00:00:18.000So here is the deal that is Jordan Klepper of Comedy Central mocking Texans for not believing that God is non binary.
00:00:27.000The coastal elites have literally no idea how to interact with people who actually believe in God.
00:00:32.000Who think outside their frame on the universe.0.98
00:00:35.000In fact, one might say that they are penises about it.
00:00:37.000And this is why, despite the polls, Republicans may be in a better position than you think.
00:00:50.000So, the Daily Show deployed Jordan Klepper, who is a pseudo comedian, to Texas to talk with Paxton voters and defend the James Tallarico God is non binary line.0.98
00:01:00.000Now, even Tallarico has walked away from that line because Tallarico realizes it's a stupid thing to say.0.96
00:01:06.000Again, claiming that God does not have a human sex is a different thing from saying that God is non binary.0.90
00:01:11.000Non binary is a description used for people who actually are sexed, meaning a man who believes that he is neither man nor woman, or a woman who believes that she is neither male nor female.
00:01:22.000That is what non binary means in human terms.
00:01:24.000To use that sort of language to describe God is to commit a massive category error and to essentially give the go ahead to the ridiculous idea that human beings can be non binary.
00:01:36.000That is why James Tallarico did it in the first place.
00:01:38.000But Jordan Klepper decides that he is going to go mock a bunch of Texans for not believing that God is non binary.
00:01:44.000And here's what it sounded like I don't like Tallarico.
00:02:32.000Okay, again, this is because Jordan Cleppard does not understand how religious people describe God.
00:02:38.000There are a bunch of human descriptors that do not apply to God.
00:02:41.000When you say that God is powerful, you don't mean that God is bodybuilding in the gym.
00:02:46.000And when you say that God has no sex, you don't mean that he is a person with a sex who will not describe himself as a male, for example, which is what non binary means.
00:02:57.000And mocking people who understand what God is supposed to be in the Bible is a hell of a way to try and drive Texans to vote for James.
00:03:04.000Again, even Tallarico is running away from this.0.99
00:03:08.000But here is Klepper making penis jokes about God.0.99
00:03:11.000Great way of driving people to Tallarico.0.99
00:03:14.000Just an amazing way of doing this.0.98
00:04:33.000But If you're even speaking beyond that, if you're citing the Old Testament, the descriptions of God as male in the Old Testament are because there are certain attributes that are more male, like, for example, justice, and there are certain attributes that are more female.
00:04:45.000So, for example, what would be called in Hebrew, rachimim, which comes from the same root as womb, because the sort of sensation of mercy and compassion tends to be a more female attribute.
00:04:56.000None of this lines up with non binary.
00:04:59.000But here's the thing James Tallarico agrees with Jordan Clepper.
00:05:02.000He's a coastal elite in his views of morality and the Bible.
00:05:05.000His version of the Bible bears literally no resemblance to the version believed in and practiced by most Texans.
00:05:11.000Here is one Hispanic Trump supporter explaining why he is not a Tallarico fan.
00:05:17.000What I don't like about Tallarico is that he's for the trans, the mutilation of young kids, defunding the police, and so on.
00:05:32.000And there has to be law and order in this state, in this country.1.00
00:05:40.000Okay, so that is why most people are not in favor of Tallarico, I think, in Texas.
00:05:46.000It's why I think Tallarico is still running an uphill race.
00:05:48.000Ken Paxton, by the way, who's the Republican opponent of Tallarico, He announced that there would be a move toward a detransition clinic establishment in Texas Children's Hospital.
00:05:59.000It would be a multidisciplinary clinic that provides medical care to patients who previously underwent gender transition interventions.
00:06:07.000Again, this is something that Paxton is announcing.
00:06:09.000It offers detransition related medical care to patients through age 21, along with detransition related obstetric and gynecologic care to patients older than 21.
00:06:19.000So that is much more in line with what Texans believe about, say, biological sex than what James Tallarico says.
00:06:26.000And James Tellurico is far to the left on pretty much all the issues.
00:06:30.000This is why one of the things that you are seeing in the polling data and also in the prediction markets, you're seeing Tellurico, who is up, as we'll get to, in the polling data, in the prediction markets.
00:06:41.000Prediction markets restricted to people who actually live in Texas actually favor Paxton right now.
00:06:47.000It's the prediction markets that include national audiences in like California and New York that say that Tellurico is going to win.
00:06:53.000It'll be fascinating to see how this thing actually turns out.
