00:04:39.460this week? It became clearer after the Prime Minister's speech today. I am going to bet
00:04:46.140money, some obscure amount of dollars, because I'm not actually betting anybody. But I bet
00:04:51.760Cashola that she is going to somehow make this a problem of Pierre Polyev and the Conservatives,
00:04:58.740because that's what happened on CTV News when Vashi Capellos was interviewing Shavloy Majumdar
00:05:04.060three times in a row kept asking him, is it right for conservative MPs to call Mark Carney's moves0.94
00:05:10.980on the EU asinine and to react to it saying, what the actual hell? I think those are absolutely
00:05:19.120apt reactions because he did not run on this and he just sprung it on people and then lied about it.
00:05:24.760But apparently, according to Vashi Capellos in CTV News, the most important thing to take away
00:05:31.580from it. And the most important thing to ask Shavloy Majumdar, the conservative critic for
00:05:36.460Canada-U.S. relations, is why are you guys questioning this? You can question it, but why
00:05:41.620are you guys acting this way? The opposition isn't supposed to oppose? The media's job is not
00:05:49.020to critique how the opposition opposes the government. Sometimes it's relevant, but my
00:05:53.860goodness, it's always the top thing they always bring up, how the opposition reacts.
00:05:57.860What this is going to be about. He did put down some markers about what it would be like.
00:06:04.060What is your impression of the case that he's making for this in this moment?
00:06:11.200Well, I think I might quiver a little bit with you. I'm not sure that we really know exactly what it's about.
00:06:17.220But I do think that there's a bit of like putting the toothpaste back in the tube.
00:06:21.820I think there are good reasons, and the prime minister did a very good job of kind of linking our ties, Canada, with the European Union and with European countries.
00:06:33.420Which ones? We already signed, we already put forward a free trade agreement for them with them in 2013 under Stephen Harper.
00:06:41.120We already have defense alliances with them in the form of NATO and other more minor ones.
00:06:46.580what else do we need what we're going to pay the money to keep being able to do free trade with
00:06:52.240them that doesn't seem like free trade what we're going to have to we're going to take their
00:06:55.880censorship laws and their insane open borders immigration policies for just for the fun of it0.98
00:07:01.420like what is the actual benefit here we just like she can't even list anything she just keeps
00:07:05.660vaguely uh like inferring that mark carney had a good idea um and the necessity to work more
00:07:12.500closely with like-minded nations. But in terms of what it actually is, I don't know. I mean,
00:07:20.140the government says basically stay tuned until October 30th at the summit in Montreal. We know
00:07:25.540that they want to work more closely on AI, on defense in the Arctic. We know that the prime
00:07:31.160minister spoke that it's not going to deal with agricultural goods, for example. That doesn't
00:07:36.500mean you have to join the EU. That would be as asinine as saying that you had to become the 51st0.65
00:07:41.240state of the United States if you wanted to trade with them. Because, well, frankly, Europe doesn't0.77
00:07:47.740want what we would like to send to them. But in terms of what it means, like the risks that were
00:07:53.020outlined by Pierre Polyev in your clip there, we know that those are not things that the government
00:07:59.280is necessarily talking about. There may be some quivering. How can she say that what Pierre
00:08:04.640Polyev is saying about the concept of a deal is wrong if you've admitted you don't even know what
00:08:10.880this is about. That's always the funny thing. They have no clue what Mark Carney is doing,
00:08:14.560but they definitely know it's not what the Conservatives are saying it is.
00:08:18.900On the immigration front, in terms of like, you know, whenever you say that you're going to have
00:08:23.880visa-free travel for students, for example, is there a cap to that number? If so, like,
00:08:29.000could you have a whole bunch of people moving here and then qualifying for subsidized tuition?
00:08:33.140What concerns would that raise? But we don't know enough. The government has not been transparent.
00:08:38.840frankly, had told us last week that the Wall Street Journal story was not true. So it's hard
00:08:44.920to have an opinion when the opinion is not quite informed. Sure. Yeah. And I can at least give her
00:08:50.360that she actually did refer to the fact that the Wall Street Journal article came out, then the
00:08:54.120liberals denied it. And now we're actually now we're talking about an associate membership
00:08:58.200that was apparently completely obviously not happening based on the denial that someone from
00:09:05.920the Liberal government gave to CTV News last week. It hasn't been, I mean, it hasn't been well
00:09:12.040handled, that's for sure, since that report out on Sunday in terms of what was real and what wasn't.
