Valuetainment - “Midterms Will Be Dictated” - Iran War & U.S. Troop Losses SHAKE 2026 Election Odds

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00:00:06.200 Friday, March 6th to Wednesday, March 11th.

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00:00:12.780 And you have a lot of U.S. influencers, Pat, that were saying,

00:00:15.860 see, we killed all these girls before it was even known.

00:00:19.600 These are Americans that don't like Trump. 0.74

00:00:21.700 Look, there's two things.

00:00:22.980 There's two different things here.

00:00:24.320 Let me just tell you what's the part where everybody loses credibility.

00:00:28.580 All of us.

00:00:29.120 We're all a part of it.

00:00:29.900 And I'm part of it as well because I have opinions, right?

00:00:32.920 And you push back or we agree or we go back and forth, right?

00:00:36.400 Let me tell you where you lose credibility.

00:00:38.780 How critical have I been of Reza Pallavi? 0.86

00:00:41.100 Pretty damn critical.

00:00:41.800 Has anybody been more critical of Reza Pallavi except from me that is in, you know,

00:00:46.800 what do you call it, somebody that's in the space?

00:00:48.740 Nobody has been, right?

00:00:49.760 To the point where he unfollowed me, his daughter unfollowed me,

00:00:53.280 his wife got upset about what I said, all of this stuff.

00:00:56.040 Now, that entire community, the, what do you call it, the Pallavi community.

00:01:01.040 Adam, can you sit back a little bit?

00:01:02.200 This is what Vinny was talking about.

00:01:03.660 So, the whole community is against it, right?

00:01:06.380 But you got to give the guy credit the last six weeks.

00:01:11.800 And I've said it many times.

00:01:13.980 He's done the right thing.

00:01:15.820 You lose credibility when you can't even give credit for anything the other person does right.

00:01:23.580 That's when you lose credibility.

00:01:26.140 And we were lobbying.

00:01:27.280 We were talking about a couple different guys in this space that are kind of distancing themselves from Trump,

00:01:32.000 probably because sponsorship money stopped or jobs stopped or Hollywood jobs stopped.

00:01:35.880 And, you know, I'm not going to mention names, but, you know, we were pretty vocal about it,

00:01:39.520 where it's like, hey, I think this is, it's a career decision.

00:01:41.740 I get it on what could happen here.

00:01:43.840 But to me, if this thing goes less than four weeks, if it goes less than four weeks and it's done,

00:01:51.800 they surrender, Iran opens up and 90 million people are officially in business,

00:01:56.240 and that safety in the Middle East, they all, imagine if Iran joins the border of peace.

00:02:02.160 Hey, we're a border of peace.

00:02:04.100 Imagine if they join that and say, hey, let's figure out a way to bring peace to the Middle East.

00:02:08.280 Imagine if that actually does take place.

00:02:10.160 Whose life is safer?

00:02:11.960 Everyone's life is safer.

00:02:13.060 If that happens, you have to give the man credit.

00:02:16.660 But at the same time, I'm telling you guys right now, if this turns into six-plus months,

00:02:21.580 I have a hard time with that myself.

00:02:23.680 If this turns into a prolonged war with, you know, all this stuff and speculation,

00:02:31.460 I'm telling you right now, I myself will come out and say, what happened here?

00:02:36.160 But I don't think that's going to take place because I'm convinced to the core,

00:02:40.160 the profile of a Trump, when you do, you know, in the insurance space, anyways, in the insurance space,

00:02:47.060 I know what a man like Trump thinks like.

00:02:49.460 We did business in similar ways, in a much smaller, you know, non-public thing that nobody tracks.

00:02:54.800 I understand how a man like that thinks.

00:02:57.320 If you don't go for their, if you go for their throat first, you make an example, 0.89

00:03:02.740 you take him out, you earn credibility, then you go out there and say, now can we negotiate?

00:03:09.060 And you become friends.