00:06:56.000But Tellurico is disconnected from the generalized values of Texas.
00:07:00.000It's a bad enough candidate that Tala Rico is able to vault over the finish line.
00:07:03.000But these policies are not in line with what Texans believe.
00:07:07.000In a case that someone crosses over illegally here, doesn't really apply for asylum or can find that legal status here, what comes next?
00:07:16.000Well, we have to hire more immigration judges so that we can process these asylum claims and weed out fraudulent ones.
00:07:24.000Okay, so he just wants to keep the vast majority here because how exactly does he plan on doing any of that?0.59
00:07:30.000Meanwhile, Tala Rico, who has poured extraordinary gobs of money into his own race, And other people have from the coast poured gobs of money into that race.
00:07:38.000He is out there trying to rip on Elon Musk for spending a lot of money in Texas.
00:07:43.000Well, the reason that Elon Musk is spending a lot of money in Texas is not just because Tarafab is going to be built in Texas, but also because James Tellerico is spending an awful lot of money in Texas.
00:07:51.000Here is Tellerico going after Elon Musk.
00:09:13.000So if you're talking about money in politics, Democrats are dumping it in.
00:09:17.000President Trump is going after Tala Rico in Texas on the basis of his policies.0.99
00:09:21.000He says, get rid of the guns, get rid of the oil, get rid of the meat, but transgender mutilization of your children and open borders are okay.0.89
00:09:27.000This is what Tala Rico stands for, and this is where he's going to help take Texas if he wins, which he won't.1.00
00:09:32.000Ken Paxton is the greatest attorney general in Texas history.
00:09:36.000Okay, so this takes us to where we currently stand in the midterms.
00:09:40.000And you should go check out the Daily Wire's election hub because it is an extraordinary tool.
00:09:44.000We're using the same pollsters as real clear polling, and the way that we actually do Our poll averages is we use a weighted average of the past two to three months of polls per race, and polls lose half their weight each week.
00:09:54.000So the recent polls count a lot more than a lot of the earlier polls.
00:09:58.000Polls that are within five points, poll averages are classified as a toss up on our map.
00:10:02.000You know, Democrats in Texas, they say that God is apparently non-binary and that it's time to trans the kids.
00:10:07.000None of that sounds, you know, medically good.
00:10:10.000It doesn't sound great, but I'll tell you what is.
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00:11:44.000Head on over to helixsleep.comslash Ben for 20% off store wide during Helix's fall sales event.
00:11:49.000Again, that's helixsleep.comslash Ben for 20% off store wide.
00:11:53.000I've been talking about Helix Sleep for years.
00:12:07.000So if you take a look at the midterm website that we have put up, our election wire, which is a great tool, it is a great way to access all the information that you need.
00:12:16.000Take a look, for example, at Texas, since we're talking about Texas.
00:12:19.000You click into Texas, and what you see is that James Tellerico in this polling average has a 3.6 percentage point lead.
00:12:30.000Kalshi, by the way, one of our sponsors and friends, says that Tellerico has 65% odds of winning that seat.
00:12:38.000But I went back and I actually looked, and it turns out that if you have 65% odds in a calci political market in a Senate race, well, you know, it's not certainly guaranteed that you're going to win that seat.
00:12:51.000Again, there's a sort of recursive loop that happens between the polling and some of the prediction markets, back to the polling, back to the prediction markets.
00:12:58.000And so you can have a sort of overenthusiastic response to current polling data.
00:13:03.000The real question in Texas, as always, is going to be do Texas Republicans actually show up?
00:15:47.000The polls say this thing is like dead even basically going into the midterms in the Senate.
00:15:54.000There is almost no connection between who are the candidates who are everywhere, you know, on social media and my feeds and who are the candidates who are doing practically well or poorly, at least in polls.
00:16:06.000Yeah, look, some candidates have different incentives if you want to run for president in 2028 and you probably want a somewhat higher profile potentially.
00:16:13.000I think in a case like Talarico or El Sayed, they kind of inescapably feel that they're going to get the maximum amount of attention anyway.
00:16:24.000But look, there's something to be said for kind of keeping a lower profile, too.0.72
00:16:35.000And what Nate Silver is saying there is if you're a Democrat who's receiving all the attention, like, say, James Tallarico and Abdullah Syed, and for all the wrong reasons, that could really hurt you in a race.
