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00:02:28.000Anyway, so Spencer Pratt comes out with a big new video.
00:02:31.000It's one of those like 10 minute videos that Spencer Pratt and he's monologuing to the camera.
00:02:35.000It's kind of like, you know, it'd be like when Tucker would do his monologue for 10, 15 minutes on Fox, but it's even more produced and it's very.
00:02:44.000And he enters the fray because he is very upset, as many of you are, as we are, about this unhinged, let's just call it TikTok brain, therapy brain, whatever it is, of women getting behind Lindsey Clancy, raising over a million dollars for him, doing the hearts, the solidarity hearts for a woman that strangled three of her children in cold blood and then tried to commit suicide jumping out of a second story window or whatever.
00:03:13.000It gets paralyzed from the waist down.
00:03:17.000I happen to think there's, I would say, foreign actors or maybe domestic actors nudging and pushing this stuff, amplifying it, but there's a lot of crazy out there.
00:03:26.000So a lot of this is really organic and we have to come to grips with that.
00:03:29.000And so this was his video trying to come to grips with that.
00:03:33.000And he made a point that I also made about how Hollywood has been celebrating villains and anti heroes.
00:03:40.000And then TikTok has, and it's not just TikTok, it's Instagram, it's all the social medias that have come.
00:03:46.000Created these little echo chambers, these algorithmic silos of people that are getting fed disinformation at rapid clips and they don't have enough common sense to process it.
00:04:17.000Breaking Bad was so brilliant, but it made us cheer on a narcissistic, murderous, criminal, drug kingpin who destroyed his family over money.
00:04:24.000When Tim Burton did Batman, the Joker was a lunatic.
00:04:27.000But now the Joker gets his own movie where he's the hero, and the climax of the film is him murdering the orderlies at the asylum.
00:04:34.000The arts dogwalked us here over decades with films and television that inverted the paradigm of normal virtue.
00:04:40.000Cops are the bad guys, outlaws are the heroes, and man, do you see that manifesting in reality today.
00:04:46.000Yeah, and it's a very Hollywood themed story.
00:06:09.000What about all the goblins celebrating the communists who shot Charlie Kirk?
00:06:13.000You have insane influencers making a fortune off shamelessly exploiting his death, tying themselves in knots with the most convoluted Rube Goldberg bullshit explanations to try and deny something we all saw in 4K and wish we didn't.
00:06:46.000Anything but the most obvious, straightforward explanation.
00:06:49.000The woke communists you saw on camera who have prints on the rifle killed an anti communist leader because communists are violent lunatics.
00:06:56.000We have a communist violence problem, but psychos on the internet have made an entire cottage industry around denying and exploiting it.
00:07:04.000I just want to like slow clap because he hits the nail on the head, and it's so refreshing if you sit in this chair, if you sit in yours, to hear somebody with a large platform.
00:07:18.000A large platform, and let's be blunt, a good flair for presentation and in a way that can make it viral, that can really make it punch through for a lot of people who maybe don't just watch, they're not going to watch a four hour podcast dissecting it.
00:07:34.000They're not going to watch all of those videos on YouTube.
00:07:36.000Some of them will get won over by Charismatic Mayor.
00:08:36.000This whole thing, and you know, we find ourselves, Blake, as fate would have it, at the very nexus of these different ideologies that are starting to shape the online discourse, where left and right is a dated paradigm, and we're all just uniting against the oppressors, and we're the oppressed.
00:08:54.000And yeah, we're gonna be ghouls on the internet, celebrate with Hassan Piker, you know, cheering on Charlie's murder.
00:09:03.000The inversion of morality is truly gross.
00:09:07.000And I do believe that it is the result of a mass demoralization campaign.
00:09:11.000And they want to make everybody out there, people in this audience, feel like they're taking crazy pills because up is now down, right is now left.
00:09:50.000And so Hassan Piker, who's now the mascot for the DSA, and he's out there endorsing all these people that want to ruin the country.
00:10:01.000He is, it's just like he's this treasure trove of old clips because he's been streaming for years and nobody really gave a crap.
00:10:08.000And now, because he's out there campaigning with people and they're accepting his endorsement, they're digging through all these old clips and finding all of this stuff.
00:10:16.000And this one was from 2018, and it's the newest one that came out.
