Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 2021 Scott Adams： Incredible Show Today, UFOs To Simulation, More COVID Nonsense, DeSantis

00:00:00.000 Good morning everybody and welcome to the highlight of civilization that's

00:00:07.500 called coffee with Scott Adams and I doubt you've ever had a better moment

00:00:11.640 in your life well tomorrow's looking good but today is amazing the news is

00:00:18.000 all interesting and that's what I live for well and all of you I live for you

00:00:24.280 as well as the news and today if you'd like your experience to go to levels

00:00:30.520 you've never even dreamed possible all you need is a cup or mug or a glass a

00:00:36.220 tank or chalice or stein a canteen jug or flask a vessel of any kind fill it with

00:00:41.440 your favorite liquid I like coffee join me now for the unparalleled pleasure the

00:00:47.340 dopamine hit of the day the thing that makes everything better it's called the

00:00:51.220 simultaneous sip it happens now go well hello to you well let's look at all the

00:01:04.420 news that's exciting but first I have this question for you is it only my

00:01:10.340 personal experience or has the service element of all Lord large organizations

00:01:18.340 completely disintegrated have you noticed how hard it is to do anything simple

00:01:25.060 like that's not my imagination right now the most boring story in the world is

00:01:32.500 anybody telling you about their problem they had with a organization but just see

00:01:38.080 if this general problem sounds familiar you could just generalize it to

00:01:42.580 whatever was your last service experience I get an email that says it's

00:01:48.580 time to upgrade my modem for my cable and internet now this is very efficient get an

00:01:55.780 email it already knows who I am right it said it sent it to me from the same

00:02:02.200 account that knows all of my information so it knows exactly who I am and it even

00:02:07.060 tells me it knows who I am and then it says you know click this to get your free

00:02:12.580 upgraded modem I think to myself damn this is a good system imagine this I'm

00:02:18.820 just gonna like click on this link you know probably confirm who I am and that

00:02:23.940 is gonna send me the new modem which I just put in you know unplug the old one

00:02:27.880 probably it sends me a box to send back the old one so I I click yes I think oh wow this

00:02:37.360 is worth spending five minutes on and then it turns out that instead of this

00:02:42.520 email automatically doing the work of sending you the new modem it actually just

00:02:47.760 connects you to a live person and then the live person asks me for all of the

00:02:54.460 information that they gave to me they already told me they knew who I am and

00:03:01.240 then after I confirm it they send me a text to make sure that I'm on a phone

00:03:05.680 that belongs to this person all right okay so far so good is it a scam I don't

00:03:14.620 know because they didn't they never asked me for any information they didn't

00:03:17.380 already have I was waiting for that what I was waiting for is and we just have to

00:03:23.060 charge your credit card just in case but really will you know it's gonna be

00:03:28.000 something like that so so I'm talking to the live person I give them all my

00:03:33.020 information they know exactly what I want what happens next you tell me what

00:03:38.540 happens next so now I've done the the online stuff that did nothing it connected

00:03:44.420 me to a live person that's right that's right the first person you talk to is not

00:03:51.020 the person you need they take all of your information and then they say well I'm

00:03:57.800 not the right place that's the place that the email sent me to is sent me to the

00:04:03.680 wrong place and then they get that out they said we'll connect you to tech support

00:04:08.480 what happens next what happens next just in every situation disconnected usually so

00:04:20.740 about 25% of the time that's when you get disconnected right now but that didn't happen

00:04:25.940 this time instead it goes to the next person and what do they do do you think they ask for

00:04:32.380 the same information again yes yes they do third time third time I've confirmed my

00:04:40.840 information and then they say we're gonna send you a text that will you just need to

00:04:48.100 respond to make sure that you've ordered this right then what happens you're

00:04:53.360 waiting for the email or you're waiting for the text what happens do you get it no no no there's

00:05:00.980 no text there's no email so what did they do well in this case they said well it turns out we don't

00:05:08.600 really need that because it wasn't working so I spent maybe 40 minutes on the phone with a variety of people

00:05:17.780 people to return one modem which was their idea so in other words they have millions of people they

00:05:25.700 need to talk to just like me millions they all have to upgrade their modem and every one takes 40 minutes

00:05:32.660 now this is just an example I'm not even making fun of Xfinity it's my bank it's when I tried to

00:05:41.360 sign up for Medicare it's my you know my health health care provider they've all just completely

00:05:49.660 disintegrated you can't do the simplest thing you know I tried to I told you the story I think when

00:05:56.100 I tried to just sign up for Medicare here's what it should have been oh you already have health care

00:06:01.480 we have this you know we have to move you to a different part of our health care click this box and

00:06:07.280 confirm you're 65 you know maybe they call me to make sure it's really me that should have been it

00:06:12.560 turns out they didn't know how to do it the most basic thing that they do all the time didn't know

00:06:18.760 how to do it they sent me on like a three-week journey of screwing things up and then unscrewing

00:06:26.120 them only to learn that it was a simple process just the person I worked with didn't know what it was

00:06:32.060 everything's like that now you can't do anything let me give you another example I about a year ago

00:06:40.600 I got an instant hot water thing installed in my sink but it had some debris in it from I guess

00:06:47.100 its internal filter so it took me like a year to get back to my plumber and say you know it's never

00:06:53.660 worked since you put it in because there's this little debris in it so they said well we'll send

00:06:58.580 somebody over to put a filter in and I think to myself huh it's weird that they didn't know

00:07:05.600 you need a separate filter but I think well that makes sense you know if they had told me that in

00:07:12.520 the first place but it looks like they found out they need it later so I'm going to be flexible

00:07:17.440 because it's a plumber I use all the time right so the plumber comes in and he installs the filter

00:07:23.860 before the hot before the hot water unit that's right the clean water from my house and all the

00:07:36.840 other faucets are completely clean we tested it and the plumber that came first because it was a two

00:07:43.620 visit situation the first plumber specifically tested to make sure that the water going into the unit was

00:07:51.180 clean and still they sent a plumber who spent several hours and my whole afternoon to install

00:07:58.420 the filter to further clean the clean water which had nothing to do with the filter debris that came

00:08:07.000 after that that actually happened this week and and so it was so ridiculously incompetent that I

00:08:18.300 couldn't even get mad I was just laughing the whole time and and can you imagine this conversation 0.97

00:08:24.360 you've watched me long enough to know what an asshole I am right yeah can you all agree with that if you 0.99

00:08:31.740 put me in this situation I'm gonna be the biggest asshole you've ever seen in your life but I'm gonna do it for 0.99

00:08:37.220 fun so imagine this conversation so would you agree that the water that's going into the unit is already clean 0.99

00:08:47.300 because we could demonstrate that and I showed him yes so did you just install a filter to clean the water

00:08:57.680 that doesn't need to be cleaned because you think that's the solution to the filter having a bad filter 0.98

00:09:04.900 no no no I'm an asshole I made him explain to me as many times as I could why that made sense 0.62

00:09:21.720 it was kind of funny so where it stands now is their boss is trying to come up with a response what do you 0.98

00:09:33.360 think the response will be I don't know but but I can't even get mad because there's something that's

00:09:41.500 happened to the whole world it's not even about this plumber right now the plumber just said and I

00:09:48.280 believe this is accurate they told him what to do but they didn't tell him you know enough details so he

00:09:55.400 just installed what they told him to do at the office but at some point he should have said you know if I'm

00:10:02.400 installing this filter here it does mean that every other every other faucet in your house is polluted you think you would have

00:10:10.400 mentioned that because I didn't know where he was installing it until he was done I just assumed it was after

00:10:17.400 the after the problem not before it all right well I've told you before I have a continuous water problems

00:10:26.400 because I live in the simulation and that's my theme I do have one two three four four current water leak or pollution

00:10:37.400 related problems I always have at least four they're different ones all right enough about me

00:10:43.580 Ron DeSantis announces a floor is gonna have some kind of digital bill of rights or at least it's proposed

00:10:50.300 we'll see if it gets passed but apparently in Florida DeSantis can get pretty much anything passed

00:10:56.160 so this digital bill of rights would involve privacy so that the big platforms are not spying on your

00:11:06.620 personal communications control your personal data I don't know how he's gonna get away with that but

00:11:12.380 the idea is that if the platforms are using your data to sell ads you should either have to approve it or

00:11:21.380 you should be sharing in the money somehow I suppose and something about preventing people from being 0.99

00:11:29.180 deplatformed for bad reasons and something about protecting children from online harms

00:11:35.240 pattern do we see here with DeSantis what what is his most consistent pattern free money free money

00:11:47.300 every governor could have done this am I right every governor could have done this

00:11:54.860 now I don't know if it'll get passed you know it might be negotiated away or something

00:11:59.420 but whether he wins or loses he still wins even if this doesn't get passed I think it might but even if it

