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Will The U.S. Dollar Collapse As a Reserve Currency? - History of World Currency Explained


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Will the U.S. Dollar Collapse? is a question that has been going viral on social media and TikTok. What would happen if the US dollar was replaced with another world currency? What currency would replace the US Dollar?

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00:00:00.120 Will the U.S. dollar collapse?
00:00:01.920 It's a question a lot of people are asking.
00:00:03.540 A lot of videos are going viral on Instagram, TikTok.
00:00:05.940 Oh my God, what would happen if the U.S. dollar
00:00:08.480 as a currency, world currency,
00:00:10.300 is replaced with somebody else?
00:00:11.580 Because what's going on with BRICS? 1.00
00:00:12.900 You're seeing China and Russia become best friends.
00:00:14.640 You're seeing a potential peace deal,
00:00:16.100 Iran and Saudi Arabia.
00:00:17.380 Brazil is there with Lula, with these guys.
00:00:19.220 What would happen if they start buying oil through one
00:00:22.220 and this is gonna be bad for America?
00:00:24.100 I'm telling you, this is what we have to worry about.
00:00:25.800 Well, who's right, who's wrong?
00:00:27.140 We don't know.
00:00:28.120 Here's what we do know.
00:00:28.860 Since 1450, there's only been six different world currencies.
00:00:33.380 And when you find the data,
00:00:34.780 you can easily make the argument
00:00:36.220 why the U.S. dollar will be replaced
00:00:37.860 or you can also make the argument to say,
00:00:40.080 not anytime soon.
00:00:40.980 Let's get right into it.
00:00:50.840 Okay, so if you get value from this video,
00:00:52.500 give it a thumbs up and subscribe to the channel.
00:00:54.300 Let's get right into it.
00:00:55.100 A couple of different things.
00:00:55.960 What is a world reserve currency?
00:00:58.140 When you hear about this, what does this really mean?
00:01:00.460 What that is, is it's the currency
00:01:02.520 that is held in significant quantities
00:01:04.640 by governments, institutions,
00:01:05.820 as a means of international payments,
00:01:08.200 foreign exchange reserves, and investments.
00:01:10.160 So in other words, it's the most liquid capital
00:01:12.700 that's available in the international market
00:01:15.120 for people to use in exchange for whatever it may be.
00:01:18.180 And that happens to be today, the U.S. dollar.
00:01:20.180 So you know this whole thing about currency,
00:01:21.420 like what happens if the U.S. dollar collapses
00:01:23.200 and we're using a different currency,
00:01:24.780 what's going to maintain their value?
00:01:26.860 Anything that's a non-duplicatable asset,
00:01:29.140 such as what?
00:01:30.260 Alternative investments, right?
00:01:31.640 Such as art.
00:01:32.580 Because when you look at art last year,
00:01:34.880 did you know last year,
00:01:35.740 the three auction houses had a record-breaking year
00:01:38.120 of $18 billion of art sold last year.
00:01:42.380 And so many companies like Goldman, Morgan,
00:01:45.380 all these other companies are sitting there
00:01:47.220 recommending their clients
00:01:48.860 to look at alternative investments,
00:01:50.760 specifically within the art space.
00:01:52.360 And the one company that's disrupting this industry
00:01:54.480 right now is Masterworks.
00:01:55.700 And here's how they're doing it.
00:01:56.800 The average person cannot go buy a Picasso,
00:01:58.940 cannot go buy a Banksy or a Warhol
00:02:00.760 and say, oh my God, I can't buy something like that.
00:02:02.640 That's $3 million.
00:02:03.460 I can't buy something like that.
00:02:04.600 It's $2.8 million.
00:02:06.400 But anybody can go buy a share of it.
00:02:08.440 And that's what happens with Masterworks.
00:02:09.820 They now have over 700,000 users
00:02:12.400 that are part of Masterworks
00:02:14.700 and anybody can go buy a share.
00:02:16.620 And it's just like stock you're buying within a company.
00:02:19.320 It's all regulated.
00:02:20.500 It's all through SEC.
