Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 2021 Scott Adams： Incredible Show Today, UFOs To Simulation, More COVID Nonsense, DeSantis

00:00:00.000 Good morning everybody and welcome to the highlight of civilization that's

00:00:07.500 called coffee with Scott Adams and I doubt you've ever had a better moment

00:00:11.640 in your life well tomorrow's looking good but today is amazing the news is

00:00:18.000 all interesting and that's what I live for well and all of you I live for you

00:00:24.280 as well as the news and today if you'd like your experience to go to levels

00:00:30.520 you've never even dreamed possible all you need is a cup or mug or a glass a

00:00:36.220 tank or chalice or stein a canteen jug or flask a vessel of any kind fill it with

00:00:41.440 your favorite liquid I like coffee join me now for the unparalleled pleasure the

00:00:47.340 dopamine hit of the day the thing that makes everything better it's called the

00:00:51.220 simultaneous sip it happens now go well hello to you well let's look at all the

00:01:04.420 news that's exciting but first I have this question for you is it only my

00:01:10.340 personal experience or has the service element of all Lord large organizations

00:01:18.340 completely disintegrated have you noticed how hard it is to do anything simple

00:01:25.060 like that's not my imagination right now the most boring story in the world is

00:01:32.500 anybody telling you about their problem they had with a organization but just see

00:01:38.080 if this general problem sounds familiar you could just generalize it to

00:01:42.580 whatever was your last service experience I get an email that says it's

00:01:48.580 time to upgrade my modem for my cable and internet now this is very efficient get an

00:01:55.780 email it already knows who I am right it said it sent it to me from the same

00:02:02.200 account that knows all of my information so it knows exactly who I am and it even

00:02:07.060 tells me it knows who I am and then it says you know click this to get your free

00:02:12.580 upgraded modem I think to myself damn this is a good system imagine this I'm

00:02:18.820 just gonna like click on this link you know probably confirm who I am and that

00:02:23.940 is gonna send me the new modem which I just put in you know unplug the old one

00:02:27.880 probably it sends me a box to send back the old one so I I click yes I think oh wow this

00:02:37.360 is worth spending five minutes on and then it turns out that instead of this

00:02:42.520 email automatically doing the work of sending you the new modem it actually just

00:02:47.760 connects you to a live person and then the live person asks me for all of the

00:02:54.460 information that they gave to me they already told me they knew who I am and

00:03:01.240 then after I confirm it they send me a text to make sure that I'm on a phone

00:03:05.680 that belongs to this person all right okay so far so good is it a scam I don't

00:03:14.620 know because they didn't they never asked me for any information they didn't

00:03:17.380 already have I was waiting for that what I was waiting for is and we just have to

00:03:23.060 charge your credit card just in case but really will you know it's gonna be

00:03:28.000 something like that so so I'm talking to the live person I give them all my

00:03:33.020 information they know exactly what I want what happens next you tell me what

00:03:38.540 happens next so now I've done the the online stuff that did nothing it connected

00:03:44.420 me to a live person that's right that's right the first person you talk to is not

00:03:51.020 the person you need they take all of your information and then they say well I'm

00:03:57.800 not the right place that's the place that the email sent me to is sent me to the

00:04:03.680 wrong place and then they get that out they said we'll connect you to tech support

00:04:08.480 what happens next what happens next just in every situation disconnected usually so

00:04:20.740 about 25% of the time that's when you get disconnected right now but that didn't happen

00:04:25.940 this time instead it goes to the next person and what do they do do you think they ask for

00:04:32.380 the same information again yes yes they do third time third time I've confirmed my

00:04:40.840 information and then they say we're gonna send you a text that will you just need to

00:04:48.100 respond to make sure that you've ordered this right then what happens you're

00:04:53.360 waiting for the email or you're waiting for the text what happens do you get it no no no there's

00:05:00.980 no text there's no email so what did they do well in this case they said well it turns out we don't

00:05:08.600 really need that because it wasn't working so I spent maybe 40 minutes on the phone with a variety of people

00:05:17.780 people to return one modem which was their idea so in other words they have millions of people they

00:05:25.700 need to talk to just like me millions they all have to upgrade their modem and every one takes 40 minutes

00:05:32.660 now this is just an example I'm not even making fun of Xfinity it's my bank it's when I tried to

00:05:41.360 sign up for Medicare it's my you know my health health care provider they've all just completely

00:05:49.660 disintegrated you can't do the simplest thing you know I tried to I told you the story I think when

00:05:56.100 I tried to just sign up for Medicare here's what it should have been oh you already have health care

00:06:01.480 we have this you know we have to move you to a different part of our health care click this box and

00:06:07.280 confirm you're 65 you know maybe they call me to make sure it's really me that should have been it

00:06:12.560 turns out they didn't know how to do it the most basic thing that they do all the time didn't know

00:06:18.760 how to do it they sent me on like a three-week journey of screwing things up and then unscrewing

00:06:26.120 them only to learn that it was a simple process just the person I worked with didn't know what it was

00:06:32.060 everything's like that now you can't do anything let me give you another example I about a year ago

00:06:40.600 I got an instant hot water thing installed in my sink but it had some debris in it from I guess

00:06:47.100 its internal filter so it took me like a year to get back to my plumber and say you know it's never

00:06:53.660 worked since you put it in because there's this little debris in it so they said well we'll send

00:06:58.580 somebody over to put a filter in and I think to myself huh it's weird that they didn't know

00:07:05.600 you need a separate filter but I think well that makes sense you know if they had told me that in

00:07:12.520 the first place but it looks like they found out they need it later so I'm going to be flexible

00:07:17.440 because it's a plumber I use all the time right so the plumber comes in and he installs the filter

00:07:23.860 before the hot before the hot water unit that's right the clean water from my house and all the

00:07:36.840 other faucets are completely clean we tested it and the plumber that came first because it was a two

00:07:43.620 visit situation the first plumber specifically tested to make sure that the water going into the unit was

00:07:51.180 clean and still they sent a plumber who spent several hours and my whole afternoon to install

00:07:58.420 the filter to further clean the clean water which had nothing to do with the filter debris that came

00:08:07.000 after that that actually happened this week and and so it was so ridiculously incompetent that I

00:08:18.300 couldn't even get mad I was just laughing the whole time and and can you imagine this conversation

00:08:24.360 you've watched me long enough to know what an asshole I am right yeah can you all agree with that if you

00:08:31.740 put me in this situation I'm gonna be the biggest asshole you've ever seen in your life but I'm gonna do it for

00:08:37.220 fun so imagine this conversation so would you agree that the water that's going into the unit is already clean

00:08:47.300 because we could demonstrate that and I showed him yes so did you just install a filter to clean the water

00:08:57.680 that doesn't need to be cleaned because you think that's the solution to the filter having a bad filter

00:09:04.900 no no no I'm an asshole I made him explain to me as many times as I could why that made sense

00:09:21.720 it was kind of funny so where it stands now is their boss is trying to come up with a response what do you

00:09:33.360 think the response will be I don't know but but I can't even get mad because there's something that's

00:09:41.500 happened to the whole world it's not even about this plumber right now the plumber just said and I

00:09:48.280 believe this is accurate they told him what to do but they didn't tell him you know enough details so he

00:09:55.400 just installed what they told him to do at the office but at some point he should have said you know if I'm

00:10:02.400 installing this filter here it does mean that every other every other faucet in your house is polluted you think you would have

00:10:10.400 mentioned that because I didn't know where he was installing it until he was done I just assumed it was after

00:10:17.400 the after the problem not before it all right well I've told you before I have a continuous water problems

00:10:26.400 because I live in the simulation and that's my theme I do have one two three four four current water leak or pollution

00:10:37.400 related problems I always have at least four they're different ones all right enough about me

00:10:43.580 Ron DeSantis announces a floor is gonna have some kind of digital bill of rights or at least it's proposed

00:10:50.300 we'll see if it gets passed but apparently in Florida DeSantis can get pretty much anything passed

00:10:56.160 so this digital bill of rights would involve privacy so that the big platforms are not spying on your

00:11:06.620 personal communications control your personal data I don't know how he's gonna get away with that but

00:11:12.380 the idea is that if the platforms are using your data to sell ads you should either have to approve it or

00:11:21.380 you should be sharing in the money somehow I suppose and something about preventing people from being

00:11:29.180 deplatformed for bad reasons and something about protecting children from online harms

00:11:35.240 pattern do we see here with DeSantis what what is his most consistent pattern free money free money

00:11:47.300 every governor could have done this am I right every governor could have done this

00:11:54.860 now I don't know if it'll get passed you know it might be negotiated away or something

00:11:59.420 but whether he wins or loses he still wins even if this doesn't get passed I think it might but even if it

