00:06:31.220Before we get Pearson, every man reaction to this, let me let me offer a defense of the reactionaries here.
00:06:38.800Yeah. We've seen a lot of politicians who make bad decisions because they're afraid of being called racist.
00:06:46.160Yeah. And I'm not saying this is Sarah Huckabee Sanders.
00:06:49.220But look in Minnesota. Right. The reason all that fraud happened in Minnesota is because everyone was afraid that if you started asking questions of the Somalis, somebody was going to call you a racist.
00:06:58.760And what you said is entirely true. If they knew that if they had selected a racially appropriate welfare recipient, it would not have been a white guy called Brad in Arkansas. Right.0.98
00:07:12.860And so they didn't want a black woman. They didn't want a Hispanic woman. They wanted Brad because of that fear. And for someone like Sarah Huckabee Sanders, who is going to be a big player beyond Arkansas, does she fail a key test by not facing down the cancel culture, by not embracing the label and putting out the truth?1.00
00:07:34.700I remember J.D. Vance, when he ran for the United States Senate in Ohio, his first compelling ad,
00:07:40.740he looks right to the camera and says, are you a racist? And he took on this notion that if you
00:07:46.580wanted welfare to work, if you wanted strong borders, that somehow there was a racial tinge
00:07:52.060to your policy desires. So, Pearson, are you accepting David's argument that welfare to work
00:07:57.860is actually really good policy? We all support it. Work requirements are obviously the right
00:08:02.220thing to do but when you when you dial the the bead on brad you miss the chance to show true
00:08:08.720political courage what i hate is what you said is that she didn't want to be racist so she picked
00:08:16.660on a white guy how is that not racist we are we are a race and the white people the white christian
00:08:24.860males specifically in this country get dumped on more than any other race or ethnicity or group of0.66
00:08:31.020people that you have, in the history of the world, it is insane. We're the default. We're the de facto.
00:08:37.160You can make fun of us. You can mock us. You can deride our religion, our history, our culture,
00:08:41.620everything about us. You can mock it and destroy it and tear it down. And it's just fine because
00:08:45.720we're the majority in this country. Meanwhile, whites are 7% of the population in the world,0.98
00:08:50.440and we have to take the crap of everybody else. I hate it. I think that is so awful. And you're1.00
00:08:56.000not going to fix a problem unless you admit what it actually is. And the problem is not white Brad0.89
00:09:00.540from Arkansas. It's Omar from Somalia, from Minneapolis. That is the problem. 85% of Somalians0.99
00:09:08.320are on welfare. 8% of whites are on welfare. You have got to actually address who was dragging
00:09:14.500down the system before you can fix it. Okay. And I hear you. And I think your anger is placed
00:09:21.560appropriately for a larger issue. I think Sarah Huckabee Sanders was using parody not to say,0.99
00:09:29.860I'm gonna use a white person instead of a black person0.99
00:09:58.820It's different because she wanted to make a point that, look, if you can play video games, you can work.
00:10:04.460She wasn't suggesting that a class of people were welfare recipients.0.99
00:10:07.420She showed a fat, lazy white guy as her example.0.95
00:10:10.200I think it wasn't a well-thought-out campaign, but I don't think she was thinking about becoming the poster child for misplaced anti-white sentiment in the country.0.99
00:10:23.780Now, if you were to take a different argument, and it's the same thing that happened to Dan Scavino when he posted that picture from his wedding and it was AI animated.
00:10:35.600Just because people are mad about one thing doesn't mean that any time there's a scintilla of possibility to use that as the issue to attack as the rallying cry for a bigger issue.
00:14:09.120Well, you made a really good point when you were talking about, one, messaging, and two, you know, this is the timing of this, right?
00:14:18.180And I think that really supports my point I was making earlier is because people are so upset right now, because there's a lot of tension just beneath the surface, any opportunity to enrage folks that we need to get out and vote for us, well, we don't want to give them that opportunity.
00:14:33.180And that's where the Dan Scaveno thing is.
00:15:01.500So you don't need to take any racial group as the poster child for welfare.
00:15:05.720You just need to say we need to rein this thing in. And if people there needs to be work requirements, we that was an unforced error, in my opinion.
00:15:13.160But at the same time, I think she tapped into a lot of just under the surface frustration and anger.
