Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 2149 Scott Adams： Wagner Moves On Moscow, CIA Involved？, I Tell You How It All Ends

00:00:00.000 Doot, doot, doot, doot.

00:00:03.560 Good morning, everybody, and welcome to the highlight of human civilization.

00:00:08.940 It's called Coffee with Scott Adams, and I know you want to talk about Russia,

00:00:12.680 so we'll get right to that.

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00:00:35.540 Go.

00:00:39.600 Ah, yes.

00:00:43.220 We are private and locals, and we are good to go.

00:00:47.760 Well, I don't know if you heard, but there's this little thing going on,

00:00:53.680 something like a civil war in Russia.

00:00:56.880 Now, could we begin by, I would like to ask you, those who have been watching me for a while,

00:01:04.680 did I make the best prediction about this war?

00:01:08.980 I just want to see if you remember.

00:01:10.760 This is my wildest, best prediction.

00:01:17.140 Now, those on the locals' platform probably heard me talk more about it.

00:01:24.160 But was it over a year ago?

00:01:27.220 Was it a year ago that I said that Putin would have to take Progrosian out?

00:01:32.820 Because Progrosian had become too popular and too big.

00:01:37.420 And I said there was no way the war was going to end and the two of them would just go on with their business.

00:01:41.880 Basically, it was a Highlander situation.

00:01:45.480 You know, only one of them was going to be alive at the end of the war, at most.

00:01:49.040 Could be both dead.

00:01:50.420 But there was no way both of them were going to be alive and living in Russia at the end of the war.

00:01:56.080 And I assumed that Putin would try to take Progrosian out close to whatever looked like the end of the Ukrainian conflict.

00:02:05.920 Because first he has to do whatever he has to do in Ukraine, but then immediately Putin wants to take him out.

00:02:11.540 Now, I don't believe the story, necessarily, about anything that's happened over there lately,

00:02:17.700 except that Wagner's on the move toward Moscow.

00:02:20.440 That seems real.

00:02:21.120 But everything about the part of the story where Wagner was attacked by the Russian army,

00:02:28.900 do you think that's true?

00:02:30.940 Do you think Wagner was actually attacked by the Russian army?

00:02:34.940 I would say that's less than a 50% chance.

00:02:39.460 I mean, we're in a situation where almost anything seems possible,

00:02:44.240 but I would say the odds of that are pretty low.

00:02:46.220 What about the failed assassination attempt against Progrosian himself?

00:02:53.600 Do you think that really happened?

00:02:56.600 Well, it might have happened.

00:02:57.980 I mean, it could have been a disgruntled soldier or something.

00:03:01.200 But probably it's not important to the story.

00:03:06.180 Now, there's also reporting with no source, you know, no source given.

00:03:10.260 When I say reporting, I mean just something on Twitter,

00:03:14.040 that the CIA convinced Progrosian that Putin was going to have him arrested.

00:03:21.040 And so they got Progrosian to turn on Putin.

00:03:25.000 Do you believe that?

00:03:26.680 Do you believe that the CIA convinced Progrosian that Putin was going to turn on him?

00:03:34.300 He didn't need to.

00:03:35.780 Putin signed an order to have him arrested.

00:03:37.880 Now, my understanding is that the Russian, you know, whatever, Justice Department

00:03:44.920 is under Putin's control, and they said they were going to arrest him.

00:03:51.140 So, of course, Putin was trying to arrest him.

00:03:53.320 You didn't really need any CIA help.

00:03:56.960 But let me ask you this.

00:03:59.860 Do you think the CIA might have tried to get the message to Progrosian, you know,

00:04:04.100 for a long time, that he can't trust Putin?

00:04:07.540 Maybe he should turn on Putin?

00:04:10.500 I'll bet they did.

00:04:11.800 Do you know why I think the CIA probably did that?

00:04:15.680 Because that's their job.

00:04:18.020 That would be sort of like saying,

00:04:20.160 huh, I wonder if the people who pick up garbage

00:04:23.940 picked up garbage.

00:04:27.020 Yes, because that's their job.

00:04:28.980 The garbage picker uppers, they pick up the garbage.

00:04:33.180 The CIA tells one person that the other person on their team doesn't like him.

00:04:39.620 That's what they do.

00:04:40.840 It's like the most basic thing you'd ever do.

00:04:43.840 Do you know why I said it over a year ago?

00:04:46.300 Do you know why I said,

00:04:47.960 hey, it looks obvious to me that Putin is going to kill this guy after the war?

00:04:52.300 Do you know why I said it?

00:04:53.520 Aside from thinking it's correct, of course.

00:04:58.100 To put the idea in their heads.

00:05:01.520 I said it just in case the CIA hadn't thought of it yet.

00:05:05.160 This is the most obvious thing you would put out there.

00:05:08.800 If you wanted Russia not to win,

00:05:12.000 it was the one obvious thing you had to do.

00:05:15.260 Tell them they're on different sides and give them a reason.

00:05:18.420 Now, obviously, the reason was easy to give.

00:05:21.100 Because Progrosian just got too big.

00:05:23.520 There's no way that Putin could let that go on.

00:05:26.320 He had to kill him.

00:05:27.240 I mean, Putin is killing critics.

00:05:30.600 Just ordinary critics.

00:05:32.360 You don't think he's going to take out a guy who's got a military that he could turn on Putin.

00:05:36.040 Of course he is.

00:05:37.200 It's the most basic thing you would have to do is take him out.

00:05:40.220 So, I would like to lay claim to the best Ukraine predictor in the world,

00:05:46.960 even though I had the worst prediction on Ukraine to start.

00:05:51.420 My worst prediction, I remind you, was even when Putin was massing his army on the border,

00:05:57.740 I said, quite incorrectly, there's no way he's actually going to attack.

00:06:04.300 He's bluffing.

00:06:05.360 And the reason I gave is that it would be a disaster for Putin.

00:06:09.840 Because Ukraine wouldn't be easy to conquer.

00:06:13.240 They'd have modern weaponry.

00:06:15.200 Now, that's exactly what happened.

00:06:16.500 Turns out he did attack, and it was the biggest mistake he ever made.

00:06:22.520 Now, if you don't think people are angry at me this morning,

00:06:27.220 do you know people are really mad at me this morning?

00:06:29.500 Do you know why?

00:06:30.920 Because I'm the only person who got this right.

00:06:33.420 I'm the only one.

00:06:35.060 Nobody else in the world predicted this.

00:06:37.080 I predicted he was going to turn on Putin.

00:06:39.140 He had to.

00:06:40.560 Now, what do you think people are saying about me?

00:06:43.720 When I got it right.

00:06:47.700 Number one, that I did not predict it, and I'm pretending I did.

00:06:52.220 Of course.

00:06:54.900 Number two, that I'm in the bag for Ukraine or Russia.

00:07:00.600 I can't remember which it is.

00:07:01.840 But I'm in the bag for one of them.

00:07:05.380 And some other things.

00:07:07.200 Yeah.

00:07:07.440 Oh, just a cartoonist.

00:07:09.700 But for those of you who are questioning

00:07:12.940 whether I predicted this exactly,

00:07:15.700 look at the other comments.

00:07:17.540 You can see from the other comments that I did.

00:07:19.540 There's tons of witnesses.

00:07:21.680 So I lay claim to the best predictor in the war.

00:07:27.220 As of late yesterday,

00:07:30.160 I was listening to the Spaces with Mario,

00:07:33.220 which, in my opinion, is the best coverage of the war.

00:07:36.120 I listened to just hours of it.

00:07:38.880 Late last night, and I'm real sleepy.

00:07:42.700 And one of the opinions I was hearing,

00:07:46.220 and I heard it even this morning from Kim.com,

00:07:49.740 he was quite insistent that this is not going to be a real civil war.

00:07:55.380 And that what will happen is that Putin will make a phone call.

00:08:00.140 They'll work it out.

00:08:01.400 Maybe there's a change in generals.

00:08:03.060 But basically, a little internal problem should be fine.

00:08:06.920 There's no way Wagner's going to march on Moscow

00:08:10.260 and try to take Putin out.

00:08:11.620 That's not going to happen.

00:08:13.520 That was happening last night

00:08:15.380 as Wagner was starting to move toward Moscow.

00:08:19.040 And I was listening to it, and I was thinking,

00:08:21.940 does anybody really think he doesn't want to take Putin out?

00:08:26.420 Because what Wagner was saying,

00:08:28.120 or what Progrosian was saying,

00:08:30.140 is that, no, no, I'm not after Putin.

00:08:32.700 I'm on Putin's side.

00:08:34.340 Oh, yeah, totally on Putin's side.

00:08:36.200 I just want his generals to be taken out

00:08:39.060 because they're not doing a good job for Putin.

00:08:41.180 So I'm really doing Putin a favor.

00:08:42.960 That has nothing to do with Putin.

00:08:45.400 How in the world would you believe that?

00:08:47.400 How in the world would you believe

00:08:51.180 that Progrosian didn't want to stop with Putin?

00:08:54.620 So then Putin was getting ready to do his speech.

00:08:59.960 And even like a minute before his speech,

00:09:02.720 people on the spaces were speculating quite confidently

00:09:06.260 that Putin was going to come out in favor of Wagner.

00:09:14.940 Right.

00:09:15.500 Right before the speech.

00:09:17.400 Like a minute before the speech, they thought,

00:09:19.820 oh, Putin's actually going to be backing Wagner,

00:09:22.300 and he'll just say, let's work this out with the generals,

00:09:24.920 and it'll be over in an hour.

00:09:27.560 I think Kim.com actually said it might be over in an hour.

00:09:33.320 And of course, what did Putin say?

00:09:36.340 Exactly what I would have told you he was going to say,

00:09:39.040 which is it's a civil war,

00:09:41.120 and he's got to stop this guy at all costs.

00:09:43.000 It's a death match.

00:09:45.420 It's definitely a death match.

00:09:48.680 So we're seeing already,

00:09:50.520 so Steve will say, Scott didn't predict fuck.

00:09:54.520 So the people who don't like me are going to be really, really angry today.

00:09:58.860 And that's a lot of people.

00:10:01.380 So I've been, oh, and here's the other thing.

00:10:04.640 When I suggested that the CIA might have, you know,

00:10:08.180 been behind putting the idea in Prigozhin's head,

00:10:12.420 or even working a deal with them.

00:10:14.060 Because in my mind, Prigozhin has made a deal with the NATO and the CIA.

00:10:19.560 In my mind, right?

00:10:21.260 Everything we say about this,

00:10:24.020 can I just put the obvious disclaimer?

00:10:27.040 Is there anybody dumb enough?

00:10:29.040 Would you like to raise your hand?

00:10:30.220 I just wonder if there's any dumb people here.

00:10:32.200 Most of my audience is smart.

00:10:34.520 So for smart people, I don't need to stop every minute and say,

00:10:38.580 but it's fog of war,

00:10:40.620 so 100% of things we say about this could be wrong.

00:10:44.500 Because all the smart people know that, right?

00:10:46.780 You all know there's not a single thing we can say about this situation

00:10:50.280 that you could really be sure about.

00:10:53.240 But for the dumb people,

00:10:54.960 let me say it in dumb language so you can understand it.

00:10:58.500 It's the fog of war,

00:11:01.080 so nothing I say this morning

00:11:03.460 should be considered a confident certainty.

00:11:07.780 Because I'm just guessing,

00:11:09.080 because it's the fog of war.

00:11:11.540 All right, so that was for the dumb people.

00:11:13.060 Would the dumb people calm down now?

00:11:15.840 Dumb people, can you calm down a little bit?

00:11:18.300 Now that we've done that?

00:11:20.120 All right, good job.

00:11:22.660 How about the people who have been telling me for years,

00:11:26.680 actually years now,

00:11:28.580 that there's one thing for sure,

00:11:31.800 Russia's going to win the war in Ukraine.

00:11:34.700 Do you remember telling me that?

00:11:36.620 That's the one thing that's for sure.

00:11:39.140 And I said,

00:11:40.920 not so sure.

00:11:43.720 Things could change in a minute.

00:11:46.060 Do you remember me telling you that

00:11:47.580 this is a war where

00:11:49.500 there's a whole bunch of things

00:11:51.240 that are near the breaking point?

00:11:52.780 But you can't really predict

00:11:54.680 what will break first.

00:11:56.600 But we can certainly predict

00:11:57.980 that it could break in either direction.

00:12:01.200 In other words,

00:12:01.920 even though Russia looked solid,

00:12:03.980 war-wise,

00:12:05.280 something could change at any minute.

00:12:07.660 You know, it could be something about

00:12:08.980 the supply chain,

00:12:11.060 could be some military thing,

00:12:13.120 but something.

00:12:14.560 But sure enough,

00:12:16.000 this was the thing that I told you

00:12:18.880 could happen.

00:12:20.460 I didn't say it would happen.

00:12:21.720 I said there's a high likelihood

00:12:23.120 that there's some things in Russia

00:12:25.260 that are right close to a breaking point

00:12:27.360 and that just everything could change

00:12:29.520 in a moment.

00:12:30.440 That's just what happened.

00:12:32.640 Now, here's my take.

00:12:34.520 Here's what I think happened.

00:12:36.700 I think that once it became obvious

00:12:38.940 that Russia couldn't win the war,

00:12:42.760 you know, it's going to be a stalemate

00:12:44.300 and negotiated end,

00:12:45.940 then that's when Putin saw that

00:12:48.000 there were probably just a few months

00:12:51.020 or less than a year

00:12:52.060 from the Wagner Group

00:12:54.240 no longer being focused on Ukraine,

00:12:56.760 which would be very bad for Putin

00:12:58.620 because they might focus on him.

