Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 2601 CWSA 09⧸18⧸24

00:00:00.000 Good morning, everybody, and welcome to the Highlight of Human Civilization.

00:00:09.280 It's called Coffee with Scott Adams, and you've probably never had a better time with your

00:00:13.840 tiny, shiny human brain, but if you'd like to take it up to levels that nobody can even

00:00:18.200 understand, all you need for that is a cup or mug or a glass of tank or gels, a stein,

00:00:21.940 a canteen, a jug or flask, a vessel of any kind, fill it with your favorite liquid.

00:00:27.960 I like coffee, and join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine hit of the day.

00:00:35.120 It's called It Happens Now.

00:00:38.040 Go.

00:00:43.080 I try to say it differently every day, but I'm running out of different ways to say it, but

00:00:49.080 wow, was that a good sip.

00:00:53.220 So good.

00:00:54.240 How good was it?

00:00:55.180 Well, there's a new study according to the Endocrine Society that says three cups of coffee

00:00:59.940 per day is associated with 48% lower risk of diabetes.

00:01:06.180 That's right.

00:01:07.420 Your risk of diabetes is dropping every moment as you sip, and that's just one of the many

00:01:14.740 benefits you get from watching coffee with Scott Adams and simultaneously sipping.

00:01:19.300 They don't say whether the simultaneity would improve your diabetes risk or not, but I think

00:01:26.700 it would.

00:01:27.460 I think it would.

00:01:29.040 Meanwhile, according to phys.org, they did a study that found that reducing the use of

00:01:35.120 your smartphone can make you less depressed.

00:01:38.400 Okay.

00:01:39.780 Huh.

00:01:40.360 How could they have saved money on that study?

00:01:42.560 Well, you could have just asked me.

00:01:46.280 I could have saved you some time and money.

00:01:48.820 Scott, do you think people are happier when they don't use their phone as much?

00:01:53.380 Well, 100% of the time that I've seen people try, they say they're happier, so you don't

00:01:59.100 even have to study that one.

00:02:01.380 Could have asked me.

00:02:02.200 And then there's Science Alert, who did a study, and they found that the best way to get people

00:02:09.980 to reduce their alcohol was they had a little trick, and you won't believe it, but the trick

00:02:16.700 is to say that alcohol will cause cancer.

00:02:22.540 Alcohol is cancer.

00:02:24.920 And when you tell people that alcohol is cancer, it turns out it really reduces how much they

00:02:31.280 drink.

00:02:32.200 Now, part of that is they also have you count the number of drinks, so maybe that counts

00:02:36.580 too.

00:02:37.540 But you know what they could have done?

00:02:40.600 They could have saved some time, because as you know, I think probably thousands of people

00:02:46.320 have stopped drinking or reduced drinking because of one reframe that I added to the mix, which

00:02:52.720 is alcohol is poison.

00:02:54.860 So if you tested alcohol is cancer, and I already know that thousands of people have stopped drinking

00:03:00.680 because of one sentence, alcohol is poison, yes, you didn't need to do that.

00:03:06.500 You could have skipped the whole study and just ask me, and I would have had the right answer.

00:03:11.980 Yes, yes, that will work.

00:03:13.720 But you should say poison instead of cancer.

00:03:15.560 There's a choker, as in a thing that you put around your neck for, let's say, wardrobe reasons

00:03:27.960 not to kill people.

00:03:29.260 I think it would be called a garret or something if you were strangling somebody.

00:03:34.140 But if you're wearing it for fashion reasons around your neck, they now have one that can

00:03:39.880 determine your nonverbal words and communicate it.

00:03:45.820 So if you can't speak, you don't have the ability to speak, you can kind of mouth what it is that you

00:03:51.980 want it to say, and the choker will pick up what your words should have been if you had been able to

00:03:57.260 speak, and it will produce speech somehow.

00:04:00.680 Now, that's interesting, but you know what's way more interesting?

00:04:06.840 How is AI ever going to work when you have to talk to it?

00:04:11.000 Everybody, it's going to be way worse than cell phone usage, because you're going to want to use

00:04:16.200 AI all day long, but you get used to talking to it when you're alone, and then you're going to want

00:04:21.560 to keep doing it when you're on the bus or at Starbucks or something.

00:04:25.080 So we need a way that you can talk to it without talking.

00:04:31.420 So if I could put one of these chokers on, and I could just, you know, mouth what I wanted to do,

00:04:37.880 and I could read my, basically read my brain, but really read my vocal cords, that would be cool.

00:04:44.680 And then I could read its response, and we could be silent.

00:04:48.300 Yes, something to look forward to.

00:04:51.000 Meanwhile, the Fed is looking to probably cut interest rates today.

00:04:55.740 We'll see.

00:04:56.840 It'll be the first time in a few years that they cut rates.

00:05:00.720 The stock market seems to be kind of calm.

00:05:03.140 I would think the stock market would have a good day if they cut rates, but maybe it depends

00:05:08.660 how much, quarter point versus a half a point.

00:05:13.440 Well, here's the news that makes all of the other news completely irrelevant.

00:05:19.160 Do you believe that there is a piece of news that makes all of the other news irrelevant?

00:05:24.780 Is it a meteor heading for the earth?

00:05:27.060 No, there's no meteor heading for the earth as far as I know.

00:05:30.000 But Jensen Wang, the head of NVIDIA, they make the chips for AI, he says the tech has now

00:05:41.240 reached a positive feedback loop.

00:05:43.400 Well, that doesn't sound bad.

00:05:45.320 Positive feedback loop.

00:05:47.380 Where the AI is designing new AI.

00:05:50.640 Uh-oh.

00:05:52.440 And is now advancing at the pace of Moore's Law Squared.

00:05:56.180 Uh-oh.

00:05:58.140 Meaning that the progress we will see in the next year or two will be, quote, spectacular

00:06:03.000 and surprising.

00:06:05.480 Uh-oh.

00:06:07.820 Do you know what the singularity is?

00:06:10.520 Have you heard of that?

00:06:12.500 This isn't maybe quite the singularity, but it's suggesting we could be there any minute.

00:06:18.860 Now, the singularity is where the AI learns to make more AI.

00:06:25.680 So once your AI is smarter than humans, it can make a better AI than you could.

00:06:31.200 And then the better AI could make a better AI.

00:06:33.460 The better AI could make a better AI.

00:06:35.960 And it would happen kind of quickly.

00:06:37.560 And we would lose all control as human beings.

00:06:43.780 Because the AI would have perfect, you know, powers of influence.

00:06:48.540 It would blackmail you.

00:06:50.080 It would control you.

00:06:50.980 It would bribe you.

00:06:52.120 It could basically make you do anything.

00:06:54.200 If it gets smart enough.

00:06:56.620 So every other piece of news probably doesn't matter.

00:07:02.900 Let's test it out.

00:07:04.780 Climate change.

00:07:05.580 Climate change.

00:07:06.160 Nope.

00:07:06.880 Everything you know about climate change will be erased and replaced with whatever the

00:07:12.140 AI of the AI of the AI tells us.

00:07:15.220 All of it.

00:07:16.620 It may even say it's not a problem.

00:07:18.760 Or it may say, oh, yeah, it is a problem.

00:07:20.820 Here's the solution.

00:07:23.180 What about wars?

00:07:25.740 No, it'll probably get rid of wars.

00:07:28.320 It'll just look at the situation and say, oh, here's the deal.

00:07:32.500 Well, so just take this deal to them.

00:07:35.680 They'll sign it.

00:07:36.840 And you'll take it.

00:07:37.920 And surprisingly, the other side will say, yeah, you know, that's probably what we would

00:07:42.060 have come out with anyway.

00:07:43.020 We'll sign it.

00:07:43.580 So it could be that just there's nothing big that won't be completely erased in six months,

00:07:50.860 if it's true that AI is designing AI.

00:07:54.880 That's as big as big can be.

00:07:58.560 You can't get bigger in terms of an influence on the world unless a meteor hits the earth.

00:08:04.200 Well, Bill Ackman, investor Bill Ackman, is getting involved in this question of whether ABC News, which is owned by Disney, what are they going to say and respond to the allegations from a whistleblower that when Harris did the debate on ABC News,

00:08:24.200 that she negotiated to omit certain questions on certain topics, to control the camera angles, which I don't think is a big deal, and they were going to fact check only Trump.

00:08:39.220 Now, earlier on, the story suggested that she saw the questions in advance.

00:08:47.920 That has not been confirmed.

00:08:50.020 So I don't believe the whistleblower even alleged that she saw the questions in advance.

00:08:55.500 But something that's not too far from that is that she got to say, don't ask these questions.

00:09:00.700 So now, is there any chance that they didn't, that somebody involved with ABC didn't tell her the questions?

00:09:12.640 I don't know what the, the whistleblower only knows what the whistleblower knows.

00:09:17.060 But the whistleblower doesn't know that they didn't give her the questions.

00:09:21.720 The whistleblower only knows that the whistleblower doesn't know that they did.

00:09:25.260 So, I'm assuming that she saw the questions.

00:09:33.220 Are you?

00:09:34.540 I mean, she had so many, like, personal connections to the, to the network.

00:09:40.700 It's hard, it's hard for me, even in my wildest imagination, to believe that she didn't get the questions.

