Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 1959 Scott Adams： Everything The Government Told You Was A Lie. Plenty Of Examples Today

00:00:00.000 Can you see me?

00:00:02.500 They tried to keep me out, but it didn't work.

00:00:08.220 Yay.

00:00:09.860 All right, I think we're in good shape.

00:00:13.020 Did you miss the simultaneous hit?

00:00:15.720 No, just kidding, I haven't done it yet.

00:00:18.440 I haven't done it yet.

00:00:19.580 No, I'm not late.

00:00:20.600 YouTube was dysfunctional for a minute there.

00:00:23.980 Now, if you'd like to take your experience up a level,

00:00:26.340 and I think you do,

00:00:28.080 let's see if I can get my shit together here.

00:00:40.000 Thank you, Paul.

00:00:41.920 How's that?

00:00:43.640 Better, right?

00:00:46.320 Well, we're off to a rocky start,

00:00:48.720 but can I redeem it?

00:00:51.140 Can I pull it out from this bad start?

00:00:54.660 Yes.

00:00:56.080 Behind me?

00:00:58.420 If you think there's just going to be one whiteboard today,

00:01:01.560 no, no, two.

00:01:04.800 Two whiteboards.

00:01:06.080 That's the kind of day we're looking at.

00:01:08.080 We're going to be going into the weekend on a high point,

00:01:10.760 and if you'd like to join us on this amazing journey,

00:01:14.080 all you need is a cup or mug or a glass,

00:01:16.020 a tank or chalice or stein,

00:01:17.060 a kinti and jug or glass,

00:01:18.100 a vessel of any kind,

00:01:19.560 fill it with your favorite liquid I like,

00:01:21.860 coffee.

00:01:22.960 And join me now on this unparalleled pleasure,

00:01:26.380 the dopamine hit of the day,

00:01:27.400 the thing that makes everything better.

00:01:28.540 It's called the simultaneous sip,

00:01:30.720 and it happens now.

00:01:31.880 Yeah, that's good stuff.

00:01:39.700 That's good stuff.

00:01:43.300 Well, here's something I learned today.

00:01:50.260 Did you know this?

00:01:51.420 I don't know if you knew this.

00:01:53.400 There are no high-quality studies

00:01:55.840 in the entire field of science.

00:01:59.160 There's not a single high-quality study

00:02:01.460 that disagrees with me.

00:02:05.360 Did you know that?

00:02:06.980 I was a little shocked to find that out today,

00:02:08.980 but it turns out it's true.

00:02:11.080 Not a single high-quality study

00:02:13.720 disagrees with my personal opinion.

00:02:17.060 You know what's even better?

00:02:19.460 Same with you.

00:02:21.380 Same with you.

00:02:23.160 Yeah.

00:02:27.800 Yeah.

00:02:28.240 It turns out that

00:02:29.680 if there's a study that disagrees with you,

00:02:34.460 do you know what those are called?

00:02:36.820 What are those called?

00:02:38.880 Low-quality studies.

00:02:40.860 Low-quality studies.

00:02:42.440 They don't have enough people.

00:02:44.520 There's a problem with them.

00:02:47.760 But if there's one thing

00:02:49.160 that all of us can say for sure,

00:02:52.280 just for us,

00:02:54.080 I can't speak for anybody

00:02:55.200 who's not watching right now,

00:02:57.760 but all of us are compatible

00:02:59.760 with all of the high-quality studies,

00:03:02.780 but not the low-quality ones.

00:03:04.400 The low-quality ones

00:03:05.340 are the ones that disagree with you.

00:03:07.420 So just keep that in mind.

00:03:08.440 Did you hear about

00:03:12.240 Paul Pelosi's

00:03:14.160 attacker's son?

00:03:18.820 So

00:03:19.300 you want to know

00:03:21.280 how you know

00:03:21.920 you did a bad job

00:03:23.040 of parenting?

00:03:24.900 Here's a little tip.

00:03:26.280 Sometimes you wonder,

00:03:27.560 did I do a good job

00:03:28.660 of parenting?

00:03:30.060 Gosh, you know,

00:03:30.600 I tried my best.

00:03:31.620 I wonder.

00:03:32.760 Well, every now and then

00:03:33.660 there's a way

00:03:34.440 you can tell for sure.

00:03:35.500 OK, so the 19-year-old son

00:03:39.520 of Paul Pelosi's attacker,

00:03:41.960 when he was asked about it,

00:03:44.220 he said,

00:03:45.240 well, maybe my father

00:03:47.700 was a sex slave.

00:03:51.320 Maybe Musk was right.

00:03:53.900 Because I guess Musk

00:03:54.760 said something about that

00:03:55.820 jokingly or something.

00:03:57.200 He goes, yeah,

00:03:57.640 maybe my,

00:03:58.520 for all I know,

00:03:59.280 maybe he was a sex slave.

00:04:00.620 There's a kid

00:04:11.080 who was not

00:04:12.060 entirely happy

00:04:13.040 with the parenting

00:04:13.760 he received.

00:04:18.080 The kid is not

00:04:20.940 Hispanic,

00:04:23.040 but his last name

00:04:24.060 is Gonzalez.

00:04:26.540 Because the mother

00:04:27.540 just liked,

00:04:29.180 there was a family

00:04:29.860 that helped him out

00:04:30.660 named Gonzalez.

00:04:32.480 So he just named

00:04:33.460 their kids

00:04:33.860 after a Hispanic family.

00:04:39.660 Yeah.

00:04:40.140 If your kid

00:04:42.140 speculates

00:04:43.420 in the national press

00:04:45.880 that their parents

00:04:47.460 might be a sex slave.

00:04:55.280 That's the best story

00:04:56.280 of the day.

00:04:56.620 Well, let's see.

00:05:02.500 So, Tucker,

00:05:03.960 talk about timing.

00:05:07.240 You know,

00:05:07.460 timing is everything.

00:05:09.940 Imagine,

00:05:10.720 imagine three years ago,

00:05:13.180 you know,

00:05:13.500 pre-pandemic.

00:05:15.380 Imagine if a major,

00:05:17.220 major news outlet

00:05:18.860 told you that there's

00:05:20.160 new information

00:05:21.160 that suggests that

00:05:23.220 Kennedy was killed

00:05:24.060 by the CIA.

00:05:25.860 He was assassinated

00:05:26.920 by the CIA.

00:05:28.060 What would you have thought

00:05:29.720 three years ago?

00:05:31.260 It was like new information.

00:05:34.220 Would you have said,

00:05:35.120 oh yeah,

00:05:35.480 that definitely happened

00:05:36.400 three years ago?

00:05:37.740 Or would you say,

00:05:38.820 ah,

00:05:39.080 that's another

00:05:39.620 conspiracy theory.

00:05:42.220 Well,

00:05:42.800 I guess it was last night.

00:05:44.860 Tucker Carlson

00:05:45.680 apparently has

00:05:46.380 some anonymous source

00:05:48.340 familiar with

00:05:49.360 the documents

00:05:51.560 that we haven't

00:05:52.260 seen publicly

00:05:52.940 who pretty much

00:05:54.760 says,

00:05:55.180 oh yeah,

00:05:55.480 it looks like

00:05:55.880 a CIA kill.

00:05:59.740 Now,

00:06:00.760 in 2022,

00:06:03.560 December 22,

00:06:05.860 do you have

00:06:06.260 any doubt

00:06:06.820 that the CIA

00:06:07.700 killed Kennedy?

00:06:10.100 So,

00:06:10.780 somehow it went from,

00:06:12.120 well,

00:06:12.360 I doubt it,

00:06:13.100 you know,

00:06:13.780 it's a conspiracy theory.

00:06:14.920 I mean,

00:06:15.460 there might have been

00:06:16.080 extra people involved,

00:06:17.540 that's possible,

00:06:18.360 but,

00:06:19.040 you know,

00:06:19.300 am I going to believe

00:06:20.120 that the CIA

00:06:20.960 put out a hit

00:06:21.780 on the President

00:06:22.380 of the United States

00:06:23.240 three years ago?

00:06:25.380 I would have said,

00:06:26.260 well,

00:06:26.520 I suppose anything's possible.

00:06:29.080 But,

00:06:29.400 but I wouldn't have

00:06:30.140 assumed that

00:06:31.360 there was any evidence

00:06:32.160 for it.

00:06:34.040 Yeah.

00:06:35.280 So,

00:06:35.960 I would say

00:06:36.640 I'm going to accept

00:06:37.980 that tentatively

00:06:38.960 as my working assumption.

00:06:41.740 You know,

00:06:42.160 everything you read

00:06:42.840 in the history books

00:06:43.700 is sketchy.

00:06:46.260 You know that,

00:06:47.120 right?

00:06:47.880 I mean,

00:06:48.580 probably the names

00:06:49.380 and dates

00:06:49.760 are approximately right.

00:06:51.320 But,

00:06:51.640 you know,

00:06:51.860 why somebody did something

00:06:53.280 and what was the real motivation

00:06:54.720 and what was really achieved

00:06:56.800 and,

00:06:57.100 you know,

00:06:57.220 all the interpretation stuff,

00:06:59.080 that's all bullshit.

00:07:00.080 That's all just made up.