00:13:01.120 So I knew that he was going to make a move.

00:13:03.520 I don't know that he did.

00:13:04.820 The reports of attempted assassinations

00:13:07.540 or bombing the Wagner Group

00:13:09.540 are not reliable.

00:13:11.200 But I do think that at the very least,

00:13:14.520 Putin should have been worried about it.

00:13:16.080 Now, do you think that this move

00:13:18.300 by the Wagner Group

00:13:19.280 was a complete surprise to Putin?

00:13:27.240 Do you think it was a...

00:13:28.600 Do you think Putin woke up

00:13:30.400 and he's like,

00:13:30.900 what?

00:13:32.040 What?

00:13:33.080 Prigozhin wants to, you know,

00:13:35.420 take over my country?

00:13:36.540 What?

00:13:37.340 No, of course.

00:13:38.960 Putin obviously knew this was a risk

00:13:41.340 for a very long time.

00:13:42.800 So if he didn't actually already

00:13:45.080 try to kill Prigozhin,

00:13:47.640 don't you think it was 100% chance

00:13:49.640 that he would later?

00:13:51.960 You wouldn't really need the CIA

00:13:54.060 to put that bug in his head.

00:13:57.120 But suppose Prigozhin wanted to make

00:13:59.720 a run for the top office.

00:14:02.940 And suppose the CIA and NATO knew that

00:14:05.380 because I knew it.

00:14:07.520 I mean, if I knew it,

00:14:08.360 they probably knew it.

00:14:09.060 So what would they do?

00:14:13.900 I think they would offer him a deal

00:14:16.860 if he would go after Putin

00:14:19.760 instead of going after Ukraine.

00:14:21.960 And I think the deal would look

00:14:23.640 roughly like this.

00:14:25.240 If you are successful

00:14:26.680 in taking over for Putin,

00:14:29.180 we will work with you.

00:14:31.120 And we'll end the war immediately

00:14:32.460 so you get the credit

00:14:33.640 for ending the war,

00:14:35.180 you'll get the credit

00:14:36.200 for taking out Putin,

00:14:37.160 and you'll get the credit

00:14:38.780 for turning Russia back

00:14:40.180 into a citizen of the world

00:14:42.340 because we think

00:14:44.060 we can work with you.

00:14:49.620 I'm looking at John

00:14:50.740 flipping out in all capitals.

00:14:52.660 I'm going to read it

00:14:53.280 because these are the people

00:14:54.320 who are just flipping out

00:14:55.160 because I'm right about everything.

00:14:56.160 Scott gaslighting

00:14:58.300 during one of the worst years

00:15:00.240 of his persuasion campaign,

00:15:02.120 taking huge losses this year,

00:15:04.160 both in cash and credibility.

00:15:07.620 What's the point of that comment?

00:15:11.380 What you're seeing is just

00:15:12.820 a bunch of people

00:15:13.500 who are wrong about everything,

00:15:15.460 and they were sure

00:15:16.280 that I was wrong about everything,

00:15:18.460 and they're going to experience

00:15:20.220 massive cognitive dissonance today.

00:15:23.600 Imagine finding out

00:15:24.640 I was right about everything.

00:15:26.820 It would hurt.

00:15:29.600 I mean, I'm one of those people

00:15:30.740 you don't want to be right.

00:15:32.500 I know it.

00:15:33.520 I have that personality

00:15:34.720 that if I'm right,

00:15:36.880 it can piss you off a little bit.

00:15:41.380 I'm fully aware of that.

00:15:44.200 So please, those of you

00:15:46.800 who are upset

00:15:47.560 about me being right

00:15:49.060 about everything,

00:15:50.780 you can maybe just take

00:15:52.540 a chill pill.

00:15:53.700 Maybe this live stream

00:15:55.180 is not for you.

00:15:56.520 Maybe this is not for you.

00:15:58.380 You know what would be

00:15:59.000 a good feature I'd love?

00:16:00.700 I would love a feature

00:16:01.660 where, as the host,

00:16:03.340 I could block any comments

00:16:05.600 that were in all caps.

00:16:08.220 Would that be a bad feature?

00:16:10.520 Simply as an option,

00:16:12.920 I would just never see them.

00:16:14.620 You can still type them.

00:16:16.460 You can type anything you want.

00:16:17.780 But I would never see

00:16:19.000 anything in all caps.

00:16:21.000 It would be a bad feature.

00:16:23.340 Tell me that's not

00:16:24.060 the best idea

00:16:24.760 you've ever heard.

00:16:26.220 When was the last time

00:16:27.160 anybody said anything useful

00:16:28.960 in all caps?

00:16:30.760 In all caps.

00:16:32.020 Anybody ever say

00:16:33.060 anything useful?

00:16:34.260 Never.

00:16:35.140 Not once.

00:16:35.700 Not in social media.

00:16:37.420 All caps is like

00:16:38.280 a glaring signal

00:16:39.200 that what follows

00:16:40.580 is stupid.

00:16:42.020 How many of you

00:16:42.880 think of it that way?

00:16:44.500 When you see

00:16:45.320 like an extended comment

00:16:47.060 that's in all caps,

00:16:48.560 don't you automatically

00:16:49.400 think it's stupid

00:16:50.300 before you read it?

00:16:51.160 And then you're right.

00:16:52.600 You read it.

00:16:53.080 You're like,

00:16:53.280 yeah, that was stupid.

00:16:54.960 There's nobody

00:16:55.660 who writes a long comment

00:16:56.820 in all caps

00:16:57.500 who's not stupid.

00:17:00.120 I mean,

00:17:00.840 that's just

00:17:01.320 a well-known fact.

00:17:04.260 Short comments,

00:17:05.380 sure.

00:17:06.420 But long comments,

00:17:07.640 all caps,

00:17:08.340 no,

00:17:08.560 that's just a stupid person

00:17:09.780 getting attention.

00:17:11.060 All right.

00:17:15.400 When Pergrosian said

00:17:16.800 that the cause

00:17:18.240 or the reason

00:17:19.560 that Russia went to war

00:17:21.240 in the first place

00:17:22.020 was invalid,

00:17:24.160 that was your tip-off

00:17:25.300 that he's working

00:17:26.000 with the West.

00:17:28.380 Because he did not say

00:17:29.640 that for domestic

00:17:30.500 consumption entirely.

00:17:33.480 There's no way

00:17:34.440 that Pergrosian

00:17:35.220 is going to go

00:17:35.800 against the main

00:17:36.700 narrative of Russia

00:17:37.660 that they had

00:17:38.980 to do this

00:17:39.540 for their own

00:17:40.220 self-defense.

00:17:41.800 He basically said,

00:17:42.660 no,

00:17:42.820 there was no risk

00:17:44.140 from Ukraine.

00:17:45.040 There was no risk

00:17:45.600 from NATO.

00:17:47.140 When he did that,

00:17:48.540 it was pretty clear

00:17:49.580 that he has

00:17:50.240 some kind of deal

00:17:50.960 with NATO

00:17:51.500 to basically

00:17:53.380 end the war

00:17:54.260 immediately.

00:17:55.400 But in the short run,

00:17:57.380 do you notice

00:17:57.860 he's acting like

00:17:58.740 he's really all pro-war?

00:18:00.580 Do you know why?

00:18:01.720 Why is Pergrosian

00:18:02.680 still acting like

00:18:03.540 the war with Ukraine

00:18:04.380 is something

00:18:05.580 he wants to support

00:18:06.540 even though he said

00:18:07.240 there was no reason

00:18:07.840 for it?

00:18:09.200 He's pinning

00:18:10.160 the Russian military

00:18:11.240 down at the border.

00:18:13.600 So Putin can't

00:18:15.060 remove them

00:18:15.600 without losing the war

00:18:16.740 and then Putin

00:18:18.400 loses that way.

00:18:19.700 But if he keeps

00:18:20.620 them there,

00:18:21.340 all the best fighters

00:18:22.320 are there

00:18:22.780 and they're not

00:18:23.360 in Moscow.

00:18:24.740 Now,

00:18:25.360 a number of people

00:18:26.120 have said to me

00:18:26.980 this morning,

00:18:27.780 Scott,

00:18:28.840 the obvious way

00:18:30.140 this is going to go

00:18:31.000 is that Russia

00:18:32.120 has,

00:18:32.880 I don't know,

00:18:34.260 50 times more

00:18:35.920 soldiers than Wagner,

00:18:37.160 whatever it is.

00:18:38.160 So the biggest

00:18:39.020 military force

00:18:39.780 is going to win.

00:18:41.020 To which I say,

00:18:42.300 it kind of matters

00:18:43.200 where they are.

00:18:44.860 If you have the best

00:18:45.940 military force

00:18:46.760 in the world

00:18:47.220 but they're not there,

00:18:49.020 that doesn't help

00:18:50.000 you a bit.

00:18:51.280 They're spread out

00:18:52.280 all over the place

00:18:53.080 and they're nailed down.

00:18:55.320 So Wagner takes

00:18:56.200 their,

00:18:56.680 probably,

00:18:57.340 I'm assuming,

00:18:58.220 I'm assuming Wagner

00:18:59.180 brought their best

00:19:00.580 military,

00:19:01.880 their best equipment

00:19:02.700 and their best fighters.

00:19:04.540 Who are they

00:19:05.060 fighting against?

00:19:06.720 They're going to be

00:19:07.300 fighting against

00:19:07.900 Russia's worst fighters.

00:19:10.300 Maybe some good

00:19:11.200 assets,

00:19:12.160 but worst fighters.

00:19:13.960 And so far,

00:19:16.560 and again,

00:19:17.060 this is fog of force,

00:19:18.220 we don't know

00:19:18.640 if it's true,

00:19:19.560 but it's starting

00:19:20.380 to look like

00:19:21.180 the Russians

00:19:21.780 don't want to fight.

00:19:24.520 They seem to be

00:19:25.820 just as willing

00:19:26.580 to stand aside

00:19:28.400 as they are

00:19:28.920 willing to fight.

00:19:30.080 Now,

00:19:30.340 some of that

00:19:30.780 might have to do

00:19:31.360 with the Wagner

00:19:31.980 group's reputation

00:19:32.960 for brutality.

00:19:35.620 Let me ask you this.

00:19:36.640 Just put yourself

00:19:37.820 in the shoes

00:19:39.240 of a Russian

00:19:40.820 colonel,

00:19:43.780 not necessarily

00:19:44.860 a general,

00:19:45.580 but let's say

00:19:46.160 a colonel,

00:19:47.740 something like that,

00:19:48.800 and the Wagner

00:19:49.540 group comes in

00:19:50.440 and you look

00:19:51.000 at your forces

00:19:51.760 in your little town

00:19:53.060 on the way

00:19:53.640 to Moscow

00:19:54.160 and you look

00:19:55.440 at Wagner,

00:19:56.840 what's your best

00:19:57.580 play?

00:19:58.240 To fight them

00:19:59.060 to the death?

00:20:00.640 For what?

00:20:02.540 No,

00:20:03.000 there's no reason.

00:20:04.300 So instead,

00:20:04.940 you just say,

00:20:05.840 all right,

00:20:06.300 do what you need

00:20:06.820 to do,

00:20:07.200 we'll just get

00:20:07.620 out of the way.

00:20:09.620 The smartest

00:20:10.440 play for every

00:20:11.600 Russian is to

00:20:12.260 get out of the way

00:20:12.940 because ultimately

00:20:15.440 if they get

00:20:16.080 out of the way,

00:20:17.260 Russia will not

00:20:18.000 be destroyed.

00:20:19.980 The best way

00:20:20.840 to protect

00:20:21.420 the actual

00:20:22.180 city of Moscow

00:20:23.040 is for everybody

00:20:24.340 just to walk

00:20:25.200 away,

00:20:26.180 just to put

00:20:26.880 the gun down

00:20:27.440 and let the

00:20:29.140 leaders work it

00:20:29.820 out.

00:20:30.760 How much do

00:20:31.360 you care if

00:20:32.220 Prigozhin and

00:20:33.840 Putin had a

00:20:34.440 personal gun

00:20:35.120 battle in the

00:20:35.760 capital and

00:20:36.460 one of them

00:20:37.240 killed the

00:20:37.680 other one?

00:20:38.920 Probably nobody

00:20:39.760 cares.

00:20:41.060 They just want

00:20:41.820 to go on with

00:20:42.360 their lives,

00:20:42.940 like,

00:20:43.120 whoever is in

00:20:45.100 charge,

00:20:45.420 that's fine.

00:20:47.200 Now,

00:20:47.800 the thing that

00:20:48.360 I've always

00:20:48.780 doubted is

00:20:50.440 I've seen

00:20:50.860 statistics that

00:20:51.980 Putin,

00:20:53.040 his popularity

00:20:53.860 is between

00:20:54.480 70 and 80

00:20:55.560 percent in

00:20:56.200 Russia.

00:20:56.980 Have you

00:20:57.280 seen that?

00:20:59.000 Do you

00:20:59.560 believe that?

00:21:01.060 Now,

00:21:01.880 I do believe

00:21:03.740 that external

00:21:05.200 pollsters have

00:21:07.120 polled them,

00:21:07.840 and I do think

00:21:08.620 they say that.

00:21:10.300 I think they

00:21:10.860 say it.

00:21:11.760 But if you

00:21:12.280 got a phone

00:21:12.820 call in Russia,

00:21:14.420 let's say you're

00:21:14.920 in Russia and

00:21:15.420 your phone

00:21:15.820 rings.