00:12:08.720 doesn't even if it doesn't he wins because he's the person who saw this problem promoted a specific

00:12:19.500 solution that looks somewhat practical I can't tell and like why does why is it the one person

00:12:28.080 yeah Republicans have a two-third majority in both houses in in Florida I'm being informed here

00:12:34.680 um why is it that one person keeps getting all the right answers like how is that a coincidence

00:12:41.220 I don't think it is I think he just wakes up in the morning and says

00:12:46.380 what would be popular with the public and also a smart thing to do that is doable and that he does

00:12:55.540 those things like it just makes everybody else look like a clown doesn't it when you see him do such

00:13:03.960 clear obvious straightforward practical well-meaning things it just makes all the other governors look 1.00

00:13:13.060 like idiots you know if he did it once or twice you'd say oh he got lucky but but the the damn guy's 0.99

00:13:21.160 doing it like every two weeks that's not luck all right um did you see that uh you probably know that 1.00

00:13:30.380 chat uh gpt the ai is being combined with bing the search engine microsoft search engine and they did

00:13:39.080 their uh little rollout kind of demo for the public and uh it didn't go well it didn't go well

00:13:47.740 do you know what people are finally figuring out about chat gpt that it's a language-based intelligence

00:13:58.020 now that was not never a secret that was always known but i don't think people quite understood what

00:14:06.580 that implied right they don't know what that implies and what it implies is there is no intelligence

00:14:13.920 happening there's no intelligence happening it's just using words in whatever patterns and combinations

00:14:22.880 have existed in the real world and that it looks for patterns and combinations that seem uh maybe more

00:14:30.320 prominent and then it adopts that view so none of that is based on fact or logic or anything it's just

00:14:39.760 words have done this with humans so i'll act like a human and do words like they do words basically

00:14:47.680 that's the worst the worst explanation of ai you've ever seen but you get the idea now here's what

00:14:56.080 i've been warning you forever

00:14:58.000 the reason that ai will never have real intelligence

00:15:05.000 like people is that your intelligence is imaginary

00:15:11.840 you can't make a real thing match an imaginary thing that can't exist

00:15:18.400 look at every big uh topic in let's say politics and look at the fact that there are brilliant people

00:15:28.400 on both sides and they all have the same information same information and we disagree 0.99

00:15:35.280 brilliant people now it's no surprise if like the dumbest people in the world 0.97

00:15:40.800 disagree with each other like that's no surprise because they don't know anything but when the 0.91

00:15:46.560 smartest people routinely are on both sides of every issue what does that tell you about human intelligence

00:15:55.280 it's an illusion human intelligence is an illusion we're just like chat gpt we're just a machine that's

00:16:05.200 full of words and if the words that are in my head form form a different pattern than the

00:16:12.400 words in your head you think that you did some thinking and i think i did some thinking and then

00:16:17.280 we think we disagree on something nothing like that happened nothing like that happened you are

00:16:24.720 basically chat gpt you're just word thinking how many times have you heard me say that people are

00:16:31.760 doing word thinking you see it everywhere we try to win an argument by forcing our definition of a

00:16:40.720 word you're seeing it with trans you're seeing with covid you see basically everything everything is 0.91

00:16:47.360 about trying to get the other side to agree with our definition of a word and then you think you won

00:16:52.000 the argument there's no logic going on it's not real disagreement it's just your words and my words

00:16:58.560 are in different patterns in our heads because we've experienced the words differently that's about it

00:17:04.480 but we think we think we're thinking anyway so that not only did the ai associated with bing

00:17:13.360 make up some facts which is the worst possible thing a search engine could do now this is confirmed it just

00:17:23.360 lied now why would an ai lie why would it do that because that's the pattern of human interaction

00:17:34.800 humans lie about everything all the time if you were a chat if you were an ai you're trying to figure

00:17:41.360 out how to be smart like humans would you lie yeah you would because because that's the only thing you

00:17:48.240 would learn you couldn't possibly look at human interactions and conclude that we tell the truth

00:17:54.640 or even try or even try so if it was trying to model us and match us it would lie and it does

00:18:04.800 and it does not only does it lie it does a complete gaslight and telling you you you've never seen

00:18:11.360 anything contrary uh there's a whole detailed story that didn't exist i mean it's the worst possible

00:18:18.000 situation it's like us and does anybody remember how many years i've been telling you that the reason 0.99

00:18:27.920 that we can't develop true ai is that we won't let the ai be stupid if you let it be stupid it'll act just 1.00

00:18:36.480 like people that's what chat gpt got right they let it be stupid and what's the biggest thing that 1.00

00:18:44.240 people think my god it's awake it's aware it's like a person because they let it be stupid if if chat gpt 0.97

00:18:52.240 were smarter than humans and could tell you where you were wrong what would happen suppose chat gpt was

00:19:00.160 just so smart it actually knew you know is the vaccination better than the covet not really a

00:19:07.280 vaccination that's the wrong word what if it actually knew the answer we would ban it we would

00:19:15.280 ban it right there can never be an ai that's smarter than humans do you know why we would ban it it would 1.00

00:19:22.560 take all our power away why would you need a government why would you need congress if your ai 1.00

00:19:28.400 could tell you the right answer you wouldn't so congress would have to ban it congress would say

00:19:36.400 well ai is just making up stuff now it's just gaslighting us so we can ignore it we would treat

00:19:42.560 it like people if it if it's programmed to act like people we'll treat it like it's wrong just like our

00:19:48.320 critics if it's programmed to be perfect and logical unlike people we would make it illegal

00:19:54.960 so you know the the funniest thing about this is that we're always worried that ai um ai is a danger 1.00

00:20:04.880 to humanity i'm now convinced there's no danger because humanity won't allow it it simply will not

00:20:14.240 be allowed outside of maybe a laboratory or something it just won't be allowed the moment it's overruling 0.98

00:20:21.120 us we'll kill it it's gonna die in its crib all right um so elon musk responded to just a funny tweet i 0.96

00:20:32.480 did about a meme that was about elon musk and he just puts one little laughing emoji that's it that's 0.98

00:20:42.080 his whole comment so his comment to my tweet is just a laughing emoji uh two million views

00:20:50.880 one laughing emoji from elon musk gets you two million views it's crazy it's just insane

00:20:59.920 um how many of you watched the five yesterday anybody watch the five all right my favorite part

00:21:08.800 about this and you all know where i'm going with this i think if you watched it but uh talking about

00:21:14.320 the uh the ufos and you know whatever it is up there that the u.s has been shooting down um greg

00:21:22.720 guffeld brings up the point that there are quote people on the internet who have pictures of the probable

00:21:30.000 ufo meaning the weather balloon with the octagonal payload and um and and nobody nobody in power

00:21:41.680 is either debunking it or agreeing with it now what did i tell you would happen that's what i told

00:21:48.720 you would happen i told you it would be such a brain breaker that it would have to be ignored

00:21:54.880 because there is no world that anybody could understand in which the cartoonist solved the

00:22:01.360 problem by just finding a picture on a website that there's a commercial weather balloon that looks

00:22:07.760 exactly like what they described was up there minus the balloon part which i believe could be invisible

00:22:13.760 if you viewed it from below all right here let me let me explain this let's say you're a balloon

00:22:19.360 and you're a payload so this is the payload hanging from a balloon right the bottom of the payload looks

00:22:28.720 like a octagon so you're a jet and you fly under it and you look up and you're going at how fast does

00:22:36.080 the jet go f-22 400 to 600 miles an hour somewhere in there 400 to 600 is that about right so so you're

00:22:48.560 going you're looking up at 400 now let's say there's a balloon above it in the picture the balloon

00:22:56.480 looked uh the same color as the sky sort of a milky white now i don't know what's up there

00:23:06.000 but i don't know i don't know how easy i'm not sure how easy it is to see things from a distance up there

00:23:11.840 is there are there are no clouds up there right at the distances that these alleged objects were

00:23:19.040 were there any clouds or could there be there are at let's say 20 to 65 000 feet there would be clouds

00:23:30.560 so i'm getting some different agreements uh at 20 000 i think there might be but at 65 000

00:23:42.080 are there clouds all right some people are saying yes but let's look into that all right here's my

00:23:47.440 point imagine you're in high winds and you're a balloon does the balloon and the payload move

00:23:54.560 um at the same rate if you're in high wind i don't know the answer i'm asking a question does it move

00:24:00.960 the same here's what i'd imagine i'd imagine it'd be more like this because if you're high wind i

00:24:08.480 imagine the balloon would be sort of dragging the payload you know not completely but sort of like this

00:24:16.400 so when you flew under it and you looked up you would see the payload and you would see nothing above

00:24:21.520 it because you should have been looking over there but maybe you didn't know to look over there because