00:03:10.740 If that's what he does, this could lead to possibly his biggest accomplishment, anything you put,

00:03:17.880 I don't think you can put anything above this.

00:03:19.840 This becomes what you talked about earlier, the Berlin Wall, you know, you know.

00:03:25.520 Reagan.

00:03:26.560 What's the famous line?

00:03:28.740 Mr. Gorbachev, tear down this wall.

00:03:31.660 Till today, you go to Simi Valley when we went and watched one of the Republican debates,

00:03:35.620 part of the wall is what they're, you know, the historic places that you have.

00:03:38.220 The Reagan Library.

00:03:38.820 If that happens, you have to give him credit.

00:03:42.060 If that happens, you have to have the conversations of Nobel Peace Prize.

00:03:46.120 It's not even a conversation about that.

00:03:47.480 If that happens, this may be, and I know a lot of liberals and libertarians and some of the guys that really don't want to see this guy win

00:03:54.800 and they're really rooting against him, this guy's going to be a once-in-a-generation type of a leader that you had.

00:04:02.180 I don't think any of the other guys on the left or the right could get this job done.

00:04:06.200 And on top of that, you know what's so impressive about this?

00:04:08.820 He was able to drive every one of his guys.

00:04:11.620 Hex said, he was criticized first.

00:04:14.020 Look where he's at now.

00:04:14.800 Now, Besant, you're bringing a guy from, you know, Soros?

00:04:19.060 Yes.

00:04:19.780 Look what Rubio is doing.

00:04:21.440 I don't know if you're following what's going on on Twitter right now.

00:04:24.100 Everybody is calling for Rubio 2028.

00:04:26.860 Yeah.

00:04:27.320 Everybody is calling for Rubio 2028.

00:04:29.960 Everybody.

00:04:31.000 Okay?

00:04:31.240 It's typically be a VP, rarely a Secretary of State in a situation like this,

00:04:35.620 but five Secretary of States have become presidents.

00:04:38.920 Many VPs have.

00:04:40.440 Everyone's calling for Rubio.

00:04:41.680 So, he's not only winning, but I will tell you guys, this one is big.

00:04:46.400 This risk he took, this one is big.

00:04:49.600 He rolled the dice.

00:04:50.760 They get this, it's over.

00:04:54.580 Midterms could be dictated based on how this thing ends.

00:04:59.880 Midterms, all the congressmen and senators that are worried for their jobs,

00:05:03.880 guess what they all should be sitting there thinking about?

00:05:06.040 If this thing goes right, I may have my job.

00:05:10.340 If it doesn't go right, I may get fired.

00:05:12.400 That's how wide of a range it is, ugly and just historic on how this thing could turn out.

00:05:19.920 And great point, but there was a moment, I don't know if you saw this clip,

00:05:23.760 there's a moment in the State of the Union where Trump gives Rubio a shout-out,

00:05:29.340 and he steps back, and Rubio's just sitting there like this, and the camera flips,

00:05:34.880 and you see Trump give him the nod.

00:05:36.820 Like, I think that was that moment, because JD's behind him, giving him the nod.

00:05:40.840 And I'll send the video to Rob, it's actually a really dope moment.

00:05:43.780 But Pat, here's my thing about what's happening.

00:05:46.060 I want, and God rest his souls, for the soldiers that were killed in action,

00:05:50.180 because, by the way, no boots on the ground.

00:05:51.800 I want zero, zero boots, United States, on the ground in Iran.

00:05:56.480 And if by some crazy reason that we have to,

00:06:00.920 Israel better put boots on the ground as well with us. 0.89

00:06:03.980 Because when Iraq, they didn't put any troops on the ground.

00:06:07.400 If we're going to play that game, they're going to come in with us.

00:06:09.900 That's my only thing.

00:06:10.980 I don't think it'll get there, but if it does,

00:06:13.140 Israel better get their hands dirty as well in that sense. 1.00

00:06:15.260 But I think this is going to be all aerial, all strategic, all military, all strikes.