00:21:16.880 Hello,

00:21:17.400 this is a

00:21:17.900 polling company.

00:21:19.180 We're from

00:21:19.840 another country,

00:21:20.640 we promise,

00:21:21.440 so don't worry

00:21:22.040 about us,

00:21:22.840 but we'd

00:21:23.380 like to

00:21:23.660 know if

00:21:24.060 you'd like

00:21:24.400 to leave

00:21:24.760 a digital

00:21:25.380 record,

00:21:25.880 which will

00:21:26.220 be recorded

00:21:26.800 forever,

00:21:27.780 to say whether

00:21:28.420 you like

00:21:28.840 Putin or

00:21:29.300 not.

00:21:30.360 I love

00:21:30.860 him.

00:21:31.400 I fucking

00:21:32.140 love him.

00:21:33.040 Oh,

00:21:33.520 man,

00:21:33.800 if I could

00:21:34.180 blow him,

00:21:34.720 I would.

00:21:35.220 Oh,

00:21:35.700 I love

00:21:36.240 him.

00:21:36.600 I love

00:21:37.200 him.

00:21:37.600 I love

00:21:38.140 him.

00:21:38.480 I love

00:21:38.880 him.

00:21:40.260 Don't

00:21:40.700 you think

00:21:41.000 the poll

00:21:41.340 goes like

00:21:41.840 that?

00:21:43.440 Because how

00:21:44.280 do you

00:21:44.560 poll anybody

00:21:45.440 without them

00:21:46.280 thinking that

00:21:46.900 you're recording

00:21:47.580 in some

00:21:48.300 fashion,

00:21:48.840 you're

00:21:49.000 recording

00:21:49.400 their opinion

00:21:50.160 and attributing

00:21:52.200 it to them

00:21:52.940 individually.

00:21:54.440 Nobody would

00:21:55.540 be dumb

00:21:55.960 enough to

00:21:56.340 say they

00:21:56.640 don't like

00:21:57.080 Putin on

00:21:57.660 a digital

00:21:58.200 device,

00:21:59.820 right?

00:22:00.720 So I've

00:22:01.860 always thought

00:22:02.280 to myself,

00:22:02.840 that must

00:22:03.300 be bullshit.

00:22:04.700 That must

00:22:05.160 be.

00:22:06.160 And I would

00:22:06.840 also say that

00:22:07.620 somebody could

00:22:08.340 be popular

00:22:09.500 when they're

00:22:10.040 not causing

00:22:10.680 trouble,

00:22:11.700 but could be

00:22:12.800 immediately

00:22:13.500 unpopular

00:22:14.340 when an

00:22:15.000 alternative is

00:22:16.000 presented.

00:22:16.380 You know

00:22:17.940 what I

00:22:18.140 mean?

00:22:18.920 Yeah,

00:22:19.380 we like

00:22:19.980 Putin because

00:22:20.600 basically we

00:22:21.320 don't have

00:22:21.640 any choice.

00:22:23.420 What is the

00:22:24.240 alternative to

00:22:24.920 Putin?

00:22:25.340 None.

00:22:26.240 So yeah,

00:22:26.940 the country's

00:22:27.880 doing okay,

00:22:28.440 we're doing

00:22:28.700 fine.

00:22:29.400 But then you

00:22:29.900 put him in

00:22:30.220 the context

00:22:30.740 of the

00:22:31.100 Ukraine war,

00:22:32.020 which can't

00:22:32.840 be that

00:22:33.180 popular.

00:22:33.880 I mean,

00:22:34.420 I'm sure

00:22:35.020 that he had

00:22:35.580 a lot of

00:22:36.240 patriotic

00:22:37.020 backing,

00:22:37.880 but it

00:22:38.100 can't be

00:22:38.380 that popular

00:22:38.960 because wars

00:22:39.560 are never

00:22:39.840 that popular.

00:22:41.560 And now

00:22:42.440 there's an

00:22:42.800 alternative.

00:22:44.240 There's an

00:22:44.800 alternative.

00:22:46.380 So once

00:22:47.580 there's an

00:22:47.920 alternative,

00:22:49.240 do those

00:22:49.960 pro-Putin

00:22:51.140 people just

00:22:51.680 say,

00:22:51.940 you know,

00:22:53.020 I liked

00:22:53.700 him a

00:22:54.000 little bit

00:22:54.480 when people

00:22:55.640 were watching.

00:22:56.960 But when

00:22:57.720 nobody's

00:22:58.180 watching and

00:23:00.060 there's this

00:23:00.540 alternative,

00:23:01.720 now I'm

00:23:02.580 going to

00:23:02.760 think about

00:23:03.140 it.

00:23:03.860 And I

00:23:04.180 think I'd

00:23:04.520 rather just

00:23:04.960 get out of

00:23:05.360 the way

00:23:05.700 than have

00:23:06.620 the Wagner

00:23:07.020 group slaughter

00:23:07.920 me for

00:23:08.860 nothing.

00:23:10.600 Imagine

00:23:11.120 you're the

00:23:11.620 soldier and

00:23:12.940 you're looking

00:23:14.060 at the Wagner

00:23:14.620 group coming

00:23:15.220 your way.

00:23:16.080 What's in

00:23:16.640 it for

00:23:16.880 you?

00:23:19.540 Oh,

00:23:19.820 John says

00:23:20.440 in all

00:23:21.280 capitals,

00:23:22.120 forget about

00:23:22.880 Putin or

00:23:23.400 Ukraine.

00:23:24.020 I love

00:23:24.400 the one

00:23:24.700 about Scott

00:23:25.220 being too

00:23:25.680 short or

00:23:26.100 to reproduce

00:23:26.660 biologically.

00:23:33.520 John,

00:23:34.720 John.

00:23:35.340 after all

00:23:40.540 that,

00:23:40.880 it didn't

00:23:41.260 stop him

00:23:41.780 from yelling

00:23:42.460 entire

00:23:43.100 chapters in

00:23:43.880 capital letters.

00:23:45.280 It didn't

00:23:45.560 even slow

00:23:45.940 him down.

00:23:47.900 John,

00:23:48.260 you're the

00:23:48.600 stupidest

00:23:49.260 man in

00:23:49.960 the entire

00:23:50.420 live stream

00:23:51.240 world.

00:23:52.720 But we hope

00:23:53.580 you come back

00:23:54.140 again because

00:23:54.720 you're a good

00:23:55.220 mascot.

00:23:56.340 So John's

00:23:56.860 my new

00:23:57.140 mascot.

00:23:58.720 Come on,

00:23:59.140 John.

00:24:00.240 Give us

00:24:00.600 another

00:24:00.880 all caps.

00:24:02.580 Show us

00:24:03.020 your stuff.

00:24:03.460 All right.

00:24:07.940 Then, of

00:24:08.600 course,

00:24:08.860 people are

00:24:09.200 saying that

00:24:09.600 the Russian

00:24:10.080 Civil War

00:24:10.660 is just

00:24:11.140 staged as

00:24:12.380 a distraction

00:24:13.020 from the

00:24:13.600 Hunter Biden

00:24:15.040 story.

00:24:17.200 Do you

00:24:17.800 think we're

00:24:18.100 trying too

00:24:18.620 hard?

00:24:21.900 Well,

00:24:22.480 it is a

00:24:23.300 distraction.

00:24:24.120 I mean,

00:24:24.720 certainly it

00:24:25.320 is one.

00:24:26.560 But do you

00:24:27.280 think that

00:24:27.640 the CIA

00:24:28.400 just decided

00:24:30.260 this was the

00:24:30.860 right timing

00:24:31.360 for it,

00:24:32.360 to kill

00:24:32.960 that story?

00:24:34.260 You do?

00:24:35.580 You think

00:24:36.280 they timed

00:24:37.320 it to bury

00:24:38.120 the Hunter

00:24:38.540 Biden thing?

00:24:39.560 You think

00:24:40.280 that Purgosian

00:24:41.180 is on a

00:24:42.820 Hunter Biden

00:24:43.420 schedule?

00:24:46.040 Maybe.

00:24:47.480 Maybe.

00:24:49.220 You know,

00:24:49.780 honestly,

00:24:50.600 I can't say

00:24:51.720 that I could

00:24:52.360 debunk that.

00:24:54.700 John's back

00:24:55.440 at it.

00:24:56.020 The mascot.

00:24:57.400 Everybody.

00:24:58.380 Slow clap

00:24:58.980 for the mascot.

00:24:59.560 The mascot.

00:24:59.700 All right.

00:25:07.540 Well,

00:25:08.220 there is a

00:25:09.020 larger effort

00:25:09.620 to make us

00:25:10.520 forget about

00:25:11.000 the Hunter

00:25:11.360 Biden story.

00:25:12.120 I guess

00:25:12.320 Jonathan Turley

00:25:14.320 is writing

00:25:14.880 that Senator

00:25:16.720 Claire McCaskill,

00:25:17.940 Democrat,

00:25:18.860 she went on

00:25:19.340 MSNBC and

00:25:20.740 she was

00:25:22.220 warning everyone

00:25:22.920 to stop

00:25:23.580 looking into

00:25:24.080 that story.

00:25:26.180 And apparently

00:25:26.660 other Democrats

00:25:27.500 are talking to

00:25:28.340 people and

00:25:29.020 saying,

00:25:30.080 stop reporting

00:25:31.100 that story.

00:25:32.220 So there is

00:25:32.980 actually a

00:25:34.180 legitimate effort

00:25:35.680 to tell the

00:25:36.920 news to stop

00:25:37.640 reporting it.

00:25:40.300 I don't know.

00:25:40.980 Do you think

00:25:41.800 the Democrats

00:25:42.320 are powerful

00:25:42.880 enough to

00:25:43.500 spark the

00:25:44.780 exact day

00:25:46.180 of a war,

00:25:47.000 a civil war

00:25:47.720 in Russia?

00:25:48.640 They can pick

00:25:49.140 the day?

00:25:52.300 I don't think

00:25:53.120 they can pick

00:25:53.580 the day.

00:25:55.140 Maybe they

00:25:55.660 can.

00:25:56.420 Maybe they

00:25:56.880 can.

00:25:57.240 I won't

00:25:57.540 rule it

00:25:57.900 out.

00:25:58.540 Let's say

00:25:58.860 I won't

00:25:59.160 rule it

00:25:59.500 out,

00:25:59.740 but I'd

00:26:00.000 bet against

00:26:00.540 it.

00:26:01.160 I just

00:26:01.480 wouldn't

00:26:01.780 rule it

00:26:02.160 out.

00:26:04.940 All right.

00:26:07.880 Then the

00:26:08.480 other funny

00:26:08.940 thing is

00:26:09.660 we're getting

00:26:10.680 the,

00:26:11.380 here come

00:26:11.720 the right

00:26:12.080 wingers

00:26:12.520 blaming the

00:26:13.180 CIA.

00:26:14.500 So I saw

00:26:15.240 that a few

00:26:15.680 times and

00:26:16.780 they were

00:26:17.000 usually referring

00:26:17.620 to me.

00:26:18.400 Here they

00:26:18.800 come.

00:26:19.400 Oh yeah,

00:26:19.740 the right

00:26:20.080 wingers

00:26:20.500 are going

00:26:20.700 to blame

00:26:21.060 the CIA.

00:26:22.240 To which I

00:26:23.020 say,

00:26:23.680 do you know

00:26:24.840 what their

00:26:25.120 job is?

00:26:25.820 This is

00:26:27.740 literally

00:26:28.120 their job.

00:26:29.540 I will

00:26:30.000 blame the

00:26:30.480 CIA if

00:26:31.420 they didn't

00:26:31.860 do it.

00:26:33.620 I'm going to

00:26:34.360 blame the CIA

00:26:35.100 if they had

00:26:35.600 nothing to do

00:26:36.240 with it.

00:26:36.600 I'd say,

00:26:37.100 why do we

00:26:37.500 have a CIA?

00:26:38.140 this is

00:26:39.480 exactly their

00:26:40.240 job.

00:26:41.420 This is not

00:26:42.040 like tangential

00:26:43.520 to their

00:26:43.940 job.

00:26:44.620 It's not

00:26:45.320 something they

00:26:45.940 also do.

00:26:47.500 This is their

00:26:48.260 fucking job.

00:26:49.900 If they

00:26:50.340 didn't do

00:26:50.980 this,

00:26:51.940 I have real

00:26:53.340 problems with

00:26:53.920 the CIA.

00:26:54.900 Of course

00:26:55.400 they did.

00:26:56.440 Of course

00:26:57.240 they did.

00:26:58.720 Do you

00:26:59.060 really need

00:26:59.640 proof?

00:27:00.820 Now,

00:27:01.200 I realize

00:27:01.660 we're in the

00:27:02.060 fog of war,

00:27:02.980 so anything's

00:27:03.600 possible,

00:27:04.100 right?

00:27:04.500 Could be

00:27:04.860 wrong about

00:27:05.300 anything.

00:27:05.680 But do

00:27:07.380 you really

00:27:07.820 think the

00:27:08.220 CIA had

00:27:08.860 nothing to

00:27:09.440 do with

00:27:09.720 this?

00:27:10.220 Nothing?

00:27:11.520 They didn't

00:27:12.220 talk to him

00:27:12.740 and say,

00:27:13.160 you know,

00:27:13.960 Putin's not

00:27:14.540 really your

00:27:15.000 friend.

00:27:15.820 You don't

00:27:16.140 think they

00:27:16.500 dropped that

00:27:17.020 bug in his

00:27:17.540 ear at all?