00:09:17.540But there is a little bit more meat on the bone because of the Prime Minister, Chantal. So what
00:09:21.480do you make of what he's saying and what he's not saying, to Althea's point?
00:09:26.820Well, what he's not saying is we are going to accept another layer of bureaucracy coming from
00:09:33.740brussels and the european union so uh anyone who wants to take a shot at that is shooting
00:09:41.220at the target that doesn't even exist it's called well yes because he stayed vague about what it
00:09:46.840means you can't just say well if your pure polyam is trying to fire shots at this agreement at this
00:09:54.480potential partnership over uh you know having to follow eu laws or having to pay the eu money or
00:10:01.160or immigration you're firing shots at a target that doesn't exist because mark carney has not
00:10:07.060put any meat on the bones unlike what rosemary barton is claiming if it was a great idea you
00:10:13.580would give details in like fulsome details i'm not expecting everything's written up and that
00:10:19.020they're going to be pursuing this thing like you know in earnest as of like you know tomorrow
00:10:23.680i'm just saying that you would think that he'd be able to lay out what he'd like to see out of an
00:10:28.100agreement what he'd like to see from an associate membership and he's deliberately saying nothing
00:10:33.580and then we criticize the opposition for having criticisms because they can they have imaginations
00:10:39.900they could imagine what this would entail because we know what other eu members have to do so we're
00:10:45.400going to assume that an associate membership is going to be somewhat like that but no you can't
00:10:50.140say that because we haven't actually detailed what it's going to be yet like well isn't that
00:10:53.460convenient that you can just stay vague and that means that you're not allowed to be criticized
00:10:57.100Kicking open a door that's already open. Closer ties, not a secret. Lots of details to come. An interesting proposition that is, I think, welcomed by most Canadians until further notice.
00:11:14.680I think it's really too early for any party to say, I'm against this. And I'm thinking of the Conservatives here.
00:11:25.200i think in general when it comes to a big change you should be more so against it until it's proven
00:11:31.440to be good i i don't like this liberal mentality of just be in favor of this come on look at the
00:11:36.980polling that says people want to join the eu it is true that polling did come out showing that
00:11:42.000well you know 49 or 48 percent of canadians or i think it was like 47 would be open to joining
00:11:47.180the eu as a member and only like 29 or 30 percent opposed it and then there was a bunch undecided
00:11:52.740But the problem is people are answering the polls on the EU question in the context of the United
00:11:58.600States. It's a really big problem with polling right now. And I think that's also why you see
00:12:04.460so many polls where the liberals have leads that I think are unrealistic. People are answering the
00:12:09.940question with a phantom Trump in their mind. Every time they're asked who they're going to
00:12:14.040vote for nationally or what do you think about the EU or what do you think about like literally
00:12:18.900anything. People imagine, okay, what would Trump do? I want to do the opposite of that. So they're
00:12:24.260like, Trump would probably vote for Pierre Polyev. So I'm going to vote for Mark Carney. Trump would
00:12:28.800probably not want us to join the EU. So I want to join the EU because it's better than joining the
00:12:33.000United States when neither thing needs to be on the table whatsoever. And that's the thing that
00:12:38.460is so frustrating whenever people act like there is massive support for this or it's significant.
