Bannon's War Room - August 12, 2026


WarRoom Battleground EP 1065: US Disability Assistance Hits All Time High


Episode Stats


Length

54 minutes

Words per minute

165.44

Word count

8,996

Sentence count

514

Harmful content

Misogyny

4

sentences flagged

Toxicity

3

sentences flagged

Hate speech

11

sentences flagged


Transcript

Transcript generated with Whisper (turbo).
Misogyny classifications generated with MilaNLProc/bert-base-uncased-ear-misogyny .
Toxicity classifications generated with s-nlp/roberta_toxicity_classifier .
Hate speech classifications generated with facebook/roberta-hate-speech-dynabench-r4-target .
00:00:00.000 All right. Big news yesterday. President Trump signed an executive order seeking to reshape vaccine recommendations for children.
00:00:19.080 On the current schedule, children are vaccinated against 18 diseases, but Trump's plan would only vaccinate against 11.
00:00:27.760 His order also calls for the MMR vaccine for measles, mumps, rubella to be separated into three different single shots.
00:00:38.380 It's currently given in one dose, and there is no credible evidence that separating them provides a safety advantage.
00:00:46.820 Not one study.
00:00:48.200 The president also made a dangerous and false claim yesterday about the MMR vaccine.
00:00:53.780 you have the mmr we wanted in three separate vaccinations given at separate times together
00:01:02.260 there could be a possibility they're quite lethal and separately uh it looks like they are not at
00:01:08.960 all lethal but just very effective i think i heard you say that the mmr vaccine for measles
00:01:13.800 mumps and rubella is quite lethal is there any evidence of that what i've heard is that there
00:01:20.780 there are some people that say it is that way and i say well let's say there's a five percent chance
00:01:28.980 of it let's split it up let's split it up because they do say that given individual mmo that given
00:01:37.020 individual there is no impact in fact they've said how safe it seems to be but i've heard when
00:01:43.500 you put them together they can't be explosive that's no that's just not true to be clear just
00:01:49.860 i've studied that's absolutely there is no medical evidence no study to support what you just heard
00:01:56.640 from the president no medical bobby will say it what he just said bobby may be that person he's
00:02:02.960 talking about but nobody else has said that physicians and scientists have said the single
00:02:08.540 MMR shot is safe and effective and breaking it up could leave children vulnerable to dangerous
00:02:15.540 diseases for longer. President Trump yesterday also repeatedly suggested the number or timing
00:02:24.060 of vaccines could play a role in rising rates of autism, despite scientific consensus and
00:02:32.320 decades of studies that have firmly concluded there is no link. That's the question. Well,
00:02:39.060 are the vaccines safe? And if you look at the literally, literally tens and tens and tens of
00:02:47.240 thousands of women who have been followed by the CDC, who were vaccinated when they were pregnant,
00:02:53.200 when they were pregnant, there's no indication whatsoever that there's any increase of any
00:03:00.860 adverse issues in a pregnant woman who was vaccinated compared to a pregnant woman who
00:03:06.980 wasn't vaccinated. And we all know that pregnancy, there is always a risk of a spontaneous
00:03:15.060 miscarriage. There's always a situation. There's always situations when women get illness that
00:03:21.740 could be preeclampsia, things like that. However, when you look at the unvaccinated versus the
00:03:28.420 vaccinated, there is absolutely no increased risk of that. Senators Rand Paul and Ron Johnson
00:03:34.280 released some text messages from Anthony Fauci. And it appears that as early as January 2021,
00:03:40.140 they knew that there could possibly be complications with pregnant women and
00:03:43.780 miscarriages tied to the COVID vaccine. Yet the Biden administration helped officials.
00:03:47.380 They didn't change their rhetoric. Your reaction? Well, the Biden administration was a disaster in
00:03:52.700 every way. That would be just one way, but there have been a disaster in every single way.
00:03:57.880 It's unimaginable what they did in that. Forget about weaponization. Forget even about, you know, as important as what you're saying.
00:04:05.880 So many of the open borders, the men and women's boards, they've just been it just been a horrendous disaster, the highest inflation in history.
00:04:15.820 And we're doing a great job.
00:04:17.840 Mr. President, have you spoken with the new attorney general or Jeanine Pirro about prosecuting Dr. Fauci?
00:04:24.460 I have not spoken to him about that.
00:04:25.900 And this has been looked at now, as you pointed out in the 6 a.m. hour for decades, and it's specifically looked at whether or not MMR, all these vaccines that we've been giving kids now for decades, has been linked over time to the development or the increased incidence of autism.
00:04:42.520 And it's looked at multiple different factors, not just vaccines.
00:04:46.840 And these studies have proven that there is no link between giving any series of vaccines for, say, from birth to two years of age and the incidence later in life of autism.
00:04:57.240 So that's been proven serially.
00:04:58.740 There has been one study in 1998 that, again, you pointed out in the 6 a.m. hour that looked at 12 children that was equivocal.
00:05:05.520 That was a poor study that perhaps suggested a signal that needed to be looked at for the MMR vaccine and autism links.
00:05:12.220 that has been disproven several times so there is no link by the way i just want to say and we're
00:05:18.160 going to go through all of this i just want to say i have a child that's on the spectrum
00:05:22.920 and this is something i have studied intensively even talking to bobby 25 years ago
00:05:31.860 seen study after study after study i've been looking at study after study after study just
00:05:38.660 like I've looked at study after study after study on diabetes.
00:05:42.620 There is not a single relevant study.
00:05:45.980 There's not a single legitimate study that suggests vaccines play any role in the rise of autism.
00:05:55.400 If there were, I would have been telling you about it over the past 20 years.
00:06:01.920 There's not one legitimate study.