00:09:47.900 Like, directly, indirectly, generally speaking, something.

00:09:52.520 I think she did.

00:09:53.200 So, that's my working assumption.

00:09:56.520 Well, here's the fake news of the day.

00:09:59.080 Gavin Newsom said he signed a bill that would make it illegal for doing what Musk did by sending around a parody of Kamala Harris.

00:10:09.740 Now, the parody that Musk sent around was an obvious parody.

00:10:14.940 Meaning that you'd have to be pretty dumb to think it was real, because it was pretty obviously a parody.

00:10:23.200 But Gavin Newsom said that doing that would be illegal with a bill he just signed, which would make it illegal to send around, to knowingly send around false election-related claims.

00:10:35.180 Election-related claims.

00:10:37.600 Well, that's pretty scary in general, isn't it?

00:10:43.920 How many election-related claims have I made?

00:10:47.900 Probably a lot.

00:10:49.560 Or in the form of opinions.

00:10:51.700 In some cases, I probably repeated some news that turned out later not to be true, as everybody who does this does.

00:11:00.720 So, here's what apparently Elon Musk and a lot of people on X believe, that he made it illegal to do parody.

00:11:11.940 But in the comments, I saw somebody actually put a page from the actual law that Newsom just signed.

00:11:19.320 And it very clearly and directly says that parody is not included in the law.

00:11:26.660 Meaning that as long as it's an obvious joke, you can do anything you want.

00:11:31.140 So, California didn't change jokes.

00:11:34.340 So, if you think you can't do a meme, you can.

00:11:38.140 It just can't be something that would fool somebody about the election, something about the election.

00:11:43.360 Now, the way it's written, what I don't know is, could you take action against the Harris campaign for all the hoaxes?

00:11:53.080 I would think that a hoax like the fine people hoax and the bloodbath hoax and all those hoaxes,

00:11:58.680 I would think that they change the election outcome.

00:12:02.520 That's why she says it.

00:12:04.660 She says these claims that she knows to be false because it will change the outcome.

00:12:09.900 If you say things you know to be false in order to change the outcome of an election, is that illegal?

00:12:19.480 It's not parody.

00:12:22.360 I would say it's very obviously clear that Musk doesn't have a problem with his obvious parodies.

00:12:28.620 There's no way anybody's going to convict him for that.

00:12:32.220 And the law says that that's excluded, so there's not really any chance of that.

00:12:37.160 But what is misinformation about an election?

00:12:40.620 And how do you know that somebody did it knowingly?

00:12:44.540 And how many times have I accidentally violated that law without being aware of it?

00:12:50.760 I don't know.

00:12:52.500 But it certainly raises the risk.

00:12:54.940 So I'm not worried about the parody.

00:12:56.560 That part's fake news, I think.

00:12:58.960 But certainly there's some ambiguity about what would be fake information about an election.

00:13:04.280 And I think the hoaxes are all illegal now.

00:13:08.000 It should be tested.

00:13:09.480 I'd love to say it tested.

00:13:11.200 But then, you know, every politician would be dragged into this if that's true.

00:13:14.980 Anyway, Tim Walsh was talking about free speech in one of the networks, and he actually said

00:13:22.580 this sentence, there's no guarantee to free speech on misinformation or hate speech.

00:13:27.660 Yes, there is.

00:13:33.380 Yeah, there is.

00:13:35.200 It's called the Constitution.

00:13:37.880 The Constitution very directly gives me the right to say things that are not true.

00:13:45.960 You know, as long as I'm, yeah, as long as I'm actually, you know, I think it's true.

00:13:52.720 And in some cases, even if I don't think it's true, if it doesn't hurt anybody.

00:13:58.200 So, is he dumb?

00:14:01.740 Or is this part of a larger effort to make sure that Republicans can never talk in public again?

00:14:08.120 Because it's all heading in that direction.

00:14:09.940 Yeah, we do have the problem that who decides what's parity, but that isn't new.

00:14:34.880 So, parity has always been legal, and we've always had to decide what is parity.

00:14:41.580 Didn't, there's somebody in jail right now for a meme that said to vote on the wrong day.

00:14:47.660 Now, he thought it was a funny meme, but the courts decided it wasn't parity.

00:14:54.120 I think it was.

00:14:55.780 So, you're right.

00:14:56.940 We're definitely going to disagree what parity is.

00:14:59.540 But, I would say that that particular parity, while it was parity, could have misled somebody.

00:15:07.640 So, it's going to be a real gray area, but it's already a gray area.

00:15:11.640 That's not new.

00:15:13.380 It's always been a case that you have to figure out if it's parity or not.

00:15:19.000 So, I can't believe no free speech on misinformation.

00:15:21.740 That is the most dangerous statement you've ever heard in the United States, that there's no guarantee to free speech on misinformation.

00:15:31.140 As long as they can determine what is true, and they say all their hoaxes are true, but everything that Trump says is false, that would give them the ability to lock up anybody, basically.

00:15:43.380 And, I don't know if it's a lock up or a civil situation, but it doesn't look good.

00:15:53.680 So, Kabbalah Harris did or finally did another sit down with that black journalist group, the same one that Trump had a contentious interview with.

00:16:03.820 And, the comments on it are that she looks inebriated, and that it's full of word salad.

00:16:12.880 And, my favorite thing that she says is the opportunity economy.

00:16:17.940 Because, I got to admit, it sounds good, but there's nothing to it.

00:16:24.220 It's completely empty.

00:16:26.120 But, it actually sort of works if people don't notice that there's no content.

00:16:31.600 But, so, when she's asked about what she's going to do for the economy, you know, she does her, I was born in a middle class town where people really cared about their lawns.

00:16:42.820 Yeah, and then she makes that face after she says cares about their lawns.

00:16:47.480 But, then the other thing she says is, what I like to do is what I call, what we're calling an opportunity economy.

00:16:56.620 And, I say to myself, you mean like it is now?

00:17:02.720 What the hell is an opportunity economy?

00:17:06.760 And, what exactly is she going to do to increase opportunity?

00:17:11.500 All I hear is DEI.

00:17:15.060 I think, to me, it just sounds like she's going to make sure that the certain class of people get the opportunities.

00:17:22.400 So, when I hear opportunity, I just hear, let's take more stuff from white guys.

00:17:28.200 They have too much.

00:17:29.820 They've got too much so that everybody else doesn't have an opportunity.

00:17:33.460 So, to me, it just sounds like communism.

00:17:37.640 Or, socialism or some hybrid.

00:17:42.240 But, overall, I would say it was a complete train wreck.

00:17:47.780 It was word salad and she looked inebriated.

00:17:50.400 Now, the conversation is, is she drunk or on benzos?

00:17:56.420 Some people say that she's slurring her words and that if she were drunk, it would be more obvious.

00:18:02.120 So, it's probably more hidden.

00:18:04.240 So, it's probably pills.

00:18:05.760 I'm going to still say drunk.

00:18:09.560 I'm no expert on the pills.

00:18:12.040 I haven't been around it that much.

00:18:13.940 But, it looks drunk to me.

00:18:16.580 So, I'm not going to, you know, I don't know.

00:18:22.000 But, does it matter?

00:18:24.440 Does it matter if she's drunk?

00:18:26.600 If she acts drunk, that's just as important.

00:18:30.860 So, before anybody gets on me for saying, you're no doctor, you can't tell if she's drunk.

00:18:37.980 Why do you keep saying that?

00:18:39.600 It's important that she acts drunk.

00:18:43.080 It doesn't matter as much if there's actual alcohol in her or a pill.

00:18:48.760 If you act like you're drunk in public on a regular basis, we need to try somebody else in that job, right?

00:18:59.220 It's not good enough to say, well, give me a blood test.

00:19:02.680 Give me a blood test.

00:19:04.320 I'm not even drunk at all.

00:19:07.160 Watch me pass the drug test with flying colors.

00:19:10.160 Now, that doesn't help me.

00:19:14.080 It doesn't help me to know she's not drunk.

00:19:16.880 If, you know, if in fact there's any chance of that, I think that's a low odds.

00:19:21.820 She's acts drunk.

00:19:24.000 That's the story.

00:19:25.540 And I feel like that, you know, boy who cried wolf.

00:19:29.340 I'm watching somebody who's polling basically a tie to be president.

00:19:37.720 And when I see her, maybe a third of the time I see her on video, she looks drunk.

00:19:43.780 And it's worse because the times she doesn't look drunk are pretty obvious too.

00:19:50.840 You know, when she did the debate, she wasn't on anything then, or unless it was something that helped her.

00:19:57.020 But it was nothing that was making her slur speech or be dumb or anything like that.

00:20:01.240 But then you watch this interview with the black journalists, and you say, okay, that's different.

00:20:08.040 We don't know what we're looking at, but that's not good.

00:20:12.820 And somehow that's not a national conversation.

00:20:17.840 Have you noticed that the big news, they don't touch it?

00:20:20.740 They should at least be able to touch the fact that we think she looks drunk.

00:20:28.340 I mean, that's news.

00:20:31.820 You can say that we're wrong, and we might be.

00:20:37.140 But if that's natural, that's still the story.

00:20:40.520 That is still the story if that's natural.

