Real Coffee with Scott Adams - The Scott Adams School - Pollster, Mark Mitchell returns. Let's talk Midterms

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00:01:00.000 hey i think we are live and i have locals yes locals is here and we're just gonna wait for

00:01:07.600 youtube rumble spotify and x good morning everybody good morning locals look who's back

00:01:14.100 it's mark mitchell i wanted to sing like oh i can't sing i'll get in trouble oh i'll be right

00:01:22.560 yeah i mean my gosh it's so restrictive uh but marcella says we can sing happy birthday because

00:01:29.460 it's such an old song. But anyway, you guys, Marcella's off today. Okay. So she got called

00:01:34.500 into court. She messaged us last night. She says she has to cover at court. So we don't have her

00:01:39.980 today, but we have Mark and we have Owen and we have a good conversation plan for you. And we'll

00:01:47.500 just give you guys a couple of minutes to come in and then we're going to take a sip of whatever

00:01:51.940 you want to sip. Mark, have you been since we saw you? Doing great. Company is off to a roaring

00:01:58.000 start got the website up got the first couple polls out and uh got added to decision desk and

00:02:03.980 new york times aggregator so really great start i saw that all right good so all right locals

00:02:09.280 locals still doesn't have video yet let's just give them another second

00:02:13.000 i think they can hear us let me see what are they saying

00:02:17.480 okay i'm gonna say can you guys see us i mean can you hear us and not see us on locals we

00:02:29.200 just want to make sure you have and at least we have memes back today let's go come on okay we

00:02:38.280 have youtube going rumbles going all right so good the stream is live on x but not locals

00:02:46.740 you can't hear. I think that's just you, Dr. Von Hardy. Can't see or hear. Let's see if I

00:02:55.380 can do something here. Makes me nervous, but let's try. They say they're connected.

00:03:04.700 I'm going to try something. Ready? Hold on, everyone.

00:03:16.740 okay let's see if that does anything i hit that like i unplugged it and plugged it back in

00:03:32.780 it's always something with um rumble studio we want to just love you but you make it hard

00:03:40.900 Right. If for some reason it doesn't kick in, please go to YouTube or Rumble or X.

00:03:54.720 OK, let's see if it kicks in. Let me just type to them trying.

00:04:00.920 all right i'm gonna i'm gonna say go to youtube or x

00:04:11.100 erica doesn't love us i love them you guys i love them

00:04:16.800 okay so we're gonna keep going and make they can't they have plenty other options to go to so

00:04:24.620 So let's do it. And you guys, before we do anything, look at the comments. I know they

00:04:33.060 don't want to miss the sip, so I know they're running over, but we got to do it. We got to do

00:04:37.560 it. Scott appreciates nothing more than technical difficulties. And you know what? So do I. Okay,

00:04:43.260 good. A lot of them are on YouTube. I love it. We'll watch you over there. Okay, let's do it,

00:04:48.980 guys. And it's not just watching, it's participating. And in order to participate in exactly the right

00:04:55.820 way, which is the only way you want to do it, all you need is a cup or mug or a glass of tanker

00:05:01.380 chalice or stein, a canteen jug or a flask, a vessel of any kind. Fill it with your favorite

00:05:07.680 liquid. I like coffee. And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure, the dopamine hit of the

00:05:15.480 day the thing that makes everything better it's called the simultaneous sip and happens now go

00:05:21.560 yep just as good as i thought it would be i know yours was good too

00:05:29.740 it was good it was good i like the ones where scott had had like needed a haircut and he kind

00:05:37.180 of looks like you know i don't know if it's like beavis or butthead or something but it just had

00:05:40.740 this like comical sort of look to it that fit his cartoonist image yeah we used to call him

00:05:45.740 trey gowdy in those days and i think this whole week he has trey gowdy hair

00:05:49.440 so let's start over mark mitchell welcome back to the scott adams school um and you know what

00:05:58.460 share that news again about your like give give the people a little flavor of who you are why we

00:06:04.500 know you and where you just got pulled into um yeah i was the uh head of polling for rasmussen

00:06:10.500 reports for five years uh did a pretty good job there actually grew their media audience to be

00:06:15.540 really big as well rasmussen supposed to be an independent public opinion pollster which means

00:06:20.820 that they represent the american people and aren't affiliated with the republican party

00:06:25.620 long story short over the last couple months there's an issue where in my opinion they have

00:06:30.100 behind the scenes taking money from a politically oriented organization it's now sponsoring polls

00:06:37.540 that they're putting out as unsponsored and public which is a big no-no yeah and i had to leave and

00:06:43.460 start my own company in order to get away from that so i'm the honest poll now and the whole

00:06:48.820 point is that somebody should out be out there not shilling for republicans or democrats but

00:06:53.460 shilling for the american people who do not have a lobbyist in the halls of congress they don't

00:06:57.940 and they should the whole point is that you elect people and they go to dc and represent you and

00:07:03.760 we're seeing that quite often that that doesn't happen in fact it's worse than it's ever been

00:07:08.440 when you're an independent pollster does i assume you still need to get funding for your polls from

00:07:13.100 somebody like isn't usually someone sponsoring a poll they ask you to do it and then they pay for

00:07:16.960 it well that's why the media aspect of my business and rich barris does this and believes this as

00:07:21.640 well i mean people back 100 years ago when political polling was getting off with charl

00:07:26.640 you know, George Gallup, they actually paid to find out what Americans think. But that's not

00:07:32.620 good if you're a pharmaceutical company or you're big ag and you want a subsidy. And so what happens

00:07:37.900 is, you know, again, this voice of the American people has been lost. And then you have basically

00:07:43.240 me and Rich Barris who have come out and said, well, we have a different model. We can go directly

00:07:46.920 to the people. I can get funded by YouTube subscriptions and ad revenue. I can pay, you

00:07:53.240 know i have the paywall on my site for some of the content i would love for people to support me

00:07:56.880 and the that pays for my monthly tracker and yeah i will take sponsored work if there's a

00:08:04.120 non-political uh organization a 501 c3 or c4 that wants to come and c4 that wants to come

00:08:11.780 and sponsor like new research i'll do that polling we just did it for veteran action but we

00:08:17.440 disclose it right like that's the whole point so people know who paid for it and i'll do private

00:08:22.720 polling as well. Like I'll still pull for campaigns, but when people, you know, the idea

00:08:28.100 that I have this persona, I back my numbers, I explain what's going on. I put my personal face

00:08:33.700 on this business. So they know, even if they're coming for private campaign polling, they're

00:08:37.940 going to get the real numbers and not some kind of like fairy tale. So they can go get fundraising

00:08:43.160 like that happens a lot. So the entire industry is unfortunately corrupt and being able to have

00:08:48.940 a public face a voice a social media reach is my proof to people that i'm not corrupt

00:08:54.860 i love that yeah like you know it's like why do you want to fudge the numbers but then when you

00:08:59.740 said people do it for campaigning to fundraise okay again it's always follow the money isn't it

00:09:05.740 um and i was saying you know yesterday i played the six minute or seven minute spot you had on

00:09:12.220 uh war room with steve bannon yesterday because i think it's really important to kind of prime

00:09:16.780 everybody to understand that you know i was saying people that are going to vote republican

00:09:22.140 are going to vote republican like you're not the people that we're worried about for the midterms

00:09:27.100 like we already know what we're doing we don't want socialism you know we know the options and

00:09:33.420 you know my concern are the people who are either disenfranchised and are just going to sit it out

00:09:39.260 or the people who as you said yesterday when we were watching that you know you said a lot of

00:09:45.180 socialists voted for trump a lot of democrats had voted for trump um and a lot of independents

00:09:52.380 have voted for trump and now those people who are maybe i'm assuming feeling it economically

00:09:59.260 are just like it it doesn't really matter like the down the road they're like right now

00:10:05.660 it's rough and and the thing i wanted to i just have one clip i want to show today because i was

00:10:11.580 was trying to say to everybody, it's like, we're like really well informed. The people that watch

00:10:16.400 Scott and the people that come to the Scott Adams school, they're curious by nature. So we're

00:10:21.440 definitely way more informed than the average voter and good for us. But you know, it's funny

00:10:27.120 because if you are so taught to just follow your party, only watch your party's news, you have no

00:10:37.140 idea the reality of what's going on. And so I feel like it's going to be up to us to get the

00:10:42.300 message out. It's going to have to be grassroots. Now, this is really funny to me because as Owen

00:10:47.960 and I were talking yesterday, we were saying, Jessica Tarlov, I was saying that she's been

00:10:52.640 going around on lots of media lately. And although she's articulate, she works for a Republican

00:11:00.680 news site, Fox News, she was so uninformed about the border actually believing the Democrats even

00:11:11.260 while working at Fox News. So you guys, this is what I'm saying. People just don't know. So just

00:11:15.840 watch this little clip and then we're going to chat. And I've gotten really important insight

00:11:21.240 and a different perspective on it from working in a conservative media environment. You know,

00:11:26.200 while the administration the Biden administration was saying nothing's wrong on the border the

00:11:32.200 border is effectively closed Fox had a drone flying over the border that was showing you know

00:11:38.880 tens of thousands of people and at peak a couple hundred thousand people streaming across the

00:11:43.500 border in a month and I was gobsmacked not only by the reality of what was going on and how unfair

00:11:50.940 It was that I was sitting here in an air conditioned studio in New York City telling people in Eagle Pass to suck it up, but that the administration had no answer for it.

00:12:02.300 And they got it together in the last year, I think, because elections, frankly, were coming and they thought we need to do something about this.

00:12:10.820 So that's just stunning to me.

00:12:13.200 I mean, she was gobsmacked.

00:12:14.960 It's just so crazy.

00:12:16.040 And I was even while working at Fox News, Mark.

00:12:18.320 So what the heck?

00:12:19.600 What are we dealing with here?

00:12:20.940 cognitive dissonance is really rough to see, right? That's really what's happening there.

