00:01:29.000Tucker Carlson has warned Donald Trump under pressure from Netanyahu may nuke Iran because we don't have conventional weapons that can actually dismantle Pickaxe Mountain.
00:01:42.000Now, of course, the reaction has been swift, with many people saying this is insane and he would never do this.
00:01:48.000However, there are many others, some people who are not even big fans of Tucker, saying, I actually think there's a possibility this might be the case.
00:01:55.000Now, I don't know for sure, but what I can say is everybody is on edge for a variety of reasons.
00:02:01.000So far, The minimum is 33 countries have issued warnings to their citizens to stock up on food, water, cash, and coin.
00:02:10.000The United States announced its fortress operation, making sure that all military bases are operational off the civilian grid for at least 90 days.
00:02:19.000Mar a Lago has seen Stinger SAM launchers placed around it.
00:06:54.000And of course, don't forget to pick up some cast brew coffee, promo code IRL20 for 20% off.
00:06:59.000Let's jump into the news from The Independent.
00:07:02.000Tucker Carlson says Trump could launch a nuclear strike on Iran within days under pressure from Netanyahu.
00:07:10.000So this post has gone massively viral.
00:07:12.000He says, under pressure from Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, the Trump admin may be within days of launching a nuclear strike on Iran.
00:07:26.000The argument is Trump has stated he wants to go after Pickaxe Mountain, arguably where they've restarted their nuclear program.
00:07:33.000The only problem is 300 feet of granite.
00:07:37.000And there's nothing we have that can bust that bunker.
00:07:40.000So Tucker is arguing the only thing we can do is nuke it.
00:07:43.000Now, what's interesting there is that among the left, this has widely been missed by a lot of right wing circles, but they're putting out tons of videos arguing that Donald Trump is preparing to nuke Iran.
00:07:53.000This may just be fear mongering just before an election, but they're arguing it because Trump deployed anti aircraft Stinger missiles to his house.
00:08:04.000And those are not for domestic issues.
00:08:17.000But either way, it definitely looks like with the fortress operation, the warning that everybody needs to have food and water, cash and coin, rumors circulating online that the grid could go down, this is what has people fearing Tucker Carlson may be right.
00:08:34.000I'm going to go and say nothing ever happens, ridiculously low probability, and I'd rather say that than entertain the idea that Trump would actually nuke Iran.
00:09:00.000I mean, there is an argument going around on the internet that the last time nuclear weapons were used, the U.S. became very closely allied with the country.
00:09:14.000If there were to be nuclear weapons used in Iran.
00:09:18.000So, yeah, that's my wild and crazy take.
00:09:20.000I don't think that it's a good idea to use nuclear weapons.
00:09:23.000Now, as for the actual fortress or the installation in question, I don't know that a nuclear weapon would take out an underground bunker if you can't penetrate.
00:09:59.000And I will just say, on the apocalypse front, Rebecca and I got to our office this morning and all of the power was out in like a four block radius around the White House.
00:10:13.000Well, some of it, our office did, but it was crazy.
00:10:17.000I mean, people were acting like it was the Wild West, which, by the way, speaking of like antisocial behavior in the apocalypse, Doesn't everyone know that when a traffic light goes out, you're all supposed to treat it as a four way stop?
00:10:28.000Like, apparently, not in D.C. because we have too many student drivers around.
00:10:35.000But on the Tucker stuff, I will say that I've heard from other people who are very well sourced in the government that at the very least, the Trump administration has been discussing this, which isn't surprising, right?
00:10:46.000Like, it shouldn't be surprising that when you're in a war, the people who are in the DOW now, DOW and State Department, whatever, are considering all options.
00:10:55.000And so, at the very least, I would not be at all surprised that.
00:10:59.000High level government officials are discussing the possibility or the option.
00:11:04.000Now, the question then would be who is on the side of not using them, who's on the side of using them, and how many people belong to each camp?
00:11:11.000Because that's when you start to get more insight into how close they are to actually making this a possible strategic option.
00:11:18.000What if, like, a nuke falls on Iran, hits Pickaxe Mountain, wipes it out, obliterates it, and then Trump is like, Who did that?
00:11:37.000I'm just like, I'm not going to give a heavy take because I remember in January, the people were like, oh, we're going to go to the war with Iran.1.00
00:12:01.000When Midnight Hammer happened, everyone who was warning that this could potentially escalate into a bigger conflict was like, No, guys, it's a one and done.0.66
00:12:09.000Like, look, Iran didn't even do anything.0.80
00:12:11.000Their response was totally symbolic.0.88
00:12:59.000And his domestic agenda is about to go overboard if the Democrats win the midterms.
00:13:04.000So you've got to leave a legacy somehow.0.95
00:13:07.000I get the sense that the Iran war, if maybe not fully nuking them, Trying to finish the Iran war might be the sort of capstone on his second term.0.82
00:13:18.000I kind of think that if Trump, you know, if the Democrats win the midterms and then they were like, we did it, we're going to stop Trump.0.60
00:13:25.000If Trump held like a private meeting with all the Democrats, stop this.0.67
00:13:28.000He'd be like, okay, you win, I'll nuke Iran.
00:15:08.000I watched a video of Trump where someone was asking him a hypothetical about foreign policy, and he just goes, What if a bomb drops on your head?
00:18:10.000Now, Tucker also said that JD Vance is trying to back him off of it.
00:18:15.000And some are arguing that what Tucker is actually doing is trying to set up JD Vance as this reasonable figure who's constraining Trump's worst, you know, accesses so that he can run in 2028.
00:19:42.000And uh, we had that great Tim Cass member who called in and said he thinks the reason this is happening is because the Saudis want Trump to enact his regime change, otherwise, they won't rip the petrodollar deal.
00:19:53.000The only way you're gonna get is with human beings.
00:20:33.000So, if the U.S. launches any kind of serious attack on Iran and there are Iranian sleeper cells in the United States, do they then retaliate in some way that requires Trump to have anti aircraft outside of his home?
00:20:47.000Would that have happened already, though?
00:20:50.000Because people have been warning about that since the start of the war.
00:21:10.000Not in his first term because they were working against him.
00:21:14.000But DC's got all of these capabilities all over the place.
00:21:18.000That was the question I was thinking, you know, because here we are in DC and I'm thinking like maybe I should just call off the week and just work from home and be like, you guys can do IRL.
00:21:40.000If there's any anti air defense the U.S. has, it's here.
00:21:42.000Oh, we had our wedding reception at Fort Myer and we were taking pictures.
