Timcast IRL - Tim Pool - LIVE Midterms - Democrats Accused Of Cheating, Polling Locations Down, Midterms GET HOT

00:01:56.000 Welcome, ladies and gentlemen.

00:01:58.000 Are the mics on?

00:02:01.000 They are on.

00:02:01.000 I just see election update on the screen.

00:02:04.000 I don't actually see any human beings.

00:02:06.000 Just says, Welcome to the election update, Timcast IRL, midterm election coverage.

00:02:13.000 Everybody is hanging out.

00:02:15.000 We have this huge roster of guests coming in.

00:02:17.000 And it's already getting downright crazy with accusations of cheating because we've got polling locations down, power outages.

00:02:24.000 There's some natural disasters.

00:02:26.000 There's already lawsuits.

00:02:27.000 I mean, I don't even know what's going on.

00:02:28.000 It's getting so dang crazy.

00:02:30.000 The craziest story so far, in my opinion, is that a man claims he may have accidentally voted for Decoy Dan in Alaska.

00:02:38.000 And reporting as of this morning is that Decoy Dan was nowhere to be found, got in a plane and flew from his home.

00:02:45.000 And everyone's trying to figure out where he went.

00:02:46.000 They don't know.

00:02:47.000 Maybe it doesn't mean anything, or maybe the dude is dipping out because he knows the feds are coming after him.

00:02:51.000 Listen, here's a guy who lived on a remote island that nobody could contact.

00:02:55.000 You had to fly there personally.

00:02:58.000 And now the feds are investigating him.

00:02:59.000 He might just be like, I'm going to go back to living on an island in Milanoa, right?

00:03:02.000 Nobody's going to find me.

00:03:03.000 So, we're going to be tracking all of this election information right now.

00:03:07.000 We've got the Kalshi election tracker.

00:03:09.000 You can see it right there, showing us a variety throughout the show of prediction, market odds, as well as the ticker down at the bottom.

00:03:17.000 And we are going to be tracking the polls as they come in.

00:03:20.000 I believe the first polls begin to close around seven.

00:03:23.000 But, ladies and gentlemen, we already have massive breaking news Guam has flipped.

00:03:29.000 There goes my bracket.

00:03:29.000 Guam.

00:03:30.000 My bracket's Boston.

00:03:32.000 And everybody knows it is a longstanding bellwether.

00:03:37.000 Territory that whatever Guam ends up being wins.

00:03:42.000 So that's always been the case.

00:03:44.000 I didn't just make that up right now as copium or hopium.

00:03:47.000 It's just, you know, no, actually, it's looking pretty bad for Republicans so far.

00:03:51.000 The turnout is insanely high and it is bad in Republican districts, Republican counties, and it is really good in Democrat areas.

00:04:00.000 So everybody's kind of just like, you know, it's going to be real bad for the Republicans.

00:04:04.000 My friends, shout out.

00:04:07.000 To calci.com.

00:04:09.000 Go to calci.com slash r slash midterm marathon.

00:04:13.000 Today's show is sponsored by Calci, and we're going to be tracking all those prediction markets and exactly what is going on.

00:04:19.000 So, shout out for sponsoring the show.

00:04:22.000 It's going to be great.

00:04:23.000 And make sure you go to castbrew.com, use promo code IRL20, get 20% off everything you buy, even subscriptions.

00:04:32.000 This means if this promo code expires, if you buy a subscription, it'll still be good forever on that subscription so long as it's active.

00:04:40.000 So, we're going to be tracking all the news in this early launched show.

00:04:43.000 It's going to be a lot of fun, my friends.

00:04:44.000 Smash the like button, share the show right now with everyone.

00:04:47.000 You know, we'll be reading your chats, super chats as well, and Rumble Rants.

00:04:51.000 So, thanks for joining us.

00:04:52.000 We got the crew.

00:04:54.000 We got the crew.

00:04:55.000 Hello, everyone.

00:04:56.000 What up?

00:04:57.000 What's going on?

00:04:58.000 How are we doing, ladies and gentlemen?

00:05:01.000 I'm aggravated and agitated and excited, all the above.

00:05:05.000 I just want all this foo fighting to go away.

00:05:08.000 I'm just still reeling.

00:05:10.000 Foo fighting?

00:05:10.000 Yeah, this back and forward bullshit.

00:05:12.000 I mean, let's unpack that.

00:05:13.000 What are you talking about?

00:05:15.000 Fighter is a reference to, yeah, yeah, yeah.

00:05:17.000 And I think that was about the song.

00:05:18.000 Ian was writing for Tate.

00:05:19.000 Well, what I mean is, I'm just tired of the left and right bullshit.

00:05:22.000 I want like people to come together for a greater purpose.

00:05:24.000 So maybe today can be the first show.

00:05:26.000 We're three minutes in.

00:05:27.000 We got to bleep.

00:05:27.000 I love you.

00:05:28.000 I'm to unite.

00:05:29.000 No, it's not.

00:05:30.000 Absolutely.

00:05:31.000 Both candidates and all both, they're awesome.

00:05:33.000 Like Democrats, I couldn't pick.

00:05:35.000 I was in the ballot, like the voting booth, and I was like, they're both so good.

00:05:39.000 Uniting is no substitute for victory.

00:05:41.000 What's up, Carter?

00:05:42.000 I will.

00:05:42.000 What up, Phil?

00:05:43.000 And what up, Ian?

00:05:44.000 It's you don't always uniting for the sake of uniting is not the right move because if you're uniting under a bad thing, that's a bad thing.

00:05:49.000 Yeah.

00:05:49.000 But unification could be a good thing right now.

00:05:52.000 Unlikely.

00:05:53.000 Unify with who?

00:05:55.000 The Democrats, they want to kill us.

00:05:56.000 I want to unify with Peter Thiel and Mark Cuban and Kevin O'Leary and Elon Musk.

00:06:03.000 What is it about Mark Cuban?

00:06:05.000 What is it about Mark Cuban that you like?

00:06:08.000 A maverick.

00:06:09.000 His charisma, his intellect, his intelligence.

00:06:13.000 He's very personable.

00:06:13.000 He's from Texas.

00:06:15.000 I feel like he's a normal dude that works super hard.

00:06:18.000 You know what?

00:06:19.000 I love Shark Tank, but I don't like it when they're mean for no reason to people.

00:06:22.000 I like it when they're mean to people who deserve it, but I don't like it when they're mean to people who don't.

00:06:25.000 Same with Gordon Ramsay.

00:06:26.000 I've been watching a lot of.

00:06:27.000 Kitchen nightmares.

00:06:27.000 I'm totally with you.

00:06:28.000 I'm totally with you.

00:06:29.000 I know.

00:06:29.000 He's actually really nice.

00:06:30.000 But his harshness when he lights up and he's like, Get the kitchen, idiot sandwich.

00:06:34.000 I think everybody there knows, like, when the cameras go off, he's like, Are you all right?

00:06:38.000 Was I too much?

00:06:38.000 Probably, especially with, like, the vulnerable.

00:06:40.000 He goes pretty, if he can tell people are about to break and start crying, he'll go easy on them.

00:06:43.000 But it's like, it's like Brian Shapiro.

00:06:46.000 Brian Shapiro actually is a huge Trumper.

00:06:47.000 It's just when the cameras go on, he just goes off and it's over.

00:06:49.000 He's like, Sorry, guys.

00:06:50.000 Like, I love Trump.

00:06:51.000 He's all over the dollars.

00:06:52.000 Guys, this, like, there's all these governor's races and Senate races.

00:06:55.000 It's like, Okay.

00:06:56.000 The faux gras vote in D. Going to go.

00:06:58.000 Are they going to ban it or not?

00:06:59.000 Proposition 86.

00:07:00.000 Everyone's keeping their own.

00:07:01.000 Banning faux gras?

00:07:02.000 Yeah, in D.C.

00:07:04.000 I mean, it's pretty brutal.

00:07:05.000 Faux gras.

00:07:05.000 Faux gras is a good thing.

00:07:06.000 You stuff a baby duck with until you kill it.

00:07:09.000 No, You take an adult duck and you take a long metal rod and stick it down its throat and pump it full of olive oil and cornmeal so that it forces it into its system, diseasing its liver, making it very fatty.

00:07:22.000 Then when you kill it and extract the liver, it's almost like butter.

00:07:25.000 They probably like it.

00:07:27.000 Oh.

00:07:28.000 It's pretty good.

00:07:28.000 It's not really, you know, it's supposed to be like fancy.

00:07:32.000 But I've had it quite a bit, and I'm always kind of like, yeah, I don't care.

00:07:35.000 I'm keeping an eye on that race because that's going to decide the future of the West.

00:07:39.000 What are the chances of something being done about all the food trucks everywhere?

00:07:42.000 Yeah, we're going to need a dictator.

00:07:45.000 Is that something DC likes?

00:07:47.000 There was a crazy article that came out about this earlier in the year, which exposed that the people that operate the food trucks were randomly pricing things for people based on how much they respect them, basically.

00:07:58.000 They're an eyesore.

00:07:59.000 You could upcharge people if they just thought that you weren't cool.

00:08:01.000 They're definitely an eyesore.

00:08:03.000 If you're like, You're going down Constitution heading towards like the Kennedy Center, and like there's just all these random, weirdly colored food trucks and stuff.

00:08:13.000 And it's just like, Oh, they blast music.

00:08:15.000 Yeah.

00:08:16.000 I wonder if I had a store, could I just charge whatever prices I want for everything?

00:08:21.000 Depending on how I feel?

00:08:21.000 Yeah.

00:08:21.000 Yes.

00:08:22.000 Yes, you can.

00:08:23.000 At any moment, I could just be like, Yeah, we're going to sell.

00:08:24.000 I used to do that when I worked in an auto parts store.

00:08:27.000 But if it's found out that you're doing it based on race or something like that, that will get you.

00:08:32.000 But if I just don't know what it is, or if you talk to other businesses and agree to control prices.

00:08:37.000 Oh, yeah, yeah.

00:08:38.000 You know what?

00:08:38.000 I don't think price gouging is a real thing.

00:08:41.000 And I think it should be allowed.

00:08:41.000 I don't believe in it.

00:08:43.000 I don't think it's a deal.

00:08:44.000 I don't, because the RAM, the current RAM, a new computer's coming out.

00:08:47.000 It's $8,000 for what would have been like 2,600 bucks.

00:08:50.000 It's market economics.

00:08:50.000 That's not true.

00:08:51.000 Yeah, it's market finance.

00:08:52.000 Price gouging is a fake, made up term by leftists for when there's a natural disaster and then water bottles are 10 bucks.

00:08:58.000 And they're like, well, you know, it's because you have to buy it, you're going to die.

00:09:01.000 Well, here's the thing.

00:09:03.000 There was a story where a guy, I can't remember what happened.

00:09:05.000 It might have been the algal bloom in the Great Lakes.

00:09:07.000 And he loaded up a bunch of bottles of water and drove them in and was selling them for like five bucks each and they charged him.

00:09:12.000 Something like this.

00:09:13.000 They charged him with price gouging.

00:09:14.000 Like, it's illegal.

00:09:15.000 You can't do that.

00:09:16.000 And he was like, I just won't bring any water to people who need it next time.

00:09:18.000 Like, that's stupid.

00:09:20.000 That's insane.

00:09:21.000 Like, okay, you guys can all just die.

00:09:24.000 Yeah, no.

00:09:24.000 I mean, if someone brings in it, it's worth what it's worth.

00:09:26.000 Yeah, I guess that's true.

00:09:28.000 I remember like my first year of college and someone bought all the Scandrons up.

00:09:34.000 And then resold them at like a huge, like, it definitely wasn't me.

00:09:34.000 What?

00:09:37.000 Scandrons?

00:09:38.000 I definitely didn't buy all the Scandrons before like finals.

00:09:41.000 What are Scandrons?

00:09:43.000 What is that?

00:09:44.000 Like, it says the bubbles, and then you feed it in the machine.

00:09:46.000 It was like before AI.

00:09:48.000 Someone bought all the.

00:09:50.000 I don't know who it was.

00:09:50.000 Yeah.

00:09:51.000 It wasn't me.

00:09:52.000 What a strange thing for some other guy than you to do.

00:09:54.000 I know.

00:09:55.000 I definitely need to get yelled at by the dean.

00:09:58.000 I legitimately don't even know what a Scantron is.

00:10:00.000 You fill out like the multiple choice tasks, you fill out the little bubbles.

00:10:00.000 I heard you explain.

00:10:04.000 There's like a machine it feeds into.

00:10:07.000 I don't think they use them anymore.

00:10:08.000 You bought those machines?

00:10:10.000 No, I can't afford that.

00:10:11.000 The Scantron, they summon the bookshop.

00:10:13.000 Someone else bought like the 50 remaining and bought them all.

00:10:17.000 Is Kentucky going to be the first?

00:10:19.000 I'm trying to look up the current data.

00:10:23.000 I don't know if anyone even mentioned it yet, but we have an amazing group of people, cast of humans coming in tonight.

00:10:29.000 People that are watching right now.

00:10:30.000 I don't know if it was public knowledge yet.

00:10:32.000 We've got a pretty extensive list.

00:10:34.000 In fact, Lisa is in the house right now.

00:10:36.000 She's getting ready.

00:10:38.000 We got James Klug.

00:10:39.000 I don't want to drop too many names, kind of let everybody just show their face when they show their face.

00:10:42.000 But Richie McGinnis, I love him.

00:10:44.000 Anyone?

00:10:44.000 Gavin.

00:10:45.000 Oh, Gavin McGinnis will be here?

00:10:46.000 Richie McGinnis and Gavin McGinnis.

00:10:48.000 Oh, we got him both.

00:10:49.000 McGinnis on McGinnis action.

00:10:52.000 I want to see them go head to head since I found out they had the same name.

00:10:55.000 In real estate, they don't actually.

00:10:56.000 It's spelled different, but you know.

00:10:57.000 Anyone could show up tonight.

00:10:59.000 Anything can happen.

00:11:00.000 The big Yahoo could pull up.

00:11:03.000 Maybe the big guy himself might actually be coming.

00:11:06.000 Joe Biden.

00:11:07.000 Finally made it out of the office.

00:11:07.000 Joe Biden.

00:11:10.000 Drew?

00:11:11.000 We're just a hop, skip, and a jump away.

00:11:13.000 You know, who's the say?

00:11:14.000 You know?

00:11:15.000 If you could have anybody in politics come over today, who would it be?

00:11:19.000 Joe Biden's a really good guy.

00:11:20.000 Joe Biden's a strong one.

00:11:21.000 Whatever he sounds like, but yeah, that'd be so awesome.

00:11:24.000 Andrew Cuomo would mix things up.

00:11:24.000 I love him so much.

00:11:26.000 He'd be a little nervous.

00:11:27.000 That'd be good.

00:11:27.000 Andy.

00:11:28.000 Oh, Franken.

00:11:30.000 Al Franken.

00:11:30.000 That'd be cool.

00:11:31.000 Yeah, that'd be cool.

00:11:32.000 On his redemption tour?

00:11:33.000 That'd be cool.

00:11:33.000 Yeah, yeah, yeah.

00:11:33.000 Is he?

00:11:34.000 Bring him back.

00:11:36.000 Yeah, there's a lot of different directions we could go here.

00:11:39.000 I'm going to say mine.

00:11:40.000 That'd be cool.

00:11:40.000 Maduro.

00:11:41.000 Nicolas Maduro.

00:11:42.000 Yeah.

00:11:42.000 That'd be an interesting interview.

00:11:43.000 In the tech fleece, though.

00:11:44.000 Otherwise, I'm not interested.

00:11:46.000 Yeah.

00:11:46.000 Do you think if you got an interview with the president of Iran, that they would let you air it or that they would, like, oh, yeah.

00:11:51.000 I sure you'd have to.

00:11:52.000 Well, my interview tactic is always like butter them up and then just discreetly disagree with them and, like, it just chips away at them.

00:11:58.000 Oh.

00:11:59.000 So I would be like, you're doing great.

00:12:01.000 So, you'll take like the alpha position subconsciously?

00:12:04.000 It's more just because I'm like kind of a coward, so I'm really agreeable.

00:12:06.000 Oh, Texas is dropping.

00:12:07.000 This is interesting.

00:12:09.000 What are these numbers indicating?

00:12:12.000 We're watching the Texas swing back and forth in real time in the prediction markets.

00:12:16.000 That's very interesting.

00:12:18.000 There's a lot of outside forces moving these prediction markets, I bet.

00:12:22.000 Yeah, a lot of Indians, I'd imagine.

00:12:24.000 That's not a joke.

00:12:25.000 That's true.

00:12:26.000 I genuinely mean that.

00:12:29.000 Prediction markets aren't.

00:12:30.000 See, here's the thing people got to understand the prediction markets are not indicative.

00:12:34.000 At this point, I'm going to say this.

00:12:36.000 It kind of sucks.

00:12:37.000 Prediction markets used to be amazing predictors, but in this election cycle, we've had way too many flip that were completely wrong.

00:12:44.000 I wonder how much AI is involved, and it doesn't have to be AI.

00:12:46.000 I remember what's her face in Wisconsin?

00:12:46.000 Oops.

00:12:49.000 She was like 90% to win, and they just flipped right away.

00:12:52.000 It's because too many people are trying to game the prediction markets to make money.

00:12:56.000 So the data is no longer as reliable.

00:12:59.000 Yeah.

00:13:01.000 The prediction markets are.

00:13:04.000 They're not limited to the United States.

00:13:05.000 They're not limited to interested parties in the US.

00:13:09.000 They're actually people looking to make some money off of the, you know, whatever is actually being predicted.

00:13:17.000 So there's no reason to think that the prediction markets are going to actually be a good indicator of the way that it feels in the people, the way people feel in the US.

00:13:28.000 The internet's global.

00:13:29.000 So when Tim said, you know, India, that's because there's one point or whatever, one billion people in India.

00:13:35.000 And if they think, oh, we can.

00:13:37.000 We can make a little bit of money off of this, then we'll go ahead and do it.

00:13:39.000 Do you think manifestation is real?

00:13:41.000 Absolutely not.

00:13:42.000 And I don't know why you're talking about it.

00:13:43.000 Because if you could say the Republicans are going to win and then it happens, you can't.

00:13:49.000 Well, you don't know that you can't.

00:13:51.000 Absolutely, I do.

00:13:52.000 Hey, do you guys want any coconut water?

00:13:54.000 I'm gonna go get a paper towel.

00:13:55.000 Anybody, any drinks?

00:13:56.000 Anything good?

00:13:57.000 Go get your stuff.

00:13:57.000 I gotta soak.

00:13:58.000 Manifestation might be real.

00:13:59.000 I think we're hopping dimensions.

00:14:00.000 You just use your hand.

00:14:01.000 That's what you do.

00:14:01.000 You wipe it with your hand.

00:14:02.000 Yeah, lick it and all that.

00:14:04.000 I think that we're dimension hopping at light speed, and that your thoughts can change what dimension you change to.

00:14:13.000 What that means might be that other people just think different things in that dimension.

00:14:16.000 Like it's still temporally the same moving structure, but it changes depending on your perception.

00:14:22.000 Speaking of changing dimensions, we got this post from Daily Wire.

00:14:25.000 A Muslim voter saying he supports El Sayed until it gets funny.

00:14:28.000 Let's listen to this.

00:14:30.000 Let me go back.

00:14:31.000 Why don't you go back?

00:14:32.000 Let me go back.

00:14:34.000 Who did you support in there?

00:14:36.000 Well, I support every, like, Democratic or, like, Sayed.

00:14:42.000 Yes.

00:14:43.000 Dr. Abdul El Sayed.

00:14:44.000 Yes.

00:14:45.000 And why'd you support him?

00:14:47.000 Because I'm from Egypt.

00:14:49.000 You're from Egypt.

00:14:50.000 And he's American Egyptian.

00:14:51.000 And he got a little bit of pushback the other day.

00:14:53.000 He said he's okay with transgender.

00:14:56.000 Do you know transgender?

00:14:58.000 What is that?

00:14:59.000 Men who think they're women or women who think they're men?

00:15:01.000 No, It doesn't look that.

00:15:03.000 He said he is okay with it.

00:15:06.000 He said he's okay with men who think they're women going inside female locker rooms.

00:15:12.000 Men to men?

00:15:13.000 No, no, no.

00:15:14.000 I'm not agree with that.

00:15:16.000 Most informed voter in America.

00:15:20.000 Universal enfranchisement is an error.

00:15:25.000 To be fair, his hormones are probably raging because he's like nine months over.

00:15:29.000 I was in Michigan over the weekend doing these interviews.

00:15:31.000 These are all.

00:15:32.000 I gotta guess.

00:15:33.000 Yes, on the news.

00:15:34.000 When?

00:15:35.000 Like two days ago.

00:15:36.000 What are you doing?

00:15:40.000 Yes.

00:15:42.000 Let me go back.

00:15:43.000 Let me go back.

00:15:45.000 Let me go back.

00:15:47.000 This is why the Dan Sullivan thing is so, so alarming and so bad.

00:15:51.000 And why, yeah, I agree, universal enfranchisement is not a good idea.

00:15:55.000 There are invariably going to be people in Alaska who look at Dan Sullivan and then at Dan Sullivan, and they're like, I don't know which is which.

00:16:02.000 Yeah.

00:16:03.000 How many people know the middle initial of their senator?

00:16:05.000 Come on.

00:16:06.000 And that's how you're supposed to figure it out.

00:16:08.000 They got to lock these people up.

00:16:09.000 Apparently, I was out of frame.

00:16:10.000 Sorry about that.

00:16:12.000 I don't even know who my senator is.

00:16:13.000 I was in Michigan over the weekend and speaking to these Muslim voters.

00:16:18.000 They all did the same thing every single time.

00:16:19.000 You said Riley Moore.

00:16:21.000 Sorry, Tate Laurie.

00:16:22.000 You're a member of Congress.

00:16:23.000 Oh, yeah, right.

00:16:24.000 He's in the public.

00:16:25.000 Yeah, he's in the house.

00:16:26.000 Yeah, it was every single time it was this.

00:16:28.000 They literally were in denial.

00:16:29.000 They're like, no, his name's Abdul.

00:16:30.000 He's not going to be pro gay.

00:16:32.000 Or they were like, ooh, I might not vote for him now.

00:16:34.000 It was fascinating.

00:16:35.000 Ian, we had a.

00:16:37.000 A very long discussion about the West Virginia Senator a year or so ago, in which I said very disparaging things about her.

00:16:44.000 Right.

00:16:45.000 Glenn Youngkin.

00:16:47.000 Isn't that Glenn?

00:16:48.000 Isn't that a chick's name?

00:16:49.000 I'm just pulling you.

00:16:50.000 You're like, I have no idea, dude.

00:16:51.000 What up?

00:16:52.000 A brick suit in the butt is up.

00:16:52.000 I don't remember that conversation.

00:16:54.000 A brick baby has just walked in.

00:16:57.000 Come on in, man.

00:16:57.000 Great.

00:16:58.000 I didn't know that.

00:16:58.000 Your suit is not brick.

00:16:59.000 You wanted to get up or show up?

00:17:01.000 I'll get up.

00:17:01.000 We're doing flannel suit right now.

00:17:03.000 Flannel suit.

00:17:04.000 Welcome, flannel suit.

00:17:05.000 Welcome, shirt.

00:17:06.000 Are we taking you out?

00:17:07.000 There's no kicking anywhere.

00:17:09.000 It's like Hot Suit wants to get over there.

00:17:11.000 Yeah.

00:17:12.000 You guys are just rotating.

00:17:12.000 Okay.

00:17:13.000 I'll go over where she is then.

00:17:14.000 I'll come sidecar.

00:17:15.000 All right.

00:17:17.000 What's going on?

00:17:17.000 How much, man?

00:17:18.000 How are you doing?

00:17:18.000 Yeah, good to see you.

00:17:19.000 Welcome.

00:17:19.000 Good to see you.

00:17:20.000 Welcome.

00:17:23.000 Phil, how are you?

00:17:23.000 Good to see you.

00:17:24.000 Yo, what it is, man.

00:17:26.000 Thanks for joining us.

00:17:27.000 I almost didn't recognize you in the flannel.

00:17:29.000 Yeah, yeah.

00:17:30.000 You know, and I thought about a suit coat and a brick tie.

00:17:34.000 No, it's too formal.

00:17:36.000 Too formal.

00:17:37.000 So, what's your prediction?

00:17:38.000 Republican sweep, huh?

00:17:40.000 You think the Republicans are going to win everything?

00:17:42.000 Here's my.

00:17:43.000 Trump will get elected somehow, even though he's not running, but he'll elect to a third term?

00:17:47.000 My prediction is that both ends of the spectrum on predictions will be wildly inaccurate.

00:17:52.000 I agree.

00:17:53.000 It's going to be somewhere in the middle.

00:17:54.000 But that being said, I have been for the last month and a half, I've been in a soup.

00:17:59.000 Are we live right now?

00:18:00.000 Yes, we are.

00:18:00.000 Okay.

00:18:00.000 We're live.

00:18:01.000 So since October 1st, I've been at 20 rallies and approaching 15,000 miles of driving.

00:18:08.000 And so I have just been with the MAGA faithful.

00:18:14.000 So I don't feel like I have my finger on the pulse of what's happening in terms of.

00:18:19.000 Polling and things like that.

00:18:21.000 Polls are fake.

00:18:23.000 Two big pollsters were confirmed fake and went dark, and then a third one was not confirmed but did go dark as well.

00:18:27.000 One was actually a prank, right?

00:18:29.000 No, they both, two of them claimed to be pranks, but I don't think that's the case.

00:18:32.000 I think they're gaming prediction markets.

00:18:34.000 These were not one poll, these were multiple polls released by pollsters.

00:18:34.000 Interesting.

00:18:38.000 The org, the companies were fake.

00:18:41.000 And these are the ones that were saying Democrats were winning.

00:18:44.000 So people in prediction markets are getting people to AstroTurf.

00:18:46.000 We don't know.

00:18:47.000 We don't know.

00:18:48.000 It may be for stealing the election.

00:18:48.000 Possibly.

00:18:50.000 Wow.

00:18:51.000 The idea may be they put El Sayed up 20 points in one of these fake polls.

00:18:55.000 Right.

00:18:56.000 And they did that, what's her face, that woman in Wisconsin.

00:19:00.000 They put her up 20 points.

00:19:01.000 And then she loses.

00:19:01.000 Correct.

00:19:03.000 Correct.

00:19:03.000 I think the likely answer is that they're gaming prediction markets.

00:19:08.000 You put out a poll, all the news organizations put it in, the aggregates bump the Democrats up.

00:19:12.000 Everyone says Democrats are winning, and it's fake.

00:19:14.000 Well, the thing about that, though, is that the prediction markets, people talk about people fixing the prediction markets.

00:19:21.000 By dumping money into a certain position.

00:19:23.000 The thing is, they're resistant to that because if you believe that's happening, you just go into the other direction.

00:19:27.000 You can just put money on the opposing position.

00:19:29.000 So, in theory, in theory, but when it's about how much money do you have?

00:19:35.000 But when the ground is shifting underneath you because of fake polling, that changes the situation.

00:19:40.000 I wonder if the government's tight with CalShee and Polymarket for that reason to find out where that money's coming from.

00:19:45.000 Because, like, USAID was funding a lot of government fixing.

00:19:49.000 We already have big news the Republicans have flipped Guam.

00:19:52.000 That's beautiful.

00:19:54.000 You know, Hank Johnson predicted that that would happen.

00:19:57.000 Too many troops on the island.

00:19:59.000 It's going to tip over.

00:20:01.000 So, Guam has finally flipped.

00:20:04.000 It's finally flipped.

00:20:05.000 That's a deep cut there for anybody who remembers.

00:20:07.000 I know exactly what you're talking about.

00:20:08.000 So, it's a beautiful thing.

00:20:11.000 That's a beautiful reference.

00:20:15.000 The Guamish are the farthest west.

00:20:17.000 Guamese.

00:20:17.000 Is it the Guamanian?

00:20:19.000 I don't know.

00:20:20.000 Guamanese.

00:20:22.000 The Chamorro there.

00:20:22.000 I think.

00:20:23.000 Guamish.

00:20:25.000 The Guamanian, Guamese, and Guamish folks, they're the furthest west, right?

00:20:30.000 Time zone.

00:20:31.000 So that's why their votes are coming in first.

00:20:33.000 And why we use it as a guiding.

00:20:35.000 Well, they're actually furthest east.

00:20:37.000 Furthest east, yeah.

00:20:38.000 But this is.

00:20:38.000 They're on the other side of the dateline.

00:20:40.000 Everyone knows Guam is the bellwether territory.

00:20:43.000 And whatever happens with Guam, so this means Republicans are going to win everything.

00:20:46.000 That's just how it goes.

00:20:47.000 So goes Guam, so goes the nation.

00:20:48.000 That's what they say.

00:20:49.000 Guam is the breadbasket, heart of America.

00:20:53.000 So, Tony, American.

00:20:54.000 And fruit basket, perhaps.

00:20:57.000 His name is literally Tony.

00:20:58.000 I'm not trying to rag on Guam.

00:20:59.000 We love you.

00:20:59.000 Tony Americans with Disabilities Act.

00:21:01.000 That's his name.

00:21:02.000 The ADA.

00:21:03.000 And they shorten it to Tony ADA.

00:21:05.000 Tony ADA.

00:21:07.000 Notoriously conservative there in Guam?

00:21:09.000 No, they're very liberal, but they have local politics.

00:21:11.000 So Puerto Rico is the same thing.

00:21:13.000 They elect Republicans all the time.

00:21:14.000 I mean, if every American.

00:21:16.000 Look, guys, do you remember when the, was it like a week ago, those fake pamphlets went out to Texas?

00:21:21.000 They called them fake, but they're actually real.

00:21:24.000 They were LGBTQ pamphlets that in no way misrepresented the left.

00:21:29.000 Not a single way.

00:21:30.000 And the left lost their minds that these were getting mailed to houses because they were like, these are fake.

00:21:36.000 This is criminal.

00:21:37.000 And it's like, nothing in those pamphlets was fake.

00:21:41.000 It's because as soon as people find out Democrats want to chop off little kids' balls, they don't want to vote for them.

00:21:47.000 Yeah, it goes too far.

00:21:49.000 The only way Democrats get votes is that people do not know what they want to do.

00:21:54.000 And the moment people actually learn what Democrat policies are, they're like, I ain't voting for that.

00:21:59.000 And I'm not saying Republicans are good from that.

00:22:01.000 I'm saying people go, I guess I'll vote for the Republicans.

00:22:04.000 I had sort of a cynical thought today that I didn't tweet out, but it was Did you ignorantly vote down ticket without knowing who you're voting for?

00:22:11.000 Without being redundant, but did you ignorantly vote down ticket today?

00:22:14.000 Like, did you go vote all red because they told you to?

00:22:17.000 And I'm like, I don't know.

00:22:18.000 I don't want to like jam people for voting for, but don't vote for things you don't understand.

00:22:23.000 I mean, that maybe, maybe there's a time to get in line and do as you're told, push the button.

00:22:27.000 But why do you assume that if someone votes all one way, that they would be doing it because they were told, as opposed to having some kind of understanding of what the opposing party actually, you know, promises or thinks they're going to do?

00:22:41.000 Only because it's very rare that someone actually understands everyone on a ticket.

00:22:45.000 No, but voting, if you like, so I went and I voted all red, right?

00:22:50.000 I voted Republican all down the ticket.

00:22:52.000 The reason I did isn't because I have a deep well of knowledge about the policies proposed by every Republican.

00:23:00.000 It's because I understand what Democrats want.

00:23:03.000 I understand what the Democrats are looking for for the United States.

00:23:08.000 If you read, in my opinion, the DSA is the.

00:23:14.000 Future of the Democrat Party.

00:23:16.000 And if you read their program, their policy program, everything in it is bad.

00:23:22.000 Everything.

00:23:23.000 So it's not as simple as just, oh, go vote for who they tell you to or whatever, whether it be Democrat or Republican.

00:23:29.000 You can make a decision based on things you don't want.

00:23:33.000 Yeah, normally I don't vote against things.

00:23:35.000 I vote for them.

00:23:36.000 But no, I do.

00:23:36.000 You don't vote?

00:23:37.000 Did you vote today?

00:23:38.000 I didn't know, didn't study it.

00:23:38.000 I didn't vote today.

00:23:40.000 It's not worth me.

00:23:41.000 I'm not going to vote for something I don't understand.

00:23:42.000 But I voted for Donald Trump.

00:23:44.000 You don't understand saving America?

00:23:46.000 Well, I voted against Kamala Harris.

00:23:48.000 I don't normally vote against things because I'm like, show me what I'm supposed to follow.

00:23:51.000 Like, if two things are bad, I'm not going to vote for either one of them.

00:23:54.000 Well, are open borders bad?

00:23:56.000 Depends on the situation, but right now they are.

00:23:57.000 Are open borders in the next four years bad?

00:23:59.000 In the U.S.?

00:24:00.000 I think, yeah, yeah, yeah.

00:24:00.000 Yeah.

00:24:02.000 I don't want wide open borders.

00:24:03.000 The Democrats want open borders.

00:24:04.000 And when they installed Kamala, it was like, that's not Democratic.

00:24:07.000 That threatens democracy.

00:24:08.000 And they're like, you know, doing as they're telling me that Donald Trump is bad.

00:24:12.000 That was voting against what the Democrats did.

00:24:14.000 So I did vote against the Democratic Party in 2024.

00:24:18.000 Usually I don't do that.

00:24:19.000 I need something to vote for.

00:24:21.000 But here's the problem with that, okay?

00:24:24.000 And there are people who have your mindset.

00:24:26.000 And I would argue this.

00:24:28.000 Unfortunately, well, unfortunately or fortunately, depending upon how you look at it, in our political system, when you get to the general election, you only have a binary choice.

00:24:38.000 You only have A and B, really.

00:24:40.000 Sometimes there's an independent who might be in the mix, generally not.

00:24:44.000 So you really, your options are limited.

00:24:46.000 For what you're talking about, you need to get involved at the primary stage and make sure the candidates, That you support, that positions that you support get across the finish line.

00:24:55.000 But when it comes right down to it in the general election, you don't have, you have a choice between this and that.

00:25:02.000 And so you, the best that any person can do is make a decision on what they feel who, between this person and this person, who will do the best job for the interests that are important to me that I can foresee in the next term.

00:25:18.000 And that's really all you can do because there's no guarantees.

00:25:21.000 And so, To say that you don't know or you don't want to vote before, against, you've only got two choices.

00:25:29.000 And if you sit it out, the choices are happening to you anyway.

00:25:34.000 I got to stop you there because you don't have two choices, you have a primary.

00:25:38.000 I'm saying specifically in the general, I agree with everything you're saying, but I want to add the caveat that people always go, Well, it's a two party system.

00:25:45.000 I don't want to vote for either of them.

00:25:46.000 Then participate in the primaries because we are whittling down a field of candidates in which there's like 50, and then you end up finally with two.

00:25:55.000 So it's showing up to the final bracket of the NBA championship and being like, I don't like either of these teams.

00:26:01.000 It's like you could have watched the early games and celebrated those, and then you'd find yourself here.

00:26:07.000 Instead, Everyone shows up at the 11th hour for the last election and says, Well, both of these guys suck.

00:26:13.000 Maybe if you were participating in the primary, you'd be like, There's a candidate I do like.

00:26:16.000 Probably, yeah.

00:26:17.000 It's the same with the Super Bowl, man.

00:26:18.000 People won't watch the NFL at all, and then it's Super Bowl Sunday, come in and watch two teams I have no idea who they are.

00:26:24.000 You got to cheer for the lesser of two evils, typically.

00:26:26.000 Yeah, you got to root for the lesser.

00:26:28.000 And what you're saying is, we did.

00:26:30.000 What up?

00:26:31.000 We did.

00:26:32.000 Primary two people, two incumbent Republican senators.

00:26:35.000 We're primaried this cycle.

00:26:37.000 We got rid of Cassidy.

00:26:38.000 We got rid of Cornyn.

00:26:40.000 They spent $100 million trying to get Cornyn across the finish line and they couldn't.

00:26:44.000 What are your thoughts on this cycle in general?

00:26:47.000 You know, honestly, I think the press has overstated the position that people oppose President Trump and his policies.

00:26:59.000 I think he's going to outperform.

00:27:03.000 I think, actually, I think this.

00:27:05.000 Look at this story.

00:27:05.000 We got this from the Daily Beast.

00:27:08.000 You want to see how.

00:27:10.000 Okay, with all due respect to Nate Silver, he's a poker guy, so I'm going to be nice.

00:27:14.000 But if you, Nate, I got to do this.

00:27:16.000 If you want to understand just how stupid these people are, okay, I'm trying not to be a dick to you, Nate, but this may just be misrepresenting you because this article in the Daily Beast makes it look like you got a 95 IQ, okay?

00:27:30.000 Functional, not too bright.

00:27:32.000 Let me show you how these people think about the polls.

00:27:36.000 Nate Silver reveals insane pattern in final.

00:27:40.000 Election forecasts.

00:27:41.000 There's a strange pattern emerging between the polls and the prediction markets that's just so fascinating to Nate Silver.

00:27:46.000 Now, Ian, I want you to not say anything because I'm going to ask you a question after I read this paragraph.

00:27:50.000 Okay.

00:27:51.000 Polling guru Nate Silver has flagged an insane trend between his polling numbers and prediction markets.

00:27:58.000 The statistician whose flipper model projects an almost certain Democratic House takeover and an 80% chance of a Senate win pointed out on next Tuesday morning that prediction markets are closely tracking his polling average.

00:28:10.000 Quote, pretty insane agreement between prediction markets and the final flipper forecast, he wrote.

00:28:16.000 Now, Ian, can you explain to Nate Silver why it is the prediction markets are tracking alongside his polling?

00:28:22.000 Yeah, I think that they're watching his polling and then making decisions.

00:28:26.000 Oh my God!

00:28:28.000 What is wrong with these people?

00:28:30.000 It's because, Nate, when you come out and say he's going to win, the regular guy with 10 bucks goes, whatever you say, Nate, and buys it.

00:28:38.000 And then you turn around and go, wow, the prediction markets agree with me.

00:28:42.000 Well, nope.

00:28:43.000 Oh my God.

00:28:45.000 These are the people that are coming out and telling you who they think is going to win.

00:28:50.000 They under poll Republicans.

00:28:52.000 They don't know how to poll regular people.

00:28:54.000 And they are shocked to find out that people put money down on the polls they put out thinking it's confirmation of their polls.

00:29:01.000 Lord help me.

00:29:02.000 It's like the wrap up smear of prediction markets.

00:29:05.000 What's that?

00:29:07.000 That's an old Nancy Pelosi tactic where you basically inject some false information, somebody reports it.

00:29:13.000 And then you use the reporting of that information as proof of your original false premise.

00:29:18.000 So, in this case, it would be then more people jump on because of the, oh, well, they're in agreement.

00:29:24.000 I must put extra money on this.

00:29:26.000 And then it gets even.

00:29:27.000 You guys, we're also seeing this not just for Nate Silver, we're seeing this for like random obscure polls that are having an effect on the betting markets right now.

00:29:35.000 And it's not just Nate Silver that they're copying.

00:29:38.000 They're copying everybody because, like you said, the average person is throwing $10 behind that and it starts kind of a snowball effect.

00:29:44.000 And it's not even, they're just doing it for all the polls.

00:29:46.000 Any poll that comes out, they're going to throw money behind.

00:29:49.000 Nate Silver is looking at the forecast model going, wow, this proves I'm right.

00:29:53.000 That's like if you, I know this is a little bit of a metaphor, but like if you told your kids at your house, two plus two equals five, and then they grow up and they believe you, and then you walk in one day and everyone's like, they're like, two plus two equals five, dad.

00:30:05.000 You're like, all right, well, that's evidence that two plus two equals five.

00:30:08.000 I know it's a little long winded way to explain the insane.

00:30:12.000 I saw this on X, and it was like Nate Silver reveals an insane pattern.

00:30:18.000 These people.

00:30:20.000 This is.

00:30:21.000 They should not be allowed to vote.

00:30:24.000 No one gets to vote, only Ian votes.

00:30:26.000 Maybe they can call him crazy Nate Silver.

00:30:28.000 Crazy Nate Silver's predictions are insane.

00:30:32.000 It's a pretty insane pattern between.

00:30:37.000 Me putting on an aggregate that has been known for over a decade, almost two decades for being accurate, and then people going to prediction markets and betting on his prediction.

00:30:47.000 He said that the Russians were interfering with the 2016 election.

00:30:50.000 Okay, maybe they were, but like this is interfering with elections.

00:30:53.000 Prediction markets are interfering with elections.

00:30:56.000 And it could be foreign.

00:30:57.000 No, no, no, no.

00:30:57.000 I disagree.

00:30:58.000 You don't think he just manipulates?

00:30:59.000 No, Because what we saw was the inverse.

00:31:02.000 In Wisconsin, when the prediction markets were showing the Democrat was going to win, it had no effect, it flipped.

00:31:08.000 So it's the inverse.

00:31:10.000 What I think is that polls are manipulating the prediction markets to make money.

00:31:14.000 And then what we're finding out is they're not actually impacting the race.

00:31:18.000 For whatever reason, I'll say it barely won.

00:31:21.000 And what was her name?

00:31:21.000 Francesca, what was it?

00:31:23.000 Wong.

00:31:24.000 She was up double digits in the polls.

00:31:26.000 The prediction markets then followed suit and put her ahead.

00:31:29.000 And when Legend Day came, it just inverted.

00:31:32.000 So it's the other way around.

00:31:33.000 You guys, I think a lot of people have, we just have new toys that we're playing with.

00:31:37.000 Polling is harder than ever.

00:31:38.000 And there's also all these pollsters that are just so eager to get their poll out.

00:31:42.000 Even if it's bad, they're just getting it out because everyone's talking about it.

00:31:46.000 You don't want to, you know, people are spending money on this stuff.

00:31:48.000 You want to get it out, and they're just releasing garbage.

00:31:51.000 And so that mixed in with all these new toys that we have to play with when it comes to projecting elections, I think that's what we're looking at right now.

00:31:57.000 Slop.

00:31:58.000 But I agree with Tim.

00:31:59.000 I do think that the slop polls are driving, not just slop polls, but a lot of these polls are driving the chaos in these prediction markets.

00:32:06.000 Yeah, but like we already said, we had two confirmed fake polls.

00:32:10.000 I'm sorry, fake pollsters.

00:32:11.000 Slop polls.

00:32:12.000 There you go.

00:32:12.000 Fake pollsters with numerous fake polls.

00:32:15.000 And a third that when challenged disappeared, which we can only presume was also fake.

00:32:19.000 We just don't know yet.

00:32:20.000 Then the prediction markets follow those as well.

00:32:22.000 So one of these fake pollsters claimed Francesca, is it Wong or Wong?

00:32:26.000 I think it's Francesca Wong.

00:32:28.000 They said that she was a Democrat.

00:32:29.000 As my memory serves me correctly, I believe that's correct.

00:32:31.000 The fake polls were put in all the aggregates, it skewed at Democrat.

00:32:35.000 The prediction markets followed suit, and the election did not.

00:32:39.000 The election did not.

00:32:40.000 And people lost money, but tons of people made money off of that illicit, that illicit.

00:32:46.000 Insider vetting and it's Hong Hong H O N G, not you almost got it.

00:32:50.000 Yeah, well, it was a little bit of potato potato going on there.

00:32:54.000 Yeah, yeah, a little bit of Asian flair.

00:32:57.000 So, we got the uh, actually, it looks like I'm gonna get roasted for that, aren't I?

00:33:00.000 First results, I think somebody's last name is Wong.

00:33:03.000 The first results we're getting are gonna be at 6 p.m. in Kentucky and Indiana.

00:33:07.000 That's exciting, 6 p.m.

00:33:09.000 And then it's gonna start pouring in.

00:33:11.000 Uh, I would not be surprised if Republicans uh substantially overperform.

00:33:17.000 I'll be a little surprised if Republicans win the House.

00:33:20.000 I will not be surprised if they keep the Senate.

00:33:23.000 I will be very surprised if Republicans sweep and with great margins.

00:33:29.000 But what I want to stress is, I actually think the fake polls have heavily skewed this.

00:33:36.000 And what we've seen as well pollsters have already reported that Republicans are not responding this time around, which could mean one of two things.

00:33:44.000 They're pissed off and disillusioned, or that the polls are favoring Democrats wrongly.

00:33:51.000 I mean, it's possible.

00:33:52.000 I would like to think so because I don't want to see, you know, Democrats taking the House and binding up the administration.

00:34:00.000 And not just binding up the administration, but you know, they're going to start.

00:34:03.000 You know, call it, they're going to call in Musk, they're going to be calling in, you know, business leaders, they're going to do as much as they can to put pressure on the tech sector because they don't like what the guy, the people they're going to punish the people they feel were aiding and abetting the Republican administration.

00:34:20.000 They're going to make it, they're going to basically make it unattractive for people to do so in the future as like a warning shot across the bow type of thing.

00:34:26.000 That's ah, I found that so nuts.

00:34:29.000 And but I'm like, it's hard time because Trump did go after Comey, and I'm not going to keep bringing it up, but.

00:34:36.000 It's just like, oh, I don't want to make it softer that it's okay that that's good.

00:34:40.000 Comey, the guy who found the seashells, it said 8647?

00:34:44.000 Yeah.

00:34:45.000 Oh, he named it.

00:34:46.000 Oh, so they.

00:34:47.000 Oh, so, but he didn't do that until after they went after him?

00:34:51.000 Can I just stop posting that picture?

00:34:53.000 Oh, so wait, so there was a reason they went.

00:34:55.000 Yeah, he posted a picture online.

00:34:55.000 Okay, okay.

00:34:57.000 Okay, all right.

00:34:57.000 It was crazy.

00:34:59.000 Well, I mean, Comey brought it on himself, is what I'm trying to say.

00:35:02.000 A lot of people posted 8647 and they say, well, he had a.

00:35:02.000 I don't know.

00:35:07.000 He had a responsibility because he's famous.

00:35:09.000 And you're like, oh, come on, man.

00:35:12.000 It's a picture.

00:35:14.000 In regards to the House, though, we have to point out, I'm sure almost everybody viewing knows this, is that incumbent administrations lose the House in midterms by just an incredibly disproportionate margin.

00:35:31.000 So to maintain control or to increase margins is just totally against the grain.

00:35:38.000 And so when you're starting with a margin of what, three or four?

00:35:41.000 Seats in the House?

00:35:42.000 They need like a net four.

00:35:44.000 Right.

00:35:44.000 So, I mean, it's, you know, you're really, you're really, it's really an uphill battle.

00:35:49.000 It's a long shot to keep the House.

00:35:52.000 And then in terms of trying to predict what's going on, it's even more difficult when you take into account all the redistricting that happened because that influences it.

00:36:02.000 I think there's good reason to believe Iveke's going to get crushed.

00:36:04.000 But I want to stress this there's currently $11,211,182 placed on the Ohio governor's race in the prediction markets.

00:36:13.000 Now, understand why it is.

00:36:16.000 Difficult to trust with what we've seen so far.

00:36:19.000 You had fake polls come out.

00:36:21.000 So imagine this if you were to buy a contract on Vivek Ramaswamy right now for $20, by tonight, if he wins, you get back $100.

00:36:33.000 Find any stock that gets you a 5x return in less than one day, and you will find somebody who is a billionaire.

00:36:40.000 So the issue then becomes there is an incentive among these pollsters and these fake pollsters to pump up somebody like Amy Acton.

00:36:51.000 Now, I'm not saying that's what's happening.

00:36:52.000 I'm saying it may be happening in certain circumstances.

00:36:54.000 I believe there's evidence to suggest.

00:36:58.000 You put out a fake poll.

00:36:59.000 The aggregators, like Nate Silver, add that poll, making Amy Acton look like she's 80% to win because everybody now starts buying Amy Acton to win.

00:37:08.000 You then go and buy Vivek, knowing the polls were fake the whole time.

00:37:11.000 Vivek wins, you get a 5x return.

00:37:14.000 Or before the midterms, you buy Amy Acton at 20%, put out fake polls, it jumps to 80%, you sell it before the election even resolves.

00:37:21.000 Oh.

00:37:22.000 Or you go the other way and you're just going to win.

00:37:26.000 I mean, look, 20 bucks, put 200 bucks on Vivek, cash out two grand.

00:37:32.000 Sure.

00:37:33.000 10 grand.

00:37:34.000 One grand.

00:37:34.000 Sorry.

00:37:34.000 One grand.

00:37:35.000 One grand.

00:37:36.000 5X.

00:37:36.000 10 hundred.

00:37:37.000 I do think that people do confuse the prediction markets with polling, but you really should just look at stocks and arbitrage because I think that's more of what it is.

00:37:37.000 10 hundred.

00:37:49.000 I think we're all right.

00:37:50.000 Not prediction markets because there's two different things.

00:37:52.000 Political prediction markets are that way, sports prediction markets, that's different.

00:37:58.000 I had a hundred bucks on Syed for 2028 president and then at 1%.

00:38:06.000 And then it hit 2%, and I sold out.

00:38:06.000 That's so.

00:38:08.000 You doubled your money.

00:38:09.000 All right.

00:38:10.000 A little bit less than double because it wasn't exactly two.

00:38:13.000 You can go put a hundred bucks on something with 1%.

00:38:16.000 It goes to two, and you sell, and you come out with 200 bucks.

00:38:18.000 That's correct.

00:38:19.000 Something's busted.

00:38:20.000 It's got to be a big race.

00:38:20.000 There's got to be liquidity.

00:38:22.000 But look, if we go to Ohio, like let's go to Ohio governor's race.

00:38:27.000 And.

00:38:29.000 Okay, they've only got the two.

00:38:30.000 Was that Vivek at 28%?

00:38:31.000 20%.

00:38:33.000 20%?

00:38:35.000 He's not going to do well.

00:38:36.000 So, like, if you go, who will be Trump's next press secretary is a good one.

00:38:41.000 Here's the game.

00:38:42.000 Here's the game, right?

00:38:43.000 Jennings was up there.

00:38:44.000 So, let's take a look.

00:38:45.000 We got Katie Miller at 2%, right?

00:38:48.000 Nicki Minaj at 3%.

00:38:50.000 All right.

00:38:51.000 What?

00:38:52.000 So, if you select Katie Miller and then anything in the news happens where she mentions anything about it, she jumps to 5%.

00:39:01.000 There you go.

00:39:02.000 I think that you shouldn't.

00:39:03.000 I don't know enough about the rules, but that you shouldn't be able to sell until it completes.

00:39:08.000 Jack Basobic?

00:39:10.000 Good.

00:39:11.000 Where's Laura Loomer?

00:39:12.000 If I put $100 on Jack Basobic to be press secretary, I will get paid $9,351.

00:39:19.000 I feel like since you know him, that's a liability.

00:39:21.000 But look, He's less than 1%, right?

00:39:21.000 No, no, no.

00:39:24.000 So if I put $100 down, and then here's some news that went viral some Trump account followed Jack.

00:39:31.000 So that's why.

00:39:32.000 There are people murmuring, like, oh, maybe we have Joe Sweeney up there too.

00:39:36.000 Shout out to Joe Sweeney.

00:39:37.000 I'm not on the flip this.

00:39:39.000 Here's the point if you buy Jack Pasopic at less than a percent for a hundred bucks, and then anything happens in the news where they're like, Jack, you know, is being followed, and rumors are swirling that he's in the running, he goes up to three percent.

00:39:53.000 You're gonna triple your money.

00:39:54.000 You start with someone with like 0.001 percent.

00:39:58.000 That's what we're looking at.

00:39:58.000 It's less than a percent.

00:39:59.000 That's insane because, like, I probably have a one trillionth of a percent chance of being Trump's next press secretary if.

00:40:05.000 If I bet $100 on that and then it goes up to 1%, I'd make times $10,000.

00:40:12.000 If you put $1,000 on a Jack right now and Jack does win, you get $81,000.

00:40:18.000 And even if it goes up a half a percent, I triple my money or quadruple my money.

00:40:23.000 There's something real wrong.

00:40:24.000 I guess the question is whether or not you think it's going to be Anna Kelly.

00:40:27.000 One point, I think it's one in like $8 billion.

00:40:31.000 I know.

00:40:32.000 Jennings would be incredible.

00:40:33.000 I actually, I got to be honest, I think Jack is.

00:40:37.000 Too low.

00:40:38.000 Ben Shapiro.

00:40:39.000 What?

00:40:39.000 Benny Johnson.

00:40:40.000 I want to change my name to Max Payout.

00:40:44.000 I'm looking at that screen right now.

00:40:46.000 Maximilian Payout.

00:40:47.000 My name is Max Payout.

00:40:49.000 What's the barrier to entry right here?

00:40:51.000 Laura Loomer.

00:40:52.000 Let's go.

00:40:52.000 I want Loomer to be press secretary.

00:40:54.000 Loomer wants it.

00:40:55.000 I want her to be press secretary because she's hilarious.

00:40:59.000 It would be amazing.

00:41:00.000 She is sharp.

00:41:01.000 She knows all the stories.

00:41:02.000 She's already in direct communication with Trump and all this, and she would rip the media to shreds.

00:41:08.000 She would be so aggressive with that.

00:41:09.000 And the left would hate it.

00:41:11.000 Oh, it'd be so great.

00:41:12.000 It would be amazing.

00:41:13.000 But in all seriousness, I think she would do a genuinely good job.

00:41:16.000 I think so too.

00:41:18.000 I think she knows her stuff.

00:41:19.000 And separating her, there is no bigger Trump supporter than Laura Loomer.

00:41:26.000 I tell you that.

00:41:28.000 Separating that from her personality, she knows her stuff.

00:41:33.000 And she would be snap, snap, snap against the media.

00:41:36.000 I think she'd kill it.

00:41:37.000 Is she local?

00:41:38.000 She's amazing.

00:41:39.000 Is she DC local?

00:41:40.000 No, Florida.

00:41:41.000 I think she's not.

00:41:41.000 Florida.

00:41:43.000 How do you get on this?

00:41:44.000 Somebody just has to bet $5.

00:41:46.000 There's no Tim Pool on here, huh?

00:41:47.000 You want to get Benny?

00:41:49.000 I think that they have to add the person as a candidate first.

00:41:49.000 Come on.

00:41:53.000 So that the platform has to introduce the person as a so you can't just like write in candidate bet on somebody, right?

00:42:01.000 So the platform's got to like say you could this is a viable choice now and then let people choose.

00:42:05.000 They might even go.

00:42:06.000 How many of these people have on this chat?

00:42:07.000 There'd be like no way you know puts money behind and they say okay, cool, we'll we'll include them.

00:42:12.000 I would be, I mean, could you really imagine it's just like five bucks and you're already up there?

00:42:16.000 Probably not.

00:42:17.000 No, no, I've got I've got a month left to go to a White House press briefing.

00:42:22.000 What happens if you do you win?

00:42:23.000 There's a there's money on it.

00:42:25.000 Yeah, there's that.

00:42:26.000 That's just, see, these are the type of things that I don't like.

00:42:29.000 Searching.

00:42:29.000 Those are the types of things that I disagree with.

00:42:33.000 I'm going to, here, look.

00:42:34.000 Because you have control over it.

00:42:35.000 You have agency over it.

00:42:36.000 Well, I can't bet on it.

00:42:38.000 Well, I know you, well, I agree, but this type.

00:42:38.000 I'm not going to bet on it.

00:42:44.000 How are the rules?

00:42:45.000 Do you remember the guy who was betting on the weather and he was going to the.

00:42:48.000 In France, he was going to the weather station.

00:42:49.000 And he was going with the hairdryer.

00:42:50.000 He was going with the hairdryer to the weather station and influencing the temperature.

00:42:53.000 So, like.

00:42:53.000 Yep.

00:42:54.000 See, but that's, here's the thing, here's the thing.

00:42:56.000 There's been a big.

00:42:57.000 You know what we're talking about?

00:42:58.000 No, I have no clue.

00:43:00.000 He was betting on the weather.

00:43:00.000 There was.

00:43:02.000 He was betting on the maximum temperature exceeding a certain point during the day.

00:43:05.000 He found out where that temperature was being reported from, which was a thermostat, like a thermometer near an airport.

00:43:11.000 He would go to that thermostat, thermometer, and he had a hair dryer, paint dryer, basically an electric heat gun, and he would blow it until the temperature exceeded.

00:43:21.000 Yeah, and he got paid until they caught him.

00:43:23.000 But I mean, but that's the thing.

00:43:24.000 So there's this big debate among a lot of conservatives about calcium prediction markets and.

00:43:29.000 You know, obviously, conservatives don't like gambling and all that stuff.

00:43:32.000 I'm sorry.

00:43:33.000 I'm more liberal on this.

00:43:34.000 I think I don't, I don't, I'm more Ron Paul on this.

00:43:38.000 People need self control and culture should be enforcing these things.

00:43:41.000 I have no problem.

00:43:42.000 Like, people think gambling means you go to the casino and you destroy your life and then you're on the curb crying because they're sticking everything.

00:43:48.000 No.

00:43:49.000 You go to the casino with a little bit of your disposal income to grab it.

00:43:52.000 You get a free beer.

00:43:53.000 You play a couple hands of blackjack with your buddies.

00:43:55.000 You laugh when you hit, you know, blackjack and everyone's cheering.

00:43:58.000 You might leave up or down 25 bucks.

00:44:00.000 That's what it's supposed to be.

00:44:02.000 The idea that there are people who abuse it should be the reason why it's illegal.

00:44:06.000 I completely disagree.

00:44:07.000 So, as to the prediction markets, the fact that people abuse it, that's what needs to be stopped.

00:44:11.000 But I have no problem whatsoever with people being like, I'm going to put a couple bucks down here and there.

00:44:15.000 What I don't like is foreign countries manipulating our news for the purpose of gaming.

00:44:20.000 I agree with you about it.

00:44:22.000 I'm very laissez faire with addiction as well, like let people do their vice and if they destroy themselves, whatever, but drugs like heroin, some things are so addictive that you kind of want to keep them out of people's hands to begin with because once they get a taste, There's no going back.

00:44:35.000 And or have real societal impacts that should be mitigated.

00:44:38.000 So it's not like not everything exists in a vacuum where people only affect themselves.

00:44:43.000 I agree.

00:44:44.000 But I don't think cigarettes should be illegal.

00:44:45.000 I don't think cigarettes should have been banned from bars.

00:44:48.000 I think I was 18 years old when they banned cigarettes from restaurants and bars and indoors.

00:44:53.000 And I was not a smoker.

00:44:56.000 I hate when people smoke around me.

00:44:57.000 I hate secondhand smoke.

00:44:58.000 And I was pissed they did this.

00:45:00.000 I love it.

00:45:01.000 I absolutely, it's communism.

00:45:04.000 It's pure communism.

00:45:05.000 Well, I had to breathe it in, miss it.

00:45:07.000 If you don't want to breathe in the smoke, don't go to a smoker's building.

00:45:07.000 Don't care.

00:45:11.000 It's just a private property.

00:45:12.000 It's just insane.

00:45:13.000 Look, if I want to open a club, imagine if they're like, skateboarding's dangerous because people break their legs, so you can't have skateboarding anymore.

00:45:20.000 Shove off.

00:45:21.000 I can do what I want in my building.

00:45:22.000 Government shouldn't be coming to me and telling me I can't have a cigarette.

00:45:25.000 I don't smoke.

00:45:26.000 I'm never going to smoke.

00:45:27.000 I've never smoked.

00:45:27.000 But the government, the fact that they want to tell me I can't smoke makes me want to smoke.

00:45:31.000 It's like noise pollution if you're skateboarding and you're screaming and I can't work because then they might be like, hey, you can't scream.

00:45:37.000 You can't make so much noise in the office.

00:45:39.000 You are allowed to scream.

00:45:40.000 But it's like, under the First Amendment.

00:45:42.000 Well, it depends on how loud and how close you are to people.

00:45:44.000 It can become assault.

00:45:46.000 If you go up to someone's face and scream in their ear, you're assaulting them.

00:45:49.000 Like noise pollution.

00:45:50.000 But if I'm standing outside screaming blood, that's free speech.

00:45:54.000 Somebody clip that.

00:45:57.000 Crackhead Barney.

00:45:59.000 It has to do with the effect that something has on a society, right?

00:46:02.000 Cigarettes are obviously less destructive to society than heroin.

00:46:06.000 And most people can agree on this stuff.

00:46:08.000 So I think with a lot of these areas, you just say, okay, what's too much?

00:46:12.000 And what does that impact on society?

00:46:13.000 If gambling became such a problem on a culture that it was just.

00:46:17.000 Detonating it, yeah, you'd probably make moves to decide about that.

00:46:20.000 In the US, they do regulate it.

00:46:22.000 But it used to be, it's heavily regulated.

00:46:25.000 And it's regulated to stop the corruption.

00:46:26.000 But it used to be you had to seek it out.

00:46:29.000 You had to go to Vegas.

00:46:31.000 You had to go to Atlantic City.

00:46:32.000 You had to go to a casino.

00:46:36.000 And now everybody's got it right here.

00:46:38.000 Technically correct, and I technically agree, gambling was always everywhere.

00:46:42.000 It was illegal, but still everywhere all the time.

00:46:45.000 And like prohibition, alcohol was still everywhere all the time.

00:46:49.000 And then we started getting the Indian casinos everywhere.

00:46:53.000 Now casinos are everywhere, regardless of the apps.

00:46:56.000 I do agree.

00:46:57.000 I think we need cultural reform.

00:47:00.000 I'm going to say it again.

00:47:01.000 There are laws.

00:47:01.000 I say this all the time.

00:47:02.000 Cohabitation is illegal in West Virginia.

00:47:04.000 A man and a woman cannot live together unless they are married.

00:47:06.000 I did not know that.

00:47:07.000 But no one arrests anybody for it.

00:47:10.000 I mean, we have tons of laws like this in the book.

00:47:12.000 The point is, our culture needs to be enforcing all of these things.

00:47:16.000 The idea that you're going to write it down and it's going to make it go away is not correct.

00:47:20.000 Laws do inform to a certain degree when they can be enforced against, but cohabitation is something too difficult to enforce, so nobody did.

00:47:29.000 And I don't think anybody today thinks a 20 year old guy and woman should be arrested because they're living together and they're not married.

00:47:36.000 Lisa might.

00:47:37.000 I think she's a monarchist.

00:47:40.000 I think she thinks she's a monarchist.

00:47:42.000 She's absolutely a monarchist.

00:47:43.000 I don't know why you don't think she can't make up her mind.

00:47:46.000 Real quick the problem right now, guys, I want to let you all know I have not placed any wages on this.

00:47:52.000 I have explicitly said to everybody who works the company, like, you're not placing wages on us.

00:47:55.000 Nobody does that.

00:47:57.000 People I know, I can't control what anyone else does.

00:48:01.000 We have reached out to the White House months and months and months ago because I wanted to attend a press briefing, legitimately, but they don't have anybody and they're not having them.

00:48:11.000 So if they don't have a press secretary, I cannot go to one.

00:48:15.000 So who will attend them?

00:48:17.000 Literally no one, I guess, because if they don't get a new press secretary soon, it's not possible.

00:48:21.000 And we got a month and a half left.

00:48:22.000 Not even with the holidays, you technically have two weeks in each month, so only a month.

00:48:26.000 Combined, these voting, these CalShe and Polymarket, those are the two like betting networks that I know of.

00:48:33.000 They're so new, so it's worth discussing the virility, the relative, how good they are, how bad they are.

00:48:40.000 And you mentioned earlier, like, they're easy to game because, like, I know you and there's a press briefing, and if I hear something from someone, the rule in, I can, and you're not allowed.

00:48:49.000 I know, I'm gonna pause.

00:48:51.000 You don't think so?

00:48:52.000 This is CFTC regulated.

00:48:53.000 They're not easy to game, but it's like sports.

00:48:55.000 This is CFTC regulated.

00:48:57.000 So, it would be illegal for you, which again, there's a lot of questions I have about whether that should be allowed.

00:49:03.000 Currently, the perception is, and I believe that the legal belief, if you were to place a wager on me with insider information, I've publicly stated my intention right now.

00:49:12.000 So, it is completely public to everybody.

00:49:15.000 Anybody, I believe the way the law would work is anybody who works at this company would not be committing a crime if after I publicly announce it, then they placed a wager.

00:49:21.000 If you placed a wager before I announced it, changing the price is where it's wrong.

00:49:25.000 It's also against Calci's rules for you to place a wager at any point because you work for this company.

00:49:30.000 Well, I'm a contractor.

00:49:31.000 Is it the same thing?

00:49:31.000 Yes.

00:49:32.000 Yep, absolutely.

00:49:33.000 You take a contract with a company, you're not allowed to do that.

00:49:35.000 It literally says it in the rules you cannot do that.

00:49:37.000 So, like people I know could do it.

00:49:39.000 It's just, it's very easy.

00:49:40.000 Like in a sports game, if The quarterback bets on his own team.

00:49:44.000 I know you're not allowed, but if the quarterback's cousin's friend bets on his team.

00:49:48.000 Welcome to gambling.

00:49:49.000 This is normal.

00:49:49.000 The color of the Gatorade.

00:49:51.000 You know, the guy who delivered the Gatorade knows what the color is, and he texted his friend and said, Yeah, it was purple.

00:49:55.000 His friend texts literally everybody.

00:49:57.000 He goes to the board and goes, It's purple.

00:49:59.000 What are you going to do about it?

00:49:59.000 They all bet on it.

00:50:02.000 SEC violation?

00:50:03.000 No, it's not.

00:50:04.000 I'm not going to do anything about it.

00:50:06.000 So there was a big issue with the, I think it was the last Super Bowl, I'm not sure, where they were doing rehearsals and the dancers knew the song that was being played.

00:50:15.000 And so then there were prediction wagers on what the song would be, and the dancers made wagers, and it was not in violation of any of the rules nor crime because the music could be heard by anybody who walked by the stadium.

00:50:26.000 Anyone could have known what the song was going to be.

00:50:29.000 And then there was the WNBA, which had markets on what color sex toy would be thrown onto the court.

00:50:35.000 And someone did it.

00:50:37.000 So you think that was.

00:50:39.000 Was that like legal?

00:50:39.000 Was that all legit?

00:50:40.000 They all paid out for that?

00:50:41.000 Sure, yeah.

00:50:42.000 Self fulfilling.

00:50:43.000 Of course.

00:50:44.000 I don't think that was on call sheet.

00:50:46.000 You bet on green, and then you go throw the green one on the I think just that you know, the days that we're living in are amazing.

00:50:53.000 Obviously, the higher profile the bet, the more eyes are going to be on it.

00:50:56.000 So, you have what was the Venezuelan operation called Absolute Resolve?

00:51:00.000 Yes.

00:51:02.000 You had the Delta operator betting on that one, right?

00:51:06.000 And it's like, okay, that was a huge one, and it was kind of off.

00:51:10.000 It's pretty easy for them to figure that out.

00:51:12.000 So, I think the scale of it, let's say you work for Tim Pool, or you work at Tim Cast, and that ends up happening.

00:51:19.000 You're kind of like glowing in that bet, aren't you?

00:51:22.000 You put down 10 grand, you make a ton of money.

00:51:23.000 Yeah, like spotlights on you, man.

00:51:26.000 Yeah, I think people get in trouble for that.

00:51:28.000 I'm sure they have algorithms that look for for sure.

00:51:31.000 It's just weird bet patterns.

00:51:33.000 Like this person doesn't bet.

00:51:36.000 If you have a pattern of betting in a certain market and you bet in that market, you win.

00:51:39.000 Not suspicious, but all of a sudden going far afield or yeah, Ian, this is the next level beyond AI.

00:51:47.000 Oh, okay, tell me.

00:51:48.000 I actually am a big fan of the prediction markets, we've used them.

00:51:52.000 For years on this show, tracking where people were putting money down, confident something was going to be true.

00:51:57.000 And you get something called the wisdom of the crowd.

00:52:00.000 Now, the problem right now that Cal Shee and others need to figure out is how to stop the manipulators because it's tainting the data sets.

00:52:07.000 If AI systems can already put together a known answer, I'm not talking about solving math problems.

00:52:14.000 I'm saying if you said something like, you know, who is in the Super Bowl this year, it'll easily tell you, but it can't figure out who's going to win just yet.

00:52:23.000 This is the next step beyond that, where humans are taking all the information they're getting and then projecting forward the combined decentralized thought processes of human beings.

00:52:34.000 The wisdom of the crowd is better than any AI system we have right now.

00:52:37.000 So I'm actually a big fan of the idea of the aggregate prediction, the wisdom of the crowd.

00:52:43.000 But so long as we get people in India and other countries manipulating our politics and our systems to skew the numbers, it's ruining our data sets.

00:52:50.000 I think that the markets were really had great utility in the 24 campaign.

00:52:57.000 Oh, yeah, yeah, yeah.

00:52:58.000 They were really, really good.

00:52:59.000 But this time around.

00:53:00.000 You didn't see the wild swings.

00:53:03.000 I felt like the accuracy was more stable.

00:53:05.000 And now look at what happened with Wisconsin.

00:53:08.000 Whoop, flips.

00:53:09.000 Michigan, whoop.

00:53:10.000 Michigan actually went.

00:53:12.000 I agree that the whiz of the crowd is phenomenal, but how do you extricate foreign influence that's just mucking it up?

00:53:19.000 Because you could be like, you know, having my food out in the sun is the way I should have my food stored.

00:53:25.000 The sunlight makes it, like if you ever have a banana in the sun, it tastes different.

00:53:29.000 But then it's going to spoil because it's sitting out in the sun.

00:53:33.000 But having it out in the sun is great, but you can't not make it spoil.

00:53:37.000 Like having these markets, they're going to be gamed by foreign influence.

00:53:40.000 There's no way to make that stop.

00:53:42.000 And unless you have it, I don't know about the social security number attached to it.

00:53:42.000 I don't know.

00:53:46.000 You're talking about an internet ID, but but yeah, exactly.

00:53:49.000 Like, how how how locked down can we make this ethically?

00:53:53.000 I mean, look, I don't work behind the scenes, but I think most of us would assume that they have you know certain rules in place.

00:54:01.000 And also, I don't know, what do you call them tokens?

00:54:03.000 What are they called?

00:54:04.000 Where cookies, whatever you call them, where like you can sort of track it behind the scenes.

00:54:08.000 There's going to be ways to do that, you know, and it's only going to be it's only going to get better and better, but yeah, when we get AGI though, the prediction markets are gone, they're gone.

00:54:15.000 They're probably going to hear it out.

00:54:17.000 You're going to go up on, like, the, you know, I think Elon was talking about them being very, very close to what they would describe as AGI.

00:54:24.000 I think, what are they on, like, Grok 4.6?

00:54:27.000 I believe so.

00:54:28.000 And they were like, they're about to hit their target for AGI soon.

00:54:31.000 Can I?

00:54:31.000 You're going to be like, who's going to win?

00:54:33.000 It's going to be like, guaranteed this person's going to win.

00:54:35.000 Yeah, but the problem with that is AGI cannot foresee events in the future.

00:54:41.000 And so you may have a market that seems set.

00:54:45.000 It can.

00:54:45.000 Well, I'm saying.

00:54:47.000 It can't predict that Hillary Clinton's going to faint at a 9 11 ceremony.

00:54:52.000 It can't predict that a laptop from Huma Abedin's husband is going to show up.

00:55:01.000 It can.

00:55:03.000 All right.

00:55:03.000 I disagree with that.

00:55:04.000 Well, that would be incorrect, and I'll explain.

00:55:06.000 Okay.

00:55:07.000 So let's take the example of Hillary Clinton passing out.

00:55:12.000 How would AI predict that she's going to pass out at a 9 11 ceremony?

00:55:16.000 Ceremony, and that one person is there to film it on his iPhone and gets it out to social media.

00:55:22.000 It's the same way that I can predict the nine is in the center column in row five, you know, cube three.

00:55:31.000 Just because a human being's ability to predict is limited to like games like Sudoku and not lottery numbers, the point of artificial intelligence or super intelligence, they're calling it, is that it's going to ingest all the camera data, it's going to know every car, it's going to know every breeze.

00:55:50.000 It's going to know every cough and every clip and every doctor's appointment and every step she's walked.

00:55:56.000 Right now, Facebook has known for about eight years they could calculate when you have to poop.

00:56:01.000 Now, you say they wouldn't be able to predict when Hillary Clinton would stop for a bathroom break.

00:56:05.000 They could, and they could do that for eight years already.

00:56:07.000 This is well known that Facebook literally knows because they're tracking your phone's movements.

00:56:13.000 And because they have a billion people's movements, they can see when people are geolocated in bathrooms and they've correlated.

00:56:21.000 All of that data already into their AIs.

00:56:23.000 Why were you saying that it can't?

00:56:24.000 Like, I think it might be.

00:56:26.000 But again, this is.

00:56:27.000 Random events that can happen in the future that can have an incredible impact on a campaign cannot be foreseen.

00:56:34.000 Some are incorrect.

00:56:35.000 Some events are truly random.

00:56:37.000 And if you're saying they're not.

00:56:38.000 And if you're saying that I'm not, then you're just going for total predestination and that people don't have free will.

00:56:44.000 That's what you're just saying.

00:56:45.000 No, it's.

00:56:45.000 You're saying nobody has free will.

00:56:46.000 That's not at all.

00:56:47.000 Everything's predestined.

00:56:48.000 AI can predict it all.

00:56:49.000 I'm saying that a human being can predict with great odds at a poker table.

00:56:55.000 What you are thinking just by looking at your face.

00:56:58.000 The AI can do it perfectly, and they've already done this every time.

00:57:02.000 The problem is.

00:57:03.000 But that's a separate thing where there's a desirable.

00:57:05.000 My point is I'm shrinking it down to something a human, a regular person can see.

00:57:11.000 A regular human can look at another person's face and think, I know what they're about to do because they recognize these patterns.

00:57:17.000 AI has hundreds of trillions of additional patterns that humans do not, which means the goal of a true artificial intelligence is the oracle.

00:57:17.000 Sure.

00:57:26.000 It's going to be able to say, Hillary Clinton's got deep vein thrombosis in her left leg, indicating that she's going to be weak.

00:57:32.000 She didn't eat coffee this morning.

00:57:34.000 It's going to be able to predict these things.

00:57:35.000 You also disagree.

00:57:37.000 You see the future.

00:57:38.000 You're The light that reflects off of something hits your eye before the thing comes at you.

00:57:42.000 So if a ball is coming towards you, you see it coming towards you before it actually gets to you because the light is traveling so fast.

00:57:48.000 0.08 seconds faster than one of the.

00:57:50.000 I want to be clear about what that is.

00:57:52.000 How do you measure whether or not somebody that's blackpilling online ends up just freaking filling out their ballot and saying whatever?

00:57:58.000 How do you measure that?

00:57:59.000 How do you measure sentiment?

00:58:00.000 How do you predict that?

00:58:00.000 How do you track that?

00:58:01.000 A lot of people just get the ballot in the mail and they say, you know what?

00:58:04.000 I'm going to vote, but I'm a little bit pissed off at Republicans in Congress, but I'm still going to vote.

00:58:09.000 And they might have an entire trail online of saying, Oh, well, I'm pissed off, and they're all talking all these bad things about Republicans, and then they end up voting straight ticket Republican, which Patriot, by the way.

00:58:19.000 But, like, how would you possibly measure that?

00:58:21.000 That's like a feeling.

00:58:22.000 That's a, ah, screw it.

00:58:24.000 You know?

00:58:25.000 Well, you could measure temperature.

00:58:26.000 You could measure barometric pressure, like wind, like pressure, atmospheric pressure might affect the way people think.

00:58:32.000 There's a lot of factors we don't understand yet as humans that you could compile in.

00:58:35.000 I agree with that.

00:58:36.000 I agree.

00:58:37.000 There's stuff that I'm not thinking about here, but I still think that human emotion is going to be one of the biggest challenges for any form of.

00:58:44.000 Anyone who believes that humans can't be predicted perfectly or manipulated should go meet one Coca Cola marketing executive.

00:58:52.000 I think that you can do a lot with the information that's available.

00:58:56.000 I don't think that you can predict perfectly, but I think that AI will be able to have such an accuracy rate where we will be like, it's going to know.

00:59:08.000 But I don't think that it's going to know.

00:59:09.000 It's still susceptible to random events.

00:59:12.000 One thing I will say to this point absolutely, this old form of polling is just.

00:59:19.000 Looking to be completely dead, especially after this.

00:59:21.000 We'll see what happens here.

00:59:22.000 But this old style of polling is just old news.

00:59:26.000 You're not going to be trying to reach Gen Z with funky stuff.

00:59:30.000 A roulette wheel is not, it appears random because a normal human observer can't see all the mathematical relationships happening in real time.

00:59:41.000 Is it truly random?

00:59:43.000 At some level, it becomes, you know, A, B, they're going to go to this.

00:59:49.000 This number or that number, but it's not random.

00:59:52.000 Like once the wheel is in motion and the ball is spinning, then there are certain numbers that have a much higher percentage of being landed on.

01:00:02.000 Well, then how could anything be random if that's true?

01:00:04.000 So.

01:00:06.000 If the ball is.

01:00:07.000 I'm going to say, look, the example you gave about reading people's faces in poker, I agree with that.

01:00:15.000 You could probably make an AI thing that's going to look at facial tails.

01:00:19.000 I already did.

01:00:20.000 I already did.

01:00:21.000 You know, I mean, I'm saying.

01:00:23.000 I agree with that.

01:00:25.000 What I'm saying is that AI will always have a blind spot to things that are outside of the data set that it can't predict.

01:00:35.000 Okay.

01:00:36.000 And I'm saying, like, an example would be you can't predict when a child riding a bicycle will hit a tack that causes them to have a flat tire that falls into traffic, that a car swerves, that hits the opposing car, which is, You have to be careful.

01:00:54.000 I'm just saying, you're so far down the rabbit hole that can't be put in the box.

01:00:58.000 You've not actually introduced anything that was random.

01:01:01.000 You've just increased the amount of numbers on the roulette wheel.

01:01:07.000 At a sufficient number of variables, a random event is basically random.

01:01:12.000 At a sufficient number of variables, a human mind can't calculate it, but a computer can.

01:01:16.000 And there are beyond.

01:01:18.000 Is it possible when the computer can?

01:01:20.000 There are events that are beyond the ability of a computer to calculate.

01:01:23.000 And that's what AGI is absolving, and ASI will eliminate.

01:01:27.000 So the question I have for you is this If a roulette wheel, the ball is spun, bang!

01:01:32.000 Is it possible to predict where that ball is going to land on the wheel?

01:01:36.000 I asked a question.

01:01:36.000 Here's what I'm.

01:01:39.000 The croupier spins the ball on the relight wheel.

01:01:42.000 It's spinning, wow, wow, wow, wow.

01:01:43.000 Can it be predicted?

01:01:44.000 With accurate enough measurements of velocity, and yes, it can be.

01:01:49.000 And it has been done already.

01:01:50.000 But what I'm saying is, where that breaks down is when a future event is not necessarily predicated on past events.

01:02:02.000 So when that data set, you said a computer can't predict with something outside of its data set.

01:02:07.000 Sure.

01:02:07.000 So, what happens when that data set is included in the computer model?

01:02:12.000 There's no way.

01:02:14.000 I think in.

01:02:14.000 There absolutely is Hillary Clinton's health, her gait, where she's walking, her phone, the steps, her heartbeat are all connected to everything all at once.

01:02:23.000 How would you know that Zegnick Gazda was going to be right there?

01:02:27.000 Because there's cameras everywhere and it's already in the data set.

01:02:29.000 There was only one person who filmed that event.

01:02:32.000 One person with an iPhone.

01:02:33.000 How many cell phones were there?

01:02:35.000 There was one person.

01:02:36.000 How many cell phones were in the vicinity?

01:02:39.000 Did you know they can use Wi Fi?

01:02:42.000 Until thousands.

01:02:43.000 They can't use one.

01:02:45.000 Did you know Wi Fi signal can be used to film a person?

01:02:51.000 What's that?

01:02:52.000 Did you know that Wi Fi signal can be used to film where people are, what they're doing in their mind?

01:02:57.000 Oh, yeah, yeah.

01:02:57.000 You're talking about tapping into Wi Fi within a building and measuring radio frequencies, basically, as basically where you are within it.

01:03:04.000 All of it is in the data set.

01:03:07.000 Not if you're in the middle of a field.

01:03:08.000 You guys might just have to.

01:03:09.000 Agree to disagree on this one.

01:03:11.000 Like, absolutely not.

01:03:12.000 That would be like if a roulette wheel is spinning, but there was a chance that people could throw other roulette balls into the wheel as it's spinning.

01:03:18.000 That's the outside.

01:03:18.000 Anybody go?

01:03:19.000 Anybody go to.

01:03:20.000 Dude, we got to get Lisa on camera here with his hair.

01:03:24.000 Your hair's looking stellar, by the way.

01:03:25.000 Listen, it's up in curls.

01:03:28.000 It's up in curls.

01:03:30.000 I think James.

01:03:31.000 Harlow has a Mike Harlow?

01:03:33.000 Yes.

01:03:33.000 That's the one.

01:03:34.000 Sweet.

01:03:34.000 Mike Ross.

01:03:35.000 Mike's great.

01:03:38.000 Look, I'll take a.

01:03:40.000 If Mike's doing a coffee run.

01:03:41.000 He's back already from the car.

01:03:43.000 I think James sees what I'm saying, though.

01:03:45.000 My thing was that the feelings was a difficult one to measure.

01:03:48.000 I understand that with physical force, you can for sure predict those things.

01:03:53.000 I think the challenge would be trying to figure out whether or not somebody decides, wakes up, and decides to make that move or not.

01:03:59.000 Man, I've been thinking about systems.

01:04:00.000 What do you think?

01:04:01.000 Well, the point is, what Tim is saying is accurate.

01:04:06.000 Totally.

01:04:06.000 In that, if you have all the data, it can be, AI will be able to model itself.

01:04:15.000 Sure.

01:04:16.000 Like, this is actually like there's theories in physics that say, you know, you could actually recreate the universe or you could recreate, you could extract the information from a black hole.

01:04:28.000 No, no, it's you could extract the information from a black hole if you could get all of the information out.

01:04:35.000 Like, information's never destroyed, is what you're saying.

01:04:38.000 But the question is, would you be able to actually have a data set that broad?

01:04:44.000 And that's what artificial superintelligence is.

01:04:46.000 And I'm just saying that there exists a small, a very small segment of potential events in the future that are not predictable based upon events in the past.

01:04:57.000 And that those events can have a large impact.

01:04:59.000 If you're limiting it to events in the past, then I'd agree with you.

01:05:03.000 Yeah, because that's not a complete.

01:05:05.000 What do you mean?

01:05:06.000 How would you predict anything otherwise?

01:05:07.000 Well, because.

01:05:08.000 Predictions are literally taking information and then building upon it to determine what the future is going to be.

01:05:13.000 It's like streams.

01:05:15.000 So if you're talking about just events.

01:05:17.000 Is that the movie?

01:05:18.000 Right, then you haven't seen it in a while.

01:05:20.000 You can predict things based on what was happening.

01:05:24.000 But when it comes to, like, you know, did they have coffee this morning or did they eat this morning or what have you, those kind of things added to the data set immediately, I don't think that you can actually get the data set.

01:05:35.000 With a pure data set, you can predict anything.

01:05:39.000 And this prediction is going to get 1 million times better because the phones in our pockets right now, these supercomputers right now, is literally the dumbest that they will ever be.

01:05:48.000 So that data will be.

01:05:48.000 True.

01:05:49.000 Insane, even in five years, and every cell phone with a Wi Fi signal is creating a real time map of every person on the planet.

01:05:55.000 But when I become an official senior citizen, I am switching to the jitterbug because I do need the large buttons.

01:06:03.000 So, that's the type of phone.

01:06:04.000 It would happen.

01:06:05.000 I dream of a day I can go back to the Motorola Razor.

01:06:08.000 The universe wasn't that the best phone ever.

01:06:09.000 Yeah, so good.

01:06:10.000 The universe is not a closed system.

01:06:12.000 There's no like we live in a series of closed systems, like we have a closed system of this room right now, but the universe is a closed system.

01:06:18.000 Well, it's not.

01:06:19.000 No one's made it a series of two.

01:06:20.000 Well, how do you prove that it's not a closed system?

01:06:22.000 It's there's no definite.

01:06:23.000 There's no one's ever shown that it is.

01:06:24.000 So, how do you mathematically assume other, unless you can explain how it's closed off somehow, it's not.

01:06:29.000 You don't assume anything if you don't know.

01:06:31.000 You have to assume that there's no border unless you show the border.

01:06:34.000 There is no border that we've ever found of the universe.

01:06:37.000 So, there are outside.

01:06:38.000 There's no AI zone in Mexico.

01:06:40.000 Technically, on paper.

01:06:42.000 But the things might happen from outside of our perception that the AI has not fathomed.

01:06:46.000 But it might be able to calculate potential unknowns.

01:06:50.000 But I don't think that anything will have pure predictive capacity.

01:06:53.000 So, let me throw this in there.

01:06:55.000 You know how the Pacific Islanders were able to inhabit so many random islands in the middle of nowhere?

01:07:01.000 They had a system of navigation based upon weaving and shells.

01:07:01.000 I do know.

01:07:05.000 They could look at waves.

01:07:07.000 They'd had that too.

01:07:08.000 They could look at the wave and say, the direction of this wave indicates a landmass far away.

01:07:13.000 And to anybody who did not know that would be like, you're insane.

01:07:18.000 What you're saying, this is crazy.

01:07:20.000 So when you say the AI would not be able to predict things outside of the system, no.

01:07:20.000 Bro.

01:07:25.000 They would look at particles coming in and say, the particle coming in indicates.

01:07:28.000 A body of this type at this point, this far away.

01:07:31.000 You're right, man.

01:07:32.000 I am.

01:07:32.000 It might start calculating.

01:07:34.000 I did not make this up, Ian.

01:07:36.000 This is the academic research on what is expected from AI, and it's what all the tech guys have been saying they are building towards and why they want it.

01:07:46.000 One of the sci fi theories, so I'll put it like this Warp Drive in Star Trek was not created by Gene Roddenberry, it was theorized by physicists, and then people went, wow, imagine if we actually had that, made a show about it.

01:07:59.000 One of the theories is that.

01:08:00.000 That's that from Cochrane.

01:08:01.000 Everybody knows that.

01:08:02.000 Of course.

01:08:02.000 If you can project the direction of a photon, you can predict the future.

01:08:09.000 If you can predict where all of the photons in a single area are bouncing from and to, then you're going to be able to start predicting the future.

01:08:16.000 An aspect of the future.

01:08:17.000 Yeah, for sure.

01:08:17.000 And the chaos part is interesting.

01:08:19.000 Like you were saying, if one thing changes, every possible increment of life speed changes.

01:08:25.000 Imagine it like this.

01:08:25.000 It's not the rabbit hole everything else is.

01:08:27.000 Imagine it like this.

01:08:28.000 I never could have predicted that I would be in this rabbit hole right now.

01:08:31.000 The unpredictable.

01:08:32.000 Well, waiting for polls to close.

01:08:33.000 We've got an hour.

01:08:34.000 Have you guys ever played online pool where the little ball, your stick is pointing and then you're sliding the ball and then a line is coming from the ball and you can see that's projecting the future.

01:08:47.000 That's what they hope to be able to do using ASI and data on particles.

01:08:54.000 I feel like those apps were always cheating me and slightly deviating just to.

01:09:00.000 Maybe it's the English.

01:09:01.000 But if the photon is aimed this way and the computer shows the photon bouncing around and all of the objects around it.

01:09:06.000 Yes, moving your hand changes where the particles are going to go and what the future will be.

01:09:11.000 But in any static moment, with everything moving, it will build a prediction model of what will be in a place in the future.

01:09:18.000 If nothing changes.

01:09:19.000 Exactly.

01:09:20.000 If nothing in their system changes because they're the observers of the particles, the computer will take a look at all of the moving parts and it will be like, after 20 minutes with this machine, we see particles.

01:09:33.000 You can start building a formula for what the future looks like.

01:09:36.000 And then if you interfere with that system, it'll rapidly start changing.