00:10:21.000And it was after Charlie and he had this interaction at Politicon in Los Angeles in 2018.
00:10:27.000I was at that event, and he goes on to stream and he says this SOP 15.
00:10:44.000Takes on a kind of more intense meaning, doesn't it?
00:10:50.000So that was a clip that was unearthed, but it was following this over the weekend that really upset a lot of people, including yours truly and Blake.
00:11:01.000This is Hassan Piker on stage at a DSA gathering mocking Charlie and his death.
00:11:57.000So, it was made very shortly after the shooting.
00:12:00.000It's used a lot in online meme videos, meme culture.
00:12:06.000And so, he's basically singing it on stage.
00:12:10.000The song itself is not meant to mock Charlie, but people do use it that way.
00:12:14.000And he's singing it on stage to mock Charlie.
00:12:17.000We're 11 months after his death, almost one year.
00:12:19.000Yeah, and we've been telling you that the rise of left wing violence is a huge, huge problem.
00:12:24.000And what's happening now is a synergizing of people that you might interpret as being right wingers, of being on the political right in this country.
00:12:35.000But what is bringing them all together is a virulent hatred of Israel.
00:12:42.000Now, I am somebody that has very distinct opinions about Israel.
00:12:46.000I have my criticisms of the way they've done certain things, I have criticisms of our foreign policy.
00:12:53.000I am like Charlie and I am anti foreign interventions in Israel.
00:14:04.000He credits her with blunting the right's reaction to Charlie's murder.
00:14:11.000We had a mandate to go and cut off all these funding networks to really clamp down on this rise of left wing violence, Luigi Mangione, assassination culture.
00:14:20.000And he credits her with being able to blunt this movement and distract it.
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00:16:37.000Jeremy Carl joins us now, and we love Jeremy Carl, and he should have been in this administration, but unfortunately, it didn't happen, Jeremy.
00:16:46.000Author of The Unprotected Class and Senior Fellow, Claremont Institute.
00:17:18.000Found that it was a piece of graffiti, I think, somewhere in California, and uh, they sent that to me as a cover idea.
00:17:23.000I was like, Yeah, it looks great, let's uh, let's run all with it to give a tip of the hat to the publisher.
00:17:30.000Yeah, well, so, so here's what we want to talk about, and you know this, but there's a growing cadre of voices online that are saying things like the left right paradigm, it's dated, bro, and it that is a thing of the past.
00:18:16.000No, I think that there's a lot to that.
00:18:18.000I mean, I think it's very much this rising sloppulist right.
00:18:22.000That we kind of have out there that's sort of pushing a lot of this.
00:18:27.000I think some of the other folks are some of these podcast bros out there who maybe, you know, they were helpful in terms of Trump getting out his message in 2024, but now they're maybe having second thoughts and they're not sort of politically educated.
00:18:44.000And so they're very much going on vibes.
00:18:46.000And I mean, Andrew, I think you've done a really good job on X, sort of explaining, you know, just kind of listing all of these positions that.
00:18:54.000Folks on the left have that are just totally incompatible with any sort of conservatism or right wing position that anybody could espouse and saying, look, you know, these two things are not the same picture.
00:20:40.000That when he married Erica, he became the liberal member of that couple.
00:20:44.000So I think certainly, you know, Erica, Erica kind of continuing on in that tradition.
00:20:51.000And I'm sure, obviously, I know you guys and your background that aligns with you.
00:20:54.000Let me kind of try to paint where I think they're trying to go a little bit sympathetically so that we can redirect it somewhere that's a bit more useful.
00:21:02.000I think what they're really saying that isn't incorrect is they're seeing that there is an elite in both parties.
00:21:10.000That, even though there are, I mean, again, there's still such substantial differences that it's never unclear for me that I want to support the Republican, but there's a lot of pro amnesty GOP people, et cetera.
00:21:42.000But that doesn't mean that there's no difference between left and right.
00:21:46.000In fact, I have to say, as somebody who's been involved dating myself now in politics for more than three decades, I don't think it's ever been so big.
00:21:54.000I mean, when I was in college, it was like the early Bill Clinton era.
00:21:58.000And there really were a lot of conservative and moderate Democrats who you could work with tactically on certain things and even who might have had shared values.
00:22:08.000And now you've got the DSA basically running the Democratic Party.