00:06:05.320 You know, there was there was a bogus study done for trial lawyers, which Bobby Kennedy is one for trial lawyers that was published in Lancet.
00:06:18.340 The end of the 90s is like 12 people.
00:06:21.640 They all separated themselves from it because it was false.
00:06:28.060 It was a scam.
00:06:29.240 there has been
00:06:30.980 for the past 25 years
00:06:33.400 one after another
00:06:35.420 after another and they've all come to the same
00:06:37.180 conclusions and see that happening
00:06:38.660 in the Oval Office yesterday
00:06:40.700 is what everybody
00:06:43.200 feared would happen
00:06:45.540 when
00:06:47.420 Bobby Kennedy Jr.
00:06:49.880 was put into that position
00:06:51.520 guy who vaccinated
00:06:53.440 all of his own kids
00:06:54.460 this is 1.00
00:06:56.860 so stupid 1.00
00:06:58.540 And it's so dangerous and it spreads so much disinformation that now parents, because of the lies, because of the conspiracy theories, now there are parents out there that are going to be frozen in place because they heard this coming out of the Oval Office and not do what parents have done for generations to protect their children from terrible diseases. 1.00
00:07:23.600 significant changes to the childhood vaccine schedule, frankly, being pushed by conspiracy
00:07:29.220 theorists. Well, you know, what's the knock on effects? Number one, what are we going to see
00:07:34.180 with hepatitis B? They spent a lot of time talking about hepatitis B, comparing us to Denmark.
00:07:38.680 First of all, the reason that we do the things that we do here in the United States is based
00:07:41.680 on what we see at the population health level. Hepatitis B here is a risk that is posed to the
00:07:47.720 United States population that is different fundamentally from the population of Denmark.
00:07:51.480 They want to move us towards a risk-based protocol, which is to say, let's test every mom and then give their babies the vaccine for hepatitis B if that mom tests positive.
00:08:02.600 We've tried that, Jonathan, 20,000 babies on average estimated to have hepatitis B with that approach prior to 1991.
00:08:10.800 We've moved to universal hepatitis B because that was deemed unacceptable.
00:08:14.680 So we've already seen the impacts of these policies because we've done them before.
00:08:18.860 we've learned and we've adapted and tried something different that has been very effective,
00:08:23.780 this universal shot for babies for hepatitis B to root out that disease. And so we're going to see
00:08:29.120 what are the knock-on effects, increased disease burden. We're already seeing this. I mean,
00:08:32.880 they're talking about MMR. How many times have you and I had this conversation about measles?
00:08:37.220 We're in the worst measles epidemic we've seen in at least 35 years. And here they are introducing
00:08:42.820 confusion into the public sphere yet again on that specific vaccine. So what is this going to do?
00:08:48.080 It's going to worsen it. It's going to create greater confusion. And we have competing yet
00:08:52.080 again, competing guidance on childhood vaccines from the federal government versus, say, the
00:08:57.340 American Academy of Pediatrics. We have states doing something different from the federal
00:09:01.020 government. This can impact school based recommendations, what we do at the state level
00:09:05.600 and ultimately, frankly, what insurances may or may not cover. So there are significant
00:09:09.880 consequences to what they're doing. Very well said. I mean, the nation is less healthy today
00:09:14.400 than we were the day that president trump was inaugurated
00:09:16.920 tuesday 11 august year of our lord 2026 mary holland joins us we're going to get to ed doubt
00:09:24.700 in a moment um mary can you just put in perspective how important that event was uh and and of course
00:09:32.940 the hatred the raw hatred coming out for bobby kennedy for folks that really want to get their
00:09:39.420 arms around these vaccines, particularly to protect children. You just saw Mika there at
00:09:44.560 the beginning. I mean, she is spitting fire. She's so absolutely angry about this. What went on? 1.00
00:09:51.500 Why is it important? And what does it mean, ma'am? Well, Steve, that coverage I wouldn't
00:09:57.040 otherwise have seen, and it's infuriating. You saw Tony Fauci lie about COVID. Everything about
00:10:05.780 the childhood schedule has been funded by pharma. They have suppressed the science. Yes, everything
00:10:12.460 that's been generated over the last 20 years has been riddled with lies. So what happened yesterday
00:10:18.540 in the Oval Office was groundbreaking. Frankly, I also have an adult child who's on the autism
00:10:26.580 spectrum, vaccine-induced. I've been waiting 25 years to hear a president and a secretary of
00:10:31.880 Health and the head of the NIH say what they said yesterday. And that is that they have reduced the
00:10:39.420 schedule to make it more comparable to other countries. And they want to maximize parental
00:10:44.880 choice. Nothing that happened yesterday, Steve, in any way will affect the choice of a parent who
00:10:52.360 wants to give their baby a hepatitis B at birth. And, you know, the 18 vaccines that were previously
00:11:00.040 recommended or that the American Academy of Pediatrics of Pharma Front organizations can
00:11:04.420 continue to recommend. Those vaccines are going to be available in the marketplace if people want
00:11:08.860 them. But what happened yesterday is not only were the recommendations reduced, but much more
00:11:14.060 importantly, in my mind, they said that parental choice should be maximized and that the attorney
00:11:19.860 general should go after those states in which religious exemption rights and medical exemption
00:11:25.900 rights are not being honored consistent with constitutional and statutory guidelines.
00:11:32.160 They said that they might use funding as a weapon, and they would look at this in the
00:11:36.720 context of school enrollment and attendance.
00:11:40.200 And even more important than that, they're going to use this task force, this HHS Task
00:11:46.120 Force for Safer Vaccines, that legal efforts that we supported helped to reinvigorate.
00:11:51.100 It had never actually functioned.
00:11:52.840 That task force is going to report back to the president in 90 days and talk about the aluminum adjuvants that are there, the timing and sequencing of the shots and looking at the research and trying to maximize transparency.