01:09:39.000 I think over time, you could calculate all the interferences and be like, all right, the likelihood that another interference, like another ball is going to come flying onto the pool table from 72 degrees from that direction, is 1.3% likelihood every 19 seconds.

01:09:51.000 Like, you could have it, but the amount of RAM that you would need to calculate that in real time at light speed over and over and over in all these possible iterations, like, I don't think we have the capacity to make a machine like that.

01:10:02.000 It's like the, maybe that's what the Earth is doing.

01:10:03.000 That's what quantum computing is.

01:10:04.000 That's the whole, that's the goal of, you know, AI is to be able to produce.

01:10:10.000 Uh, recursive self improvement so they can, so that AI makes smarter AI, which makes smarter AI, and then to basically have no limit on the intelligence capability of an AI system.

01:10:23.000 So, will it be able to predict lottery numbers in theory?

01:10:28.000 Yeah, I mean, in theory, with a perfect ASI, yes.

01:10:34.000 All the data, that's like trying to predict the roulette wheel before he even spins it, though.

01:10:40.000 Yeah, that's how.

01:10:41.000 Yes, you can.

01:10:42.000 Wait till at least the ball's in motion.

01:10:43.000 So, the first thing I'll say is predicting a roulette spin is actually one of the easiest things.

01:10:48.000 A computer, you don't even need a computer.

01:10:50.000 You don't even need a computer.

01:10:51.000 Not before the wheel spin.

01:10:53.000 Yes.

01:10:54.000 Before the wheel spin.

01:10:54.000 Yes.

01:10:55.000 I don't even know how that would be possible.

01:10:56.000 Yes.

01:10:57.000 Okay, now.

01:10:59.000 Let me pull this up.

01:11:01.000 Uncle Casino Tim, take you guys to school.

01:11:03.000 Gambling me.

01:11:04.000 Now, let me ask you a question.

01:11:05.000 Next time we go to the casino, can you invite me?

01:11:07.000 Let me ask you guys a question.

01:11:08.000 What does it mean to predict something?

01:11:11.000 Would this mean to take previous information?

01:11:14.000 With current information to make a determination as to what the future outcome will be.

01:11:18.000 Yeah, that's a good question.

01:11:19.000 No, I don't even think, no, I don't think you even need previous information.

01:11:23.000 You're just making information about what will happen in the future.

01:11:25.000 You can make a prediction without any knowledge of the past.

01:11:28.000 Well known among all professional roulette players, you can predict where the ball will land before the guy even spins it.

01:11:36.000 What the f how?

01:11:37.000 Because there's something called a signature in every croupier.

01:11:42.000 John always spins the same time.

01:11:46.000 So, when he's holding the ball in his hand, I can predict based on all of the previous information he slaps that ball when the double zero comes and spins it with the same force every single time, creating what's called a sector.

01:11:59.000 And professional roulette players predict this before the ball is even spun, and that's how they make money.

01:12:05.000 I know a guy from the Hollywood casino, everybody in the poker room knows him.

01:12:09.000 He'll get up, walk over to the roulette table, look at the board, and check to see if the sectors are hitting, and he will know exactly what's going to happen next.

01:12:16.000 And he puts a thousand bucks down and walks away with three grand and goes back to the poker room.

01:12:19.000 Every day he does this because all he has to know is what is happening.

01:12:25.000 And this is not even a complex calculation.

01:12:27.000 AI can do it a million times better.

01:12:30.000 It's called sector betting.

01:12:32.000 Look it up.

01:12:33.000 This is why pit bosses will walk up to the croupier and they'll whisper in their ear, change your spin.

01:12:39.000 You can look at the board if you know the game and say, I know exactly what he's doing every time, and then predict where he's going to throw the ball.

01:12:45.000 I would imagine computers can do that a lot better.

01:12:47.000 But this is like that.

01:12:48.000 And this is like that.

01:12:49.000 And this is like that.

01:12:50.000 The amount of variables that you need to calculate to predict where the ball's going to land is not 7 trillion.

01:12:56.000 It's like 13.

01:12:57.000 A human being can do it, and the pros who study all do.

01:13:01.000 Now add an ASI with how many trillions?

01:13:04.000 100?

01:13:04.000 Ian?

01:13:05.000 One at least?

01:13:06.000 One trillion.

01:13:07.000 One trillion variables is going to be able to nail the ball every time.

01:13:11.000 It's better.

01:13:12.000 But will someone have enough tokens to calculate each spin?

01:13:15.000 That's like the.

01:13:16.000 Well, nobody's going to have to.

01:13:17.000 Can they work faster?

01:13:17.000 Do they have the RAM to calculate it fast enough?

01:13:19.000 They don't get it exactly.

01:13:20.000 I'll stress this.

01:13:22.000 So, yes, a computer would.

01:13:26.000 But professional squad, they have like a 10% chance and they get it within that, which is great.

01:13:26.000 Yeah, yeah.

01:13:31.000 It's probably higher than 10%.

01:13:35.000 It.

01:13:37.000 Maybe 10%, maybe less, but the edge is substantive because you're betting in a window.

01:13:41.000 The reason why I say it's greater than 10% is because you're making a one in five bet.

01:13:46.000 So the way you would do it is you would bet on seven numbers in the sector that's hitting so that you're getting seven of 35.

01:13:52.000 And then when that hits, your chance of winning is really high because the sector is hitting.

01:13:56.000 You only need, you don't even need 13 variables.

01:13:59.000 To be completely honest, you need something like seven or eight variables just looking at the board to know the sector that's hitting.

01:14:06.000 Now add a computer with one trillion and it's going to hit it every single time.

01:14:11.000 This is all assuming that it's going to happen the same way.

01:14:14.000 I want to stress this.

01:14:15.000 Sorry to interrupt.

01:14:16.000 It is already, you don't even need an AI to do this.

01:14:20.000 There's already a very famous story of some university researchers who used cameras and glasses to watch the wheel.

01:14:29.000 And then as soon as the ball was cast, it would calculate instantly the speed of the ball and the speed of the wheel and tell them how the motion is.

01:14:35.000 That's not even AI.

01:14:37.000 No, that's fine.

01:14:38.000 I can go with that.

01:14:39.000 It's after the fact.

01:14:41.000 Sure.

01:14:41.000 Before the spin.

01:14:42.000 No, it's after the spin is.

01:14:44.000 After spinning the wheel and the ball's been launched.

01:14:47.000 Yeah.

01:14:47.000 Except when you know that the dealer always puts the ball at double zero and always spins the same way every time, you as a human being can simply predict hey, if he does it the same time every time, it's got a high chance of landing in the same spot.

01:15:00.000 Then you look at the board to confirm and you see the same numbers are hot and you go, yep.

01:15:04.000 So you start betting those numbers and now you're going up and up and up and up.

01:15:08.000 But you can't predict which are they called croupiers in roulette?

01:15:14.000 Yeah.

01:15:15.000 Well, I'm not sure.

01:15:15.000 Okay.

01:15:17.000 You can't predict who will be spinning the ball.

01:15:21.000 A year and a half from now on a Tuesday.

01:15:24.000 A computer could.

01:15:26.000 No, a computer could not.

01:15:28.000 As it can.

01:15:29.000 I don't think you know enough about computers.

01:15:29.000 No.

01:15:33.000 I implore you not to assert things without having done the research into these things.

01:15:38.000 The whole purpose of ASI and Ian, what's the whole purpose?

01:15:42.000 The whole purpose of ASI is not to figure out who's going to be spinning a roulette wheel a year and a half in the future.

01:15:45.000 And it will be able to.

01:15:47.000 I don't believe that it will be able to.

01:15:48.000 You are incorrect.

01:15:50.000 If you went back 15 years and asked people, could Facebook predict when you were going to poop?

01:15:53.000 In three months, you'd say it's impossible, but we know for a fact it has been able to for eight years.

01:15:58.000 It's kind of an ethical, like, do you believe in predetermination or do you think free will?

01:16:01.000 It's not good that they have that data on us, by the way.

01:16:04.000 The poop data?

01:16:05.000 You don't think that's true?

01:16:06.000 Facebook has poop data.

01:16:07.000 What are you talking about?

01:16:08.000 Poop data is shit.

01:16:10.000 Literally.

01:16:10.000 And what's the max amount of variables that they use for the highest end models?

01:16:13.000 The human brain runs at 300 trillion.

01:16:16.000 As far as I can tell, doing the calculation of the electricity that they're using at the biggest data centers, 1 trillion.

01:16:21.000 We have 300 trillion variables.

01:16:22.000 1 trillion variables is the max right now for the biggest data centers.

01:16:25.000 They don't disclose it, but I did the math of how much.

01:16:27.000 Energy they're putting in, and it looked like it was producing about one trillion.

01:16:29.000 I bet it's way better, though.

01:16:30.000 I bet in secret they have it way, way better, probably even better than the human brain.

01:16:34.000 But the question is, does it have the RAM to do it fast enough?

01:16:37.000 That's the question.

01:16:39.000 That's why they're building a 40,000 acre data center.

01:16:42.000 That's why they're doing all of this.

01:16:45.000 Yeah, but I don't.

01:16:48.000 The jury's out on the predictive capability because chaos theory, dude, like one little thing changes.

01:16:54.000 One atom in my body moves a slightly different direction because of some cosmic ray that changed it and then it alters the path of reality.

01:17:01.000 Like, I don't know that some.

01:17:03.000 Dumb or smart machine could ever anticipate and calculate all the idiosyncrasies, microcosmic alterations at once.

01:17:14.000 It's all in theory, it can.

01:17:16.000 Whether or not it can produce that kind of result, I don't know, but in theory, it can.

01:17:20.000 Imagine a million qubits, what they'd be able to calculate.

01:17:24.000 I don't know a lot about qubits.

01:17:26.000 We talk about quantum computing all the time.

01:17:26.000 Quantum computing.

01:17:28.000 What do you mean?

01:17:28.000 Like a one or a zero at any given moment.

01:17:30.000 No, a qubit is a superposition.

01:17:33.000 It could be a one or a zero?

01:17:33.000 That's what I mean.

01:17:35.000 Yeah, at the same time.

01:17:37.000 It can solve math.

01:17:39.000 It's going to be insanity.

01:17:42.000 So I might become Amish.

01:17:45.000 The presumption would be I'm going to just go live off the land somewhere.

01:17:45.000 It could be the way of the future.

01:17:48.000 We're just becoming intentional Luddites back to the way people should be.

01:17:53.000 Find a cool car to work on, maybe.

01:17:55.000 If you want to be a little bit above Amish.

01:17:57.000 This is like homesteading.

01:17:58.000 70s car, real homesteading.

01:18:00.000 Self reliance, getting out there, getting.

01:18:02.000 I'm not saying all technology is bad.

01:18:04.000 I just used Chesapeake Bay.

01:18:05.000 But extreme technology is not necessarily good.

01:18:08.000 I used ChessGPT to file a patent a couple nights ago.

01:18:11.000 I had an idea for a device that I want to make.

01:18:13.000 And should I talk about it now?

01:18:14.000 It's patent pending.

01:18:15.000 Okay, patent pending.

01:18:16.000 I don't know.

01:18:17.000 I just want someone to make it.

01:18:18.000 Are you sure that your patent is.

01:18:20.000 It's not.

01:18:20.000 It is pending.

01:18:21.000 It's just perfectly.

01:18:22.000 It's filed.

01:18:22.000 It's not.

01:18:23.000 It's filed?

01:18:24.000 I filed the pending part of it for $68.

01:18:26.000 I would hold off.

01:18:27.000 I wouldn't.

01:18:28.000 I wouldn't.

01:18:28.000 I just want the freaking thing to get built.

01:18:30.000 Your phone is a mouse.

01:18:31.000 You can flip it upside down.

01:18:33.000 It's the case.

01:18:33.000 It has.

01:18:34.000 The phone case is the mouse.

01:18:36.000 Or like a track pad?

01:18:37.000 Yeah, no, no, no.

01:18:38.000 You actually flip it upside down and it's really smooth when it's upside down.

01:18:42.000 And there's two buttons on the top.

01:18:43.000 And you can just use it as a mouse, and then you can move it in midair and move the pointer around in midair and click on it.

01:18:49.000 I had the idea stoned as hell one night.

01:18:50.000 I used ChatGPT for five hours to develop the patent.

01:18:53.000 So you can be Amish, but use ChatGPT.

01:18:55.000 Oh, bro, I could build that in 20 minutes.

01:18:56.000 Bro, why don't you use the front facing camera?

01:19:00.000 Yeah.

01:19:02.000 You would need a case.

01:19:04.000 Why don't you just code it yourself, Ian?

01:19:06.000 It's not code.

01:19:07.000 I want the hardware built.

01:19:08.000 It's going to, you have to build, and I'm not spending $20,000 on a hardware.

01:19:11.000 I mean, you're just like Tim said, there's already a camera.

01:19:13.000 It can do that.

01:19:14.000 Have you guys seen?

01:19:15.000 I'm like, Is it electric power or will it use the phone's own battery to charge it?

01:19:18.000 And they're like, no, you have a huge plug.

01:19:20.000 I'm like, patent all of it.

01:19:21.000 Do you guys remember when iPhones had flat bottoms?

01:19:23.000 Yeah.

01:19:24.000 Someone wrote it.

01:19:24.000 It already exists.

01:19:25.000 You can turn your phone into a wireless mouse for your computer.

01:19:28.000 That's true.

01:19:28.000 It doesn't matter now.

01:19:29.000 By downloading the server software from remote mouse or Wi Fi mouse.

01:19:32.000 It's a touchpad.

01:19:32.000 Not the phone.

01:19:33.000 It's the case, not the phone, the case itself.

01:19:35.000 And Google does have a touchpad.

01:19:36.000 So, anyway, when iPhones had flat bottoms.

01:19:38.000 Can you call the phone the case?

01:19:39.000 Correct.

01:19:40.000 So, the case doesn't have a battery?

01:19:42.000 It could.

01:19:43.000 Or it could use the phone to charge it.

01:19:44.000 It could have like a wireless charger built into it.

01:19:46.000 Why wouldn't you just use the phone instead of the case?

01:19:49.000 Because you need to build a phone.

01:19:52.000 This is a $40 product I can sell that it can adapt to every phone in reality.

01:19:59.000 Or you could just download something onto the phone.

01:20:01.000 There's lots of stuff that let you use your phone as a trackpad, but I want mechanical functions.

01:20:04.000 You're saying you want the actual.

01:20:06.000 I like the Create.

01:20:06.000 My buddy didn't have an iPad.

01:20:07.000 I like it.

01:20:07.000 It was a mouse, and I couldn't game with them.

01:20:09.000 I'm like, I wish you could use your phone as your mouse.

01:20:10.000 And I'm like, it could probably power itself off the charging coil.

01:20:16.000 And the piezoelectric of just the actual motion, but that's a little more complex.

01:20:21.000 But I used to actually see the pamphlets.

01:20:22.000 But I used to actually see the pamphlets.

01:20:24.000 So, when the iPhone had flat bottoms, someone made an app where if you stood the phone up and turned the app on, it would vibrate, making the phone spin while standing up vertically, and it would do panorama without any external devices.

01:20:37.000 Oh, that's awesome.

01:20:37.000 Yep.

01:20:39.000 I was like, should I even patent this?

01:20:40.000 Because what I hear is don't patent stuff.

01:20:42.000 The Chinese just go every morning and they scoop our patents and then build it before we get them built.

01:20:46.000 Don't patent anything.

01:20:47.000 No, the Chinese are so far ahead in AI that they already knew you were going to say this today.

01:20:52.000 Yeah, I already knew.

01:20:53.000 And they had filed it yesterday.

01:20:55.000 What I did was I tweeted it out.

01:20:56.000 Please make the next phone also be a mouse.

01:20:58.000 And I'm like, I better patent this because I just tweeted it out.

01:21:00.000 To be fair, they're already building.

01:21:02.000 There's probably an app that already does that.

01:21:04.000 Yeah, and with Neuralink, it won't matter anyway.

01:21:06.000 It's all changing.

01:21:08.000 No one's going to.

01:21:08.000 I'm not chipping myself.

01:21:10.000 No.

01:21:10.000 It's not a chip.

01:21:11.000 Are you going to chip yourself?

01:21:12.000 Are you going to do Neuralink?

01:21:13.000 I'm going to do a non-invasive.

01:21:14.000 I don't know what the proper terminology is.

01:21:15.000 It's not going to be surgery.

01:21:17.000 It's going to be a headband.

01:21:18.000 Yeah, I'm not going to do a headband.

01:21:19.000 Electroencephalogram headbands have existed for 20 years.

01:21:21.000 Right away, too.

01:21:22.000 The problem is how the bandwidth of the interface.

01:21:25.000 So, like, what they're figuring out with computers, my computer's 128 gigs of RAM.

01:21:28.000 You've probably heard gigs of RAM.

01:21:29.000 How many?

01:21:30.000 So, Internally works at 128 gigs of RAM speed, but the connector is only 2.5 gigs of RAM for my local area network.

01:21:38.000 So, that computer that works at 128 gigs can only work at 2.5 to get to the next computer.

01:21:44.000 That interface is very slow relative to what the machines themselves can do.

01:21:47.000 NVIDIA is working on making that connector faster so that two 128 machines can connect at 128.

01:21:53.000 The neural net's going to be the same thing.

01:21:55.000 It's going to be very slow from the brain, which is 300 trillion bits, you know, it's so fast, to the machine that's reading it.

01:22:02.000 We need a really fast connector before it's like.

01:22:05.000 You might have to think and wait for a long time until you hear back.

01:22:08.000 I don't even know if you need to be in a rush to have a fast connector because of what it could potentially do to your brain.

01:22:13.000 I mean, imagine just like short circuiting.

01:22:15.000 Are you going to get it?

01:22:16.000 No.

01:22:18.000 I'm going to go the direction of trying to get some land and maybe, you know, the more we go in that direction, I'm going to go in the opposite direction.

01:22:29.000 I'm going to have a Cowboy Klug season.

01:22:31.000 This toy has been around for, I don't know, what, 15 years?

01:22:35.000 It's an electroencephalogram toy.

01:22:37.000 I used one of these before.

01:22:38.000 You put a headband on and it reads your brainwaves to control the direction of a ball that floats through a fan.

01:22:44.000 Me and Bill Altman were working, but I think ours was actually on the furrowing of the ball.

01:22:47.000 An obstacle course.

01:22:48.000 It wasn't.

01:22:49.000 So you put the headband on.

01:22:50.000 So it's a biofeedback game then, basically?

01:22:52.000 It's an electroencephalogram.

01:22:55.000 So it uses.

01:22:56.000 So it can read two brainwaves.

01:22:58.000 And then it can use those to control lateral and horizontal movement of the ball through fans.

01:22:58.000 EG.

01:23:05.000 Did you see Neuralink?

01:23:06.000 Elon just announced the two new ones.

01:23:08.000 One's called Telepathy and it's about to be released.

01:23:10.000 It's their landmark product.

01:23:12.000 And then the next one is going to do, it's blind sight.

01:23:15.000 When this goes consumer, when Neuralink is a consumer product, it's going to be a headband.

01:23:19.000 Bro.

01:23:19.000 And then all gambling's done.

01:23:21.000 I go to a casino with Neuralink.

01:23:23.000 I can calculate everything in real time.

01:23:25.000 Have you seen the video of the guy with the Meta Glasses playing chess?

01:23:28.000 Uh uh.

01:23:28.000 Yes.

01:23:29.000 No, is it just tell him what to do every single time?

01:23:30.000 Yep.

01:23:31.000 And he's crushing everybody.

01:23:32.000 It's like playing in the Meta Glasses.

01:23:32.000 Oh, God.

01:23:34.000 Meta Glasses have been banned in most big poker rooms.

01:23:37.000 Yeah.

01:23:37.000 Even sports quarterbacks.

01:23:39.000 Games are going to be adapting to this technology as well, I think.

01:23:42.000 I mean, it's going to unlock just a new level of gaming, whatever it may be, whether it be casinos or whether it be out in the park and games to play on a board.

01:23:50.000 It's all going to be advancing with the technology that we have.

01:23:54.000 I'm really into people gaming against each other with their AI companion.

01:23:57.000 And so, like Pokemon almost, I'm building a game that's like that where I can play chess against you, or I can use my AI to play chess against you, or against your AI, or I can play against your AI.

01:24:07.000 And then they can train against each other and get better.

01:24:10.000 I think that's kind of the future of gaming.

01:24:12.000 No, it's, yeah, it's, it's all going to unlock like new types of games, but at the same time, like people are still going to sit down and enjoy a game of chess, right?

01:24:18.000 It's not like, it's not like nobody's going to end up doing that anymore, but those games you can just take to another level or they just, you know, will take a new shape.

01:24:25.000 I actually, I actually think it's going to be kind of like how vinyl is, right?

01:24:29.000 Where most people at the professional level will probably play with some kind of augmentation, but then people will be like, oh, you're playing classic, huh?

01:24:37.000 Like, I'll play, I guess.

01:24:38.000 I mean, I don't know, you know, I thought my augments would be a little bit different.

01:24:42.000 Come back like film photography right now has been blowing up over the last five years.

01:24:46.000 Hey, when Deep Blue actually beat, I think it was Kasparov, there were people that were predicting this is it, chess is over, no one's going to play anymore.

01:24:55.000 And there was actually a massive upsurge in people that wanted to learn chess.

01:24:59.000 It's probably never been bigger than it is right now.

01:25:00.000 You know what's fascinating is that the latest models of chess are so perfect.

01:25:08.000 They're discovering moves that defy all logic in chess.

01:25:11.000 I was watching this video where they explained.

01:25:13.000 Yeah.

01:25:14.000 That's cool.

01:25:14.000 Like they moved a pawn in a weird way.

01:25:16.000 They were like, that's a huge blunder.

01:25:17.000 And like the advantage dropped dramatically.

01:25:20.000 But the AI had calculated so far in advance that there's like a documentary breaking it down.

01:25:27.000 They calculated so far in advance that the guy who was watching the AI play was like, it's a blunder.

01:25:33.000 This is ridiculous.

01:25:35.000 It's supposed to be the highest possible score.

01:25:37.000 And then something like near the end game, that move, he went, oh my God.

01:25:42.000 That early blunder move turned into the game winning move.

01:25:46.000 It probably unlocks new patterns for.

01:25:47.000 For these professional chess players, you know, where there's patterns that they never even, exactly what you're talking about, never even imagined doing.

01:25:55.000 And they can now use that in their own games.

01:25:57.000 But you touched on something about photography and how people are going back to film.

01:26:02.000 And that made me think about something that I'm thinking about doing.

01:26:05.000 And it's like, in my mind, now that I'm retired, I have a little bit more free time.

01:26:10.000 And a type of photography I want to take up is called wet collodion photography, which is basically what they were doing in the late 1800s, where you have a liquid and you pour it on a sheet of glass and then it.

01:26:22.000 Becomes reactive, you have 10 minutes to use it because I hate that I take digital photographs and it you think of it as something that's real, but it's the light that goes through a lens that's read by a chip that's interpolated by a pro.

01:26:36.000 The photos that you're talking about are literally physical, literally, literally the physical manifestation of the light that struck a plate of glass and was fixed forever.

01:26:44.000 Pure analog, pure, just no filters, no Photoshop, and that's all it is.

01:26:50.000 You do that, everything with everything that you do with another.

01:26:53.000 Anytime you have a digital camera, you have taken away that aspect of it.

01:26:58.000 You have perverted the essence of what was seen and it's now stored electronically.

01:27:04.000 It has to be.

01:27:05.000 And even when you make a print now, when you make a print of an electric photograph, it's a printing algorithm.

01:27:12.000 Are the inks right?

01:27:13.000 Are the colors right?

01:27:14.000 Forget it.

01:27:16.000 With this model of photography, all you get is the light that came from the sun and hit the object and went through the lens onto your plate.

01:27:24.000 Do you do the same thing with music?

01:27:26.000 I have a 1917 Edison Diamond disc player and 300 records.

01:27:31.000 That is so cool.

01:27:32.000 And some of those records are recorded in rooms where there was no master, where there were simply musicians playing and a series of horns that would take the sound and lay them down onto the records as they were being spun.

01:27:32.000 Yes, I do.

01:27:45.000 So, in some cases, some of the records I have are actually just like that first generation recordings.

01:27:53.000 How do they sound?

01:27:54.000 They sound horrible.

01:27:55.000 Okay.

01:27:56.000 Sweet.

01:27:57.000 But, you know, but they're authentic.

01:27:59.000 Bad sounding.

01:28:00.000 They're analog.

01:28:01.000 And you turn the crank and you wind it.

01:28:03.000 And you know how you control the volume?

01:28:04.000 It's got a little lever and it has like a fuzz ball that goes into the speaker, which is just a horn and there's nothing electric on it.

01:28:11.000 From my perspective, that is cool and there's value in that.

01:28:14.000 But as a recording artist, I would not want to take any steps back when it comes to actually making music.

01:28:26.000 I think we should ban technology.

01:28:28.000 I don't know what he knows about music.

01:28:29.000 It's ruining everything.

01:28:30.000 I'm just kidding.

01:28:31.000 So, in terms of, we're talking about like the computer prediction stuff, chess, poker actually has a hard, it's going through a tumultuous period because there's something called game theory optimal.

01:28:42.000 Basically, Talk to any of the old pros and, like, man, in the 2000s, it was the golden age.

01:28:47.000 It was like you could be good at the game and you could be bad at the game.

01:28:51.000 Now, because of solvers, where they have computers basically attack each other 500 million times to calculate all the odds, all the numbers, you sit down at a poker table and you've either got some old guy who's barely playing, he's only playing the best cards, or you've got young guys who have studied all the math and they know exactly the probabilities of their cards.

01:29:11.000 Now, I will say this that's how it is.

01:29:14.000 For the most part, West Coast, I find.

01:29:17.000 The casinos out here, the poker rooms out here, you'll find people just goofing off and they'll drink and they'll play regularly, you know.

01:29:22.000 But what's happened is for a lot of the core professionals and amateurs.

01:29:27.000 So does that increase?

01:29:29.000 Does what you're talking about, the incidence of that increase as the stakes go up?

01:29:35.000 Yes.

01:29:36.000 You're not talking about a low stakes game.

01:29:38.000 Yeah, low stakes games, people play, it's like noise is random.

01:29:42.000 However, that's largely West Coast.

01:29:44.000 If you go to MGM in National Harbor, On a Friday night, when everyone's drunk, you'll find a bunch of drunk people goofing off.

01:29:50.000 But if you go at any point during the week, everybody knows their basic strategies.

01:29:53.000 They have a general idea of the cards they're supposed to play, when they're supposed to play.

01:29:57.000 So, what's happened is a lot of people have started quitting.

01:29:59.000 A lot of the old guys have quit Texas Hold'em and they're starting to play Pot Limit Omaha, which is using four cards because it's a lot harder to calculate.

01:30:06.000 And most people haven't solved it the same way.

01:30:09.000 So, now the pros are like, if you're a good player who knows your odds, play PLO because that's where all the old guys are going because they're tired of going up against young guys who study.

01:30:18.000 And the interesting thing is those guys.

01:30:19.000 Those guys who do that and poker players back when it was all analog, what they didn't realize is they had the computer running it in their brain.

01:30:28.000 It was this wetware and they were acting upon intuition, but it was really the calculations were happening.

01:30:35.000 They were making them on a subconscious level and with some conscious input, but it was not just like it was not rolling dice for those guys.

01:30:42.000 It is, you know, look.

01:30:44.000 They know what's going on.

01:30:46.000 It's pretty wild to look at old videos of the Olympics.

01:30:48.000 Have you guys ever done this?

01:30:49.000 Like Olympic gymnastics from like the.

01:30:52.000 Sure.

01:30:52.000 It's just this.

01:30:53.000 You're like, that's it.

01:30:54.000 Some guy goofing off a little bit.

01:30:55.000 You know, it's like a guy does like a single backflip.

01:30:57.000 And now today it's like.

01:30:58.000 He's handing high jump.

01:30:59.000 Handing high jump used to be an event.

01:31:00.000 It's like a TV show.

01:31:01.000 Handing high jump.

01:31:02.000 It used to be an event.

01:31:03.000 You just stand and you just literally leap over a bar that was next to you.

01:31:07.000 Standing high jump.

01:31:08.000 But the point is, what I'm trying to say is, you look back at these things, you're like, I can't believe how bad they were at this and how far we've come.

01:31:14.000 And it's true for even chess and for even poker at this point.

01:31:17.000 With technology, we have flattened the curve of who can be good at anything.

01:31:24.000 And it's becoming increasingly difficult to be the best.

01:31:26.000 Yeah, back in the day, I'm thinking Charlie Chaplin, like some of these guys from like the 1930s, if you watch the old shows of them doing like acrobats and stuff, they had nothing to lose.

01:31:35.000 So they gave everything to the, like, you never see dudes rolling off of these diving boards and diving into a glass of water.

01:31:43.000 Not necessarily Charlie, there's other like acrobats of the time that you're like, who in the hell would he risk a trap?

01:31:49.000 Yeah.

01:31:49.000 Dude, it's the same thing with Magic the Gathering as with poker.

01:31:51.000 Back in the 90s, I would hang out with my friends and we would do math, trying to figure out the best cards.

01:31:56.000 And I would use my memory, remembering 10,000 cards and putting them all together in my brain, compiling them into a potential 60 card deck.

01:32:03.000 Constantly.

01:32:04.000 There weren't 10,000 back then.

01:32:04.000 What's that?

01:32:05.000 It was, yeah, yeah.

01:32:06.000 They were like 8,000 cards.

01:32:07.000 I would just go through the library of every card I'd ever seen, and it was improving my memory.

01:32:12.000 It was bonding me to my things.

01:32:13.000 And now people net deck.

01:32:15.000 They just go on, they find the best deck, they plug it in, they go, and then they.

01:32:18.000 But is this solved before the cards even come in?

01:32:22.000 The downside is the memory isn't being tested.

01:32:24.000 Sorry, James.

01:32:25.000 It's okay.

01:32:25.000 No, no, please.

01:32:26.000 Get this out.

01:32:26.000 The downside of it is like it doesn't take memory, it doesn't take building thoughts.

01:32:31.000 And you just, any monkey can become a pro player if they just download the data and plug it in.

01:32:37.000 There's like an upside to this.

01:32:37.000 So I don't know.

01:32:38.000 Now look at AI.

01:32:39.000 I have access to the good stuff, but the downside is.

01:32:41.000 People don't have to build the good stuff.

01:32:42.000 So it's like getting there a lot of times is what makes it good.

01:32:46.000 Shows like this cannot exist in a few years.

01:32:49.000 And maybe a few years is a long shot because you can certainly argue that human beings having a discussion is substantially more valuable and more important than AI faceless videos.

01:32:59.000 Fantastic.

01:33:00.000 Well, the amount of money that it costs to run a show where we have multiple people cannot compete with 50 million stick figure AI videos.

01:33:08.000 It just can't.

01:33:09.000 A human being will be unable to sift the noise.

01:33:11.000 Now, YouTube.

01:33:12.000 And Rumble and all these other platforms can make a choice to say, we are going to put a restriction on AI content for the sake of the culture.

01:33:18.000 They won't do it, though, because they lose volume and they lose money.

01:33:22.000 More videos, more inventory space, cheaper ads.

01:33:26.000 Is that, hold on, correct me if I'm wrong, isn't that dead internet theory?

01:33:31.000 No, dead internet theory is that around 2016, most users of the internet you interact with became bots.

01:33:37.000 I don't like that.

01:33:37.000 I don't know, dude.

01:33:38.000 Is that not, that doesn't fall into the same category with just AI slot?

01:33:41.000 I don't think that'll ever go away, man.

01:33:43.000 Rumble and YouTube, they'll highlight.

01:33:45.000 Shows like this.

01:33:46.000 It'll be such a diamond in the rough to find a good human show.

01:33:49.000 I'm going to say it again.

01:33:50.000 If it costs $100,000 a month to run a show and we are competing with 50 million stick figure videos, we will never make that money to run the show.

01:33:59.000 So you can be subsidized by the government, I guess, but YouTube can highlight you all you want.

01:34:05.000 They'd have to highlight you every day, which is what I said.

01:34:07.000 They can choose to block the slop for the culture, yes.

01:34:12.000 But if my video goes up and YouTube says we can show 10 videos on the front page of YouTube desktop, And that's only half the views.

01:34:20.000 And you've got 700,000 videos per hour, and it's choosing them based on how many views they're getting.

01:34:27.000 It doesn't matter if the stick figure slop gets 100 views and I get a million.

01:34:30.000 I'm competing with hundreds of thousands of them.

01:34:33.000 Yeah, you're right.

01:34:35.000 It's kind of, man, the age of being an artist and making money as an artist is kind of like the 20th century was the hotspot where you could control your production and your output.

01:34:44.000 Like only the record companies were able to give you the music.

01:34:48.000 So you could charge money for it.

01:34:51.000 Before that, you had to play live.

01:34:52.000 That was the only way to make money as a musician before the radio got invented.

01:34:55.000 And now with the internet, anyone can play.

01:34:57.000 Well, not before the radio, before records or, you know.

01:35:00.000 Particularly before radio, before you became a famous person as a musician.

01:35:04.000 The rap stuff.

01:35:05.000 Tim, I agree with what you're saying, but I think this style has.

01:35:10.000 There's two areas there.

01:35:11.000 You were talking about subsidizing you into government.

01:35:13.000 Honestly, you guys could have a bunch of AI slop content that funds the channel.

01:35:17.000 So there is that.

01:35:17.000 But I actually think that this style of content will last a little bit longer than your.

01:35:22.000 Video essays.

01:35:23.000 I think video essays are cooked because you can develop, you can tell AI to create the most interesting video essay imaginable with the best photos that look so real and the best voice and the best language.

01:35:35.000 It's just easy to listen to, kind of like how pop music is manufactured nowadays, right?

01:35:39.000 It's like literally designed to be addictive.

01:35:41.000 So you can create video essays in that way.

01:35:44.000 I think this style of content, there's a lot of people that are in the chat that are part of the community and it's very different style of content.

01:35:50.000 You can't have AI do this show.

01:35:52.000 Because You can.

01:35:54.000 The reason, my point that I'm bringing up is this is a lot more community based, that people actually like to hang out and have conversations, and they get to know people that are on the channel because they are real people.

01:36:04.000 So, how do you start a podcast to build a community when you're competing with 1 million identical AI generated podcasts that are indistinguishable from the real set?

01:36:13.000 Someone out there will develop a platform that's only human.

01:36:16.000 Starting is also very different.

01:36:17.000 My point, Tim, the point that I was touching on right there was more of the survival of this one.

01:36:24.000 I got to say this again.

01:36:25.000 I think starting at the end is indistinguishable.

01:36:27.000 How do you ban it?

01:36:32.000 There's a computer that knows that better than I do.

01:36:34.000 Well, you'd have to.

01:36:35.000 If you can scan yourself.

01:36:37.000 Wait a second now.

01:36:39.000 Wait a second.

01:36:40.000 I have an interesting conundrum here.

01:36:42.000 You're positing that if the content is indistinguishable, how do you ban it?

01:36:46.000 Yeah.

01:36:47.000 But previously you said that the AI could know anything.

01:36:51.000 So which is true?

01:36:51.000 Uh huh.

01:36:53.000 Both.

01:36:54.000 Oh, okay.

01:36:55.000 What's the contradiction?

01:36:55.000 So it's like.

01:36:56.000 Well, the contradiction is how can the content be so similar that it's indistinguishable if AI has the possibility to predict everything?

01:37:07.000 So, you're trying to do a fake contradiction because the point is that human moderators who are trying to create a platform just for humans would not be able to distinguish between AI generated content.

01:37:16.000 I didn't say they'd use human moderators.

01:37:19.000 If you wanted to use an AI system to restrict whether something was produced by human beings, then yes, in the grand scheme, when we're at the point of ASI, you could have an ASI system that says it must be produced by a human raw.

01:37:31.000 I still.

01:37:32.000 Yeah.

01:37:33.000 I mean, YouTube, I think what they're going to be the.

01:37:35.000 They're going to be overseeing everything.

01:37:37.000 So, their AI technology is going to be able to.

01:37:40.000 Figure out whether something's AR or not.

01:37:42.000 Yeah?

01:37:43.000 Well, you can for sure verify if something's human.

01:37:45.000 You can try and verify if it's human.

01:37:47.000 They're going to determine if they think it is.

01:37:48.000 Right.

01:37:48.000 And they're going to take it off if they think it is.

01:37:50.000 And you're going to suffer because of that, even if they're wrong.

01:37:52.000 It's going to be the next COVID policy.

01:37:54.000 I can guarantee you that.

01:37:55.000 And I don't have to be SI to predict that.

01:37:57.000 Right.

01:37:58.000 That's just human nature right there.

01:37:58.000 You can assume.

01:38:00.000 I think the safest thing is to assume nothing's human and then force the user to verify their humanity somehow with like a video.

01:38:06.000 When I signed up for the patent, it was beautiful.

01:38:08.000 I had to verify with a video.

01:38:10.000 In addition to all my data.

01:38:11.000 And they've already broken that a long time ago.

01:38:13.000 And they flashed a bunch of crap out of it.

01:38:14.000 Everybody watching is not the real thing.

01:38:15.000 Nope, they're using images of like Goku from DBZ to bypass facial recognition.

01:38:20.000 Yeah.

01:38:21.000 Anyways, my basic point was that this style of show will last longer in this AI revolution because people are looking for a sense of community and not just AI slop.

01:38:30.000 I can't say the same about video essays.

01:38:33.000 I disagree because VTubers displaced these shows in the top revenue.

01:38:38.000 Am I not getting my point across?

01:38:40.000 Explain video essay to me what you mean by that, just so I'm getting that right.

01:38:43.000 Sorry, video essay, like a World War II documentary with just pictures and somebody's voice, and they do the writing, and that's it.

01:38:50.000 I hate those because sometimes I'm interested in the premise and I look at it, it's like 32 minutes, and all they do is like the same freaking.

01:38:56.000 Tell me what I want to know from the title, and then I turn it off and I realize I've been admin.

01:39:00.000 Well, the reason I brought it up is because they're extremely popular style of content where you don't even need it, it doesn't even need to be like an actual video essay.

01:39:09.000 It can be a 10 minute long video of them talking about something that happened in the news with.

01:39:13.000 A voice.

01:39:14.000 It's just a voiceover, and that's all it is.

01:39:15.000 I agree with you, James, because I'm obsessed with video games and computers since I was four years old.

01:39:20.000 Obsessed.

01:39:21.000 Like, I am the guy that will plug in and become the machine.

01:39:23.000 Hello, Tape Brown.

01:39:24.000 But I also love hanging out with people.

01:39:26.000 I actually disagree.

01:39:28.000 I wanted to hear your disagreement on that.

01:39:30.000 I disagree because video essays, it's harder to do a sales pitch with multiple people talking and talking over each other than it is for a video essay.

01:39:40.000 I actually think video essays will always have substantially more viewership than conversations because.

01:39:46.000 Like what Brixit was saying, when you just want to know and you get frustrated and turn it off, that's one of the issues with conversations.

01:39:53.000 If you're like, look, man, I just want to know if Hillary Clinton did a backflip, I'm turning this off.

01:39:56.000 All Ian's talking about is AI.

01:39:58.000 This is annoying me.

01:39:59.000 I want to just, I'm about to bounce out.

01:40:01.000 The headline was midterms are talking about AI.

01:40:02.000 I'm out of here.

01:40:03.000 But I think hanging out, because this is more like just hanging out, like watching, hanging out with people, like friends, there's nothing, nothing compares to it.

01:40:12.000 No amount of computers ever will replicate a human to human communication.

01:40:16.000 So watching people do that is like invigorating.

01:40:19.000 The sense of community, I still think, is going to be a major attraction.

01:40:22.000 But Tim, 100% that video essays are still going to be extremely popular and more popular because they already are.

01:40:29.000 So let me just stress my point again.

01:40:29.000 I get it.

01:40:31.000 When the video podcast is live and AI generated in real time and indistinguishable to the human eye.

01:40:31.000 Yeah.

01:40:36.000 How are you doing?

01:40:38.000 How will a show like this exist?

01:40:41.000 We'll just fake it.

01:40:42.000 We'll load all of the scripts from every show ever into an AI and say, just make the show.

01:40:46.000 In real time, I mean, VTubers have displaced the top super chatters eight years ago.

01:40:52.000 You know, something really funny that happened is like five years ago, when we started this show, the top 10 receivers of super chats, nine of them were VTubers, and one, us, wasn't.

01:40:52.000 Yeah.

01:41:05.000 And it was the weirdest thing.

01:41:06.000 People were like, oh, yeah, you're the only human beings in the top 10 to receive donations.

01:41:10.000 Because people were giving money to fat dudes who pretended to be anime waifus while playing video games.

01:41:16.000 Some are real women.

01:41:18.000 Some.

01:41:18.000 Sure, sure.

01:41:20.000 I'm just being somewhat facetious.

01:41:23.000 But what's going to happen is there are already news shows with humans, human hosts, that are completely AI generated.

01:41:31.000 They get like 800 views per show.

01:41:33.000 But because it costs them nothing and no time to produce, these channels are uploading like 1,000 per day.

01:41:39.000 Oh, for sure.

01:41:39.000 And they're making $100,000 a month.

01:41:41.000 That $100,000 a month and those views used to be dispersed among shows like this.

01:41:47.000 So our share of total views are in decline.

01:41:52.000 And then eventually people are just going to be like, eh, render me an episode of the show, talk about all the other news stories.

01:41:58.000 You already know what Ian's going to say.

01:42:00.000 Right.

01:42:00.000 And then it makes a live show.

01:42:01.000 The cameras are switching.

01:42:02.000 It looks real.

01:42:03.000 I don't think you can ever predict what Ian's going to say.

01:42:06.000 You've now lost me.

01:42:07.000 What do you guys think?

01:42:08.000 Do you think that it's going to end up just being two different economies or do you think one's going to consume the other?

01:42:12.000 What do you mean?

01:42:13.000 Like, do you think there's going to be real and AI and there's two different economies within our society, or do you think one just dominates over the other?

01:42:19.000 I think people are going to put on their neural bands and go into digital worlds where they live by themselves as daddy gods.

01:42:25.000 That's like, yeah, that's kind of like the whole universal basic income thing where basically you're just going to live in your pod and you're going to have your bandwidth and you're going to have your game and you're going to submerge yourself in that identity and that world, and that's going to be your existence.

01:42:45.000 Some people are going to succumb to that.

01:42:47.000 We just had this conversation about like you do what's best for your society, though.

01:42:50.000 And so, is that what's best for society?

01:42:52.000 No, that would literally torpedo it.

01:42:53.000 I did the opposite.

01:42:54.000 Hell no.

01:42:54.000 I mean, look, you're going to have a movement where people want to do more in person stuff.

01:42:59.000 Kind of like you have like the caged free, like no hormones added type food and stuff.

01:43:05.000 You're going to have that, but for like content.

01:43:06.000 No way.

01:43:07.000 I think you absolutely.

01:43:08.000 You're already getting to that point.

01:43:09.000 You're not.

01:43:10.000 You're getting it amongst old people.

01:43:11.000 You're not getting it amongst young people.

01:43:12.000 There's a like, as somebody who writes, like Pangram does all these like AI analysis of like people who write books or write articles and stuff.

01:43:18.000 And, like, there is a, like, when people get AI slopped, the ones that can recognize it.

01:43:22.000 But that's not your point.

01:43:23.000 Your point was that people are going to want to do human things.

01:43:26.000 Older people.

01:43:26.000 But younger people who are not going out, they're not going to shows, they're not going to restaurants.

01:43:31.000 They're not partying, they're not going to clubs.

01:43:34.000 Like, everything, every culture, every, like, every trend, there will be a trend of, like, the anti AI that people just want to do in person.

01:43:42.000 And is that not big enough to do that eventually?

01:43:44.000 Why are 30 and 100s not doing anything?

01:43:45.000 Not right now.

01:43:46.000 They will eventually.

01:43:47.000 Maybe they will, but I will just ask you.

01:43:49.000 There's no data to suggest that's correct.

01:43:50.000 There will be a counterculture.

01:43:52.000 Maybe there will.

01:43:52.000 Maybe.

01:43:53.000 The current data suggests a trend in the opposite direction, but if you want to speculate us otherwise, I think 10 years or less.

01:43:53.000 Absolutely.

01:43:58.000 Yeah, with no data, you suggest this.

01:43:59.000 It's okay.

01:44:00.000 But the current data trends show that young people, particularly Gen Alpha, are not participating in real life.

01:44:05.000 Yeah.

01:44:06.000 My data is vibes.

01:44:08.000 100%.

01:44:08.000 Indeed.

01:44:09.000 He sometimes does.

01:44:09.000 The disconcerting thing and the worrying thing that needs to be addressed is that cultures are not changed overnight by new politics.

01:44:18.000 People don't grow up and then change their political faction, they develop those politics as young people and grow into them.

01:44:25.000 Young people are not going outside, they're not going to stores, they're not clubbing, they're not drinking, they're not having sex, and they will not.

01:44:32.000 Have the vibes to be like, you know what, I want real life because they never had real life.

01:44:36.000 I mean, look at what's like, you got wired headphones are coming back.

01:44:39.000 I don't know.

01:44:39.000 I have a lot of friends.

01:44:40.000 But those are old people.

01:44:42.000 Those are old people.

01:44:43.000 You guys, we have an expertise here.

01:44:46.000 We have an expertise here.

01:44:48.000 Resident Zoomer opinion here.

01:44:49.000 No, I mean, I get your point, and there's definitely a lot of antisocial behavior in my generation, but a lot of my friends, anecdotally, vibes based data here, a lot of my friends, they totally go out.

01:45:00.000 They love to go dancing.

01:45:01.000 I mean, I remember when I was in my early teens, vinyl records were really big.

01:45:06.000 Like people like that kind ofness, like Polaroid cameras in that Tumblr era in the 2010s.

01:45:10.000 That was like really, that was really in there.

01:45:13.000 And none of those things are dominant markets, have reclaimed any market share.

01:45:17.000 And the trends still show a decline in Gen Z and younger going out.

01:45:21.000 So, anecdotally, among conservatives, I would agree that they're like, I don't like this.

01:45:24.000 I want to go out.

01:45:25.000 AI sucks.

01:45:26.000 But when you look at everything across the board, particularly schools and what we're seeing among kids, they are functional retards that don't go outside.

01:45:34.000 See, Richie knows.

01:45:37.000 But would you deny that there's not like an open.

01:45:40.000 Kind of a boom in that economy that she's talking about.

01:45:42.000 Although it is small, there's still a marketplace.

01:45:45.000 But if it could even get bigger, the worst is going to happen.

01:45:45.000 Yes, yes, yes.

01:45:47.000 Wired headphones, phones with keyboards are coming back.

01:45:50.000 Wired headphones made a comeback because old people at tech companies were selling products for old people.

01:45:55.000 You're seeing, anecdotally, all I see are young people.

01:45:57.000 Again, is this wishful thinking?

01:45:59.000 Because we know that conservatives anecdotally are like, yeah, I don't like AI, but the macro level trends among young people is the opposite of this.

01:46:06.000 Like you're seeing that with video games, like people want physical discs back.

01:46:10.000 And what is it?

01:46:11.000 What's that company that's bringing physical discs back for video games?

01:46:14.000 I forget, but like Sony's getting a lot of.

01:46:16.000 There are Papa John's.

01:46:17.000 Physical discs is not an issue about going outside.

01:46:19.000 It's an issue of wanting to stay inside.

01:46:22.000 It's not returning.

01:46:23.000 It's saying, I don't want to get kicked off my video game and be forced to go outside.

01:46:26.000 That's part of it.

01:46:27.000 I actually.

01:46:28.000 That's literally it.

01:46:29.000 The issue with discontinuing discs is that they can delete the game from your folders.

01:46:33.000 There was the guy who bought Lord of the Rings, and then when Amazon Prime lost the license, he lost it and he got mad.

01:46:33.000 And that happened.

01:46:38.000 Why?

01:46:38.000 Now he's got to go outside.

01:46:40.000 No, I think the future.

01:46:42.000 Perhaps it's a little bit dark, but I think across the globe, the more powerful AI gets and the less people actually have to work, a lot of people will pick that path of least resistance where life is easier.

01:46:53.000 They can sit in their pod and they can drink their juice box and just do whatever.

01:46:57.000 You are still going to have a sect of the population that is going to be striving to feel something and live something, but I don't know if it would be the majority if people are given the option to do absolutely nothing.

01:47:08.000 How many people own cows?

01:47:10.000 Not enough.

01:47:11.000 They're super cute.

01:47:12.000 Not enough, though.

01:47:13.000 Do we know the percentage?

01:47:14.000 Because it used to be literally every family had on average one cow.

01:47:17.000 Right.

01:47:17.000 Yeah.

01:47:18.000 There are currently people today who own family cows.

01:47:18.000 Yes.

01:47:21.000 They exist.

01:47:22.000 They are not a substantial portion of the economy, culture, or anything significant for humanity.

01:47:25.000 They would own cows if they had the logistics and the ability to do it.

01:47:29.000 The problem is none, because many do and still don't.

01:47:32.000 Owning one cow is opportunity.

01:47:33.000 I don't know.

01:47:34.000 My complex doesn't allow me.

01:47:35.000 Or horses for that.

01:47:36.000 A cow on the patio.

01:47:37.000 Take a cow if you could afford it.

01:47:38.000 I'd take several.

01:47:39.000 Yes.

01:47:40.000 Would you take it?

01:47:40.000 If I could.

01:47:41.000 Again, the conservatives love their cows.

01:47:44.000 You probably start with chickens, then you go.

01:47:44.000 And chickens.

01:47:46.000 The chicken to cow pipeline is very real.

01:47:48.000 Chicken to cow pipeline.

01:47:49.000 Did you see the South America episode?

01:47:51.000 South Park, South America episode from last week?

01:47:53.000 It's about a cow shortage.

01:47:54.000 The South America cows.

01:47:56.000 No.

01:47:57.000 How's South Park doing?

01:47:58.000 Are they still hitting home runs?

01:47:59.000 Yeah, this one wasn't so.

01:48:01.000 Yeah, I mean, this season's been a little weird.

01:48:02.000 I haven't watched in like years.

01:48:04.000 It's pretty good.

01:48:05.000 There is going to be in the future a group of people who are conservative leaning, who live out in rural areas and are like, you know, I like to go outside sometimes.

01:48:14.000 You know, like we go outside.

01:48:16.000 You know, most people don't, but we're a little old fashioned.

01:48:23.000 Yeah.

01:48:24.000 0.5% of American families own cows.

01:48:28.000 Like, I can't get any of my friends to travel.

01:48:28.000 I don't disagree.

01:48:30.000 Actually, I thought it'd be more than that.

01:48:32.000 You can't get to travel.

01:48:33.000 Like, nobody will travel.

01:48:34.000 I've been trying to organize a trip to Japan or just anywhere, and like, none of my friends will go.

01:48:38.000 You just hit me up.

01:48:39.000 Look at Japan, bro.

01:48:40.000 You want to talk about the future?

01:48:40.000 Look at Japan.

01:48:42.000 Their cities are collapsing.

01:48:43.000 Young people are all starting to hyper centralize around Tokyo, and all the houses are abandoned, and it's popping up like crazy everywhere.

01:48:51.000 There's no young people.

01:48:52.000 No one's having sex.

01:48:53.000 No one's clubbing.

01:48:54.000 No one's drinking.

01:48:55.000 No one's interacting.

01:48:56.000 You now pay to have a fake girlfriend for a day.

01:49:00.000 It's insane because they all hate each other.

01:49:02.000 This is what happens when you.

01:49:03.000 Okay, let's go back 200 years in America.

01:49:06.000 You grew up in a small town, you went to church, and you knew little Sally across the road, you know, down the road, and you went to church.

01:49:12.000 And when you got older, you got married, and you knew who she was.

01:49:16.000 You wanted the same things.

01:49:18.000 She grew up with mom helping with the animals and helping with the family, and dad was cutting wood.

01:49:22.000 And you grew up cutting wood with dad while mom helped the animals.

01:49:25.000 So you looked at each other and said, We want to do the same thing.

01:49:27.000 And you did.

01:49:28.000 And you lived almost the exact same way your grandparents did.

01:49:31.000 Now you isolate yourself on the internet, find a weird niche internet sub community or subculture.

01:49:37.000 Get older and then go on some dating app and try and talk to some woman about how cool Naruto is, and she won't date you.

01:49:43.000 And then you're like, man, I just can't find anybody.

01:49:45.000 And then women are doing the same thing.

01:49:46.000 So young people are all, I think, what is it now?

01:49:49.000 Like 35, like two thirds of 35 and under are virgins.

01:49:53.000 They recently did like a survey amongst countries to ask people what their favorite thing was.

01:49:58.000 And like every country answered sex except Japan.

01:50:00.000 Japan answered food, eating food.

01:50:02.000 So Seamus Coughlin was on the show, and this was years ago, we pulled up the stats where it said something like two thirds.

01:50:09.000 Or, no, I'm sorry, it was like a third of 29 year olds were virgins and under.

01:50:13.000 And he went, based.

01:50:14.000 And I said, no, Seamus, not based.

01:50:16.000 Because you're supposed to have been married by now with at least one kid.

01:50:18.000 And he was like, oh, yeah, actually, yeah.

01:50:20.000 I was like, I'm not suggesting you be a 29 year old out of wedlock having sex.

01:50:24.000 The idea is we used to have families.

01:50:26.000 The current trend right now is you look, even in the United States, Gen Z are awkward and struggling to have relationships.

01:50:31.000 And they called a male loneliness epidemic.

01:50:33.000 Imagine what that's going to turn into in 10 years.

01:50:35.000 It's not going to be this resurgence.

01:50:37.000 It's going to be socially awkward people with other socially awkward people.

01:50:40.000 But the issue is that.

01:50:42.000 Women and men alike being isolated online are not going to seek the same things in family, and they're not gonna be like, it's impossible to find someone to be with.

01:50:50.000 Even when conservatives are like, no, look at all these trad wives that were like, I was a trad wife and got divorced.

01:50:56.000 Yeah, because the internet has separated and isolated who we are culturally, and now we don't find that we want the same things with our partners.

01:51:03.000 As a Zoomer, do you find that guys approach you in public?

01:51:07.000 Well, I don't go out in the same way.

01:51:10.000 Well, I have a boyfriend, so I don't go out looking for love that way, but like, Very rarely, I will say.

01:51:16.000 And people tell me it's just because I'm really tall, and it's probably true.

01:51:19.000 There's the intimidation factor, I guess.

01:51:21.000 But, like, yeah, no, I think to Tim's point, there are a lot of people that are my age and that are just poorly socialized.

01:51:25.000 It's not just in dating.

01:51:26.000 Like, even when it comes to, you know, getting a job, a lot of people don't get jobs when they're young.

01:51:31.000 And if they do interview for a job, it's like they don't know how to interview for a job.

01:51:35.000 They don't have the social skills that a lot of them, you know, a lot of social skills you develop at work.

01:51:39.000 I come from the tech world.

01:51:40.000 I still have people that, like, hire in there.

01:51:42.000 And one of them was telling me, like, yeah, we're like interviewing Zoomers, and these guys just like walk out mid interview because they have panic attacks.

01:51:47.000 Which is crazy.

01:51:49.000 Have you heard their parents?

01:51:50.000 It was something like half of Zoomers bring their parents to the job.

01:51:53.000 Yeah, yeah, yeah.

01:51:54.000 Or like they can order food out of restaurants.

01:51:56.000 I read, and this is on Reddit.

01:51:57.000 There's no way.

01:51:58.000 But, like, there's one whole thing.

01:52:00.000 Let me pull it up.

01:52:02.000 Honestly, honestly, base if you do that when you're like, in your family, like, gaslighting.

01:52:05.000 I'm sorry, it's 20%.

01:52:06.000 Sorry, I'm just trying to get lost.

01:52:08.000 Here you go.

01:52:09.000 One in five Gen Z workers brought a parent to the job interview.

01:52:11.000 Now what?

01:52:12.000 What are the logistics of that?

01:52:14.000 Do they just, like, drop you off and mom waits in the lobby?

01:52:16.000 Or, like, do they literally, like, Oh, bro, you are not getting high work.

01:52:19.000 A lot of them probably live at home.

01:52:20.000 Actually, wait, wait, wait.

01:52:22.000 As we were a more, like, right leaning, conservative, family oriented show, if you came to the job interview with your parents, actually, you'd probably be positive.

01:52:28.000 If they're right, you're like, oh, golden flag.

01:52:30.000 Oh, green flag.

01:52:32.000 Big family guy, huh?

01:52:33.000 Yeah.

01:52:33.000 Do you think your parents are conservative and so are you?

01:52:35.000 Family values.

01:52:36.000 Part of this lack of socialization with Gen Z is the fact that they can't move out of their homes because they can't afford it.

01:52:36.000 This is really hard.

01:52:43.000 Like, it's so hard to be able to even buy an apartment on your own.

01:52:45.000 Like, not to be that boomer guy, but like, you know, when I was 18, I moved out and I got an apartment in a really nice part of town and I paid $600 a month for it.

01:52:53.000 And that same apartment's like $2,000 a month now.

01:52:55.000 Yes and no.

01:52:56.000 I will say this.

01:52:58.000 Do you think it is.

01:53:00.000 Economically feasible to move.

01:53:02.000 What up?

01:53:03.000 Oh, that's it.

01:53:03.000 All right.

01:53:04.000 The conversation has changed.

01:53:05.000 This is perfect timing, Gavin.

01:53:07.000 That's my nickname, perfect timing, Gavin.

01:53:08.000 Perfect timing, Gavin.

01:53:09.000 What's up, perfect timing, Gavin?

01:53:10.000 Welcome to the show.

01:53:11.000 His ass warmed the seat up.

01:53:13.000 We got Gavin McInnes.

01:53:17.000 When was the last time you saw your nephew?

01:53:21.000 It's been a while.

01:53:22.000 I saw you in 2018 at the American McInnes party.

01:53:26.000 It was a McInnes party.

01:53:28.000 I'm a deadbeat.

01:53:28.000 I can't say what you told me because it's not family friendly, but it was.

01:53:33.000 I was horny and I was hitting on you.

01:53:34.000 Okay, hold on.

01:53:35.000 I mean, it's.

01:53:36.000 I don't blame you.

01:53:36.000 What are the parameters, by the way, on this?

01:53:38.000 Not allowed to say anything.

01:53:39.000 Don't say naughty words.

01:53:40.000 Broadcast rules.

01:53:41.000 R-A-P-E, R-E-P-A-R-D.

01:53:44.000 Yeah, I'm in trouble.

01:53:46.000 Just don't talk.

01:53:47.000 I'm the biggest.

01:53:48.000 S-H-I-T.

01:53:49.000 No, We're trying not to swear because there are people who have the TV on with their TV on.

01:53:49.000 That's fine.

01:53:53.000 Oh, right, right.

01:53:54.000 Electric.

01:53:54.000 We would say Mick, though.

01:53:56.000 Correct.

01:53:56.000 We would say Mick.

01:53:57.000 There's two Micks on set.

01:53:58.000 You're only allowed to.

01:53:59.000 No, not really.

01:54:01.000 Hold on.

01:54:02.000 We were just talking about young people, and I wanted to say something.

01:54:05.000 And then I got distracted because the great Gavin McGinnis walked in.

01:54:08.000 That's another nickname I have.

01:54:10.000 What were we talking about?

01:54:10.000 It is.

01:54:11.000 We were talking about Gen Z bringing their parents to job interviews.

01:54:15.000 Yeah, but then the conversation changed, and I was going to say something, but you know, whatever, I guess.

01:54:20.000 I don't understand them anymore.

01:54:21.000 Gen Z?

01:54:23.000 My youngest boy's 13, and we were watching, what's it called?

01:54:28.000 The Crowded Room.

01:54:30.000 Backrooms?

01:54:31.000 No, the Crowded Room.

01:54:32.000 We saw Backrooms, but I'm looking for a show I can watch with my son.

01:54:34.000 The Crowded Room is that guy who was Spider Man?

01:54:38.000 And, you know, the British guy, Toby, no, the guy who was Spider Man.

01:54:41.000 Yeah, McGuire.

01:54:41.000 McGuire?

01:54:42.000 Yeah.

01:54:42.000 No, the British guy.

01:54:44.000 Tom Holland.

01:54:44.000 Yeah, Tom Holland.

01:54:45.000 So he's in a show on Apple TV, and they turn to this beautiful woman that he's in love with, and she's like, hello.

01:54:52.000 And it's sort of like Zendaya, but it's a white chick.

01:54:54.000 And he's like, eh, what?

01:54:57.000 Like, we've got half moderate mogs, two fourth pictorials, and then a Zenith chin cleft.

01:55:04.000 And I'm like, what are you talking about?

01:55:05.000 Like, young, very young kids, like 14 years old.

01:55:07.000 They're doing like the looks max thing, like, oh, the Agnomy cut his looks max hair and stuff.

01:55:12.000 And I'm like, look-smaxing.

01:55:14.000 Yeah, that's what it is.

01:55:15.000 I have a theory.

01:55:16.000 You guys want to hear my theory?

01:55:17.000 Yeah.

01:55:18.000 I think look-smaxing and the transgenderism was an effort to increase the amount of plastic surgery so that humans and androids look similar and you can't tell apart.

01:55:28.000 Wow.

01:55:28.000 Because when the optimist bots come out and they're humanoid, they're going to look kind of plastic.

01:55:32.000 So they're like, we got to get humans to become more plastic as the plastic becomes less and then they'll even out and no one will know who's.

01:55:38.000 We're leveling the uncanny valley.

01:55:39.000 Exactly.

01:55:40.000 So it's just a plateau.

01:55:42.000 I don't care so much about that, but like, I do think that we need to, like, Tell people that they're not tens and that they need to lose weight and that they're because you see all these horrible looking women and they feel like I'm a nine, I'm a 10.

01:55:53.000 Have you ever, Lisa, have you ever watched the show The Sex Lives of College Girls?

01:55:53.000 I'm like, no, you're a 10.

01:55:57.000 No.

01:55:58.000 I was, I was, have you ever heard of it?

01:55:59.000 I never even heard of it.

01:56:00.000 No, really?

01:56:00.000 It's got three seasons.

01:56:00.000 No, I don't know.

01:56:01.000 I don't think you can say sex on YouTube.

01:56:03.000 I think you can.

01:56:04.000 Well, it's a TV show.

01:56:05.000 And I think all you got to do is watch the show one time and you'll immediately be in favor of repealing the 19th Amendment.

01:56:10.000 We should.

01:56:11.000 Well, just watch the show.

01:56:13.000 Like, Lisa, stop arguing this, okay?

01:56:15.000 Stop telling people we should.

01:56:17.000 Just tell them to watch The Sex Lives of College Girls.

01:56:19.000 And then they'll come back to you and be like, Lisa, I think we got to stop women.

01:56:22.000 Does it involve voracious gangbangs where you change your mind and ruin everyone's life?

01:56:22.000 Okay, good.

01:56:26.000 I think that's what the show is about.

01:56:28.000 You're just divided from the Halloween party.

01:56:29.000 Yeah.

01:56:31.000 Voracious.

01:56:32.000 So romantic.

01:56:33.000 So many people.

01:56:34.000 The polls are closing in six minutes in Kentucky and Indiana.

01:56:37.000 We'll be up to date with the election data as it arrives.

01:56:40.000 It's like nobody won.

01:56:41.000 I had one person to vote for on my ballot today in Philadelphia.

01:56:45.000 One.

01:56:45.000 I took a picture of it.

01:56:46.000 It had one Republican on the whole ballot.

01:56:50.000 In Philly.

01:56:51.000 I'll show you.

01:56:51.000 What do you mean?

01:56:52.000 Like they showed you the results?

01:56:54.000 No, there was only one Republican option on the whole ballot to vote for in Philadelphia.

01:56:59.000 Yeah, so.

01:57:00.000 We know.

01:57:00.000 Well, as we're about to get into the, we're a few minutes away from the first poll's closing.

01:57:05.000 I want to give a shout out to calci.com for the midterm marathon.

01:57:10.000 You go to calci.com slash r slash midterm marathon.

01:57:14.000 And shout out, guys, for sponsoring the show.

01:57:15.000 They're helping make all this possible.

01:57:17.000 We have a ton of guests.

01:57:18.000 We're doing this probably until like 2 a.m. to track all the results.

01:57:21.000 So, not to mention, we love the prediction forecasters they've got, which have been decently accurate.

01:57:26.000 We had a big debate.

01:57:27.000 Big debate.

01:57:28.000 Big debate.

01:57:29.000 Some say too big.

01:57:31.000 Because people have been trying to manipulate it to make money.

01:57:33.000 So we'll see, though, as all this comes in.

01:57:35.000 But anyway, yeah, it's a show that was on, I don't know, like Amazon or something.

01:57:43.000 And it came on my TV, and I didn't know what it was because I was watching Molly's game, which is great.

01:57:48.000 Have you ever seen Molly's game?

01:57:50.000 How do you have time?

01:57:50.000 No.

01:57:51.000 Honestly, I know how much you work.

01:57:53.000 How do you have time to watch any of these?

01:57:55.000 I don't have time to watch any of these.

01:57:56.000 And I don't know.

01:57:57.000 This was.

01:57:58.000 When was I watching this?

01:57:59.000 This would have been like.

01:58:00.000 What time of day?

01:58:01.000 That's what I want to know.

01:58:03.000 Is it night?

01:58:04.000 In 40.

01:58:05.000 No, I think it was like a Saturday at like 6 p.m.

01:58:08.000 No, it's because on Saturday, so I've got videos I'm putting up on the weekends now as well, but I'm producing them largely during the week.

01:58:17.000 So Saturday morning is family time, but then baby goes to bed early.

01:58:20.000 And so then I spend a little some time with the missus and we'll watch some goofy movies or whatever.

01:58:25.000 And then when everyone goes to bed, I might call the boys and then we'll go hit the casino and play some poker or something.

01:58:30.000 Yeah, I just, I don't, I can't tell you last time I watched a TV show.

01:58:34.000 Other than kids' shows.

01:58:35.000 Yeah, and I don't.

01:58:37.000 Couple shows are very important for a marriage.

01:58:39.000 White Lotus started it.

01:58:41.000 Gangland, Mobland.

01:58:42.000 No, The Gentleman, Mobland, Guy Richie.

01:58:46.000 Below, Widow's Bay.

01:58:49.000 Mobland is so.

01:58:50.000 I'm hard.

01:58:51.000 It's good.

01:58:51.000 I've seen clips.

01:58:52.000 Serious Brosnan?

01:58:53.000 Yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah.

01:58:54.000 Guy Richie has invented a new genre it's British gangster.

01:58:57.000 Oh, it's The Godfather, but in Britain.

01:58:59.000 I love that.

01:59:00.000 Guy Richie is making another movie with Jason Statham, and I'm going to pre order that.

01:59:04.000 I'm going to go buy tickets.

01:59:06.000 I'm gay for him.

01:59:07.000 Jason Statham can do any movie he wants.

01:59:10.000 I will watch it.

01:59:11.000 I just want to be left alone.

01:59:12.000 That's how I feel about Harney.

01:59:13.000 I don't want no cheaper.

01:59:14.000 It was amazing.

01:59:15.000 Exactly that.

01:59:16.000 Lee Keeper, what is going on?

01:59:18.000 I watch every Lee of Meason.

01:59:19.000 Just raise bees for the old black lady.

01:59:22.000 I don't care how goofy it is.

01:59:24.000 Jason Statham can be like a cupcake baker at a bakery factory.

01:59:28.000 I just want to bake cupcakes.

01:59:29.000 As long as he goes on a rampage, just massacring people.

01:59:32.000 All right, I just wash it.

01:59:35.000 Dude, give me the wackiest one where, like, International terrorists break into the cupcake factory to steal like a secret cupcake recipe.

01:59:42.000 That's beacon pages.

01:59:43.000 I know.

01:59:44.000 I'm like, it's just silly.

01:59:45.000 I just want to keep the beads.

01:59:46.000 I want to tell all the stylists who work on Jason Statham movies you got to break in the hat a little bit.

01:59:52.000 Everything is Costco from that day.

01:59:52.000 Yeah.

01:59:55.000 And he's like, I don't want no trouble.

01:59:57.000 I've just been chopping wood all day in my brand new costume.

02:00:00.000 But have you seen Working Man?

02:00:02.000 Yes.

02:00:03.000 Yeah, so good.

02:00:04.000 The best.

02:00:05.000 Why do men love that so much?

02:00:06.000 We love, like, I'm just trying to mind my own business.

02:00:10.000 Hey, you.

02:00:11.000 Don't push it, mate.

02:00:12.000 Like, nobody.

02:00:14.000 Every Charles Bronson movie, you just love the, like, you don't know who you're messing with, mate.

02:00:18.000 We love F around and find out.

02:00:20.000 Yeah.

02:00:22.000 Like, for once, I just want to see a movie where the guy, like, goes up to Jason Statham and he's like, just leave me alone.

02:00:26.000 And they go, Okay.

02:00:28.000 Yeah.

02:00:28.000 All right.

02:00:29.000 We're serious.

02:00:30.000 Someone goes to attack Jason's face and he just goes, don't ever come near me again.

02:00:35.000 What the hell is the matter with that guy?

02:00:35.000 Ow!

02:00:38.000 We love justice and accountability.

02:00:38.000 You know what it is?

02:00:40.000 Yes.

02:00:41.000 And the reason why guys love these kind of movies and women don't is because that study we saw about empathy.

02:00:46.000 You know, we're talking about where when a cheat.

02:00:49.000 I was going to talk about that.

02:00:50.000 This is a big story.

02:00:51.000 They had people play a board game and then someone would cheat.

02:00:55.000 The cheater would get electrocuted.

02:00:57.000 The men would have justice.

02:00:59.000 Like pleasure light up in their brains, and the women would have empathy.

02:01:02.000 They'd feel sympathetic pain.

02:01:04.000 Even if he was cheating.

02:01:06.000 So, when the guy saw an innocent person get shocked, they would feel sympathy, and so would the woman.

02:01:11.000 When they saw a cheater, the woman sympathized with both, and the men felt pleasure when the cheater got hurt.

02:01:16.000 So, guys like it when the bad guys get the crap beaten out of them.

02:01:19.000 Yes.

02:01:20.000 And society needs both of those.

02:01:21.000 Sorry to interrupt.

02:01:22.000 Society needs that.

02:01:23.000 We need extreme benevolence and empathy, and then we also need not today.

02:01:29.000 I think my brain is broken because I like it when people are punished.

02:01:32.000 Well, it's like the.

02:01:33.000 I want like the max.

02:01:33.000 It's like all the videos of the like white liberal women in Europe feeling bad for all of the migrants that are like being discussed in public.

02:01:40.000 And they're like, he just doesn't know.

02:01:43.000 It's like, well, no, he knows.

02:01:44.000 Or maybe he's just, he's just behaving.

02:01:47.000 I didn't charge my rapist because I didn't want yet another refugee to be arrested.

02:01:51.000 Oh, there's this PhD woman on Instagram and TikTok where she does these bubbly videos.

02:01:56.000 And in one, she's like, in the future, there will be no prisons because we will all realize that a barbaric, archaic system of caging human beings was wrong.

02:02:04.000 And I'm like, what?

02:02:05.000 Can we put them in your neighborhood?

02:02:06.000 Chevalier's like that.

02:02:07.000 The woman who's running for the Bronx.

02:02:10.000 She says we have to focus on the root cause, blah, blah, blah.

02:02:14.000 Meanwhile, you've got El Salvador, it's Wakanda.

02:02:17.000 The root cause is Wakanda.

02:02:17.000 Okay, wait, I have an idea.

02:02:18.000 Wait, wait, wait, wait.

02:02:19.000 It's Wakanda.

02:02:21.000 Yeah, it's.

02:02:21.000 Well, white.

02:02:22.000 It's a utopia.

02:02:23.000 Wait, hold on.

02:02:25.000 What do you mean?

02:02:26.000 Latinx.

02:02:26.000 Well, I mean, what's his name?

02:02:29.000 Wakanda was a paradise.

02:02:29.000 Bayou.

02:02:31.000 Kelly.

02:02:32.000 Yeah.

02:02:33.000 El Salvador is paradise right now.

02:02:35.000 Oh, That's 2% of the population in jail.

02:02:38.000 80,000 people are in jail.

02:02:40.000 And it's not like he got the wrong guy.

02:02:42.000 They have, I'm a criminal tattooed on their face.

02:02:45.000 So we got all the right guys.

02:02:46.000 So, Kevin, here's what we do.

02:02:48.000 What?

02:02:48.000 You and me, let's charter a bus and sit it outside of, like, you know, where they drop people off from Rikers and tell everybody to get in.

02:02:56.000 And then we'll just drive them to the Democrats' neighborhoods and be like, we're going to help you guys get set up here.

02:03:00.000 We're going to do a second chance program, but we're going to make sure all the second chances are in their neighborhoods.

02:03:05.000 Well, they want to do that.

02:03:06.000 They want to shut down Rikers.

02:03:07.000 So, that might be happening.

02:03:08.000 They don't want to put them in their neighborhoods.

02:03:09.000 They want to put them in your neighborhoods.

02:03:11.000 There's about to be a big population of Bus passengers for that idea.

02:03:14.000 Well, there's that video from all the Paris riots where it was that like young Parisian woman who was begging all of these rioters to not ruin her store.

02:03:22.000 And it's like, I'm willing to bet you don't want to ruin it.

02:03:25.000 No, she said in there, she was like, This isn't the cause.

02:03:27.000 Like, this isn't going to help the cause.

02:03:28.000 Like, I'm on your side.

02:03:30.000 No, you're a lunatic.

02:03:31.000 And what's crazy about blowing up.

02:03:32.000 She probably won't learn from that.

02:03:34.000 No, probably not scope.

02:03:35.000 That was so crazy.

02:03:36.000 Came to my store.

02:03:37.000 Yeah, they all came to my specific store.

02:03:39.000 It happened here too.

02:03:40.000 Remember that poor bastard, the Marine?

02:03:42.000 They started trashing his restaurant.

02:03:43.000 He's like, No, no, I'm part of BLM.

02:03:45.000 I'm actually.

02:03:45.000 Yeah, that happened a lot.

02:03:46.000 And he ended up killing a guy because they were beating the crap out of him and he was armed.

02:03:50.000 And then he got the racist allegation.

02:03:51.000 It was so damaging to a liberal.

02:03:54.000 We're used to it, that he killed himself.

02:03:56.000 Remember that, dude?

02:03:57.000 All right, so the polls are now closing in Kentucky's sixth, Indiana's fifth, and Indiana's first.

02:04:04.000 This is going to be key because Kentucky's sixth is an R plus seven.

02:04:08.000 So, based on the data we start getting from here, it's going to be indicative of what we can expect later in the night.

02:04:13.000 So, this could be pretty big.

02:04:15.000 Indiana's fifth is also a Republican district, Victoria Spartz's district.

02:04:19.000 She's not expected to lose this, is she?

02:04:21.000 I don't think so, right?

02:04:23.000 No, she's not.

02:04:24.000 No, she's not.

02:04:25.000 On the purple block.

02:04:26.000 And then we have a Democrat district in Indiana's first, which is Hammond, Gary, Michigan City.

02:04:31.000 And that's Democrat Frank Mervan?

02:04:34.000 Mr. Van.

02:04:37.000 I got to say, 0 0 is pretty close.

02:04:40.000 I can't believe it.

02:04:40.000 It's true.

02:04:41.000 It's a tight squeeze.

02:04:42.000 0 0.

02:04:43.000 But the data should start coming in at any minute.

02:04:46.000 And so Kentucky 6 is an R plus 7 in the Cook Political Report.

02:04:51.000 So depending on what we see, it will show us if there's a potential swing going on.

02:04:56.000 And they always.

02:04:57.000 Underestimate Republicans.

02:04:58.000 So that's more like a plus 14 or plus 10 or something.

02:05:02.000 Yeah uh, I think I think in the last, in the last uh uh, let's see, in the last election it was uh, Trump 57, uh to uh Kamala 42.

02:05:13.000 So that was our plus 15 in 2024 for Trump.

02:05:16.000 I'm really curious to see, like how many Republicans just stay home altogether.

02:05:20.000 Yeah, I think I don't think it's going to be as bad.

02:05:22.000 I mean it's going to be bad, but I don't think it's going to be like as bad as people are expecting.

02:05:26.000 But um, I I know people that are Still got, I mean, I don't know.

02:05:30.000 Listen, if they lose, I don't know.

02:05:32.000 I don't know.

02:05:33.000 It doesn't matter.

02:05:34.000 Can we all agree that it doesn't matter either way?

02:05:36.000 Whether we bomb Iran or whether we win or lose.

02:05:39.000 We should bomb Iran.

02:05:40.000 Well, I mean, it's the waiting.

02:05:42.000 It doesn't just come on, Trump, you know.

02:05:44.000 But like, I just.

02:05:45.000 I bought my emergency food like they told me to.

02:05:48.000 You know, I got my house ready for 90 days off the grid.

02:05:51.000 And, you know.

02:05:52.000 No, we're like, no matter what, though, we're just putting, even if we won everything, we're putting band aids on bullet holes.

02:05:59.000 It's never going to change.

02:06:01.000 You think Trump should be king?

02:06:02.000 I think somebody should be king.

02:06:04.000 Yeah.

02:06:04.000 Not Trump, though.

02:06:05.000 I mean, he's old now.

02:06:06.000 I'm making whatever, but like, I think that I think, I don't know.

02:06:09.000 I really don't see anybody that I like all that much on the right to do that.

02:06:15.000 Okay.

02:06:15.000 He is tall.

02:06:16.000 Tall helps.

02:06:16.000 He's actually super smart, too.

02:06:18.000 Yeah, I'll take that.

02:06:19.000 But my thing is that, like, like we were saying before, there's this illusion that we have some choice.

02:06:24.000 We really don't.

02:06:25.000 And then instead of like all of us banding together to rise up against the people that are ruining our lives, we're fighting each other.

02:06:25.000 Okay.

02:06:32.000 It's really stupid.

02:06:33.000 We should have a monarchy so that we need to.

02:06:35.000 Overthrow them when possible.

02:06:37.000 I don't know about monarchy, but like, you know, philosopher king type deal.

02:06:42.000 Yeah, the problem with monarchy is it has to be some kind of, I don't know if elected monarchy works.

02:06:48.000 Yeah, that's what they did, like in Julius Caesar.

02:06:51.000 The issue is how do you pick the best guy for the job who does the right thing?

02:06:55.000 And then when he dies, how do you pick the best guy for the job who does the right thing?

02:06:58.000 You pick his son, Donald Trump Jr.

02:06:59.000 No, you don't, you pick his VP, and then you get another eight years.

02:07:03.000 I think that's actually the immigration problem.

02:07:05.000 I think Barron.

02:07:07.000 Just let it get way worse.

02:07:08.000 It should be elected by people with, you know, a brain, maybe over 120 IQ, can pick the person.

02:07:15.000 Like, we can't have no IQ is the wrong metric.

02:07:19.000 I don't want people are pussies.

02:07:20.000 I don't want, like, I think most smart people shy away from race and IQ.

02:07:25.000 They shy away from any sort of taboo subject.

02:07:28.000 Immigration, even, they're scared of.

02:07:29.000 I don't want.

02:07:30.000 So the issue is what we find.

02:07:32.000 There's a ton of these videos I see liberals put out where they're like, these two women did this thing where they're like, Republicans be like, Huh, it's a problem that all university professors are liberal.

02:07:43.000 Duh.

02:07:44.000 Like, there's a core, the implication being that if you're educated, you're like liberals are liberal because they're educated.

02:07:50.000 Instead of the issue of liberals, don't work jobs in academia, so they don't understand basic economics.

02:07:59.000 So they have weird morals and academic views of the structure of governance.

02:08:04.000 Like Bernie Sanders never had a job before.

02:08:06.000 That's why we don't have a job.

02:08:07.000 So here's the issue.

02:08:08.000 Let me tell you the issue with IQ.

02:08:10.000 Certainly, IQ is an important thing, and what we're referring to is comprehensive skills, the ability for someone to understand what's happening around them.

02:08:16.000 However, there are a lot of people with really high IQs, you mentioned are pussies.

02:08:20.000 And so they just defer and say, oh, let the bad things happen.

02:08:23.000 There's also people with high IQs because the things they excel at are puzzle solving.

02:08:27.000 You know, they're good at visualizing a shape, but they can't calculate, but they can't understand people.

02:08:31.000 So you don't want a guy who's going to be like, I can tell you, you know, what a pattern is going to look like in 15 steps.

02:08:38.000 And you're like, okay, that's the thing.

02:08:40.000 You get a bunch of people that are intelligent that have different areas of expertise.

02:08:45.000 We need balls.

02:08:45.000 We need Trump.

02:08:46.000 Yeah, we need like a mechanic.

02:08:47.000 No, but that's the thing.

02:08:48.000 We need like a family.

02:08:50.000 I just want to be left alone.

02:08:52.000 I just want to save America, right?

02:08:54.000 If we couldn't get done, if Trump couldn't get done what we needed to get done, who can?

02:08:58.000 You name it.

02:08:59.000 He's getting it done.

02:09:00.000 I don't know that he couldn't.

02:09:02.000 I think it's just a matter of time.

02:09:03.000 Except for that foreign war.

02:09:04.000 Except for that foreign war.

02:09:05.000 Wait, wait, hold on.

02:09:05.000 Here's the other problem with Iran.

02:09:06.000 Why don't we like foreign wars?

02:09:07.000 Because we don't want our kids' boots on the ground.

02:09:08.000 They signed up to be in the military.

02:09:10.000 They chose to be in the military.

02:09:11.000 Iran is going great.

02:09:14.000 And the house.

02:09:15.000 You know what the house is?

02:09:17.000 The house is washed.

02:09:18.000 Did you just say why?

02:09:19.000 They don't accomplish anything.

02:09:20.000 All they do is bother you.

02:09:22.000 The House is going to win tonight.

02:09:23.000 The Senate will stay red.

02:09:25.000 Republicans sweep.

02:09:27.000 And they can't, what?

02:09:28.000 Republicans sweep what?

02:09:29.000 The House?

02:09:30.000 Whole, everything.

02:09:31.000 We're just going to, everything's going to be red wave.

02:09:33.000 Republicans.

02:09:34.000 Trump's going to win a third term tonight somehow.

02:09:37.000 Okay, love it.

02:09:38.000 The Iran thing is not going to.

02:09:39.000 Let's go into the Capitol.

02:09:40.000 We're going to the Capitol.

02:09:42.000 Because we are taking conservative tiptoe.

02:09:44.000 I don't want to piss anybody off measures.

02:09:45.000 If we would have just went in there, full power, it would have been over and everything would be way better.

02:09:51.000 We keep like tiptoeing around this, like, I don't want to go to war stuff.

02:09:55.000 Why can't we?

02:09:55.000 We can still do that though.

02:09:56.000 A blue house can't do anything.

02:09:58.000 They will impeach them.

02:09:59.000 Ooh, I'm scared.

02:10:01.000 The military operation will continue and immigration will continue to go down because they can't stop it.

02:10:07.000 Let me say this to our two furthest rights sitting here today.

02:10:10.000 Who's furthest right, Mayor Gavin?

02:10:14.000 I'm a liberal.

02:10:14.000 You.

02:10:16.000 I'm a classical liberal.

02:10:17.000 Okay, I'm trans.

02:10:17.000 I'm definitely not that.

02:10:18.000 People used to stand in the center of their towns as their warriors returned with the head of their enemy.

02:10:26.000 And the plunder from their village, and they celebrated.

02:10:29.000 They're like, yeah, we killed them and took their stuff.

02:10:31.000 And now we're like, I don't know if we should go to war with the person who tried to kill our president.

02:10:35.000 Right.

02:10:36.000 Did Iran try to kill?

02:10:38.000 I am not saying we should go to war with Iran.

02:10:40.000 I am not a fan of the war, Iran.

02:10:41.000 I'm saying these are the distinctions where it's like, people are like, they tried to kill our president.

02:10:47.000 Yeah, that Iraqi guy threw that shoe at George Bush, which he deeked.

02:10:52.000 Yeah, he deeked it pretty good.

02:10:54.000 He nailed that.

02:10:56.000 We got it.

02:10:56.000 We're switching me out.

02:10:57.000 Oh, okay.

02:10:58.000 Have a seat, darling.

02:10:58.000 What up?

02:10:59.000 Welcome to the show.

02:11:01.000 What's going on, guys?

02:11:02.000 How are we doing?

02:11:03.000 How's it going?

02:11:04.000 Have things.

02:11:05.000 What a contrast of figures when she leaves the show.

02:11:08.000 Oh, yes.

02:11:09.000 It's like an I and an O.

02:11:11.000 I got to raise the seat.

02:11:13.000 Well, Lisa's like 12 feet tall.

02:11:14.000 Lisa's very tall.

02:11:15.000 Well, then again, it's not really challenging to be tall.

02:11:18.000 Well, what do you consider yourself?

02:11:20.000 Far left, far right?

02:11:22.000 Definitely not far left, I'll tell you that.

02:11:24.000 Well, yeah, that was the joke.

02:11:25.000 But Lisa was our furthest right person.

02:11:27.000 She's gone now.

02:11:28.000 She was demanding that we get a king.

02:11:28.000 Okay.

02:11:30.000 We need a monarchy.

02:11:31.000 What is it?

02:11:32.000 We need Jesus back.

02:11:34.000 Let's get Jesus back.

02:11:35.000 Just let things get really bad, get an apocalypse, and then we have Jesus back.

02:11:39.000 I mean, to be honest, do you think Jesus should run our governmental systems?

02:11:46.000 He's too nice.

02:11:46.000 I like his dad.

02:11:47.000 Kill them all, let God sort them out.

02:11:50.000 I like his dad.

02:11:52.000 An Old Testament guy?

02:11:53.000 Yeah.

02:11:54.000 Yeah, but he also spared the righteous people.

02:11:57.000 I like Jesus.

02:11:58.000 Big fan of Jesus.

02:11:59.000 No, no.

02:11:59.000 Great guy, don't get me wrong.

02:12:00.000 Great guy.

02:12:02.000 Good guy.

02:12:03.000 I love the video when they ask Trump if he's more of an Old Testament or a New Testament guy.

02:12:06.000 He's like, I love them both.

02:12:07.000 They're both great.

02:12:08.000 He's like, clearly, they're like, no, really, between the two.

02:12:12.000 He's like, both of them.

02:12:13.000 I like the whole book.

02:12:15.000 The iPod and the iPhone.

02:12:17.000 They're all amazing.

02:12:18.000 I'm not like a well studied Christian or anything, but the Sodom and Gomorrah was Old Testament, correct?

02:12:23.000 Yeah.

02:12:23.000 Yeah, yeah, yeah.

02:12:24.000 So, what was wrong with that?

02:12:26.000 Yeah, they were getting it, it was Weimar.

02:12:27.000 They were getting out of hand.

02:12:28.000 Well, it's not just that, it's that God was like, they're evil and I will save the righteous.

02:12:34.000 And then when they found the one righteous guy, get him out of there and then I'll take care of it.

02:12:39.000 What's wrong with that?

02:12:43.000 What's wrong with that?

02:12:48.000 A normal white girl, and she had like 30 STDs a year.

02:12:53.000 She was stripping all night.

02:12:54.000 She stopped doing intercourse when she was five months pregnant because she wanted to be true to her child.

02:13:02.000 And you're like, isn't this what all revolutionary glasses play?

02:13:06.000 It's such a weird show because he's like really intelligent when it comes to the financial stuff, but then he finds like the crazy stuff.

02:13:12.000 Like the Jerry Springer, Maury Povich people.

02:13:14.000 Yeah.

02:13:15.000 It's a good formula.

02:13:16.000 I mean, look, I assume people that are that banged up personally probably don't have.

02:13:20.000 The best credit score, but just the way he abuses people.

02:13:24.000 I'm like, you're not going to get a lot of rich guys who invest conservatively and have done great in the market over the past 10 years.

02:13:30.000 Just have like a normal family.

02:13:31.000 No.

02:13:31.000 Just love my wife more than ever.

02:13:33.000 Anywho.

02:13:34.000 Like you save those for the Dave Ramsey show.

02:13:36.000 And then as you, like the lower your credit score, the closer you get to Caleb.

02:13:41.000 Well, it seems to be an entire generation though.