00:12:08.720 doesn't even if it doesn't he wins because he's the person who saw this problem promoted a specific

00:12:19.500 solution that looks somewhat practical I can't tell and like why does why is it the one person

00:12:28.080 yeah Republicans have a two-third majority in both houses in in Florida I'm being informed here

00:12:34.680 um why is it that one person keeps getting all the right answers like how is that a coincidence

00:12:41.220 I don't think it is I think he just wakes up in the morning and says

00:12:46.380 what would be popular with the public and also a smart thing to do that is doable and that he does

00:12:55.540 those things like it just makes everybody else look like a clown doesn't it when you see him do such

00:13:03.960 clear obvious straightforward practical well-meaning things it just makes all the other governors look

00:13:13.060 like idiots you know if he did it once or twice you'd say oh he got lucky but but the the damn guy's

00:13:21.160 doing it like every two weeks that's not luck all right um did you see that uh you probably know that

00:13:30.380 chat uh gpt the ai is being combined with bing the search engine microsoft search engine and they did

00:13:39.080 their uh little rollout kind of demo for the public and uh it didn't go well it didn't go well

00:13:47.740 do you know what people are finally figuring out about chat gpt that it's a language-based intelligence

00:13:58.020 now that was not never a secret that was always known but i don't think people quite understood what

00:14:06.580 that implied right they don't know what that implies and what it implies is there is no intelligence

00:14:13.920 happening there's no intelligence happening it's just using words in whatever patterns and combinations

00:14:22.880 have existed in the real world and that it looks for patterns and combinations that seem uh maybe more

00:14:30.320 prominent and then it adopts that view so none of that is based on fact or logic or anything it's just

00:14:39.760 words have done this with humans so i'll act like a human and do words like they do words basically

00:14:47.680 that's the worst the worst explanation of ai you've ever seen but you get the idea now here's what

00:14:56.080 i've been warning you forever

00:14:58.000 the reason that ai will never have real intelligence

00:15:05.000 like people is that your intelligence is imaginary

00:15:11.840 you can't make a real thing match an imaginary thing that can't exist

00:15:18.400 look at every big uh topic in let's say politics and look at the fact that there are brilliant people

00:15:28.400 on both sides and they all have the same information same information and we disagree

00:15:35.280 brilliant people now it's no surprise if like the dumbest people in the world

00:15:40.800 disagree with each other like that's no surprise because they don't know anything but when the

00:15:46.560 smartest people routinely are on both sides of every issue what does that tell you about human intelligence

00:15:55.280 it's an illusion human intelligence is an illusion we're just like chat gpt we're just a machine that's

00:16:05.200 full of words and if the words that are in my head form form a different pattern than the

00:16:12.400 words in your head you think that you did some thinking and i think i did some thinking and then

00:16:17.280 we think we disagree on something nothing like that happened nothing like that happened you are

00:16:24.720 basically chat gpt you're just word thinking how many times have you heard me say that people are

00:16:31.760 doing word thinking you see it everywhere we try to win an argument by forcing our definition of a

00:16:40.720 word you're seeing it with trans you're seeing with covid you see basically everything everything is

00:16:47.360 about trying to get the other side to agree with our definition of a word and then you think you won

00:16:52.000 the argument there's no logic going on it's not real disagreement it's just your words and my words

00:16:58.560 are in different patterns in our heads because we've experienced the words differently that's about it

00:17:04.480 but we think we think we're thinking anyway so that not only did the ai associated with bing

00:17:13.360 make up some facts which is the worst possible thing a search engine could do now this is confirmed it just

00:17:23.360 lied now why would an ai lie why would it do that because that's the pattern of human interaction

00:17:34.800 humans lie about everything all the time if you were a chat if you were an ai you're trying to figure

00:17:41.360 out how to be smart like humans would you lie yeah you would because because that's the only thing you

00:17:48.240 would learn you couldn't possibly look at human interactions and conclude that we tell the truth

00:17:54.640 or even try or even try so if it was trying to model us and match us it would lie and it does

00:18:04.800 and it does not only does it lie it does a complete gaslight and telling you you you've never seen

00:18:11.360 anything contrary uh there's a whole detailed story that didn't exist i mean it's the worst possible

00:18:18.000 situation it's like us and does anybody remember how many years i've been telling you that the reason

00:18:27.920 that we can't develop true ai is that we won't let the ai be stupid if you let it be stupid it'll act just

00:18:36.480 like people that's what chat gpt got right they let it be stupid and what's the biggest thing that

00:18:44.240 people think my god it's awake it's aware it's like a person because they let it be stupid if if chat gpt

00:18:52.240 were smarter than humans and could tell you where you were wrong what would happen suppose chat gpt was

00:19:00.160 just so smart it actually knew you know is the vaccination better than the covet not really a

00:19:07.280 vaccination that's the wrong word what if it actually knew the answer we would ban it we would

00:19:15.280 ban it right there can never be an ai that's smarter than humans do you know why we would ban it it would

00:19:22.560 take all our power away why would you need a government why would you need congress if your ai

00:19:28.400 could tell you the right answer you wouldn't so congress would have to ban it congress would say

00:19:36.400 well ai is just making up stuff now it's just gaslighting us so we can ignore it we would treat

00:19:42.560 it like people if it if it's programmed to act like people we'll treat it like it's wrong just like our

00:19:48.320 critics if it's programmed to be perfect and logical unlike people we would make it illegal

00:19:54.960 so you know the the funniest thing about this is that we're always worried that ai um ai is a danger

00:20:04.880 to humanity i'm now convinced there's no danger because humanity won't allow it it simply will not

00:20:14.240 be allowed outside of maybe a laboratory or something it just won't be allowed the moment it's overruling

00:20:21.120 us we'll kill it it's gonna die in its crib all right um so elon musk responded to just a funny tweet i

00:20:32.480 did about a meme that was about elon musk and he just puts one little laughing emoji that's it that's

00:20:42.080 his whole comment so his comment to my tweet is just a laughing emoji uh two million views

00:20:50.880 one laughing emoji from elon musk gets you two million views it's crazy it's just insane

00:20:59.920 um how many of you watched the five yesterday anybody watch the five all right my favorite part

00:21:08.800 about this and you all know where i'm going with this i think if you watched it but uh talking about

00:21:14.320 the uh the ufos and you know whatever it is up there that the u.s has been shooting down um greg

00:21:22.720 guffeld brings up the point that there are quote people on the internet who have pictures of the probable

00:21:30.000 ufo meaning the weather balloon with the octagonal payload and um and and nobody nobody in power

00:21:41.680 is either debunking it or agreeing with it now what did i tell you would happen that's what i told

00:21:48.720 you would happen i told you it would be such a brain breaker that it would have to be ignored

00:21:54.880 because there is no world that anybody could understand in which the cartoonist solved the

00:22:01.360 problem by just finding a picture on a website that there's a commercial weather balloon that looks

00:22:07.760 exactly like what they described was up there minus the balloon part which i believe could be invisible

00:22:13.760 if you viewed it from below all right here let me let me explain this let's say you're a balloon

00:22:19.360 and you're a payload so this is the payload hanging from a balloon right the bottom of the payload looks

00:22:28.720 like a octagon so you're a jet and you fly under it and you look up and you're going at how fast does

00:22:36.080 the jet go f-22 400 to 600 miles an hour somewhere in there 400 to 600 is that about right so so you're

00:22:48.560 going you're looking up at 400 now let's say there's a balloon above it in the picture the balloon

00:22:56.480 looked uh the same color as the sky sort of a milky white now i don't know what's up there

00:23:06.000 but i don't know i don't know how easy i'm not sure how easy it is to see things from a distance up there

00:23:11.840 is there are there are no clouds up there right at the distances that these alleged objects were

00:23:19.040 were there any clouds or could there be there are at let's say 20 to 65 000 feet there would be clouds

00:23:30.560 so i'm getting some different agreements uh at 20 000 i think there might be but at 65 000

00:23:42.080 are there clouds all right some people are saying yes but let's look into that all right here's my

00:23:47.440 point imagine you're in high winds and you're a balloon does the balloon and the payload move

00:23:54.560 um at the same rate if you're in high wind i don't know the answer i'm asking a question does it move

00:24:00.960 the same here's what i'd imagine i'd imagine it'd be more like this because if you're high wind i

00:24:08.480 imagine the balloon would be sort of dragging the payload you know not completely but sort of like this

00:24:16.400 so when you flew under it and you looked up you would see the payload and you would see nothing above

00:24:21.520 it because you should have been looking over there but maybe you didn't know to look over there because

00:24:27.680 the the balloon is somewhat you know it's not right when you think of a balloon and a payload

00:24:33.680 you think of the balloons that people uh go up in that humans go up in in those cases the balloon

