00:04:00.080Yeah, well, that'll clear out the nasal passages as well.
00:04:03.500Now, I hope we are all not needing, you know, stomach medication after these midterms.
00:04:10.260We probably need the anxiety medication right now.
00:04:13.280And we have teased, chastised and criticized our good friend David for the hopium that he has pumped into our expectations around these midterms.
00:04:24.420But I've got to be honest with you, Pearson.
00:04:26.300I'm kind of starting to come around to the idea that this might be better than a lot of the pundits have expected.
00:04:34.360First, I'm telling you, well, it's not spreading as good as some of the negative ads that I've seen against James Tallarico and Abdul Al-Sayed.
00:04:42.300And I think that is where we're finally hitting our stride.
00:04:45.480I think that Republicans are doing exactly what Pearson Sharp suggested weeks ago on
00:04:51.740this very platform, when he said, you have to make the election a referendum on these0.93
00:05:10.680Pearson, do you get any sense, as I do, that some Republicans are waking up to how dangerous
00:05:16.380these Democrats are and they're coming home? I certainly hope so, Matt. I'm still pretty
00:05:22.120disappointed with how things have gone. And I think a lot of Republicans have a lot of genuine
00:05:27.120grievances. But as I've said, as we've discussed in the show, whatever the Republicans haven't done
00:05:34.820this time is not nearly as bad as what the islamic democrats are going to do when they get in i mean0.77
00:05:43.320they've told us 100 what was adam shift just said there's going to be impeachments you know when he
00:05:48.380get in and he led the last one so he should know um but the problem is not to dampen the optimism
00:05:55.220you know trump's depending on where you look trump's approval rating is 32 or 39 that's right
00:06:01.540where george bush was in 2006 and just below obama in 2014 and they both got their butts handed to
00:06:09.040them in the midterms they lost huge in those midterms so we could be looking at losing 20 30
00:06:14.700seats in the house and maybe two or three seats in the senate that could easily happen the thing is
00:06:21.160we don't know because polling is just like astonishingly astonishingly unreliable you
00:06:27.860can't tell what's going to happen and fake and just make up numbers just pure and simple just
00:06:32.500make something up so we don't know what's going to happen with polling but we do know that
00:06:37.100republicans dominate on same day voting dominate the last the last one we saw was like 40 percent
00:06:43.940of republicans turn out on same day versus 20 percent of democrats so we can't account for that
00:06:49.160we don't know how it's going to go until it actually happens and so i'm i'm hopeful that
00:06:54.540we can turn this around, that Republicans can put aside their grievances, that we can hold
00:06:58.980the Democrats where we need them. And we can tell the Republicans, look, you failed the last two
00:07:04.720years, but you have to continue. We have to get them in there because if we don't, the country's
00:07:09.260gone. That's it. David, where do you, what are the states you think are really going to be the
00:07:16.940closest? Because under your optimistic theory, you know, kind of red states are going to behave0.68
00:07:21.880like red states. Ashley Moody's going to win in Florida. Darlene Graham's going to win in South1.00
00:07:26.440Carolina. Ken Paxton's going to win in Texas. And it might be some of these Midwestern states that
00:07:32.040are keeping us up late. Yeah. I mean, and that's the thing. A lot of our focus is on these states
00:07:36.920that are going to be flips for us, right? I mean, if El Saeed wins that race, that's not a flip. I
00:07:42.060mean, that's a Democrat seat. If we win that one, it's a flip. So the races that we're watching are
00:07:47.200really more of the Senate races and are the ones that we have a potential of winning. You know,
00:07:51.240I'm not tracking a lot of these Republican upsets.
00:07:54.420And you can look at the charts and they say, you know, lean red or toss up.
00:07:58.680And again, I'm not buying the polling.
00:08:00.980If you look at turnout, Republican turnout is on par to hold the seat.
00:08:06.060It just it really depends on Election Day, like Pearson saying.
00:08:08.360But if Republicans perform well on Election Day, I think we might be watching Fox News or CNN scratching their head saying, well, you know, I guess the polling suggests these were toss ups.
00:08:17.060and toss-up means it could go either way
00:08:58.620I mean, if you look at the polls, if you trust them at all, 60 percent of Republicans say they're not happy with how President Trump is.
00:09:03.520But it doesn't mean they're not voting.
