Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 1518 Scott Adams： Start Your Day Right With the Simultaneous Sip

00:00:00.000 Today is going to be, well, it's going to be a good day.

00:00:04.160 Maybe not for every one of you, but statistically speaking,

00:00:08.740 99.99% of you are going to have a good day.

00:00:13.440 But, you know, some people, not so much.

00:00:16.600 But you, you're going to be good.

00:00:18.600 And why?

00:00:19.760 Well, because you were wise enough, smart enough,

00:00:22.640 and good-looking enough to arrive on time

00:00:26.200 to watch the what?

00:00:27.840 What? That's right, the simultaneous sip.

00:00:31.140 I know, it's almost too good to believe.

00:00:33.620 Imagine your luck.

00:00:35.240 I mean, if the rest of your day goes as well as this has gone so far,

00:00:39.540 wow, the things you can get done today.

00:00:42.720 Could be a good one.

00:00:44.380 There's something that you've been thinking about doing.

00:00:47.860 I'm talking to you right now.

00:00:49.940 Look at me, look at me.

00:00:52.540 I know you're doing other things.

00:00:54.160 You're exercising, you're taking a walk,

00:00:56.320 you're doing some housework.

00:00:57.380 But look at me, look at me.

00:01:00.480 There's something that you were planning to do,

00:01:03.060 or wanted to do,

00:01:04.740 that you're hesitant about.

00:01:07.360 And you're thinking to yourself,

00:01:08.840 I don't even know why I don't want to do it.

00:01:11.740 Like, I sort of have reasons,

00:01:14.140 but I don't know why exactly I don't want to do that thing.

00:01:17.060 I should make that phone call.

00:01:18.680 I should invite that friend.

00:01:19.880 I should ask that person out.

00:01:21.540 I should apply for that job.

00:01:25.300 Do it.

00:01:26.600 Just do it today.

00:01:28.280 Do it today because I said today's a good day to do it.

00:01:31.640 You don't need a better reason.

00:01:33.640 Today's a good day to do it.

00:01:35.460 Just do it.

00:01:36.560 You'll be fine.

00:01:38.140 Will you be embarrassed?

00:01:39.580 Eh, maybe.

00:01:40.700 Get a good story out of it.

00:01:42.280 Will you succeed?

00:01:43.500 I don't know.

00:01:44.620 Does it matter?

00:01:45.520 Nope.

00:01:46.360 Nope.

00:01:47.160 Doesn't matter.

00:01:48.220 Doesn't matter if you succeed.

00:01:49.600 Do you know what matters?

00:01:51.540 That you tried.

00:01:53.320 That's it.

00:01:54.100 That's your system.

00:01:55.820 The system is you try.

00:01:58.640 So do that today.

00:02:00.200 We'll get to the simultaneous sip,

00:02:02.420 but I wanted to leave you that.

00:02:04.100 Today's the day.

00:02:05.280 There's that thing that you've been putting off.

00:02:08.300 You know you need to do it.

00:02:10.180 Just do it.

00:02:10.940 Just do it today.

00:02:12.300 And watch what happens.

00:02:13.140 And now, all you need to enjoy this morning to the maximum extent

00:02:21.580 is a cup or a mug or a glass, a tankard, chalice, or stein,

00:02:24.420 a canteen jug or a flask, a vessel of any kind.

00:02:27.740 Fill it with your favorite liquid.

00:02:29.760 I like coffee.

00:02:31.540 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure.

00:02:37.020 The dopamine of the day, the thing that makes everything better.

00:02:39.100 It's called the simultaneous sip.

00:02:40.400 But it happens now.

00:02:41.760 Go.

00:02:45.780 Ah, yeah.

00:02:46.980 Now you feel the fortification you needed.

00:02:49.440 That little extra push to do that thing.

00:02:52.780 All right, I missed a comment.

00:02:53.880 I'm going to look here from Marusha.

00:02:56.680 You often argue that X isn't bad

00:02:58.660 because we already do some version of X,

00:03:00.740 but this ignores the possibility.

00:03:02.560 Yes, the thing we're already doing is also bad

00:03:04.500 and should be gotten rid...

00:03:05.660 That's a little too generic, Marusha.

00:03:08.260 I understand your point,

00:03:09.500 but you need to connect that to a specific topic

00:03:12.020 and then I can deal with it more effectively.

00:03:14.580 But I understand the point.

00:03:17.940 Alyssa Milano was part of the, I guess, the marches.

00:03:22.620 A lot of women and a lot of men, too. 0.81

00:03:25.780 Marched because they're worried about their so-called abortion rights. 0.99

00:03:29.960 And they don't want to lose them in the Supreme Court

00:03:32.920 because I guess there's some cases that are coming up

00:03:35.380 that'll challenge Roe vs. Wade. 0.70

00:03:39.680 Oh, somebody's got...

00:03:40.960 Very cool.

00:03:42.760 Somebody's watching me in a 3D world.

00:03:47.340 That's very cool.

00:03:50.800 Anyway, so Alyssa Milano was the speaker. 0.99

00:03:52.780 Now, you may not be on her team.

00:03:58.120 You know, she identifies with the left.

00:04:00.240 Maybe you're on the right.

00:04:01.580 You're saying to yourself,

00:04:02.940 I don't like that Alyssa Milano. 1.00

00:04:05.380 But I've got to tell you, she's good at what she does. 0.99

00:04:09.060 And again, I like to compliment people I disagree with.

00:04:12.260 I'm not saying I disagree with her.

00:04:13.680 I'm just saying I'm going to give her a compliment in this case.

00:04:16.060 I've disagreed with her on other stuff.

00:04:18.100 But here's her argument.

00:04:21.440 And she said this, and I quote in a speech,

00:04:24.300 I can't believe how a handful of men,

00:04:26.640 talking about the Supreme Court,

00:04:29.340 I can't believe how a handful of men

00:04:30.900 are successfully taking 50 years of rights away from women 1.00

00:04:34.260 and how our Supreme Court, packed with abusers,

00:04:38.380 is just going to sit by and let it all happen.

00:04:44.140 Now, forget about whether you agree with her, right?

00:04:46.520 I know you don't agree with her in many cases, right?

00:04:50.160 Most of you probably don't.

00:04:51.380 If you're watching this, you probably don't.

00:04:55.580 Maybe you do.

00:04:57.000 But just look at the persuasion.

00:05:01.300 Here's the argument that doesn't work.

00:05:04.980 We have a right to abortion. 1.00

00:05:08.000 Does that argument move anybody?

00:05:10.040 We've got a right.

00:05:11.360 It's our right.

00:05:13.560 Not really.

00:05:14.340 How about even it's our bodies?

00:05:17.760 Better.

00:05:18.920 It's better.

00:05:19.560 Because everybody responds to that, right?

00:05:21.180 Oh, it's our bodies.

00:05:22.560 But we also know that the government does control our bodies,

00:05:26.760 and we like it that way.

00:05:29.120 We do.

00:05:30.760 The government controls your body, always has,

00:05:34.140 and we like it that way.

00:05:36.200 So it isn't really ever, it's never your body,

00:05:39.060 you know, your choice.

00:05:41.720 You don't live in that world.

00:05:42.860 The government decides if you go to war.

00:05:46.160 The government decides if you're free or you're in jail.

00:05:49.300 Because they make the laws, and if you don't follow them,

00:05:52.100 they decided you're in jail.

00:05:53.920 And then they put you in jail.

00:05:55.120 You don't have control over your body.

00:05:57.880 You want control over your body, maybe.

00:06:00.760 Well, you don't have it.

00:06:02.700 Not even close.

00:06:04.440 All right?

00:06:05.300 So, although the argument can be persuasive,

00:06:08.240 it doesn't make any sense.

00:06:09.340 Because we are, we gave away our rights to our body

00:06:11.900 when we decided to have a government, basically.

00:06:14.640 If they can draft you,

00:06:16.660 if they can draft you,

00:06:18.780 they control your body.

00:06:21.100 Now, I agree with you that you'd like less of it.

00:06:23.760 Are we all on the same page?

00:06:25.600 We'd all like less of that, right?

00:06:27.960 There's nobody who's arguing,

00:06:29.740 give the government more control over my body.

00:06:32.640 No, nobody's on that side.

00:06:34.200 I'm just saying that you're already there.

00:06:36.580 So the argument intellectually kind of fails,

00:06:40.100 but persuasively, I think it does work.

00:06:42.580 It just doesn't work as well as

00:06:44.360 what Alyssa Milano did. 0.67

00:06:47.240 What Alyssa Milano did, that really works. 1.00

00:06:51.140 This is the best argument against the current situation.

00:06:55.960 So she's arguing that it's men taking things away from women. 0.88

00:07:00.640 Now, do you know how the psychology of humans works

00:07:05.280 when they have, let's say,

00:07:08.280 if you were to compare these two things,

00:07:10.360 which is the stronger psychological impulse?

00:07:13.080 The impulse to not lose something you think you have

00:07:16.620 or the desire to guess something that you want,

00:07:20.480 which is the stronger of the two?

00:07:22.600 Not wanting to lose something you already have

00:07:24.900 versus, hey, I'd like a new thing.

00:07:27.160 That'd be great.

00:07:29.600 Yeah, the not losing something is the stronger one.

00:07:34.160 So notice how she puts,

00:07:35.800 she phrases this in terms of

00:07:38.000 a bunch of men

00:07:39.760 taking things away from women. 0.97

00:07:43.080 That's not bad, persuasion-wise.

00:07:47.000 I'm not taking a stand on abortion.

00:07:49.060 Can everybody understand that?

00:07:51.260 You're not going to hear my opinion on abortion

00:07:53.400 because my opinion

00:07:55.300 agrees with part of what she said,

00:07:59.060 not the ultimate decision.

00:08:01.620 But the part where she says,

00:08:03.860 why are men involved in deciding

00:08:05.560 what women do with their bodies? 1.00

00:08:07.580 That's pretty strong.

00:08:08.820 It's the argument that I use

00:08:09.960 for staying out of the whole thing.

00:08:11.120 If Melissa Alano says to me,

00:08:14.140 hey, Scott Adams,

00:08:16.300 this is unlikely,

00:08:17.420 but if she were to say to me,

00:08:19.700 Scott Adams,

00:08:20.380 why are you even involved in this question?

00:08:23.240 I would say, good point.

00:08:25.900 Good point.

00:08:26.800 Why am I even involved in this question?

00:08:29.320 It's much more credible

00:08:30.660 if women make the decision. 0.50

00:08:33.100 It doesn't mean it's right.

00:08:34.740 It doesn't mean it's wrong.

00:08:35.620 And it doesn't take away

00:08:37.080 your right to participate.

00:08:38.720 I don't want to take your right 1.00

00:08:39.760 to participate in any question.

00:08:42.540 I'm just saying,

00:08:43.220 if you want the most credible outcome,

00:08:45.640 it would be women deciding 1.00

00:08:48.360 what women do with their bodies. 1.00

00:08:50.420 Even if there were lots of disagreement on that,

00:08:52.960 it would be the most credible outcome.

00:08:55.100 So that's a good attack vector, I think.

00:08:59.740 I don't know if she'll be successful

00:09:01.100 or what's going to happen

00:09:02.540 in the Supreme Court,

00:09:04.140 but that's good persuasion.

00:09:07.260 It's good persuasion.

00:09:09.220 Here's a tip for you.

00:09:11.460 Ignore the absolutists.

00:09:13.940 This will be one of the most useful tips

00:09:15.920 you'll ever hear.

00:09:17.740 Ignore the absolutists.

00:09:20.260 What's an absolutist?

00:09:21.340 That's somebody who argues

00:09:22.820 that things just are

00:09:24.300 or they are not.

00:09:26.900 And there's nothing about risk

00:09:28.320 or maybe.

00:09:29.540 There's no ambiguity.

00:09:31.720 There's no uncertainty about data.

00:09:34.980 Anybody who's got

00:09:36.120 an absolute point of view,

00:09:38.660 just ignore them.

00:09:40.340 They're not even humans, basically.

00:09:43.020 They're just NPCs.

00:09:44.820 They're just programmed

00:09:45.560 to walk around and say,

00:09:46.420 yes, no.

00:09:48.680 Yeah, that's all they got.

00:09:49.480 Let me give you an example.

00:09:52.340 And sorry, locals.

00:09:54.480 There's somebody on Locals

00:09:55.480 who did this

00:09:56.200 and don't mean to insult you personally,

00:09:59.680 although that's probably going to happen.

00:10:02.440 So I'm probably going to lose

00:10:03.600 one subscriber on Locals today,

00:10:05.680 maybe more.

00:10:07.300 It goes like this.

00:10:08.980 I just saw a meme that says

00:10:10.200 the vaccines don't stop infections,

00:10:13.580 therefore what good are they?

00:10:14.780 Vaccines don't stop infections,

00:10:20.180 therefore what good are they?

00:10:22.700 That's an absolute.

00:10:25.120 Do you believe that vaccines

00:10:27.060 don't reduce any infections?

00:10:29.180 Because that's not the case.

00:10:30.920 We know that pretty definitively,

00:10:32.920 that people who are vaccinated

00:10:34.180 are way less likely to get infected.

00:10:36.240 They do get infected, though.

00:10:37.220 So it doesn't work

00:10:38.820 as a statement of fact

00:10:41.620 that getting vaccinated

00:10:43.280 protects you from infection.

00:10:46.080 But if you treat that

00:10:47.380 as it was an absolute...

00:10:49.940 Yeah, I'm seeing the meme again.

00:10:52.180 I'll read you the meme.

00:10:54.140 It's a tweet from Anthony Brian Logan.

00:10:57.060 He says,

00:10:57.320 CDC Director Rochelle Walensky

00:10:58.940 says that the vaccine

00:11:00.100 cannot prevent transmission.

00:11:02.980 So why are all these pro-vaxxers

00:11:05.680 saying it can't?

00:11:07.280 Huh? Huh?

00:11:08.440 If the CDC Director says

00:11:10.420 that the vaccines

00:11:12.700 cannot prevent infections,

00:11:15.820 why take it?

00:11:17.040 Well, that's the absolutist view.

00:11:20.120 There's nothing you do

00:11:21.320 because it's absolute.

00:11:23.720 You wear your C-Ball

00:11:25.620 because the odds are better

00:11:27.600 with it than without it.

