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Real Coffee with Scott Adams
- November 04, 2020
Episode 1175 Scott Adams: Checking Your Blood Pressure So Far
Episode Stats
Length
24 minutes
Words per Minute
131.18689
Word Count
3,170
Sentence Count
216
Misogynist Sentences
1
Hate Speech Sentences
4
Summary
Summaries are generated with
gmurro/bart-large-finetuned-filtered-spotify-podcast-summ
.
Transcript
Transcript is generated with
Whisper
(
turbo
).
Misogyny classification is done with
MilaNLProc/bert-base-uncased-ear-misogyny
.
Hate speech classification is done with
facebook/roberta-hate-speech-dynabench-r4-target
.
00:00:00.280
Do, do, do, do.
00:00:03.100
Bum, bum, bum, bum.
00:00:05.700
Hey, everybody.
00:00:07.640
Come on in.
00:00:10.780
Yep, it's time
00:00:12.060
for the evening edition
00:00:13.380
of Coffee with Scott Adams.
00:00:16.420
There might actually be some coffee.
00:00:19.480
It looks like YouTube's
00:00:22.020
a little slow, but it's
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kicking in.
00:00:25.840
Hey, everybody. So you're watching
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the two different
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worlds unfold.
00:00:32.720
Don't make the mistake
00:00:34.460
of watching
00:00:36.540
only Fox News
00:00:37.860
or only CNN tonight
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because I'm here
00:00:42.360
to tell you that they're electing
00:00:43.960
different presidents.
00:00:45.960
So you go to Fox and they're talking
00:00:48.240
about Florida's looking good
00:00:50.020
for President Trump.
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Then you
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switch over.
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Let me tweet that online.
00:00:58.900
Then you
00:00:59.460
switch over to CNN
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and they're only showing you
00:01:02.260
the states where Biden
00:01:03.520
is looking good.
00:01:06.520
I'm looking at your comments
00:01:08.120
to see how worried you are.
00:01:10.180
I say worried, excited,
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somebody loves me.
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That's good to know.
00:01:18.460
Oh, yeah. Mark Schneider's
00:01:19.900
back on
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he's back on Twitter.
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So he's
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he's been
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unbanned.
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My nerves
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are activated.
00:01:31.460
You are a psychic.
00:01:34.400
Well,
00:01:35.180
I'm not a psychic
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until I'm right.
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So
00:01:38.880
will you join me
00:01:40.440
in an evening beverage?
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I'm not going to do
00:01:44.060
the toast
00:01:45.260
because that's sort
00:01:46.440
of a morning thing.
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But if you have
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a beverage,
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it doesn't have
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to be coffee
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if you know
00:01:52.780
what I mean.
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And
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this would be
00:01:56.220
the time to
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join me
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in the simultaneous
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evening sip.
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Go.
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I feel
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Trump's numbers
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improving
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in the panhandle.
00:02:10.940
Yes,
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that's how good
00:02:12.020
that sip was.
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So
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somebody says
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they're immensely
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excited,
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worried,
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gulp.
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So
00:02:26.960
here's the
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caution I would
00:02:30.320
give you.
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There's absolutely
00:02:31.940
nothing that we're
00:02:32.920
going to hear
00:02:33.420
in the next hour
00:02:34.320
that's going to
00:02:34.960
tell you who
00:02:35.500
is going to be
00:02:36.020
president.
00:02:37.340
So for now,
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it's just
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sort of fun.
00:02:40.920
Everything that you
00:02:41.520
see is sort of
00:02:42.100
like a horoscope.
00:02:43.780
It's entertaining,
00:02:45.080
but it might not
00:02:46.240
be that,
00:02:46.840
you know,
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scientific.
00:02:49.940
Somebody says
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Trump is winning
00:02:51.500
Virginia so far.
00:02:52.680
I think Virginia
00:02:53.420
was already
00:02:53.960
called for
00:02:54.660
Biden,
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unless I'm
00:02:55.980
incorrect.
00:02:57.160
But that might
00:02:57.760
be based on
00:02:58.560
history,
00:02:59.700
not based on
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votes.
00:03:02.980
All right.
00:03:03.840
Somebody says
00:03:04.500
their wife says
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hi.
00:03:06.140
Well,
00:03:07.180
tell your wife
00:03:07.940
hey,
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because that's
00:03:10.380
not too weird.
00:03:12.100
All right.
00:03:16.900
Do we have a lot
00:03:17.880
of people watching?
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A lot of people
00:03:20.160
coming in?
00:03:21.040
Now,
00:03:21.560
honestly,
00:03:22.080
I didn't have
00:03:22.640
much to talk
00:03:23.360
about.
00:03:23.960
I didn't make
00:03:24.660
a few notes,
00:03:25.640
but I just
00:03:26.320
wanted to sort
00:03:27.240
of share the
00:03:27.860
moment.
00:03:29.460
Did you find
00:03:31.000
today that there
00:03:32.100
was a weird
00:03:32.960
time dilation?
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That things
00:03:36.340
were moving
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quickly and
00:03:39.320
slowly at the
00:03:40.760
same time?
00:03:42.140
Did you have
00:03:42.700
that experience
00:03:43.320
today?
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You know,
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I couldn't
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wait to find
00:03:46.820
out how it
00:03:47.400
turns out.
00:03:48.600
So in that
00:03:48.980
way,
00:03:49.280
everything was
00:03:49.760
going slowly.
00:03:50.980
But at the
00:03:51.340
same time,
00:03:51.980
I was thinking,
00:03:53.140
wait,
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wait,
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wait,
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it's election
00:03:54.260
day?
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Everything's
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happening too
00:03:56.020
quickly.
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So that part
00:03:59.220
is weird.
