00:08:26.640Now, that doesn't mean the polls are worthless.
00:08:29.340And, you know, even the good ones like Trafalgar will admit
00:08:31.460that this is very difficult to do because Republicans
00:08:34.180and MAGA types in particular, they don't like to answer the phone.
00:08:36.880They've got better things to do than spend time on the phone with pollsters.
00:08:40.060So it doesn't mean the polls are worthless.
00:08:41.460What it means is that when you show somebody two or three points ahead, you have to reverse engineer the bias.
00:08:49.460And there's more to it, but the simplest version is take two and a half, three points away from the Democrat, give it to the Republican.
00:08:57.060Well, if you do that, then a lot of these races where the Democrats are ahead by 1.5 points, which is enough for The New York Times to say they got it, you take away two, the Republican wins.
00:09:09.900The significance of Alaska comes from the following analysis. So I'll give the Democrats North Carolina. Let's say I'm wrong about Michigan and Minnesota. I don't think I am. I wouldn't say otherwise, but let's say I'm wrong. And the Democrats hold Michigan and Minnesota, and they take North Carolina. At that point, if they take Alaska, they control the Senate.
00:09:32.240So Michigan and Minnesota will be close.0.87
00:09:35.200North Carolina, give it to the Democrats.0.97
00:09:37.320The whole Senate may come down to Alaska.
00:09:40.060So I've got the Republicans holding along the lines you described.
00:09:59.460Make the connection between this egregious, and it took the New York Times, it took the New York Times to expose this, the egregious, active, aggressive corruption of the Democratic Party in Alaska, but also, as you fought, in Wisconsin and other places in the country.
00:10:19.400Yes, and these two stories are linked, even though only Alaska is getting attention from legacy media.
00:10:24.200But the Wisconsin-Alaska story are similar.
00:10:25.900By the way, it is indicative, though, you're right, of how badly the Democrats want this.
00:10:29.620And I'm not saying we have to follow their scummy tactics and we're certainly not going to break the law.
00:10:34.000However, we can't keep showing up to this fight.
00:10:36.560They show up with a rusty shiv and we say, hey, we'll fight by Marquis of Queensberry rules.0.53
00:10:42.180OK, that doesn't work. But specifically, this Alaska bombshell news, which shows that Peltolo is a liar.0.99
00:10:48.520She is a sleazeball, probably a criminal, what she did up there.0.83
00:10:52.460It also points, and I think that's going to win the race for Republicans, which is fantastic news, obviously, if you want to go to the westernmost edge of the northern flank.0.99
00:11:00.900Well, let's continue along the northern flank and go to Wisconsin because we have a similar story about manipulating an election through illegal, shady, dirty means there.
00:11:10.280And that one, because it wasn't reported by The New York Times, is getting very little attention, even though we have a whistleblower with evidence, a very high-level, highly-ranked Democrat campaign operative for the Sarah Rodriguez campaign.
00:11:26.260And the scheme here was in the Democrat primary, which was very contentious and crowded in Wisconsin, the Democrat insiders wanted to clear the way for Rodriguez.
00:11:34.300So they literally paid David Crowley, who is Milwaukee County executive, paid him to get out of the race, $250,000 promise, plus the promise of a wife, of a job for his wife in a Rodriguez administration.
00:11:46.280And he took the deal and he exited the race.
00:11:48.480At the time, a lot of us were scratching our heads saying, why is he getting out of this race?
00:13:13.560But David Crawley has not yet even been asked about it, even though the corporate media, the legacy media of Wisconsin, is following him all over a bus tour.
00:13:20.900He has not once yet been asked about this.