00:12:07.680 So for me, even more important, what they said yesterday is the process that they've put in place that can lead us to, I think, even better outcomes with vaccines.
00:12:18.240 none of these vaccines steve have had true placebo controlled trials none of them are safe and
00:12:24.840 effective for everyone that's just a fact hang on but i want to stick with that how can they sit
00:12:31.040 there and just hammer that's with no studies all the study there's study after study after study
00:12:36.180 just voluminous study after study study that's all safe and effective and it's a bunch of
00:12:40.360 conspiracy conspiracy theory cranks by the way the same people like the war on posse with naomi
00:12:46.600 Wolf that went through 3,500 volunteers from our show, went through with Amy Kelly and found out
00:12:52.520 in the Pfizer documents that Fauci had bald-faced lied to the women of this country. I mean, yet
00:12:59.100 they sit there and just hammer you constantly that study after study after study after study.
00:13:05.740 It's all bald-faced lies, is it not, ma'am? Not quite, Steve. You know, pharma is very powerful.
00:13:12.860 They've infiltrated medicine.
00:13:14.520 They've infiltrated the university.
00:13:16.280 So they suppress the science.
00:13:17.940 Nobody got money from NIH for good vaccinated versus unvaccinated controlled studies.
00:13:23.480 Bobby Kennedy is putting that in place.
00:13:25.280 But you had pharma-funded studies that had the result in mind when they started.
00:13:30.220 They were completely biased.
00:13:31.580 And even more importantly, they silenced doctors like Pierre Corey and Paul Merrick and COVID.
00:13:36.660 But before that, anybody who would say, you know, there's a problem with vaccines,
00:13:40.060 they cause neuroinflammation, they cause autoimmune disease. Those people were cut off at
00:13:45.160 the knees. They couldn't have a career in medicine or in academia because of the suppression.
00:13:50.880 They also, these people are looking at the studies, look at the vaccine adverse event
00:13:55.080 reporting system. Of course, there are kids who have died from MMR. They're reported. Do they
00:13:59.020 investigate them? No. Look at the vaccine injury compensation program. There are over a hundred
00:14:03.620 kids who've been compensated. Their parents have been compensated for their death from MMR.
00:14:08.120 Any combination shot is going to be more dangerous than a single shot.
00:14:12.180 If you give eight doses or 10 doses of vaccines on the same day, of course, it's going to be more dangerous than if you do one.
00:14:19.920 What President Trump and Secretary Kennedy talked about yesterday is common sense.
00:14:25.360 And that's what Trump said.
00:14:26.420 And I couldn't agree with him more.
00:14:30.980 Walk me through.
00:14:31.960 I want to make sure that we emphasize what you think is the most important.
00:14:35.380 the process going forward, particularly taking on these blue states? Because let's be honest,
00:14:40.260 we're talking about New York, California, Illinois, Massachusetts, the hardest core of the
00:14:44.560 hardcore, correct? Yeah. Yeah. So 28 states, Steve, have already said they're not going to
00:14:49.900 follow federal recommendations. So these new recommendations are not immediately going to
00:14:54.140 affect those 28 states, which is why I say what really is the hammer here is the president's
00:14:59.800 willingness to say, I'm going to use funding to go after states that don't comply with
00:15:05.660 constitutional requirements. So in New York State, where I am, medical and religious exemptions are
00:15:11.620 denied every day. They are putting children's lives at risk, children in our lawsuit against
00:15:17.000 the American Academy of Pediatrics. We have a child in New York State that died after her well
00:15:22.480 baby visit. She died fortunately in the hospital, so they didn't go after the parents, which they
00:15:27.180 otherwise would have done. We have a vaccine schedule that doesn't work. And separating the
00:15:33.460 shots is just common sense. Evaluating the schedule just makes common sense. Reducing the
00:15:38.260 schedule for most people just makes common sense. If anybody wants to go out and hyper-vaccinate
00:15:44.000 their child, they can do that. Nobody is stopping that. But what this changes is it changes the
00:15:50.620 zeitgeist deep it changes the landscape it changes the dialogue and i pray the attorney general is
00:15:57.840 going to go after new york and california and we children's health defense have teed up lawsuits
00:16:02.780 very extensive lawsuits against new york for the deprivation of religious and medical exemption
00:16:08.140 rights which every child has to have is it is it the reason is the primary reason they don't want
00:16:17.160 of breaking up and break up to three individuals is that they realize if if children's health
00:16:23.240 defense and bobby kenny the maha movement uh in back of president trump if we in this process
00:16:29.120 get anything that actually touches the way that they do things today that they realize that that
00:16:34.380 could lead to many more changes structural changes so that's why everything's sacrosanct
00:16:38.880 and the conspiracy theorists can't touch anything well remember why why are they so insistent on the
00:16:46.440 MMR altogether. This is because Dr. Andy Wakefield back in the UK over 25 years ago said break them
00:16:54.160 up. He said the evidence really strongly suggests that there are gastrointestinal issues from these
00:16:59.920 MMR and it's associated with autism and we should look at it. And parents were going way out of
00:17:05.700 their way, Steve, to break them up. And guess what? Those parents had less injuries in their kids than
00:17:11.340 the kids who got them all together. And so literally Merck, who has a patent on this triple
00:17:16.420 jab formula, they double down with the collusion of the U.S. government to make it be the only one
00:17:23.360 that's available. This was a money play. But I think even more importantly, it's a liability
00:17:28.180 play. Listen, Steve, when the truth comes out and it's obvious that we the world have been poisoning
00:17:34.460 children for decades through the vaccine program, there are going to be, you know, millions, if not