00:24:27.680 the the balloon is somewhat you know it's not right when you think of a balloon and a payload

00:24:33.680 you think of the balloons that people uh go up in that humans go up in in those cases the balloon

00:24:40.880 isn't too far from the payload but i suspect based on just a photograph it's hard to tell it looks like

00:24:47.040 the balloon is actually higher from the payload in some of these weather balloons maybe not all of

00:24:52.720 them anyway that's what the the hypothesis is okay so uh and it's still being ignored which i think is

00:25:09.280 still funny now here and i want to be clear about this i don't know that i solved it i just know that

00:25:19.920 they described an object that looks exactly like the picture on the website of a weather balloon making

00:25:25.760 company aerostar and you think that at the very least i would be debunked right and then i looked at

00:25:36.320 the tweet they got like no traffic like the the tweet just sort of died you know the where i'm

00:25:42.320 pointing out that this is the the object yeah just sort of died now why is that

00:25:50.400 somebody says i was debunked where

00:25:55.600 and and how could they possibly do that how could you debunk that

00:25:59.600 but what was the debunk somebody's saying there was a debunk i'll bet the debunk is ridiculous

00:26:09.440 i mean you see a picture of the objects

00:26:12.960 i think i think the the only debunk i saw is that they would have seen the balloon

00:26:18.800 and i'm arguing that that's not the real world in the real world you could easily imagine they didn't

00:26:24.080 see the balloon all right anyway um

00:26:34.000 neil uh digressi tyson i saw him on cnn little clip uh he's basically saying it's it's all weather

00:26:41.840 balloons now he doesn't say that directly but he he suggests you know it's it's not aliens

00:26:47.440 he basically says there are a thousand weather balloons released per day the country is full of

00:26:53.920 weather balloons they're just floating in the direction of the wind and it's probably not much

00:26:58.880 about spying because the the ship even the even the chinese ship sort of went where the wind went

00:27:06.240 and all the other stuff is just going where the wind goes to so his take is it's probably just weather

00:27:11.760 balloons that i agree with that i agree with that all right uh looks like we've got new disaster porn

00:27:20.480 coming on cnn they warn us that as climate change accelerates which is totally happening the the

00:27:28.880 thwaitis glacier is rapidly changing now how bad would that be if the thwaitis glacier rapidly well it's

00:27:37.200 holding up some other piece of giant ice that if that falls it'll go into the ocean and your your

00:27:44.400 water will go up your tide lines will go up by 10 feet 10 feet destroying coastal communities

00:27:54.720 um then at the end while it could take hundreds or thousands of years

00:27:59.760 oh well you save that for the end uh the the ice shelf could disintegrate much sooner it could

00:28:06.640 it could could be much sooner triggering a retreat of the glacier which is both blah blah blah blah blah

00:28:13.120 now i say to myself

00:28:17.760 if i'd never heard about this would i be happier

00:28:22.160 i i feel like i would be i feel i could be happier if i'd never heard of it now i will tell you

00:28:28.400 that unlike the rest of you that unlike the rest of you i have actually acted upon the the risk

00:28:35.360 that the uh the water that the sea level will rise so i am intentionally uh at a height you know in

00:28:44.160 california i'm i'm away from the shore enough i think and i'm out high enough that you know a tsunami

00:28:51.120 wouldn't get me uh that's a good question let me find out hey siri what's my elevation

00:29:04.160 yeah uh there's an app for that right it'll tell me my elevation

00:29:08.960 i don't know it doesn't matter i'm high enough i'm high enough

00:29:16.400 so i just mentioned that because it's another one of these things you can't prove one way or the

00:29:20.960 other that makes you really scared good news good news all right let's talk about that ohio train

00:29:26.800 disaster which is getting weirder and weirder you know i waited a little bit on this story

00:29:32.240 because i thought it was one of those fog of war stories where as soon as you found out what's

00:29:38.720 really happening it would be more ordinary but it doesn't look that way

00:29:46.240 it doesn't look that way i was just watching a tim pool video that i tweeted around which i highly

00:29:52.560 recommend in which uh tim is is talking about you know some of the weird coincidences here

00:30:01.920 so the first thing i did was to check snopes i know i know you say snopes is not reliable but if

00:30:10.560 it agrees with what i already believe or it agrees with you know popular opinion maybe it's a little

00:30:17.440 more information okay so i wanted to ask if the dead fish story is real because you're hearing there

00:30:25.200 dead fish around the area of the uh chemical spill now uh snopes checked it out and apparently the dead

00:30:34.640 fish uh area that was filmed was 3.4 miles from the event and seems to be real seems to be current

00:30:42.960 different and close to the event doesn't necessarily mean doesn't necessarily mean uh someone was fishing

00:30:53.600 it doesn't mean that's the cause because here's the first question i'd ask if fish are dead three miles

00:31:01.280 away and there's no there's no direct indication that the stream the upstream was near the crash right

00:31:11.360 is it downstream because because that's missing in the fact check here's what i'd expect

00:31:16.720 the location is three miles the dead fish are three miles from the accident and that stream you know

00:31:25.040 if you if you go upstream you'd find that there's some connection close to the accident

00:31:29.840 but they didn't connect those dots so if something could die three miles from the event

00:31:37.120 wouldn't there be a lot more dead stuff

00:31:41.680 now i am hearing there are some dead birds as well

00:31:45.920 but i feel like there would just be massive dead stuff just everywhere yeah i uh i've heard some pets

00:31:56.000 throwing up and stuff are our fish the thing that would die first because it feels like fish are in

00:32:03.680 water and if it's let's see fast moving water i don't know it's just so so the first mystery is

00:32:13.360 uh why three miles away and if it's three miles away is that because it's you know directly

00:32:18.240 downstream which would make perfect sense but it is not reported it's not being reported that way

00:32:24.080 uh and the wind of course could carry it that's possible but i feel like there would just be

00:32:30.320 massive stuff within three miles if it's killing stuff three miles away then one mile away just

00:32:37.920 everything should be dead it seems to me so i'm going to call a little bit of maybe bs on the dead fish

00:32:46.560 maybe i'm not convinced that there's a connection but it's very scary so i i would

00:32:53.840 say this is like the VAERS report you know when the VAERS report was signaling oh my god oh my god

00:33:00.640 probably meant something probably had to be taken seriously so i'd worry about that but i think we

00:33:08.000 need to find out more the other thing that is fascinating tim pool points this out somebody pointed

00:33:14.720 out to him the vinyl chloride the i guess the most worrisome chemical of several that are released by the

00:33:21.120 the train uh that the cdc i i can't even believe this is true i i do believe it's true because tim

00:33:30.160 pool actually showed you showed the website live and you can see it for yourself but apparently the cdc

00:33:38.160 updated their uh their information on this very chemical one month ago in january

00:33:46.560 now what are the odds of that and it's actually labeled that their advice on it is new so you can

00:33:55.600 see it yourself it's the only one that's new it's not like they updated everything a month ago

00:34:01.920 it was either the only one or one of the few so that's kind of a big coincidence kind of a big

00:34:09.040 coincidence and then i'm told that the coincidental movie that was made about it on netflix called

00:34:21.360 white noise is that what it's called in which uh actual actors in that very town where the disaster was

00:34:28.480 some of those actors were in the movie and uh it was a movie about this exact thing

00:34:33.520 so what are the odds of all of those things

00:34:42.160 what are the odds of that and the answer why they would burn it i believe they burned it because

00:34:48.560 the alternatives were worse and my understanding is that once you flame it it does get into the atmosphere

00:34:55.840 but maybe it's its nature has been changed by the flames to be less dangerous or something or more

00:35:01.680 distributed i don't know but somehow the experts thought that that would help i don't doubt that

00:35:07.040 that's true uh but it doesn't mean that it was safe certainly doesn't mean that yeah the burn

00:35:14.560 removes a lot of the poison but probably not all of it um all right so let's keep an eye on that i don't

00:35:27.760 know if it means anything i really don't it it might be nothing but a bunch of coincidences and bad

00:35:34.320 reporting and could be any of that all right uh and then somebody else pointed out that uh just you

00:35:43.840 know in the conspiracy theory vein that apparently this is true but i'll take a fact check on this

00:35:50.560 i guess i didn't check it myself but it looked like it's true that a number of countries pulled their

00:35:56.320 ambassadors out of their ambassadors out of turkey um like uh maybe two days before the massive

00:36:02.320 earthquake do you believe that now they they said it was because oh turkey's looking unstable because

00:36:10.240 of some political thing did did that did a number of countries really pull their ambassadors out right

00:36:17.520 before the earthquake that one doesn't sound real does it but i did see some fact checking that alleged

00:36:26.400 it was true yeah it does sound like doesn't it a little too on the nose yeah but even if it were true

00:36:35.520 what exactly would somebody be suggesting let's assume it's true what would it mean

