Real Coffee with Scott Adams - October 03, 2021


Episode 1518 Scott Adams: Start Your Day Right With the Simultaneous Sip


Episode Stats

Length

1 hour and 1 minute

Words per Minute

143.31293

Word Count

8,804

Sentence Count

739

Misogynist Sentences

22

Hate Speech Sentences

41


Summary

Alyssa Milano's speech at the Women's March on Washington and her comments about Roe v. Wade and the Supreme Court's upcoming case on abortion rights, "Abortion Is Not a Crime." Marusha is a comedian, writer, and podcaster. She has appeared on Comedy Central and is a regular contributor to the New York Times and New York Magazine. She is married to actor and comedian Bill Paxton.


Transcript

00:00:00.000 Today is going to be, well, it's going to be a good day.
00:00:04.160 Maybe not for every one of you, but statistically speaking,
00:00:08.740 99.99% of you are going to have a good day.
00:00:13.440 But, you know, some people, not so much.
00:00:16.600 But you, you're going to be good.
00:00:18.600 And why?
00:00:19.760 Well, because you were wise enough, smart enough,
00:00:22.640 and good-looking enough to arrive on time
00:00:26.200 to watch the what?
00:00:27.840 What? That's right, the simultaneous sip.
00:00:31.140 I know, it's almost too good to believe.
00:00:33.620 Imagine your luck.
00:00:35.240 I mean, if the rest of your day goes as well as this has gone so far,
00:00:39.540 wow, the things you can get done today.
00:00:42.720 Could be a good one.
00:00:44.380 There's something that you've been thinking about doing.
00:00:47.860 I'm talking to you right now.
00:00:49.940 Look at me, look at me.
00:00:52.540 I know you're doing other things.
00:00:54.160 You're exercising, you're taking a walk,
00:00:56.320 you're doing some housework.
00:00:57.380 But look at me, look at me.
00:01:00.480 There's something that you were planning to do,
00:01:03.060 or wanted to do,
00:01:04.740 that you're hesitant about.
00:01:07.360 And you're thinking to yourself,
00:01:08.840 I don't even know why I don't want to do it.
00:01:11.740 Like, I sort of have reasons,
00:01:14.140 but I don't know why exactly I don't want to do that thing.
00:01:17.060 I should make that phone call.
00:01:18.680 I should invite that friend.
00:01:19.880 I should ask that person out.
00:01:21.540 I should apply for that job.
00:01:25.300 Do it.
00:01:26.600 Just do it today.
00:01:28.280 Do it today because I said today's a good day to do it.
00:01:31.640 You don't need a better reason.
00:01:33.640 Today's a good day to do it.
00:01:35.460 Just do it.
00:01:36.560 You'll be fine.
00:01:38.140 Will you be embarrassed?
00:01:39.580 Eh, maybe.
00:01:40.700 Get a good story out of it.
00:01:42.280 Will you succeed?
00:01:43.500 I don't know.
00:01:44.620 Does it matter?
00:01:45.520 Nope.
00:01:46.360 Nope.
00:01:47.160 Doesn't matter.
00:01:48.220 Doesn't matter if you succeed.
00:01:49.600 Do you know what matters?
00:01:51.540 That you tried.
00:01:53.320 That's it.
00:01:54.100 That's your system.
00:01:55.820 The system is you try.
00:01:58.640 So do that today.
00:02:00.200 We'll get to the simultaneous sip,
00:02:02.420 but I wanted to leave you that.
00:02:04.100 Today's the day.
00:02:05.280 There's that thing that you've been putting off.
00:02:08.300 You know you need to do it.
00:02:10.180 Just do it.
00:02:10.940 Just do it today.
00:02:12.300 And watch what happens.
00:02:13.140 And now, all you need to enjoy this morning to the maximum extent
00:02:21.580 is a cup or a mug or a glass, a tankard, chalice, or stein,
00:02:24.420 a canteen jug or a flask, a vessel of any kind.
00:02:27.740 Fill it with your favorite liquid.
00:02:29.760 I like coffee.
00:02:31.540 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure.
00:02:37.020 The dopamine of the day, the thing that makes everything better.
00:02:39.100 It's called the simultaneous sip.
00:02:40.400 But it happens now.
00:02:41.760 Go.
00:02:45.780 Ah, yeah.
00:02:46.980 Now you feel the fortification you needed.
00:02:49.440 That little extra push to do that thing.
00:02:52.780 All right, I missed a comment.
00:02:53.880 I'm going to look here from Marusha.
00:02:56.680 You often argue that X isn't bad
00:02:58.660 because we already do some version of X,
00:03:00.740 but this ignores the possibility.
00:03:02.560 Yes, the thing we're already doing is also bad
00:03:04.500 and should be gotten rid...
00:03:05.660 That's a little too generic, Marusha.
00:03:08.260 I understand your point,
00:03:09.500 but you need to connect that to a specific topic
00:03:12.020 and then I can deal with it more effectively.
00:03:14.580 But I understand the point.
00:03:17.940 Alyssa Milano was part of the, I guess, the marches.
00:03:22.620 A lot of women and a lot of men, too.
00:03:25.780 Marched because they're worried about their so-called abortion rights.
00:03:29.960 And they don't want to lose them in the Supreme Court
00:03:32.920 because I guess there's some cases that are coming up
00:03:35.380 that'll challenge Roe vs. Wade.
00:03:39.680 Oh, somebody's got...
00:03:40.960 Very cool.
00:03:42.760 Somebody's watching me in a 3D world.
00:03:47.340 That's very cool.
00:03:50.800 Anyway, so Alyssa Milano was the speaker.
00:03:52.780 Now, you may not be on her team.
00:03:58.120 You know, she identifies with the left.
00:04:00.240 Maybe you're on the right.
00:04:01.580 You're saying to yourself,
00:04:02.940 I don't like that Alyssa Milano.
00:04:05.380 But I've got to tell you, she's good at what she does.
00:04:09.060 And again, I like to compliment people I disagree with.
00:04:12.260 I'm not saying I disagree with her.
00:04:13.680 I'm just saying I'm going to give her a compliment in this case.
00:04:16.060 I've disagreed with her on other stuff.
00:04:18.100 But here's her argument.
00:04:21.440 And she said this, and I quote in a speech,
00:04:24.300 I can't believe how a handful of men,
00:04:26.640 talking about the Supreme Court,
00:04:29.340 I can't believe how a handful of men
00:04:30.900 are successfully taking 50 years of rights away from women
00:04:34.260 and how our Supreme Court, packed with abusers,
00:04:38.380 is just going to sit by and let it all happen.
00:04:44.140 Now, forget about whether you agree with her, right?
00:04:46.520 I know you don't agree with her in many cases, right?
00:04:50.160 Most of you probably don't.
00:04:51.380 If you're watching this, you probably don't.
00:04:55.580 Maybe you do.
00:04:57.000 But just look at the persuasion.
00:05:01.300 Here's the argument that doesn't work.
00:05:04.980 We have a right to abortion.
00:05:08.000 Does that argument move anybody?
00:05:10.040 We've got a right.
00:05:11.360 It's our right.
00:05:13.560 Not really.
00:05:14.340 How about even it's our bodies?
00:05:17.760 Better.
00:05:18.920 It's better.
00:05:19.560 Because everybody responds to that, right?
00:05:21.180 Oh, it's our bodies.
00:05:22.560 But we also know that the government does control our bodies,
00:05:26.760 and we like it that way.
00:05:29.120 We do.
00:05:30.760 The government controls your body, always has,
00:05:34.140 and we like it that way.
00:05:36.200 So it isn't really ever, it's never your body,
00:05:39.060 you know, your choice.
00:05:41.720 You don't live in that world.
00:05:42.860 The government decides if you go to war.
00:05:46.160 The government decides if you're free or you're in jail.
00:05:49.300 Because they make the laws, and if you don't follow them,
00:05:52.100 they decided you're in jail.
00:05:53.920 And then they put you in jail.
00:05:55.120 You don't have control over your body.
00:05:57.880 You want control over your body, maybe.
00:06:00.760 Well, you don't have it.
00:06:02.700 Not even close.
00:06:04.440 All right?
00:06:05.300 So, although the argument can be persuasive,
00:06:08.240 it doesn't make any sense.
00:06:09.340 Because we are, we gave away our rights to our body
00:06:11.900 when we decided to have a government, basically.
00:06:14.640 If they can draft you,
00:06:16.660 if they can draft you,
00:06:18.780 they control your body.
00:06:21.100 Now, I agree with you that you'd like less of it.
00:06:23.760 Are we all on the same page?
00:06:25.600 We'd all like less of that, right?
00:06:27.960 There's nobody who's arguing,
00:06:29.740 give the government more control over my body.
00:06:32.640 No, nobody's on that side.
00:06:34.200 I'm just saying that you're already there.
00:06:36.580 So the argument intellectually kind of fails,
00:06:40.100 but persuasively, I think it does work.
00:06:42.580 It just doesn't work as well as
00:06:44.360 what Alyssa Milano did.
00:06:47.240 What Alyssa Milano did, that really works.
00:06:51.140 This is the best argument against the current situation.
00:06:55.960 So she's arguing that it's men taking things away from women.
00:07:00.640 Now, do you know how the psychology of humans works
00:07:05.280 when they have, let's say,
00:07:08.280 if you were to compare these two things,
00:07:10.360 which is the stronger psychological impulse?
00:07:13.080 The impulse to not lose something you think you have
00:07:16.620 or the desire to guess something that you want,
00:07:20.480 which is the stronger of the two?
00:07:22.600 Not wanting to lose something you already have
00:07:24.900 versus, hey, I'd like a new thing.
00:07:27.160 That'd be great.
00:07:29.600 Yeah, the not losing something is the stronger one.
00:07:34.160 So notice how she puts,
00:07:35.800 she phrases this in terms of
00:07:38.000 a bunch of men
00:07:39.760 taking things away from women.
00:07:43.080 That's not bad, persuasion-wise.
00:07:47.000 I'm not taking a stand on abortion.
00:07:49.060 Can everybody understand that?
00:07:51.260 You're not going to hear my opinion on abortion
00:07:53.400 because my opinion
00:07:55.300 agrees with part of what she said,
00:07:59.060 not the ultimate decision.
00:08:01.620 But the part where she says,
00:08:03.860 why are men involved in deciding
00:08:05.560 what women do with their bodies?
00:08:07.580 That's pretty strong.
00:08:08.820 It's the argument that I use
00:08:09.960 for staying out of the whole thing.
00:08:11.120 If Melissa Alano says to me,
00:08:14.140 hey, Scott Adams,
00:08:16.300 this is unlikely,
00:08:17.420 but if she were to say to me,
00:08:19.700 Scott Adams,
00:08:20.380 why are you even involved in this question?
00:08:23.240 I would say, good point.
00:08:25.900 Good point.
00:08:26.800 Why am I even involved in this question?
00:08:29.320 It's much more credible
00:08:30.660 if women make the decision.
00:08:33.100 It doesn't mean it's right.
00:08:34.740 It doesn't mean it's wrong.
00:08:35.620 And it doesn't take away
00:08:37.080 your right to participate.
00:08:38.720 I don't want to take your right
00:08:39.760 to participate in any question.
00:08:42.540 I'm just saying,
00:08:43.220 if you want the most credible outcome,
00:08:45.640 it would be women deciding
00:08:48.360 what women do with their bodies.
00:08:50.420 Even if there were lots of disagreement on that,
00:08:52.960 it would be the most credible outcome.
00:08:55.100 So that's a good attack vector, I think.
00:08:59.740 I don't know if she'll be successful
00:09:01.100 or what's going to happen
00:09:02.540 in the Supreme Court,
00:09:04.140 but that's good persuasion.
00:09:07.260 It's good persuasion.
00:09:09.220 Here's a tip for you.
00:09:11.460 Ignore the absolutists.
00:09:13.940 This will be one of the most useful tips
00:09:15.920 you'll ever hear.
00:09:17.740 Ignore the absolutists.
00:09:20.260 What's an absolutist?
00:09:21.340 That's somebody who argues
00:09:22.820 that things just are
00:09:24.300 or they are not.
00:09:26.900 And there's nothing about risk
