Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 2360 CWSA 01⧸21⧸24

00:00:00.000 able to tell by the very first story.

00:00:03.980 Do you ever turn on a movie or a TV show and you're positive you can

00:00:08.160 tell if you will like that TV or movie show in the first

00:00:12.040 30 seconds? You all do that, right?

00:00:16.620 It's like 30 seconds and you know if you want to watch that show.

00:00:21.020 Well, probably the same with me. Our first story

00:00:24.280 is the actor LeVar Burton, who is black,

00:00:27.880 which is important to the story and not a racist comment.

00:00:32.120 He was shocked to discover that he's descended from a Confederate

00:00:35.680 soldier. Now, I don't know if he has

00:00:39.860 any slaveholders on his side, but

00:00:42.960 I just wonder how much he owes himself in reparations.

00:00:49.480 Alright, that's my first joke, but I swear

00:00:51.640 I've got a few seconds left. I can do better. I can do better. Don't leave.

00:00:55.620 Don't leave me. I can do better. Alright, we'll try.

00:01:00.540 Here's some fake science from NBC News

00:01:03.180 on weed. Now, every time you see NBC News

00:01:07.900 as a source of a story, what should your brain

00:01:11.060 say to you to keep you on track?

00:01:14.860 Your brain should say to you,

00:01:16.380 I don't know if this is true, but smart people

00:01:19.820 tell me that NBC News is really just an organ of the CIA.

00:01:23.460 So any message that is

00:01:26.060 in their news, you could

00:01:27.980 imagine, I can't confirm this

00:01:30.180 to be true, it's merely an allegation,

00:01:32.440 that it's what the government

00:01:34.100 wants you to know, or at least

00:01:36.100 the CIA.

00:01:38.160 Do you think the government wants you to

00:01:40.060 smoke less weed? Probably.

00:01:42.780 Yeah, probably they do.

00:01:44.620 So now NBC News

00:01:45.860 says that

00:01:47.300 the science, you know, there's more

00:01:50.120 weed smoking than ever. It's at a

00:01:52.040 high level. And they say that it's now

00:01:54.640 it might be linked to certain heart issues.

00:01:58.140 Oh, well, that's pretty serious.

00:02:00.780 It might be linked to certain heart issues.

00:02:04.080 Do you know what else might be linked

00:02:05.580 to certain heart issues?

00:02:08.940 Everything? Everything.

00:02:11.020 Now, if you saw a story like this,

00:02:12.580 a national story, you would say to yourself,

00:02:14.500 my God, it appears that the studies

00:02:16.880 show that

00:02:19.200 weed is linked to

00:02:20.600 heart disease.

00:02:22.740 But when you read the article, do you think

00:02:24.580 it'll say that?

00:02:25.620 Or will it say,

00:02:26.920 the studies are ambiguous?

00:02:29.360 They do not clearly show

00:02:31.000 a link.

00:02:32.060 But there might be.

00:02:33.480 There might be a link.

00:02:35.300 It's totally possible.

00:02:37.340 Do you know what data

00:02:38.900 they will not show you?

00:02:40.080 Here's the data that

00:02:42.180 this article will not show you,

00:02:44.000 nor will

00:02:44.800 any other article

00:02:46.600 on the harms of weed.

00:02:49.060 Here's the only data

00:02:50.180 that matters.

00:02:51.680 What is the mortality

00:02:52.920 and life expectancy rate

00:02:54.760 of

00:02:55.800 regular weed smokers

00:02:57.560 versus those who have

00:02:58.760 never touched it?

00:03:02.060 It's the same.

00:03:04.640 The only time

00:03:05.540 it's ever been studied,

00:03:07.120 it's the same.

00:03:08.440 Actually, weed smokers

00:03:09.500 might live longer

00:03:10.200 a little bit,

00:03:10.860 but not that much.

00:03:12.900 Yeah.

00:03:13.500 Now,

00:03:14.620 don't you think

00:03:16.320 that overall mortality

00:03:17.600 would be the simplest

00:03:18.580 thing to measure?

00:03:20.420 You know,

00:03:20.700 wouldn't it really jump out

00:03:22.020 if the overall mortality

00:03:23.840 was worse

00:03:24.500 for weed smokers?

00:03:26.460 Wouldn't you notice that?

00:03:28.580 Well, I think you would.

00:03:30.540 And some people argued,

00:03:32.600 but Scott,

00:03:33.140 don't you know

00:03:33.680 that weed smokers

00:03:35.240 have more,

00:03:36.620 what is it,

00:03:37.320 schizophrenia?

00:03:37.800 They have more

00:03:39.900 like mental problems.

00:03:41.940 To which I say,

00:03:43.380 I don't know.

00:03:44.760 Is that true?

00:03:46.880 How would we know that?

00:03:49.020 Isn't it more likely

00:03:50.100 that people have

00:03:50.780 mental problems

00:03:51.480 or drawn to weed

00:03:52.760 to help them

00:03:54.260 with their mental problems 0.59

00:03:55.320 as they see it?

00:03:57.520 Well, I don't know.

00:03:58.980 But I do know this.

00:04:01.340 Anytime you hear

00:04:02.180 somebody say

00:04:02.960 you should or should

00:04:03.800 not do something

00:04:04.640 because of its cost,

00:04:06.900 you are not dealing

00:04:08.260 with a smart person

00:04:09.180 because everything

00:04:11.180 has a cost.

00:04:12.620 I've got a recommendation

00:04:13.300 for you.

00:04:14.260 Stop eating food.

00:04:16.460 It just makes you fat.

00:04:18.960 Stop eating food.

00:04:20.240 It's taking your money.

00:04:22.360 So if something's

00:04:23.120 going to take your money

00:04:23.900 and make you fat,

00:04:24.660 you should stop doing it.

00:04:25.800 Am I right?

00:04:26.420 Because all you should

00:04:27.120 look at is the negative.

00:04:29.220 Why should you ever

00:04:30.020 look at the positives

00:04:30.860 and then weigh the positives

00:04:32.100 compared to the negatives?

00:04:33.800 No, we don't do that

00:04:35.100 in today's world.

00:04:35.880 No.

00:04:36.580 All we do is pick one side

00:04:38.380 and say that's all

00:04:39.260 you need to know.

00:04:40.880 If you're for marijuana,

00:04:42.260 you say,

00:04:42.760 it's medicinal.

00:04:45.540 Well, what about

00:04:46.400 the negatives?

00:04:47.900 It's medicinal.

00:04:49.480 Yeah, but what,

00:04:50.100 you know,

00:04:50.460 there is indication

00:04:51.560 there are some negatives.

00:04:52.960 It's medicinal.

00:04:54.500 And then you talk

00:04:55.120 to somebody who's anti-weed

00:04:56.260 and they'll say,

00:04:57.080 causes XYZ problems,

00:04:59.700 maybe.

00:05:00.840 Yeah, but what about

00:05:01.560 all the obvious

00:05:02.920 medical benefits

00:05:04.540 people get?

00:05:06.440 What about freedom?

00:05:08.500 It causes more schizophrenia,

00:05:10.660 we think,

00:05:11.160 but we're not sure.

00:05:13.140 So the arguments

00:05:14.560 on marijuana

00:05:15.340 are almost always fake

00:05:17.720 in both directions

00:05:20.180 because both sides

00:05:21.760 will just tell you

00:05:22.580 what's good

00:05:23.500 or what's bad

00:05:24.120 and they won't mention

00:05:24.920 the other side.

00:05:25.660 So all the weed stories

00:05:28.540 are fake.

00:05:30.260 Here's more fake science.

00:05:32.720 It's called

00:05:33.160 the fake science

00:05:33.920 of polling.

00:05:35.540 So the Wall Street Journal

00:05:37.360 looked at a study

00:05:39.400 that said that

00:05:40.280 they talked to a lot

00:05:41.660 of Trump supporters

00:05:42.780 who said,

00:05:44.040 well, we would vote for him

00:05:45.520 if he doesn't get convicted

00:05:46.940 of any crimes,

00:05:48.860 but if he's convicted

00:05:50.240 of a crime,

00:05:51.840 something like,

00:05:52.600 I don't know,

00:05:52.980 a quarter of the people

00:05:54.080 say they won't vote for him.

00:05:56.420 Is that a big problem

00:05:57.580 or a small problem?

00:05:58.560 Go in the comments.

00:06:01.360 Is that real news?

00:06:02.680 Real science?

00:06:03.660 Because the polling

00:06:04.580 is scientific, right?

00:06:06.800 All right.

00:06:07.120 Here's what's wrong with this.

00:06:09.880 People don't vote hypothetically.

00:06:13.760 So the question is,

00:06:15.300 hypothetically,

00:06:16.580 if he's convicted of a crime,

00:06:19.360 how would you vote?

00:06:20.500 That's not anything that's real.

00:06:22.940 Here's what would really happen

00:06:24.100 in the real world.

00:06:25.720 Trump gets convicted

00:06:26.720 of a crime,

00:06:28.400 the 20,

00:06:29.140 let's say 28%

00:06:30.380 or whatever it was,

00:06:31.560 who said that they would

00:06:32.520 never vote for him

00:06:33.800 if he's convicted

00:06:35.080 of a crime.

00:06:36.360 Now, the election's coming up.

00:06:38.000 It's in a few days,

00:06:39.040 you know, hypothetically.

00:06:40.160 And it's Biden versus Trump.

00:06:43.020 So somebody's going to look at

00:06:44.540 Trump being convicted

00:06:46.760 on any one of those charges,

00:06:48.540 and they're going to say,

00:06:50.420 you know what?

00:06:51.940 Given that,

00:06:53.840 I'm going to choose Biden.

00:06:56.200 In the real world,

00:06:58.520 in the real world,

00:06:59.920 you think that's going to happen.

00:07:01.160 But if you asked me

00:07:04.020 in a poll

00:07:04.640 what would I do,

00:07:07.260 there's a good chance

00:07:08.520 I'd say,

00:07:09.720 well, you know, pollster,

00:07:11.260 you called a upstanding citizen

00:07:13.700 who cares about the rule of law,

00:07:16.120 unlike those unwashed heathens 1.00

00:07:19.160 out in the rest of the world.

00:07:20.740 I am the kind of person

00:07:22.760 with a strong moral core,

00:07:24.980 and ethical behavior

00:07:26.160 is the most important thing for me.

00:07:28.140 So let me tell you hypothetically,

00:07:30.180 because it doesn't matter at all,

00:07:31.720 it's just a way for me

00:07:32.820 to feel good about myself,

00:07:34.340 I would never vote

00:07:35.560 for somebody convicted of a crime.

00:07:37.880 That would never happen.

00:07:39.060 So go write that down.

00:07:40.780 Go write that down,

00:07:41.680 because that's true.

00:07:44.700 All right, here's the real world.

00:07:47.440 In the real world,

00:07:50.240 let's say Trump gets convicted of,

00:07:53.440 I don't know,

00:07:54.300 whatever bullshit

00:07:55.080 they're talking about now.

00:07:56.960 I lose track,

00:07:58.720 because none of it seems real to me.

00:08:00.300 It all just seems made up.

00:08:01.980 So he gets convicted of some thing.

00:08:03.700 It doesn't even matter what,

00:08:05.580 as long as it's one of the things

00:08:07.300 he's charged with.

00:08:08.780 So there's nothing new

00:08:09.780 in this example.

00:08:11.480 So he gets charged with,

00:08:12.900 let's say convicted of any one

00:08:15.020 of the 91 counts,

00:08:16.400 any one of them.

00:08:18.660 What does the left-leaning media

00:08:20.920 say about it?

00:08:22.360 And what is the right-leaning media?

00:08:23.860 Well, the left-leaning would say,

00:08:25.540 he is disqualified.

00:08:27.200 But the right-leaning media,

00:08:29.620 having now really only one chance

00:08:32.100 of controlling the presidency,

00:08:34.360 just Trump,

00:08:35.540 do you think that they would report it

00:08:37.400 as, you know,

00:08:39.040 until that conviction,

00:08:41.480 we really thought this Trump

00:08:43.080 might be a viable candidate,

00:08:44.600 but now he's not.

00:08:45.760 Now he's not.

00:08:46.880 So probably all you people

00:08:49.060 watching Fox News,

00:08:50.740 you should probably just vote

00:08:52.000 for Biden now,

00:08:53.000 because, you know,

00:08:53.640 at least he's not convicted

00:08:54.660 of anything.

00:08:55.820 Is that going to happen?

00:08:57.780 Or is it more likely

00:08:59.500 that the pundits

00:09:01.080 and supporters of Trump

00:09:02.380 will say,

00:09:03.120 you know what?

00:09:04.220 That was a bullshit charge

00:09:06.260 with a bullshit crime

00:09:08.240 and a bullshit conviction

00:09:10.000 in a totally biased

00:09:11.400 bullshit court.

00:09:13.140 I'm going to vote for him twice.

00:09:15.940 Which is more likely?

00:09:16.980 It's far more likely

00:09:20.000 he'll get more popular.

00:09:21.840 It's far more likely.

00:09:23.560 And why is the Wall Street Journal

00:09:25.600 even pretending?

00:09:27.580 This must be some kind

00:09:29.000 of a Nikki Haley play, right?

00:09:32.280 Something to get Nikki Haley

00:09:33.840 slotted in there?