00:12:43.660It's like, it's really not. In that case, it actually is so early going. You can't really
00:12:48.340poll people on something that has no detail to it but the opposition can criticize it for what it
00:12:53.940could be when the government refuses to give detail and this is apparently something that
00:12:57.860carney's been thinking about for like a year and he has nothing to actually say in terms of what
00:13:02.260you'd like your relationship to look like uh this is the the party that started what is called cita
00:13:08.820the the european trade agreement between canada and the european union so if this is an extension
00:13:18.420of that how can you be against that before you've even seen anything because if you already have
00:13:25.780the part you want which is free trade why do we need more that's like saying well i don't even
00:13:32.980and know how to compare that to if it's like saying I really like getting you know I'm a fan
00:13:40.120of A&W food I like to get a burger from A&W sometimes and then you say well don't you want
00:13:47.080to integrate more with A&W in your life and I'm like well I don't want to you know get a job or
00:13:53.200you know give them any more money for no reason it would be like that kind of like there's it's0.99
00:13:58.400honestly such a weird thing to say it's hard to even find an example that encapsulates how stupid0.97
00:14:03.300that is we already have what we want what like it's like well it's just shouldn't canada just0.88
00:14:09.160become a full eu member maybe canada should just be owned by the eu because it's more of what we
00:14:13.820want you know working with the eu is more of what we want so we should be open to anything
00:14:18.080obviously not the magic words in politics and policy are it depends it depends it really
00:14:25.560depends on what it is that relates to it i don't know me i tend to keep an open mind
00:14:32.480come back to canada show me the details we'll see but nothing there's no deal on the table
00:14:39.120nothing is being negotiated or signed but i do take it as a positive sign because if you're
00:14:45.880going to diversify away from the u.s then you should be looking at europe sure among other
00:14:53.660places. And the fact that the Prime Minister has said he'll put it in front of Parliament for a
00:14:57.960vote, I mean, I think that probably is helpful for the opposition parties as well. Andrew,
00:15:03.240what do you make of it? Well, the fact that no one knows what's in it has not deterred anybody
00:15:07.240from running to say what's in it, either to exaggerate it in the case of the Conservatives
00:15:12.660who've been mounting, frankly, a hysteria campaign about stuff that is never going to happen. There's
00:15:16.940not going to be Canadian members of the EU. We're not going to have... That's never not what they've
00:15:22.340said he's calling it hysterical for the conservatives to say we don't want to be an
00:15:26.620associate member of the eu have no voting power which is how an associate membership works but
00:15:31.340then have a bunch of responsibilities to them but maybe have to follow a bunch of their policies
00:15:35.240but maybe have to give out visas to any member anyone who lives in the eu who could be migrants1.00
00:15:41.620that we don't want getting into our country those are absolutely rational things to have a problem0.92
00:15:47.780with but it's always it's it's hysteria to have a problem with what we can absolutely infer about it0.88
00:15:54.980and they're not saying this is exactly what it is they're saying we don't want it if it includes any
00:15:59.380of this stuff which why do we need an associate membership if you don't want to get involved in
00:16:04.180that stuff like eu governance and policy and and green energy standards and all that other stuff
00:16:09.700because we already have the free trade agreement so what else are you looking for what is what else
00:16:14.500does more integration actually mean what does closer ties mean if not the things that the
00:16:20.020conservatives are pointing out could be part of it and having an issue with the european parliament
00:16:24.980running our affairs we're not going to be paying eu taxes we're not going to have okay so apparently
00:16:30.740andrew coin nothing's been said but he knows that these things are not going to be part of it stuff
00:16:34.820that is never going to happen there's not going to be canadian members of the eu we're not going
00:16:39.540going to have the European Parliament running our affairs we're not going to be paying EU taxes
00:16:43.420it's just what about regulating our affairs what about paying some fees to be part of it
00:16:49.860he said that we're not going to be members of the European Union but Mark Carney and
00:16:54.880the president the the the commissioner Ursula von der Leyen said that we want we could be an
00:17:02.580associate member so what is he talking about are we a member are we not does he know something we
00:17:07.280don't know Andrew Coyne is a husk of a human being he just his opinions are like basically
00:17:14.980geared they are calculated triangulated to being the most boringly sycophantic position for the
00:17:23.720current liberal government he is somebody who just simply likes whoever is in power because
00:17:29.120he is a massive establishment shill and he is a shill he literally gets paid to have these0.99
00:17:34.900crappy middle of the road who gives a crap opinions on CBC. But now let's jump ahead to0.99
00:17:40.560the segment that they did on the investment summit, because this was where it's kind of
00:17:44.320interesting, where even Andrew Coyne admits that the whole thing was a nothing burger,
00:17:48.400even though we were told it was so important. It was so great that Mark Carney was gathering
00:17:52.920all these people in the room to hear him talk about minor changes he was making to the investment
00:17:57.500environment. At issue, Mark Carney's investment summit, the PM is trying to position Canada as a
00:18:03.400reliable trading partner with the government claiming nearly 500 billion dollars in new
00:18:08.400commitments. Because we have much of what the world wants, because we're a reliable partner,
00:18:14.580we are finding that we're able to deepen, broaden our trading network. So we will be
00:18:21.560one of the countries in which capital can flow freely. Here to break down Mark Carney's pitch
00:18:29.420to invest in Canada. Chantal, Andrew, and Althea. Andrew, why don't you start us off on this one?