00:12:26.360 And there's a lot of, there's going to be a lot of cognitive dissonance. So there's a lot of like

00:12:31.160 mega big trends going on right now, as far as politics and information consumption. And we're

00:12:36.400 only really starting to see the extent to which it's going to ripple through the entire political

00:12:40.220 establishment. I mean, we had like red team, blue team, my team's right and holy and yours is not

00:12:46.460 kabuki theater for a very long time and americans are waking up they hate both parties now they're

00:12:51.800 increasingly independent and more people are getting politically engaged and i really hate

00:12:56.240 to say this but like you said about your audience like not everybody is cut out for the political

00:13:01.900 news consumption let's just put it that way like they are people are there are a lot of soft and

00:13:06.320 squishy and very manipulative manipulatable whatever the word is right people who the

00:13:11.600 propaganda works on their psychological operations work on and quite frankly that's what in my

00:13:16.680 opinion mainstream media news is she's not like out there doing research she's show she shows up

00:13:22.960 on fox news every day to play a role and being informed on stuff is not actually her role you

00:13:29.500 know and i think what we're seeing is like like i like i like to talk about this a lot because not

00:13:35.520 a lot of people do, right? Western Christian and Western society gave the world two really

00:13:43.380 important gifts. And we all know about this idea of, you know, liberal philosophers who gave us

00:13:49.940 natural law, right? Like the Magna Carta and God has granted you human rights and all of these

00:13:55.400 things, right? But we don't often talk about Greek logos, this idea that like, yeah, you should be

00:14:00.620 intellectually honest. And the point of discourse is to arrive at common ground. And it all is

00:14:06.680 based on the merit of your facts, your logic, and not necessarily manipulative, logical fallacies.

00:14:16.220 You know, that's what we have now is we have debate and lies and people want to win with lies.

00:14:20.320 That's very anti-West. Anti-West is like, hey, I don't care about your credentials. Let's talk

00:14:26.020 and find common ground. And we'll both come away from the smarter and with a better understanding

00:14:30.280 of reality and i think when we have people tuning out of mainstream news like mainstream news is

00:14:38.760 propaganda and lies on both the right and the left as we're starting to see right people are finding

00:14:44.600 actual discussions on the internet and they're they're seeing new sides of the other side and

00:14:51.880 also their own side and i think that it's going to be actually people are like oh mark you're a

00:14:56.120 a doomer, I'm very optimistic that eventually people will say, you know what, I'm done with

00:15:02.000 the lies. This isn't good for society. We need to arrive at the truth. And I shouldn't be demonizing

00:15:07.700 my opponents. I should be finding common ground with them because we all share this contractual

00:15:12.000 obligation called the U.S. Constitution, right? And when you look at it from that frame,

00:15:18.820 and again, I represent the voter and not a political party, the Republican Party is just

00:15:23.220 as cooked as the Democrats are. So the Republicans were just given a massive mandate to come in and

00:15:28.480 fix the country. And we can go deep into what exactly that means. It means a lot more than

00:15:33.260 what Trump has been doing over the last two years. And the numbers show that Americans think that

00:15:39.700 the Americans that matter, that are going to be the swing electorate, do not think that Trump

00:15:45.300 understood the assignment, essentially, right? And so what do you see the Republican establishment

00:15:49.940 all of a sudden saying, well, all the Democrats are socialists and they're evil and they want to 0.99

00:15:53.620 put you in a ditch and shoot you. And we have to deport every single Muslim in America because 1.00

00:15:58.000 Islam isn't like, this country was founded on freedom of religion. You know, like, let's, 1.00

00:16:03.540 like, let's be real. Like, that doesn't mean that Sharia law should, you know, circumvent

00:16:09.520 the constitution, like, but we have law enforcement for that. Right. And so everyone, 0.54

00:16:13.940 oh, like Islamic fundamentalism is our number one problem in America. No, it's not like 0.92

00:16:19.120 economic wealth concentration on oligarchy power is by far our number one issue as all of the

00:16:25.040 polling says people don't trust the corporations they think the economic system is broken people

00:16:30.440 can't afford to live that's going to cause an uprising like that is about that more because

00:16:35.580 like we hear the oligarchy words and this and that so what does that mean like if you break 0.98

00:16:41.700 it down for the everyday person because it it comes down to the economy stupid right so it's 0.97

00:16:48.080 Is that what we're talking about? 0.89

00:16:50.660 So if I want to, so again, I'm an outsider to DC, and I think that helps me do my job

00:16:57.920 better.

00:16:58.300 And I spent all day thinking about politics and how to explain it to people.

00:17:01.820 And if I were to come down to what I think my fundamental operating theory of the way

00:17:07.580 our government has been captured, and I think it really has, is that if you look at the

00:17:12.980 legislature, it is primarily concerned with how our money gets spent.

00:17:18.080 And that means that if you are somebody that wants to make a lot of money,

00:17:22.880 you're incentivized to build a relationship with these people like lobbying or donating

00:17:27.760 to their political campaigns. And if you're a big corporation, what you want is subsidization.

00:17:34.000 You want contracts. You want carve outs like, hey, we're not going to be held accountable

00:17:39.040 for vaccine injuries. You want business stability. You want lower corporate taxes.

00:17:46.320 and all of these things are things that both republican and democrat legislators can provide

00:17:51.840 right and so if you look at the democrats they're just as pro-corporate and obviously the right and

00:17:56.880 the left have their own pet interests like under obama like the democrats had big big tech right

00:18:02.560 and they had clean energy the republicans have the military industrial complex and this is broad

00:18:08.000 brushes right because there's a lot of democrat neocons and whatever but the point is is that if

00:18:12.400 if you look at the way Congress operates, that dynamic very easily explains what's going on,

00:18:19.700 which is the Republicans get in, there's a big spending bill, and all of their lobbyist friends

00:18:24.940 get basically paid off, right? The Democrats get in, the same thing happens. And on the really

00:18:31.100 important issues for big corporations, like lower corporate taxes, or like offshoring or expansion

00:18:37.040 of our, you know, of temporary work visa programs, both the Democrats and Republicans will get those

00:18:44.380 things through, you know, subject to a whole lot of other caveats, right? Now, the executive branch

00:18:51.240 works a little bit different. So the president doesn't really have a lot of control over Congress

00:18:55.760 because lobbyists really write those bills. I mean, Trump was really lucky to get anything in

00:18:59.920 the one big, beautiful bill, in my opinion, right? So what they have supreme control over is that they

00:19:06.600 can just declare wars or bomb people completely you know with free of any ramifications right 0.52

00:19:12.740 like we had obama drone striking u.s citizens in foreign countries and nothing ever happened right

00:19:18.140 and uh you know the the war power votes i think are largely symbolic and so what happens there

00:19:24.240 is that the executive gets co-opted largely by foreign interests or by corporations that have

00:19:29.980 foreign interests right and so that really explains this pendulum swing when the democrats

00:19:35.920 are in power, they're largely Bolshevik neocons, and they want to take revenge against Stalinist

00:19:41.380 Russia. And so we're going to get in a proxy war with Russia, you know, we're going to have 0.50

00:19:44.920 NATO expansionism, right. And when the Republicans get in charge, we're going to be bombing people

00:19:49.700 in the Middle East, like that's basically what it comes down to. And so that really describes

00:19:54.840 everything. And it's like, that system has been operating for a pretty long time. And Americans

00:20:00.320 are waking up to it. They certainly hate both political parties more than they ever have. And

00:20:05.300 equally right everybody focuses on the low and rightfully so yeah yeah but we're we're getting

00:20:11.560 to the point where that's not sustainable and we're getting to the point where people understand

00:20:16.080 it more and we're getting to the point where if these establishment components of both the right

00:20:21.840 and the left want to maintain control they're going to have to do some pretty evasive actions

00:20:26.120 and just to give you an example that's going to play out on the right in a very extreme way and

00:20:33.140 and the reason I'll explain that is that J.D. Vance is the heir apparent to Trump,

00:20:38.880 according to the polling. So he's just been above everybody else by leaps and bounds.

00:20:43.440 And so he should be the 2028 nominee for the Republican ticket. But the thing is,

00:20:50.880 is that there's a neocon Zionist component of the Republican Party that really doesn't like J.D.

00:20:57.720 Vance. And they really don't want somebody focused on economic populism in there. They

00:21:01.980 would rather have somebody focused on neoconservative foreign interventionalism i.e rubio and so what

00:21:08.280 you see is this dynamic where the people want vance and the establishment in washington dc

00:21:13.600 wants rubio and they're going to have to work out how that happens because vance needs the money

00:21:19.020 that the people who back rubio would supply right and rubio obviously needs the political support

00:21:24.500 of the american people who really don't want more foreign interventionalism right they really want

00:21:29.980 what jd vance is selling i mean i'm not i'm not convinced that that's even going to be a choice

00:21:34.620 for these people though because i mean for these you know lobbyists or whatever because

00:21:39.900 to your point he is kind of anointed by trump as the next candidate and i think rubio has at least

00:21:46.740 stated not that it couldn't change but at least stated he's not going to run if vance is running

00:21:50.620 so you know it may not really even be an option unless there is some sort of internal uprising

00:21:57.020 that changes that dynamic to say rubio is actually a candidate so i can't predict how it's going to

00:22:03.180 play out and i think it's going to be a hilarious mess to watch on both the right and the left

00:22:07.100 because the democrats have their own peculiar uh primary nomination mechanics they'll make a

00:22:13.180 backroom deal and then all of a sudden the democrats will be told to vote for somebody

00:22:16.860 and it would be like what what happened there as far as the trump thing i don't think he's actually

00:22:22.940 he said he supported Vance. I don't think he's actually come out and explicitly given him his

00:22:27.380 nomination and his endorsement. And knowing Trump and how important that is, he's probably going to

00:22:33.040 sit on it. And some of that is Trump being Trump. Some of that is it makes sense because a lot could

00:22:38.360 happen and JD could shoot his foot or whatever. That may be true, but I would say unless there's

00:22:43.980 some, like if JD does have some massive screw up, okay, but he's a pretty smart guy. I don't think

00:22:52.040 that's likely. And I, you know, I think to me, like Vance is much more Trump-ish in the sense

00:23:00.580 of being more populist, being more aligned with his agenda. Now, Rubio has come a long way.