00:02:21.960 And by the way, two things you need to talk about Masterworks.
00:02:23.580 Every single piece of art that they sold,
00:02:25.300 they provided net profits to investors.
00:02:27.560 And last year, in 2022,
00:02:28.860 they paid $25 million to their investors.
00:02:30.700 So if you want to participate
00:02:31.640 with what Masterworks has gone on,
00:02:33.900 click on a link below,
00:02:35.260 go get registered, learn for yourself.
00:02:37.740 And if you're comfortable,
00:02:39.220 start diversifying by investing
00:02:41.120 in alternative assets with Masterworks.
00:02:43.840 Okay, so let's take a look
00:02:44.920 at the six major world currencies
00:02:46.640 we've had since 1850.
00:02:48.360 Believe it or not,
00:02:49.020 the first one was Portugal.
00:02:50.460 From 1450 to 5030,
00:02:52.340 lasted 80 years.
00:02:53.160 This is during the age of exploration.
00:02:54.840 Portugal created a dominant global empire.
00:02:57.460 Ottoman Empire closed off
00:02:58.840 the traditional trade route to Asia,
00:03:00.580 forced innovation through advanced
00:03:02.260 and navigational technology.
00:03:04.060 The Portuguese were able to reach Africa,
00:03:06.680 Asia, and the New World.
00:03:08.240 Portuguese currency became the primary currency
00:03:10.020 used in global trade,
00:03:11.000 and it established military outposts
00:03:12.940 along the coasts of Africa, India,
00:03:14.960 Malaysia, Japan, and China.
00:03:16.380 They became overextended.
00:03:17.720 The empire eventually declined
00:03:19.060 due to attacks and competition
00:03:20.680 from other countries,
00:03:21.800 mainly the Dutch, British, and the French.
00:03:23.700 You would have never guessed Portugal,
00:03:24.860 would you have?
00:03:25.500 But they were the first.
00:03:26.140 Second is Spain,
00:03:26.920 which by the way,
00:03:27.440 lasted the longest, 110 years.
00:03:29.140 From 1530 to 1640,
00:03:31.140 combined forces with Portugal
00:03:32.900 to form the Iberian Union.
00:03:34.740 Spanish silver coins
00:03:35.840 were the first global reserve currency
00:03:37.700 recognized in Europe, Asia, and Americas.
00:03:40.280 And this happened due to abundant silver supplies
00:03:42.800 from Spanish South America.
00:03:44.500 Eventually, they collapsed through wars
00:03:46.120 and revolutions by the mid-1600s.
00:03:48.520 Next one is Netherlands,
00:03:49.540 which lasts 80 years.
00:03:50.600 From 1640 to 720,
00:03:52.500 they had their rise to global power
00:03:53.880 resulted from creation
00:03:54.960 of the Dutch East India Company,
00:03:57.060 first publicly traded
00:03:57.980 multi-international corporation in the world,
00:04:00.560 founded to protect that state spice trade
00:04:03.180 in the Indian Ocean
00:04:04.400 and to assist in the Dutch War of Independence
00:04:06.620 from Spain.
00:04:07.220 The Dutch defeated Portugal and Spain economically 0.82
00:04:09.940 by positioning themselves
00:04:11.500 to profit from European demands for spices.
00:04:14.120 France and England started 0.85
00:04:15.140 their own spice trading companies
00:04:16.620 and went to war with the Dutch.
00:04:18.180 Saturated spice market
00:04:19.580 and the costly wars destroyed the Dutch
00:04:21.960 as a global currency.
00:04:23.500 Next is France,
00:04:24.380 which lasted 95 years.
00:04:25.780 From 1720 to 1815,
00:04:27.560 France was best positioned
00:04:28.660 to be the next reserve currency,
00:04:30.540 achieve European dominance
00:04:31.780 under Louis XIV,
00:04:33.140 but he put France in massive debt
00:04:35.500 caused by war
00:04:36.860 and extravagant parties
00:04:39.040 implemented heavy taxes,
00:04:40.880 something we're similar
00:04:41.560 with here in the States.