00:24:40.880 isn't too far from the payload but i suspect based on just a photograph it's hard to tell it looks like

00:24:47.040 the balloon is actually higher from the payload in some of these weather balloons maybe not all of

00:24:52.720 them anyway that's what the the hypothesis is okay so uh and it's still being ignored which i think is

00:25:09.280 still funny now here and i want to be clear about this i don't know that i solved it i just know that

00:25:19.920 they described an object that looks exactly like the picture on the website of a weather balloon making

00:25:25.760 company aerostar and you think that at the very least i would be debunked right and then i looked at

00:25:36.320 the tweet they got like no traffic like the the tweet just sort of died you know the where i'm

00:25:42.320 pointing out that this is the the object yeah just sort of died now why is that

00:25:50.400 somebody says i was debunked where

00:25:55.600 and and how could they possibly do that how could you debunk that

00:25:59.600 but what was the debunk somebody's saying there was a debunk i'll bet the debunk is ridiculous

00:26:09.440 i mean you see a picture of the objects

00:26:12.960 i think i think the the only debunk i saw is that they would have seen the balloon

00:26:18.800 and i'm arguing that that's not the real world in the real world you could easily imagine they didn't

00:26:24.080 see the balloon all right anyway um

00:26:34.000 neil uh digressi tyson i saw him on cnn little clip uh he's basically saying it's it's all weather

00:26:41.840 balloons now he doesn't say that directly but he he suggests you know it's it's not aliens

00:26:47.440 he basically says there are a thousand weather balloons released per day the country is full of

00:26:53.920 weather balloons they're just floating in the direction of the wind and it's probably not much

00:26:58.880 about spying because the the ship even the even the chinese ship sort of went where the wind went

00:27:06.240 and all the other stuff is just going where the wind goes to so his take is it's probably just weather

00:27:11.760 balloons that i agree with that i agree with that all right uh looks like we've got new disaster porn

00:27:20.480 coming on cnn they warn us that as climate change accelerates which is totally happening the the

00:27:28.880 thwaitis glacier is rapidly changing now how bad would that be if the thwaitis glacier rapidly well it's

00:27:37.200 holding up some other piece of giant ice that if that falls it'll go into the ocean and your your

00:27:44.400 water will go up your tide lines will go up by 10 feet 10 feet destroying coastal communities

00:27:54.720 um then at the end while it could take hundreds or thousands of years

00:27:59.760 oh well you save that for the end uh the the ice shelf could disintegrate much sooner it could

00:28:06.640 it could could be much sooner triggering a retreat of the glacier which is both blah blah blah blah blah

00:28:13.120 now i say to myself

00:28:17.760 if i'd never heard about this would i be happier

00:28:22.160 i i feel like i would be i feel i could be happier if i'd never heard of it now i will tell you

00:28:28.400 that unlike the rest of you that unlike the rest of you i have actually acted upon the the risk

00:28:35.360 that the uh the water that the sea level will rise so i am intentionally uh at a height you know in

00:28:44.160 california i'm i'm away from the shore enough i think and i'm out high enough that you know a tsunami

00:28:51.120 wouldn't get me uh that's a good question let me find out hey siri what's my elevation

00:29:04.160 yeah uh there's an app for that right it'll tell me my elevation

00:29:08.960 i don't know it doesn't matter i'm high enough i'm high enough

00:29:16.400 so i just mentioned that because it's another one of these things you can't prove one way or the

00:29:20.960 other that makes you really scared good news good news all right let's talk about that ohio train

00:29:26.800 disaster which is getting weirder and weirder you know i waited a little bit on this story

00:29:32.240 because i thought it was one of those fog of war stories where as soon as you found out what's

00:29:38.720 really happening it would be more ordinary but it doesn't look that way

00:29:46.240 it doesn't look that way i was just watching a tim pool video that i tweeted around which i highly

00:29:52.560 recommend in which uh tim is is talking about you know some of the weird coincidences here

00:30:01.920 so the first thing i did was to check snopes i know i know you say snopes is not reliable but if

00:30:10.560 it agrees with what i already believe or it agrees with you know popular opinion maybe it's a little

00:30:17.440 more information okay so i wanted to ask if the dead fish story is real because you're hearing there

00:30:25.200 dead fish around the area of the uh chemical spill now uh snopes checked it out and apparently the dead

00:30:34.640 fish uh area that was filmed was 3.4 miles from the event and seems to be real seems to be current

00:30:42.960 different and close to the event doesn't necessarily mean doesn't necessarily mean uh someone was fishing

00:30:53.600 it doesn't mean that's the cause because here's the first question i'd ask if fish are dead three miles

00:31:01.280 away and there's no there's no direct indication that the stream the upstream was near the crash right

00:31:11.360 is it downstream because because that's missing in the fact check here's what i'd expect

00:31:16.720 the location is three miles the dead fish are three miles from the accident and that stream you know

00:31:25.040 if you if you go upstream you'd find that there's some connection close to the accident

00:31:29.840 but they didn't connect those dots so if something could die three miles from the event

00:31:37.120 wouldn't there be a lot more dead stuff

00:31:41.680 now i am hearing there are some dead birds as well

00:31:45.920 but i feel like there would just be massive dead stuff just everywhere yeah i uh i've heard some pets

00:31:56.000 throwing up and stuff are our fish the thing that would die first because it feels like fish are in

00:32:03.680 water and if it's let's see fast moving water i don't know it's just so so the first mystery is

00:32:13.360 uh why three miles away and if it's three miles away is that because it's you know directly

00:32:18.240 downstream which would make perfect sense but it is not reported it's not being reported that way

00:32:24.080 uh and the wind of course could carry it that's possible but i feel like there would just be

00:32:30.320 massive stuff within three miles if it's killing stuff three miles away then one mile away just

00:32:37.920 everything should be dead it seems to me so i'm going to call a little bit of maybe bs on the dead fish

00:32:46.560 maybe i'm not convinced that there's a connection but it's very scary so i i would

00:32:53.840 say this is like the VAERS report you know when the VAERS report was signaling oh my god oh my god

00:33:00.640 probably meant something probably had to be taken seriously so i'd worry about that but i think we

00:33:08.000 need to find out more the other thing that is fascinating tim pool points this out somebody pointed

00:33:14.720 out to him the vinyl chloride the i guess the most worrisome chemical of several that are released by the

00:33:21.120 the train uh that the cdc i i can't even believe this is true i i do believe it's true because tim

00:33:30.160 pool actually showed you showed the website live and you can see it for yourself but apparently the cdc

00:33:38.160 updated their uh their information on this very chemical one month ago in january

00:33:46.560 now what are the odds of that and it's actually labeled that their advice on it is new so you can

00:33:55.600 see it yourself it's the only one that's new it's not like they updated everything a month ago

00:34:01.920 it was either the only one or one of the few so that's kind of a big coincidence kind of a big

00:34:09.040 coincidence and then i'm told that the coincidental movie that was made about it on netflix called

00:34:21.360 white noise is that what it's called in which uh actual actors in that very town where the disaster was

00:34:28.480 some of those actors were in the movie and uh it was a movie about this exact thing

00:34:33.520 so what are the odds of all of those things

00:34:42.160 what are the odds of that and the answer why they would burn it i believe they burned it because

00:34:48.560 the alternatives were worse and my understanding is that once you flame it it does get into the atmosphere

00:34:55.840 but maybe it's its nature has been changed by the flames to be less dangerous or something or more

00:35:01.680 distributed i don't know but somehow the experts thought that that would help i don't doubt that

00:35:07.040 that's true uh but it doesn't mean that it was safe certainly doesn't mean that yeah the burn

00:35:14.560 removes a lot of the poison but probably not all of it um all right so let's keep an eye on that i don't

00:35:27.760 know if it means anything i really don't it it might be nothing but a bunch of coincidences and bad

00:35:34.320 reporting and could be any of that all right uh and then somebody else pointed out that uh just you

00:35:43.840 know in the conspiracy theory vein that apparently this is true but i'll take a fact check on this

00:35:50.560 i guess i didn't check it myself but it looked like it's true that a number of countries pulled their

00:35:56.320 ambassadors out of their ambassadors out of turkey um like uh maybe two days before the massive

00:36:02.320 earthquake do you believe that now they they said it was because oh turkey's looking unstable because

00:36:10.240 of some political thing did did that did a number of countries really pull their ambassadors out right

00:36:17.520 before the earthquake that one doesn't sound real does it but i did see some fact checking that alleged

00:36:26.400 it was true yeah it does sound like doesn't it a little too on the nose yeah but even if it were true

00:36:35.520 what exactly would somebody be suggesting let's assume it's true what would it mean

00:36:41.760 does somebody believe that we can predict or cause earthquakes i mean i don't think we can cause an

