Human Events Daily with Jack Posobiec - August 31, 2026


WINNING BACK YOUNG TRUMP VOTERS FOR MIDTERMS; What The Lindsay Clancy Trial Says About Crumbling Society


Episode Stats


Length

49 minutes

Words per minute

168.62

Word count

8,274

Sentence count

399

Harmful content

Misogyny

23

sentences flagged

Toxicity

9

sentences flagged

Hate speech

13

sentences flagged


Transcript

Transcript generated with Whisper (turbo).
Misogyny classifications generated with MilaNLProc/bert-base-uncased-ear-misogyny .
Toxicity classifications generated with s-nlp/roberta_toxicity_classifier .
Hate speech classifications generated with facebook/roberta-hate-speech-dynabench-r4-target .
00:00:00.000 Hey guys, it's Jack. I wanted to let you know that we're starting a new push for subscriptions here on Human Events Daily.
00:00:09.340 So make sure that when you're listening to this podcast, you hit subscribe, you download it, and you share it with five of your friends.
00:00:16.700 Make sure they're all going and downloading as well, because we need to get the signal out as much as possible.
00:00:22.440 Look, we've done so much over the past couple of years since this show started, and we're only going to do so much more.
00:00:29.360 Let's get it.
00:00:33.920 This is what happens when the fourth turning meets fifth generation warfare.
00:00:43.040 A commentator, international social media sensation, and former Navy intelligence veteran.
00:00:49.760 This is Human Events with your host, Jack Posobiec.
00:00:52.780 Christ is king!
00:00:54.340 The U.S. returning to its fight against Iran after a month-long break, striking Larak Island, where U.S. CENTCOM said missile launchers were preparing to deploy mines into the Strait of Hormuz. 0.72
00:01:05.340 Iran fired back, releasing these images of what it said were Iranian attacks on U.S. bases in Jordan.
00:01:10.920 As Iran's new supreme leader announced a new strategy in its war with the U.S., appealing to other Gulf nations in the region to confront their, quote, real enemy.
00:01:19.940 asking Iran's Muslim neighbors to unite in an effort to defend their shared interests. 0.52
00:01:26.140 Turkey, Pakistan, and Saudi Arabia soon to make good on that ask from Iran
00:01:31.420 with their first trilateral defense meeting scheduled for today.
00:01:35.320 President Trump making a deal with Venezuela that he says will bring down gas prices for millions of Americans.
00:01:41.340 Secretary of State Marco Rubio writing about it on X saying this deal is a huge win for both the American and Venezuelan people.
00:01:48.720 It demonstrates how President Trump's bold foreign policy is driving America first wind, securing stable reserves and low cost oil in our hemisphere and lowering gas prices here at home.
00:01:59.540 For the Venezuelan people, this deal will bring nearly 100 billion dollars in private investment, support thousands of high paying jobs and drive the reconstruction of Venezuela's economy.
00:02:09.860 Jurors return tomorrow for day three of deliberations in the Lindsay Clancy murder trial as they decide whether she is criminally responsible for strangling her three young children.
00:02:22.160 Before pausing Friday, the jury asked to examine Clancy's prescription bottles and the knife from her suicide attempt.
00:02:28.540 The prosecution laid out a compelling timeline of Clancy's actions leading up to the murder, walking the jury through how she planned to get her husband out of the house before those killings.
00:02:37.640 ladies and gentlemen welcome on board today's edition of human events daily we're here live
00:02:44.420 on real america's voice today is august 31st 2026 ano dominate ladies and gentlemen the hour
00:02:53.680 is later than you think the hour is later than you think what do i mean by that well let's go
00:03:00.980 and look at the lindsey clancy trial where we know jurors are set for deliberations are conducting
00:03:08.820 deliberations they're on double digits at this point i believe they crossed the 10-hour mark
00:03:13.940 today is day three but there was a report that came out from in the courtroom the people are
00:03:22.060 saying it's made up people are saying they don't believe it well i believe it because someone's in
00:03:25.800 the courtroom. This is from Justice Serve TV. It says, at 9.15 a.m. up there in Plymouth,
00:03:32.060 Massachusetts, Judge Sullivan takes his seat. Jury in Dapper Dan, alternate, still in his tie.
00:03:38.000 Handsome woman, has on pink jean shorts, and juror in front row far left, white woman 40-ish,
00:03:46.500 is wearing a pink sweater. Now look, I'm not going to say that we know for sure
00:03:53.460 that because there are jurors wearing pink that that means they're directly tied to the
00:03:59.800 lindsey clancy movement but we saw that very same movement where lindsey clancy's attorney 1.00
00:04:07.080 was just hailed as a feminist icon uh libby emmons and the team over at the post-millennial
00:04:15.680 have the story where he was hailed as a feminist icon outside of the courthouse just earlier
00:04:23.620 today, just moments ago when he walked out.
00:04:27.460 And so when we look at all of these things, when we look at it, wait, guys, do we have
00:04:33.340 audio on this clip?
00:04:34.020 Do we have audio or just have the video?
00:04:41.020 No, I don't want to play the full thing.
00:04:42.820 I just want to hear that one clip.
00:04:43.920 maybe we'll play it when we get back to a little bit
00:04:46.000 we'll shorten it down a little bit
00:04:47.080 but they've got a long interview 1.00
00:04:49.820 where these women are cheering him 0.83
00:04:51.280 and you can leave the video up there guys
00:04:53.540 and so I want people to see this just happened
00:04:55.880 the hours later than you think my friends 1.00
00:04:59.420 the women in pink are swarming him 0.99
00:05:03.080 cheering him on 0.85
00:05:04.920 it's metastasized from TikTok
00:05:08.100 to the real world
00:05:09.660 it sounds kind of boomer when I say it 0.57
00:05:11.300 but it's just true
00:05:11.960 it's just true
00:05:13.240 that we can now see this is fifth generation warfare so what's the difference between fourth
00:05:18.780 and fifth generation fourth generation warfare is information warfare only fifth generation