00:27:19.060 If they

00:27:19.680 didn't,

00:27:20.260 they're fired.

00:27:21.040 They're all

00:27:21.400 fired.

00:27:22.460 They better

00:27:23.100 do that.

00:27:25.020 But the

00:27:25.580 most important

00:27:26.160 question,

00:27:26.760 I think you'd

00:27:27.280 agree the

00:27:27.640 most important

00:27:28.340 question about

00:27:29.000 the civil

00:27:29.980 war in

00:27:30.500 Russia is,

00:27:32.680 can you

00:27:33.060 tell?

00:27:33.360 Right,

00:27:33.840 exactly.

00:27:34.320 The most

00:27:34.600 important

00:27:34.900 question is,

00:27:35.680 how does

00:27:36.240 this affect

00:27:36.980 Trump and

00:27:38.080 is it his

00:27:38.620 fault?

00:27:40.020 I mean,

00:27:40.340 ultimately,

00:27:40.840 that's the

00:27:41.240 only question

00:27:41.700 we're going

00:27:42.040 to care

00:27:42.300 about.

00:27:43.460 And here's

00:27:44.040 my take

00:27:44.500 on it,

00:27:45.460 to be

00:27:47.400 revised later

00:27:48.220 maybe.

00:27:49.040 My current

00:27:49.600 take is that

00:27:51.140 this is good

00:27:51.720 for Trump.

00:27:54.340 Here's how.

00:27:56.160 The Democrats

00:27:57.180 have been trying

00:27:57.720 to sell to

00:27:58.300 the American

00:27:58.760 public for a

00:27:59.540 few years

00:28:00.000 now that

00:28:01.020 January 6th

00:28:01.980 was a coup.

00:28:03.100 And most

00:28:06.480 Democrats

00:28:06.980 actually believed

00:28:07.720 it.

00:28:09.180 They thought

00:28:09.860 that's what

00:28:10.260 a coup

00:28:10.620 looks like.

00:28:13.020 This is

00:28:13.960 a coup.

00:28:15.120 If you want

00:28:15.840 to know

00:28:16.040 what a coup

00:28:16.480 looks like,

00:28:17.840 it looks

00:28:18.240 like this.

00:28:19.580 So I think

00:28:20.160 that the

00:28:20.560 January 6th

00:28:21.420 narrative will,

00:28:23.160 without any

00:28:23.800 attention whatsoever,

00:28:25.120 nobody will have

00:28:25.640 to say anything

00:28:26.280 about it,

00:28:26.840 nobody will have

00:28:27.340 to point out

00:28:27.860 what I'm

00:28:28.180 pointing out,

00:28:28.720 it just

00:28:29.880 dies by

00:28:30.800 comparison.

00:28:32.500 You can't

00:28:33.440 hold in your

00:28:33.880 head that

00:28:34.220 January 6th

00:28:34.940 is an

00:28:35.260 insurrection,

00:28:36.640 watch the

00:28:37.360 Russian Civil

00:28:38.080 War,

00:28:39.120 and then tell

00:28:39.660 yourself that

00:28:40.220 January 6th

00:28:40.900 was important

00:28:41.580 as it used

00:28:42.340 to be,

00:28:43.320 in your

00:28:43.680 head.

00:28:44.740 So the

00:28:45.380 comparison

00:28:46.100 problem,

00:28:47.200 our brains

00:28:48.080 are just

00:28:48.360 natural

00:28:48.820 comparing

00:28:49.300 things,

00:28:50.180 so we're

00:28:50.520 always

00:28:50.740 comparing.

00:28:51.500 You can't

00:28:52.080 turn off

00:28:52.420 comparisons.

00:28:54.020 But the

00:28:54.640 January 6th

00:28:55.340 thing didn't

00:28:55.740 have an

00:28:56.120 obvious,

00:28:56.780 immediate,

00:28:57.160 happened

00:28:58.940 recently

00:28:59.560 comparison.

00:29:01.140 So it

00:29:01.440 just could

00:29:01.800 sit out

00:29:02.260 there alone

00:29:02.900 and then

00:29:03.980 the Democrats

00:29:04.760 could wrap

00:29:05.300 it with

00:29:05.580 their narrative

00:29:06.040 and it

00:29:06.460 was impenetrable

00:29:07.200 to Democrats.

00:29:09.340 But every

00:29:10.560 Democrat

00:29:11.040 is now

00:29:12.360 aware that

00:29:12.920 there's a

00:29:13.360 real coup

00:29:13.860 going on

00:29:14.380 in Russia

00:29:14.760 and now

00:29:15.700 their brain

00:29:16.200 is going

00:29:16.500 to go,

00:29:17.120 okay,

00:29:17.520 that's

00:29:17.900 what a

00:29:18.180 coup is?

00:29:19.180 A coup

00:29:19.600 looks like

00:29:20.100 tanks and

00:29:20.900 guns and

00:29:21.540 people shooting

00:29:22.700 each other?

00:29:24.020 Well,

00:29:24.260 what was

00:29:24.560 January 6th?

00:29:25.960 That looked

00:29:26.360 like more

00:29:26.740 of a

00:29:26.980 tourist

00:29:27.280 event,

00:29:28.240 with

00:29:28.600 violence,

00:29:29.120 of course.

00:29:31.020 In case

00:29:31.940 there are

00:29:32.100 any dumb

00:29:32.440 people who

00:29:32.920 snuck in,

00:29:34.360 yes,

00:29:34.800 we do

00:29:35.260 know there

00:29:35.600 was violence

00:29:36.220 on January

00:29:37.200 6th and

00:29:38.360 there's not

00:29:38.900 a single

00:29:39.420 person who

00:29:39.940 approves of

00:29:40.460 it.

00:29:40.980 Not a

00:29:41.460 single

00:29:41.780 person.

00:29:42.700 Well,

00:29:43.520 not in

00:29:44.080 play company

00:29:44.620 anyway.

00:29:46.200 All right.

00:29:47.600 So,

00:29:48.120 anyway,

00:29:50.960 so Putin

00:29:51.520 gave his

00:29:51.920 speech.

00:29:52.580 It was

00:29:52.840 exactly what

00:29:53.480 you thought.

00:29:53.940 Progrosian

00:29:57.120 must be

00:29:57.540 stopped.

00:29:59.680 I love

00:30:00.400 the story

00:30:00.840 from

00:30:01.140 Progrosian

00:30:01.660 that he's

00:30:02.200 just trying

00:30:02.620 to help

00:30:02.980 Putin by

00:30:04.300 getting the

00:30:05.520 truth to

00:30:07.920 him about

00:30:08.640 how bad

00:30:09.140 his generals

00:30:09.600 are.

00:30:11.660 Now,

00:30:12.040 what is

00:30:12.540 brilliant about

00:30:13.140 that?

00:30:13.700 You know

00:30:13.920 what's

00:30:14.060 brilliant about

00:30:14.620 that?

00:30:15.540 What's

00:30:16.120 brilliant about

00:30:16.720 it is that

00:30:17.660 it gives

00:30:19.740 the Russian

00:30:20.780 military a

00:30:22.300 reason to

00:30:22.860 stand down

00:30:23.580 because they're

00:30:25.960 like,

00:30:26.300 wait,

00:30:26.920 oh,

00:30:27.160 you're not

00:30:27.420 even on

00:30:27.780 our other

00:30:28.120 side,

00:30:28.400 you're on

00:30:28.640 our side.

00:30:29.540 Oh,

00:30:29.800 I get it.

00:30:30.780 You're on

00:30:31.180 our side,

00:30:31.800 the military,

00:30:33.140 and you're

00:30:33.680 against the

00:30:34.180 generals who

00:30:34.880 are screwing

00:30:35.940 us in the

00:30:36.480 military.

00:30:36.920 So you're

00:30:37.220 basically like

00:30:37.860 the soldiers.

00:30:39.320 So he's

00:30:39.780 basically taken

00:30:40.660 this narrative,

00:30:42.340 which,

00:30:42.800 you know,

00:30:43.020 I assume is

00:30:43.540 mostly bullshit,

00:30:45.000 but it's a

00:30:45.540 narrative that's

00:30:46.220 just really,

00:30:47.040 really good for

00:30:47.620 getting people

00:30:48.900 to surrender

00:30:49.520 or join

00:30:51.100 your side.

00:30:51.780 Better than

00:30:52.300 surrender,

00:30:52.780 join your

00:30:53.160 side.

00:30:53.980 So he's

00:30:54.360 basically,

00:30:54.980 he's created

00:30:55.560 an enemy

00:30:56.100 that's not

00:30:56.660 Putin,

00:30:58.320 and then it

00:30:59.940 gives people a

00:31:00.600 reason to say,

00:31:01.200 all right,

00:31:01.740 all right,

00:31:02.020 this is just a

00:31:02.700 general-to-general

00:31:03.580 issue.

00:31:04.460 This is not

00:31:05.220 even about the

00:31:05.980 country,

00:31:06.460 it's not about

00:31:06.900 the military,

00:31:07.800 it's just a

00:31:08.480 squabble among

00:31:09.140 the generals.

00:31:10.540 So let me stay

00:31:11.500 out of it,

00:31:12.000 and you generals

00:31:12.560 can work it out.

00:31:13.720 It gives them a

00:31:14.680 really,

00:31:15.140 really,

00:31:15.660 really good

00:31:16.360 reason for

00:31:17.420 standing down.

00:31:19.060 But it's

00:31:20.420 also obvious

00:31:21.240 bullshit.

00:31:21.980 He's clearly

00:31:22.700 going for the

00:31:23.280 top spot,

00:31:24.340 in my opinion.

00:31:25.680 Of course,

00:31:26.600 everything is

00:31:27.280 fog of war,

00:31:28.160 so you never

00:31:28.520 know.

00:31:29.420 But it looks

00:31:30.100 like he's going

00:31:30.520 for the top

00:31:30.960 spot,

00:31:31.420 but he's got

00:31:31.820 that really

00:31:32.260 good narrative

00:31:33.120 to get him

00:31:33.740 there.

00:31:34.360 Now,

00:31:34.600 what should

00:31:35.000 happen next

00:31:35.860 is you should

00:31:37.140 see the Russian

00:31:38.020 military,

00:31:38.920 with Putin's

00:31:39.820 instructions,

00:31:41.120 putting some

00:31:42.280 violence on the

00:31:43.040 Wagner group.

00:31:44.440 Once the

00:31:45.100 violence starts,

00:31:46.580 then Wagner can

00:31:47.340 say,

00:31:48.100 my God,

00:31:48.720 I was just

00:31:49.240 trying to help

00:31:49.980 Putin,

00:31:50.940 but now he's

00:31:51.660 turned on us,

00:31:52.440 and turned on the

00:31:53.060 military,

00:31:53.620 and turned on the

00:31:54.240 country.

00:31:55.100 My God,

00:31:55.660 I thought he was

00:31:56.240 a patriot.

00:31:56.800 I was really

00:31:57.280 trying to help

00:31:57.900 him.

00:31:58.340 I gave him all

00:31:59.200 the consideration

00:31:59.780 I could.

00:32:00.740 I was risking my

00:32:01.800 life to help

00:32:02.340 Putin,

00:32:02.700 but now he's

00:32:03.260 attacking me.

00:32:04.300 What can I do?

00:32:05.760 What can I do?

00:32:07.140 I'm just going to

00:32:08.080 have to take him

00:32:09.320 out for the benefit

00:32:10.080 of the country.

00:32:11.200 So he's got this

00:32:12.240 perfect,

00:32:13.380 perfect narrative,

00:32:16.360 but he couldn't

00:32:17.860 leave the front lines

00:32:18.960 until he did

00:32:19.700 what?

00:32:21.280 Could not leave

00:32:22.300 the front line

00:32:23.100 to attack

00:32:23.620 Moscow until

00:32:24.580 he did

00:32:25.180 what?

00:32:27.540 He had to

00:32:28.460 say the war

00:32:29.220 wasn't worth

00:32:29.860 fighting.

00:32:32.120 He had to

00:32:33.200 change the

00:32:33.720 narrative about

00:32:34.400 why the war

00:32:35.060 was happening,

00:32:36.000 because if the

00:32:37.000 war was important,

00:32:37.900 he needed to be

00:32:38.560 there.

00:32:39.620 He had to say

00:32:40.280 the war was

00:32:40.840 never important

00:32:41.640 in order to

00:32:42.700 degrade Putin

00:32:44.400 and have a

00:32:45.740 reason to

00:32:46.300 take him

00:32:46.740 out.

00:32:48.160 So as

00:32:49.460 coups go,

00:32:50.620 I've never

00:32:51.380 seen a

00:32:52.040 smarter coup.

00:32:54.160 I've got to

00:32:54.760 tell you,

00:32:55.080 I didn't know

00:32:55.620 if Progrosian

00:32:57.060 was really

00:32:58.880 smart,

00:33:00.140 or if he

00:33:00.600 just got

00:33:01.120 where he is

00:33:01.700 because of

00:33:02.140 his connections

00:33:02.820 or what.

00:33:06.980 But it's

00:33:07.880 starting to

00:33:08.360 look like he's

00:33:09.040 really smart,

00:33:10.220 or he's got

00:33:10.720 some really

00:33:11.100 smart help,

00:33:11.800 but the

00:33:13.320 situation that

00:33:15.120 he created

00:33:15.700 to do this

00:33:16.420 coup,

00:33:17.380 it looks

00:33:17.940 really well

00:33:18.880 done.

