00:00:00.000Hi, everybody. I woke up this morning. As always, I checked my messages and had this really angry message from a woman who was unbelievably irate at having to listen to my voice explaining the finding stemming from Margo Wilson and Martin Daly, two of the pioneers of evolutionary psychology, wherein they explained that the biggest predictor of child abuse
00:00:29.980in a home a hundredfold greater predicted than anything else is the presence of a step-parent.
00:00:39.680And so she wrote to me because she could not believe that I could say something so insane
00:00:44.020because she's a stepmother and she loves her stepdaughter and so on. You know, it really is
00:00:50.540baffling that a functioning adult can make such a statistical inferencing error, such a basic
00:01:00.740critical thinking error. Nearly all rapists are men. That statement holds true, even though most0.98
00:01:10.000men that you meet are not rapists. Nearly all pedophiles are men, even though most men you meet
00:01:18.780are not pedophile. Men are taller than women and bigger than women, even though your Aunt Jenny
00:01:28.300is taller and bigger than your Uncle Roscoe. So, a statement that holds true can hold,0.99
00:01:39.460can be true, can be veridical, even though it doesn't apply to your personal case.
00:01:47.160Smoking causes lung cancer even though your grandfather Joe smoked until he was 100