00:09:35.500 Because there's no way

00:09:36.680 anybody's dumb enough

00:09:38.080 to think that if Trump

00:09:39.680 gets convicted

00:09:40.380 on a bullshit charge, 0.63

00:09:41.680 which are the only ones

00:09:42.620 there are,

00:09:43.440 there aren't any real ones,

00:09:44.940 that's my opinion,

00:09:46.980 you're thinking people

00:09:49.580 are going to drop him

00:09:50.300 for Biden because of that?

00:09:52.340 So you're going to drop Trump

00:09:54.260 because he was abused

00:09:56.180 by the government

00:09:56.940 he's trying to fix.

00:09:59.380 So you want more

00:10:00.540 of the abuse.

00:10:01.800 You're going to vote

00:10:02.380 for more Republicans

00:10:03.540 being hunted and abused.

00:10:05.780 That's never going to happen.

00:10:08.900 There isn't the slightest chance

00:10:10.920 that won't make Trump

00:10:12.520 more popular.

00:10:15.560 All right.

00:10:15.900 So that's some good

00:10:17.740 fake polling.

00:10:21.580 What's the name

00:10:22.260 of that fake group

00:10:26.060 of white supremacists?

00:10:27.540 What are they called?

00:10:28.420 Stormfront or something?

00:10:30.040 Do I have the name right?

00:10:32.340 Oh, Patriot Front.

00:10:33.860 Why did I say Stormfront?

00:10:35.300 Is that something?

00:10:37.060 Patriot Front.

00:10:38.800 So the Patriot Front,

00:10:41.160 these are the guys

00:10:41.900 who wear their nice khakis

00:10:43.220 and they put in, you know,

00:10:44.780 really full masks,

00:10:46.020 the kind that are really masks.

00:10:47.680 You know, they're covering

00:10:48.240 even the backs of their heads.

00:10:50.040 They don't even want

00:10:50.680 their ears to show.

00:10:52.400 That's how serious they are.

00:10:54.240 So they're out marching again.

00:10:57.260 I don't think there's

00:10:58.340 a single Republican

00:10:59.480 who thinks that's

00:11:00.360 anything but feds.

00:11:02.580 Do any of you believe

00:11:03.900 that's a genuine organization?

00:11:06.000 Even one of you?

00:11:06.740 Now, here's what I do believe.

00:11:11.160 There probably are real

00:11:12.900 racists in the group.

00:11:15.760 But I don't think

00:11:16.640 they're the organizers.

00:11:18.560 I think they just make sure

00:11:19.820 there's some real ones in there

00:11:20.940 in case they get caught.

00:11:22.500 They can say,

00:11:22.980 this is a real one.

00:11:24.640 All right, so sure.

00:11:25.900 Sure, we had a fed or two

00:11:27.260 because that's what we do.

00:11:28.720 We infiltrate.

00:11:29.960 But look, this guy's real.

00:11:32.940 Look at his social media.

00:11:34.840 Total racist.

00:11:35.680 I told you.

00:11:37.780 Aren't you glad

00:11:38.800 we infiltrated this group?

00:11:40.160 Because look at that guy.

00:11:41.520 Just look at him.

00:11:42.740 All racist all over.

00:11:45.980 I think it's funny

00:11:47.140 that they're trying

00:11:48.540 all the same tricks

00:11:49.740 that we figured out.

00:11:51.940 I don't think

00:11:52.720 there's any chance

00:11:53.460 they're real.

00:11:54.040 Do you?

00:11:55.340 I actually have reduced

00:11:56.700 the odds of them

00:11:57.540 being a real organization

00:11:58.840 to zero.

00:12:00.060 There was a time

00:12:00.720 when I thought it was,

00:12:01.460 well, you know, 90-10.

00:12:03.520 10% chance

00:12:04.540 it might be real.

00:12:05.680 You know,

00:12:06.040 you could be wrong

00:12:06.720 about stuff like that.

00:12:08.080 But now I think

00:12:08.900 there's no chance at all.

00:12:10.480 It's actually hilariously fake

00:12:12.500 because as many people

00:12:14.680 said today

00:12:15.140 on social media,

00:12:16.280 if these guys were real,

00:12:18.880 the media would be

00:12:19.740 all over it.

00:12:20.780 The regular media

00:12:22.120 would have uncovered

00:12:23.040 their secret lair.

00:12:25.380 There'd be stories

00:12:26.100 about their leadership,

00:12:27.880 you know,

00:12:28.120 and how the FBI

00:12:29.240 is on their trail

00:12:31.960 and all that stuff.

00:12:33.680 Yeah.

00:12:34.040 The fact that there's

00:12:35.140 no story about

00:12:36.040 their real identities,

00:12:38.060 it's exactly

00:12:40.200 what it looks like.

00:12:43.000 All right.

00:12:43.520 Military recruitment

00:12:44.540 for white straight males

00:12:47.320 is way down.

00:12:48.740 Like, way, way down.

00:12:50.460 Are you surprised?

00:12:52.140 Why would,

00:12:52.900 why would straight white males

00:12:55.300 not want to join the military?

00:12:57.420 Could it be

00:12:57.940 because of all the DEI?

00:12:59.540 Of course it is.

00:13:00.820 I mean,

00:13:01.220 what else would it be?

00:13:02.700 Why would you join

00:13:03.480 an organization

00:13:04.260 that tells you

00:13:05.380 from the start

00:13:06.080 they're going to

00:13:06.680 discriminate against you?

00:13:09.440 Now,

00:13:09.760 they would say

00:13:10.200 they don't do that.

00:13:11.620 They would say

00:13:12.120 that they're just trying

00:13:12.860 to get some diversity.

00:13:14.560 But it's all the same.

00:13:16.660 In terms of its impact

00:13:18.260 on a straight white man,

00:13:21.340 it's all the same.

00:13:23.020 Now,

00:13:23.700 I don't mind

00:13:25.100 if people like Mark Cuban

00:13:26.280 pretend that they

00:13:27.720 don't understand

00:13:28.400 why it's bad.

00:13:29.880 He's running a company

00:13:31.040 and, you know,

00:13:32.300 as a leader

00:13:32.960 he might want

00:13:33.620 to support diversity

00:13:34.620 and that impulse

00:13:36.680 is all good.

00:13:38.600 I like the impulse.

00:13:40.600 So he's,

00:13:41.360 I think he's defending

00:13:42.480 his employees

00:13:43.720 and defending his companies

00:13:45.000 and he's,

00:13:46.640 let's say,

00:13:48.140 establishing his brand

00:13:49.360 as being very

00:13:50.920 diversity conscious.

00:13:54.180 The way he's doing it

00:13:55.540 is arguing that

00:13:56.420 DEI is good 0.99

00:13:57.260 in general,

00:13:57.920 which he's not

00:14:00.560 dumb enough

00:14:00.960 to actually believe.

00:14:03.100 So,

00:14:03.780 I'm going to assume

00:14:04.680 the best,

00:14:06.300 which is that

00:14:07.040 he's super smart,

00:14:08.140 super capable.

00:14:09.320 It probably is good

00:14:10.520 for him

00:14:10.920 and his companies

00:14:11.620 to present himself

00:14:13.740 as a DEI supporter,

00:14:16.420 probably.

00:14:17.240 but,

00:14:18.960 but anyway,

00:14:21.320 so here's my question

00:14:22.320 about the military.

00:14:23.460 Why would any

00:14:24.120 straight white man

00:14:25.220 join the military

00:14:26.560 when they're being

00:14:28.340 discriminated against?

00:14:30.600 It's the opposite

00:14:31.440 of what you would

00:14:32.220 fight for.

00:14:33.140 This is what I,

00:14:34.080 this is a country

00:14:34.800 I would fight against,

00:14:35.980 not for.

00:14:37.680 If my country says

00:14:39.060 I'm going to discriminate 0.99

00:14:39.920 against people like you, 0.82

00:14:41.480 I'm not going to join

00:14:42.920 to fight

00:14:43.680 for you.

00:14:44.960 No,

00:14:46.960 I'm going to fight

00:14:47.460 against you

00:14:48.300 because you just said

00:14:49.400 you're my enemy,

00:14:50.720 that you're,

00:14:51.260 you're going to

00:14:51.720 discriminate against me.

00:14:52.760 No,

00:14:53.020 I'm on the other side.

00:14:55.060 Let's be very clear.

00:14:56.740 You know,

00:14:57.020 I'm all American,

00:14:58.260 but I'm on the other

00:15:00.020 side from you.

00:15:01.560 So,

00:15:02.260 no,

00:15:02.540 I'm not going to join

00:15:03.440 your army

00:15:04.160 to fight against

00:15:05.700 people like me,

00:15:07.200 I guess.

00:15:07.720 I don't know.

00:15:08.760 So,

00:15:09.500 what's going to happen?

00:15:12.260 Here's my

00:15:13.040 provocative,

00:15:14.960 statement.

00:15:16.320 Remember,

00:15:16.700 I keep saying

00:15:17.800 the same thing

00:15:18.440 over and over

00:15:18.940 in different stories,

00:15:19.980 which is that people

00:15:21.140 like to look at

00:15:21.880 one part of the topic,

00:15:24.320 either just the benefits

00:15:25.680 or just the costs,

00:15:28.120 like the,

00:15:28.520 like the other side

00:15:29.180 doesn't even exist.

00:15:30.600 That's what DEI is.

00:15:32.540 Let me ask you this

00:15:33.400 and watch your,

00:15:34.000 watch your head explode.

00:15:35.960 Do you believe

00:15:36.900 there's ever been

00:15:37.720 an academic paper

00:15:39.540 or study

00:15:40.320 that looked at

00:15:42.200 what the effect

00:15:43.060 of DEI

00:15:43.900 would be

00:15:44.420 on straight

00:15:45.420 white males?

00:15:46.800 Do you think

00:15:47.500 that's ever been done?

00:15:48.960 Do you think

00:15:49.360 anybody ever said,

00:15:50.820 you know,

00:15:51.420 if we do this,

00:15:52.860 you know,

00:15:53.160 set of things

00:15:53.880 for DEI,

00:15:54.920 we're going to get

00:15:55.740 a bunch of benefits

00:15:56.700 for non-white,

00:15:59.600 non-male people.

00:16:01.080 And those benefits

00:16:02.140 would be good

00:16:02.760 for them.

00:16:03.980 Do I agree

00:16:04.980 with that?

00:16:06.080 Absolutely.

00:16:07.260 Yeah.

00:16:07.920 Totally.

00:16:09.280 Yeah.

00:16:09.860 If I were a person

00:16:11.060 of color,

00:16:11.640 I'd be all for it

00:16:12.540 because it'd be good

00:16:13.380 for me.

00:16:14.240 And you're allowed

00:16:14.960 to do that,

00:16:15.560 right?

00:16:16.120 In a democracy,

00:16:17.940 you're allowed

00:16:18.340 to say,

00:16:19.020 I'm in favor of that

00:16:19.740 because it's good

00:16:20.360 for me.

00:16:21.480 That's not unethical.

00:16:23.380 I like it

00:16:23.980 because it's good

00:16:24.520 for me.

00:16:25.320 We can all vote

00:16:26.040 that way.

00:16:26.560 You don't have to.

00:16:27.680 I mean,

00:16:27.880 if you don't,

00:16:28.820 I might respect

00:16:29.580 you even more.

00:16:30.480 But I'm not going

00:16:31.140 to disrespect you

00:16:32.220 if you vote

00:16:33.180 for your own interest

00:16:34.080 in a democracy,

00:16:35.220 your semi-democracy.

00:16:36.520 So I don't think

00:16:41.280 any white man,

00:16:42.740 straight white man

00:16:43.620 should have anything

00:16:44.260 to do with any

00:16:44.980 organization that has

00:16:45.840 DEI.

00:16:46.620 But here's the thing.

00:16:49.680 You know how some

00:16:50.320 people,

00:16:51.720 the racist people

00:16:52.840 like to say,

00:16:54.080 America was built 0.85

00:16:55.680 by all these white 0.94

00:16:56.700 people.

00:16:57.980 That always bothers

00:16:58.880 me, right?

00:16:59.560 Because obviously

00:17:00.260 a lot of people

00:17:01.040 contributed to building

00:17:02.300 the Chinese slaves

00:17:04.100 on the railroad

00:17:05.180 and the black slaves. 0.97

00:17:06.280 So a lot of people

00:17:06.980 built America.

00:17:08.700 But you know

00:17:10.740 what else made America?

00:17:12.900 It wasn't the building.

00:17:15.220 That's the part

00:17:15.880 we focus on.

00:17:16.860 You know,

00:17:17.020 the part where

00:17:17.480 the country is founded

00:17:19.340 and then,

00:17:20.680 you know,

00:17:21.040 from the founding

00:17:21.900 there's all these

00:17:22.980 great things

00:17:24.280 that great people

00:17:24.920 did to make it

00:17:25.640 the country it is.

00:17:27.280 And that's a good story.

00:17:28.380 It's all true.

00:17:29.480 But here's another way

00:17:30.240 to tell the same story.

00:17:32.300 America wasn't 0.87

00:17:33.100 about the building.

00:17:33.900 It was about

00:17:34.260 the leaving.

00:17:34.720 It was about

00:17:36.120 white men,

00:17:37.220 mostly.

00:17:37.940 I mean,

00:17:38.200 they took women. 0.72

00:17:39.840 But it was about

00:17:40.420 white men saying,

00:17:41.380 I'm going to get

00:17:41.740 the fuck out of this

00:17:42.640 place because it's

00:17:43.480 not for me.

