00:12:50.100before I do my clever maths stuff at the end.
00:12:52.160but of the reform proper base so the people who actually voted for reform in 2024 yeah of those
00:12:59.36049 would consider restore so out of was about four and a half million people yep uh we're so
00:13:07.560we're looking at more than two and a half uh well almost two and a half million 2.25 yeah million
00:13:12.640people if this unravels it is game changing for the store and in six months yes anecdotally as
00:13:20.040Well, from my time up in Makerfield, where I was speaking to certain people who told me that they would be voting for Reform UK, not in all cases, but in many cases, what they would say is, we're going to vote for Reform UK this time, because it feels like the surest success in this by-election, but next time, come the general election, you can count on us.
00:13:42.700and if we get to the place of the general election where reform uk are not even really contenders in
00:13:49.780it then that's all going to inspire them more confidently to take the plunge yeah so anyway
00:13:55.720my clever maths that i did um it doesn't directly say this within there but you can work it out from
00:14:01.280the data so let's take that more in common poll yeah let's say that becomes a thing and then you
00:14:07.520apply this layer to it of preferences what you get is of the 22 points reform got in that one
00:14:15.740common poll um nine and a half points would consider restore okay so that that you could
00:14:24.560potentially if if parade quits the party basically implodes yeah you could add that's nine and a
00:14:30.780half points nine percentage points right just to yes nine percent right yeah yeah so so restore