The Charlie Kirk Show - The Good News In Georgia, Arizona, and Nationwide

Josh McCoon, Chair of the Georgia Republican Party, joins the show to talk about early voting in Georgia and why it's so important to get out and vote early in order to have a shot at flipping the governor's seat. Today's episode is sponsored by Noble Gold Investments, a company that specializes in gold and physical delivery of precious metals. Noble Gold is the official gold sponsor of The Charlie Kirk Show and is the Official Gold Sponsor of The Weekly Standard. Learn how you can protect your wealth with Noble Gold Investing and protect your assets by becoming a Noble Gold Investor today! That's where I buy all of my gold! Go to NobleGoldInvestments.com/TheCharlieKirkShow and use the promo code: "ELISSA" to receive $5 and contribute $5 to a charity of your choice. If you like what you hear, please HIT SUBSCRIBE and tell a friend about this podcast and we'll send you a link to the show! Subscribe to our newest episode and become a member! You'll get access to all the latest episodes and special offers, plus we'll get exclusive bonus episodes throughout the election cycle. Thank you so much more information on how to help elect the next president and every other candidate in the 2020 election! Click here to find out more information about our 2020 Primary Day and much more! Thanks for listening and share this podcast with your friends and family! - Charlie Kirk - The Charlie Kirker Show Subscribe and Retweet this episode of the show on Apple Podcasts and other links to our social media platforms! and share it so you can help spread the word to the word out there about what we're listening to Charlie Kirk's new podcast! Tweet me around the world! on your friends can be a little bit more like Charlie Kirk is listening to it! Timestamps: Insta: - Rate, share it on your thoughts on the show and spreading the message out there! & more like it's a good day in the world? Thanksgiving Day is coming soon! #t=1/28/t=8/31/9/27/8/7/30/6/19/19 - I'll send it out to the rest of the world - Thank you, Charlie & other things like that - Thanks, Charlie, Thank you for listening to the podcast?

00:00:00.000 Hey everybody, good things are happening in Georgia, but you must go vote.

00:00:02.000 Go vote right now. Literally drop what you're doing and go vote.

00:00:06.000 Georgia has some great trends and we talk about what's happening in Arizona and other states as well.

00:00:10.000 Email us as always, freedom at charliekirk.com.

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00:00:20.000 That is members.charliekirk.com.

00:00:23.000 Buckle up everybody, here we go.

00:00:24.000 Charlie, what you've done is incredible here.

00:00:26.000 Maybe Charlie Kirk is on the college campus.

00:00:28.000 I want you to know we are lucky to have Charlie Kirk.

00:00:31.000 Charlie Kirk's running the White House, folks.

00:00:35.000 I want to thank Charlie. He's an incredible guy.

00:00:37.000 His spirit, his love of this country, he's done an amazing job building one of the most powerful youth organizations ever created, Turning Point USA. We will not embrace the ideas that have destroyed countries, destroyed lives, and we are going to fight for freedom on campuses across the country.

00:00:54.000 That's why we are here.

00:00:57.000 Noble Gold Investments is the official gold sponsor of The Charlie Kirk Show, a company that specializes in gold IRAs and physical delivery of precious metals.

00:01:07.000 Learn how you can protect your wealth with Noble Gold Investments at noblegoldinvestments.com.

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00:01:18.000 Go to noblegoldinvestments.com.

00:01:22.000 Reminder, let's put 149 up on screen. 0.79

00:01:25.000 In Duluth, Georgia, which is typically a bluer area, we have President Donald Trump, Bobby Kennedy, Tulsi Gabbard, and Jason Aldean coming at the Gas South Arena 6400 Sugarloaf Parkway.

00:01:38.000 That sounds like a very Georgia street.

00:01:40.000 Sugarloaf, Duluth, Georgia, tpaction.com slash Trump.

00:01:45.000 Huge event. And that's a great segue to...

00:01:47.000 To who we have joining now is Josh McCoon, chair of the Georgia Republican Party.

00:01:53.000 He does a great job there holding down the fort in the must-win state of Georgia.

00:01:59.000 Josh, welcome to the program.

00:02:01.000 Give us an update. How are things going in Georgia?

00:02:04.000 Well, thank you so much for having me.

00:02:06.000 You know, it's very interesting.

