TRIGGERnometry - February 16, 2026


Keir Starmer is Finished. But What Did We Learn From Mandelson⧸Epstein Affair? - Konstantin Kisin


Episode Stats


Length

8 minutes

Words per minute

162.78432

Word count

1,386

Sentence count

91

Harmful content

Toxicity

4

sentences flagged

Hate speech

5

sentences flagged


Summary

Summaries generated with gmurro/bart-large-finetuned-filtered-spotify-podcast-summ .

After the revelation that Prime Minister Keir Starmer appointed Peter Mandelson as Britain s new U.S. ambassador despite knowing that he'd maintained his friendship with sex trafficker Jeffrey Epstein, what will happen to the Labour Party?

Transcript

Transcript generated with Whisper (turbo).
Toxicity classifications generated with s-nlp/roberta_toxicity_classifier .
Hate speech classifications generated with facebook/roberta-hate-speech-dynabench-r4-target .
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00:00:43.280 Keir Starmer is finished,
00:00:44.660 but what have we learned from the Mandelson and Epstein affair?
00:00:51.860 Revelations that Prime Minister Keir Starmer
00:00:53.840 appointed Peter Mandelson as Britain's ambassador to the US
00:00:56.860 despite knowing that he'd maintained
00:00:58.700 his friendship with sex trafficker Jeffrey Epstein
00:01:01.020 have had and will continue to have a series
00:01:03.640 of long-running consequences.
00:01:05.660 First, and most obviously,
00:01:07.440 Starmer's goose is cooked.
00:01:09.300 He will likely survive the week
00:01:10.860 for the very same reason
00:01:12.060 he's extremely unlikely to survive the year.
00:01:15.100 His rivals can read the tea leaves.
00:01:17.300 As I predicted in the wake of Starmer's supposed landslide,
00:01:20.600 which was in reality merely the British public
00:01:23.120 punishing the Tories
00:01:24.140 without any enthusiasm for labor whatsoever,
00:01:26.360 things were inevitably going to get worse for labor
00:01:29.380 with every day they spent in power.
00:01:31.780 The pretenders to Starmer's wobbly throne
00:01:34.000 know they're likely to get trounced
00:01:35.940 in the Gorton and Denton by-election
00:01:37.620 later this month,
00:01:38.900 having hemorrhaged votes to reform
00:01:40.640 and the Greens' emerging Green-Green Alliance,
00:01:43.680 on which more later.
00:01:44.780 They also know that local government,
00:01:47.120 mayoral, as well as Scottish
00:01:48.300 and Welsh parliamentary elections
00:01:49.760 are coming in early May.
00:01:51.340 A scapegoat will be needed
00:01:52.800 to explain the inevitable disaster
00:01:54.820 that will unfold for labor at those elections.
00:01:57.720 Why depose Starmer now
00:01:59.120 only to be fed into the mincer
00:02:00.860 for his mistakes a few months down the line?
00:02:04.060 This is why the odds for Starmer leaving
00:02:06.540 vary so widely between him leaving
00:02:08.600 in the next couple of months,
00:02:10.240 unlikely,
00:02:10.980 and leaving by the end of the year,
00:02:12.600 very likely as high as 70-odd percent in some cases.
00:02:16.040 Secondly, and equally obviously,
00:02:17.680 this entire scandal confirms something
00:02:19.480 that anyone with eyes to see
00:02:20.820 and ears to hear already knew.
00:02:22.780 Labor is utterly devoid of talent.
00:02:25.280 Even a weak and damaged prime minister
00:02:27.080 will linger on
00:02:27.920 because his potential replacements are,
00:02:30.040 hard as that may be to believe,
00:02:31.780 even less impressive.
00:02:33.200 Indeed, his appointment of Mandelson
00:02:35.060 was itself a symptom of the same problem.
00:02:37.600 The Labor Party is so sure of serious operators
00:02:40.260 that appointing a convicted pedophile
00:02:42.540 best friend seemed like a good idea.
00:02:45.260 David Lammy,
00:02:46.120 who in opposition described President Trump
00:02:48.020 as a tyrant 0.99
00:02:48.720 and a woman-hating, 1.00
00:02:50.000 neo-nazi-sympathizing sociopath, 0.99
00:02:52.300 was this country's foreign secretary, 0.97
00:02:54.520 whose most important job
00:02:55.680 was to establish a productive work
00:02:57.500 and relationship with the U.S. administration.
00:03:00.200 Most of Labor's front bench
00:03:01.520 should be stacking shelves at Lidl.
00:03:03.460 Instead, they're running the country.
00:03:05.420 Finally, and still equally obviously,
00:03:07.620 the fallout from the Mandelson-Epstein episode
00:03:10.120 has revealed in writing
00:03:11.280 something that we all knew logically
00:03:12.840 but had not previously heard
00:03:14.220 a senior Labor figure say out loud.
00:03:16.600 They are terrified of the Muslim vote. 1.00
00:03:19.080 In an attempt to distance himself
00:03:20.560 from Mandelson,
00:03:21.440 Health Secretary West Street
00:03:22.620 released their private WhatsApp exchanges.
