Valuetainment - March 14, 2026


＂Oil Above $200!” - Iran THREATENS Global Oil Supply After Hormuz Attacks


Episode Stats


Length

15 minutes

Words per minute

173.72807

Word count

2,668

Sentence count

190

Harmful content

Misogyny

1

sentences flagged

Toxicity

3

sentences flagged

Hate speech

3

sentences flagged


Summary

Summaries generated with gmurro/bart-large-finetuned-filtered-spotify-podcast-summ .

Rob and Pat discuss the tanker strikes in the Strait of Hormuz and the impact on oil prices, the Dow and S&P 500 recouping from their worst day of the year and the outlook for the rest of the week.

Transcript

Transcript generated with Whisper (turbo).
Misogyny classifications generated with MilaNLProc/bert-base-uncased-ear-misogyny .
Toxicity classifications generated with s-nlp/roberta_toxicity_classifier .
Hate speech classifications generated with facebook/roberta-hate-speech-dynabench-r4-target .
00:00:00.080 Okay, when I sell my business, I want the best tax and investment advice.
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00:00:30.000 Oil prices.
00:00:31.060 Tom, I'm coming to you with this one here.
00:00:32.740 Tom, what do we know right now about oil prices?
00:00:35.300 I know yesterday went to above 100.
00:00:37.700 Today you dropped to, I don't know what it is right now, 91, 92, 93.
00:00:41.480 It's a lot of ups.
00:00:42.560 It's a lot of downs.
00:00:43.520 Yesterday, three ships were hit, I believe, in Strait of Hormuz.
00:00:48.120 Rob, if you can pull that up of the three ships that were hit in Strait of Hormuz.
00:00:53.480 What do we know about oil prices right now and what's going to happen the next week, two weeks?
00:00:58.580 So we're going on sentiment.
00:00:59.680 Good news, bad news, good news, bad news.
00:01:01.980 Dad comes home drunk.
00:01:03.140 Dad comes home, eats dinner, and falls asleep on the couch.
00:01:06.120 Those two different things are happening, and I hate to put it that way,
00:01:09.760 but we are living in this world of daily perception driving the markets.
00:01:14.300 Perceptions always drive the markets.
00:01:16.080 I know all the comments are going to come in,
00:01:17.600 but these are just absolutely, to use the word, radicalized perceptions.
00:01:23.500 Oil right now, West Texas Intermediate, $94.
00:01:27.660 Staying under 100 a barrel.
00:01:31.440 West Texas, I think Brent is another dollar.
00:01:34.120 So we're 90, depending on where you are in the market, you're 92 to 95.
00:01:37.840 Oh, yeah, 93.10 on crude oil futures generally.
00:01:41.640 The markets right now, the Dow is up 205 green.
00:01:45.540 S&P 500 is up 27 green.
00:01:48.620 NASDAQ is up 91 green.
00:01:50.200 And they're all 0.4 to 0.5, so almost half a percent up today.
00:01:54.580 So the market, the stocks are back up a half percent.
00:01:58.320 All those indexes yesterday were down like 1.2.
00:02:01.220 All the news media is talking about Armageddon, Armageddon.
00:02:04.000 I'm like, look at the indexes.
00:02:05.940 If you add it all up, you know, you get, you know, great macro numbers that make huge headlines.
00:02:13.060 A trillion dollars lost yesterday.
00:02:15.020 No, it's not.
00:02:15.760 Is there a trillion dollars change in value?
00:02:17.760 And then you come back today and a half a percent is back up after down 1.26 yesterday.
00:02:22.580 What's interesting is, Rob, I sent you a graph.
00:02:28.920 I texted it to you.
00:02:30.940 That guy right there.
00:02:32.340 You know what this is, Pat?
00:02:33.240 This is very interesting.
00:02:34.500 This is the middle of the tanker wars.
00:02:37.600 Look at the date down below.
00:02:40.760 This is the Iran and Iraq tanker wars in the Hormuz, the Straits of Hormuz, back in 1987.