00:21:48.000They actually had to review all of our photographs before our photographer was allowed to leave with her camera because they have these little bunkers around the hill overlooking the monuments.
00:22:01.000So I'm pretty sure they're anti missile.
00:22:04.000We got Raven Rock and Mount Weather not that far away from here.
00:22:07.000And that's where everybody goes to hide.
00:22:19.000By some teenager, which is going to be like a sleeper cell.
00:22:23.000No, it's going to be a sleeper cell, and they're going to be like running through the streets with guns, and then kids on bikes are going to swerve into a lime bike.
00:23:39.000Yeah, nuclear is a scare word, in my opinion, too, you know?
00:23:42.000It's also one of those things where it's like anyone who's taking such a definitive stance.
00:23:46.000Has not been paying attention to the last year's foreign policy, which is that, like, we have no idea, we have literally no idea what's going to happen.
00:23:52.000So you can't definitively say one way or the other what's going to happen.
00:23:56.000If the United States were to use even a tactical nuclear weapon in Iran, does that give Putin an argument to say, oh, well, you know, we have to take care of this Ukraine thing?
00:24:08.000And, you know, if the United States just used one, so how are you going to criticize us if we use a small yield nuclear weapon, et cetera?
00:24:15.000Like, I think that that's one of the That's probably one of the larger deterrents.
00:24:22.000Is look, if you open that can, there are other countries that probably would like to.
00:24:29.000He said World War III would be inevitable.
00:25:48.000Yeah, you know, I'm always reminded of that scene from Men in Black where Kay is talking to Jay and he says, Look at all these people.
00:25:55.000He's like, There's always some, you know, apocalypse or Carillion death ray, and the only way these people get by is they do not know about it.
00:26:02.000And I think that's probably the truth all the time.
00:26:05.000You know, life is probably like that show Blacklist or something where, like, every day there's about to be a nuclear bomb going off or some.
00:26:13.000You know, disease or serial killer, just nobody knows because secret agents keep it under arrest.0.81
00:26:16.000They just nuke Iran, don't tell anyone.0.80
00:28:23.000Surface to air missile systems have been deployed at Mar a Lago and Donald Trump International Airport at the request of the U.S. Secret Service.
00:28:31.000I didn't even know there was a Donald Trump International Airport.
00:28:34.000The spokesperson said the agency is operating in a heightened threat environment.
00:28:58.000Do you guys have an idea or do you have an opinion as to whether it's more or less likely that the Trump administration escalates the Iran conflict if the Republicans lose or if they win, if they keep the House or if they lose the House?
00:29:12.000I think it's more likely if they lose because Trump's domestic agenda will be dead.
00:29:16.000He's going to want to leave behind some kind of legacy.
00:29:18.000He's not going to love the idea of being a two year lame duck president.
00:29:22.000I think what we've seen in the past year of the administration is him doubling down on foreign policy as a way to get around the fact that.
00:29:30.000The Republican Congress hasn't passed much of his agenda.
00:29:33.000Venezuela, Greenland, Iran, trying to solve the Russia Ukraine conflict.
00:29:38.000He's trying to make a mark somewhere else other than domestic policy.
00:32:05.000I was like, this is, I see why trading's about to go away.
00:32:07.000I would, yeah, I was like, this is awesome.
00:32:09.000I would love to be the guy who dances through the minefield, giggling and laughing, and then comes on the other side while everyone's like, I can't believe that happened.
00:32:17.000But that's just not really what happens when you dance through a minefield.
00:32:59.000My husband has been trying to get us to get a generator for a really long time, and he's also trying to convince me to get one of those like Campbell's soup cans that you put underground, like the underground bunkers that literally look like tin soup.
00:33:35.000I'm like purposely, like, trying not to build a relationship with my neighbors because if this goes down, then I won't feel as bad, like, breaking in their house and stealing it.
00:34:35.000You guys remember the sarin attacks in Syria?
00:34:37.000The reason why it's scary is because you can't see it.
00:34:40.000And what they said was when the gas attack happened in Syria, there are people like sitting in their chair and they look, you know, 10, 20 feet away and they see people start coughing and gagging.
00:34:50.000By the time you see that, you're already dead.
00:34:57.000I remember because I used to work at like FedEx and I was like loading a truck and then like the driver was in there and he like ripped one.0.99
00:35:03.000He's like, it's like Syria in here.0.97
00:35:05.000I And I was like, kind of, so I kind of know a little bit of what to expect.1.00
00:36:48.000You gotta wait for me to finish before being like, whoa!
00:36:51.000He said, because the chemicals and the things that exist, like sarin or ricin, for instance, that could kill insane amounts of people and truly have them terrified to go outside, are never implemented.
00:37:04.000What he was saying was if the idea of terror is to make you fear that you will never be safe if you go to war with somebody, why would they not?
00:37:13.000And then he explains very basic chemical process in a restaurant.
00:37:16.000And he's like, that would kill 50,000 people in a week.
00:37:19.000And then people would be terrified to go to restaurants, they'd be terrified to go to supermarkets.
00:38:57.000If you grow mushrooms in your dorm, he's just like, You go to hang out and he slides out a tray of mushrooms and starts eating them in front of you?
00:41:53.000Um, so but yeah, like they were all like sitting out, like, you know, some people had like little stoves going with like our little outdoor fires and stuff.
00:42:03.000So if they didn't, if they weren't sitting out, you kind of didn't really walk up, you know what I mean?
00:42:07.000We kept our front door open to try to signal because we were, you know, having some wine, listening to music, midnight out of it, reading Andy No's book, yeah, which is really good by the very right way.
00:42:21.000Because I remember, like, there's no rules and regs anymore because, like, when I was a kid.
00:42:24.000Like, for some reason, the city would somehow communicate to the parents that, like, 10 p.m. this year is like the cutoff.
00:42:29.000I don't know how anyone figured that out.
00:42:31.000Yeah, my parents would always be like, 10 p.m. is the cutoff.
00:43:51.000And she, understandably, I mean, if you know anything about Michigan politics, it is very personal or women, it is very relationship based.
00:43:59.000And the same thing happened in the Michigan GOP years ago when Ronald McDaniel left to run the RNC is like all these factions started feuding.
00:44:52.000It was, it was, look, I think the Republicans should be playing this every moment they get a chance until the polls close tomorrow.
00:44:59.000Because, like, the whole, like, oh, they're going to see it anyways because of the internet, that's the worst answer you could possibly give.
00:45:19.000I don't know that that's actually true.
00:45:21.000I think we manufacture these social issues.
00:45:23.000Because here's the thing about it Ross, you have an iPhone in your pocket probably, or is it an iPhone or a Samsung?