00:02:07.000 This time four years ago, we had had 1.3 million people apply to vote by mail in Georgia.

00:02:14.000 A lot of people don't know Joe Biden's entire margin in the 2020 election came from absentee by mail voters.

00:02:21.000 He won those votes by about 400,000.

00:02:25.000 So it's 1.3 million four years ago.

00:02:27.000 So far, we've had 250,000 total requests at the same time in this cycle.

00:02:33.000 So dramatically down.

00:02:35.000 Only about 5,000 votes returned so far.

00:02:38.000 This time four years ago, it was over 400,000.

00:02:42.000 So that critical block of votes that put Joe Biden over the top in the certified count has been dramatically reduced from four years ago.

00:02:51.000 Those votes that have been returned, about two-thirds are white, over half or over 65.

00:02:57.000 So a lot of the data we're looking at, we don't have partisan voter registration in Georgia, but very early returns look favorable for President Trump and the Republican ticket.

00:03:06.000 What part of the state is performing well, and do we see a similar early voting surge with the Stacey Abrams cartel in downtown Atlanta, in Gwinnett, in Cobb, in Fulton? Well, what we can say for certain is that the absentee operation from four years ago just isn't there, right?

00:03:29.000 I mean, it's 81% lower this time than it was four years ago.

00:03:34.000 Early voting here starts on Tuesday.

00:03:37.000 We'll have a very good sense, I think, by the end of the week, what's happening there.

00:03:41.000 We'll have a lot of day-by-day data.

00:03:43.000 I will say that the polling certainly indicates that self-identified conservatives Over 51% are planning to vote early.

00:03:51.000 We'd love to see that number go higher, but if that's what happens, it will be dramatically higher than four years ago.

00:03:57.000 And so we're very encouraged by the enthusiasm we're seeing around the state.

00:04:01.000 And again, just not seeing Kamala Harris close the deal with Black voters, which she has to do to get competitive. 1.00

00:04:07.000 She has to win over 90% of the Black vote here in Georgia to really put this thing in play. 1.00

00:04:13.000 Right now, even the AJC's own polling is showing her in the mid-70s with that group.

00:04:18.000 Whoa, whoa, whoa.

00:04:19.000 I mean, so let's just take a pause there, Josh.

00:04:21.000 So in order for her to be competitive, that's within 30,000 votes winning, 30,000 votes losing, right? 0.93

00:04:27.000 That's what we consider competitive, basically a 60,000 vote swing.

00:04:31.000 She has to go 90 plus percent with black voters in the state of Georgia. 1.00

00:04:36.000 She's in the mid 70s.

00:04:37.000 You're talking about a 15 point delta that she needs to close to just get close in Georgia. 0.98

00:04:44.000 I'm not saying we're going to win automatically because there's a ton of white liberals that have moved in to Buckhead that can screw all this up, as you well know.

00:04:52.000 But talk more about what's happening in the black community in Atlanta.

00:04:55.000 Yeah, so I can tell you, I mean, this is anecdotal, but obviously I speak to lots of voters.

00:05:00.000 I've been involved in Georgia politics for 20 years.

00:05:02.000 I've never had as many conversations with black voters saying they're voting for the Republican candidate for president as I've had this year with black voters saying they're voting for President Trump.

00:05:13.000 And that softness in the polling, the fact that she hasn't closed the deal, the fact they're sending Barack Obama to Georgia to try to rally Black voters, particularly Black male voters, shows that they know they have a very significant problem.

00:05:27.000 This is going to be competitive.

00:05:29.000 It's obviously going to be close.

00:05:31.000 But these data points give us a lot of encouragement that President Trump is really making even more inroads than he did in 2020 with that critical Black vote.

00:05:41.000 If we can get to 20% of the Black vote in the state, it will be an early night in Georgia. 0.98

00:05:46.000 Yeah, and so let's zero in on that.

00:05:49.000 What are we seeing as far as enthusiasm from our strongest counties?

00:05:54.000 Georgia, I believe, has the most counties of any battleground state total.

00:05:59.000 I think Wisconsin has the most per capita.

00:06:01.000 But you guys have so many counties.

00:06:03.000 I think it's like over 100 counties.

00:06:04.000 You could correct me. And a lot of them are underperforming Republican strongholds.

00:06:09.000 That could have got Herschel Walker elected, by the way, alone if they would have just had higher turnout.