00:22:12.000Meanwhile, the Trump administration, particularly behind the scenes, Is piling up conservative win after win from my perspective, even with my frustrations at times being noted.
00:22:22.000And to me, just the kind of notion that there's no difference between the parties and it's just a bunch of elites trying to play us off against each other, bro, is just not very convincing.
00:22:32.000Well, that whole paradigm, though, it's the elites versus the rest of us.
00:22:36.000And the elites are just going to drag us into Israel's wars.
00:22:39.000And you get the uniparty, and it's the same.
00:22:43.000We are in agreement with the first part of what you just said completely.
00:22:46.000We spend most of our time actually on this show attacking Republicans.
00:22:56.000The senator who shut down your nomination then turned around and tried to have his bill to have every state they can sponsor their own new wave of guest workers.
00:23:10.000And I mean, so if you're going to rail against the Uniparty, usually we're railing against liberals with a left wing perspective on policies, okay?
00:23:41.000So he wasn't fighting for this like fusion third way gobbledygook of, you know, sort of former right wingers slowly becoming leftists.
00:23:51.000No, he was fighting for a defined right wing worldview to be instituted in policy in government.
00:23:58.000And that's why he championed so many of the Of the leaders that he did, and that's why he pushed so many of the causes that he did.
00:24:03.000And that's what stands out so much to me about any of the, oh, let's, you know, let's unite.
00:24:08.000Left versus right is fake, is I never feel like this, there's never any payoff that I can see that's any of the issues I feel we care most about.
00:24:17.000We're going to unite with the left because do they agree with us on borders?
00:24:34.000So, say we find this third wayism and we unite, and again, I think my central premise, I'm not some rabid Zionist.
00:24:43.000The internet likes to say that we're Zio shills and all this stuff.
00:24:47.000That's not, I will tell you, the more that I see of these low IQ Israel juicebergs, as you call them, the more off putting I find it, actually, because it's just really gross.
00:25:13.000And I mean, Israel is certainly one of the flashpoint issues, right?
00:25:16.000And it's, and I mean, again, I've taken some heat at times for some skepticism, not like extreme skepticism about the way that we manage that relationship.
00:25:27.000But again, it's from what terms are you doing it?
00:25:30.000I'm coming from a perspective of I just want to make sure that America's interest.
00:25:34.000Is always being taken care of first, that America is strong, et cetera, et cetera.
00:25:39.000You know, these guys, as you said, they're sort of Jewspergs, or they don't really understand that a lot of the reason, not all of it, but a lot of the reason that a lot of the critics of Israel just completely monomaniacally excess about Israel is that it's a function of like, well, the Jews there, they're white, and this is about, you know, kind of being anti white.
00:25:59.000And what sort of common cause does a conservative American party have with that?
00:26:10.000They're against a lot of the things that make America great.
00:26:13.000And it may happen tactically that there's a tiny bit of a false horseshoe of, oh, they might happen to wind up in a similar place on some small issue with me.
00:26:26.000But the kind of underlying worldviews are just so incompatible that they're really just not people except in very, very rare circumstances that we can ever really work with.
00:26:35.000Yeah, and if you could find a one off issue here or there, you know, Matt Gaetz used to do that sometimes where he'd find a one off issue where he could link arms with like AOC or Ilhan Omar, but they were very, very niche things where, and I thought that was fine.
00:26:50.000But yes, like the overwhelming majority of the world views are completely incompatible, and you made the point that they have gotten further and further apart in the last two, three decades.
00:27:00.000So, Jeremy, we're getting rave reviews on your use of the term sloppulist.
00:27:06.000Which it feels really, it feels really apt.
00:27:10.000You know, I'm against labeling, like, okay, I'm actually against labeling the woke right stuff because it becomes, it kind of, it becomes like the term anti Semitism where you end up applying it to people that don't deserve to be.
00:27:22.000I mean, Charlie was called an anti Semite a bunch of times and we hated it.
00:27:26.000But I just will tell you, Sloppy List is pretty great because it does feel like it is completely ill informed and it's a misunderstanding of history, by the way.
00:27:38.000The radical left really does know no bounds and they will go as far as they need to go.
00:27:44.000And this is why you're seeing the rise of assassination culture, you're seeing the inversion of morality in the weirdest of ways, Jeremy.