00:07:01.680 So,

00:07:01.920 history is basically

00:07:02.940 whatever you want to decide

00:07:04.100 is true.

00:07:05.240 That's the best you can do.

00:07:07.240 And I've decided

00:07:08.060 I'd like just

00:07:08.860 to assume that's true.

00:07:12.380 You know.

00:07:12.600 So,

00:07:14.880 there's still people here

00:07:15.760 saying that I pushed

00:07:16.920 COVID passports.

00:07:18.920 Would you like to go

00:07:19.800 to the whiteboard now?

00:07:21.400 Asshole.

00:07:22.820 So,

00:07:23.340 there's an asshole

00:07:23.920 here on YouTube

00:07:25.920 who's just begging me

00:07:27.120 to take it

00:07:28.500 to the next topic.

00:07:30.260 Shall we?

00:07:31.400 Let's do that.

00:07:36.440 Let's give you

00:07:37.260 a little lesson

00:07:37.820 about how things work

00:07:38.800 in the real world here.

00:07:39.620 step one.

00:07:43.780 What happens

00:07:44.560 when you

00:07:45.180 look at a topic

00:07:47.240 as an engineer might

00:07:48.420 and you look at

00:07:50.160 both sides

00:07:50.780 of a topic?

00:07:52.780 Do you know

00:07:53.320 what happens to you

00:07:54.140 if you publicly

00:07:55.160 consider the argument

00:07:57.540 on both sides

00:07:58.180 of a topic?

00:07:59.780 Do you know

00:08:00.120 what happens?

00:08:01.200 Yeah,

00:08:01.460 that's called

00:08:02.780 entertaining both sides.

00:08:04.580 so I would think

00:08:07.000 I think of it

00:08:07.700 as considering

00:08:08.480 all variables

00:08:09.740 but I've learned

00:08:11.680 that if you

00:08:12.540 consider all variables

00:08:13.760 that's really the same

00:08:14.600 as entertaining

00:08:16.380 both sides.

00:08:18.240 If you entertain

00:08:19.440 both sides

00:08:20.520 that's the same

00:08:22.540 as saying

00:08:23.000 you entertained

00:08:24.360 one side

00:08:25.040 and then you also

00:08:27.360 entertain the other side.

00:08:28.420 So if you

00:08:29.480 entertain both sides

00:08:30.420 could it be said

00:08:31.520 that you

00:08:32.840 entertained

00:08:33.160 one side?

00:08:35.140 Well,

00:08:35.380 yes

00:08:35.740 because you

00:08:37.060 entertained

00:08:37.420 both sides.

00:08:39.000 And if you

00:08:39.780 entertained

00:08:40.360 the side

00:08:41.480 that was wrong

00:08:42.360 according to you

00:08:44.060 would it be true

00:08:45.320 to say

00:08:45.940 that I've

00:08:47.740 sort of

00:08:48.020 supported it

00:08:49.180 by entertaining

00:08:50.880 it?

00:08:52.360 Right?

