me give you

00:20:23.660 just a little bit

00:20:24.580 of a context

00:20:26.940 for the time

00:20:28.860 that I lost my job.

00:20:30.960 Right?

00:20:31.340 So the question is,

00:20:32.320 did I lose a job

00:20:33.320 to somebody

00:20:33.880 who is more qualified

00:20:36.140 and I just

00:20:37.200 fail to admit it?

00:20:40.140 It's possible, right?

00:20:41.580 That would be

00:20:42.040 a fairly reasonable,

00:20:44.240 I mean,

00:20:44.600 it must happen somewhere,

00:20:45.880 that surely

00:20:46.800 there are white people

00:20:47.780 complaining about

00:20:48.840 losing jobs

00:20:49.880 when really

00:20:50.980 the problem was

00:20:51.560 they were not qualified.

00:20:53.600 That clearly exists.

00:20:56.580 But Lamont

00:20:57.120 thinks I might be

00:20:58.080 one of these people,

00:20:59.300 so I'll give him

00:21:00.060 a little context.

00:21:00.800 so I'll describe me

00:21:06.200 and then I'll describe

00:21:06.980 the person I was

00:21:07.700 competing against

00:21:08.640 at the bank,

00:21:09.980 the first job.

00:21:11.560 All right,

00:21:11.700 so here's me.

00:21:12.900 All right,

00:21:13.040 so I graduated high school

00:21:14.120 as a valedictorian

00:21:15.020 and got an economics degree

00:21:18.540 and I was working

00:21:19.520 on an MBA

00:21:20.080 from a top school.

00:21:22.180 If you're in a bank,

00:21:24.060 if you're in a bank

00:21:25.780 and you've got

00:21:26.400 an economics degree

00:21:27.420 and you're working

00:21:28.840 on your MBA

00:21:29.400 from a top school,

00:21:30.560 that's everything

00:21:31.480 they want.

00:21:32.400 Like,

00:21:32.720 I had the ideal

00:21:33.740 banker's resume

00:21:35.160 and I had the

00:21:36.840 highest performance

00:21:37.780 review.

00:21:39.520 So,

00:21:39.960 valedictorian

00:21:40.740 economics degree,

00:21:42.640 MBA,

00:21:43.860 and the highest

00:21:44.520 performance review

00:21:45.480 working at a bank.

00:21:47.280 Okay?

00:21:47.780 Now,

00:21:48.320 the person I was

00:21:49.000 competing against

00:21:49.780 had some strengths

00:21:50.900 too,

00:21:51.880 and I'll get to that.

00:21:53.060 So I don't want

00:21:53.880 to leave a suggestion

00:21:54.880 that I had

00:21:56.200 some accomplishments

00:21:57.160 and the person

00:21:58.120 that I competed

00:21:59.080 at didn't

00:21:59.880 because they did.

00:22:01.620 So I'll get to that.

00:22:03.720 I did manage

00:22:04.800 to become

00:22:05.320 the most influential

00:22:06.280 cartoonist in the world,

00:22:08.140 but as Lamont

00:22:09.720 would point out,

00:22:10.700 you know,

00:22:10.980 big deal.

00:22:11.680 You're a successful

00:22:12.760 cartoonist.

00:22:15.460 I am considered

00:22:16.540 a management expert,

00:22:18.420 partly because

00:22:19.380 of the Dilbert stuff.

00:22:21.180 So yes,

00:22:22.540 I dominate my industry

00:22:23.820 and I dominate

00:22:25.400 somebody else's

00:22:26.200 industry,

00:22:26.640 which is management,

00:22:27.880 but that's just

00:22:29.420 two things.

00:22:32.180 I did write

00:22:33.040 the most influential

00:22:34.420 self-help book

00:22:36.100 of all time,

00:22:37.480 Creative Systems

00:22:38.280 Versus Goals,

00:22:39.320 Talent Stacks.

00:22:41.780 I did cure

00:22:42.960 thousands of people

00:22:43.840 of health issues,

00:22:45.160 and I have

00:22:47.840 dominated politics,

00:22:50.340 the best predictions

00:22:51.820 in the pandemic,

00:22:53.300 best predictions

00:22:54.080 on military

00:22:54.840 in Ukraine,

00:22:56.320 and wrote

00:22:57.960 the definitive

00:22:58.580 personal finance guide.

00:23:01.840 And I've changed

00:23:02.940 a lot of policies

00:23:04.760 in the United States.

00:23:07.060 So that's all

00:23:07.980 I've done.

00:23:09.660 But like I said,

00:23:10.980 the person

00:23:11.260 I competed against

00:23:12.260 also had

00:23:13.400 some accomplishments.

00:23:14.360 For example,

00:23:16.360 she graduated

00:23:17.600 high school.

00:23:18.100 So,

00:23:23.560 as Lamont

00:23:24.580 says,

00:23:25.720 it's hard to know

00:23:26.660 who was more

00:23:28.460 qualified.

00:23:30.980 I don't know.

00:23:31.960 This is a tough

00:23:32.760 one,

00:23:33.020 Lamont.

00:23:35.380 I don't know.

00:23:36.180 Could be the one

00:23:36.900 with all the

00:23:37.540 advanced degrees

00:23:38.500 and who has

00:23:40.360 succeeded and

00:23:41.320 dominated

00:23:41.820 five separate

00:23:43.360 fields.

00:23:44.580 Could be that one.

00:23:45.680 Or it could be

00:23:46.320 the one with

00:23:46.680 the high school

00:23:47.180 diploma,

00:23:48.620 who was also

00:23:49.180 very good,

00:23:49.640 by the way.

00:23:50.200 By the way,

00:23:50.620 there was nothing

00:23:51.060 wrong with her.

00:23:51.580 She was a good

00:23:52.020 manager.

00:23:53.460 Quite qualified.

00:23:55.040 So it is

00:23:55.880 possible

00:23:56.540 that I was

00:23:58.460 unaware that I

00:23:59.380 wasn't quite as

00:24:00.140 qualified as the

00:24:01.140 other applicant.

00:24:04.100 Never know.

00:24:05.400 But here's what I

00:24:06.360 did.

00:24:06.560 I tweeted

00:24:07.860 today that

00:24:08.680 if you're a

00:24:13.320 white man in

00:24:13.880 America,

00:24:15.960 well, if you're

00:24:17.460 a black man,

00:24:18.420 your odds of

00:24:19.480 employment are

00:24:20.260 five times better

00:24:21.300 than a white man

00:24:22.080 in America.

00:24:25.540 How many of you

00:24:26.540 would agree or

00:24:27.300 disagree with that

00:24:27.860 statement?

00:24:28.360 That as of today,

00:24:30.660 a black man,

00:24:32.800 let's say,

00:24:33.180 equal qualifications.

00:24:35.120 Black man and a

00:24:36.120 white man in

00:24:36.600 America,

00:24:37.120 equal qualifications.

00:24:38.760 I think that the

00:24:39.680 black man has

00:24:40.560 approximately five

00:24:42.880 times advantage over

00:24:44.160 the white man.

00:24:45.200 Would that sound

00:24:45.760 about right?

00:24:46.780 About five times?

00:24:48.920 Yeah.

00:24:49.600 Now,

00:24:50.420 let me talk for

00:24:54.020 the NPCs.

00:24:55.940 What do the

00:24:56.840 NPCs say now?

00:24:58.260 What's the NPC

00:24:59.080 say?

00:25:00.060 What's the most

00:25:00.500 obvious thing you

00:25:01.300 say that doesn't

00:25:02.300 help?

00:25:02.580 Yeah, well,

00:25:07.060 you'll think of

00:25:07.800 it.

00:25:09.700 But, do you

00:25:10.700 think that I

00:25:11.260 could have

00:25:11.560 tweeted,

00:25:13.220 except for

00:25:13.960 having caused

00:25:15.100 so much other

00:25:15.740 trouble recently,

00:25:17.100 do you think

00:25:17.540 that I could have

00:25:18.100 gotten away with

00:25:18.740 tweeting directly

00:25:20.480 that a black

00:25:21.960 man in America

00:25:22.600 has five times

00:25:23.520 the employment

00:25:24.060 opportunity as a

00:25:25.240 white man?

00:25:26.760 I got no

00:25:27.620 pushback.

00:25:29.220 I got no

00:25:30.040 pushback.

00:25:30.580 You should see

00:25:31.700 the tweet.

00:25:32.940 I don't know

00:25:34.080 if I could have

00:25:35.300 done that a

00:25:35.820 year ago.

00:25:37.080 I think a year

00:25:38.000 ago, I mean,

00:25:39.240 it would have

00:25:39.460 just been the

00:25:39.940 biggest problem.

00:25:40.800 But I've caused

00:25:41.380 so many other

00:25:42.020 problems this

00:25:42.700 week, nobody

00:25:43.220 knows what to

00:25:43.840 attack me for.

00:25:45.180 My OODA

00:25:45.840 loop is intact.

00:25:49.200 So, got that

00:25:50.900 going for me.

00:25:52.060 And I put that

00:25:52.720 out there, and

00:25:53.320 by the way,

00:25:53.740 Ada Bay-Wells

00:25:54.940 just sort of

00:25:55.560 crept away after

00:25:57.200 we dunked on

00:25:59.560 her.

00:25:59.720 because she's

00:26:00.720 so wrong.

00:26:02.280 And imagine

00:26:03.180 what a mind

00:26:03.760 fuck it is to

00:26:05.180 be a black

00:26:05.860 person in the

00:26:06.460 United States,

00:26:07.360 to realize that

00:26:08.120 for the first

00:26:08.800 time, imagine

00:26:10.340 this, imagine

00:26:11.020 what this would

00:26:11.580 do to your

00:26:11.880 head.

00:26:13.080 You've lived

00:26:13.860 and you grew

00:26:14.320 up in America

00:26:14.980 and you had

00:26:15.280 this certain

00:26:15.880 set of beliefs,

00:26:16.880 and you found

00:26:17.780 out today that

00:26:19.920 you've always had

00:26:20.880 a five times

00:26:21.840 advantage over

00:26:22.640 white men in

00:26:23.860 employment.

00:26:24.900 You always did.

00:26:26.500 It's never been

00:26:27.180 different my entire

00:26:28.680 life.

00:26:30.060 And if you

00:26:31.380 want to find

00:26:31.860 out if I'm

00:26:32.720 exaggerating or

00:26:34.600 kidding, walk

00:26:36.480 out on the

00:26:36.880 sideway, walk.

00:26:38.220 And this is an

00:26:39.020 actual experiment.

00:26:40.000 I want you to

00:26:40.560 actually do this.

00:26:41.400 If you're black

00:26:42.040 and you're wondering,

00:26:43.460 is this true?

00:26:44.620 Because you should

00:26:45.160 be.

00:26:46.420 If I were black

00:26:47.460 and I heard this

00:26:48.060 for the first

00:26:48.720 time today, I'd

00:26:50.460 be thinking, well,

00:26:51.740 there's no way

00:26:52.280 that's true.

00:26:54.220 No, it is true.

00:26:55.720 And if you'd

00:26:56.420 like to validate

00:26:57.080 it, walk out

00:26:58.360 on the sidewalk

00:26:58.900 and just tap

00:26:59.920 on the shoulder

00:27:00.420 any middle-aged

00:27:01.420 white guy.

00:27:02.800 Anybody.

00:27:03.920 Anyone.

00:27:05.200 And just say,

00:27:06.040 are you aware

00:27:06.600 of any discrimination

00:27:07.460 against white

00:27:08.700 males in

00:27:09.300 employment?

00:27:10.560 And watch how

00:27:11.200 many stories

00:27:11.720 you get.

00:27:13.320 It's everybody.

00:27:14.760 Everybody

00:27:15.200 everywhere.

00:27:16.040 Now, the question

00:27:17.420 that if you're

00:27:18.060 black, here's the

00:27:19.000 first question you

00:27:19.680 should ask.

00:27:20.980 How is it

00:27:21.760 possible, how

00:27:23.640 is it possible

00:27:24.540 that I would

00:27:25.880 just be hearing

00:27:26.720 about this now?

00:27:28.620 Right?

00:27:29.560 And that's a good

00:27:30.100 question.

00:27:31.220 How could this

00:27:32.000 be true if I'm

00:27:33.460 just hearing it

00:27:34.340 now?

00:27:35.220 Let me explain

00:27:35.940 that to you.

00:27:37.320 No white man

00:27:38.320 in the world is

00:27:39.740 dumb enough to

00:27:40.840 say this out

00:27:41.500 loud.

00:27:42.580 Except me.

00:27:43.920 And the only

00:27:44.300 reason I can

00:27:44.940 is because fuck

00:27:45.540 you.

00:27:46.420 Fuck you,

00:27:47.000 that's all.

00:27:48.340 I can say

00:27:49.480 anything I

00:27:50.160 want, because

00:27:51.440 fuck you.

00:27:52.900 I've just

00:27:53.320 decided I can

00:27:54.000 say anything I

00:27:54.640 want now.

00:27:55.800 Because I'm

00:27:56.460 close enough to

00:27:57.200 retirement, I

00:27:58.200 made my money,

00:27:59.240 and now I'm

00:27:59.900 going to stop

00:28:00.320 lying.

00:28:01.500 I'm just going

00:28:02.000 to stop lying.

00:28:03.380 I've been

00:28:03.900 lying for 30

00:28:04.760 fucking years.

00:28:06.260 Black men,

00:28:07.940 and black

00:28:08.380 women especially,

00:28:09.620 have a huge

00:28:10.440 advantage over

00:28:11.160 white people

00:28:11.920 and employment

00:28:12.720 in America,

00:28:13.960 and education.

00:28:15.240 It's not even

00:28:15.660 close.

00:28:16.600 It's like a

00:28:17.060 five-time

00:28:17.700 difference.

00:28:18.260 difference.

00:28:19.340 If you come

00:28:20.080 in here and

00:28:20.420 say, you

00:28:20.640 know, Scott,

00:28:22.120 I hear your

00:28:22.860 argument, there

00:28:23.440 might be a

00:28:24.780 little bit of

00:28:25.260 difference, maybe

00:28:26.120 a little advantage

00:28:27.080 for the black

00:28:28.180 people.

00:28:29.120 No, I'm not

00:28:30.900 saying that.

00:28:32.380 I'm saying

00:28:32.720 there's a five-times

00:28:33.580 advantage.

00:28:34.660 I'm saying we're

00:28:35.300 not in the same

00:28:35.960 zip code.

00:28:38.780 Now, to be

00:28:39.920 fair, are the

00:28:41.600 white people

00:28:42.180 really disadvantaged?

00:28:43.360 Well, I mean,

00:28:46.240 you could make

00:28:46.720 an argument that

00:28:47.420 they just go get

00:28:48.180 a job somewhere

00:28:48.800 else, because

00:28:50.120 that's usually

00:28:50.600 what happens.

00:28:51.620 But it's still

00:28:52.560 discrimination.

00:28:54.900 Luckily, we

00:28:55.720 live in a country

00:28:56.440 where labor is

00:28:57.820 in great demand.

00:28:59.640 If labor had

00:29:01.960 been constrained,

00:29:03.100 this would be a

00:29:03.700 big problem.

00:29:05.100 But let me tell

00:29:06.800 you how white

00:29:07.340 people think.

00:29:08.700 Okay, this isn't

00:29:09.700 the hill I'm going

00:29:10.300 to die on.

00:29:11.020 I'm just going to

00:29:11.620 go get another

00:29:12.160 job, because

00:29:13.640 what happens if

00:29:14.340 a white person

00:29:14.980 sues?

00:29:16.220 So this is the

00:29:16.860 other dumb

00:29:17.280 question that

00:29:17.820 black people

00:29:18.280 ask.