00:05:23.720 is when it spills out from the online sphere into reality so what would you see you would see
00:05:30.960 examples of social media influence campaigns um popping up in reality like oh i don't know
00:05:37.520 no Kings protests, or for example, assassinations springing up from online movements like the
00:05:47.680 furries or the far left, or in this case, fifth wave feminists, toxic feminists cheering and
00:05:56.300 celebrating a killer and her lawyer saying that he is a feminist icon outside of the courtroom 0.84
00:06:05.500 where a mother killed her children, her three children.
00:06:10.160 I want to be very clear about something for people.
00:06:13.060 They know that she killed the children. 1.00
00:06:17.100 The toxic feminists know that abortion kills children. 1.00
00:06:22.760 They don't care. 1.00
00:06:24.180 They have set themselves up to believe that women are the oppressed 1.00
00:06:29.100 and they, the feminists and their allies, are the liberators.
00:06:35.500 That's why they refer to it as women's liberation, right? 1.00
00:06:38.840 These are communist tactics. 0.96
00:06:41.100 We talk about these tactics in unhuman socialist revolution
00:06:44.160 because you need to understand them
00:06:46.520 because they are coming for you.
00:06:48.380 They are coming for your family.
00:06:50.000 They may be coming for your children.
00:06:52.680 They may be coming for your very way of life itself. 0.82
00:06:56.740 And they are certainly coming for this country.
00:07:00.200 Ladies and gentlemen, the hour is later than you think. 1.00
00:07:03.420 the unhumans are at the door.
00:07:06.760 Jack Posobiec will be right back. 1.00
00:07:08.060 Human Events Daily with America's Voice.
00:07:09.500 where is jack where is he jack i want to see you
00:07:39.500 great job jack thank you what a job you do you know we have an incredible thing we're always
00:07:45.440 talking about the fake news and the bad but we have guys and these are the guys should be getting
00:07:50.400 policies all right ladies and gentlemen welcome back here human events daily folks summer is
00:07:57.720 ending but let me tell you something we've had a great summer where we celebrated america at 250
00:08:03.160 recovered events like the freedom 250 grand prix we joined festivities like the ufc at the white
00:08:08.720 house and we honored the greatest country in the world. Let me tell you something. Here's the crazy
00:08:14.140 part. 250 years later, we're still drinking whatever the government decides to put in our
00:08:19.060 water. Fluoride for your teeth, chlorine to keep it clean. That is not a choice I want someone else
00:08:24.440 making for my family. That's why I use Cove Pure to purify my water. More than 200 million Americans
00:08:30.680 are on fluoride water and the latest JAMA Pediatrics review found fluoride exposure was
00:08:35.100 associated with lower IQ scores in children, though the evidence is strongest in higher
00:08:39.600 exposure studies. In chlorine, when it reacts with organic material and water, it can create
00:08:44.200 disinfection byproducts like THMs, which regulators monitor because some are considered possible or
00:08:51.840 probable carcinogens. Some states are moving on this, but that takes time. Your family is drinking
00:08:57.120 this water today. CovePure says its system removes a wide range of contaminants, including chlorine
00:09:02.460 and microplastics. And its site says it's built to deliver cleaner, better tasting water on demand.
00:09:08.460 I love how easy Cove Pure is to use. How great the water tastes and the peace of mind it gives
00:09:12.860 me knowing I'm in control of what my family drinks. So don't wait for the government to catch
00:09:17.220 up, take back control of your water. And in honor of America's 250th, Cove Pure is giving my audience
00:09:22.420 $250 off when you use my link, C-O-V-E-P-U-R-E.com slash Poso. All right, very excited to get on our
00:09:32.340 next guest who is on here it's lyndon blake she's investigative reporter for daily wire lyndon how
00:09:39.360 are you i am good jack how are you on this monday well you know i i wish i were better i wish i were
00:09:48.200 better because we are we're looking at this circus and and unfortunately that's what the lindsey
00:09:53.580 clancy trial has turned into and it's so sad because as someone who's a dad you know as anyone
00:10:01.200 with kids looking at this would say, God forbid this were to happen in this tragedy of such
00:10:07.280 magnitude where it gets turned into the absolute insanity that we're seeing where there's now,
00:10:12.780 um, you know, and we're, we're tracking the Facebook sites. There's groups online with
00:10:17.760 over 400,000 members where people are discussing and sharing theories and questioning,
00:10:26.160 could the father have done it and maybe it was a setup and how's lindsey actually clear uh you know
00:10:33.420 uh not culpable for any of this guys do we have the uh do we have the um the clip from this
00:10:38.840 morning i know we're gonna i know we're gonna pull it down a little bit do we have that
00:10:41.480 we're gonna we're gonna listen to this and listen to this clip folks from just this morning outside 1.00
00:10:47.340 the courthouse how do you feel about being labeled a feminist icon it's kind of unusual
00:10:54.540 Well, having a man understand what happens in postpartum and our mental health and it being weaponized against us
00:11:02.960 and us being scared to lose our children if we speak out about it, it means the world to us.
00:11:09.540 Has anybody ever taken a Seroquel?
00:11:12.400 I want to know how many people have taken one because you will not believe what it does to you.
00:11:20.140 Yeah.
00:11:20.800 And I know bipolar.
00:11:22.280 My son is bipolar.
00:11:23.360 I take him to get help, and he comes out worse than he ever was.
00:11:27.900 My daughter.
00:11:29.900 Lyndon, what is going on?
00:11:33.300 Okay, Jack, first off, this is annoying to me.
00:11:36.580 You have the journalists there, some of them actually competent journalists, covering this case,