00:45:27.000You have a phone in your pocket, right?
00:45:29.000You can get access to everything and anything in the whole world, all the world's information in your pocket.
00:45:34.000The notion somehow that you are going to prevent your child from being exposed to something that you may find disagreeable and that that is going to be because of school is so profoundly outdated.
00:45:47.000Because, of course, you have all the information.
00:45:58.000And the most important thing you can do is not try to protect a person from seeing a thing.
00:46:03.000It's about trying to make sure that as you coach your kid through the world, you are engaging with them and saying, here's what I believe.0.87
00:46:18.000I'm going to ask everybody a question.
00:46:20.000And for everybody who's watching live in the chat, I have a question for you.
00:46:23.000When a guy goes up to you and says that your kids should be allowed to look at whatever they want on the internet, just, you know, I look, you know, maybe they should look at these things.
00:46:31.000What do you think that guy's intentions are?
00:46:33.000Like, a guy comes up to you and says, I know you have a grade school child, but hey, look, they can get whatever they want on the internet, you know, you can't stop them.
00:46:41.000So just be modern and be real about it.
00:46:44.000What do you think he is trying to accomplish?
00:46:46.000Well, he starts off, he goes, Well, do you have what?
00:47:01.000I think there's only one reason you use innuendo like that because nobody can come out explicitly and state they want to give kids sexual materials.1.00
00:47:08.000So they just say, well, you can't stop them anyway.
00:47:10.000So, I mean, you shouldn't really be mad, right?
00:47:12.000And that's what he's saying on 60 Minutes to every parent.
00:47:16.000And as a new parent myself, I have had this argument on the show already.
00:47:48.000I mean, to Amber's point, he's run a pretty good campaign and he's come up with pretty thoughtful answers to difficult questions.
00:47:56.000And it's, it's, I'm not, I'm not, I'm having a hard time believing that this was just like a fumble, that he just didn't know what to say when he was confronted with like one of the most pressing social, you know, issues of our political age.
00:48:08.000I'm not convinced that he just like had a bad moment on TV.
00:48:11.000No, it's that this was the pre prepared answer that he came up with for this question.
00:48:17.000I went to the full YouTube interview, it was like an hour long too, because I wanted to see what Ross responded because he's usually really quick with it.
00:48:26.000And, He actually just moved on to the next question, which might have actually been wise because the clip speaks for itself, right?0.98
00:48:35.000Like, you don't need to even have the quick wit of Ross Douthat to tamp this down because it's so obviously idiotic.0.99
00:48:42.000So, Republicans are obviously already running this everywhere.0.98
00:48:45.000The problem, of course, with our modern voting system is that there are already millions of votes in before Election Day.
00:48:52.000So, October surprises, November surprises don't even have as much impact anymore because a huge portion of the electorate has already cast their ballot.
00:49:02.000It sucks, too, because if we had the economy as tuned in as we did this time last year, this stuff does have a game changer.
00:49:09.000Again, if the economy is firing on all cylinders, this would be the final nail in the coffin for LSA 80.
00:49:13.000You'd be like, okay, well, he's finished now.
00:49:33.000And people in Texas have been talking about the same thing.
00:49:35.000You'll notice the Ken Paxton campaign talks a lot about social issues in comparison to James Tallarico.
00:49:41.000But the problem is, even though the issue of transgender people in sports or locker rooms, Is a mover on voters, like it's the issue that you can convince voters to move the most on.
00:49:56.000The number of people who rank that in their top 10 issues is supremely low, so you can't just go all in on that messaging because you're only really reaching this small little, like, miniscule swath of the electorate.0.52
00:50:45.000And if you're concerned about it, as bad as it is that there are institutions that are enabling this ideology, there are ways as a parent to kind of insulate your children from that.
00:50:54.000Homeschool them, or you can not give them phones, you know, things like that.
00:50:56.000There are kind of more immediate remedies for the issue that are within their reach.
00:51:01.000You can't like go to the gas station and magically make gas cheaper.
00:51:05.000And so that's also part of the calculus.
00:51:07.000The economics are the defining factor of this.
00:51:10.000Even the people that say that they're upset about the war, which there are plenty of people out there that are upset about the war.
00:51:16.000I've made the argument before on the show that, like, look, if Americans aren't coming home in body bags, generally the American people will forgive airstrikes.
00:51:23.000So the thing that they're actually upset about.
00:51:26.000Is the economy and that's directly related to the downstream gas?
00:51:30.000Speaking of the war, the Wall Street Journal is reporting that the U.S. struck Iran's Kesham Island.
00:51:39.000Well, we actually, we had that, but I think that happened about 20 minutes before we went live.
00:51:48.000The U.S. is engaging in ongoing strikes against Iran.
00:51:50.000So I think the only thing that counters is that Trump said, oh, we're going to have peace, there's going to be a deal or whatever, but clearly it's not the case.
00:51:55.000Well, he said, yeah, and he said he was going to wait until after the midterms to strike again.
00:52:19.000I mean, I was saying earlier this year, I was like, if the economy is doing well and people feel like their dollar goes well, then the Republicans might be able to keep the House and probably will keep the Senate.
00:52:29.000If the economy's not, they're definitely not going to.
00:53:57.000They want to get rid of the office of the presidency.
00:53:59.000They want to have the Congress decide who the president is.
00:54:03.000Like, they and to get rid of the Senate, you actually have to abolish the Constitution because it's the in Article 5 the only thing that's that can't be changed about the Constitution without an amendment.
00:54:15.000You can't take the votes of the small states away from them.
00:54:19.000So you have to abolish the Constitution to do this.
00:54:22.000They don't want to make changes or rethink tax policy or anything.
00:54:26.000They want to fundamentally change what the United States is.
00:54:31.000And look, I know there are people out there that are mad about the war.
00:54:34.000I know people are out there that are mad about the cost of gas, and rightly so.
00:54:38.000They have every right to feel that way.
00:54:40.000But I can't sit home and say, you know, I couldn't just not go and vote.
00:54:45.000And I can't tell people, well, you know, I get why you're mad, so I get why you're not voting.
00:54:51.000Or at the very least, I can't sit here and be like, no, it's fine.
00:54:56.000It's really, really important that Democrats don't get the reins of power because of what they want to do to the country.
00:55:03.000And if they lose, if the Republicans do lose tomorrow, and you've got two years of a lame duck for Trump, it's going to be investigations.
00:55:11.000It's going to be all kinds of stuff from the House that's just doing everything they can to hamstring the Trump administration.