00:17:44.600 And coming to America

00:17:45.780 because it wasn't

00:17:46.640 the place they were.

00:17:48.120 Leaving is what we do.

00:17:50.460 Right?

00:17:51.080 So if you want

00:17:52.400 the white straight men

00:17:53.900 to leave,

00:17:55.320 just create a system

00:17:56.640 that guarantees it,

00:17:57.680 which is what we have

00:17:58.440 now.

00:17:58.680 So when I say

00:18:00.320 I'm looking for

00:18:00.840 an alternative

00:18:01.360 to living in America,

00:18:03.340 it's not my first choice.

00:18:06.480 My first choice

00:18:07.280 is to stay right

00:18:08.020 where I am

00:18:08.540 and fix stuff.

00:18:09.820 But I'm not an idiot.

00:18:11.960 Right?

00:18:12.600 The pilgrims

00:18:13.460 probably wanted

00:18:14.000 to stay and fix

00:18:14.760 things too.

00:18:16.880 I'll bet

00:18:17.400 the pilgrims

00:18:17.960 gave at least

00:18:18.540 a little thought

00:18:19.340 to try to fix

00:18:20.800 it where they were.

00:18:22.080 They probably

00:18:22.700 complained.

00:18:24.140 Right?

00:18:24.660 It didn't work.

00:18:25.940 So in the end,

00:18:28.120 being the straight

00:18:29.240 white men

00:18:29.760 that they probably

00:18:30.460 mostly were,

00:18:33.340 they packed up

00:18:34.360 their women 0.63

00:18:34.800 and their children

00:18:35.440 and they said,

00:18:36.320 you know what?

00:18:37.420 Let's just go

00:18:38.140 where we don't have

00:18:38.820 to be bothered

00:18:39.400 by this stuff.

00:18:40.100 So they went

00:18:40.460 to America.

00:18:42.080 But it looks like

00:18:43.720 America is getting

00:18:44.540 spoiled in a similar

00:18:45.860 fashion to the places

00:18:46.900 they originally left.

00:18:49.060 So we should think

00:18:50.500 seriously about

00:18:52.700 leaving America.

00:18:54.340 not right away.

00:18:56.060 I mean,

00:18:56.320 it's not,

00:18:56.780 we're not at that point.

00:18:58.440 It's definitely worth saving

00:18:59.600 and, you know,

00:19:00.260 it looks like

00:19:00.780 corrective forces

00:19:01.600 are in play.

00:19:03.340 I think we'll be fine

00:19:04.520 in the long run,

00:19:05.200 actually.

00:19:05.580 I have an optimistic

00:19:06.440 view of America.

00:19:08.780 But,

00:19:09.380 as advice,

00:19:11.240 I always say

00:19:11.880 diversify your

00:19:13.020 portfolio

00:19:13.940 and always have

00:19:15.160 a backup plan.

00:19:17.320 So,

00:19:17.960 I think it's really

00:19:19.240 time for a backup plan

00:19:20.600 for white,

00:19:22.400 straight men 0.56

00:19:22.980 and the people

00:19:23.820 who like them

00:19:24.460 to find

00:19:26.000 another country.

00:19:27.500 And it turns out

00:19:28.560 that's completely

00:19:29.160 practical,

00:19:29.960 or almost,

00:19:31.260 through seasteading.

00:19:33.480 So,

00:19:34.160 I think seasteading

00:19:35.100 is going to be

00:19:35.700 where straight white

00:19:37.240 men escape,

00:19:38.940 essentially.

00:19:40.420 Because they can't go

00:19:41.580 where the majority vote

00:19:43.100 controls their lives

00:19:44.360 because they won't

00:19:44.920 be the majority.

00:19:46.800 So,

00:19:47.140 and by the way,

00:19:47.660 I would advise that

00:19:48.680 to anybody.

00:19:49.920 You know,

00:19:50.120 if you're abused

00:19:51.000 and you're a place

00:19:51.660 where you don't

00:19:52.720 have enough people

00:19:53.480 to vote

00:19:54.020 any improvement,

00:19:56.300 leave. 0.99

00:19:58.080 Because if people

00:19:58.960 are voting against you

00:20:00.240 and there's just

00:20:00.700 more of them

00:20:01.320 and it's not going

00:20:01.880 to change,

00:20:02.460 leave. 0.99

00:20:03.540 Go somewhere

00:20:04.200 where you can have

00:20:04.900 some control

00:20:05.500 over your life.

00:20:06.880 So,

00:20:07.060 I think seasteading

00:20:07.880 will be a thing.

00:20:08.700 Seasteading is where

00:20:09.400 you build a big

00:20:10.060 artificial boat

00:20:12.020 island that's so big

00:20:13.720 a bunch of people

00:20:14.320 live on it.

00:20:15.480 Now,

00:20:15.740 here's what's new.

00:20:16.440 I don't know

00:20:18.020 if you saw it

00:20:18.620 at the big

00:20:19.960 electronic trade show.

00:20:22.220 There's a device

00:20:23.500 that's about the size

00:20:24.580 of an outside air

00:20:25.500 conditioner that can

00:20:26.460 create water

00:20:27.220 out of air.

00:20:29.460 And that's what

00:20:29.960 you need if you're

00:20:30.640 going to be on the

00:20:31.040 ocean because you

00:20:31.660 can't just desalinate

00:20:32.840 very easily.

00:20:34.140 Desalination is

00:20:34.820 expensive.

00:20:35.660 You can do it

00:20:36.220 but it's expensive.

00:20:37.320 But this thing

00:20:37.920 just picks the water

00:20:39.200 out of the air.

00:20:39.860 There's no salt in it.

00:20:41.160 It can do it all day

00:20:41.980 long.

00:20:43.600 We can also make

00:20:44.620 the power

00:20:45.620 using temperature

00:20:47.760 differentials

00:20:48.620 which is perfect

00:20:50.140 for the ocean.

00:20:51.260 It's not great

00:20:52.020 if you're on a

00:20:52.580 moving ship

00:20:53.300 because you'd have

00:20:54.060 to have something

00:20:54.760 that's below the

00:20:57.120 water.

00:20:57.620 That's not good

00:20:58.180 if you're moving.

00:20:59.020 But if you're a city

00:20:59.880 you can go out there

00:21:01.920 and drop something

00:21:02.940 into the cold,

00:21:03.800 cold deep

00:21:04.700 put something else

00:21:06.140 above where it's

00:21:08.040 warmer

00:21:08.340 and it's the

00:21:09.380 temperature differential

00:21:10.400 called a sterling

00:21:11.800 engine basically

00:21:12.600 that creates

00:21:13.960 electricity.

00:21:14.460 and it's a

00:21:15.540 well-known

00:21:16.100 very old

00:21:17.460 technology

00:21:18.220 and very powerful.

00:21:19.600 Way more powerful

00:21:20.440 than people imagine

00:21:21.500 it is.

00:21:23.280 So,

00:21:23.940 oh that device

00:21:25.040 makes 110 gallons

00:21:26.180 of water a day.

00:21:28.180 Enough for your

00:21:28.960 family.

00:21:29.340 Just put one

00:21:29.800 next to your

00:21:30.260 place.

00:21:31.560 So now we have

00:21:32.320 between solar

00:21:33.640 and sterling

00:21:35.820 engines you have

00:21:36.540 all the power

00:21:37.100 you need

00:21:37.620 for your

00:21:38.440 seasteading.

00:21:39.560 You've got all

00:21:40.140 the fresh water

00:21:40.840 you need

00:21:41.240 with that

00:21:41.820 new technology.

00:21:44.220 I imagine

00:21:45.000 waste could

00:21:45.740 be handled

00:21:46.260 in a good

00:21:47.980 way or a bad

00:21:48.600 way because

00:21:48.940 you're in the

00:21:49.360 ocean.

00:21:50.720 It looks like

00:21:51.540 your food

00:21:52.160 would mostly

00:21:52.740 be right there

00:21:53.340 in the ocean

00:21:53.760 wouldn't it?

00:21:55.140 Don't you think

00:21:55.820 you'd be able

00:21:56.200 to fish yourself

00:21:57.200 up plenty

00:21:57.740 of protein?

00:21:59.180 And you

00:21:59.480 could probably

00:21:59.800 do some

00:22:00.340 vegetables and

00:22:01.260 stuff that you

00:22:01.880 could grow

00:22:02.260 in there.

00:22:02.920 I think

00:22:03.260 we're at a

00:22:03.680 point.

00:22:05.740 Yeah,

00:22:06.100 Kevin Costner

00:22:06.780 was not

00:22:07.180 wrong.

00:22:10.060 I think

00:22:10.700 we're at a

00:22:11.100 point where

00:22:11.540 building your

00:22:12.140 own nation

00:22:12.680 is going to

00:22:13.460 be completely

00:22:14.020 practical.

00:22:15.020 The only

00:22:15.300 thing you'd

00:22:15.620 have to

00:22:15.820 work out

00:22:16.180 is defense.

00:22:18.840 All right,

00:22:19.340 I've been

00:22:19.600 asked a lot

00:22:20.000 about Rob

00:22:20.500 Reiner,

00:22:21.400 who is

00:22:21.840 often active

00:22:22.880 on X

00:22:23.760 and old

00:22:24.760 Twitter,

00:22:25.420 and he would

00:22:25.800 be very

00:22:26.260 anti-Republican,

00:22:27.280 anti-Trump.

00:22:28.620 And he's

00:22:29.120 doing a,

00:22:29.600 I guess he's

00:22:30.780 doing a series

00:22:31.260 of podcasts

00:22:31.960 on who

00:22:33.540 killed JFK,

00:22:34.960 the JFK

00:22:35.540 assassination.

00:22:36.000 Now the

00:22:37.020 reason that

00:22:37.380 people are

00:22:37.760 curious and

00:22:38.580 say,

00:22:38.940 Scott,

00:22:39.220 what do

00:22:39.400 you think

00:22:39.640 about this,

00:22:40.460 is because

00:22:41.260 smart people

00:22:42.800 believe that

00:22:44.440 Rob Reiner

00:22:44.980 has a CIA

00:22:46.860 connection and

00:22:47.940 that his

00:22:48.640 political

00:22:49.840 activism might

00:22:51.100 be more

00:22:51.560 related to

00:22:52.660 our intelligence

00:22:53.680 agencies than

00:22:55.080 just his

00:22:55.620 pure singular

00:22:57.480 opinion.

00:22:58.540 Now I don't

00:22:58.980 know that,

00:22:59.740 no way to

00:23:00.180 prove it,

00:23:00.780 but we do

00:23:01.280 know that

00:23:01.600 Rob Reiner

00:23:02.020 has lots

00:23:02.640 of CIA

00:23:03.140 friends,

00:23:04.040 because he

00:23:04.500 just said

00:23:04.880 it yesterday.

00:23:06.000 I just

00:23:07.120 watched a

00:23:07.560 video where

00:23:08.000 he was

00:23:08.220 describing,

00:23:09.260 who was

00:23:09.860 he talking

00:23:10.240 to?

00:23:10.940 I forget

00:23:11.420 who he was

00:23:11.720 talking to,

00:23:12.200 one of the

00:23:12.500 podcasts,

00:23:13.540 and he

00:23:14.000 actually said

00:23:14.500 he knows

00:23:14.860 a lot of

00:23:15.180 CIA people.

00:23:16.900 And I

00:23:17.520 think Mike

00:23:17.920 Benz also

00:23:18.520 found that

00:23:19.860 he heads

00:23:20.820 an organization

00:23:21.620 that has a

00:23:22.900 number of

00:23:23.700 past CIA

00:23:25.100 leaders.

00:23:27.040 I think

00:23:27.500 Clapper is

00:23:28.040 actually in

00:23:28.500 an organization

00:23:29.180 that Rob

00:23:29.680 Reiner

00:23:29.940 organizes.

00:23:31.600 So we

00:23:33.980 know he

00:23:34.360 has personal

00:23:35.280 connections

00:23:35.720 in the

00:23:36.140 intel world,

00:23:37.320 and we

00:23:37.940 know that

00:23:38.640 he's

00:23:40.460 blaming

00:23:40.860 the CIA

00:23:41.820 for the

00:23:43.560 murder of

00:23:44.180 JFK

00:23:44.780 along with

00:23:45.460 the mafia.

00:23:46.880 So his

00:23:47.460 take is

00:23:48.000 that it's

00:23:49.160 a little

00:23:49.840 more complicated

00:23:50.760 than the

00:23:51.280 normal way

00:23:51.800 the story

00:23:52.280 is told,

00:23:53.160 but that

00:23:53.540 basically

00:23:54.000 there were

00:23:55.220 elements in

00:23:55.860 the CIA

00:23:56.380 who worked

00:23:57.160 with elements

00:23:57.780 in the

00:23:58.100 mafia who

00:23:59.320 were mad,

00:24:00.160 the mafia

00:24:00.560 was mad

00:24:01.240 that they

00:24:02.820 got kicked

00:24:03.240 out of

00:24:03.540 Cuba.

00:24:04.820 So the

00:24:05.560 mafia wanted

00:24:06.220 Kennedy to

00:24:06.920 make good

00:24:07.940 with Cuba

00:24:08.840 so they

00:24:09.660 could go

00:24:09.940 back and

00:24:10.340 get their

00:24:10.660 casinos and

00:24:11.560 their business

00:24:12.260 back.

