00:00:43.000He's done an amazing job building one of the most powerful youth organizations ever created, Turning Point USA.
00:00:50.000We will not embrace the ideas that have destroyed countries, destroyed lives, and we are going to fight for freedom on campuses across the country.
00:02:08.000The reason that this poll is shocking to the Democrat regime is now this is a series of polls that are showing that Trump v. Biden, it's not going very well.
00:04:11.000Interfere with the election via Jack Smith, Big Fanny, Letitia with this civil fraud trial.
00:04:19.000Have Ron DeSantis and Nikki Haley start to erode the MAGA base.
00:04:24.000But it turns out none of this is happening the way they thought it would.
00:04:30.000Voters in five battleground states favor Trump over Biden.
00:04:32.000Before I go any further, it's very clear this year in the New York Times, this is a hit on Biden more than a benefit to Trump.
00:04:40.000I partially believe this poll, but this year is yet another example of the regime, the administrative state, the fourth branch of government, trying to remove Joe Biden.
00:07:20.000The point that he makes here is that what else can they throw at Trump?
00:07:25.000Is it possible that the regime went too aggressive too early, that they tried to stop Donald Trump before he got out of the gate and the fact didn't work?
00:07:35.000They're out of metaphorical missiles to launch at him.
00:07:39.000Now, there's always more that they can do.
00:07:41.000There's always more crossfire type operations.
00:07:44.000Joe Scarborough basically like, if you are still in favor of Donald Trump after 700 years in federal prison and the E. Jane Carroll case, and what else is going to break your support of Trump?
00:08:00.000I don't know exactly how this gets any better moving forward.
00:08:04.000It's not like Donald Trump's not been crazy enough to be punished by voters to be unfit to be president of the United States.
00:08:11.000Things the Biden White House worries about and that the Democrats who support Joe Biden should worry about is that these polls are part of a pattern.
00:08:18.000They have shown they've been across a lot of polls across a lot of weeks now, across a lot of months.
00:08:23.000That's the thing that worries the White House.
00:08:25.000And I'll tell you, the other thing that really worries the White House and should worry the White House and should worry Democrats is this erosion of support with core Democratic constituencies.
00:08:34.000Again, not just in this poll, but in poll after poll after poll.
00:08:38.000We're going to talk about that in a second.
00:08:39.000Again, I think this poll is exaggerated to try and create an overwhelming chorus to get Joe Biden out of the way.
00:08:48.000The great Rushland both taught us that polls almost always have an agenda, almost always.
00:08:57.000At the same time, I think that there is some great truth and hope.
00:09:01.000If the New York Times is saying Donald Trump is up 10 points, it does remind me of the Kerry Lake poll that said Kerry Lake was up 14 points two weeks before the election.
00:09:11.000Part of this is to get us to stop working as hard as we've been working.
00:10:48.000So RFK throws off a lot of the polling, and current trends show that RFK hurts Trump more than Biden.
00:10:58.000Now, if we bring down RFK's numbers, which we should, that can change.
00:11:03.000So we're just getting started on that.
00:11:05.000The world is falling apart under Biden, said Spencer Weiss, 53-year-old electrical substation specialist in Bloomsburg, Pennsylvania, who supported Biden in 20, but is now backing Trump.
00:11:56.000If this poll shows nothing else, at least at the very least, it's tied and it's going to come down to a couple thousand votes per county, potentially a couple votes per precinct, and we have to do the boring work.
00:12:10.000The RNC currently has zero full-time staff on the ground in Arizona.
00:12:15.000Turning point action, we have 55, soon to be over 100, and we are raising money and hiring people for ballot chasing.
00:13:19.000Did you know there was a debate this week?
00:13:21.000So you got, we're doing it at Turning Point Action the best we possibly can because our hypothesis will be proven correct.
00:13:26.000Our hypothesis is that we believe that the boring stuff, election integrity, ballot chasing, getting low propensity voters out to vote early, is going to be the decisive activity.
00:13:41.000And it is the hard activity, clipboard and tennis shoes type of work.
00:13:46.000Means getting sweaty into the precincts.
00:13:50.000One of the reasons why the Democrats are not completely freaking out is they've spent anywhere between $600 to $700 million in Arizona and Georgia and Wisconsin alone to have hundreds of full-time ballot chasers, ballot cures.
00:14:07.000They have invested in the plumbing of the elections.
00:14:40.000Now, part of this is they want to drum up their base and wake people up because honestly, anti-Trump stuff on television is very, very good for MSNBC ratings.
00:14:48.000It's very good to activate the Democrat base.
00:15:00.000Chief Washington correspondent John Carl John.