00:02:49.420 In July of 1987, a U.S. ship hit a mine, blew a hole inside of it.
00:02:56.880 All these things happen.
00:02:58.480 And the standard for the S&P 500 is the blue line.
00:03:02.300 Look what happened.
00:03:03.480 Woof! 0.98
00:03:04.100 Goes straight down.
00:03:05.100 And look at the trend that was going up.
00:03:07.760 So the WTI oil back then, $10, $12 a barrel.
00:03:12.420 Remember, 1987, folks, you've got to multiply that times like six right now.
00:03:17.860 it's going up and then the ship gets hit and it goes down. We've seen this before. This was the
00:03:24.320 tanker wars. They were known as the tanker wars between Iran and Iraq as the conflict between
00:03:29.920 them spilled over into the straits. And guess what? They needed Navy escorts. Does this sound
00:03:35.880 familiar for this? So that's what's happening on oil. Historically, this is the way it works.
00:03:41.020 perceptions and uncertainty right now oil is right there part of the thing that bugs me in a
00:03:47.920 capitalistic environment you can charge anything for anything and you can change your prices and
00:03:52.800 you can make surge prices it's kind of disappointed me that the service stations and the gasoline in
00:04:00.480 america they've pre-reacted because their supplies have not gone up in price yet that's right only
00:04:06.120 two percent of the oil that comes in comes outside of the state so these guys are just
00:04:11.240 propping up the prices because they can yeah that's it they can get away with it chevron on
00:04:15.240 the side but that may be independently owned like a franchisee and that's the part that bugs me i
00:04:20.020 mean come on let's be good to each other you can make a buck you can do all that but there's a time
00:04:24.260 where i think that there's compassion in our capitalism and that part of the now if you're in
00:04:30.600 california you've got two bucks a gallon on taxes in there you know i have no sympathy for you that's
00:04:35.980 kind of who you voted for is doing that but that's what's happening with oil yeah big difference in
00:04:40.760 the uh tanker or the war that happened back in the days 84 to 88 what was it 451 ships 300 hit
00:04:51.200 300 civilians killed uh 25 of oil exports leaving hormuz was shut down correct you know u.s came in
00:04:58.720 and they said we're going to insure you guys insurance rates went up 400 percent uh and by
00:05:04.180 the way if you look up and they escorted it was called operation earnest will i think is what it's
00:05:08.740 called it was like an actual operation to make sure that the tanker they call that the worst
00:05:12.940 event that ever happened at straight of hormuz worse and they're not even putting this at that
00:05:17.440 level yet but rob you have a couple clips if you want to go through uh uh which one do you want to
00:05:22.640 go first you want to go through what scott bessen had to say go for it go for it my my belief that
00:05:27.880 as soon as it is militarily possible, the U.S. Navy, perhaps with an international coalition,
00:05:35.120 will be escorting vessels through. And that came up just now in the situation room?
00:05:41.720 Your words, not mine. But again, we've been planning for this. We've done scenario analysis
00:05:51.520 for months, for weeks, leading into this.
00:05:55.980 But it's a prospect in the coming days, then?
00:05:59.040 It is a prospect as soon as—we have complete control of the skies
00:06:04.300 and are degrading their—they have no Air Force.
00:06:10.100 The Navy is sunk, literally and figuratively,
00:06:15.360 And the munitions factories, the rebuilding capabilities for the missiles, they are completely degraded.
00:06:26.860 So as soon as it is possible for safe, to ensure safe passage, we will do it.