00:03:24.960 Hidden among these
00:03:25.900 was a telling comment.
00:03:27.320 Quote,
00:03:27.580 I fear we're in big trouble here
00:03:29.440 and I am toast at the next election.
00:03:31.780 We just lost our safest ward in Redbridge,
00:03:34.820 51% Muslim,
00:03:36.220 Ilford South,
00:03:37.220 to a Gaza independent.
00:03:38.940 At this rate,
00:03:39.680 I don't think we'll hold
00:03:40.760 either of the two Ilford seats.
00:03:42.640 There isn't a clear answer to the question.
00:03:45.200 Why Labor?
00:03:46.220 End quote.
00:03:47.420 Labor's chickens are coming home to roost.
00:03:50.140 For years,
00:03:50.620 they fostered, encouraged,
00:03:51.800 and profited from religious sectarianism.
00:03:53.980 A significant number of the seats they hold
00:03:56.060 were won by on-block Muslim votes.
00:03:58.320 Labor naively believed
00:03:59.500 that these votes would stay with them
00:04:00.840 no matter what,
00:04:01.900 provided they continued to say
00:04:03.380 and do nothing to offend this community.
00:04:06.240 Their silence on grooming gangs,
00:04:07.840 their failure to ban the Muslim Brotherhood, 0.62
00:04:09.780 and their aggressive push
00:04:10.900 to criminalize thought crime
00:04:12.260 under the guise of combating Islamophobia
00:04:14.720 are just some of the surface consequences.
00:04:17.380 The problem,
00:04:18.120 as they have discovered,
00:04:19.240 is that unlike the Labor Party,
00:04:20.920 whose only guiding principle
00:04:22.380 is political expediency,
00:04:24.080 the Muslim community
00:04:25.100 has a clear and well-defined political agenda.
00:04:28.180 Any delusions about this
00:04:29.620 should have evaporated
00:04:30.620 in the wake of the Israel-Hamas war,
00:04:32.860 when it became clear
00:04:33.760 that the overwhelming majority
00:04:35.220 of British Muslims
00:04:36.160 view themselves as part of the Ummah,
00:04:38.620 a transnational Muslim community first,
00:04:41.260 and British second.
00:04:42.640 It's not exactly surprising,
00:04:43.940 given that allegiance to the Ummah 0.65
00:04:45.340 is directly prescribed in the Quran.
00:04:47.720 This is why constituencies
00:04:49.160 with high Muslim populations
00:04:50.560 have elected a number
00:04:52.060 of so-called Gaza independents,
00:04:54.640 i.e. candidates
00:04:55.380 whose primary concern
00:04:56.920 is an issue
00:04:57.560 that has very little
00:04:58.400 to do with Britain at all.
00:04:59.940 All of them unseated Labor MPs,
00:05:01.800 by the way.
00:05:02.460 Labor's reliance
00:05:03.280 on this small
00:05:03.900 but highly concentrated voting bloc
00:05:05.840 unraveled quickly
00:05:07.000 in the wake of October the 7th.
00:05:08.880 The Gaza tale
00:05:09.800 had grown accustomed
00:05:10.660 to wagging the Labor dog
00:05:12.040 and became outraged
00:05:13.380 when Starmer failed
00:05:14.300 to adopt the most extreme
00:05:15.640 anti-Israel position possible.
00:05:17.740 A new dog
00:05:18.380 had to be found.
00:05:19.860 Enter Zach Polanski.
00:05:21.720 Across Britain,
00:05:22.600 a green-green alliance
00:05:23.880 is emerging
00:05:24.440 whereby deluded
00:05:25.400 blue-haired
00:05:25.940 Extinction Rebellion types
00:05:27.300 are joining forces
00:05:28.580 with Muslim voters
00:05:29.540 to defeat Labor.
00:05:30.820 The short-term appeal
00:05:31.820 of this unlikely coalition
00:05:33.160 for both movements
00:05:34.000 is clear.
00:05:34.980 The Green Party
00:05:35.680 gets a large
00:05:36.400 cohesive voting bloc
00:05:37.640 to lift it out
00:05:38.480 of political irrelevance.
00:05:39.860 For the Muslim vote,
00:05:40.720 this is an excellent vehicle
00:05:41.800 to force the Labor government
00:05:43.080 into even more
00:05:44.320 extreme forms of pandering.
00:05:45.960 If the sounds
00:05:46.580 scary and depressing,
00:05:47.620 worry not.
00:05:49.060 As I've talked about before,
00:05:50.880 that things are so bad
00:05:51.840 is in fact good news.
00:05:53.180 When Starmer goes,
00:05:54.160 he'll be replaced
00:05:54.860 by somebody worse.
00:05:56.180 That being the case,
00:05:57.320 it's hard to see
00:05:58.220 how we avoid
00:05:58.920 an early election.
00:06:00.380 The only question
00:06:01.160 is whether
00:06:01.820 an effect of opposition
00:06:02.860 will have formed
00:06:03.600 by the time
00:06:04.220 one takes place.
00:06:05.480 That remains to be seen.
00:06:07.060 If you enjoy these videos,
00:06:08.400 remember that they're available
00:06:09.520 as articles
00:06:10.380 on my Substack
00:06:11.180 days, weeks,
00:06:12.180 sometimes months
00:06:12.880 ahead of time.
00:06:13.740 So head on over
00:06:14.440 to ConstantinKissen.com
00:06:16.280 and subscribe today.
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