00:08:52.980 So if you

00:08:53.360 consider it

00:08:54.000 you're really

00:08:54.380 entertaining it

00:08:55.080 if you entertain it

00:08:55.920 you support it

00:08:56.620 if you support it

00:08:57.660 you promote it

00:08:58.300 and if you promote it

00:08:59.160 you're Hitler

00:08:59.600 fuck you

00:09:00.880 fuck you

00:09:02.320 fuck you

00:09:03.880 fuck you

00:09:05.520 for

00:09:05.860 for

00:09:06.860 for doing that

00:09:08.260 to me

00:09:08.720 fuck you

00:09:09.980 completely

00:09:10.480 every one of you

00:09:11.860 assholes

00:09:12.460 who is doing this

00:09:14.820 you're a

00:09:15.780 fucking idiot

00:09:16.500 and you don't

00:09:17.740 belong in polite

00:09:18.440 society

00:09:19.020 I'm going to talk

00:09:20.180 about what is

00:09:21.240 or is not true

00:09:22.100 on both sides

00:09:23.240 of every fucking

00:09:24.120 topic

00:09:24.620 and you're going

00:09:25.500 to do this

00:09:26.080 because you're

00:09:26.760 an asshole

00:09:27.460 you're an

00:09:28.340 unproductive

00:09:29.280 asshole

00:09:30.060 that's all

00:09:31.980 I wanted to say

00:09:32.500 what about

00:09:34.920 the back

00:09:35.420 here's what

00:09:42.320 I thought

00:09:42.720 I was doing

00:09:43.320 during the

00:09:44.640 pandemic

00:09:45.060 and other

00:09:46.280 times as well

00:09:47.100 I thought

00:09:48.740 it was a

00:09:49.180 fog of

00:09:49.720 war

00:09:50.040 I thought

00:09:51.280 I was waiting

00:09:51.840 for better

00:09:52.340 data

00:09:52.760 and I thought

00:09:54.480 that once

00:09:54.820 I got that

00:09:55.360 better data

00:09:56.000 I could

00:09:57.100 form tentative

00:09:58.320 opinions

00:09:58.900 which as time

00:10:00.520 went by

00:10:01.020 I could either

00:10:01.700 modify

00:10:02.720 or change

00:10:03.640 I thought

00:10:04.260 that's what

00:10:04.620 I was doing

00:10:05.200 I thought

00:10:06.380 I was waiting

00:10:06.840 for information

00:10:07.580 and that I

00:10:09.100 would solidify

00:10:09.960 my opinion

00:10:10.580 also be willing

00:10:11.780 to modify it

00:10:12.720 because you know

00:10:13.480 you're never

00:10:13.920 completely certain

00:10:15.000 but it turns out

00:10:15.960 this is what

00:10:16.460 I was doing

00:10:16.920 I was fence

00:10:18.100 sitting and then

00:10:18.620 I was flip flopping

00:10:19.560 and then I'm

00:10:20.200 trying to walk

00:10:20.860 it back

00:10:21.300 fuck you

00:10:22.380 fuck you

00:10:23.760 fuck you

00:10:25.260 that's all

00:10:27.620 I have to say

00:10:28.620 Ukraine says

00:10:35.720 they shut down

00:10:36.500 37 out of

00:10:38.540 40 incoming

00:10:39.500 drones and

00:10:40.500 missiles

00:10:40.820 do you believe

00:10:42.460 that

00:10:42.780 do you believe

00:10:45.040 do you believe

00:10:47.540 that Ukraine

00:10:48.140 shut down

00:10:48.760 37 of

00:10:49.900 40 Russian

00:10:51.500 drones and

00:10:52.860 missiles

00:10:53.120 I feel like

00:10:57.560 the technology

00:10:59.140 wouldn't be that

00:10:59.920 good

00:11:00.280 alright so

00:11:01.980 you know how

00:11:03.100 big Ukraine

00:11:03.780 is right

00:11:04.300 you know how

00:11:05.820 big Russia

00:11:06.260 is

00:11:06.660 that's a lot

00:11:08.440 of territory

00:11:09.120 are you telling

00:11:11.120 me that

00:11:11.500 40 missiles

00:11:12.700 were shot

00:11:13.820 into

00:11:14.220 various targets

00:11:15.660 you know

00:11:17.120 all around

00:11:17.880 Ukraine

00:11:18.380 and that

00:11:20.140 we had

00:11:20.600 enough

00:11:21.260 high quality

00:11:22.920 anti

00:11:23.700 anti missile

00:11:25.120 anti drone

00:11:25.760 stuff

00:11:26.080 that we

00:11:26.880 shot down

00:11:27.580 almost all

00:11:29.400 of it

00:11:29.760 or

00:11:32.260 did they

00:11:33.060 only aim

00:11:34.000 their drones

00:11:34.660 where we

00:11:35.300 had

00:11:35.660 or not

00:11:36.440 we

00:11:36.660 where the

00:11:37.280 Ukrainians

00:11:37.760 had good

00:11:38.680 air defense

00:11:39.220 I feel like

00:11:41.260 this can't

00:11:41.740 be true

00:11:42.200 what do you

00:11:43.460 think

00:11:43.780 doesn't it

00:11:44.820 seem like

00:11:45.140 fake news

00:11:45.740 now don't

00:11:48.120 and give

00:11:49.760 me a history

00:11:50.220 lesson

00:11:50.640 certainly

00:11:52.680 certainly

00:11:55.620 it's true

00:11:56.140 that the

00:11:56.520 technology

00:11:57.100 of shooting

00:11:57.580 down

00:11:58.120 missiles

00:11:58.880 has improved

00:11:59.680 that's fair

00:12:01.440 to say

00:12:01.760 right

00:12:02.020 since

00:12:02.860 Reagan's

00:12:03.560 you know

00:12:03.820 Star Wars

00:12:04.380 I'm sure

00:12:05.160 we're a lot

00:12:05.660 better at it

00:12:06.260 now than

00:12:06.680 we ever

00:12:07.020 were

00:12:07.400 but are

00:12:09.680 we that

00:12:09.980 good

00:12:10.260 now can

00:12:12.280 somebody give

00:12:12.720 me a history

00:12:13.160 lesson

00:12:13.500 I need a

00:12:14.480 fact check

00:12:14.960 on the

00:12:15.280 following

00:12:15.660 like I

00:12:16.920 have a

00:12:17.160 sketchy

00:12:17.540 memory

00:12:17.820 of this

00:12:18.280 true

00:12:19.100 or false

00:12:19.720 Israel's

00:12:22.240 iron dome

00:12:23.020 system

00:12:23.540 they

00:12:25.080 in the

00:12:25.680 earlier

00:12:26.000 days of

00:12:26.680 it

00:12:26.840 they

00:12:27.600 massively

00:12:28.160 exaggerated

00:12:28.940 how

00:12:29.320 effective

00:12:29.840 it

00:12:30.060 was

00:12:30.400 is that

00:12:30.840 true

00:12:31.060 or am

00:12:31.920 I

00:12:32.040 thinking

00:12:32.280 of Iraq

00:12:32.980 am I

00:12:34.660 thinking

00:12:34.880 of Iraq

00:12:35.480 can

00:12:36.340 somebody

00:12:36.580 give me

00:12:36.820 a fact

00:12:37.140 check

00:12:37.340 on that

00:12:37.720 people

00:12:41.940 are saying

00:12:42.260 it's

00:12:42.440 true

00:12:42.740 I

00:12:43.900 think

00:12:44.080 in

00:12:44.220 both

00:12:44.420 cases

00:12:44.800 right

00:12:45.020 now

00:12:47.180 is that

00:12:47.640 typically

00:12:48.240 what

00:12:48.620 people

00:12:48.940 who

00:12:49.100 have

00:12:49.280 air

00:12:49.480 defense

00:12:49.920 say

00:12:50.680 is it

00:12:52.020 just

00:12:52.180 normal

00:12:52.660 in war

00:12:53.140 that you

00:12:53.440 always say

00:12:53.760 you're

00:12:53.960 shooting

00:12:54.160 everything

00:12:54.480 down

00:12:54.840 when you're

00:12:55.200 not

00:12:55.480 so

00:12:58.460 you think

00:13:00.660 it's real

00:13:01.000 it could

00:13:02.560 be real

00:13:03.120 based on

00:13:03.740 the fact

00:13:04.120 that we're

00:13:04.660 sending

00:13:04.940 them good

00:13:05.480 stuff

00:13:05.940 and things

00:13:06.540 have

00:13:06.720 developed

00:13:07.120 to that

00:13:07.480 point

00:13:07.800 it feels

00:13:09.280 to be

00:13:09.580 like we

00:13:09.960 ought to

00:13:10.140 be able

00:13:10.360 to shoot

00:13:10.640 down

00:13:10.840 a drone

00:13:11.280 because

00:13:11.600 they move

00:13:12.400 slow

00:13:12.740 right

00:13:13.060 don't

00:13:14.380 drones

00:13:14.740 move

00:13:15.020 kind of

00:13:15.320 slowly

00:13:15.660 so

00:13:17.540 I'm not

00:13:18.140 surprised

00:13:18.500 you get

00:13:18.780 a drone

00:13:19.260 but I'm

00:13:20.560 a little

00:13:20.820 bit surprised

00:13:21.440 you could

00:13:21.780 get a

00:13:22.100 missile

00:13:22.460 at least

00:13:24.620 reliably

00:13:25.260 I don't

00:13:26.160 just

00:13:26.440 I'm going

00:13:27.240 to say

00:13:27.460 I'm

00:13:27.660 skeptical

00:13:28.160 I could

00:13:30.260 be convinced

00:13:31.020 but I'm

00:13:32.280 skeptical

00:13:32.660 all right

00:13:35.400 it also

00:13:37.540 makes me

00:13:37.940 wonder if

00:13:38.400 Russia is

00:13:38.820 going to

00:13:39.020 run out

00:13:39.440 missiles

00:13:40.000 and drones

00:13:40.680 like there's

00:13:42.040 got to be

00:13:42.420 some

00:13:42.800 collapse

00:13:44.220 point

00:13:44.620 right

00:13:44.900 and then

00:13:45.920 I saw

00:13:46.200 somebody else

00:13:46.760 saying that

00:13:47.340 Russia is

00:13:48.120 claiming victory

00:13:49.060 for I guess

00:13:50.980 they recaptured

00:13:51.920 a totally

00:13:53.340 non-strategic

00:13:54.760 part

00:13:55.820 you know

00:13:56.840 it was like

00:13:57.260 something that

00:13:57.760 nobody should

00:13:58.240 brag about

00:13:58.820 but it's all

00:13:59.880 they had

00:14:00.340 which indicates

00:14:02.620 they have no

00:14:03.120 good news

00:14:03.740 the only good

00:14:05.500 news was

00:14:05.960 something they

00:14:06.380 basically made

00:14:07.080 so Rise

00:14:12.320 Against

00:14:12.660 Disciples

00:14:13.100 says Claude

00:14:13.920 Adams

00:14:14.220 why did

00:14:14.760 you recommend

00:14:15.540 COVID

00:14:16.220 passports

00:14:16.860 should I

00:14:17.600 answer that

00:14:17.980 question

00:14:18.280 why did I

00:14:19.420 recommend

00:14:19.900 COVID

00:14:20.360 passports

00:14:20.960 sure

00:14:21.740 I'll answer

00:14:22.580 that question

00:14:23.080 why did I

00:14:28.460 recommend

00:14:29.300 it

00:14:29.860 why did I

00:14:32.640 recommend

00:14:34.220 it

00:14:34.860 recommend

00:14:38.540 it

00:14:39.240 let me

00:14:45.580 explain this

00:14:46.060 to you

00:14:46.500 because I'm

00:14:49.900 a smart

00:14:50.340 person I

00:14:51.040 consider both

00:14:51.840 sides which

00:14:52.740 you call

00:14:53.160 entertaining

00:14:53.720 both sides

00:14:54.300 which you

00:14:54.680 call entertaining

00:14:55.400 the one you

00:14:55.880 don't like

00:14:56.380 which you

00:14:57.020 call supporting

00:14:57.620 the bad

00:14:58.000 side which

00:14:58.720 you call

00:14:59.080 promoting

00:14:59.500 the bad

00:14:59.880 side which

00:15:00.700 you're a

00:15:01.080 fucking

00:15:01.360 asshole