00:11:41.200 and they're being mixed in with the cuckoos that have driven across the country to come kiss Reddington on the cheek and support Lindsay.
00:11:48.320 We've got to separate these two because they're getting too much airtime.
00:11:50.880 But you know what? Maybe it's a good thing they're getting airtime because you see how people are thinking right now and they're thinking absolutely insane.
00:11:58.740 I am talking about on Friday. I heard someone that drove from Indiana.
00:12:03.140 There's another woman that drove from California. They are fawning over Kevin Reddington. 1.00
00:12:07.160 They're asking if they can kiss him on his shoulder. And he said it is unusual because his job is a criminal defense attorney.
00:12:14.060 He's done this for decades in his mid 70s. And I'm sure he has never seen the fanfare that is happening right now.
00:12:20.880 And the fanfare is disgusting because what you're supporting is someone that strangled one by one her three children to death.
00:12:29.000 And you can have sympathy for what she was going through and empathy for what she was going through with her intrusive thoughts, her depression, her anxiety, as some of the prosecution witnesses said, her bipolar, too.
00:12:40.140 But you should not have any empathy for this person who took exercise bands one by one around her children's throats and strangled them so hard it shrunk their necks into little cartoon necks.
00:12:53.520 It is sickening.
00:12:54.960 But this fanfare, people have got to get a grip.
00:12:58.260 People have got to get a grip on reality.
00:13:02.480 They need to get a grip.
00:13:03.840 But what I see here is something that I'm all too familiar with.
00:13:10.640 And look, it's even shocking to me to think that something as the heinous murder of three kids, two of them are babies, really, could be turned into something like this.
00:13:24.900 But I hear the same language over and over.
00:13:27.000 It's the language of we are oppressed.
00:13:30.960 our feelings are weaponized against us and you are standing up for us as a liberator now for
00:13:40.440 folks who don't understand what that might mean that to me sounds very familiar that's cultural
00:13:47.460 marxism that you're hearing because it is cultural marxism to say to say to someone that
00:13:53.220 you are not the acute or excuse me you are not the perpetrator when again we all know the legal
00:13:59.140 ramifications of this case. She has admitted to what she did. You just outlined it. So if she's
00:14:05.620 admitted that, that means she is not the victim. But of course, that's not what the cultural Marxist
00:14:10.940 says. The cultural Marxist says we have to flip around who the victim and offender are. We have
00:14:15.840 to flip that all around to make the offender the victim. And that's exactly what they've done here.
00:14:20.800 And now what these fifth wave feminists are doing is they are making it so that all women somehow 1.00
00:14:26.880 are the victims of, I'm not exactly sure who exactly society, who exactly are they referring 1.00
00:14:36.040 to as weaponizing here? Who do you think they even mean? I think this has turned into a big
00:14:42.680 attack on the healthcare system. And you have these women, let's say some of them have gone 0.97
00:14:48.340 through periods in their life where they haven't felt their best and they're trying to see their
00:14:52.760 own struggles in this lindsey clancy case is really toxic because it is not the same postpartum
00:14:58.620 depression feeling different after having a baby is not the same as his postpartum psychosis
00:15:04.560 and this postpartum psychosis is so rare these women that are saying this could have been me
00:15:11.560 no it couldn't have been that you should not want it to be you and this the videos that you're
00:15:17.260 showing right now i mean this is berserk and it's very hard to wrap your mind around as a woman
00:15:23.140 but like the prosecution said and if these people would stop making these videos where they're 0.97
00:15:28.960 making their kids a part of their puppet show if they would actually listen to the trial they
00:15:36.180 would hear the prosecution the state the commonwealth as it's called in massachusetts
00:15:41.020 say this is not about the health care system this is not about women's health we know some of that
00:15:47.460 stuff is flawed needs to be fixed this is about did Lindsay Clancy have in her mind the knowledge
00:15:55.640 to know right from wrong the capacity to understand what she was doing that day that's what this trial 1.00
00:16:03.640 is about but the women outside in pink have turned it into this circus about oh like everyone hates 1.00
00:16:10.160 women this is a war on women no it's not the trials about was this woman aware that she was 0.97
00:16:17.520 killing her children did she have intent to kill her children that day in january
00:16:24.620 well and and i want to show we have another clip guys it's uh bravo two play clip bravo two
00:16:31.160 we came from houston want you thank you i wish i wish someone would help my daughter
00:16:38.580 We want to take you out for a steak dinner, Mr. Reddy.
00:16:50.600 I had my mental health weaponized against me in family court.
00:16:57.560 I had an issue whenever my son was postpartum.
00:17:01.160 Or whenever I was postpartum, my second son was eight months old.
00:17:03.900 You hear the voice of so many moms.
00:17:06.040 I know what Kelly went through.
00:17:07.640 Sorry, Lindsay went through.
00:17:09.520 I know what she went through.
00:17:10.920 I feel like I've watched you every day and I've just been like, I wish I had no idea that representing me.
00:17:20.340 This is, this is parasocial relationships gone completely amok.
00:17:25.000 They, they're, they're imprinting on Kevin Reddington, who they watch on TV, a man they don't even know.
00:17:33.480 They've never met.
00:17:34.240 They're driving across the country.
00:17:35.600 this is like it's it's clancy mania lindon what's going on i just know kevin ruddington is going
00:17:41.400 home to his wife and being like you will not believe who i ran in today again criminal defense
00:17:48.100 attorneys they get the thankless position i've spoken to so many throughout my career and they