00:23:06.660 He certainly talks a lot like a mega Trump person at this point. But, you know, I see that as like,

00:23:13.660 can I really trust that? Can I really believe that? Like, do I really think that he's not just

00:23:17.680 going to revert back to how he used to be. And, you know, I used to perceive him as this big deep

00:23:21.760 stater, traditional Republican, swampy sort of guy. And, you know, he may be just sort of playing

00:23:28.200 the act to get along with Trump. And then after Trump's out, he changes into whatever else,

00:23:35.000 you know, serves his interests. And yeah, so I don't really trust Rubio to be the next candidate

00:23:40.680 as much as I trust Vance to be at least to be what he appears to be.

00:23:44.860 Well, yeah, that's what Americans are saying right now. And so you have two things going on. It's like all the D.C. dynamics that we can't really see. And you have the American people and having I talked to both Rubio and Vance. And personally, like my opinion of Vance is he's more of an economic populist than really Trump is right now. In fact, he's the only elected nationwide like Republican leader who is right. Like that's really what it comes down to.

00:24:09.360 And from Rubio, that perspective, I think he could be also. And, you know, like from an electoral standpoint, the question is, is that some people will connect him to sort of like this establishment baggage.

00:24:22.540 but the other thing that like the dynamic that I know is happening that a lot of people aren't

00:24:26.760 seeing is that like in the White House the dynamic very much is is that this and I don't want to use

00:24:33.560 the word Suzy Wiles administration but Suzy Wiles is running the White House and you know Rubio's 0.80

00:24:39.860 from Florida they know a lot of the same people they are sort of ex-bushy people right like and

00:24:45.960 so there is this aspect of like Trump is surrounded by people who Rubio is part of that sort of

00:24:51.500 network right now again this could all play out in a million different ways the only thing I'm

00:24:56.480 saying that we're seeing right now is that like JD should be preparing for 2028 and he's starting

00:25:04.120 to get out there more and one of the first things he did was to go give a speech to the Republican

00:25:08.780 Jewish coalition the whole point of that speech was hey I'm on the world stage now I'm gonna go

00:25:14.600 run for president are you gonna give me money or not and the the reviews were mixed right and this

00:25:21.180 is like one of the first wickets that he would go through. And unfortunately, again, I hate to say

00:25:26.260 it, but it's the reality is that the pro Israel source of capital for the Republican party,

00:25:34.280 it isn't the biggest, like a lot of people say it is, it's the easiest to get. And so it's the

00:25:40.500 first place you would go and you could get a two or $300 million check maybe. And that's a lot

00:25:45.160 easier than appealing to the people. Right. And so that, again, I don't know what happened behind

00:25:50.200 the scenes i'm just saying like we're watching that play out and like this could all shift you

00:25:55.700 know like they could make maybe people look behind the scenes and jd's not going to get this money

00:26:00.220 or you know he's not rubio could yeah and again this is all like a proxy for this huge

00:26:06.320 deep state neocon component of dc that still very much exists because again we are bombing the

00:26:14.860 middle east right like that's just yeah i want to go back to trump though because i i agree with you

00:26:20.740 that the perception at least is that he's not doing enough but i i do think he's doing a lot 1.00

00:26:26.140 you know like recently he's been really cracking down on h1bs he's obviously been doing as much as 1.00

00:26:30.720 he can on deporting people which should you know make more jobs available to americans and probably 1.00

00:26:36.280 drive wages up he's been working on energy prices obviously the iran war is a counter example to

00:26:41.640 that. But I just think, like, in general, he's doing everything he can to increase energy

00:26:45.780 production. Obviously, all the Venezuela stuff and other things are tied into that. He's been

00:26:50.940 trying to get grocers and everyone else to lower their prices. And so it does seem like he's he's

00:26:56.820 he knows about the issue. He knows it's important. And he is doing a lot. He even offered everybody

00:27:01.680 a $5,000 check. So like, it does seem like he's trying to do everything he can, at least that's

00:27:07.680 achievable in a short timeframe to do this. Now, could he have done more? Yeah, of course. Like

00:27:12.420 the biggest example I can think of is healthcare. Like we should probably have a completely new

00:27:16.120 healthcare system. And to me, that was a failure in his first term. And it was a failure this time

00:27:20.540 because there's no plan. There's not even an attempt, but I know that's tied into Congress

00:27:24.880 a lot more than Trump. So, you know, I don't know if I want to blame Trump for that as much

00:27:29.440 as Congress, but I think, you know, to me, at least the Trump administration seems to be doing

00:27:34.980 a lot to appeal to the people and to try and get them to, you know, vote the right way in the

00:27:40.340 midterms. But I see the exact opposite messaging all over the media. Everybody's saying things

00:27:45.160 aren't affordable, everybody. So my question is, like, how much of this is the way the media

00:27:49.380 is portraying the economy versus what Trump and others are actually doing?

00:27:55.020 Recently, our company softball team lost the big game by one run. Then Dale tried to console us

00:28:00.900 with the quote, winning isn't everything.

00:28:03.660 Well, Dale and I are very different.

00:28:07.320 I get early payout from Bet365.

00:28:09.240 If my team goes up big, I get paid out instantly,

00:28:12.060 even if they blow the lead later.

00:28:14.060 Sound familiar, Dale?

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00:28:55.580 You asked the right person, and I have exactly the answer for you,

00:28:59.100 including, in my opinion, the most important chart. Let me see if I could put this up. Start

00:29:04.820 to share screen, screen share. I think it's, yep. Okay. So did you see that hop up? Yeah. Okay.

00:29:13.160 So this is a very, very important chart, but the most important fundamental aspect here is that

00:29:18.240 actually Americans are pretty smart in many, many things. And one of the things they're best at is

00:29:23.420 understanding their ability to afford stuff, right? And so again, things like don't talk to

00:29:28.560 me about affordability, it's like you're asserting something and the American people will agree with

00:29:34.800 you as the leader of the free world or not, right? And unfortunately, the truth is, is that they don't

00:29:40.420 agree with Trump on that. So now, like, let me rewind a little bit and say, personally, big Trump

00:29:47.040 supporter for almost a decade. But for the people, I wanted to see this president succeed because the

00:29:53.120 people were very supportive of every component of his agenda. And what Americans needed was

00:29:59.140 out of desperation, systemic fixes. Okay. So now the whole work assignment was Trump won

00:30:06.260 with only about 65% of his vote coming from Republicans. The rest of the electorate that

00:30:12.000 elected Trump was independents and crossover Democrats. And like I said, on the Steve Bannon

00:30:16.620 clip, actual socialists and working class people and union people and police and minorities,

00:30:23.120 and Muslims even, like a lot of people came together to elect Trump, right? The homework

00:30:27.920 assignment was always to come in and provide systematic fixes, not just for the economy,

00:30:33.100 but for the swamp, like the broken federal agencies that have been corrupted. Because

00:30:38.100 remember, like looking back at Biden, a lot of stuff happened, not just inflation, right?

00:30:43.440 To work with Republicans to show the ability to govern responsibly and fix America, including

00:30:52.440 the economic system. That was the homework assignment. Now, that's hard, right? And it's

00:30:56.980 not all going to be done at once. And Americans, I think, understand that. But the idea was to

00:31:01.760 maintain single-threaded focus on these things and an aspect of proportionality. Because remember,

00:31:07.520 the Democrats wanted to put unvaccinated people in prison camps. So again, this idea of

00:31:12.120 proportionality. He ran on words like retribution. This was not a thing that we like to forget.

00:31:20.280 But what this chart shows is that the American people gave Trump, you know, a honeymoon where they came in and said, all right, let's let's let this guy cook. And even before the polling turned on Trump approval, even before the polling turned on generic ballot, the economy polling turned.

00:31:41.360 So what you're looking at is a really great time series out of YouGov.

00:31:45.880 And they asked the question, is the U.S. economy getting better or worse?

00:31:50.700 And better is purple, worse is red.

00:31:53.780 And you can see that during the first Trump administration, which is on the left side of the chart, it's about parity between better and worse.

00:32:01.740 And in fact, in the tail end of 2019, the beginning of 2020, more people were saying the economy was getting better than were getting worse.

00:32:09.500 Now, there were economic signals that corroborated this. Like we had the lowest black unemployment 0.77

00:32:15.020 rating of all time. We had new job formations were up, right? So the economy was getting 0.89

00:32:19.740 on the right track. And a lot of this was Trumpism, right? Like the way he came in and

00:32:24.380 things were working. Then COVID hit and immediately everybody was like, oh my God,

00:32:29.940 the economy is getting worse. And it spiked up to 60%. So there was a lot of chaos, a lot of

00:32:36.280 stuff happening. Small businesses were shut down. You know, everybody was shopping at Walmart.

00:32:42.420 You know, we suppressed the economy. There were there was a big bipartisan bailout bill there.

00:32:49.320 But what happened is this red line spiked to 60 and then went back down to 30. And if you look at

00:32:56.380 the timing, it lines up with Biden getting elected. So people were desperate. It was a mess,

00:33:02.280 a lot of chaos people were trying to turn a page back into normalcy and that they were convinced

00:33:09.480 in the 2020 election that that was biden and then immediately within six months you know all bets

00:33:16.280 were off people completely turned on biden they're like this guy has no idea what he's doing prices

00:33:20.520 are going through the roof we're abandoning military equipment in afghanistan it's just

00:33:25.240 an utter nightmare and so it got all the way up to almost 70 percent by the middle of 2022.

00:33:32.840 so it kicked around at 50 during the tail end of biden term then trump got elected and again

00:33:38.280 the same thing happened we got a new guy in he's gonna fix things i'm optimistic about this platform

00:33:44.200 and they gave trump a honeymoon so this area where the you know red and green lines touch

00:33:49.000 that's when trump got inaugurated and you see about like five or six it's actually between the

00:33:55.560 election and inauguration so like november of 2024 to really about like may or june so now

00:34:01.880 what happened in that time period trump got elected on an economic populist platform on

00:34:06.920 a platform of retribution and draining the swamp and fixing america systemically okay he got into

00:34:12.840 office he signed a bunch of really great executive orders doge was hacking apart the government

00:34:17.560 People thought that the deficit was going to get cut in half and that all this waste

00:34:21.400 fraud and abuse was going to get exposed and that tariffs were going to come in and

00:34:25.240 magically fix all of our, you know, foreign trade problems and be used as a hammer.