00:06:14.000 What are we seeing on the ground as far as spirit, energy, enthusiasm?

00:06:18.000 And then also, you said you don't have party registration, or is that party returns or party registrations?

00:06:24.000 I thought you guys had registration by political parties.

00:06:27.000 So tell me how voter registration ended in Georgia.

00:06:29.000 Yeah, so we do not have voter registration by party.

00:06:33.000 What we generally do is look at primary voting preference to try to get an idea of where that is.

00:06:40.000 Republicans do have a significant edge.

00:06:43.000 If you factor in unaffiliated voters, obviously it's not an absolute majority,

00:06:48.000 but there are more registered voters that have voted in Republican primaries

00:06:52.000 going into this election than registered voters that have voted in Democratic primaries.

00:06:56.000 And you're right, we have a lot of counties, 159 to be exact.

00:07:01.000 About 20 of those counties are the really big counties, the really big urban centers around the state

00:07:07.000 and ex-urban, suburban counties we'll be watching very closely.

00:07:12.000 I see lots of enthusiasm at the turning point, chasing events we're participating in all over the state.

00:07:19.000 You have record crowds.

00:07:21.000 Every time we have a Trump Force 47 training, we're seeing tremendous enthusiasm.

00:07:26.000 You know, standing room only crowds.

00:07:28.000 This is not what we were seeing even four years ago.

00:07:32.000 So I feel like the enthusiasm is there.

00:07:34.000 I feel like people are going to be turning out early next week.

00:07:37.000 We're very excited to see when the gun goes off Tuesday morning and people start voting, we'll get a better picture of that.

00:07:44.000 But right now I'm very encouraged by what I'm seeing.

00:07:47.000 I know these are wonky questions, Josh, but how many people do you project to vote by mail and how many voted by mail in 2020?

00:07:56.000 So it was about 1.35 million that voted by mail in 2020.

00:08:01.000 And right now, as I'm talking to you today, there have only been 250,000 requests to vote by mail.

00:08:07.000 So we know it's going to be dramatically less.

00:08:10.000 It's been trending for the last two weeks between 80 and 85 percent of that number.

00:08:16.000 Excuse me, 20 to 25 percent of that number.

00:08:20.000 So I would expect, you know, between maybe three and 400,000 votes by mail, which will be I got it.

00:08:31.000 I got it. I got it. I got to interrupt. So if you were to model how did how did I mean, I think you know this by what margin did Biden win early votes in 2020?

00:08:41.000 So we vote three ways in Georgia.

00:08:43.000 Biden lost on Election Day voting.

00:08:45.000 Biden lost during the three weeks of in-person early voting.

00:08:49.000 The only category Biden won was votes by mail.

00:08:52.000 He won that by 395,000 votes.

00:08:55.000 And I don't think we'll have 395,000 absentee ballots in this entire election.

00:09:01.000 No, I mean, this is so important.

00:09:03.000 I just, I mean, sorry to keep interrupting you.

00:09:05.000 I know we have a delay because I'm traveling.

00:09:06.000 But again, I'm doing all the kind of back of paper math here in my notepad.

00:09:10.000 So you had 1.3 million people vote by mail, of which Joe Biden had a net, a net 395,000, which means if it was 1.3 million, that means he...

00:09:24.000 About 850,000 votes for Biden.

00:09:27.000 Yeah, I was just joking in my head.

00:09:28.000 Yeah, okay, exactly. 850,000 votes.

00:09:31.000 So even if Kamala Harris wins vote by mail by similar percentages, if you guys only have 300,000 people voting by mail, she could at best get a net 100,000?

00:09:44.000 Is my math correct here, Josh?

00:09:46.000 And she also has collapsing black support, so... 0.97

00:09:49.000 Yeah, I mean, the problem that the Harris campaign is going to have is they will have to try to convert over a lot of these people that the Biden campaign were able to get to fill out an absentee ballot and return it by mail.

00:10:04.000 They're going to have to physically get them to a precinct, either during early voting or election day voting.

00:10:09.000 And obviously that is a bigger lift than showing up at somebody's house and

00:10:14.000 getting them to fill out a ballot and sticking it in a drop box.

00:10:16.000 So I'm encouraged by the fact that we're not seeing the numbers of

00:10:20.000 absentee ballot requests that we saw at this time four years ago.