00:09:28.320 or maybe.
00:09:29.540 There's no ambiguity.
00:09:31.720 There's no uncertainty about data.
00:09:34.980 Anybody who's got
00:09:36.120 an absolute point of view,
00:09:38.660 just ignore them.
00:09:40.340 They're not even humans, basically.
00:09:43.020 They're just NPCs.
00:09:44.820 They're just programmed
00:09:45.560 to walk around and say,
00:09:46.420 yes, no.
00:09:48.680 Yeah, that's all they got.
00:09:49.480 Let me give you an example.
00:09:52.340 And sorry, locals.
00:09:54.480 There's somebody on Locals
00:09:55.480 who did this
00:09:56.200 and don't mean to insult you personally,
00:09:59.680 although that's probably going to happen.
00:10:02.440 So I'm probably going to lose
00:10:03.600 one subscriber on Locals today,
00:10:05.680 maybe more.
00:10:07.300 It goes like this.
00:10:08.980 I just saw a meme that says
00:10:10.200 the vaccines don't stop infections,
00:10:13.580 therefore what good are they?
00:10:14.780 Vaccines don't stop infections,
00:10:20.180 therefore what good are they?
00:10:22.700 That's an absolute.
00:10:25.120 Do you believe that vaccines
00:10:27.060 don't reduce any infections?
00:10:29.180 Because that's not the case.
00:10:30.920 We know that pretty definitively,
00:10:32.920 that people who are vaccinated
00:10:34.180 are way less likely to get infected.
00:10:36.240 They do get infected, though.
00:10:37.220 So it doesn't work
00:10:38.820 as a statement of fact
00:10:41.620 that getting vaccinated
00:10:43.280 protects you from infection.
00:10:46.080 But if you treat that
00:10:47.380 as it was an absolute...
00:10:49.940 Yeah, I'm seeing the meme again.
00:10:52.180 I'll read you the meme.
00:10:54.140 It's a tweet from Anthony Brian Logan.
00:10:57.060 He says,
00:10:57.320 CDC Director Rochelle Walensky
00:10:58.940 says that the vaccine
00:11:00.100 cannot prevent transmission.
00:11:02.980 So why are all these pro-vaxxers
00:11:05.680 saying it can't?
00:11:07.280 Huh? Huh?
00:11:08.440 If the CDC Director says
00:11:10.420 that the vaccines
00:11:12.700 cannot prevent infections,
00:11:15.820 why take it?
00:11:17.040 Well, that's the absolutist view.
00:11:20.120 There's nothing you do
00:11:21.320 because it's absolute.
00:11:23.720 You wear your C-Ball
00:11:25.620 because the odds are better
00:11:27.600 with it than without it.
00:11:29.220 Does anybody think
00:11:30.060 that a C-Ball
00:11:30.680 has never killed anybody?
00:11:31.600 I'm sure it has.
00:11:33.480 It's just not as common.
00:11:35.660 So as soon as you're dealing
00:11:36.600 with somebody who says,
00:11:38.540 oh, if the vaccine
00:11:40.900 doesn't stop every transmission,
00:11:43.660 it has no value.
00:11:46.180 You can't talk to people like that.
00:11:48.820 Don't talk to people
00:11:49.760 who talk in absolutes.
00:11:51.360 There's nothing you can do with that.
00:11:52.860 Just walk away.
00:11:53.860 I'm not even sure
00:11:54.500 that they're real people.
00:11:57.120 You know, if we're a simulation,
00:11:59.000 they seem to be the ones
00:11:59.940 that are non-player characters,
00:12:02.120 if you know what I mean.
00:12:02.980 Keith Olbermann has a video out.
00:12:08.660 He's trying to get more people vaccinated.
00:12:10.820 If you don't know Keith Olbermann,
00:12:14.400 let's just say that his entertainment value
00:12:16.660 is extreme.
00:12:20.260 He's not the most rational person
00:12:23.040 I've ever seen,
00:12:24.120 but his entertainment value,
00:12:26.380 pretty high.
00:12:27.920 And in his new video,
00:12:30.820 he's saying that we should stop saying
00:12:35.260 that people are vaccine hesitant
00:12:37.220 because that's too kind to them,
00:12:39.500 says Keith Olbermann.
00:12:40.920 He says instead,
00:12:42.480 we should call them morons,
00:12:44.160 snowflakes,
00:12:44.940 and that they're afraid.
00:12:47.600 They're afraid.
00:12:48.940 That's why they don't get the vaccine.
00:12:50.440 They're afraid.
00:12:51.360 They're afraid.
00:12:52.780 What's wrong with that?
00:12:57.060 What's wrong with it
00:12:58.040 is that every decision
00:12:59.160 about the vaccine or not vaccine
00:13:00.960 is because people are afraid.
00:13:03.360 That's the only reason you get it.
00:13:06.060 Right?
00:13:06.760 I mean, you might not be very afraid,
00:13:08.680 but let's say at least concerned,
00:13:12.540 because whether you get vaccinated
00:13:14.660 or don't get vaccinated,
00:13:16.220 it's all based on fear.
00:13:18.320 The fear is the only thing
00:13:19.400 that's making any of it happen.
00:13:21.500 He thinks one side is operating on fear.
00:13:24.980 That's everybody.
00:13:26.880 That's Keith Olbermann.
00:13:28.280 He's literally afraid
00:13:29.620 that other people won't get vaccinated.
00:13:31.520 It's all fear.
00:13:33.300 There's no non-fear opinion
00:13:35.060 involved in any of this.
00:13:36.800 Now, you might not have much fear,
00:13:40.240 but if you had zero fear,
00:13:42.160 you wouldn't even be involved
00:13:43.360 in the conversation.
00:13:46.320 Anyway, the most important question
00:13:48.220 about his video,
00:13:49.280 and I think Twitter user Angela
00:13:51.580 pointed this out.
00:13:53.960 What we'd like to know
00:13:55.180 is whether the spittle
00:13:57.160 that Keith Olbermann was producing
00:13:58.820 in this rant,
00:14:00.060 was it foaming?
00:14:02.240 Was it just straight spittle?
00:14:03.800 It was a little rabid foaming.
00:14:07.380 I think that's the important question.
00:14:10.760 All right.
00:14:11.420 Well, most of you probably saw this story,
00:14:13.480 which is the funny story of the day,
00:14:15.060 that apparently at sporting events
00:14:17.240 all over the country,
00:14:19.360 a lot of the spectators
00:14:22.840 are starting a chant.
00:14:25.240 What's the chant?
00:14:26.180 I think you already know the chant.
00:14:30.160 It's F. Joe Biden,
00:14:32.440 except they use the full word.
00:14:34.780 And I guess there was a NASCAR race
00:14:38.860 in Alabama's Talladega Speedway.
00:14:43.420 And the winner was a fellow named Brandon Brown.
00:14:48.080 He was being interviewed afterwards,
00:14:49.520 and the chants broke out.
00:14:51.400 F. Joe Biden.
00:14:52.940 F. Joe Biden.
00:14:53.840 And the interviewer,
00:14:57.580 and I still don't know yet
00:14:59.080 if the interviewer was completely aware
00:15:01.220 of what the real chant was,
00:15:03.200 but the interviewer very cleverly,
00:15:04.780 because it was live TV,
00:15:07.060 said, look,
00:15:07.720 they're chanting,
00:15:09.920 go Brandon.
00:15:12.860 No, wait, what is it?
00:15:14.600 It was, let's go Brandon.
00:15:17.360 So, let's go Brandon.
00:15:19.020 Now, that's hilarious,
00:15:22.240 because, you know,
00:15:22.820 we've all had that Lonnie and,
00:15:25.400 Laurel and Yanni experience.
00:15:27.780 So, when you first hear that,
00:15:29.180 you think to yourself,
00:15:30.240 maybe it was.
00:15:31.780 Maybe that is what they're saying,
00:15:33.200 because I've been fooled
00:15:34.020 by all these other audio illusions.
00:15:36.680 Maybe that's what they're saying.
00:15:38.400 But,
00:15:39.380 I'm not,
00:15:41.480 I'm going to say,
00:15:42.520 because I don't know the answer yet.
00:15:43.640 Maybe somebody here knows
00:15:44.880 the answer to the question
00:15:45.880 of whether the interviewer
00:15:48.000 knew exactly what they were doing,
00:15:49.940 or did the interviewer actually think
00:15:51.880 that the chant was something
00:15:53.200 about the race car driver.
00:15:58.740 Does anybody know?
00:16:00.600 I haven't seen,
00:16:02.100 oh, she laughed.
00:16:03.640 Oh, the interviewer is laughing?
00:16:05.880 Well, okay,
00:16:06.540 maybe that's the giveaway.
00:16:09.260 But here's the part I love about the story.
00:16:12.540 What makes this spread?
00:16:15.880 What makes it spread
00:16:17.900 is if Fox News reports it.
00:16:20.360 Right?
00:16:20.920 If Fox News keeps reporting
00:16:23.360 every time there's a stadium
00:16:24.560 that erupts in this chant,
00:16:27.120 and they do,
00:16:28.140 they do report it every time.
00:16:30.960 Does CNN report it every time?
00:16:33.200 I don't think so.
00:16:34.820 How about MSNBC?
00:16:36.240 Do they report that every time?
00:16:38.880 No, probably not.
00:16:41.060 So what happens
00:16:41.940 when Fox News reports it every time?
00:16:43.760 It guarantees it's going to happen.
00:16:47.560 Right?
00:16:48.400 Is it really news?
00:16:50.280 Is it newsworthy
00:16:51.440 that people are chanting this?
00:16:52.860 Well, the first time.
00:16:54.660 Maybe even the second time.
00:16:56.220 And it might be newsworthy,
00:16:57.960 you know,
00:16:58.200 if it's some specific kind of event.
00:17:01.780 But watching Fox News
00:17:03.180 make this happen
00:17:04.180 and pretend that
00:17:05.460 they're just covering the news,
00:17:07.560 no, they're making the news.
00:17:09.720 Fox News is making this happen.
00:17:11.740 And then they're reporting on it.
00:17:14.120 It's a great circular
00:17:15.560 kind of business model.
00:17:17.200 Let's make something happen
00:17:18.300 and then we'll report on it.
00:17:20.420 And we don't even have to
00:17:21.380 spend money researching.
00:17:23.280 We'll just listen to the video
00:17:24.460 and say,
00:17:24.800 oh, there's a report.
00:17:26.360 Got another report there.
00:17:28.140 Got another article out of that.
00:17:30.920 All right.
00:17:31.520 So,
00:17:32.180 and I'm not even criticizing Fox News.
00:17:34.720 I just think it's funny.
00:17:36.140 I think it's hilarious
00:17:36.860 that they're doing it.
00:17:37.700 In the slightly more serious news,
00:17:43.960 the battle for Taiwan has started.
00:17:47.260 Here's the report.
00:17:48.720 So,
00:17:49.080 it's not unusual for China
00:17:50.340 to send aircraft
00:17:51.380 into Taiwan's airspace
00:17:53.480 just to sort of
00:17:54.900 keep them on notice
00:17:56.360 that China says,
00:17:57.480 we own you.
00:17:58.520 But the number that they've sent
00:18:00.420 has just skyrocketed.
00:18:02.320 So,
00:18:02.660 China sent 20 aircraft
00:18:04.080 into Taiwan's space,
00:18:06.340 I guess,
00:18:06.920 yesterday.
00:18:08.260 And then later,
00:18:09.860 a bunch more.
00:18:11.520 So,
00:18:11.760 nearly 80 planes,
00:18:14.040 including fighter jets
00:18:15.220 and bombers,
00:18:17.560 80 Chinese aircraft,
00:18:19.240 including fighter jets
00:18:20.780 and bombers,
00:18:22.340 80
00:18:22.700 in one day
00:18:24.580 violated
00:18:26.120 the Taiwan airspace,
00:18:28.960 according to Taiwan.
00:18:32.120 What do you make of that?
00:18:34.200 Now,
00:18:34.500 obviously,
00:18:35.180 it's because of
00:18:35.820 Biden's weakness.
00:18:36.920 Does anybody disagree with that?
00:18:39.100 It's somewhat obviously
00:18:40.120 because of Biden's weakness.
00:18:42.220 They have to probe it.
00:18:44.040 So,
00:18:44.280 is it smart
00:18:44.880 for China to,
00:18:46.380 you know,
00:18:46.800 probe for a weakness?
00:18:48.560 Yeah,
00:18:48.900 it is smart.
00:18:49.980 I mean,
00:18:50.320 given that their goal
00:18:51.200 is to,
00:18:51.860 you know,
00:18:52.440 get Taiwan under the control
00:18:54.020 eventually,
00:18:54.860 it's very smart.
00:18:56.120 but be careful what you wish for.
00:19:01.480 Be careful what you wish for.
00:19:05.940 Have all of you heard the phrase,
00:19:07.640 a Pyrrhic victory?
00:19:10.180 P-Y-R-R-H-I-C.
00:19:14.460 How many of you have heard the phrase,
00:19:17.000 a Pyrrhic victory?
00:19:19.620 So,
00:19:19.960 this is a pretty
00:19:20.940 well-informed crowd,
00:19:22.200 especially,
00:19:22.660 especially over on,