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I told my
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smart Democrat
00:04:04.140
friend who I
00:04:04.940
talk about all
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the time,
00:04:06.740
and again,
00:04:07.500
for those of
00:04:08.040
you who are
00:04:08.380
new to it,
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the reason I
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talk about him
00:04:10.380
is that he's
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very smart and
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well-informed,
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and we disagree
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completely.
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Now,
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if he were just
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stupid,
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it would be
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easy to know
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why we disagree,
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or at least I
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would have a
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theory.
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But because he's
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smart,
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it's more fun to
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talk to him,
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because when he
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has a different
00:04:26.260
opinion,
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I have learned
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that it's
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because he
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has different
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information in
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most cases,
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or he's been
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brainwashed by
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the mainstream
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media to have
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TDS.
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So I told him
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that,
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I showed him
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an article that
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agreed with me
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that it's
00:04:42.560
possible for the
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mainstream media
00:04:44.480
to simply claim
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that Biden
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won.
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Just claim he
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won.
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And he thought
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that that was
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pure stupidity,
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that there's no
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way the mainstream
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media could be
00:04:56.100
part of a
00:04:57.380
coup,
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to overthrow
00:04:59.240
the government
00:04:59.920
just by claiming
00:05:01.680
something was
00:05:02.440
true that wasn't
00:05:03.880
true.
00:05:04.880
Now, anybody
00:05:05.780
who actually
00:05:07.040
knows what
00:05:07.800
happened with
00:05:08.320
the Russia
00:05:08.740
collusion story
00:05:09.680
or lots of
00:05:10.240
the other
00:05:10.560
hoaxes knows
00:05:12.160
that the
00:05:12.760
mainstream media
00:05:14.680
has proven
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beyond any
00:05:16.800
doubt that
00:05:17.940
they can do
00:05:18.420
exactly that.
00:05:19.620
They can make
00:05:20.220
you think
00:05:20.640
something's true
00:05:21.520
that's not
00:05:22.860
true.
00:05:23.680
Now, they
00:05:24.220
can't convince
00:05:24.820
everybody,
00:05:25.840
but can they
00:05:26.440
convince enough
00:05:27.160
people, and
00:05:28.340
I think
00:05:28.640
they're going
00:05:28.940
to take a
00:05:29.460
run at it.
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If Trump
00:05:32.980
wins, and
00:05:34.000
they can make
00:05:34.520
any argument
00:05:35.340
whatsoever that
00:05:36.280
there was an
00:05:36.820
irregularity, I
00:05:38.700
think they're
00:05:39.060
going to take a
00:05:39.520
run at it.
00:05:40.580
So you saw
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the footage of
00:05:42.680
the White
00:05:43.040
House was
00:05:43.880
putting new
00:05:44.500
fencing around
00:05:45.180
the White
00:05:45.540
House, and
00:05:46.680
somebody showed
00:05:47.740
a picture of
00:05:48.340
a sniper on
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the roof of
00:05:50.940
the White
00:05:51.240
House.
00:05:51.540
what happens
00:05:54.200
if there are
00:05:57.280
just too
00:05:57.660
many people
00:05:58.200
there protesting?
00:05:59.720
Could get
00:06:00.520
interesting, and
00:06:01.440
not in a
00:06:01.940
good way.
00:06:04.300
But my
00:06:05.060
prediction is
00:06:05.800
that there
00:06:06.120
will be
00:06:06.380
trouble, there
00:06:08.040
will be some
00:06:09.860
amount of
00:06:10.500
looting and
00:06:11.080
whatever,
00:06:11.660
opportunistically,
00:06:12.900
but that there
00:06:13.760
will not be
00:06:14.840
anything like a
00:06:15.720
civil war.
00:06:16.720
And part of
00:06:17.280
the reason is,
00:06:17.920
I tweeted it
00:06:18.720
earlier, the
00:06:19.900
reason it
00:06:20.320
won't be a
00:06:20.740
civil war is
00:06:21.400
that conservatives
00:06:22.120
won't fight
00:06:24.280
offensively.
00:06:26.240
So you sort
00:06:27.260
of need both
00:06:27.900
sides to want
00:06:28.680
to fight.
00:06:29.820
Now, the
00:06:31.000
conservatives would
00:06:31.860
certainly fight
00:06:32.520
defensively, but
00:06:34.060
you sort of need
00:06:34.840
both sides to be
00:06:36.000
a little bit
00:06:36.480
aggressive to get
00:06:37.300
a proper civil
00:06:38.380
war going, and
00:06:39.540
there just isn't
00:06:40.160
that kind of
00:06:40.660
energy or
00:06:41.460
intention on
00:06:42.760
the right.
00:06:45.280
Oh, just to
00:06:46.220
be clear, this is
00:06:47.840
what I'm
00:06:48.560
thinking.
00:06:48.880
I think that
00:06:49.820
at some
00:06:50.520
point between
00:06:52.080
now and
00:06:52.800
Inauguration
00:06:53.520
Day, that
00:06:55.620
Fox News will
00:06:56.840
declare Trump
00:06:57.760
has won, and
00:06:59.240
CNN will
00:07:00.020
declare that
00:07:00.860
Biden won.
00:07:01.740
Does anybody
00:07:02.240
want to take
00:07:02.740
that bet?
00:07:04.180
So the bet is
00:07:05.520
that sometime
00:07:06.620
between now and
00:07:07.700
Inauguration, the
00:07:09.760
two networks will
00:07:10.680
call a different
00:07:11.400
president as
00:07:12.500
president.
