“Midterms Will Be Dictated” - Iran War & U.S. Troop Losses SHAKE 2026 Election Odds
Episode Stats
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Summary
On today's show, the guys discuss the Iran situation, the Iran deal, and the upcoming mid-term elections. They also discuss the latest in the Trump/Pallavi controversy and much, much more! Don't miss it!
Transcript
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And you have a lot of U.S. influencers, Pat, that were saying,
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see, we killed all these girls before it was even known.
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Let me just tell you what's the part where everybody loses credibility.
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And I'm part of it as well because I have opinions, right?
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And you push back or we agree or we go back and forth, right?
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Has anybody been more critical of Reza Pallavi except from me that is in, you know,
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what do you call it, somebody that's in the space?
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To the point where he unfollowed me, his daughter unfollowed me,
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his wife got upset about what I said, all of this stuff.
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Now, that entire community, the, what do you call it, the Pallavi community.
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But you got to give the guy credit the last six weeks.
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You lose credibility when you can't even give credit for anything the other person does right.
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We were talking about a couple different guys in this space that are kind of distancing themselves from Trump,
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probably because sponsorship money stopped or jobs stopped or Hollywood jobs stopped.
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And, you know, I'm not going to mention names, but, you know, we were pretty vocal about it,
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where it's like, hey, I think this is, it's a career decision.
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But to me, if this thing goes less than four weeks, if it goes less than four weeks and it's done,
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they surrender, Iran opens up and 90 million people are officially in business,
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and that safety in the Middle East, they all, imagine if Iran joins the border of peace.
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Imagine if they join that and say, hey, let's figure out a way to bring peace to the Middle East.
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If that happens, you have to give the man credit.
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But at the same time, I'm telling you guys right now, if this turns into six-plus months,
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If this turns into a prolonged war with, you know, all this stuff and speculation,
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I'm telling you right now, I myself will come out and say, what happened here?
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But I don't think that's going to take place because I'm convinced to the core,
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the profile of a Trump, when you do, you know, in the insurance space, anyways, in the insurance space,
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We did business in similar ways, in a much smaller, you know, non-public thing that nobody tracks.
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If you don't go for their, if you go for their throat first, you make an example,
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you take him out, you earn credibility, then you go out there and say, now can we negotiate?
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If that's what he does, this could lead to possibly his biggest accomplishment, anything you put,
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This becomes what you talked about earlier, the Berlin Wall, you know, you know.
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Till today, you go to Simi Valley when we went and watched one of the Republican debates,
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part of the wall is what they're, you know, the historic places that you have.
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If that happens, you have to have the conversations of Nobel Peace Prize.
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If that happens, this may be, and I know a lot of liberals and libertarians and some of the guys that really don't want to see this guy win
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and they're really rooting against him, this guy's going to be a once-in-a-generation type of a leader that you had.
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I don't think any of the other guys on the left or the right could get this job done.
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And on top of that, you know what's so impressive about this?
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Now, Besant, you're bringing a guy from, you know, Soros?
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I don't know if you're following what's going on on Twitter right now.
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It's typically be a VP, rarely a Secretary of State in a situation like this,
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but five Secretary of States have become presidents.
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So, he's not only winning, but I will tell you guys, this one is big.
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Midterms could be dictated based on how this thing ends.
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Midterms, all the congressmen and senators that are worried for their jobs,
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guess what they all should be sitting there thinking about?
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That's how wide of a range it is, ugly and just historic on how this thing could turn out.
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And great point, but there was a moment, I don't know if you saw this clip,
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there's a moment in the State of the Union where Trump gives Rubio a shout-out,
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and he steps back, and Rubio's just sitting there like this, and the camera flips,
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Like, I think that was that moment, because JD's behind him, giving him the nod.
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And I'll send the video to Rob, it's actually a really dope moment.
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But Pat, here's my thing about what's happening.
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I want, and God rest his souls, for the soldiers that were killed in action,
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I want zero, zero boots, United States, on the ground in Iran.
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Israel better put boots on the ground as well with us.
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Because when Iraq, they didn't put any troops on the ground.
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If we're going to play that game, they're going to come in with us.
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Israel better get their hands dirty as well in that sense.
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But I think this is going to be all aerial, all strategic, all military, all strikes.
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And then until they realize everybody's gone, that they need to be gone,
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I think it's very telling what the markets are doing this morning.
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The reaction from the market wasn't what the pundits on the Sunday news shows,
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oh, the markets will be in free fall on Monday.
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How sensitive are our stock markets, Adam, right now to uncertainty,
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It moved more last week before the war even started in Wednesday
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when everybody freaked out about block and was laying off 4,000.