00:24:12.840 So the

00:24:13.160 mafia didn't

00:24:13.780 like

00:24:14.200 Kennedy's.

00:24:15.600 I don't

00:24:15.920 know if

00:24:16.160 Rob Reiner

00:24:16.560 mentions it,

00:24:17.280 but when

00:24:18.740 Bobby Kennedy

00:24:19.980 went after

00:24:20.540 the mafia,

00:24:21.420 that probably

00:24:22.800 seemed like

00:24:23.480 some kind

00:24:24.160 of a

00:24:24.380 betrayal.

00:24:25.360 So they

00:24:25.580 had Cuba 0.56

00:24:26.040 to hate

00:24:26.560 him for,

00:24:27.300 the mafia,

00:24:28.360 and they

00:24:28.880 had the

00:24:29.940 fact that

00:24:30.320 he was

00:24:30.520 going after

00:24:30.960 the mafia

00:24:31.400 to hate

00:24:31.720 him for.

00:24:32.380 So the

00:24:32.820 mafia certainly

00:24:33.560 didn't love

00:24:34.520 Kennedy.

00:24:35.120 I feel

00:24:35.520 that's

00:24:36.020 obvious and

00:24:37.220 easy to

00:24:37.760 say.

00:24:39.520 But the

00:24:40.200 question is,

00:24:41.240 if it's

00:24:42.360 true that,

00:24:43.940 as people

00:24:44.520 say,

00:24:45.780 that Rob

00:24:46.240 Reiner has

00:24:46.780 some intel

00:24:48.080 connection and

00:24:49.880 that he might

00:24:50.500 be in a

00:24:51.140 propaganda role

00:24:52.180 more than

00:24:53.280 just telling

00:24:53.920 you his

00:24:54.260 personal opinion,

00:24:56.620 but why

00:24:57.080 would he

00:24:58.000 throw the 0.65

00:24:58.380 CIA under

00:24:59.100 the bus?

00:24:59.620 That doesn't

00:24:59.940 make sense,

00:25:00.500 does it?

00:25:01.240 Can you

00:25:01.580 explain that?

00:25:02.760 Why would

00:25:03.360 he go hard

00:25:03.920 at the

00:25:04.260 CIA,

00:25:05.480 blaming them

00:25:06.040 for killing

00:25:06.540 Kennedy,

00:25:07.740 if he were

00:25:09.080 working with

00:25:09.640 them and on

00:25:10.060 their side?

00:25:10.680 How can

00:25:11.020 you explain

00:25:11.400 that?

00:25:12.920 Well,

00:25:14.320 easily,

00:25:15.060 as it turns

00:25:15.560 out.

00:25:17.160 Again, I

00:25:17.900 don't know

00:25:18.140 what he's

00:25:18.420 thinking or

00:25:19.200 who he's

00:25:19.560 working with

00:25:20.200 or what,

00:25:22.640 but let me

00:25:23.240 tell you what

00:25:23.620 he said,

00:25:24.480 the parts we

00:25:25.080 do know.

00:25:25.480 What he

00:25:26.800 said was it

00:25:27.700 wasn't the

00:25:28.520 CIA as

00:25:29.600 an order

00:25:30.300 from the

00:25:30.800 top,

00:25:31.460 it was

00:25:32.160 rather rogue

00:25:33.780 right-wing

00:25:36.060 elements of

00:25:37.860 the CIA.

00:25:39.460 So the

00:25:40.240 CIA leadership,

00:25:41.660 no problem,

00:25:42.500 they weren't

00:25:42.860 involved.

00:25:44.240 But rogue

00:25:45.080 right-wing

00:25:46.060 elements of

00:25:46.900 the CIA,

00:25:47.500 what does

00:25:47.720 that remind

00:25:48.180 you of?

00:25:49.280 The rogue

00:25:50.200 right-wing

00:25:51.300 elements.

00:25:52.400 Does it

00:25:52.800 sound a lot

00:25:53.520 like the

00:25:54.560 military looking

00:25:55.480 for the

00:25:55.840 white supremacists

00:25:56.860 in the

00:25:57.180 military?

00:25:58.540 Oh, it

00:25:58.900 does, doesn't

00:25:59.500 it?

00:25:59.880 Yeah.

00:26:00.400 Because then

00:26:00.820 the military

00:26:01.460 can be good,

00:26:03.160 but the

00:26:03.900 white supremacists,

00:26:05.300 those damn

00:26:06.240 Republicans,

00:26:07.140 as they might

00:26:07.720 say, well,

00:26:09.060 they're bad.

00:26:10.100 If you just

00:26:10.720 get rid of

00:26:11.140 them, you'd

00:26:11.620 be in good

00:26:11.980 shape.

00:26:12.860 And it

00:26:13.120 seems that

00:26:14.160 Rob Reiner

00:26:14.800 would like

00:26:15.240 us to

00:26:15.600 believe something

00:26:16.640 similar like

00:26:17.480 that is

00:26:17.860 happening with

00:26:18.520 the CIA.

00:26:19.540 Oh, the

00:26:20.020 CIA is not

00:26:20.780 totally clean.

00:26:22.480 Yeah.

00:26:22.740 No, he's

00:26:23.100 not saying

00:26:23.500 that.

00:26:23.680 They're not

00:26:23.960 totally clean.

00:26:25.160 But if you

00:26:25.700 could only

00:26:26.100 get rid of

00:26:26.600 those right-wing

00:26:27.440 elements, it

00:26:29.220 might be.

00:26:31.980 So do you

00:26:32.720 think he's

00:26:33.280 throwing the

00:26:33.820 CIA under

00:26:34.520 the bus, or

00:26:35.700 is he giving

00:26:36.200 them cover and

00:26:37.580 throwing Republicans

00:26:38.680 under the bus?

00:26:40.520 To me, it looks

00:26:41.420 like he's making

00:26:42.200 a case, CIA

00:26:43.680 good, unless

00:26:45.360 they're Republicans

00:26:46.120 and right-wingers.

00:26:47.940 It's all good

00:26:48.940 except for those

00:26:49.540 right-wingers, so

00:26:50.360 we've got to get

00:26:50.780 rid of them.

00:26:51.240 Yeah, that's

00:26:54.940 what I think.

00:26:57.220 So if Rob

00:26:58.440 Reiner is

00:26:58.960 trying to look

00:26:59.640 exactly like a

00:27:01.200 CIA asset, he's

00:27:03.240 pulling it off

00:27:03.900 perfectly.

00:27:06.260 Somebody says

00:27:07.100 that John

00:27:07.540 Cusack falls

00:27:08.640 into that

00:27:09.140 category, and

00:27:10.380 I would say

00:27:11.060 Cusack might

00:27:13.680 be a little

00:27:14.080 more complicated.

00:27:16.620 He might be a

00:27:17.500 little more

00:27:17.820 complicated.

00:27:18.280 So I don't

00:27:20.720 know what his

00:27:21.140 deal is.

00:27:22.740 All right,

00:27:23.480 Sam Altman

00:27:24.300 apparently is

00:27:26.240 looking to

00:27:27.040 create a

00:27:27.800 network of

00:27:28.480 factories to

00:27:29.120 make AI

00:27:30.300 related chips

00:27:32.000 in the United

00:27:32.540 States.

00:27:33.060 Now, you

00:27:33.400 might know

00:27:33.820 that we

00:27:34.760 can't have

00:27:35.500 China or 0.92

00:27:36.040 some other

00:27:36.340 country control

00:27:38.120 our AI

00:27:39.040 chips, because

00:27:40.680 those will be

00:27:41.120 the most

00:27:41.480 valuable ones

00:27:42.160 probably.

00:27:43.320 But the

00:27:44.240 United States

00:27:44.800 has not been

00:27:45.440 super good at

00:27:46.440 building chip

00:27:48.140 factories for

00:27:48.860 reasons I don't

00:27:49.540 know.

00:27:50.520 So now Sam

00:27:51.140 Altman, in my

00:27:51.920 opinion, is

00:27:52.780 putting together a

00:27:53.800 portfolio that

00:27:54.900 could make him

00:27:55.840 as rich as

00:27:56.720 Elon Musk,

00:27:58.420 because he's

00:28:00.180 going to have

00:28:00.720 investments in

00:28:02.660 AI, which will

00:28:04.300 be the biggest

00:28:04.820 thing.

00:28:05.620 He's long had

00:28:06.640 investments in

00:28:07.440 fusion, which

00:28:09.000 if it ever

00:28:09.660 comes online,

00:28:10.960 will make AI

00:28:12.040 and robots

00:28:12.860 and everything

00:28:13.420 far more

00:28:14.620 practical.

00:28:16.720 And if he

00:28:17.560 builds a chip

00:28:18.240 factory, he's

00:28:20.000 going to own

00:28:20.380 the AI, the

00:28:21.860 AI chips, and

00:28:23.860 the infusion

00:28:25.320 would be the

00:28:25.880 power to power

00:28:26.700 all this.

00:28:29.000 You know, I

00:28:29.400 love how Elon

00:28:30.520 Musk's companies

00:28:31.600 have, they

00:28:32.760 always seem to

00:28:33.280 have something in

00:28:34.060 common, or they

00:28:34.780 work with the

00:28:35.360 others, you

00:28:35.840 know.

00:28:36.400 The Skylink

00:28:37.360 seems to work

00:28:38.080 really well with

00:28:38.960 cars and

00:28:39.820 spaceships.

00:28:40.420 If you've

00:28:42.320 got AI, it's

00:28:43.260 going to work

00:28:43.620 with all those

00:28:44.260 things.

00:28:44.840 If you can

00:28:45.160 manufacture

00:28:45.840 anything, it's

00:28:46.960 you know.

00:28:47.700 So it feels

00:28:48.400 like Musk's

00:28:49.860 businesses have

00:28:51.140 all these, I

00:28:51.820 hate to say

00:28:52.320 synergies, but

00:28:53.160 it's the word.

00:28:55.420 Nobody's come up

00:28:56.120 with a better

00:28:56.520 word for it yet,

00:28:57.300 so I'll just

00:28:58.220 say it.

00:28:59.260 You know, as

00:28:59.840 the creator of

00:29:00.460 Dilbert, I hate

00:29:01.060 to say synergies

00:29:02.200 because I mock

00:29:03.640 that word all

00:29:04.200 the time, but

00:29:05.360 that's what it

00:29:05.800 is.

00:29:06.280 But if you do

00:29:06.900 it right, it's

00:29:07.380 actually a good

00:29:07.920 idea.

00:29:09.940 Well, a

00:29:10.520 bunch of

00:29:10.860 states, 33

00:29:11.620 states, are

00:29:12.180 going to sue

00:29:12.620 Meta, the

00:29:13.500 Facebook parent

00:29:15.100 company, for

00:29:16.660 its damage to

00:29:17.860 children's mental

00:29:18.640 health, they

00:29:19.740 say.

00:29:20.820 They say,

00:29:21.740 quote, Meta

00:29:22.080 has harnessed

00:29:22.540 powerful and

00:29:23.160 unprecedented

00:29:23.680 technologies to

00:29:24.660 entice, engage,

00:29:26.180 and ultimately

00:29:26.600 ensnare youth and

00:29:27.780 teens.

00:29:29.080 Its motive is

00:29:29.900 profit, blah,

00:29:31.060 blah, blah,

00:29:31.320 blah.

00:29:32.240 Kids and

00:29:32.920 teenagers are

00:29:33.620 suffering from

00:29:34.200 record levels of

00:29:35.080 poor mental

00:29:35.660 health.

00:29:36.600 You think this is

00:29:37.320 going to work?

00:29:37.920 I don't know.

00:29:41.280 You know, I

00:29:41.620 always say

00:29:42.040 insurance is the

00:29:43.060 only thing that

00:29:43.780 predicts.

00:29:45.260 So if Meta

00:29:46.420 wins the

00:29:46.980 suit, then I

00:29:48.060 guess there's no

00:29:49.000 insurance

00:29:49.420 implication.

00:29:50.500 But what if?

00:29:52.120 What if?

00:29:53.520 What if this

00:29:54.340 science showed

00:29:55.240 that young kids

00:29:56.580 are actually

00:29:57.420 injured?

00:29:58.180 And what if

00:29:59.020 some enterprising

00:30:00.340 lawyers find a

00:30:02.260 way to tie any

00:30:03.480 one kid's

00:30:04.360 suicide or

00:30:05.360 mental health

00:30:05.940 problem to

00:30:07.940 the platform?

00:30:09.780 You know,

00:30:10.200 sort of like

00:30:10.700 cigarettes tied

00:30:11.680 to smoking?

00:30:13.060 Will any

00:30:13.900 lawyer be

00:30:14.780 able to tie

00:30:15.440 mental health

00:30:16.660 of children or

00:30:17.720 any bad

00:30:18.140 outcomes to

00:30:19.700 the platforms?

00:30:21.220 And if they

00:30:22.000 tied it to

00:30:22.560 more than one

00:30:23.540 platform, would

00:30:24.260 it still work?

00:30:25.680 You know, could

00:30:26.140 they say, well,

00:30:27.500 it's not one

00:30:28.240 platform, it's a

00:30:29.000 combination of,

00:30:29.720 you know, TikTok

00:30:30.180 plus this, and

00:30:31.320 would that still

00:30:31.940 work?

00:30:33.120 I don't know,

00:30:33.520 I'd keep an

00:30:34.000 eye on the

00:30:34.420 insurance angle

00:30:35.740 to see what

00:30:36.960 kids will be

00:30:37.700 able to do.