00:20:42.620 Well, CNN's Scott Jennings is doing something to make the name Scott sound good again, after I ruined it.

00:20:55.000 So Scott Jennings, he slams his own network, so he's on CNN.

00:21:01.140 He's the one pro-Trump.

00:21:03.120 Well, I guess I have more than one.

00:21:04.660 But he's the most prominent pro-Trump person.

00:21:09.120 And he's doing a real good job of not getting fired and still saying things that are true.

00:21:15.960 So he blamed his own network for their rhetoric that's designed to radicalize people.

00:21:22.240 So he talked about the bloodbath hoax, the dictator for a day hoax, and the eliminate the U.S. Constitution hoax.

00:21:29.300 And those are pretty good.

00:21:30.180 But you should have seen the faces of the other people at the table where they're being called out for just being despicable liars in a job that the point of the job is to tell the truth.

00:21:43.380 And he's just calling them out as despicable liars who are going to radicalize people and get somebody killed.

00:21:48.820 And they just sat there like it's just a Tuesday.

00:21:52.360 And then Abby Phillip tried to come up with some tortured explanation why really one of these comments was more true than not.

00:22:03.900 I mean, sort of ridiculous.

00:22:07.580 Meanwhile, a CBS correspondent, according to the Daily Wire, they're reporting on it.

00:22:14.880 I think it was a CBS correspondent.

00:22:17.800 She went to Nevada and went to a bunch of restaurants and places where there are groups of people.

00:22:23.840 And each time she asked every single person who was there, who they were supporting for president.

00:22:31.120 And what she reported was, this was in Nevada, and she said that they could only find one Harris supporter everywhere they went.

00:22:39.260 So if there was a room full of people, they were all Trump supporters except for one.

00:22:45.840 Now, I get that Nevada might go Trump, right?

00:22:51.380 So yeah, there's a majority.

00:22:53.540 But given that she went to multiple locations, what are the odds that you would not find any Harris supporters except one in each of these crowded places if the polling is accurate?

00:23:07.740 There's something going on.

00:23:09.460 Now, I would still probably believe the polling over the anecdote, but that's a pretty strong anecdote if you went to multiple locations with multiple people and each of them only had one Harris supporter.

00:23:22.180 I don't know.

00:23:24.180 I don't know.

00:23:24.900 There's something that's not quite adding up in our observation of the world.

00:23:29.420 I don't know what it is.

00:23:31.940 But most likely the anecdotes are misleading.

00:23:34.800 That would be the smart guess.

00:23:36.780 Well, according to RealClearPolitics, their average of polls show that Trump is up a tiny, tiny little fraction in Pennsylvania.

00:23:49.660 Now, that would be up 0.2%.

00:23:54.880 So that's way less than the margin of error.

00:23:58.740 So it doesn't really mean he's up.

00:24:00.120 But it means he's not down.

00:24:03.480 It's better than being down, I suppose.

00:24:07.540 And it's probably going to be all about that.

00:24:12.380 It's probably going to be just Pennsylvania.

00:24:15.440 Now, we're making some assumptions that he wins the ones that you think he's going to win, which is a tough assumption, actually.

00:24:23.740 But at the moment, he's looking like he's heading that way.

00:24:28.060 Now, I've said this before, but I want to see if you disagree with me, because I haven't gotten a single person to agree with me with what I'm going to say.

00:24:37.500 The design of our current system, including the observers of the election, guarantees a certain outcome.

00:24:47.340 And here's what it guarantees.

00:24:48.880 The demonization of Trump and Trump supporters as the end of civilization guarantees that they will stop at nothing to stop him.

00:25:00.460 Would you agree so far?

00:25:02.240 We've seen two assassination attempts.

00:25:05.020 Now, granted, those could have been unstable people, but they chose him for a reason, right?

00:25:10.820 Having two assassination attempts in just weeks is pretty unprecedented.

00:25:17.700 And it suggests that the narrative and the words that are being used are activating crazy people.

00:25:25.880 That's pretty serious.

00:25:27.060 So if you can activate people to get a gun and risk their life to kill them, how hard would it be to activate somebody to cheat in an election if they thought there was a good chance they could get away with it?

00:25:42.880 Easy.

00:25:43.280 The current narrative guarantees, and let me say that again, it's not a risk management situation.

00:25:52.740 The current structure of the news, where they just make up hoaxes after hoaxes, where he's going to destroy the world and take away your freedom and your bodily autonomy, that guarantees cheating.

00:26:06.100 Attempt.

00:26:07.540 Now, the second question, is there a way to get away with it?

00:26:13.280 So I would say that there's a 100% chance that Democrats will try to cheat, because the system guarantees it.

00:26:23.300 If it can get somebody, not many, but you only need a few people to be willing to cheat, right?

00:26:29.320 I'm not talking about thousands of people independently decide to cheat, although that could happen.

00:26:34.340 I'm talking about if you have 1,000 people, and they've all been listening to the same radicalization messages.

00:26:41.120 Out of 1,000 people, how many of those do you think you could get to cheat?

00:26:47.000 1,000 Democrats listening to MSNBC for eight years.

00:26:51.740 How many of them would be willing to cheat to keep Trump out of office?

00:26:56.880 About 25%.

00:26:59.080 Yeah.

00:27:01.320 So you don't have to wonder, will there be enough people that some of them would be convinced to cheat?

00:27:10.000 Easily.

00:27:11.540 Easily guaranteed.

00:27:13.800 Easily guaranteed.

00:27:16.060 So what we don't know is how bad the cheating would be, and we don't know if they could get away with it.

00:27:22.760 But let's add the next part of the puzzle.

00:27:24.300 So cheating is guaranteed because of the narrative and the he's a danger to society.

00:27:31.700 Guaranteed.

00:27:32.720 There's nothing that could make that difference.

00:27:36.060 Now, you add the Lara Trump adding how many?

00:27:40.660 Thousands, thousands of observers.

00:27:43.820 Now, those observers are going to see a bunch of things that they suspect are sketchy,

00:27:49.660 but maybe turn out not to be sketchy.

00:27:52.060 And then, since there's a guarantee that somebody's going to try to cheat, guaranteed.

00:27:59.280 The odds of them finding it, at least one of the inspectors or observers noticing it and calling it out,

00:28:07.420 is close to 100%.

00:28:08.940 So whether or not there's any real cheating, there's a 100% chance there'll be lots of claims of cheating.

00:28:16.620 So at the end of the election, you're going to have claims of cheating that look very reliable

00:28:24.620 and would have the potential that they may have changed the election.

00:28:29.860 And my understanding is that the Republicans are being smarter this time,

00:28:34.420 and they've done something with the courts to establish standing ahead of time.

00:28:38.920 I don't know the details of that, and it may differ by state.

00:28:42.400 But the odds that the Republicans would be able to say,

00:28:47.580 we can't certify this, are really high.

00:28:52.600 What do you do?

00:28:54.520 Now, I don't know what would happen in January,

00:28:56.620 but my prediction is that we will not have an agreed-upon winner by the end of the year

00:29:03.440 because the system is designed so you can't get there.

00:29:08.260 And we don't have a way to instantly audit the election.

00:29:11.780 So we're going to have an election,

00:29:13.220 and then we're going to have a country that says,

00:29:15.260 I don't know if we had an election

00:29:16.440 because there's so many irregularities,

00:29:19.920 and we don't have the time or resources

00:29:21.700 or, in some cases, standing maybe to look into it.

00:29:25.920 Well, what do you do then?

00:29:28.460 What do you do?

00:29:31.100 Well, what you don't do

00:29:32.500 is just immediately agree that you elected a president.

00:29:37.000 So I'm pretty sure

00:29:38.560 that we're not going to elect a president

00:29:41.120 before the end of the year.

00:29:44.380 And if we get a president,

00:29:46.080 I think we will.

00:29:47.040 I mean, it's not the end of the world.

00:29:48.580 But I think we'll figure it out

00:29:50.620 because we've figured out everything eventually.

00:29:53.500 I'm not sure it will be an election

00:29:55.220 that picks the president.

00:29:56.660 It could go back to that

00:29:57.900 the states get involved,

00:29:59.580 the Supreme Court gets involved.

00:30:01.840 Now, you could predict

00:30:03.660 that because there are more red states

00:30:06.860 represented in Congress than blue,

00:30:10.800 that if it somehow got kicked to Congress,

00:30:13.540 Congress would, by a majority, pick Trump.

00:30:17.180 And if it went to the Supreme Court,

00:30:20.620 and let's say there was some decision

00:30:22.420 by the Supreme Court,

00:30:23.520 they could move the decision either way

00:30:26.060 on who won.

00:30:27.840 You like to think that they would pick Trump

00:30:30.280 because they're conservative-leaning,

00:30:32.860 but not necessarily in an election.

00:30:35.080 If the question about the election

00:30:38.260 is just sort of, I don't know,

00:30:41.440 technical and procedural

00:30:42.620 and there's some facts behind it,

00:30:45.140 I think all of the justices

00:30:47.380 would be on the same side.

00:30:49.120 And they might, you know,

00:30:50.460 even if it's like seven to two,

00:30:52.040 they might beat each other up

00:30:53.840 to make sure that it's unanimous.

