SHNEAKO - March 09, 2026


Professor Jiang Tells SNEAKO Heartbreaking WW3 Predictions

Hosted by
Nicolas Kenn De Balinthazy
Mentioned
Miriam Adelson Peter Thiel
Dan Bilzerian Explains Why He Won’t Sell His Soul SNEAKO Interviews Glenn Greenwald： World War Iran

Episode Stats


Length

9 minutes

Words per minute

190.97

Word count

1,810

Sentence count

19

Harmful content

Toxicity

4

sentences flagged

Hate speech

4

sentences flagged


Summary

Summaries generated with gmurro/bart-large-finetuned-filtered-spotify-podcast-summ .

On this episode of the podcast, we have our first guest on the show, our good friend and long-time guest, . We talk about Iran, World War III, the midterms, and much more.

Transcript

Transcript generated with Whisper (turbo).
Toxicity classifications generated with s-nlp/roberta_toxicity_classifier .
Hate speech classifications generated with facebook/roberta-hate-speech-dynabench-r4-target .
Hosts, guests, and mentioned names generated with spaCy (en_core_web_sm), reconciled against Wikidata.
00:00:00.000 What are your immediate predictions with this war?
00:00:03.560 The amount of insanity that's going to happen in this war is going to be beyond our imagination, okay?
00:00:07.780 I think at some point Trump will introduce a draft.
00:00:10.200 Like, you've been registered for the National Selective Service already, right?
00:00:13.240 I think we have to.
00:00:14.400 Yeah, yeah, right. So, yeah, so they have that already in place.
00:00:17.680 So it's pretty easy to do the draft.
00:00:20.260 So I think that's going to split the country apart.
00:00:23.480 I do want to ask you about World War III, the end of the world, when that one's going to come.
00:00:26.080 But what are your immediate predictions with this war?
00:00:30.000 You know, I don't do specific timelines because, you know, I mean, like, like, like, I'm not actually in control of the events.
00:00:37.200 I'm just going to figure out what the general trends are, okay?
00:00:39.300 So I'll tell you the general trends.
00:00:40.660 General trends are that the Americans and Israelis are going to target civilian infrastructure, water desalination plants, dams, to make life as difficult as possible for the Iranian population.
00:00:52.960 Eventually, they're going to insert ground troops, special forces, small contingents.
00:00:58.440 you know there's rumors of the 82nd airborne division have been activated uh they might
00:01:02.440 parachute some troops into iran but anyway like um the amount of insanity that's going to happen
00:01:09.240 this war is going to be beyond our imagination okay because we'll be like why would you commit 0.66
00:01:13.640 suicide we're like i don't know but they but but you know like why are you uh committing suicide 0.57
00:01:19.000 right now okay so so i think a lot of insanity that's gonna happen specifically will be beyond
00:01:23.800 our imagination because you know we are not actually in the war um and the people in this war
00:01:30.120 um you know war makes people crazy um and they develop certain hubris they develop a certain
00:01:34.920 arrogance but they have to win this war uh and you know like just go and say the vietnam war
00:01:40.440 where it was entirely obvious um by 1965 1966 the wars was unwinnable but they kept on bombing and
00:01:48.200 bombing and bombing um until five six years later right and they wouldn't think about using nuclear
00:01:55.640 weapons um so you know when when the military goes into war uh they uh will do everything possible to
00:02:03.720 win this war so there's a lot of insanity going going on the uh american homeland will be more
00:02:08.840 more chaotic i think at some point trump will introduce a draft um it's like it's like the
00:02:13.720 draft um because remember like like like what like you've been registered for the for the
00:02:18.360 national selective service already right i think we have to yeah yeah right so so yeah so they
00:02:24.680 have that already in place uh so it's pretty easy to do the the draft so so i i think that's gonna
00:02:30.840 split the country apart um i i think the national guard will be deployed at some point uh they
00:02:38.040 already have this plan to deploy the national guard to all major american cities by april
00:02:42.440 and they've been talking about this for a few months and that's a detailed plan like this
00:02:45.880 american invasion of our of iran is a complete it's a dumpster fire but they actually have a 1.00
00:02:49.960 concrete plan a detailed plan for how to deploy the national guard uh using the minnesota uh
00:02:56.600 model okay so so i i think that's going to happen what's the minnesota model
00:03:03.400 um i just provoke as much all right street warfare as possible and then you just fight
00:03:10.520 by deploying the the national guard right if those ice people went in looking to film uh conflict on 0.82
00:03:17.240 social media to to provoke people um then um the midterms is something that i'm up in the air about
00:03:26.200 um it seems as though trump is intent on um cheating in some way you know during the
00:03:32.360 civil union he said he said that we have to pass the safe america act and which is like you know
00:03:36.680 like you need voter id you you need to make sure the elections are secure right which means you
00:03:40.920 know you have national guard troops everywhere which means that it's hard for people of color
00:03:47.400 to want to go go vote because they're clearly being intimidated okay so i think the midterms
00:03:53.320 will be a thumbs to fire i mean it's i mean it's gonna be so controversial i also think that people
00:04:00.520 will be surprised by how lame the democrats will be in this process um the democrats are going along
00:04:09.560 with it because they believe that well first of all they want this war to happen because they've
00:04:15.640 been co-opted by the issue lobby as well but also they think that this is our perfect opportunity to