00:17:53.340 say they're they don't get a lot of credit they're known as the bad guys in a lot of these situations
00:17:58.020 because of the people they represent but at the end of their day the job is to make sure the law
00:18:03.120 is upheld he is not i can't even imagine having these people come up crying to him that's why
00:18:09.180 he's like i'm sorry you went through that but he knows that lindsey clancy was not just having some
00:18:17.160 postpartum depression that's not even what they're arguing which makes this whole thing ironic but
00:18:24.340 this is turned into and this is what's scary like you keep mentioning people think this is just in
00:18:29.420 the interwebs of the TikTok and some crazy people. This case has put on the map that there are a lot
00:18:38.660 of people out there that truly do not value human life. And they do not understand what it means or
00:18:50.320 even takes to take away a human life and we're talking about three in this case
00:18:59.640 you know this this needs to be unpacked we're gonna do that here we're gonna find out all of
00:19:07.220 it because folks the hour is later than you think right back human events daily real america's voice
00:19:20.320 talk about influences these are influences and uh they're friends of mine jack
00:19:36.420 all right folks jack so we're back live human events daily real america's voice folks gold
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00:20:50.340 or give them a call 844-577-7676. We're on now with Lyndon Blake. She's investigative reporter
00:20:58.480 over at Daily Wire. And Lyndon, so we're talking about Lindsey Clancy, the situation outside the
00:21:03.940 courtroom. Now I want to go inside the courtroom a little bit because we know the jury's deliberating.
00:21:07.880 We know it's day three. You know, we're kind of in that, you know, average span. We wouldn't say
00:21:13.280 this is a long jury at this point, certainly not a quick return of a guilty verdict. And I do think
00:21:19.540 that that likely has to do with the amount of medications that she was on and a lot of the
00:21:24.640 pharmaceutical intervention that went into this, as well as some of the mental health questions
00:21:28.860 that have been raised. But at the same time, you know, when when you're looking at these at these
00:21:34.660 questions, should we expect then the jury to come back and and potentially be split? Should we look
00:21:42.700 at it and think that they're, you know, potentially going to quit based on, you know, this insanity
00:21:48.100 plea. Where do you think this is going to shake out? My hot takes on this case have been a
00:21:56.380 roller coaster. And I will tell you, we were talking about during the break a little bit,
00:22:00.160 but up until the closing arguments, really the last couple of days with the prosecution's expert
00:22:05.060 witnesses during the rebuttal, I was like, she's going to get off by reason of insanity. She will
00:22:10.900 not be held criminally responsible. I have always said I do think she would be in a mental
00:22:15.780 institution for a long time because I do think Judge Sullivan understands that three lives were
00:22:21.680 lost here and she should not be able to be back in society. But that all kind of changed for me
00:22:28.300 during the closing arguments when the prosecution, who I think in a very sympathetic way, laid out
00:22:35.220 her intent. I mentioned it earlier. They started about about their closing arguments by saying
00:22:40.440 this is not a case about a referendum on women's health care or the health care system.
00:22:45.420 We can debate that all we want, but that's not what this trial is about.
00:22:48.460 The trial is about the three children, Cora, Dawson and Callan, who were strangled to death.
00:22:53.300 And if their mother knew what she was doing when she did that.
00:22:58.140 And I think the prosecution was able to lay out of the closing arguments that intent, that planning, her mapping out,
00:23:06.100 Her not telling Patrick at first, like, okay, when you go get the food, go get Miralax.
00:23:11.020 No, she waits to her right before he goes out the door and is like, oh, by the way, can you go by CVS and pick up that Miralax?
00:23:17.280 Makes it seem like she hasn't been thinking about that for the last hour.
00:23:20.300 I thought the biggest point the prosecution was able to make and the planning purposes, they laid out evidence that she strangled the three children in the basement to try to cover it up, kind of conceal what she was doing in the basement.
00:23:32.960 And then after that is when she went upstairs around 533 and called Patrick back because she was like, oh, he can't come home yet because she wasn't through with her plan. 0.74
00:23:41.680 She hadn't killed herself yet.
00:23:42.900 That was all part of her plan. 0.99
00:23:44.820 Kill the children, kill herself because she couldn't kill herself unless she killed the children is what her thinking was, according to the prosecution. 0.97
00:23:51.960 And on the flip side, I think Reddington, who showed control of the entire case, really, really just dropped the ball during closing arguments. 0.97
00:24:01.340 He held up pictures like you're seeing out there on your screen.
00:24:04.380 And he was like, how did we get here?
00:24:06.520 How did we get here?
00:24:07.540 How is this family now half of them dead?
00:24:10.400 And he was like, the medicine, the medicine.
00:24:12.580 Well, the prosecution was saying the medicine was out of her system by the time this happened.
00:24:19.020 She was in that medical facility.
00:24:21.420 She had to pass tests that said her brain was functioning normally to be able to leave earlier in January.
00:24:30.060 And then the medicine wasn't even her inner system on January 24.
00:24:34.160 So that debunks Reddington's entire closing argument, saying the medicine made her crazy, made her have this psychosis.
00:24:41.060 So my thought kind of changed heading into deliberations.
00:24:44.980 I said the prosecution really laid out a clear plan.
00:24:48.940 if i could add the the one piece towards the end that for me watching this as well is when that
00:24:54.920 i believe it was two uh psychiatrists and then an fbi profiler came up and talked about this