00:17:41.140 billions of irate parents and pharma and their proxies know that, and they are trembling in
00:17:48.880 their boots for when that day is going to arrive. It hasn't arrived fully, but I'll tell you the
00:17:52.620 Fauci diaries have definitely helped this process along. Talk to me about that. Let's finish with
00:17:59.480 Fauci because I'm like saying, how can we not be moving rapidly for prosecutions here? And there
00:18:07.860 is, people should understand, there is definitely pushback from people going, oh, did we want
00:18:12.160 to go there?
00:18:12.700 Now at the state level, particularly down the free state of Florida, hey, they're hell
00:18:17.020 bet for a letter on this.
00:18:19.020 But when you see what you just saw on that tape of him saying they're lying to women
00:18:23.420 and enticing women to do this, what's your thoughts about the prosecution of Anthony
00:18:29.100 Fauci?
00:18:29.520 We just can't let it lie there, correct?
00:18:31.400 No, I'm all in.
00:18:32.900 You can't let it lie there.
00:18:33.780 I mean, President Trump has said he's not going to go after the auto pen.
00:18:36.540 he said he hasn't connected with, you know, the AG about prosecution of Fauci. I think we are
00:18:40.900 looking to the state, Steve. And I think Florida has said that they're looking into it. Louisiana
00:18:46.560 has said they're looking into it. There's a third state. I'm forgetting for the moment. Texas has
00:18:50.520 said they're looking into it. Louisiana to me is particularly interesting because Dr. Fauci was
00:18:55.900 under oath and he gave testimony. He was, you know, he was subpoenaed in the Missouri v. Biden
00:19:02.960 case. So I do think there may be opportunities for states. Look, for a state to prosecute,
00:19:10.020 they have to show that he had some engagement in that forum. Well, I think he did have
00:19:14.920 direct, he was in Louisiana and he lied under, it was a federal oath, but he lied under oath
00:19:21.300 about everything about COVID. And in his own words, we now see that he lied about everything,
00:19:26.860 natural immunity, miscarriages in pregnancy, transmission, the wet markets, zoonotic origin.
00:19:34.600 I mean, we knew that he had lied before this, Steve, but in his own words, he's telling us
00:19:39.300 that he lied. And the hubris of these people who think that they're never going to have to answer
00:19:44.040 for it, that nobody's ever going to find out. I mean, really, kudos to Bobby Kennedy, kudos to
00:19:49.040 Ron Johnson, kudos to Rand Paul, that they got this evidence, whatever they are, these posts,
00:19:57.560 these diaries from Fauci, so that he can prove himself a liar in his own words. I mean, we have
00:20:04.020 to be incredibly grateful. And of course, Mika and Joe should be saying, oh my God, they lied to us
00:20:11.220 about everything in COVID. But instead, they're doing the same old, same old, which is why I think
00:20:16.620 nobody's really listening to them anymore, nor should they.
00:20:20.860 Can we play it? Can I just play the clip of Mika? We'll end on this and I would like your
00:20:25.160 observations. We're going to play it. All right. Big news yesterday. President Trump
00:20:30.120 signed an executive order seeking to reshape vaccine recommendations for children.
00:20:36.740 On the current schedule, children are vaccinated against 18 diseases, but Trump's plan
00:20:42.300 would only vaccinate against 11. His order also calls for the MMR vaccine for measles, mumps,
00:20:49.740 rubella to be separated into three different single shots. It's currently given in one dose
00:20:57.400 and there is no credible evidence that separating them provides a safety advantage.
00:21:03.520 Not one study. The president also made a dangerous and false claim yesterday about the MMR vaccine.
00:21:12.300 why are they so help me out here why do they get so worked up don't they see what the real
00:21:19.420 evidence out there i mean she just spitting she's a spitting fire so that's just vintage
00:21:25.980 trump derangement syndrome and why it's so dangerous is it's not you know it's fine if
00:21:31.600 she wants to feel that way but what's so dangerous is uh you know that that people like
00:21:36.760 women took tylenol from trump derangement syndrome you know when they were pregnant
00:21:41.500 because Trump said that it could be a problem and it could be associated with autism.
00:21:46.160 I mean, it's, you know, I think the truth is going to be told, Steve.
00:21:50.260 And one of the other things that was really encouraging about that press conference yesterday
00:21:53.640 was really, I think, not only a huge vote of confidence in Bobby Kennedy from President
00:21:59.180 Trump, but also clearly this very purposeful statement by both of them.
00:22:03.860 This is what we're going to do for the next two years.
00:22:05.780 We are staying the course.
00:22:07.140 We are going to really look at all of the science.
00:22:09.980 And what they've done so far is absolutely in alignment with the most developed peer countries around vaccines.
00:22:16.340 And I just, on behalf of everyone at Children's Health Defense and all of the people that support the work we do, I can't begin to say how grateful I am both to the president and to Bobby Kennedy for this.
00:22:28.480 It's also why I tell people, people have a lot of policy stuff like this, but this is why the midterms are so important.
00:22:33.980 you don't think a uh democratic house beholden to big pharma is going to come in and try to tear
00:22:40.820 and shred this this is i tell people yes i have huge disagreements some of the things are going
00:22:45.640 on it's also not the point the point is we've got to be very focused because you're not going to see
00:22:51.220 that if uh if jamie raskin's in charge and that's who will be in charge mary amazing work yes go
00:22:58.520 last one comment because i just was talking to somebody about this you know what if the house
00:23:02.780 goes democratic and they want to rake bobby kennedy over the coals he will hold court and he
00:23:08.140 will put those people in their place and he will say cite me the study i'm going to give you the
00:23:12.380 five studies that prove what i'm saying bobby kennedy knows how to speak effectively and if
00:23:17.480 they haul him in they will be sorry for that day so i'm not as worried as i have been in the past