00:55:18.000And it makes it more likely the Democrats win in 28.
00:55:21.000And if that happens, They will do everything they can to eliminate those policies because the DSA is going to control the Democrat Party.
00:55:27.000Yes, but what we've seen with the willingness to go after each other, Trump's now talking about issuing a pardon for Elon Musk and other aides.
00:55:37.000Look, we're looking at I become president, I pardon everyone I know, now you can't do anything.
00:56:31.000It wasn't like he said, I hereby declare a coup in this country as mine now.
00:56:35.000If anything does go down, it's going to be as simple as some federal judge saying Trump can't do a thing, and then Democrats being like, oh no, Trump's defying us.
00:56:44.000And they're going to then say, it's a coup.
00:56:48.000The executive is defying the judicial, and Trump's gone rogue.
00:56:52.000Yeah, and they already have J.B. Pritzker and Gavin Newsom that have said that they'll step in and they'll defy Trump should he give any illegal orders, which.
00:57:05.000The only things that Trump is going to do, or the only thing that he's going to respond to that they could do something like that, is if he uses the Insurrection Act because of protests and stuff like that.
00:57:15.000I expect to see a lot of protests and a lot of ramping up of violence.
00:57:19.000We didn't see anything at all this summer.
00:57:21.000Next year, if the Democrats take the House, you're going to see a lot of that stuff.
00:57:25.000Trump is going to be pressured to use the Insurrection Act to tamp it down.
00:57:29.000And then you'll have Democrat governors saying, no, we're not going to listen.
00:57:40.000It actually won't be because the president is fully within his power to activate the National Guard to use the Insurrection Act.
00:57:48.000But they're going to do whatever they can to defy him and they're looking to pull the legitimacy of the office of the presidency down.
00:57:55.000They're looking to change the country.
00:57:57.000I think the big problem with that argument is not that that's not all true because it 100% is, it's not as compelling for people when corruption has increasingly become.
00:58:11.000One of the biggest issues heading into the midterms.
00:58:14.000And the Trump administration has shown really no willingness or interest in tamping down those perceptions.
00:58:21.000They continue having people who have business interests in the Middle East negotiating for the end of the Iran war, for example.
00:58:28.000He's been handing out pardons like candy to people who have donated to his campaign or to the ballroom.
00:58:33.000And so people want a check on the president.
00:58:36.000And if it's the DSA in Congress, maybe.
00:58:41.000Let's say 10 to 15 members of the Democratic caucus, they're not going to view the DSA platform as an existential threat so much as they're going to view the Democrats as a necessary stopgap to President Trump.
00:58:52.000It would be different if you had a Democrat in the presidency.
00:58:55.000Yeah, I mean, I think like it's so much different than Trump won, where the Trump administration actually, because the first two years was just sputtering and people were getting fired left and right, it was just chaos.
00:59:05.000And then after they got spanked, they kind of dialed in.
00:59:08.000Like they actually got a good chief of staff in, they started getting the cogs moving, what you would have expected from what we were promised with Trump.
00:59:16.000I don't know if that happens again after this midterm.
00:59:18.000I don't know if we get kind of this introspection because you think like how united people were and how excited people were to vote in the midterms in the first term.
00:59:27.000We're now like the Republicans have screwed up dramatically.
00:59:30.000We're now they're like guilt tripping the voters where they're like, well, you're going to let socialists in if you don't go vote.
00:59:36.000I just don't see them like learning any lessons.0.87
00:59:38.000I see the neocons blaming mass deportations and the theme going into the 28-28 primaries is like these chuds are out of control.0.96
00:59:46.000And you just created the DSA, so we need to like bring back Mitt Romney to like come steer the ship.0.99
00:59:51.000Like, it's just, it's like what this reminds me of this entire midterm saga is it reminds me of the last New York City mayoral election where like the voters have to plug their nose and vote for Cuomo to keep Mamdani out.0.59
01:00:03.000And the obvious like conclusion there was, well, okay, if you successfully get Mamdani out, we're gonna have the exact same problem in four years because the demographics of New York City have changed.
01:00:13.000So, like, Cuomo is just stopping the bleed.
01:00:15.000And I'm like seeing the same thing now.
01:00:17.000With this midterm, where it's like, okay, we stopped the DSA for four years, but every young person in this country to a varying degree is suffering.0.99
01:01:02.000Does somebody know something that we don't?
01:01:04.000Or are they hoping that tomorrow, when the results come in, there will be some early blips of Republicans overperforming, which results in Republicans' sweep jumping up a percentage and then they cash out?
01:01:20.000Yeah, I mean, the prediction market stuff, I mean, I suppose it's useful to get an idea of how people are feeling, but I don't think that it's any more reliable than polls are.
01:01:31.000I think it's unreliable now, and this kind of breaks my heart.
01:01:35.000It breaks my heart because back in the early days, we used prediction markets because we were like, people put their money where their mouth is.
01:01:41.000But now we saw these fake pollsters, and I believe those fake polls existed for the purpose of manipulating these markets.
01:01:48.000You put out a poll being like, oh, Al Sayed's up 20 points, and then all of a sudden people start buying Sayed, oh, and then you sell your position.
01:01:56.000You buy him for 20 bucks, and then you put up a fake poll, bang, he goes up, you sell, you got 100 bucks.
01:02:01.000That's what it was in Brazil, because Americans, we have no idea what pollsters to trust in Brazil.
01:02:06.000So they were like amplifying the poll.
01:02:08.000He was at like 80%, I think like 70%, 80% chance to win.
01:02:12.000But I remember like right before the election asking some Brazilian insiders, and they're like, What?
01:02:17.000I actually did an interview with Glenn Greenwald today, which is going to be on the Tim Pool show.
01:02:21.000But I asked him about that, and he was like, You could see in his face, I don't think he said it explicitly, but I think he said it like, Yeah, it's corruption.
01:04:33.000Like, what happens if, like, unbelievable, like, the craziest scandal you could possibly imagine, and then, like, the Libertarian and Green Party come in and, like, take all?
01:04:43.000I don't care about what the Libertarian Party is not going to sweep in.
01:04:47.000No, that's actually an interesting question.
01:04:49.000The only markets offered are Democrat and Republican, even though technically, I know no one takes it seriously or consider it, but technically, Like the Libertarian Party swept.
01:07:06.000The only contract I've bought on the prediction markets for the midterms is I bought it at the beginning of the election cycle because I thought it was interesting.
01:07:14.000I bought Susan Collins beating what I thought was Graham Platner because I was like, Graham Platner's a creep.
01:09:29.000I'm just saying I know people, but who am I?