00:04:42.720 The 1789 French Revolution
00:04:44.340 was caused by an economic turmoil
00:04:45.920 and public outrage.
00:04:47.000 After a decade of civil war,
00:04:48.960 Napoleon takes over.
00:04:50.280 So this guy Napoleon liked a lot of wars.
00:04:52.000 Obviously we know about that,
00:04:52.920 but it lasted from 1803 to 1815,
00:04:55.280 conquered a lot of territory,
00:04:56.820 eventually overextended himself
00:04:58.560 and now comes a new currency.
00:05:00.340 Great Britain.
00:05:01.180 Next one,
00:05:01.920 the financial capital of the world,
00:05:03.340 London,
00:05:03.900 105 years from 1815 to 1920,
00:05:06.640 after Napoleon's defeat
00:05:08.080 at the Battle of Waterloo in 1815,
00:05:10.120 England dominates global trade.
00:05:11.980 For 105 years,
00:05:12.880 Industrial Revolution
00:05:13.760 combined with advanced
00:05:14.820 shipbuilding capabilities
00:05:16.400 to being an island nation
00:05:18.540 made them the most dominant navy
00:05:20.380 in the world.
00:05:21.000 Dominant navy equals
00:05:22.340 dominant global trade.
00:05:24.160 The sun never set on Great Britain
00:05:25.960 was a saying they said
00:05:27.060 for decades during that time.
00:05:28.780 And then eventually,
00:05:29.600 World War I
00:05:30.200 destroyed Great Britain's economy
00:05:31.820 and position as a reserve currency
00:05:33.200 took on a massive amount of debt
00:05:34.640 to win the war.
00:05:35.560 The U.S. benefited massively
00:05:36.840 from World War I
00:05:37.740 and every country
00:05:38.960 from both sides
00:05:40.080 of World War I
00:05:41.180 were borrowing money
00:05:42.060 from the U.S.
00:05:42.740 to pay the U.S.
00:05:43.660 to build things for them.
00:05:45.420 And during World War I,
00:05:46.420 the U.S. started transitioning
00:05:47.960 from a under-industrialized
00:05:50.040 agricultural economy
00:05:51.640 to the industrial manufacturing powerhouse
00:05:54.580 it eventually became.
00:05:55.600 So then comes the United States,
00:05:57.600 which is kind of tricky
00:05:58.520 because some say
00:05:59.300 it started in 19...
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00:06:22.900 1920, which means
00:06:25.400 the U.S. currency
00:06:26.300 has been the world currency
00:06:27.420 for 103 years.
00:06:28.680 But some say it happened in 45,
00:06:30.740 which is only 78 years.
00:06:31.960 Let me tell you why.
00:06:32.700 You know, those that say
00:06:33.600 it became the world currency
00:06:34.600 in 1920,
00:06:35.360 well, it was because
00:06:35.860 we had the healthiest economy
00:06:37.420 in the world
00:06:38.040 during the World War I
00:06:39.180 that was taking place.
00:06:40.120 So automatically it's like,
00:06:41.180 well, we think the U.S. dollar
00:06:42.220 is going to be the currency.
00:06:43.480 However, technically,
00:06:44.640 the dollar did not become
00:06:45.780 the official reserve currency
00:06:47.780 until the post-1944
00:06:49.500 Bretton Woods Agreement.
00:06:51.180 And after World War II,
00:06:52.260 the U.S. basically
00:06:53.580 had all the gold
00:06:54.700 in the world.
00:06:55.360 And because of that,
00:06:56.140 countries around the world
00:06:57.020 agreed to treat the U.S. dollar
00:06:58.380 as an equivalent to gold
00:07:00.340 and the dollar
00:07:01.000 was redeemable in gold
00:07:02.620 until 1971,
00:07:04.560 which kind of changed the game.
00:07:05.560 And that's why a lot of people
00:07:06.340 are saying,
00:07:06.760 what is the dollar
00:07:07.380 backed by today?
00:07:08.160 At least in 1970,
00:07:09.260 it was a dollar
00:07:09.820 was backed by gold.
00:07:10.900 But how about today?
00:07:11.760 It's more risky.