00:30:38.520 Because I feel

00:30:39.200 like an adult

00:30:40.000 would not be

00:30:40.840 able to sue so

00:30:41.800 well because

00:30:42.800 they kind of

00:30:43.200 know what

00:30:43.480 they're getting

00:30:43.800 into.

00:30:46.260 Whereas, you

00:30:46.960 know, much

00:30:47.260 like cigarettes,

00:30:47.940 you can't

00:30:48.240 really sue a 0.78

00:30:49.180 cigarette company

00:30:49.820 for giving you

00:30:50.400 cancer because

00:30:51.000 it says that it

00:30:51.580 gives you cancer

00:30:52.140 right on the

00:30:52.580 package.

00:30:53.720 You know, so

00:30:54.000 adults know what

00:30:54.660 they're getting

00:30:55.020 when they do

00:30:55.480 social media,

00:30:56.200 kids don't.

00:30:57.480 So you can

00:30:57.960 imagine that maybe

00:30:58.800 you could sue on

00:30:59.480 behalf of a kid

00:31:00.420 where it'd be

00:31:01.160 harder on behalf

00:31:02.180 of a parent who

00:31:02.800 was more aware

00:31:04.440 of the real

00:31:04.960 situation.

00:31:06.500 So I think it's

00:31:07.500 all going to come

00:31:07.940 down to insurance

00:31:08.660 companies.

00:31:10.720 All right, so

00:31:11.160 Fetterman,

00:31:12.180 Senator Fetterman,

00:31:13.420 Democrat,

00:31:14.940 continues to rack

00:31:16.320 up topics which

00:31:18.140 Republicans like.

00:31:19.440 So I made a list

00:31:20.260 of the ones I

00:31:20.740 know of.

00:31:21.860 Tell me if I

00:31:22.400 left one out.

00:31:24.120 So Fetterman is

00:31:25.620 very anti-Menendez,

00:31:28.740 the senator who

00:31:31.720 is accused of

00:31:32.640 bad, bad

00:31:33.980 bribery behavior.

00:31:36.160 And Menendez is

00:31:37.760 a prominent

00:31:38.480 Democrat.

00:31:39.940 So just the

00:31:40.620 fact that another

00:31:42.000 prominent Democrat,

00:31:43.180 Fetterman, is

00:31:43.740 against him, and

00:31:45.080 very against him,

00:31:46.040 like a main

00:31:47.480 topic, gives

00:31:50.120 you some comfort

00:31:50.920 that even as a

00:31:52.900 Democrat, he's

00:31:53.540 willing to police

00:31:54.280 his own side.

00:31:56.500 He's opposed to

00:31:57.600 people in Congress

00:31:58.780 being able to

00:31:59.460 trade stocks.

00:32:01.500 Makes sense to

00:32:02.360 me.

00:32:03.480 He's against

00:32:04.380 defunding the

00:32:05.300 police.

00:32:05.860 Makes sense to

00:32:06.420 me.

00:32:07.060 He's pro-Israel.

00:32:08.260 So am I.

00:32:09.320 He's, you know,

00:32:10.280 and he's really

00:32:11.160 against the people 0.98

00:32:12.260 chanting from the

00:32:13.340 river to the sea.

00:32:16.220 So he's got what I

00:32:18.560 would consider all

00:32:20.480 smart opinions on

00:32:21.480 this stuff.

00:32:22.540 He's anti-open

00:32:23.640 borders.

00:32:24.240 On the

00:32:25.940 climate, do you

00:32:27.360 think he's a

00:32:27.980 climate alarmist?

00:32:30.480 Not so much.

00:32:31.980 He says you need

00:32:32.700 to balance the

00:32:33.420 climate with our

00:32:35.320 other threats and

00:32:36.180 national security.

00:32:37.940 Meaning, maybe

00:32:40.040 you ought to use a

00:32:40.840 little coal and a

00:32:41.840 little bit of oil

00:32:42.500 because otherwise

00:32:43.500 we're all screwed.

00:32:45.700 Perfectly sensible.

00:32:49.100 He even supports

00:32:50.360 fracking in his

00:32:51.260 state, but not the

00:32:52.280 fracking industry

00:32:53.340 in large.

00:32:55.740 Pretty reasonable.

00:32:57.420 Pretty reasonable.

00:32:58.180 I don't know what

00:32:58.580 his exact complaint

00:32:59.440 is about the

00:33:00.000 industry, but he's

00:33:01.040 not against the

00:33:01.660 technology, and

00:33:03.120 he's not against

00:33:03.680 using it in his

00:33:04.340 state.

00:33:05.820 And he said

00:33:06.660 directly he's no

00:33:07.420 longer progressive.

00:33:08.340 He just likes to be

00:33:09.080 called the

00:33:09.400 Democrat.

00:33:10.760 So what exactly

00:33:11.980 is left?

00:33:14.160 What topics

00:33:15.580 does Fetterman

00:33:17.920 favor that a

00:33:19.540 Republican wouldn't?

00:33:20.480 I think he's

00:33:22.680 pro-Second

00:33:25.820 Amendment, but he

00:33:26.620 would be more

00:33:27.260 restrictive than

00:33:28.040 others or not?

00:33:30.200 What kind of

00:33:30.620 Well, I'd like to

00:33:33.240 just know more

00:33:33.960 about his

00:33:35.520 situation.

00:33:38.460 Don't buy

00:33:39.220 as Scott

00:33:39.860 is a swing

00:33:40.960 state.

00:33:41.880 Oh, well, yes,

00:33:42.900 let's say this.

00:33:44.080 Let me say this

00:33:44.900 about their swing

00:33:45.620 state.

00:33:46.940 He's, I think

00:33:48.220 he's a perfect

00:33:48.920 Democrat for

00:33:49.640 Pennsylvania.

00:33:52.460 Because

00:33:52.860 Pennsylvania is

00:33:53.860 not like super

00:33:55.000 progressive.

00:33:58.460 I would say

00:33:59.220 even, I would go

00:34:00.220 further and I would

00:34:00.860 say that, you

00:34:02.100 know, I grew up in

00:34:02.620 upstate New York.

00:34:04.120 No, upstate New York

00:34:05.000 is not exactly

00:34:05.960 Pennsylvania.

00:34:07.840 They're a little

00:34:08.460 different, but not a

00:34:10.060 lot.

00:34:11.280 You know, if you

00:34:11.740 grew up in upstate

00:34:12.980 New York, you

00:34:14.320 probably have some

00:34:15.280 sensibility about what

00:34:16.780 Pennsylvania person

00:34:18.040 thinks, right?

00:34:19.200 It's not that

00:34:19.860 different.

00:34:20.920 And Fetterman seems

00:34:22.760 very Pennsylvania

00:34:23.500 to me.

00:34:24.940 He can work in

00:34:25.700 upstate New York,

00:34:26.520 too, you know,

00:34:27.320 even though that's

00:34:27.900 more Republican,

00:34:29.160 or used to be.

00:34:31.640 All right, so

00:34:32.580 it's just an

00:34:34.880 interesting story.

00:34:35.760 I like to keep an

00:34:36.420 eye on him.

00:34:37.020 It's funny that a 0.88

00:34:38.120 Democrat can make

00:34:38.920 news by not being

00:34:40.700 crazy.

00:34:43.060 Oh, there's another

00:34:43.680 upstate New Yorker

00:34:44.560 agreeing with me

00:34:45.340 about the

00:34:45.740 Pennsylvania

00:34:46.280 similarity, yeah.

00:34:50.940 So, so

00:34:52.940 End Wokeness,

00:34:54.140 one of the fun

00:34:55.720 accounts on X,

00:34:57.320 says it's going to

00:34:58.500 cost, this is

00:34:59.540 according to a

00:35:00.080 2023 estimate,

00:35:01.800 the cost for the

00:35:03.500 illegal immigrant

00:35:04.460 population, or

00:35:05.720 migrant population,

00:35:07.100 is $451 billion

00:35:09.340 just for one year.

00:35:11.980 So America is

00:35:13.040 paying $451 billion

00:35:14.840 to make sure that

00:35:15.860 the migrants are 0.99

00:35:16.840 safe and taken

00:35:17.580 care of.

00:35:19.360 Relative to that,

00:35:21.000 End Wokeness says

00:35:21.760 it would have cost

00:35:22.320 $15 billion to

00:35:23.360 build a wall to

00:35:24.040 keep them out.

00:35:25.160 So we're paying

00:35:25.880 $451 billion to

00:35:28.200 take care of

00:35:28.760 somebody, the

00:35:29.640 people that we

00:35:30.260 could have kept a

00:35:31.960 lot of them out

00:35:32.520 for.

00:35:32.920 I don't think it's

00:35:33.540 $15.

00:35:34.000 I think it's closer

00:35:34.700 to $25, and that

00:35:36.380 means it's closer to

00:35:37.300 $50.

00:35:37.820 But it's not close

00:35:38.680 to $451 billion.

00:35:41.040 I mean, if you're

00:35:41.960 doing it, if money

00:35:43.540 is what matters,

00:35:45.080 apparently it isn't,

00:35:46.780 then walls are

00:35:49.840 pretty good investments.

00:35:52.480 All right.

00:35:55.780 Kamala Harris is

00:35:57.260 apparently going to

00:35:57.840 be the leading face

00:36:00.020 for abortion.

00:36:00.660 So that will be

00:36:02.920 her job in the

00:36:03.900 coming election

00:36:05.700 year, to talk

00:36:06.560 about abortion.

00:36:08.140 And, you know,

00:36:09.800 I usually say a

00:36:10.540 lot of bad things

00:36:11.220 about Kamala Harris,

00:36:12.180 but this might be

00:36:13.480 the perfect job.

00:36:15.800 Because think about

00:36:16.640 how this goes over

00:36:17.560 with Republicans.

00:36:19.940 The Republicans are

00:36:21.080 going to look at

00:36:21.660 Kamala Harris saying,

00:36:22.580 hey, more abortions, 1.00

00:36:23.600 and they're going to

00:36:24.040 say to themselves,

00:36:25.420 okay, but, you

00:36:26.960 know, in my family,

00:36:28.800 we wouldn't have an

00:36:29.680 abortion whether it 0.67

00:36:30.440 was legal or not.

00:36:32.400 So it doesn't really

00:36:33.540 affect my family,

00:36:35.160 because we Republicans

00:36:36.420 are just going to

00:36:37.020 have the baby if we

00:36:38.040 get in that situation.

00:36:39.740 So really, it's,

00:36:41.460 the abortion question

00:36:42.420 is mostly whether

00:36:43.420 the Democrats can do

00:36:44.560 it.

00:36:45.520 You know, it's a

00:36:46.080 generality, but it's

00:36:47.800 more about whether

00:36:48.480 the Democrats can do

00:36:49.520 it.

00:36:49.940 Because the

00:36:50.320 Republicans, even

00:36:51.220 though they do

00:36:51.640 have abortions, of

00:36:52.380 course, they're more

00:36:53.580 likely to say, oh,

00:36:55.020 we would just have

00:36:55.580 the baby because we

00:36:56.260 don't like abortions.

00:36:58.420 But Kamala Harris is 0.97

00:36:59.660 saying,

00:37:00.440 and I'm going to

00:37:02.040 sort of characterize

00:37:02.820 her, she's saying

00:37:05.480 to Republicans that

00:37:06.500 if abortion is legal,

00:37:08.880 there will be less

00:37:09.460 of me.

00:37:11.120 That's right.

00:37:12.220 Because Republicans

00:37:13.140 presumably wouldn't

00:37:14.200 care one way or the

00:37:15.040 other because they're

00:37:15.720 not having the

00:37:16.260 abortions anyway, on 1.00

00:37:17.740 average.

00:37:19.040 Whereas the Democrats

00:37:19.980 want to have them,

00:37:21.160 and the face of can we

00:37:23.160 kill our babies is 1.00

00:37:24.140 Kamala Harris.

00:37:24.740 And I look at Kamala

00:37:26.320 Harris and I say, so

00:37:28.560 you want permission to

00:37:29.940 kill your baby who 1.00

00:37:31.840 would grow up to be

00:37:32.880 like you.

00:37:34.620 Okay, I don't want to

00:37:35.540 think that the baby

00:37:36.320 would necessarily be

00:37:37.140 exactly like the

00:37:37.840 parent.

00:37:38.260 You know, you can't

00:37:38.700 blame the parent, can't

00:37:39.840 blame a baby for 0.87

00:37:40.640 something the parent's

00:37:41.440 doing, so it wouldn't

00:37:42.100 be a fair thing.

00:37:43.400 On the other hand, my

00:37:44.300 subconscious is telling

00:37:45.340 me I do want less of

00:37:46.340 you.

00:37:47.320 Not for racial reasons,

00:37:49.020 not for gender

00:37:49.620 reasons, for political

00:37:50.960 reasons only.

00:37:51.620 So it's a weird, it's

00:37:54.600 a weird sales thing

00:37:56.140 where it's weirdly

00:37:58.240 effective.

00:38:01.200 Because the Republicans

00:38:02.240 are the only ones who

00:38:03.640 have to be convinced

00:38:04.560 are looking at it and

00:38:06.220 go, okay, that's a

00:38:06.980 pretty good argument.

00:38:07.760 You probably do need

00:38:08.540 less of you.

00:38:09.480 It won't affect

00:38:09.920 us.

