00:04:42.860That's actually even to the left of the NDP.
00:04:45.480If the Quebec Solidaire-type voters come out for the replacement for the outgoing NDP MP,
00:04:55.560they'll potentially be able to capture that riding again,
00:04:58.340but it's a riding that could get pulled in a few different directions.
00:05:01.220I actually assume that they will be able to hold the area because the Liberals are kind of on a bit of a downstroke nationally, but especially in Quebec, and if the riding was already occupied by a non-Liberal option, I suspect the voters are mostly just going to stick with that party, just as I think they're also going to stick with the Bloc Quebecois in the other riding.
00:05:24.000But now we are getting into some of the more interesting ridings, Laurier St. Marie. You will know this riding as the Montreal riding that was previously held by Stephen Guibault. Now, the Liberals are actually putting up a former Desjardins CEO as their candidate, something Hormier. I don't remember the man's name. It's probably a good candidate overall, you know, someone with high business pedigree.
00:05:50.680I'm wondering, though, with the more left-wing culture of that riding, running a CEO of an insurance company is not actually going to be the best possible choice.
00:06:01.500It'll be interesting to see what happens now that Guibo left because the party was not being green enough,
00:06:08.000and if that's going to hurt them and bleed support over to both the MVP as well as the Bloc Quebecois,
00:06:14.720who in fact is a very greeny party overall too, despite the fact that they're also nationalistic.
00:06:21.140The Bloc Quebecois makes so little sense in many ways.
00:06:23.600But the main event in the by-elections is Brantford-Brant-South.
00:06:29.360This writing was held by the Conservatives, and their MP up until recently was Larry Brock.
00:06:36.720Now, there has been internal drama over the fact the party appointed a candidate.
00:06:41.260He was, I believe, the former mayor of Brantford or Brant or whatever, I don't know.
00:06:47.300Apparently, a lot of people were upset that he was appointed over another candidate who I believe is actually running as an independent in this election.
00:06:55.160A lot of people are saying that it's kind of the leadership test riding of Pierre Polyev.
00:07:01.860If the conservatives can hold this riding, it can stay blue, then he can stay on his leader.
00:07:07.620If it goes liberal, then Pierre Polyev may get ousted by the caucus.
00:10:04.800Good conversation with President Donald Trump on the future of Canada-U.S. trade.
00:10:08.680This builds on our recent constructive discussions on the outlines of a mutually beneficial trade deal that would create jobs for our workers,
00:10:16.400boost affordability for families, and fully respect Canada's languages, culture, and sovereignty.
00:10:22.320Our teams will be now working in the coming weeks to deliver that outcome.
00:10:28.860He doesn't even really use the term trade deal here.
00:10:31.880We're going to try and negotiate to get towards the outcome, the outcome being, you know, affordability and respect for languages and culture and sovereignty and whatnot.
00:10:42.500This is just some red meat so that the media can pretend that maybe he's got Trump right where he wants him and that Carney's elbows up approach to trade policy is just about to pay off.
00:10:52.900So everyone in the by-elections definitely, definitely cast a vote for the liberals.
00:10:57.600Definitely vote for them because Carney put out a tweet saying he's talking to Trump again,
00:11:01.940even though the last few times that he did this, he ended up being the one to walk away from the table
00:11:06.680and get absolutely nothing done, give a bunch of concessions for nothing in return.0.98
00:11:11.840At the same time, he's getting into stupid bun fights with the U.S. administration.0.96
00:11:16.640This is also what's probably currently sinking his EU associate member dream.
00:11:21.460Why, even though they're not pro-Trump countries by any stretch of the imagination, why would the Germans, the Italians, the Greeks, and all the other EU countries who have a problem with the Canadian associate EU membership want Canada to suddenly join them at a time when those countries are trying to keep a diplomatically good relationship with the US?
00:11:42.900You don't want to partner with Carney, who has beef with Donald Trump.
00:11:46.720You don't even trade a lot with Canada.
00:11:50.020Don't let him join the club so you can focus on repairing and growing your relationship with the U.S.
00:11:55.680That's obviously what a lot of the European leaders are thinking.
00:11:58.600Doesn't matter if they like Trump or not.
00:12:00.200Apparently, even Emmanuel Macron doesn't really want Canada to join.
00:12:04.080Not because he's a big Trump fan, but because you don't want to look like you're co-signing on Mark Carney's tit-for-tat fight with Donald Trump.
00:12:11.740Did Donald Trump start it by putting the tariffs in place? Sure. But Carney is not dealing with it very well. And when there's a powerful economic force fighting a less powerful economic force, if you're Europe and you don't really have any skin in the emotional battle, you're just going to go with the bigger country, which is America.
00:12:30.600So I'm wondering if this is trying to achieve a few goals at once. Carney is trying to make himself look a little bit more diplomatic to the EU when it comes to dealing with the Americans. He's also trying to go to the business liberals in his base, which are the biggest portion of voters in the country.
00:12:46.280Not like 40%, but, you know, if we were to kind of break up each type of voter into a fraction of the electorate, you know, you get your public sector union voters, you get your right-wing populists, you get your, you know, socially conservative yet fiscally liberal maritime voters.
00:13:08.000Business liberals are probably like a good chunk, like a good quarter of the entire country.
00:13:12.480People who on social issues are kind of agnostic, if not slightly socially liberal, but they mainly vote in order to kind of shore up their economic position.
00:13:23.600Those people, when they saw Carney basically acting like it was no big deal, just waiting two more years to get a different president to get a trade deal with,
00:13:32.140they probably had hit the bug lights and said, Carney, get on the phone, talk to him.
00:13:37.840You being, for some reason, scared of talking to Donald Trump makes us wonder if we need the conservatives in.
00:13:43.800And I wonder if that is now causing Carney to say, OK, I'll get on the phone.
00:13:47.680I'll tweet about it. I'll make it look like we have some progress to keep the coalition together.
00:13:51.960Now, he can't be too warm because he could lose the Charlie Angus, Laura Babcock, you know, elbows up liberal voter.
00:13:59.680That's the kind of strange tightrope that Carney's having to walk right now.
00:14:03.340He has to pretend he wants a trade deal.
00:14:05.200At the same time, he has to make it seem unlikely we're ever going to work with the Americans, because they're so awful, to keep both the business liberals and elbows-up liberals on the same team.0.86
00:14:15.340But now, let's move on to another video I want to talk about, and that is this just stupid clip from a press conference today where the media is trying to make the by-elections about liberal fundraising against conservative fundraising.0.78
00:14:33.360Polyev did this press conference with the Canadian Taxpayers Federation in Ottawa,0.89
00:14:39.580talking about cutting wasteful spending and trying to get Canada's economy back on the right track.
00:14:45.380The same day the by-elections were announced, this was probably scheduled in advance, obviously,
00:14:49.360and the media asks him, what do you think about Carney's Liberals out-fundraising you in the last quarter?