00:25:00.240 this you know the hearing of voices and the fact that she only heard this voice when she was
00:25:07.760 killing her children and that she never heard the voice before and she never heard it after and they
00:25:13.380 said there has never been a case of hallucinations or psychosis that has had that pattern. The
00:25:20.420 pattern is always that this is a thing that's going on for in bursts. It happens over the
00:25:25.860 period of months. It doesn't just stop all of a sudden like that. And it, you know, I came back
00:25:31.700 thinking, you know what? That sounds like something she was probably coached to say, probably coached
00:25:36.720 to say by her defense team. And it just doesn't fit with or comport with the rest of these types
00:25:43.200 to facts. And to your point as well, someone who has a psychotic break does not plan. They do
00:25:50.160 something horrible for sure. I'm not discounting that, but they don't plan. They don't have this
00:25:55.280 methodical, meticulous, planned out process, making sure that he goes to the restaurant that's far
00:26:00.140 away, making sure that he's at the CVS long enough. No, no. The planning and the voices piece,
00:26:07.000 that solidified a lot of it for me. I'm voting guilty if I'm on that jury. I really am.
00:26:11.460 Yeah. And that voice was the one hole the defense could never close because they made it that critical piece of evidence, not only because they said that was a symptom of psychosis, but they said over and over again, that is what made her act. That voice is what made her do it. And like you said, no one even heard of the voice until after the fact, until she was on the phone with Patrick and one of the psychologists overheard that phone conversation.
00:26:37.200 so yeah you look back at other psychosis cases like andrea yates back in 2001 who drowned her
00:26:43.060 children still in a mental hospital to this day she heard voices over and over and over again
00:26:48.260 and that's what they were saying lindsey clancy just heard a voice once that day we're of course
00:26:55.120 unfortunately we're out of time we're going to be on verdict watch we'll get you back as soon
00:26:59.660 as the verdict drops until then where can people follow you lyndon blake and we have the podcast
00:27:04.800 That's So Criminal on The Daily Wire.
00:27:06.900 Check it out.
00:27:07.540 We'll be on Verdict Watch along with all of your audience.
00:27:11.180 Thank you so much.
00:27:12.020 Right back.
00:27:12.420 Jack Posobiec, Community Events Daily.
00:27:13.600 I'm a communist on the faculty of one university is one communist who managed.
00:27:43.600 one communist among the American advisors at Yalta
00:27:48.540 was one communist too, Manny.
00:27:53.860 All right, folks, Jack Percevic, we're back live,
00:27:55.920 Human Events Daily, Real America's Voice.
00:27:58.120 Folks, we are here, and let me tell you something.
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00:29:01.620 Make your switch today.
00:29:03.680 By the way, getting messages in as the show is on here, this message comes from someone who has decades of experience in mental health in the state of Pennsylvania, who says,
00:29:17.120 Not guilty by insanity is not a get-out-of-jail-free card.
00:29:20.480 It's an involuntary commitment to a mental institution.
00:29:23.780 Guilty but mentally ill is also not a get-out-of-jail-free card.
00:29:27.620 It is you have to go to a jail where they have psychiatric units in the jail.
00:29:31.860 that's how it is in pennsylvania so that's actually interesting guilty but mentally ill
00:29:37.360 you know maybe and and then you get the full jail sentence works for me totally works for me uh
00:29:43.840 speaking about pennsylvania got some got some news over the weekend uh checked in with some
00:29:49.140 pennsylvania politicos and others and there is you know beyond all the josh shapiro stuff which
00:29:55.640 of course we are focusing on and the atlantic is circling the wagons for little josh shapiro they
00:30:00.700 don't actually need too many wagons to circle him i really just like one or two because he fits so
00:30:04.240 easily um but there's an enthusiasm gap when it comes to republicans in pennsylvania and i expect
00:30:13.100 this around the country and i wanted to get on mark mitchell from honest polling to talk more
00:30:20.460 about that mark how are you doing great doing polling i'm in the field right now so we have
00:30:25.960 our first big national tracker out this week hope people can come check it out
00:30:29.360 All right. Well, well, that's exactly what I hear, because, you know, we're seeing these these anecdotes and, you know, where it's districts in Pennsylvania where we, you know, I talked about this last week, but I'll bring it up again, where, you know, you've got you had like a R plus four, R plus five district that's suddenly switching, you know, D plus eight, D plus nine.
00:30:50.920 And, you know, in places like Western Pennsylvania, where District 12, which which is a rock rib conservative Trump district, as far as I can tell, and then you dig into it and you find, well, that it's because Republicans just aren't voting and they're not coming out to vote.
00:31:06.480 And so that's why you're seeing so much of the swing, because instead of being motivated to come out, instead, they're they're not coming out.
00:31:14.280 Achilles is in his tent, is what I said on War Room when asked about this.
00:31:18.360 And so instead, you're seeing a massive swing in motivation and in enthusiasm for Democrats.
00:31:24.800 So, yes, Republicans aren't turning out.
00:31:27.700 But the real issue is that Trump won in 2024 because of a historically high for Republicans percentage of crossover Democrat votes and independent votes.
00:31:36.460 So the real problem.
00:31:37.420 Yeah, yeah.
00:31:37.940 Let me let me let me correct what I said there.
00:31:41.220 When I'm saying Republicans, I am saying more like Trump supporters, people who voted for Trump in 2024.
00:31:47.320 That's exactly the problem is that there were – and this was always going to be an uphill battle.
00:31:51.920 But he is not converting all those people that came out for him in 2024 into Republican voters.