00:29:19.740 And let me say

00:29:20.560 this just as

00:29:21.140 clearly as I

00:29:21.740 can.

00:29:22.300 This is a dumb

00:29:23.120 fucking question

00:29:23.900 that black

00:29:24.380 people ask.

00:29:25.680 There are a lot

00:29:26.380 of dumb

00:29:26.680 questions that

00:29:27.340 white people

00:29:27.840 ask, ask

00:29:29.660 black people,

00:29:30.640 right, all the

00:29:31.320 time.

00:29:32.100 So we can ask

00:29:33.220 each other dumb

00:29:33.880 questions or say

00:29:34.900 dumb things.

00:29:35.500 That's okay.

00:29:37.840 The dumbest

00:29:38.720 thing that black

00:29:39.320 people ask when

00:29:40.800 they hear about

00:29:41.480 this, they say,

00:29:43.240 well, why didn't

00:29:43.760 you sue?

00:29:46.060 Every white man

00:29:47.040 right now is just

00:29:47.600 laughing.

00:29:49.440 We all know why

00:29:50.560 we didn't sue.

00:29:52.760 Because we're

00:29:53.500 white men.

00:29:55.440 We're white men.

00:29:57.300 We don't sue

00:29:58.380 over bullshit.

00:30:00.240 I mean, we

00:30:00.620 would sue if it

00:30:01.260 was big enough,

00:30:02.180 and if we

00:30:02.980 couldn't get a

00:30:03.500 job somewhere

00:30:04.180 else, and if we

00:30:05.460 didn't take

00:30:05.900 responsibility for

00:30:06.960 our own lives,

00:30:07.900 and if we blame

00:30:08.600 somebody else

00:30:09.200 for every

00:30:09.560 fucking problem

00:30:10.360 we had, we

00:30:11.440 could do that.

00:30:12.740 Sure.

00:30:13.460 And then we'd

00:30:14.120 never get a

00:30:14.600 job again.

00:30:15.960 You'd never

00:30:16.640 get a job

00:30:17.240 again.

00:30:18.660 Would you

00:30:19.280 hire somebody

00:30:19.920 who had sued

00:30:20.540 their last

00:30:21.100 employer?

00:30:21.820 I wouldn't.

00:30:23.620 I wouldn't.

00:30:25.000 Would you?

00:30:25.920 If you knew

00:30:26.620 somebody had sued

00:30:27.420 their last

00:30:28.080 employer and

00:30:29.360 won, even if

00:30:30.980 they were right,

00:30:32.040 would you hire

00:30:32.700 them?

00:30:33.640 No.

00:30:35.040 No.

00:30:35.520 Because even

00:30:37.440 if they were

00:30:37.980 right, you

00:30:39.600 don't want the

00:30:40.220 litigant, you

00:30:41.160 don't want the

00:30:41.780 litigious person.

00:30:43.540 It doesn't

00:30:43.920 matter if they're

00:30:44.440 a white or

00:30:44.940 black or the

00:30:45.940 most qualified

00:30:46.740 person you've

00:30:47.380 ever seen in

00:30:47.840 your life.

00:30:48.480 You're not

00:30:49.180 going to hire

00:30:49.600 the person who

00:30:50.220 sues their

00:30:50.740 employer, even

00:30:52.720 a different

00:30:53.220 employer.

00:30:54.120 No way.

00:30:55.680 But also, white

00:30:57.060 men are not

00:30:57.800 taught to

00:30:59.480 complain in

00:31:00.380 this way.

00:31:01.800 We're taught

00:31:02.240 to just get

00:31:02.780 on with it.

00:31:03.860 Suck it up,

00:31:04.660 figure it

00:31:05.940 out, go

00:31:07.440 make something

00:31:07.980 work.

00:31:09.400 Right?

00:31:11.640 And here's

00:31:12.860 the funny

00:31:13.200 thing.

00:31:13.440 It's almost

00:31:13.860 like the

00:31:14.360 country's ready

00:31:15.100 for this

00:31:15.520 message.

00:31:17.580 Because I'm

00:31:18.220 not getting

00:31:18.540 any pushback.

00:31:20.500 I just said

00:31:21.300 the most

00:31:21.720 insanely

00:31:22.980 provocative

00:31:23.700 thing you

00:31:24.180 could say

00:31:24.500 in public,

00:31:25.440 and I don't

00:31:25.880 even think

00:31:26.360 the press

00:31:26.740 will pick

00:31:27.060 it up.

00:31:28.000 They should.

00:31:29.640 I'll say

00:31:30.280 it again.

00:31:31.300 A black

00:31:31.940 man in

00:31:32.600 America has

00:31:33.240 a five

00:31:33.860 times better

00:31:34.640 advantage

00:31:35.320 getting a

00:31:36.180 job similarly

00:31:37.020 qualified as

00:31:39.360 a white

00:31:39.800 man.

00:31:40.800 I'll go

00:31:41.260 further.

00:31:42.080 A less

00:31:42.520 qualified black

00:31:43.380 man is

00:31:43.800 almost certainly

00:31:44.440 going to get

00:31:44.880 the job over

00:31:45.980 a more

00:31:46.300 qualified white

00:31:47.140 man in

00:31:48.560 most cases.

00:31:50.200 The exception

00:31:50.800 would be where

00:31:51.340 you really need

00:31:52.180 a specific

00:31:53.080 skill and

00:31:53.720 there's just

00:31:54.040 no way

00:31:54.360 around it.

00:31:55.560 But in

00:31:55.900 most cases,

00:31:56.740 the less

00:31:57.040 qualified black

00:31:57.820 man will

00:31:58.220 be hired

00:31:58.660 three times

00:32:00.320 out of

00:32:00.660 four,

00:32:01.300 probably.

00:32:01.540 Now,

00:32:04.340 to be

00:32:04.740 fair,

00:32:05.840 and allow

00:32:06.240 me to,

00:32:06.960 let me

00:32:07.380 soften that.

00:32:08.800 Because I'm

00:32:09.120 trying to be

00:32:10.420 honest,

00:32:12.280 not a

00:32:14.440 protagonist

00:32:14.960 for one

00:32:15.580 side.

00:32:17.220 It's also

00:32:18.080 true,

00:32:19.300 see if you

00:32:19.760 disagree with

00:32:20.340 this statement,

00:32:21.660 hiring managers

00:32:22.660 aren't really

00:32:23.340 good at

00:32:23.740 knowing who

00:32:24.080 will do

00:32:24.380 the job

00:32:24.760 better.

00:32:24.980 So even

00:32:26.780 if you

00:32:27.100 think you

00:32:27.600 know who's

00:32:28.040 the better

00:32:28.360 qualified one,

00:32:29.200 yeah,

00:32:29.480 don't always.

00:32:30.860 You don't

00:32:31.260 always.

00:32:32.280 When I

00:32:32.640 told you

00:32:32.900 my story

00:32:33.320 about the

00:32:33.900 high school

00:32:35.120 graduate who

00:32:36.460 got the

00:32:36.880 job that I

00:32:37.980 thought I

00:32:38.340 should have

00:32:38.580 gotten,

00:32:39.700 and I was

00:32:40.080 told directly

00:32:40.680 because I'm

00:32:41.300 white and

00:32:41.800 male,

00:32:42.060 I can't

00:32:42.300 have that

00:32:42.560 job.

00:32:44.720 As far as I

00:32:45.580 know,

00:32:45.840 she did a

00:32:46.200 great job.

00:32:47.300 I have no

00:32:47.760 reason to

00:32:48.200 think that she

00:32:48.720 didn't perform

00:32:49.400 perfectly.

00:32:51.180 But those

00:32:52.120 are not the

00:32:52.740 rules that we

00:32:54.180 thought we were

00:32:54.640 playing on.

00:32:55.620 I developed a

00:32:57.560 set of

00:32:58.160 qualifications

00:32:58.880 because those

00:33:00.200 were the

00:33:00.560 rules I

00:33:01.020 thought I

00:33:01.320 was playing.

00:33:02.440 Get these

00:33:02.940 qualifications and

00:33:03.980 you'll be at

00:33:04.360 the top of

00:33:04.760 the list for

00:33:05.140 the job.

00:33:06.220 So I went

00:33:06.700 and got

00:33:06.980 them.

00:33:08.040 So it

00:33:08.600 feels a

00:33:08.920 little unfair,

00:33:10.860 but did I

00:33:13.040 mention I'm

00:33:13.520 a white man?

00:33:15.280 What do I

00:33:16.240 do when

00:33:16.680 something's

00:33:17.100 unfair to

00:33:17.780 me?

00:33:20.160 Fucking

00:33:20.600 suck it

00:33:21.120 up.

00:33:21.760 That's what

00:33:22.360 I do.

00:33:23.180 I just

00:33:23.820 get over

00:33:24.260 it.

00:33:24.640 Just move

00:33:25.640 on with

00:33:26.100 it.

00:33:26.800 Get on

00:33:27.440 with life.

00:33:28.180 Make

00:33:28.360 something

00:33:28.680 work.

00:33:29.900 Stop

00:33:30.340 failing and

00:33:31.560 do something

00:33:32.000 that works.

00:33:33.740 All right.

00:33:34.920 All right.

00:33:35.820 Let's talk

00:33:36.280 about the

00:33:36.800 re-ups.

00:33:42.360 So this

00:33:43.340 is a point

00:33:43.840 I made

00:33:44.200 before,

00:33:44.880 but that

00:33:46.200 was before

00:33:46.680 a member

00:33:47.040 of Congress

00:33:47.700 retweeted it.

00:33:49.400 so it's

00:33:51.140 I guess

00:33:53.020 prominence

00:33:53.740 just went

00:33:54.140 up a

00:33:54.760 notch.

00:33:55.080 So this

00:33:56.260 is something

00:33:56.680 Thomas

00:33:57.520 Massey

00:33:57.980 retweeted

00:33:58.620 this morning.

00:34:00.440 I tweeted

00:34:01.320 that the

00:34:01.680 FBI and

00:34:02.400 the January

00:34:02.820 6th committee

00:34:03.440 have signaled

00:34:04.240 by omission

00:34:05.640 FBI

00:34:06.960 involvement

00:34:07.620 in January

00:34:08.320 6th

00:34:08.820 incitement.

00:34:09.900 So that

00:34:10.740 becomes the

00:34:11.300 public's

00:34:11.740 working

00:34:12.500 assumption.

00:34:14.520 Keyword,

00:34:15.200 keywords,

00:34:16.060 working assumption.

00:34:16.660 If the

00:34:17.400 FBI wants

00:34:18.040 to change

00:34:18.520 our working

00:34:18.980 assumptions

00:34:19.480 on Epps,

00:34:20.440 nothing's

00:34:20.960 stopping them.

00:34:23.180 I'll change

00:34:23.880 my mind.

00:34:24.740 In fact,

00:34:25.620 it would be

00:34:26.820 really easy

00:34:27.620 for me to

00:34:28.180 change my

00:34:28.780 mind with

00:34:31.060 just some

00:34:31.560 information.

00:34:32.520 I mean,

00:34:32.720 I don't even

00:34:33.100 think it would

00:34:33.400 be hard.

00:34:34.700 All you have

00:34:35.200 to say is,

00:34:35.920 yeah,

00:34:36.700 I mean,

00:34:37.000 even this,

00:34:37.600 you could say,

00:34:38.540 okay,

00:34:38.900 yeah,

00:34:39.200 he did work

00:34:39.660 for the FBI,

00:34:40.420 but we

00:34:41.720 looked into

00:34:42.240 it,

00:34:43.060 and that's

00:34:44.600 not what he

00:34:45.000 was doing

00:34:45.300 that day.

00:34:45.760 I could

00:34:46.780 be convinced,

00:34:47.740 but if

00:34:48.280 you're not

00:34:48.640 going to

00:34:48.880 try to

00:34:49.440 convince me,

00:34:50.620 you're not

00:34:50.960 going to

00:34:51.160 attempt it,

00:34:51.940 and you

00:34:52.140 say,

00:34:53.200 let's,

00:34:53.760 yeah,

00:34:53.960 we're just

00:34:54.200 going to

00:34:54.300 ignore this

00:34:54.860 whole thing.

00:34:55.960 If you're

00:34:56.560 going to

00:34:56.780 ignore it,

00:34:58.080 I will

00:34:58.540 treat that

00:34:59.160 as a

00:34:59.740 confirmation,

00:35:01.160 and it

00:35:01.440 will be my

00:35:01.900 working

00:35:02.320 assumption

00:35:02.760 that you've

00:35:03.320 confessed.

00:35:04.920 It doesn't

00:35:05.280 mean it's

00:35:05.580 true,

00:35:06.240 so I'm

00:35:06.500 not going

00:35:06.760 to accept

00:35:07.100 it as

00:35:07.340 true,

00:35:08.140 but remember,

00:35:08.720 we live in

00:35:09.140 a world

00:35:09.440 where you

00:35:09.720 have to

00:35:09.980 make a

00:35:10.260 choice.

00:35:11.440 You don't

00:35:12.020 get to do

00:35:12.460 nothing.

00:35:13.120 Well,

00:35:13.360 I guess doing

00:35:15.760 choose,

00:35:16.780 and so

00:35:17.600 if you're

00:35:17.980 going to

00:35:18.200 act on

00:35:18.920 your beliefs,

00:35:20.560 the belief

00:35:21.060 you should

00:35:21.500 act on

00:35:22.100 is Epps

00:35:24.400 being part

00:35:25.080 of an

00:35:25.640 FBI

00:35:26.080 incitement

00:35:26.900 operation,

00:35:28.120 for which

00:35:29.020 I have no

00:35:29.620 evidence of.

00:35:30.860 I have no

00:35:31.480 evidence to

00:35:32.140 say that

00:35:32.940 that would

00:35:33.280 happen.

00:35:34.080 I'm just

00:35:34.480 saying that

00:35:34.900 as a

00:35:36.760 citizen and

00:35:37.400 a responsible

00:35:38.080 adult,

00:35:39.520 you should

00:35:39.960 look at

00:35:40.280 this and

00:35:40.560 say,

00:35:40.840 oh,

00:35:41.460 we asked

00:35:42.000 a direct

00:35:42.420 question,

00:35:43.140 they failed

00:35:43.680 to deny

00:35:44.220 it,

00:35:45.080 we can

00:35:45.700 treat that

00:35:46.240 like it's

00:35:46.700 true.

00:35:48.620 If they

00:35:49.260 want to

00:35:49.660 change our

00:35:50.180 mind,

00:35:51.320 we're here.

00:35:53.300 FBI knows

00:35:54.120 where to

00:35:54.440 find the

00:35:54.860 country.

00:35:56.040 Just put

00:35:56.500 out a

00:35:56.760 statement,

00:35:58.040 say,

00:35:59.040 here's what

00:35:59.840 I would be

00:36:00.200 happy with.

00:36:00.720 Let me

00:36:00.880 give you

00:36:01.300 an example.

00:36:02.240 I don't

00:36:02.940 personally

00:36:03.460 need to

00:36:03.900 know

00:36:04.060 everything

00:36:04.380 about

00:36:04.660 Ray Epps

00:36:05.120 because

00:36:06.360 maybe there's

00:36:06.860 some

00:36:07.060 confidential

00:36:07.640 stuff there.

00:36:08.980 And he's

00:36:09.440 a citizen,

00:36:10.560 right?

00:36:10.760 He's got

00:36:11.100 the right

00:36:11.360 to some

00:36:11.700 privacy.