00:15:01.760 because you're

00:15:02.180 calling it

00:15:02.520 recommending

00:15:02.980 which never

00:15:04.200 fucking

00:15:04.860 happened

00:15:05.360 you stupid

00:15:07.100 asshole

00:15:07.980 any other

00:15:12.140 questions

00:15:12.640 anything else

00:15:16.540 have I

00:15:17.580 answered your

00:15:17.960 question

00:15:18.240 is that

00:15:20.780 confusing

00:15:21.260 all right

00:15:24.360 let's talk

00:15:24.740 about Trump

00:15:25.260 so Trump

00:15:26.520 said he

00:15:26.860 had this

00:15:27.240 big old

00:15:27.800 announcement

00:15:28.340 big old

00:15:30.040 announcement

00:15:30.480 and I was

00:15:31.020 like oh

00:15:31.500 this is

00:15:31.880 going to be

00:15:32.160 good

00:15:32.440 can't wait

00:15:34.720 fresh meat

00:15:35.840 and then

00:15:37.640 he announced

00:15:38.000 he was

00:15:38.440 making

00:15:39.360 NFT

00:15:40.700 digital

00:15:41.420 trading

00:15:41.860 cards

00:15:42.200 where he's

00:15:42.760 represented

00:15:43.600 as a

00:15:44.040 superhero

00:15:44.440 and then

00:15:45.940 everybody

00:15:46.240 said

00:15:46.600 including

00:15:47.780 me

00:15:48.100 well that's

00:15:48.880 a little

00:15:49.120 disappointing

00:15:49.660 is that

00:15:50.040 all you

00:15:50.300 got

00:15:50.580 because if

00:15:52.460 that's

00:15:52.680 all you

00:15:53.000 got

00:15:53.360 you don't

00:15:55.280 look like

00:15:55.660 a threat

00:15:56.080 to win

00:15:56.420 the

00:15:56.540 presidency

00:15:56.980 and then

00:15:59.600 we learned

00:16:00.860 more

00:16:01.180 interestingly

00:16:03.200 he sold

00:16:07.140 out all

00:16:07.720 of his

00:16:08.220 NFTs

00:16:08.920 they all

00:16:10.500 sold out

00:16:11.040 he made

00:16:12.140 over four

00:16:12.740 million dollars

00:16:13.580 one of the

00:16:14.860 most successful

00:16:15.620 fundraisers of

00:16:16.840 all time

00:16:17.340 and I don't

00:16:19.080 think he's

00:16:19.500 done

00:16:19.900 can't he

00:16:21.400 just make

00:16:21.880 more of them

00:16:22.400 and I also

00:16:23.660 don't know

00:16:24.060 if people

00:16:24.440 can resell

00:16:25.100 them

00:16:25.420 and he

00:16:26.800 gets a

00:16:27.320 does anybody

00:16:27.820 know if

00:16:28.220 he gets a

00:16:28.900 cut

00:16:29.180 anytime

00:16:30.240 somebody

00:16:30.680 trades

00:16:31.060 one

00:16:31.340 can you

00:16:32.800 trade

00:16:33.060 them

00:16:33.240 or you

00:16:33.460 just

00:16:33.620 own

00:16:33.820 them

00:16:33.940 I

00:16:34.080 don't

00:16:34.180 even

00:16:34.340 know

00:16:34.460 if

00:16:34.560 you

00:16:34.660 can

00:16:34.800 trade

00:16:35.020 them

00:16:35.280 can

00:16:35.920 you

00:16:36.020 trade

00:16:36.240 them

00:16:36.460 you

00:16:37.240 can

00:16:37.440 trade

00:16:37.720 them

00:16:38.000 and

00:16:38.940 does

00:16:39.140 he

00:16:39.240 get

00:16:39.360 a

00:16:39.520 cut

00:16:39.740 every

00:16:40.020 time

00:16:40.180 you

00:16:40.300 trade

00:16:40.580 them

00:16:40.840 10%

00:16:44.420 for sure

00:16:44.960 or you

00:16:45.960 just

00:16:46.140 think

00:16:46.400 so

00:16:46.640 no

00:16:46.880 cut

00:16:47.200 all

00:16:48.940 right

00:16:49.020 I

00:16:50.860 think

00:16:51.300 we'll

00:16:51.460 need a

00:16:51.780 fact

00:16:52.000 check

00:16:52.240 on

00:16:52.420 this

00:16:52.600 some

00:16:52.800 people

00:16:53.060 are

00:16:53.220 confidently

00:16:53.760 saying

00:16:54.160 10%

00:16:54.720 but I

00:16:55.760 think

00:16:56.020 you

00:16:56.200 might

00:16:56.540 be

00:16:56.760 saying

00:16:57.060 that

00:16:57.420 because

00:16:58.420 that's

00:16:58.800 a

00:16:58.980 standard

00:16:59.500 it

00:17:00.720 doesn't

00:17:00.980 mean

00:17:01.140 he did

00:17:01.500 it

00:17:01.660 though

00:17:01.860 but that

00:17:02.360 is

00:17:02.520 a

00:17:02.680 standard

00:17:03.120 no

00:17:07.640 wonder

00:17:07.900 Christina

00:17:08.420 left

00:17:08.760 him

00:17:08.980 well

00:17:10.440 look

00:17:10.700 you

00:17:10.880 fucking

00:17:11.260 cunt

00:17:11.720 do you

00:17:12.700 think

00:17:12.860 you

00:17:12.980 know

00:17:13.140 anything

00:17:13.420 about

00:17:13.680 my

00:17:13.880 personal

00:17:14.200 life

00:17:14.580 really

00:17:17.840 do you

00:17:18.340 think

00:17:18.500 you

00:17:18.620 know

00:17:18.820 anything

00:17:19.320 about

00:17:19.860 my

00:17:20.100 personal

00:17:20.460 life

00:17:20.800 like

00:17:21.620 anything

00:17:22.020 so

00:17:26.560 just

00:17:27.340 Cindy

00:17:28.260 Smith

00:17:28.720 will

00:17:29.260 remove

00:17:29.660 you

00:17:29.980 goodbye

00:17:32.420 you know

00:17:35.140 I was

00:17:35.420 thinking of

00:17:35.840 buying one

00:17:36.300 I almost

00:17:37.580 bought one

00:17:38.000 of those

00:17:38.260 NFTs

00:17:38.800 because I

00:17:40.440 thought

00:17:40.680 you never

00:17:41.500 know

00:17:41.840 $99

00:17:43.080 someday

00:17:44.780 might be

00:17:45.200 worth a

00:17:45.540 thousand

00:17:45.820 you never

00:17:46.300 know

00:17:46.620 you never

00:17:47.400 know

00:17:48.000 but

00:17:48.800 all right

00:17:50.320 the second

00:17:50.660 part of

00:17:50.980 that is

00:17:51.360 then that

00:17:51.760 Trump

00:17:52.680 followed up

00:17:53.860 not too

00:17:54.640 long after

00:17:55.180 with what

00:17:56.460 appears to

00:17:57.080 be it

00:17:57.780 will be a

00:17:58.300 series of

00:17:58.880 little video

00:17:59.680 messages on

00:18:01.420 certain topics

00:18:02.180 the first

00:18:03.320 topic he

00:18:03.900 picked

00:18:04.260 was a

00:18:05.760 winner

00:18:06.020 was a

00:18:07.820 winner

00:18:08.020 among other

00:18:09.400 things it

00:18:09.900 was about

00:18:10.440 free speech

00:18:11.040 speech but

00:18:11.780 sort of the

00:18:12.360 applause line

00:18:13.260 part was

00:18:13.900 first within

00:18:15.260 hours of my

00:18:16.060 inauguration I

00:18:16.840 will sign an

00:18:17.300 executive order

00:18:18.000 banning any

00:18:18.640 federal department

00:18:19.420 or agency

00:18:19.920 from colluding

00:18:21.220 with any

00:18:21.860 organization

00:18:22.400 business or

00:18:23.260 person to

00:18:24.400 censor limit

00:18:25.240 categorize or

00:18:25.940 impede the

00:18:26.420 lawful speech

00:18:27.180 of Americans

00:18:27.860 so he would be

00:18:29.880 our free speech

00:18:31.160 defender

00:18:31.680 that's pretty

00:18:34.460 strong

00:18:34.920 that's pretty

00:18:36.460 strong

00:18:37.000 I don't

00:18:41.260 I don't

00:18:42.120 support

00:18:42.520 Trump for

00:18:43.440 president

00:18:43.800 because of

00:18:44.620 age and

00:18:45.240 just the

00:18:46.720 provocation

00:18:48.140 level is so

00:18:48.800 high it's

00:18:49.240 just a

00:18:49.580 different

00:18:49.840 it's a

00:18:50.640 different

00:18:50.920 proposition

00:18:51.580 today

00:18:52.080 but I'm

00:18:54.220 going to say

00:18:54.600 when he does

00:18:55.120 things well

00:18:55.740 anybody have a

00:18:57.560 problem with

00:18:57.980 that if he

00:18:59.060 does something

00:18:59.500 poorly I'll

00:19:00.360 call it out

00:19:00.880 if he says

00:19:01.340 something

00:19:01.580 good I'll

00:19:02.020 call it

00:19:02.320 out

00:19:02.560 now there's

00:19:04.880 a risk

00:19:05.420 there's a

00:19:06.360 risk if I

00:19:06.940 say what he

00:19:07.380 does well

00:19:07.940 and what he

00:19:09.340 doesn't do

00:19:10.180 well do you

00:19:10.720 know what the

00:19:11.000 risk is

00:19:11.520 if I if I'm

00:19:13.160 just sort of

00:19:14.260 objective about

00:19:15.000 what he does

00:19:15.480 well and what

00:19:16.420 he doesn't

00:19:17.800 let me describe

00:19:19.000 the risk

00:19:19.460 I think I'm

00:19:21.640 going to be

00:19:21.900 considering both

00:19:22.700 sides you're

00:19:23.380 going to call

00:19:23.720 it entertaining

00:19:24.300 both sides

00:19:24.940 which you're

00:19:25.340 going to call

00:19:25.680 entertaining the

00:19:26.660 wrong side

00:19:27.280 which you're

00:19:27.860 going to call

00:19:28.220 supporting the

00:19:28.800 bad side which

00:19:29.400 you'll say means

00:19:30.020 I'm promoting it

00:19:30.840 which says I'm

00:19:31.240 recommended it

00:19:32.360 fuck you

00:19:33.440 let's just get

00:19:35.260 that out of the

00:19:35.640 way now

00:19:36.040 all right I

00:19:39.360 would say that

00:19:40.080 Trump's strategy

00:19:41.840 of doing not

00:19:43.900 big rallies

00:19:44.600 because I

00:19:45.020 understand they're

00:19:45.600 really expensive

00:19:46.240 the big rallies

00:19:48.120 make sense when

00:19:48.920 you get toward

00:19:49.360 the you know

00:19:50.060 the final months

00:19:50.780 so he'll probably

00:19:51.900 be doing that

00:19:52.600 but I do like

00:19:54.200 this strategy

00:19:54.840 right do you

00:19:59.040 remember when

00:19:59.660 Trump ran the

00:20:00.340 first time and

00:20:02.220 he was he was

00:20:04.040 fundraising and

00:20:05.160 campaigning in a

00:20:06.100 totally non-standard

00:20:07.240 way and what did

00:20:08.580 everybody say at

00:20:10.260 first hey you're

00:20:12.420 campaigning in a

00:20:13.320 non-standard way

00:20:14.320 that can't work

00:20:15.220 and then he

00:20:16.740 became president

00:20:17.380 so how does he

00:20:19.300 launch his 2024

00:20:20.840 for by campaigning

00:20:23.540 in a non-standard

00:20:24.440 way which which I

00:20:26.780 was one of the

00:20:27.360 many people who

00:20:28.060 immediately said

00:20:28.820 oh the NFT

00:20:30.460 thing that's what

00:20:31.320 you've been saving

00:20:32.000 you know you're

00:20:32.960 saving that like

00:20:33.700 that's that's a big

00:20:35.140 announcement that's

00:20:36.100 pathetic and then

00:20:37.940 immediately falls up

00:20:39.260 with the strongest

00:20:40.160 campaign promise