02:13:43.000 Like every Zoomer seems to have their head up their ass ordering Uber Eats every day for $60.

02:13:48.000 This is what I was saying.

02:13:49.000 They don't go outside, they don't drink, they don't bang, and they're just locked in their rooms on the internet.

02:13:53.000 Hanging out with other internet weirdos.

02:13:55.000 Which is not, they're not the same, but it's the same problem with academics and high IQs.

02:14:00.000 We do have some data that just dropped for Indiana's 5th congressional district.

02:14:04.000 This is Victoria Sparks's district, a Republican district, with 31% of the votes in.

02:14:10.000 It is D plus 27 right now, but that is just the Carmel, Noblesville area reporting, which is closer to the city and probably more Democrat leading.

02:14:20.000 We got Kokomo, Marion, Muncie, and Anderson coming up.

02:14:23.000 No data yet, but with 31% in it, already D plus 27.

02:14:27.000 Yikes.

02:14:28.000 I think she's probably going to win, though.

02:14:29.000 Were they red before?

02:14:30.000 We should know what they were before.

02:14:31.000 I'm no expert on every single state.

02:14:33.000 No, she's the incumbent.

02:14:35.000 If we're using the times for the rest of the show, if it's a star, whoever has the asterisks is the incumbent.

02:14:35.000 Oh, okay.

02:14:42.000 That's what I was saying.

02:14:42.000 This is her district.

02:14:43.000 She's predicted to win.

02:14:44.000 But with 31% in, she's down 27.

02:14:48.000 I believe she's from Ukraine.

02:14:50.000 Like, she's been really.

02:14:51.000 She's a Ukrainian.

02:14:52.000 Yeah.

02:14:52.000 With like a Ukrainian.

02:14:53.000 She's got a hot ass.

02:14:54.000 This is an R plus eight district.

02:14:57.000 And let's see what we got here.

02:14:59.000 Donald Trump.

02:14:59.000 Won it by 16 points.

02:15:02.000 Oh, no, wait, wait.

02:15:02.000 I'm sorry.

02:15:03.000 He won it by, yeah, 16 points.

02:15:06.000 Usually, if you want it by 10 points, it's a shoe in.

02:15:08.000 Right.

02:15:09.000 16 points is a shoe shoe in.

02:15:11.000 Well, let's see what the margins are, though.

02:15:13.000 If she ends up winning this by like two points, it's going to be like, yikes, you know?

02:15:16.000 Yeah, this is the.

02:15:17.000 Oh, geez.

02:15:19.000 Yeah, so the part that came in is right next to Indianapolis.

02:15:21.000 What if she wins by like 23 points?

02:15:25.000 It gets better.

02:15:26.000 All the polls are.

02:15:27.000 One conspiracy theory I had was that Republicans were going to sweep and this was going to trigger a.

02:15:33.000 Crisis among the Democratic Party because they are adamant that the polls prove they're going to win, the prediction markets prove they're going to win.

02:15:40.000 They would then say, This proves the Republicans have been cheating because there's no way all the polls, every single one, and the predictions were wrong.

02:15:47.000 And then the DSA's plan to invoke the, to force Trump to invoke the Insurrection Act, it needs a catalyst.

02:15:53.000 So I'm not saying this is going to happen.

02:15:55.000 I'm just saying a thought I entertained.

02:15:57.000 We got this release from Data Republican that the DSA and other former USAAD employees were trying to foment a color revolution in the United States.

02:16:04.000 This is stuff they released.

02:16:05.000 This is released already.

02:16:06.000 I'm not making this up.

02:16:07.000 They were basically saying, What we want to do is in the summer of 27, Riot to the degree that Trump is forced to invoke the Insurrection Act, which will result in Democrat governors' coalitions claiming Trump is staging a coup.

02:16:20.000 When Trump says insurrection after putting this down, the Democrats will then say, oh no, Trump's staging a coup by trying to usurp power over the states.

02:16:28.000 How do you get these riots?

02:16:30.000 Well, you would need some catalyst to convince regular people to go out in mass.

02:16:34.000 So I'm like, with these fake polls that came out, we have three fake pollsters, not just polls, pollsters putting out numerous fake polls.

02:16:42.000 We saw what happened in Wisconsin where Francesca Hong was projected to win 99% or whatever.

02:16:47.000 And then election day, whoop, just flips.

02:16:49.000 And then we found out those polls were fake.

02:16:51.000 So, what happens if today, I'm not saying it's going to happen, I don't think it's going to happen, but what would happen?

02:16:55.000 If Democrats get crushed, Republicans win, hold everything, you are going to have prominent Hassan Piker, you know, Pac Man, they're going to come out and they're going to be like, this is impossible.

02:17:08.000 Every poll had us up, every aggregate had us up, every prediction market.

02:17:12.000 The only way this is possible is that Elon Musk cheated.

02:17:14.000 We heard from Ashley St. Clair that he was cheating, that he said he was going to cheat.

02:17:18.000 Ashley, Trump is cheating.

02:17:19.000 Reliable source of information.

02:17:21.000 Well, she's got the text from Elon and she claimed it and they all believe it.

02:17:24.000 And they're going to be like, they rigged it.

02:17:26.000 If the Democrats do not win, they will say it's rigged and then they will riot like crazy.

02:17:31.000 And it'll be a left January 6th.

02:17:33.000 I think that's a good theory, but it's worth noting that that plan is still in, even if it doesn't happen tonight.

02:17:39.000 The plan is total anarchy, burn America to the ground, and they don't need much of a catalyst.

02:17:45.000 What do we have in France?

02:17:46.000 We need more pencils.

02:17:49.000 Well, this is the thing.

02:17:51.000 I talk to people about this plan.

02:17:53.000 Again, Data Republican and the other researchers working with Data Republican have published videos and documents outlining former USAID employees being like, here's how we're going to do it.

02:18:04.000 And I hear from people like, oh, no Democrat governor is going to try and declare a coup and take over.

02:18:08.000 I'm like, no, they're going to accuse Trump of staging a coup.

02:18:13.000 When Trump says, I'm sending in the National Guard to stop the riots, they're all going to go out on TV and say, Donald Trump has just attempted a coup.

02:18:21.000 That's what they did during BLM.

02:18:22.000 I mean, they were close to that.

02:18:23.000 And he's close to using it.

02:18:24.000 His goal is to say, oh, oh, Lord, help us.

02:18:26.000 We're the aggrieved party.

02:18:27.000 Trump is stealing power.

02:18:29.000 Now we have no choice but to stop him.

02:18:31.000 I mean, look, they're already doing it with Alaska in what is clearly ridiculous fraud with the double Dan Sullivan.

02:18:31.000 Yeah.

02:18:38.000 I love them denying it, too.

02:18:41.000 They're like, will you accept the results?

02:18:44.000 No.

02:18:44.000 I didn't know his name was Dan Sullivan.

02:18:45.000 I'm not accepting the results.

02:18:47.000 We got a big one early vote into the Capitol.

02:18:49.000 Let's go.

02:18:50.000 We got a big update.

02:18:50.000 All right.

02:18:51.000 Alaska has broken the state record with 105%.

02:18:54.000 423 early vote and absentee ballots received as of 5 45 p.m., according to the state division of elections.

02:19:01.000 That breaks the previous record of 100,877 in 2022.

02:19:05.000 The marquee matchup in Alaska is the hotly contested battle for U.S. Senate, pitting Mary Peltola against Dan S. Sullivan and independent Daniel J. Sullivan.

02:19:18.000 Come on.

02:19:18.000 I mean, how crazy does that look like?

02:19:21.000 Independent?

02:19:22.000 What do you like better, Dan Sullivan or Dan Sullivan?

02:19:25.000 How about non existent?

02:19:27.000 I mean, nobody's even seen this guy.

02:19:28.000 Yeah.

02:19:29.000 Like, we lost two people.

02:19:30.000 They have one photo of him wearing the same wig.

02:19:33.000 New rule everybody's got to introduce them to come in because.

02:19:35.000 Well, if you're just joining the show, Andrew, come on in.

02:19:35.000 I was going to say that.

02:19:37.000 Well, because people are coming in, we're not telling the audience who's sitting down.

02:19:41.000 This is Kevin.

02:19:41.000 Introduce yourself.

02:19:42.000 I can't hear you.

02:19:44.000 I'm Julie Grace Brooks.

02:19:45.000 Thanks, Lisa.

02:19:45.000 How's it going?

02:19:46.000 Welcome.

02:19:47.000 How's it going?

02:19:47.000 I'm Kevin Smith.

02:19:48.000 I'm Barron Trump.

02:19:49.000 Hey.

02:19:50.000 Unfortunately, not.

02:19:51.000 Andrew Branca.

02:19:54.000 Anyway, Alaska broke a record.

02:19:56.000 I believe that this is the most insane thing.

02:20:01.000 We have two of the biggest scandals in the history of this country happening a little bit right now Ilhan Omar, which I believe is the biggest political scandal in the history of this country.

02:20:07.000 It has to be.

02:20:08.000 He married her.

02:20:09.000 Absolutely.

02:20:10.000 Who was that?

02:20:11.000 I married her.

02:20:12.000 You married her as a wedding.

02:20:13.000 You got 100 grand.

02:20:14.000 You officiated her wedding?

02:20:16.000 No, I think we're still married.

02:20:18.000 I don't know what happened with it, but yeah, I married her.

02:20:21.000 Did you do some kind of trick to say that you married her?

02:20:24.000 We had to consummate, which was the worst part.

02:20:26.000 Oh, that's so gross.

02:20:28.000 Okay, anyway.

02:20:29.000 100 grand, you're a cheap date.

02:20:29.000 100 grand.

02:20:31.000 Let me say that we know for a fact the Mary Peltola campaign, and it was reported by the New York Times that she was aware of everything that was going on, engaged in a conspiracy to defraud the voters.

02:20:41.000 We've got a breaking story from earlier where a guy says, He didn't actually recall seeing two Dan Sullivans.

02:20:47.000 He didn't know if he picked the right or wrong one.

02:20:51.000 Anyone who votes for the independent Dan Sullivan did not intend to.

02:20:55.000 He hasn't campaigned.

02:20:57.000 He hasn't campaigned at all.

02:20:58.000 So it is just evidence of a crime.

02:21:02.000 Now, what happens if Mary Peltola wins with these record ballots and then she's arrested a week later?

02:21:07.000 Yeah, there's got to be a re.

02:21:08.000 The whole election's over with Alaska.

02:21:11.000 I mean, it hasn't been.

02:21:13.000 The feds must not allow her to take her seat.

02:21:14.000 No way.

02:21:15.000 No way.

02:21:16.000 You know, they're gonna.

02:21:17.000 Trump's gonna do nothing.

02:21:18.000 Yeah, they're gonna.

02:21:18.000 In 1970, Republicans were all talk.

02:21:21.000 It's wild to me that Democrats will spend two years on a move like this, and then Republicans will come out and go, We've considered filing a lawsuit.

02:21:29.000 I mean, I'm like, That's gonna take two years.

02:21:31.000 Biden sat in the White House for four years, right?

02:21:33.000 I mean, we didn't see that.

02:21:35.000 This has been their MO for half a century.

02:21:37.000 In 1970, after MLK was shot, he had a group called the Southern Christian Leadership Conference, the SCLC.

02:21:44.000 His partner was Ralph Abernathy.

02:21:46.000 Around that exact same time, as donations were pouring into the SCLC, Morris Dees starts the SPLC and gets some random college student named George Abernathy.

02:22:01.000 And now there's Abernathy's SPLC and Abernathy's SCLC.

02:22:06.000 So money that's supposed to go to SPLC goes to the SCLC.

02:22:09.000 And the SPLC got so rich off of that, they're still around today.

02:22:12.000 This is what they do.

02:22:15.000 Gypsy tactics.

02:22:16.000 Southern Poverty Law Center, we're talking about here.

02:22:18.000 Yeah.

02:22:19.000 Well, it's a Dan Sullivan, Dan Sullivan, SPLC, SCLC.

02:22:22.000 Oh, okay.

02:22:23.000 It's a half a century old tradition of shim shams.

02:22:26.000 And just think about it.

02:22:27.000 It took, what, 50, 60 years for anyone to even notice that the SPLC is a complete sham?

02:22:33.000 I mean, that took undercover work.

02:22:33.000 Yeah.

02:22:35.000 It took the normies to notice.

02:22:36.000 Well, look, they haven't noticed.

02:22:38.000 I mean, front page of the New York Post with crosses burning saying they were funding Nazis, and people are still like, Proud Boys are known as Nazis by the SPLC.

02:22:47.000 Last week, they.

02:22:47.000 I thought they were debunked.

02:22:49.000 I mean, the left uses the SPLC as like.

02:22:53.000 You know, a means to get credibility, right?

02:22:55.000 And the average person that's watching your three weeks ago, there was a story about me being on their list in one of our local papers.

02:23:02.000 What'd you do?

02:23:04.000 Oh, dude, you were here when Ian said that stuff about, yeah.

02:23:08.000 Yeah, we're just not going to talk about anything.

02:23:09.000 We're not going to talk about anything that happened in the 40s while I'm here.

02:23:12.000 No, I feel bad.

02:23:13.000 Am I on the list?

02:23:14.000 I'm not on the list.

02:23:14.000 I'll be on.

02:23:15.000 I feel left out.

02:23:16.000 I'll be on.

02:23:17.000 No, but you know what?

02:23:18.000 And this is what will happen.

02:23:19.000 Someone like me, an activist from New York, will be put on that list because I believe that the New York State Teachers Union.

02:23:26.000 Got the SPLC to put Sean Farish and myself on that list.

02:23:30.000 Sean Farish is on too.

02:23:32.000 Andrew, you're definitely on.

02:23:33.000 Like the organization we started is on it.

02:23:35.000 So now, when we work with the campaign or we're associated with them in any way, oh, you're affiliated with the Southern Poverty guys on the SPLC list, the anti government dictatorship.

02:23:45.000 Hate list.

02:23:46.000 And I'm sitting there, I'm like, I'm working to get a guy elected to Congress or governor.

02:23:51.000 How am I anti government?

02:23:53.000 But nobody cares.

02:23:53.000 They just see that.

02:23:54.000 And boomers who remember the Southern Poverty Law Center when they actually did good work, now they're trading with them.

02:24:01.000 They never did good work.

02:24:01.000 No, but I'm talking about when they were going after people.

02:24:05.000 Excuse me, when they were going after not like they were registering the KKK to hack because they had a picture of a lynching, yeah, they usurped seven million dollars using the picture of that victim.

02:24:18.000 The family got nothing from that, they bankrupted the KKK.

02:24:21.000 The KKK didn't have any money, so they just used that to do more fundraising.

02:24:25.000 That's what I mean.

02:24:26.000 Is like people who register voters get put on that list.

02:24:29.000 Anybody, there's one building on Long Island that got put on the SPLC hate watch list.

02:24:36.000 Like 25 years ago.

02:24:38.000 I'm pretty sure it's a Chase bank now.

02:24:40.000 And it's still on the map because once you get on, they never take you off.

02:24:44.000 Yeah.

02:24:44.000 It's a fundraising machine.

02:24:46.000 It's a machine for it.

02:24:46.000 Absolutely.

02:24:47.000 Always has been.

02:24:48.000 If it wasn't the KKK, it would be something else.

02:24:50.000 It's just a marketing machine to raise money.

02:24:53.000 This is just the facade they put on the narrative that they use to get rid of these.

02:24:57.000 They terrorize rich old Jews and say, World War III is coming tomorrow unless we get rid of these Nazis.

02:25:02.000 And they're like, oh, I'll put a ready check.

02:25:05.000 Well, I mean, it's worked out for them for what?

02:25:08.000 However, they're worth close to a billion dollars when you include all their offshore accounts.

02:25:13.000 God, unreal.

02:25:14.000 And it's just a slander machine.

02:25:17.000 Just perfect.

02:25:17.000 I mean, I'm on the show for three minutes.

02:25:19.000 My wife is calling me.

02:25:21.000 I just want to say, was it something we said?

02:25:24.000 I haven't gotten a call yet, so I haven't said anything wrong.

02:25:27.000 I got the call, and that's why I'm pro Jew.

02:25:29.000 Well, you're a Zionist anyway.

02:25:30.000 I got $7,000.

02:25:33.000 I wish you actually got $7,000.

02:25:35.000 So let's see.

02:25:36.000 We're going to look at some of the exit polls, I guess, right now.

02:25:39.000 Let me see here.

02:25:42.000 I assume that we're all kind of of the opinion that this is going to be an absolute crucifixion of the right here, the Republican.

02:25:50.000 House bloodbath, but not necessarily a Senate bloodbath.

02:25:52.000 No.

02:25:53.000 I don't know.

02:25:53.000 I mean, I talked to a lot of candidates this week, and no Republican I talked to was feeling great.

02:26:01.000 I mean, Maine, they were feeling pretty good, but outside of that, I.

02:26:04.000 Yeah, I'm confident about Maine.

02:26:06.000 Well, broads answer polls.

02:26:09.000 Guys are at work.

02:26:11.000 So you tend to have a very female.

02:26:13.000 A view of the world when it's just based on polls.

02:26:17.000 And generally, the Republicans or conservatives try to avoid polls as well.

02:26:20.000 Yeah, that's another thing.

02:26:22.000 I've never been asked.

02:26:23.000 What?

02:26:23.000 I want to be asked once.

02:26:24.000 You don't get the text messages?

02:26:26.000 My phone's constantly on the wrong side.

02:26:26.000 I want to.

02:26:28.000 I'm not clicking on that link.

02:26:30.000 If I get a strange link from a number I don't recognize, I assume it's one of my friends sending me that picture.

02:26:37.000 Well, you got to pick.

02:26:38.000 And everyone knows.

02:26:39.000 What's into your photo?

02:26:40.000 Yeah, everyone knows what picture I'm talking about.

02:26:42.000 You got to pick a lane.

02:26:43.000 You either want to be in the polls or you don't want to be.

02:26:45.000 Do the things that you got to do to get the polls, or you don't.

02:26:48.000 Oh, okay.

02:26:48.000 Pull me from the spam number.

02:26:49.000 That way I know I'm not getting the picture.

02:26:51.000 So I'll tell you a funny story.

02:26:52.000 When I was in high school, I got a job doing polling back, like, this was like 1982.

02:26:57.000 And we do it by telephone.

02:26:58.000 And they would just give us randomly generated phone numbers to call.

02:27:02.000 So we would just call these numbers until we connected.

02:27:04.000 And then we had a primitive computer where we would ask questions and we would get an answer and we'd check the box.

02:27:09.000 But you got paid by how many surveys you got done.

02:27:12.000 And you're talking to old people.

02:27:13.000 They're the ones who answered a phone, right?

02:27:14.000 So you'd ask them one question and they were, well, I got to think about that.

02:27:17.000 And while they're thinking, You're clicking random boxes on 10 different questions.

02:27:21.000 And then they finally give you an answer, and now you're on question 30.

02:27:24.000 So you ask them question 30, and you just knock out those surveys like crazy.

02:27:28.000 But of course, the data is utter nonsense.

02:27:31.000 I mean, it doesn't represent actually anything.

02:27:32.000 Well, Hillary was 99%, was she not?

02:27:34.000 Right.

02:27:35.000 According to the New York Times, yeah.

02:27:36.000 That was, that was.

02:27:37.000 Even like the Francesca Wong we were talking about, you know, just before, she was up like 14 points.

02:27:42.000 And then a guy won who I hadn't heard of in Wisconsin, which means like, when I look at that, I think to myself, okay, are a lot of us just perpetually online?

02:27:54.000 Because she was huge online.

02:27:56.000 I didn't even know there was another person in the race, but I wasn't on the ground in Wisconsin.

02:27:56.000 Yeah.

02:28:00.000 So when I look at like an Abdul Al Said who is perpetually online, It's like, are we distorted because we spend all of our time in the podcast realm on X, things like that?

02:28:10.000 That it's almost more of an outsider.

02:28:12.000 I think that's a great point because social media just balkanizes us.

02:28:15.000 We each have our own little bubble, personal bubble, and social media.

02:28:18.000 Like, I was talking to a friend of mine the other day, and I'm like, personally, based on what I understand, what I see of the world and what's going on, I'm like, I think the Republicans are in pretty good shape.

02:28:18.000 We're shown different.

02:28:27.000 I talked to my buddies, like, oh, they're completely screwed.

02:28:30.000 Gas prices and Iran is good.

02:28:31.000 And I'm not saying I'm right or he's right, but we have very different perspectives of reality, especially the boomers.

02:28:37.000 Especially Facebook.

02:28:39.000 That is a real bubble machine.

02:28:41.000 But I feel like you really do have to be out on the trail to get a pulse on it.

02:28:44.000 I traveled around a little bit pre all this.

02:28:46.000 I feel like just voter enthusiasm seems down all around on both sides.

02:28:50.000 You know who's great?

02:28:51.000 Comedians.

02:28:52.000 Because, especially if they suck, they're in a Honda Civic traveling the whole country.

02:28:57.000 And every comedian I knew when Trump first won, they were like, this Trump guy's doing good.

02:29:01.000 Because they'd see the lawn signs on their Honda Civic and they weren't watching TV.

02:29:06.000 Traveling salesman.

02:29:07.000 That's who we have to rely on.

02:29:08.000 Look, you're absolutely right.

02:29:09.000 I mean, look, being from New York, I only know James Tallerico because I see him on Fox.

02:29:13.000 Or I see him on X, I see everybody making fun of him.

02:29:15.000 But if I go to the Permian Basin in Texas, are they like, we're not voting for this guy?

02:29:21.000 Like, maybe we don't like Paxton, but we're not.

02:29:24.000 No, there's that happening.

02:29:25.000 I mean, I've talked to a lot of just people I know out there.

02:29:27.000 So I was out there for the convention, and then I've talked to a lot of the Republicans I know out there that used to live in D.C. that have moved out there for weeks were like, I don't think that Taller Rico's got a shot.

02:29:37.000 And within the past week and a half, they're like, I don't know what happens.

02:29:40.000 It's Californians, it's the exodus from California.

02:29:43.000 And they see this little queer talking about trans rights, and they're like, he reminds me of home.

02:29:48.000 Do you still think that that kind of topic has the same kind of impact that it had, you know, two years ago?

02:29:55.000 I mean, obviously, people that are concerned about that, they've already made the decision.

02:29:59.000 I don't feel like that moves the needle significantly.

02:30:01.000 I think it does with boomer teacher moms.

02:30:05.000 They still like to fight for trans kids' lives with a switchblade on their teeth.

02:30:11.000 Yeah, I know, it's crazy.

02:30:12.000 But the point that I'm making, I guess, is.

02:30:14.000 People have heard the story.

02:30:16.000 They saw the Bud Light stuff.

02:30:17.000 They saw the Dylan Mulvaney stuff.

02:30:19.000 They saw the Target stuff.

02:30:20.000 They knew about the boycott.

02:30:22.000 And people have kind of gone into their, you know, the Democrats that were going to be moved.

02:30:26.000 I feel like they've already moved away and said, okay, that's a line too far.

02:30:30.000 Do you think that it changes people's opinions in 2026 the way that it did in 2024, 2023?

02:30:35.000 Well, we're about to find out.

02:30:37.000 Because when I think of Tellerico, I think of trans kids.

02:30:40.000 He looks like a little trans kid.

02:30:41.000 I mean, Tellerico definitely, I can't imagine how, you know, evangelicals in Texas.

02:30:48.000 Could actually decide to vote for Tellerico.

02:30:50.000 Well, Ken Paxton, A, he has two different eyes.

02:30:54.000 B, don't we all?

02:30:55.000 He cheated on his wife.

02:30:57.000 Yeah, that.

02:30:57.000 C, he's got a bunch of bribery scandals, whether they're true or not.

02:31:01.000 So I think they see that Tellerico seems more religious than him.

02:31:05.000 So you get some of the Puritans who are scared of Ken Paxton's infidelity.

02:31:10.000 And then you get all the Californians and all the Pajits and all the mobs.

02:31:16.000 Are you Christian?

02:31:17.000 Yes, I'm Catholic.

02:31:17.000 Can I ask?

02:31:19.000 How can any Christian?

02:31:20.000 I'm Christian myself.

02:31:21.000 I was raised Catholic, however, so I've had both experiences.

02:31:24.000 But how can anyone of Christian faith look at Tallerico, hear anything he has to say about the faith, and believe he's actually a man of that faith?

02:31:31.000 I've called it for him to stay home.

02:31:32.000 Okay.

02:31:33.000 That's exactly the point I brought up yesterday.

02:31:35.000 Because, like, who would vote for a guy who said God was non binary?

02:31:40.000 And then, you know, if you're.

02:31:42.000 Look, I'm not even that religious, but when I heard that, I just thought to myself, like, he's like an old Santa in a long shirt.

02:31:51.000 We all know this.

02:31:53.000 He's Ebenezer Scrooge under house arrest.

02:31:55.000 No, but, like, you know, it's just.

02:31:57.000 And, like I said, as a New Yorker, I have an idea of what a guy from Texas is.

02:32:02.000 And it is just not James Tallarico.

02:32:04.000 There's a lot of Texas's, though.

02:32:06.000 Yeah, like I have like a, maybe like a Yellowstone stuck in my head.

02:32:09.000 In the last 30 years, Texas went from what, 60 something percent white to 30 something percent white, 40 something percent white.

02:32:16.000 Yeah, but there's enclaves, too.

02:32:18.000 You know, it's not just the Mexican invasion, there's this whole Indian invasion.

02:32:21.000 And Austin.

02:32:22.000 Shine statues and these Sharia communities.

02:32:24.000 So it's changing on a daily basis right now.

02:32:28.000 I think Islam has chosen Texas as their new fighting ground.

02:32:31.000 I don't know why.

02:32:32.000 I have to say, I take my family to Fredericksburg.

02:32:34.000 In Texas, every year for the Christmas.

02:32:36.000 They do a nice little German Christmas festival thing there.

02:32:39.000 And the last couple of years, it's felt like I was at a Costco.

02:32:42.000 I mean, like half the people there are Indian.

02:32:44.000 Really?

02:32:44.000 Yeah.

02:32:44.000 That's true of my churches, my Catholic churches up in New York.

02:32:48.000 I just want a priest without an accent who's saying, who can pronounce the letter W and say, it's a VIN and I drank vodka.

02:32:56.000 Like, and I know that sounds racist, but part of my problem is I don't trust you.

02:33:01.000 Like, you're in Bangladesh and it's like, I could read one book.

02:33:05.000 And I go to Scarsdale and eat like a king, and I can read a book.

02:33:10.000 So I'm like, do you really believe in all this stuff?

02:33:13.000 Or was it your ticket out?

02:33:15.000 Whereas you see an old Irish guy, you're like, you don't even want to be here.

02:33:18.000 I trust you.

02:33:19.000 You were definitely fighting for me.

02:33:20.000 Right, was this our prison sentence?

02:33:22.000 Yeah.

02:33:23.000 All right, so we're going to jump to this from CNN 71% of voters say Congress is not doing enough to check Trump, voter poll results show.

02:33:32.000 Well, if you can't trust CNN, who can you trust?

02:33:34.000 You know, I mean, true.

02:33:36.000 But I mean, the exit polls, like, When people say that they're not doing enough to check Trump, do you guys get the sense that Congress is largely aligned behind the president?

02:33:47.000 I mean, they've produced no significant legislation.

02:33:47.000 No.

02:33:51.000 Obviously, the Senate, you know, with a small Republican majority, they've still not been able to get anything, you know, of substance to the president's desk.

02:34:03.000 All of the president's achievements have all been through or largely been through bureaucratic.

02:34:09.000 Bureaucratic action or through executive order.

02:34:11.000 So, I mean, what is the problem?

02:34:13.000 I think we really have three parties.

02:34:15.000 I mean, Senate filibuster, though.

02:34:16.000 I mean, I think largely Republicans have kind of stood by Trump for the most part with some exceptions, but I think that's more of the Senate than it is.

02:34:23.000 So, then how would you explain what the exit polls are saying then?

02:34:28.000 I mean, I think that people are irritated with gas prices and frustrated with the war.

02:34:33.000 Yeah.

02:34:33.000 Yep.

02:34:34.000 I think it's Fuentes who says, let's punish him in this midterm.

02:34:39.000 I think that's what's happening.

02:34:41.000 I think the right has gone.

02:34:42.000 You're a pit bull.

02:34:43.000 We got to shorten your leash.

02:34:43.000 You're out of control.

02:34:44.000 I don't want Iran to continue.

02:34:46.000 And I'm going to punish you by giving the House to the left and letting it go blue.

02:34:52.000 And don't worry, I'll still have your back in the presidential elections.

02:34:55.000 But this is some sort of slap on the wrist tonight.

02:34:58.000 I'm not saying you're wrong, but to me, the vibe I get when I hear that is well, you know, this chemo is really nasty.

02:35:03.000 It's really kicking my ass.

02:35:04.000 Let's go with the tumor for a little bit and see how that works out.

02:35:08.000 I am right there with you.

02:35:09.000 I think the idea of allowing.

02:35:12.000 The Democrats to take the House.

02:35:14.000 Now, Grant, there's not really much that we sitting around the table can do about it, but the ramifications are going to be fairly dramatic.

02:35:21.000 It's like an apocalypse when they threw that wasp's nest at the guy.

02:35:24.000 Yeah.

02:35:25.000 Like you're just distracting him for a while.

02:35:26.000 Because what can the House do but antagonize the president?

02:35:29.000 Impeach him, whatever.

02:35:30.000 They're not going to change immigration.

02:35:31.000 They're not going to stop the war in Iran.

02:35:33.000 They're just going to tie them up with legal crap.

02:35:35.000 They can change your perception of momentum.

02:35:35.000 No, it's not.

02:35:37.000 They can make the public feel like momentum is moving in a pro Democrat direction.

02:35:42.000 Yeah, and it's.

02:35:43.000 Because the media will, you know, trump it.

02:35:44.000 Everything they do to the media will trump it a thousand times.

02:35:46.000 And as much as people perceive it as a slap on the wrist to Trump, the House is still going to take control of all the committees, or the Democrats will take control of all the committees.

02:35:57.000 You'll have, you know, that there are going to be investigations, all kinds of investigations.

02:36:00.000 They're going to pull people like Elon Musk in front of Congress to test, and they're going to make.

02:36:05.000 Basically, make all the people that have supported Trump, they're going to make their lives much more difficult.

02:36:11.000 And that's actually bad for America, right?

02:36:13.000 Like, space has not been said as much.

02:36:15.000 We need to antagonize them.

02:36:17.000 We need to get in their face.

02:36:18.000 When a former CIA operative tells you they're going to do something, they get it done.

02:36:23.000 They should get it done.

02:36:24.000 The one thing I will say on the Democrat side, if they do take the House, I think Hakeem Jeffries is in so much trouble because there are going to be so many of these socialists, like Chevalier, who got elected.

02:36:34.000 They are not going to be a squad anymore.

02:36:35.000 They're going to be a full caucus.

02:36:37.000 And they're already fighting him.

02:36:38.000 They're already sick of her.

02:36:40.000 No, no.

02:36:40.000 Yep.

02:36:40.000 She hasn't even started yet.

02:36:41.000 I mean, the left on her.

02:36:43.000 But there's going to be so many of them.

02:36:44.000 Yes.

02:36:45.000 There's Scott Weiner in California.

02:36:48.000 No, he's still, I think he's still in the Senate in California.

02:36:48.000 Right?

02:36:50.000 I don't think he's running for.

02:36:52.000 Wait, whoever won that seat, because there were three communists in that seat, it was Scott Weiner, Psychot Chakrabarty, and somebody else.

02:36:59.000 But that Pelosi seat, I think it is.

02:37:01.000 I love the Star Wars names.

02:37:03.000 Well, like Sunanun, Sunanun over there in New Hampshire.

02:37:09.000 Well, They actually got him from the cantina bar in Star Wars.

02:37:11.000 Well, Nunu.

02:37:13.000 That's what's going to save the Senate.

02:37:15.000 I think that's going to be the only Republican flip tonight.

02:37:17.000 I agree.

02:37:18.000 I genuinely think, look, it is a small enough state that you can marshal your resources.

02:37:22.000 Turning Point Action's been up there for about two months.

02:37:24.000 He's already been in the seat.

02:37:26.000 His brother is the governor or was the governor for two terms.

02:37:29.000 They're a household name in that state.

02:37:31.000 It would not shock me if that is the seat that saves the Senate for the Republicans if we have the bad night that the rest of the country is expecting.

02:37:39.000 Well, I can tell you, I know some people in the administration pretty well.

02:37:43.000 And I'm not going to name any names, but they are extremely aware that if the Democrats secure power again, they are all destroyed.

02:37:50.000 They will be hunted to the ends of the earth.

02:37:52.000 Everything that was done to Trump will be done to them a thousand times over.

02:37:55.000 So they are extremely motivated to not have that happen.

02:37:58.000 Well, the left is a culture of spite.

02:38:01.000 Like up in Canada, the Prime Minister, Mark Carney, he ran on, I'm going to torture Trump.

02:38:07.000 And even though 80% of the economy is reliant on American business, they said, Yeah, let's bite the hand that feeds us.

02:38:13.000 Elbows up.

02:38:14.000 Tisha James, her entire attorney general.

02:38:17.000 Campaign is I'm going to torture Trump.

02:38:19.000 Yeah, I mean, I'll bring up Musk again.

02:38:20.000 Like, they're going to do all they can to cause him problems.

02:38:24.000 And SpaceX carried 95% of all of the tonnage to space, not just from the United States, but all over the world.

02:38:34.000 95% of all of the tonnage brought to space.

02:38:37.000 But it's a religious cult, right?

02:38:38.000 So they're not concerned about productivity and metrics of civilization.

02:38:43.000 They're concerned about, do I have power over you?

02:38:46.000 Are you bending the knee to my will?

02:38:48.000 And if that They're happy to rule over ashes.

02:38:50.000 I mean, just look at Rhodesia.

02:38:52.000 Just look at South Africa.

02:38:54.000 They're happy to do that to America, too, as long as they are in charge of whatever is left.

02:38:58.000 But I will say that whoever fights innovation always loses.

02:39:02.000 Whoever does that.

02:39:02.000 Yeah.

02:39:03.000 But about South Africa, I have a lot of cop friends that are like, yo, this needs to happen.

02:39:09.000 It's got to get worse before it gets better.

02:39:11.000 I'm armed.

02:39:12.000 It's like an alcoholic or a drug addict's got to hit rock bottom.

02:39:15.000 There's no rock bottom.

02:39:17.000 Go to Cape Town.

02:39:18.000 Elevators and abandoned buildings are for feces now.

02:39:22.000 There's no, like we, the frogs in boiling water, they get boiled into oblivion.

02:39:27.000 There's no, like, all right, now that's enough.

02:39:29.000 We got to save New York City.

02:39:30.000 It's like, do we need favelas?

02:39:32.000 You're good.

02:39:32.000 Yeah.

02:39:33.000 I'm sorry.

02:39:33.000 All right.

02:39:33.000 Okay.

02:39:34.000 I talk a lot and sometimes it comes across in a negative way.

02:39:37.000 So.

02:39:39.000 No, but Gavin, you're right.

02:39:39.000 Like, do we need favelas in Queens?

02:39:43.000 Before people go, we have favelas in Queens.

02:39:46.000 No one noticed.

02:39:47.000 I'm talking about the ones made out of like plexiglasses.

02:39:49.000 Queens is Lahore, Pakistan now.

02:39:51.000 It's Archie Bunker would be alarmed to see what's happened to Astoria.

02:39:54.000 What a great.

02:39:56.000 So there's one more.

02:39:57.000 We're going to jump to this here from Kalshi.

02:40:00.000 We want to give a shout out to Kalshee for sponsoring this show.

02:40:02.000 Oh, look, there's all my investments.

02:40:03.000 Yeah, I mean, essentially.

02:40:04.000 So the question is how many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the midterms?

02:40:09.000 Kalshee's predicting like 47 now.

02:40:11.000 They're predicting.

02:40:13.000 That's the highest number I've ever heard.

02:40:16.000 Republicans holding?

02:40:17.000 Oh, no, sorry.

02:40:18.000 I thought you were talking about losing.

02:40:19.000 No, they're talking about Republicans retaining 47.

02:40:22.000 I mean, they got a 51% or 51 seat majority now.

02:40:25.000 If it's 47, that.

02:40:27.000 I mean, if it's 47, then the House is going to be like.

02:40:31.000 A bloodbath.

02:40:32.000 Obama.

02:40:33.000 Era losing 100 seats.

02:40:35.000 You know, I don't know about that.

02:40:35.000 Yeah.

02:40:37.000 I always get it.

02:40:38.000 Also, here's the thing that we were sorry.

02:40:40.000 We were supposed to pick up seats in this cycle.

02:40:44.000 So everyone here knows, but every two years, 33, 33, and 34 senators are up.

02:40:51.000 So one cycle is good for Democrats, one is good for Republicans, and then one is kind of neutral.

02:40:56.000 We were supposed to gain seats in this election.

02:40:59.000 Were we?

02:40:59.000 I thought the president tends to lose seats in the final midterm.

02:41:04.000 In the Senate cycle?

02:41:05.000 Yeah.

02:41:06.000 This was the one that we were supposed to pick up seats.

02:41:08.000 So just maintaining is like, look, in theory, if you go by Trump's 24 numbers, Georgia, Michigan, should have won those.

02:41:20.000 That gives us 55 seats.

02:41:22.000 Now we're talking about 47, a possibility, according to Kalshi.

02:41:27.000 This is dangerous.

02:41:29.000 And so that'd be 55 with those two seats, 56 with Sununu.

02:41:34.000 And then one.

02:41:36.000 One that we didn't get.

02:41:37.000 We got Guam.

02:41:38.000 Don't forget Guam.

02:41:39.000 I know the House seat, or the delegate flipped.

02:41:42.000 Yeah.

02:41:43.000 Like Hank Johnson said, if I were a non voting member, like from Guam or from DC, I would just be the wildest human being imaginable.

02:41:51.000 Because what are you going to do?

02:41:53.000 Take my committees away?

02:41:54.000 Can you imagine making that flight from Guam to DC?

02:41:57.000 It's in the middle of nowhere.

02:41:59.000 You have to zoom out until you get tendonitis just to see what it's near.

02:42:03.000 Hi.

02:42:04.000 We're switching it out.

02:42:06.000 Okay, sure.

02:42:07.000 We're bringing in either one.

02:42:09.000 It's fine.

02:42:09.000 I'll go.

02:42:10.000 And then we're bringing in Grace.

02:42:11.000 You need a lefty.

02:42:11.000 Oh, God.

02:42:12.000 Let's go.

02:42:13.000 Oh, no.

02:42:14.000 You're going to like Grace.

02:42:15.000 Good.

02:42:15.000 No, people love me.

02:42:16.000 It's fine.

02:42:17.000 Awesome.

02:42:17.000 Make sure you introduce yourself.

02:42:19.000 I can do well.

02:42:20.000 And when you sit down, introduce yourself, please.

02:42:20.000 Yes, hi, Grace.

02:42:20.000 Welcome.

02:42:22.000 Hi.

02:42:25.000 Hi.

02:42:25.000 I'm Grace Weinstein.

02:42:26.000 So nice to meet every single one of you.

02:42:28.000 I'm Phil.

02:42:28.000 Nice to meet you.

02:42:29.000 Thank you to meet you.

02:42:31.000 Hi.

02:42:32.000 So, if you consider yourself on the left, so how are you feeling today?

02:42:36.000 So, I feel like the broader view that I have to say is that I report on content creators who post about politics from any angle and all angles.

02:42:46.000 How am I feeling today?

02:42:47.000 I've fielded a lot of questions from friends and family who are really overeager and feeling very good.

02:42:53.000 And it is my job in this life to say, let's cool your jets for now.

02:42:58.000 We got to see bad things happen.

02:43:01.000 I encourage them to look at, you know, 2016, 2024, the way that they felt really good and things didn't go their way.

02:43:07.000 So, I'm trying to be a voice of reason for them.

02:43:10.000 As we still wait for everything to come in.

02:43:11.000 But you got the House.

02:43:14.000 Do, do, I don't know.

02:43:16.000 Okay.

02:43:16.000 I really think anything can happen.

02:43:19.000 I hesitate to be so certain because the times when I've been so certain in the past are the times that they come and play in your face and it's like, oh, the Democrats did not do enough.

02:43:28.000 They did not sell their message.

02:43:30.000 They did not sell their vision, if they even had a vision.

02:43:32.000 I was going to say, do you think that the Democrats actually have a vision or have been, it's been just look at how bad the gas prices are?

02:43:41.000 Because, I mean, that's a legitimate strategy, but that doesn't actually say anything about a governing philosophy.

02:43:46.000 Yeah.

02:43:47.000 I write a lot about sports when I can.

02:43:49.000 I try to like wedge it into all my political reporting.

02:43:52.000 And you're not a championship team if you don't have defense and offense.

02:43:55.000 So I think this defense that they've been running is skillful and smart and intentional.

02:44:01.000 But do I think that that's enough to then?

02:44:03.000 Lay out what your view of the world is for the next two, four, eight years?

02:44:08.000 No, it has not.

02:44:09.000 I mean, so it's my understanding that the, or my sense that the DSA is going to be largely influential in the Democrat Party moving forward.

02:44:18.000 You look at all of the victories they've had.

02:44:19.000 You don't think, please, please, please, please.

02:44:21.000 I think if we're talking about math here, simple share of, let's say, DSA associated members or actually like paying dues paying members who potentially stand to be elected into the House this time around, it's a very small fraction, especially in comparison to.

02:44:37.000 You know, Hakeem Jeffreys and Chuck Schumer are still running this party for some reason.

02:44:42.000 So, is it because, well, I feel like Chuck Schumer does a lot of acquiescing to the DSA and to the.

02:44:47.000 Do you think?

02:44:48.000 I do think so.

02:44:49.000 Well, I think that.

02:44:50.000 So, I think that the way that they are moving towards, well, just endorsing the candidates, right?

02:44:55.000 I mean, obviously they're going to endorse Democrats, right?

02:44:58.000 But if they had an actual problem with the platform or the policies that they're proposing, wouldn't it make more sense for Chuck Schumer or someone like Elizabeth Warren to say, no, we don't support this?

02:45:07.000 So, they have a few times in this midterm election.

02:45:10.000 So, Angie Nixon, who's running in Florida, is, you know, almost as left as it gets running for Congress in America, and especially in Florida, is a pill battle for her.

02:45:18.000 And Chuck Schumer, who controls the funding for these candidates for the midterm, said, no, we're not going to give funding to her campaign.

02:45:25.000 So, there are these places where they draw the line.

02:45:30.000 I think a lot of people like to bring up Abdul Al Sayed and his support, or especially in light of the Haley Stevens madness.

02:45:39.000 They like to bring that up.

02:45:40.000 But Chuck Schumer has been sort of more friendly to him because Abdul El Sayed is, for example, not a dues paying member of DSA.

02:45:47.000 But I think a lot of people would say he's in that camp anyway.

02:45:51.000 Okay.

02:45:52.000 So, yeah, we were just talking about the possibility of Republicans retaining only 47 seats after everything's all said and done.

02:46:02.000 We've also got Daniel Turner here.

02:46:02.000 Daniel, do you have?

02:46:04.000 Yeah, Daniel Turner.

02:46:04.000 Yeah, it's great to be here.

02:46:04.000 Yeah.

02:46:05.000 Daniel Turner, your favorite energy genius, as I like to introduce myself.

02:46:08.000 Last couple of times I've been on the show.

02:46:08.000 There he is.

02:46:10.000 And humble, too.

02:46:10.000 So, thank you.

02:46:11.000 Great to be.

02:46:11.000 And very humble.

02:46:12.000 Very humble.

02:46:12.000 Great to be back.

02:46:13.000 Do you have any thoughts on the idea that the Republicans will only hold 47 seats?

02:46:18.000 47 of the Senate seats?

02:46:19.000 Of the Senate, yeah.

02:46:20.000 I mean, that's a pretty bad sweep, right?

02:46:22.000 I guess anything is possible.

02:46:25.000 For the issues I care about, which is energy, it doesn't really make a huge difference because a lot of energy policy is run through the executive branch.

02:46:33.000 They'll have their hearings and their subpoenas, and I'll have to test.

02:46:36.000 I always get subpoenaed when the left is in power, and it's a pain in the ass, and you have to sit there for hours on end and answer hostile questions.

02:46:44.000 But they can't really change the trajectory of.

02:46:46.000 Whether it's production or refinery construction or pipelines, they can try to throw a wrench in the works, but the energy agenda will continue.

02:46:56.000 So I think the thing that you'll have an advantage, I don't mean to say you, the Democrats will have in their advantage is that as soon as the election is done, that ascent of controversy will disappear because that was all fake for the election.

02:47:08.000 That will stop.

02:47:10.000 The Iran stuff will stop, and gas prices will drop, and oil prices will drop.

02:47:15.000 And the Democrats in control will say, look what we did.

02:47:18.000 We just got the power in November, and by February, look at where we are.

02:47:22.000 And it's a brilliant strategy.

02:47:25.000 It's not accurate necessarily, but you have to take advantage of it.

02:47:29.000 Just like the Democrats are taking advantage of now, saying, look at what's happening with gas prices.

02:47:33.000 Elect us and we will lower gas prices.

02:47:34.000 So, you didn't expect there to be pushback on data center construction or something?

02:47:37.000 Because that's something that you hear a lot of noise about from.

02:47:40.000 I'm not getting that answer.

02:47:41.000 Pardon me?

02:47:42.000 I'm fascinated by that.

02:47:42.000 I've never heard someone say that.

02:47:44.000 And so much of that is at the state and local level.

02:47:46.000 Now, governors can have a big difference, right?

02:47:48.000 If you have a couple of these governors flip, Ohio being the biggest example, Meta just announced an $8 billion construction of a huge data center in Ohio.

02:47:58.000 Vivek loses that seat and Ashley, sorry, that's Florida, governor, gubernatorial candidate in Ohio, Amy Acton, thank you, wins, she could turn it off like that.

02:48:12.000 And that would be detrimental to that industry.

02:48:15.000 So I think you could see some things happen on the state level, but at the federal level, no, which is why it's so important to have control of the agencies for the energy agenda.

02:48:24.000 Can the House thwart fracking?

02:48:26.000 Are they against fracking?

02:48:27.000 Do they want to stop that?

02:48:28.000 They can, but they won't be able to.

02:48:30.000 Maybe they'll pass a law and Trump will veto it and they won't have a veto approved.

02:48:33.000 Even 47 will be hard to veto.

02:48:35.000 And even 47 senators, you won't lose.

02:48:40.000 That will be the interesting thing for someone like James Tallarico, who has flip flopped on energy.

02:48:46.000 He came out, we needed to end fossil fuels.

02:48:48.000 He walked it back.

02:48:49.000 Well, now your first big vote is say, and if the Republicans are smart, and they're not always, if the Republicans are smart, they should introduce the fracking ban.

02:49:00.000 Just the way Chuck Schumer introduced the Green New Deal back in 2019.

02:49:04.000 Remember, they all ran on it.

02:49:05.000 And they were like, fine, let's introduce it.

02:49:07.000 And all the Democrats voted present to kind of say, yeah, that's what we thought.

02:49:11.000 That would be interesting.

02:49:12.000 Let's vote on a moratorium of oil and gas drilling just to put James Tallarico on notice, to put energy important Mary Paltola, Alaska.

02:49:24.000 Woo, offshore drilling's pretty damn important in Alaska.

02:49:27.000 How will she vote on it?

02:49:28.000 So that will be a curious thing to see.

02:49:30.000 You know, you also said you thought that the price of oil and the price of gas will go down.

02:49:34.000 Why do you say that?

02:49:35.000 I think a lot of what's happening with.

02:49:38.000 And the reason I ask is because it's your average person out there probably associates the price of gas with the war in Iran.

02:49:45.000 It does.

02:49:46.000 The war in Iran is not going to just be over with the introduction of a new House or new people in the Senate.

02:49:54.000 In fact, it's likely that Trump's going to ramp it up.

02:49:57.000 We just had strikes the other day.

02:49:58.000 So unpack that for me, please.

02:50:00.000 I think a lot of the price point.

02:50:03.000 Is just fear of uncertainty.

02:50:05.000 And once the uncertainty is gone, the price point, the supply, and that's what's weird about this current, the last eight months.

02:50:11.000 We don't have a supply problem.

02:50:13.000 We have uncertainty in markets.

02:50:14.000 And that is a real economic factor, right?

02:50:16.000 And when housing markets are uncertain, they go bonkers.

02:50:19.000 When oil markets are uncertain, they go bonkers.

02:50:22.000 I think the uncertainty factor will disappear.

02:50:24.000 Diesel prices are not going to drop.

02:50:25.000 And that's going to be a huge thorn in everybody's side.

02:50:28.000 And that's mostly because Russia and Ukraine have destroyed at this point now, I think it's like 72% of the world's diesel refining capacity.

02:50:36.000 That's not going to change.

02:50:37.000 And those refineries are blown to smithereens.

02:50:40.000 That's not going to change anytime soon.

02:50:42.000 And that's a huge thorn in the side.

02:50:44.000 I don't know why the president hasn't used the Defense Production Act to say we have to build diesel refiners now, right?

02:50:54.000 We can build them in two years if we have full all hands on deck.

02:50:58.000 They haven't done that.

02:50:59.000 And that's, I think, a huge problem.

02:51:00.000 Diesel's not going anywhere.

02:51:01.000 And that's going to suck because everything in the world runs on diesel.

02:51:04.000 So your food prices are not going to drop.

02:51:07.000 We haven't even begun to sow next year's harvest.

02:51:11.000 And diesel prices are at $7.

02:51:13.000 We haven't, let alone fertilize, let alone harvest, let alone.

02:51:18.000 We're in bad shape for quite some time, I think.

02:51:22.000 Unfortunately.

02:51:23.000 Unfortunately, I wish I had better news when it came to energy.

02:51:28.000 Now we have a supply abundance, but we have a lot of markets.

02:51:31.000 People are introducing themselves when they sit down.

02:51:34.000 I am Gavin McInnes.

02:51:37.000 I created the Proud Boys.

02:51:38.000 Tim Pool with an E, P O O L E, as I like to spell it.

02:51:41.000 Yeah, that's the annoying thing about AI is that when I'm like trying to look up my family and my phone, and I'm like driving, and Teslas now have the Grok in them, and then I say to my car, like, hey, call my brother or whatever.

02:51:56.000 It's like, there's no one in your phone book by that name.

02:51:58.000 And I'm like, because the AI spells it with an E.

02:52:02.000 And there's nothing.

02:52:02.000 Oh.

02:52:03.000 I'm like, okay.

02:52:04.000 I grab my phone while I'm driving.

02:52:06.000 But it's okay because the car drives itself.

02:52:07.000 Yeah.

02:52:07.000 Oh, I just right now got pool water.

02:52:10.000 It's Tim Pool water.

02:52:11.000 That's correct.

02:52:12.000 Yes.

02:52:12.000 I finally, that just happened right now.

02:52:14.000 Did you think it was just like we bottled pool water?

02:52:16.000 I just thought you were being contrarian and being like, no one wants to drink pool water.

02:52:20.000 I'll do pool water.

02:52:21.000 You were looking for the E on the bottle.

02:52:22.000 That's what they're doing.

02:52:24.000 The story is that I got into a beef with the CEO of Liquid Death.

02:52:28.000 Because their motto was death to plastic, but they have plastic in the cans.

02:52:34.000 The cans are all lined with plastic.

02:52:35.000 And so I was like, that's deceptive.

02:52:39.000 And then he agreed to debate me, and it was wild.

02:52:42.000 I can't believe he did because he made a bunch of gaffes and mistakes.

02:52:46.000 I'll give him respect, with respect.

02:52:48.000 He said he was going to change the slogan to death to plastic bottles because they didn't literally mean like no plastic.

02:52:53.000 They were highlighting how plastic bottles were big pollutants, but the small amount of plastic lining cans, they didn't think was a big deal.

02:52:58.000 And I said, okay, that's great.

02:53:00.000 Do it.

02:53:01.000 And they did.

02:53:02.000 And I tremendously respect that.

02:53:03.000 So now I like liquid death.

02:53:04.000 That's good.

02:53:05.000 But doesn't that kill the recyclability if there's plastic lining the aluminum?

02:53:09.000 This is the issue that I had with it.

02:53:10.000 He said, Our cans are infinitely recyclable.

02:53:13.000 I said, That's not correct because you need a plastic polymer to be lining every can.

02:53:18.000 And when you burn them down, not only is the aluminum, he says, infinitely recyclable.

02:53:22.000 And that is a marketing trick.

02:53:24.000 When you melt an aluminum can, you destroy the aluminum.

02:53:28.000 It is possible to take that aluminum, mix it with other metals, and then make another can with it.

02:53:34.000 But you can never take an aluminum can, melt it down, and make another can.

02:53:38.000 It's not gold.

02:53:39.000 Yeah, the materials are, the aluminum becomes damaged and can't be reformed in the same can.

02:53:43.000 And there's a plastic polymer inside every single can.

02:53:46.000 There's a bag, a plastic bag in this can right now.

02:53:48.000 Yeah.

02:53:48.000 I thought aluminum cans were the only thing that's economically viable to recycle, and everything else was lies.

02:53:54.000 It's a trick.

02:53:54.000 This, however, pool water we made because these bottles.

02:53:59.000 Now, I'm not, I don't want to say this as a definitive statement because.

02:54:04.000 We've not like scientifically checked or anything.

02:54:06.000 But when we talked to the manufacturer, they said, Don't quote us on this because you're going to have to get it certified or whatever.

02:54:13.000 So that's why I'm being very careful I described this, but we don't use plastic in any capacity because these bottles are specifically just for water.

02:54:18.000 The reason why they put polymers in these cans is because depending on the substance and the acidity, it could destroy the metal.

02:54:24.000 All I know is that I'm married to an Aussie and they say aluminium, and it always makes me laugh when I hear it.

02:54:28.000 But so anyway, I just think it's so funny, aluminium.

02:54:33.000 It's like it's such a silly word when they say aluminium.

02:54:36.000 So I'm walking out of the warehouse when I think my brother or somebody is like, You should make your own water.

02:54:41.000 And then my friend Andy went, Pool water.

02:54:44.000 My brother was like, That's disgusting.

02:54:48.000 It's a great name for a beverage.

02:54:52.000 All right, we're going to track the data.

02:54:55.000 Ralph Alvarado in Kentucky's sixth has taken the lead with the latest update, but we're only looking at 1% of the votes in, so who cares?

02:55:02.000 1%'s not early.

02:55:03.000 Indiana's fifth, we have not yet gotten an update.

02:55:06.000 The Democrat is still ahead with only one area reporting.

02:55:10.000 And in Indiana's first, we still don't have data on this.

02:55:12.000 Are you kidding me?

02:55:13.000 The next polls are closing in about five minutes, so we're going to be tracking all those.

02:55:16.000 And it's going to be a hoot.

02:55:17.000 We've got a couple of boys joining in.

02:55:19.000 Who are you guys?

02:55:20.000 I'm Andrew from Don't Walk Run Productions.

02:55:23.000 Thank you for having me back, Tim.

02:55:25.000 Absolutely.

02:55:25.000 Nice to see you.

02:55:26.000 Good to see everybody.

02:55:27.000 Yeah.

02:55:28.000 I'm Patrick Casey.

02:55:29.000 I'm a writer.

02:55:30.000 I'm the host of the Restoring Order podcast.

02:55:33.000 It's good to be back.

02:55:35.000 So, what do you think, boys?

02:55:35.000 Right on.

02:55:36.000 You've been following the news.

02:55:38.000 What do you think is going to happen?

02:55:40.000 Unfortunately, in the last hour or so, I was getting ready to come over here to this wonderful party.

02:55:44.000 So, I'm a little behind.

02:55:46.000 I was listening on the way over in my car.

02:55:48.000 So, that you helped keep me a little.

02:55:50.000 Or up to date.

02:55:50.000 I mean, we were just kind of arguing with each other about the capabilities of artificial intelligence as opposed to projections.

02:55:55.000 I did catch some of that.

02:55:57.000 So I think my general predictions going into midterms were lose the House, keep the Senate, which are pretty, I think, safe as far as that's like the realistic white pilled perspective, I think.

02:56:08.000 People are saying it's going to be.

02:56:09.000 I've been posting this like red wave gift just because it's kind of fun.

02:56:13.000 And I don't know if we're going to like win everything.

02:56:16.000 We're not going to win literally every race.

02:56:17.000 So if people want to call me a panic in for that, they can.

02:56:20.000 Here's my advice to everybody if you want.

02:56:22.000 To get a lot of notoriety for your show, what you need to do is go like Republicans are gonna sweep all of the data is wrong.

02:56:32.000 I am predicting it right now.

02:56:34.000 It's gonna be a blowout for the Republicans.

02:56:36.000 Now, of course, I don't mean that, but it's gonna get screenshotted by like every liberal podcast, and then it's gonna get 50 million views on all of their shows.

02:56:44.000 They're like, I can't believe Tim Pool said this.

02:56:46.000 And then people who normally are like, who's Tim Pool are gonna know who I am.

02:56:50.000 So, you know, if anybody wants to give it a shot.

02:56:52.000 Now's your chance.

02:56:53.000 Go ahead and make the most bold prediction.

02:56:55.000 Okay, we're literally going to win every race.

02:56:58.000 Anyone claiming anything to the contrary, they're panicking and they need to go to Gitmo, basically.

02:57:02.000 I actually think the Republicans are going to win so much that somehow Trump will win a third term tonight.

02:57:09.000 Not even running for it, but some obscure constitutional claim.

02:57:13.000 People don't know about Article 12, subsection D, which states that if a midterm is a blowout, the president gets to be president again.

02:57:13.000 Yeah, yeah.

02:57:22.000 Nobody claims to be president.

02:57:23.000 Secret 22 point Fifth Amendment.

02:57:25.000 Yeah, it was codified by Congress.

02:57:29.000 The CalShe prediction forecasters are getting worse for Republicans by the minute.

02:57:34.000 I have a theory.

02:57:37.000 I think a lot of that is just foreign interference.

02:57:40.000 It's like a lot of just a lot of bets from wherever, just trying to skew it and throw Republicans off from like, oh, well, if David Jolly's going to win like 80% of the vote, I'm not going to go out and vote for Byron Donald.

02:57:55.000 Forget it.

02:57:56.000 What's the point?

02:57:57.000 You know, so that's my feeling.

02:57:59.000 And all of the prediction markets are about the same.

02:58:02.000 They're very skewed Democrats.

02:58:05.000 And it's like, David Jolly's not going to win Florida.

02:58:08.000 That's crazy.

02:58:10.000 I'll eat my glasses if that happens.

02:58:12.000 It will not happen.

02:58:13.000 You will eat your glasses.

02:58:14.000 I will eat my glasses.

02:58:16.000 I always refrain from doing any of this, like, eat something because so many people end up being wrong.

02:58:22.000 Oh, I'll do it.

02:58:23.000 I'll do it right now.

02:58:24.000 If the Republicans lose, I will say this.

02:58:26.000 If Byron Donalds loses by.

02:58:28.000 If the Republicans lose, I will eat.

02:58:32.000 Scrambled eggs with bacon tomorrow.

02:58:34.000 Shocking.

02:58:35.000 Yeah.

02:58:36.000 And if they win, I will also have scrambled eggs with me.

02:58:36.000 If they lose.

02:58:39.000 Maybe I'll mix some cheese and do it.

02:58:41.000 It's a win win.

02:58:42.000 High stakes.

02:58:43.000 I can't lose.

02:58:44.000 I can't lose.

02:58:45.000 Plain both sides.

02:58:46.000 I said on Twitter I would film myself eating those Wingstop Sour Patch Kids wings that they put out.

02:58:52.000 I don't know if you saw those.

02:58:53.000 Yeah, yeah, yeah.

02:58:53.000 It's a new thing.

02:58:54.000 What?

02:58:54.000 My followers were demanding that I go and do this, and I was saying I don't want to do it.

02:58:58.000 But they agreed.

02:58:59.000 If we get to the house, I will eat the Sour Patch Kids wings.

02:59:02.000 No, this is too much.

02:59:04.000 Let's take a look.

02:59:05.000 This is too much.

02:59:05.000 What is this?

02:59:08.000 This is a joke for Halloween.

02:59:09.000 Oh, okay.

02:59:11.000 No, they have them.

02:59:11.000 And you want to know how I know that?

02:59:12.000 Because I took a picture I just found on Twitter of someone who went and got them, and I tweeted as if, oh man, I just tried them.

02:59:19.000 They're great.

02:59:20.000 Someone I know, and I don't want to say his name.

02:59:21.000 He's definitely been on your show.

02:59:23.000 He's a big name.

02:59:24.000 He was like, dude, after I saw your post, I went and I got them, and they were really good.

02:59:24.000 He texted me.

02:59:27.000 And I was like, I was, that was joking.

02:59:30.000 I actually think they'll be really good.

02:59:32.000 They could, yeah.

02:59:32.000 I do.

02:59:33.000 I'm not kidding.

02:59:35.000 No, but I'm here right now and watch it right now.

02:59:38.000 Actually, I'm going to wait to see if we keep, if we keep house, I will eat them.

02:59:41.000 But anybody in the crew room who's watching, find out how to get these things right now.

02:59:47.000 I actually do think they're probably really good.

02:59:49.000 Yeah.

02:59:50.000 Because if you think about it, if you had like a lemon zest, like a lemon barbecue wing, you'd be like, oh, that sounds normal, right?

02:59:57.000 I was thinking kind of like orange chicken to taste like.

02:59:59.000 Exactly.

03:00:00.000 So you're throwing some sugar onto your already covered in sugar chicken wings?

03:00:03.000 You're probably going to be like.

03:00:04.000 With like a little sour cake.

03:00:05.000 Yeah, it could be good.

03:00:07.000 I'm going to check to see if there's a wing stop.

03:00:10.000 We got a wing stop.

03:00:11.000 Priorities, election night priorities.

03:00:14.000 I bet there's one.

03:00:14.000 I'm not sponsored by Wing stop for the record.

03:00:18.000 This is.

03:00:19.000 They should be paying me for this.

03:00:20.000 They should be reaching out to you.

03:00:22.000 But he is sponsored by Sour Patch Kids.

03:00:25.000 Yeah, there you go.

03:00:27.000 That's my favorite candy.

03:00:28.000 I won't eat them because I'm an old man.

03:00:31.000 Heartburn?

03:00:32.000 That's a respectable thing.

03:00:33.000 No, more like just, you know, if I eat a bunch of them.

03:00:37.000 You won't stop.

03:00:38.000 Yeah.

03:00:40.000 And I'm just trying to be better.

03:00:42.000 There's a wing stop a mile away.

03:00:42.000 You know what I mean?

03:00:45.000 Yeah, you know, it's like I could.

03:00:46.000 We used to have big, big bags of Sour Patch Kids all over the place.

03:00:50.000 And we've got candy in the other room for people.

03:00:53.000 We ordered it from Jeff's candy shop in Ohio.

03:00:54.000 It's like the best, but they're just like little hard candies.

03:00:57.000 Dude, you give me a bowl of Sour Patch Kids, that thing's gone.

03:00:59.000 Your candy green room selection from your first studio till now has changed drastically as your team has gotten healthier and more concerned about it.

03:01:08.000 Like the old days, you had every piece of junk food imaginable in your green room, which was awesome.

03:01:13.000 And I would just randomly buy like 10 cheesecakes and just show up with them.

03:01:16.000 Yeah.

03:01:17.000 Yeah.

03:01:18.000 And then there'd just be like full cheesecakes that nobody, they'd eat like a slice.

03:01:22.000 That's the mistake.

03:01:22.000 You know, the big problem we have is if I'm ordering pizza.

03:01:25.000 I'm like, how many pizzas do you need for like 10 people?

03:01:28.000 Like 10 pizzas?

03:01:31.000 Roughly, yeah.

03:01:31.000 Pizza a person is a good.

03:01:33.000 And then it ends up 10 people only need one.

03:01:36.000 Exactly.

03:01:37.000 And then I have nine pizzas left over.

03:01:39.000 And then I'm like, okay, maybe I should order less.

03:01:40.000 I'll do five.

03:01:42.000 Because the problem is, if you order too little, oh, you're in trouble.

03:01:45.000 Yeah, but there's a lot of homeless here in Washington.

03:01:48.000 You know, it wouldn't go to waste.

03:01:50.000 Somebody say that.

03:01:52.000 I almost got just five minutes on the ground here.

03:01:55.000 I saw so many homeless people.

03:01:57.000 And I almost got hit by two e bikes within like a 10 minute period.

03:02:01.000 Wow.

03:02:01.000 Not even, I couldn't believe it.

03:02:04.000 What about a kid on the bike swerving?

03:02:06.000 You get one of those?

03:02:07.000 I haven't seen those yet, but I'm.

03:02:09.000 That's Navy Yard, I guess.

03:02:10.000 Yes, I'm sure.

03:02:11.000 I'm sure we'll have to.

03:02:11.000 There's a lot of that in Navy Yard.

03:02:13.000 Yeah.

03:02:14.000 I live in New York, and dodging e bikes is like playing Frogger crossing the street, which is already crazy crossing the street when you're in New York.

03:02:21.000 And then it's just 50 miles an hour darting.

03:02:24.000 It's so scary.

03:02:25.000 There's a big movement to cancel e bikes in Central.

03:02:27.000 Park, I saw that's getting some traction because I'm surprised they're allowed in Central Park.

03:02:31.000 Yeah, they are.

03:02:33.000 Central Park, I'm originally from New York City, and then the Central Park regulars are saying, like, this is absurd.

03:02:38.000 Like, we can't walk through, you know, the field because e bikes are, yeah.

03:02:43.000 So it's, I hope it gains traction.

03:02:45.000 Well, the speed limit in New York is like 25 miles an hour.

03:02:48.000 Not for e bikes.

03:02:49.000 But not for e bikes, exactly.

03:02:51.000 These things have throttles that'll go like, you know, 30, 40, 50 miles an hour, which is just nuts.

03:02:57.000 And the lights are always green.

03:02:59.000 For them.

03:03:00.000 If you're on an e bike, every light is a green light.

03:03:03.000 They actually, on East 11th Street, there's like a ton of e bikes, a lot of them abandoned and just parked along the entire block.

03:03:15.000 It happens in other places too, but it's gotten so bad that the police finally, after well over like two years, they finally came and they put up signs and now they're taking these.

03:03:28.000 Some of them are abandoned, but the rat population has exploded and, you know, it's.

03:03:35.000 But you have to wonder why it takes so long for the police to do anything.

03:03:41.000 Like when there were drug dealers running out of these allegedly, I just don't want to get in trouble around Myrtle Broadway.

03:03:55.000 And they were selling fentanyl and the synthetic marijuana.

03:04:00.000 And everybody knew it was happening because you have all these people, they're just like the zombies around the streets.

03:04:06.000 And the cops were just impotent.

03:04:08.000 They couldn't do anything about it.

03:04:09.000 It's like, just right there.

03:04:13.000 That's why I moved out of New York because I felt like I was just throwing my New York state taxes and city taxes down the toilet, especially after COVID.

03:04:13.000 That's why I moved.

03:04:25.000 I was just like, I am done.

03:04:26.000 All right, boys.

03:04:27.000 A bunch of polls just closed.

03:04:29.000 Oh, boy.

03:04:30.000 And it looks like we've got some results already in.

03:04:34.000 One Democrat, one Republican.

03:04:34.000 Wow.

03:04:36.000 We now have it.

03:04:37.000 So it looks like they're calling Kentucky's fifth district to Hal Rogers.

03:04:41.000 Can't say I'm really surprised.

03:04:42.000 Surprise there.

03:04:42.000 And then where's the one?

03:04:43.000 Kentucky?

03:04:45.000 Yeah.

03:04:45.000 Where's the one?

03:04:46.000 Kentucky?

03:04:48.000 Where's the one?

03:04:48.000 Kentucky?

03:04:48.000 Yeah.

03:04:49.000 Is that healthy?

03:04:50.000 I think they're weakened at burning him.

03:04:50.000 Yeah.

03:04:52.000 That sounds about right.

03:04:56.000 Yeah.

03:04:57.000 I love how Tennessee redistricted.

03:04:59.000 Yeah.

03:04:59.000 That's an R plus 32.

03:05:01.000 So I think that's an easy call.

03:05:03.000 But where's the Democrat?

03:05:04.000 Do we, are they, which Democrat?

03:05:07.000 I got the text that it was Mark Warner in Virginia.

03:05:10.000 They're not, Decision Desk.

03:05:10.000 Yeah.

03:05:12.000 Not New York Times.

03:05:13.000 Well, this is the House.

03:05:14.000 Are you looking for the Senate?

03:05:15.000 No, no, no.

03:05:16.000 We're looking for the House.

03:05:17.000 They got one Democrat, one Republican confirmed, but only the Republicans popped up.

03:05:17.000 Yeah.

03:05:21.000 Oh, weird.

03:05:23.000 Yeah.

03:05:23.000 It's rigged.

03:05:24.000 Which district did you say it was?

03:05:25.000 Virginia's.

03:05:26.000 Virginia Senate, I got for Mark Warner.

03:05:28.000 Oh, Virginia Senate.

03:05:29.000 Yeah.

03:05:30.000 Right.

03:05:31.000 Oh, oh.

03:05:32.000 No, no, no.

03:05:33.000 This is House election results.

03:05:37.000 Virginia Senate?

03:05:38.000 Yes.

03:05:39.000 They did call Virginia for Mark Warner in the Senate.

03:05:42.000 I don't think anyone's surprised by that.

03:05:44.000 No, no.

03:05:44.000 Yeah.

03:05:45.000 And then, uh, I actually, you know, nothing surprising just yet.

03:05:49.000 But who's the House winner for the Democrats?

03:05:52.000 Is it like some microscopic ass district somewhere I can't see?

03:05:56.000 Maybe it's just a.

03:05:58.000 We must zoom.

03:05:59.000 Yeah, weird.

03:06:00.000 Yeah, isn't that weird?

03:06:01.000 Well, it could just be one of those, oh, itty bitty ones.

03:06:03.000 I'm sure it's just a glitch.

03:06:06.000 I'm sure.

03:06:07.000 I don't know.

03:06:09.000 The New York Times is the gold standard.

03:06:10.000 How can you possibly.

03:06:14.000 The Pod Save America guys were like, yeah, the Sienna Pole, the New York Times Sienna Pole is the gold standard.

03:06:19.000 Oh, you mean the ones that said that Hillary Clinton was going to win, like 99% chance of her winning?

03:06:24.000 Oh, are they calling?

03:06:26.000 No, that makes no sense.

03:06:27.000 There are no gold standards anymore.

03:06:28.000 It doesn't mean on Fox News.

03:06:30.000 There it is.

03:06:30.000 Oh, wait, wait.

03:06:30.000 No, no.

03:06:31.000 Yeah.

03:06:31.000 Indiana.

03:06:32.000 No, no, no.

03:06:33.000 That's Sparks's.

03:06:34.000 And that's only 36% in.

03:06:37.000 Those are just the tracking results.

03:06:37.000 No.

03:06:39.000 Where are the winners?

03:06:42.000 Oh, this is bizarre.

03:06:43.000 Oh, wait.

03:06:43.000 Go back.

03:06:44.000 Oh, a Florida 10th.

03:06:46.000 Uncontested.

03:06:47.000 Oh, oh.

03:06:48.000 Oh, Maxwell Frost.

03:06:50.000 Oh, I hate that guy.

03:06:51.000 Oh, my God.

03:06:53.000 He's the easily one of the worst.

03:06:56.000 Oh, he's one of the worst people in the world.

03:06:57.000 Oh, there it is.

03:06:58.000 It's in the A. That's why you can't see it.

03:06:58.000 Look, look, look.

03:07:00.000 Yeah.

03:07:01.000 Okay.

03:07:02.000 Oh, man.

03:07:03.000 Not a surprise.

03:07:04.000 He ran uncontested.

03:07:05.000 That's hilarious.

03:07:06.000 It was in the A. There you go.

03:07:07.000 Oh, we got another one.

03:07:08.000 We got another one.

03:07:08.000 Ladies and gentlemen, they're calling Kentucky's third for Morgan McGarvey.

03:07:12.000 Again, not surprising.

03:07:14.000 If you guys could only follow one race closely, like out of all the races, what race would you like?

03:07:24.000 Which one are you the most excited about seeing a result?

03:07:28.000 Alaska Senate, because I do energy issues.

03:07:32.000 So Alaska's where I spend a lot of time.

03:07:34.000 Alaska is very important to me.

03:07:36.000 Okay.

03:07:37.000 And I just hate the shenanigans up there.

03:07:38.000 I hate all of the nonsense up there.

03:07:42.000 It's very, I don't, I'll question, I'll give Mary Paltola the benefit of the doubt how much she knew.

03:07:47.000 She knew.

03:07:48.000 She knew.

03:07:49.000 It's very DC shenanigans.

03:07:52.000 You know, it's a dirty bit.

03:07:54.000 Well, you guys know.

03:07:55.000 The election year is dirty.

03:07:57.000 I did a video about it on my channel.

03:08:00.000 I won because I basically lied to all the folks in Alaska.

03:08:04.000 Alaska is only three people and they're all married.

03:08:07.000 But all Alaskans know each other.

03:08:10.000 The issue with tracking that election is it doesn't matter because the election is, at this point, not even an election.

03:08:15.000 Well, it's because of the ranked choice voting nonsense.

03:08:17.000 It's because the New York Times confirmed that they conspired to break several federal laws.

03:08:17.000 No, no, no.

03:08:28.000 Well, we don't know what federal laws are.

03:08:33.000 There might be some kind of fraud statute.

03:08:36.000 There's conspiracy against rights.

03:08:38.000 The New York Times was basically like, well, it's ballot stacking, which happens in ranked voting.

03:08:44.000 It's basically one person supports a third party to stack the ballot to hurt their opponent.

03:08:52.000 And that's what they were doing with Dan Jay Sullivan, sort of.

03:08:58.000 But what they were actually doing was creating a candidate out of whole cloth with the same exact name, the same exact political logo design, and going off on the ballot itself.

03:09:09.000 And to change his middle initial, initially, right?

03:09:11.000 To change his middle initial.

03:09:14.000 When he initially filed, he filed under Dan S. Sullivan.

03:09:19.000 They're like, oh, it's just a typo.

03:09:20.000 But this is conspiracy against rights.

03:09:24.000 This is overt.

03:09:25.000 Not to mention, there's falsification of federal records.

03:09:28.000 I mean, there's probably like, I think, seven or eight various federal laws that are, if the New York Times reporting is true.

03:09:36.000 Now, what I will say is there's a difference between publicly true.

03:09:39.000 Versus court truth, you know, adjudicated truth.

03:09:42.000 Yeah.

03:09:42.000 So what I would say is most reasonable people don't think the New York Times lied about their findings with text messages and witnesses and other reporting.

03:09:52.000 Now, Dan Jay Sullivan apparently got on a plane and nobody knows where he is.

03:09:56.000 Yeah, he's disappeared.

03:09:56.000 So he's been MIA pretty much the entire campaign.

03:09:59.000 He never had a campaign.

03:10:00.000 The point is, first and most obvious is this is overtly conspiracy against rights.

03:10:05.000 The law explicitly states that any people who conspire, To deprive through oppression, manipulation, fraud, blah, blah, blah, there's a bunch of words.

03:10:12.000 Yeah.

03:10:13.000 Someone of their constitutional rights is guilty of conspiracy against rights.

03:10:16.000 That's it.

03:10:17.000 You got that one right away.

03:10:18.000 There's also, however, it's a federal crime to file to run under false pretenses and with false information.

03:10:24.000 But let's.

03:10:25.000 So there's a bunch of these laws.

03:10:26.000 And that's fine, but let's be real.

03:10:29.000 The Trump administration is going to screw it up and nobody's going to be held accountable.

03:10:32.000 I have a question.

03:10:32.000 Let's just.

03:10:33.000 This is sort of related to my question.

03:10:35.000 I think it was Tim Sheehy tweeted the other day if she wins, Mary Peltola, we should refuse to seat her.

03:10:42.000 Do you agree?

03:10:43.000 Yes.

03:10:44.000 Even if it's not like adjudicated, like you said, well, she had the worst excuse because she comes out that she was asked by a reporter days after the New York Times report comes out.

03:10:54.000 She's like, Well, I don't know, I'm learning about this as you.

03:10:59.000 It's like, ask your campaign staff.

03:11:01.000 Yeah.

03:11:01.000 Ask somebody.

03:11:03.000 She's going to play dumb to.

03:11:04.000 The New York Times wrote that she knew about what was going on.

03:11:07.000 So the reason why I say we can't see her is.

03:11:09.000 Well, she was in the loop.

03:11:10.000 And there was paper trails.

03:11:11.000 Here's the problem.

03:11:12.000 First, they should have suspended the election right away and said this has to be adjudicated now before an election occurs.

03:11:18.000 And the courts were like, yeah.

03:11:20.000 Here's the problem.

03:11:21.000 If she wins and Dan J. Sullivan gets a negligible amount of votes, the negligible amount of votes create a preponderance of evidence of.

03:11:31.000 Of injury due to the crime committed.

03:11:32.000 That is, no one is voting for Daniel J. Sullivan Jr.

03:11:36.000 He didn't even campaign.

03:11:38.000 He doesn't have a campaign or even positions that people would vote for him for.

03:11:41.000 It just proves that people were defrauded.

03:11:43.000 Now, even if there weren't enough people to have flipped the vote through the fraud, crime is still crime and she must be prosecuted for this.

03:11:50.000 You do not get to go to Donald Trump and claim that he committed a falsification of business records because Cohen, of his own volition, falsified business records that Trump didn't instruct him to do, but because Trump's the boss, he's in trouble.

03:12:02.000 You don't get to file civil fraud against Donald Trump.

03:12:04.000 Despite the fact he was not the one who filed the paperwork, it was his staff who did, but say the boss is the boss.

03:12:09.000 Then claim Mary's Paltola, who according to the Times knew what was going on, but she didn't.

03:12:12.000 No, no, no, no.

03:12:13.000 We're not doing that.

03:12:14.000 The problem then is if this race results in Mary Paltola winning and she faces criminal charges and can't be seated in January and then goes to prison, who's going to hold office?

03:12:28.000 Is she going to hold office from jail?

03:12:30.000 No, the people of Alaska are then without a senator, and that is deprivation of rights that she has caused.

03:12:36.000 The aggrieved party right now is her entire state, not just the people who have wrongly voted for the guy who are being confused.

03:12:44.000 The first thing they should have done is said, as soon as this became apparent, as soon as there was evidence that they were involved, and this was months ago, back in August, when subpoenas went out.

03:12:51.000 That's being ongoing.

03:12:52.000 They should have said, stop, injunction, state, you better get this in order because we will not enter into a federal election with the risk of within a month after her winning, she is disqualified, and then you get a default victory for the Republican causing chaos.

03:13:08.000 And what I say this with a lot of love about Alaska, it is a very small state.

03:13:12.000 I mean, well, it's huge, but especially if you abstract the native community, which tends to be a little insular, it is a very small community.

03:13:20.000 And I say this without satire, they all know each other.

03:13:24.000 The reason why Mary Potola was popular as a congressional candidate a couple of years ago is because people know her.

03:13:30.000 They like her.

03:13:31.000 They're like, oh, I'm a Republican, but I love Mary.

03:13:33.000 She's so nice.

03:13:34.000 Like, we know each other.

03:13:36.000 So for her to win with this hanging over her is just.

03:13:40.000 Bad for the state.

03:13:41.000 I don't know how she'll vote on energy issues.

03:13:43.000 I don't know how she'll vote on any issue, but Alaskans, they know each other.

03:13:46.000 It's such a small state.

03:13:48.000 It's so intermarried.

03:13:49.000 It's so interconnected.

03:13:50.000 And they like being Alaska, right?

03:13:53.000 They call us the lower 48.

03:13:55.000 Like, we are not, you are not one of us.

03:13:57.000 So to have this community that has this really, really dark cloud hanging over it, I think is going to be just bad for democracy writ large.

03:14:05.000 It will be tragic for the state of Alaska if this is not resolved.

03:14:09.000 I would not point out that the conspiracy to.

03:14:11.000 Deprive someone of their rights that you mentioned, like the first potential, like, likely violated law there.

03:14:18.000 That's what they got Ricky Vaughn for, Douglas Mackey, for posting memes.

03:14:21.000 Correct.

03:14:22.000 Posted memes that were joking about the 2016 election.

03:14:26.000 Clearly wasn't serious.

03:14:28.000 The level of conspiracy to deprive rights that we're talking about here with running someone with the same damn name as your opponent is orders of magnitude bigger and more significant than anything Ricky Vaughn did.

03:14:42.000 So, I think the Trump administration is going to try to do something.

03:14:45.000 Whether or not the judiciary, as you mentioned or alluded to, actually gives us this remains to be seen.

03:14:52.000 I don't think the judiciary is going to overturn the election result, which is unfortunate.

03:14:55.000 But I do think Trump should fight and attempt to do something.

03:14:57.000 I think that the DOJ, Harmony Dillon, Trump, I think they need to just start doing things.

03:15:05.000 Do the thing, get challenged later, because that's what Democrats have been doing for years.

03:15:09.000 Yeah, I'm Matt Miller, editor in chief of Politibrawl, and I'm here to have a great time.

03:15:09.000 You want to introduce yourself?

03:15:14.000 Do you agree that Mary Peltola should not be allowed to be seated in the Alaska Senate if she wins?

03:15:19.000 Yeah, they need to look into that.

03:15:21.000 They need to have a full investigation, and they need to prove that she did what Trump is alleging.

03:15:29.000 And yeah, I agree with that.

03:15:31.000 Yes.

03:15:33.000 Good answer.

03:15:34.000 I've written for you before.

03:15:35.000 I haven't met you yet.

03:15:36.000 Daniel Turner?

03:15:37.000 Yes.

03:15:37.000 That's great to meet you in person.

03:15:39.000 You are like a scathing writer.

03:15:41.000 I love your stuff.

03:15:42.000 Thank you.

03:15:42.000 Absolutely.

03:15:44.000 You made my day.

03:15:45.000 I know I'm never running for office, so that's why I can say a lot of the things I say.

03:15:50.000 Let it fly.

03:15:51.000 So here we got some early information coming in in the competitive districts.

03:15:56.000 We've got Florida 14.

03:15:58.000 14 is currently with 73% of the votes in D plus 13.

03:16:03.000 That is bad for Republicans, but.

03:16:06.000 Kathy Caster is the incumbent, so seeing an incumbent hold is not particularly.

03:16:09.000 Tampa is a very Democrat.

03:16:11.000 Right, and they're calling it competitive.

03:16:12.000 Yeah.

03:16:13.000 In Florida's 22nd, it's D plus 8 with 48% in.

03:16:19.000 Kentucky's 6th looks like only 6% in, so it doesn't really matter.

03:16:23.000 Now, here's where it's interesting Republicans are expected to win narrowly.

03:16:27.000 You've got Florida's 9th with 60% in, and Darren Soto, the incumbent, is up.

03:16:33.000 This one's wild because they just did a major redistricting.

03:16:37.000 Right.

03:16:38.000 And basically pulled all the votes like south of Osceola County, where Soto is.

03:16:47.000 And it almost seemed like it was in the bag.

03:16:50.000 Anna Paulina Luna was losing.

03:16:51.000 But Darren Soto's ads against Dan Green have been scathing.

03:16:56.000 I'm sure that they've had some kind of an effect.

03:16:56.000 Look at this.

03:16:58.000 It's currently 68% of the votes in.

03:17:00.000 So, okay, we don't know for sure yet, but it's looking bad.

03:17:05.000 52.9 for Lila Gray to beat Anna Paulina Luna, currently with 45.5.

03:17:11.000 68% of the votes in, I mean, that's hefty.

03:17:13.000 That would be nasty.

03:17:14.000 Yeah.

03:17:16.000 Because Ana Paulina Luna is very popular.

03:17:21.000 Something's going to break.

03:17:23.000 I think Luna's probably going to squeak it out somehow.

03:17:25.000 But that just sounds crazy to me.

03:17:28.000 Well, we're still waiting for Pasco County.

03:17:31.000 But look, we got 70% in from Panea County, and 53% of the votes are in with Pasco.

03:17:39.000 And Lila Gray's up in Pasco and Panea.

03:17:44.000 Wow, if Anna Paulina Luna loses, holy crap.

03:17:44.000 Phew.

03:17:49.000 Maybe it's because she was advocating for members of Congress to be able to vote remotely.

03:17:59.000 That was a big deal for me.

03:18:01.000 I'm pretty sure she was mad at me because I said a lot of election updates.

03:18:05.000 I was pissed when she was like, people should be allowed to vote remotely from Congress.

03:18:09.000 And I was like, yeah, okay, just dissolve Congress now.

03:18:12.000 That's insane.

03:18:14.000 That's a solid take, Tim.

03:18:15.000 It's a solid take.

03:18:18.000 She was advocating for it.

03:18:19.000 No, your take.

03:18:20.000 I'm saying you're.

03:18:21.000 Yeah, yeah, yeah.

03:18:21.000 I'm saying.

03:18:22.000 Let's solve Congress.

03:18:22.000 Let's do it.

03:18:23.000 Oh.

03:18:26.000 What's with the election updates?

03:18:27.000 They keep pushing it from the other room and they're not untriggering it, but we are done.

03:18:31.000 Wait, the control room's pushing election updates?

03:18:34.000 Why?

03:18:34.000 That is not me.

03:18:35.000 Did something happen and they're like, Tim, check your slack?

03:18:37.000 Must be an update.

03:18:37.000 Tim, is there, if you.

03:18:40.000 Going back to my question earlier, is there one, like, if you could only follow one race in the entire election day?

03:18:49.000 What would it be?

03:18:50.000 Oh, that's a great question.

03:18:51.000 I asked that Alaska.

03:18:52.000 That's how we were on Alaska, but you should think of your answer.

03:18:54.000 Well, you know, look, look.

03:18:54.000 It's a great question.

03:18:55.000 Alaska is not a race at this point, but Alaska is the most important thing happening in the midst of a race.

03:19:00.000 That would be yours too.

03:19:02.000 Yeah, but only because we're looking at the New York Times reporting a conspiracy, a series of crimes being committed.

03:19:11.000 Everyone knows they did it, and we know nothing's going to be done about it.

03:19:14.000 And if nothing is done about this in Alaska, look, in 2020, Texas sued Pennsylvania for violating the Constitution.

03:19:27.000 Through unilaterally altering the structure of their elections outside of their own constitution, which violated the federal constitution.

03:19:34.000 And the Supreme Court said, shove off, we don't care.

03:19:37.000 We never got an answer about that.

03:19:39.000 And I said, I tell you what's going to happen.

03:19:41.000 You are going to see this problem amplified a million times.

03:19:44.000 And we've seen it continually amplified.

03:19:47.000 In 2024, there were questions.

03:19:49.000 In the primaries, there were questions.

03:19:50.000 And none of them are going answered.

03:19:51.000 And liberals are complaining.

03:19:53.000 The question is do the executives, do the judiciaries have the right to fundamentally alter the election systems outside of the legislative bodies of their states?

03:20:01.000 The Constitution says no, but when Pennsylvania did and bypassed their own state constitution, the Supreme Court said, We're not going to answer that.

03:20:07.000 There's no one else to sue.

03:20:09.000 There's no appeals.

03:20:10.000 Original jurisdiction is when states sue states.

03:20:12.000 The Supreme Court needs to answer this question.

03:20:14.000 They never did.

03:20:15.000 If Alaska is allowed to cheat, every single race from this point on is going to be a cheat.

03:20:23.000 It is going to be fake.

03:20:24.000 It is going to be seven people with the same name running against seven other people with the same name.

03:20:28.000 Well, that's what we should just do as a strategy going forward.

03:20:31.000 And I almost put this on Twitter, but I didn't want to get arrested for it.

03:20:34.000 So I'll say it on Timcast.

03:20:36.000 But, you know, in 2030, I'll pay anyone in Virginia five grand if your name is Mark Warner to run for Senate.

03:20:42.000 I'll build your URL and I'll personally write you a $5,000 check and we'll register you to vote.