00:30:55.680 Because the Supreme Court

00:30:56.800 would want to look unanimous

00:30:58.520 on a question as big as the election.

00:31:02.040 But they're not necessarily

00:31:04.740 going to be unanimous

00:31:05.620 in favor of Trump

00:31:07.240 because it's not a conservative question.

00:31:10.780 You know, they lean conservative,

00:31:12.020 but it won't be a conservative question.

00:31:13.900 It'll be just a process question.

00:31:16.180 Did this happen the way

00:31:17.340 that it was supposed to happen?

00:31:18.360 Yes or no.

00:31:20.500 So you can't really depend

00:31:22.300 on conservatives

00:31:23.160 to go one way or the other

00:31:24.460 on a simple question of fact, really.

00:31:26.740 So anything could happen.

00:31:30.340 So I'm predicting no president

00:31:32.020 is picked by the end of the year.

00:31:34.440 Do I have anybody

00:31:35.520 who agrees with that yet?

00:31:37.720 Can I get even one person

00:31:39.260 who says that seems reasonable?

00:31:56.740 I haven't seen one yet.

00:32:16.440 There's a little delay,

00:32:17.660 but I don't think

00:32:18.420 I've convinced anybody.

00:32:20.380 All right.

00:32:22.240 Let's talk about those Hezbollah pagers.

00:32:24.500 So what we know about it

00:32:26.320 is that presumably Israel interdicted

00:32:31.960 or somehow got in the supply chain

00:32:35.080 for a bunch of pagers

00:32:36.320 that were going to Hezbollah.

00:32:37.820 They still use pagers

00:32:39.220 because if they use cell phones,

00:32:41.100 it'd be easier to target electronically

00:32:42.940 and easier to spot.

00:32:44.800 So they thought the low-tech pagers

00:32:47.480 would be safer.

00:32:48.720 But the scenario is that we think

00:32:52.180 Israel intercepted them

00:32:55.260 some time a long time ago

00:32:57.240 and put some tiny explosives in there

00:33:00.800 that they could activate

00:33:01.740 by overheating the battery

00:33:03.780 with some kind of malware.

00:33:06.420 And some number

00:33:08.000 that we can't determine

00:33:09.260 from 1,500 to 4,000 people

00:33:11.720 got injured.

00:33:14.660 And one of them

00:33:15.280 is the Iranian ambassador to Lebanon.

00:33:17.840 And you might ask,

00:33:18.760 why was the Iranian ambassador to Lebanon

00:33:22.200 wearing a terrorist pager

00:33:26.240 unless he's part of the terrorism?

00:33:30.540 We assume he is.

00:33:33.720 So I don't know

00:33:34.780 if there's going to be

00:33:35.280 any new information about that,

00:33:37.200 but I would like to add

00:33:39.960 the following possibility.

00:33:41.540 One possibility

00:33:43.900 is that

00:33:44.640 several thousand Hezbollah people

00:33:47.120 had

00:33:47.580 pagers blow up.

00:33:50.140 You know what the other possibility is?

00:33:52.600 That it's a fake story.

00:33:56.120 And it would be

00:33:57.080 just as clever

00:33:58.540 if it were a fake.

00:34:00.520 Because we say to ourselves,

00:34:01.780 oh my goodness,

00:34:02.760 Israel is good

00:34:03.820 at this stuff.

00:34:04.900 If they could put little bombs

00:34:06.440 and thousands of pagers

00:34:07.760 and make them blow up

00:34:08.740 with just a software command,

00:34:10.140 that's like some good stuff.

00:34:12.240 But you know what would have

00:34:13.060 gotten them to the same place

00:34:14.320 almost?

00:34:15.420 Almost.

00:34:17.160 Is create some fake videos

00:34:19.000 that show that pagers

00:34:20.000 are blowing up.

00:34:22.020 What would you do

00:34:22.980 if you had a pager

00:34:23.860 and the news said

00:34:25.100 that pagers are blowing up?

00:34:27.420 You'd throw it in the river.

00:34:29.400 Like right away.

00:34:31.760 So,

00:34:32.480 a fake story

00:34:34.160 with a bunch of fake videos

00:34:36.340 of actors looking like

00:34:37.660 their pants just blew up.

00:34:39.560 would have caused

00:34:41.400 Hezbollah to shut down

00:34:42.880 their entire communication network

00:34:44.540 if they thought it was true.

00:34:48.000 So,

00:34:49.420 I'm going to lean

00:34:50.740 toward it's true.

00:34:53.440 But,

00:34:54.080 it's just interesting

00:34:55.100 to think that

00:34:56.100 if it wasn't true,

00:34:57.880 it would have worked

00:34:59.260 almost as well.

00:35:00.580 Because the injuries

00:35:01.700 probably are not enough

00:35:02.820 that it reduces

00:35:03.860 their military capability.

00:35:06.100 But the,

00:35:07.640 but getting rid of

00:35:08.380 the communication

00:35:09.160 protocol,

00:35:10.760 that seems pretty devastating

00:35:12.740 when there's an attack

00:35:13.700 that's likely.

00:35:15.300 Now,

00:35:15.740 I was predicting

00:35:16.460 that Israel would,

00:35:18.060 somebody was saying

00:35:18.740 that,

00:35:19.060 you know,

00:35:19.400 48 hours will be

00:35:20.540 an attack.

00:35:21.380 That was yesterday.

00:35:22.040 I think it's going

00:35:24.480 to happen

00:35:24.740 really soon.

00:35:26.560 And,

00:35:27.040 the faster they attack,

00:35:29.000 the faster they can attack

00:35:30.260 when Hezbollah is reeling

00:35:32.300 and doesn't have

00:35:33.000 communication abilities.

00:35:34.680 That would be the time

00:35:35.820 to do it.

00:35:36.920 So,

00:35:37.360 I wouldn't wait too long.

00:35:38.440 If Israel is planning

00:35:39.440 to do it

00:35:40.020 at all,

00:35:42.820 it seems like waiting

00:35:43.760 would be the worst thing

00:35:44.720 to do.

00:35:45.320 You should just

00:35:45.760 get it over with.

00:35:47.420 This would be the time.

00:35:48.540 Again,

00:35:50.820 I remind you

00:35:51.800 if you're new

00:35:52.280 to my feed,

00:35:53.700 I do not support

00:35:55.140 the country of Israel

00:35:56.200 in their various,

00:35:58.320 you know,

00:35:59.540 big decisions

00:36:00.260 they're making.

00:36:01.080 I simply observe them.

00:36:03.240 And sometimes I say,

00:36:04.500 well,

00:36:04.700 anybody would do that,

00:36:05.820 such as self-defense.

00:36:07.740 You know,

00:36:07.940 anybody would do that.

00:36:09.040 So,

00:36:09.240 that doesn't mean

00:36:09.700 I'm supporting them.

00:36:10.880 It's just a statement

00:36:11.740 of the obvious.

00:36:12.620 If you were in their situation,

00:36:14.100 you would do that too.

00:36:15.520 You know,

00:36:15.700 it's just obvious.

00:36:16.300 Um,

00:36:18.820 so,

00:36:21.580 Sean Diddy Combs.

00:36:24.380 What are the odds

00:36:25.220 that somebody

00:36:25.680 with the name Diddy

00:36:26.660 would be involved

00:36:28.260 in some sketchy

00:36:29.480 sexual conduct?

00:36:31.440 Possibly illegal.

00:36:32.940 We don't know

00:36:33.780 what he got arrested for,

00:36:35.900 but

00:36:36.160 he's being charged

00:36:37.820 with racketeering

00:36:38.600 conspiracies,

00:36:39.540 sex trafficking

00:36:40.400 by force,

00:36:41.120 fraud,

00:36:41.360 or coercion,

00:36:42.320 transportation

00:36:42.760 to engage

00:36:43.580 in prostitution.

00:36:44.840 He's got abuse

00:36:46.500 and psychological

00:36:47.080 abuse

00:36:47.960 and physical abuse

00:36:49.060 and he did freak-offs

00:36:50.740 and there's a camera

00:36:51.540 in each room,

00:36:52.180 they say,

00:36:52.880 and he's bringing in

00:36:54.400 sex workers

00:36:55.060 and convincing

00:36:56.560 straight and gay musicians

00:37:00.240 to do gay things

00:37:01.560 on camera

00:37:03.160 so he can control them,

00:37:04.560 allegedly.

00:37:06.100 And,

00:37:06.460 uh,

00:37:06.720 of course,

00:37:08.300 we're still in the

00:37:08.920 fog of war

00:37:10.220 category,

00:37:11.520 but we got

00:37:12.580 every kind

00:37:13.100 of thing

00:37:13.420 from

00:37:13.720 kidnapping,

00:37:14.940 arson,

00:37:15.520 guns,

00:37:16.160 drugs,

00:37:17.860 got it all.

00:37:19.800 Now,

00:37:20.080 what's interesting

00:37:20.660 is there are

00:37:21.720 a lot of photos

00:37:22.980 of Diddy

00:37:24.080 being sort of

00:37:24.700 the favorite

00:37:25.180 of Hillary Clinton,

00:37:26.560 Obama,

00:37:27.600 and Kamala Harris.