00:11:29.220 Does anybody think

00:11:30.060 that a C-Ball 0.69

00:11:30.680 has never killed anybody?

00:11:31.600 I'm sure it has.

00:11:33.480 It's just not as common.

00:11:35.660 So as soon as you're dealing

00:11:36.600 with somebody who says,

00:11:38.540 oh, if the vaccine

00:11:40.900 doesn't stop every transmission,

00:11:43.660 it has no value.

00:11:46.180 You can't talk to people like that.

00:11:48.820 Don't talk to people

00:11:49.760 who talk in absolutes.

00:11:51.360 There's nothing you can do with that.

00:11:52.860 Just walk away.

00:11:53.860 I'm not even sure

00:11:54.500 that they're real people.

00:11:57.120 You know, if we're a simulation,

00:11:59.000 they seem to be the ones

00:11:59.940 that are non-player characters,

00:12:02.120 if you know what I mean.

00:12:02.980 Keith Olbermann has a video out.

00:12:08.660 He's trying to get more people vaccinated.

00:12:10.820 If you don't know Keith Olbermann,

00:12:14.400 let's just say that his entertainment value

00:12:16.660 is extreme.

00:12:20.260 He's not the most rational person

00:12:23.040 I've ever seen,

00:12:24.120 but his entertainment value,

00:12:26.380 pretty high.

00:12:27.920 And in his new video,

00:12:30.820 he's saying that we should stop saying

00:12:35.260 that people are vaccine hesitant

00:12:37.220 because that's too kind to them,

00:12:39.500 says Keith Olbermann.

00:12:40.920 He says instead,

00:12:42.480 we should call them morons,

00:12:44.160 snowflakes,

00:12:44.940 and that they're afraid.

00:12:47.600 They're afraid.

00:12:48.940 That's why they don't get the vaccine.

00:12:50.440 They're afraid.

00:12:51.360 They're afraid.

00:12:52.780 What's wrong with that?

00:12:57.060 What's wrong with it

00:12:58.040 is that every decision

00:12:59.160 about the vaccine or not vaccine

00:13:00.960 is because people are afraid.

00:13:03.360 That's the only reason you get it.

00:13:06.060 Right?

00:13:06.760 I mean, you might not be very afraid,

00:13:08.680 but let's say at least concerned,

00:13:12.540 because whether you get vaccinated

00:13:14.660 or don't get vaccinated,

00:13:16.220 it's all based on fear.

00:13:18.320 The fear is the only thing

00:13:19.400 that's making any of it happen.

00:13:21.500 He thinks one side is operating on fear.

00:13:24.980 That's everybody.

00:13:26.880 That's Keith Olbermann.

00:13:28.280 He's literally afraid

00:13:29.620 that other people won't get vaccinated.

00:13:31.520 It's all fear.

00:13:33.300 There's no non-fear opinion

00:13:35.060 involved in any of this.

00:13:36.800 Now, you might not have much fear,

00:13:40.240 but if you had zero fear,

00:13:42.160 you wouldn't even be involved

00:13:43.360 in the conversation.

00:13:46.320 Anyway, the most important question

00:13:48.220 about his video,

00:13:49.280 and I think Twitter user Angela

00:13:51.580 pointed this out.

00:13:53.960 What we'd like to know

00:13:55.180 is whether the spittle

00:13:57.160 that Keith Olbermann was producing

00:13:58.820 in this rant,

00:14:00.060 was it foaming?

00:14:02.240 Was it just straight spittle?

00:14:03.800 It was a little rabid foaming.

00:14:07.380 I think that's the important question.

00:14:10.760 All right.

00:14:11.420 Well, most of you probably saw this story,

00:14:13.480 which is the funny story of the day,

00:14:15.060 that apparently at sporting events

00:14:17.240 all over the country,

00:14:19.360 a lot of the spectators

00:14:22.840 are starting a chant.

00:14:25.240 What's the chant?

00:14:26.180 I think you already know the chant.

00:14:30.160 It's F. Joe Biden,

00:14:32.440 except they use the full word.

00:14:34.780 And I guess there was a NASCAR race

00:14:38.860 in Alabama's Talladega Speedway.

00:14:43.420 And the winner was a fellow named Brandon Brown.

00:14:48.080 He was being interviewed afterwards,

00:14:49.520 and the chants broke out.

00:14:51.400 F. Joe Biden.

00:14:52.940 F. Joe Biden.

00:14:53.840 And the interviewer,

00:14:57.580 and I still don't know yet

00:14:59.080 if the interviewer was completely aware

00:15:01.220 of what the real chant was,

00:15:03.200 but the interviewer very cleverly,

00:15:04.780 because it was live TV,

00:15:07.060 said, look,

00:15:07.720 they're chanting,

00:15:09.920 go Brandon.

00:15:12.860 No, wait, what is it?

00:15:14.600 It was, let's go Brandon.

00:15:17.360 So, let's go Brandon.

00:15:19.020 Now, that's hilarious,

00:15:22.240 because, you know,

00:15:22.820 we've all had that Lonnie and,

00:15:25.400 Laurel and Yanni experience.

00:15:27.780 So, when you first hear that,

00:15:29.180 you think to yourself,

00:15:30.240 maybe it was.

00:15:31.780 Maybe that is what they're saying,

00:15:33.200 because I've been fooled

00:15:34.020 by all these other audio illusions.

00:15:36.680 Maybe that's what they're saying.

00:15:38.400 But,

00:15:39.380 I'm not,

00:15:41.480 I'm going to say,

00:15:42.520 because I don't know the answer yet.

00:15:43.640 Maybe somebody here knows

00:15:44.880 the answer to the question

00:15:45.880 of whether the interviewer

00:15:48.000 knew exactly what they were doing,

00:15:49.940 or did the interviewer actually think

00:15:51.880 that the chant was something

00:15:53.200 about the race car driver.

00:15:58.740 Does anybody know?

00:16:00.600 I haven't seen,

00:16:02.100 oh, she laughed.

00:16:03.640 Oh, the interviewer is laughing?

00:16:05.880 Well, okay,

00:16:06.540 maybe that's the giveaway.

00:16:09.260 But here's the part I love about the story.

00:16:12.540 What makes this spread?

00:16:15.880 What makes it spread

00:16:17.900 is if Fox News reports it.

00:16:20.360 Right?

00:16:20.920 If Fox News keeps reporting

00:16:23.360 every time there's a stadium

00:16:24.560 that erupts in this chant,

00:16:27.120 and they do,

00:16:28.140 they do report it every time.

00:16:30.960 Does CNN report it every time?

00:16:33.200 I don't think so.

00:16:34.820 How about MSNBC?

00:16:36.240 Do they report that every time?

00:16:38.880 No, probably not.

00:16:41.060 So what happens

00:16:41.940 when Fox News reports it every time?

00:16:43.760 It guarantees it's going to happen.

00:16:47.560 Right?

00:16:48.400 Is it really news?

00:16:50.280 Is it newsworthy

00:16:51.440 that people are chanting this?

00:16:52.860 Well, the first time.

00:16:54.660 Maybe even the second time.

00:16:56.220 And it might be newsworthy,

00:16:57.960 you know,

00:16:58.200 if it's some specific kind of event.

00:17:01.780 But watching Fox News

00:17:03.180 make this happen

00:17:04.180 and pretend that

00:17:05.460 they're just covering the news,

00:17:07.560 no, they're making the news.

00:17:09.720 Fox News is making this happen.

00:17:11.740 And then they're reporting on it.

00:17:14.120 It's a great circular

00:17:15.560 kind of business model.

00:17:17.200 Let's make something happen

00:17:18.300 and then we'll report on it.

00:17:20.420 And we don't even have to

00:17:21.380 spend money researching.

00:17:23.280 We'll just listen to the video

00:17:24.460 and say,

00:17:24.800 oh, there's a report.

00:17:26.360 Got another report there.

00:17:28.140 Got another article out of that.

00:17:30.920 All right.

00:17:31.520 So,

00:17:32.180 and I'm not even criticizing Fox News.

00:17:34.720 I just think it's funny.

00:17:36.140 I think it's hilarious

00:17:36.860 that they're doing it.

00:17:37.700 In the slightly more serious news,

00:17:43.960 the battle for Taiwan has started.

00:17:47.260 Here's the report.

00:17:48.720 So,

00:17:49.080 it's not unusual for China

00:17:50.340 to send aircraft

00:17:51.380 into Taiwan's airspace

00:17:53.480 just to sort of

00:17:54.900 keep them on notice

00:17:56.360 that China says,

00:17:57.480 we own you.

00:17:58.520 But the number that they've sent

00:18:00.420 has just skyrocketed.

00:18:02.320 So,

00:18:02.660 China sent 20 aircraft

00:18:04.080 into Taiwan's space,

00:18:06.340 I guess,

00:18:06.920 yesterday.

00:18:08.260 And then later,

00:18:09.860 a bunch more.

00:18:11.520 So,

00:18:11.760 nearly 80 planes,

00:18:14.040 including fighter jets

00:18:15.220 and bombers,

00:18:17.560 80 Chinese aircraft,

00:18:19.240 including fighter jets

00:18:20.780 and bombers,

00:18:22.340 80

00:18:22.700 in one day

00:18:24.580 violated

00:18:26.120 the Taiwan airspace,

00:18:28.960 according to Taiwan.

00:18:32.120 What do you make of that?

00:18:34.200 Now,

00:18:34.500 obviously,

00:18:35.180 it's because of

00:18:35.820 Biden's weakness.

00:18:36.920 Does anybody disagree with that?

00:18:39.100 It's somewhat obviously

00:18:40.120 because of Biden's weakness.

00:18:42.220 They have to probe it.

00:18:44.040 So,

00:18:44.280 is it smart

00:18:44.880 for China to,

00:18:46.380 you know,

00:18:46.800 probe for a weakness?

00:18:48.560 Yeah,

00:18:48.900 it is smart.

00:18:49.980 I mean,

00:18:50.320 given that their goal

00:18:51.200 is to,

00:18:51.860 you know,

00:18:52.440 get Taiwan under the control 0.99

00:18:54.020 eventually,

00:18:54.860 it's very smart.

00:18:56.120 but be careful what you wish for.

00:19:01.480 Be careful what you wish for.

00:19:05.940 Have all of you heard the phrase,

00:19:07.640 a Pyrrhic victory?

00:19:10.180 P-Y-R-R-H-I-C. 1.00

00:19:14.460 How many of you have heard the phrase,

00:19:17.000 a Pyrrhic victory?

00:19:19.620 So,

00:19:19.960 this is a pretty

00:19:20.940 well-informed crowd,

00:19:22.200 especially,

00:19:22.660 especially over on,

00:19:24.300 on Locals.

00:19:25.720 On Locals,

00:19:26.340 it's every one of you

00:19:27.060 saying yes.

00:19:28.900 Really?

00:19:31.580 Holy cow. 0.89

00:19:33.280 Oh,

00:19:33.600 even,

00:19:33.860 even on YouTube.

00:19:36.280 Wow.

00:19:37.660 I don't know if,

00:19:38.460 does this mean

00:19:38.940 that I have a more educated

00:19:40.240 audience than

00:19:41.620 the average?

00:19:43.180 I can't believe

00:19:43.820 that this would be

00:19:44.480 mostly yeses

00:19:45.420 with a generic audience.

00:19:49.100 Can you?

00:19:50.540 Am I being surprised

00:19:51.780 for no reason

00:19:52.400 or is this actually surprising?

00:19:53.680 It's almost all yeses

00:19:54.680 on two different platforms.

00:19:57.100 Maybe the no people

00:19:57.920 aren't weighing in,

00:19:59.060 but

00:19:59.180 I'll be damned.

00:20:01.280 I really thought

00:20:02.180 that that was going to be

00:20:02.860 closer to like

00:20:03.640 20% of you

00:20:04.960 would know what that meant.

00:20:06.560 All right.

00:20:06.940 Well,

00:20:08.000 surprising,

00:20:09.320 but also

00:20:10.000 good news.

00:20:11.620 It's good news

00:20:13.080 that you all know that.

00:20:14.540 So,

00:20:15.540 a Pyrrhic victory,

00:20:16.600 if there's one person

00:20:17.380 who doesn't know it,

00:20:17.940 it means that you might

00:20:18.700 win the battle,

00:20:20.040 but you've degraded

00:20:21.040 your army so much

00:20:22.040 in winning the battle

00:20:22.900 that you're going

00:20:24.020 to lose the war

00:20:24.920 because you don't have

00:20:25.720 enough left

00:20:26.320 after the battle

00:20:27.040 to maintain

00:20:28.260 and keep things.

00:20:29.820 And imagine,

00:20:31.000 if you will,

00:20:32.320 China militarily

00:20:33.640 taking over Taiwan.

00:20:35.320 Let's just game this

00:20:36.280 out in our heads.

00:20:37.700 Imagine that China 0.93

00:20:38.700 militarily attacks Taiwan.

00:20:40.780 What's the United States

00:20:43.080 do?

00:20:44.420 What do we do?

00:20:45.940 Well,

00:20:46.460 I'm sure we'd,

00:20:47.180 you know,

00:20:47.500 arrange our assets,

00:20:48.960 our military assets,

00:20:50.280 but would we

00:20:51.020 fire at mainland China?

00:20:54.480 I don't think so.

00:20:56.260 I don't think

00:20:56.980 that we would get

00:20:57.560 into a shooting war

00:20:58.700 with China

00:20:59.180 because there's

00:21:00.400 just no way

00:21:00.880 you could win.

00:21:02.880 There's nothing

00:21:03.400 like winning

00:21:04.120 that would look

00:21:06.160 like that.

00:21:07.040 I think what we

00:21:08.020 would do

00:21:08.360 is just take out

00:21:09.660 China's economy.

00:21:10.520 for a hundred

00:21:11.680 years.

00:21:12.680 I think China's 1.00

00:21:13.740 economy

00:21:14.220 would suffer

00:21:15.940 for a hundred

00:21:16.560 years if they

00:21:17.300 take Taiwan. 0.87

00:21:18.540 Now,

00:21:18.820 that might be

00:21:19.280 worth it.

00:21:20.300 They might say,

00:21:20.960 you know,

00:21:22.220 we think in terms

00:21:23.840 of thousands of years.

00:21:25.080 So a hundred years

00:21:25.880 to get Taiwan

00:21:26.840 back under our control?