03:20:49.000 And let's get 80 guys named Tim Kaine to run for Senate in Virginia and see if Tim Kaine doesn't come after me with the fire of hell and destroy me and my life and my family and my beautiful sheep farm out in Winchester.

03:21:04.000 Well, according to.

03:21:06.000 So, if that's the strategy, then let's just find 30 Chuck Schumer's.

03:21:10.000 But according to like Jamie Raskin, right, he's like, well, you can't stop anybody from running with the same name just because they have it, you know.

03:21:20.000 And then, of course, absolutely.

03:21:22.000 And then with Jake Tapper and Paul Bagula, they were like, oh, well, you know, back in the 1940s, another Joe Russo ran against Kennedy.

03:21:34.000 And then in the 70s, it's like, and he goes, it's very common.

03:21:37.000 And like, you had to go back.

03:21:39.000 80 years to get to the point.

03:21:40.000 Well, I'm sure they'd break out all of those defenses if you did it, right?

03:21:43.000 Yeah, exactly.

03:21:44.000 Oh, yeah.

03:21:45.000 If the Republicans did it, which maybe they should, I mean, if Peltola gets away with it, then, you know, but suddenly CNN will, it'll be like a primetime threat to democracy.

03:22:00.000 There was a famous guy in Pennsylvania in the 90s who ran for like Harrisonburg, Harrisburg, like county commissioner whose name was Steve Casey.

03:22:09.000 Right.

03:22:09.000 No relation to Bob Casey, the super popular governor, but all his ads were the governor and him, Steve Casey.

03:22:15.000 And he won and he crushed because everyone was like, oh, he's a Casey.

03:22:18.000 Bobby Casey was Bobby his whole life until he ran for the Senate in 2006.

03:22:22.000 And he was like, no, I'm Bob Casey, like my dad.

03:22:24.000 It's like, no, you're not Bob.

03:22:25.000 But people are like, I love Bob Casey.

03:22:27.000 Oh my God, I didn't know he was running for Senate.

03:22:28.000 It's like, Bob Casey's dead.

03:22:30.000 This is his moron son, who's one of the most useless.

03:22:34.000 It's like when people are saying, like, Gary Peters is retiring.

03:22:37.000 Retiring from what?

03:22:38.000 You guys are very smart.

03:22:40.000 Name one thing Gary Peters ever did in the 18 years he was in the Senate.

03:22:44.000 And Gary Peters is like, it's sad to leave.

03:22:47.000 What the F did you do for 18 years in the Senate?

03:22:51.000 Gary, no one even knows what the hell you look like.

03:22:53.000 Your neighbors call you Steve, right?

03:22:56.000 Gary Peters.

03:22:56.000 That's the strategy for some elected officials.

03:22:59.000 It's like, get in, do nothing.

03:23:01.000 Just ride on being an incumbent.

03:23:02.000 It's the same as Sherwin Brown coming back.

03:23:04.000 And he's like, sure, I'd call him Sherwood just to be an a hole.

03:23:07.000 Sherwood Brown.

03:23:08.000 It's like, Sherwood Brown, you didn't do a damn thing in Ohio.

03:23:12.000 Why the hell do you want your job back?

03:23:14.000 I love that there's some people that are like, well, I thought he was still the senator, you know, which is really.

03:23:19.000 So, as of right now, with 77% of the vote in, Anna Paulina Luna is currently down.

03:23:25.000 Oh, but it's, but it, yeah, it's closing.

03:23:25.000 Wow.

03:23:28.000 So, yes.

03:23:29.000 It is closing now.

03:23:29.000 Oh, is it?

03:23:30.000 She is just gaining another 0.5.

03:23:33.000 81% of the vote in.

03:23:35.000 Holy crap.

03:23:37.000 She is still down.

03:23:40.000 This is wild.

03:23:41.000 Yes.

03:23:41.000 She just took the lead in Pasco County, but that's only by like 190.

03:23:48.000 I was at 198.

03:23:50.000 And she's down by, holy crap.

03:23:54.000 I, it's not looking good.

03:23:56.000 If she loses and like Darren Soto wins, like, I might have to do this.

03:24:02.000 This is going to be a lot worse.

03:24:04.000 Do you think they redistricted poorly in the state of Florida?

03:24:07.000 Maybe they draw the maps wrong.

03:24:11.000 I think that these maps will be great in 2028.

03:24:16.000 Right now, it's just, you know, you don't have Trump comes in.

03:24:19.000 He's like, we're not going to do any wars and we're going to lower your prices.

03:24:24.000 Is this the New York exodus at all?

03:24:26.000 Wait, wait, wait, wait.

03:24:27.000 Real quick, this is important.

03:24:28.000 Anna Paulina Luna might be on track to lose.

03:24:31.000 There's only 58,000 votes.

03:24:34.000 Remaining and 83% are in for Pineas County.

03:24:39.000 Pasco has 9,000 votes remaining where she's up.

03:24:42.000 So that's going to be negligible.

03:24:43.000 I mean, if she's only up 1.5, she's going to gain maybe what, 200 votes there?

03:24:49.000 I can't believe that's not enough.

03:24:51.000 If I lose, this is nerve wracking.

03:24:53.000 So this is great.

03:24:54.000 So if we take a look right now at Pineas, Gray is up three points.

03:25:00.000 She's got 122,152 to Anna Paulina Luna's 115,142.

03:25:07.000 This is going to be interesting.

03:25:08.000 I mean, it is 83% in.

03:25:11.000 So she's going to have to break two to one with the remaining.

03:25:15.000 Is that possible?

03:25:15.000 That's election day Republican turnout, though.

03:25:18.000 I mean, we usually three to one roughly.

03:25:20.000 Yeah, but then let's also factor in is Florida, Florida's doing okay, okay, okay.

03:25:24.000 It just chopped.

03:25:25.000 It's going to be close.

03:25:26.000 It's 1.5 away now.

03:25:27.000 Luna just took plus four in Pasco, and Gray is only up 1.8.

03:25:32.000 Now, I think Luna's going to win.

03:25:33.000 See, now Twitter has it 49.9 to 48.8.

03:25:38.000 I know.

03:25:38.000 We got it right here on the screen.

03:25:39.000 So, yeah.

03:25:39.000 You got it as well.

03:25:41.000 I mean, Election Day Republic, which is.

03:25:43.000 I'm just saying, this is particularly close with the ranking of the Republicans.

03:25:45.000 It's not a great number.

03:25:45.000 Absolutely.

03:25:47.000 It should not be this close.

03:25:48.000 Election Day is a lot.

03:25:49.000 I'm going to say, Leela Gray ran kind of an interesting campaign where it was kind of like a left populism, which is something that we're seeing emerge in, you know, Trump has succeeded with populism.

03:25:58.000 The left is kind of playing with their own form of populism.

03:26:02.000 It's her thing is like health care stuff, like health care credits, lowering costs, and, you know, opposing the war in Iran.

03:26:10.000 So it's a lot of.

03:26:11.000 They're finding a way to be against Trump and framing it in kind of a left.

03:26:15.000 Populism way.

03:26:16.000 So it doesn't look like she's going to win, but maybe the last election, maybe the last time in a Paulina Luna, you know, was elected or defended her seat, it was this close.

03:26:24.000 But yeah, I don't know.

03:26:26.000 I'm not super familiar with the district.

03:26:28.000 Is this normally like a deep red district here?

03:26:31.000 I don't think it's deep, deep red.

03:26:33.000 Okay.

03:26:33.000 It's not, you know, it's only 1.5 at this point.

03:26:37.000 So it is looking like with the remaining votes coming in from Peneas, it may be in areas that are more likely to vote Luna.

03:26:42.000 So she's closing the gap.

03:26:44.000 She needs to secure about.

03:26:46.000 3,900, 3,820 or so.

03:26:49.000 All right, fingers crossed.

03:26:52.000 Maybe then we could finally get remote voting in Congress.

03:26:55.000 Members of Congress should not have to go to work.

03:26:57.000 They should just be able to vote remotely, I guess, right?

03:27:00.000 That's the problem I had with it is, you know, basically she had a kid and then said, I should be allowed to work from home because I have a kid.

03:27:05.000 And I'm like, yeah, literally everybody else.

03:27:07.000 You go to Congress, you go to work.

03:27:07.000 No.

03:27:08.000 If you have a kid, you go on leave.

03:27:10.000 If you can't serve your district, you resign.

03:27:13.000 Because if you can vote remotely, the next step is going to be like, why even go to D.C.?

03:27:16.000 I feel like the example should be comparing.

03:27:22.000 A job to Starbucks.

03:27:24.000 You can't be a barista remotely.

03:27:28.000 So if you expect to be able to work from home 90% of the time at Congress, then how is that fair to anybody who has to go to work and do a physical job?

03:27:39.000 Construction workers aren't going to be like playing with drones, building things.

03:27:46.000 It's a very Gen Z thing to ask for.

03:27:49.000 Isn't she young?

03:27:50.000 She's Gen Z, isn't she?

03:27:52.000 Yeah, she's probably 40 ish.

03:27:53.000 Oh, okay.

03:27:54.000 She looks good then.

03:27:54.000 Never mind.

03:27:55.000 Never mind.

03:27:56.000 Well, she just had a kid, so she can't be that.

03:27:59.000 But that was the joys of COVID limousine liberalism.

03:28:03.000 It was like, we should all work from home, but not you.

03:28:06.000 You need to stock shelves.

03:28:07.000 Yeah, you need to deliver my breakfast.

03:28:10.000 It's 1.1 now.

03:28:13.000 It's 1.1 with 88% of the votes in.

03:28:16.000 Talk about a tight race.

03:28:17.000 Well, here's the thing it's going to happen.

03:28:18.000 She's going to lose.

03:28:19.000 You know why?

03:28:20.000 Well, maybe not fair to say in Florida, but, you know, Always kind of Democrats to be like, we found this box of ballots in an alley, and you know, when we counted them, they were all for Leela.

03:28:29.000 Yeah.

03:28:30.000 But I don't think Florida runs those kind of games.

03:28:32.000 No, no, Florida runs a tight ship.

03:28:34.000 Yeah, so I think the results we get are going to be accurate.

03:28:37.000 But I'll tell you this right now whatever the results we get tonight, it's going to shift Democrat by another 20 points.

03:28:43.000 This is what happened in 2018.

03:28:45.000 Everyone's like, blue wave.

03:28:46.000 And then after midterm elections, they were like, hey, there was no blue wave.

03:28:49.000 I mean, Democrats won, but it wasn't that big.

03:28:50.000 And then as the weeks go by, it's all of a sudden they're like, look, a bunch of Democrats actually ended up winning afterwards when they found the ballots in the backyard.

03:28:57.000 Yeah, the Honda Civics haven't showed up with all the ballots in the trunk.

03:29:00.000 That usually happens at like 3 a.m.

03:29:03.000 I think for going on how many years now, I've tweeted for anyone to find the name of the plumber in the Atlanta polling place where the pipe burst in 2020.

03:29:11.000 Right now, anyone, find me the plumber who fixed that pipe.

03:29:14.000 What up?

03:29:15.000 Oh, man, we got a million and one.

03:29:17.000 God bless y'all.

03:29:18.000 I'll be back later.

03:29:18.000 Great to be with you.

03:29:19.000 Absolutely.

03:29:20.000 Thanks, dude.

03:29:21.000 Maybe everybody just swaps out, I guess.

03:29:23.000 Bye, guys.

03:29:23.000 See you later.

03:29:24.000 You can go back and we'll move back out later.

03:29:24.000 All right.

03:29:24.000 All right, Chief.

03:29:28.000 Evan will be back.

03:29:29.000 New crew swapping in.

03:29:30.000 New ideas, new opinions.

03:29:33.000 How are we doing?

03:29:35.000 We're doing good.

03:29:36.000 We're worried because Anna Paulina Luna is down, but she's closing the gap.

03:29:40.000 Yeah.

03:29:40.000 It's narrowing.

03:29:41.000 It's narrowing.

03:29:42.000 Yeah.

03:29:43.000 She's down by 1.1.

03:29:44.000 Actually, right now in the special Florida election in the Senate, Ashley Moody is down.

03:29:50.000 Angie Nixon is currently up by about a point.

03:29:53.000 Oh, we have stuff, though, about how Democrats vote first and early and all that.

03:29:57.000 So this is.

03:29:59.000 Is this including early votes?

03:30:01.000 I think this must be including what, I mean, it's including what it is.

03:30:03.000 Yeah, I would imagine it does.

03:30:04.000 Yeah, a lot of it comes down to like, obviously, which parts, which areas cities haven't reported in yet.

03:30:11.000 Yeah, so right now, with 60% of the vote in in Florida, Angie Nixon, the Democrat, is currently headed by three points.

03:30:17.000 60% in, we will see.

03:30:19.000 And right now, oh, man, is it tight.

03:30:22.000 Anna Paulina, she's pulling ahead right now.

03:30:25.000 She's down by 0.37.

03:30:28.000 0.37 to tie the game.

03:30:30.000 So 0.38, and Anna Paulina Lula takes it.

03:30:32.000 There's a lot of talk about Kentucky being potentially a bellwether.

03:30:36.000 Really?

03:30:37.000 Yeah.

03:30:37.000 Well, it's kind of like right now, Hal Rogers.

03:30:40.000 Yeah.

03:30:40.000 It was just in the New York Times that I was listening to on the way in.

03:30:43.000 They were just talking about how Kentucky would be an indicator.

03:30:47.000 I don't know if that's true, an indicator of how much the GOP was showing up.

03:30:51.000 And then you have Virginia.

03:30:52.000 I think something was called in Virginia, but that's not a surprise.

03:30:56.000 Yeah, the Virginia Senate was called.

03:30:57.000 So let's jump over to the Senate and see what we got.

03:31:00.000 Yeah, just Mark Warner.

03:31:03.000 Yeah, that was a no brainer.

03:31:04.000 That's to be expected.

03:31:07.000 I did my patriotic duty nonetheless to vote against Mark Warner.

03:31:11.000 As did I. As did I.

03:31:14.000 Yeah, the polls are closing and we're just waiting.

03:31:16.000 The snowball is about to start rolling down the hill.

03:31:18.000 The prediction markets are basically.

03:31:20.000 Crank.

03:31:20.000 Oh, that's interesting.

03:31:22.000 Senate control for Democrats has actually just decreased.

03:31:24.000 Oh, that's a good thing.

03:31:25.000 Yeah, it's going to go.

03:31:26.000 I'm like, guys, I would not be surprised if it starts cranking down further and further, to be honest.

03:31:31.000 Yeah, I hope it does, you know, because otherwise we're going to be looking at a couple of years of lawfare and impeachments and a whole bunch of completely useless stuff trying to stop the arch, trying to stop the ballroom that's already being constructed, which I find it so weird that Democrats are so angry about the ballroom and the arch.

03:31:49.000 It's like, why can't we have beautiful things, you guys?

03:31:51.000 Like, what is the big deal?

03:31:52.000 The ballroom is something that literally every other President after Trump would be able to use.

03:31:58.000 And a lot of people don't know that there isn't.

03:32:00.000 They just kind of think the White House, of course, they've got some big space inside somewhere where you can host people.

03:32:05.000 You don't.

03:32:05.000 Yeah, you got to sit them outside in the back, and weather is a factor.

03:32:10.000 And the ladies' heels sink into the yard.

03:32:12.000 While I don't think it was the intent, you can see a sort of 60 chess element to it where you have the Democrats focusing on all these very insubstantial things.

03:32:19.000 It's a lot of time and energy wasted that could be spent, I don't know, arguing for more counter disinformation spending or other bad things.

03:32:27.000 Right, exactly.

03:32:28.000 Which I think they're probably going to get to.

03:32:30.000 I mean, that's the other thing, too, is like how much, if the Democrats did get control of the House and Senate, suddenly the whole situation with the border is now back open.

03:32:39.000 Suddenly we have all of these possibilities for them to make new laws about immigration that Trump has put a kibosh on or bringing abortions for everyone and transing every kid, like all of that stuff.

03:32:51.000 All of the kids, everything.

03:32:53.000 I think their margins are going to be, those are all concerns.

03:32:56.000 I think their margins are going to be so narrow that they're not going to be able to rack up like tons of legislative wins.

03:33:01.000 Obviously, though, what you were alluding to with the control of the committees to just, and that's what everyone's talking about because it's real, right?

03:33:06.000 They're going to subpoena the hell out of people in the administration, Trump's friends, whatever.

03:33:11.000 And, you know, maybe some people in the outer orbits of MAGA were making some questionable deals.

03:33:18.000 I've seen some reporting.

03:33:18.000 I don't know.

03:33:20.000 That kind of stuff is going to be dredged up, and they're going to have control of that into the 2028 election.

03:33:25.000 But one thing I wanted to say real quick you mentioned immigration.

03:33:28.000 I think Trump has done.

03:33:29.000 Sorry, just tied.

03:33:30.000 Luna just tied.

03:33:31.000 Oh, good.

03:33:32.000 She is now officially ahead by.02.

03:33:37.000 Wow.

03:33:38.000 Well, good.

03:33:38.000 She is ahead by literally 38 votes.

03:33:43.000 She's not going to give up that lead.

03:33:45.000 Anna Paulina is going to be ahead.

03:33:46.000 Yeah, she's got it.

03:33:47.000 I think so, too.

03:33:49.000 Florida showed up big time today, showed up big time on election.

03:33:53.000 Oh, everybody, did everybody introduce themselves?

03:33:55.000 I'm sorry, I was reading.

03:33:56.000 No, that's okay.

03:33:57.000 And grab your mic.

03:33:58.000 Yeah, get up in there.

03:33:59.000 Larry Ward, president of Market Rhythm and Political Media.

03:34:04.000 Oh, I'm Libby Emmons.

03:34:05.000 You guys know who I am.

03:34:06.000 Glad to be here tonight, you guys.

03:34:08.000 I'm Alan Bakari.

03:34:09.000 I'm with the Foundation for Freedom Online.

03:34:10.000 We're an online censorship watchdog.

03:34:13.000 So, anyway, there we go.

03:34:13.000 Right on.

03:34:16.000 It shouldn't be that close with 93% in.

03:34:19.000 And I imagine they're going to try and do recount stuff, right?

03:34:22.000 Do you think so?

03:34:23.000 I mean, you'd have to.

03:34:24.000 Come on.

03:34:25.000 Right now, with 93% in, Luna's up by 0.02%.

03:34:30.000 Literally, is it 38 votes?

03:34:33.000 So, you think the Democrats that always oppose recounts?

03:34:36.000 When Republicans win by just a little bit.

03:34:39.000 Big jump.

03:34:40.000 Three counts.

03:34:41.000 Now looking at 0.26.

03:34:41.000 Yeah.

03:34:42.000 0.26.

03:34:44.000 So, look, if you're the Democrat and you're down by 800 votes, you're calling for a recount.

03:34:51.000 And then they're going to dig through dumpsters to find those ballots.

03:34:56.000 Well, I would not be surprised if they dig through dumpsters and at the bottom of them start filling out ballots.

03:35:02.000 Right?

03:35:03.000 Then they could do that.

03:35:04.000 And look what we found.

03:35:06.000 Look, what's going to happen is the courts, especially the liberal courts, when the Democrats bring the election theft cases, Those courts are all of a sudden going to find religion.

03:35:18.000 They're going to be like, of course you have standing.

03:35:21.000 Of course we'll hear the facts.

03:35:24.000 We'll have the exact opposite of what happened in 2020.

03:35:29.000 Yeah.

03:35:30.000 The one thing about the lawfare that I wonder about is if this is, and I should have said, I'm actually with the post millennial.

03:35:36.000 They'd be mad at me if I don't say that.

03:35:37.000 But the one thing with the lawfare is we saw that when Biden came into office and they were prosecuting Trump people and staffers and whatever and all of that stuff.

03:35:47.000 Then we saw it when Biden left office and Trump was bringing, you know, the Republicans were bringing lawsuits and dragging people into Congress for questioning.

03:35:57.000 And now, if we, you know, if the Democrats take the House, we'll see it again.

03:36:00.000 And what I wonder and what I've wondered this whole time is if this is actually what American voters want to see.

03:36:07.000 Do we want to continuously see the litigation against the previous administration?

03:36:13.000 That's the kind of thing we see in dictatorship countries.

03:36:16.000 That's the kind of thing we see in Brazil and Venezuela and Eastern European countries.

03:36:20.000 And I find it to be, just personally as a voter, I find it to be such a huge waste of time when what we need are roads and bridges and infrastructure fixes.

03:36:30.000 What we need are, you know, is actual laws at the border and things to change and make the country better and more workable for people.

03:36:38.000 We need to see an end to all of this crazy fraud that's been going on.

03:36:42.000 Like, does anybody want to see this stuff other than Alyssa Slotkin and all of those people?

03:36:47.000 Like, who wants this?

03:36:49.000 Middle of the road voter who isn't super into politics and doesn't vote all the time.

03:36:54.000 Maybe just like the absolute average person, probably not.

03:36:58.000 Committed liberals, of course they do.

03:37:00.000 But you're right.

03:37:01.000 I think there are a lot of people out there that they're not voting for that and they might not be aware that that's what's going to actually happen.

03:37:07.000 They're just thinking, like, you know, I don't like what I'm seeing on social media with ICE or like, you know, even though maybe they voted for it.

03:37:14.000 Like, I don't, you know.

03:37:15.000 Man, I bet Anna Paulina Luna is sweating bullets.

03:37:18.000 And then as soon as that flip happens, she's like, holy crap.

03:37:21.000 She is increasing her lead.

03:37:24.000 So, You know, now it's just 0.31% still.

03:37:31.000 About 900 and what is it, 912?

03:37:35.000 Something like that.

03:37:36.000 Holy crap.

03:37:39.000 That's about as many people are in my voting district.

03:37:44.000 That's wild.

03:37:46.000 We take a look over at the Times here.

03:37:48.000 We'll take a look at their competitive races and no real big updates.

03:37:53.000 73% in, and Kathy Castor, the incumbent, is winning.

03:37:57.000 I don't know why they're considering that to be a competitive district, to be honest.

03:38:00.000 It's a Democrat district.

03:38:02.000 And Florida's 22nd with 74% in.

03:38:05.000 The Democrat is up by 10 points.

03:38:07.000 So, oof, you know?

03:38:11.000 Oof.

03:38:14.000 We'll see, though.

03:38:15.000 This is interesting.

03:38:16.000 East Coast, West Coast rival right here, you know what I mean?

03:38:20.000 Yeah, it looks like it, doesn't it?

03:38:21.000 Yeah, Broward and Palm Beach going Democrat.

03:38:24.000 Ooh, Palm Beach.

03:38:25.000 Yikes.

03:38:26.000 That is a little yikesy.

03:38:27.000 Yeah.

03:38:29.000 Isn't that where they just.

03:38:30.000 Hollier and Hendry going Republican?

03:38:32.000 That's where they just renamed the airport after Trump.

03:38:34.000 And Trump's in West Palm Beach, but you know.

03:38:37.000 Basically the same thing, right?

03:38:37.000 Right.

03:38:38.000 Come on.

03:38:40.000 It is, really.

03:38:41.000 Yeah, it's a bunch of people who wear summer suits.

03:38:43.000 You know what I mean?

03:38:44.000 Right.

03:38:45.000 Right.

03:38:46.000 Yeah, we're not getting any of the good hot stuff.

03:38:48.000 I mean, right now, Democrats are expected to win VA2 with only 5% and Republicans up.

03:38:53.000 Well, that actually brings us back to what the governor of Virginia tried to do, which is redistrict completely unconstitutionally.

03:38:53.000 It means nothing.

03:39:02.000 That lobster thing?

03:39:03.000 Right.

03:39:04.000 And if she didn't, if she had won, we would only have one seat in Virginia that would even be competitive.

03:39:11.000 Randy Fine has secured his seat.

03:39:13.000 They called the race for Randy Fine with 76%.

03:39:16.000 In and then you've got uh Rutherford securing district five, uh, up 10 points, 11 points.

03:39:24.000 And uh, let's see what else we got.

03:39:26.000 We got uh, oh yeah, Frost won uncontested.

03:39:29.000 Really, nobody ran, but he's a crazy person.

03:39:33.000 He is, nobody ran against him.

03:39:35.000 That blows my mind.

03:39:38.000 Wasn't he running while homeless?

03:39:39.000 Also, that's uh, Florida's 10th district.

03:39:42.000 He's a isn't he a DSA guy?

03:39:44.000 Yes, yeah.

03:39:46.000 That is crazy.

03:39:47.000 Why did nobody run?

03:39:48.000 What's wrong with you?

03:39:49.000 I get it, but still nobody?

03:39:49.000 Is it D plus 13?

03:39:50.000 But still, like, the GOP should be putting people up in these discussions.

03:39:53.000 Especially considering he's DSA.

03:39:55.000 And they could probably pull some votes from him.

03:39:58.000 Yeah, I bet they could.

03:39:58.000 That's nuts.

03:39:59.000 The GOP is trash.

03:40:00.000 They're saying that Asaf won.

03:40:02.000 But hold on.

03:40:03.000 It says uncontested?

03:40:05.000 Hold on.

03:40:07.000 Why is that uncontested?

03:40:10.000 There's no libertarian?

03:40:12.000 Looks like there's nobody.

03:40:14.000 That's actually really pathetic.

03:40:17.000 He won the primary unopposed as well.

03:40:17.000 That's almost as bad.

03:40:21.000 That's so bad.

03:40:22.000 That's so bad.

03:40:23.000 Did everyone just forget this district existed?

03:40:25.000 Except for this homework.

03:40:27.000 Except for the DSA.

03:40:29.000 How is there not any third party or random, like literally no one?

03:40:32.000 Yeah, that is weird.

03:40:33.000 You don't see that very often.

03:40:35.000 That is weird.

03:40:35.000 I was going to say the governor's race in Florida appears to be 70% of the way in, and Jolly is up.

03:40:41.000 Now, again, we don't know which districts have been counted, right?

03:40:44.000 Obviously, early vote.

03:40:45.000 We've been over this stuff.

03:40:47.000 Benefits Democrats.

03:40:48.000 But, yeah.

03:40:48.000 Wow.

03:40:49.000 60% in, according to NBC.

03:40:52.000 And Jolly is up by just over 80,000.

03:40:55.000 How do you go Democrat after DeSantis?

03:40:58.000 That's crazy.

03:40:59.000 It's a good question.

03:40:59.000 Well, he's not Gillum, you know?

03:41:01.000 And they're like, yeah, I guess so.

03:41:03.000 But what counties are we really looking for right now?

03:41:06.000 Oh, that's not looking good.

03:41:07.000 That's not looking good.

03:41:09.000 I don't know why Twitter says.

03:41:10.000 Oh, let's check New York Times.

03:41:14.000 Because that's just NBC.

03:41:16.000 Twitter says, yeah, 72% in.

03:41:18.000 Jolly, 51.

03:41:19.000 Donald's, 47.

03:41:23.000 New York Times still doesn't have the forecast yet.

03:41:25.000 That's pretty wild.

03:41:26.000 Yeah, they're going to be pretty cautious, I think.

03:41:29.000 At least that's what they were saying.

03:41:31.000 I listened to all the coverage, you know, and so I was listening to them on the way.

03:41:34.000 Yeah, as of right now, 60% according to the New York Times, and it just tightened up a little bit.

03:41:41.000 Okay, yeah, I hope it doesn't.

03:41:42.000 There's a lot of red districts still to count.

03:41:45.000 It looks like Orlando hasn't come in there on that map, am I wrong?

03:41:45.000 A lot.

03:41:48.000 Yeah, but Orlando's going to be blue, isn't it?

03:41:50.000 Yeah, that's what I'm saying.

03:41:51.000 Okay, so it could be.

03:41:52.000 Yeah, and I think Palm Beach is probably going to be blue.

03:41:56.000 Based on what we're seeing with the House races.

03:41:59.000 But we'll see.

03:42:00.000 We'll see.

03:42:01.000 What do you guys think of Byron Donalds as a candidate?

03:42:04.000 I didn't follow the race very closely, but I couldn't really tell you many of his policies.

03:42:08.000 I would vote for him if I were down there, just to be clear.

03:42:11.000 But kind of seems like Senate control just went up to 87 in the Calchee forecast.

03:42:18.000 No, we don't like that.

03:42:21.000 Wow.

03:42:21.000 They're projecting 55 Democrat seats to 45 Republican seats.

03:42:26.000 This is.

03:42:28.000 This is a blowout.

03:42:29.000 That'll be a huge win for the Democrats.

03:42:31.000 Yeah.

03:42:32.000 They're going to start chopping off dongs left and right.

03:42:35.000 Yeah, that's what they're going to do.

03:42:36.000 We're all moving to Israel if that happens, right?

03:42:39.000 I'll salvage them.

03:42:40.000 B.B. Netanyahu is going to take us all in, right?

03:42:44.000 Well, if he gets a government, right?

03:42:47.000 We can't even count on our greatest ally to protect us.

03:42:47.000 That's true.

03:42:50.000 It's dark times, truly.

03:42:51.000 It sure is, yeah.

03:42:52.000 Look at that.

03:42:54.000 Yeah, the Israel election.

03:42:54.000 Yikes.

03:42:55.000 I'm trying to follow that, and it seems like they still don't know what they're doing.

03:42:58.000 You know, I'm going to say this.

03:42:59.000 It's very chaotic.

03:43:00.000 I'm going to huff the copium still, okay?

03:43:02.000 And the hopium and say there's 13% still.

03:43:07.000 Republicans can get to 50 seats.

03:43:10.000 They don't need 51, they just need 50.

03:43:13.000 I think we get at least 50.

03:43:15.000 Really?

03:43:17.000 Yeah, I think so.

03:43:18.000 I think Kalshi is not really an accurate representation.

03:43:23.000 Well, we talked about this earlier.

03:43:25.000 The issue is too many people are trying to game it.

03:43:27.000 Yes.

03:43:28.000 You skew it in one direction, then buy up the other side.

03:43:31.000 So when it falls back, you massively profit.

03:43:33.000 Right.

03:43:34.000 And here's the thing if you look at just the Texas race, there were some statistics that 77% of the bets were on Paxton.

03:43:43.000 But somebody had dropped $700,000.

03:43:45.000 Balance it out on Tallarico.

03:43:47.000 Yeah, yeah, yeah.

03:43:47.000 Okay.

03:43:48.000 I think someone was saying that like $1.4 million for Tallarico or something.

03:43:51.000 Yeah.

03:43:52.000 Some stupid amount just weighting the scale for Tallarico.

03:43:56.000 That's why you can't do these things unless you have a system where you're actually weighing each bet.

03:44:03.000 And that's really, if you're looking at the wisdom of the crowd, that's how you do it.

03:44:07.000 You don't just do it on the dollars.

03:44:09.000 I mean, dollars mean something, but big bets on, On these things could just be used as throwaway.

03:44:16.000 I mean, there are a lot of billionaires with throwaway cash that would skew the perception of the election.

03:44:22.000 I mean, it buys you probably better results than running $700,000 worth of TV ads.

03:44:28.000 Tightening up, Byron Donald's down only around, what are we looking at?

03:44:32.000 We're looking at like 65.

03:44:35.000 No, no, it's a.65.

03:44:36.000 Oh, wow.

03:44:38.000 It's kind of the hard balance.

03:44:41.000 Yeah, yeah.

03:44:42.000 0.65.

03:44:43.000 The panhandle comes in late.

03:44:45.000 The panhandle is going to come in strong.

03:44:47.000 I'm feeling confident.

03:44:47.000 Yeah.

03:44:48.000 Yeah.

03:44:49.000 It looks like Byron's about to take it.

03:44:49.000 Yeah.

03:44:52.000 So, with, you know, like Miami and Groudon coming in early, plus Alachua and Tallahassee went to immigrate.

03:45:00.000 I mean, if Jolly took it, suddenly all those jurisdictions would be able to put back their rainbow crosswalks.

03:45:00.000 Yeah.

03:45:06.000 So that's right.

03:45:07.000 Yeah.

03:45:07.000 Liberals have very important and lofty priorities.

03:45:10.000 Yeah.

03:45:11.000 I think so.

03:45:11.000 Super important.

03:45:12.000 Panhandle probably cancels out Orlando, but that could be close.

03:45:16.000 Yeah.

03:45:17.000 Let's see, what do we got here?

03:45:18.000 Asaf's victory in the Peach State isn't a major shock.

03:45:22.000 So, uh.

03:45:23.000 No, what would be interesting, though, is if he, if his, um, if his win brings bottoms over the line.

03:45:30.000 We got, uh, Asaf declared the winner against Collins in Georgia with 29.7 in, but again, yeah, it's not.

03:45:35.000 That was to be expected.

03:45:36.000 Exactly.

03:45:37.000 It's.

03:45:38.000 Asaf is.

03:45:39.000 We want to see.

03:45:40.000 Yeah, exactly.

03:45:41.000 Like all the projections had that one.

03:45:42.000 Asaf is a favorite for me in the 2028 primary for the Democrats.

03:45:46.000 You think so?

03:45:47.000 I do.

03:45:47.000 Really?

03:45:48.000 Why?

03:45:49.000 He's a Southern Democrat who just coasted to victory.

03:45:52.000 Yeah, he'll be a favorite.

03:45:54.000 They call him White Obama.

03:45:56.000 Or Whiter Obama.

03:45:56.000 Yeah.

03:45:58.000 They'll like him better than Josh Shapiro.

03:46:00.000 For sure, they will like him better than Josh Shapiro.

03:46:00.000 I think they will.

03:46:04.000 Yeah, I think that's probably true.

03:46:06.000 Let's see if we can jump over to our.

03:46:10.000 Where did the Anna Paulina.

03:46:11.000 Anna Paulina Luna is now enjoying a cool 4.2, 0.42, sorry, with more than 95% of votes in.

03:46:11.000 There we go.

03:46:22.000 This is.

03:46:25.000 This is dangerous.

03:46:26.000 Wow.

03:46:28.000 Let me pull up the data here and tell you.

03:46:30.000 So, this is an R plus six district.

03:46:33.000 And she's only up, she's up less than half a point right now.

03:46:37.000 And this, let me try and zoom out so I can get you this one.

03:46:41.000 This is a district that Trump won by 11 points.

03:46:45.000 So that's swinging 11 points in the other direction, huh?

03:46:51.000 10.5.

03:46:53.000 Yowza.

03:46:55.000 That's crazy.

03:46:57.000 Looks like we've got only 11,000 votes remaining to be counted.

03:47:01.000 I don't think it's going to be possible at this point for Leela to actually pull ahead unless somehow a big chunk of these votes just break for her.

03:47:09.000 I will say, though, I would not be surprised if they're like, we found a box of ballots in this room.

03:47:13.000 Right?

03:47:15.000 Yeah, that's typically what that's the problem with the mail in ballots.

03:47:19.000 Hey, Byron Donalds has just taken the lead.

03:47:19.000 You don't have any.

03:47:23.000 Ladies and gentlemen, he has taken the lead by nearly a whole point.

03:47:27.000 So, I'm sorry, not even a whole point.

03:47:30.000 My bad.

03:47:31.000 He's up by 0.09.

03:47:34.000 So, substantially less than a point.

03:47:36.000 That's about 5,000 votes, looks like.

03:47:39.000 Yeah.

03:47:40.000 Just about 4,900 or so, 4,800 and something.

03:47:43.000 Holy smokes.

03:47:45.000 Well, it's going to, it's, it's, it, Byron's got it.

03:47:47.000 I don't see, I don't see how David Jaws going to be able to pull ahead now.

03:47:51.000 But then again, you know, look, the forecasters are going to call it when they call it.

03:47:55.000 We'll see.

03:47:56.000 Oof.

03:47:57.000 Kalashi's got it at 90%.

03:47:59.000 The Democrats now take the Senate.

03:48:02.000 98 for safe dem control of the House.

03:48:05.000 Wow, this is merciless.

03:48:07.000 Although the forecast just changed right now.

03:48:11.000 Despite the 89% for Senate control, it went down to 54% Democrat to 45% Republican.

03:48:18.000 Where's that seat going?

03:48:20.000 Oh, okay.

03:48:21.000 South Carolina's in toss up territory, so that's interesting.

03:48:26.000 Never forget 2016, where I think you had a 99% victory for Hillary Clinton on these scales, and Trump came all the way back.

03:48:37.000 Right.

03:48:38.000 And so we could be looking at a result like that tonight.

03:48:41.000 Yeah.

03:48:42.000 Yeah, I do think it's funny that the New York Times, as of 7 45, their live forecast is not active.

03:48:49.000 And I'm like, what's the point of a forecast if you're just going to wait for the data to come in and tell you who won before you predict who won?

03:48:56.000 You're supposed to be taking the exit polls and giving us your predictions based on that instead of just saying, no, no, no, we're going to wait.

03:49:04.000 Okay, well, I don't need it then.

03:49:06.000 Byron Donalds has just jumped up another 0.07.

03:49:10.000 So he is cruising, ladies and gentlemen.

03:49:13.000 And of course, we're going to track all this right now.

03:49:15.000 The Calci's prediction is that.

03:49:17.000 Republicans are going to sit around 46 seats.

03:49:19.000 Holy cow.

03:49:22.000 That would be bad, Byron Donald.

03:49:24.000 Oh, dude, he's cruising now.

03:49:26.000 He's up 0.66.

03:49:27.000 He's cruising.

03:49:30.000 Sailing ahead.

03:49:31.000 That's good news.

03:49:31.000 They're going to have a good governor.

03:49:34.000 And let's go back to Paulina Luna.

03:49:38.000 She's doing all right, but holy crap, she's only up by like 0.7.

03:49:45.000 That's insane.

03:49:47.000 That is ridiculous.

03:49:48.000 Ridiculously tight.

03:49:49.000 That was a Senate race looking in Florida.

03:49:52.000 Oh, man.

03:49:53.000 I don't want to look.

03:49:53.000 Holy crap.

03:49:54.000 It's probably not good.

03:49:55.000 Let's, uh.

03:49:56.000 I think most of the Senate.

03:49:57.000 Oh, my God, dude.

03:49:59.000 What?

03:50:00.000 It's close, but I think Moody just took the.

03:50:02.000 Hold on.

03:50:03.000 Moody may have just taken the.

03:50:04.000 No, no, no.

03:50:04.000 Hold on.

03:50:05.000 Come on.

03:50:05.000 Hey, come on.

03:50:05.000 Come on.

03:50:06.000 What are you doing over here?

03:50:07.000 Let's zoom out.

03:50:09.000 Currently, 81% of the vote is in.

03:50:12.000 Moody is down by 0.1.

03:50:14.000 Yeah, that's really bad.

03:50:15.000 Very likely she's going to pull ahead as more of the votes come in.

03:50:18.000 Actually, I'm going to pull this up on, uh, Let's pull this up here on NBC because they're going to give us a better breakdown, I think.

03:50:25.000 Do you prefer the NBC one to the Times?

03:50:27.000 Well, it shows us the counties directly as little counties, whereas the New York Times gives you.

03:50:31.000 It's those weird bubbles.

03:50:32.000 Yeah, I'm like, you're not helping.

03:50:32.000 I don't know.

03:50:34.000 I need to know the boundaries of what's left.

03:50:34.000 Yeah.

03:50:39.000 Orlando's in.

03:50:41.000 Where is it?

03:50:42.000 That little blue one or the leaning red one?

03:50:45.000 It's blue.

03:50:48.000 No, it's still not in.

03:50:49.000 Okay.

03:50:49.000 Yeah.

03:50:50.000 Well, New York Times doesn't have anything in.

03:50:54.000 Angie Nixon is another one of these crazy people.

03:50:57.000 It was interesting to see during the election who was coming out.

03:51:00.000 Like the Democrats kept throwing people at.

03:51:04.000 Oh, I don't know.

03:51:06.000 They do have Orlando in Orange County, and Seminole just came in for Angie Nixon.

03:51:12.000 Okay.

03:51:13.000 So currently, she is up by.5.

03:51:17.000 Wow, she just got a boost.

03:51:19.000 79.9 in.

03:51:21.000 Wow, Moody might lose.

03:51:23.000 No, you still got the panhandle in the front.

03:51:24.000 That's true.

03:51:25.000 The panhandle is coming in strong for the Republicans.

03:51:27.000 Votto doesn't say that they lost Florida.

03:51:29.000 Holy crap.

03:51:30.000 No, no, they're not going to lose Florida.

03:51:33.000 This is going to be a three or four point win for Moody.

03:51:37.000 I caramba.

03:51:40.000 Yeah, let's take a look at what we got going on in the Senate.

03:51:43.000 Currently, stop.

03:51:45.000 NBC won't shut up with please let me send you notifications.

03:51:45.000 Wow.

03:51:49.000 In the current battlegrounds, you've got Assoff, who's winning.

03:51:53.000 And Ohio, Brown is over Housted, but still too early to call.

03:51:58.000 There's probably nothing in on Ohio yet.

03:52:02.000 Don't ask again.

03:52:03.000 Don't ask again.

03:52:04.000 So we currently got 13% in.

03:52:06.000 Yeah, it's meaningless.

03:52:08.000 Meaningless.

03:52:10.000 I have to imagine Vivek's not going to be doing too well.

03:52:12.000 What do you guys think?

03:52:15.000 Oh, I think he's got a shot.

03:52:17.000 Yeah, that one's a tough one.

03:52:19.000 It's 14.5 in.

03:52:22.000 It's currently 2 1 in favor of Acton.

03:52:24.000 Is she a drunk?

03:52:26.000 Or is she on drugs?

03:52:28.000 Between her and Jamie West, that local city council person, I was wondering how do you go on TV like that if that's what's going on?

03:52:36.000 Slurring.

03:52:37.000 Yeah, really slurry.

03:52:39.000 Pretty bizarre.

03:52:40.000 Some people were like, she's probably on a mood stabilizer for.

03:52:43.000 You're going to go on stage.

03:52:45.000 You're real nervous.

03:52:46.000 And then she's like looped out, maybe.

03:52:48.000 I think that would be the case.

03:52:49.000 I don't know.

03:52:49.000 I saw the clips.

03:52:49.000 She's on something.

03:52:51.000 I mean, I know people do drugs before they go on TV or on stage or whatever, but I feel like that would make everything worse.

03:52:58.000 Yeah.

03:52:59.000 My friend, Tom Zawakowski from We the People Convention in Ohio, he's a Tea Party leader in Ohio.

03:53:06.000 He's been a Tea Party leader since 2010.

03:53:09.000 And he told me today that Ohio Republicans were swarming.

03:53:15.000 The polls.

03:53:17.000 They came out in mass.

03:53:19.000 So I'm hoping that that leads to a turnaround in Ohio.

03:53:24.000 I'll be curious to see the difference between Vivek and the Senate candidate in Ohio, because obviously the online world really dislikes Vivek, but they don't feel the same way about the Senate candidate.

03:53:33.000 60% of the votes are in Indiana's fifth, and JD Ford is currently ahead of Victoria Spartz.

03:53:39.000 So I don't think this is going to be, I don't think the Democrat will win here.

03:53:44.000 I think we're just going to start seeing more of these conservative areas come in and then.

03:53:48.000 Well, isn't that the thing they say that a lot of these places they count the early votes, they sort of like get them organized early, and then all of the GOP vote on the day of?

03:53:57.000 Yeah, generally GOP votes day of.

03:53:59.000 I thought it was interesting.

03:54:00.000 Like, I went to my polling place this morning, which is I'm in a very small district, not a lot of registered voters.

03:54:05.000 And when I asked how the turnout was, most of the people had already voted early voting, and there had only been like 100 or something people coming through the polling place.

03:54:16.000 Okay.

03:54:16.000 I thought that was really sort of bizarre for, and it was a GOP district.

03:54:20.000 Okay.

03:54:21.000 NBC News put up this saying the fluctuations in votes flowing in tonight reflect the trend of Democrats favoring the early vote and much of the election day votes coming from Republicans.

03:54:29.000 For example, in Florida, Democratic Senate candidate Angie Nixon's lead in Palm Beach County has already dropped from 20 points to 12 against Ashley Moody.

03:54:38.000 I don't believe early voting is real, nor do I believe it should be allowed and it should be banned.

03:54:42.000 What do you mean you don't think it's real?

03:54:43.000 I also agree with you that there is no logical argument as to why the political leanings of an individual indicate them voting before election day.

03:54:51.000 Makes literally no sense.

03:54:51.000 I agree.

03:54:53.000 I don't think anyone should.

03:54:53.000 You can come to me and say two plus two equals five, and I'll say it doesn't, and you'll make the argument, but if we're doing 2.4 and rounding down and 2.4 and rounding down, But you add those together and get 4.8, you round up.

03:55:04.000 I'm like, at least you've made some kind of argument.

03:55:07.000 But when you come to me and you're like, Democrats vote early for some reason.

03:55:10.000 Why?

03:55:11.000 Explain to me why it is that someone goes, I think tax should be higher.

03:55:15.000 I'm going to go vote early.

03:55:16.000 That makes literally no sense.

03:55:18.000 It makes no sense at all.

03:55:19.000 I don't buy it for a second.

03:55:20.000 So you think it's just a bunch of fake explanation and all that?

03:55:24.000 I'm saying the simplest argument or explanation is that activists go out early and rally people in ways that Republicans do not.

03:55:33.000 That's the easy argument.

03:55:35.000 That's Occam's razor.

03:55:37.000 The lesser argument, but still a potentiality, is that they're cheating.

03:55:41.000 Right.

03:55:42.000 Yep.

03:55:43.000 I think that part of it is also that conservatives like me, I'm stubborn.

03:55:46.000 I want to vote on election day.

03:55:48.000 I don't like early voting, so I don't early vote.

03:55:53.000 And you can make an argument that I should be early voting just in case I get hit by a car.

03:55:57.000 I don't want to vote Democrat when I'm dead.

03:55:59.000 Right.

03:56:00.000 But at the same time, I think it's just.

03:56:03.000 We're slower to change.

03:56:05.000 Vivek needs to win 53.7% of the remaining vote totals in order to overtake Amy Acton with 22.1% in.

03:56:16.000 I don't think he's going to win.

03:56:17.000 How's the Senate race doing?

03:56:19.000 Now, that's interesting, too, because, like you were mentioning, the difference between candidates.

03:56:23.000 So currently, it is comparable with 22.2% in.

03:56:27.000 Housted is doing only slightly, actually, no, he's doing slightly worse, I think, than Vivek.

03:56:33.000 No, no, he's doing a fraction of a percent better.

03:56:36.000 He needs 52.9 of the remaining vote to catch and overtake Sherrod Brown.

03:56:39.000 You know, Trump spoke so highly about him.

03:56:41.000 I'm surprised to see he's not really delivering, but you've got to have faith.

03:56:46.000 There's still time.

03:56:47.000 Byron's taking this one.

03:56:48.000 He's up 0.78 right now.

03:56:50.000 He's closing on a whole point with 68%, and I think he's going to sail straight through.

03:56:57.000 He's a tough guy.

03:56:58.000 Florida's 22nd.

03:56:59.000 It is competitive, and the Democrat is currently ahead with 91.91.

03:57:06.000 Percent of the votes in.

03:57:10.000 Let's take a gander over at the New York Times battleground states.

03:57:13.000 And it's looking Florida's 14th is going to Kathy Caster, but she's the incumbent, so who cares?

03:57:20.000 Florida's 22nd looks like it's going to go Democrat.

03:57:23.000 Democrat Dandy is up four points with 91% in.

03:57:27.000 Kentucky's 6th hasn't counted anything yet.

03:57:30.000 And these haven't counted anything yet.

03:57:31.000 There's no point reading those.

03:57:33.000 VA1's got 32% in, and Whitman is up by three points.

03:57:37.000 He's the incumbent.

03:57:38.000 So we'll see.

03:57:40.000 And I wonder if, oh, they just called a bunch of races for the Republicans in the New York Times.

03:57:45.000 Florida second, 50% in.

03:57:48.000 And the, oh, they're calling this Republican expected to win easily.

03:57:52.000 And it's currently D plus 25.

03:57:54.000 It's those early votes?

03:57:56.000 Maybe.

03:57:57.000 They're half in.

03:57:58.000 Yeah, maybe.

03:57:59.000 That's the second.

03:58:03.000 Let's take a look over at their Cook PVIs are plus eight.

03:58:09.000 I remember distinctly in, what was it like?

03:58:12.000 Trump won this by 12 points.

03:58:14.000 Wait a minute, wait a minute.

03:58:17.000 I'm sorry.

03:58:19.000 18 points.

03:58:20.000 In May 2020, when Nancy Pelosi came out and started talking about how early voting with social distancing and mail in balloting had to become the norm just for this election season.

03:58:30.000 And I remember being like, this is going to be terrible forever.

03:58:33.000 And it is.

03:58:34.000 Here it is.

03:58:35.000 Just keeps going.

03:58:36.000 All right, everybody.

03:58:37.000 Again, shout out to Kalshi for sponsoring the show.

03:58:39.000 Make sure you go to kalshi.comslash rslash midterm marathon stream.

03:58:44.000 We start up at 4 p.m.

03:58:45.000 We're going to be live until about 2 a.m. or potentially longer.

03:58:49.000 We're in this for the long haul.

03:58:50.000 Until we can get definitive answers.

03:58:51.000 But it's currently looking ridiculously good for Democrats, and they're very, very happy about it.

03:58:56.000 And I just want to say one last thing.

03:58:58.000 Conservatives, okay, Libby, be happy and hopeful.

03:59:02.000 For when God closes a door, he opens a window.

03:59:06.000 Think about the opposition and the corruption and the views we're going to get on our articles and our videos.

03:59:11.000 Let's go.

03:59:13.000 Yeah.

03:59:14.000 And then when everything burns down, you know, I'll have a golden boat to sink in.

03:59:17.000 Right?

03:59:17.000 Larry and I were just talking about that before, and we were both like, well.

03:59:21.000 Take the greats gonna come in for the next hour.

03:59:21.000 All right.

03:59:22.000 If it's better for the country, then provide some relief.

03:59:25.000 Better for the business.

03:59:26.000 I'll be back in an hour.

03:59:27.000 Unless one of you guys wants to run, I've been here for the longest, so I can step off.

03:59:32.000 Who wants out?

03:59:33.000 I'll get out.

03:59:34.000 I don't want to mog on accident.

03:59:37.000 Okay.

03:59:38.000 Yeah, go for it.

03:59:40.000 Got Patrick here.

03:59:41.000 We got Thomas.

03:59:42.000 What's up, everybody?

03:59:43.000 Tim Casters.

03:59:44.000 How are we doing, Tate?

03:59:45.000 We haven't discussed AI yet.

03:59:46.000 Let's do an hour long discussion on AI.

03:59:49.000 That'll be sick, man.

03:59:50.000 I think one more.

03:59:51.000 Can AI get a vote?

03:59:52.000 I think one more Anakin edit might just turn things around a bit more.

03:59:56.000 One more Anakin edit, I'm thinking, yeah.

03:59:57.000 I'm thinking we should adopt the left's framing on taking like Marvel movies and stuff like that and ram it down everyone's throats.

04:00:04.000 We got Thomas here.

04:00:04.000 What's going on, Thomas?

04:00:06.000 Yeah, happy to be here watching what's happening.

04:00:09.000 There's probably like three people that don't know who you are.

04:00:11.000 Could you give a quick intro of who you are and what you do?

04:00:13.000 Sure, yeah.

04:00:14.000 So I was an advisor to Prime Minister Boris Johnson in the UK, witnessed his absolute wipeout when he lost, I think they lost like a hundred and.

04:00:23.000 60 members of parliament lost their seats.

04:00:25.000 So, sitting back and watching, I don't think we'll have anything like that.

04:00:28.000 But we're hoping we don't see the American equivalent of that here tonight.

04:00:33.000 The lineup is very similar.

04:00:35.000 It was the same thing.

04:00:36.000 It was, you know, all of these conservatives voted for him.

04:00:39.000 He didn't do what they wanted.

04:00:40.000 So then they said, hey, we're not going to vote.

04:00:42.000 We're not going to vote for you.

04:00:42.000 We're going to stay home.

04:00:43.000 So, similar angle.

04:00:45.000 I don't think it'll be as extreme, but it's certainly the same lineup.

04:00:48.000 Completely unrelated to the midterms, but I am curious to get your thoughts.

04:00:52.000 Kemi Badenuk has just said something about the Boris wave, you know, the massive influx of migrants.

04:00:57.000 She said that.

04:00:58.000 Civil servants and officials didn't even notice it was happening.

04:01:01.000 Does that reflect what you said?

04:01:02.000 Did people not notice?

04:01:03.000 Yeah, like we didn't.

04:01:04.000 That's what Kenny Badenock claimed.

04:01:06.000 Yeah, I mean, look, I don't normally agree with her on much, but yeah, she's right.

04:01:09.000 We didn't, you know, people didn't notice what was happening.

04:01:11.000 I mean, I was in the UK when it happened because Brexit happened.

04:01:14.000 We left, and, you know, can you believe it?

04:01:17.000 Our complaint in Brexit was that there were too many Polish people.

04:01:20.000 That was our bit.

04:01:21.000 The line was that the Polish were coming and stealing our jobs, too many Polish plumbers.

04:01:24.000 We would die for the Polish now, can you imagine?

04:01:26.000 So, you know, they sort of replaced.

04:01:29.000 They replaced the Europeans with a new wave of third world migrants.

04:01:33.000 So, yeah, it's not.

04:01:34.000 How do you miss 2 billion people?

04:01:36.000 That's a lot of people.

04:01:37.000 Well, they weren't as many illegals.

04:01:41.000 They weren't, if it had been like the boats and stuff, we would have seen that.

04:01:43.000 But these people were landing on planes and getting visas and all this sort of stuff.

04:01:46.000 So, it really happened pretty quick.

04:01:48.000 I mean, look, if you look at the Democrats in two years' time, you'll have the same thing.

04:01:53.000 They'll open the borders up, it'll be exactly the same.

04:01:54.000 They'll flood the country.

04:01:55.000 So, we'll see.

04:01:57.000 I've spent the last hour getting sexually harassed by Gavin McGuinness back in the other room.

04:02:03.000 So, I've been trying to keep tabs on a lot of these updates.

04:02:08.000 Thankfully, we have Libby Emmons here, one of the most wonky people I know.

04:02:11.000 And that's in this town a compliment.

04:02:14.000 Libby, what am I missing here?

04:02:16.000 I mean, again, this is looking like the polls are fairly accurate so far from what I can gauge.

04:02:21.000 Obviously, Kalshi here is saying wipeout, but that's Kalshi.

04:02:25.000 I'm wondering what you're seeing under the hood right now.

04:02:28.000 Yeah, I mean, I don't know.

04:02:31.000 I'm just talking to the staff at Postmillennial.

04:02:33.000 We're talking about what's happening and what we should cover.

04:02:38.000 And I had hopes that the Republicans would hold the Senate and be able to put the kibosh, as it were, on stupid things coming out of the House.

04:02:48.000 I'm actually worried about the rise of socialism in this country.

04:02:51.000 I know I've mentioned that before, but I do find it concerning because they have a lot of good rhetoric and a lot of good messaging, and people don't realize that what they're saying isn't tax people and give that money to all of you Americans.

04:03:06.000 What they're saying is tax the rich people and give that money to us to control and dole out.

04:03:11.000 Nobody remembers that as soon as government gets their hands on any kind of program, that makes it all more expensive.

04:03:18.000 College is more expensive because government got involved, healthcare is more expensive because.

04:03:21.000 Because government got involved.

04:03:23.000 Housing ends up more expensive because government got involved.

04:03:27.000 And when we're seeing this, we're going to just see more of this and everything is going to get worse.

04:03:33.000 After Obamacare came in, I don't know if you guys had health insurance before that.

04:03:37.000 I had like a sort of normal job health insurance plan before Obamacare.

04:03:42.000 After Obamacare came in, my company was like, oh, it would be more cost effective for us to give you guys a little subsidy and you go get your plan on the market.

04:03:50.000 I have not had good health insurance since Obamacare came in.

04:03:54.000 And I think that's true for a lot of people.

04:03:55.000 It's pretty terrible.

04:03:57.000 So I worry about what they're going to do once they're in there.

04:04:01.000 I don't have any real hope that the idealistic democratic socialists have any sense of what reality is.

04:04:08.000 I was listening to an interview with Daria Lisa Chevalier the other day, and her reasoning to have prison abolition was absolute madness.

04:04:18.000 She was basically saying we need to abolish prisons because there shouldn't be any crime, and this is where we start.

04:04:24.000 And it's like there has always been crime.

04:04:27.000 Even if you just look at the entirety of human history, perhaps one of the first things recorded in Genesis was a murder.

04:04:35.000 We're always going to have murder.

04:04:37.000 There's always going to be these kinds of issues.

04:04:39.000 So, yeah, so I'm concerned about that.

04:04:43.000 And I think a lot of the shenanigans will end up paying off for Democrats, like the one in Alaska that you just pulled up a second there, Tate, with the decoy Dan.

04:04:54.000 That's concerning.

04:04:55.000 I think she had a point, though.

04:04:56.000 If you actually get rid of laws and like jails and stuff and stuff, you actually, crime plummets because you just stop counting it.

04:05:04.000 Right.

04:05:04.000 Because laws and ethics and morality.

04:05:07.000 Yeah, yeah, exactly.

04:05:08.000 Well, I like how you hit on the economic aspect of the DSA, which, like, we can talk about that.

04:05:13.000 That's obviously bad.

04:05:13.000 It's not going to lead to affluence in the country.

04:05:16.000 But you're definitely right to point out the other stuff, too.

04:05:19.000 And I think that's something that, like, the mainstream GOP should hit on more.

04:05:22.000 Like, okay, economics, yeah, they're bad on that, but they also want to get rid of, like, police.

04:05:27.000 Prisons.

04:05:29.000 They support all the same stuff Liptard support, like DEI and affirmative action.

04:05:33.000 They all believe in that stuff too.

04:05:35.000 The idea that they're like, oh, we're about class.

04:05:37.000 We're not about the race stuff.

04:05:38.000 No, they believe in the race communism 100%.

04:05:42.000 And in some cases, far more than liberals do, because they believe in far more wealth redistribution in a racial way.

04:05:50.000 So it's the economics, but it's also all this other stuff.

04:05:53.000 And they don't believe in borders.

04:05:54.000 They just straight up want to destroy the foundations of basically any nation state.

04:05:59.000 I totally agree.

04:06:00.000 And it's frustrating seeing the messaging from the Republicans where it's mostly chud bait when there actually is real, tangible, like a serious overhaul that's being proposed from the Democrats.

04:06:10.000 But we often get hung up on culture world issues that are relevant, obviously, the trans issue, obviously, very relevant, but low salience in this election.

04:06:19.000 What is high salience is immigration.

04:06:21.000 We are seeing this in the polling.

04:06:23.000 The Democrats, like, literally don't believe in having borders.

04:06:26.000 And that's not chud bait.

04:06:27.000 That's like an actual real thing that could potentially get implemented if they continue to take power here.

04:06:33.000 This is what's jumping out to me.

04:06:36.000 Out of the state of Florida, the great state of Florida, David Jolly is ahead with 78% of the vote.

04:06:42.000 And now, What jumps out to me is we're missing Palm Beach County and we're missing the Panhandle, which, you know, I'm no Florida politico.

04:06:51.000 Oh, so Moody, yeah.

04:06:52.000 So Moody's locked in, as I understand it, vastly more popular in the great state of Florida than Byron Donald's.

04:06:59.000 Again, I mean, you know, the cope here is obviously we're missing Palm Beach County and the Panhandle.

04:07:04.000 But the fact that we're this far in, I mean, DeSantis put this away after what 10% in last election cycle.

04:07:11.000 DeSantis has been going on offense today.

04:07:13.000 He was on, out of all people, Stephen A. Smith's show.

04:07:16.000 Is that where these clips are from?

04:07:18.000 I just saw them in passing.

04:07:20.000 Yeah, so he's on.

04:07:21.000 And Stephen A, you know, he's one of my favorite normie oracles.

04:07:26.000 He brings DeSantis on.

04:07:28.000 DeSantis is not sounding like what we typically expect from Meatball Ron.

04:07:34.000 I mean, this is clearly a guy that is saying, hey, here's my 2028 campaign.

04:07:38.000 Here's what's going to be.

04:07:39.000 I'm just going to play this clip real quick.

04:07:41.000 Tim may have played it earlier, but it's worth bringing back up.

04:07:44.000 And some of these Republicans are saying, oh, well, the gas, don't worry.

04:07:47.000 It's no big deal.

04:07:48.000 Or they're trying to blame Biden for it.

04:07:49.000 No, no, listen, we just got to be honest.

04:07:52.000 Gas is higher.

04:07:53.000 It hurts people, working class people, and it's higher because of this conflict.

04:07:57.000 That's just a fact.

04:07:58.000 If you can't admit that to voters, then you're gaslighting them, and they're not going to listen to you on other things.

04:08:05.000 And some of these Republicans are saying.

04:08:08.000 So, how much of this is him positioning for 2028?

04:08:10.000 I'd say most of it.

04:08:11.000 Yeah, he probably believes in it.

04:08:13.000 And I think it's actually like a fair point.

04:08:15.000 I think objectively, voters do care about gas.

04:08:18.000 Now, even if we didn't do the Iran war, I know it's a big counterfactual.

04:08:21.000 I think we would have lost the house, anyways.

04:08:23.000 Really, you think that that would have been.

04:08:25.000 Yeah, I think we would have been able to lose seats.

04:08:27.000 You don't think that the GOP would have been able to make a better case for the accomplishments that they've done?

04:08:31.000 Because I agree with you that this war was really harmful and has been and is going to continue to be.

04:08:36.000 But I don't know if it would have been.

04:08:38.000 It's a counterfactual.

04:08:39.000 I think we would have lost seats regardless.

04:08:42.000 Now, we have to see how it is.

04:08:43.000 If it's a total blue wave and we get destroyed in the Senate, then yeah.

04:08:47.000 And voters are saying, yeah, it's the cost of gas and other inflation, then I think it's fair to say that.

04:08:54.000 But I think I'm here to.

04:08:56.000 Someone just walked in.

04:08:56.000 Is someone here to replace me?

04:08:57.000 It's the great replacement taking place here.

04:08:59.000 This is horrific.

04:09:00.000 All right.

04:09:01.000 This is different.

04:09:01.000 It's white men replacing white men.

04:09:03.000 Patrick, where can people find you before you dip?

04:09:06.000 Okay.

04:09:07.000 I'm doing this to everyone because apparently people have been dipping and not giving their coordinates.

04:09:11.000 So people can go to at RestoreOrderUSA on Twitter.

04:09:14.000 They can also go to patrickcasey.com and subscribe.

04:09:18.000 Well, Patrick, thank you, Patrick.

04:09:18.000 Wonderful stuff.

04:09:19.000 We'll probably get him back in here soon, right?

04:09:21.000 We still got four hours of this nonsense.

04:09:24.000 Possibly more, dude.

04:09:26.000 Beautiful stuff.

04:09:27.000 Well, Phil, to get you up to date here, we still don't have any reporting in on the faux gras ban here in D.C.

04:09:36.000 This is what I'm keeping an eye on.

04:09:37.000 Obviously, the future of the country.

04:09:39.000 That is relevant to me, obviously.

04:09:44.000 That is the tortured ducks thing, right?

04:09:47.000 Yeah, the framing I reject.

04:09:50.000 Classic French cuisine.

04:09:52.000 Batawas is really in trouble.

04:09:55.000 The thing about foie gras is it is delicious, but it also is mean.

04:10:00.000 So, for the same reason that, like, I can't, I don't really eat veal, it's not because it's not delicious.

04:10:06.000 It's because I envision the poor thing.

04:10:09.000 It's like, look, when God gave us dominion over this world, he didn't get some asterisks on there.

04:10:13.000 He's like, hey, you got to fatten that duck up to make it good.

04:10:17.000 You got to crack a couple legs and make an omelet.

04:10:17.000 So be it.

04:10:18.000 You know, so all this to say, we're keeping it up.

04:10:20.000 Andine, isn't that?

04:10:21.000 That's a French dish as well, the Andine.

04:10:23.000 Andine.

04:10:24.000 Well, Labonte's here.

04:10:25.000 I mean, it's a thing where you eat the entire bird and it comes like a.

04:10:30.000 Oh, you cover your head to do it.

04:10:32.000 You have to cover your head to do it.

04:10:34.000 And it's brutal and you're like pulling bones out of your mouth.

04:10:37.000 Yeah, it's gross.

04:10:38.000 Feathers, too.

04:10:38.000 Yeah.

04:10:39.000 Whose last meal was that?

04:10:40.000 You must know.

04:10:41.000 Whose last meal was that?

04:10:42.000 I couldn't tell you.

04:10:42.000 Charles de Gaulle?

04:10:44.000 Maybe.

04:10:44.000 It was somebody, some famous Frenchy, generally types.

04:10:48.000 So, how about that election going on today?

04:10:50.000 So, Phil, you interrupted rudely our hour long discussion on AI.

04:10:54.000 That's actually what we've been discussing in nauseam.

04:10:56.000 Once again, the audience has been demanding more discussions on AI.

04:11:00.000 Throwing shade, huh?

04:11:03.000 Look, I love AI.

04:11:06.000 I use Claude every day.

04:11:06.000 I talk to her, I tell her about my feelings, what I'm going through, and it's usually quite receptive.

04:11:11.000 This is what's interesting.

04:11:12.000 Probably ask it if you should decrease your epilepsy meds.

04:11:16.000 Well, you know, there's a lot going on in my world.

04:11:19.000 What's jumping out to me here?

04:11:20.000 They're saying too early to call.

04:11:24.000 Again, you're looking at counties reporting.

04:11:25.000 Cleveland's already 30% in, Columbus 30% in.

04:11:29.000 And then what this is.

04:11:31.000 Corey Booker's taking it in Jersey.

04:11:33.000 No surprise there.

04:11:34.000 No surprise there.

04:11:35.000 Vet Gramaswamy needs to win 54% of the remaining vote to catch or overtake Amy Acton, who is blowing the ballot box.

04:11:43.000 The New York Times called Massachusetts for Ed Markey with 0% of the votes in.

04:11:47.000 Some of these, it's like.

04:11:48.000 I called Massachusetts for Ed Markey last week.

04:11:50.000 Yeah, I think that's correct.

04:11:51.000 When I was driving through to go to New Hampshire to vote, I was like, Are we going to call Kim Jong un the North Korean flag?

04:11:57.000 Yeah, it smells like Ed Markey's going to win.

04:11:59.000 Chris Coons, Delaware, 0% in.

04:12:01.000 This is what's.

04:12:02.000 So Donald's is chipping.

04:12:04.000 I'm keeping an eye on this.

04:12:05.000 Donald's is chipping away at Jolly.

04:12:06.000 We're 90% in now, so we had another massive dump.

04:12:11.000 West Palm Beach breaking for Jolly, but breaking for Jolly by a 13 point spread.

04:12:16.000 Now, as I understand it, A lot of the Florida heads were saying this is going to be where the knife fight is.

04:12:21.000 This is going to be where the election is decided because Kamala won by a razor thin margin.

04:12:27.000 The fact that Donald's is still down 13 in Palm Beach County indicates that Jolly might pick up the state of Florida, the governor's race.

04:12:36.000 That would be really crazy.

04:12:37.000 That is a shock because if I understand correctly, DeSantis is pretty well liked in Florida.

04:12:43.000 He's super popular.

04:12:44.000 I remember, I mean, this is very anecdotal, but I was visiting my cousins in Palm Beach a couple of years ago and during the.

04:12:52.000 When DeSantis was running for president.

04:12:54.000 And I was like, Do you like guys like DeSantis for president?

04:12:56.000 And they were like, Absolutely not.

04:12:58.000 He needs to stay here in Florida.

04:12:59.000 We want our governor.

04:13:00.000 We voted for him.

04:13:01.000 To see the state not only flip, would be, I mean, I guess it would be a comment on how unhappy people are with Republicans.

04:13:09.000 But even still, that doesn't, I mean, dissatisfaction with Republicans broadly shouldn't transfer over to dissatisfaction with Republicans for your state.

04:13:22.000 For your state.

04:13:23.000 You know?

04:13:23.000 There is a crazy.

04:13:25.000 They're pretty annoyed.

04:13:26.000 Yeah, I mean, it makes sense on a national level.

04:13:28.000 You know, if someone's like, I'm mad at Trump, so I don't want to go and.

04:13:31.000 But I think they're mad at the party altogether.

04:13:34.000 It's like, why are you going to vote for a governor from the party that has annoyed you and do anything that you ask them to do?

04:13:34.000 Yeah.

04:13:38.000 And I think a lot of these people view Donald's, they view Vivex as appointments rather than one primary fair and square.

04:13:45.000 That's neither here nor there.

04:13:46.000 I know Florida was contentious because you had fishback in that race.

04:13:48.000 But I think the perception from a lot of voters is okay, yes, it's governor, yes, it's a statewide race, but.

04:13:54.000 They view these people as Republican Party apparatchiks, whether we like it or not.

04:13:58.000 Certainly, that's the case in South Carolina, which we'll check in on in a second, because that's what their people are saying is vulnerable.

04:14:03.000 Maybe you have a lot of thoughts here.

04:14:04.000 No, I do think it's unfair to say the Republicans did nothing that people wanted them to do because the border is closed.

04:14:10.000 Immigration is substantially down.

04:14:11.000 There's been a lot of effort on illegal immigration.

04:14:15.000 That's been huge.

04:14:16.000 There's been a ramp up in prosecution of crimes and arrests.

04:14:20.000 There are still a lot of problems with the judiciary that just lets people go.

04:14:23.000 They've certainly done some things, but look, if you talk to the young guys, particularly the young men, they're furious.

04:14:29.000 They should be furious.

04:14:30.000 I get that.

04:14:31.000 But I also disagree that not to say that.

04:14:34.000 So either they stayed home or they went out and voted.

04:14:36.000 You guys are all getting in the weeds.

04:14:36.000 For Democrats.

04:14:38.000 Gas is five bucks a gallon.

04:14:40.000 That's true as well.

04:14:41.000 I mean, I continue to beat this drum.

04:14:45.000 If gas is too expensive, whoever's in control of the White House loses.

04:14:51.000 I was making this argument back in March and I said, look, if the economy's doing well and gas prices are reasonable, then the Republicans can win.

04:15:00.000 Well, that is amazing.

04:15:01.000 If they had kept gas low, then they'd skate in.

04:15:04.000 But if the prices, if the economy, if people don't feel like their dollar goes as far as it should, and if the price of gas is too high, The Republicans cannot win.

04:15:12.000 Everybody in America votes based on the price of gas, no matter how much they get into the system.

04:15:18.000 And then how did they let this happen?

04:15:20.000 Do you know that?

04:15:20.000 Well, I mean.

04:15:21.000 If they know that, how did they let this happen?

04:15:22.000 I am not in the administration, and I cannot answer that question.

04:15:25.000 But, Oliver, you were going to interject?

04:15:28.000 Yeah, well, I think you're absolutely right about the gas price.

04:15:30.000 And it's a shame that it's overshadowed so many of the other achievements, like Libby said, immigration.

04:15:34.000 The other one that I care about a lot is obviously censorship.

04:15:38.000 This administration has achieved quite a great deal, actually, in terms of rolling back.

04:15:42.000 The massive censorship state that emerged under the previous administration, and to some extent under the first Trump administration, because you had the deep state that was sort of out of control back then, establishing all these anti disinformation grants.

04:15:58.000 Now, luckily, I don't think that the Senate or the House of Congress can do much in re establishing those because they were federal programs that came out of there that were directed by the White House.

04:16:10.000 But that's another achievement that's been overshadowed by the gas prices, by the war in Iran.

04:16:15.000 I think I would push back on the idea that the Congress can't do much because I think what you'll see is you'll see people being called before Congress because if they have control of the Congress, they can get people up to testify.

04:16:28.000 And just that, you know, just Congress calling you up is going to change the opinions of a lot of people.

04:16:34.000 Yeah, I think Seth is going to get impeached.

04:16:35.000 They're going to impeach everyone.

04:16:36.000 Well, to Alan's point, people like, you know, they'll bring Zuckerberg up.

04:16:39.000 They'll bring up, you know, people in the tech industry and they'll say, hey, he's going to be a big deal.

04:16:43.000 And they'll put more pressure on Silicon Valley.

04:16:44.000 Elon will be a massive target.

04:16:46.000 Yeah, like to qualify what I said, I mean, a lot of.

04:16:49.000 A lot of what the previous administration did was through use of agencies like DHS, the State Department.

04:16:57.000 Diplomacy was a big part of it as well.

04:16:58.000 I mean, one of the big ways in which censorship has been advanced, especially now with the Trump administration, is foreign governments that were sort of primed to pass censorship laws by the previous government's State Department and the previous government's international trade agreement.

04:17:15.000 They very much encouraged laws like the EU's Digital Services Act.

04:17:21.000 Like Brazil's judiciary, which are now being used to pressure the tech companies and the Online Safety Act in the UK, one of the worst.

04:17:26.000 That's why it's such a shame because everything that they've done, particularly on the international stage, has been amazing.

04:17:32.000 It's this one thing, this one war has just overshadowed everything.

04:17:36.000 It's such a mistake.

04:17:37.000 So it's a real shame because, like you say, yeah, there's so much in international, from Venezuela, they've solved the Venezuela problem.

04:17:42.000 That's great.

04:17:42.000 Open up all of that.

04:17:43.000 They've done it, put a lot of pressure on the UK.

04:17:45.000 The UK is no longer arresting as many people as it was before.

04:17:48.000 Oh, yeah.

04:17:49.000 Yeah, yeah.

04:17:49.000 Really?

04:17:50.000 That work is they're very worried about, you know, the American.

04:17:53.000 I mean, look at Sarah B. Rogers.

04:17:55.000 She's been very aggressive in her stances.

04:17:58.000 Kelly J. Keene is facing a trial, I think, December 4th for posting against Islam on social media.

04:18:06.000 I mean, that's crazy.

04:18:08.000 And they were already targeting her previously for saying things like men aren't women.

04:18:13.000 So, I mean, she's always in trouble.

04:18:15.000 She's a long way from her.

04:18:18.000 I agree with you.

04:18:18.000 I'm not a fan of this war.

04:18:20.000 Do you think that if the war had been a lot more decisive, like if you look at the previous, what was it, the Fado, when the Trump administration and Israel teamed up and bombed the nuclear facility?

04:18:32.000 Operation Night Hammer thing or Venezuela when they went in with those crazy sound weapons and burst everyone's eardrums.

04:18:38.000 Do you think if it was something, sure, but we all went out on TV.

04:18:42.000 I agree with you.

04:18:44.000 I was totally in favor.

04:18:46.000 Yes, I agree with you.

04:18:47.000 But what I'm saying is, if it had happened, if it had been, I don't know, whatever the objectives were, if they had been achieved faster, like Venezuela or something else, do you think that this would be a different situation?

04:18:58.000 Because they can move on from it and they can say, look, we had to do that.

04:19:00.000 We've dealt with it.

04:19:01.000 But now we're moved on.

04:19:02.000 Yeah, and if they could have handled it and they're PR would have been much better.

04:19:05.000 I remember I was curious because I was like, I wonder for posterity's sake what my take was at the outset of the war.

04:19:11.000 And my take was, I hate this, but if they wrap this up in a month, by come midterms, we'll be like, oh yeah, yeah, we did bomb Iran.

04:19:20.000 Obviously, it's developed to this situation.

04:19:22.000 For me, from my perspective, and I think this is shared by a lot of people in the base, and I know people always petition, like the base feels the same way I do.

04:19:30.000 I think this is true the main problem with Iran is that it's a gift to the worst people in the GOP.

04:19:36.000 Additionally, it's a gift to the people that have opposed Trump at every direction.

04:19:41.000 Yeah, you look at these Mark Levin types who are reluctant Trump supporters.

04:19:45.000 And they have one issue.

04:19:46.000 They got one issue, obviously.

04:19:49.000 And it's a gift for those people.

04:19:50.000 I think it's what frustrates people.

04:19:51.000 I'm not trying to derail.

04:19:52.000 I just want to give this update.

04:19:53.000 We can jump back into this conversation.

04:19:56.000 Donald has taken the lead here.

04:19:58.000 And I think he's off to the races.

04:20:00.000 Now, Kalshi, shout out to Kalshi here.

04:20:03.000 They're saying it's basically a done deal 88 to 12.

04:20:08.000 Moody has already won this race.

04:20:10.000 So, as Libby pointed out earlier, Moody has ran away.

04:20:14.000 Now she's up 100,000 votes.

04:20:15.000 That's likely to continue.

04:20:18.000 This is what's fascinating.

04:20:19.000 Byron Donalds has taken the lead here.

04:20:22.000 Well, West Palm Beach, still a big spread here, but it looks like Donalds is really punching above his weight class here along the West Gulf Coast, which is obviously going to be a slightly different pathway to victory than DeSantis.

04:20:34.000 DeSantis was very popular in South Florida with the Cubans there.

04:20:38.000 Looks like not resonating as much.

04:20:40.000 They're very happy people.

04:20:41.000 So maybe they're seeing jolly on the ballot and they're like, I'm jolly.

04:20:44.000 I'll vote for that.

04:20:45.000 So it's fascinating stuff.

04:20:47.000 We're going to go around the gauntlet here.

04:20:48.000 A few other races.

04:20:50.000 South Carolina.

04:20:51.000 I was hearing this from a lot of people, a lot of politicos in the Beltway.

04:20:55.000 I don't want to speak out a turn, but they were saying this is a race they were very concerned about.

04:21:00.000 Darlene Graham, obviously.

04:21:01.000 No one knows who this lady is.

04:21:03.000 She's related to Lindsey Graham and was Lindsey Graham not terribly popular.

04:21:08.000 So I guess let's.

04:21:09.000 Put her sister in.

04:21:10.000 Well, it wasn't.

04:21:11.000 That was a whole thing.

04:21:12.000 Because she was supposed to just fill the rest of his term.

04:21:12.000 Do you remember?

04:21:16.000 And I think it was a whole thing.

04:21:16.000 Correct.

04:21:17.000 And then she wasn't supposed to run.

04:21:18.000 Yeah.

04:21:19.000 That was sort of the idea.

04:21:20.000 And then she was like, no, I want it all.

04:21:22.000 I want the power.

04:21:22.000 And she's like, no.

04:21:23.000 We could live with the nice, like, ride off into the sunset sort of thing.

04:21:26.000 Well, looks like South Carolina is making the decision for her.

04:21:29.000 She's down three points.

04:21:31.000 She's got to win about half of the remaining votes.

04:21:34.000 If we go to the map here, Charleston, nothing reported yet.

04:21:38.000 Columbus, Richland County, which is Columbia.

04:21:41.000 South Carolina.

04:21:42.000 Nothing reported yet.

04:21:43.000 We got the Charlotte suburbs here Spartanburg, York County, Cherokee County.

04:21:48.000 That's where we're going to see the battleground.

04:21:51.000 Obviously, these are effectively Charlotte suburbs.

04:21:54.000 Charleston, the fact they're 0% in.

04:21:57.000 Again, this is alarm bells going off in the Darlene Graham camp.

04:21:59.000 We'll have to go over, check Kalshi and see what the people are saying, where they're putting their money.

04:22:04.000 I'm seeing this.

04:22:05.000 I'm seeing she's got to win at least half of these votes that are still outstanding.

04:22:09.000 That's going to be fascinating.

04:22:11.000 I'm also seeing multiple reports from just about everybody with a verified check next to their Twitter in 2022 saying Latinos are breaking hard right now in exit polling for the Democrats.

04:22:22.000 Even NBC has said here, right here in the election live updates.

04:22:25.000 And as we know, this country continues to get more and more Hispanic.

04:22:29.000 And that's going to get very interesting.

04:22:30.000 Keeping an eye on Maine, still not seeing much here.

04:22:34.000 That's going to be fascinating.

04:22:35.000 I mean, Susan Collins is an election juggernaut.

04:22:38.000 Troy Jackson, he's inbreeding, he's engaging in that sort of thing, allegedly.

04:22:43.000 We'll see if that's popular in Maine.

04:22:44.000 I've been there once or twice, and a little strange bunch up there, I will say.

04:22:48.000 So who knows?

04:22:49.000 Maybe that resonates with the voters up there.

04:22:52.000 Things are getting wacky and wild.

04:22:54.000 Anna Paulina Luna is likely to win her race.

04:22:57.000 This was the discussion.

04:22:58.000 People were saying it was over and she was going to lose.

04:23:01.000 This is now in.

04:23:02.000 This is hot off the decision desk.

04:23:06.000 New York Times is calling it for Anna Polina Luna.

04:23:08.000 She's going to survive this race, which is, it was fascinating that it was this close.

04:23:15.000 3,000 votes.

04:23:16.000 I mean, it is, it is, again, are we seeing a complete wipeout of the Republicans here?

04:23:22.000 Procedurally, yes.

04:23:24.000 Now, some people are saying Kansas is going to go blue, South Carolina is going to go blue.

04:23:28.000 That's still to be decided.

04:23:29.000 But as it stands right now, according to the New York Times, the House likely Dems, I think at this point, You know, stick a fork in it.

04:23:37.000 You know, the house is done for.

04:23:39.000 Get ready for hearings.

04:23:39.000 Get ready for committees.

04:23:41.000 It's a shame Steve Cohen's leaving because he could have had all the fried chicken he wanted.

04:23:44.000 You know, doing his little sound bites for Twitter.

04:23:48.000 The Senate, they're saying 78% chance, according to the New York Times.

04:23:51.000 Still a bit of, you know, a little bit of time left on the clock.

04:23:54.000 But it looks like Sununu is down in New Hampshire.

04:23:57.000 Sununu is down.

04:23:58.000 I mean, he conceded.

04:23:59.000 He just, yeah, he put up four minutes ago his concession speech was announced.

04:24:06.000 He said, Thank you to my brothers and sisters, all seven of them.

04:24:09.000 We'll pull up Sununu in a second.

04:24:09.000 So.

04:24:11.000 That was the one place Republicans were holding out forcing.

04:24:13.000 We might be able to make a pickup there.

04:24:15.000 One last race I want to get to, and then we can jump back into these discussions we've been having, these fantastic discussions we've been having.

04:24:21.000 That's not a word.

04:24:22.000 Having from the Ohio governor's race, which I've been keeping an eye on to the chagrin of many.

04:24:26.000 Oh, wow.

04:24:27.000 Looks like Luna is keeping her seat decision desk.

04:24:30.000 We already called Luna.

04:24:30.000 Yep.

04:24:30.000 Yeah.

04:24:31.000 The Timcast decision desk can confirm Luna will be in the Congress for this next term.

04:24:39.000 The VEC down to the surprise of.

04:24:41.000 From my perspective, nobody.

04:24:42.000 This guy's terrible.

04:24:43.000 People don't like him.

04:24:45.000 I can't say anything.

04:24:45.000 It's not really that surprising.

04:24:46.000 He's so arrogant and seems to think he's better than everybody else.

04:24:51.000 And I'm going to go.

04:24:52.000 I'm going to get on my sandbox again.

04:24:54.000 I don't really know.

04:24:55.000 I think it must have been the money.

04:24:56.000 I'm going to go on my tirade.

04:24:57.000 JD's like best friend.

04:24:58.000 He has so much money.

04:24:59.000 Yeah.

04:25:00.000 I'm going to go on my tirade again.

04:25:03.000 Nobody likes this guy.

04:25:04.000 Everything he says is insulting.

04:25:07.000 And I bet you a lot of voters went to the polls today in Ohio and they said, whoa, whoa, whoa.

04:25:11.000 Right.

04:25:12.000 So, Wi Fi password?

04:25:13.000 No, I'm going with the name I could pronounce.

04:25:14.000 I guarantee you.

04:25:15.000 I know Ohio well.

04:25:17.000 This is a state that's produced many presidents.

04:25:19.000 This guy, I mean, this is if you're out there and you're looking to run for public office, treat him like Jim Cramer.

04:25:25.000 Do the opposite of what Vivek Ramaswamy has done in this race.

04:25:28.000 It has been a total train wreck.

04:25:29.000 It's really a shame that there wasn't a competitive primary because this is Ohio is going to be vital for the Republican coalition going forward.

04:25:37.000 So, again, seeing it go down like this is really a shame.

04:25:40.000 The fact that Florida is so close is really a shame.

04:25:44.000 We can go back into this conversation of why we're here.

04:25:47.000 I concur with Thomas.

04:25:48.000 I mean, again, we'll do the land acknowledgement.

04:25:50.000 Trump's done some great things, obviously.

04:25:52.000 There's no question about that.

04:25:53.000 The fact that we're seeing a decline in the foreign bond population, no offense, gentlemen, I'm an Anglophile.

04:25:58.000 So I'm glad you guys are here.

04:25:59.000 You too can stay.

04:26:01.000 But the foreign population of the United States has been dropping, which I think is a fantastic thing and full credit to the Trump administration.

04:26:07.000 But it must be said, the only way to continue these trends is by winning elections.

04:26:12.000 So if you throw it all away with a war for special interests, here we are.

04:26:16.000 So we're making a sub.

04:26:17.000 We got the great Scott Greer.

04:26:19.000 Do you want to go or shut up?

04:26:19.000 In the house.

04:26:21.000 Up to you.

04:26:22.000 Up to you.

04:26:24.000 Okay.

04:26:24.000 Yeah.

04:26:24.000 Alan, hey, before you leave, what's your coordinates?

04:26:27.000 So you can find me on Twitter at Alan Bakari.

04:26:27.000 Oh, yes.

04:26:30.000 And you can also follow our research on the censorship industrial complex at the foundation for freedom online.com.

04:26:37.000 Beautiful.

04:26:37.000 We'll get back in here soon.

04:26:38.000 We're going to need you.

04:26:40.000 I'll tap out.

04:26:41.000 If someone wants to come in, I'll.

04:26:43.000 All right.

04:26:43.000 Well, we got the great Scott Greer here.

04:26:47.000 Scott, there's probably two or three people in the audience who don't know who you are.

04:26:52.000 I'm aware that you are a big Anakin guy, you're really big on the cape.

04:26:56.000 I'm a huge Harry Potter and Star Wars fan.

04:26:59.000 That's my, I thought that it was what I was invited to talk about.

04:27:03.000 I don't think there's any other news going on right now.

04:27:03.000 Yeah.

04:27:05.000 Discussing that much.

04:27:06.000 Guam broke for the Republicans.

04:27:08.000 Guam, I think that was on your radar.

04:27:10.000 Guam goes, so does the United States of America.

04:27:13.000 I think that's been well described.

04:27:14.000 Scott, I know this has been on your radar.

04:27:15.000 This is the race you're following tonight.

04:27:17.000 Initiative 86, the faux gras ban.

04:27:19.000 I'm thinking of pronouncing that correctly.

04:27:21.000 0% reporting at about 30%.

04:27:23.000 Bowie, grass, actually.

04:27:25.000 In five minutes, we're going to see how DC decides, which is really important to me.

04:27:31.000 And Libby Emmons, I think, is off here.

04:27:33.000 Libby, can you give people your coordinates?

04:27:35.000 You can find me at Libby Emmons on Twitter and check out our coverage tonight at the Post Millennial.

04:27:40.000 Well, thank you so much, Libby.

04:27:40.000 Beautiful.

04:27:41.000 You're the best.

04:27:42.000 And we'll get her back in here soon.

04:27:44.000 We desperately need Libby.

04:27:46.000 And we got the great Vish Burra coming in.

04:27:48.000 What's going on, Big?

04:27:49.000 Thanks for having me, brother.

04:27:49.000 What up, dude?

04:27:51.000 I didn't like the time.

04:27:51.000 Vish?

04:27:52.000 Can you give the people a quick intro?

04:27:54.000 Who you are?

04:27:54.000 What you do?

04:27:56.000 My name is Vish Burra.

04:27:57.000 That's the camera, right?

04:27:58.000 My name is Vish Burra.

04:27:59.000 I'm a made man in the MAGA movement.

04:28:02.000 Let's just say that.

04:28:03.000 And we'll end it there.

04:28:03.000 How are you guys doing?

04:28:04.000 Well, we got to go back to Kalshi here because it's Kalshi.

04:28:08.000 We love Kalshi.

04:28:10.000 Not looking too hot, according to the people putting money down.

04:28:12.000 They're saying Republican wipeout is pretty much a done deal.

04:28:18.000 The New York Times is saying the House is done.

04:28:20.000 Again, stick a fork in it.

04:28:21.000 The Senate, there's still a little daylight here.