00:34:30.080 And then it's like by May or June, people gave up.

00:34:34.400 They're like, nope, it's not, it's not fixing. 0.95

00:34:36.780 And incidentally, by June, we were bombing Iran. 0.96

00:34:39.980 By July, the one big, beautiful bill had passed. 0.98

00:34:42.520 And so the number shoots back up to 55.

00:34:45.460 People like, nope, the economy is getting worse.

00:34:47.560 So this is right after, you know, no, you know, no tax on tips, no tax on overtime.

00:34:53.680 Immediately after all that stuff passed, people are like, no, the economy is falling apart again.

00:34:57.440 Like it's it's getting worse. This is terrible. We elected this guy, but the economy is getting worse.

00:35:02.140 And now where you're at is the number is almost as high as the absolute highest it was under Biden inflation.

00:35:08.600 Obviously, some of that's because of the Iran conflict, but not all of it.

00:35:11.940 The number is elevated. It's 55 to 60 percent.

00:35:14.700 so this is like the fundamental thing again that republicans don't understand or willfully neglect

00:35:20.040 is that and you can take it down i'm done talking about it but is that you can't force public

00:35:26.360 opinion and americans are smarter than you are when it comes to their wallet and so you could 0.52

00:35:32.100 say we got five percent gdp or you could say that we got rid of a hundred thousand h1bs but until

00:35:38.480 their wages go up or until their health care premium gets cut in half, you could talk till 0.99

00:35:45.140 you're blue in the face about prescription drug prices coming down. It does not matter at all.

00:35:50.600 And that's, I've been screaming about it for a year and the messaging has been so bad. The only

00:35:55.360 messaging that would have worked is to come in and say, okay, yes, this economic system is cooked.

00:36:02.900 Yes. Sorry. Under 50 people, you've been shut out. Yes. All the jobs are going to over people

00:36:08.240 from overseas it's going to take us time but here's our very detailed plan we're going to get

00:36:13.920 one through three passed and then you got to keep voting for us to get the rest because it's going

00:36:18.660 to take time and i said that to trump last november and then they bombed iran so like again

00:36:24.200 this administration started with the right level of proportionality a very clear understanding of

00:36:31.720 the homework assignment and by march it was gone like it was just gone doge was gone doge was the

00:36:37.220 best thing republicans ever did oh it's great republican party and republicans shut it down

00:36:42.720 and it wasn't people screaming about it wasn't people screaming about uh federal workers getting

00:36:48.500 fired on msnbc that is not why doge went like it it went because they didn't want uh spending cuts

00:36:55.520 in the one big beautiful bill because that's bad for business you can't cut spending you know

00:36:59.980 deflation is bad we can't have wages going up that would compress corporate profits and so we have

00:37:05.780 And so here we are, you know, a year and a half into the Trump administration with corporate profits, historic record highs, and with U.S. workers' share of national income at record lows.

00:37:18.400 So the idea that –

00:37:20.220 Yeah, I just – yeah.

00:37:21.080 I guess I just – I think – I look at all the accomplishments that Trump has had, and a lot of them are along the lines of the types of issues you're talking about.

00:37:28.840 I mean he had Trump accounts.

00:37:30.680 He had, you know, bringing manufacturing back to the U.S.

00:37:34.540 he has all these different things that he's done that are at least aligned with the agenda you're

00:37:39.680 talking about and there are some real accomplishments there some really fundamental

00:37:43.660 systemic changes that he has put in place and i agree that it may not have had the bottom line

00:37:49.280 impact yet and maybe they haven't messaged it properly but i just wonder how much of it is the

00:37:55.880 way the media is portraying the economy versus the reality of the economy and i'm not saying like

00:38:01.660 these people think they're struggling, but they're not. Not at all. I understand there are a lot of

00:38:05.700 people that are having trouble paying rent and groceries and all that stuff. And again, I also

00:38:11.140 understand that you could probably put a lot of the blame on the Biden, but nobody cares. Like,

00:38:15.680 you know, you can say all day long, well, the inflation came from Biden. But that does seem

00:38:20.540 like something that does have some message you could use to say, look, if you put the socialists

00:38:26.800 back in power it's going to be back to biden you're going to have another 17 inflation you're

00:38:31.960 it's going to be much worse than everything that you're seeing today because legitimately you can

00:38:36.560 say he brought inflation back down to three percent it might not be the two percent that

00:38:40.060 the fed wants but it's at least a lot lower than it was and yeah you're talking as an informed

00:38:46.060 person okay so that's this is what we're saying like you you know i know we all know the amazing

00:38:53.660 accomplishments this administration has had, it doesn't matter because we're all voting Republican.

00:38:59.680 So the people that it matters to are the ones that are not paying attention. And it's like

00:39:04.000 just that simple, like we could list all of the great things he does or he's done or he still

00:39:10.040 will do. But when they go to the grocery store or they go to pay their utility bills and they

00:39:15.360 don't have money, that's what matters to them. So I get it. But number one, I don't know what

00:39:21.600 trump could feasibly do to say i'm going to reduce your grocery prices by 30 percent you could say

00:39:27.340 i'm going to get your wages up i'm a pro worker something we're going to look at those corporations

00:39:32.640 there's too much concentrated power they're offshoring things we're going to hold those

00:39:37.740 people accountable we're going to tax offshoring we're going to tax remittances we're going to get 0.82

00:39:41.880 rid of every single legal alien in here because they're driving your wages down and that's not 0.52

00:39:46.020 what trump's saying but trump is doing almost all of that okay not according to this chart right

00:39:52.160 like that's the i get that the message is not getting there my point was just that i think

00:39:55.740 some of it is that trump actually is cracking down on h1b fraud he's he's cracking down on

00:40:01.960 a lot of the things that you're talking about a lot of this is a messaging thing if you corner 0.97

00:40:06.380 trump today in a press conference and asked him what he thought about h1bs you know what he's

00:40:10.740 going to say? He's going to say that American corporations need that talent because we don't 0.66

00:40:16.980 have enough talent in the United States because that's what he said on Laura Ingraham. So he

00:40:20.880 doesn't even understand that this H-1B thing is a major issue with under 40 people because he's 0.58

00:40:25.800 surrounded by people who benefit from H-1Bs. Now, again, his administration is doing more than I

00:40:31.760 ever thought would be possible under H-1Bs. But this comes back to this. Let me step back. And I 0.96

00:40:38.120 said a thing about proportionality as well, right? So let's remember what happened under the Biden

00:40:43.820 administration. We abandoned our best anti-China air base and gave the Taliban billions of dollars 0.57

00:40:50.380 of weapons. We politically persecuted J6 people. We completely threw the First Amendment out the 1.00

00:40:58.880 window and did mass censorship of opposing political viewpoints. We shut down small

00:41:07.100 businesses. We passed the biggest spending bill that we basically ever passed. I could go on and

00:41:13.800 on and on. We politically weaponized the FBI and convicted a former president. And so when you look

00:41:21.740 at this Trump administration, it's like, well, he got egg prices down 30%. It's like, bro,

00:41:26.760 the Democrats crossed the Rubicon and you got shot. And Americans come in and say,

00:41:32.520 this is our avatar for systemic change in washington dc and we're seeing it we're seeing

00:41:39.200 doge they're going to audit the department of defense we might get like we might even get rid

00:41:44.580 of the fed like we're not going to have a deficit anymore and then it's like well you have to elect

00:41:50.460 us or inflation is going to come up four percent again it's like that's so when you look at the

00:41:55.580 electoral dynamic this might help people when you look at the electoral dynamics of exactly what

00:42:00.120 is happening here. Again, it's not Republicans necessarily all turning on Trump. Some of them

00:42:06.700 are. Some of them are single issue voters. Some of them are pissed about Epstein. So he is going

00:42:10.980 to lose some of his own voting base 100%. But that's not what's driving this dynamic here.

00:42:16.180 So over the last couple of decades, there's been an increasing component of the electorate that

00:42:21.000 identifies as independent. And so Gallup tracks this very closely. And there's charts that show

00:42:26.100 exactly what is going on here. And that they asked the question, do you identify as a Republican

00:42:31.580 or a Democrat or something else? And the share of something else has gone up to like 40% now.