00:36:12.940 But if

00:36:14.400 you told

00:36:14.800 me,

00:36:15.080 and I'll

00:36:15.280 just pick

00:36:15.620 a name,

00:36:16.780 if you

00:36:17.100 told me

00:36:17.520 that Rand

00:36:18.200 Paul had

00:36:19.780 sat with

00:36:20.280 him and

00:36:20.680 talked to

00:36:21.060 him personally

00:36:21.620 and maybe

00:36:22.600 talked to

00:36:23.040 other people

00:36:23.460 and looked

00:36:23.840 into it,

00:36:24.540 and that

00:36:24.940 Rand

00:36:25.340 Paul knew

00:36:26.760 all the

00:36:27.140 secrets,

00:36:27.820 whatever the

00:36:28.340 FBI knows,

00:36:29.100 he knows,

00:36:29.860 and then Rand

00:36:30.580 Paul came

00:36:31.080 out and

00:36:31.320 said,

00:36:31.660 okay,

00:36:31.900 I can't

00:36:32.280 tell you

00:36:32.540 what they

00:36:32.800 told me

00:36:33.300 because it's

00:36:34.500 confidential,

00:36:35.700 but trust

00:36:36.380 me,

00:36:36.600 you don't

00:36:36.820 need to

00:36:37.120 worry about

00:36:37.460 this.

00:36:37.920 I made

00:36:38.520 this go

00:36:38.900 away.

00:36:39.760 I'd be

00:36:40.100 good with

00:36:40.440 that.

00:36:41.340 Wouldn't

00:36:41.560 you?

00:36:42.420 Now,

00:36:42.940 there's

00:36:43.100 always some

00:36:43.460 small chance

00:36:44.360 that Rand

00:36:45.160 Paul would

00:36:45.640 be lying

00:36:46.040 to you,

00:36:46.600 but there's

00:36:47.220 no history

00:36:47.740 to suggest

00:36:48.320 that would

00:36:48.680 happen.

00:36:49.800 He's one

00:36:50.460 of the

00:36:50.780 straightest

00:36:51.320 shooters

00:36:51.660 in the

00:36:52.920 country.

00:36:54.080 So,

00:36:54.760 you say

00:36:55.320 trust no

00:36:55.840 one,

00:36:56.040 I get

00:36:56.320 that.

00:36:56.740 I get

00:36:56.980 that.

00:36:57.400 Trust no

00:36:57.820 one is

00:36:58.040 not crazy.

00:36:59.140 That's

00:36:59.420 not crazy.

00:37:00.380 But I'm

00:37:00.720 saying that

00:37:01.120 as a

00:37:01.580 reasonable

00:37:02.220 best you

00:37:03.100 can do,

00:37:04.000 if somebody

00:37:04.660 we trusted

00:37:05.380 told us

00:37:06.760 we looked

00:37:07.180 into it,

00:37:08.240 I think

00:37:08.640 I'd be

00:37:08.960 inclined to

00:37:09.740 go with

00:37:10.060 that.

00:37:10.740 I'd go

00:37:10.980 with that.

00:37:13.160 But if

00:37:13.880 they don't

00:37:14.140 do anything,

00:37:15.100 given how

00:37:15.600 easy it

00:37:16.120 would be

00:37:16.520 to convince

00:37:17.640 us to

00:37:18.340 stop talking

00:37:18.920 about it,

00:37:20.860 either they

00:37:21.400 want us

00:37:22.200 to talk

00:37:22.560 about it,

00:37:23.220 to make

00:37:24.380 Republicans

00:37:25.320 look extra

00:37:26.000 crazy,

00:37:26.860 which would

00:37:27.360 be a good

00:37:27.680 plot,

00:37:28.100 by the way,

00:37:28.760 or there's

00:37:29.600 something to

00:37:29.960 it.

00:37:30.940 All right.

00:37:33.320 Here's another

00:37:33.940 thing I was

00:37:34.340 doing just

00:37:34.780 to want the,

00:37:36.600 and by the

00:37:37.000 way,

00:37:37.180 the Ray

00:37:37.460 Epps

00:37:37.640 stuff.

00:37:38.340 That's

00:37:38.740 part of

00:37:39.000 my OODA

00:37:39.540 loop.

00:37:41.080 I don't

00:37:41.440 care that

00:37:42.180 much about

00:37:42.660 Ray Epps.

00:37:44.240 I just

00:37:44.940 wanted to

00:37:45.400 do one

00:37:45.800 more provocative

00:37:46.600 thing so

00:37:47.340 that all

00:37:47.720 my provocations

00:37:48.600 are rising

00:37:49.700 about the

00:37:50.140 same time.

00:37:51.240 My other

00:37:51.640 provocation was

00:37:52.460 this.

00:37:52.720 I tweeted

00:37:53.000 this.

00:37:53.680 I'm seeing

00:37:54.020 how close I

00:37:55.620 can fly to

00:37:56.380 the sun in

00:37:57.960 terms of

00:37:58.460 election

00:37:58.840 integrity

00:37:59.440 without saying

00:38:01.280 anything that's

00:38:01.880 untrue.

00:38:02.340 I tweeted

00:38:04.600 this.

00:38:06.820 I'm not

00:38:07.240 aware of

00:38:07.600 any proof

00:38:08.300 that our

00:38:10.080 election

00:38:10.360 systems are

00:38:11.040 rigged or

00:38:11.520 even could

00:38:12.040 be in

00:38:13.260 any of

00:38:14.100 our 50

00:38:14.600 states.

00:38:16.880 That is

00:38:17.420 remarkable

00:38:17.900 given that

00:38:18.420 100% of

00:38:19.000 everything else

00:38:19.520 we can't

00:38:20.100 directly observe

00:38:21.100 is rigged.

00:38:24.020 Then I

00:38:25.100 added,

00:38:25.680 also,

00:38:26.200 unarmed

00:38:26.540 protesters

00:38:27.140 tried to

00:38:27.740 conquer the

00:38:28.160 United States.

00:38:28.820 Now,

00:38:32.000 I believe

00:38:32.840 what I

00:38:33.600 said is

00:38:34.200 actually

00:38:34.680 the official

00:38:36.460 word,

00:38:36.960 right?

00:38:37.460 Didn't I

00:38:37.900 just agree

00:38:38.520 with the

00:38:39.060 official

00:38:39.400 narrative?

00:38:40.300 The official

00:38:40.980 narrative is

00:38:41.680 that there

00:38:42.140 is no

00:38:42.480 proof of

00:38:43.000 election

00:38:43.340 systems being

00:38:44.180 rigged.

00:38:45.160 I agree.

00:38:46.040 I have

00:38:46.400 seen no

00:38:46.820 proof of

00:38:47.200 that.

00:38:48.460 Or even

00:38:49.220 that they

00:38:49.520 could be.

00:38:50.800 And also,

00:38:51.720 I've seen

00:38:52.400 no proof

00:38:52.860 of it in

00:38:53.720 any of

00:38:54.400 the 50

00:38:55.040 separate

00:38:55.580 systems that

00:38:56.340 are managed

00:38:56.700 by each

00:38:57.080 state,

00:38:57.960 which is

00:38:58.360 remarkable.

00:38:58.820 given that

00:39:00.320 the FBI

00:39:00.880 is robbing

00:39:01.560 banks,

00:39:02.460 Congress

00:39:02.760 is doing

00:39:04.260 insider

00:39:04.760 trading,

00:39:05.440 and basically

00:39:06.740 100% of

00:39:08.300 the systems

00:39:08.960 that we

00:39:09.440 can't view

00:39:10.600 directly

00:39:11.120 are corrupt.

00:39:13.400 Except

00:39:14.200 all 50

00:39:15.760 state election

00:39:16.540 systems.

00:39:18.220 The only

00:39:18.820 exceptions.

00:39:20.020 And you'd

00:39:20.500 think it

00:39:20.780 would be

00:39:21.000 amazing to

00:39:21.560 have one

00:39:21.900 exception,

00:39:22.700 like one

00:39:23.260 state that

00:39:23.860 wasn't

00:39:24.200 corrupted.

00:39:24.740 That would

00:39:24.980 be amazing.

00:39:25.960 If even

00:39:26.700 one.

00:39:27.100 But we

00:39:28.280 got 50.

00:39:29.700 50.

00:39:32.360 2,000

00:39:33.180 mules is

00:39:33.800 not proof,

00:39:34.820 and if you

00:39:35.280 still think

00:39:35.760 so, you

00:39:36.340 need to

00:39:36.600 catch up.

00:39:38.080 2,000

00:39:38.700 mules is

00:39:39.580 a red

00:39:41.180 flag.

00:39:42.260 It's a

00:39:42.660 signal.

00:39:43.540 It's an

00:39:44.100 invitation to

00:39:44.900 look further,

00:39:45.580 but that's

00:39:45.860 all it is.

00:39:47.540 Nobody has

00:39:48.260 looked and

00:39:48.640 found anything,

00:39:49.580 in my

00:39:50.760 opinion.

00:39:51.040 Yeah, I

00:39:53.520 do care

00:39:53.880 about

00:39:54.140 ray-ups in

00:39:54.640 the sense

00:39:54.980 that anything

00:39:56.300 that would

00:39:56.720 free the

00:39:57.560 prisoners would

00:39:59.040 be good.

00:39:59.760 So yes, I'll

00:40:00.540 agree with you

00:40:01.020 on that.

00:40:03.760 So here, and

00:40:04.440 then I said

00:40:04.880 the unarmed

00:40:05.500 protesters tried

00:40:06.500 to conquer the

00:40:07.160 United States.

00:40:08.740 Well, that's

00:40:09.480 the official

00:40:09.960 narrative,

00:40:10.420 right?

00:40:11.440 The unarmed

00:40:12.240 protesters tried

00:40:13.500 to conquer the

00:40:14.340 United States.

00:40:15.420 Now, the fact

00:40:16.180 that that seems

00:40:16.800 absurd and

00:40:17.440 ridiculous when

00:40:18.120 you read it,

00:40:18.560 it isn't my

00:40:19.060 fault.

00:40:19.360 It's not

00:40:21.400 my fault.

00:40:22.620 I'm just

00:40:23.040 describing it.

00:40:24.720 If it sounds

00:40:25.660 ridiculous to

00:40:26.500 you, well,

00:40:27.240 that's between

00:40:27.760 you and the

00:40:28.360 news.

00:40:29.400 Don't blame

00:40:29.980 me.

00:40:30.920 I'm just

00:40:31.380 giving you

00:40:31.760 the facts.

00:40:35.140 So there's

00:40:35.980 also a story

00:40:37.520 about China.

00:40:39.740 Have you

00:40:40.360 ever seen a

00:40:41.060 picture of

00:40:42.860 Chairman Xi

00:40:43.780 next to a

00:40:44.580 picture of

00:40:45.780 Beavis?

00:40:47.440 Like Beavis

00:40:48.340 and Bi-Head?

00:40:49.360 Have you

00:40:51.060 ever seen

00:40:51.300 them together?

00:40:52.700 I put a

00:40:54.240 picture of

00:40:54.640 the two of

00:40:54.980 them together

00:40:55.460 on Twitter

00:40:56.000 today.

00:40:57.200 All I see

00:40:58.020 is Beavis.

00:41:00.240 Chairman Xi

00:41:00.920 looks just

00:41:01.380 like Beavis.

00:41:02.900 He's got

00:41:03.380 that look.

00:41:08.620 I don't want

00:41:10.520 to do that.

00:41:10.940 That sounds

00:41:11.260 racist.

00:41:12.220 But Beavis

00:41:13.060 has weird

00:41:13.960 shaped eyes.

00:41:14.640 So if you

00:41:16.760 take the

00:41:17.120 racist part

00:41:17.720 out of it,

00:41:18.360 he reminds

00:41:18.860 me of

00:41:19.640 Xi.

00:41:22.120 All right.

00:41:23.860 So people

00:41:25.040 have been

00:41:25.280 saying,

00:41:25.680 hey, there's

00:41:26.080 something going

00:41:26.540 on over

00:41:26.920 there, and

00:41:27.280 maybe it's

00:41:27.640 a coup.

00:41:30.200 Oh, fuck

00:41:32.140 me.

00:41:33.800 Bad technology.

00:41:36.540 There we

00:41:36.880 go.

00:41:44.080 Oops.

00:41:47.640 Back on.

00:41:48.440 Back online.

00:41:50.160 Back online.

00:41:51.000 All right.

00:41:52.700 So I think

00:41:53.600 the dream

00:41:55.440 of a China

00:41:56.200 coup is

00:41:56.920 probably fake.

00:41:58.340 But here's

00:41:59.000 something that

00:41:59.620 apparently the

00:42:00.460 Chinese do

00:42:01.120 this as a

00:42:02.000 regular pattern

00:42:02.960 before they

00:42:04.280 have their

00:42:04.680 big, what's

00:42:05.980 the name of

00:42:06.380 it, the

00:42:06.840 communist

00:42:07.980 committee meeting

00:42:09.800 that they do?

00:42:11.720 What's that

00:42:12.180 called?

00:42:13.560 Some kind of

00:42:14.100 a big CCP

00:42:14.900 meeting that

00:42:15.600 they do.

00:42:16.160 Anyway, so

00:42:16.920 they think that

00:42:17.880 Xi will try

00:42:18.720 to get an

00:42:20.060 emperor for

00:42:20.620 life or

00:42:21.160 something like

00:42:21.660 that out of

00:42:22.200 that.

00:42:22.700 But apparently

00:42:23.360 what they do

00:42:24.060 just before

00:42:25.060 this big

00:42:25.540 event is

00:42:26.200 they put

00:42:27.420 in jail

00:42:27.940 major

00:42:28.720 political

00:42:29.420 people.

00:42:31.040 So they

00:42:31.680 put them

00:42:32.040 in jail

00:42:32.400 on a

00:42:32.680 regular

00:42:32.940 basis.

00:42:33.800 Like, that's

00:42:34.240 just a

00:42:34.540 regular

00:42:34.800 thing.

00:42:35.560 So they

00:42:35.880 just jailed

00:42:36.420 some minister

00:42:37.080 in the

00:42:37.600 Chinese

00:42:37.920 government

00:42:38.340 for stealing

00:42:39.040 $90

00:42:39.740 million or

00:42:40.560 something.

00:42:41.640 And here's

00:42:42.160 the question.

00:42:43.540 I wonder

00:42:43.960 if all the

00:42:44.640 ministers in

00:42:45.300 the Chinese

00:42:45.740 government

00:42:46.120 are stealing

00:42:46.780 $90

00:42:47.160 million.

00:42:48.320 Because I

00:42:49.020 always assumed

00:42:49.580 they were.

00:42:51.120 Isn't that

00:42:51.560 the whole point

00:42:52.160 of being

00:42:52.500 toward the

00:42:54.440 top in a

00:42:55.140 communist

00:42:55.840 country as

00:42:56.440 you get to

00:42:56.840 steal millions

00:42:57.500 of dollars?

00:42:58.320 I just assume

00:42:59.120 they're all

00:42:59.420 doing that.

00:43:00.400 So I wonder

00:43:00.880 if the people

00:43:01.420 that they

00:43:01.980 decide to

00:43:02.860 prosecute are

00:43:03.560 just the

00:43:03.860 ones that

00:43:04.180 are not

00:43:04.560 politically

00:43:06.020 on the right

00:43:07.940 team.

00:43:08.940 They're not

00:43:09.320 trying hard

00:43:09.820 enough to

00:43:10.220 support the

00:43:10.680 leader.

00:43:11.940 But anyway,

00:43:12.600 I don't

00:43:15.240 think you

00:43:15.640 have to

00:43:16.060 worry too

00:43:17.260 much about

00:43:17.580 a coup.

00:43:19.460 Don't

00:43:19.980 think that's

00:43:20.380 happening.

00:43:23.540 Apparently

00:43:24.060 Twitter and

00:43:24.740 Facebook suspended

00:43:25.680 numerous fake

00:43:26.640 accounts for

00:43:28.760 spreading

00:43:29.400 disinformation.