00:36:41.760 does somebody believe that we can predict or cause earthquakes i mean i don't think we can cause an

00:36:51.600 earthquake and i don't think we can predict them two days in advance so fracking does yeah but i don't

00:36:58.960 think there's any fracking in turkey i'm not sure that the fracking is is the fracking proven

00:37:04.880 as a earthquake problem

00:37:10.800 yeah oh it's been debunked okay that doesn't mean it's not true it just means it's somebody debunked

00:37:16.720 it all right here was a provocative tweet from a big famous investor bill ackman

00:37:24.800 and he tweeted this yesterday he said i'm going to make a bold and early call

00:37:29.280 that vivek ramaswamy will run for president and win i think the country is ready for his message

00:37:39.600 he is young smart talented and will attract the the center to the right to win the center to the right

00:37:48.000 to win he speaks hard truths which many believe but fear to say and then he linked to a talk that

00:37:55.920 vivek ramaswamy was giving at turning point usa and i said to myself well that's a provocative call

00:38:05.360 just based on what like one you know one video yeah you see one video and you're going to be like oh

00:38:13.440 oh he's going to be the president in 10 years or something i mean that's crazy right you can't really

00:38:18.960 judge that from whatever limited interviews i'm sure he saw some interviews too as well

00:38:23.920 but kind of kind of early isn't it i mean how could anybody make a call like that this early

00:38:34.800 and then i watched the video yeah he's going to be president

00:38:41.280 yep yep if he wants to if he wants to yeah now i'm just i'm just going to leave it at this

00:38:50.400 look at the video decide for yourself if i tell you and you haven't seen the video it's not really

00:38:57.600 going to be persuasive but i will promise you this if you watch the video you're going to see the same

00:39:05.120 thing you might have seen the first time you were introduced to uh barack obama first time you saw him

00:39:12.080 give a speech whether you're a republican or democrat the first time you saw obama give a speech you

00:39:18.400 probably said i think he's going to be president and then you were right because he exhibited all the

00:39:27.600 all the qualities that you're looking for and in that kind of person so

00:39:33.040 uh yeah and here's what impressed me i believe he gave his entire talk that was on that video

00:39:45.440 it was at turning point usa and i believe he gave the talk without notes it didn't look like he was

00:39:52.640 looking at anything if he gave that that presentation without notes which i believe he did

00:40:03.840 he's going to be president he's going to be president yeah i don't know what could stop him

00:40:10.160 because it's just crazy skill you're seeing and it just it just blazes you know you can't miss it

00:40:17.120 it's just so capable that you can't miss it

00:40:24.400 all right so keep an eye on that uh so i tweeted an agreement so now bill ackerman and i have both

00:40:32.080 called him as a future president and i will stick with that might be a while he's young so it might be a

00:40:38.960 while all right um i finally figured out why congress has not yet banned or maybe never will tick tock

00:40:53.600 um i hate to be a conspiracy theorist but you know how i always tell you follow the money works

00:40:58.880 even when it shouldn't like even if you know the people involved in your opinion are definitely not

00:41:05.440 doing it for money their decisions are always coincidentally very compatible with what you

00:41:11.280 would do if you were doing it for money right so my theory is even when all the people involved

00:41:17.600 don't believe they're doing it for money it's for money because you can predict that they'll go the

00:41:23.520 same direction as the money and i'm now starting to see a pattern that seems so predictive it's hard

00:41:30.320 to avoid that congress does whatever's bad for children or they won't change anything that's bad

00:41:37.120 for children now the first few times i heard that from you know right-wing provocative people i thought 0.54

00:41:44.960 to myself well that's too far too far there's nobody sitting down and making decisions that are bad for

00:41:52.000 children like literally no one but it keeps happening it just keeps happening and so i'm gonna uh very much

00:42:03.600 like follow the money you don't necessarily know what's going on in people's heads and maybe they're

00:42:09.600 just trying to help children but the outcome seems consistently bad for children to the point where

00:42:16.000 i believe you could do it you could predict based on this effect so i'm going to make a prediction

00:42:22.960 the next time there's some brand new topic not not something we're already dealing with the next time

00:42:28.880 there's a brand new topic that's a risk to children we won't fix it that's the prediction the next new

00:42:37.840 risk to children won't be addressed and here's my hypothesis and here's where it gets interesting

00:42:46.720 now you know that as a hypnotist i think people make decisions for irrational reasons

00:42:53.600 uh and then they rationalize it what would happen to a planet that believed it was overpopulated

00:43:03.200 suppose you believe that our biggest problem is overpopulation which is a common belief

00:43:08.480 what would your value what value would you put on children if you thought there were already too many

00:43:16.000 right do i even have to finish it if there are too many children we would quite naturally as

00:43:24.000 biological evolved you know evolution evolved uh creatures we should devalue them 0.98

00:43:32.160 because we don't need more now suppose uh your biggest problem was underpopulation and everybody knew it

00:43:40.720 how would you treat children if you thought your biggest problem in the world was underpopulation

00:43:47.040 i believe you would treat them like the future you know like we used to in the old days so while i

00:43:56.720 don't believe that there's any human being who's making a conscious decision to do something that's

00:44:02.320 bad for children i don't think there's anybody doing that but i do believe they might be influenced by the fact

00:44:08.480 that there are too many of them in their opinion which is incorrect so could the incorrect belief

00:44:15.280 uh that drives everything from climate policy to everything else could that be causing people to simply

00:44:24.800 not act to protect children because they don't see it as necessary it just doesn't seem necessary

00:44:33.120 because remember all of our big decisions are procreation related or mating related that from the

00:44:39.280 choice of the choice of the shirt you put on to my choice to be doing this you know this this very

00:44:45.120 experience right here where i'm basically showing off to a crowd is is a mating instinct that's where it

00:44:52.960 comes from you know why why does anybody show off not for no reason you know now my conscious reason would be

00:45:02.400 nothing to do with mating but why is it i always make decisions that are compatible with that instinct

00:45:09.600 not it's not a coincidence it's because everything we do is a direct or indirect projection from your

00:45:17.600 mating instinct everything once you understand that that everything's a mating instinct then your

00:45:23.280 decisions make more sense right yeah the the self-pride you know making money being famous all of those are

00:45:30.880 just so your mating options are better even if you don't want to mate as in my case i'm not looking to mate

00:45:37.840 it's just i'm completely aware that all of my actions are some artificial expression of of that basic

00:45:46.480 instinct that never goes away

00:45:48.480 is uh elon musk peacocking by building giant rockets yes yes yes all right so take a take a look at

00:46:00.800 uh elon musk so he believes where we have an underpopulation problem which i agree if you believe 1.00

00:46:10.320 that the world was underpopulated how would you act you would have lots of children check you would build

00:46:18.240 rocket ships to make sure that even if the earth was destroyed you'd still protect children on mars

00:46:23.120 check you would uh even if you're not sure if climate change is really the you know the biggest problem

00:46:31.120 in the world you would still act to at least reduce the risk of it even if you weren't sure

00:46:38.400 check that's what electric cars are and electric everything so when you see somebody so here's

00:46:45.840 the hypothesis okay here's the hypothesis that if you collected a bunch of people who believe

00:46:52.320 that we're overpopulated you would find a coincidental policy preference for everything from abortion

00:47:01.920 to uh trans and you could go on you know keep keep tick tock legal right and then you take a group who

00:47:14.640 who properly understands in my opinion properly understands that we're underpopulated and then

00:47:20.880 ask them their opinions about abortion trans rights for children you know the trans children stuff and tick 1.00

00:47:28.800 tick tock if you if there's no correlation i will be amazed what do you think do you think that the

00:47:38.400 group who thinks you're underpopulated and the group that thinks you're overpopulated has the same opinion

00:47:44.560 about children i don't think so i think one wants more children than the other doesn't care

00:47:52.160 doesn't care or wants fewer of them yeah now where have you ever seen anybody talk about this

00:48:02.400 see this is why this is why you come to this live stream i might be right i might be wrong a very

00:48:09.680 very good possibility that there's nothing there but it seems important enough to consider

00:48:16.560 wouldn't you agree because i think the logic holds that the mating instinct drives our subconscious

00:48:25.040 decisions and we're seeing a pattern of anti-children behavior that doesn't seem common to the people who

00:48:32.800 think we should have more children that it may be the driving factor for all of it

00:48:38.880 yeah maybe all right um let's see what else is happening do you remember a long time ago um and

00:48:53.840 since then i've wondered what happened to the people at the charlottesville neo-nazi march

00:49:01.840 and i wondered why the news wasn't making more of surfacing who they are and talking about them etc

00:49:10.320 and then we have this story an update in the news today teddy joseph von nukem yes his his last name

00:49:19.440 is n-u-k-e-m nukem now that's not how i spell nukem but i like that spelling yeah it's like duke nukem