01:09:31.000Like, I'm in that space, so of course people I know are like me.
01:09:34.000I would just be surprised if, well, no, I won't be surprised if he does win.
01:09:39.000I just think it's much closer than people realize.
01:09:42.000And Haley Stevens' endorsement is a major blow because it opened the door for regular people to say they voted for Rodgers because they're with Haley Stevens.
01:09:51.000Yeah, it is a permission structure for sure.0.89
01:10:23.000And once everyone found out that Lindsey Graham was gay, they turned on his whole family.0.94
01:10:27.000They're like, yeah, that's a genetic bombshell.
01:10:31.000I think Maine's in the bag for Republicans because.
01:10:34.000Uh, you know, call a guy like Colin's underperforms on exactly every time it's like the weirdest thing.
01:10:39.000And Alaska is interesting because I wonder if they'll go procedural to restrict that.
01:10:44.000So I know the Supreme Court basically said we're not going to put an injunction on this, but it's a question of how much does Trump want to survive.
01:10:51.000It is shockingly insane to me that the New York Times definitively reported they cheated and they ran this scheme, and that the courts are like, What are you going to do about it?
01:11:46.000I'm not convinced Tallarico is well, Tallarico is extremely unpopular in my like, obviously, he's got Democrats, Democrats love him, but among moderates, he's weird and unpopular.
01:11:57.000But Paxton, he's got his own issues, he's also creepy and weird, right?
01:12:02.000So, my understanding is that Tallarico was up 10 points in the early vote in Texas, which, yes, Democrats come out heavy on early vote.
01:12:11.000Uh, in Ted Cruz's last race, he was up six points in early vote.
01:12:14.000I don't think there's Actually, a mathematically possible way for Paxton to make that up on a live stream.
01:12:27.000Well, and like you're seeing again, like the anecdotes.
01:12:30.000I mean, again, it's you could cherry pick maybe, but I can verify this because I lived in Texas in high school, so I know a lot of these people.0.96
01:12:38.000I'm an evangelical, so it's like you they're pulling these evangelicals, and a lot of them are like Paxton's a crook.
01:12:44.000Yeah, and it's like Texas that's the engine room.0.84
01:12:46.000Yeah, did you see that New York Times?0.97
01:12:48.000Yeah, where every single one of them is like, he's a crook, I don't like this guy.0.89
01:13:18.000You have to get in the mind of evangelicals, where evangelicals are so conservative, but that's the one thing they get a little hung up on.
01:13:25.000They're they reluctantly got on board with Trump because the personal stuff really concerned them.
01:13:29.000Where Tallerico, they're obviously concerned they're not going to vote for him.
01:13:33.000But Paxton, if they really feel it's not just the corruption stuff, but like the cheating and whatnot, that might be so off putting to them that they stay home.
01:14:04.000There, there are in, in Texas, there are some people I know that are like moderate right anti woke that are, that are voting for Taylor Rico.
01:14:12.000Or, or at the bare minimum, they're saying they refuse to vote for Paxton.
01:14:37.000Like, we're going to say, we're looking at these toss ups and we're like, you know, I really just think this state is going to go Democrat.
01:15:00.000The Trump DOJ or anybody will stop them from cheating.
01:15:03.000But there's, there's, Alaska's a weird scenario, which may go Democrat, I don't know, but it's, there's a nuclear bomb Trump could launch if he wanted to.
01:15:12.000I'm just thinking like, if we can find four states where we're like, oh, it's over, then, then yeah, it's over.
01:15:18.000And I would say for Alaska, I mean, the fact that you had this big New York Times investigation exposing the Democrats' complicity and actually orchestration of the attempt to steal, that's a bigger potential election day mover than anything that's happened in Maine in the Past two months.
01:15:51.000Because I've seen it where Democrats are up, and I'm like, I know they've elected the Republicans.
01:15:55.000So Roger Marshall has made a lot of unforced errors.
01:15:57.000I mean, part of it is that as soon as Democrats recognize that the seat was potentially winnable.
01:16:03.000When Republicans pulled all of their money out of North Carolina because Michael Wally was a horrible candidate, they dumped it all in Kansas because they saw that something was brewing there.
01:16:12.000They similarly started pouring money into Kansas.
01:16:14.000There was a series of four to five opposition research pieces that dropped on Marshall's head about his campaign staff and his chief of staff basically being corrupt of trading in on cash from lobbyists, et cetera, and not disclosing it in their financial reports.
01:16:32.000And then he actually just went around his team to cut a final election ad.
01:16:39.000He wanted to basically dispel the notion that he was suing a bunch of healthcare patients to.
01:16:51.000His team told him, I don't think it's a good idea for you to cut an ad on this because it's just going to draw more attention to the issue a couple of days out from Election Day.
01:16:58.000And he basically just ignored his entire campaign advisory team, cut the ad himself, went directly to ad buyers and got it placed on TV without any of their permission or support.
01:17:09.000And now everyone's talking about how terrible this ad is and how it basically, again, just draws attention to all of the things people are upset with him about.
01:18:31.000And I know the other problem with who said is that a lot of people think he's like a pro data center guy because he's previously been pretty pro tech.
01:18:38.000But that certainly wouldn't have as much salience if you didn't have like an alleged tech scammer running for governor.
01:19:18.000Because they want the polls to look a certain way so they can buy the inverse and make money and make a profit.0.96
01:19:24.000If there is money to be made in how polls operate beyond just claiming, look, we did great polls, donate, if you could gamble, And trick people into betting on the dumb horse.0.69
01:19:35.000That's the game that we're seeing right now.
01:19:38.000Go to the horse track, and you know there's a horse with a busted leg, and you're like, he's going to win, and everyone puts all their money on him.
01:19:43.000Then you buy the one who's going to win, and you're the long shot, but you're actually the favorite.
01:19:47.000So I think there's a good possibility we are surprised tomorrow by the outcome.
01:19:52.000I think it might be closer than people realize, largely due to poll manipulation.
01:20:32.000I mean, the question then is whether or not the pollsters are appropriately waiting the polls afterwards.
01:20:37.000Because they're so different, I don't know they can.
01:20:40.000There is a point at which the chasm between response rates makes it.
01:20:45.000Impossible to wait properly to account for that.
01:20:48.000I think polling has been largely broken for the past 10 years.