00:20:42.360 probably I've ever

00:20:44.740 seen that was a

00:20:47.200 that's like a

00:20:47.840 really strong

00:20:48.660 definitive first

00:20:50.440 day and it's

00:20:51.580 something he could

00:20:52.160 do right it

00:20:53.280 wasn't something he

00:20:53.940 could maybe do

00:20:55.260 lost the connection

00:20:56.380 it was something you

00:20:57.340 actually do I

00:20:58.620 liked it a lot

00:20:59.360 it was it was

00:21:00.720 right on the

00:21:01.320 zeitgeist it was

00:21:02.700 right it was right

00:21:03.640 on the news it

00:21:04.860 was what we're

00:21:05.240 talking about it's

00:21:06.520 what we're caring

00:21:07.240 about at the moment

00:21:08.140 he hit he hit the

00:21:09.520 mark said it said

00:21:11.580 it in a strong

00:21:12.640 capable way it

00:21:15.180 was very good

00:21:15.720 it was very good

00:21:17.060 so so far so

00:21:25.500 far Trump has

00:21:26.500 innovated fundraising

00:21:28.780 successfully I'm

00:21:30.860 gonna I'm gonna

00:21:31.340 call that a solid

00:21:34.120 success fundraising

00:21:36.040 wise anybody would

00:21:37.820 anybody disagree

00:21:38.500 solid success

00:21:40.440 there's nothing

00:21:42.360 bad to say about

00:21:43.080 that because he

00:21:44.300 did it tongue in

00:21:45.000 cheek you know he

00:21:46.320 did it with a sense

00:21:47.200 of humor he wasn't

00:21:48.560 calling himself

00:21:49.240 super man people

00:21:51.300 bought it how do

00:21:53.440 you judge the quality

00:21:54.340 of something in the

00:21:55.660 art world have I

00:21:57.260 ever told you how to

00:21:57.940 judge art does

00:21:59.740 somebody buy it

00:22:00.620 that's it it's good

00:22:03.460 if somebody buys

00:22:04.180 it and it is good

00:22:05.800 the art is actually

00:22:06.940 good you know for

00:22:09.160 it's a genre all

00:22:11.700 right so that's

00:22:16.200 interesting he made

00:22:17.680 the the thing that

00:22:19.180 Trump does is he

00:22:21.600 surprises you and I

00:22:23.460 was worried that he

00:22:24.260 was out of surprises

00:22:25.240 like a sign of age

00:22:27.180 like he was just

00:22:27.940 maybe running the

00:22:29.360 best of or just

00:22:30.800 playing the hits you

00:22:32.140 know like like a

00:22:33.380 band that used to be

00:22:34.120 famous but now he's

00:22:34.980 just playing the hits

00:22:35.760 I was worried he

00:22:36.880 wouldn't have anything

00:22:37.520 new but this was

00:22:39.420 new he introduced

00:22:41.940 two completely new

00:22:43.160 things you know a

00:22:44.580 new proposal that we

00:22:46.060 hadn't heard as well

00:22:47.760 as a new fundraising

00:22:48.540 method that completely

00:22:49.720 worked that's a pretty

00:22:53.300 strong day based on

00:22:55.660 being you know and he

00:22:58.280 was insulted you know

00:22:59.460 in the beginning

00:22:59.900 somebody says Scott is

00:23:03.240 admiring Trump of being

00:23:04.380 a scammer is it a

00:23:05.700 scammer if it's

00:23:06.700 transparent what what

00:23:10.740 would be the scam

00:23:11.400 part is there any

00:23:12.940 surprise to it is there

00:23:14.460 any hidden hidden

00:23:16.040 trick well what makes

00:23:19.240 that a scam as opposed

00:23:20.360 to just a really good

00:23:22.340 money-raising thing

00:23:25.440 all right well I was

00:23:29.860 listening to a little

00:23:30.560 bit of Carrie Lake's

00:23:31.620 lawsuit against I

00:23:33.560 don't know is it

00:23:34.020 against just Maricopa

00:23:35.180 or is it against

00:23:35.760 Arizona in general

00:23:36.720 but she is so among

00:23:39.380 her complaints are

00:23:42.300 that 60 percent of

00:23:43.380 the machines

00:23:45.140 malfunctioned in

00:23:46.200 Maricopa on election

00:23:47.300 day and everyone in

00:23:49.020 the world knows that

00:23:49.800 Republicans wait to

00:23:50.980 vote on election day

00:23:52.020 I don't think there's

00:23:53.820 any question that

00:23:54.760 people were discouraged

00:23:56.180 and left the line do

00:23:57.980 you think there's any

00:23:58.580 question about that

00:23:59.440 do you think there's

00:24:01.400 any question that it

00:24:03.500 reduced the amount of

00:24:04.900 voting it had to

00:24:06.720 right all friction

00:24:08.360 right how many times

00:24:10.100 have I told you

00:24:10.780 friction always makes a

00:24:14.440 difference it doesn't

00:24:16.540 make a giant difference

00:24:17.500 all the time but it

00:24:19.200 always makes a

00:24:20.260 difference this would be

00:24:21.300 no exception so

00:24:24.500 and then there's a

00:24:25.440 chain of custody

00:24:26.140 question or a bunch

00:24:27.420 of ballots that have

00:24:28.860 a sketchy chain of

00:24:29.920 custody there's some

00:24:31.200 issue about the ink

00:24:32.520 wasn't dark enough on

00:24:35.440 some some things were

00:24:36.640 maybe miscounted etc

00:24:38.400 now I'm no court so I

00:24:43.140 can't anticipate the

00:24:44.740 outcome of it but if we

00:24:47.820 judge from what we've

00:24:49.120 seen before on election

00:24:51.540 claims I don't think she

00:24:54.220 has a case do you

00:24:55.720 now that doesn't mean

00:24:57.980 she's not right

00:24:58.960 all of her claims might

00:25:01.740 be accurate right I

00:25:03.580 believe that I believe

00:25:04.420 the claims are accurate

00:25:05.580 what I'm asking is what

00:25:08.540 could there's there's no

00:25:09.880 way to reverse it is there

00:25:11.580 do you think the court

00:25:13.280 would take the position of

00:25:14.520 actually removing the

00:25:15.760 person in office has that

00:25:17.660 ever happened and could a

00:25:20.260 court order a runoff

00:25:21.600 they could couldn't they

00:25:24.440 they could order a runoff

00:25:25.680 couldn't they it would

00:25:27.480 have to be that wouldn't

00:25:28.420 it because I can't imagine

00:25:30.840 the court would determine

00:25:32.640 the election am I right

00:25:34.760 the court the court would

00:25:36.760 be super reluctant to

00:25:39.760 decide who won based on

00:25:41.360 just the court that would

00:25:43.100 be their last preference

00:25:44.380 first preference would be

00:25:46.180 return it to the people

00:25:47.800 and redo it right so that

00:25:50.880 so there is some

00:25:51.740 possibility that wouldn't

00:25:53.060 you say and it's still

00:25:55.440 kind of fresh I don't know

00:25:56.580 how long it takes to

00:25:57.420 adjudicate that what do you

00:26:00.760 think do you think she has

00:26:03.340 a chance because the

00:26:05.780 argument that Republicans

00:26:07.720 were unfairly affected

00:26:10.280 because they vote on

00:26:11.800 election day part of that's

00:26:14.740 their own damn fault it's

00:26:17.000 not like you didn't know

00:26:18.060 it's not like you didn't

00:26:20.160 know there would be some

00:26:21.040 advantage of doing it in

00:26:22.140 advance but it was

00:26:26.420 definitely the also the

00:26:27.680 election system failed so

00:26:29.960 you can't put all of that

00:26:31.380 on the voters I don't know

00:26:34.840 what do you think but if

00:26:36.620 you had to handicap it and

00:26:38.300 you're going to predict will

00:26:39.900 there be a re-election

00:26:40.860 information based on the

00:26:41.920 strength of this claim or

00:26:44.540 the claims I don't see it

00:26:47.240 happening like it feels like

00:26:50.120 the real world is too sticky

00:26:52.660 like in my hypothetical world

00:26:55.820 you could imagine her

00:26:56.980 prevailing but in the real

00:26:59.560 world of real people I can't

00:27:02.180 even imagine it can you oh

00:27:06.940 somebody says there's a

00:27:07.880 precedent a precedent in

00:27:09.680 Arizona was it a precedent

00:27:11.820 long enough ago that it was

00:27:14.800 not our hyper partisan times

00:27:17.180 because I think the hyper

00:27:18.740 partisanship that we're

00:27:20.320 experiencing makes it

00:27:22.240 basically impossible makes it

00:27:25.860 impossible all right well I'm

00:27:30.460 going to let's see just for

00:27:32.240 fun I'm going to make a

00:27:33.180 prediction right now I should

00:27:35.200 tell you that I predict well

00:27:38.320 when I have any special

00:27:40.360 insight so let's say it's a

00:27:42.580 persuasion related thing or a

00:27:44.880 Dilbert-y bureaucracy kind of

00:27:47.300 thing I do pretty well in those

00:27:48.720 the or mass hysteria I do pretty

00:27:52.220 well in those because I have some

00:27:53.420 special advantage where I don't

00:27:56.880 do well is guessing who's going to

00:27:59.480 get picked as a vice president

00:28:00.780 would you agree I have no special

00:28:03.600 you know insight on that and on

00:28:06.940 this one not being a lawyer I have

00:28:09.540 no special insight about how this

00:28:12.360 will go would you agree that I bring

00:28:15.880 absolutely nothing to this question

00:28:17.900 because you know I haven't looked at

00:28:21.280 the details of the claims I'm not a

00:28:23.720 judge but I'm still going to give a

00:28:26.620 prediction because it's fun all right

00:28:29.200 my prediction is that the election

00:28:31.020 will not be reversed and the

00:28:34.900 reasoning is that the inertia and

00:28:38.840 the desire to not upset things is just

00:28:41.360 going to be too big just too big

00:28:43.640 people will find a reason not to

00:28:45.940 reverse it because reversing it would

00:28:48.120 be just too much of a too much of a

00:28:52.300 disruption now let me give you some

00:28:55.140 context you may remember that I

00:29:00.780 immediately congratulated Biden when

00:29:03.220 his election was announced did that

00:29:07.240 mean that I trusted that the vote was

00:29:09.880 completely fair no I treat them as

00:29:13.740 separate things so separately I want