00:07:12.680 It's more fragile.
00:07:13.440 It is a very good argument
00:07:14.440 a lot of people make.
00:07:15.260 The dollar has been
00:07:16.160 the reserve currency
00:07:16.860 now for either 102 years
00:07:18.140 or 79 years,
00:07:19.360 depending on how you look
00:07:20.320 at the start date.
00:07:21.060 So for the people that say
00:07:22.340 this will never happen
00:07:22.980 to the dollar,
00:07:23.540 what makes the dollar
00:07:24.180 so much more powerful
00:07:25.240 that it'll never happen to this?
00:07:26.460 They'll say,
00:07:27.060 well, the infrastructure
00:07:27.780 that we've spent decades building
00:07:29.220 or we have the most money circulating
00:07:31.440 or most goods
00:07:33.060 are priced out
00:07:34.040 by the U.S. dollar
00:07:35.120 or the fact that
00:07:35.980 we've had a lot of momentum
00:07:36.780 and all these momentum
00:07:37.840 year after year after year
00:07:38.980 and it's a habitual thing
00:07:39.960 that we've been doing.
00:07:40.640 It's like, listen,
00:07:41.060 I'm just using the U.S. dollar.
00:07:42.480 It's going to be so hard
00:07:43.160 to get away from it.
00:07:44.120 But as we know
00:07:44.980 how innovation works,
00:07:45.900 think about an app
00:07:46.660 used five years ago.
00:07:47.660 You're not even thinking
00:07:48.240 about it today.
00:07:48.860 Groupon, let's just say.
00:07:50.080 You know, everybody was on Snapchat
00:07:51.220 and then everybody was using us.
00:07:53.840 The change is so quick
00:07:55.660 with technology.
00:07:56.480 So what needs to happen
00:07:57.520 for us to move on
00:07:58.700 to a new currency?
00:07:59.940 So you would need
00:08:00.800 a currency capable
00:08:01.960 of handling trillions
00:08:02.800 of dollars of trade
00:08:03.800 per day,
00:08:04.660 several hundred thousand
00:08:05.520 transactions per second,
00:08:07.200 and even bigger than that,
00:08:08.340 a government
00:08:08.940 that others would trust.
00:08:10.680 So if you're,
00:08:11.260 oh, we're going to go to one.
00:08:12.120 Do you trust China?
00:08:12.880 We're going to have
00:08:13.280 a new world currency
00:08:14.640 that everyone's going to be using.
00:08:15.640 Do you trust
00:08:16.420 or all governments
00:08:17.500 coming to get it to use one?
00:08:19.180 Is the trust level high
00:08:20.400 for somebody
00:08:20.880 who want to do that? 1.00
00:08:21.640 By the way,
00:08:22.260 one of the things
00:08:23.100 that we did think about
00:08:24.080 for those that say
00:08:25.260 it'll never happen.
00:08:26.220 It's not going to happen
00:08:26.760 during my lifetime.
00:08:27.560 I'm only 28 years old.
00:08:28.760 It'll happen seven years from now,
00:08:30.080 maybe, but not right now.
00:08:31.180 Okay.
00:08:31.580 What did we learn during COVID?
00:08:33.680 We learned how much
00:08:35.100 we relied on Taiwan for chips.
00:08:37.240 We learned how much
00:08:38.680 we relied on China
00:08:39.860 for our pharmaceuticals,
00:08:41.420 manufacturing China.
00:08:42.900 If there was anything
00:08:44.380 that happened during COVID,
00:08:45.860 it was a big commercial
00:08:47.260 to the world to say,
00:08:48.460 you rely on China.
00:08:50.220 Okay.
00:08:50.900 We all felt it.
00:08:51.840 And they stood up tall
00:08:52.740 and said,
00:08:53.120 hey, you need us.
00:08:54.760 You made a mistake years ago
00:08:56.360 doing all this stuff for us
00:08:57.800 and we were winning
00:08:58.480 on the backs of US.
00:09:00.440 But too late now
00:09:01.460 because now you need us.
