Most expensive House primary race in U.S. history, with tens of millions of dollars spent on political ads, and President Trump demanding that the libertarian-minded Republican be beaten. Massey is running for an 8th term in the Bluegrass State s 4th congressional district, facing a tough challenger from Trump-endorsed GOP opponent Ed Gowron over past votes opposing the president s agenda.
00:01:18.100It is the ultimate test for President Trump and his sway on the Republican Party.
00:01:23.000We've known it to be extremely strong.
00:01:26.260We've known President Trump's endorsement to be extremely demanding and sway massively on races throughout the course of his term, throughout the course of history.
00:01:40.300So tonight will be the ultimate test in this race.
00:01:43.640Secretary of War Pete Hegseth appeared yesterday at a Camp Rain rally to stump for Galleran, serve military combat deployments, multiple, and receive four bronze stars for valor.
00:01:55.860So going up against a legitimate candidate.
00:01:59.780Defeating Massey has been a top priority for President Trump's revenge tour against Republicans who don't want to get on board with America first to Republicans who don't want to get on board with the MAGA agenda.
00:02:10.280It's also perhaps the ultimate test of his endorsement power in GOP circles.
00:02:15.560Last year, President Trump brought in the big guns, including 2024 co-campaign manager Chris Lasavita and pollster Tony Fabrizio, who took charge of Kentucky's MAGA Super PAC, the explicit goal of taking down Massey.
00:02:28.100The worst congressman in the long-storied history of the Republican Party is Thomas Massey, President Trump storming on social media this afternoon.1.00
00:02:39.440He's an obstructionist, and he's a fool.1.00
00:02:45.180Now, as of yesterday, at least $32.6 million, folks,
00:02:52.100$32.6 million has gone towards the political ad spending for this primary regaloran,
00:02:57.920who, as I said, is a retired Navy SEAL, shelling out nearly $11 million,
00:03:02.220Massey forking over $7.5 million, according to the latest data.
00:03:06.020Unlike some of Trump's other GOP foes like Cassidy, five Republicans in Indiana who defied him on redistricting and more, Massey has a considerable clout with elements above his base.
00:03:18.120He's managed to get some support from Marjorie Taylor Greene, now ousted member of Congress, who didn't want to stay prolonged to deal with this embarrassment,
00:03:28.400which she would have been primaried and probably lost because she was not liked in Georgia, as I say, the only member of the Georgia delegates of Republicans to underperform President Trump this past election.
00:03:43.300Lauren Boebert, who was out stopping for him this past weekend in Kentucky, Congresswoman Victoria Sparks, Senator Rand Paul, and a few more.
00:03:53.720He's also polled much stronger than other GOPers in Trump's crosshairs this cycle.
00:03:59.460Now, the latest polling, the most recent polling from big data, found Massey narrowly besting Galleran by 50 and a half to about 49 and a half, with the Kentucky rep having lost support since the firm's last analysis in April.
00:04:14.580Now, nearly $8 million has funded a tax on Massey. Well, more than $6 million has been spent against Galleran, who's a first-time politician.
00:04:24.660Massey has framed the race as a referendum on whether Israel gets to buy another seat in Congress,
00:04:29.280despite the group's involvement being run by Americans and funded by U.S. donors.
00:04:33.780Meanwhile, a pro-Massey PAC has highlighted Gower and Schiff as part of his affiliation from Independent following Trump's election presidency in 2016.
00:04:42.060So, as every person has, there's flaws.
00:04:46.680So it's going to be up to the voters now, which they've already went to the polls, and we're going to get into that in Kentucky.
00:04:56.360Now, polling sites across Kentucky have closed in half the state.
00:05:01.820So half the state there is in the eastern time zone, half is in the central.
00:05:07.900So fixed cost eastern was the first time polls closed.
00:05:11.340Boone County, Kenton County, Campbell, Pendleton, Bracken, Mason, Robertson, Lewis, Carter, Greenup, Boyd, Fleming, Rowan, Lawrence, Elliott, Nicholas, Harrison County, Partial, Scott County, Grant, and Owen Counties.
