00:01:54.400And then number three, I'm going to tell you about the east-west effect.
00:01:57.380And then number four is the Newsom reaction. So number one, the Calci market, if we go the
00:02:02.920Calci market here, look at this. We are over 157. No, now 158. Look what has happened in the last
00:02:11.220week. Here's what's happened. And the folks inside Calci, very, very, very, very helpful.
00:02:17.880here's what's gone on. Gavin Newsom was 24 percent in the last 30 days. Gavin Newsom was 18 percent
00:02:28.000likelihood of getting the Democratic nomination. That's down from 24 percent. So in the last 30
00:02:34.380days, he's been riding at 18 percent. That's down six full points. And you know what that is?
00:02:40.300That is 25% down. AOC was 9%, Pat. In the last 30 days, she's risen to 15%. That is six points up,
00:02:50.680which is plus 56% in the poll. John Ossoff, 12 to 16, up four. So right now, it's Newsom 18,
00:03:00.320AOC 15, Ossoff 14. That is what is really happening in real-time voting, and it's moving.
00:03:06.160Because remember, once you have $154 million, Pat, and the next person puts in, say, their $100 on AOC, it takes a while to move the Titanic.
00:03:17.060There's $157 million of predictions in there.
00:03:20.680So number one, there is a huge shift going down.
00:03:24.620Newsom down 25%, AOC up 56% in the prediction.
00:03:58.560She is 43 points more favorable than Newsom. And you can see it shifting. And so now the next polls come out, which is this. As Gavin Newsom goes east toward New York, toward New Hampshire, he does worse because all of the California perceptions come with them.
00:04:19.160The East Coast voters perception is that California has a lot of problems, whether they're Democrat or Republican.
00:04:24.740That's what the average voter thinks. And that makes sense.
00:04:27.180They hear about the fires. They hear about the corruption. They see Nick Shirley.
00:04:30.100They hear about the rail. And they're not Californians that say, well, I'm still a Democrat in California and I love Newsom.
00:04:35.740He's my guy. No, they're East Coasters are saying, wow, you know what?
00:04:39.320Things are happening in California that follows Newsom and he does worse the further east he goes.
00:04:43.980Do you know what happens when AOC goes to Chicago and she goes to Detroit?
00:04:47.720she picks up momentum from younger people living there that say you appear to be what i want and
00:04:54.080i'm thinking more in terms of supporting a socialist supporting a liberal the more she
00:04:59.200goes west the more she picks up so what is happening now i am declaring here and now and
00:05:05.080remember vt analytics you know i pat graciously you know funded what we did for the election
00:05:12.120thank you again pat and we on election night for the presidential election we didn't pull
00:05:17.380back one state that we called all night we called them we called them when we felt we were earlier
00:05:22.060the networks and we called the election while we had chenck on zoom which he really loved it's one
00:05:27.160of the highlights of his life but when we didn't we were the first one to call it so those so what
00:05:33.000are you calling you you said i am saying right now right now i'm telling you aoc is the lead
00:05:39.100maybe she stays here maybe she doesn't she is the lead candidate for the democratic presidential
00:05:43.620election i'm telling you right now and i'll give you i'm sorry but by the way did you hear what
00:05:49.520tom just said now you guys disagreed two years ago me or adam no no no well i know somebody that
00:05:54.820didn't just adam said that that'll never happen it's no way it's no way this no way that and the
00:06:00.360democrats are falling forward so why is this happening is the question why and what is the
00:06:05.700What is the indicator of what to come?
00:06:10.420Who right now is winning over the youth with his policies in America?
00:06:15.300Mamdani tweeted something yesterday about Netanyahu that he couldn't arrest,
00:06:22.880and he's leaning on the federal government to arrest Netanyahu
00:06:26.000when he comes to give a speech that he's going to be giving.
00:06:28.820And he originally told Mehdi Hassan that he was going to find a way to arrest him,
00:06:32.840even though he does not have the ability to do so.
00:18:07.740And I want everybody out there, this wannabe, cosplaying, communist, dressing up like another dude, okay, as a New Yorker, Pat, as a veteran.
00:23:04.020I mean, I am watching things like Cal C's primary hub.
00:23:07.680You can go to Cal C elections, look at primaries.
00:23:09.800They've got all this data that's coming up.
00:23:11.200And finally, they got very good data on that. Very good data. And it's a new hub that they have out there. Watch the data. What Pat said is correct. Shit's going to break. Stuff's going to fall over. And on the other side, I call Van Jones and his Jewish grandmother and Bill Maher as rational liberals. I don't agree. And I get really upset when I hear him say certain things. I do. But do I see rational liberals and go, huh, I guess everything's not perfect and unified on their side of the street.
00:23:37.900Did he go after Van Jones' Jewish grandmother?