00:06:35.020 Yeah, while he's saying that, you know, we got, what did President Trump say?
00:06:38.900 They're releasing 400 million, is this it, Rob?
00:06:40.920 400 million barrels?
00:06:41.860 Go ahead.
00:06:42.120 I'm pleased to report that earlier today, the International Energy Agency agreed to coordinate the release of a record 400 million barrels of oil from various national petroleum reserves around the world, which will substantially reduce the oil prices as we end this threat to America and this threat to the world.
00:07:03.620 We don't want to leave early, do we?
00:07:05.720 We got to finish the job, right?
00:07:08.040 we gotta finish the job so last night i believe he said he's released this just got in is it this
00:07:16.560 morning or last night lifting sanctions on russian oil i saw it late late last night like 11 30 this
00:07:23.420 is late late last night go ahead rob global supply of oil is getting squeezed at the strait of hormuz
00:07:29.480 and officials here have to look elsewhere in the world for some oil and they have found it
00:07:35.120 POTUS IS TAKING DECISIVE STEPS TO
00:07:37.120 PROMOTE STABILITY IN GLOBAL
00:07:39.120 MARKETS AND WORKING TO KEEP
00:07:41.120 PRICES LOW AS WE ADDRESS THE
00:07:43.120 THREAT AND INSTABILITY POSED BY
00:07:45.120 THE TERRORIST IRANIAN REGIME. 0.54
00:07:47.120 TO INCREASE THE GLOBAL REACH OF
00:07:50.120 EXISTING SUPPLY, U.S.
00:07:52.120 TREASURY IS PROVIDING A TEMPORARY
00:07:55.120 AUTHORIZATION TO PERMIT COUNTRIES
00:07:57.120 TO PROMOTE PRICES LOW AS WE
00:07:59.120 ADDRESS THE THREAT AND
00:08:01.120 INSTABILITY POSED BY THE
00:08:02.120 TERRORIST IRANIAN REGIME.
00:08:04.120 COUNTRIES TO PURCHASE RUSSIAN
00:08:06.220 OIL CURRENTLY STRANDED AT SEA.
00:08:08.360 THIS NARROWLY TAILORED SHORT-TERM
00:08:10.440 MEASURE APPLIES ONLY TO OIL
00:08:12.840 ALREADY IN TRANSIT AND WILL NOT
00:08:14.440 PROVIDE SIGNIFICANT FINANCIAL
00:08:16.740 BENEFIT TO THE RUSSIAN
00:08:17.840 GOVERNMENT.
00:08:18.240 THERE'S TWO OTHER LEVERS THAT
00:08:20.080 THEY ARE GOING TO PULL.
00:08:21.000 THEY MIGHT WAIVE THE JONES ACT
00:08:22.720 WHICH SAYS THAT ONLY U.S. 0.76
00:08:24.260 FLAG SHIPS CAN GO FROM U.S. 1.00
00:08:26.240 PORT TO U.S. PORT AND THEY DO
00:08:28.600 PLAN TO TAP THE STRATEGIC
00:08:30.820 PETROLEUM RESERVE.
00:08:32.820 Now, while this is happening, a couple things.
00:08:35.160 Oman Oil Facility on fire after drone strikes.
00:08:39.280 This is it, Rob.
00:08:39.920 I think you got.
00:08:41.180 Right?
00:08:42.460 Is that it?
00:08:43.140 Those are the loud drones.
00:08:46.880 Boom.
00:08:47.420 Show it. 1.00
00:08:49.080 Damn. 1.00
00:08:49.560 Isn't that like a suicide, unmanned, shed, whatever they're called? 1.00
00:08:53.120 So that's that.
00:08:54.220 The Shahad?
00:08:54.920 Shahad, yeah.
00:08:55.580 Yeah.
00:08:56.460 So those are the drones that they make for $20,000, $30,000.
00:09:00.060 Super loud.
00:09:00.800 You know when it's coming.
00:09:01.600 It's not like it's hidden. It's not, you know, stealth.
00:09:04.300 You know it's coming at you.
00:09:05.320 And then Iran threatened Trump and said,
00:09:07.840 we're going to do everything in our power to raise oil prices to $200.
00:09:10.960 That's what they said. I don't know if you have that clip or if it's a clip or.
00:09:14.720 I do. It's in English, too.
00:09:16.480 Go for it. There it is. Go for it.
00:09:18.460 It is expected that the governments of Muslim countries
00:09:21.400 will swiftly warn the criminal United States
00:09:24.300 and the savage Zionist regime against such cowardly anti-human actions
00:09:28.920 so that the flames of fire and war do not spread further.
00:09:32.760 It's translated by AI.
00:09:33.720 Otherwise, similar actions will occur in the region.