00:06:19.520 And then until they realize everybody's gone, that they need to be gone,

00:06:23.040 and then the people take over.

00:06:24.340 That's what I think.

00:06:25.460 Go ahead, Tom.

00:06:26.580 I think it's very telling what the markets are doing this morning.

00:06:29.820 West Texas Intermediate, it's up 6%.

00:06:32.580 Gold, it's up 2%.

00:06:34.540 NASDAQ, down a tenth of a percent, 26%.

00:06:40.200 S&P, down two-tenths of a percent, 14%.

00:06:43.840 The reaction from the market wasn't what the pundits on the Sunday news shows,

00:06:50.260 oh, the markets will be in free fall on Monday.

00:06:52.360 They're not.

00:06:53.460 How sensitive are our stock markets, Adam, right now to uncertainty,

00:06:58.120 to earnings reports, to the impact of AI?

00:07:00.920 It moved more last week before the war even started in Wednesday

00:07:05.360 when everybody freaked out about block and was laying off 4,000.

00:07:10.820 And I think what the markets are saying right now, Pat, is we feel pretty good about this.

00:07:18.060 That's what the markets are saying.

00:07:19.660 In an already tense situation for our markets with AI and layoffs,

00:07:24.500 these markets are not moving, not the way that they were predicted to be.

00:07:28.600 And I think that spells confidence from the underlying forces on the markets.

00:07:33.760 Wouldn't you say, Adam?

00:07:34.580 There's some confidence that this is going to play out.

00:07:37.680 This is not a free fall and a retreat to bonds and cash.

00:07:42.120 Investing is all about the future.

00:07:44.140 So what do you think is going to happen?

00:07:46.160 Bitcoin is sort of inevitable at this point.

00:07:48.640 I think it would come down to precious metals.

00:07:51.240 I hope we don't go cashless.

00:07:53.340 I would say land is a safe investment.

00:07:55.940 Technology, companies.

00:07:57.060 Solar energy.

00:07:58.100 Robotic pollinators might be a thing. 1.00

00:08:00.460 A wrestler to face a robot?

00:08:02.380 That will have to happen.

00:08:03.620 So whatever you think is going to happen in the future,

00:08:07.500 you can invest in it at Wealthsimple.

00:08:09.700 Start now at Wealthsimple.com.

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00:08:36.600 Now, if you look at the S&P right now, what's S&P doing right now?

00:08:46.820 Down 20?

00:08:48.260 Dow is down 135?

00:08:49.740 Nasdaq's down 39?

00:08:52.160 I mean, listen, it's red, but it's not the kind of red you expect.

00:08:55.980 And the day is still early, by the way.

00:08:58.540 We've got plenty of time.

00:08:59.340 The markets are down.

00:08:59.880 Oil.

00:09:00.500 West Texas Intermediate.

00:09:02.140 Drill, baby, drill. 1.00

00:09:03.340 We are selling oil to the world right now at $71.

00:09:07.800 That is leadership on energy.

00:09:09.980 And look at how that's helping the world.

00:09:12.300 Look at this.

00:09:13.120 Yeah, crude jumped up, but it went from 67 to 71.

00:09:16.720 That's not a giant jump.

00:09:18.720 That means we are Trump's...

00:09:20.340 What do you think it'll be by the end of the week?

00:09:22.580 Oil by the end of the week?

00:09:23.840 I think oil will get to maybe 80 by the end of the week.

00:09:28.280 I don't think the American oil will.

00:09:30.640 I don't think so.

00:09:31.600 Adam.

00:09:32.300 Well, you brought up the Peace Prize.

00:09:33.980 I just want to address that for a second.

00:09:36.180 When it comes to Trump and the Peace Prize, I think he doesn't care about that at this point.

00:09:40.320 He solved all these wars, you know, eight wars, whatever it is.

00:09:43.480 He says, oh, okay, you don't want to give it to me?

00:09:45.660 Cool.

00:09:46.520 I don't want to be liked.

00:09:48.340 I want to be respected.