00:43:31.120 Now that

00:43:31.540 doesn't sound

00:43:32.240 unusual,

00:43:32.820 right?

00:43:33.340 Because they

00:43:33.960 routinely get

00:43:34.640 rid of fake

00:43:35.180 accounts that

00:43:35.760 are spreading

00:43:36.160 disinformation.

00:43:37.060 Let's see,

00:43:37.320 who owned

00:43:37.840 these accounts?

00:43:39.280 Oh, the

00:43:39.800 U.S.

00:43:40.260 government.

00:43:42.480 Yes, it

00:43:43.220 turns out that

00:43:43.780 the U.S.

00:43:44.420 government is

00:43:45.100 creating fake

00:43:46.180 Twitter and

00:43:47.240 Facebook accounts

00:43:48.180 to spread

00:43:48.680 misinformation.

00:43:51.840 And that's

00:43:52.700 confirmed.

00:43:56.580 Now, I

00:43:58.300 think the

00:43:58.820 story was

00:43:59.320 telling us that

00:43:59.960 they were

00:44:00.360 spreading fake

00:44:01.420 information in

00:44:03.660 the international

00:44:04.420 markets.

00:44:05.820 It was a

00:44:06.800 little unspecific

00:44:07.860 about whether

00:44:08.480 it's spreading

00:44:09.280 that same

00:44:09.780 misinformation.

00:44:10.260 to our

00:44:10.860 markets.

00:44:11.620 But of

00:44:12.220 course they

00:44:12.600 are.

00:44:12.780 They're all

00:44:13.020 connected.

00:44:14.260 You can't

00:44:14.920 tell a fake

00:44:15.580 rumor in

00:44:16.100 some other

00:44:16.500 market and

00:44:17.100 not expect

00:44:17.600 it to get

00:44:17.980 over here.

00:44:19.640 So now we

00:44:20.700 know that

00:44:21.280 our government

00:44:22.600 is literally

00:44:23.780 lying to us

00:44:24.700 and other

00:44:26.040 countries.

00:44:27.680 And for

00:44:28.800 sure.

00:44:29.560 So they

00:44:30.000 robbed a

00:44:30.500 bank,

00:44:31.380 they're putting

00:44:32.180 political

00:44:33.420 opponents in

00:44:34.440 jail,

00:44:35.280 and they're

00:44:36.760 using propaganda

00:44:38.060 and spreading

00:44:38.780 fake information.

00:44:39.540 So that's

00:44:40.720 your U.S.

00:44:42.480 government

00:44:42.780 right there.

00:44:43.960 Pretty good,

00:44:44.520 huh?

00:44:45.560 All right,

00:44:46.320 I decided to

00:44:47.180 come up with a

00:44:47.720 solution for

00:44:48.300 Taiwan.

00:44:49.820 You've been

00:44:50.360 waiting for this,

00:44:51.100 haven't you?

00:44:52.020 I know,

00:44:52.500 a lot of you

00:44:53.000 every day are

00:44:53.940 like,

00:44:54.440 Scott,

00:44:55.900 where's your

00:44:56.500 solution for

00:44:57.120 Taiwan?

00:44:58.280 You've solved so

00:44:59.240 many other

00:44:59.660 problems.

00:45:00.820 Well, I have a

00:45:01.560 solution for

00:45:02.120 Taiwan.

00:45:02.520 You ready for it?

00:45:04.100 And it

00:45:05.860 depends on the

00:45:06.580 following thing.

00:45:09.580 It depends on

00:45:10.980 China being as

00:45:12.800 dumb as the

00:45:13.640 people who

00:45:14.280 responded to

00:45:15.280 me on

00:45:15.800 Twitter.

00:45:16.800 And I think I

00:45:17.440 can count on

00:45:18.020 that being

00:45:18.380 true.

00:45:19.640 All right?

00:45:20.480 Now I'm going

00:45:21.140 to set an

00:45:22.120 NPC trap for

00:45:23.440 you.

00:45:25.240 I'm telling you

00:45:26.180 in advance,

00:45:26.660 this is an

00:45:27.080 NPC trap.

00:45:28.200 I'm going to

00:45:28.780 trap you into

00:45:29.560 saying the

00:45:30.000 most obvious

00:45:30.880 thing about

00:45:31.840 this topic.

00:45:33.280 And then I'm

00:45:33.800 going to tell

00:45:34.140 you that that's

00:45:34.680 what I'm making

00:45:35.160 the Chinese

00:45:35.680 think too.

00:45:36.940 And you fell

00:45:37.480 for it.

00:45:38.480 And it's

00:45:39.020 nonsense.

00:45:40.960 Right?

00:45:41.540 So here's my

00:45:42.380 idea, and then

00:45:43.200 watch for somebody

00:45:44.020 to say the

00:45:44.640 most obvious

00:45:45.500 thing, and

00:45:46.820 that's my

00:45:47.240 trick.

00:45:48.640 So here's the

00:45:49.240 idea.

00:45:50.340 Taiwan should

00:45:51.040 announce that

00:45:51.840 they've decided

00:45:53.260 to merge with

00:45:54.120 China.

00:45:55.420 So Taiwan

00:45:56.140 should say it

00:45:56.680 first.

00:45:57.640 We've decided

00:45:58.180 to merge with

00:45:58.760 China and

00:45:59.280 become one

00:45:59.760 country.

00:46:00.940 Here's how

00:46:01.380 we're going

00:46:01.680 to do it.

00:46:02.800 We're going

00:46:03.460 to become

00:46:03.860 one country

00:46:04.540 in spirit

00:46:05.200 right away.

00:46:07.120 So that we'll

00:46:07.980 say, all

00:46:08.860 Chinese people,

00:46:10.300 we are one.

00:46:11.880 But we'll

00:46:13.460 wait 100

00:46:14.280 years, 100

00:46:15.560 years, and

00:46:17.080 then we will

00:46:17.700 merge systems.

00:46:21.000 But not for

00:46:21.920 100 years.

00:46:23.000 And then we'll

00:46:24.480 see what makes

00:46:25.100 sense for a

00:46:25.700 system, because

00:46:26.240 everything will

00:46:26.800 change in 100

00:46:27.380 years.

00:46:27.960 And then we'll

00:46:28.720 implement the

00:46:29.280 one that makes

00:46:29.740 sense in 100

00:46:30.780 years.

00:46:31.380 go.

00:46:35.140 NPC is

00:46:35.940 way in.

00:46:37.960 Bum, bum,

00:46:38.840 bum, bum.

00:46:39.600 There we go.

00:46:41.340 First NPC in.

00:46:42.620 Hong Kong.

00:46:43.680 Yes, that is the

00:46:44.600 NPC trick I was

00:46:45.720 trying to get you

00:46:47.060 to say.

00:46:48.180 Because you just

00:46:48.800 said to yourself,

00:46:49.920 Scott, didn't work

00:46:51.120 in Hong Kong,

00:46:52.160 did it?

00:46:53.260 The Chinese just

00:46:54.420 waited, and then

00:46:55.260 they just took over

00:46:56.140 Hong Kong.

00:46:56.680 How about that?

00:46:58.980 That's exactly what

00:47:00.320 you're supposed to

00:47:01.140 think.

00:47:03.560 Because everybody

00:47:05.100 who thinks that

00:47:05.860 analogies predict,

00:47:08.720 nope.

00:47:10.580 What you want is

00:47:11.740 that China will

00:47:12.540 incorrectly predict,

00:47:14.420 just like you did.

00:47:15.840 So you said, my

00:47:18.460 analogy is Hong

00:47:19.420 Kong.

00:47:19.980 Hong Kong didn't

00:47:20.680 work.

00:47:21.060 This is like Hong

00:47:21.760 Kong.

00:47:22.160 This won't work.

00:47:23.560 That's what I want

00:47:24.460 China to think.

00:47:26.060 And I can even say it

00:47:27.280 out loud and they'll

00:47:27.960 still think it.

00:47:29.800 But here's the trick.

00:47:31.840 What's different this

00:47:33.660 time?

00:47:34.900 Well, analogies are

00:47:35.880 always, there's always

00:47:36.620 differences in the

00:47:37.560 analogies.

00:47:38.480 Here's the big

00:47:39.100 difference.

00:47:39.500 In a hundred

00:47:41.440 years, nothing's

00:47:44.520 predictable.

00:47:46.640 The odds that

00:47:47.740 China will even

00:47:48.540 exist as a state

00:47:50.100 like you know it

00:47:50.960 are really not that

00:47:52.220 high in a hundred

00:47:53.060 years.

00:47:53.820 Because in a hundred

00:47:54.580 years, we're going

00:47:55.160 to be past the

00:47:55.860 singularity where

00:47:57.540 computers are

00:47:58.540 intelligent.

00:48:00.380 AI will have

00:48:01.120 changed everything.

00:48:02.860 Right?

00:48:03.280 Technology will have

00:48:04.340 changed everything.

00:48:05.560 It's perfectly

00:48:06.600 possible that in a

00:48:07.560 hundred years,

00:48:08.540 mainland China

00:48:09.420 will say, you

00:48:10.440 know, this Taiwan

00:48:11.280 system worked

00:48:12.400 better than ours.

00:48:14.000 Let's do that.

00:48:18.180 Now, what happens

00:48:19.140 if a hundred years

00:48:19.840 goes by and Taiwan

00:48:22.100 is bristling with

00:48:23.480 self-defensive

00:48:24.200 weapons?

00:48:25.640 Because it could

00:48:26.460 be.

00:48:26.960 It would just keep

00:48:27.720 going on as it has

00:48:28.580 gone before.

00:48:30.420 There's just the

00:48:31.260 same odds of China

00:48:32.300 attacking, except

00:48:33.620 you bought yourself

00:48:34.340 a hundred years.

00:48:36.180 So if you could

00:48:37.080 buy yourself a

00:48:37.860 hundred years of

00:48:38.580 China not

00:48:39.200 attacking Taiwan,

00:48:40.380 wouldn't you

00:48:40.720 take it?

00:48:42.020 At the end of

00:48:42.800 a hundred years,

00:48:43.380 everything's going

00:48:44.040 to be just a

00:48:44.840 jump ball.

00:48:46.200 Now, would they

00:48:47.640 have said the

00:48:48.120 same thing about

00:48:48.920 Hong Kong?

00:48:51.040 A hundred years

00:48:51.800 before Hong Kong

00:48:52.900 transferred, would

00:48:55.180 people have said

00:48:56.200 the same?

00:48:56.640 Hey, everything's

00:48:57.380 going to be

00:48:57.620 different in a

00:48:58.260 hundred years.

00:48:59.220 No.

00:49:00.160 Because things did

00:49:01.240 not change quickly,

00:49:02.680 as quickly, as

00:49:04.280 they change now.

00:49:05.040 So the rate of

00:49:06.420 change for

00:49:07.940 hundreds of

00:49:08.540 years was, you

00:49:10.040 know, there's

00:49:10.400 definitely change.

00:49:12.000 But you could

00:49:12.600 kind of, you

00:49:13.820 could a little

00:49:14.380 bit more

00:49:14.920 straight line

00:49:15.700 the change and

00:49:17.040 say, all right,

00:49:18.180 Hong Kong's still

00:49:19.060 going to look like

00:49:19.640 Hong Kong, the

00:49:20.360 buildings will be

00:49:20.960 better.

00:49:22.200 Hong Kong will

00:49:22.820 still have

00:49:23.260 streets, but

00:49:24.380 instead of

00:49:24.880 horses, maybe

00:49:25.940 there are cars.

00:49:27.180 Right?

00:49:27.560 But basically, you

00:49:28.680 could straight line

00:49:29.380 that one for a

00:49:29.960 hundred years.

00:49:31.180 There's nothing you

00:49:32.200 can straight line for

00:49:32.960 a hundred years now.

00:49:33.820 nothing.

00:49:35.540 There's nothing

00:49:36.420 that can be

00:49:36.880 straight line for

00:49:37.600 a hundred years.

00:49:38.600 So if you say,

00:49:39.800 we'll give you our

00:49:40.500 country in a hundred

00:49:41.360 years, what have

00:49:42.560 you promised?

00:49:44.420 Nothing.

00:49:46.220 The odds that

00:49:47.120 both of them will

00:49:47.740 both be countries

00:49:48.660 are actually low.

00:49:52.380 I mean, there's

00:49:52.800 something that will

00:49:53.280 happen long before

00:49:54.260 that.

00:49:55.100 Climate change,

00:49:56.400 or mass

00:49:57.240 immigration, or

00:49:58.320 somebody's going

00:49:58.980 to nuke, you

00:50:00.200 know, nuke

00:50:00.580 somebody, or

00:50:01.540 World War III,

00:50:02.480 or aliens

00:50:03.840 will invade,

00:50:05.040 or the AI

00:50:06.420 will change

00:50:07.060 everything, robots

00:50:08.540 will be running

00:50:09.160 everything, maybe

00:50:10.300 we've decoupled

00:50:11.080 from China.

00:50:12.300 There won't be

00:50:12.920 anything that's

00:50:13.740 the same.

00:50:14.620 What about

00:50:15.020 weapons?

00:50:17.140 At the moment,

00:50:18.420 Taiwan has so

00:50:19.260 many weapons, it

00:50:20.000 almost looks like

00:50:20.720 they could hold

00:50:21.880 off China.

00:50:23.500 What kind of

00:50:24.040 weapons are they

00:50:24.580 going to have in

00:50:24.940 a hundred years?

00:50:26.520 In a hundred

00:50:27.000 years, everybody

00:50:27.820 will have mutually

00:50:28.580 assured destruction.

00:50:29.480 In a hundred

00:50:30.900 years, Taiwan

00:50:31.820 will be able to

00:50:32.580 destroy all of

00:50:33.540 China as

00:50:34.840 quickly as

00:50:36.160 China can

00:50:36.760 destroy all of

00:50:38.040 Taiwan.

00:50:38.680 There won't

00:50:38.960 even be a

00:50:39.420 difference in

00:50:40.440 a hundred

00:50:40.680 years.

00:50:42.780 Right?

00:50:43.720 Now,

00:50:45.520 did I sell

00:50:48.180 anybody?

00:50:51.520 It's not bad,

00:50:52.540 is it?

00:50:56.460 It's not bad.

00:50:58.340 It's not bad.

00:50:59.480 Now, keep in

00:51:00.180 mind that nobody

00:51:00.780 else has an

00:51:01.320 idea.

00:51:02.260 Am I right?

00:51:04.120 Is it true that

00:51:05.220 literally no one

00:51:06.940 has an idea?

00:51:08.580 And if we continue

00:51:09.660 with just nobody

00:51:10.880 has an idea, my

00:51:12.700 prediction is that

00:51:13.700 China will take

00:51:14.380 over Taiwan.

00:51:15.960 Do you know

00:51:16.540 why?

00:51:18.100 Because this is

00:51:18.820 China, and this

00:51:20.300 little dingleberry

00:51:21.220 hanging off the

00:51:21.840 end is Taiwan,

00:51:22.900 and I'm sorry,

00:51:24.620 real estate is

00:51:25.680 just too

00:51:26.000 important.

00:51:27.040 There's just no

00:51:27.700 way that situation

00:51:28.680 lasts forever.

00:51:30.480 But in a hundred

00:51:32.700 years, all bets

00:51:34.780 are off.

00:51:36.060 Cuba, we've never

00:51:36.980 tried to annex

00:51:37.800 Cuba.

00:51:39.960 All right, so

00:51:40.380 that's a bad

00:51:40.800 example.

00:51:45.700 All right, well,

00:51:46.300 I was surprised.

00:51:47.960 Did I sell that

00:51:49.040 better than I

00:51:49.600 thought I would?

00:51:50.660 Because I'm

00:51:51.320 looking for some

00:51:51.940 pushback here.

00:51:52.660 I'm not really

00:51:53.040 getting it.