00:36:51.600 earthquake and i don't think we can predict them two days in advance so fracking does yeah but i don't

00:36:58.960 think there's any fracking in turkey i'm not sure that the fracking is is the fracking proven

00:37:04.880 as a earthquake problem

00:37:10.800 yeah oh it's been debunked okay that doesn't mean it's not true it just means it's somebody debunked

00:37:16.720 it all right here was a provocative tweet from a big famous investor bill ackman

00:37:24.800 and he tweeted this yesterday he said i'm going to make a bold and early call

00:37:29.280 that vivek ramaswamy will run for president and win i think the country is ready for his message

00:37:39.600 he is young smart talented and will attract the the center to the right to win the center to the right

00:37:48.000 to win he speaks hard truths which many believe but fear to say and then he linked to a talk that

00:37:55.920 vivek ramaswamy was giving at turning point usa and i said to myself well that's a provocative call

00:38:05.360 just based on what like one you know one video yeah you see one video and you're going to be like oh

00:38:13.440 oh he's going to be the president in 10 years or something i mean that's crazy right you can't really

00:38:18.960 judge that from whatever limited interviews i'm sure he saw some interviews too as well

00:38:23.920 but kind of kind of early isn't it i mean how could anybody make a call like that this early

00:38:34.800 and then i watched the video yeah he's going to be president

00:38:41.280 yep yep if he wants to if he wants to yeah now i'm just i'm just going to leave it at this

00:38:50.400 look at the video decide for yourself if i tell you and you haven't seen the video it's not really

00:38:57.600 going to be persuasive but i will promise you this if you watch the video you're going to see the same

00:39:05.120 thing you might have seen the first time you were introduced to uh barack obama first time you saw him

00:39:12.080 give a speech whether you're a republican or democrat the first time you saw obama give a speech you

00:39:18.400 probably said i think he's going to be president and then you were right because he exhibited all the

00:39:27.600 all the qualities that you're looking for and in that kind of person so

00:39:33.040 uh yeah and here's what impressed me i believe he gave his entire talk that was on that video

00:39:45.440 it was at turning point usa and i believe he gave the talk without notes it didn't look like he was

00:39:52.640 looking at anything if he gave that that presentation without notes which i believe he did

00:40:03.840 he's going to be president he's going to be president yeah i don't know what could stop him

00:40:10.160 because it's just crazy skill you're seeing and it just it just blazes you know you can't miss it

00:40:17.120 it's just so capable that you can't miss it

00:40:24.400 all right so keep an eye on that uh so i tweeted an agreement so now bill ackerman and i have both

00:40:32.080 called him as a future president and i will stick with that might be a while he's young so it might be a

00:40:38.960 while all right um i finally figured out why congress has not yet banned or maybe never will tick tock

00:40:53.600 um i hate to be a conspiracy theorist but you know how i always tell you follow the money works

00:40:58.880 even when it shouldn't like even if you know the people involved in your opinion are definitely not

00:41:05.440 doing it for money their decisions are always coincidentally very compatible with what you

00:41:11.280 would do if you were doing it for money right so my theory is even when all the people involved

00:41:17.600 don't believe they're doing it for money it's for money because you can predict that they'll go the

00:41:23.520 same direction as the money and i'm now starting to see a pattern that seems so predictive it's hard

00:41:30.320 to avoid that congress does whatever's bad for children or they won't change anything that's bad

00:41:37.120 for children now the first few times i heard that from you know right-wing provocative people i thought

00:41:44.960 to myself well that's too far too far there's nobody sitting down and making decisions that are bad for

00:41:52.000 children like literally no one but it keeps happening it just keeps happening and so i'm gonna uh very much

00:42:03.600 like follow the money you don't necessarily know what's going on in people's heads and maybe they're

00:42:09.600 just trying to help children but the outcome seems consistently bad for children to the point where

00:42:16.000 i believe you could do it you could predict based on this effect so i'm going to make a prediction

00:42:22.960 the next time there's some brand new topic not not something we're already dealing with the next time

00:42:28.880 there's a brand new topic that's a risk to children we won't fix it that's the prediction the next new

00:42:37.840 risk to children won't be addressed and here's my hypothesis and here's where it gets interesting

00:42:46.720 now you know that as a hypnotist i think people make decisions for irrational reasons

00:42:53.600 uh and then they rationalize it what would happen to a planet that believed it was overpopulated

00:43:03.200 suppose you believe that our biggest problem is overpopulation which is a common belief

00:43:08.480 what would your value what value would you put on children if you thought there were already too many

00:43:16.000 right do i even have to finish it if there are too many children we would quite naturally as

00:43:24.000 biological evolved you know evolution evolved uh creatures we should devalue them

00:43:32.160 because we don't need more now suppose uh your biggest problem was underpopulation and everybody knew it

00:43:40.720 how would you treat children if you thought your biggest problem in the world was underpopulation

00:43:47.040 i believe you would treat them like the future you know like we used to in the old days so while i

00:43:56.720 don't believe that there's any human being who's making a conscious decision to do something that's

00:44:02.320 bad for children i don't think there's anybody doing that but i do believe they might be influenced by the fact

00:44:08.480 that there are too many of them in their opinion which is incorrect so could the incorrect belief

00:44:15.280 uh that drives everything from climate policy to everything else could that be causing people to simply

00:44:24.800 not act to protect children because they don't see it as necessary it just doesn't seem necessary

00:44:33.120 because remember all of our big decisions are procreation related or mating related that from the

00:44:39.280 choice of the choice of the shirt you put on to my choice to be doing this you know this this very

00:44:45.120 experience right here where i'm basically showing off to a crowd is is a mating instinct that's where it

00:44:52.960 comes from you know why why does anybody show off not for no reason you know now my conscious reason would be

00:45:02.400 nothing to do with mating but why is it i always make decisions that are compatible with that instinct

00:45:09.600 not it's not a coincidence it's because everything we do is a direct or indirect projection from your

00:45:17.600 mating instinct everything once you understand that that everything's a mating instinct then your

00:45:23.280 decisions make more sense right yeah the the self-pride you know making money being famous all of those are

00:45:30.880 just so your mating options are better even if you don't want to mate as in my case i'm not looking to mate

00:45:37.840 it's just i'm completely aware that all of my actions are some artificial expression of of that basic

00:45:46.480 instinct that never goes away

00:45:48.480 is uh elon musk peacocking by building giant rockets yes yes yes all right so take a take a look at

00:46:00.800 uh elon musk so he believes where we have an underpopulation problem which i agree if you believe

00:46:10.320 that the world was underpopulated how would you act you would have lots of children check you would build

00:46:18.240 rocket ships to make sure that even if the earth was destroyed you'd still protect children on mars

00:46:23.120 check you would uh even if you're not sure if climate change is really the you know the biggest problem

00:46:31.120 in the world you would still act to at least reduce the risk of it even if you weren't sure

00:46:38.400 check that's what electric cars are and electric everything so when you see somebody so here's

00:46:45.840 the hypothesis okay here's the hypothesis that if you collected a bunch of people who believe

00:46:52.320 that we're overpopulated you would find a coincidental policy preference for everything from abortion

00:47:01.920 to uh trans and you could go on you know keep keep tick tock legal right and then you take a group who

00:47:14.640 who properly understands in my opinion properly understands that we're underpopulated and then

00:47:20.880 ask them their opinions about abortion trans rights for children you know the trans children stuff and tick

00:47:28.800 tick tock if you if there's no correlation i will be amazed what do you think do you think that the

00:47:38.400 group who thinks you're underpopulated and the group that thinks you're overpopulated has the same opinion

00:47:44.560 about children i don't think so i think one wants more children than the other doesn't care

00:47:52.160 doesn't care or wants fewer of them yeah now where have you ever seen anybody talk about this

00:48:02.400 see this is why this is why you come to this live stream i might be right i might be wrong a very

00:48:09.680 very good possibility that there's nothing there but it seems important enough to consider

00:48:16.560 wouldn't you agree because i think the logic holds that the mating instinct drives our subconscious

00:48:25.040 decisions and we're seeing a pattern of anti-children behavior that doesn't seem common to the people who

00:48:32.800 think we should have more children that it may be the driving factor for all of it

00:48:38.880 yeah maybe all right um let's see what else is happening do you remember a long time ago um and

00:48:53.840 since then i've wondered what happened to the people at the charlottesville neo-nazi march

00:49:01.840 and i wondered why the news wasn't making more of surfacing who they are and talking about them etc

00:49:10.320 and then we have this story an update in the news today teddy joseph von nukem yes his his last name

00:49:19.440 is n-u-k-e-m nukem now that's not how i spell nukem but i like that spelling yeah it's like duke nukem