00:38:11.920 All right.

00:38:15.020 Lloyd Austin, the

00:38:17.080 news is reporting that

00:38:18.020 Lloyd Austin, the

00:38:18.860 defense secretary, is

00:38:19.860 back to work.

00:38:20.600 But I have a

00:38:21.860 question.

00:38:23.840 How can we be sure?

00:38:26.940 Did he tell anybody?

00:38:31.120 That's all I had on

00:38:32.160 that.

00:38:32.840 That's all I had.

00:38:33.940 I have nothing else to

00:38:35.060 say about that.

00:38:36.160 Did he tell anybody?

00:38:37.960 Or did he, I feel like

00:38:39.000 it's George Costanza's

00:38:40.280 situation where he just

00:38:42.260 sort of shows up at work

00:38:43.440 after he quit and people

00:38:45.980 just sort of notice he's

00:38:47.280 there.

00:38:48.280 I feel like I, did

00:38:49.460 somebody see Lloyd?

00:38:50.600 I feel like, I feel like

00:38:52.440 he's working.

00:38:53.640 Did he mention it to

00:38:54.580 anybody?

00:38:55.160 Does anybody know?

00:38:56.820 Anyway.

00:38:59.240 Has DeSantis backed

00:39:00.680 down to the race yet?

00:39:01.820 Some people said he was

00:39:02.800 going to do it today.

00:39:04.300 Apparently he canceled

00:39:05.240 some interviews which

00:39:06.360 make people suspicious and

00:39:07.800 it would be about the

00:39:08.500 right time and people

00:39:10.000 are calling for it.

00:39:11.020 Vivek is calling for it,

00:39:13.000 et cetera.

00:39:13.360 But do you really think it

00:39:16.540 would happen before the

00:39:18.000 New Hampshire?

00:39:20.680 Oh, he's in New Hampshire

00:39:21.720 today?

00:39:23.580 I feel like he wouldn't

00:39:24.840 pull out before New

00:39:25.800 Hampshire.

00:39:28.820 That he wouldn't call out

00:39:29.900 because he could at least

00:39:32.540 take some votes away from

00:39:33.720 Nikki Haley.

00:39:35.340 Because shouldn't DeSantis,

00:39:37.080 if he's going to drop out,

00:39:38.720 shouldn't he at least let

00:39:40.140 Trump do the best that Trump

00:39:42.060 can do in New Hampshire by

00:39:43.920 maybe keeping some voters

00:39:45.600 from going from DeSantis

00:39:47.180 to Haley?

00:39:49.260 Or do I have the, is my

00:39:50.720 analysis wrong?

00:39:53.460 Trump would do better with

00:39:55.240 him in the race, right?

00:39:57.080 Or do I have that backwards?

00:39:59.640 Would anybody say the

00:40:00.520 opposite?

00:40:01.840 That Trump would be better

00:40:03.040 off with him in or out?

00:40:06.960 34 minute glitch.

00:40:10.080 Yeah.

00:40:10.880 Better with him out?

00:40:13.020 Oh, better with him out

00:40:13.860 because his votes would

00:40:15.320 mostly go to Trump, not

00:40:16.960 Haley.

00:40:18.460 So we, okay.

00:40:20.120 I think either way he's

00:40:21.280 going to win New Hampshire.

00:40:24.040 So we'll keep an eye on

00:40:25.260 that.

00:40:27.440 Certainly the DeSantis

00:40:28.740 energy all suggests that

00:40:30.940 he's done.

00:40:32.060 Would you agree?

00:40:33.580 I feel like DeSantis is

00:40:35.100 making no attempt to get

00:40:37.520 like a big publicity hit.

00:40:39.220 I think he's just going

00:40:40.240 through the actions for

00:40:41.200 his, I think he's just

00:40:42.680 paying back his donors by

00:40:44.840 saying, well, you gave me

00:40:45.860 money.

00:40:46.440 I guess I better appear at

00:40:47.560 these events because I

00:40:48.760 haven't quit yet.

00:40:50.680 So I feel sorry for him

00:40:52.120 because I think he's just

00:40:52.840 going through the motions.

00:40:54.280 There's a Vivek update.

00:40:55.740 I think Sean Hannity asked

00:40:58.380 him about possibly being a

00:41:00.720 VP in the Trump

00:41:01.640 administration and Vivek,

00:41:03.760 because he's smart, said,

00:41:05.840 quote, there's a lot of

00:41:06.580 ways to drive change in the

00:41:07.960 country inside and outside

00:41:09.020 the government.

00:41:09.620 You know, my only issue

00:41:13.020 with Vivek is he might be

00:41:14.220 too qualified for a lot of

00:41:16.500 the jobs that you keep

00:41:17.640 suggesting you should have.

00:41:19.380 I think he's too qualified

00:41:20.400 to be a vice president

00:41:21.360 because they're a little bit

00:41:23.540 wasted in that job.

00:41:26.200 He's also too qualified to be

00:41:27.480 a spokesperson.

00:41:30.620 You know, if you think that

00:41:32.520 Vivek's skill is that he's

00:41:35.000 just a good talker, I think

00:41:37.480 you're missing the, you

00:41:39.600 buried the lead.

00:41:41.360 He's a good talker because

00:41:42.640 he's insanely smart.

00:41:44.720 It's the insanely smart

00:41:45.960 part we like, not just the

00:41:48.500 good talking.

00:41:49.660 So would he be a good

00:41:50.700 spokesperson?

00:41:51.640 Yeah, he'd be the best.

00:41:52.600 He'd be the best there ever

00:41:53.740 was.

00:41:54.940 Is that a good place for him?

00:41:56.120 No, no.

00:41:57.500 That would be a place for a 0.96

00:41:58.600 good talker, right?

00:42:00.760 Somebody who understands

00:42:01.680 everything well enough to

00:42:02.840 really communicate it well.

00:42:05.500 But if you're strategically

00:42:07.340 you know, brilliant, you

00:42:10.680 need to be inside the room

00:42:11.880 not just talking about what

00:42:13.180 happened in the room.

00:42:15.700 So we'll see where he goes.

00:42:18.440 How many of you are following

00:42:19.780 this Ireland free speech

00:42:21.620 situation?

00:42:23.740 Which I was trying to ignore

00:42:25.340 but now it's too big to

00:42:26.700 ignore.

00:42:28.120 So I don't know if I have this

00:42:29.720 right yet because I'm only just

00:42:31.440 wading into it today and I was

00:42:32.940 kind of in a hurry this

00:42:33.720 morning.

00:42:34.000 So here's what I think I

00:42:35.660 understand.

00:42:37.960 So Ireland is considering some

00:42:40.220 legislation that would ban so

00:42:44.340 called hate speech for anybody

00:42:47.220 who's got an Ireland connection

00:42:49.680 like a business that's there or a

00:42:52.280 citizen.

00:42:53.060 Now you say to yourself, well, why

00:42:54.680 do we care about that?

00:42:55.980 That's just little Ireland.

00:42:57.660 But it turns out that Ireland,

00:42:59.340 little Ireland, has a lot of the

00:43:01.160 big tech companies over there.

00:43:03.780 So the thinking is that they

00:43:05.660 could put pressure on the tech

00:43:07.040 companies and it wouldn't be easy

00:43:10.700 for them to move out of Ireland

00:43:12.100 because there's quite a big

00:43:13.600 presence there.

00:43:15.300 Now, the thought is that it's not

00:43:19.880 really a hate speech issue at all.

00:43:22.900 It's if you can get a hate speech

00:43:25.420 bill passed in one little country,

00:43:27.240 then you can just say, oh,

00:43:29.600 everything those Republicans are

00:43:31.560 saying is hate speech.

00:43:33.060 So you basically just close down

00:43:34.860 the opposition.

00:43:36.500 So that's what people worry.

00:43:38.380 I'm reading Michael Schellenberger's

00:43:40.080 post and stuff on this.

00:43:42.800 People worry that the real play,

00:43:45.080 that it's a Trojan horse, it's not

00:43:47.060 about hate speech, it's about

00:43:48.300 stopping the opposition speech and

00:43:51.140 that it would be expanded.

00:43:53.580 But here's the part I don't get yet.

00:43:55.540 Maybe somebody in the comments can

00:43:57.140 fill me in if there's a quick way

00:43:58.820 to do that.

00:44:00.100 Why wouldn't the tech companies

00:44:01.840 just say, okay, we're gone?

00:44:04.360 Is it just cost?

00:44:06.160 It would just be too expensive?

00:44:09.020 Is that the only reason?

00:44:10.600 And in taxes.

00:44:12.940 So basically it's, oh, so they have

00:44:14.940 a big tax haven over there.

00:44:16.660 So it would be prohibitively

00:44:18.480 expensive for them to leave.

00:44:20.040 So it would be easier for Google

00:44:23.180 to say, ah, we like free speech,

00:44:26.300 but we don't like Republicans either.

00:44:29.420 So, all right, we'll give you

00:44:30.920 all you want.

00:44:32.120 Is that what's going to happen?

00:44:33.820 That would be very dangerous

00:44:35.180 if that's what's going to happen.

00:44:37.180 All right.

00:44:39.340 And as Michael Schellenberger points out,

00:44:42.520 that people think it's an anti-Semitic

00:44:44.040 sort of a conspiracy theory

00:44:48.440 that George Soros is trying to,

00:44:50.160 you know, buy influence

00:44:51.400 and control the governments.

00:44:53.020 But then he points out that Alex Soros,

00:44:55.200 who's running the show at the moment,

00:44:57.420 is always being photographed

00:44:59.480 with the top leaders of all the countries.

00:45:02.720 Do you know why anybody takes a picture

00:45:04.440 with a top leader of another country?

00:45:06.040 Do you know what that's all about?

00:45:08.300 Well, Michael Schellenberger's take

00:45:12.800 is that it's so Alex Soros

00:45:14.640 can show everybody who he bought.

00:45:17.480 All right, I'm paraphrasing.

00:45:18.660 He didn't say it that way.

00:45:19.860 But the idea is that you're advertising

00:45:21.860 your control over the people.

00:45:24.540 Do you see it that way?

00:45:26.400 So if every time you saw a world leader,

00:45:28.380 you saw them smiling too big

00:45:30.860 and acting like they're really,

00:45:32.260 really good friends with Alex Soros,

00:45:33.780 wouldn't you think who Alex Soros

00:45:37.820 is controlling things?

00:45:39.960 Because he gives a lot of money

00:45:41.680 to a lot of people

00:45:42.500 and the people he gives money to

00:45:44.620 in the political realm

00:45:45.620 like to take a picture smiling really big.

00:45:49.120 So maybe they get more money later.

00:45:52.060 So if all the money works,

00:45:54.920 it does appear that

00:45:56.340 if you look at all the money

00:45:57.560 that Alex Soros is giving to the NGOs

00:45:59.880 and the politicians

00:46:00.820 and the way he's doing it,

00:46:01.960 it does look like he's either

00:46:04.080 the dumbest guy in the world

00:46:06.700 or he's intentionally trying

00:46:07.860 to destroy the world

00:46:08.880 for reasons that are a little unclear.

00:46:11.960 So I'm actually still confused about him.

00:46:15.840 Maybe he's some kind of weird,

00:46:17.580 true believer in something.

00:46:20.280 But it feels more like

00:46:21.780 he's enjoying the power

00:46:23.220 and the influence.

00:46:26.000 And so if he just keeps giving to people

00:46:27.820 who act a certain way

00:46:29.680 and they act a certain way to him,

00:46:31.040 maybe that's all he cares about.

00:46:33.660 I can't believe he thinks

00:46:35.420 he's fixing the world.

00:46:37.760 Like there's no evidence

00:46:38.900 that he's making the world

00:46:39.820 a better place.

00:46:41.240 Do you think that the open borders

00:46:42.960 is entirely one guy,

00:46:44.540 Alex Soros?

00:46:47.040 What do you think?

00:46:48.640 Do you think it's entirely one person?

00:46:50.520 No, you're saying no.

00:46:52.100 You think it's the World Economic Forum?

00:46:53.720 It's the whole UN.

00:47:00.440 Yeah.

00:47:01.260 Who in the world thinks

00:47:02.300 that massive immigration 0.54

00:47:03.360 is going to turn out well?

00:47:06.060 I don't know anybody honest

00:47:07.720 who gets to think that would work.

00:47:09.940 Well, there's a Chinese bio lab

00:47:12.080 found in California.

00:47:13.220 Robbie Starbucks was writing about it

00:47:14.800 on X.

00:47:15.400 I don't know what to think of this.

00:47:18.200 So there's this Chinese guy

00:47:20.600 who had a lab

00:47:21.600 with every kind of bad,

00:47:23.360 deadly chemical in it,

00:47:25.480 or virus,

00:47:26.500 and he got caught,

00:47:28.320 and apparently he's actually

00:47:29.920 on record as saying

00:47:31.720 he wants to defeat

00:47:32.620 the American aggressors.

00:47:35.840 So it appears that

00:47:37.620 on the surface

00:47:39.380 there was literally

00:47:40.840 a Chinese bio lab

00:47:42.660 by a terrorist

00:47:43.580 who was maybe funded by China

00:47:45.580 who wanted to create a virus

00:47:47.460 and destroy America. 0.82

00:47:50.080 I feel like I'm missing

00:47:51.440 something in this story.

00:47:53.380 It's a little too

00:47:54.240 on the nose or something.

00:47:56.560 I don't know.