00:27:50.000It's all tied in with Lindsey Clancy, it's tied in with Charlie Trutherism and this whole move.
00:27:57.000It seems to be the same actors time and time again.
00:28:01.000I mean, I think you hit on the really key element, which is that liberalism does not have a limiting principle.
00:28:07.000It's always the next step of liberation.
00:28:10.000And they can't just sort of take the win and go home.
00:28:13.000And that's why you see stuff like the trans thing.
00:28:16.000And the first time I saw liberals really kind of rallying around that issue, I was like, that's just so insane.
00:28:21.000You're never going to be able to convince normal people that that's good.
00:28:25.000And this may be the hill they die on, but they can't retreat from it because that would kind of imply that there's a natural endpoint.
00:28:33.000To their liberation, quote unquote, project, and they can't do that.
00:28:36.000And so, yes, and then it just goes down this conspiracy rat hole, et cetera.
00:28:40.000You know, you get into the Charlie Trutherism, you get into the kind of just most extreme sort of conspiracy theories out there, and you sort of see people going on toward this train wreck, and sometimes are a little bit powerless to stop it.
00:28:55.000But we're just wise as conservatives and folks on the right to stay as far away from it.
00:28:59.000This is the point I want to like hammer home with you.
00:29:02.000And you made the point, I think, brilliantly.
00:29:05.000We agree that the conservative establishment and many of our politicians we send in Washington, they betray our values, and you do get this kind of uniparty effect.
00:29:15.000And so, what we're doing is we're working our tails off to make sure that more of them are like Brandon Gill or whatever, insert a positive name there.
00:29:25.000We're trying to reform from the inside and make the whole party more conservative.
00:29:29.000So, we actually put wins up on the board.
00:29:39.000You can be upset about some of the decisions that have been made, but you cannot take away from the fact that what we are getting from a pure policy standpoint is vastly different than what we would have had we put, you know, Kamala Harris in the White House.
00:29:52.000Second point, we have been lied to about everything.
00:30:41.000And I think this has been one of the problems.
00:30:43.000I mean, obviously, the great thing about the kind of destruction of the sort of regime or quote unquote mainstream media has been that more voices like ours in this conversation can take place.
00:30:55.000And I think the danger, though, is that, you know, you get a lot of low quality stuff out there and you get a lot of people who can just sort of say whatever and there's no accountability.
00:31:05.000And so bringing that accountability, I think, is really important, demanding, Facts, demanding kind of standards of evidence.
00:31:13.000I mean, I think it's incumbent upon us to really push those things.
00:31:20.000But you go back to this, you go back to this administration again.
00:31:24.000For the people, again, I could obviously share my frustrations with certain things in this administration, but there's like even a million small things being done every day that this administration has done that I've been waiting for decades for it to happen.
00:31:39.000And anytime somebody says, oh, they're not doing anything, that is just a sign to me that they're not really serious people about politics.
00:31:48.000Because I've got a lot of friends in this administration.
00:32:00.000And I think about what you say, and it is genuinely important that we need some ability to call out people when they're lying, when they're using low standards, when they're not presenting evidence for things.
00:32:25.000Or they would say we should just trust in these big institutions, but we know those institutions have failed us in bad ways.
00:32:30.000So, do you have any ideas on how we can bring this about?
00:32:34.000Because I just think about what I've heard people say before.
00:32:37.000You can't have the answer of if everyone could just do X. Everyone has never just done X.
00:32:43.000I have a specific question in this vein.
00:32:45.000A lot of people, and by the way, Spencer Pratt talked about it too these algorithms feed and reward the most brazen, evidence free kind of crazy stuff.
00:33:00.000Do you take it on at the algorithm level with the companies, legislation?
00:33:04.000I mean, what are the ideas you would float?
00:33:06.000Yeah, I mean, maybe there's some things to be done in the algorithm.
00:33:10.000I'm a little nervous about legislation.
00:33:12.000I mean, the kind of New York Times versus Sullivan sort of standard people do say, you know, I think it's good that it's hard to get Bible convictions and things like that.
00:33:23.000On the other hand, I don't need to tell you guys this.
00:33:27.000The stuff that Candace Owens has been doing, you know, to me, like that sort of thing and other things in that vein or things where somebody just blatantly does obviously lie unrepentantly, you know, maybe you do need a greater degree of accountability.