00:33:20.120 Now the

00:33:20.500 big question

00:33:21.140 that will

00:33:22.120 determine,

00:33:22.700 I think,

00:33:23.160 totally determine

00:33:23.980 whether he

00:33:24.500 succeeds or

00:33:25.060 not,

00:33:25.720 is how many

00:33:26.620 of the

00:33:27.400 Russian leaders

00:33:28.700 decide to

00:33:30.220 go with

00:33:30.640 him.

00:33:32.440 And I

00:33:33.160 would think

00:33:33.560 that there

00:33:33.880 would be a

00:33:34.200 lot of

00:33:34.480 them who

00:33:35.520 maybe their

00:33:37.100 careers aren't

00:33:38.600 doing so well

00:33:39.260 under Putin.

00:33:40.600 There's probably

00:33:41.040 a lot of

00:33:41.420 people who

00:33:41.760 think maybe

00:33:43.400 they could

00:33:43.760 get a raise

00:33:44.360 if they

00:33:44.680 backed the

00:33:45.500 Wagner guy.

00:33:47.060 So there

00:33:47.800 should be a

00:33:48.220 whole bunch

00:33:48.580 of selfish,

00:33:49.740 risk-taking

00:33:50.700 Russians who

00:33:51.920 are willing

00:33:52.320 to take a

00:33:53.820 risk on the

00:33:54.500 new guy,

00:33:55.400 because the

00:33:55.820 new guy is

00:33:56.260 going to

00:33:56.500 reward them

00:33:57.080 handsomely

00:33:57.600 if they're

00:33:58.960 loyal to him

00:33:59.620 early on.

00:34:05.860 So it's

00:34:08.400 looking like

00:34:09.080 Pergosian might

00:34:10.500 be a bit

00:34:11.280 of a genius

00:34:11.900 strategically.

00:34:13.560 I haven't

00:34:14.240 heard anything

00:34:14.760 bad about him

00:34:15.480 strategically since

00:34:16.680 the beginning

00:34:17.040 of the war.

00:34:18.600 Or he has

00:34:19.260 good help.

00:34:19.900 It's hard to

00:34:20.320 say.

00:34:21.320 All right,

00:34:21.580 let's calculate

00:34:22.360 the odds of

00:34:27.140 Wagner winning.

00:34:29.140 Number one,

00:34:30.040 so these are

00:34:30.420 just facts we

00:34:31.260 know.

00:34:32.140 In theory,

00:34:33.360 Russia's best

00:34:34.100 fighters should

00:34:34.840 be pinned

00:34:35.380 down in

00:34:36.160 Ukraine,

00:34:36.960 or will be

00:34:37.460 up against

00:34:38.020 Russia's win.

00:34:40.500 should determine

00:34:41.640 the outcome.

00:34:45.060 25,000

00:34:46.200 Wagner guys,

00:34:47.940 they are

00:34:49.240 almost entirely

00:34:50.320 dependent on

00:34:51.780 people changing

00:34:52.460 sides.

00:34:53.200 Would you

00:34:53.540 agree?

00:34:54.820 That Wagner is

00:34:55.620 completely dependent

00:34:56.760 on the Russians

00:34:58.080 changing sides.

00:34:59.020 Otherwise, he

00:34:59.480 doesn't have a

00:34:59.880 chance.

00:35:00.940 But he just

00:35:02.040 took over a

00:35:02.860 major military

00:35:03.700 town.

00:35:06.240 What was it?

00:35:07.180 What's the name

00:35:07.980 of the city

00:35:08.620 he just

00:35:09.020 occupied?

00:35:10.100 He took it

00:35:10.840 without a

00:35:11.200 shot, Rostov.

00:35:12.200 He took

00:35:12.760 Rostov without

00:35:13.480 firing a shot.

00:35:15.760 Do you think

00:35:16.520 that's not

00:35:17.220 going to happen

00:35:17.660 in other

00:35:17.980 places?

00:35:20.480 Rostov-Andan,

00:35:21.600 R-O-D, I

00:35:22.240 guess.

00:35:23.540 They call it

00:35:24.040 R-O-D,

00:35:24.860 Rostov-Andan.

00:35:27.000 Well, so, I

00:35:29.760 don't know, I

00:35:30.060 think that's an

00:35:30.640 indication that

00:35:31.480 there might be a

00:35:32.200 willingness to

00:35:33.000 change sides.

00:35:34.360 We'll see if

00:35:34.820 that goes to,

00:35:35.680 I mean, Moscow

00:35:36.280 would be its own

00:35:37.000 situation.

00:35:38.040 Probably there's

00:35:38.800 nothing in the

00:35:39.320 country that's

00:35:39.880 like Moscow in

00:35:41.460 terms of

00:35:41.880 defensive stuff.

00:35:43.920 All right.

00:35:45.500 There's no

00:35:46.200 reason for any

00:35:46.940 soldier to fight

00:35:47.720 Wagner.

00:35:49.180 What would be

00:35:49.960 their reason?

00:35:51.760 They wouldn't be

00:35:52.660 fighting for the

00:35:53.220 country.

00:35:54.520 They would be

00:35:55.060 fighting for what?

00:35:56.060 Putin?

00:35:58.200 Because the

00:35:59.040 soldier's still

00:35:59.660 going to have a

00:36:00.400 boss when it's

00:36:01.560 done, and it's

00:36:02.580 going to be a

00:36:03.040 Russian, and it's

00:36:04.380 going to be some

00:36:05.080 lying weasel

00:36:06.980 strongman, do

00:36:10.000 they really

00:36:10.460 care?

00:36:11.680 I mean, I

00:36:12.040 don't see any

00:36:12.680 Russian soldier

00:36:13.420 actually caring if

00:36:14.820 it's Putin or

00:36:15.460 this guy.

00:36:16.600 I mean, they

00:36:17.040 might care, like,

00:36:17.720 politically, but

00:36:19.260 not in a way they

00:36:19.960 want to kill

00:36:20.460 themselves over it.

00:36:25.320 Would, I see

00:36:26.720 the comment there,

00:36:27.520 would Putin use

00:36:29.340 nukes against

00:36:30.800 Wagner?

00:36:32.780 Well, anything's

00:36:35.200 possible.

00:36:35.600 But to me, if

00:36:38.540 you unleash a

00:36:39.860 nuke in your

00:36:40.420 own country,

00:36:42.480 your butler

00:36:43.500 puts a bullet

00:36:44.100 in your head,

00:36:45.620 I think.

00:36:46.560 I mean, I'm

00:36:47.020 exaggerating.

00:36:48.060 But I think

00:36:48.760 Putin would be

00:36:49.620 assassinated the

00:36:50.560 minute that went

00:36:51.180 off.

00:36:52.320 Because I don't

00:36:52.960 think you can

00:36:53.520 set off a

00:36:54.080 nuclear weapon in

00:36:55.100 your own

00:36:55.520 fucking country.

00:36:57.660 Right?

00:36:58.080 I just think that

00:36:59.720 the brain can't

00:37:00.620 go there.

00:37:02.280 I just can't

00:37:04.220 imagine it.

00:37:05.540 Even to save

00:37:07.100 his own life, I

00:37:08.740 just don't think

00:37:09.580 he does the

00:37:10.140 nuke in his

00:37:10.640 own country.

00:37:11.920 Even a

00:37:12.900 battlefield, you

00:37:13.720 know, smaller

00:37:14.140 tactical one.

00:37:15.900 But there is

00:37:17.860 the question of

00:37:18.540 whether the

00:37:19.080 local commanders

00:37:20.060 have authority

00:37:21.800 to use them

00:37:22.280 on their own.

00:37:23.680 So certainly

00:37:24.820 it could happen.

00:37:25.400 I would say

00:37:27.240 that the odds

00:37:27.860 of it happening

00:37:28.340 are low.

00:37:30.660 10%

00:37:31.420 situation.

00:37:33.600 But I could

00:37:34.300 be wrong.

00:37:36.520 John does not

00:37:37.400 give up.

00:37:37.840 I've got the

00:37:38.260 best mascot.

00:37:40.800 Keep it up,

00:37:41.320 John.

00:37:43.440 And now Elvis

00:37:44.340 is joined with

00:37:45.160 all caps.

00:37:46.040 Jason, all

00:37:46.660 caps.

00:37:47.900 All right.

00:37:51.680 Nobody read the

00:37:52.700 all caps ones,

00:37:53.580 okay?

00:37:53.760 Oh, for today,

00:37:56.160 do me a favor.

00:37:58.220 Just don't read

00:37:59.060 any of the

00:37:59.700 comments that

00:38:00.260 have all caps.

00:38:01.980 All right.

00:38:02.220 Read the other

00:38:02.720 ones, but just

00:38:03.260 don't read any

00:38:03.900 of the all caps

00:38:04.500 comments.

00:38:08.120 Oh, look.

00:38:08.880 All the all caps

00:38:09.580 stopped.

00:38:12.360 All right.

00:38:16.220 Reason number

00:38:16.860 three is that

00:38:17.480 Putin's popularity

00:38:18.380 might be

00:38:18.840 exaggerated.

00:38:20.080 I'm just not so

00:38:21.040 sure people are

00:38:21.620 going to die for

00:38:22.180 Putin.

00:38:22.460 Pogosian controls

00:38:26.700 the narrative.

00:38:27.720 He's got the

00:38:28.160 best story by

00:38:29.760 far.

00:38:30.940 But I saw

00:38:32.080 this idea from

00:38:33.280 David D., who

00:38:34.640 is my favorite

00:38:35.440 follow on all

00:38:36.520 things Ukraine

00:38:37.320 and Russian.

00:38:39.960 And he points

00:38:41.020 out that one

00:38:43.100 of Putin's

00:38:43.680 biggest exposures,

00:38:45.500 his biggest

00:38:45.880 weakness, is

00:38:47.360 that the

00:38:48.080 generals have

00:38:49.460 been lying to

00:38:50.120 him about

00:38:50.680 Russian losses

00:38:51.580 and that

00:38:53.340 there should

00:38:53.840 be documents

00:38:54.640 that Pogosian

00:38:55.580 might have

00:38:56.080 access to by

00:38:56.880 now that

00:38:58.160 could show

00:38:58.640 Putin that

00:38:59.420 the generals

00:38:59.920 always knew

00:39:00.500 they were

00:39:00.800 lying to him

00:39:01.440 by a factor

00:39:02.040 of four.

00:39:04.240 Imagine the

00:39:04.980 Russian public

00:39:07.540 finding out that

00:39:08.560 the military

00:39:09.320 had lied to

00:39:10.720 Putin and to

00:39:11.460 the country

00:39:11.980 about Russian

00:39:13.400 casualties by

00:39:15.040 a factor of

00:39:15.820 four.

00:39:16.140 there's some

00:39:19.800 thinking that

00:39:20.340 that would be

00:39:20.720 the end of

00:39:21.140 Putin.

00:39:22.280 But I don't

00:39:22.840 think so.

00:39:23.600 I think

00:39:24.140 misinformation

00:39:24.660 doesn't take

00:39:25.520 down a

00:39:25.860 dictator.

00:39:26.980 I think

00:39:27.360 people are

00:39:27.700 just so

00:39:28.000 used to

00:39:28.360 it.

00:39:29.340 They don't

00:39:29.940 really believe

00:39:30.860 any

00:39:31.320 misinformation.

00:39:33.580 All right.

00:39:34.760 Let's start

00:39:35.280 just blocking

00:39:35.840 all the

00:39:37.200 caps,

00:39:37.540 people.

00:39:40.780 Hide that

00:39:41.560 user.

00:39:42.260 Goodbye.

00:39:42.580 Goodbye.

00:39:44.080 I'm just

00:39:44.400 going to hide

00:39:44.760 it for a few

00:39:45.580 more users

00:39:46.200 because there's

00:39:46.860 an extra

00:39:47.900 number of

00:39:48.460 assholes

00:39:48.800 today.

00:39:50.020 Just want

00:39:50.380 to get rid

00:39:50.700 of them.

00:39:51.300 There we

00:39:51.540 go.

00:39:52.640 Boink.

00:39:53.460 Hide user

00:39:54.020 on channel.

00:39:54.900 I'm just

00:39:55.240 getting rid

00:39:55.560 of the

00:39:55.760 caps,

00:39:56.080 people.

00:39:57.540 All caps,

00:39:58.160 anybody?

00:39:59.640 All caps,

00:40:00.440 want to say

00:40:00.760 goodbye?

00:40:02.060 Say goodbye.

00:40:04.200 Come on,

00:40:04.700 John.

00:40:05.140 I know you're

00:40:05.680 there.

00:40:06.880 Come on,

00:40:07.300 John.

00:40:07.940 Come on,

00:40:08.300 John.

00:40:09.040 John?

00:40:09.840 Elvis?

00:40:10.640 John?

00:40:11.100 Come on.

00:40:11.960 Come on.

00:40:12.620 Come on.

00:40:13.720 Let's go.

00:40:14.620 Finger is

00:40:15.140 ready.

00:40:16.200 My finger is

00:40:16.860 ready.

00:40:17.920 One capital

00:40:18.660 letter and

00:40:19.120 you're gone.

00:40:20.260 There we

00:40:20.500 go.

00:40:22.960 Goodbye.

00:40:28.840 Next.

00:40:29.940 Next.

00:40:30.540 Come on.

00:40:32.520 All right.

00:40:33.720 John's in

00:40:34.280 hiding.