00:10:24.000 Look, for all of you guys election integrity experts and election integrity enthusiasts of which I am one, when you have a million less ballots in the system, You're going to have a cleaner election.

00:10:37.000 That's just a fact of life, okay?

00:10:39.000 And that's Jimmy Carter's own words, a Georgian himself, who said this vote-by-mail thing is totally flawed.

00:10:44.000 So you have a million less ballots in the system, which is what we're on pace for in Georgia.

00:10:47.000 You're going to have a crisper and cleaner election. 1.00

00:10:53.000 Hey everybody, Charlie Kirk here.

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00:11:55.000 I don't want to read too much into this in a sense where I think victory is, you know, 100%, or by any means, I think it's 50-50 everywhere.

00:12:02.000 But in Georgia, Josh McCoon continues with us.

00:12:04.000 So Biden got a net 395,000 votes of vote-by-mail in 2020.

00:12:09.000 They might get 300 to 400,000 total net vote-by-mail requests.

00:12:15.000 That means that Kamala Harris will be in a... 0.97

00:12:18.000 If she performs the same as Biden, which she probably won't because of the black support erosion, let's just say back of paper math, that's a 200,000 vote deficit. 0.71

00:12:27.000 Again, but turnout will be down, so you have to kind of understand that...

00:12:31.000 Generally, it will be harder to compare apples to apples.

00:12:34.000 But point being, Josh, the percentage margins that they were enjoying by vote by mail will not be there in the state of Georgia.

00:12:40.000 Therefore, this will be largely won or lost based on who will vote in person early and on Election Day.

00:12:47.000 Tell us about Georgia voting culture, about in person early, and is my analysis correct?

00:12:51.000 Yeah, so we have a good culture of turning out.

00:12:55.000 2020, in a lot of ways, was an anomaly for a whole host of reasons, but we have worked very hard for the last year talking to our voters about how critically important it is to vote in person early, to run up the score, to not let up, And people are responding well to that.

00:13:16.000 You know, when we started having those conversations, there was some pushback.

00:13:19.000 We've been able to answer those.

00:13:21.000 We've been able to explain the connection between getting our base voters out early to give us more resources to touch those low propensity voters that put us over the finish line.

00:13:32.000 And people are buying into that.

00:13:33.000 I think we're going to see next week really good, strong turnout from Republican strongholds during early voting.

00:13:41.000 And so let's just kind of make the final case here.

00:13:44.000 What issues are driving Georgia voters the most?

00:13:47.000 And to which candidate does that favor in the state of Georgia?

00:13:52.000 Well, that's another way we really have the wind at our back, because the issues that Georgians continually say they're most concerned about are the economy and immigration.

00:14:01.000 And in all of the polling, President Trump has commanding leads on both of those issues.

00:14:07.000 So the discussion in this campaign has largely been focused on What's your economic situation like now?

00:14:14.000 Was it better four years ago?

00:14:16.000 And then, of course, the crisis at the border.

00:14:18.000 And here in Georgia, we know we've heard these stories all over the country, but obviously it's incredibly powerful.

00:14:24.000 The tragedy of Lake and Riley and what that family has experienced has brought the issue of our broken southern border home in a way that is very, very strong with our Republican-based voters and with a lot of middle-of-the-road voters.

00:14:38.000 I was in a Ride share two weeks ago with a middle-aged black woman with two high school-aged children.

00:14:45.000 And that was the issue she was talking to me about, the broken border.

00:14:48.000 And, you know, Donald Trump can solve that problem.

00:14:50.000 I know he can. And that's why she was leaning towards Donald Trump.

00:14:53.000 So these are the issues that are driving the campaign here in Georgia.

00:14:57.000 Yeah, and just talk a little bit, Josh.

00:14:59.000 We have about two minutes remaining. It is becoming more of a battleground state because a lot of money is poured in, and also the Atlanta suburbs and exurbs are not as right as they used to be.

00:15:10.000 So you've got to run to the finish line.

00:15:12.000 Talk about that, Josh, the changing terrain of Georgia politics.

00:15:15.000 Sure. You know, we are a more competitive state than we were four years ago, eight years ago.

00:15:21.000 But what we do know is that in 2022, with the exception of the U.S. Senate election, we won every statewide race.