00:33:42.000But I think sort of beyond that, conservatives, we can police our own institutions.
00:33:47.000We can call out people who are presenting things without evidence and presenting falsehoods and we can sort of derank them within our ecosystem.
00:33:57.000And I'm seeing some of that go on, but I just think, you know, we need to be doing that more.
00:34:01.000We need to To have higher standards as conservatives and just continue to move in that direction.
00:34:07.000Well, I think it's a fascinating conversation that, you know, somebody texted me last night, Jeremy, and said, Everything that you've lived through in the last year is so unprecedented.
00:34:18.000Like, all of this is history in the making.
00:34:21.000And it kind of feels sort of apt that this horseshoe is kind of coming, you know, I think it, I'm not sure if I'm a full ascriber to the horseshoe theory, right?
00:34:31.000But it's difficult at this point not to acknowledge that at some point, This does come full circle and they start parroting the same ideas or talking about this unity, this third way, which is really just leftism repackaged.
00:34:46.000And it just feels like a logical continuation of a very historical arc that we have been on over the last year.
00:34:53.000And we just have to keep fighting for sanity.
00:34:55.000And thank you, my friend, for being on Team Sanity.
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00:37:14.000So, yeah, no, and by the way, you came at it from a personal angle too, right?
00:37:19.000You talked about how your son and his future really kind of was a transforming moment for you, but you were all in.
00:37:26.000You were all in with these guys, and you worked with a lot of the names that people are seeing right now from El Syed and Bernie Sanders and AOC and the squad.
00:38:01.000And I haven't played it yet because I just, I almost don't want to subject our audience to it.
00:38:07.000But it's important to show hard things sometimes because I want people watching this show to understand what's actually going on here, what's like really, what they're willing to do in front of each other.
00:38:20.000And they do it with impunity, they do it with no shame.
00:38:23.000So I've decided we're going to show it.
00:41:35.000It was just, I was doing the prep work for it, you know, making the brief, like, here's what Hassan does in his debates and here's stuff to know about him.
00:41:43.000We were ready to go, and I think it's utterly revolting.
00:41:46.000Yeah, it's just, it's wild to me that you can get, you know, people look back and I don't use these.
00:41:52.000You could use any sort of revolution you want, whether it's the Bolsheviks, the French Revolution.
00:41:57.000But people talk about looking back at Nazi Germany and they wonder how did everybody kind of get whooped up into this collective psychosis to do these horrible things.
00:42:06.000But then you see this whole audience celebrating the assassination of a good man and cheering it on, whether it's Assam Piker doing it and everybody cheers or this drag show.
00:42:20.000And it starts making you wonder, like, oh, I see how history played out, I see how these movements.
00:42:26.000Gained traction and gathered steam, and people did insane things.
00:42:30.000Spencer Pratt, we've been playing some of his videos.
00:42:34.000He just released this this morning, Sod 18.
00:42:38.000Recently, a married mother of three young children was grappling with postpartum psychosis.
00:42:43.000She took her three young babies into the basement, lined them up, and one by one wrapped an exercise band around their neck and strangled them to death.
00:42:51.000And women on TikTok are supporting her.
00:44:03.000I mean, it was like they still believe this.
00:44:05.000Like they can't accept the fact that they've lost.
00:44:08.000But no, I think there's like, obviously, I think that there's this horseshoe thing going on right now with the left and the right with Israel conspiracies.
00:44:17.000You know, something that we're seeing.
00:44:19.000And it's interesting because I think that the new conspiracy actually on the left is that Hassan Piker is being attacked by the media and they don't understand why.
00:44:30.000And when I tried to talk to them about it, I'm like, you guys, he's campaigned with 10 different progressive candidates this cycle alone.
00:44:38.000When a controversial streamer who says and does the things that Hassan Piker does is campaigning with prominent politicians, like, Syed, who I used to work for, and people like Shoykat Shakrabarti and Cori Bush and all these people.
00:44:53.000Like, of course, the media is going to notice and they are going to be able to criticize that.
00:44:58.000I love this vein that Blake just took us down.
00:45:01.000This idea of like, what ideas, what crazy conspiracies are the left still entertaining?