00:49:28.800 all right at age 35 he died of a self-inflicted gunshot wound interesting yeah are self-inflicted gunshot

00:49:39.120 wounds the main way that somebody fakes a suicide like if you were to murder somebody but you want

00:49:46.800 to look like a suicide what are all the ways you would do it i think uh i think self-inflicted gunshot

00:49:55.520 wound would be one way to fake a murder and make it look like a suicide i'm not saying that's what

00:50:01.200 happened i'm not saying that was what happened i'm just saying you know of all the ways to die

00:50:07.440 that does have that quality i think and according to a report from the texas coroners uh oh the texas

00:50:15.120 county coroners in missouri um he was scheduled to be in court facing four counts of uh related to

00:50:23.680 illegal import and sale of fentanyl so he's a fentanyl dealer so i'm glad he's gone and if somebody

00:50:33.200 did murder him i hope so you know my my perfect situation would be that he was murdered by a 0.91

00:50:40.480 uh a dad who made it look like a suicide and even the uh coroner knew exactly what happened and decided to

00:50:48.400 uh call it a suicide you know it would be great if the coroners around the country decided to call

00:50:55.920 every murder of a fentanyl dealer a suicide what what if they just said well we'll take care of this

00:51:03.280 ourselves we'll just solve this problem ourselves if anybody dies from a gunshot wound and they're also

00:51:11.680 a active fentanyl dealer sounds like suicide to us no that'll never happen but you can dream all

00:51:20.960 right so uh the story goes on that uh this newcomb guy was famous for being photographed at being at the uh

00:51:28.800 uh at that rally he was one of the men chanting and holding tiki torches

00:51:35.840 and he confirmed his identity so he confirmed he was there he was definitely met marching with a tiki

00:51:41.840 torch so if he was marching with a tiki torch and he was in that uh the one thing we can say about him

00:51:48.480 for sure is that he's a white supremacist and a neo-nazi is that fair is it fair to say the one thing we know

00:51:55.360 for sure if you had a tiki torch and you were marching with the neo-nazis and you were chanting anti-semitic stuff 0.86

00:52:04.960 you were definitely something like a white supremacist or neo-nazis but interestingly

00:52:10.720 he says uh he did not consider himself a white supremacist or a neo-nazi but he said he would

00:52:18.000 not quote counter signal against them interesting he he admits that he marched with them

00:52:26.960 but he's not one of them

00:52:33.520 hmm it's almost like he got paid to march

00:52:38.240 almost like he got paid

00:52:41.360 remember i told you that i don't think that the marchers were necessarily a organic group

00:52:47.920 to me the whole thing looks like an op it looks like an op and i'm not i'm not saying you should

00:52:54.560 trust anything about this news story or anything that this guy says he's a fentanyl dealer or he was

00:53:00.560 he was a fentanyl dealer right so i'm not going to trust anything he says but i would predict

00:53:07.760 and i did predict that if you hunted down the people in that group there would be a lot of them

00:53:14.080 who said that they were not neo-nazis and not white supremacists that was my prediction

00:53:19.600 so here's one doesn't prove anything it's just one anecdotal situation but it is consistent with

00:53:26.000 prediction all right rasmussen has a uh bowl um talking about sex change surgery and uh also

00:53:35.840 chemical changes for minors for minors what percentage of the public do you think

00:53:43.520 is against sex change for minors uh 58 of likely voters

00:53:52.560 um 58 uh are in favor of making it illegal to do a sex change on a minor slightly less but still a

00:54:02.400 majority are against uh hormone replacement therapy for children

00:54:09.520 for children

00:54:15.440 now here's one of those bubble situations that is perplexing i've never met anybody who was in favor

00:54:24.320 of a gender change for a child have you have you ever met like a real person who was in favor of that

00:54:32.080 like anybody and and something like you know a third of the country is in favor of according to this

00:54:38.160 how could that possibly be true

00:54:43.280 some of you some of you have talked to somebody who's in favor of gender change for children

00:54:51.760 not in real life i mean i've seen interviews i've seen people but in my real actual life i live in the

00:54:58.720 bluest place in the world right i'm in california

00:55:01.440 california i live in california all of my friends are californians well my local friends are all

00:55:07.600 californians i don't know a single person who would be in favor of that and i know a lot of democrats

00:55:15.280 i don't know anybody who would say they're in favor of that so what's happening here

00:55:19.360 i'm not sure i've and as i say it i'm not sure i've ever seen a real person in an interview say

00:55:29.280 they're in favor of it i've seen the advocates but the advocates are a special case is there anybody

00:55:35.440 who's just a parent you know they're not they're not really involved in as an advocate they're just

00:55:40.480 apparent would they be in favor of that i've been i'm willing to believe that they exist but isn't

00:55:48.720 it weird that i have no contact with them in in california i've got a real question about the

00:55:55.200 what's going on here now i'm not doubting the accuracy of the poll i don't have any reason to

00:56:01.200 doubt that i'm just doubting the accuracy of reality like i don't know how reality makes sense

00:56:06.880 if this is true how do i not run into any of them how could that never come up

00:56:16.240 i don't know strange um

00:56:21.040 and then let's see uh

00:56:26.880 same with the chemistry the chemicals well anyway on uh the trigonometry uh trigernometry

00:56:34.640 podcast which is a very good podcast michael schellenberger uh was on there recently and uh

00:56:42.240 i liked his summary of what we've learned from the twitter files uh and here it was just the cleanest

00:56:50.160 summary from michael schellenberger quote twitter changed its rules so they could get rid of trump

00:56:56.320 that's the summary yeah that we know that now because they didn't really have any rules that he

00:57:04.480 violated so they made made up some rules to get rid of them now even jack dorsey disagreed with it

00:57:11.600 because even jack said uh you had other tools you could have removed one tweet and kept the you know

00:57:18.400 ex-president on there or you could have given him like a little time out like everybody else you could

00:57:25.200 have done anything just don't do that and that was the wrong thing to do so um and the same with the

00:57:34.960 the laptop story um that twitter sort of made rules

00:57:39.040 on on the fly now as schellenberger uh accurately states and i will agree with them i don't disagree

00:57:48.880 with them making up rules on the fly which sounds like it's contradictory doesn't it i don't disagree

00:57:55.920 with that because the real world is always throwing you new situations right there's no two situations

00:58:02.240 are quite the same and so if you just have a general rule and you slavishly follow it even as

00:58:07.680 reality is changing your situation i do understand that you sometimes have to update your rules

00:58:15.440 because some new thing came up but it doesn't look like they did something useful in this specific case

00:58:21.200 so i i love the way schellenberger uh acknowledges both sides that that's a very strong technique

00:58:30.880 because if you don't acknowledge the other argument you just sound like an activist or a

00:58:37.200 proponent yeah he's trying to just tell you what's real and what's not real so he'll show you both

00:58:42.640 sides i like that all right here's the most controversial and mean thing that uh ever happened

00:58:51.520 i remind you if anybody's new to my my content i'm a big fan and supporter of the lgbtq and the trans

00:59:00.400 community which doesn't mean i agree with every single you know policy change or anything like

00:59:06.240 that certainly not for children but i'm just a big supporter of adults who have figured out what they

00:59:13.200 want if you're not happy go for it if it doesn't work that was your right it was your right to try it

00:59:21.520 so i'm very a big supporter of that community maybe more so than many of my viewers so i give you that

00:59:28.480 context before i say the worst thing anybody ever said about the trans community you ready

00:59:35.920 are you ready remember i'm a supporter so that the context of this is trying to be useful

00:59:43.680 not trying to be mean not trying to hurt anybody trying to be useful by understanding the situation

00:59:51.040 and i came to this uh opinion while looking at some tweets by uh conservative matt walsh who's been

01:00:00.640 deeply into the trans conversation and he was doing a very mean spirited in my opinion uh take down of

01:00:09.520 uh uh what's his name dylan mulvaney who is what's his job he's is in the biden administration

01:00:18.640 and he's a very outspoken um trans uh currently living as a woman

01:00:28.880 and matt walsh is very unkind uh in my opinion uh in his let's say opinion of whether or not that's

01:00:40.320 actually a woman and you know it's uh i won't i won't repeat it because it's a little meaner than 1.00

01:00:46.640 i would want to be now here's where i agree with matt walsh completely but without the mean parts all

01:00:56.000 right it's the uncanny valley problem uncanny valley problem now uh this will be an analogy

01:01:05.360 but in this case the analogy um what i'm what i'm gonna say is that i'm not making an argument with

01:01:12.160 an analogy i'm saying that the same effect might apply perfectly in this case so the argument will

01:01:20.480 be the um the argument don't don't don't imagine that the analogy is the argument all right the

01:01:27.680 argument will just be the argument but the analogy will get you to the argument so you know what i'm