00:23:23.360 that if the house goes democratic bobby kennedy can hold his own against those democratic pharma
00:23:28.600 funded you know uh representative oh i agree i think it'd be great i've great great theater i'd
00:23:34.660 love to have the rights i'm just talking about cutting budgets cutting all of it because they're
00:23:38.100 coming they're coming far more than just inquiry and bringing before congressional testimony bobby
00:23:43.480 kennedy they would be i think very intimidated by taking bobby kennedy on he's that good but there's
00:23:49.400 so much else they could do anyway we'll discuss it late mary where do people go to find out
00:23:54.020 everything about this to immerse themselves in all the information, ma'am.
00:23:57.780 Thank you.
00:23:59.500 Childrenshealthdefense.org.
00:24:01.660 Childrenshealthdefense.org on X at Children's HD.
00:24:05.440 Please come and visit us.
00:24:06.720 We've got a lot of great stuff.
00:24:10.200 Thank you, ma'am.
00:24:11.060 Appreciate you.
00:24:12.380 Thanks, Steve.
00:24:14.880 Ed Dowd.
00:24:16.280 Can we put up the lead piece and we've got other things?
00:24:18.460 Ed Dowd.
00:24:19.000 When I see an Ed Dowd piece, and it's blown up in my face, and the big, bold thing is U.S. disabilities hit an all-time high of $37 million in July, UP up 23% since February of 2021.
00:24:36.340 Let me repeat that.
00:24:37.080 U.S. disabilities hit an all-time high of $37 million in July, up 23% since February of 2021.
00:24:47.200 Sir, the headline itself scares me to death, but it's actually the analysis you do beneath it that's even scarier.
00:24:54.520 What's going on, Ed?
00:24:56.860 Well, this is, you know, when I first started coming on The War Room, I used to talk about this a lot.
00:25:02.640 In February of 2021, U.S. disabilities inflected and did a trend change of three to four standard deviations.
00:25:10.720 And, you know, us stock guys in the capital markets, you know, pay attention to those kind of signals.
00:25:15.760 So we were looking at that trend change, and then we were shocked as it continued to rise and didn't mean revert over time.
00:25:23.580 And during the height of the COVID days, it got up to about 3 million during September 22.
00:25:29.220 Then it kind of plateaued, and then it's been slowly grinding higher, up to 37 million.
00:25:34.340 So we've added 7 million to the disabled list.
00:25:37.460 It was plateauing at around 30 million for five years prior to COVID.
00:25:40.880 And in 2020, it did not inflect.
00:25:43.100 So I don't think it had anything to do with COVID.
00:25:45.760 And my thesis has been and always has been it's been due to the vaccine.
00:25:50.080 And this is what's most alarming about it is no mean reversion, no plateauing.
00:25:55.360 It just keeps grinding higher like a growth stock chart.
00:25:58.160 And that's that's the most alarming part about this.
00:26:00.100 And no one seems really interested in investigating this time series.
00:26:04.260 I mean, this is this is a time series that is not linked to a Social Security claim.
00:26:10.380 It's not linked to any payments.
00:26:13.180 it's just a survey statistically done answer yes to any of once of six questions they mark you down 0.79
00:26:19.900 or a family member is disabled it's not due to illegal immigrants because this started inflecting
00:26:24.860 well before the wave came in this is biden's first couple months uh and even even then illegal aliens 0.66
00:26:31.820 avoid these surveys like the plague they don't trust government uh folks and then third people
00:26:37.660 blame demographics demographics are part of this but not this kind of slope and this kind of fast
00:26:42.780 page demographics don't move this fast so there's something that's gone terribly wrong
00:26:49.100 okay we're going to get into that ed dow joins us from hawaii we're also going to go to the
00:26:55.580 free state of florida and talk to someone running for governor all next in the war room
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00:33:08.720 So Ed Dowd, go,
00:33:10.480 I want to go back through this because this is such an extraordinary jump.
00:33:13.840 And like you said, if you take everything else out,
00:33:15.900 kind of sitting in front of you is the vaccines. So, or the vaccine,
00:33:21.100 walk us through it one more time, 0.99
00:33:22.360 because this is kind of jaw dropping the increase in disabilities.
00:33:26.200 And this is only going to impact, you know, liability.
00:33:29.560 and cost of government and people out of the workforce, all of it serves.
00:33:34.480 So walk us through it one more time.
00:33:37.080 Yeah, so in a time series like this, you know, there's demographics involved,
00:33:41.960 immigration, what have you, but it doesn't move fast or too fast.
00:33:46.780 If the population is getting healthier, it slowly improves.
00:33:51.640 If it's getting less healthier, it slowly gets worse.
00:33:55.400 You can see what happened in February of 2021 was what we call a trend change
00:34:01.060 and to the tune of three to four standard deviations.
00:34:04.980 And so something happened temporally in that time, and let's call it the vaccine,
00:34:10.420 it's called an exogenous event, and then it inflected the growth curve of the disability rate,
00:34:16.360 and we were up 23% in six years.
00:34:19.720 And, you know, this is something that I think is the most powerful evidence.
00:34:22.880 It's the government's own data.
00:34:25.580 We're not, you know, manipulating the data.
00:34:27.480 This is their data.
00:34:28.960 And, you know, we just analyze it.
00:34:31.160 And this is stunning.
00:34:32.660 We've added 7 million people in six years.
00:34:35.800 And again, this is not tied to a claim.
00:34:40.280 It's not due to illegal aliens or the aging demographics.
00:34:43.420 It's too fast and too sharp for that to explain what's going on here.
00:34:50.620 Where do you anticipate?
00:34:51.680 Was a jump this big, where do you anticipate seeing this manifested in other, in insurance company reports, in profits, in margins, on government, people asking for Social Security benefits, disability?
00:35:07.300 Where else do you think this will manifest, will it impact either somebody that owns a stock in a company or a bondholder or somebody that's paying their taxes and wants their money, husband and used, they want the government to be good stewards of this?
00:35:21.680 Where do you eventually expect to see this manifested?