00:09:04.740Being unhappy and not voting are way too different things.
00:09:06.620Well, no, I know, but those are grievances.
00:09:07.560Those are grievances from Republicans.
00:09:09.160Yeah, but everybody is always unhappy with whoever's in power.
00:09:13.500But the thing is, and the question is on election day, the thing we have to figure out is, are those grievances, as you mentioned, are those going to be the things to keep people home?
00:09:20.600I think the only people that stay home may be swing voters.
00:09:23.500But if swing voters stay home, as long as they don't show up for Democrats, Republicans still win in these places where Republicans have the majority.
00:09:29.560So, David, if we don't get this blue wave, David, if we don't get this blue wave that so many of the pundits have predicted, do you think it'll be a consequence of some of the bad candidate quality we've seen on the left?
00:09:42.480Well, yeah. And look, I think what it has to do with it's almost like a cocky football player getting ready to run into the end zone when they're up by like a touchdown.
00:09:51.600It's the last second of the game. And then they drop the ball to one yard line. And they're like, oh, no.
00:09:56.640You're like, what is that movie with the guy who wears the fake fake nose?
00:10:00.260Oh, you don't know. Anyway. But I think what's happening here is the Democrats were watching the fake news, consuming the fake news and assume that they were ahead with one second left on the clock.
00:10:10.780And I believe they're dropping the ball on the one yard line. We see Cenk putting out that ad, you know, about giving our money to bomb kids in Israel.
00:10:18.820I mean, I really think our bomb kids in Palestine is we're giving our money to Israel. You've seen that ad, the Al-Sahid ad.
00:10:24.380There's all these things that are happening right now. I think Democrats.
00:10:31.480Yeah, it was good for Republicans. You got to think.
00:10:33.060I wonder if that ad isn't a real effort by that campaign to try to link the war with people's economic grievances because that link isn't prescient in everyone's mind, right?
00:10:48.520If you're a Jew – and a lot of Democrats – I mean a lot of Jews are Democrats.
00:10:52.380And if you're a Jewish Democrat who kind of feels like maybe the party is kind of excluding you with a lot of the perceived anti-Semitic messaging, and then you see an ad like that supporting El Saeed, and you were like,
00:11:02.580yeah he's not getting my vote i don't think you're doing yourself any favors by alienating
00:11:08.460the margin of votes you need from jewish people who tend to vote liberal i just don't think that
00:11:13.380might be popular with like you know the swing voters those those middle of the road type folks
00:11:18.280who kind of you know the america first type people but i already told you suburbs that
00:11:23.100no that was an ad aimed at the suburbs right and frankly the mistake was he didn't have black people
00:11:28.040in the ad, because that's where Alcide's real problem is closing the deal with black
00:11:31.480voters. And that's why he brings in Obama. And it'll be really interesting to see whether0.93
00:11:36.360Obama as a closer will work now when it clearly failed in 2024. But Pearson, you talked about
00:11:43.100those grievances. And I think chief among them is the Senate's failure to pass the Save
00:11:48.580America Act and voter ID. So here in California, there is a citizen petition effort to try to
00:11:56.220get voter ID passed. One of the very best political ads of the cycle is in support of that. Take a
00:12:03.260listen. Hi there. Can I get your name? Sidney Sweeney. Very funny, sir. What's your real name?
00:12:10.620I'm Sidney Sweeney. Okay. Well, can I see your ID then, Sidney? Sharon, you can't ask for ID.
00:12:20.300Thank you for voting, Sidney. You bet.
00:12:26.220voter fraud what are you talking about ma'am you can't vote twice
00:12:32.180pearson i don't know if california will give us any wins but it certainly gives us some of
00:12:40.080the best ads what's your reaction i mean that's it you know what to say about that it spells it
00:12:47.420out clearly that's exactly the problem that is exactly something that could happen that literally
00:12:52.560could happen exactly as it played out in that ad.
00:13:47.040It's like with everything that we come up with, the Secretary of State gets to write the description.
00:13:51.340And you have low info voters who have no idea. And so, you know, whatever. They'll just let it go.
00:13:58.920David, at the end of that ad, you see you see the Sidney Sweeney actual archetype being hauled off in handcuffs, kind of as a joke.
00:14:07.120Right. That would never happen in California. They don't seem to care.