00:07:13.300
Now, they
00:07:13.740
might not do
00:07:14.320
it as directly
00:07:15.120
as I just
00:07:16.040
said, so there
00:07:17.220
might be one
00:07:17.840
who is direct
00:07:18.940
and the other
00:07:19.520
one is just
00:07:20.180
strongly leaning
00:07:21.520
toward, but
00:07:22.780
it's going to
00:07:23.200
sort of look
00:07:23.740
like we have
00:07:25.440
two presidents
00:07:26.020
at the same
00:07:26.620
time.
00:07:27.600
Here's a
00:07:28.200
thought for
00:07:28.740
you.
00:07:30.080
There's a
00:07:30.720
non-zero
00:07:32.240
chance, I
00:07:33.000
don't know
00:07:33.220
what the odds
00:07:33.640
are, that we
00:07:34.820
could have
00:07:35.180
three different
00:07:35.980
presidents before
00:07:37.360
the end of
00:07:40.700
January, right?
00:07:42.520
So if Biden
00:07:45.280
won, that
00:07:46.080
would give us
00:07:46.620
two presidents
00:07:47.380
between now and
00:07:48.240
the end of
00:07:48.620
January, and
00:07:50.040
if Biden
00:07:50.560
stepped down
00:07:51.580
for whatever
00:07:53.040
reason, and
00:07:54.460
Kamala Harris
00:07:55.220
stepped up, it
00:07:57.440
could happen by
00:07:58.040
the end of
00:07:58.440
January.
00:07:59.260
We could have
00:07:59.760
three different
00:08:00.380
presidents by
00:08:01.100
the end of
00:08:01.520
January, and
00:08:02.680
I don't think
00:08:03.120
that's a great
00:08:04.180
idea.
00:08:05.760
I see Nathaniel
00:08:07.740
says, Scott's
00:08:08.620
coup idea is
00:08:09.400
absurd.
00:08:10.900
It's absurd.
00:08:11.600
You know, let
00:08:13.560
me put it in
00:08:14.060
context for
00:08:14.740
you.
00:08:16.580
Would you
00:08:17.340
have said it
00:08:17.900
was absurd
00:08:18.560
that there
00:08:20.100
would be a
00:08:20.860
Russia collusion
00:08:21.920
hoax that
00:08:23.140
would, you
00:08:24.200
know, completely
00:08:25.000
brainwash part
00:08:26.680
of the population
00:08:27.960
into thinking
00:08:29.260
that the
00:08:29.740
sitting president
00:08:30.460
was a Russian
00:08:31.860
asset?
00:08:33.620
If I had
00:08:34.520
told you that
00:08:35.080
before it
00:08:35.620
happened,
00:08:36.940
wouldn't you
00:08:37.280
think that was
00:08:38.860
a little absurd?
00:08:40.440
And it didn't
00:08:41.180
happen actually.
00:08:41.600
accidentally, it
00:08:42.580
happened because
00:08:43.580
people put a
00:08:44.360
lot of work
00:08:44.780
into that plot.
00:08:46.500
It's the same
00:08:47.060
people.
00:08:48.200
It's exactly the
00:08:49.220
same people.
00:08:50.260
And now they've
00:08:50.860
test-driven the
00:08:52.400
process, and it
00:08:53.200
works.
00:08:54.240
They can convince
00:08:55.240
something like
00:08:57.240
40 to 50 percent
00:08:58.260
of the public of
00:08:59.720
absolutely anything.
00:09:01.220
And they can
00:09:01.840
convince the
00:09:02.520
public of that
00:09:03.200
even if there's
00:09:03.960
a transcript that
00:09:05.600
you could just
00:09:06.180
Google and look
00:09:06.920
at and see that
00:09:07.700
the story is not
00:09:08.440
true.
00:09:08.720
We saw that.
00:09:10.240
There's no doubt
00:09:11.220
that they can
00:09:11.740
do it.
00:09:12.580
They did it
00:09:13.100
right in front
00:09:13.500
of you, and
00:09:14.320
they did it
00:09:14.720
multiple times.
00:09:20.280
Talk about
00:09:21.040
Texas, somebody
00:09:22.380
says.
00:09:23.260
Talk about what
00:09:24.080
about Texas?
00:09:25.500
So it looks
00:09:26.000
like Trump is
00:09:28.820
pulling ahead in
00:09:29.560
Florida, and the
00:09:30.860
panhandle hasn't
00:09:31.820
been counted yet,
00:09:32.820
and that should
00:09:33.240
go for Trump.
00:09:33.900
So it looks
00:09:35.020
like Trump has
00:09:35.860
Florida.
00:09:37.920
The very early
00:09:39.320
voting, I'm just
00:09:40.440
looking at some
00:09:41.120
of the coverage
00:09:41.940
coming in.
00:09:43.320
So this doesn't
00:09:44.060
mean anything
00:09:44.520
because it's just
00:09:45.080
way too early.
00:09:46.340
But Trump was
00:09:47.500
up in Michigan,
00:09:49.140
up in Georgia,
00:09:52.640
with 26 percent
00:09:54.960
in.
00:09:56.400
He's up in
00:09:57.020
Virginia.
00:09:58.780
So now I'm
00:09:59.860
looking at CNN.
00:10:01.440
So interestingly,
00:10:02.500
they've shown a
00:10:03.060
whole bunch of
00:10:03.520
states where
00:10:04.040
Trump is up
00:10:05.920
by a lot.
00:10:06.840
Now, I don't
00:10:07.200
think that these
00:10:07.840
numbers are
00:10:10.660
expected to
00:10:11.480
hold.
00:10:13.000
I think that a
00:10:14.700
lot of these
00:10:15.080
will reverse.
00:10:16.440
Not a lot of
00:10:17.020
them, but some
00:10:17.460
of them might.
00:10:20.880
Somebody says,
00:10:21.820
so if Trump
00:10:22.420
wins, will
00:10:22.980
Nate Silver
00:10:23.680
go away?