00:15:29.000 We have a General Assembly, our state legislature controlled by Republicans, our congressional delegation is majority Republican.

00:15:36.000 So this is a center-right state.

00:15:38.000 We do have a lot of people moving in.

00:15:40.000 Some of that has to do with the film and television tax credit that has brought a lot of Hollywood To Georgia, there's some other shifting around that.

00:15:48.000 But even with your middle-of-the-road persuadable voter, when you're talking about their pocketbook, when you're talking about fentanyl, which has touched almost every family you can talk to in this state in some way, those issues resonate, whether that person considers themselves to be a right-wing Republican or someone in the middle.

00:16:08.000 So we have continued to make this campaign and this conversation around Do you want the economy to get better for you and your family?

00:16:16.000 And do you want us to finally do something to stem the tide of migrant crime and illegal drugs flowing into our state? 0.99

00:16:24.000 And I believe we are winning that conversation.

00:16:27.000 I believe that the polling reflects that, public and private polling.

00:16:30.000 But we've got to run through the tape, not to the tape on November 5th.

00:16:35.000 That's right, Josh. Great work.

00:16:36.000 We'll be in Georgia the week after next to finish strong.

00:16:39.000 We have an event at Georgia State University, University of Georgia, and then, of course, our big one in Duluth.

00:16:44.000 Josh, thank you so much. Thank you for having me.

00:16:48.000 Joining us now is Larry Schweikert, author and historian of thewildworldofpolitics.com.

00:16:54.000 That's wildworldofpolitics.com.

00:16:57.000 Larry, welcome to the program.

00:16:59.000 Wanted to get you on a couple topics, but first, update our audience of what is going on in the great state of Arizona.

00:17:05.000 Well, somebody put the Republican Party on steroids here because as of yesterday when registration stopped, in Maricopa County, Republicans had a net lead of $175,900.

00:17:23.000 Over Democrats. And to put that in perspective, the entire state in 2020 was only net 130,000.

00:17:31.000 So right now, Arizona is about a Republican plus seven state, suggesting Trump will probably win Arizona somewhere in the neighborhood of four to five points.

00:17:42.000 And it'll be very, very close for Carrie Lake.

00:17:46.000 Well, I don't want to make any predictions like that, but we are working in Arizona very hard.

00:17:49.000 But walk our audience through that.

00:17:51.000 So the voter registration numbers are significant and profound versus 2020.

00:17:58.000 Walk our audience through some of the other counties and what will the statewide conclusion be when it comes to just voter registration data?

00:18:06.000 Sure. So Arizona is one giant county, Maricopa, of over 5 million people.

00:18:13.000 And the closest other county is Pinal with around 600,000, 700,000 people.

00:18:19.000 So it's one giant county.

00:18:23.000 Jupiter and one, you know, Venus.

00:18:27.000 And then the rest of the counties are very small.

00:18:30.000 Of the 14 of the counties in Arizona, all but four are Republican.

00:18:36.000 Most of those are heavy, heavy Republican.

00:18:39.000 We're talking 80% Republican for all except Pima and Santa Cruz and two others.

00:18:48.000 In the past two years, every single county in Arizona has moved to the right, to the Republican side.

00:18:57.000 Two of the counties have flipped entirely.

00:18:58.000 As I said, Maricopa is off the charts.

00:19:02.000 It's about...

00:19:05.000 Just under double what it was in 2020.

00:19:09.000 Overall in Arizona we're looking at a total of a Republican net advantage by Election Day of around 300,000 maybe 350,000.

00:19:21.000 Registrations are the single most important indicator of how people will vote, not polls.

00:19:28.000 A poll is a third party asking somebody what they intend to do at some point in the future.

00:19:34.000 A voter registration is what somebody actually did in the past.

00:19:38.000 It took action. To register as a Republican.

00:19:42.000 So the fact that the state is just swarming to the Republicans is very, very critical in terms of these registrations.

00:19:50.000 And we are not alone. Almost every state in the Union, including California and New York, are all moving to Republicans, some faster than others, but all of them are moving right.

00:20:02.000 Even New Jersey, they're all moving to the right.

00:20:05.000 So totally.

00:20:07.000 Thank you for that breakdown.

00:20:09.000 So we have in Arizona, every county is moving further to the right, but there is this question of non-party identified or independent voters.