00:42:38.780 So when you look at party ID, Republicans are down to only 30% of the electorate. Democrats

00:42:45.020 are at 35. So they're five points apart, right? But then they ask a follow-on question. Well,

00:42:50.400 if you had to pick one, which one would you pick? And so a lot of those independents will say,

00:42:54.680 oh, I guess I'll vote for the Democrats. I hate them all, but I'll guess I'll vote for the

00:42:58.260 Democrats. Or some of them will say, I guess I vote for the Republicans. The Democrat number 0.66

00:43:03.700 has gotten higher and higher and higher because a lot of those independents will just vote for

00:43:07.620 Democrats for social reasons or media, like whatever, right? The Republicans really need

00:43:13.840 those independents to win. And with Trump, they did. So now those people have absolutely no

00:43:19.340 allegiance to the Republican party. And a lot of them don't even think the Democrats are necessarily

00:43:24.100 insane because not to them, not everything's driven by the national picture. And it's like,

00:43:28.580 well, I know my Democrat state assemblyman and he's fine. And you know what I mean? And it's

00:43:33.200 like, a lot of this is all BS. Like, I don't agree with AOC that we should defund the police,

00:43:37.200 but I still have a police department. Right. And so this idea that like universally you can apply

00:43:42.500 the things that the Republican party says and shame these people or what, like, whatever,

00:43:46.160 like it doesn't work. They're this fluffy mass. And if you piss them off, they are not going to

00:43:52.280 turn out. And that's exactly what Gallup found is that when you force those people, now the

00:43:56.520 Democrats have a 10 point advantage. So that means five point to 10 point, like that's because all

00:44:02.940 these independents are now, that's it. I'm Democrat. And I'm going to vote Democrat this 0.69

00:44:06.920 time. And a lot of them probably won't vote. And a lot of the Republicans who say they're going to

00:44:11.260 still vote for Republicans will not turn out. But this is, yeah. And I don't know, I get too

00:44:16.520 much into inside baseball, but I don't think this is necessarily, but like when I see that 10 point

00:44:20.840 advantage i i feel like the next step is you have to map that to where there are actually swing

00:44:25.360 elections sure like it doesn't matter if they're 10 points up if it's in a really blue or really

00:44:30.340 red area they might win by a less margin but it really only matters where it's on the margins

00:44:35.380 and there's cheating so we have to remember that too so yeah yeah it's all a problem so

00:44:41.940 what we've been talking about is strategic uh like political trends that inform on what's

00:44:50.960 going to happen with the election yeah but as far as the election and exactly what's going to

00:44:54.800 happen like we can sharpen the pencil last time i was on i think i said that i had democrats up 11

00:45:01.520 points and everybody freaked out and i and then and that's because that was the first time a lot

00:45:06.380 of those people were hearing that well now you have you go with democrats up 14 you have tony

00:45:11.440 Fabrizio, Trump's own political pollster, showing Democrats up 11. You have Rich Barris with

00:45:18.780 Democrats up 11. You have Axios reporting about how Republicans are just checked out and think

00:45:25.020 they're going to lose. You have leaks saying that Trump is acknowledging defeat. You have Ted Cruz

00:45:30.920 out there begging on his hands and knees for people not to vote for socialists. So I was right,

00:45:36.400 and I was on the leading edge of this, the national electorate looks really bad for Republicans right

00:45:42.800 now. It's probably about a Democrat plus nine race. That's the last thing I got, which would

00:45:47.120 represent an 11 point shift to the left. Now, what you said is exactly right. That's not going 0.98

00:45:52.240 to be uniform across every single state. And not only that, you can't even poll every single

00:45:57.700 individual congressional district. It's prohibitively expensive. Some of them are too

00:46:01.480 small. And so a lot of this comes down to like what actually happens on the ground. And this is

00:46:07.120 kind of at the limit of polling. Like I could say that this is what the polling says the election

00:46:11.080 will be if it were held today. And if people say, oh, the polling's wrong and there's been polling

00:46:16.180 misses, what's like if Republicans somehow kept the house, this would be the biggest national

00:46:20.340 house popular vote polling miss like in the history ever. Right. So, um, but you have to

00:46:25.300 understand like how many data points actually align now. So this isn't like, well, the polling

00:46:30.740 could be off and there could be some hidden success path for Republicans. It's like the

00:46:36.260 House generic popular vote agrees with the state Senate polling, which agrees with the betting

00:46:43.040 market, which agrees with how Republicans are picking which states to spend money in, which

00:46:48.640 agrees with leaks coming out of the White House, which like all of these things agree that it's

00:46:53.720 going to be a very bad election for Republicans. Now, what does that mean electorally? Nobody

00:46:58.880 knows. So like you still see political putting out maps that show all of the middle states as

00:47:04.900 being toss ups, like 21 toss ups. We just have no idea. And it's because Democrats are going to

00:47:11.460 count and count and count. It's because it's because some of these districts are going to

00:47:15.760 have a massively disproportionate amount of money spent on them. It's because there's going to be a

00:47:19.900 lot of mail-in ballot stuffing. It's all of these things, right? So now, and the Republican

00:47:25.320 gerrymandering. So I think it's very plausible to say that even though in 2006, we might have

00:47:30.180 seen a similar Democrat polling lead, and the Democrats won 30 houses, we could see something

00:47:35.840 more like 15 or 20, and it would be a very thin congressional lead. And I think there is a better

00:47:42.320 case to be made that there's going to be a bigger miss in the Senate polling, it could underestimate

00:47:46.840 Republican turnout. But again, Republican turnout has been like super suppressed in all the primary

00:47:51.420 elections and uh you know like there's just intangibles right so so my concern i want to

00:47:59.880 make sure we pivot toward this at some point that you know time is ticking and it seems to me that

00:48:08.120 it's going to take the undecideds that huge group of people of undecideds to feel something in their

00:48:17.140 life change, not just words, right? So the messaging is definitely off. I agree. So if you

00:48:26.960 say wages have to go up, I mean, it's like time's running out. Wages are not going to go up right

00:48:32.160 now. What do you feel like if President Trump is listening, Susie Wiles, if you're listening,

00:48:37.700 anyone's listening, what is the messaging needed to make those undecideds, give the Republicans

00:48:44.080 more time. Recently, our company's softball team lost the big game by one run. Then Dale tried to

00:48:50.840 console us with the quote, winning isn't everything. Well, Dale and I are very different.

00:48:57.740 I get early payout from Bet365. If my team goes up big, I get paid out instantly,

00:49:02.480 even if they blow the lead later. Sound familiar, Dale? Thanks, Bet365. Must be 19 or older Ontario

00:49:09.100 only. Please play responsibly. If you have questions or concerns about your gambling or

00:49:11.780 the gambling of someone close to you, please go to connexontario.ca and see supply.

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00:49:39.540 actual value may be lower visit shell.ca slash loyalty for full details so i mean this is the

00:49:47.120 this is the problem i face is that i've been given advice for the last 14 months solid and i've just

00:49:51.880 been called a panic in and attacked and they try to literally laura loomer wants me like deported

00:49:58.560 you know what i mean like that's where we're at right now because we will amplify yeah well what

00:50:04.780 it comes down to is now you see newt gingridge come out of the like woodwork with a month and

00:50:09.000 have to go to election when the polling looks ridiculously bad? And he's like, well, this is

00:50:15.240 how Republicans can win. And as a pollster, I'm sorry, it's like between now and November,

00:50:20.180 there's very little that could happen at this point that would really help Republicans.

00:50:24.240 And the problem is Trump. And the reason I say that is because if you look back at Republican

00:50:28.920 Party polling, party favorables, this has been a trend everybody's talking about. Look, Quinnipiac

00:50:34.600 put out a 19% Democrat favorability rate. No, that number was a lie, but both parties are

00:50:39.940 probably in the high thirties right now. And they've been low the entire time. Like people

00:50:44.340 didn't all of a sudden decide to love the Republican party in 2024, right? What people

00:50:49.060 loved was Trump. He came into office and got up to a 55% approval rating, which is pretty crazy for

00:50:54.440 the politically polarized environment we're at, right? So now what you have is that Trump's

00:50:59.860 underwater about 15 points. Democrats are up about 11 points. All of the state Senate polling

00:51:06.420 has shifted to the left about 12 or 13 points. And so what's different between 2024 and today

00:51:11.940 is that people do not approve of Trump. And this is new because they approved of him a lot in the

00:51:17.240 first term. After January 6th, he exited office with a 49% approval number. That's wild. People

00:51:25.280 thought the other side thought he was basically going to steal democracy but the people that

00:51:30.840 supported trump stuck with him through all that and so this in my opinion if they really want to

00:51:35.920 see some kind of change he's got to get it together like there needs to be some kind of

00:51:42.100 uniformity and understanding that trump as the leader of the republican party is again going to

00:51:47.400 fix these systemic issues that have been affecting america and like i just think it's too late at this

00:51:53.460 hour they're out there now like i i was on when the segment before me on steve manon's war room

00:51:58.800 was talking it was mike davis talking about what they could do about the leftist judges that are

00:52:04.900 blocking trump's to remember proportionality trump was arrested they wanted to throw him in

00:52:10.000 jail he got shot they wanted to put unvaccinated in camps and we got in on a retribution platform

00:52:18.800 And I did the poll. I was there every step of the way to do the polling, to give them cover,

00:52:24.140 to do this stuff. I had the FBI as Joe Biden's personal Gestapo. I had the media as the enemy

00:52:30.320 of the people. I had in February that by a two to one margin, people wanted to see all these

00:52:36.700 leftist judges impeached. I even had people agreeing with Trump's quote that he who saves

00:52:43.040 this country violates no laws and so people were very much looking at a the rubicon was crossed

00:52:50.240 what is our solution to this and it's like a month and a half from the election now we're saying well

00:52:55.920 like like how do we save it and the the answer is is like what the what does the republican party

00:53:02.580 led by trump stand with and what is it going to do for people if they maintain control of the

00:53:08.680 Congress and the Senate. And I just don't think they have the authority or believability to really

00:53:13.080 say like much of anything, because again, the stuff that Trump's doing, it's great. It's not

00:53:19.780 proportional. It is not moving the needle. It is not like, and people like might watching this

00:53:25.880 might be like, well, you know, my life's good. I make enough income. I got a family, you know,

00:53:31.500 I'm not going to get sent to war. And so things aren't that bad for me. Right. But I have 43%

00:53:37.840 last time I asked it, of Americans think a civil war is likely in the next few years.

00:53:42.540 I have domestic political violence is like the number one concern, like as high as inflation

00:53:48.400 in America. I have what are America's biggest enemies stack ranked and China's number one,

00:53:54.940 but then the Democrat party's number two and the Republican party's number three. 0.95

00:53:58.480 And like Iran is a distant fourth place, right? So it's like all of the administration has been

00:54:04.440 focused not on the things that fundamentally address the concerns. I had 72% of America was

00:54:11.440 concerned under Biden that we were living in a police state. It was like, what happened? Cash

00:54:17.440 Patel, you were going to knock down the FBI and make a museum of the deep state. And so on almost

00:54:23.620 every single one of these levels, and okay, I was tracking these things very closely. I was picking

00:54:28.860 want to poll on. Like you said, Americans aren't informed, but they, for instance, very quickly

00:54:35.560 through osmosis determined that their economic situation is not improving or would not improve

00:54:40.600 under the Trump administration, even before Trump's approval rating started going down.