00:45:07.000Because, and I've noticed this, you know, they say that a lie gets halfway around the world before the truth gets a chance to put on its pants or something along those lines.
00:45:18.000And it is one of those things because if you're in an algorithmic echo chamber, you keep hearing the lies repeated, repeated.
00:45:24.000I see this with the Charlie Kirk trutherism.
00:45:26.000The people that are really devoted to the conspiracy theory on that, they just have basic facts wrong constantly, but they're regurgitating them and spreading them over and over again.
00:45:51.000A lot of people that I worked around, I mean, we really did believe that the right wanted us, like, to die.
00:46:00.000Like, we really, I mean, it sounds like, it's ironic, obviously, like, I'm talking to you about this now here, right, in the context of the show.
00:46:09.000But I would just, I remember one time I actually, and I wrote about this in my book, I was at a candidate's home and he got this, like, cryptic letter in the mail, and I told the campaign manager about it.
00:46:24.000Of the campaign, and he actually sent me to the hospital.
00:46:48.000Like, and this is, and like the campaign operatives are so paranoid that they're like opening mail at the offices with gloves and, you know, like warning about, you know, thinking that they're.
00:47:00.000Campaign offices are going to be broken into, or that they're going to be.
00:47:03.000So there's just like this constant paranoia.
00:47:07.000I remember even after I went viral in 2024, one of the people that I used to work for, because I was worried because I was getting like kind of some death threats from people on the left, actually.
00:47:19.000And I wrote to, I was talking to one of my former candidates, and he was like, Oh, you don't need to worry about anybody on the left hurting you, Evan.
00:47:32.000The way that the left has looked at the right for a long time, when over the past, I mean, especially over the last few years, all of the political violence has literally come from the left.
00:47:43.000I mean, and so this is like something they haven't come to terms with.
00:47:48.000I mean, there's an interesting study that they've looked at this, and a real pattern is liberals tend to believe conservatives hate them much more than conservatives actually do.
00:48:00.000And the reverse, conservatives do not realize that liberals hate them as much as they do.
00:48:58.000They're so lucky that she's so honest.
00:49:00.000But you think you worry about the opposite the really thirsty guys who are just like, Yeah, it's really terrible what they're going to do to that woman who murdered her kids.
00:49:09.000You know, there's going to be some opportunists out there.
00:49:56.000I've already been consulting with some men in custody cases where their baby mama has been doing the solidarity, hold the heart thing with the Lindsey Clancy stuff.
00:50:07.000And he's like, hey, this woman's got all kinds of former depressive issues.
00:50:39.000I mean, honestly, if you are a woman that is posting in solidarity, going, same, Lindsay, same, while you're holding your child, and it turns out the backstory is that you're separated and your husband, you know, or your former.
00:50:53.000Husband, the baby's father doesn't have access to that kid or can't protect that kid.
00:54:55.000So, the part of the problem that exists in a lot of these places is that some polls are taking all of the gubernatorial candidates into account.
00:55:04.000Some are taking none, only just the Republican Democrat.
00:55:08.000In Arizona, we have a Green Party candidate on the ballot.
00:55:11.000That person has historically taken 2%, 3% of the vote away from the Democrats.
00:55:16.000You have an independent on the ballot this year.
00:55:42.000Apparently, the Democrats have been overestimated in six straight cycles nationwide.
00:55:48.000So the Democrats have been overestimated in six straight cycles, and it has been a qualified research process.
00:55:57.000Panel has put together all of the different polls, and they've been overestimated on average more than 5% in how these polls are being taken.
00:56:06.000So, what this comes down to, and what that's simple to say, is what this comes down to is a turnout race.
00:56:13.000In all of these swing districts, every single swing district, Republicans outnumber the Democrats as a whole.
00:56:21.000There are more registered Republicans in these swing districts than registered Democrats.
00:56:24.000You're talking about all the races you're watching, kind of thing.
00:56:26.000All the races for Congress, there are more Republicans than there are Democrats.
00:56:31.000In Arizona, Nevada, and New Hampshire, where we are doing our commit 100 again, tpaction.comslash 100, get signed up.
00:56:38.000We have more Republicans than Democrats.
00:56:40.000So, if Republicans just turn out the same percentage as Democrats, you will have in Arizona close to a between a potential three to five point advantage just in turnout.