00:29:16.700 the best answer but if I can't get the

00:29:20.220 best answer in a practical way then the

00:29:22.940 next thing I want is for the country to

00:29:25.820 go on as you know as strongly as it can

00:29:29.460 and that means just sort of you know

00:29:32.640 sucking it up and moving on so I'm

00:29:34.760 usually in favor of sucking it up and

00:29:36.500 moving on if the alternative is too

00:29:38.840 disruptive but that doesn't mean I

00:29:40.660 trust the result that's the separate

00:29:43.100 question

00:29:43.460 here's some good news along the lines of

00:29:49.140 the Adams law of slow-moving disasters

00:29:51.520 which as you know predicts that if we

00:29:54.820 see a problem far enough in advance

00:29:57.120 we're really really good at solving it

00:30:01.400 and turns out that France has been

00:30:03.820 working hard on their energy issue

00:30:05.600 because of the Russia disruption stuff

00:30:08.960 and they had a number of reactors they

00:30:13.820 had taken offline for maintenance to get

00:30:16.800 them ready for the winter because they

00:30:18.300 knew they couldn't have them offline in

00:30:19.800 the winter so I guess they've done a

00:30:22.400 really good from the outside I mean I

00:30:25.460 can't judge the real details from the

00:30:27.680 outside I have to give France an A plus

00:30:32.040 because not only did they have a robust

00:30:35.360 nuclear energy situation so they did

00:30:39.800 better than the United States just just

00:30:41.800 say it right just say it that France

00:30:45.080 absolutely beat the United States to

00:30:48.100 death in better energy policy because

00:30:51.080 they have you know widespread nuclear

00:30:52.820 and they haven't had a meltdown and

00:30:55.880 they were doing some maintenance on a

00:30:57.240 number they've got 45 of them or

00:30:59.260 something but there were a number that

00:31:01.020 were down for maintenance until

00:31:03.080 recently and they fired them back up and

00:31:05.380 the current thinking is that they

00:31:06.980 already have enough capacity to get

00:31:11.320 through the winter congratulations France

00:31:16.240 right you know what I don't give enough

00:31:19.640 credit to France you know it's fun to

00:31:22.440 France is like a sibling like that's how I

00:31:25.560 feel about France like if there was ever

00:31:27.940 real trouble we're gonna be on the same

00:31:30.000 team right like we're there for you

00:31:32.800 France because France would be there for

00:31:34.720 us but we you know we like to argue like

00:31:36.940 siblings and stuff but in this in this

00:31:39.060 one instance not only did France totally

00:31:42.360 lap us in the energy question but they

00:31:46.720 just did it again they actually acted so

00:31:51.180 quickly and capably that they saved

00:31:53.280 France from what would be a big big

00:31:57.100 problem potential they did it I think I

00:32:00.140 mean it's a little early but it looks

00:32:02.340 like they did it so big props to France

00:32:05.560 all right let's see so we got to talk

00:32:17.480 about Musk so yesterday and maybe it's

00:32:20.580 been reversed already tell me if this has

00:32:23.080 been reversed I haven't checked the

00:32:24.480 Twitter in an hour but Musk banned Aaron

00:32:28.580 Rupar Keith Olbermann and a number of

00:32:31.580 journalists for what he said there's some

00:32:35.460 questions about the facts but what Musk

00:32:37.700 said is that they they were involved

00:32:39.640 with publishing his location

00:32:41.280 information now I don't think they did

00:32:44.140 directly some of them might have

00:32:45.700 referred to somebody who did have the

00:32:48.380 information and that might have been

00:32:49.860 enough so that they reported on it yeah

00:32:56.200 so I think they reported on on it in a

00:32:59.120 way that would tell other people where to

00:33:01.540 go find the information what do you think

00:33:05.420 do you think that Musk was violating his

00:33:08.360 own rules by by banning them because

00:33:13.000 free speech is his highest principle or was

00:33:16.320 this personal was it was this just him

00:33:20.620 being personal and it was just about him

00:33:23.560 and his family or was it was he reducing

00:33:28.680 incitement of violence what do you think

00:33:32.660 how do you feel about it let me give you my

00:33:39.860 opinion he's a father his son was threatened

00:33:46.420 by somebody who knew his who knew his

00:33:49.340 location he's acting like a father if you

00:33:56.180 have a problem with that too bad too bad

00:34:01.740 how about how about your opinion of how

00:34:04.220 he's fathering don't care don't care how

00:34:08.900 about if he was inconsistent with his

00:34:11.940 principles of free speech

00:34:13.420 fuck you

00:34:16.640 that totally doesn't matter completely

00:34:20.780 irrelevant what was Musk doing something

00:34:23.700 to protect his family yes does it have some

00:34:27.640 impact on us yes do you think that the

00:34:31.500 impact on you is so great that a father

00:34:35.740 should not protect his children of course

00:34:39.480 not no Elon you can do anything you want to

00:34:42.520 protect your children I mean within reason

00:34:44.460 of course no fine I don't care if he broke

00:34:47.500 the law I mean he certainly he certainly you

00:34:52.680 know was close to the gray area on free

00:34:55.060 speech and some people have said he was

00:34:57.620 being inconsistent I don't care I don't

00:35:01.180 care I don't care if he murdered somebody if

00:35:05.420 there was somebody who had it coming and he

00:35:06.980 was saving his family right no I don't care

00:35:09.820 what he did if if he was protecting his

00:35:12.800 family in the in the midst of a a very direct

00:35:16.740 risk that's the end of the that's the end of

00:35:22.340 the conversation if there's anything else you

00:35:24.840 want to talk about that I don't want to hear

00:35:26.340 it dad mode beats every mode dad mode beats

00:35:31.980 the law dad mode beats this the science dad mode

00:35:35.680 beats your doctor dad mode beats your free speech

00:35:39.800 there's no conversation to be out here and and if

00:35:44.680 you don't think he did the right thing to

00:35:46.100 protect his kids well fuck you too because it's

00:35:49.440 not your kid it's his kid he did something

00:35:53.140 clearly intended to protect them end of story

00:35:57.920 end of story you can talk about what was

00:36:01.280 legal or illegal or you know consistent or

00:36:05.600 inconsistent don't care don't care why can't we

00:36:09.380 just be humans why can't we just treat it like

00:36:12.380 human beings for just a minute right how

00:36:14.960 about he's a human he's a human with a family

00:36:17.820 he protected them good for you good for you

00:36:21.660 now what's happened since then is he's he ran a

00:36:24.320 poll asking if they should be unsuspended and I

00:36:27.860 don't know if he means all of them because I

00:36:30.040 thought that some of them were permanent but

00:36:32.700 he's he's talking about unsuspending them and he's

00:36:35.940 asking whether you should do it right away or in

00:36:37.840 seven days so he's making you think past the

00:36:40.880 sale so he's already suggested he's going to

00:36:43.380 unsuspend them and that's his decision right and I

00:36:49.020 have no problem with his decision on that again it's

00:36:52.060 it's just so personal I'm going to stay out of

00:36:54.400 it

00:36:55.060 that end of story shut down line is

00:36:59.940 unbecoming

00:37:00.500 let me say it a different way I wouldn't have

00:37:06.040 interest in any other argument but of course you

00:37:09.100 have the right you know the privilege of arguing

00:37:12.360 anything you want I'm just saying I wouldn't have

00:37:14.560 any interest personally in listening to it

00:37:16.320 because it's not going to affect me all right

00:37:21.260 what do you think do you think what about the

00:37:23.700 concept so I'm going to agree with him on just

00:37:26.720 being a good dad in this instance but what do you

00:37:30.500 think about the concept of people publishing his

00:37:34.300 data now some people said that the data that was

00:37:37.840 being used was already public do you think that

00:37:41.060 matters the data was already public does that

00:37:44.920 matter now that doesn't matter now if you make

00:37:47.500 it easier for somebody to stalk him again

00:37:51.260 that's kind of all you need to know right it

00:37:54.820 doesn't matter there's available somewhere where

00:37:57.660 nobody's looking your average stalker is not

00:38:01.300 going to be that clever I mean if it's presented

00:38:03.680 to them they might act but they probably don't

00:38:06.040 know how to go get it probably wouldn't even

00:38:08.380 thought of it and how many stalkers would have

00:38:10.860 thought if I can if I can find that obscure

00:38:13.960 source and track his plane like who was even

00:38:17.740 thinking that until it was public and then you

00:38:20.960 think about it of course all right so it looks

00:38:25.620 like Musk probably saw that he was getting a lot

00:38:27.400 of heat and we'll look to soften that position

00:38:29.800 and that's again that's his decision

00:38:33.060 Elon is saying it was not publicly accessible

00:38:37.420 let's either way I mean that that that's a good

00:38:41.500 fact check if that's right so I would be I

00:38:44.140 appreciate the fact check but I don't think it

00:38:46.640 change anything all right so some of you may not

00:38:59.640 want to hang around for this topic here's what

00:39:03.460 we're not going to do we're not going to talk about

00:39:07.420 whether masks are a good idea because there's

00:39:11.480 nobody nobody's pro mask here right there's no pro

