00:00:09.400The Alberta MDP and their extremely smug leader Nahid Nenshi are trying to accuse Premier Danielle Smith and the UCP government
00:00:18.100of rigging or cheating in the next provincial election in October 2027 by engaging in mega-style gerrymandering.
00:00:27.600The claim couldn't be any further from the truth. If you remember the 2023 Alberta provincial election, the Notley MDP nearly won the majority of seats and it basically came down to 2,000 votes in the city of Calgary that allowed Daniel Smith's UCP to pull out the election victory, despite the fact the UCP won the popular vote by 8.5%.
00:00:56.100Basically, the Nenshi NDP are mad at the new riding maps because they no longer get to play on very easy mode.
00:01:04.400They're complaining that, oh my goodness, you're mixing some rural bedroom community areas into Calgary ridings,
00:01:10.820but we should be trying to keep like communities together.
00:01:14.140The NDP actually gerrymandered the maps back in 2017.
00:01:18.320Yes, it was an independent commission that did it, but when you allow public bureaucrats to change the maps,
00:01:23.680they're probably going to skew things at least a little bit in favor of the NDP. And that's really
00:01:29.680what things looked like. Yes, the UCP won the 2019 election easily, but that's just because
00:01:35.400the NDP were extremely unpopular. We saw how unfair those maps were in 2023, which was a very
00:01:42.600tight election when it came down to seats, even though the UCP won the popular vote by a country
00:01:48.840mile. Now the UCP is actually making the riding boundaries more fair, and even they're not
00:01:54.800drawing it themselves. They have a judge who is drawing up the riding boundaries alongside people
00:02:01.740who were appointed onto the new committee by both the NDP and the UCP, and by the way, they actually
00:02:08.580got balanced appointments. It's not a situation where there's a new committee where there's six
00:02:13.880UCP members and there's one NDP member. There's two NDP, two UCP, and there is an independent
00:02:20.140judge who is leading this committee. And the NDP are not satisfied with the riding boundaries
00:02:25.680because, let's be clear, they are not very popular and they need the boundaries to be rigged in their
00:02:32.380favor in order to win. I can understand for Nenshi and the NDP, having a fair map feels like rigging
00:02:39.260against them because they've been so used to playing on easy mode. So this is what the map
00:02:45.140is going to look like for the city of Calgary. The main changes here, there are some new ridings
00:02:50.860because they added four new ridings. And by the way, three out of the four new ridings are probably
00:02:55.800going to be won by the NDP. This is not the UCP trying to draw themselves up a bunch of easy wins.
00:03:02.260On the west side of the city, outside of the obviously fully new ridings, the main changes
00:03:07.880are places like Calgary Bow has become Calgary Bow Springbank, Calgary West has become Calgary
00:03:14.140West Springbank, Calgary Glenmore has become Calgary Glenmore Sutina, and so on and so forth.
00:03:21.940Lougheed, Shaw, and some other ridings have also been re-drawn, and the main difference is that
00:03:27.280they are now outside of the city in part. Now, to call Springbank like rural Alberta would be
00:03:34.000kind of a misnomer. Yes, it's not in the city of Calgary and is technically in a rural county,
00:03:40.680but it's a bedroom community of the city of Calgary. What these new boundaries basically do
00:03:46.800is it requires the NDP to at least come somewhat close to winning the provincial
00:03:51.820elections popular vote in order to actually win the most seats. There are still easy urban
00:03:58.260ridings for the NDP to win on this map, but the problem is now they at least have to have
00:04:03.160some appeal to people, maybe not even in rural areas, but in this kind of those small town
00:04:08.920bedroom community areas in order to actually pull out a victory. I'm sorry, gone are the days where
00:04:15.680the NDP can win 43% of the vote compared to the UCP's 50% and actually win the election.