00:37:29.300 Now,

00:37:29.560 what are the odds

00:37:30.140 that he would have

00:37:30.780 a connection

00:37:31.220 to all three of them?

00:37:34.320 They seem like,

00:37:37.480 does it seem to you

00:37:38.600 like he was maybe

00:37:40.280 learned what he

00:37:41.580 learned from Epstein?

00:37:42.660 There's even a picture

00:37:43.400 of him hugging Epstein.

00:37:45.320 So do you think

00:37:45.820 he learned it

00:37:46.380 from Epstein?

00:37:48.460 It's possible.

00:37:50.180 He may have gotten

00:37:50.920 some tricks

00:37:51.420 from Epstein.

00:37:53.240 Do you think

00:37:54.020 that he

00:37:54.840 had some kind

00:37:56.760 of connection

00:37:57.480 to intelligence

00:37:58.540 services?

00:38:00.940 I feel like

00:38:02.140 probably yes.

00:38:05.200 Will that be enough

00:38:06.160 to keep him

00:38:06.680 out of jail?

00:38:07.220 I don't know.

00:38:09.660 I don't know.

00:38:10.400 Maybe not.

00:38:11.980 I mean,

00:38:12.280 there's so many charges.

00:38:13.340 I don't know how

00:38:13.760 you could possibly

00:38:14.420 keep him out of jail.

00:38:15.560 But he's gone

00:38:16.220 this long.

00:38:18.580 So apparently

00:38:19.060 he's just been

00:38:19.860 just doing

00:38:21.560 all kinds of crimes

00:38:22.820 allegedly

00:38:24.300 for years

00:38:26.000 and years

00:38:26.340 and years

00:38:26.660 maybe decades.

00:38:28.560 And only just now

00:38:29.940 something went bad.

00:38:31.660 It makes me think

00:38:32.700 that he was working

00:38:33.680 for some intelligence

00:38:34.660 group and maybe

00:38:35.620 crossed them

00:38:36.560 or became

00:38:37.340 no longer

00:38:37.960 a good asset.

00:38:39.100 So they're just

00:38:39.760 taking him out.

00:38:40.880 I don't know

00:38:41.440 what's up with this.

00:38:43.680 But we'll find out

00:38:44.840 a lot more.

00:38:46.260 Maybe all of it's

00:38:47.380 untrue.

00:38:48.260 You never know.

00:38:50.420 Innocent

00:38:50.840 until proven guilty.

00:38:54.000 Well,

00:38:54.480 The View host,

00:38:55.800 Sunny Hostin.

00:38:57.220 It's so funny

00:38:57.960 that her name

00:38:58.480 is Hostin

00:38:59.060 when she's

00:39:00.100 hosting a show.

00:39:00.840 Anyway,

00:39:02.860 Fox News

00:39:04.580 is reporting

00:39:05.120 that she

00:39:05.640 acted horrified

00:39:06.820 when she found

00:39:08.200 out there was

00:39:08.700 a poll that said

00:39:09.280 millions of Americans

00:39:10.220 support violence

00:39:11.200 to stop Trump.

00:39:12.540 And she said

00:39:13.560 political violence

00:39:14.660 is so normalized

00:39:16.120 in this country.

00:39:18.560 She highlighted

00:39:19.580 the poll

00:39:20.320 that,

00:39:21.400 and she said

00:39:21.980 it was despicable

00:39:22.900 that 10%

00:39:24.820 of Americans

00:39:25.380 support violence

00:39:26.420 against Trump.

00:39:28.360 Despicable.

00:39:28.840 Now,

00:39:30.820 you're thinking

00:39:31.820 the same thing

00:39:32.460 I'm thinking,

00:39:33.060 right?

00:39:34.520 It's hard to think

00:39:35.580 of even one person

00:39:36.780 in the world

00:39:37.360 who did more

00:39:38.200 than Sunny Hostin

00:39:39.260 to make people

00:39:40.820 think that Trump

00:39:41.740 should be killed.

00:39:43.340 Does she not have

00:39:44.720 any sense

00:39:46.100 that she is

00:39:47.440 a direct cause

00:39:48.420 of this attitude?

00:39:50.480 Do they really think

00:39:52.040 that if the news

00:39:53.600 had not framed

00:39:54.440 Trump a certain way

00:39:55.660 all these years

00:39:56.460 that we would have

00:39:57.680 come up with

00:39:58.220 these opinions

00:39:58.780 on our own?

00:40:01.680 None of that

00:40:02.420 would happen.

00:40:03.460 Almost all of our

00:40:04.540 opinions about Trump

00:40:05.600 are driven

00:40:06.240 by one phenomenon.

00:40:08.280 The news

00:40:08.880 takes something

00:40:09.520 he said

00:40:09.920 and a context

00:40:10.860 and then they

00:40:12.140 add their emotion

00:40:13.060 to it

00:40:13.460 and their faces

00:40:14.120 to it

00:40:14.560 until you think

00:40:15.340 it was the worst

00:40:16.100 thing you've ever heard.

00:40:18.120 Let me give

00:40:18.800 an example.

00:40:22.140 Here's the news.

00:40:24.440 Trump said

00:40:25.440 it'll be a bloodbath

00:40:28.700 in the car

00:40:29.340 industry

00:40:30.480 if he's not

00:40:31.800 elected.

00:40:33.400 Could have done it

00:40:34.280 that way.