00:09:02.880 It's like,
00:09:03.360 hey, Apple's moving away
00:09:04.940 from China to go to India.
00:09:06.500 Well, there's some reliability.
00:09:08.820 We're leaning on China 1.00
00:09:10.120 for some of this stuff.
00:09:10.840 So again,
00:09:11.220 whether that causes
00:09:12.000 anything or not is irrelevant.
00:09:13.760 But one has to be paranoid
00:09:15.280 to think that there is
00:09:16.620 a possibility
00:09:17.260 because during COVID,
00:09:18.380 we were definitely
00:09:19.000 relying on China a lot.
00:09:20.300 I may have just convinced you
00:09:21.260 to say,
00:09:21.580 well, Pat,
00:09:22.060 if that's the case,
00:09:22.980 we're definitely going
00:09:23.460 to go to one.
00:09:24.080 Well, let's argue myself
00:09:25.660 on what is the global
00:09:26.760 one reserves worldwide
00:09:28.340 comparable to
00:09:29.280 the US dollar reserve worldwide.
00:09:32.560 This is what it's looking like.
00:09:33.800 So if you look at
00:09:34.280 the global reserve currency,
00:09:35.260 you'll see US dollar
00:09:36.060 all the way at the top
00:09:37.160 at around 60%.
00:09:38.140 Then you have the euro,
00:09:39.420 then you got the yen
00:09:40.320 and all the way at the bottom.
00:09:42.000 Do you see what that is?
00:09:42.700 Renminbi, RMB,
00:09:44.120 it's what the yuan is.
00:09:45.280 For China,
00:09:46.140 it's not even close.
00:09:47.240 So for that to happen,
00:09:48.540 a lot would need to change.
00:09:50.520 But some people say,
00:09:51.300 well, Pat,
00:09:51.760 the US dollar share
00:09:52.920 of global central bank reserve
00:09:55.040 is the lowest we've had
00:09:55.920 in 30 years.
00:09:56.560 We can look at that as well.
00:09:57.760 And if you see this chart
00:09:59.000 with a lot of the panic
00:10:00.080 of where we are today,
00:10:01.120 you would see
00:10:02.100 that from 1979 to 1996,
00:10:05.060 it was lower
00:10:06.720 than what it is today.
00:10:08.320 But if we go back
00:10:09.140 and think about
00:10:09.680 when we were the strongest,
00:10:10.660 it's all the way back
00:10:12.080 from 70 to around 78
00:10:14.100 until this president,
00:10:15.440 the guy named Jimmy Carter
00:10:16.360 showed up,
00:10:16.980 which the closest president
00:10:17.800 we've ever had to Jimmy Carter
00:10:18.880 is a guy named Joe Biden.
00:10:20.060 So that's another fear
00:10:20.820 a lot of people are having
00:10:21.520 on what's going to happen
00:10:22.080 to our currency.
00:10:22.900 I want to show you
00:10:23.420 these two charts
00:10:24.060 just for you to look at,
00:10:25.060 see on what the dollar,
00:10:26.060 the power of the dollar
00:10:26.820 is today.
00:10:27.400 If you look at this one here,
00:10:28.440 it shows the share
00:10:29.780 of over-the-counter
00:10:30.520 foreign exchange transactions.
00:10:32.500 You see the blue?
00:10:33.560 That's US.
00:10:34.720 Look what percentage
00:10:35.640 of it is blue,
00:10:36.940 US.
00:10:37.540 Orange is euro.
00:10:38.880 Then you have the pound,
00:10:39.780 which is green.
00:10:40.800 Then the light blue
00:10:41.660 is the yen.
00:10:42.880 The pink is other.
00:10:44.480 You see that small
00:10:45.520 little yellow right there?
00:10:47.100 That's the Chinese one. 1.00
00:10:48.520 See how small it is?
00:10:49.320 It ain't that big.
00:10:50.120 Then look at this other chart
00:10:51.300 when it comes down
00:10:52.360 to share of export invoicing.
00:10:54.920 In America, 0.65
00:10:56.000 it's pretty much
00:10:56.680 the US dollar.