00:09:49.720 I want to be feared.

00:09:50.780 And you better listen up.

00:09:52.920 So to me, the greatest comedy...

00:09:55.840 I know our friend Marcelo is the number one on Netflix right now, is the top stand-up comedian.

00:10:00.960 But the greatest comedian act right now, the most laughable people are the Democratic Party at this point,

00:10:07.920 especially the progressives.

00:10:09.420 Who's taking these people seriously?

00:10:10.880 Hey, guys, stand up if you care about Americans first,

00:10:13.440 or sit down if you care about illegal immigrants first.

00:10:16.760 They stay seated.

00:10:17.900 So these people have such a severe case of TDS that they're not even rooting to free the Iranian people.

00:10:24.460 Think about that for a second.

00:10:26.380 They're so...

00:10:27.720 The Gays for Gaza crowd, as I call them, 0.89

00:10:30.740 they hate Trump so much that they're rooting against America.

00:10:36.080 They're not recognizing these people are calling for their freedom,

00:10:41.040 and they don't silence the what's the one thing they've said in the last month.

00:10:46.520 Well, well, you know, yeah, Israel, they shot a school full of children. 0.93

00:10:52.360 Turned out that was the IRGC.

00:10:53.900 But if that's what you care about, you didn't care that 30, 40, 50,000 Iranians were killed? 0.93

00:11:01.440 To me, it's the hypocrisy.

00:11:03.320 And Trump is just focusing on the signal.

00:11:06.000 Let me tell you how to market it.

00:11:06.900 Sure.

00:11:09.360 You will watch, and everybody has their own ideology, okay, of where they're at.

00:11:16.520 Everybody.

00:11:17.360 Everybody used to love me when I was only talking about business,

00:11:19.760 until I started opening my mouth about politics and supporting Trump.

00:11:22.540 Then all of a sudden, you know what, just stick to business and, okay, totally.

00:11:26.720 And by the way, I understand why you don't like me talking about politics.

00:11:30.960 But then long term, 3, 5, 10, this is a 20-year race 0.98

00:11:37.520 on who gains credibility with their voice.

00:11:40.600 And during the 20 years, guess what's going to happen?

00:11:43.760 A lot of fumbles, a lot of mistakes, a lot of ups and downs,

00:11:47.520 and everyone's going to watch how people handle themselves,

00:11:50.560 if they were fair players or not.

00:11:52.680 Long term, the market is always going to favor fair players.

00:11:57.600 Always.

00:11:58.380 If you're able to stay reasonable.

00:12:00.580 Rob, can you pull up the power versus force?

00:12:02.640 The power versus force.

00:12:03.700 I always go back to this.

00:12:04.900 If you go to power versus force,

00:12:07.480 and you listen to any of the influencers, commentators, CNN,

00:12:11.220 whoever you want to talk about, podcasters,

00:12:13.460 and look at the level.

00:12:15.220 Okay, that's terrible quality.

00:12:16.640 Is that the best one, Rob?

00:12:17.420 There's a better one.

00:12:18.340 But if he clicks on it, it'll open up.

00:12:20.660 You just have to click on it to open up for the quality to be better.

00:12:23.260 Because, no, meaning click on the visit.

00:12:25.140 Yeah, there you go.

00:12:25.720 Zoom in.

00:12:26.800 Or it's still pretty bad.

00:12:27.660 Zoom in a little bit, Rob.

00:12:29.720 Okay, we'll just work with this.

00:12:31.440 Yeah.

00:12:31.540 So if you look from the lowest level and focus on the word level,

00:12:35.960 not God view, life view, scale.

00:12:37.800 Go to level.

00:12:38.780 Go all the way down.

00:12:40.380 Shame.

00:12:41.360 These are people that are driven by shame.

00:12:43.760 Then guilt.

00:12:44.620 Then apathy.

00:12:45.460 Then grief.

00:12:46.120 Then fear.

00:12:47.140 Then desire.