00:14:09.920But we did get troubling breaking news this week. James O'Keefe and Cam Higby, following their exposé in Minnesota, have been charged with felonies as a result of that journalism.
00:14:24.040We remember that James and Cam went and showcased how you could simply attest for other voters and submit their ballots, even when those other voters aren't present and actually intending to participate in that election.
00:14:38.520This is an attack on journalism. This is an attack on election integrity. And you know what? The pro the charging of Cam Higby and James O'Keefe is the same crap we see out of Minnesota, the same crap that resulted in fraud and waste and abuse.
00:14:55.160Because when people stood up and pointed out the problems, they were called racists. They were called bigots. David, as a fellow journalist, do you stand with our buddies Cam Higby and James O'Keefe?0.99
00:15:08.300Well, of course. I mean, I stand with journalists everywhere, except for the ones who look classified information that they shouldn't have and they know they shouldn't. But the thing is, this and this is why I'm so passionate about these midterms. This is why I'm so passionate when people are complaining about gas prices or whatever they're complaining about is I have to pause people and say, you've forgotten 2020 already. Look at just and I know we'll get to it. Look what happened in Brazil.
00:15:32.920Still, the ability of the left to label somebody a criminal and then the ability of the fake news media to pick up that narrative and run with it and cast somebody a criminal before they've even had their day in court, it takes away anybody's ability to even defend themselves from these allegations and delegitimizes any efforts they have even under the First Amendment.
00:15:51.120So what you're seeing here with Ken Higbee and James O'Keefe is just the beginning, by the way.
00:15:57.380You already saw the Stop Nick Shirley Act in California, jailing the press, jailing your political opponents, getting rid of your opposition.0.65
00:16:05.980This is what happens in Russia. This is what happens in Cuba. You get hung in Iran for this.
00:16:10.160Now it's what happens in Brazil. And it happens, not happened, will happen.
00:16:14.580It happened in the United States in 2020. It happened in 2016.
00:16:19.160It's going to happen again in 2026, and it's already happening before the election is even over.
00:16:24.300So when people sit back and they think, oh, it's okay, I'll just vote, or I won't vote because I'm upset, and it's okay, it's not okay.
00:16:34.380I'll vote for the Democrats because we have to punish the Republicans.
00:16:36.220That is the worst idea because what's going to happen is your ability to go out and actually call out some of this behavior is going to be stripped from you.
00:16:43.720You know, Matt, I'm posting all these social media clips about Flavio Bolsonaro and doing TikTok, and I'm on Instagram, and I'm thinking to myself, how much longer is it going to be before my next video about Flavio Bolsonaro fleeing to the United States gets flagged for misinformation and say he lost the 2026 election in Brazil, and this is misinformation?
00:17:03.220It won't be long now before James O'Keefe, Cam Higby, us will not be allowed to say the things that need to be said and exercise our First Amendment.
00:17:59.480And the reason we do that is we truly want to grow our coalition.
00:18:02.960We want people to wake up to what time it is in the United States of America.
00:18:07.380And so when you see James O'Keefe arrested for a felony, charged over this expose on something as important as voter I.D. and election integrity, does it accelerate our concerns about what's happening to a media landscape that has grown more powerful as it has become more decentralized?
00:18:29.980i mean yeah absolutely this is like i said we we saw this firsthand here at oan i saw it one of my
00:18:38.800reports got us censored on an online platform uh and we were banned for i forget the amount of time
00:18:47.340but we were demonetized and i mean everything we did it seemed like was grounds for misinformation
00:18:54.760defamation accusations. And that has not really stopped. Everybody says that woke is dead and,
00:19:00.480you know, Trump's resurgence has killed the radical left as far as that goes. It hasn't.
00:19:05.680It's just, you know, kind of gone a little bit dormant. It's not quite as loud as it used to be.
00:19:09.900They're just waiting for the opportunity to take over. What we saw with James O'Keefe, I mean,
00:19:15.720in Minnesota, you had the secretary of state come out and give Somalians, she addressed Somalians
00:19:21.460specifically and gave them instructions on how to vote without ID and like was very clear and said
00:19:28.540what they could use and just like very directed on how Somalians could vote. Like, why would you0.50
00:19:32.880do that? All of this, all of this is aimed at overthrowing the elections. We're going to have
00:19:37.300another Brazil situation. We're going to have another Venezuela situation. This is a banana
00:19:41.760republic, you know? And I don't know how we fight that, honestly, because a lot of times it feels0.99
00:19:46.620like when you go to the polls, nothing changes. Like we'll vote and the same people get in
00:19:51.460regardless of how we vote. Bolsonaro was surging in popularity. And I don't want to jump too early
00:19:57.440into that topic. He was, he was dominating everything. No, let's just go right into it.