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And I think what the markets are saying right now, Pat, is we feel pretty good about this.
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In an already tense situation for our markets with AI and layoffs,
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these markets are not moving, not the way that they were predicted to be.
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And I think that spells confidence from the underlying forces on the markets.
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There's some confidence that this is going to play out.
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This is not a free fall and a retreat to bonds and cash.
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So whatever you think is going to happen in the future,
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hourly Amazon employees earn an average of over $24.50 an hour.
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Employees also have the opportunity to grow their skills and their paycheck
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by enrolling in free skills training programs for in-demand fields
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like software development and information technology.
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Now, if you look at the S&P right now, what's S&P doing right now?
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I mean, listen, it's red, but it's not the kind of red you expect.
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We are selling oil to the world right now at $71.
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Yeah, crude jumped up, but it went from 67 to 71.
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What do you think it'll be by the end of the week?
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I think oil will get to maybe 80 by the end of the week.
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When it comes to Trump and the Peace Prize, I think he doesn't care about that at this point.
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He solved all these wars, you know, eight wars, whatever it is.
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He says, oh, okay, you don't want to give it to me?
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I know our friend Marcelo is the number one on Netflix right now, is the top stand-up comedian.
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But the greatest comedian act right now, the most laughable people are the Democratic Party at this point,
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Hey, guys, stand up if you care about Americans first,
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or sit down if you care about illegal immigrants first.
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So these people have such a severe case of TDS that they're not even rooting to free the Iranian people.
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they hate Trump so much that they're rooting against America.
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They're not recognizing these people are calling for their freedom,
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and they don't silence the what's the one thing they've said in the last month.
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Well, well, you know, yeah, Israel, they shot a school full of children.
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But if that's what you care about, you didn't care that 30, 40, 50,000 Iranians were killed?
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You will watch, and everybody has their own ideology, okay, of where they're at.
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Everybody used to love me when I was only talking about business,
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until I started opening my mouth about politics and supporting Trump.
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Then all of a sudden, you know what, just stick to business and, okay, totally.
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And by the way, I understand why you don't like me talking about politics.
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But then long term, 3, 5, 10, this is a 20-year race
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And during the 20 years, guess what's going to happen?
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A lot of fumbles, a lot of mistakes, a lot of ups and downs,
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and everyone's going to watch how people handle themselves,
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Long term, the market is always going to favor fair players.
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and you listen to any of the influencers, commentators, CNN,
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You just have to click on it to open up for the quality to be better.
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So if you look from the lowest level and focus on the word level,
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Then pride, courage, neutrality, willingness, acceptance, reason, love, joy, peace,
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So, by the way, nobody doesn't flirt with that.
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Are you able to go through acceptance to say, hey, we have differences?
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Are you willing to see the other side and what they're thinking about?
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All these comments that's made, the rage-baiting comments,
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they're great for viewership, but reason is critical.
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Can they have an understanding of what's going on?
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It's like, let me understand what the other side of the argument is.
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And I think we have to go back to that, but right now tensions are high.
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But, FYI, until this thing ends, I don't think the criticism is going to stop.
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And I actually understand it for the people to say, oh, you said it's not going to be war.
00:14:02.800
But if this thing ends early, I'm curious to know what they're going to say.
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Is it going to be, but, but look at, but what about, but how about, or is it going to be,
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I don't know what's going to happen there, but we'll be watching the market to see how they react to it.
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But, listen, as we're going through this, the one thing that we can't recognize enough for what they do is the armed forces,
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the folks in the Army, Navy, Marines, you know, Air Force, every one of these guys on what they're doing.
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Without them, you and I wouldn't have the freedom that we have to be safe, to go out there and do what we're doing.
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Sometimes you forget about the military, but if you're somebody that served in the military
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and you believe the future looks bright, or you have a friend or family that does,
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and you want to recognize them, Rob, if you can go up, VT Merch, we have an armed force collection.
00:14:52.040
If you can go down a little bit, there's two hats that every time we get them, we can't keep them on.
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That's one of them, but keep going down, keep going down, keep going down, keep going down.
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That one to the right, you see that one, zoom in.
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This one, whenever it comes in, it goes just as quickly.
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It's an incredible, by the way, if you want to get, yeah, the future looks bright, green camo,
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There's another one as well on the bottom left.
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Keep going, keep going, keep going right there.
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Those two, those two are two of the most popular hats that we have for folks in the military
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that wear with future looks bright on the right side.
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So put the link below, Rob, go to vtmerch.com, place an order, especially at a time like this,
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represent our military for the patriotic job that they're doing out there.
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00:15:37.340
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