00:31:57.820 And I hate to say it.
00:31:58.980 You can beat me over the head and neck, but it's Trump. 0.65
00:32:03.340 Like that's the problem right now.
00:32:04.820 And obviously Republicans have not hit a very great 119th Congress.
00:32:09.620 a lot of people are looking at them and saying like, why didn't you put out more? But the problem
00:32:14.120 is, is that Trump has always been the core of his movement. People have always looked for to him for
00:32:19.600 leadership and for messaging, and he's been very great at it. And right now, objectively, it doesn't
00:32:25.140 matter even if you're looking at left leaning or right leaning pollsters, his approval rating is
00:32:29.120 not where it was in the first term. And it's because of the consistency in the messaging.
00:32:33.800 So I do think it's not all doom or black pill stuff. If you look at the 2026 generic ballot, it's Democrats plus 6.4 on the Real Clear Politics aggregate. My polling is coming in at about that. And I think it's pretty accurate. I think the National House popular vote has been pretty good the last couple of cycles.
00:32:54.740 So what that tells me is that they're actually relatively close to that 4% number, Democrats plus 4, where a lot of analysts have said that the Republicans have a fighting chance to maintain the House.
00:33:07.580 And that's what all of this is about because to me, honestly, the Senate doesn't matter that much.
00:33:12.000 Like obviously it will be symbolic, but the Senate is not really doing anything anyways.
00:33:15.860 We're not getting this stuff through.
00:33:17.180 It really just becomes like who controls the House and what do they do with the power of committees and investigations.
00:33:23.440 Republicans really want to maintain the House, even if it's just by a couple of votes.
00:33:26.980 So we're actually not that far away from it. And the problem, again, in my opinion,
00:33:31.440 has been Trump's messaging. And I had a chance, as you did as well, to talk to him at the fall
00:33:37.060 of last year. And the message I said to him was, these problems with America are too big
00:33:42.740 to really fix in any one cycle. And people want to see leadership that Republicans and Trump
00:33:49.240 together, understand what our problems are, and that they have a plan to fix them long term.
00:33:54.600 And so on the things that, I mean, 24, we really have to look at it and say that it was the perfect,
00:34:00.840 perfect platform. Every single one of the things that Trump ran on was actually more popular than
00:34:05.400 him. Deporting everybody, economic populism, reform of the federal government, like these
00:34:10.900 are all very, very, very popular things. And so the problem is, is that on some very key issues,
00:34:16.200 And let me not omit no more foreign wars. Right. So on all of these key issues, the problem is, is that Trump has come out and sort of counter signaled them.
00:34:26.220 So on economic populism, he's talked a lot about, you know, the stock market. He's talked a lot about data centers. He's talked a lot about like really these major investments with all of these people who I think it's fair to call oligarchs with the no more war thing.
00:34:42.000 we have the Iran situation with the mass deportations. We've had him sort of scale that
00:34:47.540 back and talk about how hard some of these workers are. And he's had major wins. Like we were just
00:34:52.900 talking offline about how incredible the stuff with H-1Bs are. I never thought we'd ever see 1.00
00:34:58.300 anything like what we've seen coming out of Project Firewall. These are huge shifts in the
00:35:03.320 way the government looks at legal immigration, especially for a Republican. It's absolutely
00:35:07.300 mind-blowing. But if you were to bring up H-1B with Trump, he would probably talk about the
00:35:12.740 talent of American workers and how important it is to get these people here. So really,
00:35:17.340 the problem isn't necessarily whether he's accomplished anything or not. It's that the
00:35:21.980 things he says have created a situation where people are looking at his movement and not seeing
00:35:28.320 a consistency of the mandate. And I do think it is a signaling thing that we could see some major
00:35:34.140 changes on, like, you know, is it enough to like necessarily undo the last year? Like, I don't
00:35:40.360 know, but we have two months and it is close and things change. There's a lot that can happen
00:35:45.460 between now and November. Uh, and it's almost impossible to predict, you know, we could have
00:35:50.080 very good news out of Iran. Uh, you, you know, but I think what, when I see you, like you brought
00:35:55.600 it up, there is an enthusiasm gap. So the last poll I did with Rasmussen, Democrat plus four
00:36:00.500 on the generic ballot, like right where you'd expect it to be. But then the Kamala Harris
00:36:05.300 voter from 2024 has a 10 point, very enthusiasm advantage over Republicans. And that's more in
00:36:11.860 line with what we've been seeing with Republican primary turnouts versus Democrats, what we've
00:36:16.500 been seeing in special elections. And so if Republicans want to do better than the polling,
00:36:21.780 if they want to close the polling, if they want to give Trump a chance to keep the Republican
00:36:25.460 house there needs to be a feeling of winning of momentum of unity and that is not what we're
00:36:32.080 seeing like online and it's a whole bunch it's so clear and i want to dig into this after the break
00:36:37.660 mark because you're right is that there's a lot going on there's a lot and the problem is that
00:36:42.840 when there's a lot you can get lost in the sauce and some of these wins project firewall like you
00:36:47.440 just pointed out the cracking down on h1bs uh when you see i've been talking a lot about the
00:36:53.380 crackdown on the antifa international networks the doxing of the antifa users on this server
00:36:59.780 yet you don't see the comm strategy where's the rnc sending people surrogates out the mainstream
00:37:06.380 media and talking about this why aren't they going up on the sunday shows and bringing this up again