00:20:01.800Okay. I mean, he was dominating everything. Yeah, let's go right into it. Go ahead.
00:20:07.140Let's start with president Trump's reaction to the election in Brazil, and then we'll get into it.
00:20:12.480Bolsonaro's lost in Brazil. Any comment on that? Do you think the election was fair?
00:20:15.180Well, it looked terrible to me. I thought it was terrible. I didn't take sides, but it looked like another rigged election, frankly. I didn't take sides, but it was a terrible look for the world. It's another election. You know, elections have to be indisputable, and it looked very bad to me.
00:20:36.460Everything President Trump seemed to say there was accurate.
00:20:38.780But, Pearson, do you think President Trump should have taken sides in this election?
00:20:42.640And if he would have done so, could that have saved Bolsonaro?
00:20:45.900Or was this always cooked because Lula was always going to steal it?0.71
00:23:35.540So let me ask you this, David. Let me ask you this, because you've had some very interesting viral social media posts that I want to give you the chance to introduce.
00:23:43.240But were these Supreme Court justices ultimately protecting themselves?
00:23:48.980Because so much of the corruption in Brazil emerges out of the court, so much of the censorship, so much of the anti-Americanism.
00:23:57.300And there's a part of me that thinks that this wasn't Lula getting the court to do what he wanted.
00:24:04.420It was the court protecting their own interests.
00:24:08.180I'm so excited when we get our Merriweather Farm shipments in.
00:24:11.180you get a beautiful piece of ribeye look look at that marbling now i take it out of the package
00:24:16.340let it get down to room temperature all i've got on here is a little salt a little pepper
00:24:20.860and then a little avocado oil and then i've had my pan preheating with a little oil
00:24:25.420head to meriweatherfarms.com and enter promo code matt g for 15 off your first order no i i think
00:24:38.900this was lula getting his friend on because again it was randomly assigned to the the the um the
00:24:45.240judge the high court judge that was his friend his lawyer i mean they're in pictures together
00:24:49.860i mean they had a great just randomly assigned to him and it didn't go to the full court it went to
00:24:54.380this one guy it didn't even follow procedure but i will to your point alessandro de moreas he's
00:25:00.660probably the actual dictator of brazil because he's the one that's issuing all these indictments
00:25:05.460He's the one who's jailing Jair Bolsonaro.
00:25:08.400He's the one who he's the reason why Eduardo has to be exiled to the United States, along with other Brazilians and journalists.
00:25:15.380So, I mean, yeah, I think the court has a lot to play in this as well.0.86
00:25:21.660Walk us through some of your posts on social media that have gotten a lot of attention from Brazilians and really global election observers.
00:25:29.080I mean, I'm just laying out the facts the way they are.
00:25:31.280I mean, the Brazilians, the Brazilian people are desperate.
00:25:33.420I mean, they voted in 2022 to re-elect Jair Bolsonaro.
00:34:05.940South America. I'm playing it in my head.
00:34:07.560I got it. And by the way, not for nothing, but the Ecuadorians are actually taking the fight to the drug cartels, too, thanks to the very dynamic that you just described, the Don Roe Doctrine, our efforts to build up our partner allies.
00:34:20.660But here, Pearson, there is something more than just the kinetic shots of bullets at play.
00:34:28.820You have these gang leaders worshiping Satan.
00:34:31.820You have them performing voodoo rituals.
00:34:34.420And Bukele has combated that with a very definitive statement that God will be on the side of the Salvadorians in this battle as God was on the side of those who helped rid El Salvador of the MS-13 gangs.
00:34:48.220Now, it's important to note, MS-13 was a very different fighting force than the Haitian gangs.
00:37:26.400You just have a total mess. Do you think Bukele can do what Pearson described while at the same time limiting civilian casualties to the maximum extent possible?
00:37:37.100I think I think they I think they have an idea of who the people are that they need to target.
00:37:43.980You know, sometimes you just got to pluck the queen out of the hive and then the rest of the bees will fall in line.