00:12:47.940 Then anger.

00:12:49.260 Then pride, courage, neutrality, willingness, acceptance, reason, love, joy, peace,

00:12:53.540 enlightenment, right?

00:12:54.260 Your goal is to be in the blue, okay?

00:12:56.320 And it takes a long time to get in the blue,

00:12:58.960 and we all flirt with orange.

00:13:01.400 Everybody flirts with orange.

00:13:02.860 So, by the way, nobody doesn't flirt with that.

00:13:05.600 But it's how long do you stay there, okay?

00:13:08.800 How long do you stay there?

00:13:10.480 Are you able to reason?

00:13:12.660 Are you able to love?

00:13:14.940 Are you able to go through acceptance to say, hey, we have differences?

00:13:19.320 I get it.

00:13:19.920 Are you willing to have the conversation?

00:13:22.620 Are you willing to see the other side and what they're thinking about?

00:13:26.680 Market long-term is going to favor.

00:13:30.000 All these comments that's made, the rage-baiting comments,

00:13:33.360 they're great for viewership, but reason is critical.

00:13:38.420 Can these people reason?

00:13:40.200 Can they have an understanding of what's going on?

00:13:42.520 And, by the way, sometimes it's us.

00:13:43.900 It's like, let me understand what the other side of the argument is.

00:13:46.140 Why do you believe what you believe in?

00:13:47.260 This is the reason why.

00:13:48.380 Okay, great.

00:13:49.280 And I think we have to go back to that, but right now tensions are high.

00:13:51.520 But, FYI, until this thing ends, I don't think the criticism is going to stop.

00:13:56.460 And I actually understand it for the people to say, oh, you said it's not going to be war.

00:13:59.740 I get that.

00:14:00.780 Light it up as much as you want.

00:14:02.800 But if this thing ends early, I'm curious to know what they're going to say.

00:14:07.320 Is it going to be, but, but look at, but what about, but how about, or is it going to be,

00:14:12.480 look, man, I've got to give the guy credit.

00:14:14.100 I don't know what's going to happen there, but we'll be watching the market to see how they react to it.

00:14:17.360 But, listen, as we're going through this, the one thing that we can't recognize enough for what they do is the armed forces,

00:14:26.660 the folks in the Army, Navy, Marines, you know, Air Force, every one of these guys on what they're doing.

00:14:33.320 Without them, you and I wouldn't have the freedom that we have to be safe, to go out there and do what we're doing.

00:14:38.540 Sometimes you forget about the military, but if you're somebody that served in the military

00:14:41.900 and you believe the future looks bright, or you have a friend or family that does,

00:14:47.320 and you want to recognize them, Rob, if you can go up, VT Merch, we have an armed force collection.

00:14:52.040 If you can go down a little bit, there's two hats that every time we get them, we can't keep them on.

00:14:56.180 That's one of them, but keep going down, keep going down, keep going down, keep going down.

00:14:59.680 That one to the right, you see that one, zoom in.

00:15:02.160 This one, whenever it comes in, it goes just as quickly.

00:15:06.020 I love that hat.

00:15:06.500 It's an incredible, by the way, if you want to get, yeah, the future looks bright, green camo,

00:15:11.300 and then also, Rob, go back if you can.

00:15:13.500 There's another one as well on the bottom left.

00:15:15.200 Keep going, keep going, keep going right there.

00:15:17.380 Those two, those two are two of the most popular hats that we have for folks in the military

00:15:21.960 that wear with future looks bright on the right side.

00:15:23.960 So put the link below, Rob, go to vtmerch.com, place an order, especially at a time like this,

00:15:28.880 represent our military for the patriotic job that they're doing out there.

00:15:34.240 If you enjoyed this video, you want to watch more videos like this, click here.

00:15:37.340 And if you want to watch the entire podcast, click here.

Valuetainment - March 04, 2026

“Midterms Will Be Dictated” - Iran War & U.S. Troop Losses SHAKE 2026 Election Odds

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