00:15:19.280As Pearson rightfully pointed out, I just don't think that that's what she was trying to communicate.
00:15:23.560I think it was just a poorly done ad and a poorly timed ad. Mind you.
00:15:27.940I'm going to ask you both this question. The question is not what you wish the Republican messaging would be.
00:15:35.060And it's not what you think it should be. Like right now, if someone who didn't understand politics at all came up to you guys and said, oh, you know, David, you do a political show, Pearson, you, you know, are an investigative journalist. What is the Republican core message in the 2026 midterm? What do you think that answer is, David?
00:15:57.240Do I do what it should be or what it is?
00:16:00.920No, what it is. What do you think it is?
00:16:02.940You know, I don't know. I really don't know. And then this is the problem. Like if I were to say, what is the Democrat core messaging? It's affordability. I mean, they have it locked down. You think Democrat, you know, it's instant name association. With Republicans, I don't know what the one thing is. Like you think of Trump 2020, 2016. It's build the wall. You think of Trump 2020.
00:16:25.840I know what is it if you I'm watching the ads and I think this is the message you should reward
00:16:34.200Republicans with your vote for passing the one big beautiful bill act and securing the border
00:16:40.420that's what I think that's what I see in the ads I think that I think that's it and elections are
00:16:46.600not about well it's just it's never what elections are about elections are about making new promises
00:16:52.080to voters that cause those voters to believe that voting for you will make their life better.
00:16:57.820Pearson, do you discern a different message?
00:17:00.580I mean, when we see these ads, isn't it just kind of vote for us because we did the one
00:23:31.300Republicans are actually doing better than you think.
00:23:33.700We have a real shot at keeping the House.
00:23:36.680Another post from David Pollack, once we win the midterms, everything will get better, plus we get 5K.
00:23:44.080So my question is this, with Polymarget at 93% and with you repeatedly posting that Republicans are going to win,
00:23:53.420have you mortgaged your house, taken out your kids' college money, and put it all on the Republican victory that you expect?0.50
00:24:02.420Because you would like 10x your money, David.
00:24:04.580Well, look, in light of just preventing any possible SEC violations because I'm on television, I don't bet on things that I could potentially help towards an outcome.
00:24:19.020So, no, I'm not actually betting in this because I'm on TV and I give opinion.
00:24:23.180That being said, my opinion is based on this.
00:25:28.480Let me back up because this is a very important point.
00:25:31.960Democrats have abandoned the fuel price argument.
00:25:35.900They're leaving it to us to destroy ourselves on the fuel price argument.
00:25:40.920And they're doubling down on abortion and immigration at this point.
00:25:45.560You don't even see the Democrat accounts talking about fuel prices.
00:25:48.720You see the former MAGA accounts talking about gas prices.
00:25:53.120But this is why I think, and this goes to what Matt said before,
00:25:56.340If the Republican Party is the MAGA Party, and if you're talking about an election between a Democrat and a Republican, and if everybody, all the people that are disaffected Trump supporters that are saying, I'm not voting for Trump, will they vote Democrat or will they not vote at all?
00:26:10.460And this is the great calculus. Are people that are disappointed in gas prices going to vote Democrat or are they not going to vote?
00:26:16.760Because if turnout is a measure and Republican base is motivated and they're worried about Democratic socialism and they're willing to pay higher prices because they think Trump's doing a good job and the swing voters don't show up because they don't like their choices, Republicans have a good chance of winning.
00:26:31.640So I think these polymarket odds, and let me tell you what polymarket is.
00:26:35.200It's a prediction market based on feelings.
00:26:37.460People bet their feelings based on what they think is going to happen.
00:26:40.760And I have a new phrase that I've been coining.
00:26:42.460It's not, you ever heard, facts don't care about your feelings?
00:26:45.160In the age of polymarket, feelings don't care about your facts because people vote and bet based on how they feel.
00:26:53.040And those prediction markets can actually motivate people to show up and follow through and close on how they feel,
00:27:00.180which is why messaging is more important now than ever before
00:27:03.120because we're not relying purely on science, we're relying on feelings.
00:27:06.200And I do agree with you, Pearson, we are losing the feelings war,
00:27:08.800which is why I'm putting up tweets like this, posts like this,
00:27:11.400because I want my followers, I want our audience, to see that all hope isn't lost.