00:37:49.120Keep in mind, I mean, some of these people are children wielding machetes.
00:37:52.100Well, again, like I said, all bees, all bees follow a queen. And once you eliminate the queen, the bees fall in line. And but I will say this, if the U.N. wasn't so committed to this, you know, the socialization of the West, this would be a perfect opportunity for the U.N. to actually do what the U.N. is supposed to do.
00:38:12.640I mean, this is on the border of a failed state where you could use peacekeeping troops to go in there and provide some security to the poor Haitian people.
00:38:19.940I mean, you have people there that are suffering.
00:38:21.620There's innocent people, as you just mentioned, that are living amongst this gang violence, desperate to get out of there.
00:38:34.360And there's a reason for that, obviously, because it doesn't meet what the U.N.'s agenda is.
00:38:38.540And I don't know if we even have to get to it today, if we have time to get to it today.
00:38:42.280But when you saw the Cuban delegation at the UN pointing their finger and screaming at our ambassador to the UN because he was pointing out the fact that the Cuban dictators have Rolexes in private islands while the rest of the people starve in darkness.0.59
00:38:54.560and be like, how dare you tell people the truth
00:40:10.040I think that Salvadorian success could showcase the futility of the U.N. component, just as the two of you were discussing.
00:40:20.780So here's the math on this. The UN put a billion dollars into the gang suppression force. The United States did. The United States gave the billion dollars. It went through the UN. And you know what they did? They went and got a bunch of Kenyans and Chadians and dropped off a bunch of African soldiers in Haiti. And they didn't do a lick to actually defeat the gangs.
00:40:44.740And so if by virtue of a binational agreement that El Salvador has with Haiti, if by virtue of that they are able to achieve success, it really gets back to David's original point.0.90
00:40:59.640The United States directly building up our allies to have capabilities and utility will do more for us than giving a billion dollars to the U.N. to go launder through a bunch of Kenyans.0.96
00:41:12.040That could be the real lesson here geopolitically.0.99
00:41:18.120I mean, why don't – and look, this is a radical suggestion.
00:41:22.940Why don't we just focus on our hemisphere and get out of the U.N. completely?
00:41:28.360Does the U.N. – honestly, does the U.N. do anything for us?
00:41:32.000Does helping European nations that hate us and then other nations that are a party to the U.N. come to our country in New York City, the Iranians, the Cubans and whoever, and just lecture us, the secretary generals of the U.N. lecturing us.
00:41:46.400How about we say, OK, U.N., good luck.
00:41:48.620Move this to like the Hague or something.
00:41:50.920And instead, our hemisphere is going to start our own United Nations.
00:41:55.980It's going to be called the Union of Western Nations.
00:41:58.900And together with our partners and allies in South America and Central America, we're going to fortify our hemisphere.0.93
00:42:05.300We're going to clean up our hemisphere.0.98
00:42:06.900And when they're screaming and crying that France is being looted by socialists, we're going to say, yeah, that really sucks.0.96
00:42:13.340Do you remember when we were all together and fighting off those socialists and you opened your borders to them?0.94
00:46:03.580And this is why the future of war tech scares me always.
00:46:06.300I mean, we've already seen the lethality of drones and how affordably you can kill people now, where it used to require a lot of sophistication.
00:46:13.580Now you can have a little $300 drone with munitions on it, and it's proving quite effective in the Russia-Ukraine situation.
00:46:20.100But if you look at these directed energy weapons, what I don't like about these is not just can our government use them to stop bad people.
00:46:27.920I mean, this is what we always wish, right?
00:46:29.420Oh, government has it. It's fine. We're only going to use it for bad people.
00:49:23.100But I think you guys have pointed out that we should always be skeptical when the government develops new capabilities and we should assess what the additional cascading utility of those capabilities would be.
00:49:37.880Gentlemen, that brings us to the end of our time together, regrettably.
00:49:41.300But I guess I guess the next time we get together, we will be in the post midterm postmortem.
00:49:47.660So either we will be toasting David Pollock for being the great vanguard of optimism and the brilliant future predictor in all of this, or we will have Pearson Sharp lead us in crying in our own beer.
00:50:05.000But one way or the other, we're going to have a lot to talk about next week.
00:50:08.120Thanks so much to all of you for joining us on Anchorman.