00:10:25.000
Well, I don't
00:10:25.760
think so, because
00:10:27.080
I think if Trump
00:10:28.280
wins, it will
00:10:30.260
be just like
00:10:31.100
last time.
00:10:31.760
Do you remember
00:10:32.120
when Trump won
00:10:33.360
last time, and
00:10:34.160
there were, I
00:10:36.200
think, CNN
00:10:37.000
printed 14
00:10:38.120
reasons or
00:10:39.060
something why
00:10:40.440
Hillary Clinton
00:10:41.680
lost.
00:10:43.000
So no matter
00:10:44.260
which way it
00:10:44.880
goes, I still
00:10:46.240
think it's going
00:10:46.840
to go for
00:10:47.220
Trump tonight.
00:10:48.680
But if Trump
00:10:50.200
wins, the news
00:10:52.540
will be 25
00:10:54.140
different reasons
00:10:55.940
why something
00:10:56.720
went wrong and
00:10:57.580
why it was a
00:10:58.180
fluke and why
00:10:59.820
it happened and
00:11:00.740
why it's all
00:11:01.360
racist and why
00:11:03.140
there was, you
00:11:04.940
know, voter
00:11:05.780
suppression and
00:11:06.920
just about every
00:11:07.840
other thing.
00:11:10.340
I see in the
00:11:11.440
comments somebody
00:11:12.140
says Ohio is
00:11:13.120
having some
00:11:13.620
issues.
00:11:14.380
So somebody
00:11:15.800
says, talk
00:11:16.440
about Ohio.
00:11:17.800
People are all
00:11:18.620
mad.
00:11:18.880
I actually have
00:11:19.400
no idea what's
00:11:20.000
happening in
00:11:20.460
Ohio, except
00:11:21.960
that it's showing
00:11:22.820
right now with
00:11:23.560
Biden way up.
00:11:25.320
Was that the
00:11:25.840
problem?
00:11:27.240
The problem
00:11:28.020
was that, oh,
00:11:31.100
that doesn't
00:11:33.300
look real, does
00:11:34.020
it?
00:11:35.060
Is that the
00:11:36.080
problem, that
00:11:36.620
Ohio doesn't
00:11:37.300
look real, the
00:11:38.540
results there?
00:11:40.780
Again, it's
00:11:41.520
early, so I
00:11:42.180
don't think you
00:11:42.680
can take too
00:11:43.500
much from that.
00:11:44.280
So I'm not
00:11:44.620
going to take
00:11:44.940
too much of it
00:11:45.640
seriously, but I
00:11:46.740
do think the
00:11:47.980
president has
00:11:48.980
probably is going
00:11:51.140
to do well in
00:11:51.720
Florida.
00:11:52.000
Fox News and
00:11:55.900
Google both
00:11:56.540
saying Virginia
00:11:57.240
went to Biden,
00:11:58.360
but counting
00:11:58.980
Trump is 500
00:12:00.980
ahead.
00:12:02.140
Yeah.
00:12:03.200
So that's how
00:12:04.440
much they can
00:12:05.020
flip around, that
00:12:06.720
Trump can go
00:12:07.720
from way up to
00:12:08.800
not way up.
00:12:12.600
Late voting in
00:12:13.880
Ohio is heavy
00:12:14.720
Trump.
00:12:15.480
Why is everybody
00:12:16.180
so worked up
00:12:17.440
about Ohio?
00:12:19.400
The only thing
00:12:20.320
we know about
00:12:20.840
Ohio is that we
00:12:21.640
don't know
00:12:21.980
how it's
00:12:22.380
going to turn
00:12:22.800
out, but you
00:12:24.180
all seem pretty
00:12:24.800
worked up about
00:12:25.480
Ohio.
00:12:27.260
Somebody says,
00:12:28.240
Ohio doesn't
00:12:28.800
look good.
00:12:29.680
I just don't
00:12:30.380
think you can
00:12:30.920
tell.
00:12:33.320
I just don't
00:12:34.380
think you can
00:12:34.980
tell.
00:12:37.700
Les Kanye is
00:12:39.000
doing really
00:12:39.540
well in Ohio.
00:12:45.140
Thank you,
00:12:45.940
Mike, for
00:12:46.380
saying that.
00:12:49.360
Scott,
00:12:50.040
science much?
00:12:50.700
whatever that
00:12:52.480
means.
00:12:54.440
Whatever that
00:12:55.220
means.
00:12:56.080
That's the
00:12:56.640
most 2020
00:12:57.520
comment of
00:12:58.640
all time.
00:12:59.660
In the
00:12:59.920
comments on
00:13:00.560
YouTube,
00:13:01.060
somebody just
00:13:01.580
said,
00:13:02.540
Scott,
00:13:03.520
science much?
00:13:05.780
I guess that
00:13:06.600
covers it.
00:13:07.580
There's nothing
00:13:08.060
else to say.
00:13:09.360
Do you
00:13:09.740
science much?
00:13:11.240
I science
00:13:11.920
more than you
00:13:12.520
do.
00:13:13.480
I'll see your
00:13:14.240
science and
00:13:14.780
I'll up your
00:13:16.400
science.
00:13:16.860
science.
00:13:17.360
So up
00:13:17.660
yours.
00:13:18.600
Your
00:13:18.800
science.
00:13:24.740
Ohio, blue
00:13:25.720
cities probably
00:13:26.640
dumped first.
00:13:27.800
Yeah, I think
00:13:28.300
that's part of
00:13:28.840
the story is
00:13:29.480
that cities and
00:13:30.860
rural voting
00:13:32.120
places are
00:13:33.360
going to report
00:13:33.900
at different
00:13:34.320
rates.
00:13:35.500
So don't
00:13:36.020
worry about
00:13:36.420
any of that
00:13:36.820
yet.