00:21:28.040 Yeah,

00:21:28.240 let's do it.

00:21:29.160 Maybe.

00:21:29.820 I mean,

00:21:30.220 I can't get into

00:21:31.180 the minds

00:21:31.780 of the Chinese

00:21:32.460 leadership.

00:21:33.680 But I think

00:21:36.800 that it would

00:21:37.340 be impossible

00:21:38.200 for an American

00:21:39.300 business to do

00:21:40.400 any business

00:21:41.180 with China

00:21:41.740 if they were

00:21:42.600 militarily

00:21:43.260 taking over

00:21:44.440 Taiwan.

00:21:45.340 Who disagrees?

00:21:46.840 So just that

00:21:47.700 statement,

00:21:48.980 that the moment

00:21:50.160 that China 0.93

00:21:50.840 actually fired

00:21:52.100 on Taiwan

00:21:53.040 militarily,

00:21:54.800 and it was

00:21:55.440 actually war,

00:21:56.060 from that moment

00:21:56.640 on,

00:21:57.520 and for the

00:21:57.960 next hundred

00:21:58.420 years,

00:21:59.240 you couldn't

00:21:59.880 be an American

00:22:00.480 company

00:22:01.000 going to do

00:22:02.300 business in China.

00:22:04.000 And even the ones

00:22:04.920 that are there

00:22:05.320 would have to

00:22:05.800 pull out then.

00:22:06.840 They'd have to.

00:22:07.960 Now,

00:22:08.360 your iPhone

00:22:08.880 is going to

00:22:10.200 suffer for a

00:22:10.820 long time

00:22:11.340 because they

00:22:11.840 won't be able

00:22:12.200 to assemble it.

00:22:14.100 But,

00:22:14.900 so that's the

00:22:16.680 first thing

00:22:17.100 that China 0.93

00:22:17.440 has to worry

00:22:17.880 about.

00:22:18.240 It would

00:22:18.500 guarantee

00:22:18.920 crashing their

00:22:19.840 economy.

00:22:20.620 Does anybody

00:22:21.140 think it

00:22:21.620 wouldn't

00:22:22.840 guarantee

00:22:23.480 a crash 0.71

00:22:24.840 of China's

00:22:25.440 economy

00:22:25.840 because the

00:22:26.280 rest of the

00:22:26.680 world would

00:22:27.280 just turn on

00:22:28.280 them?

00:22:29.260 Does anybody

00:22:29.740 think that's

00:22:30.160 wrong?

00:22:31.360 Disagree with

00:22:32.100 me if you

00:22:32.780 have a reason.

00:22:34.500 Because you

00:22:34.920 don't think

00:22:35.260 we would just

00:22:35.740 keep doing

00:22:36.220 business,

00:22:36.780 do you?

00:22:37.340 Just business

00:22:38.540 as usual?

00:22:39.680 Well,

00:22:40.140 we lost

00:22:40.500 Taiwan.

00:22:41.660 I sure

00:22:42.020 wish that

00:22:42.400 hadn't

00:22:42.600 happened.

00:22:43.800 Yeah,

00:22:44.040 China's 0.76

00:22:44.400 economy is

00:22:45.080 already

00:22:45.340 fragile.

00:22:46.380 But I

00:22:46.920 think this

00:22:47.420 is the

00:22:47.860 further

00:22:48.180 guarantee

00:22:48.640 that China 0.93

00:22:49.220 is unsafe

00:22:49.960 for business.

00:22:51.580 Imagine

00:22:52.060 considering

00:22:52.860 doing business

00:22:53.540 in China

00:22:54.060 when you

00:22:55.040 know that

00:22:55.380 they send

00:22:55.740 80 warplanes

00:22:56.660 into Taiwan

00:22:57.760 airspace.

00:22:58.340 you're the

00:23:00.820 CEO of

00:23:01.820 some big

00:23:02.200 company and

00:23:03.500 you're trying

00:23:03.880 to decide

00:23:04.740 whether to

00:23:05.180 move into

00:23:05.620 China to

00:23:06.140 do manufacturing.

00:23:08.220 You can't

00:23:09.060 do it.

00:23:10.080 Just the

00:23:10.560 fact that

00:23:10.980 they're

00:23:11.360 threatening

00:23:12.140 at this

00:23:12.820 level means

00:23:14.180 that China 0.93

00:23:14.700 is a

00:23:15.240 potential war

00:23:16.180 zone, at

00:23:17.420 least economically.

00:23:18.900 And then,

00:23:19.340 you know, if

00:23:19.900 it's economically,

00:23:20.800 you can't really

00:23:21.420 move anything

00:23:22.080 there.

00:23:22.960 They won't be

00:23:23.500 able to get

00:23:23.800 any parts and

00:23:24.540 everything will

00:23:25.520 fall apart,

00:23:26.000 no energy,

00:23:27.000 etc.

00:23:28.060 So, as I've

00:23:30.520 told you many

00:23:30.940 times, the

00:23:31.900 economy turns

00:23:33.340 on one thing

00:23:34.260 primarily.

00:23:35.000 As long as you

00:23:35.520 have enough

00:23:35.840 resources,

00:23:36.680 there's one

00:23:37.360 thing that

00:23:37.740 makes the

00:23:38.180 economy run.

00:23:39.380 What is it?

00:23:40.560 What is the

00:23:41.100 one thing that

00:23:41.700 makes an

00:23:42.060 economy work

00:23:42.980 as long as

00:23:43.980 you have enough

00:23:44.340 resources?

00:23:46.140 Expectations.

00:23:47.340 Psychology.

00:23:48.560 Confidence.

00:23:49.320 Yeah.

00:23:49.760 It's the

00:23:50.120 mental part.

00:23:51.680 China has 0.91

00:23:53.660 lost

00:23:54.320 the

00:23:56.100 base

00:23:56.560 requirement

00:23:57.300 for a

00:23:59.440 good economy.

00:24:00.740 The

00:24:01.220 base

00:24:01.620 requirement,

00:24:02.620 and there's

00:24:03.020 no exception

00:24:03.520 to this,

00:24:04.960 is some

00:24:05.520 level of

00:24:06.140 trust.

00:24:07.620 You've

00:24:08.020 got to

00:24:08.240 have some

00:24:09.420 trust,

00:24:10.160 some

00:24:10.340 certainty,

00:24:11.440 some

00:24:11.760 confidence.

00:24:13.360 It's all

00:24:14.180 gone.

00:24:15.520 China has 0.91

00:24:16.080 burned all

00:24:17.160 of their

00:24:18.100 business

00:24:19.000 capital,

00:24:20.600 their

00:24:20.780 psychological

00:24:21.360 capital.

00:24:22.000 It's all

00:24:22.300 gone now.

00:24:23.240 There's

00:24:23.540 nobody

00:24:24.020 who is

00:24:25.120 a reasonable

00:24:25.620 person who

00:24:26.380 follows

00:24:27.000 world events

00:24:28.160 who thinks

00:24:29.220 it wouldn't

00:24:29.620 be too

00:24:29.980 risky to

00:24:30.480 go into

00:24:30.820 China and

00:24:31.520 do business

00:24:32.000 there because

00:24:32.720 it's way

00:24:33.020 too risky

00:24:33.480 now.

00:24:34.460 Maybe not

00:24:35.040 so much

00:24:35.580 20 years

00:24:36.420 ago,

00:24:36.840 but right

00:24:37.260 now,

00:24:37.800 way too

00:24:38.140 risky.

00:24:39.380 And that

00:24:40.500 psychological

00:24:41.000 problem is

00:24:42.140 just getting

00:24:42.560 bigger.

00:24:44.800 And what

00:24:46.080 is the

00:24:46.440 one thing

00:24:47.060 that the

00:24:47.440 United States

00:24:48.160 would need

00:24:48.860 to guarantee

00:24:50.280 that we

00:24:50.920 take China's 0.97

00:24:52.920 economy down

00:24:53.880 without

00:24:54.260 firing a

00:24:55.020 shot.

00:24:57.000 Which

00:24:57.680 president

00:24:59.560 would get

00:25:00.200 you that

00:25:00.540 result?

00:25:02.120 Which

00:25:02.760 president

00:25:03.240 gets you

00:25:03.920 not a

00:25:05.200 single shot

00:25:05.980 fired

00:25:06.460 and China

00:25:08.860 is just

00:25:09.340 dismantled?

00:25:11.700 Only one

00:25:12.600 person on

00:25:13.080 earth,

00:25:13.520 probably.

00:25:14.380 Probably only

00:25:15.240 one person on

00:25:16.020 earth could

00:25:17.080 get that

00:25:17.440 done.

00:25:17.680 If China 0.97

00:25:19.880 makes a

00:25:20.540 stronger move

00:25:21.320 for Taiwan,

00:25:23.180 Trump's your

00:25:23.620 next president.

00:25:26.060 I mean,

00:25:26.340 I don't know

00:25:26.680 how you

00:25:26.980 could,

00:25:27.900 that's it.

00:25:28.920 It's over.

00:25:30.020 If China 0.97

00:25:30.540 wants to

00:25:30.940 make Trump

00:25:31.380 get a

00:25:32.640 second term,

00:25:34.300 just fire a

00:25:35.420 real missile

00:25:35.940 into Taiwan,

00:25:36.760 just one,

00:25:37.880 and he's

00:25:38.280 president.

00:25:39.520 And he's

00:25:40.140 going to

00:25:40.340 come for

00:25:40.720 you.

00:25:42.260 He's

00:25:42.740 coming for

00:25:43.180 you.

00:25:45.800 And this

00:25:46.480 time,

00:25:46.820 he's

00:25:48.000 going to

00:25:48.200 have the

00:25:48.500 whole

00:25:48.680 country

00:25:49.020 behind him.

00:25:50.160 At least

00:25:50.680 in terms

00:25:51.000 of China.

00:25:51.720 He'll

00:25:52.000 be as

00:25:52.380 divisive

00:25:53.360 as ever

00:25:53.760 in general.

00:25:54.900 But when

00:25:55.240 it comes

00:25:55.500 to China,

00:25:57.020 the whole

00:25:58.480 country's

00:25:58.960 going to

00:25:59.120 be behind

00:25:59.520 him.

00:26:00.800 And what

00:26:01.080 happens if

00:26:01.500 the generals

00:26:01.980 say,

00:26:02.300 I don't

00:26:02.740 think you

00:26:03.140 should do

00:26:03.440 this

00:26:03.640 economic

00:26:04.080 warfare.

00:26:04.700 It

00:26:04.720 might turn

00:26:05.060 into

00:26:05.260 something

00:26:05.540 bad.

00:26:07.240 Nope.

00:26:09.500 Now,

00:26:10.000 would it

00:26:10.220 be a

00:26:10.460 Pyrrhic

00:26:10.720 victory for

00:26:11.260 the United

00:26:11.620 States?

00:26:13.900 Maybe.

00:26:15.100 That's the

00:26:15.640 risk.

00:26:16.060 So that's

00:26:16.940 why you

00:26:17.200 need a

00:26:17.500 Trump to

00:26:18.840 manage what

00:26:19.440 would be

00:26:19.920 kind of a

00:26:20.560 delicate

00:26:20.860 process,

00:26:21.900 which is

00:26:22.580 how do

00:26:22.900 you get

00:26:23.360 our economy

00:26:24.640 to still

00:26:25.200 work if

00:26:25.760 China's 0.76

00:26:26.920 economy is

00:26:27.360 going down?

00:26:28.480 It's kind

00:26:28.840 of connected,

00:26:29.440 right?

00:26:30.300 So how do

00:26:30.840 you do

00:26:31.080 that?

00:26:32.100 Let me

00:26:32.480 throw out

00:26:32.900 an idea.

00:26:34.920 Are you

00:26:35.160 ready for

00:26:35.500 a wild

00:26:36.180 brainstorming

00:26:36.940 idea?

00:26:37.880 You ready?

00:26:40.720 I'm going

00:26:41.220 to tie a

00:26:41.600 couple things

00:26:42.040 together.

00:26:42.540 I don't

00:26:42.780 know if

00:26:43.000 this is

00:26:43.320 practical.

00:26:44.120 This is

00:26:44.440 just

00:26:44.640 brainstorming,

00:26:45.380 so don't

00:26:45.740 be too

00:26:46.180 critical.

00:26:47.260 Take this

00:26:47.700 as what

00:26:48.160 I call

00:26:48.420 the bad

00:26:48.840 idea or

00:26:50.240 the bad

00:26:50.660 version.

00:26:51.480 The bad

00:26:52.200 version just

00:26:54.140 makes you

00:26:54.560 maybe think

00:26:55.100 of a better

00:26:55.520 version,

00:26:56.160 right?

00:26:56.360 So I'm

00:26:56.580 just stimulating

00:26:57.240 your thinking

00:26:58.060 process.

00:26:58.940 It goes

00:26:59.240 like this.

00:27:00.920 How could

00:27:01.360 we manufacture

00:27:02.200 things in

00:27:02.760 the United

00:27:03.060 States cheaply

00:27:04.560 enough that

00:27:06.720 we could

00:27:07.060 compete with

00:27:07.740 whatever was

00:27:08.400 happening in

00:27:08.900 China? 0.73

00:27:09.760 Two ways.

00:27:11.200 Number one,

00:27:11.760 as I see over

00:27:12.400 in the locals

00:27:12.900 platform,

00:27:13.600 we're well

00:27:14.580 educated on

00:27:15.300 this,

00:27:16.200 robots.

00:27:17.300 You can

00:27:17.920 build with

00:27:18.380 robots just

00:27:19.540 as cheaply in

00:27:20.200 America as

00:27:20.860 you can in

00:27:21.280 China.

00:27:22.100 Do you know

00:27:22.480 why?

00:27:23.540 Because a

00:27:23.920 robot costs

00:27:24.480 the same.

00:27:25.380 If China buys

00:27:26.280 a robot, it

00:27:26.980 costs the same

00:27:27.460 as if we

00:27:27.860 buy a robot.

00:27:29.040 And the

00:27:29.380 robot works

00:27:30.000 all night,

00:27:30.900 and it

00:27:31.760 makes you

00:27:32.060 your stuff.

00:27:33.300 So you

00:27:33.640 get kind

00:27:34.880 of close to

00:27:35.460 the same

00:27:36.160 cost, and

00:27:37.500 you also

00:27:37.840 eliminate the

00:27:38.420 shipping.