00:49:28.800 all right at age 35 he died of a self-inflicted gunshot wound interesting yeah are self-inflicted gunshot

00:49:39.120 wounds the main way that somebody fakes a suicide like if you were to murder somebody but you want

00:49:46.800 to look like a suicide what are all the ways you would do it i think uh i think self-inflicted gunshot

00:49:55.520 wound would be one way to fake a murder and make it look like a suicide i'm not saying that's what

00:50:01.200 happened i'm not saying that was what happened i'm just saying you know of all the ways to die

00:50:07.440 that does have that quality i think and according to a report from the texas coroners uh oh the texas

00:50:15.120 county coroners in missouri um he was scheduled to be in court facing four counts of uh related to

00:50:23.680 illegal import and sale of fentanyl so he's a fentanyl dealer so i'm glad he's gone and if somebody

00:50:33.200 did murder him i hope so you know my my perfect situation would be that he was murdered by a

00:50:40.480 uh a dad who made it look like a suicide and even the uh coroner knew exactly what happened and decided to

00:50:48.400 uh call it a suicide you know it would be great if the coroners around the country decided to call

00:50:55.920 every murder of a fentanyl dealer a suicide what what if they just said well we'll take care of this

00:51:03.280 ourselves we'll just solve this problem ourselves if anybody dies from a gunshot wound and they're also

00:51:11.680 a active fentanyl dealer sounds like suicide to us no that'll never happen but you can dream all

00:51:20.960 right so uh the story goes on that uh this newcomb guy was famous for being photographed at being at the uh

00:51:28.800 uh at that rally he was one of the men chanting and holding tiki torches

00:51:35.840 and he confirmed his identity so he confirmed he was there he was definitely met marching with a tiki

00:51:41.840 torch so if he was marching with a tiki torch and he was in that uh the one thing we can say about him

00:51:48.480 for sure is that he's a white supremacist and a neo-nazi is that fair is it fair to say the one thing we know

00:51:55.360 for sure if you had a tiki torch and you were marching with the neo-nazis and you were chanting anti-semitic stuff

00:52:04.960 you were definitely something like a white supremacist or neo-nazis but interestingly

00:52:10.720 he says uh he did not consider himself a white supremacist or a neo-nazi but he said he would

00:52:18.000 not quote counter signal against them interesting he he admits that he marched with them

00:52:26.960 but he's not one of them

00:52:33.520 hmm it's almost like he got paid to march

00:52:38.240 almost like he got paid

00:52:41.360 remember i told you that i don't think that the marchers were necessarily a organic group

00:52:47.920 to me the whole thing looks like an op it looks like an op and i'm not i'm not saying you should

00:52:54.560 trust anything about this news story or anything that this guy says he's a fentanyl dealer or he was

00:53:00.560 he was a fentanyl dealer right so i'm not going to trust anything he says but i would predict

00:53:07.760 and i did predict that if you hunted down the people in that group there would be a lot of them

00:53:14.080 who said that they were not neo-nazis and not white supremacists that was my prediction

00:53:19.600 so here's one doesn't prove anything it's just one anecdotal situation but it is consistent with

00:53:26.000 prediction all right rasmussen has a uh bowl um talking about sex change surgery and uh also

00:53:35.840 chemical changes for minors for minors what percentage of the public do you think

00:53:43.520 is against sex change for minors uh 58 of likely voters

00:53:52.560 um 58 uh are in favor of making it illegal to do a sex change on a minor slightly less but still a

00:54:02.400 majority are against uh hormone replacement therapy for children

00:54:09.520 for children

00:54:15.440 now here's one of those bubble situations that is perplexing i've never met anybody who was in favor

00:54:24.320 of a gender change for a child have you have you ever met like a real person who was in favor of that

00:54:32.080 like anybody and and something like you know a third of the country is in favor of according to this

00:54:38.160 how could that possibly be true

00:54:43.280 some of you some of you have talked to somebody who's in favor of gender change for children

00:54:51.760 not in real life i mean i've seen interviews i've seen people but in my real actual life i live in the

00:54:58.720 bluest place in the world right i'm in california

00:55:01.440 california i live in california all of my friends are californians well my local friends are all

00:55:07.600 californians i don't know a single person who would be in favor of that and i know a lot of democrats

00:55:15.280 i don't know anybody who would say they're in favor of that so what's happening here

00:55:19.360 i'm not sure i've and as i say it i'm not sure i've ever seen a real person in an interview say

00:55:29.280 they're in favor of it i've seen the advocates but the advocates are a special case is there anybody

00:55:35.440 who's just a parent you know they're not they're not really involved in as an advocate they're just

00:55:40.480 apparent would they be in favor of that i've been i'm willing to believe that they exist but isn't

00:55:48.720 it weird that i have no contact with them in in california i've got a real question about the

00:55:55.200 what's going on here now i'm not doubting the accuracy of the poll i don't have any reason to

00:56:01.200 doubt that i'm just doubting the accuracy of reality like i don't know how reality makes sense

00:56:06.880 if this is true how do i not run into any of them how could that never come up

00:56:16.240 i don't know strange um

00:56:21.040 and then let's see uh

00:56:26.880 same with the chemistry the chemicals well anyway on uh the trigonometry uh trigernometry

00:56:34.640 podcast which is a very good podcast michael schellenberger uh was on there recently and uh

00:56:42.240 i liked his summary of what we've learned from the twitter files uh and here it was just the cleanest

00:56:50.160 summary from michael schellenberger quote twitter changed its rules so they could get rid of trump

00:56:56.320 that's the summary yeah that we know that now because they didn't really have any rules that he

00:57:04.480 violated so they made made up some rules to get rid of them now even jack dorsey disagreed with it

00:57:11.600 because even jack said uh you had other tools you could have removed one tweet and kept the you know

00:57:18.400 ex-president on there or you could have given him like a little time out like everybody else you could

00:57:25.200 have done anything just don't do that and that was the wrong thing to do so um and the same with the

00:57:34.960 the laptop story um that twitter sort of made rules

00:57:39.040 on on the fly now as schellenberger uh accurately states and i will agree with them i don't disagree

00:57:48.880 with them making up rules on the fly which sounds like it's contradictory doesn't it i don't disagree

00:57:55.920 with that because the real world is always throwing you new situations right there's no two situations

00:58:02.240 are quite the same and so if you just have a general rule and you slavishly follow it even as

00:58:07.680 reality is changing your situation i do understand that you sometimes have to update your rules

00:58:15.440 because some new thing came up but it doesn't look like they did something useful in this specific case

00:58:21.200 so i i love the way schellenberger uh acknowledges both sides that that's a very strong technique

00:58:30.880 because if you don't acknowledge the other argument you just sound like an activist or a

00:58:37.200 proponent yeah he's trying to just tell you what's real and what's not real so he'll show you both

00:58:42.640 sides i like that all right here's the most controversial and mean thing that uh ever happened

00:58:51.520 i remind you if anybody's new to my my content i'm a big fan and supporter of the lgbtq and the trans

00:59:00.400 community which doesn't mean i agree with every single you know policy change or anything like

00:59:06.240 that certainly not for children but i'm just a big supporter of adults who have figured out what they

00:59:13.200 want if you're not happy go for it if it doesn't work that was your right it was your right to try it

00:59:21.520 so i'm very a big supporter of that community maybe more so than many of my viewers so i give you that

00:59:28.480 context before i say the worst thing anybody ever said about the trans community you ready

00:59:35.920 are you ready remember i'm a supporter so that the context of this is trying to be useful

00:59:43.680 not trying to be mean not trying to hurt anybody trying to be useful by understanding the situation

00:59:51.040 and i came to this uh opinion while looking at some tweets by uh conservative matt walsh who's been

01:00:00.640 deeply into the trans conversation and he was doing a very mean spirited in my opinion uh take down of

01:00:09.520 uh uh what's his name dylan mulvaney who is what's his job he's is in the biden administration

01:00:18.640 and he's a very outspoken um trans uh currently living as a woman

01:00:28.880 and matt walsh is very unkind uh in my opinion uh in his let's say opinion of whether or not that's

01:00:40.320 actually a woman and you know it's uh i won't i won't repeat it because it's a little meaner than

01:00:46.640 i would want to be now here's where i agree with matt walsh completely but without the mean parts all

01:00:56.000 right it's the uncanny valley problem uncanny valley problem now uh this will be an analogy

01:01:05.360 but in this case the analogy um what i'm what i'm gonna say is that i'm not making an argument with

01:01:12.160 an analogy i'm saying that the same effect might apply perfectly in this case so the argument will

01:01:20.480 be the um the argument don't don't don't imagine that the analogy is the argument all right the

01:01:27.680 argument will just be the argument but the analogy will get you to the argument so you know what i'm