00:13:37.180
I don't
00:13:39.080
think you
00:13:39.400
should worry.
00:13:44.660
As somebody
00:13:46.500
says, if
00:13:47.060
Biden wins,
00:13:47.900
watch everything
00:13:48.480
magically reopen.
00:13:50.140
Well, you know,
00:13:50.740
Glenn Greenwald
00:13:51.540
was reminding
00:13:53.060
us that in
00:13:55.580
2009, right
00:13:57.620
after Obama
00:13:59.480
got into
00:14:00.740
office, I
00:14:03.280
think that
00:14:04.480
the protests
00:14:05.200
that were
00:14:05.520
happening at
00:14:05.980
the time,
00:14:06.480
like, what
00:14:08.840
was it,
00:14:09.340
the Wall
00:14:10.380
Street,
00:14:10.740
whatever,
00:14:11.020
whatever those
00:14:11.560
protests were,
00:14:12.800
Occupy
00:14:13.800
Wall Street,
00:14:15.000
all those
00:14:15.620
protests just
00:14:16.240
sort of stopped
00:14:16.940
when Biden
00:14:17.680
or when
00:14:18.720
Obama got
00:14:20.420
into office,
00:14:20.860
right?
00:14:22.480
So it
00:14:23.500
does seem
00:14:24.140
as though
00:14:24.800
they can
00:14:27.440
come and
00:14:27.880
go fairly
00:14:28.500
quickly.
00:14:29.620
So we
00:14:30.320
don't know
00:14:30.640
what will
00:14:30.940
happen.
00:14:34.080
Some new
00:14:35.080
Gingrich
00:14:35.640
says Ohio
00:14:36.740
always looks
00:14:37.540
like the
00:14:37.980
Democrats
00:14:38.460
are going
00:14:38.760
to win
00:14:39.040
early.
00:14:40.420
Somebody
00:14:40.880
says in
00:14:41.360
the comments,
00:14:41.940
and if
00:14:42.180
somebody says
00:14:42.720
it in the
00:14:43.080
comments,
00:14:44.220
well, you
00:14:44.660
know it's
00:14:44.940
real.
00:14:45.840
You know
00:14:46.080
it's true.
00:14:51.420
Blood
00:14:51.860
pressure.
00:14:53.720
Somebody's
00:14:54.180
blood
00:14:54.400
pressure.
00:14:58.700
First
00:14:59.140
live
00:14:59.500
periscope.
00:15:00.940
Well, I'm
00:15:01.360
glad you
00:15:01.720
could make
00:15:02.040
it.
00:15:02.200
All
00:15:06.420
right.
00:15:07.080
Fox
00:15:07.660
give
00:15:07.920
Trump
00:15:08.320
a 93%
00:15:09.540
probability
00:15:10.160
in Florida,
00:15:10.920
as somebody
00:15:11.220
says.
00:15:16.840
What do
00:15:17.500
I think
00:15:17.860
about the
00:15:18.380
so-called
00:15:18.920
scorecard
00:15:19.740
algorithm to
00:15:20.600
steal votes?
00:15:23.900
Here's
00:15:24.420
what I
00:15:24.680
think.
00:15:26.440
Here's a
00:15:27.080
little rule
00:15:27.540
that I have
00:15:28.260
in my book,
00:15:28.920
Loser Think,
00:15:29.580
for deciding
00:15:30.380
what is
00:15:30.860
real.
00:15:32.260
And it
00:15:32.560
goes like
00:15:32.920
this.
00:15:33.760
If you
00:15:34.840
just take
00:15:35.300
CNN and
00:15:36.080
Fox News
00:15:36.820
as
00:15:37.360
representative
00:15:38.500
of the
00:15:39.120
left and
00:15:39.620
the right,
00:15:40.640
if something
00:15:41.480
is reported
00:15:42.080
the same
00:15:42.660
on both
00:15:43.120
networks,
00:15:43.720
it's probably
00:15:44.160
true.
00:15:45.060
You know,
00:15:45.300
if they
00:15:45.480
tell you
00:15:45.940
a hurricane
00:15:47.260
hit Puerto
00:15:48.040
Rico and
00:15:49.060
it's on
00:15:49.380
both
00:15:49.660
networks,
00:15:51.040
it's true.
00:15:52.220
If one
00:15:53.120
of them
00:15:53.420
reports
00:15:53.960
something
00:15:54.320
is true
00:15:54.900
and the
00:15:55.780
other reports
00:15:56.520
that it's
00:15:57.120
not true,
00:15:57.760
might not
00:16:00.120
be true.
00:16:01.220
Yeah,
00:16:01.440
might not
00:16:01.780
be true.
00:16:02.340
There's a
00:16:02.700
much higher
00:16:03.240
chance that
00:16:04.240
it's not
00:16:04.680
true if
00:16:05.300
it's only
00:16:05.620
reported as
00:16:06.300
true on
00:16:06.740
one.
00:16:07.220
And it
00:16:07.520
doesn't
00:16:07.720
matter which
00:16:08.080
one reports
00:16:08.640
it as
00:16:08.900
true.
00:16:09.480
If it's
00:16:09.860
only one
00:16:10.340
of them,
00:16:11.440
the odds
00:16:11.860
are it's
00:16:12.120
probably
00:16:12.360
not true.
00:16:15.280
So with
00:16:16.000
this rumor
00:16:17.780
about some
00:16:18.620
kind of
00:16:18.940
secret software
00:16:19.700
that can
00:16:20.100
change votes,
00:16:21.660
that has
00:16:22.320
not been
00:16:22.760
reported
00:16:23.220
yet,
00:16:24.560
has it,
00:16:25.200
on Fox
00:16:26.160
News?