00:40:36.960 The next

00:40:37.720 reason that

00:40:38.480 Wagner might

00:40:39.400 succeed is

00:40:41.540 that,

00:40:41.920 do you

00:40:42.920 believe that

00:40:43.700 Progrosian

00:40:44.460 would have

00:40:44.800 made a

00:40:45.140 move on

00:40:45.560 Moscow

00:40:45.980 without

00:40:47.000 having a

00:40:47.660 reasonable

00:40:48.060 plan for

00:40:48.840 success?

00:40:50.380 Does that

00:40:50.800 sound like

00:40:51.180 something he

00:40:51.640 would do?

00:40:52.540 That he

00:40:53.100 would stage

00:40:53.580 a civil

00:40:54.040 war

00:40:54.500 without

00:40:57.840 a plan?

00:41:00.460 You're

00:41:03.280 saying I

00:41:03.620 love you

00:41:03.980 in all

00:41:04.260 caps and

00:41:05.000 I'm

00:41:05.160 deleting

00:41:05.500 you.

00:41:07.800 Hey,

00:41:08.280 I'm

00:41:08.520 consistent

00:41:09.100 at least.

00:41:12.140 Well,

00:41:13.540 here's what I

00:41:14.520 think.

00:41:14.880 I think that

00:41:15.740 Progrosian must

00:41:16.940 have talked to

00:41:17.780 enough people in

00:41:19.000 the military and

00:41:20.080 the government,

00:41:20.580 and there must be

00:41:22.220 enough people who

00:41:23.000 are willing to

00:41:23.540 back him that

00:41:24.120 that's the reason

00:41:25.540 he went.

00:41:25.880 Do you

00:41:27.380 think that

00:41:27.680 that makes

00:41:28.000 sense?

00:41:29.440 Do you

00:41:29.700 think it

00:41:29.940 makes sense

00:41:30.480 that,

00:41:32.260 there we

00:41:33.300 go,

00:41:35.140 we're getting

00:41:35.600 the

00:41:35.860 Adams people

00:41:36.840 who fell for

00:41:37.480 the 4chan

00:41:38.280 hoax about

00:41:38.820 me.

00:41:39.620 Sorry,

00:41:40.100 you fell for

00:41:40.540 the 4chan

00:41:41.140 hoax.

00:41:46.400 All right.

00:41:47.800 I think

00:41:48.380 Progrosian

00:41:49.040 probably has

00:41:49.760 enough people

00:41:50.560 on his side

00:41:51.140 that he knew

00:41:51.740 that he had

00:41:52.420 a chance.

00:41:53.620 But there's

00:41:54.640 one thing I

00:41:55.140 haven't seen

00:41:55.500 anybody

00:41:55.760 talked about

00:41:56.300 yet.

00:41:56.920 The Wagner

00:41:57.640 Group does

00:41:58.300 have a secret

00:41:58.900 weapon.

00:42:00.420 Now,

00:42:01.020 it's fog of

00:42:01.600 war,

00:42:02.820 so we don't

00:42:03.320 know for sure,

00:42:04.700 but there are

00:42:06.040 reports that

00:42:07.540 the Wagner

00:42:08.040 Group,

00:42:09.580 and I know

00:42:10.500 this is pretty

00:42:11.000 serious stuff,

00:42:12.260 but they may

00:42:13.180 have bison

00:42:13.960 hats.

00:42:16.420 They might

00:42:17.300 have actually

00:42:17.980 bison hats.

00:42:20.300 Goodbye,

00:42:20.940 John.

00:42:22.040 I knew you

00:42:22.580 couldn't resist.

00:42:24.280 He's gone.

00:42:25.060 Elvis,

00:42:26.980 where are you?

00:42:29.040 Felix,

00:42:29.600 you're gone.

00:42:32.900 All right.

00:42:34.780 Yeah,

00:42:35.260 I think the

00:42:35.600 bison hats

00:42:36.200 are the

00:42:36.880 thing that's

00:42:38.540 going to

00:42:38.880 make the

00:42:39.600 difference.

00:42:40.680 All right,

00:42:40.940 well,

00:42:41.100 we'll keep

00:42:41.420 an eye on

00:42:41.860 that.

00:42:42.180 But,

00:42:42.300 I saw a

00:42:45.880 funny,

00:42:46.840 sexist meme

00:42:48.420 from Elon

00:42:49.840 Musk.

00:42:50.800 I don't know

00:42:51.160 if you saw

00:42:51.520 the meme.

00:42:52.420 It was like

00:42:53.020 the women

00:42:54.820 going to

00:42:55.320 sleep and

00:42:55.760 the men

00:42:56.060 staying up

00:42:56.560 all night

00:42:56.940 listening to

00:42:57.520 the war.

00:43:01.440 Goodbye,

00:43:02.140 mascot.

00:43:02.460 I thought

00:43:06.300 to myself,

00:43:06.840 I'm so

00:43:07.360 sleepy today

00:43:08.160 because I

00:43:08.560 stayed up

00:43:08.980 hours listening

00:43:09.740 to the

00:43:10.280 spaces and

00:43:11.940 then I

00:43:12.180 woke up

00:43:12.560 early listening

00:43:13.180 to it.

00:43:14.820 Now,

00:43:15.900 to be

00:43:16.300 fair,

00:43:17.540 there were

00:43:17.940 quite a few

00:43:18.500 women who

00:43:19.000 were also

00:43:19.360 on the

00:43:19.660 spaces.

00:43:21.620 Marcella

00:43:22.100 was up

00:43:23.400 late,

00:43:24.280 a number

00:43:24.640 of people

00:43:24.980 who follow

00:43:25.340 the news.

00:43:26.060 So,

00:43:26.380 of course,

00:43:26.740 it's not

00:43:27.040 one of

00:43:27.240 those 100%

00:43:27.900 things,

00:43:28.360 but let's

00:43:30.560 look at

00:43:31.800 the ratio

00:43:32.300 so that

00:43:33.460 I'll be

00:43:33.740 less sexist

00:43:34.560 by actually

00:43:35.200 referring to

00:43:36.020 real facts.

00:43:38.720 So,

00:43:40.660 the live

00:43:41.600 coup,

00:43:43.620 there's not

00:43:44.080 many people

00:43:44.620 showing up

00:43:45.860 for some

00:43:46.180 reason.

00:43:47.720 But most

00:43:48.360 of the faces

00:43:48.840 are male.

00:43:49.640 There's one

00:43:50.200 female on

00:43:50.780 the list.

00:43:51.840 So,

00:43:52.040 I think if

00:43:52.380 you were

00:43:52.560 on spaces,

00:43:53.360 you got the

00:43:56.520 misleading

00:43:56.980 feeling that

00:43:57.660 it was all

00:43:58.000 guys.

00:43:58.360 Yeah,

00:44:03.560 yes,

00:44:04.540 so the

00:44:05.140 Wagner people

00:44:05.940 are within

00:44:06.580 a few

00:44:06.940 hours of

00:44:07.480 Moscow.

00:44:08.700 Is there

00:44:09.060 anybody who

00:44:09.560 still thinks

00:44:10.120 that,

00:44:10.460 is there

00:44:11.760 anybody here

00:44:12.440 who still

00:44:13.520 thinks that

00:44:13.980 Progrosian

00:44:14.480 doesn't want

00:44:15.020 the top

00:44:15.440 job?

00:44:17.040 Is there

00:44:17.320 anybody

00:44:17.560 think that

00:44:18.700 he and

00:44:19.780 Putin are

00:44:20.400 going to

00:44:21.360 make,

00:44:22.220 they're going

00:44:22.560 to make

00:44:22.740 friends with

00:44:23.180 each other

00:44:23.520 again?

00:44:23.880 well,

00:44:30.000 your husband

00:44:30.440 went to

00:44:30.820 sleep and

00:44:31.260 you

00:44:31.400 listened?

00:44:32.260 All right.

00:44:36.900 All right,

00:44:37.600 well,

00:44:38.680 we'll see.

00:44:39.860 All right,

00:44:40.340 there's something

00:44:41.340 else happening

00:44:41.900 in the world.

00:44:43.520 I'll just

00:44:43.920 talk about

00:44:44.500 that.

00:44:45.000 So I

00:44:46.780 didn't realize

00:44:47.280 that this

00:44:47.680 hadn't happened

00:44:48.260 before,

00:44:48.840 but the

00:44:49.560 Department of

00:44:50.240 Justice,

00:44:50.700 U.S.

00:44:50.980 Department of

00:44:51.380 Justice,

00:44:51.720 filed criminal

00:44:52.380 charges against

00:44:53.160 four Chinese

00:44:53.960 chemical

00:44:55.440 manufacturers for

00:44:56.660 fentanyl.

00:44:58.200 So they

00:44:59.360 make the

00:44:59.780 precursors,

00:45:00.520 not the

00:45:00.780 fentanyl.

00:45:01.680 But do

00:45:03.280 you think it

00:45:03.640 makes any

00:45:04.120 difference that

00:45:05.900 the United

00:45:06.460 States is

00:45:07.420 taking legal

00:45:08.700 action against

00:45:09.400 Chinese companies?

00:45:11.680 And of

00:45:12.200 course,

00:45:12.540 China complained,

00:45:14.460 Sam,

00:45:16.400 I'm going to

00:45:16.800 delete you.

00:45:18.620 That's too

00:45:19.360 many penises.

00:45:22.100 I would be

00:45:23.200 good up to

00:45:23.660 20 penises,

00:45:24.660 but you had

00:45:25.180 like 40 or

00:45:25.920 50 there.

00:45:27.060 That's too

00:45:27.400 many penises.

00:45:29.180 In a

00:45:29.820 comment.

00:45:30.440 In one

00:45:30.800 comment.

00:45:31.300 You can't

00:45:31.580 have 50

00:45:32.000 penises in

00:45:32.620 one comment.

00:45:36.800 So here's

00:45:37.780 my take on

00:45:38.420 that.

00:45:40.500 I think

00:45:41.280 this is why

00:45:41.920 you need a

00:45:42.540 President Trump

00:45:43.300 to brand

00:45:45.120 China as

00:45:46.080 fentanyl

00:45:46.740 China so

00:45:48.200 that you

00:45:48.520 never refer

00:45:49.180 to them in

00:45:49.740 any other

00:45:50.180 way again.

00:45:51.180 Because I

00:45:51.900 think humiliation

00:45:52.580 is the only

00:45:53.200 thing that's

00:45:53.600 going to

00:45:53.820 change their

00:45:55.540 production of

00:45:56.560 fentanyl.

00:45:57.340 I believe

00:45:57.920 they should

00:45:58.280 be humiliated

00:45:59.200 in every

00:46:00.000 venue,

00:46:01.380 in writing,

00:46:02.380 verbally,

00:46:03.480 and in

00:46:03.940 every possible

00:46:04.860 way.

00:46:05.400 It's just

00:46:05.980 fentanyl

00:46:06.480 China.

00:46:07.620 So we

00:46:08.440 should just

00:46:08.780 say they're

00:46:09.760 drug dealers

00:46:10.360 that also have

00:46:11.580 a country,

00:46:12.540 and they're

00:46:13.180 just fentanyl

00:46:13.900 China.

00:46:14.600 And no matter

00:46:15.480 what the other

00:46:16.160 topic is,

00:46:16.940 whether it's

00:46:17.440 Taiwan or

00:46:18.060 anything else,

00:46:18.640 they're just

00:46:19.020 fentanyl

00:46:19.640 China.

00:46:20.500 Because if

00:46:21.400 you're going

00:46:21.660 to be such

00:46:22.200 fuckers that

00:46:22.880 you can kill

00:46:23.380 70,000

00:46:24.240 Americans a

00:46:25.360 year and

00:46:26.140 act like,

00:46:26.940 oh, we

00:46:27.440 don't even

00:46:27.780 know what's

00:46:28.160 going on.

00:46:29.220 Really?

00:46:30.040 Are you saying

00:46:31.040 our companies

00:46:31.640 are selling

00:46:32.220 things?

00:46:33.020 Oh, we

00:46:33.540 didn't even

00:46:33.880 know that.

00:46:34.940 As if it's

00:46:36.080 a big fucking

00:46:37.020 surprise.

00:46:38.660 So let's

00:46:39.420 stop treating

00:46:40.540 them like

00:46:41.180 they're stupid,

00:46:42.520 because they're

00:46:42.960 not.

00:46:44.120 Start treating

00:46:44.820 them like what

00:46:45.420 they are,

00:46:45.940 drug dealers.

00:46:47.720 China is just

00:46:48.540 a drug dealer

00:46:49.220 country.

00:46:50.820 And you

00:46:52.160 need a

00:46:52.580 Trump to

00:46:53.680 rub that in

00:46:54.280 their fucking

00:46:54.720 faces until

00:46:55.640 they don't

00:46:56.020 want to do

00:46:56.440 it anymore.

00:46:58.220 So fentanyl

00:46:59.160 China, that's

00:47:01.760 your new

00:47:02.020 name.

00:47:08.080 They still

00:47:08.860 make, well,

00:47:09.780 we can still

00:47:10.320 do business

00:47:10.980 with them.

00:47:12.380 Yeah, there's

00:47:13.240 still a lot

00:47:14.920 of commerce

00:47:15.720 that we need

00:47:16.280 to do with

00:47:16.800 China.

00:47:17.300 We can still

00:47:17.740 do that.

00:47:18.540 But we can

00:47:19.760 humiliate them

00:47:20.720 at the same

00:47:21.120 time.

00:47:22.220 Because I

00:47:22.880 think the

00:47:23.180 Chinese

00:47:23.480 humiliation

00:47:24.140 should be

00:47:26.080 our top

00:47:26.440 goal.

00:47:27.460 Humiliation.