00:15:02.000In addition to our poll, New York Times has a poll out this morning showing that Donald Trump is leading in five out of the six big battleground seats.
00:15:08.000Now, presidents have come back in the past, Ronald Reagan, Barack Obama, but this is tough news for Joe Biden.
00:15:15.000This is frightening for not just the Biden White House, not just for Democrats, but for anybody who fears what a return to a Trump presidency would mean.
00:15:33.000So the question is, who is doing the work necessary for us to make sure that they don't do to Kerry Lake what they did to us do again in 2024?
00:16:41.000Fill out the quick form and they'll get you back with answers, andrewdtodd.com.
00:16:47.000So they're freaking out about this poll.
00:16:48.000Now, again, you have to take it with the proper grain of salt, the pound of salt, because RFK is not on the ballot and they're inflating this to try to get rid of Joe Biden.
00:16:58.000But understand that they are seeing core constituencies defect from the Democrat Party: blacks, Hispanics, younger voters.
00:19:18.000If it's true that black Americans don't understand civics, whose fault would that be?
00:19:23.000Would that be, I don't know, the National Education Association, the American Federation of Teachers that keep schools poor and failing teachers in place so black literacy rates go down?
00:19:34.000In Baltimore, they couldn't find a single child that could read at grade level.
00:19:39.000And all the teachers keep getting paid.
00:19:40.000All the administrators keep getting paid.
00:19:43.000This does reveal something, though, is that the mainline talking points of the Democrat Party, we must protect our democracy, democracy's on the ballot, it is a message that is tailored to a very specific audience.
00:19:59.000It might work with some suburban wine moms that listen to the New York Times podcast and are in kind of this constant state of depression and anxiety and really don't know their place like that to a very specific group of people.
00:20:15.000But it turns out to working class blacks, they would much rather go back to the Trump years where their wages were going up, crime was under control, not totally under control, but more so under control.
00:20:28.000And one thing that black America does not want to hear is a furtherance of the trans agenda towards their children.
00:20:39.000Now, one of the pieces of evidence that shows that this poll actually might have some truth to it is that the whiter states Joe Biden actually does better with, the more diverse states Trump does better with.
00:20:54.000Now, what would possibly explain that?
00:20:57.000Well, the wealthier and whiter you are, the more likely you demand and you prioritize abortion as a cornerstone political value.
00:21:09.000And it's not necessarily wealth, but it's somewhat wealth.
00:21:13.000In white America, abortion on demand is a very, very important thing.
00:21:22.000Minorities are actually not necessarily enthusiastically pro-abortion.
00:21:26.000Blacks and Hispanics care more about traditional kitchen table issues, but when Hispanics hear about abortion being not a great thing, they agree.
00:23:00.000And what I find to be so interesting is that it's the whites, the upper middle-class whites, that are actually the most malleable to fantasy politics.
00:23:13.000It's blacks and Hispanics and young people that are not buying the New York Times CNN type provda.
00:23:49.000But if you are in debt as a plumbing, you know, a plumber and a Hispanic, if you are a black voter in inner city Atlanta, your top priority is paying rent and seeing that your child can read.
00:24:06.000It's a fascinating realignment occurring, everybody.
00:25:08.000This is one of hundreds I could show you when we go to these college campuses.
00:25:13.000Thousands and thousands and thousands.
00:25:15.000By the way, what's interesting in that picture, almost every single person who listened to our multi-hour presentation at University of Arizona was a young man.
00:25:23.000Young women are not as interested in that sort of dialogue.
00:25:26.000They would rather just come, scream, and leave.
00:25:29.000And that's exactly what we saw at Northern Arizona University.
00:25:32.000Young women are men that look or pretend they are women.
00:25:35.000They want nothing to do with dialogue or speech.
00:25:37.000Now, there's some young ladies that were there, God bless them, but it was 95% male.
00:25:41.000But if you think of it, though, if let's say that 70% of young men on a college campus will vote Republican, that is a matrix-breaking game changer.
00:25:54.000That is so different than what we saw in 2020.
00:26:00.000And I'll tell you that at the very least, at University of Arizona, if you would have had a campus-wide poll, Joe Biden would probably win, but he wouldn't win with 80%, which is what they need.
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00:29:51.000And I just have to say, as someone who's done a fair amount of cable television, well over 1,200 interviews over the last 11 years, probably even more than that.
00:32:33.000What are we doing to prevent the next round of ballot muling?
00:32:37.000We should have, instead of an RNC debate, waste of time.
00:32:40.000We should have an RNC meeting bringing in all the best minds, bring in Bannon, bring in Bongino, bring in Walsh, bring in, by the way, they never call.