00:18:33.420How did you think that that summit went? Certainly, there was a lot of buzz. And that was part of the
00:18:39.240goal was to get people talking about investing in Canada. Yeah, I thought it was a lot of overhype
00:18:44.320to start with. Of the $500 billion, $325 billion is over five years from Canadian banks making
00:18:51.580loans. Well, that's what Canadian banks are supposed to do. It's not actually that new or
00:18:55.620that large. So did you hear that? That is over two-thirds of the money that Mark Carney is
00:19:01.960claiming is going to be brought into the economy from what he's been doing by signing random MOUs
00:19:07.860around the world and getting commitments for investment in Canada. Two-thirds of it, more than
00:19:13.000two-thirds of it, is already what the government was preparing to give out anyways. It's what the
00:19:18.620Canadian banks were already prepared to basically loan companies in order to start new businesses
00:19:23.880or expand or do whatever. So the rest of it, like $100 million in the ballpark of $150 million,
00:19:31.900that $150 billion, that's like the real money being invested here apparently from outside that
00:19:38.400we would have never gotten if it wasn't for Mark Carney. No. Mark Carney has nothing to do with
00:19:44.680foreign investment like that. If anything, if he just cut taxes and shut up, we would be doing way
00:19:50.000better but mark carney needs to have his fingers in the pot whenever money is entering the economy
00:19:55.600so he can pretend that he's a wizard and he's making things happen through his presence this
00:20:00.300is no one there's no big there's nothing no big development came out of the summit it was basically
00:20:06.800just propaganda for mark carney it seemed like a tough guy standing up to trump and you know going
00:20:11.840his own way and getting his own investments without needing the americans um and you don't
00:20:17.760need to gather a bunch of people in a hotel ballroom to get them to either people to pitch
00:20:22.780their projects or financiers to invest. And that's what they do again all the time. They're very
00:20:27.820versed in it. They're quite adept at it. What I think it might have had more impact on is the
00:20:32.520kinds of policy announcements that followed from it. There's no shortage of capital out there to
00:20:37.980invest. What's been the problem is investable projects because A, we've tied them up in knots
00:20:42.380regulatory wise and b we've had very high rates of taxation particularly at the margin well we had
00:20:49.440big announcements particularly on the tax side that no we did not i explained in another video
00:20:55.560that this is a giant nothing it's not like companies don't appreciate it fair enough there
00:21:00.660are going to be some companies who do consider this to be a significant change you have to be
00:21:04.880a company dealing in pretty massive scale before you're excited at all by what mark carney announced
00:21:10.580What he did was his mega deduction is not a bad idea.
00:21:15.080It could maybe help kickstart some investment in Canada, but it doesn't solve the medium and long term investment problems that Canada has.
00:21:23.260What the mega deduction allows you to do is for a certain period of time, the government is allowing you for every dollar that you invest in the economy.
00:21:32.080let's say that you have a mine and you buy a giant you buy some giant trucks to haul you know
00:21:38.480soil and minerals out of it and you buy a new crane for your like you know your construction
00:21:44.320company and you buy you know you buy you build a warehouse or whatever for your import uh brand
00:21:50.780your import um you know company or whatever it doesn't matter what you're doing what the mega
00:21:55.540deduction will allow you to do is take those capital costs and write off 100 of the costs
00:22:00.200Now, companies already can write off business expenses, but what you usually have to do is write it off over time based on the depreciating value of that asset.
00:22:10.720You buy new company trucks and you expect that you're probably going to be using them for 8 to 10 years before you then, you know, get rid of them and buy new trucks.
00:22:20.300Okay, well, you can, let's say it's 10 years, you write off 10% of the value of that truck over the course that it's being used each year.
00:22:28.020And instead, you get to write off 100% of it right away.
00:22:39.600You get your tax dollars reduced earlier.
00:22:42.320But you're then paying more taxes in the long run after that.
00:22:45.360Maybe it can help kickstart more companies.
00:22:47.040But the main problem with Canada's economy right now is overall taxes and regulations.