00:19:24.300 on Locals.
00:19:25.720 On Locals,
00:19:26.340 it's every one of you
00:19:27.060 saying yes.
00:19:28.900 Really?
00:19:31.580 Holy cow.
00:19:33.280 Oh,
00:19:33.600 even,
00:19:33.860 even on YouTube.
00:19:36.280 Wow.
00:19:37.660 I don't know if,
00:19:38.460 does this mean
00:19:38.940 that I have a more educated
00:19:40.240 audience than
00:19:41.620 the average?
00:19:43.180 I can't believe
00:19:43.820 that this would be
00:19:44.480 mostly yeses
00:19:45.420 with a generic audience.
00:19:49.100 Can you?
00:19:50.540 Am I being surprised
00:19:51.780 for no reason
00:19:52.400 or is this actually surprising?
00:19:53.680 It's almost all yeses
00:19:54.680 on two different platforms.
00:19:57.100 Maybe the no people
00:19:57.920 aren't weighing in,
00:19:59.060 but
00:19:59.180 I'll be damned.
00:20:01.280 I really thought
00:20:02.180 that that was going to be
00:20:02.860 closer to like
00:20:03.640 20% of you
00:20:04.960 would know what that meant.
00:20:06.560 All right.
00:20:06.940 Well,
00:20:08.000 surprising,
00:20:09.320 but also
00:20:10.000 good news.
00:20:11.620 It's good news
00:20:13.080 that you all know that.
00:20:14.540 So,
00:20:15.540 a Pyrrhic victory,
00:20:16.600 if there's one person
00:20:17.380 who doesn't know it,
00:20:17.940 it means that you might
00:20:18.700 win the battle,
00:20:20.040 but you've degraded
00:20:21.040 your army so much
00:20:22.040 in winning the battle
00:20:22.900 that you're going
00:20:24.020 to lose the war
00:20:24.920 because you don't have
00:20:25.720 enough left
00:20:26.320 after the battle
00:20:27.040 to maintain
00:20:28.260 and keep things.
00:20:29.820 And imagine,
00:20:31.000 if you will,
00:20:32.320 China militarily
00:20:33.640 taking over Taiwan.
00:20:35.320 Let's just game this
00:20:36.280 out in our heads.
00:20:37.700 Imagine that China
00:20:38.700 militarily attacks Taiwan.
00:20:40.780 What's the United States
00:20:43.080 do?
00:20:44.420 What do we do?
00:20:45.940 Well,
00:20:46.460 I'm sure we'd,
00:20:47.180 you know,
00:20:47.500 arrange our assets,
00:20:48.960 our military assets,
00:20:50.280 but would we
00:20:51.020 fire at mainland China?
00:20:54.480 I don't think so.
00:20:56.260 I don't think
00:20:56.980 that we would get
00:20:57.560 into a shooting war
00:20:58.700 with China
00:20:59.180 because there's
00:21:00.400 just no way
00:21:00.880 you could win.
00:21:02.880 There's nothing
00:21:03.400 like winning
00:21:04.120 that would look
00:21:06.160 like that.
00:21:07.040 I think what we
00:21:08.020 would do
00:21:08.360 is just take out
00:21:09.660 China's economy.
00:21:10.520 for a hundred
00:21:11.680 years.
00:21:12.680 I think China's
00:21:13.740 economy
00:21:14.220 would suffer
00:21:15.940 for a hundred
00:21:16.560 years if they
00:21:17.300 take Taiwan.
00:21:18.540 Now,
00:21:18.820 that might be
00:21:19.280 worth it.
00:21:20.300 They might say,
00:21:20.960 you know,
00:21:22.220 we think in terms
00:21:23.840 of thousands of years.
00:21:25.080 So a hundred years
00:21:25.880 to get Taiwan
00:21:26.840 back under our control?
00:21:28.040 Yeah,
00:21:28.240 let's do it.
00:21:29.160 Maybe.
00:21:29.820 I mean,
00:21:30.220 I can't get into
00:21:31.180 the minds
00:21:31.780 of the Chinese
00:21:32.460 leadership.
00:21:33.680 But I think
00:21:36.800 that it would
00:21:37.340 be impossible
00:21:38.200 for an American
00:21:39.300 business to do
00:21:40.400 any business
00:21:41.180 with China
00:21:41.740 if they were
00:21:42.600 militarily
00:21:43.260 taking over
00:21:44.440 Taiwan.
00:21:45.340 Who disagrees?
00:21:46.840 So just that
00:21:47.700 statement,
00:21:48.980 that the moment
00:21:50.160 that China
00:21:50.840 actually fired
00:21:52.100 on Taiwan
00:21:53.040 militarily,
00:21:54.800 and it was
00:21:55.440 actually war,
00:21:56.060 from that moment
00:21:56.640 on,
00:21:57.520 and for the
00:21:57.960 next hundred
00:21:58.420 years,
00:21:59.240 you couldn't
00:21:59.880 be an American
00:22:00.480 company
00:22:01.000 going to do
00:22:02.300 business in China.
00:22:04.000 And even the ones
00:22:04.920 that are there
00:22:05.320 would have to
00:22:05.800 pull out then.
00:22:06.840 They'd have to.
00:22:07.960 Now,
00:22:08.360 your iPhone
00:22:08.880 is going to
00:22:10.200 suffer for a
00:22:10.820 long time
00:22:11.340 because they
00:22:11.840 won't be able
00:22:12.200 to assemble it.
00:22:14.100 But,
00:22:14.900 so that's the
00:22:16.680 first thing
00:22:17.100 that China
00:22:17.440 has to worry
00:22:17.880 about.
00:22:18.240 It would
00:22:18.500 guarantee
00:22:18.920 crashing their
00:22:19.840 economy.
00:22:20.620 Does anybody
00:22:21.140 think it
00:22:21.620 wouldn't
00:22:22.840 guarantee
00:22:23.480 a crash
00:22:24.840 of China's
00:22:25.440 economy
00:22:25.840 because the
00:22:26.280 rest of the
00:22:26.680 world would
00:22:27.280 just turn on
00:22:28.280 them?
00:22:29.260 Does anybody
00:22:29.740 think that's
00:22:30.160 wrong?
00:22:31.360 Disagree with
00:22:32.100 me if you
00:22:32.780 have a reason.
00:22:34.500 Because you
00:22:34.920 don't think
00:22:35.260 we would just
00:22:35.740 keep doing
00:22:36.220 business,
00:22:36.780 do you?
00:22:37.340 Just business
00:22:38.540 as usual?
00:22:39.680 Well,
00:22:40.140 we lost
00:22:40.500 Taiwan.
00:22:41.660 I sure
00:22:42.020 wish that
00:22:42.400 hadn't
00:22:42.600 happened.
00:22:43.800 Yeah,
00:22:44.040 China's
00:22:44.400 economy is
00:22:45.080 already
00:22:45.340 fragile.
00:22:46.380 But I
00:22:46.920 think this
00:22:47.420 is the
00:22:47.860 further
00:22:48.180 guarantee
00:22:48.640 that China
00:22:49.220 is unsafe
00:22:49.960 for business.
00:22:51.580 Imagine
00:22:52.060 considering
00:22:52.860 doing business
00:22:53.540 in China
00:22:54.060 when you
00:22:55.040 know that
00:22:55.380 they send
00:22:55.740 80 warplanes
00:22:56.660 into Taiwan
00:22:57.760 airspace.
00:22:58.340 you're the
00:23:00.820 CEO of
00:23:01.820 some big
00:23:02.200 company and
00:23:03.500 you're trying
00:23:03.880 to decide
00:23:04.740 whether to
00:23:05.180 move into
00:23:05.620 China to
00:23:06.140 do manufacturing.
00:23:08.220 You can't
00:23:09.060 do it.
00:23:10.080 Just the
00:23:10.560 fact that
00:23:10.980 they're
00:23:11.360 threatening
00:23:12.140 at this
00:23:12.820 level means
00:23:14.180 that China
00:23:14.700 is a
00:23:15.240 potential war
00:23:16.180 zone, at
00:23:17.420 least economically.
00:23:18.900 And then,
00:23:19.340 you know, if
00:23:19.900 it's economically,
00:23:20.800 you can't really
00:23:21.420 move anything
00:23:22.080 there.
00:23:22.960 They won't be
00:23:23.500 able to get
00:23:23.800 any parts and
00:23:24.540 everything will
00:23:25.520 fall apart,
00:23:26.000 no energy,
00:23:27.000 etc.
00:23:28.060 So, as I've
00:23:30.520 told you many
00:23:30.940 times, the
00:23:31.900 economy turns
00:23:33.340 on one thing
00:23:34.260 primarily.
00:23:35.000 As long as you
00:23:35.520 have enough
00:23:35.840 resources,
00:23:36.680 there's one
00:23:37.360 thing that
00:23:37.740 makes the
00:23:38.180 economy run.
00:23:39.380 What is it?
00:23:40.560 What is the
00:23:41.100 one thing that
00:23:41.700 makes an
00:23:42.060 economy work
00:23:42.980 as long as
00:23:43.980 you have enough
00:23:44.340 resources?
00:23:46.140 Expectations.
00:23:47.340 Psychology.
00:23:48.560 Confidence.
00:23:49.320 Yeah.
00:23:49.760 It's the
00:23:50.120 mental part.
00:23:51.680 China has
00:23:53.660 lost
00:23:54.320 the
00:23:56.100 base
00:23:56.560 requirement
00:23:57.300 for a
00:23:59.440 good economy.
00:24:00.740 The
00:24:01.220 base
00:24:01.620 requirement,
00:24:02.620 and there's
00:24:03.020 no exception
00:24:03.520 to this,
00:24:04.960 is some
00:24:05.520 level of
00:24:06.140 trust.
00:24:07.620 You've
00:24:08.020 got to
00:24:08.240 have some
00:24:09.420 trust,
00:24:10.160 some
00:24:10.340 certainty,
00:24:11.440 some
00:24:11.760 confidence.
00:24:13.360 It's all
00:24:14.180 gone.
00:24:15.520 China has
00:24:16.080 burned all
00:24:17.160 of their
00:24:18.100 business
00:24:19.000 capital,
00:24:20.600 their
00:24:20.780 psychological
00:24:21.360 capital.
00:24:22.000 It's all
00:24:22.300 gone now.
00:24:23.240 There's
00:24:23.540 nobody
00:24:24.020 who is
00:24:25.120 a reasonable
00:24:25.620 person who
00:24:26.380 follows
00:24:27.000 world events
00:24:28.160 who thinks
00:24:29.220 it wouldn't
00:24:29.620 be too
00:24:29.980 risky to
00:24:30.480 go into
00:24:30.820 China and
00:24:31.520 do business
00:24:32.000 there because
00:24:32.720 it's way
00:24:33.020 too risky
00:24:33.480 now.
00:24:34.460 Maybe not
00:24:35.040 so much
00:24:35.580 20 years
00:24:36.420 ago,
00:24:36.840 but right
00:24:37.260 now,
00:24:37.800 way too
00:24:38.140 risky.
00:24:39.380 And that
00:24:40.500 psychological
00:24:41.000 problem is
00:24:42.140 just getting
00:24:42.560 bigger.
00:24:44.800 And what
00:24:46.080 is the
00:24:46.440 one thing
00:24:47.060 that the
00:24:47.440 United States
00:24:48.160 would need
00:24:48.860 to guarantee
00:24:50.280 that we
00:24:50.920 take China's
00:24:52.920 economy down
00:24:53.880 without
00:24:54.260 firing a
00:24:55.020 shot.
00:24:57.000 Which
00:24:57.680 president
00:24:59.560 would get
00:25:00.200 you that
00:25:00.540 result?
00:25:02.120 Which
00:25:02.760 president
00:25:03.240 gets you
00:25:03.920 not a
00:25:05.200 single shot
00:25:05.980 fired
00:25:06.460 and China
00:25:08.860 is just
00:25:09.340 dismantled?
00:25:11.700 Only one
00:25:12.600 person on
00:25:13.080 earth,
00:25:13.520 probably.
00:25:14.380 Probably only
00:25:15.240 one person on
00:25:16.020 earth could
00:25:17.080 get that
00:25:17.440 done.
00:25:17.680 If China
00:25:19.880 makes a
00:25:20.540 stronger move
00:25:21.320 for Taiwan,
00:25:23.180 Trump's your
00:25:23.620 next president.
00:25:26.060 I mean,
00:25:26.340 I don't know
00:25:26.680 how you
00:25:26.980 could,
00:25:27.900 that's it.
00:25:28.920 It's over.
00:25:30.020 If China
00:25:30.540 wants to
00:25:30.940 make Trump
00:25:31.380 get a
00:25:32.640 second term,
00:25:34.300 just fire a
00:25:35.420 real missile
00:25:35.940 into Taiwan,
00:25:36.760 just one,
00:25:37.880 and he's
00:25:38.280 president.
00:25:39.520 And he's
00:25:40.140 going to
00:25:40.340 come for
00:25:40.720 you.
00:25:42.260 He's
00:25:42.740 coming for
00:25:43.180 you.
00:25:45.800 And this
00:25:46.480 time,
00:25:46.820 he's
00:25:48.000 going to
00:25:48.200 have the
00:25:48.500 whole
00:25:48.680 country
00:25:49.020 behind him.
00:25:50.160 At least
00:25:50.680 in terms
00:25:51.000 of China.
00:25:51.720 He'll
00:25:52.000 be as
00:25:52.380 divisive
00:25:53.360 as ever
00:25:53.760 in general.
00:25:54.900 But when
00:25:55.240 it comes
00:25:55.500 to China,
00:25:57.020 the whole
00:25:58.480 country's
00:25:58.960 going to
00:25:59.120 be behind
00:25:59.520 him.
00:26:00.800 And what
00:26:01.080 happens if
00:26:01.500 the generals
00:26:01.980 say,
00:26:02.300 I don't
00:26:02.740 think you
00:26:03.140 should do
00:26:03.440 this
00:26:03.640 economic
00:26:04.080 warfare.
00:26:04.700 It
00:26:04.720 might turn
00:26:05.060 into
00:26:05.260 something
00:26:05.540 bad.
00:26:07.240 Nope.
00:26:09.500 Now,
00:26:10.000 would it
00:26:10.220 be a
00:26:10.460 Pyrrhic
00:26:10.720 victory for
00:26:11.260 the United
00:26:11.620 States?
00:26:13.900 Maybe.
00:26:15.100 That's the
00:26:15.640 risk.
00:26:16.060 So that's
00:26:16.940 why you
00:26:17.200 need a
00:26:17.500 Trump to
00:26:18.840 manage what
00:26:19.440 would be
00:26:19.920 kind of a
00:26:20.560 delicate
00:26:20.860 process,