00:37:11.340 and again and again uh h1b's deportations cracking down on leftist networks uh bringing up the rest
00:37:18.020 of it president trump he's up there he's got the venezuela oil deal which he's talking about he
00:37:23.140 actually mentioned that a little bit I think when I was with him on Tuesday last week before he you
00:37:29.220 know said it publicly which is great right but people want to know when's that going to affect
00:37:34.220 me when's that going to affect my wallet and also what else is going on because they're they're
00:37:38.260 feeling inundated right now they're feeling totally inundated and at the end of the day
00:37:42.660 and I'm going to say this again when we come back there's only a few news cycles left between now
00:37:47.840 and election day and if you go to when ballots start going out in some of these key states
00:37:52.260 there's maybe only one news cycle left. So it really comes down to who wins the news cycles
00:37:58.480 day to day between now and the end of the election to determine who is going to drive
00:38:05.180 their voters out. Jack Posobiec, right back, Human Events Daily, Real America's Voice.
00:38:22.260 So, we're going to call this the Jack Posobiec Appreciation Hour.
00:38:36.020 I can say confidently, I believe, I think Josh Shapiro would be the vice presidential
00:38:40.280 nominee if it wasn't for Jack Posobiec.
00:38:41.980 And that is, I'll be honest.
00:38:44.060 All right, folks, Jack Posobiec back live, Human Events Daily, Real America's Voice.
00:38:55.160 And I want to get in on this situation of, you know, we said in the last segment, because there's only a few news cycles left.
00:39:06.540 There's only a few times.
00:39:08.380 So I want to let's just listen to this.
00:39:10.620 Here's when ballots start going out in some of the key states.
00:39:12.520 I just pulled this.
00:39:13.240 this is off grok all right north carolina ballots go out in four days four days
00:39:20.560 in wisconsin ballots go out in september 17th it's in two weeks michigan september 19th that's
00:39:29.560 about two weeks pennsylvania um no later than october 20th but it's going to be soon georgia
00:39:36.620 early october arizona early october nevada um 20 days before florida late september
00:39:43.080 Texas, September 19th, Ohio, October 5th, California, October 5th. And so you have to
00:39:49.400 understand that the election isn't on election day anymore. The election actually begins when
00:39:56.020 the ballots go out and the ballots are starting to go out in this week in some states. This week
00:40:01.940 in North Carolina, ballots are going out. So when it comes to what's in the news, it's not going to
00:40:07.300 be what's in the news on election day. It's what's in the news right now that matters. And there's
00:40:12.840 only a few news cycles left in most of these states as well. We're all with Mark Mitchell
00:40:17.300 from Honest Polling. Mark, so when you're looking at a situation like that, that means every single
00:40:23.520 day in the messaging cycle matters, doesn't it? Yeah. And the news cycle can get away from you
00:40:30.240 100%. Just look at the last couple of days is that, again, Trump is making win after win with
00:40:35.200 H-1B, which is a huge topic for the under 40 voter. And we can talk about that more, but that's his
00:40:41.020 biggest problem is the under 40 voter. And what are we talking about instead? It's like Milo
00:40:46.180 Yiannopoulos getting deported by ICE and okay, fine. Like maybe he was a legal alien, but that
00:40:52.180 was what consumed the internet, which is where all your under 40 voters are, you know, over the last
00:40:57.360 two or three days. And it's like, what is our priority here? Well, the priority was that we
00:41:02.220 actually had going into the Trump administration, and this is just absolutely nutso. We asked,
00:41:07.580 would you support a hundred percent amnesty candidate or a hundred percent deportation
00:41:11.520 candidate? Not just the criminals, like literally everybody. And the hundred percent deportation
00:41:16.600 candidate won by 20 points. So this was a mandate, right? And so it's like, we're not talking about
00:41:22.840 that. We're not seeing this. I mean, I guess you could say Milo is a hundred percent deportation,
00:41:27.520 right? But then it's like, Trump will talk about the hard workers. And it's like, the people want
00:41:33.080 the illegals gone, not because they're racist, but it's an economic signal. And it all comes
00:41:38.160 back to economics and having a unified message that includes the younger people. And so, like
00:41:43.600 you said, the voting is going to happen in a couple of days in some of these places. You look
00:41:47.020 at a place like North Carolina, you got a guy like Watley running, okay? He's kind of a little
00:41:51.880 bit of a stiff. He came from the RNC most recently. He's a politician. It's hard to sort of love that
00:41:57.960 guy and have it make up for the fact that people are upset about certain things in the Trump
00:42:02.000 administration. And what we're seeing in these elections, again, is that the under 40 voter who
00:42:06.780 was not a Republican who voted for Trump is not converting. I pulled the Cittarelli race in New
00:42:11.740 Jersey. And in that poll, which I had Cittarelli losing by six, he was winning with the over 40
00:42:17.540 voters in New Jersey. So that's why he lost is these under 40 voters. And we've been in the
00:42:23.800 Trump administration, I think we can look at this situation and say that they've been looking for a
00:42:28.940 feedback loop about these younger voters that was lost when Charlie Kirk got assassinated
00:42:33.880 because everything that I've heard is that he was a moderating influence on Operation
00:42:38.300 Midnight Hammer.
00:42:39.460 He was talking about the economic concerns of young people and surfacing it to the Trump
00:42:43.100 administration, and he talked to Trump quite frequently.
00:42:45.940 And so one of the themes of my trip to the White House was don't forget these people
00:42:50.120 because they can't buy houses. 1.00
00:42:51.940 Their jobs have been given away to the third world. 1.00
00:42:54.360 They don't feel like they have a future. 1.00