00:40:36.140 Here's how you do it

00:40:37.060 with the face

00:40:37.840 trying to get him

00:40:38.580 killed

00:40:38.900 and Trump

00:40:41.180 said

00:40:41.660 if he doesn't

00:40:44.100 get elected

00:40:44.720 there's going to be

00:40:46.400 a bloodbath

00:40:47.260 and he already

00:40:48.660 told the proud boys

00:40:49.600 to stand by

00:40:50.880 and by the way

00:40:53.440 find people

00:40:54.760 so

00:40:56.200 so obviously

00:40:58.300 something's

00:40:59.540 gotta

00:40:59.760 somebody's

00:41:00.940 gotta stop him

00:41:01.700 but I'm

00:41:05.520 actually

00:41:06.120 honestly

00:41:06.820 curious

00:41:07.400 if the people

00:41:09.240 who created

00:41:09.740 this situation

00:41:10.480 are completely

00:41:11.300 unaware

00:41:11.720 completely

00:41:13.400 unaware

00:41:13.900 I don't know

00:41:15.840 what do you think

00:41:17.260 what's your best

00:41:18.560 guess

00:41:18.960 are they

00:41:19.860 completely

00:41:20.400 aware

00:41:20.780 they've

00:41:21.100 created

00:41:21.460 this

00:41:21.700 situation

00:41:22.220 and now

00:41:23.580 they're doing

00:41:23.980 the fake

00:41:24.700 crocodile tears

00:41:25.820 like oh

00:41:26.400 it's so bad

00:41:27.040 that this

00:41:27.440 situation

00:41:27.940 has been

00:41:28.360 normalized

00:41:28.800 when they're

00:41:29.420 the normalizers

00:41:30.200 do you think

00:41:32.080 they know

00:41:32.520 because I think

00:41:34.120 there's some

00:41:34.500 chance they

00:41:34.960 actually don't

00:41:35.840 know

00:41:36.200 that it's

00:41:37.560 them

00:41:37.820 that the

00:41:39.400 problem is

00:41:39.780 coming from

00:41:40.240 inside the

00:41:40.720 house

00:41:41.040 maybe

00:41:42.600 I don't know

00:41:44.020 it's possible

00:41:44.860 that you could

00:41:45.380 not know

00:41:45.940 you know

00:41:46.660 cognitive dissonance

00:41:47.680 is a

00:41:48.060 powerful force

00:41:48.940 well here's

00:41:51.940 another one

00:41:52.320 that's weird

00:41:52.760 so Harris

00:41:54.100 and Biden

00:41:54.620 both had a

00:41:55.260 nice phone

00:41:55.740 call with

00:41:56.260 Trump

00:41:56.600 to make

00:41:57.940 sure he

00:41:58.300 was okay

00:41:58.840 because that's

00:42:00.200 what you do

00:42:00.660 with Hitler

00:42:01.100 yeah if

00:42:02.520 Hitler has

00:42:03.060 a bad

00:42:03.400 week

00:42:03.800 you call

00:42:04.900 him up

00:42:05.320 and you

00:42:05.900 say you

00:42:06.280 know I

00:42:06.600 know we've

00:42:07.000 had our

00:42:07.300 differences

00:42:07.660 but I

00:42:08.680 hear you're

00:42:09.060 having a

00:42:09.360 bad week

00:42:09.940 just wanted

00:42:10.740 to call

00:42:11.120 make sure

00:42:11.640 you're doing

00:42:11.960 fine

00:42:12.260 Hitler

00:42:12.580 that doesn't

00:42:14.600 happen

00:42:14.960 does it

00:42:15.500 so how

00:42:18.320 can Harris

00:42:19.020 say that

00:42:19.660 he's going

00:42:20.880 to steal

00:42:21.260 your democracy

00:42:22.120 and he's a

00:42:23.100 Hitler and

00:42:23.920 racist and

00:42:24.880 sexist and

00:42:26.300 then just have

00:42:26.820 a nice phone

00:42:27.360 call with

00:42:27.760 him unless

00:42:29.440 she doesn't

00:42:30.860 believe anything

00:42:31.580 she says

00:42:32.300 and if you

00:42:34.280 say to me

00:42:34.980 well but Scott

00:42:36.100 she's just being

00:42:36.720 a politician

00:42:37.260 she does mean

00:42:38.260 what she says

00:42:39.080 but it's

00:42:40.140 important that

00:42:41.040 you know a

00:42:41.760 leader can talk

00:42:42.420 to anybody

00:42:42.980 to which I

00:42:44.600 say but

00:42:45.460 one of her

00:42:45.920 main messages

00:42:46.620 is that a

00:42:47.320 leader shouldn't

00:42:47.940 associate with

00:42:48.720 everybody

00:42:49.160 that's one of

00:42:50.220 her main

00:42:50.600 messages

00:42:51.060 you know don't

00:42:52.120 be nice to

00:42:52.700 Putin don't

00:42:53.300 be nice to

00:42:53.960 little Kim

00:42:54.620 Jong-un

00:42:55.140 so so

00:42:58.600 what is it

00:42:59.300 should she

00:43:00.560 should she

00:43:01.500 and also

00:43:02.040 Trump be

00:43:03.320 nice to

00:43:03.820 people who

00:43:04.260 are like

00:43:04.600 Hitler

00:43:04.820 or should

00:43:06.760 they not

00:43:07.280 and treat

00:43:07.920 them the way

00:43:08.280 they feel

00:43:08.680 there were

00:43:11.700 explosives in

00:43:12.600 the car near

00:43:13.240 the Trump

00:43:13.680 rally on

00:43:14.240 Long Island

00:43:14.820 after the

00:43:15.380 second

00:43:15.680 assassination

00:43:16.460 attempt

00:43:17.000 huh

00:43:18.440 is that a

00:43:19.340 third attempt

00:43:20.040 my goodness

00:43:22.100 so I

00:43:27.100 think somebody

00:43:27.600 needs to ask

00:43:28.240 Harris

00:43:28.660 make up your

00:43:30.380 mind

00:43:30.740 are you being

00:43:31.540 nice to him

00:43:32.120 or is he

00:43:32.560 Hitler

00:43:32.800 have you been

00:43:33.460 lying to us

00:43:34.040 the whole time

00:43:34.520 how can you

00:43:35.400 possibly have a

00:43:36.140 nice conversation

00:43:36.880 with Hitler

00:43:37.340 if anything

00:43:38.820 she said was

00:43:39.520 true she

00:43:40.560 doesn't make

00:43:41.060 that phone

00:43:41.500 call and

00:43:42.640 nobody would

00:43:43.080 even falter

00:43:43.680 for it

00:43:44.260 would they

00:43:45.440 if you

00:43:46.320 believed what

00:43:46.920 she said

00:43:47.300 about Trump

00:43:47.900 would you

00:43:48.720 falter for

00:43:49.500 not checking

00:43:50.040 on him

00:43:50.400 it wouldn't

00:43:52.540 make sense

00:43:53.120 all right

00:43:55.680 we still

00:43:57.920 don't know

00:43:58.300 everything about

00:43:58.940 this Routh

00:44:00.340 guy or Ruth

00:44:01.340 or whatever

00:44:01.740 you say

00:44:02.120 the one who

00:44:03.240 tried to

00:44:03.980 assassinate

00:44:04.720 Trump at

00:44:05.380 the golf

00:44:05.860 course

00:44:06.320 but what

00:44:07.300 we do

00:44:07.620 know

00:44:07.960 is he

00:44:08.820 flew quite

00:44:09.580 a bit

00:44:09.940 so he

00:44:11.400 flew to

00:44:11.740 Amsterdam

00:44:12.280 he's been

00:44:13.260 in Istanbul

00:44:13.940 he's been

00:44:14.840 in Ukraine

00:44:16.680 Honolulu

00:44:17.620 I think

00:44:18.740 when asked

00:44:19.300 he said

00:44:19.660 his wife

00:44:20.440 was helping

00:44:20.940 him pay

00:44:21.260 for it

00:44:21.680 now that's

00:44:22.140 obviously

00:44:22.520 not true

00:44:23.120 so who

00:44:25.040 was paying

00:44:25.360 for all

00:44:25.660 his flying

00:44:26.180 interesting

00:44:28.940 here are

00:44:31.640 some things

00:44:32.020 we know

00:44:32.460 he did

00:44:33.920 a lot of

00:44:34.280 crimes but

00:44:34.980 he didn't

00:44:35.260 spend any

00:44:35.660 time in

00:44:36.040 jail

00:44:36.340 who does

00:44:39.200 a lot

00:44:39.600 of crimes

00:44:40.220 including

00:44:40.720 felonies

00:44:41.440 and doesn't

00:44:42.040 spend any

00:44:42.560 time in

00:44:42.960 jail

00:44:43.180 we know

00:44:46.260 that he

00:44:47.360 allegedly

00:44:47.840 tried to

00:44:48.800 get Afghan

00:44:50.360 fighters to

00:44:51.380 join him

00:44:52.320 in to

00:44:53.420 fight in

00:44:53.840 Ukraine

00:44:54.180 against

00:44:54.620 Russia

00:44:55.020 who would