01:01:32.080 saying so we know there's a thing with uh androids and robots where if an if a robot looks like just

01:01:39.440 a robot you could you could say to yourself oh there's a cute little robot there looks like a robot

01:01:45.360 but if they make your robot like an android that's so close to being a human being but not quite

01:01:54.000 it disgusts us because it looks like a human that's unhealthy or unwell or something 1.00

01:02:00.800 because it's not quite right but you don't know exactly why it just freaks you out and creeps you out

01:02:09.040 all right so the i believe the exact same effect is happening with the trans community and the non-trans

01:02:18.560 reaction to it when i see rachel levine also a trans woman living as a woman i am not

01:02:30.960 i'm not grossed out i'm not grossed out because when i see rachel levine my brain says oh there is

01:02:39.040 someone who looks very much like a man to me just that's just completely subjective uh who prefers to

01:02:46.480 live as a woman and i respect that i'm not grossed out at all because to me it looks like the the robot

01:02:55.520 that doesn't look like a person like that rachel levine is not going you know out of her way to be 1.00

01:03:03.280 female and so it doesn't get close to the uncanny valley problem it's just something you might agree 0.93

01:03:11.920 with or disagree with but that's you know just happening in your head but when dylan mulvaney

01:03:20.160 expresses let's say her

01:03:23.840 preference it appears that she is trying to be as close as possible to a biologically born 0.96

01:03:32.800 uh physically female person but can't quite get there isn't quite there really close 1.00

01:03:41.680 like if you're going to score it you'd probably score it like a like a 90 percent or better

01:03:47.440 i mean it's pretty close but it's the uncanny valley so again with love and affection

01:03:58.160 um that's a problem that you have to navigate i don't know what the right answer is but you should

01:04:04.080 be aware if you're considering transitioning you should be aware that at least one of the variables

01:04:11.040 is that the closer you get to the perfect version of what you're aiming for you might be more

01:04:18.480 disturbing to people who are not let's say as open to your change as you would like them to be

01:04:30.080 all right now do i get cancelled for that because i i genuinely and i genuinely mean this to be useful

01:04:40.240 to the trans community because i'm not sure they understand that they might but do you think that

01:04:48.320 the the trans community knows about the uncanny valley because it's sort of a you know a niche

01:04:56.480 little thing that not everybody knows about you cannot be useful you say well the only thing i can be

01:05:04.080 useful to is uh how some people might react because that's part of the variables doesn't mean you

01:05:12.240 shouldn't do it i'm not telling you that i'm not i'm not giving you any information um let me be clear

01:05:21.280 let me be clear as a spokesperson for the president often says let me be clear

01:05:26.400 um i'm not saying anybody should or shouldn't do it that's their decision as adults i'm just saying

01:05:33.760 that one of the variables you should consider is if you get too close to your mark it might have the

01:05:39.200 opposite effect that you were shooting for that's all all right um i saw some tweeting about ukraine that

01:05:50.320 uh all of us can agree all tweets and information about ukraine are unreliable like really unreliable

01:05:59.120 but still fun to talk about and i have this question i saw two tweeters who seem to know what

01:06:03.840 they're talking about but who knows claim that the number that the russian military that's in ukraine

01:06:09.680 could be uh well over 90 percent of all the russian military you know the part that actually works

01:06:16.400 do you believe that do you believe that that russia is already all in with the stuff that still

01:06:24.480 functions right they might have massive assets that aren't very good that aren't part of it and i don't

01:06:30.160 know what the 90 percent includes does include weapons and people or just people so almost everybody's

01:06:36.240 saying no in the comments well let me um so that was my first reaction as well so my first reaction

01:06:46.080 is now they don't have 90 percent of their functional army in ukraine and then i said to myself they better

01:06:57.440 that's what i'd do if i were put if i were put in i would put 90 or more of my entire army into that

01:07:05.680 fight do you know why because he can't lose he can't lose that fight right he can't lose and and it's pretty

01:07:14.400 close to looking like that's a possibility i think putin would put 100 of his assets in there that

01:07:21.120 worked the good stuff i think it's close to 100 because does does russia have any risk on any other

01:07:30.080 front no china is not attacking russia they have no risk anywhere else in the world if they haven't put 0.96

01:07:39.840 90 plus percent of their assets into that fight already that's a mistake am i wrong it's a mistake

01:07:50.080 they have to put it all they have to put they have to be all in because losing is just not an option

01:07:57.360 now what about ukraine ukraine's all in don't you think ukraine probably has greater than 100 of

01:08:04.480 their military in the fight because they have like other people fighting like they have people that

01:08:09.280 were not even ukrainian fighting so ukraine is like maybe a 120 in the fight like 20 that's not even the

01:08:19.200 ukrainian military is in the fight whereas russia if they have if they have less than 90 of all their

01:08:26.160 good stuff including their people who can actually fight if they have less than 90 they're not taking you

01:08:33.040 serious now let me ask you again because almost everybody said no they do not have 90 of their

01:08:41.760 working assets military assets dedicated to ukraine now that i've explained it that it would be stupid 0.56

01:08:49.200 to have less than 90 now what do you think did i change your mind anybody change their mind

01:08:56.160 all right so i'm getting a few more yeses but a lot of no's uh i respect your skepticism

01:09:08.080 i respect your skepticism yeah yeah i i'm not going to say that i have a high confidence that it's 90

01:09:15.360 but i will say i have a high confidence that if it's not over 90 that putin's making a mistake

01:09:21.680 would you agree with that would you agree that if he's not putting over 90 of his working assets

01:09:29.040 and people that's a mistake no well what's the account argument give me give me the quick counter

01:09:36.480 argument i'm ignoring japan what does japan have to do with ukraine and russia

01:09:45.760 i don't understand that a counterattack

01:09:53.920 china has a claim on siberia yeah but they're not going to move on it 1.00

01:09:57.920 you think china is going to move on siberia because russia is busy that's not going to happen

01:10:03.840 that's never going to happen all right um

01:10:07.600 russia and japan have disputed islands oh okay so they're disputed islands and you're saying that

01:10:17.680 japan might move on those disputed islands have you met japan have you met japan you think japan is

01:10:26.960 going to uh mount uh a uh offensive war come on that's not serious just because they have an

01:10:38.800 opportunity you think they're going to mount an offensive war against russia that's not going to

01:10:42.960 happen all right well i could be wrong about it all but uh uh i think if he doesn't have 90 in there 1.00

01:10:52.880 he's he's stupid and he's not stupid that's my view if he doesn't have 90 in the fight he's stupid 0.99

01:11:01.360 and he doesn't look stupid or i am good point as a felony videos points out or possibly i'm stupid 1.00

01:11:10.480 that is a possibility all right you would not be surprised at the following that there's a new study 0.99

01:11:17.520 that says that uh you practically can't get myocarditis from covid but man you could certainly

01:11:25.840 get it from the shots are you surprised that there's a new study that says that all of the myocarditis

01:11:33.840 is probably from the shots and none of it is from the covid is anybody surprised

01:11:42.080 would you be surprised that about a year ago there was a massive study that said exactly the opposite

01:11:47.520 in a big way exactly the opposite and in a big way now you know what they they don't clarify

01:12:00.880 here's my guess my guess is that if if covid itself caused any myocarditis and i don't know at this point

01:12:11.120 if it did it might have been bad under alpha and delta exactly you're you're ahead of me it's the

01:12:17.840 variance but probably or just theoretically uh under omicron so here's a here's the issue it's starting

01:12:28.800 to look like uh getting the shot might have been good for some people during alpha and delta

01:12:36.400 but maybe more bad than good under omicron now that's very preliminary it could be that it was

01:12:43.760 all bad all the time very possible could be that it was all good all the time i don't think so but

01:12:50.560 possible so we're we're still in the not completely knowing what's going on for sure but just be aware

01:12:58.800 that there are two credible looking studies that say wildly the opposite wildly wildly the opposite

01:13:07.680 how do you deal with that how do you deal with the fact that there's a study that looks sort of

01:13:14.320 credible that says basically nobody gets myocarditis from covid and it's all from the shots and then a

01:13:23.360 study from just one year ago exactly the opposite there's like a huge difference it's like all from

01:13:29.680 the it's all from the covid and you you can also get it from the shots all right both study both

01:13:36.160 studies say you can get myocarditis from the shots all right just to be clear both studies say that

01:13:43.520 but one says that's all of it and the other one says it's much less than if you just got the covid

01:13:49.600 and then the next question is suppose you had the shots first and then you get the covid

01:13:57.280 now of course i you know tweeted both the studies so you can see the difference and here was the

01:14:04.240 interesting thing uh one viewer looked at the study that said that the covid gives you the myocarditis

01:14:13.040 and said no the title is misleading it says right here in the study that it's the opposite