01:01:32.080 saying so we know there's a thing with uh androids and robots where if an if a robot looks like just

01:01:39.440 a robot you could you could say to yourself oh there's a cute little robot there looks like a robot

01:01:45.360 but if they make your robot like an android that's so close to being a human being but not quite

01:01:54.000 it disgusts us because it looks like a human that's unhealthy or unwell or something

01:02:00.800 because it's not quite right but you don't know exactly why it just freaks you out and creeps you out

01:02:09.040 all right so the i believe the exact same effect is happening with the trans community and the non-trans

01:02:18.560 reaction to it when i see rachel levine also a trans woman living as a woman i am not

01:02:30.960 i'm not grossed out i'm not grossed out because when i see rachel levine my brain says oh there is

01:02:39.040 someone who looks very much like a man to me just that's just completely subjective uh who prefers to

01:02:46.480 live as a woman and i respect that i'm not grossed out at all because to me it looks like the the robot

01:02:55.520 that doesn't look like a person like that rachel levine is not going you know out of her way to be

01:03:03.280 female and so it doesn't get close to the uncanny valley problem it's just something you might agree

01:03:11.920 with or disagree with but that's you know just happening in your head but when dylan mulvaney

01:03:20.160 expresses let's say her

01:03:23.840 preference it appears that she is trying to be as close as possible to a biologically born

01:03:32.800 uh physically female person but can't quite get there isn't quite there really close

01:03:41.680 like if you're going to score it you'd probably score it like a like a 90 percent or better

01:03:47.440 i mean it's pretty close but it's the uncanny valley so again with love and affection

01:03:58.160 um that's a problem that you have to navigate i don't know what the right answer is but you should

01:04:04.080 be aware if you're considering transitioning you should be aware that at least one of the variables

01:04:11.040 is that the closer you get to the perfect version of what you're aiming for you might be more

01:04:18.480 disturbing to people who are not let's say as open to your change as you would like them to be

01:04:30.080 all right now do i get cancelled for that because i i genuinely and i genuinely mean this to be useful

01:04:40.240 to the trans community because i'm not sure they understand that they might but do you think that

01:04:48.320 the the trans community knows about the uncanny valley because it's sort of a you know a niche

01:04:56.480 little thing that not everybody knows about you cannot be useful you say well the only thing i can be

01:05:04.080 useful to is uh how some people might react because that's part of the variables doesn't mean you

01:05:12.240 shouldn't do it i'm not telling you that i'm not i'm not giving you any information um let me be clear

01:05:21.280 let me be clear as a spokesperson for the president often says let me be clear

01:05:26.400 um i'm not saying anybody should or shouldn't do it that's their decision as adults i'm just saying

01:05:33.760 that one of the variables you should consider is if you get too close to your mark it might have the

01:05:39.200 opposite effect that you were shooting for that's all all right um i saw some tweeting about ukraine that

01:05:50.320 uh all of us can agree all tweets and information about ukraine are unreliable like really unreliable

01:05:59.120 but still fun to talk about and i have this question i saw two tweeters who seem to know what

01:06:03.840 they're talking about but who knows claim that the number that the russian military that's in ukraine

01:06:09.680 could be uh well over 90 percent of all the russian military you know the part that actually works

01:06:16.400 do you believe that do you believe that that russia is already all in with the stuff that still

01:06:24.480 functions right they might have massive assets that aren't very good that aren't part of it and i don't

01:06:30.160 know what the 90 percent includes does include weapons and people or just people so almost everybody's

01:06:36.240 saying no in the comments well let me um so that was my first reaction as well so my first reaction

01:06:46.080 is now they don't have 90 percent of their functional army in ukraine and then i said to myself they better

01:06:57.440 that's what i'd do if i were put if i were put in i would put 90 or more of my entire army into that

01:07:05.680 fight do you know why because he can't lose he can't lose that fight right he can't lose and and it's pretty

01:07:14.400 close to looking like that's a possibility i think putin would put 100 of his assets in there that

01:07:21.120 worked the good stuff i think it's close to 100 because does does russia have any risk on any other

01:07:30.080 front no china is not attacking russia they have no risk anywhere else in the world if they haven't put

01:07:39.840 90 plus percent of their assets into that fight already that's a mistake am i wrong it's a mistake

01:07:50.080 they have to put it all they have to put they have to be all in because losing is just not an option

01:07:57.360 now what about ukraine ukraine's all in don't you think ukraine probably has greater than 100 of

01:08:04.480 their military in the fight because they have like other people fighting like they have people that

01:08:09.280 were not even ukrainian fighting so ukraine is like maybe a 120 in the fight like 20 that's not even the

01:08:19.200 ukrainian military is in the fight whereas russia if they have if they have less than 90 of all their

01:08:26.160 good stuff including their people who can actually fight if they have less than 90 they're not taking you

01:08:33.040 serious now let me ask you again because almost everybody said no they do not have 90 of their

01:08:41.760 working assets military assets dedicated to ukraine now that i've explained it that it would be stupid

01:08:49.200 to have less than 90 now what do you think did i change your mind anybody change their mind

01:08:56.160 all right so i'm getting a few more yeses but a lot of no's uh i respect your skepticism

01:09:08.080 i respect your skepticism yeah yeah i i'm not going to say that i have a high confidence that it's 90

01:09:15.360 but i will say i have a high confidence that if it's not over 90 that putin's making a mistake

01:09:21.680 would you agree with that would you agree that if he's not putting over 90 of his working assets

01:09:29.040 and people that's a mistake no well what's the account argument give me give me the quick counter

01:09:36.480 argument i'm ignoring japan what does japan have to do with ukraine and russia

01:09:45.760 i don't understand that a counterattack

01:09:53.920 china has a claim on siberia yeah but they're not going to move on it

01:09:57.920 you think china is going to move on siberia because russia is busy that's not going to happen

01:10:03.840 that's never going to happen all right um

01:10:07.600 russia and japan have disputed islands oh okay so they're disputed islands and you're saying that

01:10:17.680 japan might move on those disputed islands have you met japan have you met japan you think japan is

01:10:26.960 going to uh mount uh a uh offensive war come on that's not serious just because they have an

01:10:38.800 opportunity you think they're going to mount an offensive war against russia that's not going to

01:10:42.960 happen all right well i could be wrong about it all but uh uh i think if he doesn't have 90 in there

01:10:52.880 he's he's stupid and he's not stupid that's my view if he doesn't have 90 in the fight he's stupid

01:11:01.360 and he doesn't look stupid or i am good point as a felony videos points out or possibly i'm stupid

01:11:10.480 that is a possibility all right you would not be surprised at the following that there's a new study

01:11:17.520 that says that uh you practically can't get myocarditis from covid but man you could certainly

01:11:25.840 get it from the shots are you surprised that there's a new study that says that all of the myocarditis

01:11:33.840 is probably from the shots and none of it is from the covid is anybody surprised

01:11:42.080 would you be surprised that about a year ago there was a massive study that said exactly the opposite

01:11:47.520 in a big way exactly the opposite and in a big way now you know what they they don't clarify

01:12:00.880 here's my guess my guess is that if if covid itself caused any myocarditis and i don't know at this point

01:12:11.120 if it did it might have been bad under alpha and delta exactly you're you're ahead of me it's the

01:12:17.840 variance but probably or just theoretically uh under omicron so here's a here's the issue it's starting

01:12:28.800 to look like uh getting the shot might have been good for some people during alpha and delta

01:12:36.400 but maybe more bad than good under omicron now that's very preliminary it could be that it was

01:12:43.760 all bad all the time very possible could be that it was all good all the time i don't think so but

01:12:50.560 possible so we're we're still in the not completely knowing what's going on for sure but just be aware

01:12:58.800 that there are two credible looking studies that say wildly the opposite wildly wildly the opposite

01:13:07.680 how do you deal with that how do you deal with the fact that there's a study that looks sort of

01:13:14.320 credible that says basically nobody gets myocarditis from covid and it's all from the shots and then a

01:13:23.360 study from just one year ago exactly the opposite there's like a huge difference it's like all from

01:13:29.680 the it's all from the covid and you you can also get it from the shots all right both study both

01:13:36.160 studies say you can get myocarditis from the shots all right just to be clear both studies say that

01:13:43.520 but one says that's all of it and the other one says it's much less than if you just got the covid

01:13:49.600 and then the next question is suppose you had the shots first and then you get the covid

01:13:57.280 now of course i you know tweeted both the studies so you can see the difference and here was the

01:14:04.240 interesting thing uh one viewer looked at the study that said that the covid gives you the myocarditis

01:14:13.040 and said no the title is misleading it says right here in the study that it's the opposite

01:14:19.440 so really scott you got you read the headline wrong you got fooled by this fake headline but if you