00:04:23.180I want to get into now question period in the Alberta legislature today because Nenshi acts
00:04:29.360like such a smug dweeb about this entire process as if somehow Daniel Smith is obviously in the
00:04:36.280wrong. But if you look at the numbers, he's just coming across like a lying cheater. He is lying0.98
00:04:43.620about what Daniel Smith is doing because he wants to cheat in the next election. He wants the
00:04:49.520boundaries drawn based on pure population distribution, even if people in Alberta and
00:04:55.960Edmonton are disproportionately likely to be non-citizens. That's what the new map tends to
00:05:02.160balance a little better. The NDP complained, oh, the rural ridings don't have as many people in
00:05:06.980them as a Calgary urban riding, but a Calgary urban riding can have upwards of 20% non-citizens
00:05:14.140in them. So effectively, the NDP wants non-citizens to have voting power greater than actual Canadian
00:05:21.920citizens like come on give me a break but check out this uh moment in question period
00:05:29.440perhaps the premier should do some reachers research that doesn't come from her lobbyist
00:05:33.440friends now the premier said something yesterday that i've really been reflecting on it was a
00:05:37.440throwaway comment she said the maps drawn by notley but that kind of gives it away doesn't it
00:05:43.680because she thinks that the previous premier drew the maps which is why she actually believes that
00:05:49.360she's justified in drawing her own maps of course rachel notley accepted the findings
00:05:54.960of an independent commission that were actually bad for the ndp ask these two right here
00:06:00.720but they were not bad for the ndp he's simply saying they're bad for the ndp because oh wow
00:06:07.200the new map in 2017 didn't result in ndp victory in 2019 the map was better for the ndp it just
00:06:14.640happens to be that their policies pull like rat poison so notley got absolutely drummed out by
00:06:21.600jason kenny and the ucp at the time in 23 that's when we actually saw the effects of those new maps
00:06:28.560where the ndp came within like that close of winning in the city of calgary despite the fact
00:06:34.880that the popular vote was not only won by 8.5 percent by the ucp but the ucp won a majority
00:06:42.000of the popular vote despite there being a few other parties that they had to run against the
00:06:46.920alberta liberals the ndp the al the alberta party there are some other separatist parties
00:06:51.940and yet the ucp still won 52 percent of the overall popular vote but again then she's trying
00:06:58.840to snake away from the fact that obviously the previous maps whether it's done by an independent
00:07:04.300commission or not were unfairly drawn in the ndp's favor maybe not intentionally but that was the net
00:07:11.300effect allowing the ndp to almost win majority governments despite losing the popular vote
00:07:18.260by a massive margin an eight and a half point defeat by the way is like what the republicans
00:07:24.820lose in a typical state election in connecticut connecticut is considered a safe democrat state
00:07:31.860and yet in a presidential election trump comes within usually about eight points ten points of
00:07:37.940winning the state of connecticut and nobody would ever think that those delegates should really be
00:07:42.500going towards donald trump we see how much he loses by and you're like oh yeah that's a safe
00:07:47.620democrat state alberta is a safe conservative province but the ndp wants everything drawn up
00:07:54.420along margins that include non-citizens in order so they can pull out election victories
00:08:01.060the premier seems to want to draw her own does she understand that's wrong
00:08:07.940Okay, I could have said the maps that were presented from an Electoral Boundary Commission
00:08:15.940that occurred at the time that Rachel Knott-Willy was Premier, that's what I meant, Mr. Speaker.
00:08:20.940And the member office has missed the main point, which even the CBC has realized.