00:27:17.200Trust your feelings, show up at the polls, know that President Trump is doing a good job,
00:27:21.600knowing that the alternative is much worse, and you know what?0.98
00:27:24.340It sucks a little bit, but it's going to suck way worse.
00:27:26.720And that's why I put out posts like that.0.98
00:27:28.100That's not a great brand for the Republican Party, but that is a good message for them.0.97
00:27:31.500It sucks right now, but it could suck a lot worse.0.99
00:28:24.960Because I want to know because I'm not seeing. I'll tell you, David. I'll tell you. Look, look, Florida is an R plus 10 state. Right. It performed better than that under Trump and DeSantis. But it's basically an R10. And we're in a D8 environment. And so statewide campaigns like Ashley Moody and Byron Donalds, they're not losing. They're still winning. But we're used to seeing like an R10 environment. Then you get a six point DeSantis boost.
00:28:51.960you know, boost, now all of a sudden you're winning by 14, 15, 16 points, as opposed to
00:28:56.680now saying, oh gosh, we might win by three or four or five points. I'm old enough to
00:29:00.440remember when a three-point victory in Florida was a landslide. And so we'll take it in this
00:29:05.140environment. But you know which one's on the list that I worry about? Kansas. I've got
00:29:11.040friends in Kansas who've always told me, this is not as red a state as you think it is.
00:29:15.780Those that's a very suburbanized state. A lot of the family farms that made up the political backbone there are gone. You've got the huge influx of the green energy distortions in the market, causing all kind of of of reshaping of that economy and that political ecosystem as well.
00:29:36.320And Roger Marshall is down in every poll I have seen.
00:29:42.480He is the Republican senator from Kansas.
00:29:53.620And in Kansas, we haven't had to go and do the build-out of door-to-door and volunteer
00:29:59.960recruitment and all the things we've done in places like Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Georgia.
00:30:05.260And so we've got to get it going in places we didn't think we were going to have to get it going in previously.
00:30:11.560I mean, David, did you even think three weeks ago, four weeks ago, that Republicans would be in a dogfight in Kansas?
00:30:20.320Yeah. I mean, this is what we should expect.
00:30:22.760It's historically in every single midterm election after after there's a shift at the presidential level, there is a change of power in Congress.
00:30:31.480Historically, it's almost happened every single time.
00:30:33.200We should have been prepared for this.
00:35:27.760What Pearson just said is the perfect illustration of why we're not seeing the numbers that we'd like to see as a Republican Party is, and I get it, for the longest time we had an enemy.
00:35:42.580We had a government that was weaponized against the president, weaponized against everybody in his orbit, weaponized against the American people, weaponized against our free speech.
00:35:50.440We had a government that leading into 2024, America felt like we were going to lose this country if President Trump weren't to be elected.
00:36:02.240I mean, yes, President Trump has won the election and a lot of his policies are being implemented, largely through executive order from what Pearson described because of congressional inaction.
00:37:45.580matt we have to stop attacking our base david that's the point who's attacking the base
00:37:49.900did you not see the video the people that she needs to vote for she didn't attack the base0.99
00:37:54.760no she put out a she put out a stupid ad that wasn't well thought out but she didn't intend0.99
00:37:59.320to attack the base and then we took it upon white republican men are leaving the party no that is1.00
00:38:03.880the reason white republican men are leaving the party of that kind of abuse no white republican
00:38:08.160men are leaving the party because there's a lot of people that are charlie kirk tragically lost
00:38:13.660his life a year ago. And in the vacuum of Charlie Kirk, a lot of people sought to fill that void
00:38:18.840and were getting pulled in the Nick Fuentes direction, the James Fishback direction,
00:38:22.860and all these different directions. And I understand everybody being pulled in one
00:38:26.120direction or another because everybody is fed up with government, a government that they feel like
00:38:29.460they have no control over, a government that regardless of who they voted for, always puts
00:38:33.760them last. People are fed up with that. That's why they love Trump, because Trump gave him an
00:38:37.780alternative. But the reality is, and this is just the truth, we have to stop following false prophets
00:38:43.360And remember that while we're fighting each other for what the best direction is for this country, the Democrats have one focus, and that's to put us all in prison, take away our right to talk about it, and then make sure that we're as socialist as we can be and we'll never have the opportunity to vote ourselves out of this again.