01:14:24.800 actually go into the body of the study it says the opposite so i went into the body of the study and it

01:14:30.320 does not say the opposite but do you think i could convince the person who said it did

01:14:36.400 that it didn't say the opposite i could not i could not i could not convince them that what they

01:14:45.280 were seeing was not real now here here was here's the thing there was one statement that if you looked

01:14:50.960 out of context it looked like it said the opposite of the headline but if you looked at that one statement

01:14:58.800 in the body of the context it reversed it again so there's something that you see out of context it

01:15:05.520 says the sky is blue you had a little bit context it says no no the sky is not blue

01:15:13.040 and even that little bit of change we disagreed with that said these are two educated people

01:15:20.640 looking at the same thing written in clear english and one said it says wildly left and then i said

01:15:27.520 it says no it says wildly right and very clearly so and we could not solve that we could not solve

01:15:34.400 that now i think i'm right and i think you know the the other individual is experiencing cognitive

01:15:42.880 dissonance but it could be the other way it could be the other way

01:15:46.880 who knows um and then there's a

01:15:57.840 there's a study that uh long covid brains are very different so the people who who had covid but

01:16:07.120 presumably not a vaccination um when you when you look at their brains they're clearly damaged

01:16:13.200 so the the covid people have damaged brains and you can see the difference

01:16:20.960 now does that mean that that so-called vaccinated people does that mean that they don't have damaged

01:16:26.960 brains i don't know i don't know everything you look at is sketchy right because you look at you think

01:16:35.120 it's telling you something and then you realize what what they're not telling you and as soon as you

01:16:40.080 realize what they're not telling you like all the credibility goes away

01:16:48.720 this guy is hung up on covid

01:16:52.160 so if your brain if your brain is uh damaged by covid would you not want to know

01:17:00.160 is that something you'd not be interested in massive brain damage no interest

01:17:05.200 all right um there's also increasing evidence that the shots were bad for pregnant women and young

01:17:16.160 people and uh does anybody remember me suggesting that if you were pregnant you should get a

01:17:25.200 a under-tested vaccination did i ever recommend that

01:17:30.240 uh nope nope nope i did not i did not but a number of people uh would like to fact check me for my

01:17:39.280 personal medical decisions

01:17:43.360 that's not a thing there's here here's the thing that almost everybody misses in the vax or no vax

01:17:51.920 conversation and by the way i haven't heard anybody mention this but one of the biggest variables is

01:17:59.280 is always left out and it's one i haven't mentioned before believe it or not so it's not about long

01:18:04.640 covid or any of the stuff we've talked about there's one gigantic variable for the people who decided to

01:18:11.120 to vaccinate or not that i've never seen discussed what it does to you psychologically

01:18:21.760 a lot of people who got the shots immediately felt better in psychologically is that nothing

01:18:30.240 is that a nothing if you had a year or two of feeling safer even if you weren't like even if in fact

01:18:40.000 you weren't you weren't isn't that worth a lot two years of feeling safe and there was nothing you could do about it really

01:18:47.280 you know maybe or maybe there was who knows

01:18:55.440 so and suppose suppose you were uh very much concerned or afraid of the vaccination

01:19:02.480 if let's say that was your your mentality was you were very concerned about the danger from the shot itself

01:19:10.000 and let's say you're 40 years old and and don't have too many comorbidities and you're really

01:19:14.800 afraid of the shot itself would i recommend that you got that shot what do you think do you think i'd

01:19:21.360 recommend a healthy 40 year old get the shot if their mentality was oh i'm really concerned about the long

01:19:29.600 term no no i would not who imagines i would have like who could even imagine i would have done that of

01:19:37.280 course not yeah i did not of course and the people who imagined that i ever suggested what

01:19:44.160 anybody else should do with their health the reason you know i didn't do that is because i never talked

01:19:50.320 about the mental part if i talked about the mental part then i would be getting very close

01:19:56.080 to something that was like suggesting what you should do or not do as i am now i guess but i never did that

01:20:03.360 because that was just purely your own decision we're you know we all had inadequate information

01:20:10.400 purely your own decision yeah i talked about how i felt and then people fact checked me

01:20:16.480 doesn't work like that how i feel is a huge part of my mental and physical health well by definition

01:20:25.040 what if ivermectin made you feel safe then take it that did i ever tell anybody to not take ivermectin

01:20:35.280 ever hear that did that ever come out no i've said consistently if you think it works and your doctor

01:20:42.240 agrees and or even if your doctor doesn't agree the risks seem so low that why not if it made you feel better

01:20:49.840 sure you know the the placebo effect alone would make ivermectin work am i wrong if you had any drug

01:21:03.440 that worked say on 30 of the people who took it that would be like one of the best drugs of all time

01:21:09.920 ivermectin should work on around 30 of the people whether it works or not

01:21:14.240 whether it works or not 30 of the people should have seen some what they imagined was a benefit

01:21:22.960 so yeah i would never tell you to take it or not to take it and never did

01:21:30.880 all right

01:21:34.000 but i maintain that so far i am the rightest person on the pandemic

01:21:38.880 if you count everything from closing traffic to calling out fat fauci is wrong to masks to vaccinations

01:21:48.560 to shutdowns i was right on every element in every part of it i'm the only person as far as now i

01:21:56.000 believe i was the rightest person by far and it's possible that i'll get a blood clot and die

01:22:02.000 those could both be true right there's not the chances that you know someday i die from a blood

01:22:10.640 clot in five years totally possible from from making a suboptimal choice totally possible

01:22:20.240 but i'm still the rightest person on all the analysis because you can make the right decision

01:22:26.000 and nothing's 100 so you can make all the right decisions and still die from your decisions that's

01:22:31.520 not even unusual

01:22:35.040 now review your statements on climate models the best ever yeah i have the best opinions on climate

01:22:40.960 change of anybody by far nobody's even close yeah i've been right on everything on climate change

01:22:52.080 i'm looking for some more pushback because i'm making ridiculous claims but they're they're also

01:22:58.480 true in my opinion but i expected more pushback

01:23:04.000 uh what about cernovich's comment that federman is a baller because he he risked his own uh health

01:23:12.160 to get elected there's something to that yeah yeah cernovich doesn't say crazy shit right like you can

01:23:20.480 agree with them or disagree with them but there's always something there there's something to that yeah

01:23:24.960 there's there's substance to that opinion i'll just say that you know that the question of whether

01:23:31.200 uh it was good for him is separate the question of whether his wife or anybody else pushed him is

01:23:38.800 separate but yes when you see somebody who takes personal risk to do something that i believe he

01:23:45.760 thought he was doing something good for the country um at least good for the country according to democrats

01:23:52.080 so yeah any anybody who puts their life on the line for public benefit has to be respected

01:23:59.760 uh criminal caught after cutting off 37 man buns in one day how in the world do you cut off 37 man buns

01:24:16.240 and not be killed how did that happen i know he did it with a knife but

01:24:23.520 uh wow that was crazy

01:24:35.040 all right um brain surgeon looking for clots

01:24:45.840 all right um anything else happening what else did i miss

01:24:50.160 uh robert kioski called the biden family the biden crime family

01:24:58.640 oh there you go yeah i think you can call the biden's a crime family because remember the the

01:25:04.560 government is guilty until proven innocent you know there are individuals as individuals are

01:25:10.640 innocent until proven guilty but since they're acting you know in the form of the government the

01:25:15.760 government's guilty unless they can prove they're not if they can't prove they're not you're you

01:25:20.800 have every reasonable right to assume that they're guilty because it wouldn't be hard to prove that

01:25:26.000 they're not guilty all right uh

01:25:35.520 ooh there's an idea somebody's suggesting that if i got a man bun i could cover my male powder pattern

01:25:42.240 boldness that might be the best idea i've heard

01:25:49.840 because i was i was thinking of converting to judaism just so i'd always have a little hat to

01:25:55.040 cover up the bald spot but that felt like a big sacrifice so i think i'll just grow my hair out and

01:26:01.840 have a man bum right on top i think i could rock that totally rock that or are you seeing the videos of

01:26:10.000 the tate brothers now um where uh andrew tate doesn't get to shave his head probably in in prison or

01:26:20.240 whatever however they're being detained so his hair is growing back in the shaved part and on the sides and

01:26:29.520 the the unfortunate uh outcome is that it's changing from uh you know a strong masculine look with the

01:26:38.720 shaved head and it's it's turning him into the pointy-haired boss with with the two tufts on the

01:26:44.400 side and you know bald in the middle and that it's a it's a real uh lesson on presenting yourself

01:26:53.600 it's a real lesson and i'm going to give him a compliment all right i do think that uh that andrew

01:27:00.240 tate in particular he does a better job working with you know what he was born with than just about

01:27:07.200 anybody right he does a really good job of turning what he has into the best asset it could be you