00:05:25.300These counties contain the Cincinnati suburbs, Massey's traditional base, and the highest population centers in the district.
00:05:32.520The polls closing at 7 p.m. Eastern time.
00:05:35.060Oldham, Shelby, Spencer, Trimble, Henry, Bullitt, and Jefferson.
00:05:40.540Galleran has tried to run up margins in Louisville exurbs.
00:05:44.820Older GOP turnout there could help him a little bit late.
00:05:48.200So if Massey wants to dominate, he's got to dominate northern Kentucky, Boone, Kenton, Campbell.
00:06:59.600Today is the election day in Kentucky's 4th Congressional District, as we said, the most expensive House primary in American history at roughly $32 million.
00:09:06.300Massey's strongest counties were Mason, Bracken, and Lewis have a combined of 1,100 early votes between them.
00:09:15.600So, like I said, we're not counting the race before it's over or anything like that.
00:09:20.600But this is the early voting numbers that have come in so far, which are showing a little bit of an underperformance where Massey underperformed in 2024.
00:09:33.760Another piece of information, I think, that shows that the early vote possibly is edging towards Ed Yowron.
00:09:43.020So she says the early vote surge is clearly coming from Massey's soft flank.
00:11:52.540Those are counties where Trump and Massey run the weakest.
00:11:55.240Where those 8,000 bank suburban voters break for Gowron because Trump told them to,
00:11:59.640or Massey because the suburban skeptics are natural to his base.
00:12:04.320is the question that the data genuinely cannot answer.
00:12:08.380Warning sign for Galleran, she says, is Boone has the weakest early turnout thus far of the
00:12:13.360larger counties. Rich Barris has Boone as the strongest district for Galleran. She says we
00:12:19.960will know tonight. Another factored away, 80% of the votes in 2024 Kentucky primaries
00:12:25.940are election day votes through tea leaves to take so we wait uh let's take a live look folks
00:12:34.740at um what the live odds are uh if we can get them up here at uh calci which i like because
00:12:42.920it shows you people are putting their money where their mouth is uh just before we got on the show
00:12:48.140today, the odds were at, if you could see here, the odds were at earlier at 612, 59% for Ed
00:12:57.120Galleran now have surged to 86% for Ed Galleran. So as the numbers, and you can see the money
00:13:06.380there, LiveTracker pouring in, betting on Ed Galleran, we're at 87% now as the numbers,
00:13:15.280like i said start to come in and we're not going to really know until seven o'clock eastern
00:13:23.520when the other counties start to close we'll get some early preliminary numbers
00:13:28.760but we're not going to get the actual data the actual numbers that we'll be able to call the
00:13:34.580race but like i said i like to see where people are putting their money because i think it's
00:13:40.200a true test. As we've seen, Calci and Polymarket over the course of the last few months
00:13:47.220have shown to be pretty accurate descriptors of where things are going and how they're going to
00:13:55.180finish. Let's see here. Let's get up if we can. We'll see. We're going to take a look at some
00:14:02.240numbers coming in here. If we can get those up for you to see if we've got anything meaningful
00:14:10.640that's worth looking at. Here we go. We've got the numbers here. Just about 4,500 votes in so far,
00:14:19.980so nothing major. We could see here Greenup County, Kenton County, and Spencer County,
00:14:29.620small percentages of the vote, 16% of the vote in in Kenton County so far.
00:14:38.580That's got Galleran up by about 10 percentage points.
00:14:42.860Greenup's got about 10% of the vote in so far, where it's got Galleran up 60-40.
00:14:47.960So it's still too early to tell, still too early to be able to make a distinction
00:14:53.120on where this thing is going or where it's not.
00:14:57.240That's why I like to take a look at CalSheet to see where the live money is going.
00:15:01.000And we're up now just in the course of us sitting here in two minutes at a 90.5% chance for Mr. Ed Gellerin.
