00:00:00.060Hi folks, welcome to another one of our political chats. I'm joined by Dan, and today we're going to be talking about the strange but revelatory position that British politics is kind of shifting into.
00:00:09.760Because previously I've said that essentially the tectonic plates of British politics are shifting, and we're seeing it basically everywhere.
00:00:16.760And this is actually a really interesting time period in what is to come.
00:00:22.920Because there's something about the old world that's dying, and something about the new world that's being born.
00:00:27.340now i don't know whether that's good or bad just to be clear well the old world dying is definitely
00:00:32.780good yeah but the new world might not be any better yes better the devil it could be way worse
00:00:37.800well sure how but it could be sure but yeah but these things you never know in advance right yeah
00:00:44.040it can't possibly be worse and then you know millions dead in mouths great famines right my
00:00:48.360experience politics over my lifetime is things can always get worse so yeah i shouldn't be too
00:00:53.200hopeful exactly so anyway let's let's just begin with the polling because the polling is quite
00:00:58.140interesting this is uh you gov poll which is very very recent which shows reform and labor
00:01:03.800neck and neck on 23 percent the conservators on 20 i mean this has been pretty much unchanged
00:01:09.160about three weeks now it's been it's been a while uh yeah nothing nothing has shifted but this has
00:01:15.700um it's kind of like uh falling through a series of floors and then you hit a floor you think
00:01:22.840right i'm going to stay there but you can hear it creaking yes because something is going to change
00:01:26.580about this right um if we can actually click on oh it's a completely unstable position i mean it's
00:01:31.160we've got a two-party political system with five parties in it so yeah yeah and so here here is the
00:01:36.900polling of the time and as you can see burnham comes in and he gets this bounce and reform have
00:01:43.880gone down so on the average of the polls it's 24 22 so the yougov poll is pretty much smack in the
00:01:48.340middle it has them the conservative slightly over but that's fine um i kind of noticed though that
00:01:54.120everyone seems to be ticking down a bit isn't that interesting the average of the polls everyone's
00:01:59.520like yeah go down okay fine so we're in we're in this position where again there feels like
00:02:06.340there's something of a log jam we're waiting for it to to burst and help us get out um restore
00:02:12.440are doing fairly well four percent on average which is a fair start for a young party and uh
00:02:18.820we recently had a more in common poll that put us at six percent which yeah i mean the difference
00:02:22.420with this poll being that they actually prompted for restore yeah whereas most of them so when you
00:02:26.740see that average of on the previous screen of three that's because they don't prompt but as
00:02:30.440soon as you do prompt it's worth an extra six points and look my key takeaway from this is
00:02:35.580look now you've got labor and reform sort of about the same level because one of them is basically