00:09:36.620 And if you can tolerate oil prices above $200 per barrel, continue this game.
00:09:43.660 There you go.
00:09:44.160 Yeah, he's getting crazy.
00:09:45.180 Yeah.
00:09:45.360 Tom.
00:09:46.220 So one of the things we want to look at, they're talking about the strategic oil reserves.
00:09:50.240 Rob, I just sent you the chart.
00:09:51.720 If you could pop it up.
00:09:53.200 And I just sent you the link literally 30 seconds ago.
00:09:56.020 There you go.
00:09:56.820 Click on five years, please.
00:09:58.920 Can you spot the moment that Joe Biden started emptying the SPR for the sake of U.S. gas prices?
00:10:06.860 See if you can spot the moment, right?
00:10:09.840 Now go look at one year.
00:10:12.600 And this is Trump has been trying to refill it.
00:10:15.980 So we have been trying to refill it and we are going to be refilling it partially with some Venezuelan oil.
00:10:21.860 Remember when he said, and they owe us some oil from infrastructure and stuff.
00:10:27.140 And so it's not going to go to the U.S. refineries like Chevron and Exxon and people that were cooperating and helping us with Venezuela.
00:10:34.440 It was going to come back to us. There it is. So now go back to five years.
00:10:38.940 So basically, we're sitting here, you know, 50 percent down on the SPR from where it was.
00:10:45.340 it was well over 600 million barrels. And so down 50 percent because Joe Biden was trying to run
00:10:52.920 into the election and to get a hold of inflation and get the price of gasoline down. That's what's
00:10:58.740 going on. And so now the world, this is where when we have this this weapon, can you imagine if Trump
00:11:05.240 had the full 600 million barrels, Pat? Don't worry about it. I got you covered. This is what the
00:11:10.940 strategic reserve is all about he would be controlling energy prices for everybody something
00:11:15.880 i said on wednesday i'll say again today we are so lucky it's springtime because if this is
00:11:22.480 protracted the people that get hit hardest by energy prices united states is the northeast
00:11:27.960 because of heating oil it's very expensive to heat your house in the winter your home
00:11:33.440 in the northeast and they use heating oil thank goodness spring is around the corner as this goes
00:11:39.480 out but there you have it for everybody that looked at the manipulation of the biden campaign
00:11:44.940 and by the way certain economists were talking about it but the largely the mainstream media
00:11:50.800 pat was silent on this on how it was being what was supposed to be a strategic emergency
00:11:56.260 and resource of oil was being used to artificially bring down gas prices during time of peace
00:12:02.300 because they were worried about the 24 election yeah now are you surprised i'm not surprised that
00:12:07.020 this is happening this is what they're doing so we'll see what he's going to do because he's saying
00:12:10.700 he's going to be tapping into it like you said earlier pentagon uh tells congress first week of
00:12:14.940 iran war cost more than 11.3 billion dollars that's what the war ended up costing uh based
00:12:20.860 on what pentagon just informed uh congress rob do you have a clip on that i do go for it
00:12:26.020 the attacks on iran including shipping traffic and energy infrastructure have pushed oil above
00:12:31.560 $100 a barrel today. Iran says that could actually hit $200 a barrel if the war continues.
00:12:37.400 Overnight, we found out that the Pentagon told Congress the first six days of the war
00:12:41.060 have cost the U.S. $11.3 billion. Again, that's just the first six days of the war.
00:12:47.060 Today is day 13. So with that in mind, we're joined by...
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