00:27:39.260 You eliminate

00:27:39.860 all the time

00:27:40.580 problems in the

00:27:41.360 shipping because

00:27:41.880 it's made

00:27:42.220 locally now.

00:27:42.900 So robots

00:27:45.520 is part of

00:27:46.000 it.

00:27:46.920 What I'd

00:27:47.460 like to

00:27:47.760 see is

00:27:49.460 more of

00:27:50.020 that.

00:27:50.380 But we

00:27:51.220 don't want

00:27:51.580 to robotize

00:27:52.600 too quickly,

00:27:54.000 do we?

00:27:55.460 You don't

00:27:56.600 want to go

00:27:56.920 full robot

00:27:57.800 because that

00:27:58.560 would wipe

00:27:58.960 out American 0.76

00:27:59.480 jobs as

00:28:00.120 well.

00:28:01.220 Unions are

00:28:02.520 going to

00:28:02.620 have a

00:28:02.860 problem with

00:28:03.200 it.

00:28:03.960 So robots

00:28:04.680 are part of

00:28:05.660 the answer,

00:28:06.580 but they're

00:28:07.000 oh, stop

00:28:08.640 getting ahead

00:28:09.140 of me,

00:28:09.460 Mike.

00:28:11.120 Damn you.

00:28:12.900 Over on

00:28:14.800 YouTube, Mike

00:28:16.780 getting way

00:28:18.180 ahead of me.

00:28:19.200 All right, that's

00:28:19.840 where I'm

00:28:20.100 going.

00:28:20.760 We've got a

00:28:21.300 million immigrants

00:28:22.040 coming in.

00:28:23.800 If we took

00:28:24.520 those million

00:28:25.040 immigrants and

00:28:25.700 said, you

00:28:26.940 can come into

00:28:27.520 the United

00:28:27.900 States, but

00:28:28.640 only, only

00:28:30.300 into these

00:28:31.680 following zones,

00:28:33.820 their

00:28:34.000 manufacturing

00:28:34.620 zones, and

00:28:36.080 in these

00:28:36.440 special

00:28:36.840 manufacturing

00:28:37.520 zones where

00:28:38.200 you're welcome,

00:28:39.440 we'd like to

00:28:40.040 know who you

00:28:40.460 are and

00:28:41.680 know who

00:28:43.460 we're getting.

00:28:44.180 We don't

00:28:44.500 want the 0.55

00:28:44.780 criminals.

00:28:45.640 But we're

00:28:45.880 going to be,

00:28:46.660 we've got a

00:28:47.280 lot of

00:28:47.500 immigrants,

00:28:47.980 they're not

00:28:48.240 Americans,

00:28:48.980 and we're

00:28:49.460 not going to

00:28:49.920 hold them

00:28:50.400 to the

00:28:50.780 same

00:28:51.300 minimum

00:28:52.900 wage.

00:28:56.040 You can

00:28:56.620 come live

00:28:57.040 here and

00:28:57.460 you can

00:28:57.700 even stay

00:28:58.140 in factory

00:28:58.920 housing,

00:29:00.020 because it's

00:29:00.940 better than

00:29:01.320 whatever you

00:29:01.780 had going

00:29:02.200 when you

00:29:02.760 left.

00:29:03.580 And maybe

00:29:04.040 you can

00:29:04.340 take some

00:29:04.740 English

00:29:05.860 classes,

00:29:07.160 maybe you

00:29:07.600 can work

00:29:08.000 your way up

00:29:08.760 to some

00:29:09.620 kind of

00:29:09.940 a plan

00:29:10.360 where you

00:29:10.700 could become

00:29:11.260 a citizen,

00:29:11.860 or maybe

00:29:12.160 your kids

00:29:12.560 can become

00:29:13.020 citizens or

00:29:13.660 something.

00:29:14.680 So some

00:29:15.140 kind,

00:29:15.840 somebody says

00:29:16.720 it would be

00:29:17.640 like slave

00:29:18.200 owners.

00:29:19.040 No.

00:29:19.920 You want to

00:29:20.300 do this as

00:29:20.820 humanely as

00:29:21.560 possible,

00:29:22.360 and you

00:29:22.940 want to

00:29:23.200 give them

00:29:23.660 a path

00:29:24.420 in which

00:29:25.540 they solve

00:29:26.260 our problem

00:29:27.000 while we

00:29:28.340 solve their

00:29:28.900 problem.

00:29:30.140 Do you

00:29:30.340 know what

00:29:30.540 our problem

00:29:31.020 is?

00:29:32.280 China.

00:29:33.500 Our problem

00:29:34.300 is China.

00:29:35.680 If we

00:29:36.340 can solve

00:29:36.880 China,

00:29:37.380 and what

00:29:38.800 it brings

00:29:39.180 us is

00:29:39.800 a million

00:29:40.840 immigrants

00:29:41.520 who work

00:29:42.600 and produce

00:29:43.800 things for

00:29:44.560 Americans at

00:29:45.800 low cost,

00:29:47.320 and so

00:29:48.760 they solve

00:29:49.120 our biggest

00:29:49.620 geopolitical

00:29:50.560 problem.

00:29:51.560 They bring

00:29:52.200 youth into

00:29:53.140 the country

00:29:53.640 because we

00:29:54.220 need it

00:29:54.600 for the

00:29:54.900 long run.

00:29:55.320 You've

00:29:55.480 got to

00:29:55.600 bring lots

00:29:56.000 of young

00:29:56.460 people in.

00:29:57.400 They bring

00:29:57.880 in workers

00:29:58.420 who,

00:30:00.020 within their

00:30:00.640 special zones,

00:30:01.700 don't have

00:30:02.120 any minimum

00:30:02.620 wage,

00:30:03.800 but they

00:30:04.160 can still

00:30:04.600 live a

00:30:05.440 decent life

00:30:06.200 while they're

00:30:07.160 learning English

00:30:07.860 and maybe

00:30:08.480 preparing for

00:30:09.660 some more

00:30:10.620 substantial job.

00:30:11.980 Now the

00:30:12.220 key would

00:30:12.620 be that

00:30:14.880 they could

00:30:15.840 do this

00:30:16.340 legally,

00:30:17.100 but they

00:30:18.140 couldn't

00:30:18.400 leave the

00:30:18.860 zone.

00:30:20.000 So you'd

00:30:20.660 have to

00:30:20.980 have some

00:30:21.680 control over

00:30:22.280 that.

00:30:22.800 But you'd

00:30:23.180 want to

00:30:23.400 make it

00:30:23.880 work well

00:30:25.180 enough that

00:30:25.580 people didn't

00:30:26.000 want to

00:30:26.220 leave. 0.99

00:30:27.280 Because if

00:30:27.660 they leave

00:30:28.020 the zone,

00:30:28.480 they're just

00:30:28.780 going to

00:30:28.960 get a

00:30:29.480 low-paying

00:30:30.380 job somewhere

00:30:30.860 else.

00:30:32.080 So if you

00:30:32.600 had a good

00:30:33.500 safe area with

00:30:34.680 maybe even

00:30:35.700 some health

00:30:36.100 care from

00:30:36.620 the companies,

00:30:37.440 not from the

00:30:38.120 government,

00:30:38.520 from the

00:30:38.800 companies,

00:30:40.040 somebody says

00:30:41.580 that's a

00:30:41.900 modern

00:30:42.140 plantation.

00:30:44.520 Compare it

00:30:45.140 to the

00:30:45.360 alternative.

00:30:47.860 So what

00:30:48.560 you're saying

00:30:49.020 is, gosh,

00:30:49.860 you would

00:30:50.120 be building

00:30:50.500 a system

00:30:51.020 that sounds

00:30:51.620 like the

00:30:52.960 company's

00:30:54.020 store.

00:30:55.260 Historically,

00:30:55.840 this has

00:30:56.140 been a bad

00:30:56.600 model.

00:30:57.120 Am I

00:30:57.320 right?

00:30:58.520 Historically,

00:30:59.080 what I'm

00:30:59.480 explaining would

00:31:00.300 have been a

00:31:00.680 bad idea.

00:31:01.680 Do we all

00:31:02.060 agree with

00:31:02.460 that?

00:31:03.800 That

00:31:04.040 historically,

00:31:04.800 what I'm

00:31:06.200 suggesting would

00:31:07.060 have always

00:31:07.440 been a bad

00:31:07.940 idea.

00:31:08.860 It would

00:31:09.040 have just

00:31:09.700 turned into

00:31:10.160 sweatshops and

00:31:11.020 slave labor. 0.73

00:31:12.520 But what's

00:31:12.940 different about

00:31:13.440 2021?

00:31:14.980 You just put

00:31:15.800 cameras everywhere.

00:31:17.740 You just say,

00:31:18.640 okay, if you're a

00:31:19.320 company and you're

00:31:20.060 going to hire

00:31:20.320 these immigrants

00:31:20.980 at less than

00:31:21.740 minimum wage,

00:31:23.220 you have a

00:31:24.220 responsibility to

00:31:25.320 really be

00:31:25.860 monitored in this.

00:31:27.720 And that would

00:31:28.220 be different.

00:31:29.420 In 2021,

00:31:30.320 we can guarantee

00:31:30.980 that these

00:31:31.440 companies are

00:31:32.020 watched very

00:31:32.760 carefully to

00:31:34.320 make sure that

00:31:34.800 they don't

00:31:35.240 become a

00:31:36.060 place where

00:31:36.680 people are

00:31:38.000 stuck forever

00:31:38.580 and they

00:31:40.300 owe money,

00:31:40.960 it's a ghetto,

00:31:42.160 any of that

00:31:42.540 stuff.

00:31:43.040 So the

00:31:43.340 companies would

00:31:43.800 have to make

00:31:44.140 sure that

00:31:44.460 the living

00:31:44.940 spaces are

00:31:45.980 well-maintained,

00:31:48.400 albeit

00:31:48.680 inexpensive.

00:31:49.960 They'd have to

00:31:50.560 make sure that

00:31:51.060 the working

00:31:51.440 conditions are

00:31:52.180 human and

00:31:54.200 that they get

00:31:54.680 paid enough

00:31:55.320 that they're

00:31:56.460 not trapped

00:31:57.020 there forever.

00:31:58.320 They have

00:31:58.700 some way

00:31:59.200 out.

00:31:59.540 somebody says

00:32:02.860 here comes

00:32:03.200 the deep

00:32:03.580 platform.

00:32:07.040 So I'm

00:32:07.600 looking at

00:32:08.020 your comments

00:32:09.480 and I

00:32:11.160 see lots

00:32:11.540 of no,

00:32:13.000 lots of

00:32:13.380 no,

00:32:13.740 they'll want

00:32:14.280 reparations.

00:32:18.280 Sounds like

00:32:19.020 Dubai,

00:32:19.520 I doubt it

00:32:20.200 because I

00:32:20.700 don't think

00:32:21.000 Dubai is

00:32:21.600 worried too

00:32:22.160 much about

00:32:22.600 the working

00:32:23.020 conditions of

00:32:23.760 the immigrants.

00:32:27.820 Scott,

00:32:28.400 this sounds

00:32:28.740 like something

00:32:29.180 that would

00:32:29.540 not take

00:32:30.180 human

00:32:30.520 motivation

00:32:31.040 into account.

00:32:32.340 I believe

00:32:32.860 the opposite

00:32:33.500 of that.

00:32:34.480 I believe

00:32:34.820 that this

00:32:35.180 model relies

00:32:37.120 on human

00:32:37.660 motivation

00:32:38.100 being exactly

00:32:38.840 what it is.

00:32:39.860 In other

00:32:40.240 words,

00:32:40.460 the only way

00:32:40.960 to make

00:32:41.220 this work

00:32:41.840 is to make

00:32:43.100 it more

00:32:43.700 advantageous

00:32:44.640 for immigrants

00:32:45.320 to go

00:32:45.760 through this

00:32:46.280 process

00:32:46.840 than to

00:32:48.160 avoid it.

00:32:49.760 That's the

00:32:50.420 key.

00:32:51.160 You'd have

00:32:51.720 to design

00:32:52.140 the process

00:32:52.800 so that the

00:32:53.780 people who

00:32:54.460 are subject

00:32:55.040 to it say,

00:32:55.600 yeah,

00:32:55.780 I'd prefer

00:32:56.360 it.

00:32:57.120 It's way

00:32:57.540 better than

00:32:57.920 the alternative

00:32:58.460 because the

00:32:59.260 alternative,

00:32:59.780 I don't

00:32:59.960 know what's

00:33:00.280 going to

00:33:00.440 happen to

00:33:00.760 me.

00:33:01.260 But here

00:33:01.580 I've got

00:33:01.860 a definite

00:33:02.240 job.

00:33:02.760 That's

00:33:02.920 better.

00:33:09.500 We are

00:33:10.000 past that

00:33:10.420 point?

00:33:10.660 Yeah.

00:33:11.920 Now,

00:33:12.520 if you think

00:33:13.480 that I think

00:33:14.100 this is

00:33:14.540 practical and

00:33:15.360 we could

00:33:15.660 start this

00:33:16.500 up tomorrow

00:33:17.000 and stuff,

00:33:17.980 not so much.

00:33:19.700 Right?

00:33:19.900 No,

00:33:20.060 it's not like

00:33:20.480 the Uyghur 0.92

00:33:20.980 camp.

00:33:21.560 I guess

00:33:21.800 people would

00:33:22.240 be able to

00:33:23.180 leave and 0.98

00:33:24.140 go home

00:33:24.540 anytime they

00:33:25.040 wanted.

00:33:25.420 They just

00:33:25.740 couldn't leave

00:33:26.200 and come

00:33:26.500 into the

00:33:26.820 country.

00:33:28.220 All right.

00:33:30.380 Here's

00:33:30.780 CNN giving

00:33:34.000 you some

00:33:34.380 fake news

00:33:34.960 with numbers.

00:33:36.160 I'm going

00:33:36.480 to read

00:33:36.700 you what

00:33:37.020 CNN said

00:33:37.720 and see

00:33:38.160 if you

00:33:38.420 can tell

00:33:38.720 me what's

00:33:39.060 the fake

00:33:39.420 news part

00:33:40.000 of this.

00:33:40.520 All right?

00:33:41.660 Here's the

00:33:42.160 test.