00:51:53.480 And maybe it

00:51:54.860 just has to do

00:51:55.420 with the fact

00:51:55.780 that literally

00:51:56.440 there's no

00:51:56.920 other idea.

00:51:58.560 Now, I told

00:51:59.360 you my idea

00:51:59.980 of attacking

00:52:02.580 Mexico and

00:52:03.900 occupying it and

00:52:05.420 using a base

00:52:06.880 there to destroy

00:52:07.820 the cartels for

00:52:10.260 as long as it

00:52:10.780 takes.

00:52:12.100 Permanent,

00:52:12.620 doesn't matter.

00:52:14.560 Right?

00:52:14.700 Now, do you

00:52:17.000 remember how

00:52:17.440 radical that

00:52:18.120 sounded the

00:52:18.640 first time you

00:52:19.100 heard it?

00:52:22.000 And do you

00:52:22.860 notice how it

00:52:23.380 doesn't sound as

00:52:24.300 radical anymore?

00:52:25.040 I'm doing that.

00:52:28.740 I'm doing that to

00:52:29.660 you.

00:52:30.360 I'm making you

00:52:31.020 get used to it.

00:52:32.560 And the

00:52:33.880 persuasion

00:52:34.520 principle is that

00:52:35.200 you can get used

00:52:35.820 to anything.

00:52:36.680 So no matter how

00:52:37.380 radical something

00:52:38.280 sounds the first

00:52:39.300 time you hear it,

00:52:39.880 if you just keep

00:52:40.460 hearing it, it

00:52:41.780 becomes less

00:52:42.300 radical.

00:52:43.460 So I'm just

00:52:44.160 going to make

00:52:44.460 sure that people

00:52:44.980 keep hearing it.

00:52:46.200 And it will

00:52:46.800 become less

00:52:47.300 radical.

00:52:48.200 I'll even go

00:52:49.000 further.

00:52:50.840 A military

00:52:51.600 attack by the

00:52:52.620 United States

00:52:53.340 on Mexico

00:52:54.200 is not

00:52:55.360 optional.

00:52:57.280 Only the

00:52:57.960 timing is.

00:52:59.820 The only thing

00:53:00.780 that's optional

00:53:01.300 is the timing.

00:53:02.480 We're definitely

00:53:03.100 going to invade

00:53:03.660 Mexico.

00:53:05.220 There's no way

00:53:06.000 around it.

00:53:06.620 Just because the

00:53:07.620 danger coming

00:53:08.380 through is just

00:53:08.920 too great.

00:53:09.920 There's no way

00:53:10.660 we don't do it

00:53:11.300 sometime in the

00:53:12.340 next 20 years,

00:53:13.860 for sure.

00:53:15.720 So I might as

00:53:16.480 well get it over

00:53:16.960 with.

00:53:17.340 Do it while

00:53:17.680 it's easy.

00:53:21.800 Let's see.

00:53:22.460 What else is

00:53:22.860 going on?

00:53:24.200 Glenn Greenwald

00:53:25.460 had a tweet

00:53:26.440 today, as

00:53:27.280 often he

00:53:28.200 does, that

00:53:29.140 just sort of

00:53:29.660 captures everything.

00:53:31.180 He says,

00:53:31.580 I can't stress

00:53:32.180 this enough.

00:53:33.180 At its core,

00:53:34.780 democratic politics

00:53:35.780 is about

00:53:36.380 criminalizing

00:53:37.320 opposition to

00:53:38.260 their party

00:53:38.740 and ideology.

00:53:40.920 Dissenting ideas

00:53:41.780 are disinformation

00:53:42.680 and must be

00:53:43.380 censored by

00:53:43.960 big tech.

00:53:45.740 And that

00:53:46.320 Trump voters

00:53:47.740 are inherently

00:53:48.500 criminal

00:53:49.060 insurrectionists

00:53:50.900 and should be

00:53:51.360 imprisoned.

00:53:51.720 I think this

00:53:53.660 is exactly

00:53:54.220 right.

00:53:55.660 You know,

00:53:55.860 I never jump

00:53:57.880 on the

00:53:58.460 globalist

00:53:59.980 conspiracy

00:54:01.540 theories and

00:54:02.300 stuff like that.

00:54:02.780 I'm not into

00:54:03.600 the conspiracy

00:54:04.180 theory too

00:54:05.300 much.

00:54:08.240 I just have

00:54:09.380 to...

00:54:10.060 There was a

00:54:10.820 comedian I was

00:54:11.440 just watching on a

00:54:12.100 reel, and I

00:54:13.120 wish I remembered

00:54:13.760 his name.

00:54:14.420 Maybe somebody

00:54:14.980 knows him.

00:54:15.520 not one of

00:54:16.960 the well-known

00:54:18.240 comedians, but

00:54:19.220 he was a

00:54:20.300 black man

00:54:21.420 comedian,

00:54:22.780 if anybody

00:54:23.360 recognized him.

00:54:24.260 And here was

00:54:24.780 his joke.

00:54:25.460 I'll paraphrase

00:54:26.160 it.

00:54:27.520 And he goes,

00:54:28.480 oh, I wish I

00:54:30.020 could do a

00:54:30.360 better job.

00:54:31.680 His is better.

00:54:32.640 He goes,

00:54:33.560 you know, a lot

00:54:34.180 of you believe

00:54:35.020 in conspiracy

00:54:36.440 theories, and

00:54:37.260 some of you

00:54:38.300 think that all

00:54:40.020 the conspiracy

00:54:40.700 theories are

00:54:41.620 false.

00:54:42.520 And he

00:54:43.880 says, really?

00:54:46.120 The government?

00:54:47.960 You think the

00:54:48.440 government has

00:54:49.080 a thousand

00:54:50.400 percent, is

00:54:51.700 batting a

00:54:52.200 thousand in

00:54:52.860 conspiracy

00:54:53.300 theories?

00:54:54.520 None of

00:54:55.140 them are

00:54:55.360 true.

00:54:56.500 And when he

00:54:57.240 says it that

00:54:58.260 way, really?

00:54:59.840 Your government

00:55:00.460 is batting a

00:55:02.120 thousand?

00:55:03.320 Every single

00:55:04.280 conspiracy theory,

00:55:05.540 not true.

00:55:06.980 And it's just

00:55:07.700 when he says it

00:55:08.280 like that, I

00:55:08.640 just laugh for

00:55:09.260 like ten

00:55:09.680 minutes.

00:55:10.380 I go, okay,

00:55:11.260 when you put

00:55:11.720 it that way.

00:55:12.520 Yeah, there

00:55:14.840 must be some

00:55:15.420 of them that

00:55:15.840 are true.

00:55:17.220 But this

00:55:19.100 isn't a

00:55:19.600 conspiracy

00:55:20.040 theory.

00:55:20.600 This is more

00:55:21.120 about describing

00:55:22.180 the frame that

00:55:24.220 they see

00:55:24.580 things.

00:55:25.440 And I've

00:55:26.060 described it as

00:55:27.440 shooting the

00:55:27.980 messenger.

00:55:30.060 You know,

00:55:30.580 the Republicans

00:55:31.760 think Democrats

00:55:32.720 have bad

00:55:33.600 plans, and

00:55:35.880 Democrats think

00:55:36.820 Republicans are

00:55:37.740 bad people.

00:55:39.620 And I think

00:55:40.280 Glenn Greenwald

00:55:41.080 captured this

00:55:41.720 perfectly.

00:55:42.520 that they're

00:55:43.260 trying to

00:55:43.720 criminalize the

00:55:44.820 other side.

00:55:46.340 And it's

00:55:46.740 everywhere.

00:55:47.860 So if it

00:55:48.440 were one

00:55:48.900 thing, you

00:55:49.380 say, well,

00:55:49.800 that's just

00:55:50.260 that one

00:55:50.700 thing.

00:55:51.280 But they

00:55:51.720 do seem to

00:55:52.300 be criminalizing

00:55:53.380 and censoring

00:55:54.940 in every way

00:55:55.500 they can the

00:55:56.020 other side.

00:55:57.060 So I think

00:55:57.580 politics now is

00:55:58.700 about shutting

00:56:00.320 up the other

00:56:00.920 side, more than

00:56:02.900 voting and

00:56:03.400 whatnot.

00:56:03.600 now.

00:56:08.300 How many of

00:56:09.060 you think

00:56:09.360 there's going

00:56:09.700 to be a

00:56:10.000 civil war in

00:56:10.740 the United

00:56:11.060 States?

00:56:14.120 Spoiler,

00:56:14.780 there's not

00:56:15.280 going to be.

00:56:16.640 There won't

00:56:17.120 be.

00:56:20.020 And there's

00:56:21.000 an obvious

00:56:21.480 reason for it.

00:56:22.220 Somebody said

00:56:22.760 it on Twitter,

00:56:24.240 and I guess I

00:56:25.540 realized it,

00:56:26.300 but until I

00:56:26.760 heard somebody

00:56:27.360 say it

00:56:27.720 directly,

00:56:28.180 we're too

00:56:30.220 mixed.

00:56:32.200 We're too

00:56:32.600 mixed.

00:56:33.780 Households have

00:56:35.140 Democrats and

00:56:35.900 Republicans in

00:56:36.700 them.

00:56:37.540 Households.

00:56:38.940 There's no way

00:56:40.320 you can...

00:56:41.980 It just

00:56:42.480 wouldn't work.

00:56:43.940 Yeah, there's

00:56:44.720 no way.

00:56:45.960 And here's the

00:56:46.600 other thing.

00:56:47.540 All of this

00:56:48.100 political bickering

00:56:49.400 is largely

00:56:51.600 theater.

00:56:54.720 It's 90%

00:56:58.460 theater.

00:57:00.320 So when

00:57:00.760 people,

00:57:01.300 especially

00:57:01.680 Republicans,

00:57:02.860 when they

00:57:03.120 talk about

00:57:03.500 getting their

00:57:04.000 guns and

00:57:05.140 overthrowing

00:57:06.120 the government

00:57:06.580 if the

00:57:07.100 government raises

00:57:07.740 their taxes or

00:57:08.600 whatever they're

00:57:09.060 talking about,

00:57:10.000 it's just stuff

00:57:10.600 you talk about

00:57:11.260 because it's

00:57:11.660 fun to talk

00:57:12.240 about and act

00:57:12.740 tough.

00:57:13.680 But it's not

00:57:14.060 real.

00:57:15.000 If you think

00:57:15.400 it's real,

00:57:16.020 you're on a

00:57:16.880 whole different

00:57:17.540 planet than I

00:57:18.280 am.

00:57:19.200 Yeah, it's a

00:57:19.640 show.

00:57:20.240 It's just part

00:57:20.840 of the show.

00:57:21.820 And part of

00:57:22.540 talking about

00:57:23.260 politics,

00:57:23.900 very connected

00:57:25.340 with talking

00:57:26.120 about it,

00:57:26.980 is a lot of

00:57:27.560 people like

00:57:28.000 to essentially

00:57:29.440 inhabit a

00:57:30.040 character and

00:57:31.480 say, I'm

00:57:31.940 talking about

00:57:32.540 it and I'm

00:57:32.920 living in it,

00:57:33.860 but I'll play

00:57:34.320 this character

00:57:34.980 who's really

00:57:35.800 tough and

00:57:36.460 is going to

00:57:37.440 shoot anybody

00:57:38.000 who gets in

00:57:38.480 the way and

00:57:39.040 stuff like

00:57:39.420 that.

00:57:41.020 So, no,

00:57:42.380 we're not

00:57:42.600 going to have

00:57:42.860 a civil war.

00:57:43.520 We're nowhere

00:57:44.240 close.

00:57:45.160 We're not

00:57:45.600 going to divide

00:57:46.180 up our

00:57:46.560 states.

00:57:47.780 You know

00:57:48.140 why we won't

00:57:48.700 divide up the

00:57:49.380 states?

00:57:50.920 Because it

00:57:51.440 would make us

00:57:51.900 all weaker.

00:57:53.900 And no

00:57:54.760 American is

00:57:55.460 going to

00:57:55.680 say, oh,

00:57:56.220 let's take

00:57:56.680 our national

00:57:57.320 strength and

00:57:57.940 divide it in

00:57:58.560 half.

00:58:00.200 If you divide

00:58:01.100 our strength

00:58:01.700 in half,

00:58:02.100 then China

00:58:02.480 wins.

00:58:03.820 There's no

00:58:04.280 way.

00:58:05.000 It's more

00:58:05.460 likely that we

00:58:06.240 would annex

00:58:07.360 another country

00:58:08.240 than divide.

00:58:10.260 Let me put it

00:58:10.760 this way.

00:58:11.280 There's a

00:58:11.660 greater chance

00:58:12.220 we'll annex

00:58:12.840 Mexico than

00:58:14.180 have a civil

00:58:14.660 war.

00:58:15.300 And I don't

00:58:15.680 think either

00:58:16.060 one's going

00:58:16.440 to happen.

00:58:17.420 But there's a

00:58:17.920 greater chance

00:58:18.580 we would annex

00:58:19.540 Mexico.

00:58:19.980 somebody on

00:58:23.740 Twitter actually

00:58:24.540 said this to

00:58:25.340 me, that

00:58:26.980 belief in a

00:58:28.020 merit-based

00:58:28.600 system is

00:58:29.220 basically you're

00:58:30.300 a piece of

00:58:30.740 shit.

00:58:31.840 If you

00:58:32.480 believe that

00:58:33.120 we should

00:58:34.080 have a

00:58:34.460 merit-based

00:58:35.260 system,

00:58:37.040 basically that's

00:58:38.020 just cruel and

00:58:38.900 awful and

00:58:39.540 fascist.

00:58:41.780 Merit-based

00:58:42.540 system.

00:58:43.640 And I

00:58:44.200 thought to

00:58:44.480 myself,

00:58:45.400 well, you

00:58:45.740 know, it

00:58:47.400 is a cruel

00:58:47.980 system.

00:58:48.440 And it

00:58:50.740 is unfair.

00:58:52.120 A merit-based

00:58:52.620 system is

00:58:53.100 really unfair.

00:58:54.700 You get

00:58:55.080 that, right?

00:58:56.400 A merit-based

00:58:57.100 system is

00:58:58.060 super unfair.

00:58:59.700 Why?

00:59:01.300 Well, apparently

00:59:02.380 some people are

00:59:03.160 born with

00:59:03.820 whatever capability

00:59:04.780 they need to

00:59:05.680 succeed, whatever

00:59:06.520 drive they need,

00:59:07.720 and others are

00:59:08.480 not.

00:59:10.120 I mean, most

00:59:10.740 of your

00:59:11.080 performances, you

00:59:12.480 were born with

00:59:13.160 whatever capability,

00:59:14.400 probably at least

00:59:15.160 60% of it,

00:59:16.480 maybe more,

00:59:17.200 80%.

00:59:18.020 And so a

00:59:20.500 merit-based

00:59:20.920 system is

00:59:21.540 always going

00:59:22.240 to be unfair.

00:59:23.540 It is,

00:59:24.360 however, the

00:59:24.840 only one that

00:59:25.340 works.

00:59:27.660 So what

00:59:29.760 option do you

00:59:30.300 have?

00:59:31.340 Oh, let's

00:59:31.780 use the one

00:59:32.260 that's fair.

00:59:33.180 Well, that

00:59:34.080 one doesn't

00:59:34.560 work.

00:59:36.260 Like,

00:59:36.620 everything will

00:59:38.120 fall apart.

00:59:38.880 We'll all die.

00:59:40.500 Yeah, but it's

00:59:40.880 fair.

00:59:42.980 Yeah.

00:59:44.180 Fair is good.

00:59:45.120 If we could

00:59:46.120 get fair for

00:59:46.860 free, I'd

00:59:48.040 want some.