00:08:26.940If this is gerrymandering, it's the worst gerrymandering ever, because they get more seats under this map
00:08:33.940than they would have under the old electoral boundaries mr speaker there is no story here0.92
00:08:39.700they would get three more seats we'd get an additional one he's being ridiculous
00:08:46.340honorable member well it surprises noel burton that this government is responsible for the worst0.85
00:08:50.740everything ever and she could have said that but she didn't say it and the fact that she didn't
00:08:55.860say it tells you exactly how she's thinking and this is a pattern with this premier he just skates
00:09:02.020over every point she makes it's hard to watch nenshi in question period i feel like even if
00:09:07.420you support the ndp you would consider his performance to be too much a lot of the time
00:09:13.000he just skated over the fact that she pointed out on net based on current polls the ndp benefit
00:09:20.320from the new maps we did create three new rural sorry three new urban ridings and one new rural
00:09:27.600riding, but boundaries have been changed to better reflect the population distribution of the city
00:09:33.320and the fact that a lot of people who work in Calgary live in places like Springbank,
00:09:39.140not technically in the city, but goodness, like what's actually so unfair by including Springbank
00:09:45.960in Calgary West and Calgary Bow. He doesn't want to say, well, it's because it makes it impossible
00:09:50.460for me to win the riding. Is it really that impossible to appeal to people who live in
00:09:54.440Springbank to vote for you? The NDP needs every single riding like it was under the old map to
00:10:00.640dog leg into downtown Calgary in order for them to pull out these extremely marginal victories to
00:10:06.900try and win the entire election. Shouldn't it be? Isn't it more fair? I'm not saying they have to
00:10:11.680win the popular vote to win the election. I'm not advocating for proportional representation,
00:10:17.320but the thing is that first past the post, when done properly, should make it that you at least
00:10:23.180have to come close to winning the popular vote to win the election. Should it necessarily matter
00:10:28.360that in Rocky Mountain House Sundry, the UCP win by dictatorship numbers for the voters in Calgary?
00:10:34.940Not exactly, but it should be close. If the NDP won a majority government having lost the popular
00:10:40.440vote by 3%, fair enough. Okay, the UCP does super, super well in rural ridings, but should that
00:10:46.780necessarily affect who Calgary voters are electing. Fair enough. That's fine. Eight and a
00:10:53.120half percent? Okay, now we're getting ridiculous. And in fact, in certain scenarios, the NDP could0.91
00:10:59.660lose upwards of 10% in the popular vote and still pull out an election victory. The new map
00:11:06.220basically requires them to at least attempt to be winning the popular vote in order to actually
00:11:12.160control the entire province. She thought she was a U.S. governor. She thought she could pardon her
00:11:17.540friends. She thought she could tell the police who to arrest. She could tell prosecutors who
00:11:21.800to prosecute. The ethics commissioner already caught her on that. This past weekend, she said
00:11:26.460she was shocked to discover that the people she appointed to her independent human rights commission
00:11:30.880believed in human rights and were independent. Does she know she's not the queen of Alberta?
00:11:35.640every question he asks in question period in the alberta legislature is just what you call0.84
00:11:45.400gish galloping he just brings throws things out at you he just throws a dozen darts at you0.61
00:11:51.600doesn't ever stick to a particular coherent point and then skates over the answer when he doesn't1.00
00:11:58.560really like the reality of the matter well it's it's really difficult to watch this guy like again
00:12:04.560i think he's a massive detriment to his own party because the average voter probably sees this guy
00:12:10.400as just a smug dweeb he's the type of guy who would like lean over the shoulder of a plumber
00:12:17.100working in his house to tell him how to do his job are you sure you should be doing that you know0.67
00:12:22.520my brother once said blah blah blah like nenshi thinks he can do your job better than you no
00:12:28.620matter what you do and no matter what his own experience is
00:12:31.500i'll just caution the member a little bit we it's a can be a point of order when you say what
00:12:39.600somebody else thinks at which you did several times so that's this is your gentle warning
00:12:45.220premier well mr speaker unlike the member opposite i waited until the report was presented
00:12:51.340in the legislature before i commented on it before i saw the maps before i was able to digest the
00:12:57.380results before I ran it, before I was able to watch the analysts run it through different
00:13:01.940computer models to determine that, yes indeed, these new maps benefit the NDP.
00:13:06.820That is absolutely the truth, Mr. Speaker.
00:13:09.760That is what the Electoral Boundary Commission proposed, that is what the former Justice
00:13:15.420Miller proposed, and it was based on recommendations that came from them, they've been implemented,