00:33:43.000 CNN says,

00:33:43.880 quote,

00:33:44.140 a CDC study

00:33:45.140 published in

00:33:45.680 August suggested

00:33:47.160 that people

00:33:47.880 that got

00:33:48.260 COVID-19

00:33:48.800 in 2020

00:33:50.120 and didn't

00:33:51.800 get a

00:33:52.080 vaccine

00:33:52.540 were more

00:33:53.720 than twice

00:33:54.300 as likely

00:33:54.780 to be

00:33:55.280 reinfected

00:33:56.100 to get

00:33:56.720 COVID a

00:33:57.160 second time

00:33:57.840 in May

00:33:59.560 or June

00:34:00.240 of 2021

00:34:01.600 compared

00:34:02.900 with people

00:34:03.440 who were

00:34:04.740 fully vaccinated.

00:34:06.380 So,

00:34:06.860 you can

00:34:07.380 get COVID

00:34:08.000 if you're

00:34:08.400 vaccinated.

00:34:10.720 All right?

00:34:11.620 You can

00:34:12.240 get COVID

00:34:12.720 if you're

00:34:13.100 vaccinated.

00:34:14.680 Everybody

00:34:15.240 knows that,

00:34:15.860 right?

00:34:16.340 We all know

00:34:17.420 that the

00:34:17.740 vaccine doesn't

00:34:18.520 completely

00:34:19.240 stop it.

00:34:20.320 It reduces

00:34:21.120 the odds

00:34:21.540 way,

00:34:22.000 way down.

00:34:23.520 So,

00:34:23.800 the odds

00:34:24.100 of getting

00:34:24.460 it if

00:34:24.780 you're

00:34:24.920 vaccinated

00:34:25.340 are way

00:34:25.760 down.

00:34:26.140 Most of

00:34:26.440 you don't

00:34:26.800 know that.

00:34:27.820 Most of

00:34:28.280 you think

00:34:28.600 that the

00:34:28.960 odds of

00:34:29.520 getting it

00:34:30.000 is about

00:34:30.700 the same

00:34:31.120 if you're

00:34:31.440 vaccinated

00:34:31.920 or unvaccinated.

00:34:33.300 It's not

00:34:33.880 even close.

00:34:35.260 Right?

00:34:35.520 Did you

00:34:35.820 know that?

00:34:36.620 How many

00:34:36.980 of you

00:34:37.160 didn't know

00:34:37.540 that?

00:34:38.300 Is there

00:34:38.500 anybody

00:34:38.680 here who

00:34:39.080 thought

00:34:39.380 that the

00:34:40.840 odds of

00:34:41.420 getting it

00:34:41.820 were about

00:34:42.180 the same

00:34:42.660 if you're

00:34:43.020 vaccinated

00:34:43.520 or not

00:34:44.020 vaccinated?

00:34:45.220 Yeah,

00:34:45.480 you'll see

00:34:45.800 people telling

00:34:46.400 me I'm

00:34:46.680 wrong.

00:34:49.240 I won't

00:34:50.560 argue it

00:34:51.060 here.

00:34:51.840 Just go

00:34:52.240 research that

00:34:52.880 and watch

00:34:53.820 that the

00:34:54.180 other people

00:34:54.640 in the

00:34:54.900 feed are

00:34:55.380 telling you

00:34:55.760 that you're

00:34:56.120 wrong.

00:34:57.440 See,

00:34:58.120 the thing

00:34:58.580 that makes

00:34:58.920 you think

00:34:59.380 I'm wrong

00:34:59.940 is a

00:35:00.600 statistic

00:35:01.160 that's

00:35:01.540 misleading.

00:35:03.140 And it's

00:35:03.480 a statistic

00:35:04.200 that says

00:35:04.780 that in

00:35:05.300 some places

00:35:06.040 more

00:35:07.080 vaccinated

00:35:07.680 people are

00:35:08.620 coming in

00:35:09.060 with infection

00:35:09.720 than unvaccinated.

00:35:11.580 Right?

00:35:12.440 So that's

00:35:12.880 what you're

00:35:13.180 thinking.

00:35:14.040 There are

00:35:14.320 these places

00:35:14.900 that more

00:35:15.420 vaccinated

00:35:16.060 people have

00:35:16.700 it than

00:35:17.800 unvaccinated.

00:35:18.540 That's

00:35:19.500 not the

00:35:19.900 statistic

00:35:20.360 you should

00:35:20.740 be looking

00:35:21.060 at.

00:35:22.180 That's

00:35:22.660 misleading.

00:35:24.300 And here's

00:35:24.760 why.

00:35:25.020 I'll give

00:35:25.220 you the

00:35:25.420 simple

00:35:25.680 explanation.

00:35:27.060 Once

00:35:27.460 everybody

00:35:28.020 is

00:35:28.280 vaccinated,

00:35:29.000 let's

00:35:29.180 say in

00:35:29.400 a town,

00:35:30.720 just look

00:35:31.220 at a

00:35:31.420 town,

00:35:31.720 everybody

00:35:31.980 gets

00:35:32.260 vaccinated.

00:35:33.580 What

00:35:33.840 percentage

00:35:34.380 of the

00:35:34.660 people who

00:35:35.040 get COVID

00:35:35.560 are vaccinated?

00:35:37.260 All of

00:35:37.840 them.

00:35:39.460 Yeah,

00:35:39.760 100% of

00:35:40.400 the people

00:35:40.660 who get

00:35:40.880 COVID would

00:35:41.440 also be

00:35:41.960 vaccinated

00:35:42.400 because

00:35:42.620 everybody's

00:35:43.060 vaccinated.

00:35:43.900 So the

00:35:44.240 more vaccinations

00:35:45.000 you have,

00:35:46.440 you're

00:35:46.840 guaranteed,

00:35:47.400 given that

00:35:48.300 you can

00:35:48.640 still get

00:35:49.060 it,

00:35:50.100 you're

00:35:50.360 guaranteed

00:35:50.640 that most

00:35:51.300 people who

00:35:52.300 get it will

00:35:52.720 be vaccinated.

00:35:54.220 But that

00:35:55.200 doesn't change

00:35:55.840 the statistic

00:35:56.700 that your odds

00:35:58.400 of getting it

00:35:59.200 at all are

00:36:00.300 way, way

00:36:00.860 lower if

00:36:01.640 you're

00:36:01.780 vaccinated.

00:36:02.860 Now, maybe

00:36:03.480 not in the

00:36:03.900 long term.

00:36:04.480 In the long

00:36:05.020 term, maybe

00:36:05.420 we're all

00:36:05.740 going to get

00:36:06.060 it, right?

00:36:09.040 But you'd

00:36:09.720 rather be

00:36:10.100 vaccinated if

00:36:10.820 you do.

00:36:11.860 Well, maybe

00:36:13.040 you don't.

00:36:13.740 I won't say

00:36:14.240 that you'd

00:36:14.620 rather.

00:36:15.220 I'll say

00:36:15.580 that the

00:36:18.320 scientists are

00:36:18.980 telling you

00:36:19.460 you'd be

00:36:20.120 better off

00:36:20.540 that way.

00:36:21.760 But you

00:36:22.140 make your

00:36:22.500 own decision.

00:36:30.400 Crawley

00:36:30.800 says,

00:36:31.340 you can't

00:36:32.480 know that

00:36:32.960 they aren't

00:36:33.680 tracking

00:36:34.640 vaccinated

00:36:35.420 cases.

00:36:35.880 Yes, they

00:36:36.100 are.

00:36:37.340 Yeah.

00:36:38.100 They're not

00:36:38.660 tracking everybody

00:36:39.480 who got

00:36:39.840 vaccinated.

00:36:41.200 But they're

00:36:41.840 definitely

00:36:42.240 surveying

00:36:43.280 vaccinated and

00:36:44.240 unvaccinated

00:36:44.920 people.

00:36:46.180 That's

00:36:46.600 definitely

00:36:46.880 happening.

00:36:47.900 They're just

00:36:48.440 not counting

00:36:48.900 every single

00:36:49.440 person.

00:36:49.880 But statistically,

00:36:50.900 they just do

00:36:51.720 a sample and

00:36:52.300 that's all

00:36:52.600 they need.

00:36:54.680 All right.

00:36:58.960 So, the

00:37:01.000 fake news is

00:37:01.920 this.

00:37:04.700 Being twice

00:37:05.580 as likely to

00:37:06.440 get reinfected.

00:37:08.340 So, they've

00:37:08.760 compared if you

00:37:09.640 had natural

00:37:10.460 immunity, you've

00:37:11.200 already been

00:37:11.540 infected, compared

00:37:12.840 to only

00:37:13.380 vaccinated, but

00:37:14.400 you've never

00:37:14.720 had it.

00:37:15.280 All right.

00:37:15.460 So, those

00:37:15.780 are the

00:37:16.000 comparisons.

00:37:17.440 Natural

00:37:17.920 immunity to

00:37:19.600 vaccinated.

00:37:20.800 And the

00:37:21.340 claim here on

00:37:22.560 CNN is that

00:37:24.560 you're more

00:37:25.220 than twice as

00:37:25.980 likely to get

00:37:26.740 reinfected if

00:37:28.600 you've only been

00:37:29.440 infected as

00:37:30.940 opposed to

00:37:31.480 been vaccinated.

00:37:34.120 Is that

00:37:34.760 real news or

00:37:35.380 fake news?

00:37:38.300 That's fake

00:37:39.060 news that's

00:37:39.640 true.

00:37:39.940 true.

00:37:40.980 It's fake

00:37:41.820 news that's

00:37:43.420 100% true.

00:37:48.460 Is that a

00:37:49.360 possibility?

00:37:50.380 Can you have

00:37:50.920 fake news that's

00:37:51.680 100% true at

00:37:52.600 the same time?

00:37:53.140 Because I

00:37:53.820 believe the

00:37:54.320 statistics are

00:37:55.080 true.

00:37:56.100 But why is it

00:37:56.860 fake?

00:37:58.320 The way it's

00:37:59.160 presented.

00:38:01.040 Let's say

00:38:01.820 you're a risk

00:38:02.940 of getting a

00:38:06.060 deadly disease,

00:38:06.840 something besides

00:38:07.840 COVID.

00:38:08.560 God, my

00:38:08.940 nose always

00:38:09.420 itches when

00:38:10.660 I'm in

00:38:11.080 public.

00:38:11.860 This is like

00:38:12.300 a psychological

00:38:12.960 thing.

00:38:14.500 So, half the

00:38:15.040 time when I'm

00:38:15.460 doing this is

00:38:16.120 not because of

00:38:16.920 my allergies.

00:38:19.400 It's because I

00:38:19.920 get this

00:38:20.420 psychological itch

00:38:21.440 on my nose when

00:38:22.180 I'm in public.

00:38:25.140 Here's why it's

00:38:25.820 fake news.

00:38:26.560 Let's say,

00:38:27.100 take the

00:38:27.480 example of

00:38:28.180 your risk of

00:38:30.200 being killed

00:38:32.040 by a terrorist.

00:38:33.740 Let's say your

00:38:34.300 personal risk of

00:38:35.160 being killed by a

00:38:35.880 terrorist is 1

00:38:37.260 in 10

00:38:37.780 billion.

00:38:40.540 That's not

00:38:41.100 right.

00:38:42.180 Let's say

00:38:42.520 1 in 100

00:38:46.420 million.

00:38:47.000 I don't know

00:38:47.380 what the real

00:38:47.720 number is.

00:38:48.140 But let's say

00:38:48.440 it's 1 in 100

00:38:49.100 million.

00:38:49.420 That's your

00:38:49.700 risk.

00:38:50.700 And then you

00:38:51.380 double it.

00:38:52.920 You double

00:38:53.580 it.

00:38:55.400 Is that a

00:38:56.060 story?

00:38:57.300 Your risk of

00:38:58.180 being killed by

00:38:58.740 a terrorist

00:38:59.180 just doubled.

00:39:01.400 It's not a

00:39:02.140 story.

00:39:03.160 Because your

00:39:03.720 risk was so

00:39:04.320 low that

00:39:04.780 doubling it

00:39:05.240 didn't make

00:39:05.640 really any

00:39:06.620 difference at

00:39:07.040 all.

00:39:08.260 So when

00:39:09.580 CNN says

00:39:10.480 your risk of

00:39:11.660 getting

00:39:11.940 reinfected

00:39:13.020 if you've

00:39:14.800 got natural

00:39:15.560 immunity,

00:39:16.780 how many

00:39:17.260 people is

00:39:17.740 that?

00:39:19.440 And how

00:39:20.580 big of a

00:39:21.020 difference is

00:39:21.540 that?

00:39:22.600 Is this

00:39:23.220 really a

00:39:23.660 difference we

00:39:24.040 have to care

00:39:24.500 about?

00:39:25.140 Because when

00:39:25.700 they report

00:39:26.200 doubled,

00:39:27.940 if you hear

00:39:28.800 that something

00:39:29.260 involving your

00:39:30.300 health has a

00:39:32.260 double risk,

00:39:33.700 you should act

00:39:34.700 upon that

00:39:35.120 immediately,

00:39:35.660 right?

00:39:36.440 You don't

00:39:36.920 want to

00:39:37.200 double your

00:39:37.760 risk of

00:39:38.240 anything.

00:39:39.080 So immediately

00:39:39.680 take action.

00:39:40.960 But what if

00:39:41.600 the doubling

00:39:42.100 didn't make

00:39:42.540 any difference?

00:39:43.820 Like it still

00:39:44.440 rounds to

00:39:45.060 zero?

00:39:47.020 Then

00:39:47.220 you don't

00:39:48.640 want to

00:39:49.640 take action

00:39:51.480 and the other

00:39:51.880 doesn't.

00:39:52.720 And they're

00:39:53.000 both true.

00:39:53.540 If the risk is

00:39:55.800 so small,

00:39:56.680 doubling doesn't

00:39:57.160 matter,

00:39:58.100 so you don't

00:39:58.540 take action.

00:39:59.640 So they're

00:40:00.100 trying to make

00:40:00.640 you take action

00:40:01.360 by reporting

00:40:02.700 the doubling

00:40:03.260 without telling

00:40:04.380 you what the

00:40:04.740 absolute difference

00:40:05.720 is.

00:40:06.960 Right?

00:40:07.420 That's fake

00:40:08.060 news.