00:59:49.480 But, no.

00:59:52.820 I'd rather

00:59:53.480 have a system

00:59:54.040 that works

00:59:54.760 that's unfair

00:59:56.280 to somebody

00:59:57.920 sometimes.

00:59:59.000 That's the

00:59:59.300 best you can

00:59:59.760 do.

01:00:00.520 The best you

01:00:01.180 can do is

01:00:01.640 an unfair

01:00:02.200 system that

01:00:03.000 works most

01:00:03.800 of the time.

01:00:04.540 That's it.

01:00:05.440 That's all

01:00:05.800 you got.

01:00:08.060 All right,

01:00:08.680 let me tell

01:00:09.040 you, oh,

01:00:10.800 let's talk

01:00:11.120 about Russia.

01:00:12.520 So I'm

01:00:14.560 getting mixed

01:00:15.120 reports about

01:00:16.080 what the mood

01:00:16.960 is in Russia,

01:00:18.240 the actual

01:00:18.640 Russian people.

01:00:19.960 Some are

01:00:20.520 suggesting that

01:00:21.340 this new

01:00:21.740 mobilization

01:00:22.500 and movement

01:00:24.140 of troops

01:00:24.700 is touching

01:00:26.120 enough families

01:00:26.900 that there's

01:00:27.800 going to be

01:00:28.080 some internal

01:00:28.880 dissent.

01:00:30.300 And you see

01:00:30.680 some people

01:00:31.100 seem they're

01:00:32.000 leaving the

01:00:32.480 country.

01:00:33.260 I don't think

01:00:34.120 in big numbers

01:00:34.760 yet, but some

01:00:35.920 people are

01:00:36.260 leaving the

01:00:36.640 country.

01:00:36.900 And so

01:00:40.380 some speculate

01:00:41.240 that Putin's

01:00:42.320 in trouble

01:00:42.680 because his

01:00:43.900 population will

01:00:44.720 see all these

01:00:45.200 people being

01:00:45.720 mobilized.

01:00:46.360 You can't

01:00:46.680 miss them.

01:00:47.020 There's so

01:00:47.280 many of

01:00:47.580 them.

01:00:48.240 And then it

01:00:48.740 will get the

01:00:49.220 public involved

01:00:49.920 in a bad

01:00:50.340 way.

01:00:54.080 But I've

01:00:55.580 talked to

01:00:56.100 some folks,

01:00:58.740 and one was

01:00:59.880 a Russian

01:01:00.720 citizen with

01:01:01.560 parents in

01:01:02.180 Russia.

01:01:02.720 And I told

01:01:03.480 you I got

01:01:03.900 the one

01:01:05.640 person's

01:01:06.080 opinion.

01:01:06.900 that the

01:01:07.560 older generation

01:01:08.560 is pro-Putin

01:01:09.440 because he's

01:01:10.060 been brainwashing

01:01:11.160 them for

01:01:11.500 decades.

01:01:13.260 And that the

01:01:14.080 younger generation

01:01:14.840 is a little

01:01:15.380 more open to

01:01:16.760 any kind of

01:01:17.580 change.

01:01:18.100 But they

01:01:18.400 always are.

01:01:19.380 So I think

01:01:20.140 that's the

01:01:20.620 situation.

01:01:21.120 I think the

01:01:21.460 older people

01:01:21.920 are actually

01:01:22.320 solidly on

01:01:23.120 Putin's

01:01:23.540 side.

01:01:24.220 At the

01:01:24.860 moment, I

01:01:25.480 don't think

01:01:25.940 Russian citizens

01:01:29.720 look like

01:01:30.920 they're ready

01:01:31.300 to revolt.

01:01:33.980 Now let's

01:01:34.660 talk about

01:01:35.000 Iran.

01:01:35.860 So Iran's

01:01:36.420 having these

01:01:36.840 big protests.

01:01:37.680 I don't

01:01:38.000 think they're

01:01:38.340 going to

01:01:38.500 go anywhere.

01:01:40.320 Could be

01:01:40.680 surprised.

01:01:41.760 But it

01:01:42.040 doesn't look

01:01:42.540 like it's

01:01:42.960 going to

01:01:43.180 grow outside

01:01:43.840 of its

01:01:44.260 cultural part

01:01:46.420 of the

01:01:46.620 revolution.

01:01:48.420 And so I

01:01:49.220 don't think

01:01:49.500 China's going

01:01:50.020 to have a

01:01:50.260 revolution,

01:01:50.980 Iran's going

01:01:51.420 to have a

01:01:51.660 revolution,

01:01:52.220 or Russia.

01:01:53.180 But we

01:01:53.400 like talking

01:01:53.860 about it.

01:01:55.920 All right.

01:01:56.560 I figured

01:01:57.000 out why we

01:01:58.340 can't do

01:01:58.720 anything about

01:01:59.240 fentanyl.

01:02:00.920 And we're

01:02:01.520 going to go

01:02:01.800 to the

01:02:02.020 whiteboard.

01:02:02.480 forward.

01:02:03.740 And I

01:02:04.380 don't know

01:02:04.740 if this

01:02:05.060 is fixable.

01:02:06.660 I thought

01:02:07.340 that if

01:02:07.980 everybody got

01:02:08.620 informed,

01:02:09.820 we could

01:02:11.660 find some

01:02:12.260 way to

01:02:12.500 move forward.

01:02:13.660 But there

01:02:14.120 is a real

01:02:15.780 roadblock here

01:02:16.740 that I did

01:02:17.320 not anticipate.

01:02:19.740 And I'll

01:02:20.120 show you.

01:02:20.860 And it's

01:02:21.240 psychological.

01:02:22.560 But I don't

01:02:23.160 know any way

01:02:23.620 around it.

01:02:24.040 So here

01:02:27.920 are the

01:02:28.360 fentanyl

01:02:28.920 illusions.

01:02:30.620 As long

01:02:31.100 as these

01:02:31.480 illusions

01:02:32.060 control the

01:02:34.280 public,

01:02:35.480 they can't

01:02:36.140 act.

01:02:37.800 And nothing's

01:02:39.460 going to

01:02:39.660 change that.

01:02:40.780 So right

01:02:41.160 now, people

01:02:41.800 believe that

01:02:42.320 demand can

01:02:43.120 be reduced.

01:02:44.820 That you

01:02:45.160 don't need

01:02:45.520 to have to

01:02:45.820 go after

01:02:46.140 the suppliers

01:02:46.820 of fentanyl.

01:02:48.060 Because if

01:02:48.480 you did,

01:02:49.020 the supply

01:02:49.460 would just

01:02:49.800 move somewhere

01:02:50.320 else.

01:02:51.460 Right?

01:02:51.980 If you

01:02:52.560 took out

01:02:52.980 the Chinese

01:02:54.200 suppliers,

01:02:55.400 it's already

01:02:56.080 being moved

01:02:56.500 to India.

01:02:57.600 So India

01:02:58.080 is actually

01:02:58.500 picking up

01:02:59.080 the fentanyl

01:03:00.620 precursor

01:03:01.400 business.

01:03:02.640 And if you

01:03:03.200 stopped it

01:03:03.700 in India,

01:03:04.900 well, it

01:03:05.260 goes somewhere

01:03:05.660 else.

01:03:06.820 So there

01:03:07.960 is that

01:03:08.280 argument.

01:03:09.240 Now, so

01:03:10.480 people say,

01:03:11.220 well, if you

01:03:11.560 can't stop it

01:03:12.180 at the supply

01:03:12.820 side, it's

01:03:13.440 really impossible,

01:03:14.620 at least you

01:03:15.240 can get people

01:03:16.020 to do less

01:03:16.720 of it and

01:03:17.900 create the

01:03:18.320 demand.

01:03:18.760 How many

01:03:19.200 of you agree

01:03:20.000 with the

01:03:20.420 statement that

01:03:21.940 demand for

01:03:22.800 fentanyl

01:03:23.320 could be

01:03:23.920 reduced if

01:03:24.660 we did

01:03:25.040 the right

01:03:26.020 thing?

01:03:27.360 How many

01:03:27.980 think that?

01:03:32.440 It's an

01:03:33.040 illusion.

01:03:34.680 Everybody

01:03:35.160 who's had

01:03:35.940 an addict

01:03:36.460 in their

01:03:36.780 family knows

01:03:37.420 there is

01:03:37.940 nothing you

01:03:38.380 can do.

01:03:39.800 People

01:03:40.280 believe there's

01:03:40.880 a program.

01:03:42.240 Like there's

01:03:42.680 a program

01:03:43.240 where they'll

01:03:43.720 take you out

01:03:44.260 of your,

01:03:44.840 you know,

01:03:45.060 you could have

01:03:45.380 your teen

01:03:45.840 removed from

01:03:46.460 your house

01:03:46.880 like forcibly

01:03:47.620 and then they

01:03:49.080 work hard on

01:03:49.960 some dude

01:03:50.500 ranch until

01:03:51.160 they're good

01:03:51.520 people.

01:03:52.540 No, that

01:03:53.320 doesn't exist.

01:03:54.560 That literally

01:03:55.260 doesn't exist.

01:03:56.440 But everybody

01:03:57.280 I talk to has

01:03:58.260 heard of somebody

01:03:58.860 who's been in

01:03:59.380 that program.

01:04:00.740 That doesn't

01:04:01.820 exist.

01:04:04.340 There are even

01:04:04.940 people who are

01:04:05.440 naming the

01:04:05.900 program.

01:04:06.840 The program

01:04:07.420 you're naming

01:04:07.940 is not

01:04:08.480 available.

01:04:10.260 It's not.

01:04:11.300 Not in

01:04:11.900 California,

01:04:12.480 anyway.

01:04:12.880 You can't

01:04:14.440 kidnap somebody

01:04:15.260 out of their

01:04:15.560 bed in

01:04:15.880 California.

01:04:16.340 I don't

01:04:17.340 know about

01:04:17.640 your state,

01:04:18.960 but most,

01:04:19.900 not most,

01:04:20.820 100% of the

01:04:21.860 things you

01:04:22.280 think work

01:04:23.020 don't work.

01:04:25.360 And it's

01:04:25.760 known not to

01:04:26.400 work.

01:04:27.180 All right.

01:04:27.700 So do you

01:04:28.500 think that you

01:04:28.940 can put somebody

01:04:29.640 in rehab

01:04:30.100 and cure their

01:04:32.360 addiction?

01:04:32.880 How many

01:04:33.200 people think

01:04:33.700 rehab will

01:04:34.340 cure people's

01:04:35.360 addiction?

01:04:40.220 I don't

01:04:40.860 think any

01:04:41.240 experts think

01:04:41.960 it.

01:04:42.920 They think

01:04:43.660 that people

01:04:44.360 who have

01:04:44.740 decided to

01:04:45.440 quit can

01:04:45.920 quit.

01:04:47.660 That's it.

01:04:49.200 So you

01:04:49.680 take somebody

01:04:50.240 who has

01:04:50.620 decided to

01:04:51.380 quit and

01:04:51.940 you put them

01:04:52.360 in any

01:04:52.860 kind of

01:04:53.220 program and

01:04:53.820 they'll

01:04:53.960 probably do

01:04:54.380 okay.

01:04:55.620 Because they've

01:04:56.280 decided to

01:04:56.760 quit.

01:04:57.380 You take

01:04:58.040 somebody who

01:04:58.540 has not

01:04:58.940 decided to

01:04:59.580 quit and

01:04:59.920 there's

01:05:00.080 nothing you

01:05:00.480 can do.

01:05:01.620 There's

01:05:02.060 nothing you

01:05:02.540 can do.

01:05:03.000 You can't

01:05:03.540 force them and

01:05:05.020 you can't

01:05:05.600 persuade them.

01:05:06.780 There's

01:05:07.000 nothing.

01:05:08.040 Absolutely

01:05:08.520 nothing.

01:05:09.420 And nobody

01:05:09.940 even has a

01:05:10.900 suggestion,

01:05:12.040 by the way.

01:05:13.440 Now some

01:05:13.900 of you can

01:05:14.280 say, but,

01:05:15.080 but,

01:05:15.460 but,

01:05:15.820 you know,

01:05:16.900 I heard

01:05:17.220 about ketamine.

01:05:18.920 Great.

01:05:19.880 If you're

01:05:20.240 a parent,

01:05:21.240 good luck

01:05:21.800 putting your

01:05:22.660 kid on a

01:05:23.480 ketamine

01:05:23.880 treatment.

01:05:25.240 That's not

01:05:25.700 going to

01:05:25.900 happen.

01:05:27.500 That's not

01:05:28.220 going to

01:05:28.360 happen anywhere.

01:05:29.440 Like you

01:05:29.940 could do

01:05:30.220 something

01:05:30.500 illegal,

01:05:31.100 sure,

01:05:31.560 but not

01:05:32.140 really.

01:05:33.280 There's just

01:05:33.820 nothing you

01:05:34.280 can do.

01:05:35.100 All right.

01:05:35.420 So you

01:05:35.960 have to

01:05:36.300 lose the

01:05:36.840 illusion that

01:05:37.720 you can

01:05:38.020 work on

01:05:38.480 the demand

01:05:38.960 side.

01:05:40.220 Now you

01:05:40.760 might say

01:05:41.160 to me,

01:05:41.520 Scott,

01:05:42.020 you need

01:05:42.440 to lose

01:05:43.060 the

01:05:43.220 illusion.

01:05:45.060 And let

01:05:45.840 me explain

01:05:46.420 this in a

01:05:47.160 more direct

01:05:47.780 way.

01:05:49.500 If I

01:05:50.080 were trying

01:05:50.380 to convince

01:05:50.980 you of

01:05:51.480 something,

01:05:52.480 I would

01:05:53.580 talk to

01:05:54.060 your brain,

01:05:54.660 right?

01:05:55.420 I would

01:05:56.020 say things

01:05:56.660 that would

01:05:56.920 go into

01:05:57.220 your ears,

01:05:58.260 that would

01:05:58.540 become part

01:05:59.400 of your

01:05:59.600 thinking,

01:06:00.120 and they

01:06:00.360 may or

01:06:00.660 may not

01:06:00.960 persuade

01:06:01.340 you.

01:06:01.840 That's

01:06:02.100 the normal

01:06:02.400 way you

01:06:02.720 persuade

01:06:03.060 something.

01:06:04.780 Addicts

01:06:05.280 don't have

01:06:06.160 a brain.

01:06:08.100 Addicts

01:06:08.460 have

01:06:08.640 addiction.

01:06:09.980 Addiction

01:06:10.520 becomes

01:06:11.000 the

01:06:11.180 brain.

01:06:12.520 And so

01:06:12.820 the illusion

01:06:13.320 is that

01:06:13.900 the addict

01:06:14.440 is somebody

01:06:14.980 who has

01:06:15.300 a brain

01:06:16.000 plus an

01:06:17.440 addiction

01:06:17.800 on top.

01:06:20.840 Conceptually,

01:06:21.720 yes,

01:06:22.580 but in a

01:06:23.420 practical sense,

01:06:24.840 no.

01:06:26.020 There's no

01:06:26.820 brain there.

01:06:28.340 Here's me

01:06:29.200 negotiating

01:06:30.160 with an

01:06:31.520 addict.

01:06:32.820 You should

01:06:33.600 get some

01:06:33.960 treatment.

01:06:37.580 What?

01:06:38.180 No

01:06:38.360 response.

01:06:40.680 Fentanyl

01:06:41.120 will kill

01:06:41.460 you.

01:06:43.820 I don't

01:06:44.380 know why

01:06:44.600 this isn't

01:06:45.000 working.

01:06:46.600 This thing

01:06:47.520 is not

01:06:47.840 going into

01:06:48.220 rehab.

01:06:49.540 I don't

01:06:49.960 know why

01:06:50.260 not.

