Episode 122 – Go Vote! Election Night in America. Terror Attacks in Vienna. Florida Man Catches 1,000-Pound Gator!
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Summary
Trump's campaign manager Bill Stepian walks through some specific data on what needs to be done today by the president's supporters to re-elect him. Hot takes: 1. You should be offended with the Democratic whip, not with the democratic whip. 2. The Democratic whip is a machine. 3. President Trump is ahead of where he was in 2016 by a very key measure. 4. The math says it s quite possible for President Trump to be re-elected.
Transcript
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you ever watch this guy on television you all were not telling the truth and you should not
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be trusted congressman matt gates thank you for what you did for your country today be offended
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with the democratic whip not house republicans like a machine matt gates
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happy election day everyone welcome to hot takes i'm congressman matt gates let's talk about the
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news and the news today is the voting that is occurring to choose our next president i think
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one of the best hot takes came from president trump's campaign manager my good friend bill
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stepian and bill walks through some specific data on what has to be done today by the president's
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supporters to re-elect him so i'm going to read this thread from bill stepian you can check it out
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we'll put it out on social media too he writes so there's been a lot of bluster from pollsters and
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pundits about what we should expect president trump has the momentum in this race and the math available
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for him to win on election day president trump is ahead of where he was in 2016 by a very key
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measure it's the measure that actually matters votes cast and votes left to be cast you've been
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seeing reports of democrats being nervous and well they should be let's start with ohio where joe biden
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is wasting a few hours weeks ago the partisan makeup of the electorate was d plus 10 today it's d plus
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0.6 going into election day in 2016 the gap was d plus 2.5 president trump has a projected election
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day votes cast margin of over 400 000 net votes president trump's also been campaigning hard in
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north carolina democrats jumped out to a d plus 32 advantage during absentee only voting today that
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number is d plus 5.8 going into election day in 2016 the gap was d plus 9.7 president trump has a
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projected election day votes cast margin of over 400 000 net votes in north carolina as well president
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trump and biden are also both counting on pennsylvania the dems have banked a ton of high propensity voters
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we have millions of voters left president trump's election day margin needs to be significant and we
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project an election day votes cast margin of over a million for president trump so so think about that
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just for a moment there in pennsylvania i think it's where we've got some of the most work left to do
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because our margin there is expected to be over a million on election day in those other states we
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mentioned you know 400 000 300 000 500 000 is more of the range so really need a big effort out of
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pennsylvania we've also been campaigning hard in arizona weeks ago the makeup of the electorate there
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was d plus 11.9 today it's d plus 1.2 going into election day in 2016 the gap was d plus 2.5 president
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trump has an election day votes cast margin expected to be about 150 000 there and that brings
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us to florida where i don't need to look at the steppian tweet because i've got my own vote tracker
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my own algorithm that goes in and scrapes from the supervisors of elections that report now this isn't
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entirely accurate because there are some counties like for example bay county de soto county hardy
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county jefferson county madison county seminole county union county miami-dade county and sarasota
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county county that are not included in this uh only miami-dade there is projected to be a big blue
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county uh actually do i have the orange no i don't have the orange county numbers too and that'll be a
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big blue county but as we sit right now uh democrats as at the time of recording have a 548 vote margin
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on votes cast that will disappear in a matter of moments by the time this podcast is posted there will
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be far more republicans than democrats who have voted in the state of florida so the math is fun
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and exciting for predictions but we all know that the next several hours are going to decide this thing
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they're going to decide the kind of country that we're going to have and as i see our nation's capital
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boarded up in plywood shut down i'm reminded that they aren't doing that out of fear that trump
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supporters are going to do something devious or destructive or evil it's the party of love and
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tolerance the democratic party that uh folks are worried will riot and burn uh and engage in really
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un-american behavior if the president is re-elected i hope he's going to be re-elected and the math says
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it's quite possible zero hedge.com gives us the report of activations of national guard throughout
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the country national guard troops have arrived in multiple u.s cities ahead of election night
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potential chaos in preparation for any emergencies including social unrest following the election
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results tuesday night the national guard has been deployed in several states fears of election night
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chaos have gripped state governments for the last month forcing governor charlie baker of massachusetts
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on monday to activate a thousand massachusetts national guard members and in oregon governor kate brown
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for the second time in two months has declared a state of emergency for the portland metro area
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citing potential social unrest surrounding the election governors have also mobilized guard forces in
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texas alabama and arizona also in major cities elsewhere so we hope that this is not a feature of
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modern day elections we should not have violence no matter who wins but we should have a fair vote
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a fairly counted vote and a vote that is determinable and not one that relies on counting ballots
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a week two three after the election we're better than that and we're better than a country
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that would do harm to our fellow americans to our property to our businesses and to our cities
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whether president trump is re-elected today or not and i hope he will be i think many historians will
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analyze the conditions that brought such a non-conventional person to the highest political office in our land
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and tucker carlson last night i thought had very insightful analysis a searing hot take on what
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the donald trump presidency means regarding the perception of the american people of the political
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elite take a listen to tucker millions of americans sincerely love donald trump they love him in spite of
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everything they've heard they love him often in spite of himself they're not deluded they know exactly who
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trump is they love him anyway they love donald trump because no one else loves them the country they
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built the country their ancestors fought for over hundreds of years has left them to die in their
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unfashionable little towns mocked and despised by the sneering halfwits with finance degrees but no actual
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skills who seem to run everything all of a sudden whatever donald trump's faults he is better than the
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rest of the people in charge at least he doesn't hate them for their weakness donald trump in other
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words is and has always been a living indictment of the people who run this country that was true
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four years ago when trump came out of nowhere to win the presidency and it's every bit as true right now
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maybe even more true than it's ever been and it will remain true regardless of whether donald trump