00:47:57.000 I'm going to put a pin

00:47:58.020 in this one and say

00:47:58.960 it's all scary stuff.

00:48:01.080 Better pay attention to it.

00:48:02.900 But I feel like

00:48:03.660 there's more to know.

00:48:05.780 Don't you think?

00:48:06.760 I feel like,

00:48:08.180 I don't know,

00:48:08.700 there's a variable missing in that.

00:48:10.180 No, Mr. Bond.

00:48:13.240 We want you to die.

00:48:15.220 I don't know why

00:48:15.760 we're saying that,

00:48:16.440 but somebody's saying it.

00:48:19.620 All right.

00:48:26.040 There's a,

00:48:27.260 if you didn't see the video,

00:48:28.600 there was a big UFC fight

00:48:30.220 in Toronto,

00:48:31.740 and I guess the chanting

00:48:32.820 was F Trudeau.

00:48:35.200 So the UFC fans

00:48:37.980 in Canada

00:48:38.580 are not big fans

00:48:40.160 of the president.

00:48:41.520 But I use this story

00:48:43.340 to remind you

00:48:44.200 that sometimes

00:48:45.380 we think we're in

00:48:46.320 some kind of

00:48:46.840 political opinion difference.

00:48:49.700 I'm not sure that's true.

00:48:52.340 I think it's

00:48:52.840 a testosterone difference.

00:48:55.440 Because if you fill

00:48:56.660 a stadium full

00:48:57.660 of high testosterone people,

00:49:01.060 they praise Trump

00:49:02.540 and they yell at Trudeau.

00:49:04.620 Is that always

00:49:05.580 a coincidence?

00:49:06.240 I don't think

00:49:08.860 that's a coincidence.

00:49:10.340 Isn't it literally

00:49:11.200 just the high testosterone

00:49:12.440 people detest Trudeau

00:49:14.440 and love Trump?

00:49:15.640 I think that's all it is.

00:49:18.040 Yeah.

00:49:19.440 All right.

00:49:20.160 Speaking of testosterone,

00:49:21.420 there's a news,

00:49:22.860 let's see,

00:49:23.300 I think it was

00:49:23.620 the Wall Street Journal,

00:49:24.920 saying that

00:49:25.540 there are more American

00:49:28.100 single men

00:49:29.260 who say they don't

00:49:30.200 have any close friends.

00:49:31.340 So 20% of single men

00:49:33.580 say they don't have

00:49:35.000 any close friends.

00:49:36.200 Was that shocking to you?

00:49:38.140 Who is shocked here

00:49:39.460 that 20% of single men

00:49:41.680 don't have any friends,

00:49:43.920 close ones?

00:49:45.900 Well?

00:49:47.540 Oh, really?

00:49:49.120 Okay.

00:49:49.440 I thought it would be

00:49:56.940 much higher.

00:49:58.720 I don't think it's 20%.

00:50:00.360 I think it's closer to half.

00:50:02.100 What do you think?

00:50:03.440 I think at least half

00:50:04.500 of all men

00:50:05.820 don't have any friends.

00:50:08.440 Yeah,

00:50:08.740 closer to half.

00:50:09.680 So I think that's

00:50:10.300 a terrible poll.

00:50:11.920 My only advice

00:50:15.540 for men

00:50:16.080 who want to have

00:50:16.540 more friends

00:50:17.120 is that it has to

00:50:18.060 come through

00:50:18.620 joint activity.

00:50:20.880 Men don't make friends 1.00

00:50:21.980 because somebody

00:50:23.480 was nice at the bar.

00:50:25.680 That doesn't really happen.

00:50:28.540 Somebody chatted

00:50:29.400 with you at the bar

00:50:30.200 and you made friends

00:50:30.920 and then you became

00:50:31.540 friends forever.

00:50:32.560 I've never heard of that.

00:50:34.060 I've heard of people

00:50:34.760 who were roommates

00:50:35.460 who stayed friends,

00:50:37.040 but they were roommates

00:50:37.860 for accidental reasons.

00:50:39.780 I've heard of people

00:50:40.440 who played sports together

00:50:41.760 becoming friends.

00:50:42.940 I've heard of people

00:50:43.480 who worked together

00:50:44.260 being friends.

00:50:46.240 You've got to do a thing

00:50:47.440 with other guys

00:50:48.160 if you want to be friends.

00:50:49.860 Take up a sport,

00:50:51.600 join a,

00:50:52.340 you know,

00:50:52.600 work somewhere

00:50:53.140 where there's guys.

00:50:54.360 That's the only thing.

00:50:55.340 It's just activity.

00:50:57.120 It's activity,

00:50:58.340 activity,

00:50:58.860 activity.

00:51:00.620 I'm not even sure

00:51:01.600 of Rotary.

00:51:02.960 If you join the Rotary,

00:51:04.960 that probably only works

00:51:06.740 if you're getting involved

00:51:07.720 and really doing the work.

00:51:09.060 You know,

00:51:09.240 you're not just a member

00:51:10.480 who attends meetings.

00:51:11.760 But it could work, yes.

00:51:15.760 All right.

00:51:18.500 End wokeness noted

00:51:20.720 that in Australia,

00:51:23.680 they've got mass

00:51:24.500 migration problem too.

00:51:27.400 737,000 migrants in 2023.

00:51:31.400 So one out of 36 Australians

00:51:34.120 arrived last year.

00:51:35.960 Wow.

00:51:38.260 But 70% of Australians polled

00:51:40.580 wanted less immigration. 0.87

00:51:42.700 Only 10% wanted more.

00:51:44.920 Is Australia a democracy?

00:51:47.880 They're getting more immigration,

00:51:49.960 but 70% don't want it.

00:51:52.960 No.

00:51:53.820 It's obviously not.

00:51:55.820 Obviously not.

00:51:56.700 And is America

00:51:59.300 a republic

00:52:01.400 with democratic principles?

00:52:03.980 Obviously not.

00:52:05.360 I don't know who's in charge.

00:52:07.600 Now,

00:52:08.040 when I say that,

00:52:08.700 I don't say that

00:52:09.340 like a hyperbole.

00:52:11.000 Like,

00:52:11.480 oh,

00:52:11.700 we don't know who's in charge.

00:52:13.120 You know,

00:52:13.280 conspiracy theory.

00:52:14.720 I mean it literally.

00:52:15.880 I actually don't know

00:52:17.320 because there's no evidence

00:52:18.980 that Biden's in charge.

00:52:21.080 If it's not him,

00:52:22.880 who is it?

00:52:25.760 I actually don't know.

00:52:27.340 That's legitimately

00:52:28.300 I don't know.

00:52:29.580 I don't think it's Obama.

00:52:31.560 I think Obama

00:52:32.400 gets involved

00:52:33.000 in some political stuff

00:52:34.280 and maybe a few things

00:52:35.180 he cares about.

00:52:36.360 Like,

00:52:36.580 I'm sure he wants

00:52:37.180 a Democrat for a president,

00:52:38.580 so he might be involved

00:52:39.420 in the campaign.

00:52:41.400 Klaus?

00:52:42.340 I don't know.

00:52:44.280 I don't know.

00:52:44.980 So the U.S.,

00:52:54.940 there's a story

00:52:55.580 that the U.S.

00:52:56.240 is getting more involved

00:52:57.280 in trying to blunt

00:52:59.140 the influence

00:52:59.940 of China and Russia

00:53:01.440 in Africa

00:53:02.500 because as you know,

00:53:04.060 China's aggressive 1.00

00:53:05.660 in Africa,

00:53:06.880 building infrastructure,

00:53:08.920 giving them loans

00:53:10.040 and really trying

00:53:11.420 to get economically tight

00:53:12.700 with the African nations

00:53:13.720 to get a big advantage

00:53:15.720 with them in the future.

00:53:17.460 A lot of it

00:53:18.180 has to do with resources

00:53:19.880 because China needs

00:53:21.100 a lot of natural resources

00:53:22.220 and Africa has them.

00:53:23.640 So they figure,

00:53:24.500 you know,

00:53:24.700 the more they wrap

00:53:25.700 their economic futures together,

00:53:27.600 the more they'll have

00:53:28.600 access to the resources.

00:53:30.540 So let me ask this.

00:53:32.000 How is it working out

00:53:32.900 for China so far?

00:53:35.940 Is China pretty happy 0.98

00:53:37.500 they put their money

00:53:38.300 in Africa

00:53:38.800 because they built

00:53:41.040 some gleaming facilities

00:53:42.960 that are working out

00:53:43.900 just the way they hoped?

00:53:46.940 As far as I know,

00:53:48.700 China has basically

00:53:49.760 wasted immense amount

00:53:51.900 of resources in Africa

00:53:53.220 and got almost nothing

00:53:54.220 in return.

00:53:55.720 Now, I'm not positive

00:53:56.900 that's true.

00:53:59.280 Well, the rare,

00:54:00.160 actually the rare minerals

00:54:01.220 might be,

00:54:02.260 that might be

00:54:02.880 a valid argument.

00:54:05.420 So I do think

00:54:06.320 they're getting resources.

00:54:07.120 But what I don't think

00:54:08.960 is that they're delighted

00:54:11.180 with the return

00:54:12.160 on their investments

00:54:13.100 because America also has,

00:54:15.760 seemingly,

00:54:16.840 all the rare materials

00:54:17.900 we need.

00:54:18.840 I mean,

00:54:19.080 we're building stuff.

00:54:20.880 So China has raw materials

00:54:22.900 like rare earth.

00:54:23.900 We have rare earth.

00:54:25.560 But we didn't spend

00:54:26.700 a gazillion billion dollars

00:54:28.340 in Africa.

00:54:29.560 They got pissed away.

00:54:31.320 So I think it would be

00:54:33.400 a toss-up strategy-wise

00:54:35.420 whether it's smarter

00:54:37.060 to compete with China 0.64

00:54:38.600 and try to get

00:54:39.960 as much control

00:54:40.800 of Africa as we can.

00:54:46.320 And it doesn't know,

00:54:49.840 but it was a better use

00:54:51.380 of 10 trillion

00:54:52.260 than our stupid wars.

00:54:53.940 I don't know.

00:54:54.860 I guess the question is,

00:54:56.220 is any amount of money

00:54:57.440 that you put into Africa 0.94

00:54:58.480 going to work out?

00:54:59.360 Because there's

00:55:01.700 a theoretical amount

00:55:03.000 of corruption

00:55:03.640 that makes it impossible

00:55:05.460 to invest.

00:55:07.240 And I think they're

00:55:08.140 below that line.

00:55:09.660 I think they're

00:55:10.260 uninvestable.

00:55:11.260 So if you try to make

00:55:12.220 it investable by investing,

00:55:14.640 I don't know if that

00:55:15.360 could get you

00:55:15.820 from here to there.

00:55:17.580 I don't know.

00:55:18.360 I don't know if that's

00:55:18.980 really a path.

00:55:20.620 So, of course,

00:55:21.480 Africa will improve

00:55:22.680 like everything improves

00:55:23.660 over time.

00:55:24.740 But if you try to make

00:55:26.020 it improve too fast,

00:55:27.520 you might have

00:55:27.860 some issues there.

00:55:29.360 So I'm not sure

00:55:30.480 we should be competing there.

00:55:33.300 Well, let's talk

00:55:34.180 about Israel

00:55:34.760 and the two-state

00:55:36.520 versus one-state solution.

00:55:38.300 So Netanyahu

00:55:38.960 has said directly now

00:55:40.380 that there's no real,

00:55:42.140 there's no plan

00:55:43.620 for, from him anyway,

00:55:45.960 for a two-state solution.

00:55:47.500 He wants Israel 1.00

00:55:48.540 to control the West Bank

00:55:49.680 and Gaza,

00:55:50.320 and that's it.

00:55:51.560 And then you're done.

00:55:52.840 Israel controls it, 0.99

00:55:54.400 and we're done.

00:55:55.700 Forever.

00:55:56.180 Now, as you might imagine,

00:55:58.900 that is very provocative,

00:56:00.400 and the Arab world

00:56:01.760 doesn't love it,

00:56:02.980 and the Biden administration

00:56:04.340 wants a two-state solution,

00:56:06.300 and all the protesters

00:56:07.560 want an end to the violence

00:56:09.180 and for them to work out

00:56:10.680 with something that would look

00:56:12.140 like a two-state solution.

00:56:13.780 So what's going to happen?

00:56:14.720 Well, things are getting bad there.

00:56:18.980 Well, they were always bad,

00:56:20.400 but getting worse.

00:56:21.600 The numbers of people

00:56:23.900 killed, civilian,

00:56:25.720 you know, I think I won't

00:56:26.960 even say the number

00:56:27.860 because you're just going to say,

00:56:29.780 that number came from Hamas.

00:56:31.720 That is exaggerated.

00:56:32.980 And I'll say,

00:56:34.040 yeah, you're probably right,

00:56:34.980 but it's the only number we have.

00:56:36.720 And I told you where it came from.

00:56:38.440 And then you'll say,

00:56:39.560 but still, it's so misleading.

00:56:42.060 Maybe it'd be better

00:56:43.020 you didn't mention it at all,

00:56:44.580 so I'm not going to mention it at all.

00:56:46.460 So just know that there are claims

00:56:48.700 of, you know,

00:56:49.540 immense numbers of wounded and dead,

00:56:52.980 civilians and fighters,

00:56:54.580 but estimates of how many

00:56:55.980 Hamas fighters they got 1.00

00:56:57.360 is more like 20%,

00:56:59.420 and progress is slowing.