01:20:52.000And we've seen various pollsters be like, I nailed this one, but they missed the other one.0.99
01:20:56.000I think the issue is as well Joe Rogan had this bit where he was talking about people who don't answer polls are the smartest people because only stupid people answer polls.0.96
01:21:05.000And I'm like, no, only interested people answer polls.0.99
01:21:08.000So if you're a moderate and you're sitting there being like, Democrats are nuts, but I hate Republicans too, I'll probably vote Republican.0.90
01:21:16.000You get a call from a pollster, you're like, I don't care, dude, go away.0.67
01:21:19.000And then when you go to vote, you vote Republican.
01:21:21.000I actually think there are more moderates that'll probably just be like, eh, Republican, I guess, but don't want to answer polls as well.
01:21:28.000I think the polling is heavily skewed in favor of Democrats this time around.
01:21:31.000I still do think Democrats are winning.
01:21:34.000What do you think is the typical demographic of the person who thinks Democrats are crazy, but will sort of hold their nose and vote Republican?
01:22:09.000But it's not, I think Republicans are not super excited, and Republicans have always been like, screw the polls.0.95
01:22:14.000And I think moderates largely just, I think regular people, when you ask them, they're like, Democrats are crazy.1.00
01:22:21.000Republicans suck, but Democrats are crazy.0.99
01:22:22.000I think those are people that are being miscounted as well.1.00
01:22:25.000And you think, Tate, that those are probably college educated males mostly?
01:22:29.000That in theory should be Democrat voters and the current modeling, but they hide from their girlfriends and go out and pull the lever for the Republicans.
01:22:37.000And I think it's mostly a middle American phenomenon as well.
01:22:39.000That El Sayed saying, you can't protect your kids from the internet, so let them watch that stuff is one of the most disgusting things I've heard.0.97
01:22:46.000And he should have shut his mouth.0.95
01:22:47.000It's even worse than let them watch it.0.97
01:22:49.000It's like let some guy hang dong and you're.0.53
01:29:02.000And so it's like normally it was just a girl doing a workout video with a Down Syndrome face on it and they're getting insane amounts of followers.
01:30:50.000Well, you know, back in the day when he was making fun of Democrats, we greatly enjoyed it.
01:30:54.000So he, uh, He would go to Democrat debates and just insult them.
01:30:58.000That's yeah, that must have hit at the time.0.55
01:31:00.000They have that in Britain where they're like, Oh, his county bin face, and he's like, Oh, I'm a trash can.0.97
01:31:05.000Whoa, it's like, dude, my country's being raped.0.94
01:31:07.000I think I was like me watching Ben Shapiro on YouTube in 2012 in my dorm room, like, Yeah, this rocks.
01:31:14.000Yeah, I think I think you gotta walk that back, Ted.
01:31:17.000I'm gonna challenge you on the Vermin Supreme.
01:31:19.000The issue with Vermin is that he, along with a lot of people who challenged the Democrats 15 years ago, they were like the anti establishment.
01:31:28.000Populist left, and they were like, the Democrats are terrible.
01:31:31.000And then once the Democrats became a cult, they were like, I have nowhere to go.
01:31:35.000Well, he went to the Libertarian Party and, you know, be clowned.
01:31:59.000Scott was running for a state house seat this election that literally tweeted that he was going to off himself and then ran from the police and was tweeting about how he had the high ground and was going to take him out.
01:32:13.000And then he was like, shoot, the hostage negotiators tricked me.
01:32:18.000While I was on the phone with them, the police surrounded me.
01:36:32.000Do you guys remember, but like to the point about the nostalgia, do you guys remember the state of psychosis many of the women on the internet entered during COVID where they were like photoshopping themselves into clips of the Harry Potter movie and like romantic?0.96
01:36:47.000Okay, I'm really revealing where my algorithm was in 2020, but this is the thing that girls used to do.0.62
01:36:52.000They would like, they would edit themselves into clips of the movie to make it look like they had like.0.82
01:36:58.000A character in the movie was their love interest, and it was like this poorly edited videos of themselves.
01:37:02.000And they're this all started with Wattpad.
01:37:05.000Wattpad literally was the beginning of the decline of our society.
01:38:45.000I don't agree with what she did with lying and creating this whole fiasco, which now, like, a bunch of dudes are coming out being like, they're in the lawsuit and not even accused of doing anything wrong.
01:39:05.000Where it's like, okay, like, best case scenario with gay son is like Tim Cook, like some like super, you know, industrialists or whatever.0.91
01:39:12.000Where, best case scenario with thought daughters, like she gets into an elite university, like definitely has her life going well, gets into Cornell, maybe.0.90
01:39:20.000And then this is kind of what ends up going.0.55
01:40:23.000The funny thing about the Cornell 7 thing is, like, when the scandal started to break out, I kind of tried to do the thing where I was like, okay, well, I have my assumptions about the case, but I'll keep quiet for once in my life and kind of wait for more information to come out.0.99
01:40:36.000As soon as it came out that she was disinvited from the Halloween party, I was like, this is an open and shut case.
01:40:41.000We all know exactly what happened here.
01:40:43.000Like, there's actually zero room for interpretation.
01:41:04.000Let's remove the gang banging from it.
01:41:06.000And let's just say a group of friends were all hanging out at the movies when they were supposed to be in school or something and then got in trouble.
01:41:11.000And everyone's like, oh, you ditched class.
01:41:13.000And so then they're like, look, bro, you're getting us in trouble.
01:41:15.000So you can't hang out with us anymore.
01:48:29.000Wasn't there a congressman who introduced a bill to revoke funding for any city or state that didn't make Columbus Day a federal holiday or something like that?0.99
01:50:33.000And then after that, it was like, waiting for every next book to come out was like, A big deal.
01:50:40.000And then I think the final book came out when I was 21, maybe.
01:50:43.000And it was, I remember being a teenager and like talking to a friend, and she's like, Can you believe that like we're going to be 21 when the last book comes out?
01:51:07.000My husband wasn't allowed to read it or watch it.
01:51:09.000It was like that, like Wizards of Waverly Baptist.0.98
01:51:10.000Place correctly, but they have Christmas, but then I was allowed to watch like a lot of Cartoon Network Christians hack them like the Harry Potter, yeah, they're all Christians.0.93
01:51:18.000Wow, I mean, everybody celebrate Christmas until like 10 years ago.0.99
01:51:21.000I love how thinly veiled a lot of the motifs are in the book where they're like mud blood.
01:54:03.000I always tell people the people that I hear who go to West Virginia when they have their babies are like, oh man, it's crazy.
01:54:10.000They're like mandating, like they tell you have to get the vaccines, you got to get all these vitamin shots.
01:54:15.000And I'm like, the secret is you go to where the rich people go.
01:54:17.000So I go to the hospital, my family, we went to the Loudoun County Hospital, and that's where the rich people go and the people, the movers and shakers in the deep state.