00:16:44.000Meanwhile, if you head on over to Iowa, where Josh Turek is running a pretty live race because he's basically running as a moderate Republican, maybe he has a better shot.
00:16:53.000It'll be interesting to see how all of this charts out.
00:16:55.000Now, one of the things to remember about the Senate, it's a very small sample size.
00:16:59.000The number of actual battleground states in this senatorial election.
00:17:06.000It could theoretically expand it out to maybe Minnesota or New Hampshire, but it's a pretty small number of races.
00:17:12.000That sample size means that things could go any which way.
00:17:15.000That is not true when it comes to the House.
00:17:18.000And right now, the House polling shows a lot of vulnerable seats for the Republicans.
00:17:23.000The Real Clear Politics average, 2026 generic congressional vote, shows Democrats with a heavy, heavy advantage.
00:17:29.000The heavy advantage has been evident since basically the middle of the summer.
00:17:34.000Currently, they have probably an eight point advantage on the Republicans in the generic congressional vote.
00:17:40.000Now, again, if they're off by four points, then a bunch of seats that would have gone Democrat will not.
00:17:44.000Now, again, right now, the GOP currently holds 218 seats in the House, an incredibly narrow majority that Mike Johnson has done an excellent job of cobbling together in terms of being able to get things done.
00:17:55.000The Real Clear Politics polling average has Dems picking up some 25 House seats, maybe 26 toss up races total.
00:18:02.000So it means they would pick up nearly all of the toss up races.
00:18:06.000And toss ups that we ought to go through just so you know what to look for next week in the election.
00:18:11.000Pennsylvania's first district, Bucks County, has Brian Fitzpatrick, the Republican incumbent versus Bob Harvey.
00:18:17.000Now, again, it'll be interesting to see how that one stacks up.
00:18:22.000Meanwhile, Maine's second district, that's rural Maine, it's an open seat of Paul LePage, Republican versus Matt Dunlop, the Democrat.
00:18:29.000Right now, LePage is favored slightly to win there.
00:18:31.000Trump won that district by nine points in 2024.
00:18:35.000And some of the early districts, On the East Coast, are going to show you exactly how far people are willing to stray from their Trump prior.
00:18:41.000So, if it was a heavily Trump district in 2024 and it shifts 11, 12, 13 points, it'll be a very good night for Democrats.
00:18:48.000If it was a Trump plus 10 and the Republican wins by five, that doesn't tell you a whole hell of a lot.
00:18:53.000One of the early districts that's going to come open is Kentucky six.
00:20:04.000That's a Democratic incumbent versus Myra Flores, the Republican.
00:20:08.000It leans Democrat, but it's a redrawn district that voted for Trump plus 10.
00:20:14.000So, that redistricting was largely based on the notion that this Vannik vote had moved heavily in Trump's favor.
00:20:19.000If that moves away, and if Republicans then lose some of these redistricts that were drawn, like Texas 34 or Texas 35, well, then that's going to be a bad night for Republicans and portends some problems for 2028.
00:20:33.000Because as you look forward past this current congressional election and toward the presidential election in 2028, you start to think about what happens if that Republican percentage of the vote shifts.
00:20:44.000From the high 40s all the way down into the low 30s, for example.
00:20:48.000And then you have a real problem on your hands.
00:20:51.000There are a couple of other districts that are worth discussing.0.97
00:20:54.000White working class, non college educated districts, like the Ohio Ninth in Toledo.
00:20:59.000The incumbent there is a Democrat named Marcy Kaptor.
00:21:04.000It leans Democrat, but it is a rematch, very, very narrow rematch.
00:21:09.000The district is redrawn to favor Republicans.
00:21:11.000Trump won that district, the new district, by 6.7 points in 2024.
00:21:16.000So if the Democrat wins that district, That'd be an indicator that even working class voters are moving toward the Democrats, or a lot of Republican working class voters are staying home.
00:21:25.000Similarly, the Pennsylvania 8th, which is Scranton Wilkes-Barre, that is Rob Bresnahan, Republican incumbent, versus Paige Cognetti, Democrat.
00:23:12.000And don't be taken in by all of the push polling or the general media narrative that if a candidate is up two points in a margin of error race where the margin of error is four points, that means that this thing is over.
00:23:37.000Well, you know, if you think so, head on over to dailywire.comslash subscribe to watch the full show ad free, or check out this crazy story here.
00:24:32.000You sit there and shake because you're dependent on drink.