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wins re-election trump rose because they failed it's as simple as that if the people in charge had
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done a halfway decent job with the country they inherited if they cared about anything other than
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themselves even for just a moment donald trump would still be hosting celebrity apprentice but they didn't
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instead they were incompetent and narcissistic and cruel and relentlessly dishonest they wrecked what
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they didn't build they lied about it they hurt anyone who told the truth about what they were doing
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that's true we watched america is still a great country the best in the world but our ruling class
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is disgusting a vote for trump is a vote against them
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on this a bit of a tense election day i would say we all need a good florida man story the new york
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post has one for us from hannah frishberg florida man catches thousand pound alligator after it stalked
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him for years and the story is of cory capps who lives in bluntstown florida which is really only about
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an hour and a half down the road east of where i live and he talks about this thousand pound alligator
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whenever he would go fishing in the apalachicola river he felt that the alligator would stalk him
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and he's quoted as saying three different times in the last two months i've been back there fishing
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and he stalked me so me and him something was going to give between the two of us cory saw the
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gator lounging and sunning on the beach he got a buddy and a john boat and harpooned the gator it
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actually ended up taking him quite a bit of time to load the gator up it ended up being 1008 pounds
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and 13 feet long now it's not a florida record the florida fish and wildlife commission says that the
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record is 14 feet 3.5 inches long weighing 1043 pounds but what's interesting about this is that i bet
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you that that record gator that was you know just a few pounds more than than the stalking gator in
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this case was captured way further south in florida bluntstown the apalachicola river that's in north
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florida where when we get alligators but we usually don't get the thousand pounders they usually require
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warmer weather to get to that size down in the florida everglades so looks like the swamps of north
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florida are getting a bigger breed of gator a bigger size gator and i'm glad cory caps was there to
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reuters has the story of the trump impact on interpersonal family relationships you are no
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longer my mother a divided america will struggle to heal after the trump era the piece by tim reed
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gabriella border and michael martina when a lifelong democrat myra gomez told her 21 year old son five
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months ago that she was voting for donald trump in tuesday's presidential election he cut her out of
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his life he specifically told me you are no longer my mother because you are voting for trump gomez 41 a
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personal care worker in milwaukee uh their last conversation was so bitter that she's not sure they
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can ever reconcile even if trump loses re-election quote the damage is done in people's minds trump
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is a monster it's sad there are people not talking to me anymore and i'm not sure that will change said
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gomez who is a fan of trump's crackdown on illegal immigration and handling of the economy i think that
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we've got to be friends with republicans democrats independents we should still love one another we are
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each other's fellow americans and i think it's critically important particularly within a family
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that you don't allow politics to impair what would otherwise be productive love and care and nurturing
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of one another i hope no matter how this election goes that we can be caring and accepting and
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understanding of one another but there are a lot of people like mrs gomez who feel like they can't go out
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there and fly their maga flag at full mast because they'll be ridiculed by family co-workers people
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that they interact with socially and frankly the hate that i take from the mainstream media from the
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democrats it's probably you know about the maximum amount of hate other than that which is directed at
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the president and his family i'm probably right there in that next tier and i think a lot of people
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look at that and say well you know i can't take on that hate in my life because of my family or what i do but
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matt gates takes on that hate and he goes and fights for the president and the country i think that
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creates a very special relationship between me and the maga nation it's a relationship that i believe
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will endure no matter what the result is of this election but then again i think that for us to truly
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come together it takes two willing entities i mean if president trump is re-elected are the democrats
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going to try to impeach him again are they going to try to delegitimize his victory again or will we
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actually work together get an infrastructure bill continue to drive the economic conditions that will
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make our fellow americans more prosperous and more successful and richer and throughout the world will
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america be the best version of itself rather than being the world's piggy bank and the world's policeman
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that's what it means to put america first and it's the reason i'm putting donald trump first on my ballot
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horror and death in vienna the result of radical islamic terrorism we pick up the story from bbc
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vienna shooting austria hunts suspected suspects after the islamist terrorist attack a gunman was shot
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dead and has been identified as a 20 year old who was released early from jail in december two men and
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two women died of wounds after a gunman opened fire at six locations in the city center on monday
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evening 22 people were wounded austrian chancellor sebastian curse says four the four who died were
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an elderly woman an elderly man a young male passerby and a waitress witnesses have described how
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the gunmen had opened fire on people outside of bars and chased them as they fled and look in
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the era of coronavirus where people already are a bit on edge and concerned when they're in social
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settings certainly this type of political violence this type of terrorism that we see from radical islamic
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extremists only further erodes the connectivity that we would have with one another so we're certainly
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hopeful that other gunmen are apprehended and brought to justice
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on a day when americans are voting and making choices not just on the president but ballot initiatives
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sometimes it's interesting to look around the world and see how other countries have resolved
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ballot questions on policy we picked this story up from rnz.com from new zealand where the political
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story is that they recently had a referendum where they voted to legalize euthanasia but not cannabis
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that's sort of a strange split 65.2 percent voting in favor of legalization for euthanasia but 53.1
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voting no against legalization of recreational cannabis you can i guess kill yourself under a euthanasia
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doctrine but you can't reduce the desire to kill yourself by reducing the pain very strange that
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that would be how the vote would come out i would like to think that in the united states maybe it
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would come out differently thanks for listening to hot takes i'm congressman matt gates we'll be here
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tomorrow breaking down the results seeing what position we find ourselves in regarding the counting
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and the result and certainly on such an exciting day you'll want to be here for all the hot takes