01:54:25.000So the doctors there are just like, you literally tell us.
01:55:42.000Rude of the Court says, Was Stevens responding to the disrespect or was she responding to the fact that she lost her Kennedy due to those fake polls for her primary?
01:57:31.000Alex George says, Hope this isn't another show with an hour of AI slop and not avoiding the war and talk about the actual news happening in the country.
01:57:39.000It's like you watched three episodes where we talked about AI and then we're like, that's all the show is ever going to be.
01:57:44.000But thank you for giving me $5 from an iPhone.
01:57:47.000I know when you guys use iPhone and Android.
02:02:09.000Check out dailycaller.com for me and Rebecca's work.
02:02:12.000Also, subscribe to our Substack State of the Day and check out my YouTube channel, Amber Duke DC.
02:02:18.000Second, that check out all of Amber's great work and all of our colleagues' great work at the Daily Caller.
02:02:22.000You can also follow me on Instagram and on X at Rebecca Zelko, spelled R E B E K A Z E L J K O. Exit Instagram at RealtateBrown and on the talk.
02:03:01.000Check out the record label at Trash House Records on YouTube, and we'll be back tomorrow with a really, really long stream in Chicutery Boards.
02:03:09.000We'll see you all over at rumble.com slash Timcast IRL right now.
02:07:53.000When you get things like a place for people to shoot up drugs or whatever, that's likely Democrats that came up with the idea because the libertarians wouldn't want to pay for it.
02:08:07.000They'd be fine with it happening, but they don't want the state to pay for it.
02:08:11.000Yeah, because I was trying to get into the mind of a New Hampshire libertarian because it's a different.
02:08:15.000Breed, they're very not, and I can't speak like it's everyone, but there are a lot of very right wing libertarians in New Hampshire, and like I said, they've run as Republicans and they've made Republicans generally pretty happy.
02:08:31.000You don't see a lot of the leftist influence, uh, people like Jeremy Coffin, a lot up there, and the New Hampshire Libertarian Party, as wild and crazy as the LPNH Twitter account was, there were a lot of people in New Hampshire that were like, I'm fine with this kind of stuff, you know.
02:08:48.000They liked the fact that they didn't pull any punches, that they didn't like leftists, that they were vocally right wing libertarians.
02:08:58.000And that was, you know, that's something that's done well for the party.
02:09:01.000They also got whacked by the opioid crisis.
02:09:03.000Like, if you've ever been to Manchester, there's druggies everywhere.
02:09:09.000The northeastern states had a big problem with drugs running across the Canadian border.
02:09:15.000So a lot of the working class got addicted to opioids and then moved to harder drugs.
02:09:21.000When those either got too expensive or difficult for doctors to prescribe.
02:09:25.000And so cartels started running drugs across the Canadian border, and then you had a fund crisis after.
02:09:39.000There's also one highway that goes from basically from New Haven all the way up to the Canadian border, Interstate 91, and that runs along mostly on the Vermont side, but right near.
02:09:52.000New Hampshire, and so there's a lot of trafficking from New York and stuff up that way, too.
02:09:57.000And you've got Chinese weed farms in Maine.0.79
02:11:09.000You talked a little bit about it during the show, but as you know, the Democrat media complex have turned their cancel machine on Representative Haley Stevens after she spurned Abdul Al Syed and endorsed the GOP candidate.
02:11:25.000Will this backfire on the Democrats, or is it too late to make a difference?
02:11:31.000So, whether or not it will backfire, I don't know.
02:11:35.000I don't know if she's going to actually pull enough votes.
02:11:39.000I mean, how close, Amber, how close do you think that the.
02:11:43.000Vote was going to be prior to this three to five points, maybe.
02:11:48.000Yeah, I don't think she's pulling three to five points.
02:12:51.000Michigan's interesting because you kind of have the mix of like the wealthy suburbanites, the white working class, and then you have like the black urban voters in places like Detroit.
02:13:04.000So it's, I mean, it's like most Midwestern states in that sense.
02:13:09.000But I don't know how many, what the number is on that.
02:13:11.000It's like quarter million to like 300 something thousand ish.
02:14:09.000And I know we talked about this earlier on the show, but like, I think really what Republicans are going to be struggling with is just enthusiasm.
02:14:16.000Like, there's just not, I just don't think they're going to get the turnout that they need.
02:14:20.000And they have to have that because Trump turned the party into low and mid prop voters.
02:14:24.000And low and mid prop voters already don't show up in midterms.
02:14:26.000And now you have low and mid prop voters who are.
02:14:29.000Split on the admin and how well it's doing, and are being hit by the affordability crisis.
02:14:34.000Well, the types of voters that would be swayed by the Haley Stevens thing have probably already early voted because this would be a mixture of wonky people and also like old timers, older Democrats.
02:14:46.000Those are people that vote as early as they can.
02:14:48.000Yeah, people who are very politically engaged.
02:15:38.000Do you guys think with all this talk about nuking Iran, Trump may have this rumor to?0.99
02:15:42.000Spread through back channels so he can pull the classic BJT big ass.0.96
02:15:47.000So that way, our former worst case of boots on the ground regime war is now better than nuking.0.92
02:15:54.000Like, look, there's a lot of downstream ramifications of using a nuclear weapon that are very unpredictable, but I'm not 100% sure that boots on the ground are better.0.90
02:16:07.000Like, maybe it's just equally terrible.
02:16:15.000A nuclear weapon that may because I imagine the type of weapon we would use would be like one of those, technically, it's a nuke, but we're not going to get the mushroom cloud and you know, the they change start drawing hell or whatever.
02:16:26.000Um, it's not gonna be Castle Bravo, it's not gonna be Tsar Bomba, you know, yeah, yeah.
02:16:31.000Trump hasn't done a big ask in a while.
02:16:33.000A lot of times it's just he like floats something and then it gets like rejected and he just gives up on it, like the public assassination or not, yeah, not based or the public execution, super based.
02:16:45.000Um, we could do those now, never mind.
02:17:09.000I had like, so I said that on the show, and then I had people like, you idiot, he's clearly doing like this is 40 chess, he's clearly doing like the big ask.0.97
02:17:16.000And I was like, who was against executing this guy before?0.98
02:17:20.000Now, everyone's like, oh, the death penalty is kind of messed up.
02:17:29.000I think the more interesting question is Tucker doing the big ask in like reverse form, which is say that the Trump administration is like on the verge of nuking Iran to get people saying what a bad idea it is so that if they were even having these discussions internally, they won't progress further.