00:26:21.900 which is
00:26:22.580 how do
00:26:22.900 you get
00:26:23.360 our economy
00:26:24.640 to still
00:26:25.200 work if
00:26:25.760 China's
00:26:26.920 economy is
00:26:27.360 going down?
00:26:28.480 It's kind
00:26:28.840 of connected,
00:26:29.440 right?
00:26:30.300 So how do
00:26:30.840 you do
00:26:31.080 that?
00:26:32.100 Let me
00:26:32.480 throw out
00:26:32.900 an idea.
00:26:34.920 Are you
00:26:35.160 ready for
00:26:35.500 a wild
00:26:36.180 brainstorming
00:26:36.940 idea?
00:26:37.880 You ready?
00:26:40.720 I'm going
00:26:41.220 to tie a
00:26:41.600 couple things
00:26:42.040 together.
00:26:42.540 I don't
00:26:42.780 know if
00:26:43.000 this is
00:26:43.320 practical.
00:26:44.120 This is
00:26:44.440 just
00:26:44.640 brainstorming,
00:26:45.380 so don't
00:26:45.740 be too
00:26:46.180 critical.
00:26:47.260 Take this
00:26:47.700 as what
00:26:48.160 I call
00:26:48.420 the bad
00:26:48.840 idea or
00:26:50.240 the bad
00:26:50.660 version.
00:26:51.480 The bad
00:26:52.200 version just
00:26:54.140 makes you
00:26:54.560 maybe think
00:26:55.100 of a better
00:26:55.520 version,
00:26:56.160 right?
00:26:56.360 So I'm
00:26:56.580 just stimulating
00:26:57.240 your thinking
00:26:58.060 process.
00:26:58.940 It goes
00:26:59.240 like this.
00:27:00.920 How could
00:27:01.360 we manufacture
00:27:02.200 things in
00:27:02.760 the United
00:27:03.060 States cheaply
00:27:04.560 enough that
00:27:06.720 we could
00:27:07.060 compete with
00:27:07.740 whatever was
00:27:08.400 happening in
00:27:08.900 China?
00:27:09.760 Two ways.
00:27:11.200 Number one,
00:27:11.760 as I see over
00:27:12.400 in the locals
00:27:12.900 platform,
00:27:13.600 we're well
00:27:14.580 educated on
00:27:15.300 this,
00:27:16.200 robots.
00:27:17.300 You can
00:27:17.920 build with
00:27:18.380 robots just
00:27:19.540 as cheaply in
00:27:20.200 America as
00:27:20.860 you can in
00:27:21.280 China.
00:27:22.100 Do you know
00:27:22.480 why?
00:27:23.540 Because a
00:27:23.920 robot costs
00:27:24.480 the same.
00:27:25.380 If China buys
00:27:26.280 a robot, it
00:27:26.980 costs the same
00:27:27.460 as if we
00:27:27.860 buy a robot.
00:27:29.040 And the
00:27:29.380 robot works
00:27:30.000 all night,
00:27:30.900 and it
00:27:31.760 makes you
00:27:32.060 your stuff.
00:27:33.300 So you
00:27:33.640 get kind
00:27:34.880 of close to
00:27:35.460 the same
00:27:36.160 cost, and
00:27:37.500 you also
00:27:37.840 eliminate the
00:27:38.420 shipping.
00:27:39.260 You eliminate
00:27:39.860 all the time
00:27:40.580 problems in the
00:27:41.360 shipping because
00:27:41.880 it's made
00:27:42.220 locally now.
00:27:42.900 So robots
00:27:45.520 is part of
00:27:46.000 it.
00:27:46.920 What I'd
00:27:47.460 like to
00:27:47.760 see is
00:27:49.460 more of
00:27:50.020 that.
00:27:50.380 But we
00:27:51.220 don't want
00:27:51.580 to robotize
00:27:52.600 too quickly,
00:27:54.000 do we?
00:27:55.460 You don't
00:27:56.600 want to go
00:27:56.920 full robot
00:27:57.800 because that
00:27:58.560 would wipe
00:27:58.960 out American
00:27:59.480 jobs as
00:28:00.120 well.
00:28:01.220 Unions are
00:28:02.520 going to
00:28:02.620 have a
00:28:02.860 problem with
00:28:03.200 it.
00:28:03.960 So robots
00:28:04.680 are part of
00:28:05.660 the answer,
00:28:06.580 but they're
00:28:07.000 oh, stop
00:28:08.640 getting ahead
00:28:09.140 of me,
00:28:09.460 Mike.
00:28:11.120 Damn you.
00:28:12.900 Over on
00:28:14.800 YouTube, Mike
00:28:16.780 getting way
00:28:18.180 ahead of me.
00:28:19.200 All right, that's
00:28:19.840 where I'm
00:28:20.100 going.
00:28:20.760 We've got a
00:28:21.300 million immigrants
00:28:22.040 coming in.
00:28:23.800 If we took
00:28:24.520 those million
00:28:25.040 immigrants and
00:28:25.700 said, you
00:28:26.940 can come into
00:28:27.520 the United
00:28:27.900 States, but
00:28:28.640 only, only
00:28:30.300 into these
00:28:31.680 following zones,
00:28:33.820 their
00:28:34.000 manufacturing
00:28:34.620 zones, and
00:28:36.080 in these
00:28:36.440 special
00:28:36.840 manufacturing
00:28:37.520 zones where
00:28:38.200 you're welcome,
00:28:39.440 we'd like to
00:28:40.040 know who you
00:28:40.460 are and
00:28:41.680 know who
00:28:43.460 we're getting.
00:28:44.180 We don't
00:28:44.500 want the
00:28:44.780 criminals.
00:28:45.640 But we're
00:28:45.880 going to be,
00:28:46.660 we've got a
00:28:47.280 lot of
00:28:47.500 immigrants,
00:28:47.980 they're not
00:28:48.240 Americans,
00:28:48.980 and we're
00:28:49.460 not going to
00:28:49.920 hold them
00:28:50.400 to the
00:28:50.780 same
00:28:51.300 minimum
00:28:52.900 wage.
00:28:56.040 You can
00:28:56.620 come live
00:28:57.040 here and
00:28:57.460 you can
00:28:57.700 even stay
00:28:58.140 in factory
00:28:58.920 housing,
00:29:00.020 because it's
00:29:00.940 better than
00:29:01.320 whatever you
00:29:01.780 had going
00:29:02.200 when you
00:29:02.760 left.
00:29:03.580 And maybe
00:29:04.040 you can
00:29:04.340 take some
00:29:04.740 English
00:29:05.860 classes,
00:29:07.160 maybe you
00:29:07.600 can work
00:29:08.000 your way up
00:29:08.760 to some
00:29:09.620 kind of
00:29:09.940 a plan
00:29:10.360 where you
00:29:10.700 could become
00:29:11.260 a citizen,
00:29:11.860 or maybe
00:29:12.160 your kids
00:29:12.560 can become
00:29:13.020 citizens or
00:29:13.660 something.
00:29:14.680 So some
00:29:15.140 kind,
00:29:15.840 somebody says
00:29:16.720 it would be
00:29:17.640 like slave
00:29:18.200 owners.
00:29:19.040 No.
00:29:19.920 You want to
00:29:20.300 do this as
00:29:20.820 humanely as
00:29:21.560 possible,
00:29:22.360 and you
00:29:22.940 want to
00:29:23.200 give them
00:29:23.660 a path
00:29:24.420 in which
00:29:25.540 they solve
00:29:26.260 our problem
00:29:27.000 while we
00:29:28.340 solve their
00:29:28.900 problem.
00:29:30.140 Do you
00:29:30.340 know what
00:29:30.540 our problem
00:29:31.020 is?
00:29:32.280 China.
00:29:33.500 Our problem
00:29:34.300 is China.
00:29:35.680 If we
00:29:36.340 can solve
00:29:36.880 China,
00:29:37.380 and what
00:29:38.800 it brings
00:29:39.180 us is
00:29:39.800 a million
00:29:40.840 immigrants
00:29:41.520 who work
00:29:42.600 and produce
00:29:43.800 things for
00:29:44.560 Americans at
00:29:45.800 low cost,
00:29:47.320 and so
00:29:48.760 they solve
00:29:49.120 our biggest
00:29:49.620 geopolitical
00:29:50.560 problem.
00:29:51.560 They bring
00:29:52.200 youth into
00:29:53.140 the country
00:29:53.640 because we
00:29:54.220 need it
00:29:54.600 for the
00:29:54.900 long run.
00:29:55.320 You've
00:29:55.480 got to
00:29:55.600 bring lots
00:29:56.000 of young
00:29:56.460 people in.
00:29:57.400 They bring
00:29:57.880 in workers
00:29:58.420 who,
00:30:00.020 within their
00:30:00.640 special zones,
00:30:01.700 don't have
00:30:02.120 any minimum
00:30:02.620 wage,
00:30:03.800 but they
00:30:04.160 can still
00:30:04.600 live a
00:30:05.440 decent life
00:30:06.200 while they're
00:30:07.160 learning English
00:30:07.860 and maybe
00:30:08.480 preparing for
00:30:09.660 some more
00:30:10.620 substantial job.
00:30:11.980 Now the
00:30:12.220 key would
00:30:12.620 be that
00:30:14.880 they could
00:30:15.840 do this
00:30:16.340 legally,
00:30:17.100 but they
00:30:18.140 couldn't
00:30:18.400 leave the
00:30:18.860 zone.
00:30:20.000 So you'd
00:30:20.660 have to
00:30:20.980 have some
00:30:21.680 control over
00:30:22.280 that.
00:30:22.800 But you'd
00:30:23.180 want to
00:30:23.400 make it
00:30:23.880 work well
00:30:25.180 enough that
00:30:25.580 people didn't
00:30:26.000 want to
00:30:26.220 leave.
00:30:27.280 Because if
00:30:27.660 they leave
00:30:28.020 the zone,
00:30:28.480 they're just
00:30:28.780 going to
00:30:28.960 get a
00:30:29.480 low-paying
00:30:30.380 job somewhere
00:30:30.860 else.
00:30:32.080 So if you
00:30:32.600 had a good
00:30:33.500 safe area with
00:30:34.680 maybe even
00:30:35.700 some health
00:30:36.100 care from
00:30:36.620 the companies,
00:30:37.440 not from the
00:30:38.120 government,
00:30:38.520 from the
00:30:38.800 companies,
00:30:40.040 somebody says
00:30:41.580 that's a
00:30:41.900 modern
00:30:42.140 plantation.
00:30:44.520 Compare it
00:30:45.140 to the
00:30:45.360 alternative.
00:30:47.860 So what
00:30:48.560 you're saying
00:30:49.020 is, gosh,
00:30:49.860 you would
00:30:50.120 be building
00:30:50.500 a system
00:30:51.020 that sounds
00:30:51.620 like the
00:30:52.960 company's
00:30:54.020 store.
00:30:55.260 Historically,
00:30:55.840 this has
00:30:56.140 been a bad
00:30:56.600 model.
00:30:57.120 Am I
00:30:57.320 right?
00:30:58.520 Historically,
00:30:59.080 what I'm
00:30:59.480 explaining would
00:31:00.300 have been a
00:31:00.680 bad idea.
00:31:01.680 Do we all
00:31:02.060 agree with
00:31:02.460 that?
00:31:03.800 That
00:31:04.040 historically,
00:31:04.800 what I'm
00:31:06.200 suggesting would
00:31:07.060 have always
00:31:07.440 been a bad
00:31:07.940 idea.
00:31:08.860 It would
00:31:09.040 have just
00:31:09.700 turned into
00:31:10.160 sweatshops and
00:31:11.020 slave labor.
00:31:12.520 But what's
00:31:12.940 different about
00:31:13.440 2021?
00:31:14.980 You just put
00:31:15.800 cameras everywhere.
00:31:17.740 You just say,
00:31:18.640 okay, if you're a
00:31:19.320 company and you're
00:31:20.060 going to hire
00:31:20.320 these immigrants
00:31:20.980 at less than
00:31:21.740 minimum wage,
00:31:23.220 you have a
00:31:24.220 responsibility to
00:31:25.320 really be
00:31:25.860 monitored in this.
00:31:27.720 And that would
00:31:28.220 be different.
00:31:29.420 In 2021,
00:31:30.320 we can guarantee
00:31:30.980 that these
00:31:31.440 companies are
00:31:32.020 watched very
00:31:32.760 carefully to
00:31:34.320 make sure that
00:31:34.800 they don't
00:31:35.240 become a
00:31:36.060 place where
00:31:36.680 people are
00:31:38.000 stuck forever
00:31:38.580 and they
00:31:40.300 owe money,
00:31:40.960 it's a ghetto,
00:31:42.160 any of that
00:31:42.540 stuff.
00:31:43.040 So the
00:31:43.340 companies would
00:31:43.800 have to make
00:31:44.140 sure that
00:31:44.460 the living
00:31:44.940 spaces are
00:31:45.980 well-maintained,
00:31:48.400 albeit
00:31:48.680 inexpensive.
00:31:49.960 They'd have to
00:31:50.560 make sure that
00:31:51.060 the working
00:31:51.440 conditions are
00:31:52.180 human and
00:31:54.200 that they get
00:31:54.680 paid enough
00:31:55.320 that they're
00:31:56.460 not trapped
00:31:57.020 there forever.
00:31:58.320 They have
00:31:58.700 some way
00:31:59.200 out.
00:31:59.540 somebody says
00:32:02.860 here comes
00:32:03.200 the deep
00:32:03.580 platform.
00:32:07.040 So I'm
00:32:07.600 looking at
00:32:08.020 your comments
00:32:09.480 and I
00:32:11.160 see lots
00:32:11.540 of no,
00:32:13.000 lots of
00:32:13.380 no,
00:32:13.740 they'll want
00:32:14.280 reparations.
00:32:18.280 Sounds like
00:32:19.020 Dubai,
00:32:19.520 I doubt it
00:32:20.200 because I
00:32:20.700 don't think
00:32:21.000 Dubai is
00:32:21.600 worried too
00:32:22.160 much about
00:32:22.600 the working
00:32:23.020 conditions of
00:32:23.760 the immigrants.
00:32:27.820 Scott,
00:32:28.400 this sounds
00:32:28.740 like something
00:32:29.180 that would
00:32:29.540 not take
00:32:30.180 human
00:32:30.520 motivation
00:32:31.040 into account.
00:32:32.340 I believe
00:32:32.860 the opposite
00:32:33.500 of that.
00:32:34.480 I believe
00:32:34.820 that this
00:32:35.180 model relies
00:32:37.120 on human
00:32:37.660 motivation
00:32:38.100 being exactly
00:32:38.840 what it is.
00:32:39.860 In other
00:32:40.240 words,
00:32:40.460 the only way
00:32:40.960 to make
00:32:41.220 this work