00:04:21.640 get rid of trump right because after three years of this he's dead like you know he's gone i mean
00:04:27.080 and and and so we'll just wait we'll just wait we we won't even worry about the mid-terms
00:04:31.720 we'll wait three years from now when we when we went back in 2028 we'll go after all these guys
00:04:36.680 for what they did to us right so so i it's either trump is trying to run for a third term you know
00:04:43.800 he's hinted at that a lot yeah you know miriam edelson said that they want to pull more money
00:04:47.800 and also jd vance would just be more trump but they trump would work through jd vance again he's
00:04:52.440 He's been funded by Peter Thiel.
00:04:54.860 Did you see that there's a lot of people speculating that Iran is looking at your videos to strategize how they could win because of how much you predicted?
00:05:03.060 Do you think that there's any sort of basis in that, especially, you know, the prediction of the desalination plants?
00:05:10.380 I'm wondering if you think or even conceptualize how impactful your videos are.
00:05:17.500 um you know i think it's actually insulting to say that the iranians are just you know watching
00:05:23.980 my videos you know because all right the entire point of game theory is that once you're in the
00:05:29.100 game um the structure of the game uh the nature of the rules determines how you behave okay so
00:05:35.580 so let's do a thought experiment let's just say um we go back in time like back to the beginning
00:05:42.700 like 1920 okay and we present documentation just millions of documents showing that oh my god guys
00:05:49.900 we're headed towards the great depression we're headed towards world war ii the nazis will rise
00:05:55.500 um the soviet union will rise okay and we tell them exactly how to prevent this i guarantee you
00:06:02.060 this would change nothing okay this would change nothing at all why because people when they're in
00:06:07.420 a game they're looking they're looking to maximize their outcome and that determines the nature of
00:06:12.220 the game so basically i made these predictions based on my understanding of different motivations
00:06:19.580 of the players and the structure of the game you go out to these adaptation plants because they
00:06:23.500 don't have water i mean like that like like water scarcity is a huge problem in the middle east yeah
00:06:28.540 so so so so so i think it's sort of insulting to the range to say like they're not capable of their
00:06:35.020 own ideas right what i'm saying is it doesn't what i'm saying is it doesn't matter who you are
00:06:40.140 once you're in a certain game and these are the uh structure these are the rules and incentives
00:06:44.940 then you respond accordingly to optimize your your your the outcome and like information from
00:06:50.540 outside does not impact the way players behave yeah right like it's the same thing as as you
00:06:56.540 know i'm i'm i'm sure you play play Texas hold on poker right when you're playing a hand do you
00:07:01.340 really care what others tell you to do like like like you know if people are giving you information
00:07:05.740 and their information is actually more objective than your information you don't care because
00:07:10.060 at that point you're driven by your emotions at that point you're invested in your own strategy
00:07:15.580 right so so so i first of all you know it's absurd that people will think this and i think it's also
00:07:20.700 insulting also by the way this would put my personal safety at risk right right because
00:07:25.740 you know the americans are gonna lose this war and guess who's gonna blame i'm gonna blame for 0.95
00:07:28.780 the stupid thing right and like like like like i'm just this random high school teacher in beijing 0.81
00:07:35.500 and i am going to impact and like the outcome of this war yeah um but the reality is that people 0.99
00:07:41.060 will want a scapegoat right so but it's so funny too because hubris is the downfall of these
00:07:48.620 empires you've uh accurately cross-analyzed and you've seen how empires have collapsed
00:07:52.880 this is the result of all the mistakes that epstein regime has made so far is the result
00:07:59.200 of their own arrogance marco rubio saying iran did not pose an imminent threat on america
00:08:04.040 major mistake. Hegsat's saying that Iranians are going, the only ones that should be afraid of the
00:08:09.600 ones that think that they're going to stay alive, major mistake. Trump bombing the school, major
00:08:13.760 mistake. And this could have all been easily avoidable if they understood that they needed
00:08:18.740 to reanalyze and strategize based off of their arrogance. And a lot of this is probably the
00:08:23.600 result of, you know, years of American dominance, but also more recently, the Venezuelan regime
00:08:28.280 change where there was so easy and they loved being able to flex their helicopters and show
00:08:33.480 imperialism and flex the american muscle the arrogance is why they're going they could lose
00:08:40.580 this war again the troops that just came back and they become wrapped in the american flag
00:08:45.220 trump doesn't even take his hat off this is a signal to all u.s troops wait i'm dying for
00:08:50.840 israel and you can't even show me respect and take off my hat when i'm in the coffin so yes all the
00:08:56.980 mistakes that iran could make its strategy and it's you know not foreseeing things probably all
00:09:01.480 mistakes you know epstein regime are making are the result of their own ego which does support
00:09:07.800 your your great idea of the the downfall of ego but i mean once you you're right once you
00:09:14.300 are set in this position in this game there really is no changing it no there just isn't i mean um
00:09:21.580 once you leave the game once you lose the game you keep over keep over reflection but like once
00:09:25.960 you're in the game you just you just act out your emotions