00:40:09.040 That just

00:40:09.720 happens to

00:40:10.240 be completely

00:40:11.660 accurate.

00:40:13.140 Just fake.

00:40:15.820 Apparently

00:40:16.340 there's some

00:40:16.780 big healthcare

00:40:17.300 shortage,

00:40:18.600 a healthcare

00:40:18.980 worker shortage

00:40:19.960 that's not

00:40:21.060 directly related

00:40:22.440 to COVID.

00:40:23.440 Did you know

00:40:23.900 that?

00:40:24.560 This came as

00:40:25.240 a surprise to

00:40:25.840 me.

00:40:26.620 So apparently

00:40:27.000 even before

00:40:27.720 the pandemic

00:40:28.340 there was

00:40:29.000 this sort

00:40:29.980 of a crisis

00:40:30.580 for healthcare

00:40:32.220 employees.

00:40:33.860 And at least

00:40:35.140 based on the

00:40:35.860 reporting,

00:40:36.460 it's not clear

00:40:37.220 why.

00:40:38.780 We don't

00:40:39.120 know exactly

00:40:39.700 why.

00:40:41.360 We've had

00:40:42.060 nursing shortages

00:40:43.060 for ages,

00:40:44.000 yeah.

00:40:44.560 And here's

00:40:45.480 what I don't

00:40:46.040 understand about

00:40:46.760 it.

00:40:47.080 Nursing's a 0.95

00:40:47.660 pretty good

00:40:48.020 job,

00:40:49.060 isn't it?

00:40:50.920 Did that

00:40:51.600 change?

00:40:53.780 I always

00:40:54.740 thought that

00:40:55.320 these healthcare

00:40:56.320 jobs were

00:40:57.100 good jobs.

00:40:57.780 somebody says

00:41:00.240 OnlyFans

00:41:00.960 pays better.

00:41:03.440 Working

00:41:04.080 conditions.

00:41:05.260 Here's my

00:41:06.100 guess.

00:41:07.680 I believe

00:41:08.700 that there's

00:41:09.280 a culture

00:41:10.080 within the

00:41:11.480 medical

00:41:12.000 community

00:41:12.580 for self

00:41:14.240 abuse,

00:41:15.060 which turns

00:41:17.160 into systemic

00:41:18.540 abuse for all

00:41:19.440 healthcare workers.

00:41:21.180 Am I wrong?

00:41:22.700 Now, I'm not

00:41:23.380 directly involved

00:41:24.040 in that world,

00:41:25.000 but what I

00:41:25.600 observe is

00:41:26.480 the hours are

00:41:27.420 just crazy.

00:41:29.280 I mean,

00:41:29.680 lots of you

00:41:30.120 work long

00:41:30.560 hours.

00:41:31.240 I do that

00:41:31.680 myself.

00:41:32.840 But I feel

00:41:34.040 like the

00:41:34.360 healthcare workers

00:41:35.060 are in a

00:41:35.440 whole different

00:41:35.980 level of

00:41:37.620 abuse.

00:41:39.160 And I think

00:41:39.760 that abuse

00:41:40.220 comes from

00:41:41.040 having a lot

00:41:42.460 of doctors

00:41:42.960 in charge

00:41:43.580 who are used

00:41:44.300 to the crazy

00:41:44.840 hours,

00:41:45.340 and if I did

00:41:46.020 it, you

00:41:46.380 have to do

00:41:46.820 it.

00:41:46.940 But let me

00:41:47.720 tell you a

00:41:48.100 conversation I

00:41:48.720 had years ago

00:41:49.280 with a chef

00:41:50.660 for my

00:41:51.820 restaurant.

00:41:52.920 So I had a

00:41:53.560 restaurant years

00:41:54.740 ago,

00:41:54.960 and the

00:41:56.420 chef was

00:41:57.380 just a

00:41:58.400 bastard.

00:41:59.560 He was just

00:41:59.960 a jerk to

00:42:00.780 all the other

00:42:01.380 employees.

00:42:02.360 Just a

00:42:02.840 serious,

00:42:03.700 serious,

00:42:04.200 bad,

00:42:05.020 bad personality

00:42:05.840 and made

00:42:06.720 everybody want

00:42:07.260 to quit.

00:42:08.740 So I had

00:42:09.500 lunch with him

00:42:10.060 and I said,

00:42:11.280 why are you

00:42:11.740 acting like

00:42:12.420 the biggest

00:42:13.260 jerk in the 0.87

00:42:13.820 world when

00:42:15.100 obviously you

00:42:15.840 could just

00:42:16.180 not do it?

00:42:17.220 Like,

00:42:17.500 what is

00:42:18.020 motivating you?

00:42:19.360 And he told

00:42:19.860 me this.

00:42:21.380 It was

00:42:21.760 intentional.

00:42:22.340 It wasn't

00:42:23.800 baked into

00:42:24.500 his personality

00:42:25.320 at birth or

00:42:25.920 anything.

00:42:26.460 He was

00:42:26.940 intentionally

00:42:27.520 being the

00:42:28.080 worst person

00:42:28.680 he could

00:42:29.020 be on

00:42:30.020 the job.

00:42:31.160 Why?

00:42:32.600 Why?

00:42:33.840 Why did

00:42:34.580 the chef

00:42:35.440 tell me

00:42:35.900 directly,

00:42:36.880 I'm not

00:42:37.760 reading between

00:42:38.360 the lines,

00:42:39.420 told me

00:42:39.860 directly why

00:42:41.520 he was a

00:42:42.140 jerk and a

00:42:43.140 horrible person

00:42:43.880 to all the

00:42:44.280 employees?

00:42:44.740 Why?

00:42:46.900 I'm looking

00:42:47.480 at your

00:42:47.800 comments.

00:42:49.480 Weed out

00:42:50.100 the week,

00:42:50.740 unites the

00:42:51.200 employees to

00:42:53.380 make them

00:42:53.700 work harder,

00:42:55.120 motivate them.

00:42:56.200 None of

00:42:56.560 this is right,

00:42:57.060 by the way,

00:42:57.920 because they're

00:42:58.860 immigrants,

00:42:59.920 he's racist. 0.68

00:43:01.460 He was

00:43:01.860 black, by the

00:43:02.380 way, so he

00:43:03.580 wasn't racist.

00:43:04.820 Well, I

00:43:05.320 mean, not in

00:43:06.500 the usual way,

00:43:07.180 anyway.

00:43:10.820 He wouldn't

00:43:11.460 be asked to

00:43:11.920 help them

00:43:12.260 move.

00:43:14.580 That's the

00:43:15.120 best answer.

00:43:16.060 He was a

00:43:16.480 jerk to the

00:43:16.920 employees, so he

00:43:17.680 wouldn't be

00:43:18.060 asked to help

00:43:18.540 them move

00:43:19.080 someday.

00:43:20.720 Maintaining

00:43:21.080 pressure.

00:43:22.900 Boom! 0.99

00:43:23.500 Somebody got

00:43:24.020 it.

00:43:25.540 Not very

00:43:26.260 stacked.

00:43:28.220 Somebody got

00:43:28.920 it.

00:43:29.120 The answer

00:43:29.520 is, that's

00:43:31.120 how he

00:43:31.380 learned it.

00:43:32.860 He was

00:43:33.320 brought up

00:43:33.740 by chefs

00:43:34.220 that abused

00:43:34.740 him.

00:43:36.840 And then

00:43:37.420 he said,

00:43:38.000 so that's

00:43:38.340 why I do

00:43:38.820 it.

00:43:39.780 And then

00:43:40.080 I said,

00:43:40.400 but you

00:43:40.600 know, it's

00:43:40.840 not a

00:43:41.080 good idea.

00:43:42.220 You don't

00:43:42.600 think it's

00:43:42.920 a good

00:43:43.160 idea, do

00:43:43.740 you?

00:43:44.080 You don't

00:43:44.520 think it

00:43:44.820 works.

00:43:46.200 So if

00:43:47.080 you know

00:43:47.280 it doesn't

00:43:47.620 work, why

00:43:49.440 would you

00:43:49.720 do it?

00:43:50.100 And he

00:43:51.840 said, because

00:43:53.200 that's how

00:43:53.540 we learned.

00:43:55.560 And then I

00:43:56.160 said again,

00:43:57.100 yeah, I'm

00:43:58.180 hearing you.

00:43:58.760 I'm hearing you

00:43:59.520 about the part

00:44:00.100 that that's

00:44:00.600 what you

00:44:00.880 learned.

00:44:01.920 But as of

00:44:02.700 today, you

00:44:04.120 can quite

00:44:04.520 clearly see

00:44:05.320 this is a

00:44:06.580 bad idea.

00:44:08.120 You know,

00:44:08.360 people are

00:44:08.760 quitting, I'm

00:44:10.200 having this

00:44:10.640 lunch with

00:44:11.060 you, everything's

00:44:12.240 going to shit, 0.97

00:44:12.900 and it's

00:44:13.620 all because

00:44:14.320 of your

00:44:14.700 personality.

00:44:15.860 Now you

00:44:16.200 see that,

00:44:16.680 right?

00:44:17.200 And given

00:44:17.600 that it's

00:44:17.900 not your

00:44:18.180 natural

00:44:18.500 personality,

00:44:19.180 it's a

00:44:20.060 put-on

00:44:20.480 personality

00:44:21.100 that you're

00:44:21.800 doing

00:44:22.000 intentionally,

00:44:23.140 wouldn't

00:44:23.460 you consider

00:44:24.000 changing

00:44:24.400 that?

00:44:25.440 Maybe

00:44:25.680 doing it

00:44:26.040 differently?

00:44:26.260 And he

00:44:27.980 said,

00:44:28.640 it's not

00:44:30.240 the way I

00:44:30.600 was taught.

00:44:31.880 That's not

00:44:32.380 the way I

00:44:32.800 was taught.

00:44:34.620 He didn't

00:44:35.440 have any

00:44:36.620 reason for

00:44:37.280 it.

00:44:38.560 He was

00:44:39.040 just taught

00:44:39.400 that way.

00:44:40.720 So, now

00:44:41.180 let's get

00:44:41.480 back to

00:44:41.720 the doctors.

00:44:43.180 Do you

00:44:43.440 think the

00:44:43.760 doctors, who

00:44:44.980 often become

00:44:45.660 administrators,

00:44:46.580 or at least

00:44:46.940 have a big

00:44:47.360 influence on

00:44:48.060 the culture

00:44:49.240 of the

00:44:49.820 workplace,

00:44:50.500 do you

00:44:50.720 think a

00:44:51.020 doctor who

00:44:51.640 got terribly

00:44:52.400 abused when

00:44:53.200 they were

00:44:53.520 going through

00:44:54.180 their whatever,

00:44:55.480 do you

00:44:55.680 think that

00:44:56.020 doctor is

00:44:56.560 saying to

00:44:56.840 the people,

00:44:57.140 you know,

00:44:58.520 those long

00:44:59.440 hours were

00:44:59.960 so bad for

00:45:00.700 me in so

00:45:01.160 many ways,

00:45:01.720 and really

00:45:02.000 unhealthy,

00:45:03.020 and I am

00:45:03.440 a health

00:45:03.780 worker,

00:45:05.040 and that was

00:45:05.560 unhealthy.

00:45:06.100 Clearly,

00:45:06.680 lack of sleep

00:45:07.180 is unhealthy,

00:45:07.800 everybody

00:45:08.020 understands that.

00:45:08.700 So, because

00:45:10.660 I know I

00:45:11.680 went through

00:45:12.060 it and it's

00:45:12.400 bad, I

00:45:13.740 will now

00:45:14.120 correct this

00:45:14.820 as best I

00:45:15.420 can and

00:45:16.220 make sure

00:45:16.560 all of my

00:45:17.000 employees get

00:45:17.580 enough sleep.

00:45:19.320 Do you

00:45:19.840 think that's

00:45:20.200 happening?

00:45:21.720 I'll bet

00:45:22.320 not.

00:45:23.960 I'll bet

00:45:24.340 what's

00:45:24.600 happening is,

00:45:25.520 hey, I

00:45:26.280 went through

00:45:26.660 this, so

00:45:27.040 you're going

00:45:27.320 to go

00:45:27.520 through this.

00:45:30.100 I'll bet

00:45:30.640 that's the

00:45:31.040 problem.

00:45:31.820 Now, it's

00:45:32.100 speculation, right?

00:45:33.120 I'm only

00:45:33.520 speculating, so

00:45:34.420 I can easily

00:45:35.520 be wrong.

00:45:36.200 I'm not

00:45:36.500 committed to

00:45:37.000 this opinion.

00:45:37.500 But it's

00:45:38.620 kind of the

00:45:40.860 only thing

00:45:41.320 that people

00:45:42.540 wouldn't talk

00:45:43.240 about,

00:45:43.580 necessarily.

00:45:45.220 Yeah.

00:45:46.140 I think it's

00:45:46.620 the culture.

00:45:47.940 Just a guess.

00:45:50.000 All right.

00:45:53.240 Apparently,

00:45:53.900 climate change,

00:45:55.240 there's a big

00:45:55.860 change in public

00:45:56.920 opinion.

00:45:57.780 According to a

00:45:58.400 new poll,

00:45:59.240 for the first

00:46:00.100 time, a

00:46:00.820 majority of

00:46:01.500 Americans now 0.58

00:46:02.240 believe that

00:46:03.420 the U.S. is

00:46:03.900 facing consequences

00:46:04.940 of a warming

00:46:05.720 world.

00:46:07.900 Have you

00:46:08.520 felt that

00:46:09.080 change?

00:46:11.040 Actually, I

00:46:11.660 thought, I

00:46:12.220 didn't know the

00:46:12.840 percentage until

00:46:13.820 today, but

00:46:14.640 this is the

00:46:15.160 first time that

00:46:17.800 a majority of

00:46:18.540 Americans believe

00:46:19.420 climate change

00:46:20.540 is real.

00:46:22.060 Does that feel

00:46:22.860 right?

00:46:23.720 Did you know

00:46:24.200 this is the

00:46:24.680 first time a

00:46:25.380 majority thought

00:46:26.040 that?

00:46:27.400 Now, that's

00:46:28.080 different than

00:46:28.600 thinking it's a

00:46:29.280 problem that you

00:46:31.260 need to solve,

00:46:32.440 right?