00:35:25.700 In the early days, it started affecting the disability losses in insurance companies.
00:35:30.820 So they did what they did with group life losses.
00:35:33.120 They raised prices to paper it over.
00:35:35.580 So people's insurance is going up and health care insurance is going up. 0.99
00:35:40.720 And so there's inflation there because of the demand from these people that are disabled. 0.60
00:35:46.480 It does put a burden on the Social Security disability.
00:35:49.560 But that, you know, that that depends on how fast the claims are processed and whether they get processed.
00:35:55.860 It does impact employers because there's less people in the workforce.
00:36:00.160 It also probably adds to the absentee rate as people have to take care of individuals in their home that are disabled and less productivity overall in the economy.
00:36:09.720 It has tremendous bleed through effects that only make us as a nation weaker, not stronger.
00:36:15.460 ed you've got a sub stack up i want everybody to go through this you got tons of charts it's very
00:36:23.580 well laid out i anticipate we'll see this in something like zero hedge and others places
00:36:29.160 quickly i want to give the war room a heads up on this this is why and by the way thanks for
00:36:33.120 changing your schedule to join us this afternoon out in from hawaii uh where do people go to get
00:36:38.120 your sub stack where they get your social media uh you're on a roll as usual and what i love about
00:36:44.220 you as you back it up with mathematics sir yeah thank you steve uh my sub stack is ed dad beyond
00:36:51.340 the narrative i started it about a month ago uh subscribe and join the community uh also you can
00:36:57.020 find our economic research at financetechnologies.com uh where we sell economic research and
00:37:03.100 it's start it's a ph instead of an f and i'm on x at doubt edward and getter at edward doud
00:37:09.480 is it because you live in one of the most beautiful places in the world that you you you like
00:37:16.980 spreading uh the specter of of the mathematics that makes the rest of us scared uh it has to
00:37:24.020 be some sort of correlation i maybe i'll talk to you later and you're such a nice guy we meet ed
00:37:27.900 in real life he's one of the nicest guys in the world so the the analysis is always frightening
00:37:33.660 but uh but it's delivered from a good place so ed thank you so much for joining us today
00:37:38.880 appreciate you thank you steve take care okay if mo and grace and jojo and elizabeth everybody
00:37:45.960 let's push this out we're on posse be a force multi-plan that's drilled down on it don't be
00:37:50.760 afraid of math okay in our continuing series of talking to people that aspire to win the republican
00:37:56.960 nomination to be the governor of the free state of florida pretty big shoes to step into for
00:38:02.580 governor de santis rachel rodriguez joins us play her spot we're going to bring rachel on
00:38:07.140 I'm Rachel Rodriguez. I'm a mom, I'm an attorney, and I'm a Floridian. I've been here for about 12
00:38:14.760 years, and for the last five, I've fought for the rights of Floridians in the COVID era. Here in
00:38:20.560 Florida, we've done an excellent job at so many things. It's a wonderful state to live in, and I'm
00:38:26.740 proud to raise my family here. But there are a few things I think we still need to build on,
00:38:31.160 and as your governor, I want to address those. I call them the five R's. First, we need to 1.00
00:38:37.020 fully restore medical freedom.
00:38:39.420 While we did a lot to protect Floridians
00:38:41.340 during the COVID era,
00:38:42.960 there still needs to be accountability
00:38:44.680 for much of what went wrong.
00:38:46.720 We need to reclaim parental rights.
00:38:48.900 Even here in Florida,
00:38:50.520 we still need to understand fundamentally
00:38:53.480 that God gives parents the rights of their children
00:38:56.240 with the attendant responsibilities.
00:38:58.620 That needs to be sacrosanct in this state. 0.76
00:39:01.200 No mandates against your children
00:39:03.040 and you direct the education and upbringing of your children.
00:39:06.320 That is a God-given right.
00:39:08.140 We need to relieve working families. 1.00
00:39:10.160 It's very expensive to raise a family, 1.00
00:39:12.260 and Florida's no exception.
00:39:13.560 Many of us are caring for our parents,
00:39:16.240 and we also wanna build something for retirement
00:39:18.200 for ourselves and our children.
00:39:19.440 That should be paramount here in Florida. 0.59
00:39:21.480 We need to reform the courts.
00:39:23.420 Something that I've seen is the great need
00:39:25.920 for transparency and accountability
00:39:28.200 for all of our officials, including those on the bench.
00:39:31.980 This is necessary for the protection of rights
00:39:34.200 for all Floridians.
00:39:35.660 And finally, we need to reserve the land.
00:39:38.660 Florida is unique in its natural resources,
00:39:42.120 its beauty, the beaches, the Everglades.
00:39:44.780 All of these are precious and as your governor,
00:39:46.720 I would protect them and also improve food sovereignty
00:39:51.260 and security with sustainable economic growth.
00:39:54.360 I would be honored if you would allow me
00:39:56.220 to continue serving this great state of Florida
00:39:58.780 for the next four years as Florida's next governor.
00:40:02.200 I hope I can count on your vote in August.
00:40:05.660 rachel rodriguez joins us rachel one of the reasons i think uh i i just think that is a model
00:40:14.880 that i would recommend every candidate take what you did there in a couple of minutes
00:40:19.260 and and and use it for whatever the race is you look right in the camera you talk a little bit
00:40:25.220 about your experience and then you go bang i'm gonna do bang bang bang bang bang so there's no
00:40:29.660 doubt what your focus is the first question we ask everybody that comes on here is that look
00:40:35.180 Florida is so beloved by people that have been there for generations.
00:40:38.360 We call it the old Florida.
00:40:39.740 And of course, you've got Wall Street moving to South Florida.
00:40:42.120 You've got data centers.
00:40:42.940 You've got big tech bros.
00:40:43.760 You've got all of it.
00:40:45.080 How do you, as Governor Rodriguez, going to make sure you've got economic growth, but