00:22:54.360And the MAGA deduction, while it speeds up that deduction process, at the same time, you're just basically getting the same money back that you would in the long run faster, and it's a limited program that only exists for about a year or so.
00:23:09.740anyway so let's just get back to this but the whole idea that somehow this was some big exciting
00:23:14.820breaking piece of news out of the summit is ridiculous no it was not it was okay some people
00:23:20.520were praising it but overall it was kind of liberal kind of liberal sycophants who were the0.60
00:23:25.220main people who were talking about how great it was most other people were reacting to it as kind
00:23:29.780of like a i guess that's nice now could you fix the actual economy the the immediate expensing of
00:23:37.740investments, across two thirds of investments. Every economist will tell you this is huge and
00:23:42.680it's going to cut in half the marginal effective tax rate on that. That's the kind of thing really
00:23:47.480that it cuts in half the marginal effective tax rate for that year that it is active. After that,
00:23:55.300the tax rate is normal again. Before what you would do with your expensing over time is that
00:24:00.460your tax rate might be reduced by around, you know, 10 or 15 percent of the overall amount that
00:24:05.880you're paying and then you pay less over time unless you don't have any capital things to
00:24:11.080expense which you know most companies do unless it's like some sort of like online business that
00:24:16.000doesn't have any like real big capital costs this isn't actually fixing they keep just saying
00:24:22.500half the effective tax rate no the marginal effective tax rate is really not being
00:24:28.920modified by that, by anything. It's, again, the same thing we always had, faster for a limited
00:24:36.060amount of time. Investors, both domestically and abroad, need to hear. They need to hear things
00:24:41.200like, you know, one year, one review types of things to make more certain and more quick
00:24:47.080regulatory approval. These are the kinds of things that maybe this is a good platform to announce
00:24:52.540them when they've got people's attention. And I think following through on that was good. So
00:24:57.040I think it's been a good week for Canadian investment. The summit itself was a little bit
00:25:00.800gimmicky. Chantal? I still think that the main purpose of the summit was to send a double
00:25:09.600message to the Trump administration that there are others who want something from Canada and to
00:25:15.420Canadian. There are others what though? Of course that you can get people to show up and listen to
00:25:20.980you. It's not like the leaders of the world showed up to the investment summit. It would have been
00:25:24.480people representing certain, you know, financial groups or companies or whatever who were there to
00:25:30.000listen. Apparently, it wasn't really that many countries really represented in the crowd. Overall,
00:25:35.100it was kind of a limited number of people. And many of those companies mostly do business in
00:25:39.160the United States. And, you know, hey, they can just jump over the border and give you a listen.
00:25:44.000And that's kind of what happened. The idea that this is going to get like the Trump administration
00:25:48.020shaking in their boots is ridiculous. It's not. And they keep admitting that, yeah,0.77
00:25:54.040the actual summit itself was not very effective so how can the actual summit itself be gimmicky
00:25:58.780and not effective but it's sending a message to donald trump what it's sending him the message
00:26:04.040that we're not very good at this like donald trump just signed an agreement with denmark and
00:26:09.200greenland for more you know military autonomy over where they can set up bases and operate0.73
00:26:14.800in greenland now he could have probably gotten it without doing all the dumb hey we're maybe
00:26:19.960going to make the Greenland, the 51st state type stuff. It's silly, but that's Trump's style.0.97
00:26:24.920The thing is that Trump actually is getting deals done with all these countries that seemed
00:26:29.800unthinkable at the same time that Canada is not gaining more leverage on the United States
00:26:34.820and not getting a deal signed. We're in the worst of all possible worlds right now because Mark
00:26:40.320Carney's ego is too big to actually sit down and hammer out and horse trade his way to somewhat of
00:26:46.680a good deal. I don't need it to be perfect. It just needs to be pretty good. And he refuses to
00:26:51.720negotiate it because he doesn't want to actually accept that Donald Trump is a legitimate actor
00:26:56.760that he has to put up with. You don't have to like or dislike Trump to deal with him. You just have
00:27:01.400to like Canada more than you hate Trump in the United States. But Carney hates the US more than
00:27:06.860he actually likes Canada. Yes, that there are people who want something. I agree with Andrew
00:27:12.560about the bottom line of the actual summit.