00:15:13.800So we're going to keep monitoring this.
00:15:15.460We're going to keep you posted if anything changes, if we get any new data, any new numbers that are coming in.
00:15:23.280But let's turn to some other news while we wait for that.
00:15:26.220President Trump today voicing his support for another unlikely candidate.
00:15:32.740President Trump this afternoon endorsing Ken Paxton in the Texas Senate Republican primary, passing up John Cornyn.
00:15:40.480Since neither candidate received more than 50 percent of the vote in March, there was a runoff for the election for the Republican Senate race.
00:15:47.160Trump previously said he would ask the candidate that doesn't endorse to drop out of the race.
00:15:51.740This afternoon, President Trump said Cornyn's a good man, but noted that Cornyn was not supportive of him.
00:16:23.000and will continue to do so in the United States Senate.
00:16:24.900We will tirelessly fight to continue for the great growth of our economy, cut taxes and regulations and advance made in the USA, unleash American energy dominance, champion Texas oil and gas, and advocate for our amazing farmers and ranchers, promote school choice, keep our borders secure, stop migrant crimes, support incredible military veterans, and safeguard our elections.
00:16:47.820So we have an endorsement now in that race, which we were not expecting.
00:16:53.720So what I was told from the people inside is that with or without the Trump endorsement, Ken Paxton wins.
00:17:05.880It could be why President Trump waited a little bit to endorse, to see where the numbers are moving, see where the numbers are going.
00:17:14.640But I think President Trump finally got the message from his people to make the right endorsement.
00:17:22.060Now, just moments ago, Mr. Cornyn posting the following message on Twitter, which I think could be a telltale sign if he does decide to drop out of that race.
00:17:37.980See if we can get up there on the screen for you.
00:17:40.400John Cornyn, I'm canceling my campaign events for tomorrow and heading back to D.C. tonight as a member of the budget GOP on behalf of the nearly 32 million Texans.
00:17:48.000I'm honored to represent. I'll vote tomorrow morning to end the absurd and irresponsible
00:17:52.260Democratic defunding of ICE and CBP and to fund their important work
00:17:56.340first in committee and then on the Senate floor.
00:18:01.500To which he's getting roasted in the comments.
00:18:04.920Sir, I'm a Texan. You don't have Texans back. You've sold out to 99%
00:18:08.680of your constituents. This is the end of the road. Boys to men.
00:18:12.500You can just give us the SAVE Act passed. You might have primary runoff.0.54
00:18:15.800And, you know, that was the interesting thing, folks, is that Ken Paxton offered to drop out of this race, and he knew he was ahead.
00:18:24.860Ken's data has shown that he's consistently ahead of Cornyn there, and he has every reason to be.
00:18:34.960Paxton has been a true warrior for President Trump.
00:18:38.400He's been a true warrior for this country.
00:18:40.320lawsuit after lawsuit fighting against the oligarchy fighting against the corporate
00:18:45.700elitist fighting against the corruption paxton has been there since day one
00:18:50.400a true true warrior so i'm glad to see that president trump did the right thing0.97
00:18:58.580and hopefully cornyn doesn't uh and out his time there like a sore loser0.83
00:19:06.260like Senator Cassidy who flew back to D.C. today
00:19:09.560to vote with the Democrats to end the Iran war.0.98
00:21:20.800uh here in california pratt for la mayor steve hilton for governor yeah we're actually working
00:21:30.260on setting up something right now with spencer pratt we're gonna go out to la uh and do some
00:21:35.260filming over there um and hopefully he can pull out that maryl race that would be massive
00:21:42.240for pratt to be able to to pull out a w over there and uh deep blue um los angeles and man0.99
00:21:49.560I mean, that place is such a total mess, but I think he's done such a great job appealing as President Trump did back in 2016 and firing up the base, but appealing to the fed up voters, especially there.0.98
00:22:03.800I mean, living here in New York, it's very similar to L.A. in the sense that the place has just gone to crap.0.97
00:22:12.920Drug addicts all over the street, homeless people sleeping all over the streets, drugs everywhere.0.96
00:22:19.600You know, the list goes on and on for the Marxist-run cities.