00:40:51.000 that you keep the Florida that Floridians love, particularly when you have this massive 0.92
00:40:56.820 kind of invasion coming from the North, ma'am? 0.95
00:41:01.880 I love that question.
00:41:02.920 Thank you very much for having me.
00:41:05.740 Well, certainly we need to have the people of Florida govern.
00:41:09.600 We are a self-governing nation and Florida is no exception.
00:41:12.720 And in fact, Florida as a state leads the nation.
00:41:15.380 So I have been very honored to go around the state on this campaign, having a chance to
00:41:21.920 see how brilliant the people of Florida are.
00:41:25.060 They know so much about their area, what they're doing, their communities.
00:41:28.900 we are very involved at the local levels. And of course, this is a primary. So I'm looking at a lot
00:41:35.480 of the Republicans, but I've had events that are bipartisan. And we have a lot of grassroots on
00:41:41.100 all fronts, all parties. We even have a new party. And I'm very pleased to say that I'm
00:41:46.840 now their preferred candidate for governor of the America First Party of Florida. So this has to
00:41:52.740 continue. And the government from the state down has to get out of the way of the people.
00:41:58.840 That is how we keep Florida both free and I hope flourishing.
00:42:05.400 Let's talk about the medical freedom. I mean, Governor DeSantis, we just had, as you know,
00:42:09.520 and I thought it'd be a perfect day for you, Mary Holland and then Ed Dowd and then Rachel
00:42:13.520 Rodriguez. And we talked about, look, there's, we're adamant that Fauci's got to be prosecuted,
00:42:20.440 But there is pushback in Washington, D.C., and this is where it looks like DeSantis again in the free state of Florida and Dr. Latipo and others are taking the lead.
00:42:30.240 What is it? What more needs to be done?
00:42:33.200 I mean, and I was the biggest voice against DeSantis running against President Trump, but I really think he's done a very good job as governor.
00:42:41.040 What else needs to be done? And under the Rodriguez administration, what are you going to do to really ensure medical freedom or the way you define it, ma'am?
00:42:50.440 Well, one thing is we're already doing that. For the last five years, I've been fighting against mandates. In fact, I would dare say that leadership has been following the lead of the people, the grassroots of which I was a part.
00:43:04.140 and we sued in Orange County. I represented ultimately with 75 firefighters of the Orange
00:43:10.740 County Department against the mandate that was coming in. At the same time, I and another
00:43:17.140 colleague were suing Orange County and Brevard County against mandates. There were several,
00:43:22.660 there were about 11 counties that were going against the law at that time. And the state of
00:43:27.820 Florida, this was then AG Ashley Moody, came into our case, the firefighter case, and said to the
00:43:34.640 court, we agree with the plaintiffs. This mandate is against the law in Florida. At that time,
00:43:40.560 there was a prohibition of having to, quote, show papers of your vaccine status to enter public
00:43:45.720 property. But it was not until November, and this was after we filed in September, and my clients
00:43:52.660 We're going around the state with Governor DeSantis at the press conferences to to increase the political pressure, which is, of course, political cover to ensure that the legislature in the special session in November of 2021 would indeed pass a much stronger law against mandates, both for vaccines and and masking.
00:44:15.460 And so that's what we that's what we've been doing. And it was a fight, Steve.
00:44:20.000 It really was a fight. This was not something that happened overnight in Florida. And I want people to hear that, that the people can rise up. And when we act, our leaders will hear us. I really applaud Ron DeSantis for having done that and the legislature for understanding what needed to be done in Florida so Florida could lead the way.
00:44:36.360 But another thing that my team has done that is not being done elsewhere is we have started as of 2021, and then in 2022, we built this, I'll call it a petition, requesting investigation, criminal investigation and prosecution, not just of Fauci, but of the entire COVID criminal enterprise.
00:44:58.580 As we took a slice of that, which was the hospital protocols, we now understand that
00:45:03.800 the PrEP Act, countermeasures, as they call them, paid for by the CARES Act, just sent
00:45:10.140 a lot of money in for injury and death to people in Florida and all over the nation.
00:45:15.740 And so what my team did with the virus law group is we put together the evidence that
00:45:20.380 was publicly available, and we looked at each state's going state to state.
00:45:25.760 We started with Florida.
00:45:26.640 we looked at the state criminal code and said this is what we believe has been violated, crimes that
00:45:32.360 have occurred against the Floridian people by the hospital administrators and those who are pushing
00:45:37.580 these protocols. And the first petition that we officially submitted was to A.G. Moody in 2023.
00:45:43.500 And again, we sent that to A.G. Uthmeyer. And just recently, as you know, he has announced
00:45:49.560 investigation. After that, we've been longing to see this for four years. Right after that,
00:45:55.640 then Louisiana entered, Alabama, Oklahoma, and now I hear West Virginia has sent a subpoena.
00:46:02.360 Now, Steve, out of those five states, three of them have received the various law groups petition
00:46:07.620 to investigate and prosecute Anthony Fauci and others in the last four years. So I'm very pleased
00:46:14.440 about that. And that's my record of leadership and service, an understanding of what the existential
00:46:19.580 threats are. I believe that's what an executive should be doing. The executive should understand
00:46:25.180 the threats that are coming to her people within her jurisdiction, both from within and without,
00:46:31.120 and enforce the law in such a way as to ensure the safety and security of the people of Florida.
00:46:37.940 Rachel, you've got, and I ask this as Fishback, so you've got Donald has been a congressman,
00:46:42.900 I think he was also in the House in Florida. You've got the lieutenant governor, Collins
00:46:47.740 Runner. You've got Runner, former Speaker of the House. Fishback is kind of a fire-breathing