00:57:05.000 So the suggestion is

00:57:06.460 that Hamas is on the border of winning.

00:57:09.560 Hamas is on the border of winning. 0.99

00:57:13.020 Because for them,

00:57:14.740 not losing is winning.

00:57:16.520 If they lost half of their fighters

00:57:18.060 but stayed in power,

00:57:19.900 that's a win, right?

00:57:22.020 Because they would have degraded

00:57:23.520 Israel's reputation in the world.

00:57:25.780 They don't care so much

00:57:26.840 about their own deaths.

00:57:28.760 That'd be a win.

00:57:30.300 So if Israel is really 0.90

00:57:32.980 only degraded 20%

00:57:34.880 of the actual fighters,

00:57:37.580 that doesn't look like

00:57:38.720 they're winning to me.

00:57:39.980 What do you think?

00:57:40.620 Because they're hurting public opinion,

00:57:42.720 and they're not getting

00:57:44.640 what they wanted for it,

00:57:45.800 which is kill Hamas. 0.51

00:57:48.320 So that's not ideal.

00:57:51.380 But if you have Netanyahu, 0.66

00:57:53.480 who's against the two-state solution,

00:57:55.840 and you've got Biden who wants one,

00:57:57.460 and of course we're going to have to get

00:57:59.180 on the same page at some point,

00:58:01.540 what do you do?

00:58:03.100 Well, let me give you

00:58:04.840 a lesson in negotiating.

00:58:06.160 If you have a situation

00:58:08.600 which cannot be solved

00:58:10.000 anytime soon,

00:58:12.420 your best bet...

00:58:15.540 All right, somebody's saying

00:58:17.220 Israel isn't losing.

00:58:23.080 Like that...

00:58:24.160 I don't want to get into

00:58:25.080 a dumb argument, right?

00:58:27.040 So let's see if I can say it

00:58:28.280 in a way that you'll stop saying that.

00:58:30.260 You don't know who's winning and losing

00:58:33.960 because that depends on the final state,

00:58:37.640 and that's unknowable.

00:58:39.420 You don't know if Israel

00:58:41.260 will be forced by public opinion

00:58:43.080 to slow down what they're doing,

00:58:45.540 which will leave Hamas intact,

00:58:47.480 which would definitely be losing.

00:58:50.060 But you also don't know

00:58:51.780 if Israel is just going to 0.85

00:58:53.940 ignore public opinion

00:58:55.120 and do whatever they need to do

00:58:56.380 until they do win,

00:58:57.640 which they could.

00:58:58.880 It's possible.

00:59:00.600 So you can't say

00:59:02.000 Israel is winning 1.00

00:59:02.840 and you can't say

00:59:03.660 Hamas is winning. 1.00

00:59:04.700 You can say there's an argument

00:59:06.320 for both situations.

00:59:09.120 Are you okay with that?

00:59:10.240 There's an argument for both,

00:59:11.940 but you don't know

00:59:12.760 which way it's going to end.

00:59:13.900 How would you?

00:59:16.700 Well, I'm going to give you

00:59:17.680 a prediction based on

00:59:18.680 the only way it could end.

00:59:20.540 When there's only one way

00:59:21.960 it can go,

00:59:23.440 it's not hard to predict.

00:59:25.540 Would you agree?

00:59:26.660 I don't think it was hard

00:59:27.880 to predict where Ukraine

00:59:29.160 and Russia would go. 0.54

00:59:31.060 They would kill more people

00:59:32.480 until they got tired

00:59:34.180 and they would make

00:59:35.220 some kind of agreement

00:59:36.120 that looks sort of like

00:59:38.240 the borders the way

00:59:39.540 they are now.

00:59:41.440 So you don't have to be

00:59:42.540 a genius if there's

00:59:43.460 literally only one way

00:59:44.820 things can go.

00:59:46.400 I mean, you could say,

00:59:47.480 well, it'll be a nuclear war, 0.60

00:59:49.000 but not really.

00:59:50.360 It doesn't really look like

00:59:51.560 it could be a nuclear war.

00:59:52.900 So here's the way

00:59:55.560 I think Israel and Gaza 1.00

00:59:56.660 is going to go.

00:59:58.120 The two-state solution people

00:59:59.740 will never give up.

01:00:01.820 Netanyahu will not be able

01:00:03.080 to stay in office

01:00:04.020 and push his one-nation thing.

01:00:09.880 Biden isn't going to say

01:00:11.740 one nation.

01:00:12.320 And here's what's going to happen.

01:00:17.780 There's only one way

01:00:18.780 to solve it.

01:00:20.120 You make a 20-year deal

01:00:22.060 and say,

01:00:23.180 here's the deal.

01:00:23.920 We can't just hand it back

01:00:25.280 to Hamas.

01:00:25.920 You understand why.

01:00:26.820 But we'll make a 20-year plan

01:00:29.020 for a two-nation solution.

01:00:33.560 If after 20 years

01:00:35.320 the following security

01:00:37.440 and, let's say,

01:00:38.540 education of the people

01:00:39.700 in those areas

01:00:40.840 reaches certain criteria,

01:00:43.420 at that time,

01:00:45.540 we will look into

01:00:47.300 turning it back over

01:00:48.440 to Hamas,

01:00:50.320 or not Hamas probably,

01:00:52.080 but to the Palestinians

01:00:53.020 to run it.

01:00:54.560 Because after 20 years,

01:00:55.820 you've shown us

01:00:57.060 that you can live with us

01:00:58.600 in peace

01:00:59.020 and not be a threat.

01:01:00.780 Now, what would Biden

01:01:02.020 say to that?

01:01:03.060 Oh, that's too slow.

01:01:05.780 And then Netanyahu says,

01:01:07.200 it's all you're getting.

01:01:09.140 All right.

01:01:09.940 We'll try to sell it.

01:01:12.200 So then they can say,

01:01:13.400 this is the only plan.

01:01:15.420 Because you know

01:01:16.120 you can't do it in a day.

01:01:17.980 And you know you can't

01:01:19.120 wait 100 years.

01:01:20.500 So we're going to do

01:01:21.360 the only productive thing

01:01:22.500 we can,

01:01:23.120 which is to say,

01:01:23.840 look, 20 years is reasonable.

01:01:25.820 Because you've got to

01:01:26.680 change a lot.

01:01:28.220 And it's going to take

01:01:29.240 20 years,

01:01:30.060 especially educating the youth.

01:01:32.060 So if Israel gets control 0.94

01:01:33.780 of the curriculum

01:01:34.580 in the schools,

01:01:36.260 such that they can actually

01:01:37.860 brainwash the youth,

01:01:39.880 and they can reduce

01:01:41.700 the number of terror attacks

01:01:43.040 to whatever level

01:01:44.660 they say is low enough

01:01:45.940 that they're okay with it,

01:01:47.540 at the end of 20 years,

01:01:50.720 they will definitely

01:01:51.540 be open to that

01:01:53.620 two-state solution.

01:01:55.640 Now,

01:01:56.460 what will really happen

01:01:58.540 in the real world?

01:02:00.560 First of all,

01:02:01.340 it would be hard

01:02:01.920 to say no to that deal

01:02:03.220 if it's the best one

01:02:04.180 you can get.

01:02:06.320 Because

01:02:06.760 Israel is never 0.94

01:02:09.120 going to agree

01:02:09.640 to a two-state solution

01:02:10.860 right off the bat.

01:02:12.540 That's just stupid.

01:02:13.980 Like,

01:02:14.300 even to imagine

01:02:15.000 that's going to be

01:02:15.600 a serious conversation

01:02:16.900 is crazy.

01:02:18.200 But eventually,

01:02:20.040 you know,

01:02:20.300 they can make a claim

01:02:21.600 that things can change.

01:02:23.460 They can't make a claim

01:02:24.540 that it would work today.

01:02:26.440 That would be crazy.

01:02:28.400 Literally crazy.

01:02:30.200 So,

01:02:30.740 when you only have

01:02:31.420 one thing you can do,

01:02:33.600 that's probably

01:02:34.340 what's going to happen.

01:02:35.760 So the one thing

01:02:36.720 you can do

01:02:37.320 is say,

01:02:37.780 we'll create

01:02:38.880 some series

01:02:39.880 of confidence-building steps

01:02:41.540 to get us to where

01:02:42.920 we both would like to be.

01:02:44.600 Because I don't think

01:02:45.460 Israel would hate it 0.99

01:02:46.540 if they got out

01:02:47.920 of the business

01:02:48.460 of protecting themselves

01:02:49.480 from their neighbor.

01:02:51.420 It just doesn't seem possible.

01:02:53.700 But if it could be done,

01:02:55.180 I think they'd like it.

01:02:57.780 I don't think

01:02:58.580 that their lust

01:02:59.500 for extra land,

01:03:01.500 you know,

01:03:02.140 expanding in this way,

01:03:03.380 I don't think

01:03:03.980 that's as much

01:03:04.780 as they would like

01:03:05.600 to just not have

01:03:06.220 the problem at all.

01:03:07.920 That's my guess.

01:03:09.740 So,

01:03:10.300 I'm going to predict

01:03:11.040 that there will be

01:03:11.740 a phased

01:03:12.660 kind of approach.

01:03:15.320 oh yeah,

01:03:16.760 maybe the Abraham Accords 0.65

01:03:18.900 will be wrapped into that

01:03:20.060 as in,

01:03:21.120 you know,

01:03:21.380 if you guys

01:03:21.900 can get along

01:03:22.580 for a while,

01:03:23.360 then Saudi and Israel

01:03:24.840 will get along

01:03:25.460 for a while

01:03:26.040 and maybe help

01:03:26.720 with the rebuilding.

01:03:27.960 You could tie

01:03:28.580 all that stuff together.

01:03:29.900 But the important thing

01:03:30.780 is Israel

01:03:32.620 would have to know

01:03:33.540 that they could say

01:03:35.240 no after 20 years.

01:03:37.160 And then they would.

01:03:39.460 They would definitely

01:03:40.420 say no after 20 years.

01:03:41.840 because there isn't

01:03:42.740 a chance in the world

01:03:43.580 that the Palestinians

01:03:45.240 will stop

01:03:45.980 their attacks.

01:03:48.100 There's no chance

01:03:49.060 of that.

01:03:50.480 And if they poll

01:03:52.340 the public,

01:03:53.080 and maybe one

01:03:53.580 of the criteria

01:03:54.180 is polling.

01:03:56.400 Maybe one

01:03:57.100 of the criteria

01:03:57.640 is if we poll you, 0.98

01:03:59.740 you can't be 80%

01:04:01.540 in favor of killing

01:04:02.500 all of the people

01:04:03.420 in Israel

01:04:03.920 because we're not

01:04:05.400 going to give you

01:04:06.020 a state

01:04:06.640 if that's the situation.

01:04:07.920 So, you know,

01:04:09.880 even though polls

01:04:10.580 can be faked

01:04:11.340 and whatnot,

01:04:12.440 they could say

01:04:13.380 you're going to have

01:04:14.060 to get public opinion

01:04:15.000 down to some

01:04:16.140 reasonable level

01:04:17.340 of wanting to kill us

01:04:18.540 before a two-state solution

01:04:20.480 is even, you know,

01:04:21.780 something we could

01:04:22.500 take seriously.

01:04:25.400 So, yeah,

01:04:26.320 that's the only way to go.

01:04:29.240 So, therefore, it will.

01:04:30.780 There's talk

01:04:31.540 of a hostage deal.

01:04:33.360 Hamas is saying 0.90

01:04:34.080 they'll give back

01:04:34.660 all the hostages

01:04:35.520 if the fighting stops

01:04:38.420 and Hamas can go back 0.97

01:04:39.680 in charge of Gaza.

01:04:43.300 That's not going to happen.

01:04:46.240 So, these are all

01:04:47.380 fake offers.

01:04:49.800 So, why is Hamas

01:04:51.100 making a fake offer

01:04:52.340 that they know

01:04:54.020 will be turned down?

01:04:55.460 So that it looks like

01:04:56.640 they're negotiating.

01:04:58.160 So it looks like

01:04:58.940 they care about,

01:04:59.860 you know,

01:05:01.360 giving back to hostages.

01:05:03.220 Yeah.

01:05:03.720 So it's a fake offer

01:05:04.920 and Israel should

01:05:05.980 match it with a fake

01:05:07.040 offer of their own.

01:05:07.980 Oh, hey, what?

01:05:08.980 I'll make you a deal.

01:05:10.460 Can't give you that

01:05:11.240 state right away,

01:05:12.140 but if you work with us,

01:05:14.880 keep things safe

01:05:15.720 for 20 years,

01:05:17.820 yeah, totally possible.

01:05:20.860 All right,

01:05:21.380 that, ladies and gentlemen,

01:05:23.080 is the end of my content.

01:05:25.520 Tight and perfect,

01:05:26.780 I think, for today.

01:05:27.700 I'm going to say bye

01:05:28.880 to the YouTube

01:05:30.860 and Rumble 0.98

01:05:31.880 and ex-viewers.

01:05:35.420 Thanks for watching

01:05:36.220 and I'll see you again

01:05:38.080 tomorrow.

01:05:39.180 Same place,

01:05:40.140 same time.

01:05:41.620 Bye for now.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - January 21, 2024

Episode 2360 CWSA 01⧸21⧸24

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