00:32:41.840 is to make
00:32:43.100 it more
00:32:43.700 advantageous
00:32:44.640 for immigrants
00:32:45.320 to go
00:32:45.760 through this
00:32:46.280 process
00:32:46.840 than to
00:32:48.160 avoid it.
00:32:49.760 That's the
00:32:50.420 key.
00:32:51.160 You'd have
00:32:51.720 to design
00:32:52.140 the process
00:32:52.800 so that the
00:32:53.780 people who
00:32:54.460 are subject
00:32:55.040 to it say,
00:32:55.600 yeah,
00:32:55.780 I'd prefer
00:32:56.360 it.
00:32:57.120 It's way
00:32:57.540 better than
00:32:57.920 the alternative
00:32:58.460 because the
00:32:59.260 alternative,
00:32:59.780 I don't
00:32:59.960 know what's
00:33:00.280 going to
00:33:00.440 happen to
00:33:00.760 me.
00:33:01.260 But here
00:33:01.580 I've got
00:33:01.860 a definite
00:33:02.240 job.
00:33:02.760 That's
00:33:02.920 better.
00:33:09.500 We are
00:33:10.000 past that
00:33:10.420 point?
00:33:10.660 Yeah.
00:33:11.920 Now,
00:33:12.520 if you think
00:33:13.480 that I think
00:33:14.100 this is
00:33:14.540 practical and
00:33:15.360 we could
00:33:15.660 start this
00:33:16.500 up tomorrow
00:33:17.000 and stuff,
00:33:17.980 not so much.
00:33:19.700 Right?
00:33:19.900 No,
00:33:20.060 it's not like
00:33:20.480 the Uyghur
00:33:20.980 camp.
00:33:21.560 I guess
00:33:21.800 people would
00:33:22.240 be able to
00:33:23.180 leave and
00:33:24.140 go home
00:33:24.540 anytime they
00:33:25.040 wanted.
00:33:25.420 They just
00:33:25.740 couldn't leave
00:33:26.200 and come
00:33:26.500 into the
00:33:26.820 country.
00:33:28.220 All right.
00:33:30.380 Here's
00:33:30.780 CNN giving
00:33:34.000 you some
00:33:34.380 fake news
00:33:34.960 with numbers.
00:33:36.160 I'm going
00:33:36.480 to read
00:33:36.700 you what
00:33:37.020 CNN said
00:33:37.720 and see
00:33:38.160 if you
00:33:38.420 can tell
00:33:38.720 me what's
00:33:39.060 the fake
00:33:39.420 news part
00:33:40.000 of this.
00:33:40.520 All right?
00:33:41.660 Here's the
00:33:42.160 test.
00:33:43.000 CNN says,
00:33:43.880 quote,
00:33:44.140 a CDC study
00:33:45.140 published in
00:33:45.680 August suggested
00:33:47.160 that people
00:33:47.880 that got
00:33:48.260 COVID-19
00:33:48.800 in 2020
00:33:50.120 and didn't
00:33:51.800 get a
00:33:52.080 vaccine
00:33:52.540 were more
00:33:53.720 than twice
00:33:54.300 as likely
00:33:54.780 to be
00:33:55.280 reinfected
00:33:56.100 to get
00:33:56.720 COVID a
00:33:57.160 second time
00:33:57.840 in May
00:33:59.560 or June
00:34:00.240 of 2021
00:34:01.600 compared
00:34:02.900 with people
00:34:03.440 who were
00:34:04.740 fully vaccinated.
00:34:06.380 So,
00:34:06.860 you can
00:34:07.380 get COVID
00:34:08.000 if you're
00:34:08.400 vaccinated.
00:34:10.720 All right?
00:34:11.620 You can
00:34:12.240 get COVID
00:34:12.720 if you're
00:34:13.100 vaccinated.
00:34:14.680 Everybody
00:34:15.240 knows that,
00:34:15.860 right?
00:34:16.340 We all know
00:34:17.420 that the
00:34:17.740 vaccine doesn't
00:34:18.520 completely
00:34:19.240 stop it.
00:34:20.320 It reduces
00:34:21.120 the odds
00:34:21.540 way,
00:34:22.000 way down.
00:34:23.520 So,
00:34:23.800 the odds
00:34:24.100 of getting
00:34:24.460 it if
00:34:24.780 you're
00:34:24.920 vaccinated
00:34:25.340 are way
00:34:25.760 down.
00:34:26.140 Most of
00:34:26.440 you don't
00:34:26.800 know that.
00:34:27.820 Most of
00:34:28.280 you think
00:34:28.600 that the
00:34:28.960 odds of
00:34:29.520 getting it
00:34:30.000 is about
00:34:30.700 the same
00:34:31.120 if you're
00:34:31.440 vaccinated
00:34:31.920 or unvaccinated.
00:34:33.300 It's not
00:34:33.880 even close.
00:34:35.260 Right?
00:34:35.520 Did you
00:34:35.820 know that?
00:34:36.620 How many
00:34:36.980 of you
00:34:37.160 didn't know
00:34:37.540 that?
00:34:38.300 Is there
00:34:38.500 anybody
00:34:38.680 here who
00:34:39.080 thought
00:34:39.380 that the
00:34:40.840 odds of
00:34:41.420 getting it
00:34:41.820 were about
00:34:42.180 the same
00:34:42.660 if you're
00:34:43.020 vaccinated
00:34:43.520 or not
00:34:44.020 vaccinated?
00:34:45.220 Yeah,
00:34:45.480 you'll see
00:34:45.800 people telling
00:34:46.400 me I'm
00:34:46.680 wrong.
00:34:49.240 I won't
00:34:50.560 argue it
00:34:51.060 here.
00:34:51.840 Just go
00:34:52.240 research that
00:34:52.880 and watch
00:34:53.820 that the
00:34:54.180 other people
00:34:54.640 in the
00:34:54.900 feed are
00:34:55.380 telling you
00:34:55.760 that you're
00:34:56.120 wrong.
00:34:57.440 See,
00:34:58.120 the thing
00:34:58.580 that makes
00:34:58.920 you think
00:34:59.380 I'm wrong
00:34:59.940 is a
00:35:00.600 statistic
00:35:01.160 that's
00:35:01.540 misleading.
00:35:03.140 And it's
00:35:03.480 a statistic
00:35:04.200 that says
00:35:04.780 that in
00:35:05.300 some places
00:35:06.040 more
00:35:07.080 vaccinated
00:35:07.680 people are
00:35:08.620 coming in
00:35:09.060 with infection
00:35:09.720 than unvaccinated.
00:35:11.580 Right?
00:35:12.440 So that's
00:35:12.880 what you're
00:35:13.180 thinking.
00:35:14.040 There are
00:35:14.320 these places
00:35:14.900 that more
00:35:15.420 vaccinated
00:35:16.060 people have
00:35:16.700 it than
00:35:17.800 unvaccinated.
00:35:18.540 That's
00:35:19.500 not the
00:35:19.900 statistic
00:35:20.360 you should
00:35:20.740 be looking
00:35:21.060 at.
00:35:22.180 That's
00:35:22.660 misleading.
00:35:24.300 And here's
00:35:24.760 why.
00:35:25.020 I'll give
00:35:25.220 you the
00:35:25.420 simple
00:35:25.680 explanation.
00:35:27.060 Once
00:35:27.460 everybody
00:35:28.020 is
00:35:28.280 vaccinated,
00:35:29.000 let's
00:35:29.180 say in
00:35:29.400 a town,
00:35:30.720 just look
00:35:31.220 at a
00:35:31.420 town,
00:35:31.720 everybody
00:35:31.980 gets
00:35:32.260 vaccinated.
00:35:33.580 What
00:35:33.840 percentage
00:35:34.380 of the
00:35:34.660 people who
00:35:35.040 get COVID
00:35:35.560 are vaccinated?
00:35:37.260 All of
00:35:37.840 them.
00:35:39.460 Yeah,
00:35:39.760 100% of
00:35:40.400 the people
00:35:40.660 who get
00:35:40.880 COVID would
00:35:41.440 also be
00:35:41.960 vaccinated
00:35:42.400 because
00:35:42.620 everybody's
00:35:43.060 vaccinated.
00:35:43.900 So the
00:35:44.240 more vaccinations
00:35:45.000 you have,
00:35:46.440 you're
00:35:46.840 guaranteed,
00:35:47.400 given that
00:35:48.300 you can
00:35:48.640 still get
00:35:49.060 it,
00:35:50.100 you're
00:35:50.360 guaranteed
00:35:50.640 that most
00:35:51.300 people who
00:35:52.300 get it will
00:35:52.720 be vaccinated.
00:35:54.220 But that
00:35:55.200 doesn't change
00:35:55.840 the statistic
00:35:56.700 that your odds
00:35:58.400 of getting it
00:35:59.200 at all are
00:36:00.300 way, way
00:36:00.860 lower if
00:36:01.640 you're
00:36:01.780 vaccinated.
00:36:02.860 Now, maybe
00:36:03.480 not in the
00:36:03.900 long term.
00:36:04.480 In the long
00:36:05.020 term, maybe
00:36:05.420 we're all
00:36:05.740 going to get
00:36:06.060 it, right?
00:36:09.040 But you'd
00:36:09.720 rather be
00:36:10.100 vaccinated if
00:36:10.820 you do.
00:36:11.860 Well, maybe
00:36:13.040 you don't.
00:36:13.740 I won't say
00:36:14.240 that you'd
00:36:14.620 rather.
00:36:15.220 I'll say
00:36:15.580 that the
00:36:18.320 scientists are
00:36:18.980 telling you
00:36:19.460 you'd be
00:36:20.120 better off
00:36:20.540 that way.
00:36:21.760 But you
00:36:22.140 make your
00:36:22.500 own decision.
00:36:30.400 Crawley
00:36:30.800 says,
00:36:31.340 you can't
00:36:32.480 know that
00:36:32.960 they aren't
00:36:33.680 tracking
00:36:34.640 vaccinated
00:36:35.420 cases.
00:36:35.880 Yes, they
00:36:36.100 are.
00:36:37.340 Yeah.
00:36:38.100 They're not
00:36:38.660 tracking everybody
00:36:39.480 who got
00:36:39.840 vaccinated.
00:36:41.200 But they're
00:36:41.840 definitely
00:36:42.240 surveying
00:36:43.280 vaccinated and
00:36:44.240 unvaccinated
00:36:44.920 people.
00:36:46.180 That's
00:36:46.600 definitely
00:36:46.880 happening.
00:36:47.900 They're just
00:36:48.440 not counting
00:36:48.900 every single
00:36:49.440 person.
00:36:49.880 But statistically,
00:36:50.900 they just do
00:36:51.720 a sample and
00:36:52.300 that's all
00:36:52.600 they need.
00:36:54.680 All right.
00:36:58.960 So, the
00:37:01.000 fake news is
00:37:01.920 this.
00:37:04.700 Being twice
00:37:05.580 as likely to
00:37:06.440 get reinfected.
00:37:08.340 So, they've
00:37:08.760 compared if you
00:37:09.640 had natural
00:37:10.460 immunity, you've
00:37:11.200 already been
00:37:11.540 infected, compared
00:37:12.840 to only
00:37:13.380 vaccinated, but
00:37:14.400 you've never
00:37:14.720 had it.
00:37:15.280 All right.
00:37:15.460 So, those
00:37:15.780 are the
00:37:16.000 comparisons.
00:37:17.440 Natural
00:37:17.920 immunity to
00:37:19.600 vaccinated.
00:37:20.800 And the
00:37:21.340 claim here on
00:37:22.560 CNN is that
00:37:24.560 you're more
00:37:25.220 than twice as
00:37:25.980 likely to get
00:37:26.740 reinfected if
00:37:28.600 you've only been
00:37:29.440 infected as
00:37:30.940 opposed to
00:37:31.480 been vaccinated.
00:37:34.120 Is that
00:37:34.760 real news or
00:37:35.380 fake news?
00:37:38.300 That's fake
00:37:39.060 news that's
00:37:39.640 true.
00:37:39.940 true.
00:37:40.980 It's fake
00:37:41.820 news that's
00:37:43.420 100% true.
00:37:48.460 Is that a
00:37:49.360 possibility?
00:37:50.380 Can you have
00:37:50.920 fake news that's
00:37:51.680 100% true at
00:37:52.600 the same time?
00:37:53.140 Because I
00:37:53.820 believe the
00:37:54.320 statistics are
00:37:55.080 true.
00:37:56.100 But why is it
00:37:56.860 fake?
00:37:58.320 The way it's
00:37:59.160 presented.
00:38:01.040 Let's say
00:38:01.820 you're a risk
00:38:02.940 of getting a
00:38:06.060 deadly disease,
00:38:06.840 something besides
00:38:07.840 COVID.
00:38:08.560 God, my
00:38:08.940 nose always
00:38:09.420 itches when
00:38:10.660 I'm in
00:38:11.080 public.
00:38:11.860 This is like
00:38:12.300 a psychological
00:38:12.960 thing.
00:38:14.500 So, half the
00:38:15.040 time when I'm
00:38:15.460 doing this is
00:38:16.120 not because of
00:38:16.920 my allergies.
00:38:19.400 It's because I
00:38:19.920 get this
00:38:20.420 psychological itch
00:38:21.440 on my nose when
00:38:22.180 I'm in public.
00:38:25.140 Here's why it's
00:38:25.820 fake news.
00:38:26.560 Let's say,
00:38:27.100 take the
00:38:27.480 example of
00:38:28.180 your risk of
00:38:30.200 being killed
00:38:32.040 by a terrorist.
00:38:33.740 Let's say your
00:38:34.300 personal risk of
00:38:35.160 being killed by a
00:38:35.880 terrorist is 1
00:38:37.260 in 10
00:38:37.780 billion.
00:38:40.540 That's not
00:38:41.100 right.
00:38:42.180 Let's say
00:38:42.520 1 in 100
00:38:46.420 million.
00:38:47.000 I don't know
00:38:47.380 what the real
00:38:47.720 number is.
00:38:48.140 But let's say
00:38:48.440 it's 1 in 100
00:38:49.100 million.
00:38:49.420 That's your
00:38:49.700 risk.
00:38:50.700 And then you
00:38:51.380 double it.
00:38:52.920 You double
00:38:53.580 it.
00:38:55.400 Is that a
00:38:56.060 story?
00:38:57.300 Your risk of
00:38:58.180 being killed by
00:38:58.740 a terrorist
00:38:59.180 just doubled.
00:39:01.400 It's not a
00:39:02.140 story.
00:39:03.160 Because your
00:39:03.720 risk was so
00:39:04.320 low that
00:39:04.780 doubling it
00:39:05.240 didn't make
00:39:05.640 really any
00:39:06.620 difference at
00:39:07.040 all.
00:39:08.260 So when
00:39:09.580 CNN says
00:39:10.480 your risk of
00:39:11.660 getting
00:39:11.940 reinfected
00:39:13.020 if you've
00:39:14.800 got natural
00:39:15.560 immunity,
00:39:16.780 how many
00:39:17.260 people is
00:39:17.740 that?
00:39:19.440 And how
00:39:20.580 big of a
00:39:21.020 difference is