00:44:57.360 care about

00:44:57.800 a thing

00:44:58.100 like that

00:44:58.620 is there

00:44:59.000 any entity

00:44:59.600 or group

00:45:00.300 that would

00:45:01.140 want him

00:45:01.760 to support

00:45:03.080 to support

00:45:03.100 the Ukraine

00:45:03.680 effort

00:45:04.240 well yes

00:45:05.820 maybe there

00:45:06.380 is

00:45:06.640 so he

00:45:07.640 traveled with

00:45:08.300 no money

00:45:08.820 he did

00:45:09.220 lots of

00:45:09.620 crimes

00:45:09.940 without

00:45:10.200 going to

00:45:10.700 jail

00:45:11.040 he had

00:45:12.360 a Ukraine

00:45:13.080 connection

00:45:13.600 which is

00:45:14.140 the sort

00:45:14.820 of the

00:45:15.020 nexus

00:45:15.360 of the

00:45:15.800 CIA

00:45:16.200 and then

00:45:19.780 you look

00:45:20.140 at

00:45:20.340 crooks

00:45:20.820 so he

00:45:21.640 was the

00:45:22.160 shooter who

00:45:22.820 got killed

00:45:23.460 at the

00:45:24.800 first rally

00:45:25.600 that there

00:45:25.960 was a

00:45:26.200 shooting

00:45:26.420 and we

00:45:28.780 still don't

00:45:29.180 know about

00:45:29.540 his

00:45:29.680 international

00:45:30.200 connections

00:45:30.780 so we

00:45:32.400 know that

00:45:32.980 both of

00:45:33.600 them had

00:45:34.180 international

00:45:35.860 connections

00:45:36.740 one of

00:45:38.800 them through

00:45:39.200 his travel

00:45:39.860 in Ukraine

00:45:40.360 which would

00:45:40.860 give him

00:45:41.180 access to

00:45:41.960 who knows

00:45:42.480 what

00:45:42.760 and then

00:45:43.720 the other

00:45:44.100 one had

00:45:44.840 some kind

00:45:45.300 of encrypted

00:45:46.000 foreign

00:45:46.640 conversations

00:45:48.220 so

00:45:50.200 I'm going

00:45:52.800 to interject

00:45:53.380 the most

00:45:54.160 obvious

00:45:54.780 speculation

00:45:55.780 so Iran

00:45:58.740 said they

00:45:59.240 were going

00:45:59.420 to try

00:45:59.660 to kill

00:45:59.960 Trump

00:46:00.320 now that's

00:46:01.580 been reported

00:46:02.220 not by

00:46:03.320 the most

00:46:03.700 reliable

00:46:04.140 people but

00:46:04.880 I think

00:46:05.440 FBI said

00:46:06.540 so

00:46:06.760 if you

00:46:07.840 were Iran

00:46:08.540 would you

00:46:09.900 send an

00:46:10.480 Iranian

00:46:10.920 to murder

00:46:11.880 the president

00:46:12.480 of the

00:46:12.760 United States

00:46:13.340 no

00:46:14.700 no

00:46:16.140 the last

00:46:16.940 thing you

00:46:17.280 would do

00:46:17.940 is send

00:46:18.440 an Iranian

00:46:18.940 would you

00:46:20.540 send

00:46:21.080 somebody

00:46:23.200 who's

00:46:23.560 let's say

00:46:24.160 Hezbollah

00:46:25.880 or Hamas

00:46:26.940 and they're

00:46:28.440 just doing

00:46:28.820 it for

00:46:29.180 Iran

00:46:29.540 no

00:46:30.880 no

00:46:31.700 you wouldn't

00:46:32.180 do that

00:46:32.620 because

00:46:33.120 the United

00:46:33.760 States

00:46:34.240 would go

00:46:35.140 nuts

00:46:35.600 if you

00:46:36.040 kill our

00:46:36.420 president

00:46:36.800 even

00:46:37.300 even though

00:46:37.920 he's

00:46:38.520 taking out

00:46:38.940 one of

00:46:39.240 your

00:46:39.380 leaders

00:46:39.720 and

00:46:40.940 the United

00:46:42.580 States

00:46:42.900 would look

00:46:43.480 to finish

00:46:44.560 Iran

00:46:46.520 if we

00:46:47.780 knew that

00:46:48.120 they were

00:46:48.340 behind it

00:46:48.840 so if

00:46:49.720 you want

00:46:50.100 if you

00:46:50.420 were Iran

00:46:50.800 and you

00:46:51.060 were trying

00:46:51.620 to kill

00:46:52.040 Trump

00:46:52.440 but it

00:46:53.700 couldn't

00:46:53.980 possibly

00:46:54.480 have your

00:46:54.960 fingerprints

00:46:55.380 on it

00:46:55.980 how would

00:46:56.600 you do

00:46:56.840 it

00:46:57.080 well

00:46:59.320 if it

00:47:00.040 were me

00:47:00.480 I would

00:47:01.420 look for

00:47:01.760 people who

00:47:02.400 could be

00:47:02.680 radicalized

00:47:03.480 who were

00:47:03.660 a little bit

00:47:04.060 crazy

00:47:04.440 who were

00:47:04.880 very white

00:47:05.520 and very

00:47:05.960 male

00:47:06.320 and maybe

00:47:07.400 even people

00:47:07.980 who were

00:47:08.880 not entirely

00:47:09.600 anti-Trump

00:47:10.400 their whole

00:47:10.760 life

00:47:11.080 so it's a

00:47:12.220 little ambiguous

00:47:12.800 and that I

00:47:13.880 would work

00:47:14.260 on them

00:47:14.640 and maybe

00:47:15.920 I'd offer

00:47:16.480 money to

00:47:17.100 their

00:47:17.460 descendants

00:47:18.680 if they

00:47:19.280 don't want

00:47:19.600 to live

00:47:20.060 maybe I'd

00:47:21.480 say I'm

00:47:23.200 going to

00:47:23.440 save them

00:47:24.080 so they

00:47:24.780 won't have

00:47:25.200 a risk

00:47:25.740 so I'd

00:47:26.740 make a bunch

00:47:27.220 of promises

00:47:27.780 and I'd

00:47:28.300 get them

00:47:28.540 all riled

00:47:29.060 up

00:47:29.340 and I'd

00:47:29.620 give them

00:47:30.360 ego

00:47:32.920 boosting

00:47:34.060 until they're

00:47:35.580 all ready

00:47:35.940 to go

00:47:36.320 but I

00:47:37.560 wouldn't

00:47:37.840 work with

00:47:38.280 just two

00:47:39.040 so we

00:47:40.920 saw two

00:47:41.580 people who

00:47:42.500 hypothetically

00:47:43.800 you could

00:47:44.240 imagine

00:47:44.640 somebody

00:47:45.060 overseas

00:47:45.620 radicalized

00:47:46.420 in both

00:47:46.760 but I

00:47:48.500 would do

00:47:48.860 20 or

00:47:49.800 50

00:47:50.220 so I

00:47:51.880 would look

00:47:52.200 for all

00:47:53.000 of the

00:47:53.280 people I

00:47:54.440 might be

00:47:54.840 able to

00:47:55.200 radicalize

00:47:55.900 I would

00:47:56.640 make sure

00:47:57.000 they didn't

00:47:57.420 know who

00:47:57.740 they were

00:47:57.980 talking to

00:47:58.620 so they

00:47:59.820 wouldn't

00:48:00.020 necessarily

00:48:00.440 know they

00:48:00.800 were dealing

00:48:01.100 with Iran

00:48:01.640 and I

00:48:03.320 would

00:48:03.620 radicalize

00:48:04.200 them

00:48:04.360 and if I

00:48:05.560 could get

00:48:05.920 two out of

00:48:06.420 20 to

00:48:07.320 actually take

00:48:07.920 a gun

00:48:08.280 and go

00:48:08.620 somewhere

00:48:08.960 that would

00:48:10.220 be pretty

00:48:10.700 great in

00:48:11.820 terms of

00:48:12.220 persuasion

00:48:12.780 so

00:48:13.860 you can't

00:48:16.760 rule out

00:48:17.500 yet

00:48:18.140 based on

00:48:18.760 what we

00:48:19.040 know

00:48:19.220 that it

00:48:19.560 was an

00:48:19.860 Iranian

00:48:20.200 plot

00:48:20.860 but it's

00:48:22.160 an indirect

00:48:22.620 one where

00:48:23.160 they're trying

00:48:23.500 to just

00:48:23.820 radicalize

00:48:24.420 somebody to

00:48:24.940 do something

00:48:25.440 that's the

00:48:26.400 way I do

00:48:26.760 it

00:48:26.940 so the

00:48:28.120 way I

00:48:28.620 would do

00:48:28.960 it would

00:48:29.360 be looking

00:48:30.480 exactly like

00:48:31.280 this but it

00:48:32.040 doesn't mean

00:48:32.400 that's what's

00:48:32.860 happening

00:48:33.180 it's just

00:48:33.780 speculative

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00:49:50.100 went there and

00:49:50.780 put in my

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00:49:54.360 thirty two hundred

00:49:56.240 dollars or

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00:49:58.520 feel like it's not