00:47:28.860 Because they've

00:47:29.560 earned it.

00:47:30.640 They've earned

00:47:31.180 it.

00:47:36.780 Yes, I

00:47:37.520 agree that it

00:47:38.260 could be some

00:47:38.900 kind of weird

00:47:39.580 revenge for

00:47:40.480 the opium

00:47:41.840 wars.

00:47:43.300 But we're

00:47:44.240 not Great

00:47:44.700 Britain.

00:47:46.400 Maybe they

00:47:47.060 think we all

00:47:47.560 look alike.

00:47:48.540 But we're

00:47:48.960 not Great

00:47:49.400 Britain.

00:47:50.540 And I don't

00:47:51.300 think that

00:47:51.720 China needed

00:47:52.380 the opium

00:47:52.980 wars to do

00:47:53.860 this.

00:47:55.040 I think they

00:47:55.660 just took

00:47:56.180 an opportunity

00:47:56.820 or they're

00:47:58.280 failing to

00:47:58.840 stop an

00:47:59.260 opportunity.

00:48:00.380 And I don't

00:48:00.940 think it had

00:48:01.220 anything to do

00:48:01.760 with the

00:48:01.940 opium wars.

00:48:02.460 I think if the

00:48:03.560 opium wars had

00:48:04.260 never happened,

00:48:05.440 they still

00:48:06.520 would have

00:48:06.720 thought of

00:48:07.020 this idea.

00:48:08.200 They still

00:48:08.540 would have

00:48:08.820 done it.

00:48:09.580 Because it

00:48:10.220 works for

00:48:10.760 their interests.

00:48:12.380 I don't

00:48:12.640 think it's

00:48:13.280 all about

00:48:13.920 exercising.

00:48:15.760 Is that the

00:48:16.360 way we're

00:48:16.740 exercising?

00:48:17.840 The ghosts

00:48:19.360 of the past.

00:48:20.300 I don't think

00:48:20.760 it's all about

00:48:21.320 that.

00:48:22.200 They might

00:48:22.620 remember it.

00:48:23.420 It might be

00:48:23.820 part of it.

00:48:24.260 But it's not

00:48:24.640 all about that.

00:48:26.240 What does

00:48:26.800 say?

00:48:29.700 Said Biden

00:48:30.540 is strong.

00:48:31.680 Yeah, okay.

00:48:33.420 So here's

00:48:34.180 another thing

00:48:34.760 that I said

00:48:35.620 that you

00:48:36.040 really, really

00:48:36.860 hated a while

00:48:37.700 ago.

00:48:38.700 Do you

00:48:38.900 remember when

00:48:39.340 I said that

00:48:40.080 I could be

00:48:41.720 wrong, but

00:48:42.900 one possibility

00:48:43.720 is that Biden

00:48:44.480 will destroy

00:48:45.280 Russia, just

00:48:46.580 like he said?

00:48:48.240 And that

00:48:48.640 I don't

00:48:50.840 like that.

00:48:51.840 I never

00:48:52.480 liked that as

00:48:53.240 an ambition.

00:48:54.760 I didn't

00:48:55.160 think it was

00:48:55.540 a good idea

00:48:56.020 to destroy

00:48:56.560 Russia.

00:48:57.980 But it

00:48:58.820 looked like

00:48:59.260 that was

00:48:59.620 their plan.

00:49:00.800 It looked

00:49:01.160 like they

00:49:01.440 were just

00:49:01.740 trying to

00:49:02.160 destroy

00:49:02.520 Russia, and

00:49:04.360 maybe they

00:49:05.500 did a good

00:49:05.900 job of it.

00:49:07.380 It's entirely

00:49:08.220 possible that

00:49:09.480 Biden and

00:49:10.240 his winged

00:49:12.080 monkeys who

00:49:12.760 are running

00:49:13.400 things, they

00:49:14.500 may have

00:49:14.800 actually succeeded.

00:49:16.920 I wouldn't

00:49:17.280 rule it out.

00:49:18.160 It's way too

00:49:18.680 early to say

00:49:19.280 that.

00:49:19.820 Way too

00:49:20.140 early, fog

00:49:20.840 of war,

00:49:21.360 don't know

00:49:21.640 what's real.

00:49:22.720 But it

00:49:23.240 might actually

00:49:24.080 be something

00:49:24.800 they pulled

00:49:25.320 off.

00:49:26.560 I don't

00:49:26.860 think you

00:49:27.180 can ignore

00:49:27.640 that, because

00:49:29.020 it was

00:49:29.420 something they

00:49:29.900 were intentionally

00:49:30.560 doing, trying

00:49:31.380 to degrade

00:49:32.040 Russia, and

00:49:33.580 they may

00:49:34.000 actually end

00:49:34.800 the war in

00:49:35.280 Ukraine.

00:49:36.780 We may have

00:49:37.740 bought that

00:49:38.680 outcome with

00:49:39.580 Ukrainian lives

00:49:40.620 primarily, and a

00:49:41.660 lot of our

00:49:41.980 money.

00:49:43.400 So while I

00:49:45.520 would never

00:49:45.940 approve of that

00:49:47.000 as a national

00:49:47.800 goal, you

00:49:49.240 can't say it

00:49:49.940 didn't happen.

00:49:50.500 It looks like

00:49:52.680 it might be

00:49:53.120 happening, but

00:49:54.180 again, everything

00:49:55.340 could change on

00:49:56.140 a dime.

00:49:56.960 All it takes is

00:49:57.600 one bullet and

00:49:58.340 progrosions out

00:49:59.400 of the...

00:50:00.980 I mean, I

00:50:01.920 don't think that

00:50:02.820 the...

00:50:03.500 I don't think the

00:50:05.660 civil war happens

00:50:06.520 if progrosions

00:50:07.340 dies.

00:50:08.120 Do you?

00:50:09.620 Does anybody

00:50:10.320 think that the

00:50:11.320 Wagner group would

00:50:12.080 go on if

00:50:12.720 progrosions gets

00:50:13.440 taken out?

00:50:15.380 Because it does

00:50:16.340 seem to be that

00:50:17.440 one of the

00:50:17.900 possibilities is

00:50:19.740 Putin is going

00:50:20.580 to say, if

00:50:21.660 you can tell

00:50:22.360 me for sure

00:50:23.240 what zip code

00:50:24.160 he's in, I'll

00:50:24.760 make that zip

00:50:25.400 code disappear.

00:50:27.480 Right?

00:50:29.440 Putin might

00:50:30.160 make an entire

00:50:30.860 zip code just

00:50:31.700 disappear, just

00:50:33.200 to get that

00:50:34.160 one guy.

00:50:35.500 Because that

00:50:35.900 would be well

00:50:36.380 within his, you

00:50:37.760 know, historical

00:50:38.700 bounds of

00:50:39.580 operation.

00:50:40.640 That wouldn't

00:50:41.160 even be unusual

00:50:42.180 for Putin to

00:50:44.120 take out a

00:50:44.620 whole zip code

00:50:45.220 to get one

00:50:45.680 guy.

00:50:48.740 Yeah.

00:50:49.740 President

00:50:51.280 Progrosions

00:50:51.720 could be a

00:50:52.220 nightmare.

00:50:53.320 I think that's

00:50:53.960 true.

00:50:54.800 But in the

00:50:55.500 short term, he

00:50:57.700 probably would

00:50:58.420 make nice with

00:50:59.200 the West so

00:51:00.120 that he could

00:51:00.620 get the

00:51:01.020 sanctions removed

00:51:02.100 and he could

00:51:02.840 end the war

00:51:03.380 in Ukraine,

00:51:04.760 make the West

00:51:05.680 all happy like

00:51:06.380 they won

00:51:06.800 something, and

00:51:08.860 pretend he's

00:51:10.060 turning Russia

00:51:10.660 into a, like,

00:51:12.080 a genuine

00:51:12.600 country instead

00:51:13.760 of a criminal

00:51:14.640 organization.

00:51:15.620 He'd have to

00:51:16.200 pretend because

00:51:16.880 he couldn't

00:51:17.200 actually do it.

00:51:17.840 Well, thank

00:51:19.560 you.

00:51:24.740 It's

00:51:25.260 tyranny, maybe.

00:51:27.900 Yeah.

00:51:30.500 Oh, Progrosions

00:51:31.700 has promised

00:51:32.600 Putin free

00:51:33.260 passage out.

00:51:34.100 Did that just

00:51:34.580 happen?

00:51:35.100 Did that just

00:51:35.660 break?

00:51:36.600 That's pretty

00:51:37.260 smart.

00:51:38.700 Yeah, free

00:51:39.280 passage out.

00:51:39.880 Now, there's

00:51:40.440 lots of reports

00:51:41.180 of private planes

00:51:42.600 and helicopters

00:51:43.300 in the air.

00:51:43.980 I would be

00:51:46.660 surprised if

00:51:47.660 Putin is in

00:51:48.380 Moscow.

00:51:49.100 What do you

00:51:49.420 think?

00:51:50.560 Do you think

00:51:51.000 Putin's in

00:51:51.500 Moscow?

00:51:56.340 Yeah, Putin

00:51:57.120 must have been

00:51:57.540 a good businessman

00:51:58.340 because he, I

00:51:59.920 mean, he had

00:52:00.360 connections to

00:52:01.200 that, I

00:52:01.400 hoped.

00:52:03.700 Planes are

00:52:04.200 added to

00:52:04.580 St.

00:52:04.820 Petersburg.

00:52:05.560 Why is it

00:52:06.260 in St.

00:52:06.660 Petersburg?

00:52:08.220 Why would

00:52:08.880 Putin go to

00:52:09.420 St.

00:52:09.660 Petersburg?

00:52:10.220 What would

00:52:11.180 be the reason

00:52:11.700 for that?

00:52:12.820 I mean, get

00:52:13.340 out of

00:52:13.580 Moscow.

00:52:14.200 But what

00:52:14.500 does St.

00:52:15.340 Petersburg

00:52:15.640 have?

00:52:19.060 It's his

00:52:19.620 old power

00:52:20.100 base.

00:52:20.720 He was

00:52:21.060 mayor there.

00:52:22.400 So he

00:52:23.000 would have

00:52:23.300 the most

00:52:23.640 protectors

00:52:24.320 there?

00:52:26.920 Okay.

00:52:29.000 If I

00:52:29.620 were him,

00:52:30.100 I would

00:52:30.360 not go to

00:52:30.880 the most

00:52:31.220 obvious place

00:52:32.020 that he

00:52:32.500 should go.

00:52:33.920 But how

00:52:34.520 does a

00:52:35.320 Putin ever

00:52:35.780 retire?

00:52:37.520 Do you

00:52:37.720 ever think

00:52:38.040 about that?

00:52:39.200 I saw

00:52:39.900 a clip

00:52:41.080 where

00:52:41.700 Elon Musk,

00:52:42.460 somebody

00:52:43.460 called him

00:52:43.980 the richest

00:52:44.360 man in

00:52:44.820 the world

00:52:45.160 and he

00:52:46.160 said he

00:52:46.460 was pretty

00:52:46.780 sure Putin

00:52:47.360 was richer,

00:52:48.920 more than

00:52:49.840 200 billion.

00:52:51.380 Where does

00:52:52.080 Putin take

00:52:52.600 his 200

00:52:53.060 billion dollars

00:52:53.840 if he's

00:52:55.260 not ahead

00:52:56.500 of Russia?

00:52:57.520 Where do

00:52:57.840 you go with

00:52:58.240 that?

00:52:59.800 Like, how

00:53:00.200 could you

00:53:00.800 possibly retire?

00:53:04.140 Belarus?

00:53:05.060 No, I think

00:53:05.500 everything's risky

00:53:06.480 at this point.

00:53:08.420 Ireland?

00:53:08.800 Yeah, so

00:53:11.280 this is what

00:53:12.220 I've been

00:53:12.460 saying forever.

00:53:13.220 There needs

00:53:13.540 to be

00:53:13.940 an island

00:53:14.940 that's the

00:53:16.520 dictator

00:53:17.620 retirement

00:53:18.280 island.

00:53:19.540 So we

00:53:20.160 should have

00:53:20.440 one island

00:53:21.080 where we

00:53:21.920 say, here's

00:53:22.440 the deal.

00:53:23.820 If it looks

00:53:24.840 like you're

00:53:25.240 going to

00:53:25.340 lose the

00:53:25.780 war, rather

00:53:26.720 than fighting

00:53:27.360 to the last

00:53:27.940 soldier, you'll

00:53:29.040 always have

00:53:29.480 the option

00:53:29.920 of free

00:53:31.120 passage to

00:53:31.860 the island

00:53:32.340 of retired

00:53:33.020 dictators.

00:53:34.180 Once you

00:53:34.600 get there,

00:53:35.000 you'll have

00:53:35.280 servants, you'll

00:53:36.240 have a mansion,

00:53:36.780 you'll have

00:53:38.380 all the

00:53:38.840 hookers and

00:53:39.720 cocaine you

00:53:40.300 want, you

00:53:41.160 just can't

00:53:41.600 run the

00:53:41.900 country anymore.

00:53:43.800 And then you

00:53:44.940 have a

00:53:45.200 retirement plan.

00:53:46.740 Wouldn't it

00:53:47.040 be cool to

00:53:47.500 have an

00:53:47.920 island where

00:53:49.140 you have

00:53:49.360 several

00:53:50.000 deposed

00:53:50.500 dictators and

00:53:51.240 they're just

00:53:51.540 neighbors, and

00:53:52.860 then they do

00:53:53.260 a reality

00:53:53.760 show?