01:06:51.480 Is it

01:06:52.060 not using

01:06:52.500 its free

01:06:52.900 will?

01:06:54.820 There's

01:06:55.300 fentanyl

01:06:55.860 in the

01:06:56.200 products

01:06:56.580 you're

01:06:56.860 using

01:06:57.180 that you

01:06:57.460 don't

01:06:57.680 know,

01:06:58.060 so you

01:06:58.280 could be

01:06:58.540 killed.

01:07:00.000 What is

01:07:00.580 wrong?

01:07:01.660 Why is

01:07:03.380 it not

01:07:03.640 getting in

01:07:04.040 rehab?

01:07:05.140 Why is

01:07:05.500 it still

01:07:05.840 buying

01:07:06.280 fentanyl?

01:07:08.180 Because it

01:07:09.180 doesn't

01:07:09.380 have a

01:07:09.620 brain.

01:07:11.160 You can't

01:07:11.840 talk to

01:07:12.260 this.

01:07:13.000 I can't

01:07:13.460 convince

01:07:13.820 this to

01:07:14.200 do

01:07:14.320 anything.

01:07:15.040 If you

01:07:15.680 believe you

01:07:16.200 can talk

01:07:16.620 to an

01:07:16.980 addict and

01:07:18.800 reason with

01:07:19.360 them, I'm

01:07:21.140 sorry.

01:07:22.560 No, you've

01:07:23.260 never met

01:07:23.660 an addict if

01:07:24.200 you think

01:07:24.460 that.

01:07:25.600 So, no,

01:07:26.940 you can't do

01:07:27.340 anything to

01:07:27.840 reduce demand.

01:07:28.900 You can't

01:07:29.200 reason with

01:07:29.700 them.

01:07:30.120 You can't

01:07:30.420 do anything.

01:07:30.740 What about

01:07:32.840 that Portugal

01:07:33.560 experiment where

01:07:34.960 they legalized

01:07:36.200 drugs and

01:07:36.860 they tried to

01:07:37.360 help them with

01:07:37.820 treatment and

01:07:38.280 stuff like

01:07:38.620 that?

01:07:39.660 That didn't

01:07:40.340 work.

01:07:42.220 It didn't

01:07:42.860 work.

01:07:45.480 Sorry,

01:07:46.300 it didn't

01:07:46.620 work.

01:07:47.600 If you

01:07:48.020 want to

01:07:48.280 know, just

01:07:48.940 Google

01:07:50.820 Portugal

01:07:52.140 drug

01:07:52.660 experience.

01:07:54.280 Just look

01:07:54.720 for yourself.

01:07:56.080 It had,

01:07:56.820 quote, mixed

01:07:57.480 experience.

01:07:58.260 Do you

01:07:59.160 know why

01:07:59.400 that Portugal

01:08:00.060 experience hasn't

01:08:01.020 been spread to

01:08:01.800 everywhere?

01:08:02.920 Because it

01:08:03.500 didn't work.

01:08:05.700 It had mixed

01:08:06.420 results.

01:08:07.300 Now, the mixed

01:08:07.800 results, they

01:08:08.380 say they got

01:08:08.980 more people into

01:08:09.940 rehab.

01:08:11.520 Is that good?

01:08:13.280 If you got

01:08:13.980 more people into

01:08:14.720 rehab, are you

01:08:16.260 ahead?

01:08:19.840 No.

01:08:20.940 Do you know

01:08:21.320 why?

01:08:22.560 Because the only

01:08:23.360 people in rehab

01:08:24.100 that are going to

01:08:24.620 get better are the

01:08:25.180 ones that decided

01:08:25.940 to.

01:08:26.220 If you double

01:08:28.180 the number of

01:08:28.800 people in

01:08:29.240 there, but the

01:08:30.300 number who have

01:08:30.840 decided to get

01:08:31.660 better is exactly

01:08:32.480 the same, because

01:08:33.620 they're the ones

01:08:34.060 who went

01:08:34.320 themselves, you

01:08:35.640 get the same

01:08:36.080 result.

01:08:37.360 You triple it,

01:08:38.620 same result.

01:08:40.260 They're only

01:08:40.540 getting three

01:08:40.960 people, three

01:08:41.780 people get

01:08:42.260 better.

01:08:43.400 Now, let's do

01:08:44.060 it times a

01:08:44.560 hundred, a

01:08:45.720 hundred times

01:08:46.340 more into

01:08:46.920 rehab.

01:08:47.580 Still just

01:08:48.120 three get

01:08:48.500 better, because

01:08:49.560 they were the

01:08:49.940 three who had

01:08:50.440 decided.

01:08:52.060 Right?

01:08:52.400 So a lot of

01:08:53.060 this stuff that

01:08:53.640 looks like just

01:08:54.480 common sense,

01:08:55.440 you'd say,

01:08:56.820 obviously that

01:08:57.580 works, obviously

01:08:59.040 rehab works.

01:09:00.240 Nope.

01:09:01.320 Nope.

01:09:02.360 No.

01:09:02.700 Only for the

01:09:03.220 people who have

01:09:03.580 decided.

01:09:04.760 And you can't

01:09:05.460 make somebody

01:09:06.000 decide.

01:09:07.140 You have no

01:09:07.860 control.

01:09:08.360 There's no

01:09:08.660 free will.

01:09:10.020 None of that is

01:09:10.900 involved with an

01:09:11.960 addict.

01:09:12.300 It's like, you

01:09:13.040 know, you're

01:09:13.340 talking to a

01:09:14.120 pencil.

01:09:16.440 So addicts

01:09:17.340 don't have free

01:09:17.880 will.

01:09:18.220 They don't have

01:09:18.640 the whole take

01:09:20.240 personal responsibility.

01:09:21.700 It doesn't mean

01:09:22.220 anything.

01:09:23.640 Those words don't

01:09:24.700 even mean

01:09:25.080 anything.

01:09:25.440 To an

01:09:25.740 addict.

01:09:26.640 Addict is just

01:09:27.920 an addict.

01:09:28.640 They just need

01:09:29.120 a fix.

01:09:29.520 That's all.

01:09:31.320 And people

01:09:33.260 think that

01:09:34.040 addicts could

01:09:36.520 just learn to

01:09:37.340 do something

01:09:38.020 instead of

01:09:38.920 fentanyl.

01:09:39.960 You know,

01:09:40.120 still get high,

01:09:41.860 but use heroin

01:09:42.920 or something that's

01:09:43.680 not going to

01:09:44.040 kill you as

01:09:44.960 often.

01:09:46.100 And the answer

01:09:46.780 is, no, that

01:09:47.280 can't be done.

01:09:48.540 Can't do that

01:09:49.100 either.

01:09:49.900 Because they

01:09:50.320 don't know they're

01:09:50.900 getting fentanyl.

01:09:51.600 That's the whole

01:09:52.020 problem.

01:09:52.760 The ones who

01:09:53.220 are buying

01:09:53.660 fentanyl directly,

01:09:54.620 which does

01:09:55.180 happen,

01:09:56.500 they don't

01:09:57.340 die as

01:09:59.180 often.

01:10:00.020 Because they

01:10:00.660 know what

01:10:00.940 they're getting.

01:10:01.660 So they

01:10:01.980 make sure that

01:10:02.700 they're monitoring

01:10:04.340 it and doing

01:10:05.260 all the right

01:10:05.660 stuff.

01:10:06.240 The people who

01:10:06.840 are dying are

01:10:07.460 the ones who

01:10:07.860 thought they

01:10:08.340 bought Pez

01:10:09.100 and they got

01:10:09.640 fentanyl.

01:10:10.820 Right?

01:10:11.280 the kids.

01:10:13.020 So the reason

01:10:14.540 that fentanyl

01:10:15.240 can't be

01:10:15.900 solved is

01:10:17.000 that I

01:10:17.360 can't even

01:10:17.820 talk the

01:10:18.640 people that

01:10:19.400 follow me

01:10:20.340 into dropping

01:10:21.440 these illusions.

01:10:23.600 Right?

01:10:24.520 And let me

01:10:25.360 test it.

01:10:26.320 How many of

01:10:26.840 you believe

01:10:27.320 that you

01:10:27.840 could work

01:10:28.520 on demand?

01:10:29.820 Watch this.

01:10:31.320 How many

01:10:31.680 people still

01:10:32.240 think that

01:10:32.780 demand is

01:10:33.820 something you

01:10:34.300 could reduce?

01:10:37.720 So you're

01:10:38.280 just being shy.

01:10:38.980 I know you

01:10:40.120 think that it

01:10:40.600 works.

01:10:42.460 I know some

01:10:43.560 of you think

01:10:44.060 it works.

01:10:46.140 But would

01:10:47.320 you agree

01:10:47.820 that this is

01:10:48.400 our problem?

01:10:50.700 Who's going

01:10:51.460 to approve

01:10:53.220 of attacking

01:10:54.980 the cartels

01:10:55.960 if they think

01:10:57.340 that the real

01:10:57.960 answer is

01:10:59.260 personal

01:10:59.660 responsibility?

01:11:00.780 I wouldn't.

01:11:01.940 If I believe

01:11:02.840 that personal

01:11:03.440 responsibility

01:11:04.120 would work

01:11:05.220 or that

01:11:06.540 rehab would

01:11:07.360 work,

01:11:08.420 I would not

01:11:08.960 be in favor

01:11:09.600 of attacking

01:11:10.220 another country.

01:11:11.420 That'd be

01:11:11.740 crazy.

01:11:12.640 It's the

01:11:12.900 last thing

01:11:13.300 I'd want

01:11:13.580 to do.

01:11:15.500 But I

01:11:16.020 do want

01:11:16.460 to do it

01:11:16.900 because it's

01:11:17.380 the last

01:11:17.720 thing I

01:11:17.980 want to do.

01:11:18.680 Now,

01:11:19.080 to the

01:11:19.380 question of

01:11:19.940 would the

01:11:22.960 fentanyl

01:11:23.580 production just

01:11:24.300 go to

01:11:24.700 another place?

01:11:27.180 Here's the

01:11:27.760 answer.

01:11:28.980 Why is it

01:11:29.620 not already

01:11:30.160 being made

01:11:30.660 in the

01:11:30.940 United States?

01:11:33.520 Because it's

01:11:34.160 hard.

01:11:35.560 The only

01:11:36.260 reason it's

01:11:36.740 not being made

01:11:37.340 in the

01:11:37.540 United States

01:11:38.180 is because

01:11:39.460 it's hard

01:11:39.840 to make

01:11:40.140 it in the

01:11:40.420 United States

01:11:40.840 for whatever

01:11:41.420 reason.

01:11:43.180 Too easy

01:11:43.860 to catch

01:11:44.500 or, I

01:11:45.620 don't know,

01:11:46.020 too hard

01:11:46.440 to get the

01:11:47.020 precursors in?

01:11:48.060 I'm not

01:11:48.340 sure.

01:11:49.500 But keep

01:11:50.700 in mind,

01:11:51.640 and here's

01:11:52.100 another advantage

01:11:52.720 of having an

01:11:53.280 economics degree.

01:11:54.820 Would everybody

01:11:55.460 who has

01:11:55.940 business and

01:11:56.620 economics degrees

01:11:57.780 who's watching

01:11:58.740 back me up

01:12:00.120 on this?

01:12:00.480 I don't

01:12:02.260 know the

01:12:02.580 economics of

01:12:03.280 fentanyl,

01:12:04.380 but given

01:12:05.140 it's wildly

01:12:06.260 profitable compared

01:12:08.020 to how much

01:12:08.500 the ingredients

01:12:09.260 cost,

01:12:10.300 everybody's on

01:12:10.960 board so

01:12:11.420 far,

01:12:11.960 it's wildly

01:12:13.040 profitable for

01:12:14.620 a very small

01:12:15.240 expense.

01:12:16.680 Suppose that

01:12:17.640 making it in

01:12:18.220 the United

01:12:18.620 States cost

01:12:20.180 20 times

01:12:21.580 more.

01:12:23.700 It would be

01:12:24.800 everywhere in

01:12:25.480 the United

01:12:25.820 States because

01:12:27.180 20 times more

01:12:28.360 expense wouldn't

01:12:29.640 even matter

01:12:30.240 because 20

01:12:31.960 times more

01:12:32.500 than that

01:12:32.860 tiny expense

01:12:33.580 is still

01:12:33.980 tiny versus

01:12:35.940 a huge

01:12:36.820 profit.

01:12:39.860 If it were

01:12:40.760 true that

01:12:41.660 cutting off

01:12:42.200 the overseas

01:12:43.160 sources of

01:12:44.800 fentanyl made

01:12:46.340 no difference

01:12:46.940 because we

01:12:47.300 would just

01:12:47.600 make it in

01:12:48.020 the United

01:12:48.280 States,

01:12:48.840 it already

01:12:49.820 would be

01:12:50.280 here.

01:12:51.300 There would

01:12:51.840 be no

01:12:52.640 Chinese

01:12:53.500 cartel

01:12:54.480 India

01:12:55.720 fentanyl

01:12:57.160 if it

01:12:59.020 were

01:12:59.220 possible

01:12:59.840 and

01:13:00.880 practical

01:13:01.340 to make

01:13:01.800 it in

01:13:02.040 the United

01:13:02.340 States.

01:13:05.740 Everybody

01:13:06.220 with a

01:13:06.680 business

01:13:06.960 degree

01:13:07.340 just

01:13:07.580 agreed

01:13:08.580 with me.

01:13:09.780 Because the

01:13:10.400 economics are

01:13:11.240 just very

01:13:11.620 clear.

01:13:12.820 If you

01:13:13.280 could make

01:13:13.680 it in the

01:13:13.980 United States

01:13:14.540 in your

01:13:14.860 bathroom,

01:13:15.820 you would

01:13:16.200 already be

01:13:16.640 doing it.

01:13:17.120 It would

01:13:17.280 be hugely

01:13:17.980 profitable.

01:13:19.540 There's some

01:13:20.020 reason you

01:13:20.460 don't.

01:13:20.980 I don't know

01:13:21.340 what it

01:13:21.560 is.

01:13:27.880 All right.

01:13:31.120 So I

01:13:32.240 don't know

01:13:32.460 what to do

01:13:32.780 about that.

01:13:33.640 Now here's

01:13:33.980 a question

01:13:34.380 for you.

01:13:36.040 Have you

01:13:36.640 ever wondered

01:13:37.020 why we're

01:13:37.460 not refilling

01:13:38.880 the national

01:13:39.500 oil reserves?

01:13:42.220 Does that

01:13:42.900 bother you?

01:13:43.920 I understand

01:13:44.720 the part

01:13:45.200 where we're

01:13:46.540 taking oil

01:13:47.140 out because

01:13:47.920 we have a

01:13:48.600 short-term

01:13:49.540 need that's

01:13:50.160 pretty important.

01:13:51.340 You could

01:13:51.980 argue it's

01:13:52.440 a national

01:13:52.800 emergency.

01:13:54.220 But is

01:13:56.340 the reason

01:13:56.740 we're not

01:13:57.120 refilling it

01:13:57.740 because the

01:13:58.220 cost of

01:13:58.680 oil is too

01:13:59.180 expensive?

01:14:02.460 But wouldn't

01:14:03.340 we be...

01:14:05.740 Well, let

01:14:07.880 me ask you

01:14:08.240 this.

01:14:09.280 So let's

01:14:09.960 say you

01:14:10.300 went to

01:14:10.700 somebody whose

01:14:11.480 well is

01:14:12.800 closed for

01:14:15.140 whatever

01:14:15.780 reasons.

01:14:17.180 And you

01:14:17.500 say to

01:14:17.860 them,

01:14:18.040 the only

01:14:18.400 way you're

01:14:18.820 going to

01:14:18.980 sell this

01:14:19.380 oil is

01:14:20.140 to the

01:14:20.620 government

01:14:20.960 at a

01:14:21.440 good price.