00:16:26.520
and has
00:16:27.880
not been
00:16:28.280
reported
00:16:28.720
yet on
00:16:29.540
CNN or
00:16:30.260
any of
00:16:30.600
the major
00:16:31.000
media.
00:16:32.360
So I
00:16:32.560
think Steve
00:16:33.100
Bannon is
00:16:33.820
so far the
00:16:34.560
place that
00:16:35.180
that has
00:16:35.600
been,
00:16:36.060
and then
00:16:36.520
social media.
00:16:38.080
So if
00:16:38.720
you were
00:16:38.960
going to
00:16:39.220
say,
00:16:39.640
if you
00:16:39.880
didn't
00:16:40.020
know even
00:16:40.500
what the
00:16:40.860
topic was,
00:16:41.860
and the
00:16:42.160
only thing
00:16:42.600
I told you
00:16:43.080
about it
00:16:43.500
is,
00:16:44.260
it looked
00:16:44.940
like the
00:16:45.340
biggest thing
00:16:45.840
in the
00:16:46.080
world if
00:16:46.540
it's
00:16:46.720
true.
00:16:47.680
So if
00:16:48.220
true,
00:16:49.460
really,
00:16:50.380
really big.
00:16:51.360
But neither
00:16:51.900
Fox nor
00:16:52.640
CNN are
00:16:53.780
treating it
00:16:54.440
as true.
00:16:55.620
If that's
00:16:56.040
all you
00:16:56.340
knew,
00:16:57.540
is it
00:16:57.960
true?
00:16:59.820
Chances
00:17:00.340
are pretty
00:17:01.820
far against
00:17:02.380
it.
00:17:03.400
That doesn't
00:17:04.240
mean I
00:17:05.100
know what's
00:17:05.560
happening,
00:17:05.940
I'm just
00:17:06.200
saying that
00:17:06.700
under those
00:17:07.800
circumstances,
00:17:08.660
you would
00:17:08.880
expect it
00:17:09.480
not to
00:17:10.100
be true.
00:17:13.420
But I
00:17:14.100
will also
00:17:14.740
expect that
00:17:15.740
somebody's at
00:17:16.360
least tried.
00:17:17.620
You know
00:17:18.280
somebody's at
00:17:19.660
least tried to
00:17:20.480
influence votes
00:17:21.360
with software.
00:17:22.400
all right,
00:17:23.360
let's see,
00:17:23.800
North Carolina.
00:17:25.700
Looks like
00:17:26.460
Trump is
00:17:27.100
up in
00:17:28.180
North Carolina.
00:17:31.540
Texas.
00:17:33.300
Biden's
00:17:33.780
got a
00:17:34.040
little bit
00:17:34.360
of advantage,
00:17:35.120
but the
00:17:35.400
late votes
00:17:36.000
we expect
00:17:36.780
will be
00:17:37.360
Trump,
00:17:38.060
right?
00:17:39.820
So,
00:17:41.300
well,
00:17:43.700
it's so
00:17:44.100
good to
00:17:44.420
see all
00:17:44.800
of you
00:17:45.120
too.
00:17:46.200
Slaughter
00:17:46.540
meter is
00:17:47.040
still at
00:17:47.380
100%.
00:17:48.340
So,
00:17:50.200
have you
00:17:50.460
noticed that
00:17:51.200
the only
00:17:51.840
thing that
00:17:52.820
seems to
00:17:53.680
speak against
00:17:55.580
Trump is
00:17:57.760
the polls?
00:17:58.740
And the
00:17:59.060
polls are the
00:17:59.640
things that
00:18:00.020
you trust
00:18:00.480
the least,
00:18:01.320
because they
00:18:01.680
were wrong
00:18:02.120
before.
00:18:03.200
So,
00:18:03.840
at least in
00:18:04.560
terms of the
00:18:05.220
outcome,
00:18:05.720
they were
00:18:05.920
wrong.
00:18:08.440
Is that a
00:18:09.240
coincidence?
00:18:10.860
That everything
00:18:11.860
that is
00:18:12.420
non-scientific
00:18:13.560
appears to be
00:18:14.700
pro-Trump in
00:18:15.560
terms of the
00:18:16.060
energy and the
00:18:17.040
turnout at the
00:18:17.760
rally,
00:18:18.340
and stuff
00:18:19.620
like that.
00:18:20.840
It just
00:18:21.160
feels like,
00:18:23.740
you know,
00:18:24.360
I was just
00:18:25.920
watching Tucker
00:18:26.740
Carlson say
00:18:27.520
that if it
00:18:29.460
turns out that
00:18:30.100
Trump wins,
00:18:31.700
it means that
00:18:32.440
the entire
00:18:33.120
polling
00:18:35.000
punditry class
00:18:36.760
has a lot of
00:18:37.840
explaining to
00:18:38.480
do.
00:18:39.040
Now,
00:18:39.320
not all of
00:18:39.820
them,
00:18:40.420
because
00:18:40.940
Rasmussen
00:18:42.740
has the
00:18:43.400
race close,
00:18:45.140
and,
00:18:45.160
you know,
00:18:45.640
Trafalgar group
00:18:46.920
says Trump
00:18:47.520
would win,
00:18:47.920
so there's
00:18:48.340
a few
00:18:48.640
that would
00:18:48.920
look like
00:18:49.300
stars,
00:18:50.480
but there
00:18:53.260
are a lot
00:18:53.620
of polling
00:18:54.520
companies that
00:18:55.220
have a lot
00:18:55.720
to explain
00:18:56.400
if Trump
00:18:57.660
wins.
00:18:59.120
And at the
00:18:59.820
moment,
00:19:00.080
I would say
00:19:00.700
it's still
00:19:01.240
looking like
00:19:01.900
that.