01:14:19.440 so really scott you got you read the headline wrong you got fooled by this fake headline but if you

01:14:24.800 actually go into the body of the study it says the opposite so i went into the body of the study and it

01:14:30.320 does not say the opposite but do you think i could convince the person who said it did

01:14:36.400 that it didn't say the opposite i could not i could not i could not convince them that what they

01:14:45.280 were seeing was not real now here here was here's the thing there was one statement that if you looked

01:14:50.960 out of context it looked like it said the opposite of the headline but if you looked at that one statement

01:14:58.800 in the body of the context it reversed it again so there's something that you see out of context it

01:15:05.520 says the sky is blue you had a little bit context it says no no the sky is not blue

01:15:13.040 and even that little bit of change we disagreed with that said these are two educated people

01:15:20.640 looking at the same thing written in clear english and one said it says wildly left and then i said

01:15:27.520 it says no it says wildly right and very clearly so and we could not solve that we could not solve

01:15:34.400 that now i think i'm right and i think you know the the other individual is experiencing cognitive

01:15:42.880 dissonance but it could be the other way it could be the other way

01:15:46.880 who knows um and then there's a

01:15:57.840 there's a study that uh long covid brains are very different so the people who who had covid but

01:16:07.120 presumably not a vaccination um when you when you look at their brains they're clearly damaged

01:16:13.200 so the the covid people have damaged brains and you can see the difference

01:16:20.960 now does that mean that that so-called vaccinated people does that mean that they don't have damaged

01:16:26.960 brains i don't know i don't know everything you look at is sketchy right because you look at you think

01:16:35.120 it's telling you something and then you realize what what they're not telling you and as soon as you

01:16:40.080 realize what they're not telling you like all the credibility goes away

01:16:48.720 this guy is hung up on covid

01:16:52.160 so if your brain if your brain is uh damaged by covid would you not want to know

01:17:00.160 is that something you'd not be interested in massive brain damage no interest

01:17:05.200 all right um there's also increasing evidence that the shots were bad for pregnant women and young

01:17:16.160 people and uh does anybody remember me suggesting that if you were pregnant you should get a 0.92

01:17:25.200 a under-tested vaccination did i ever recommend that

01:17:30.240 uh nope nope nope i did not i did not but a number of people uh would like to fact check me for my

01:17:39.280 personal medical decisions

01:17:43.360 that's not a thing there's here here's the thing that almost everybody misses in the vax or no vax

01:17:51.920 conversation and by the way i haven't heard anybody mention this but one of the biggest variables is

01:17:59.280 is always left out and it's one i haven't mentioned before believe it or not so it's not about long

01:18:04.640 covid or any of the stuff we've talked about there's one gigantic variable for the people who decided to

01:18:11.120 to vaccinate or not that i've never seen discussed what it does to you psychologically

01:18:21.760 a lot of people who got the shots immediately felt better in psychologically is that nothing

01:18:30.240 is that a nothing if you had a year or two of feeling safer even if you weren't like even if in fact

01:18:40.000 you weren't you weren't isn't that worth a lot two years of feeling safe and there was nothing you could do about it really

01:18:47.280 you know maybe or maybe there was who knows

01:18:55.440 so and suppose suppose you were uh very much concerned or afraid of the vaccination

01:19:02.480 if let's say that was your your mentality was you were very concerned about the danger from the shot itself

01:19:10.000 and let's say you're 40 years old and and don't have too many comorbidities and you're really

01:19:14.800 afraid of the shot itself would i recommend that you got that shot what do you think do you think i'd

01:19:21.360 recommend a healthy 40 year old get the shot if their mentality was oh i'm really concerned about the long

01:19:29.600 term no no i would not who imagines i would have like who could even imagine i would have done that of

01:19:37.280 course not yeah i did not of course and the people who imagined that i ever suggested what

01:19:44.160 anybody else should do with their health the reason you know i didn't do that is because i never talked

01:19:50.320 about the mental part if i talked about the mental part then i would be getting very close

01:19:56.080 to something that was like suggesting what you should do or not do as i am now i guess but i never did that

01:20:03.360 because that was just purely your own decision we're you know we all had inadequate information

01:20:10.400 purely your own decision yeah i talked about how i felt and then people fact checked me

01:20:16.480 doesn't work like that how i feel is a huge part of my mental and physical health well by definition

01:20:25.040 what if ivermectin made you feel safe then take it that did i ever tell anybody to not take ivermectin

01:20:35.280 ever hear that did that ever come out no i've said consistently if you think it works and your doctor

01:20:42.240 agrees and or even if your doctor doesn't agree the risks seem so low that why not if it made you feel better

01:20:49.840 sure you know the the placebo effect alone would make ivermectin work am i wrong if you had any drug

01:21:03.440 that worked say on 30 of the people who took it that would be like one of the best drugs of all time

01:21:09.920 ivermectin should work on around 30 of the people whether it works or not

01:21:14.240 whether it works or not 30 of the people should have seen some what they imagined was a benefit

01:21:22.960 so yeah i would never tell you to take it or not to take it and never did

01:21:30.880 all right

01:21:34.000 but i maintain that so far i am the rightest person on the pandemic

01:21:38.880 if you count everything from closing traffic to calling out fat fauci is wrong to masks to vaccinations

01:21:48.560 to shutdowns i was right on every element in every part of it i'm the only person as far as now i

01:21:56.000 believe i was the rightest person by far and it's possible that i'll get a blood clot and die

01:22:02.000 those could both be true right there's not the chances that you know someday i die from a blood

01:22:10.640 clot in five years totally possible from from making a suboptimal choice totally possible

01:22:20.240 but i'm still the rightest person on all the analysis because you can make the right decision

01:22:26.000 and nothing's 100 so you can make all the right decisions and still die from your decisions that's

01:22:31.520 not even unusual

01:22:35.040 now review your statements on climate models the best ever yeah i have the best opinions on climate

01:22:40.960 change of anybody by far nobody's even close yeah i've been right on everything on climate change

01:22:52.080 i'm looking for some more pushback because i'm making ridiculous claims but they're they're also

01:22:58.480 true in my opinion but i expected more pushback

01:23:04.000 uh what about cernovich's comment that federman is a baller because he he risked his own uh health 0.98

01:23:12.160 to get elected there's something to that yeah yeah cernovich doesn't say crazy shit right like you can 0.55

01:23:20.480 agree with them or disagree with them but there's always something there there's something to that yeah

01:23:24.960 there's there's substance to that opinion i'll just say that you know that the question of whether

01:23:31.200 uh it was good for him is separate the question of whether his wife or anybody else pushed him is

01:23:38.800 separate but yes when you see somebody who takes personal risk to do something that i believe he

01:23:45.760 thought he was doing something good for the country um at least good for the country according to democrats

01:23:52.080 so yeah any anybody who puts their life on the line for public benefit has to be respected

01:23:59.760 uh criminal caught after cutting off 37 man buns in one day how in the world do you cut off 37 man buns 0.55

01:24:16.240 and not be killed how did that happen i know he did it with a knife but

01:24:23.520 uh wow that was crazy

01:24:35.040 all right um brain surgeon looking for clots

01:24:45.840 all right um anything else happening what else did i miss

01:24:50.160 uh robert kioski called the biden family the biden crime family

01:24:58.640 oh there you go yeah i think you can call the biden's a crime family because remember the the

01:25:04.560 government is guilty until proven innocent you know there are individuals as individuals are

01:25:10.640 innocent until proven guilty but since they're acting you know in the form of the government the

01:25:15.760 government's guilty unless they can prove they're not if they can't prove they're not you're you

01:25:20.800 have every reasonable right to assume that they're guilty because it wouldn't be hard to prove that

01:25:26.000 they're not guilty all right uh

01:25:35.520 ooh there's an idea somebody's suggesting that if i got a man bun i could cover my male powder pattern

01:25:42.240 boldness that might be the best idea i've heard

01:25:49.840 because i was i was thinking of converting to judaism just so i'd always have a little hat to

01:25:55.040 cover up the bald spot but that felt like a big sacrifice so i think i'll just grow my hair out and

01:26:01.840 have a man bum right on top i think i could rock that totally rock that or are you seeing the videos of

01:26:10.000 the tate brothers now um where uh andrew tate doesn't get to shave his head probably in in prison or

01:26:20.240 whatever however they're being detained so his hair is growing back in the shaved part and on the sides and

01:26:29.520 the the unfortunate uh outcome is that it's changing from uh you know a strong masculine look with the

01:26:38.720 shaved head and it's it's turning him into the pointy-haired boss with with the two tufts on the

01:26:44.400 side and you know bald in the middle and that it's a it's a real uh lesson on presenting yourself

01:26:53.600 it's a real lesson and i'm going to give him a compliment all right i do think that uh that andrew