00:20:19.000 What can you tell us about the behavioral and the voting habits of independence and how large of a composition do they represent electorally in Arizona?

00:20:28.000 They are about a third, and as always with Indies, you never know how they're going to vote, but almost every poll has Trump at worst losing them by five points, at best gaining them by ten.

00:20:41.000 I mean, it's kind of all over the map, but generally speaking, in Arizona, the independents are much more libertarian oriented, and so they're going to favor somebody who has much more libertarian So how much, let's just say on the lower end, how much can Trump lose independence by and still win the state based on the new voter registration numbers?

00:21:18.000 I'm guessing he could probably lose by 10% and still win the state, which isn't going to happen in any universe.

00:21:24.000 He'll probably win Indies in Arizona by four or five points. 0.59

00:21:28.000 Again, I think that the final is going to be someplace in the neighborhood of Trump plus four to Trump plus five.

00:21:38.000 Hey everybody, Charlie Kirk here.

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00:22:31.000 Also save moms from a lifetime of pain and regret.

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00:22:37.000 Click on the preborn banner. So talk about the direction of all these other states.

00:22:46.000 Arizona, you mentioned, the trend is our friend with voter registration.

00:22:50.000 What other states stand out to you in the battleground universe that show that Donald Trump and Republicans have serious momentum?

00:22:58.000 Well, I think one of the biggest is Pennsylvania, where at one point, I think it was in 2012, Democrats had a We have a lead of 600,000 over Republicans, and today that number is under 150,000, thanks largely to the efforts of Scott Pressler.

00:23:19.000 One analysis I've seen says that the Democrats would have to bank 600,000 early votes to offset the election day, the traditional election day Republican vote.

00:23:31.000 That's not happening.

00:23:33.000 Right now, Pennsylvania early ballot requests are trending now more toward Republicans.

00:23:42.000 But in almost every state, the early ballot requests have seen a fall-off by Democrats of anywhere from 5 to 11 points, whereas the early ballot requests by Republicans have seen a net gain of 6, 7 points.

00:23:57.000 So you've got a shift there of between 10 and 17 points in almost all these states.

00:24:04.000 And so we're looking, for example, at Virginia, where they're actually voting.

00:24:08.000 And typically what happens is you get a big burst of people voting.

00:24:13.000 The first day early voting is available in Virginia and then it begins to tail off for both parties.

00:24:19.000 Well, you got the big burst and it began to tail off for Democrats.

00:24:23.000 But in Virginia, Republicans have actually accelerated their voting after the first day of early voting.

00:24:31.000 So where Virginia right now is about 60, 40 early voting Democrats, which is people say,

00:24:38.000 well, they're winning.

00:24:39.000 They always win early votes by huge, huge margins.

00:24:43.000 The story this year is that they are way, way, way down in those margins where they

00:24:49.000 usually are.

00:24:51.000 Do you think Virginia is in play?

00:24:53.000 I think it's close enough that Trump could pull it out by a couple thousand votes.

00:24:57.000 Okay, so it's close.

00:25:00.000 So the Democrats seem to be panicking because they're collapsing with men.

00:25:07.000 Do you also see that in the data?

00:25:09.000 And why do you think they're doing so poorly with male voters?

00:25:13.000 Yes, and they're collapsing with men in every race. 1.00

00:25:16.000 I mean, black men now, Trump is up to around 20-something percent with black males.

00:25:23.000 The Democrat Party is simply a party of welfare and a party for the uber rich.

00:25:30.000 It's a you. You've got the uber rich on one side, and you've got the uber poor on the other, and in the middle is all the rest of America.

00:25:37.000 And this does not sit well with men who gain their identity, who gain their self-worth by providing for a family, by working.

00:25:47.000 And you're just not seeing that offered by the Democrat Party.

00:25:50.000 And don't take it from me.

00:25:52.000 Take it from guys like Rui Teixeira, who has been arguing this for years.

00:25:56.000 He's a Democrat consultant.

00:25:57.000 Take it from James Carville, who, when he comes down off his meds every once in a while, actually talks about this and admits it's a huge, huge problem.

00:26:06.000 The point is the Democrats don't want to hear it.

00:26:09.000 Yeah, and so they're bleeding in these demographics. 0.98

00:26:12.000 If Kamala Harris is able, though, to run up the score with women, can the math work for her in the sense that she wins 70% of all women voters? 0.99

00:26:23.000 Is there any indication that will be the case?