00:22:24.920So he's appealed, I believe, absolutely brilliantly.
00:22:32.180Before we move on to some of your comments, your questions concerned,
00:22:36.560It's appearing that Thomas Massey is on track to lose the early vote by potentially 10 points or more.
00:22:44.780Now, of course, the race is not over, but he's going to need a strong Election Day performance to win re-election.
00:22:51.380Those are the latest numbers coming out right now.
00:22:53.880Ten points going down in the early vote is very, very hard.
00:22:58.760And we've talked about it here on this show before. The early voting, which, you know, quite honestly, I'm against. But if we have it, we have to use it. Election day should be on election day and not election week or month. Right.
00:23:12.640um so republicans and i use pennsylvania as an example i think dr oz went into election day
00:23:20.960against fetterman down a million votes you know that's impossible to come back from
00:23:27.180literally impossible so they've got to start using it and i i think um they they're going to
00:23:36.600And it appears if that holds to be true and he does lose by 10 points, the early vote got out to vote, which wins you and loses elections.
00:23:50.600Christine is watching from Summers Point, New Jersey.
00:24:05.200He absolutely did. They messed around, folks, and they found out. They found out they didn't want to do redistricting, even though the Democrats have used redistricting to cheat for years.
00:24:18.000And this is another thing, folks, which I think has proved to be massive. The Republicans never used redistricting for anything. They never talked about it. They never cared to talk about it. They never cared to bring it up.
00:24:30.120Which is why they've continued to get steamrolls by the Democrats.
00:24:35.980And early voting, the same exact thing.
00:24:41.520Started using it and bam, the last election, President Trump was too big to rig.
00:24:48.460The early verdict was so strong that they couldn't out-cheat it.
00:24:55.600so the republicans need to continue and continue to build on this momentum and like i said
00:25:03.700they're going to have to use it until it's gone and hopefully it's gone sooner than later
00:25:09.560where we can go back to having election day on election day and not election week and not
00:25:17.580election month or not election months and it's it's a simple simple equation
00:25:23.600a simple equation you need a mail-in ballot
00:25:28.360you apply for it and you get it and you get those votes in and done you get a time frame
00:25:38.220you got to set it back within two weeks a week whatever it may be and that's it and then it's
00:25:42.860closed you miss your vote you either got to show up on election day or not vote at all
00:25:46.280and this is the reform that the Republicans should be pushing for right now this is the
00:25:52.780reform that's going to be necessary to ensure that elections are no longer stolen.
00:25:58.860And if they don't, if the Republicans don't want to get serious about it, they don't want to get
00:26:01.800strong about it, they will continue to get clobbered. But like I said, I think the tides
00:26:08.140are turning. Greuters over at the RNC, I think is far better than anyone we've had in the past,
00:26:15.580including Whatley, including Ronna Romney McDaniel, who spent like $200,000 on Sharpie
00:26:20.520markers and flowers. So I think they're trending in the right direction. Yesterday, we spoke about
00:26:26.200some of the early lawsuits that Grotus has brought up over dozens of states
00:26:34.120to ensure that no stealing and cheating is done in these midterm elections,
00:26:40.220getting ahead of the curve. Whereas in the 2020 election,
00:26:45.640they were filing lawsuits after the votes were already counted.
00:26:50.520And they were calling for recounts and they were recounting the same stolen ballots.0.97
00:26:56.140It was the most absurd and dumb thing I think we've all witnessed from an election.0.92
00:27:04.160So hats off to the folks over at the RNC.0.99
00:27:07.600Hats off to Joe Greuters for getting ahead of the curve.
00:27:10.640Now, speaking of, there's been a major win for election transparency.
00:27:15.260A judge in Georgia forcing rhino Brad Raffensperger, Secretary of State, to open his infamous secret election bunker to Georgia State election poll workers and board workers on primary night.