01:14:22.640 And under

01:14:22.960 those conditions

01:14:23.740 we'll let

01:14:24.240 you open

01:14:24.740 up the

01:14:25.200 well.

01:14:25.940 But otherwise

01:14:26.580 we're going

01:14:27.600 to go

01:14:27.840 green so

01:14:29.280 this well

01:14:29.760 can't be

01:14:30.180 opened.

01:14:31.240 You don't

01:14:31.800 think we

01:14:32.300 could make

01:14:32.680 an offer

01:14:33.000 to the

01:14:33.240 government?

01:14:34.100 You don't

01:14:34.360 think the

01:14:34.700 government

01:14:35.000 could find

01:14:35.600 a producer

01:14:36.280 who would

01:14:37.460 be willing

01:14:37.820 to sell

01:14:38.300 an entire

01:14:39.580 reserve full

01:14:41.360 of oil?

01:14:41.940 That's a

01:14:42.300 lot.

01:14:43.620 That entire

01:14:44.160 reserve.

01:14:44.920 You don't

01:14:45.220 think you

01:14:45.560 could get

01:14:45.800 an American

01:14:46.280 producer to

01:14:47.060 give you

01:14:47.400 a super

01:14:48.060 discount on

01:14:48.640 that?

01:14:50.900 I think

01:14:51.540 you could

01:14:51.820 because the

01:14:52.500 cost of

01:14:52.880 producing

01:14:53.280 didn't

01:14:53.640 change.

01:14:55.200 Just the

01:14:55.780 market value

01:14:56.440 that you

01:14:56.720 could sell

01:14:57.060 it for

01:14:57.280 changed.

01:14:57.960 Because they

01:14:58.480 wouldn't have

01:14:58.860 a choice of

01:14:59.460 selling it on

01:14:59.920 the open

01:15:00.280 market.

01:15:00.760 If they did,

01:15:01.340 then of course

01:15:01.880 the price

01:15:02.700 would be

01:15:02.900 higher.

01:15:03.120 But if you

01:15:04.100 said the

01:15:04.520 only way you

01:15:05.200 can produce

01:15:05.760 is if you

01:15:06.280 produce for the

01:15:07.040 U.S.

01:15:07.580 government and

01:15:08.040 then you have

01:15:08.360 to shut down

01:15:08.860 again, I

01:15:10.380 think you

01:15:10.760 could find

01:15:11.180 that easily.

01:15:12.180 So I don't

01:15:12.540 understand

01:15:12.940 exactly.

01:15:13.720 Maybe we

01:15:15.760 are, actually.

01:15:16.520 Maybe they

01:15:16.880 are filling

01:15:17.240 it up, and

01:15:17.580 I don't

01:15:17.760 know.

01:15:18.680 That's

01:15:19.120 possible.

01:15:23.920 Let me

01:15:24.460 tell you

01:15:24.700 something about

01:15:25.200 globalist

01:15:25.860 conspiracies.

01:15:28.800 I hear

01:15:29.380 stuff like

01:15:29.920 the globalists,

01:15:31.360 I heard one

01:15:31.840 today, that

01:15:32.340 the globalists

01:15:33.080 want poor

01:15:35.920 people to

01:15:36.440 stay poor

01:15:37.060 so they

01:15:38.260 have lots

01:15:38.660 of employees,

01:15:40.280 that the

01:15:40.600 rich people

01:15:41.000 have lots

01:15:41.380 of employees.

01:15:43.000 Do you

01:15:43.240 believe that?

01:15:43.720 To me, that

01:15:46.260 sounds ridiculous

01:15:47.100 because, you

01:15:49.080 know, robots

01:15:49.620 will take

01:15:50.040 over anyway.

01:15:53.460 So let me

01:15:54.160 tell you

01:15:54.420 this.

01:15:54.700 So you've

01:15:55.280 heard lots

01:15:55.680 of conspiracy

01:15:56.760 theories and

01:15:57.780 stuff, but

01:15:58.800 I've spent

01:15:59.620 enough time

01:16:00.600 behind the

01:16:01.340 curtain, like

01:16:03.000 in the room

01:16:04.060 with the

01:16:04.340 people who

01:16:04.640 actually know

01:16:05.140 how things

01:16:05.580 work, that

01:16:07.720 I've never

01:16:08.900 seen it.

01:16:10.980 To me,

01:16:12.040 behind the

01:16:12.560 curtain is a

01:16:13.120 bunch of

01:16:13.660 individual

01:16:14.480 interests

01:16:15.100 fighting for

01:16:16.140 their own

01:16:16.680 little

01:16:18.280 fiefdom.

01:16:19.440 Like

01:16:19.640 billionaires

01:16:20.180 just looking

01:16:20.760 out for

01:16:21.020 themselves,

01:16:21.500 basically.

01:16:23.620 Now, I

01:16:24.480 know some

01:16:24.860 of you are

01:16:25.200 like, oh

01:16:25.920 my God, how

01:16:27.140 could you

01:16:27.440 miss it?

01:16:29.340 Where is it?

01:16:31.280 The whole

01:16:31.840 thing is

01:16:32.200 basically

01:16:32.760 Klaus Schwab

01:16:34.420 quotes taken

01:16:35.660 into context,

01:16:36.620 as far as I

01:16:37.200 can tell.

01:16:37.560 the one

01:16:39.960 that got

01:16:40.660 most people

01:16:41.220 confused is

01:16:42.100 you won't

01:16:42.560 own anything

01:16:43.180 and you'll

01:16:43.540 like it.

01:16:44.780 That's the

01:16:45.520 world we're

01:16:47.100 already in.

01:16:49.500 I don't

01:16:50.180 own the

01:16:50.640 Uber car,

01:16:51.880 and I like

01:16:52.640 it.

01:16:53.380 I don't

01:16:54.200 own the

01:16:54.980 internet, but

01:16:56.620 I like I

01:16:57.100 can use it.

01:16:58.060 I don't

01:16:58.780 own the

01:17:00.380 cable to

01:17:00.960 my house,

01:17:01.940 but I'm

01:17:02.320 glad I

01:17:02.680 can watch

01:17:03.040 TV.

01:17:07.280 The whole

01:17:08.600 fact that

01:17:09.020 you would

01:17:09.240 be afraid

01:17:09.720 of this,

01:17:10.320 you won't

01:17:10.760 own it,

01:17:11.340 but you'll

01:17:11.680 like it,

01:17:13.300 you're

01:17:14.720 completely

01:17:15.100 wrong about

01:17:15.720 that.

01:17:17.200 It's just

01:17:17.680 the most

01:17:18.760 ordinary

01:17:19.360 statement of

01:17:21.020 how the

01:17:21.420 economy is

01:17:22.060 likely to

01:17:22.600 develop.

01:17:23.360 There's

01:17:23.600 just nothing

01:17:24.100 there.

01:17:27.220 Now, I

01:17:28.160 do think

01:17:28.640 it's true

01:17:29.100 that the

01:17:30.080 people who

01:17:30.600 want to

01:17:31.200 save the

01:17:31.820 planet from

01:17:32.620 climate

01:17:33.240 change,

01:17:33.940 according to

01:17:34.400 them.

01:17:35.400 I do

01:17:35.760 think that

01:17:36.200 they want

01:17:36.720 to push

01:17:37.660 fossil fuels

01:17:39.880 into failure,

01:17:42.060 but that's

01:17:42.980 not really a

01:17:43.460 conspiracy theory.

01:17:44.380 That's pretty

01:17:45.180 much on the

01:17:45.680 surface,

01:17:46.100 isn't it?

01:17:49.220 I wouldn't

01:17:50.020 call that a

01:17:50.500 conspiracy,

01:17:51.240 because we

01:17:51.740 can all

01:17:52.040 see it.

01:17:55.340 All right.

01:17:59.260 You won't

01:17:59.920 even own

01:18:00.300 the AC

01:18:00.740 in your

01:18:01.060 car.

01:18:02.620 Oh, you

01:18:07.900 don't own

01:18:08.300 the video

01:18:08.660 games that

01:18:09.080 you paid

01:18:09.300 for?

01:18:09.580 You don't

01:18:09.820 like it?

01:18:10.460 Yeah.

01:18:11.460 I don't

01:18:11.740 know.

01:18:11.960 I'd rather

01:18:12.340 rent anything

01:18:13.220 that needs

01:18:13.620 to be

01:18:13.880 upgraded.

01:18:15.740 That's

01:18:16.160 my take.

01:18:19.580 And I'm

01:18:20.280 pretty sure

01:18:20.760 I had all

01:18:22.260 of my

01:18:22.740 incredible,

01:18:25.100 incredible

01:18:25.680 content.

01:18:29.420 Easily the

01:18:30.180 best live

01:18:30.720 stream you've

01:18:31.380 ever seen.

01:18:32.740 All right.

01:18:33.400 Anything I

01:18:33.840 missed?

01:18:34.940 Any stories,

01:18:35.980 big stories

01:18:36.760 happening that

01:18:37.500 happened?

01:18:39.840 Yeah, I

01:18:40.400 look well

01:18:40.780 prepared because

01:18:41.420 I didn't

01:18:42.480 sleep last

01:18:42.980 night.

01:18:43.840 I just

01:18:44.180 decided to,

01:18:45.020 oh, screw

01:18:45.500 it, I'll just

01:18:46.060 get up.

01:18:46.400 All right.

01:18:53.320 You're

01:18:53.640 supposed to

01:18:53.920 say what?

01:18:57.120 Tragic

01:18:57.600 boating

01:18:57.840 accident?

01:19:00.920 Ivermectin.

01:19:01.480 I'm not

01:19:01.760 going to talk

01:19:02.140 about

01:19:02.360 ivermectin.

01:19:03.180 Oh, God.

01:19:05.080 Yeah, again,

01:19:06.160 people are

01:19:07.400 sending me all

01:19:08.080 the bad

01:19:08.600 studies about

01:19:09.280 ivermectin.

01:19:10.360 Is there

01:19:10.900 anybody here

01:19:11.360 who doesn't

01:19:11.860 know why

01:19:12.500 meta studies

01:19:14.400 meta studies

01:19:15.020 are not

01:19:15.620 valid?

01:19:17.200 Meta

01:19:17.480 analysis?

01:19:18.500 You know what a

01:19:19.000 meta analysis

01:19:19.600 is?

01:19:20.000 You look at a

01:19:20.480 bunch of

01:19:20.840 studies that

01:19:22.040 are low

01:19:22.360 quality, but

01:19:23.900 then you say,

01:19:24.480 well, if most

01:19:25.820 of them are

01:19:26.240 still pointing in

01:19:26.880 the same

01:19:27.160 direction, maybe

01:19:27.980 some of these

01:19:28.440 errors sort of

01:19:30.220 cancel each

01:19:30.860 other out.

01:19:31.300 But here's why

01:19:33.980 it doesn't

01:19:34.300 work.

01:19:35.000 Two main

01:19:35.640 reasons.

01:19:36.360 One is there

01:19:36.960 could be one

01:19:37.560 big study that

01:19:38.620 has too much

01:19:40.300 impact.

01:19:41.220 So there

01:19:41.500 might be one

01:19:42.100 with 50,000

01:19:44.040 participants and

01:19:45.500 a whole bunch

01:19:46.100 of little ones

01:19:46.820 with 100

01:19:47.960 each.

01:19:48.940 The big one

01:19:49.860 is going to

01:19:50.540 just overwhelm

01:19:51.340 the other

01:19:51.620 ones.

01:19:52.640 But there's

01:19:53.800 no reason it

01:19:54.260 should.

01:19:54.980 It just

01:19:55.240 would.

01:19:56.500 The other

01:19:57.080 thing is that

01:19:57.780 when you do a

01:19:59.120 meta analysis,

01:19:59.820 you really don't

01:20:00.660 include every

01:20:01.460 study.

01:20:02.740 You do throw

01:20:03.500 away ones that

01:20:04.760 you know are

01:20:05.360 bad, which

01:20:07.040 means it's

01:20:07.840 subjective.

01:20:09.580 So one

01:20:10.780 person might

01:20:11.400 throw away one

01:20:12.180 study, another

01:20:13.040 person doing the

01:20:13.800 same analysis

01:20:14.400 would throw away

01:20:15.180 another study.

01:20:16.180 So it's not

01:20:16.920 math, it's just

01:20:18.540 an opinion.

01:20:19.800 So when the

01:20:20.440 meta analysis is

01:20:21.360 done, you can

01:20:22.460 shape it either

01:20:23.320 direction by what

01:20:24.880 you put in or

01:20:25.640 out.

01:20:25.960 For example,

01:20:26.600 you could say

01:20:27.040 the big study

01:20:27.760 that's distorting

01:20:29.600 everything is

01:20:30.800 either in or

01:20:32.420 it's out.

01:20:33.640 And either one

01:20:34.460 of those would

01:20:34.940 be valid as a

01:20:35.900 meta analysis,

01:20:36.880 except the

01:20:37.380 answers would be

01:20:37.940 opposite.

01:20:39.800 One would tell

01:20:40.580 you do it, one

01:20:41.500 would tell you

01:20:41.880 don't do it, and

01:20:43.060 it's the same

01:20:43.440 analysis.

01:20:44.020 They're both a

01:20:44.440 meta analysis.

01:20:45.400 And both of

01:20:45.960 them would be

01:20:46.340 reasonable, because

01:20:47.640 it would be

01:20:47.980 reasonable to

01:20:48.600 take it out, and

01:20:50.060 it would be

01:20:50.420 reasonable to

01:20:50.980 keep it in.

01:20:52.360 They're both

01:20:52.880 reasonable.

01:20:53.580 But they'll

01:20:54.020 give you opposite

01:20:54.940 answers because of

01:20:56.240 math.

01:20:56.520 So, when

01:20:59.120 you're looking

01:20:59.440 at the

01:20:59.800 ivermectin

01:21:00.440 studies, you'll

01:21:01.260 find that the

01:21:01.960 randomized controlled

01:21:03.080 trials are

01:21:04.640 either poorly

01:21:05.840 done or

01:21:06.720 whatever, and

01:21:08.460 all they have

01:21:09.480 is the

01:21:09.920 meta analysis,

01:21:10.960 and the

01:21:11.140 meta analysis

01:21:11.640 has been

01:21:12.160 debunked.

01:21:16.720 Italian

01:21:17.240 elections, I'm

01:21:17.960 not really

01:21:18.300 following them

01:21:18.940 too much, but

01:21:19.540 there's some

01:21:20.940 right-wing

01:21:21.440 candidates over

01:21:23.240 there.

01:21:24.020 I don't know

01:21:24.620 if that's a

01:21:25.320 trend or just

01:21:26.280 an Italian

01:21:26.920 thing.

01:21:31.180 The largest

01:21:32.040 wholesale fresh

01:21:32.840 produce market

01:21:33.640 in the world

01:21:34.100 is on fire

01:21:34.820 in Paris.

01:21:40.320 Garage

01:21:40.880 door brand

01:21:41.720 for you.

01:21:44.480 Not really.

01:21:48.180 All right.

01:21:49.200 I think we've

01:21:50.680 done it,

01:21:51.020 haven't we?

01:21:52.220 All right.

01:21:53.200 Google,

01:21:54.480 thanks for

01:21:55.180 joining.

01:21:56.280 I'll talk

01:21:57.240 to you

01:21:57.660 tomorrow.

01:21:58.700 I'll talk

01:21:59.900 to you.

01:22:00.460 Tomorrow.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - September 25, 2022

Episode 1877 Scott Adams： The FBI Is Robbing Banks, The Anti-Woke Are Rising, The News Is Fun Today

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