00:13:23.180he needs to face scrutiny on this issue because it is real. There is evidence. And it is similar
00:13:29.560in many ways, the Democrats using dirty and illegal means to manipulate and unfortunately
00:13:36.660orchestrate elections in this country. It's similar to what's going on in Alaska. In some
00:13:40.860ways, I think it's actually worse because it involved a bag of cash. And by the way,
00:13:44.760the bag of cash was never delivered. That's also a key part of the story here. There's no honor
00:13:48.600among thieves cash never arrived don't bury the lead they stiffed him after he cuts the deal
00:13:55.520they stiffed him they don't pay him the money anyway cortez hang on i got jim records jim's
00:14:00.600got his prediction they also got tons of capital markets gdp got an uptick uh today uh there's so
00:14:06.280much going on solomon's going to join me remember on a day that we've got a government in exile now
00:14:11.580in uh with the brazilians uh with the bolsonaros you've got uh the arabs just were allocated another
00:14:18.000seat in the Knesset. They have 19 seats. That is a bombshell. Coming out of Israel's Netanyahu and
00:14:24.780General Gotti trying to figure out how to put this government together and what it all means for the
00:14:28.640kinetic war. On all of that, it ain't the biggest story of the day. You heard it here first years
00:14:34.900ago. Jensen Wang and NVIDIA is a Chinese Communist Party agent of influence. The New York0.90
00:14:40.820times and another blockbuster investigation has jensen wong being honey potted by a chinese spy0.88
00:14:48.800out of singapore about selling their advanced chips in a black market to who
00:14:54.320the chinese communist party short break back in a moment
00:14:57.500one of my favorite days of the year veterans day is coming up and birch gold group is commemorating
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00:15:43.840customers, a lot of them viewers and members of the war room posse. I trust them, and I think
00:15:51.660you'll see why. Text my name, Bannon, B-A-N-N-O-N, to 989898 for a free information kit and to claim
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00:16:07.740to 9-8-9-8-9-8 do it today we're commemorating veterans day in a big way at birch gold
00:17:47.800Now, the only footnote you have to drop, how much of that is fixed asset investment in
00:17:52.440these data centers where they're spending two trillion dollars over the course of 2026 and
00:17:58.7002027 the answer is a lot not all of it uh but a lot uh so um and is that sustainable okay those
00:18:06.160are problems you saw the anthropic ipo i mean in an ipo you've got in the risk considerations oh we
00:18:13.300could it's a 10 chance we can eliminate humanity but for all you pension funds out there managing
00:18:19.640this audience's money, you know, just look the other way. Don't they have to get the Anthropic0.86
00:18:24.780IPO done or the whole Rubik's Cube kind of collapses this whole kind of they've got we have0.52
00:18:30.200no earthly idea of the interconnections of advances on GPUs versus all these special purpose vehicles
00:18:36.720on debt. We're in a more complicated interlocking financial structure right now. I would say twice
00:18:43.300as complicated as before the 2008 crash. And this is why they kind of look to the equity markets
00:18:50.180here now to at least put a substrate in there. That's why this Anthropic IPO, this is coming.
00:18:56.060They don't care what the investment banks say. They don't care what the regulars say.
00:19:01.200They have to jam this one through, don't they? Just took a haircut of $500 billion.
00:19:07.240Anthropic came out with a valuation of $2 trillion. They've carved it back to $1.5 billion.
00:19:11.640They took a $500 billion haircut on the initial valuation of the IPO just to jam it out.
00:19:18.380I was saying the other day when I started on Wall Street in 1984, the largest market cap company at the time, I think, was IBM at $30 or $40 billion.
00:19:28.180I mean, this is a whole other universe you're playing in.0.65
00:19:30.260But doesn't that make the Anthropic IPO, if they don't get that done, the whole house of cards could come collapsing?
00:20:05.020Yeah, they put my books in their training set for their frontier models and never paid me royalties. So I was on the right side of a class action suit. I get my share. I'm still waiting for the check. I just want to be full disclosure, but I'm rooting for the IPO so they can pay me, you know, my royalties.
00:33:13.560I just want to make sure – Cook Political Report and Sabato, which are the two a lot of the mainstream media look at, have all these things shifting.
00:33:21.400Everything has been shifting, 17 seats here, 18 seats here.
00:33:24.140They essentially have 30 to 40 seats kind of in play that have shifted from being more traditional Republican to toss-up or even lean Democrat, et cetera.
00:33:36.580You're saying – and all those guys come up with models that have them at 230, 235, 240.
00:33:42.800You've only got them picking up, correct me if I'm wrong, eight seats.
00:41:35.280Sorry, Steve. Yeah, I've got her as a win. He's going down there to increase turnout. That's really important. Coming back to the House really quickly, Steve, you look at the target set. I've only got 22 toss-ups. Now, Nate Silver's got like 81. I think that my view of that science is 22 toss-ups. Five of them are already held by Democrats, so you can't get a pickup on a seat you already have.
00:42:00.360So there are only 17 Republican seats in the toss-up category.
00:42:05.30011 of those are districts that Trump won by five points or more in 2025.
00:49:54.860And, hey, Maine, right of the box, how Susan Collins is playing and and quite frankly, Maine, too, with Lepage, the kind of MAGA type former governor that in New Hampshire.
00:50:04.980And look, Kelly Ayotte, who we've beat on for years when she was in the Senate, not exactly MAGA, not exactly a supporter of President Trump.
00:50:13.260I think she's running eight to ten points ahead.0.83
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