00:54:45.400 So they are smart. And unfortunately, like, again, at this point, we've moved past these things like

00:54:51.780 the Democrats are all socialists. That's just not going to work anymore. And it's like, it might be

00:54:56.300 the best you have and it comes down to like okay they're gonna they have a financial advantage the

00:55:02.400 republicans do they have a lot of money they can spend yeah but we need to convince people

00:55:07.380 as bad as things might feel for you or be for you you still have to go vote like you had like

00:55:14.220 nobody can sit this one out um even if you feel like you want to go ahead ellen and well and i

00:55:21.680 you know i i do agree that it's probably too late for midterms at this point i don't know that they

00:55:26.280 could really do much of anything other than spend a lot of money on ads but yeah i think you know

00:55:31.280 to me i wonder if something like newt gingrich's contract with america yes be what we need because

00:55:38.680 you know that was very effective and i i think that's i think what you're kind of talking about

00:55:45.560 in terms of like getting congress in the game like they're not really trying as far as i can tell and

00:55:50.460 And I do understand that like we don't have, you know, super majorities like we can't necessarily always push stuff through Congress.

00:55:57.960 But at least if you said this is our plan, this is our agenda, this is what we're trying to do for you.

00:56:03.380 Here's what we're trying to get done and frame it in a very populist sort of way that resonates with people.

00:56:11.200 Then you'd at least put a lot of pressure on those margin Democrats that are at risk to say, maybe I'll vote for some of this stuff.

00:56:17.240 Something. Say something.

00:56:19.280 You're 100 percent right.

00:56:20.460 I've been saying that stuff for a year and a half. This isn't hard. Like this is, this is willful

00:56:24.360 negligence is what is really going on. So I told Trump to his face, stop with the golden age stuff.

00:56:31.680 We are not in a golden age. Nobody's going to believe you, but show people a path to the golden

00:56:36.120 age and that path laid out and say that Congress is going to do it. Call it, you know, just like

00:56:41.400 I said, like the contract for America. And I've been saying that on social media, at least since

00:56:47.100 like June of last year. But you have a very valid point, which is like, yep, like, seriously,

00:56:55.240 we should have fired the Senate parliamentarian on day one. Like, I don't know why we didn't do

00:56:59.020 that, right? Like, that is really easy. Nobody cares. And that shows you what the Republican

00:57:04.120 Senate's job is, which is just to, for its constituents, the big corporations,

00:57:09.960 weather the economic populist president so that they can get out on the other side and be big

00:57:14.580 business Republicans again, because they could have just fired the Senate parliamentarian and

00:57:18.840 then almost anything we wanted could have gone into reconciliation, right? And then we wouldn't

00:57:22.940 have had to nuke the filibuster. But if that was the case, that nothing was going to get through

00:57:28.820 Congress and the Senate, imagine how different things would have been if starting in March,

00:57:34.940 well, we kept Doge, right? But like starting in March of 2025, Republicans brought to the floor

00:57:42.720 one single page bill that was a super popular 70, 80% position in America. Today, we're going to

00:57:49.680 vote on English as an official language. Today, we're going to mandate E-Verify. Today, we're

00:57:55.040 going to like just day after day. Today, we're going to tax remittances to India 100% and just

00:58:01.660 vote on it and show the Democrats voting no over and over and over again. And not only that, get

00:58:07.680 this one. Every day have an FBI firing cam and somebody gets frog marched out of the FBI.

00:58:13.640 And then every day a Democrat scumbag, you know, deep state swampist gets arrested. And you can 0.97

00:58:20.420 say, well, Mark, they're never going to get convicted. Okay. At least you're showing people

00:58:25.180 that Democrat justice doesn't work. Right. Imagine if we had done that every day between

00:58:30.660 March, 2025, I think it would have been proportional. We certainly have enough on

00:58:35.060 these people to indict them. You know what I mean? Like why is Stacey Abrams just like walking around

00:58:39.700 out there? Right. And it's like the Democrats know that the process is the punishment. Trump 1.00

00:58:44.160 didn't go to jail. So again, this aspect of proportionality, you know, people thought we

00:58:49.820 were losing our country. We almost got into civil war over a stolen election. And it's like Trump

00:58:57.580 gives one speech on election integrity and nobody cares. That shows you it's a Trump issue, right?

00:59:03.860 Like this has not been a priority of the second administration.

00:59:07.780 You could say, well, they got this, they got this guy, Kurt Olson, or Todd Blanche is doing

00:59:12.400 something behind the scenes, but they don't, they are not getting credit for any of that.

00:59:17.840 And so the problem is, is we're going into another election that everybody's probably

00:59:21.200 going to yell at each other that it was stolen because some of these races are going to surprise,

00:59:24.840 right?

00:59:25.540 And some of these races are absolutely going to be stolen.

00:59:27.520 and it's like oh well there's a there's a georgia grand jury where they're doing something with the

00:59:34.560 postal service it's like okay you're gonna drop an executive order a month and a half before an

00:59:40.080 election and change all this untransparent stuff with postal service well then you have thune

00:59:45.040 right who wouldn't go with the save act to push that through i mean what are we doing our own

00:59:50.560 side let's call it you know the republicans fighting the republicans why

00:59:54.400 so the republican senate couldn't even get that to a vote right so it's not that it didn't pass

01:00:01.740 because of democrats it's that republicans couldn't get it to a vote or refuse to right

01:00:06.820 so like this is the problem and again i'm not i'm just trying to explain to people why what's

01:00:15.220 going to happen is going to happen again if you're a republican party guy and you're okay with being

01:00:20.300 like you know voters didn't get everything that they wanted but we had to keep the democrats out

01:00:24.740 fine like i'm not like go ahead but you're gonna probably have to tell some lies you know what i

01:00:30.060 mean like that's just what it is and i'm not i'm not gonna do that like because the american people

01:00:34.800 needed this they really needed this and yet democrats are going to be worse but i will say

01:00:39.440 this 2028 is still a potential win i'm very optimistic about 2028 because the democrat 0.98

01:00:47.800 national leaders are like retarded. And this is really possible. Now, Trump might be messing it 0.96

01:00:54.020 up. But if you look at this election, it's just going to give us more gridlock. You know what I

01:00:59.900 mean? It will be bad for members of the Trump administration when the Democrats weaponize

01:01:05.040 congressional investigative power against them. But at the end of the day, nothing important is

01:01:09.920 going to come to a floor vote in my opinion and we still got a shot at 2028 so i'm i'm moving ahead

01:01:18.000 and focusing on what's the message for 2028 and it's like it needs to be economic populism and

01:01:23.360 brutal visible reform of the federal government and it needs you know all like what they need to

01:01:28.960 do is screenshot everything that ted cruz is talking about now and come up with a fix for

01:01:33.700 that like actually do that right you know you know what i mean like except for the israel stuff like

01:01:37.280 we should we need to get the hell out of there like that was yeah that was a self-inflicted 0.72

01:01:42.780 gunshot because this would have been a lot closer if they had not done iran as everybody in the

01:01:47.200 polling industry was saying they had the polling to know that this was a bad idea and they did it

01:01:52.280 in opposition of public opinion and they are like this could this could be a democrat plus

01:01:58.080 five race right now yeah which would put republicans in striking distance keeping

01:02:02.740 the house and that's just the facts you guys whether you think the war was justified or not

01:02:07.760 it's come it's now coming down to the midterms and elections so it's not what the majority wanted

01:02:13.780 maybe you did and maybe you have a good reason for it but it's just at the end of the day when

01:02:18.820 it comes down to now voting a lot there's a lot of disenfranchised people and i get it and you

01:02:25.540 have to remember, a lot of people that pushed Trump into the White House are undecided voters

01:02:32.800 and people that don't typically vote for Republicans. But Biden was so bad and Kamala

01:02:38.720 was so horrific that they literally had to hold their nose and vote for Trump. Now they're like,

01:02:44.660 OK, well, now look at where this got us. And although some of us are perfectly fine with what

01:02:49.000 he's doing and a lot of us do know all the great things he's achieved, and I'm so happy about those

01:02:54.340 things. But if and when the Democrats come back in, they're going to undo all of it. They're

01:02:59.620 going to just start trying to impeach Trump and undo every great thing he did. So this election,

01:03:05.660 although it is so freaking important, unfortunately, it appears by conversation we're having in the

01:03:12.680 polling that Trump has made some major faux pas and a lot of them are in messaging. And,

01:03:19.820 And it's going to be hard to tell people who are hurting right now, like, no, just keep voting for

01:03:26.380 the same thing. When the other side is like, no, everything will be free and you'll get free rent

01:03:31.800 and free grocery stores. And of course it's not going to be free, but they're just giving a good

01:03:37.360 message. So it's tough. And it's tough to listen to Mark too, if you don't want to hear what he

01:03:42.640 has to say. And it's so easy to agree with Owen because I agree with Owen too. But at the end

01:03:47.460 of the day with voting, it doesn't matter that Owen's right. It's the people who don't pay

01:03:53.480 attention. That's the problem. All right. Well, I need to drop. It's been a great conversation.

01:03:58.420 Thanks so much for joining us, Mark. Thanks, O. It's a pleasure. Good to meet you.