00:26:25.000 No, because no Democrat wins women like that. 1.00

00:26:29.000 In fact, Trump won suburban women in 2020 by a small amount. 0.96

00:26:37.000 He wins married women. 0.57

00:26:39.000 The only group he is not really popular with are the Karens, the single mothers, especially the welfare mothers who look at government as their source, their daddy. 0.95

00:26:50.000 And he's not going to win them.

00:26:52.000 But there's no universe in which...

00:26:56.000 Harris gets that kind of an advantage with women. 1.00

00:27:01.000 So what is your advice then for President Trump of where to emphasize and focus and where do you think, what state do you think needs the most attention from Trump at this point as we try to run to the finish line?

00:27:14.000 Well, the last polling I saw from all the states, especially the emphasis on the internal polling, is that he's up in every single swing state.

00:27:23.000 Now, Patrick Basham of Democracy Institute had a very interesting footnote that nobody paid attention to last week.

00:27:30.000 And he said that when you include the question, who would your neighbor vote for?

00:27:35.000 Which was the critical question in the Trafalgar polls in 2016 that allowed Trafalgar above everybody else except Barris to predict a Trump win.

00:27:46.000 When you include that question, Basham said, Trump is outside the margin of error in every state.

00:27:53.000 So I would say continue to regularly hit Pennsylvania, Michigan, North Carolina, Wisconsin, but also hit the next tier of what I see are the next tier of swing states, which is Minnesota, New Hampshire, Maine, Virginia, maybe Nevada, and who am I missing?

00:28:18.000 Minnesota, New Hampshire, New Mexico, because the last poll had Trump within four points in New Mexico.

00:28:26.000 What people need to understand is that every election, Trump under polls by 2.1 points.

00:28:34.000 Whatever the polls say, you can add 2.1 to Trump and subtract 2.1 from the other guy.

00:28:41.000 So if that's the case, that means he's within the margin of error in places like Maine and New Mexico.

00:28:48.000 Again, these are going to be tough because of that U-shaped demographic in New Mexico. 1.00

00:28:53.000 Where you have a great number of fairly wealthy people at Los Alamos and Sandia, Alamogordo, parts of Alamogordo, and then the rest of the state is very poor.

00:29:04.000 And you don't have a lot of people in the middle.

00:29:06.000 But nevertheless, Trump is close there.

00:29:08.000 And I just feel like, you know, as Led Zeppelin saying, the levee is about to break.

00:29:14.000 And that all of these third-tier swing states are starting to become genuine battlegrounds now.

00:29:23.000 Larry Schweiker, excellent work as always.

00:29:25.000 Thank you. We'll have you on again soon.

00:29:27.000 Thank you. Yesterday, I chased three ballots, and I'm happy to report Blake, Ryan, and Angelo have all voted.

00:29:35.000 So I got a whole list.

00:29:37.000 I got over 100 people just around, you know, I'm chasing those ballots.

00:29:42.000 Blake, Ryan, and Angelo, and they all voted for Trump.

00:29:45.000 It's great. You got to own your circle here.

00:29:49.000 Brian, have you voted yet?

00:29:51.000 See, Brian's right here. He's going to get nagged like you wouldn't believe.

00:29:55.000 That's what ballot chasing is.

00:29:56.000 You find the people that are a little shaky.

00:29:59.000 And you've got to get their ballot in.

00:30:01.000 Oh, and Riley voted. That's four, boom. 0.96

00:30:03.000 One, two, three, four votes for Trump.

00:30:05.000 Many of whom were not here in 2020, just so we're clear.

00:30:07.000 These are new votes since 2020.

00:30:11.000 Own your circle.

00:30:12.000 Get those votes into the system.

00:30:15.000 Kamala Harris is continuing on her...

00:30:19.000 Press tour. There's so much that we didn't even play from this last week.

00:30:22.000 She went on Stephen Colbert, and again, there's so much news this week, it's hard to even process all of it.

00:30:28.000 Let's play this tape here.

00:30:29.000 She was asked, Stephen Colbert asked Kamala Harris what she would do differently than Joe Biden.

00:30:34.000 The second time she's been asked this question on the same day.

00:30:37.000 Tell me if this makes any sense to you.