00:39:15.260 mask person here I mean you're welcome if you are

00:39:19.520 but I just expect there aren't any and why say pro

00:39:24.300 mask I mean in terms of a mandate right mandate okay

00:39:30.140 but can I tell you can I tell you an interesting story

00:39:36.260 that's in the domain of masks without getting into a

00:39:40.920 conversation about whether they work okay is that

00:39:44.240 possible because you know we're all just getting mad at

00:39:47.380 each other if we have that conversation right let's just

00:39:49.460 not do it we're all on the same side no masks okay but

00:39:53.880 something interesting happened this morning it really

00:39:56.900 interesting and I've told you that I like to show you

00:40:01.400 examples of people triggered into cognitive dissonance

00:40:05.140 right because the more you see the more you can recognize

00:40:09.320 it on your own sometimes you just think people are acting

00:40:12.560 dumb or maybe they were unclear but cognitive dissonance is

00:40:16.940 really its own thing and once you can recognize it it really

00:40:19.880 makes your life better because when you see it you know that

00:40:23.300 arguing the facts is useless right so I won't name names but

00:40:30.160 there's a woman on Twitter who's an expert on mask effectiveness

00:40:36.180 and I think even more of an expert since COVID so subject matter

00:40:41.140 expert and somebody who's looked at a lot of the science and

00:40:44.640 the and the stuff to find out what works and what doesn't

00:40:47.260 and her conclusion was and again we're not going to argue

00:40:51.120 this okay so this is not about mask effectiveness we will not be

00:40:56.280 talking about that so she she said essentially your search

00:41:02.700 her research shows that masks are ineffective you all good so

00:41:08.080 far there's an expert that agrees with all of you looked at all

00:41:12.320 the details said masks don't seem to be effective all right now I

00:41:19.580 intentionally triggered her into cognitive dissonance meaning I said oh if I say

00:41:25.860 this she's going to be triggered into cognitive dissonance and here's what I

00:41:30.420 said are you saying now I'm paraphrasing everything so these are not exact

00:41:36.240 words so I said do you buy into the viral load idea that if you were talking directly into

00:41:47.060 somebody's mouth and nobody had a mask with those people who got infected have the same

00:41:54.320 outcome and live as long as someone who was on the other side of the room and let's say

00:42:00.580 you were both masked and they still got infected because there's you know there's virus in the air

00:42:06.600 so let's say in both cases they got infected one got like a huge dose of virus right in the face

00:42:13.300 the other one got a little trace but they both got infected so my question is do they they both have

00:42:20.160 the same outcome do they both die does one of them get sicker right so that was my question do you

00:42:29.340 understand why that would trigger cognitive dissonance do you see it do you see how that's a guarantee of

00:42:36.200 trigger yeah you can see it right because you can't answer the question without debunking your own

00:42:44.800 position you can't and and so that that causes you to be spun into cognitive dissonance now what are

00:42:55.580 the tells for cognitive dissonance that I've taught you what would you expect would be the outcome of

00:43:01.540 that word salad word salad so I'm going to read the response and I want to you see if this sounds like

00:43:13.140 a good response that for some reason I don't understand or does it seem like word salad and

00:43:19.240 maybe intentionally not answering okay so here's the exact answer now keep in mind that the other

00:43:26.740 communication from the same person was very clear so this is a person who writes and speaks clearly

00:43:33.460 and I can see it you know plainly in the other responses but as soon as I said oh my god I'm going

00:43:41.040 to trigger you into cognitive dissonance this was the exact response aerosol dynamics and plumes created

00:43:50.000 by different apparatuses as the main thing that was sold that is false is the concept of masks as source

00:43:56.760 control for aerosols I'm going to read it again aerosol dynamics and plumes created by different

00:44:07.520 apparatuses as the main thing that was sold that is false is the concept of masks as source control

00:44:13.820 for aerosols now that's word salad right now if if she were someone who was if this were a bad

00:44:24.640 communicator what would you say you say oh that's just another bad communicator right but I asked a

00:44:32.620 really simple question that has a yes no answer the two people in the room do they get just as sick

00:44:39.880 or not yes no yes no this is cognitive dissonance now is this helpful because I'm trying not to

00:44:51.280 the reason I'm not using a name is I don't want to throw somebody under the bus because cognitive

00:44:58.680 dissonance is not something anybody controls you don't choose to have it you're a victim of it

00:45:05.040 right so she's having in my opinion my semi qualified professional opinion is that this is the most

00:45:14.160 classic case of word salad and cognitive dissonance you'll ever see now what would you predict

00:45:22.060 if I followed up with clarifications oh that doesn't answer my question can you put it in a yes no

00:45:30.320 yes no these two situations do they have the same outcome how did she answer what would you predict

00:45:39.300 she interpreted my word outcome to mean do they both get infected

00:45:45.120 and then she said they both can get infected does that tell you that masks work or don't that work

00:45:54.860 that both you with the trace amount you can get infected but also if it got blown directly in your

00:46:03.180 face you could also get infected so does that tell you masks work or they don't work

00:46:08.760 it tells you what we know that the masks don't stop all infection right so everybody agrees with that

00:46:19.200 but what did she leave out is there something obviously left out she said both can get infected

00:46:27.600 but do they just as often just as often now they might and by the way I would completely believe that

00:46:38.740 I wouldn't disbelieve that because the the virus is so viral that I can believe that getting a little

00:46:46.240 bit of it guarantees you get infected just as much as if you get a lot of it now I don't know that

00:46:52.120 that's true but if I learned that it was true I'd say okay that's a really infectious infection there

00:46:59.300 which we knew all right so so then do you imagine that I clarified no you're you're thinking of

00:47:07.920 outcomes in terms of infection that's not the question I'm speaking of outcomes specifically

00:47:14.720 about do you live or die what do you think happened then well what's that what would somebody in

00:47:22.280 cognitive dissonance do if you continue to narrow down word salad again and what else what else would

00:47:30.900 anger there you go yeah then it starts getting emotional right now she did a good job let me get

00:47:37.900 let me get a compliment I thought she did an unusually good job of not making it personal

00:47:43.080 but you could you could see it come up right I mean it was definitely there but she did a good job

00:47:48.440 do you think that she ever answered my direct question

00:47:52.700 of course not she continued to say I keep answering your question I kept saying no you're answering a

00:48:01.560 different question here's what you answered here's what I asked what would she say that

00:48:05.900 I keep answering your question and she would answer the wrong question again yeah that's cognitive

00:48:13.000 dissonance now do you if it sounds like I want to be very clear if it sounds like I'm describing

00:48:18.940 somebody who's not smart no very smart looking apparently has a lot of capabilities but I entered

00:48:28.980 her area of expertise and completely unmasked her in public no pun intended and that triggers

00:48:38.100 cognitive dissonance right now because the problem here was that it wasn't a scientific or data or

00:48:46.200 it wasn't a scientific or data problem there was a logic problem you know the logic is does

00:48:57.200 everybody have the same outcome if it's not being studied you don't know if masks make a difference

00:49:02.300 now let me ask you this

00:49:04.300 I think everyone said that they don't want mandatory masks

00:49:15.040 second question how many think that even though you don't want them that there might be some

00:49:23.340 situation where they might work a little bit like you know with your 85 year old grandmother who's

00:49:29.440 almost dead is there any situation in which you think well maybe that makes sense so would you wear

00:49:37.800 them around your 100 year old grandmother

00:49:39.800 i mean i think you would just for the placebo effect you know if it only made grandma feel better but

00:49:48.000 i i here's what i think i feel like we have conflated whether they make any difference

00:49:55.460 with the fact that we don't want them because nobody wants to admit that well there might be a

00:50:01.760 little benefit in some cases because as soon as you admit it then you got to wear masks right

00:50:07.800 the the moment you allow there might be might be a little bit of benefit and then it's a mandate

00:50:14.360 right so we we act like no it couldn't possibly work in any case but when you go to visit grandma

00:50:20.720 well suddenly you're a hypocrite aren't you no these masks are terrible they don't work

00:50:25.160 but you visit your grandmother you're going to put on a mask because you don't believe your own

00:50:31.880 opinions now that's not everybody right so maybe you're just doing it so grandma will feel better