01:27:00.240 tate in particular he does a better job working with you know what he was born with than just about

01:27:07.200 anybody right he does a really good job of turning what he has into the best asset it could be you

01:27:14.800 know i'm seeing a lot of uh a lot of people like uh pierce pierce morgan for example agree with

01:27:24.480 the andrew tate let's say philosophy to some degree not a hundred percent um and and just being forced

01:27:32.560 to say that you know the the andrew tate thing is really not about andrew tate if you think it's

01:27:41.360 about him you're missing the whole story right the reason that he has a massive following is he's saying

01:27:49.200 the things that everybody's thinking that's it it's because of us that he's famous he's not famous just

01:27:57.040 because he's good at it and he's good at it he's famous because he says things that people agree with

01:28:03.040 that's it but i don't think we want to deal with that yet i don't think we want to deal with the fact

01:28:09.360 that uh men and boys feel so victimized that they need some kind of guidance to you know get them on a stronger

01:28:19.200 path and uh if he's you know contributing to that message it's a positive if he's just turning him

01:28:29.040 into a little dirtbag misogynist not so good not so good but i would say as of today that i'm not familiar

01:28:40.000 with anything i would consider convincing evidence that they committed crimes now i've said this before

01:28:46.480 but it's it's time to say it again the the tate situation is not like anything else and here's why

01:28:56.800 i've always wondered what would happen when a master persuader goes to trial now i heard about one case

01:29:05.120 where a hypnotist went to trial and got convicted for some bad behavior but i always thought to myself if

01:29:12.720 if the case were more complicated let's say the the one hypnotist i guess did one bad thing with one

01:29:19.280 underage person so that was sort of a simple thing you know yes or no and the jury decided he was guilty

01:29:26.880 but the tates are involved in something that at the very least is complicated it is complicated by

01:29:34.800 you know who's trying to do what who's after them are they just victims did they really do a crime

01:29:40.640 were were the women uh really agreeing to it were they not there's some kind of indication that

01:29:47.520 there's some messages that have been recovered from the girls plotting to take take down with fake claims

01:29:55.360 i don't know if the messages are real but if they're real it would suggest that there was a plot to take

01:30:01.600 them down which doesn't mean they didn't commit any crimes right everything nothing is guaranteeing anything

01:30:07.920 else but um here's what you need to know andrew tate's success is not an accident it's because he

01:30:19.520 knows how to communicate and he is a trained persuader so his his talent stack includes everything from

01:30:27.760 fighting to communications to you know putting on a look that that has a certain appeal to uh to getting

01:30:37.040 women right he has a whole bunch of talents in his stack but he's very smart and one of the talents

01:30:43.600 that he's added is hypnosis and persuasion directly he is an expert on persuasion and if you put an

01:30:53.280 expert on persuasion who actually understands hypnosis i don't think he's a hypnotist but he would

01:30:58.480 understand it um you put him into a trial situation and i think he walks even if he's guilty so i think

01:31:08.960 what's going to happen is um now things could be different in romania it's a corrupt system so maybe

01:31:16.240 you know maybe it doesn't matter how good your defense is i don't know but if if the trial is fair

01:31:22.880 and the tates get to determine how the defense is is managed i think they walk and it's only it has

01:31:33.200 nothing to do with guilt i'm not making any opinion on their guilt i believe that his skill level is

01:31:40.400 greater than the judicial system in romania that's what i think i think that's not a fair fight

01:31:47.360 that he's not in the fight yet because he's just being held like you know in a detention so he's

01:31:54.160 not able to mount any kind of a defense but if it becomes public i don't know if they do that in

01:31:59.680 romania but if you imagine it's public he wins if it's a fair trial he wins because he has the skill to

01:32:11.200 induce reasonable doubt in almost any situation even if you think well it's right here here's the memo

01:32:19.760 we've got all these witnesses he could make all that go away he could make all of that go away and i

01:32:26.480 don't think you understand the degree of his skill right now i'm not saying it's guaranteed he could just

01:32:33.760 be convicted and we'll never know what the what the deal was it's possible but i'm gonna bet on him

01:32:40.320 uh not only getting out of it but getting out of it like nelson mandela

01:32:46.640 you know what i mean as in coming back stronger because if he can add to his current narrative

01:32:54.400 because you know he's a he's a construction of his own making you know that whatever opinion you have

01:33:00.000 of tate he's created right that's just a construction of his uh if he beats this charge

01:33:08.880 the next construction will be he's nelson mandela the system tried to take him down

01:33:14.880 but he was stronger than the system that's going to be really appealing yeah now uh lance says he tate is

01:33:25.360 a predator not a persuader well he could be both he could be both i'm not supporting him just to be

01:33:32.560 clear uh if anybody's new to me again uh i hate him for personal reasons right for personal interactions

01:33:43.280 i hate him would i be happy if he went to jail for a long time yeah i would honestly i would be totally

01:33:51.280 happy he what he did to me personally i i would be perfectly fine if he went to jail for 10 years

01:34:00.000 i don't even care if he's i don't even care if he's innocent

01:34:04.640 i think karma karma might just take care of it right maybe karma will take care of it now

01:34:13.600 here's another question for you is it a coincidence that the people i want to go down seem to go down

01:34:20.480 quite often you ever notice that that when somebody is my nemesis bad things seem to happen to them

01:34:27.680 not because i did anything i mean i didn't do anything in romania it just seems like another

01:34:32.960 one of those coincidences

01:34:38.800 of the trump effect yeah

01:34:40.000 i'm gonna push out of medical process most people don't care about medical necessity okay

01:34:52.400 all right uh yes there are lots of coincidences am i aligned with the intelligence community

01:35:00.480 what do you mean aligned do you mean working with them

01:35:04.480 i'm not in anybody's payroll and and i'm not aware of any assignments i've been given from the

01:35:12.160 intelligence community

01:35:17.920 what did he do to you never mind it was personal it's all over the internet but it was personal

01:35:24.640 um do i meet with them not that i'm aware of

01:35:37.920 you know but the whole thing about working with the intelligence community

01:35:42.000 um it's that's a real gray area it's a real gray area if the cia came to you and said hey you know

01:35:50.240 could you do us a favor would you do it it would depend on the favor obviously but let's say it was

01:35:57.680 something easy

01:36:01.440 no my ex-wife has never met tate but tate says they met and believe me i would know

01:36:08.960 because she would tell me she would just tell me but no they've never met

01:36:13.680 they had one exchange of dms where she sent him a generic response like everybody else and then he

01:36:20.960 made a he made a whole rumor out of it um there's nothing easy the cia would ask you to do sure there

01:36:28.720 is sure there is suppose the cia said to you uh we'd like you to start a company that does the following

01:36:37.840 things and then you say oh i'm not you know i do start companies and i do that kind of work but i

01:36:44.400 don't want to do it just because you said so and then the cia says we can pretty much guarantee you'll

01:36:50.640 get a government contract because we need somebody to be in this business and you say what they go yeah

01:36:58.800 we will guarantee that you're rich what now we'll guarantee it because we'll make sure that you have

01:37:05.280 gigantic customers because those customers also like to work with us so if you create a company

01:37:11.920 that does this kind of a product that the cia would like to see exist what we'll do is make sure

01:37:17.600 that you have lots of customers and maybe the government will be one so you don't even have to

01:37:23.280 worry about making money now do you want to do it okay let me let me understand this you get a guarantee

01:37:30.320 that i make money in this business just because you think it would be good for the united states

01:37:35.680 to have somebody in this business and then the cia says yep that's exactly it you will you will have

01:37:43.760 no connection to us we will have no uh we will not be paying you you don't have to do anything for us

01:37:50.720 we're not asking you for any favors we're just giving you one we're giving you a favor because it's good

01:37:56.480 for the country so we'd like to see a company that can do this let's say technology or whatever it is

01:38:02.960 and so we'll put you in business

01:38:10.720 there you go you're way ahead of me do you think it's ever happened do you think that there are any

01:38:18.800 big companies that you're aware of today that uh the cia may have helped along but it helped them

01:38:26.160 along a little bit yeah probably not all of them but probably i would rule out my pillow probably not

01:38:36.720 my pillow yes all right that's all for now that is the best live stream you've ever seen provocative

01:38:43.840 content surely to get me banned in some way if that still happens and i'm going to say goodbye to

01:38:52.320 the youtube people and talk to the people on locals for a little bit because they're special if you were

01:38:59.120 on locals you would see my special uh man cave broadcasts in which we do things with we do not do

01:39:06.400 in the morning we do them from the man cave and they're fun and you should enjoy it bye for now

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - February 16, 2023

Episode 2021 Scott Adams： Incredible Show Today, UFOs To Simulation, More COVID Nonsense, DeSantis

Episode Stats

Summary

Transcript