01:27:14.800 know i'm seeing a lot of uh a lot of people like uh pierce pierce morgan for example agree with

01:27:24.480 the andrew tate let's say philosophy to some degree not a hundred percent um and and just being forced

01:27:32.560 to say that you know the the andrew tate thing is really not about andrew tate if you think it's

01:27:41.360 about him you're missing the whole story right the reason that he has a massive following is he's saying

01:27:49.200 the things that everybody's thinking that's it it's because of us that he's famous he's not famous just

01:27:57.040 because he's good at it and he's good at it he's famous because he says things that people agree with

01:28:03.040 that's it but i don't think we want to deal with that yet i don't think we want to deal with the fact

01:28:09.360 that uh men and boys feel so victimized that they need some kind of guidance to you know get them on a stronger

01:28:19.200 path and uh if he's you know contributing to that message it's a positive if he's just turning him

01:28:29.040 into a little dirtbag misogynist not so good not so good but i would say as of today that i'm not familiar

01:28:40.000 with anything i would consider convincing evidence that they committed crimes now i've said this before

01:28:46.480 but it's it's time to say it again the the tate situation is not like anything else and here's why

01:28:56.800 i've always wondered what would happen when a master persuader goes to trial now i heard about one case

01:29:05.120 where a hypnotist went to trial and got convicted for some bad behavior but i always thought to myself if

01:29:12.720 if the case were more complicated let's say the the one hypnotist i guess did one bad thing with one

01:29:19.280 underage person so that was sort of a simple thing you know yes or no and the jury decided he was guilty

01:29:26.880 but the tates are involved in something that at the very least is complicated it is complicated by

01:29:34.800 you know who's trying to do what who's after them are they just victims did they really do a crime

01:29:40.640 were were the women uh really agreeing to it were they not there's some kind of indication that

01:29:47.520 there's some messages that have been recovered from the girls plotting to take take down with fake claims

01:29:55.360 i don't know if the messages are real but if they're real it would suggest that there was a plot to take

01:30:01.600 them down which doesn't mean they didn't commit any crimes right everything nothing is guaranteeing anything

01:30:07.920 else but um here's what you need to know andrew tate's success is not an accident it's because he

01:30:19.520 knows how to communicate and he is a trained persuader so his his talent stack includes everything from

01:30:27.760 fighting to communications to you know putting on a look that that has a certain appeal to uh to getting

01:30:37.040 women right he has a whole bunch of talents in his stack but he's very smart and one of the talents

01:30:43.600 that he's added is hypnosis and persuasion directly he is an expert on persuasion and if you put an

01:30:53.280 expert on persuasion who actually understands hypnosis i don't think he's a hypnotist but he would

01:30:58.480 understand it um you put him into a trial situation and i think he walks even if he's guilty so i think

01:31:08.960 what's going to happen is um now things could be different in romania it's a corrupt system so maybe

01:31:16.240 you know maybe it doesn't matter how good your defense is i don't know but if if the trial is fair

01:31:22.880 and the tates get to determine how the defense is is managed i think they walk and it's only it has

01:31:33.200 nothing to do with guilt i'm not making any opinion on their guilt i believe that his skill level is

01:31:40.400 greater than the judicial system in romania that's what i think i think that's not a fair fight

01:31:47.360 that he's not in the fight yet because he's just being held like you know in a detention so he's

01:31:54.160 not able to mount any kind of a defense but if it becomes public i don't know if they do that in

01:31:59.680 romania but if you imagine it's public he wins if it's a fair trial he wins because he has the skill to

01:32:11.200 induce reasonable doubt in almost any situation even if you think well it's right here here's the memo

01:32:19.760 we've got all these witnesses he could make all that go away he could make all of that go away and i

01:32:26.480 don't think you understand the degree of his skill right now i'm not saying it's guaranteed he could just

01:32:33.760 be convicted and we'll never know what the what the deal was it's possible but i'm gonna bet on him

01:32:40.320 uh not only getting out of it but getting out of it like nelson mandela

01:32:46.640 you know what i mean as in coming back stronger because if he can add to his current narrative

01:32:54.400 because you know he's a he's a construction of his own making you know that whatever opinion you have

01:33:00.000 of tate he's created right that's just a construction of his uh if he beats this charge

01:33:08.880 the next construction will be he's nelson mandela the system tried to take him down

01:33:14.880 but he was stronger than the system that's going to be really appealing yeah now uh lance says he tate is

01:33:25.360 a predator not a persuader well he could be both he could be both i'm not supporting him just to be

01:33:32.560 clear uh if anybody's new to me again uh i hate him for personal reasons right for personal interactions

01:33:43.280 i hate him would i be happy if he went to jail for a long time yeah i would honestly i would be totally

01:33:51.280 happy he what he did to me personally i i would be perfectly fine if he went to jail for 10 years

01:34:00.000 i don't even care if he's i don't even care if he's innocent

01:34:04.640 i think karma karma might just take care of it right maybe karma will take care of it now

01:34:13.600 here's another question for you is it a coincidence that the people i want to go down seem to go down

01:34:20.480 quite often you ever notice that that when somebody is my nemesis bad things seem to happen to them

01:34:27.680 not because i did anything i mean i didn't do anything in romania it just seems like another

01:34:32.960 one of those coincidences

01:34:38.800 of the trump effect yeah

01:34:40.000 i'm gonna push out of medical process most people don't care about medical necessity okay

01:34:52.400 all right uh yes there are lots of coincidences am i aligned with the intelligence community

01:35:00.480 what do you mean aligned do you mean working with them

01:35:04.480 i'm not in anybody's payroll and and i'm not aware of any assignments i've been given from the

01:35:12.160 intelligence community

01:35:17.920 what did he do to you never mind it was personal it's all over the internet but it was personal

01:35:24.640 um do i meet with them not that i'm aware of

01:35:37.920 you know but the whole thing about working with the intelligence community

01:35:42.000 um it's that's a real gray area it's a real gray area if the cia came to you and said hey you know

01:35:50.240 could you do us a favor would you do it it would depend on the favor obviously but let's say it was

01:35:57.680 something easy

01:36:01.440 no my ex-wife has never met tate but tate says they met and believe me i would know

01:36:08.960 because she would tell me she would just tell me but no they've never met

01:36:13.680 they had one exchange of dms where she sent him a generic response like everybody else and then he

01:36:20.960 made a he made a whole rumor out of it um there's nothing easy the cia would ask you to do sure there

01:36:28.720 is sure there is suppose the cia said to you uh we'd like you to start a company that does the following

01:36:37.840 things and then you say oh i'm not you know i do start companies and i do that kind of work but i

01:36:44.400 don't want to do it just because you said so and then the cia says we can pretty much guarantee you'll

01:36:50.640 get a government contract because we need somebody to be in this business and you say what they go yeah

01:36:58.800 we will guarantee that you're rich what now we'll guarantee it because we'll make sure that you have

01:37:05.280 gigantic customers because those customers also like to work with us so if you create a company

01:37:11.920 that does this kind of a product that the cia would like to see exist what we'll do is make sure

01:37:17.600 that you have lots of customers and maybe the government will be one so you don't even have to

01:37:23.280 worry about making money now do you want to do it okay let me let me understand this you get a guarantee

01:37:30.320 that i make money in this business just because you think it would be good for the united states

01:37:35.680 to have somebody in this business and then the cia says yep that's exactly it you will you will have

01:37:43.760 no connection to us we will have no uh we will not be paying you you don't have to do anything for us

01:37:50.720 we're not asking you for any favors we're just giving you one we're giving you a favor because it's good

01:37:56.480 for the country so we'd like to see a company that can do this let's say technology or whatever it is

01:38:02.960 and so we'll put you in business

01:38:10.720 there you go you're way ahead of me do you think it's ever happened do you think that there are any

01:38:18.800 big companies that you're aware of today that uh the cia may have helped along but it helped them

01:38:26.160 along a little bit yeah probably not all of them but probably i would rule out my pillow probably not

01:38:36.720 my pillow yes all right that's all for now that is the best live stream you've ever seen provocative

01:38:43.840 content surely to get me banned in some way if that still happens and i'm going to say goodbye to

01:38:52.320 the youtube people and talk to the people on locals for a little bit because they're special if you were

01:38:59.120 on locals you would see my special uh man cave broadcasts in which we do things with we do not do

01:39:06.400 in the morning we do them from the man cave and they're fun and you should enjoy it bye for now

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - February 16, 2023

Episode 2021 Scott Adams： Incredible Show Today, UFOs To Simulation, More COVID Nonsense, DeSantis

Episode Stats

Length

Words per Minute

Word Count

Sentence Count

Misogynist Sentences

Hate Speech Sentences

Summary

Transcript