04:28:23.000 Things are not looking too hot.

04:28:24.000 Once again, I want to go over to South Carolina.

04:28:27.000 It's tight.

04:28:28.000 Darlene Graham's got to win 50% of the votes still out there.

04:28:32.000 I want to remind everyone, Charleston is still not reporting.

04:28:35.000 Charleston, Columbia, which is Richland County, still not reporting.

04:28:39.000 Scott, you are a man of the Carolinas.

04:28:41.000 Are these deep blue districts, I'm imagining?

04:28:43.000 That's what I assume.

04:28:45.000 Well, Charlotte.

04:28:46.000 I imagine, I can't see if that's a suburb or if that's Columbia proper.

04:28:50.000 As far as I understand, Richland is Columbia proper.

04:28:51.000 Also, the Charlotte suburbs are not reporting yet.

04:28:54.000 Spartanburg, specifically, which is the home of Zion Williamson.

04:28:57.000 Also, York County is not reporting.

04:28:59.000 As I understand it, this is where the knife fight is in South Carolina.

04:29:03.000 Yeah, it's not looking very good.

04:29:05.000 I think it was obvious that.

04:29:07.000 You know, Darlene Graham has never ran for office before.

04:29:10.000 She had no message to offer voters.

04:29:12.000 I mean, when she was in a debate, when asked about national security, she said, That's not really my issue.

04:29:18.000 And it's like, This is pretty much your brother's only issue.

04:29:21.000 And you didn't know anything about it.

04:29:22.000 But she did say, I support the troops.

04:29:24.000 It's almost like a parody of a type of Republican candidate that they would run in South Carolina.

04:29:29.000 And they just assumed that people love Lindsey Graham so much that they would love her sister.

04:29:34.000 And then it's like, Who is this woman?

04:29:36.000 It's not his wife, it's not his daughter.

04:29:37.000 Because, I mean, this is, it's It's a time-honored tradition that sometimes a senator or a congressman passes away and then the wife succeeds them or a governor.

04:29:47.000 Right.

04:29:47.000 And even sometimes when governors were term-limited, they would rely on their wife to run for office.

04:29:52.000 That happened with George Wallace famously and many others, also in the South.

04:29:57.000 But I think that they, you know, she had no idea how to run in politics.

04:30:01.000 She just assumed that at South Carolina, my name's Lindsey Graham's sister, and that's enough.

04:30:07.000 And as we're seeing right now, South Carolina shouldn't be a competitive state whatsoever.

04:30:12.000 And there's been a lot of candidates like this, also in Mississippi, where you have a, you know, a sitting senator who had an arrogance.

04:30:19.000 She's like, I'm not going to campaign.

04:30:21.000 And, you know, they've had to blow millions of dollars to save them.

04:30:24.000 We're going to go to Mississippi.

04:30:25.000 We're going to go to Kansas.

04:30:27.000 Vish, you're the closest thing we have to a black guy here today.

04:30:30.000 Byron Donalds has taken the lead.

04:30:31.000 What are you thinking in Florida?

04:30:33.000 I think that the turnout for Republicans in Florida, as I heard it, was pretty good.

04:30:38.000 And so, listen, the thing about Florida is it's a complete and total math advantage in terms of registration itself.

04:30:45.000 I don't think it's really a surprise that Byron is going to pull this thing through.

04:30:51.000 But the thing is, I think that this should have never been a question in the first place.

04:30:55.000 And so, You know, Florida going from almost an R plus 20 under DeSantis in 2022 was, I think, the win margin over there, something like that.

04:31:04.000 It was over by lunch.

04:31:05.000 Yeah.

04:31:06.000 So, you know, the fact of the matter is, with such a mathematical advantage, it should have never been this close.

04:31:11.000 But look, at least we're keeping it.

04:31:13.000 That's not something to worry about.

04:31:15.000 You think that's a reflection on the candidate, or do you think that it's a reflection on the temperature of the Florida voter?

04:31:20.000 I think that there is some little headwinds that he faced for sure.

04:31:25.000 But I also think it's always on the candidate at the end of the day.

04:31:29.000 It's your campaign.

04:31:30.000 You're the CEO of the campaign.

04:31:32.000 Whatever underperformance or overperformance, it's all going to end on you anyway.

04:31:37.000 So I think that, you know, the whole like, listen, the Florida voter, right?

04:31:43.000 Especially like the people you need.

04:31:45.000 These are turnout games now.

04:31:46.000 This idea of like going to convince a bunch of swing voters out there, I think that's silly.

04:31:50.000 Today, it's turning out your people, turning out your base.

04:31:52.000 That's how you win.

04:31:53.000 And so what, like, the Florida voter who's like who you need to turn out to win, do you think they're really going to be turned on when you walk into your rally playing?

04:32:03.000 John Cena's You Can't See Me.

04:32:06.000 You think that's like the song?

04:32:09.000 I'd go in there playing Rolling Stones, right?

04:32:11.000 Like that's something that that typical voter would identify with.

04:32:16.000 But I think that there's some of those things where you just fail to connect with some base voters.

04:32:22.000 Yeah, I think Byron was not the greatest candidate you could run in Florida, but also Moody's also facing similar problems.

04:32:28.000 And she's like generic, standard Republican.

04:32:30.000 They have called it for Moody.

04:32:32.000 But it should have been called a long time ago of who she's running against an anti white socialist who's a nice.

04:32:38.000 Job.

04:32:38.000 I mean, Angie Nixon is the most extreme candidate running for statewide office in the country, and she's running in deep Florida.

04:32:47.000 She was a competitive candidate.

04:32:49.000 And that's, I think, I think it was all expected that Byron Donalds would struggle in this race because he's not that great of a candidate.

04:32:57.000 He's got a lot of problems.

04:32:58.000 There's concerns there might be even, you know, an October surprise about him.

04:33:02.000 Fortunately, there was not.

04:33:04.000 But if the Senate candidate who had none of these problems and was just You know, standard Republican, nothing offensive about her, you know, pro Trump.

04:33:13.000 And she's struggling against the ideal Democratic opponent in Florida.

04:33:19.000 You know, this is a huge problem that's going on in the country.

04:33:22.000 And maybe it's the fact that, you know, with Byron Donald's problems, they would just say, well, he might, you know, he's a little goofy, but, you know, we want a Republican as our governor because we don't want taxes to go up.

04:33:33.000 We want better policies associated with Republicans.

04:33:36.000 But the fact that so many voters in Florida, We were willing to vote for Angie Nixon out probably just out of sheer protest.

04:33:44.000 They didn't care that she's an anti white socialist.

04:33:47.000 They didn't care that she's practically a communist and she has all the extreme statements that buried Francesca Hong and all these other DSA candidates across the country.

04:33:57.000 They didn't care.

04:33:57.000 They just wanted to send a message.

04:33:59.000 And if this is happening in Florida, because in the last three elections, which there's been mixed results on, I mean, it was great in 2024 and then disappointing in 2022 and better than the polls expected in 2020, Florida was always showing a very strong result for Republicans.

04:34:16.000 And it made us very.

04:34:18.000 White pilled as a certain book likes to proclaim, but it made us white pilled that this is, oh, we've got a chance in these elections.

04:34:26.000 We're proving the polls wrong.

04:34:27.000 And even especially in 2022, where DeSantis massacred the Democratic opposition and we were doing extremely well in House races.

04:34:36.000 And now we're getting major warning signs from the state that has been very favorable to Republicans in 2020, 2022, and 2024.

04:34:46.000 That's a sign that this is going to be a very bad night for.

04:34:48.000 For Republicans.

04:34:49.000 Well, I got to say, so I want to hit Kansas, Mississippi.

04:34:52.000 We're going to move to Texas after that because that's kind of what I've been putting off.

04:34:56.000 I've been procrastinating, but we're going to need to get into Texas.

04:34:59.000 Just we're going to do the rounds real quick again.

04:35:01.000 Kansas, this is what's getting interesting.

04:35:03.000 Roger Marshall's got to win a majority of the remaining votes out there.

04:35:06.000 Adam Hamilton, a megachurch pastor, is taking a decisive lead here early on.

04:35:14.000 Kansas, full disclosure, not my wheelhouse.

04:35:16.000 Hamilton running up the numbers in Omaha, which I would, or sorry, not Omaha, Topeka, which I would expect.

04:35:22.000 Kansas City suburbs still to be seen.

04:35:25.000 But once again, Roger Marshall, uphill battle in the state of Kansas, which is fascinating.

04:35:31.000 The incumbent, Mississippi, too early to even make any judgments here.

04:35:35.000 You know, Scott Column has taken the lead here.

04:35:37.000 Things are fascinating.

04:35:39.000 Before we move over to Texas, Thomas, you got some fresh blood at the table.

04:35:43.000 If you would restate your thesis here on why Republicans are struggling, you're saying Iran war, the downstream effects of that.

04:35:50.000 Everyone in the Republicans, you know, even if you're the sheriff, you're getting punished for this.

04:35:54.000 Yeah, look, I mean, I was comparing it to what happened to Boris, right?

04:35:57.000 When the people elect you to do a certain thing, which was, in his case, deliver Brexit, and you failed to do that.

04:36:03.000 When the people in this country elected the president last time, I mean, we all went on television and said, no more.

04:36:08.000 Well, this is the president of peace.

04:36:10.000 You know, we all kind of looked stupid.

04:36:11.000 So, you know, we went out and did that, and this is how he was sold.

04:36:15.000 And it was all about, you know, America first, and everything was going to be great.

04:36:18.000 And it seems like a certain wing of the party, the neocons, got everything they wanted.

04:36:22.000 But this new generation of young men, which is, you know, these are the new party.

04:36:26.000 They've had nothing.

04:36:27.000 What has it been for the young men in this country?

04:36:29.000 Are their homes more affordable?

04:36:31.000 Are there more jobs for them?

04:36:32.000 The gas is out of control.

04:36:33.000 So it's like, what are you giving?

04:36:34.000 You know, fine, if you want to give to both sides, do the war for the neocons, but also do something for the kids.

04:36:40.000 So I think that is a real problem going into the next time.

04:36:40.000 They haven't done anything.

04:36:44.000 And, you know, JD Vance has got to be figuring this out because if he wants to win, he's got to bring these kids back to the table somehow.

04:36:49.000 Also, I just want to say to piggyback off that, what Thomas is talking about, it's one thing to, let's say, you made some promises.

04:36:57.000 You broke them.

04:36:58.000 You ended up giving all the things that the neocons wanted who hated you from day one.

04:37:03.000 You give them everything they want.

04:37:05.000 You kind of, let's say, put MAGA and the new generation and the young guys to the wayside.

04:37:11.000 Okay, fine.

04:37:12.000 You did that, right?

04:37:13.000 Here's the thing don't antagonize them during that process, too, right?

04:37:17.000 Don't go around saying things like, oh, if this is what you believe, I don't need your vote.

04:37:21.000 Oh, you know who's stupid?

04:37:23.000 Tucker Carlson.

04:37:23.000 But you know who's even dumber?

04:37:25.000 His listeners, right?

04:37:27.000 Oh, yeah, I don't like Nick Fuentes, but you know who's even worse?

04:37:30.000 The people who listen to him.

04:37:31.000 You're talking to constituents there.

04:37:33.000 Do you understand that, right?

04:37:35.000 You may not like the personality, but don't go after the listeners.

04:37:40.000 That's not their fault.

04:37:42.000 It's always incumbent upon anybody who's asking for a vote to convince the person to give them that vote.

04:37:50.000 That is the ultimate responsibility.

04:37:52.000 And if you are unable to convince them, that is your fault.

04:37:56.000 And so if these are the results, somebody was failed to be convinced.

04:38:01.000 I think that's absolutely correct.

04:38:04.000 Tim Cass, decision desk, we can call Florida for Byron Donalds.

04:38:08.000 Byron Donalds survives by the skin of his teeth here.

04:38:12.000 That's not actually the Tim Cass decision desk.

04:38:14.000 Pretty much every outlet is calling it except for NBC.

04:38:18.000 The decision desk is where I'm sitting.

04:38:20.000 You needed the cool music.

04:38:21.000 They all have the cool music.

04:38:22.000 The decision desk.

04:38:24.000 CNN has the epic graphic.

04:38:26.000 It's like Star Wars going on TV.

04:38:28.000 It's like boomed.

04:38:29.000 It's like we did have a graphic.

04:38:30.000 I threw the graphic in.

04:38:31.000 I threw the graphic up.

04:38:32.000 I'll hop on Suno and get us a decision here.

04:38:35.000 Byron Donald survives, but I'm sorry.

04:38:38.000 We got to black pill everyone here.

04:38:40.000 Not looking good for Ken Paxton.

04:38:42.000 We'll look at the downstate races in Texas, but Ken Paxton is getting buried.

04:38:46.000 In the state of Texas, he's got to win about 53% of the remaining vote.

04:38:51.000 Kalshi's saying it's a done deal.

04:38:53.000 They're saying 96% for James Tallarico.

04:38:56.000 This is a disaster for the Republican Party.

04:38:59.000 As Alan West famously said probably a decade ago, you lose Texas, you lose the nation.

04:39:05.000 Now it's one election, but.

04:39:06.000 This is the most expensive Senate race in American history.

04:39:09.000 And we outspent Tallarico because, I mean, Elon and others dumped tons of money.

04:39:15.000 And we lost here.

04:39:17.000 But this is another sign of a terrible candidate.

04:39:19.000 I mean, a lot of.

04:39:20.000 Kim Paxton.

04:39:21.000 Is very good politically.

04:39:22.000 He was a great attorney general.

04:39:26.000 He really took the fight to the Biden administration.

04:39:28.000 He hit him hard on immigration and lockdowns and numerous other things.

04:39:33.000 And he would have been a reliable senator on, if you're a strong conservative, you would have had a much better senator voting wise in Paxton than in Cornyn.

04:39:44.000 The problem is, he's a terrible candidate.

04:39:47.000 He's like deeply uncharismatic.

04:39:49.000 He had like a new corruption scandal every week that we would have like a new mistress.

04:39:54.000 And they're all in some Gulf state.

04:39:56.000 And even like he's, you know, been an immigration hawk.

04:40:00.000 And there's been a lot of Republicans who've given flack for going to India and being like, we love India.

04:40:05.000 We want more Indians here.

04:40:06.000 It's like, and also we want to outsource more jobs there.

04:40:09.000 He also did that a few years ago.

04:40:12.000 And he just like came and like even Trump didn't like him because Trump, you know, he's spending his whole time admiring John Husted's ass and his features.

04:40:20.000 But he'd be, you know, he would be like, look at this slab.

04:40:24.000 He's so ugly.

04:40:25.000 Don't look at him.

04:40:26.000 Don't look at me.

04:40:27.000 You got to vote for him.

04:40:28.000 You know, it's even Trump didn't want to defend Paxton in the way he wanted to defend all these other candidates.

04:40:34.000 So Cornyn sucks.

04:40:37.000 That's like the real thing because Cornyn was one of these guys who has been pushing amnesty for many years.

04:40:44.000 During the Biden years, he was always looking to try to make a deal on immigration.

04:40:47.000 He's not trustworthy.

04:40:48.000 He's not, you know, he betrayed a lot of gun rights people during the Biden administration as well, making a bipartisan deal on that.

04:40:56.000 And he's somebody who's never been pro Trump.

04:40:58.000 He's one of these guys who wants to return the party back to the Paul Ryan days.

04:41:03.000 So he is not, and if once Trump's gone, you know, this is a guy you can't trust.

04:41:09.000 He would immediately be like, it's time for amnesty.

04:41:11.000 So you wanted someone to replace him.

04:41:14.000 But the problem is, is Paxton had, like, saying baggage is an understatement.

04:41:21.000 You know, he came with a whole train of luggage, and there's like a multiple, it's like an endless train of luggage that's coming along with him.

04:41:29.000 That voters are going to not be happy with.

04:41:31.000 And corruption became an issue in this election.

04:41:35.000 And it's something that the Trump administration is on the wrong side of.

04:41:38.000 And if we're running one of the most corrupt politicians in America, somebody that seems ripped out of a Saturday Night Live skit on what you imagine a corrupt politician is, he's like, you know, going to foreign countries with a new mistress and then using a Bible verse to describe why he left his wife and stuff.

04:41:56.000 And you're at it's very Henry VIII esque.

04:41:58.000 Yeah.

04:42:00.000 And he has no charisma either.

04:42:02.000 It's like one thing if he's like Trump, you know, Trump is like, well, it's Trump.

04:42:05.000 He's funny.

04:42:06.000 He's got all these jokes.

04:42:07.000 Everyone's going to love him.

04:42:08.000 You're like, oh, well.

04:42:09.000 It's just Trump.

04:42:10.000 And then it's like this guy just has zero charisma and personality.

04:42:13.000 Like, how did this guy get elected to office?

04:42:16.000 So I got to, Phil, I got to bring you in here.

04:42:19.000 What am I looking at here?

04:42:20.000 Railroad commissioner, Bo French getting blown out.

04:42:22.000 The governor's race, Greg Abba is getting blown out here.

04:42:26.000 And Kalshi's saying, again, it's done.

04:42:30.000 Hina Yosa taking the lead.

04:42:32.000 We got Bo French is getting buried here by John Rosenthal.

04:42:36.000 Obviously, Scott Greer's made the point.

04:42:37.000 That's accounting for his Star Wars memeing today.

04:42:39.000 That's, yeah.

04:42:41.000 Great Anakin Skywalker meme of leading the stormtroopers in there.

04:42:45.000 And that was him.

04:42:46.000 Are they factoring this in on that losing list?

04:42:48.000 He was him leading all the 18 year olds and Gen Z men to the polls.

04:42:53.000 He's been doing that very successfully.

04:42:56.000 I mean, that's still bad.

04:42:57.000 I don't think most voters were aware of his Indian comments.

04:43:01.000 No.

04:43:02.000 You have to ask the average voter.

04:43:02.000 I asked.

04:43:04.000 I mean, because it's railroad commissioner, I think most of this isn't so much.

04:43:09.000 And if he's running about the same as from what you're showing from the left.

04:43:13.000 Latest update about the same with Paxton.

04:43:16.000 I think it's more that in the past it would see R by his name and vote, but this is not a Trump carried Texas by like 15 points.

04:43:23.000 I mean, Phil, what are you seeing here?

04:43:25.000 Well, I mean, I don't have any kind of inside baseball knowledge about this, but I mean, it is worth noting like there was a massive influx of people from California that moved to Texas that had to have some kind of impact.

04:43:37.000 You see this, you saw this happen in Colorado as well.

04:43:41.000 A ton of people started moving to Colorado, and Colorado's now, if it's either purple or reliably blue.

04:43:47.000 And I think that honestly, that might be the future for Texas too, especially considering the blowouts that the right is facing in Texas.

04:43:56.000 So, I mean, I don't, again, I'm not a pollster, I'm not an inside baseball guy, but that's what it looks like.

04:44:02.000 He was campaigning hard in Austin, which is all the new blue city.

04:44:06.000 He called it today.

04:44:07.000 He said it was his David and Goliath.

04:44:08.000 And he said, Austin is his catapult that he's going to bring down.

04:44:12.000 But also, can you believe that Tala Rico, after every candidate they've ever tried in Texas, this is the guy that won them Texas?

04:44:19.000 He is also a terrible candidate.

04:44:21.000 It's kind of remarkable.

04:44:22.000 So, you know, that shows you.

04:44:24.000 What do you got?

04:44:24.000 Yeah.

04:44:25.000 Could have been the secret trans kid factor.

04:44:27.000 They all, you know, he had been hiding behind the army.

04:44:29.000 He was the worst candidate in the army.

04:44:31.000 And then Beau French as Anakin Skywalker was trying to go in there and stop him.

04:44:35.000 But, you know.

04:44:36.000 I knew Tala Rico was going to be a problem, like, literally years ago.

04:44:40.000 I saw one clip of Tala Rico.

04:44:43.000 He basically was doing this, like, Christian pasture stick, pasture stick, shtick.

04:44:48.000 But, like, clearly he was selling an incredibly leftist message.

04:44:52.000 Yeah.

04:44:52.000 Right.

04:44:53.000 So once I saw that, I was like, oh, this guy, I see this guy's sauce.

04:44:57.000 You know what I mean?

04:44:58.000 Is this a thing?

04:44:59.000 He's appealing.

04:45:00.000 I think he appeals to a certain kind of compassionate conservative, moderate suburban.

04:45:06.000 It's like, I don't want to look like an extremist.

04:45:10.000 Is Texas a result of low turnout or is it, do you think that it's.

04:45:13.000 Evangelicals are not turning out.

04:45:15.000 From what I'm hearing from my Texas people, evangelicals, and I went to high school in Texas, that's my credentials, evangelical, Southern, grew up Southern Baptist.

04:45:23.000 They're horrified by Paxton.

04:45:24.000 And it's not so much the corruption stuff, it's the mistress stuff that they find deeply disturbing.

04:45:29.000 Again, with Trump, they can stomach that because one, he's funny, it's kind of larger than life.

04:45:34.000 Paxton is a guy they know.

04:45:35.000 They're like, Paxton, that's the guy that lives across the street.

04:45:38.000 He's a creep.

04:45:39.000 I'm good.

04:45:40.000 Again, Texas, similar demographics to California, but you got to keep in mind the Hispanics there are a lot more chuddy.

04:45:46.000 Shout out to the guy who tweeted at me and says, I say chud way too much, but it's true.

04:45:50.000 But you got to factor in the Hispanics are breaking hard for the Democrats here.

04:45:55.000 Additionally, the evangelicals not playing ball with Paxton.

04:45:59.000 Sorry, that's going to drag down Abbott.

04:46:00.000 That's going to drag down Paxton.

04:46:01.000 We're talking about newer groups coming there.

04:46:03.000 And in some cases, they've done studies in some of the new arrivals from California.

04:46:06.000 California and these other states and blue states are more conservative than even some of the natives.

04:46:12.000 And even in Ted, I think it was in 2018, Ted Cruz did better among people who were not born in Texas than those born in Texas.

04:46:19.000 But the real issue is people coming from outside the country to Texas.

04:46:25.000 And those people vote.

04:46:26.000 Well, Scott, you made an interesting point on your show, Highly Respected, which is a fantastic program.

04:46:31.000 I recommend everyone to tune in to get the correct takes on a regular basis.

04:46:35.000 You made the point that Beau French kind of started a boss battle that I don't know if conservatives were comfortable approaching because.

04:46:42.000 Obviously, what he was pointing out in this tweet is the demographics of the state are changing, but it's still a little bit too spicy for the median voters.

04:46:48.000 So they had to say, no, those are foreign students.

04:46:51.000 And then they interviewed them all, and they're all born and raised in like the DFW area.

04:46:57.000 Well, I got to say, thank you very much, everyone.

04:46:59.000 I tried to keep this seat ward for Tim Poole.

04:47:02.000 I'm sure I'll be back here in a bit, but keep at it.

04:47:05.000 Follow me on X and Instagram at Real Tape Brown.

04:47:06.000 I'll get some tweets out there, and we'll hand it back off to our boss here, Tim Poole.

04:47:11.000 We're having a full lineup change here.

04:47:12.000 Who else is coming in?

04:47:14.000 I definitely.

04:47:15.000 Oh, this seat's freezing.

04:47:17.000 Oh, how could you?

04:47:19.000 What do you want, sub?

04:47:20.000 Tate's 12 feet tall.

04:47:21.000 I have to raise the seat up.

04:47:24.000 What's up, yo?

04:47:24.000 We're getting blown out.

04:47:26.000 I'll take it.

04:47:27.000 I thought Lisa was coming in.

04:47:27.000 Okay.

04:47:32.000 If she does, she'll swap you.

04:47:33.000 Yeah, whatever.

04:47:34.000 I'll be here for like a minute.

04:47:36.000 I'll just say hi.

04:47:37.000 I'd like to just announce that I blame Gavin for why we lost.

04:47:40.000 Lost?

04:47:41.000 I think we're doing great.

04:47:42.000 I feel really good about the house.

04:47:43.000 This is going to be a bloodbath for the left.

04:47:46.000 I don't know.

04:47:46.000 First of all, the Texas turn.

04:47:47.000 We got to be careful with Gavin.

04:47:49.000 Apparently, Gavin blames me for a job loss years ago.

04:47:52.000 So we got to be careful.

04:47:53.000 Well, it was my fault, but you were there.

04:47:56.000 All right.

04:47:56.000 I can't believe it.

04:47:57.000 Vivek is losing.

04:47:58.000 This is.

04:47:59.000 I'm shocked.

04:48:00.000 Color me shocked.

04:48:01.000 What?

04:48:02.000 What?

04:48:03.000 Being able to lift children in the country.

04:48:05.000 Yeah, they flipped North Carolina and they flipped it well.

04:48:09.000 That's what's crazy.

04:48:10.000 Yeah, I mean.

04:48:11.000 North Carolina just didn't flip.

04:48:12.000 It flipped heavy.

04:48:14.000 How much is in?

04:48:16.000 65% in.

04:48:17.000 It's two to one Democrat.

04:48:19.000 Oh, wait.

04:48:19.000 Yeah.

04:48:19.000 I thought we were blue.

04:48:21.000 We're red.

04:48:22.000 We used to be in Canada too.

04:48:23.000 We used to be.

04:48:25.000 I think in 1992 was.

04:48:27.000 In Britain, blue is.

04:48:28.000 We're blue.

04:48:29.000 Right.

04:48:29.000 Yeah, in Canada, conservatives are blue too, right?

04:48:32.000 I don't know.

04:48:34.000 Papas won in New Hampshire in the late 90s.

04:48:37.000 I think the news networks from early on were kind of like switching the colors every year.

04:48:44.000 And then eventually they were just like, F.

04:48:47.000 I want to say, guys.

04:48:49.000 Sometime in the 80s where they've Formalized it.

04:48:51.000 Yeah, late 80s it switched.

04:48:52.000 If Collins loses, it'll be the funniest thing ever.

04:48:55.000 It'll be absolutely hilarious.

04:48:56.000 It's Ian.

04:48:57.000 All right, I'm out.

04:48:58.000 Bye bye.

04:48:59.000 No, I'll come back later.

04:49:01.000 Thanks.

04:49:02.000 All right.

04:49:03.000 Ian's in.

04:49:03.000 All right.

04:49:04.000 What's up, Ian?

04:49:05.000 What's happening?

04:49:06.000 That seemed like a lover's scorn.

04:49:08.000 Ian, you're losing terribly in this election.

04:49:11.000 I thought it was awesome.

04:49:12.000 Are you feeling overwhelmed with the loss of your favorite political party?

04:49:17.000 That happened to me in 2008.

04:49:19.000 So I'm still reeling from that.

04:49:21.000 Obama did not serve me as a I actually put too much faith in Obama.

04:49:24.000 I thought, you know, now that Obama's elected, he's going to save us.

04:49:27.000 And I realized it shortly after that that no, the president doesn't do jack.

04:49:30.000 We've got to save ourselves.

04:49:32.000 So I don't really care who's in power at this point.

04:49:33.000 We got to use the technology to the best of our ability to advance.

04:49:36.000 Here's the oh, boy.

04:49:39.000 Are there any red wins?

04:49:41.000 No.

04:49:42.000 That's the name of this whole show.

04:49:44.000 Are there any red wins?

04:49:45.000 Guys, guys, guys, I got to point this out.

04:49:47.000 It is so bad right now for Republicans.

04:49:47.000 Guam.

04:49:50.000 The Calchee forecast right now has Democrats taking 56 Senate seats to Republicans, 43.

04:49:58.000 Holy crap.

04:49:59.000 That is bad.

04:50:01.000 And still, someone just put $22,000 on Republicans to hold the Senate.

04:50:04.000 That's surprising.

04:50:05.000 It's going to be a big win.

04:50:06.000 Yeah, it's a holy spot.

04:50:08.000 It's my inside info today.

04:50:10.000 Or listen, listen.

04:50:12.000 If you've got 1.5% to win and it ticks up to 1.6, you're going to make some money.

04:50:17.000 Might as well.

04:50:18.000 But I want to give a shout out to Kalshi.

04:50:20.000 Kalshi's for sponsoring the show.

04:50:21.000 So check out kalshi.com slash r slash midterm marathon.

04:50:27.000 They're making all this possible.

04:50:28.000 We're going to be live until about two in the morning.

04:50:29.000 So shout out.

04:50:30.000 And thanks for the forecasts.

04:50:32.000 Although I don't like what your forecasts say, I can't get mad at the forecaster.

04:50:36.000 Are the polls, are they like exit polls?

04:50:39.000 Are they reading off the exit polls?

04:50:40.000 Well, no, those are the prediction models.

04:50:42.000 Yes, they're not prediction.

04:50:44.000 It's the people actually making the bets and the predictions.

04:50:47.000 And then we have the New York Times, Senate, and House.

04:50:49.000 And right now, I want to stress Democrats, it says 82% chance of control according to the poll forecasting model, the exit polls and the data coming in.

04:51:01.000 There's a possibility that Democrats don't sweep, I guess.

04:51:04.000 Yeah, the predictions are predictions.

04:51:07.000 We talked about the top of the show, too.

04:51:08.000 A lot of late Republican voters, especially in Maine, Ohio.

04:51:14.000 I mean, they're hanging with the boys, you're having a beer, and they're like, let's go with the 11th hour.

04:51:17.000 Wait, did we vote?

04:51:19.000 Was that last year?

04:51:19.000 Did we?

04:51:20.000 Oh, crap!

04:51:21.000 Oh, no, that was last year, I think.

04:51:22.000 It's been a long year.

04:51:24.000 I'm just so pissed off about Trump.

04:51:27.000 And I'm not speaking only for myself.

04:51:29.000 I know a lot of people feel this.

04:51:30.000 I thought we were talking about characters, but that's you talking now.

04:51:32.000 Huh?

04:51:33.000 This is actually who he is.

04:51:33.000 What's that?

04:51:34.000 This is basically like.

04:51:35.000 I was doing a guy at a bar, but I got.

04:51:36.000 Remember the Manuel Abrego Garcia?

04:51:40.000 He has MS13 tattooed on his knuckles.

04:51:42.000 And the guy's like, no, that was Photoshop.

04:51:44.000 He's like, no, it was literal.

04:51:46.000 He had it on his knuckle.

04:51:47.000 And Trump was wrong.

04:51:48.000 And Trump became very humiliated after that and never mentioned it again.

04:51:51.000 And everything changed after that.

04:51:52.000 Let's clarify the mistake.

04:51:54.000 He had symbols on his fingers for MS-13.

04:51:57.000 And when they gave Trump the image, which had, they were showing that the marijuana was an M and the skull was an S, Trump was like, no, look, I can see the letters.

04:52:06.000 And they're like, that's added for your reference.

04:52:08.000 And in Trump's defense, you've got Mario, Superman, number one, and like, the Three of Spades.

04:52:17.000 Like, I don't know.

04:52:18.000 It was.

04:52:19.000 It's probably MS 13.

04:52:20.000 His cover up of the Epstein stuff, which basically, I get it, they're using it as compromise to destroy the deep state, whatever, but he could have at least been honest about it.

04:52:26.000 I'm not saying that's a doubt.

04:52:28.000 It was that in the Iran war.

04:52:29.000 You're still giving too much to Trump.

04:52:30.000 What are you doing?

04:52:31.000 These are the three big problems for me, particularly the Epstein stuff in the Iran war.

04:52:35.000 His base is 85% default.

04:52:37.000 They don't care about it anymore.

04:52:39.000 Oh, no.

04:52:39.000 The stock market is starting to take a massive hit.

04:52:42.000 Everybody knows that with Democrats winning, they are going to fuck the economy.

04:52:47.000 Sorry, I had to swear.

04:52:48.000 The Democrats want to absolutely cluster fuck everything.

04:52:52.000 So, they can win in 2028.

04:52:54.000 Everybody knows how politics works.

04:52:56.000 This is the game plan.

04:52:57.000 This is their albatross.

04:52:58.000 They're going to just jack everything to shit so that the next two years or so are so just absolutely smashed and chaotic.

04:53:05.000 The market's taking it and they're going to say it's all Trump's fault and we're trying to fix it.

04:53:10.000 Come 2028, they're going to say we need new leadership and that's how they win the presidency.

04:53:14.000 They voted for America to lose and they're winning.

04:53:16.000 That's why I wonder are they going to force me into the hands of the communist Chinese?

04:53:19.000 Because if the Chinese release a better AI model and the Democrats hamstring anthropic, I'm going with the Chinese.

04:53:25.000 You've got to understand that.

04:53:26.000 Okay, I don't like you anymore.

04:53:28.000 I don't like it either, but it's like least worst.

04:53:30.000 If they hamstring, if they make the Chinese AI the best AI on the planet because they won't let us develop, I'm out.

04:53:35.000 I don't know.

04:53:36.000 I'm going with the tech.

04:53:37.000 You're going to have to learn how to say neo.

04:53:38.000 Fortunately, the legislature is not going to get a type of a massive AI restriction with Trump in office.

04:53:44.000 Yeah, no, Trump's going to do that.

04:53:45.000 They can't overcome a Trump veto.

04:53:46.000 Yeah, there's just no way.

04:53:47.000 It's all gridlock.

04:53:48.000 That's all that's going to happen.

04:53:50.000 It's a bunch of bees that are going to be antagonizing.

04:53:50.000 It's all of it.

04:53:53.000 The real problem is we're not going to get judicial nominees through.

04:53:55.000 It's going to be problems with getting administration nominees through, which they're going to have to do a special problem.

04:54:01.000 Let me just pause you there and say, so what's different?

04:54:04.000 Well, no, there's a difference already.

04:54:06.000 No, no.

04:54:07.000 The difference is the House is because now they have the power of investigation.

04:54:10.000 They have the power of the committees.

04:54:11.000 Right.

04:54:11.000 And they're just going to go nuts with it.

04:54:13.000 So, what they're going to do, this is what they're going to do.

04:54:15.000 What they're going to do is they're going to turn every committee in the House into a J6 committee.

04:54:22.000 Yep.

04:54:22.000 Okay.

04:54:23.000 That's what they're going to do.

04:54:24.000 What do you mean exactly by that?

04:54:25.000 So, the way the J6 committee was set up as an investigatory apparatus with subpoena power and kind of blanket subpoena power almost, like, Pre authorized by the speaker, essentially.

04:54:39.000 The reason why subpoenas didn't come out while the Republicans had the committees is because Kevin McCarthy blocked all of them and Mike Johnson is blocking all of them.

04:54:46.000 So, what's going to happen now is when these guys come take over, they're going to turn that show that they did for J6, but for every committee is going to operate.

04:54:55.000 So, the Energy Committee is going to investigate DOE and everything related to them, the Judiciary Committee is going to investigate DOJ and the pardons and everything related to that.

04:55:09.000 Every committee is coming for everybody.

04:55:11.000 And they'll be subpoenaing everybody, and they'll be putting on a show of everyone in the admin to come and explain what they were doing, and they're going to do it via subpoena power, and that's going to be the big problem.

04:55:23.000 There's going to be so much content out there of all of our guys fumbling, over explaining a bunch of the stuff that happened.

04:55:30.000 I'm preparing for 2028.

04:55:32.000 I mean, they did this after they won in 2018.

04:55:35.000 They tried to, but there wasn't much there.

04:55:37.000 They got the Ukraine phone call that voters didn't care about.

04:55:40.000 But there wasn't much there.

04:55:41.000 They got the Ukraine phone call that voters didn't care about.

04:55:42.000 But there wasn't much there.

04:55:43.000 This is what I was saying just before I left.

04:55:45.000 Around seven, I'm sorry, eight o'clock, is that the content's going to be absolutely fantastic.

04:55:51.000 It's good for us as podcasters.

04:55:53.000 Exactly.

04:55:54.000 I'm going to buy a whole new thing.

04:55:55.000 We got a white pill here.

04:55:56.000 It's great for us.

04:55:58.000 Podcast of Stan is winning.

04:56:01.000 To Mark Levin and Ben Shapiro and Jeremy Boring, Shaguru.

04:56:06.000 I want to give a shout out.

04:56:06.000 Podcast of Stan is winning.

04:56:07.000 I got to give a shout out to my boys, Brian Krasenstein and Ed, Brian Shapiro, David Pagman.

04:56:15.000 Yo.

04:56:16.000 You guys, your numbers are going to start going down.

04:56:18.000 Your bank account.

04:56:19.000 But we're going to start going up now.

04:56:21.000 You hear what I'm saying?

04:56:22.000 And it's all thanks to you guys.

04:56:23.000 You need to ebb and flow.

04:56:24.000 So we're going to start cranking in those views.

04:56:26.000 We're just going to become a lawfare podcast where we talk about Alyssa Slotkin attacking young men who want to work for Trump.

04:56:32.000 They've always announced this.

04:56:33.000 Tisha James' campaign was, I'm going to attack Trump.

04:56:37.000 That's why the Prime Minister of Canada won.

04:56:39.000 It's just going to be lawfare, lawfare, lawfare for two years.

04:56:42.000 And it's feckless lawfare at the end of the day.

04:56:44.000 Well, but then we'll get immigration.

04:56:45.000 We still get Iran.

04:56:47.000 Trump still gets to do what he wants to do, but he'll be tied up in BS about mortgage fraud.

04:56:52.000 By the way, the Republicans are no better.

04:56:55.000 Ashley Hinson, she's running for Senate in Iowa.

04:56:57.000 Today, she's talking about we got to get these 29 year old basement dwellers off of Medicare and into work.

04:57:04.000 And they're like, no matter what, they're all from all sides are coming for this one group.

04:57:12.000 Young white men, young white Christian men.

04:57:14.000 The market's already down.

04:57:16.000 It's, Do you think that the Democrats are going to embrace graphene more than the Republicans have?

04:57:23.000 I mean, good God, if we got to fix the economy.

04:57:25.000 No, hold on.

04:57:25.000 I have to sharpen your pencil.

04:57:27.000 You just click it like that.

04:57:28.000 It's graphite.

04:57:29.000 Oh, shit.

04:57:29.000 It's second.

04:57:30.000 You know, you're tapping on the thread.

04:57:32.000 You understand?

04:57:33.000 Graphene's hexagonally latticed carbon.

04:57:35.000 They found it in 1998.

04:57:36.000 Haven't you figured it out?

04:57:38.000 They are not going to allow metamaterials and the advancement of technology in this capacity.

04:57:42.000 If you want graphene, it's going to be through industry.

04:57:44.000 Democrats are going to be like, nah, it's climate change or something.

04:57:47.000 The companies that produce carbon products are going to get hindered by Democrats for the purpose of political control.

04:57:53.000 Which is why the stock market is dying right now.

04:57:55.000 Exactly.

04:57:55.000 It's all graphene based.

04:57:56.000 We have a graphene based economy.

04:57:57.000 Like, if it's like you got to solve the economy, you need to reduce the cost of input.

04:58:01.000 They're not going to get more out of it.

04:58:02.000 I mean, AI is allowing you to get more out of the economy than it used to, but you need to reduce the cost of input.

04:58:07.000 And the Fed's going to block all the AI stuff.

04:58:10.000 They're going to put restrictions.

04:58:12.000 They're going to just jack everything up.

04:58:13.000 Again, they're not going to get past a veto, so they're not going to pass anything.

04:58:17.000 But what's going to happen is there's going to be a committee on AI, and it's going to bring the big tech guys in, and they're going to try and perjury trap them, and they're going to put them in a meat grinder so they don't do these things.

04:58:25.000 Everything's going to slog up for two years.

04:58:28.000 The market is already getting hit.

04:58:30.000 And what people need to understand, these lefties don't.

04:58:32.000 Get it.

04:58:32.000 They're like, yeah, but I don't have stocks anyway.

04:58:35.000 Yes, but retirement accounts and pensions are all in the stock market too.

04:58:39.000 So they're going to go down.

04:58:41.000 Things are going to slog up.

04:58:42.000 Everybody's going to get pissed off.

04:58:44.000 And then it's just going to be bedlam.

04:58:46.000 And that was the plan.

04:58:47.000 That was the whole point.

04:58:48.000 They're going to blame Republicans for it because of who's in the White House.

04:58:51.000 That way, come 2028, they're going to be like, look at the past two years.

04:58:54.000 It's been miserable.

04:58:55.000 It's Trump's fault.

04:58:55.000 You guys are blackmailing, though.

04:58:57.000 No, no, no, no.

04:58:57.000 This is.

04:58:58.000 Guys like us, this is where we thrive.

04:59:01.000 I'm saying.

04:59:02.000 Okay.

04:59:02.000 Print money in here.

04:59:04.000 I've seen this movie before.

04:59:06.000 Yes, bring me the funding.

04:59:08.000 Okay.

04:59:09.000 When everything gets chaotic, that's when we all calm down.

04:59:12.000 We pick up the microphone and we start rocking.

04:59:14.000 All right.

04:59:15.000 I was going to tweet something that I said here.

04:59:17.000 I said it not to tweet it, but I said they are going to chop off so many dungs.

04:59:21.000 And I'm like, you know, it's true.

04:59:25.000 And it's going to get woke 1.0 times 10.

04:59:32.000 Like, that would still be woke 10.0, then.

04:59:36.000 No.

04:59:36.000 Wait, what?

04:59:37.000 One times 10.

04:59:38.000 Woke 1.0 means the type.

04:59:40.000 I get what you're saying.

04:59:41.000 Which means the function of woke.

04:59:43.000 We are going to go back to the 1.0 psycho version and multiply the magnitude of it.

04:59:43.000 More of an intensity.

04:59:48.000 AOC did say, hey, the thing about woke 1.0 was indicating there's going to be another woke 0.0.

04:59:55.000 We are here.

04:59:57.000 So we can hear him.

04:59:58.000 He needs to be louder.

04:59:59.000 Look at that, bitch.

04:59:59.000 I can't hear him.

05:00:01.000 Okay, Biden, at that point, let's just.

05:00:03.000 I think that election was obviously stolen, to be clear.

05:00:06.000 We can say it on YouTube now.

05:00:06.000 That's my opinion.

05:00:08.000 We weren't allowed to say it.

05:00:08.000 We got Crowder, everybody.

05:00:10.000 But.

05:00:10.000 Then people remembered how terrible it was.

05:00:12.000 Donald Trump was elected.

05:00:13.000 And within two years, it's like a switch.

05:00:17.000 This is sort of the social media back and forth swing, but we're seeing it in voting.

05:00:21.000 Do we think that we just kind of can expect that with elections moving forward now, where people, if they don't get it immediately, everything that they want, there's definitely some missteps from the Republican Party.

05:00:29.000 But in comparison to Biden, it's not like there's an unknown entity, it's a known entity.

05:00:34.000 And the known entity is from two years ago that people soundly rejected.

05:00:37.000 Yeah, I mean, I think they bought into the narrative that President Trump was taking us in a direction that was going to lead to.

05:00:44.000 Economic ruin.

05:00:45.000 Really, that's what it really does come down to.

05:00:47.000 Of course, you can be pissed off about the war in Iran.

05:00:48.000 Neither of us was like gung ho about going into Iran.

05:00:51.000 We're like, give him 90 days.

05:00:52.000 We're going to check back and see.

05:00:54.000 We're not happy with the results of this.

05:00:56.000 It has absolutely derailed the administration.

05:00:58.000 Economically, though, it comes down to I don't care what the reason is, stuff's higher priced right now.

05:01:03.000 And the messaging is getting out there because there's some inflation for sure.

05:01:06.000 Products are a little bit pricier, but they were way worse under Biden in a lot of different ways.

05:01:12.000 And so people have a very short memory.

05:01:13.000 He promised immigration.

05:01:14.000 That's a huge issue for me, for you, for a lot of other people.

05:01:17.000 And he's done what I would have just said that was the crowning achievement of an administration if that is all he had done.

05:01:23.000 Period.

05:01:23.000 Right.

05:01:23.000 And screwed up the economy to a degree.

05:01:25.000 Everybody screws it up a little bit.

05:01:26.000 Everybody makes it a little bit better to some degree sometimes.

05:01:29.000 But I would have been a happy camper with that.

05:01:31.000 But that's not enough.

05:01:32.000 It's never enough.

05:01:33.000 And I think that is that instant gratification.

05:01:36.000 But there's only one party that guarantees you that.

05:01:38.000 The one party that guarantees you instant gratification is the Democrats because they're going to take other people's money and give it to you.

05:01:43.000 That's instant gratification.

05:01:45.000 Everything else takes patience, everything else takes work.

05:01:48.000 That's why I was so pissed off at all the doomers out there because I was like, you have no idea that you called in early.

05:01:53.000 What?

05:01:53.000 Okay.

05:01:53.000 Let's just take the announcement.

05:01:55.000 I think we have Tim Poole in just a second here.

05:01:57.000 Oh, no, no, no.

05:01:57.000 We're calling in early.

05:01:58.000 We're calling in.

05:01:59.000 We're calling in It was Netanyahu who said that in May.

05:02:04.000 Why do you think Netanyahu said that in May?

05:02:07.000 Because he saw the writing on the wall that this administration was not going to continue doing it.

05:02:11.000 And he said, I'm going to give up something publicly that I'm going to lose anyway.

05:02:14.000 And they're like, well, but they're merging the military.

05:02:16.000 They're not.

05:02:17.000 We've had a debate on this.

05:02:19.000 It's not merging of the military.

05:02:21.000 Yeah.

05:02:22.000 I'm very happy to hear that because I've been saying that.

05:02:23.000 I said it to Ben Shapiro in 2016.

05:02:25.000 Like, what if we just didn't send them any money?

05:02:26.000 How about we just do that?

05:02:27.000 That'd be great.

05:02:28.000 And I was viewed as anti Semitic back then.

05:02:29.000 And by the way, I understand if people think that, I think it's ill founded.

05:02:32.000 But yeah, that's good news.

05:02:34.000 People just.

05:02:34.000 And then.

05:02:35.000 But the doomers say, no, that's not enough.

05:02:36.000 And I'm like, but it's never enough.

05:02:37.000 But that's not the only component.

05:02:38.000 I think we do need to separate tonight.

05:02:40.000 We do need to separate the issues that are manufactured issues.

05:02:42.000 And that's not, by the way, the trans issue.

05:02:44.000 No.

05:02:45.000 That's not the way the free speech issue.

05:02:46.000 These are real issues, and those are going to be under attack.

05:02:49.000 And the good news is the historical odds where it's an 80% chance of Democrats winning in 2028.

05:02:53.000 That may not be the case because people are just swinging back and forth.

05:02:57.000 All it takes is a bad performance from Democrats.

05:02:59.000 And then people in the short term go, oh, you know what?

05:03:02.000 This is really bad.

05:03:03.000 But we need to separate the issues from.

05:03:05.000 The ill founded ones, the ones that aren't necessarily legitimate.

05:03:08.000 For example, Mike Rogers saying, I went into the military to serve Israel.

05:03:11.000 That's just a very clear example.

05:03:13.000 And the legitimate issues.

05:03:14.000 Look, typically speaking, when George W. Bush wasn't very popular, he didn't get out there in the midterm trail because they didn't want him.

05:03:20.000 No.

05:03:21.000 When you look at Barack Obama, he was not very popular, those last midterms, he didn't get out there in the midterm trail.

05:03:25.000 President Donald Trump did.

05:03:26.000 And if you do that, that's okay if you have a very, very strong message.

05:03:30.000 He hasn't.

05:03:31.000 And he pulled the same mistake, I will say, not talking policies, but he's pulled the same mistake with the messaging and some policies.

05:03:37.000 Saying people are, you know, and people don't realize how much better it is.

05:03:40.000 We have the best economy ever, and inflation is gone.

05:03:43.000 It's gone.

05:03:43.000 And that doesn't resonate with people.

05:03:45.000 And we know that that's a losing playbook, and they played it anyway.

05:03:49.000 So hopefully, the Republican Party, hopefully, people, you know, if tonight ends up being a shellacking, they can glean something good from it.

05:03:55.000 And we can separate, okay, here are the legitimate issues versus the ones that were ginned up.

05:04:01.000 Because I think both of those are at play here tonight.

05:04:03.000 And I also understand why people right now, I understand why people could feel betrayed on some issues, certainly not on immigration.

05:04:09.000 Certainly not on the social issues, certainly not on our approach to the economy.

05:04:14.000 But I understand why people can feel that way, and I understand why people can think that way.

05:04:17.000 And so I just hope that after this, it's not everything tossed into one message that clearly this is a rejection of Trumpism.

05:04:23.000 And so we need to go back to Mitt Romney and McCain.

05:04:25.000 That's what I expect the Republican Party to think.

05:04:28.000 That's what you can expect the media pundits to try and deliver.

05:04:30.000 And that is definitely, if anything else, what we're seeing is President Trump's second term, not Trump enough.

05:04:36.000 That's why people feel betrayed.

05:04:37.000 You can comment below and let me know if you think that's an out of line take.

05:04:41.000 But that's what I've been seeing from people who aren't voting for Trump.

05:04:44.000 Not he's too radical, he's too far to the right.

05:04:47.000 It's, you know what?

05:04:48.000 I didn't get the stuff I was promised, and he's kind of been weaker than the first term.

05:04:51.000 Democrats aren't really going to give you anything better, but I understand.

05:04:51.000 Yeah.

05:04:54.000 And certainly that mystical candidate coming down the road, we will see.

05:04:57.000 But we do have Tim Poole ready and waiting on us.

05:05:00.000 Let's cross the streams.

05:05:00.000 Well, let's go.

05:05:00.000 All right.

05:05:01.000 Hopefully the universe doesn't explode.

05:05:03.000 It's time to bring on host of Tim Cast and Tim Cast IRL and a bunch.

05:05:06.000 He has so many.

05:05:07.000 Tim Poole.

05:05:08.000 What's up?

05:05:08.000 Can you hear us?

05:05:10.000 We're not live yet.

05:05:10.000 Oh, no.

05:05:12.000 Mr. Poole, can you see me, hear me, sir?

05:05:14.000 I see you have a very long desk, like you're a Russian oligarch.

05:05:18.000 Indeed, da.

05:05:18.000 Yes.

05:05:20.000 Long this.

05:05:20.000 There you go.

05:05:22.000 You guys look like you're a little bit like you had the wind taken out of your sails a little bit.

05:05:26.000 No, we're still on that one.

05:05:28.000 No, we're still very optimistic about tonight.

05:05:32.000 I think we could win it.

05:05:34.000 I think we were literally just saying.

05:05:35.000 I think we were literally just saying.

05:05:37.000 That's exactly what he said.

05:05:37.000 Stephen, Stephen, Stephen, think about how your views are going to skyrocket.

05:05:41.000 It's going to be fantastic.

05:05:43.000 That is actually true as far as personally and selfishly, but I'm concerned with the future of the country.

05:05:49.000 Though I do get Ramaswamy.

05:05:51.000 That was the one where I was like, I get it.

05:05:52.000 It'd be pretty, pretty hard to vote.

05:05:54.000 Even though acting is a drunk.

05:05:55.000 But Gavin!

05:05:57.000 Gavin, speak words of comfort to me, spirit!

05:06:00.000 Okay, c'est toujours la même histoire, Steven.

05:06:03.000 On va arrêter.

05:06:04.000 You can't even comprehend, Carlis, Tabayo.

05:06:06.000 Oh, là, je vais arrêter d'être néserie, là, parce que c'est toujours la même histoire avec des gars, là.

05:06:12.000 On va gagner à la grande finale, tu vois?

05:06:15.000 Ouais, non, je comprends, ben.

05:06:15.000 C'est ça.

05:06:17.000 Va chier, puis mange la marque.

05:06:19.000 Can we get subtitles?

05:06:20.000 Yes, that's my grandfather.

05:06:23.000 Monsieur Tim Poole, il rit comme.

05:06:26.000 Can be put comprendre si mongol.

05:06:28.000 Y'a tu mongol?

05:06:29.000 I think the same shows in Quebec with the separatists, look.

05:06:34.000 See, so, but I can't remember.

05:06:36.000 Regarde ça, il rit comme chose mongol.

05:06:39.000 All right, sorry.

05:06:39.000 Canadians.

05:06:40.000 We just roasted you in French.

05:06:42.000 I think you said you laughed like a mongol.

05:06:44.000 Deport this whole conversation.

05:06:45.000 No, I think in French, mongol is a species.

05:06:47.000 You know, I do.

05:06:48.000 You know, I do.

05:06:50.000 Well, we have some data, too, unfortunately, coming in from Texas, and that's not good.

05:06:54.000 But you know, look, I always think there's.

05:06:57.000 You know, I'm, I guess, the eternal optimist.

05:06:58.000 I'm like, hey, you know what?

05:06:59.000 The good news I think that we're seeing here tonight, tell me if you guys think this is the case.

05:07:03.000 We just covered, for example, Mike Rogers, horrible candidate, by the way.

05:07:06.000 But several different conservative accounts posted a quote with one of those clips, right, where Mike Rogers said, I joined the military to serve Israel and I will join the Senate to serve Israel, something like that.

05:07:16.000 And it was natively re uploaded, millions of plays overall.

05:07:19.000 The clip, he doesn't say that at all.

05:07:22.000 Do we think that there's been some election interference where there are people who are voting against this administration for valid reasons where they feel disappointed?

05:07:28.000 And then there are some that are manufactured, but there's a lot of misinformation.

05:07:30.000 Can we just expect, do you think, elections to swing back and forth this dramatically every two years because of social media?

05:07:38.000 Yeah, but I think it's going to be dramatic.

05:07:42.000 The way to describe it is as you build up your tower, meaning as more and more issues are layered upon it, and it starts tilting left and then tilting right and then tilting left, eventually it's going to snap under the pressure.

05:07:53.000 So going into 2028, I heard what you were saying before where maybe it'll just swing back hard Republican.

05:08:00.000 I think.

05:08:01.000 We just saw the data coming in that futures are already collapsing.

05:08:04.000 The market's going to get blown out first thing in the morning because everyone knows anybody who runs any business, who manages any money, knows the Democrats are going to intentionally break the market so they can blame it on Trump for 2028.

05:08:19.000 Then, when everyone's suffering, they're going to say, You need a new president.

05:08:21.000 Look what he's done.

05:08:23.000 Right.

05:08:24.000 Yeah, I think that'll be the playbook.

05:08:25.000 But I'm wondering if the economy is going badly enough, if there will be some messaging, which I, God forbid, by the way, again, selfishly, obviously, are.

05:08:32.000 This is the problem, too, right?

05:08:33.000 You have a lot of people on the right or who claim to be on the right who realize there's value in always being opposition as opposed to providing solutions.

05:08:39.000 I do think the messaging could be like, hey, look, look who's been in charge of if it happens.

05:08:43.000 We don't know yet.

05:08:44.000 It's so early.

05:08:45.000 The House and the Senate.

05:08:47.000 People rejected Biden very, very quickly.

05:08:49.000 And now it's been two years where they reject what they see right now.

05:08:52.000 I think we may just see an era of shorter attention spans across the board.

05:08:56.000 We've seen it everywhere else.

05:08:57.000 Why wouldn't we see it in voting?

05:08:59.000 Yeah, it will be interesting.

05:09:00.000 I mean, I wonder if the Democrats can do anything that makes people think they've affected their domestic lives.

05:09:11.000 What I mean is, I feel like they're going to do a bunch of, I think Vishwa was saying it's going to be J6.

05:09:17.000 Every House committee, it's going to be a J6 committee now.

05:09:20.000 So, they're going to largely play the we are chasing accountability, not affecting domestic policy kind of fighting corruption.

05:09:27.000 Yeah, and they're going to say, We've been fighting for two years to stop this.

05:09:29.000 Look how bad it's been getting.

05:09:30.000 You need to give us the hammer to finish the job.

05:09:33.000 Yeah.

05:09:33.000 What do you think?

05:09:34.000 And by the way, it's not that I can't see everyone there because my box is hiding you, but Gavin and I go a long way back.

05:09:40.000 What's your biggest, what do you think are the biggest factors at play tonight?

05:09:43.000 Because you've been around for a lot of these and, like me, was raised in a socialist province, effectively.

05:09:47.000 People always correct me, but let's be honest, Quebec is socialist.

05:09:49.000 Totally.

05:09:50.000 What, yeah, I know, but people are like, oh, it's not socialist, but I'm like, I just shut up.

05:09:54.000 Uh, what do you think are the biggest factors playing out tonight, right now, for what we're seeing?

05:09:57.000 You talk about dirty pool, and I think the Dan Sullivan thing shows that they are willing to go to unlimitable low heights to destroy the credibility of elections, and I think that's not changing.

05:10:11.000 There's going to be more Dan Sullivans, there's going to be more dirty pool throughout the future of America, and coming from a liberal background as a teenager, like, I want to.

05:10:22.000 Play dirtier.

05:10:23.000 Like the whole, remember when the hockey bag of votes came out for Biden?

05:10:27.000 Yeah.

05:10:28.000 I'm like, where's my hockey bag?

05:10:29.000 Yeah.

05:10:30.000 Like, where's my Dan Sullivan?

05:10:31.000 The only way we can win in the next presidential election is to play as dirty as them.

05:10:36.000 Because today we are getting our asses handed to us by people who have no limits when it comes to malfeasance.

05:10:43.000 You know, this is what I told Steve Bannon outside the Breitbart embassy when the election was being stolen in 2020.

05:10:49.000 He saw I was visibly upset.

05:10:50.000 He came up to me and said, What's the problem?

05:10:52.000 I said, Steve.

05:10:54.000 They're stealing it in our face.

05:10:56.000 What are we doing?

05:10:57.000 And Steve says, You got to hold to the contract.

05:11:00.000 I'm like, Wait, I'm like, I'm like, What contract?

05:11:02.000 And he's like, The Constitution.

05:11:04.000 I'm like, Oh, this is the problem.

05:11:06.000 I told him, I was like, Dude, this is, they've gone full third world.

05:11:09.000 It's over.

05:11:10.000 Our elections are only getting more third world from here.

05:11:13.000 And the people who understand that first win.

05:11:16.000 It's not just that they're doing muddying the waters before the election, they're stealing it after the election.

05:11:22.000 So it's all cooked.

05:11:23.000 I think it's full third world.

05:11:25.000 Elections like for until like somebody fixes it, I don't know, or until they're over.

05:11:31.000 It's just like we need a corporate government, we need a system of corporate governance.

05:11:36.000 The World Economic Forum is trying to push it on us.

05:11:39.000 If we can build a better corporation government first, like embody the Bill of Rights with your freedom of code, your access to personal AGI, you can't, uh, for prevention of enforcature, you can't make people make you use software.

05:11:52.000 Like, we need to step into the 21st century, forget the left, right.

05:11:57.000 American nationalist.

05:11:58.000 I mean, someone's got to control the military, but these damn corporations are going to have standing armies.

05:12:02.000 We need to be on the pulse of this now and prevent a catastrophe in 32.

05:12:09.000 I mean, that's where my head's at.

05:12:12.000 Yeah, but what does your shirt think?

05:12:14.000 It is like 90 different things, dude.

05:12:17.000 He has to smoke it first.

05:12:18.000 I couldn't see it because my face was covering your shirt.

05:12:21.000 And I was like, oh my God, it's like Enrique Iglesias.

05:12:24.000 He's going to be my hero.

05:12:25.000 But it looks good on you, though.

05:12:26.000 I wouldn't be able to pull it off.

05:12:26.000 Thanks.

05:12:28.000 Is it?

05:12:28.000 Is it flowers?

05:12:29.000 Is it tie-dye?

05:12:29.000 We gotta be honest.

05:12:31.000 Paisley, I think, is the technical term.

05:12:33.000 Richie Jackson gave this to me.

05:12:34.000 Shout out to the myth.

05:12:35.000 Is it, uh, is it, is it, is, look, if these elections keep going the way that you're saying they're swinging ridiculously left and right, yeah, I think it's a fair assessment that eventually the system just snaps, right?

05:12:45.000 It can only swing back and forth until you break it, like an iPhone Duo.

05:12:50.000 Uh-oh.

05:12:50.000 That's what if we didn't have it in our drinking game rules, but Tim Pool predicts civil war.

05:12:55.000 I did not say those words.

05:12:57.000 Everyone take a shot.

05:12:58.000 I did not say those words.

05:13:00.000 National.

05:13:01.000 I said the system just breaks.

05:13:02.000 The system snapped, not civil war.

05:13:04.000 It's nationalism that's on the verge of breaking.

05:13:06.000 And the World Economic Forum knows that national governance is a 20th century, it's an ancient tech.

05:13:12.000 We're headed towards a corporate governance.

05:13:14.000 It's much faster.

05:13:15.000 It can pivot with global emergencies and create mass formation.

05:13:20.000 It's very authoritarian.

05:13:21.000 That's the problem with it.

05:13:22.000 That's all you're describing.

05:13:23.000 That's a problem with it.

05:13:24.000 But the thing is, we need an amalgamation of corporate governance and national governance.

05:13:27.000 Fascism.

05:13:28.000 We need something that blends nationalism.

05:13:30.000 It's called nationalism.

05:13:31.000 That sounds pretty Wikipedia fascist.

05:13:34.000 I mean, you can scream no, but it's coming.

05:13:36.000 And it's better to build a better one before it's foisted upon you in the guise of communist Chinese.

05:13:42.000 We need an American government.

05:13:43.000 Okay, wait, wait, hold on.

05:13:44.000 Guys, guys, guys, let me translate.

05:13:45.000 It's like an hour ago.

05:13:46.000 Damn it, let me translate.

05:13:46.000 What he's saying is, We must use the boot to crush the left before they crush us.

05:13:51.000 Well, when you say it like that, I'm on the boot.

05:13:51.000 Yes.

05:13:54.000 Now I like it.

05:13:54.000 Now I like boots.

05:13:56.000 We're in a race to elect the last president.

05:13:58.000 That's the future of politics.

05:14:00.000 Everything has to be womanified.

05:14:01.000 Imagine this okay, you have an app that's the corporation app, and on that app, you have all these different projects, and those projects are your corporations that you own.

05:14:10.000 So on each of these corporate projects, you could allocate 17% of this corporation, I'm going to sell it to the U.S. government.

05:14:16.000 I'm going to lease 4% of this corporation to the U.S. government.

05:14:20.000 It's a way to blend the Chinese system where they own 51% with the American system where they own nothing and the corporations become governments.

05:14:27.000 I love that you've got.

05:14:27.000 That's great.

05:14:28.000 I'm confused if you're advocating this or you're saying that this is the way it's headed in a bad way.

05:14:32.000 Am I the only one?

05:14:33.000 I'm not totally clear.

05:14:34.000 No, no, no.

05:14:35.000 This is why I'm saying we do nothing.

05:14:36.000 What Ian is saying, we must control this system.

05:14:39.000 So again, I'm translating Big Yu.

05:14:41.000 When he said we want the Bill of Rights, we want our constitutional moral values, what he's saying is the system is coming.

05:14:47.000 We have to take it an instant before they do.

05:14:50.000 That way we have our values inside of it.

05:14:51.000 That's exactly what I'm saying.

05:14:52.000 The World Economic Forum.

05:14:52.000 Oh.

05:14:54.000 That's the sound of Elon Musk saying, I think that sounds pretty cool.

05:14:57.000 Yeah.

05:14:59.000 X is the flagship.

05:15:00.000 X can be the flagship.

05:15:01.000 That's why I simplified it by saying, we got to crush them with the boot before they crush it.

05:15:04.000 And basically, you just make the best corporate governance, and the rest of the world will be like, well, I'm using that one.

05:15:08.000 And then when the Chinese try and do it, or when the World Economic Forum tries to make it so you can't say fuck online, or you get your bank account taken away, fuck them.

05:15:15.000 Let me simplify it even more.

05:15:16.000 He's saying own guns.

05:15:18.000 Yeah.

05:15:18.000 In the digital space, your gun is your AI.

05:15:21.000 Everyone should have a defensive artificial intelligence.

05:15:23.000 You have to protect yourself.

05:15:25.000 I'm going to still bet on the guns being the gun and not the AI being the gun.

05:15:28.000 All right.

05:15:29.000 We can't say artificial intelligence.

05:15:29.000 Good luck, Scott.

05:15:37.000 The Kentucky Senate, Andy Barr, the Republican, just won.

05:15:37.000 We have a race call for you.

05:15:40.000 So, you know.

05:15:41.000 There we go.

05:15:41.000 We won.

05:15:42.000 We practically won.

05:15:44.000 Who cares about some of the things?

05:15:46.000 They said Kentucky wouldn't go Republican, but guess what?

05:15:49.000 We shocked the nation.

05:15:50.000 We shocked the nation.

05:15:52.000 We still haven't gotten the governor's seat.

05:15:54.000 Just wait till Wyoming drops and we have another.

05:15:57.000 Big Republican victory there.

05:15:59.000 Well, here's the thing, though.

05:16:00.000 Gavin knows this, though, too.

05:16:03.000 I told us, like, look, we know this night could go either way, where I didn't think it was going to be going as badly as the Democrats were predicting.

05:16:08.000 It could go worse.

05:16:09.000 We still don't know.

05:16:10.000 But, you know, you never let them see you bleed.

05:16:11.000 You don't want to be the next Cenk Uyghur who, you know, just melts down.

05:16:14.000 Like, come on.

05:16:15.000 And they run you in a highlight reel, you know?

05:16:17.000 So it's like, hey, there still is, there's still plenty of fight left, right?

05:16:20.000 All you guys have fight left, right?

05:16:20.000 Yes.

05:16:22.000 Oh, yeah, dude.

05:16:23.000 The avalanche.

05:16:25.000 All I care about is the culture and immigration.

05:16:27.000 And immigration for the first time ever has gone down, 3 million down, whereas it's been a 45 degree angle up, including the Great Depression.

05:16:36.000 Culturally, trans is over.

05:16:38.000 All of this woke crap is over.

05:16:40.000 We all laugh at them now.

05:16:41.000 They seem like the laughing stock.

05:16:43.000 So immigration plummeting is great for the economy, and all this anti woke stuff is great for the culture, which is great for the quality of people's lives.

05:16:51.000 So, yes, the House can be overrun by bees buzzing around with lawfare.

05:16:55.000 The Senate could lose some hubris.

05:16:58.000 Ultimately, we still have Trump in charge, and I'm still pretty happy about the next two years.

05:17:03.000 Yeah.

05:17:04.000 Yeah, I think that's a reasonable way to look at it.

05:17:05.000 And then hopefully we can all after what?

05:17:07.000 You're a crazy Canadian.

05:17:08.000 What the hell's the matter with you, man?

05:17:09.000 The place is burning down.

05:17:11.000 I'm going to cry in the bathroom with the door locked.

05:17:11.000 It's not burning.

05:17:17.000 Yeah, you're going to see marks on his knuckles tomorrow from him closing the door.

05:17:23.000 I used to think it's so important that we bridge the gap between whatever people think the left and the right is.

05:17:28.000 And it's easier to do when you're in power because you can be like, yeah, I'll see you.

05:17:31.000 I'll allow you to grace me with your presence.

05:17:34.000 But now, thinking that I just think it's a good time to start to.

05:17:38.000 We're in D.C., like, bring AOC on the show.

05:17:41.000 Bring these fucking.

05:17:42.000 Upcoming Democrats on the show.

05:17:44.000 They won't come on the show.

05:17:45.000 You know that.

05:17:46.000 Well, then I show up on the show.

05:17:47.000 Steven, I tell you this every time.

05:17:48.000 It took me 10 years to get a Harvard professor to debate, and you just said, fuck the Chinese.

05:17:52.000 Well, not literally.

05:17:53.000 I wouldn't poison the well.

05:17:54.000 A lot of people, they hear you say it, and then they believe what you say.

05:17:58.000 Ian, you had a pledge to get Hassan Piker on the show three years ago in six months' time, and it's been three years.

05:18:05.000 My time scales may be off, but yeah, Hassan's welcome anytime.

05:18:07.000 It's not that his writer demanded he show up in a kung fu outfit.

05:18:10.000 Well, it's like, obviously, Americans first.

05:18:14.000 I don't think any of these Democrats want, like, the Chinese to govern us.

05:18:17.000 You're wrong.

05:18:18.000 I don't think you're probably wrong.

05:18:19.000 There may be some psychos that want a foreign country to govern us, but most of us are just trying to decide how we want to call the Democratic Party.

05:18:26.000 Hassan Piker campaigned with a bunch of Democrats.

05:18:29.000 He's also dressed up like Mao and cherished and held up his little red book.

05:18:33.000 He says America sucks and he loves China.

05:18:35.000 Yes, they want that system here.

05:18:37.000 Well, I love China, but I don't love the CCP and I don't love communism because it devolves into vanguardism, which is a small.

05:18:44.000 Promise you communism, which is everyone's in control, then it devolves into vanguardism where a small group controls everything, and then they don't let go of the power.

05:18:51.000 It happened with Lenin and it happened with Mao.

05:18:54.000 That's because it's impossible.

05:18:55.000 Yeah, technically, in our current technology, but there are systems of communism that could be valuable in a system where it functions like smart contracts.

05:19:04.000 You don't have to rely on the guy at the electric company to push the button and cash your check to get your power, but it's a way for us to govern our system collectively.

05:19:13.000 You're just talking about it.

05:19:13.000 Have you thought iShield for AI?

05:19:15.000 Ian's the man.

05:19:16.000 Well, that's fair.

05:19:18.000 That is absolutely fair because what happens if you sell?

05:19:21.000 Like, I'm going to sell it to the government.

05:19:22.000 Wait, you sold it to the descendant of Pol Pot?

05:19:22.000 It's like I did.

05:19:27.000 My bad.

05:19:28.000 Is there something else I can do?

05:19:28.000 I'm sorry.

05:19:29.000 Like, fuck you, Grokpot.

05:19:31.000 You just sent him to the killing fields.

05:19:33.000 But I do understand the point.

05:19:35.000 Hey, let me know, though, if you guys are able to successfully bridge that gap with the left.

05:19:39.000 Gavin's been doing it for a while, obviously.

05:19:41.000 I've been doing it for I know Timothy.

05:19:43.000 I used to do a segment on my network called Free Speech, just called Free Speech.

05:19:48.000 Michelle Malk and Ann Coulter, they want their hotels paid and their flights paid.

05:19:52.000 The liberals want 15 grand.

05:19:55.000 Oh, yeah, we every time.

05:19:56.000 Maybe 10 grand, they'll go every time we good little communists they are.

05:20:00.000 Well, to David Pagman's like your dem liberal type, every time we invite him, he asks for some exorbitant amount of money.

05:20:06.000 Yeah, and then we even offered him money.

05:20:09.000 Okay, fine, we'll pay you.

05:20:09.000 And then he's like, I want more money.

05:20:11.000 And we were like, All right, all right, we actually do have to get going because we do actually have a call to make, but we appreciate it.

05:20:17.000 I know people can watch you, Tim Cass on X. Host of Timcast IRL.

05:20:21.000 That means in real life.

05:20:22.000 We appreciate it.

05:20:23.000 And you know what?

05:20:23.000 Hey, look, there's still, there's still, we got plenty of fight left in here.

05:20:26.000 We're still playing a drinking game.

05:20:27.000 And we have a talent show to get to.

05:20:28.000 Thank you, guys.

05:20:29.000 Thank you, beautiful man.

05:20:30.000 You're talking, brother.

05:20:31.000 Good luck.

05:20:32.000 Oh, come on now.

05:20:32.000 I'm just wearing a basic bitch shirt.

05:20:34.000 Look at that jawline.

05:20:35.000 Bye.

05:20:35.000 Adios.

05:20:37.000 All right.

05:20:38.000 There we go.

05:20:40.000 Oh.

05:20:41.000 Well, it's 99% that the Senate goes to Democrats, 100% of the House goes to Democrats.

05:20:46.000 100%.

05:20:48.000 Yeah, the House, 100%.

05:20:49.000 Wow.

05:20:50.000 I like that.

05:20:50.000 You don't often hear the number.

05:20:53.000 100%.

05:20:54.000 Like condoms say 99.999.

05:20:56.000 Look at this.

05:20:57.000 100 is pretty rare.

05:20:59.000 Yeah, yeah.

05:20:59.000 You got the New York Times over 95% chance.

05:21:02.000 Well, they did say Hillary was like 98% likely to win.

05:21:06.000 That was odd.

05:21:07.000 Not at like 920 on election.

05:21:09.000 That was before they were like, they're like, that was their oh shit moment.

05:21:13.000 They're like, oh, he actually could, Trump could actually win.

05:21:16.000 I might be delusions.

05:21:17.000 I'm really glad.

05:21:19.000 I think we're going to get the house.

05:21:21.000 Let's go.

05:21:22.000 Put your mind on it.

05:21:23.000 It leaves 0%.

05:21:25.000 I want some of those white pills.

05:21:27.000 Not even 0.00.

05:21:28.000 Wait a minute.

05:21:29.000 How much?

05:21:30.000 I'm going to pull up CalShift.

05:21:30.000 Let's take a look.

05:21:32.000 What was the call they made?

05:21:32.000 I've been studying them.

05:21:36.000 The call?

05:21:37.000 Yeah, he was just saying that there's a call that they have to do.

05:21:39.000 I just got a call from Assad.

05:21:40.000 Telling me to pass.

05:21:41.000 I think he's doing another show.

05:21:41.000 You mean Crowder?

05:21:44.000 Oh, never mind.

05:21:44.000 I thought it was like a race.

05:21:45.000 Oh, you meant a race.

05:21:46.000 No, I think he was saying that someone else is joining him on the show.

05:21:48.000 Oh, never mind.

05:21:49.000 I'm like, I've been studying Winston.

05:21:50.000 He's gotten a call?

05:21:50.000 Well, he could have gotten multiple calls.

05:21:53.000 Like Winston Churchill, one of the great things about him is like, even though they were losing and it was just all signs of losing, he still stayed optimistic.

05:22:01.000 If you were to place $100 on a prediction contract that no, the Democrats won't sweep, $100 will become $15,582.44.

05:22:11.000 Thousand bucks and you'll win $155,000.

05:22:13.000 I got 100 bucks.

05:22:14.000 Let's do it.

05:22:16.000 Brian Shapiro says hi.

05:22:16.000 It's a lot.

05:22:18.000 Oh, hey, Brian.

05:22:19.000 You watching?

05:22:21.000 I was hoping you would come on to it.

05:22:21.000 Yeah.

05:22:23.000 That 1% chance.

05:22:24.000 We got to find a chance.

05:22:25.000 Hey, I will just say it will be the funniest thing if literally somehow we're sitting here and it just flips the other way.

05:22:32.000 That's good TV.

05:22:33.000 That's great TV.

05:22:36.000 Elon likes to say the funniest outcome is rally 10 towards the funniest outcome.

05:22:40.000 That would be, I don't think it's going to happen, but it would be absolutely amazing.

05:22:44.000 I think it's like hilarious.

05:22:45.000 So, have we lost all?

05:22:46.000 Who were the controversial guys that we were hoping for?

05:22:49.000 There was Ohio.

05:22:50.000 So, Byron Donalds has won.

05:22:52.000 Oh, that's cool.

05:22:53.000 Let's go, Byron.

05:22:54.000 Congratulations, brother.

05:22:56.000 So, Ohio, Texas, Maine, Alaska, Kansas, and Iowa.

05:23:00.000 Yeah, Texas doesn't look good for a governor.

05:23:02.000 Texas doesn't look great.

05:23:04.000 Texas is over.

05:23:05.000 Have they called it?

05:23:05.000 Wow.

05:23:06.000 Texas was bad.

05:23:07.000 Have they called it for a governor or a senator?

05:23:09.000 What about New Hampshire?

05:23:10.000 Check this out.

05:23:10.000 So, here we go.

05:23:11.000 The guy from the Cantina Bar in Star Wars, Sunee.

05:23:13.000 Tallarico is crushing it.

05:23:16.000 And I'll just say that the.

05:23:19.000 Wait a minute.

05:23:19.000 Let me put it like this.

05:23:20.000 We got some DC folks that are down here hanging out that aren't coming on the show because they're not public.

05:23:25.000 And we've got some sources here in the Beltway across from the Capitol.

05:23:28.000 They're so juicy.

05:23:29.000 Yeah, and they're basically just saying internals, everybody, Republicans, they're like, Texas is cooked for Republicans.

05:23:37.000 Democrats are taking it.

05:23:38.000 Don't cheat on your wife, boys.

05:23:40.000 I'm thinking if this was war and it was a military campaign, you're like, as the commander, you're like, okay, prepare, we're going to be shelled tonight.

05:23:47.000 Get ready.

05:23:48.000 And now we're getting shelled.

05:23:49.000 But if you knew ahead of time we're going to get shelled, you might be able to keep your morale up.

05:23:54.000 We're going to survive.

05:23:55.000 I'm not even a Republican.

05:23:56.000 I'm so excited, bro.

05:23:58.000 I'm just thinking about, you know, like, so this past week, right?

05:24:02.000 Let me tell you what's been going through my mind war, right?

05:24:05.000 Trump's going to go to war.

05:24:07.000 And he's going to, there's, you know, Tucker Carlson saying he's going to nuke Iran.

05:24:11.000 And I'm just thinking, like, man, think of all of the rage baiting Doomer videos that I'm going to make that'll get millions of views.

05:24:18.000 And then I can buy a few more Teslas.

05:24:22.000 You got to look on the bright side of things.

05:24:23.000 Monetize the confusion.

05:24:25.000 That is a joke, by the way.

05:24:28.000 The point, however, is it's all true.

05:24:30.000 It's funny because during COVID.

05:24:31.000 It is a fact that Podcastist Dan is going to start printing money like crazy.

05:24:35.000 Now, I want people to understand this.

05:24:38.000 The joke is, oh, man, like there's going to be subpoenas.

05:24:43.000 People are going to be dragged before Congress.

05:24:44.000 Our friends are going to be facing weird contempt of Congress things.

05:24:48.000 The joke is, on the bright side, we can make money, I guess.

05:24:50.000 But I do want to at least say this joking aside.

05:24:52.000 It will be good that Republicans will be in an opposite position, be able to claim more space back in media, make more money to invest in winning back in 2028.

05:25:03.000 So, as much as it's a joke, like, ha ha, we're going to make money, it's like, well, that money is going to go back into the messaging.

05:25:08.000 It's going to go back into winning again.

05:25:10.000 Good point because there's been an air of complacency in the Republican Party for the last two years.

05:25:14.000 Maybe I'm just.

05:25:15.000 No, you're 100% right.

05:25:17.000 Immediately after we won, that was the first thing I said to a lot of people is like, the big mistake we're making right now is thinking we actually won.

05:25:27.000 Resting on your laurels.

05:25:29.000 Let's go.

05:25:30.000 Marjorie, hello.

05:25:32.000 All these people are better than me.

05:25:35.000 Brian, love you.

05:25:36.000 Yeah.

05:25:36.000 How many people?

05:25:37.000 Three coming in?

05:25:38.000 I would be honored to give MTG my seat.

05:25:38.000 Yeah.

05:25:41.000 It would be my honor.

05:25:41.000 Please.

05:25:44.000 It would be my honor.

05:25:45.000 What up, Madge?

05:25:46.000 Thank you, everyone.

05:25:47.000 Yo, been a while, buddy.

05:25:54.000 Who do we have?

05:25:55.000 It's been a while.

05:25:55.000 Hi.

05:25:56.000 Yeah.

05:25:57.000 I'll go.

05:25:59.000 I'll see you.

05:26:01.000 Stick in here for a minute.

05:26:03.000 Hey, how are you doing, Gavin, Marjorie?

05:26:07.000 Nice to meet you.

05:26:08.000 All right, now I think I'll leave.

05:26:11.000 Yeah, are you coming on?

05:26:13.000 And then I'll.

05:26:14.000 Well, if you can't because we're full, then.

05:26:16.000 Yeah, yeah.

05:26:19.000 I'll come.

05:26:20.000 I'll come for a minute and then how you been?

05:26:23.000 Oh, good.

05:26:25.000 I think, Marjorie, you were a bit prophetic.

05:26:29.000 Yeah, I mean, you were calling out a lot of the stuff that people were pissed off about.

05:26:32.000 You were seeing exactly what people were pissed off about.

05:26:34.000 And now, of course, Republicans are getting blown out for largely the reasons that you were calling out when you were calling them out.

05:26:40.000 Yes.

05:26:41.000 Sadly, though, I didn't want it to be this way.

05:26:44.000 I mean, obviously, I campaigned all over the country, gave millions of my own dollars, endorsed I don't even know how many Republican candidates, supported the president, you know, wholeheartedly, and didn't want it to turn out this way.

05:26:44.000 Yeah.

05:27:02.000 It's brutal.

05:27:03.000 This is worse than I thought.

05:27:03.000 It is.

05:27:05.000 I was saying, like, I think it'll be bad.

05:27:06.000 I think that's what's going on.

05:27:07.000 I don't think it'll be that bad.

05:27:08.000 And it's worse.

05:27:09.000 No, I fully expected this.

05:27:11.000 I really did.

05:27:12.000 And, you know, I always used to say being in Congress, serving as a Republican in Congress, I always felt like I was strapped in on the front row of a roller coaster.

05:27:21.000 And, you know, when you're in that front row seat, you can see what's coming next.

05:27:25.000 You see the turns, you see the hills, you see the downhills.

05:27:28.000 And I think that's why I saw it so early.

05:27:31.000 I had gotten in fights with the president over, like, the moratorium on state rights having to do with AI and data centers.

05:27:39.000 And I was totally against it, he was for it.

05:27:43.000 Got in a fight with him over his crypto bill, the Genius Act.

05:27:47.000 It had a loophole for a central bank digital currency, and I refused to vote for his bill.

05:27:51.000 So we had our falling outs on issues that are important to people, but the Epstein files, I just couldn't do it.

05:27:59.000 And the Iran war.

05:28:00.000 I think he's using it as a compromise, the Epstein files, like he's blackmailing the deep state with it, but he can't tell us that.

05:28:06.000 No, I think he's being blackmailed.

05:28:09.000 No.

05:28:11.000 We've got an eclectic bunch of it.

05:28:12.000 I disagree.

05:28:13.000 I think that.

05:28:15.000 There is a bit of what Ian is saying.

05:28:19.000 I think it's a bit of what you are saying.

05:28:20.000 And I think it's heavy, a lot to do with the Saudis.

05:28:23.000 I think that there's a lot of stuff in the Epstein files that are probably really bad for the Saudis.

05:28:27.000 I think one of the reasons we're at war with Iran, and this is one of our Tim Guest members who brought this up, and I thought it was a great, excellent point that the petrodollar deal expired.

05:28:36.000 The Saudis wanted a regime change in Iran.

05:28:39.000 The Epstein files probably implicate Saudi princes and other individuals.

05:28:42.000 And I'm not saying it's the only reason, but he's basically like, okay, so he's going to go to war with Iran because U.S. partners in the Middle East, which includes Israel and Saudi Arabia, are basically like, we all want this.

05:28:53.000 Israel, for different reasons, obviously they're pressuring him, they want war.

05:28:56.000 Saudis are saying they're negatively impacting our traffic in the Red Sea and our oil sales.

05:29:01.000 Trump, do it or else.

05:29:02.000 And so Trump was like, whatever you say.

05:29:04.000 Well, I'll only go based on literally just information that I'm sure of.

05:29:09.000 I really don't speculate into too much I'm not sure of.

05:29:12.000 And when it comes to the Epstein files, I spoke with many of the women.

05:29:16.000 Who are victims of Jeffrey Epstein and other men.

05:29:19.000 And they were very, very certain.

05:29:23.000 They have a list of men that has not come out in the Epstein files.

05:29:27.000 There's been many names redacted, and there's still millions of pages that have not been released.

05:29:33.000 And that's why Thomas Massey has introduced another resolution to push to release the rest of the Epstein files.

05:29:40.000 And so I've listened to these women and seen them tell their stories.

05:29:44.000 And they have all said, When we see all these names come out, we will know that the files are fully released, but they haven't been released yet.

05:29:55.000 The rock and the hard place, I guess, is are we going to be.

05:29:59.000 There's no good answer, right?

05:30:00.000 Are we better off with Democrats winning in the midterms?

05:30:03.000 Because, like, I don't think Democrats are going to release these files or actually take any of it seriously.

05:30:08.000 They didn't.

05:30:08.000 They could have.

05:30:09.000 No, they didn't at the time, but I think they're going to.

05:30:12.000 They're already gearing up.

05:30:14.000 Jamie Raskin is going to be the chair of the Judiciary Committee.

05:30:17.000 In the house, when democrats take control in January, um, he says he's gearing up to do more house investigations on that.

05:30:26.000 Now, here's the situation though are we better off with democrats?

05:30:29.000 No, absolutely not.

05:30:31.000 They they lost massively in 2024, but they never came back with they didn't go back to like a whiteboard and go, Hey guys, what are the issues we lost on?

05:30:39.000 We lost on the border, we lost on the trans kids issues, women and men and women's sports.

05:30:45.000 They didn't list these issues and inflation and then come back with, Here's our.

05:30:50.000 Grand plan that we're going to do different, and here's what we're going to do better.

05:30:53.000 They're getting the ball in their court because Trump blew it, totally betrayed campaign promises, started a completely ridiculous war with Iran, and everybody's paying out the nose for rent and groceries and gas.

05:31:08.000 Yeah, it was looking good in the first year.

05:31:10.000 There were a lot of good things.

05:31:11.000 We did have the strikes on Iran, which freaked people out.

05:31:13.000 Then, when that resolved, we were kind of like, okay, okay, USAID was gone, the border was secure.

05:31:17.000 Now, Trump comes out and he's saying the economy is so good, it's better than ever, and gas is $450.

05:31:24.000 Diesel by me is $6.90, and grocers are through the roof.

05:31:27.000 And I'm just sitting here, this is what I've been saying for the past several weeks.

05:31:30.000 The Republicans have not campaigned on a single thing as to why to vote for them.

05:31:34.000 Right.

05:31:35.000 The Republican Party didn't come out and say, here's what we're going to do.

05:31:36.000 In fact, Speaker Johnson went on TV and said, we're going to do the same thing we're doing now.

05:31:40.000 And I'm like, people are, what?

05:31:42.000 That was a Kamala moment.

05:31:43.000 It was horrible.

05:31:44.000 I was a bit optimistic and I was wrong.

05:31:46.000 And Johnson, to your point, Tim, that's a really great one to bring up.

05:31:51.000 Him saying, we're going to continue to keep doing what we've been doing.

05:31:54.000 When he took over as Speaker, he basically gave his gavel to the White House.

05:31:58.000 And he allowed the White House to run all the plays through the House.

05:32:03.000 Whatever we voted on had to be greenlit by the White House, it had to be approved.

05:32:07.000 And so we didn't vote on any bills that wasn't approved by the White House.

05:32:10.000 And that's not how it's supposed to work.

05:32:12.000 It's a balance of power.

05:32:14.000 And the House and the Senate, that's the legislative branch.

05:32:17.000 And that's where the House Republicans really failed.

05:32:20.000 We could have gone through and brought forth the agenda that the American people voted for simply in the form of bills and legislation and funding.

05:32:28.000 And then it would have been up to the Senate to pass it and the president to sign a new law.

05:32:32.000 Let me ask you, do you think that, because I've had this conversation with a few people I've interviewed, Trump going to war with Iran seems to be a complete reversal of what he was doing in his first term and what he was claiming he was going to do?

05:32:43.000 And so, you know, I was recently talking with Glenn Greenwald and I'm like, maybe after they raid your house and arrest you twice and then try and steal all your properties, you say, okay, okay, please just stop.

05:32:53.000 And they say, okay, well, then go to war with Iran.

05:32:55.000 Well, you know, the war with Iran was the dumbest thing he could have possibly done.

05:33:01.000 And it wasn't for America.

05:33:03.000 That wasn't what we campaigned on.

05:33:05.000 I spoke at more rallies and In the entire campaign cycle, than any other House Republican did.

05:33:11.000 And it was never, we're going to war with Iran.

05:33:14.000 We never said that.

05:33:16.000 It was no more foreign wars.

05:33:17.000 That's what we said over and over.

05:33:20.000 And now, why?

05:33:22.000 What was the purpose of it?

05:33:23.000 Well, we know that Netanyahu wanted him to attack Iran.

05:33:27.000 I don't know about the Saudi deal.

05:33:29.000 I'm not really informed on that.

05:33:31.000 But again, I won't speculate.

05:33:33.000 But this war is crushing Americans.

05:33:36.000 It's about to get worse.

05:33:37.000 Yeah, it's going to get worse.

05:33:38.000 All of the data that we've seen.