00:50:41.280 but i suspect most people are inconsistent saying that masks totally don't work but at the same time

00:50:49.140 if it's your own grandmother you're going to put on a mask because yeah you never know

00:50:53.260 but but again i don't know if masks work or don't work but i don't see it in the big pictures

00:50:58.820 certainly certainly you don't see masks working at the country level would you agree you don't see

00:51:07.520 any masks working at at the level of the country like if you look when they're instituted you don't

00:51:13.420 see the signal so so it can't be working that much all right

00:51:22.820 ladies and gentlemen that went better than i thought i i think it helps i think it helps that

00:51:30.500 we all don't want masks so we don't have to argue about that

00:51:33.220 um do you remember i told you that uh there would be a hit piece about me coming out pretty soon

00:51:42.760 have you seen it apparently somebody named i don't know if i have the name right jordan

00:51:50.980 shechtel or something is that a real person uh wrote some kind of a substack um targeting me

00:52:01.060 and and some other people i think and the the essence of it was that we found out who these

00:52:07.780 people really were and then he spread some fake news about me by misinterpreting a tweet

00:52:13.620 and decided that i'm uh on the side of evil for being so wrong and i must be ostracized from all

00:52:22.100 society now he's a conservative so i didn't expect that it would be coming from that side

00:52:30.660 uh now here's some background when you read something like that

00:52:34.500 would you know that i had uh blocked him on twitter long ago and how do you think you felt about

00:52:42.900 it it's always personal yeah there's a lot of stuff you see that you think is just somebody analyzing

00:52:49.860 something it turns out it's just personal it was just personal so he made up some fake

00:52:55.220 shit because he's a piece of jordan lying stupid piece of shit uh but because not everybody knows

00:53:05.140 he's a lying stupid angry piece of shit a lot of people thought it was true and so i spent all of

00:53:12.020 yesterday uh charging up you know getting more energy oh by the way i was watching edu tate just

00:53:21.220 totally plagiarized me in a video yesterday somebody asked him what's the the worst advice

00:53:27.620 he goes oh follow your passion that's the worst advice follow your passion and he just basically

00:53:34.020 plagiarizes plagiarizes me and he plagiarizes me a lot which is interesting because you know he's

00:53:42.820 he got mad when i criticized him once so he's my my enemy forever i guess but but for what it's worth

00:53:51.620 i have to say he puts on a good show puts on a good show he's accomplishing exactly what he's trying

00:53:59.140 to accomplish he's doing it in public everybody's watching it's a good show it's a good show

00:54:06.020 um

00:54:13.780 then i saw somebody else getting on uh james clear who wrote the the huge bestseller i think it might

00:54:21.060 be one of the biggest or the biggest uh best-selling business book of all time i mean it's just a monster

00:54:26.660 book called atomic habits and somebody accused him of borrowing my systems versus goals concept

00:54:36.420 and he slapped him down on twitter and he said quite clearly that he credits me for that idea in the

00:54:42.420 book which he does i mean it's very clear it's transparent so i i've never i've never criticized

00:54:48.900 him for that he always gives me credit and he does he does it very aggressively too he does it in public

00:54:54.420 he does it on twitter he does it in the book that's full credit

00:54:59.620 um and then what else what else he did is he packaged that with with other ideas and did it really

00:55:05.700 well so when you you write a book it's not all about brand new ideas sometimes it's how you package

00:55:12.260 him and he must have done that extraordinarily well um the biosphere yeah

00:55:24.900 what about coveted passports are are there let me ask are there still some idiots on youtube who think

00:55:30.660 i was uh promoting coveted passports can you show yourselves i want to see how many idiots came over

00:55:36.420 who actually believe that idiots raise your hands how many believe that i supported and promoted

00:55:43.460 uh passports joe joe is raising his hands as an idiot thank you any other idiots who like to show

00:55:51.220 themselves come on come on yeah come on show yourselves come on don't be shy you know there's a lot of you

00:56:02.020 here there we go philip is uh volunteering to say he's an idiot thank you philip uh

00:56:14.820 go come on anybody else

00:56:19.940 all right now some people say scott why do you not just let it go like it's it's just people

00:56:28.660 talking and why do you argue with them online do you know why do you not know why do i have to tell

00:56:37.300 you why i do it number one i'm an energy monster so i i gain energy every time i fight online you don't

00:56:48.740 want to fight with somebody who gains energy from it like like it's crazy i don't know if they gained

00:56:54.980 any energy but it's all good for me secondly if somebody says that something's so destructive to

00:57:01.620 your your reputation you have to put down a um at least make a good try of correcting the record

00:57:11.140 in roughly the same area that somebody's going to find it right if somebody finds the false claim

00:57:16.500 you want to make sure that you've you know laid down a good saturation of the correct information just

00:57:21.700 so his historians can find it so so part of it is just making sure the record is correct but it's

00:57:28.500 also necessary to what i do because if i if people start rumors that i got stuff wrong that i didn't get

00:57:36.020 wrong it detracts from my credibility and that's the only thing i offer that's it the only thing i'm

00:57:44.500 offering to you is my credibility the fact that i'm not paid to say what i say that i have a little

00:57:52.420 bit of analytical abilities and that you could trust that if i disagree with you i'm going to tell you

00:57:58.740 i'm not going to agree with you to be your friend right so if i lose any of that because some idiot troll

00:58:07.140 didn't understand a tweet and has a you know personal problem with me well then i try to correct

00:58:13.460 it because there's no downside to me i had a good day yesterday if you think i didn't then you don't

00:58:20.260 understand how any of this works you were paid in appreciation well thank you

00:58:26.500 kind of i don't know immature though scott doesn't make you look like a calm reasonable intellect

00:58:42.180 so michael has a good point he says that the way i do it doesn't make me look like a calm

00:58:49.060 what was the word i'm agreeing with you here uh doesn't make me look mature

00:58:54.740 or calm or reasonable intellect

00:59:00.500 so why why do i act that way is it because i don't know how not to

00:59:06.340 anybody want to answer this question why do i act in a way that can be

00:59:11.060 accurately construed as looking immature and

00:59:17.220 it's part of the show yeah i'm doing it to rile people up

00:59:21.620 because it makes their uh their their logic fall apart faster it's just part of the process

00:59:31.060 if somebody is irrational and you can get them angry then their irrationality just multiplies so

00:59:36.500 everybody can see it it's just part of the process just enjoy the enjoy the show

00:59:40.820 anything i say on twitter you know it might be like exactly how i'm feeling and i might say it exactly

00:59:50.020 the same in person but twitter is a performance it's a performance uh platform would you agree

00:59:57.860 it's a performance platform so some of its performance and if i can get you to be a little bit mad at me

01:00:05.940 does that make you less likely to look or more likely so that's the energy monster thing

01:00:12.260 uh

01:00:20.500 and wicked lefty says i thought you were authentic that is authentic

01:00:26.820 do you not understand what authentic is authentic is i modify my approach for every situation

01:00:34.340 like all real people do that's what a real person does you talk to a child like a parent you talk to

01:00:42.020 a cop a different way you talk to your boss a different way when you're on the stage you talk

01:00:47.700 differently than you do to one person when i do a live stream it's a different persona but they're all real

01:00:58.980 how is does that seem confusing to you in any way is there anybody who doesn't understand

01:01:03.860 that i modify for the platform should i not

01:01:12.580 all right you treat everyone basically the same well you probably don't live stream

01:01:20.020 miss america is a nuclear engineering student well there's an interesting factoid

01:01:25.780 a goatee would make me look more intellectual

01:01:28.100 i've resisted the facial hair

01:01:35.940 did i misinterpret that your passport tweet suggested they were harmless yes you did you

01:01:42.500 did because i didn't make that statement did i

01:01:46.580 you you read into it something i didn't say i never gave you an opinion of whether they're harmless or not

01:01:52.740 harmless

01:01:56.180 i did tell you that they can already track you and turn off your uh turn off your bank

01:02:03.780 so i i did i did offer uh contrast right and context

01:02:12.660 um usually the balder the head the bigger the beard well it makes sense right because the the beard is

01:02:19.780 also the way that you detract from the top of your head so i understand why people do it i just like

01:02:25.140 the shape of my head

01:02:28.100 maybe maybe that's the difference have you ever noticed that there's a big difference

01:02:32.980 with you know bald people they don't all have the ideal head shape but i like my head shape

01:02:39.620 i'm not really trying to detract from it

01:02:46.020 that's where i'm wrong

01:02:53.700 unblock sticks sticks doesn't care

01:02:59.700 sticks has been a dick to me in the past

01:03:02.580 uh so it's not his first offense and by the way why why should i expose myself to people who are

01:03:10.740 not nice to me if i don't need to well what would be the purpose of that for me like what what's in that for me

01:03:20.660 yeah it doesn't matter that doesn't matter if he has a good feeling about me

01:03:25.540 that's that's not relevant i care about how he treats me

01:03:28.660 i care about how he treats me that's all

01:03:37.140 all right um

01:03:42.660 all right let's uh let's call this good and youtube i love you i'll talk to you tomorrow

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - December 16, 2022

Episode 1959 Scott Adams： Everything The Government Told You Was A Lie. Plenty Of Examples Today

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