00:10:57.640 In Asia Pacific,
00:10:58.740 it's again,
00:10:59.540 pretty much the US dollar
00:11:00.520 70 something percent
00:11:01.540 of the time.
00:11:02.200 A small percentage
00:11:02.940 is euro.
00:11:03.640 Pink is other.
00:11:04.540 In Europe,
00:11:05.100 they pretty much
00:11:05.580 use the euro.
00:11:06.380 Orange is euro.
00:11:06.980 But if you look at also
00:11:08.020 the rest of the world,
00:11:08.960 80% of the time
00:11:09.920 is the US dollar.
00:11:10.900 So the US dollar
00:11:11.460 as of today,
00:11:12.420 it's still the main currency
00:11:14.580 that everybody uses.
00:11:15.700 Closing thoughts.
00:11:16.420 Henry Kissinger
00:11:17.200 once said the following,
00:11:18.540 who controls the food supply
00:11:19.960 controls the people.
00:11:21.180 Who controls the energy
00:11:22.260 can control the whole continent.
00:11:23.840 Who controls money
00:11:25.060 can control the whole world.
00:11:27.000 And you know
00:11:27.340 who controls money?
00:11:28.620 US controls money.
00:11:30.540 Now,
00:11:31.180 sometimes
00:11:31.960 when you have a lot of power
00:11:33.260 and it's been around
00:11:33.940 for a while,
00:11:34.640 you become entitled.
00:11:35.400 You become arrogant.
00:11:36.880 You become soft.
00:11:37.980 You create blind spots.
00:11:39.200 You start looking at the outside
00:11:40.520 as the enemies.
00:11:42.060 Vanderbilt's
00:11:42.540 had a lot of money.
00:11:43.760 All their money.
00:11:44.640 You know how long it lasted?
00:11:45.660 Two generations.
00:11:46.520 You know why?
00:11:47.320 Because one of the sons,
00:11:48.660 all he wanted to do
00:11:49.380 was spend the money and party.
00:11:50.720 And US right now
00:11:51.700 is spending money
00:11:52.660 as if we have money forever.
00:11:54.940 And if I,
00:11:56.140 the enemy,
00:11:56.680 is looking at US,
00:11:57.860 if there's ever
00:11:58.840 been an opportunity
00:12:00.540 to go in there
00:12:01.540 in a creative way,
00:12:02.520 whether it's global CBDC,
00:12:03.720 whether it's buying
00:12:04.860 some US politicians
00:12:05.860 and leaders,
00:12:06.580 whether it's dividing
00:12:07.420 America internally,
00:12:08.860 whether it's any of those
00:12:10.080 manipulative ways
00:12:11.020 to hurt America, 0.69
00:12:12.260 this is a great season for it.
00:12:13.960 Am I saying it can happen
00:12:14.840 next 12 months,
00:12:15.720 24 months,
00:12:16.360 36 months,
00:12:17.000 5 years,
00:12:17.460 10 years?
00:12:18.160 No.
00:12:18.840 But can it happen
00:12:19.520 next 10,
00:12:20.160 15,
00:12:20.500 20 years?
00:12:21.280 Yes.
00:12:21.980 If the US gets
00:12:23.740 too cocky
00:12:24.680 and comfortable, 0.97
00:12:25.680 somebody else can come
00:12:26.900 and take our lunch
00:12:28.680 and then all of a sudden
00:12:29.340 everyone's looking around
00:12:29.980 saying,
00:12:30.200 what happened to the US?
00:12:31.200 It can happen that quickly
00:12:32.100 because technology moves
00:12:33.100 very quickly.
00:12:34.520 Having said that,
00:12:35.500 if you got value
00:12:36.140 from this video,
00:12:36.740 give it a thumbs up
00:12:37.340 and subscribe to the channel.
00:12:38.420 I got another video
00:12:39.060 I want you to watch
00:12:39.740 about CBDC.
00:12:41.080 If you've never seen it,
00:12:42.140 click here to watch it.
00:12:42.860 Take care, everybody.
00:12:43.580 Bye-bye, bye-bye.
00:12:44.040 Bye-bye.