00:27:28.760Fulton County Chief Judge Ural Glanville signing a temporary restraining order granting bipartisan members of the Georgia State Election Board and poll watchers full access of Secretary of State Raffensperger's secretive election bunker, the Underground Emergency Operations Center, where statewide vote totals from 159 counties are aggregated and prepared for public release on this critical primary election night.
00:27:53.080The temporary restraining order comes just hours before Georgia's critical May 19th primary elections, marking a massive win for election integrity and advocates who have been demanding transparency, the very official task with running their quote-unquote fair elections.
00:28:09.940Now, Raffensperger office planned to tally and report Georgia's primary results from an undisclosed secure emergency bunker in metro Atlanta, of all places,
00:28:20.040off-limits facility coordinated with Georgia's emergency management agency that had been completely closed to candidates, the public, and even bipartisan members of the state election boards.
00:28:29.620Huh. His team, Raffensperger, that is, reportedly denied access and request for access, claiming no ballots are actually counted there, just pre-certified county results are aggregated.
00:28:43.260What is he so worried about and why is he trying to be so secretive?
00:28:47.500Now, Georgia, we remember Fulton County, the ballots dumped in the middle of the night, the ballots driven in minivans and box trucks and dumped out the back of trucks.
00:28:57.080We all remember how that played out. And then we all remember how the 2020 election played out.
00:29:04.080So once again, another massive win towards election integrity, towards truth, justice in the American way and towards hoping that another election is never stolen again.
00:29:17.280And people like Raffensperger need to be investigated. I mean, he was one of the top honchos in the 2020 election.
00:29:27.080who did absolutely nothing to ensure that the election was honestly counted.
00:29:36.240As a matter of fact, he subjugated and hid when things needed to be exposed.
00:29:46.140So a massive win tonight for the great state of Georgia.
00:29:50.840Tim, big money knows socialism doesn't work anymore.
00:32:23.960As a matter of fact, AOC came out, and I got to give AOC credit where it's due because AOC came out and I think told the truth for the first time, at least that I can remember.
00:32:40.300And she pretty much said that, oh, actually, you know,
00:32:44.360we can bring you the video and we can watch it together so you can see.
00:32:49.740Let's see if we can get that up there for you.
00:35:04.980The same thing with Marjorie Taylor Brown.1.00
00:35:09.540Nobody wants to deal with someone who's temperamental and bitches and moans every single time they don't get their way and throws a temper tantrum and pouts.1.00
00:37:42.980And I'll never forget, I still have the text from her communications director telling me how wrong it was that Lou would do something like that.
00:37:52.520Now, Lou wasn't swayed by anyone's comments or anything like that.
00:37:57.460He didn't quite honestly care what they had to say.
00:38:00.800And he would never duck from the truth or hide from the truth.
00:38:03.700so I waited some time to let one call cool off and I eventually told him about the text
00:38:09.520and boy was he I don't know if he was more mad at me for not telling him sooner
00:38:14.000or more mad that I had gotten the text Lou was a man I talk about every day on the show
00:38:20.980as much as I can I should say he was just one of a kind he was one of a kind
00:38:28.860i thought brian glenn was still hiding under the table in dc hotel
00:38:33.540because he thought those shots were fired was mtg coming for him
00:38:37.140he's uh he's not gonna have smooth sailing ahead
00:38:40.820i i do feel for him because he's a nice uh
00:38:45.460well-tamed well-mannered man and to be dealing with
00:38:48.580marge i think is gonna be uh kind of rough for him
00:38:52.620so we're pulling for him folks that is all for us tonight here on the great
00:38:57.160America show. Polls are finishing, closing up in just moments. So we should have an election
00:39:02.500result tonight on this race very, very shortly, hopefully. And as I said, the test of MAGA,
00:39:11.200the test of the MAGA power and all of that that comes with it is on full display tonight
00:39:16.860as we find out if President Trump has the grip on the Republican Party and has the grip on MAGA