02:17:46.000That or someone in the admin's like, hey, this is being considered.
02:18:14.000I was hoping to suggest to Tim a way to troll his friends on Twitter the next time he goes to the Lodge or the World Series of Poker to go on the Timcast account and just say, you know, Recognizing our employee of the month, Tim Poole, for like 60 consecutive months.
02:18:29.000He's now getting an all expense paid trip to go compete to the World Series of Poker or whatever.
02:18:36.000Just to make people mad because he'd be going anyway.
02:19:28.000I just wanted to ask you can we talk more about.
02:19:34.000Why we still need to vote, why we still need to vote red, despite the fact Congress sucks with practically a 50 50 numbers, to be fair to them.
02:19:45.000And also to be fair to them, the House did pass like 900 bills.
02:19:51.00050 of them were from Trump's executive orders.
02:19:57.000So it's the Senate that's actually the issue.
02:20:00.000But punishing Republicans won't help, although we want to do that.
02:20:39.000Yeah, I'm kind of simple minded with these things.
02:20:41.000I feel like I should have a nicely informed, nuanced opinion about it.
02:20:45.000But at the end of the day, it's just like my grocery bill has gotten more expensive, and I don't feel like I want to reward that in any way, which is kind of a doomer take.
02:20:55.000Maybe it's just a feature of my generation, but it is.
02:21:01.000But I live in DC anyway, so it's like whatever.
02:21:04.000I'm unable to separate analyzing the actual election, why people aren't voting from my personal opinion anymore.
02:21:13.000Because I'm generally pessimistic that, like, anyone under 40 pretty much is going to get what they want out of the political system as it exists now, just because of the demographics in this country.0.74
02:21:26.000So, like, when I approach, you know, Trump and the Republicans, I'm just hoping to get immigration restriction.
02:21:52.000Like Tim Mellon, he like a $200 million donor pulled all his money out because he's like, You didn't guys didn't pass the Save Act, so I'm not gonna let you waste my money.
02:22:13.000Like, well, we didn't, yeah, we also need to be clear about the fact that the House knows the Senate isn't gonna pass these bills, and so it's incredibly low risk.
02:22:22.000Like the House passes stuff because they know the Senate's not going to do it.
02:22:25.000If there were actually a chance of the Senate passing these bills, you would see the House behave a lot differently because there are a lot of Republicans in the House who would not have voted for this legislation if they knew that it had a chance of actually heading to the president's desk because a lot of the House members are just as bad as the senators who are constantly blocking the president's agenda.
02:22:43.000And to your point, Amber, because it's so low risk, they just do it so that they can go back home and campaign about it.
02:23:38.000That's one of the things that actually frustrates me a lot is like people that are marginally aware of politics, they totally missed the boat when the primaries.
02:24:02.000Complete legitimate reasons to be mad at Donald Trump, but Donald Trump is not on the ballot this fall.
02:24:08.000So you're punishing Republicans that may or may not be sympathetic to your perspective, and you're going to end up, in my opinion, punishing the rest of the country along with it, all because you're mad at Trump.
02:24:22.000Like the time to really voice these frustrations is a year and a half ago when people were talking about who's going to be primarying, you know.0.98
02:24:35.000So, people are only marginally aware of how our political system even works.
02:24:41.000To be fair, though, Trump was heavily involved in the primaries.
02:24:43.000It actively campaigned against people who were conservative stalwarts because they didn't like the war, how they handled the Epstein files.
02:25:17.000We have a coordinated prayer that we do at the end of every Mass every Sunday.
02:25:21.000Our bishop has been campaigning against the proposition, encouraging people to donate.
02:25:27.000They've actually been organizing voter drives.
02:25:29.000And it's one of the most politically active moments I've seen for the Catholic Church because they usually like to stay a little bit distant from politics.
02:25:38.000They've been really, really active in this fight.
02:25:50.000So, listen, I'm in agreement with you.
02:25:53.000You know, punishing Republicans in Congress doesn't achieve the goals that people are looking for.0.98
02:26:00.000And whereas it does make Donald Trump's life a pain in the ass, I don't know that it actually does help him, or I'm sorry, does actually hurt him.0.97
02:26:10.000So, it's kind of, you know, I'm just worried about if they have the power to pass laws.0.98
02:26:15.000I just don't want the censorship and like the shadow banning and like attacking Catholics to come back.
02:26:24.000So, you know, the stuff like shadow banning, if you're concerned with that, that stuff might start to rear its head again.
02:26:31.000But look, the thing that stopped the shadow banning was the purchase, or one of the things that really did a lot to stop the shadow banning and stuff was Elon Musk purchasing X.
02:26:47.000When there was nobody that had a platform that was, you know, popular that had, Basically, no rules when it was all kind of controlled.
02:26:59.000Um, then it was way easier to actually do those kind of things.
02:27:03.000Once you have one that is out there that people are on or whatever, um, that really doesn't have those, you know, that says we're not going to play along, then other companies are forced to respond to that.
02:27:17.000So Ian and I were talking about it at length the other night.
02:27:21.000Um, that numb just having one place makes other places.
02:27:27.000Forces other places to respond and do at least do less of the censorship and stuff.
02:27:34.000But if it looks like a Democrat is going to take control of the White House in 2028, that's when you actually have to really worry about that stuff because a new administration would mean a new DOJ, a new basically bureaucratic apparatus to kind of put their fingers into the market and stuff.
02:28:04.000And then 28, there's a class three cycle.
02:28:07.000So there's like Nevada's up for Democrats, Nevada's up, Pennsylvania, probably a few other swing states.
02:28:15.000So, I mean, it's going to be a two year thing.
02:28:17.000We could bounce a few Democrats in 28.
02:28:20.000And then if a Republican wins, like, you're out of the woods.
02:28:22.000The main problem of the Democrats winning, as I see it, isn't even as much putting the check on the Trump administration because some of the corruption stuff, I mean, maybe it's not the worst thing in the world.
02:28:31.000The main thing I'm concerned about as a Supreme Court justices is if Alito or Thomas goes down in the next two years, they can, you know, kneel the football until.
02:28:48.000And all of the good things that people will actually, you know, actually give Trump credit for, almost all of it has been because of the Supreme Court.
02:29:12.000It's going to give them ammo for 28 because they're going to bring some of these more shady characters in, like Crystal Civita, and they're going to make them answer some tough questions and be like, look at this MAGA corruption.0.70
02:29:41.000So, and then, I mean, if Susie Wiles goes, which I think has to happen at this point, we'll see a huge shakeup because that entire Florida Mafia is out.