01:04:03.640 So, yeah, Owen has a meeting. So, I mean, the other thing I wanted to ask you,

01:04:07.680 if you still have a minute, Mark, is how Andy wanted to know how the gerrymandering by the GOP

01:04:14.100 is going to affect polling or, or elections. Do you think, you know, that's really more of like

01:04:20.200 a modeling thing and less of a polling thing. And I've seen so many just disparate answers,

01:04:24.400 but basically it's like, if you were going to gerrymander a state, right. You would look at

01:04:32.120 the districts where you're down like less than 10 points. Right. So on average, those states are

01:04:37.780 going to be places where you lost by five. Just rough math, right? Well, the electorate has shifted

01:04:45.840 left 12 points since 2024. And so that means that everything you gerrymandered to be a toss-up or to

01:04:54.500 be a lean R is now probably a toss-up or a lean D, right? So there's like this idea that, well,

01:05:02.540 we just picked up 15 seats. No, you shifted 15 seats to the right, but the competing national

01:05:09.120 electorate has shifted to the left. Now, again, there's a whole, like, this is why it's a modeling

01:05:14.040 exercise because all of those seats in the middle are going to be disproportionately where all the

01:05:18.380 money is spent. And so they're not going to move as much, but nobody knows because it all really

01:05:22.460 comes down to, well, what did they put in that ad? Or did somebody come up with dirt? Like we

01:05:26.440 haven't really even seen October surprise season. So again, like I'm not looking at a Democrat plus

01:05:32.060 40 house pickup. Like it's not going to be like that, but it's probably going to be a Democrat

01:05:36.380 win. Statistically, it's like a 90% chance at this point. And then everybody looks at the Senate

01:05:42.040 and it's like, really with like Collins and Murkowski and all these characters,

01:05:48.260 like do the Republicans even control the Senate now? Like not really. So I don't think the Senate

01:05:53.360 matters as much unless you're just looking at, well, this is a good Republican map year and we

01:05:57.600 have to do well in order to maintain Republican control of the Senate in two years from now.

01:06:01.520 Like that's a valid point. But again, there's so many intangibles. So like Paxton will probably go

01:06:08.720 into election day with trailing Tallarico down in Texas, but he might win because Texas is full

01:06:16.480 of Republicans and that matters when they control electoral. Like, you know, I'm just saying there's

01:06:21.820 these things that we can't predict. So I'm not like, again, I'm not dooming. I'm just trying to

01:06:27.080 to show people exactly like what's really going on, because I want to see Republicans actually

01:06:32.000 be the party that can out-compete Democrats electorally. And the way that I think that

01:06:37.220 they need to do that, and what you just brought up, Erica, is they need to be a lot more transactional

01:06:42.540 with the voters. What they've been is they've been using like the dying fumes of moral authority

01:06:49.600 that have been wafting off of Reaganomics and stuff, right? Where it's like, well, you know,

01:06:54.180 the Democrats are going to give you free stuff, but that's evil. So vote for us. And it's like,

01:06:58.180 well, like when people can't fill their fridge with food, it's not going to work anymore. Right.

01:07:03.100 So they need to be more transactional people. Like, here's the important thing. Even people

01:07:08.240 in the country that say they're socialists don't really want to live under socialism.

01:07:11.900 They don't want like lack of economic freedom. They just don't want to have to worry about how

01:07:16.500 to live. Like they want to have the 1950s and sixties economic situation under the great

01:07:20.680 compression, right? Those are things that Republicans could offer, right? Like they could

01:07:25.660 offer justice and accountability. They can offer a federal government that isn't wasteful. They

01:07:31.160 could offer higher wages for workers. They could offer a lot of things that would be absolutely

01:07:36.160 more appealing than actually true socialism. But like they're not, like you don't hear that

01:07:42.180 messaging anywhere. In fact, if you say anything, even remotely economic progressive in a Republican

01:07:47.860 in room, they're going to call you a socialist. And again, that's because they're still at a

01:07:51.920 point where it's really the big business status quo is what is the apple of these people's eyes.

01:07:57.740 But that's not what America first is. That's not what MAGA was supposed to be.

01:08:01.800 And these people are losing control. Like they are to the point where they can be beaten in

01:08:05.920 the submission. And that's what I'm excited about because the silver lining to a Republican wipeout

01:08:11.480 would be that a lot of these people who are rhinos, like, you know, we're going to get new 1.00

01:08:15.260 blood in. And it would be an excoriation of neoconservatism to the point where it should 0.88

01:08:21.420 be a laughingstock as part of the right. Like, again, the idea that we're in another hemisphere

01:08:27.140 when healthcare costs a rent check, like it's just absolutely insane.

01:08:33.760 And now, you know, I voted for Trump three times, you guys.

01:08:37.720 Me too.

01:08:38.480 Yeah. And I wanted him, I've told this story a hundred times, I've wanted him to be our

01:08:42.880 president since 1997 when I found it written in my journal. And I remember the day feeling that

01:08:48.100 way. Mark and I are here on the East Coast. We grew up with Trump. We're probably more aware of

01:08:56.260 him than the rest of the country because he was like everything over here in New Jersey, New York.

01:09:02.160 And it's just what I see now is Trump, the politician who is starting to feel like everybody

01:09:11.780 else. He's still trying to do his same messaging. And yes, he's entertaining and funny and pokes

01:09:19.560 the bear all the time and that's all fun. But I feel like his actions have become pretty

01:09:24.940 establishment if I'm thinking of the big things he's doing, like the wars. And I'm like, wait,

01:09:31.460 what happened to us over here? I had never felt so lost in this country as I did when Obama was

01:09:38.980 president, I felt completely left out, like non-existent. I was a, you know, a business

01:09:45.300 owner. I was employing people, paying people, paying my taxes, paying out the ass for everything 0.98

01:09:51.180 when you own a business in New Jersey, let me just tell you. And it was like, oh, and now if 0.89

01:09:55.580 you make any more money, we're going to tax you even more. And I'm like, but wait, I'm creating

01:10:00.280 jobs. Like what, like it was, I just felt like I can't, I can't make it like this. And then,

01:10:04.900 you know then when we got trump i was like oh my god finally i was like paying off debt you know

01:10:10.900 like things were amazing and covet hit but i was like you know give us trump back like you know

01:10:15.840 like things were just sailing beautifully when covet hit it's like hard to remember that but it

01:10:21.500 i have never felt it i i was like oh my god this is the american dream right now when trump was

01:10:27.920 first in office at first a couple years it was amazing and now i'm just like oh like it like

01:10:33.900 yeah he is doing different things that are great but i kind of feel like but he's he's like just

01:10:38.760 this guy now who's doing what the people are telling him to do so i don't know what happens

01:10:43.920 when you get elected as president i don't know what like scott would always say like you know

01:10:48.040 they come to you and they present to you like i don't know maybe a picture of your family with 0.99

01:10:52.660 targets on them and we're going to kill every single one of them if you don't do what we say 0.99

01:10:56.120 That's a possibility because I, the about face is crazy to me. 0.99

01:11:01.760 That's, that sounds so conspiracy hat, like tinfoil, but I find myself having that conversation

01:11:08.020 almost every time I talk to smart political insiders and they all just don't understand

01:11:14.100 because it was like a light switch.

01:11:16.140 Like the 2024 campaign was good.

01:11:19.260 It was all the right things.

01:11:20.660 And in interviews, he said all the right things.

01:11:22.820 And it really was really about March of 2025 where a light switch was flipped. And I've had other people tell me that, you know, something happened. Right. And it's like this administration was setting America on a different course. And I don't like it was the right course. Like we know that. Right. But it was going to be rocky for a lot of people. It was going to upset a lot of power dynamics. It was going to make some companies go bust.

01:11:49.760 like you can't hold people accountable for the vaccines without major change in the

01:11:53.280 pharmaceutical industry for instance right and all of that went away so i like yeah it's reasonably

01:12:03.240 practicable that something happened behind the scenes and you know i've heard people say well

01:12:09.420 it must have been the silver or lead talk and maybe maybe yeah i i know and you know i guess 0.53

01:12:16.660 we'll never know i wish i wish we could like i wish he could just spill the freaking beans on

01:12:21.380 everything like i wish he could just come out and on his like last week in office just say like f it

01:12:28.100 i'm taking one for the team and here's what happens when you get in and here's who killed

01:12:33.020 kennedy and here's who martin luther king was and here's the thing about the ufos and this is who

01:12:38.540 threatened me and this is who threatened to kill my kids like just tell us the thing burn it all

01:12:43.420 freaking down at some point yeah burn it down i gotta plug my friend rich's book he just literally 0.76

01:12:49.300 today yeah it's out for sale it's called burn it down oh and i agree with the idea but it's like

01:12:55.140 listen this idea of maintaining the establishment status quo is over because the younger generation

01:13:01.100 does not think like you and will not tolerate the young people have this phrase i think i can say it 0.98

01:13:06.840 but they say everything is fake and gay right we say it too yeah everything is still fake and gay 0.96

01:13:11.560 and you know like that's going to end and it's going to be brutal for a lot of people and i'll 0.61

01:13:16.800 give you an example it's like we're never going to know like you said what happens behind the

01:13:21.140 scenes in the trump administration and maybe there's a completely innocent and simple explanation

01:13:24.900 but in the absence of any explanation you know who they're going to blame they're going to blame

01:13:30.180 benjamin net yahoo and israel and that's just because the israel public approval is terrible

01:13:36.040 right now benjamin netanyahu's public opinion is terrible and there were enough outward optics and

01:13:42.520 then here we are in iran and so that is what history is probably going to say at least among

01:13:47.380 grassroots conservatives people is like that's what happened and it's like that's what i like

01:13:53.340 that's what we're going to be stuck with which is like trump had a mandate to cross the rubicon

01:13:59.060 in response to the democrats and we bombed israel or bombed iran excuse me that was a freudian slip

01:14:05.440 we had elon musk working with him it was like oh my god what is this dream put before me like i

01:14:14.080 just couldn't even we had project 2025 i mean well did we well no i was told that that's where

01:14:21.100 a lot of the early executive orders came from and that it was shut down internally

01:14:24.940 and the words i was told by the suzy wiles administration okay well yeah but i mean it's

01:14:32.500 Just he had two good starts that two times he, you know, I guess officially won because I believe 2020 was stolen.

01:14:42.020 Sorry if that's a shocker for anyone, but yes.

01:14:44.700 Yeah.

01:14:45.740 So, you know, so please understand.

01:14:48.080 I mean, it's not like I need to make this case.

01:14:49.960 I love President Trump.

01:14:51.740 Like I have a lot of affection for him.

01:14:54.300 And I look at him and I like have feelings with my heart.

01:14:58.980 Like this man really did put it all out on the line, didn't have to.

01:15:03.260 I mean, he I think part of him kind of always wanted to.

01:15:07.500 And it made sense that he would run and be a great president.

01:15:12.300 And unfortunately, it is such a swamp and people change.