00:39:21.540 that?
00:39:22.600 Is this
00:39:23.220 really a
00:39:23.660 difference we
00:39:24.040 have to care
00:39:24.500 about?
00:39:25.140 Because when
00:39:25.700 they report
00:39:26.200 doubled,
00:39:27.940 if you hear
00:39:28.800 that something
00:39:29.260 involving your
00:39:30.300 health has a
00:39:32.260 double risk,
00:39:33.700 you should act
00:39:34.700 upon that
00:39:35.120 immediately,
00:39:35.660 right?
00:39:36.440 You don't
00:39:36.920 want to
00:39:37.200 double your
00:39:37.760 risk of
00:39:38.240 anything.
00:39:39.080 So immediately
00:39:39.680 take action.
00:39:40.960 But what if
00:39:41.600 the doubling
00:39:42.100 didn't make
00:39:42.540 any difference?
00:39:43.820 Like it still
00:39:44.440 rounds to
00:39:45.060 zero?
00:39:47.020 Then
00:39:47.220 you don't
00:39:48.640 want to
00:39:49.640 take action
00:39:51.480 and the other
00:39:51.880 doesn't.
00:39:52.720 And they're
00:39:53.000 both true.
00:39:53.540 If the risk is
00:39:55.800 so small,
00:39:56.680 doubling doesn't
00:39:57.160 matter,
00:39:58.100 so you don't
00:39:58.540 take action.
00:39:59.640 So they're
00:40:00.100 trying to make
00:40:00.640 you take action
00:40:01.360 by reporting
00:40:02.700 the doubling
00:40:03.260 without telling
00:40:04.380 you what the
00:40:04.740 absolute difference
00:40:05.720 is.
00:40:06.960 Right?
00:40:07.420 That's fake
00:40:08.060 news.
00:40:09.040 That just
00:40:09.720 happens to
00:40:10.240 be completely
00:40:11.660 accurate.
00:40:13.140 Just fake.
00:40:15.820 Apparently
00:40:16.340 there's some
00:40:16.780 big healthcare
00:40:17.300 shortage,
00:40:18.600 a healthcare
00:40:18.980 worker shortage
00:40:19.960 that's not
00:40:21.060 directly related
00:40:22.440 to COVID.
00:40:23.440 Did you know
00:40:23.900 that?
00:40:24.560 This came as
00:40:25.240 a surprise to
00:40:25.840 me.
00:40:26.620 So apparently
00:40:27.000 even before
00:40:27.720 the pandemic
00:40:28.340 there was
00:40:29.000 this sort
00:40:29.980 of a crisis
00:40:30.580 for healthcare
00:40:32.220 employees.
00:40:33.860 And at least
00:40:35.140 based on the
00:40:35.860 reporting,
00:40:36.460 it's not clear
00:40:37.220 why.
00:40:38.780 We don't
00:40:39.120 know exactly
00:40:39.700 why.
00:40:41.360 We've had
00:40:42.060 nursing shortages
00:40:43.060 for ages,
00:40:44.000 yeah.
00:40:44.560 And here's
00:40:45.480 what I don't
00:40:46.040 understand about
00:40:46.760 it.
00:40:47.080 Nursing's a
00:40:47.660 pretty good
00:40:48.020 job,
00:40:49.060 isn't it?
00:40:50.920 Did that
00:40:51.600 change?
00:40:53.780 I always
00:40:54.740 thought that
00:40:55.320 these healthcare
00:40:56.320 jobs were
00:40:57.100 good jobs.
00:40:57.780 somebody says
00:41:00.240 OnlyFans
00:41:00.960 pays better.
00:41:03.440 Working
00:41:04.080 conditions.
00:41:05.260 Here's my
00:41:06.100 guess.
00:41:07.680 I believe
00:41:08.700 that there's
00:41:09.280 a culture
00:41:10.080 within the
00:41:11.480 medical
00:41:12.000 community
00:41:12.580 for self
00:41:14.240 abuse,
00:41:15.060 which turns
00:41:17.160 into systemic
00:41:18.540 abuse for all
00:41:19.440 healthcare workers.
00:41:21.180 Am I wrong?
00:41:22.700 Now, I'm not
00:41:23.380 directly involved
00:41:24.040 in that world,
00:41:25.000 but what I
00:41:25.600 observe is
00:41:26.480 the hours are
00:41:27.420 just crazy.
00:41:29.280 I mean,
00:41:29.680 lots of you
00:41:30.120 work long
00:41:30.560 hours.
00:41:31.240 I do that
00:41:31.680 myself.
00:41:32.840 But I feel
00:41:34.040 like the
00:41:34.360 healthcare workers
00:41:35.060 are in a
00:41:35.440 whole different
00:41:35.980 level of
00:41:37.620 abuse.
00:41:39.160 And I think
00:41:39.760 that abuse
00:41:40.220 comes from
00:41:41.040 having a lot
00:41:42.460 of doctors
00:41:42.960 in charge
00:41:43.580 who are used
00:41:44.300 to the crazy
00:41:44.840 hours,
00:41:45.340 and if I did
00:41:46.020 it, you
00:41:46.380 have to do
00:41:46.820 it.
00:41:46.940 But let me
00:41:47.720 tell you a
00:41:48.100 conversation I
00:41:48.720 had years ago
00:41:49.280 with a chef
00:41:50.660 for my
00:41:51.820 restaurant.
00:41:52.920 So I had a
00:41:53.560 restaurant years
00:41:54.740 ago,
00:41:54.960 and the
00:41:56.420 chef was
00:41:57.380 just a
00:41:58.400 bastard.
00:41:59.560 He was just
00:41:59.960 a jerk to
00:42:00.780 all the other
00:42:01.380 employees.
00:42:02.360 Just a
00:42:02.840 serious,
00:42:03.700 serious,
00:42:04.200 bad,
00:42:05.020 bad personality
00:42:05.840 and made
00:42:06.720 everybody want
00:42:07.260 to quit.
00:42:08.740 So I had
00:42:09.500 lunch with him
00:42:10.060 and I said,
00:42:11.280 why are you
00:42:11.740 acting like
00:42:12.420 the biggest
00:42:13.260 jerk in the
00:42:13.820 world when
00:42:15.100 obviously you
00:42:15.840 could just
00:42:16.180 not do it?
00:42:17.220 Like,
00:42:17.500 what is
00:42:18.020 motivating you?
00:42:19.360 And he told
00:42:19.860 me this.
00:42:21.380 It was
00:42:21.760 intentional.
00:42:22.340 It wasn't
00:42:23.800 baked into
00:42:24.500 his personality
00:42:25.320 at birth or
00:42:25.920 anything.
00:42:26.460 He was
00:42:26.940 intentionally
00:42:27.520 being the
00:42:28.080 worst person
00:42:28.680 he could
00:42:29.020 be on
00:42:30.020 the job.
00:42:31.160 Why?
00:42:32.600 Why?
00:42:33.840 Why did
00:42:34.580 the chef
00:42:35.440 tell me
00:42:35.900 directly,
00:42:36.880 I'm not
00:42:37.760 reading between
00:42:38.360 the lines,
00:42:39.420 told me
00:42:39.860 directly why
00:42:41.520 he was a
00:42:42.140 jerk and a
00:42:43.140 horrible person
00:42:43.880 to all the
00:42:44.280 employees?
00:42:44.740 Why?
00:42:46.900 I'm looking
00:42:47.480 at your
00:42:47.800 comments.
00:42:49.480 Weed out
00:42:50.100 the week,
00:42:50.740 unites the
00:42:51.200 employees to
00:42:53.380 make them
00:42:53.700 work harder,
00:42:55.120 motivate them.
00:42:56.200 None of
00:42:56.560 this is right,
00:42:57.060 by the way,
00:42:57.920 because they're
00:42:58.860 immigrants,
00:42:59.920 he's racist.
00:43:01.460 He was
00:43:01.860 black, by the
00:43:02.380 way, so he
00:43:03.580 wasn't racist.
00:43:04.820 Well, I
00:43:05.320 mean, not in
00:43:06.500 the usual way,
00:43:07.180 anyway.
00:43:10.820 He wouldn't
00:43:11.460 be asked to
00:43:11.920 help them
00:43:12.260 move.
00:43:14.580 That's the
00:43:15.120 best answer.
00:43:16.060 He was a
00:43:16.480 jerk to the
00:43:16.920 employees, so he
00:43:17.680 wouldn't be
00:43:18.060 asked to help
00:43:18.540 them move
00:43:19.080 someday.
00:43:20.720 Maintaining
00:43:21.080 pressure.
00:43:22.900 Boom!
00:43:23.500 Somebody got
00:43:24.020 it.
00:43:25.540 Not very
00:43:26.260 stacked.
00:43:28.220 Somebody got
00:43:28.920 it.
00:43:29.120 The answer
00:43:29.520 is, that's
00:43:31.120 how he
00:43:31.380 learned it.
00:43:32.860 He was
00:43:33.320 brought up
00:43:33.740 by chefs
00:43:34.220 that abused
00:43:34.740 him.
00:43:36.840 And then
00:43:37.420 he said,
00:43:38.000 so that's
00:43:38.340 why I do
00:43:38.820 it.
00:43:39.780 And then
00:43:40.080 I said,
00:43:40.400 but you
00:43:40.600 know, it's
00:43:40.840 not a
00:43:41.080 good idea.
00:43:42.220 You don't
00:43:42.600 think it's
00:43:42.920 a good
00:43:43.160 idea, do
00:43:43.740 you?
00:43:44.080 You don't
00:43:44.520 think it
00:43:44.820 works.
00:43:46.200 So if
00:43:47.080 you know
00:43:47.280 it doesn't
00:43:47.620 work, why
00:43:49.440 would you
00:43:49.720 do it?
00:43:50.100 And he
00:43:51.840 said, because
00:43:53.200 that's how
00:43:53.540 we learned.
00:43:55.560 And then I
00:43:56.160 said again,
00:43:57.100 yeah, I'm
00:43:58.180 hearing you.
00:43:58.760 I'm hearing you
00:43:59.520 about the part
00:44:00.100 that that's
00:44:00.600 what you
00:44:00.880 learned.
00:44:01.920 But as of
00:44:02.700 today, you
00:44:04.120 can quite
00:44:04.520 clearly see
00:44:05.320 this is a
00:44:06.580 bad idea.
00:44:08.120 You know,
00:44:08.360 people are
00:44:08.760 quitting, I'm
00:44:10.200 having this
00:44:10.640 lunch with
00:44:11.060 you, everything's
00:44:12.240 going to shit,
00:44:12.900 and it's
00:44:13.620 all because
00:44:14.320 of your
00:44:14.700 personality.
00:44:15.860 Now you
00:44:16.200 see that,
00:44:16.680 right?
00:44:17.200 And given
00:44:17.600 that it's
00:44:17.900 not your
00:44:18.180 natural
00:44:18.500 personality,
00:44:19.180 it's a
00:44:20.060 put-on
00:44:20.480 personality
00:44:21.100 that you're
00:44:21.800 doing
00:44:22.000 intentionally,
00:44:23.140 wouldn't
00:44:23.460 you consider
00:44:24.000 changing
00:44:24.400 that?
00:44:25.440 Maybe
00:44:25.680 doing it
00:44:26.040 differently?
00:44:26.260 And he
00:44:27.980 said,
00:44:28.640 it's not
00:44:30.240 the way I
00:44:30.600 was taught.
00:44:31.880 That's not
00:44:32.380 the way I
00:44:32.800 was taught.
00:44:34.620 He didn't
00:44:35.440 have any
00:44:36.620 reason for
00:44:37.280 it.
00:44:38.560 He was
00:44:39.040 just taught
00:44:39.400 that way.
00:44:40.720 So, now
00:44:41.180 let's get
00:44:41.480 back to
00:44:41.720 the doctors.
00:44:43.180 Do you
00:44:43.440 think the
00:44:43.760 doctors, who
00:44:44.980 often become
00:44:45.660 administrators,
00:44:46.580 or at least
00:44:46.940 have a big
00:44:47.360 influence on
00:44:48.060 the culture
00:44:49.240 of the
00:44:49.820 workplace,
00:44:50.500 do you
00:44:50.720 think a
00:44:51.020 doctor who
00:44:51.640 got terribly
00:44:52.400 abused when
00:44:53.200 they were
00:44:53.520 going through
00:44:54.180 their whatever,
00:44:55.480 do you
00:44:55.680 think that
00:44:56.020 doctor is
00:44:56.560 saying to
00:44:56.840 the people,
00:44:57.140 you know,
00:44:58.520 those long
00:44:59.440 hours were
00:44:59.960 so bad for
00:45:00.700 me in so
00:45:01.160 many ways,
00:45:01.720 and really
00:45:02.000 unhealthy,
00:45:03.020 and I am
00:45:03.440 a health
00:45:03.780 worker,
00:45:05.040 and that was
00:45:05.560 unhealthy.
00:45:06.100 Clearly,
00:45:06.680 lack of sleep
00:45:07.180 is unhealthy,
00:45:07.800 everybody
00:45:08.020 understands that.
00:45:08.700 So, because
00:45:10.660 I know I
00:45:11.680 went through
00:45:12.060 it and it's
00:45:12.400 bad, I
00:45:13.740 will now
00:45:14.120 correct this
00:45:14.820 as best I
00:45:15.420 can and
00:45:16.220 make sure
00:45:16.560 all of my
00:45:17.000 employees get
00:45:17.580 enough sleep.
00:45:19.320 Do you
00:45:19.840 think that's
00:45:20.200 happening?
00:45:21.720 I'll bet
00:45:22.320 not.
00:45:23.960 I'll bet
00:45:24.340 what's
00:45:24.600 happening is,
00:45:25.520 hey, I
00:45:26.280 went through
00:45:26.660 this, so
00:45:27.040 you're going
00:45:27.320 to go
00:45:27.520 through this.
00:45:30.100 I'll bet
00:45:30.640 that's the
00:45:31.040 problem.
00:45:31.820 Now, it's
00:45:32.100 speculation, right?
00:45:33.120 I'm only
00:45:33.520 speculating, so
00:45:34.420 I can easily
00:45:35.520 be wrong.
00:45:36.200 I'm not
00:45:36.500 committed to
00:45:37.000 this opinion.
00:45:37.500 But it's
00:45:38.620 kind of the
00:45:40.860 only thing
00:45:41.320 that people
00:45:42.540 wouldn't talk
00:45:43.240 about,
00:45:43.580 necessarily.
00:45:45.220 Yeah.
00:45:46.140 I think it's
00:45:46.620 the culture.
00:45:47.940 Just a guess.
00:45:50.000 All right.
00:45:53.240 Apparently,
00:45:53.900 climate change,
00:45:55.240 there's a big
00:45:55.860 change in public
00:45:56.920 opinion.
00:45:57.780 According to a
00:45:58.400 new poll,
00:45:59.240 for the first
00:46:00.100 time, a
00:46:00.820 majority of
00:46:01.500 Americans now
00:46:02.240 believe that
00:46:03.420 the U.S. is