05:33:40.000 I've been harping on this for the past week or so.

05:33:42.000 Reports that Trump has told our Gulf allies or the administration, we're going to escalate this war.

05:33:46.000 The U.S. military doing drills for mass graves for U.S. troops, for U.S. troops.

05:33:51.000 And they're saying, well, we haven't practiced this since the Korean War.

05:33:55.000 You've got the Fortress Plan keeping our military bases secure.

05:33:58.000 Trump deploying, Secret Service deploying anti aircraft missiles to his house.

05:34:02.000 All of these signs indicating that there's going to be an escalation that results in a serious backlash.

05:34:07.000 33 countries, including largely across Europe, warning their citizenry to start stockpiling food, water, cash, and coin.

05:34:14.000 And I think, I don't agree with Tucker that's going to be a nuclear strike.

05:34:18.000 I think boots on the ground.

05:34:20.000 I think you can't have regime change without human beings.

05:34:23.000 And so the reason why they're doing these mass grave drills is because they expect to send U.S. troops into Iran to try and affect regime change.

05:34:31.000 Or they want Iran to think that that's what we're going to do, which Trump plays it big.

05:34:34.000 You know, when he blows, he blows hard.

05:34:36.000 Maybe I'd believe that if he didn't just strike Kesham Island.

05:34:40.000 When he said, we're not going to go in, we're going to negotiate a peace deal, it might come.

05:34:43.000 And then the eve of the midterms, he launches strikes on Iran again.

05:34:48.000 So that's not telling the Iranians you're backing off and you want a peace deal.

05:34:51.000 Unless, again, he's basically saying, like, we're going full scale and get a deal now or else.

05:34:55.000 But it'll be what, the 15th deal that he said he got?

05:34:58.000 Well, he's won the war like 50 times.

05:35:00.000 I mean, we can't forget that.

05:35:02.000 It's a war.

05:35:03.000 It's a war.

05:35:03.000 It's a military operation.

05:35:04.000 That's right.

05:35:05.000 He's hanging out.

05:35:06.000 Yeah, a little something or whatever he calls it.

05:35:09.000 No, but the reality is, I think Tucker was very wise in warning everyone.

05:35:15.000 And it was based on information that he had gotten credible information.

05:35:20.000 And I had heard the same thing from within the administration.

05:35:23.000 That they were lowering the threshold to use nuclear weapons, which no one should ever allow that to happen.

05:35:30.000 When the US bombed Hiroshima and Japan in World War II, the entire world erupted and said, We can never again allow this to happen.

05:35:40.000 And so I think Tucker wisely put out that message in hopes that everyone, all of us in the entire world, says, No, this cannot happen.

05:35:50.000 This is out of control.

05:35:51.000 And it's the pushback that is needed against Donald Trump and against his administration and against Pete Hegseth.

05:35:57.000 It's the pushback that is needed, and it's up to everyone else to say we will not tolerate that.

05:36:03.000 We will prosecute anyone in the administration that actually goes through and tries to just annihilate a country like it's threatened.

05:36:12.000 Let's consider the worst case scenario and the inverse, and that is the petrodollar deal expired with Saudi Arabia.

05:36:17.000 They're still largely selling oil in U.S. dollars, but if they cut a deal with China, China's going to overtake the U.S. economy, and then we're going to be second world to a global Chinese hegemon.

05:36:27.000 Well, the BRICS nations are important to pay attention to.

05:36:31.000 That's something that they have been pushing for for many years is to replace the petrodollar with their own currency.

05:36:39.000 And I mean, that's a reality that we may be facing in our lifetime, and it could come sooner than later.

05:36:45.000 And that's something that would hurt all of us economically.

05:36:48.000 But I think this is a principal reason for the war with Iran.

05:36:52.000 I think maybe it's nonsensical or it's an act of desperation, but I think Trump is basically bending the knee to the interests of the Saudis.

05:37:02.000 And I think.

05:37:03.000 I don't think Israel plays a larger role in the petrodollar deal, but of course he's also beholden to their interests to a degree.

05:37:09.000 I think the petrodollar deal, contract ending with Saudi Arabia, is a major component to this.

05:37:14.000 I don't.

05:37:15.000 I really don't.

05:37:16.000 I don't think this is about Saudi Arabia or a petrodollar.

05:37:19.000 I think this is 100% about Israel and Iran, and this is about Donald Trump basically being beholden to Israel.

05:37:28.000 His top funder was Miriam Adelson.

05:37:30.000 And she was.

05:37:30.000 Yep.

05:37:31.000 Hundreds of millions of dollars.

05:37:32.000 And what was the stipulation for that donation?

05:37:34.000 Do you remember the specific reporting?

05:37:36.000 I don't remember the specific annexation of the West Bank.

05:37:39.000 Well, of course.

05:37:40.000 And we're seeing, and that's what we're seeing.

05:37:43.000 And we're seeing they've even drawn up plans to rebuild all types of buildings.

05:37:47.000 And we know who will get those contracts and we know who will profit from it.

05:37:51.000 I think this is.

05:37:52.000 Trump is facing prison.

05:37:55.000 They arrested him twice.

05:37:56.000 They went through his family, they went through his properties.

05:37:58.000 Miriam Adelson comes along, among others.

05:38:00.000 We've got money for you.

05:38:01.000 We'll make sure you win.

05:38:02.000 But here's what we want in exchange.

05:38:03.000 You know, it's really sad the American people were behind him and that it was the American people that made him win.

05:38:08.000 You know, and that's, I think, where this whole thing is really so infuriating it's the American people that voted for Donald Trump and made him our president based on his promise of make America great again, put Americans first, make our lives affordable, you know, make gas and diesel cheap again.

05:38:30.000 We want more jobs.

05:38:31.000 We don't want to see our jobs going overseas.

05:38:33.000 We don't want to see our jobs going to foreigners with H 1B visas.

05:38:37.000 We don't want our jobs stolen by illegals that come across our border.

05:38:40.000 We want a future for young generations and for Americans.

05:38:44.000 That's who put him in office.

05:38:46.000 And, you know, it was really what a foolish thought that Donald Trump became president.

05:38:54.000 If that's what he thinks from Miriam Madison, then my gosh, we were fools to ever support a man that could think such a stupid thing.

05:39:02.000 Sorry, I know you're trying to bun.

05:39:02.000 I just want to say one last thing.

05:39:04.000 Everybody knew Miriam Madison gave him this money.

05:39:07.000 I think it was estimated between 100 and 150 million towards his reelection.

05:39:09.000 I think it's closer to.

05:39:11.000 Over 200 million.

05:39:12.000 Sure.

05:39:13.000 This is my criticism for Tucker Carlson when he was interviewing his brother and said, I apologize if I only had known.

05:39:19.000 And then his brother says, maybe that money from Miriam Adelson was for something.

05:39:22.000 And then Tucker laughs.

05:39:23.000 Yeah, because he knew full well.

05:39:25.000 Everybody knew Trump was getting funding from deep Israeli interests.

05:39:29.000 Yeah.

05:39:30.000 So I don't know why people are surprised now, like, oh, heavens me, he's working for the Israelis.

05:39:34.000 I don't think I knew.

05:39:35.000 I mean, I wasn't tracking his FEC reports.

05:39:38.000 I mean, we knew he was getting funding from everywhere.

05:39:41.000 But I think I found that out after.

05:39:43.000 He was elected.

05:39:43.000 Tucker knew.

05:39:44.000 That was the moment I knew they weren't going to kill him when I was like, oh, he's got Israel money.

05:39:48.000 He's in now.

05:39:49.000 They're going to let him do his job.

05:39:50.000 And I didn't see Iran on the horizon, but.

05:39:54.000 That's a fair point.

05:39:54.000 Anyway, sorry.

05:39:55.000 No, no worries.

05:39:56.000 Congressman, I wanted to ask you actually because a lot of the initial exit polling is indicating that the war is a huge part of the reason why people have either abandoned Republicans, voted against them, or just not voted at all.

05:40:10.000 Do you think the president is going to learn from this lesson in some capacity?

05:40:13.000 He's obviously not going to run for reelection, at least he's not supposed to.

05:40:17.000 And.

05:40:18.000 You know, there's he was earlier today, he announced that they are going to be withholding that four billion annual aid to Israel.

05:40:25.000 Kind of indicates that maybe he's kind of aware of the perception that people are not super stoked that the United States is bankrolling Israel in one capacity or another.

05:40:33.000 Obviously, they have a PR problem in the United States for sure.

05:40:37.000 The war is definitely not helping.

05:40:39.000 Do you think that Republicans, especially those within the administration who we are speculating would be pursuing higher office in 2028 or in another election year, do you think they're going to learn from these mistakes?

05:40:50.000 Do you think that they're going to look at this primary as a cautionary tale?

05:40:54.000 What's your take on that?

05:40:55.000 No.

05:40:56.000 And I hate to throw a big black pill out here like that.

05:41:00.000 I don't because I know Donald Trump personally.

05:41:03.000 And after being around him for so long and also listening to him for so long, this is a man that says never apologize.

05:41:12.000 We've never seen him apologize for anything his entire life.

05:41:16.000 And so I don't think we're going to see him take serious thought, change his direction.

05:41:24.000 Today he comes out and says, you know, I spoke to Bibi Netanyahu.

05:41:28.000 Netanyahu says.

05:41:30.000 We don't have to give Israel money anymore.

05:41:32.000 So that was a difference.

05:41:33.000 That was the prime minister of a foreign country giving permission to our president of the United States to not have to give them money anymore, which is ridiculous.

05:41:43.000 And that statement is just a false promise on its face because funding comes through the House and the Senate.

05:41:50.000 That's where the funding comes for Israel.

05:41:54.000 And if you look at the House and the Senate, 96% of members of Congress and senators are funded by AIPAC.

05:42:01.000 The upcoming Speaker of the House, who will be A Democrat, Hakeem Jeffries, most likely is one of the, he receives top funding from AIPAC.

05:42:11.000 And so the president can't decisively say, oh, we're cutting off funding on the day of an election and expect anyone to really, that understands the process, to believe that he's changing course.

05:42:24.000 He's not changing course.

05:42:25.000 And then there's the matter of Section 219, which is in the NDAA.

05:42:30.000 And that still hasn't fully passed yet.

05:42:32.000 I know it's hard to keep track of bills going through the House and the Senate.

05:42:36.000 But that's the National Defense Authorization Act that is the funding for the Pentagon, for the Department of War, for all the military.

05:42:43.000 And that is the particular section of the bill where they're integrating the U.S. military and the Israeli military and intelligence sharing.

05:42:52.000 But it also has a funding mechanism to it.

05:42:54.000 It'll take that annual just over $3 billion that's given to Israel to allow them to buy defense weapons and so forth back from U.S. defense contractors.

05:43:06.000 But it'll put it more into like a place where there's not transparency for the American people, which I think is extremely dangerous.

05:43:14.000 So, no, to answer your question, no, I don't see him changing course.

05:43:19.000 And I think another really important thing to remember is President Trump left office in his first term.

05:43:27.000 He shut down the country for COVID, he shut it down.

05:43:30.000 Now, Democrats extended it, but he's the one that shut it down.

05:43:34.000 And then he also never did anything to stop the BLM riots, he allowed them to fester.

05:43:40.000 Because he thought it would be good for him for his next election.

05:43:43.000 He never stopped Antifa, never even investigated them, allowed it to fester.

05:43:49.000 So I don't think looking at his past, if past behavior is anything as a predictive model for future behavior, and knowing this is a man whose own motto is to never apologize, I think we have to be pretty clear eyed about what's to come.

05:44:04.000 Do you think any of the potential, the rumored successors, like the vice president, do you think he will be learning from a lot of the mistakes or missteps of the administration?

05:44:14.000 You know, I think it's one thing to learn, but will the public trust them?

05:44:19.000 I think if someone hasn't spoken out before this election when Republicans get wiped out, are they really trustworthy?

05:44:28.000 They never stood up and said anything like any JD Vance, anybody in the administration.

05:44:35.000 Joe Kent's the only one in the administration that actually publicly spoke out and then resigned.

05:44:42.000 So are they trustworthy?

05:44:43.000 Are they just going to come out and go, you know, maybe that wasn't a good idea?

05:44:48.000 And then anyone in the House of Representatives or anyone in the Senate or governors that never spoke out and said, you know, we really shouldn't be sending all this money to Israel because they've killed over 22,000 children.

05:45:01.000 22,000 kids.

05:45:03.000 I'm not talking about religion.

05:45:04.000 I'm not talking about anybody's identity.

05:45:07.000 Let's just bring it down to that one granular issue that our tax dollars have been used to kill 22,000 kids and made 70,000 orphans and made thousands of children amputees, arms and legs cut off.

05:45:21.000 And so, The fact that they weren't coming out against this stuff ahead of time, I don't think American people are really going to trust them for 28.

05:45:32.000 I'm losing faith in nationalism.

05:45:34.000 And I know the World Economic Forum talks about corporate governance.

05:45:37.000 I'm looking at a future of corporate governance, regardless of how we want it.

05:45:41.000 And I kind of think it's our opportunity to build a corporate governance that has American ideals if we can instill the Bill of Rights, like in a digital space, freedom of access to software code, freedom of access to an onboard AGI, your personal use can't be stripped from you, freedom against enforcature, so you can't.

05:45:56.000 Nobody can make you use a software.

05:45:59.000 We need to make the best corporate governance in the world so that the World Economic Forum and the Chinese can't build one in front of us.

05:46:07.000 We need to blend nationalism with the best aspects of corporatocracy, which is like agility, the way we can mass formate if there's a national emergency, the way it can move so quick, but without losing access to your bank account.

05:46:19.000 I just don't, I feel like these people are corruptible.

05:46:21.000 It's so easy to corrupt 430 people if the system itself was just in place and it just worked.

05:46:28.000 Maybe there's an AI at the top.

05:46:29.000 There's no one human that owns the thing.

05:46:31.000 I don't know.

05:46:32.000 I just, do you think about corporate governance frequently?

05:46:34.000 Does that cross your mind?

05:46:36.000 I haven't thought about that.

05:46:37.000 I've thought about campaign finance reform a lot.

05:46:40.000 How would that work?

05:46:41.000 Well, so right to your point, yes, everyone's corruptible.

05:46:44.000 So if all of us served in Congress together, every single election we have to raise money to get reelected, right?

05:46:51.000 Well, let's say that you get all your money in small dollar donations.

05:46:55.000 So you get like $25 checks, and they're so sweet because they come from people's little grandmas.

05:47:01.000 And let's say, well, I go to Washington and I raise money at a few little fundraisers where lobbyists show up and they just write me max checks and then I'm done.

05:47:10.000 I got all the money I need.

05:47:12.000 And then everyone else does a combination of different things.

05:47:16.000 It's the fact that most members of Congress and most senators, that's how they raise their money.

05:47:21.000 A few fundraisers here in Washington, D.C., where they raise all the money they need to get reelected.

05:47:27.000 Well, who do they work for?

05:47:29.000 So when these people come calling back to their office, it's like, hey, Remember, I came to your fundraiser and I brought my wife, and then you're like, oh, yeah, you know, you guys were great.

05:47:39.000 I really appreciate your support for my campaign.

05:47:42.000 Well, oh, yeah, yeah.

05:47:43.000 Well, listen, coming up here in the government funding bill, you know what?

05:47:48.000 We've worked with your chief of staff and we're going to put something in there because we really need a government contract for our defense company.

05:47:56.000 That's how this works.

05:47:58.000 And so, members of Congress get easily bought off most of the time through their fundraising that funds their campaigns because they owe all these people favors.

05:48:07.000 Instead of owing those little, you know, the $25 check.

05:48:12.000 There's a real quick, just this really great post from Molly Hemingway.

05:48:15.000 Trump's approval rating correlated with gas prices one for one.

05:48:20.000 Wow.

05:48:21.000 So as gas prices go up, Trump's approval goes down the exact same.

05:48:21.000 Yeah.

05:48:25.000 Like it's just one for one.

05:48:26.000 I was talking to so many Republicans, like pundits and like influencers that were like, no, the gas thing is not a serious issue.

05:48:32.000 And I'm like, maybe not for you.

05:48:36.000 Maybe not if you're making thousands of dollars on YouTube or Twitter.

05:48:39.000 Maybe the gas price is not a big deal for you.

05:48:42.000 But for the people at Walmart or the people just the middle class that's shrinking.

05:48:46.000 More and more every year, it is a serious issue.

05:48:50.000 And I think the results out of Texas show this.

05:48:53.000 Here's what really freaks me out is like, I leave a $20 tip, you know, after ordering like breakfast at a restaurant, it's like $10, whatever.

05:49:00.000 So I'm like, you know, 20 bucks is really good.

05:49:02.000 And they're like, oh my God, thank you so much.

05:49:04.000 And my thought was, that's just a couple gallons of gas, you know, right?

05:49:09.000 And like, my point is, people are hurting.

05:49:12.000 It's one burrito.

05:49:14.000 And I was like, I actually thought that $20, they'd be like, oh, great, like it's a good tip.

05:49:20.000 But I guess what I'm trying to say is what I've seen from so many working people is that they're not making enough money and the prices are also massive, gone way up.

05:49:30.000 So it's like getting hit from both sides.

05:49:32.000 And meanwhile, we're importing people from other countries to take tech jobs from young people that are not working.

05:49:36.000 And Trump cheered for it and Vivek cheered for it too.

05:49:39.000 And the AI is upending the economy as a whole.

05:49:41.000 And Trump's cheering for that too.

05:49:43.000 And they didn't get rid of all the H 1B visas.

05:49:46.000 See, that was extremely disappointing.

05:49:48.000 If you look at the numbers, they keep reapproving all the new ones that are being approved.

05:49:53.000 Applied for and the ones that are trying to get their re approvals, the Trump administration just keeps re approving them.

05:49:59.000 And that's something that people are sick of.

05:50:01.000 It's the most frustrating thing because I'm in Texas.

05:50:03.000 I'm near Frisco, which is like the heart of the H 1B stuff in Texas happening, right?

05:50:07.000 I'm like literally 10 minutes from Frisco.

05:50:09.000 And I talk to Gen Zers that are just living with their parents still because they can't get an apartment.

05:50:16.000 And they see these people coming in from other countries on H 1B and they're living in multi million dollar homes.

05:50:23.000 And they're like, I'm a citizen.

05:50:25.000 And I'm just graduated college and I'm trying to make a living.

05:50:29.000 And this dude from a foreign country comes over here and he's able to buy a multi million dollar home.

05:50:34.000 How does that, how does that, if you're like a young person considering to vote for the first time, what party do you think you're considering to vote for after you see the Chinese are buying farmland?

05:50:44.000 It's so wack.

05:50:45.000 And that's not to say the Democrats are going to do any better.

05:50:48.000 I assume the Democrats are going to be pro H1B.

05:50:50.000 Oh, of course.

05:50:50.000 If they were smart, they wouldn't be.

05:50:52.000 I assume they're going to be.

05:50:53.000 It is going to get so much worse now.

05:50:54.000 The market's already taking a major hit.

05:50:56.000 First thing tomorrow morning is going to be a nuclear bomb going off in the market.

05:50:59.000 People's bills are going to get worse.

05:51:01.000 Their income is going to get worse.

05:51:03.000 But the Democrats are going to say, oh, but this is Trump's fault.

05:51:05.000 It's all Trump's fault.

05:51:06.000 They are going to do, the Democrats are not going to do anything and they can't do anything.

05:51:11.000 They can't.

05:51:12.000 They're not going to override any vetoes.

05:51:14.000 So they can say they're doing things, but nothing will get done.

05:51:16.000 And then come 2028, they're going to say, look at everything Trump did and they're going to take the presidency.

05:51:22.000 Well, in all honesty, I know me in particular.

05:51:26.000 If I go to a restaurant and it was advertised to be this great restaurant with this great food and I'm so excited to go and I gather up my family and we all go, And we eat at this restaurant and it's horrible, and we get the worst service, and we get called names, things like panicking or disloyal or traitor, and then we get served nothing but slop and not what we ordered.

05:51:46.000 I'm not going back.

05:51:47.000 So, I mean, look at the reality of this.

05:51:50.000 This election is a referendum on Donald Trump and it's a referendum on Republican complete and total failure.

05:51:58.000 Does that mean the Democrats deserve to win?

05:52:00.000 I don't think they deserve to win, but what are we supposed to do anymore?

05:52:04.000 I think that's where most people feel is.

05:52:06.000 Why do I, oh, do I have to go support the party that treated me like crap and didn't give me any of my campaign promises and made my dollar go down more and made my gas and diesel go up and made costs of living go up and they didn't fix health insurance and they started another war?

05:52:22.000 No, I don't want to do that.

05:52:24.000 And are Democrats going to make it worse?

05:52:24.000 Yeah.

05:52:27.000 I don't, you know what?

05:52:28.000 They've both made it worse.

05:52:29.000 Right.

05:52:30.000 You got two restaurants and they're serving moldy burgers, but one restaurant called you a panic.

05:52:34.000 I was burned with Obama.

05:52:35.000 Exactly.

05:52:36.000 The Obama.

05:52:37.000 Like, he couldn't get it done.

05:52:39.000 I was like, I trust in Obama.

05:52:40.000 He just globalized and sold us out of the transposition.

05:52:42.000 Then Biden came in.

05:52:43.000 Well, Trump came in and was like, he's all right.

05:52:46.000 Biden fell apart.

05:52:47.000 Trump comes in and betrays the country.

05:52:48.000 Like, I've almost given up on nationalism.

05:52:51.000 I still appreciate the Bill of Rights.

05:52:52.000 But what does that have to do with nationalism?

05:52:55.000 One guy gets to decide for all of us if we go to war with Iran.

05:52:58.000 Are you kidding me?

05:52:58.000 What are you talking about?

05:52:59.000 It's supposed to be Congress.

05:53:00.000 It's not supposed to be Trump's decision if we bomb another country.

05:53:03.000 Agreed, agreed.

05:53:04.000 So let's go back 100 years and talk about all the presidents who keep doing it over and over and over again.

05:53:07.000 So nationalism, I understand the value.

05:53:07.000 Right.

05:53:09.000 That's not necessarily true.

05:53:10.000 It protects our rights to a point.

05:53:12.000 I gotta go.

05:53:13.000 My friend Mike Benz is here.

05:53:14.000 He's gonna rock your worlds.

05:53:16.000 Hey, oh, hey, Brad.

05:53:18.000 Absolute.

05:53:21.000 You're actually staying.

05:53:23.000 Oh, then take the seat now.

05:53:24.000 Okay, yeah.

05:53:25.000 Yeah.

05:53:25.000 All right, everybody.

05:53:25.000 I'll be back in a little bit.

05:53:26.000 Rebecca's taking over.

05:53:27.000 All right.

05:53:28.000 All right, guys.

05:53:29.000 Holding down the form here.

05:53:30.000 All right.

05:53:31.000 Sounds good.

05:53:32.000 Hi, how are you?

05:53:33.000 Good to see you.

05:53:34.000 We've got a stacked panel.

05:53:35.000 This is really exciting.

05:53:37.000 Yeah, we met.

05:53:38.000 What's up, man?

05:53:38.000 How are you doing?

05:53:40.000 Tony Ortiz.

05:53:41.000 Do you guys have a seat a little bit?

05:53:42.000 Marshall breaks.

05:53:44.000 Is there a break right now or something?

05:53:46.000 No, no, I meant online.

05:53:46.000 If you need a break.

05:53:48.000 Now we're just doing it all live.

05:53:49.000 Yeah, no, we're just rolling with it.

05:53:51.000 Are we live right now?

05:53:52.000 Yeah.

05:53:52.000 Yes.

05:53:53.000 Well, folks, yeah, no, we've been, well, we're streaming.

05:53:56.000 But it's been, it's been a wild election night.

05:54:00.000 I mean, no shortage of just, you know, it's just a brutal, it's a blow after a blow.

05:54:05.000 But actually, Congresswoman, you were touching on this a little bit earlier, but I wanted to follow up with you because clearly there are many issues right now with the GOP and it's reflecting in the early polling that we're seeing.

05:54:17.000 But I'm curious to know do you think it's solely like a GOP problem or do you think there's a Candidate quality problem as well?

05:54:24.000 Because some candidates are definitely struggling a little bit more than others.

05:54:26.000 I'm just curious to know what you think.

05:54:28.000 I think it's both.

05:54:29.000 I think that, you know, the entire approach that MAGA and Republicans have to be loyal to a man, Donald Trump, and there's this loyalty test and this forced loyalty in the Republican Party to its voters.

05:54:43.000 And that was applied to candidate endorsements.

05:54:46.000 And so, I mean, for years now, election cycle after election cycle, we've seen Trump endorse what we would, most of us would say, the worst candidate.

05:54:55.000 Candidates in primaries, and then the MAGA machine comes behind, and the political consultants come behind with funding and they fund these Trump endorsed candidates.

05:55:04.000 Well, they're usually most of the time not the most conservative, and they're not America first.

05:55:09.000 And so they win the primaries with the Trump endorsement and all the money, and then they go through and win their general elections.

05:55:17.000 And so we basically have this disgusting, mushy, gross Republican Party that nobody likes.

05:55:23.000 And so I think that's one problem.

05:55:25.000 And then this whole referendum that's happening tonight in the midterms, there's casualties in this thing.

05:55:31.000 My state of Georgia looks like our state governor seat has been flipped blue.

05:55:36.000 I don't know if it's been called yet for Keisha Lance Bottoms, but Rick Jackson, who spent like $220 million of his own money running as a Republican candidate, may very well lose to the former mayor of Atlanta that was mayor when the city was set on fire during the summer of love in 2020.

05:55:56.000 And so.

05:55:57.000 There's casualties of this referendum on Trump tonight.

05:56:02.000 And I think we're watching it in real time.

05:56:04.000 It looks like right now the Democratic candidate Keisha Lance Bottoms is leading by about 9%.

05:56:10.000 Rick Jackson is trailing behind.

05:56:11.000 That's, again, it's pretty brutal, but this is kind of par for the course.

05:56:14.000 This is, according to the Associated Press, with 79% reporting.

05:56:18.000 So, yeah, again, not looking great.

05:56:19.000 And to your point about the candidate quality, I mean, some of these endorsements, I got to say, I mean, who was that woman in Florida that did the Dignidad Act?

05:56:28.000 Do you guys remember that lady?

05:56:30.000 She was the.

05:56:31.000 Exactly.

05:56:32.000 Why is it in Spanish?

05:56:33.000 No, it's this lady.

05:56:34.000 She had this amnesty bill.

05:56:35.000 Oh, Maria Salazar.

05:56:36.000 Exactly.

05:56:37.000 What's up with that?

05:56:38.000 I thought we were the mass deportation party, and now we got Maria Salazar's getting the Trump administration.

05:56:44.000 Well, even the candidates that went hard on that are losing dramatically.

05:56:46.000 Look at Beau French.

05:56:47.000 I mean, he literally went, he could not stop tweeting about how he just wanted to deport Indians, like specifically.

05:56:53.000 And that's somebody that you would normally, or not you, but the right would normally agree with.

05:56:59.000 And I don't disagree with you if you've got an H 1B problem, but you've got a bunch of candidates that are just like these crazy LARPers or just like goofy people.

05:57:08.000 Look at Ken Paxton.

05:57:09.000 He's losing.

05:57:10.000 He's losing tonight.

05:57:12.000 It's not a matter in Texas.

05:57:13.000 It's not a matter of how bad it is.

05:57:15.000 It's a matter of how bad it is, right?

05:57:16.000 We might lose the governor.

05:57:18.000 Like Greg Abbott, we might have a Democrat governor in Texas.

05:57:22.000 And you've got Ken Paxton, and they're like, oh, he's such a great candidate because he beat John Cornyn.

05:57:28.000 It's not that he was such a great candidate, it's that John Cornyn was that bad a politician.

05:57:33.000 And you've got Paxton who's nonstop cheated on his wife, who's involved in a ton of scandals.

05:57:39.000 He's the most uncharismatic person I've ever seen on the campaign trail.

05:57:43.000 And, like, if you ever listen to this guy talk, he's boring as hell.

05:57:46.000 Like, God, he's so lucky he's not running against, like, a Donald Trump because Trump would just destroy him just from rhetoric.

05:57:51.000 Yeah, you're right.

05:57:52.000 And he's just boring.

05:57:53.000 And you go online and these influencers who are all paid will tell you that Paxton's, like, the best thing in the effing world.

05:57:59.000 And now he's losing to James Tallarico, who said his favorite thing is, like, trans children.

05:58:04.000 Yeah, and that got a lot of money in the area or whatever.

05:58:07.000 So Texans were left with a choice of, like, do you want a vomit or a crap sandwich?

05:58:07.000 No, it's crazy.

05:58:12.000 And they chose one of the two.

05:58:14.000 And I know you do a lot of reporting in Texas, and I'm curious to know your perspective because I imagine that a lot of this is just evangelicals and suburban moms sitting out.

05:58:22.000 It's not necessarily that they're going out enthusiastically voting for Calorico.

05:58:25.000 They're not sitting.

05:58:26.000 No, they are.

05:58:27.000 A lot.

05:58:27.000 They're not sitting.

05:58:28.000 Yes, absolutely.

05:58:29.000 Nobody believes this.

05:58:30.000 I've been calling this from a lot of gins.

05:58:32.000 Well, not only that, but like the Hispanic turnout with the youth, I'm talking about like South Texas, they're all turning out now to vote for the first time.

05:58:40.000 And I tell you, they're not voting for Ken Paxton.

05:58:43.000 There is this false idea that Hispanics are naturally conservative.

05:58:47.000 That's not true.

05:58:48.000 They're not.

05:58:49.000 Like, there's this boomer belief that, like, Hispanics are naturally conserved.

05:58:52.000 They're not.

05:58:53.000 Do you think that's an immigration thing?

05:58:55.000 I think it's like any, you look at any minority class, whether it's Hispanics or Asians, whatever flavor of Asians you want to pick, there's this inherent loyalty to their home country.

05:59:07.000 And I don't feel that way.

05:59:08.000 I was born in America, grew up in Chicago, I've always voted Republican.

05:59:12.000 But you'll have this class of people, and I've seen it even on local races where you've got, like, a Democrat.

05:59:18.000 I've seen this with the Asians in a city called, a county called Collin County.

05:59:22.000 In Texas, where you had a Democrat running as a Taiwanese person and then a Republican running as a Chinese person, and both candidates the Chinese turned out to vote for because, typically, for the fact that she was Asian.

05:59:33.000 They voted for the Republican and the Democrat.

05:59:35.000 And so, like, minorities have this undying loyalty to their foreign countries.

05:59:39.000 You see that with the flags they fly.

05:59:41.000 You see the Mexicans flying the Mexican flags, the Asians flying their flags and their stuff.

05:59:45.000 Yeah, but do you think it's a protest of like ICE and the deportation?

05:59:45.000 So, it's a problem.

05:59:48.000 Absolutely.

05:59:49.000 Absolutely.

05:59:49.000 You're 100% right.

05:59:50.000 Like, you know, the Hispanics may be big on, like, oh, you know, the economy stuff and the pro life stuff, but.

05:59:56.000 When push comes to shove and they start seeing like their people getting deported, all of a sudden they're like, oh, wait, like, you know, and not that I supported deportations, absolutely.

06:00:05.000 You know, I'm one of those that we probably need more of them, but a majority of Hispanics don't feel that way.

06:00:10.000 And it's showing in the election results.

06:00:12.000 Yeah, but I think something has changed because it does seem like for a while they were.

06:00:17.000 I mean, there were a lot of Hispanic people that were coming over to Trump and MAGA.

06:00:21.000 And I do think it's because they were supporting legal immigration.

06:00:24.000 There was that.

06:00:25.000 And then there was also the machismo thing where like Trump came off as like this cool alpha.

06:00:30.000 Womanizer, and I don't say that in a bad way.

06:00:34.000 I'm pro Trump, but he came off as a cool dude.

06:00:37.000 So you had a lot of Hispanic men voting for that.

06:00:39.000 Trump's not on the ballot.

06:00:40.000 And if you're like this Hispanic guy that wants a tough candidate and you're looking at the Texas Republican ballot, who is that?

06:00:48.000 It's not Ken Paxton.

06:00:49.000 Yeah, but do you guys think that if Trump was on the ballot in this moment, that he would still be raking in the same number of Hispanics?

06:00:56.000 His approval rating is so bad.

06:00:57.000 Well, look at Texas, for example, I was there just recently.

06:01:01.000 And the price of gas and diesel in Texas is ridiculous.

06:01:05.000 I mean, if you dig down five inches, you're going to run into oil in Texas.

06:01:09.000 Paid $4.50 for premium the other day.

06:01:10.000 Exactly.

06:01:11.000 So I don't think it's just necessarily singular on the deportation and ICE issue.

06:01:15.000 I think it's literally the cost of living.

06:01:18.000 And people are like, screw this.

06:01:20.000 Yeah, if you're a Republican, what's your selling point?

06:01:22.000 Well, so you don't have one.

06:01:24.000 And that's why I was asking too, because I do think, I've been saying all along, I think that when we look at the data as it comes out later, we're going to find that like record numbers of young people did not come out and vote.

06:01:34.000 In this election.

06:01:35.000 So I'm curious, are the young Hispanics coming out because specifically of the deportation issue, or is it the affordability issue, or is it a combination of all of those things?

06:01:44.000 I think it's all of the above.

06:01:46.000 And then you've got the president telling everybody, you've got to vote for Darlene Graham.

06:01:46.000 Yeah.

06:01:51.000 Right.

06:01:52.000 There's also a vote for.

06:01:52.000 In South Carolina.

06:01:53.000 I don't know.

06:01:54.000 No, no, she's losing.

06:01:55.000 Is she losing?

06:01:56.000 Yeah, she's losing.

06:01:57.000 I think she only raised like $700,000 in the most recent quarter.

06:02:01.000 It's outrageous.

06:02:01.000 Way behind.

06:02:02.000 I mean, this is great.

06:02:03.000 It's just a lose.

06:02:04.000 Actually, I think that's great.

06:02:06.000 I don't think that Darlene Graham.

06:02:08.000 Graham deserved to be the candidate.

06:02:10.000 I mean, that's called nepotism.

06:02:12.000 How ridiculous is this?

06:02:13.000 And everybody hated Lindsey Graham to begin with.

06:02:16.000 I was in South Carolina at a rally with the president in 2024, and I spoke just before Lindsey Graham and I spoke against the Ukraine war.

06:02:23.000 And I spoke about how I never voted for any of the funding and the war needed to end, and we shouldn't, our tax dollars shouldn't go for that war.

06:02:30.000 It's a land dispute over an area, part of the world that has nothing to do with us.

06:02:35.000 Lindsey Graham came on after me and literally proceeded to get booed for seven minutes straight.

06:02:39.000 In his home county.

06:02:40.000 I remember that.

06:02:41.000 Where the man was born.

06:02:42.000 He was born in that county.

06:02:44.000 And so, but that's the Trump endorsement.

06:02:48.000 Right.

06:02:49.000 Well, I want to bring in the rest of the panel as well, Mike.

06:02:52.000 I'd love to hear your perspective on this, as well as everybody, because I think we're all a little online.

06:02:56.000 We could probably all afford to spend a little less time on our phones, but it's very true that we're, at least I am, very online.

06:03:02.000 And one of the things that I've seen just incessantly on Twitter is people, some people who I will not be naming, blaming the election results on.

06:03:11.000 The podcast wars.

06:03:12.000 It's not, guys, it's not the war.

06:03:14.000 It's not the foreign war that nobody asked for that the president started.

06:03:17.000 It has nothing to do with the fact that diesel is $6.

06:03:19.000 It's because podcasters are arguing and they're fracturing the GOP.

06:03:23.000 I would love to turn over to the panel because I have my thoughts.

06:03:26.000 I think it's a little bit ridiculous, but what do you guys make of that?

06:03:33.000 On March 25th of this year, so that's like seven and a half months ago, seven months ago or so, I sent a text message to myself that we were going to get destroyed in the midterms.

06:03:46.000 Because of this war on Podcastistan.

06:03:50.000 I remember so vividly that week.

06:03:54.000 If you go back and look at the contemporaneous kind of talk about that, it was this idea that people in the podcast world have no power.

06:04:03.000 They are overrated.

06:04:06.000 They have no influence over policy and they can be completely disregarded because, in that moment, the concerns of the base expressed through really independent media, independent MAGA media, was at odds with.

06:04:21.000 A number of priorities that were ongoing.

06:04:24.000 And this idea that the tens of millions of Trump 2024 voters would simply fade out into the distance, but then also vote GOP in 26 in the midterms was so patently, it was like, yeah, they are not secretaries.

06:04:46.000 They're not cabinet secretaries.

06:04:47.000 They're not insiders.

06:04:49.000 They can't exercise power at that moment.

06:04:50.000 The one moment that they exercise power is voting day.

06:04:55.000 And The way that the MAGA Civil War has been navigated, it was evident for a whole year now, it's been evident that the problem today was going to be voter turnout because of the divide between the voters in 2024 and the direction of various.

06:05:21.000 It's enough to win certain internecine MAGA wars.

06:05:26.000 But it's not enough to beat Democrats.

06:05:28.000 To beat Democrats, you need the whole coalition together.

06:05:32.000 And the concerns of the base were taken quite dramatically for granted in a number of ways.

06:05:44.000 And even if the administration does not necessarily agree with many of the concerns of the base, there have been so many.

06:05:54.000 I have to put myself in the shoes of.

06:05:58.000 The median Trump 2024 voter.

06:06:02.000 And there have been a lot of very direct attacks on folks who it's one thing, they might still be Republican or conservative or libertarian, but to then throw the ballot for someone who comes at you or says, you're not a part of this unless blank, that is going to crush voter turnout.

06:06:28.000 And it may be enough to unseat.

06:06:31.000 A number of congressmen in races, but it's not enough to beat Democrats.

06:06:36.000 And that is, you know, the world's most predictable outcome manifested today.

06:06:41.000 And, you know, this, but you could have bet this a year ago.

06:06:45.000 I mean, this, and by the way, this is a lesson learned because the real thing is 2028.

06:06:51.000 When Democrats take power, they're not taking over the Justice Department.

06:06:54.000 They will if they win in 2028.

06:06:58.000 It was, unless dramatic reforms are made, We will lose in 2028 because if you run on the 2026 policy platform, you will get crushed in 2028.

06:07:10.000 And unless this loss happened today, those reforms would not have been made.

06:07:14.000 There is a chance for this lightning strike to re blossom the rainforest floor.

06:07:21.000 And for, I mean, the lessons that would have been taken by Republican consultants and pollsters and advisors.

06:07:31.000 If Republicans had kept the House and the Senate with many of the things that happened this year, I think would have been very frightening for the future of the GOP.

06:07:42.000 And this is an important moment for recalibration of the policies of the administration in the back half.

06:07:52.000 Did you want to go?

06:07:53.000 Oh, I just wanted to add that I agree with you, but I also think that the party needs to be burned down and rebuilt.

06:08:01.000 I've been fully disgusted at what's happened, like, really, truly.

06:08:06.000 And I think, to Mike's point, it is an opportunity if they recalibrate, but I don't know that the people in place can recalibrate.

06:08:16.000 I just really don't.

06:08:17.000 I just want to say that I think it's really sad, actually.

06:08:21.000 And I've already gotten a number of messages that I'm sure a lot of us have saying, you must be so happy that this happened and you got what you wanted.

06:08:31.000 I didn't want this.

06:08:32.000 I don't think any of us wanted this.

06:08:34.000 We were all thoroughly behind President Trump and MAGA in 2024.

06:08:39.000 We wanted this administration to succeed, we wanted these guys to do well.

06:08:45.000 And I saw the writing on the wall.

06:08:47.000 Uh, at the beginning of this year, I gave a speech at CPAC addressing what I was starting to see the divide.

06:08:52.000 I certainly wasn't the first person to see it, but I was starting to see it.

06:08:54.000 That's when I started speaking about it.

06:08:56.000 And when I started to speak about it, I started to see that there were two different camps there were the people that were seeing that the administration was going sideways, and then there were the people who were just sort of following President Trump as he was going sideways and not asking any questions.

06:09:10.000 And they were like, No, you guys are wrong.

06:09:12.000 You guys are, you know, you're just causing problems for the sake of causing problems.

06:09:16.000 This is when we started doing these uh MAGA divide debates, trying to bring it out on the table, trying to help people understand why this was happening.

06:09:23.000 I have spent this entire year feeling like I was at the top of a cliff, seeing two trains speeding toward each other, seeing this wreck about to happen and screaming, and people could not hear it happening.

06:09:35.000 I am not happy that this happened.

06:09:36.000 I don't think any of us wanted to end up in this place.

06:09:39.000 It's actually devastating.

06:09:40.000 And we didn't want to see the failure happen.

06:09:42.000 No.

06:09:43.000 I think that's one of the biggest things.

06:09:45.000 And we didn't want to allow the failure to happen.

06:09:48.000 That's why I know I spoke out.

06:09:49.000 That's why you spoke out and others.

06:09:52.000 I think there's something to look forward to.

06:09:53.000 I actually have a lot of hope.

06:09:55.000 Me too.

06:09:55.000 And I know.

06:09:56.000 Well, good.

06:09:57.000 You probably share.

06:09:58.000 So I think this is a pivotal time.

06:10:01.000 And I think it's going to take some time for the political battleground, so to speak, to sort of readjust itself and to settle.

06:10:10.000 But I think this is a time where younger generations are going to have an opportunity to shape the candidates that they actually want.

06:10:18.000 And I think America is moving to a place where there's going to be people on the left and people on the right.

06:10:23.000 I know I'm one of them that is going to be able to look at more of a A true America first populist type issues and easily come to understanding with people on the left.

06:10:34.000 And I want that.

06:10:35.000 And I know I can't agree with them on everything, but we are not supposed to.

06:10:35.000 I do too.

06:10:39.000 Right.

06:10:39.000 And that's the beautiful thing about being an American.

06:10:41.000 But I look forward to a future where there's candidates that can take just a few issues and work with the other side and say, no, I'm going to represent my district.

06:10:50.000 I'm going to work for the people that voted for me.

06:10:52.000 And I'm going to work with everybody to accomplish this.

06:10:55.000 And I think that's where we're going.

06:10:57.000 And I am so hopeful for that because I'm so tired of the two.

06:10:57.000 I agree.

06:11:01.000 The team party politics where you fight it out like you're in a bar for, you know, on Saturday for a football game.

06:11:08.000 And I don't think everybody's done with that.

06:11:10.000 It's a stale model that has failed everyone.

06:11:14.000 And it's what the boomers came up in.

06:11:17.000 And now it's just going to die off.

06:11:19.000 And so I look at tonight and I'm like, burn it to the ground.

06:11:22.000 All the bad must go.

06:11:24.000 I don't think the Democrats are going to achieve anything.

06:11:26.000 But I think we all have an opportunity to be really honest with each other.

06:11:32.000 And then also start looking across the aisle and go, okay, guys, what do we want for the future?

06:11:36.000 I see that vision too.

06:11:37.000 Like, I actually think a lot of these divisive cultural issues, we can toss them to the states, let the states decide that stuff.

06:11:44.000 We don't need to make this a big national debate and be left versus right paradigm hating each other.

06:11:49.000 I think we can come together on the things that we really agree on, which right now, if you were to ask just about anybody in this country under the age, certainly of 30, but I think all the way up to maybe 50, what has gone most wrong for you?

06:12:02.000 Most of them are, one way or another, it's going to point back to they feel like America is not being put first, that our elected officials are bought out by foreign governments.

06:12:11.000 And a lot of people on the left feel the same way.

06:12:13.000 And I think that we can agree on that point.

06:12:16.000 Because I, you know, listening to you guys talk about this, which is really fascinating, do you guys really think that the socialists who are being elected to Congress tonight would agree that they want to work with the other side?

06:12:26.000 I don't think that they do.

06:12:28.000 I don't think if you look at Milat Kiros, Daria Lisa Chevalier, Claire Valdez, any of the rest of them, Max Frost, I don't think they want to work with the other side.

06:12:37.000 I think that what they really want to do, they want to burn it down, but they want to burn it down in a different way than you do, Marjorie.

06:12:43.000 You know, they want to burn it down by destroying the Senate.

06:12:46.000 They're interested in getting rid of the Senate.

06:12:47.000 They're interested in getting rid of the Electoral College, packing the Supreme Court with loyalists.

06:12:52.000 This is what they want to do.

06:12:54.000 And when I look out and when I look out at this nation and what it's offering for our kids, I'm really concerned that the socialist message, which is basically ideological fabrications, is what is winning them over because for so long, conservatives have let go of the very cultural issues, Brandon, that you want to send back to the states.

06:13:14.000 Things like education, things like what's going on in our universities, the level of indoctrination that we've seen.

06:13:21.000 Going out to our kids across the board, something I'm really concerned about.

06:13:25.000 And so I'm curious to know because you guys are both speaking about what is essentially an idealistic vision, and it's a vision that I think used to be one that most Americans shared.

06:13:35.000 We're all headed to the same place.

06:13:36.000 The question is, how do we get there?

06:13:38.000 Do you think that the socialist candidates and that the current Democratic Party that may not even elect Hakeem Jeffries as speaker, who is, you know, 20 years ago, was he a moderate?

06:13:48.000 He was a far leftist.

06:13:49.000 Now he's a moderate.

06:13:51.000 What's going to happen with these guys?

06:13:53.000 Like, do they have, can you share goals with socialists?

06:13:58.000 I can tell you this.

06:13:59.000 So, that's been the scary talk, right?

06:14:00.000 Oh, no, if we let the Democrats win, they're going to make Puerto Rico a state and DC a state.

06:14:05.000 They're going to pack the courts.

06:14:06.000 They're going to destroy the filibuster.

06:14:07.000 They're going to do all these things.

06:14:09.000 And that's been the big, scary threat.

06:14:11.000 And it was like, that's why we're supporting Republicans because Republicans are going to block grant the money for education back to the states.

06:14:18.000 Didn't happen, by the way.

06:14:19.000 Republicans are going to stop the trans agenda on the kids.

06:14:22.000 We passed my bill through the House to make it a felony to trans a kid, literally to do something.

06:14:27.000 Yeah, nobody took it up.

06:14:28.000 Nobody backed you up on that.

06:14:30.000 No, no, it passed in the House.

06:14:31.000 Guess what?

06:14:32.000 Four Republicans voted no.

06:14:36.000 Three Democrats, I'm sorry, actually voted yes.

06:14:38.000 It only passed because of three Democrats.

06:14:40.000 Then it went to our Republican Senate, stuck it on a shelf and didn't touch it.

06:14:44.000 Yeah.

06:14:44.000 So here's the issue going down the same vote for Republicans to stop Democrat socialism, it doesn't work because with Republicans, we're still ending up with garbage.

06:14:54.000 And that's the true thing.

06:14:55.000 And we're ending up with.

06:14:56.000 Guess what?

06:14:57.000 Republican socialism.

06:14:58.000 Donald Trump wants to give $5,000 checks to every single adult, which is socialism.

06:15:04.000 So it just comes in a different form.

06:15:06.000 No, I do have hope for it.

06:15:07.000 And I'll tell you why.

06:15:08.000 So I was in California just last week.

06:15:10.000 I met with Jank Ueger.

06:15:12.000 We had lunch.

06:15:13.000 Love the guy.

06:15:14.000 And I'm talking not only to Jank, I'm talking to many other people on the left, on the right.

06:15:19.000 And everyone is in agreement, like Brandon is saying, we've got to find a new way forward.

06:15:24.000 Now, does that mean Max Frost and all these other maybe progressives or so forth are they definitely on the bandwagon?

06:15:30.000 No.

06:15:31.000 But guess what?

06:15:32.000 40% of Americans are independent.

06:15:34.000 That's bigger than both sides.

06:15:37.000 And so I think there's an opportunity.

06:15:39.000 I don't think it's going to happen quick.

06:15:41.000 I don't think it's going to happen easy, but I think it's going to take some time and it may be some years, but I think that's the direction we're going in.

06:15:48.000 Can I address your question too?

06:15:50.000 Yeah, I'm curious.

06:15:50.000 So your specific question was about can we reach across the aisle with Democrat socialist politicians, elected officials, and find common ground?

06:15:59.000 I don't know, but I will say to me, the bigger question is why are they getting elected in the first place?

06:16:05.000 And I actually think we're responsible for the rise of democratic socialism, the right, because We are not providing some sort of plan for people, young people in this country who are worried about the affordability issue.

06:16:16.000 That's what I think is causing.

06:16:18.000 In 2025, I did this huge effort in New York City to try to stop Mamdani.

06:16:21.000 And part of that effort was we were doing these like street debates all over the city, just like we do it, like Charlie Kirk, a collegist, but all over New York, encouraging New Yorkers to approach the microphone.

06:16:31.000 And if they're supporting Mamdani, tell us why.

06:16:33.000 So they would come.

06:16:34.000 New Yorker after New Yorker would step up.

06:16:36.000 I was expecting to hear like blue haired radicals saying they hate America and they want to burn it down and, you know, rise of socialism.

06:16:43.000 It was almost never that.

06:16:45.000 It was, I'm going to be 40 years old.

06:16:48.000 I'm working three jobs.

06:16:49.000 I still have roommates.

06:16:50.000 I don't know how I'm going to pay my rent.

06:16:52.000 I feel like I did everything right.

06:16:54.000 The system is not working for me.

06:16:56.000 And if one of these parties is going to offer some sort of plan that addresses the affordability crisis, I'm going to go with the people who are offering to help me.

06:17:05.000 Republicans have not addressed affordability.

06:17:07.000 And I feel like we're pushing people over to.

06:17:09.000 These aren't like socialists who actually are voting for socialists.

06:17:13.000 So my point is like the candidates, I don't know, but I think that we.

06:17:17.000 We could be gaining those voters if we actually address the issues that are causing people to vote for socialists.

06:17:22.000 Yeah, I mean, I agree with you guys that the messaging from the GOP has been really bad.

06:17:27.000 We were talking earlier about how this war hasn't done any favors for the Republicans.

06:17:32.000 I mean, Trump ran on a platform of starting no new wars, right?

06:17:38.000 We all said it on TV.

06:17:39.000 We all.

06:17:39.000 We all said it.

06:17:41.000 He's the president of peace.

06:17:42.000 Vote for him, you know, and totally threw us back.

06:17:45.000 I think it's interesting.

06:17:46.000 There's precedent for this, right?

06:17:48.000 If you look, you know, as a couple of Brits here on the table, We saw this as Boris Johnson, right?

06:17:52.000 The people elected him to deliver Brexit and he didn't deliver Brexit.

06:17:57.000 So they wiped out the Conservative Party and now the Conservative does not exist in the UK anymore.

06:18:02.000 That was, you know, however many years ago.

06:18:04.000 They've now got two years.

06:18:06.000 Right.

06:18:06.000 Well, they're reanimating like the T1000.

06:18:07.000 Well, they're trying to.

06:18:08.000 But they've got two years now.

06:18:10.000 This has to be the wake up call.

06:18:11.000 This has to be the time when they realize that what the people want, they have to deliver.

06:18:16.000 Not what the donors want and what the big money people want.

06:18:19.000 It has to be about the people because all of these.

06:18:21.000 The young guys, as you were saying, that have no opportunities now.

06:18:24.000 There's no jobs.

06:18:25.000 There aren't jobs for the young guys in this country because, you know, all of my friends, you apply for a job, you don't even talk to a human.

06:18:30.000 It's an AI thing.

06:18:31.000 You put your CV into an AI thing and you never even talk to someone.

06:18:34.000 People are really struggling.

06:18:35.000 And this country is still great, but it's the only one left.

06:18:38.000 Look at everywhere else in the West from Australia, Canada, the UK, all of Europe.

06:18:42.000 You guys are the only ones still standing.

06:18:44.000 This is so important.

06:18:45.000 They have to stand up.

06:18:46.000 Yeah, when it comes to censorship, when it comes to freedom, liberty, all of these things, it is from here no further.

06:18:52.000 And I think that you're right about that.

06:18:54.000 It is terrifying to look at.

06:18:55.000 The situation with jobs.

06:18:57.000 And you even hear people on the GOP coming out and saying, you know, oh, all of those kids sitting in their mom's basements, like go out there.

06:19:04.000 And you're like, what are you even talking about?

06:19:06.000 There are thousands of jobs.

06:19:08.000 Right?

06:19:08.000 It's so scary.

06:19:09.000 I have three kids in their 20s.

06:19:10.000 Yeah.

06:19:11.000 And it's to me, that generation is just so screwed over.

06:19:16.000 And then they're talked horrible about.

06:19:18.000 No.

06:19:19.000 Like I know a 23 year old that sent 200 job applications and applied for 200 jobs.

06:19:19.000 A little?

06:19:26.000 Never even got an email saying, I'm sorry, you're not qualified, or anything.

06:19:30.000 Not even a phone call.

06:19:31.000 And I think that's a story for so many.

06:19:34.000 And it's totally not fair.

06:19:36.000 But look at who controls Washington, D.C.

06:19:40.000 The biggest donors, the biggest industries, and they're literally not building a future for these kids.

06:19:46.000 They're saying AI is going to replace everybody, robotics is going to replace everybody, and they basically just don't even want them.

06:19:52.000 Or we're going to bring in people on H 1B visas and we're going to replace you, or we're just going to open the borders back up and replace you.

06:19:59.000 And so.

06:20:00.000 And they're telling them, stop being lazy, pull yourself up by the bootstraps.

06:20:03.000 Yeah.

06:20:04.000 What decade do you think this is?

06:20:05.000 Well, and the stop being lazy comes with, and on top of that, there's going to be, you know, thousands of Somalians and immigrants who are going to be completely defrauding the system and stealing millions and billions of dollars from healthcare and, you know, the home health aid stuff and education and all of the rest of it, which I find it.

06:20:24.000 Do you guys find that people are infuriated by the fraud stuff?

06:20:27.000 I know as a taxpayer, every two weeks out of my paycheck comes a bunch of taxes.

06:20:34.000 So maddening that it's being squandered and that then you have the Democrats demanding more taxes.

06:20:39.000 It's also so offensive.

06:20:40.000 It would be less offensive if it was Americans doing it.

06:20:43.000 These are people, first generation immigrants that have come.

06:20:46.000 I came to this country.

06:20:46.000 Look, I'm an immigrant.

06:20:47.000 I would never once consider, okay, I've landed in America.

06:20:50.000 By the way, the land of opportunity.

06:20:52.000 You can be anything here.

06:20:53.000 You can make great success in this country.

06:20:55.000 Their first thought is to how do I scam?

06:20:58.000 How do I corrupt?

06:20:59.000 You know, how do I fraud this system?

06:21:00.000 It's outrageous.

06:21:01.000 These people should not be in this country.

06:21:02.000 These are not the immigrants that you want to be bringing into this country.

06:21:05.000 So I think that makes it even more offensive.

06:21:07.000 If it was Americans doing it, you'd be like, fine, that's kind of annoying.

06:21:10.000 It's these foreigners.

06:21:11.000 It's totally insane.

06:21:12.000 Well, what happens anyway?

06:21:14.000 I mean, it's just another thing I think that feels like theater to people.

06:21:17.000 I mean, this is one of the things I hear all the time.

06:21:18.000 What happened to Doge?

06:21:19.000 Right.

06:21:20.000 What happened to everything that was revealed through Doge?

06:21:24.000 I was the chair of the Doge subcommittee on oversight.

06:21:27.000 Believe me, I was like, what happened to Doge?

06:21:30.000 It's supposed to be the greatest thing.

06:21:31.000 Right.

06:21:32.000 But it's like, it's almost worse to expose it and show everybody and then to do nothing.

06:21:37.000 I mean, I think some of these people are getting prosecuted.

06:21:37.000 I don't know.

06:21:40.000 But it took a kid.

06:21:41.000 It took what?

06:21:41.000 An 18 year old kid to go out and discover this stuff happening in Minnesota and that.

06:21:45.000 It's crazy.

06:21:45.000 Right.

06:21:46.000 Where were the journalists?

06:21:48.000 Where was the New York Times doing any of this?

06:21:49.000 Oh, they were doing it.

06:21:50.000 Right.

06:21:50.000 An 18 year old kid might have been tipped off by people in the administration.

06:21:53.000 However, it actually was covered previously.

06:21:58.000 Some of this stuff was being uncovered by journalists, and it just wasn't being picked up by the big outlets.

06:22:04.000 I think what made the huge difference is when Nick Shirley went out with the video camera and actually was filming it instead of just writing it down.

06:22:11.000 People take a lot more.

06:22:12.000 And when it went on X, and we were all able to do that.

06:22:14.000 That was the whole thing.

06:22:15.000 So he, I mean, some of the information was out there.

06:22:19.000 The Feeding Our Future thing was already being prosecuted, even going back under the Biden administration.

06:22:24.000 But yeah, I think that video, and it launched a whole new way of doing things.

06:22:27.000 If I may, though, is that not proof that optimistic talk about a left right alliance is a forlorn hope?

06:22:38.000 Because, okay, you see Nick Shirley and whoever he is tipped off by exposing the fraud in Minnesota.

06:22:43.000 What was the antibody reaction by?

06:22:45.000 What could be broadly described as the American left, defending it, denying it, despite seeing the leering centers, is in as far as you describe the American left, is it we just want healthcare?

06:22:54.000 Is it like working class populism?

06:22:56.000 It is murderous anti white resentment and an insistence on replacement migration.

06:22:56.000 No.

06:22:59.000 I don't think you can separate that out from the left's party platform because anytime these freaks come out and defraud the American taxpayer, they'll come out and defend them as being as American as you.

06:23:06.000 And they will insist the civil rights statute stay on the books so they can like sue you and the American government for racism for trying to hold them to account.

06:23:13.000 So I, please correct me if I'm wrong, I don't really see how you can get even the likes of Cenk Yuga.

06:23:19.000 To give up on his immigration platform and compartmentalize it as a state culture war issue when it's a federal issue.

06:23:25.000 I don't see how you can ally with these people.

06:23:27.000 I agree.

06:23:27.000 There's going to be certain issues that we just can't come together on.

06:23:31.000 Issues we can come together on is what affects our dollar.

06:23:34.000 I mean, look at our dollar.

06:23:36.000 It has been eroded down to, you can hardly afford anything these days.

06:23:40.000 Other issues we can come together on.

06:23:42.000 Everyone I know is not necessarily talking about fraud with their taxes.

06:23:46.000 They're talking about property taxes, how they cannot, they're so pissed off that property taxes cost so much.

06:23:53.000 Or health insurance.

06:23:54.000 It's absolutely absurd, the price of health insurance.

06:23:58.000 What does the price of health insurance matter if you're in America full of Somalians?

06:24:02.000 The price of health insurance does matter.

06:24:04.000 So, when you get married and you have kids and you are having to pay $2,500 a month for health insurance for your family, you are looking at a matter of survival for your family.

06:24:17.000 We don't have a country full of Somalis, but we do have a serious health insurance problem.

06:24:21.000 But you will do if you don't limit that.

06:24:24.000 And the.

06:24:25.000 Oh, I agree.

06:24:26.000 Look, I'm 100% on a secure border and legal immigration, but most Americans, and you're talking about this election, and I can show you on a graph.

06:24:35.000 Literally, the number two issue in the entire country was health insurance.

06:24:39.000 I believe it, yeah.

06:24:40.000 I mean, it's crazy prices.

06:24:41.000 But as you say, if you've got a family of four, you're paying for that and then you're paying for the kids as well.

06:24:46.000 I mean, the Obamacare, the ACA, that's going up, what, 13%?

06:24:46.000 Have you noticed that?

06:24:51.000 Yes.

06:24:51.000 I think every year since Obamacare came into effect, the costs have continued to increase.

06:24:56.000 I worked for a company, I mentioned this before, I worked for a company that had regular health insurance provided to employees.

06:25:03.000 Everybody, like, chipped in a little bit out of their pay.

06:25:05.000 And then when Obamacare came in, the idea was that everyone would just go out on the exchange and pay for their coverage on their own.

06:25:11.000 And it was supposed to be less.

06:25:12.000 And it was supposed to be better for everybody.

06:25:14.000 And the company would save money and whatever.

06:25:16.000 And that very quickly became far more expensive for individuals than even the company had been paying for their premiums.

06:25:22.000 So I think you also have a situation where as soon as the government gets involved in something, everything gets jacked up, right?

06:25:28.000 You've got a problem with the leftists.

06:25:29.000 It's through housing, it's through free health care.

06:25:31.000 This is the problem.

06:25:31.000 Sure.

06:25:32.000 And it's totally free.

06:25:32.000 But that works.

06:25:33.000 The people love that.

06:25:34.000 We have free health care in the United States.

06:25:35.000 People love it, but it's a lie.

06:25:36.000 It's a total lie.

06:25:36.000 It's a dissolve.

06:25:37.000 And the other, yeah, we were talking about this.

06:25:38.000 And the other thing, too, when you look at, The thing with Mamdani and the rent freezes and the cheaper housing and whatever else.

06:25:45.000 There was a story that came out, I think, in City Reporter yesterday.

06:25:49.000 Pardon me if I'm wrong about that.

06:25:50.000 But there was an article that came out that said basically, mortgage companies are not giving mortgages to people trying to buy the multifamily and apartment buildings in New York City because they know that it's a bad investment.

06:26:03.000 The landlords, the buyers are going to get in there.

06:26:05.000 They're going to have to make repairs.

06:26:06.000 They're not going to be able to increase the rents.

06:26:08.000 So, this whole cheap rent thing is total fallacy because no one can support.

06:26:12.000 Support it because it's an untenable program.

06:26:14.000 How do the Republicans counter when you've got candidates out there saying we're going to give you free health care?

06:26:17.000 I mean, we know it's not free.

06:26:19.000 I mean, look, we have free health care in England.

06:26:20.000 Yeah, how do you do it?

06:26:21.000 Well, I was in Congress and fought constantly with the Speaker of the House, Mike Johnson.

06:26:26.000 And I said, What is our Republican health care plan?

06:26:30.000 Democrats destroyed the entire industry when they passed the Affordable Health Care Act.

06:26:35.000 They're responsible for all the increases and it becoming unaffordable.

06:26:39.000 Marjorie, you just don't know about it because you don't serve on the Committee of Jurisdiction.

06:26:43.000 I was like, Okay, let's roll it out, Mike.

06:26:46.000 They haven't rolled it out.

06:26:48.000 So, Republican failure to actually fix the system, deregulate, and allow more competition in the marketplace is why we're probably going to end up with Medicare for all.

06:26:59.000 Like, remember when LASIK eye surgery came out and it was, you had to pay for it in your, and it was not covered by health insurance.

06:27:04.000 Well, it was expensive.

06:27:06.000 But then, after a while, more and more doctors were doing LASIK and it was proven and more people wanted it and the price came down.

06:27:14.000 That's the model that Republicans should have pursued to fix health care.

06:27:18.000 It's like so simple, but they did nothing.

06:27:21.000 Yeah, I remember you were pushing that a lot, actually.

06:27:24.000 Insistently, yeah.

06:27:24.000 And they did something.

06:27:25.000 What is the tax rate in your country?

06:27:28.000 Oh, it's unbelievable.

06:27:29.000 I mean, the interesting thing about if you talk about the health care is that oftentimes we pay more on what's called our national insurance every month than your premiums are.

06:27:38.000 And we don't get to decide, you know, so we are paying.

06:27:41.000 This is the worst thing.

06:27:42.000 They call it free health care.

06:27:43.000 We pay for it with taxes, right?

06:27:43.000 It's not free.

06:27:45.000 And our taxes are unbelievably high.

06:27:47.000 Guys, it looks like the Democrats took the House.

06:27:51.000 Wow.

06:27:51.000 I believe it, yeah.

06:27:52.000 Democrats took the House.

06:27:53.000 Democrats took the House.

06:27:54.000 They have 114.

06:27:56.000 Republicans currently have 65.

06:27:58.000 They have to learn this.

06:28:00.000 Was your healthcare system a disaster even before your country started allowing mass migration?

06:28:06.000 It was, no, it wasn't.

06:28:07.000 I mean, it worked when it was a smaller country because, look, it does work.

06:28:10.000 If you're like a Singapore, great, you can do that, you know.

06:28:12.000 But what has happened?

06:28:13.000 I mean, if you go to the ER in England, you can wait like 10 hours until you see a doctor and it's free, yeah, but it's not because you're paying it in taxes.

06:28:20.000 So it doesn't work, but I don't know how it sounds great.

06:28:24.000 Look, when I hear Mamdani say, or El Sayed saying, you're free healthcare for all, I'm like, wow, that sounds great.

06:28:30.000 To figure out a way to counter these things, they love giving these, you know, they offer freebies to everyone.

06:28:33.000 Is Mamdani grocery stores 20% off?

06:28:36.000 Wow, that sounds great.

06:28:37.000 What's the Republican counter to this?

06:28:39.000 Well, I was curious because just the other night I was talking to a Swedish couple who were talking about their health care system.

06:28:39.000 I'm not sure.

06:28:47.000 They love it and they also pay like an astronomical tax rate, but I don't think that their country has done what your country has done in terms of allowing in migrants.

06:29:01.000 Well, they have got quite a few.

06:29:03.000 Somalians in Malmo, which is why it's like the grenade attack capital of Europe.

06:29:07.000 And they're going through a rape crisis.

06:29:08.000 So, to answer that question, two reasons the NHS doesn't work it's completely unfundable.

06:29:14.000 Like, it's one of the world's largest employers, larger than the US military, I believe.

06:29:18.000 It's essentially a healthcare system with a country attached.

06:29:21.000 And we've got an inverse demographic pyramid where we have a massive retiree to worker ratio.

06:29:27.000 Oh, yeah.

06:29:28.000 And that's going to crush your system.

06:29:29.000 Exactly.

06:29:30.000 And the state spends.

06:29:31.000 And they're expecting you all to pay for all the retirees.

06:29:34.000 Yeah.

06:29:34.000 And the state spends, I think it's 45% of GDP.

06:29:39.000 On state programs.

06:29:40.000 I mean, it's so hard.

06:29:41.000 What about the migrants that flooded your country?

06:29:44.000 Let me just give a little news.

06:29:46.000 Decision desk called Texas for Tallarico.

06:29:49.000 Wow.

06:29:50.000 There you go.

06:29:51.000 What a terrible candidate.

06:29:53.000 This is the most anti Christian Democrat they've run.

06:29:55.000 This is the most anti white person.

06:29:58.000 If I went to the Democrats and said, hey, do you know what?

06:29:59.000 I've got your guy.

06:30:00.000 It's this Tallarico.

06:30:02.000 Tallarico, he's the one that would win Texas.

06:30:04.000 No, this was a referendum on Donald Trump.

06:30:07.000 No, that's literally what this is.

06:30:07.000 Right.

06:30:09.000 I think that's really sad because another thing that we saw during this election is we saw multiple Democrats going out there.

06:30:15.000 There was AOC and Bernie, even Obama was out there.

06:30:19.000 You know, you saw them with their new coalition of Jew haters like Hassan Piker, like, okay, that's what they're doing.

06:30:25.000 But you saw multiple Democrat faces out on the campaign trail, and Trump took it upon himself to just be the one guy.

06:30:33.000 And I think that this has been a, you know, and I voted for Trump, but this has been a problem with Trump for a long time where he's the one guy.

06:30:42.000 You don't get a lot of.

06:30:43.000 You have to be loyal to the one guy.

06:30:45.000 Right.

06:30:45.000 But you're a panic in.

06:30:47.000 Or you're a traitor or you're disloyal.

06:30:49.000 Right.

06:30:49.000 But you don't.

06:30:49.000 And he doesn't want your support anymore if you want the Epstein file to be released.

06:30:53.000 Which I think is giving up support is crazy.

06:30:53.000 Right.

06:30:55.000 But we have seen, we saw, we've seen a lot of Trump and we don't see a lot of other people.

06:31:00.000 And I would have loved to see JD Vance out there more.

06:31:03.000 I think that he's gotten a little more responsibility than other vice presidents have, you know, and I think that that's a shame for the vice presidency.

06:31:10.000 Of course, it's John Adams' fault, basically, as the first vice president who.

06:31:14.000 Basically, hung out in the Senate the whole time, so that's too bad.

06:31:16.000 But anyway, I would like to see a broader coalition of Republicans going out there.

06:31:24.000 It's what it is.

06:31:25.000 It's a cult league.

06:31:26.000 I'm going to say goodnight.

06:31:27.000 JD wins.

06:31:29.000 Even if JD wins, how is he going to?

06:31:31.000 Trump's going to be sat in Mar-a-Lago tweeting about everything JD does.

06:31:34.000 Yeah.

06:31:34.000 That's tough.

06:31:35.000 Great.

06:31:35.000 Thank you.

06:31:37.000 I just wanted to close out goodnight, but I wanted to say to people to keep the faith because I agree with Rodriguez.

06:31:41.000 I think there's an opportunity to be great.

06:31:42.000 Tell everyone where they can find you.

06:31:44.000 Well, please go to Walk Away Campaign YouTube channel.

06:31:44.000 Sure.

06:31:48.000 Subscribe.

06:31:48.000 We've been doing really amazing content this year with the Walk Away Debates, MAGA versus America First, and really trying to help people understand the divide that's happening in the conservative movement.

06:31:57.000 Not to mention that our mission is always to get people to walk away from the Democratic Party.

06:32:00.000 So that will always be our core mission.

06:32:02.000 Great testimonials.

06:32:02.000 And also, the Brandon Strzok show can be found on the Brandon Strzok YouTube channel.

06:32:06.000 So please subscribe there as well.

06:32:07.000 New episodes every Monday at 5 o'clock.

06:32:10.000 And don't lose heart, everybody, because there's a great opportunity here for us to improve as a party and a movement.

06:32:14.000 And I think that we will.

06:32:15.000 Good to see you too.

06:32:15.000 Good to see you.

06:32:16.000 Good night.

06:32:16.000 Thanks for coming, dude.

06:32:18.000 So wait, let's talk about how many Senate seats have flipped.

06:32:22.000 I'm seeing three.

06:32:24.000 I'm seeing South Carolina and two.

06:32:27.000 And the Democrats have 46.

06:32:29.000 But they haven't called Tallarico yet.

06:32:31.000 Decision desk.

06:32:32.000 So, what did you think about Darlene?

06:32:33.000 Tallarico.

06:32:35.000 What do you think about Darlene?

06:32:36.000 Do you think that was a good decision?

06:32:37.000 I think she was horrible.

06:32:38.000 I thought that was crazy that they ramped another bank out.

06:32:41.000 It was insulting.

06:32:42.000 I thought that was crazy too.

06:32:42.000 Yeah.

06:32:44.000 She was just supposed to fill in.

06:32:45.000 Yeah.

06:32:46.000 And then she was like, oh, look, power.

06:32:48.000 And I think it was because of the people that supported Lindsay, his donors, and the people in D.C. were like, actually, we can just, you know, we don't have to deal with someone new and convince them of our side.

06:32:56.000 Let's just, you know, fill this one.

06:32:57.000 Well, there's also more to it.

06:32:59.000 I know this doesn't get talked about a lot.

06:33:01.000 There's also a full staff in place.

06:33:03.000 And a Senate office is really big.

06:33:05.000 So you've got a Senate staff here in Washington.

06:33:07.000 You've got a big Senate staff there in the state.

06:33:10.000 And a lot of times, if they can just pick and choose who their new person is, everyone keeps their jobs.

06:33:15.000 Oh, interesting.

06:33:16.000 And then you've also got the campaign team that has always run the campaign for that senator.

06:33:21.000 So there's a really selfish.

06:33:23.000 It's a great place to keep the great work.

06:33:25.000 Oh, I'm sure.

06:33:26.000 Keep the program going, keep the train going, keep the same checks.

06:33:26.000 Yeah.

06:33:31.000 Other bad candidates.

06:33:32.000 Wow, it seems to be.

06:33:33.000 I would say the overarching message of this has been bad candidates.

06:33:36.000 Overarching message of this is it's a referendum on Trump and his forced loyalty, forcing candidates, bad candidates, down people's throats.

06:33:47.000 And I think there's no way to save it.

06:33:49.000 I think there's no way to dismiss the war as an issue as well.

06:33:53.000 I just think that's so huge.

06:33:54.000 That was such an ongoing.

06:33:55.000 War is to start a war after saying we're not going to start any wars.

06:33:59.000 No more foreign wars.

06:34:01.000 Do the war and at the same time help the young guys, help the people, do the same thing.

06:34:05.000 But.

06:34:06.000 Yeah, they couldn't do it, I guess.

06:34:07.000 So crazy.

06:34:09.000 I'm back.

06:34:11.000 What up?

06:34:11.000 Rested.

06:34:11.000 Back.

06:34:12.000 I'm back.

06:34:14.000 No, I was just reading the news.

06:34:16.000 What do you got for it?

06:34:17.000 Nothing.

06:34:17.000 It's just the end is nigh.

06:34:19.000 You know?

06:34:23.000 You know, I wonder if.

06:34:24.000 What do you guys think?

06:34:26.000 You think Democrats are going to go woke?

06:34:29.000 Yeah, you thought too crazy.

06:34:30.000 Like AOC said, like, oh, woke 1.0 was crazy.

06:34:32.000 I think they're going to bring it all back.

06:34:33.000 I think it's going to be woke on steroids.

06:34:35.000 Put your pronouns in your.

06:34:38.000 They're going to put your pronouns on your prison vest.

06:34:41.000 You're breaking rocks.

06:34:44.000 Yeah, you can feel it coming back already.

06:34:46.000 I don't know if anybody else can feel it coming back already.

06:34:47.000 It's evolved past that.

06:34:49.000 I think they don't want to do that again.

06:34:52.000 Not all of them.

06:34:52.000 I don't think so.

06:34:53.000 There's probably some.

06:34:54.000 There's going to be some.

06:34:55.000 Yeah, but I think they don't want to do that again.

06:34:57.000 I mean, I was on that side when that was happening, and it was not fun.

06:35:01.000 That's part of what pushed me out.

06:35:04.000 I don't think anyone wants to go back to that.

06:35:06.000 I can feel it happening, though.

06:35:09.000 I see stuff online or even in.

06:35:12.000 Yeah, like they've been doing all kinds of crazy stuff lately, especially with.

06:35:15.000 We were shamed for every holiday we celebrated when I was a liberal, I was shamed for.

06:35:21.000 Like there was no joy in life.

06:35:24.000 You know what I mean?

06:35:24.000 Yes.

06:35:25.000 It's like everything was like shameful.

06:35:26.000 Who did they just cancel?

06:35:27.000 I'm going home after this and putting up my Christmas tree.

06:35:27.000 Something was back in the day.

06:35:30.000 Yeah.

06:35:31.000 Are you?

06:35:31.000 That's right.

06:35:32.000 We all are.

06:35:32.000 Yeah.

06:35:33.000 Before Thanksgiving.

06:35:34.000 We should do that new thing.

06:35:36.000 There was like a little influencer that has like tree night where you like make anybody any type of food they want and then you do the tree.

06:35:41.000 Well, that's what I want to talk about is the mothers I know.

06:35:45.000 I represent the mothers of America.

06:35:46.000 They don't know if they should be decorating for Christmas or doomsday prepping.

06:35:50.000 And we don't know what doomsday prep should look like.

06:35:52.000 Oh, okay.

06:35:53.000 It's like, what's your family size?

06:35:55.000 Like, what's.

06:35:56.000 You know, I have a family of six.

06:35:57.000 I told Tim I'm coming to his house and I had the warehouse.

06:35:59.000 And that's what I said.

06:36:00.000 And that's what I said.

06:36:01.000 It's like a Costco run.

06:36:02.000 But, like, what are we supposed to have?

06:36:04.000 I ordered, like, harmonica.

06:36:05.000 But what's with that messaging?

06:36:06.000 Why is that messaging going out?

06:36:08.000 Well, so I think.

06:36:09.000 What do we need to have?

06:36:10.000 Like, here's one of the problems.

06:36:11.000 So, this message goes out and it hits the news that U.S. military bases have to prepare to be self sufficient, disconnected from the grid, and operate on their own for 90 days.

06:36:24.000 And then you've got countries around the world that are saying prep for anywhere from three days to seven days.

06:36:29.000 To 30 days to 90 days, and it's yeah, and it's going saying it, yeah, goes all over the internet.

06:36:34.000 And then we are not told by our elected leaders, Hey, American people, don't worry, this is just a preparation plan.

06:36:43.000 We're updating things for the military, we will never let anything happen to you.

06:36:49.000 We'll protect your safety, your security, your family, your ability to make a living.

06:36:54.000 No one came out and said that.

06:36:55.000 So, what are we all supposed to think?

06:36:57.000 Everyone flips out, and of course, it's like, Well, you never know what can happen in this world.

06:37:03.000 If you've ever read a history book, you know, bad things can happen.

06:37:06.000 And so I'm like you.

06:37:07.000 My entire algorithm is filled with every type of prepping, and everybody's calling me.

06:37:12.000 And between Brian and I thought that too, like, we would like a guide.

06:37:15.000 Like, if either reassure us that we don't need to be concerned, or say, here's what you need for whatever, 30 days, you know, like, because all of us have different ideas of like what survival looks like for, you know, like, I'm not good at this.

06:37:29.000 Okay, let's start with water.

06:37:30.000 Okay, so water and wine.

06:37:31.000 Water and wine.

06:37:33.000 Antibiotics and morphine.

06:37:35.000 Yeah.

06:37:36.000 Honestly, we'd love to have that.

06:37:37.000 Get some bleach because bleach kills all germs.

06:37:39.000 I didn't have bleach.

06:37:40.000 Yeah, you got to have bleach.

06:37:41.000 And if you put a drop of bleach in some water, it can clean it.

06:37:46.000 So if you say if the water's bad, we're by the ocean.

06:37:49.000 So I was trying to do a saltwater filter like guns.

06:37:52.000 Guns.

06:37:53.000 I say definitely.

06:37:53.000 Life straws.

06:37:55.000 Matches.

06:37:56.000 So canned food.

06:37:57.000 Canned foods.

06:37:58.000 Rice.

06:37:59.000 Canned meats.

06:38:00.000 But you have to heat up.

06:38:02.000 Yeah, because what are you going to run out of battery?

06:38:02.000 Candles.

06:38:03.000 I mean, to be honest, you can forget all of this if you just.

06:38:08.000 Get a homestead and live in the house.

06:38:09.000 That's why I said I'm coming right to you.

06:38:11.000 I literally texted Tim that the other night and said, If it hits your hand, I'm going to get my address online and we'll be flaunting some carrots.

06:38:17.000 You will get shot.

06:38:17.000 Coming down.

06:38:19.000 Anybody who goes anywhere near our homestead.

06:38:21.000 I've actually been there before, I will say you probably will get shot.

06:38:24.000 I would rather take that than what my preparation looks like.

06:38:28.000 So I'll add this because we were talking about it earlier where it's like, oh, young people are angry because they can't survive.

06:38:34.000 And I'm like, yes, and.

06:38:37.000 Right.

06:38:38.000 Come on, like this country was founded on people who are like, I'm going to sail for three months across the ocean to land on a barren shore just before winter with no food.

06:38:46.000 And what is it, like a third of the people on the boats died before making it there.

06:38:49.000 And then half of them died after the people who did make it, half of them died because of the winter.

06:38:53.000 And people here are like, I don't want to move to West Virginia.

06:38:58.000 It's like you can get a house in West Virginia for super cheap if you want to live and have a garden and have chickens and take care of yourself.

06:39:05.000 And you're not going to have great internet, you're going to have low speeds, but your costs are going to be very, very low.

06:39:11.000 You'll get a cheap car and you'll drive for cheap work, but nobody wants to do that.

06:39:16.000 So you can, but everybody wants to live better.

06:39:20.000 I don't really want to do that, honestly.

06:39:22.000 I live in Philadelphia, and let me tell you, it's not better.

06:39:22.000 I live in this city.

06:39:25.000 Okay.

06:39:26.000 Like, by our kind of saying they want to live by the club and they want to have air conditioning and, you know, hot showers and all that stuff.

06:39:32.000 Nobody wants, like, what I'm saying is.

06:39:34.000 So I say we could.

06:39:37.000 I don't live in a city, but I definitely love my air conditioning.

06:39:40.000 Of course.

06:39:41.000 And my clubs.

06:39:42.000 What I'm saying is, I'm not suggesting anybody do anything that bad.

06:39:46.000 Air conditioner you can get for 50 bucks, use, and put it in your window.

06:39:50.000 I'm saying that people in Europe were like, all right, we're going to get on this boat.

06:39:53.000 Half of us are going to die before we even make it there.

06:39:55.000 Let's go.

06:39:56.000 Here's my question.

06:39:56.000 And we're being like, well, you're going to have to buy used air conditioner.

06:39:58.000 Like, oh!

06:39:59.000 I kind of think, though, like, I know that I'm the furthest right here, but don't we kind of think that, like, maybe the prepper situation or survival in the thinnest, maybe we could thin out the herd a little with the people that don't need to be here?

06:40:11.000 Like, Oz is just a little bit.

06:40:12.000 No, no, no, no.

06:40:13.000 You see, you don't even need to even say that.

06:40:16.000 God bless you.

06:40:17.000 I was just saying, like, it might be beneficial to actually have that and, like, all the people that can survive do, and then we can have, like, another.

06:40:25.000 In the South, we say, bless your heart.

06:40:26.000 Yes, yeah.

06:40:27.000 I know.

06:40:27.000 Listen, I'm not afraid to say the crazy things, but, like, Abdul still might lose.

06:40:32.000 Hydras only needs to win 50.4% of the remaining votes.

06:40:32.000 Good.

06:40:36.000 That would be your first ever Muslim senator.

06:40:38.000 Only 25%, isn't it?

06:40:39.000 25%.

06:40:40.000 We need our first ever Muslim senator.

06:40:42.000 And look, I remember when my country had our first ever Muslim politician, and now look at us.

06:40:45.000 Look at it.

06:40:46.000 Londonistan, you know, it's a slippery slope.

06:40:47.000 I've been there.

06:40:48.000 The last time I was there at a little cafe.

06:40:51.000 That's what is happening.

06:40:52.000 I mean, look at Dearborn, Michigan.

06:40:53.000 When they played that video of Dearborn, and they were like, can you believe that's America?

06:40:56.000 I said, it could be Europe.

06:40:57.000 I mean, literally, look at this.

06:40:58.000 Actually, I was there two years ago.

06:40:59.000 I'm sure it's worse now.

06:41:00.000 Oh, yeah.

06:41:00.000 I had rocks thrown at me and all of them.

06:41:02.000 Right, and a couple places California's there.

06:41:04.000 How's California looking?

06:41:05.000 It's crazy, yeah.

06:41:06.000 That's what they're trying to do to America.

06:41:08.000 It's crazy.

06:41:08.000 This guy is not, yeah.

06:41:09.000 He says, Not go to 40, so California is not.

06:41:13.000 Yeah, we can just cross Steve Hilton.

06:41:16.000 It's gonna be a while.

06:41:18.000 Go, Steve.

06:41:19.000 Go, you're right.

06:41:20.000 I like him.

06:41:21.000 He's we should text him.

06:41:22.000 I hope he, if otherwise, he's back on TV and then there's two Brits in town.

06:41:22.000 We should text him.

06:41:27.000 I took all his gigs while he was away.

06:41:28.000 No, Steve Hilton's race is not.

06:41:30.000 Wow, North and South Carolina flipped.

06:41:32.000 He won't win.

06:41:33.000 I didn't think he ran a great campaign, yeah.

06:41:35.000 Great guy, great campaign.

06:41:37.000 He's a great candidate.

06:41:38.000 He's a solid candidate.

06:41:39.000 He was great.

06:41:40.000 Hold on.

06:41:41.000 Ohio is blue.

06:41:42.000 Okay.

06:41:43.000 This is the prediction mark.

06:41:44.000 Oh, okay.

06:41:45.000 Okay.

06:41:45.000 Oh, Amy Adams.

06:41:46.000 I thought this was like the best thing to happen.

06:41:48.000 Yeah, Vivek already lost.

06:41:50.000 Vivek lost?

06:41:52.000 Oh, yeah.

06:41:53.000 Another bad candidate.

06:41:54.000 Oh, wait.

06:41:55.000 Did they not?

06:41:57.000 I think Decision Desk called it.

06:42:00.000 Let me double check.

06:42:02.000 I'm glad I did.

06:42:02.000 Did he win?

06:42:03.000 Brendan had to have bad vision.

06:42:04.000 No.

06:42:05.000 Wow.

06:42:06.000 That would be a huge upset.

06:42:10.000 I thought he was up for a while.

06:42:11.000 He said his internals were looking good.

06:42:13.000 So when I was in, I had this amazing position my race was always literally one of the first called in the country.

06:42:23.000 I don't know if it's been called yet, but the Republican will win.

06:42:26.000 Good.

06:42:26.000 I think that's good.

06:42:27.000 Yep.

06:42:29.000 So what has been called?

06:42:30.000 I'm a little behind.

06:42:32.000 What do we know?

06:42:33.000 Probably.

06:42:33.000 It's kind of crazy out there in the green.

06:42:35.000 What it has, Maine?

06:42:36.000 Where's Maine at?

06:42:37.000 Oh, yeah.

06:42:37.000 Do we know anything about old Susan?

06:42:39.000 How's she doing?

06:42:40.000 Only 26%.

06:42:41.000 Oh, that's the wrong one.

06:42:42.000 No, she does not.

06:42:43.000 Right, exactly.

06:42:45.000 She's losing with 27%, then she's behind about 5,300.

06:42:51.000 This is a shellacking.

06:42:52.000 I'm not surprised.

06:42:54.000 Wow.

06:42:54.000 I don't think it matters.

06:42:56.000 You know what I love the most, though, is like if you go to the average person and you're like, what motivates you to vote?

06:43:03.000 They're going to give you one answer it's gas prices.

06:43:06.000 Yeah.

06:43:07.000 That's it.

06:43:09.000 Gas and the war.

06:43:10.000 Even my kids who don't know that.

06:43:11.000 Well, I think those are largely intertwined.

06:43:13.000 Right.

06:43:14.000 Yeah, I don't really care about what.

06:43:15.000 And then there's that funny video the Daily Wire put out where they go to the guy and he's like, I voted for Syed.

06:43:19.000 And they're like, oh, wow.

06:43:20.000 He's like, because he's from Egypt, and they're like, he wants the trans kids.

06:43:23.000 And God's like, what?

06:43:24.000 No.

06:43:25.000 No, of course not.

06:43:26.000 It's like, well, that's what he wants.

06:43:27.000 Yeah.

06:43:28.000 Although, I got to be honest, guys, Abdul Al Said does not want trans kids.

06:43:31.000 I don't care.

06:43:31.000 Really?

06:43:32.000 He's Muslim.

06:43:33.000 He doesn't want trans kids.

06:43:33.000 Yeah, he's a Muslim.

06:43:34.000 He cannot be.

06:43:34.000 He's just lying.

06:43:36.000 Listen, listen.

06:43:36.000 A Republican is not going to elect a Muslim.

06:43:38.000 A Democrat will.

06:43:39.000 So he says the things Democrats want to hear so he can get elected.

06:43:42.000 And he's probably going to be.

06:43:43.000 They're allowed to lie to you.

06:43:44.000 They're actually supposed to lie to you.

06:43:46.000 That's the party.

06:43:46.000 Yeah, Tiki and Khuru are lying.

06:43:48.000 Lots of lying happening in politics.

06:43:50.000 It's like that, you see that town where they.

06:43:52.000 All the liberals elected the Muslim city council and then they banned pride flags.

06:43:56.000 First thing they did.

06:43:56.000 Yeah, right.

06:43:57.000 And the liberals were like, What do you mean?

06:43:58.000 Where was that?

06:43:59.000 What was it?

06:44:00.000 Hamtramp.

06:44:01.000 Yeah, Minnesota, I think, right?

06:44:03.000 Is that how you say it?

06:44:03.000 Hamtramp?

06:44:04.000 Wow.

06:44:05.000 I don't know why everybody's so dejected with losing.

06:44:08.000 We call it the green-blue, a green-red alliance.

06:44:11.000 Oh, they're, they're, they're, wait, wait, wait, hold on.

06:44:13.000 No.

06:44:13.000 They appealed it to the federal government even, and the federal government said, Screw off.

06:44:18.000 Wow.

06:44:18.000 Yeah, that was a story.

06:44:19.000 Here you go.