00:30:40.000 Playcut72. Polling shows that a lot of people, especially independent voters, really want this to be a change election and that they tend to break for you in terms of thinking about change.

00:30:52.000 You are a member of the president administration.

00:30:55.000 Under a Harris administration, what would the major changes be and what would stay the same?

00:31:02.000 Sure. Well, I mean, I'm obviously not Joe Biden.

00:31:05.000 I noticed. And so that would be one change in terms of...

00:31:09.000 But also, I think it's important to say with 28 days to go, I'm not Donald Trump.

00:31:18.000 And so when we think about the significance of what this next generation of leadership looks like, were I to be elected president, it is about, frankly, I love the American people and I believe in our country.

00:31:34.000 I love that it is our character and nature to be an ambitious people.

00:31:40.000 You know, we have aspirations.

00:31:42.000 We have dreams.

00:31:44.000 We have incredible work ethic.

00:31:47.000 And I just believe that we can create and build upon the success we've achieved in a way that we continue to grow opportunity and in that way grow the strength of our nation.

00:32:00.000 It's repulsive because she knows that you know that she's not answering it, and she's still talking about, like, oh, our people work so hard.

00:32:09.000 He asked you the most simple question possible.

00:32:12.000 And if Kamal was serious about winning, she could have answered it a lot differently.

00:32:17.000 And I mentioned this before, but she should have said, yes, I think we could have addressed inflation earlier.

00:32:21.000 I think that prices are too high.

00:32:23.000 But she is such a product of the party that she cannot diverge by even a single inch.

00:32:31.000 And you heard it. Nothing will be different.

00:32:34.000 Our borders will be open. 0.79

00:32:35.000 Another 10 million people will come in this country.

00:32:38.000 Crime will be up. Your kids might overdose on drugs.

00:32:41.000 Kamala Harris continues on Stephen Colbert's show, gleefully sipping her champagne of beer.

00:32:49.000 Now, mind you, she's used to white wine, and she loves white wine.

00:32:54.000 That's where all the joy comes from.

00:32:56.000 It's not joy. It's Chardonnay, Kamala.

00:32:59.000 Playcut 71. One of the old saws is, they just want somebody they can have a beer with.

00:33:03.000 So would you like to have a beer with me so I can tell people what that's like?

00:33:07.000 Okay. This was...

00:33:09.000 Now, we asked ahead of time, because I can't just be giving a drink to the Vice President of the United States.

00:33:15.000 You asked for Miller Highlight.

00:33:16.000 You asked Miller Highlight. I'm just curious.

00:33:21.000 Okay, the last time I had beer was at a baseball game with Doug.

00:33:26.000 Okay, so cheers. Okay, cheers.

00:33:28.000 There you go. Ooh.

00:33:35.000 That tastes like the beautiful city of Milwaukee, Wisconsin.

00:33:38.000 There's champagne and beers. There you go.

00:33:41.000 People of America, spare us from that laugh.

00:33:44.000 That's all I can say. Kamala Harris was caught using a teleprompter at a town hall event.

00:33:49.000 Of course, Telemundo is, or Univision or whatever, is covering for her.

00:33:53.000 Play cut 150.

00:33:55.000 Victim of crime. Are you a Republican?

00:33:57.000 Are you a Democrat? The only question I ever ask is, are you okay?

00:34:03.000 And sadly, we have seen over the last two weeks since Hurricane Helene.

00:34:08.000 For those of you on podcasting, she's reading a teleprompter.

00:34:10.000 And they panic, of course, and then they black out the teleprompter as soon as the cameras go behind her. 0.59

00:34:17.000 Everybody, now's the time to go vote.

00:34:19.000 Vote this weekend. Of course, it's journalists malpractice.

00:34:21.000 They did this with Univision.

00:34:23.000 They did this with 60 Minutes.

00:34:25.000 They heavily edited her. The whole media regime is behind her. 0.86

00:34:28.000 But you, you guys can make a difference.

00:34:30.000 Find one voter. Get them to vote.

00:34:32.000 Vote yourself. Thanks so much for listening, everybody.

00:34:34.000 Email us, as always, freedom at charliekirk.com.

00:34:37.000 Thanks so much for listening, and God bless.

The Charlie Kirk Show - October 12, 2024

The Good News In Georgia, Arizona, and Nationwide

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