00:46:03.900 facing consequences
00:46:04.940 of a warming
00:46:05.720 world.
00:46:07.900 Have you
00:46:08.520 felt that
00:46:09.080 change?
00:46:11.040 Actually, I
00:46:11.660 thought, I
00:46:12.220 didn't know the
00:46:12.840 percentage until
00:46:13.820 today, but
00:46:14.640 this is the
00:46:15.160 first time that
00:46:17.800 a majority of
00:46:18.540 Americans believe
00:46:19.420 climate change
00:46:20.540 is real.
00:46:22.060 Does that feel
00:46:22.860 right?
00:46:23.720 Did you know
00:46:24.200 this is the
00:46:24.680 first time a
00:46:25.380 majority thought
00:46:26.040 that?
00:46:27.400 Now, that's
00:46:28.080 different than
00:46:28.600 thinking it's a
00:46:29.280 problem that you
00:46:31.260 need to solve,
00:46:32.440 right?
00:46:32.660 So it's
00:46:33.420 slightly different
00:46:34.200 to say that
00:46:35.980 we should solve
00:46:36.640 it, or what
00:46:38.020 resources you
00:46:38.740 should put in
00:46:39.360 to solve it,
00:46:41.080 but just that
00:46:42.220 it's a problem.
00:46:43.800 Now, remember
00:46:44.200 that people like
00:46:45.220 Bjorn Lomborg and
00:46:47.540 Michael Schellenberger
00:46:49.180 will teach you
00:46:50.780 that the warming
00:46:52.080 world might help
00:46:53.040 more than it
00:46:53.580 hurts, and we
00:46:54.060 just don't know.
00:46:55.760 Definitely a
00:46:56.380 risk, because we
00:46:57.160 don't know, but
00:46:58.340 there's no reason
00:46:58.860 to think it'll be
00:46:59.400 worse.
00:47:00.640 The most
00:47:02.280 reasonable take
00:47:03.240 is probably
00:47:04.520 it's going to
00:47:04.900 be better than
00:47:05.740 it was.
00:47:08.600 I don't know
00:47:13.600 what that meme
00:47:14.180 was supposed to
00:47:14.840 apply to, but
00:47:15.640 over on local
00:47:16.800 somebody was
00:47:17.260 supposed to
00:47:17.780 meme that
00:47:18.680 says dick is
00:47:19.360 everywhere,
00:47:19.880 chemistry isn't.
00:47:21.400 I'm like, I
00:47:22.780 think that was
00:47:23.220 relevant to the
00:47:23.900 conversation.
00:47:26.700 So I'm not
00:47:27.540 going to tell
00:47:27.880 you whether you
00:47:28.340 should believe
00:47:28.820 or not believe
00:47:29.300 in climate
00:47:29.700 change, but
00:47:31.500 it's interesting
00:47:33.560 that the world
00:47:34.500 does.
00:47:34.840 Now, what was
00:47:35.680 it that convinced
00:47:36.440 people?
00:47:37.760 What changed
00:47:38.720 recently?
00:47:41.820 What changed?
00:47:44.720 Well, let me
00:47:45.400 tell you what
00:47:45.800 changed.
00:47:47.000 Do you remember
00:47:47.600 that, I forget
00:47:49.100 how we heard it,
00:47:49.720 but I think it
00:47:50.140 was CNN's
00:47:51.140 head saying
00:47:53.640 that they were
00:47:54.240 going to push
00:47:54.840 climate change
00:47:55.580 like crazy,
00:47:56.160 and that they
00:47:57.300 were intentionally
00:47:58.140 going to
00:47:58.960 brainwash the
00:47:59.980 public into
00:48:01.460 making climate
00:48:02.320 change their
00:48:02.840 big issue.
00:48:04.440 The news
00:48:05.300 industry told
00:48:06.020 you that
00:48:06.320 directly.
00:48:07.360 We're going to
00:48:08.100 go persuade the
00:48:08.960 public on
00:48:10.140 climate change.
00:48:11.580 And then it
00:48:12.180 happened.
00:48:13.640 This poll says
00:48:14.640 it worked.
00:48:15.780 This poll says
00:48:16.740 that the news
00:48:17.580 successfully
00:48:18.980 convinced a big
00:48:21.200 part of the
00:48:21.540 public to
00:48:22.640 switch over
00:48:23.220 into worrying.
00:48:24.240 What was it
00:48:24.900 that made
00:48:25.340 them switch?
00:48:26.640 What persuasion
00:48:27.700 got them to
00:48:29.080 switch?
00:48:30.560 Was it
00:48:31.220 the data?
00:48:32.220 Did people
00:48:34.080 switch sides
00:48:34.680 because of the
00:48:35.280 data?
00:48:37.320 Was it the
00:48:38.280 argument, the
00:48:39.060 facts?
00:48:40.140 Was it the
00:48:40.640 facts and
00:48:41.040 argument and
00:48:41.600 the logic and
00:48:42.200 the science?
00:48:43.800 Was it
00:48:44.180 Greta?
00:48:45.900 Nope.
00:48:48.260 Nope.
00:48:50.740 It was the
00:48:51.600 anecdotes.
00:48:53.220 It was all
00:48:53.780 the stories in
00:48:54.540 the news about
00:48:55.780 there's this
00:48:57.100 place with a
00:48:57.940 drought, there's
00:48:59.440 this place with
00:49:00.120 a record this
00:49:00.920 or a record
00:49:01.440 that, and
00:49:02.840 they convinced
00:49:03.860 you with
00:49:04.540 anecdotes.
00:49:06.600 What do
00:49:07.080 anecdotes
00:49:07.800 prove about
00:49:09.200 climate change?
00:49:10.360 Like what
00:49:10.660 does a
00:49:11.020 specific storm
00:49:12.620 or a
00:49:13.580 specific hurricane
00:49:14.480 or a
00:49:15.180 specific drought,
00:49:16.600 what does
00:49:16.880 that tell you
00:49:17.320 about climate
00:49:17.860 change?
00:49:19.720 Nothing.
00:49:21.220 Nothing.
00:49:21.600 So you
00:49:23.200 got persuaded
00:49:24.000 when they
00:49:25.620 stopped using
00:49:26.760 facts and
00:49:28.440 they stopped
00:49:29.020 using science.
00:49:31.440 Then you
00:49:32.180 got persuaded.
00:49:33.160 Not you, but
00:49:34.400 the public.
00:49:36.220 So what is
00:49:37.500 it that I've
00:49:38.000 been saying for
00:49:38.620 a while?
00:49:39.060 Maybe some of
00:49:39.640 you can
00:49:40.880 confirm this.
00:49:42.220 Have I not
00:49:42.940 been saying
00:49:43.540 that whoever
00:49:45.120 is doing the
00:49:45.780 persuasion on
00:49:46.460 climate change
00:49:47.060 isn't doing a
00:49:47.720 good job?
00:49:48.260 They just
00:49:50.440 started doing
00:49:51.040 a good job.
00:49:53.180 Do you
00:49:53.360 know how
00:49:53.840 they moved
00:49:54.860 from doing
00:49:55.260 a bad job
00:49:55.940 to a good
00:49:56.420 job?
00:49:58.620 Trump.
00:50:00.220 They took
00:50:00.940 Trump's
00:50:01.380 technique.
00:50:02.960 They took
00:50:03.560 the anecdote
00:50:04.120 and sold it
00:50:05.180 to the public
00:50:05.640 because the
00:50:06.020 public buys
00:50:06.560 anecdotes.
00:50:07.840 That's why
00:50:08.240 they're selling
00:50:08.700 you the
00:50:09.280 anecdotal
00:50:10.240 guy didn't
00:50:12.080 get the
00:50:12.360 vaccination
00:50:12.840 and he
00:50:13.140 died.
00:50:13.440 because the
00:50:15.460 news has
00:50:15.980 finally learned
00:50:16.740 that facts
00:50:18.540 and reason
00:50:19.040 don't move
00:50:19.540 the public
00:50:20.060 and they're
00:50:21.100 in the job
00:50:21.740 of manipulating
00:50:22.460 the public.
00:50:23.460 They're not
00:50:23.740 in the job
00:50:24.140 of informing.
00:50:25.520 And so they
00:50:25.920 made that
00:50:26.320 adjustment.
00:50:27.660 And so you're
00:50:28.160 going to see
00:50:28.400 more and more
00:50:28.900 anecdote because
00:50:30.640 that persuades.
00:50:33.020 Science and
00:50:33.640 facts, even
00:50:35.200 if it's right,
00:50:36.400 doesn't persuade.
00:50:38.120 So watching
00:50:38.960 this happen in
00:50:39.660 real time,
00:50:40.220 because remember,
00:50:41.260 you know the
00:50:42.000 old story of
00:50:42.560 Babe Ruth,
00:50:43.080 a baseball
00:50:43.620 player, who
00:50:44.760 famously pointed
00:50:46.060 to the fence
00:50:46.660 he was going
00:50:47.060 to hit the
00:50:47.420 home run
00:50:47.780 over and
00:50:48.640 then hit a
00:50:49.100 home run
00:50:49.420 over that
00:50:49.800 fence.
00:50:50.760 You know,
00:50:50.940 famous kind
00:50:51.680 of thing.
00:50:52.620 Larry Bird,
00:50:54.500 if you watched
00:50:55.640 sports, Larry
00:50:56.780 Bird is one of
00:50:57.500 the greatest
00:50:58.020 basketball players.
00:51:00.160 And there's a
00:51:00.880 famous story I was
00:51:01.680 just watching on
00:51:02.300 YouTube where
00:51:03.460 he would tell
00:51:04.880 people what he
00:51:05.500 was going to
00:51:05.880 do before he
00:51:06.500 did it, like
00:51:07.820 crazy stuff.
00:51:09.220 At one point
00:51:09.860 he told people
00:51:10.920 that he was
00:51:11.400 going to do a
00:51:12.760 fadeaway
00:51:13.720 three-pointer
00:51:14.680 and land in
00:51:16.000 the opposite
00:51:16.900 team's trainer's
00:51:18.360 lap.
00:51:20.360 Let me say
00:51:21.000 this again.
00:51:22.140 During a
00:51:22.900 game, during
00:51:24.420 the game,
00:51:26.200 Larry Bird
00:51:26.800 called and
00:51:28.400 told the
00:51:28.880 opponents where
00:51:30.260 he was going
00:51:30.760 to stand, how
00:51:32.200 he was going
00:51:32.680 to take the
00:51:33.180 shot, and
00:51:34.140 there was
00:51:34.420 going to be a
00:51:34.800 fadeaway
00:51:35.180 shot where
00:51:35.740 after he
00:51:36.120 shoots his
00:51:36.520 body goes
00:51:36.980 backwards, and
00:51:38.060 he was going
00:51:38.540 to land in
00:51:39.100 the lap of
00:51:40.540 the trainer
00:51:41.080 of the
00:51:41.680 other team.
00:51:43.160 He took the
00:51:44.080 ball, went to
00:51:45.480 that spot,
00:51:47.140 drained a
00:51:48.040 three-pointer, and
00:51:49.440 fell into the
00:51:50.200 trainer's lap.
00:51:52.380 That actually
00:51:53.220 happened.
00:51:55.180 And by the
00:51:56.040 way, it wasn't
00:51:56.960 even a unique
00:51:58.000 moment in Larry
00:51:59.220 Bird's life.
00:52:00.040 You have to
00:52:00.520 watch the
00:52:01.060 highlight clips
00:52:02.040 of all the
00:52:02.580 Larry Bird
00:52:03.200 greatest moments.
00:52:04.500 It is
00:52:04.880 unbelievable.
00:52:07.280 It's amazing.
00:52:08.120 He would
00:52:08.920 call the
00:52:09.420 most crazy
00:52:10.500 things.
00:52:11.380 True story,
00:52:13.180 one day he
00:52:14.080 told they were
00:52:15.600 winning some
00:52:16.120 series, and he
00:52:17.260 said he was
00:52:17.600 going to play
00:52:18.120 at least three
00:52:18.960 quarters of the
00:52:19.740 next game
00:52:20.300 left-handed.
00:52:22.300 Left-handed.
00:52:23.860 He was a
00:52:24.460 right-handed
00:52:24.760 player.
00:52:26.020 He scored
00:52:26.820 27 points.
00:52:29.860 Left-handed.
00:52:31.940 He called
00:52:32.820 it.
00:52:33.520 He told the
00:52:34.200 other team he
00:52:34.760 was going to
00:52:35.080 play left-handed.
00:52:35.860 They only had
00:52:36.320 to guard one
00:52:36.820 hand.
00:52:38.120 He made
00:52:38.760 their guarding
00:52:39.320 twice as easy
00:52:41.120 by telling them
00:52:42.400 I'm not even
00:52:42.840 going to use
00:52:43.200 this hand.
00:52:44.400 For three
00:52:45.100 quarters.
00:52:46.160 He scored
00:52:46.760 27 points.
00:52:48.980 Now, if you
00:52:49.380 don't follow
00:52:49.780 sports, that's
00:52:50.460 like a lot
00:52:50.980 of points.
00:52:53.160 Left-handed.
00:52:55.520 All right.
00:52:56.560 So, the news
00:52:57.800 just did the
00:52:58.480 same thing.
00:52:58.940 They said we're
00:52:59.440 going to change
00:52:59.940 people's opinion
00:53:00.560 on climate
00:53:01.080 change, and
00:53:02.240 we're going to
00:53:02.580 do it this
00:53:03.000 year.
00:53:04.320 They just
00:53:04.920 did it.
00:53:06.020 They just
00:53:06.440 did it.
00:53:09.080 I'm seeing
00:53:09.520 some comments
00:53:10.100 about, Scott
00:53:12.780 says, investment
00:53:13.540 isn't about
00:53:14.100 right and
00:53:14.420 wrong.
00:53:15.800 Is Apple
00:53:16.560 and Tesla
00:53:17.140 too big to
00:53:17.820 fail?
00:53:18.840 What do you
00:53:19.240 mean by, is
00:53:20.060 Apple and
00:53:20.700 Tesla too
00:53:21.260 big to
00:53:21.620 fail?
00:53:21.940 Nothing's
00:53:22.320 too big to
00:53:22.780 fail.
00:53:24.700 I don't know
00:53:25.340 what the
00:53:25.540 question means.
00:53:26.680 If you mean
00:53:27.200 in an economic
00:53:27.840 sense, no,
00:53:28.440 there's nothing
00:53:28.840 that's too
00:53:29.260 big to fail.
00:53:30.220 You just