00:46:32.660 So it's

00:46:33.420 slightly different

00:46:34.200 to say that

00:46:35.980 we should solve

00:46:36.640 it, or what

00:46:38.020 resources you

00:46:38.740 should put in

00:46:39.360 to solve it,

00:46:41.080 but just that

00:46:42.220 it's a problem.

00:46:43.800 Now, remember

00:46:44.200 that people like

00:46:45.220 Bjorn Lomborg and

00:46:47.540 Michael Schellenberger

00:46:49.180 will teach you

00:46:50.780 that the warming

00:46:52.080 world might help

00:46:53.040 more than it

00:46:53.580 hurts, and we

00:46:54.060 just don't know.

00:46:55.760 Definitely a

00:46:56.380 risk, because we

00:46:57.160 don't know, but

00:46:58.340 there's no reason

00:46:58.860 to think it'll be

00:46:59.400 worse.

00:47:00.640 The most

00:47:02.280 reasonable take

00:47:03.240 is probably

00:47:04.520 it's going to

00:47:04.900 be better than

00:47:05.740 it was.

00:47:08.600 I don't know

00:47:13.600 what that meme

00:47:14.180 was supposed to

00:47:14.840 apply to, but

00:47:15.640 over on local

00:47:16.800 somebody was

00:47:17.260 supposed to

00:47:17.780 meme that

00:47:18.680 says dick is

00:47:19.360 everywhere,

00:47:19.880 chemistry isn't.

00:47:21.400 I'm like, I

00:47:22.780 think that was

00:47:23.220 relevant to the

00:47:23.900 conversation.

00:47:26.700 So I'm not

00:47:27.540 going to tell

00:47:27.880 you whether you

00:47:28.340 should believe

00:47:28.820 or not believe

00:47:29.300 in climate

00:47:29.700 change, but

00:47:31.500 it's interesting

00:47:33.560 that the world

00:47:34.500 does.

00:47:34.840 Now, what was

00:47:35.680 it that convinced

00:47:36.440 people?

00:47:37.760 What changed

00:47:38.720 recently?

00:47:41.820 What changed?

00:47:44.720 Well, let me

00:47:45.400 tell you what

00:47:45.800 changed.

00:47:47.000 Do you remember

00:47:47.600 that, I forget

00:47:49.100 how we heard it,

00:47:49.720 but I think it

00:47:50.140 was CNN's

00:47:51.140 head saying

00:47:53.640 that they were

00:47:54.240 going to push

00:47:54.840 climate change

00:47:55.580 like crazy,

00:47:56.160 and that they

00:47:57.300 were intentionally

00:47:58.140 going to

00:47:58.960 brainwash the

00:47:59.980 public into

00:48:01.460 making climate

00:48:02.320 change their

00:48:02.840 big issue.

00:48:04.440 The news

00:48:05.300 industry told

00:48:06.020 you that

00:48:06.320 directly.

00:48:07.360 We're going to

00:48:08.100 go persuade the

00:48:08.960 public on

00:48:10.140 climate change.

00:48:11.580 And then it

00:48:12.180 happened.

00:48:13.640 This poll says

00:48:14.640 it worked.

00:48:15.780 This poll says

00:48:16.740 that the news

00:48:17.580 successfully

00:48:18.980 convinced a big

00:48:21.200 part of the

00:48:21.540 public to

00:48:22.640 switch over

00:48:23.220 into worrying.

00:48:24.240 What was it

00:48:24.900 that made

00:48:25.340 them switch?

00:48:26.640 What persuasion

00:48:27.700 got them to

00:48:29.080 switch?

00:48:30.560 Was it

00:48:31.220 the data?

00:48:32.220 Did people

00:48:34.080 switch sides

00:48:34.680 because of the

00:48:35.280 data?

00:48:37.320 Was it the

00:48:38.280 argument, the

00:48:39.060 facts?

00:48:40.140 Was it the

00:48:40.640 facts and

00:48:41.040 argument and

00:48:41.600 the logic and

00:48:42.200 the science?

00:48:43.800 Was it

00:48:44.180 Greta?

00:48:45.900 Nope.

00:48:48.260 Nope.

00:48:50.740 It was the

00:48:51.600 anecdotes.

00:48:53.220 It was all

00:48:53.780 the stories in

00:48:54.540 the news about

00:48:55.780 there's this

00:48:57.100 place with a

00:48:57.940 drought, there's

00:48:59.440 this place with

00:49:00.120 a record this

00:49:00.920 or a record

00:49:01.440 that, and

00:49:02.840 they convinced

00:49:03.860 you with

00:49:04.540 anecdotes.

00:49:06.600 What do

00:49:07.080 anecdotes

00:49:07.800 prove about

00:49:09.200 climate change?

00:49:10.360 Like what

00:49:10.660 does a

00:49:11.020 specific storm

00:49:12.620 or a

00:49:13.580 specific hurricane

00:49:14.480 or a

00:49:15.180 specific drought,

00:49:16.600 what does

00:49:16.880 that tell you

00:49:17.320 about climate

00:49:17.860 change?

00:49:19.720 Nothing.

00:49:21.220 Nothing.

00:49:21.600 So you

00:49:23.200 got persuaded

00:49:24.000 when they

00:49:25.620 stopped using

00:49:26.760 facts and

00:49:28.440 they stopped

00:49:29.020 using science.

00:49:31.440 Then you

00:49:32.180 got persuaded.

00:49:33.160 Not you, but

00:49:34.400 the public.

00:49:36.220 So what is

00:49:37.500 it that I've

00:49:38.000 been saying for

00:49:38.620 a while?

00:49:39.060 Maybe some of

00:49:39.640 you can

00:49:40.880 confirm this.

00:49:42.220 Have I not

00:49:42.940 been saying

00:49:43.540 that whoever

00:49:45.120 is doing the

00:49:45.780 persuasion on

00:49:46.460 climate change

00:49:47.060 isn't doing a

00:49:47.720 good job?

00:49:48.260 They just

00:49:50.440 started doing

00:49:51.040 a good job.

00:49:53.180 Do you

00:49:53.360 know how

00:49:53.840 they moved

00:49:54.860 from doing

00:49:55.260 a bad job

00:49:55.940 to a good

00:49:56.420 job?

00:49:58.620 Trump.

00:50:00.220 They took

00:50:00.940 Trump's

00:50:01.380 technique.

00:50:02.960 They took

00:50:03.560 the anecdote

00:50:04.120 and sold it

00:50:05.180 to the public

00:50:05.640 because the

00:50:06.020 public buys

00:50:06.560 anecdotes.

00:50:07.840 That's why

00:50:08.240 they're selling

00:50:08.700 you the

00:50:09.280 anecdotal

00:50:10.240 guy didn't

00:50:12.080 get the

00:50:12.360 vaccination

00:50:12.840 and he

00:50:13.140 died.

00:50:13.440 because the

00:50:15.460 news has

00:50:15.980 finally learned

00:50:16.740 that facts

00:50:18.540 and reason

00:50:19.040 don't move

00:50:19.540 the public

00:50:20.060 and they're

00:50:21.100 in the job

00:50:21.740 of manipulating

00:50:22.460 the public.

00:50:23.460 They're not

00:50:23.740 in the job

00:50:24.140 of informing.

00:50:25.520 And so they

00:50:25.920 made that

00:50:26.320 adjustment.

00:50:27.660 And so you're

00:50:28.160 going to see

00:50:28.400 more and more

00:50:28.900 anecdote because

00:50:30.640 that persuades.

00:50:33.020 Science and

00:50:33.640 facts, even

00:50:35.200 if it's right,

00:50:36.400 doesn't persuade.

00:50:38.120 So watching

00:50:38.960 this happen in

00:50:39.660 real time,

00:50:40.220 because remember,

00:50:41.260 you know the

00:50:42.000 old story of

00:50:42.560 Babe Ruth,

00:50:43.080 a baseball

00:50:43.620 player, who

00:50:44.760 famously pointed

00:50:46.060 to the fence

00:50:46.660 he was going

00:50:47.060 to hit the

00:50:47.420 home run

00:50:47.780 over and

00:50:48.640 then hit a

00:50:49.100 home run

00:50:49.420 over that

00:50:49.800 fence.

00:50:50.760 You know,

00:50:50.940 famous kind

00:50:51.680 of thing.

00:50:52.620 Larry Bird,

00:50:54.500 if you watched

00:50:55.640 sports, Larry

00:50:56.780 Bird is one of

00:50:57.500 the greatest

00:50:58.020 basketball players.

00:51:00.160 And there's a

00:51:00.880 famous story I was

00:51:01.680 just watching on

00:51:02.300 YouTube where

00:51:03.460 he would tell

00:51:04.880 people what he

00:51:05.500 was going to

00:51:05.880 do before he

00:51:06.500 did it, like

00:51:07.820 crazy stuff.

00:51:09.220 At one point

00:51:09.860 he told people

00:51:10.920 that he was

00:51:11.400 going to do a

00:51:12.760 fadeaway

00:51:13.720 three-pointer

00:51:14.680 and land in

00:51:16.000 the opposite

00:51:16.900 team's trainer's

00:51:18.360 lap.

00:51:20.360 Let me say

00:51:21.000 this again.

00:51:22.140 During a

00:51:22.900 game, during

00:51:24.420 the game,

00:51:26.200 Larry Bird

00:51:26.800 called and

00:51:28.400 told the

00:51:28.880 opponents where

00:51:30.260 he was going

00:51:30.760 to stand, how

00:51:32.200 he was going

00:51:32.680 to take the

00:51:33.180 shot, and

00:51:34.140 there was

00:51:34.420 going to be a

00:51:34.800 fadeaway

00:51:35.180 shot where

00:51:35.740 after he

00:51:36.120 shoots his

00:51:36.520 body goes

00:51:36.980 backwards, and

00:51:38.060 he was going

00:51:38.540 to land in

00:51:39.100 the lap of

00:51:40.540 the trainer

00:51:41.080 of the

00:51:41.680 other team.

00:51:43.160 He took the

00:51:44.080 ball, went to

00:51:45.480 that spot,

00:51:47.140 drained a

00:51:48.040 three-pointer, and

00:51:49.440 fell into the

00:51:50.200 trainer's lap.

00:51:52.380 That actually

00:51:53.220 happened.

00:51:55.180 And by the

00:51:56.040 way, it wasn't

00:51:56.960 even a unique

00:51:58.000 moment in Larry

00:51:59.220 Bird's life.

00:52:00.040 You have to

00:52:00.520 watch the

00:52:01.060 highlight clips

00:52:02.040 of all the

00:52:02.580 Larry Bird

00:52:03.200 greatest moments.

00:52:04.500 It is

00:52:04.880 unbelievable.

00:52:07.280 It's amazing.

00:52:08.120 He would

00:52:08.920 call the

00:52:09.420 most crazy

00:52:10.500 things.

00:52:11.380 True story,

00:52:13.180 one day he

00:52:14.080 told they were

00:52:15.600 winning some

00:52:16.120 series, and he

00:52:17.260 said he was

00:52:17.600 going to play

00:52:18.120 at least three

00:52:18.960 quarters of the

00:52:19.740 next game

00:52:20.300 left-handed.

00:52:22.300 Left-handed.

00:52:23.860 He was a

00:52:24.460 right-handed

00:52:24.760 player.

00:52:26.020 He scored

00:52:26.820 27 points.

00:52:29.860 Left-handed.

00:52:31.940 He called

00:52:32.820 it.

00:52:33.520 He told the

00:52:34.200 other team he

00:52:34.760 was going to

00:52:35.080 play left-handed.

00:52:35.860 They only had

00:52:36.320 to guard one

00:52:36.820 hand.

00:52:38.120 He made

00:52:38.760 their guarding

00:52:39.320 twice as easy

00:52:41.120 by telling them

00:52:42.400 I'm not even

00:52:42.840 going to use

00:52:43.200 this hand.

00:52:44.400 For three

00:52:45.100 quarters.

00:52:46.160 He scored

00:52:46.760 27 points.

00:52:48.980 Now, if you

00:52:49.380 don't follow

00:52:49.780 sports, that's

00:52:50.460 like a lot

00:52:50.980 of points.

00:52:53.160 Left-handed.

00:52:55.520 All right.

00:52:56.560 So, the news

00:52:57.800 just did the

00:52:58.480 same thing.

00:52:58.940 They said we're

00:52:59.440 going to change

00:52:59.940 people's opinion

00:53:00.560 on climate

00:53:01.080 change, and

00:53:02.240 we're going to

00:53:02.580 do it this

00:53:03.000 year.

00:53:04.320 They just

00:53:04.920 did it.

00:53:06.020 They just

00:53:06.440 did it.

00:53:09.080 I'm seeing

00:53:09.520 some comments

00:53:10.100 about, Scott

00:53:12.780 says, investment

00:53:13.540 isn't about

00:53:14.100 right and

00:53:14.420 wrong.

00:53:15.800 Is Apple

00:53:16.560 and Tesla

00:53:17.140 too big to

00:53:17.820 fail?

00:53:18.840 What do you

00:53:19.240 mean by, is

00:53:20.060 Apple and

00:53:20.700 Tesla too

00:53:21.260 big to

00:53:21.620 fail?

00:53:21.940 Nothing's

00:53:22.320 too big to

00:53:22.780 fail.

00:53:24.700 I don't know

00:53:25.340 what the

00:53:25.540 question means.

00:53:26.680 If you mean

00:53:27.200 in an economic

00:53:27.840 sense, no,

00:53:28.440 there's nothing

00:53:28.840 that's too

00:53:29.260 big to fail.

00:53:30.220 You just

00:53:30.560 have to look

00:53:30.960 at the

00:53:31.200 likelihood.

00:53:31.560 The

00:53:34.360 likelihood is

00:53:35.040 that they

00:53:35.680 won't fail.

00:53:36.840 No time

00:53:37.540 soon, anyway.

00:53:39.840 All right.

00:53:41.460 Yeah, Sears

00:53:41.960 failed.

00:53:43.060 Nothing lasts

00:53:43.680 forever, until

00:53:46.120 it does, I

00:53:46.640 guess.

00:53:46.820 So, the

00:53:59.400 climate change

00:54:00.060 polls you

00:54:00.600 were citing

00:54:01.040 are false.

00:54:01.960 That could be.

00:54:03.460 That could be.