00:46:51.600 populist. You're a grassroots leader, and particularly you've done so much with this
00:46:55.800 law group. The executive experience, just walk the audience through. Tallahassee is a very tough
00:47:01.960 place. A lot of vested interests, and Florida, with its growth, has been tremendous economic
00:47:07.080 benefits to lobbyists and all that. Walk us through how you as governor
00:47:11.560 are going to essentially bang heads in Tallahassee and get your program through.
00:47:15.900 well that's i think that's pretty easy to say because as a 20-year litigator i've been banging
00:47:23.220 heads with anybody who's on the wrong side of the law um and and who's violating the rights of my
00:47:30.000 clients in the last few years just just the last five years i've sued disney all the way to the
00:47:35.520 supreme court of the united states um for their mandates um i sued morgan and morgan i'm sure
00:47:40.880 you're familiar with their law firm all around the country. John Morgan is based here. He also
00:47:46.200 imposed a mandate. I sued the Washington Nationals, the Major League Baseball team.
00:47:52.060 I have gone head to head with the Republican Party of Florida, believe it or not, because they were
00:47:57.100 kicking people out using the grievance proceedings of the party to kick out their most active
00:48:03.240 members. This is not what a political party should be doing. And we actually wanted a motion to
00:48:09.580 dismiss until they hired the president, now president of the Florida bar and double the
00:48:15.620 lawyers to, I guess, give a wink, wink, nudge, nudge to the judge. But this is the kind of thing
00:48:21.120 I've done. But I also know that you have to be able to negotiate. You need to be able to compromise.
00:48:29.040 You need to be able to identify what cannot be compromised and what can be compromised and come
00:48:35.220 to the table, you also need to be able to persuade people. You need to persuade both the people who
00:48:40.560 are putting the representatives in the legislature, but you also need to be able to speak with those
00:48:46.480 in the legislature and say, this is what really needs to be done. And I think that it's going to
00:48:50.660 take a strong backbone, but I believe that I've already demonstrated that I have that.
00:48:57.940 Rachel, you talk at the end of your fifth of your five R's, you talk about the land of Florida,
00:49:02.100 the beauty of the land and wanting to keep it. 1.00
00:49:04.700 This situation with the broligarchs and data centers,
00:49:08.000 what is the Rodriguez position on that?
00:49:12.180 Well, it's very interesting because the law has recently been passed
00:49:16.440 and now enforced as of the beginning of last month
00:49:19.340 that closes a lot of the loopholes where we saw the developers
00:49:23.320 running roughshod over the people in Florida
00:49:26.420 and a lot of bait and switch, the non-disclosure agreements
00:49:30.640 where the local governments could not show to the people at the commission's meetings
00:49:37.460 what was actually going on, what would really go in there.
00:49:40.180 Very close to me down, I'm in West Palm Beach,
00:49:42.560 and very close here is what's called Project Tango in Loxahatchery.
00:49:46.560 That's going to be one of these hyperscale data centers.
00:49:48.740 That's what's intended.
00:49:50.400 And in fact, that has been in the works for 10 years, Steve.
00:49:54.720 So what was in place to go in there as a warehouse is not at all a hyperscale data center today.
00:50:02.900 So there's a lot of bait and switch.
00:50:04.600 So one of the first things I need to do as a governor, and this is the role, is to enforce the law as it stands.
00:50:10.760 You know, the developers cannot play the games that they've been playing to get around the requirements in the law.
00:50:18.060 And we also need to make sure that every term in these contracts is very, very clear for what's already been signed.
00:50:23.420 I do believe that a moratorium on further signed agreements for data centers would be smart.
00:50:30.100 And in large part, Steve, that's because I see this as a gold rush.
00:50:34.700 You don't want it.
00:50:35.460 I absolutely do not want to have Florida be the hills where everybody's going, raping and pillaging the gold because everybody wants their peace.
00:50:44.080 I want to see Florida as the guy at the bottom of the hill selling the pickaxes, measuring the gold at the end and not getting the short end of the stick.
00:50:52.040 so you know in my view when you're looking at these things are they even what's that
00:50:57.040 no no we just we got to bounce we got a heart out it's a great answer where do people go
00:51:03.760 to find more about the five r's where they go what's your social media they want to see it
00:51:08.820 an event we want to make sure that you we can focus everybody to go and find out more about
00:51:13.420 rachel rodriguez and her run for the republican nomination for governor of the free state of
00:51:18.180 florida thank you it's www.rachelforgov that's r-a-c-h-e-l-f-o-r-g-o-v.com and all of the
00:51:28.540 social media handles are the same rachelforgov i really look forward to the audience and again
00:51:34.880 thank you i know the worm posse loves you by the way the uh i love that spot very straightforward
00:51:43.400 I wish more politicians did that.
00:51:45.460 Just look right in the camera and say, hey, I got five things.
00:51:48.480 Bang, bang, bang.
00:51:49.200 Here's what we're going to do.
00:51:50.280 Thank you for taking time today to join us, ma'am.
00:51:53.920 Thank you.
00:51:54.560 I appreciate it.
00:51:55.800 Big event next Tuesday in Florida.
00:51:59.400 It's primary day.
00:52:01.680 Primary day also, I think, Wisconsin, Minnesota, others.
00:52:05.020 The show's going to be on fire tomorrow.
00:52:06.560 Join us at 10 a.m. Eastern Daylight Time.
00:52:09.400 Tomorrow morning, be back in the war room.
00:52:11.620 Buckle up.
00:52:13.060 We're already packed, but I'm sure things are going to have open night.
00:52:16.100 It's even more packed.
00:52:17.500 I want to thank our sponsor, Birch Gold.
00:52:18.920 Take your phone in and text Bannon, B-A-N-N-O-N, at 989898.
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00:52:31.780 We'll see you tomorrow morning back here at 10.
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