00:56:54.000Now, you have again, you have independents, so then that brings in the independents.
00:56:58.000Are you going to lose, you know, three to five points on independents?
00:57:03.000We haven't, we're not seeing that in polls.
00:57:05.000Like, actually, in most polling that we're showing, and we're tracking this pretty closely the generic congressional ballot polling that the states, again, Andy Biggs in Arizona has only been down on average about four points, even with the overestimation of Democrats in those.
00:57:25.000There's a second thing that we're also seeing that that is happening in polling is that they're overestimating minorities showing up to vote, which is not traditionally a thing in midterms.
00:57:36.000And they're also overestimating young people by about five or six points.
00:57:41.000And so, one of the polls that we saw that was taken that had a wide gap in Arizona that was conducted by AARP actually had about a six point advantage for young people when we actually saw a huge suppression in this last primary across the country where young people are not showing up.
00:58:47.000So, there's a number of races that matter a whole lot in particular that young people in particular can get behind, but our senior voters have to show up.
00:59:02.000So, there's three ways that we can lose this election in swing states and swing districts.
00:59:08.000One is that seniors sit at home and they don't vote or they forget to vote.
00:59:12.000In most cases, when we talk contact voters, we have Hundreds and hundreds and hundreds of full time people out in these three states right now, when contact voters, they actually think that they voted in the last number of elections that they didn't vote in.
01:00:23.000Primary elections are also very confusing because they're different in every state, and the Democrats have intentionally made primaries more confusing.
01:00:29.000And, you know, case in point, Alaska with ranked choice voting and things like that, right?
01:00:34.000Is that things are now more confusing, and people, and you have top two primaries in California and other places, right?
01:00:41.000So people actually sometimes think that their vote had already counted by just voting in a primary election.
01:00:49.000The third thing is, there's people that just get busy and, you know, You just get busy on election day.
01:00:56.000Well, all that you're doing, though, here, Tyler, is you're building the case for why Commitment 100, why Chase the Vote is so important.
01:01:02.000Because a lot of these people, if you talk to them, they'll get their ballot in.
01:02:17.000So, and then we actually, if you come out to Arizona, Nevada, or New Hampshire, if you sign up early, we will actually provide you a hotel room.
01:02:54.000And probably the most important thing right now is so critical is that the Democrats are going to unload everything that they have because this is their Hail Mary.
01:03:03.000If they lose 2026 in a big way, like they don't capture the House, They don't win some of these swing states.
01:03:09.000They are totally toast for like 20 years.
01:03:12.000I'm not kidding, 20 years, and there's a process, a thought process to all that.
01:03:17.000Our side cannot be asleep at the wheel.
01:03:19.000And regardless of what I call the establishment groups, the national apparatus does, our grassroots has to show up and vote.
01:03:30.000We have good candidates, good trajectory for Congress.
01:03:35.000And specifically, Andy Biggs is another.
01:03:39.000Trump DeSantis situation that could change the country.
01:03:42.000So, this is the all hands on deck for these races.
01:03:45.000Starting at the top, we have Tyler Boyer, COO of Turning Point Action.
01:03:49.000We're going to walk through each of these.
01:03:51.000So, the top row is get John Slanunu elected in New Hampshire Senate, get Andy Biggs elected AZ governor, and protect Joe Lombardo because he's obviously the incumbent Nevada governor.
01:04:03.000So, let me whip through these real quickly.
01:04:04.000So, Andy Biggs, and again, you heard it with Rich.
01:04:09.000I mean, We have a strong turnout base that we've fostered over the last two elections in Arizona.
01:05:40.000All right, uh, Sununu, uh, John Sununu.
01:05:43.000Is one of the quietest, like I think the silent Senate killers for the left right now because he's only polling about a point down in every poll.
01:06:18.000I mean, we have more bodies on the ground again in New Hampshire than have ever been put before, chasing low permissive votes.
01:06:25.000And what's really exciting about New Hampshire is that the media market that they share with Maine, remember, keep this in mind Maine and New Hampshire's media market is the same.
01:06:36.000So, you get a lot of great crossover, I think, that we'll get from the border of Susan Collins win.
01:06:45.000Well, you know what's interesting about Susan Collins?
01:06:47.000A lot of people in our base don't like Susan.