01:15:17.260 And I mean, I always say to Mark, you know, it's like the only career

01:15:21.940 I have ever seen where people get into service

01:15:25.260 and then they never fricking leave until they're dead.

01:15:27.620 like where's mitch mcconnell right so something you bring up an important point like this is a

01:15:32.820 hard job and it is not fair to lay all the blame at trump's feet in fact the real problem is that 0.98

01:15:40.180 dc is occupied by scumbags on both the right and the left and they deserve the blame a hundred 0.95

01:15:45.140 percent the being the president should not be this hard it really shouldn't be uh 0.99

01:15:52.340 he didn't you know he wanted the job like i guess that's the easiest way to say it right

01:15:56.420 And so there is a certain amount of buck stops here. And he could have done things better. So

01:16:01.660 it's like he could have systematically dismantled the establishment Republican leadership of the

01:16:06.800 Republican Party. And that's objectively not what happened over the last 10 years.

01:16:10.760 But it's like, is that what it means to be a Republican president now that you have to,

01:16:14.940 if you're going to be an outsider and come in and be like, Mr. Smith goes to Washington and

01:16:20.560 try and fix the Republican Party, that you have to have some 20-year Machiavellian plan to

01:16:25.380 overthrow all these criminals. You know what I mean? Like that's, it's, we're starting to get

01:16:31.200 to an inflection point where things are going to change rapidly is I guess what I'm saying. And I

01:16:35.940 think the youth will be involved in it because they want fairness and they're very value oriented

01:16:40.500 and they want justice and accountability more so than any other generation. And we're going to see

01:16:45.580 rapid change because roughly about every year we lose about 2 million boomers and we gain about 4

01:16:51.960 million zoomers. And so a 6 million electoral shift every year by 2028, it's going to be very

01:16:58.260 different by 2032. It's going to be wild because we got 65% of the Senate is boomers and silent 0.99

01:17:05.620 generation. There's more silent generation people than there are millennials. There are zero zoomers 0.91

01:17:09.920 in the Senate. That's definitely going to flip. And these people, again, they are not going to 1.00

01:17:15.440 be running on Reaganomics. They're probably not going to be running on socialism is evil.

01:17:20.140 they're going to be economic populists they're going to be nationalists

01:17:23.740 the republican party is like we assume everybody's a nationalist but we're going to run on

01:17:29.820 conservatism right and these people don't even know what that word means but they're going to 0.91

01:17:34.220 be like well i want to save america right if that means blowing up some narco boats and deporting a

01:17:39.560 judge and like you know we might have to do that we might have to break the constitution to fix it

01:17:44.820 like that's the way these people think yeah oh man it's so interesting so you guys i hope you

01:17:49.880 found this helpful. I mean, the midterms are coming. This is just, you know, what we're going

01:17:54.420 to say is reality. You know, the polling, the people on the street, the people I'm running

01:18:00.120 into, and I have, you know, friends and I get to talk to people of all sorts of different demographics

01:18:05.700 and, um, ages, everything, jobs, and, uh, people are feeling it. So we are lucky to be so smart,

01:18:14.660 but I think sometimes it's a disadvantage because we don't understand that nobody, you know,

01:18:19.060 there's not that many people there's really like not many people in my life around me personally

01:18:23.980 that I could have a conversation like this with because they really they really just don't know

01:18:28.380 they just know like this much and I'm like oh my god it's so frustrating so um yeah we should dream

01:18:34.080 of an America with a 20 turnout rate because that means everybody's happy right if they're not

01:18:38.320 voting they it doesn't affect their lives because everything's great yes yes so uh Mark thanks I

01:18:44.360 I mean, plug your channels and what you're doing.

01:18:47.340 Let everyone know where to find you.

01:18:49.540 So I hope I've established that I'm willing to go against Republican and Democrat orthodoxies.

01:18:54.260 And I think that that's proof of my bona fides that I am representing the American people

01:18:58.240 and want them to get what they need.

01:19:00.760 I'm really the only one out there doing it.

01:19:02.640 So it's thehonestpoll.com is my website.

01:19:05.520 We have a sub stack.

01:19:06.440 You could sign up.

01:19:07.280 Really appreciate if people sign up for free notifications.

01:19:09.720 You're not going to get spammed.

01:19:11.340 The Honest Poll.

01:19:12.280 and I'm on Twitter at HonestPolster.

01:19:15.240 Yes, okay.

01:19:15.920 And I'll drop your handles also.

01:19:17.740 And they're on my X right now

01:19:19.320 in my last post for the Scott Adams School.

01:19:22.500 So Mark will join us again and again and again, you guys.

01:19:25.760 Okay, so isn't it so nice that we have a pollster

01:19:29.280 who's honest that we can actually talk to?

01:19:31.940 I mean, most people don't have that.

01:19:33.540 So I think it's a great advantage

01:19:37.160 to keep us getting smarter and smarter.

01:19:40.540 so mark thank you so so much for being here we always um give a closing sip to scott and shelly

01:19:49.560 for allowing this show to go on and this is why we're all here together and i want to thank

01:19:56.280 everybody for being here today and sorry i don't know what happened to the locals feed you guys

01:20:02.280 but you guys are amazing i see you all chatting on the local stream and a lot of you watching on

01:20:07.180 youtube and on rumble and uh we will try to get the the video up on locals after the show okay

01:20:14.460 so you guys are the best mark thank you so much and let's have a closing sip to our beloved scott

01:20:20.400 adams who i had the most amazing dream about last night i got to ask him a lot of questions and get

01:20:26.080 a lot of resolution to things it was so great um so as always a closing sip to scott to scott

01:20:33.600 thanks mark i'll kick you out for you all right and we'll talk soon thank you

01:20:42.480 okay i really appreciate him coming in he's um he's a good guy you guys he's a good guy

01:20:49.800 so let's see i don't know what happened to locals but how about we do a song we'll do like a video

01:20:58.780 and then I'll put the chat on the screen so everybody can see each other. And I can't wait

01:21:04.420 to tell you guys my, um, announcement for you on Thursday. Okay. So let's move this over.

01:21:14.660 Okay. And let's do you guys. I have more Jessica Tarlov clips from the other day. I didn't get to,

01:21:22.960 I was like, good Lord, Jessica. Talk about now. Is Beverly here? You guys, is Beverly here?

01:21:29.320 That's what I need to know. Let's see. I'll wait for your answers. Beverly. You were B? Good. Oh,

01:21:40.460 I'm glad. I'm glad you were riveted. She's on X. Oh, okay. Beverly, if you can see and hear this,

01:21:46.880 This is coming in from Akira the Dawn, and this goes out to Beverly, known as the Beaver.

01:21:54.480 And this is called What You Think About the Most, featuring the cool, smooth words of

01:22:00.900 Scott Adams.

01:22:01.840 All right.

01:22:02.440 I saw a story in the South China Morning Post.

01:22:06.740 It asks the question, can you train your mind to be happy?

01:22:09.980 And it says, yes, expert says.

01:22:12.680 Would you like to know how?

01:22:14.120 Would you like me to train you

01:22:17.140 With my hypnosis experience

01:22:19.660 Into how to be happier

01:22:21.860 Alright, well I won't hypnotize you

01:22:24.980 I'll just tell you how to do it

01:22:27.020 Number one

01:22:28.160 Whatever you think about the most

01:22:31.160 Is who you are

01:22:32.120 It's who you are

01:22:34.980 It's who you are

01:22:37.380 What you think about the most

01:22:38.840 Is who you are

01:22:40.080 Who you are

01:22:41.380 and you can change what you think about the most it's easy watch think about your favorite animal

01:23:03.780 could you do it of course you could yeah you all had a different favorite animal but when i said

01:23:13.820 think about your favorite animal you could do it so that was when your brain was focusing on a

01:23:21.420 cool thing that you liked favorite animal probably made you a little bit happy i mean just a little

01:23:27.560 bit but during that time you're thinking about your favorite animal you weren't thinking about

01:23:32.780 Some bad that could potentially put you in a bad mood

01:23:37.200 Or affect your energy

01:23:38.720 Or make you anxious or anything

01:23:40.900 Whatever you think about the most is who you are

01:24:02.780 so i just proved to you that if you just remember as a habit to change your thinking from whatever

01:24:14.780 negative stuff to positive stuff it's really that easy just think about stuff you like

01:24:22.300 everybody likes something think about a person you'd like experience you had a walk on the beach

01:24:28.540 If that's your thing, just think about it and reduce the shelf time that you give to the bad thoughts.

01:24:41.040 Because how much you think about something is what creates the structure in your brain that becomes semi-permanent.

01:24:49.280 You can usually change it, but it becomes a little semi-permanent.

01:24:53.660 So the more you think about positive things, the happier you're going to be.

01:24:58.540 Good thing, good thing.

01:25:28.540 Amazing.

01:25:59.380 Yes. Love. Good choice, Bev. Good choice. What? Am I having a baby? Absolutely not.

01:26:08.780 Love the IROC. You guys, the animal pictures were the best. I love it. Love it. Love it. Love it.

01:26:17.260 Thank you, you guys, so, so much. What time is it? 1124. I'm going to skedaddle. That was a nice

01:26:23.140 song, wasn't it? Akira the Don, you guys, Akira the Don and his YouTube and his website, I believe

01:26:32.060 are both meaningwave.com. So go say hello to him. He's on X as Akira the Don, A-K-I-R-A. And

01:26:42.700 thanks, Kitty. And say hi to him, okay? He's a great guy. A lot of fun, sweetheart of a guy.

01:26:49.040 All right, you guys love you so much. So the home team will be back tomorrow

01:26:54.500 And uh, we'll do some news. Okay. We'll do some news. All right. Love you guys say goodbye

01:27:00.440 Sorry about the glitch on on locals you guys who the heck knows what's going on

01:27:05.960 Okay. Bye guys

01:27:07.760 Oh my big announcement no not at all

01:27:16.260 all right bye oh lord

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - September 22, 2026

The Scott Adams School - Pollster, Mark Mitchell returns. Let's talk Midterms

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