00:19:02.840
But some
00:19:03.400
of that is
00:19:04.660
because I've
00:19:05.180
been watching
00:19:05.700
a little bit
00:19:07.400
more of
00:19:08.140
Fox News
00:19:09.100
coverage.
00:19:09.640
so if I
00:19:11.620
spend 10
00:19:12.140
minutes watching
00:19:12.780
CNN,
00:19:13.400
I'm going
00:19:13.640
to think
00:19:13.940
Biden's
00:19:14.400
going to
00:19:14.640
win,
00:19:14.940
I guarantee
00:19:15.420
it.
00:19:17.940
Somebody
00:19:18.380
says,
00:19:18.840
Scott,
00:19:19.380
calm me
00:19:19.780
down,
00:19:20.160
man.
00:19:21.520
Well,
00:19:22.200
I think
00:19:23.320
we're going
00:19:23.660
to be
00:19:23.860
fine.
00:19:25.260
Now,
00:19:26.100
it looks
00:19:26.720
to me like
00:19:27.260
Trump is
00:19:27.740
going to
00:19:27.980
win,
00:19:28.780
and I
00:19:30.240
would say
00:19:30.580
handily at
00:19:31.540
this point.
00:19:33.040
Anything
00:19:33.440
could happen,
00:19:34.060
but I
00:19:34.840
promise you
00:19:35.380
that no
00:19:35.760
matter what
00:19:36.180
happens,
00:19:37.100
you'll be
00:19:37.460
fine.
00:19:38.440
You'll be
00:19:38.800
okay.
00:19:39.680
We'll figure
00:19:40.240
out a way.
00:19:45.180
And the
00:19:46.080
one thing
00:19:46.460
that we
00:19:46.880
know we
00:19:47.400
can't
00:19:47.800
trust is
00:19:49.480
the polls.
00:19:51.080
Now,
00:19:52.920
there are
00:19:53.700
sometimes
00:19:54.060
when you
00:19:54.400
can feel
00:19:55.020
something to
00:19:55.680
be true
00:19:56.080
that you
00:19:56.520
can't
00:19:56.840
prove.
00:19:57.900
And for
00:19:58.320
me,
00:19:58.660
the biggest
00:19:59.260
thing that
00:19:59.780
I feel
00:20:00.340
that I
00:20:01.940
just feel
00:20:02.500
in the
00:20:04.040
every particle
00:20:05.640
of my
00:20:06.080
body feels
00:20:07.560
that the
00:20:08.020
following
00:20:08.380
thing is
00:20:08.940
true.
00:20:10.180
That
00:20:10.340
Republicans
00:20:10.900
lied like
00:20:12.040
crazy to
00:20:12.700
pollsters.
00:20:14.660
Now,
00:20:15.380
of course,
00:20:16.220
I've asked
00:20:16.580
people on
00:20:17.180
Twitter if
00:20:17.960
they did,
00:20:18.620
and just
00:20:19.040
hundreds of
00:20:19.600
people said
00:20:20.880
yes,
00:20:21.640
I lied to
00:20:22.420
pollsters
00:20:22.840
recently,
00:20:23.940
which,
00:20:24.580
again,
00:20:25.440
is not
00:20:25.740
scientific,
00:20:26.600
because it's
00:20:27.020
just the
00:20:27.400
people following
00:20:28.040
me on
00:20:28.380
Twitter,
00:20:28.840
and who
00:20:29.520
knows if
00:20:30.000
they're lying
00:20:30.600
or telling
00:20:31.020
the truth,
00:20:31.780
or they
00:20:32.380
just want to
00:20:32.920
join in,
00:20:33.380
who knows?
00:20:34.040
But it
00:20:35.600
sort of
00:20:36.160
really,
00:20:36.780
really,
00:20:37.100
really feels
00:20:38.260
like people
00:20:40.060
lied like
00:20:41.860
crazy to
00:20:42.420
pollsters.
00:20:43.880
So with
00:20:45.000
that assumption,
00:20:45.980
I think
00:20:46.440
Trump should
00:20:47.640
win.
00:20:50.220
The thing
00:20:51.060
I'm most
00:20:51.480
worried about
00:20:52.080
is that
00:20:52.640
the Democrats
00:20:53.820
didn't want
00:20:54.520
Biden to
00:20:55.100
win.
00:20:56.780
That's the
00:20:57.520
one that
00:20:58.260
keeps me
00:20:58.700
up.
00:21:00.260
That the
00:21:01.180
the nature
00:21:02.300
of the
00:21:02.840
op is
00:21:04.020
that
00:21:04.300
Biden
00:21:04.660
is
00:21:04.960
supposed
00:21:05.260
to
00:21:05.520
lose
00:21:05.980
so
00:21:06.780
that
00:21:07.060
that
00:21:07.360
activates
00:21:08.160
the
00:21:08.420
Democrats
00:21:08.880
and all
00:21:09.640
the
00:21:09.840
rioters.
00:21:11.660
But I
00:21:11.920
think there's
00:21:13.160
been enough
00:21:13.560
time for
00:21:14.140
law enforcement
00:21:14.900
to prep
00:21:15.740
that there
00:21:18.360
will be
00:21:18.680
some fires
00:21:19.880
and stuff
00:21:20.360
tonight,
00:21:20.740
but you'll
00:21:22.200
be fine.
00:21:22.920
Just stay
00:21:23.380
out of those
00:21:23.780
areas.
00:21:24.140
somebody
00:21:28.600
says
00:21:29.060
Danville
00:21:29.780
is red.
00:21:30.340
Danville
00:21:30.600
is the
00:21:30.900
town next
00:21:31.820
to me.
00:21:33.320
I don't
00:21:34.000
think Danville
00:21:34.600
is red.