00:42:56.300 And of the things that were popular in the Trump platform, they were most popular with the under 40 voters. Holding criminals in the federal government accountable, most popular with the under 40 voter. Auditing everything with those, most popular with the under 40 voter.
00:43:13.240 You know, getting rid of illegals who are taking their jobs most popular with the under 40 voter. And so, again, it's like Trump has these wins and he's not even talking about them. There's literally no messaging for these people that are not Republicans. And not only that, they're not even ideological. 0.50
00:43:29.920 And so, yeah, a ton of people who voted for Trump might sit out. I think a lot of independents will. But some of them are actually voting for Momdani. And this is the new shifting politics the Republican Party is not even aware of. Back when Doge was ripping apart the federal government, firing people left and right, Trump hit a 60 percent approval rating with the under 40 voters.
00:43:52.660 Six months later, we polled favorability from Mamdani nationally, and it was 62% with the under 40 voters.
00:43:59.720 So what these people want is literally just somebody that will speak to the issues they have and make it first and foremost. 0.60
00:44:05.180 You know, I think it would be very easy for Trump to do that because the older voters are going to vote Republican anyways.
00:44:11.460 They're going to show up.
00:44:12.520 So it's like, how can we have a message that speaks to these people and doesn't turn off the older folks?
00:44:18.340 I don't think it's like rocket science.
00:44:20.160 I really don't think it's that hard. We need. Well, I think to your point, it's. Yeah, no, I think your point it would. And I've said this before, that where what combines the Mondami and Trump voter and combines that mindset is the idea of the establishment is screwing me.
00:44:39.940 the system is rigged, the system has screwed me for years, and I want someone to smash the system.
00:44:46.020 I want someone to disrupt it. The problem is, of course, as we've said, to burn it down. 0.94
00:44:52.340 So the problem, of course, is what happens when you, if you go the Trump route, the MAGA route,
00:44:58.800 the Charlie Kirk route, you say, we're going to fix the system to make it better.
00:45:04.260 And that's what Doge was all about, Elon, right? Elon was all about reforming things
00:45:09.180 to then go on and do great things like like put a man on back on the moon put a man on mars obviously
00:45:14.040 what mandami wants is to tear everything apart and destroy everything that we've built forever
00:45:20.460 and that's it because he has all of this resentment and uh hatred of the country and the people who
00:45:28.620 built it again and again and again i know this because i could see it on his face when i confronted
00:45:33.760 him about it in the Oval Office. And so, of course, this is where you can start to get,
00:45:39.260 we saw even when Trump and Domi were there with me, I was there, that they had this sort of
00:45:44.420 agreement on, you know, the system or cost of living and things. But the difference is when
00:45:49.940 you scratch beneath the surface and you find what the actual systems that they're talking about
00:45:54.640 replacing it with are. But to your point, we're just talking about voters. The voters are going
00:45:59.720 to go with the person who they think is going to cause the most chaos they want that yeah they
00:46:07.760 want to drink the tears of oligarchs is i think part of it right so it's not wise to be perceived
00:46:12.780 to be an oligarch now i can't have this conversation without in in good conscience
00:46:17.260 mentioning a book plug of our mutual friend rich barris who wrote a book called burn it down
00:46:23.080 and the whole theme behind that is like politics is changing such that the younger voter is so
00:46:28.220 angry with the status quo, so angry with the way the system works, they feel like they're
00:46:33.440 completely taken over by a government that represents only basically these big, powerful
00:46:38.940 and wealthy foreign interests and companies, that there will be something that gets burned down.
00:46:45.120 And so you have these Democrat socialists who are literally a Trojan horse for Marxism.
00:46:49.980 And then you have the Republicans, which are the status quo. And so if Republicans want to succeed,
00:46:54.940 And I really think they can. They need to offer a coherent vision of Republican governance that is pragmatic and plausible, like people believe them, where they will fix the system. And I still don't see a ton of signs that that's going to happen. And the problem is, is that, OK, these people are going to vote for Democrat socialists.
00:47:14.420 Now, the thing about these voters is that, yeah, some of them are socialists, but a lot of them aren't. They're literally just doing the only thing they can do, which is vacillate between different sides until somebody represents them, right? Like, that's really what's happening here. And the point of the Republicans shouldn't be to dismiss all of these voters as socialists. It should be to convert them with something.
00:47:35.560 And I'm telling you right now, converting them with like 1960s Tradcon plus Reaganomics is not going to work with these folks.
00:47:44.740 It's just not.
00:47:45.520 No, and Mark, you, you, myself, Rich Barris and Joshua Lysak talked about all of this at AmericaFast last year at the panel we held together.
00:47:54.400 Mark, we're just about out of time.
00:47:56.100 Where can people go to follow you and get the polling when you had the results?
00:47:59.920 On Twitter, I'm at Honest Pollster, but please go to The Honest Poll.
00:48:03.820 It's my website.
00:48:04.500 it's launching this week with our first national tracker should be out tomorrow or wednesday i'd
00:48:08.740 really love people to come check it out all right we'll see him we'll hold your feet to the fire
00:48:12.580 hold his feet to the fire folks make sure that he gets it right right back here jack
00:48:16.420 I'm Jack Posobiec.
00:48:17.420 Ladies and gentlemen, as always, you have my permission to lay ashore.
00:48:46.420 as i'm yawning