00:39:00.920That's who I'm fighting, not Sarah Huckabee Sanders.
00:39:02.920Well, let me ask you this question. You tell us not to follow false prophets. But what if the false prophets are the people who tell us they're Republicans who are fighting for us? And then at the first risk that they might be called a racist, demonize Brad.
00:39:21.600Yeah. But this is the problem with political consultants who think they know everything and they don't actually talk to voters. They talk to their friends who tell people how to think. It's not the it's not Sarah. Does anybody even for a second, Matt Pearson, does anybody for a second question the conservatism of Sarah Huckabee Sanders and thinks she wouldn't be a great Republican governor? No, not even for a second. She put out a dumb ad. None of us are going, oh, that makes me think totally different about her. It makes us think that she had a bad ad campaign.
00:39:50.320No, yeah. I don't think it's definitional. By the way, I don't think it's definitional. I will think of Sarah Huckabee Sanders as the strong woman behind the podium in the White House briefing room with the intelligence and wit and aptitude to demonstrate inspirational leadership. I love Sarah Huckabee Sanders. I agree it was a dumb ad.
00:40:09.320I do. Speaking of dumb, we have to get to this Hassan Piker latest move. Hassan Piker has become like the new Bernie Sanders of the Democratic Party. Hassan Piker is the thought leader of the Democratic Party. Where Hassan Piker goes, the Democrat activists and money and candidates follow. He's like a Pied Piper of awful in so many of these representations. But what do we make of this outfit?0.99
00:43:21.880They literally hate everything that we're proud of as Americans,
00:43:27.020which is why right now, you can tell I'm fired up today, Matt,
00:43:29.520and I've been fired up on my show all week,
00:43:31.000And I get that people are upset, but this is the most frustrating time I've ever had as a Republican because these are the people that are trying to win elections and people are so upset about gas prices.
00:43:43.360And I'm not minimizing that. Gas sucks. It's expensive. Putting 100 bucks in your gas tank sucks.0.98
00:43:48.160But these people, they're not just trying to win an election. They're trying to fundamentally transform this country.0.97
00:43:55.240And the fact that people don't remember just two years ago that the FBI was kicking in doors of school moms for showing up at school board meetings because they didn't want their kids involuntarily vaxxed.
00:44:06.180The fact that people have forgotten this because they're so upset about gas prices.
00:44:42.700We need a Pez dispenser with some Xanax for you.
00:44:44.760Pearson, do you think that Pearson Pearson, do you miss the the old, old age of the 2024 election when we got to vote against communism and for lower gas prices at the same time?
00:44:58.240Yeah. I mean, that was great. We had it. We had it locked down.
00:45:00.960Wasn't that awesome? We had everything.
00:45:03.080That was so great because, like, David just makes this really compelling case that it's, like, gas prices or the survival of civilization.
00:45:10.880And I'm like, yeah, man, I want the survival of civilization.
00:45:14.820But, like, it was just, like, a few months ago that we could be for lower gas prices and saving civilization.
00:46:00.820Every single chance I've said, I've had, I've said, we have to vote for these lousy Republicans again, not because they deserve it, but because we're going to be destroyed if we don't.
00:46:12.820I think Pearson Pearson views the Republican Party like a wild Mustang, but it has to be captured and then it has to be like trained and kind of broken where it has to be functional and rideable and of some value.
00:50:21.300Now, real quick, for the people who said, how can you be conservative, fight for life, and yet you don't value all life because this is a life.
00:50:31.680The Bible commands that if you take the blood of a man that is in Genesis, then you shall have shed your blood as well.
00:50:39.220This is what the Bible dictates, the death penalty.
00:50:42.100It is not anti-religious or anti-conservative or anti-Christian to advocate for death.
00:50:46.020However, it is demonic, as they're doing in the Netherlands now, to allow, and this just happened, a two-year-old was euthanized because it had mental and physical disability.
00:50:55.840Up to 12 now in the Netherlands, you can euthanize a child.
00:51:08.760Well, it is the opposite of moral. We have a God problem in this country.
00:51:12.160And this is just another example of the fact that they have pity for this woman and not her victim.
00:51:19.000I don't care if it is a man or a woman. If you identify as a heinous killer, you deserve capital punishment and it would be just in this matter.