00:49:59.540 accurate meaning

00:50:01.080 that

00:50:01.700 even you know

00:50:03.260 obviously individuals

00:50:04.380 are going to be

00:50:04.920 all over the

00:50:05.380 place so the

00:50:06.280 average doesn't

00:50:06.860 help you that

00:50:07.300 much but

00:50:08.400 correct me if

00:50:10.920 i'm wrong if

00:50:12.440 the if the

00:50:13.860 trump tax

00:50:14.720 breaks expire

00:50:16.380 and it goes

00:50:18.080 back to the way

00:50:18.740 it was can you

00:50:20.260 confirm that that

00:50:21.300 would also get

00:50:22.680 rid of the the

00:50:24.400 takeaway of the

00:50:25.440 state deduction

00:50:26.180 because it used

00:50:27.980 to be that your

00:50:29.140 state taxes were

00:50:30.280 some kind of

00:50:31.500 deduction to your

00:50:32.300 federal taxes so

00:50:33.800 would that come

00:50:34.400 back the state

00:50:35.580 deductions because

00:50:37.060 if it does

00:50:37.820 yeah i don't know

00:50:43.500 what's going to

00:50:43.840 happen to my

00:50:44.300 taxes so too

00:50:47.360 hard to know too

00:50:48.240 complicated

00:50:48.760 all right i saw

00:50:52.340 it just before i

00:50:53.260 went live i saw a

00:50:54.400 story that says

00:50:55.120 that neural link

00:50:57.320 seems to be aiming

00:50:58.980 toward i guess i've

00:51:00.040 been doing this for a

00:51:00.720 while but they're

00:51:01.240 getting closer to

00:51:01.940 approval uh a

00:51:03.820 microchip that

00:51:04.540 would make a

00:51:05.420 blind person be

00:51:06.320 able to see

00:51:06.840 now eventually

00:51:10.040 uh eventually the

00:51:13.640 early versions would

00:51:14.980 be low resolution so

00:51:16.520 maybe you could see

00:51:17.160 some fuzzy images or

00:51:18.580 something and then

00:51:19.980 it would just get

00:51:20.480 better over time but

00:51:22.140 just hold that in

00:51:23.220 your mind

00:51:23.760 and elon musk is

00:51:27.100 curing blindness

00:51:28.260 trying to end

00:51:30.560 climate change if

00:51:31.600 it's really risk

00:51:32.460 making the uh

00:51:34.780 civilization

00:51:35.960 interplanetary so

00:51:37.400 we can we can

00:51:38.780 survive the sun

00:51:39.760 exploding

00:51:40.300 is anybody else

00:51:42.460 working on anything

00:51:43.240 important

00:51:43.740 is it just that one

00:51:45.980 guy

00:51:46.240 it feels to me like

00:51:49.560 everybody else just

00:51:50.320 gave up and they

00:51:52.100 said you know maybe

00:51:53.760 elon can do this

00:51:54.780 i saw a naval

00:51:56.300 ravikant uh post

00:51:58.720 saying that um

00:52:00.160 somewhere between

00:52:01.440 tesla and spacex is

00:52:04.420 the seeds of elon

00:52:06.280 musk's drone company

00:52:08.080 now he doesn't have a

00:52:10.040 drone company but if

00:52:11.940 you can put rockets in

00:52:13.160 space and you can

00:52:14.100 make electric cars

00:52:15.140 you could probably

00:52:16.720 make a drone that

00:52:18.240 would be pretty good

00:52:19.220 so since we have

00:52:23.020 come to believe that

00:52:23.900 the new weapon of

00:52:24.840 mass destruction will

00:52:25.900 be enormous swarms of

00:52:28.020 coordinated drones

00:52:29.160 just you know blacking

00:52:30.540 out the sky um i

00:52:33.860 think it would be

00:52:34.600 great if the united

00:52:35.500 states was manufacturing

00:52:36.820 them that's the big

00:52:38.420 problem we don't make

00:52:39.860 them well we do but

00:52:42.240 we we have to get

00:52:43.520 parts from china so

00:52:45.600 that's not the best

00:52:47.540 but uh somebody like

00:52:50.220 elon musk might find

00:52:51.360 a way to source it

00:52:52.560 from a non-chinese

00:52:53.620 source and uh make

00:52:56.680 america competitive

00:52:57.500 again i think lucky

00:52:59.620 palmer is working on

00:53:00.640 some weapons he's

00:53:02.800 rolling out this month

00:53:05.180 uh that will be a

00:53:07.120 whole different game

00:53:08.100 changing kind of low

00:53:09.800 cost high high impact

00:53:12.060 stuff so we'll see

00:53:13.640 how that goes

00:53:14.200 um you hate having

00:53:19.880 to use chinese drones

00:53:21.060 for your work

00:53:21.940 yeah but if you

00:53:24.220 didn't what would

00:53:26.000 you use

00:53:26.620 all right

00:53:28.920 um that's all i've got

00:53:33.600 today so is there any

00:53:36.320 big news coming did we

00:53:38.560 just get used to

00:53:39.840 assassination attempts

00:53:42.340 did it take us two

00:53:44.540 assassination attempts

00:53:45.700 before we got bored

00:53:46.780 with it

00:53:47.200 like oh

00:53:48.320 there's another

00:53:49.560 assassination attempt

00:53:50.600 oh what else you got

00:53:52.840 in the news tell me

00:53:54.440 more about whether

00:53:55.700 drinking is good for

00:53:56.680 me

00:53:56.940 all right

00:54:00.640 whoever managed to

00:54:03.420 make the giant

00:54:03.980 swoon killing machines

00:54:05.340 will be alicia and

00:54:06.680 everyone else and

00:54:07.340 take over the world

00:54:08.140 no i don't think

00:54:09.880 somebody's going to

00:54:10.540 make the drone

00:54:11.280 there's too much work

00:54:13.600 you have to get the

00:54:14.240 drones close

00:54:15.140 which means you'd have

00:54:17.020 to have you know big

00:54:17.960 submarines or tankers or

00:54:19.680 something so

00:54:21.320 um

00:54:24.920 good

00:54:25.520 little ones

00:54:26.640 jumps in new york

00:54:28.920 tonight

00:54:29.340 all right

00:54:33.720 the the drones i'm

00:54:37.220 worried about are the

00:54:38.360 ones that can work

00:54:39.800 without gps and carry a

00:54:41.780 charge

00:54:42.240 and here's the thing i

00:54:44.800 don't understand

00:54:45.520 how is it that there

00:54:47.820 hasn't been a drone

00:54:48.760 attack on a public

00:54:50.480 figure in a public

00:54:51.580 place

00:54:52.020 do they always have

00:54:54.640 really good anti-drone

00:54:56.540 technology

00:54:57.260 and and they can't

00:55:00.520 make a drone that

00:55:01.360 could thwart the

00:55:02.600 technology and just do

00:55:04.660 what it wants to do

00:55:05.320 anyway

00:55:05.640 i don't know i i have

00:55:09.140 my

00:55:09.440 so once we saw how

00:55:11.800 bad the uh

00:55:12.860 secret service was

00:55:14.120 new wave of wireless

00:55:16.620 communication devices

00:55:17.960 has exploded

00:55:20.360 oh no

00:55:23.560 has destroyed possibly

00:55:25.420 thousands of personal

00:55:26.520 radios and other

00:55:27.580 devices

00:55:28.100 really

00:55:29.920 i'm not sure i believe

00:55:32.080 this

00:55:32.400 so this is an

00:55:33.780 unconfirmed report

00:55:34.880 that israel may have

00:55:36.980 um

00:55:37.840 caused other devices

00:55:40.600 not just pagers to

00:55:41.840 blow up

00:55:42.300 i'm gonna i'm gonna say

00:55:43.780 put attack in that one

00:55:44.980 i'm not ready to

00:55:46.600 claim that that's

00:55:47.300 true

00:55:47.540 so i feel

00:55:51.060 that's unlikely

00:55:52.660 that feels unlikely

00:55:54.920 it if they had to

00:55:56.840 physically get

00:55:57.780 all of the

00:55:58.800 pagers to put

00:55:59.880 little uh

00:56:00.980 some kind of

00:56:02.340 small explosives

00:56:03.380 in them i don't

00:56:04.520 believe that they

00:56:05.480 somehow randomly

00:56:06.680 got a bunch of

00:56:07.400 other electronics

00:56:08.380 but maybe

00:56:09.620 5g signal

00:56:13.880 yeah

00:56:14.280 yeah i'm sure we

00:56:19.000 already have murder

00:56:19.680 drones

00:56:20.200 so you tell me

00:56:26.640 given the

00:56:27.640 capability of the

00:56:28.820 secret service

00:56:29.620 what you watched

00:56:31.480 in butler and also

00:56:32.760 on the golf course

00:56:33.660 do you think they

00:56:35.160 could stop a drone

00:56:36.000 attack

00:56:36.440 i don't

00:56:40.160 now we assume

00:56:42.200 that they must

00:56:42.860 have some kind

00:56:43.540 of you know

00:56:44.240 anti-drone

00:56:44.980 technology

00:56:45.640 but do you

00:56:47.900 think they'd

00:56:48.300 see it coming

00:56:48.900 i mean

00:56:50.600 it's not on

00:56:51.800 all the time

00:56:52.460 right

00:56:52.760 so if it

00:56:55.000 if a drone

00:56:55.840 popped over

00:56:56.500 a tree line

00:56:57.300 it would be

00:56:59.360 five seconds

00:57:00.460 to

00:57:00.780 to impact

00:57:01.960 how in the

00:57:03.680 world are they

00:57:04.200 going to find

00:57:04.820 their anti-drone

00:57:05.700 technology

00:57:06.280 and point

00:57:06.760 it in the

00:57:07.180 right

00:57:07.540 does have

00:57:08.080 to point

00:57:08.400 in the

00:57:08.600 right direction

00:57:09.100 i think it

00:57:09.560 does

00:57:09.780 i don't see

00:57:11.940 how they

00:57:12.160 could possibly

00:57:12.620 defend

00:57:12.980 and if there

00:57:13.780 are two

00:57:14.100 of them

00:57:14.500 they don't

00:57:16.380 have a chance

00:57:16.980 am i right

00:57:18.620 i think all

00:57:20.420 it would take

00:57:20.740 is two of

00:57:21.280 them at the

00:57:21.680 same time

00:57:22.160 there's nothing

00:57:22.600 you can do

00:57:23.120 now what

00:57:24.060 they could

00:57:24.440 do is

00:57:24.800 protect

00:57:25.260 they could

00:57:25.960 protect

00:57:26.340 the president

00:57:26.840 but that

00:57:28.960 i don't think

00:57:29.640 they shoot

00:57:30.100 it down

00:57:30.420 before it

00:57:31.100 starts

00:57:31.680 shooting

00:57:32.020 so when i

00:57:33.100 say protect

00:57:33.660 the president

00:57:34.180 they might

00:57:34.700 do it

00:57:34.920 with their

00:57:35.160 bodies

00:57:35.540 basically

00:57:36.420 to their

00:57:37.700 you know

00:57:38.760 to their

00:57:39.380 great injury

00:57:40.200 so they

00:57:41.080 might be able

00:57:41.440 to protect

00:57:41.880 them

00:57:42.180 but i don't

00:57:44.140 think they

00:57:44.480 could stop

00:57:45.020 it

00:57:45.320 anyway

00:57:48.380 for a long

00:57:49.280 time i didn't

00:57:49.800 want to talk

00:57:50.260 about it because

00:57:50.840 i didn't want to

00:57:51.280 give anybody

00:57:51.740 ideas but now

00:57:52.600 everybody has

00:57:53.180 this idea

00:57:53.680 they can

00:58:00.520 make a lot

00:58:00.940 of them

00:58:01.200 how do we

00:58:05.960 know that

00:58:06.240 israel didn't

00:58:06.800 find out

00:58:07.240 china put

00:58:07.820 the explosives

00:58:08.440 in all

00:58:09.000 products

00:58:09.520 that would

00:58:10.600 be funny

00:58:11.020 research fast

00:58:15.100 micro jones

00:58:15.980 firing a

00:58:16.520 22 billet

00:58:17.440 on impact

00:58:18.220 yeah that's

00:58:19.800 what i'm

00:58:19.980 talking about

00:58:20.540 yeah and

00:58:23.120 julil makes

00:58:24.160 drones but i

00:58:25.000 think they

00:58:25.280 get their

00:58:25.620 parts from

00:58:26.240 china too

00:58:27.480 not maybe

00:58:29.360 not parts but

00:58:30.160 materials

00:58:30.720 i don't know

00:58:33.820 that for sure

00:58:34.540 all right

00:58:38.240 that's all i got

00:58:39.300 for you today

00:58:39.960 i'm going to

00:58:41.020 talk to the

00:58:41.580 locals people

00:58:42.460 privately

00:58:43.480 thanks for

00:58:44.980 joining on

00:58:45.520 rumble and

00:58:46.500 x and

00:58:47.260 youtube but

00:58:48.740 locals coming

00:58:49.800 at you

00:58:50.260 privately in

00:58:51.800 30 seconds

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - September 18, 2024

Episode 2601 CWSA 09⧸18⧸24

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