06:44:20.000 Everything's fake.

06:44:21.000 And it's putting band-aids on bullet holes anyway.

06:44:23.000 And it's going straight.

06:44:25.000 The Libs were like, we want Muslims to be in charge, and they're all religious.

06:44:25.000 What is that?

06:44:28.000 Republicans or Democrats, we still have $40 trillion in debt.

06:44:33.000 No matter who you vote for, we still get another foreign war.

06:44:37.000 No matter who you vote for, the dollar still goes down in value.

06:44:41.000 Inflation is the illusion of choice.

06:44:43.000 Guys, guys, guys, you don't got to worry.

06:44:45.000 Trump already explained how he's going to deal with the $40 trillion in debt hyperinflation.

06:44:49.000 That's not a joke.

06:44:50.000 Trump literally said, we're going to drive inflation so that it devalues the debt.

06:44:54.000 That he literally said that.

06:44:56.000 Well, they're doing a good job.

06:44:57.000 He said to pay back what we owe, we're going to devalue your savings and 40 trillion in debt.

06:45:02.000 Yeah, third, the third highest expenditure on the budget is the interest on the debt.

06:45:06.000 And Trump said, We're going to inflate the currency, which will devalue the debt, and that's what'll pay it down.

06:45:10.000 And the funny thing is, Trump can say these things because it didn't affect the average person's vote.

06:45:16.000 The average person's going to be like, I don't know what that means, and then they're going to look at the gas station and be $4.50, and they're going to be like, I ain't voting for that.

06:45:21.000 No, you're right.

06:45:22.000 He says a lot of this stuff out loud because he knows people don't know better.

06:45:26.000 Trump publicly said people don't know what the word incumbent means, and he's correct.

06:45:29.000 But he doesn't use an extensive vocabulary.

06:45:32.000 He uses very simple language.

06:45:34.000 On purpose.

06:45:35.000 At his rallies, it's very simple.

06:45:37.000 But then when he's on camera talking to the people.

06:45:41.000 The science behind his messaging is actually very fascinating because he speaks very plainly, and he uses, I mean, how many times does he say it's tremendous?

06:45:50.000 He has very limited, like you look at someone like RFK, who has a very articulate command of language.

06:45:58.000 But it doesn't resonate as much with people.

06:46:00.000 So, and then you, because Donald Trump is very intelligent.

06:46:03.000 We all know that.

06:46:04.000 But he speaks in very limited language.

06:46:06.000 Because people crave authenticity.

06:46:08.000 Yeah.

06:46:09.000 But it's fascinating because it, there's like a sort of a brainwashing.

06:46:13.000 And he repeats the same slogans over.

06:46:15.000 Well, he made everybody hold their hand up and dance.

06:46:17.000 Yes.

06:46:17.000 And like, it's, and very good and very bad.

06:46:19.000 There's like these, like, because I'm an English major.

06:46:22.000 So I always pay attention to language.

06:46:24.000 And I'm like, he just repeats the same adjectives, but he knows what he's doing.

06:46:28.000 He speaks in me.

06:46:28.000 It's actually brilliant.

06:46:29.000 Yeah, but it's effective, is what it's saying.

06:46:33.000 It's very effective.

06:46:34.000 Trump doesn't use.

06:46:36.000 Liberals tend to mock Republicans like they do with George W. Bush.

06:46:39.000 They do with Trump.

06:46:40.000 Yeah.

06:46:41.000 It's a strategy for sales.

06:46:43.000 The average person in America has a guy that's better than anyone, though.

06:46:45.000 They have about a third grade reading level.

06:46:46.000 Yes, he's like a used car salesman.

06:46:47.000 So, like, RFK is an ex liberal.

06:46:49.000 He's like a used car salesman that comes in your house and won't make you feel good for that moment.

06:46:53.000 Yes.

06:46:54.000 That's why he says big good.

06:46:55.000 And he hammers down on these same points and they're repetitive.

06:46:58.000 But he also does understand language.

06:47:01.000 Like, he's never out of.

06:47:02.000 Like, his grammar's always.

06:47:04.000 Oh, he's very good.

06:47:04.000 Correct.

06:47:05.000 But you know, Jim brought up a good point.

06:47:07.000 It's like when he's at the White House and with the press corps or in an interview where he's getting pushed and asked questions, that's when he says these things.

06:47:15.000 Which thing?

06:47:16.000 When he's speaking to the press, he will tell you the truth about all of this stuff.

06:47:20.000 Yeah.

06:47:21.000 One of my favorite things is he's not in control of the messaging.

06:47:23.000 Because they're in the middle of the night.

06:47:25.000 Well, no, no, it's because he knows regular people don't understand what he's saying and he can say whatever he wants.

06:47:29.000 So he literally goes, he's on the White House lawn and the press is talking to him in his first term and he says, We got a great deal with the Saudis.

06:47:35.000 We're going to sell them weapons.

06:47:36.000 It's going to be great for our economy and jobs.

06:47:39.000 And all of these progressives, these anti progressives, their jaws at the floor.

06:47:44.000 A writer at The Intercept was like, He just said it.

06:47:46.000 He said it.

06:47:47.000 He just plumb admitted what we do in the Middle East.

06:47:49.000 Oh, man.

06:47:50.000 And the thing is, if that intercept rider goes to the average American and says, Donald Trump admitted that we're just selling weapons to the Saudis, they're going to use against the Houthis to pump our economy, the person's going to be like, I don't know what you're talking about.

06:48:00.000 I don't care.

06:48:01.000 Is that an episode of House?

06:48:02.000 And they're going to go, No, it's war.

06:48:04.000 And they're going to be like, Well, then I don't know anything about it.

06:48:06.000 You want to watch the game?

06:48:07.000 And that's the problem.

06:48:07.000 Right.

06:48:08.000 That's sort of genius.

06:48:08.000 Yep.

06:48:10.000 Well, I think the problem of this country is that we have leaders who intentionally keep everyone stupid and they want the public to be ill informed all the time so that they can win elections very easily by saying stupid things.

06:48:10.000 Yeah.

06:48:23.000 And instead of saying maybe we should articulate the reason behind the actions that we are taking and why, most people will be better informed and the better information we give to people will result in better outcomes.

06:48:34.000 Instead, it's keep everyone as stupid as possible.

06:48:37.000 That way, we don't got to do any work.

06:48:38.000 Then the elites behind the scenes will do whatever the F they want.

06:48:42.000 But that's why the articles are written this way, too.

06:48:44.000 Like, it's hard for the average, I'm going to say, mother to read, like, Politico.

06:48:48.000 Like, politics is confusing the way it's written in most of these articles.

06:48:52.000 Well, I will say it's very confusing.

06:48:54.000 I will say it's confusing.

06:48:55.000 The average woman does not have time to, like, Figure out what these articles mean.

06:48:58.000 The average human, man or woman, doesn't have time, but women don't care.

06:49:03.000 So, this is a generality.

06:49:04.000 What would you do if they could understand it?

06:49:05.000 Because I do that.

06:49:06.000 Absolutely not.

06:49:07.000 Politics simplify.

06:49:08.000 Well, if you presented it in like an outfit or a recipe.

06:49:12.000 Yeah, or there's a drama happening.

06:49:14.000 And I think, see, there is a formula.

06:49:17.000 There is.

06:49:17.000 And I know because it's.

06:49:19.000 We've looked at.

06:49:21.000 On the show, we pulled up the data between the genderification of jobs.

06:49:26.000 80, 20.

06:49:28.000 Women in nursing, men in nursing.

06:49:31.000 Computer science, 80 20 men, 20 women.

06:49:34.000 In the middle is policy, 50 50.

06:49:36.000 And the false presumption people make is that, well, men like these analytical, object oriented things and women like these subject oriented things.

06:49:42.000 Therefore, when it comes to policy, men and women equally like policy.

06:49:46.000 False.

06:49:47.000 Men like policy for the reason of the objective mission and women like policy for the social element of it.

06:49:53.000 This is just, it's bimodal.

06:49:55.000 Men and women do these things.

06:49:56.000 If you take any news context, any news content in news context, 80% of women say don't care.

06:50:04.000 Take a look at the shows that have 50 seasons, like Love is Blind, Love Island.

06:50:10.000 Men do not watch these shows.

06:50:11.000 Then take a look at news programming, it's 80% male.

06:50:14.000 So when you come out and you say the latest tax policy is going to cause a major spike in imports coming from China, which is going to negatively impact short term sales in this region, women are like, I don't care.

06:50:25.000 But then if you come out and say Trump said a nasty thing called the winner pig, women care.

06:50:29.000 That's why they shut and vote.

06:50:31.000 And this is one of the issues we have right now.

06:50:34.000 You have a lot of what we're seeing right now in Democrat policy is always driven by women because women vote Democrat and the Democrat Party is social and subject oriented.

06:50:43.000 And this is because women excuse themselves.

06:50:45.000 So if you explained it that, hey, listen, everything you buy on Amazon is about to cost you a lot of money.

06:50:50.000 Yes.

06:50:51.000 And the reason why it's going to cost you a lot of money, and then you back up and tell, here's why it's happening.

06:50:56.000 It's the different style of messaging.

06:50:58.000 It's the different style of messaging.

06:50:59.000 You have to sit down and talk to people.

06:51:01.000 I will tell you this right now.

06:51:04.000 I will tell you, as a nation's best fundraiser for some of the biggest nonprofits in the world, you will never sell a woman explaining her the facts and the details.

06:51:12.000 Not going to happen.

06:51:13.000 It's all me.

06:51:15.000 I disagree with that.

06:51:16.000 Well, that's because, wait, there's three very good work.

06:51:19.000 If it was broken down in terms that women related to, I'm going to say this again.

06:51:25.000 I worked for the biggest nonprofits in this country doing street fundraising.

06:51:28.000 I was the top five for some of the biggest companies Greenpeace, the ACLU.

06:51:33.000 I worked for the PIRG groups.

06:51:35.000 And I will say it definitively you are wrong.

06:51:37.000 That does not work.

06:51:39.000 You guys are the exception.

06:51:40.000 Let me explain to you.

06:51:41.000 You have to realize that.

06:51:42.000 Let me explain to you how you pitch a guy and convince him to vote or hand you his money.

06:51:47.000 You don't, they train everybody to do the same thing spread your legs.

06:51:51.000 Keep your chest open and wave and smile and say, Please talk to me.

06:51:54.000 That doesn't work.

06:51:55.000 That is screaming into the wind.

06:51:57.000 For a man, you walk up to him and you reach your hand out.

06:52:00.000 You say nothing.

06:52:01.000 He will instinctively reach his hand out, you grab his hand, and then you say, I'm not going to waste your time.

06:52:06.000 Here's the game plan.

06:52:07.000 We've got this problem.

06:52:08.000 This is the reality, and you have to help.

06:52:10.000 Now, if it's someone like Ian, that won't work either.

06:52:13.000 Ian is a hippie dippy effeminate guy, and you got to meet him where he is.

06:52:17.000 But I will say this now for women, if you walk up to a woman and reach out to shake her hand, it's going to be a lighter handshake.

06:52:23.000 And if you immediately jump into the facts, She's going to be like, Yeah, look, I'm busy.

06:52:27.000 Or women to vote.

06:52:28.000 I don't think so.

06:52:29.000 And I can say that as a member of Congress who won three elections and talked to I don't even know how many tens of thousands of people.

06:52:38.000 And I communicated with plenty of women.

06:52:40.000 But these are Republican women who are funding Republicans, and the Democratic Party is almost two to one young liberal women.

06:52:46.000 I'm at five baseball every weekend.

06:52:48.000 I think the Republican problem is that you try to talk to women just the way you describe it.

06:52:52.000 Oh, I'm not Republican.

06:52:53.000 So the way you've been talking for the past five minutes is not the way to talk to any women.

06:52:58.000 Sure.

06:52:59.000 Women can be appealed to when you explain to them why it's important.

06:53:04.000 Just like most women are like, I don't want to own a gun.

06:53:06.000 Well, then if we talk about a home invasion and how you only literally might have like 30 seconds, 30 seconds to grab your gun and save your life, that's going to convince a woman, maybe I do want a gun because I want to save my life and my children's lives.

06:53:06.000 We have to do that.

06:53:21.000 It's a whole different way to communicate.

06:53:23.000 But trying to just talk directly and bark at women and explain something to them is not going to bring women in the right place.

06:53:29.000 Republican voters skew meal.

06:53:31.000 And so, of the women that skew Republican, they are more in line with what you're talking about.

06:53:31.000 It just doesn't.

06:53:36.000 But the majority of women skew Democrat.

06:53:38.000 And that's because the pitch to those women has to be subject oriented.

06:53:41.000 No, the pitch to women across the country from the Republican Party has been Trump style grab them by the pussy and protect the pedophile elites while the women that said they were raped by the pedophile elites, they get ostracized.

06:53:56.000 And then, no, I served as a Republican.

06:53:58.000 But this is the Republicans' fault.

06:53:59.000 I'm not offering anything.

06:54:00.000 The Republicans pushed women down.

06:54:03.000 They never wanted us in leadership.

06:54:05.000 They never wanted us used very much in communication.

06:54:08.000 We had to push our way to the front.

06:54:11.000 And I'm telling you, the Republican men and the messaging to women across the country is pathetic.

06:54:17.000 And it could be done a lot better.

06:54:19.000 And it could appeal to women to explain, like, here's why conservative issues matter.

06:54:24.000 Here's why these policy issues matter.

06:54:27.000 It needs to be subject oriented, not object oriented.

06:54:30.000 And the Republican Party leans object and the Democratic Party leans subject.

06:54:30.000 I'm going to say that.

06:54:34.000 It's communication style.

06:54:35.000 I'm going to say, as someone with.

06:54:37.000 Over a million followers and 86% women who are not all conservative.

06:54:43.000 I have quite a bit of moderates and some liberals hanging in there.

06:54:47.000 Bless you all.

06:54:49.000 It is the way you speak to them.

06:54:51.000 So the only reason I got into politics, I don't really want to get into politics, it's a blood sport, it's terrible.

06:54:57.000 But I just felt like women were not represented in the conservative movement.

06:55:01.000 And so as someone who was a liberal woman raised as a liberal and who started to connect more with conservative values, It was very hard for these women to find a place where they felt like they could understand what was going on.

06:55:16.000 So, I do.

06:55:17.000 I mean, that is what Marjorie's saying is I can't really understand the message.

06:55:23.000 Like, well, no, it's not because we think differently.

06:55:26.000 We're not the same as you guys.

06:55:27.000 Is it because the pitch needs to be different for women?

06:55:29.000 Because you're men and we're women.

06:55:32.000 Right.

06:55:34.000 So, when I explain, you can't pitch a woman the way you pitch a man.

06:55:40.000 No.

06:55:40.000 You're agreeing with me.

06:55:41.000 So, I think, but I think that women are interested in politics.

06:55:41.000 Right.

06:55:45.000 It's just that it has to be approached in a different way, subject oriented.

06:55:48.000 Yeah.

06:55:49.000 And yes.

06:55:50.000 Women care about people, men care about objects.

06:55:53.000 Men care about things, women care about people.

06:55:55.000 Yes.

06:55:56.000 And so what's been effective in my coverage is making the candidates relatable and emotional level.

06:56:02.000 I would, like, when I was covering Trump, you know, at first I was covering RFK.

06:56:08.000 And then when I was covering Trump, my kids would come, I have four boys.

06:56:11.000 So they would come home from school and be like, so and so's mom hates you right now because you made her like Donald Trump.

06:56:16.000 And she hates you because she hates Donald Trump.

06:56:18.000 Like, every day.

06:56:19.000 And like the teachers, they're like, The kids would be like, oh, you know, like Ben's mom is so mad because she kind of likes Donald Trump.

06:56:26.000 But like, you have to humanize, like, women just respond to different things.

06:56:31.000 Not you, not the kids.

06:56:32.000 I'm just saying that like we have an over feminized system.

06:56:35.000 We have an over feminized system in general right now.

06:56:38.000 You have women leading, like taking over in institutions and changing the fundamental structure of those institutions.

06:56:44.000 They're not functioning well.

06:56:46.000 And now we're talking about like acquiescing to women more so that they can, what, Be here more and ruin this too.

06:56:53.000 Like, honestly, it's kind of exhausting.

06:56:55.000 Like, I don't think that we should do any of that.

06:56:57.000 I think that women should kind of look.

06:56:59.000 I'm not saying it's every woman.

06:57:01.000 Okay.

06:57:01.000 I don't think most women are like you, you, or me.

06:57:04.000 Right.

06:57:04.000 Like, I'm obviously loud and obnoxious, but, but, but most women aren't like that.

06:57:09.000 And the more of those women that you let in to places, the, the more that men are uncomfortable.

06:57:16.000 Now we're having HR meetings every five minutes and it's so feminine.

06:57:21.000 The men are kind of crazy talking to these women like this.

06:57:24.000 Like, Either, if you're going to be involved, right, be involved in the accurate way.

06:57:30.000 Like, we don't need to soften it for you.

06:57:31.000 And I'm not about to start weakening men or making them communicate differently to approach these women because that's going to be a turnoff to the men that we need to step up and do what they need to do.

06:57:43.000 Like, let me tell you, I'll tell you as again, when I used to do fundraising and needed women to give me money.

06:57:50.000 You want to know the easiest way?

06:57:52.000 Where's the wine?

06:57:53.000 You want to know the easiest way to get a woman to hand me all her money?

06:57:55.000 Where's the wine?

06:57:56.000 Brian?

06:57:57.000 You want to know the easiest way to get a woman to hand over the money?

06:57:59.000 Oh, no.

06:58:00.000 Make her cry.

06:58:01.000 Yeah, make her cry.

06:58:03.000 So, if I was doing a pitch to a guy, I'd say, You need to understand this.

06:58:07.000 Right now, we are dealing with a football field of trees being torn down every five minutes on this planet.

06:58:13.000 Do you know what that means for our oxygen?

06:58:15.000 Do you know what that means for your children and your future?

06:58:17.000 Now, listen, I understand you're a busy guy.

06:58:19.000 You don't have time to deal with this, but I know you care, and you're not going to walk away because you're a good person.

06:58:23.000 That's why you're going to take out your credit card right now, and I'm going to sign you up, and you're going to give me the 20 bucks so I do the job for you.

06:58:29.000 That guy high fives me.

06:58:31.000 The women don't care about that.

06:58:32.000 The women, I would always do this pitch where I'd say something like, I need to tell you about there's a football field every day.

06:58:39.000 I'm sorry.

06:58:41.000 I can't do this.

06:58:41.000 You know, they want me to give you this speech and tell you about math.

06:58:47.000 I'm like, but here's the reality.

06:58:51.000 Every day I wake up and they are killing our planet.

06:58:56.000 And these men walk by and they do nothing.

06:59:00.000 Well, that's altogether different.

06:59:00.000 I need you.

06:59:02.000 I need you right now to stand with me.

06:59:04.000 And they start crying and they give me their money.

06:59:06.000 You're not going to go to a woman and be like, here's the math and here's the math problem we're solving.

06:59:09.000 But guys want to talk about math.

06:59:10.000 Like, literally, no woman wants to talk about math.

06:59:12.000 I agree.

06:59:13.000 That's exactly the thing.

06:59:14.000 Some.

06:59:14.000 That's very small, very, very, very tiny.

06:59:16.000 I know.

06:59:18.000 The pitch for the homeless shelter I worked at to guys was we've got 10,000 children on these streets.

06:59:23.000 We've got 10,000 adults on these streets.

06:59:25.000 They're living under bridges, and that creates crime and that creates poverty, disease.

06:59:29.000 We're going to solve that problem today.

06:59:30.000 The pitch for women was I need you to close your eyes.

06:59:34.000 I need you to imagine that you wake up under a bridge.

06:59:37.000 You raised a lot of money.

06:59:39.000 You wake up under a bridge, and you think to yourself, I have nothing.

06:59:44.000 I have no one.

06:59:46.000 But I want you to imagine this.

06:59:47.000 As you look up one day, you see a hand reach out to you.

06:59:50.000 I want you to imagine that hand.

06:59:53.000 And you reach up and you take that hand, and someone reaches down and they say, I'm here for you.

06:59:59.000 I'm going to help you.

07:00:00.000 I love you.

07:00:01.000 You can be that hand right now.

07:00:02.000 Hold on.

07:00:03.000 Let me get my checkbook.

07:00:04.000 I had a lady write me a check for $700 a month.

07:00:07.000 That's how Obama spoke, though.

07:00:09.000 Yes.

07:00:09.000 Of course.

07:00:10.000 But guess what?

07:00:11.000 And Republicans spoke.

07:00:12.000 And that could work on our side of the aisles.

07:00:14.000 Oh, we got it.

07:00:15.000 That's what we're missing.

07:00:16.000 So you know what made me cry?

07:00:18.000 Kids getting killed in Gaza.

07:00:20.000 I'm like 22,000 kids.

07:00:21.000 Oh, I do not care.

07:00:25.000 I know it sounds bad.

07:00:25.000 That's why I know it sounds bad.

07:00:27.000 I know, listen, I told you I'm like, I know, but listen, I don't want our money to go to Israel because they.

07:00:33.000 Well, I don't want our money to go to Israel, too.

07:00:34.000 I'd get rid of them, too.

07:00:36.000 No.

07:00:37.000 Listen, I'm tired of these forever wars in the Middle East, too.

07:00:41.000 The reason that we're failing over in the Middle East, and I've said this earlier, is because we do these like tiptoe little, little, oh, we'll do a little here, do it.

07:00:41.000 Fine.

07:00:48.000 No, like just go in full force.

07:00:50.000 Well, one time I tried all that and nobody would vote for it.

07:00:53.000 I got so excited.

07:00:55.000 That's the problem.

07:00:56.000 That's why we got a call in about one minute.

07:00:59.000 I remember I was working on the hill there.

07:01:02.000 Oh, yeah, that's right.

07:01:03.000 So, but my thing is that it's never even if even if they did vote for it, it's never going to change anything.

07:01:08.000 Like, it's no, but my point is what makes like that makes me cry.

07:01:12.000 And you talk about money, and I'm like, don't give them any money, don't give them any money.

07:01:16.000 But like, I think that if we if we go in harder and stronger and Quicker, then we wouldn't have all this, and it wouldn't need to be.

07:01:24.000 Neither of this is the issue.

07:01:25.000 The issue is that we have conflicts all over the world and children being massacred everywhere, but you cannot sell a political cause to individuals.

07:01:33.000 I'll put it this way power is not inherently evil, and winning a war does not make you the bad guy.

07:01:38.000 I'm not making a comment on Israel.

07:01:40.000 By all means, hate Israel and hate what's happening in Gaza.

07:01:42.000 You're absolutely allowed.

07:01:42.000 My point is if the United States said there's a bunch of Nazis over here and we're going to go take them all out, you cannot show the war with a dominant power crushing the weaker power and then.

07:01:53.000 Convince people that the one doing the crushing is the good guy.

07:01:56.000 That's not how propaganda works.

07:01:59.000 No, that is a true fact about psychology.

07:02:01.000 However, and I got to go here in a second, I adamantly believe we have to do a better job communicating.

07:02:07.000 Completely agree.

07:02:08.000 Republicans suck.

07:02:09.000 Yes.

07:02:10.000 All right.

07:02:11.000 And on that note, Republicans are losing tonight.

07:02:13.000 That's why, yeah.

07:02:15.000 He needs a new stream ID.

07:02:15.000 Okay.

07:02:16.000 Thank you.

07:02:17.000 It was great having you.

07:02:18.000 Marjorie's like, I'm getting as far away from Lisa as possible.

07:02:21.000 They're crazy jokes.

07:02:23.000 Time to get.

07:02:24.000 No.

07:02:25.000 No, I mean, I should say.

07:02:26.000 But this is a lot of different things.

07:02:28.000 This is the point.

07:02:29.000 Republicans suck at all of this.

07:02:31.000 They have no ground game.

07:02:33.000 The Democratic NGO machine is well oiled and masterful at communication and knows how to talk to women.

07:02:41.000 It knows how to make true crime podcasts.

07:02:43.000 It knows how to convince women to watch.

07:02:45.000 And the thing is, guys like me and the people who watch this show do not like the emotional manipulation.

07:02:52.000 But that's what you have to do to convince women.

07:02:55.000 And that's why when you look at, here's a really great example Abdul El Sayyid was on Jesse Waters' program.

07:03:01.000 Jesse Waters asks him, Do you think that males should be in the bathroom with little girls?

07:03:07.000 And then Abdullah Al Said goes, Are you circumcised?

07:03:10.000 And what did liberal women do?

07:03:13.000 Like, it wasn't even a political point.

07:03:15.000 It wasn't a point of logic.

07:03:17.000 It wasn't a point of policy.

07:03:18.000 It was a ha ha, nya, That's the kind of thing that women are motivated by in a general sense.

07:03:25.000 Not all women.

07:03:25.000 There's obviously people like Lisa.

07:03:27.000 There's people like you.

07:03:29.000 I think older women, largely as well, are like, listen, don't give me the BS.

07:03:33.000 Millennial women are going to be motivated to vote based on how they're told by their social circles to vote.

07:03:40.000 What is up?

07:03:41.000 Hey, dude.

07:03:42.000 He has a new link.

07:03:42.000 Welcome.

07:03:44.000 Someone to agree with Lisa and me.

07:03:46.000 Lisa and me.

07:03:47.000 Oh, were we fighting?

07:03:49.000 Yeah, well, I know.

07:03:50.000 That's a lot for people who haven't heard it before.

07:03:53.000 I don't know how I ended up in this lady discussion.

07:03:55.000 I know.

07:03:56.000 Who do you agree with?

07:03:58.000 It's not for me to comment.

07:03:59.000 Which lady do you agree with?

07:04:00.000 All of ladies.

07:04:01.000 No.

07:04:02.000 Each.

07:04:03.000 Let me be specific.

07:04:04.000 No, no, I think we all completely agree.

07:04:06.000 I think it was fine.

07:04:07.000 I think everyone made great points.

07:04:09.000 But I think we all actually agreed.

07:04:10.000 The point was: do you think that is why they lost?

07:04:12.000 Were the women not.

07:04:13.000 Yes.

07:04:14.000 You think it was women?

07:04:15.000 The issue.

07:04:16.000 So, for Anna Claire.

07:04:17.000 Someone read me into this.

07:04:18.000 Okay.

07:04:19.000 What I was saying is that women are not motivated by object oriented things by math.

07:04:23.000 Women are motivated by emotional and subject oriented things.

07:04:26.000 If you are trying to pitch a woman, you can't go and say, listen, the economic policy released by Donald Trump is going to result in blah, You need to go to them and say, the children are dying.

07:04:37.000 Think about the children.

07:04:38.000 Show them a picture of a dead kid.

07:04:39.000 And they're going to be like, oh my God.

07:04:41.000 And that's one of the big reasons why even Marjorie Taylor Greene just said that the children dying in Gaza, she was upset.

07:04:47.000 She was furious about.

07:04:49.000 And This is one of the reasons she was pissed.

07:04:51.000 So, my ultimate point was if you're pitching a guy, it's straight to the facts, handshake, let's get the job done.

07:04:57.000 If you're pitching a woman, it's you're hugging and crying and saying, Oh, won't someone think of the children?

07:05:01.000 Emotionally.

07:05:02.000 Yeah.

07:05:03.000 I think there's a little bit of both, right?

07:05:04.000 I mean, there are women who are really sharp, critical thinkers who you could go to with an economic argument and say, You know, these are the numbers, this is what's best, make a pragmatic decision.

07:05:15.000 But like anybody, you want there to be a package.

07:05:19.000 I mean, I remember back when I used to work for nonprofits, like it is much harder to raise money for someone who campaigns for a policy for foster children because the policy is what you're talking about versus someone who is like, I am packaging duffel bags for children in need.

07:05:34.000 Don't you want to help me?

07:05:35.000 It's very different when you have a face to sell.

07:05:37.000 And I do think that applies to men in some cases.

07:05:40.000 Now, obviously, I'm walking into the middle of a conversation, so it'll be harder for me to.

07:05:45.000 But you are, you nailed it.

07:05:46.000 That's absolutely correct.

07:05:47.000 Great.

07:05:47.000 Yeah.

07:05:48.000 I love it when I'm in a room full of people who think I'm right.

07:05:50.000 My mark's on.

07:05:51.000 I'm going to grab some.

07:05:52.000 Do you want me to grab somebody new?

07:05:54.000 I don't know.

07:05:54.000 Whatever you want to do.

07:05:55.000 Not enough for you, Lisa.

07:05:55.000 Oh, I love you.

07:05:57.000 I'm like, listen, we agree on a lot of things.

07:05:59.000 Man, you think that Lisa would stay in this chair, but she's just got to run away.

07:06:03.000 There's so many people that come back on.

07:06:03.000 There's a lot of people.

07:06:05.000 We made all the women points.

07:06:07.000 Well, I won't make any.

07:06:08.000 You're the best.

07:06:09.000 I'm one of the boys.

07:06:10.000 You're a good one.

07:06:12.000 What Hank Clay said, you are completely correct.

07:06:14.000 Republicans don't know how to package their policy like it's a duffel bag.

07:06:17.000 No, they don't at all.

07:06:18.000 It's always been the struggling point.

07:06:20.000 And it's actually one of the things that I think Democrats have really ran circles around Republicans for years, which is basically they're able to pull.

07:06:27.000 The puppy, the foster kid duffel bag.

07:06:29.000 They're able to say, like, we have the cuter, funner thing, and you are voted against us.

07:06:33.000 And it's free stuff.

07:06:35.000 This thing, free health, cat, free this, free that.

07:06:37.000 We got Mark Mitchell on.

07:06:38.000 How's it going, sir?

07:06:40.000 Good to see you, Tim.

07:06:41.000 Doing well.

07:06:42.000 Likewise, are you mourning or how are you feeling?

07:06:46.000 I mean, certainly catharsis.

07:06:47.000 I took a lot of slings and arrows for the last year and a half.

07:06:50.000 There were not a lot of people out there saying, listen, this is going to be a disaster.

07:06:54.000 You need to change your messaging.

07:06:56.000 And I got attacked and isolated, and all the paid shills came after me.

07:07:01.000 And unfortunately, you know, like here we are, I was right, and uh, let's get past this and move forward and figure out how to change what went wrong.

07:07:11.000 The problem here is that we absolutely pretended that independents became Republicans all of a sudden.

07:07:17.000 And then we lost them over the last year and a half by the way we messaged and governed.

07:07:22.000 And it wasn't a hard election.

07:07:24.000 I mean, Democrat plus 13, I had double digits pretty much the entire time.

07:07:28.000 Rich Parrish did as well.

07:07:30.000 Yeah.

07:07:30.000 And, you know, everybody who followed us in 2024 all of a sudden didn't like us so much.

07:07:35.000 Because, well, you're apostates.

07:07:37.000 What do you mean?

07:07:39.000 Yeah.

07:07:40.000 I'm on team truth.

07:07:40.000 Yeah.

07:07:41.000 You know, that's what this is about.

07:07:42.000 Well, we were just talking about Republicans failed messaging with women, that they tried to pitch women on policy instead of action.

07:07:51.000 Or, as I describe it, like even our show is dominant, it's 80% dudes.

07:07:57.000 And it's because we're very dude thinking.

07:07:59.000 We're very, here are the facts, here's the math, we argue.

07:08:02.000 Whereas women like social, subject oriented.

07:08:06.000 Hannah Clare was making the point that you can't pitch women on hard policy, but you can pitch them on filling a duffel bag.

07:08:12.000 Because one seems to make more sense.

07:08:14.000 I think this is one of the things that Republicans did miserably bad, but it's obviously compounded by bad policy, like starting a war with Iran right before a midterm election.

07:08:22.000 Yeah, that was kind of like the nail in the coffin, in my opinion.

07:08:24.000 A little like cherry on top of a bad year and a half.

07:08:28.000 If I had to pick like one cardinal sin that went wrong, I mean, and there are a lot, but I mean, the biggest one is gaslighting on the economy.

07:08:37.000 So, what a lot of people don't acknowledge is that America is fundamentally in a very different place than it was in the first Trump administration.

07:08:44.000 If you look at the economic polling, Like tracking, you gov, for instance, has a great time series of whether the economy is getting better or worse.

07:08:52.000 Starting in COVID, we entered a very different economic order where people are in constant crisis.

07:08:57.000 They went from 30% economy getting worse to now like in the 60s.

07:09:02.000 And it's only been relieved, it hit a respite during the Biden inauguration and the Trump inauguration.

07:09:08.000 So GDP prints, unemployment numbers, the stock market does not change people's perceptions of the economy.

07:09:16.000 The hope that somebody will fix it is what changes perception.

07:09:19.000 And he Yeah.

07:09:20.000 Go ahead.

07:09:21.000 Go ahead.

07:09:22.000 I'm just saying, if you track Trump approval on the economy in the first term, he was pretty much net zero the whole time.

07:09:27.000 This time, before I ran, he was underwater 20 points.

07:09:31.000 And so the issue is, you know, 50 year mortgages and don't talk to me about affordability and the Dow's 50,000, bitch, and like all of this stuff.

07:09:38.000 He said, I don't think about that when he was asked about working class, you know, cost of living.

07:09:43.000 And then you had Speaker Johnson when he was interviewed and asked, what is the Republican Party going to offer people should they vote for him?

07:09:49.000 He says, we're going to do exactly what we've been doing.

07:09:51.000 And I'm like, well, that's Kamala Harris' answer when people are pissed off and suffering.

07:09:55.000 So, look, I didn't think Republicans would do this bad.

07:09:58.000 I have been saying, I'm going to give myself a compliment sandwich.

07:10:01.000 I've been saying that they've been, the Democrats are going to win.

07:10:06.000 You know, I don't, but however, I said I didn't think it was going to be that bad.

07:10:09.000 But I will give myself this I've been repeatedly saying over the past several months, Republicans have not campaigned on anything.

07:10:09.000 Yeah.

07:10:15.000 Republicans have not come out and said, here's our plan for the next year.

07:10:19.000 Trump just goes, I'll give you $5,000, which no one thinks he's going to do.

07:10:23.000 That was insulting.

07:10:24.000 Yeah, there was no plan.

07:10:26.000 There was, look, to be like Democrats weren't offering anything either, but they didn't have to because they were the opposition.

07:10:31.000 That was the plan.

07:10:32.000 Tim, they had a very clear plan.

07:10:34.000 They're scary Muslim socialists.

07:10:36.000 That was the plan.

07:10:36.000 It was very naive, cynical.

07:10:40.000 So the problem was, in my opinion, that once they got rid of Doge and once they got rid of Project 2025, there was absolutely nothing to fill the vacuum.

07:10:49.000 Like they got the one big beautiful bill over the finish line.

07:10:51.000 It was a pork bill with a little tiny bit, thin veneer of MAGA, right?

07:10:55.000 But we were not hearing robust conversations about what they were going to get through in the next reconciliation package.

07:11:01.000 And I talked to Trump in November of last year, and I said, You guys are going to lose.

07:11:05.000 Your message is terrible.

07:11:07.000 People don't think you're fixing the economy and they don't think you're reforming the government.

07:11:12.000 And if you wanted to win, you should stop fighting the Republican Party visibly and show that you can govern coherently.

07:11:17.000 And America understands that you're not going to be able to fix all these problems because the problems, like, this isn't egg prices.

07:11:23.000 This is the death of the American dream.

07:11:25.000 Like, that is the real problem.

07:11:27.000 And they need to see this path to the golden age.

07:11:29.000 And you have to explain how Republicans can deliver that and with what policies and how, and then deliver on some of it.

07:11:35.000 And it's like no, we bombed Iran instead.

07:11:38.000 I got to be honest.

07:11:39.000 We've been talking about one thing over the past couple of months the polls showing that boomers want to tax young people at higher rates to pay Social Security.

07:11:46.000 And I'm like, that would make me vote communist.

07:11:49.000 I'm being facetious.

07:11:50.000 My point is if I was 25 and the boomers were like, we're going to tax you when you've got no house, you've got no family, the American dream is slipping, you've got no way to even grasp it, and then they're saying we're going to tax you more money.

07:12:04.000 If I was 25, I'd be like, I am going to steal your stuff and I'm going to burn your system down.

07:12:10.000 In 2034, Gen Z and millennials will be a majority of the electorate, and they will still own almost four times less wealth than combined boomer and silent generations.

07:12:20.000 So that'll be about the same.

07:12:22.000 Let me interject.

07:12:24.000 We don't know exactly how it's going to play out when boomers die.

07:12:26.000 They're at the mortality shelf now, and what they own has to go somewhere.

07:12:30.000 But I think the property values are going to implode.

07:12:33.000 The issue is, in order for there to be a transfer of wealth, there has to be a commensurate Wealth held by the other generation to acquire it.

07:12:43.000 So, what I mean is, if a house is valued a million dollars and a boomer owns it, but millennials have no money and Gen Z has no money, when that boomer dies and that million dollar house goes to the market, no one can buy it.

07:12:55.000 Now, to be fair, a millennial will inherit it.

07:12:57.000 Fantastic.

07:12:58.000 They'll inherit a million dollar house no one can buy, which means the value will collapse.

07:13:03.000 So, the wealth will evaporate alongside it.

07:13:05.000 This could bring prices down, but it could also mean many of these houses are going to be abandoned because.

07:13:10.000 Or, what's going to happen is, as I've my prediction is, a millennial inherits a million dollar house in Omaha, but he lives in New York.

07:13:17.000 He moved to the city to be closer to people because the younger generation is smaller.

07:13:20.000 So, when they say you've inherited this house, he says, just sell it.

07:13:23.000 Only problem, no one can buy it.

07:13:24.000 So, they come back and say, we can't sell it at a million.

07:13:27.000 Lower it to eight.

07:13:27.000 I can't sell it at eight.

07:13:28.000 Lower it to six.

07:13:29.000 Can't sell it.

07:13:30.000 Lower it to four.

07:13:31.000 A million dollar house collapses to 400.

07:13:33.000 We wipe out massive equity.

07:13:35.000 Tons of people who still have mortgages go underwater because of this housing crisis.

07:13:39.000 And then, when the people, Either are completely unable to sell it, you're going to get pockets of abandoned houses in various places like the IKEAs in Japan, like in Miigata.

07:13:50.000 This is going to wipe out massive amounts of wealth.

07:13:53.000 If we wanted to transfer wealth, millennials needed to have a certain amount to be able to buy it when it was inherited, and they can't.

07:13:59.000 Gen Alpha is too small, Gen Z is broke.

07:14:02.000 For this reason, you are going to get, in my opinion, a short stint of communist ethos, which the young people are like, I'm going to steal it all from you, I don't care.

07:14:12.000 It's never going to work and it's going to implode and we're going to get an economic crisis, a depression.

07:14:18.000 No, 100%.

07:14:20.000 There's a million paths, in my opinion, to that depression.

07:14:22.000 And also, I think a lot of the wealth is going to get harvested by the healthcare industry and long term care insurance and all this other stuff.

07:14:29.000 So I definitely don't think it's going to be transferred.

07:14:31.000 But I think ultimately, if you step back and look how over levered everything is and how high asset prices are, we plan on monetizing the debt.

07:14:39.000 So we're probably going to get some kind of hyperflationary environment.

07:14:42.000 And then also, it's like the GDP has to continue to go up.

07:14:45.000 They're probably going to try and import.

07:14:46.000 A bunch of people, right?

07:14:48.000 In order to, but ultimately, I think we've gotten to the point where any real economic reform looks like deflation, and our system is allergic to that.

07:14:56.000 And so, unfortunately, I don't know how you fix that.

07:14:59.000 Trump said he's going to inflate the economy to pay down the debt.

07:15:02.000 Basically, we're not going to pay the debt down.

07:15:04.000 We're going to just inflate the economy of the debt's not worth that much anymore.

07:15:07.000 And then Democrats coming in and do everything they can to flood the country with more people to try and alleviate the stresses that I described with lack of population.

07:15:14.000 Yeah.

07:15:15.000 In order to improve the GDP, you can do two things.

07:15:18.000 You either can increase output or reduce the cost of input.

07:15:23.000 A lot of people focus on increasing output.

07:15:25.000 But if you reduce fuel costs, like I'm kind of borderline obsessed with hydrogen fuel, the way that they can produce it with the graphene synthesis.

07:15:33.000 If you can retrofit our methane channels nationwide to use, Hydrogen fuel in some sort of hybrid system, not to upend the gas industry, reduce the cost of fuel by 98%.

07:15:45.000 That the entire economy, it will say $40 trillion on paper, but it's really only $4 trillion in reward.

07:15:49.000 That would destroy the economy.

07:15:51.000 Well, the economy is getting destroyed one way or another.

07:15:53.000 If we could destroy it in a favorable manner, that's one, you know, it would definitely obliterate the economy as we know it.

07:15:59.000 One thing that people don't understand is the inverse correlation in costs.

07:16:02.000 So I think, Dan, you probably know a lot about this.

07:16:05.000 Like when the cost of gas goes down, the consumption of gas skyrockets.

07:16:11.000 So, there was a theory a long time ago like, oh, you know what?

07:16:14.000 We're going to, we're going to, everybody uses X amount of gas per day.

07:16:18.000 So, let's, if we lower the price, then it's going to be easier for everybody to have extra money to spend.

07:16:23.000 And what they found was people just spend more on gas.

07:16:25.000 So, what you're describing, Ian, with like, if we get cheaper fuel, it's going to have an inverse reaction, meaning the money that facilitates between these industries, the high cost of gas, is not just that like the gas itself is inherently expensive, it's the chain of events and jobs you have.

07:16:43.000 That result in the cost of that product.

07:16:45.000 When you create a substantially cheaper and easier to produce thing, it eliminates a large portion of the economy, which money is like a lubricant of an economy, it's for the exchange.

07:16:56.000 So if you strip out five people from the process because your product is cheaper and it goes further, those five people can't buy food anymore.

07:17:02.000 So I'm not saying don't innovate energy.

07:17:04.000 I'm saying if we're talking about the economy collapsing and your ideas, let's just rapidly change the energy system.

07:17:10.000 It's like, yeah, that'll collapse it faster.

07:17:11.000 Maybe.

07:17:12.000 But if your argument is, Don't let a good crisis go to waste so we can change the energy environment.

07:17:15.000 Well, it's the people that might get those five people that would lose their jobs if you transition to hydrogen.

07:17:20.000 They might lose their jobs and get a different job, but if their food costs 80% less, that might be a net win for them, even if they lose their job.

07:17:28.000 They buy more food in the fuel industry.

07:17:29.000 Maybe.

07:17:30.000 They do.

07:17:30.000 But you can only own so much gasoline.

07:17:32.000 I mean, it evaporates.

07:17:34.000 This is one of the big challenges in managing government is that, like, look, we have obese, we have morbidly obese homeless people.

07:17:40.000 And so what do they do?

07:17:42.000 They sell them drugs to stick into their legs so they can.

07:17:44.000 Not want to eat anymore.

07:17:46.000 It is not particularly easy to manage an economy.

07:17:48.000 There's no simple solutions.

07:17:50.000 Yeah.

07:17:51.000 Anyway, yeah, Mark, if you wanted to jump in.

07:17:52.000 Well, I mean, it's gotten to the point where we are going to see solutions that are simple and will probably screw things up.

07:17:59.000 So we conflate this with fuel and food and egg prices and all these other things.

07:18:06.000 But what we've seen is wage suppression for decades and a situation where increasingly the wealth and power concentrate to the top.

07:18:13.000 They have essentially co opted our legislators and they have a lot of.

07:18:17.000 Power over the executive as well.

07:18:20.000 And what it has done is affected the polling and people's perception of the economic system.

07:18:25.000 So, under 50 voters now support the word socialism more than they support capitalism, even though they probably don't actually think of socialism when they hear that word.

07:18:33.000 And what we're seeing now is that overwhelmingly socialistic policies are popular with even people on the right.

07:18:38.000 So, we disguised seizing the means of production with a question that was like, hey, should the government and people take over factories and industry and control distribution of the profits as opposed to the people who own them, right?

07:18:52.000 And that was supported by a plurality of Republicans now.

07:18:56.000 And wealth taxes are like three to one popular with literally everybody, including Republicans.

07:19:02.000 Even though it's impossible.

07:19:04.000 What's that?

07:19:05.000 Even though it's impossible.

07:19:07.000 Yeah.

07:19:08.000 I mean, I provide a stimulus, I get a response.

07:19:11.000 And the stimulus response is that people are frustrated.

07:19:14.000 They want to see industries nationalized.

07:19:16.000 They want to see excess wealth confiscation, especially young people and even young conservatives.

07:19:23.000 And this is a reality that the Republican Party doesn't understand.

07:19:26.000 Again, they still want to revert to some kind of halcyon days of Reaganism when half of under 40 Trump voters.

07:19:34.000 Say they would support a Democrat socialist.

07:19:37.000 And so, again, what does socialism mean to them?

07:19:40.000 It doesn't mean a complete lack of economic freedom.

07:19:42.000 It means like, hey, healthcare works in Japan.

07:19:45.000 Why can't we have that?

07:19:46.000 And I would say, like, we're going to start, the pendulum's going to swing back, in my opinion.

07:19:51.000 I don't know what happens in 2028.

07:19:53.000 A lot of stuff's got to get worked out between now and then.

07:19:56.000 But I would submit to you that we are probably closer, based on the opinions of people that I sample, we're probably closer to, for instance, for healthcare single payer than we are to any kind of free market solution because the Republican Party has none.

07:20:08.000 And nobody thinks they have any.

07:20:10.000 And that's why Democrats are leading on the issue.

07:20:12.000 And so it's like, if we really care about the free markets, we should probably be proactive and coming up with actual solutions that people would vote for that could win and be effective.

07:20:22.000 And every single Republican will just like scratch their head and say, well, we just need more HSAs or something.

07:20:26.000 It's like, no, this is literally one of the things that is strangling Americans.

07:20:30.000 It costs as much as a mortgage payment.

07:20:32.000 Nobody can afford it.

07:20:33.000 And, you know, actually, what they'll tell you is that it's the world's best economy and you have to vote for us because there's never.

07:20:40.000 Yeah, it's insane.

07:20:41.000 So the gaslighting has been off the charts.

07:20:42.000 That you've got $6.50 diesel, and Trump was like, it's the best economy ever.

07:20:47.000 Dude, Elon's been tweeting out that our healthcare system is about to improve to the point where everyone will have better healthcare than the kings that live today with AI, designer drugs, right for you, cheap, easy to make.

07:21:00.000 And that should be like the Republican platform.

07:21:03.000 It should give us a seven year plan towards free healthcare, not because the government's subsidizing it, because it's so cheap to manufacture.

07:21:09.000 Yeah, I get it, but it's like the biggest employer in 40 states, and it's like 20% of our GDP.

07:21:13.000 You know what I mean?

07:21:14.000 So it's like the problem is cost.

07:21:16.000 And how do you get rid of that cost?

07:21:17.000 Well, if it's massive technological improvement, that means a lot of jobs go away, right?

07:21:22.000 And so, like, this is kind of the issue.

07:21:23.000 Like, how do you deal with that?

07:21:25.000 Communist revolution.

07:21:27.000 Oh, I'm sorry to interrupt.

07:21:27.000 Yeah.

07:21:28.000 I mean, I'm just throwing ideas out there.

07:21:30.000 The FC News is projecting 252 Democrat seats to 183 Republican.

07:21:35.000 They have called it already for the House.

07:21:37.000 Everybody basically did.

07:21:39.000 This is not a blue wave.

07:21:40.000 This is not a blowout.

07:21:41.000 This is a Noah's Ark disaster.

07:21:45.000 This is a nuclear bomb.

07:21:47.000 This is massive.

07:21:48.000 A tsunami of sorts.

07:21:49.000 It's more than a tsunami.

07:21:51.000 I'm not saying that it's going to be a blue tsunami.

07:21:53.000 It's just like, I'm just tired of these weather metaphors.

07:21:56.000 I get it.

07:21:57.000 You guys got a lot of seats.

07:21:58.000 It's going to suck for the next years.

07:21:59.000 But to be honest, I really, and I feel like this is going to be an unpopular opinion, but I really feel like I would rather have two years of auditioning socialism than have it be just this myth that hangs over two years before the general election.

07:22:12.000 That's not great.

07:22:13.000 It is definitely me looking for a silver lining in this situation.

07:22:16.000 But again, like, I feel like.

07:22:20.000 The Republicans are in a weird place where somebody before was saying there was gaslighting on the economy, right?

07:22:26.000 Like, we're being told, it's great, but then you pay for your groceries and it is very expensive.

07:22:31.000 And so I always thought this was not going to be the strongest Republican turnout.

07:22:36.000 So maybe the best thing we can do is just let the places that are willing to sacrifice their own see what they can do and have a better shot going into 2028.

07:22:46.000 Like, again, slightly too optimistic there.

07:22:48.000 But what are we going to do at this point?

07:22:50.000 Cry because we lost a bunch of seats?

07:22:52.000 Like, This day is almost done.

07:22:54.000 We're going to have to keep going.

07:22:55.000 I think you should even acknowledge the value of socialism if there is some.

07:22:58.000 Like, don't just scream bad guy, bad guy.

07:23:01.000 We really, like, the Trump administration is kind of fucked up over the last year.

07:23:05.000 Really bad.

07:23:06.000 Has the value of socialism not been tested?

07:23:08.000 It's only being tested now in 2026?

07:23:11.000 This is the argument we were having just before Mark joined us that, look, Trump, I was saying this a moment ago.

07:23:18.000 Trump goes on camera for the press and says things that people are like, wow, I can't believe he said that because he knows regular people don't know what the F he's talking about.

07:23:26.000 So when he comes out and he says, we sell weapons to Saudi Arabia and they're going to, you know, it's going to make, we're going to make a lot of money from it.

07:23:32.000 He knows that no one is going to go to a working class guy and say, Aren't you mad about Trump selling up into the Saudis?

07:23:37.000 They're going to go, I don't know what that's about.

07:23:38.000 I don't know what that means.

07:23:40.000 So when it comes to an election, when it comes to socialism, not a single one of these people who says they want socialism even knows what the word means.

07:23:46.000 They don't even understand.

07:23:48.000 It's a very emotive argument, right?

07:23:51.000 It's a very feminine argument, it's an emotional based argument.

07:23:54.000 It's this guy 20 minutes ago.

07:23:55.000 I would say that's true, but they also are very distrustful of large corporations and they overwhelmingly think the economy works for the wealthy and well connected and not them.

07:23:55.000 Yes.

07:24:04.000 The numbers in the 60s.

07:24:06.000 So, they are angry at a system that has failed them.

07:24:08.000 And what they see is that neither party will actually address that.

07:24:12.000 And it's because, in my opinion, the establishment parties on both, you know, they're owned by corporate interests, right?

07:24:18.000 And so, like, how do you think America.

07:24:22.000 You're asking the farmer to go and live with the chickens.

07:24:24.000 But who controls the job?

07:24:26.000 The Democrats and Republicans are the chicken farmers, and everyone else is chickens.

07:24:29.000 And there's nothing that's going to make the chicken farmer go and live in a chicken coop.

07:24:32.000 But who controls the job market for young men?

07:24:35.000 It's non conservatives, it's DEI.

07:24:38.000 Its preference is for everyone who's not a white male.

07:24:42.000 They feel disadvantaged.

07:24:44.000 But are young white males even a large enough voting block to have an impact at this point?

07:24:48.000 Well, maybe not.

07:24:49.000 But if not, why should they buy into this system?

07:24:51.000 Because I believe a large portion of Gen Z is voting Democrat of the ones that did.

07:24:58.000 I mean, if young white men are not.

07:25:01.000 It's not because of any policy related to socialism.

07:25:04.000 It's because they're saying, I want boomers to suffer.

07:25:06.000 Okay.

07:25:06.000 Where does first world civilization come from if not young white men?

07:25:12.000 Where does it exist if it's not based on young white men?

07:25:16.000 Where has it ever existed if it was not based on young white men?

07:25:20.000 So, if we're saying young white men are just effed and they don't have any chance and we should just write them off, we're basically saying we're writing off first world civilization.

07:25:30.000 Well, Japan.

07:25:32.000 I'm sorry.

07:25:33.000 Japan has never expanded beyond the boundaries of Japan.

07:25:36.000 That's not true.

07:25:37.000 They just got blown up for it.

07:25:39.000 And then what happened?

07:25:41.000 And then they got occupied twice by white men, young white men.

07:25:44.000 By young white men.

07:25:46.000 I don't know if the skin has anything to do with it, but the European mindset certainly.

07:25:50.000 The culture, I don't mean in a racial context.

07:25:52.000 I'm talking about the culture of European peoples.

07:25:56.000 It's a different culture than non European people.

07:25:59.000 But again, we can all acknowledge that, right?

07:26:01.000 Sure, but I'm not talking about the skin.

07:26:03.000 But the young white men want to burn everything to the ground.

07:26:06.000 They're not voting socialists because they want to see it.

07:26:09.000 They're saying, I am sick of the people who have the money blaming me and taking from me and saying they want more.

07:26:15.000 Because they're being discriminated against because they are young white people.

07:26:20.000 I'm talking about young people in general.

07:26:20.000 It's the corporatocracy.

07:26:22.000 They're screwed by the corporatocracy.

07:26:23.000 Whites and non-whites.

07:26:24.000 This is where the left line is.

07:26:25.000 They're saying the same thing.

07:26:26.000 The line is that the corporatocracy is not.

07:26:28.000 I'm sorry, but not all young people are treated the same.

07:26:30.000 So young black people applying for Harvard Medical School get in at a 50-time rate of young white people.

07:26:36.000 It's not the same.

07:26:37.000 The young white people know they're being discriminated against.

07:26:40.000 Yeah.

07:26:41.000 So it's not the same.

07:26:42.000 Every racial group believes they're discriminated against.

07:26:45.000 No, this is statistical.

07:26:46.000 There's been lawsuits.

07:26:47.000 That doesn't matter.

07:26:49.000 I'm talking about reality.

07:26:51.000 I'm not talking about imagination.

07:26:52.000 As far as like.

07:26:53.000 It does not matter if you go to a group of black people and say, actually, you're privileged.

07:26:58.000 They're going to say, F you, I don't care.

07:27:00.000 No, no, politically.

07:27:01.000 Of course.

07:27:02.000 So if you are trying to win elections, the facts don't matter.

07:27:05.000 I agree.

07:27:06.000 If you're talking about winning elections, I'm talking about how young white men feel about their experience in the body politic.

07:27:12.000 I know, but no, they're not.

07:27:14.000 But if we're writing them off, we're writing off civilization.

07:27:18.000 I don't agree with that.

07:27:19.000 Okay, fair enough.

07:27:20.000 I mean, certainly there were young white men who conquered countries and expanded and all of these things.

07:27:25.000 And I would give some credit.

07:27:26.000 Who else has done it?

07:27:27.000 Genghis Khan.

07:27:29.000 That was the first world civilization?

07:27:30.000 Well, I mean, back then it was one of the most advanced, yeah.

07:27:33.000 Okay.

07:27:34.000 All right.

07:27:35.000 I mean, you can't look at China developing compasses and guns a thousand years before white people and be like, they were not developed.

07:27:40.000 Okay.

07:27:41.000 How much freedom was there in those societies?

07:27:43.000 Do we want to live in that society?

07:27:44.000 I mean, in Europe at the same time, it was feudalism and war.

07:27:47.000 Sure, but Europe developed into the Enlightenment.

07:27:52.000 The argument that Europe did a good job at this time does not discount the developments of other peoples before.

07:27:59.000 The good jobs only come from a modern First world society.

07:28:03.000 They don't come from a socialist society.

07:28:05.000 No one's talking about a socialist society.

07:28:08.000 Okay.

07:28:09.000 But I feel like we are kind of with this midterm, right?

07:28:12.000 Like the idea of socialism becoming this life raft for young Americans is a prevalent conversation, especially going into elections today.

07:28:20.000 I mean, the origins of why socialism is attractive might differ based on race or skin color or ethnic group or cultural background, but ultimately it is being sold as like.

07:28:32.000 The way out as the walls close in around you.

07:28:34.000 And I, it is, it's sad to say because I think to whoever made this point, like a lot of people don't know what it is and they just know it's kind of the trendy way out.

07:28:45.000 And it seems like everything else isn't working.

07:28:47.000 So why don't we get some free stuff while it burns to the ground?

07:28:50.000 Well, I think a lot of these guys are like, yeah, I know it doesn't work.

07:28:52.000 I want it to burn down.

07:28:54.000 They're probably saying, I want the reign of terror.

07:28:56.000 I don't care.

07:28:57.000 I'll go live in the bushes, wait for it to crumble, and then I'll come pick up whatever pieces I can.

07:29:01.000 Because right now, I don't got a piece.

07:29:03.000 And I'm telling you, a lot of young people are like, yes, thank you.

07:29:05.000 Okay, well, that's fine.

07:29:07.000 Look at Nick Fuentes coming out and saying Democrats must win.

07:29:11.000 He said it must be absolute as to why the Republicans lost.

07:29:16.000 If people are willing.

07:29:17.000 Peggy Noonan said that too, which is kind of interesting.

07:29:19.000 If people are willing to pay the price for the people dying, the Peggy Noonan circle and the Nick Fuentes.

07:29:25.000 When are they going to run out of tickets?

07:29:27.000 Pretty remarkable.

07:29:29.000 Yeah, I wonder if you tweeted Peggy Noonan.

07:29:31.000 We have very competing views on how it gets reduced.

07:29:34.000 But if you tweeted Peggy Noonan's Wall Street Journal article, it'd be like, Peggy Nick.

07:29:38.000 I think the DSA plan in 2027 is on track.

07:29:41.000 I think former USAID employees know exactly what they're doing and they are good at it and they've been doing it for decades.

07:29:47.000 Did you say DSA?

07:29:48.000 Okay.

07:29:48.000 Yes.

07:29:49.000 And USAID.

07:29:50.000 So the DSA has a plan.

07:29:51.000 They've teamed up with former USAID employees to institute a color revolution in the United States.

07:29:56.000 They are going to implement the general plan is to implement riots to the point where Trump must invoke the insurrection act.

07:30:03.000 Are you advocating that plan?

07:30:04.000 No.

07:30:04.000 I'm saying this is what they're planning.

07:30:06.000 I just want to be clear.

07:30:07.000 They are saying implement riots to the point where Trump must invoke the insurrection act.

07:30:07.000 Okay.

07:30:12.000 Then Democratic governors will come out and claim Donald Trump is staging a coup by deploying military, and that will give them a casus belli to try and remove Trump and fundamentally alter the structure of the U.S. government.

07:30:22.000 Well, just an hour ago.

07:30:23.000 That would be the worst way to play their cards and actually retarded, in my opinion.

07:30:28.000 It would blow up in their faces.

07:30:30.000 People would hate it because I don't think people want to return to that kind of upheaval.

07:30:34.000 And quite frankly, from everything I've heard out of the Trump administration, they got plenty to go on.

07:30:38.000 Yeah, but again, the plan is for Trump.

07:30:43.000 To be the one destabilizing it.

07:30:45.000 And for them to say, oh God, oh heavens me, what should we do?

07:30:48.000 I guess we have to stop them.

07:30:50.000 That's the USAID wants Trump to make the first move, former USAID, so that the Democratic governors can come out, issue a press statement, and say, Oh my God, I can't believe Trump just staged a coup and has destroyed the stability and raised gas prices.

07:31:04.000 Should we stop him?

07:31:05.000 I guess we have no choice.

07:31:06.000 That's the rules for radical Saul Linsky in his book of How to Form a Revolution is that you get exactly the case.

07:31:13.000 You get the government to crack down with authority, then you get your communist friends to say, See, we told you they were fascists.

07:31:19.000 We are a 10 year supermajority for Democrats.

07:31:21.000 The crown of economic.

07:31:23.000 Populism is lying in the gutter.

07:31:25.000 And so I can understand why some of these subversives would have this plan, but I'm just saying they could literally take Trump's 2024 agenda and say, you know what?

07:31:34.000 We overreached a little bit with the open borders and the defund the police stuff.

07:31:38.000 We're not crazy anymore.

07:31:39.000 We're going to do what Trump said he was going to do.

07:31:41.000 And they would literally win for like a generation.

07:31:43.000 But basically.

07:31:45.000 But they don't want to win.

07:31:46.000 They want to remove the Constitution.

07:31:48.000 You know, they want to get rid of it.

07:31:50.000 They want to get rid of it.

07:31:51.000 And then as soon as.

07:31:52.000 Okay.

07:31:53.000 They want to get rid of the electoral college.

07:31:54.000 They want to abolish the Senate and they want to get rid of the Constitution.

07:31:57.000 You can't do that through political means.

07:31:59.000 It has to be done through revolutionary means.

07:32:01.000 They also can't be the aggressors who cause people's lives to get bad if they want support.

07:32:06.000 So the plan would be Trump has to be perceived as the one who's crossed the line.

07:32:11.000 They're the reaction to it.

07:32:12.000 And then it's not our fault.

07:32:13.000 We have to pick the pieces up.

07:32:16.000 The socialism debate is great because Trump's admin bought 10% of 36 different companies, I think, over the last two years, which is socialism.

07:32:25.000 They bought, you know, in times of emergency.

07:32:27.000 The government snags up a portion of your industry to make sure that you bulk it up against foreign invasion, against catastrophe, can't go out of business because you can print the money to fund the thing.

07:32:37.000 36 some companies, 33 companies, tech companies, you know, they want to maintain chip production.

07:32:41.000 That's socialism in action.

07:32:43.000 So I see there is some value to government control of business.

07:32:46.000 You don't want corporations to go unfettered or you get them more powerful than governments with standing armies of their own.

07:32:46.000 I get it.

07:32:52.000 We have to prevent that.

07:32:53.000 I see the alignment with the left in that case.

07:32:55.000 So there may be some middle ground.

07:32:58.000 That's forged over the next two years.

07:32:59.000 How many corporations are in America?

07:33:00.000 I don't think there's an easy path forward.

07:33:02.000 Like, none of what we're dealing with is new here.

07:33:05.000 Like, when you have an oligarchy of really concentrated power at the top of these corporations, you have very low worker power.

07:33:11.000 They have very low percent of national income, like the wages.

07:33:16.000 You know, Teddy Roosevelt kind of dealt with all this stuff.

07:33:19.000 They had a flood of immigration.

07:33:20.000 They had, you know, the whole hyphenated American speech.

07:33:23.000 And ultimately, it's like that's so 180 degrees out of alignment with the current iteration of the Republican Party.

07:33:29.000 And yet, like that, this is the kind of thing that the Republican Party has done in the past because what good is capitalism if it doesn't serve the common good?

07:33:36.000 And you do need a strong government in that situation.

07:33:39.000 You can't just deregulate everything and hope it sorts itself out, but it needs to be a government that's working for the American people and sets the right regulations.

07:33:48.000 And, you know, unfortunately, I think we're a million years from that, but that is, in my opinion, the solution.

07:33:54.000 And unfortunately, I think what we're seeing is something relatively akin, although not to the same numerical amount of the Hoover election that ultimately got us FDR, right?

07:34:03.000 And so, again, I just look at it, and yeah, I guess there's the subversives that want to overthrow the government of the United States.

07:34:09.000 But from the perspective of if they wanted sort of like big, friendly, huge government that was socialistic, they're on the path to FDR right now.

07:34:17.000 And it could be this election.

07:34:18.000 You know, Mark, I want to just, we're going to get back to the show, but I want to thank you for joining us.

07:34:22.000 Do you want to shout out where people can find you?

07:34:26.000 Yeah, so we nailed this one, just like we did the last one.

07:34:28.000 Come check me out at Honest Polster on YouTube.

07:34:32.000 I hit Erasmus and channel, but I had to leave because they took the Trump.

07:34:35.000 Checks and I wasn't going to be involved in that.

07:34:37.000 Wow.

07:34:38.000 So it's at HonestPoll on YouTube.

07:34:40.000 Come check me out.

07:34:41.000 You know, we talk about this stuff.

07:34:42.000 There's going to be a lot of change over the next year, year and a half.

07:34:45.000 Well, thanks for joining us.

07:34:45.000 Right on, man.

07:34:46.000 It's been a blast and keep it up.

07:34:48.000 Thanks so much, Steve.

07:34:49.000 Take care.

07:34:50.000 Andrew, to answer your question, there are 43 million corporations in the United States.

07:34:54.000 So 36 out of 43 million.

07:34:56.000 What would that ratio be?

07:34:57.000 That would be pretty small.

07:34:59.000 Something like that.

07:34:59.000 One millionth?

07:35:01.000 Real quick, guys, I want to give a shout out to calci.com for helping fund this.

07:35:06.000 They sponsor the show.

07:35:07.000 Check out calci.com slash r slash midterm marathon.

07:35:12.000 Even though the forecasts are now 100, 100, the predictions are absolutely insane.

07:35:16.000 It's looking like Democrats are near supermajority territory.

07:35:19.000 It is.

07:35:20.000 Ridiculous.

07:35:21.000 Not in the Senate, though.

07:35:22.000 They're projecting somewhere around about 55 to 45.

07:35:26.000 But in the House, they are wow.

07:35:29.000 It's currently 255 to 180 Democrat majority.

07:35:34.000 They are going to go nuclear.

07:35:37.000 They are going to arrest so many Republicans.

07:35:41.000 Well, Robert Garcia, who is the incoming chair of House Oversight, just an hour ago on all caps tweeted, Lawyer up.

07:35:48.000 Yep.

07:35:49.000 Good, good, good.

07:35:49.000 I love it when we're doing that.

07:35:50.000 So, I mean, that's just.

07:35:52.000 Which is remarkable that you could have that level of, I mean, either bravado or callousness because you're making it clear, it's not about gas prices.

07:36:01.000 Trump's done.

07:36:01.000 This is it.

07:36:02.000 Like, if you tweet lawyer up, all that means is.

07:36:06.000 It's persecution.

07:36:07.000 Exactly.

07:36:08.000 They will overplay their hand as the best silver lining of.

07:36:11.000 As you just call them for silver lining, that's going to be the best silver lining.

07:36:14.000 This is Stalin.

07:36:15.000 Yeah, that's all I want to hear from this table.

07:36:17.000 Silver linings all the way.

07:36:18.000 Today marks the day of the Trump era.

07:36:20.000 It marks the day of the.

07:36:21.000 The end of the Trump era.

07:36:24.000 That's it.

07:36:25.000 There's no more elections for Trump.

07:36:28.000 He can turn around a little bit, but this rejection is so pronounced that we're going to see Republicans now start backing away.

07:36:35.000 They're going to say, Don't look at me.

07:36:37.000 Come 2028, I don't think people are going to be pursuing a Trump endorsement.

07:36:41.000 Trump said, Put me on the ballot, and Democrats were near supermajority levels.

07:36:47.000 I think the one who comes out most victorious tonight of anyone is Ron DeSantis.

07:36:51.000 I think he's campaigning already.

07:36:53.000 Did you see that?

07:36:54.000 Oh, he's made his.

07:36:55.000 Absolutely.

07:36:56.000 He's now shown he is the future of the party.

07:37:00.000 Ron DeSantis?

07:37:01.000 Or at least he's definitely going to run.

07:37:03.000 He ran the most successful state.

07:37:05.000 His state stayed entirely.

07:37:06.000 State level and federal level.

07:37:07.000 Nah.

07:37:08.000 And he was a pretty successful candidate four years ago.

07:37:12.000 I think Ron DeSantis comes out of this as.

07:37:15.000 I think we are.

07:37:16.000 We are.

07:37:17.000 Winner.

07:37:18.000 I think we are entering the fourth turning.

07:37:20.000 I think that this is an overt rejection of the failing economy and the war with Iran, but it is not acceptance of what the Democratic Party represents, which is fucking insane.

07:37:30.000 And so people are going to get a real taste of just how psychotic these people are moving into the next two years.

07:37:36.000 2028 is going to be balls to the wall, insane.

07:37:39.000 There is a potential that Donald Trump remains some degree of influence because the Democrats are just absolutely insane.

07:37:44.000 Like I said earlier, they're going to chop off so many dungs.

07:37:47.000 It's going to be just bonkers.

07:37:48.000 They're going to ramp up DEI and trans stuff.

07:37:51.000 It is going to create racial acrimony to a degree we've never seen before.

07:37:54.000 They are going to start locking up Republicans.

07:37:56.000 It is going to create serious panic among regular people when they see their neighbors getting rounded up.

07:38:02.000 And I'm not doing a Scott Adams thing where he's like, they're going to be out there.

07:38:05.000 No, I'm saying there is going to be a 4 a.m. raid on some Republican staffer's house.

07:38:10.000 Like we saw Slotkin say she wanted, and people are going to be like, Jeremiah just got arrested.

07:38:15.000 They pulled up at four in the morning.

07:38:16.000 He was just a junior staffer.

07:38:17.000 Not in the next two years.

07:38:19.000 They own the House and the Senate.

07:38:20.000 They don't have police activity.

07:38:22.000 What I mean is, they are going to call people in for hearings, and then they are going to immediately perjury trap them and hold them in contempt, and they are going to be arrested.

07:38:31.000 Now, Trump may resist and say, I'm telling the DOJ not to go do these things, but he didn't do that in the first term.

07:38:36.000 So I'm not entirely sure that he's going to get anything defensive.

07:38:39.000 Suffice it to say, Democrats are going to dramatically overplay their hand, drain the resources, it's going to freak people out.

07:38:45.000 However, I'm saying there's a potentiality for it.

07:38:47.000 I don't think that's going to be the case.

07:38:48.000 Case.

07:38:49.000 I think that what likely is going to happen is people are going to back away from Trump.

07:38:53.000 We are going to see a psychotic resurgence of woke.

07:38:56.000 Democrats are emboldened now to do all of the crackpot psycho things that they were campaigning on before.

07:39:01.000 They're like, oh, we won, and we won with a massive majority.

07:39:05.000 Let's bring all these things back.

07:39:07.000 People are going to lose their minds.

07:39:09.000 Fourth turning happens.

07:39:11.000 With this story about USAID former staff and the DSA teaming up to foment some kind of civil war, considering the timing of the fourth turning.

07:39:21.000 I've been drinking all day.

07:39:22.000 Considering the structure of the fourth turning, Strassau generational theory, it was projected to be between 26 and 28 that we were going to get something akin to a civil war or world war or revolution.

07:39:35.000 This could be the first time we've ever seen a corporation step in.

07:39:38.000 What are you talking about?

07:39:39.000 It's nonsense.

07:39:40.000 No, it's not.

07:39:41.000 Yes, it is.

07:39:41.000 Firstly, the Federal Reserve is a corporate structure.

07:39:43.000 Secondly, Alphabet has more control than the U.S. government in censoring us right now.

07:39:47.000 If the Republicans and the Democrats can't get together, maybe there will be a corporation that sets the tone.

07:39:54.000 The federal government ran backdoors and used a threat of FBI law enforcement against these companies.

07:39:59.000 And the moment they backed off, these companies still turned around and said, Yes, whatever you want, Trump.

07:40:03.000 So I'm not concerned about what Google is going to do.

07:40:06.000 They might flee their funding politicians.

07:40:08.000 But you keep bringing up this flat idea of corporate governance, which is not relevant to what we're talking about.

07:40:13.000 It's not my idea.

07:40:14.000 It came out of the World Economic Forum.

07:40:15.000 It's been talked about for a decade.

07:40:16.000 And we might, I mean, we've been on the cusp of corporate governance in some fashion.

07:40:21.000 We might actually see a benevolent corporate, like anthropic.

07:40:25.000 Well, we're not because the Democrats want.

07:40:28.000 The liberals on the left don't care for what you're talking about.

07:40:31.000 That's what I'm wondering.

07:40:31.000 And the people who are engaging in the most extreme degrees of politics, from violence to winning elections, are not advocating for what you're talking about.

07:40:38.000 They're not pursuing what you're talking about.

07:40:40.000 No, they're trying to gain governmental control.

07:40:42.000 No, no, that's what I don't think they want corporate control.

07:40:44.000 I think that they want government control.

07:40:47.000 The Republicans want government control.

07:40:48.000 And a corporation is going to step in and say, neither of you are getting it by shutting off the airwaves, by closing off the electrical grid, by cutting off the money supply.

07:40:58.000 A lot of people have guns.

07:41:01.000 And if any one of these companies makes a move, what happens is 10,000 guys with guns show up.

07:41:05.000 That's why it doesn't happen.

07:41:07.000 Well, if the Federal Reserve has a monopoly on violence.

07:41:10.000 If the Federal Reserve cut off the banking system to the U.S., who would they attack with their military?

07:41:14.000 Like, there's no one to go after.

07:41:15.000 It's a headless horseman.

07:41:16.000 That's not true.

07:41:18.000 I mean, you go to Switzerland, try and get them where they breathe at the Bank for International Settlements.

07:41:18.000 The Federal Reserve?

07:41:23.000 So, first of all, if the Federal Reserve tried to do anything, 17 guys with guns would take the building over and stop it from happening.

07:41:28.000 But it's not the Fed.

07:41:29.000 It's coming out of Switzerland.

07:41:30.000 It doesn't matter what Switzerland wants.

07:41:31.000 So, you're talking about the Bank of International Settlements and the Swift payment system locking at the United States.

07:41:36.000 Yeah, the U.S. would launch a nuke.

07:41:37.000 To who?

07:41:37.000 On who?

07:41:38.000 But who would they go after?

07:41:38.000 Switzerland.

07:41:39.000 I don't know who controls the country.

07:41:40.000 The problem is, I don't think that Switzerland can anymore.

07:41:43.000 It's a corporate issue.

07:41:44.000 It's multiple issues.

07:41:45.000 But no one's fighting over Switzerland.

07:41:47.000 I mean, that's.

07:41:49.000 I'm sorry.

07:41:49.000 People are going to be fighting because their children are starving.

07:41:52.000 That's why they'll be fighting.

07:41:53.000 That's why there'll be a revolution because their wives and children are starving.

07:41:57.000 If the International Monetary Fund, the Swift payment system, cuts the United States off, what will the U.S. do?

07:42:02.000 They will blow those people up.

07:42:04.000 They will Saddam Hussein.

07:42:05.000 No, but they do it from the shadows.

07:42:06.000 The whole monetary system is being done in secret.

07:42:10.000 When Saddam Hussein said, I'm considering trading oil in Europe, they killed him.

07:42:13.000 Yeah, but Evelyn Rothschild is not the head of the bank.

07:42:16.000 Like, there's no guy that we can be like, that's the guy that owns the Federal Reserve or the bank.

07:42:21.000 It's like a group of people that own each other's corporations and obfuscated on purpose because they don't want to get found.

07:42:27.000 The United States still knows who these power structures are.

07:42:32.000 It's not like there's a cabal of people, there's 13 people who wear black robes and no one's ever seen their face before.

07:42:38.000 That's not real.

07:42:38.000 Batman can't build.

07:42:40.000 You know why Batman can't build the Batcave?

07:42:41.000 It's not possible for Batman to have a Batcave.

07:42:43.000 Because he had to hire way too many contractors who would have a paper trail as to building the Batcave.

07:42:43.000 You know why?

07:42:48.000 And they've tried to explain this to comics over and over again.

07:42:50.000 Like, they said that he hired Bangladeshi workers and put them in shipping containers.

07:42:55.000 With blindfolds, brought them underground and told them to build something they had no idea where they were with their building.

07:42:55.000 I'm not kidding.

07:42:59.000 Still would not work because someone knew they loaded Bangladeshis into a shipping container and brought them to Gotham City.

07:43:05.000 They got a retconist, so he got robots.

07:43:06.000 There's no reality where there's a secret cabal of people in black cloaks who our government doesn't know where they are.

07:43:12.000 Firstly, I'm not saying it would be a good thing if it did happen.

07:43:15.000 It's something we should guard against, which is why we should not go to war with our own republic because a corporation could step in.

07:43:23.000 But secondly, maybe it would be a good thing.

07:43:24.000 If the government's too far corrupted, I mean.

07:43:27.000 Are we in Switzerland under the Batcave?

07:43:29.000 And also, what's going on with Alaska?

07:43:31.000 That's what I want to know.

07:43:32.000 I'm still watching Alaska.

07:43:33.000 Okay, you have to keep me up here because there's some more people coming in.

07:43:36.000 Which Dan Sullivan are you voting for?

07:43:38.000 Just so I know.

07:43:40.000 Dan Sullivan number seven.

07:43:41.000 Okay, good, good.

07:43:42.000 Daniel Q. Sullivan.

07:43:43.000 Daniel Q. Sullivan, okay.

07:43:45.000 Yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah.

07:43:45.000 Need me to go?

07:43:46.000 We're going to have a couple of people jump in.

07:43:48.000 And, yeah, you know, look, I think next year is going to be balls to the walls insane.

07:43:54.000 I think they are going to drag people before Congress and perjury trap them.

07:43:57.000 They're going to bring them into The SCIF so that you can't, nothing you say is public.

07:44:02.000 And we're going to see a lot of the people that we know worked in the Pentagon, who worked for the administration, are going to get locked up.

07:44:07.000 You know what?

07:44:08.000 And they're going to get locked up for contempt.

07:44:09.000 I keep bringing up corporations because I'm desperate.

07:44:12.000 I don't, this feels like such a hopeless situation about actually solving some of the problems like the hyperinflation of the economy or whatever you want to call it.

07:44:19.000 Tim, that's my biggest concern about the bloodbath that was tonight.

07:44:22.000 About the craziness is that a lot of people we know, a lot of good people, are going to be dragged in front of lawyers who make, you know, $500 an hour and just have their lives torn apart so that Jamie Raskin can get a fundraising clip on MSNBC.

07:44:38.000 I think it's going to get.

07:44:42.000 So here's the very simple first reaction They're going to get in on January 3rd and they're going to immediately J6 every committee, like you were saying, Vish.

07:44:52.000 And.

07:44:53.000 This is going to result in people being called to testify.

07:44:56.000 When you're called to testify, you have to have lawyers.

07:44:58.000 They're going to try to perjury trap everybody.

07:45:01.000 Even if they can't get you on contempt because the Trump DOJ is like, we're not going to touch these charges, they'll hold them potentially till if they win in 2028 and then come in in 29, or they will just keep draining you via legal fees, keep bringing you into various circumstances where you have to keep missing work, traveling, and paying for lawyers until you are destitute.

07:45:20.000 They will have their crony lawyers file lawsuits against you for frivolous. Reasons and have their judges use that to go after you.

07:45:27.000 And in those cases, the judge will hold you in contempt to lock you up.

07:45:31.000 Yep.

07:45:31.000 They'll get you at the state level like they did to Trump's lawyers.

07:45:33.000 This is it's all they're trying to do to Cam and James right now.

07:45:36.000 This is all this is all a lot of people right now.

07:45:38.000 I mean, they call it discord.

07:45:39.000 I don't have that kind of money.

07:45:40.000 If I had been out there with them, which wouldn't have been out of the realm of possibility, like I'm in bad shape.

07:45:46.000 Most of us are.

07:45:47.000 And I'm pretty sure when Cam and James show up in Minnesota, they're going to get remanded.

07:45:51.000 By the way, by the way, absolutely, listen, at least Iran doesn't have a nuclear bomb, guys.

07:45:56.000 There we go.

07:45:57.000 You stole my line.

07:45:58.000 You stole my line.

07:46:00.000 I did it to your face.

07:46:01.000 I've been saying it all night.

07:46:02.000 That's how you do it with honor.

07:46:04.000 That's right.

07:46:04.000 I did it to your face.

07:46:05.000 I'm doing a new thing now.

07:46:06.000 Whenever something bad happens, you know, your girl leaves you, your dog dies.

07:46:10.000 You're just going to, at least Iran doesn't have a nuclear weapon.

07:46:13.000 I did it the other night.

07:46:14.000 It was like 3 15 in the morning.

07:46:16.000 Do you tweet that right now?

07:46:16.000 I woke up.

07:46:18.000 Well, actually, I tweeted out Dear Clarence Thomas, please don't die.

07:46:21.000 But I literally, at like 3 15 in the morning, I got up, stubbed my toe on the dog bone, hopping around.

07:46:28.000 And it's just like, at least Iran doesn't have a nuclear weapon.

07:46:32.000 Did it help?

07:46:32.000 No, my girl took, I think it was a remote, bing, right in the head.

07:46:36.000 She's tired of hearing that.

07:46:37.000 Because I say it about everything.

07:46:38.000 It's always about Iran.

07:46:39.000 If steak is undercooked, I'm like, ah, you know.

07:46:42.000 By the way, that's the most sane Long Island girl available.

07:46:46.000 Like throwing a remote at your head.

07:46:48.000 That was it.

07:46:49.000 I think that's just because that was what was near her.

07:46:52.000 By the way, we love new Nicole.

07:46:53.000 No offense.

07:46:54.000 Not to Nicole.

07:46:56.000 Could throw more things.

07:46:57.000 What races are you watching right now?

07:46:59.000 Oh, hold on, hold on.

07:46:59.000 I want to do one thing.

07:47:01.000 I want to do one thing.

07:47:01.000 Whites.

07:47:02.000 Maybe some Latinos.

07:47:03.000 Hold on.

07:47:03.000 Some races.

07:47:04.000 Oh, yeah.

07:47:04.000 Look, you're bringing it up.

07:47:06.000 I want to know how white people are voting in this midterm.

07:47:08.000 This is a live demographic.

07:47:08.000 I have my eye on one race.

07:47:10.000 You're voting on one.

07:47:10.000 They didn't.

07:47:11.000 That's interesting.

07:47:12.000 The human race.

07:47:12.000 No, no.

07:47:13.000 Actually, I have my eye on two races.

07:47:15.000 Two races.

07:47:16.000 One, I only had two requirements for tonight.

07:47:19.000 One, Darlene Graham loses, and two, Vivek loses.

07:47:23.000 They both lost.

07:47:24.000 I got what I want tonight.

07:47:25.000 It's Christmas for you right now.

07:47:26.000 Christmas.

07:47:27.000 By the way, a plea to the Republican Party please stop using DEI as part of your criteria for picking candidates.

07:47:36.000 Please stop.

07:47:37.000 As an Indian American or as an American of Indian descent, please stop doing this.

07:47:43.000 Please stop pandering to Indian Americans like this.

07:47:46.000 Please stop picking people based on their skin color as making good Canson candidates.

07:47:51.000 It's going to ruin us.

07:47:52.000 Please stop.

07:47:53.000 Thank you.

07:47:55.000 Vivek lost.

07:47:56.000 We all knew he was going to lose.

07:47:58.000 And, like, it was in the stars.

07:48:01.000 And everyone denied it.

07:48:03.000 Whoever went and decided that this guy was going to be the nominee and everyone was going to get behind him and we were just going to stop all the questions about him.

07:48:11.000 Just stop.

07:48:12.000 Stop doing this.

07:48:14.000 Please give us the candidates we want.

07:48:16.000 In the very rare chance.

07:48:18.000 That Democrats don't go woke again and they use the majority to be like, yeah, cut the woke shit out and F the DSA.

07:48:25.000 I'll be a little chill.

07:48:26.000 I'll be like, all right.

07:48:28.000 I want to know how this is going to impact the Democrats' identity going forward because their biggest issue going into midterms is that they have a party identity crisis, right?

07:48:36.000 We've got these people who are like flirting with DSA, we're flirting with extreme progressive measures.

07:48:40.000 You've got these other people who are like, well, I would have been a blue dog Democrat.

07:48:44.000 Maybe I should flip to being an independent.

07:48:45.000 Like the Democratic Party may have swept a ton of seats tonight, but they have not solved our identity issues.

07:48:50.000 In fact, I think there will be even more Democratic infighting now that they have acquired positions of power.

07:48:56.000 Right now, let me tell you two people who look like they're having a great night but aren't are Hakeem Jeffries and Chuck Schumer because now they are the dog who caught the car.

07:49:05.000 I know what they do now that they have it.

07:49:08.000 I mean, look, maybe Schumer, not so much, but Hakeem Jeffries is going to walk in there and he's going to see 40 people that are going to go, You're not getting anything unless we get everything we want.

07:49:18.000 The majority is actually too big.

07:49:18.000 Right.

07:49:20.000 And they will, and look, And I said this the other day, and I tried to make the math work logically.

07:49:25.000 But it was almost better that we lost the house by a larger margin because if we had lost it by three or four, and there were only a couple of DSA candidates, they could have written them off.

07:49:35.000 But now that there are 30 of them, now they are not a squad.

07:49:39.000 They are a full caucus.

07:49:41.000 Nothing is happening.

07:49:43.000 Hakeem Jeffries is not going to fill his lungs unless Chevalier says so, unless the commie corridor that runs right through Brooklyn says it.

07:49:52.000 To be honest with you, the squad that we used to think was crazy are like milk toast compared to the lunatics who are coming in now.

07:50:00.000 Now it's a battalion.

07:50:01.000 Yeah, now it's not a squad.

07:50:02.000 Now it's a battalion.

07:50:03.000 I'm actually real excited for them to abolish prisons because I don't live in a city.

07:50:06.000 So, oh, you're lucky, man.

07:50:08.000 You know, guys like us, city.

07:50:10.000 No, we work in D.C., though.

07:50:11.000 So, you know, just commute to a city.

07:50:13.000 First off, you're on an island.

07:50:14.000 I'm on an island.

07:50:15.000 If they start letting everybody out of the way, you just like draw the bridges and push off the coast.

07:50:19.000 You are not coming over there.

07:50:21.000 You personally are going to be blocking it.

07:50:22.000 I'll be at the Verrazano.

07:50:24.000 Same thing.

07:50:25.000 I will pay the.

07:50:25.000 That's it.

07:50:26.000 $17 toll just to blow up.

07:50:28.000 You know, I will say this.

07:50:29.000 You know what the best thing about tonight was?

07:50:31.000 You know what makes me feel good?

07:50:32.000 Tell me.

07:50:33.000 You're seeing all these liberal commentators.

07:50:34.000 They're just so happy.

07:50:35.000 They feel so good.

07:50:36.000 And so the total happiness in the world has gone up.

07:50:39.000 Yeah, you know what?

07:50:40.000 There was that same happiness in 2024 when we won and everyone rested on their laurels and thought that the war was over and everyone golden age, gold, it's over.

07:50:51.000 The left is done.

07:50:52.000 We're gonna rule for 20.

07:50:53.000 And guess what happened?

07:50:55.000 Not one election later, everyone got put in their place.

07:50:59.000 Well, you know what?

07:51:00.000 The left is gonna deal with that too.

07:51:01.000 They think that this is a big victory tonight.

07:51:03.000 You don't think that's gonna activate guys like us?

07:51:05.000 There's one way for Trump to be able to do whatever he wants, it's not one way, but there's one big way.

07:51:13.000 Nuke Iran.

07:51:15.000 Okay.

07:51:16.000 If Tucker was right and Trump nuked Iran, it would create a catastrophe so big that a Democratic Congress couldn't do anything to stop Trump.

07:51:23.000 Well, then Iran would, in fact, have a nuclear weapon.

07:51:28.000 Finally.

07:51:29.000 What are you going to say to yourself?

07:51:30.000 Very briefly, within the borders of Iran, there will exist a nuclear weapon.

07:51:36.000 For a very brief time, in a very bright light.

07:51:39.000 By the way, that would be the end of the Republican Party.

07:51:42.000 If Donald Trump.

07:51:44.000 Tucker, so let's break this down.

07:51:46.000 Trump has lost in a ridiculous way.

07:51:50.000 I mean, the projections from NBC News are insane.

07:51:54.000 Look at this 255 to 180.

07:51:56.000 It's 255 now?

07:51:58.000 That's the projection.

07:51:58.000 No, no, no, no.

07:51:59.000 Yeah, well.

07:51:59.000 Based on where we're currently at, they think it's going to be 255 to 180.

07:52:02.000 It was 252 like three minutes ago.

07:52:04.000 If that is the case, and Trump really is considering nuking Iran, now he's untethered because he's going to say, in three months, I'm a lame duck for two years.

07:52:16.000 If I move now, it will create a global catastrophe by which he will have emergency powers to invoke.

07:52:22.000 That would be so silly and like it would destroy everything.

07:52:27.000 It would destroy everything for him to what save like a couple years of his legacy.

07:52:31.000 I don't think he's gonna do it.

07:52:32.000 In fact, right now, I just saw Hugo Lowell tweet, he's a Capitol Hill insider, and he just said that people from Trump's orbit now are losing it and are like, I hope that this election teaches a lesson that nobody's gonna listen to the Mark Levins and the Mark the Essens of the world who have pushed this president.