00:53:54.920 That's where I

00:53:55.540 wanted to

00:53:55.900 go.

00:53:56.380 I wanted to

00:53:56.980 go to a

00:53:57.440 reality show

00:53:58.160 of deposed

00:53:58.740 dictators who

00:54:00.060 have to live

00:54:00.520 in the same

00:54:00.940 neighborhood, and

00:54:01.660 they fight on

00:54:02.880 the school

00:54:03.220 boards, and

00:54:05.020 the homeowners

00:54:05.720 associations,

00:54:06.780 meetings are

00:54:07.480 just lit.

00:54:09.060 Imagine the

00:54:09.560 homeowners

00:54:09.860 association

00:54:10.800 meetings with

00:54:11.680 the retirement

00:54:13.140 community of

00:54:14.080 only dictators.

00:54:15.800 Oh, that'd

00:54:16.180 be great.

00:54:17.460 St. Helena

00:54:17.960 Island, perfect

00:54:19.500 idea.

00:54:22.260 All right.

00:54:25.960 South Park

00:54:26.680 should take

00:54:27.040 that on.

00:54:29.100 Well, thank

00:54:29.860 you.

00:54:33.360 Yeah, let's

00:54:34.120 use Catalina

00:54:34.780 Island.

00:54:35.340 It's not

00:54:35.760 being used

00:54:36.160 for much.

00:54:36.780 Yeah, we

00:54:38.640 don't want to

00:54:39.020 ruin Hawaii or

00:54:39.960 any of the

00:54:40.280 good islands,

00:54:41.120 but, you

00:54:41.440 know, Catalina.

00:54:42.440 Catalina's

00:54:42.840 cool.

00:54:43.720 I hear good

00:54:44.140 things about

00:54:44.680 it, but,

00:54:45.100 you know,

00:54:45.960 you know,

00:54:47.000 I can never

00:54:49.440 go there for

00:54:50.240 personal reasons,

00:54:51.140 but.

00:54:55.400 All right.

00:54:57.300 did we talk

00:55:04.360 about everything?

00:55:04.840 I feel like we

00:55:05.680 all want to

00:55:06.060 just go back

00:55:06.560 and watch

00:55:06.900 the live

00:55:07.360 news about

00:55:07.920 the Russian

00:55:09.600 situation.

00:55:12.840 So,

00:55:13.160 YouTube,

00:55:14.220 thanks for

00:55:14.540 watching.

00:55:17.240 YouTube,

00:55:17.800 would you

00:55:18.080 agree I have

00:55:18.780 the best

00:55:19.420 takes on

00:55:20.260 Russia and

00:55:21.220 Ukraine of

00:55:21.880 anybody in

00:55:22.660 the entire

00:55:23.040 world?

00:55:24.160 Would you

00:55:24.680 say that's

00:55:25.060 true,

00:55:25.260 YouTube?

00:55:29.120 I'm just

00:55:30.320 prodding,

00:55:31.040 just prodding

00:55:31.960 now.

00:55:32.700 I don't know.

00:55:34.920 All right,

00:55:35.460 I got one

00:55:35.860 yes,

00:55:36.640 two yeses,

00:55:37.500 three yeses,

00:55:38.300 all right,

00:55:38.840 all right,

00:55:39.200 I got a few

00:55:39.580 yeses.

00:55:40.080 I wasn't

00:55:40.360 expecting it.

00:55:43.000 All right,

00:55:43.260 but then I'll

00:55:44.660 end with what

00:55:45.980 you should

00:55:46.300 always end

00:55:46.780 with,

00:55:47.160 which is

00:55:47.460 still fog

00:55:48.180 of war,

00:55:48.640 nobody knows

00:55:49.120 what's going

00:55:49.520 on,

00:55:49.900 anything could

00:55:50.400 change,

00:55:51.540 we could be

00:55:52.060 surprised.

00:55:53.500 All right,

00:55:53.760 I'll just

00:55:54.260 end with this

00:55:54.760 one little

00:55:55.180 story.

00:55:55.720 Did you

00:55:55.900 hear what

00:55:56.180 James Cameron

00:55:57.040 said about

00:55:58.720 the rescue

00:55:59.960 of the sub

00:56:00.720 that got

00:56:01.040 destroyed looking

00:56:01.720 for the

00:56:02.100 Titanic?

00:56:03.200 Did you

00:56:03.740 hear what

00:56:04.020 he said?

00:56:05.960 There's a

00:56:06.500 video clip

00:56:07.080 of him

00:56:07.420 saying,

00:56:07.880 and I

00:56:08.120 think he's,

00:56:08.840 I assume

00:56:09.480 he's correct

00:56:10.020 on this.

00:56:10.900 Do you know

00:56:11.340 where they

00:56:11.620 found the

00:56:12.080 sub?

00:56:12.340 This is

00:56:14.600 the first

00:56:14.900 time I

00:56:15.220 heard this.

00:56:16.680 Do you

00:56:17.040 know where

00:56:17.240 they found

00:56:17.640 it?

00:56:19.460 In the

00:56:20.040 last place

00:56:20.600 they knew

00:56:20.880 where it

00:56:21.100 was.

00:56:23.700 It was

00:56:24.300 exactly where

00:56:24.960 it was

00:56:25.180 supposed to

00:56:25.620 be.

00:56:26.620 It was

00:56:26.940 exactly where

00:56:27.720 it descended.

00:56:29.060 It descended

00:56:29.880 a little bit,

00:56:30.460 it blew up,

00:56:31.100 and then it

00:56:31.420 landed right

00:56:31.980 at the bottom

00:56:32.420 of the water

00:56:32.840 exactly where

00:56:33.740 the last

00:56:34.480 place they

00:56:34.920 looked.

00:56:35.720 And James

00:56:36.380 Cameron says

00:56:37.100 that was

00:56:37.920 the last

00:56:38.300 place they

00:56:38.720 looked.

00:56:39.800 The last

00:56:40.320 place they

00:56:40.760 looked was

00:56:41.240 the place

00:56:41.900 it most

00:56:42.260 obviously

00:56:42.760 would be

00:56:43.420 directly

00:56:44.460 below

00:56:45.000 where

00:56:45.940 they

00:56:46.100 went

00:56:46.280 down.

00:56:50.440 Why did

00:56:51.640 it take

00:56:53.200 until today

00:56:54.040 to hear

00:56:54.520 that,

00:56:55.460 and why

00:56:55.900 did James

00:56:56.400 Cameron

00:56:56.740 have to

00:56:57.140 tell me?

00:56:58.340 Why is he

00:56:58.960 telling me

00:56:59.380 that?

00:57:00.720 I'm assuming

00:57:01.540 he's correct

00:57:02.220 because he

00:57:02.720 doesn't seem

00:57:03.240 crazy,

00:57:04.160 and he

00:57:04.520 seems to

00:57:05.080 know what

00:57:05.320 he's talking

00:57:05.700 about.

00:57:06.860 But really,

00:57:08.040 you're telling

00:57:08.500 me that CNN

00:57:09.160 and Fox

00:57:09.860 News,

00:57:10.700 they never

00:57:11.740 caught on

00:57:12.660 to the fact

00:57:13.220 that the

00:57:13.740 sub was

00:57:14.120 exactly where

00:57:14.880 anybody would

00:57:15.560 have expected

00:57:16.100 it to be,

00:57:17.500 and it took

00:57:17.960 all that time

00:57:18.460 to find it.

00:57:19.900 Now,

00:57:20.220 doesn't that

00:57:20.700 also tell you

00:57:21.400 that they

00:57:22.300 were stalling

00:57:23.060 and trying

00:57:23.760 to time it

00:57:24.380 for Hunter's

00:57:25.920 situation?

00:57:27.900 It's like it

00:57:28.600 doesn't quite

00:57:29.100 make sense,

00:57:29.780 does it?

00:57:30.380 It's like they

00:57:31.080 didn't want to

00:57:31.740 find it until

00:57:32.520 they did.

00:57:34.020 It's like they

00:57:34.600 want to draw

00:57:35.360 that out a little

00:57:35.980 bit.

00:57:36.620 And I go

00:57:37.060 to CNN

00:57:37.600 during the

00:57:39.360 height of

00:57:40.220 the Russian

00:57:41.940 Civil War,

00:57:43.540 and it's all

00:57:43.980 about the

00:57:44.380 fucking

00:57:44.660 construction of

00:57:45.540 that little

00:57:45.940 submarine.

00:57:47.580 Like last

00:57:48.100 night, I kept

00:57:48.660 trying to catch

00:57:49.200 up on it,

00:57:49.720 and they did

00:57:50.360 have coverage,

00:57:51.140 you know,

00:57:51.300 they'd break

00:57:51.700 in with

00:57:51.980 coverage.

00:57:52.620 But like the

00:57:53.240 big segments

00:57:53.900 that they'd

00:57:54.360 already prepared

00:57:55.080 were about

00:57:56.140 that little

00:57:56.500 fucking

00:57:56.840 submarine.

00:57:58.140 I don't

00:57:58.800 care about

00:57:59.280 that at

00:58:00.440 all.

00:58:01.500 Like I

00:58:01.900 could not

00:58:02.480 be less

00:58:03.860 interested in

00:58:04.680 a story

00:58:05.140 than somebody

00:58:06.220 made a

00:58:06.640 shitty

00:58:06.920 submarine

00:58:07.480 and convinced

00:58:08.100 some people

00:58:08.480 to get in

00:58:08.940 it, and

00:58:09.180 it blew

00:58:09.440 up or

00:58:10.320 imploded.

00:58:11.780 I mean,

00:58:12.200 it's a tragedy,

00:58:13.460 you know,

00:58:13.760 it's interesting

00:58:14.500 in its way,

00:58:15.080 but it's not

00:58:15.420 important.

00:58:16.580 It has no

00:58:17.080 importance to

00:58:17.640 anything,

00:58:18.080 not to the

00:58:18.560 world,

00:58:18.940 not to you,

00:58:19.940 just to the

00:58:20.880 people who

00:58:21.280 are the

00:58:21.660 tragic victims

00:58:22.900 of it.

00:58:26.880 Yeah,

00:58:27.400 they literally

00:58:27.900 pulled our

00:58:28.440 consciousness to

00:58:29.340 the bottom

00:58:29.740 of the ocean.

00:58:31.340 Nicely said.

00:58:32.680 Nicely said.

00:58:33.840 So comment on

00:58:34.740 Locals is

00:58:35.980 that the

00:58:36.360 narrative pulled

00:58:37.280 our minds

00:58:37.880 literally to

00:58:38.540 the bottom

00:58:39.000 of the ocean

00:58:39.880 when we

00:58:41.240 should have

00:58:41.500 been up

00:58:41.780 there thinking

00:58:42.240 about,

00:58:43.320 that's really

00:58:44.700 good.

00:58:46.140 I didn't

00:58:46.580 catch you

00:58:47.220 who said

00:58:47.460 that, but

00:58:47.800 credit to

00:58:48.920 you.

00:58:49.900 That is

00:58:50.480 such a

00:58:51.080 good

00:58:51.520 characterization.

00:58:53.760 I love

00:58:54.040 that.

00:58:56.840 What if

00:58:57.400 the sub

00:58:57.720 was a

00:58:58.060 PSYOP?

00:58:58.500 I think

00:59:01.140 have we

00:59:02.000 reached the

00:59:02.480 point where

00:59:02.960 we can

00:59:03.280 ask if

00:59:03.740 everything's

00:59:04.260 a PSYOP?

00:59:05.740 I saw

00:59:06.400 in the

00:59:06.620 news that

00:59:07.200 Harry and

00:59:07.960 Meghan are

00:59:09.060 not going to

00:59:09.500 get their

00:59:09.820 Spotify deal

00:59:10.620 renewed,

00:59:11.680 and I'm

00:59:12.480 thinking to

00:59:12.840 myself,

00:59:13.900 really?

00:59:16.120 Or is it

00:59:16.860 a PSYOP?

00:59:18.940 I mean,

00:59:19.640 it's ridiculous,

00:59:20.660 but let's

00:59:22.180 just assume

00:59:22.660 everything's a

00:59:23.280 PSYOP.

00:59:23.700 I was

00:59:24.760 going to

00:59:25.020 pet my

00:59:25.380 dog this

00:59:25.880 morning,

00:59:26.300 but I've

00:59:26.800 got a

00:59:27.020 little

00:59:27.120 suspicions

00:59:27.760 about her.

00:59:28.700 I think

00:59:29.060 she might

00:59:29.420 be running

00:59:29.820 an AWP

00:59:30.360 on me,

00:59:31.180 maybe.

00:59:32.780 Now, the

00:59:33.320 reason, of

00:59:33.740 course, that

00:59:34.080 we suspect

00:59:34.540 this is that

00:59:35.220 there have

00:59:35.500 been so

00:59:35.840 many real

00:59:36.260 ones.

00:59:37.420 There have

00:59:37.700 been so

00:59:38.060 many actual

00:59:38.760 AWPs that

00:59:41.140 it's reasonable

00:59:42.400 to assume

00:59:43.360 you're in

00:59:43.700 another one.

00:59:48.760 All right.

00:59:50.320 YouTube,

00:59:51.000 thanks for

00:59:51.360 joining.

00:59:52.340 I'll talk

00:59:52.980 to you.

00:59:53.860 Tomorrow.

00:59:55.740 Less capital

00:59:56.360 letters.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - June 24, 2023

Episode 2149 Scott Adams： Wagner Moves On Moscow, CIA Involved？, I Tell You How It All Ends

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