00:53:30.560 have to look
00:53:30.960 at the
00:53:31.200 likelihood.
00:53:31.560 The
00:53:34.360 likelihood is
00:53:35.040 that they
00:53:35.680 won't fail.
00:53:36.840 No time
00:53:37.540 soon, anyway.
00:53:39.840 All right.
00:53:41.460 Yeah, Sears
00:53:41.960 failed.
00:53:43.060 Nothing lasts
00:53:43.680 forever, until
00:53:46.120 it does, I
00:53:46.640 guess.
00:53:46.820 So, the
00:53:59.400 climate change
00:54:00.060 polls you
00:54:00.600 were citing
00:54:01.040 are false.
00:54:01.960 That could be.
00:54:03.460 That could be.
00:54:04.780 I will take that
00:54:05.740 comment in the
00:54:08.060 spirit in which
00:54:08.780 it's offered.
00:54:09.200 Yeah, any
00:54:09.980 poll you
00:54:10.500 see, except
00:54:12.680 for Rasmussen,
00:54:13.640 who tends to
00:54:14.780 be pretty
00:54:15.800 darn good.
00:54:16.820 I quote
00:54:17.260 them a lot.
00:54:18.740 But, yeah,
00:54:19.280 just a generic
00:54:20.140 poll from
00:54:20.800 some entity
00:54:21.900 that you're
00:54:22.320 not familiar
00:54:22.800 with.
00:54:23.320 Yeah, you
00:54:24.660 have to be
00:54:25.020 skeptical.
00:54:26.240 All right.
00:54:26.720 I believe we
00:54:27.760 have reached
00:54:28.280 the end of
00:54:29.580 our productive
00:54:30.140 morning.
00:54:32.300 Does anybody
00:54:32.960 feel better
00:54:33.440 now?
00:54:34.940 I told you
00:54:35.700 things we're
00:54:36.060 going to start
00:54:36.420 looking up.
00:54:36.920 Have I
00:54:39.860 followed the
00:54:40.220 recent stories
00:54:40.860 about Havana
00:54:41.500 syndrome?
00:54:42.220 I don't know
00:54:42.580 how recent
00:54:43.000 you mean.
00:54:44.640 But, oh,
00:54:46.480 Jen Psaki
00:54:47.020 brought up the
00:54:47.640 bleach oak last
00:54:48.460 week, and no
00:54:50.180 one corrected
00:54:50.660 her.
00:54:51.180 Just amazing.
00:54:52.200 Amazing.
00:54:53.900 No, I'm not
00:54:54.700 following if
00:54:55.340 there's something
00:54:55.760 new-new about
00:54:56.460 the Havana
00:54:56.900 syndrome, but I
00:54:58.380 assume that it's
00:54:59.260 more not
00:55:00.160 finding it.
00:55:01.860 Oh, I've
00:55:02.420 seen some
00:55:02.820 links to the
00:55:05.360 Larry Bird stuff
00:55:06.160 on YouTube.
00:55:07.920 You sip after
00:55:09.220 I leave?
00:55:10.260 My God.
00:55:12.080 You're a
00:55:12.420 golden age
00:55:12.960 delusion.
00:55:14.560 Is it?
00:55:15.780 Let me make a
00:55:17.060 quick argument
00:55:17.840 for the golden
00:55:18.440 age.
00:55:20.800 Number one,
00:55:23.200 nuclear, let's
00:55:24.580 say war among
00:55:25.320 superpowers, I
00:55:26.240 think, is over
00:55:26.900 because it's
00:55:28.660 unwinnable, and
00:55:29.640 everybody knows
00:55:30.300 it.
00:55:30.980 So I think
00:55:31.480 world wars are
00:55:32.640 probably over in
00:55:33.780 the shooting
00:55:34.840 sense.
00:55:35.300 We'll have
00:55:36.100 lots of
00:55:36.540 cyber stuff,
00:55:37.440 but we'll
00:55:37.740 get that
00:55:38.240 under control.
00:55:39.840 The mRNA
00:55:41.040 platform shows
00:55:43.160 promise for
00:55:43.840 curing all
00:55:44.540 kinds of
00:55:45.000 stuff, including
00:55:45.600 cancer.
00:55:47.420 So because of
00:55:49.340 the pandemic,
00:55:50.260 here are the
00:55:50.860 things that will
00:55:51.440 change, and
00:55:53.540 maybe would not
00:55:54.160 have changed
00:55:54.620 without the
00:55:55.200 pandemic.
00:55:59.320 Commuting and
00:56:00.620 working in the
00:56:01.260 office.
00:56:01.660 business, right?
00:56:03.900 It's one of the
00:56:04.460 worst things in a
00:56:05.680 lot of people's
00:56:06.200 life, was having
00:56:07.040 to commute and
00:56:08.180 working in a
00:56:08.740 terrible office.
00:56:09.720 That's gone
00:56:10.280 forever, in the
00:56:11.580 sense that you
00:56:12.080 at least have
00:56:12.520 options.
00:56:14.180 I mean, you
00:56:14.820 can work for a
00:56:15.380 company that
00:56:15.780 doesn't require it
00:56:16.640 or a company that
00:56:17.320 does, but you
00:56:18.240 have an option
00:56:18.680 now, way more
00:56:19.780 than you ever
00:56:20.160 had.
00:56:20.840 So I think
00:56:21.200 commuting
00:56:21.700 changes.
00:56:24.740 If you're
00:56:25.320 following the
00:56:26.340 electric bicycle
00:56:27.820 market, it's way
00:56:30.180 bigger than you
00:56:30.800 think, meaning
00:56:32.040 the impact on
00:56:33.280 society.
00:56:34.480 So the quality
00:56:35.160 of batteries and
00:56:36.000 the price and
00:56:37.000 power of batteries
00:56:37.920 got to the
00:56:38.420 point where
00:56:39.500 having a battery
00:56:40.360 assist on your
00:56:41.160 bicycle allows
00:56:42.700 you to go 100
00:56:43.420 miles on a
00:56:44.040 bicycle pretty
00:56:45.380 easily.
00:56:46.460 It still takes
00:56:47.020 some time, but
00:56:47.840 it's pretty easy.
00:56:49.500 And it's going
00:56:51.320 to change
00:56:51.660 everything.
00:56:52.300 You don't know
00:56:52.800 it yet, because
00:56:53.340 we haven't
00:56:54.100 organized around
00:56:55.000 it, but in 20
00:56:55.880 years, you're just
00:56:56.640 going to be on an
00:56:57.220 electric something.
00:56:57.960 And maybe even
00:56:59.620 your car will be
00:57:00.400 less useful.
00:57:01.600 I think there's
00:57:02.380 going to be all
00:57:02.700 kinds of changes
00:57:03.320 in housing.
00:57:04.160 I think that the
00:57:06.940 economy will be
00:57:07.820 fine.
00:57:09.720 And I think
00:57:11.520 that AI will
00:57:14.440 not kill us
00:57:15.160 all.
00:57:15.680 I think it will
00:57:16.220 help us.
00:57:18.920 Now, there's a
00:57:19.660 risk of AI
00:57:20.600 killing us all.
00:57:21.500 So, I mean,
00:57:21.920 that's a real
00:57:22.320 risk.
00:57:22.700 We have to
00:57:23.020 manage it.
00:57:23.800 But I think we
00:57:24.400 saw it far
00:57:25.360 enough in advance.
00:57:26.120 e-bikes made
00:57:28.140 in China, yeah.
00:57:29.220 Yeah, I mean,
00:57:30.040 if anybody wants
00:57:32.100 to call me out
00:57:33.020 for buying
00:57:34.120 Chinese products,
00:57:35.180 you're on the
00:57:35.680 wrong page.
00:57:37.300 All right?
00:57:37.900 I'm not the
00:57:38.560 guy telling you
00:57:39.500 that you or I
00:57:40.620 or anybody else
00:57:41.360 has to stop
00:57:42.300 buying all
00:57:43.500 Chinese-made
00:57:44.160 products.
00:57:45.200 I'm not telling
00:57:45.720 you that.
00:57:46.120 That would be
00:57:46.500 bad for American
00:57:47.200 companies, too.
00:57:48.900 What I'm telling
00:57:49.620 you is that
00:57:50.200 moving new
00:57:50.780 business there
00:57:51.320 is done, and
00:57:52.100 that's all it
00:57:52.560 takes to end
00:57:53.740 China.
00:57:56.120 So, those
00:57:59.080 are some of
00:57:59.460 the things
00:57:59.700 that's happening.
00:58:00.420 I would say
00:58:00.960 that most of
00:58:01.800 what's happening
00:58:02.380 is positive,
00:58:04.740 even if it
00:58:05.160 doesn't look
00:58:05.580 that way.
00:58:05.940 Remember, the
00:58:06.360 news is only
00:58:06.940 going to tell
00:58:07.240 you what's
00:58:07.460 bad news.
00:58:08.860 So, Afghanistan
00:58:09.480 is over.
00:58:10.760 The Middle
00:58:11.120 East looks
00:58:11.760 like more
00:58:12.980 peace than
00:58:13.380 we've ever
00:58:13.780 had because
00:58:14.480 of the
00:58:14.780 Abraham Accords.
00:58:16.840 Iran weirdly
00:58:18.560 isn't making
00:58:19.140 a lot of
00:58:19.460 noise right
00:58:19.880 now, is
00:58:20.200 it?
00:58:21.800 Why is
00:58:22.400 Iran so
00:58:22.900 quiet?
00:58:23.980 Anybody?
00:58:24.300 What's
00:58:25.940 happening with
00:58:26.420 Iran?
00:58:27.340 It's too
00:58:27.800 quiet, right?
00:58:29.240 Almost like
00:58:29.980 something's going
00:58:31.240 to happen, like
00:58:32.660 a deal, maybe.
00:58:34.500 It feels like
00:58:35.420 the calm before
00:58:36.600 some kind of
00:58:37.300 agreement.
00:58:41.260 Newsom, Scott
00:58:42.740 love him.
00:58:44.020 So, this is a
00:58:44.760 comment on
00:58:45.200 YouTube in all
00:58:45.820 capitals.
00:58:46.680 Newsom, Scott
00:58:47.740 love him.
00:58:49.340 Okay, that's
00:58:50.440 not even close
00:58:51.000 to true.
00:58:51.380 Yeah, Israel
00:58:54.260 has said that
00:58:55.720 they will
00:58:56.080 unilaterally
00:58:56.880 take care of
00:58:57.520 Iran, which
00:58:58.660 I imagine
00:58:59.180 makes Iran
00:58:59.780 more afraid
00:59:00.700 and not
00:59:01.040 less.
00:59:02.800 I've got a
00:59:03.480 feeling that
00:59:04.080 Iran would
00:59:05.140 like a world
00:59:05.960 in which the
00:59:06.480 United States
00:59:07.200 would talk
00:59:08.560 Israel out
00:59:09.720 of attacking,
00:59:10.660 but apparently
00:59:11.280 that's not
00:59:11.760 going to
00:59:11.940 happen, because
00:59:13.660 Israel just
00:59:14.220 said, okay,
00:59:14.740 we're just
00:59:15.060 going to do
00:59:15.360 what we need
00:59:15.800 to do, and
00:59:16.940 that could
00:59:17.960 take care of
00:59:18.500 the problem.
00:59:19.940 Because I'm
00:59:20.420 sure that
00:59:20.800 their intelligence
00:59:21.620 on Iran is
00:59:22.600 pretty darn
00:59:23.060 good by
00:59:23.460 now.
00:59:29.720 Yeah.
00:59:31.260 Still waiting
00:59:31.900 for an e-bike
00:59:32.540 stream.
00:59:33.260 Well, I did
00:59:33.640 an e-bike.
00:59:35.340 Yeah, I guess
00:59:35.980 I should do
00:59:36.500 more of an
00:59:37.040 e-bike stream.
00:59:37.840 I should strap
00:59:38.400 my phone to
00:59:39.020 the bike and
00:59:40.100 take a ride
00:59:40.540 for you.
00:59:42.600 All right.
00:59:44.020 Haitian
00:59:44.400 caravans.
00:59:45.340 Yeah, we've
00:59:45.700 talked about
00:59:46.120 that.
00:59:47.060 There's more
00:59:47.480 coming, like
00:59:48.400 a lot more
00:59:48.960 coming.
00:59:50.800 All right.
01:00:02.260 Just looking
01:00:02.860 at your
01:00:03.140 comments, the
01:00:04.040 news about
01:00:04.440 the Havana
01:00:04.980 syndrome.
01:00:08.800 Well, let me
01:00:09.460 check that
01:00:09.840 while I'm
01:00:10.380 here.
01:00:10.840 So many of
01:00:12.420 you are
01:00:12.680 asking me
01:00:13.140 about the
01:00:13.540 Havana
01:00:15.740 syndrome.
01:00:17.620 So there's
01:00:19.220 some new
01:00:19.780 news that
01:00:20.500 involves the
01:00:21.260 Biden
01:00:22.360 administration.
01:00:24.660 So one
01:00:25.260 hour ago,
01:00:28.800 looking into
01:00:32.200 reports,
01:00:33.420 sensory
01:00:33.880 attacks,
01:00:35.440 they believe
01:00:35.980 they're closer
01:00:36.540 to understanding.
01:00:41.680 There's
01:00:42.260 nothing new
01:00:42.660 here, is
01:00:42.920 there?
01:00:43.040 What's
01:00:44.600 new?
01:00:47.640 What is
01:00:48.460 new on
01:00:49.800 this story?
01:00:50.220 I don't see
01:00:50.560 anything new
01:00:50.940 on this
01:00:51.220 story.
01:00:54.600 What's
01:00:55.000 causing it?
01:00:58.240 Okay.
01:00:59.640 Yeah, I
01:00:59.980 think the
01:01:00.300 government, I
01:01:00.980 don't trust the
01:01:01.840 government on
01:01:02.680 this, but we'll
01:01:03.380 see.
01:01:03.760 All right, let's
01:01:04.800 keep an eye on
01:01:05.300 that, and
01:01:05.980 let's go
01:01:06.580 Brandon.
01:01:07.660 Let's go
01:01:08.280 Brandon.
01:01:08.640 And by the
01:01:10.120 way, it would
01:01:11.260 be hilarious
01:01:11.940 if in
01:01:13.460 places where
01:01:14.040 you couldn't
01:01:14.740 be shouting
01:01:15.800 F Biden, if
01:01:18.040 instead you
01:01:18.640 started chanting
01:01:19.380 let's go
01:01:19.860 Brandon, and
01:01:20.920 everybody knew
01:01:21.400 what you
01:01:21.640 meant.
01:01:22.620 It would be
01:01:23.380 funny.
01:01:24.020 All right,
01:01:24.460 goodbye YouTube,
01:01:25.240 I'll see you
01:01:25.640 tomorrow.
01:01:25.860 Bye.