00:54:04.780 I will take that

00:54:05.740 comment in the

00:54:08.060 spirit in which

00:54:08.780 it's offered.

00:54:09.200 Yeah, any

00:54:09.980 poll you

00:54:10.500 see, except

00:54:12.680 for Rasmussen,

00:54:13.640 who tends to

00:54:14.780 be pretty

00:54:15.800 darn good.

00:54:16.820 I quote

00:54:17.260 them a lot.

00:54:18.740 But, yeah,

00:54:19.280 just a generic

00:54:20.140 poll from

00:54:20.800 some entity

00:54:21.900 that you're

00:54:22.320 not familiar

00:54:22.800 with.

00:54:23.320 Yeah, you

00:54:24.660 have to be

00:54:25.020 skeptical.

00:54:26.240 All right.

00:54:26.720 I believe we

00:54:27.760 have reached

00:54:28.280 the end of

00:54:29.580 our productive

00:54:30.140 morning.

00:54:32.300 Does anybody

00:54:32.960 feel better

00:54:33.440 now?

00:54:34.940 I told you

00:54:35.700 things we're

00:54:36.060 going to start

00:54:36.420 looking up.

00:54:36.920 Have I

00:54:39.860 followed the

00:54:40.220 recent stories

00:54:40.860 about Havana

00:54:41.500 syndrome?

00:54:42.220 I don't know

00:54:42.580 how recent

00:54:43.000 you mean.

00:54:44.640 But, oh,

00:54:46.480 Jen Psaki

00:54:47.020 brought up the

00:54:47.640 bleach oak last

00:54:48.460 week, and no

00:54:50.180 one corrected

00:54:50.660 her.

00:54:51.180 Just amazing.

00:54:52.200 Amazing.

00:54:53.900 No, I'm not

00:54:54.700 following if

00:54:55.340 there's something

00:54:55.760 new-new about

00:54:56.460 the Havana

00:54:56.900 syndrome, but I

00:54:58.380 assume that it's

00:54:59.260 more not

00:55:00.160 finding it.

00:55:01.860 Oh, I've

00:55:02.420 seen some

00:55:02.820 links to the

00:55:05.360 Larry Bird stuff

00:55:06.160 on YouTube.

00:55:07.920 You sip after

00:55:09.220 I leave?

00:55:10.260 My God.

00:55:12.080 You're a

00:55:12.420 golden age

00:55:12.960 delusion.

00:55:14.560 Is it?

00:55:15.780 Let me make a

00:55:17.060 quick argument

00:55:17.840 for the golden

00:55:18.440 age.

00:55:20.800 Number one,

00:55:23.200 nuclear, let's

00:55:24.580 say war among

00:55:25.320 superpowers, I

00:55:26.240 think, is over

00:55:26.900 because it's

00:55:28.660 unwinnable, and

00:55:29.640 everybody knows

00:55:30.300 it.

00:55:30.980 So I think

00:55:31.480 world wars are

00:55:32.640 probably over in

00:55:33.780 the shooting

00:55:34.840 sense.

00:55:35.300 We'll have

00:55:36.100 lots of

00:55:36.540 cyber stuff,

00:55:37.440 but we'll

00:55:37.740 get that

00:55:38.240 under control.

00:55:39.840 The mRNA

00:55:41.040 platform shows

00:55:43.160 promise for

00:55:43.840 curing all

00:55:44.540 kinds of

00:55:45.000 stuff, including

00:55:45.600 cancer.

00:55:47.420 So because of

00:55:49.340 the pandemic,

00:55:50.260 here are the

00:55:50.860 things that will

00:55:51.440 change, and

00:55:53.540 maybe would not

00:55:54.160 have changed

00:55:54.620 without the

00:55:55.200 pandemic.

00:55:59.320 Commuting and

00:56:00.620 working in the

00:56:01.260 office.

00:56:01.660 business, right?

00:56:03.900 It's one of the

00:56:04.460 worst things in a

00:56:05.680 lot of people's

00:56:06.200 life, was having

00:56:07.040 to commute and

00:56:08.180 working in a

00:56:08.740 terrible office.

00:56:09.720 That's gone

00:56:10.280 forever, in the

00:56:11.580 sense that you

00:56:12.080 at least have

00:56:12.520 options.

00:56:14.180 I mean, you

00:56:14.820 can work for a

00:56:15.380 company that

00:56:15.780 doesn't require it

00:56:16.640 or a company that

00:56:17.320 does, but you

00:56:18.240 have an option

00:56:18.680 now, way more

00:56:19.780 than you ever

00:56:20.160 had.

00:56:20.840 So I think

00:56:21.200 commuting

00:56:21.700 changes.

00:56:24.740 If you're

00:56:25.320 following the

00:56:26.340 electric bicycle

00:56:27.820 market, it's way

00:56:30.180 bigger than you

00:56:30.800 think, meaning

00:56:32.040 the impact on

00:56:33.280 society.

00:56:34.480 So the quality

00:56:35.160 of batteries and

00:56:36.000 the price and

00:56:37.000 power of batteries

00:56:37.920 got to the

00:56:38.420 point where

00:56:39.500 having a battery

00:56:40.360 assist on your

00:56:41.160 bicycle allows

00:56:42.700 you to go 100

00:56:43.420 miles on a

00:56:44.040 bicycle pretty

00:56:45.380 easily.

00:56:46.460 It still takes

00:56:47.020 some time, but

00:56:47.840 it's pretty easy.

00:56:49.500 And it's going

00:56:51.320 to change

00:56:51.660 everything.

00:56:52.300 You don't know

00:56:52.800 it yet, because

00:56:53.340 we haven't

00:56:54.100 organized around

00:56:55.000 it, but in 20

00:56:55.880 years, you're just

00:56:56.640 going to be on an

00:56:57.220 electric something.

00:56:57.960 And maybe even

00:56:59.620 your car will be

00:57:00.400 less useful.

00:57:01.600 I think there's

00:57:02.380 going to be all

00:57:02.700 kinds of changes

00:57:03.320 in housing.

00:57:04.160 I think that the

00:57:06.940 economy will be

00:57:07.820 fine.

00:57:09.720 And I think

00:57:11.520 that AI will

00:57:14.440 not kill us

00:57:15.160 all.

00:57:15.680 I think it will

00:57:16.220 help us.

00:57:18.920 Now, there's a

00:57:19.660 risk of AI

00:57:20.600 killing us all.

00:57:21.500 So, I mean,

00:57:21.920 that's a real

00:57:22.320 risk.

00:57:22.700 We have to

00:57:23.020 manage it.

00:57:23.800 But I think we

00:57:24.400 saw it far

00:57:25.360 enough in advance.

00:57:26.120 e-bikes made

00:57:28.140 in China, yeah.

00:57:29.220 Yeah, I mean,

00:57:30.040 if anybody wants

00:57:32.100 to call me out

00:57:33.020 for buying

00:57:34.120 Chinese products,

00:57:35.180 you're on the

00:57:35.680 wrong page.

00:57:37.300 All right?

00:57:37.900 I'm not the

00:57:38.560 guy telling you

00:57:39.500 that you or I

00:57:40.620 or anybody else

00:57:41.360 has to stop

00:57:42.300 buying all

00:57:43.500 Chinese-made

00:57:44.160 products.

00:57:45.200 I'm not telling

00:57:45.720 you that.

00:57:46.120 That would be

00:57:46.500 bad for American

00:57:47.200 companies, too.

00:57:48.900 What I'm telling

00:57:49.620 you is that

00:57:50.200 moving new

00:57:50.780 business there

00:57:51.320 is done, and

00:57:52.100 that's all it

00:57:52.560 takes to end

00:57:53.740 China.

00:57:56.120 So, those

00:57:59.080 are some of

00:57:59.460 the things

00:57:59.700 that's happening.

00:58:00.420 I would say

00:58:00.960 that most of

00:58:01.800 what's happening

00:58:02.380 is positive,

00:58:04.740 even if it

00:58:05.160 doesn't look

00:58:05.580 that way.

00:58:05.940 Remember, the

00:58:06.360 news is only

00:58:06.940 going to tell

00:58:07.240 you what's

00:58:07.460 bad news.

00:58:08.860 So, Afghanistan

00:58:09.480 is over.

00:58:10.760 The Middle 0.95

00:58:11.120 East looks

00:58:11.760 like more

00:58:12.980 peace than

00:58:13.380 we've ever

00:58:13.780 had because

00:58:14.480 of the

00:58:14.780 Abraham Accords.

00:58:16.840 Iran weirdly 1.00

00:58:18.560 isn't making

00:58:19.140 a lot of

00:58:19.460 noise right

00:58:19.880 now, is

00:58:20.200 it?

00:58:21.800 Why is

00:58:22.400 Iran so 1.00

00:58:22.900 quiet?

00:58:23.980 Anybody?

00:58:24.300 What's

00:58:25.940 happening with

00:58:26.420 Iran? 0.79

00:58:27.340 It's too

00:58:27.800 quiet, right?

00:58:29.240 Almost like

00:58:29.980 something's going

00:58:31.240 to happen, like

00:58:32.660 a deal, maybe.

00:58:34.500 It feels like

00:58:35.420 the calm before

00:58:36.600 some kind of

00:58:37.300 agreement.

00:58:41.260 Newsom, Scott

00:58:42.740 love him.

00:58:44.020 So, this is a

00:58:44.760 comment on

00:58:45.200 YouTube in all

00:58:45.820 capitals.

00:58:46.680 Newsom, Scott

00:58:47.740 love him.

00:58:49.340 Okay, that's

00:58:50.440 not even close

00:58:51.000 to true.

00:58:51.380 Yeah, Israel 0.99

00:58:54.260 has said that

00:58:55.720 they will

00:58:56.080 unilaterally

00:58:56.880 take care of

00:58:57.520 Iran, which 0.77

00:58:58.660 I imagine

00:58:59.180 makes Iran 0.97

00:58:59.780 more afraid

00:59:00.700 and not

00:59:01.040 less.

00:59:02.800 I've got a

00:59:03.480 feeling that

00:59:04.080 Iran would 1.00

00:59:05.140 like a world

00:59:05.960 in which the

00:59:06.480 United States

00:59:07.200 would talk

00:59:08.560 Israel out 0.99

00:59:09.720 of attacking,

00:59:10.660 but apparently

00:59:11.280 that's not

00:59:11.760 going to

00:59:11.940 happen, because

00:59:13.660 Israel just 0.88

00:59:14.220 said, okay,

00:59:14.740 we're just

00:59:15.060 going to do

00:59:15.360 what we need

00:59:15.800 to do, and

00:59:16.940 that could 0.68

00:59:17.960 take care of

00:59:18.500 the problem.

00:59:19.940 Because I'm

00:59:20.420 sure that

00:59:20.800 their intelligence

00:59:21.620 on Iran is

00:59:22.600 pretty darn

00:59:23.060 good by

00:59:23.460 now.

00:59:29.720 Yeah.

00:59:31.260 Still waiting

00:59:31.900 for an e-bike

00:59:32.540 stream.

00:59:33.260 Well, I did

00:59:33.640 an e-bike.

00:59:35.340 Yeah, I guess

00:59:35.980 I should do

00:59:36.500 more of an

00:59:37.040 e-bike stream.

00:59:37.840 I should strap

00:59:38.400 my phone to

00:59:39.020 the bike and

00:59:40.100 take a ride

00:59:40.540 for you.

00:59:42.600 All right.

00:59:44.020 Haitian

00:59:44.400 caravans.

00:59:45.340 Yeah, we've

00:59:45.700 talked about

00:59:46.120 that.

00:59:47.060 There's more

00:59:47.480 coming, like

00:59:48.400 a lot more

00:59:48.960 coming.

00:59:50.800 All right.

01:00:02.260 Just looking

01:00:02.860 at your

01:00:03.140 comments, the

01:00:04.040 news about

01:00:04.440 the Havana

01:00:04.980 syndrome.

01:00:08.800 Well, let me

01:00:09.460 check that

01:00:09.840 while I'm

01:00:10.380 here.

01:00:10.840 So many of

01:00:12.420 you are

01:00:12.680 asking me

01:00:13.140 about the

01:00:13.540 Havana

01:00:15.740 syndrome.

01:00:17.620 So there's

01:00:19.220 some new

01:00:19.780 news that

01:00:20.500 involves the

01:00:21.260 Biden

01:00:22.360 administration.

01:00:24.660 So one

01:00:25.260 hour ago,

01:00:28.800 looking into

01:00:32.200 reports,

01:00:33.420 sensory

01:00:33.880 attacks,

01:00:35.440 they believe

01:00:35.980 they're closer

01:00:36.540 to understanding.

01:00:41.680 There's

01:00:42.260 nothing new

01:00:42.660 here, is

01:00:42.920 there?

01:00:43.040 What's

01:00:44.600 new?

01:00:47.640 What is

01:00:48.460 new on

01:00:49.800 this story?

01:00:50.220 I don't see

01:00:50.560 anything new

01:00:50.940 on this

01:00:51.220 story.

01:00:54.600 What's

01:00:55.000 causing it?

01:00:58.240 Okay.

01:00:59.640 Yeah, I

01:00:59.980 think the

01:01:00.300 government, I

01:01:00.980 don't trust the

01:01:01.840 government on

01:01:02.680 this, but we'll

01:01:03.380 see.

01:01:03.760 All right, let's

01:01:04.800 keep an eye on

01:01:05.300 that, and

01:01:05.980 let's go

01:01:06.580 Brandon.

01:01:07.660 Let's go

01:01:08.280 Brandon.

01:01:08.640 And by the

01:01:10.120 way, it would

01:01:11.260 be hilarious

01:01:11.940 if in

01:01:13.460 places where

01:01:14.040 you couldn't

01:01:14.740 be shouting

01:01:15.800 F Biden, if

01:01:18.040 instead you

01:01:18.640 started chanting

01:01:19.380 let's go

01:01:19.860 Brandon, and

01:01:20.920 everybody knew

01:01:21.400 what you

01:01:21.640 meant.

01:01:22.620 It would be

01:01:23.380 funny.

01:01:24.020 All right,

01:01:24.460 goodbye YouTube,

01:01:25.240 I'll see you

01:01:25.640 tomorrow.

01:01:25.860 Bye.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - October 03, 2021

Episode 1518 Scott Adams： Start Your Day Right With the Simultaneous Sip

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