00:21:35.420
I would
00:21:35.700
bet that
00:21:36.140
it is
00:21:36.560
very blue.
00:21:44.060
Somebody
00:21:44.580
says they
00:21:45.220
predict
00:21:45.640
either a
00:21:46.500
Trump or
00:21:47.140
a Kamala
00:21:47.700
Harris win.
00:21:49.380
You know,
00:21:49.840
you can't
00:21:50.280
count Kamala
00:21:51.440
Harris out
00:21:52.000
yet.
00:21:52.320
What
00:21:54.100
would
00:21:54.260
happen
00:21:54.620
theoretically
00:21:55.500
if
00:21:57.140
let's
00:21:57.960
say Biden
00:21:58.880
and Harris
00:21:59.380
won,
00:21:59.860
just
00:22:00.040
theoretically,
00:22:01.600
hypothetically,
00:22:03.020
and
00:22:03.500
what would
00:22:04.820
happen if
00:22:05.520
Biden
00:22:05.960
decided to
00:22:07.040
drop out
00:22:07.720
after he
00:22:08.440
won,
00:22:08.880
but before
00:22:09.340
he was
00:22:09.860
sworn in?
00:22:11.520
What would
00:22:12.160
be the
00:22:12.540
proper
00:22:13.000
protocol
00:22:13.580
in that
00:22:13.980
case?
00:22:15.280
Would
00:22:15.580
they just
00:22:16.040
say,
00:22:16.720
well,
00:22:17.220
I guess
00:22:17.620
it's
00:22:17.880
Kamala,
00:22:18.460
or is
00:22:19.040
the fact
00:22:19.440
that neither
00:22:19.960
of them
00:22:20.260
are sworn
00:22:20.740
in
00:22:21.080
make
00:22:22.360
that
00:22:22.800
not
00:22:24.440
work?
00:22:25.880
So what
00:22:26.580
would
00:22:26.740
happen?
00:22:27.800
I think
00:22:28.120
I need
00:22:28.460
a ruling
00:22:29.500
on that,
00:22:30.600
but I
00:22:30.960
don't think
00:22:31.260
it's going
00:22:31.540
to happen.
00:22:32.740
I find
00:22:33.440
that it's
00:22:33.920
impossible
00:22:34.420
for me
00:22:34.940
to imagine
00:22:35.520
a future
00:22:36.080
with a
00:22:37.100
President
00:22:37.460
Biden
00:22:37.900
or a
00:22:38.420
President
00:22:38.720
Kamala
00:22:39.220
Harris.
00:22:40.180
I just
00:22:40.960
sort of
00:22:41.320
can't
00:22:41.680
see it,
00:22:43.300
which
00:22:43.780
doesn't
00:22:44.100
mean
00:22:44.380
it's
00:22:44.920
impossible.
00:22:45.420
I just
00:22:46.080
have to
00:22:47.380
say that
00:22:47.900
it's hard
00:22:48.360
to imagine.
00:22:49.000
I just
00:22:49.940
imagine
00:22:50.500
Trump
00:22:50.840
winning
00:22:51.140
for what
00:22:52.520
that's
00:22:52.780
worth.
00:22:53.520
Very
00:22:53.840
unscientific.
00:23:00.500
Pollsters
00:23:01.020
want to
00:23:01.460
be right
00:23:01.900
more than
00:23:02.480
they want
00:23:02.960
Biden
00:23:03.560
to win.
00:23:04.440
That
00:23:04.940
doesn't
00:23:05.340
seem to
00:23:05.720
be true.
00:23:07.420
That
00:23:07.880
doesn't
00:23:08.220
seem to
00:23:08.580
be true.
00:23:09.640
I do
00:23:10.220
not
00:23:10.460
buy the
00:23:11.120
assumptions
00:23:13.320
that pollsters
00:23:14.200
need to
00:23:14.740
be right
00:23:15.340
more than
00:23:16.520
they want
00:23:16.880
Biden
00:23:17.160
to win.
00:23:17.620
I don't
00:23:17.840
believe that
00:23:18.220
at all.
00:23:19.000
I think
00:23:20.000
that some
00:23:20.960
of them
00:23:21.280
need to
00:23:21.720
be right
00:23:22.200
and that
00:23:23.280
some
00:23:23.680
of them
00:23:24.140
have
00:23:25.260
other
00:23:25.500
interests.
00:23:29.660
Why did
00:23:30.340
my viewers
00:23:30.820
go down
00:23:31.280
from 10k
00:23:32.160
to 5k?
00:23:33.800
Probably
00:23:34.320
because I've
00:23:34.800
got nothing
00:23:35.520
to offer
00:23:35.940
here.
00:23:36.720
So I
00:23:37.060
think I'm
00:23:37.380
going to
00:23:38.360
sign off.
00:23:39.880
If there's
00:23:40.740
anything
00:23:41.140
breaking in
00:23:42.040
the news
00:23:42.460
that looks
00:23:43.300
exciting,
00:23:44.360
I will
00:23:44.880
come back
00:23:45.320
and join
00:23:45.820
you to
00:23:46.820
talk about
00:23:47.300
it.
00:23:47.580
but I
00:23:48.620
think it's
00:23:48.900
going to
00:23:49.040
be a
00:23:49.260
long
00:23:49.420
night.
00:23:50.100
So I
00:23:50.380
hope you've
00:23:50.760
got your
00:23:51.200
beverage and
00:23:53.040
I will
00:23:54.100
catch up
00:23:54.620
with you
00:23:55.020
again a
00:23:57.380
little later
00:23:57.700
tonight.
00:23:58.100
10k
00:24:02.000
on this
00:24:05.800
thread.
00:24:05.920
10k
00:24:06.080
on this
00:24:07.540
thing.
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