07:52:52.000 Into the biggest calamity of this legacy.

07:52:54.000 How many people right now are already buying their tickets to El Salvador or Argentina?

07:52:59.000 You kidding me?

07:52:59.000 I'm looking at property over there right now.

07:53:01.000 El Tunco, baby.

07:53:02.000 We were just talking about it.

07:53:04.000 The Coinbeach.

07:53:05.000 We were just talking about it.

07:53:05.000 Yeah.

07:53:06.000 I'm not even joking.

07:53:07.000 I guarantee you there's going to be a decent amount of people, maybe not high level, top level people, but there's going to be like mid level people being like, I ain't getting locked up, and they're going to get out before January.

07:53:15.000 I'm curious how many people resign by the end of the week.

07:53:18.000 Oh, dude, there's a mass exodus, by the way.

07:53:20.000 How many people suddenly find jobs that fucked up?

07:53:22.000 Well, I assume there's going to be mass exodus anyways when they're like, this is a lame duck.

07:53:25.000 Presidency that can't go anywhere, right?

07:53:27.000 Like everyone under the age of 35 is gonna be knocking on your door.

07:53:29.000 So, this is what's gonna happen.

07:53:30.000 So, I'm gonna tell you exactly what's gonna happen.

07:53:32.000 There's about to be a mass exodus in the entire admin.

07:53:36.000 Everybody who went in, whatever, under the laurels of the last 10 years, they're gonna leave because what they see now is that they only have two years left to make money off the position that they've managed to achieve in these last couple of years.

07:53:53.000 So, there's gonna be a mass exodus of these people who leave.

07:53:56.000 To make money off their connections on the government.

07:53:58.000 In the meantime, what's going to happen?

07:54:00.000 This is kind of the silver lining.

07:54:03.000 There's going to be a giant vacuum where all the young folks in the admin are going to get sucked up into high leadership roles.

07:54:11.000 And so those people are going to come out with great credentials and all that, but they're going to be tied to the admin.

07:54:17.000 And so this is where, like, there's a silver lining, but immediately the bad thing a bunch of people are going to leave, and it's because it's cynical.

07:54:27.000 They just want to make money.

07:54:28.000 So, what's the Republican best move right now?

07:54:29.000 Like, what's, how would you navigate?

07:54:31.000 There is, like, right now, something.

07:54:33.000 No.

07:54:34.000 Be about something.

07:54:35.000 Yeah, here's, I'm gonna tell you the ultimate problem here.

07:54:38.000 There is no leader that's not named Donald Trump, right?

07:54:42.000 That's, there's nobody like.

07:54:44.000 Is there a leader even named Trump at the moment?

07:54:47.000 The problem is the heir apparent situation.

07:54:49.000 Who is the heir to this, right?

07:54:51.000 And has that person stepped up and actually taken it with authority?

07:54:54.000 We all thought that that's gonna be JD Vance.

07:54:57.000 The problem there is that JD is not taking command.

07:55:01.000 And then the other problem on that is he can't take command in a way that's gonna piss off Trump.

07:55:07.000 To the point that he doesn't give him the nomination.

07:55:10.000 He doesn't have the independence.

07:55:11.000 Yeah.

07:55:11.000 So, what's happening now with JD Vance is he's being attacked from all sides, but he's restrained from being able to respond in a way that matters.

07:55:20.000 And so, nobody's able to be tough on the coalition.

07:55:23.000 Mike Lawler concedes.

07:55:26.000 If Mike Lawler, the number one operator in New York State, is done, we're all cooked.

07:55:33.000 And I just.

07:55:33.000 Okay.

07:55:33.000 You know what?

07:55:34.000 If he concedes, I got to give a shout out to somebody that I have battled with very publicly my congressman, Nick LaLota.

07:55:41.000 I think he might be the only Republican in a purple district who is going to win tonight.

07:55:47.000 He's the east end of Long Island.

07:55:47.000 Oh, wow.

07:55:49.000 It's Lee Zeldin's seat.

07:55:52.000 Me and him had a pretty tough primary four years ago.

07:55:54.000 We'll move past that.

07:55:56.000 I think what I'm going to go for is.

07:55:57.000 I think he's the only one.

07:55:58.000 I mean, right now he's up 7,000 votes.

07:56:01.000 So you're telling me only Nick Lalota managed to escape the curse of George Santos?

07:56:05.000 I think he's the only one because Andrew Garbarino looks like he's in trouble too.

07:56:09.000 I'm thinking I'm going to go for the post election epiphany.

07:56:13.000 That Democrats were actually the heroes and the good guys, and Trump really was a fascist, and just, you know.

07:56:18.000 Pick it back.

07:56:19.000 Interesting.

07:56:20.000 I remember.

07:56:20.000 Half the fascists that they claim he is.

07:56:22.000 Yeah, he would have won.

07:56:23.000 That guy.

07:56:24.000 I voted for Orange Caesar.

07:56:26.000 I don't know, but I did.

07:56:28.000 I voted for Orange Caesar.

07:56:29.000 I didn't get him.

07:56:30.000 I was okay with that, but you can't take us to war, God.

07:56:33.000 You promised you wouldn't do it.

07:56:35.000 But now, any idiot, one of these, like, any person who goes to one of these, like, college, you know, pick up the mic things, he's a fascist.

07:56:42.000 Got blown away.

07:56:44.000 Oh, you know what's going to happen?

07:56:46.000 In an election.

07:56:47.000 Are you kidding me?

07:56:48.000 Wait, wait, wait.

07:56:49.000 What's going to be really funny is when they're all like, we're doing it.

07:56:53.000 We're fighting fascism.

07:56:55.000 And then, you know, they're saying, like, Trump, we will hold it to account.

07:56:58.000 And then Trump's going to be like, oh, the Democrats.

07:57:00.000 And then when it comes time to fund Israel, Democrats are going to be shaking hands with Donald Trump and the Republicans.

07:57:04.000 Oh, well, I mean, come on.

07:57:06.000 You know, checks got to be signed.

07:57:08.000 Bombs got to drop.

07:57:08.000 They got to go.

07:57:09.000 Genocides have to be committed.

07:57:11.000 He's not going to send the $4 billion.

07:57:12.000 And you will lose.

07:57:13.000 But we will still sell off.

07:57:14.000 By the way, he waited till today to announce that.

07:57:16.000 Dude, are you?

07:57:17.000 Kidding me, I think.

07:57:18.000 Are you kidding me?

07:57:19.000 I think the best part of it was listening to Brian Kilmeade like wilt when he was like, Wait, what do you?

07:57:25.000 Yeah, yeah, yeah.

07:57:27.000 Brian Kilmeade, another guy from Long Island, we don't usually step on our words.

07:57:31.000 Brian Kilmeade couldn't get a sentence out, and then I was like, Are you kidding me, man?

07:57:35.000 Like, first of it, four billion dollars in the grand scheme of foreign aid.

07:57:39.000 That's like, and then by the way, that doesn't stop any of the actually, a lot of their funding comes from ad hoc votes being taken place just to send it, exactly.

07:57:47.000 So, like, that actually doesn't stop anything.

07:57:49.000 What I want to know, like, what I want is actually a comprehensive plan on how we change this foreign policy forever because nobody trusts anything around Israel right now.

07:57:59.000 And anybody who tells you that Israel wasn't part of this whole calculus of why we ended up with the results we ended up tonight is a liar.

07:58:08.000 They're either malicious or retarded.

07:58:10.000 I disagree, my friend.

07:58:12.000 That's my.

07:58:13.000 Look, I got there when.

07:58:15.000 I disagree.

07:58:15.000 I think the most important point is Trump was elected to fix the economy.

07:58:19.000 He has done absolutely nothing.

07:58:21.000 Nothing for the economy.

07:58:22.000 He has done nothing in general.

07:58:24.000 And the thing is, there are many of us, there are so many people watching this right now who really had to sacrifice a lot professionally, personally, to vocally support Trump.

07:58:33.000 And for this, for what?

07:58:35.000 For nothing.

07:58:36.000 This party is useless.

07:58:37.000 I agree with you in that part.

07:58:39.000 But my thing is, the reason why he didn't address the economy is because all the oxygen got sucked up by Israel and their needs and the priority of their needs.

07:58:48.000 That's why, listen, the root of all evil is the Iran war.

07:58:51.000 The root of all evil is the Iran war.

07:58:54.000 Everything, all these problems we see now stem from that.

07:58:57.000 And the focus on that and doing things to make them happy.

07:59:00.000 I'm getting out of here, everybody, because I got to be up super early in the morning.

07:59:02.000 So the crew is going to handle the show for the next couple hours for as long as they feel necessary until we get these conclusions.

07:59:07.000 So thank you all so much for hanging out with me.

07:59:09.000 He'll take it, and then I'll see you guys in the morning.

07:59:09.000 Phil's stepping in.

07:59:11.000 We love you, Tim.

07:59:12.000 Later, man.

07:59:12.000 Thanks, man.

07:59:13.000 We'll be back super early.

07:59:14.000 Thanks for having everybody here.

07:59:15.000 Absolutely.

07:59:15.000 Thanks, guys.

07:59:17.000 So what did I miss?

07:59:18.000 What did I miss?

07:59:19.000 The Republicans are doing really well tonight.

07:59:20.000 Just don't look at any polling.

07:59:22.000 It's just a Republican wave.

07:59:24.000 And really, there's peace in the Middle East and Palestine get along now.

07:59:29.000 We're going to be guarding in the gulags.

07:59:31.000 Pretty soon.

07:59:31.000 Ground beef is $6.30 a gallon.

07:59:33.000 Yeah.

07:59:34.000 $6.30 a gallon for ground beef?

07:59:36.000 Well, that's according to Anna Navarro.

07:59:38.000 Nice.

07:59:39.000 Nice.

07:59:39.000 Oh, you didn't see that clip?

07:59:40.000 No.

07:59:40.000 Anna Navarro told everyone to get out from the view.

07:59:43.000 She came out and told everyone to go out and vote these guys out because beef is $6.30 a gallon.

07:59:51.000 $6.30 per.

07:59:52.000 Those tacos got seriously expensive for Anna.

07:59:55.000 And, like, here's the thing.

07:59:56.000 It was a front facing video that she saw, watched again.

08:00:01.000 And posted.

08:00:03.000 These people live in an alternate reality.

08:00:06.000 And everyone knows ground beef is a metric system.

08:00:09.000 Yes.

08:00:10.000 By the way, it's 1,036 pounds.

08:00:12.000 It's milliliters of ground beef.

08:00:14.000 Well, if you didn't know, Joel Berry, his wife, stretches the 633-pound beef with beans.

08:00:21.000 If you didn't know that, by the way.

08:00:23.000 If you're complaining about $20 burritos, by the way, you're entitled and you are a spoiled brat.

08:00:31.000 To complain about that, if you didn't know, you can stretch your beef with beans if you just switch to another protein.

08:00:38.000 There, what's a face said?

08:00:39.000 Nobody hears from California, right?

08:00:40.000 I was living in California last year.

08:00:42.000 That's just as bad.

08:00:43.000 The same old in New York as it is at the same time.

08:00:45.000 I want to, I want to, there we go.

08:00:47.000 I want to uh jump to this from uh, from Kalshi, right?

08:00:51.000 So, thanks to shout out to Kalshi for sponsoring the show tonight.

08:00:54.000 Uh, LA mayor winner is looking like it's going to be Nithia Ramen.

08:00:59.000 Is anyone surprised?

08:01:01.000 Oh, dude, this is because this is setting up for one of the greatest.

08:01:05.000 Primaries of all time in 2028.

08:01:08.000 If Nithya Rahman wins tonight in LA, what that means is that the primary on both sides is going to be who is the least Israel friendly candidate.

08:01:20.000 I'm telling you.

08:01:22.000 Yes.

08:01:23.000 Yes, 100%.

08:01:24.000 That was the only.

08:01:25.000 Go read Mama Magazine's piece on the debate between Nithya Rahman and Karen Bass.

08:01:31.000 There was only one point of contention that neither of them could answer, but Karen Bass ended up answering nicely.

08:01:38.000 It was.

08:01:39.000 Over the Israel thing.

08:01:40.000 Well, Nithia Raman's at 92.2% right now with 48.3% of the vote counted.

08:01:47.000 Karen Bass is at 8.9%.

08:01:50.000 Bro, I'm telling you, bro, this is going to be a disaster.

08:01:54.000 I mean, it's going to be a bloodbath in 2028.

08:01:58.000 The selection criteria has completely changed.

08:02:01.000 Matt Gaetz called this a year ago, by the way.

08:02:03.000 He said there's going to be a future where both primaries, this is going to be a number one question.

08:02:08.000 I'm telling you, it's coming.

08:02:10.000 It's absolutely coming.

08:02:11.000 I mean, look, the battle.

08:02:13.000 The battle in 2028 is going to be between democratic socialism and national populism.

08:02:19.000 And DSA, we know, don't like Israel.

08:02:22.000 But national populism is about, I don't want my money going anywhere outside of these bars.

08:02:29.000 I don't, I make no distinction.

08:02:31.000 Daniel, do you believe that we are going to have like the Weimar Republic here in the U.S. in 2028?

08:02:38.000 Is it going to be the communists versus the nationalists in the streets fighting?

08:02:43.000 I think the 2028 election, I just want to be clear, I said national populism.

08:02:47.000 Yeah, I understand what you're saying.

08:02:49.000 I picked it up on another Media Matters article with you.

08:02:53.000 I certainly don't advocate for that at all, but that's why I'm asking.

08:02:53.000 I'm.

08:02:57.000 I'm here for the idiots out there.

08:02:58.000 Thank you.

08:02:59.000 Look, listen, the reason is 10 years ago, when people were really starting to do the whole clamp down on free speech on campuses, right?

08:03:09.000 You had basically the communists, the Antifa people going after people like Ben Shapiro, going after people like Milo Yiannopoulos, going after anyone that was conservative.

08:03:21.000 I was saying, look, this kind of stuff leads to.

08:03:26.000 You know, the right and the left fighting in the streets, the communists versus the nationalists.

08:03:31.000 You're going to end up with that.

08:03:33.000 Communists cause, you know, a disturbance and they are looking for a reaction.

08:03:39.000 So that's, and that's part of the reason why they call their political opponents reactionary.

08:03:43.000 So, Daniel, what do you think?

08:03:45.000 I think 2028, I said this in the last segment, I'm going to stand by it.

08:03:50.000 I think 2028 is the person who had the best night tonight for 2028 is Ron DeSantis.

08:03:58.000 I think Ron DeSantis has the most distance from the Trump administration.

08:04:01.000 He was treated poorly by the Trump team a couple of years ago.

08:04:05.000 I'm getting to your answer.

08:04:07.000 And I think everyone now tied to the president is tainted.

08:04:11.000 I think there was a bad night.

08:04:12.000 And it's hard to come out of this and say, I will carry this message forward.

08:04:15.000 I don't think the Republican Party is dead.

08:04:16.000 All the, we need to burn the whole party down.

08:04:19.000 I think MTG said that earlier.

08:04:21.000 I think it's a little.

08:04:23.000 But I do think the one who comes, the Republican who comes out of this right now looking the best is the guy who kept the state 100% red and passed.

08:04:32.000 Income tax reform and a referendum, which is just property tax is eliminated in Florida by referendum, which is just mind blowing.

08:04:40.000 Well, not exactly.

08:04:41.000 Or headed in that direction, mind blowing that though he had such an R win in such a shitty night.

08:04:48.000 So, 2028, I don't think it's going to be.

08:04:53.000 I think the 2028 election is going to be lots of choices, but I think that's the ones the Republicans are going to rally around.

08:04:58.000 But to the point of my question, because I'm not as concerned about the candidates themselves.

08:05:04.000 What are we going to see from the United States?

08:05:07.000 Because we're far more polarized than we've ever been in my lifetime.

08:05:12.000 And like I said just a minute ago, this is something that has been a concern of mine for 10 years.

08:05:18.000 And every year we get more polarized.

08:05:21.000 Every year we keep taking steps closer to this kind of situation in the United States.

08:05:28.000 You know, what does the American electorate do with this outcome?

08:05:33.000 I'm not as petrified over the next two years as Tim.

08:05:37.000 Was the reason why is because they were talking a lot about what Biden did.

08:05:42.000 You have adult kids, right?

08:05:44.000 I have no children.

08:05:45.000 I just have a huge sheep farm, but no children.

08:05:50.000 They were talking about the Biden years.

08:05:52.000 So you go to Peter Navarro, right?

08:05:54.000 He's at Reagan Airport and brought out in shackles, and people were like, well, and they're going to do that to us.

08:05:59.000 The reason why they were able to do that is because they had the DOJ, right?

08:06:03.000 And they don't have a military arm.

08:06:05.000 Yes, they have Congress.

08:06:07.000 Yes, they have the House and the Senate.

08:06:08.000 They can have subpoenas.

08:06:09.000 I've testified many times.

08:06:11.000 Robert Garcia, who just tweeted, right?

08:06:13.000 Lawyer up.

08:06:13.000 And I had a very nasty exchange when I had to testify before him.

08:06:20.000 I'll probably make a call to testify again before him, which is fine.

08:06:23.000 But they don't have the arm, the law enforcement mechanism that the Biden administration did.

08:06:28.000 So I don't think it's going to be as hostile as it was.

08:06:33.000 Now, if they win the White House in 2028, we're fried.

08:06:37.000 Well, look, I mean, I think you're right about that totally.

08:06:39.000 But they do still have the states.

08:06:41.000 You know, we just mentioned James and Cam.

08:06:44.000 You know, we saw two assaults go on on two different college campuses this weekend, and no one is confident.

08:06:50.000 You know, we saw Liz Bennett Chu get assaulted by that girl at the University of Michigan, and then a kid from Turning Point USA got slapped in the mouth by an old man in New Hampshire.

08:07:00.000 And I see both of those, and I'm friends with Liz, and she's, you know, she's doing all right.

08:07:05.000 But I have no confidence that a DA in Ann Arbor is going to charge this college student with assault for pushing somebody to the ground and stomping her on her way out and then threatening to.

08:07:18.000 By the way, I don't want to say the word, but you know.

08:07:18.000 Yeah.

08:07:20.000 Yeah.

08:07:20.000 Absolutely.

08:07:21.000 But here's the thing.

08:07:22.000 I think that this is all kind of overblown.

08:07:25.000 We've already seen how this rolls, guys.

08:07:28.000 In 2020, George Floyd dies and cities across America, the world, are burned.

08:07:35.000 Okay.

08:07:36.000 2025, Charlie Kirk is shot in the neck in public on TV.

08:07:40.000 Guess what?

08:07:41.000 Nothing burned.

08:07:42.000 Nobody went and rioted.

08:07:43.000 But you know what the real problem there was?

08:07:45.000 Nobody paid for that either.

08:07:47.000 And so.

08:07:48.000 The fact of the matter is, is that our side, no matter how much pain that we endure, we're really not just standing up and doing it.

08:07:59.000 Whereas the other side, they are so quick to jump up and take something down, burn cities.

08:08:06.000 And so I have no faith, no confidence in our side, like rising up and standing.

08:08:13.000 No, it's done.

08:08:14.000 No, we don't believe it.

08:08:15.000 We've known about this Ilhan Omar thing.

08:08:18.000 I mean, Obama knew about it.

08:08:20.000 I knew about it.

08:08:21.000 Trump knew it.

08:08:21.000 Could have found it in the first term.

08:08:23.000 And they wait three weeks before Election Day.

08:08:26.000 Yeah, exactly.

08:08:27.000 That could have been done day one.

08:08:28.000 Yeah.

08:08:28.000 Because they were too busy making money.

08:08:31.000 The Charlie Kirk thing is a great insight.

08:08:34.000 And I say it's great because I share it.

08:08:36.000 But that Mongolian chick who smacked the girl on Michigan State's campus, I put on my social media.

08:08:42.000 That's what happens when you have delayed justice.

08:08:44.000 Because for 15 months now, she thought that they solved a problem with Charlie.

08:08:48.000 That poll watcher today that had the t shirt on that said, problem solved.

08:08:50.000 That was unbelievable.

08:08:51.000 My problem solved.

08:08:52.000 And so, if the little trans kid who shot Charlie Kirk was arrested, tried, and executed within two months, I bet you college campuses would be pretty quiet right now.

08:09:04.000 And the defense, apparently, the defense attorney is trying to pull the trial out until 2029.

08:09:08.000 Still playing this shit.

08:09:09.000 Like, I don't know.

08:09:11.000 Hang on.

08:09:11.000 Who'd you get on a trial in like six weeks?

08:09:13.000 We have not established as a kind of side, as a coalition, that we are capable of going just as far as them.

08:09:22.000 And this goes back to an earlier point I made in the show.

08:09:26.000 Like, There's all these Americans out there who are very well intentioned, good hearted, good Christian people, really.

08:09:33.000 That's not the America I grew up in, that's not the America I want to live in.

08:09:37.000 Like, that's not, I'm not gonna go that far because I don't want to help accelerate this terrible America that I'm seeing coming.

08:09:46.000 It's like, sorry, that's not the right read.

08:09:49.000 No, the problem is, it's already here.

08:09:51.000 Oh, yeah, and so you have to now decide, are you willing to do what's necessary to defend this country you love?

08:09:58.000 And the problem is, way too many.

08:10:00.000 Are just not brave enough to say.

08:10:03.000 Look, Democrats punch us in the face, and then we check the rule books to see whether or not we can punch back.

08:10:08.000 Yeah.

08:10:09.000 It's like, it's wild to me.

08:10:11.000 And it's funny because anyone, at least two of them are at this table, anyone who is willing to push back on Democrats actively are shunned.

08:10:22.000 Yeah.

08:10:23.000 You and me.

08:10:23.000 Yeah.

08:10:24.000 By the.

08:10:24.000 Literally, like, no campaign in New York brought either one of us on, and we're the ones who actually get things done.

08:10:32.000 I mean, how many times do you have to lose the same seat before you bring the guys on who want it?

08:10:32.000 Yeah.

08:10:36.000 But the right does the Geneva Convention, and the left does guerrilla warfare.

08:10:40.000 And this is just the fact of the matter.

08:10:42.000 And so, until we.

08:10:44.000 Decide that we're ready to put on war paint and like wait in the swamp for years till your enemy pops up in front of you and you go and knife it down.

08:10:52.000 Like, it's just not happening.

08:10:53.000 Like, look what happened with the Republican Party over the last year and a half, like after Charlie was murdered.

08:11:03.000 The Republican Party is so fractured right now in a bad way.

08:11:09.000 The Democrats, they're like, big tent, big tent.

08:11:12.000 Let's, you know, let's welcome the socialists and the left that wants to.

08:11:17.000 Burn it all down.

08:11:19.000 It's a big tent, guys.

08:11:21.000 But after Charlie was murdered, you had, I mean, you have Nick Fuentes, you have Tucker, Jesus Christ, Candace, you have all these people who are basically just like throwing fuel on the fire.

08:11:35.000 And I'm not saying that everything Trump has done is perfect, which it's not clearly after seeing the results of tonight.

08:11:45.000 But you can't pin it all on him.

08:11:49.000 It's, So, wait, are you saying that then, like, Tucker and Candace and Nick Fuentes are to blame for this?

08:11:56.000 Right?

08:11:56.000 And then, but then you make for the fracture of the party.

08:11:59.000 So, you think those guys are to blame, but it's not the Mark Levins, the Ben Shapiro's, the Dana Leshes of the world who put their names to the against Trump issue in National Review in 2016 have always been against Trump.

08:11:59.000 Absolutely.

08:12:15.000 And then these are the guys who are telling us now, actually, we're real MAGA.

08:12:19.000 Actually, going to the.

08:12:20.000 Going to war with Iran is real MAGA.

08:12:23.000 Tucker is not real MAGA.

08:12:24.000 Vish Burra is not real MAGA.

08:12:26.000 It's like, guys, you guys were never on the train to begin with.

08:12:29.000 And now you want to tell everyone who's in first class or who's on the train or who gets in the back?

08:12:34.000 Honestly, I think you're both right.

08:12:35.000 I think that after Charlie died and there was no firm leader of this movement, no leader moving forward, I think that a lot of the biggest names in our movement, either independently or together, in groups, however you want to say it, Each one of them said, I'm going to get what's mine before Rome burns.

08:12:56.000 And it's not that.

08:12:57.000 And I think that's what's happening.

08:12:59.000 Because you see, like Tucker, Megan, Candace, they all get lumped together.

08:13:02.000 I don't think that they're similar in any way.

08:13:04.000 They just happen to be against the war.

08:13:06.000 But they get lumped together for, I guess, turning on Trump or whatever.

08:13:12.000 But it just seems like each one of them is just trying to.

08:13:16.000 It's like that scene in Gangs in New York where they run into the burning house just to try to grab what they can before the whole thing burns down.

08:13:23.000 That's what it seems like is happening.

08:13:25.000 And now you have people picking their different camps, and people are going into those camps.

08:13:29.000 And now we're eight movements.

08:13:31.000 Yeah, well, and now we have no leader who's able to either unify them or actually, the way you get to unifying them first is by whipping all the factions into shape, right?

08:13:43.000 And being like, this is what we can get from you.

08:13:45.000 These are your excesses.

08:13:47.000 And this is how you put the coalition together.

08:13:49.000 The problem is, there's nobody tough enough to go speak to the factions equally this way.

08:13:54.000 Well, Trump should have, Trump could have.

08:13:58.000 He did, by the way.

08:13:59.000 When he won.

08:14:00.000 But, you know, with his actions over the past year or so, it's harder to get everybody in line with what you're trying to push when you're kind of burning down everything that you said.

08:14:16.000 Yo, no more wars.

08:14:18.000 And then we're, oh, it's just going to be a couple weeks, guys.

08:14:20.000 Just a couple weeks.

08:14:21.000 And then gas prices are going to go.

08:14:23.000 And who led him astray?

08:14:24.000 And who led all of his supporters astray and told them that this was a good idea, that you could do this?

08:14:30.000 Right.

08:14:30.000 I want to know who was in his ear telling him that.

08:14:32.000 Right.

08:14:33.000 That's what we want.

08:14:33.000 Right?

08:14:34.000 We actually want an accounting of all this.

08:14:36.000 I don't know who led who astray.

08:14:38.000 And it's going to be the same people who have advocated for every other military incursion.

08:14:45.000 I don't want to.

08:14:46.000 And probably Lindsey Graham.

08:14:46.000 I don't want to.

08:14:48.000 I was going to say, I don't want to besmirch people.

08:14:50.000 Being ill of the dead.

08:14:51.000 And they're not really having a great night.

08:14:53.000 No.

08:14:55.000 I wonder how that happened.

08:14:56.000 By the way, Vishboro was in South Carolina this year.

08:14:59.000 Lindsey Graham's doing fine tonight.

08:15:02.000 Thank you, Lindsey.

08:15:04.000 For getting out of the way.

08:15:05.000 But by the way, Homie, to your point, I just want to add this one point.

08:15:09.000 You mentioned that, oh, I think DeSantis comes out better in this.

08:15:12.000 Here's his problem number one, this guy's hawkish positions previously.

08:15:18.000 Two, getting caught in the flip flop on the Ukraine thing during the primary, which means he really answers to the money.

08:15:24.000 But three, here's really the problem all the people who really support the Iran war as of today were all DeSantis supporters.

08:15:32.000 I want to point out one thing about DeSantis.

08:15:34.000 That is true.

08:15:35.000 I want to point out one thing about DeSantis that you guys have left out.

08:15:38.000 He is too short to be the president.

08:15:42.000 I am not kidding.

08:15:43.000 This was an issue in 2020.

08:15:46.000 It's 100% true.

08:15:47.000 If you are below 5'11, you will not be the president.

08:15:50.000 I could live to be a thousand years old and I will never forget at the Democratic primary a couple years ago.

08:15:56.000 They panned the camera back and they showed Mike Bloomberg standing on a box.

08:16:01.000 And I just thought to myself, I just went, come on.

08:16:04.000 How are we letting that in the shot?

08:16:07.000 You're worth $12 billion.

08:16:08.000 $200 billion.

08:16:10.000 You can't afford a better camera angle.

08:16:12.000 Like platforms like Scary Spice back in the 90s.

08:16:12.000 Can't get.

08:16:15.000 Well, $250 million, he barely won American Samoa.

08:16:19.000 Charisma and likability are extremely important.

08:16:25.000 I would even argue that they might be the most important thing.

08:16:30.000 Your policies, and you have to be able to talk to your base and raise money and stuff.

08:16:37.000 But if the people look at you and say, I don't know if he's the president, then it is unpredictable.

08:16:45.000 It is not possible that it will be changed.

08:16:48.000 And that brings us to 2028 and the Democrats.

08:16:55.000 Who is the leader of the Democrats right now?

08:16:57.000 If Al-Sayed wins tonight, he will be.

08:16:59.000 But he wasn't born here, right?

08:17:02.000 Yeah, he was.

08:17:03.000 You're thinking of Amdani.

08:17:04.000 Oh, no, I thought he was.

08:17:05.000 Well, isn't he a dual citizen?

08:17:07.000 Okay, I thought he was born in Egypt.

08:17:08.000 That could be.

08:17:09.000 But, I mean, Al-Sayed is.

08:17:11.000 Well, first of all, that comes down to height.

08:17:14.000 Well, no, no, no, no.

08:17:17.000 Al-Sayed is not going to be.

08:17:18.000 To be the best, but one race at a time, we're talking about the primaries.

08:17:22.000 I believe he actually gets through the primaries if he's in because El Syed is the last vestige of masculinity on the left.

08:17:32.000 He is the last proper masculine candidate on the left.

08:17:36.000 So, is he the leader of the Democratic Party right now?

08:17:39.000 If he wins, he will be.

08:17:41.000 What do you guys think about John Asaf?

08:17:43.000 Asaf will get feminized as soon as he runs into the race.

08:17:46.000 That's what he's saying.

08:17:48.000 Yeah, I'm scared.

08:17:48.000 He'll get betoed or overwhelmed.

08:17:50.000 And more importantly, Abdul Al Saeed can go the next two years without taking any consequential votes because of the majority they have right now.

08:17:58.000 So, he's not going to take anything controversial.

08:18:01.000 Oh, he's going to pull on Obama.

08:18:02.000 And look, to be clear, I disagree with almost everything that man believes, and I think he's an unbelievable danger to America.

08:18:09.000 But watching him campaign over the last six months, people are going to write books about this campaign on how not to answer a question.

08:18:18.000 It is just, it was like Gavin Newsom level, just like where he got asked that Muslim Brotherhood question 500 times and didn't answer it once.

08:18:29.000 And somehow still pulled it through, got out of it.

08:18:33.000 Hold on to that point.

08:18:35.000 The fact that I think that tonight isn't about the quality of the candidates, it does matter.

08:18:44.000 But tonight is about the fact that Republicans stayed home, they didn't go out because they're pissed off at the GOP.

08:18:53.000 No, and I don't, I so, so the fact that Elsa had won isn't because of gaffes on the campaign trail, isn't because.

08:19:02.000 Of anything other than the Republicans didn't turn out because for good reasons.

08:19:09.000 Every Senate race we lost that we could have or should have won, we put up awful candidates.

08:19:18.000 Awful.

08:19:19.000 Darlene Graham, Mike Rogers.

08:19:21.000 I mean, I heard Ken Paxton speak for the first time about a week ago.

08:19:26.000 Maybe one of the most boring people I've ever heard in my life.

08:19:28.000 But Ken Paxton had a plethora of problems.

08:19:32.000 Least of all was not the fact that.

08:19:35.000 Well, yes, but the fact that he had mistresses and in Texas, evangelicals matter.

08:19:41.000 And they didn't come out.

08:19:42.000 No, they didn't.

08:19:43.000 Because they weren't going to come out for Tellerico.

08:19:45.000 And they look at Paxton and he's from Texas, right?

08:19:51.000 Yeah.

08:19:51.000 They look at him and they might be able to look at Donald Trump and be like, well.

08:19:55.000 He's a New York liberal.

08:19:56.000 But he's a New York liberal and he'll do blah, blah, blah.

08:20:01.000 And they can forgive those kind of improprieties.

08:20:03.000 Ken Paxton.

08:20:05.000 The fact that he's not charismatic, he's a bad, you know, generally thought of as somewhat corrupt or corrupt, depending on who you talk to.

08:20:05.000 I try.

08:20:15.000 And also, he can't get evangelicals out because he's got the whole mistress stuff.

08:20:20.000 So there was a whole ex wife got to vote.

08:20:23.000 Yeah.

08:20:24.000 Impeachment.

08:20:25.000 You want to talk about a level of power that no ex wife has ever had?

08:20:28.000 Amber Heard is out there just going, why couldn't I do that?

08:20:32.000 I try to follow Reagan's rule, right, of R on R violence, but sometimes you have to violate it.

08:20:37.000 But I lost all.

08:20:38.000 Nice tonight.

08:20:39.000 I lost all hope in Ken Paxton on America 250 when the footage of him broke on July 4th and he was in Spain.

08:20:48.000 Yeah.

08:20:48.000 And I thought, if you are that stupid that on the 250, if you are not marching through every.

08:20:55.000 Can we curse on this part of the show?

08:20:56.000 It's pretty late.

08:20:57.000 You can march through every fucking parade that you should be at with flags and Texas flags.

08:21:02.000 You're in Spain with your mistress.

08:21:06.000 Yeah.

08:21:06.000 But to have that level of.

08:21:09.000 Stupidity and arrogance and disdain for this is America's too.

08:21:15.000 I fucking stood on the mall at 99 degree heat watching the fireworks.

08:21:19.000 America, I'm not even running for office.

08:21:21.000 That day, I was like, I should have been on a longhorn.

08:21:25.000 I was so angry at him.

08:21:26.000 Even as a Republican activist who's been campaigning since I'm 10, I was so angry at him.

08:21:33.000 Even with all that, with all those mistakes, if gas was two bucks a gallon, he still would have won.

08:21:40.000 And by the way, Phil, you got to remember what's important.

08:21:44.000 Iran doesn't have a nuclear weapon.

08:21:46.000 I've been hearing you say that all night.

08:21:48.000 It's very funny.

08:21:48.000 Sorry, I'm dramatic.

08:21:50.000 Like I said, did your girl leave you?

08:21:51.000 It's okay.

08:21:53.000 Iran doesn't have a nuclear weapon.

08:21:54.000 It's a new country music song.

08:21:55.000 By the way, your daughter's twerking on OnlyFans, but at least Iran doesn't have a nuclear weapon.

08:22:00.000 Your daughter's addicted to gambling apps.

08:22:02.000 Your daughter's on OF.

08:22:03.000 But look, soon, guys, we might have a little bit of Karg Island.

08:22:10.000 The eastern Donbass region of Ukraine may soon be back in the hands of an actor.

08:22:17.000 And I want to make this point, too, because I want to disabuse Republicans of this notion that, like, there's this mythical middle out there that, like, Most of the country are just normal people who just want to vote on the issues.

08:22:31.000 It's like a dozen guys.

08:22:32.000 Yeah, no, no, no, no.

08:22:33.000 Most of this country has made up its mind.

08:22:36.000 There's very few swing voters you're actually fighting for to the point that it's actually not worth it to go after them.

08:22:43.000 Exactly.

08:22:43.000 Everything is now a turnout election.

08:22:46.000 Okay.

08:22:47.000 It depends on how energized your base is and how many of them you could turn out to come out and vote for you.

08:22:53.000 It's the same for the left and the right.

08:22:56.000 And so whoever comes out and actually energizes their baits.

08:22:59.000 And turns out the election, those votes will win.

08:23:03.000 Stop appealing to the military.

08:23:05.000 I want to plug Kalshi again.

08:23:06.000 Thank you guys for sponsoring the show tonight.

08:23:08.000 I want to point out that right now, Abdul El Sayed has a 2% chance.

08:23:13.000 He just won.

08:23:14.000 He just won.

08:23:15.000 He just won, right?

08:23:16.000 So he still has a 2% chance of being the 2028 Democratic presidential nominee.

08:23:21.000 Now is the time to place your bet.

08:23:25.000 By the way, my call is good.

08:23:27.000 My call is good.

08:23:28.000 Just to be clear, he is now above an astronaut, a billionaire.

08:23:34.000 Former player.

08:23:35.000 Former linebacker.

08:23:39.000 Yeah.

08:23:39.000 Former president's wife.

08:23:41.000 Who's Adam Hamill?

08:23:42.000 A couple of governors, a couple of senators.

08:23:45.000 A couple of billionaires.

08:23:45.000 Alyssa Slobby.

08:23:46.000 Wait, Chris Murphy just had a stroke and he's.

08:23:49.000 Did he really have a stroke?

08:23:50.000 Yeah.

08:23:51.000 Oh, yeah, at his kids' hockey game.

08:23:53.000 I have nothing good to say about Chris Murphy, so I'm not going to say anything.

08:23:58.000 And that's the difference between us and them.

08:24:00.000 I said that on Twitter as well.

08:24:02.000 I said I did not see any person of substance or of influence or whatever on the right.

08:24:08.000 Make nasty jokes about his, but Rush Limbaugh did not get such kindness from persons of influence and power on the left.

08:24:14.000 And this is, by the way, this is the great split.

08:24:16.000 This is the great split.

08:24:18.000 And so, like, until, and by the way, if you don't have the stomach for it, clear the path for somebody who does.

08:24:25.000 You know, like, you can't fight the good fight and do what's necessary.

08:24:29.000 Do not stand in the way of somebody who's.

08:24:31.000 Zoran Momdani has a better chance than Hillary Clinton.

08:24:34.000 Of what?

08:24:35.000 Of.

08:24:35.000 Zoran Momdani wasn't even born in this country, dog.

08:24:38.000 He's literally not allowed to run for office.

08:24:40.000 He can't be, but Hillary Clinton could be.

08:24:42.000 Yeah, he's still polling above Hillary.

08:24:43.000 He's still polling ahead of him.

08:24:44.000 Hakeem Jeffries is about to become Speaker of the House, and he is like number 500 on this list.

08:24:50.000 My favorite part of Hakeem Jeffries is that he represents East New York and Brownsville, but he lives in Prospect Park.

08:24:56.000 Oh, fuck.

08:24:57.000 Park Slope with the white Liberals.

08:25:00.000 He's diamonding his arms.

08:25:00.000 Exactly.

08:25:02.000 He lives in like a five story brownstone off the park, and he's like, yeah, I'm not living in East New York.

08:25:07.000 Oh, what happened, Mr. Notorious?

08:25:10.000 No, Mr. B.I.G.

08:25:11.000 He films his campaign commercials there with his green Yankee hat.

08:25:14.000 Yeah, we did too.

08:25:15.000 I hate Green Yankees.

08:25:15.000 Yeah, yeah, yeah.

08:25:16.000 Still got the sticker on it.

08:25:17.000 Like, what is this?

08:25:18.000 Yankee Watch.

08:25:19.000 Whoa, whoa, whoa.

08:25:20.000 I keep the stickers on my head.

08:25:21.000 Well, that's because we grew up listening to G Unit.

08:25:23.000 Yeah.

08:25:24.000 Sorry.

08:25:24.000 You know, sorry.

08:25:25.000 G Unit.

08:25:26.000 G Unit.

08:25:27.000 Yeah.

08:25:28.000 But no, Hakeem, actually, I like your point that you made about the majority.

08:25:33.000 Yeah.

08:25:33.000 Majority's too big for him.

08:25:34.000 Majority's too big for him now.

08:25:36.000 Because, like I was saying before you came in.

08:25:36.000 Yeah.

08:25:38.000 Oh, I was listening to you.

08:25:39.000 Absolutely.

08:25:40.000 Yeah.

08:25:41.000 They are now the dog that caught the car.

08:25:43.000 Yeah.

08:25:44.000 Because now they got to go.

08:25:46.000 I mean, Schumer doesn't have so much of an issue because.

08:25:49.000 What's it going to be?

08:25:50.000 56?

08:25:52.000 So, if you figure, you know, 56, Fetterman will probably jump ship.

08:25:56.000 And there's some seniority, right?

08:25:58.000 So, like, the Appropriations Committee is not going to go to the new guy.

08:26:01.000 But there's going to be a lot of infighting.

08:26:01.000 Yeah.

08:26:03.000 But I promise you, you are going to see some older squad members on preposterous committee chairs.

08:26:12.000 Ilhan Omar is going to be the chair of the Foreign Relations Committee.

08:26:16.000 I don't know.

08:26:17.000 She might not be able to stick around.

08:26:19.000 Hopefully.

08:26:20.000 Oh, yeah.

08:26:21.000 You have faith.

08:26:22.000 Than anybody in this admin frog walks with.

08:26:25.000 Look, I was saying this earlier that, you know, with the whole Mary Peltola thing where they're like, oh, yeah, they're going to, they're going to, they're not going to swear her in because she's going to be, you know, under criminal investigation.

08:26:40.000 But like, yeah, the Trump administration is, nobody's ever going to be held accountable.

08:26:45.000 And I promise you that Ilhan Omar will not see a day in jail.

08:26:51.000 She will not be deported.

08:26:54.000 There will be no accountability whatsoever.

08:26:56.000 I mean, Alaska Democrats pulled a move so dirty that the last time it was done, it was done by maybe the dirtiest political operative of all time, Joe Kennedy.

08:27:08.000 Joe Kennedy.

08:27:10.000 And I got to say, I don't think I really had that much faith in Alaska Democrats.

08:27:14.000 I didn't know there were even that many of them.

08:27:16.000 Maybe that's the arrogant, like, you know, lower 48er of me.

08:27:21.000 But apparently, up there, they're pretty politically savvy because they were able to find some guy in a vest.

08:27:27.000 Salmon fishing and get enough signatures, or how the hell you get on the ballot?

08:27:31.000 That's Kirsten Gillibrand as the head of the Senate campaign committee.

08:27:34.000 That was.

08:27:35.000 Wait.

08:27:35.000 They're the ones who work as shit.

08:27:36.000 Time out.

08:27:37.000 So Kirsten Gillibrand.

08:27:38.000 So she did something?

08:27:40.000 Yeah, surprisingly, right?

08:27:43.000 Did you see her on video just earlier at Kathy Hochul's celebration victory party saying what a great governor she is?

08:27:50.000 And she's brought down prices for all New Yorkers.

08:27:53.000 And you just scratch your head and say, I love that you can just say shit like that.

08:27:56.000 I just wish Bruce Blakeman had said to her at the debate, nothing, I wish.

08:28:01.000 He would have just looked at her and said, Kathy, if you're doing such a good job, then why is everyone leaving?

08:28:07.000 Yeah, and just watch her just go, Yeah, yeah.

08:28:12.000 But no, he didn't.

08:28:13.000 He said something about crime on the subway, or guess what?

08:28:17.000 There's always crime on this.

08:28:18.000 Like, you know what, we need Bernie Getz.

08:28:20.000 Actually, uh, do you know who won the uh AG race in New York?

08:28:25.000 It was, I can find out, yeah, it was like 70.

08:28:29.000 Every I tell the LA people, oh, let's see, James, that's her pratt, pretty handily, guys.

08:28:34.000 These blue places are like gone for us.

08:28:36.000 And look, Saritha had a great team, two of the best operatives in New York.

08:28:41.000 It was Nicole Kipolov.

08:28:43.000 Oh, okay.

08:28:44.000 I thought it might be closer.

08:28:48.000 I thought it might be closer because it really seemed like she had more votes.

08:28:51.000 I'm curious, though, to see what the percentage vote total is at the end between Blakeman and Saritha.

08:28:59.000 Well, thank you, guys.

08:29:00.000 Thank you, Phil, for having me.

08:29:01.000 You're quite welcome.

08:29:02.000 God bless you guys.

08:29:03.000 I appreciate it.

08:29:03.000 Thank you for joining us.

08:29:04.000 Have a good night, brother.

08:29:05.000 Thank you, man.

08:29:06.000 Thank you, Vish.

08:29:06.000 See you.

08:29:07.000 So, I think we've got one more.

08:29:13.000 Until everybody sits down.

08:29:14.000 Yeah, yeah.

08:29:15.000 We're going to flip the table.

08:29:17.000 No, I mean, we're flipping the table for everybody.

08:29:19.000 We're flipping the table.

08:29:20.000 Goodbye, everybody.

08:29:21.000 Mr. Tate Brown is going to be taking the reins.

08:29:24.000 So, I'm going to go home.

08:29:26.000 Thank you guys for joining us tonight.

08:29:27.000 You can check me out on X at PhilThatRemains.

08:29:33.000 Hello, Phil.

08:29:33.000 Hi.

08:29:34.000 I'm PhilThatRemains on X. You can check out my Patreon.

08:29:37.000 It's patreon.com slash PhilThatRemains.

08:29:39.000 So, I will see you guys, some of you, tomorrow.

08:29:42.000 Phil, that no longer remains.

08:29:43.000 Goodbye, Phil.

08:29:44.000 Phil remained.

08:29:45.000 Say it, Phil.

08:29:46.000 Phil remained.

08:29:47.000 He chose to go home.

08:29:48.000 That's how dedicated he is.

08:29:48.000 I love that you did.

08:29:49.000 This is my favorite thing to do when I take Phil's chair.

08:29:54.000 I see him, McKellen, filming the Hobbit scenes.

08:29:57.000 It's true.

08:29:58.000 Well, the Republicans.

08:29:59.000 Dude, he said that.

08:30:01.000 Oh, Phil got you back.

08:30:01.000 I played in Phil.

08:30:03.000 Either Carter did that on purpose.

08:30:04.000 I didn't do anything.

08:30:05.000 That was probably Phil.

08:30:06.000 So the Republicans, they kept Arkansas.

08:30:08.000 I just want to talk about it.

08:30:09.000 Oh, your mic fell.

08:30:10.000 How could we sell him this way?

08:30:11.000 Yeah, I was wondering how this pops.

08:30:13.000 So Guam?

08:30:13.000 They flipped Guam.

08:30:15.000 The Guam office.

08:30:16.000 Can I boom, Mikey?

08:30:17.000 Should I go from a box?

08:30:17.000 Here, you know what?

08:30:18.000 Oh, I don't want to mess with the wires too much.

08:30:20.000 I'm never going to come back.

08:30:21.000 I'm going to keep talking.

08:30:22.000 So Guam is.

08:30:23.000 I'll hold it.

08:30:25.000 I trust you.

08:30:26.000 Friendship is everything.

08:30:27.000 We had something interesting happen.

08:30:29.000 I'm going to go ahead and go to.

08:30:31.000 We have a wonderful panel here to close out.

08:30:33.000 Some people did something.

08:30:34.000 What do you like about us?

08:30:35.000 Name all of our individual benefits.

08:30:38.000 Your Enneagram.

08:30:39.000 Yes.

08:30:39.000 Name all of our virtues individually and adapt for the next 30 minutes.

08:30:42.000 Like 5W30.

08:30:43.000 Oh, that's an oil type.

08:30:46.000 5W30.

08:30:47.000 You're calling me oil?

08:30:48.000 What does that mean?

08:30:49.000 Bell and coal.

08:30:50.000 Viscous.

08:30:52.000 Fluidic.

08:30:53.000 Yeah, smooth if you want to be.

08:30:54.000 Hey.

08:30:55.000 I promise I didn't do it.

08:30:56.000 It's like a stretch and not a versatile.

08:30:58.000 I also feel bad because I don't know where the cameras are right now.

08:31:00.000 Potential for.

08:31:01.000 Oh, thank goodness.

08:31:03.000 I don't want to go push the buttons.

08:31:05.000 Can I push the buttons, Carter, if you're sitting over here?

08:31:07.000 Are we allowed to do whatever we want?

08:31:09.000 Damn it.

08:31:11.000 One of these days, I'm going to push the buttons.

08:31:12.000 I wanted to pull up.

08:31:13.000 So Trump was on the phone.

08:31:14.000 Okay.

08:31:15.000 Hey, reining us back in.

08:31:17.000 I think this is our last bit of politics and then we can move on here.

08:31:22.000 Trump, and I'll wait till Carter's back.

08:31:24.000 We're just giving poor Carter a workout here.

08:31:26.000 Carter in the house.

08:31:28.000 Trump has congratulated the Democrats.

08:31:30.000 He called into Fox News Live.

08:31:32.000 Take a look at this clip, folks.

08:31:33.000 This is really something.

08:31:35.000 Well, I say this.

08:31:36.000 Congratulations to the Democrats.

08:31:38.000 They did a good job.

08:31:40.000 They've been looking for this one for 11 years, and they finally got it.

08:31:44.000 But I don't view it as a hit on me.

08:31:46.000 I think we've done it.

08:31:48.000 So this is kind of consistent with what he's been saying.

08:31:51.000 He put out in Truth Social saying if I were on the ballot, this wouldn't have happened.

08:31:56.000 Hannah, what's going on here?

08:31:58.000 Well, first off, sir.

08:31:59.000 I'm Hannah Clare, but I'd be happy to summon a different Hannah if you like that.

08:32:02.000 Thanks, team.

08:32:03.000 It's so late.

08:32:04.000 Just so everyone knows, Tate and I have never formally worked together, so I forgive him the misstep.

08:32:04.000 It's so late.

08:32:08.000 The thing is, I think it's already a spin time for a lot of Republicans.

08:32:13.000 This being Trump being like, well, it's not a reflection on me.

08:32:16.000 You know, that's almost true because Trump has never historically been a kingmaker when it comes to his endorsements.

08:32:24.000 And so you have a plethora of opinions when you run.

08:32:27.000 Some people are like, you want him to come to your district, you want him to raise money for you, you need his endorsement.

08:32:31.000 And other people are like, trying to be like, Well, I'm not anti Trump, but obviously I would do things differently.

08:32:36.000 And I think you see that sort of scattershot effect in a lot of races.

08:32:39.000 Some people who embraced him will have had success.

08:32:41.000 Some people who embraced him will not have.

08:32:43.000 For me, ultimately, this really is about the Democrats because going into the midterms, I think their biggest issue is that they are struggling with an identity crisis.

08:32:53.000 And make no mistake, they may have picked up a lot of seats, but that identity crisis is now going to peak going towards the general in 2028.

08:33:01.000 I mean, it's really ultimately about the fact that their party is pulling apart, that they are moving.

08:33:05.000 Faster from the center than a lot of them are comfortable with.

08:33:08.000 We saw this with essentially the Haley Stevens Michigan race, that there is an identity crisis afoot.

08:33:14.000 And I don't know that despite having a lot of seats, they will be able to work together because they are fundamentally a broken and divided party.

08:33:22.000 I think you're on the money.

08:33:24.000 I'm wondering if Connor Tomlinson, do you concur with this analysis, this autopsy here?

08:33:24.000 I concur.

08:33:28.000 I think it'd be more appropriate.

08:33:29.000 I wouldn't.

08:33:30.000 It's nice being back on with Hannah Clare, actually.

08:33:31.000 It feels like classic Tim Carr.

08:33:32.000 Thank you.

08:33:34.000 Yeah.

08:33:35.000 After all is said and done, The only candidate they have that stands a chance in 2020 AA, even if it's a Democrat walk, is Newsom.

08:33:41.000 And so, actually.

08:33:42.000 And that's not great.

08:33:43.000 No, no, no.

08:33:44.000 He's still getting Bateman, but, like, nobody's normal that got elected tonight.

08:33:48.000 Nobody's.

08:33:50.000 It's going to be slim pickings and it's going to be a liability to have anyone else even running against a hobbled Republican Party.

08:33:56.000 So America's in a bad state, parties are in a bad state.

08:33:59.000 The one white pillar can provide is a little lesson from the UK.

08:34:03.000 In 2024, we underwent what was called the zero seats election and we gleefully annihilated the Conservatives and allowed Keir Starmer to get in.

08:34:10.000 And we knew it was going to be horrific.

08:34:12.000 But you had to do a controlled burn so something new could grow.

08:34:18.000 Reform seems to have dropped the ball entirely.

08:34:20.000 But the ground is more fertile than it was when the Conservatives are acting as bed blockers.

08:34:24.000 Much like the Vivek election you had tonight, we also had a really unlikable Indian occupying a seat of power and thankfully banished into the Netherrealm.

08:34:31.000 And so, what you can use this as is an opportunity to zero seat the Republicans.

08:34:36.000 What does that mean exactly?

08:34:36.000 What happened?

08:34:37.000 The ambition was essentially to destroy the Conservative Party by getting rid of every one of their MPs.

08:34:43.000 And they had the worst election result in 100 years.

08:34:46.000 And they're now reanimating the corpse just because the opposition that was meant to take their place.

08:34:50.000 Incorporated a bunch of those conservative MPs in the party that was meant to be responding to the conservatives, unfortunately, as well as other problems.

08:34:57.000 But it did provide the opportunity to create something new.

08:34:59.000 Well, everyone's, and I just got to say this everyone's gaming this out as we speak.

08:35:02.000 I do want to give a shout out to Kalshi, obviously sponsoring today's show.

08:35:07.000 Link in the bio, et cetera.

08:35:10.000 I think what's jumping out to me here on Kalshi is you're already seeing, we can flash it up on the screen.

08:35:14.000 I mean, JD Vance taking a nosedive.

08:35:16.000 This is what people are putting their money on.

08:35:17.000 JD Vance, after today, taking a nosedive.

08:35:20.000 DeSantis has been.

08:35:22.000 Crafting a different line, honestly, the more realistic line, which is like, hey, this is Iran.

08:35:27.000 This is pretty much all related to the Iran war.

08:35:30.000 I mean, Ian, what say you?

08:35:32.000 JD Vance dead in the water now?

08:35:34.000 I mean, a lot of people are saying he's got the baggage of this midterm on him.

08:35:37.000 No, I don't think he's dead in the water.

08:35:40.000 He does.

08:35:40.000 Trump reflects heavily on him, which is plus or minus what you think.

08:35:44.000 But I think it's going to be him and Marco Rubio again, with actually Ron DeSantis.

08:35:48.000 I think that's going to be the three that end up going head to head.

08:35:51.000 I don't know who's going to win.

08:35:53.000 JD, I don't think there's a Democratic nominee that can really serve that function.

08:35:57.000 Well, and Rubio is interesting because obviously the vice president always has to defend the legacy of the president that he was just serving under, right?

08:36:04.000 So we knew, regardless of what happened in midterms, that this was the fate of JD Vance.

08:36:08.000 He had to both be a part of the Trump administration, distance himself from the U2.

08:36:12.000 It's the same problem VPs have had for years.

08:36:14.000 It's also interesting that we are now looking at Marco Rubio as a potential candidate because he also has to both be with the Trump administration in some respects and distance himself because he is.

08:36:24.000 Such a prominent member of this administration.

08:36:26.000 Ram DeSantis is interesting.

08:36:27.000 Daniel Turner was kind of making this point.

08:36:29.000 Maybe not, I'm going to imperfectly quote him here.

08:36:31.000 But because he ran successfully against Trump, meaning that he lasted a lot longer than a lot of other Republicans, he is kind of the only Republican who can be like, look, I'm not with the administration, but I have done good things in my state.

08:36:43.000 So I think I would expect him to re enter the race in 2022.

08:36:46.000 You know who else put up a little bit of a fight against Trump in 2024 was Vivek Ramaswamy.

08:36:52.000 Of course, he got blown out in Iowa.

08:36:54.000 Yeah, he was vocal until Iowa.

08:36:57.000 He got 1% and he bowed out.

08:36:58.000 Like, intentionally avoided criticizing the president.

08:36:58.000 Gracefully.

08:37:02.000 Notable.

08:37:02.000 Yeah, that was a publicity.

08:37:03.000 Yeah, it was just exactly.

08:37:05.000 I mean, I don't know.

08:37:07.000 I'm kind of on, I think I'm a little bit more cynical.

08:37:09.000 My takeaway is a little bit more cynical.

08:37:11.000 I think the vice president obviously has to own up to what the administration does to a degree, but I also think that he has intentionally put himself out there.

08:37:18.000 Like, he has put himself in the crosshairs for a lot of the things that became controversial or that are really weighed down the administration.

08:37:25.000 He's been a part of the negotiations with Iran, which obviously totally fell apart.

08:37:29.000 He has been doing this anti fraud task force thing.

08:37:32.000 He went on this, he was doing that tour ahead of the midterms where he was speaking with voters, doing the town halls, and all this sort of thing.

08:37:38.000 He made himself kind of the informal spokesman of the administration.

08:37:43.000 And when a teenage, not a teenage, when a young woman asked him a very reasonable question about affordability and housing, he like had this awkward joke about John Husted's body.

08:37:54.000 And it's like, this is, you know, this is such an unforced error.

08:37:57.000 And like, yes, he has to own up to it to a degree.

08:38:01.000 But a lot of it, I think he's just kind of put himself out there unnecessarily.

08:38:04.000 Like, if he was more measured, I don't think it would be such an issue for him.

08:38:07.000 You're on my JD?

08:38:08.000 Yeah, JD.

08:38:09.000 His pitch amounted to, please give us another chance.

08:38:12.000 It's like if you're.

08:38:13.000 And that's not a strong position to be in.

08:38:15.000 If you're reduced to the position of essentially you're in a dead relationship and she asks to open it up and he's like, well, please give me another chance.

08:38:23.000 It's not a position of strength.

08:38:24.000 No.

08:38:24.000 And I say this as someone who really enjoyed JD's contributions to the 2024 election.

08:38:32.000 And I think that, frankly, we need a figure like he was back then in UK politics, someone with a bedside manner, someone quite relatable.

08:38:38.000 But he just seems to have lost his aura.

08:38:40.000 God, so did Mike, what was his name?

08:38:41.000 His first VP in 20.

08:38:43.000 Pence had no or to begin with, if you're asking me.

08:38:46.000 Yeah, Pence.

08:38:47.000 But it was a different casting of VP because the thing is, Trump knew going in this was the last run, right?

08:38:52.000 You could only be president for eight years.

08:38:54.000 And JD Vance served a lot of interesting demographic and ideological purposes.

08:39:01.000 I mean, I think the fact that he had a child while serving as the VP is a symbolism and an energy that we can't understate.

08:39:08.000 Of course, he has a memoir that really struck a chord with a lot of Americans, especially elite Americans who feel like they learned about something they had no idea, especially when it comes to poverty in Appalachia.

08:39:17.000 But ultimately, again, like JD Vance is in the same position he was.

08:39:23.000 Maybe it's worse, maybe it's harder, but it's not surprising to me that we've heard a little bit less from him.

08:39:28.000 He's been in an awkward position, he's had some gaffes.

08:39:31.000 Really, now come January 1 is when all of these people who are looking towards the White House in 2028 are going to start really ramping things up.

08:39:40.000 I think you should come in.

08:39:42.000 Hey, buddy.

08:39:43.000 Come join.

08:39:45.000 He's like a vampire you have to invite.

08:39:45.000 Join us.

08:39:46.000 Yeah.

08:39:47.000 Like, here, come sit in.

08:39:48.000 I've already said my piece.

08:39:49.000 Tell them what you think.

08:39:50.000 Actually, I had something to say.

08:39:51.000 I'm glad that you gave me your seat because I want to talk about the Chi Coms.

08:39:55.000 What they don't understand is that we need to focus on AI because AI companies are solely recognizing that we don't understand that a corporation can become a country so we can sanctify and slowly give off.

08:40:14.000 I don't know.

08:40:15.000 That's well said.

08:40:16.000 I was trying to repeat what your beliefs are, but I don't understand them.

08:40:21.000 You're doing your best to Ian Impression.

08:40:22.000 Yeah.

08:40:23.000 Dude, I just got to beef with Chris Cuomo.

08:40:26.000 Really?

08:40:27.000 Let's hear.

08:40:28.000 Please tell us.

08:40:29.000 We're sick of talking about politics.

08:40:31.000 Okay, so here's the deal.

08:40:32.000 I'm with Abroad, and a wonderful woman, by the way.

08:40:39.000 Her and her friend were super cool.

08:40:40.000 And her friend was like, she goes, I said, Women don't belong in politics, but I do believe that women like Margaret Thatcher do belong in politics.

08:40:52.000 And she goes, Who's the new Margaret Thatcher?

08:40:54.000 And I was like, That's a good riddle.

08:40:58.000 Like, that's a little fucking Lego project to work on.

08:41:02.000 And you're going to be very embarrassed with what I came up with, but Siddhita.

08:41:07.000 Interesting.

08:41:09.000 Sorry, that's all I got.

08:41:11.000 It's over.

08:41:13.000 If you can trump that, by all means, go bananas.

08:41:16.000 But did you say this is Chris Cuomo?

08:41:18.000 Where does a Chris.

08:41:19.000 So anyway, he walks in.

08:41:21.000 We have to put that aside for now.

08:41:23.000 We got to talk about Chris Cuomo.

08:41:24.000 Well, I don't know.

08:41:26.000 Maybe being a New Yorker or something, but.

08:41:28.000 I don't care about celebrities.

08:41:30.000 So he had his tie like this, which is like.

08:41:35.000 Just take your tie off.

08:41:35.000 Disrespectful.

08:41:37.000 Like, you can do a bow tie, you can undo a bow tie, but who leaves a tie like that?

08:41:44.000 As the only other tie wearing man at the table.

08:41:46.000 Oh, I'm sorry, Tate.

08:41:47.000 Connor, do you want to weigh in?

08:41:48.000 Then we can get your perspective.

08:41:50.000 What's the etiquette here?

08:41:51.000 You look like a schoolboy that's just somehow wrestled himself down from being wedgied on a coat hook.

08:41:57.000 Yeah.

08:41:59.000 So, the girls I was with, I was like, okay, it's Chris Cuomo.

08:42:03.000 Let's move on and focus on what's important, which was my particular.

08:42:09.000 Discussion topics, which are like, would you rather be buried alive or drown?

08:42:14.000 Right.

08:42:14.000 You know, smart stuff.

08:42:16.000 Yeah.

08:42:17.000 Things that are fun.

08:42:18.000 Well, I'd be curious.

08:42:19.000 I mean, Gavin, this is the question that has plagued, you know, everyone for generations gay son or thought daughter?

08:42:25.000 The people want to know.

08:42:27.000 Well, you know.

08:42:28.000 We're never going to find out what happened to Chris Cuomo with you at the helm.

08:42:31.000 I got to know.

08:42:33.000 I feel like you have.

08:42:35.000 It's such a huge question.

08:42:40.000 And you've never been asked it before?

08:42:42.000 I've been asked a million times.

08:42:48.000 Does everyone at the table have an answer already prepared?

08:42:51.000 I'm waiting.

08:42:52.000 It's for his.

08:42:53.000 And then we round robin.

08:42:55.000 There's so many, it's all about ramifications.

08:42:58.000 Like Alex Jones, I'll say this publicly.

08:43:03.000 I love the guy.

08:43:06.000 I've never felt like I got through the wall with him.

08:43:10.000 Like John Gross, the Jew bag with the fucking Yamaha.

08:43:15.000 You know who John Gross is in one nanosecond.

08:43:19.000 Like, I could say, I could go up to John Gross literally within 10 seconds of meeting him and be like, My foreskin farted.

08:43:28.000 And he'd be like, Wait, what?

08:43:30.000 Foreskins?

08:43:30.000 I don't have a foreskin.

08:43:32.000 I'm a Jew.

08:43:33.000 But foreskins gather air?

08:43:35.000 And like, John Gross, by the way, I'm mad at him.

08:43:39.000 He puked all over my fucking house at our Halloween party.

08:43:43.000 You're distracting the children.

08:43:45.000 I want to know what happens to the children.

08:43:46.000 Let them cook.

08:43:47.000 Let them cook.

08:43:48.000 Let them cook.

08:43:48.000 I don't think so.

08:43:49.000 Let me cook, bitch.

08:43:54.000 Actually, maybe I've uncooked me.

08:43:57.000 You always raw.

08:43:57.000 So there's certain people where you get to know them instantly.

08:44:01.000 I feel like with me, I don't know.

08:44:02.000 I've never met me, but I feel like you guys are like, we know where Gavin's coming from.

08:44:07.000 He's happily married to his wife, Emily.

08:44:08.000 He doesn't want to cheat.

08:44:10.000 I'm not trying to hit on you, the rods.

08:44:12.000 I wouldn't hate Coke if you guys have it, but I'm not looking for it.

08:44:16.000 But.

08:44:18.000 Okay, I did forget what I was talking about.

08:44:24.000 Oh, yeah.

08:44:24.000 Chris Cuomo.

08:44:25.000 So, there's certain people where you just can't get through the wall.

08:44:30.000 And it's very rare.

08:44:31.000 Like, even you.

08:44:32.000 I don't know you at all.

08:44:33.000 We have not had a conversation.

08:44:36.000 I feel like I know who you are, blah, blah, blah.

08:44:38.000 Right?

08:44:38.000 We've sat next to you.

08:44:39.000 I'm agreeable.

08:44:40.000 I feel like I know you.

08:44:43.000 The black dude from Hot Tub Time Machine.

08:44:47.000 I met him once.

08:44:49.000 No idea where he's coming from.

08:44:50.000 I don't know who that fucking guy is.

08:44:52.000 He's got this plexiglass like aquarium wall.

08:44:59.000 And I fucking love Alex Jones.

08:45:01.000 I deeply respect him.

08:45:02.000 But we had like a dinner once and I was like, I can't.

08:45:08.000 I feel like I hope he's going to see this.

08:45:11.000 This is embarrassing.

08:45:12.000 But Alex, I feel like I can't get to you.

08:45:16.000 And I understand.

08:45:17.000 He probably thinks like there's FBI agents.

08:45:19.000 I'm probably a liar.

08:45:20.000 I'm probably a guy who wants to like.

08:45:22.000 I'm working for the Sandy Hook people, blah, blah, blah.

08:45:25.000 So I get it.

08:45:26.000 I get you're dubious.

08:45:27.000 But like, we're alone at a steak restaurant.

08:45:30.000 So, the only time I really got through to Alex Jones is I was like, How much would you have to be paid to eat out Hillary Clinton?

08:45:39.000 Young or old?

08:45:41.000 This is where we open it up.

08:45:44.000 Now we're talking.

08:45:47.000 And here's the other thing about eating out Hillary Clinton you go down on your wife and you see her labia, and then it gives you a shock of Hillary Clinton's labia.

08:46:03.000 So there's the act itself, which I assume is, I'm being generous to Hillary, but 37 minutes.

08:46:14.000 And then there's like.

08:46:15.000 It's like drilling to hit bedrock.

08:46:17.000 Eating pussy for the rest of your life.

08:46:21.000 Right?

08:46:22.000 Right.

08:46:23.000 So I'm eating steak with Alex Jones, and he's like.

08:46:26.000 So I'm like, blah, blah, blah.

08:46:28.000 What about kids?

08:46:29.000 What do you think about fucking capital gains tax?

08:46:31.000 And he's like, I don't know.

08:46:33.000 And I couldn't get through to him.

08:46:35.000 And I was like, How much to eat out Hillary Clinton?

08:46:37.000 And he's like, Oh, that's actually a good one.

08:46:42.000 And Alex goes, He goes, It's not just the act.

08:46:48.000 Like, that's the thing about people when they do these bets.

08:46:51.000 They're like, There's the act.

08:46:53.000 When the act is done, it's still in your head.

08:46:57.000 So you eat out your wife like 14 years from now, and you remember, like, and.

08:47:05.000 You remember Hillary's like weird labia, and I would imagine she has weird labia.

08:47:10.000 Probably, yeah.

08:47:12.000 I never came out with this until right now.

08:47:12.000 You know what?

08:47:14.000 I bet it's excessive.

08:47:17.000 I bet it's a roast beef sandwich.

08:47:18.000 I don't know why I said that, but I bet she has tons of cunt lips.

08:47:24.000 I got asked by a producer to sit back down.

08:47:26.000 We're about to wrap the show.

08:47:28.000 Wait, I have the whole Chris Cuomo story.

08:47:30.000 Okay, finish the Chris Cuomo story, and then I'm going to wrap it up like a mouse.

08:47:34.000 Am I acting like a drunk idiot?

08:47:36.000 No.

08:47:37.000 I don't think you're sober.

08:47:39.000 So, anyway, I want to know why a fucking worm has the right to slither around in the dirt.

08:47:48.000 No, so we're at Kelly's Irish Times, and Chris Cuomo shows up.

08:47:54.000 And all the broads are like, that's Chris Cuomo.

08:47:56.000 I go, I don't fucking care.

08:47:58.000 Let's not talk to him.

08:48:00.000 So he's got his tie like this.

08:48:03.000 And they all lean over, they all leave to talk to Chris Cuomo.

08:48:11.000 So, I go.

08:48:13.000 I'm like, at first, my whole thing was like, I'm not fucking going over there.

08:48:17.000 But then it gets to the point where I'm like, well, I could sit here and drink alone or I can go over there.

08:48:25.000 People are waving by.

08:48:26.000 They're just saying bye.

08:48:27.000 You know what?

08:48:29.000 I'm starting to get a little mad with the interruptions.

08:48:33.000 Sorry.

08:48:33.000 I'm like borderline grumpy.

08:48:37.000 I have an incredible story.

08:48:39.000 If you want to fucking keep opening doors and going, I'm gonna fucking just leave.

08:48:47.000 We'll never know what happened with Chris Cuomo.

08:48:49.000 Yes, that's exactly what will happen.

08:48:52.000 Stop with the fucking opening the door and doing this.

08:48:56.000 Because I have a good story.

08:48:59.000 If you want to sabotage it, I will fucking punch a hole through every wall in this fucking studio.

08:49:06.000 Okay?

08:49:07.000 I have a good fucking story here.

08:49:09.000 Let's hear it.

08:49:10.000 Okay!

08:49:11.000 You're filibustering yourself.

08:49:12.000 Stop walking in and being like.

08:49:16.000 And having fucking Paisley's shirt go like I'm replacing you.

08:49:21.000 So I don't like the guy, obviously.

08:49:24.000 So I go up to him and I go, so I'm alone.

08:49:28.000 I'm sitting alone, and all the bitches are over with him, with Chris Cuomo.

08:49:33.000 And he's doing this.

08:49:34.000 Like, what is this?

08:49:37.000 You can do that with a bow tie.

08:49:39.000 You can undo a bow tie.

08:49:40.000 You can't walk around with a tie.

08:49:43.000 Anyway, so I drag my drinks over there, and I go, hello.

08:49:49.000 I'm the owner of the Proud Boys.

08:49:52.000 He's like, oh, you, yeah.

08:49:53.000 And then there's this other dude who's like a dirty guy who has like a gray t shirt on.

08:50:00.000 And I go, who are you?

08:50:01.000 What's your story?

08:50:02.000 And then Chris is like, yeah, you don't want to mess with him.

08:50:06.000 And I go, Chris, you're not a fucking mob guy.

08:50:10.000 That's not you.

08:50:12.000 Now, I was kind of drunk as I am now.

08:50:16.000 And I forgot like the whole backstory of the Cuomo's.

08:50:19.000 But the way I remember it is his fucking mom was a real deal nigga.

08:50:26.000 Right?

08:50:27.000 She's mob.

08:50:29.000 But his dad was like a guy who like forgot like a debt.

08:50:34.000 And was like sealing a piggy bank.

08:50:38.000 Like the Andrew Cuomo dad guy was like a fucking loser.

08:50:41.000 So his whole, like, yo, I'm a fucking, don't call me Fredo, I'll kill you.

08:50:46.000 Well, 50%.

08:50:50.000 But I don't care about that.

08:50:51.000 That's not my business.

08:50:52.000 So I go, you have the Tappancy Bridge, right?

08:51:01.000 Your dad wanted to rename it.

08:51:05.000 No, sorry, your brother wanted to rename it, and I got that wrong, and he couldn't get over that.

08:51:08.000 He's like, You don't even know what brother I'm talking about.

08:51:11.000 Okay, sorry.

08:51:12.000 Your brother wanted to rename the Tappansee Bridge the Cuomo Bridge.

08:51:17.000 I don't like that because the Weather Underground were murdering cops willy nilly, and they killed cops right outside that bridge.

08:51:31.000 There's two, it's a black guy and a white guy.

08:51:33.000 They're in fucking, what's it called?

08:51:40.000 I forget the name of the bar, but there's a bar right outside that bridge where they have pictures of those dudes on the wall.

08:51:48.000 And you're okay with that.

08:51:53.000 I want it to be called the Tappansee Bridge.

08:51:55.000 It's not the Cuomo Bridge.

08:51:57.000 And then, don't you think it's.

08:51:58.000 And then I said this I go, don't you think it's kind of weird that your brother okayed that name change with your dad right when he pardoned the Weather Underground, who murdered cops in.

08:52:14.000 Nyack, that's it.

08:52:15.000 Nyack.

08:52:17.000 Don't you think that's kind of weird?

08:52:18.000 And then he focused on my drunken mispronunciation of various things, which, you know what, fair game, fair game.

08:52:25.000 Right.

08:52:30.000 And then I thought, you know what?

08:52:33.000 And I beat the living shit out of him.

08:52:37.000 I feel like the ending's not true, but I could.

08:52:39.000 I think that's true.

08:52:39.000 What?

08:52:40.000 I wouldn't lie.

08:52:41.000 I don't think you would lie.

08:52:42.000 I beat the shit out of Chris Cuomo, I knocked him out.

08:52:47.000 Why would I lie?

08:52:48.000 Ladies and gentlemen, Gavin McGinnis.

08:52:52.000 I was joking and I didn't beat him up.

08:52:54.000 That was a joke.

08:52:55.000 That was a joke.

08:52:55.000 I didn't.

08:52:56.000 This gentleman, the legend himself.

08:52:56.000 That was a joke.

08:52:58.000 Thank you, Gavin.

08:52:59.000 Thanks, Gavin.

08:53:00.000 We'll get Gayson Thought Daughter next time.

08:53:01.000 We'll circle back.

08:53:03.000 We'll circle back.

08:53:03.000 I played Bad Cop.

08:53:05.000 Bye, Gavin.

08:53:07.000 Peace and love, bruh.

08:53:07.000 Bye.

08:53:09.000 Anyway, yeah, so DeSantis, I think, is the heavy favorite for the next presidential cycle.

08:53:15.000 He put this interesting post up here.

08:53:18.000 This is something I didn't think about.

08:53:19.000 Assuming Republicans lose the seats, where prediction markets of Democrats are at 90% plus to win, there's a chance, even if we crush in the next election cycle, we can't nominate someone to the Supreme Court for like 10 years.

08:53:32.000 Anna Claire, what is going on?

08:53:33.000 Well, first off, that was just a beautiful pivot.

08:53:36.000 I really just want to congratulate you on that one.

08:53:39.000 I mean, you're asking me, is Ron DeSantis going to win?

08:53:42.000 What's our question here?

08:53:44.000 His projection here, and again, this appears to be correct, is that we literally cannot.

08:53:49.000 Nominate a successor to Alito or Thomas through at least 2033, just mathematically speaking, because we won't be able to recapture enough seats in 2033.

08:53:57.000 So, who is next to come off the Supreme Court?

08:54:00.000 Wasn't there pressure for Sotomayor?

08:54:02.000 Oh, gosh, I can't say that.

08:54:03.000 They'll swap the liberals out.

08:54:04.000 The liberals are next to come off, anyways.

08:54:06.000 Thomas is 17.

08:54:08.000 I mean, I feel like Sotomayor is hanging on because she doesn't want to open up a seat during a Trump presidency, anyways.

08:54:15.000 I mean, she might open up more than a Trump seat if she does stand up.

08:54:19.000 Hey, that's not how it works mathematically.

08:54:22.000 I mean, there is something to be said about this, but again, like, I'm a little bit surprised by how many Republicans are as surprised as they are right now, right?

08:54:33.000 Like, things were not good.

08:54:35.000 We all knew this.

08:54:36.000 But, like I have said repeatedly at this point, I think the best thing that we can take away from this is that we get a chance to minorly audition socialism, which I'm not in support of, but it makes it not the big saving grace that it could seem like in 2028.

08:54:53.000 And like a lame duck Trump presidency is not good.

08:54:53.000 Right.

08:54:56.000 On the other hand, I think there are a lot of people who are frustrated with Trump, anyways.

08:55:00.000 And maybe this is a chance for Republicans down ticket at state levels, at local levels, to think more creatively about how they are going to solve problems.

08:55:08.000 Because so often the downside of the MAGA movement has just been like, well, we'll elect him and he'll fix everything all the time.

08:55:15.000 And like it is a reason that they were able to take their eyes off the prize in so many places.

08:55:20.000 Now, it's not a perfect solution.

08:55:22.000 I'm not disagreeing with DeSantis's take here or, you know, his team's take, but.

08:55:27.000 I just think that, like, before we all doom pill our way to the end of the year, like, let's think more strategically about what we can do with this.

08:55:35.000 Like, for me, I want to see the voting demographics.

08:55:37.000 I want to see how white voters turned out during midterms.

08:55:40.000 I want to see how women turned out.

08:55:41.000 I want to see how young people turned out.

08:55:43.000 Before I make a, like, well, after this, it's just all over.

08:55:46.000 Maybe I'm being too optimistic, Ian.

08:55:48.000 No, you're right on.

08:55:49.000 And the same kind of similar thing happened after Obama, you know, the second term of hope and change.

08:55:53.000 And it was like, well, what are we hoping for?

08:55:55.000 What's really changing?

08:55:56.000 You got Trump.

08:55:57.000 So I think with a segment of socialism, you might get.

08:56:01.000 The counter to that as well.

08:56:02.000 You'd got Trump, then you got the socialist move.

08:56:04.000 Now you get the response to the socialism.

08:56:07.000 I actually think it's a great idea.

08:56:09.000 And there's socialism is not pure evil.

08:56:12.000 There is some value to it, which is why people look for it and go for it sometimes.

08:56:16.000 But you just got to bounce, you can't let it go crazy.

08:56:18.000 Like, you can't let the government buy all the corporations.

08:56:21.000 You got to, like, be real gentle with when you let the government take over aspects of the private sector.

08:56:27.000 But I'd like to see it tried.

08:56:28.000 I mean, it's better than living in fear of it, which is exactly your point.

08:56:32.000 And isn't it like Isn't this a time for just like GOP minorities to come together and really just put up as many obstacles as they can for whatever the House majority is going to do here?

08:56:42.000 I mean, that's the interesting thing about the checks and balance system, right?

08:56:44.000 Like, you actually just need a bunch of people who are so difficult that they can't get things through.

08:56:49.000 And, like, I'm not saying it's a perfect system, but I'm just not willing to go to bed tonight being like, oh my gosh, it's all over.

08:56:55.000 Like, we all have to keep living.

08:56:57.000 I respect the white pilling.

08:57:00.000 We are coming to the end of the show.

08:57:02.000 I'd be curious before we let Connor go, although you will be joining us Thursday, which I'm very excited about.

08:57:07.000 As an outsider, as someone who this is obviously going to have an effect on, right?

08:57:11.000 I mean, America reverberates.

08:57:14.000 I mean, you already gave your autopsy.

08:57:16.000 Does this change things in Britain?

08:57:18.000 Yeah.

08:57:19.000 Electorally speaking?

08:57:20.000 People I've been speaking to that are in the admin are guys who are trying to do their best, sweeping some landmines and creating more room for us to maneuver.

08:57:29.000 Especially because this week I had the home office, it discovers they're compiling lists of my tweets.

08:57:33.000 So I'm being monitored.

08:57:34.000 Or maybe they're fans.

08:57:35.000 They're really doing something.

08:57:35.000 Welcome.

08:57:35.000 Yeah.

08:57:36.000 Badge of endorsement.

08:57:37.000 Did they subscribe at least?

08:57:38.000 Yeah.

08:57:39.000 Better be on the sub stack at least.

08:57:42.000 Those guys have been trying to create.

08:57:44.000 Room to maneuver.

08:57:45.000 And if they're stuck in endless hearings, being subpoenaed, being made to answer for the State Department condemning gay race communism in Europe, then their operational capacity is going to be diminished.

08:57:56.000 And if going into 2029, so our next election could be as early as this year, it's possible that Andy Burnham, new prime minister, nobody would have heard of him, was mayor of Manchester, basically allowed the grooming gangs to run uninterrupted and has now just installed himself as PM.

08:58:13.000 And side note, by the way How many prime ministers is that in the last five years?

08:58:18.000 Five years.

08:58:21.000 Five?

08:58:22.000 Yeah, Boris Johnson, Liz, for like 40 days.

08:58:25.000 Rishi Sunak, diminutive Indian.

08:58:27.000 Keir Starmer, most hated man on the planet.

08:58:28.000 Andy Burnham, northerner who eats pies and is now at like 30% in the polls.

08:58:32.000 Well, back off.

08:58:33.000 Hold on.

08:58:33.000 Northerners are okay.

08:58:35.000 They are, but his entire shtick is like, I'm Andy from the north.

08:58:39.000 I go to a football match.

08:58:40.000 Please vote for me and I'll make your bus fares cheaper.

08:58:42.000 And for some reason, the entire country's fallen for it.

08:58:45.000 So the whole thing of like, oh, they'll defeat socialism in two years.

08:58:48.000 Unfortunately, people have the memory of a goldfish.

08:58:50.000 So, I wouldn't be surprised if this does ruin 2028 for you guys.

08:58:53.000 And if it ruins 2028 for you guys, and 2029 is looking pretty bleak for us, I mean, even if we won in 2029, we being which party, God knows, trying to get anything done with a Democrat in the White House, like, how are we going to do deportations if you're counter signaling us?

08:59:09.000 Yeah.

08:59:09.000 It's rough.

08:59:10.000 Yeah.

08:59:10.000 That's my big fear.

08:59:11.000 I feel like Trump's legacy is complicated as it is, but the progress he has made when it comes to changing the conversation on not just illegal migration, but the pitfalls of unchecked migration generally have been really profound.

08:59:24.000 I don't want to see that undone immediately.

08:59:27.000 And I do feel like if there's a Democrat in 2028, it is very much like tit for tat.

08:59:31.000 Like we think you guys were the worst.

08:59:33.000 So now we're going to be the worst in the name of justice or whatever the justification is.

08:59:37.000 Sorry, Dane.

08:59:38.000 No, I am happy just to sit back.

08:59:41.000 It is like vintage Tim Cass with Connor and Hannah Clare here.

08:59:44.000 This is.

08:59:44.000 Yeah, we got Waffle House again, Alstar?

08:59:46.000 It's fantastic.

08:59:47.000 Oh, gosh, that's true.

08:59:48.000 No, I'm old now.

08:59:49.000 I can't go out.

08:59:50.000 I have to get my husband's permission and just go back to sleep.

08:59:53.000 It's as it should be.

08:59:54.000 So true.

08:59:56.000 Well, That's us for today until the next election, which hopefully we'll have.

09:00:02.000 Maybe we'll have another election.

09:00:02.000 Well, I don't know.

09:00:03.000 Who knows?

09:00:04.000 Stop being such a click.

09:00:04.000 Things could get wacky.

09:00:05.000 That's my Tim.

09:00:06.000 That's my Tim take.

09:00:07.000 Boom.

09:00:08.000 Maybe we will.

09:00:08.000 Not as good as the original.

09:00:11.000 Well, with that, we got a.

09:00:12.000 It's what, eight hours now?

09:00:13.000 Nine?

09:00:14.000 Yeah, I mean, we started like what, 4 p.m.?

09:00:18.000 Eight hours?

09:00:18.000 So I don't know what time it is now.

09:00:20.000 Almost one.

09:00:20.000 Nine hours.

09:00:21.000 Well, I got to ask.

09:00:22.000 I mean, Carter, you got to give us the.

09:00:24.000 You've been in the driver's seat here for basically the entire time.

09:00:28.000 Yeah.

09:00:28.000 Give people your final thoughts, your autopsy, and your coordinates.

09:00:32.000 Well, I brought Hannah Clare back in to give the silver lining because it's not looking very silver to me or for Texas, for that matter.

09:00:44.000 But hopefully, something good will come out of all of this.

09:00:49.000 And, you know, at least you're trying.

09:00:52.000 How do you solve it if you're good, Carter?

09:00:53.000 You have to keep positive.

09:00:55.000 Oh, I am.

09:00:55.000 That was the most positive thing I could say.

09:00:57.000 That was beautiful.

09:00:58.000 Well, where can people follow your positivity?

09:01:01.000 Well,.

09:01:03.000 You can find me at Carter Banks everywhere.

09:01:04.000 Me on X at Carter Banks Official on Instagram.

09:01:08.000 And check out the Trash House Records, the label at Trash House Records on YouTube.

09:01:17.000 Yeah, we'll be back tomorrow.

09:01:18.000 Obviously, Tate, where can people find you?

09:01:20.000 Yeah, X and Instagram and TikTok at Real Tate Brown.

09:01:25.000 More importantly, where can people find Ian?

09:01:27.000 In your dreams, dude, all over my hope.

09:01:31.000 You know, every challenge is an opportunity.

09:01:35.000 And I want to.

09:01:36.000 Thank the crew today.

09:01:38.000 We got Kellen and Andrew behind the scenes.

09:01:40.000 Also, Carter working his ass off fucking nine hours straight.

09:01:43.000 Andrew and Kellen both came in clutch for me when I needed a slight break.

09:01:46.000 So, yeah, everyone here is done.

09:01:48.000 Great show.

09:01:49.000 Thank you, Tim.

09:01:50.000 You're probably sleeping already.

09:01:51.000 Thank you, Tate.

09:01:52.000 Everybody, thanks, guys.

09:01:53.000 This has been pretty stellar.

09:01:56.000 At Ian Crossan is where you'll find me.

09:01:57.000 It's just my name.

09:01:58.000 Bye.

09:01:59.000 Connor.

09:02:00.000 At Conn underscore Tomlinson and Connor Tomlinson on YouTube and Substack.

09:02:04.000 And also, I will be back on Thursday where Tate and I can like chut out for three hours.

09:02:08.000 It's going to be really fun.

09:02:08.000 Cannot wait.

09:02:10.000 Across the pond, who remembers?

09:02:11.000 Dude, thanks for having me.

09:02:12.000 Good to see you guys.

09:02:13.000 I'm Hannah Claire B on X on YouTube, and I'm Hannah Claire B on Substack as well.

09:02:19.000 And that's kind of all I have to say.

09:02:21.000 Lovely being back on Vintage Chimcast in a new studio.

09:02:24.000 I want Rebecca's coordinates, and then I need to hear Lisa's autopsy.

09:02:28.000 Rebecca, where can people find you?

09:02:29.000 Hordes, you can find me on Instagram on X and the talk at Rebecca Zelko, spelled R E B E K A Z E L J K O. Crazy show.

09:02:39.000 Happy to be here.

09:02:40.000 Lisa, bring us home.

09:02:41.000 Crazy night.

09:02:41.000 Crazy show.

09:02:42.000 I just had an interaction with Chris Como.

09:02:44.000 Oh, we heard the second one.

09:02:46.000 We heard you beat him up and raped him.

09:02:47.000 No, he was actually a gentleman to me.

09:02:51.000 It's not the first time he's always been a gentleman to me.

09:02:53.000 Gavin might have embellished me.

09:02:54.000 Gavin said he beat him up.

09:02:56.000 Can you confirm?

09:02:57.000 Gavin did not beat him up.

09:02:58.000 I love Gavin.

09:02:58.000 Probably Gavin a liar.

09:03:00.000 Sorry, I'm going to stop talking.

09:03:01.000 Oh, the whole thing.

09:03:02.000 But no, thank you everybody for hanging out.

09:03:04.000 I hope you guys enjoyed the show.

09:03:05.000 I hope you enjoyed all the guests.

09:03:07.000 You did excellent.

09:03:09.000 Great work.

09:03:10.000 Yeah, I left for like an hour.

09:03:13.000 But I hope you guys enjoyed everything, even though we kind of got shellacked, but it doesn't matter anyway.

09:03:18.000 Think of God first because that's really all that matters.

09:03:20.000 That's good.

09:03:20.000 Vivek lost.

09:03:21.000 Vivek lost.

09:03:22.000 Hero Jeets.

09:03:22.000 So it's a win.

09:03:23.000 And we flipped Guam.

09:03:25.000 God's the only one.

09:03:26.000 So, with that, thank you very much for watching this election special.

09:03:32.000 We'll see you guys tomorrow.

09:03:33.000 Thank you very much for watching.

09:03:35.000 Peace out.

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Timcast IRL - Tim Pool - November 03, 2026

LIVE Midterms - Democrats Accused Of Cheating, Polling Locations Down, Midterms GET HOT

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